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This file contains:
From: Harry Dent To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congrssional Races. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Possible Subject for 10am Political Meeting. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Peter H. Dailey To: Jeb S. Magruder RE: Advertising Budget. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/15/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Gallup Releases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats for Nixon Advertisement. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Peter Dailey Meeting Regarding Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Debates between spokesmen. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Jeb S. Magruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Request for Policy Decision on Possible Confrontations. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/31/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: "Life" article on campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 31 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/1/1972
From: Tom Benham RE: Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/1/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/1/1972
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26145643
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WHSF: Contested, 14-18
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1
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26145643
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document
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WHSF: Contested, 14-18
description
This file contains:
From: Harry Dent To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congrssional Races. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Possible Subject for 10am Political Meeting. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Peter H. Dailey To: Jeb S. Magruder RE: Advertising Budget. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/15/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Gallup Releases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats for Nixon Advertisement. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Peter Dailey Meeting Regarding Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Debates between spokesmen. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Jeb S. Magruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Request for Policy Decision on Possible Confrontations. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/31/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: "Life" article on campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 31 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/1/1972
From: Tom Benham RE: Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/1/1972
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/1/1972
citationUrl
collections
Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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26145643
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
18
9/5/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Harry Dent To: H.R. Haldeman RE:
1972 U.S. Congrssional Races. 14 pgs.
14
18
9/6/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Possible Subject for 10am Political
Meeting. 1 pg.
14
18
8/15/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Peter H. Dailey To: Jeb S. Magruder
RE: Advertising Budget. 2 pgs.
14
18
9/6/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races. 1 pg.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Page 1 of 3
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
18
9/6/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Gallup Releases. 1 pg.
14
18
9/6/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Democrats for Nixon Advertisement. 1
pg.
14
18
9/5/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Peter Dailey Meeting Regarding
Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg.
14
18
9/5/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Debates between spokesmen. 1 pg.
14
18
8/31/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Jeb S. Magruder To: Clark
MacGregor RE: Request for Policy Decision
on Possible Confrontations. 2 pgs.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Page 2 of 3
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
14
18
9/5/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: "Life" article on campaign. 1 pg.
14
18
9/1/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling
dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974.
31 pgs.
14
18
9/1/1972
Campaign
Other Document
From: Tom Benham RE: Comments on the
August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey. 9 pgs.
14
18
9/1/1972
Campaign
Memo
From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman
RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling
Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 2
pgs.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Page 3 of 3
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
September 5, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
HARRY DENT
HSD
SUBJECT:
1972 U. S. Congressional
Races
The GOP Congressional election picture is brighter today
than on July 10 when I submitted the last memorandum,
primarily because the President is stronger. The Con-
gressional Campaign Committee is privately predicting
a minimum pickup of 20-25 seats, recognizing we could win
more if the tide is strong enough. Jerry Ford is still
working on the prospect of Southern Democrat switchovers
after the election if we are close enough to the magic
number of 218 seats required to organize the House. The
present lineup is 178 GOP (plus Brad Morse vacancy) and
255 Democrats (plus Governor Edwards of Louisiana vacancy).
In order to win 218 we must keep everything we have,
including the Brad Morse vacancy, and pick up 39.
Attachment A contains a listing in state alphabetical
order of the top 10 incumbent seats which need defending
(most vulnerable on our side); our best 10 possible
pickups; and then our second best 10 possible pickups.
Attachment B contains a listing of congressional seats
targeted by the GOP Congressional Campaign Committee,
defensively and offensively. The ones underscored in red
need priority attention to win.
TOP 10 THAT NEED DEFENDING
1.
California 6
Mailliard
2.
Colorado 1
McKevitt
3.
Iowa 1
Schwengel
4.
Iowa 4
Kyl
5.
Indiana 10
Dennis
6.
Michigan 2
Esch
7.
Minnesota 6
Zwach
8.
Tennessee 8
Kuykendall
9.
Utah 2
Lloyd
10. Wisconsin 3
Thomson
TOP POSSIBLE PICKUPS (TOP 10)
1.
California 36
Ketchum (new seat)
2. California 42 (safe)
Burgener (new seat)
3. Illinois 17
O'Brien (new seat)
4.
Indiana 11
Hudnut (Jacobs)
5.
Maine 2
Cohen (Dem. open)
6. New York 26
Gilman (Dow)
7.
North Carolina 4
Hawke (Dem. open)
8. Pennsylvania 9
Shuster (Rep. open)
9.
South Dakota 2
Abdnor (Dem. open)
10.
Washington 4
Bledsoe (McCormac) primary 9/19
POSSIBLE PICKUPS (SECOND 10)
1.
Illinois 3
Hanrahan (new seat).
2. Illinois 10
Young (Mikva)
3. Illinois 11
Hoellen (Annunzio)
4.
Illinois 22
Lamkin (Shipley)
5.
Indiana 4
Bloom (Roush)
6.
Kentucky 6
Jackson (Dem. open)
7.
Maryland 4
Holt (new seat)
8.
Massachusetts 12
Weeks (Rep. open)
9. Mississippi 5
Lott (Dem. open)
10.
New Jersey 12
Rinaldo (Rep. open)
CODE:
ND - NEW DISTRICT
RO - REPUBLICAN OPEN
DO - DEMOCRAT OPEN
PAIR - TWO INCUMBENTS
AS OF 9-5-72
* - INCUMBENT
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
ALABAMA
2
* Dickinson
Reeves
ALASKA
AL
Young
* Begich
ND
ARIZONA
4
Primary 9/12
Primary 9/12
CALIFORNIA
6
* Mailliard
Boas
CALIFORNIA
7
Hannaford
* Dellums
ND
CALIFORNIA
11
Chase
Ryan
CALIFORNIA
18
* Mathias
Lavery
RO
CALIFORNIA
20
Moorhead
Binkley
-2-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
CALIFORNIA
31
Valentine
*
C. Wilson
CALIFORNIA
34
Ratterree
* Hanna
CALIFORNIA
35
Brown
* Anderson
ND
CALIFORNIA
36
Ketchum
Lemucchi
ND
CALIFORNIA
38
Snider
Brown
RO
CALIFORNIA
39
Hinshaw
Black
ND
CALIFORNIA
42
Burgener
Lowe
COLORADO
1
*
McKevitt
Primary 9/12
COLORADO
4
Primary 9/12
* Aspinall
ND
COLORADO
5
Primary 9/12
Primary 9/12
-3-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
CONNECTICUT
1
Rittenband
* Cotter
CONNECTICUT
2
* Steele
Hilsman
CONNECTICUT
5
Sarasin
* Monagan
ND
FLORIDA
5
Primary 9/12
Primary 9/12
FLORIDA
8
Thompson
* Haley
ND
FLORIDA
10
Primary 9/12
Primary 9/12
ND
FLORIDA
13
Primary 9/12
Primary 9/12
RO
GEORGIA
5
Cook
Young
RO
IDAHO
1
Symms
Williams
ND
ILLINOIS
3
Hanrahan
Coman
-4-
CODE
STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
ND
ILLINOIS
10
Young
*
Mikva
ILLINOIS
11
Hoellen
* Annunzio
ND
ILLINOIS
17
O'Brien
Houlihan
RO
ILLINOIS
21
