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This file contains:
Overview of various elections in West Virginia. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 10/1/1971
Overview of various elections in Delaware. 1 pg. Campaign [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/30/1971
Overview of various elections in Montana. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: an attached document from McWhorter dealing with the National Governors' Conference. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 9/27/1971
From McWhorter to Haldeman RE: the 1971 National Governors' Conference and the success of Republican governors at that event. 2 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Report], 9/23/1971
From A.J. Miller, Jr. to Ed DeBolt RE: political races in Texas in 1971 and 1972. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Mike Scanlon to DeBolt RE: 1972 campaigns and the Republican Party of Georgia. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/25/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached reports. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 8/3/1971
From DeBolt to Dent RE: attached political reports on Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state of Missouri in 1971 and the prospects of putting Republicans in office in 1972. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/12/1971
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state of Oklahoma in 1971 and the prospects of putting Republicans in office. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state of Wisconsin in 1971. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McWhorter's meeting with Republican State Chairmen. 7 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/6/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McWhorter's meeting with Republican State Chairmen. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/6/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached information obtained by McWhorter during his meeting with GOP leaders in Denver. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 8/4/1971
From McWhorter to Flemming presenting detailed notes of important issues across the United States generated during a meeting with various Republican officials. 21 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McWhorter's role in a Western Governors' Conference. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from McWhorter. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 6/30/1971
From Higby to Strachan RE: McWhorter's information on Muskie. Handwritten notes added by two unknown parties. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/24/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from McWhorter. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 6/30/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Dent's comments on Ohio. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/29/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached information. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
Overview of various elections in Ohio. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/27/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: attached documents. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/30/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman summarizing information from Richards, Davis, and other officials in Dent's office. Third page of document not present. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman summarizing information from Richards, Davis, and other officials in Dent's office. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached information. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/21/1971
From Richards to Dent RE: the role of senior citizens in the 1972 election. Information on Kennedy's legislative record with regard to senior citizens attached. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached documents. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/19/1971
From Richards to Dent RE: Edward Kennedy's support from key demographics, should he choose to run for president in 1972. Polling information and a pamphlet from the National Retired Teachers Association attached. 11 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/16/1971
Information on young voters. Statistical information on voter age across the United States and voter registation organizations attached. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date
From Richards to Dent RE: capturing the African-American and senior citizen voting groups. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/16/1971
From Barnard S. Van Rensselaer to Bell RE: thoughts for the 1972 election. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/13/1971
Scholar Source Context
Document identity
localId
26145876
label
WHSF: Contested, 23-5
core
doc
dtoType
document
citationUrl
pageCount
1
Source metadata
id
26145876
sourceUrl
contentType
document
title
WHSF: Contested, 23-5
description
This file contains:
Overview of various elections in West Virginia. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 10/1/1971
Overview of various elections in Delaware. 1 pg. Campaign [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/30/1971
Overview of various elections in Montana. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: an attached document from McWhorter dealing with the National Governors' Conference. 1 pg. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Memo], 9/27/1971
From McWhorter to Haldeman RE: the 1971 National Governors' Conference and the success of Republican governors at that event. 2 pgs. [Subject: Domestic Policy] [Report], 9/23/1971
From A.J. Miller, Jr. to Ed DeBolt RE: political races in Texas in 1971 and 1972. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Mike Scanlon to DeBolt RE: 1972 campaigns and the Republican Party of Georgia. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/25/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached reports. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 8/3/1971
From DeBolt to Dent RE: attached political reports on Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/20/1971
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state of Missouri in 1971 and the prospects of putting Republicans in office in 1972. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/12/1971
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state of Oklahoma in 1971 and the prospects of putting Republicans in office. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state of Wisconsin in 1971. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McWhorter's meeting with Republican State Chairmen. 7 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/6/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McWhorter's meeting with Republican State Chairmen. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/6/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached information obtained by McWhorter during his meeting with GOP leaders in Denver. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 8/4/1971
From McWhorter to Flemming presenting detailed notes of important issues across the United States generated during a meeting with various Republican officials. 21 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/26/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: McWhorter's role in a Western Governors' Conference. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/15/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from McWhorter. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 6/30/1971
From Higby to Strachan RE: McWhorter's information on Muskie. Handwritten notes added by two unknown parties. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/24/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information from McWhorter. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 6/30/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Dent's comments on Ohio. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/29/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached information. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
Overview of various elections in Ohio. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 7/27/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: attached documents. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/30/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman summarizing information from Richards, Davis, and other officials in Dent's office. Third page of document not present. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Strachan to Haldeman summarizing information from Richards, Davis, and other officials in Dent's office. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/28/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached information. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/21/1971
From Richards to Dent RE: the role of senior citizens in the 1972 election. Information on Kennedy's legislative record with regard to senior citizens attached. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1971
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached documents. 1 pg. [Subject: White House Staff] [Memo], 7/19/1971
From Richards to Dent RE: Edward Kennedy's support from key demographics, should he choose to run for president in 1972. Polling information and a pamphlet from the National Retired Teachers Association attached. 11 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/16/1971
Information on young voters. Statistical information on voter age across the United States and voter registation organizations attached. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date
From Richards to Dent RE: capturing the African-American and senior citizen voting groups. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 7/16/1971
From Barnard S. Van Rensselaer to Bell RE: thoughts for the 1972 election. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/13/1971
citationUrl
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
10/1/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Overview of various elections in West
Virginia. 1 pg.
23
5
9/30/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Overview of various elections in Delaware. 1
pg.
23
5
Campaign
Other Document
Overview of various elections in Montana. 1
pg.
23
5
9/27/1971
Domestic Policy
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: an attached
document from McWhorter dealing with the
National Governors' Conference. 1 pg.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 1 of 7
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
9/23/1971
Domestic Policy
Report
From McWhorter to Haldeman RE: the 1971
National Governors' Conference and the
success of Republican governors at that
event. 2 pgs.
23
5
7/15/1971
Campaign
Memo
From A.J. Miller, Jr. to Ed DeBolt RE:
political races in Texas in 1971 and 1972. 2
pgs.
23
5
6/25/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Mike Scanlon to DeBolt RE: 1972
campaigns and the Republican Party of
Georgia. 1 pg.
23
5
8/3/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached
reports. 1 pg.
23
5
7/20/1971
Campaign
Memo
From DeBolt to Dent RE: attached political
reports on Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin. 1 pg.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 2 of 7
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
7/12/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state
of Missouri in 1971 and the prospects of
putting Republicans in office in 1972. 2 pgs.
23
5
7/15/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state
of Oklahoma in 1971 and the prospects of
putting Republicans in office. 2 pgs.
23
5
7/15/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Miller to DeBolt RE: the political state
of Wisconsin in 1971. 1 pg.
23
5
8/6/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE:
McWhorter's meeting with Republican State
Chairmen. 7 pgs.
23
5
8/6/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE:
McWhorter's meeting with Republican State
Chairmen. 5 pgs.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 3 of 7
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
8/4/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached
information obtained by McWhorter during
his meeting with GOP leaders in Denver. 1
pg.
23
5
7/26/1971
Campaign
Memo
From McWhorter to Flemming presenting
detailed notes of important issues across the
United States generated during a meeting
with various Republican officials. 21 pgs.
23
5
7/15/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE:
McWhorter's role in a Western Governors'
Conference. 2 pgs.
23
5
6/30/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information
from McWhorter. 1 pg.
23
5
5/24/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Higby to Strachan RE: McWhorter's
information on Muskie. Handwritten notes
added by two unknown parties. 1 pg.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 4 of 7
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
6/30/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: information
from McWhorter. 1 pg.
23
5
7/29/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: Dent's
comments on Ohio. 1 pg.
23
5
7/28/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached
information. 1 pg.
23
5
7/27/1971
Campaign
Other Document
Overview of various elections in Ohio. 2 pgs.
23
5
7/30/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman RE: attached
documents. 1 pg.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 5 of 7
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
7/28/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman summarizing
information from Richards, Davis, and other
officials in Dent's office. Third page of
document not present. 9 pgs.
23
5
7/28/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Strachan to Haldeman summarizing
information from Richards, Davis, and other
officials in Dent's office. 10 pgs.
23
5
7/21/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached
information. 1 pg.
23
5
7/21/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Richards to Dent RE: the role of senior
citizens in the 1972 election. Information on
Kennedy's legislative record with regard to
senior citizens attached. 8 pgs.
23
5
7/19/1971
White House Staff
Memo
From Dent to Haldeman RE: attached
documents. 1 pg.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 6 of 7
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
23
5
7/16/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Richards to Dent RE: Edward
Kennedy's support from key demographics,
should he choose to run for president in
1972. Polling information and a pamphlet
from the National Retired Teachers
Association attached. 11 pgs.
23
5
Campaign
Report
Information on young voters. Statistical
information on voter age across the United
States and voter registation organizations
attached. 14 pgs.
23
5
7/16/1971
Campaign
Report
From Richards to Dent RE: capturing the
African-American and senior citizen voting
groups. 3 pgs.
23
5
7/13/1971
Campaign
Memo
From Barnard S. Van Rensselaer to Bell RE:
thoughts for the 1972 election. 3 pgs.
Tuesday, June 21, 2011
Page 7 of 7
10/1/71
WEST VIRGINIA POLITICAL BRIEF
1968 Presidential Race:
Nixon
307,555
Humphrey
374,091
Wallace
72,560
Presidential Prospects:
The shift in economic policy raised the President's stock. But winning
remains an uphill battle. Unemployment recently fell slightly, but coal
strike will dampen enthusiasm. The economy is main issue here, with
Viet Nam second. On state level, strip mining is a touchy issue.
Governor's Race:
Arch Moore, National Governors Chairman, is looking better now. The
more Jay Rockefeller is exposed, the more his inexperience shows and
he has slipped. Got hurt some opposing strip mining. Rockefeller also
runs against paltry and crooked records of Democratic predecessors.
Moore has looked at Senate race and would definitely go if Sen. Randolph
quits, as Moore thinks. However, party people want him to go for State
House. Moore retains popularity in the state.
Senate Race:
Jennings Randolph remains strong. Moore probably would lose to him.
Randolph's primary opposition will come from left, maybe Rep. Ken
Hechler. But. with unions and Byrd in his nest, Randolph wins.
House Race:
Hechler's House seat has been divided among three incumbents. Moore's
old district has been held by Democrat Bob Mollohan, who was weakened
in reapportionment. GOP has chance to get it back.
State Party Situation:
Remains tough state for Republicans. Party is built around Moore. Better
the President runs, the stronger Moore is, and, consequently, the party.
Moore and party want John T. Copenhaver appointed to a judgeship vacancy,
but Justice will favor Sen. Byrd's man, K.K. Hall, if he passes ABA
test. Byrd has demanded appointment. Moore is demanding, too, and will
complain, though Byrd's insistence has been explained to him. Hall is
marginal. Judge Field recently given 4th Circuit vacancy.
GOP Leadership: Chairman - Thomas Potter, Charleston, 304/344-3446.
Nat'l. Committeeman - Arch Moore, Charleston, 304/348-2000. Nat'l.
Committeewoman - Mrs. Irvin Humphreys, Huntington, 304/522-2198.
9/30/71
DELAWARE POLITICAL BRIEF
1968 Presidential Race:
Nixon
96,714
Humphrey
89,194
Wallace
28,459
Presidential Prospects:
The State Chairman and Tom Evans agree that the President would face a
very close race if the election were held today. The war is not popular,
but does not seem to hurt us as much as in other states. Lay-offs at
DuPont have accented the economic picture, but Wilmington faces such
cutbacks periodically and is not so likely to "blame Nixon. " Party leaders
feel the President has gained little since 1968. Wallace's appeal is on the
wane.
The leading Democrat appears to be Muskie. He has visited the state an:'
party leaders seem to like him. Humphrey has some appeal.
The State Chairman feels that we are hurting by not using trade associations
to help boost the Administration's agricultural policies, and that we have
lost ground among the farmers in the southern end of the state.
Senate:
Concern here is whether Senator J. Caleb Boggs will seek a third term. If
the Senator runs again, feeling is he will be unbeatable (he polled 59% in
1966). If he does not run, a bitter primary may develop over who is to
replace him. Leading contenders would be Congressman Pete DuPont and
Wilmington Mayor Hal Haskell. Tom Evans fears a divisive primary could
cost us the seat. He and the Attorney General are making some progress
in convincing Boggs.
House:
If Pete DuPont doesn't seek the Senate seat, he should be in good shape for
re-election. However, if he vacates this seat, it could go Democratic.
Governor's Race:
Governor Russell Peterson is in some trouble for a second term over high
spending. He will probably be opposed by Democrat Sherman Tribbetts, a
former Lt. Governor.
Party Situation:
The Party organization seems strong. No Democrat has managed a statewide
victory for major office since 1964. The State Chairman is already pulling
together the organization for 1972. The Party should be an asset to the Presi-
dent here. GOP Leadership: Chairman: Gene Bunting, Dover, 302/678-4111.
Nat'l. Committeeman: Thomas B. Evans, Jr., Wilmington, 302/656-4417.
Nat'l. Committeewoman: Mrs. Bruce F. Dav, Wilmington, 302/475-8177.
MONTANA POLITICAL BRIEF
1968 Presidential Vote:
Nixon
138,835
Humphrey
114,117
Wallace
20,015
Presidential Prospects:
Economics and agriculture shadow the President here. But the economic
message of August 15 has definitely improved the situation, GOP leaders say.
Great Falls Tribune called the new policy the "key" to economic strength in
the '70's. Montanans also like President's ecology position, particularly
executive order against industrial water pollution. Full federal highway fund-
ing restoration has helped President's stance here, although Governor Anderson
is no friend of the Administration.
Muskie is strong, but would have a hard time with Jackson in a primary.
Congressional Situation:
Senator Metcalf never wins by big margins. There is talk he might resign so
Representative John Melcher could be appointed. Bud Wallace, Mansfield's
1970 GOP opponent is announcing his candidacy the day before the President
arrives. He is not considered the best GOP man for the run. GOP Ex-Governor
Tim Babcock is also interested.
In the House, Democrat Melcher remains strong in the eastern district. Re-
publican incumbent Dick Shoup could have trouble in the western district if
Lt. Governor Tom Judge decides to go against him.
State Party Situation:
Governor Anderson has image of using office for personal financial gain.
Lt. Governor Judge might take him on in primary, but GOP has chance to
win it. Potential GOP nominees include House Speaker Jim Lucas and Attorney
General Bob Woodahl, who is also mentioned for Senate. Feeling is Woodahl
would be our best candidate. Holter is a newcomer and naive.
GOP Leadership:
State Chairman:
Bill Holter, Great Falls, 406/453-2811
Nat'l. Committeeman:
James Murphy, Kalispell, 406/756-3644
Nat'l. Committeewoman:
Mrs. Isabel C. Moberly, Shelby, 406/434-2420
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Administratively Confidential
September 27, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
G
SUBJECT:
McWhorter Report on Governors'
Conference - San Juan
Charlie McWhorter submitted the attached report on the
National Governors' Conference, September 12-15, 1971.
The report makes these points:
1) The Conference was a success because the Democratic
Governors could not unite behind Larry O'Brien and Marvin
Mandel to attack the Nixon Administration;
2) Louis Nunn and Bill Milliken ably led the Republicans,
who met with Dole on Campaign assistance for the
President;
3) The Vice President had a positive impact on the entire
Conference;
4) Muskie's speech on Attica was not particularly well
received, but McWhorter was impressed with the Senator's
sincerity and force of conviction;
5) Although few Democratic Governors are committed, they
seem to favor Muskie.
September 23, 1971
Memorandum
To: Bob Haldeman
From: Charlie McWhorter
Re: National Governor's Conference - San Juan, Puerto Rico -
September 12-15, 1971
The recent meeting of the National Governor's Conference in San
Juan has to be regarded as a success from the point of view of the Nixon
Administration. This was the first policy making session of the National
Governors since the 1970 elections when the Democrats gained a strong
majority (29-21). Most of the Democratic Governors had met in Miami Beach
on Saturday, September 11 under the auspices of Democratic National Chairman
Larry O'Brien. At that time they had attempted to reach agreement on a
resolution with regard to the President's new economic program. As a result
of disagreement in Miami, a group of four Democratic Governors headed by
Governor Mandel of Maryland was named as a "drafting committee.' After
several false starts in San Juan, the Democratic Governors finally were
able to have a meeting where they gave their support to a somewhat watered
down but still critical resolution.
Under the rules of the National Governor's Conference no resolu-
tions can be considered which are not circulated to all members at least
30 days in advance of the Conference unless the Governors, by a 3-4th
vote, agree to suspend the rules. This requirement gave the Republican
Governors power to prevent any vote on the Democratic proposal. The political
question became one of whether there would be any extended discussion at the
time Governor Mandel proposed his resolution. As a result of GOP consulta-
tion with Governor Hearnes who was serving as the Chairman of the Conference,
a ruling was obtained that such a motion was not debatable and, as a result,
the Mandel resolution was never even read and there was no discussion on the
merits.
It is important to note that the media covering the Conference
was almost unanimous in its distain for this Democratic effort. The
Republican Governors stood united and, under the leadership of Louis Nunn
and Bill Milliken, they built up a considerable spirit of cooperation and
determination to stick by the President in an organized way. Bob Dole
attended the luncheon meeting of the Republican Governors and agreed to
devote a major working session of the Republican Governor's Conference to
be held in French Lick, Indiana on November 17-19, 1971 to a discussion
aimed at producing a specific program for campaign assistance by the
Republican Governors next year.
- 2 -
Vice President Agnew played a very positive role while he was at
the Conference and this was commented upon most favorably by many Governors
of both parties and by the media. There had been a considerable amount of
unhappiness expressed by the Governors at their Executive Committee meeting
at Lake Tahoe last summer which probably reflected their annoyance over
not being given a greater role in the Federal program for hiring the un-
employed. As a result, these Governors had requested a meeting with the
President to discuss the question of liaison with the White House. The Vice
President met with the Executive Committee in San Juan before the Conference
began and, from all reports, this was a good meeting which resulted in their
agreement that the Vice President and his staff be responsible for liaison
with the various Governors.
Senator Muskie had been invited by Governor Hearnes to make the
major speech of the Conference. This invitation caused some critical
comment by both Democrat and Republican Governors but was not a serious
problem. According to a press aide, Senator Muskie rejected a draft of a
speech dealing with welfare reform and revenue-sharing in favor of a
general statement of personal concern with the implications of Attica and
related problems. Senator Muskie was not able to give his speech until
nearly midnight and his audience was not very responsive. The press was
clearly divided on the effectiveness of the speech but in my opinion he was
able to convey great sincerity and force of conviction which would be
appealing to many open-minded voters. This kind of rhetoric and expression
of personal feeling will undoubtedly have to be accompanied at some point
by a program to implement his views and that will provide a much better
target.
Senator Muskie seemed to be a clear favorite among the Democratic
Governors in San Juan although most of them are uncommitted. Muskie bene-
fits from the fact that there is practically no interest among these Gover-
nors in the other Democratic alternatives such as McGovern, Humphrey and
Lindsay although Senator Jackson does have a good reputation among the more
conservative Democratic Governors.
In summary, the Conference must be regarded as a success for the
Administration and for the efforts of Republican Governors at the Conference
and as a significant step forward for Senator Muskie whose relative strength
compared to his other rivals was most apparent to the national media attend-
ing the Conference.
CONFIDENTIAL
July 15, 1971
TO:
Ed DeBolt
FROM:
A. J. Miller, Jr.
DETERMINED to be MAKING AN
SUBJECT:
Texas
E.O.
100.0,
Destron
3-17-82
By
if
I Political
a. Presidential - Republican state leaders
anticipate that assuming current conditions
President Nixon would receive less than
39.9% of the Presidential vote he received
in 1968 due to broad based disenchantment
with what is interpreted to be the
Administrations position and record on school
busing, economy
There is talk that if support
for the President continues to decline it may
be necessary for Senator John Tower to project
an image of Independence from the Administration.
b. Republican state leadership - Under the direction
of volunteer State Chairman Dr. George Willeford
the state organization is expanding its staff
and role in an effort to improve its capability
in the 1972 election campaign and election.
C. Financial - $40,000 of a $96,000 debt carried
over from 1970 has been paid thus far in 1971--
although fund raising is currently down, there
is considerable optimism with regard to ability
to liquidate balance of debt and increase fund
raising to levels projected for the 1972 campaign.
II Major election contests 1971 - 1972
a. There are no major contests in 1971.
b. United States Senate - Senator John Tower (R)
candidacy is not likely to be challenged in the
Primary. Possible Democrat candidates include
Governor Presten Smith, Lt. Governor Ben Barnes,
and Robert Armstrong Austin Attorney and Land
Commissioner, Dolph Briscoe, former candidate
for Governor and Texas' largest land holder and
rancher. Smiths political failure is due to
scandal in his administration and is becoming
more uncertain.
CONFIDENTIAL
2-
C. Governor - Lt. Governor Ben Barnes has
recently made public his interest in seeking
the office of Governor. Also former Senator
Ralph Yarsborough 68 year old, is considered
as possibly interested in either the Senate
or Governors seat. Newspaper articles have
mentioned a possible deal has been made that
would indicate Barnes will seek the Governorship
leaving John Tower without foreseeable strong
opposition and likewise assuring Barnes of a
relative easy contest.
CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMI.
AKING
epublican
E.O. 1.000,
6-102
By EP
June 25, 1971
ational
3-17-82
ommittee.
REGIONAL REPRESENTATIVE STATE SUMMARY:
MEMORANDUM TO:
Ed DeBolt - Deputy Chairman (RNC)
FROM:
Mike Scanlon - Eastern United States
RE:
State of Georgia
The Republican Party of Georgia has
been under the leadership of State Chairman, Robert Shaw,
since March of this year. In this short period of time,
the situation has changed quite rapidly. Mr. Shaw has
shown his determination to show the people of Georgia that
there is a difference between the two major parties. He
has traveled the state extensively since his election to
attempt to establish some sort of viable party structure
in counties where none has existed before. Prior to his
election the state party was in serious financial straits;
this situation has been turned around so that now the party
with its new Finance Chairman, Tom Lowe, is paying off the
debt and reducing the formerly extravagant expenses of the
Atlanta headquarters.
Debts in the amount of nearly $ 50,000.00
are due in the month of September; the interest has been
paid and the principal sum is slowly being whittled away
through Tom Lowe's efforts on private solicitations. The
party is a long way from two-party government on the state
level, however, with district organizational work, several
of the Democratic Congressional seats could be in jeopardy
(namely the 9th and possibly the lst & 10th).
