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This file contains: From: Jeb S. Magruder To: The Attorney General RE: Compiled Report on Middle America. 73 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/2/1971

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This file contains: From: Jeb S. Magruder To: The Attorney General RE: Compiled Report on Middle America. 73 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/2/1971
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 16 5 11/2/1971 Campaign Memo From: Jeb S. Magruder To: The Attorney General RE: Compiled Report on Middle America. 73 pgs. Wednesday, February 09, 2011 Page 1 of 1 COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT CONF IDENTIAL November 2, 1971 DETERMINED TO BE KING AN 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. NW ADMIL 6-102 WASHINGTON D C 20006 8-18-81 (202) 333-0920 By Emp. MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL Attached is the report on Middle America compiled by Chuck Colson, Douglas Hallett (Colson's staff), and Bart Porter. The report outlines general strategy and is not intended to be a specific action report. At TAB D, however, there is one specific recommendation relating to Veterans that requires a decision. If you agree with the direction taken with this report, I will ensure that it is circulated among several key people here at the Campaign Committee (Youth, Advertising, Ethnics, Labor, etc.) and those at the White House concerned with overall strategy (Moore, Dent, Garment). APPROVE DISAPPROVE COMMENTS JEB S. MAGRUDER TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface Page 1 Data Page 2 Issues Page 3 Wallace Vote Page 5 Tab A Political Strategy Tab B Subsidized Housing To Lew Engman From George Bell Tab C A Portrait of the Wallace Vote Tab D Veterans Tab E Suburbs Tab F Junior Chamber of Commerce Tab G The Aged PREFACE As a strategy concept, Middle America is smaller than the sum of its parts. Although encompassing a wide variety of interests labor, agriculture, Ethnic/Catholic, veterans, etc. -- the interests it encompasses all have unique attributes which are independent of the Middle American framework. Consequently, a Middle American campaign strategy must be developed on three levels. The first level will deal with our so-called national issues -- Peace (Vietnam, China, Berlin, SALT, the Middle East), Prosperity (the New Economic Policy), Social Order (End of Era of Permissiveness, Law and Order, etc.), and Progress (Welfare Reform, Governmental Reform, Health Care, etc. ). The second level will deal with the one or two broad issue bases with which all so-called Middle Americans are concerned. The third level will deal with the particular special interests of each group within the framework. This report is not comprehensive. Middle America can be defined in terms of up to 70-80 percent of the nation's population. Instead of presenting a firm analysis of this group, this report covers what are considered to be the key elements of a Middle American strategy, first, second, and third level, key sectors within Middle America, and key issues which we can and should develop over the next year, again, first, second and third level. This report does not cover such subjects as over-all communications, 2. organizational liaison, and the like. These are obvious, on-going activi- ties of the government, the campaign, and the party; they do not require special elaboration in this report. Nor will this report focus on the national issues of the campaign -- Peace, Prosperity, Progress, and Social Order except insofar as they uniquely effect one or more of the component parts of Middle America. Instead, this report will take these national issues and propose a new way of looking at them and presenting them to Middle America. DATA Up-to-date income breakdowns from the 1970 census will not be available until the end of the year. But we already have the essential in- formation. The key fact is that there are 66 million individual homeowners in the United States today, approximately 40 million of whom are in the middle ($5, 000--$15, 000) income bracket. Virtually all of them are con- cerned about the essentially conservative social and economic issues - crime, property taxes, social order, busing, etc. - which have traditionally gone along with property ownership. A more thorough analysis of the demo- graphic layout of Middle America is, in many ways, superflous. Unlike the individual special interest appeals, our Middle American appeal will be national. Indeed, it should become fundamental to our basic national stance, totally interwoven with our Peace, Prosperity, Progress and Social Order approaches, superseding this first-level appeal in some ways. 3. It cannot be concentrated in any one geographical or population group. ISSUES Within the framework of our second-level, Middle American appeal, we can probably develop (as opposed to benefit from) two major issues in the campaign. It is too early to pick them now. It is, therefore, recommended that two very simple, but very encompassing concepts be developed now as the base for our second level approach -- the concept of social security and the concept of income security. Around the first can be clustered what the President has done to protect the social security of the individual; his foreign policy as it affects the draft, his various reform efforts, his opposition to busing and "dispersal" housing, and the social issue. Around the second can be clustered what this Administration has done to protect the income of the individual - the New Economic Policy, tax reform, revenue sharing refocused as a device to provide progerty tax relief, social security increases. The development of both of these second-level concepts should proceed in two directions. The first -- the positive direction -- the President has already initiated. With his competition, build America, work ethic rhetoric, the President has begun to establish the idealistic, uplift, philosophical, if you will, side of these two concepts. Government's role is to provide basic security and basic protection of personal income. 4. In doing so, it frees the individual to do what he can for himself and his family and his country by participating constructively in the economic system. Whatever the polls show to be the most pressing concerns - - be they health care or tax relief or whatever - can then be fed into this positive stance as the campaign progresses. The other direction in which these two second-level Middle American concepts should be developed is the negative. Not only have we provided basic social security and basic income security, but we have also beat back those who would take them away. The President has resisted busing; he has ended the era of permissiveness; he has resisted "dispersal" housing. Whatever the polls show to be the most pressing concerns next summer -- be they crime or busing - can be fed into this negative stance, and then used to attack the opposition as the campaign proceeds. This over-all second-level approach is built on the two major concerns of the Middle American -- his concern for his social security and his concern for his own pocketbook. Integral to both are a positive and negative appeal. The President is against busing; inversely, the Democrats are pushing it. The President is for lowering property taxes; inversely, the Democrats are implicitly for raising them. The principal advantage of the approach is the flexibility it gives us for our thinking about the campaign in the months ahead. Right now, busing on the social 5. security side and property tax relief on the income security side would seem to be the key issues to focus on. But, six months from now, it might be something else. In the interim, we need a way of looking at our issue base which forces us to think in terms of the two principal concerns of Middle America and allows us to cluster our issues in such a way that we can later isolate two major issues for the campaign. By developing the basic concepts now, whatever we choose to push later will not be perceived as gimmicky, campaign-oriented, etc. Theywill, instead, be seen as fundamental to our over-all approach and philosophy. The third level of our approach concerns the particular special interests of each group within the Middle American sector. Tab A contains a memorandum Mr. Colson wrote to Mr. Haldeman in the spring. It reflects his current thinking on how we should exploit the special interests of key Middle America segments. Tab B contains a report by George Bell to Lew Engman of the Domestic Council on dispersal housing. It is Mr. Bell's feeling that HUD may not be following the President's instructions in this area. Third-level issues are also dealt with in each of the interest group reports. WALLACE VOTE The Wallace vote constitutes perhaps our greatest threat (or opportun- ity) among Middle American voters, especially northern Blue Collar types. The evidence clearly suggests that Wallace cut heavily 6. in our vote last time and he could do SO again. But that does not mean having Wallace out would necessarily be beneficial for us. Lou Harris has found that Wallace would take just about evenly from Muskie and us. But where he takes from Muskie and us is crucial. Wallace voters who would otherwise support us are more heavily found in the South. Consequently, having Wallace out could increase our margin in the South - but it is increasing our margin in states we would win anyway. Therefore, he doesn't help us or hurt us in the South in electoral vote terms. In the North, it is a different story. According to Harris, Wallace draws more from Muskie than from us in the North. Consequently, having him in - far from hurting us - may have no impact in the South and a positive impact in the North. One more factor that is crucial is that Wallace is an anti-establish- ment candidate. In 1968, he hurt us because he drew anti-LBJ votes that might otherwise have gone to us. But this time we're the establish- ment. Therefore, the kind of anti-establishment vote that he took from us in 1968 may well be taken from the Democrats in 1972. All of this, of course, is highly speculative. We need detailed, in-depth research on the Wallace voter in both the South and the North before trying to figure out how we should deal with him. Right now, it is dangerous to assume anything about his election impact. If we do decide that it's helpful to have him in, we should keep our hands off, harassing him, of course, but doing nothing which would damage 7. him permanently. If we decide it's not helpful to have him in, we should develop a carefully planned and executed attack on his claim that he represents Blue-Collar aspirations. The AFL/CIO did so with considerable success in 1968, much to our, and not Humphrey's, benefit. It is not felt that we should compete with Wallace for redneck support. We can't beat him for that group and the cost of doing so, even in the South, far outweights the benefits. Rather, we should attack his "Populist" image, demonstrating that his record does not pair well with his pronounce- ments and that he can't be elected nor can he solve problems. Our ethnic and Blue Collar speakers should be particularly effective at this. Tab C contains a detailed portrait of the Wallace voter as of 1968 and an 1968 evaluation of Wallace's record. We need much more research than we have now if we are to make the proper decision on how to deal with Wallace. This should be initiated as soon as possible. MIDDLE AMERICA: The Special-Interest Groups Within It There is obviously a considerable degree of overlap among the groups within what we are calling Middle America. Nevertheless, there is value in isolating each one and independently analyzing it. Con- sequently for the purposes of this report, Middle America has been divided into the following sub-groups. Detailed analyses and recommendations, where relevant, are made within the reports for each sub-group. 