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This file contains: From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. The AG met with Magruder and reviewed the Campaign Task Force proposals. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/31/1971 From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. Two memoranda prepared by Magruder's Task Forces discuss the Black Vote in 1972 and the national Movement for the Student Vote. 57 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/16/1971 From Magruder to AG re: Democratic & Republican Contenders. "Attached is a report on the current status of our tracking of the Democratic and Republican contenders." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/2/1971 From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. The AG has been pressing Magruder for action by the task forces. The result is a series of memoranda for the AG which are attached as tabs. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/5/1971 From Hauser, Magruder to AG re: The Place of Women in the 1972 Campaign Organization. 17 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/23/1971 From Haldeman to Magruder. It is my understanding that no effort is currently being conducted to register people in the 18 to 21 year old age bracket for the upcoming campaign. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/17/1971 From Magruder to AG re: Delaware Test. As a first step in evaluating proposed target voter strategy, RNC preparing to launch extensive field test. 13 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/17/1971 Computing Democratic Winners in '72 by Alan L. Otten. Many Democrats think they have found their 1972 vicotry weapon, the computer. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Newspaper], 12/11/1970 From Magruder to AG re: Businessmen for Nixon 1972. Following Flanigan's suggestion that Kendal of Pepsico head our businessmen for Nixon operation in 1972, I met with him. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/2/1971 From Magruder to AG re: Preliminary Plan for Maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote. Attached is the preliminary plan for maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote as put together by the Farm Vote Task Force. 108 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/23/1971

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This file contains: From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. The AG met with Magruder and reviewed the Campaign Task Force proposals. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/31/1971 From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. Two memoranda prepared by Magruder's Task Forces discuss the Black Vote in 1972 and the national Movement for the Student Vote. 57 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/16/1971 From Magruder to AG re: Democratic & Republican Contenders. "Attached is a report on the current status of our tracking of the Democratic and Republican contenders." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/2/1971 From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. The AG has been pressing Magruder for action by the task forces. The result is a series of memoranda for the AG which are attached as tabs. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/5/1971 From Hauser, Magruder to AG re: The Place of Women in the 1972 Campaign Organization. 17 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/23/1971 From Haldeman to Magruder. It is my understanding that no effort is currently being conducted to register people in the 18 to 21 year old age bracket for the upcoming campaign. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/17/1971 From Magruder to AG re: Delaware Test. As a first step in evaluating proposed target voter strategy, RNC preparing to launch extensive field test. 13 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/17/1971 Computing Democratic Winners in '72 by Alan L. Otten. Many Democrats think they have found their 1972 vicotry weapon, the computer. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Newspaper], 12/11/1970 From Magruder to AG re: Businessmen for Nixon 1972. Following Flanigan's suggestion that Kendal of Pepsico head our businessmen for Nixon operation in 1972, I met with him. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/2/1971 From Magruder to AG re: Preliminary Plan for Maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote. Attached is the preliminary plan for maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote as put together by the Farm Vote Task Force. 108 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/23/1971
