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This file contains:
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Rumsfeld Invitation to Harvard Republican Club. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 12/10/1971
Typed note explaining Eddie Cox and his joining of the Harvard Republican Club. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Other Document], 9/18/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The draft questionnaires for the Committee Poll in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and Florida that needs approval by December 1. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/7/1971
From Robert Teeter to Haldeman. RE: Questionnaire for the first wave polling. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 12/6/1971
Suggested questions for the primary states poll which include: What are the most important problems facing the U.S. as a nation at this time, and overall do you think the U.S. is better off or worse than it was three years ago? 25 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Report], 12/6/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The meeting with Taft Schreiber, and the three key points to be discussed that will need subsequent approval. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 12/7/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Alternate questions posed by Bob Teeter concerning the draft questionnaire for the Committee Poll in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and Florida. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/7/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The Gallup Trial Heat results from the poll conducted November 19-22. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/6/1971
Handwritten notes concerning the Gallup Trial Heat results from November 19-22. 3 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Other Document], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The November 19-22 Gallup Poll, and the need for Presidential approval figures. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/3/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The meeting between Magruder and Teeter to discuss the Campaign polling plan. 2 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/2/1971
From Robert M. Teeter to Haldeman. RE: The campaign polling program, and the need to respond to several points. 2 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 11/24/1971
From Robert Teeter to the Attorney General. RE: The 1972 Campaign Polling, and the status report on the first wave of polls. 4 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 11/28/1971
A statewide research study in Wisconsin that asks a variety of questions to gage Nixon's popularity as President, and how that could influence his possible re-election in 1972. 10 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Other Document], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The need for a political meeting between the President and Secretary Connally. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 12/1/1971
Scholar Source Context
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26145561
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WHSF: Contested, 12-19
core
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document
citationUrl
pageCount
1
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id
26145561
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document
title
WHSF: Contested, 12-19
description
This file contains:
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Rumsfeld Invitation to Harvard Republican Club. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 12/10/1971
Typed note explaining Eddie Cox and his joining of the Harvard Republican Club. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Other Document], 9/18/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The draft questionnaires for the Committee Poll in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and Florida that needs approval by December 1. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/7/1971
From Robert Teeter to Haldeman. RE: Questionnaire for the first wave polling. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 12/6/1971
Suggested questions for the primary states poll which include: What are the most important problems facing the U.S. as a nation at this time, and overall do you think the U.S. is better off or worse than it was three years ago? 25 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Report], 12/6/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The meeting with Taft Schreiber, and the three key points to be discussed that will need subsequent approval. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 12/7/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: Alternate questions posed by Bob Teeter concerning the draft questionnaire for the Committee Poll in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and Florida. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/7/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The Gallup Trial Heat results from the poll conducted November 19-22. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/6/1971
Handwritten notes concerning the Gallup Trial Heat results from November 19-22. 3 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Other Document], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The November 19-22 Gallup Poll, and the need for Presidential approval figures. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/3/1971
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The meeting between Magruder and Teeter to discuss the Campaign polling plan. 2 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 12/2/1971
From Robert M. Teeter to Haldeman. RE: The campaign polling program, and the need to respond to several points. 2 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 11/24/1971
From Robert Teeter to the Attorney General. RE: The 1972 Campaign Polling, and the status report on the first wave of polls. 4 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 11/28/1971
A statewide research study in Wisconsin that asks a variety of questions to gage Nixon's popularity as President, and how that could influence his possible re-election in 1972. 10 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Other Document], no date
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE: The need for a political meeting between the President and Secretary Connally. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 12/1/1971
citationUrl
collections
Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
12
19
12/10/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Rumsfeld Invitation to Harvard Republican
Club. 1 pg.
12
19
9/18/1971
White House Staff
Other Document
Typed note explaining Eddie Cox and his
joining of the Harvard Republican Club. 1 pg.
12
19
12/7/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
The draft questionnaires for the Committee
Poll in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and
Florida that needs approval by December 1.
1 pg.
12
19
12/6/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Robert Teeter to Haldeman. RE:
Questionnaire for the first wave polling. 3
pgs.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Page 1 of 4
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
12
19
12/6/1971
Domestic Policy
Report
Suggested questions for the primary states
poll which include: What are the most
important problems facing the U.S. as a
nation at this time, and overall do you think
the U.S. is better off or worse than it was
three years ago? 25 pgs.
12
19
12/7/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
The meeting with Taft Schreiber, and the
three key points to be discussed that will
need subsequent approval. 1 pg.
12
19
12/7/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
Alternate questions posed by Bob Teeter
concerning the draft questionnaire for the
Committee Poll in New Hampshire,
Wisconsin, and Florida. 1 pg.
12
19
12/6/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
The Gallup Trial Heat results from the poll
conducted November 19-22. 1 pg.
12
19
Domestic Policy
Other Document
Handwritten notes concerning the Gallup
Trial Heat results from November 19-22. 3
pgs.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Page 2 of 4
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
12
19
12/3/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
The November 19-22 Gallup Poll, and the
need for Presidential approval figures. 1 pg.
12
19
12/2/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
The meeting between Magruder and Teeter
to discuss the Campaign polling plan. 2 pgs.
12
19
11/24/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Robert M. Teeter to Haldeman. RE:
The campaign polling program, and the need
to respond to several points. 2 pgs.
12
19
11/28/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Robert Teeter to the Attorney General.
RE: The 1972 Campaign Polling, and the
status report on the first wave of polls. 4 pgs.
12
19
Domestic Policy
Other Document
A statewide research study in Wisconsin that
asks a variety of questions to gage Nixon's
popularity as President, and how that could
influence his possible re-election in 1972. 10
pgs.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Page 3 of 4
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
12
19
12/1/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Gordon Strachan to Haldeman. RE:
The need for a political meeting between the
President and Secretary Connally. 1 pg.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Page 4 of 4
Presidential Materials Review Board
Review on Contested Documents
Collection: H. R. Haldeman
Box Number: 235
Folder:
Strachan Chron-HRH only December 1972 [1971] Book I
Document
Disposition
118
Return Private/Political STRACHAN TO HALDEMAN re:" RUMSFELD
INVITATION TO HARVARD REPUBLICAN CLUB' 12/10/7
119
Retain Open
120
Return Private/Political STRACHA TO HRM re:" re: PRIMARY STATE POLL 12/7/71
121
Return Private/Political STRACH STRACHAN TO HRH re: TAFT SCHREIBER MEETING" 12/7/71
122
Return Private/Political/RAcHAM STRACHAN TO HRM re:" PRIMARY STATE POLL" 12/7/71
123
Retain
Open
124
Retain Open
125
Retain Open
126
Return Private/Political STRACHAN TO HRM re:" GALLUP TRIAL HEATS" 12/6/21
127
Retain
Open
128
Retain
Open
129
Return Private/Political STRACHAN TO HRM re:" CAMPAIGN POLLING" 12/2/71
130
Retain
Open
131
Retain Open
132
Return Private/Political STRACHAN TO HRM rc:" POLITICAL MEETING' 12/1/71
133
Retain
Open
134
Retain Open
135
Retain
Close Invasion of Privacy STRACHAN TO HRH BUTZ NOMINATION
12/1/71
cheney
1/1/724
fu
Administratively Confidential
3/7
December 10, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Rumsfeld Invitation to
Harvard Republican Club
The attached action paper suggested that Don Rumsfeld be
invited to the Harvard Republican Club in light of Ed Cox's
membership.
Lee Huebner arranged for the invitation, which Counsellor
Rumsfeld accepted for late November. Rumsfeld had to
cancel the November appearance because of COLC responsibilities.
The appearance has been re-scheduled for January.
You may want to cover this with the President because he
may be asked when he sees his family over the holidays.
GS:1m
ACTION PAPER
Eddie Cox has joined the Harvard Republican Club and the
President would like to have something worked out to have
Don Rumsfeld invited to talk to that group.
He feels that Lee Heubner would be perhaps the right one to
work on it because of his Rippon connections. In any event,
it should be worked out somehow, without involving Eddie,
of course.
HRH
9-18-71
Estas
Administratively Confidential
b
December 7, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Primary State Poll
shatemed
You have the draft questionnaire for the Committee poll
in New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Florida that the Attorney
General approved on December 1.
20%
with Bob Teeter has developed alternate questions
12
on polls conducted by Gallup, Harris, and ORC
(questionnaire attached).
