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This file contains:
From Haldeman to Chotiner RE: Senate race in Vermont. Handwritten notes added by unknown. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/23/1970
Document analyzing the Vermont Senate race. Author and recipient unknown. Handwritten note added by unknown. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date
Copy of a questionnaire regarding the 1970 Vermont election. Handwritten note on original added by unknown. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
From Haldeman to Chotiner RE: Senate race in Vermont. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/23/1970
From Haldeman to Steve Bull, Ron Walker, and Chapin RE: 1970 campaign issues. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1970
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WHSF: Contested, 6-52
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26144963
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WHSF: Contested, 6-52
description
This file contains:
From Haldeman to Chotiner RE: Senate race in Vermont. Handwritten notes added by unknown. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/23/1970
Document analyzing the Vermont Senate race. Author and recipient unknown. Handwritten note added by unknown. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date
Copy of a questionnaire regarding the 1970 Vermont election. Handwritten note on original added by unknown. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
From Haldeman to Chotiner RE: Senate race in Vermont. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/23/1970
From Haldeman to Steve Bull, Ron Walker, and Chapin RE: 1970 campaign issues. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1970
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
6
52
9/23/1970
Campaign
Memo
From Haldeman to Chotiner RE: Senate race
in Vermont. Handwritten notes added by
unknown. 1 pg.
6
52
>
Campaign
Memo
Document analyzing the Vermont Senate
race. Author and recipient unknown.
Handwritten note added by unknown. 2 pgs.
6
52
>
Campaign
Copy of a questionnaire regarding the 1970
Vermont election. Handwritten note on
original added by unknown. 1 pg.
6
52
9/23/1970
Campaign
Memo
From Haldeman to Chotiner RE: Senate race
in Vermont. 1 pg.
Friday, June 11, 2010
Page 1 of 2
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
6
52
9/11/1970
Campaign
Memo
From Haldeman to Steve Bull, Ron Walker,
and Chapin RE: 1970 campaign issues. 1 pg.
Friday, June 11, 2010
Page 2 of 2
for
September 23, 1970
MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. CHOTINER
10/7
The attached analysis of the Vermont Senate race provides
some interesting background.
Could we have a report as to the progress being made on the
specific suggestions covered therein - that is, the activities
of Stafford and Hayes, the progress on contracts for
Burlington and South Vermont, the activities of the college
YR's, the addressing of the fuel oil problem, and plans for
the Vice President to add French Canadians to his list.
Apparently, the most important single thing is Stafford. Are
we getting help there? Another question that arises is whether
Prouty's campaign is really organized and underway. I
understand Hoff's is. Also, how do they stand on finances at
this point?
H.R. HALDEMAN
cc: Mr. Finch
Mr. Rumsfeld
HRH:cg
Re: The Vermont Senate Race
Six years ago, Winston Prouty won election to a second
term by a margin of 88,000 to 76,000. This year he faces a much
stronger candidate, former governor Philip Hoff, and polls
indicate the election will be tight.
A comparison of Prouty's 1964 vote with Hoff's 1966
gubernatorial victory suggests that the two men will be fighting
for an independent and liberal Republican electorate based in
the cities and larger towns. Many of these people voted for
Prouty in 1964 but Hoff in 1966. Indeed, Hoff's gains over the
Democrat who ran against Prouty correlate with the vote cast
in the 1966 GOP gubernatorial primary for a liberal Republican
(defeated). Liberal Republican and independent votes hold the
key to a Hoff or Prouty victory.
Signs of liberal Republican breakaway in the November
election are already building The incumbent lieutenant-governor,
Tom Hayes, is the liberal Republican who was defeated in the
1966 primary. This year, he is again running for governor in
the GOP primary and he threatens to bolt if he doesn't make
it, calling incumbent Governor Davis a captive of big business.
Prouty would be affected by a liberal bolt against Davis.
Prouty is running almost at 1964 levels in the small
Yankee towns, a good sign (see enclosed poll). Hoff is not
going to do nearly as well in these areas as he did in 1966.
But the Prouty problem will lie in the liberal Republican
areas: Bennington and vicinity, Brattleboro, Rutland, areas of
Burlington, Barre and some of the major towns.
To this end:
Suggestions
1. Congressman Robert Stafford, a moderate with great
appeal (especially in his home area - Rutland) should be
induced to campaign for Prouty, especially in the urban areas
of southern Vermont.