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 25 4 7/31/1971 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. The AG met with Magruder and reviewed the Campaign Task Force proposals. 4 pgs. 25 4 7/16/1971 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. Two memoranda prepared by Magruder's Task Forces discuss the Black Vote in 1972 and the national Movement for the Student Vote. 57 pgs. 25 4 7/2/1971 Campaign Memo From Magruder to AG re: Democratic & Republican Contenders. "Attached is a report on the current status of our tracking of the Democratic and Republican contenders." 1 pg. 25 4 7/5/1971 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman re: Magruder's Projects. The AG has been pressing Magruder for action by the task forces. The result is a series of memoranda for the AG which are attached as tabs. 6 pgs. Thursday, May 26, 2011 Page 1 of 3 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 25 4 6/23/1971 Campaign Memo From Hauser, Magruder to AG re: The Place of Women in the 1972 Campaign Organization. 17 pgs. 25 4 6/17/1971 Campaign Memo From Haldeman to Magruder. It is my understanding that no effort is currently being conducted to register people in the 18 to 21 year old age bracket for the upcoming campaign. 10 pgs. 25 4 6/17/1971 Campaign Memo From Magruder to AG re: Delaware Test. As a first step in evaluating proposed target voter strategy, RNC preparing to launch extensive field test. 13 pgs. 25 4 12/11/1970 Campaign Newspaper "Computing Democratic Winners in '72" by Alan L. Otten. Many Democrats think they have found their 1972 vicotry weapon, the computer. 1 pg. 25 4 7/2/1971 Campaign Memo From Magruder to AG re: Businessmen for Nixon 1972. Following Flanigan's suggestion that Kendal of Pepsico head our businessmen for Nixon operation in 1972, I met with him. 5 pgs. Thursday, May 26, 2011 Page 2 of 3 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 25 4 6/23/1971 Campaign Memo From Magruder to AG re: Preliminary Plan for Maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote. Attached is the preliminary plan for maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote as put together by the Farm Vote Task Force. 108 pgs. Thursday, May 26, 2011 Page 3 of 3 July 31, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Magruder's Projects The Attorney General met with Magruder July 28th and the Campaign Task Force proposals copies of which were submitted to you on July 5. The decisions made by the Attorney General and new material submitted by Magruder include: 1) Advertising The Campaign will use an "in house" agency. Magruder is to recruit an "Advertising Director" Adv by September for the Attorney General's consideration. The question is whether you want to interview Magruder's recommendation for an Advertising Director for the Campaign. Haldeman interview No interview, the Attorney General decides Malek interview Other 2) The Attorney General approved the $2,500 for Senator Dole's trip to South Vietnam if the President thinks it's "a good idea for Dole to go". The Attorney General requests that you check this with the President. 3) McCloskey --- The Attorney General agreed with your decision that there should be a Truth Squad, the expenses of which would be borne by Citizens. He believes, however, that the attack should be localized in California so that the media's candidate (McCloskey) is not elevated further. California Congressman Charles Gubser is the best for this attack. 4) Farm Vote -- To put a "farm specialist" at the RNC would be a waste of money according to the Attorney General. He believes there should be a full time farm advisor at the White House. Dr. Robert Spptzer is strongly opposed by the Farm Bureau. Harlow, Ehrlichman, and Whitaker are looking for a "White House Farmer" who should not transfer to Citizens in 6 months according to the Attorney General. A second man to be "Citizens Farmer" is also being sought. -2- 5) Secretary Stans Discretionary Fund -- Secretary Stans discretionary fund of $1,000,000 at Commerce is to be explained to the other Cabinet Officers by Stans so that conferences, hiring, and other activities may be used for the President's re-election. 6) Lindsay -- Lindsay will become a Democrat next week but will not decide about the Presidency before the end of the year. 7) The older voter analysis prepared by Garment emphasizes that: A. Twenty-two percent of the voting population is Older over 60 and 738 of those eligible actually vote; B. California is 198 old people, Florida is 27%, Iowa Vole is 26% and Missouri is 25%, C. The President's Chicago speech accurately discussed the need for a meaningful life pattern, adequate nursing home standards, and health needs of the aged; D. The President's 1968 Campaign promises to the elderly have been proposed but not passed by the Congress: some proposals not requiring Congressional action have not been implemented (e.g. Labor Department computer job aid); E. The