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SECRET 17 Kashmir is a proverty-stricken state, with a population of four mil- lions and an area about equal to that of Great Britain. Because of the preponderance of Muslims, Pakistan is convinced that a plebiscite would go in its favor. It is widely believed in Pakistan that India, despite repeated statements to the contrary, is following a policy of obstructive- ness and procrastination in order to consolidate its position in Kashmir and avoid a plebiscite, which it fears it would lose. It is therefore open to question whether an overall plebiscite will ever occur, and the Security Council is aware of this possibility. Any other solution, such as partition, is unpalatable to Pakistan and would be politically very difficult because the Pakistan Prime Minister and other statesmen have constantly reiterated to the country their insistence upon a plebiscite; the newspapers have declared that the alternatives for Kashmire are "plebiscite or war". Thus, an approach to Pakistan on the question of an alternative solution is an extremely delicate matter. The Security Council dared go no farther in this direction than to empower its new Representative to make "any suggestions which are likely to con- tribute to the solution of the dispute", while at the same time advocating that the freely expressed will of the inhabitants should deter- mine the future of the State. Bases of Quarrel Undoubtedly the bitterness of the quarrel over Kashmir is largely based, both in India and Pakistan, upon emotional considerations arising out of personal sentimental attachments and jealousies, and questions of national prestige. To Nehru, personally, Kashmir is associated with his early life and it appears to be, with him, a spiritual symbol which stirs SECRET

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    "ocrText": "SECRET\n17\nKashmir is a proverty-stricken state, with a population of four mil-\nlions and an area about equal to that of Great Britain. Because of the\npreponderance of Muslims, Pakistan is convinced that a plebiscite would\ngo in its favor. It is widely believed in Pakistan that India, despite\nrepeated statements to the contrary, is following a policy of obstructive-\nness and procrastination in order to consolidate its position in Kashmir\nand avoid a plebiscite, which it fears it would lose. It is therefore\nopen to question whether an overall plebiscite will ever occur, and the\nSecurity Council is aware of this possibility. Any other solution, such\nas partition, is unpalatable to Pakistan and would be politically very\ndifficult because the Pakistan Prime Minister and other statesmen have\nconstantly reiterated to the country their insistence upon a plebiscite;\nthe newspapers have declared that the alternatives for Kashmire are\n\"plebiscite or war\". Thus, an approach to Pakistan on the question of\nan alternative solution is an extremely delicate matter. The Security\nCouncil dared go no farther in this direction than to empower its new\nRepresentative to make \"any suggestions which\nare likely to con-\ntribute to the\nsolution of the dispute\", while at the same time\nadvocating that the freely expressed will of the inhabitants should deter-\nmine the future of the State.\nBases of Quarrel\nUndoubtedly the bitterness of the quarrel over Kashmir is largely\nbased, both in India and Pakistan, upon emotional considerations arising\nout of personal sentimental attachments and jealousies, and questions of\nnational prestige. To Nehru, personally, Kashmir is associated with his\nearly life and it appears to be, with him, a spiritual symbol which stirs\nSECRET"
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