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NODIS
SECRET EXDIS
4
in our determination, we would have to show that we are
prepared to have the issue become public and to defend
our position in the face of domestic pressures. Short
of using US influence on this scale, it will be futile,
and probably counter-productive for the US to resort to
half-way measures, such as attempting to use Israeli
requests for conventional weapons as leverage on this
issue.
A Deal with the Soviets. An understanding with the
Soviets that in return for their willingness to limit
conventional arms shipments to the Arabs we would seek
to induce the Israelis to abandon their nuclear option,
remains a possibility, but in our opinion only a remote
one. In our past probes of the Soviets on the possibility
of arms control in the Middle East they have given us no
indication to encourage us to think they would be inter-
ested in such a deal. Their latest position is that they
would be willing to discuss arms control to the area, but
only after Israel withdraws from occupied Arab territory.
We may wish to renew our probes of the Soviets on this
question at some appropriate time, but we cannot, in my
judgment, rest our policy on the long-shot possibility
that we will be able to work something out with the
Soviets. Our chances of influencing Israel's policy
basically hangs on the extent to which we are willing
to make this a crunch issue in our relations with Israel.
CLEARANCES: NEA - Mr. Davies
RPD
NEA/IAI - Mr. Atherton
atal
Copies to : ACDA - Mr. Gleysteen
INR/RNA - Mr. Austin
1110
NEA/IAI: MSterner: slb
4/3/69
x4523
NODIS
SECRET/EXDES
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"ocrText": "NODIS\nSECRET EXDIS\n4\nin our determination, we would have to show that we are\nprepared to have the issue become public and to defend\nour position in the face of domestic pressures. Short\nof using US influence on this scale, it will be futile,\nand probably counter-productive for the US to resort to\nhalf-way measures, such as attempting to use Israeli\nrequests for conventional weapons as leverage on this\nissue.\nA Deal with the Soviets. An understanding with the\nSoviets that in return for their willingness to limit\nconventional arms shipments to the Arabs we would seek\nto induce the Israelis to abandon their nuclear option,\nremains a possibility, but in our opinion only a remote\none. In our past probes of the Soviets on the possibility\nof arms control in the Middle East they have given us no\nindication to encourage us to think they would be inter-\nested in such a deal. Their latest position is that they\nwould be willing to discuss arms control to the area, but\nonly after Israel withdraws from occupied Arab territory.\nWe may wish to renew our probes of the Soviets on this\nquestion at some appropriate time, but we cannot, in my\njudgment, rest our policy on the long-shot possibility\nthat we will be able to work something out with the\nSoviets. Our chances of influencing Israel's policy\nbasically hangs on the extent to which we are willing\nto make this a crunch issue in our relations with Israel.\nCLEARANCES: NEA - Mr. Davies\nRPD\nNEA/IAI - Mr. Atherton\natal\nCopies to : ACDA - Mr. Gleysteen\nINR/RNA - Mr. Austin\n1110\nNEA/IAI: MSterner: slb\n4/3/69\nx4523\nNODIS\nSECRET/EXDES"
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