White House has done very little for two years to relate to the elderly's organizations which are increasingly powerful politically; F. The White House Conference on the Aging will be held at the beginning of the political season; the political opportunities must be captured just prior to and during the Conference in order to set the tone for the Campaign; G. A Chairman and In Executive Direction for the Campaign should be recruited by September 1 to build field or- ganizations in the target states; the organizations should expand into volunteer groups and begin dis- tributing campaign literature; the Campaign thrust would begin on July 1; Carledy Presidential Contenders -- The Presidential contender task force action suggestions should be reviewed by you and the Attorney General at your next meeting. The recommendations by Buchanan include: A. Attack Muskie from the right and left to help Kennedy, Humphrey (the easiest to defeat), Jackson, and the President. Muskie would be a formidable opponent if he were to promenade unscathed toward November; B. No recommendation to attack Jackson, who as a "friend of sorts of the President" might prefer a Cabinet post with Nixon rather than Kennedy; advice as to strategy is requested; C. Kennedy should be attacked as ismature, reckless, jet-set; D. Humphrey might deserve some support from us as he would be the easiest opponent; E. McCloskey's Republican credentials should be attacked by a Congressman (e.g. Jack Kemp) but not by top Administration digures; F. Resources for attack include: MONDAY regularly, Dole sparingly, and the White House Staff carefully. Advice is sought whether the Vice President should attack. The local Republican organizations will receive Buchanan drafted attack material distributed by the RNC at Buchanan's shop's direction. Commercial issue advertisements sould be placed by Citizens front organizations. Buchanan requests authority to use "Ron Walker's resources for special projects", including "close-in" covert operations; G. The California Delegates Selection Committee will be the subject of a conversation between the Attorney General and Reagan; 9. Compass System, Inc. -- The involvement of the Compass System, Inc. in the Campaign is still being negotiated by Tom Evans and Sam Wiley, who is having problems with the FBI which the Attorney General is checking; 10. RNC Denver Neeting -- The RNC Denver Meeting went according to the program because of Timmons' work and in spite of Dole's reluctance. The Attorney General has approved addi- tional names to serve on Convention Committees including Bob Knowles of Wisconsin as Convention Coordinator, Bill Warner as an assistant to Dick Herman, Vice Chairman of the Arrange- ments Committee if Warner is not a member of the Fred Scribner coalition at the RNC. Odly Fish will be politically responsive Sergeant at Arms. The Sheraton Hotel on Harbor Island will be the President's Campaign Headquarters. Congressman Gerry Ford, Congressman Rhodes of Arizona and Senator Scott want to be permanent Chairmen of the Convention but the Attorney General has put a "hold" on this. Gordon Luce of San Diego will be the Campaign Committee's host. Format planming is beginning and Chapin will participate. Timmons and Magruder are developing a recommendation for easing Scribner out of his General Counsel post. None of the 51 State Chairmen reported right wing opposition to the China trip and most characterized it as the highlight of the last two years. 11) The Spokesman Resource Task Force headed by Rumsfeld recommended that the key Campaign spokesmen (including First Family, Cabinet, select agency heads, and select Governoss) be limited to 25-30; that the President and Vice President continue to be scheduled separately; Colson and O'Donnell willecontinue to control activities through the end of 1971, but an additional scheduling staff member should be added now to the White House Staff for eventual movement to Citizens. No fund raising formula would be applied to non-elected Administration Officials through March 1, 1972. Support from Walker and Klein will be used. Transportation will be commercial through December 1971 when Whitaker and Howard will submit a Campaign logistics proposal. The Attorney General is asked forhhis recommendation on key states. 12) Young Voters for Nixon status report indicates the pre- viously submitted plan is progressing through the deadlines. The only new idea is a Presidential or Republican Senators' letter to new voters. A "public" First Voters for Nixon drive should be announced in September. 13) Voter Registration Committees are claiming to be non- partisan but all are Democratic controlled and funded. Reitz had worked to counter the drive of the Youth Citizenship Fund; some success was achieved in Wisconsin. 