Madigan
Johnson
ILLINOIS
22
Lamkin
* Shipley
INDIANA
2
*
Landgrebe
Fithian
INDIANA
3
Newman
* Brademas
INDIANA
4
Bloom
* Roush
INDIANA
8
*
Zion
Deen
INDIANA
10
*
Dennis
Sharp
-5-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
INDIANA
11
Hudnutt
* Jacobs
IOWA
1
* Schwengel
Mezvinsky
IOWA
2
Ellsworth
* Culver
PAIR
IOWA
4
* Kyl
* Smith
KANSAS
2
McAtee
* Roy
KANSAS
3
* Winn
Barsotti
KENTUCKY
3
Kaelin
* Mazzoli
DO
KENTUCKY
6
Jackson
Breckinridge
LOUISIANA
3
Treen
Run-Off 9-30
MAINE
1
Porteous
* Kyros
-6-
-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
DO
MAINE
2
Cohen
Violette
MARYLAND
1
*
Mills
Hargreaves
ND
MARYLAND
4
Holt
Fornos
MARYLAND
6
Mason
*
Byron
MASSACHUSETTS
4
Primary 9/19
Drinan
RO
MASSACHUSETTS
5
Primary 9/19
Primary 9/19
MASSACHUSETTS
6
Moseley
*
Harrington
RO
MASSACHUSETTS
12
Weeks
Studds
MICHIGAN
2
*
Esch
Stempien
MICHIGAN
12
Serotkin
* 0' Hara
-7-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
HubER
ND
MICHIGAN
18
* Broemfield
Montgomery
MINNESOTA
6
*
Zwach
Nolan
MINNESOTA
7
Haaven
* Bergland
DO
MISSISSIPPI
2
Butler
Bowen
DO
MISSISSIPPI
4
Cochran
Bodron
DO
MISSISSIPPI
5
Lott
Stone
DO
MISSOURI
6
Sloan
Litton
RO
MISSOURI
7
Taylor
Thomas
MONTANA
1
* Shoup
Olsen
NEW JERSEY
3
Dowd
* Howard
-8-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
NEW JERSEY
6
*
Forsythe
Brennan
NEW JERSEY
9
Schiaffo
* Helstoski
RO
NEW JERSEY
12
Rinaldo
English
ND
NEW JERSEY
13
Maraziti
Meyner
NEW MEXICO
2
Presson
Runnels
NEW YORK
1
Boyd,
* Pike
ND
NEW YORK
3
Roncallo
Bales
NEW YORK
6
Gallagher
* Wolff
NEW YORK
23
* Peyser
Ottinger
NEW YORK
24
Vergari
* Reid
-9-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
NEW YORK
26
Gilman
* Dow
RO
NEW YORK
31
Mitchell
Castle
NEW YORK
32
Koldin
*
Hanley
RO
NEW YORK
33
Walsh
Kadys
NEW YORK
36
*
Smith
McCarthy
DO
NORTH CAROLINA
4
Hawke
Andrews
RO
NORTH CAROLINA
9
Martin
Beatty
RO
OHIO
4
Guyer
Nicholas
OHIO
8
* Powell
Ruppert
RO
OHIO
16
Regula
Musser
-10-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
OHIO
19
Parr
* Carney
RO
OKLAHOMA
1
Run-Off 9-19
Jones
DO
OKLAHOMA
2
Toliver
McSpadden
PENNSYLVANIA
5
* Ware
Franco
RO
PENNSYLVANIA
9
Shuster
Collins
Po
20
HUNG
*Gnycles
PENNSYLVANIA
14
Catarinella
* Moorehead
SOUTH CAROLINA
1
Limehouse
* Davis
SOUTH DAKOTA
1
Vickerman
* Denholm
DO
SOUTH DAKOTA
2
Abdnor
McKeever
TENNESSEE
3
*
Baker
Sompayrac
-11-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
TENNESSEE
6
Beard
*
Anderson
TENNESSEE
8
*
Kuykendall
Patterson
TEXAS
5
Steelman
*
Cabell ?
PAIR TEXAS
13
*
Price
*
Purcell
UTAH
1
Primary 9/12
McKay
UTAH
2
*
Lloyd
Primary 9/12
VIRGINIA
4
Daniel
Gibson
RO
VIRGINIA
6
Butler
Anderson
RO
VIRGINIA
8
Parris
Horan
RO
WASHINGTON
1
Primary 9/19
Primary 9/19
WASHINGTON
4
Primary 9/19
* McCormack
-12-
CODE STATE
DISTRICT
GOP CANDIDATE
DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE
COMMENT
WISCONSIN
1
Primary 9/12
*
Aspin
WISCONSIN
3
*
Thomson
Primary 9/12
PAIR WISCONSIN
7
*
0' Konski
*
Obey
WISCONSIN
8
Primary 9/12
Primary 9/12
WYOMING
AL
Kidd
*
Roncalio
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
September 6, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Possible Subject for
10 a.m. Political Meeting
You indicated today that you had several political
subjects to cover at the 10 a.m. meeting in Ehrlichman's
office. However, there is one problem that you may want
to cover in the meeting or separately with MacGregor.
Stans told MacGregor and Magruder today at 3 p.m. that he
would not release any money to the November Group until
they accepted the 6.3 million budget instead of the
10 million requested. You expressed your views to
MacGregor regarding the advertising budget in the attached
memorandum.
This budget problem may be raised Friday afternoon when
Peter Dailey is prepared to present to you the final
"finished" campaign newspaper and TV ads. Although
Dailey plans on discussing the revised advertising
strategy in light of McGovern's, this budget matter may
be raised by Dailey because the matter has not been
resolved.
GS/jb
Cherk
Committee for the Re-election of the President Machrega
MEMORANDUM
August 15, 1972
I think Pete
is absolutely
MEMORANDUM TO THE HONORABLE CLARK MacGREGOR
night -and Howe
THROUGH:
JEB S. MAGRUDER
FROM:
SUBJECT:
Advertising Budget
we don't Nadjust
aans if
are
PETER H. DAILEY
The recent decisions to cut the Committee Adver-
tising budget should be reviewed now to provide
for sound media planning and scheduling.
For your review, we submit the following:
Considerations
1. $14.2 million is allowable for media under
the Federal Election Campaign Spending Act.
2. $3 million has been deducted from the total
for other uses, leaving a current budget of
$11.2 million.
3. We want to provide adequate reach and fre-
quency, flexibility of message, a meaning-
ful delivery of DFN messages (or anti-McGovern
advertising), and an adequate contingincy
budget.
4. In 1968, the Nixon campaign spent $22.5
million in broadcast alone, while the
Democrats spent $15.4 million. At present
we have $8.1 million allocated to broadcast,
a reduction from 1968 of 268%. Thus, the
allowable budget has been already reduced
$3 million and is well under 1968 expenditures.
5. The McGovern forces may well spend up to the
$14.2 million allowable if they can raise the
funds.
6. We do not want to visably outspend McGovern.
We do not want money to be a campaign issue.
-2-
7. Polling data must be a determinate of dollar
planning. We must be prepared to spend all
available funds to win the election and make
adjustments downward later if polls indicate.
Right
8. Advertising is the only communications vehicle
through which we can transmit our message as
the Committee wants it communicated without
having the press provide its own interpreta-
tions. Also, it is the best way to communicate
McGovern's radical positions to the American
electorate.
9. Current Committee plans call for a substan-
tially reduced budget. The most recent plan
Not
shows a budget allocation of $6.2 million
dollars.
Conclusions
The $6.2 million budget assumes an easy election
and one not related to issues. We cannot operate
on that assumption. absolutely
We should plan now on a close election. National
and local polling data should be closely scrutinized
and the plan adjusted downward later.
Right
Recommendation
The budget for advertising should be restored to the
$11.2 million level. We can not afford to plan now
on an easy win, then be put in a position of
scrambling for dollars in the last weeks if the
polling gap closes.
agree
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
September 6, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SEBJECT:
1972 U.S. Congressional Races
Dent has prepared a factual analysis of the Congressional
races, indicating that the Republicans must hold all
current incumbent seats and win 39 new seats to reach
the 218 needed to organize the House. Ford's Southern
Democrats switchover project will not become important
unless the Republicans are close to 218. Dent's Tab A
picks the top 30 requiring attention.
Timmons independently reviewed the September 5 Congressional
Campaign Committee analysis. Timmons' picks are double under-
scored while Dent's are single underscored.
Malek's field organization can provide assessments of 50
important individual races by September 13, Malek's input
would be conjecture before then.
MacGregor's views will be checked September 7.
Teeter talked with an AMPAC representative on September 5
regarding access to their polls. Teeter received a commit-
ment to obtain the 25 completed polls on September 8.
This analysis of the Congressional races will be resumitted
when the additional information is acquired.
The only people involved in this project are Bill Timmons,
Clark MacGregor, Fred Malek, Bob Teeter and Stan Anderson.
Harry Flemming has done an independent analysis for Clark
MacGregor but has not reviewed it with Mitchell or MacGregor.
GS/jb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
September 6, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Gallup Release
John Davies has not returned my telephone calls for
10 days. Several pending questions regarding demo-
graphics, Catholies, campaign release schedules, etc.,
remain unanswered.
Tom Benham, however, has increased his informal contacts
with Gallup. In a discussion with Aleo Gallup today,
Benham learned that the Gallup Organization will release
figures in the near future which will show the President's
dramatic increase in support among young voters. The
Gallup poll of August 26-27 which showed the President
over McGovern 64-30-6 will be used. The 18-29 year olds
support the President over McGovern 58-36-6. This is
within one point of the ORC August 29-31 poll which
showed 18-29 year olds at 57-36-7.
