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This file contains:
From Larry Higby and Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Request for an ORC poll of all State Chairman and members of the National Committee. 3 pgs. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/29/1971
From Haldeman to Larry Higby. RE: The need for a poll run by the ORC, of all State Chairmen, Republican State Committee members, and members of the National Committee. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Dent Office Memoranda which includes: thought pieces by Dick Richards, analyses of states by Tom Davis, RNC field men's reports, etc. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/28/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Fuller & Smith & Ross Inc. Versus "House Agency." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/29/1971
From Haldeman to Arthur B. Duran. RE: Possible need for Duran's services should the president seek re-election in 1972. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/29/1971
From Haldeman to Gordon Strachan. RE: AP Wire Story on Politics. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Larry Higby to Gordon Strachan. RE: Request by Haldeman to find out who was speaking with Mears at the Committee. 3 pgs. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Mort Allin to Gordon Strong. RE: Message "FYI". 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], no date
By Walter R. Mears (AP Political Writer). RE: The shaping of President Nixon's reelection campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date
Unknown handwritten letter. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: AP Wire Story on Politics to find out who gave Mears the information. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: ORC Popularity Percentages for the June 5- 6, June 21, and July 20-21 Surveys. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: China Trip Announcement Poll, July 20-21, 1971. Total respondents: 1002. 2 pgs. [Subject: Foreign Policy] [Memo], 7/24/1971
Survey taken from July 20-21, 1971 on whether the public approves or disapproves of Nixon's job as President.1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/20/1971
Survey results of Nixon's approval/disapproval ratings. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
Catagories of those surveyed about Nixon's job approval. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Harris Presidential Popularity Releases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/23/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Location of San Diego as a favorite among many staffers for the RNC Convention. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Letters Offering Assistance to Re-Elect the President. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
From an illegible name to Haldeman. RE: The need for grass roots support for Nixon, and his availabilty for assistance if needed. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/7/1971
From Robert C. Odle, Jr. to Raymond E. Ballard. RE: Mr. Billard's offer to assist in the campaign to re-elect the President. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/16/1971
A draft letter from Gordon Strachan. RE: The appreciation for offering to aide in Nixon's re-election campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Bruce. RE: Letter attachments from those who offer help in the upcoming campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/19/1971
From Robert C. Odle, JR. to Raymond E. Ballard. RE: Gratitude toward Mr. Ballard for his offer to help in Nixon's re-election campaign.1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/16/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Finch Memorandum for The President on California Delegation, Convention, and Campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
Indecipherable note entitled, "G's file". 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/20/1971
Notes on the meeting between Leonard Firestone, Holmes Tuttle, Tom Reed, and Wm. French Smith. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/8/1971
Telephone conversation between LKF and RR. RE: The speculation over LFK's involvement as leader of the Citizens for Nixon campaign. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/27/1971
RE: "Policy for Selection of the California Delegation to the 1972 Republican National Convention." 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/5/1971
From Robert H. Finch to the President. RE: California Delegation, Convention and Campaign. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
RE: "Policy for Selection of the California Delegation to the 1972 Republican National Convention. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/5/1971
From Thomas C. Reed to the Delegation Organizing Committee. RE: The selection process that will take place at the upcoming meeting of the Organizing Committee. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/13/1971
To: Delegation Organizing Committee. RE: Enclosed surveys that portray the President's strengths and weaknesses, in an effort to overcome the challenges facing the 1972 election. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/13/1971
Survey taken in California to gage Nixon's popularity. (2 questions asked). 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 6/11/1971
Survey results on the "Presidential Job Rating and the Issues in California." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 6/8/1971
Survey of the Black Population, catagorized by State in 1970. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
Scholar Source Context
Document identity
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26145515
label
WHSF: Contested, 11-8
core
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dtoType
document
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pageCount
1
Source metadata
id
26145515
sourceUrl
contentType
document
title
WHSF: Contested, 11-8
description
This file contains:
From Larry Higby and Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Request for an ORC poll of all State Chairman and members of the National Committee. 3 pgs. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/29/1971
From Haldeman to Larry Higby. RE: The need for a poll run by the ORC, of all State Chairmen, Republican State Committee members, and members of the National Committee. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Dent Office Memoranda which includes: thought pieces by Dick Richards, analyses of states by Tom Davis, RNC field men's reports, etc. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/28/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Fuller & Smith & Ross Inc. Versus "House Agency." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/29/1971
From Haldeman to Arthur B. Duran. RE: Possible need for Duran's services should the president seek re-election in 1972. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/29/1971
From Haldeman to Gordon Strachan. RE: AP Wire Story on Politics. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Larry Higby to Gordon Strachan. RE: Request by Haldeman to find out who was speaking with Mears at the Committee. 3 pgs. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Mort Allin to Gordon Strong. RE: Message "FYI". 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], no date
By Walter R. Mears (AP Political Writer). RE: The shaping of President Nixon's reelection campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date
Unknown handwritten letter. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: AP Wire Story on Politics to find out who gave Mears the information. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: ORC Popularity Percentages for the June 5- 6, June 21, and July 20-21 Surveys. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: China Trip Announcement Poll, July 20-21, 1971. Total respondents: 1002. 2 pgs. [Subject: Foreign Policy] [Memo], 7/24/1971
Survey taken from July 20-21, 1971 on whether the public approves or disapproves of Nixon's job as President.1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/20/1971
Survey results of Nixon's approval/disapproval ratings. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
Catagories of those surveyed about Nixon's job approval. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Harris Presidential Popularity Releases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/23/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Location of San Diego as a favorite among many staffers for the RNC Convention. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Letters Offering Assistance to Re-Elect the President. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
From an illegible name to Haldeman. RE: The need for grass roots support for Nixon, and his availabilty for assistance if needed. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/7/1971
From Robert C. Odle, Jr. to Raymond E. Ballard. RE: Mr. Billard's offer to assist in the campaign to re-elect the President. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/16/1971
A draft letter from Gordon Strachan. RE: The appreciation for offering to aide in Nixon's re-election campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Bruce. RE: Letter attachments from those who offer help in the upcoming campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/19/1971
From Robert C. Odle, JR. to Raymond E. Ballard. RE: Gratitude toward Mr. Ballard for his offer to help in Nixon's re-election campaign.1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/16/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Finch Memorandum for The President on California Delegation, Convention, and Campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
Indecipherable note entitled, "G's file". 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/20/1971
Notes on the meeting between Leonard Firestone, Holmes Tuttle, Tom Reed, and Wm. French Smith. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/8/1971
Telephone conversation between LKF and RR. RE: The speculation over LFK's involvement as leader of the Citizens for Nixon campaign. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/27/1971
RE: "Policy for Selection of the California Delegation to the 1972 Republican National Convention." 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/5/1971
From Robert H. Finch to the President. RE: California Delegation, Convention and Campaign. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
RE: "Policy for Selection of the California Delegation to the 1972 Republican National Convention. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/5/1971
From Thomas C. Reed to the Delegation Organizing Committee. RE: The selection process that will take place at the upcoming meeting of the Organizing Committee. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/13/1971
To: Delegation Organizing Committee. RE: Enclosed surveys that portray the President's strengths and weaknesses, in an effort to overcome the challenges facing the 1972 election. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/13/1971
Survey taken in California to gage Nixon's popularity. (2 questions asked). 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 6/11/1971
Survey results on the "Presidential Job Rating and the Issues in California." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 6/8/1971
Survey of the Black Population, catagorized by State in 1970. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
citationUrl
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
7/29/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Larry Higby and Gordon Strachan to
Haldeman. RE: Request for an ORC poll of
all State Chairman and members of the
National Committee. 3 pgs.
11
8
7/26/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Haldeman to Larry Higby. RE: The
need for a poll run by the ORC, of all State
Chairmen, Republican State Committee
members, and members of the National
Committee. 1 pg.
11
8
7/28/1971
Campaign
Report
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Dent Office Memoranda which includes:
thought pieces by Dick Richards, analyses of
states by Tom Davis, RNC field men's
reports, etc.
10 pgs.
11
8
7/29/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Fuller & Smith & Ross Inc. Versus "House
Agency." 1 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 1 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
7/29/1971
Campaign
Letter
From Haldeman to Arthur B. Duran. RE:
Possible need for Duran's services should the
president seek re-election in 1972. 1 pg.
11
8
7/28/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Haldeman to Gordon Strachan. RE: AP
Wire Story on Politics. 2 pgs.
11
8
7/26/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Larry Higby to Gordon Strachan. RE:
Request by Haldeman to find out who was
speaking with Mears at the Committee. 3 pgs.
11
8
White House Staff
Memo
From Mort Allin to Gordon Strong. RE:
Message "FYI". 1 pg.
11
8
Campaign
Report
By Walter R. Mears (AP Political Writer).
RE: The shaping of President Nixon's re-
election campaign. 1 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 2 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
Letter
Unknown handwritten letter. 1 pg.
11
8
7/28/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: AP
Wire Story on Politics to find out who gave
Mears the information. 2 pgs.
11
8
7/26/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
ORC Popularity Percentages for the June 5-
6, June 21, and July 20-21 Surveys. 1 pg.
11
8
7/24/1971
Foreign Policy
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
China Trip Announcement Poll, July 20-21,
1971. Total respondents: 1002. 2 pgs.
11
8
7/20/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Survey taken from July 20-21, 1971 on
whether the public approves or disapproves
of Nixon's job as President. 1 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 3 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
Campaign
Other Document
Survey results of Nixon's
approval/disapproval ratings. 1 pg.
11
8
Campaign
Other Document
Catagories of those surveyed about Nixon's
job approval. 1 pg.
11
8
7/23/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Harris Presidential Popularity Releases. 1 pg.
11
8
7/21/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Location of San Diego as a favorite among
many staffers for the RNC Convention. 2 pg.
11
8
7/20/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Letters Offering Assistance to Re-Elect the
President. 1 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 4 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
7/7/1971
Campaign
Letter
From an illegible name to Haldeman. RE:
The need for grass roots support for Nixon,
and his availabilty for assistance if needed. 1
pg.
11
8
7/16/1971
Campaign
Letter
From Robert C. Odle, Jr. to Raymond E.
Ballard. RE: Mr. Billard's offer to assist in
the campaign to re-elect the President. 1 pg.
11
8
Campaign
Letter
A draft letter from Gordon Strachan. RE:
The appreciation for offering to aide in
Nixon's re-election campaign. 1 pg.
11
8
7/19/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Bruce. RE: Letter
attachments from those who offer help in the
upcoming campaign. 1 pg.
11
8
7/16/1971
Campaign
Letter
From Robert C. Odle, JR. to Raymond E.
