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This file contains: From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Talking paper for Ehrlichman's political meeting. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Floyd McKissick's political party affiliation. 1 pg. [Subject: Personal] [Memo], 7/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Dent- EMK scandal. 1 pg. [Subject: Personal] [Memo], 7/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats Committee. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1972 From: Jeb S. MaGruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Democrats Committee.2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Wave II Polling information- Chapin's access. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1972 From: Dwight L. Chapin To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Polling Information. Handwritten note attached from L. Higby. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Independent Polling capability. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Tom Benham RE: Private Polling Facility. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1972 From: Robert M . Teeter To: Gordon Strachan RE: Campaign Polling. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/22/1972 From: L. Higby To: Gordon Strachan RE: Campaign polling. Memo from Tom Benham regarding private polling facility attached. 4 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1972 From: L. Higby To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Independent polling. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1972 From: L. Higby RE: Follow-up on campaign polling. Three pages of handwritten notes regarding campaign polling. 4 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/19/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democratic Convention polldemographic comparison. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Meeting with John Gavin. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Wave II campaign surveys- Teeter materials for Chapin. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Robert M. Teeter To: Dwight L. Chapin RE: Issue and appearance data from second wave polling. 20 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/25/1972

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This file contains: From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Talking paper for Ehrlichman's political meeting. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Floyd McKissick's political party affiliation. 1 pg. [Subject: Personal] [Memo], 7/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Dent- EMK scandal. 1 pg. [Subject: Personal] [Memo], 7/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats Committee. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1972 From: Jeb S. MaGruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Democrats Committee.2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Wave II Polling information- Chapin's access. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1972 From: Dwight L. Chapin To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Polling Information. Handwritten note attached from L. Higby. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Independent Polling capability. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Tom Benham RE: Private Polling Facility. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1972 From: Robert M . Teeter To: Gordon Strachan RE: Campaign Polling. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/22/1972 From: L. Higby To: Gordon Strachan RE: Campaign polling. Memo from Tom Benham regarding private polling facility attached. 4 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1972 From: L. Higby To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Independent polling. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1972 From: L. Higby RE: Follow-up on campaign polling. Three pages of handwritten notes regarding campaign polling. 4 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/19/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democratic Convention polldemographic comparison. 3 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Meeting with John Gavin. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Wave II campaign surveys- Teeter materials for Chapin. 2 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/27/1972 From: Robert M. Teeter To: Dwight L. Chapin RE: Issue and appearance data from second wave polling. 20 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/25/1972
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 6 7/31/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Talking paper for Ehrlichman's political meeting. 3 pg. 14 6 7/31/1972 Personal Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Floyd McKissick's political party affiliation. 1 pg. 14 6 7/31/1972 Personal Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Dent- EMK scandal. 1 pg. 14 6 7/28/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats Committee. 2 pg. Wednesday, January 05, 2011 Page 1 of 4 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 6 7/27/1972 Campaign Memo From: Jeb S. MaGruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Democrats Committee.2 pg. 14 6 7/28/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Wave II Polling information- Chapin's access. 2 pg. 14 6 7/27/1972 Campaign Memo From: Dwight L. Chapin To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Polling Information. Handwritten note attached from L. Higby. 2 pg. 14 6 7/27/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Independent Polling capability. 2 pg. 14 6 7/21/1972 Campaign Memo From: Tom Benham RE: Private Polling Facility. 3 pg. Wednesday, January 05, 2011 Page 2 of 4 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 6 7/22/1972 Campaign Memo From: Robert M . Teeter To: Gordon Strachan RE: Campaign Polling. 14 6 7/21/1972 Campaign Memo From: L. Higby To: Gordon Strachan RE: Campaign polling. Memo from Tom Benham regarding private polling facility attached. 4 pg. 14 6 7/20/1972 Campaign Memo From: L. Higby To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Independent polling. 1 pg. 14 6 7/19/1972 Campaign Memo From: L. Higby RE: Follow-up on campaign polling. Three pages of handwritten notes regarding campaign polling. 4 pg. 14 6 7/27/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democratic Convention poll- demographic comparison. 3 pg. Wednesday, January 05, 2011 Page 3 of 4 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 6 7/27/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Meeting with John Gavin. 1 pg. 14 6 7/27/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Wave II campaign surveys- Teeter materials for Chapin. 2 pg. 14 6 7/25/1972 Campaign Memo From: Robert M. Teeter To: Dwight L. Chapin RE: Issue and appearance data from second wave polling. 20 pg. Wednesday, January 05, 2011 Page 4 of 4 Presidential Materials Review Board Review on Contested Documents Collection: H. R. Haldeman Box Number: 239 Folder: Strachan Chron HRH only July 1972 Part II Document Disposition 143 Return Private/Political Note, Strachan to HRN, 7-31-72 144 Retain Open 145 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-31-72 146 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-31-72 147 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-28-72 148 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-28-72 149 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-27-72 150 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachanto HRH, 7-27-72 151 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN, 7-27-72 152 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN, 7-27-72 153 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to the Record. 7-26-72 154 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN. 7-26-72 155 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-25-72 156 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-25-72 157 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-25-72 158 Retain Open 159 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-25-72 160 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN, 7-24-72 161 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-24-72 162 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN. 7-24-72 163 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-24-72 164 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN. 7-24-72 165 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-24-72 166 Retain Open Presidential Materials Review Board Review on Contested Documents Collection: H. R. Haldeman Box Number: 239 167 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-21-72 168 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRH, 7-22-72 169 Retain Open 170 Return Private/Political Memo, Strachan to HRN, 7-21-72 I THE WHITE HOUSE Date: 7/31/72 TO: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN This Talking Paper for Ehrlichman's Political Meeting at 11:00 a.m. tomorrow covers the points you wanted raised from my July 29 Political Matters memorandum. Timmons has also been asked to the meeting. He believes the subject will be the Convention Rules dispute. You mentioned you wanted to meet with Ehrlichman and Timmons on this subject. TALKING PAPER FOR EHRLICHMAN POLITICAL GROUP Re: General Matters 1) George Wallace -- Apparently, Ed Harper called Harry Dent on July 27 to ask him to call Wallace and invite him to testify at the Platform Hearings. Dent called Mitchell, who said to wait on the call. Should Wallace be invited to testify at the Platform Hearings? If so, who should call him? John Connally? Harry Dent? Congressman Rhodes? 