GS/jb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
September 6, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Democrats for Nixon
Advertisements
Peter Dailey and Phil Joanou are available to show you
the final DFN advertisements before they meet with
Connally at 3 p.m. All the materials (TV spots,
newspaper boards, etc.) are in my office. You have
seen most of the materials in "rough", non-DFN attri-
buted form.
The DFN strategy memorandum prepared by Dailey and
delivered to me this morning is attached.
Also available in my office are the re-done DFN
mailings and brochures that Peter Dailey and Bob
Marik prepared for Conmally.
GS/jb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
September 5, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Peter Dailey Meeting
re Democrats for Nixon
Peter Dailey has the newspaper ads, TV spots, and
general campaign advertising materials for the
Democrats for Nixon. John Connally called and asked
Dailey to present these materials to him tomorrow,
September 6 at 3 p.m.
You mentioned after the first DFN newspaper ad in
August that you wanted to see the DFS materials
before Connally saw them.
Dailey could review the materials with you any time
tomorrow, The review would take 45 minutes according
to Dailey. The President has nothing scheduled tomorrow
beside Dr. Riland at 6 p.m.
Recommendation
Haldeman to see Dailey
11 a.m.
12 noon
1 p.m.
No need for Haldeman to see Dailey
Other
GS/jb
ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTEAL
September 5, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Debates Between Spokesmen
Magruder is asking for your view on whether any Admini-
stration spokesmen should debate any Democratic spokesmen.
Magruder favors no debates by anyone during the campaign.
Magruder covered the subject with MacGregor this morning
and used the attached memorandum as a talking paper.
MacGregor favors a case by case determination of who
should debate whom. MacGregor favors Richardson debating
Humphrey, and wants to debate O'Bréen himself.
Recommendation
That MaoGregor's system of a case by case determination
be followed.
Approve
Disapprove
Comments
GS/jb
G. Strachan
Committee for the Re-election of the President
MEMORANDUM
August 31, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
CLARK MAC GREGOR
FROM:
Request for Policy Mr Decision on
JEB S. MAGRUDER
SUBJECT:
Possible Confrontations
Secretary Richardson has agreed to address an evening meeting of
the Beverly Hills B' nai B'rith in Los Angeles on September 11.
The expected attendance is 1,000 people.
We have been advised that the B'nai B'rith organization has
invited Senator Humphrey to attend the same meeting. If the
Senator cannot attend, they propose to invite an alternative
"major Democrat".
This situation raises several important policy issues:
(1) Should surrogate speakers attend events where confrontations
with major Democrats are likely?
Yes
No
(2) Should surrogates at anytime publicly discuss or debate
with Democrats?
Yes
No
In light of these questions, should Secretary Richardson
withdraw from the above mentioned event?
Yes
No
Page 2
In addition to the question of surrogate confrontations and debate,
Van Shumway has been getting a number of requests for you to debate/
discuss the campaign with various top level people on McGovern's staff,
(e.g. Gary Hart, Frank Mankiewicz).
I do not think it would be a good idea to accept these invitations or
in any way increase the visibility and stature of McGovern's staff
through public debate. Currently we have a request from "Issues and
Answers" and CBS morning news.
I suggest we turn down all debates between you and other top level
members of our staff with anyone in the McGovern campaign -- including
"Issues and Answers" and CBS morning news.
APPROVE
DISAPPROVE
COMMENTS
ADMENISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL
September 5, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Life Article on Campaign
Job Magruder called to say that the Dave Maxie article
for Life magazine on the campaign will be published
September 11, 1972. Maxie agreed to have Life do a
story on the First Family, which appeared on August 21,
1972, in exchange for the story on the campaign.
Maxie interviewed "most of the senior 1701 staff, with
some exceptions (1.e. Bob Teeter)". Magruder expects
the article to be "on balance a favorable article",
primarily focusing on MacGregor. There should be some
negative comment on security.
GS/jb
September 1, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Republican Convention Poll
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1932
Respondents: 974
This package includes all the requested materials from
the Republican Convention Poll:
1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum with the
re-formated trial heats page with Gallup, Harris
and ORC in columns;
2) Tab B is the requested cross-breaks;
3) Tab C contacins the cross-breaks of Nixon?
Madevern voters against his issue positions, measured
during the Democratic Convention Poll, July 19-20, 1972;
4) Tab D is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll.
5) Tab E is the detailed demographic tables.
6) Tab F is the trend of the "Handling of Vietnam"
question back to March 1969 indicating that the current
59-33-8 is the highest since the two Gallup surveys
after the November 3, 1969 Vietnam Speech when the
President had 64-25-11 and 65-24-11 in November, 1969 and
January, 1970.
You asked that the "leaner" question following the trial
heat question be added to Wave III. The Wave III trial
heats are conducted by secret ballot. The respondent is
handed "Secret Ballot A" ( "If you had to decide today, how would
you vote in the following election situation?" - PRESIDENT:
Republican - Richard Nixon or Democrat - George McGovern,
and, VICE-PRESIDENT: Republican - Spiro T. Agnew or Democrat -
Sargent Shriver.) on an IBM card at the time of the personal
interview. The respondent is also given Special Ballot B
which contains the following statements:
- 2 -
Will definitely vote for Nixon.
Will probably vote for Nixon, but still
thinking about it.
Undecided but leaning toward Nixon.
Completely undecided at this time but will vote.
Undecideddbut leaning toward McGovern.
Will probably vote for McGovern, but still
thinking about it.
Will definitely vote for McGovern.
Discussion with Teeter and Benham indicates that this
sample ballot, scaling method is the best method in
a personal interview to determine the views of the
"undecided" and the amount of commitment (whether the
respondents "mind has been definitely made up"). This
sample ballot techniqu is what Gallup used in the Aug 26-27
poll when NO OPINION was down to 6 from 12. Benham talked
with George Gallup, Jr. who said that the Gallup Organization would
continue to use the secret ballot system similar to Teeter's
Wave III ballot although he would not disclose the exact
language. The net result is that Teeter's Wave III sample
ballots will obtain the "leaner" and "definitely made up mind"
infomration, which ORC obtains by telephone. To keep Wave
III on schedule (field interviewing begins September 5,
preliminary results September 18) I authorized Teeter to
continue the sample ballot technique of Wave I, II and
Gallup instead of changing tb the telephone-oriented
questions of ORC.
The Amnesty question on Wave III has been changed in
the national and all state polls to correspond to your
request that there be only four options: 1) Grant unconditional
amnesty now; 2) Grant unconditional amnesty after the war
is over and our prisoners of war have been returned, 3)
Grant unconditional amnesty after the war is over, but require
an appropriate penalty; and 4) Not grant amnesty at all.
Excluded is option 5: Grant amnesty after the war is over
but require two years of some type of government service.
GS:car
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is
handling his job as President?
Polling
Date
Date
A
D
N.O.
Relsd.
1972
H-Dec 28-
49
47
4
Jan 4
T-Jan 3-20
54
35
11
G-Jan 7-9
49
39
12
1/20
O-Jan 26-27
54
36
10
G-Feb 4-7
53
36
11
2/17
H-Feb 8-15
55
44
1
2/28
O-Mar 3-5
59
28
13
G-Mar 3-5
56
32
12
3/9
O-Mar 18-19
54
35
11
G-Mar 24-27
53
37
10
4/13
O-Apr 27-29
52
35
13
O-May 9-10
57
33
10
H-May 9-10
52
46
2
G-May 26-29
61
32
7
6/4
H-Jun 10-15
56
42
2
G-Jun 16-19
60
32
8
6/25
T-Jun 16-26
58
30
12
G-Jun 23-26
56
33
11
7/16
O-Jul 19-20
58
31
11
H-Aug 2-3
59
40
1
8/21
O-Aug 29-31
63
27
10
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
- 2 -
Respondents: 974
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon
is handling the Vietnam situation?
Polling
Date
A
D
N.O.