8. (1) Labor Union Members Separate Report (2) Agriculture Separate Report (3) Ethnics/Catholic Separate Report (4) Veterans See Tab D (5) Suburbs See Tab E (6) Junion Chamber of Commerce See Tab F (7) The Aged See Tab G RNC RESEARCH DIVISION JUNE 10, 1971 A PORTRAIT OF THE WALLACE VOTER This study of the Wallace vote is presented in three parts. Part I is a summary of studies conducted by the University of Michigan, Part 11 is based on Gallup surveys, and Part 111 is an over-view of the Wallace vote from miscellaneous books and studies. PART I The University of Michigan study contends that George Wallace actually had little effect on the election's outcome. Despite that fact, the Wallace ticket drew a larger proportion of the popular vote than any third party since 1924, and a greater share of the electoral vote than any third party since the election of 1860. The majority of Wallace voters were found to be nominal Democrats. In the South, 68% of the Wallace voters were Democrats, 20% Republicans. Outside the South, 46% were Democrats, 34% Republicans. The remaining Wallace voters identified themselves as Independents. The following table shows the impact of party identification on the presidential vote. Party Identification and Presidential Vote in 1968, SRC Survey Data Presidential Vote in % Number of Party Identification Humphrey Nixon Wallace Cases Strong Democrats 84 8 8 222 Not so strong Democrats 58 27 15 241 Independents closer to Democrats 53 30 17 93 Independents closer to neither party 24 55 21 87 Independents closer to Republi- cans 4 82 14 102 Not so strong Republicans 10 82 8 163 Strong Republicans 2 96 2 119 The conclusion that Wallace had no major effect on the outcome of the election is based on the fact that the majority of Wallace votèrs were Democrats who would otherwise have voted for Mr. Nixon, rather than Republicans who might have given their support to Mr. Humphrey. Some 38% of the Wallace voters who had voted previously said they had always voted Democratic while another 10% said they had always voted Republican. The Survey Research Center analyzed the Wallace vote and concluded that, "Of voters with both a party and a candidate preference, more than four-fifths prefer the nominee of their party. While Democrats are in a majority, it is clear that the tides are running against them since they are suffering the bulk of defections. Nixon Democrats so far outnembered Humphrey Republicans that while Wallace drew at nearly equal rates from both groups, the majority of his votes were from Democrats who otherwise prefered Nixon rather than from Republicans who might have given their favors to Humphrey. 11 The following table represents the data from which the preceding conclusions were drawn. DISTRIBUTION OF THE WALLACE VOTE, BY TRADITIONAL PARTIES AND CANDIDATES PARTY IDENTIFICATION Democratic Independent Republican Rating HUMPHREY Block I Block IV Block VII over 4% 26% 21% of NIXON (347) (23) (24) Two Block U Block V. Block VIII Tied 24% 9% 6% Major (79) (11) (17) Block 111 Candi- Block VI. NIXON Block IX over 26% 15% T% dates HUMPHREY (132) (53) (314) The percentage figure indicates the proportion of all voters in the cell who reported casting a ballot for Wallace. The number of voters is indicated between parentheses. -3- The chart reads as follows: 1. Block I represents the so called "hard core" "strong" Democrats. Only 4% defected to vote for Wallace. These 347 voters would have cast their vote for Humphrey - had Wallace not been a candidate. 2. Block 11 represents those Democrats who could not differentiate between Mr. Nixon or Mr. Humphrey. It is Impossible to state how these 79 voters would have voted had Wallace not been a candidate. 3. Block 111 represents those Democrats who could be considered "marginal. These Democrats probably were not straight voting Demo- crats in the past. The 132 voters would have cast their votes for Mr. Nixon had Wallace not been a candidate. 26% of Wallace's votes were "nominal Democrats." It is highly significant that this large a number of voters could have been attracted to the Nixon camp had Wallace not been a candi- date. 4. Block I.V represents Independents who would have preferred Mr. Humphrey over Mr. Nixon. 5. Block V represents Independents who had no preference other than Wallace. 6. Block VI represents Independents who preferred Mr. Nixon over Mr. Humphrey. 7. Block VII represents "marginal" Republicans. These Republicans are not "strong" Republicans and would have cast their votes for Humphrey. The figures show that had Wallace not been a candidate, more Demo- crats would have been for Nixon than Republicans for Humphrey. (Com- pare Block 111 with Block VII) -4- 8. Block VIII represents Republicans who had no preference had Wallace not been a candidate. 9. Block IX represents the so called "strong" or "hard core" Re- publicans. 7% of the Wallace voters would have voted for Nixon which is represented by 314 votes. Most of the Wallace votes came from Independents or "weak" or "nominal" party members. The least came from "strong" party members. The figures do not add to 100% because it was impossible to classify all Wallace voters. An analysis of the Wallace vote shows that two-thirds of the Wallace vote was from Southern or border states where he collected over 30% of the regional vote. These states include Alabama, Florida, Texas, Georgia, Louisiana, North Carolina, Tennessee, Mississippi, Virginia, Arkansas, and South Carolina. Throughout the North and West, Wallace received almost 8% of the vote. Only in Hawaii and Maine did he receive less than 3% of the vote. In the South, Wallace supporters are disproportionately from the small towns and rural areas compared to Nixon and Humphrey supporters, but in the North, Wallace has substantial support in the big cities as well as in sub- urbs and less densely populated areas. In both regions Wallace voters are more likely to have grown up on a farm, although significant numbers did come from big city environments. Outside the South, the proportion of white union members preferring Wallace over the other major candidates was more than three times as great as it was within households having no unionized members (19% to 6%). Even in the South where other appeals were present and the unionization of labon is more limited, the contrast between the preferences of households with union members and non-union households remains dramatic (52% to 285) giv- ing top preference to Wallace over the conventional candidates. -5- The Wallace voter is likely to be male as 59% of the Wallace vote was cast by men. 85% of his vote came from married people. People be- tween the ages 25-34 were most likely to vote for Wallace while the over 65 age group were least likely voters. Only 3% of people over the age of 70 outside of the South cast their vote for Wallace, while 13% of the voters under 30 years outside of the South were Wallace voters. Very few of the Wallace voters were black as none from a sample of 87 said they had voted for Wallace. (Only 3 of the 87 said they had cast their vote for Nixon). Michigan Research Studies reveal the following breakdowns of the 1968 vote. Nixon Humphrey Wallace Voters Voters Voters Had some college education 39% 26% 17% Had only grade school education 12 22 25 Feel identified with a class 61 68 77 Identify with the working class 44 55 64 Feel close to the working class 25 34 38 Family was working class 57 68 80 Below average income 46 50 55 Home owner 76 67 76 Union member in household 20 29 29 Manual occupation 28 36 40 Farmer 6 6 10 Blacks 4 96 0 White Democrats 26 61 13 White Republicans 83 7 10 White Independents 54 28 18 -6- PART II In early Gallup studies (April 1968), it was reported that if Wallace continued to hold his support that "the strong possibility exists that third party candidate George Wallace would deny either major party candidate the electoral votes needed to win." The poll continued to reveal that his largest support outside the South is among young persons (21-29), manual workers and farmers, and persons who describe themselves as Independents. "Although it is generally assumed that Wallace is particularly strong in the large urban areas of the North, his support is actually greater in the smaller communities and rural areas." Gallup found that Wallace is the strongest candidate in the deep South. In the border states, his vote falls slightly behind Nixon's. Outside the South, he runs a poor third to Nixon and Humphrey. The Alabamian's appeal is concentrated among blue collar workers, men and young persons. Both the Michigan study and Gallup reported that the Wallace supporters tend to be "hawks" not only on Vietnam but on domestic issues as well. "A cross-analysis of Gallup Poll findings show that large majorities of Wallace supporters (among those who express an opinion) think integration is being pushed 'too fast,' oppose 'open housing,' have a low regard for the U.S. Su- preme Court, disapprove of President Johnson's performance in office, think morals in this country are deteriorating and approve of the way the Chicago police dealt with the demonstrators at the time of the Chicago convention. The Wallace supporter is disenchanted with both major parties and frequently describes himself as an 'independent' in politics." -7- In September 1968 Gallup reported that If the election were held at that time Wallace might accrue 21% of the vote. As the election drew nearer, Gallup reported that Wallace would receive 14 or 15% of the vote. Humphrey was the candidate to gain from the drop In Wallace support. Gallup reported that, "key factors in Humphrey's dramatic gains of the last month have been the decline in the Wallace vote in the Northern states and the return of Democratic defectors to the party fold." Many labor union members supported Wallace during the campaign but left the Wallace camp to support Humphrey on election day. Because of the "last minute" switch, the election became to close to call. It appeared through- out the election that Humphrey was being denied the votes that the majority of Wallace voters would cast -- but in the end it was Nixon who was denied the majority of the Wallace vote. Gallup conducted a survey immediately after the election to measure how respondents voted and whether they had supported another candidate earlier in the campaign. The following three tables reveal Wallace's support and the people who considered him but did not cast their vote for him. Table I is based on the demographics of the whole country, Table 11 on the non- south and Table 111 on the South only. -8- Table I 1968 PRESIDENTIAL VOTING BY SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS (N = 1,479; nonwhites excluded) (Per Cent) Total Wallace Consid- Wallace Non- Voted for ered* Sympa- defection Total Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace Wallace thizers Ratio Voting Sample Political Party Identification Democratic 75 14 11 9 20 .56 433 567 Republican 5 89 6 7 13 .46 364 431 Independent 30 49 22 11 32 .67 333 449 Congressional Vote in 1968 Democratic 68 18 15 10 25 .59 514 514 Republican 12 78 10 8 17 .55 542 542 Presidental Vote in 1964 Democratic 66 26 8 8 16 .49 558 646 Republican 13 82 15 10 25 .61 380 413 Didn't vote 36 41 24 11 35 .68 167 374 Region South 21 43 34 s 43 .79 249 373 Non-South 44 50 7 9 15 .43 894 1,106 Northeast* 49 44 7 7 14 .49 344 424 Midwest' 41 52 8 11 18 .42 368 452 West' 41 55 5 8 12 .36 182 230 coupation Nonmanual 37 54 9 9 18 .50 456 536 Professional 36 57 7 5 11 .59 158 179 Business 37 55 9 9 18 .50 155 193 White collar 38 50 12 7 19 .62 143 164 Manual 43 40 17 11 28 .60 400 563 Skilled labor 43 43 15 12 27 .55 208 284 Unskilled 47 35 19 12 31 .60 140 207 Service 33 44 23 6 29 .80 52 72 Farm' 22 65 13 13 25 .50 74 94 Union family 54 34 12 15 27 .43 210 274 Nonunion 31 47 22 8 29 .75 190 289 Education Grade school or less 44 37 19 10 29 .67 191 290 High school or less 39 48 13 10 23 .57 537 715 Some college 38 54 9 6 14 .62 330 377 Income Under $3,000 37 47 16 6 23 .72 132 189 $3,000 to $6,999 38 43 19 8 27 .70 334 487 $7,000 to $9,999 38 50 12 11 23 .53 257 324 $10,000 to $14,999 42 50 8 9 17 .47 243 276 $15,000 and over 35 59 6 9 14 .39 168 191 Religion Roman Catholic 53 38 9 9 18 .52 311 381 Jewish 86 14 - 2 2 .00 46 54 Protestant 29 56 15 10 25 .60 749 989 Baptist 22 46 32 11 43 .76 147 213 Methodist 29 57 14 8 22 .63 180 231 Presbyterian 23 70 7 12 19 .38 89 103 Lutheran 43 55 3 6 9 .29 85 101 Episcopal 39 54 7 7 13 .43 46 51 Others 29 55 16 12 27 .58 159 222 -9- 1968 PRESIDENTIAL VOTING BY SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS-CONTINUED Total Wallace Consid- Wallace Non- Voted for ered" Sympa- defection Total Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace Wallace thizers Ratio Voting Sample Size of Place Rural 31 50 19 8 27 .63 323 416 2,500 to 49,999 