Memorandum from Rear Admiral R. H. Hillenkoetter to President Harry S. Truman, with Related Material
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ER 8564
SECRET
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
WASHINGTON 25, D. C.
16 March 1948
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Under date of 22 December 1947, CIA reported that there was a
possibility of steps being taken in Berlin by the Soviet authorities
to force the other occupying powers to remove from Berlin. Delay in
the formation of a separate Eastern German Government and in Soviet
attempts to force the Western Powers from Berlin has probably been
caused in large measure by the firm attitude of US officials in
Berlin. While no further reports have been received indicating that
the USSR has decided to force the Western Powers from Berlin, the
recent US, UK, France, Benelux discussions in London concerning the
formation of a West German State to be included in a Western European
Union invite some form of Soviet response stronger than the mere
protests received so far.
Soviet response will be timed to follow overt allied implementa-
tion of the London decisions, and will consist of the announcement of
plans, such as a plebiscite, for an Eastern Zone "all German state",
claiming to represent the whole German people. Announcement of such
plans would be followed by an intensified Soviet campaign to oust the
Western Powers from Berlin. The most urgent dangers are: (1)
"incidents" arising from the presence in Berlin of young, undisciplined
troops; (2) aggravation of the situation by such German malcontents as
want an East-West war; (3) any tendency towards war hysteria or lack
of firmness and patience on the part of US officials in Berlin.
R. H. Hillenkoetter
Rear Admiral, USN
Director of Central Intelligence
Encl:
Copy, Memo for President,
12/22/47
TRUNAR
the
DECLASSIFIED
a ways
SERVICE"
Authority
NLT-
the
77-79
By WC NLT Date 1.34.79
SECRET
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"ocrText": "ER 8564\nSECRET\nCENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY\nWASHINGTON 25, D. C.\n16 March 1948\nMEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT\nUnder date of 22 December 1947, CIA reported that there was a\npossibility of steps being taken in Berlin by the Soviet authorities\nto force the other occupying powers to remove from Berlin. Delay in\nthe formation of a separate Eastern German Government and in Soviet\nattempts to force the Western Powers from Berlin has probably been\ncaused in large measure by the firm attitude of US officials in\nBerlin. While no further reports have been received indicating that\nthe USSR has decided to force the Western Powers from Berlin, the\nrecent US, UK, France, Benelux discussions in London concerning the\nformation of a West German State to be included in a Western European\nUnion invite some form of Soviet response stronger than the mere\nprotests received so far.\nSoviet response will be timed to follow overt allied implementa-\ntion of the London decisions, and will consist of the announcement of\nplans, such as a plebiscite, for an Eastern Zone \"all German state\",\nclaiming to represent the whole German people. Announcement of such\nplans would be followed by an intensified Soviet campaign to oust the\nWestern Powers from Berlin. The most urgent dangers are: (1)\n\"incidents\" arising from the presence in Berlin of young, undisciplined\ntroops; (2) aggravation of the situation by such German malcontents as\nwant an East-West war; (3) any tendency towards war hysteria or lack\nof firmness and patience on the part of US officials in Berlin.\nR. H. Hillenkoetter\nRear Admiral, USN\nDirector of Central Intelligence\nEncl:\nCopy, Memo for President,\n12/22/47\nTRUNAR\nthe\nDECLASSIFIED\na ways\nSERVICE\"\nAuthority\nNLT-\nthe\n77-79\nBy WC NLT Date 1.34.79\nSECRET"
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