1971
O-Aug 21-22
47
40
13
G-Sep 3-16
42
H-Sep
44
54
2
H-Oct 28-
41
55
4
Nov 10
O-Nov 19-21
50
39
11
1972
H-Dec 28-
40
54
6
Jan 4
T-Jan 3-20
55
38
7
O-Jan 26-27
54
38
8
G-Feb 4-6
51
39
10
H-Feb 8-15
41
56
3
O-Mar 3-5
53
36
11
G-Apr 21-24
48
44
8
O-Apr 27-29
47
44
9
O-May 9-10
52
38
10
H-May 9-10
37
59
4
G-May 26-29
53
38
9
H-Jun 10-15
42
55
3
T-Jun 16-26
58
35
7
O-Jul 19-20
55
35
10
O-Aug 29-31
59
33
8
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
- 3 -
Respondents: 974
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon
is dealing with the economic conditions in this country?
Polling Date
Approve
Disapprove
N.O.
H-Feb 19-21, '71
37
48
15
O-Aug 21-22, '71
59
31
10
O-Sep 7-8, '71
56
32
12
0-Oct 9-10, '71
57
35
8
O-Nov 19-21, '71
48
39
13
O-Jan 26-27, '72
46
45
9
O-Aug 29-31, '72
48
38
14
- 4 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
4. If the 1972 Presidential election were being held today and
the candidates were Richard Nixon and George McGovern, which
one would you vote for - Nixon or McGovern?
Polling Date
NIXON
McGOVERN
N.O.
1971
O-Jan 26-28
59
26
15
O-Apr 12-13
56
28
16
1972
H-Feb 28-
59
32
9
Mar 7
H-Apr 1- 7
54
34
12
G-Apr 28-
May 1
49
39
12
H-May 9-10
48
41
11
G-May 26-29
53
34
13
H-Jun 7-12
54
38
8
G-Jun 16-19
53
37
10
T-Jun 16-26
52
32
16
H-Jul 1- 6
55
35
10
G-Jul 14-17
56
37
7
O-Jul 19-20
54
27
19
H-Aug 2-3
57
34
9
G-Aug 5-12
57
31
12
G-Aug 26-27
64
30
6
O-Aug 29-31
59
23
18
- 5 -
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
If undecided on question 4, ask question 5.
5. Would you say that you lean more towards Richard Nixon
or more towards George McGovern?
Polling Date
Nixon
McGovern
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
63
28
9
(4%)
(5%)
(9%)
6. Have you definitely made up your mind which candidate
you prefer for President or is there a possibility that you
will change your mind during the campaign?
Made Up
May Change
Polling Date
Mind
Mind
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
63
31
6
7. Some observers have said that many normally Democratic
voters are deserting George McGovern and will be voting for
President Nixon. What is there about George McGovern that
may be causing some Democrats to desert him?
Polling Date
O-Aug 29-31, '72
(Open Ended)
Attached
8. Have you seen, read or heard anything about the so-called
"Watergate incident" in June when five men were arrested while
trying to break in and bug the Democratic National Committee
Headquarters at the Watergate Hotel?
Polling Date
Yes
No
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
57
40
3
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
(Open Ended)
7. Some observers have said that many normally Democratic
voters are deserting George McGovern and will be voting for
President Nixon. What is there about George McGovern that
may be causing some Democrats to desert him?
RESPONSES
olo
Changes his mind too often
14
Stand on welfare
12
General comments about his stand on the War
12
General comments about radical thinking
11
Too liberal
7
Should not have deserted Eagleton
5
Makes rash promises
5
Economic policies
5
Splits the Party
4
Isn't capable
4
Stand on taxes
3
Lack of credibility
3
Specific comments about him being a Dove
2
Stand on amnesty
2
Socialistic
2
Lost Labor
2
General disagreement with his proposals
2
Too indecisive
2
Too many youths following him
2
Stand on abortion
2
Defense cutback notion
2
Generally does not like his foreign policy
1
Too idealistic
1
Unrealistic
1
Generally off base
1
Democrats won't desert him
5
- 6 -
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
If yes on question 8, ask questions 9-12; if no, ask question 13.
9. Who do you think put these men up to the break-in, bugging
attempt at the Democratic National Committee Headquarters -
President Nixon, President Nixon's campaign committee, the
Republican Party, Cuban exiles, Others?
57
Camp.
Rep.
Cuban
100
Polling Date
P.N.
Comm.
Pty.
Exiles
Others
D.K.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
1
4
11
0
11
73
10. Do you think President Nixon's campaign committee was
responsible for the break-in, bugging attempt at the Democratic
National Committee Headquarters or not?
Polling Date
57
Yes
No
N.O.
100
O-Aug 29-31, '72
17
48
35
11. Do you believe that this whole break-in, bugging attempt
at the Democratic National Committee Headquarters is just more
politics or is it really something serious?
57
Just More
Something
Polling Date
100
Politics
Serious
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
54
21
25
12. If it is proven that high-ranking Republicans were involved
in the break-in, bugging attempt or mishandling of Republican
campaign contributions, do you think this will make you less
likely to vote for President Nixon or won't it have any effect
on your vote?
57
Polling Date
100
No Effect
Less Likely
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
68
23
9
- 7 -
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
13. Have you heard or read anything about the trip to Hanoi
by former Attorney General Ramsey Clark?
Polling Date
Yes
No
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
55
44
1
If yes on question 13, ask question 14 and 15; if no, ask
question 16.
14. Do you approve or disapprove of his trip to Hanoi while
hostilities are still underway with North Vietnam?
55
Polling Date
100
Approve
Disapprove
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
36
48
16
15. Do you agree or disagree with the critical statements he
has made about American bombing of North Vietnam?
55
Polling Date
100
Agree
Disagree
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
21
57
22
16. Sargent Shriver, the Democratic Vice Presidential candidate,
has claimed that President Nixon missed an opportunity in early
1969 to bring an end to the Vietnam War. From all that you have
heard and read, do you agree or disagree with Shriver's statement?
Polling Date
Agree
Disagree
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
22
54
24
- 8 -
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
17. School teachers as well as most other public employees are
not allowed to strike by law. Do you think this law should be
changed to permit teachers to go out on strike or don't you?
Polling Date
No Strike
Permit Strike
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
47
42
11
18. How much of the Republican National Convention did you
watch on TV?
Over
1-2
Less than
Very
Polling Date
All
2 hrs
hrs
1 hr
Little
None
O-Jul 19-20, '72
21
11
22
13
22
11
O-Aug 29-31, '72
17
4
17
13
27
22
19. Overall, were your impressions of the Republican Convention
very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very
unfavorable?
Polling Date
VF
SF
SU
VU
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
23
34
10
10
23
20. In general, how do you rate your reaction to President
Nixon's acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention -
very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very
unfavorable, didn't hear it, no opinion?
Didn't
Polling Date
VF
SF
SU
VU
Hear It
N.O.
O-Jul 19-20, '72
9
18
9
7
57
O-Aug 29-31, '72
24
22
5
4
38
7
- 9 -
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
21. Did the Republican National Convention make you more
likely or less likely to vote for President Nixon?
Polling Date
More Likely
Less Likely
N.O.
O-Jul 19-20, '72
28
38
34
O-Aug 29-31, '72
32
16
52
22. Do you feel that you and people like yourself were really
represented at the Republican National Convention or not?
Polling Date
Yes
No
N.O.
O-Jul 19-20, '72
41
42
17
O-Aug 29-31, '72
41
34
25
23. Do you think Richard Nixon should campaign vigorously
as the Republican Presidential candidate for 1972 or should
he concentrate on his duties as President?
Campaign
Concentrate
Polling Date
Vigorously
On Duties
Both
N.O.
O-Aug 29-31, '72
12
60
21
7
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
CROSSBREAK
Question 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners)
(4)
(5)
(4)
(5)
Nixon
Lean
McG
Lean
Voters
Nixon
Voters
McG
Undecided
6. Have you definitely made
up your mind which candi-
date you prefer for
President or is there a
possibility that you will
change your mind during
the campaign?
Made Up Mind
78
22
65
16
11
May Change Mind
22
75
31
74
44
No Opinion
*
3
4
10
45
(Read Down)
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates:Aug 29-31, '72
Respondents: 974
CROSSBREAK
Question 6 - Have you definitely made up your mind which candidate
you prefer for President or is there a possibility
that you will change your mind during the campaign?
Definitely
Made Mind Up
May Change Mind
N.O.
Nixon Supporters
74
26
*
(4 & 5)
McGovern Supporters
57
38
5
(4 & 5)
Undecided
11
44
5
(4 & 5)
(Read Across)
- 3/4 of President Nixon's supporters have definitely
made up their minds to vote for him.
- Less than 60% of Senator McGovern's supporters have
definitely made up their minds to vote for him.
