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This file contains: From Strachan to Haldeman RE: running campaign ads in response to a McGovern speech. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/14/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the latest Gallup poll results. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/14/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: running campaign spots during the World Series. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a leak of information on White House disputes over campaign ads. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McGovern's purchase of a time slot on NBC. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: whether to run a campaign ad under the Democrats for Nixon or the Committee for the Re-election of the President byline. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/12/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the purchase of a CBS time slot. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/12/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a McGovern speech on Vietnam authored by Ed Failor. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Rumsfeld's trip to Mexico City and foreign fundraising for the presidential campaign. Notes on the same subject attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 Copy of a memo from Rumsfeld to Haldeman RE: a campaign fundraiser in Mexico City. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/4/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 Copy of a memo from Joanou, through Magruder, to MacGregor RE: advertising decisions for the week of October 16. Handwritten note added by unknown. Campaign advertising schedule attached. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 Copy of a memo from Joanou to Strachan RE: the script of a campaign ad. Script with handwritten notes attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 Copy of a memo from Higby to Haldeman RE: TV ads generated by the Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 Copy of a memo from Bill Novelli to Dailey RE: the advertising expenditures of the Democrats for Nixon. Handwritten note on original added by unknown. Financial breakdown of expenditures attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 From G.S. Karalekas to Dailey RE: projected costs of advertising from the Democrats for Nixon. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 Copy of a memo from Dailey to MacGregor RE: the script for a campaign ad on Russia. Marked-up scripts attached. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: an advertisement referred to as "Welcome McGovern." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a revised "Get-Out-the-Vote" telegram by Price. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a recent conversation with Gallup's John Davies on poll figures. Transcript of conversation attached. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a National Telephone Survey. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call involving the results of polls in Illinois and Idaho. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Gallup and Harris polling figures. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/7/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Kissinger's approval of an advertisement designed to sway Jewish voters. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/7/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call to report polling results from Maryland. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: scheduled polling dates for various states. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Higby to Strachan RE: Haldeman's request for polling data. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call on polling data from Kentucky and Texas. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising developments. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McGovern's plans to televise a speech involving Vietnam on CBS. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a November Group advertisement attacking McGovern. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. Handwritten note added by unknown. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: polling data on Wisconsin, Missouri, Iowa, and various senate and gubernatorial races. Polling figures attached. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 Copy of a memo from Teeter to MacGregor RE: scheduled telephone poll result dates from ORC. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 Copy of a memo from Teeter to MacGregor RE: polling data on Iowa. Newspaper article on the same subject attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/4/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: recommendations for handling the massive amount of polling data in the last few weeks of the 1972 presidential campaign. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/4/1972 From Teeter to MacGregor RE: the polling procedures of Gallup and Harris. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/3/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: various campaign ads and the state of McGovern's advertising. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/3/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a Nationwide Telephone Poll. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/2/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: whether or not to run a half-hour campaign film titled "The Nixon Years" on October 4. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/2/1972

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This file contains: From Strachan to Haldeman RE: running campaign ads in response to a McGovern speech. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/14/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the latest Gallup poll results. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/14/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: running campaign spots during the World Series. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a leak of information on White House disputes over campaign ads. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McGovern's purchase of a time slot on NBC. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: whether to run a campaign ad under the Democrats for Nixon or the Committee for the Re-election of the President byline. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/12/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the purchase of a CBS time slot. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/12/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a McGovern speech on Vietnam authored by Ed Failor. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Rumsfeld's trip to Mexico City and foreign fundraising for the presidential campaign. Notes on the same subject attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 Copy of a memo from Rumsfeld to Haldeman RE: a campaign fundraiser in Mexico City. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/4/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 Copy of a memo from Joanou, through Magruder, to MacGregor RE: advertising decisions for the week of October 16. Handwritten note added by unknown. Campaign advertising schedule attached. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 Copy of a memo from Joanou to Strachan RE: the script of a campaign ad. Script with handwritten notes attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 Copy of a memo from Higby to Haldeman RE: TV ads generated by the Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 Copy of a memo from Bill Novelli to Dailey RE: the advertising expenditures of the Democrats for Nixon. Handwritten note on original added by unknown. Financial breakdown of expenditures attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 From G.S. Karalekas to Dailey RE: projected costs of advertising from the Democrats for Nixon. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 Copy of a memo from Dailey to MacGregor RE: the script for a campaign ad on Russia. Marked-up scripts attached. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: an advertisement referred to as "Welcome McGovern." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a revised "Get-Out-the-Vote" telegram by Price. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a recent conversation with Gallup's John Davies on poll figures. Transcript of conversation attached. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/10/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a National Telephone Survey. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call involving the results of polls in Illinois and Idaho. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/9/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Gallup and Harris polling figures. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/7/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Kissinger's approval of an advertisement designed to sway Jewish voters. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/7/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call to report polling results from Maryland. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: scheduled polling dates for various states. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Higby to Strachan RE: Haldeman's request for polling data. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call on polling data from Kentucky and Texas. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising developments. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McGovern's plans to televise a speech involving Vietnam on CBS. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/6/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a November Group advertisement attacking McGovern. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. Handwritten note added by unknown. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: polling data on Wisconsin, Missouri, Iowa, and various senate and gubernatorial races. Polling figures attached. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 Copy of a memo from Teeter to MacGregor RE: scheduled telephone poll result dates from ORC. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/5/1972 Copy of a memo from Teeter to MacGregor RE: polling data on Iowa. Newspaper article on the same subject attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/4/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: recommendations for handling the massive amount of polling data in the last few weeks of the 1972 presidential campaign. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/4/1972 From Teeter to MacGregor RE: the polling procedures of Gallup and Harris. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/3/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: various campaign ads and the state of McGovern's advertising. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/3/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a Nationwide Telephone Poll. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/2/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman RE: whether or not to run a half-hour campaign film titled "The Nixon Years" on October 4. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/2/1972
