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WHSF: Contested, 14-13
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WHSF: Contested, 14-13
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
13
8/30/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Ehrlichman Suggestion Polling
Information. 2 pgs.
14
13
8/29/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Campaign Polls - Wave III. 1 pg.
14
13
8/28/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: Larry Higby RE:
Phone call to Ellsworth. 1 pg.
14
13
8/28/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Thank you Letters and Certificates for
the campaign. 1 pg.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Page 1 of 6
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
13
8/25/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: Ray Price RE:
Thank You Letters. 1 pg.
14
13
8/28/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Campaign use of Mamie and Utica
Films. 1 pg.
14
13
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: T.V. Rating Comparison of Democrat
and Republican Conventions. 2 pgs.
14
13
8/26/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Campaign Polls - Wave III. 1 pg.
14
13
8/24/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: McGovern/Shriver -- Press Reaction to
Trips August 24. 5 pgs.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Page 2 of 6
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
13
8/23/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Demonstrations - RNC Convention. 3
pgs.
14
13
8/22/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: New York Financial Community for
president Nixon. 1 pg.
14
13
8/18/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Gallup Opinion. 1 pg.
14
13
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Gallup Survey. 4 pgs.
14
13
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Gallup Surveys. 2 pgs.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Page 3 of 6
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
13
8/14/1972
Campaign
Other Document
Phone Conversation between Gordon
Strachan and John Davies regarding
campaign. 3 pgs.
14
13
7/13/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Larry Higby To: Gordon Strachan RE:
Gallup Index -- June '72. One page of
handwritten notes attached. 2 pgs.
14
13
8/17/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Spock - California Ballot. 1 pg.
14
13
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Campaign Polls - Wave II Teeter
Analyses. 3 pgs.
14
13
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Robert M. Teeter To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Vietnam/Amnesty/National Defense. 4
pgs.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Page 4 of 6
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
13
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Robert M. Teeter To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Abortion Memo. 2 pgs.
14
13
8/11/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Teeter's Abortion Memo. 1 pg.
14
13
8/11/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Robert M. Teeter To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Abortion. 2 pgs.
14
13
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Robert M. Teeter To: Roy Goodearle
RE: Vice President'a Appearance. 3 pgs.
14
13
7/25/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Robert M. Teeter To: Gordon
Strachan RE: Issue and Appearance Data
from Second Wave Polling. 36 pgs.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Page 5 of 6
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
13
8/7/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Robert M. Teeter To: Clark
MacGregor RE: Wave III Schedule. 2 pgs.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Page 6 of 6
Presidential Materials Review Board
Review on Contested Documents
Collection: H. R. Haldeman
Box Number: 240
Folder:
Strachan HRH only Chron August 1972 Part II
Document
Disposition
53
Return Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/30/72
54
Retain
Open
55
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachen to HRH 8/29/72
56
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/28/72
57
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/28/72
58
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan 1Snyder to HRH N.D.
59
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/26/70
60
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/24/72
61
Retain
Open
62
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/23/72
63
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/22/72
64
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/18/72
65
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/17/72
66
Retain
Open
67
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/15/20
68
Return
Private/Political Memo Strachan to HRH 8/15/72
69
Return
Private/Political Memo Price to HRH 8/15/77
70
Retain
Close Invasion of Privacy Memo Strachan to HRH 8/11/20
71
Return
Private/Political Mano Strachan to HRH 8/11/72
72
Retain
Open
73
Retain
Open
74
Return
Private/Political Handwritten notes "Line -devel + distrib N.D
August 30, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Whrlichman Suggestion
re: Polling Information
John Ehrlichman has suggested that "comprehensive
and current polling results" be available on the
plane as the President travels to various states
this fall. He suggests wither you have it
on board ON that Roy Morey obtain it from Teeter
to be submitted to John Ehrlmchman.
The current compilation of Wave I and Wave II
campaign polls for all states and the national
survey is in the two three ring binders you have
in your office. These books could be carried as
part of the regular campaign plane materials. An
alternative would be to send with you only the
10 page summary of each state poll where the
President will visit.
The state books will be updated with the Wave III
materials on September 20. The state summanies
will include all Wave I, II and III material so that
trends since January 1972 can be noted.
When the Wave IV, "rolling wave," constant telephone
polling system is established for the last six weeks
of the campaign, the results will be given to you
immediately, either by telephone to Higby or by
dex. The timing of this information is crucial
as advertising allocation decisions will have to
be made quickly.
I would recommend against submitting "comprehensive
and current polling results" other than Teeter,
Gallup and Harris to the plane. Many newspaper
- 2 -
and candidate polls must be checked as to reliability
of pollster, size of sample and interviewing method
before deserving careful consideration.
As to the suggestion that Rov Morey work directly with
Teetr, then analyze the material, then submit it
to Ehrlichman, I believe the additional layer and
resultant time delay would not be productive. You
will have all the facts available and can review
them personally with Ehrlichman as appropriate for
interpretation.
Also, ORC will probably be doing private polls directly for
you from time to time. For Ehrlichman to have the
"comprehensive and current polling results" he should
receive all of the ORC results. This would necessitate
my reviewing with Morey our past polling practices and
results so that the benefit of constant questions
and trend would not be lost.
To change the current polling system to one reporting
to Ehrlichman through Roy Morey for the next 69 days
runs a high risk of slippage and poor performance.
GS:car
August 29, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Campaign Polls - Wave III
On August 20 you approved the schedule for the Campaign Polls ..
Wave III suggested by Tester. He has now submitted the suggested
questionnaires and list of states for your approval. MacGreger
is not taking an active role in the evaluation of the questions and
states so Tester is relying on you for direction.
Tector seeks approval on the questionnaires by Wednesday, August 30.
The vendors would go in the field September 5 and the preliminary
report would be available September 18. The national survey and all
the state surveys would be in field personal interviews as distinguished
from a telephone survey. The total cost of Wave III as proposed by
Tester is $200,0 -- $40, 000 under his 1701 budget. To add a state
for a personal interview survey would cost approximately $14-18, 000,
depending on the state and number of interviews required.
As to the substantive questions, Tester has included the detailed
amnesty question (#15) at Ehrlichman's request. Ehrlichman recom-
mended against measuring a mere change in the public's attitude
about amnesty by using the Wave II question. The questions (#12-17)
on Inflation and taxes are included because of requests by Ehrlich-
man's staff (Engman and Morey). The questions on the Watergate
incident (#25-27) are suggested by Tester.
Extra copies of the suggested questionnaire are attached should you
want to discuss it with Ehrlichman and others in California. Since
it is currently scheduled to be the last personal interview survey of
the campaign, you may want to have it staffed thoroughly.
GS:jb:GS:LH:kb
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Date: August 28, 1972
TO:
LARRY HIGBY
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
You mentioned in Florida that Bob
would make this call to Ellsworth.
Jeb will meet with him Wednesday
morning before Ellsworth leaves
the country for a few days.
Jeb urges that Bob make the call
today or tomorrow to establish
the project with Ellsworth before
Jeb meets with him.
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 28, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Thank You Letters and
Certificates for the Campaign
On Saturday, August 26, Ray Price and I discussed the
request for thank you letters described in the August 25
memorandum attached. He asked that copies be forwarded
to Roland Elliott and Lee Husbner, who is taking Gergen's
place for one week. Humbner will do the staff work and
Elliott will supervise the drafting.
The celebrities list prepared by Ray Caldiero has been
delivered to Ray Price in California. Copies will be
used here in Washington by Roland Elliott and Lee Huebner
to prepare the appropriate letters as quickly as possible.
Discussion with Ray Price on Saturday, August 25 regarding
the Presidential certificate to be sent to participants
at the Convention resulted in the delegation of the project
to Lee Huebner, He met this morning with Sandy Fox's
office (Bill Gemmell) to review the language. Only the
name of the individual will be hand lettered to assure
quick production. A mockup will be sent to you for approval,
hopefully on the August 29 cumrier.
Magruder, Chapin, Malek, Moore, and Riets have been asked
for suggested lists of recipients. Bill Timmons is unavailable
until September 5, but Stan Anderson is compiling lists from
Jon Foust and Bill Henkel and will review the final proposed
GS/jb
list on Wednesday, August 30.
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 25, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
RAY PRICE
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
The President wants to send letters to all of the seconders
at the Convention; also other individuals at the Convention
who played a key role. Would you talk with Dick Moore, who
will be in California, to develop a list of those who should
receive these letters as well as notations from Dick regarding
their role so that the letters can be appropriately worded.
In addition, the President wants to send a "Presidential watch"
to the seconders and Rockefeller with the note from the Presi-
dent. Steve Bull can acquire the "Presidential watches" for
you.
Would you advise me of the status of thes project on Monday,
August 28?
You should also know that the President will be sending
letters to all of the celebrities who attended the Convention
and supported him. Ray Caldiero ower at 1701 with Jeb Magruder
is preparing a list of participation.
CC: Dave Gergen
Steve Bull
GS/jb
FU - 8/28
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 28, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Campaign Use of Mamie
and Utica Films
Discussion with Peter Dailey on Friday, August 24 disclosed
that he and his advertising people had not seen the Mamie
videotape used Monday afternoon at the Convention. A copy
has been obtained by Mark Goode and Dailey, Joanou, and
Taylor will review it on Wednesday, August 30 and submit
a recommendation.
Similarly, Mark Goode is obtaining the regular film crew
coverage of Utica for possible editing and use for the
campaign. When the processing of the film has been
completed and Dailey, Joanou and Taylor have reviewed
them this week, they will submit a proposal.
GS/jb
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDEN STRAEHAN
AL SNYDER
SUBJECT:
T.V. Rating Comparison of
Democrat and Republican
Conventions
The attached pages compare the T.V. Ratings of the
Democrat and Republican Convention. All obtainable
information is presented.
There are three pages for each session. The first contains
the New York Overnights by the quarter-hour secments for
the three networks and independent stations with the
Democrats on the ton half and Republicans on the bottem
half of the page. The second contains the Los Angeles
Overnights by half-hour segments with the same format.
The New York Overnights are only available in quarter-
hour segments, and the Los Angeles Overnights are only
available in half-hour segments. The third page is the
national projection from a seventy city summary. It shows
the average rating for each network during common coverage.
National projections are not available on a half-hour or
cuarter-hour lasis.
The pages include all the information on New York and
Los Angeles Overnights for the Democrats, and the New York
Overnights for the Republicans. The Los Angeles Overnights
for the Republicans will be available by 10 a.m. PDT on
Mondad. Also included are the national projections for
the Republican Convention. The Los Angeles Overnights for
the Republican Convention will be obtained from a
Metromedia Vice President In Los Angeles hopefully at
10 a.m. PDT. Similarly the national projections for the
Democrats Convention will be obtained from ABC in New York,
hopefully fitoli a.m. PDT. These figures will be added to the
attached pages.
The actual Noilsen ratings should be available the week
of August 28 - September 1. They will be available in
2
The actual Neilsen ratings should be available the week
of August 28 through September 1. They will be available
in guarter-hour and half hour segments, but the average will
be very close to the attached 70 city National projections.
The time and rating of three other major Presidential
addresses were:
Southeast Asia Address: Monday, May 8, 1972, 9-9:17 p.m.
EDT 53.7
State of Union Address: Thursday, January 20, 1972, 12:30-
1:05 p.m. EDT 24.8
Wage - Price Freeze: Sunday August 15, 1971, 9-9:20 p.m.
EDT 40.2
August 26, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Campaign Polls - Wave III
On August 20 you approved the schedule for the Campaign Polls --
Wave III suggested by Teeter. He has now submitted the suggested
questionnaires and list of states for your approval. MacGregor
is not taking an active role in the evaluation of the questions and
states so Teeter is relying on you for direction.
