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This file contains: A public opinion study concerning the 1962 gubernatorial election conducted in Los Angeles County. 18pgs. [Report], 9/22-23/1962

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This file contains: A public opinion study concerning the 1962 gubernatorial election conducted in Los Angeles County. 18pgs. [Report], 9/22-23/1962
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library White House Special Files Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document Description 67 2 9/22-23/1962 Report A public opinion study concerning the 1962 gubernatorial election conducted in Los Angeles County. 18pgs. Thursday, November 01, 2007 Page 1 of 1 PUBLIC OPINION STUDY CONCERNING THE 1962 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION CONDUCTED IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY September 22 and 23, 1962 FACTS CONSOLIDATED Research and Counsel in Marketing 9171 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD - BEVERLY HILLS, CALIFORNIA - TR 8-0910 - CR 3-1070 - TWX BV 7121 October 8, 1962 Mr. Robert H. Finch 315 West 9th Street, Suite 717 Los Angeles 15, California Dear Mr. Finch: The following report shows our findings of a public opinion study concerning attitudes and voting intentions of registered voters in the November election for Governor of California. A cross section of registered voters in Los Angeles County were interviewed by ten experienced members of Facts Consoli- dated's field staff on September 23 and 24, 1962. Sincerely, Dorally D. Corey Dorothy D. Corey Director DDC:ra 152500-05-01 The Marketing and Marketing Research Division of C-E-I-R, Inc. SAN FRANCISCO NEW YORK ARLINGTON, VA. BOSTON HARTFORD HOUSTON LONDON PARIS This report was prepared in the Los Angeles Office of Facts Consolidated. Thirty copies were reproduced and bound, of which this is... # 9 Issued to: FACTS CONSOLIDATED Marketing Services Division of C-E-I-R, Inc. Public Opinion Study Concerning The 1962 Gubernatorial Election Conducted in Los Angeles County September 22 and 23, 1962 FACTS CONSOLIDATED Marketing Services Division of C-E-I-R, Inc. DISTRIBUTION OF INTERVIEWS TOTAL Number of registered voters 600 Percent... % BY REGISTRATION Republican 35.2 Democrat 60.5 All other 4.3 100.0 BY RELIGION Catholic 24.0 Protestant 61.7 All other 14.3 100.0 BY UNION AFFILIATION Member 32.5 Non-member 67.5 100.0 BY AGE Under 40 49.7 Over 40 50.3 100.0 BY SEX Men 50.0 Women 50.0 100.0 BY RACE White 87.0 Non-white 13.0 100.0 BY STANDARD OF LIVING Upper 31.0 Middle 58.5 Lower 10.5 100.0 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 7. "If the election were being held today, for which of the following would you vote for Governor - Brown or Nixon?" 7a. "Would you say you have definitely made up your mind, or would you say that, depending upon circumstances, you might change your mind before November?" 7b. (IF DON'T KNOW) Do you lean toward Brown or Nixon?" WEIGHTED UNWEIGHTED BY UNION TOTAL** TOTAL BY REGISTRATION BY RELIGION AFFILIATION All All Non- Republican Democrat Other Catholic Protestant Other Member Member Number of registered voters 600 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying they will vote for % % % % % % % % % % Edmund G. (Pat) Brown *44.3 *47.0 4.7 72.7 30.8 63.2 36.5 65.1 61.0 40.3 Definitely 38.5 40.7 3.3 63.6 23.1 52.8 32.4 55.8 52.3 35.1 Might change 6.0 6.3 1.4 9.1 7.7 10.4 4.1 9.3 8.7 5.2 Lean toward * 3.2 * 3.5 .5 4.4 15.4 4.9 2.4 5.8 5.1 2.7 Richard M. Nixon *44.2 *41.2 86.8 15.7 26.9 26.4 52.4 17.5 24.6 49.1 Definitely 36.8 34.0 77.8 9.9 15.4 19.5 44.6 12.8 19.0 41.2 Might change 7.2 7.2 9.0 5.8 11.5 6.9 7.8 4.7 5.6 7.9 Lean toward * 2.7 * 2.5 2.8 1.9 7.7 1.4 3.5 - 3.1 2.2 Don't know * 5.6 * 5.8 5.2 5.3 19.2 4.1 5.2 11.6 6.2 5.7 *100.0 *100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Continued , **Weighted by registration figures for Los Angeles County as of September 12, 1962. 