- 11% are firmly undecided.
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
CROSSBREAK
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72
Respondents: 974
Question 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners)
(4)
(5)
(4)
(5)
Nixon
Lean
McG
Lean
Voters
Nixon
Voters
McG
Undecided
21. Did the Republican
National Convention make
you more likely or less
likely to vote for
President Nixon?
More Likely to Vote
47
33
9
4
6
Less Likely to Vote
4
15
44
23
20
No Opinion
49
52
47
73
74
(Read Down)
47% of President Nixon's voters are more likely to vote for him
because of the Republican National Convention.
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72
Respondents: 974
CROSSBREAK
Question 17 - School teachers as well as most other public
employees are not allowed to strike by law.
Do you think this law should be changed to
permit teachers to go out on strike or don't
you?
Law Change
No Change
Permit Strike
No Strike
N.O.
Nixon (4)
33
55
12
McGovern (4)
62
32
6
Undecided (4)
42
45
13
(Read Across)
REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72
Respondents: 974
CROSSBREAK
Question 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners)
(4)
(5)
(4)
(5)
Nixon
Lean
McG
Lean
Voters
Nixon
Voters
McG
Undecided
12. If it is proven that high-
ranking Republicans were
involved in the break-in,
bugging attempt or mishandling
of Republican campaign contri-
butions, do you think this will
make you less likely to vote
for President Nixon or won't
it have any effect on your
vote?
Less Likely
15
37
33
46
29
No Effect
76
50
60
42
52
No Opinion
9
13
7
12
19
(Read Down)
- 3/4 of President Nixon's voters are unaffected by
the break in, bugging attempt or mishandling of
Republican campaign contributions.
QUESTION 12A
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING PROPOSALS MADE
BY SENATOR GEORGE MCGOVERN
A. WE SHOULD WITHDRAW ALL OUR TROOPS FROM INDO CHINA
IMMEDIATELY AND THEN TAKE ON FAITH THAT THE NORTH VIETNAMESE
WILL RELEASE OUR POWS
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
30
62
8
MEN
520
509
28
68
4
WOMEN
518
531
31
57
12
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
42
53
5
21-29 YEARS
255
205
40
52
8
30-49 YEARS
388
369
22
69
9
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
29
62
18-24 YEARS
203
167
42
53
5
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
28
64
8
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
35
50
15
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
29
62
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
29
68
am
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
30
64
6
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
30
61
9
WHITE
922
910
26
67
7
NONWHITE
107
127
56
29
15
PROTESTANT
526
517
25
66
9
CATHOLIC
258
282
35
61,
4
JEWISH
35
26
47
46
7
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
38
51
11
$5,000 $15,000
554
559
28
66
6
OVER $15,000
239
169
25
73
2
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
28
64
8
WILL REGISTER
112
127
41
53
6
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
30
62
8
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
23
61
16
REPUBL ICAN
236
239
16
82
DEMOCRAT
385
412
41
50
NO
INDEPENDENT
322
295
26
67
7
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
13
81
6
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
45
47
8
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
20
63
17
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
20
71
9
LIBERAL
235
216
49
45
6
IN BETWEEN
477
489
27
66
7
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
25
68
7
LEAN LIBERAL
148
144
38
60
2
OTHER INBETWEEN
155
191
20
63
17
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
18
76
6
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
44
46
10
WALLACE VOTERS
57
67
9
79
12
NONVOTERS
277
268
36
54
10
EAST
244
255
29
65
6
MIDWEST
286
287
31
62
7
SOUTH
331
330
27
60
13
WEST
177
174
32
63
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0011
QUESTION 12A
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING PROPOSALS MADE
BY SENATOR GEORGE MCGOVERN
A. WE SHOULD WITHDRAW ALL OUR TROOPS FROM INDO CHINA
I
IMMEDIATELY AND THEN TAKE CN FAITH THAT THE NORTH VIETNAMESE
WILL RELEASE OUR POWS
(
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
(
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
30
62
8
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
620
606
19
74
7
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
49
44
7
NO OPINION
99
114
30
48
22
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
16
79
5
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
51
40
9
NO OPINION
84
102
27
48
25
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
15
80
5
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
61
31
8
NEITHER
85
93
23
65
12
UNDECIDED
93
104
30
47
23
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
14
81
5
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
62
29
9
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
25
66
9
NONE
33
31
27
66
7
UNDECIDED
89
97
23
56
21
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
14
81
5
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
60
33
7
UNDECIDED
135
175
27
52
21
(
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
33
61
6
1
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY
116
111
30
67
3
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
34
60
6
(
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
24
65
11
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
30
55
15
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
(
0011
(
11.
QUESTION 128
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
B. THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD GIVE $1,000 A YEAR TO EVERY MAN,
WOMAN, AND CHILD IN THE UNITED STATES AND PAY FOR THIS BY
INCREASING TAXES FOR EVERYONE EARNING MORE THAN $12,000 A YEAR
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTO WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
16
76
8
MEN
520
509
15
77
8
WOMEN
518
537
16
75
9
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
21
74
5
21-29 YEARS
255
205
21
73
6
30-49 YEARS
388
369
13
78
9
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
15
76
9
18-24 YEARS
203
167
23
72
5
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
20
66
14
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
22
69
9
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
14
79
7
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
10
86
4
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
20
78
2
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
14
75
11
WHITE
922
910
13
80
7
NONWHITE
107
127
33
48
19
PROTESTANT
526
517
13
81
6
CATHOLIC
258
282
18
75
7
JEWISH
35
26
9
78
13
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
27
56
17
$5,000 - $15,000
554
559
15
79
6
OVER $15,000
239
169
7
91
2
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
14
78
8
WILL REGISTER
112
127
22
71
7
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
15
77
8
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
20
65
15
REPUBLICAN
236
239
9
84
7
DEMOCRAT
385
412
19
72
9
INDEPENDENT
322
295
15
78
7
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
11
85
4
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
25
68
7
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
18
69
13
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
11
82
7
LIBERAL
235
216
25
68
7
IN BETWEEN
477
489
15
78
7
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
14
82
4
LEAN LIBERAL
148
144
15
78
7
OTHER INBETWEEN
155
191
13
68
19
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
9
84
7
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
22
69
9
WALLACE VOTERS
57
67
15
82
3
NONVOTERS
277
268
23
67
10
EAST
244
255
17
76
7
MIDWEST
286
287
17
74
9
SOUTH
331
330
17
72
11
WEST
177
174
10
85
5
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0012
(
QUESTION 128
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
B. THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD GIVE $1,000 A YEAR TO EVERY MAN,
WOMAN, AND CHILD IN THE UNITED STATES AND PAY FOR THIS BY
INCREASING TAXES FOR EVERYONE EARNING MORE THAN $12,000 A YEAR
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD
WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
16
76
8
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JCB
620
606
12
81
7
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
24
67
9
NO OPINION
99
114
13
72
15
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
12
82
6
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
23
67
10
NO OPINION
84
102
9
75
16
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
9
84
7
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
25
64
11
NEITHER
85
93
17
73
10
UNDECIDED
93
104
24
67
9
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
8
85
7
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
25
64
11
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
19
77
4
NONE
33
31
14
75
11
UNDECIDED
89
97
18
66
16
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
10
84
6
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
25
65
10
UNDECIDED
155
175
17
70
13
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
17
74
9
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY
116
III
16
76
8
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
17
78
5
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
15
75
10
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
12
79
9
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0012
QUESTION 12C
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
C. MARIJUANA SHOULD BE LEGALIZED AND CONTROLLED ALONG
THE SAME LINES AS ALCOHOL
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
25
70
5
MEN
520
509
27
67
WOMEN
518
537
22
73
5
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
42
55
3
21-29 YEARS
255
205
37
56
7
30-49 YEARS
338
369
19
77
4
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
20
73
7
18-24 YEARS
203
167
42
53
5
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
16
79
5
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
23
73
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
22
73
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
40
53
7
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
21
74
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
26
68
5
WHITE
922
910
24
71
NONWHITE
107
127
33
61
5
PROTESTANT
526
517
20
75
5
CATHOLIC
258
282
24
70
JEWISH
35
26
62
31
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
24
72
4
$5,000 $15,000
554
559
23
73
OVER $15,000
239
169
34
56
8
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
24
71
WILL REGISTER
112
127
24
71
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
24
71
numa
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
35
56
9
REPUBLICAN
236
239
17
78
5
DEMOCRAT
385
412
24
71
INDEPENDENT
322
295
30
62
8
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
25
68
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
37
56
7
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
26
68
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
17
79
4
LIBERAL
235
216
43
52
IN BETWEEN
477
489
24
71.