Teeter seeks approval on the questionnaires by Tuesday, August 29.
The vendors would go in the field September 5 and the preliminary
report would be available September 18. The national survey and
all the state surveys would be in field personal interviews as dis-
tinguished from a telephone survey. The total cost of Wave III as
proposed by Teeter is $200,000 -- $40,000 under his 1701 budget.
To add a state for a personal interview survey would cost approxi-
mately $14-18, 000, depending on the state and number of interviews
required.
As to the substantive questions, Teeter has included the detailed
amnesty question (#15) at Ehrlichman's request. Ehrlichman recom-
mended against measuring a mere change in the public's attitude
about amnesty by using the Wave II question. The questions (#12-17)
on inflation and taxes are included because of requests by Ehrlich-
man's staff (Engman and Morey). The questions on the Watergate
incident (#25-27) are suggested by Tester.
Extra copies of the suggested questionnaire are attached should you
want to discuss it with Ehrlichman and others in California. Since
it is currently scheduled to be the last personal interview survey
of the campaign, you may want to have it staffed thoroughly.
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 24, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
McGovern/Shriver - Press
Reaction to Trips August 24
McGovern
The Parker Schedule of McGovern lists three events --
1) St. Paul Labor Reception; 2) address American Federation
of Teachers; and 3) address to VFW. Excerpts from the wires
include the following:
VFW - AP
In contrast to the polite reception the American Legion gave
McGovern in Chicago Wednesday, the www greeted practically
all the Senator had to say with stony silence.
The 1,500 or so VFW delegates appeared stunned when cheering,
applause and whistles broke out in the spectators' gallery
as McGovern entered the Minneapolis auditorium.
Several hundred spectators were obviously McGovern supporters
who turned out to blunt whatever demonstration against
McGovern might have occurred from the Veterans, whose conven-
tion so far this week has been directed largely at denunciation
of those opposed to the Vietnam War.
There also was no response when he said that America is the
greatest nation in the world and "I would gladly give my life
for this country."
UPI - none as of 5:45 EST
- 2 -
AFT - AP
St. Paul, Minn. -- Sen. George McGovern today received
cheers and applause, a $250,000 campaign pledge and the
first endorsement of a Presidential candidate by the
American Teachers Federation in its 56-year history.
Several times during his talk to the AFT, of which he is
a member, the Democratic Presidential candidate was halted
by applause. Twice delegates gave him standing ovations
lasting nearly a minute.
Endorsement of the South Dakota Senator came shortly after
he left the Convention Hall in St. Paul to address the
National Convention in Minneapolis of the Veterans of
Foreign Wars, where he got a frosty reception.
Delegates at the Convention of the 300,000-member teacher
organisation rose to their feet to applaud McGovern when
he said teachers should have the right to strike without
facing a threat of jail.
He received another standing ovation when he said, "Teachers
and other school employees must be guaranteed the right to
strike."
AFT - UPI
McGovern received a ringing endorsement from Sen. Hubert H.
Humphrey, who told a reception for members of the American
Federation of Teachers and union leaders at St. Paul, "Quit
listening to all this doom and gloom stuff" and join in
McGovern's campaign for the Presidency.
"The only thing that can defeat us is ourselves," Humphrey
said. Acknowledging "We"ve had some disagreements" in the
primary campaign, Humphrey, who lost the Democratic Presi-
dential nomination to MoGovern, said the important thing
was to retire Nixon.
"To put it frankly, he's not your friend," Humphrey said.
McGovern said the central issue in the campaign was which
sort of man the American people want to lead them: "An
Administration that serves the forces of privilege and
greed, or one which is in the best interests of the ordinary
people of this country."
- 3 -
Miscellaneous - Chicago/Minneapolis
UPI
While he was in Chicago, McGovern met with Mayor Richard
Daley and at a news conference afterwards the Mayor again
gave his grudging support to the Democratic nominee.
Later, when he arrived in Minneapolis, a crowd of several
hundred -- including several who interrupted his talk shout-
ing "What about Gay rights?" - greeted him. He told them
the GOP Convention was "The most manipulated, public rebations
oriented convention in the history of the country."
"... only the converted and gullible could believe the
words we heard from Miami this week," he said in remarks
prepared for the teachers convention.
Shriver
The Parker Schedule for Shriver shows three events --
1) Cincinnati Executive Board, International Molders,
AFL-CIO Press Conference, 2) Pittsburgh-Levenson Steel
Cost and 3) County Democratic Picnic. The wires include
the following exceppts:
UPI - Cincinnati
Sargent Shriver characterised Presidential aide Henry
Kissinger yesterday as a "Superman and Mighty Mouse all
in one" who is frantically trying to end the Vietnam War
before the November election.
Shriver, addressing a crowd of several thousand enthusastic
supporters in a brief rally at Fountain Square here, also
attacked the Nixon Administration's economic record as the
worst since the time of Herbert Hoover. Last night he
attended a reception of local Democrats.
The Executive Board of the 80,000 member International
Molders and Allied Workers Union voted today to endorse
Democratic Presidential nominee George McGovern because
"He has consistently championed the cause of the Union
members."
- 4 -
Shriver (cont)
AP - Cincinnati
Democratic Vice Presidential candidate Sargent Shriver
today received the endorsement of a 75,000-member AFL-CIO
union and called President Nixon the world's "No. 1 Warmaker."
Declaring he and George McGovern probably would be defeated
in a landslide if the election were held now, Democratic
Vice Presidential nominee Sargent Shriver has received
little encouragement from two Deep South governors.
Ending the southern half of his second campaign grip with
an Atlanta rally and a chat with farmers, Shriver headed
into Ohio and the industrial North, where he again attacked
President Nixon's Vietnam policies.
Democratic Vice Presidential candidate Sargent Shriver today
received the endorsement of a 75,000-member AFL-CIO union
and called President Nixon the world's "No. 1 Warmaker."
Miscellaneous
AP
A California Poll released today gives President Nixon an
8 per cent lead over Senator George McGovern in the fight
for California's 45 electoral votes,
In the poll of 1,032 adults selected at random, Nixon
captured virtually 9 out of 10 Republican votes and 25 per
cent of the Democratic votes.
Pollster Mervin D. Field said Nixon's lead was particularly
significant since Democratic registration in the state is
at an all-time high - 5.1 million - and the Democratic
registration plurality over Republicans is also at an all-
time high - 1.7 million. Another factor in Nixon's lead,
Field said, was his strength among newly enfranchised 18-20
year-olds and among 21-24 year-olds who were too young to
vote in 1968,
- 5 -
AP -
A newly formed national security committee for Sen. George
McGovern has criticised Republican charges that the Demo-
cratic Presidential candidate's plan to out military
spending is isolationistic and dangerous for America.
"A defense budget of $50 billion to $60 billion is anything
but an isolationist budget," the committee co-chairman,
former Asst. Secretary of Defense Paul C, Warnke, said
Wednesday.
The CBS radio news at 5 p.m. EST opened with a voice tape
of the President at Utica and a reference to the Chicago
stop. The reporter noted the President was going on to
San Diego on this first campaign swing.
After an ad, the announcer noted that Vice President Agnew
had said that he was going to wipe away the old image and
speak only of positive issues.
The announcer then noted that there was little reaction
to McGovern by the yyw though the AFT was very friendly.
The "ringing endorsement" from Humphrey followed.
The reporter noted the Shriver press conference quote that
the President was the No. 1 Warmaker and that Shriver had
received the endorsement of the Molders Union.
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 23, 1972
4:15 pm
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Demonstrations - RNC Convention
The best available information from John Dean regarding demonstrators'
activities tonight includes:
1) 2,000-2,500 are currently massed in Flamingo Park;
total available demonstrators 3,000;
2) Demonstrators' reconnaissance teams (2-10) are sur-
veying Convention Center and access routes;
3) The demonstrators' plan (subject to quick revision) is
to concentrate on key intersections and to try to block entrances;
4) Some "trashing" by Attics Brigade and Zippies is expected;
5) There are "plenty of police" in area and the cooperation
with local officials is now very good;
6) The local Judge upheld the order directing police to
"enforee the law" .e.agrests will be made as needed);
7) Total arrests until 4 p.m. is 230; with $250 bond imposed;
8) Washington Avenue has been conceded to the demonstrators.
They would have to move against that fence to get within the Convention
perimater;
9) Meridian Avenue (rear access to the Convention) will be
lined with buses from 17th to Dade. This should prevent demonstrators
from delaying vehicular access to the Center;
10) Rain is expected.
- 2 -
Fred Fielding will be on the scene at the Octagon. Dean and Wilson
will be at Security Command Post at the Doral. Fielding and Dean
will be on Sierra.
Diagram attached.
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15
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 22, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
New York Financial Community
for President Nixon
Magruder reviewed your suggestions on Bob Ellsworth's New York
Financial Community memorandum with Peter Flanigan and then
Bob Ellsworth - pursuant to your request. Flanigan concurred
with your views. In discussion with Ellsworth, Magruder learned
that Bob Ellsworth is most anxious to have you call him personally
to ask him to undertake this project. Apparently, there is some
1968 background explaining the request that you talk with Ellsworth
personally. A Talking Paper based on the Ellsworth revisions of
the memorandum is attached.
GS/jb
August 18, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM 1
GORDON STRACHAN
The most recent Gallup Opinion Indes is attached. Davies, at
Gallup, thought you might be interested in the comparison of
the Democrate platform and the rank and file views. You have
seen some of the Gallup referendum material on page 6 - 9
which shows only Democratic views.
The selection of the Vice President candidate should be made
by the voters (63%) instead of the current process (31%) accord-
ing to a pre-Eagleton poll (Apr 28 - May 1) reported on page 10.
Gallup asked "In your opinion, which is most responsible for
inflation - government, business or labor?" On page 11 the
demographics are reported which show that 39% blame the
Government, 20% blame Business, and 29% blame Labor, while
14% had no opinion on the polling dates Apr 21 - 24, 1972. Bob
Tecter's Wave II asked a similar question - "Do you think business,
labor unions, the President, Congress or the consumer is most
responsible for rising prices and inflation? " The results were:
Bus Uns P Coag Consum
T- Jun 16-26
26
37
8
9
17
(National)
The Nixon-McGovera demographic material on page 4 will be
included in the Gallup materials mentioned in (3) above.
The usual Demographic Comparison of the President's popularity
is included.
GS:LH:pm
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
August 15, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
S
SUBJECT:
Gallup Surveys
Discussion with John Davies today disclosed several
interesting matters:
1) The Gallup Release on Friday, August 18, will be
on the "confidence the voters have in the two major
parties to deal with the key bread and butter issues
of peace and prosperity. Gallup has "found that the
Republican Party has closed the gap on both issues and,
as a matter of fact, now holds a rather wide lead over
the Democrats on the Party better able to keep the
country out of war." The Republicans have "drawn even
with the Democrats on the issue of prosperity - an
issue that the Democrats have sort of dominated over
the years. Davies says "this just lends additional
evidence to the fact that the Republicans are in a
very good position at this point in time in the
campaign.' Davies would not give me exact figures
because "they can change." The last September, 1971
Gallup Release on the confidence of voters on Repub-
licans and Democrats handling of peace and prosperity is
attached at Tab A.
2) The Gallup Release for Sunday, August 20 will be the
new trial heat figures from the poll conducted August
4-6. However, Davies gave me the usual line about
"preliminary figures, unweighted data, etc;" but he
did say "it looks as though the lead (G - Jul 14-17:
56 - 37 - 7) has held up, but to what extent, I don't
know. It could be even greater - that's why I don't
want to mention anything." He hopes to be able to
give me the results on Friday, August 18 in spite of
the Gallup Organization rule about not talking to
either candidate's staff.
