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SECRET 2 ROK and U.S. Forces in the demilitarized zone (DMZ) and armed infiltration of rear areas. The number of North Korean person- nel especially trained for activities related to armed infil- tration is expanding rapidly and is now estimated by the Defense Intelligence Agency to be between 30,000 to 40,000. With respect to conventional forces, it is considered that North Korean Army capabilities are roughly equivalent to those of the ROK Army. However, the North Korean Navy, with 4 "W" class submarines and 11-12 guided missile boats, would appear to have a tactical advantage over the South Korean Navy which is primarily a coastal patrol force consisting of destroyer types, amphibious transports, and various mine warfare, patrol, and amphibious ships. The North Korean Air Force is clearly superior to the ROK Air Force. In addition, the North Koreans have taken significant actions to modernize their conventional forces and to harden key military and industrial installations, and, evidently, desire to maintain a high level of tension with its accompanying danger of miscalculation. Accordingly, the Joint Chiefs of Staff consider it important to improve the readiness of ROK/US Forces to cope with this aggressiveness. 4. (S) An assessment of the ROK Military Assistance Program (MAP) shows that the attainment of the desired ROK military posture is being delayed by the inability of the MAP to fund investment costs as well as operation and maintenance costs. The fiscal constraints imposed in successive program years are having a "snowballing" effect on ROK force moderni- zation, resulting in serious deficiencies in the combat capa- bilities in ROK Forces relative to the North Korean threat. This situation will be aggravated by the continuation of the existing MAP dollar guidance for the ROK. 5. (S) Two special programs (in addition to the regular MAP) have been implemented during the past year to improve the capabilities of the ROK Forces; i.e.: SECRET

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    "ocrText": "SECRET\n2\nROK and U.S. Forces in the demilitarized zone (DMZ) and armed\ninfiltration of rear areas. The number of North Korean person-\nnel especially trained for activities related to armed infil-\ntration is expanding rapidly and is now estimated by the Defense\nIntelligence Agency to be between 30,000 to 40,000. With\nrespect to conventional forces, it is considered that North\nKorean Army capabilities are roughly equivalent to those of\nthe ROK Army. However, the North Korean Navy, with 4 \"W\"\nclass submarines and 11-12 guided missile boats, would appear\nto have a tactical advantage over the South Korean Navy which\nis primarily a coastal patrol force consisting of destroyer\ntypes, amphibious transports, and various mine warfare, patrol,\nand amphibious ships. The North Korean Air Force is clearly\nsuperior to the ROK Air Force. In addition, the North Koreans\nhave taken significant actions to modernize their conventional\nforces and to harden key military and industrial installations,\nand, evidently, desire to maintain a high level of tension with\nits accompanying danger of miscalculation. Accordingly, the\nJoint Chiefs of Staff consider it important to improve the\nreadiness of ROK/US Forces to cope with this aggressiveness.\n4. (S) An assessment of the ROK Military Assistance\nProgram (MAP) shows that the attainment of the desired ROK\nmilitary posture is being delayed by the inability of the MAP\nto fund investment costs as well as operation and maintenance\ncosts. The fiscal constraints imposed in successive program\nyears are having a \"snowballing\" effect on ROK force moderni-\nzation, resulting in serious deficiencies in the combat capa-\nbilities in ROK Forces relative to the North Korean threat.\nThis situation will be aggravated by the continuation of the\nexisting MAP dollar guidance for the ROK.\n5. (S) Two special programs (in addition to the regular\nMAP) have been implemented during the past year to improve the\ncapabilities of the ROK Forces; i.e.:\nSECRET"
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