2. Lieutenant governor Hayes, who has no financial safe
harbor to shelter in after his likely defeat, should receive
a talking-to about a federal job or future in order to prevent
a damaging break on his part with Governor Davis (which could
not help but extend to Prouty).
3. Prouty should be given any possible federal contracts or
awards to make affecting Bui lington or urban south Vermont.
4. The College Young Republicans should be geared up for
a Prouty effort in south Vermont (where affluent intelligentsia
5. It does not look like Vermont is going to be
too hard-pressed by this winter's oil shortage, but it
would be good for the President to go to New England for
some fuel re-assurance conference or something in which
he could a) demonstrate intense concern; b) announce some
new import program; or c) announce a new way of handling
the import quotas to be allowed so that the import tickets
are not just bonuses to Big Oil but go where they will do
the most good. An oil extravaganza (public-relationswise)
oriented towards New England consumers would be a good idea
now that the oil interests have been re-assured of retention
of the quota system. This would also affect Maine, Mass and Conn.
6. The French Canadian vote in upper New England is
taken for granted by the Democrats at a 6, 8 and 10-1 ratio.
It is worth trying to break up. The Vice President could
profitably add French Canadians to his list along with
Chicanos and Indians; they are in little better shape throughout
parts of New England. A little cultural attention and recognition
would go a long way.
Speakers
I don't think out-of-state speakers serve the purpose
in Vermont. The best thing for Prouty would be strong assistance
from Stafford (and Aiken, of course, if he would).
1970 Vermont Election Questionnaire
1. For whom do you plan to vote in November's Senate election? (Circle one.)
84%
13%
- 32
A) Winston Prouty (Republican) B) Philip Hoff (Democrat)
2. For whom did you vote when Winston Prouty last ran for the Senate
in 1964? (Circle one.)
84%
7%
9%
A) For Prouty B) For his Democratic opponent c) Don't know/Didn't vote
3. For whom did you vote when Philip Hoff last ran for Governor in 1966?
(Circle one.)
26%
61%
13%
A) For Hoff B) For his Republican opponent C) Didn't vote
4. Whom did you support for President in 1968? (Circle one.)
87%
10%
A) Richard Nixon (Republican) B) Hubert Humphrey (Democrat)
c) George Wallace (Independent), Don't know Didn't Vote - 320
5. Whom did you support for President in 1960? (Circle one.)
A) Richard Nixon (Republican) B) John F. Kennedy (Democrat)
C) Don't know/Didn't vote
6. Do you plan to vote for President Nixon in 1972? (Circle one.)
71% 10% 19%
A) Yes B) No C) Don't know
7. Do you think that the Nixon Administration pays too much attention
to the South and not enough to New England? (Circle one.)
19% 15% 16%
A) Yes B) No C) Don't know
mid- August poll at Yarkee voter Gon-Yartees excluded)
n orange County. Ut., The state's
banner GOP county
(Jample - Yankee 34 random-selected voters, all Orange County towns)
September 23, 1970
MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. CHOTINER
The attached analysis of the Vermont Senate race provides
some interesting background.
Could we have a report as to the progress being made on the
specific suggestions covered therein - that is, the activities
of Stafford and Hayes, the progress on contracts for
Burlington and South Vermont, the activities of the college
YR's, the addressing of the fuel oil problem, and plans for
the Vice President to add French Canadians to his list.
Apparently, the most important single thing is Stafford. Are
we getting help there? Another question that arises is whether
Prouty's campaign is really organized and underway. I
understand Hoff's is. Also, how do they stand on finances at
this point?
H.R. HALDEMAN
cc:
Mr. Finch
Mr. Rumsfeld
HRH:cg
September 11, 1970
MEMORANDUM FOR :
STEVE BULL
DWIGHT CHAPIN
RON WALKER
It's important to recognize that the principle campaign
issue this fall will probably be campus unrest.
Because of this we may find that there will be substantial
efforts at demonstrations when the President travels around
the country even to a greater extent than we've seen up to
now. Instead of trying to defuse these activities, we should
attempt to have the demonstrators concentrated in one area
where they are highly visible and it may be that the President
will move in front of that area in order to let the cameras get
a picture of the rattie looking people that are out demonstrating
and/or the profane and obscene signs they carry.
In other words, let's contain them where we can control them
but make sure that we don't infiltrate them so completely that
you can't tell the good guys from the bad guys.
H.R. HALDEMAN
HRH:pm