2 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 7. "If the election were being held today, for which of the following would you vote for Governor - Brown or Nixon?" 7a. "Would you say you have definitely made up your mind, or would you say that, depending upon circumstances, you might change your mind before November?" 7b. (IF DON"T KNOW) Do you lean toward Brown or Nixon?" WEIGHTED UNWEIGHTED BY TOTAL** TOTAL BY AGE BY SEX BY RACE STANDARD OF LIVING Under Over Non- 40 40 Men Women White White Upper Middle Lower Number of registered voters 600 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying they will vote for % % % % % % % % % % % Edmund G. (Pat) Brown *44.3 *47.0 51.4 42.7 51.0 43.0 44.1 66.6 40.3 50.2 49.2 Definitely 38.5 40.7 43.3 38.1 44.0 37.3 37.9 59.0 36.6 43.3 38.1 Might change 6.0 6.3 8.1 4.6 7.0 5.7 6.1 7.7 3.7 6.9 11.1 Lean toward * 3.2 * 3.5 4.4 2.6 3.7 3.3 3.3 5.1 3.2 3.7 3.2 Richard M. Nixon *44.2 *41.2 36.9 45.4 37.3 45.0 44.8 16.7 51.1 37.0 34.9 Definitely 36.8 34.0 29.2 38.8 31.0 37.0 37.1 12.8 45.2 29.0 28.6 Might change 7.2 7.2 7.7 6.6 6.3 8.0 7.7 3.9 5.9 8.0 6.3 Lean toward * 2.7 * 2.5 2.3 2.6 3.0 2.0 2.7 1.3 1.1 3.4 1.6 Don't know * 5.6 * 5.8 5.0 6.7 5.0 6.7 5.1 10.3 4.3 5.7 11.1 *100.0 *100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 **Weighted by registration figures for Los Angeles County as of September 12, 1962. 3 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 1. "Do you remember reading or hearing anything about televised debates between Brown and Nixon?" la. "(IF YES,) Whom do you think was at fault for the breakdown in negotiations? Brown or Nixon?" BY UNION TOTAL BY REGISTRATION BY RELIGION AFFILIATION All All Non- Republican Democrat Other Catholic Protestant Other Member Member Number of registered voters 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying % % % % % % % % % They heard about the debates 89.3 92.9 87.1 92.3 84.0 90.5 93.0 90.3 88.9 They did not hear about the debates 10.7 7.1 12.9 7.7 16.0 9.5 7.0 9.7 11.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Number of registered voters saying they heard about the debates 536 196 316 24 121 335 80 176 360 Percent saying the breakdown was the fault of % % % % % % % % % Brown 20.9 42.9 8.5 4.1 9.1 26.3 16.2 10.8 25.8 Nixon 24.1 6.6 35.5 16.7 30.6 20.0 31.3 35.8 18.3 Don't know 55.0 50.5 56.0 79.2 60.3 53.7 52.5 53.4 55.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Continued 4 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 1. "Do you remember reading or hearing anything about televised debates between Brown and Nixon?" la. "(IF YES) Whom do you think was at fault for the breakdown in negotiations? Brown or Nixon?" BY TOTAL BY AGE BY SEX BY RACE STANDARD OF LIVING Under Over Non- 40 40 Men Women White White Upper Middle Lower Number of registered voters 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying % % % % % % % % % % They heard about the debates 89.3 90.3 88.4 93.0 85.7 91.6 74.4 95.7 88.0 72.8 They did not hear about the debates 10.7 9.7 11.6 7.0 14.3 8.4 25.6 4.3 12.0 22.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Number of registered voters saying they heard about the debates 536 269 267 279 257 478 58 178 309 49 Percent saying the breakdown was the fault of % % % % % % % %. % % Brown 20.9 17.8 24.0 18.6 23.3 23.4 - 26.4 19.4 10.2 Nixon 24.1 20.8 27.3 26.9 21.0 23.4 29.3 18.0 27.2 26.5 Don't know 55.0 61.4 48.7 54.5 55.7 53.2 70.7 55.6 53.4 63.