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Belgium, like most other countries of Europe, resorted to such bilateral arrangements as expedients to maintain the level of its production and trade. Thus, despite transfer and exchange problems, essential imports were obtained and markets sustained for key export industries. Most of these arrangements were of the "trade and payments type" wherein the respective governments agreed to facilitate the exchange of desig- nated commodities more or less on a compensatory basis. They were usually accom- panied by "payments" agreements establishing clearing accounts in the respective national banks to facilitate compensatory transactions. These accords enabled the Economic Union to trade with all the countries of Western Europe and most of the Eastern European countries. An important difficulty encountered in concluding trade treaties has been the desire of most countries to limit their imports as much as possible to raw materials and essential supplies and to re-establish their commercial trade balance and balance of payments, especially with hard-currency countries. The Economic Union's most im- portant barter-clearing agreements are with neighboring countries. Those with Latin American and Eastern European nations have not been particularly successful. How- ever, the Economic Union finally concluded a commercial agreement with the USSR in February 1948, which provides, among other things, for the exchange of Belgian ma- chinery and finished and semi-finished products for grains and small amounts of other raw materials. During 1947 the Economic Union began to experience resistance in foreign markets to the high prices of its products, especially of luxury and semi-luxury articles. Price competition, particularly in the Western Hemisphere, as well as foreign resistance to the importation of non-essential items, is making it more and more difficult to sell abroad. The slowing down of production in the diamond-cutting, textile, and shoe industries because of decreased domestic and foreign demand is viewed as a forerunner of the difficulties with which most of the Belgian industries will eventually be faced. Although certain Government, business, and labor groups view with approval the pos- sibility of a mild business recession and deflation, the rapid rise of prices during the first four months of 1948 is likely to be checked by a more violent deflation than is desired. The Economic Union's prospects of increasing exports are, except for high Belgo-Luxembourg prices, largely dependent upon factors over which the Union has no control. The rigid import controls retained by Belgium's normal customers since the end of the war and the foreign exchange difficulties in which most of them are involved have decreased considerably Belgian exports to some Western European nations, par- ticularly since the beginning of 1948. World-wide shortages of important raw mate- rials, such as coal, iron and certain non-ferrous metals, have made it impossible for some of Belgium's industries to operate at capacity levels. Belgium and Luxembourg are endeavoring to obtain ERP dollars for their exports to the participating countries, and, in conjunction with the Netherlands are pressing for a multilateral system of foreign exchange to reduce payments difficulties among the ERP countries. 26

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    "ocrText": "Belgium, like most other countries of Europe, resorted to such bilateral arrangements\nas expedients to maintain the level of its production and trade. Thus, despite transfer\nand exchange problems, essential imports were obtained and markets sustained for\nkey export industries. Most of these arrangements were of the \"trade and payments\ntype\" wherein the respective governments agreed to facilitate the exchange of desig-\nnated commodities more or less on a compensatory basis. They were usually accom-\npanied by \"payments\" agreements establishing clearing accounts in the respective\nnational banks to facilitate compensatory transactions. These accords enabled the\nEconomic Union to trade with all the countries of Western Europe and most of the\nEastern European countries.\nAn important difficulty encountered in concluding trade treaties has been the\ndesire of most countries to limit their imports as much as possible to raw materials\nand essential supplies and to re-establish their commercial trade balance and balance of\npayments, especially with hard-currency countries. The Economic Union's most im-\nportant barter-clearing agreements are with neighboring countries. Those with Latin\nAmerican and Eastern European nations have not been particularly successful. How-\never, the Economic Union finally concluded a commercial agreement with the USSR in\nFebruary 1948, which provides, among other things, for the exchange of Belgian ma-\nchinery and finished and semi-finished products for grains and small amounts of other\nraw materials.\nDuring 1947 the Economic Union began to experience resistance in foreign\nmarkets to the high prices of its products, especially of luxury and semi-luxury articles.\nPrice competition, particularly in the Western Hemisphere, as well as foreign resistance\nto the importation of non-essential items, is making it more and more difficult to sell\nabroad. The slowing down of production in the diamond-cutting, textile, and shoe\nindustries because of decreased domestic and foreign demand is viewed as a forerunner\nof the difficulties with which most of the Belgian industries will eventually be faced.\nAlthough certain Government, business, and labor groups view with approval the pos-\nsibility of a mild business recession and deflation, the rapid rise of prices during the\nfirst four months of 1948 is likely to be checked by a more violent deflation than is\ndesired.\nThe Economic Union's prospects of increasing exports are, except for high\nBelgo-Luxembourg prices, largely dependent upon factors over which the Union has no\ncontrol. The rigid import controls retained by Belgium's normal customers since the\nend of the war and the foreign exchange difficulties in which most of them are involved\nhave decreased considerably Belgian exports to some Western European nations, par-\nticularly since the beginning of 1948. World-wide shortages of important raw mate-\nrials, such as coal, iron and certain non-ferrous metals, have made it impossible for\nsome of Belgium's industries to operate at capacity levels. Belgium and Luxembourg\nare endeavoring to obtain ERP dollars for their exports to the participating countries,\nand, in conjunction with the Netherlands are pressing for a multilateral system of\nforeign exchange to reduce payments difficulties among the ERP countries.\n26"
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