4
PARTY BEST FOR PEACE
Question: "Which political party do you think would be more likely to keep the U.S. out of World War III --
the Republican party or the Democratic party?"
AUGUST 27 30, 1971
MID-JULY, 1971
No
No
No
No
Republican
Democratic
Difference
Opinion
Republican
Democratic
Difference
Opinion
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
NATIONAL
24
29
34
13
28
28
32
12
SEX
Male
27
27
36
10
Female
22
29
33
16
RACE
White
26
26
35
13
Non-white
4
52
26
18
EDUCATION
College
30
24
36
10
High School
22
31
33
14
Grade School
22
30
32
16
OCCUPATION
Prof. & Bus.
28
23
36
13
White Collar
32
29
28
11
Farmers
30
40
24
6
Manual
18
34
35
13
AGE
18 20 years
16
39
32
13
21 29 years
26
30
34
10
30 49 years
22
31
33
14
50 & over
26
25
35
14
RELIGION
Protestant
28
27
33
12
Catholic
19
32
33
16
Jewish
X
X
X
X
POLITICS
Republican
59
6
27
8
Democrat
9
51
29
11
Independent
20
17
46
17
REGION
East
23
31
31
15
Midwest
28
28
33
11
South
23
30
32
15
West
21
22
44
13
INCOME
$15,000 & over
27
28
31
14
$10,000 $14,999
27
26
37
10
7,000 $ 9,999
23
30
37
10
$ 5,000 $ 6,999
26
30
29
15
$ 3,000 $ 4,999
23
28
36
13
Under $3,000
17
33
32
18
COMMUNITY SIZE
1,000,000 & over
17
36
35
12
500,000 999,999
27
27
33
13
50,000 499,999
22
27
37
14
2,500- 49,999
26
24
35
15
Under 2,500, Rural
28
28
32
12
PARTY BEST FOR PROSPERITY
Question: "Looking ahead for the next few years, which political party - the Republican or the Democratic --
do you think will do the better job of keeping the country prosperous?"
AUGUST 27 30, 1971
MID-JULY, 1971
No
No
No
No
Republican
Democratic
Difference
Opinion
Republican
Democratic
Difference
Opinion
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
NATIONAL
21
45
23
11
23
46
21
10
SEX
Male
23
48
21
8
Female
18
44
24
14
RACE
White
23
42
24
11
Non-white
4
72
12
12
EDUCATION
College
28
38
24
10
High School
19
47
22
12
Grade School
17
50
22
11
OCCUPATION
Prof. & Bus.
28
40
22
10
White Collar
29
44
19
8
Farmers
18
53
16
13
Manual
13
54
22
11
AGE
18 20 years
20
44
21
15
21 29 years
20
47
22
11
30 49 years
20
48
21
11
50 & over
21
44
24
11
RELIGION
Protestant
23
42
24
11
Catholic
17
51
19
13
Jewish
X
X
X
X
POLITICS
Republican
60
9
21
10
Democrat
4
74
14
8
Independent
15
35
35
15
REGION
East
20
47
22
11
Midwest
25
46
20
9
South
18
48
21
13
West
20
37
30
13
INCOME
$15,000 & over
30
43
16
11
$10,000 $14,999
25
40
26
9
$ 7,000 $ 9,999
17
54
21
8
$ 5,000 $ 6,999
19
47
20
14
$ 3,000 $ 4,999
21
44
25
10
Under $3,000
10
47
27
16
COMMUNITY SIZE
1,000,000 & over
15
51
21
13
500,000 999,999
28
41
22
9
50,000 499,999
22
45
23
10
2,500 49,999
20
43
23
14
Under 2,500, Rural
21
45
23
11
Sat
- 2 -
3) The detailed demographic comparison of Gallup
Get st
Trial Heats between the President and McGovern
from both released and previously private materials
is being prepared by Davies' office but is not yet
available.
Gally
The most recent Gallup Opinion Index is attached
at
Tab B. Davies thought you might be interested
in the comparison of the Democrats platform and the
rank and file views. You have seen some of the Gallup
referendum material on page 6 - 9 which shows only
Democratic views.
The selection of the Vice President candidate should
be made by the voters (63%) instead of the current
process (31%) according to a pre-Eagleton poll (Apr 28 -
May 1) reported on page 10.
Gallup asked "In your opinion, which is most respon-
sible for inflation - government, business or labor?"
On page 11 the demographics are reported which show
that 39% blame the Government, 20% blame Business, and
29% blame Labor, while 14% had no opinion on the
polling dates Apr 21 - 24, 1972. Bob Teeter's Wave II
asked a similar question - "Do you think business, labor
unions, the President, Congress or the cunsumer is
most responsible for rising prices and inflation."
The results were:
Bus Uns P Cong Consum
T - Jun 16-26
26
37
8
9
17
(National)
The Nixon-McGovern demographic material on page 4
will be included in the Gallup materials mentioned
in (3) above.
The usual Demographic Comparison of the President's
popularity is included.
August 15, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Gallup Surveys
Discussion with John Davies today disclosed several
interestedg matters:
1) The Gallup Release on Friday, August 18, will be
on the "confidence the voters have in the two major
parties to deal with the key bread and butter issues
of peace and prosperity." Gallup has "found that the
Republican Party has closed the gap on both issues and,
as a matter of fact, now holds a rather wide lead over
the Democrats on the Party better able to keep the
country out of war." The Republicans have "drawn even
with the Democrats on the issue of prosperity - an
issue that the Democrats have sort of dominated over
the years." Davies says "this just lends additional
evidence to the fact that the Republicans are in a
very good position at this point in time in the
campaign." Davies would not give me exact figures
because "they can change"" The last September 1971
Gallup Release on the confidence of voters on Repub-
licans and Democrats handling of peace and prosperity is
attached at Tab A.
2) The Gallup Release for Sunday, August 20 will be the
new trial heat figures from the poll conducted August
4-6. However, Davies gave me the usual line about
"preliminary figures, unweighted data, etc," but he
did say "it looks as though the lead (G - Jul 14-17:
56 - 37 - 7) has held up, but to what extent, I don't
know. It could be even greater - that's why I don't
want to mention anything." He hopes to be able to
give me the results on Friday, August 18 in spite of
the Gallup Organisation rule about not talking to
either candidate's staff.
- 2 -
3) The detailed demographic comparison of Gallup
Trial Heats between the President and McGovern
from both released and previously private materials
is being prepared by Davies' office but is not yet
available.
4) The most recent Gallup Opinion Index is attached
at Tab B. Davies thought you might be interested
in the comparison of the Democrate platform and the
rank and file views. You have seen some of the Gallup
feferendum material on page 6 - 9 which shows only
Democratic views.
The selection of the Vice President candidate should
be made by the voters (63%) instead of the surrent
process (31%) according to a pre-Eagleton poll (Apr 28 -
May 1) reported on page 10.
Gallup asked "In your opinion, which is most respon-
sible for inflation - government, business or labor?"
On page 11 the demographics are reported which show
that 39% blame the Government, 20% blame Business, and
29% blame Labor, while 140 had no opinion on the
polling dates Apr 21 - 24, 1972. Bob Teeter's Wave II
asked a similar question - "Do you think business, labow
unions, the President, Congress or the cunsumer is
most responsible for rising prices and inflation."
The results were:
Bus Uns P Cong Consum
T - Jun 16-26
26 37 los 9 17
(National)
The Nixon-McGovern demographic material on page 4
will be included in the Gallup materials mentioned
in (3) above.
The usual Bemographic Comparison of the Pres&dent's
popularity is included.
GS:car
PHONE CONVERSATION WITH JOHN DAVIES -- Monday, August 14, 1972
G - Hi, John, how are you?
D - Hi, Gordon, how are you? Sorry ...
G - Oh, no problem at all. Do you have any results from that August 4-6
one yet?
D - Yes, we have some preliminary data that I can give you.
G - Oh, great.
D - Incidentally, thank you very much for that package. That was great.
Great stuff.
G - Hope it wasn't too bulky there.
D - No, just terrific. Some of those things are magnificent.
G - But that is everything, so just feel free to throw away what you
don't want to use.
D - Oh, I'll keep every bit of it. No, that's just the kind of stuff
that -- of course we're heavy on campaign buttons here. But that
material makes those posters and everything we're going to frame
alot of those things. They're great.
G - Good. I'll keep all the rest of the stuff for you.
D - Oh, terrific. Now getting back to some of the things I have here.
I can't give you any information yet on the trial heat because
we're still waiting for a full sample and I'd rather not give you
unweighted data. It's - the change is SO much that it looks as
though the lead has held up, but to what extent I don't know.
G - OK.
D - It could be even greater - that's why I don't want to mention
anything.
- 2 -
G - Yeah. OK.
D- I'll probably know better tomorrow.
G - All right. When do you expect to release it?
D - Uh, hopefully, Sunday.
G - OK.
D - Now, the story for the Thursday, no, Friday it is. For Friday will
be the confidence the voters have in the two major parties to deal
with the key bread and butter issues of peace and prosperity which
of course is your campaign slogan this year. We've found that the
Republican Party has closed the gap on both issues and as a matter of
fact now holds a rather wide lead over the Democrats on the you
know the Party better able to keep the country out of war.
G - Hey, that's interesting.
D - And drawn even with the Democrats on the issue of prosperity you
know an issue that the Democrats have sort of dominated over the
years. And this just lends additional evidence to the fact that
the Republicans are in a very good position at this point in time
in the campaign.
G - Gee, that's amazing. If we can only hold it.
D - Uh, once again, I shy away from giving you figures on that because
those will change too, but I think that's basically all I can give
you at this point.
G - OK. Well would it be convenient for me to call you tomorrow. I
don't want to bug you on it.
D - At about 11 a.m. might be good.
- 3 -
G - OK. I'll call you then.
D - I'll be leaving around 12:30 for the day.
G - OK. I'll call you then.
D - OK, Gordon.
G - How are things?
D - Excellent.
G - Are you going to be going down to the Convention?
D - No, I don't think SO. I'd like to but too many other things
in the way.
G - Understand.
D - There's a golf tournament on Sunday.
G - OK - that's great news, John.
D - OK, Gordon.
G - Talk to you tomorrow around 11.
D - Righto.
G - Thank you.
D - Bye.
G - Bye.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Gue me Gue
July 13, 1972
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM FOR:
GORDON STRACHAN
FROM:
L. HIGBY L
SUBJECT:
Gallup Index - - June '72
Your note on the Gallup Index -- June '72 you sent to
Haldeman read as follows: "In addition to the Presidential
popularity in demographic appearance in this Gallup Opinion
Index is demographics on Trial Heats as well as image infor-
mation on McGovern, Humphrey, and Wallace. ".
Rather than just giving a brief summary, you should indicate:
1. The information;
2. What is in here that we've not seen before;
3. Any significant trends indicated.
The brief note could be done by anyone. The information put
together as outlined above would be staffing it.
ag 4-6
no info yet on Tre Heat
1 unwergthte
head Hopepully has held up, could be
up
Fri Release - anfie that
voters have Peace +
Pres
Rep party closed gap
+ Drolds
Even on property
- ahead on Peace.
A DMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 17, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Spock - California Ballot
A check with the California Secretary of State indicates four
parties have qualified for ballot position --- Democrat, Republican,
Peace and Freedom, and the American Independent Party. Only McGovern
at this time is "certified" as the nominee of his Party. The Peace
and Freedom Party will hold its state convention on August 26 and
is expected to "certify" Spock and Hobson as its candidates.