36 49 14 6 20 .63 163 224 50,000 to 499,999 38 51 11 8 19 .56 268 361 500,000 to 999,999 43 47 10 6 15 .62 138 189 1,000,000 and over 50 44 7 8 15 .43 250 288 Age 21 to 25 49 35 17 6 23 .77 81 137 26 to 29 37 49 15 9 24 .63 73 104 30 to 49 38 49 13 12 25 .52 488 608 50 and over 39 50 11 6 17 .65 491 618 Sex Men 39 46 15 11 26 .58 588 723 Women 39 51 10 7 17 .60 555 747 SOURCE: AIPO 771-k, November 7, 1968; rows may sum to more or less than 100 per cent due to rounding error. . Thought about voting for Wallace earlier in the campaign, but eventually switched to another candidate. b Combination of the "considered Wallace" category and the Wallace voter category. The ratio of the total number of Wallace sympathizers to the actual number of Wallace voters. d Those states making up the old Confederacy plus Kentucky. New England and the Middle Atlantic states, including West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and the District of Columbia. T Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Missouri, and the Trans-Mississippi states of North and South Dakota, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, and Oklahoma. # All states west of the Midwest and South, excluding Alaska and Hawaii. is Clerical and sales. a Both farm proprietors and workers. -10- ble II 1968 PRESIDENTIAL VOTING IN THE NON-SOUTH BY SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS (Per Cent) (N = 1,106; nonwhites excluded) Total Voted for Consid- Wallace Non- ered Sympa- defection Voting Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace Wallace thizers Ratio Number Number Political Party Identification Democratic 83 13 5 9 14 .36 342 424 Republican 6 89 6 8 14 .40 302 356 Independent 37 52 11 10 21 .53 240 303 Congressional Vote in 1968 Democratic 78 16 6 9 16 .40 392 392 Republican 13 80 6 8 15 .43 440 440 Presidential Vote in 1964 Democratic 70 26 5 8 13 .38 469 533 Republican 4 89 7 9 16 .42 275 291 Didn't vote 42 43 14 12 26 .55 123 248 Occupation Nonmanual 42 53 5 5 10 .52 350 406 Professional 42 55 3 4 6 .43 117 133 Business 39 55 6 4 10 .66 121 144 White collar 44 50 7 8 14 .47 112 129 Manual 49 42 9 13 22 .42 327 426 Skilled labor 47 46 7 13 21 .35 171 212 Unskilled labor 55 33 13 14 26 .48 119 162 Service workers 41 54 5 5 11 .50 37 52 Farm 21 77 2 16 18 .10 57 70 Union family 57 34 9 16 25 .36 189 234 Nonunion 39 52 9 8 17 .52 138 192 Education Grade school or less 53 40 7 10 17 .41 134 188 High school or less 43 49 7 9 17 .43 436 558 Some college 43 52 5 4 9 .56 257 286 Income Under $3,000 41 53 5 5 11 .50 93 124 $3,000 to $6,999 46 44 10 9 19 .51 246 338 $7,000 to $9,999 42 52 6 11 17 .37 213 261 $10,000 to $14,999 46 47 6 8 14 .44 201 224 $15,000 and over 39 58 3 7 10 .31 133 150 Religion Roman Catholic 53 39 8 9 17 .49 292 355 Jewish 87 13 3 3 .00 42 50 Protestant 34 53 6 10 15 .38 527 655 Baptist 33 51 16 10 25 .63 64 82 Methodist 32 65 3 10 13 .21 117 150 Presbyterian 28 68 5 11 15 .30 68 78 Lutheran 43 54 3 6 9 .29 83 98 Episcopal 40 61 - 5 5 .00 38 41 Others 31 59 9 13 22 .43 129 163 Size of Place Rural 37 56 7 11 20 .36 221 272 2,500 to 49,999 43 52 5 6 11 .42 115 149 50,000 to 499,999 44 51 6 5 10 .48 196 245 - - 1968 PRESIDENTIAL VOTING IN THE NON-SOUTH BY SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHAPACTERISTICS-CONTINUED Total Voted for Consid- Wallace Non- ered Sympa- defection Voting Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace Wallace thizers Ratio Number Number Size of Place (Cont.) 500,000 to 999,999 46 45 9 6 16 .59 112 152 1,000,000 and over 50 44 7 8 15 .43 250 288 Age 21 to 25 54 34 13 7 20 .64 72 108 26 to 29 35 54 11 6 17 .67 54 79 30 to 49 43 49 8 14 22 .36 393 466 50 and over 43 53 3 5 8 .43 366 443 Sex Men 43 48 9 11 20 .44 458 550 Women 45 51 5 6 11 .41 436 556 -12- Table 111 1968 PRESIDENTIAL VOTING IN THE SOUTH BY SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS (Per Cent) Voted for Total Consid- Wallace Non- ered Sympa- defection Voting Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace Wallace thizers Ratio Number Number Political Party Identification Democratic 46 17 37 3 40 .92 91 143 Republican - 90 10 10 20 .49 62 75 Independent 12 41 47 13 60 .79 93 146 Congressional Vote in 1968 Democratic 34 24 42 12 54 .78 122 122 Republican 8 69 24 5 28 .83 102 102 Presidential Vote in 1964 Democratic 49 29 23 8 31 .73 89 113 Republican 1 62 38 11 48 .78 105 122 Didn't vote 19 33 48 10 57 .83 44 126 Occupation Nonmanual 22 57 22 14 28 .76 106 130 Professional 21 62 18 8 26 .70 41 46 Business 27 55 18 27 46 .40 34 49 White collar 17 53 30 7 37 .82 31 35 Manual 14 33 53 6 59 .90 73 137 Skilled labor 20 31 49 6 54 .90 37 72 Unskilled labor 5 45 50 5 55 .91 21 45 Service workers 13 20 67 7 74 .91 15 20 Farm 27 20 53 - 53 1.00 17 24 Union family 30 30 40 5 45 .89 21 40 Nonunion 8 34 58 6 64 .91 52 97 Education Grade school or less 23 28 49 8 57 .87 57 102 High school or less 21 42 36 11 48 .77 101 157 Some college 19 60 21 10 31 .68 73 91 Income Under $3,000 27 30 43 8 51 .84 39 65 $3,000 to $6,999 18 39 44 5 48 .92 88 149 $7,000 to $9,999 17 42 42 12 54 .77 44 63 $10,000 to $14,999 23 63 15 13 28 .55 42 52 $15,000 and over 24 62 15 15 29 .50 35 41 Religion Roman Catholic 47 29 24 6 29 .80 19 26 Jewish * * * * * * 4 4 Protestant 18 46 36 10 46 .78 222 334 Baptist 13 43 45 11 56 .80 83 131 Methodist 22 43 35 5 40 .89 63 81 Presbyterian 10 76 14 14 29 .50 21 25 Lutheran * * * * * * 2 3 Episcopal * * * * * * 8 10 Others 21 25 45 7 52 .87 30 59 Size of Place Rural 17 38 45 4 49 .90 102 144 2,500 to 49,999 21 43 36 8 44 .74 48 75 50,000 to 499,999 23 52 25 9 33 .63 72 116 -13- 1968 PRESIDENTIAL VOTING IN THE SOUTH BY SELECTED DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS-CONTINUED Total Voted for Consid- Wallace Non- ered Sympa- defection Voting Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace Wallace thizers Ratio Number Number Size of Place (Cont.) 500,000 to 999,999 31 58 12 3 15 .75 26 37 1,000,000 and over * * # * * * - - Age 21 to 25 * * * * * * 9 29 26 to 29 26 37 37 5 42 .88 19 25 30 to 49 14 52 34 8 41 .82 95 142 50 and over 26 41 33 10 43 .77 125 175 Sex Men 24 39 37 11 48 .78 130 182 Women 18 51 31 8 39 .80 119 191 * Too few cases. -14- In August 1970, Gallup reported that "Governor Wallace is as strong today as at any previous time since the 1968 presidential election, both in terms of personal appeal and vote-getting potential. "Wallace's standing in the South bears particular attention because it is in this region where, as a presidential candidate, he could gain the leverage needed to deny either major party candidate the electoral, votes needed to win in 1972, thus throwing the election into the House of Repre- sentatives. " -15- PART III This section is based for the most part on The Politics of Unreason by Seymour Lipset and Earl Raab. Other sources are An American Melodrama by Lewis Chester, Godfrey Hogson and Bruce Page, The Making of the President 1968 by Theodore White, The Emerging Republican Majority by Kevin Phillips, various articles and general conclusions of the writer of this study. Wallace's solid support for the most part came from such extreme right groups as the John Birch Society, the Minutemen, the Ku Klux Klan, White Citizens Councils, etc. Lipset's book emphasizes the same supporters as were discussed in the first two sections of this study. In addition, it emphasizes the support of the police, domestic servants and the military. Many people admired Wallace and supported him on the issues but would not vote for him in the election. In April 1967, when Gallup asked whether the electorate viewed Wallace favorably or unfavorably, 43.2 per cent viewed him in positive terms while 46.7 per cent had a negative opinion of him. In general, Wallace support eroded among those groups and areas in which his initial support was weakest. "In the North, he lost over half of his initial support. Only 43 per cent of his original supporters cast a ballot for him." (Lipset P. 395) A most important gain for Humphrey was the switch of trade-union workers. Data from a Gallup survey suggests that the very extensive campaign of trade-union leaders to reduce Wallace support among their members had a strong effect in the North. "Almost two-thirds (64 per cent) of northern trade-union members who had backed Wallace initially did not vote for him, while over half of the southern unionist workers (52 per cent) who had been for him earlier voted for him on election day." -16- (Lipset P. 395) Regardless of the union vote -- three-fifths of those who shifted away from Wallace during the campaign ended up voting for Nixon. The following table depicts the demographic breakdown of Wallace defectors. FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH VOTING CHOICES OF WALLACE DEFECTORS Actual Vote Social and Political Per Cent Per Cent Characteristics Humphrey Nixon Number Region South 23 77 (22) North 45 55 (75) Party Affiliation Republican 12 89 (26) Democratic 79 21 (38) Independent 18 82 (33) 1964 Vote Goldwater 11 89 (36) Johnson 63 38 (43) No vote 47 53 (17) Religion Protestant 34 66 (71) Catholic 60 40 (25) Age Under 29 27 73 (11)* 30 to 49 44 54 (57) 50 and over 36 64 (28) Education Grammar school 65 35 (17) High school 46 54 (50) College 18 82 (17) Income Under $5,000 50 50 (18) $5,000 to $9,999 44 56 (43) $10,000 and over 26 74 (34) Occupation Nonmanual 13 87 (30) Manual 56 44 (43) Farm 22 78 (9) Unionism-Manuals only Union members 69 31 (29) Nonunion 29 71 (14) a Too few cases for a reliable estimate. -17- "The pattern of shifting among the Wallace voters points up the assumption that Wallace appealed to two very different groups: economic conservatives concerned with repudiating the welfare state, and less affluent supporters of the welfare state who were affected by issues of recial integration and law and order." (Lipset P. 396) THE FUTURE OF THE WALLACE MOVEMENT The future of Wallace and the American Independent Party is difficult to predict. "The party brought together almost every right-wing extreme group in the country and undoubtedly also recruited many new activists for the extreme right. Many of these new state parties now have a formal legal status as a recognized political party which may nominate candidates for local and state office. "During the 1968 campaign, sharp public divisions occurred in a number of states, often revolving around the fact that complete control over the finances and conduct of the party's work was kept in the hands of coordinators directly appointed by Wallace." (Lipset p. 413) In a number of states, two separate organizations existed, both of which endorsed the Wallace candidacy while attacking each other as extremists. If such internal struggles continue to be prevalent in the Wallace organization it could put a damper on his 1972 efforts. The perplexing question is, will Wallace run in 1972? If he does run, one issue might be the American "defeat" in Vietnam. Wallace has already condemned President Nixon's plan to gradually reduce America's troop commitment and Vietnamize the war. He argued that "there's no way to withdraw combat forces until the enemy is crushed,' that "it -18- would take less casualties to win the war than withdraw." (Lipset P. 420, originally appeared in the Washington Post, December 1, 1969). Wallace may capitalize on the continued dissatisfaction of the white working class and lower middle class. "If that disaffection grows, and at the same time the pressures of an increasingly dis- affected black population grow, the soil will be fertile, of course, for a George Wallace kind of movement." (Lipset P. 420) A major role of Vice President Agnew has been one of appealing to the possible Wallace supporter. Although he does attract some of this vote, the Supreme Court decision on busing which will be enforced by the Administration could influence some voters to favor Wallace. Kevin Phillips in a column on June 10, 1971 wrote that if Wallace ran as a purely regional Southern candidate, that such an effort would hurt President Nixon and help the national Democratic Party. Phillips stated that there are three options open for Wallace. "First, Wallace could try to get his American Independent Party on the ballot again everywhere in the nation. Secondly, he could run in some of the 1972 Democratic presidential primaries. Third, he could simply drop out of the presidential picture." The best possible choice for the