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
20
77
LEAN LIBERAL
sowers
148
144
28
66
6
OTHER INBETWEEN
155
191
18
72
10
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
18
77
5
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
28
66
WALLACE VCTERS
57
67
13
87
0
NONVOTERS
277
268
35
58
7
EAST
244
255
27
65
8
MIDWEST
286
287
25
71
4
SOUTH
331
330
21
73
6
WEST
177
174
28
68
4
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0013
QUESTION 12C
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
C. MARIJUANA SHOULD BE LEGALIZED AND CONTROLLED ALONG
THE SAME LINES AS ALCOHOL
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTO WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
25
70
5
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
620
606
21
73
6
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
31
64
NO OPINION
99
114
27
65
8
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
21
74
5
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
33
62
NO OPINION
84
102
16
76
8
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
18
76
6
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
39
56
NEITHER
85
93
19
79
UINUTO
UNDECIDED
93
104
27
68
5
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
20
74
6
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
39
55
6
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
17
79
4
NONE
33
31
24
67
UNDECIDED
89
97
24
73
am
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
20
74
6
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
37
58
UNDECIDED
155
175
19
77
4
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
29
65
6
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY
116
111
23
72
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
25
70
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
22
72
waving
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
27
70
3
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0013
(
(
(
(
(
(
(
QUESTION 12D
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
D. THERE SHOULD BE NO LEGAL RESTRICTIONS CN ABORTIONS IN
THE UNITED STATES. IT SHOULD BE A MATTER SCLELY BETWEEN THE
WOMAN AND HER DOCTOR
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
60
33
7
MEN
520
509
63
28
WOMEN
518
537
57
38
5
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
65
30
5
21-29 YEARS
255
205
64
33
30-49 YEARS
388
369
57
36
7
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
60
30
10
18-24 YEARS
203
167
62
35
3
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
57
36
7
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
54
38
8
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
59
34
7
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
68
26
6
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
64
28
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
58
35
87
WHITE
922
910
61
32
7
NONWHITE
107
127
55
38
7
PROTESTANT
526
517
60
31
9
CATHOLIC
258
282
56
40
4
JEWISH
35
26
95
5
0
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
54
40
6
$5,000 - $15,000
554
559
62
32
6
OVER $15,000
239
169
71
22
7
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
60
33
7
WILL REGISTER
112
127
67
29
4
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
61
32
7
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
51
39
10
REPUBLICAN
236
239
61
32
7
DEMOCRAT
385
412
60
33
7
(
INDEPENDENT
322
295
60
33
7
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
62
32
6
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
64
31
5
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
54
35
11
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
52
41
7
LIBERAL
235
216
70
25
5
IN BETWEEN
477
489
63
31
6
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
63
29
8
LEAN LIBERAL
148
144
68
31
1
OTHER INBETWEEN
155
191
48
40
12
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
64
30
6
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
62
30
8
WALLACE VOTERS
57
67
56
43
NONVOTERS
277
268
58
35
7
EAST
244
255
68
25
7
MIDWEST
286
287
58
33
9
SOUTH
331
330
55
39
WEST
177
174
62
33
5
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0014
QUESTION 12D
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
D. THERE SHOULD BE NO LEGAL RESTRICTIONS ON ABORTIONS IN
THE UNITED STATES. IT SHOULD BE A MATTER SOLELY BETWEEN THE
WOMAN AND HER DOCTOR
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
60
33
7
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
620
606
62
31
7
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
59
35
6
NO OPINION
99
114
53
39
8
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
62
31
7
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
61
34
5
NO OPINION
84
102
46
42
12
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
61
31
8
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
64
31
5
NEITHER
85
93
40
57
3
UNDECIDED
93
104
61
30
9
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
63
29
C
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
65
30
$
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
55
39
6
NONE
33
31
32
60
8
UNDECIDED
89
97
57
33
10
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
62
30
8
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
64
31
UNDECIDED
155
175
46
47
7
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
56
38
6
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 MRS/DAY
-116
111
69
27
4
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
66
28
6
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
60
31
9
11.
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
48
43
9
C
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0014
C
QUESTION 12E
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
E.
WE SHOULD GRANT UNCONDITIONAL AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO
LEFT THE COUNTRY OR WENT TO PRISON TO AVOID THE DRAFT
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
20
70
10
MEN
520
509
19
76
5
WOMEN
518
537
21
65
14
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
43
54
3
21-29 YEARS
255
205
31
62
7
30-49 YEARS
388
369
17
75
8
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
13
74
13
18-24 YEARS
203
167
37
58
5
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
15
72
13
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
18
73
9
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
17
74
9
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
30
63
7
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
18
74
8
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
21
69
10
1
WHITE
922
910
18
74
8
NONWHITE
107
127
36
47
17
PROTESTANT
526
517
18
71
11
CATHOLIC
258
282
20
72
8
JEWISH
35
26
36
49
15
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
30
58
12
$5,000 - $15,000
554
559
15
77
8
OVER $15,000
239
169
24
71
5
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
19
72
9
WILL REGISTER
112
127
25
62
13
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
20
71
9
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
25
63
12
REPUBLICAN
236
239
12
74
14
DEMOCRAT
385
412
22
70
8
INDEPENDENT
322
295
24
70
6
(
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
13
81
6
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
36
60
4
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
20
66
14
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
11
80
9
LIBERAL
235
216
36
57
7
IN BETWEEN
477
489
21
71
8
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
16
77
7
LEAN LIBERAL
148
144
25
66
9
OTHER INBETWEEN
155
191
14
69
17
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
10
80
10
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
26
63
11
WALLACE VOTERS
57
67
12
88
0
NONVOTERS
277
268
32
59
9
FAST
244
255
22
69
9
MIDWEST
286
287
22
69
9
SOUTH
331
330
16
75
9
WEST
177
174
20
67
13
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0015
QUESTION 12E
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
E. WE SHOULD GRANT UNCONDITIONAL AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO
LEFT THE COUNTRY OR WENT TO PRISON TO AVOID THE DRAFT
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
20
70
10
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
620
606
14
77
9
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
33
61
6
NO OPINION
99
114
18
63
19
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
12
79
9
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
34
57
9
NO OPINION
84
102
14
70
16
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
11
80
9
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
38
53
9
NEITHER
85
93
24
69
7
UNDECIDED
93
104
16
68
16
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
11
80
9
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
40
50
10
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
16
78
6
NONE
33
31
33
49
18
UNDECIDED
89
97
14
71
15
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
11
80
9
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
39
53
8
UNDECIDED
155
175
17
69
14
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
26
66
8
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY
116
111
22
72
6
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
20
70
10
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
15
74
11
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
23
67
10
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0015
QUESTION 12F
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
F.
WE SHOULD CUT OUR DEFENSE BUDGET BY $32 BILLION EVEN
IF IT PUTS US BEHIND THE SOVIET UNION IN MILITARY STRENGTH
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
C
UNWTD
WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
19
66
15
(
MEN
520
509
21
70
9
WOMEN
518
537
17
61
22
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
31
57
12
(
21-29 YEARS
255
205
27
62
11
30-49 YEARS
388
369
16
71
13
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
15
64
21
18-24 YEARS
203
167
28
61
11
C
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
14
66
20
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
19
65
16
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
17
68
15
(
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
27
62
11
I
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
23
66
11
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
17
66
17
(
WHITE
922
910
18
67
15
NONWHITE
107
127
24
54
22
(
PROTESTANT
526
517
16
68
16
CATHOLIC
258
282
19
68
13
JEWISH
35
26
38
38
24
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
22
60
18
$5,000 - $15,000
554
559
19
69
12
OVER $15,000
239
169
20
69
11
(
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
17
67
16
WILL REGISTER
112
127
27
64
9
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
18
67
15
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
23
51
26
C
REPUBLICAN
236
239
16
71
13
DEMOCRAT
385
412
19
66
15
INDEPENDENT
322
295
20
67
13
(
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
16
72
12
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
28
58
14
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
14
58
28
(
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
13
76
11
LIBERAL
235
216
30
54
16
IN BETWEEN
477
489
20
66
14
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
17
68
15
(
LEAN LIBERAL
148
144
21
67
12
OTHER INSETWEEN
155
191
13
63
24
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
15
70
15
(
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
20
61
19
WALLACE VOTERS
57
67
11
80
9
NONVOTERS
277
268
24
60
16
(
EAST
244
255
20
67
13
MIDWEST
286
287
21
63
16
11.