Teeter has also prepared a memorandum to you outlining
various points of difference between his research approach
and ORC's (attached).
Finally, you mentioned that you were going to discuss
the Harris Domestic Issues poll with the Attorney General.
It would be helpful if Bob Teeter but not Jeb Magruder,
Bob Marik, or anyone else at the Committee received a
copy of this Harris poll.
Approve, send copies to the Attorney General and
Bob Teeter
Disapprove, only the Attorney General
Other
GS:1m
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARNING
December 6, 1971
MEMORANDUM
E.O. 12065, Section 6-102
By EmPrise NARS, Date 1-18-80
CONT IDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM FOR H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM ROBERT M. TEETER R.Trator
SUBJECT: QUESTIONNAIRE FOR FIRST WAVE POLLING
Attached is a revised questionnaire for use in the first wave
surveys in the target and primary states. This questionnaire is
being field tested currently and might have to be shortened as
we cannot keep the respondent interested for more than 45-50
minutes.
We have used wherever I felt they were applicable the same questions
that have been used in previous White House surveys. In other
instances we have used questions for which my company (MOR) has
trend data and in some instances we have developed new questions
which I believe more adequately fulfill our current needs. We
(MOR) have regular trend data collected over several years in
approximately half of the states on our target list and as this
project is basically a series of statewide polls, I think that
maintaining these state trends will be more useful than comparing
specific state data to past national data. Moreover, most of our
data will be collected in a campaign context and used for campaign
purposes which is somewhat different than most previous White House
work.
I have indicated on the questionnaire the questions where there is
existing data available either in the White House (WH) or at
Market Opinion (MOR). There may be other areas where existing White
House data is applicable but I do not, as yet, have that data.
Some of the methods we are using, that you should be aware of, are:
Generally, we have used more open-end questions and rating scales
than were used on the ORC work I'm aware of. I think it is
important that we are able to use these surveys to generate
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
MEMORANDUM
campaign ideas as well as measure specific attitudes on candidates
and issues. Therefore, we need to give the respondent more
opportunity to tell us what he thinks rather than choose between
a series of alternatives we give him.
Rather than use a probable vote filter at the beginning of the
?
questionnaire, we are going to filter for registered voters or
eligible voters if they are 17-24 years old. I simply don't think
it is possible to determine who will and will not vote this far
ahead of the election. Therefore, I think we should use a harder
filter.
We are using an actual sample ballot to measure the various head-
to-head contests rather than an oral question. We have found this to
be a better measurement technique particularly close to the election
and as we will definitely want to use it late in the campaign I think
we should begin using it now so as to keep our data comparable. The
disadvantage is that we can't ask the undecided voter how they lean.
We can, however, measure level of committment of the decided voter
by using an intensity scale.
We are using a standard set of demographics in all the studies
which are comparable to the 1970 census classifications. In some
cases we are getting finer breaks than we may want to use, on the
theory that we can always collapse them but that we can't expand
them if we don't have the data.
The data will be broken and analyzed according to behavioral
groups rather than attitudinal groups. By that, I mean we will be
classifying the voters into Republicans, ticket-splitters, and
Democrats on the basis of their past voting behavior rather than
into Republicans, Independents, and Democrats on the basis of
self-identification, which is an attitudinal definition and is not
as useful for campaign purposes. The behavioral definition allows
us to segment the electorate into those who we are virtually sure will
vote Republican, those who will vote Democratic, and those who
almost always split their ticket and are therefore, available to
either side in most elections.
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
MEMORANDUM
This method of segmenting the electorate only has about 50-70%
overlap with the attitudinal definition as many voters who consider
themselves Republicans or Democrats actually split their ticket
in most elections and are, of course, the marginal Republicans and
Democrats who we are most interested in along with the true in-
dependents.
Furthermore, a number of those people who say they are independents
do, in fact, almost always vote for almost all of the candidates of
one or the other party. This is, of course, a much smaller group
than those who identify with a party but actually split their
ticket.
We have done several studies comparing the self-identified in-
dependents with the behavioral ticket-splitters which have clearly
shown them to be different types of voters -- demographically, in
terms of media use habits, and in terms of their attitudes toward
various issues.
12/6/71
TEETER'S SUGGESTED QUESTIONS FOR PRIMARY STATES POLL
1. Are you a registered voter here in Wisconsin?
ok
(If yes, continue with interview beginning with question #2.
bir
If no, ask: Are you 17 years old or older?" If no, terminate
1984
interview. If yes, ask: "Do you intend to register and vote
the 1972 Presidential election 7
in the national elections next fall?
If no, terminate interview.
If yes, continue with interview.)
2. MOR Question:
What do you think are the most important problems facing
the United States as a nation at this time?
ORC Question:
What, in your opinion, are some of the most important prob-
lems facing the country today? (Probe: any others?)
3. Which one of these do you think is the single most important
problem facing the United States? Instructions: Circle just one
above.
MOR
4.
Do you feel things in the country are generally going in the
right direction today or do you feel things have pretty seriously
gotten off on the wrong track?
Roper
2
4A. Why do you feel that way? (Probe)
Teeter follow-up suggestion.
4B. Are there any other reasons?
Teeter follow-up suggestion.
Overall do you think the United States as a nation is better
off or worse off today than it was three or four years ago?
Better Off
Worse Off
About Same
D.N.
MOR
5A. Why do you say that? (Probe)
MOR
Domestic Issue Poll Question: On the whole compared with five
years ago, would you say that America has become a better place
to live in, a worse place, or not much different from the way it
was five years ago?
6. Now I am going to mention several problems and issues facing
our country to you and using this scale card, I would like you to
rate how important a problem each one is to you. (It is a five-
point scale.)
MOR
General Unrest in the Country
Inflation
Racial Problems
Unemployment
Vietnam
Environment/Pollution
High Taxes
Crime
National Defense
Health Care
Bussing
Drugs
Education
(The order of this list is rotated.)
3
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is'
handling his job as President?
ORC
ORC question: If disapprove: Why do you disapprove of the way
Richard Nixon is handling his job? What specifically don't you
like?
7A. Why do you say that?
Teeter follow-up suggestion.
MOR question: What do you think are the most important accomplish-
ments of the Nixon Administration? (Probe)
ORC question: In your opinion, what do you think are the two or
three most important accomplishments of the Nixon Administration?
MOR question: What do you think are the major failures of the
Nixon Administration?
ORC question: What do you think are the two or three major
failures of the Nixon Administration?
10. Do you favor increasing, decreasing or keeping Defense
spending where it is now?
Increasing
Decreasing Keeping D.N.
Domestic Issues Poll
If increasing ask:
10A. Suppose an increase in Defense spending meant a decrease in
spending on education, pollution control and health. Would you
still want to increase Defense spending or not?
Yes
No
D.N.
4
Domestic Issues Poll
If decrease, ask:
10B. Suppose a decrease in Defense spending meant that the
United States military capability would fall behind that of the
Russians, would you still want to decrease Defense spending or
not?
Yes
No
D.N.
Domestic Issues Poll
11. Concerning our level of spending for national defense,
do you think our goal should be to stay ahead of the Russians,
stay even with the Russians, or that it doesn't matter if we
fall slightly behind the Russians in terms of military capa-
bility?
Stay Ahead Stay Even Doesn't Matter D.
New Question per AG request.
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon is
handling the Vietnam situation?
Approve
Disapprove
D.N.
MOR
ORC
13. Do you feel that President Nixon's plan for withdrawal
of U.S. troops from Vietnam is bringing our troops back too
5
fast, too slow, or just about right?
Too Fast
Too Slow
About Right
D.N.
ORC
cut?
14. Once the United States has withdrawn all of its combat
troops from Vietnam, do you think we should keep some troops
there to help support the South Vietnamese, or should all of our
troops be withdrawn?
Keep Some There
All Troops Withdrawn D.N.
ORC suggestion, no trend.
15. Do you think that the United States should withdraw all of
its troops regardless of whether or not the North Vietnamese
release our prisoners of war or that we should keep some troops
in Vietnam until all of our prisoners of war are released?
Withdraw Troops
Keep Some
D.N.
MOR suggestion, no trend.
Our
16% MOR question: As you probably know, we have had a continuing
problem in unemployment recently. Do you think that business,
government, labor, or the consumers are most responsible for this
problem.
Business
Government
Labor
Consumers
D.N.