Republicans, according to Phillips, would be if Wallace ran in the Democratic primaries. "Such a campaign would tear the Democratic party apart and leave deep, lasting scars." -19- CONCLUSION To summarize a portrait of a Wallace voter, one would say the majority of Wallace's support comes from the South. The Wallace voter from both the South and non-south is most likely to be white, young, male, and married. His income is low, he is uneducated and lives in rural America, often on a farm. It would appear from the data in this study that if Wallace should run for President, the chief benefactor would be the Democratic nominee. Even though, in 1968, Wallace cut into some of Humphrey's union vote-- it is Nixon who lost the farm vote and the southern vote because of Wallace's candidacy. Polls indicate the fact that the majority of Wallace voters would have cast their vote for Nixon had Wallace not been a candidate. As for the 1972 election, it is too early to state who would be most affected by. a Wallace third party. If liberals dominate the Democratic ticket, Nixon would be the most affected by Wallace. But consider the possibility of a "Scoop" Jackson or Senator Ernest Hollings on the Democratic ticket. These men could conceivably be injured most by a Wallace campaign. Also, such a man as Harold Hughes could appeal, through his populist style, to a potential Wallace supporter. The possibilities are many. In the final analysis, George Wallace's potential effect on the election of 1972 depends on the political circumstances that are revealed in the coming months. RNC RESEARCH DIVISION JUNE 7, 1971 GOVERNOR GEORGE WALLACE 1972 There is no doubt that George Wallace Is looking ahead to the 1972 presidential campaign. The evidence is overwhelming - most notably in two campaign fund raising dinners and a permanent staff at the Wallace national campaign headquarters in South Montgomery, Alabama. However, Governor Wallace will not run unless he is sure he can make a significant impact at least equal to that of 1968. Governor Wallace considers the economy, school busing, taxes, and Vietnam the most important issues of the day. If Governor Wallace does not see what he considers a marked improvement in these areas he will undoubtedly declare his candidacy. George Wallace on 1972: "If it becomes necessary, I will be active again, wherever you like me to be." 1970 Alabama Inaugural Speech "I'm keeping my options open." Pittsburg Press February 26, 1971 Governor Wallace says three things can get him to run for president: 1. If he can be convinced he will do as well in 1972 as he did In 1968. 2. If Democrats nominate someone from the "far-left". 3. If President Nixon makes some more "promises" concerning school desegregation. UPI May 8, 1971 Strategy South George Wallace's goal for 1972 will be the same as that of 1968, that -2- is to undermine both traditional parties. The difference will be in strategy. Tom Turnipseed, national campaign director for Wallace, says, "We'll concentrate in five or six other states and go for the balance of power." What he means is they may concentrate on five or six states in the South and gather enough Electoral College votes to deny either major party candidate an Electoral College majority. Fund raising dinners have been held in Dallas, Texas, and Nashville, Tennessee. Further, Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Cincinatti, Ohio, have been mentioned as future fund raising sites. Style/Image Since 1968 George Wallace has become a considerably changed man - at least on the surface. The tone is softer, more reasoned, and the statements more moderate. Examples: "Alabama belongs to all of us - black and white, young and old, rich and poor alike." Inaugural Speech January, 1971 Representative Fred Gray of Tuskegee, says of Wallace: "George is Interested in his image being as nationally oriented as possible, along with that, he wants a good racial image." Detroit Free Pressi March 21, 1971 On Vietnam: "We could have won if we had wanted to win. Now we are going to have to fight just to pullout." Birmingham News April 3, 1971 Issues In no specific order, Governor Wallace has said the issues for next year will be schools, the economy, high taxes and foreign policy. In his appeal to the blue-collar worker Wallace has recognized the im- portance of the economic issue. -3- The issue that will most likely determine Wallace's candidacy is the economy. He said: "if the economy is bad and the inflationary spiral continues, that would increase the likelihood of another campaign." Pittsburg Press February 26, 1971 "What Mr. Nixon failed to point out is that his own policies of deficit federal spending have far more to do with causing Inflation than do the honest wages earned by construction workers.' The Wallace Stand (Newsletter) April, 1971 "Since our working men and women form the backbone of our economy, America is faced with economic peril. A tax revolt Is brewing! Until the unfair burden is taken from the shoulders of the average taxpayer -- we shall continue our cause. George Wallace Newsletter February, 1971 emphasis not added Recently, the Supreme Court busing decision provided Wallace with another 1972 campaign issue. Governor Wallace plans to file suit to force the reopening of some of the schools and to stop busing. The Governor said that if he decides to run in 1972, the Supreme Court decision on busing would be a key issue. Governor Wallace made an issue of the Calley verdict saying that the President should pardon Lt. Calley; however, there is no indication now that this will be an issue in 1972. Polls A poll of machinists' union members in Illinois showed surprising strength for Alabama's Governor Wallace for President. The poll taken in mid-April, indicated that the machinists favored Senator Muskie, followed by George Wallace and President Nixon third. -4- President Nixon and Governor Wallace matched with various Democrats: Muskle 58% Wallace 21 Nixon 20 Humphrey 52% Wallace 25 Nixon 25 Kennedy 52% Wallace 26 Nixon 21 Birmingham News May 6, 1971 A Gallup poll shows that if the presidential election were being held to- day, the candidacy of Governor Wallace would eliminate the slim lead Mr. Nixon has over Mr. Muskie. The poll says the lead Mr. Nixon holds can be attributed largely to the South where Mr. Nixon has a 3 to I edge over Muskie. With Wallace in the Race Muskie 44% Nixon 44 Wallace 9 Undecided 3 Wallace Not A Candidate Nixon 48% Muskie 46 Undecided 6 Baltimore Sun January 28, 1971 of State of National A. State Wallace Vote Total Vote Wallace Vote *Alabama 689,009 66.0% 6.96% Florida 624,207 28.6 6.30 Texas 584,269 19.0 5.90 *Georgia 535,550 43.3 5.41 *Louisiana 530,300 48.3 5.35 North Carolina 496,188 31.3 5.01 Tennessee 424,792 34.1 4.29 *Mississippi 415,349 63.5 4.19 Virginia 321,272 23.7 3.23 *Arkansas 235,627 38.7 2.38 South Carolina 215,430 32.3 2.17 *States carried by Wallace B. Candidate Vote Nixon Plurality of Total Vote Nixon 5,120,960 34.63% Humphrey 4,573,254 + 547,706 30.93 Wallace 5,072,554 + 48,406 34.30 Other 21,108 .14 14,787,876 II Non-Southern States (39) Candidate Vote Nixon Plurality : Total Vote Nixon 26,662,823 45.52% Humphrey 26,692,752 - 29,929 45.57 Wallace 4,825,989 + 21,836,834 8.24 Other 390,528 .67 58,572,092 111 Major Metropolitan Areas National Summary (Based on the 35 largest metropolitan areas) GOP Democrat AIP Total Plurality of National Vote AIP % Total Vote Cities 4,418,542 7,310,668 990,862 12,720,072 2,892,126D 17.34% 7.78% Suburbs 8,420,152 7,247,367 1,724,572 17,392,091 1,172,785R 23.71% 9.91% Totals 12,838,694 14,558,035 2,715,434 30,112,163 1,719,3410 41.05% 5.70% IV Population Group Voting (Wallace Percent) Source: NBC Sample Precinct Analysis on Election Night Urban-Suburban Income High Middle Low Rural Negro Italian Slavic Union Jewish Latin American East 2 8 7 10 I 9 9 8 2 3 Midwest 2 9 10 9 0 12 13 13 3 -- South 16 32 25 41 2 -- -- -- -- I West 2 8 4 9 2 -- -- 9 -- 2 National 5 13 12 21 I 10 11 10 2 -- Population Group Voting Source: CBS Sample Precinct Analysis on Election Night % Total Vote GOP Democrat AIP A. Urban-Rural Cleavage Cities 500,000 + 34% 59% 7% Cities 50,000 - 500,000 40 51 9 Small Cities 45 46 8 Suburbs 51 40 9 Rural - SmallTowns 48 37 16 B. Party Identification Highly Democrat 19% 75% 6% Moderately Democrat 39 51 10 Independent 47 44 9 Moderately Republican 57 35 9 Highly Republican 62 25 13 C. Income Levels High Income 54% 39% 6% Middle Income 43 47 10 Low Income 40 49 11 VI Lower-Income Whites: Source of Wallace Strength Source: U.S. News & World Report, November 18, 1968 Areas GOP Democrat AIP Philadelphia - 2 wards 33% 55% 12% New York City - 4 assembly districts. 33 61 6 San Francisco - 5 precincts 44 48 8 Los Angeles - 7 precincts 35 47 18 % Total Vote GOP Democrat AIP Detroit - 5 precincts 9% 73% 18% Chicago - I ward 23 66 II Cleveland - 5 precincts 12 67 21 Winston-Salem - 3 precincts 47 18 35 Charlotte, N.C. - 4 precincts 54 18 28 Asheboro, N.C. - 3 townships 50 18 32 Houston - 5 precincts 18 50 32 V11 Union-Labor Vote: Many Defected to Wallace Source: U.S. News & World Report, November 18, 1968 Areas GOP Democrat AIP Philadelphia - 4 wards 32% 54% 14% New York City -- 4 assembly districts 35 60 5 San Francisco - 5 precincts 14 80 6 Los Angeles - 6 precincts 56 35 9 Detroit - 5 precincts 17 69 14 Chicago - I ward 30 53 17 Gary, Ind. - I precinct 42 29 29 Cleveland - 2 precincts 35 47 18 Houston - 5 precincts 35 35 30 196 WALLACE PROFILE In their efforts to find solutions to the last eight years of Democratic mismanagement and maladministration, many conscientious Americans have become increasingly aware of Alabama's former governor, George Corley Wallace. Once thought to appeal only to the small percentage of segregationists in the United States, Governor Wallace has made large gains in public popular- ity since the beginning of his third-party Presidential campaign. The basis for that rise in popularity may be traced to two sources within the electorate. First. Before Wallace began taking his campaign to the whole country, he was largely unknown outside the South. Many knew of Wallace -- perhaps from his stand in the school house door; but few knew about Wallace. Second. Wallace has based his campaign on four important but -- in his mouth -- ambiguous concepts. In their normal or ordinary sense, these concepts: 1. increased emphasis on law and order; 2. reduced government spending; 3. reliance on local government, and 4. respect for the Constitution, are well regarded by responsible Americans. However, in the rhetoric of George Wallace their meaning becomes obscured and often disappears, It is becoming apparent that many Americans who harbor no ill-will toward Negro Americans, who are encouraged that generations of discrimination and inequality are finally coming to an end, are nevertheless also interested by these other aspects of George Wallace. The Wallace record before 1968, however, stands in flat contradiction to what Wallace says in 1968. The disparity between Wallace words and Wallace deeds is evident at every point in his appeal to voters in 1968. This profile seeks to provide a sketch of George Wallace by comparing his words and his deeds. (Further background and biographical material can be found at the end of this paper together with some of the unfortunate aspects of Wallace's career.) Law and Order George Wallace talks about cutting the crime rate and establishing more law and order. During Wallace's Administration the crime rate in Alabama increased faster than it did in the nation as a whole even though during that same period the crime rate in the nation was rising faster than ever before. Government Spending George Wallace often promises an end to big government spending and an end to heavy taxation. During his Administration Wallace became the biggest spender in Alabama's history. These increases were largely supported through deficit finance and increased taxes. Reliance on Local Government Wallace has supported every Federal grant-in-aid, every Federal welfare program, every Federal construction project, every Federal aid to education program. He has sought every dole available from the Federal government, publicly denounced the accompanying controls, and quietly accepted those controls in order to receive the funds. The Constitution Polls show that many citizens feel they are for Wallace because he is calling for a return to