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/14/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: running campaign ads in response to a McGovern speech. 1 pg. 15 5 10/14/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the latest Gallup poll results. 1 pg. 15 5 10/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: running campaign spots during the World Series. 1 pg. 15 5 10/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a leak of information on White House disputes over campaign ads. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 1 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McGovern's purchase of a time slot on NBC. 1 pg. 15 5 10/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: whether to run a campaign ad under the Democrats for Nixon or the Committee for the Re-election of the President byline. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the purchase of a CBS time slot. 1 pg. 15 5 10/10/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a McGovern speech on Vietnam authored by Ed Failor. 1 pg. 15 5 10/10/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Rumsfeld's trip to Mexico City and foreign fundraising for the presidential campaign. Notes on the same subject attached. 3 pgs. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 2 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/4/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Rumsfeld to Haldeman RE: a campaign fundraiser in Mexico City. 1 pg. 15 5 10/10/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/9/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Joanou, through Magruder, to MacGregor RE: advertising decisions for the week of October 16. Handwritten note added by unknown. Campaign advertising schedule attached. 4 pgs. 15 5 10/9/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Joanou to Strachan RE: the script of a campaign ad. Script with handwritten notes attached. 3 pgs. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Higby to Haldeman RE: TV ads generated by the Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 3 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/9/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Bill Novelli to Dailey RE: the advertising expenditures of the Democrats for Nixon. Handwritten note on original added by unknown. Financial breakdown of expenditures attached. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Memo From G.S. Karalekas to Dailey RE: projected costs of advertising from the Democrats for Nixon. 4 pgs. 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Dailey to MacGregor RE: the script for a campaign ad on Russia. Marked-up scripts attached. 6 pgs. 15 5 10/10/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: an advertisement referred to as "Welcome McGovern." 1 pg. 15 5 10/10/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a revised "Get-Out-the-Vote" telegram by Price. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 4 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/10/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a recent conversation with Gallup's John Davies on poll figures. Transcript of conversation attached. 6 pgs. 15 5 10/9/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a National Telephone Survey. 1 pg. 15 5 10/9/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call involving the results of polls in Illinois and Idaho. 1 pg. 15 5 10/7/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Gallup and Harris polling figures. 1 pg. 15 5 10/7/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Kissinger's approval of an advertisement designed to sway Jewish voters. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 5 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call to report polling results from Maryland. 1 pg. 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: scheduled polling dates for various states. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo From Higby to Strachan RE: Haldeman's request for polling data. 1 pg. 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Teeter's call on polling data from Kentucky and Texas. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: campaign advertising developments. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 6 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/6/1972 Campaign Report From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McGovern's plans to televise a speech involving Vietnam on CBS. 1 pg. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: a November Group advertisement attacking McGovern. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. 1 pg. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. 1 pg. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from Magruder on television and radio slot purchases. Handwritten note added by unknown. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 7 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: polling data on Wisconsin, Missouri, Iowa, and various senate and gubernatorial races. Polling figures attached. 9 pgs. 15 5 10/5/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Teeter to MacGregor RE: scheduled telephone poll result dates from ORC. 1 pg. 15 5 10/4/1972 Campaign Memo Copy of a memo from Teeter to MacGregor RE: polling data on Iowa. Newspaper article on the same subject attached. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/4/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: recommendations for handling the massive amount of polling data in the last few weeks of the 1972 presidential campaign. 3 pgs. 15 5 10/3/1972 Campaign Memo From Teeter to MacGregor RE: the polling procedures of Gallup and Harris. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 8 of 9 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 15 5 10/3/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: various campaign ads and the state of McGovern's advertising. 2 pgs. 15 5 10/2/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: the results of a Nationwide Telephone Poll. 1 pg. 15 5 10/2/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman RE: whether or not to run a half-hour campaign film titled "The Nixon Years" on October 4. 1 pg. Friday, February 04, 2011 Page 9 of 9 October 14, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: McGovern Turnaround In anticipation of McGovern's Sunday Night speech, which is expected to be on "Corruption," MacGregor and Magruder have agreed to run the DFN "Turnaround Credibility" spot tonight and tomorrow night on net- work 60 second spots. The schedule is: 10/14 ABC 8 - 9 EMERGENCY 10/14 ABC 9 -10 STREETS OF SAN FRANCISCO 10/15 ABC 8:30-10 MYSTERY MOVIE GS:car October 14, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Gallup Surveys Discussion with John Davies this morning disclosed that the Gallup trial heat figures will be released Monday, October 16 not Sunday, October 15 as planned. The final figures are 60-34-6, which is one point different than the 60-35-5 he had given me last Monday. The polling dates were September 30 to October 9. The Survey was the 3000 Key Precenct inter- view with 2600 registered voters. Ed Harper called me asking for the Gallup figures for Ehrlichman for his Issues and Answers appearance. I did not indicate to Harper whether we had the results or not. I recommend against giving the information to EHrlichman for release Sunday because it could destroy the confidential relationship with Gallup's John Davies. GS:car ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Connally Speech TV Buy Magruder and Joanou have learned that the Werld Series #3 and #4 games will be on Tuesday and Wednesday at 8 p.m. EDT. This means 7:30 p.m. buy on Wednesday would probably have excellent Eastern coverage but very poor Western coverage. Magruder and Joanou are suggesting Friday, which will probably be a "rest day" for the Series. Magruder is preparing a detailed memorandum outlining the options by market, audience reach, etc. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVEEY CONFIDENTIAL October 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Leak of Information on Connally Speech Colson expressed reservations about leaking information to the press about the dispute within the White House Staff and the CRP regarding when to run the Connally 1/2 hour blockbuster. Colson thinks Connally might get mad. Magruder and Chapin moved the line to the press after their meeting with you today at 1 p.m. Also, Magruder and Dailey are making preliminary contacts with the networks to buy Wednesday, October 18 at 7:30 p.m. On Monday, they plan on contacting local stations to fill in markets in key states. You may want to advise Connally of this planned promotion of his speech. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: McGovern - TV Sunday, October 15 Peter Dailey has learned that McGovern has purchased 1/2 your Sunday night on NBC from 10-10:30 p.m. The subject is reported to be "Corruption". GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 12, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Turnaround Commercial and Buchanan Attack Post Turnaround Commercial You have indicated that you were going to talk to John Connally regarding running the "attack McGovern's credibility Turnaround TV ad". Currently, Connally has instructed Magruder not to run any DFN commercials, including the Turnaround scheduled for the week of October 16, because DFN has not raised sufficient funds. You noted in reviewing the TV schedule for next week that the Turnaround should not be run by CRP. MacGregor feels strongly that the Turnaround must be run next week even if it is to be run by CRP. The November Group has the spot under both bylines and could shift from the current CRP billing to DFN if the problem with Connally has been resolved. Run Turnaround under CRP byline. Run Turnaround under DFN byline Other. Buchanan - Attack Post Buchanan has mentioned in the last two Political Media Analyses that a decision must be made as to whether there - 2 - is a frontal attack on the Washington Post's reporting of the campaign sabotage and smears. Buchanan feels strongly that such an attack on the Post should be launched to pre- pare the climate against further espionage stories. Buchanan discounts the danger of having other media rally to the Post's defense because CBS is hitting us pretty hard already. You may want to discuss this at the Political meeting. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY October 12, 1972 CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR H.R. HALDEMAN FROM : GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Documentary "The Record" - TV Buy Magruder and Dailey have contacted CBS about purchasing the one-half hour following "Mission Impossible" on Saturday, October 14 on CBS (10:30 - 11.00). The 28 minute documentary, "The Record" would be shown with the MacGregor appeal. You viewed both on Saturday, October 7. MacGregor has approved this purchase but wanted to check with you. The request for the time and the subject has appeared in the New York Times because of the network's system of advising each other of time buys and confirmation by the press office at 1701. Run "The Record" Safurday, October 14, from 10:30 - 11:00 H to discuss in 10:00 a.m. Political Meeting Other GS:pm October 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: McGovern's Vietnam Speech Ed Failor reports that McGovern's speech on Vietnam was written by Dick Goodwin. It will open with his already outlined plan to end the war. Then there will be an emotional appeal about U.S. bombing of children, churches, hospitals, etc. The violence will be compared with crime on U.S. streets. McGovern will conclude by noting that the money wasted in Vietnam could have been spent on domestic issues, had the President not continued the war and vetoed vital domestic bills. GS:car ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Foreign Fundraisers A check with Tom Evans, Stans' Deputy at the Finance Committee for the Re-Election of the President, indicates that there are several foreign fundraisers similar to the Rumsfeld-Mexico City event noted in the attached memorandum. Apparently five events were arranged in Europe with two being fundraisers featuring Rumsfeld. The head of European fundraising is Pierre Talenti. Stans and Evans are very concerned about these events because not only is it illegal for foreign nationals to contribute but also the FCRP has not received any money from these European events or from an Asian fund- raiser organized by Anna Chennault. Evans will contact Rumsfeld to discourage him from going to Mexico City. John Dean will also call Rumsfeld to urge him of the political problems resulting from an Administration spokesman going to Mexico City in pursuit of campaign funds. GS/jb Tom was RY cook Chenault to asia + Rums to E ha5 Puine Talenti (2 funds) former RNFC - -no $ in Drl foreign nate - Waste of time -1 mex City -bad Dean THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date: TO: FROM: GORDON STRACHAN MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 4, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: BOB HALDEMAN FROM : DONALD RUMSFELD F It is my understanding that the October 16 fundraising event by the Committee to Re-Elect in Mexico City is still on track. As we discussed, I have no'. aid anything additional to the "Committee", and 1 THE presently scheduled to do it if it occurs. As per our discussion, my assumption is that, onless I hear from you or them to the contrary, you are in agreement that it is a good idea. Given its cratus, if you feel to the contrary it would be best if you worked back through the Committee. Thanks ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Campaign Advertising Week of October 16 Advertising At the October 9 Budget Meeting, Secretary Stans approved the 630 expenditure for Network and local TV advertising for the week of October 18. The suggested network schedule attached at Tab A includes Older Americans, Environment, the Record and Youth 5's. The recommended 60-second spot for network and local placement for next week is the attack McGovern Turnaround credibility spot. The revised script you asked Dailey to prepare dropping Inheritance Tax and adding Amnesty is attached at Tab B. Recommendation: That Dailey's recommended week of October 16 advertising schedule be approved. Approve Disapprove Comments Democrats for Nixon Advertising There is a problem with running the Turnaround next week. As Higby informed you on October 5, Connally will not approve any DFN TV after this week because DFN has not raised money to pay for the spots. Either Connally must accept money from Stans (the money for the DFN spots is included in the Stans approved October 16 advertising budget) or the Turnaround spot must be run under the CRP auspices and tagline. Magruder and Dailey strongly oppose running the Turnaround spot, as harshest attack commercial, with a CRP by-line. A detailed description of the DFN advertising expenditures is attached at Tab C. - 2 - Haldeman to cover with Connally. Run Turnaround with CRP by-line. Other. Another use of the Turnaround TV spot that has not received a decision is the Chapin suggestion that the Turnaround be placed in every local media market McGovern goes to where there is enough lead time to place the spot. Yes, implement Chapin suggestion re sandwich McGovern with Turnaround. No, drop idea. Other. Russia Spot You asked Dailey for the revised Russia spot script which deletes Tapya and makes the point about "hard negotiations and tough bargaining". The acript is attached at Tab D. The changes from the previous script are printed above the typed text of the new version. The substantial segments that are entirely new are noted. Recommendation: That the revised Russia spot script be approved with the next scheduled use of the Russia spot during the week of October 23. Approve Disapprove Comments. GS/jb Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM October 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM TO: CLARK MacGREGOR THROUGH: JEB S. MAGRUDER FROM: PHIL JOANOU SUBJECT: Advertising Decisions for the Week of 10/16 Attached is the schedule for network and local advertising for the week of 10/16. The following decisions are required: 1. Network commercial schedule of "Turnaround", "Older Americans", "Environment", "Record" & "Youth" 5's. This decision is required by 10/11. Approve Disapprove Comment 2. Purchase of $220,886 in local advertising in fifteen states, extending last week's plan. Decision is needed today (10/9) Approve Disapprove Comment 3. Local spot schedule of the "Turnaround" :60. This decision is needed by 10/11. Approve Disapprove Comment CRP CC: Pete Dailey LOCAL ADVERTISING 10/9/72 State/Market Media Subject Cost/Mk. California Spot TV/Radio Turnaround (TV) $71,361 Los Angeles Youth (radio) San Francisco Fresno San Diego Sacremento Bakersfield New York Spot TV/radio Turnaround (TV) $51,366 New York City Youth (radio) Buffalo Syracuse Rochester Michigan Spot TV Turnaround $8,633 Detroit Flint Missouri Spot TV Turnaround $6,150 St. Louis Wisconsin Spot TV Turnaround $3,450 Milwankee Illinois Spot TV Turnaround $16,200 Chicago Ohio Spot TV Turnaround $7,939 Cloveland Toledo Texas Spot TV Turnaround $4,800 << Houston Pennsylvania Spot TV Turnaround $17,475 Philacolphia Pittsburgh Maryland Spot TV Turnaround $5,250 Bultimore Minnesota Spot TV Turnaround $5,700 Minnetpolis/St. Paul Managebusetts Spot TV Turnaround $10,800 Formen Spot Ty Turnaround $5,070 Page 2 State/Market Media Subject Cost/Wk Oregon Spot TV Turnaround $3,414 Portland West Vircinia Spot TV Turnaround $2,678 Charleston 1 (tot) Approx. Annet. Commit. Valid Mind Date Day Net Program Time (EST) Length Date Cost Chas. Chird. Chan Cont Peg. Name ($) ($) ($) ($) ($) (L) 10/16 Mon. ABC Love Amer. Style 4:25-4:30PM 5 Min. 10/2 2,458 213 5,000 - 7,671 6.0 Youth ABC Rockies 8 - 9PM 60" 10/6 28,034 300 - - 38,334 15.8 Turnaround NBC Laugh In 8 - 9PM 60" 10/6 25,500 290 1 - 25,793 18.9 Turnaround 10/17 Tue. CBS Hawaii 5-0 9:25-9:30PM 5 Min. 10/10 13,893 235 2,000 - 16,120 32.3 Record 10/18 Wed. ABC Bewitched 11:55-12N 5 Min. 10/4 2,458 213 5,000 - 7,671 4.6 Environment NBC Wed. Mystery 8:30-10PM 60" 10/11 27,200 298 - 27,498 19.1 Turnaround CBS Carol Burnett 8:55-9PM 5 Min. 10/11 13,819 235 2,000 - 10,054 19.2 Record 10/19 Thur NBC Today Show 8:55-9AM 5 Min. 10/5 3,974 140 1,500 - 5,023 4.3 Record NBC Flip Wilson 8-9PM 60" 10/0 37,400 268 - - 37,093 26.0 Turnaround CBS The Waltons 8:55-9PM 5 Min. 10/12 13,218 235 2,000 - 15,453 13.0 Older Americans ABC The Men 9:55-10PM 5 Min. 9/28 5,766 213 1,014 - 0,993 10.4 Environment NBC Dean Martin 10-11PM 60" 10/9 22,950 208 - 23,243 17.5 Turnaround ARC Owen Marshall 10:55-11PM 5 Min. 9/28 5,706 213 5,000 - 10,079 17.0 Youth 10/20 Fri. NBC Today Show 8:55-9AM 5 Min. 10/C 3,974 149 1,500 - 5,033 4.2 Record 10/21 Sat ABC Alias Smith/Jones 8:55-9PM 5 Min. 9/29 6,559 213 5,000 - 11,772 14.4 Record NBC Emergency 3 9PM 60" 10/13 19,550 293 - 15,048 13.2 Turnuround CBS Mission Impossible 10-11PM 60" 10/13 37,150 250 - - 37,400 18.0 Turnaround TOTAL DAY 4 Ann 12,064 724 13,000 - 20,508 10.0 TOTAL NIGHT 13 Ann 253,005 3,384 17,014 - 207,100 201.7 CRAND TOTAL 17 Ann 269,609 4,100 30,014 - 303,791 251.3 Committee for the Re-election of the President October 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM TO: GORDON STRACHAN FROM: PHIL JOANOU SUBJECT: Revision in Turnaround Commercial Attached is the original script of the "Turnaround" commercial with revised copy penciled in to show the changes necessary to incorporate amnesty. CC: Pete Dailey Plannon NOVEMBER 909 THIRD AVENUE GROUP NEW YORK, N.Y. 10022 INC. (212) 752-3500 COMMERCIAL TV Title: McGOVERN TURNAROUND - Revise #8 Sept. 12, 1972 Date: Commercial No. XXNG 1.206 NIXON CAMPAIGN '72 Client: Length: B&W Product:. :60 Color NA 324 No. of words: RTO Promise Approval: VIDEO AUDIO 1. OPEN ON ECU OF MOUNTED PHOTO ANNCR: (VO) In 1967, Senator George OF GEORGE McGOVERN (A PROFILE SHOT, WITH McGOVERN LOOKING McGovern said he was not an advocate LEFT). of unilateral withdrawal of our troops from Vietnam. 2. MOUNTED PHOTO TURNS, REVEALING Now, of course, he is. THE OTHER SIDE, AN IDENTICAL PROFILE SHOT OF McGOVERN, NOW LOOKING TO THE RIGHT. 3. MOUNTED PHOTO TURNS, AGAIN Last year, the Senator suggested TO THE ORIGINAL POSITION. regulating marijuana along the same lines as alcohol, which means I 4. PHOTO TURNS. Now he is against legalizing it, and says he always has been. 5. PHOTO TURNS. Last January, Senator McGovern suggested a welfare plan that would give a $1000 bill to every man, woman and child in the country. McGOVERN TURNAROUND - Revise #8 Title: Date: September 12, 1972 :60 Length: Page: 2 VIDEO AUDIO 6. PHOTO TURNS. Now he says maybe the $1000 figure isn't right. Throughout the year, he has proposed 7. PHOTO TURNS. Last year he proposed to tax unconditional amnesty for all drAft dodgers. inheritances of over $500, 000 at 100%. Now his running mate claims he 8. PHOTO TURNS. proposed No such thing This year he suggests 77%. 9. PHOTO TURNS. In Florida he was pro-busing. 10. PHOTO TURNS. In Oregon, he said he would support the anti-busing bill now in Congress. 