1971 Campaigns:
1972 Campaigns:
The seat of former Senator Richard Russell,
now held by David Gambrell, who assumed
office by appointment.
No Governor
Congressional
CONFIDENTIAL
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
review
G8/11
August 3, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
HARRY DENT HBD
Here are three additional RNC political reports to add to the
group I sent you earlier. I will also continue to send you
reports prepared by my office as they are available. Please
note that these are two separate sets of reports.
epublican
July 20, 1971
ational
ommittee.
MEMORANDUM TO: The Honorable Harry S. Dent
Special Counsel to the President
FROM:
Ed DeBolt
RE:
Field Reports
Please add the enclosed reports of Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas,
and Wisconsin to the group of reports I sent you earlier.
DETERMINED TO BE AN
RKING
CONFIDENTIAL
E.O.
12085,
epublican
By
Ef
6-102
3-17-82
ational
July 12, 1971
ommittee.
MEMORANDUM TO: Ed DeBolt
FROM:
A. J. Miller, Jr.
SUBJECT:
Missouri
I.
Political.
a) Presidential: Republican state leaders consider the President's
electibility rating so very fluid at this time with Nixon a fairly certain
win over all Democrats considered potential candidates with the exception
of Muskie and Kennedy, against whom Nixon is rated a toss-up.. The
prediction assumes Wallace would not be on the ballot as Wallace would
be expected to draw voters in areas predominately Democrat; and it assumes
that current status of economy and war remain the same. With Wallace on
the ticket and with an improved economy and war casualties down, the
President would be expected to win over any of the potential Democrat
candidates by a somewhat larger margin.
b) State Republican leadership: Because of the domination of Republican
candidate oriented organizations, the state organization has not performed
a major role in past campaigns. There is evidence of interest and effort
on the part of Republican leaders to strengthen the state party organiza-
tion. However, it is anticipated the dominant role in the '72 Campaign
will be maintained by candidate organizations.
c) Finance: The state party is free of any debt and has recently acquired
the service of professional fund-raisers to improve the level of funds raised.
III. Major election contests, 1971-1972.
No major contests in 1971.
Governor: Republican R. J. "Buss" King, Minority Floor Leader, is the
only announced candidate. However, it is reported his candidacy is not
particularly welcomed by prominent Republicans. Other possible Republican
candidates include Christopher "Kit" Bond, elected State Auditor in 1970
by a healthy margin. 32 years, attractive, articulate with family financial
sources, Bond is considered by state political assessors as potentially
the stronger of the candidates mentioned in this report; with a year to
establish a record of performance as Auditor and to improve his name identity,
he would be a strong candidate. G. McNary, Prosecutor for St. Louis County,
has indicated interest and desire to seek the office.
CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM TO: Ed DeBolt
Page 2
Missouri
Democratic possible candidates include Lt. Governor Ed Dowd, candidate for
Governor against Governor Morris in 1968, losing by a slight margin; Earl
Blackwell, state legislator from St. Louis County and considered a savvy
operative; Joseph Teasdale, articulate and reported to have employed Mat
Reis, political consultant, indicating serious interest in becoming a candi-
date; Congressman Richard Ichord, Chairman, House Internal Security Commit-
tee. Ichord would attract Republican support and has given outward appear-
ance of intentions to become a candidate for the office.
Scandal in the state government is producing a number of Democrat
candidates and is likely to result in a better primary.
Congressional: Republicans claim opportunity to gain seats in two districts,
--in the 6th district, Symington will likely be weakened as a result of
possible redistricting. Republican possible candidates include Don Danforth,
brother of Jack Danforth, and Robert Snyder, Legislator from Kirkwood.
J. McNary is a possibility if he decides not to enter the Governor's contest.
In the 8th district, Al Sikes, Administrative Assistant to A. G. John Dan-
forth, is assessing the situation and may become a candidate, depending upon
the effect of redistricting and the decision of Ichord.
CONFIDENTIAL
CONFIDENTIAL
July 15, 1971
TO:
Ed DeBolt
DEPARITI 23 AN
FROM:
A. J. Miller, Jr.
By
E.U. Ep 10000, 0-102
3-17-82
SUBJECT:
Oklahoma
I Political
a. Presidential - According to state Republican
leaders President Nixon's support among
Conservative elements in the state have
decreased which would result in a reduction
from the 47.7% who voted for Nixon in 1968.
Assuming current conditions, ie; economy
and Viet Nam war. Administrations proposals
such as Guaranteed Annual Wage, Deficit Spending,
are cited as causing President Nixons decline
in popularity.
b. State Republican leadership - Full time state
Chairman Clarence Warner is a young hard working
ambitious leader whose effort has significantly
improved the image and sole of the state
organization. Continued progress under Warner
is anticipated.
C. Financial - Due to Warners drive the state
Finance Committee has undertaken a special task
force to court the state to illuminate and
emphasize the urgency and importance of meeting
county finance quotas. The special effort shows
evidence of being successful which will liquidate
a small debt and increase the level of fund
raising.
d. United States Senate - Incumbent Fred Harris is
likely to be challenged by Democrat 2nd District
Congressman Ed Edmondson. The contest will
according to Republican leaders, will surely
become a bitter primary between these two long
standing rivals.
CONFIDENTIAL
2-
CONFIDENTIAL
Republican potential candidates include
Robert Stewart, former State Chairman of
Ozark (Commission (considered just short of
his announcement), Col. Tom Stafford, Astronaut
with name identity and conservative support,
Bud Wilkinson former Presidential Aide, and
former Governor Dewey Bartlett.
It is generally believed by Republican leaders
that Bartlett would be the strongest candidate
against Harris who is considered a shrewed
effective politician who will be difficult to
beat.
CONFIDENTIAL
7-19
CONFIDENTIAL
July 15, 1971
TO:
Ed DeBolt
TO
BY
AN
PARING
6-102
FROM:
A. J. Miller, Jr.
3-17-8
By
CP
SUBJECT:
Wisconsin
I Political
a. Presidential - Republican state leaders
are divided as to whether President Nixon
would be expected to receive a majority
of the vote for President assuming current
conditions would apply With the economy
improved and the Viet Nam war halted it is
the belief the President would carry the state
vote by no less than the 52.0% of the vote
cast by the major parties in 1968.
b. State Republican leadership - The state
organization under volunteer Chairman John
Hough is operating at a very substantially
reduced staff organization and diminished
level of activity due to a substantial debt
carried over from 1969 and 1970. Executive
Director Stanley York is directing the Party's
activities.
C. Finance - Carry over debt amounting to
approximately $650,000. With current fund
raising, they may liquidate debt by early 1972.
II Major election contests in 1971 - 1972
a. There are no major contests for 1971 - 1972.
CONFIDENTIAL
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
H
new
Administratively Confidential
August 6, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
G
SUBJECT:
McWhorter Report on
RNC Denver Meeting
At Harry Flemming's request Charlie McWhorter attended meetings
with 51 GOP State Chairmen. He submitted a long report to
Flemming, who is preparing a detailed analysis for the Attorney
General. To summarize:
1) If the President loses in 1972 it will be because of the
economic picture; the national media exaggerates the problem
by preventing any understanding of the economic game plan
and taking the local politicians' minds off of the local
economic picture which may be quite good. The farmers believe
the President is not concerned about them;
2) The China announcement preempts Vietnam and the entire
foreign policy issue;
3) HEW is causing serious problems in southern and border
States;
4) The Republican "Party is very nervous about the President's
decision on a running mate and that there is very little
affirmative support for the Vice President";
5) Wallace will probably run again but his weakening base
should be further attacked in the South;
6) McCloskey is organizing but weak. The GOP does not want
to attack him and make him a martyr.
McWhorter also submitted comments on each of the regions by State:
NORTHEAST
MAINE -- Senator Smith will run independent if Muskie is
the candidate since she can expect a close race
from Congressman Hathaway. Ned Harding would be
a good Nixon Chairman;
-2-
NEW HAMPSHIRE -- To prevent McCloskey inroads, Mildred Perkins
talked to Senator Cotton and former Governor
Lane Dwinell about using the 1960 "Plans Board"
technique to get Nixon delegates with broad
appeal. The Gubernatorial race is wide open.
Bill Loeb opposes the China trip;
VERMONT -- The President is strong but former Lt. Governor
Tom Hayes may be working for McCloskey. The
1968 Nixon Chairman, Douglas Cairns, is probably
best for 1972;
MASSACHUSETTS -- Governor Sargent and Senator Brooke should be
courted for Campaign assistance in the Massa-
chusetts Primary, northeast and nationally.
The 350th anniversary of Plymouth Rock might
be appropriate for a Presidential visit;
RHODE ISLAND -- The media is very anti-Nixon and to counter a
strong McCloskey primary showing John Chafee's
advice should be sought and followed. Either
George Vetter or Jim Nugent should be the Nixon
Chairman; Olef Anderson should be Finance Chairman;
CONNECTICUT -- Governor Meskill's organization is the starting
point for the 1972 Nixon organization; Senator
Weicker and the GOP State Chairman should be
included;
NEW YORK -- The dispute between the Republican and Conservative
Parties will damage the President's chances. High
priority should be assigned to resolving the
dispute;
NEW JERSEY -- Governor Cahill will be very helpful; Senator Case's
assistance should be sought. "There is a strong
feeling against Vice President Agnew in New Jersey. "
There is no logical choice for Nixon Chairman yet;
PENNSYLVANIA -- Governor Shapp is unpopular and is causing internal
Party problems. Scott and Schweiker can play a
strong role for the President. GOP leader Billy
Meehan in Philadelphia should be handled carefully.
Scranton may be over used as Nixon Chairman.
Arlen Spector is mentioned. Elsie Hillman is
violently opposed to Agnew;
-3-
DELAWARE -- Governor Peterson and Senator Boggs will support
the President in their re-election bids. The
Party and finances are strong;
MARYLAND -- Senators Beall and Mathias would be good co-
Chairmen. Morton should be used. There is no
indication of the level of Agnew activity in
Maryland;
WEST VIRGINIA -- Governor Arch Moore is a strong supporter of the
President. The Nixon Chairman should not be former
Governor Cecil Underwood. Judge John Field is
recommended for the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals
by GOP Chairman Tom Potter;
DISTRICT
OF
COLUMBIA -- The President could make a strong showing if either
Perkins McGuire, or Bill McManus of C & P Telephone
served as Nixon Chairman;
SOUTH
VIRGINIA -- Party leaders are optimistic;
NORTH CAROLINA -- Ed Broyhill and Thelma Rogers are optimistic but
urge early organization to assure a strong showing
in the new primary;
SOUTH CAROLINA --- Thurmond is running strong;
GEORGIA -- Jean Ferst recommended Paul Jones as Nixon Chairman.
Senator Gambrell is gaining strength;
FLORIDA -- Tommy Thomas says the President is strong.
Lawrence Lee of Jacksonville should be either
Nixon Chairman or Finance Chairman. A broad
based delegation will assure no McCloskey strength
in the March 14 Primary;
KENTUCKY -- Louie Nunn's choice for Governor, Tom Emberton,
faces a tough race this fall. After the election
the Party can focus on 1972. Nunn is expected to
run for Senator Cooper's seat;
-4-
TENNESSEE -- The President is strong. Any Nixon Chairman should
be cleared with Senator Baker, who will help the
President's re-election, Governor Dunn and Senator
Brock;
ALABAMA -- Wallace's difficulties should be exploited by a
strong organization in his home state;
MISSISSIPPI -- ClarkeReed says the President is leading in a
volatile three-way race situation;
ARKANSAS -- The President can carry Arkansas according to the
new GOP State Chairman, Charles Bernard. Agnew's
statement about black leadership hurt Bernard's
efforts to get black leaders. Wallace has slipped
in popularity. Former Governor Rockefeller needs
to be encouraged to join with the Republican
leadership to re-elect the President;
LOUISIANA -- GOP Gubernatorial candidate, David Treen, has a
"citizens" organization that could help the President.
HEW activities have been disastrous. Wallace is
weaker than in 1968;
TEXAS -- "The President has a strong chance to carry Texas. "
HEW activities have been "extremely damaging."
Internal GOP problems are resolving themselves;
MIDWEST
OHIO -- The Party's morale is returning and the finances
are in order. Taft's favorite son announcement
surprised Ohio. The result of reapportionment will
turn on whether the case goes to State or Federal
Court after Governor Gilligan vetoes the Republican
sponsored bill;
INDIANA -- Governor Whitcomb is not popular and the internal
Party fights may hurt the President in the primary
against McCloskey;
MICHIGAN -- Economic conditions and unpopular HUD activities
in the suburbs are hurting the President. A visit
to help Senator Griffin is suggested. The con-
servative wing of the Party, led by State Senator
Huber, may establish a third party, which will hurt
the President and Griffin. Milliken should be
instructed to resolve this dispute. Lt. Governor
Brickley should be Nixon Chairman, and Milliken should
be used fully;
-5-
ILLINOIS -- Percy is strong and Ogilvie is improving re-election
chances. All agree Tom Houser should be Nixon
Chairman when he leaves the FCC October 10.
Downstate Illinois should be visited;
WISCONSIN -- John MacIver and Bob Knowles as temporary Chair-
men for Nixon have an uphill fight to repeat the
1968 victory. The Party's debt ($800,000) is
serious;
MINNESOTA -- The President faces an uphill fight because of:
1) Humphrey/Mondale strength; 2) Republican debt;
and 3) some McCloskey following;
SOUTH DAKOTA -- Nixon's co-Chairman should be Congressman Berry
and "Obie" O'Brien. The farmers are upset;
NORTH DAKOTA -- The farm policy and opposition to Administration
"agro-business" spokesmen result in recommendations
for the President to speak to a "real farm group";
MISSOURI -- Larry Roos is suggested as Nixon Chairman. The
economic situation is not serious. The Democrats
face a tough primary which may permit Buzz King or
Kit Bond to be strong GOP candidate potentials for
Governor;
IOWA -- The President is seen as aloof to farm issues. A
Republican Gubernatorial Primary may result in a
Democratic Governor. Senator Miller faces a tough
race;
NEBRASKA -- Hardin is not doing well, even in his home state of
Nebraska. George Cook is the suggested Nixon Chairman;
KANSAS -- Economic conditions are emphasized by the Democrats
and damaging to Republicans. Bob Wells of FCC may
be GOP candidate for Governor;
OKLAHOMA -- The President is strong but the Senate race will be
tough though former Governor Dewey Bartlett is the
favorite;
WEST
ALASKA -- The President is in trouble. The pipeline is the
issue and should be announced by Secretary Morton
and Senator Stevens in Fairbanks. Hickel is spending
a great deal of time in Alaska and may run an
independent state of delegates;
-6-
HAWAII -- Bill Quin, President of Dole Corporation, or John
Bellinger could be Nixon Chairman. The President
should release some federal land in Hawaii;
CALIFORNIA -- "Livermore is doing a first rate job", though the
economy is the issue. McCloskey is weakening in
light of China;
OREGON -- Congressman Wyatt should be Nixon Chairman.
Governor McCall and Senator Hatfield will have
a better primary with support for the President
a major issue. McCloskey has some support;
WASHINGTON -- Jackson is strong. Luke Williams is the suggested
Nixon Chairman, though Joel Pritchard is also
mentioned;
ARIZONA -- The President is popular. Jim O'Connor, a Democratic
friend of Kalmbach is the recommended Nixon
Chairman;
NEW MEXICO -- Former Lt. Governor Bohack is the possibility for
Nixon Chairman. Primary battles for Senator
Anderson's seat are developing;
NEVADA -- The President will carry the state though Jackson
is strong. Bob Wordman or Bob List are possible
Nixon Chairmen.
COLORADO -- Governor Love should head the Nixon group in this
state where the President's popularity is still
strong;
WYOMING -- The President is strong; Senator Hansen should be
re-elected;
UTAH -- The President can carry Utah in spite of the
economy according to National Committeeman Ken Garff;
MONTANA -- Frank Whetstone is the only nominee so far for
Nixon Chairman. Economic conditions are critical.
All expect the President to visit Glacier National
Park soon;
IDAHO -- The President will carry Idaho; Jack Murphy is the
recommended Nixon Chairman.
-7--
McWhorter wants copies of his report sent to Rumsfeld,
Finch, Ehrlichman, and Colson, which has been done on
your behalf. Dent received a copy from McWhorter. A
copy has also been sent to the Attorney General through
Harry Flemming.
Administratively Confidential
August 6, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
McWhorter Report on
RNC Denver Meeting
At Harry Flemming's request Charlie McWhorter attended meetings
with 51 GOP State Chairmen. He submitted a long report to
Flemming, who is preparing a detailed analysis for the Attorney
General. To summarize:
1) If the President loses in 1972 it will be because of the
economic picture; the national media exaggerates the problem
by preventing any understanding of the economic game plan
and taking the local politicians' minds off of the local
economic picture which may be quite good. The farmers believe
the President is not concerned about them;
2) The China announcement preempts Vietnam and the entire
foreign policy issue;
3) HEW is causing serious problems in southern and border
States;
4) The Republican "Party is very nervous about the President's
decision on a running mate and that there is very little
affirmative support for the Vice President";
5) Wallace will probably run again but his weakening base
should be further attacked in the South;
6) McCloskey is organizing but weak. The GOP does not want
to attack him and make him a martyr.
McWhorter also submitted comments on each of the regions by State:
NORTHEAST
MAINE -- Senator Smith will run independent if Muskie is
the candidate since she can expect a close race
from Congressman Hathaway. Ned Harding would be
a good Nixon Chairman;
-2-
NEW HAMPSHIRE -- To prevent McCloskey inroads, Mildred Perkins
talked to Senator Cotton and former Governor
Lane Dwinell about using the 1960 "Plans Board"
technique to get Nixon delegates with broad
appeal. The Gubernatorial race is wide open.
Bill Loeb opposes the China trip;
VERMONT -- The President is strong but former Lt. Governor
Tom Hayes may be working for McCloskey. The
1968 Nixon Chairman, Douglas Cairns, is probably
best for 1972;
MASSACHUSETTS -- Governor Sargent and Senator Brooke should be
courted for Campaign assistance in the Massa-
chusetts Primary, northeast and nationally.
The 350th anniversary of Plymouth Rock might
be appropriate for a Presidential visit;
RHODE ISLAND -- The media is very anti-Nixon and to counter a
strong McCloskey primary showing John Chafee's
advice should be sought and followed. Either
George Vetter or Jim Nugent should be the Nixon
Chairman; Olef Anderson should be Finance Chairman;
CONNECTICUT -- Governor Meskill's organization is the starting
point for the 1972 Nixon organization; Senator
Weicker and the GOP State Chairman should be
included;
NEW YORK -- The dispute between the Republican and Conservative
Parties will damage the President's chances. High
priority should be assigned to resolving the
dispute;
NEW JERSEY -- Governor Cahill will be very helpful; Senator Case's
assistance should be sought. "There is a strong
feeling against Vice President Agnew in New Jersey."
There is no logical choice for Nixon Chairman yet;
PENNSYLVANIA --- Governor Shapp is unpopular and is causing internal
Party problems. Scott and Schweiker can play a
strong role for the President. GOP leader Billy
Meehan in Philadelphia should be handled carefully.
Scranton may be over used as Nixon Chairman.
Arlen Spector is mentioned. Elsie Hillman is
violently opposed to Agnew:
-3-
DELAWARE -- Governor Peterson and Senator Boggs will support
the President in their re-election bids. The
Party and finances are strong;
MARYLAND -- Senators Beall and Mathias would be good co-
Chairmen. Morton should be used. There is no
indication of the level of Agnew activity in
Maryland;
WEST VIRGINIA - Governor Arch Moore is a strong supporter of the
President. The Nixon Chairman should not be former
Governor Cecil Underwood. Judge John Field is
recommended for the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals
by GOP Chairman Tom Potter;
DISTRICT
OF COLUMBIA -- The President could make a strong showing if either
Perkins McGuire, or Bill McManus of C & P Telephone
served as Nixon Chairman;
SOUTH
VIRGINIA -- Party leaders are optimistic;
NORTH CAROLINA --- Ed Broyhill and Thelma Rogers are optimistic but
urge early organization to assure a strong showing
in the new primary;
SOUTH CAROLINA -- Thurmond is running strong;
GEORGIA -- Jean Ferst recommended Paul Jones as Nixon Chairman.
Senator Gambrell is gaining strength;
FLORIDA -- Tommy Thomas says the President is strong.
Lawrence Lee of Jacksonville should be either
Nixon Chairman or Finance Chairman. A broad
based delegation will assure no McCloskey strength
in the March 14 Primary;
KENTUCKY --- Louie Nunn's choice for Governor, Tom Emberton,
faces a tough race this fall. After the election
the Party can focus on 1972. Nunn is expected to
run for Senator Cooper's seat;
-4-
TENNESSEE -- The President is strong. ANy Nixon Chairman should
be cleared with Senator Baker, who will help the
President's re-election, Governor Dunn and Senator
Brock;
ALABAMA -- Wallace's difficulties should be exploited by a
strong organization in his home state;
MISSISSIPPI -- Clark Reed says the President is leading in a
volatile three-way race situation;
ARKANSAS -- The President can carry Arkansas according to the
new GOP State Chairman, Charles Bernard. Agnew's
statement about black leadership hurt Bernard's
efforts to get black leaders. Wallace has slipped
in popularity. FOrmer Governor Rockefeller needs
to be encouraged to join with the Republican
leadership to re-elect the President;
LOUISIANA -- GOP Gubernatorial candidate, David Treen, has a
"citizens" organization that could help the President.
HEW activities have been disastrous. Wallace is
weaker than in 1968;
TEXAS -- "The President has a strong chance to carry Texas."
HEW activities have been "extremely damaging."
Internal GOP problems are resolving themselves;
MIDWEST
OHIO -- The Party's morale is returning and the finances
are in order. Taft's favorite son announcement
surprised Ohio. The result of reapportionment will
turn on whether the case goes to State or Federal
Court after Governor Gilligan vetoes the Republican
sponsored bill;
INDIANA -- Governor Whitcomb is not popular and the internal
Party fights may hurt the President in the primary
against McCloskey;
MICHIGAN -- Economic conditions and unpopular HUD activities
in the suburbs are hurting the President. A visit
to help Senator Griffin is suggested. The con-
servative wing of the Party, led by State Senator
Huber, may establish a third party, which will hurt
the President and Griffin. Milliken should be
instructed to resolve this dispute. Lt. Governor
Brokeey
Buckley should be Nixon Chairman, and Milliken should
be used fully;
-5-
ILLINOIS --- Percy is strong and Ogilvie is improving re-election
chances. All agree Tom Houser should be Nixon
Chairman when he leaves the FCC October 10.