ORC question: If you had to fix the blame on some person or group
of persons, who do you think is most responsible for the inflation
we have had in recent years?
6
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon is
dealing with the economic conditions in this country?
Approve
Disapprove
D.N.
ORC
18. From what you know about President Nixon's new economic poli-
cies, do you think these policies treat everyone fairly, or do
these policies favor some groups over others?
Treat All Fair
Favor
D.N.
ORC
If favor some groups over others, ask:
18A. What group or groups do you think are favored by President
Nixon's new economic policies? (Ask this as an open-end question,
but record responses using the precoded categories where possible.
Specify other answers.)
The Individual/
Consumer
/
Business
Labor Average Person Other D.N.
ORC
Option:
19. As a result of the President's new economic policy, how do
Addendum
you feel about the future -- a lot more confident, somewhat more
A
confident, no change, or less confident?
Lot More Conf. Somewhat No Change Less D.N.
7
? Source
7
20. Do you believe that President Nixon's economic plans will
help your personal situation, hurt it, or it won't make any
difference?
Help
Hurt
No Difference
D.N.
7
ORC
21. The newly established pay board has set a policy that wages
should not be increased by more than 5-1/2% a year. Do you agree
or disagree with this policy?
Agree
Disagree
Don't Know
New MOR
22. The newly established price commission has set a policy that
prices on the average should not be increased by more than 2-1/2%
a year. Do you agree or disagree with this policy?
Agree
Disagree
Don't Know
New MOR
23. Do you think that the treatment of blacks in our country has
improved, gotten worse, or stayed about the same during the past
three years?
Improved Gotten Worse Same D.N.
MOR
24. Do you feel that in trying to achieve equal opportunities
for all racial minority groups we are going too fast, too slow,
or at about the right speed?
Too Fast Too Slow About Right D.N.
Domestic Issues Poll
25. MOR Question: Are you in favor or not in favor of racially
integrated schools?
In Favor
Notin Favor
D.N.
8
MOR
If in favor, ask:
25A. Are you in favor or not in favor of bussing public school
students to help achieve racially integrated schools?
In Favor
Not in Favor
D.N.
ORC question: Do you favor or oppose the bussing of students on
a compulsory basis to achieve racial integration of schools in
all parts of the country?
26. If the Federal Courts ruled that your school district had
to bus students to get racial balance in the schools, would you
be willing to have your child bussed if the bus rides took the
following length of time?
Willing
Not Willing
D.N.
A 10 minute bus ride --
A 20 minute bus ride --
A 30 minute bus ride --
A 45 minute bus ride --
MOR
Cut ?
27.
Are you in favor or not in favor of the proposed Constitu-
tional Amendment which would prohibit any bussing of school
children to achieve racially integrated public schools?
In Favor
Not in Favor
D.N.
MOR
-9-
28. If it became necessary for the government to raise more
Cut
3
money to finance public education, would you prefer it be done
through increasing the property taxes, increasing the federal
income taxes, increasing local income taxes, increasing of sales
taxes, increasing state income taxes?
Property Federal Local Sales State
Cut
29. A proposal has been made to shift the major cost of public
education from the property tax to the imcome tax -- this would
have the effect of lowering the property taxes and increasing
Dreer
Ancome taxes. Would you be for or against this proposal?
not
For
Against
D.N.
If for ask:
29A. Would you prefer this increase to come primarily from
federal income tax, local income tax, state income tax.
Federal
Local
State
D.N.
30. Are you in favor or not in favor of the federal government
Option: giving financial aid to parochial schools if the money were not
addendum
A
used for any religious purposes?
In Favor
Not in Favor
D.N.
Domestic Issues Pall : w ould you pavor or
oppose pederal support of parachial and
are were used for strictly non- religious purposes
religious grade and high schools, if the money
10
31. In your opinion, who should have primary responsibility for
?
providing health care services in this country? The Federal
Government, or private individuals through their medical insurance,
their savings, and their income?
Federal Governm't Private Indivs. D.N.
ORC
Rotin
32.
There has been a lot of talk about ecology and the environ-
Addendemental problems. What specific problems come to your mind when
A
you think about ecology and environmental problems? (ask open-
ended, do not prompt response.) Potential answers -- air pollu-
tion, solid waste/recycling, population, noise, water pollution,
land use/parks, use of chemicals/pesticides, other (specify), or
don't know.
MOR
option
33.
With regard to environmental problems, would you be
Addendwriting to have your taxes increased if the money were used to
A
help stop pollution and clean up the environment?
Yes
No
D.N.
-11-
34. Would you be willing to have the price of many of the
products you buy increased if it would help stop pollution and
clean up the environment?
Yes
No
Don't Know
MOR
35. Are you in favor or not in favor of the government forcing
industry to stop polluting, even though it causes some plants to
close and increases unemployment?
In Favor
Not in Favor
D.N.
MOR
36. Now I would like for you to think about Richard Nixon for
a moment. Not only as the President but as an individual.
What two or three words do you think best describe Richard Nixon
as a person?
MOR
37. With regard to President Nixon's accomplishments up :to
now, would you say that it is better than most of our Presidents,
about average, or not as good as most of our Presidents?
Better
Average
Not as Good
D.N.
MOR
38. Which of the following statements on this card best describo
how you feel about the information that the Nixon Administration
12
gives the public -- always frank and truthful with the public,
try to make things seem more favorable than they really are,
hold back or slant information that would make the Administration
look bad, or don't know?
Always
Makes Seem
Holds Back
Frank
Favorable
or Slants
D.N.
ORC
?
39. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is
handling his job as Vice President?
?
40.
What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think
of Edmund Muskie?
MOR
?
41. How much do you feel that you know about Edmund Muskie and
what he stands for a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
A Great Deal A Fair Amount
Very Little
ORC question, no trend.
?
42. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think
of Hubert Humphrey?
MOR
?
43. How much do you feel you know about Hubert Humphrey and what
he stands for? A great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
ORC
13
44. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think
of George Wallace?
MOR
45.
How much do you feel you know about George Wallace and what
he stands for? A great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
ORC
]
46.
What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think
of Edward Kennedy?
MOR
2
47.
How much do you feel you know about Edward Kennedy and what
he stands for? A great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
ORC question, no trend.
48. Now I would like to mention several of the problems and
issues we discussed earlier with you, and as I read each one, I
would like you to rate President Nixon on his handling of each
one. (Rotate the following list)
Inflation
Crime
Racial
National Defense
Foreign Affairs
Health Care
Unemployment
Drugs
Vietnam
Bussing
Environment/Pollution
14
49. Now I would like to go through this list once again and
have you rate Edmund Muskie on his ability to handle each of
these problems. (Using a five point scale card and the list
from question #48.)
7
50. Now when you decide how to vote for President next year,
which of these issues will be most important to you?
(Using list from question #48.)
MOR
51. Now in which one of these areas do you think President
Nixon has done his best job? (Using list from question #48.)
52. In which one of these areas do you think President Nixon
has done his poorest job? (Using list from question #48.)
x Add same questions on muskie as 51/52 onP. P.
Domestic Issues Poll: How would you rate the job President Nixon
Adel Chiron or poor?
has been doing on (Read list) -- excellent, pretty good, only fair
Rumbers
53. What do you think are the most important problems facing
change
the state of Wisconsin at this time?
MOR
54.
Which one of these do you think is the single most important
problem facing Wisconsin at this time?
-15-
55.
Do you think Wisconsin as a state is better off wor worse
off than it was about two years ago?
Better Off
Worse Off
D.N.
56.
Why do you say that?
57.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Lucy is handling
his job as governor?
58.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Proxmire
is handling his job as U.S. Senator from Wisconsin?
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gaylord Nelson
is handling his job as U.S. Senator from Wisconsin?
Insert state issue and/or primary questions here:
60.
Now I am going to hand you several sample general election
ballots. These ballots each have one or more possible contests
for some of the offices we will be voting on for next year.
I would like for you to mark each race on each of the ballots
just as you would if the election were being held today.
(The races we would test on the ballots are: Nixon/Muskie,
Nixon/Humphrey, Nixon/Kennedy, Nixon/Muskie/Wallace, Nixon/
Humphrey/Wallace, Nixon/Kennedy/Wallace, Nixon/Muskie/Wallace/
McArthy.