Although Spock was nominated by the Peoples Party nationally, his
e fforts assured ballot position for the Peace and Freedom Party
in California. The Peace and Freedom Party is the California off-
shoot of the National Peoples Party.
The American Independent Party will hold its state convention on
August 26 and is expected to "certify" Schmitz and Anderson.
GS/jb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
August 15, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Campaign Polls - Wave II
Teeter Analyses
Bob Tester has submitted the last requested memorandum
on the Wave II results. The subject is Vietnam, Amnesty,
and National Defense (attached at Tab A). In response
to your questions on the August 11 Abortion memorandum,
Teeter submitted the material attached at Tab B.
You approved sending the state by state issue information
to the Vice President on August 14. Teeter has also
prepared the materials you requested showing the Vice
President "his relative strength in various areas". This
material is attached at Tab C. The question is whether
this material is acceptable as presented to forward to
the Vice President.
Recommendation:
X
Yes, send Teeter material to Vice President.
No, Teeter prepare less detailed material.
Other.
Bob Teeter has also prepared materials for Dave Parker
showing the President's and Vice President's approval
- 2 -
ratings by region. This information is attached at Tab C.
The question is whether these "specific figures" should be
released to Chapin/Parker.
Recommendation:
Yes, forward to Parker.
No, have Teeter revise material to delete "specific
figures".
Other.
Teeter has submitted the memorandum attached at Tab D
requesting authority to conduct Wave III, the post-Convention
brief questionnaire, trial heat poll in Key States, on
September 6-9, The results would be available September 16.
Questionnaire approval and the selection of the exact list
of states would be made on August 28.
Recommendation:
That Teeter's suggested schedule for Wave III be approved.
Approve
Disapprove
Comments
Finally, Tester wonders whether you want to discuss the
Wave II information with him. He is available at your
convenience though he had planned on going to California
on Thursday, August 17 to brief Nofsiger on the Wave II
results in California. The discussion would last no more
than one hour.
- 3 -
Recommendation:
Schedule Teeter to brief Haldeman on Friday, August 18.
Re-schedule Teeter discussion.
No need for Teeter discussion of Wave II at this time.
Other.
GS/jb
I
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
MEMORANDUM
August 15, 1972
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE
CONEIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY
MARKING
E.O.
12000.
By
Emprise
6-102
MARS,
Date
1-14-80
MEMORANDUM FOR:
MR. H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
Vietnam/Amnesty/National Defense
This memorandum will outline the results of the second wave campaign
polls as they pertain to Vietnam, amnesty, and national defense.
As we have noted in other memoranda, Vietnam is by far the single
most important national issue in every geographical region of the
country and with every demographic group. It is also the issue
which has the most effect in determining how someone will vote
for President.
Overall, the President receives an excellent rating on his ability
to handle the Vietnam situation. Sixty-five percent give him posi-
tive ratings compared to 30% who rate him negatively. McGovern
does not do as well with 42% rating him positively and 26% negatively.
On the question of troop withdrawal from Vietnam, more voters lean
toward a gradual withdrawal from Vietnam than favor immediate with-
drawal as shown below. Age is the only demographic factor which
has much effect on how an individual voter would feel.
Tot.
R
T-S
D
N
Mc
1/
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Gradual
Immediate
Withdrawal
Withdrawal
1/
Tot. = Total Voters
T-S = Ticket-Splitters
R = Republicans
D = Democrats
N = Total Rating Nixon
Mc = Total Rating McGovern
-2-
Tot.
65+
18-24
2/
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Gradual
Immediate
Withdrawal
Withdrawal
The Presidential candidates are seen as having opposite views on
the question of withdrawal; however, while the voters are in
between the two candidates, they see the President's position as
closer to their own view than McGovern's.
I think the data on amnesty is very significant. There is a high
correlation between the amnesty question and the responses on
Vietnam. Apparently, amnesty has become a "code word" for a set
of opinions which correspond directly to beliefs about Vietnam with-
drawal. It appears that it is becoming an integral part of the
Vietnam issue rather than an independent issue.
On amnesty, the President is perceived as having a position identical
to that held by the public. McGovern's perceived position, on the
other hand, is quite removed from the position of the voters. Age
is the only variable having a large effect on the opinions regarding
amnesty.
Tot.
D
T-S
N R
Mc
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Grant Amnesty
Consider Amnesty
Never Grant
Immediately
After the War
Amnesty
Tot.
18-24
65+
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Grant Amnesty
Consider Amnesty
Never Grant
Immediately
After the War
Amnesty
2/
Tot. = Total Voters
65+ = Voters 65 years & over
18-24 = Voters 18-24 years old
-3-
On the question of national defense the voters are fairly evenly
split between those favoring a strong defense versus those favoring
that we reorder our priorities and spend domestically even though
it means a less strong national defense. Although they lean to the
side of a strong defense, the voters place themselves about equi-
distance between Nixon and McGovern. Again age is important in
the voter's position.
Tot.
R
T-S
D
N
Mc
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Strong
Spend at Home
Defense
Less Strong Defense
Tot.
65+
18-24
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Strong
Spend at Home
Defense
Less Strong Defense
Thirty-seven percent of the voters think we should spend less on
national defense while 39% think we should continue to spend about
what we are now. However, of the 37% who feel we should spend less,
71% hold this opinion because they believe the Defense Department
wastes tax dollars rather than because they believe we need less
military strength.
Conclusions
1. Vietnam is by far the single most important issue in determining
Presidential vote.
2. The President's handling of Vietnam is the single most important
factor contributing to the President's high approval ratings and
increased committed support. A large majority of voters are in favor
of total withdrawal from Vietnam (not necessarily immediately) and
perceive of the President withdrawing from Vietnam as fast as possible.
To insure continued acceptance of our withdrawal plans we should
continue to emphasize that very few or no American combat troops
remain and that withdrawal of our air and sea support is conditional
only on the release of our prisoners. Although voters want a reduction
-4-
in our involvement, they favor retention of some forces in Vietnam
until the prisoners are released. We should not allow this issue
to become clouded or fuzzy. We should make absolutely sure that
the voters understand that the difference between the President's
position and McGovern's position is that the President is going to
withdraw totally after the prisoners are released while McGovern
would withdraw immediately and hope the prisoners would be released.
3. Attitudes toward the President and ultimately the Nixon vote
are more highly correlated with whether or not voters think he has
done a good job of handling the Vietnam problem than anything else,
except past voting behavior. This is truely the gut issue in the
campaign.
4. As the President is seen handling the Vietnam situation well
and as we have a definite advantage over McGovern on this issue,
we should continue to emphasize Vietnam. We should be careful not
to overstate our accomplishments because a substantial proportion
of voters do not believe we have been completely truthful and forth-
right about Vietnam. Young voters are especially sensitive to this.
5. While the President's perceived position on amnesty is right
in line with the voters, amnesty is probably going to become a more
important issue during the campaign and the President will have to
address himself to it more specifically than he has. His position
should be just as it is now perceived to be, fairly hard but allowing
for amnesty under some conditions after the war is over. These
conditions might include amnesty for C.O.'s and draft dodgers but
require public service. While we did not measure it directly, I
suspect there is some difference of attitudes for the C.O.'s and
draft dodgers versus deserters. This is an issue we should check
carefully in Wave Three and continue to follow.
The President should be very careful on handling the defense spending
and reordering of priorities issues. There appears to be some ground
for McGovern to gain on this issue. Many voters find the "reordering
of priorities" and 'doing more at home" appeals very attractive,
particularly when their concern over high taxes is rising.
There are two points we should emphasize with regards to national
defense. First, whenever the President discusses it he should explain
and emphasize that a strong national defense is a means to peace
not just that it is a means for us to be the strongest nation in
the world or to prevent us from becoming a second-rate power. There
is strong support for the idea that a strong national defense is in
fact a means to peace and we should always tie defense spending to
that idea.
Secondly, some public hard-nosed action directed at duplication and
waste in the Defense Department would be most useful along with more
publicity of the Administration's actions to make the Defense Depart-
ment more efficient. Regardless of whatever actions we may have
taken, there is continued wide-spread suspicion of the military
industrial complex.
CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY
COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT
MEMORANDUM
August 15, 1972
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINIS MARKING
CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY
E.O. 12065
6-102
By
Emprise
Date
1-14-80
MEMORANDUM FOR:
MR. H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
Abortion Memo
This is in response to your further inquiry concerning our memoran-
dum on abortion.
As the following table shows, men have slightly more liberal
attitudes about abortion than do women, and men's attitudes are
closer to the McGovern position than women. Although this is
true, it is our judgment that abortion is a more important issue
to women than men.
Views on Abortion
Mc Tot.
M W
N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Legalize
Do Not
Abortion
Legalize
In answer to your further question the following tables show the
increases in Catholic vote from the first wave. The change in the
Catholic vote corresponds closely to the total change which has
occurred in most states since the first wave except in Indiana
and Ohio:
1/
Tot = Total Voters
M = Male Voters
W = Female Voters
N = Total Rating Nixon
Mc = Total Rating McGovern
-2-
PERCENTAGE COMMITTED NIXON VOTE
Total
Catholic
2/
3
/
2/
3
State
Wave I
Wave II
Change
Wave I
Wave II
Change
California
42%
48%
+ 6%
36%
42%
+ 6%
Indiana
47
54
+ 7
31
51
+20
Maryland
47
52
+ 5
49
56
+ 7
Missouri
39
44
+5
37
43
+ 6
New Jersey
49
49
+ 0
52
50
- 2
New York
46
49
+ 3
54
53
- 1
Ohio
49
56
+7
37
51
+14
Oregon
45
42
- 3
27
23
- 4
Pennsylvania
43
49
+ 6
32
42
+10
Texas
44
54
+10
39
41
+ 2
Wisconsin
41
44
+ 3
29
33
+4
2/
Nixon/Muskie/Undecided Ballot
3/
Nixon/McGovern/Undecided Ballot
CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Date:
8/11/72
&
TO:
GORDON STRACHAN Live
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
Fatr
Copies of Teeter's abortion but
memorandum should be sent
to Ehrlichman, Buchanan
and Flanigan.
L
7
8/14
Committee for the Re-election of the President
MEMORANDUM
August 11, 1972
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINIST
CARD
MARKING
CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY
E.O. 12005 Sention 6-102
By Emprise FEBS, Date 1-14-80
MEMORANDUM FOR:
MR. H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
Abortion
As requested, this memorandum will outline the results of the
second wave of campaign polls as it relates to abortion.
The President's perceived position on abortion is somewhat
removed from the view held by the total electorate. On the
other hand, McGovern's position is in the center of the public
view.
Tot
T-S
D
Mc
R
N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Legalize
Do not legalize
abortion
abortion
As shown in the above chart, the President's current position
indicates there is some possibility of losing some votes on this
issue. This is especially true with women voters who position
McGovern much closer to their own view than Nixon. The notion
that Catholic voters are yerwhelmingly opposed to abortion is
not borne out by this data. Forty-eight percent of the Catholics
are opposed to abortion while 41% would leave the matter to be
decided by a woman and her doctor. The Nixon position is somewhat
closer to all Catholic voters than the McGovern position, while
McGovern is more in line with women.
Tot
Mc W Cath. N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Legalize
Do not legalize
abortion
abortion
men are more closer" to
Thats not a valid me conclusion G. than
women are. Rig 4?
-2-
The argument has been made that those who are opposed to abortion,
particularly Catholics, are much more intense in their feelings
on the issue and that it is more of a vote determining issue with
them than it is with the pro-abortion people. While we did not
measure this directly, the data indicates that this conclusion is
not accurate.