Downstate Illinois should be visited;
WISCONSIN -- John MacIver and Bob Knowles as temporary Chair-
men for Nixon have an uphill fight to repeat the
1968 victory. The Party's debt ($800,000) is
serious;
MINNESOTA -- The President faces an uphill fight because of:
1) Humphrey/Mondale strength; 2) Rephblican debt;
and 3) some McCloskey following;
SOUTH DAKOTA -- Nixon's co-Chairman should be Congressman Berry
and "Obie" O'Brien. The farmers are upset;
NORTH DAKOTA -- The farm policy and opposition to Administration
"agro-business" spokesmen result in recommendations
for the President to speak to a "real farm group";
MISSOURI -- Larry Roos is suggested as Nixon Chairman. The
economic situation is not serious. The Democrats
face a tough primary which may permit Buzz King or
Kit Bond to be strong GOP candidate potentials.fo
Governor;
IOWA -- The President is seen as aloof to farm issues. A
Republican Gubernatorial Primary may result in a
Democratic Governor. Senator Miller faces a tough
race;
NEBRASKA -- Hardin is not doing well, even in his home state of
Nebraska. George Cook is the suggested Nixon Chairman;
KANSAS -- Economic conditions are emphasized by the Democrats
and damaging to Republicans. Bob Wells of FCC may
be GOP candidate for Governor;
OKLAHOMA -- The President is strong but the Senate race will be
tough though farmer Governor Dewey Bartlett is the
favorite;
WEST
ALASKA --- The President is in trouble. The pipeline is the
issue and should be announced by Secretary Morton
and Senator Stevens in Fairbanks. Hickel is spending
a great deal of time in Alaska and may run an
independent state of delegates;
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
August 4, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
HARRY S. DENT
VSD
Attached is a copy of a memo prepared by Charlie McWhorter based
on conversations he and Harry Flemming had with GOP leaders at
the recent RNC meeting in Denver. The purpose of their meeting
with the various leaders individually was to discuss the upcoming
1972 campaign and explain the operation of the Citizens Committee.
Hope this information might be useful to add to your file.
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE
July 26, 1971
E.J. 170.5, Suction 0-102
By
ant NARS, Date 3-12-82
PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Memorandum
For: Harry S. Flemming
From: charlie Mowhorter
Re: Information and comments from recent meetings of Western Governors,
Midwestern Governors, GOP State Chairmen and Republican National
Committee.
INDEX
Page
Page
General Areas
1. Economic
2
2.
Foreign Policy
2
3.
Civil Rights
3
4.
Vice President
3
5.
George Wallace
3
6. McCloskey
4
State by State Comments
Alabama
12
Montana
20
Alaska
18
Nebraska
17
Arizona
19
Nevada
19
Arkansas
12
New Hampshire
5,
California
18
New Jersey
8
Colorado
20
New Mexico
19
Connecticut
7
New York
7
Delaware
9
North Carolina
10
Dist. of Columbia
10
North Dakota
16
Florida
11
Ohio
13
Georgia
10
Oklahoma
17
Hawaii
18
Oregon
18
Idaho
21
Pennsylvania
8
Illinois
14
Rhode Island
6
Indiana
13
South Carolina
10
Iowa
16
South Dakota
15
Kansas
17
Tennessee
11
Kentucky
11
Texas
13
Louisiana
12
Utah
20
Maine
5
Vermont
5
Maryland
9
Virginia
10
Massachusetts
J.
Washington
19
Michigan
14
West Virginia
7
Minnesota
15
Wisconsin
15
Mississippi
12
Wyoming
20
Missouri
16
- 2 -
General Areas
1. Economic
There is almost unanimous agreement among Republican Governors and officials
that the principle difficulties facing the Administration are in the
economic area. This "conventional wisdom" is often not well documented
or supported by specific information. For instance, a state chairman
would frequently site unemployment as a factor but not really be familiar
with the level of unemployment in his own state. Others would refer to
the fact that business was pretty good in their own areas but that this
was still a problem. I believe that a large and difficult area of the
political problem with our national economy lies in the fact that it is
reported nationally by the media in a way which exaggerates the bad news
and makes everyone conscious of difficulties. This creates worry and
concern in areas which have relatively few economic problems. AS a
result, it will be highly important to get the media talking about any
general trends which indicate we are making progress in moving the
economy forward.
In terms of immediate political impact there is a definite problem for
the group of people who are presently unemployed. In addition, there
are a large number of people whose take home pay has been reduced or
limited because of the reduction of overtime. Then there is the con-
sumer, which means everyone, who is pinched by the inflationary increase
in the cost of living. Political leaders rarely make any distinction
among these groups in discussing the adverse political impact of the
economy but, of course, all must be examined and dealt with separately.
There is wide spread agreement, however, that if the President loses
the election next year it will be primarily a result of dissatisfaction
with the Administration's economic policy. There is general agreement
that not enough people really understand the President's economic "game
plan" resulting in a high level of frustration and irritation.
A special word needs to be said about agriculture and farm problems.
No administration seems able to be successful in handling these matters
from a political standpoint, but it is imperative that this Administra-
tion move quickly to correct the impression that many farm people have
to the effect that the President is really not very much concerned about
agricultural problems and that there is nobody close to him that is in
a position to speak for the farmer. I know this must sound a little
discouraging to those who have worked SO hard to improve this situation.
However, it is clear to me that it would be extremely beneficial if a
change could be made in the Secretary of Agriculture between now and the
end of this year. Those planning the President's schedule should give
more urgent attention to invitations which would bring him close to
farming and to rural areas such as the National Plowing Contest or a
convention of REA groups.
2. Foreign Policy
There was wide spread agreement that the President had pre-empted the
Indochina issue by his dramatic announcement of a visit to Red China.
- 3 -
2. Foreign Policy (Cont'd)
Apart from Vietnam, there is little ground for complaint with the Presi-
dent's handling of foreign policy. In fact, the President's expertise
in foreign policy is regarded as his strongest asset, but there was
considerable doubt among GOP leaders whether this would be enough to
offset the adverse impact of inflation, unemployment, lack of economic
growth and specific difficulties with agriculture.
3. Civil Rights
There was wide spread agreement among GOP officials from the border and
southern states that over zealous efforts by HEW officials in devising
various desegregation schemes for public schools can be politically
disastrous. Interestingly enough, the deep south is already SO
thoroughly integrated that not much more can be done there. Politically
speaking, however, efforts by HEW to come up with massive ussing schemes
in order to achieve school integration on a rigid formula basis in the
rest of the south and border states would be a political disaster and
would create deep bitterness and racial animosities which would also be
counter productive in achieving overall racial reconciliation.
4. Vice President
There is wide spread recognition that a choice of a Vice President is a
decision which must be made by the President and accepted by the Party.
At the present time, Governors and Party officials are most reluctant
to express any public views which are critical of Vice President Agnew.
It is equally clear that there is a considerable body of opinion among
Governors and officials that the President's cause would be better
served if there were a change in his running mate for 1972. Nobody
seems to be insisting on an early decision about this matter and I
think that most COP officials would welcome anything which tends to
strengthen Vice President Agnew's standing with the voters. I believe
it important for everyone to keep in mind that whether or not Agnew
runs for reelection, he still will be Vice President during 1972. For
this reason alone his effectiveness should not be undermined by any
Republican comment or activity. There is wide spread recogni that
part of the Vice President's problem is with the media but by this time
it is almost impossible to make any drastic change in his public image.
Some state chairmen are frank enough to state that if Vice President
Agnew remains on the ticket they hope that he will not campaign in their
states. Others have questioned his effectiveness in being able to pro-
vide additional strength to the President or on behalf of local and
state candidates in their states. At this point in time I would
summarize the situation by saying that the Party is very nervous about
the President's decision on a running mate and that there is very little
affirmative support for the Vice President.
5. George Wallace - 1972
There was a general concensus among southern Party officials that Wallace
was weaker now than in 1968. For example, Clarke Reed of Mississippi
- 4 -
5. George Wallace - 1972 (Cont'd)
reported that the President was now ahead in a private 3-way poll in
his state. A recent poll in Tennessee showed the President leading
with Wallace a poor third in a 3-way race which included Humphrey as the
Democrat. Jim Martin of Alabama said that Wallace is having a great
deal of difficulty with his Legislature and is losing popular support.
This was confirmed by Tommy Thomas of Florida who is originally from
Alabama and now lives in North Florida. Thomas reports that the
weakening of the Wallace position in Alabama has had the effect of
reducing his appeal in North Florida. Thomas mentioned increasing
public annoyance with Wallace's efforts to emphasize a Populist role
and in the changes in his personal appearance which have apparently
resulted from his new marriage. In other words, the orange shirts are
not going over too well. Never the less, it must be recognized that
Wallace does have a strong base of support in the south and that it
must be assumed that he wants to run again next year if he has any
chance at all.
Anything which can be done to undermine his position in the deep south
should be given high priority and every effort must be made to avoid
unnecessary activity which help the Wallace cause in the perimeter
south and border states. Wallace thrives on the volatile nature of
southern politics where Republican traditions are weak. Loyalty to
the National Democratic Party is increasing through the infusion of
new and moderate Democratic leadership in many southern states.
6. McCloskey
There was general agreement that the President's initiatives with Red
China had effectively undermined McCloskey's position on Indochina
and would reduce his appeal among Republican primary voters. GOP
leaders in New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Minnesota, and
California reported some signs of organized activity in behalf of
McCloskey, but none of them indicated that this represented a serious
threat to the President at this time. There was complete agreement
that nothing should be done by party officials at the national, state
or local levels which would make McCloskey a "martyr" or develop
sympathy for him as an underdog candidate.
- 5 -
State by State Comments
Northeast
Maine
At the present time GOP chances turn on whether Muskie gets the
Democratic nomination. If he does, then it is realistic to expect
the President to make a strong showing in Maine. Senator Smith can
expect a tough race from Congressman Hathaway. She will run an inde-
pendent campaign and probably not become personally involved in the
campaign for President if Muskie is the Democratic nominee. The GOP
organization is solvent and is building a staff. Ned Harding would
be a good Nixon chairman. There is no race for Governor in 1972 and
the GOP will concentrate on trying to find two decent Congressional
candidates and to hold on to control of both houses of the State
Legislature.
New Hampshire
We can expect McCloskey to make a major effort in New Hampshire.
Party officials believe that the President's initiative on Red China
has substantially undermined McCloskey's position. It is recommended
that our people immediately start a program of contact with various
Party leaders who might be likely to support a McCloskey effort for
the purpose of assuring them that the President believes in a broad
based Party and that their support for the President would be welcomed.
It is important to get a slate of Nixon delegates who will have broad
appeal and the delegate selection process must be carried out in a way
which minimizes personal resentments. Mildred Perkins has recommended
that we follow the same general plan of organization for the Nixon
campaign which was followed in 1960. This involved setting up a
"Plans Board" of five co-equal chairmen who met weekly with a campaign
staff. Mildred said that she had obtained favorable approval for this
plan in 1972 from Senator Cotton and from former Governor Lane Dwinell.
Economic conditions are not favorable in New Hampshire at present with
pockets of high unemployment and concern with foreign imports in such
industries as shoes and textiles.
The race for Governor is wide open with a lot of resentment against the
incumbent Governor Peterson. Bill Loeb and the Manchester paper are
attacking the President's visit to China although it is unlikely he
would do anything to help McCloskey. The state COP has no serious
problems of indebtedness but has a very limited staff operation.
Vermont
The President's standing is still strong and economic conditions are
not as serious as elsewhere. Uncertainty remains about the race for
Governor next year and there is no Senate contest. An eye should be
kept on the activities of Tom Hayes, 8 Former Lt. Covernor, who might
be a possible leader of any McCloskey activity in the state. Douglas
Cairns, the 1968 Nixon chairman, has not been well for several months
but would like to be of help in setting up the 1972 organization.
- 6 -
Vermont (Cont'd)
He is semi-retired from his business and might still be the best man
for next year.
Massachusetts
The President's popularity is not high and economic conditions are
bad in many places. The Massachusetts primary could be dangerous.
A key factor could be whether Governor Sargent and Senator rooke
would be willing to identify themselves with the President's campaign
in Massachusetts during the primary. Senator Brooke will not face
any serious opposition within the GOP or from the Democrats. It would
make sense to try to get both Governor Sargent and Senator Booke to
campaign in the primary for the President together with all of the GOP
Congressmen. At the very least, an effort should be made to avoid
unnecessary controversy or arguments with the Governor and Senator
since they could be quite helpful campaigning for the national ticket
in New England and elsewhere.
A visit by the President to Plymouth Rock for the 350th anniversary
during this Thanksgiving might be worth considering. The current
State GOP Chairman, Herbert Waite, is a former Goldwater supporter and
is pro-RN. His relations with Governor Sargent are good and he should
be able to identify all elements of Nixon's support in the state.
Former state Senator William D. Weeks might make a good Nixon chairman
if provided with some campaign staff. Weeks may make another primary
race against Congressman Keith next year which would make him unavail-
able.
The present State Committee is quite weak although the debt is only
$50,000. Reapportionment is likely to hurt GOP Congressmen but this
is not yet settled.
Rhode Island
Economic conditions are close to the national average but it is
possible to blame the Democratic Governor for many state problems.
The GOP expects a strong campaign for both Governor and Senate next
year with former Attorney General Herbert DeSimone making another
race for Governor and John Chafee running against Senator Pell. GOP
resources will be concentrated in these two campaigns. A possible
Nixon chairman would be George Vetter who has assisted RN activities
in the past or Jim Nugent from Barrington. Olef Anderson would be a
good Nixon finance chairman. The media in Rhode Island has been very
much opposed to the Nixon Administration. Fred Lippett, the GOP
National Committeeman and Minority Leader in the State House of Repre-
sentatives, is very lukewarm about the President. John Chafee can
provide the best help to the President particularly if there is a
Presidential primary on April 12.
Guidance is needed from the Nixon Headquarters in Washington about the
necessary strategy for this primary. Tucker Wright, the State GOP
- 7 -
Rhode Island (Cont'd)
Chairman who is pro-Nixon, recommends that a prominent GOP slate
of delegates run on an uncommitted basis as the best way of minimizing
McCloskey's showing. At the same time every effort must be made to
turn out a good vote for the President in the popularity contest.
Wright said that there would be opposition to the designation of George
Vetter as the Nixon chairman if this gives him an advantage for con-
sideration for appointment to the coming vacancy on the U.S. District
Court for Rhode Island.
Connecticut
Economic conditions are still adverse in Connecticut. Governor Meskill
is a strong supporter of the President and his organization from 1970
would be a good starting point although it is important that Senator
Weicker and others be included. The major statewide race in Connecticut
next year will be for President. Since Connecticut still has the
straight ticket lever, it is most important that a strong campaign for
the President be organized.
There are still difficulties with reapportionment and much dissatis-
faction with the new income tax. There is a debt of $114,000 from
1966 which is owed to Gingras their candidate for Governor that year.
Connecticut is a state where we have a much better starting point for
1972 than we did in 1968, and the state GOP did well in 1970 inspite
of extremely adverse economic conditions. Brian Gaffney, the new
state GOP Chairman, is close to Governor Meskill and is pro-RN.
New York
Party leaders believe that the President has a good opportunity in
New York in 1972 but there are still many uncertainties. Several GOP
County Chairmen in such strategic areas as Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester,
Monroe and Rockland are strongly opposed to any cooperation with the
Conservative Party on a local basis and are insisting that there be
no joint electors for the GOP and Conservative Party in 1972. State
GOP officials reflect this same point of view. Senator Buckley seems
to be popular with both Republicans and Conservatives but GOP officials
take the view that sooner or later he must drop any official ties with
the Conservative Party if he wants to be regarded as a Republican.
The President may be hurt by this infighting between the Republicans
and Conservative Parties. While it is difficult to demonstrate that
the President would lose any votes if Republican electors did not
also run on the Conservative Party ticket, it is clear that the
President's showing will be weakened if the campaign in New York in
1972 is characterized by a bitter struggle at the state and local
level between Republican and Conservative officials. For this reason,
it is recommended that a high priority be given towards resolving this
inter-party dispute. At least it must be clear to all concerned that
the individuals running the Nixon campaign in New York intend to work
in cooperation with all groups and individuals who support the Presi-
dent even though there may be differences with regard to candidates for
other office. A natural compromise might be to have the GOP agree to
- 8 -
New York (Cont'd)
a cooperative arrangement between Republicans and Conservatives in the
Presidential campaign in return for giving up efforts for joint electors.
New Jersey
Economic conditions are probably not much worse than the national
average but Newark is in an extremely difficult plight. In November,
1971 there will be critical elections for the State Legislature and
local office. The GOP organization is out of debt but r apportionment
questions remain unresolved. This is most unfortunate since the GOP
could gain substantially next year in the races for Congress if a
decision could be reached in the overwhelming Republican Legislature
and the Governor. If reapportionment is put off until next year, the
new Legislature elected in November will make the decision and this
could be more difficult. Governor Cahill is doing a good job and can
be very helpful to the President's campaign next year.
At this time there is no logical choice for a Nixon chairman according
to John Dimon, the state GOP Chairman. New Jersey has a primary on
June 6 which must be given careful consideration since there is some
basis for McCloskey to get support. Senator Case will be running for
reelection and will have a broad based campaign. Every effort should
be made to get his cooperation and assistance in New Jersey on behalf
of the President. There is strong feeling against Vice President
Agnew in New Jersey and it is questionable whether he could campaign
effectively in the state at this time.
Pennsylvania
Economic conditions in Pennsylvania are not aggravated although there
seems to be genuine concern about the future. Governor Shapp is not
popular and is causing many internal party problems. His leadership
can be blamed for some of the economic problems facing Pennsylvania.
Cliff Jones plans to remain as state GOP Chairman. He seems to have
good relations with Senator Schweiker but he recognizes that both
Senator Scott and Schweiker must play a role in any Nixon campaign
in Pennsylvania.
The race for Mayor in Philadelphia this November could affect our
campaign next year. There is an outside chance that Thatcher Longstreth
might win over Rizzo and this would be a great boost for the GOP in
Pennsylvania. High priority must be given by the President and the
Administration to develop a better political and personal rapport with
Billy Meehan the GOP leader in Philadelphia. This has been botched up
badly in the past and must be straightened out. The state GOP is
carrying a debt of $300,000 currently and owes another $500,000.
The Democratic Party has been superseded by organized labor in many
parts of the state. Any personal attention which the President can
give to Pennsylvania in terms of a visit or identification would be
most helpful. There is no race for Governor or Senate in Pennsylvania
- 9 -
Pennsylvania (Cont'd)
next year and the race for President will be critical for the GOP in
the state. Cliff Jones feels that Bill Scranton may be over used as
a campaign chairman and mentioned Arlen Spector as a person who might
be considered for a Nixon chairman. Elsie Hillman is SO violently
opposed to Vice President Agnew that she should not be considered for
any role at this stage.
Delaware
The President's standing is still fairly high in Delaware according
to Gene Bunting the state GOP Chairman. Governor Peterson and Senator
Boggs will be running for reelection next year and both will support
the President. Other Party leaders such as Senator Roth, former
Senator Williams and Wilmington Mayor Haskell should be included in
any discussion of a Nixon chairman. The Party finances are in good
shape and there seems to be no interest in McCloskey. John Rollins
will be heading up the GOP dinner on November 9 and can be of help in
Delaware.
Maryland
There is an opportunity to put together a much better organization for
the President in 1972 than we had in 1968. Economic conditions are
not good but Democratic leadership is somewhat divided. The GOP
still owes $100,00 from 1968 but this is manageable. Senators
Beall and Mathias would be good co-chairmen for the Nixon campaign,
with a full-time campaign manager in charge. Secretary Rogers Morton
is extremely popular in Maryland and can provide a great deal of help.
Vice President Agnew's interest and involvement in Maryland is unknown
at the present time but this will be critical. Alexander Lankler,
the state GOP Chairman, is strongly pro-Nixon and caused the Maryland
State GOP Committee to become the first in the nation to endorse the
reelection of the President. The Maryland Presidential primary would
result in a strong showing for the President if all Party leaders
can be brought into the effort. We are still weak in the Baltimore
area, both county and city.
West Virginia
The President is relatively weak in West Virginia although he may make
a better showing next year than in 1968. Governor Moore has not
decided whether to run for reelection or for the seat now held by
Senator Randolph. Covernor Moore is quite popular at this time and
his control over the Party is firm. The state GOP is out of debt and
doing well in building a staff for next year. The Nixon chairman must
be someone who can work closely with Arch Moore and it definitely
should not be former Covernor Cecil Underwood, a bitter opponent of
Arch Moore. State Chairman Tom Potter strongly recommends that Judge
John Field be named to the 4th Circuit Court of Appeals to replace
- 10 -
West Virginia (Cont'd)
retiring Judge Herbert Boreman and that John T. Copenhaver, Jr. be
named to replace Judge Field on the U.S. District Court. Jay Rockefeller
is the probably Democratic candidate for Governor and will be quite
strong. Randolph has not indicated whether he plans to run again for
the Senate seat.
District of Columbia
The President should make a strong race in the GOP primary based on
primary results in past elections. However, this could be a tricky
situation and every effort should be made to prevent any mishap. In
discussions with Bob Carter who represented State GOP Chairman Ned
Pendelton, he recommended that Perkins McGuire serve as Nixon chairman
in 1972. An alternate suggestion was Bill McManus who is a retired
official of the C.& P. Telephone Company and a member of the GOP State
Committee.
South
Virginia
Party officials at the Denver meeting were generally optimistic and
reported no particular voter enthusiasm for any of the leading Demo-
cratic candidates. I did not discuss organization matters with them
on the assumption that Harry Flemming will take care of this.
North Carolina
Both Ed Broyhill and Thelma Rogers were optimistic about the
President's chances in North Carolina next year. However, I did not
discuss organization matters with them since the state GOP Chairman,
Jim Holshouser, was not present. I would hope that we can get an
early start in putting together a strong organization for the Presi-
dent in North Carolina which can make an excellent showing in their
new primary.
South Carolina
Nothing new to report except that Senator Thurmond seems to be getting
off to a good start in his bid for reelection.
Georgia
Jean Ferst represented Bob Shaw the new state GOP Chairman at the
Denver meetings. She strongly recommended Paul Jones as the Nixon
chairman for Georgia. The GOP in Georgia does have a great many
internal difficulties involving key Party leaders, but all can be
expected to give strong support to the President next year. The GOP
nominee for the Senate is still uncertain and David Gambrell who was
appointed to replace Senator Russell is gaining strength.
- 11 -
Florida
The President's strength in Florida still holds up well according to
Tommy Thomas the state GOP Chairman. The Democrats should be helped
in Florida by having their convention in Miami. Governor Askew is
expected to give strong support to the Democratic Presidential ticket
but his current popularity is not too good. Tom recommended that
Lawrence Lee of Jacksonville might make a good Nixon chairman or at
least a finance chairman.