-16-
GI. In the last general election in which you voted, which
answer on this card best describes how you voted for state
and local offices, such as governor and senator -- straight
Democratic, mostly Democratic, a few more Democrats than
Republicans, about equally for both parties, a few more
Republicans than Democrats, mostly Republican, straight
Republican, don't know.
Generally speaking, in politics as of today, do you
consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or what?
If neither, independent, or don't know -- ask:
53.
Which way do you lean?
Republican
Dem.
Independ.
D.N.
$9.
For whom did you vote for President in 1968?
Nixon
Humphrey
Wallace
No Vote
D.N
For whom did you vote for governor in 1970?
Olson
Lucy
No Vote
D.N.
66.
For whom did you vote for Senator in 1970?
Nelson
Erickson
: No Vote
D.N.
-17-
A few more questions for statistical purposes only:
What is your occupation?
If respondent is not head of household ask:
68.
What is the occupation of the head of this household?
69.
What is your approximate age?
18 years to 20
50 years to 54
21 years to 24
55 years to 59
25 years to 29
60 years to 64
30 years to 34
65 years and over
35 years to 39
Refused
40 years to 44
45 years to 49
70.
What is the last grade of school completed by you?
Grade school or less (grade 1-8)
Some highschool
Graduated highschool
Some college
Graduated college
Post-graduate work
Refused
II.
What is your religion?
Roman Catholic
Jewish
Protestant
Other (specify)
-18-
By observation:
22.
What is the national origin of the respondent?
White
Oriental
Negro
Mexican/American
23. In what country was your grandfather born, that is, your
father's father?
Austria
Itally
England
Holland
Germany
Spain
Sweden
U.S.
Polland
Czechoslovakia
France
Estonia
Denmark
Hungary
Irland
Norway
Mexico
Latvia
Russia
Romania
Ukraine
Portugal
Puerto Rico
Yugoslavia
Other (specify)
24. Are you a labor union member?
Instruction -- by observation:
75. . Sex?
Male
Female
-19-
78. Which classification on this card includes your total
family income before taxes?
0 to 2,999
6,000 to 6,999
3,000 to 4,999
7,000 to 9,999
5,000 to 5,9999
10,000 to 14,999
15,000 to 24,999
25,000 and over
Refused
77. Now as you probably know, there will be a Presidential
primary here in Wisconsin hext spring. How sure are you that
you will be voting in either the Republican or Democratic
primary election?
Very Sure Fairly Sure Probably Won't Vot
If "probably not" skip primary questions and continue interview.
If "very or fairly sure" ask:
20. Now assuming these will be the candidates (hand them the
card) in the Republican and Democratic primary, will you be voting
in the Republican or Democratic primary?
Republican
Democratic
D.N.
If "Democratic" skip primary section and continue with interview.
If "Republican" continue with:
-20-
79. Can you tell me who Pete McCloskey is?
20. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think
of Pete McCloskey?
Dr.
What else?
82. How much do you feel you know about Pete McCloskey and
what he stands for -- a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
83. As you may know, Congressman McCloskey may be running against
President Nixon in some of the primary elections next spring.
Do you approve or disapprove of him running against the President
in the Wisconsin primary?
84.
Why do you say that?
85. If Congressman McCloskey does not run in the Wisconsin
primary, would you prefer to have the President run unopposed or
have someone else run against him?
Run Opposed
Someone Else Run
D.N.
If "Someone Else Run" ask:
B6.
Would you prefer that whomever ran against President Nixon
in the Wisconsin primaries be more liberal or conservative than
he is?
Liberal Conservative Neither D.N.
-21-
87.
Is there anyone in particular you would like to see run
in the Republican primary against the President?
yo.
If the Wisconsin primary election were being held today
and Pete McCloskey and Richard Nixon were the candidates, would
you be voting for McCloskey or Nixon?
McCloskey
Nixon
Undecided
89.
Why would you be voting that way?
ADDENDUM A
Now, I would like to read you some opinions people have expressed on a
number of different issues. After I read each opinion statement, I'd like
to have you tell me the answer on this card which best expreses your
personal feelings about that particular opinion (HAND CARD ). Here's the
first statement:
Neither
Strongly
Agree
Strongly
Agree Agree Disagree Disagree Disagree
1. I think the President's Pay Board has
no business setting a policy that increases
must be held to 5 1/2 percent or less
[ ]
[ ]
[]
[]
[ ]
2. I am happy that the President's Price
Commission has set a policy that prices,
on the average, whould not be increased
by more than 2 1/2 percent a year.
[]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
3. As a result of the President's new
economic policy, I feel more confident
about my future than I did last year.
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
4. I think that the treatment of blacks in
our country has improved during the past
three years.
[ ]
[]
[]
[ ]
[ ]
5. I think that, in trying to achieve equal
opportunities for all racial minority
groups, we are going too fast.
[ ]
[]
[ ]
[]
[ ]
6
wouldn't mind if the federal government
gave financial aid to parochial schools if
01
the money were not used for any religious
purposes.
[]
[ ]
[ ]
[]
[]
2.
I think the federal government should be
responsible for providing complete health
care services for everyone in our country [ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
8. I'd gladly pay more taxes or slightly higher
prices if I knew that money would GO to
help pollution and clean up our
environment.
[ ]
[ ]
[]
[ ]
[ ]
Co.
It's a mistake for President Nixon to
visit Communist China.
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
10. School children should be bussed out of
their neighborhoods if it is necessary to
achieve racial balance in the schools.
[]
[ ]
[]
[ ]
[ ]
11. In the long run the President's new economic
policies and the wage/price freeze will
benefit the working man.
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[]
12. The only way to stop the rising crime rate
is to have more police and tougher law
enforcement.
[]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
13. Keeping our economy strong is more important
than worrying about pollution.
[]
[ ]
[]
C J.
[ ]
Dape
AUDENDUM." B
Additional Question.
There has been a lot of talk about national priorities or how the federal
government should spend its money lately. Here is a list of some things
some people have mentioned to us as being important (HAND CARD ). I would
like you to tell me which one item on this list you think should be the
top priority for the federal government during the next year or two?
a. Now, I would like to go through the list of items with you and have you
tell me whether the federal government should be spending more, less or
about the same amount of money as they now are on each of these items.
(a. More Same Less
Maintaining our national defenses
Controlling pollution
Improving education
Stopping inflation
Providing equal opportunity for
all our citizens
Lowering unemployment
Improving health care
Aid to senior citizens
Welfare benefits
Alternative
79-89
1. Now, as you probably know, there will be a Presidential Primary election
here in Wisconsin next spring. How sure are you whether you will be voting
in the Republican or Democratic primary - very sure, fairly sure, or probably
won't vote?
[ ] Very sure
[ ] Fairly sure
[ ] Probably won't vote
[ ] Don't know
IF "PROBABLY WON'T", SKIP TO QUESTION -
AND CONTINUE INTERVIEW
IF "VERY SURE OR FAIRLY SURE", ASK:
2. Now, assuming these people (HAND CARD A) will be the candidates, will you be
voting in the Republican or Democratic primary?
[ ] Republican
[] Democratic
[] Don't know
IF "DEMOCRATIC", SKIP TO QUESTION AND CONTINUE INTERVIEW
IF "REPUBLICAN CONTINUE WITH QUESTION 3
3. Can you tell me who Pete McCloskey is?
[ ]
Yes
[] No
[ ] Don't know
IF "YES", ASK:
a. What is the first thing that comes to your mind when you think of Pete
McCloskey?
b. What else? (PROBE)
4. How much do you feel you know about Pete McCloskey and what he stands for
-- a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
[ ] Great deal
[ ] Fair amount
[ ] Very little
[ ] Don't know
5. As you may know, Congressman McCloskey is running against Presdient Nixon in
some of the Republican Primary elections. Do you hope he runs or does not run
in the Wisconsin Primary?
[ ] Does
[ ] Does not
[ ] Don't know
a. Why do you say that? (PROBE)
6. If Congressman McCloskey does not run in the Wisconsin Primary, would you prefer
to have the President run unopposed or have someone else run against him?
[ ] Unopposed
[ ] Someone else
[ ] Don't know
IF "SOMEONE ELSE", ASK:
a. Would you prefer that who ever runs against President Nixon be more liberal or
more conservative than he is?
[ ] More liberal
[ ] More conservative
[ ] Don't know
7. Is there anyone in particular you would like to see run in the Republican Primary
other than President Nixon?