sound, constitutional government. George Wallace often talks about new or renewed respect for the Constitution. He derides the way in which the Supreme Court of the United States interprets the Constitution. -3- He is deceiving our citizens. He had no qualms, for instance, about trying to have Alabama's constitution changed when he found that he was barred from succeeding himself by the laws of Alabama. His response was to run his wife, the late Governor Lurleen Wallace, as his stand-in. One must have doubts about how our nation's Constitution might fare under such a man. In sharp contrast with the flavor of his current promises, both Wallace administrations were marked with many scandals -- some involving men high in the Wallace campaign organization. His record is not that of a man who did anything about problems -- except of course to talk about them. These are the kinds of things that George Wallace has said to Americans in those areas in which his racial appeal finds little support. These are the records of his performance in the past. It is to those Americans who have been misled by this phase of the Wallace appeal that this profile is directed. PROFILE George Wallace is a student and protege of former Alabama Governor James (Big Jim, Kissin' Jim) Folsom. Whenever Governor Wallace criticizes the "liberal" past of men like Governor Reagan or Mr. Nixon, his own record of Folsomite liberal- ism should be sharply brought to his attention. Folsomism was a mixture of the old southern populist "share-the-wealth" statist economics that brought Huey Long, Lyndon Johnson, Eugene Talmadge, Theodore Bilbo and other Southern big spenders to national attention. Wallace was nurtured in this tradition. -4- George Wallace spent six years in the Alabama legislature, four of them during Folsom's Administration when he was a consistent and loyal supporter of Governor Folsom and his policies. He managed the South Alabama campaign of Governor Folsom in 1954. Folsom's 1948 platform, when he tried to get an abortive third party presidential movement going, included a pledge to "cover the entire United States with TVA to expand Federal benefits for roads, schools and buildings and urged a general welfare tax to support everybody over 65 years of age. In those days Wallace enthusiastically supported those programs. He was all for big government spending. During the term of Governor Gordon Persons, who served between Folsom's two administrations, Wallace was considered to be, according to one Persons dministration official, "the leading liberal in the legislature, no doubt about that. He was regarded as a dangerous left-winger. A lot of people even looked on him as downright pink. " Like the Wallace program of today, Folsomism supported all the Federal aid programs that were available -- and asked for more. And again, like the Wallace program of today, Folsomism wanted this Federal money to be supplied with no Federal control over its use -- in other words, the people of the nation who were to supply the money to the State of Alabama were not supposed to be able to say whether the money was to be spent wisely, fairly, honestly, and without discrimination. According to Wallace and Big Jim Folsom, this was just a matter of local control. Wallace repudiated Folsomism in his race for governor in 1958, although up to that time he had been one of Folsom's strongest supporters. The real reason for the bresk was brought out recently in a biography of Wallace: -5- Nallace was afraid that public sentiment had turned against Folsom because of his drinking and because he had entertained then-Congressman Adam Clayton Powell 2/ in the Governor's mansion. Because of this fear, Wallace decided to run against Folsomism. Voters noted, however, that the George Wallace who was now promising to clean up Folsomism was the same George Wallace who had been Big Jim Folsom's south Alabama campaign manager only four years earlier, and that during that campaign Wallace had repeatedly told audiences that he thought the big spending Folsom Administration, which had been noted for graft and corruption, was a good one. "If that's Folsomism, then I'm for Folsomism," Wallace repeatedly told crowds. Wallace's Campaigns The most noteworthy feature of Wallace's two campaigns for the governor- ship was his vote-bidding and his sudden turn away from Folsomism. In the 1958 race, when his opponent was former Attorney General John Patterson, Wallace campaigned on a promise to "save the state from Folsomism." Nevertheless, most of the old Folsom supporters were in Wallace's camp when the votes were counted. But his ability to be all things to all men also won the Wallace campaign the support of the leading Alabama dailies, and the leading Alabama businessmen, both of whom supported him because of his "anti-Folsomite" stand, and the sup- port of the Alabama AFL-CIO. It should be noted that Wallace, in order to get. the support of the Alabama labor bosses, promised to repeal the state right-to- work law if elected. As for the vote-buying, Wallace learned his lesson well. Patterson, in the 1958 campaign, promised a state old age pension averaging $75 per month. -6- Wallace never committed himself to a specific figure. Big Jim Folsom is reported to have told Wallace during that campaign: George, I taught you better than that, didn't I? the only answer to a $75 pension program is an $80 pension promise. Wallace never forgot that. In the 1962 campaign, running against Folsom. himself, Wallace heard his opponent come out for an $80 monthly pension pledge. Wallace kicked off his campaign with a promise of $100. Then, declaring he had studied the state' revenues and found some extra money, he upped that to $110. 5/ (The average old age pension in Alabama today is about $80.) The other thing that Wallace never forgot was the race issue. In 1958 Wallace, who to that time had taken somewhat of a moderate stance on the ques- tion of race (though he always supported full segregation) was faced with an all out racist campaign from Patterson, who campaigned with support from the Ku Klux Klan. After his defeat, Wallace stated that Patterson had "out-segged" (some versions say "out-niggered") him, but that he would never be out-segged again. He wasn't. In 1962, it was Wallace who had support from the Klan. Wallace refused to repudiate his support from the Klan, even though he had come down hard on the Klan during the 1958 race. At that time he said his oppo- nent was "rolling in a new wave of the Klan and its terrible tradition of lawless- " ness. Wallace received the support of Jewish groups and the NAACP, mostly because of his opposition to the Klan. But four years later, determined not to be "out-segged" again, Wallace launched no attacks on the Klan. Turning his back on his earlier repudiation of the Klan, Wallace at the same time repudiated the good people who believed him when he promised to oppose lawlessness and terror. The Klan was for Wallace, and Wallace never repudiated them. Four years carlier he had told the voters -7- of Alabama that the election of John Patterson "would put starch in all those dirty bedsheets. " In 1962 the starch in the sheets was manufactured by George Wallace. Wallace as Governor Wallace's term as governor was a mixture of racist policies where there was publicity to be gained, loud talk against the Federal government, and being always first in line for the Federal handouts. Wallace always maintains that he is only taking back what the Federal government took from Alabama in the first place in taxes. Yet there is no record of Wallace ever calling for a reduction in Federal domestic spending programs that make high taxes necessary in the first place. Moreover, the statistics show that between two and two and a half dollars are received by Alabama from the Federal government for every one dollar Alabamans pay in 8/ Federal taxes. One Member of Congress once said of Wallace, "he's a fiscal liberal if I ever saw one. In fact, he's a liberal on just about everything except civil rights. He cusses the Federal government, but it's always on something relating to civil rights. He doesn't turn down a nickel of Federal matching funds on anything. If there's a Federal-State welfare program that he's against, I 9/ don't know what it is. " The meaning of fiscal integrity has escaped George Wallace. Indeed, it is difficult to say which government has the worse record on the question of fiscal sanity -- the Administration of Lyndon Johnson or the Administration of George Wallace. But then they both come out of the same Southern-populist "something for nothing" economic philosophy. -8- During Wallace's term as governor the State spent more money than under any governor in the State's history, according to "Congressional Quarterly. " An indication of Wallace's "constitutionalism" can be seen in the way he changes the meaning of his words to suit the political winds. In his inaugural address in 1963, Wallace promised "Segregation now, Segregation tomorrow, Segregation forever. " But in 1967 and 1968, as he is seeking to get national approval of his candidacy, he tells newsmen who remind him of his words, "That could have been phrased very well as, 'local government today, 10/ local government tomorrow, and local government forever. 111 Americans must ask themselves whether they want a man to give meaning to our laws who is himself capable of distorting the meaning of words when it suits him? RECORD Crime George Wallace says the big issue in 1968 is going to be "law and order. 11/ Crime in the streets. The people are going to be fed up " Governor Wallace should know. IN EVERY CATEGORY BUT TWO THE CRIME RATE INCREASED FASTER IN ALABAMA DURING THE WALLACE ADMINISTRATION THAN IT INCREASED NATIONALLY DURING THE SAME YEARS. Here are the figures, taken from the FBI Uniform Crime Reports for 1963 and 1966 -- the years George Wallace was Governor of Alabama: The TOTAL CRIME rate (per 100,000 inhabitants) increased NATIONALLY 29.0 percent. The TOTAL CRIME rate increased IN ALABAMA 42.4 percent. The FORCIBLE RAPE rate increased NATIONALLY 40.2 percent. The FORCIBLE RAPE rate increased IN ALABAMA 70.2 per cent. -9- The AGGRAVATED ASSAULT rate increased NATIONALLY 30.1 percent. The AGGRAVATED ASSAULT rate increased IN ALABAMA 39.9 percent. The BURGLARY rate increased NATIONALLY 24.9 percent. The BURGLARY rate increased IN ALABAMA 39.9 percent. The LARCENY rate increased NATIONALLY 32.8 percent. The LARCENY rate increased IN ALABAMA 44.5 percent. The AUTO THEFT rate increased NATIONALLY 32.3 percent. The AUTO THEFT rate increased IN ALABAMA 44.5 percent. Only in the categories of murder and robbery did Alabama not outpace the national crime rate increase. Fiscal Policy During Wallace's term as governor the State spent more money than under any governor in the State's history, according to Congressional Quarterly. Here is the fiscal record of George Wallace: - Highway bonded indebtedness -- up $125 million. - Education bond issues -- up $146 million. - Seaport facilities improvement -- $10 million. - Expansion of state docks -- $3 million. - Industrial development -- $2.6 million. - Huntsville Space Center Museum -- $1.9 million. TOTAL HIGHWAY AND GENERAL BONDED INDEBTEDNESS -- $288.5 million. State spending increased under Wallace from $963 million in 1962 to $1.44 billion today. -10- Under Wallace's "second Term" in which his wife, Lurleen, served as a figurehead to get around the Alabama Constitutional provision prohibiting a governor from succeeding himself, indebtedness continued to increase -- Governor Claude Kirk of Florida estimates the total increase in Alabama's debt at $750 million -- a tripling of the State's debt existing before Wallace took office. Taxes: - Beer tax -- doubled, to 4 cents a bottle. - Sales tax -- up from 4 to 5 cents on the dollar. - Cigarette taxes - up from 6 to 7 cents a pack. - Additional taxes were imposed on hotel and motel bills. Constitutional Government In his famous "Stand in the School House Door" in 1963, Governor Wallace called for "strict adherence to the Constitution of the United States as it was written." But he doesn't believe in that same strict adherence to the Alabama Constitution. That document clearly states that a governor may not succeed himself. George Vallace first tried to get the Alabama legislature to amend the constitution, and failing that, ran his wife promising that he would continue