14) "Citizens" activities are still in the early planning stages though Don Kendall, Deke DeLoach, and Harvey Russell have worked with Flanigan, Colson, and Tom W. Evans of Mudge Rose to establish a Businessmen for Nixon group. A Lawyers for Nixon group is being formed by Richard Riefer of Baltimore and George Webster of Washington. All "Citizens" activities will be outlined in a decision paper due on the Attorney General's desk on September 30, 1971. 15) Democratic Lt. Governor Tom Judge of Montana has been told by Ted Kennedy to "stay loose as far as any commit- ments for 1972". 16) Research -- Flanigan's task force is interviewing polling consultants and vendors and will prepare "a final (research) plan within the next few weeks". This plan will contain a recommendation on Simulation on August 13. The RNC Delaware project of combining Census, polling, and research information to target precincts has been expanded to a $350,000 test of "sophisticated techniques of manipu- lating and displaying political information in a manner which facilitates allocating Campaign resources by a decision maker". Test activities will occur in 1971 elections for Governors, Mayors, and State Legislators as well as Delaware. 17) Timmons and Magruder will go to San Diego in August on behalf of the Attorney General but will maintain a "low profile". 18) Magruder reports that the rift between Senator Dole and Tom Evans widened at the Denver meeting. GS:1m:GS:dg MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON July 16, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT: Magruder's Projects Two memoranda prepared by Magruder's Task Forces discuss the Black Vote in 1972 and the National Movement for the Student Vote. Both were prepared after the Attorney General left for Europe, so he has not received them. To summarize: 1) The Black Vote in 1972 A detailed description with supporting tabs divides the black vote into three groups: Northern-Western urban, Southern urban, and Southern small town-rural. The greatest leverage is exerted in the Industrial Northeast and in California. The areas of agreement between blacks and the Nixon Administration include school desegregation, drug abuse actions, and the proposed Family Assistance Plan. Negative reaction to the Administration is primarily the result of inaccurate information reaching the black community. Recommendations to capture part of the black vote include: poll blacks to determine issue stands which could swing their votes to us; increase Administration briefings of black media; and specifically to use the Black Republicans in the Nixon Administration on a regional basis to speak and develop support for the President within the black community. (memorandum attached at Tab A) 2) National Movement for the Student Vote Ken Rietz advised Senator Brock in a memorandum (attached at Tab B) that he "should (not) be overly concerned about the National Movement for the Student Vote." Rietz obtained the NMSV reports to their Advisory Board which outlines their difficulties in registering students. Rietz urges Senator Brock to contact the Republican members of the NMSV National Advisory Board (Senators Brooke, Scott, and Margaret C. Smith) to encourage them to withdraw quietly. (Attached at Tab B) A DETERMINE : TO BE AN ADMI RING E.J. July 3, 1971 6-102 By EP Date 3-23-82 CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL SUBJECT: The Black Vote in 1972 Attached is an analysis of the current status of the Adminis- tration with the Black voters. The report makes a specific recommendation on the early use of high level Black appointees in the Administration as more visible spokesmen to the Black community. JEB S. MAGRUDER Attachment CONF BORNDIAL THE BLACK VOTE IN 1972 The purpose of this memorandum is to analyze the impact which the Black voters are likely to have in the 1972 election, to describe some current attitudes of the Black voter toward the Nixon Administration, and to indicate several strategies that will be evaluated during the planning phase of the camapign. It represents the thinking of the Black leadership within the Administration and was prepared in consultation with Sam Jackson, HUD, Bob Brown and Stan Scott of the White House Staff, Art Fletcher and John Wilks of the Department of Labor, Ed Sexton of the RNC, and Harvey Russell from the Business Community. VOTING BEHAVIOR Black voters comprise about 11% of the total population. Their population density varies by states (Tab A). Nearly half of the Black population is concentrated in 50 cities and one-third of the total is in 15 cities (Tab B). In 1968, an estimated total of 79 million persons participated in the general election. Of that total approximately 8.0%, or 6.3 million, were Black. In the South, the Black proportion was 14.7%, and in the North and West, 5.5%. Blacks tend to vote in