8. If the Primary election were being held today and Pete McCloskey and Richard Nixon
were the candidates, would you be voting for McCloskey or Nixon?
[] Nixon
[ ] McCloskey
[ ] Don't know
a. Why do you say that? (PROBE)
NEW HAMPSHIRE:
1. Will you be voting in the Democratic or Republican Primary?
[] Democratic
[] Republican
[] Don't know
2. Are you in favor or not in favor of the proposed state income tax for New
Hampshire?
[] Favor
[ ] Not in favor
[] Don't know
3. Do you generally read the Manchester Union Leader?
[ ] Yes
[] No
IF "YES", ASK:
a. With respect to the editorial positions taken by William Loeb and the Manchester
Union Leader, would you say that you generally agree or disagree with them?
[ ] Agree
[ ] Disagree
[ ] Don't know
New Hampshire General Election Ballot:
U.S. Senate
Rep. [ ] Wesley Powell
Dem. [] Thomas McIntyre
Governor
Rep. [ ] Walter Peterson
Dem. [] Roger Crowley
Administratively Confidential
December 7, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Taft Schreiber Meeting
If you meet with Taft Schreiber today he will want to
cover at least three matters. The first concerns the
RNC Convention and the role of Frederick Rheinstein in
the TV production. Chapin has submitted reports
independently to you on this subject. Schreiber will
try to end-run the decisions of Chapin, Timmons,
Magruder and the RNC about using Rheinstein.
The second subject that Schreiber could raise will be
the celebrities program for the Committee for the Re-
Election of the President. You received an update
December 12.
Thirdly, Schreiber will try to get you to approve "some
big event for the President".
Recommendation:
Since Chapin is familiar with the Convention TV
arrangements and will be asked to consider the schedule
request, he should set in on your meeting with Schreiber.
Approve
Disapprove
Comment
GS:1m
Chron
LH has
the
back
attach,nent
Administratively Confidential
5n
& original
chron
12/7
December 7, 1971
12:15pm
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Primary State Poll
You have the draft questionnaire for the Committee poll
in New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Florida that the Attorney
General approved on December 1.
Working with Bob Teeter has developed alternate questions
based on polls conducted by Gallup, Harris, and ORC
(questionnaire attached).
Teeter has also prepared a memorandum to you outlining
various points of difference between his research approach
and ORC's (attached).
Finally, you mentioned that you were going to discuss
the Harris Domestic Issues poll with the Attorney General.
It would be helpful if Dob Teeter but not Jeb Magruder,
Bob Marik, or anyone else at the Committee received a
copy of this Harris poll.
Approve, send copies to the Attorney General and
Bob Teeter
Disapprove, only the Attorney General
Other
GS:1m
Administratively Confidential
December 6, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Gallup Trial Heats
Dwight Chapin called John Davies at the Gallup Organization
to obtain the trial heat results from the poll conducted
November 19-22. Davies called me with the results, which
are based on registered voters, not the entire population:
Nixon
Kennedy
Wallace
Undecided
44
41
10
5
These are final figures and will be published Thursday,
December 9.
Preliminary figures, which may change slightly before publica-
tion on Sunday, December 12, are:
Nixon
Muskie
Wallace
Undecided
44
41
10
5
Nixon
Humphrey
Wallace
Undecided
46
37
12
5
Nixon
McGovern
Wallace
Undecided
49
33
12
6
If you cover these figures with the President, you may want
to remind him that Mr. & Mrs. George Gallup, Jr. will be his
guests at the Medici State Dinner tomorrow night, December 7.
GS:dg
MF
A
7
S
Gallup G Trial Heats
Durght Crapin called
John Davies at the Gallup
organization to obtain the
trial heat results from
the Gallup poll conducted
Nov. 19- 22 Davies
called me with the results,
which are based on registered voters not
nixon Kennedy 41 Wallace X entire the
44
10
populater
undicilal
5.
These are final figures and
will be published Thursday, 12/9.
Preliminary figures, which
may change slightly before
publication on Sunday, 12/12
are:
nim muslie wallace Underdal
44
41
10
5
nixon Humphay Wallace Uncleuded
46 37 12 5
Risan McGovern "
49
33
12
6"
of you cover these with the
P, you may want to remind
him that Mr. + Mrs. George
Gallup Jr. will be his guests
at the medici State Denner tomorrow
night, December 7.
12/6
John Davies:
410
Prelim trial heats
n, K, wal public I
44 41 41 10 T 5
same
n mus, wal -same
release
Uoters
must, me6t X HHH*
not yet
tote
HITH was Un
naps
46
37
12 5
dad
me
12 6
49
33
FU
THE WHITE HOUSE
LR
WASHINGTON
December 3, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM :
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT :
Gallup Poll
Today's release indicates that Gallup was in the field
interviewing November 19-22.
In Chapin's absence I called John Davies at the Gallup
organization to ask for Presidential approval figures.
Davies told me they did not ask the Presidential approval
question. When I asked if they had conducted trial heats
he said yes but that the figures would not be available
until Wednesday, December 8.
That's the already
Administratively Confidential
December 2, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Campaign Polling
On December 1, the Attorney General met with Magruder and
Teeter to review the progress on the Campaign polling plan.
The suggestions which you made on November 23 regarding which
states should be polled have been incorporated as indicated
by the November 24 Teeter memorandum attached at Tab A.
The updated plan which has the Attorney General's approval
is attached at Tab B. It suggests that field polling in
New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and Florida begin December 6
with the questionnaire attached at Tab C. Magruder has
written the Attorney General's changes on the draft
questionnaire. The final questionnaire will be given
to the Attorney General on December 6, just before the
poll goes into the field. The questionnaire is currently
being reviewed for consistency and trend possibilities.
ORC will do the polling in New Hampshire and Florida if
their bid price is brought down. MOR, Bob Teeter's dirm,
will do the poll in Wisconsin.
The cost of the Campaign polling will be shared in Ohio,
California, Texas, Kentucky, New York, New Jersey, Maryland,
North Carolina, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Wisconsin,
and Illinois. The confidentiality of questions will be
protected. States where there will be no sharing of costs
include Oregon, New Hampshire, Florida, Iowa, Montana, and
Virginia.
You may recall that sometime before November 4, the President
indicated that he does not want any more major field polls
done until after the State of the Union. You mentioned this
to the Attorney General on November 4, but you both left open
the question of whether you would have him reconsider that
decision.
GS:1m:dg
-2-
The Attorney General is of course fully aware of your
interest in polling and would welcome any suggestions.
The only question which he has specifically asked you for
comment on is the issues ranking question, for which ORC
has trend, on page 6.
Two other polling matters are pending. First, you mentioned
that you were going to talk to the Attorney General about him
receiving a copy of the Harris Doemstic Issues Poll. You
will probably want to cover with him whether Magruder,
Teeter, and Marik are also to have access. Second, you told
me on November 22, after the Meany Poll, that we need to ask
two questions on the President's plans to meet with Chinese
and Russian leaders. The question is do you want these in
the Campaign poll in the three states or as part of the next
national telephone poll. I recommend asking them in the
next national poll.
Agree, next national telephone poll
Disagree, include in Campaign poll
Other
GS:1m
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
170' PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. N.W.
WASHINGTON D. C 20006
DETERMINED TO BE AN
(202) 333.0920
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12005. Fertions-102
By Emprise Dine Date 1-18-80
CONT IDENTIAL
November 24, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER Run
SUBJECT:
Campaign Polling
Jeb Magruder asked me to respond to several points which you
raised concerning our polling program for the campaign.
1. Washington has been deleted from the list of
target states and will not be surveyed.
2. Maryland and Wisconsin are both primary and
target states and therefore will be surveyed
with each of the planned waves.
3. Both Kentucky and Tennessee are considered
target states and will be included.
4. Virginia has been in and out of the list of target
states and it is my feeling that it should be in-
cluded. It is important to us because of it's
size, it's position as a border state, and one of
those states where Wallace vote was a major factor
in 1968 and any change in it could greatly influence
our chances of campaigning it in 1972. We have now
included it in our list of target states to be polled.
5. The suggestion has been made to also include at least
one deep South state in the first wave of polls.
While we have not included any of these states in our
list of target states, we do have some data from Alabama
and will have additional data throughout the campaign.
My company (MOR) has done a poll for Postmaster Blount
which included several questions and test ballots on the
-2-
President. We have an agreement to do four more
during the course of the next year at roughly
the same times our state waves will be done. Blount
is willing for us to include questions for the
President and to make the data available to us.