Ballard. RE: Gratitude toward Mr. Ballard
for his offer to help in Nixon's re-election
campaign. 1 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 5 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
7/20/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Finch Memorandum for The President on
California Delegation, Convention, and
Campaign. 1 pg.
11
8
7/20/1971
Other Document
Indecipherable note entitled, "G's file". 1 pg.
11
8
7/8/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Notes on the meeting between Leonard
Firestone, Holmes Tuttle, Tom Reed, and
Wm. French Smith. 3 pgs.
11
8
6/27/1971
Campaign
Memo
Telephone conversation between LKF and
RR. RE: The speculation over LFK's
involvement as leader of the Citizens for
Nixon campaign. 3 pg.
11
8
7/5/1971
Campaign
Report
RE: "Policy for Selection of the California
Delegation to the 1972 Republican National
Convention." 2 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 6 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
7/20/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Robert H. Finch to the President. RE:
California Delegation, Convention and
Campaign. 2 pg.
11
8
7/5/1971
Campaign
Report
RE: "Policy for Selection of the California
Delegation to the 1972 Republican National
Convention. 2 pg.
11
8
7/13/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Thomas C. Reed to the Delegation
Organizing Committee. RE: The selection
process that will take place at the upcoming
meeting of the Organizing Committee. 1 pg.
11
8
7/13/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: Delegation Organizing Committee. RE:
Enclosed surveys that portray the President's
strengths and weaknesses, in an effort to
overcome the challenges facing the 1972
election. 1 pg.
11
8
6/11/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Survey taken in California to gage Nixon's
popularity. (2 questions asked). 2 pgs.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 7 of 8
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
11
8
6/8/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Survey results on the "Presidential Job
Rating and the Issues in California." 2 pgs.
11
8
Campaign
Other Document
Survey of the Black Population, catagorized
by State in 1970. 1 pg.
Monday, October 18, 2010
Page 8 of 8
Presidential Materials Review Board
Review on Contested Documents
Collection: H. R. Haldeman
Box Number: 232
Folder:
G. Strachan-Chron-to HRH only July 16, 1971 Book II
Document
Disposition
1
Return Private/Political Memo, Higby & Strachan to HRH, 7/29/71.
2
Retain
Open
3
Retain
Open
4
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/28/71.
5
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/29/71.
6
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/28/71.
7
Retain
Open
8
Retain
Open
9
Retain
Open
10
Retain
Open
11
Retain
Open
12
Retain
Open
13
Retain
Open
14
Retain
Open
15
Retain
Open
16
Retain
Open
17
Retain
Close
Invasion of Privacy memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/26/71.
18
Retain
Open
19
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/26/71.
20
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/24/71.
21
Retain
Open
22
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachaw to HRH, 7/23/71.
23
Retain
Open
24
Retain
Close
Invasion of Privacy Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/21/71.
Presidential Materials Review Board
Review on Contested Documents
Collection: H. R. Haldeman
Box Number: 232
25
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/21/71.
26
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/20/71.
27
Retain
Open
28
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/20/71
29
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/19/71.
30
Retain
Open
31
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachanto HRH, 7/19/71.
32
Retain
Open
33
Retain
Open
34
Retain
Open
35
Return
Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7/15/71
36
Return
Private/Political Memo { reports, Strachan to HRH, 7/16/71.
Yellow Chron
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 29, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
LARRY HIGBY
GORDON STRACHAN
The request that we run a poll conducted by ORC of
all State Chairmen and members of the National
Committee developed the following:
1) Assuming the poll were to be 25 questions of
which five are open ended, to telephone interview
the 48 State Chairmen and 96 National Committeemen
of the 48 contiguous states would cost $6,000;
2) The reason the cost is so substantial is that
the attempts to reach the individuals will be very
time consuming. O'Neill estimates that only five
actual contacts will be completed each day. The
survey might go quicker, but plans should be
considered on the basis of five weeks to complete;
3) As an alternative mailing, a poll to the Republicans
was considered. However, to get a statistically
accurate survey there would have to be follow up
calls to those who did not respond by mail. The
estimated cost of this type of poll would be $4,000;
?
4) Suggested questions are attached.
Recommendations:
That the $4,000 mail and follow up telephone call poll
be started immediately in light of the time required to
complete the survey.
Agree
Disagree
Comment
That the Republican State Committee members not be inter-
viewed because of the high cost.
Agree
Disagree
Comment
SUGGESTED QUESTIONS
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is
handling his job as President?
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is
handling his job as Vice President?
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the President's handling
of foreign policy?
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the President's initiatives
in the domestic policy area?
5. Do you personally believe that it is a good thing that
President Nixon has decided to visit the Peoples Republic
of China, or isn't it?
6. As you see it, what are some of the good and bad things
about President Nixon visiting with Chinese officials
in Peking?
A. What are some of the good things about it?
B. Now what are some of the bad things about such
a visit?
7. Why do you think President Nixon is capable of conducting
negotiations and relations with Communist China?
8. It has been suggested that 3% of the money which Washington
collects in Federal income tax be returned to the states and
local governments to be used by these states and local
governments as they see fit. Do you favor or oppose this idea?
Favor
Oppose
No Opinion
G-Jan 9-10, 1971
77%
14%
9%
9. Do you think President Nixon has strengthened or weakened
the Republican Party during his 2 1/2 years in office?
10. Which of the following issues do you think will be
the strongest for the President in your state -- Vietnam,
crime prevention, drug abuse action, or the economy?
11. Why do you think
issue will be strong for the
President?
12. Do you consider the Republican Party unified behind the
President or will he face serious challenges in the primaries?
13. Would any of the three leading Democratic contenders --
Muskie, Kennedy and Humphrey -- defeat President Nixon in
your state if the election were held today?
14. Why would President Nixon defeat
Democratic candidate
for President?
15. Do you feel that the Republican Party's financial
situation is stronger or weaker now than it was in 1968?
16. Do you believe that the Democrats will be able to retire
their $9 million debt before November 1972 or don't you?
17. Do you believe that the President's campaigning in your
state on behalf of lesser candidates is helpful or isn't it?
18. Do you approve or disapprove of President Nixon's decision
to work closely with Governors Reagan and Rockefeller?
19. Do you believe that President Nixon's foreign policy
initiatives will assure a "full generation of peace" or don't
you?
20. Do you believe the President's decision to travel to China
will help or hurt his chances to obtain the "youth vote"?
21. Which of the Democratic contenders -- Muskie, Kennedy,
Humphrey, Jackson and Bayh -- will be chosen by the Democrats
at their Convention?
22. Why do you believe
will be chosen by the Democrats?
23. Why does George Wallace continue to run for President?
AS
Sea me
July 26, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR :
LARRY HIGBY
FROM :
H.R. HALDLMAN
We need to run our own poll, conducted by ORC, of
all State Chairmen, maybe also Republican State
Committee Members, and Members of the National
Committee, with some solid questions that will
develop some good answers overall and some good
quotes. In other words, some open ended questions.
We need to counteract the impression that our
Republican leadership is falling into the trap
of taking a negative approach on everything. This
was played up out of the National Committee meeting
by the press. A little intelligent polling of the
overall membership of National Committee should pro-
duce a more positive result and such a poll should
be put together right away.
G prepare possil.
Benham has Rep St-6mm Chaumon
checking members of note Cemm
Phone + Cost:
because might be
to reach.
257s, 5 open
5 perday.
54 St. Oumn
108 (includes Guom)
just Prefers 48 contiguous mail + call states those who 144 don't respond
4000
yellow Chron
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 28, 1971
Administratively Confidential
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Dent Office Memoranda
Dent forwarded copies of thought pieces by Dick Richards,
analyses of states by Tom Davis, RNC field men's reports,
and copies of his memoranda for the President and the
Attorney General.
Richards, Senior Citizens, July 21: For perspective, the 18-
21 age group will probably have 5 million voters while 25
million senior citizens will vote. The potential support for
the President is greater among Senior Citizens because they
respect "the President", support President Nixon's moral values,
and are more conservative except on the social service issues
(social security, medicare, pensions, etc.). May Gallup sta-
tistics on approval and trial heats demonstrate the President's
stronger standing among the senior citizens. To increase this
support they must be convinced that we understand their basic
financial problem of living on a "fixed income" with inflation
and real estate taxes eroding their life style. Senior
citizen's organizations are lobbying for financial advantages
through social security, health, housing, and transportation
benefits. They will vote their pocket book and support Ted
Kennedy or Ed Muskie who have made large promises to appeal to
the senior citizen voter. The senior citizen should be our
highest priority so that support for the President can be de-
livered from the senior citizen's organizations and clubs.
Administration sponsorship and support of legislation coupled
with communication and support through senior citizen's
organizations and publications is essential.
Richards, Kennedy, July 16: Assuming Kennedy will be a candidate
he must maintain his high support among blacks, increase it
among youth, and reduce the President's support by the senior
citizens. The blacks are locked on Kennedy. His pandering
approach to senior citizens is exemplified by his committee
positions on public welfare, human needs, and aging. Kennedy's
nationwide hearings appeal to the elderly as does his attack
on the AMA.
-2-
Richards' independent analysis of the RNC and Citizens approach
to the youth vote emphasizes:
1. Five million 18-21 year old voters are being sought
by registration drives by Common Cause, Frontlash, Incor-
porated, and the National Movement for the Student Vote.
All profess to be bipartisan but indications are that their
focus is anti-Nixon/Republican. The numerous youth polls
should be catalogued by the RNC;
2. Anne Armstrong's programs for the youth vote include:
TARs, who are led capably by Barbie Wells, and the College
Republicans and YRs, which are mere shells with questionable
programs; they will be used to the extent helpful by the
Citizens Young Voters for Nixon, which with Ken Rietz'
direction will pursue off-campus youth.
3. The youth vote is not a bloc; it is reluctant to join
either party; youth does not realize the President is
with them on the issues (Vietnam, pollution, government,
reform); some non-traditional "movement" avoiding the
appearance of using youth is necessary.
Tom Davis ---
Louisiana:
Wallace would win again because of the busing
controversy. The victor in the crowded De-
mocratic primary in December will beat the
Republican gubernatorial candidate in the
general election in February. Ellender or
McKeithen will hold the Senate seat. Hale
Boggs may face another tough race in 1972 in
light of the 1970 Census redistricting. The
Republican Party is weak.
Wyoming:
The President would win but by a slim margin
because of his liberal positions and the
economy. Hansen will be re-elected; no young
Republican has emerged who could beat Democratic
Congressman Teno Roncalio. The Republican
Party is strong.
Florida:
The President would carry Florida in spite of
welfare reform and busing, in the only statewide
race in 1972. Democratic redistricting will
hurt but one to three Congressional seats should
still be gained. The Party should be an asset
since the 1970 fratricide is subsiding.