2) Republican National Convention -- Are the Platform Hearings being arranged for TV coverage? What theme should be used for the Convention? Should Connally appear? 3) Convention Spokesman -- Herb Klein wants to be the chief spokesman at the Convention. MacGregor has said no because most believe it would be inappropriate to have a White House Staff member as the chief Convention/Campaing spokesman. Also, Ann Dore had been selected as the "spokes person" to increase the visibility of women. Should Klein nevertheless be the spokesman? 4) Campaign Kick-Off -- Has it been definitely decided that there should not be a September Campaign Kick-Off in Southern California? Doesn't the poll data indicate we need some high visibility event to improve the President's position in San Diego? - 2 - 5) California - Malek -- There are no Democrats on our Committee, we have no Democratic organization, and we apparently still have Nofziger still running the campaign there. If Malek is not to be the one to review and re- organize the California situation, who is? 6) Polling Data - Platform - Ehrlichman -- Bob Teeter is ready to brief Messrs. Ehrlichman, Cole and Harper on the issue information from Wave II. Would it be useful to have this briefing on the public's perception of the issues before we are locked into the Platform? 7) Local Officials for the President -- The Vice President is concerned that not enough attention is being paid to involving Mayors, County Executives, and other local officials in the re-election of the President effort. Should this activity be run entirely by the Vice President's staff? GS 7/31/72 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 31, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN According to Bob Brown, Floyd McKissick is unfortunately a registered Republican. GS/jb : ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 31, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Dent - BMK Scandal Harry Dent has heard from two sources (Roland Evans and a South Carolina attorney) that there is another major scandal about to break around Teddy Kennedy. According to the sources, a girl pregnant by Teddy will seek quite a publicity splash. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 28, 1972 MEMORANDUM FORE H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Democrate Committee Magruder has been working with Colson on many of the details relating to the Democrate Committee under John Connally - office space, legal advice, and personal matters, Colson and Magruder had been occperating until July 27. Now a basic disagreement has developed over the question of who is to handle the advertising for the Democrats Committee, Magruder has submitted the attached memorandum to Clark MacGregor. The memorandum argues that advertising responsibility should remain in the November Group, with a separate creative unit established to service Connally and the Democratic Committee. According to Magruder, Colson has made arrangements with Jeno Paulucci to use his "in house" advertising agency based in Minnesota. Peter Dailey received word of this possible shift of responsibility from Dwight Chapin on Saturday, July 22, 1972. You had called Chapin on July 22 from Camp David and told him to talk to Dailey and Magruder on Monday, July 24. Magruder and Dailey began work on the July 27 memorandum attached. Dailey came to see me on Wednesday evening, July 26, to discuss advertising for the Democratic Committee. He is very concerned that Colson will be involved. Dailey has worked on two projects with Colson - the response to the New York Times and the Jeno Paulucei ad. Dailey believes Colson exhibited "no taste, judgment, or sensi- tivity on these ads", Dailey is convinced the same will be characteristic of any Colson-inspired Democrats ad for the campaign. Dailey believes the positive ads for the campaign will be easy and productive. Be is concerned that any negative ads dictated by Colson run the risk of losing the election. - 2 - Magruder and Dailey met with MacGregor this morning. MacGregor agreed to ask Paulucci and his advertising man to come to Washington to discuss the entire subject. Dailey and Magruder also want to meet with Mitchell. Dailey called me this morning to say that he will want to see you if Mitchell and MacGregor do not re-establish an advertising approval process that continues to rely primarily on you. Few know what basic decisions have been made regarding Connally, the Democrate Committee, and its advertising. You may want to discuss the entire matter with Colson if you are not fully up-to-date on what Colson is doing with or without Connally's concurrence. GS/jb trackan Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM July 27, 1972 CONFIDENTIAL DETERMINED TO BE AN ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING E.O. 12085. Section 6-102 By Emprise NASS, Date 1-14-80 MEMORANDUM FOR THE HONORABLE CLARK MAC GREGOR FROM: JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: Democrats Committee Now that a number of logistical decisions have been made with respect to the new Democrats Committee (e.g., office space in the Madison Building, storefront space in the former Wilbur Mills headquarters), there are some other, more important, areas we should discuss and consider: First, with respect to advertising, we have been told that, although no decision has been made, the new Committee is contemplating the use of a separate ad agency. Our earlier understanding was that the Committee for the Re-election of the President would develop such capabilities, and provide services to other groups such as the Demo- crats. Committee. We have geared the November Group to that goal. This arrangement assures a consistent strategy, as well as minimizes the overhead costs. We believe that there are several advantages to having the November Group as an in-house agency for the Democrats: 1. The staff devotes itself full-time to the re-election of the President. There are no competing commercial accounts. 2. All of the people who work on the account are loyal to the Presi- dent. Problems of security are minimized. 3.- The top members of the November Group are thoroughly integrated into the strategy development process of the Committee. They thereby obtain a much more thorough understanding of how that strategy can best be translated into creative media. 4. We have recruited a top-quality and an outstanding group of pro- fessionals. There's little question that with the orientation on issues already provided, they can provide outstanding work. CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL -2- 5. Legal opinion indicates that all expenditures will come from the President's $14 million allocation. The problems of controlling certification are already enormous. Using a second agency would greatly complicate the problem. 6. It is most important that the Campaign Director and principal White House staff have the opportunity to exercise maximum control over both sides of the product (i.e., a definitive advertising for the President, and the negative advertising about the opposition). Such control is best maintained working through the existing Novem- ber Group facilities and using the existing approval process, and then adding Mr. Connally's approval for the Democrats Committee advertising. Some concern has been evidenced over how November Group would handle this project. A separate creative staff, whose sole responsibility would be Democrats, would be assigned to the "account." All the administrative, financial and media control would remain the same. Similar reasoning applies in the case of direct mail. As you know, we are currently planning to mail to large numbers of "reachable" Democrats and Independents. In many cases, we would hope to use the signatures of locally prominent Democrats who support the Presi- dent. It would not be productive to have a parallel effort under- taken by the Democrats, although we should coordinate closely with them. Recommendation That the Democrats Committee utilize the campaign capabilities (es- pecially advertising and direct mail) of the Re-election Committee, rather than establishing their own. Decisions on priorities would be made by you and Mr. Connally. We would follow whatever procedure you both deemed appropriate to clear copy, etc., with the Democrats organization. Approve Disapprove Comment CONFIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 28, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Wave II Polling Information - Chapin's Access Chapin's attached memorandum appears to be a stinging indictment of "your office's" (Higby and Strachan) delay and intransigence in releasing Wave