Florida has a primary on March 14. It is important to get a strong
and broad based delegation. McCloskey has no particular strength in
Florida. Senator Gurney is working hard to improve his relations with
the GOP and is making progress. There are no races for Senate or
Governor. Reapportionment is unresolved at this point. Bill Cramer
is expected to run for Congress in 1972. The GOP decision to have
it's convention in San Diego instead of Miami might create a problem
but all Party leaders in Denver promised to do everything they could
to be of help in this regard.
Kentucky
Kentucky elects a new Governor this fall and no real decisions can
be made about the campaign for 1972 until after November. Governor
Louie Nunn will work hard to elect a Republican Governor but it looks
like an uphill fight at this point. Nunn is expected to run for
Senator Cooper's seat next year. The GOP problems in Louisville
remains unresolved and a lot of work needs to be done there. John
Kerr, the GOP State Chairman, reports no particular enthusiasm in
Kentucky for any of the Democratic Presidential hopefuls.
Kerr expressed the view that it was important to get Congressman
Snyder's support for Tom Emberton in his race for Governor. It may
be that Snyder wants to run for the Senate seat in 1972 and believes
that Emberton would give his support to Nunn if elected Governor.
Tennessee
Nixon's strength in Tennessee is still very strong. In a 3-way race
for President taken this month, the President had 46% to 31% for
Humphrey and 20% for Wallace (3% undecided). This compares with the
1968 percentage of Nixon 38%, Humphrey 28% and Wallace 34% Economic
conditions are not too bad at this time in Tennessee but the school
bussing issue could be extremely serious if aggravated. So far no
Democratic candidate has any strong appeal in Tennessee.
Senator Baker is running for reelection and will be of help to
President Nixon. Governor Dunn and Senator Brock both are in a
position to help. Any Nixon chairman must be cleared by all of
these principals.
- 12 -
Alabama
Jim Martin confirms the local problems facing Wallace. It is going
to be important to get a good committee in Alabama as early as
possible which will create additional pressure on Wallace not to run
by helping to mobilize opposition at home. If Wallace does not run,
the President should be able to carry Alabama.
Mississippi
Clarke Reed reports that the President is leading in Mississippi in
all 3-way combinations but this is an extremely volatile situation.
If Wallace does not run, then Nixon should carry Mississippi with no
difficulty.
Arkansas
Charles Bernard is the new GOP State Chairman and a strong supporter
of the President. He is convinced that Nixon can carry Arkansas and
is giving this his top statewide priority. There will be no strong
opposition to Senator McClellan next year. Governor Bumpers is
probably going to get a second term with only token opposition by
the GOP.
The recent statement by Vice President Agnew about black leadership
in America was harmful to Bernard's efforts to get support from black
leaders. Of course, if Congressman Mills is on the Democratic ticket,
that would guarantee him state support. President Nixon is more
popular in Arkansas now than in 1968 and Wallace has definitely slip-
ped in popularity. No polls are available at this time for the
Presidential race in Arkansas.
Economic conditions are not too bad and the GOP organization is out
of debt and has a budget of $80,000 for this year. It will be im-
portant to have a harmonious working relationship between the GOP
organization and former Governor Winthrop Rockefeller. In 1968,
Governor Rockefeller concentrated on his own campaign for reelection
and gave very little assistance to the national ticket. He could be
of great help in developing support for President Nixon among black
voters in Arkansas. Participation by blacks in the Arkansas GOP is
very wide spread and it is important to maintain and expand this base
of support.
Louisiana
Louisiana will elect a new Governor on February 1, 1972. The GOP
candidate is David Treen of New Orleans who nearly defeated Hale Boggs
in two different Congressional campaigns. The Nixon campaign in
Louisiana will have to follow a "citizens" approach if it is to succeed
and Treen is following this strategy. Treen's organization would
provide a good base on which to build the President's campaign in
Louisiana since it will be broadly based and include many Democrats.
- 13 -
Louisiana (Cont'd)
Charlton Lyons is finance chairman for David Treen. Economic
conditions are not too good and the HEW activities have been disas-
trous. The key factor is whether Wallace is a candidate again. His
strength is less now than in 1968 but it could grow if he can take
advantage of certain issues.
Texas
GOP internal problems are much improved and the President has a strong
chance to carry Texas in 1972. Economic conditions are somewhat
adverse and the HEW activities have been extremely damaging to the
President and Administration. A major effort will be made to reelect
Senator Tower who stands a good chance since Lt. Governor Ben Barnes
will be running for Governor. I did not discuss details of Nixon
organization with any Texas GOP officials in Denver.
Midwest
Ohio
After the setback suffered in 1970, the GOP is regaining its morale
and this is extremely important. They have recently held eight fund-
raising dinners attended by over 5,500 people which is an increase
over last year. The Party is now out of debt although Roger Cloud
still owes $30,000 from his race for Governor. Governor Gilligan's
popularity is not good at this point stemming from tax and fiscal
problems. Gilligan is building a strong Democratic organization
working with union officials.
Bob Taft's announcement as a favorite son surprised people in Ohio as
well as in Washington but it has been accepted. On reapportionment,
the COP sponsored bill will be enacted but vetoed by Gilligan. It
will then be decided by the courts. The result could turn on whether
it goes to the State court or the Federal court. It is clear that
Ohio will be a major battle ground in 1972 and every effort must be
made to carry this state.
There are no major statewide races in 1972 except for President and
an early start should be made in putting together the strongest
possible organization on behalf of Nixon in Ohio. This will require
cooperation from the Administration as well as with elected and Party
officials in Ohio. Economic conditions remain as a major difficulty
but it now seems that Party people in Ohio believe that the job can
be done if everyone works together.
Indiana
I did not discuss the details of a Nixon campaign organization with
Indiana GOP officials in Denver. The incumbent administration of
- 14 -
Indiana (Cont'd)
Covernor Whitcomb is not popular with the voters or a large segment
of the COP. The internal Party problems remain unresolved but this
should not prevent a unified campaign for President Nixon. Economic
conditions are adverse in many parts of the state. The race for
Governor could be of extreme importance and it is necessary to get
a unified base of Party support behind a strong candidate for Governor.
There will be a Presidential primary campaign where McCloskey should not
run well but where GOP efforts might fail because of internal problems.
Major emphasis in Indiana will be centered on the various local races
this November. After these are out of the way, it will be important
to start work immediately on the President's campaign throughout the
state.
Michigan
Economic conditions in the state are very bad with unemployment up to
16% in Detroit. HUD is most unpopular in the suburbs where the GOP
has to get its major support. There will have to be close coordina-
tion between the campaign for Nixon and with Senator Griffin who will
be running for reelection in a tough race. Any visits by the Presi-
dent before the election would be a big help. The Party has a debt of
some $800,000 from 1968 and 1970 and is operating on the basis of a
skeleton organization.
A critical problem which must be resolved soon is the relationship
of the conservative element of the Party led by State Senator Huber
and the Republican State Administration of Governor Milliken. If
Huber sets up a formal 3rd party it could endanger both Griffin and
the President. Somebody should have a pointed conversation with
Governor Milliken in order to get his cooperation in resolving this
problem as soon as possible.
A good Nixon chairman for Michigan might be Lt. Governor Brickley.
He is a former prosecutor from Wayne County and is a progressive
Republican. The Nixon campaign in Michigan will be uphill but it
should be as strong as possible if only to help Senator Griffin, the
State Legislature and COP Congressional candidates. Governor Milliken
has reiterated his willingness to be of assistance to the President in
every way possible and he should be encouraged to become actively in-
volved in Michigan and elsewhere.
Illinois
This is an extremely critical state for the President in 1972. Senator
Percy and Attorney General Scott both seem to be assured of reelection
next year. Governor Ogilvie is recovering his standing with the voters
and plans to run a tough and well financed campaign. There is general
agreement by all principals on Tom Houser as the man to run the Presi-
dent's campaign in Illinois once he leaves the FCC on October 1.
- 15 -
Illinois (Cont'd)
Economic conditions and inflation are major difficulties for the
President in Illinois. Governor Ogilvie and State Chairman Vic Smith
both urge the President to visit Illinois, particularly Downstate, as
much as possible during the balance of this year and next.
A Muskie/Stevenson ticket would create serious problems for President
Nixon in Illinois and efforts must be taken to develop support for
the President with ethnic voters. It would be hoped that Senator
Percy could help increase support for the President among minority
voters.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin may be the most difficult of the midwest states for the
President to repeat his victory of 1968. Much of the GOP Party
organization is new and this might be an advantage. John Hough, the
GOP State Chairman seemed quite pleased with the selection of John
MacIver and Bob Knowles as temporary chairmen for Nixon. Because of
the importance of the Wisconsin primary and the absence of major state-
wide races, it will be important to start the President's campaign as
soon as possible.
The Party is seriously in debt ($800,000) but this must not hamper
efforts for the President. Ody Fish, who is now National Committeeman,
would like to play an active part where he can.
Minnesota
The GOP in Minnesota is digging out from under a Democratic landslide
in 1970. The new State GOP Chairman, David Krogseng, was a former
aide of Clark MacGregor and is a strong supporter of President Nixon.
The GOP will have difficulty getting a strong candidate against Senator
Mondale next year. The GOP is carrying a debt of some $170,000 of
which $60,000 is to be paid next year. Congressman McCloskey has been
in the state and has some kind of a following. This will require a
strong organization effort by the Nixon forces from the precincts on
up to the district and state conventions where delegates are chosen.
Of course, if Humphrey is the Democratic nominee for President, we
would face the same problems of 1968. Without Humphrey or Mondale on
the Democratic ticket, the GOP in Minnesota hopes to make a strong
comeback in 1972. The new Democratic Governor, Wendell Anderson, has
not been particularly popular although he is an attractive leader.
South Dakota
The GOP in South Dakota was nearly wiped out in 1970. Next year it
must find candidates for U.S. Senate (Mundt), Governor and other
statewide offices, and two Congressional candidates. The Party has
been reorganized with Bob Burns as the new State Chairman. Jack Gibson
has been trying to put together a group of candidates for the key races.
- 16 -
South Dakota (Cont'd)
There is agreement between Gibson and Burns that the Nixon campaign
in South Dakota should be run under the co-chairmanship of former
Congressman Berry and Reifel with "Obie" O'Brien of Madison as the
campaign manager. Farm discontent is aggravated in South Dakota with
additional problems from the ICC ruling on minors driving farm vehicles
across state lines and the enforcement by Secretary Volpe of the high-
way program penalties for failure to remove billboards.
North Dakota
Agricultural problems still are the key issue. Both Ben Clayburgh,
GOP National Committeeman, and Jack Huss, GOP State Chairman, strongly
urge the President to appear before a farm group and deal specifically
with agricultural issues. They were particularly concerned that any
White House staff member speaking for agriculture be someone who can
be identified as a "real farmer. This definitely should not be
somebody from the area of "Agro-business."
In both North Dakota and South Dakota the Democrats are effectively
attacking the President for a "do nothing" policy on the economy.
Senator Milton Young could be the most helpful to the President in
North Dakota but he is quite unhappy over Administration farm policy
and leadership.
Missouri
Economic conditions are probably not as bad in Missouri as in other
states. Missouri must elect a new Governor next year and the
Democrats will have at least a 6-way primary fight. In the GOP,
State Representative Buzz King has announced for Governor, but the
likely GOP nominee will be State Auditor Kit Bond who won by a smashing
plurality of 200, votes in 1970. It will be important to keep a
close tab on the selection of delegates in Missouri. The state GOP
is out of debt. The reapportionment issues are still open. Both
Gene Taylor, National Committeeman, and Nick Gray, State GOP Chairman,
strongly recommend that Larry Roos, St. Louis County Executive, be
the Nixon chairman for Missouri. Attorney General Jack Danforth will
be running for reelection. COP Congressman Hall will probably not
run for reelection and it will be important to get a good candidate
there with a minimum of Party struggle.
Iowa
Farm issues are paramount in Iowa although the general economy is
fairly good. The President's image on farm issues is one of aloofness
but the foreign policy issues are still important in Iowa. Governor
Ray plans to run for reelection but faces a bitter primary fight from
Lt. Governor Roger Gebson. This will have an adverse impact on GOP
fund-raising in Iowa and might lead to a Democratic Governor. Demo-
cratic Congressman John Culver is expected to run against Senator
Jack Miller. This could be a close race.
- 17 -
Iowa (Cont'd)
State Chairman John McDonald recommended consideration of Ray Murphy,
Tom Stoner or Bob Brinton as Nixon Chairman for Iowa with Dick
Bergland and Sue Reed as possibilities for campaign managers.
Nebraska
The new State Chairman, Milan Bush, stressed both farming issues and
the problems of rural areas. Secretary Hardin is handicapped in his
efforts for the Administration even though he is from Nebraska. Bush
seemed to have no particular objection to the choice of George Cook
as Nixon chairman in Nebraska next year.
It is recognized that every effort must be given to Senator Curtis in
his reelection effort next year. The Nebraska primary can be turned
into a strong plus for the President and there seems to be little
support for McCloskey.
Kansas
Economic conditions in Kansas are still difficult for the GOP. The
Democratic Governor, following the lead of Senator McGovern and other
midwest Democrats, maintains a steady barrage of criticism about the
President and Administration economic policies. The race for Governor
next year is open with Bob Wells, now on the FCC, as a good GOP
possibility. Governor Darking has not yet indicated whether he will
run against Senator Jim Pearson next year. There are several possi-
bilities for Nixon chairman, but no firm recommendation as yet from
Bill Falstad, the new State Chairman.
Oklahoma
The President is still popular in Oklahoma in spite of economic
problems. None of the major Democratic candidates seems to have any
particular strength. The new Democratic Governor, David Hall, will
be working hard against President Nixon and is a strong partisan
Democrat. The race for Senate could be quite tough since Oklahoma
voters might not really want to have two GOP Senators (like the Bush
situation in Texas in 1970).
Congressman Edmondson will make a strong Senate candidate for the
Democrats. There is a definite split in GOP leaders with State Chair-
man Clarence Warner reflecting a different position from the Bellmon
group. Doug McKeever of Enid is recommended by Dorothy Stanislaus
as Nixon chairman. The GOP Senate possibilities include former
Governor Dewey Bartlett (the favorite), astronaut Tom Stafford, and
Bud Stewart. Bartlett hopes to develop enough strength to avoid
an open fight.
- 18 -
West
Alaska
The Nixon Administration is not popular in Alaska at the present time.
The Alaska pipeline is the key issue and a decision is expected this
fall. It is most important that this announcement should be made by
Secretary Morton and Senator Stevens in Fairbanks and not let the
announcement come from Governor Egan or Senator Gravel. The State
Chairman for Alaska, Al Bramstedt, was active in the 1968 campaign for
Nixon. He reports that GOP morale with regard to the President's
campaign is not good. State Senator Jack Coghill is a possible Nixon
chairman. Former Secretary Hickel may run an independent slate of
delegates. Hickel is quite frustrated and is spending a great deal
of time in Alaska. At this point, Senator Stevens faces an uphill
fight unless the pipeline issue is settled the right way. The state
GOP has no debt and is trying to develop programs to reach the new
people coming in because of the oil industry and the native population.
A real help would be if the Jones Act could be changed to permit
foreign vessels to carry cargo from the mainland to Alaska. Unemploy-
ment is now at 13%. The shipping strike has been a disaster and will
cause even more damage in the long run as business concerns are unable
to reopen.
Hawaii
Hawaii has a woman as their new State Chairman. Carla Coray said
the state organization is out of debt but there are many organizational
problems. Bill Quinn, now President of the Dole Corporation, might
be a good Nixon chairman. John Bellinger, a Honolulu banker, is also
a possibility. The shipping strike is most serious and must be ended
soon. Modification of the Jones Act and the release of Federal land
would be of greatest benefit to the President's campaign in Hawaii.
California
Put Livermore, the GOP State Chairman, is doing a first rate job
in trying to keep everything together. The economy is the key issue
in California. Put has been concentrating his effort on reapportion-
ment. He stressed that the 1972 delegation should be broadly based
and selected on the basis of helping the President carry California
in November. The President's proposed trip to China has done a lot to
weaken McCloskey's position in California.
Oregon
There was approval by GOP officials in Denver of the choice of
Congressman Wendall Wyatt as Nixon chairman for Oregon. Currently
the Party faces a bitter fight between Governor McCall and Senator
Hatfield for the Senate nomination next year. Governor McCall plans
to make support for the President a major issue between himself and
- 19 -
Oregon (Cont'd)
Senator Hatfield and his activities at the Western Governors Con-
ference in Jackson reflected this strategy. If Governor McCall is
elected to the Senate, Oregon would have a Democrat as Governor since
the State Senate President would move up to that spot. The new GOP
State Chairman, Hank Hart, expects Senator Hatfield to do much better
in a primary contest against Governor McCall than the polls now
indicate. McCloskey would have some support in his campaign against
the President in Oregon.
Washington
Senator Jackson's strength is very strong at the present time. Economic
conditions are quite bad and help the Democrats. Governor Evans has
not decided whether he will run for a third term. State Chairman Earl
Davenport strongly urged a visit by the President to Washington State.
Davenport suggested Luke Williams as the Nixon chairman. Williams is
a conservative from Spokane who has good relations with Governor Evans.
Joel Pritchard of Seattle might also be a good Nixon chairman provided
he does not make another primary fight against Congressman Pelly. The
state GOP is out of debt and expects to pick up the 4th Congressional
District lost by Catherine May in 1970. The GOP candidate will be
Stewart Bledsoe who is a Republican leader in the State Legislature.
Arizona
The President is still quite popular in Arizona and economic con-
ditions are not particularly bad. The GOP finances are in good shape.
Reapportionment has a key priority with Arizona GOP which hopes to
pick up the new House seat. Harry Rosensweig, GOP State Chairman,
recommends Jim O'Connor as Nixon chairman. O'Connor is a friend of
Herb Kalmbach and is a Democrat who supports the President.
New Mexico
The state has serious economic problems. Senator Montoya is quite
popular with Spanish-American voters and is strongly anti-GOP. The
state GOP is only $6,000 in debt but extensive fund-raising is dif-
ficult in New Mexico. Tom McKenna will soon replace Bob Davidson
as GOP State Chairman. Davidson recommends former Lt. Governor Bohack
as a possibility for Nixon chairman.
Both parties are expecting primary contests for Senator Anderson's
seat. If Anderson runs again it could change that situation. Senator
Jackson is quite strong in New Mexico since his wife is from there
and worked for Senator Anderson.
Nevada
None of the National Democrats are very popular in Nevada and the
President should have a good chance to carry the state in 1972
according to George Abbott, the State GOP Chairman. Senator Jackson
- 20 -
Nevada (Cont'd)
would be the strongest Democratic nominee in Nevada. Abbott recommends
Bob Wordman, a banker from Las Vegas, as Nixon chairman. He also had
high praise for Attorney General Bob List. Former Governor Paul
Laxalt has received some criticism since the 1970 election and would
not be the best man to head up the Nixon campaign. The state GOP is
$30,000 in debt mostly from the Senate race in 1970. There are no
races for Governor or Senate in Nevada next year.
Colorado
Nixon's popularity is still very good in Colorado and the GOP is well
organized. Congressman Evans is the likely candidate against Senator
Allott. The GOP is out of debt. Bill Armstrong, the Nixon chairman
in 1968, may be a Congressional candidate next year. Reapportionment
problems are still not yet settled. Governor Love might be the
strongest man to head up the campaign for President Nixon in Colorado
in 1972. The Governor is quite popular with all groups at this point.
Wyoming
The President is still strong in Wyoming although there are some
economic difficulties in the state. Senator Hansen should win his
campaign for reelection. The GOP still is unsettled on its candidate
for Congressman-at-Large. There is no race for Governor. The new
State GOP Chairman, David Kennedy, is close to Governor Hathaway and
there seem to be no internal Party problems of significance.
Utah
Economic conditions are still causing problems and inflation hurts
the GOP. The recent copper strikes have been extremely serious in
Utah. The new state GOP Chairman is Kent Shearer, who was Utah
chairman for Reagan in 1968. Ken Garff, the National Committeeman,
thinks that the President can carry Utah again but that it will re-
quire a strong campaign effort. Governor Rampton has not indicated
whether he will seek reelection. The GOP candidate for Governor is
uncertain although it is most important that they obtain a strong
person to run for this office.
Montana
The new GOP State Chairman, Bill Holter, from Great Falls, is a
political amateur and very inexperienced. He seems to be well motivated
and determined to spend a lot of time and effort in building an organ-
ization. Economic conditions are critical in Montana. The Democratic
Governor, Forrest Anderson, will be working for the national ticket and
Senator Mansfield may be of some help. Senator Jackson would have
strong support. The GOP is out of debt and building an organization.
There is no likely GOP nominee against Senator Metcalf next year.
- 21 -
Montana (Cont'd)
Holter expects a lot of good impact from the President's visit to
Glacier National Park next month. Bill Holter suggested Frank Whetstone
of Cut Bank as Nixon chairman for Montana, but he will look for addi-
tional prospects.
Idaho
The President should carry Idaho next year but with a reduced plurality.
The Democrats, under Governor Andrus, are concentrating their efforts
next year almost exclusively on the State Legislature. This means
that they will not do much to help the national ticket. Roland Wilber,
GOP State Chairman, suggests that Jack Murphy may be the best man to
head up the Nixon campaign with Bill Campbell helping on organization.
Senator Jordan seems to be in good shape for reelection. Wilber did
express the view that Secretary Connally would not be a good choice
for Vice President insofar as Idaho was concerned.
DETERMINED TO BE AN
7/307/237/22
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12065, Section 6-102
NARS, Date 3-17-82
CONFIDENTIAL
By EV.
July 15, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
redors ec to
SUBJECT:
Charlie McWorter -
Information System
for 7-19-71
Discussion with Charlie McWorter, who just returned from the
Western Governor's Conference, covered the following subjects:
1) McWorter talked to McCall, who made the statements
about Reagan just to get the headlines and thereby
increase his chances of getting Hatfield's seat.
McCall says he was just trying to help the
President;
2) None of the Democratic Contenders had men working
the 7 Democratic Governors and staffs at the
Western Governor's Conference;
3) Egan told McWorter the President would have trouble
carrying Alaska; Burns said the same about Hawaii;
4) Governor Evans of Washington hasn't decided to
run for a third term. McWorter suggests that
"we" decide whether we want him to run and if so,
encourage him;
5) The President should carry Oregon thhough support
for Jackson is strong as it is in Washington;
6) In Idaho and Montana the Republican parties have
deteriorated badly and McWorter suggests that
the President campaign entirely separate from
the party. Idaho's Democratic Governor Andrus
and Montana's Democratic Governor Anderson are
doing well.