as de facto governor. Wallace promised that if his wife was elected, "I'm gonna be her No. 1 assistant and we're gonna go on doing things just like we've been doing them." (Ray Jenkins, New York Times Magazine, 4/24/66). Wallace " still acts as governor from his office directly across the hall from the executive suite (sometimes, late in the afternoon after Lurleen has returned to the mansion, he abandons even that appearance, quickly crosses the hall and serenely continues his work, his telephone calls and conferences, from behind her desk). He still personally draws up the programs and strives with the legislatures to get them passed, and the lobbyists and legislators -11- still approach him directly " (Atlantic Monthly, August 1967). Does this sound like a man who respects the letter and spirit of constitutional government? In addition to the evasion of the clear intent of the Alabama Constitution, George Wallace has been misusing Alabama State employees in his campaign for the Presidency. Governor Kirk estimates that the salaries and expenses of the Alabama state employees working full-time on the Wallace Presidential Campaign come to $300,000 a year. Kirk estimates that if all costs to the State of Alabama were figured in, instead of just salaries paid to State employees to do non-official political work for Wallace, the total cost would come to $750,000. Wallace's "constitutionalism" consists mostly of rhetorical attacks upon various figures in the Federal Court system. He does not offer any interpretation 12/ of the Constitution, he states only that he "believes in it as it was written. That statement has, by itself, absolutely no meaning. Anyone who says it does, does not know what he is talking about. The Supreme Court of the United States is the only body officially authorized to say what the Constitution says. Wallace's "constitutionalism" is quite simply a lot of long-winded, semantic jiggery pokery. Anytime anyone says George Wallace is for constitutional government, ask him what he means -- how does George Wallace propose to change the way we live under the Constitution. Scandals in Government In 1968 two scandals threatened Wallace's repeated claims of honesty in government. -12- A suit was filed in Montgomery on April 4, charging that State Finance Director Seymore Trammell -- who also serves as manager of the Wallace for President campaign -- was a party in a conspiracy to fix prices for asphalt paving contracts, and to force kickbacks or campaign contributions from the favored bidders. Trammell was appointed to his job as state finance director when Wallace took office in 1962. According to the suit, the conspiracy costs Alabama taxpayers from $2 to $4 million more than they need to pay for asphalt if the bidding were not rigged. Among the companies named in the suit were the Wiregrass Construction Co. of Montgomery, incorporated only a year after Wallace took office. Its presi- dent is the brother of the company secretary, who was Wallace's aid and chauffeur during the 1962 governor's race. Another company involved in the price fixing charges is the American Materials & Supply Co. of Gadsden, the State's biggest single supplier of asphalt. The firm was incorporated just a week before Wallace's inauguration as governor in January 1963. The secretary-treasurer of the firm was a long- time Wallace backer and advisor to Wallace on Minority groups in his 1964 13/ Indiana primary campaign. Another growing scandal is the liquor situation. Alabama has a state- owned liquor system, with county-option prohibition. In 1962 Wallace campaigned on a promise to "abolish the evil practice of paying off political debts with commissions on the sales of whiskey to the State of Alabama. Up to that time agents of distillers were under heavy pressure to contribute to political powers in order to get contracts for their companies 1.0 supply liquor to Alabama's state-owned monopoly. -13- When Wallace took office he immediately ordered the State's Alcoholic Beverage Control Board to notify the distillers that paid agents were no longer necessary. Wallace then imposed a 3 percent license tax on the distillers who sold to the State of Alabama. The distillers, who had agreements with other state- owned liquor agencies not to sell to anyone at a lower price then was offered them, chose not to sell to Alabama, under the license agreement. Immediately, The Montgomery Wine Company, headed by a long-time friend of Wallace who had no previous experience in the liquor business, was formed, and landed a fat contract with the State. The tax, it turned out, was to be figured on the basis of the distiller's previous year's sales to the State -- which clearly favored the new company at the expense of the established sellers. Montgomery Wine bought whiskey from a small distiller and bottled it under unknown brand names. The company has no employees and isn't listed in the phone book. Two other firms, located in Baltimore, Maryland, also were formed imme- diately after the Wallace Administration took over. Neither firm, Montebello Liquors, Inc., and Majestic Distilling Company, ever had produced whiskey before the Wallace reign. Montebello retained the Montgomery law firm of Gallion and Hare to represent them in Alabama. MacDonald Gallion, at the time the firm WE.S retained, had just finished a term as Alabama's Attorney General, a post to which he was re-elected in 1966. His firm still represents Montebello Liquors. The three firms, using private "house-brand" labels, today dominate Alabama's liquor business. National brands are available only in large-size bottles. The prices of the house brands are generally higher than the prices for the same quality nationally advertised bran's that prevailed before the Wallace Administration Look office. -14- The situation has become so bad that a lawsuit was filed in 1966 charging that the three companies "paid substantial monies directly or indirectly, by way of commissions, fees or otherwise one or more agents or persons" in Alabama 14/ because of ABC Board purchases. The suit is awaiting trial. BIOGRAPHY Born: August 25, 1919, Clio, Alabama Education: University of Alabama Law School, LL.B., 1942 Religion: Methodist Affiliations: American Legion, Veterans of Foreign Wars, Masons, Alabama Council for Better Schools. Profession: Lawyer George Corley Wallace was born in Clio (Barbour County), Alabama, in the southeastern corner of the state. His father, George C. Wallace, was a farmer and local politician. Upon the elder Wallace's death, mortgage holders foreclosed on all the family property except the home in Clio. Wallace has two brothers and one sister. Jack, now Alabama's Third Judicial Circuit Judge, succeeded Wallace to that position in the November 1958 election. Gerald, a Montgomery attorney, was a close confidant of George Wallace during his gubernatorial term. Wallace's sister, Marianne, married Montgomery salesman Alton Dauphin. Wallace attended Barbour County High School, where he was senior class president and a member of the debating team, quarterbacked for the school foot- ball team and twice won the State Golden Gloves bantam-weight boxing title (1936-37). He entered the University of Alabama in the fall of 1937. He occasion- ally fought under both his own and an assumed name on the "smoker" boxing circuit of those days. -15- Wallace received his law degree from the University of Alabama Law School in 1942. In the same year, he enlisted in the Air Corps and contracted a nearly fatal case of spinal meningitis that left him partially deaf. On May 23, 1943, Wallace married Lurleen Burns, who 23 years later succeeded him as Governor of Alabama. They met while she was a clerk in a Kress chain store. Early Political Career Wallace's first political venture occurred at age 13 when he knocked on neighborhood doors in behalf of Fred Gibson, a Democratic candidate for secretary of state. Although Gibson lost the race, he did carry Wallace's hometown of Clio. In 1935, Wallace served as a page in the Alabama Senate. Always active in campus politics, he won election as president of his freshman class at the University of Alabama, but lost a race for president of the student body in his senior year. Wallace was particularly close to former Gov. Chauncey Sparks of Barbour County. After his discharge from the Army Air Corps, Wallace was appointed an assistant attorney general of Alabama earning $175 per month. In November 1946, he won election from Barbour County to the Alabama House of Representa- tives as a Democrat. Two of the more important bills bearing his name are the Wallace Trade School Act (1948), providing for the construction of vocational schools, and the Wallace Industrial Act (1952), which authorized Alabama towns to issue municipal bonds and was credited with bringing 100 new industries into the state within 10 years of its passage. Wallace was twice voted an out- standing legislator by his fellow state Representatives. Throughout his six years in the state House, Wallace maintained a law practice in Clayton, dealing primarily with wills and estates. He also undertook the defense in several criminal cases. -16- Wallace began to receive national attention during the 1948 Democratic National Convention, when he led an unsuccessful floor fight against a strong civil rights platform plank submitted by Northern Democrats -- an occasion that brought Hubert Humphrey national fame. He backed Sen. Richard B. Russell (D-Ga.) for the Presidential nomination in 1948. Representing Alabama on the 1956 Democratic National Convention Platform Committee, Wallace was instrumental in achieving adoption of a compromise civil rights plank acceptable to Southern Democrats. While a member of the state Legislature, Wallace ran successfully for judge of the Alabama Third Judicial Circuit, serving from 1953 to 1959. In 1955, he sentenced a white man to life imprisonment for slaying a Negro; it was the first such conviction in Alabama in several years. A friend of Wallace's recalled that "George was a good judge, fair, courteous, decisive in his rulings, 15/ but his heart wasn't in it. He's a fighter, not a referee. In 1958, Wallace and state Attorney General John Patterson qualified for the Democratic gubernatorial run-off primary, edging out 12 other candidates. Wallace received 26.3 percent of the total vote. Although both men's platforms were similar, Wallace appeared to be the more moderate of the two candidates. He disavowed the Ku Klux Klan, which backed Patterson, and received a "favorable" rating from the Alabama Labor Council (AFL-CIO) and the support of several prominent Negroes. Patterson won the June 3 runoff, tantamount to election in November by a 64,902-vote plurality (55.7 percent). Wallace reportedly declared, 16/ "They out-niggered me that time, but they'll never do it again. " Wallace then returned to his court to complete the remaining months of his judicial term. -17- After his judicial term expired Jan. 19, 1959, Wallace joined his brother, Gerald, in a Montgomery law office. But for the next three years he devoted the bulk of his time to campaigning for the 1962 gubernatorial race, making numerous appearances throughout the state. Keeping his 1958 pledge in mind, Wallace ran on a militant segregationist platform. He promised to resist all efforts "of the Federal courts, the Justice Department and the Civil Rights Commission to destroy our social and educational order." He vowed to keep Alabama schools segregated "to the point of standing in the school house door if necessary. This time he was backed by the Ku Klux Klan. Election as Governor. At the May 1, 1962, primary election, Wallace was the frontrunner in a seven-man contest, winning 207, votes (32.5 percent). In the May 29 runoff election he faced the late Ryan deGraffenried, then a state Senator and considered more moderate than Wallace on racial matters. In the runoff, Wallace stepped up his campaign attacks on the Federal courts, describing the Supreme Court as not having "the legal brains to try a chicken thief." He called Federal Judge Frank Johnson, of the Northern District of Alabama, "an integrating, scalawagging, carpetbagging, bald- faced liar. " Wallace won the May 29 runoff primary with 55.9 percent of the vote (a 608-vote plurality). He had only token opposition from independent Frank Walls in the November general election. Election of Mrs. Wallace When Wallace, in October 1965, failed to get legislative approval of a bill allowing him to seek a second consecutive term as Governor, he backed his wife, Lurleen, for the post. -18- She won the May 3, 1966, Democratic primary by overwhelming nine other candidates. In the Nov. 7 general election, she defeated her Republican opponent, then U.S. Rep. James D. Martin (1965-67), by 537,505 votes (63.4 percent). Elected Governor at age 40, Mrs. Wallace was the first woman to fill the position in Alabama and the third woman Governor in U.S. history. George Wallace became special assistant to his wife at a dollar-a-year 17/ salary. As Governor, she received $25,000 a year. Conclusions The record of George Corley Wallace speaks for itself. It is the record of a man strongly interested in power politics. His unsubstantial kind of something-for-nothing economic attitudes are an affront to the electorate which he asks for support. His ideas of social harmony are an affront to the million of Americans who look for decency in the relations between Americans. His campaign "pledges" cannot but be of little value in the light of his past performance. He is a man preying upon the genuine fears of troubled Americans. A vote for George Wallace in November is not a protest against the Democrats or the Republicans. It is a vote for no government at all. It is a vote against the interest of all but a few people who would rather live in the 19th century than the 20th. A vote for George Wallace is scarcely the act of a responsible American. FOOTNOTES 1/ "The Little Man,' by Marshall Frady, Saturday Evening Post, June 15, 1968, P. 66. Excerpts from the biography, Wallace, by Marshall Frady, to be published this year by New American Library. 