II polling information for Chapin's schedule planning. I must take strong excep- tion with Chapin's statements and offer the following for your consideration: 1) On Saturday, July 15 at 10:10 p.m., the detailed Wave II polling information was received by me from Ted Garrish of Teeter's staff, 2) On Monday, July 17, the assembled material with my COVER memorandum recommending a Tester oral briefing of Chapin/Parker (the only thing they received from Wave I per your instructions) was submitted; 3) On Wednesday, July 19, the oral briefing for Chapin/ Parker was approved per Higby. There were to be no written materials submitted to Chapin and I was to sit in to assure adherence to the guidelines (no specific figures); 4) On Wednesday, July 19, Chapin told me he wanted to be briefed on image material so he could make decisions regarding the documentaries. Tester and Garrish were advised to be prepared on image instead of schedule; 5) On Friday, July 21, Ted Garrish briefed Chapin and Dave Parker for one-half hour on general schedule sugges- tions. Chapin and Parker asked for the State by Issue written material. The briefing continued with Chapin and Moore but on image information, - 2 - 6) On Friday and Saturday, July 21 and 22, Tester and Garrish went back to their computer to prepare the State by Issue information, 7) On Tuesday, July 25, the State by Issue Information was ready and Chapin and Parker were briefed by Teeter. He used the materials to talk from and Chapin requested a copy. I declined, indicating I will have to check with you, In addition, all agreed there should be a textual summary as well as a national sheet for comparison purposes; 8) On Wednesday, July 26, Teeter submitted the "Issue and Appearances Date from Second Wave Polling"; 9) On July 27, this material was submitted to you with my cover memorandum (slightly modified but significantly improved by a Higby suggestion that Teeter prepare his subjective recommendations) recommending that Chapin and Parker receive the information. So much for the factual description. Two personal obser- vations should be considered. First, if Chapin really can obtain the information independently at 1701, there is a very serious leak situation there which should be plugged immediately. Second, Chapin has always rankled under his lack of access to the polling information. He hopes to blast through the protection system by arguing delay and intransigence. If you decide to discuss his memorandum with him, I suggest that you point out to him that we are all on one team and that there has been no attempt by me or Higby to deny Chapin the information. We have been recommending he receive it since it arrived, have been pushing Teeter hard to prepare the best material for him, and yet have been protecting the information pursuant to your explicit instructions. GS/jb THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date TO: AS FROM: L. HIGBY Male were that your meno cover all Chepine point. L. I MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE High Priority WASHINGTON July 27, 1972 11:00 a. m. HIGH PRIORITY MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: DWIGHT L. CHAPIN D SUBJECT: Polling Information I think an issue should be made of our trying to obtain polling information from the second wave. Last Saturday a memorandum was sent over from 1701 to your office which contained the information we need for proceeding with some schedule planning and trying to get a good feel as to the situation in various parts of the country and where we should concentrate. That information was sorted through and on Monday was put into different form. On Tuesday we met with Teeter who had some sheets of paper with him but we were not allowed to get hold of these pieces of paper. We ended the meeting, hoping to get within the next day or so a written description of the polling information, or at least figures so we could interpret them ourselves. Before noon yesterday the information was delivered from 1701 to your office and so far it has not shown up here. We are doing some rough campaign plans so as to spark some comment from you and give you some materials to work with should the President want to start talking about the campaign. We can't get our work done because we can't get the information. It's a little disconcerting to feel the massive screening process has' to take place prior to my getting the information. I could get hold of the information immediately directly from 1701 if I wanted to go that route. 1701 is a little confused as to what's going on and, needless to say, I am too. ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 27, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Independent Polling Capability Higby and I met with Tom Benham on July 21 to discuss his proposal for an independent polling capability for key state and national surveys for exclusive use here at the White House. Benham's proposal, attached at Tab A, offers a day-by-day polling capability similar to one of the three systems 1701 is considering. Teeter's description of the current plans by 1701 for daily polling is attached at Tab B. Benham's proposal would cover more than the requirements you anticipate. He offers a daily, continuous interview- ing of set questions for trend purposes with the capability to substitute any group of questions immediately. Benham's most balanced alternative with capability in each of the key states as well as nationally would cost 183,000. This capability is probably what 1701 should establish, though Teeter has a resistance to ORC, which he claims is based on their excessive costs. ORC is, by the way, more expen- sive than Chilton, which has offered to conduct a national telephone survey of 1,000 interviews for 7,500 instead of the 8,000 ORC charges. However, ORC's reliability, confi- dentiality, and trend information has precluded serious consideration of Chilton. To prevent the waste and duplication of establishing two systems, I propose the following solution: 1) Direct Tester to establish the 1701 daily polling capability at ORC. The cost may be slightly higher and Teeter may resist this intrusion on his authority to make campaign polling decisions, but the advantages of reliability and security outweigh the negatives, - 2 - 2) Arrange privately with Benham (without Tester's knowledge) to have the additional capacity to accommodate the White House requirements of 10-12 national (sample based either on 50 states or on the 10 key states) and individual key state polls. Benham estimates the cost of this additional capability would be 12,000 to install lines and then 8,500 per survey. The per survey cost is 500 higher because of additional overtime and staff costs of producing results in one day, 3) The only duplication of White House and 1701 equip- ment would be a Xerox Telecopier (commercial alternative to Dex). ORC and the other vendors have this capability. This would cost 50 per month to rent, but would permit the quick transmission of written materials. Kehrli con- firms the 150 is available, 4) Payment for the 1701 capability would be made in accordance within the approved budget system. Payment of the 100,000 cost of the ORC independent polling capa- bility could be delayed until after November 7. This would prevent disclosure to anyone at 1701 as well as the general public due to the campaign spending legislation. Approve general idea; Strachan work out details with Teeter and Benham, Disapprove. Other. GS/jb Opinion Research Corporation NORTH HARRISON STREET, PRINCETON, NEW JERSEY 08540 telephone: 609/924-5900 CHICAGO LONDON LOS ANGELES NEW YORK SAN FRANCISCO WASHINGTON, D.C. THOMAS W. BENHAM President MEMORANDUM July 21, 1972 FROM: Tom Benham SUBJECT: Private Polling Facility Specifications: 1. An on-call polling facility, available during the three- month period August, September, October 1972. 2. Reliable survey data, available on short notice. 3. Absolute confidentiality. 4. Professional assistance in question-wording maintenance of trend data, interpretation, analysis, etc. 5. Flexibility in terms of universe to be polled, subject matter covered, etc. The basic universe would be a com- posite of the public in key states (the latest listing: California, Connecticut, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas). On demand, any one of these states, or subgroups of states, could be polled instead of the total universe. The system can also provide continuous interviewing, every day from 10:00 a .m. to 10:00 p.m., to deliver steady, moving trend data on key questions. 