SOUTH
331
330
12
70
18
WEST
177
174
25
60
15
(
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0016
(
(
(
QUESTION 12F
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
F. WE SHOULD CUT OUR DEFENSE BUDGET BY $32 BILLION EVEN
IF IT PUTS US BEHIND THE SCVIET UNION IN MILITARY STRENGTH
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
19
66
15
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
620
606
13
74
13
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
31
54
15
NO OPINION
99
114
15
57
28
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
14
74
12
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
28
54
18
NO OPINION
84
102
7
64
29
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
13
73
14
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
30
56
14
NEITHER
85
93
22
66
12
UNDECIDED
93
104
19
52
29
111
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
13
72
15
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
33
52
15
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
14
75
11
NONE
33
31
29
50
21
UNDECIDED
89
97
15
56
29
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
14
73
13
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
29
58
13
UNDECIDED
155
175
16
56
28
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
21
67
12
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY
116
111
15
71
14
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
19
67
14
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
16
67
17
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
24
54
22
11.
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0016
QUESTION 12G
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
G. BUSSING SCHOOL CHILDREN IS ESSENTIAL TO ACHIEVE RACIAL
INTEGRATION
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
UNWTD
WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
18
74
8
MEN
520
509
17
77
6
WOMEN
518
537
18
72
10
18-20 YEARS OF AGE
82
72
24
72
4
21-29 YEARS
255
205
20
71
9
30-49 YEARS
388
369
19
75
6
50 YEARS AND OVER
312
398
15
75
10
18-24 YEARS
203
167
25
68
7
8TH GRADE OR LESS
96
248
20
72
8
HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE
156
180
16
74
10
HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE
347
369
17
74
SOME COLLEGE
432
241
17
78
5
UNION FAMILIES
266
299
16
78
6
NONUNION FAMILIES
772
747
18
73
9
WHITE
922
910
13
80
7
NONWHITE
107
127
49
37
14
PROTESTANT
526
517
15
76
9
CATHOLIC
258
282
19
75
6
JEWISH
35
26
36
62
2
UNDER $5,000 INCOME
157
207
26
62
12
$5,000 - $15,000
554
559
15
78
7
OVER $15,000
239
169
17
77
6
NOW REGISTERED
872
848
18
75
7
WILL REGISTER
112
127
20
72
8
REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER
984
975
18
75
7
WON'T REGISTER
54
70
10
68
22
REPUBLICAN
236
239
11
82
7
DEMOCRAT
385
412
25
65
10
INDEPENDENT
322
295
15
79
6
LEAN REPUBLICAN
136
123
8
88
4
LEAN DEMOCRAT
135
125
23
73
4
OTHER INDEPENDENTS
114
120
9
78
13
CONSERVATIVE
243
226
13
82
5
LIBERAL
235
216
26
68
6
IN BETWEEN
477
489
18
75
7
LEAN CONSERVATIVE
257
269
15
80
5
LEAN LIBERAL
148
144
21
67
12
OTHER INBETWEEN
155
191
14
69
17
NIXON VOTERS
426
422
13
81
6
HUMPHREY VOTERS
215
221
26
64
10
WALLACE VOTERS
57
67
7
86
7
NONVOTERS
277
268
21
70
9
EAST
244
255
17
73
10
MIDWEST
286
287
17
72
11
SOUTH
331
330
20
75
5
WEST
177
174
15
78
7
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
0017
(
QUESTION 12G
69069
JULY 19-20, 1972
1038 INTERVIEWS
G. BUSSING SCHOOL CHILDREN IS ESSENTIAL TO ACHIEVE RACIAL
INTEGRATION
(
I.
(
PERCENTAGE
BASE
NO
(
UNWTD WTD
AGREE
DISAGREE
OPINION
TOTAL PUBLIC
1038
1045
18
74
8
APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
620
606
13
80
7
DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB
319
325
28
65
7
NO OPINION
99
114
14
72
14
APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
577
571
14
80
6
DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM
377
372
27
64
9
NO OPINION
84
102
5
77
18
NIXON SUPPORTERS
576
564
10
83
7
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
284
285
36
55
9
NEITHER
85
93
6
87
7
UNDECIDED
93
104
19
67
14
11.
NIXON SUPPORTERS
454
438
12
81
7
MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS
266
260
36
54
10
(
WALLACE SUPPORTERS
196
219
10
84
6
NONE
33
31
11
80
9
UNDECIDED
89
97
12
72
16
NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS
578
566
12
83
MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS
305
304
33
58
s
UNDECIDED
155
175
10
74
16
WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC
231
226
22
72
6
WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY
116
111
13
75
12
WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY
238
231
19
73
8
(
WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY
344
366
16
76
8
DID NOT WATCH
109
112
15
73
12
;
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
(
0017
(
(
September 1, 1972
Some Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey
From: Tom Benham
1. The Nixon-McGovern trial heat result confirms the Gallup
data released on August 30. The Gallup people tell us
that they also use a "leaner" question similar to ours.
So opinion at this stage seems to be crystallizing with
a sizeable lead for the President.
President Nixon's support is coming not only from Republicans
(96%) but also from Democrats (41%) and Independents (68%).
Also, 83% of Conservatives and 45% of Liberals support him.
He also enjoys majorities from both Union families as well
as non-Union families, Catholics as well as Protestants,
and in every section of the country. Among new voters
18-24 years of age, 61% prefer Nixon or lean toward him in
this survey and only 37% are for McGovern.
Almost two-thirds (63%) of the voters say they have their
minds definitely made up and will not change it during the
campaign. This figure is almost identical to the results
in mid-August 1964 in connection with the Johnson-Goldwater
race (61% had definitely made up their minds, 31% said they
may change their minds and 8% said they had no opinion).
As might be expected, those who indicate their preference
in the "leaner" category are much less firm than those who
initially indicate a preference. While the figures are
- 2 -
not exactly comparable, the commitment to President Nixon
seems even firmer at this stage than that which President
Johnson enjoyed at a similar stage in 1964 (approximately
60% were definitely in favor of Johnson in mid-August 1964).
It would be unrealistic to expect this trial heat data finding
to project itself exactly as is on Election Day. Chances
are that the gap will narrow somewhat as it did in 1964 when
Goldwater picked up slightly to lose by 61% to 39%. A
reversal of the figures, however, is highly unrealistic.
It would be a mistake, however, to think that the situations
in 1964 and 1972 are exactly comparable. In 1964 the
majority vote came heavily from a majority party with dis-
enchanted voters from the minority. Today, the majority
vote is made up of a coalition of voters heavily made up
of the minority party but including many dissidents from
the majority party and others who are unaffiliated. Inher-
ently, such a coalition does not have the stability that is
found in a bloc vote.
2. The strong trial heat preference for President Nixon is
soundly based on improvements in his overall ratings on
the three key indicators of performance in his job, per-
formance in Vietnam, and dealing with economic conditions
in the country. It may well be that the contrast between
- 3 -
the President and George McGovern is beginning to crystallize
in the minds of the electorate.
While the survey did not focus particularly on Vietnam, it
seems clear that the "blew it" charges by Sargent Shriver,
the Ramsey Clark trip, and the Salinger foray to Paris, if
anything, had a negative impact on the McGovern campaign.
The survey question on Shriver shows that his charge lacked
credibility. Even among Democrats only 36% agree with
Shriver while 38% disagree and 26% had no opinion. And
even among those who prefer McGovern only 46% agree with
Shriver while 29% disagree and 25% expressed no opinion.
Similarly among those who have heard of the Ramsey Clark
trip, more disapprove than approve and many more disagree
than agree with his critical statements about American
bombing policies.
Another indication that McGovern may be suffering as his
exposure to the total electorate builds is shown in response to
our question 7 where we ask why Democrats may be deserting
his cause. Among the principal reasons cited are that he
changes his mind too often, his position on the War is
improper, his welfare views are unacceptable, and in general
his thinking tends to be too liberal or radical. Certainly
McGovern's latest economic program as unveiled to the
- 4 -
New York Society of Security Analysts cannot but add fuel
to the fire as far as reactions to his programs are con-
cerned.