7) In New Megico the Republican efforts are chaotic,
and the President should campaign separately;
8) Governor Love told McWorter that the President
should carry Colorado. Love was very friendly and
wanted to be cooperative;
-2-
9) Steve Shaddegg of Arizona had some very negative
comments about the Administmation's dealing with
the Republican party. Shaddegg told McWorter
that "Nixon can't carry Arizona," but McWorter
disagrees;
10) McWorter will attend the Mid West Governor's
Confernece in Sioux City, Iowa, beginning Sunday.
McWorter will then go to the RNC meeting in
Denver where he will sit in with Flemming during
meetings with every Republican State Chairman.
11) McWorter attended Western Governor's "because
Stan Hathaway asked him. McWorter attends
National Governor's meetings as a "member of
the Vice President's Staff."
Recommendation:
That a copy of the memornadum be sent directly to the Attorney
General.
Approve
Disapprove
Comment
GS:elr
Fu
7/22415
June 30, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Charlie McWorter -
Information System
You mentioned that it would be helpful to contact Charlie
McWorter concerning information that he acquires during
his travels and meetings with politicians. Contact on
Monday, June 28, with Mr. McWorter, after he had returned
from a month vacation, indicated that he would still be
very interested in funneling information to you through
me. We agreed to talk at least once a week to review
his information and projected itinerary.
He will begin making his first trip this week and reporting
to me on July 7.
GS:elr
MEMORANDUM
6/28
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
7/5
May 24, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
GORDON STRACHAN
FROM:
L. HIGBY
John Ehrlichman indicated to Haldeman that he had received
information from Charlie McWhorter regarding Muskie and
Stevenson and the fact that Muskie is seriously considering
Stevenson to be his running mate. You may want to give McWhorter
a call and let him know that you are handling all political things for
Haldeman now and that if anything should come up in the way of
intelligence or something, Bob would be very interested in knowing
about it should Charlie want to forward the information.
Don't mention Ehrlichman
465-5565-G9 one w 5/25
will send all to G after
1 mo. vacation.
nyol
212-393-4459
6/28 will get me his tenerary
7/6-
FU
7/6
MEMORANDUM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
June 30, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
G
SUBJECT:
Charlie McWorter -
Information System
You mentioned that it would be helpful to contact Charlie
McWorter concerning information that he acquires during
his travels and meetings with politicians. Contact on
Monday, June 28, with Mr. McWorter, after he had returned
from a month vacation, indicated that he would still be
very interested in funneling information to you through
me. We agreed to talk at least once a week to review
his information and projected itinerary.
He will begin making his first trip this week and reporting
to me on July 7.
THE WHITE HOUSE
Have
yesterdey
WASHINGTON
Date 7-29-71
NOTE TO: H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
Dent's statement on the Ohio
political situation emphasizes
that:
1. The President is in the same
position today as he was in 1968.
2. Foreign policy is a plus and
unemployment in large cities is
a minus.
3. The Party situation is im-
proving, which is crucial.
4. Stark County (Canton) has
local Republican leaders who
are strong supporters of the
President.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Date:
July 28, 1971
TO:
Bob Haldeman
FROM:
HARRY DENT ASD
Please handle
For your information X
CONFIDENTIAL
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12065, Section 6-102
By EP
NARS, Date 3-17-82
OHIO: AS OF JULY 27TH, 1971
POLITICAL BRIEF
1968 Presidential Race:-
Nixon:
1,791,014
Humphrey: 1, ,700,586
Wallace:
476,495
Presidential Prospects:
The Presidential picture is cloudy here today. Our people see
the President about as strong today as he was in 1968. On the
plus side is foreign policy with the Red China visit and the Viet-
namization program. On the minus side is the unemployment
situation especially in larger cities like Dayton, Cincinnati and
Cleveland. A recent headline article in the Cleveland Plain Dealer
was entitled 11 Nixon can win Ohio again. 11 It surveyed the state and
found the President ahead for a second term vote, but only if the
war can be brought under control and the economic situation doesn't
worsen. College students were particularly anti-Nixon, though
other youths tended to split their votes.
The party situation is much improved over the past several months,
after a series of fund raisers. The party organization is always
crucial to victory in Ohio.
Statewide:
Over one hundred cities will elect Mayors this fall, including Cleveland
( where Mayor Stokes is retiring ) and Canton. There are no state-
wide elections until 1974. However, Congressional redistricting will
be a problem with the state losing a seat due to reapportionment. It
is felt the courts will have to eventually draw the new districts, as the
legislature is Republican and the Governor is a Democrat.
Locally:
Stark County ( greater Canton ) has been carried by the President in
1960 ( 15, 676 votes and 55.2% ) and 1968 ( 10, 739 votes and 47.9% ).
The Mayor of Canton is a Republican, Stanley Cmich, who is seeking
a fourth term in November. He is very popular and considered a shue-
in. The Congressman is veteran Republican Frank Bow who won with
56.2% of the vote in 1970. The local Republican organization is headed
by 'Cal' Wise a strong supporter of the President, and it is considered
a good one. Unemployment has not hit Canton too badly and the President
is thought to be in good shape there.
Ohio
Page 2
GOP Leaders:
Stark County Chairman:
Carl Wise, 216-453-8405
State Chairman:
John Andrews, 614-228-2481
National Committeeman:
Ray Bliss: 216-762-8903
National Committeewoman:
Miss Martha Moore: 614-432-2527
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Date July 30, 1971
NOTE TO: H. R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
This memorandum summarizes
about 80 pages of memoranda
forwarded by Dent. Should
you wish to read the
originals, they are in
my office.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 28, 1971
Administratively Confidential
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
G
SUBJECT:
Dent Office Memoranda
Dent forwarded copies of thought pieces by Dick Richards,
analyses of states by Tom Davis, RNC field men's reports,
and copies of his memoranda for the President and the
Attorney General.
Richards, Senior Citizens, July 21: For perspective, the 18-
21 age group will probably have 5 million voters while 25
million senior citizens will vote. The potential support for
the President is greater among Senior Citizens because they
respect "the President", support President Nixon's moral values,
and are more conservative except on the social service issues
(social security, medicare, pensions, etc.). May Gallup sta-
tistics on approval and trial heats demonstrate the President's
stronger standing among the senior citizens. To increase this
support they must be convinced that we understand their basic
financial problem of living on a "fixed income" with inflation
and real estate taxes eroding their life style. Senior
citizen's organizations are lobbying for financial advantages
through social security, health, housing, and transportation
benefits. They will vote their pocket book and support Ted
Kennedy or Ed Muskie who have made large promises to appeal to
the senior citizen voter. The senior citizen should be our
highest priority so that support for the President can be de-
livered from the senior citizen's organizations and clubs.
Administration sponsorship and support of legislation coupled
with communication and support through senior citizen's
organizations and publications is essential.
Richards, Kennedy, July 16: Assuming Kennedy will be a candidate
he must maintain his high support among blacks, increase it
among youth, and reduce the President's support by the senior
citizens. The blacks are locked on Kennedy. His pandering
approach to senior citizens is exemplified by his committee
positions on public welfare, human needs, and aging. Kennedy's
nationwide hearings appeal to the elderly as does his attack
on the AMA.
-2-
Richards' independent analysis of the RNC and Citizens approach
to the youth vote emphasizes:
1. Five million 18-21 year old voters are being sought
by registration drives by Common Cause, Frontlash, Incor-
porated, and the National Movement for the Student Vote.
All profess to be bipartisan but indications are that their
focus is anti-Nixon/Republican. The numerous youth polls
should be catalogued by the RNC;
2. Anne Armstrong's programs for the youth vote include:
TARs, who are led capably by Barbie Wells, and the College
Republicans and YRs, which are mere shells with questionable
programs; they will be used to the extent helpful by the
Citizens Young Voters for Nixon, which with Ken Rietz'
direction will pursue off-campus youth.
3. The youth vote is not a bloc; it is reluctant to join
either party; youth does not realize the President is
with them on the issues (Vietnam, pollution, government,
reform) ; some non-traditional "movement" avoiding the
appearance of using youth is necessary.
Tom Davis --
Louisiana:
Wallace would win again because of the busing
controversy. The victor in the crowded De-
mocratic primary in December will beat the
Republican gubernatorial candidate in the
general election in February. Ellender or
McKeithen will hold the Senate seat. Hale
Boggs may face another tough race in 1972 in
light of the 1970 Census redistricting. The
Republican Party is weak.
Wyoming:
The President would win but by a slim margin
because of his liberal positions and the
economy. Hansen will be re-elected; no young
Republican has emerged who could beat Democratic
Congressman Teno Roncalio. The Republican
Party is strong.
Florida:
The President would carry Florida in spite of
welfare reform and busing, in the only statewide
race in 1972. Democratic redistricting will
hurt but one to three Congressional seats should
still be gained. The Party should be an asset
since the 1970 fratricide is subsiding.
-4-
RNC Field Men Analyses of States
Charles Baily (Far West) --
Alaska:
After the Party's poor performance in 1970,
personnel changes were made, but with little
effect. Senator Stevens should be re-elected.
Arizona:
The new leadership of the Party is strong but
faces the challenge of re-registering all their
members; the financial situation is sound. There
are only two minor statewide races in 1972, though
Tucson and Phoenix have mayoralty races that
could divide Republicans.
Colorado:
The Party is strong; Allott should win the re-
election; and a Republican should pick up the
Congressional seat.
Hawaii:
The Party is weak, though the new State Chairman,
Carla Coray, is improving the situation. Finances
are not a problem because of Randolph Crossley.
The Democrats will remain in control.
Idaho:
Financially the Party is hurting; it is impossible
to assess other indications of Party strength.
Senator Jordan and the two Republican Congressmen
will be re-elected.
Montana: Financial problems and new leadership make deter-
mination of Party strength difficult. Republican
Attorney General Woodahl would be the best candidate
against vulnerable Senator Metcalf. Republican
Congressman Dick Shoup faces a real fight. Demo-
cratic Governor Forrest Anderson could be defeated
by Jim Lucas or "Doc" Keller.
Nevada: Organizational and financial disaster at the state
level is partially compensated for by strong
county organizations in Clark and Washoe. Senator
Bible and Congressman Bearing (sic) face no
opposition.
New Mexico: Finance Chairman George McKenna should be replaced
because the Party is in debt with no plan for re-
payment or development of a war chest. Senator
Anderson may resign so that the Democratic Governor
-5-
may appoint a candidate who can run in 1972 as
an incumbent. The Republicans will have too
many candidates to wage an effective general
election campaign for the Senate seat available
in 1972. There is no chance of capturing
another House seat.
Oregon: The Birchers control 12 counties in Oregon that
the new state leadership is trying to isolate.
The financial situation is stable. Senator
Hatfield will be opposed in the primary.
Utah: The new State Chairman, Kent Shearer, is a good
organizational politician but "could have problems
and become ineffective due to excessive alcoholic
comsumption." Small donors keep the Party in
the black. If Democratic Governor Calvin Rampton
seeks an unprecedented third term he will win;
the President should carry Utah in spite of
Rampton's victory.
Washington: The financial condition is tight but the Party
organization excellent. Republican Governor
Dan Evans should be re-elected.
Wyoming:
Small contributors support the strong Party.
Senator Hansen will be re-elected and might
even help defeat Democratic Congressman Roncalio.
A.J. Miller, Jr. (Midwest) --
Illinois:
The economy, farm attitude and the war would
prevent the President from receiving more than 45%
of the vote; Ogilvie oriented leaders instead of
Party politicians dominate the scene; there is
no debt but fund raising is not very effective.
Percy is unbeatable; the Congressional seats are
stable. Ogilvie's chances for re-election have
improved recently.
Iowa:
The President would win by a narrow margin. There
is no debt but current income is at 10% of normal
fund raising. The Party is strong. Senator Miller
should defeat Kennedy's candidate, Congressman John
Culver. A gubernatorial Republican primary fight
could mean Democratic victory in November.
-6-
Kansas:
A 5% margin of victory for the President is
predicted. He has support on the War but less
among farmers. The Party organization is nothing
but has a $30,000 debt. Senator Pearson is said
to have a 6% margin over any opposition, including
Governor Docking, who will seek a fourth term
if victory over Pearson does not seem probable.
Minnesota:
The President would receive 45% to 47% against
Muskie or Kennedy and 40% against Humphrey.
Unemployment, the War, and the farm attitude are
the issues against the Republicans. Although
there is no debt, new State Chairman Dave Krogseny
faces low cash flow and drastic staff reductions.
Senator Mondale cannot be defeated though Douglas
Head might challenge him.
E. Allen Parker (New England) --
Connecticut:
The President would carry Connecticut in light
of Governor Meskill's and Senator Weicker's
actions. Former Meskill campaign workers now
head the debt-free Party and with no other
statewide races in 1972 the President's position
is strengthened.
Maine:
If Muskie is not the candidate the President
could carry Maine. The Party is in the black and
led well by a young chairman. Senator Smith is
the other statewide race in 1972 but is expected
to win over primary and general election challengers.
Massachusetts:
The President will lose but Senator Brooke will
win because of ideological divisions within the
weak Republican Party.
New Hampshire:
The Republican Party is split between pro and
anti Governor Peterson people. However, the Pres-
ident is strongly supported. The Party's finances
are marginal. Both Parties will have hard fought
primaries for the Governor and Senate spots open
in 1972.
-7-
Rhode Island:
Chafee is ahead of Pell for the Senate seat and
De Simone is ahead of Licht for Governor. Still,
the President is not strong in Rhode Island
because of the War issue. Republican Party leader-
ship is strong and the finances are adequate.
Vermont:
The victories by Governor Davis and Senator Prouty
have strengthened the President's favorable po-
sition. State Chairman Merriman is rumored to
be joining the President's campaign but there
are other strong leaders though the Party is in
debt. Governor Davis is not expected to run
for re-election and there will be a primary
fight.
Paul Russo (East Central States) ---
Arkansas:
The Party is split between Rockefeller and State
Chairman Bernard. The President needs a
Citizens head acceptable to both. Governor
Bumpers and Senator McClellan are both up for re-
election in 1972.
Indiana:
Governor Whitcomb has cut off funds and patronage
from State Chairman Snyder, who is backed by
Keith Bulen. Snyder is strong organizationally
and needs help.
Kentucky:
Governor Nunn may seek Senator Cooper's seat;
Nunn supports Emberton to replace him as Governor.
The Party is strong with sound finances.
Michigan:
State Chairman McLaughlin is a good youth oriented
state leader. He is faced with debt and the possibil-
ity that the best people to work for the President
will be drawn to Senator Griffin's campaign.
Mississippi:
State Chairman Reed is a strong leader of a Party
without debt. The Democratic gubernatorial primary
between Charles Evers and Lt. Governor Sullivan
in August may result in support for the President
in 1972. Senator Eastland's term expires in 1972.
Ohio:
State Chairman Andrews is faced with a substantial
debt and heretofore unsuccessful attempts by
Taft to replace him. Ray Bliss is helping
Andrews raise funds.
-8-
Tennessee:
The Party is getting stronger though there is
some debt. Senator Baker's popularity is
stimulating interest in the 1972 Campaign.
West Virginia:
Republican Governor Arch Moore is the only source
of Republican strength. He can help the President.
Moore may seek Senator Randolph's seat in 1972.
The Party is weak and in debt.
Mike Scanlon (Eastern States) --
Delaware:
State Chairman Gene Bunting heads a strong Party
without debt. Governor Peterson will seek re-
election in 1972. Senator Caleb Boggs may seek
re-election. If he does not, Congressman du Pont
or Mayor Haskell will seek the seat.
Florida:
State Chairman L.E. (Tommy) Thomas has a new
strong staff and a sound financial situation.
There are no statewide races in 1972 though
three new Congressional seats will be sought.
The President is strongly supported by the Repub-
licans.
Georgia:
State Chairman Robert Shaw and Finance Chairman
Tom Lowe are working against a substantial debt
while trying to make the Republicans a viable
second Party. Senator Gambrell, who was appointed
to Russell's seat is up in 1972.
Maryland:
State Chairman Lankler is faced with a $40,000
debt though the amount is being reduced. There
are no statewide races in 1972.
New Jersey:
Governor Cahill and State Chairman John Dimon
head a strong, debt free Party. Senator Case is
expected to win re-election.
New York:
State Chairman Lanigan heads the finest Republican
organization in the country and is reducing the
debt from the Governors race. There are no state-
wide races in 1972.
-9-
North Carolina:
State Chairman Houlshouser will resign so that
he can seek the Governorship, where he may be
opposed by Congressman Broyhill. The Party's
debt is being reduced.
Pennsylvania:
The Party has a $300,000 debt which prompted
Martin Hamberger of Senator Scott's staff to
try to oust State Chairman Jones. He failed.
Scott retains control statewide. There are no
statewide races in 1972.
South Carolina:
State Chairman Powell is overshadowed by Senator
Thurmond and Harry Dent. Thurmond's re-election
bid will drain the Party of workers and further
widen the split.
Virginia:
Governor Holton and State Chairman French run a
"good" Party that has a small debt. Senator
Spong is expected to run for re-election.
Mike Woodsen --
California:
The "Livermore Vacuum" is spending money exclusively
on computer time for re-apportionment. The Los
Angeles County Republicans also have no money.
McCloskey would be defeated in the Republican
primary though would win as a Democrat. "The
1974 Republican stars must be held at bay until
after the November election.'
Dent's Memorandum for the President on Southern Politics: Dent re-
drafted his memorandum for the President which, according
to the Staff Secretary, has been with the President for
one month. Basically, Dent summarizes his work with
Southern GOP leaders, media, citizens, college students,
and blacks. Dent believes Wallace will run. Attempts to
discredit Wallace in Alabama are progressing. A Readers
Digest article on the "President and the New South" and
more Southern appointments are urged. The memorandum
which asked for decisions on continuing the Southern
strategy of "give the South equal treatment" and whether
Connally can do fund raisers, has not been returned by
the President.
In two memoranda for the Attorney General, Dent suggests:
1. A mailing of Christmas cards by the President to the
State Chairmen and 100 top party leaders in each state;
-10-
2. That Louie Donaldson, a city councilman in
Memphis, be the Chairman of our Primary Campaign
in Tennessee. Donaldson apparently has the support
of Timmons from the Brock Camp and Lamar Alexander
from the Baker and Dunn camps.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 28, 1971
Administratively Confidential
MEMORANDUM FOR:
H.R. HALDEMAN
FROM:
GORDON STRACHAN
SUBJECT:
Dent Office Memoranda
Dent forwarded copies of thought pieces by Dick Richards,
analyses of states by Tom Davis, RNC field men's reports,
and copies of his memoranda for the President and the
Attorney General.
Richards, Senior Citizens, July 21: For perspective, the 18-
21 age group will probably have 5 million voters while 25
million senior citizens will vote. The potential support for
the President is greater among Senior Citizens because they
respect "the President", support President Nixon's moral values,
and are more conservative except on the social service issues
(social security, medicare, pensions, etc.). May Gallup sta-
tistics on approval and trial heats demonstrate the President's
stronger standing among the senior citizens. To increase this
support they must be convinced that we understand their basic
financial problem of living on a "fixed income" with inflation
and real estate taxes eroding their life style. Senior
citizen's organizations are lobbying for financial advantages
through social security, health, housing, and transportation
benefits. They will vote their pocket book and support Ted
Kennedy or Ed Muskie who have made large promises to appeal to
the senior citizen voter. The senior citizen should be our
highest priority so that support for the President can be de-
livered from the senior citizen's organizations and clubs.
Administration sponsorship and support of legislation coupled
with communication and support through senior citizen's
organizations and publications is essential.
Richards, Kennedy, July 16: Assuming Kennedy will be a candidate
he must maintain his high support among blacks, increase it
among youth, and reduce the President's support by the senior
citizens. The blacks are locked on Kennedy. His pandering
approach to senior citizens is exemplified by his committee
positions on public welfare, human needs, and aging. Kennedy's
nationwide hearings appeal to the elderly as does his attack
on the AMA.
-2-
Richards' independent analysis of the RNC and Citizens approach
to the youth vote emphasizes:
1. Five million 18-21 year old voters are being sought
by registration drives by Common Cause, Frontlash, Incor-
porated, and the National Movement for the Student Vote.
All profess to be bipartisan but indications are that their
focus is anti-Nixon/Republican. The numerous youth polls
should be catalogued by the RNC;
2. Anne Armstrong's programs for the youth vote include:
TARs, who are led capably by Barbie Wells, and the College
Republicans and YRs, which are mere shells with questionable
programs; they will be used to the extent helpful by the
Citizens Young Voters for Nixon, which with Ken Rietz'
direction will pursue off-campus youth.
3. The youth vote is not a bloc; it is reluctant to join
either party; youth does not realize the President is
with them on the issues (Vietnam, pollution, government,
reform); some non-traditional "movement" avoiding the
appearance of using youth is necessary.
Tom Davis --
Louisiana:
Wallace would win again because of the busing
controversy. The victor in the crowded De-
mocratic primary in December will beat the
Republican gubernatorial candidate in the
general election in February. Ellender or
McKeithen will hold the Senate seat. Hale
Boggs may face another tough race in 1972 in
light of the 1970 Census redistricting. The
Republican Party is weak.
Wyoming:
The President would win but by a slim margin
because of his liberal positions and the
economy. Hansen will be re-elected; no young
Republican has emerged who could beat Democratic
Congressman Teno Roncalio. The Republican
Party is strong.
Florida:
The President would carry Florida in spite of
welfare reform and busing, in the only statewide
race in 1972. Democratic redistricting will
hurt but one to three Congressional seats should
still be gained. The Party should be an asset
since the 1970 fratricide is subsiding.
-3-
Iowa:
Iowa will support the President though the
economy is off and farmers feel neglected.
A gubernatorial primary battle between GOP
Governor Ray and Lt. Governor Jepsen could
split the Party, waste money and cause defeat
in 1972. Senator Miller has a slight lead over
Congressman John Culver. Redistricting will
not cost us any seats in Congress. The Party
needs a White House effort to prevent a guber-
natorial primary.
Colorado:
The President will carry Colorado. The issues,
in order, are the War, crime, the economy and
drug abuse. Allott will be re-elected.
Republican control of the Governorship and
Legislature assures Congressional gains after
redistricting. The Party is very strong.
Connecticut:
The President might carry Connecticut because
Governor Meskill is popular and has made the
Party organization strong. Unemployment is
the big issue against the Republicans. Congres-
sional seats will follow the coat-tails.
California:
Muskie or Jackson would make the race very close.