The idea that the President's increased support among Catholics
results directly from his abortion stand is also not supported by
the data. Catholic support of the President appears to have been
growing for some time and was also strong in January prior to his
letter to Cardinal Cooke.
how much has P.
Conclusions
The data leads us to the following conclusions:
gamed upCaths Jan? since
1. The President's position is certainly not going to attract any
new voters and may be in fact costing him some support he might
otherwise have, particularly among women.
2. While more Catholics are opposed to liberalized abortion than
support it, the margin is close.
3. My recommendation is that the President avoid this issue if
possible unless it becomes absolutely necessary. If it does become
necessary, I think he should take the position that it is a matter
to be decided by each state and not reiterate his personal position
The alternative to this would be for him to moderate his stand
Never!
which might help him with women and younger voters, but not soften
it to a point where he jeopardizes his advantage with some Catholics.
This is a matter of
personal belief -
at commitment.
Committee for the Re-election of the President
MEMORANDUM
August 15, 1972
DRAFT
MEMORANDUM FOR:
ROY GOODEARLE
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
Vice President's Appearances
Attached is a memorandum written to Dwight Chapin which summarizes
the issue data from our Wave II poll by local area. Also attached
is a summary of the Vice President's approval rating by local
area. Each area is classified A,B,C,D, and E, with A meaning
the Vice President's approval rating is substantially over his
national approval rating, B, that it is somewhat over his national
approval rating, C meaning that it is very close, D that it is somewhat
under and E that it is substantially under. We will be furnishing
you additional data after the 3rd Wave of polling which will be
done in early September.
Alabama
C
Michigan
D
Mobile
A
Detroit
E
Montgomery
B
Lansing
C
Dothan
C
Flint
C
Columbus, Ga.
A
Grand Rapids
C
Huntsville
C
Traverse City
D
Birmingham
C
Marquette
C
California
C
Missouri
C
San Diego
C
St. Louis
E
Los Angeles
C
Paducah/
Santa Barbara/
Springfield
C
Marin
C
Columbia/Quincy
C
Salinas/Monterey
E
St. Joseph, Ka.
C
Fresno
C
San Francisco
E
Chico/Redding
E
New Jersey
C
Sacramento/
Stockton
D
Philadelphia
C
New York
C
Connecticut
C
New York
C
New York
C
Hartford/New
Buffalo
C
Haven
C
Rochester
A
Providence
B
Elmira
A
Syracuse
E
Utica
E
Illinois
C
Albany/
Schenectady
A
Rockford/Davenport C
Watertown/
St. Louis
E
Carthage
C
Paduch/Springfield C
New York
D
Chicago
D
Ohio
C
Maryland
B
Toledo
C
Baltimore
B
Dayton
C
Salisbury
A
Cincinnati
A
Washington
B
Columbus
A
Cleveland
C
Youngstown
A
Oregon
D
Washington
D
Bosie
C
Bellingham
D
Medford
C
Spokane
E
Eugene
E
Yakima
D
Spokane
E
Portland
C
Portland
C
Seattle/Tacoma
D
Pennsylvania
C
Wisconsin
D
Erie
B
Minneapolis
C
Pittsburgh
C
Madison
D
Harrisburg
B
Chicago
D
Philadelphia
E
Green Bay
C
Scranton
A
Texas
D
Corpus Christi
E
Houston
D
Beaumont/
Pt. Arthur
A
Shrevport/
Texarkana
C
Waco/Temple
C
Austin
D
Dallas/Ft.
Worth
C
Odessa/Midland
E
San Antonio
E
E1 Paso
E
Abilene/
Sweetwater
E
Lubbock
C
Amarillo
E
Committee for the Re-election of the Presidert
MEMORANDUM
July 25, 1972
CONFIDENTIAL
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O.
12065,
By Emprix
Section
'02
MEMORANDUM FOR:
DWIGHT L. CHAPIN
1-14-80
THROUGH:
GORDON C. STRACHAN
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
Issue and Appearances Data
From Second Wave Polling
Attached are tables summarizing our relative strength, the
importance of various issues and the President's rating on his
handling of those issues in the states we surveyed in Wave II.
Each state has been given a rating of A thru E with A meaning
the President is in excellent shape in that state, B meaning
we are in moderately good shape, C that the state is very close,
D that we are in fairly poor shape and E that we are in quite
bad shape in that state. In addition each media market has
been given a rating using the same scale.
The figures under the column designated Imp. (importance) are
the percentage of voters in that state or media market which
ranked that particular issue in the top three in terms of
importance in deciding Presidential vote.
The second figures under the column designated RN are the
percentage of voters who give the President a positive rating
on his handling of that issue (top figure) and the percentage
of the voters who rated him negatively (botton figure)
That is, in the Mobile/Meridian area of Alabama the President is
in excellent shape (A rating), 54% of the voters rank Vietnam as
one of the top three issues in terms of its importance in the
Presidential election, 74% Date the President positively in terms
of his handling of the Victnam issue and 23% rate him negatively.
A statewide total column is included for each state and a summary
sheet comparing each state to our national data is included.
The circled issues on the following pages are those issues which
are of significantly greater concern to the voters of a specific
area than they are to that state overall.
Using the ticket-splitter data we have available and the attached
information my recommendation for the priority areas to visit and
suggested issues for each of these visits within each of the states
are listed below.
You should remember, however, that Vietnam is, by far, the number
one issue in all of these states and in all of the regions within
the states. For that reason we have included it only when it is
significantly more important to a local area than it is overall.
Had we included it, Vietnam would have been the top priority issue
in all areas of all states. Furthermore this data does not address
itself to the fact that an appearance by the President is a national
event and the list of issues used to formulate this data did not
include anything which would give emphasis to a visit which stressed
a general campaign theme or "mood of the country" speech.
State Priorities
Top Priority
California
New York
Pennsylvania
New Jersey
Illinois
Second Priority
Ohio
Michigan
Connecticut
Maryland
Texas
Third Priority
Washington
Oregon
Missouri
Wisconsin
This data used in conjunction with the ticket-splitting maps we
went over this morning should be of assistance to you in scheduling
the President and the First Family. If you have any further questions,
please let me know.
Alabama:
Drugs
Crime
Taxes
Mobile:
Crime
Bussing
California:
Unemployment
Taxes
Inflation
Los Angeles: Unemployment
Inflation
Taxes
San Diego:
Crime
National Defense
Sacramento/
Stockton:
Unemployment
Drugs
San Francisco:
Vietnam
Environment
Connecticut:
Inflation
Unemployment
Taxes
Hartford:
Crime
Inflation
Fairfield
Co.:
Drugs
Crime
Illinois:
Inflation
Drugs
Chicago:
Taxes
Inflation
Rockford/
Davenport: Inflation
Illinois continued:
Outstate Areas:
Taxes
Inflation
NOTE: While there is no particular concern of population we
need some effort in the outstate areas and a tour of
them by someone woule be useful.
New Jersey:
Taxes
Unemployment
Inflation
Northern
New Jersey:
Taxes
Inflation
Ohio:
Unemployment
Inflation
Drugs
Cleveland:
Unemployment
Inflation
Taxes
Cincinnati:
Inflation
Drugs
General Unrest
Toledo:
Orime
Environment
Oregon:
Taxes
Inflation
Environment
Portland:
Taxes
Inflation
Environment
Pennsylvania:
Taxes
Drugs
Pittsburgh:
Taxes
Environment
Unemployment
Drugs
Philadelphia: Unexployment
Taxes
Maryland:
Crime
Drugs
Inflation
Baltimore
Co.:
Drugs
Crime
Washington
Suburbs
(Mainly
Montgomery
Co.) :
Inflation
Crime
Environment
Michigan:
Taxes
Unemployment
Drugs
Bussing
Detroit
Suburbs:
Bussing
Taxes
Crime
General Unrest
Flint:
Taxes
Crime
Unemployment
Race
Grand Rapids: Unemployment
Inflation
Drugs
Bussing
Missouri:
Unemployment
Taxes
Inflation
St. Louis:
Unemployment
Crime
Inflation
Kansas City: Inflation
Taxes
Texas:
Drugs
Inflation
Taxes
Houston:
Drugs
Inflation
:
Dallas:
Drugs
Crime
Taxes
Austin:
Environment
Bussing
Crime
Wisconsin:
Taxes
Inflation
Unemployment
Milwaukee &
S.E.:
Taxes
Inflation
Unemployment
NATIONAL SILDY PATING: A
A
A
8
A
A
B
C
E
.8
A
c
3
&
D
National*
Alabama
Calif
Conn.
Illicais
Mirgland
Michigan
Missourt
N J.
Chfe
Order
12.
Texas
Visconsin
1:**
152.
RN
at
24
KN
152.
Imp.
15
1=p.
12
Its.
M
21
lep.
12
1::.
:
leg.
@
€5
76
60
Vietnam
57
64
60
63
67
50
51
53
56
82
56
67
57
54
35
32
54
42
58
56
49
63
59
51
07
63
57
"
22
33
35
"
41
32
33
39
32
39
47
56
45
33
41
11
47
48
32
25
43
45
37
Infletion
24
28
47
40
30
31
32
31
29
47
:3
53
32
49
46
41
53
56
52
51
55
53
59
52
56
52
46
51
53
65
53
20
25
51
27
56
33
57
27
54
24
58
"
52
53
39
29
29
27
34
55
34
C1
16
63
Drugs
36
28
43
42
42
40
43
33
44
44
41
43
37
34
56
62
Crise
53
48
25
52
31
37
50
25
45
24
30
51
43
50
24
49
24
50
25
53
16
50
20
36
35
43
47
45
48
52
47
20
27
52
48
46
49
45
42
50
63
43
42
23
49
54
31
45
21
34
49
19
33
39
47
45
23
4)
23
53
30
47
Enemployment
33
30
43
52
53
49
45
52
49
32
35
31
57
51
50
52
44
52
48
54
41
44
Taxes
34
42
48
28
34
42
26
25
32
36
50
39
39
44
"
37
46
42
44
29
51
49
57
33
26
36
48
53
53
45
59
49
57
34
42
51
10
60
59
57
21
54
62
17
21
53
16
60
51
59
61
56
13
59
11
69
Race
23
13
31
33
33
44
16
16
37
14
10
36
44
36
16
44
32
33
42
39
39
E1
81
78
17
79
16
78
81
9
20
10
20
74
82
72
$3
50
85
Foreign Policy
11
18
11
15
17
17
13
14
13
11
13
16
11
13
20
21
17
20
16
23
15
15
23
EO
70
51
$5
16
56
60
13
63
6:
50
59
64
Environment
60
59
10
21
18
17
40
37
13
15
42
33
43
13
17
15
12
16
C3
26
46
36
33
38
31
38
39
35
Ceneral Chrest
57
:3
48
53
11
52
60
,
15
12
9
19
57
43
55
43
57
CO
41
37
13
41
11
13
14
11
13
11
33
20
49
47
39
49
42
40
45
41
39
52
is
53
47
52
55
50
Veltare
57
42
34
45
55
35
13
13
13
9
12
14
42
15
47
15
13
13
11
12
17
50
39
32
44
46
41
41
52
44
50
41
47
23
"
Health Care
80
8
10
63
64
63
68
,
9
9
8
69
70
60
67
02
70
74
28
29.