somewhat lower proportion than Whites in all areas of the country (Tab C). In all regions, but particularly outside the South, the Black voter had the greatest impact in cities of 50,000 or more population. In the South, he also is a factor outside of the metropolitan areas (Tabs D and E). There are, then, three important broad demographic groups: Northern-Western urban, Southern urban, and Southern small- town and rural. In 1960, the Republican presidential ticket received an estimated 32% of the Black vote, which was consistent with the support the party had received in the 50's. In 1964, with the Goldwater candidacy, that figure dropped to 6%, and in 1968, the President was able only to recover to a level of 12% (Tab F). Currently, the President has a nation-wide approval rating of 28% among Blacks, according to the Gallup Poll (Tab G). The greatest support comes from the South, where he is approved by a 42% - 38% margin, with 20% undecided. In Tab H, a state-by-state analysis is shown of the plurality of Black votes which would accrue to the Democratic Party in 1972, assuming a 95% - 5% split in the Northern and Western states, and an 80% - 20% split in the South, averaging out to approximately the 12% 2 reported nationwide by Gallup for 1968. This is intended only to provide a rough comparison between Black plurality and the 1968 total vote plurality in each state, to point out those states where the Black vote is most critical. There are marked regional differences. In the Deep South, (those states carried by Wallace in 1968), the Black vote is proportionately the highest, but the election outcome is traditionally decided by the conservative White vote. In the Border States, the Black vote is still proportionately high, but in 1968 the President won most of the states with a substantial plurality. In the Industrial Northeast, the Black voter probably carries the greatest leverage. The total vote tends to be balanced, and capable of swinging to either party in a given year. The Black vote repre- sents approximately 10% of the total, and heavily favors the Democrats, giving them a substantial plurality at the outset. New England is mixed. Massachusetts and Connecticut tend to resemble the Industrial Northeast. The remaining states have a low Black population which would not be a factor in most elections. The Upper Midwest has a relatively low Black population, and the total state pluralities in 1968 were substantially larger than the leverage exerted by those voters. The Mountain States, generally speaking, do not feel much effect from the Black voters. In the Pacific States, the impact is mixed, with substantial effect in California, less in Washington, and very little in the remaining states. When the largest states, such as California, New York, etc., are taken in order of electoral votes, the concentration of Black voters in strategic points becomes particularly evident (Tab I). 3 AREAS OF AGREEMENT WITH THE NIXON ADMINISTRATION There are several Administration programs which have received strong support (particularly among the rank and file) in the Black community: school desegregation enforcement activities; major initiatives in the area of drug abuse; implementation of the Philadelphia Plan for in- creasing the proportion of minority workers in Federally-sponsored construction projects; substantial increase in the support of Black colleges; the non-profit sponsors' housing program in HUD, in which 40% of the participation is by Black organizations; and many programs to support the development of Black businesses, including those under SBA, OMBE, EDA and HUD. The Black voters give substantial support to the proposed Family Assistance Plan, largely because it is the first proposal which in- cludes some form of a guaranteed annual income. There seems to be some question, however, as to whether the President is strongly be- hind the program. Blacks support revenue sharing to the degree that it appears to provide new money to the central cities. They are con- cerned that adequate provisions be attached to that legislation to assure that an equitable share of the funds be available to Black communities and that the funds not be allowed to support discrimina- tory practices. As indicated by the President's response to the recent recommendations of the Black Caucus, significant achievements have been made by this Administration in many areas of concern to Blacks, although they have been unacknowledged. There is a great deal of interest in Administration programs for Africa. The recent extension to Africa of the Housing Guarantee Program under AID, formerly limited to South American Countries, has been well received. AREAS OF NEGATIVE FEELING TOWARD THE ADMINISTRATION Accurate information regarding Administration accomplishments does not reach the Black community. For example, the media coverage of the Black Caucus reaction to the Administration response focused almost entirely on the negative. (Tab. J) It is doubtful that favorable media comments such as those by Charles Bartlett (Tab K) reached an appreci- able number of Blacks. Many Blacks have a strong feeling that the President is not concerned with them as members of society (Tab G). This is partly a result of the feeling that since the passing of Whitney Young, no influential Black has the President's ear. Finally, the in- creased unemployment during the last two years has had a particularly severe effect on Blacks. 