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5 FACTS CONSOLDATED In answer to Question: 2. "Nixon has proposed that he would agree to having two debates in the press conference style which Brown wants if Brown would agree to two face to face debates as Nixon has proposed. Do you think this is a good solution to the problem?" BY UNION TOTAL BY REGISTRATION BY RELIGION AFFILIATION All All Non- Republican Democrat Other Catholic Protestant Other Member Member Number of registered voters 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying this is % % % % % % % % % A good solution 49.5 62.5 43.8 23.1 45.9 54.6 33.7 44.6 51.9 Not a good solution 22.2 15.2 25.9 26.9 20.8 21.1 29.1 28.7 19.0 Don't know 28.3 22.3 30.3 50.0 33.3 24.3 37.2 26.7 29.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 In answer to Question: 3. "The Teamsters Union has endorsed Brown for Governor in November's election. Do you believe Brown should accept the Teamster's support?" Number of registered voters 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying Brown should % % % % % % % % % Accept the Teamsters support 48.0 30.8 58.4 42.3 50.0 43.0 66.3 60.0 42.3 Not accept the Teamsters support 21.8 35.1 14.9 11.5 21.5 23.2 16.3 15.4 24.9 Don't know 30.2 34.1 26.7 46.2 28.5 33.8 17.4 24.6 32.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Continued 6 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Question: 2. "Nixon has proposed that he would agree to having two debates in the press conference style which Brown wants if Brown would agree to two face to face debates as Nixon has proposed. Do you think this is a good solution to the problem?" BY TOTAL BY AGE BY SEX BY RACE STANDARD OF LIVING Under Over Non- 40 40 Men Women White White Upper Middle Lower Number of registered voters 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying this is % % % % % % % % % % A good solution 49.5 53.0 46.0 51.3 47.6 53.1 25.6 53.3 50.5 33.3 Not a good solution 22.2 19.1 25.2 23.7 20.7 22.0 23.1 17.7 23.9 25.4 Don't know 28.3 27.9 28.8 25.0 31.7 24.9 51.3 29.0 25.6 41.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 In answer to Question: 3. "The Teamsters Union has endorsed Brown for Governor in November's election. Do you believe Brown should accept the Teamster's support?" Number of registered voters 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying Brown should % % % % % % % % % % Accept the Teamsters support 48.0 53.7 42.4 56.6 39.3 48.4 44.9 45.2 49.3 49.3 Not accept the Teamsters support 21.8 20.1 23.5 21.7 22.0 23.4 11.5 24.7 20.8 19.0 Don't know 30.2 26.2 34.1 21.7 38.7 28.2 43.6 30.1 29.9 31.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 7 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 4. "Have you heard anything about a possible strike in five aerospace defense plants in Southern California? 4a. "(IF YES) What do you believe the Governor should do in order to protect California's role in this critical program: Stay out and let the federal government settle it, stay out and let management and the workers settle it with collective bargaining or join with either labor or management in order to force an agreement before the workers go on strike?" BY UNION TOTAL BY REGISTRATION BY RELIGION AFFILIATION All All Non- Republican Democrat Other Catholic Protestant Other Member Member Number of registered voters 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying they have % % % % % % % % % Heard about a possible strike 75.2 75.4 75.2 73.1 75.0 75.1 75.6 79.5 73.1 Not heard about a possible strike 24.8 24.6 24.8 26.9 25.0 24.9 24.4 20.5 26.