2/ Ibid., PP. 66-67. Human Events, January 27, 1968, P. 8. 4/ Montgomery Advertiser, May 1, 1958. Human Events, January 27, 1968, P. 9. 6/ See Note 2. 71 Montgomery Advertiser, May 12, 1958. 8/ According to figures published by the Tax Foundation, Alabama received $2.00 in Federal grants-in-aid alone for every $1.12 it pays in taxes. These figures do not take into account the vast expenditures Alabama receives through the Redstone Arsenal, the Huntsville space center, Maxwell Air Force Base, or the Federal salaries paid to Federal employees in Alabama. Nor does it account for many forms of Federal welfare received by Alabama, where the rate of people on welfare is the second highest in the nation. When these items are included the estimates of Federal money spent in Alabama per $1.00 of Federal taxes paid by Alabama rises to $2.50 -- or higher. 9/ Congressional Quarterly, September 1967, No. 39, Part I, P. 1923. 10/ Meet the Press, April 23, 1967. 11/ Interview with James Jackson Kilpatrick, National Review, April 18, 1967. 12/ Meet the Press, April 23, 1967. 13/ Washington Post, April 15, 1968, April 29, 1968; Birmingham News, Apr. 7, 1968. 14/ Washington Post, May 5, 1968. 15/ National Review, April 18, 1967, P. 405. 16/ This widely-quoted statement has appeared, among other places, in Congressional Quarterly, Human Events, January 27, 1968, P. 9, and Saturday Evening Post, June 15, 1968, P. 68. 11/ The foregoing biography of Wallace was prepared by Congressional Quarterly and is reprinted by permissions from that publication's profile on George C. Wallace, which appeared September 1967, No. 39, Part I, PP. 1920, ff. TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction (Veterans) Administration Programs What The Critics Say Census And Statistical Analysis Veteran Organizations And Contacts Calendar Of Veteran Events Veteran News Outlets Veterans and their families comprise 49 percent of the American population. There are over 5 million Vietnam era veterans alone. Including their immediate families, Vietnam veterans represent well over 17 million potential votes. A successful, well-played campaign to win their support could have a decisive impact on the 1972 elections. This group is particularly critical in the 18 to 25 age category and may well provide a balance to the volatile campus community. We have already done fairly well with this sector. Quite literally, we own the American Legion and the Veterans of Foreign Wars, the two largest veterans' groups. Chief Rainwater of the Legion is now running the Jobs for Veterans program and doing a full-time PR job for us, traveling around the country developing contacts for us. With Mel Stephens on the staff, we have also begun to make important in-roads into the ranks of younger veterans; John O'Neill, the anti-Kerry man, is only one example. But we can probably still do better. Veterans' groups are one of the best organized and politically powerful special interest groups in the country. Their press is sophisticated and potent, reaching literally tens of millions of people each month. We can and should take every advantage of this. The two principal concerns of veterans' groups are our foreign policy and our veterans benefit programs. We have them sold on the first despite considerable conservative criticism of our military posture and the President's trip to China. As for the second, our program is basically very good, but one for which we get little credit. The Vietnam Veterans is a largely untapped potentially Republican resource. To encourage his movement in our direction, it is recommended that GI education benefits be increased (under consideration) and the recruitment of bright, young people for the Veterans' Administration be stepped up (in process). It is recommended that a substantial part of our efforts this year and next be focused on the younger veteran. We believe that building up the younger veteran and his support for President Nixon can not only bring us veteran votes, but also increase our support in the broader national community. If the public has other kinds of youth with which to identify, we believe that it will be less likely to focus its attention exclusively on the campus community and its particular concerns. Whether we like it or not, we live in a youth-worshipping society. This being so,we can and should make an effort to identify and develop alternative youth symbols which can be brought before the public. In doing so, we will help to "legitimize" support for President Nixon from youth-concerned parents and others. For all these reasons, it is recommended that we get somebody to work full-time at the Citizens' Committee on veterans. He should coordinate with Chuck Colson and work with Colson and Don Johnson on PR and, as time permits, substantive initiatives as well. His duties would include communications (supplementing present VA releases with articles, columns, interviews, etc. for veterans' magazines), speakers (working with Pat O'Donnell in placing key spokesmen at key meetings; working on his own in key states to develop local Nixon speaking teams and placing them in local veterans' events), organizational liaison (continual stroking of major veterans' groups, pushing Colson for Presidential letters, messages, possible visits, etc. ), and development of a solid Nixon veterans' organization. Mel Stephens, who has returned to law school, has already done a considerable amount of work in this field and he should be plugged in at Citizens next summer, but we should not suspend what has been done until then. Charles P. Collins (resume attached), now at Labor, should be tied in. As an outside contact Anthony McDonald, a young veteran now serving as Director of National Security for the Veterans of Foreign Wars, is useful. Approve Disapprove If approved, please indicate an approximate date when this person should be brought on board the campaign staff. Date to Hire CHARLES P. COLLINS, III Address 5919 Birchbrook Drive, 126 Dallas, Texas 75206 Telephone (214) 363-4838 Job Objective Seeking a challenging career where advancement and management opportunities are not solely based on seniority or longevity but rather on the talent and ability of the individual to perform the job. Education B.A. in Psychology from Marquette University, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, June 1966. Marquette Institute of Foreign Language, Koln, Germany, 1964. Military Service U.S. Navy. Three tours in Vietnam as Officer in Charge of U.S. Navy Beach Jumper detachments. Military service completed in 1969. Previous Positions September 1965 to April 1966 - Varsity Travel Bureau, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Business and Sales Manager. June 1966 to July 1969 - U.S. Navy, Beach Jumper Unit ONE, Coronado, California, Officer in Charge BJU Team ELEVEN. August 1969 to October 1969 - Computer Age Industries, Inc., Fairfax, Virginia, Placement Officer. November 1969 to April 1971 - Electronic Data Systems Corporation, Dallas, Texas, Recruiting Staff and Industrial Management Staff. Experience As Business Manager of the Varsity Travel Bureau, had responsibility for management of the company. Directed and conducted consulting activities with area universities and business enterprises. Planned and implemented several large charter contracts with major U.S. transportation services. As sales manager, developed marketing schemes and sales presentations; also designed promotional materials for travel tours. As Officer in Charge, U.S. Navy BJU Team ELEVEN, supervised technical, logistical and administrative functions of 50 officers and enlisted personnel. Directed all planning and training operations in support of special Pacific Fleet operations and exercises. As three times an Officer in Charge of U.S. Navy detachments deployed in Vietnam, advised task force commanders concerning the employment of special operations in their area of responsibility. Prepared and presented many briefings and reports to senior Army and Navy Commanders. As Chief evaluator on several projects, conducted research, development, testing and evaluation of electronic warfare and psychological warfare equipment for the U.S. Navy. Consulted with civilian contractors and made and implemented many equipment design changes. As Placement Officer for CAI, assisted in obtaining employment upon completion of their education through contacting employers of EDP personnel and coordinating inter- views with them. As a Recruiter for EDS, worked daily with senior staff members and traveled extensively in the Mid-west and North-east areas in search of qualified system engineers and computer center operators. Have approximately 1,000 hours of direct interviewing experience. While on Industrial Management staff of a major EDS account, had overall respon- sibility for planning, coordinating and implementing major internal data processing procedures for the customer. Customer contact centered around working with division vice presidents and department managers to develop and maintain manuals covering procedures (both EDP and manual) and general administrative policies. Honors and Awards National Honorary German Fraternity - Vice President, 1964-1965. Awarded Navy Achievement Medal by the Secretary of the Navy, 1967. Receiving Presidential Unit Citation, 1967. Awarded Gold Star in lieu of second Navy Achievement Medal by the Secretary of the Navy, 1968. Received Meritorious Unit Commendation with one Bronze Star, 1968. Received Letter of Commendation from Commanding Officer, Beach Jumper Unit ONE, 1969. Personal Single; Born 6-21-43 in Bradford, Pennsylvania; Interests: All athletic sports and stock market. References Gary M. Griggs Philip L. Moncrief Electronic Data Systems Corp. Electronic Data Systems Corp. Dallas, Texas Dallas, Texas The following is a summary of where we stand with the nation's 20 million older Americans on issues. Arthur Flemming, Jamie McLane, George Bell and Bud Evans have been charged with developing a comprehensive political strategy as well. Without taking anything away from what follows, we should remember that it will only effect a minority of the older population. "Our elderly" are generally very conservative and very interested in essentially conservative issues; inflation and the social issue parti- cularly. We're after Southern California and Florida retired people and people in the farm belt. These are not people to whom the attached will appeal significantly. They don't care as much as other sectors about special benefits. They're used to working and what they care about is keeping what they work for. What we must do is impress upon the elderly our conservative issues and such special-interest action as the provision in H. R. 1 raising the amount the elderly can earn while retired without losing Social Security benefits. This will have much more effect than what we do for the poor who cannot work. We need some hard thought on how to reach the elderly. The largest group of retired people, the Senior Citizens Council, is solidly AFL/CIO. The American Association of Retired Persons, whom the President addressed last month, is favorable, but only represents 3 million people. There are no other really large-size groups. Presi- dential events following one another - the AARP speech followed by the visit to the nursing home - is good, but not enough. We need to think seriously about what we can do in reaching the retired person. Presidential speeches and visits to Senior Citizen Centers and Population Centers should give us the mass media attention we need. Direct mailing may be another answer. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON August 18, 1971 DOMESTIC COUNCIL STUDY MEMORANDUM #16 MEMORANDUM FOR DIRECTOR, OMB SECRETARY OF HEW SECRETARY OF HUD SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE SECRETARY OF DOT SECRETARY OF LABOR SECRETARY OF COMMERCE FROM JOHN EHRL SUBJECT Administration Strategy for the Aging As you know, the President is anxious to develop a comprehensive national strategy, with specific action programs, to improve the quality of life, the dignity, and the productivity of the country's 20 million older people. As he stated recently in Nashua, New Hampshire: "The vast majority of Americans over 65 years of age are eager and able to play a continuing role as active, independ- ent participants in the life of our country. Encouraging them to play this role and providing greater opportunities for them to do so is a cornerstone of this Administration's policy concerning older Americans. 11 We need a fundamental strategy for the aging along the same lines as the strategy we have developed for this country's poor --- our in- come strategy. One element of this strategy has already been developed in the area of nursing homes. The President outlined the basic plan of action in this area on August 6 (Tab A). ORGANIZATION To develop the overall comprehensive strategy with specific program recommendations, the President asked that we create the Domestic Page 2 - Aging Council Committee on the Aging. This Committee will include the addressees of this memorandum, as well as Arthur Flemming, Chairman of the White House Conference on Aging. Joe Blatchford, Director of Action; and Leonard Garment, Special Consultant to the President are being asked to serve as consultants to the Committee. Elliot Richardson has been asked to chair the Committee. Each of the members of the Committee and the consultants to the Committee are to appoint an assistant secretary level lead man to the interdepartmental Working Group being formed to accomplish the Committee's staff work. Jamie McLane, of the Domestic Council staff, will chair the Working Group and will be the White House/ Domestic Council coordination point for all Administration activity on the Aging. Your member of the Working Group should be desig- nated to Jamie McLane not later than close of business August 20 in order that we may meet the tight time schedule imposed upon us by events. To conform to the budgeting decision cycle and to the demands of the forthcoming White House Conference on the Aging, a prelimin- ary options paper should be sent to the President by October 6. Tab B outlines the proposed timetable for the next seven weeks. FIRST STEPS We have reviewed the 1970 report of the President's Task Force on Aging, the Domestic Council Review on Aging conducted last year, and the White House Conference on Aging's most recent find- ings and have identified ten major areas of broad concern. These areas are listed in Tab C, together with the Department which is primarily responsible for developing and implementing our policy recommendations for the particular area. Tabs D (1) through D (10) contain a more detailed summary of this review. The problem of each area has been outlined and the proposa which have been advanced for both short-term administrative actions and longer term initiatives have been listed. Page 3 - Aging These preliminary fact sheets need to be reviewed in depth, re- vised and expanded into comprehensive background papers by each of the lead agencies. A requested format for the background papers is contained in Tab E. These background papers should be ready for initial review by September 15 so that the Domestic Council Com- mittee and Committee Work Group might begin deliberations as soon as possible. Attachments cc: Arthur S. Flemming Joseph Blatchford Frank Carlucci Leonard Garment James W. McLane Information Cupies All Domestic Council Members Tab D - ] 1. HEALTH CARE Almost all of the reports on Aging emphasize the need to make top quality health services available to every American as a matter of right, without regard to social position, income, race, or religion. Current proposals for meeting the needs of America's elderly include: A. Nursing Homes 1. Action on the President's Chicago speech in which he emphasized the critical condition of substandard Nursing Homes. 2. The authorization of Rep. David Pryor's proposed investigation of nursing homes in the House of Representatives. 3. The training of nurses aides and orderlies in nursing homes. Sen. Percy proposes a $17.5 million bill to aid this over the next four years. 4. The training of medical assistants for nursing homes. Sen. Percy proposes a $17.5 million program for grants to medical schools over the next 4 years. He suggests the schools' retraining of discharged armed forces medical corpsmen. 5. The removal of the 100-day time limit on skilled nursing home care for patients who continue to need care. 6. Strict federal enforcement of present standards for nursing homes receiving federal funds. This will mean elimination of the "substantial compliance" approval given homes that are in violation of the law. Standards needing upgrading and enforcement include: a. physical environment (safety, electrical and mechanical systems, elevators, nursing unit, all rooms) b. manpower C. plarmaceutical services (through FDA) 2 d. dietary services e. restorative services f. housekeeping services 7. Training of standards inspectors. 8. Publishing ratings, through HEW, for homes that receive federal funds. 9. Licensing of administrators and educational programs for health administrators. 10. The identification, through, Congress and HEW, of nursing home owners. These owners should be held legally accountable for conditions in their homes. B. Health Insurance 1. The enactment of the Health Security Bill (S-3 and H. R. 22) because it would pay 70% of the average citizen's health expenses under a federally sponsored, national health insurance. This could only be possible if we dissolved Medicare and Medicaid. Medicare 2. Action on the President's Health Proposals which are still in the Ways and Means and Finance Committee. The proposal is aimed at a total reform of the medical system, creating a partnership between governmental and private medical programs to provide better services and facilities for all citizens. The elderly are most affected because of increased incidence of ill health. The Administration's proposal to absorb the monthly Medicare premium of $5.60 is roughly equivalent to an average of a 5 percent Social Security increase. 3. Elimination of Part B premium charged for Medicare doctor insurance. Medicare Part A.and Part B should be combined with B paid for through taxes on rising payrolls and federal general revenues. 3 4. Health services for Medicare beneficiaries under prepayment group health plans or other health maintenance organizations. 5. The full coverage of out-of-hospital prescription drugs by Medicare. Presently Medicare only pays for drugs or other medication prescribed during hospitalization. Other proposals relating to drugs include: a. The listing and selling of drugs by generic names. b. Lowered drug costs. c. The reimbursement of pharmacies at a rate to include a fee for professional services not exceeding that particular state or region's median fee. 6. The abolishment of limitations on medical care. The Medicare benefit program should cover the entire period of treated illness or disability. Presently the patient must pay a $60 initial fee, additional fees beyond 90 days hospitalization, and additional fees after the limit of 100 visits during a spell of illness. 7. Complete Medicare coverage for the cost of dental care, hearing aids, eye glasses, foot care or other prosthetic services. 8. Medicare coverage for health services provided in the patient's home. Presently many patients remain in the hospital too long or become confined to long-term care institutions. Medicaid 9. Improvement and expansion of Medicaid not phasing out as contemplated under a pending amendment to the Social Security Act. 10. The control of Medicaid costs through the use of pre- determined reimbursement rates for doctors and other providers of health services and not through additional charges to the patient. 4 C. Long-Term Care 1. A bill which authorizes $35 million over the next four years for grants to cover all or part of the cost of projects for rehabilitation programs of aged in-patients of long term care facilities or to assist such in-patients to attain self-support or self-care. 2. Coverage by Medicare for extended care facilities. 3. The immediate development of programs of long term care including such innovations as day care hospitals and neighborhood health services. The Presidential Task Force recommends financing of these services from the Medicare Trust Fund. 4. Development of a training program for those responsible for patient care in order to emphasize rehabilitation of long term care patients. 5. A bill to provide for a training program within the Public Health Service for State inspectors of long term health care facilities. $17.5 million is proposed to finance the Public Health Service. 6. An HEW study or federal programs which provide assistance to the facilities and patients of long-term care in order to develop greater uniformity under these programs and their standards. 7. An HEW study of the feasibility of one state agency having the responsibility for administering the Medicaid program and for licensing and inspecting long term care facilities. D. Preventive Care 1. The establishment of health centers, by the federal govern- ment, across the nation offering patients diagnostic and referral service and other preventive medical care. 2. The development of these centers either adjacent to or part of hospitals. In areas where this is not possible, mobile health centers, with full preventive medical services should be provided. 5 3. Training of paramedical personnel at the proposed health centers. 4. Medicare coverage for early diagnostic and preventive measures. 5. Financing from the Medicare Trust Fund for geriatric health services which include preventive techniques such as screening and health education. E. Mental Health 1. More psychiatric treatment for the elderly. This can reduce personnel problems as well as many medical costs for distrubed older persons. 2. Complete Medicare coverage on out-patient psychiatric care. 3. Complete Medicare coverage for in-patient psychiatric treatment after the 190 day life-time limitation. 4. The establishment of a commission on the Mental Health of the Elderly. LAWRENCE M. HIGBY - BIO SKETCH 1. Age -- 26 years 2. Married to the former Dolores Vivian Bramblett One child -- Jennifer 3. Residence -- Maryland 4. Worked as an Executive Assistant at the Los Angeles office of J. Walter Thompson -- 1967-1968. 5. In June 1968 joined the Nixon for President campaign and then on the Nixon transition committee as a staff assistant. 6. In January 1969 -- Became Staff Assistant to H. R. Haldeman and is currently the Administrative Assistant to Mr. Haldeman. 7. From Southern California -- Attended University of California at Los Angeles -- Received BA June 1967 - Political Science; one year additional in MBA program. Activities: (1) General representative to student legislative council; (2) Vice President of student body; (3) Selected outstanding student upon graduation; (4) Member of Sigma Nu social fraternity; (5) Vice President of Blue Key National Men's Honor Society.