-3-
Iowa:
Iowa will support the President though the
economy is off and farmers feel neglected.
A gubernatorial primary battle between GOP
Governor Ray and Lt. Governor Jepsen could
split the Party, waste money and cause defeat
in 1972. Senator Miller has a slight lead over
Congressman John Culver. Redistricting will
not cost us any seats in Congress. The Party
needs a White House effort to prevent a guber-
natorial primary.
Colorado:
The President will carry Colorado. The issues,
in order, are the War, crime, the economy and
drug abuse. Allott will be re-elected.
Republican control of the Governorship and
Legislature assures Congressional gains after
redistricting. The Party is very strong.
Connecticut:
The President might carry Connecticut because
Governor Meskill is popular and has made the
Party organization strong. Unemployment is
the big issue against the Republicans. Congres-
sional seats will follow the coat-tails.
California:
Muskie or Jackson would make the race very close.
Unemployment is hurting the Republicans badly.
The Party is useless because of the vacuum left
by State Chairman Put Livermore. Reagan
should be the favorite son. Five new Congres-
sional seats give the Republicans the chance to
carry two to four. McCloskey is highly vulnerable.
Assemblyman Dixon Arnett or former GOP head Jim
Halley could win in the GOP primary, but if
McCloskey runs as a Democrat he will win.
Missouri:
The President is stronger in Missouri than in
1968 though the War and the economy are the
issues hurting him. Democratic Lt. Governor Morris
faces a tough primary against several strong con-
tenders. Danforth would be the strongest can-
didate to be the first GOP Governor in 32 years.
Les King and Kit Bond may challenge Danforth, who
has legal residency problems. The last Democratic
gerrymandered redistricting can't be made worse
for the Republicans so there is a chance of getting
more than one of the current 10 Congressional
seats. The Party is strong and confident.
-4-
RNC Field Men Analyses of States
Charles Baily (Far West) --
Alaska:
After the Party's poor performance in 1970,
personnel changes were made, but with
effect. Senator Stevens should be re-elected.
Arizona:
The new leadership of the Party is strong but
faces the challenge of re-registering all their
members; the financial situation is sound. There
are only two minor statewide races in 1972, though
Tucson and Phoenix have mayoralty races that
could divide Republicans.
Colorado:
The Party is strong; Allott should win the re-
election; and a Republican should pick up the
Congressional seat.
Hawaii:
The Party is weak, though the new State Chairman,
Carla Coray, is improving the situation. Finances
are not a problem because of Randolph Crossley.
The Democrats will remain in control.
Idaho:
Financially the Party is hurting; it is impossible
to assess other indications of Party strength.
Senator Jordan and the two Republican Congressmen
will be re-elected.
Montana: Financial problems and new leadership make deter-
mination of Party strength difficult. Republican
Attorney General Woodahl would be the best candidate
against vulnerable Senator Metcalf. Republican
Congressman Dick Shoup faces a real fight. Demo-
cratic Governor Forrest Anderson could be defeated
by Jim Lucas or "Doc" Keller.
Nevada: Organizational and financial disaster at the state
level is partially compensated for by strong
county organizations in Clark and Washoe. Senator
Bible and Congressman Bearing (sic) face no
opposition.
New Mexico: Finance Chairman George McKenna should be replaced
because the Party is in debt with no plan for re-
payment or development of a war chest. Senator
Anderson may resign so that the Democratic Governor
-5-
may appoint a candidate who can run in 1972 as
an incumbent. The Republicans will have too
many candidates to wage an effective general
election campaign for the Senate seat available
in 1972. There is no chance of capturing
another House seat.
Oregon: The Birchers control 12 counties in Oregon that
the new state leadership is trying to isolate.
The financial situation is stable. Senator
Hatfield will be opposed in the primary.
Utah: The new State Chairman, Kent Shearer, is a good
organizational politician but "could have problems
and become ineffective due to excessive alcoholic
comsumption." Small donors keep the Party in
the black. If Democratic Governor Calvin Rampton
seeks an unprecedented third term he will win;
the President should carry Utah in spite of
Rampton's victory.
Washington: The financial condition is tight but the Party
organization excellent. Republican Governor
Dan Evans should be re-elected.
Wyoming:
Small contributors support the strong Party.
Senator Hansen will be re-elected and might
even help defeat Democratic Congressman Roncalio.
A.J. Miller, Jr. (Midwest) --
Illinois:
The economy, farm attitude and the war would
prevent the President from receiving more than 45%
of the vote; Ogilvie oriented leaders instead of
Party politicians dominate the scene; there is
no debt but fund raising is not very effective.
Percy is unbeatable; the Congressional seats are
stable. Ogilvie's chances for re-election have
improved recently.
Iowa:
The President would win by a narrow margin. There
is no debt but current income is at 10% of normal
fund raising. The Party is strong. Senator Miller
should defeat Kennedy's candidate, Congressman John
Culver. A gubernatorial Republican primary fight
could mean Democratic victory in November.
-6-
Kansas:
A 5% margin of victory for the President is
predicted. He has support on the War but less
among farmers. The Party organization is nothing
but has a $30,000 debt. Senator Pearson is said
to have a 6% margin over any opposition, including
Governor Docking, who will seek a fourth term
if victory over Pearson does not seem probable.
Minnesota:
The President would receive 45% to 47% against
Muskie or Kennedy and 40% against Humphrey.
Unemployment, the War, and the farm attitude are
the issues against the Republicans. Although
there is no debt, new State Chairman Dave Krogseny
faces low cash flow and drastic staff reductions.
Senator Mondale cannot be defeated though Douglas
Head might challenge him.
E. Allen Parker (New England) --
Connecticut:
The President would carry Connecticut in light
of Governor Meskill's and Senator Weicker's
actions. Former Meskill campaign workers now
head the debt-free Party and with no other
statewide races in 1972 the President's position
is strengthened.
Maine:
If Muskie is not the candidate the President
could carry Maine. The Party is in the black and
led well by a young chairman. Senator Smith is
the other statewide race in 1972 but is expected
to win over primary and general election challengers.
Massachusetts:
The President will lose but Senator Brooke will
win because of ideological divisions within the
weak Republican Party.
New Hampshire:
The Republican Party is split between pro and
anti Governor Peterson people. However, the Pres-
ident is strongly supported. The Party's finances
are marginal. Both Parties will have hard fought
primaries for the Governor and Senate spots open
in 1972.
-7-
Rhode Island:
Chafee is ahead of Pell for the Senate seat and
De Simone is ahead of Licht for Governor. Still,
the President is not strong in Rhode Island
because of the War issue. Republican Party leader-
ship is strong and the finances are adequate.
Vermont:
The victories by Governor Davis and Senator Prouty
have strengthened the President's favorable po-
sition. State Chairman Merriman is rumored to
be joining the President's campaign but there
are other strong leaders though the Party is in
debt. Governor Davis is not expected to run
for re-election and there will be a primary
fight.
Paul Russo (East Central States) --
Arkansas:
The Party is split between Rockefeller and State
Chairman Bernard. The President needs a
Citizens head acceptable to both. Governor
Bumpers and Senator McClellan are both up for re-
election in 1972.
Indiana:
Governor Whitcomb has cut off funds and patronage
from State Chairman Snyder, who is backed by
Keith Bulen. Snyder is strong organizationally
and needs help.
Kentucky:
Governor Nunn may seek Senator Cooper's seat;
Nunn supports Emberton to replace him as Governor.
The Party is strong with sound finances.
Michigan:
State Chairman McLaughlin is a good youth oriented
state leader. He is faced with debt and the possibil-
ity that the best people to work for the President
will be drawn to Senator Griffin's campaign.
Mississippi:
State Chairman Reed is a strong leader of a Party
without debt. The Democratic gubernatorial primary
between Charles Evers and Lt. Governor Sullivan
in August may result in support for the President
in 1972. Senator Eastland's term expires in 1972.
Ohio:
State Chairman Andrews is faced with a substantial
debt and heretofore unsuccessful attempts by
Taft to replace him. Ray Bliss is helping
Andrews raise funds.
-8-
Tennessee:
The Party is getting stronger though there is
some debt. Senator Baker's popularity is
stimulating interest in the 1972 Campaign.
West Virginia:
Republican Governor Arch Moore is the only source
of Republican strength. He can help the President.
Moore. may seek Senator Randolph's seat in 1972.
The Party is weak and in debt.
Mike Scanlon (Eastern States) --
Delaware:
State Chairman Gene Bunting heads a strong Party
without debt. Governor Peterson will seek re-
election in 1972. Senator Caleb Boggs may seek
re-election. If he does not, Congressman du Pont
or Mayor Haskell will seek the seat.
Florida:
State Chairman L.E. (Tommy) Thomas has a new
strong staff and a sound financial situation.
There are no statewide races in 1972 though
three new Congressional seats will be sought.
The President is strongly supported by the Repub-
licans.
Georgia:
State Chairman Robert Shaw and Finance Chairman
Tom Lowe are working against a substantial debt
while trying to make the Republicans a viable
second Party. Senator Gambrell, who was appointed
to Russell's seat is up in 1972.
Maryland:
State Chairman Lankler is faced with a $40,000
debt though the amount is being reduced. There
are no statewide races in 1972.
New Jersey:
Governor Cahill and State Chairman John Dimon
head a strong, debt free Party. Senator Case is
expected to win re-election.
New York:
State Chairman Lanigan heads the finest Republican
organization in the country and is reducing the
debt from the Governors race. There are no state-
wide races in 1972.
-9-
North Carolina:
State Chairman Houlshouser will resign so that
he can seek the Governorship, where he may be
opposed by Congressman Broyhill. The Party's
debt is being reduced.
Pennsylvania:
The Party has a $300,000 debt which prompted
Martin Hamberger of Senator Scott's staff to
try to oust State Chairman Jones. He failed.
Scott retains control statewide. There are no
statewide races in 1972.
South Carolina:
State Chairman Powell is overshadowed by Senator
Thurmond and Harry Dent. Thurmond's re-election
bid will drain the Party of workers and further
widen the split.
Virginia:
Governor Holton and State Chairman French run a
"good" Party that has a small debt. Senator
Spong is expected to run for re-election.
Mike Woodsen --
California:
The "Livermore Vacuum" is spending money exclusively
on computer time for re-apportionment. The Los
Angeles County Republicans also have no money.
McCloskey would be defeated in the Republican
primary though would win as a Democrat. "The
1974 Republican stars must be held at bay until
after the November election."