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Number of registered voters saying they heard about a possible strike 451 159 273 19 108 278 65 155 296 Percent saying the governor should % % % % % % % % % Stay out and let the federal government settle it 27.1 23.9 28.2 36.8 28.7 24.8 33.8 25.1 28.0 Stay out and let management and the workers settle it with collective bargaining 42.7 47.8 39.9 42.1 44.4 44.3 33.8 48.4 39.9 Join with either labor or manage- ment in order to force an agree- ment before the workers go on strike 18.0 12.6 21.3 15.8 17.6 17.6 20.0 15.5 19.3 Don't know 12.2 15.7 10.6 5.3 9.3 13.3 12.4 11.0 12.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Continued 8 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 4. "Have you heard anything about a possible strike in five aerospace defense plants in Southern California 4a. "(IF YES) What do you believe the Governor should do in order to protect California's role in this critical program: Stay out and let the federal government settle it, stay out and let management and the workers settle it with collective bargaining or join with either labor or management in order to force an agreement before the workers go on strike?" BY TOTAL BY AGE BY SEX BY RACE STANDARD OF LIVING Under Over Non- 40 40 Men Women White White Upper Middle Lower Number of registered voters 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying they have % % % % % % % % % % Heard about a possible strike 75.2 77.9 72.5 82.3 68.0 77.0 62.8 81.2 74.1 63.5 Not heard about a possible strike 24.8 22.1 27.5 17.7 32.0 23.0 37.2 18.8 25.9 36.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Number of registered voters saying they heard about a possible strike 451 232 219 247 204 402 49 151 260 40 Percent saying the governor should % % % % % % % %. % % Stay out and let the federal government settle it 27.1 27.2 26.9 26.7 27.5 25.9 36.7 19.9 31.9 22.5 Stay out and let management and the workers settle it with collective bargaining 42.7 42.2 43.4 46.2 38.7 43.8 34.7 37.7 45.0 47.5 Join with either labor or manage- ment in order to force an agree- ment before the workers go on strike 18.0 18.1 17.8 18.2 17.6 17.9 18.4 25.2 14.6 12.5 Don't know 12.2 12.5 11.9 8.9 16.2 12.4 10.2 17.2 8.5 17.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 9 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Question: 5. "Without regard for whether you are going to vote for him or not, which man do you think would be best able to help in settling these strike threats -- Brown or Nixon?" BY UNION TOTAL BY REGISTRATION BY RELIGION AFFILIATION All All Non- Republican Democrat Other Catholic Protestant Other Member Member Number of registered voters 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying the one best able to settle the strike is % % % % % % % % % Brown 35.7 5.2 54.0 26.9 46.5 27.9 51.2 49.7 28.9 Nixon 28.7 58.8 11.8 19.3 15.3 37.0 15.1 17.9 33.8 Don't know 33.8 35.1 32.0 50.0 36.1 33.5 31.4 30.3 35.6 Refused 1.8 .9 2.2 3.8 2.1 1.6 2.3 2.1 1.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 In answer to Question: 6. "Mr. Nixon has urged an immediate blockade of Cuba, and that the Monroe Doctrine be enforced by the Kennedy Administration. Do you agree or disagree?" Number of registered voters 600 211 363 26 144 370 86 195 405 Percent saying they % % % % % % % % % Agree with the blockade 53.0 77.7 38.8 50.0 48.6 55.6 48.8 51.8 53.6 Disagree with the blockade 25.0 5.7 36.4 23.1 26.4 22.2 34.9 23.1 25.9 Don't know 22.0 16.6 24.8 26.9 25.0 22.2 16.3 25.1 20.