4 CAMPAIGN STRATEGY Several areas should be considered in attempting to maximize the Black vote for the President in 1972, while recognizing the limit- ations of resources which can productively be allocated to that endeavor: Understanding the Black Attitudes. Within the next several months, a comprehensive nationwide attitude poll should be taken and the sample of Blacks should be sufficiently large to allow valid statistical conclusions on their attitudes. The poll would seek to determine the issues which are fundamentally important in shaping voting decisions for 1972, and what the President might do to most effectively win the confidence of more Black voters. The poll should also measure the attitudes of Whites, across the political spectrum, on what types of Federal programs for Blacks are supported and which ones tend to polarize the electorate. Communication of Administration Accomplishments. As was mentioned earlier, very little objective reporting reaches the Black community. We can approach that problem in several ways. The White House has organized and is conducting monthly Administration briefings for prominent Black citizens who are or tend to be favorable to the President. Top Administration officials brief on programs and progress in the Black sector. Substantial effort is being directed toward cultivating relationships with Black publishers and members of the Black press. Meetings are planned with groups of publishers, as well as briefings in which top Administration officials would participate. The 172 Black-oriented weekly newspapers, with a combined circulation of 3.5 million and a total readership of about 8 million, and the "soul" radio stations in most cities represent a very effective mass media system. One problem has been that our releases have often been too lengthy to be printed verbatim, and the Black newspapers have been unable or unwilling to devote their limited staff time to editing the material. Consequently, those releases have not received maximum exposure. The Republican National Committee is currently reviewing representative newspapers of the Black Press and publishing a bi-weekly summary of major articles. Mailing lists are available of Black leaders in several professions, which can be very useful in getting the facts to opinion molders. 5 Black Spokesmen. The President is not limited to building relation- ships with existing, highly publicized Black leaders. Many prominent Black citizens have achieved high visibility through programs or high positions in this Administration. By his actions, the President can raise others to positions of influence and respect in the same manner that the Democratic Presidents did in the '60's. Blacks who are asked to be campaign figures should be chosen on the basis of their willing- ness to speak and write openly and forcefully in public support of the President, not simply behind closed doors. Here again, the White House briefing activities are very pertinent. Voter Education. Most Black voters do not normally split the ticket, but have shown that they will when attractive alternatives are present- ed. Some obvious examples are Black Republican officials who have been elected from heavily Democratic districts. We need to intensify our voter education so that more will be inclined to split the ticket in 1972. We cannot expect any significant shift in voter registration to the Republican Party by 1972. Yet on several occasions, Black spokesmen have stated that Blacks should not be captives of the Democratic Party, that Blacks' best interest are served by a viable two party system, and that they should be willing to support candidates of either party who back programs of benefit to them. We should consider campaign strategies which effectively communicate meaningful Administration accomplishments to Black voters, and back that up with a call for them to show their independence by being re- sponsive on election day to these accomplishments. Registration. While there is a valid opinion that registration drives in many urban Black communities will yield only more Democratic voters, we must be aware of the image of Republican non-concern that is pro- jected by our failure to make such