Dent's Memorandum for the President on Southern Politics: Dent re-
drafted his memorandum for the President which, according
to the Staff Secretary, has been with the President for
one month. Basically, Dent summarizes his work with
Southern GOP leaders, media, citizens, college students,
and blacks. Dent believes Wallace will run. Attempts to
discredit Wallace in Alabama are progressing. A Readers
Digest article on the "President and the New South" and
more Southern appointments are urged. The memorandum
which asked for decisions on continuing the Southern
strategy of "give the South equal treatment" and whether
Connally can do fund raisers, has not been returned by
the President.
In two memoranda for the Attorney General, Dent suggests:
1. A mailing of Christmas cards by the President to the
State Chairmen and 100 top party leaders in each state;
-10-
2. That Louie Donaldson, a city councilman in
Memphis, be the Chairman of our Primary Campaign
in Tennessee. Donaldson apparently has the support
of Timmons from the Brock Camp and Lamar Alexander
from the Baker and Dunn camps.
July 29, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Fuller & Smith & Ross Inc.
Versus "House Agency"
Arthur Duram offered his agency's services in 1972. He
believes they served well in 1968 and so was discouraged
to hear that a "house agency" may be used in 1972.
A check with Magruder about where Duram obtained his
information produced his July 26 response with the
Advertising Age article. Magruder believes the "house
agency" story leaked from his Advertising Task Force
meeting with senior White House Staff people.
A suggested reply to Arthur Duram is attached.
GS:1m
July 29, 1971
Dear Art:
The July 19 column in Advertising Age which
led to your July 20 letter is typical of
the type of information that floats out of
Washington on occasion. Jeb Magruder is
talking to many advertising people about
different approaches to the Campaign.
However, all discussions at this stage are
preliminary. No final decisions have been
made.
If the President decides to seek re-election,
your service in 1968 and potential for 1972
will be given very careful consideration.
with best wishes,
Sincerely,
B.R. Haldeman
Assistant to the President
Mr. Arthur E. Duram
President
Fuller to Smith a Ross Inc.
666 Fifth Avenue
New York, N.Y. 10019
yellow Chron
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Administratively Confidential
July 28, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
AP Wire Story on Politics
To implement your request to find out who gave Mears the
information for his AP wire story in Saturday's News Summary,
low key conversations were held individually with Harry Dent,
Lyn Nofziger, Jeb Magruder, and Rob Odle. To summarize:
Harry Dent -- "I didn't talk to Mears and do not know
who did, but my guess is that it was some know-
ledgeable person at the RNC because the RNC people
do not like the Citizens Committee. The concluding
remark 'Besides,' (said the Republican) 'we usually
get caught and the Democrats don't' sounds like a
Nofzigerism to me. I doubt that Magruder, Flemming
or Odle as the Citizens representatives would talk
because they would be fully aware of the Attorney
General's displeasure. With 37 people from the RNC
in Denver and all of the National Committee members.
drinking and bigshotting with the press constantly
around, it is amazing more information is not out.
Lyn Nofziger -- "Neither I nor Tom Evans talked with
Mears, but it was someone here at the RNC. I don't
squeal or spy and disclose the name. However, at
the RNC general staff meeting today Evans will say
'no more of this crap' (disclosing too much to
reporters). The Mears story is a composite of
several interviews which form a wrap up political
story.
Jeb Magruder -- "Mears talked with several people in
Denver including Nofziger, Dent, Dole, and McWhorter.
Mears probably did not talk with Flemming. The
information in the story about the Campaign being
in the planning stage is from me (Magruder). Similarly
the line about McCloskey 'we do not feel he is a
serious threat' is also from me (Magruder). This
information was given because it is the standard line
and changed the Mears story from a negative one about
how Citizens forced San Diego on the RNC."
-2-
Rob Odle -- "Charlie McWhorter definitely talked with Mears.
Harry Dent did not talk with Mears to the best of my
knowledge. Harry Flemming definitely did not talk to
Mears because he was in his suite constantly meeting
with the 50 State Chairmen. I doubt that Nofziger of
the 37 from the RNC was the one who talked to Mears.
Van Shumway probably talked to Mears; it would be odd if
he didn't because they are friends. Jeb Magruder de-
finitely talked with Mears in order to turn the thrust
of his story from 'Citizens is forcing San Diego down
the RNC's throat' to a more positive story. "
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 26, 1971
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM FOR:
GORDON STRACHAN
FROM:
L. HIGBY L
SUBJECT:
Action Item
Bob asked that we find out by the end of today who was
talking to Mears over at the Committee.
nop - not nol; not Evans either; wont this squeel or opy; but
odle - J8m means to turn story around from S.D. "lits down forcing
- most from RNC, but also RNC; a wrap up combined polatoy
at genl staff nty no more of codp;
Charlie mewhorter definitely
RNC Droat"
Dent did not
- 37 RNC people there but not Lyn
nothing to him politically
- "pwbal Van, but odd if be didn't"
- - Flemming did not talls to him bed
Rovalc w/ J8m
in 51 different meetings ut st Omn
Dent - didn't talk to means + doesn't know
- thinds someone Rel lit's or knowledgeable RNC
- not at end
19
One key message: The curront operation, Citizens
for the Re-election of the President, will one day
become Nixon's formal campaign organization.
At that point, RN's campaign manager will take
over as director. Republican sources expect
AG Mitchell to fill that role again in 1972. Mitchell
and Haldeman were said to have been closely ad-
vised of the current political operation. "We have
a close relationship with all of the senior people
at the White House, 11 the source said. "What
we're doing is trying to figure out what the options
are. We're looking at what we can do, rather than
what we will do. 11 The President's political drafts-
men see three possible courses: Let the primaries
go by with no campaign, enter stand-in candidates,
or have the President do some campaigning. They
are wary, on the basis of past political performances,
of stand-in campaigns. Their current planning,
subject to RN's decision later, would point toward
my
know
active campaigning, with or without the overt entry
of RN. The source said primary election planning
would be based on political impact looking toward
the Nov. 7 election, not on the challenge of
McCloskey. "We do not feel he is a serious threat, 11
the source said. The source said RN planners
would be far more concerned with a challenge from
the conservative wing of the party, but do not
anticipate any. He said the kind of operation
now under way for RN has been conducted in the
past, by Dem Admin's inside the WH but RN
considered that inappropriate. "Besides, 11 the
Republican said, "we usually get caught and the
Democrats don't. 11 (Mears, AP)
"Don't look for another childrens' crusade in
1972, 11 said N. Hampshire GOP State Chairman
Whelan. "There are no riots, burning or
bombing. The mood was changed, and this is to
Nixon's advantage. He is always population in
New Hampshire. 11 "The youth vote will not be a
factor, 11 he said. "Let's face it, only a small
percentage in the 21-26 age group even bother
to register. 11 With a minimum of fanfare, and
no visible support from state political chieftains,
McCloskev has talked informally with groups of
18
VICE PRESIDENT
VP Agnew, for the third time on his current
world trip, demonstrated that one of the best
ways for him to get public attention is by
deliberately throwing some "red meat" to the
press. The VP has said he sometimes does this
to attract attention and last Saturday did it again
with an attack on US black leadership, which he
contrasted unfavorably with the strongman leaders
of Ethiopia, Kenya and the Congo. Earlier on
the trip, the Veep twice fired off blasts at familiar
targets - the media and in doing so drew more
attention than he has with his diplomatic efforts
so far in eight Asian and African nations. In
both cases, the attacks came at a time when press
criticism was mounting on different aspects of
his trip.
*
GOP
The RNC on a rare roll call vote voted
119-12 to hold the 1972 National Convention in
San Diego, Calif. GOP leaders including
Rockefeller and Goldwater addressed the
Committee, praising RN. Rockefeller lauded
RN for his effort in "bringing to an end the long
war which has torn the very fiber of our country
as never before in history. 11
RN's re-election campaign already is being shaped,
and one of the men involved in the off-stage planning
said it may include major efforts to roll up the
vote in key Republican presidential primaries.
Nixon men are at work opening their lines and
assessing the political situation in conferences
with Republican state chairmen and national
committee members. "We're showing the flag, "
an Admin source said. In the RN campaign buildup,
Harry Flemming is conferring privately with the
state party leaders, asking for advice and political
assessments, and assuring them that the regular
GOP organizations will not be undercut in 1972.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
FROM:
MORT ALLIN
TO:
Gardon Strong
FYI
1
2011
r
eb23
Rewillicans 470, 2 taxes 700
By
PC
riter
- President S re-election campaign alread
is being shared, and one of the meL involved in the off-stage
planning said it may include major efforts to roll up
the vote in key Fepublican presidential pricaries.
Mixon men are at work opening their lines and assessing the
political situation in conferences with Republican state chairmen
and national committee members.
We're showing the flas, " an admini rati source said
The Pepublican National Committee itas expected to choose today
between San Iiego and ...1 ami beach as the site for the 1972
convention at which Lixon presumably will be nominated for
E second term.
Also on the agenda: action on party reform measures Sen.
Robert Dole of Kansas, the party chairman, said that was
expected to include a recommendation that there be numeri cal
equity for blacks, other minoriti es and cung voters in the
presidential nominating ielegations. In addition, the party
was expected to urje that women make up half the delegations.
But those recommendaticns yould not be binding on the state
parties, as are the representation reforms enacted by the Democratic
ational Committee.
Ir. the HR campai n buildup, Harry Plemming formerly
a srecial assistant to the ?resident. is conferring privately
with the state party leaders, asking for advice and political
assessments, and assuring them that the regular JCP organizations
vill not be undercut in 1372.
Cre key message: the current operation, Citizens for the Fe- election
of the President, will one day become Mixon's formal campaign
organization.
At that point, it's campaign manager "ill take over as
director. llana lest
CS
and Republican sources expect him to fill that role
again in 1972.
witchell and dential assi start Pobert laldeman were
said to have been closely advised of the current political
operation.
Te have a close relationship with all of the senior people
at the Thite Jouse, " the source said.
That we're doing Es
trying to fi ure out what the octions are. e're looking at
what we can do, rather than what we willoo.'
Among the outions are the presidential ori aries, with at
least 23 or the 1072 schedule that begins March 7 in New Hampshire.
Mixen's name will automatically CC on the ballot in a half-dozen
states under state laws which list all prospective nominees
who do not disavov candidacy.
The President's political draftsmen see three possible courses:
Let the primaries go by with no campaign, enter stand-in
candidates, MORE or have the President do some campaigning.
ff-ob234aed july 23
a012
r vlby lob23
DELVER take 2 Republicans Bjt A011; campaigning. 230
They are wary, on the basis of past political performances,
of stand-in campaigns. 1. which a state colitical leader would
50 on the ballot as ..ixon' 3 reuresentative.
Their current planning, subject to Does decision later,
would point toward active campaigning, with or without the
overt entry of the Rist.dent their option planning
does not indicate vist states would be likely targets, but
the first primar, that "111 list all candidates will be in
Florida March 14.