11. PHOTO TURNS AND TURNS - Last year, this year. THEN BEGINS TO ROTATE FASTER AND PASTER. The question is what about next year? 12. SUPER MANDATORY DISCLAIMER. Democrats for Nixon. The preceding was a recorded announcement paid for by Democrats for Nixon. October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: L. HIGBY SUBJECT: Democrats for Nixon T.V. Ads Jeb Magruder called me from his office to report that he is meeting with Leonard Marks right now and that Connally talked to Marks last night with explicit Instructions that Marks is to cancel any advertising for Democrate for Nixon that makes their budget go over $1,000,000. By the end of next week we will have spent $1, 444, 000 which means that If we are to follow Connaily's instructions, we will have to cancel all of the Democrats for Nixon advertising for the next week. Connally also teld Marks that he really didn't like the idea of doing 1/2 hours, but would if the President really wanted him to. He thought five minutes might be better. Magruder feels strongly that you should call Connally and discuss this. He indicates the problem centers around the fact that the Democrats for Nixon aren't raising money like they thought they would and C onnally is a little worried about his credibility If he can't deliver the money. He also believes -- but has no proof -- that Connally's people are lobbying against stepping up the Democrats for Nixon ads and C onnally Is concerned about this. He believes that Connally is being told that he is being used as the Agnew of '72. Magruder reports that there would be no problem, of course, for us to fund or supplement funds for the Democrate for Nixon, but to use existing funds would mean showing a transfer or us subsidising that group, something he doesn't believe Connally or we want to do. Also, if we were to take future Incoming monies pledged to us and transfer them to the Demo- crats for Nixon directly, we would have to get Stans' concurrence, something Magruder feels would be a problem right now. LH:kb Committee for the Re-election of the President October 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM TO: PETE DAILEY FROM: BILL NOVELLI SUBJECT: Democrats for Nixon Advertising Expenditures Committed funds for DFN from August through October 15 in newspapers, spot TV, and Network TV total $1,231M. Should DFN account for three additional weeks of spot TV (weeks of 10/16, 10/23, and 10/30) at current levels in current markets, an additional $546 M would be required. Also, if all available network :60's over these same three weeks were assigned to DFN, this network expendi- ture would total $696 M In summary, this additional spot and network, added to the funds already committed, come to a grand total of $2,473 M. The attached provides details on this budget. CC: Phil Joanou DENOCRATS FOR NIXON ADVERTISING EXPENDITURES: Committed and Potential Spending from August, 1972 to November, 1972 I. Committed Expenditures through 10/15 Newspapers Spot TV Network TV TOTAL August $200 - - $200 Sept. 177 $110 $11 298 Oct. - 328 405 733 TOTAL: $377 $438 $416 $1,231 II. Estimated Expenditures for Three Additional Weeks of Spot Television October 16 through November 5 Spot TV Week of October 16 $182 Week of October 23 182 Week of October 30 182 TOTAL: $546 III. Estimated Expenditures for Three Additional Weeks of Network TV Using all Available :60 Announcements - October 16 through November 5 Network TV Week of October 16 $269 Week of October 23 272 Week of October 30 155 TOTAL: $696 IV. Summary - Total DFN Advertising Expenditures if Additional Spot TV and Network TV are Employed Committed Additional Additional through Spot TV Network TV GRAND October 15 10/16-11/5 10/16-11/5 TOTAL $1,231 M $546 M $696 M $2,473 M NOVEMBER GROUP INC. October 6, 1972 TO: P. Dailey cer P. Joanou B. Novelli FROM: G. S. Karalekas M. Lesser E. Fitzpatrick SUBJECT: Projected 3 Week Cost P. Levins for D.F.N. P. Muller As requested this PM, attached are the projected three week DFN costs (10/16-11/5) assuming we (a) extended the current spot TV markets/schedulea for an additional three weeks; (b) assigned all of our network 60's to them from 10/16 to the end. If you have any questions, please advise. 8th 949.7.11 NOS KLW 10/6/72 DENOCRATS FOR NIXON PROJECTED 3 NEEK NET COSTS (10/16 - 11/5) * Notwork TV Spot TV $60'5/NK AGRP G/WK Cost Per WH Cost Fer Wk Total Cost (#) (%) ($) (S) (9) Week of 10/16 9 167.3 268,972 181,816 450,788 Week of 10/23 9 175.2 271,552 181,816 453,368 Wook of 10/30 5 102.6 155,042 181,316 336,858 TOTAL 23 445.1 695,566 545,448 1,241,014 *Local TV Assumes local TV schedules aired weeks of 10/2 and 10/9 would continue in tact for the last three weeks. *Notwork TV Assumes DFN would be assigned all 60's in our network schedule. NOVEMBER GROUP INC. October 6, 1972 CERTIFIED ON BEBAL? OF DEMOCRATE FOR NIXON Through October 6, 1972 JEP HG Total Newspapers August $193.922 $199,922 September 176,778 176,778 Total Newspaper $376,700. $376,700 TV Local Soot September $109,837 $109,837 October 328,035 323,035 Total TV Local $109,837 $328,035 $437,872 IV Retwork Sept. ber $ 11,100 $ 11,106 October $405,050 605,250 Total TV Notwork $11,105 $405,450 $416,556 Grand Total 8497,043 $733,265 $1,231,128 !OVEMBER ROUP NC. October 4, 1972 MEDIA EXPENDITURES BUDGET STATUS (Projected to include estimated expenditures for week of 10/9/72) DFN CRP ES Total Actual NG Purchases through week of 10/2 buy* $312,581 $312,747 $625,328 Certified against JFP buys 328,139 328,139 Estimated by GSKaralekas for 10/9 buy 156,000 440,000 596,000 $468,581 $1,180,886. $1,549,467 - Total Budget $3,509,000 - Available for post 10/9 weeks $2,060,467 - * Includes insignificant dollar NBC prepayments , THIRD AVENUE W YORK. N. D Committee for the Re-election of the President October 6, 1972 memorandum MEMORANDUM TO: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: PETER DAILEY SUBJECT: Revised Russia Script Attached is the revised script for Russia. It deletes the Tanya portion and makes the points about "hard negotiations and tough bargaining" stronger. Acte NOVEMBER 900 THIRD AVENUE GROUP NEW YORK, N.Y. 10022 INC. (212) 752-3500 COMMERCIAL TV Title: RUSSIA - Revision #2 Date: October 4, 1972 Commercial No. 22-5 CDS/ABC Client: NIXON CAMPAIGN 23-5 NBC 4:20 Product: Length: B&W Color RTO NA 374 No. of words: Promise Approval: VIDEO AUDIO 1. OPEN ON MONTAGE OF SCENES ANNCR (vo) Moscow. May, 1972. SHOWING MOSCOW AND THE PRESIDENT'S MOTORCADE AS Richard Nixon becomes the first American IT GOES THROUGH THE CITY AND ARRIVES AT THE KREMLIN. President ever to visit the Russian The capitol. historic 5-day trip proves tobe It is an historic trip. a trip that a working VISIT where Firm agreements will prove to have a lasting and are Formed between the two great meaningful affect on the future of our powers. two countries. From the beginning, President Nixon is determined that this will be a visit of substance. It is not to be a ceremonial visit, nor simply a goodwill stop. It 18 to be a working trip, where firm, hard agreements are hammered out in long and ardeous sessions. Late in the week, the Pussian government provides President Nixon with a unique opportunity, a chance to report on the progress made directly to the Rugsian people on live television. Title: RUSSIAN - Revised #2 Date: October 4, 1972 Length: 4:20 Page: 2 VIDEO AUDIO 2. DISSOLVE TO RICHARD NIXON PRESIDENT NIXON, ON CAMERA. We have agreed on joint ventures in space. We have agreed on ways of working together to protect the environment, to advance health, to cooperate in science and technology. We have agreed on means of preventing incidents at sea; we have established a commission to expand trade between our two nations. Most 3. DISSOLVE TO PRESIDENT AND important, we have taken an historic RUSSIANS SIGNING THE S.A.L.T. AGREEMENT. first step in the limitation of nuclear strategic arms. ANNCR: (VO) For thirty months, President Nixon has been working toward this goal. It is new he says the beginning of the end of the tensions that have existed between the United States and the Soviet Union since 1945. 4. DISSOLVE TO PRESIDENT, KISSINGER But the agreements don't come easily. AND ROGERS WALKING DOWN HALL. President Nixon, Secretary Rogers and Dr. Kissinger spend long hours hammering out terms that are equal for both countries and beneficial for all countries. Title: RUSSIA - Rovise #2 Date: October 4, 1972 Length: 4:20 Page: 3 VIDEO AUDIO In his TV address, the President speaks to that point. to the Russians OF the American people 5. DISSOLVE TO PRESIDENT ON CAMERA. PRESIDENT: (OC) This arms control agreement is not for the purpose of giving either side an advantage over the other. Both of our new nations are strong. Each respects the strength of the other. Each will maintain the strength necessary to defen its independence. But in an unchecked arms race between two great nations there would be no winners, only losers. By setting this limitation together the people of our nations, and of all nations, can be winners. 6. DISSOLVE TO DEPARTURE CEREMONIES. ANNOR: (vo) On May 30th, the Moscow visit comes to an end. At the airport, President Podgorny and Premier Kosgyin bid goodbye to President and Mrs. Nixon. 7. DISSOLVE TO PRESTDENT'S PLANH After brief visits to Tehran and Warsew, LANDING IN HASHINGTON. on June 1, the Spirit of '76 arrives in Washington at 9 PM. Title: RUSSIAN - Revise 12 Date: October 4, 1972 Length: 4:20 Page: 4 VIDEO AUDIO 8. DISSOLVE TO PRESIDENT'S HELICOPTER In an unprecedented move, President LANDING ON CAPITOL HILL. Nixon has summoned a special joint new session of Congress and he proceeds there by helicopter. 9. DISSOLVE TO PRESIDENT ENTERING The greeting ia overwhelming a CONGRESS. grateful nation welcomes its leader home from a journey for peace. 10. CUT TO MRS. NIXON AS SHE ACCEPTS APPLAUSE. 11. CUT BACK TO PRESIDENT AS ПВ PREPARES In the President's address to Congress, TO SPEAK. he speaks again of the arms agreement. PRESIDENT: (OC) My colleagues in the Congress, I have studied the strategic balance in great detail with my senior advisors for more than three years. And. I can assure you, the members of the Congress and the American people tonight, that the present and planned strategic forces of the United States are without question sufficient for the maintainance of our security and the protection of our vital interests. Title: RUSSIAN - Reviso #2 Date: October 4, 1972 Length: 4:20 Page: 5 VIDEO AUDIO No power on earth is stronger than the United States of America today. And none will be stronger than the United new States of America in the future. This is the only national defense posture which can ever be acceptable to the United States and this ia the posture I ask the Senate and the Congross to protect by approving the arms-limitation agreements to which I have referred. ANNCR: (VO) President Nixon has taken another step towarards our ultimate priority world peace Now the work must continue 12. DISSOLVE TO FINAL SUPER AND This is why we need President Nixon, THE MANDATORY LINE. now more than ever. ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Welcome McGovern Ads Attached is the New York News Welcome McGovern ad. The amnesty statement and quote is included, However, the $1,000 per person and busing quote were excluded by Burdell Bixby, the New York campaign director, as a condition to running the ad. The schedule for the rest of the week is: Chicago Sun Times 10/10 Toledo Blade 10/11 Boston Globe 10/12 Portland Oregonian 10/13 Seattle Post-Intelligence 10/13 San Francisco Chronicle 10/13 San Diego Union 10/14 Los Angeles Times 10/15 All will include amnesty but with the first issue changing as determined by Teeter and Magruder. There is substantial resistance in the states to this program. MacGregor indicated yesterday that by the end of this week he would convince you and Colson that the Welcome McGovern advertising program was comnter-productive. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Get-Out-the-Vote Telegram Bob Reisner in Clark MacGregor's office called to say that the Price re-drafted Get-Out-the-Vote telegram has been approved by you and MacGregor. The text as submitted by Price is attached. If you and MacGregor made any shanges, they have not been communicated to those of us who can get the computers printing the telegrams. Attached text has been approved. Text revised. Other. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 10, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Gallup Surveys A check again this morning with John Davies at Gallup disclosed some new information. The Gallup Release for Thursday or Friday, October 12 or 13 will be "Which Candidate can best handle the following problems better? - Vietnam, crime, holding down prices". Although Davies wouldn't give me the figures, he said, "I know that Nixon won on all scores". He confirmed that the trial heat release for Sunday, October 15 would be 60-35-5, but hedged on "final weight- ing" and the exact polling dates. The 3,000 sample may have included both the October 1-6 key precinct survey as well as the usual weekend survey, October 7-8. Davies has spoken directly with Dr. George Gallup, Sr., about giving me advance information. Davies indicated he had approval but again emphasized the problem of confidentiality, noting the fact that I obtained advance information on last Sunday's Gallup "Corruption" release. Davies will be in Washington Friday discussing government polling at GSA. A hold on all Gallup polling in govern- ment has been established by Bill Gifford in personal discussion with Cabinet officers and Agency heads. I have invited Davies to my office Friday and plan on explaining to him in no uncertain terms the value of our continued communication. GS/jb PHONE CONVERSATION WITH JOHN DAVIES - Monday, October 9, 1972 S - John, how are you? D - How are you? S - Good. D - Gordon, you know what I forgot to do? S - What? D - I forgot to memorize those damn figures. S - Uh, oh. D - Wait a minute. Hold it. I caught him at about 5:30. Oh God. 60-35-5. S - And that's from over the weekend? D - Right. Hang on just for one second. S - Yeah. That was just the two days over the weekend? D - Right. S - So you're not going to release that D - 'til Sunday. S - Until Sunday. D - Right. S - You're aware of what Gallup says tomorrow - I mean Harris tomorrow? D - Yeah. - He was on ABC News tonight. S - Oh good. An advance - 60-33. D - Yeah. S - Good. D - Very comparable. Should be encouraging for he and we. S - Right. D - For thee and we. - 2 - S - And you're going to release it Sunday, huh? D - Right. S - And that's the 7th and 8th for interviewing dates, huh? D - Gordon, that's a ticklish matter. I don't really know. S - All right. D - I would say that it took a little bit longer this one. Because it's a sample of about 3,000. S - Oh? D - A couple of samples which is going to enable us to report individual regions. I think it's going to be interesting. But we don't have that yet and I doubt really that we'll have that until after Sunday. WE'll probably start poking into that on Monday or so next week. S - All right. Any idea what the release is going to be for Thursday? D - Uh - we were going to sent it out today. It's based on a series of questions "Which of the candidates can handle the following problems better?" - Vietnam, crime, keeping prices down and so on. And although I can't relate the figures to you because I don't remember them, I know that Nixon won on all scores. S - Good, good. That's good news. Anything else of interest? D - Not that I can think of. No. If I had known you were going to call tonight, I would have brought me book of sheets home. That's why I don't want to relate anything on those figures because I really don't know - I have an idea what they are - but I don't want to put you on the wrong ... - 3 - S - Well is that figure of 60-35 pretty close? D - 60-35 is on the button. S - OK. D - Now it's subject to a final weighting. If anything, it will change it a point. I don't know where it would change, but it could be 61-35-6 or whatever - I don't know. I think I've won a small battle in the office for you guys. S - Good. D - I damn near got fired doing it. I just sat down. I chatted with Dr. Gallup the other day and Alec who is the real protagonist. Never talk to Alec. S - OK. D - You call the office and Alec answere the phone tell him that you're Mortimer Snerd from Albuquerque and hang up. S - Right. D - Because he doesn't want to talk to anybody. S - Yeah except the Washington Post. D - Well, that was sort of a follow up on a study. That I don't think he objects to much. But he's very much opposed to giving information out to the two parties. But I just pointed out to Dr. Gallup that - you know, look . if we mail a release out on Wednesday, that damn thing is in the hands of 161 newspapers and probably 500 individuals by Friday. Excuse me, Gordon. Now I said that if they wanted to find those figures out there are anyone of 100 people they could get it from. There's no problem. And I pointed out the fact that you guys had been very fair about it. And I won Dr. Gallup over to my - 4 - side and that's all I really all I had to do. S - Well, that's great. Fantastic. D - But he said to me, please tell them to keep up the good work. S - Yeah. Well, we'll protect the confidence. D - Well, what we're afraid of is that some kind of an expose, you know, by that jerk Anderson or something like that. Then we're in hot water. And you know, it doesn't look too good for you either. S - Oh no, oh no. We're both realizing the risk. D - We're not trying to give you information that is confidential or to help you out in anyway - - although I trembled the other day when I picked up the New York Times and saw the President's statement on the corruption charge. You know - the day before I had given you those figures. I would ... S - Had I read that statement I too would have trembled. But it was in response to a question. D - Right. S - You know. The reporter just asked him that. D - I thought the roof was going to come caving in on you. in the ... next day. S - No, they just asked. D - Everything seems fine as long as there is no mess up and I'm sure there won't be. S - Good. Ok. No we'll protect the confident. Keep me posted. D - I'll be in Washington on Friday the 13th. S - Hey, why don't you stop in? - 5 - D - Well, if I get a chance Gordon. I'll be over at the General Services Administration and also at the American Psychiatric Association at the Mayflower. I'd like to but I just don't know what my schedule is going to be. These meetings tend to go on and on indefinitely. S - Well, if you find the time, please stop in. There are quite a few things to go over. D - Very fine. S - Good. D - Keep up the interest in some questions and so on. Particularly post-Election questions because those kind of ideas help us. S - OK. We'll do that. We'll work on something. D - Ok, sir. S - Very good, John. D - If you want to give me a call tomorrow I can verify those - 9 o'clock or SO. S - OK, I'll do that. D - OK. S - Thanks, John, Bye. D - Bye, bye. ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: National Telephone Survey #2 Polling Dates: Oct 6-8, '72 Respondents: Total - 1,024 Registered - 866 This package includes all the requested materials from the second National Telephone Survey: 1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum; 2) Tab B is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll; 3) Tab C is the detailed demographics including the crossbreaks tabbed on the second page of each question; 4) Tab D is the complete questionnaire, 5) Tab E is the demographic comparison of Presidential popularity, handling of Vietnam, and the trial heats. GS/jb October 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Illinois and Iowa Polls Bob Teeter called with the Rolling Wave Illinois results: RN McC Un 0-Oct 6-9 with leaners: 62 -27 -11 Without leaneds: 58 23 19 W3-Sep 5-6 56 26 18 Percy Pucinski Un 0-Oct 6-9 60 27 13 Ogilvie Walker Un 49 42 9 Teeter also obtained an Idaho poll: Central Surveys RN McG Un Sep 25-30 66 16 18 McClure Davis Un 47 30 23 These figHTS will be added to your poll book. ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 7, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Gallup and Harris Surveys Gallup Conflicting reports have been received from Bob Teeter and John Davies. As you know, Davies reports that Gallup is interviewing now (Oct 1-6) with the results to be reported October 15. Davies says Gallup will run trial heats weekly until November 7. Bob Teeter talked with Paul Perry at Gallup. Perry claims that Gallup will interview Oct 6-8 and then do two more trial heat surveys at 10-day intervals. GAllup may add a last minute survey if the margin begins to narrow. Perry would not tell Teeter about any scheduled release dates. Perry told Teeter that on Monday, October 9, Gallup would release a college study. I have been trying to reach John Davies to confirm this. Harris Colson was to receive the trial heats from Harris' mid-week survey this morning. If Colson has Harris' schedule for trial heats for the rest of the campaign, he has not told Dick Howard. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 7, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Jewish Advertisements You disapproved the Crisis in the Middle East newpaper ad until Kissinger personally and specifically approved it. Kissinger did that last night and made two changes, which are noted on the layout. The Jewish brochures with references to the Soviet Jewry problem have been reviewed and modified by Garment and Kissinger. Xerox copies of the three brochures are attached. Only paragraph 3 of the third brochure has been changed. A paper clip marks the change. Your appromal for these ads is now requested. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Maryland Rolling Wave Bob Teeter called with the Rolling Wave Maryland data: Polling Dates Nixon McGovern Und. W3-Sep 5-16 58 30 12 0 -Oct 4-5 53 (5) 29 (3) 18 These have been added to your Trial Heat Summary. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Polling Schedule CRP Surveys The Teeter tentative schedule for Rolling Wave Telephone Surveys is: State Polling Dates Data Delivery Ill. 10/5-6 10/9 Md. 10/4-5 10/6 Ohio 10/7-10 10/12 N.J. 10/7-10 10/12 Minn. 10/7-10 10/12 N.Y. 10/9-10 10/12 Cal. 10/9-10 10/12 The next series of surveys after October 12 has not been scheduled. ORC Private Surveys The ORC National Surveys conducted for you are scheduled every weekend between now and November 7, with the results to be delivered each Monday in the afternoon. - 2 - Survey Polling Dates Delivery Dates National Survey #2 10/6-8 10/9 National Survey #3 10/13-15 10/16 National Survey #4 10/20-22 10/23 National Survey #5 10/27-29 10/30 National Survey #6 11/3-5 11/6 Gallup Surveys Conflicting reports have been received from Bob Teeter and John Davies. As you know, Davies reports that Gallup is interviewing now (Oct 1-6) with the results to be reported October 15. Davies says Gallup will run trial heats weekly until November 7. Bob Teeter talked with Paul Perry at Gallup. Perry claims that Gallup will interview Oct 6-8 and then do two more trial heat surveys at 10-day intervals. Gallup may add a last minute survey if the margin begins to narrow. Perry would not tell Teeter about any scheduled release dates. Perry told Teeter that on Monday, October 9, Gallup would release a college study. I have been arying to reach John Davies to confirm this. Harris Colson was to receive the trial heats from Harris' mid-week survey this morning. If Colson has Harris' schedule for trial heats for the rest of the campaign, he has not told Dick Howard. GS/jb THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: GORDON STRACHAN FROM: L. HIGBY 2 Bob wants a complete schedule of when we're going to be going into the field between now and the election with any polls and when we should be receiving reports on those. Do them as a brief summary, just listing it out on one page and get it in today, if possible. ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Kentucky and Texas Surveys Bob Teeter called with some polling data based on non-CRP Decision Making Information surveys. Kentucky Polling Dates Nixon McGovern Und. DMI-Sep 28- 61 24 15 Oct 2 Nunn Huddleston Und. DMI-Sep 28- 40 40 20 Oct 2 Texas Polling Dates Nixon McGovern Und. DMI-Sep 29- 63 22 7 Oct 3 Tower Sanders Und. DMI-Sep 29- 53 30 17 Oct 3 DMI says the Texas data on Tower is not as good as it looks because telephone surveys in Texas exclude rural Democrats who will vote for Sanders. - 2 - The Texas Presidential data has been added to your Trial Heat Summary. The Kentucky data has not because of your decision to keep Presidential trial heats only from the CRP surveyed states. The Senate data for Texas and Kentucky has been added to the Senate Races chart. GS/jb October 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Campaign Adversising Matters Since you reviewed the Campaign Advertising TV spots at Camp David on August 16, there have been some changes as final versions have been prepared (i.e., Nixon the Man). Also, new spots have been prepared (i.e., Mamie). Today at 10:30 a.m. the President is meeting with foreign dignitaries. You could review the new material in less than one hour. Peter Dailey is available this morning should you want to have him present. He submitted the Russia Spot changes but would appreciate personal guidance from you if you have the time. Chapin has asked that he sit in the meeting because he has been working on the Mamie spot, has problems with the Nixon the Man film, and wants guidance on the Election Eve Show. H to view Campaign Advertising at 10:30 a.m. Dailey Attend Dailey Not Attend Chapin Attend Chapin Not Attend Reschedule Campaign Advertising GS:car ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: McGovern Vietnam Speech Peter Dailey called to say that CBS has confirmed to McGovern 7:30-8:00 p.m. on October 10 for his Vietnam Speech. CBS has committed to clear 60-70% of their stations, which is not particularly good according to Dailey. NBC and ABC have informed McGovern that they will not clear the time for his Vietnam Speech. GS/jb October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: McGovern Welcome Ad The November Group prepared the attached McGoverh Welcome Ad which incorporated the changes in layput you suggested. The tenative schedule and cost is also attached. Colson urges inclusion of a reference to McGovern's opposition to the F-15 and his position on amnesty. The references from Buchanan's office are: "That the F-15 Fighter should be scrapped?" "Development of the F-15 should be ended." George McGovern - Toward a More Secure America: National Defense Posture Jan., 1972 -That draft dodgers should be given unconditional amnesty? "Amnesty to be granted to those who, on the basis of conscience, have refused to participate in the Vietnam tragedy. Applicable to all men now serving jail sentences for refusing induction as well as the thousands of young men who have crossed the borders of the U.S. to avoid fighting in what we know to be an immoral war. This principle, as it was applied by President Lincoln following the Civil War, should stand just as true today." George McGovern - Campaign Brochure "McGovern on Issues" -2- RECOMMENDATION: That the F-15 reference be included and the amnesty reference be excluded. AGREE DISAGREE COMMENT GS:CAR October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: TV and Radio Buys TV Jeb Magruder called to say we are out of the ABC 9-9:30 p.m. Documentary (The Record) showing opposite the Bob Hope Special. Magruder is trying to buy a half-hour for the Documentary (The Record) for next week. Radio Magruder has talked with the radio networks to try to buy 15 minutes on Saturday, October 7. The networks ask that we accept 12:15 - 12:30 instead of the 12 noon time requested because they have net- work news at 12 noon. Accept 12:15 - 12:30 Insist on 12 noon Other The networksalso want to know whether the Radio Talk will be live. Magruder has not committed, though he has implied it is live. GS:car October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: TV and Radio Buys TV Jeb Magruder called to say we are out of the ABC 9-9:30 p.m. Documentary (The Record) showing opposite the Bob Hope Special. Magruder is trying to buy a half-hour for the Documen- tary (The Record) for next week. Radio Magruder has talked with the radio networks to try to buy 15 minutes on Saturday, October 7. CBS and NBC have agreed to sell 12:06 p.m. slot. NBC has nothing available around 12:00 noon. Mutual will sell 12:00 noon slot and Magruder is now negotiating with them to move the time-slot to 12:06 p.m. The networks indicate they would prefer tape. GS:jb:GS:LH:kb THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT: TV and Radio Buys TV Jeb Magruder called to say we are out of the ABC 9-9:30 p.m. Documentary (The Record) showing opposite the Bob Hope Special. Magruder is trying to buy a half-hour for the Documentary (The Record) for next week. Radio Magruder has talked with the radio networks to try to buy 15 minutes on Saturday, October 7. The ne tworks ask that we accept 12.15 - 12:30 instead of the 12 noon time requested because they have net- work news at 12 noon. Accept 12:15 - 12:30 Insist on 12 noon Other The networks also want to know whe ther the Radio Talk will be live. Magruder has not committed, though he has implied it is live. CBS 12:06. NB C 12:06 ABC nothiatnoor Mutual 12:00. ty toget 12:06 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Polling Matters Wisconsin and Missouri Bob Teeter submitted the Wisconsin and Missouri Rolling Wave results (attached). Copies are being put in your Wave III Summary Book, Iowa Teeter also submitted Iowa polling data, conducted by the Des Moines Register and Tribune. Teeter says this is a very reliable poll. The digures are being added to the Ballot Summary chart so that you can compare them with the ORC Iowa poll. Senate and Gubernatorial Results The Senate Races chart in the Wave III Summary Book contains all available Senate material, including those where Teeter has shared results. The far right-hand column indicates those states where there are joint agreements. There are five Gubernatorial races where we have polled. The Missouri results for the Gubernatorial race appear on the bottom of the first page of the Wave III and Rolling Wave materials. The Texas and Illinois results from Wave III also appear at the bottom of the first page. In Indiana and Washington only the June Wave II data on the Gubernatorial races is available. GS/jb Wisconsin Sept. 30 - Oct. 2, 1972 313 Interviews 1968: +4 Trial Heats V-4 McGovern Without Leaners 49 32 19 With Leaners 53 36 11 Rep. T-S Dem. Nixon (With Leaners) 90 60 28 McGovern (With Leaners) 7 25 60 Undecided 3 15 12 Why Voting For Nixon Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Doing Good Job 36 34 43 32 Better Man/More Experience 35 31 35 41 Agree with his Policies 20 24 14 23 Republican 9 17 5 o Trying to End War 2 3 0 5 McGovern Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Agree with his Policies 27 100 21 26 Better Man/More Experience 23 0 21 24 Democrat 22 0 12 26 Need Change 15 0 13 14 For People 12 0 17 12 What Would Change Mind Nixon Voters Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Nothing 82 90 75 82 New Candidate 6 3 9 4 Nixon Changes 5 5 5 5 War Escalated 2 2 1 4 Other (Mixed) 5 0 10 5 McGovern Voters Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Nothing 81 100 75 84 New Candidate 6 0 8 4 War End 4 0 9 2 McGovern Changes 1 0 4 0 Other (Mixed) 5 0 4 6 Job Approval Approve Disapprove No Opinion Job 54 31 15 Victnam 50 37 13 Economy 40 45 15 National Issues (Open End) Vietnam 57 (+ 1) 1 Taxes 16 (-16) Economy 15 (+ 0) Inflation 12 (-12) Unemployment 11 (- 9) Ability to Handle Job Nixon McGovern lot. Rep. T-S Dem. Tot. kep. T-S Den. Very Able 38 62 41 25 Very Able 16 3 9 28 Fairly Able 42 35 40 45 Fairly Able 33 23 28 42 Not Very Able 13 3 12 20 Not Very Able 18 25 27 10 Not at all Able 4 0 3 7 Not at all Able 22 43 23 11 Don't Know 3 0 4 3 Don't Know 11 5 13 9 Commitment Nixon McGovern D. finitely Vote For 77 69 Probably Vote but still thinking 7 15 Undecided but Lean loward 16 14 Don't Know 0 2 Wisconsin Sept. 30 - Oct. 2, 1972 313 Interviews A-1 V-4 BALLOTS (With Leaners) Nixon McGovern Undecided Margin Number Total - 100% 53% 36% 11% +17% 313 Age 18-24 years 39 57 4 -18 47 25-34 years 53 40 7 +13 58 35-44 years 65 32 3 +33 51 45-54 years 43 36 21 + 7 64 55-64 years 58 25 17 +33 45 65 years + 63 23 14 +40 44 Education Less than high school 44 36 20 + 8 57 High school graduate 57 31 12 +26 124 College 53 41 6 +12 130 Religion Catholic 47 41 12 + 6 125 Protestant 65 28 7 +37 146 Jewish 28 28 44 X 3 Union Yes 43 49 8 6 117 No 59 28 13 +31 194 Income Under $5,000 38 41 21 - 3 44 $5,000-$9,999 52 39 9 +13 90 $10,000-$14,999 62 34 4 +28 89 $15,000 + 59 33 8 +26 52 Sex Male 52 34 14 +18 160 Female 55 36 9 +19 153 Turnout Definitely vote 55 35 10 +20 280 Probably vote 41 47 12 6 19 May or may not vote 0 0 100 X 3 Probably not vote 0 52 48 X 5 Definitely not vote 66 34 0 X 5 Geographic (Political) Milwaukee City 51 35 14 +16 45 Milwaukee Suburbs 60 30 10 +30 50 Recine/Kenosha/Rock/ Walworth 55 39 6 +16 40 Dane 23 59 18 -36 22 Rest of State 55 34 11 +21 156 Geographic (ADI) Chicago 61 39 0 X 6 Green Bay 48 37 15 +11 59 La Crosse/Eau Claire 65 22 13 +43 24 Madison 32 54 14 -22 28 Milwaukee 57 33 10 +24 175 Minucapolis/St. Paul 71 29 0 X 7 Weusau/Rhinelunder 25 75 0 X 7 Wisconsin Sept. 30 - Oct. 2, 1972 313 Interviews B-1 V-4 NIXON JOB APPROVAL Approve Disapprove No Opinion Total - 100% 54% 31% 15% Age 18-24 years 34 43 23 25-34 years 57 33 10 35-44 years 53 26 21 45-54 years 44 41 15 55-64 years 62 22 16 65 years + 69 25 6 Education Less than high school 46 41 13 High school graduate 59 27 14 College 52 32 16 Religion Catholic 48 37 15 Protestant 64 22 14 Jewish 56 44 0 Union Yes 47 42 11 No 57 26 17 Income Under $5,000 40 33 27 $5,000-$9,999 49 36 15 $10,000-$14,999 57 34 9 $15,000 + 62 24 14 Sex Male 53 35 12 Female 55 28 17 Turnout Definitely vote 56 30 14 Probably vote 38 47 15 May or may not vote 35 65 0 Probably not vote 0 58 42 Definitely not vote 62 17 21 Geographic (Political) Milwaukee City 48 28 24 Milwaukee Suburbs 51 32 17 Racine/Kenosha/Rock/ Walworth 68 29 3 Dane 26 36 38 Rest of State 56 33 11 Geographic (ADI) Chicago 100 0 0 Green Bay 55 35 10 La Crosse/Eau Claire 62 26 12 Madison 35 33 32 Milwaukee 55 29 16 Minneapolis/St. Paul 55 29 15 Wausau/Rhinelander 36 64 0 Wisconsin Sept. 30 - Oct. 2, 1972 313 Interviews C-1 V-4 ISSUES Do you think Richard Nixon or George McGovern's policies would get Prisoners of War released sooner? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Mixon 35 63 36 22 McGovern 24 '6 18 36 Don't Know 41 31 46 42 Do you think the North Vietnamese are using prisoner release issue to influence election? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 59 65 62 53 No 20 20 19 20 Don't Know 21 15 19 27 Do you know about Russian Grain Deal? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 66 66 73 61 No 31 31 24 37 Lon't Know 3 3 3 2 (313) (65) (114) (91) If yes, do you approve? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Approve 57 58 63 49 Disapprove 26 14 19 40 Don't Know 17 28 18 11 (208) (43) (84) (55) 11 yes, have you heard about scandal? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 73 67 77 75 No 22 26 19 20 Don't Know 5 7 4 5 (208) (43) (84) (55) If yes, do you believe charge that exporters made excess profit from inside information? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 57 31 46 80 No 14 28 19 3 Don't Know 29 41 35 17 (152) (29) (65) (41) Missouri September 28-30, 1972 1968: +2 329 Interviews Trial Heats McGovern V-4 Without Leaners 60 23 17 With Leaners 62 28 10 Rep. T-S Dem. Nixon (With Leaners) 89 74 43 McGovern (With Leaners) 6 13 45 Undecided 5 13 12 Why Voting For Nixon Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Better Man/More Experience 43 54 42 40 Doing Good Job 25 23 26 26 Agree with his Policies 25 12 27 24 Republican 10 14 6 10 Trying to End War 4 7 3 2 McGovern Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Agree with his Policies 31 100 20 30 Democrat 30 0 20 33 Better Man/More Experience 14 0 10 15 For People 10 0 10 11 Need Change 9 0 10 9 What Would Change Mind Nixon Voters Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Nothing 80 87 84 72 New Candidate 7 5 5 10 Nixon Changes 3 2 2 4 War Escalated 1 0 2 2 Other (Mixed) 7 2 8 10 McGovern Voters Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Nothing 75 0 90 74 War End 6 100 0 7 McGovern Changes 4 0 0 4 New Candidate 1 0 10 0 Other (Mixed) 17 100 0 17 Job Approval Approve Disapprove No Opinion Job 62 25 13 Vietnam 59 28 13 Economy 46 39 15 National Issues (Open End) Vietnam 55 (+ 3) Economy 16 (+ 8) Inflation 13 (- 9) Unemployment 12 (- 4). Crime 9 (-12) Ability to Handle Job - Nixon McGovern Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Very Able 47 72 59 32 Very Able 8 2 6 12 Fairly Able 37 21 27 47 Fairly Able 24 17 19 28 Not Very Able 7 2 10 8 Not Very Able 23 26 26 20 Not at all Able 7 2 4 11 Not at all Able 29 35 35 23 Don't Know 2 3 0 2 Don't Know 16 20 14 17 Commitment Nixon McGovern Definitely Vote For 86 65 Probably Vote but still thinking 6 21 Undecided but Lean Toward 7 14 Don't Know 1 0 State Ballot Governor Edward L. Dowd 47 (+ 8) CHRISTOPHER "KIT" BOND 41 (+ 2) Undecided 12 (-10) TC Missouri September 2a-30, 1972 329 Interviews A-1 BALLOTS (With Leaners) Nixon McGovern Undecided Margin Number Total - 100% 62% 28% 10% +34% 329 Age 18-24 years 62 35 3 +27 34 25-34 years 67 24 9 +43 67 35-44 years 59 30 11 +29 72 45-54 years 63 28 9 +35 66 55-64 years 53 21 26 +32 40 65 years + 66 28 6 +38 47 Education Less than high school 55 24 '21 +31 83 High school graduate 64 26 10 +38 115 College 65 31 4 +34 128 Religion Catholic 53 32 15 +21 82 Protestant 69 22 9 +47 208 Jewish 32 68 0 X 6 Union Yes 59 30 11 +29 123 No 64 25 11 +39 205 Income Under $5,000 60 23 17 +37 41 $5,000-$9,999 63 30 7 +33 78 $10,000-$14,999 61 29 10 +32 91 $15,000 + 67 23 10 +44 74 Sex Male 63 30 7 +33 158 Female 61 25 14 +36 171 Turnout Definitely vote 65 28 7 +37 284 Probably vote 52 26 22 +26 31 May or may not vote 27 22 51 X 11 Probably not vote 54 0 46 X 3 Definitely not vote 0 0 0 X 0 Geographic (Political) St. Louis City 52 29 19 +23 38 St. Louis Suburbs 65 24 11 +41 103 Jackson County 62 32 6 +30 64 Outstate 63 27 10 +36 124 Geographic (ADI) Joplin/Pittsburg 83 17 0 X 9 Kansas City 58 35 7 +23 98 Ottumwa/Kirksville 100 0 0 X 5 Springfield 70 23 7 +47 27 St. Joseph 51 34 15 X 8 St. Louis 61 25 14 +36 178 Missouri September 28-30, 1972 329 Interviews B-1 V-4 NIXON JOB APPROVAL Approve Disapprove No Opinion Total - 100% 62% 25% 13% Age 18-24 years 56 39 5 25-34 years 64 22 14 35-44 years 61 25 14 45-54 years 69 23 8 55-64 years 61 23 16 65 years + 54 25 21 Education Less than high school 60 19 21 High school graduate 66 23 11 College 59 31 10 Religion Catholic 57 28 15 Protestant 68 20 12 Jewish 32 68 0 Union Yes 55 29 16 No 66 22 12 Income Under $5,000 66 24 10 $5,000-$9,999 59 30 11 $10,000-$14,999 59 23 18 $15,000 + 72 19 9 Sex Male 61 29 10 Female 63 21 16 Turnout Definitely vote 64 24 12 Probably vote 51 22 27 May or may not vote 53 29 18 Probably not vote 23 77 0 Definitely not vote 0 0 0 Geographic (Political) St. Louis City 59 33 8 St. Louis Suburbs 61 22 17 Jackson County 59 28 13 Outstate 65 23 12 Geographic (ADI) Joplin/Pittsburg 75 25 0 Kansas City 56 26 18 Ottunwa/Kirksville 74 0 26 Springfield 79 18 3 St. Joseph 51 39 10 St. Louis 62 25 13 Missouri September 28-30, 1972 329 Interviews TG C-1 ISSUES Do you think Richard Nixon or George McGovern's policies would get Prisoners of War released sooner? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Nixon 44 72 49 30 McGovern 20 '5 12 30 Don't Know 36 23 39 40 Do you think the North Vietnamese are using prisoner release issue to influence election? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 67 61 64 69 No 14 8 16 16 Don't Know 19 31 20 15 Do you know about Russian Grain Deal? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 75 75 72 79 No 24 25 27 20 Don't Know 1 0 1 1 (329) (65) (88) (120) If yes, do you approve? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Approve 57 69 47 55 Disapprove 25 12 32 28 Don't Know 18 19 21 17 (243) (49) (63) (95) If yes, have you heard about scandal? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 76 74 76 78 No 17 18 13 16 Don't Know 7 8 11 6 (243) (49) (63) (95) If yes, do you believe charge that exporters made excess profit from inside information? Tot. Rep. T-S Dem. Yes 50 28 56 53 No 14 36 11 9 Don't : Know 36 36 33 38 (183) (36) (48) (74) COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT MEMORANDUM October 5, 1972 DETERMINED TO BEAN E. 0. 12065. Subtion 6-102 By emprise FARS, Date 1-15-80 n CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR: THE HONORABLE CLARK MAC GREGOR FROM: ROBERT M. TEETER SUBJECT: Phone Polls We solved the daytime interviewing problem with ORC as they will not start interviewing until 4:00p.m. on any future telephone polls. Our final delivery schedule from them for the five states they are currently doing is: Maryland 10/6 Illinois 10/9 Ohio 10/10 New Jersey 10/10 Minnesota 10/11 CONFIDENTIAL COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT :- By Emprise 1-15-80 MEMORANDUM October 4, 1972 CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR: THE HONORABLE CLARK MAC GREGOR FROM: ROBERT M. TEETER Runt SUBJECT: Iowa Poll In case you have not seen it, the Des Moines Register and Tribune printed their latest Iowa Poll over the weekend. The Iowa Poll has been very reliable in the past and enjoys an excellent reputation in the survey research business. The latest data was collected from September 22-24. September August Nixon 64 54 McGovern 29 32 Other 1 0 Undecided 6 14 By type of area: Metro Cities/Towns Rural/Farms Nixon 64 67 56 McGovern 27 29 32 Undecided 9 4 12 The Poll also found that the Watergate would make no difference in deciding how to vote to 81% of the Iowa electorate but that the grain deal would make no difference to 66%. Twenty-five percent (25%) of the farmers interviewed said that the grain deal would make them less likely to vote Republican this Fall. The data on the gubernatorial and senatorial races was: Governor Senator Ray 63 Miller 58 Franzenburg 31 Clark 35 Undecided 6 Undecided 7 I also just received data from a Montana Poll that was completed last week. It showed the President leading McGovern 54-24 with 22% undecided. Der Resiter 10/1/72 Nixon Widens Lead 13 Points, 64-29 Over McGovern in Iowa RESIDENT Nixon has increased his charges that some Republican Party lead over Sennior George Me- members were involved in the 'bugging' Govern from 23 points in mid-August to of the Democratic Party headquarters 35 points just SIX weeks before the circ- in the Watergate building?" tion, according to an Iowa Poll taken Total Ren. Dem. Ind. Sept 22-24 Yes, read or beard 8006 92% 85% If the election were today. 64 per cent No, baven't read of lowans Lkely to vote would vote for or beard 11 8 11 15 the Nixon-Angew ticker, 20 per cent for "As of today, will any of the cuents McGevern-Shriver, with 7 per cent made- connected with the "Watergate After cided or other. A nud-August Iowa Poll make you more Diaby or less likely to reported 54 per cent for Nixon. 32 per vote for the Niron-Agueto president at cent McGovern and 14 per cent unde- NIXON McGOVERN ticket. or won't they make any difference cided. in how you vote?" Most groups show increased support dence are shown in the following: Total Rep. Dem. Ind. for Nixon - except farmers, who sup- City- More likely to vote port Nixon by 56 to 32 per cent, the Metro* Town Farm Nixen-Agnew 306 5% 1% % same as in August. Nixon-Agnew 61% 5790 55% Less likely 12 3 29 9 Voters under 30 years of age have McGovern-Shriver 27 20 32 No difference SL 30 67 79 switched from McGovern to Nixon. The Other 2 Undecided 4 2 3 9 President leads by 63 to 35 per cent Undecided 7 4 12 "Citits over 59.000. "Tie Nizon Administration has on- now. compared to a McGovern lead of 47 to 37 per cont in August. Democrats support McGovern 71 to 21 nounced the sale of U.S. grain to Rassia Another quartion measuring possible per cent, with 8 per cent undecided. In and China. Will any of the events con- changes IFI your " between new and elec- Att: Job, they invoiced McGovern 63 to 17, nected with these grain sales meile you tion day indicates that 10 per cent of with is per cem undectood more likely or Texs likely to Dole or the Republicans laver Nixon 0; to 4 per Nirch-Agreus ticket or won't they make cent it. the current goll. 23 compared with any difference in how you co:c?" THE TOWA POLL 85 to 6 DE cent 11 August. Ainong inde- Total Rep. Dein. Ind. More likely to vote pendents, 57 per C at support Nixon and Niven-Agnew 96 12% 27 per cent laver McGovern. 