an effort. There may well be some selected cities where our visible involvement will have a positive effect on the outcome in November. Running Black Candidates. Another effective strategy might be to run attractive, qualified Black candidates for local offices on the Republican ticket in heavily Black areas. There may be some reverse coattail effect for the President as the result of improved local interest in the Party. Local Organization. Today, there is no effective Republican organiza- tion in most Black communities, but there are some notable exceptions. Substantial organization work should be undertaken where needed, in- cluding identifying influential leaders on the basis of Black standards rather than the standards of middle class White Republicans. To be effective, this organization effort must be given maximum lead time before the election. Activities in those communities should be inte- grated as much as possible with other facets of the campaign in each state. To that end, it would be desirable to appoint Black represen- tatives on more state party staffs. 6 SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATION Relating to the earlier discussions on Black spokesmen and commu- nication of Administration accomplishments, the President has a largely untapped resource at his disposal. Among the 40 high Black officials in the Administration are many experienced politi- cians who are extremely effective on the stump and with the press, and who are known at least in their own region of the country. They are loyal to the President and eager to help. What is lacking is a clear indication that their help is wanted and how it can be used. It must be remembered that a Black Republican in the Nixon Adminis- tration is automatically news, even before he delivers his message. His presence almost guarantees press coverage, particularly by the Black media. The occasional image of a Black Republican as a less than forceful spokesman for his cause has no basis in fact and can easily be refuted by the image these men would project. They could conceivably become an effective counterweight to the Black Caucus in airing the other side of pertinent issues. The earlier they become visible, the more effective they can be between now and November, 1972. The plan would be to assign each man one small region of the country (including, presumably, his home state). He would be responsible for establishing rapport with local Black leaders, in that region, such that he would be their channel of communication with the Administration on all matters. For some time, his activities would be issue-oriented, not political in nature. When the President traveled in that part of the country, he `could assure that proper advance work was done where appropriate and perhaps be seen with the President during the trip. In developing a concerted program for exposure of Black Administra- tion officials, careful analysis would have to be made of which issues carry the most positive impact across all of the President's constituency. For example, Art Flethcer, in Labor, has given a speech on "Economic Parity in Job Opportunities in the 70's" and received standing ovations from White and Black audiences, north and south. There are other areas where the President's programs have been responsive to Black needs and yet would not polarize the White community. For example, a group of Black Doctors in Los Angeles has established a much-needed hospital in the inner city, using private funds. They are very interested in the President's health program, and have contacted Art Fletcher on the possibility of the President's office participating in a fund-raising luncheon in the fall (Tab L). 7 RECOMMENDATION That you approve the concept of actively involving key Black Admin- istration officials in a concerted program to communicate our ac- complishments to the public, and that you authorize the Citizens Committee planning group to draw up a specific program for approval within the next few weeks. Approve Disapprove Comment PERCENT OF BLACK POPULATION BY STATE (1970 CENSUS) STATE PERCENT BLACKS NUMBER OF BLACKS (thousands) Total U. S. 11.2 22,673 District of Columbia 71.1 538 Mississippi 36.8 816 South Carolina 30.5 789 Louisiana 29.9 1,089 Alabama 26.4 908 Georgia 26.0 1,191 North Carolina 22.4 1,138 Virginia 18.6 865 Arkansas 18.6 357 Maryland 17.9 701 Tennessee 16.1 632 Florida 15.5 1,050 Delaware 14.2 78 Illinois 12.8 1,426 Texas 12.7 1,420 New York 11.9 2,167 Michigan 11.2 991 New Jersey 10.7 770 Missouri 10.3 480 Ohio 9.1 970 Pennsylvania 8.6 1,017 Kentucky 7.5 241 Oklahoma 7.0 178 California 7.0 1,400 Indiana 6.9 357 Connecticut 6.0 181 Nevada 5.7 28 Kansas 4.8 107 West Virginia 4.2 74 Massachusetts 3.1 176 Arizona 3.0 53 Alaska 3.0 9 Colorado 2.9 66 Wisconsin 2.9 128 Nebraska 2.7 40 Rhode Island 2.7 