The administ ration source said primary election planning would
be based on political impact looking toward the LOV. 7 election,
not or the challenge to Liner of Rem Paul McCloskey of
California, who has seld i.e 11 enter several privari
"e do not feel he is 2 serious threat, " the source said.
"It youl. not seem he is making much progress in the Republican
prity at this time.
The source said Name planners would le far more concerned
with a challenge from the conservative wins of the party, but
do not anticipate any.
ne aid the kind of operation now under way for RM has been
conducted in the past, by Democratic administ retions, inside
the The Lostsle but RM considered that inappropriate.
besides, the Fecubli can said, ** ve usually get caught
and the Democrats don't.''
cb227aed july 25
(mears;AP)x x
J8m means several people
at conventions
not Dent, Dole,
J8m probal not
to Flemming
and me wherter
"planning info
an 58m
insteal of stery
on lubbing over
head on site
- "We do not bee he is
a serious theat"- 58m
- end - get cought -
anyone.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Administratively Confidential
July 28, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
AP Wire Story on Politics
To implement your request to find out who gave Mears the
information for his AP wire story in Saturday's News Summary,
low key conversations were held individually with Harry Dent,
Lyn Nofziger, Jeb Magruder, and Rob Odle. To summarize:
Harry Dent -- "I didn't talk to Mears and do not know
who did, but my guess is that it was some know-
ledgeable person at the RNC because the RNC people
do not like the Citizens Committee. The concluding
remark 'Besides, (said the Republican) 'we usually
get caught and the Democrats don't' sounds like a
Nofzigerism to me. I doubt that Magruder, Flemming
or Odle as the Citizens representatives would talk
because they would be fully aware of the Attorney
General's displeasure. With 37 people from the RNC
in Denver and all of the National Committee members
drinking and bigshotting with the press constantly
around, it is amazing more information is not out."
Lyn Nofziger -- "Neither I nor Tom Evans talked with
Mears, but it was someone here at the RNC. I don't
squeal or spy and disclose the name. However, at
the RNC general staff meeting today Evans will say
'no more of this crap' (disclosing too much to
reporters). The Mears story is a composite of
several interviews which form a wrap up political
story.
"
Jeb Magruder -- "Mears talked with several people in
Denver including Nofziger, Dent, Dole, and McWhorter.
Mears probably did not talk with Flemming. The
information in the story about the Campaign being
in the planning stage is from me (Magruder). Similarly
the line about McCloskey 'we do not feel he is a
serious threat' is also from me (Magruder). This
information was given because it is the standard line
and changed the Mears story from a negative one about
how Citizens forced San Diego on the RNC."
-2-
Rob Odle -- "Charlie McWhorter definitely talked with Mears.
Harry Dent did not talk with Mears to the best of my
knowledge. Harry Flemming definitely did not talk to
Mears because he was in his suite constantly meeting
with the 50 State Chairmen. I doubt that Nofziger of
the 37 from the RNC was the one who talked to Mears.
Van Shumway probably talked to Mears; it would be odd if
he didn't because they are friends. Jeb Magruder de-
finitely talked with Mears in order to turn the thrust
of his story from 'Citizens is forcing San Diego down
the RNC's throat' to a more positive story."
Pl
July 26, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
ORC Popularity Parcentages
for the June 5-6, June 21,
and July 20-21 Surveys
Benham's explanation of the statistical variations among
the three surveys is attached.
Discussion with Benham and O'Neill about the Republican,
Democrat and Independent demographics developed the following
points:
1) There is a group of "unclassifieds" that could
be shown below the Republican, Democrat, and
Independent category. In the June 5-6 survey
the weighted number of "unclassifieds" was 117,
in the June 21 survey it was 40, and in the
July 20-21 survey it was 98;
2) The approval of the President by this unclassified
group in the June 5-6 survey was 61% (71 individuals);
in the June 21 survey it was 42% (17 individuals)
and in the July 20-21 survey it was 47% (45 individuals);
3) Without the "unclassifieds" in any of the three
surveys, the President's popularity would have
been 48% in the June 5-6 survey, 52% in the June
21 survey, and 49.6% in the July 20-21 survey.
The net result is that the highly unstable group of "unclas-
sifieds" shifted their approval of the President from 61%
in the June 5-6 survey to 42% in the July 20-21 survey. This
explains the constant approval at 54% in spite of the increase
in the approval by the Republicans from 73% to 80% and the
Democrats from 38% to 43% between the June 5-6 survey and
the June 21 survey. The 2% drop by Independents and the
19% drop by "unclassifieds" accounts for the difference.
GS:1m
ADMINISTRATIVELY
July 24, 1971
CONFIDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
China Trip Announcement Poll
July 20-21, 1971
Respondents: 1002
You asked for three additional items on the China Trip
Announcement Poll:
1. The demographic comparison of the approve/disapprove of
the President for the last two polls is attached at Tab A.
2. The Republican, Democrat, Independent demographic
information on the detailed statistics tables reflects
the answer to question 19: "In politics as of today,
do you consider yourself a Democrat, Republican,
Independent, or something else?" The charts then do
not include "deaners", which are determined by asking those
who answer question 19 with "Independent or something
else": "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic
Party or more toward the Republican Party?"
The reasons for not including leaners are: 1) to increase
the sample; and Statistical accuracy of the Independent
category; and 2) to accurately seflect the population
dividivision of Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.
The statistical significance of the demographic groups
interviewed in the China Trip Announcement Poll is
attached at Tab B. Partial information about 1968
voter participation is also shown. This information will
be sent regularly by ORC.
Discussion with Harry O'Neill at ORC developed the
suggested that we drop total/lean conservative distinction
also. The new tables will follow your suggestion of
yesterday that "Republican" not include the "lean
Republican". "Leaners" would appear on the tables,
however. The ideological (conservative/liberal) informa-
tion will also have similar 5-way split.
2
3. ORC's only explanation for the consistent 4-5
point difference between Gallup's field polls and
the ORC telephone polls is that people with tele-
phones are generally wealthier and better educated
and therefore more inclined to support the President.
ORC advises against a standard 4-5 point compensation
factor.
GS:dg
ESTION :
89032
JULY 20-21, 1971
1002
Ny APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE WAY RICHARD NIXON IS
HIS JOB AS PRESIDENT
10000
PERCENTAGE
WNW
WMT
DISAP
3.
and
OPENT
BASE
UNWTO
WTD
1.6/21
6/5
62
6/21
E,
TOTAL PUBLIC
1002
1022
54
54
54'
and
32
480
495
508
513
54
viu
0101
53
55
U.S.
54
54
about
ww
36
29
20 YEARS OF AGE
73
75
42
48'
-29 YEARS
214
188
-49 YEARS
416
353
NUIN
UIUI.D
46.
FRAM
NNNES
42
ONE
YEARS AND OVER
294
401
57
GRADE OR LESS
87
243
47
61
CORGOL INCOMPLETE
144
163
SCHOOL GRADUATE
355
GUILD
53
364
Driver
enveror
50
ODOH
waw
come
SWNN
1-110000
CULLEGE
407
247
59
50
100 FAMILIES
CAUNION FAMILIES
280
22%
5%
48
58
000
Visa
vary
MY
a
899
855
99
INN
00.00
56
CANNITE
133
43
with
I
::
ww
OF
SIGNATURE
231
242
vio
60
51
Viti
vity
and
JACK $5,000 INCOME
153
231
100 $15,000
523
507
and
www
$18,000
230
178
56
vivion
ave
GUID
61
}
wors
WNW
-1040
REGISTERED
828
843
55
CISTER
132
127
DISTARED WILL REGISTER
service
54
960
970
55
invino
women
United
LIGISTER
42
52
46
213
218
80
80
CORAT
343
394
36
SPENDENT
348
312
61
UNDOO
56
owo
vivial
world
N+W
NAH
27
404
TOTAL CONSERVATIVE
432-
433
62
CONSERVATIVE
218
228
LIBERAL
368
LIBERAL
Gowerw
DUIVIGION
61
383-
53
171
170
unsura
sawor
WWWNN
UNWW sware NAMNN was 2000 were (all - - 1.51 :- will 0
SETWEEN
125-
136
-59
XSN VOTERS
410
413
74
VOTERS
223
238
31
ACE VOTERS
66
64
35
DUIN
word
RS
223
231
51
244
240
48.46
38
UNITED
294
299
314
314
U.U.U.S.
0400.00
JUIS
58
1010 00 M
USON
NNWW
anon
WNW
00-18-19
150
170
57
PLAIOR
RESEARCH CORPORATION
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE OF SURVEY RESULTS
Approximate Sampling Tolerances for a Survey
Number of
Percentage at or Near These Levels
1968
Voting
Stub
Interviews
10%
20%
30%
40%
Partic-
Item
(Unweighted)
or 90%
or 80%
or 70%
or 60%
50%
ipation
Total public
1002
2
3
4
4
4
67.8
Men
480
3
4
5
5
6
69.8
Women
508
3
4
5
5
5
66.0
18 - 20 years of age
73
9
11
13
14
14
33.3*
21 - 29 years
214
5
7
8
8
8
57.1
30 - 49 years
416
4
5
6
6
6
70.0
50 years and over
294
4
6
7
7
7
71.3
8th grade or less
87
8
11
12
13
13
54.5
High school incomplete
144
6
8
9
10
10
61.3
High school graduate
359
4
5
6
6
6
72.5
Some college
407
4
5
6
6
6
81.2
Union families
280
4
6
7
7
7
Nonunion families
722
3
4
4
4
5
White
899
2
3
4
4
4
69.1
Nonwhite
99
7
10
11
12
12
56.2
Protestant
532
3
4
5
5
5
Catholic
261
5
6
7
7
8
Under $5,000 income
158
6
8
9
10
10
56.0
$5,000 - $15,000
523
3
4
5
5
5
72.0
Over $15,000
230
5
6
7
8
8
84.1
Now registered
828
3
3
4
4
4
91.2
Will register
132
6
9
10
10
11
Registered or
will register
960
2
3
4
4
4
Won't register
42
11
15
17
19
19
"
Republican
213
5
7
8
8
8
Democrat
343
4
5
6
6
7
Independent
348
4
5
6
6
7
904
*The 18 - 20 years of age category includes only persons 18 to 20 years old in Georgia and
Kentucky, 19 and 20 years old in Alaska, and 20 years old in Hawaii. The other age grouping
are extrapolations from census data.
#
Data for these income groups are "primary family" income.