Unemployment is hurting the Republicans badly.
The Party is useless because of the vacuum left
by State Chairman Put Livermore. Reagan
should be the favorite son. Five new Congres-
sional seats give the Republicans the chance to
carry two to four. McCloskey is highly vulnerable.
Assemblyman Dixon Arnett or former GOP head Jim
Halley could win in the GOP primary, but if
McCloskey runs as a Democrat he will win.
Missouri:
The President is stronger in Missouri than in
1968 though the War and the economy are the
issues hurting him. Democratic Lt. Governor Morris
faces a tough primary against several strong con-
tenders. Danforth would be the strongest can-
didate to be the first GOP Governor in 32 years.
Les King and Kit Bond may challenge Danforth, who
has legal residency problems. The last Democratic
gerrymandered redistricting can't be made worse
for the Republicans so there is a chance of getting
more than one of the current 10 Congressional
seats. The Party is strong and confident.
-4-
RNC Field Men Analyses of States
Charles Baily (Far West) --
Alaska:
After the Party's poor performance in 1970,
personnel changes were made, but with little
effect. Senator Stevens should be re-elected.
Arizona:
The new leadership of the Party is strong but
faces the challenge of re-registering all their
members; the financial situation is sound. There
are only two minor statewide races in 1972, though
Tucson and Phoenix have mayoralty races that
could divide Republicans.
Colorado:
The Party is strong; Allott should win the re-
election; and a Republican should pick up the
Congressional seat.
Hawaii:
The Party is weak, though the new State Chairman,
Carla Coray, is improving the situation. Finances
are not a problem because of Randolph Crossley.
The Democrats will remain in control.
Idaho:
Financially the Party is hurting; it is impossible
to assess other indications of Party strength.
Senator Jordan and the two Republican Congressmen
will be re-elected.
Montana: Financial problems and new leadership make deter-
mination of Party strength difficult. Republican
Attorney General Woodahl would be the best candidate
against vulnerable Senator Metcalf. Republican
Congressman Dick Shoup faces a real fight. Demo-
cratic Governor Forrest Anderson could be defeated
by Jim Lucas or "Doc" Keller.
Nevada: Organizational and financial disaster at the state
level is partially compensated for by strong
county organizations in Clark and Washoe. Senator
Bible and Congressman Bearing (sic) face no
opposition.
New Mexico:
Finance Chairman George McKenna should be replaced
because the Party is in debt with no plan for re-
payment or development of a war chest. Senator
Anderson may resign so that the Democratic Governor
-5-
may appoint a candidate who can run in 1972 as
an incumbent. The Republicans will have too
many candidates to wage an effective general
election campaign for the Senate seat available
in 1972. There is no chance of capturing
another House seat.
Oregon: The Birchers control 12 counties in Oregon that
the new state leadership is trying to isolate.
The financial situation is stable. Senator
Hatfield will be opposed in the primary.
Utah: The new State Chairman, Kent Shearer, is a good
organizational politician but "could have problems
and become ineffective due to excessive alcoholic
comsumption." Small donors keep the Party in
the black. If Democratic Governor Calvin Rampton
seeks an unprecedented third term he will win;
the President should carry Utah in spite of
Rampton's victory.
Washington: The financial condition is tight but the Party
organization excellent. Republican Governor
Dan Evans should be re-elected.
Wyoming:
Small contributors support the strong Party.
Senator Hansen will be re-elected and might
even help defeat Democratic Congressman Roncalio.
A.J. Miller, Jr. (Midwest) --
Illinois:
The economy, farm attitude and the war would
prevent the President from receiving more than 45%
of the vote; Ogilvie oriented leaders instead of
Party politicians dominate the scene; there is
no debt but fund raising is not very effective.
Percy is unbeatable; the Congressional seats are
stable. Ogilvie's chances for re-election have
improved recently.
Iowa:
The President would win by a narrow margin. There
is no debt but current income is at 10% of normal
fund raising. The Party is strong. Senator Miller
should defeat Kennedy's candidate, Congressman John
Culver. A gubernatorial Republican primary fight
could mean Democratic victory in November.
-6-
Kansas:
A 5% margin of victory for the President is
predicted. He has support on the War but less
among farmers. The Party organization is nothing
but has a $30,000 debt. Senator Pearson is said
to have a 6% margin over any opposition, including
Governor Docking, who will seek a fourth term
if victory over Pearson does not seem probable.
Minnesota:
The President would receive 45% to 47% against
Muskie or Kennedy and 40% against Humphrey.
Unemployment, the War, and the farm attitude are
the issues against the Republicans. Although
there is no debt, new State Chairman Dave Krogseny
faces low cash flow and drastic staff reductions.
Senator Mondale cannot be defeated though Douglas
Head might challenge him.
E. Allen Parker (New England) --
Connecticut:
The President would carry Connecticut in light
of Governor Meskill's and Senator Weicker's
actions. Former Meskill campaign workers now
head the debt-free Party and with no other
statewide races in 1972 the President's position
is strengthened.
Maine:
If Muskie is not the candidate the President
could carry Maine. The Party is in the black and
led well by a young chairman. Senator Smith is
the other statewide race in 1972 but is expected
to win over primary and general election challengers.
Massachusetts:
The President will lose but Senator Brooke will
win because of ideological divisions within the
weak Republican Party.
New Hampshire:
The Republican Party is split between pro and
anti Governor Peterson people. However, the Pres-
ident is strongly supported. The Party's finances
are marginal. Both Parties will have hard fought
primaries for the Governor and Senate spots open
in 1972.
-7-
Rhode Island:
Chafee is ahead of Pell for the Senate seat and
De Simone is ahead of Licht for Governor. Still,
the President is not strong in Rhode Island
because of the War issue. Republican Party leader-
ship is strong and the finances are adequate.
Vermont:
The victories by Governor Davis and Senator Prouty
have strengthened the President's favorable po-
sition. State Chairman Merriman is rumored to
be joining the President's campaign but there
are other strong leaders though the Party is in
debt. Governor Davis is not expected to run
for re-election and there will be a primary
fight.
Paul Russo (East Central States) --
Arkansas:
The Party is split between Rockefeller and State
Chairman Bernard. The President needs a
Citizens head acceptable to both. Governor
Bumpers and Senator McClellan are both up for re-
election in 1972.
Indiana:
Governor Whitcomb has cut off funds and patronage
from State Chairman Snyder, who is backed by
Keith Bulen. Snyder is strong organizationally
and needs help.
Kentucky:
Governor Nunn may seek Senator Cooper's seat;
Nunn supports Emberton to replace him as Governor.
The Party is strong with sound finances.
Michigan:
State Chairman McLaughlin is a good youth oriented
state leader. He is faced with debt and the possibil-
ity that the best people to work for the President
will be drawn to Senator Griffin's campaign.
Mississippi:
State Chairman Reed is a strong leader of a Party
without debt. The Democratic gubernatorial primary
between Charles Evers and Lt. Governor Sullivan
in August may result in support for the President
in 1972. Senator Eastland's term expires in 1972.
Ohio:
State Chairman Andrews is faced with a substantial
debt and heretofore unsuccessful attempts by
Taft to replace him. Ray Bliss is helping
Andrews raise funds.
-8-
Tennessee:
The Party is getting stronger though there is
some debt. Senator Baker's popularity is
stimulating interest in the 1972 Campaign.
West Virginia:
Republican Governor Arch Moore is the only source
of Republican strength. He can help the President.
Moore. may seek Senator Randolph's seat in 1972.
The Party is weak and in debt.
Mike Scanlon (Eastern States) --
Delaware:
State Chairman Gene Bunting heads a strong Party
without debt. Governor Peterson will seek re-
election in 1972. Senator Caleb Boggs may seek
re-election. If he does not, Congressman du Pont
or Mayor Haskell will seek the seat.
Florida:
State Chairman L.E. (Tommy) Thomas has a new
strong staff and a sound financial situation.
There are no statewide races in 1972 though
three new Congressional seats will be sought.
The President is strongly supported by the Repub-
licans.
Georgia:
State Chairman Robert Shaw and Finance Chairman
Tom Lowe are working against a substantial debt
while trying to make the Republicans a viable
second Party. Senator Gambrell, who was appointed
to Russell's seat is up in 1972.
Maryland:
State Chairman Lankler is faced with a $40,000
debt though the amount is being reduced. There
are no statewide races in 1972.
New Jersey:
Governor Cahill and State Chairman John Dimon
head a strong, debt free Party. Senator Case is
expected to win re-election.
New York:
State Chairman Lanigan heads the finest Republican
organization in the country and is reducing the
debt from the Governors race. There are no state-
wide races in 1972.
-9-
North Carolina:
State Chairman Houlshouser will resign so that
he can seek the Governorship, where he may be
opposed by Congressman Broyhill. The Party's
debt is being reduced.
Pennsylvania:
The Party has a $300,000 debt which prompted
Martin Hamberger of Senator Scott's staff to
try to oust State Chairman Jones. He failed.
Scott retains control statewide. There are no
statewide races in 1972.
South Carolina:
State Chairman Powell is overshadowed by Senator
Thurmond and Harry Dent. Thurmond's re-election
bid will drain the Party of workers and further
widen the split.
Virginia:
Governor Holton and State Chairman French run a
"good" Party that has a small debt. Senator
Spong is expected to run for re-election.
Mike Woodsen --
California:
The "Livermore Vacuum" is spending money exclusively
on computer time for re-apportionment. The Los
Angeles County Republicans also have no money.
McCloskey would be defeated in the Republican
primary though would win as a Democrat. "The
1974 Republican stars must be held at bay until
after the November election.'
Dent's Memorandum for the President on Southern Politics: Dent re-
drafted his memorandum for the President which, according
to the Staff Secretary, has been with the President for
one month. Basically, Dent summarizes his work with
Southern GOP leaders, media, citizens, college students,
and blacks. Dent believes Wallace will run. Attempts to
discredit Wallace in Alabama are progressing. A Readers
Digest article on the "President and the New South" and
more Southern appointments are urged. The memorandum
which asked for decisions on continuing the Southern
strategy of "give the South equal treatment" and whether
Connally can do fund raisers, has not been returned by
the President.
In two memoranda for the Attorney General, Dent suggests:
1. A mailing of Christmas cards by the President to the
State Chairmen and 100 top party leaders in each state;
-10-
2. That Louie Donaldson, a city councilman in
Memphis, be the Chairman of our Primary Campaign
in Tennessee. Donaldson apparently has the support
of Timmons from the Brock Camp and Lamar Alexander
from the Baker and Dunn camps.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Date:
July 21, 1971
TO:
BOB HALDEMAN
FROM:
HARRY DENT ASD
Please handle
For your information XX
MEMORANDUM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 21, 1971
TO:
Harry S. Dent
FROM:
Richard Richards
SUBJECT:
Senior Citizens.
I. BACKGROUND
With the passage of the 18-year old vote, political parties,
candidates, and other special interest groups are moving
feverishly to get the young voter registered, compile the
mailing lists of the young voters to enable them to see that
they vote on election day, and propagandize them in the inter-
val. While this is certainly a legitimate objective, and the
Republican Party and the Nixon campaign organization ought
to be doing the same thing, we should not lose sight of an
even larger group of voters who will play an even more im-
portant part in the 1972 campaign.
We can only guess at the numbers, or percentage, of young
people who will vote, and further speculate on how they will
vote in 1972. If the new voters vote in the same ratios as
the 21-to-24-year olds have voted in the past decade, approx-
imately 50% of them will participate in the electoral process.
At the same time, past history shows us that the elderly are
more likely to vote than any other age group. Voting approx-
imately 70% of their numbers in a Presidential election.
The 18-to-21 age group will number approximately 11 million,
while the senior citizen - that is, persons 55 years of age or
older - number 36 million. Based upon past history, approx-
imately 5.5 million young people between the ages of 18 and
21 will vote in 1972, while 25 million senior citizens will cast
their votes.
This is not to say we should forget about the young voter, but
simply to put the importance of their votes in proper perspec-
tive, and certainly to remind us of the great importance of the
senior citizen vote.
Page 2
7/21/71
II. Potential support from the senior citizen.
Not only will the senior citizen vote in greater numbers and
percentages, but the opportunity for success with this group
is considerably better than with the younger voter.
Polls and surveys taken over an extended period of time show
the senior citizen to be more conservative (with the exception
of financial matters as they relate directly to the senior citizen,
such as social security, Medicare, pensions, government assis-
tance in housing, etc.). It is my impression that the some-
what more liberal attitude relative to these things occurs when
the citizen reaches, or nears, the retirement age.
Furthermore, the elderly people are more concerned with the
basic moral values that Richard Nixon talks about frequently.
They have a greater sense of goodness, or rightness, about
the United States and the role it has played in world affairs,
and the opportunity and advantages it has offered to our citizens
over the generations. I believe they are more concerned and
more strongly opposed to demonstrations, lawlessness, violence,
and crime than the other age groups. Maybe partially because
they have less capacity to defend themselves when faced with
these problems.
I further believe they have greater respect for Richard Nixon,
the office he holds, and the things he stands for.
The foregoing is supported by some of the polls that have been
taken in recent months. The following are examples from
Gallup Polls taken in May, 1971:
Approval Ratings
Age
Approve
Disapprove
No Opinion
* 18-21
43%
43%
14%
21-29
49%
43%
8%
30-49
53%
35%
12%
50 & over
49%
38%
13%
*published April 18, 1971.
Page 3.
7/21/71
On the question of Vietnam, in the over 50 category, more
people believe that the Administration is telling the truth
and a smaller percentage feel he is not. Their approval
rating of handling the war in Vietnam is the same as some
of the younger categories, but the disapproval rating is lower.
In trial heats with the various Democrat hopefuls, the Presi-
dent rates as follows:
Age
Nixon
Humphrey
Wallace
Undecided
21-29
40%
39%
12%
9%
30-49
46%
37%
12%
5%
50 & over 48%
34%
13%
5%
Nixon VS. Muskie
Age
Nixon
Muskie
Wallace
Undecided
21-29
34%
44%
12%
10%
30-49
42%
40%
12%
6%
50 & over 46%
36%
12%
6%
Nixon VS. Kennedy
Age
Nixon
Kennedy
Wallace
Undecided
21-29
32%
52%
11%
5%
30-49
45%
38%
11%
6%
50 & over 51%
33%
11%
5%
In 1968, President Nixon received 47% to Humphrey's 43%.
III. To capitalize on the natural advantage we have, however
small it may be, we must understand the senior citizen and
his problems. In the first place, their problem is basically
a financial one. The great majority of the so-called senior
citizens are now retired, or will soon retire, and therefore
will be living on somewhat "fixed incomes"; therefore they
Page 4
7/21/71
worry greatly about inflation and how it is diminishing
their retirement benefits, their savings, pensions, or
whatever the case may be. They are also greatly con-
cerned about how inflation erodes their social security
benefits each year. At the present time, over 1/4 of
the so-called senior citizens in the United States live in
the "status of poverty" by definition. Statistically, a
sizable percentage own their own homes, but rising real
property taxes are working a great hardship on them,
actually forcing some to abandon their properties to live
in rest homes, apartments, etc., when logically their
preference would be to remain in the home they occupied
for an extended period of time.
President Nixon alluded to both of the foregoing in his
speech before the senior citizens in Chicago in early July,
and when he mentioned these two problems and his con-
cern and recognition of the problems, he received a fine
response from his senior citizen audience.
IV. Senior citizens' legislative requests.
There are numerous senior citizen organizations, among
them The National Retired Teachers Association and The
American Association of Retired Persons. The number
of elderly who belong to such organizations total approx-
imately 5 million people. Their organizations are lobby-
ing for many legislative programs to benefit the elderly,
included among them are, (1) amendments to the social
security law to provide for automatic increases in social
security benefits as the cost of living increases; (2) a
relaxation of social security rules to permit receipt of
greater outside income before penalties are attached; (3)
they want more comprehensive and better health services.
I believe the greatest single concern of many of the
elderly relates to what will happen if I become ill for
an extended period of time and have to have special care?"
As we all know, the incidents of illness are greater among
the elderly, a sizable percent of the illness is terminal,
Page 5
7/21/71
the costs for extended medical care are tremendous, and in
many cases the elderly have to give up their property and
depend completely on charity for the payment of those ex-
penses; (4) they want better housing. They are convinced
that the Administration has made housing for the poor and
for minority groups a priority at the expense of decent hous-
ing for the elderly; (5) they want better transportation facil-
ities. Many of the elderly are confined to their residences.
They cannot even get to and from shopping facilities, medical
clinics, etc. They have asked for a reduction in fares, in-
cluding air fare, so they can travel and visit distant relatives
and members of their family.
They want many other things too, but these are the "big"
things.
I believe that notwithstanding the fact the elderly are more
closely akin to the Republican philosophy and more inclined
to support Richard Nixon, when the appropriate time comes
they will vote their pocketbooks. And if at the age of 70 they
are confronted with a choice between increased social security
benefits and improved nursing home care, subsidized transpor-
tation facilities, etc., or an unbalanced budget, or deficit
spending -- there is little doubt which they would choose.
The candidates that make promises to the senior citizens
will get their votes, and if the Administration appears un-
concerned, or can be made to appear unconcerned, we will
have trouble securing the senior citizen vote. Other candi-
dates, particularly Ted Kennedy and Ed Muskie, are making
a concerted drive to appeal to the senior citizen voter.
Attached see a list of bills, together with a short description
of the legislation, that were either introduced or co-sponsored
by Senator Kennedy in this session -- obviously designed to
appeal to the elderly voter.
V. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
The elderly voter logically fits in the Republican camp and
can be induced to support Richard Nixon again. This support
Page 6
7/21/71
is natural and logical. It is now ours -- but if we desire it
to remain so we must exert a major effort with these peo-
ple.
It will be difficult to "organize" senior citizens. The Republi-
can National Committee does not have the financial capacity
nor the staff to do so, and I seriously doubt if we could get
many of them involved to the extent they would actually go
out and build Republican senior citizen organizations designed
specifically to work for Richard Nixon. However, there are
presently existing several senior citizen organizations on a
national level, and there are literally thousands of senior citi-
zen clubs, "golden hour" centers, etc., across the country,
through which a sizable portion of the senior citizens partici-
pate in social activities, handicrafts, etc. These groups con-
stitute a vast untapped resource, and with proper organization
and effort we could recruit leaders within the small groups to
work on behalf of the President, to propagandize their friends
and associates, and even on occasion distribute favorable liter-
ature at the appropriate time. I believe the appeal to the
senior citizen deserves our highest priority with a substantial
financial commitment.
It is extremely important, however, that the Administration do
and say the right things for the elderly voter, sponsor or
support legislation to meet some of their needs, to be seen
and heard through the senior citizen organizations and through
their national publications, and embark on a program specifically
designed to establish a closer rapport with the senior citizen.
Without this, the organizational effort would not succeed. These
people are concerned about very specific problems, and can
relate them directly to themselves and their lives. These are
the things that must be discussed and talked about, and the
senior citizen made to feel that the President is fully aware of,
and understands and sympathizes with them or their problems.
Legislative proposals introduced or supported by Senator Kennedy
S.
3 - is the Senator's major legislative program designed
to create a national system of health security, which
would provide medical benefits for every resident of
the United States and every non-resident citizen while
within the United States. It would further establish
a Health Security tax on employees, employers, and
the self-employed to pay the cost of the program.
S.297 - an Amendment to the Social Security Act to provide
a 15% across-the-board increase in monthly benefits,
with a minimum payment of $100.
S. 555 - referred to as The Older American Community Service
Employment Act, designed to provide part-time work
opportunities for the unemployed and low-income persons
who are 55 years of age or older.
S.936 - to amend the Social Security Act and provide increases
in benefits and expand the coverage of qualified drugs.
S. 1030 - an Amendment to the Vocational Rehabilitation Act,
and to assure rehabilitation through expanded services
to the old or blind persons.
S. 1035 - an Amendment to the Social Security Act to eliminate
in certain cases the requirement for prior admission
to a hospital in order to qualify for extended care or
services.
S. .1163 - an Amendment to the Older Americans Act of 1965,
to provide money to the states for establishment, main-
tenance, and operation of low-cost meal programs, nutrition
training, etc., for older Americans.
S. 1172 - a bill exempting citizens over 65 from payment of
entrance fees to certain recreational areas within the
United States.
S. 1173 - an Amendment to the Social Security Act to liberalize
the criteria for determining disability.
S. 1307 - called the Middle-Aged and Older Workers Employ-
ment Act, designed to provide increased employment
opportunities for middle-aged as well as older workers
(middle-age begins at 45).
S. 1335 - to amend the Social Security Act to liberalize eligi-
bility for blind persons to receive disability insurance
benefits.
Note:
The Senator has become a sponsor of other legislation of
particular interest to the elderly after the bills had been
introduced and his name does not appear on the bill as a
sponsor.
I
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Date: July 19, 1971
TO: BOB HALDEMAN
FROM:
HARRY DENT ASD
Please handle
For your information
MEMORANDUM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 16, 1971
TO:
Harry Dent
pr
FROM:
Dick Richards
SUBJECT:
Edward M. Kennedy
With what many think is an increasing probability that
Edward Kennedy will be a candidate for President, I
suggest we look at what he must necessarily see as
his best prospects for votes in a 1972 campaign against
Richard Nixon.
BLACK VOTES
Obviously his best source of votes with Nixon as an oppo-
nent, is the black voter. Naturally this is not the greatest
source of total vote because of the somewhat limited num-
ber of potential black voters in the Nation; however, even
that number is significant, i. e., (1) there are 23 million
blacks in the United States today, (2) approximately 14 mil-
lion will be eligible to vote in the Presidential race of
1972, (3) based upon past history, approximately 50%, or
7 million, will cast their votes. (The percentage varies
in different parts of the country.)
In a campaign for the 7 million probable black voters,
Richard Nixon cannot realistically compete with Ted Kennedy,
as evidenced by past voting history, polls, etc.
According to Gallup Polls, March, 1971, 74% of the blacks
classify themselves as Democrats, with only 8% Republi-
cans, 15% Independents, and 4% no response. Gallup says
this was the make-up at the time Nixon took office and vir-
tually has not changed since then,
Mr. Dent
Page 2 - 7/16/71
In January to May, 1969, when whites were giving Richard
Nixon a 64% approval rating, the blacks recorded only 40%.
Between March and June, 1970, whites rated Nixon 59%,
blacks 26%. September, 1970, to January, 1971, whites
rated 57% approval, blacks 28%. In January, 1971, in a
Gallup trial heat, Nixon VS. Kennedy, nationally Nixon re-
ceived 48%, Kennedy 38%, Wallace 9%. The blacks voted
Nixon 10%, Kennedy 87%, Wallace zero. The situation has
virtually remained the same in the May, 1971, Gallup trial
heat, nationally Nixon received 46%, Kennedy 38%, Wallace
11%. The non-whites gave Nixon 10%, Kennedy 83%, and
Wallace 2%.