6. Interviewing will be conducted and supervised at a central location in ORC's Princeton headquarters. - Memorandum -2- July 21, 1972 The cost of such a get-up is closely related to the desired capacity, i.e., the number and length of interviews expected each day. The following table shows six alternative plans on a thirty-day cost basis. My personal recommendation is Plan 2. Plan 1 Plan 2 Plan 3 Plan 4 Plan 5 Plan 6 Number of inter- views per day 250 250 250 500 500 500 Total interviews per month 7500 7500 7500 15,000 15,000 15,000 Length of Five Ten Fifteen Five Ten Fifteen interview Minutes Minutes Minutes Minutes Minutes Minutes Interviewing $ 15,900 $ 24,200 $ 35,000 $ 26,800 $ 45,900 $ 67,400 Sampling 1,500 1,500 1,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 Processing 5,000 9,000 12,000 9,000 16,000 23,000 Secretarial, Printing, Sup- plies 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,000 5,400 6,000 Professional staff 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 Subtotal 36,150 48,950 63,250 53,050 79,550 108,650 WATS Line Charges 7,200 12,200 17,850 12,450 22,900 35,300 Total $ 43,350 $ 61,150 $ 81,100 $ 65,500 $102,450 $143,950 3-month cost $130,050 $183,450 $243,300 $196,500 $307,350 $431,850 Billing: Monthly, in advance. Memorandum -3.- July 21, 1972 The configuration of WATS bands is as follows: Bands 1 2 3 5 6 7 5 Minute Interview: 250 interviews 1 1 2 0 1 1 500 interviews 2 2 3 0 2 1 10 Minute Interview: 250 interviews 2 2 3 1 1 1 500 interviews 4 4 5 2 2 2 15 Minute Interview: 250 interviews 3 3 4 1 2 2 500 interviews 6 6 8 2 4 3 State Band Coverage California 6 Connecticut 6, 5, 3, 2, 1 Illinois 6, 5, 3 Maryland 6, 5, 3, 2, 1 Michigan 6, 5, 3 New Jersey 7 New York 6, 5, 3, 2, part of 1 Ohio 6, 5, 3 Pennsylvania 6, 5, 3, 2, part of 1 Texas 6, 5 Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM July 22, 1972 DETERMINED TO BT CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY ADMINISTRATIVE The E.O. 12065, Sectio By Emprise NARS, Date 1-14-80 MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. GORDON C. STRACHAN FROM: ROBERT M. TEETER SUBJECT: Campaign Polling This memorandum is in answer to your questions regarding our polling plans for the period from the convention through the election. First, we are going to do a third wave of state polls soon after the Republican convention. They will be done either on the weekend of August 25-27 or September 1-3. They will consist of very short personal interviews and sample ballots which will give us hard ballot data on the priority states, an issue follow-up, a check on the effect of the two tickets, and a check on McGovern's perception. Then we intend to establish a daily interviewing capability using WATS lines that will allow us to do 250-300 interviews each evening (except sunday) and have the data by noon the following day. I think the key to the research for the last several weeks of the campaign is speed and flexibility. This capability will give us data within 24 hours of interviewing and the flexibility to imple- ment almost any research design we might want to use. We will be able to do four or five state surveys each week, local metropolitan area studies, establish state or national panels similar to 1968, to do continuous revolving national studies by doing a region each night, or check special events or issues as the situation may arise. We have not locked in on any specific research design yet as during the next two weeks I plan to meet with the several individuals who will be using the research in the fall and develop a design that will best suit those needs. My inclination now is to do each of the priority states on a regular basis with the capability of dropping off for a day or two to do special studies. However, regardless of the specific research design this interviewing capa- bility we have planned will allow us maximum flexibility. We intend to have this system operational beginning September 25, although are considering advancing the commencement date to September 15 as the advertising people may need data earlier for buying pur- poses. It will run from commencement date through the election. I -2- I have not contracted with any specific vendor yet but am con- sidering ORC, MOR, and the possibility of establishing an in-house interviewing operation in Washington. Both MOR and ORC have the in-house capability to do the interviewing and both have additional lines in their offices which could be used for a short-term period if we wanted to increase the number of interviews over a specific day or two. We will develop detailed costs for this project and make a decision on a vendor by August 15. We are also considering installing a small computer terminal in 1701 which would allow us to print out the data in Washington and to assess our entire data bank from all the waves of polling. We could tie in to both MOR and ORC's computers as they have identical data processing facilities and very similar software. Finally should we find rapid shifting of attitudes or voting inten- tions, we will have the contingency capability of going into any of our priority states and doing fast personal interview studies in October. These could be completed by any of our three vendors in less than a week. CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY I THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON July 21, 1972 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR: GORDON STRACHAN FROM: L. HIGBY L So there is no misunderstanding, what Bob wants is two reports, One report should be on the capability of ORC to do private confidential polling for us on both a selected and national basis. The second report should be from you on what our current plans are for doing the day-by-day polling. What Benham has given us here is an on-call polling facility in theory, but in fact, an almost daily polling facility, which is far beyond our needs as they currently stand, or as I envision them. If the capability of both can be wrapped up in ORC by having the committee select ORC to handle the day-by-day we're in great shape, but I think this is something that has to be decided on a separate issue. I would suggest that in your memo to Bob you make it clear that this is under consideration and also give him a reasonable estimate of what the cost will be to do this. Benham's proposal is interesting in that the total cost he's talking about is really fairly minimal compared to the entire amount that we are spending on polling. We may want to consider a revision of it and pitch to Bob the idea of doing our own polling on a regular basis with ORC, although, it would probably duplicate a lot of work that the committee is already going to do. Make sure you get to Bob the other materials Benham was talking about. This seems like a very interesting thing. As a matter of fact, as an addendem to your report or in a separate report you might want to forward to him the fact that the electoral report projection system is being set up. Opinion Research Corporation NORTH HARRISON STREET, PRINCETON, NEW JERSEY 08540 telephone: 609/924-5900 CHICAGO LONDON LOS ANGELES NEW YORK SAN FRANCISCO WASHINGTON, D.C. THOMAS W. BENHAM President MEMORANDUM July 21, 1972 FROM: Tom Benham SUBJECT: Private Polling Facility Specifications: 1. An on-call polling facility, available during the three- month period August, September, October 1972. 2. Reliable survey data, available on short notice. 3. Absolute confidentiality. 4. Professional assistance in question-wording maintenance of trend data, interpretation, analysis, etc. 5. Flexibility in terms of universe to be polled, subject matter covered, etc. The basic universe would be a com- posite of the public in key states (the latest listing: California, Connecticut, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas). On demand, any one of these states, or subgroups of states, could be polled instead of the total universe. The system can also provide continuous interviewing, every day from 10:00 a.m. to 10:00 p.m., to deliver steady, moving trend data on key questions. 6. Interviewing will be conducted and supervised at a central location in ORC's Princeton headouarters. I Memorandum -2- July 21, 1972 The cost of such a get-up is closely related to the desired capacity, i.e., the number and length of interviews expected each day. The following table shows six alternative plans on a thirty-day cost basis. My personal recommendation is Plan 2. Plan 1 Plan 2 Plan 3 Plan 4 Plan 5 Plan 6 Number of inter- views per day 250 250 250 500 500 500 Total interviews per month 7500 7500 7500 15,000 15,000 15,000 Length of Five Ten Fifteen Five Ten Fifteen interview Minutes Minutes Minutes Minutes Minutes Minutes Interviewing $ 15,900 $ 24,200 $ 35,000 $ 26,800 $ 45,900 $ 67,400 Sampling 1,500 1,500 1,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 Processing 5,000 9,000 12,000 9,000 16,000 23,000 Secretarial, Printing, Sup- plies 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,000 5,400 6,000 Professional staff 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 9,750 Subtotal 36,150 48,950 63,250 53,050 79,550 108,650 WATS Line Charges 7,200 12,200 17,850: 12,450 22,900 35,300 Total $ 43,350 $ 61,150 $ 81,100 $ 65,500 $102,450 $143,950 3-month cost $130,050 $183,450 $243,300 $196,500 $307,350 $431,850 Billing: Monthly, in advance. Memorandum -3- July 21, 1972 The configuration of WATS bands is as follows: Bands 123567 5 Minute Interview: 250 interviews 1 1 2 0 1 1 500 interviews 2 2 3 0 2 1 10 Minute Interview: 250 interviews 2 2 3 1 1 1 500 interviews 4 4 5 2 2 2 15 Minute Interview: 250 interviews 3 3 4 1 2 2 500 interviews 6 6 8 2 4 3 State Band Coverage California 6 Connecticut 6, 5, 3, 2, 1 Illinois 6, 5, 3 Maryland 6, 5, 3, 2, 1 Michigan 6, 5, 3 New Jersey 7 New York 6, 5, 3, 2, part of 1 Ohio 6, 5, 3 Pennsylvania 6, 5, 3, 2, part of 1 Texas 6, 5 I THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON July 20, 1972 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: L. HIGBY L SUBJECT: Independent Polling Tom Benham is coming down here tomorrow to meet with Gordon and me and wrap up the loose ends on your questions regarding independent polling. As I understand it, there are two general areas that you would like us to consider with Benham: 1. The program that is going to be used on doing our telephone follow-up surveys as part of the overall polling program that is being conducted at 1701. 