--2
Approximate Sampling Tolerances for a Survey
1968
Number of
Percentage at or Near These Levels
Votin
Stub
Interviews
10%
20%
30%
40%
Parti
Item
(Unweighted)
or 90%
or 80%
or 70%
or 60%
50%
ipati
=
Total conservative
434
4
5
5
6
6
Lean conservative
218
5
7
8
8
8
Total liberal
383
4
5
6
6
6
Lean liberal
171
6
7
9
9
9
In between
125
7
9
10
11
11
13 31
Nixon voters
410
4
5
6
6
6
Humphrey voters
223
5
7
8
8
8
Wallace voters
66
9
12
14
15
15
Nonvoters
223
5
7
8
8
8
East
244
5
6
7
8
8
71.0°
Midwest
294
4
6
7
7
7
71.0
South
314
4
6
6
7
7
60.1
West
150
6
8
9
10
10
71.0
Aware Nixon China
announcement
880
2
3
4
4
4
Not aware
122
7
9
10
11
11
Approve Nixon handling
job
559
3
4
5
5
5
Disapprove Nixon hand-
ling job
314
4
6
6
7
7
No opinion
129
6
9
10
11
11
Admit Communist China
to U.N.
454
3
5
5
6
6
Do not admit
371
4
5
6
6
6
No opinion
177
6
7
8
9
9
*Census data show only the average voting participation for East, Midwest, and West
combined (71.0%) Voting participation data for the South are computed separately.
NOTE: In those cases where subgroups do not add to the total, it is because respondents
refused to answer the question or interviewer could not determine accurate reply.
July 23, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Harris Presidential
Popularity Releases
A check with Chuck Colson's office and the RNC as the two
recipients of all Harris Polls indicates that no Harris
Presidential Popularity Poll was released between May 13
and July 8. The Harris July 8 release gives the monthly
trend data back to June 1969 and no Presidential popularity
figures are shown between the May 13 and July 8 release
dates.
If Harris conducted a poll within this time frame he has
not made the information public, nor has he given the
results to Colson.
GS:1m
Administratively Confidential
July 21, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
RNC Convention
Magruder called the Attorney General last night to
report on the Dole meeting with the President about
the RNC Convention site. Magruder's source of
information was Timmons, who was overly concerned
that San Diego might not be selected.
The Attorney General told Magruder that: "I want
it assured that the Convention is to be in San
Diego. I want Haldeman to make sure Dole doesn't
do anything other than what he is instructed to do
Iselect San Diego).' Of course your memorandum for
the President's file, follwoing the Dole meeting,
indicates that Dole will assure the selection of
San Diego. Therefore, it is probably unnecessary
for you to call Dole and review a decision which
has already been reached.
The attached wire story indicates that Chicago with-
drew its bid for the RNC Convention.
On a related subject, Timmons called concerning
whether or not the Convention is to be two or three
days long. In Timmon's June 26 memorandum one of
the decisions presented to you and the Attorney General
was whether or not the Convention was to last three days.
No decision has been relayed to Timmons. Since there must
be five sessions, Timmons has been discussing with San
Diego a three day Convention because of the hotel room
commitment problems.
Question: Has a decision been reached on whether the
Convention is to be two or three days in length?
Two days:
Three days:
No decision, raise with the Attorney General:
-2-
x
You received a list yesterday of the Pre-Convention
Committees. Dole accepted all of them except that
Kendall Garff of Utah has replaced L.E. Thomas of
Florida as Chairman of the Subcommittee on Trans-
portation.
GS:1m
July 20, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Letters Offering Assistance
to Re-Elect the President
Approximately once a week you receive a letter offering
help to re-elect the President. A sample is attached at
Tab A.
To date, we have been forwarding them to the Citizens for
the Re-Election of the President for response. These letters
on Citizens stationery refer to you by name to indicate the
individualss letter is being answered (sample attached at
Tab B). The question is whether you want to have the
Citizens for the Re-Election of the President answering
campaign mail addressed to you. The alternative is to
send a standarized response on White House stationery
which indicates that the request has been forwarded to
Citizens. A suggested draft is attached at Tab C.
Continue current practice of having Citizens answer
letters addressed to you.
Send standard response on White House stationery.
Other.
Attachments
GS:elr
28 north Grauge Street
medford, oregon 97501
July 71 1971
Wr, H.R. Italderman
assistant to President niyon
the White House
Washington,Dr.C.
Dear mr. Halderiniaw
and writing you because you are a
ahristian Scientist which is the Church L attend
and hope to affiliates with that church again:
also it seems to me its time ALL laid some
ground work at gross roots for mr. mixon's
be privileged as a professional campanyne
we nomivation and re-election. Wonder if > may
in the effort needed for his continuation
of the work Respectfully Do nably proformed by Line to date ?
RaymondEr Ballasa
Claim
Deliper no
B
July 16, 1971
Dear Mr. Ballard:
Mr. Haldeman has asked us to thank you for your kind letter
of July 7 offering to be of assistance in the campaign to
re-elect the President.
We are indeed grateful for your kind offer to help, and ap-
preciate your taking the time to write. At this particular
point in time we are just beginning to plan our activities
in the area in which you have expressed an interest and
develop our thinking as to what should be done in the forth-
coming campaign. I would like to put your name in an active
file, however, so that your offer of assistance can be acted
upon at the appropriate time.
In the meantime, we hope you will continue your active support
for and interest in the President's re-election which is so
vitally important to a successful campaign.
With Mr. Haldeman's best wishes,
Sincerely,
Robert C. Odle, Jr.
Mr. Raymond E. Ballard
28 North Orange Street
Medford, Oregon 97501
bcc: Mr. Gordon C. Strachan w/attachment 7/20/7/
ODLE CHRON.
ODLE RESUMES: CITIZENS
C
DRAFT
Dear
:
Mr. Haldeman asked me to thank you for
your kind letter of
offering to
help re-elect the President.
He has requested that your letter be
forwarded to the Citizens Committee for
the Re-Election of the President which,
as the title states, is a group of
citizens like yourself who have begun
thinking about and planning for the
campaign.
You should be hearing from them in the
near future. Thanks again for your
offer of support.
Sincerely,
Gordon Strachan
Staff Assistant
to H. R. Haldeman
Name
Address
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
6.5
TO: Knuce
Date: 7/19
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
attached is a sample
letter received
of the type of
by those who write
to H and offer
help in the
0.57 STARLEY
campaign SHAND
Does Commit 5' it's
July 16, 1971
Dear Mr. Ballard:
Mr. Haldeman has asked us to thank you for your kind letter
of July 7 offering to be of assistance in the campaign to
re-elect the President.
We are indeed grateful for your kind offer to help, and ap-
preciate your taking the time to write. At this particular
point in time we are just beginning to plan our activities
in the area in which you have expressed an interest and
develop our thinking as to what should be done in the forth-
coming campaign. I would like to put your name in an active
file, however, so that your offer of assistance can be acted
upon at the appropriate time.
In the meantime, we hope you will continue your active support
for and interest in the President's re-election which is so
vitally important to a successful campaign.
With Mr. Haldeman's best wishes,
Sincerely,
Robert c. odle, Jr.
Mr. Raymond E. Ballard
28 North Orange Street
Medford, Oregon 97501
bcc: Mr. Gordon C. Strachan
July 20, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Finch Memorandum for The
President on California
Delegation, Convention,
and Campaign
Finch acquired some of the information relayed to you in
California by a memorandum from Leonard Firestone (Attached
at Tab A).
Finch's interpretation of this information and a DMI telephone
poll raise the following points (original memorandum attached
at Tab B):
1) The selection of the California delegation represents
a power play by Reagan's people (Tom Reed, Holmes
Tuttle, and Bob Walker, and Eleanor Ring). It is
Finch's view that the delegation will not help carry
California in November; further that delegation may
raise money which will not go to the campaign.
2) Authority is requested to recommend to Mitchell these
steps:
(a). Reed should submit suggested delegates to
Firestone for review and recommendation to the
Attorney General;
(b). An agreement about funds should be reached
soon;
(c). No public announcements in August about delegate
selection should be made; "records" should not be
kept by Reed; future polls in California should be
controlled by the campaign.
Recommendation:
That Finch's memorandum be forwarded to the Attorney General
with a notation that the President did not see.
Approve
Disapprove
Comment
GS:elr
G's
7/20 per file
H saw
in cal
LKF Notes on Meeting
9:00 AM - Thursday, July 8, 1971
Holmes Tuttle residence, Los Angeles
attended by
Leonard Firestone
Holmes Tuttle
Tom Reed
Wm. French Smith
After some small talk and pleasant chatter, Tom Reed produced the
attached memorandum, which we all went over, discussing various
points.
At the outset, Reed informed the group that the program outlined in
the memorandum has been discussed with and was approved by the
Attorney General in Washington, D.C. on June 29, 1971, as noted
at the end of the memorandum.
Reed indicated they wanted a broad-based delegation, representing
all elements of the Party, and that, in order to keep the heat off
the Governor, they were going to have a small organizing committee
that would be responsible for picking the delegation.
LKF asked him if it was the intention to broaden the Organizing
Committee into a selection committee, including legislators and
other interested groups. Reed responded that he felt it would not
be wise to do so, and that the selection committee should be the
five names on the Organizing Committee.
LKF suggested that it would be very necessary for the campaign group
to be able to select and invite delegates, based on such factors as
contributions to the campaign, desire and ability to work in the
campaign, and other considerations that would benefit the campaign
committee.
Reed agreed this was necessary, but thought that the Organizing
Committee could bear these factors in mind as they were making their
selections.
Holmes Tuttle said, "That's the reason you (LKF) were asked to join
the Committee, since you are close to the President and the
Administration.
LKF made it clear that he had accepted on the basis of the Governor
asking him, and that he had received no request or instruction from
anyone else to serve on the Committee.
It was announced that Bill Smith will act as Counsel to the Organizing
Committee and the Delegation, and will be in charge of operations of
the Delegation, under Reed. However, since he is Chairman of the
Board of Regents of the University of California, the Governor did
not want to have Smith's name made public in this connection.
notes on meeting
July 8, 1971
page 2
Bill Smith suggested that August was a little early to announce
the Organizing Committee, but Reed insisted it should be done at
that time, in order to stop speculation around the State, and
in Sacramento in particular.
There was some discussion as to the possibility of a competing dele-
gation, but, generally, we all felt that McCloskey would wash out
and would probably not be a threat.
With regard to the schedule item in the memorandum that, late in
March 1972, the delegation list would be submitted to the Governor
for approval, LKF asked if, since it would be essentially a delegation
for President Nixon, it was not the intention that the President
would also approve the list?
Reed said we would assume the Governor would take it up with the
President.
Finally, Holmes Tuttle said to Reed, "Well, do you want to bring up
that other matter?"
Reed sort of mumbled, "What other matter?"