Absent compelling reasons and substantial changes, Kennedy
can rely on a very substantial portion of the black votes.
YOUNG VOTES
The next best source of votes for Kennedy is the young voter.
Those between the ages of 18 and 21. The size of the group
in 1972 will be 11 million in number. I have suggested that
this is his next best source of votes because of those young
people in that age group who claim a political party allegiance,
the Democrats outnumber the Republicans approximately three
to one. The following are excerpts from a Gallup Poll,
April 18, 1971:
Of those between the ages of 18 and 21 -- 16% Republicans,
42% Democrats, 42% Independents. Of those over 21 - - 28%
Republicans, 45% Democrats, and 27% Independents.
Furthermore, the young people consistently give Nixon a
lower approval rating than the 21-year and over group. The
difference is approximately 7%, i.e., under 21 -- approve
43%, disapprove 43%, no opinion 14%. 21 years and over --
approve 50%, disapprove 37%, no opinion 13%.
Mr. Dent
Page 3 - 7/16/71
In trial heats with the younger group, they consistently show
a preference for Kennedy over other potential Democrat can-
didates. For example, under 21 - Kennedy 38%, Humphrey
16%, Muskie 14%, McCarthy 13%, others 15%, no opinion 4%.
21 and over - Kennedy 17%, Humphrey 15%, Muskie 29%,
McCarthy 5%, others 20%, no opinion 14%. And in trial heats
with Humphrey, in the under 21 bracket, Kennedy gets 61%
to Humphrey's 33%, but receives only 43% to 42% in the over
21 category. In a trial heat with Senator Muskie, Kennedy
does even better.
Comparing Kennedy to Richard Nixon in the 18-to-21 category,
he also does better than any of the other Democrat candidates;
but in the over 21 category, he only surpasses Humphrey by
2% and ran even with Muskie.
In the same Gallup Poll, Kennedy was pitted in a trial heat
against Richard Nixon with the following results: Under 21
group - Kennedy 57%, Nixon 27%, Wallace 11%, don't know
5%. While in the over 21 category - Kennedy receives only
38%, Nixon 43%, Wallace 12%, don't know 7%.
The degree of participation by young voters is still an unknown
quantity. The Gallup Poll organization in February, 1971, con-
ducted a poll among 163,000 students from 61 colleges to de-
termine the attitude of students on various subjects, including
political parties and political participation. They found that
52% of the college students identified themselves today as
Independents, 30% as Democrats, and 18% as Republicans.
Since the designation by Party is somewhat meaningless, a
more logical classification relates to political philosophy. Here
is how the students rated themselves: Far Left - 7%, Left -
30%, Middle-of-the-Road - 41%, Right - 15%, Far Right - 2%,
Don't Know/None - 5%.
As to political activity, their record of performance is some-
what meager. 86% of the students did not become involved in
Mr. Dent
Page 4 - 7/16/71
political campaigns despite the fact that at more than 100
colleges throughout the country time off was granted for
political participation (the survey did not indicate how many
of the 61 colleges involved in the Poll were embraced in
the 100 colleges who were granted time off).
Among the 13% who did participate, 8% participated with
Democrat candidates and 4% with Republican candidates.
The same survey rated the attitudes toward Nixon, Agnew,
Kennedy, and others. Attached is a chart as to favorable
or unfavorable ratings, marked "Exhibit 1."
SENIOR CITIZENS
At the present time, Nixon rates reasonably well with the
senior citizen voter, defined for our purposes here as
persons over the age of 55. These persons are in sub-
stantial numbers in the United States and very significant
as a voter group. The Census Bureau breaks down the
age group as follows: 55 to 64 -- 17,730,000; 65 to 74 - -
11,573,000; 75 years and over -- 6,895,000; for a total
vote of 36,000,000.
It is not possible to state exactly how many of these persons
vote at any given time; however, the Bureau of the Census
in December, 1969, reported voter performance by age group
in the November, 1968 election. The results are as follows:
55 to 64 -- 74.7%; 65 to 74 -- 71.5%; 75 and over -- 56.3%.
It is likewise difficult to state with certainty exactly how
these people voted; however, a Republican National Com-
mittee study indicates they voted as follows: Nixon - 47%,
Humphrey - 43%, Wallace - 10%.
I believe that Senator Kennedy recognizes that today these
voters are with the President. Ideologically they should be
Mr. Dent
Page 5 - 7/16/71
because they tend to be a little more conservative -- they
are the people who built this country, they worked hard,
they are proud of their contribution, they are more reli-
gious, they possess high moral and ethical standards, and
are greatly disturbed at the amount of protests, destruction
of property, etc. (As a group I think they would be the
least sympathetic to Senator Kennedy re: Chappaquidick,
and more likely to condemn him for his conduct than the
other age groups.)
But of greater significance, the senior citizen has problems
that are not experienced by the rest of society. For the
most part, they are retired or very near retirement age,
and, therefore, they are the age group hurt most by infla-
tion because they are unable to bargain, to keep pace.
Since they have already retired, they are forced to live
on retirement benefits of one kind or another. Their chance
for catastrophic illness and major expenses connected there-
with are greater than other age groups, and they worry con-
stantly about these problems, most of which are economic.
The legislative objective of The National Retired Teachers
Association and The American Association of Retired Persons
clearly indicates the areas of greatest concern to the senior
citizen. A copy is hereto attached, marked "Exhibit 2."
KENNEDY'S APPROACH
Obviously Senator Kennedy is well aware of the problems be-
fore mentioned and the interest of the senior citizen in these
categories. I am convinced that he is deliberately "pandering"
to the senior citizen for support on a limited number of issues
of great importance to them. His position on The Labor and
Public Welfare Committee, Select Committee on Nutrition and
Human Needs, and The Special Committee on Aging give him
great visibility with these people. He has also caused public
Mr. Dent
Page 6 - 7/16/71
hearings to be held throughout the country where the
subject matter of the hearings is particularly important
to the senior citizen. Furthermore, he has sponsored
several pieces of legislation designed to benefit the
elderly, and has now openly challenged the motives of
the AMA and their interest in the welfare of our people.
I believe it is his objective to become the "champion of
the elderly, the sick, and the poor. 11 If he succeeds in
making substantial inroads to the 36 million plus senior
citizens, and is able thereby to deprive Richard Nixon of
a majority senior citizen vote in 1972, we would have a
difficult time winning.
CONCLUSION
There are many special interest groups in the Nation
that can be appealed to for voter support; but I think
Kennedy has singled out three of the tremendously power-
ful ones: (1) the black voters, (2) the youthful voters,
and (3) the senior citizens. Numerically, these groups
stand at 11 million 18-to-21-year olds, 14 million blacks
of voting age, and 36 million senior citizens. Obviously
there will be some overlapping of the black category in
the young and elderly voter brackets, but excluding that
overlap, we see that Kennedy is making a substantial pitch
to voting groups encompassing 60 million potential voters.
And when compared to the total 31.7 million votes cast for
Nixon in 1968, we can see the potential danger.
Very Favorable
Fairly Favorable
Unfavorable
LINDSAY
81%
21%
60%
MCCARTHY
79%
25%
54%
121
MUSKIE
78%
23%
55%
122
MCGOVERN
76%
14%
62%
124°
KENNEDY
75%
26%
49%
1259
ROCKEFELLER 63% 7%
56%
37 :
HUMPHREY
60%
12%
48%
405
NIXON
49%
15%
34%
51%
REAGAN
48%
9%
39%
52%
AGNEW
36%
9%
27%
164%
WALLACE
16%
5%
11%
84%
56. We urge that the Administration effec-
tively implement its commitment to alleviate
the problem of inadequate nutrition which ex-
ists. to varying degrees, in all strata of our
GOOALSECT
society, but particularly among the elderly.
57. We urge the President and the Con-
gress to intensify their efforts to stabilize the
purchasing power of the dollar.
58. We support the right of persons law-
HEALTH
PENSIONS
fully assembled in schools and other public
places to participate in nondenominational
prayers. and we also support continuance of
their right to pledge allegiance to the flag of
the United States.
HOUSING
TAXES
TRANSPORTATION
The National Retired Teachers Association
PRESELITY
and the American Association of Retired
Persons are non-profit, nonpartisan organi-
zations of over two and one-half million
persons who believe that a life of dignity,
independence and purpose enables the older
person to continue meaningful activity, use-
fulness and service to others. You are eligible
to join AARP if you are 55 or over, even if
you are still actively employed. NRTA mem-
bership is limited to former educators and
school administrators.
FOR
For information, write to:
NRTA-AARP
1225 Connecticut Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D. C. 20036
Social Security
1. We support legislation to increase the
minimum Social Security benefits to at least
$120 a month. or to provide a comparative
minimum monthly income through alternate
means.
2. We recommend that the Social Security
earnings limitation be amerided to permit ..n-
nual earned income of $3.000 a year Mitro II
reduction in Social Security benefits with
proportionate reduction after $3,000 a your
based on the present formula with an accom-
panying increase in payroll tax to finance
such a change.
3. We urge that the widow's Social Security
benefit be increased to 100% of the worker
benefit.
4. We favor legislation to establish IT' ni-
mum benefits for all persons age 70 or other
(Prouty Amendment) who are not otherwise
eligible for cash benefits under the Social
Security program. and to nermit benefits UN
to S150 a month from other public and private.
pensions.
5. We urge that Social Security benefits for
men be computed on the same basis as that
now used to determine Denents for women.
6. We encourage deferment of retin ment
for those who choose to work beyond are 65.
and we urge Congress to provide actuarially
determined greater Social Security benefits
for those who do work beyond that age.
7. We urce the adoption of an "adequacy
of income" standard for Social Security which
would provide benefits equal to 50% of the
individual's average earnings during the years
immediately prior to retirement (witn specified
minimum and maximum benefit leveis).
Pensions
8. We urge adoption of a national policy of
(a) the transferability of public and private
retirement credits, (b) five-year or earlier vest-
ing of retirement benefits. and (c) adequate
funding.
9. We urge the establishment of a pension
fund corporation, national in scope. permit-
would make transfers of all property between
spouses tax free.
21. Exemptions and a 'owances in the
Federal incon tax for taxedvers over C5
should compensate for their decreasing tax-
paying ability.
22. We urge the Congress to cermit DEL-
sons age 65 and over to C. duct all unin
bursed expenses for DIUGS and other m. cical
expenditures from new Federal noome taxes.
National Health Plan
23. We urde the enactment of a Nat and
Health Pian WATS would 0421 may 1' 3 are -
ability 31 comprehensive. q... :y beach C...
:0 ali American regardless of 0.00 e or :-
donity 10 pay.
Comprencensive cure should include pre-
venuve curative increpeutic renabilitative
and long-term C 10.
Consumer participation for the shore
whether through 100 urance or excues
should be minimul If) COSTS WILL
tiers from these who " 2 00 2./ the noverer
levels. There shou N 7.00 be nc means
to ourlity for
We further succort the concept of nears
maintenance creamizations )
called prepaid group medical Practice with
respect to HMOS we encounte a system
which allows freedom of choice if: the Street
tion of physicians and institutions so OF 10
insure. through competition nigner standards
of health care and the improvement of equally
essential social services.
24. We urge S' influent increases in Feo-
cral assistance for the construction of re-
search facilities. hospitals. medical schools.
custodial and long-term care facilities: grants
and loans to substantially increase the num-
bei of educational programs, facilities. and
persons training to become physicians,
nurses. and paramedical personnel. includ-
ing physician assistants. lab technicians. etc
25. We urge special Federal assistance 10
hospitals or communities to develop centers
capable of providing comprehensive care:
preventive, curative. rehabilitative and long-
Consumer Affairs
35. We urge immediate state and Federal
action to identify and expose consumer frauds
and deceptions, primary victims of which are
older Americans.
36. We urge Congressional action to pro-
vide the consumer with an easy and economi-
cal means of seeking redress for his injury.
37. We urge the Congress to establish an
Office of Consumer Affairs with full regulatory
and enforcement powers.
38. We urge legislation calling for a fair
credit billing amendment to the truth-in-lend-
ing law.
39. We urge legislation to prevent the
denial of credit to older persons solely on the
basis of age.
40. We support the principle of "no fault"
automobile insurance.
Administration On Aging
41. We urge that a thorough study of the
policies procedures. pregrams and resources
of the Administration on Aging be conducted
with a view to strengthening 113 effectiveness
in carrying out the intent of Congress as de-
fined in the Older Americans Act. as
amended.
42. We urge the Congress to appropriate
sufficient funds to carry out the purposes and
programs of the Older Americans Act. as
amended.
43. We urge the establishment of a national
priority for aging and the development of a
national strategy to carry out programs af-
fecting older Americans.
44. We urge Congress to reject the planned
monetary cutback in the 1972 budget for the
Administration on Aging.
45. We urge that such beneficially proven
programs as Foster Grandparents. R.S.V.P.
and Community Action Programs be con-
tinued within AOA and that these programs
be expanded and adequately funded.
46. We urge that the Older Americans Act
be extended and reenacted as permanent law
and that AOA be reinstated as an independent
YOUTHFUL VOTERS
I. Statistical Data:
The Bureau of Census figures show that as of November,
1972, there will be 139,560,000 persons of voting age in
the United States. 11,159,000 will be newly enfranchised
18-year old votes. (The figure of 11.4 million is often
used -- I have not tried to reconcile the difference.)
13,966,000 young voters will cast their first "Presidential
vote" in 1972. This is the group reaching voting age
since the 1968 election and some will have voted in 1970.
Therefore, the total "first Presidential voter" in 1972 is
approximately 25,000,000 voters, or about 1/3 of the total
vote cast in the Presidential elections of 1968.
* Note: (Although the numbers of young voters is of great
significance, it is less than the potential senior citizen
vote of approximately 30,000,000 -- 70% of which will
likely cast votes in 1972.)
A table indicating numbers of young voters by states for
1972 is hereto attached and marked, "Exhibit No. 1."
II. Because the numbers of young and unregistered first
voters is great, many organizations, political or economic
in nature, or simply "do-gooder" types, have embarked
upon extensive programs to register these first voters.
Among them are, (1) Common Cause, (2) Frontlash, Incor-
porated, (3) National Movement for the Student Vote, etc.
A list of the more prominent organizations with a short
description of the organization is hereto attached and marked,
"Exhibit No. 2."
There is no evidence available to us at this time to indicate
that any of the organizations listed have any affection for
Page 2
Richard Nixon or the Republican Party. There is evidence
to the contrary that many of them, although professing to
be bi-partisan or non-partisan, are, in fact, dedicated to
assist Democrat candidates or Democrat causes or simply
anti-Nixon/Republican.
Because of the great number of youthful voters, there is
a growing list of polls and surveys being taken regularly
and from varied sources that attempt to reflect the attitudes
and thinking of young people today, and predict how they are
likely to vote in 1972, what issues are important to them,
their attitude to specific political personalities, etc. Sub-
stantial effort should be exerted to collect, index, and
summarize the polls as they are released.
Notwithstanding what the polls show, there is only a very
limited historical experience of what the 18-year old voters
have done in an election - an example is in the Morton
District in Maryland, where Bill Mills was recently elected
to the House of Representatives. Figures are sketchy and
you may desire a more up-to-date and detailed report, how-
ever, preliminary figures indicate that only 6% of the 18-to-
21-year olds registered prior to the primary election, and
only 35% of those registered actually voted in the primary,
contributing only 3. 3% of the total vote. (Although the numbers
were small, this did, in fact, exceed the percentage of the
older voters.)
There will be other special elections, legislative races, etc.,
at which the performance of the young voter can be more
accurately measured. I suggest that The RNC Research Com-
mittee be assigned to make that a project of significant priority.
III The following is an outline of the Republican efforts to
attract the young voter:
Anne Armstrong, Co-Chairman of the RNC, is responsible
for the youth vote programs at the RNC. They include:
Page 3
(1) The Teenage Republicans have been assigned the
responsibility to teenagers not on the college campus.
The TAR Program is directed by Barbie Wells, an
extremely competent young lady. They intend to seek
out, identify, and register potential Republican voters
who have not entered the college campus.
(2) The College Republicans have the responsibility
only for the young voters on the college campus. The
responsibility is limited to seeking out and identifying
the eligibles, conducting a registration program for
them, and, to a limited degree, a get-out-the-vote pro-
gram.
(3) The Young Republicans have the responsibility for
young voters within the YR age group not on the campuses,
and they are presently preparing a registration program
for approximately eight target states. They recently com-
pleted a registration drive in Delaware County, Pennsylvania,
where they claim to have registered 3, 200 Republicans as
compared to 2, 100 Democrats.
Attached is a copy of a memo from Ron Romans to Anne
Armstrong detailing the results of that program, marked,
"Exhibit No. 3." Knowledgeable insiders, however, seri-
ously doubt the authenticity of the report, and, even if it
were true, one has cause to wonder why the RNC would be
engaged in a program that causes 2, 100 young Democrats
to be registered.
The YR program is obviously not progressing very rapidly
because of the change in YR leadership and lack of funds.
In addition to the registration drive of the YR's, they have
been distributing in substantial quantities the publication
entitled, "The Switch Is On," a copy of which is hereto
attached and marked, "Exhibit No. 4."
IV. The youth effort, excluding the TAR's. College YR's
and YR's at the National Committee, is headed by Fred Slight,
Page 4
who plans to target the young voter not on the college
campus, and who cannot be reached via the Young Re-
publican organization. I think it is safe to say that the
total RNC effort will ultimately be "gobbled up" by the
"Young Voters for Nixon, 11 an arm of the Citizens Coin-
mittee, and little substantive effort in the young voter
area will reside at the RNC.
There are some obvious limitations to the RNC youth effort;
they include: (1) lack of money, (2) lack of professionalism,
(3) the obvious limitations of a partisan Party organization
to recruit young voters whom we already know are reluctant
to identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans, and who
take pride in their "independent status. 11
V. Citizens Committee role.
In discussing the youth voter problem with Ken Reitz at the
Citizens Committee, they anticipate that the youth vote pro-
gram of the RNC will be coordinated through them and cer-
tainly this is highly probable because that's where the money
will be, and, therefore, control of the program.
"Young Voters for Nixon" will include not only what we have
heretofore referred to as the 18-year old, or the first-voters,
but all voters between the ages of 18 and 30.
The plans for this program apparently grew out of a conference
between the Attorney General and Senator Brock, and Ken Reitz
has been brought to the Citizens Committee to spend full-time
on the planning, development, and operation of the program.
A National Advisory Board has already been established, with
Senator Bill Brock as Chairman of the Board. Attractive,
young. and articulate Senators and Representatives will be
chosen to represent ten geographical areas of the United States.
Some of the Senators and Representatives have already been
picked and they include Senators Brock and Weicker, Representa-
tives Steigers, Lujan, Frenzel, Archer, Pettis and Whitehurst.
Page 5
It is anticipated that this will be a working board with each
Representative setting up a local board within their respec-
tive geographical areas. These boards will be more honor-
ary than working, and the management of the program will
emanate from the Young Voters for Nixon Headquarters,
The YVN's will target states and areas within the states.
Their main thrust will be recruitment of off-campus young
people and the recruitment of campus voters will be a second,
or subordinate, priority. Ken indicated that they anticipate
that the Young Voters for Nixon will be the first visible
thrust of the campaign activity with its kick-off in September,
and the visible personalities of the organization will not be
the Party types or identified Republicans, but prominent
athletes and prominent young people, etc.
They anticipate locating the appropriate age groups within
the target areas, make personal contact to identify the
friendly Nixon voters, recruit representatives for the Presi-
dent within the area via a neighbor-to-neighbor type approach.
They further anticipate a constant contact will be established,
i.e., a newsletter, etc., and information will be sent period-
ically to the Nixon recruits, and, hopefully, they will work
with and talk to their friends and neighbors on behalf of the
President in the months ahead. They estimate that 500, 000
such persons can be recruited.
CONCLUSION:
The Young Voters for Nixon program sounds impressive and
substantial planning has obviously been done, and what they
are doing as consistent with the approach I would be inclined
to take in pursuing the young voter.
Personal Ovservation:
I do not believe young voters will vote in a bloc. They will
be reluctant to register either as a Democrat or a Republican,
Page 6
and will only do so when compelled by law to participate
in a primary election. They take pride in their so-called
"independent status" and will likely vote for the man they
think is best suited for the particular office he seeks. The
determination of suitability will in all likelihood either be
caused by the personal charm, or charisma, of the candi-
date, or on the position he takes on specific issues of para-
mount importance to the young voter. Labels such as Re-
publican, Democrat, Conservative, and Liberal will not be
significant to them.
The issues young people regard as of greatest importance
today are reasonably clear, and Richard Nixon is with
them on the issues; although the young voters do not recog-
nize this as yet. They feel estranged from him and from
the Administration, and they have not yet recognized that
many of their demands and complaints against society are
the targets of some of the Nixon programs, i.e., ending the
war in Vietnam, pollution abatement, government reform,
etc.
It seems to me that our job in 1972 is to make the young
voter aware of the Nixon position on the vital issues. Let
them conclude themselves that they are in agreement with
the position he has taken. This, however, cannot be done
by the traditional Party approach. We must be creative and
innovative. I think it may even be necessary to create a
"movement" for a cause or principle that can attract the
young emotionally as well as intellectually, and where they
can be personally involved. Any program that will cause
them to believe they are being "used" is doomed to failure.
From what little I know about the President's proposal to
involve young people in voluntary work, i.e., substitute for
domestic Peace Corps, etc., may be just the kind of vehicle
that could be used for accomplishing the foregoing.
ESTIMATES OF THE TOTAL RESIDENT POPULATION OF VOTING AGE,
NOVEMBER 1972
(Numbers in
TEX WITHES
Region, Division,
Population
Total
Population
repulation
and State
of Voting
Learning
Extranchised
Age
Voting Age
Due to
(18 yrs.6 over)
Since 17:8
Lowerning Voting
Marr
UNITED STATES, TOTAL
Fegions
Acriseastern States
34,075
5.723
3.218
2,605
Korth Dentral Astes
38,038
7,018
3,8.0
3,238
The south
43,077
7,832
4,553
3,279
The West
21,372
4,523
2,485
2,038
CRA regians
0,200
1,483
BOB
675
Minnie Atlantic
25,057
4,241
2,311
1,930
Nort: Antral
LAST More Central
27,038
4,998
2,697
2,291
W-st Lorth Central
11,000
2,00
1.113
9:7
South
- Atlantic
21.434
3.787
2,234
1,533
LAST ----- Central
8.189
1,53
930
307
acst Court Central
13.02
2.543
1,384
1,159
Rest
Mountain
5.559
1,103
601
502
Pacific
18,813
3,420
1.88L
1,536
New
here
the
122
67
35
:--- hatpshire
52
95
51
44
Vermant
302
3
34
30
:-s
3.75
725
395
330
lease
00
135
75
00
=
2,12"
3:3
187
156
100k
12,71.