2. What arrangements we can make to do independent and exclusive follow-up surveys in both key states and nationally for use here at the White House. If there are any additional areas you would like us to cover, please let me know. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON July 19, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: FOLLOW-UP FROM: L. HIGBY Don't forget to follow-up with Gordon Strachan on the follow-up polls and how ORC can do them. He is supposed to talk to Tom Benham about this and get a note in to Haldeman. May / Teeter analyses of the TUAQs. Cross analysis of me G- % of accordement like Rim Decteral Vote analysis WORC Paenham - will want Key St unfe not note sample Per St interviews 4-500 5 Tre Heats- ap -only - o'n - 750-950intrucs 800 O'N Xeroxes $50 mo. 1968- Bome Halt - data to plane on 600 intereas Benham to suggest ideas - es. Familiants ul Me G. Copobility ready in Zwlcs bil Go. no pepmt possil. until after nor - Bend Key St Polls - 10- 12 questionnaire 2-3 days now. G do cost analysis for H to cover w/MacG 10 G per weel - Current Interviews - 8-10 minutes executing Teeter ?s - w/ Teeta properal per me. Probessconal time - Same as w/ Teeter only d is note sample U. 9 states - Benham- either Plan zor 4 Benham suggest contenuous study+ 10-11 studies suggested add ?s on short notice assume set up Teeter Comp system in being; then add Tom special capabilites Calt Tx Wats cost 500 on interviews -5-min #23, 390 - Cut Bagrnd Each survey 3500 ( $50,000 10 surveys - 35,00 IU weeks - 58,000 phone- - 3500pm nervey. 20 survey $130,000 10was ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 27, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Democratic Convention Poll - Demographic Comparison The ORC demographic comparison with statistically significant shifts arrived this morning. The areas to note are 21-29 year olds, union families, $5-15,000 income levels, Repub- licans, and the East. Union Families and the $5-19,000 income types are approxi- mately the same groups. It is arguable that their significant drop in disapproval of the President is attributable to Meany's neutrality, Teamsters' endorsement, and general labor disaffection with McGovern. The chart of the approval of the President's handling of Vietnam also confirms that the President has increased his support among the $5-15,000 income group. The statistically significant increase in the President's support among Republicans may be attributable to the selection of the left-wing candidate by the Democrats. (The Democratic Convention Poll was conducted before the President announced Agnew would be on the ticket.) There has been a statistically significant drop in disapproval of the President in the East. This is coupled with a signi- ficant increase in the approval of the President's handling of Vietnam. It is arguable that the correlation between these two is attributable to the President's May 8 decision and address and the trip to Russia. The increase in conservative support for the President's handling of Vietnam may well be the result of the mining and bombing aspect of the May 8 decision. GS/jb QUESTION 1 CO YOU APPROVE CR DISAPPROVE CF THE WAY RICHARD NIXON IS HANDLING HIS JOB AS PRESIDENT A. 0-JULY 19-20 B. 0-MAY 9-10 C. 0-APRIL 27-29 D. 0-MARCH 18-19 APPROVE DISAPPROVE NO OPINION DIF A B C D DIF A B C C DIF A 8 C D TOTAL PUBLIC 1 58 57 52 54 2- 31 33 35 35 1 11 10 13 11 MEN 0 59 59 54 55 1- 31 32 36 36 1 10 9 10 9 WOMEN 2 57 55 50 53 3- 31 34 34 33 1 12 11 16 14 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 1- 51 52 57 56 4- 36 40 39 36 5 13 8 4 8 21-29 YEARS 6- 48 54 48 52 3- 37 40 42 37 *9 15 6 10 11 30-49 YEARS 2 62 60 52 53 4- 28 32 33 34 2 10 8 15 13 50 YEARS AND OVER 3 60 57 53 55 1 30 29 33 34 4- 10 14 14 11 18-24 YEARS 6- 5C 56 48 53 2 39 37 44 37 4 11 7 8 10 8TH GRADE OR LESS 4 50 46 48 39 3- 36 39 35 44 1- 14 15 17 17 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 6 59 53 49 57 8- 26 34 33 31 2 15 13 18 12 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 3- 6C 63 54 57 1- 29 30 36 33 4 11 7 10 10 SOME COLLEGE 0 61 61 56 62 0 32 32 35 30 0 7 7 9 8 UNION FAMILIES 7 53 46 39 50 x10- 36 46 42 43 3 11 8 19 7 NONUNION FAMILIES 1- 6C 61 56 55 0 29 29 33 31 1 11 10 11 14 WHITE 62 62 0 55 57 28 28 0 33 32 10 10 0 12 11 NONWHITE 29 29 0 31 31 54 54 0 48 51 17 17 0 21 18 PROTESTANT 65 65 0 55 55 26 26 0 32 33 9 9 0 13 12 CATHOLIC 54 54 0 46 56 34 34 0 40 34 12 12 0 14 10 JEWISH 46 46 0 38 58 49 49 0 60 37 5 5 0 2 5 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 6- 49 55 45 43 10 39 29 40 40 4- 12 16 15 17 $5,000 - $15,000 4 6C 56 53 57 *7- 30 37 34 35 3 10 7 13 8 OVER $15,000 4 68 64 56 58 4- 28 32 37 35 0 4 4 7 7 NOW REGISTERED 59 59 o 53 56 32 32 0 34 33 9 9 0 13 11 WILL REGISTER 58 58 0 46 47 25 25 0 46 43 17 17 0 8 10 REGISTERED OR WILL REG 59 59 0 52 54 31 31 0 35 35 10 10 0 13 11 WON'T REGISTER 43 43 0 51 45 33 33 0 31 26 24 24 0 18 29 REPUBLICAN *7 88 81 79 82 5- 7 12 12 13 2- 5 7 9 5 DEMOCRAT 2- 41 43 41 40 1 48 47 45 47 1 11 10 14 13 INDEPENDENT 4- 62 66 51 61 3 29 26 37 30 1 9 8 12 9 LEAN REPUBLICAN 2 89 87 77 88 1- 10 11 17 8 1- 1 2 6 4 LEAN DEMOCRAT 12- 34 46 34 42 4 52 48 50 50 8 14 6 16 8 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 10- 51 61 49 51 1 22 21 35 25 9 27 18 16 24 CONSERVATIVE 2 73 71 69 75 0 19 19 20 20 2- 8 10 11 5 LIBERAL 8- 37 45 36 37 7 56 49 53 53 1 7 6 11 10 IN BETWEEN 4 60 56 53 55 7- 28 35 35 32 3 12 9 12 13 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 6 67 61 61 55 8- 23 31 31 35 2 10 8 8 10 LEAN LIBERAL 3- 47 50 42 54 0 41 41 49 40 3 12 9 9 6 OTHER INBETWEEN 3 58 55 47 47 9- 22 31 29 27 6 20 14 24 26 NIXON VOTERS 80 80 0 75 76 14 14 0 16 15 6 6 0 9 9 HUMPHREY VOTERS 34 34 0 21 28 55 55 0 64 58 11 11 0 15 14 WALLACE VOTERS 45 45 0 42 48 41 41 0 50 48 14 14 0 8 4 NONVOTERS 48 48 0 47 48 35 35 0 40 39 17 17 0 13 13 EAST 8 60 52 46 56 13- 28 41 47 31 5 12 7 7 13 MIDWEST 7 60 53 52 56 4- 31 35 35 37 3- 9 12 13 7 SOUTH 8- 57 65 58 53 8 32 24 27 33 0 11 11 15 14 WEST 3-53 56 48 48 0 35 35 35 39 3 12 9 17 13 0101 DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE WAY PRESIDENT NIXON IS HANDLING THE VIETNAM SITUATION A. 0-JULY 19-20 B. 0-MAY 9-10 C. 0-APRIL 27-29 C. 0-MARCH 3-5 APPROVE DISAPPROVE NO OPINION DIF A B C D DIF A B C D DIF A B C D TOTAL PUBLIC 3 55 52 47 53 3- 35 38 44 36 0 10 10 9 11 MEN 4 61 57 53 60 4- 33 37 41 32 0 6 6 6 8 WOMEN 1 49 48 41 46 1- 38 39 46 40 0 13 13 13 14 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 6 49 43 47 57 12- 41 53 49 34 6 10 4 4 9 21-29 YEARS 9- 38 47 42 47 10 53 43 51 45 1- 9 10 7 8 30-49 YEARS 5 59 54 52 57 6- 30 36 39 34 1 11 10 9 9 50 YEARS AND OVER 4 59 55 45 52 3- 32 35 43 34 1- 9 10 12 14 18-24 YEARS 6- 43 49 42 52 5 50 45 55 40 1 7 6 3 8 8TH GRADE OR LESS 11 52 41 42 51 10- 34 44 46 33 1- 14 15 12 16 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 4- 51 55 45 45 1- 36 37 45 44 5 13 8 10 11 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 3 57 54 49 56 1- 34 35 42 34 2- 9 11 9 10 SOME COLLEGE 4- 56 60 50 57 3 39 36 45 36 1 5 4 5 7 UNION FAMILIES 7 53 46 44 46 7- 38 45 47 42 0 9 9 9 12 NONUNION FAMILIES 0 55 55 48 56 0 35 35 43 33 0 10 10 9 11 WHITE 59 59 0 50 54 31 31 0 41 35 10 10 0 9 11 NONWHITE 22 22 0 25 50 69 69 0 66 41 9 9 0 9 9 PROTESTANT 60 60 0 49 56 32 32 0 39 32 8 8 0 12 12 CATHOLIC 52 52 0 48 55 39 39 0 47 36 9 9 0 5 9 JEWISH 55 55 O 33 35 36 36 0 67 57 9 9 0 0 8 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 5-47 52 33 43 4 43 39 54 41 1 10 9 13 16 $5,000 - $15,000 *8 60 52 49 56 4- 33 37 42 35 4- 7 11 9 9 OVER $15,000 2 6C 58 54 62 4- 34 38 41 29 2 6 4 5 9 NOW REGISTERED 56 56 0 48 54 36 36 0 43 35 8 8 0 9 11 WILL REGISTER 56 56 0 42 53 32 32 o 50 40 12 12 0 8 7 REGISTERED OR WILL REG 56 56 O 47 54 35 35 0 44 36 9 9 0 9 10 WON'T REGISTER 36 36 0 49 48 37 37 0 37 33 27 27 o 14 19 REPUBLICAN x 12 86 74 65 81 th 9- 8 17 27 16 3- 6 9 8 3 DEMOCRAT 4- 38 42 39 41 2 53 51 50 45 2 9 7 11 14 INCEPENDENT 2- 56 58 47 55 1 34 33 47 37 1 10 9 6 8 LEAN REPUBLICAN 7 83 76 71 82 3- 15 18 23 14 4- 2 6 6 4 LEAN DEMOCRAT 4- 31 35 38 39 11 61 50 57 52 7- 8 15 5 9 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 11- 46 57 39 49 3- 26 29 49 35 *14 28 14 12 16 CONSERVATIVE 4 69 65 65 61 4- 23 27 22 31 0 8 8 13 8 LIBERAL 8- 36 44 34 39 11 61 50 61 50 3- 3 6 5 11 IN BETWEEN 6 58 52 46 57 6- 33 39 45 34 0 9 9 9 9 LEAN CONSERVATIVE * 11 66 55 54 58 11- 25 36 39 32 0 9 9 7 10 LEAN LIBERAL 2-46 48 37 58 2- 46 48 57 34 4 8 4 6 8 OTHER INBETWEEN o 49 49 41 50 6- 29 35 44 34 6 22 16 15 16 NIXON VOTERS 76 76 0 63 76 16 16 0 27 18 8 8 o 10 6 HUMPHREY VOTERS 32 32 0 27 33 62 62 0 66 56 6 6 0 7 11 WALLACE VOTERS 49 49 0 39 36 41 41 0 56 47 10 10 0 5 1.7 NONVOTERS 45 45 0 42 49 42 42 0 47 41 13 13 0 11 10 EAST & 12 58 46 43 52 -12- 32 44 52 30 0 10 10 5 12 MIDWEST 7 56 49 47 53 1- 38 39 44 37 6- 6 12 9 10 SOUTH 8- 53 61 51 57. 