9
28
9
8
10
9
72
12
7
21
16
32
30
27
33
30
32
26
27
24
73
75
Nat'l. Defense
82
77
80
80
to
70
80
73
16
22
74
16
13
13
8
75
17
13
17
14
15
13
14
13
81
20
16
85
13
23
19
21
16
23
17
21
17
19
14
45
50
56
46
31
48
47
CO
Bussing
17
43
4
52
3
4
49
7
19
40
6
4
52
4
2
42
48
51
4
54
10
27
4
40
53
38
45
41
44
42
42
50
35
& June 16-26, 1972; 1,016 Interviews
" Secause the Sofferal study vos conducted ty phone the scales are slightly different the the states. No questions racking the issues by importance vere asked.
June 13-26, 1972
OVERALL RATING: A
804 Interviews
ALABAMA
A
A
Mobile/
A
A
A
Huntsville/
A
A
Meridian
Montgomery
Dothan
Columbus, C.a.
Chattanoopa
Birmingham
Tota:
Jep.
PN
Imp.
P.N
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
lmp.
2
Itp.
74
75
53
77
75
55
44
50
81
49
50
-6
Vietnam
54
48
23
22
38
21
22
19
22
50
62
47
58
55
22
27
26
58
24
24
36
Inflation
27
14
48
32
43
38
42
41
+1
59
78
70
71
62
70
-8
35
41
46
44
41
39
Drugs
34
36
18
23
27
35
26
18
51
67
53
56
56
69
52
43
34
32
36
24
29
31
Crime
47
30
40
42
41
28
35
59
63
51
69
57
6E
53
Unemployment
20
14
13
23
24
18
19
38
33
43
29
39
28
33
41
63
49
50
60
55
V:
Taxes
16
33
30
20
18
28
26
55
33
45
48
38
44
14
45
60
49
58
62
"
50
Race
30
26
33
23
13
22
23
52
32
40
40
34
31.
36
74
84
68
77
16
84
85
Foreign Policy
5
5
7
14
11
11
23
8
13
17
9
13
13
66
72
70
63
Environment
10
16
11
71
12
70
4
10
:0
4
25
26
30
22
17
33
26
55
68
60
65
66
9
68
55
General Unrest
7
12
8
8
12
9
40
23
32
31
29
29
30
58
73
47
60
64
Welfare
11
16
8
10
15
12
68
13
53
38
23
45
35
33
29
30
80
80
62
73
84
82
7
11
4
8
8
11
8
Health Care
15
14
30
23
14
15
X
77
80
77
83
80
87
Nat'l. . Defense
11
10
17
10
20
16
16
19
13
11
10
15
9
27
59
36
Bussing
28
12
31
14
-10
17
41
15
48
17
71
37
57
67
55
47
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vietnam
Drugs
Mobile/Meridian:
Crime
Crime
Race
Taxes
Bussing
Inflation
Montgemery:
Taxes
Dothan:
Victnam
Race
Columbus, Ca.:
Drugs
Crime
Environment
Huntsville/
Chattanooga:
Drugs
Crime
Foreign Policy
OVERALL RATISS: B
CALIFORNIA
June 12-:7, 1972
1,000 Interviews
A
D
B
A
Sonta Earb/
A
A
D
E
SACRACENTO/
B
San Diego
Los Invoice
Santa Kiria
Salinas/Mentry
Fresno
San Francisco
Chico/Redding
Stockton
Total
It.p.
RS
Inp.
73
Imp.
2
Imp.
KN
Imp.
X
2
TEP.
is
1=2.
RN
-=p.
IN
Vietnam
53
64
58
52
70
67
70
49
50
61
60
47
35
42
57
54
01
54
55
54
30
33
30
49
44
38
39
55
47
Inflation
18
42
30
52
58
45
36
32
45
45
51
30
27
24
25
27
18
28
42
42
46
62
62
53
53
63
54
Drugs
23
20
70
55
33
46
38
34
42
24
30
26
59
53
24
15
27
20
30
39
55
48
53
36
43
58
57
Cripe
33
18
45
42
45
47
44
52
53
38
40
21
18
24
17
15
23
20
52
45
45
47
47
45
43
56
47
Ineeployment
18
29
45
45
35
39
32
42
45
42
50
36
30
18
29
54
47
30
55
52
45
58
59
56
52
47
48
Taxes
27
28
53
42
48
39
35
39
"
52
51
33
36
18
30
12
32
29
39
52
48
57
56
58
53
/
61
62
Race
10
11
64
61
70
51
62
55
59
39
36
12
12
15
14
30
16
13
36
36
24
44
32
+42
38
81
79
Foreign Policy
14
20
91
85
88
71
68
79
78
19
20
27
15
12
15
15
17
18
9
15
9
25
24
17
20
14
53
23
48
Invironment
15
€1
42
21
67
15
70
25
50
12
56
14
55
21
51
49
39
27
30
46
38
42
46
19
34
15
52
Ceceral Unrest
12
52
12
45
9
67
17
41
9
35
14
50
15
48
63
44
45
48
30
56
56
47
49
Welfare
16
59
14
53
15.
€7
18
58
15
61
8
51
12
32
8
48
13
53
39
43
33
36
39
46
59
se
44
Health Care
13
"
10
66
0
70
3
73
21
64
11
58
12
50
13
61
10
63
33
29
27
27
33
37
38
38
32
Nat'l Defense
32
70
20
76
30
76
18
88
27
19
21
70
15
56
14
80
22
74
28
22
24
9
18
27
38
18
23
47-
Bussing
5
3
54
0
52
0
70
3
48
4
46
3
38
8
59
4
52
48
41
42
21
42
.
47
47
38
42
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL FITHASIS ISSUES
Victnam
Uncaployment
San Diego:
Crime
Taxes
National Defense
Inflation
National Defense
Santa Barbara/
Santa Marin:
Unemployment
National Defense
Foreign Folicy
Salinas/
Monterey:
Taxes
Drugs
Welfare
San Francisco:
Vietnam
Chico/Redding:
Unemployment
Rase
Crime
Sacramento/
Stockton:
Uner.ployment
Drugs
OVERALL RATING:
A
CONNECTICUT
June 11-20, 1972
615 Interviews
A
A
A
A
New York
Hartford
Providence
Total
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp
RN
Imp.
RN
73
60
75
64
Vietnam
54
60
48
57
27
40
21
35
45
39
52
41
Inflation
25
36
32
33
52
60
45
56
55
49
52
51
Drugs
30
24
17
25
38
46
34
42
55
44
54
48
Crime
30
31
20
24
41
51
38
47
45
40
50
42
Unemployment
26
34
32
33
49
57
38
53
48
42
52
44
Taxes
27
25
27
25
46
55
38
51
57
57
59
57
Race
12
18
11
16
36
39
34
33
85
77
75
79
Foreign Policy
20
16
20
17
8
18
11
15
61
58
52
58
Environment
14
20
20
18
32
37
34
36
59
50
57
53
General Unrest
13
9
18
12
33
46
29
41
48
46
52
47
Welfare
14
11
11
13
46
48
38
46
66
65
54
64
Health Care
8
6
6
7
24
30
32
28
80
72
79
75
Nat 1. Defense
17
14
23
16
13
22
11
19
50
51
45
50
Bussing
5
3
5
3
39
38
39
38
ISSUES:
ADL SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vietnam
Inflation
New York:
Drugs
Unemployment
Drugs
Hartford:
Crime
Taxes
Providence: National Defense
,
General Unrest
June 13-23, 1972
OVERALL RATING: A
ILLINOIS
800 Interviews
A
A
Rockford/
D
Paducah/
A
A
Davenport
St. Louis
Springfield
Chicago
Total
Imp.
RN
lmp
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
2
Vietnam
65
72
63
56
51
74
59
59
60
63
26
40
24
39
35
Inflation
40
63
23
31
28
57
31
44
31
47
36
67
41
55
52
Drugs
20
69
30
54
38
64
26
52
27
56
26
41
33
47
42
Crime
23
63
29
47
20
59
24
50
25
52
35
51
35
49
45
Unemployment
25
72
35
39
24
60
29
44
28
49-
28
60
38
54
49
Taxes
36
64
24
44
41
61
32
42
34
48
36
53
37
57
51
Race
13
74
29
49
19
62
21
50
21
54
26
50
35
48
44
Foreign Policy
24
90
10
67
13
84
16
75
16
78
10
31
11
24
21
Environment
14
79
14
54
11
70
16
49
16
56
21
44
26
49
42
General Unrest
13
67
15
43
15
64
10
48
11
52
33
53
33
51
47
Welfare
4
78
13
46
12
66
8
53
9
52
21
50
28
46
41
Health Care
6
83
3
54
6
81
10
64
9
68
15
40
15
35
30
Nat'l Defense
15
90
7
73
17
87
11
73
13
77
8
26
10
25
21
Bussing
3
54
5
37
4
53
3
49
4
49
40
57
43
49
48
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vietnam
Taxes
Rockford/Davenport:
Vietnam
Inflation
Inflation
Unemployment
Foreign Policy
Drugs
St. Louis:
Unemployment
Race
Paducah/Springfield: Taxes
Drugs
4.
OVERALL RATING: B
MARYLAND
June 13-23, 1972
600 Interviews
B
A
A
B
Baltimore
Salisbury
Washington
Total
Imp.
RN
Imp
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
47
66
58
58
55
70
51
67
Vietnam
33
42
29
32
25
49
16
67
45
44
Inflation
32
48
50
33
54
51
40
52
Drugs
50
74
22
62
33
57
45
26
34
40
40
44
Crime
16
53
36
61
37
50
55
47
37
48
22
53
Unemployment
12
75
19
52
21
54
46
20
46
45
28
45
Taxes
20
54
28
53
28
48
59
54
46
44
49
Race
21
60
20
75
14
63
17
62
30
25
34
36
Foreign Policy
11
77
12
83
11
86
10
81
19
17
12
17
Environment
14
60
12
92
24
55
17
60
36
8
43
37
General Unrest
9
59
8
67
10
62
9
60
30
29
35
37
Welfare
15
54
20
58
8
57
12
55
44
38
40
42
68
Health Care
10
70
12
75
7
65
9
27
25
31
29
76
83
85
80
National Defense
11
16
15
13
20
13
12
17
58
62
53
56
Bussing
7
16
7
7
39
38
43
40
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Victnam
Crime
Baltimore:
Drugs
Drugs
Inflation
Salisbury:
Vietnam
Taxes
Drugs
Welfare
Bussing
Washington:
Inflation
Environment
OVERALL RATING:
C
MICHIGAN
June 13-30, 1972
800 Interviews
B
B
C
A
D
:A
Flint-Sag.
Grand Rapids
Traverse
Marquette
C
Detreit
Lansing
Bay City
Kala./Chicago
City
Green Bay
Total
Imp.
RN
Imp.
P.N
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RX
Imp.
RN
Imp.
EN
Irp.
22
Vietnam
52
53
50
59
60
58
48
65
68
51
74
67
53
5:
46
38
37
34
43
33
4:
Inflation
24
41
43
50
17
55
26
50
27
27
33
41
25
4:
58
50
41
48
68
29
5:
Drugs
30
49
19
74
19
53
26
61
25
59
10
74
27
5.
49
26
41
33
35
26
43
Crime
27
44
29
48
29
42
23
48
6
43
20
52
25
4:
54
52
54
48
51
48
5:
Unemployment
33
41
22
58
26
53
28
53
41
27
33
63
31
45
57
42
41
45
65
33
5:
Taxes
34
39
45
53
43
43
23
47
44
41
24
52
31
4:
60
47
54
52
54
48
5
Race
21
50
31
58
23
61
19
55
7
46
10
67
21
5:
47
42
34
40
49
30
4:
Foreign Policy
9
80
6
91
7
82
8
77
11
70
17
89
9
8:
19
9
11
17
24
11
r
Environment
11
63
6
75
17
56
20
68
7
59.
