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SECRET REVIEW OF THE WORLD SITUATION AS IT RELATES TO THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES 1. General Trends in the Structure of Non- ticulated more sharply than ever before, and Soviet Power. basic US policies won fairly uniform small- power support. However little "world opin- As the postwar power conflict gradually has ion" may influence the Politbureau and its do- divided nations into two camps, Soviet and mains, psychological warfare in the UN in- non-Soviet, two major trends have begun to creasingly has worked to the advantage of the take shape in relationships among the nations US in its relations with other non-Soviet na- in the non-Soviet world. In the past month tions. UN activities associated with the Fourth Gen- Finally, where the USSR has not been di- eral Assembly and the signature of the Bonn rectly and vitally affected, the UN machinery Protocol on Germany have pointed out the has contributed a badly needed element of main direction events are taking. The trends stability in areas (such as Palestine and Indo- may be accelerated or reversed as circum- nesia) that otherwise almost certainly would stances change. In any case, however, they have become permanent economic and politi- have a direct bearing on US security. As they cal losses or liabilities of the Western world. appear at the end of 1949, these trends are: These gains are comparatively slight and far (a) limited but steady development of UN in- from secure, but they hold out hope for the stitutions; (b) increasing emphasis on re- future. The UN machinery also provides the gional association of groups of nations in the basis for the gradual liquidation of European interests of military security and economic colonial problems with as little disorder or eco- development. nomic and social dislocation as possible. It a. The UN. also provides a systematic way to begin to de- velop economically retarded nations. Despite Whatever hopes may have existed that the Soviet non-cooperation and occasional bursts UN would be an effective world-wide pacifica- of unrealism or intransigence on the part of tion league expired very quickly during the the small powers, the UN is furthering the de- postwar period of Soviet expansion in Eurasia velopment of an orderly, legalistic relationship and Soviet introduction of the vocabulary of binding together for mutual advantage the the "class struggle" into postwar diplomacy. nations of the non-Soviet world. This rela- Nevertheless, the UN is a going concern and tionship is a favorable environment for the its prestige is on the upgrade. The USSR has advancement of US security interests. remained in the UN. As long as the UN re- mains a relatively loose association of nations, b. Regionalism. the USSR probably will remain a member, if Apart from generally cooperating with UN for no other reason than to prevent it from institutions and objectives, the non-Soviet na- turning into an effective anti-Soviet league. tions of the world might have moved to organ- The UN, particularly the General Assembly, ize their defensive power and promote their has provided an effective arena for developing respective political and economic interests in and presenting US views on international is- any one of several ways. Conceivably a single, sues of all kinds, mobilizing international sup- tight bloc of all non-Soviet nations might port for those views, and dissecting Soviet have formed, probably under US leadership. propaganda. The USSR also has had its UN More likely, a third force might have begun to propaganda successes. In the General As- coalesce within the non-Soviet world, presum- sembly session just ended, however, resent- ably under British leadership, and tried to ment against Soviet aims and tactics was ar- reach a power position more or less on a level DECLASSIFIED SECRET E. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) 3-31-77 and 5(D) or (E) 3 C-I.A. OSD letter, NARS Darby-10.77 By

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    "ocrText": "SECRET\nREVIEW OF THE WORLD SITUATION AS IT RELATES\nTO THE SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES\n1. General Trends in the Structure of Non-\nticulated more sharply than ever before, and\nSoviet Power.\nbasic US policies won fairly uniform small-\npower support. However little \"world opin-\nAs the postwar power conflict gradually has\nion\" may influence the Politbureau and its do-\ndivided nations into two camps, Soviet and\nmains, psychological warfare in the UN in-\nnon-Soviet, two major trends have begun to\ncreasingly has worked to the advantage of the\ntake shape in relationships among the nations\nUS in its relations with other non-Soviet na-\nin the non-Soviet world. In the past month\ntions.\nUN activities associated with the Fourth Gen-\nFinally, where the USSR has not been di-\neral Assembly and the signature of the Bonn\nrectly and vitally affected, the UN machinery\nProtocol on Germany have pointed out the\nhas contributed a badly needed element of\nmain direction events are taking. The trends\nstability in areas (such as Palestine and Indo-\nmay be accelerated or reversed as circum-\nnesia) that otherwise almost certainly would\nstances change. In any case, however, they\nhave become permanent economic and politi-\nhave a direct bearing on US security. As they\ncal losses or liabilities of the Western world.\nappear at the end of 1949, these trends are:\nThese gains are comparatively slight and far\n(a) limited but steady development of UN in-\nfrom secure, but they hold out hope for the\nstitutions; (b) increasing emphasis on re-\nfuture. The UN machinery also provides the\ngional association of groups of nations in the\nbasis for the gradual liquidation of European\ninterests of military security and economic\ncolonial problems with as little disorder or eco-\ndevelopment.\nnomic and social dislocation as possible. It\na. The UN.\nalso provides a systematic way to begin to de-\nvelop economically retarded nations. Despite\nWhatever hopes may have existed that the\nSoviet non-cooperation and occasional bursts\nUN would be an effective world-wide pacifica-\nof unrealism or intransigence on the part of\ntion league expired very quickly during the\nthe small powers, the UN is furthering the de-\npostwar period of Soviet expansion in Eurasia\nvelopment of an orderly, legalistic relationship\nand Soviet introduction of the vocabulary of\nbinding together for mutual advantage the\nthe \"class struggle\" into postwar diplomacy.\nnations of the non-Soviet world. This rela-\nNevertheless, the UN is a going concern and\ntionship is a favorable environment for the\nits prestige is on the upgrade. The USSR has\nadvancement of US security interests.\nremained in the UN. As long as the UN re-\nmains a relatively loose association of nations,\nb. Regionalism.\nthe USSR probably will remain a member, if\nApart from generally cooperating with UN\nfor no other reason than to prevent it from\ninstitutions and objectives, the non-Soviet na-\nturning into an effective anti-Soviet league.\ntions of the world might have moved to organ-\nThe UN, particularly the General Assembly,\nize their defensive power and promote their\nhas provided an effective arena for developing\nrespective political and economic interests in\nand presenting US views on international is-\nany one of several ways. Conceivably a single,\nsues of all kinds, mobilizing international sup-\ntight bloc of all non-Soviet nations might\nport for those views, and dissecting Soviet\nhave formed, probably under US leadership.\npropaganda. The USSR also has had its UN\nMore likely, a third force might have begun to\npropaganda successes. In the General As-\ncoalesce within the non-Soviet world, presum-\nsembly session just ended, however, resent-\nably under British leadership, and tried to\nment against Soviet aims and tactics was ar-\nreach a power position more or less on a level\nDECLASSIFIED\nSECRET\nE. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) 3-31-77 and 5(D) or (E)\n3\nC-I.A.\nOSD\nletter,\nNARS\nDarby-10.77\nBy"
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