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SECTION VI
FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS AFFECTING UNITED STATES SECURITY
There are no signs at present that Norway's present westward orienta-
tion will change.
Norway's armed forces are being improved and trained along British
lines and, although it has no prospect of becoming a significant military power,
the segment of world military might represented by Norwegian armed forces will
probably become increasingly westward oriented.
Norway's continued economic stability is assured. Though its economy
cannot contribute substantially to the recovery of other European nations, Nor-
way, as a participant in the Marshall Plan, will not itself make any heavy de-
mands for economic assistance.
The renewal of Soviet demands or implied continuing interest in bases
on Spitzbergen is a probability, if only for the purpose of keeping the issue
alive as a pressure point in Norway's resistance to Soviet attempts to extend
the influence of the USSR in Scandinavia. Norway can be relied upon, however,
to resist any Soviet westward expansion but will seek moral support for its
actions in resisting Soviet demands.
Any threat to peace arising from Norway's actions, either unilateral
or in concert with the other Scandinavian states, is extremely remote and can
almost be dismissed.
DECLASSIFIED
E. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) and 5(D) or (E)
2-15-77
April 12, 1974
Be NLT- NC NARS Date 6-7-77
VI-1
SECRET
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"ocrText": "SECRET\nSECTION VI\nFUTURE DEVELOPMENTS AFFECTING UNITED STATES SECURITY\nThere are no signs at present that Norway's present westward orienta-\ntion will change.\nNorway's armed forces are being improved and trained along British\nlines and, although it has no prospect of becoming a significant military power,\nthe segment of world military might represented by Norwegian armed forces will\nprobably become increasingly westward oriented.\nNorway's continued economic stability is assured. Though its economy\ncannot contribute substantially to the recovery of other European nations, Nor-\nway, as a participant in the Marshall Plan, will not itself make any heavy de-\nmands for economic assistance.\nThe renewal of Soviet demands or implied continuing interest in bases\non Spitzbergen is a probability, if only for the purpose of keeping the issue\nalive as a pressure point in Norway's resistance to Soviet attempts to extend\nthe influence of the USSR in Scandinavia. Norway can be relied upon, however,\nto resist any Soviet westward expansion but will seek moral support for its\nactions in resisting Soviet demands.\nAny threat to peace arising from Norway's actions, either unilateral\nor in concert with the other Scandinavian states, is extremely remote and can\nalmost be dismissed.\nDECLASSIFIED\nE. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) and 5(D) or (E)\n2-15-77\nApril 12, 1974\nBe NLT- NC NARS Date 6-7-77\nVI-1\nSECRET"
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