21
44
13
63
34
25
39
28
35
44
33
Ceneral Unrest
23
56
6
73
13
55
18
59
7
41
3
70
19
5⁻
43
27
42
37
51
26
4,
Welfare
10
47
23
76
6
51
23
53
22
38
10
63
14
5:
50
24
44
42
54
37
4"
Health Care
9
65
0
72
9
77
7
77
5
70
0
85
8
65
18
16
16
19
22
15
2:
Nat'l Defense
7
80
0
84
7
77
13
85
4
68
7
89
B
8:
18
16
18
11
24
11
1:
Bussing
23
43
6
66
13
45
18
53
7
43
3
49
19
4:
55
31
47
42
51
56
5:
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPILASIS ISSUES
Victnam
Taxes
Lansing:
Taxes
Uneaployment
Inflation
Drugs
Race
Inflation
Welfare
Crite
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City:
Vietnam
Taxes
Grand Rapids-Falamazoo/
Chicago:
Welfare
Environment
National Defense
Traverse City:
Victnam
Taxes
Unerployment
Welfare
Marquette-Green Bay:
Vietnam
Inflation
Environment
Foreign Policy
OVERALL RATING: E
MISSOURI
June 13-24, 1972
800 Interviews
C
A
D
E
Paducah/-
Columbia/
St. Joseph/
E
St. Louis
Springfield
Quincy
Kansas City
Total
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Inp.
RN
Victnam
56
64
55
56
70
64
51
62
50
44
54
32
28
34
37
40
Inflation
47
29
57
27
29
44
33
45
59
30
49
42
54
53
58
Drugs
22
57
26
54
32
59
23
58
24
39
35
40
38
38
Crime
47
52
35
25
52
22
56
29
51
30
52
43
48
43
47
39
Unemployment
41
55
30
26
59
55
31
49
34
60
43
39
44
49
50
Taxes
22
46
51
62
32
55
33
53
49
32
46
34
44
45
Race
50
64
20
68
12
13
68
16
60
16
49
30
30
30
37
79
Foreign Policy
13
74
10
87
17
84
12
13
80
20
21
12
11
17
Environment
58
69
12
68
7
67
15
15
64
40
13
27
31
30
33
General Unrest
52
12
61
16
68
14
59
13
58
46
13
35
32
38
39
Welfare
54
14
56
17
68
16
57
12
57
46
15
40
32
42
41
64
Health Care
8
70
7
77
16
76
12
70
9
33
24
21
22
27
Nat'l. Defense
85
12
72
10
86
17
78
16
80
13
13
22
13
18
16
47
Bussing
7
50
9
58
2
4
55
6
51
50
43
37
41
45
Faducah/Springfield also includes Spring./Paducah-Cape Girardeau-
Harrisburg/Joplin-Pittsburg/Memphis
ISSUES:
%,
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vietnam
Unemployment
St. Louis:
Unemployment
Taxes
Crime
Inflation
Crime
Paducah/Springfield/
Harrisburg/Joplin/Momphis: Taxes
Columbia/Quincy:
"Drugs
Health Care
OVERALL RATING: B
NEW JERSEY
June 11-20, 1972
823 Interviews
C
B
B
Philadelphia
New York City
Total
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Inp.
RN
Vietnam
56
60
56
58
56
58
40
41
41
Inflation
42
27
35
33
37
31
50
62
59
Drugs
47
24
47
31
47
42
29
44
44
Crime
46
18
42
21
20
43
46
54
52
Unemployment
43
33
37
32
52
32
39
58
57
Taxes
36
33
36
35
33
36
57
59
59
Race
51
15
51
16
16
51
43
45
44
Foreign Policy
72
12
75
12
74
23
13
19
20
Environment
54
13
49
14
38
15
50
45
43
General Unrest
40
13
44
10
43
50
11
49
49
Welfare
48
15
40
14
42
46
15
54
52
Health Care
57
12
62
7
60
35
9
32
33
Nat 1. Defense
67
16
71
13
70
14
25
22
23
45
Bussing
3
49
4
4
48
43
40
41
ISSUES:
Vietnam
Taxes
Unemployment
Inflation
Drugs
OVERALL RATING: A
OHIO
June 13-27, 1972
800 Interviews
A
B
A
A
A
A
Columbus
Cleveland
Youngstown/
A
Toledo/Line
Davton
Cincinnati
Parkersburg
Akron Canton
Pittsburgh
Total
Imp.
RN
RN
Imp.
IN
Imp.
RN
Imp
RN
Imp.
RN
IN
75
60
58
59
57
72
53
63
67
70
51
56
67
Vietnam
49
24
39
31
27
36
28
32
59
:2
44
33
50
29
57
33
38
33
45
Inflation
25
32
47
40
56
30
42
60
53
52
31
58
32
53
29
50
30
58
24
50
51
48
29
52
Drugs
38
48
-8
39
45
4:
44
-
51
21
48
Crime
26
55
29
53
27
46
25
50
32
27
50
45
50
:5
44
51
47
48
21
54
43
44
37
51
31
61
37
37
31
55
Unemployment
35
47
43
56
-6
38
61
42
51
25
61
Taxes
18
55
21
52
31
60
29
41
24
41
26
50
39
44
:8
37
57
55
49
Race
17
65
16
61
13
65
14
65
14
54
17
48
14
59
35
39
34
33
44
48
39
15
80
16
83
15
90
13
81
Foreign Policy
15
80
13
70
14
82
14
13
10
.17
16
27
16
Environment
24
70
11
68
10
66
11
59
14
51
8
56
13
59
28
33
32
37
44
38
38
General Unrest
13
69
11
50
19
53
13
57
14
49
7
55
13
55
31
49
35
36
47
44
42
Welfare
15
51
13
55
9
57
18
55
13
52
12
53
13
54
48
44
43
44
44
44
44
10
69
4
69
6
77
4
64
10
67
8
55
8
67
Health Care
28
28
21
31
32
42
30
National Defense
19
85
9
79
13
83
15
77
14
80
12
83
13
80
13
20
17
19
17
14
17
6
55
4
48
4
62
53
Bussing
1
50
3
50
5
4
52
43
51
37
44
45
44
44
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Victnam
Unemployment
T:1cdo/Lina:
Crime
Inflation
Environment
Drugs
National Defense
Crime
Dayten:
Victnom
Unemployment
Inflation
Cincinnati:
Inflation
General Unrest
Columbus/Parkersburg:
Taxes
Welfare
Youngstown/Pittsburgh:
Vietnam
Drugs
OVERALL RATING: C
OREGON
June 12-17, 1972
600 Interviews
E
D
C
Eugene
Portland
Total
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp
RN
Vietnam
60
52
50
56
49
57
48
39
39
Inflation
30
38
30
41
31
40
63
53
56
Drugs
20
50
28
52
27
53
46
40
41
Crime
18
50
25
48
24
49
45
46
46
Unemployment
17
49
24
44
23
45
49
50
50
Taxes
50
39
32
39
39
39
58
56
57
Race
7
55
10
61
10
61
43
31
33
Foreign Policy
12
69
13
72
13
72
28
21
23
Environment
24
57
16
62
17
64
41
31
31
General Unrest
12
50
15
46
14
48
48
47
46
Welfare
16
43
13
45
15
45
57
48
50
Health Care
8
66
10
58
10
62
30
35
32
Nat 1 Defense
12
74
15
71
14
73
23
21
21
Bussing
2
49
2
45
2
47
40
43
42
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vietnam
Taxes
Eugene:
Victnam
Inflation
Taxes
Drugs
Environment
Crime
OVERALL RATING:
B
PENNSYLVANIA
June 13-27, 1972
600 Interviews
A
A
A
B
Harrisburg/
Wilkes-Barre-
Johnstown/
Pittsburgh/
York/Lancaster/
D
Scranton/
B
Altoona/Erie
Youngstown
Lebanon/Harerstown
Philadelphia
Binghamton
Total
lmp.
RN
Imp.
KN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
79
65
69
48
70
59
Vietnam
49
60
65
62
46
60
21
34
27
51
28
39
60
39
61
44
60
47
Inflation
29
29
19
29
25
29
38
60
37
55
40
52
Drugs
73
49
65
51
68
55
32
32
44
30
46
34
25
47
32
48
32
43
29
54
46
61
46
62
50
Crime
17
27
26
23
24
44
53
36
52
38
49
62
41
63
42
64
47
Unepployment
19
33
13
36
39
31
37
58
36
56
36
52
54
41
60
39
57
44
Taxes
32
41
36
31
41
36
43
58
38
59
43
54
75
56
66
46
85
56
Race
14
14
10
18
10
16
21
43
31
53
15
42
94
85
89
79
83
83
Foreign Policy
15
11
14
8
15
11
6
14
9
20
17
15
10
76
51
63
59
89
60
Environment
21
17
12
12
15
22
47
34
39
11
38
67
49
60
50
62
53
General Unrest
20
10
11
10
8
11
30
48
37
49
34
45
Welfare
59
50
61
54
77
55
15
7
19
11
4
11
41
48
38
45
23
44
83
67
78
70
87
72
Health Care
12
7
7
10
12
9
14
30
18
29
11
26
90
81
85
77
26
15
14
89
81
Nat '1. Defense
9
9
13
6
18
11
21
11
17
71
44
58
54
77
54
Bussing
3
4
2
4
2
4
22
51
38
44
21
42
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Victnam
Taxes
Johnstown/Altoona/Erie:
Crime
Drugs
National Defense
Unemployment
General Unrest
Inflation
Pittsburgh/Youngstown:
Taxes
Environment
Harrisburg/York/Lancaster/
Lebanon/llagerstown:
Vietnam
Drugs
Welfare
Philadelphia:
Unemployment
Wilkes-DarrerScranton/
Einghamton:
Drugs
Unemployment
Taxes
OVERALL LATING: A
TEXAS
Just 12-17, 1972
1,00 Interview
A
A
A
a
$
2
D
Br. noot/
A
A
Cilles/
Decess/
A
A
Abilene/
A
A
&
Carge UNITED
Fouston
THE 171
Austin
Exce/Temple
Mishard
Son Antuals
SUPPLY
total
As.cilla
Total
1.2.
If
1:2.
13
In
13
1-7-
B
102.
:
12
1.2.
ES
took
K
THE
IT
IN
Tep.
12
1-2-
14
1071
12
162-
22
33
"
49
33
:)
82
11
64
67
47
61
75
41
Vietass
37
72
45
27
42
33
C.T
64
14
78
:3
50
12
51
67
"
40
15
31
33
39
21
37
26
25
36
22
23
32
33
"I
Inflation
26
30
"
55
28
"
67
42
36
24
47
36
49
14
27
36
61
61
25
25
$1
22
25
33
28
33
13
45
42
33
33
38
43
53
51
52
35
38
47
45
38
"
Drugs
34
60
30
35
22
72
37
61
30
30
6:
49
35
22
54
10
62
17
67
33
12
69
:7
55
34
61
#2
"
45
28
39
44
34
42
43
28
31
29
53
37
21
11
23
47
Crise
24
33
19
89
28
61
25
39
29
55
24
50
22
38
20
48
3
61
30
32
20
47
25
33
42
30
45
28
39
54
A1
44
42
61
36
44
.
