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SECREI
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
12 October 1950
F. GENERAL SOVIET AND CHINESE COMMUNIST INTENTIONS
AND CAPABILITIES IN THE FAR EAST
I.
STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
1. To estimate general Soviet and Chinese Communist inte- -
tions and capabilities in the Far East in 1950.
II. OBJECTIVES
2. The Soviet Union and Communist China share the common
objective of establishing Communist control throughout the Far
East. Logically, both would prefer to secure this objective with- -
out resort to general war. The Soviet Union includes in its objec -
tive Kremlin control of a communized Asia, including China. While
Chinese Communists may well object to such Kremlin control, they
have given no overt indication that they do not accept the primacy
of Moscow in International Communism.
III. CAPABILITIES
3. Short of Direct Employment of Armed Forces. The Soviet
Union and Communist China have the capacity, through a continua- -
tipn of measures short of war, further to develop the strength of
Communism in all areas in the Far East except those occupied by
US or UN forces. It is estimated, however, that in no area of the
Far East, except Tibet and possibly Indochina unless presently -
planned external assistance is increased, do they have the capa- -
bility of establishing complete Communist control during 1950
through such measures.
DECLASSIFIED
- 1 8
C.I.A. LTR. 9.9.77
TRUMAR
3. NATIONAL
ARCHIVES AND
Project NLT 77.35
fill
RECORDS
SERVICE"
Cost
By NLT- He
NARS, Date 6.4.Lo
TOP SECRE T
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"ocrText": "SECREI\nCENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY\n12 October 1950\nF. GENERAL SOVIET AND CHINESE COMMUNIST INTENTIONS\nAND CAPABILITIES IN THE FAR EAST\nI.\nSTATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM\n1. To estimate general Soviet and Chinese Communist inte- -\ntions and capabilities in the Far East in 1950.\nII. OBJECTIVES\n2. The Soviet Union and Communist China share the common\nobjective of establishing Communist control throughout the Far\nEast. Logically, both would prefer to secure this objective with- -\nout resort to general war. The Soviet Union includes in its objec -\ntive Kremlin control of a communized Asia, including China. While\nChinese Communists may well object to such Kremlin control, they\nhave given no overt indication that they do not accept the primacy\nof Moscow in International Communism.\nIII. CAPABILITIES\n3. Short of Direct Employment of Armed Forces. The Soviet\nUnion and Communist China have the capacity, through a continua- -\ntipn of measures short of war, further to develop the strength of\nCommunism in all areas in the Far East except those occupied by\nUS or UN forces. It is estimated, however, that in no area of the\nFar East, except Tibet and possibly Indochina unless presently -\nplanned external assistance is increased, do they have the capa- -\nbility of establishing complete Communist control during 1950\nthrough such measures.\nDECLASSIFIED\n- 1 8\nC.I.A. LTR. 9.9.77\nTRUMAR\n3. NATIONAL\nARCHIVES AND\nProject NLT 77.35\nfill\nRECORDS\nSERVICE\"\nCost\nBy NLT- He\nNARS, Date 6.4.Lo\nTOP SECRE T"
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