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While weather conditions in the winter grain areas played a preponderant role
in depressing the 1947 bread grain production below that of 1946, the relative level
below the prewar averages was determined largely by the land reform (attended by a
shift away from bread grain acreages) and, to a lesser degree, by war devastation that
reduced the quality of the plowing, seeding, and other farm work on such acreages as
were seeded.
5.
COARSE GRAINS.
The 1947 combined coarse grain production in the selected Eastern European group
of countries has been placed at 21.2 million metric tons which, although 7.4 million
metric tons (54 percent) more than the 1946 production of 13.8 million tons, was still
3.1 million tons (13 percent) below the 24.3 million tons average production during
the five-year period 1935-1939. The 1947 coarse grain production was 980 thousand
metric tons (4 percent) below the average supply available for domestic utilization
during the five years 1933-1934 through 1937-1938.
The increased production of coarse grains in 1947 of 54 percent over 1946 was
due not only to increased acreages but also to a peculiar combination of weather factors
in the southern spring grain areas that was particularly favorable to corn. The more
favorable relation of the 1947 production of coarse grains to the prewar averages than
that of bread grains was determined to no small degree by a more rapid recovery of
coarse grains following the land reform.
EXPECTANCY IN GRAIN PRODUCTION
During the three years 1948, 1949, and 1950 the general production trend in all
of the selected Eastern European countries will be toward building up the agricultural
potential. It is impossible to foresee the trends in individual countries accurately,
although in Appendix III an attempt has been made to indicate expectancy in produc-
tion for each of these countries in a general way.
sagibasi
1.
DEFICIT COUNTRIES.
to
In two of the food deficit countries, Czechoslovakia and Finland, where there has
been little or no effect of the land reform, the immediate trend of production will be
toward building up bread grains at the expense of coarse grains. By 1950, the build-up
in bread grains may result in a production as much as 5 percent above the prewar
1935-1939 average accompanied by a loss in coarse grains of about 5 percent.
During the next five years, the over-all agricultural potential in both countries may
be expected to increase. Bread grains may reach a production level of about 30 per-
cent above prewar and coarse grains about 10 percent above the 1935-1939 average.
The tempo of the agricultural potential during the period 1956 through 1960 may
be expected to slow down. Bread grains may reach a production of 35 to 40 percent
above prewar by 1960, while coarse grains may increase to a level of 10 to 15 percent
above the 1935-1939 average.
of
25
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"ocrText": "While weather conditions in the winter grain areas played a preponderant role\nin depressing the 1947 bread grain production below that of 1946, the relative level\nbelow the prewar averages was determined largely by the land reform (attended by a\nshift away from bread grain acreages) and, to a lesser degree, by war devastation that\nreduced the quality of the plowing, seeding, and other farm work on such acreages as\nwere seeded.\n5.\nCOARSE GRAINS.\nThe 1947 combined coarse grain production in the selected Eastern European group\nof countries has been placed at 21.2 million metric tons which, although 7.4 million\nmetric tons (54 percent) more than the 1946 production of 13.8 million tons, was still\n3.1 million tons (13 percent) below the 24.3 million tons average production during\nthe five-year period 1935-1939. The 1947 coarse grain production was 980 thousand\nmetric tons (4 percent) below the average supply available for domestic utilization\nduring the five years 1933-1934 through 1937-1938.\nThe increased production of coarse grains in 1947 of 54 percent over 1946 was\ndue not only to increased acreages but also to a peculiar combination of weather factors\nin the southern spring grain areas that was particularly favorable to corn. The more\nfavorable relation of the 1947 production of coarse grains to the prewar averages than\nthat of bread grains was determined to no small degree by a more rapid recovery of\ncoarse grains following the land reform.\nEXPECTANCY IN GRAIN PRODUCTION\nDuring the three years 1948, 1949, and 1950 the general production trend in all\nof the selected Eastern European countries will be toward building up the agricultural\npotential. It is impossible to foresee the trends in individual countries accurately,\nalthough in Appendix III an attempt has been made to indicate expectancy in produc-\ntion for each of these countries in a general way.\nsagibasi\n1.\nDEFICIT COUNTRIES.\nto\nIn two of the food deficit countries, Czechoslovakia and Finland, where there has\nbeen little or no effect of the land reform, the immediate trend of production will be\ntoward building up bread grains at the expense of coarse grains. By 1950, the build-up\nin bread grains may result in a production as much as 5 percent above the prewar\n1935-1939 average accompanied by a loss in coarse grains of about 5 percent.\nDuring the next five years, the over-all agricultural potential in both countries may\nbe expected to increase. Bread grains may reach a production level of about 30 per-\ncent above prewar and coarse grains about 10 percent above the 1935-1939 average.\nThe tempo of the agricultural potential during the period 1956 through 1960 may\nbe expected to slow down. Bread grains may reach a production of 35 to 40 percent\nabove prewar by 1960, while coarse grains may increase to a level of 10 to 15 percent\nabove the 1935-1939 average.\nof\n25"
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