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Continued 10 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Question: 5. "Without regard for whether you are going to vote for him or not, which man do you think would be best able to help in settling these strike threats Brown or Nixon?" BY TOTAL BY AGE BY SEX BY RACE STANDARD OF LIVING Under Over Non- 40 40 Men Women White White Upper Middle Lower Number of registered voters 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying the one best able to settle the strike is % % % % % % % % % % Brown 35.7 36.2 35.1 39.6 31.7 33.9 47.4 31.7 38.2 33.3 Nixon 28.7 22.1 35.1 26.0 31.3 31.6 9.0 36.5 25.6 22.2 Don't know 33.8 39.0 28.8 32.7 35.0 32.8 41.0 29.6 34.2 44.5 Refused 1.8 2.7 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.7 2.6 2.2 2.0 - 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 In answer to Question: 6. "Mr. Nixon has urged an immediate blockade of Cuba and that the Monroe Doctrine be enforced by the Kennedy Administration. Do you agree or disagree?" Number of registered voters 600 298 302 300 300 522 78 186 351 63 Percent saying they... % % % % % % % % % % Agree with the blockade 53.0 50.0 56.0 56.0 50.0 55.7 34.6 51.7 53.2 55.6 Disagree with the blockade 25.0 26.2 23.8 28.3 21.7 25.5 21.8 26.3 25.1 20.6 Don't know 22.0 23.8 20.2 15.7 28.3 18.8 43.6 22.0 21.7 23.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 11 FACTS CONSOLIDATED In answer to Questions: 12. "Averaging the turnout on the last three gubernatorial elections (1958, 1954 and 1950) approximately 74% of California registered voters went to the polls. How do you feel about the coming election this November? Do you feel the turnout will be above average- below average or about the same?" 12a. "Why do you say that?" TOTAL Number of registered voters 600 Percent saying the turnout will be... % Above average 57.5 Below average 5.8 About the same 31.3 Don't know 5.4 100.0 Number of registered voters saying the turnout will be above average 345 Percent saying this is because... % Contest between Nixon and Brown excites interest 42.0 There is more interest than usual 24.6 People are more aware of problems 18.0 Republicans working harder/Nixon can't lose again 9.0 To beat Nixon 5.8 People fed up with Brown 5.5 More people to vote/growth of state 4.9 Don't know 2.3 112.1 Continued. Sums of the columns may exceed 100% because of multiple answers. 12 FACTS CONSOLIDATED Marketing Services Division of C-E-I-R, Inc. In answer to Questions: 12. "Averaging the turnout on the last three gubernatorial elections (1958, 1954 and 1950) approximately 74% of California registered voters went to the polls. How do you feel about the coming election this November? Do you feel the turnout will be above average- below average or about the same?" 12a. "Why do you say that?" TOTAL Number of registered voters saying the turnout will be below average 35 Percent saying this is because. % Both candidates are unpopular 45.7 Apathy/Indifference of people 45.7 Don't know 31.4 122.8 Number of registered voters saying the turnout will be about the same 188 Percent saying this is because... % Always same people who vote/not enough interested 63.3 Indifference to candidates/neither popular 16.0 No new issues/nothing unusual 11.7 Don't know 9.0 100.0 Sums of the columns may exceed 100% because of multiple answers. 13 FACTS CONSOLIDATED Marketing Services Division of C-E-I-R, Inc. In answer to Question: 13. "Which of these statements best represents what you will do in November?" TOTAL Number of registered voters 600 Percent saying % Plan to vote but only for those candidates and issues that I know something about 47.2 Plan to vote and cast my vote one way or the other for each candidate and issue on the ballot 47.2 Plan to vote by absentee ballot so that nothing will prevent me from casting my ballot 2.0 Hope to vote but probably won't because something usually comes up at home or at work that makes it impossible for me to get to the polls 1.8 Probably won't vote because I don't know enough about the candidates and issues .7 Probably won't vote because this is one of the years when it doesn't make much difference one way or the other; nothing very important on this ballot .5 Don't know .6 100.0 14 FACTS CONSOLIDATED