I think that Alabama should be indicative of those
in Mississippi and Louisiana at least for present
purposes. Furthermore, we are participating in a
poll being done in Arkansas which will give us data
on another type of Southern state.
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
MEMORANDUM
DETERMINED TO BE AN November 28, 1971
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12065, Section 6-102
CONFIDENTIAL By Emprise MRS, Date 1-18-80
MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL
FROM ROGERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT: 1972 CAMPAIGN POLLING
The purpose of this memorandum is to give you a status report on our
planning for the first wave of polls.
Vendors/Design/Cost
I have met with each of the vendors and they have all submitted
proposed questionnaires, design specifications and cost estimates.
A draft questionnaire (Tab A), a proposed list of state assignments,
and budget figures for each of the states (Tab B) we intend to poll
have been developed.
You should note and be advised of the fact that ORC's cost estimates
are considerably higher. than those of either DMI or MOR for the same
states. I have brought this up with Tom Benham and hope to be able to
lower our costs for the ORC states.
Recommendation
That you approve the state assignments of the vendors, the sample
sizes, and cost estimates for the first wave as detailed in Tab B.
We will have to give the vendors some flexibility in these costs
(not more than 5%) as they do not have a final questionnaire and
both ORC and DMI are going into new interviewing territory.
Approve
Disapprove
Comment
Timing
After talking to the vendors it is apparent to me that we cannot
finalize a questionnaire, pre-test it, and give the vendors enough
time to get the interviewing done before December 15. As it is
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
MEMORANDUM
By Bg
E.O. 12065, Section 4-27-82 6-102
NARS, Date
CONFIDENTIAL
impossible to get good interviewing during the holidays, I think
we would be well-advised to delay all but the early-primary state
polls until after the first of the year.
The vendors who are going to be working in new states need some
additional time to get current census maps for sampling purposes.
Also, information on state issues and candidates has been a little
slow in coming in and this will give us an additional week to collect
it and work out any joint arrangements we want to make with the
States.
We should not, however, have any trouble in getting the interviewing
in the three early-primary states done before the 15th which will
give us data by the end of the year.
I have discussed the possibility of sharing costs with a few of the
state chairmen who I know well and most are very interested. For
example, I have made a tentative agreement with John Andrews to split
the cost of the Ohio poll fifty-fifty which is a savings of $9,000
for the Committee. If we are going to negotiate this type of
arrangement with other states, we should decide now which states
and with whom we are willing to work jointly.
Recommendation
That we begin the New Hampshire, Florida, and Wisconsin polls
immediately SO as to have data back by the end of December. Then we
finalize the arrangements for the remaining fifteen statewide polls
and national oversample so that interviewing can begin on January
3 and that data will be available by the end of January.
Approve
Disapprove
Comment
Questionnaire
We plan to revise this questionnaire this weekend, add the
primary questions and begin the three primary state polls immediate.y
I will have a finalized questionnaire with state questions for the
other states for your approval by December 17.
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
MEMORANDUM
12065, Section 6-102
By E.O. Bg NARS, Date 4-37-82
CONFIDENTIAL
Three forms of the questionnaire are currently being field tested.
Recommendation
That you approve this questionnaire with possible minor revisions
for use with the primary add-ons in New Hampshire, Florida, and
Wisconsin.
Approve x
Disapprove
Comment
subject to revisions
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
TAB B
MEMORANDUM
Rep. Primary
Basic
Oversample
Total
DMI
Basic Sample
Oversample
Sample Cost
Cost
Cost
California
1,000
-
19,600
-
19,600
Texas
1,000
-
20,300
-
20,300
Oregon
600
100
11,280
1,880
13,160
Kentucky
600
-
11,220
-
11,220
New York
1,000
-
21,400
-
21,400
ORC
New Hampshire
600
188
16,800
4,700
21,500
Florida
800
220
19,400
6,600
26,000
New Jersey
800
-
20,000
-
20,000
Maryland
800
240
19,300
8,700
28,000
North Carolina
800
-
19,400
-
19,400
Tennessee
800
-
19,600
-
19,600
Iowa
600
-
16,000
-
16,000
.
MOR
Pennsylvania
800
-
18,000
-
18,000
Ohio
800
-
18,000
(9,000 pd. by
9,000
State comm. )
Indiana
800
*
116
16,000
2,320
18,320
Illinois
800
Wisconsin
800
164
17,000
3,500
20,500
Missouri
800
-
18,000
-
18,000
Virginia
800
-
18,800
-
18,800
359,240
*
Illinois Poll has been completed by MOR and privately financed
MARKET OPINION RESEARCH
327 John R - OR Detroit, Michigan 48226
STATEWIDE STUDY
Hello, I'm Mrs.
from Market Opinion Research, a national research company
with headquarters in Detroit. We are making a study of problems and political figures
in Wisconsin.
1. Are you a registered voter here in Wisconsin?
[ ] Yes
[ ] No
IF "YES", CONTINUE WITH INTERVIEW BEGINNING WITH QUESTION 2
IF "NO", ASK:
a. Are you seventeen or older?
[ ] Yes
[] No
IF "NO", TERMINATE INTERVIEW
IF "YES", ASK:
b. Do you intend to register and vote in the national election next fall?
[ ] Yes
[ ] No
IF "NO", TERMINATE INTERVIEW
IF "YES", CONTINUE WITH INTERVIEW
2. What do you think are the most important problems facing the United States as
a nation at this time?
3. Which one of these do you think is the single most important problem facing the
United States? (CIRCLE JUST ONE ABOVE)
4. Overall, do you think the United States as a nation is better off or worse off than
it was three or four years ago?
[ ] Better off
[ ] Worse off
[] About the same
[ ] Don't know
a. Why do you say that?
5. Now, I'm going to mention several problems and issues to you and using this scale
card (HAND CARD A), I'd like you to rate how important of a problem each one is
to you.
Inflation
Crime
Racial problems
Health care
Vietnam
Drugs
Unemployment
Bussing
Environment
6. Do you feel that President Nixon's plan for withdrawal of U.S. troops from Vietnam
brings our troops back too fast, too slow, or just about right?
[ ] Too fast
[ ] Too slow
[ ] About right
[ ] Don't know
7. Once the United States has withdrawn all its combat troops from Vietnam, do you
think we should keep some troops there to help support the South Vietnamese or
should all of our troops be withdrawn?
[ ] Keep some troops there
[ ] All troops withdrawn
[] Don't know
- 2 -
Do you think that the United States should withdraw all its troops regardless
of whether or not the North Vietnamese release our Prisoners of War or that
we should keep some troops in Vietnam until all our Prisoners of War are released?
L ] Withdraw troops regardless of POW
[] Keep some troops there
[ Don't know
Do you approve or disapprove of President Nixon's trip to Communist China?
[ ] Approve
] Disapprove
[ ] Don't know
D. In general, do you think opening up more normal relations between the United States
and Communist China will be more likely or less likely to lead to world peace?
[ ] More likely
[ ] Less likely
[ ] Makes no difference
[ ] Don't know
As you probably know, we have had a continuing problem with inflation and
unemployment recently. Do you think business, government, labor, or the consumers
is most responsible for this problem?
[ ] Business
[ ] Government
[ ] Labor
Consumers
[] Don't know
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon is dealing with the
economic conditions in this country?
[] Approve
[] Disapprove
[ Don't know
3. From what you know about President Nixon's new economic policies, do you think
these policies treat everyone fairly, or do these policies favor some groups over
others?
[ ] Treat everyone fairly
[ ] Favor some groups over others
[] Don't know
IF "FAVOR SOME GROUPS OVER OTHERS", ASK:
a. What group or groups do you think are favored by President Nixon's new
economic policies? (ASK THIS AS AN OPEN-END QUESTION, BUT RECORD RESPONSES
USING THE PRECODED CATEGORIES WHERE POSSIBLE. WRITE IN "OTHER" ANSWERS).
[] Business
[ ] Labor
[ ] the consumer/the average person/the individual
[ ] Other: (SPECIFY)
[ ] Don't know
4. In your opinion, how successful have President Nixon's economic policies been
in reducing inflation and improving general business conditions in the country --
very successful, fiarly successful, or not very successful?