6 35 29 38 32 2 12 10 11 11 WEST 0 51 51 44 48 7- 37 44 43 40 7 12 5 13 12 0109 I ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 27, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Meeting with John Gavin Peter Dailey urges you to meet with John Gavin, the President of the Screen Actors Guild. Gavin met this afternoon with George Meany and according to Dailey has some information that differs from George Shults' and may be valuable. If you do not want to meet with Gavin, Dailey believes he can get John Nitchell to meet with him. Dailey does not know the President is playing golf with Meany tomorrow. Haldeman will see Gavin. Ask Mitchell to see Gavin. Other. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL July 27, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Wave II Campaign Surveys - Teeter Materials for Chapin Bob Teeter discussed schedule opportunities based on the Wave II results with Chapin, Parker, and Walker on July 25. He did not give any specific trial heat or other figures to this group. Teeter prepared the attached summary material for Chapin/ Parker, but will not give them the materials without your express approval. The materials describe the importance of each of the issues within the state by media markets. The ratings (A, B, c, D, E) by state and media market reflect the President's comparative polling strength against McGovern in certain media markets. These Teeter materials coupled with demographic maps showing areas of high ticket aplitter locations in the key states will show Chapin/Parker which issues are of most concern to voters within the states. Recommendation: That Chapin/Parker receive copies of the attached materials. Approve Disapprove Comments GS/jb ! - 2 - In addition, Bob Teeter should prepare a memorandum, based on his analysis of the polling data, which describes his subjective, political judgement of the best areas within the states for particular issues, This would include Tester's recommendations for ideal, hypothetical schedules for the President and First Family. Also included would be Teeter's views on the relative advantages of moving a particular locale from a "D" to a "C" as distinguished from moving an area like San Diego from a "B" to an "A", Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM July 25, 1972 DETERMINED TO BE AN CONFIDENTIAL ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING E.O. 12065, Section 6-102 By Einprese NARS, Date 1-14-80 MEMORANDUM FOR: DWIGHT L. CHAPIN THROUGH: GORDON C. STRACHAN FROM: ROBERT M. TEETER Runt SUBJECT: Issue and Appearances Data From Second Wave Polling Attached are tables summarizing our relative strength, the importance of various issues and the President's rating. on his handling of those issues in the states we surveyed in Wave II. Each state has been given a rating of A thru E with A meaning the President is in excellent shape in that state, B meaning we are in moderately good shape, C that the state is very close, D that we are in fairly poor shape and E that we are in quite bad shape in that state. In addition each media market has been given a rating using the same scale. The figures under the column designated Imp. (importance) are the percentage of voters in that state or media market which ranked that particular issue in the top three in terms of importance in deciding Presidential vote. The second figures under the column designated RN are the percentage of voters who give the President a positive rating on his handling of that issue (top figure) and the percentage of the voters who rated him negatively (bottom figure). That is, in the Mobile/Meridian area of Alabama the President is in excellent shape (A rating), 54% of the voters rank Vietnam as one of the top three issues in terms of its importance in the Presidential election, 74% rate the President positively in terms of his handling of the Vietnam issue and 23% rate him negatively. A statewide total column is included for each state and a summary sheet comparing each state to our national data is included. The circled issues on the following pages are those issues which are of significantly greater concern to the voters of a specific area than they are to that state overall. Using the ticket-splitter data we have available and the attached information my recommendation for the priority areas to visit and suggested issues for each of these visits within each of the states are listed below. You should remember, however, that Vietnam is, by far, the number one issue in all of these states and in all of the regions within the states. For that reason we have included it only when it is significantly more important to a local area than it is overall. Had we included it, Vietnam would have been the top priority issue in all areas of all states. Furthermore this data does not address itself to the fact that an appearance by the President is a national event and the list of issues used to formulate this data did not include anything which would give emphasis to a visit which stressed a general campaign theme or "mood of the country" speech. State Priorities Top Priority California New York Pennsylvania New Jersey Illinois Second Priority Ohio Michigan Connecticut Maryland Texas Third Priority Washington Oregon Missouri Wisconsin This data used in conjunction with the ticket-splitting maps we went over this morning should be of assistance to you in scheduling the President and the First Family. If you have any further questions, please let me know. Alabama: Drugs Crime Taxes Mobile: Crime Bussing California: Unemployment Taxes Inflation Los Angeles: Unemployment Inflation Taxes San Diego: Crime National Defense Sacramento/ Stockton: Unemployment Drugs San Francisco: Vietnam Environment Connecticut: Inflation Unemployment Taxes Hartford: Crime Inflation Fairfield Co.: Drugs Crime Illinois: Inflation Drugs Chicago: Taxes Inflation Rockford/ Davenport: Inflation Illinois continued: Outstate Areas: Taxes Inflation NOTE: While there is no particular concern of population we need some effort in the outstate areas and a tour of them by someone woule be useful. New Jersey: Taxes Unemployment Inflation Northern New Jersey: Taxes Inflation Ohio: Unemployment Inflation Drugs Cleveland: Unemployment Inflation Taxes Cincinnati: Inflation Drugs General Unrest Toledo: Crime Environment Oregon: Taxes Inflation Environment Portland: Taxes Inflation Environment Pennsylvania: Taxes Drugs Pittsburgh: Taxes Environment Unemployment Drugs Philadelphia: Unemployment Taxes I Maryland: Crime Drugs Inflation Baltimore Co.: Drugs Crime Washington Suburbs (Mainly Montgomery Co.): Inflation Crime Environment Michigan: Taxes Unemployment Drugs Bussing Detroit Suburbs: Bussing Taxes Crime General Unrest Flint: Taxes Crime Unemployment Race Grand Rapids: Unemployment Inflation Drugs Bussing Missouri: Unemployment Taxes Inflation St. Louis: Unemployment Crime Inflation Kansas City: Inflation Taxes Texas: Drugs Inflation Taxes Houston: Drugs Inflation Dallas: Drugs Crime Taxes Austin: Environment Bussing Crime Wisconsin: Taxes Inflation Unemployment Milwaukee & S.E.: Taxes Inflation Unemployment NATIONAL STUDY RATING: A A A B A A B C E .B National* A C Alabama Calif B A D Conn Illinois Maryland Michigan Missouri N. **** Ohio Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. Dregon Pa Texas RN Wisconsi: Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. KN Imp. RN Imp. KN Imp. RN Imp. RN AER. Imp. all Vietnam 65 76 60 64 54 60 63 67 50 57 51 53 56 54 62 58 56 67 57 56 49 60 59 51 67 22 63 5: 30 39 35 35 32 42 37 41 32 39 39 32 35 Inflation 47 56 24 45 33 41 31 47 32 48 25 43 28 30 45 31 37 47 31 40 32 29 47 23 53 32 4: 46 41 53 56 52 51 55 53 59 52 56 52 46 5: Drugs 53 68 39 53 25 51 27 56 33 57 27 54 20 24 58 47 29 52 27 53 29 34 55 34 61 6: 36 28 43 42 42 40 43 38 44 16 44 41 43 37 3. 56 62 Crime 53 48 20 25 52 37 50 31 24 25 45 30 51 43 20 50 24 49 50 25 53 36 35 43 47 45 48 52 47 27 24 16 5: 52 48 46 49 45 4: 50 63 Unemployment 45 42 28 49 21 54 31 45 19 30 33 49 34 32 39 47 23 45 47 23 53 4" 43 33 52 53 49 45 52 49 35 31 30 57 51 50 52 44 5: 46 54 Taxes 26 44 25 44 34 48 28 48 34 42 48 44 29 32 53 53 51 51 49. 