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THE STRENGTH AND CAPABILITIES OF SOVIET
BLOC FORCES TO CONDUCT MILITARY OPERATIONS
AGAINST NATO
THE PROBLEM
To analyze the strength and capabilities of Soviet Bloc
forces to conduct military operations against NATO during the
period 1951-1954, including the capacity of the Soviet Bloc to
maintain and increase these forces after the outbreak of war.
ANALYSIS
TRUMIN
ALL
See the Enclosure.
AND
SERVICE"
EDITION
CONCLUSIONS
1. The USSR has at present and will probably have through mid-
1954 military strength of such magnitude as to pose a constant
and serious threat to the security of the NATO powers, especial-
ly in view of the aggressive nature of Soviet objectives and poli-
cies.
2. Politically, economically, and militarily the Soviet Bloc is
capable of undertaking a major war. Its over-all strength and
war potential should increase considerably by mid-1954.
a. Despite continued political tensions within the Soviet
Bloc, both the Soviet population and the European Satellites
are under firm Kremlin control. In the event of war various
internal tensions will tend to become more acute, but they
probably will not become serious enough to pose a major
obstacle to Soviet ability to sustain a major war effort until
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"ocrText": "TOP SECRET\nTHE STRENGTH AND CAPABILITIES OF SOVIET\nBLOC FORCES TO CONDUCT MILITARY OPERATIONS\nAGAINST NATO\nTHE PROBLEM\nTo analyze the strength and capabilities of Soviet Bloc\nforces to conduct military operations against NATO during the\nperiod 1951-1954, including the capacity of the Soviet Bloc to\nmaintain and increase these forces after the outbreak of war.\nANALYSIS\nTRUMIN\nALL\nSee the Enclosure.\nAND\nSERVICE\"\nEDITION\nCONCLUSIONS\n1. The USSR has at present and will probably have through mid-\n1954 military strength of such magnitude as to pose a constant\nand serious threat to the security of the NATO powers, especial-\nly in view of the aggressive nature of Soviet objectives and poli-\ncies.\n2. Politically, economically, and militarily the Soviet Bloc is\ncapable of undertaking a major war. Its over-all strength and\nwar potential should increase considerably by mid-1954.\na. Despite continued political tensions within the Soviet\nBloc, both the Soviet population and the European Satellites\nare under firm Kremlin control. In the event of war various\ninternal tensions will tend to become more acute, but they\nprobably will not become serious enough to pose a major\nobstacle to Soviet ability to sustain a major war effort until\nTOP SECRET"
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