156 % Nixon voters might vote for a different Less likely 18 G 32 On a scale 01 1 to 10. likely voters 2, candidate: in August, 25 per cent of No difference GG 76 53 61 rated the descle of interest they have in Nixon voters expressed this view. In the Undecided 7 6 their presidential candidate winning the 10 7 latest survey, 20 per cent of McGovern election, 65 shown in the following: Significantly, one-fourth of lown farm voters say they might change mere Me- voters say that the grain sale will ID ke minds: in AUGUST. 31 per cen' did. Nixon Govern them lets likely to vote for the Republi- A total of 001 lownns 10 and over were Voters Voters can ticket: only 0 ner cent of farmers asked their pro sidential preference. with Weak Interest (1-1) 6% 5% say they are more likely to vote 100 the results reported from 408 most likely to Moderate Interest (5-7) 15 33 Nixon-Agnew ticket. vote, based on registration and intention Stroug Interest (8-10) 79 58 "In recent months, private citizen to vote: Ramsey Clark traveled to 11c :ot and Three issues have been prominent re- "if the presidential cleation vicro In- Plane Schancer traveled to Parts in 'S. cently in the presidential race-the day. which custaidute would you rote CHGS the Victram was thin re: 'a- Watergate article, the arain sule 10 Rus. for?" (Respondent, minked their pre- trues of North Victrom. As 0' :-. -V. will sin. and Rem. on Cherk's and Plerre Sal- forence 04 oner unital and actualed any of the EDON'S created total C.:: fails inger's tmps 10 501 and Paris regard- it in a ballet bar provided by the MAT- or Shienger S the you more 2/4 ing the Victnam WRI. victor.) or less likely to for the CODE The latest P it shows that the Water- Shriver pres. called ticket. OF may Sept. Aug. gate after and the chain tale to Ressrá 22-21 make any Merchoe 24 hote you BcTe?" T-11 create relation toward News. Nixon-Agnew 6106 Total Rep. Dem. Ind. 3106 and the i. trips create 0220- McGovern-Shtiver More likely to vote 29 32 tive,rection 1100 of overn. This is Other McGovera-Sicriver 016 20% 1002 1" 1 revented in 100 deiving questions, re- Undecided Less Mele 15 21 I 15 6 14 porten among voters: No difference 76 74 :R 75 Results of the September poll by TOSI- "Here you TRY or heard about II.C Undicided 3 3 2 6 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 4, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT: Polling Matters Poll Summary During the next 34 days, we will be receiving a substantial amount of polling materials. You mentioned on October 3, that you had too many binders full of polling materials. To consolidate the relevant data and establish a system for keeping you up to date, I recommend the following: 1) That the attached Summary Book be the basic document for quick reference in your office, as well as on trips. It contains: a) the Ballot Summary sheet of all state by state trial heats including available Senate race data; b) all Nixon/McGovern National trial heats; c) selected trends for your standard Poll Book; d) the ORC National Telephone Survey #1 Receiving Memorandum; e) the Wave III National personal interview poll and questionnaire, the Wave III state summary demographics; and, f) all separately polled states (Iowa, Massachussets, West Virginia, and Washington); 2) That you keep in your office (but do not take on trips) Wave III Complete Version materials, as well as your regular Poll Book; 3) That all other polling materials, including -2- Wave I, Wave II, the Image Study, and the Issue Study be kept in my office, with all other pollingmaterials. AGREE DISAGREE COMMENT Teeter Key State Telephone Surveys - Polling Wave In the Summary Book, New York and Pennsylvania have been added. Later today, California and Michigan will be added. As each key state survey is received, it will be added to the Summary Book but will not replace the Wave III Personal Interview surveys. Gallup Surveys The transcript of my most recent conversation with John Davies is attached at Tab A. To summarize: 1) Sunday's (Oct. 8) release will be on Watergate, based on September 22-25 interviewing. The awareness according to Gallup is 52%. This compares with the ORC - Ag 29-31 result of 57% and the Wave III - Sept 5-16 result of 70%. The Watergate issue does not swing voters to McGovern. 2) Vietnam and the cost of living are the top problems (27% each) while corruption is considered a top problem by only 3%. 3) The next scheduled trial heat will be released on Sunday, October 15 based on key precinct interviews conducted Oct 1-6. 4) Alec Gallup gave the Washington Post the exclusive interview that appeared last Sunday. -3- Miscellaneous Matters 1) You asked whether Harris and Gallup figures are based on registered voters and include leaners. Bob Teeter talked with Lou Harris and Paul Perry at Gallup. His summary is attached at Tab B. It confirms that Gallup uses only registered voters. However, there is a conflict between what Perry told Teeter and what Davies told me. Davies claims that Gallup first used the secret ballot, which is comparable to the leaner question on a telephone survey, on half of the Aug 24-27 interviews. In any event, all Gallup trial heats for the next 34 days will be among registered voters using secret ballots. Harris does not specify whether he interviews only registered voters. Instead, he reports only results from "likely voters," which he defines as a 1968-1970 voter, a registered voter, or between 18-24 years of age. The last category makes Harris' results suspect because most pollsters estimate only half of this category will vote on November 7. Teeter will pursue the question when he has lunch with Colson and Harris on Friday, when the Harris trial heat data is expected. 2) To assure comparability of the Wave III, Rolling Wave, and ORC National Surveys with Harris and Gallup, I have used registered voters including leaners. This change is noted by (R) in the books. 3) The ORC National Surveys will begin on Monday, October 16 reporting full demographics on registered voters, and the trial heat demographic sheets will have computer printed demographics from the past three surveys. TAB COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT MEMORANDUM October 3, 1972 DETERMINED TC REAN ADVISE as CONFIDENTIAL E.O. 1.2905. 00 By Emprise NARS, I. 10 1-15-80 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE HONORABLE CLARK MacCPEGOR FROM: ROBERT M. TEETER RUT SUBJECT: Gallup and Harris Sample and Filter Procedures Gordon Strachan asked me to check on the sample and filtering procedure for the Gallup and Harris surveys and if they have changed them as we get closer to the election. Gallup's primary sample unites are based on a universe of all adult citizens 18 years of age and over. He then filters for registered voters and interviews only registered voters for his political surveys. His head to head data is collected by using the oral question and a leaner follow up for the undecided. His published results are a combination of these. He does not cut his data by likely voters or turnout. He has not varied these procedures at all throughout this year but may report both likely voters and all voters in his last one or two polls which will both be done after October 15. Harris interviews only what he considers likely voters. In order to qualify as a likely voter a respondent must have voted in 1968-70, be registered to vote in 1972 or be between 18-24 years of age. He also included leaners in his published data and has not yet weighed for probably turnout but will closer to the election. Harris says he has not varied this technique throughout this year. ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 3, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Advertising Matters TV Advertising - Week of October 9 Clark MacGregor this morning concurred with your recom- mendations for next week's TV Campaign - networks: DFN - Welfare 60's, Older Americans and Environment 5s, local TV: DFN - Welfare 60's. Russia Spot Peter Dailey has submitted the Bill Taylor suggestions for revising the Russia Spot attached (Tab A). The revisions are based on the September 27 Higby memorandum. A copy of the original script and the proposed revisions have been forwarded to Haig for comments. If Taylor's minor revisions comply with the request, the November Group will prepare a new videotape version. If the revisions are not strong enough, a new script will be prepared for your review. Prepare tape. Substantially revise script. Other. McGovern Advertising The November Group has prepared the media and copy analysis of McGovern's campaign attached (Tab B). To summarize the rather long report: - 2 - 1) McGovern is apparently hurting for money - he has cut local advertising and reportedly turned back network offerings; 2) McGovern is making piecemeal purchases instead of centralizing all buys, 3) McGovern is outspending all aspects of the President's media campaign 3 to 1, 4) McGovern is using spot radio as his primary local media vehicle; 5) McGovern has used some newspaper, although two big ads sought contributions; 6) In addition to the half-hour "fireside chats", McGovern is also expected to increase his network buys. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 2, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Nationwide Telephone Poll #1 Polling Dates: Sep 29-Oct 1, '72 Respondents: Total -980 Registered - 842 This package includes all the requested materials from the first Nationwide Telephone Poll: 1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum, 2) Tab B is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll; 3) Tab C is the detailed demographics including the crossbreaks tabbed on the second page of each question; 4) Tab D is the complete questionnaire. October 2, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR I H.R. HALDEMAN FROM : GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT : TV One-Half Hour October 4 MacGregor and Colson indicated before the 10:00 a.m. Political Meeting that they were going to argue for keeping the one-half hour Connally was scheduled to use and put "The Nixon Years - Change Without Chaos" on instead. The cost would be $36, 000. Dailey is still trying to find out how much it would cost to drop the spot. If the decision was reached to run "The Nixon Years", I have the finished 30 minute version in my office. Dailey proposes to merely drop the Russia/Tanya section MY a total of 1:40 seconds. Who will inform Dailey of the decision on retaining or dropping the one-half hour? Drop time Keep it and do "The Nixon Years" GS:LH:pm