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OCR
SECRET
REVIEW OF THE WORLD SITUATION AS IT RELATES
TO THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES
1. General Trends in the Structure of Non-
ticulated more sharply than ever before, and
Soviet Power.
basic US policies won fairly uniform small-
power support. However little "world opin-
As the postwar power conflict gradually has
ion" may influence the Politbureau and its do-
divided nations into two camps, Soviet and
mains, psychological warfare in the UN in-
non-Soviet, two major trends have begun to
creasingly has worked to the advantage of the
take shape in relationships among the nations
US in its relations with other non-Soviet na-
in the non-Soviet world. In the past month
tions.
UN activities associated with the Fourth Gen-
Finally, where the USSR has not been di-
eral Assembly and the signature of the Bonn
rectly and vitally affected, the UN machinery
Protocol on Germany have pointed out the
has contributed a badly needed element of
main direction events are taking. The trends
stability in areas (such as Palestine and Indo-
may be accelerated or reversed as circum-
nesia) that otherwise almost certainly would
stances change. In any case, however, they
have become permanent economic and politi-
have a direct bearing on US security. As they
cal losses or liabilities of the Western world.
appear at the end of 1949, these trends are:
These gains are comparatively slight and far
(a) limited but steady development of UN in-
from secure, but they hold out hope for the
stitutions; (b) increasing emphasis on re-
future. The UN machinery also provides the
gional association of groups of nations in the
basis for the gradual liquidation of European
interests of military security and economic
colonial problems with as little disorder or eco-
development.
nomic and social dislocation as possible. It
a. The UN.
also provides a systematic way to begin to de-
velop economically retarded nations. Despite
Whatever hopes may have existed that the
Soviet non-cooperation and occasional bursts
UN would be an effective world-wide pacifica-
of unrealism or intransigence on the part of
tion league expired very quickly during the
the small powers, the UN is furthering the de-
postwar period of Soviet expansion in Eurasia
velopment of an orderly, legalistic relationship
and Soviet introduction of the vocabulary of
binding together for mutual advantage the
the "class struggle" into postwar diplomacy.
nations of the non-Soviet world. This rela-
Nevertheless, the UN is a going concern and
tionship is a favorable environment for the
its prestige is on the upgrade. The USSR has
advancement of US security interests.
remained in the UN. As long as the UN re-
mains a relatively loose association of nations,
b. Regionalism.
the USSR probably will remain a member, if
Apart from generally cooperating with UN
for no other reason than to prevent it from
institutions and objectives, the non-Soviet na-
turning into an effective anti-Soviet league.
tions of the world might have moved to organ-
The UN, particularly the General Assembly,
ize their defensive power and promote their
has provided an effective arena for developing
respective political and economic interests in
and presenting US views on international is-
any one of several ways. Conceivably a single,
sues of all kinds, mobilizing international sup-
tight bloc of all non-Soviet nations might
port for those views, and dissecting Soviet
have formed, probably under US leadership.
propaganda. The USSR also has had its UN
More likely, a third force might have begun to
propaganda successes. In the General As-
coalesce within the non-Soviet world, presum-
sembly session just ended, however, resent-
ably under British leadership, and tried to
ment against Soviet aims and tactics was ar-
reach a power position more or less on a level
DECLASSIFIED
SECRET
E. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) 3-31-77 and 5(D) or (E)
3
C-I.A.
OSD
letter,
NARS
Darby-10.77
By
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"ocrText": "SECRET\nREVIEW OF THE WORLD SITUATION AS IT RELATES\nTO THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES\n1. General Trends in the Structure of Non-\nticulated more sharply than ever before, and\nSoviet Power.\nbasic US policies won fairly uniform small-\npower support. However little \"world opin-\nAs the postwar power conflict gradually has\nion\" may influence the Politbureau and its do-\ndivided nations into two camps, Soviet and\nmains, psychological warfare in the UN in-\nnon-Soviet, two major trends have begun to\ncreasingly has worked to the advantage of the\ntake shape in relationships among the nations\nUS in its relations with other non-Soviet na-\nin the non-Soviet world. In the past month\ntions.\nUN activities associated with the Fourth Gen-\nFinally, where the USSR has not been di-\neral Assembly and the signature of the Bonn\nrectly and vitally affected, the UN machinery\nProtocol on Germany have pointed out the\nhas contributed a badly needed element of\nmain direction events are taking. The trends\nstability in areas (such as Palestine and Indo-\nmay be accelerated or reversed as circum-\nnesia) that otherwise almost certainly would\nstances change. In any case, however, they\nhave become permanent economic and politi-\nhave a direct bearing on US security. As they\ncal losses or liabilities of the Western world.\nappear at the end of 1949, these trends are:\nThese gains are comparatively slight and far\n(a) limited but steady development of UN in-\nfrom secure, but they hold out hope for the\nstitutions; (b) increasing emphasis on re-\nfuture. The UN machinery also provides the\ngional association of groups of nations in the\nbasis for the gradual liquidation of European\ninterests of military security and economic\ncolonial problems with as little disorder or eco-\ndevelopment.\nnomic and social dislocation as possible. It\na. The UN.\nalso provides a systematic way to begin to de-\nvelop economically retarded nations. Despite\nWhatever hopes may have existed that the\nSoviet non-cooperation and occasional bursts\nUN would be an effective world-wide pacifica-\nof unrealism or intransigence on the part of\ntion league expired very quickly during the\nthe small powers, the UN is furthering the de-\npostwar period of Soviet expansion in Eurasia\nvelopment of an orderly, legalistic relationship\nand Soviet introduction of the vocabulary of\nbinding together for mutual advantage the\nthe \"class struggle\" into postwar diplomacy.\nnations of the non-Soviet world. This rela-\nNevertheless, the UN is a going concern and\ntionship is a favorable environment for the\nits prestige is on the upgrade. The USSR has\nadvancement of US security interests.\nremained in the UN. As long as the UN re-\nmains a relatively loose association of nations,\nb. Regionalism.\nthe USSR probably will remain a member, if\nApart from generally cooperating with UN\nfor no other reason than to prevent it from\ninstitutions and objectives, the non-Soviet na-\nturning into an effective anti-Soviet league.\ntions of the world might have moved to organ-\nThe UN, particularly the General Assembly,\nize their defensive power and promote their\nhas provided an effective arena for developing\nrespective political and economic interests in\nand presenting US views on international is-\nany one of several ways. Conceivably a single,\nsues of all kinds, mobilizing international sup-\ntight bloc of all non-Soviet nations might\nport for those views, and dissecting Soviet\nhave formed, probably under US leadership.\npropaganda. The USSR also has had its UN\nMore likely, a third force might have begun to\npropaganda successes. In the General As-\ncoalesce within the non-Soviet world, presum-\nsembly session just ended, however, resent-\nably under British leadership, and tried to\nment against Soviet aims and tactics was ar-\nreach a power position more or less on a level\nDECLASSIFIED\nSECRET\nE. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) 3-31-77 and 5(D) or (E)\n3\nC-I.A.\nOSD\nletter,\nNARS\nDarby-10.77\nBy"
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