2.101
1,117
954
law Jersey
5,008
709
419
350
E, WE
1,371
745
to
Past
and
".1:5
1,313
713
600
3,487
a
359
303
31.11.00
7.513
1.30
710
665
:.E )
1,22
w
520
airecrate
-,4.6
3-5
in
203
-
<.53
178
257
223
Iowa
1.00
347
187
260
Missours
3.22
soy
308
2nd
Sorth
348
83
65
38
South was
as
BE
47
w
1,002
291
10,
EE
Lawar
1,539
30
166
138
-
372
68
3.
31
Kerylaw
2,725
178
202
216
Idetrict of Colembia
5%
111
63
LE
Virginia
3,25
us
359
2e6
a Virginia
2.275
217
118
99
Morth AND
3,493
750
104
343
A.I. Caralina
1,725
3yl
223
178
3,221
356
3x
2/
florida
5,088
773
439
35.
Los:
Distral
Member
2,177
254
254
2/
Termissee
2,710
511
279
232
Date
2,291
1/0
211
199
Kississippo
1.622
297
161
136
Nett South Certral
Areansar
1,318
230
126
10
Leuisiana
2,355
497
267
230
adations
1,791
325
178
167
Texas
7.589
2,490
612
678
Formain
Montana
452
B4
46
38
Jdaho
407
90
is
12
4 yering
217
20
22
38
Coloraso
2,532
334
276
365
Sex Mexico
633
129
71
58
Branche
1,277
232
13
107
that
674
25%
is
70
lievada
356
N
30
=
Facific
bashington
2,381
seo
269
211
Oregon
1,473
250
1.0
210
-
- ,
-
1
-
29
23
6
Fawaii
523
91
60
31
Persons reaching age 21 except Hawaii (reaching age 20), Alaska (reaching age 19),
and Georgia and (reaching age 12).
21 Population already enfranchised
EXHIBIT 1.
INDEPENDENT VOTER REGISTRATION ORGANIZATIONS
June 25, 1971
Common Cause
2100 M St., N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20037
(202) 293-1530
Common Cause is a citizens lobby with a national membership that is headed
by John W. Gardner. Common Cause has done most of the State lobbying for
the passage of the 26tn Amendment granting 18 year olds the right to vote
in national, state, and local elections. It has proven itself as a
lobbying force in this area. The organization has recently announced a
Voting Rights Project which will concentrate on litigation for standard-
ization of State registration and voting laws nation-wide. It will also
concentrate on the procedures for electing delegates to the two national
nominating conventions. Common Cause will not be registering people directly
themselves but they will be provising subportive services to those groups
which are registering voters. At present, Common Cause has a case pending
concerning the legal residency requirements in the State of Tennessee that
will probably be heard by the Supreme Court in late August or September.
Frontlash, Inc.
112 East 19th St., Room 501
New York, New York 10002
(212) 228-4882
Originally an outerowth and now separate from the United States Youth
Council, Frontlash is a union-backed organization which has contacts
throughout the country,/ The group is headed by Charlotte Roe Kemble and
has as member organizations mainly Democrat and union groups. There are
no Republican members in their ranks. Frontlash, Inc. was established as
"an independent, non-profit national organization". In the 1970 campaigns,
it claimed to have registered 180,000 voters in working class and minority
communities across the country. However, they usually center their efforts
in specific states in order to have the greatest impact on particular
elections as their active membership is relatively small. Frankish ulams
to concentrate their direct voter registration effort on the hard-tore
unregistered in 3nw income. minority communities such as chicano, black,
and
:
Recently, they have branched out to some
is
not concerned solely with 18-20 year olds, as it has conducted door-to-door
drives in selected high unregistered areas where the Democrat registration
potential is great.
EXHIBIT 2
Page 2
The League of Women Voters
1200 17th St., N.W.
Washington, D.C.
(202) 296-1770
The League of Women Voters is a national organization with 1200 local
chapters throughout the country. The local clubs in each state select
a state chairman to direct and coordinate their activities in that area.
The League has been politically active for years with a very high degree
of credibility. Although it is generally considered a non-partisan-or
bi-partisan-organization. the leadership often Democrat. The League
has received founcation crants this year in order to run voter education
programs through its local chapters as it has done in previous years.
They have tentative plans to enter the high schools next fall to discuss
voter education and registration procedures and may pursue the course of
bringing registrars directly into the high schools. The League is now
in the process of developing a voter registration program that would be
conducted through the local chapters and which would be activated in the
fall. The League will also provide supportive services to other registra-
tion groups working in local areas.
National Movement for the Student Vote
530 7th St., S.E.
Washington, D.C.
(202) 547-3429
The National Movement originated at Harvard University, but has recently
located in Washington, with Morris Abrams, Jr. currently directing most of
its activity. The group is new and is still setting up the headquarters.
Their National Advisory Board is bi-partisan in nature. The purpose of
this organization is to pinpoint approximately 300 major colleges and
universities throughout the country in order to run massive registration
drives among the students. They contend that by bringing young people into
the democratic process that much of the student frustration will be alle-
viated and therefore, campus disturbances will be reduced. The National
Movement is funded for this summer by two or three small foundation grants
with future funds depending upon their performance this summer. The actual
effectiveness of this group at this time is very low, however, they do have
the capacity to generate substantial publicity. Their future effectiveness
will be determined in part by their financial situation.
Page 3
National Student Association
2115 S St., N.W.
Washington, D.C. a0008
(202) 387-5100
The National Student Association has 400 member colleges and universities
whose student governments have joined the NSA to help coordinate informa-
tion on student government activites throughout the country. NSA-is*
generally conceded to be extremely liberal in is national leadership. At
present, the organization is having financial difficulties, however, they
have been able to raise money in the past when the need was regarded as
crucial. Currently NSA is not planning to register people directly, but
they will be providing supportive services to other groups. The NSA is
holding its annual Congress in August and there is a strong possibility
that at that time the Congress will pass a resolution concerning the adop-
tion of voter registration efforts. They have definite contacts on their
400 member campuses and a high degree of credibility for their organizational
abilities. Student voter registration could become one of the major func-
tions of member student governments during the next college year. This
group would probably be more effective than the National Movement, although
the two plan to join efforts where the target campuses overlap.
The United States Youth Council
120 East 32nd St.
New York, New York 10016
(202) 687-3674
The United States Youth Council is a coordinating body for most of the
major youth organizations in the country like the YMCA, Young Socialists,
and Young Democrats. The Young Republicans were members in the 1950's
but resigned when the attitudes expressed by most DÍ the members could not
be reconciled WILD the Republican Party? The Youth Council represents the
United States to the World Assembly of Youth which provides a forum for
the exchange of social, political, and cultural ideas among the member
nations. Much of the Youth Council's funding comes from the State Depart-
ment for the international aspects of their programs, while the member
groups in the United States provide financial assistance for their national
programs. The Youth Council recently sponsored B meeting of its member
organizations to discuss registration efforts. The Youth Council will con-
tinue to coordinate its members' activities, hut will not be registering
people directly. The super-structure provided by the Council covers
several of the groups mentioned here. In its role as the only national
youth council, it has the potential to be able to stimulate a great deal
INDERENDERT
Page 4
Voter Education Project
5 Forsyth St., N.W.
Atlanta, Georgia 30303
(404) 522-7495
The Voter Education Project, an outgrowth of the U.S. Youth Council as
was Frontlash, is presently directed by John Lewis. The Project main
objectives are voter education and registration of Blacks, with most of
their. work concentrated in the South and in major northern cities. The
Project runs extensive door-to-coor registration drives and has been active
for several years. They have been highly successful in those areas where
intensive campaigns have been conducted. Aside from simply registering
people, they educate them about voting machines and balloting methods.
The means of exact funding is unknown, but general funding comes from
various foundations. This group has been recognized by the Civil Rights
movement as being extremely effective in its field.
Youth Citizenship Fund, Inc.
2100 M St., N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20031
(202) 833-2090
Youth Citizenship Fund is a highly respected resource center for individuals
and groups interested in registering young people. They are funded by
foundation grants and are headed bv Carroll Ladt. The Chairman of the
Republican National Committee. Senator Robert Dole. is a nf the
Advisory Board as 15 Lawrence Outrien. Chairman of the Democrat National
Committee. YCF will provide materials such as posters, bumperstrips, and
organizational materials for conducting registration drives. They are
also a resource center for information regarding state registration and
voting laws which has been provided to the general groups mentioned here.
Many small groups rely on YCF for initial contacts and materials. At pre-
sent, the organization is planning targeted registration drives in conjunc-
tion with local and national groups active in these areas. YCF attempts
to include community, political, business, and service leaders in their
plans and have been relatively successful thus far.
TO:
Anne Armstrong
pell"
FROM:
Ron Romans
RE:
Registration in Delaware County/and North Carolina
DATE:
June 9, 1971
(Pen)
The ten YR clubs in DELAWARE COUNTY/began registration work in January
and worked through March 29, the closing date for registration. They
did the following:
1.
Knocked on doors
2.
Placed 3,000 posters in strategic places
3.
Had State Legislators speak in the high schools
4.
Set up tables on college campuses for registering
5.
Distributed approximately 5, 000 brochures - "The Switch Is Or."
6. Mailings
The results of their efforts were:
1.
In the County they registered 3200 Republicans and 2100 Democrats.
All new registrants were between the ages of 18 and 20.
2.
In the Radnor Township they registered 57 Republicans to 25
Democrats. Again, all were between 18 and 20.
In NORTH CAROLINA the nows looks grim. Sharon Lentz, YR National Committee-
woman, sent a questionaire (attached) to the Executive Committee members
of the Party and the YR organization. One inquiry was regarding the
validity of spending their efforts to register the new voters. Between
50% and 60% of the committee members responded that the effort was not
worth it, judging from the results of registrations in three major counties -
Mecklenburg, Forsythe and Wake. In these three counties the Republicans
received only 21% of the new registrations
According to Mrs. Lentz, the committee members felt that their time,
effort and money should not be wasted on a "hopeless" cause.
EXHIBIT
c:, S.E., Washington, D.C. 20003 i 484-0080 Ronald C. Romans, Chairman Linda McQuaig. Co-Chairman
Secretary , 10m Little, Treasurer, Michil Flanigan, Assistant Secretary Wold. Audder Year
You Can Register If
For the first time in 20 years,
*You are 18 years of age
*Have lived in Indiana for 6 months
JOIN THE BIG SWITCH!
invites you to
*Have lived in DeKalb County for
60 days
National Federation
Young Republican
your government is spending more
*30 days in the precinct
Washington, D.C. 20003
310 First St., S.E.
on human needs than on defense
(required by Indiana State law)
The
Switch
Where to Register
...
*Go to the County Clerks' Office on
Is On!
the 2nd floor of the Courhouse in
Auburn, Indiana.
*Contact your Republican Precinct
committeeman.
*Contact Jeff L. Turner, 1325 South
Cedar Street, Auburn, Indiana or
Jenny L. Parish, 205 West 5th Street,
Auburn, Indiana.
YOUR RESPONSIBILITY-to provide leader-
ship and ideas that will evoke positive action.
For More Information
...
call the
YOUR REASON-to promote intelligent, work-
able solutions to the problems facing our country.
Young Republican Office in Auburn
at 925-2839 or write the DeKalb
YOUR ROLE-as an active, dedicated, moti-
County Young Republicans, Box 11
vated participant in the governmental process.
Auburn, Indiana 46706.
YOUR RESOLVE-to defend and promote those
basic beliefs to which you are committed.
YOUR REWARD-when you have accomplished
something, no matter how small or insignificant
Join it.
it may be, you have brought America one step
closer to greatness.
Register Republican.
Exhibit 4
The switch is on in
The switch is on in
The switch is on in
NATIONAL PRIORITIES
MERIT HIRING
CONSERVING OUR ENVIRONMENT
Last year (and every year for the
Many expected that the Republicans,
Everybody's talking about ecology.
past 20), more than half of your tax
after eight years of being the "outs",
The new clean-air bill does some-
dollar went for defense, less than
would rush to fill 3,000 postal
thing about it: (1) requires auto
half for human needs like education
patronage jobs with party faithful.
makers to cut exhaust emissions 90%
and housing. This year, the Nixon
They didn't. Instead, they chose
by 1975-or face production shutdown;
administration has reversed
these priorities. Human needs will
postmasters purely on their civil-
(2) requires industry to meet national
get the major part of the budget
service exam scores, and Postmaster
air-quality standards-or pay $25,000
for the first time in 20 years.
General Blount literally "worked
per day in fines; (3) allows citizens
himself out of a job" by leading
to bring class action suits against
the drive for a private postal
polluters.
corporation.
The switch is on in
The switch is on in
VIETNAM
EDUCATION
The switch is on in
It took eight years of Democratic
DRAFT REFORM
Republicans have boosted spending
rule to escalate our involvement
on education to $12 billion this year.
from a few hundred "advisors" to
The Nixon administration has
But they know you can't solve the
543,000 combat troops.
already changed the draft system
problem just by throwing money at
so you have less uncertainty, can
it. That's the reason for programs
In a little over two years of
plan your future better. And their
like HEW's Office of Child Develop-
Republican administration (by Dec.,
bill to eliminate the draft completely
1971), 359,000 will be back home.
is now before Congress.
ment, which is exploring new
approaches for the crucial early-
learning years.
The switch is on in
CONSUMER PROTECTION
The switch is on in
The switch is on in
CONCERN FOR SENIOR CITIZENS
YOUR VOICE IN GOVERNMENT
Now, you can fight the system. The
Justice Department's new Consumer
The social security bill now before
Lowering the voting age to 18 was a
Protection Division gives you a direct
Congress will boost benefits 10%-
promise in the 1968 Republican
advocate against suppliers of faulty
and contains the first automatic
Party platform. Now, it's a fact.
merchandise.
cost-of-living increases ever enacted.
MEMORANDUM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 16, 1971
TO:
Harry Dent
FROM:
Dick Richards
SUBJECT:
The Senior Citizen and Black Vote Programs.
As you are aware, the Republican National Committee
has a senior citizens organization and also a black
political group. In their reorganization, the responsi-
bility over these two areas was assigned to Lyn Nofziger
because they are primarily communications efforts at the
Committee rather than a political organizational effort.
This is logically so because they are very limited on the
number of personnel they have and the budgets are some-
what meager. There is no way they could logically be-
come involved in an organizational effort.
The senior citizen role today is primarily to coordinate
efforts of the Administration and the Republican National
Committee, to make those in positions to do something,
aware of the nature of the problem, and encourage appro-
priate persons within the Administration to say and do the
things necessary to appeal to the senior citizen. Substan-
tial progress has been made through the preliminary planning
of the White House Conference on Aging, the appointment of
Mr. Flemming, and I presume substantial benefits will be
derived from the Conference in November and December,
1971.
There is no direct activity out of the Republican National
Committee to organize the senior citizens for the Presi-
dential campaign. They do, however, have a list of
Mr. Dent
Page 2 - 7/16/71
recommendations for political activity which are hereto
attached. Bob Merrick is acting as coordinator of the
senior citizen effort with Len Garment, George Bell,
Mr. Van, and others who have been formally assigned
to the Task Force (I assume you have a roster of per-
sons assigned to the various Task Forces. In the event
you do not, they ought to be obtained for all of the
groups.)
Black Voters:
The overall planning for the black voters is in substan-
tially the same position as for the senior citizens. Bob
Merrick has been assigned to coordinate the activities.
There is a very limited resource at the National Com-
mittee. Ed Sexton is somewhat by himself, responding
to Lyn Nofziger and from time to time visiting states
where he can be of assistance to state leadership and/or
candidates even on a local level. Ed is very effective in
what he does; however, the resource is so extremely lim-
ited that it cannot be expected that he would be able to
spend much time in any one place, or perform a substan-
tive organizational job across the country. Bob Merrick
coordinates with Bob Brown, Art Fletcher, Sam Jackson,
Ed Sexton, and the other persons who are formally
assigned to the Task Forces.
The Citizens Committee is now in the process of trying
to identify individuals across the country who want to be
involved with either the senior citizen or black political
effort, and further looking for the right persons to appoint
as national chairmen for these efforts.
Mr. Dent
Page 3 - 7/16/71
Limitations:
There are some substantive limitations in the identification
of the black voters and the senior citizens in classifying
them as to party preference, candidate preference, etc.,
and anticipating what they might do in 1972, or even how
they voted in 1968. We have raw data. to show the total
numbers of these people across the country. The raw data
indicates the number that reside in any given geographical
boundary, which does not include precinct or legislative area,
and we know the total votes cast, and Gallup has indicated
the percent of votes cast for Republicans or Democrats
within the respective groups, senior citizens, blacks, etc.
There are sophisticated techniques of determining some of
these things mathematically that could be, or should be, part
and parcel of the voter identification program being conducted
by the RNC jointly with the Citizens Committee.
If you want further information relative to either of the pro-
grams, I'll be happy to try to find it for you.
ational
ommittee.
July 13, 1971
TO:
GEORGE BELL
FROM:
BERNARD S. VAN RENSSELAER
SUBJECT:
CONSTITUTION OF SENIOR CITIZENS DIVISION
IN THE CITIZENS COMMITTEE
The recommendations that follow are based upon my personal experience
in the 1968 campaign.
I suggest that a Senior Citizens Division be created in the Citizens
Committee to Reelect the President at the earliest possible date and that its
activities be extended up to the 1972 election. I believe that the program
should be divided into two parts and extended through three time phases.
Part I should be designed to establish contacts with Senior Citizen groups
and individuals at the grass roots levels in fifteen to twenty states containing
a high percentage, or very large numbers, of Senior Citizens. Incidentally,
I would define Senior Citizens for the purpose of this campaign as all persons
over sixty years of age. In order to accomplish the desired objectives, I
would suggest that in Phase I beginning approximately September 1 and
extending to January 1, 1972, 2 concentrated effort be made to identify and
enlist the support of a few key Senior Citizens in each of the selected states.
They would serve as a hard core cell or steering committee for a future grass
roots program. There are several ways of establishing these contacts, and
I believe that unofficially the American Association of Retired Persons -
National Retired Teachers Association could provide some extremely valuable
leads. Most of our energies during this period should be devoted to this one
task. in order to establish an operating base.
In Phase II running from January 1 to June 30, 1972, we should expand
and strengthen the contacts already established through correspondence,
small group meetings, field work, and the preparation of basic campaign
material in the form of brochures, a campaign manual for Senior Citizens,
and other appropriate items. This is an element of political activity that was
almost totally disregarded in 1968. It should be remembered that we must
get the President's concern for aging across to the maximum number of people
prior to the opening of the campaign.
ght D. Eisenhower Republican Center: 310 First Street Southeast, Washington, D.C. 20003. (202) 484-6500.
Memo to George Bell
Page 2
July 13, 1971
Phase III which would include the period July 1, 1972 to election day
would be devoted to a political action campaign in which we would attempt to
reach the maximum number of older people by mail, enlist the largest
possible number of working volunteers, hold senior citizens' rallies under
the auspices of our already organized committees, and conduct a vigorous
effort to induce every available Senior Citizen to register and vote. If we
do our preliminary work properly and thoroughly, the cumulative effect
by the fall of 1972 should be outstanding.
We now come to Part II of the program,
chwouldconcern itself
with publicity and the use of the media in all its forms. Most of this effort
would be concentrated in Phase III, but we should not overlook the possi-
bilities of publicizing favorable material during Phase II. Prior to the
convention in 1968, the National Committee retained the services of
Campaign Consultants, Inc., a local firm of political technicians to assist
in preparing a campaign project for the Presidential candidate based upon
a major speech by the candidate and follow ups of campaign material plus
radio and television shorts. As you may know, we submitted a project
book compiled by Campaign Consultants with our help which contained a
detailed program. However, nothing came of this; and the omission created
a serious hazard Mr. Nixon. I strongly suggest that in laying a long-
range program for the Citizens Committee we repeat the process of
preparing another project along the lines described. Our field and grass
roots activities would be greatly strengthened by this mass media approach.
I do not think that we should attempt to rely on either grass roots efforts or the
mass media approach standing alone. The two things should be combined.
If we are serious about making a maximum effort to obtain a clear
majority of the Senior Citizen vote in 1972, we must recognize the fact that
before the conclusion of the campaign we shall have to spend a large sum of
money. Obviously, the total cost would be spread out over a considerable
time and what we did would have to be tailored to the available resources.
However, I think we would be fooling ourselves if we entertained any illusions
that what we have in mind could be accomplished on a shoe string.
Manpower and budget provisions would necessarily begin in a modest
fashion and expand gradually throughout the three phases of the project. In
Phase I,I would contemplate a chairman for the Senior Citizens Division of
the Citizens Committee and an assistant who might later become the executive
director of the Division during Phases II and III and one secretary. Howard
Weber, whom I have recommended for chairman, would require no salary
but of course would expect to have his living and travel expenses paid while
away from his home in Florida. I assume that if Mr. Weber is not selected
Memo to George Bell
Page 3
July 13, 1971
the person chosen would probably serve under the same conditions. On the
other hand, the assistant and future executive director would undoubtedly
have to be paid a salary; and quite frankly, at this writing I cannot estimate
the cost of such a man inasmuch as it would depend upon the individual's
qualifications, availability, and whatever could be negotiated. We should
also have a full-time secretary at this stage of the operation. During
Phase II, it would be my thought that one or two fieldmen should be added
because this is the period during which the original hard core of Senior
Citizens for Nixon in the respective states would be expanded into many local
groups and the base laid for increasingly effective communication. At some
point of Phase II, an extra secretary might be needed. I would also think
that a very competent public relations man should be made available during
Phase II to work with consultants in the preparation of a campaign project,
printed material, and handling releases of interesting information relating
to the performance and accomplishment of the President in the field of aging.
Allowance for travel should be included in all three phases.
The manpower needs for Phase III cannot be totally foreseen at this time
because one would have to relate the needs of the moment to the existing income.
A conc. uted effort of combined roots activities, field work, and media
would undoubtedly demand addi
assistance.
Summing up, the manpower and budetary needs for the entire program
can only be reasonably determined for Pha se = and II, and I believe that I have
indicated sufficient guidelines to enabl
planners to determine the amounts
that should be allotted up to the tim that the post-convention manpower budget
is appropriated and allocated.
BSVR/map