[ ] Very successful [ ] Fairly successful [ ] Not very successful [ ] Don't know
IF "NOT VERY SUCCESSFUL", ASK:
a. In what way, specifically, have the President's economic policies not been
successful?
5. As a result of the President's new economic policy, how do you feel about the
future a lot more confident, somewhat more confident, no change, or less
confident?
[ ] A lot more confident
[] Somewhat more confident
[ I No Change
[ ] Less confident
[ ] Don't know
S. Do you believe President Nixon's economic plans will help your personal situation,
hurt it, or won't it make any difference?
[ J Help
[ ] Hurt
[ I No difference
[ ] Don't know
- 3 -
17. The newly established Pay Board has set a policy that wages should not be
increased by more than 5 1/2 percent a year. Do you agree or disagree with
this policy?
[ ] Agree
[] Disagree
[ ] Don't know
18. The newly established Price Commission has set a policy that prices, on the
average, should not be increased by more than 2 1/2 percent a year. Do you
agree or disagree with this policy?
[] Agree
[ ] Disagree
[ ] Don't know
19. Do you think that the treatment of blacks in our country has improved, gotten
worse, or stayed about the same during the past three years
[ ] Improved
[ ] Gotten worse
[] Stayed same
NN
[] Don't know
IF "WORSE", ASK:
a. Why do you say that? (PROBE)
20. Overall, do you think that racial integration in the U.S. during the past several
years has proceeded too fast, about the right speed, or too slow?
[] Too fast
[ ] Too slow
[ ] About right
[ ] Don't know
21. Are you in favor or not in favor of racially integrated public schools?
[] In favor
[ ] Not in favor
[ ] Don't know
IF "IN FAVOR", ASK:
a. Are you in favor or not in favor of bussing public school students to achieve
racially integrated public schools?
[ ] In favor
[] Not in favor
[] Don't know
22. If the Federal court ruled that your school district had to bus students to get
racial balance in the schools, would you be willing to have your child bussed if the
bus ride took the following length of time?
Willing
Not
Willing
Don't
know
10 minute school bus ride
20 minute school bus ride
30 minute school bus ride
45 minute school bus ride
23. Are you in favor or not in favor of the proposed Constitutional Amendment which
would prohibit any bussing of school children to achieve racially integrated
public schools.
[ ] In favor
[ ] Not in favor
[ ] Don't know
24. Are you in favor or not in favor of the federal government giving financial aid
to parochial schools if the money were not used for any religious purposes.
[ ] In favor
[ ] Not in favor
[ ] Don't know
25. In your opinion, who should have primary responsibility for providing health care
services in this country - the federal government or private individuals through
their medical insurance, their savings, or their income?
[ ] The federal government
[ ] Private individuals through their medical insurance,
their savings or their income
[ ] Don't know
- 4
26. There has been a lot of talk about ecology and the environment lately. When you
think about ecology and the environmental problems, what specific problems come
to mind? (ASK OPEN ENDED - DO NOT PROMPT RESPONSE)
Air pollution
Water pollution
Solid waste/recyling
Land use/parks
Population
Use of chemicals/pesticides
Noise
Other: (SPECIFY)
Don't know
27. With regard to environmental problems, would you be to have your taxes
increased if the money were used to help stop pollution and clean up the environment?
[ ] Yes
J No
[ ] Don't know
28. Would you be willing to have the price of many of the products you buy increased
slightly if it would help stop pollution and clean up the environment?
[ ] Yes
[ ] No
[ ] Don't know
29. Are you in favor or not in favor of the government forcing industry to stop polluting
even though it caused some plants to close and make unemployment?
[ ] In favor
[ ] Not in favor
[ ] Don't know
30. Are you in favor or not in favor of a law which woul require that women be payed the
same as men for doing the same job in other words equal pay for equal work?
[ ] Favor
[ ] Not in favor
L
Don't know
31. Are you in favor or not in favor of a constitutiona amendment giving women all the
same rights and responsibilities as men?
[] In favor
[ ] Not in favor
[ ] Don't know
IF "IN FAVOR", ASK:
a. Would you be in favor even though such an amendment might cause women to be drafted?
[] In favor
[ Not in favor
[ ] Don't know
32. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job
as President?
[ ] Approve
[ ] Disapprove
[] Don't know
a. Why do you say that? (PROBE)
33. What do you think are the most important accomplishments of the Nixon Administration?
34. What do you think are the major failures of the Nixon Administration?
35. Now, I'd like you to think about Richard Nixon for a moment, not only as the President
but as an individual. What two or three words do you think best describe Richard
Nixon as a person?
5
36. With regard to President Nixon's accomplishments up to now, would you say he
is - better than most of our Presidents, about average, or not as good as most
of our Presidents?
=
Better than most of our Presidents
83
About average
Not as good as most of our Presidents
Don't know
37. which of the following statements on this card (HAND CARD B) best describes how
you feel about the information the Nixon administration gives the public?
====
Always frank and truthfull with the public.
Tries to make things seem more favorable than they really are.
Holds back or slants information that would make the Administration look bad.
Dont' know
38. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think of Edmund Muskie?
39. How much do you feel you know about Edmund Muskie and what he stands for --
a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
[ ] Great deal
[] Fair amount
[] Very little
[ ] Don't know
40. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think of George Wallace?
41. How much do you feel you know about George Wallace and what he stands for --
a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
[ ] Great deal
[ ] Fair amount
[ ] Very little
[ ] Don't know
42. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think of Hubert Humphrey?
43. How much do you feel you know about Hubert Humphrey and what he stands for
a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
[ ] Great deal
[ ] Fair amount
[ ] Very little
[ ] Don't know
44. What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think of Edward Kennedy?
45. How much do you feel you know about Edward Kennedy and what he stands for --
a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
[ ] Great deal
[ ] Fair amount
[ ] Very little
[ ] Don't know
46. Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling
his job as Vice President?
L ] Approve
[ ] Disapprove
[ J Don't know
- 6
47. (HAND CARD C) Here is a list of a number of current issues. Please read through
the whole list and pick out the four or five issues that you are personally most
concerned about. Just give me the numbers.
Q. 47
Q. 48
Most Concerned About
Excellent Good Fair Poor Don't know
1
1. Ending United States involvement in
1
2
3
4
5
Vietnam
2 2. Holding down the unemployment rate
1
2
3
4
5
3 3. Protecting the interest of the consumer
1
2
3
4
5
4 4. Combatting organized crime
1
2
3
4
5
5
5. Controlling drug traffic and use
1
2
3
4
5
6 6. Reducing inflation
1
&
3
4
5
7
7. Seeking a solution to the Middle East
problem
1
2
3
4
5
8 8. Improving business conditions
2
3
4
5
9 9. Handling foreign affairs
2
3
4
5
10 10. Reducing government spending
2
3
5
11 11. Providing medical card for the aged
1
2
3
4
5
12 12. Improving social welfare programs
2
3
4.
5
13 13. Reducing air and water pollution
1
2
3
4
5
14 14. Easing racial tensions
1
2
3
4
5
15 15. Improving conditions in our Marge cities
1
2
3
4
5
16 16. Maintaining the prestige of the United
States throughout the world
1
2
3
4
5
17 17. Providing aid to education
1
2
3
4
5
18 18. Keeping our national defenses strong
1.
2
3
4
5
19 19. Improving our relations with communist
countries
1
2
3
4
5
20 20. Understanding the views of young people
2
3
4
5
21 21. Dealing with the problem of population
growth
1
2
3
4
5
22 22. Understanding the problems of farmers
1
2
3
4
5
48. Now, Let's go through each of these issues one at a time. For each one, please tell
me what kind of a job you think the Nixon Administration is doing on it. Tell me
whether you think the Nixon Adminis tration is doing an excellent job, a good job,
a fair job, or a poor job? RECORD RESPONSE ABOVE BY CIRCLING APPROPRIATE NUMBER
49. Now, I'd like to go through the lis once more and have you tell me whether you think
Edmund Muskie would do a excellent, good, fair or poor job of handling each of these
problems, as President? RECORD RESPONSE ABOVE WITH AN X
50. Now, looking over this list again, tell me in which of the area you think
President Nixon has done his best job!