Tuttle said, "Well, you know, about the campaign. 11
Reed: "Oh, yes. I talked to the Attorney General about it, and he
agreed that there would be nothing done on the campaign until the
whole thing could be structured at one time and the Attorney General
had had a chance to talk about it on the spot here in California.'
LKF: "In that connection, I think I should tell you -- you probably
are aware of the fact that there was an announcement about three weeks
ago that was, to say the least, premature. I don't understand how it
got out, but the way I have been explaining it is that, because of my
association with the Nixon Foundation, the Californians for Revenue Sharing
program, and the Citizens for Nixon organization in Washington, D.C.,
someone might have gotten mixed up and come to the conclusion that I
was heading up something else out here. However, the article was
simply confused. I talked personally with the Attorney General after
that article came out, and simply told him I would be willing to do
anything he asked me to do."
LKF also told the group about the call he received from the Governor
while in Pebble Beach on Sunday, June 27th.
Bill Smith said the Governor hadn't meant to say that he didn't want
LKF, or that LKF would be disruptive. The Governor was only trying
to indicate that he didn't think any one name should be put up at
this time. Instead, should wait until the full leadership group for
the campaign could be structured.
LKF repeated what the Governor had said to him during the telephone
conversation.
notes on meeting
July 8, 1971
page 3
Bill Smith again said the Governor was only implying about waiting
to fill out the whole structure.
LKF: "I'm the one who talked to the Governor and I'm telling you
what he said."
Bill Smith: "I don't think he meant that. He doesn't consider you
disruptive."
LKF concluded by saying he didn't think he was disruptive or divisive
and repeated the strong support he has given to Governor Reagan in
two campaigns, and also to Senator Murphy last year. He added that
he thought he would be able to do the job to the satisfaction of the
Party and all concerned, and that, if asked, he would do it.
During the discussion, Reed spoke up and said he thought the Governor
meant only that he didn't want one name put up there in front, to be
shot at.
*
next meeting of Organizing Committee scheduled for September 14, 1971.
MEMORANDUM for The File
Telephone Conversation, LKF and RR
Sunday, June 27, 1971
RR telephoned LKF, approx. 10:30 AM, Sunday, June 27th, at Pebble
Beach. (LKF had come down to Pebble Beach about midnight, Saturday,
June 26th, from San Mateo, after attending Margaret Heatley's wedding,
and had learned that Holmes Tuttle was staying with the Darts for
the week-end at Pebble Beach, but LKF did not have occasion to talk
with either of them)
LKF feels sure that RR could have known of LKF's travel plans only
through Mr. Dart or Mr. Tuttle, and he is inclined to believe that
it was Mr. Tuttle who "programmed" the telephone call.
At the outset, the telephone conversation was about the wedding,
golf, and things of a general nature, all in a pleasant exchange.
RR then said: "I was talking to the Attorney General a few days
ago about the delegation. In the course of the conversation, the
article that was in last Sunday's Los Angeles Times came up.'
At that point, LKF said: "Yes, Ron, that was sort of premature.
Fortunately, I had to leave for Akron, and did not have to comment
on it to the press. However, when I got back to San Francisco,
several of my friends asked me about it, and I simply told them
that, since I am head of the President's Foundation, and have also
been head of the California Revenue-sharing support program, I could
only assume someone had jumped to the conclusion I might be heading
up a Citizens for Nixon campaign, and in the speculation this kind
of an article got published."
Telephone Conversation, LKF and RR
Sunday, June 27, 1971
page 2
That response seemed to slow him down a little. However, he said:
"The reason I called you is to tell you that, since we are good
friends, I didn't want you to feel I was talking behind your back,
and I told the Attorney General I didn't think it would be a good
idea for you to serve as Chairman."
He went on to say that the Party had been badly fractured in the
past, that the cracks had been painted over with a thin layer, and
we just couldn't disrupt things again.
He said: "Of course, we couldn't have Salvatori in the job, from
one side of the spectrum, or you (meaning LKF) in the job from the
other side of the spectrum."
When he was through, LKF said: "Ron, you have every right to your
opinion, and I respect your thoughts, but I simply can't accept
the concept that I am devisive in the Party, or would be disruptive.
You will recall that I have supported you very liberally on two
occasions, and that I probably gave as much or more to George Murphy's
campaign than anyone, and I have always supported the Party. "
He responded: "Oh, you should be in the campaign, but it probably
should be run by means of a co-chairmen or committee arrangement, in
some manner we could all agree on."
LKF resisted the temptation of asking RR who he had in mind, as he
didn't want to bring that up. LKF simply replied that he was dedicated
to the re-election of the President, and that he had told the Attorney
General he would serve in any capacity the President or the Attorney
Telephone Conversation, LKF and RR
Sunday, June 27, 1971
page 3
General wanted him to serve, adding "I want you to know that if
either of them ask me to serve as Campaign Chairman, that is what
I am going to do."
LKF further told RR that "if I am asked to do it, I have already
told the Attorney General the first thing I would do would be to
come to see you and discuss the possibility of you being Honorary
Chairman, and to go over the general campaign plans and strategy
with you. "
RR said he was also going to work hard for the re-election of the
President.
LKF said one thing he could suggest for RR to do was to get hold
of Reinecke, Younger and Flournoy, and anybody else in the Republican
Party who was working now for 1974 and tell them that they are to
keep their eyes on 1972 until the President is re-elected. LKF
pointed out the fund-raising dinners that Reinecke and Younger are
planning.
RR knew about this, but said the trouble was the Democrats are all
running now for 1974, to the point where you can't find anyone in
Sacramento.
LKF ended up the conversation by commenting we would just have to
wait and see how things develop, and said he hoped to see RR soon.
POLICY FOR SELECTION OF THE CALIFORNIA DELEGATION
TO THE 1972 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION
MAKEUP:
96 delegates: 2 from each congressional district, 10 at large (no more
than 4 from each congressional district), and 96 alternates.
LEADERSHIP:
Governor Reagan, Chairman of delegation. T. C. Reed, Vice-Chairman.
Delegation firmly pledged to the renomination of President Nixon.
ORGANIZING COMMITTEE:
T. C. Reed, Chairman; Eleanor Ring; Governor Reagan (to be represented
by one staff member); Holmes Tuttle; Leonard Firestone.
Counsel (not for public announcement): W. F. Smith.
Staff: To be selected by Chairman (Reed) with approval of the Committee.
Initially, Helen Healey will act as Secretary of the Committee.
Records and Files: Office of the National Committeeman.
SCHEDULE:
August 1971 - Public announcement of organizing committee.
September-December 1971 - Informal "hearings." Luncheon meetings
with key leadership. Somewhat formal "hearings" by Reed and
Ring at RSCCC State Convention, October 1-3.
January 1972 - Committee commences deliberations as a group,
including others as appropriate.
Late March 1972 - (After New Hampshire, Wisconson, primaries)
Submit list to Governor for approval. List to include suggested
officers of delegation. No "draft" lists to be released prior
to this date.
March 8, 1972 - Earliest date to file for primary.
April 7, 1972 - Latest date to file for primary.
PRIMARY CAMPAIGN MANAGEMENT:
To be determined by the President and the Governor in the spring of
1972 in light of apparent challenges.
PROCEDURES:
Every effort will be made to involve the rank and file of the Republican
Party in California in the nominating process; to avoid problems under
rule 14 adopted at the 1968 convention; to assure that as many
communities and constituencies as possible are represented; and to
build political strength for the President and the Governor consistent
with the above. Computer time-sharing and file maintenance will be
used to assure the retention and analysis of all nominations.
POLLING:
The Organizing Committee will undertake regular surveys to analyze
the probability and nature of a primary challenge to this delegation,
and to ascertain the opinions of all Republicans.
ARRANGEMENTS FOR THE CALIFORNIA DELEGATION AT THE CONVENTION:
To be the responsibility of the National Committeeman and Committee-
woman (Reed and Ring) Financial arrangements to be started by the
Organizing Committee.
The above discussed with and approved by RR, 7/5/71, Sacramento.
The above policy, but not specific memo, discussed with and approved by
John Mitchell, 6/29/71, Washington, D.C.
&
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
INFORMATION
July 20, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
THE PRESIDENT
FROM:
ROBERT H. FINCH
SUBJECT:
California Delegation, Convention
and Campaign
The two attached memoranda from Tom Reed regarding the
selection of the California delegation represent a power
play with potentially disastrous consequences.
The very existence of this material and the polls in them
is inexcusable.
Several things are obvious:
1. In terms of fund raising party unity and symbolism, you
can not separate the delegation from the California campaign.
This is strongly reinforced if San Diego is the convention
site.
2. The delegation must be structured solely on the basis
of what will help carry California in November.
Any delegation picked by a committee chaired by Reed and
composed of Reagan, his designee (Bob Walker), Tuttle,
Eleanor Ring, and your designee (i.e. Firestone it is
presumed) will not meet this standard.
In 1968 you will recall, Tuttle "assessed" each delegate
$5,000 or $10,000 for the "Reagan Fund. As in 1956 and
1964, a so-called "Host Committee" headed by the national
committeeman, national committeewoman and state chairman,
will raise a substantial sum of money for favors and gifts
to delegates. This is money which will be denied us for
the campaign.
-2--
I plan to meet with John Mitchell as soon as he returns
and would like to recommend the following:
1. Reed should be advised that suggestions for delegates
would be welcomed from each of the persons Reed proposed
for his committee (except Bob Walker), plus each statewide
Republican office holder as well as Republican congressmen
from California and state legislators.
To keep it away from the White House, I would suggest
Firestone or someone else -- clearly your man -- be
designated as the person who will make final recommendations
to Mitchell for the composition of the President's delegation.
2. There should be an agreement as soon as possible on
"assessments" or other monies raised from delegates or
others in connection with the convention. I would suggest
that a given quota be established with one-half to be set
aside for convention purposes and one-half for the Nixon
campaign in California. There must be an accounting of these
funds.
3. The other steps in the memos which must be countered are:
(a) No public announcements in August about delegation
selection.
(b) "Records and Files" not in Reed's office.
(c) If further polls in California are taken someone
from the Nixon organization should help formulate
as well as have access to results -- who is paying
for them? We certainly don't need any other polls
on "If Richard Nixon does not run for President
"
(d) OR memos saying "Nixon is in trouble in California. 11
4. This is your delegation, your convention, your campaign.
Reagan should be chairman but if the Reeds and Walkers run
wild with the kind of stupidity reflected in these documents
and if they run the campaign we are in trouble.
POLICY FOR SELECTION OF THE CALIFORNIA DELEGATION
TO THE 1972 REPUBLICAN NATIONAL CONVENTION
MAKEUP:
96 delegates: 2 from each congressional district, 10 at large (no more
than 4 from each congressional district), and 96 alternates.