57 45 33 36 26 50 39 39 36 44 27 57 46 4: 59 49 57 54 42 5: Race 60 60 59 23 16 57 21 54 13 17 62 21 53 16 60 51 59 61 56 18 59 61 31 36 38 38 44 36 44 16 37 14 10 44 16 11 39 33 42 39 3( 81 Foreign Policy 81 78 11 17 79 16 78 18 10 81 9 80 13 80 74 82 72 83 80 8t 11 20 15 21 17 17 13 20 14 13 13 17 11 18 16 16 23 15 18 1: Environment 60 70 21 51 18 58 16 56 17 60 13 63 13 64 50 59 64 60 59 61 40 10 26 36 42 37 33 15 46 33 13 17 15 12 16 43 38 31 38 39 3- Ceneral Unrest 57 65 15 48 12 53 11 52 60 9 19 57 58 43 55 48 53 57 60 33 9 41 47 37 41 13 11 30 39 49 13 14 11 13 49 11 42 46 45 41 39 Welfare 52 65 13 53 13 47 9 52 12 55 14 50 57 42 54 45 55 55 39 13 32 44 46 42 47 15 15 13 15 41 11 12 17 50 41 52 44 50 44 42 45 Health Care 69 80 63 7 64 9 68 9 68 8 69 70 60 67 62 72 70 21 8 10 16 28 29 28 9 S 30 27 8 10 32 33 30 32 9 10 7 74 26 27 24 73 Nat'l. Defense 82 74 16 75 13 77 80 13 8 80 16 22 80 70 80 73 18 13 17 13 19 17 14 13 14 13 81 20 78 23 21 16 16 85 23 17 21 17 19 14 46 Bussing 43 52 50 49 56 7 19 46 17 4 3 4 51 48 52 47 40 53 40 6 51 4 4 2 4 54 10 47 42 38 4 60 48 45 41 44 42 42 50 35 * June 16-26, 1972; 1,016 Interviews ** Because the National study was conducted by phone the scales are slightly different than the states. No questions ranking the issues by importance were asked. OVERALL RATING: A June 13-26, 1972 804 Interviews ALABAMA A A Mobile/ A A A Huntsville/ A A Meridian Montgomery Dothan Columbus, Ga. Chattanooga Birmingham Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN 74 75 53 77 49 75 50 81 44 50 76 Vietnam 54 48 55 23 22 38 21 22 19 22 50 62 47 58 Inflation 27 24 55 14 22 26 58 27 24 56 48 32 43 38 42 41 41 59 78 70 71 62 70 35 41 46 44 41 39 68 Drugs 34 36 18 23 27 35 26 28 51 67 53 56 56 69 62 Crime 43 34 32 36 24 29 31 47 30 40 42 41 28 35 59 63 51 69 57 68 63 Unemployment 20 14 13 23 24 18 19 38 33 43 29 39 28 33 41 63 49 50 60 55 Taxes 16 33 30 20 18 28 26 54 55 33 45 48 38 44 41 45 60 49 58 62 66 60 Race 30 26 33 23 13 22 23 52 32 40 40 34 31 35 74 84 68 77 84 5 5 7 11 85 11 81 Foreign Policy 14 16 23 8 13 17 9 13 13 4 66 Environment 10 72 4 70 16 63 11 71 12 70 10 70 30 22 17 33 26 25 25 55 68 60 65 66 68 General Unrest 7 12 8 8 12 9 65 9 40 23 32 31 29 29 30 58 73 47 60 Welfare 11 16 8 10 15 64 12 68 13 65 38 23 45 35 33 29 32 80 80 62 73 Health Care 7 11 4 8 8 84 82 11 8 80 15 14 30 23 14 15 16 77 80 77 83 80 87 Nat'l. Defense 11 10 17 10 20 16 16 82 19 13 11 10 15 9 13 27 59 10 36 12 31 43 Bussing 28 17 41 14 15 48 17 71 37 57 67 55 47 53 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Drugs Mobile/Meridian: Crime Crime Race Taxes Bussing Inflation Montgomery: Taxes Dothan: Vietnam Race Columbus, Ga.: Drugs Crime Environment Huntsville/ Chattanooga: Drugs Crime Foreign Policy OVERALL RATING: 8 CALIFORNIA June 12-17, 1972 1,000 Interviews A D B A Santa Barb/ A A D E Sacramento/ B San Diego Los Angeles Santa Muria Salinas/Montry Fresno San Francisco Chico/Redding Stockton Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Inp. KN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. 2 Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. EN Vietnam 53 64 58 52 70 67 70 49 42 50 57 61 47 54 60 35 61 54 55 54 30 33 30 49 44 38 39 55 47 18 42 30 52 58 45 36 Inflation 32 45 45 51 30 27 24 25 27 18 28 42 42 48 62 62 53 53 63 54 Drugs 23 20 70 55 33 46 38 34 24 30 24 15 27 59 53 42 26 20 30 39 55 48 53 36 43 58 57 Crime 33 18 45 42 45 47 44 52 38 40 21 18 24 17 15 20 53 23 52 45 45 47 47 45 43 56 47 Unemployment 18 29 45 45 55 39 32 42 45 42 50 36 30 18 29 54 47 30 55 52 45 58 59 56 52 47 46 Taxes 27 28 58 42 48 39 35 39 44 52 51 33 36 18 30 12 32 29 39 52 48 57 56 58 53 61 62 Race 10 11 64 61 70 51 62 55 59 38 36 12 12 15 14 30 16 13 36 36 24 44 32 42 38 81 79 Foreign Policy 14 20 91 85 88 71 68 79 78 19 20 27 15 12 15 15 17 18 9 15 9 25 24 17 20 53 14 48 Environment 23 15 61 49 21 67 15 70 25 50 42 12 56 14 55 21 53 39 27 30 46 38 42 46 19 34 General Unrest 15 52 12 52 12 45 9 67 17 41 63 9 35 14 50 15 4S 44 45 48 30 56 56 47 49 Welfare 16 59 14 53 15- 67 18 58 15 61 8 51 12 32 8 48 13 53 39 43 33 36 39 46 59 50 44 Health Care 13 66 10 66 0 70 3 73 21 64 11 58 12 50 13 61 10 63 33 29 27 27 33 37 38 38 32 Nat'1. Defense 32 70 20 76 30 76 18 88 27 79 21 70 15 56 14 80 22 74 28 22 24 9 18 27 38 18 23 5 47. Bussing 3 54 0 52 0 70 3 48 4 46 3 38 8 59 4 52 48 41 42 21 42 47 47 38 42 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Unemployment San Diego: Crime Taxes National Defense Inflation National Defense Santa Barbara/ Santa Marin: Unemployment National Defense Foreign Policy Salinas/ Monterey: Taxes Drugs Welfare San Francisco: Vietnam Chico/Redding: Unemployment Race Crime Sacramento/ Stockton: Unemployment Drugs OVERALL RATING: A CONNECTICUT June 11-20, 1972 615 Interviews A A A A New York Hartford Providence Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN 73 60 75 64 Vietnam 54 60 48 57 27 40 21 35 45 39 52 41 Inflation 25 36 32 33 52 60 45 56 55 49 52 51 Drugs 30 24 17 25 38 46 34 42 55 44 54 48 Crime 30 31 20 24 41 51 38 47 45 40 50 42 Unemployment 26 34 32 33 49 57 38 53 48 42 52 44 Taxes 27 25 27 25 46 55 38 51 57 57 59 57 Race 12 18 11 16 36 39 34 38 85 77 75 79 Foreign Policy 20 16 20 17 8 18 11 15 61 58 52 58 Environment 14 20 20 18 32 37 34 36 59 50 57 53 General Unrest 13 9 18 12 33 46 29 41 48 46 52 47 Welfare 14 11 11 13 46 48 38 46 66 65 54 64 Health Care 8 6 6 7 24 30 32 28 80 72 79 75 Nat'l. Defense 17 14 23 16 13 22 11 19 50 51 45 50 Bussing 5 3 5 3 39 38 39 38 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Inflation New York: Drugs Unemployment Drugs Hartford: Crime Taxes Providence: National Defense General Unrest June 13-23, 1972 OVERALL RATING: A ILLINOIS 800 Interviews A A Rockford/ D Paducah/ A A Davenport St. Louis Springfield Chicago Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Vietnam 65 72 63 56 51 74 59 59 60 63 26 40 24 39 35 Inflation 40 63 23 31 28 57 31 44 31 47 36 67 41 55 52 Drugs 20 69 30 54 38 64 26 52 27 56 26 41 33 47 42 Crime 23 63 29 47 20 59 24 50 25 52 35 51 35 49 45 Unemployment 25 72 35 39 24 60 29 44 28 49 28 60 38 54 49 Taxes 36 64 24 44 41 61 32 42 34 48 36 53 37 57 51 Race 13 74 29 49 19 62 21 50 21 54 26 50 35 48 44 Foreign Policy 24 90 10 67 13 84 16 75 16 78 10 31 11 24 21 Environment 14 79 14 54 11 70 16 49 16 56 21 44 26 49 42 General Unrest 13 67 15 43 15 64 10 48 11 52 33 53 33 51 47 Welfare 4 78 13 46 12 66 8 53 9 52 21 50 28 46 41 Health Care 6 83 3 54 .6 81 10 64 9 68 15 40 15 35 30 Nat'l Defense 15 90 7 73 17 87 11 73 13 77 8 26 10 25 21 Bussing 3 54 5 37 4 53 3 49 4 49 40 57 43 49 48 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Taxes Rockford/Davenport: Vietnam Inflation Inflation Unemployment Foreign Policy Drugs St. Louis: Unemployment Race Paducah/Springfield: Taxes Drugs OVERALL RATING: B MARYLAND June 13-23, 1972 600 Interviews B A A B Baltimore Salisbury Washington Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Vietnam 47 66 58 58 55 70 51 67 33 42 29 32 Inflation 25 49 16 67 45 44 32 48 50 33 54 51 Drugs 40 52 50 74 22 62 33 57 45 26 34 40 Crime 40 44 16 53 36 61 37 50 55 47 37 48 Unemployment 22 53 12 75 19 52 21 54 46 20 46 45 Taxes 28 45 20 54 28 53 28 48 54 46 44 49 Race 21 60 20 75 14 63 17 62 30 25 34 36 Foreign Policy 11 77 12 83 11 86 10 81 19 17 12 17 Environment 14 60 12 92 24 55 17 60 36 8 43 37 General Unrest 9 59 8 67 10 62 9 60 30 29 35 37 Welfare 15 54 20 58 8 57 12 55 44 38 40 42 Health Care 10 70 12 75 7 65 9 68 27 25 31 29 76 83 85 80 National Defense 11 16 15 13 20 13 12 17 50 58 62 53 56 Bussing 7 16 7 7 39 38 43 40 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Crime Baltimore: Drugs Drugs Inflation Salisbury: Vietnam Taxes Drugs Welfare Bussing Washington: Inflation Environment OVERALL RATING: C MICHIGAN June 13-30, 1972 800 Interviews B B C A D A Flint-Sag. Grand Rapids Traverse Marquette C Detroit Lansing Bay City Kala./Chicago City Green Bay Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Vietnam 52 53 50 59 60 58 48 65 68 51 74 67 53 56 46 38 37 34 43 33 42 Inflation 24 41 43 50 17 55 26 50 27 27 33 41 25 43 58 50 41 48 68 29 55 Drugs 30 49 19 74 19 53 26 61 25 59 10 74 27 54 49 26 41 33 35 26 43 Crime 27 44 29 48 29 42 23 48 6 43 20 52 25 45 54 52 54 48 51 48 52 Unemployment 33 41 22 58 26 53 28 53 41 27 33 63 31 45 57 42 41 45 65 33 52 Taxes 34 39 45 53 43 43 23 47 44 41 24 52 34 42 60 47 54 52 54 48 57 Race 21 50 31 58 23 61 19 55 7 46 10 67 21 53 47 42 34 40 49 30 44 Foreign Policy 9 80 6 91 7 82 8 77 11 70 17 89 9 80 19 9 11 17 24 11 17 Environment 11 63 6 75 17 56 20 68 7 59 21 44 13 63 34 25 39 28 35 44 33 General Unrest 23 56 6 73 13 55 18 59 7 41 3 70 19 57 43 27 42 37 51 26 41 Welfare 10 47 23 76 6 51 23 53 22 38 10 63 14 50 50 24 44 42 54 37 47 Health Care 9 65 0 72 9 77 7 77 5 70 0 85 8 69 18 16 16 19 22 15 28 Nat Defense 7 80 0 84 7 77 13 85 4 68 7 89 8 80 18 16 18 11 24 11 17 Bussing 23 43 6 66 13 45 18 53 7 43 3 49 19 46 55 31 47 42 51 56 51 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Taxes Lansing: Taxes Unemployment Inflation Drugs Race Inflation Welfare Crime Flint-Saginaw-Bay City: Vietnam Taxes Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo/ Chicago: Welfare Environment National Defense Traverse City: Vietnam Taxes Unemployment Welfare Marquette-Green Bay: Vietnam Inflation Environment Foreign Policy OVERALL RATING: E MISSOURI June 13-24, 1972 800 Interviews C A D E Paducah/ Columbia/ St. Joseph/ E St. Louis Springfield Quincy Kansas City Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN 56 64 Vietnam 70 64 55 62 56 51 50 54 44 32 28 34 37 40 47 Inflation 57 29 44 45 27 29 33 30 59 49 42 54 53 58 57 22 54 Drugs 26 59 32 23 58 24 39 35 40 38 38 47 Crime 52 35 52 25 22 56 29 51 30 52 43 48 43 47 39 55 Unemployment 41 30 26 59 55 31 49 34 60 43 39 44 49 50 51 Taxes 22 46 62 32 55 33 53 32 49 46 34 44 45 50 64 Race 68 20 12 13 68 60 16 16 49 30 30 30 37 79 74 Foreign Policy 13 87 84 10 17 80 12 13 20 