52. In which area do you think he has done his poorest job?
7
54. Now, I'd like to do something a little different. (HAND CARD D) Which quality on
this card do you think is most important for a President to have? (ACCEPT ONLY
ONE ANSWER) (RECORD BELOW)
55. Now, which one word on this card do you think best describes Richard Nixon?
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER) (RECORD BELOW)
56. Are there any other words or phrases on this list that you think describe Richard
Nixon? What are they? (RECORD BELOW)
57. Which one of the words or phrases best describes (NAME CANDIDATE)?
58. Are there any other words or phrases on this list that you think describe
(NAME SAME CANDIDATE)? What are they? (RECORD BELOW)
ASK QUESTIONS 57 AND 58 SEPARATELY FOR EACH POTENTIAL CANDIDATE SHOWN BELOW, STARTING WITH
THE ONE MARKED "1" IN RED; THEN THE 2nd AND THE 3rd. RECORD BELOW.
Richard
Edmund
Hubert
Edward (Ted)
Nixon
Muskie
Humphrey
Kennedy
Q. 54.
Not
Not
Not
Not
Best
Best Oth. Namd.
Best Oth. Namd.
Best Oth. Namd
Best Oth. Namd.
Straightforward
Warm
Calm
Sincere
Courageous
Careful
Fair
Qualified
59. (HAND CARD E) Which one of these words or phrases do you think best describes Richard
Nixon? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER) (RECORD BELOW)
60. Are there any other words or phrases on this list that you think describe Richard
Nixon? What are they? (RECORD BELOW)
61. Which one of the words or phrases best describes (NAME CANDIDATE)?
62. Are there any other words or phrases on this list that you think describe
(NAME SAME CANDIDATE)? What are they? (RECORD BELOW)
ASK QUESTIONS 61 AND 62 SEPARATELY FOR EACH POTENTIAL CANDIDATE SHOWN BELOW, STARTING
WITH THE ONE MARKED "1" IN RED: THEN THE 2nd AND THE 3rd. RECORD BELOW.
Richard
Edmund
Hubert
Edward (Ted)
Nixon
Muskie
Humphrey
Kennedy
Not
Not
Not
Not
Best Oth. Namd.
Best 0th. Namd
Best Oth. Namd.
Best 0th. Namd.
Pessimistic
Close-minded
Untruthful
Excitable
Deceptive
Arrogant
Wishy-washy
Unqualified
63. What do you think are the most important problems facing the State of Wisconsin at the
present time?
64. Which one of these do you think is the single most important problem facing Wisconsin?
(CIRCLE JUST ONE ABOVE)
65. Overall, do you think Wisconsin as a State is better off or worse off than it was
three or four years ago?
[ ] Better off
[] Worse off
[ ] About the same
[] Don't know
a. Why do you say that? (PROBE)
66. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Lucey is handling his job as Governor?
[ ] Approve
[ ] Disapprove
[ ] Don't know
67. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Proxmire is handling his job
as U.S. Senator?
L ] Approve
[ ] Disapprove
[ ] Don't know
68. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gaylord Nelson is handling his job as
U.S. Senator?
[ ] Approve
[] Disapprove
[] Don't know
INSERT STATE ISSUE QUESTIONS:
69. Now, I'm going to hand you several sample general election ballots. These ballots
each have one or more possible contests for some of the offices we will be voting on
next year. I would like you to mark each race on each of the ballots just as you
would if that election were being held today.
70. In the last general election in which you voted, which answer on this card
(HAND POLITICAL CARD) best describes how you voted for state and local offices
such as Governor and Senator?
Straight Democratic
A few more Republicans than Democrats
|__||__|__|__|___________
Mostly Democratic
A few more Democrats than Republicans
====
Mostly Republican
Straight Republican
About equally for both parties
Don't know
71. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or what?
[ J Republican
[ ] Democrat
[] Independent
[ ] Don't know
72. For whom did you vote for President in 1968?
[ ] Nixon
[ _| Humphrey
[ ] Wallace
[] Didn't vote
[ ] Don't know
73. For whom did you vote for Governor in 1970?
[ ] 0lson
[ ] Lucey
[ ] Didn't vote
[ ] Don't know
- 9 -
74. For whom did you vote for Senator in 1970?
L ] Nelson
[] Erickson
[ ] Didn't vote
[ ] Don't know
Now a few questions for statistical purposes:
75. What is your occupation?
a. (IF RESPONDENT IS NOT HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD) What is the occupation of the
head of this household
76. What is your approximate age? (SHOW AGE CARD)
18-20 years
30-34 years
45-49 years
60-64 years
21-24 years
35-39 years
50-54 years
65 and over
25-29 years
40-44 years
55-59 years
Refused
77. What is the last grade of school you completed?
Grade school or less (Grades 1-8)
Graduated college
====
Some high school
Post graduate work
Graduated high school (Grades 9-12)
Refused
Some college
78. What is your religion? (SHOW RELIGION CARD)
[ ] Roman Catholic
[ ] Protestant
[] Jewish
[ ] Other:
(Specify)
79. (BY OBSERVATION) National origin of respondent?
[ ] White
L ] Negro
[ ] Oriental
[ ] Mexican-American
80. In what country was your grandfather born, that is your father's father?
Austria
Czechoslovakia
Poland
England
Estonia
France
Germany
Hungary
Denmark
Sweden
Norway
Ireland
Italy
Lativa
Mexico
Dutch
Rumania
Russia
Spain
Portugal
Ukraine
United States
Yogoslavia
Other
(Specify)
81. Are you a labor union member?
[ ]
Yes
[ ] No
82. (BY OBSERVATION): Sex:
[ J Male
[ ] Female
83. (SHOW INCOME CARD) Which classification includes your TOTAL FAMILY INCOME before
taxes?
=
0-$2,999
$6,000-$6,999
$15,000-$24,999
$3,000-$4,999
$7,000-$9,999
$25,000 and over
$5,000-$5,999
$10,000-$14,999
Refused
NAME:
TELEPHONE NUMBER:
ADDRESS:
CITY & STATE:
ZIP:
I have re-read this completed questionnaire and certify that all questions requiring answers
have been recorded in the respondent's exact words, and that all boxes and spaces
requiring an "X", a number, or a letter are filled in. This bona fide interview has
been obtained according to quota and all interviewing specifications.
INTERVIEWER'S SIGNATURE:
DATE:
PRIMARY QUESTIONS
As you probably know, there will be a Presidential primary election
in Wisconsin in March.
How sure are you that you will be voting in either the Republican
or Democratic primary election -- very sure, fairly sure, or probably
won't vote?
[ ] Very sure
[] Fairly sure
[ ] Probably won't vote
[ ] Don't know
IF "PROBABLY NOT", SKIP TO QUESTION
AND CONTINUE INTERVIEW.
IF "VERY SURE", OR "FAIRLY SURE", ASK:
Will you be voting in the Republican or Democrat primary?
[]
Republican
[ ] Democrat
[ ] Don't know
IF "DEMOCRATIC", SKIP TO QUESTION AND CONTINUE WITH INTERVIEW
IF "REPUBLICAN", CONTINUE WITH
Now, I'd like to mention several people to you and have you tell me
whether or not you've ever heard of each of them?
ASK ONLY FOR THOSE WHO WILL VOTE IN REPUBLICAN PRIMARY:
What is the first thing that comes to mind when you think of Pete
McCloskey?
How much do you feel you know about Pete McCloskey and what he stands for --
a great deal, a fair amount, or very little?
[] Great deal
[] Fair amount
[ ] Very little
[] Don't know
As you may know, he is running against President Nixon in some of the Republican
primary elections. Do you approve or disapprove of him running against
the President in the Wisconsin primary?
[ ] Approve
[] Disapprove
[ ] Don't know
a. Why do you say that? (PROBE)
Congressman McCloskey does not run in the Wisconsin primary, would you
Consenter against him?
prefer to have the President run unopposed or have someone else run
Run unopposed
[ ] Someone else run against
[ ] Don't know
there anyone else you would like to see run in the Republican primary
besides the President?
If the primary election were being held today and Pete McCloskey and
Richard Nixon were the candidates, would you be voting for McCloskey or
Nixon?
[ ] McCloskey
[ ] Nixon
[] Don't know
a. Why would you be voting that way? (PROBE)
December 1, 1971
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Political Meeting
You wanted to discuss with the President a political meeting with
Secretary Connally. Chuck Colson advised you of Connally's interest.
The question is who should attend. Presumably in this political
meeting with the President, the Attorney General would be present.
If Colson were to attend you might also want to have Ehrlichman,
Harlow, and Dent.
GS:elr