3. While a larger audience watched the Democratic Convention
than watched the Republican Convention, reactions to the
President's acceptance speech were considerably more
favorable (46%) than reactions to McGovern's speech (27%).
57% to 20%, people also expressed themselves as favorably
impressed by the Republican Convention overall, although
we did not have a comparable test of the Democratic Conven-
tion. On a direct question about the effect of the Conven-
tion on likelihood of voting, President Nixon came through
more favorably than McGovern. 32% to 16%, people expressed
themselves as more likely to vote for the President rather
than less likely while in the case of the Democratic National
Convention 28% said they would be more likely to vote for
McGovern while 38% said less likely.
Despite the lack of suspense and drama in the Republican
National Convention, it apparently was a successful backdrop
to present President Nixon, the accomplishments of his
Administration and the contrast with the Democratic programs.
4. The public is fairly strongly of the mind that the President
should concentrate on his duties as President rather than
obviously hit the campaign trail. This view is held by
- 5 -
every sub-group in the population with very little variation.
For example, 57% of Republicans, 63% of Democrats and 61%
of Independent voters.
5. The Watergate incident has come to the attention of 57% of
the public. While this is slightly higher than the percent
who were aware of the Pentagon Papers and lower than those
who knew about ITT, it can clearly be overestimated as a
campaign factor. Awareness is at about the same level for
Republicans (56%), Democrats (57%) and Independents (60%).
Only a small minority believe that the Republican campaign
committee was responsible (17% of those aware of the Watergate
incident or 10% of the total electorate). Most say "no" or
"don't know". A good clue as to how the public views this
matter is shown in question 11 where over half (54%) regard
it as "just more politics" while 21% say it is "really some-
thing serious".
6. On the specific question of strikes by school teachers, the
public is split with the balance of the opinion against
changing the law to permit teachers to strike. Among Nixon
supporters the feeling is even stronger. 34% say change
the law, 54% say don't change the law, and 12% express no
opinion.
In other ORC surveys we have asked whether or not various
types of public service employees should be permitted to
- 6 -
strike - firemen, policemen, school teachers and sanitation
workers. In all cases, weight of opinion has been against
permitting these types of people to strike. There has been
some lessening of opposition, however, over the four years
since 1968. In the case of school teachers, the ORC trend
has been as follows:
Nov
Aug
Nov
Dec
1968
1969
1970
1971
Should not be
62
53
54
55
permitted to
strike
Should be
29
41
39
37
permitted to
strike
No Opinion
9
6
7
8
*
*
*
*
*
*
Some Observations
It is important that the momentum of the Nixon campaign not
be permitted to slacken, even though a highly favorable
position has been achieved to date. A comeback by McGovern
and the Democrats could severely lessen any chances for
sweeping in Republican candidates in the Congress, Senate
and State Houses throughout the country. The flagging McGovern
- 7 -
campaign is hardly likely to get worse. Apparently, they
can only gain in the weeks ahead. Many undecided voters
and dissident Democrats may drift back and the psychological
danger for Republicans is to feel that the race is over and
that they can relax. Republican enthusiasm at the local
level could be enhanced by the new opportunity (for Republicans)
to catch on to the President's coattails. Every effort should
be made to express the President's interest in candidates
at lower levels.
The President's tremendous prestige in the handling of
foreign affairs is not equalled by ratings of his performance
on the domestic front where there is a 15 point gap between
approval overall as President and approval on handling of
economic conditions. Fortunately, the confusion of McGovern's
presentation of how he would deal with these economic condi-
tions has not permitted him to take advantage of this weakness
so far. A good theme for Republican campaigners in this
connection is to keep hammering on how inflationary McGovern's
campaign proposals really are.
Fi Firm YE
AIPO
11
"
=
21
"
=
:
=
=
=
=
"
=
"
"
"
Method
Pers.
=
=
=
=
#
=
"
=
"
=
"
11
11
"
=
"
Serial # 3-100 (AIPO)
Date
3/69
4/69
5/69
6/69
7/69
8/69
69/6PTH
60 59
10/69
11/69
1/70
2/70
4/70
2/4-
7/71
2/19-
21/71
4/21-
24/72
5/26-
29/72
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon
11/3 Vietnam Speech
is handling the situation in Vietnam?"
No
30
32
25
24
17
18
15
10
11
10
10
8
16
15
6
11
11
Approve Disapprove Opinion
26
24
27
24
30
28
40
32
32
25
24
32
41
39
37
44
38
Total Public
44
44
48
52
53
54
45
52
-58
64
65
53
48
51
53
48
53
Results
AIPO
11
11
=
11
::
11
=
11
11
"
11
11
11
11
"
=
Nothod
Pers.
=
=
=
=
=
=
:1
11
=
"
1:
11
11
11
"
11
vial // 100 (nino)
3
0490
3/69
4/69
5/69
69/9
69/L
8/69
69/6PTK
10/69
11/69
1/70
2/70
4/70
2/4-
7/71
2/10-
21/71
4/21-
24/72
5/26-
29/72
a
"Do you approve 02 dis prove of the thereay way Pre. ant Nixon
11/3 Vietnam Speech
is handling the situation in Vietna.?"
No
30
32
25
24
17
18
15
10
10
()
16
10
11
11
15
11
a
Approve Disapprove Opinion
26
24
27
24
30
28
40
32
32
25
24
32
41
39
37
44
58
Total Public
44
44
48
52
53
54
45
52
58
64
65
53
48
51
53
43
53
Results
September 1, 1972
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Republican Convention Poll
Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972
Respondents: 974
This package includes all the requested materials from
the Republican Convention Poll:
1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum with the
re-formated trial heats page with Callup, Harris
and ORC in columns;
2) Tab B is the requested cross-breaks;
3) Tab C contacins the cross-breaks of Nixon?
McCovern voters against his issue positions, measured
during the Democratic Convention Poll, July 19-20, 1972;
4) Tab D is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll.
5) Tab E is the detailed demographic tables.
6) Tab F is the trend of the "Handling of Vietnam"
question back to March 1969 indicating that the current
59-33-8 is the highest since the two Gallup surveys
after the November 3, 1969 Vietnam Speech when the
President had 64-25-11 and 65-24-11 in November, 1969 and
January, 1970.
You asked that the "leaner" question following the trial
heat question be added to Wave III. The Wave III trial
heats are conducted by secret ballot. The respondent is
handed "Secret Ballot A" ( "If you had to decide today, how would
you vote in the following election situation?" - PRESIDENT:
Republican - Richard Nixon or Democrat - George McCovern;
and, VICE-PRESIDENT: Republican - Spiro T. Agnew or Democrat -
Sargent Shriver. ) on an IBM card at the time of the personal
interview. The respondent is also given Special Ballot B
which contains the following statements:
- 2 -
Will definitely vote for Nixon.
Will probably vote for Nixon, but still
thinking about it.
Undecided but leaning toward Nixon.
Completely undecided at this time but will vote.
Undecideddbut leaning toward McCovern.
Will probably vote for McGovern, but still
thinking about it.
Will definitely vote for McGovern.
Discussion with Teeter and Benham indicates that this
sample ballot, scaling method is the best method in
a personal interview to determine the views of the
"undecided" and the amount of commitment (whether the
respondents "mind has been definitely made un"). This
sample ballot techniqu is what Gallup used in the Aug 26-27
poll when NO OPINION was down to 6 from 12. Benham talked
with George Gallup, Jr. who said that the Gallup Organization would
continue to use the secret ballot system similar to Teeter's
Wave III ballot although he would not disclose the exact
language. The net result is that Teeter's Wave III sample
ballots will obtain the "leaner" and "definitely made up mind"
infommation, which ORC obtains by telephone. To keep Wave
III on schedule (field interviewing begins September 5,
proliminary results September 18) I authorized Teeter to
continue the sample ballot technique of Wave I, II and
Gallup instead of changing to the telephone-oriented
questions of ORC.
The Amnesty question on Wave III has been changed in
the national and all state polls to correspond to your
request that there be only four options: 1) Grant unconditional
amnesty now; 2) Grant unconditional amnestv after the war
is over and our prisoners of war have been returned; 3)
Crant unconditional annesty after the war is over, but require
an appropriate penalty; and 4) Not grant annesty at all.
Excluded is option 5: Grant amnesty after the war is over
but require two years of some type of government service.
GS:car