33
45
:3
11
24
51
Unemployment
21
52
26
53
#
64
25
47
24
39
14
"
32
42
24
32
12
61
17
57
13
69
23
33
15
49
46
36
36
33
33
30
34
34
36
40
31
41
35
34
Taxes
22
52
27
67
20
$1
11
"
30
33
26
"
36
47
21
30
33
62
50
59
27
31
34
53
27
"
"
46
33
36
23
44
34
33
10
28
16
47
42
42
Race
3
13
16
51
18
70
20
69
25
58
23
50
16
67
,
36
25
51
10
39
23
$1
21
63
20
53
18
57
15
4)
30
31
42
47
31
41
49
31
33
11
:
19
16
"
22
26
12
85
22
86
:-
92
20
"
16
84
24
61
17
#5
10
$3
12
67
15
#3
25
#6
18
$0
Foreign Folicy
H
23
35
11
$
28
13
19
13
7
31
14
8
31
1:
15
48
67
25
64
16
Invironment
12
3
69
#
65
,
3
77
15
34
45
$
67
'
14
15
4
49
17
37
"
30
21
31
36
39
37
28
32
43
31
24
25
33
50
$9
61
74
3
15
13
$2
12
53
69
&
47
53
53
General Carest
17
12
13
23
12
23
11
15
4
63
"
57
33
46
39
31
53
47
39
44
40
36
"
24
25
41,
Walfare
€6
39
56
52
55
30
6
11
11
46
,
61
19
53
47
72
,
16
11
,
14
,
,
12
4
32
53
13
50
39
25
44
50
32
56
44
33
33
44
23
42
70
"
25
75
65
72
67
78
53
72
Health Life
17
16
13
59
92
72
,
6
,
3
10
6
11
13
,
4
26
10
34
35
27
'
22
31
21
22
32
17
31
21
14
27
74
64
33
78
$1
75
"
29
72
73
66
13
Sat'l. Difense
21
32
16
"
31
41
28
22
19
25
21
,
25
19
17
20
43
"
12
17
17
19
15
25
14
10
28
19
$
18
"
41
43
58
42
$1
47
47
53
,
3
58
12
47
Bussing
10
2
"
6
15
,
15
3
4
3
10
16
55
55
42
"
39
"
50
46
38
42
46
42
50
ISSUED
ADL 52:CIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vistors
Drugs
Corgon Christi:
Inflation
Sen Antosio:
Victors
Influina
Taxes
Inflation
Teach
Comployment
Unamployment
Realth Cace
Bace
1 desbur:
Visinam
*
11 Paso:
Taxes
Mational Defease
Invironment
Bussing
General incest
Shreseport/Texarkana:
Vicense
Abilene/Suvetwater:
Vietnar
Sational Defense
Infletion
Taxes
Austin:
Visinas
Race
Invir.nment
National Defense
Race
Foreign Policy
Lubbock:
Drvgs
Welfare
Crime
a
Bussing
Rece
.
Eaco/Templar
Rece
Amerillo:
Drups
.
Taxes
Worth:
Passing
Bealth Care
Drugs
These
it Defense
Vetety Policy
Contral Uniest
.
June 13-20, 1972
OVERALL RATING: D
WISCONSIN
600 Interviews
B
E
E
Green Bay/
A
Madison/
Chicago/
Wausau
D
Minneapolis
Rockford
Milwaukee
Rhinelander
Total
Imp.
PN
Imp
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Imp.
RN
Vietnam
55
59
61
61
63
53
58
69
63
59
33
37
45
31
39
Inflation
31
52
37
47
31
45
31
55
32
49
46
53
55
45
51
Drugs
19
65
21
59
12
59
18
71
16
63
27
36
38
28
34
Crime
23
59
13
64
15
50
18
59
16
56
40
34
47
40
42
Unemployment
19
56
29
47
36
38
25
58
30
47
42
52
60
41
51
Taxes
56
37
36
43
45
39
43
50
46
42
60
55
61
48
57
Race
8
67
10
76
14
64
8
76
11
69
28
24
35
23
30
Foreign Policy
13
82
11
87
15
84
18
90
16
86
15
12
14
10
13
Environment
11
67
19
71
18
57
14
73
16
65
31
28
41
27
34
General Unrest
10
61
15
58
9
58
12
63
11
60
38
40
41
35
39
Welfare
18
49
16
52
18
47
15
56
17
50
49
45
53
43
49
Health Care
9
75
2
76
6
69
8
82
7
74
21
24
28
17
24
Nat'1 Defense
17
86
20
86
12
82
19
88
16
85
12
13
17
11
14
Bussing
6
62
4
67
3
52
2
68
4
60
29
29
42
29
35
Minneapolis also includes Minneapolis/St. Paul-
La Crosse/Eau Claire-Dubuque
ISSUES:
ADI SPECIAL EMPHASIS ISSUES
Vietnam
Taxes
Minneapolis:
Taxes
Inflation
Crime
Unemployment
Welfare
Madison/Rockford:
Inflation
Drugs
Chicago/Milwaukee:
Unemployment
Committee for the Re-election of the President
MEMORANDUM
August 15, 1972
DRAFT
MEMORANDUM FOR:
DAVID PARKER
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
The President's Strength
The areas of the President's greatest strength can be found
in my June 25th Memorandum to Dwight Chapin. They are those
areas which are designated A.
We have only limited data on the Vice President and it is
attached.
ALABAMA
Approve
Disapprove
Don't Know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
66
47
21
17
12
36
-
ADI
Mobile
66
63
23
16
10
21
Montgomery
69
51
13
13
17
36
Dothan
53
47
34
19
13
34
Columbus, Ga.
71
54
23
15
6
31
Huntsville
66
38
21
22
14
40
Birmingham
66
43
21
15
13
41
CALIFORNIA
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
51
38
36
32
13
29
-
ADI
San Diego
50
45
4
34
9
20
Los Angeles
55
42
33
31
12
27
Santa Barbara/Marin
61
42
39
30
-
27
Salinas/Monterey
59
27
29
24
18
48
Fresno
67
39
27
27
6
33
San Francisco
42
32
43
39
15
29
Chico-Redding
24
29
53
29
24
41
Sacramento/Stockton
52
35
32
29
17
36
CONNECTICUT
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
60
42
27
33
13
25
ADI
New York
66
48
24
31
10
21
Hartford/New Haven
58
38
30
36
12
26
Providence
64
52
16
21
20
27
ILLINOIS
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
57
38
33
37
10
25
ADI
Rockford/Davenport
71
44
21
21
8
35
St. Louis
44
31
39
49
17
20
Paducah/Springfield
68
47
24
24
8
29
Chicago
54
36
37
42
10
22
MARYLAND
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
59
52
33
27
8
20
-
ADI
Baltimore
56
52
35
27
8
21
Salisbury
58
73
35
8
8
19
Washington, D.C.
62
50
30
30
8
20
MICHIGAN
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
53
33
40
33
7
33
ADI
Detroit
51
28
43
38
6
34
Lansing
58
48
35
23
6
29
Flint
57
40
34
22
9
37
Grand Rapids
56
41
39
27
4
31
Traverse City
49
37
37
20
12
44
Marquette
60
47
23
33
16
20
MISSOURI
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
54
38
38
32
8
30
ADI
St. Louis
45
30
50
39
5
31
Paducah/Springfield
58
43
29
29
13
28
Columbia/Quincy
67
45
24
.26
9
29
St. Joseph/Kansas
58
42
36
28
6
30
NEW JERSEY
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
50
43
35
31
15
26
ADI
Philadelphia
53
39
33
27
14
34
New York
33
45
36
32
15
23
NEW YORK
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
53
39
35
34
13
27
-
ADI
Buffalo
54
39
37
31
8
30
Rochester
70
55
18
25
12
20
Elmira
70
70
28
15
3
15
Syracuse
46
32
46
25
7
43
Utica
63
20
20
20
18
60
Albany/Schenectady
63
57
22
27
15
16
Watertown/Carthage
66
44
7
17
27
39
New York
49
35
39
39
12
26
OHIO
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
60
47
30
30
10
24
ADI
Toledo
59
44
33
21
9
35
Dayton
60
40
35
40
6
20
Cincinnati
63
54
24
23
12
23
Columbus
69
55
23
24
8
21
Cleveland
55
41
32
35
12
25
Youngstown
58
56
38
27
5
17
OREGON
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
51
37
36
30
13
34
ADI
Bosie
63
42
34
29
3
29
Medford
52
41
32
25
16
34
Eugene
44
28
40
32
17
40
Spokane
56
28
39
28
6
44
Portland
51
39
35
29
14
32
PENNSYLVANIA
Approve
Disapprove
Don't Know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
56
39
35
37
8
24
ADI
Erie
71
52
21
37
8
11
Pittsburgh
59
40
31
34
10
26
Harrisburg
67
51
23
23
10
27
Philadelphia
46
30
46
45
8
25
Scranton
74
55
26
19
-
26
g.
TEXAS
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
60
36
30
36
10
28
ADI
Corpus Christi
45
31
52
45
3
24
Houston
53
36
39
40
8
24
Beaumont/Pt. Arthur
73
61
18
33
9
6
Shrevport/Texarkana
81
47
11
28.
8
25
Austin
67
36
19
39
14
25
Waco/Temple
50
42
39
25
11
33
Dallas/Ft. Worth
66
38
25
36
9
25
Odessa/Midland
44
17
22
42
33
42
San Antonio
47
29
41
31
11
40
El Paso
66
17
17
31
17
52
Abilene/Sweetwater
44
25
39
47
16
28
Lubbock
79
46
14
24
7
31
Amarillo
72
28
17
28
11
44
&
WASHINGTON
Approve
Disapprove
Don't know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
49
33
39
33
12
33
-
ADI
Bellingham
50
33
28
28
22
39
Spokane
49
32
36
34
15
33
Yakima
50
33
38
33
13
33
Portland
48
38
33
29
19
33
Seattle/Tacoma
50
33
41
34
9
33
&
WISCONSIN
Approve
Disapprove
Don ' t know
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Nixon
Agnew
Statewide
58
37
38
28
3
35
ADI
Minneapolis
67
41
30
25
3
34
Madison
55
34
42
36
2
30
Chicago
52
34
44
29
4
36
Green Bay
66
41
30
22
4
36
Committee for the Re-election of the President
MEMORANDUM
August 7, 1972
DETERMINED TO BE AN
CONFIDENTIAL
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
Emprise E.O. 12065, NARS, Section Date 6-102 1-14-80
By
MEMORANDUM FOR:
THE HONORABLE CLARK MacGREGOR
FROM:
ROBERT M. TEETER
SUBJECT:
Wave III Schedule
Because we will want to turn the Wave III data around as fast as
possible we should decide on at least a tentative time schedule
sometime soon so the individual polling companies can make their
plans. Wave III will consist of very short interviews and sample
ballots done in the priority states. We do not need to make a
final decision on the exact list of states until later although
it would be helpful to let them know if we are going to add any
states that we have not done before.
Our plan will be to do the field work over two or three days and
have the data delivered within a week to ten days after field
start. This presents us with a slight problem as the logical
weekend to do the interviewing is Labor Day weekend on which it
is simply impossible to get good interviews as too many people are
away from home. Therefore, our alternatives are to do the field
work on the weekend of August 25-27 which is immediately after
the Convention or to do them from September 6 to 9 which is
immediately after Labor Day.
I recommend doing it in the September 6-9 period which would give
us data not later than September 16. The reasons for this are:
1) The August period is too soon after the Convention.
2) There are too many people away on vacations the last part of
August who will all be back home after Labor Day.
3) People simply seem to be more settled and thinking more
seriously about the election after Labor Day than before.
4) This will give us a very hard reading of our exact situation
at the beginning of the final campaign period and allow us to
revise our priority state list immediately prior to the
implementation of most of our campaign effort.
Recommendation:
That we tentatively plan on the following Wave III schedule.
Questionnaire approval, August 28. Field start, September 6.
Report delivery September 16.
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