LEADERSHIP:
Governor Reagan, Chairman of delegation. T. C. Reed, Vice-Chairman.
Delegation firmly pledged to the renomination of President Nixon.
ORGANIZING COMMITTEE:
T. C. Reed, Chairman; Eleanor Ring; Governor Reagan (to be represented
by one staff member); Holmes Tuttle; Leonard Firestone.
Counsel (not for public announcement): W. F. Smith.
Staff: To be selected by Chairman (Reed) with approval of the Committee.
Initially, Helen Healey will act as Secretary of the Committee.
Records and Files: Office of the National Committeeman.
SCHEDULE:
August 1971 - Public announcement of organizing committee.
September-December 1971 - Informal "hearings." Luncheon meetings
with key leadership. Somewhat formal "hearings" by Reed and
Ring at RSCCC State Convention, October 1-3.
January 1972 - Committee commences deliberations as a group,
including others as appropriate.
Late March 1972 - (After New Hampshire, Wisconson, primaries)
Submit list to Governor for approval. List to include suggested
officers of delegation. No "draft" lists to be released prior
to this date.
March 8, 1972 - Earliest date to file for primary.
April 7, 1972 - Latest date to file for primary.
PRIMARY CAMPAIGN MANAGEMENT:
To be determined by the President and the Governor in the spring of
1972 in light of apparent challenges.
PROCEDURES:
Every effort will be made to involve the rank and file of the Republican
Dizini la
rule 14 adopted at the 1968 convention; to assure that as many
communities and constituencies as possible are represented; and to
build political strength for the President and the Governor consistent
with the above. Computer time-sharing and file maintenance will be
used to assure the retention and analysis of all nominations.
POLLING:
The Organizing Committee will undertake regular surveys to analyze
the probability and nature of a primary challenge to this delegation,
and to ascertain the opinions of all Republicans.
ARRANGEMENTS FOR THE CALIFORNIA DELEGATION AT THE CONVENTION:
To be the responsibility of the National Committeeman and Committee-
woman (Reed and Ring). Financial arrangements to be started by the
Organizing Committee.
The above discussed with and approved by RR, 7/5/71, Sacramento.
The above policy, but not specific memo, discussed with and approved by
John Mitchell, 6/29/71, Washington, D.C.
TN
epublican
ational
ommittee.
13 July 1971
as C. Reed
er for California
itive Committee
plican National Committee
Box 371
afael, California 94902
456-7310
MEMO TO:
Delegation Organizing Committee
FROM:
Thomas C. Reed, Chairman
for
Confirming my conversations with each of you, the Organizing Committee
will meet for lunch at the Los Angeles Club at 12:00 noon on Tuesday,
14 September 1971. At that time we should plan to work out the basic
ground rules for the selection process.
To facilitate communication, I understand the addresses and 'phone numbers
of the committee members to be as follows:
Thomas C. Reed, Chairman
415 + 456-7310
503 D Street
San Rafael, Ca. 94901
The Honorable Ronald Reagan
State Capitol
Sacramento, Ca. 95814
Attention of Mr. Robert C. Walker
916 + 445-0875
Mrs. Eleanor Ring
714 + 435-4524
801 Tolita Avenue
Coronado, Ca. 92118
Mr. Leonard K. Firestone
213 + 583-4411
10375 Wilshire Boulevard
Los Angeles, Ca. 90024
Mr. Holmes Tuttle
213 + 933-5911
145 North La Brea Avenue
Los Angeles, Ca. 90036
Counsel:
Mr. William French Smith
213 + 620-9300
634 South Spring Street
Los Angeles. Ca.
Memo to: Delegation Organizing Committee
13 July 1971
To better understand the nature of the challence we may face in 1972, I
have undertaken several surveys on the President's strengths and weak-
ness. I enclose two memoranda resulting from these polls.
Prior to our September meeting we will have taken an August survey to up-
date these and will have started work on a simple computerfile maintenance
system for our name lists.
Thanks very much for your help.
Enclosures:
"Presidential Job Rating and the Issues in California" 6/8/71
"The 1972 Presidential Primary in California" 6/11/71
Through very wuch for
taking Time To get Together
- last weeks.
You
June 11, 1971
The 1972 Presidential Primary in California.
California's presidential primary will be held a year from now.
The earliest filing date is March 8. The latest is April 7, -
subsequent to the Alaska, Florida, New Hampshire and Wisconsin
primaries.
To adequately plan and select a Presidential primary slate in
California, one should be aware of the possible challengers -
both within and without the party. For this purpose we asked*
two types of questions throughout California.
First of all, "If Richard Nixon did not run again for Presi-
dent in 1972, who would you personally like to see become the
next President of the United States?" The open-ended nature of
the question allows one to measure interest now - a year before
the primary. The results, among Republicans, are listed below,
and are compared to a published statewide Mervin Field poll
(S.F. Chronicle, May 12, 1971). The Field poll was, presumably
closed end, i.e., 7 or 8 names were listed on a card.
REPUBLICANS:
This survey
Field Poll
Don't know, undecided
60.6%
8%
Reagan
13.8%
40%
Muskie
4.6%
-
Agnew
3.1%
12%
Goldwater
3.1%
-
Rockefeller
2.1%
18%
Lindsay
1.5%
17%
McCloskey
.5%
5%
All others (none over 3%)
11.3%
-
100%
100%
The same question, among Democrats:
Don't Know, Undecided
52.0%
Muskie
18.7%
Kennedy
9.5%
Humphrey
5.1%
Others (none over 3%)
14.7
100%
*
California Statewide, DMI, May 12 - 16.
605 Telephone Interviews.
Page 2.
Secondly, we asked specific head-to-head questions of Republicans
to gauge the general strength of McCloskey and Lindsay. A head-
to-head, President VS. Governor, was included only to measure the
President's base of strength.
The results, Republicans only:
Nixon
76%
Nixon
76%
Nixon
65%
McCloskey
7%
Lindsay
12%
Reagan
21%
Don't Know 17%
Don't Know
12%
Don't Know 14%
The above strongly suggests that no serious opposition is currently
evident within the Republican party, that Democratic voters have
not yet focused on a candidate, and that preliminary planning for
the delegation and primary should proceed with the serious problems
of the general election in mind.
Presidential Job Rating and the Issues in California - June 8, 1971
DMI Survey, California Statewide, May 12 - 16, 1971.
605 Telephone Interviews, 493 Registered Voters. Sample appears to be valid.
PRESIDENTIAL JOB RATING: "How would you rate the job Richard Nixon is doing
as President - excellent, good, fair, or poor?"
This Survey, May 1971
Statewide, last
City of S.F.
Registered Voters Northern Southern
Campaign Survey
only
Statewide
Calif.
Calif.
Oct., 1970
April, 1971
Excellent
10%
9%
9%
14%
9%
Good
29%
28%
29%
36%
26%
Fair
39%
40%
41%
34%
33%
Poor
19%
20%
18%
14%
28%
No Opinion
3%
3%
3%
2%
4%
PRESIDENT'S BALLOT STRENGTH: "If the election for President were held to-
day, and Richard Nixon were running for re-election, would you vote for
him?"
Those who voted for
Reagan
Unruh
Northern
Southern
All Regis.
Rep.
Dem.
in '70
in '70
Calif.
Calif
Voters
Yes
30%
60%
12%
53%
4%
28%
31%
No
49%
17%
70%
24%
84%
48%
47%
Undecided
21%
23%
18%
23%
13%
24%
22%
For comparison, the 1968 vote results in California were:
Nixon: 48.0%
Humphrey: 44.9%
Wallace: 6.8%
THE ISSUES: "What do you think is the most important problem facing the
State of California in 1971?" Note that the question precludes inter-
national problems such as Vietnam.
May, 1971
October, 1970
Taxes
19%
11%
Unemployment
13%
5%
Too much welfare
10%
4%
Ecology: Air/Water
8%
9%
More welfare to needy
7%
1%
Air pollution
7%
22%
Finances, inflation
5%
2%
Drugs, Narcotics
5%
4%
Ronald Reagan
4%
3%
Education, financing
42
1%
Presidential Job Rating and the Issues in California, June 8, 1971
Page 2.
It is apparent that since the close of the '70 election, the economic is-
sue has mushroomed. When people are out of work, ecology and even "law
and order" shrink. Air pollution may not be named simply because it's
spring. After a hot smoggy summer in L.A., it may re-emerge. Taxes are
already the No. 1 issue. A state tax increase this year could have seri-
ous repercussions.
CONCLUSIONS:
A 1972 Nixon victory in California looks quite difficult. The President's
job rating is slipping, and by a 5:3 margin Californians claim they would
vote against him. Given a specific opponent, however, this situation
would undoubtedly improve.
With serious Republican defections (17% is three times what Richard Nixon
can afford to lose) and the apparent 6:1 trade-off in Reagan voters op-
posing Nixon versus Unruh voters favoring Nixon, Reagan assistance and in-
volvement in California would be most beneficial.
To achieve victory, taxes must be kept down, unemployment must be solved,
and people must have confidence that unemployment has been solved.
TAB A
PERCENT OF BLACK POPULATION BY STATE
(1970 CENSUS)
STATE
PERCENT BLACKS
NUMBER OF BLACKS
(thousands)
Total U. S.
11.2
22,673
District of Columbia
71.1
538
Mississippi
36.8
816
South Carolina
30.5
789
Louisiana
29.9
1,089
Alabama
26.4
908
Georgia
26.0
1,191
North Carolina
22.4
1,138
Virginia
18.6
865
Arkansas
18.6
357
Maryland
17.9
701
Tennessee
16.1
632
Florida
15.5
1,050
Delaware
14.2
78
Illinois
12.8
1,426
Texas
12.7
1,420
New York
11.9
2,167
Michigan
11.2
991
New Jersey
10.7
770
Missouri
10.3
480
Ohio
9.1
970
Pennsylvania
8.6
1,017
Kentucky
7.5
241
Oklahoma
7.0
178
California
7.0
1,400
Indiana
6.9
357
Connecticut
6.0
181
Nevada
5.7
28
Kansas
4.8
107
West Virginia
4.2
74
Massachusetts
3.1
176
Arizona
3.0
53
Alaska
3.0
9
Colorado
2.9
66
Wisconsin
2.9
128
Nebraska
2.7
40
Rhode Island
2.7
25
Washington
2.1
71
New Mexico
1.9
20
Oregon
1.3
26
Iowa
1.2
33
Hawaii
1.0
8
Minnesota
1.0
35
Wyoming
0.8
3
Utah
0.6
7
North Dakota
0.4
2
Idaho
0.5
2
Maine
0.3
3
Montana
0.3
2
New Hampshire
0.3
3
South Dakota
0.2
2
Vermont
0.2
2