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SECRET
-15-
(3) Would preserve a relationship with the Spanish
military while allowing for a somewhat more
flexible posture in relation to Spanish internal
politics during a period of uncertain transition.
(4) Will reduce the visibility of the US bases, and
by making our military presence less controver-
sial may place it on a more durable basis.
(5) Reductions of US personnel in Spain might offset
pressures to reduce our NATO-committed forces.
(DOD contends that bases in Spain permit us to
support NATO commitments and that personnel
reductions there would require compensating
increases elsewhere in Western Europe if the
:
present capabilities of NATO-committed forces
are to be preserved).
Disadvantages:
(1) Some diminution in military capabilities
available to support present strategy.
(2) Substantial quid pro quo still required. Any
mitigation of US opposition to a GOS-EC
preferential trade agreement is likely to lead
to at least some of the adverse consequences
referred to in Disadvantage 2, Option I (see
above).
(3) Some risk of offending elements of the Spanish
military who may retain important influence in
the post-Franco period.
(4) Additional political dependence and/or demands
for rental payments from third countries into
which we may wish to relocate particular
facilities.
SECRET
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