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"NATIONAL
ARCHIVES AND
RECORDS
SERVICER
- 85
effective government and gain considerrble popular support,
but I think it is only a hope and far from an assurance.
: R. ROSINGER: I was thinking particularly about the
present military situation. The question was raised as to
what effect increased arms from across the border would
have when the Chinese Communists rench that frontier. How
would it effect the Indochinese military situation?
COL. "ecanN: I think there would be considerable
political implicrtions which might not be as pronounced
as if the Chinese Communists tried to get into the area
themselves, but I don't quite visualize their just giving
this stuff gratis to the Ho Chi Minh elements in Vietnamo
There would he some quid pro quo involved, I believe.
However, I think, in general, it is 5 fair assumption that
the arms traffic would increase. Another aspect is, of
course, that as the French might expand =11 their military
resources, and they might become increasingly unrble to
cope with the seaborne arms troffic which is going on in
the area, the Ho Chi Minh forces have achieved at least
a
stalenate in the prea. "hile there is a continued French
effort to achieve a military solution, it is not a self
licuidating proposition. In fact, it inherently increases
the orposition that that military strength must encounter.
How for the French can expend their military effort depends
upon : lot of cuestions: their problems in North Africa,
their cormitments in Western Europe, and the extent to
which the United States is willing to back e military solu-
tion in Indochina, even indirectly through the Western Euro-
pean organiz-tion.
R. ROFINCER: "y impression, which I offer very tent-
atively, is that the military siturtion in Indochina,
granting a number of differences, might be compared roughly
with the position of the Generalissimo forces in China
itself, let us sry in 1947 or possibley early 48. In other
words, I wondering whether the French prospect Chere is
of the same general character as Chiang's prospect vas a
year or = year and a half ago.
COL. l'CCAIN: There are espects of similrrity, certainly,
one of which I have seeking a military solu-
tion SOWS the seeds of its oun failure. There is mother
similprity in the military situation=-that the French are
holding principal cities by military force, and attempting
to keep open certain mejor lines of communication, which is
a very costly sort of an operation gainst a determined
opporition. That is one of the things that makes the French
job so costly in military terms.
PR. MU iPHY.
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"ocrText": "\"NATIONAL\nARCHIVES AND\nRECORDS\nSERVICER\n- 85\neffective government and gain considerrble popular support,\nbut I think it is only a hope and far from an assurance.\n: R. ROSINGER: I was thinking particularly about the\npresent military situation. The question was raised as to\nwhat effect increased arms from across the border would\nhave when the Chinese Communists rench that frontier. How\nwould it effect the Indochinese military situation?\nCOL. \"ecanN: I think there would be considerable\npolitical implicrtions which might not be as pronounced\nas if the Chinese Communists tried to get into the area\nthemselves, but I don't quite visualize their just giving\nthis stuff gratis to the Ho Chi Minh elements in Vietnamo\nThere would he some quid pro quo involved, I believe.\nHowever, I think, in general, it is 5 fair assumption that\nthe arms traffic would increase. Another aspect is, of\ncourse, that as the French might expand =11 their military\nresources, and they might become increasingly unrble to\ncope with the seaborne arms troffic which is going on in\nthe area, the Ho Chi Minh forces have achieved at least\na\nstalenate in the prea. \"hile there is a continued French\neffort to achieve a military solution, it is not a self\nlicuidating proposition. In fact, it inherently increases\nthe orposition that that military strength must encounter.\nHow for the French can expend their military effort depends\nupon : lot of cuestions: their problems in North Africa,\ntheir cormitments in Western Europe, and the extent to\nwhich the United States is willing to back e military solu-\ntion in Indochina, even indirectly through the Western Euro-\npean organiz-tion.\nR. ROFINCER: \"y impression, which I offer very tent-\natively, is that the military siturtion in Indochina,\ngranting a number of differences, might be compared roughly\nwith the position of the Generalissimo forces in China\nitself, let us sry in 1947 or possibley early 48. In other\nwords, I wondering whether the French prospect Chere is\nof the same general character as Chiang's prospect vas a\nyear or = year and a half ago.\nCOL. l'CCAIN: There are espects of similrrity, certainly,\none of which I have seeking a military solu-\ntion SOWS the seeds of its oun failure. There is mother\nsimilprity in the military situation=-that the French are\nholding principal cities by military force, and attempting\nto keep open certain mejor lines of communication, which is\na very costly sort of an operation gainst a determined\nopporition. That is one of the things that makes the French\njob so costly in military terms.\nPR. MU iPHY."
}