21 12 11 17 58 69 Environment 12 68 67 7 64 15 15 13 40 27 31 30 33 52 61 General Unrest 12 16 14 68 59 13 58 13 46 35 32 38 39 54 Welfare 56 14 68 57 17 16 12 57 15 46 40 32 42 41 64 70 Health Care 8 77 7 16 76 12 70 9 33 24 21 22 27 Nat'l. Defense 85 72 12 86 78 10 17 16 80 13 13 22 13 18 16 47 50 Bussing 7 58 55 9 2 4 6 51 50 43 37 41 45 Paducah/Springfield also includes Spring./Paducah-Cape Girardeau- Harrisburg/Joplin-Pittsburg/Memphis ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Unemployment St. Louis: Unemployment Taxes Crime Inflation Crime Paducah/Springfield/ Harrisburg/Joplin/Memphis: Taxes Columbia/Quincy: Drugs Health Care OVERALL RATING: B NEW JERSEY June 11-20, 1972 823 Interviews C B B Philadelphia New York City Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN 56 56 56 Vietnam 60 58 58 40 41 41 42 35 37 Inflation 27 33 31 50 62 59 47 47 47 Drugs 24 31 29 42 44 44 46 42 43 Crime 18 21 20 46 54 52 43 37 32 39 Unemployment 33 32 52 58 57 36 36 Taxes 36 33 35 33 57 59 59 51 51 Race 16 51 15 16 43 45 44 72 75 74 Foreign Policy 12 12 13 23 19 20 54 49 50 Environment 13 14 15 38 45 43 40 44 43 General Unrest 13 10 11 50 49 49 48 40 42 Welfare 15 14 15 46 54 52 57 62 60 Health Care 12 7 9 35 32 33 67 71 Nat 1. Defense 70 16 13 14 25 22 23 45 49 48 Bussing 3 4 4 43 40 41 ISSUES: Vietnam Taxes Unemployment Inflation Drugs OVERALL RATING: A OHIO June 13-27, 1972 800 Interviews A B A A A A Columbus Cleveland Youngstown/ A Toledo/Lima Dayton Cincinnati Parkersburg Akron Canton Pittsburgh Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN 75 60 69 57 72 53 63 67 70 56 67 Vietnam 49 61 58 24 39 31 27 36 28 32 25 59 42 44 38 50 29 57 Inflation 33 38 33 45 32 47 40 56 50 42 60 53 52 58 32 53 29 50 30 58 24 50 51 48 29 52 Drugs 31 38 48 48 39 45 44 44 32 51 Crime 21 48 26 55 29 53 27 46 25 50 27 50 45 50 45 44 51 47 48 21 54 45 44 37 51 31 61 37 37 31 55 Unemployment 35 47 43 56 48 38 61 42 51 25 61 18 55 21 52 31 60 29 41 24 41 Taxes 26 50 39 44 48 37 57 55 49 Race 17 65 16 61 13 65 14 65 14 54 17 48 14 59 35 39 34 33 44 48 39 Foreign Policy 15 80 16 88 15 90 13 81 15 80 13 70 14 82 14 13 10 17 16 27 16 Environment 24 70 11 68 10 66 11 59 14 51 8 56 13 59 28 33 32 37 44 38 38 General Unrest 13 69 11 50 19 63 13 57 14 49 7 55 13 55 31 49 35 36 47 44 42 Welfare 15 51 13 55 9 57 18 55 13 52 12 53 13 54 48 44 43 44 44 44 44 Health Care 10 69 4 69 6 77 4 64 10 67 8 55 8 67 28 28 21 31 32 42 30 National Defense 19 85 9 79 13 83 15 77 14 80 12 83 13 80 13 20 17 19 17 14 17 Bussing 6 55 4 48 4 62 1 50 3 50 5 53 4 52 43 51 37 44 45 44 44 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Unemployment Toledo/Lima: Crime Inflation Environment Drugs National Defense Crime Dayton: Vietnam Unemployment Inflation - Cincinnati: Inflation General Unrest Columbus/Parkersburg: Taxes Welfare Youngstown/Pittsburgh: Vietnam Drugs OVERALL RATING: C OREGON June 12-17, 1972 600 Interviews E D C Eugene Portland Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Vietnam 60 52 50 56 49 57 48 39 39 Inflation 30 38 30 41 31 40 63 53 56 Drugs 20 50 28 52 27 53 46 40 41 Crime 18 50 25 48 24 49 45 46 46 Unemployment 17 49 24 44 23 45 49 50 50 Taxes 50 39 32 39 39 39 58 56 57 Race 7 55 10 61 10 61 43 31 33 Foreign Policy 12 69 13 72 13 72 28 21 23 Environment 24 57 16 62 17 64 41 31 31 General Unrest 12 50 15 46 14 48 48 47 46 Welfare 16 43 13 45 15 45 57 48 50 Health Care 8 66 10 58 10 62 30 35 32 Nat'l Defense 12 74 15 71 14 73 23 21 21 Bussing 2 49 2 45 2 47 40 43 42 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Taxes Eugene: Vietnam Inflation Taxes Drugs Environment Crime I OVERALL RATING: B PENNSYLVANIA June 13-27, 1972 800 Interviews A A A B Harrisburg/ Wilkes-Barre- Johnstown/ Pittsburgh/ York Lancaster/ D Scranton/ B Altoona/Erie Youngstown Lebanon/Hagerstown Philadelphia Binghamton Total Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN Imp. RN 79 65 69 48 70 59 Vietnam 49 60 65 62 46 60 21 34 27 51 28 39 60 39 61 44 60 47 Inflation 29 29 19 29 25 29 38 60 37 55 40 52 73 49 65 51 68 55 Drugs 32 32 4: 30 46 34 25 47 32 48 32 43 54 46 61 46 62 50 Crime 29 17 27 26 23 24 44 53 36 52 38 49 62 41 63 42 64 47 Unemployment 19 33 13 36 39 31 37 58 36 56 36 52 54 41 60 39 57 44 Taxes 32 41 36 31 41 36 43 58 38 59 43 54 75 56 66 46 85 56 Race 14 14 10 18 10 16 21 43 31 53 15 42 94 85 89 79 83 83 Foreign Policy 15 11 14 8 15 11 6 14 9 20 17 15 76 51 63 59 89 60 Environment 10 21 17 12 12 15 22 47 34 39 11 38 67 49 60 50 62 53 General Unrest 20 10 11 10 8 11 30 48 37 49 34 45 59 50 61 54 77 55 Welfare 15 7 19 11 4 11 41 48 38 45 23 44 83 67 78 70 87 72 Health Care 12 7 7 10 12 9 14 30 18 29 11 26 90 81 85 77 89 81 Nat'l. Defense 26 15 9 9 14 13 6 18 11 21 11 17 71 44 58 54 77 54 Bussing 3 4 2 4 2 4 22 51 38 44 21 42 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Taxes Johnstown/Altoona/Erie: Crime Drugs National Defense Unemployment General Unrest Inflation Pittsburgh/Youngstown: Taxes Environment Harrisburg/York/Lancaster/ Lebanon/Hagerstown: Vietnam Drugs Welfare Philadelphia: Unemployment Wilkes-Barre-Scranton/ Binghamton: Drugs Unemployment Taxes OVERALL LATING: A TEXAS June 12-17, 1972 1,000 Interviews A A A A B E D Beaumont/ Shreveport/ A A Dallas/ Ddesea/ A A Abilene/ A A A Corsus Christi Houston I't Arthur Texarkans Austin Waco/Temple Ft. Motth Midland San Antonio E1 Paso Sweetwater Lubbock Amarille Total Imp. N Thp. RN Imp, RN Imp. AN Teep. RN Jrp. KN Inp. RN Imp. KS Imp. RN It.p. RN Imp. RN Imp. XN Imp. as Imp. HN 34 49 58 57 82 64 58 67 47 61 48 75 53 61 57 72 27 62 11 67 64 38 78 50 72 51 67 Vietnam 55 66 40 18 31 33 39 24 39 28 28 36 21 28 32 38 21 Inflation 26 50 27 58 -28 64 67 14 42 25 56 26 47 36 49 27 38 22 61 61 25 61 25 53 28 53 79 48 42 33 33 58 43 53 51 52 36 38 42 46 38 38 34 60 30 55 22 72 17 61 33 50 64 48 58 21 54 10 62 17 67 30 42 69 47 58 Drugs 34 61 62 38 45 28 39 44 34 42 45 28 01 29 53 37 21 38 23 47 24 55 19 69 28 61 25 39 29 58 24 50 22 58 20 48 3 61 Crime 30 51 20 47 25 53 62 50 45 28 39 58 41 44 42 41 36 44 53 45 28 21 24 51 Unemployment 21 52 26 58 6 64 25 47 24 59 14 44 32 42 24 52 12 61 17 57 15 69 23 53 16 49 48 36 36 33 38 50 56 34 36 40 31 44 34 22 52 27 67 61 69 30 53 64 Taxes 36 47 21 50 55 62 50 58 35 20 11 26 27 51 34 58 27 57 66 46 33 36 28 44 34 53 50 28 36 47 42 42 3 45 16 51 18 70 20 69 25 58 23 50 16 67 9 56 25 51 10 59 25 64 24 68 20 58 18 59 Race 55 47 30 31 42 47 31 44 49 31 33 31 42 39 59 85 22 76 12 85 22 86 24 92 20 69 16 84 Foreign Policy 24 81 16 17 10 83 12 67 15 83 15 86 18 80 38 23 15 11 8 28 15 19 13 7 31 14 8 18 34 69 68 45 67 15 48 3 79 7 6 67 28 64 15 56 12 61 75 Environment 3 8 34 6 14 6 69 12 59 66 50 21 31 36 39 37 28 32 45 31 24 25 39 38 58 50 59 52 61 74 69 General Intest 3 13 52 58 12 69 8 47 53 12 12 13 23 12 23 11 15 6 13 57 59 46 39 31 53 47 39 44 40 38 39 24 25 41. 31 46 64 50 47 66 39 56 52 58 50 72 55 Welfare 6 11 9 61 9 19 16 11 9 14 7 9 12 6 12 69 50 39 25 44 50 32 56 44 38 39 46 28 42 Health Care 17 66 13 59 9 70 6 92 72 64 75 75 68 72 67 78 28 83 70 9 3 10 6 11 13 3 6 10 34 38 27 6 22 31 21 22 32 17 31 21 14 27 52 74 88 81 83 78 81 75 83 3 79 25 72 78 17 86 78 Nat'1. Defense 21 18 33 31 28 22 19 25 21 19 20 45 23 12 17 17 19 15 25 14 10 28 19 8 19 31 41 45 58 15 42 61 47 47 53 7 15 15 4 9 3 12 3 10 47 Bussing 10 6 9 3 66 55 55 42 53 39 49 50 46 38 42 46 42 50 ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Viscoam Drugs Corpus Christi: Inflation San Antonio: Vietman Inflation Taxes Inflation Taxes Unexployment Unesployment Unemployment Health Care Rece Beaumont/Pt. Arthur: Vietnam E1 Paso: Taxes National Defensa Environment Bussing General Unrest Shroveport/Texarkans: Victors Abilene/Sweetwater: Victorm National Defense Inflation Taxes Austin: Victnam Race Environment National Defense Race Foreign Policy Lubbock: Drugs Welfare Crime . Bussing Race Waco/Temple: Race Amarillo: Drugs . Taxes 4 Dallas/Ft. Worth: Bussing Health Care Odessa/Midland: Drugs Taxes National Defense Foreign Policy General Unrest June 13-20, 1972 OVERALL RATING: D WISCONSIN 600 Interviews B E E Green Bay/ A Madison/ Chicago/ Wausau D Minneapolis Rockford Milwaukee Rhinelander Total Imp. RN Imp RN Imp RN Imp. RN Imp RN Vietnam 55 59 61 61 63 53 58 69 63 59 33 37 45 31 39 Inflation 31 52 37 47 31 45 31 55 32 49 46 53 55 45 51 Drugs 19 65 21 59 12 59 18 71 16 63 27 36 38 28 34 Crime 23 59 13 64 15 50 18 59 16 56 40 34 47 40 42 Unemployment 19 56 29 47 36 38 25 58 30 47 42 52 60 41 51 Taxes 56 37 36 43 45 39 43 50 46 42 60 55 61 48 57 Race 8 67 10 76 14 64 8 76 11 69 28 24 35 23 30 Foreign Policy 13 82 11 87 15 84 18 90 16 86 15 12 14 10 13 Environment 11 67 19 71 18 57 14 73 16 65 31 28 41 27 34 General Unrest 10 61 15 58 9 58 12 63 11 60 38 40 41 35 39 Welfare 18 49 16 52 18 47 15 56 17 50 49 45 53 43 49 Health Care 9 75 2 76 6 69 8 82 7 74 21 24 28 17 24 Nat'l Defense 17 86 20 86 12 82 19 88 16 85 12 13 17 11 14 Bussing 6 62 4 67 3 52 2 68 4 60 29 29 42 29 35 Minneapolis also includes Minneapolis/St. Paul- La Crosse/Eau Claire-Dubuque ISSUES: ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES Vietnam Taxes Minneapolis: Taxes Inflation Crime Unemployment Welfare Madison/Rockford: Inflation Drugs Chicago/Milwaukee: Unemployment