25 Washington 2.1 71 New Mexico 1.9 20 Oregon 1.3 26 Iowa 1.2 33 Hawaii 1.0 8 Minnesota 1.0 35 Wyoming 0.8 3 Utah 0.6 7 North Dakota 0.4 2 Idaho 0.5 2 Maine 0.3 3 Montana 0.3 2 New Hampshire 0.3 3 South Dokota 0.2 2 Vermont 0.2 2 One-Third of Blacks Found in 15 Cities By JACK ROSENTHA, blacks of all cities occurred in Washington and Compton, Blacks in Cities Special to The New York Times WASHINGTON, May IS Calif., with about 71 per cent. Special to The New York Tunes - Nearly half the nation's Eat St. Louis, III., Newark, WASHINGTON, May 18-Fol- black population is now con- Gary, Ind., and Atlanta also lowing is a Census Bureau list centrated in 50 cities, and a have more than 50 per cent of the 50 cities with the largest third of the toal is in 15 cities, black populations. number of Negroes in the 1970 according to a Cenusu Bureau The cities with 40 per cent census: Newo Newo compilation made public today. or more blacks are Baltimore, Poo- Percent- New Orleans Savannah, Ga., CITY RANK ulation 853 As a result of both migration New York City 1 1,663,628 21.2 and natural growth, six cities Detroit, Birmingham, Richmond, Chicago 2 now have black majorities and Va., St. Louis and Jackson, Datroit 3 610,423 43.7 Philadelphia A 650,791 30.6 the population of eight others Miss. Washington 5 537,712 is 40 per cent or more black. People of Spanis origin tend Los Ancoles 6 $03,605 17.7 Ballimore 7 The new compilation on to be younger than those in Clevelend 9 New Oricans 10 257.303.45.0 minority groups also showed other groups, the new report Atlanta 11 235,051 51.3 that the two largest such groups showed. Their median age is St. Louis 12 254,191 40.9 Memohis 13 242.513.33.9 blacks and people of Spanish about 20, against 21.2 for blacks Dallas 11 210,233 21.9 origin, now include 31.5 million and 28 for the whole popula- New rk 15 207.453 54.2 Indianabilis 16 124,020 13.0 people, 16 per cent of the total tion. Birmingham 17 126.073.42.0 population. Both minority groups, taken Cincinnati 13 152,070 21.6 Cakland 19 124.710 305 Blacks constitute about 11 as a whole, average consider- Jacksonvilla 20 118,153,22.3 per cent of the population, a ably less education than the Kansas City, Mr. 21 112.005.22.1 Milwauke 105,633 14.7 slight increase over 1960. Per- population as a whole, with a Pittsburgh 23 sons of Spanish origin are little more than a grade Richmond 24 101,765 42.0 Boston 25 104707 183 about 5 per cent. No com- school education. The national Columbus 25 97,627 13.5 parable figures were tabulated median is a high school educa- San Francisco 27 96,073 13.4 Suffalo 94,002.00 for 1960. tion. Gary 29 The Spanish-origin popu- Among younger blacks and Nashville-Davidson 30 87,351 19.5 Noriclk 31 87,261 lation totals about 9.2 million. people of Spanish origin, how- Louisville 32 $1,010.02 Fort Worth 33 The black population is about ever, this gap nearly disap- Miami 34 76,156 22.7 22.3 million, of which 10.5 mil- pears. The national median for Dayton 35 74,094,30.5 Charlotte 36 lion are in 50 cities and 7.6 people between 25 and 34 is Mebile 37 67,355 35.4 million in 15 cities. 12.5 years of education, against Shove-ort 33 62162 31.1 Jackson 37 61,033 37.7 New York City has by far a black median of 12.1 and a Jackson 39 61,053 047 the largest black population, Spanish-origin median of 11.7. Compton Calif. 5 55,731 71.0 Tames 41 54,700 12.7 almost 1.7 million, an increase The new report also showed Jersey City 47 of 579,000 over 1960. This in- that, compared with thet otal Flint 43 54.237.21.1 Savannah 44 53,111 41.2 crease raised the black propor- population, minority group San Diago 45 52,761 7.5 tion of the city's population to members are much less likely Tolcdo 46 52,915 13.3 OK shama City 47 50,103 13.7 21 per cent, from 14. to be white-collar workers or San Antonio 43 52,243 7.5 The highest proportion of tò carn $10,000 or more. Rochester 17 47.647.363 East St.Louis 50 43.363 67.1 TAB C BLACK VOTE AS PERCENT OF TOTAL VOTE BY REGION AND BY POPULATION DENSITY 30 Black Vote (% of total vote) 20 NORTH AND WEST 13.7 10 5.5 2.4 1.0 O URBAN SUBURBAN SMALL TOWN TOTAL AND RURAL 30 SOUTH* 24.0 Black Vote (% of total vote) 20 14.7 3.3 10 8.5 0 URBAN SUBUREAN SHALL TOWN TOTAL AND RURAL MJ, DC, VL, W.Va, NO, SC, G., Pla, 3, Telm, = TAB D DISTRIBUTION OF VOTING AGE POPULATION AND THOSE WHO CLAIMED THEY VOTED IN 1968 - BY RACE, REGION AND POPULATION DENSITY 30.2 30 NORTH AND WEST 23.2 22.2 22.1 Voting Age Population and 20 1968 Voters (Millions) 16.8 15.4 10 3.9 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0 White Black White Black White Black URBAN SUBURBAN SMALL TOWN AND RURAL 30 KEY: 1968 Voting Age Population and 20 SOUTH* Voting 1968 Voters (Millions) Age 1968 14.2 Popula- Voters tion 10 9.0 8.0 6.7 4.9 4.0 1.3 2.8 2.3 0.8 0.4 0 White Black White Black White Black URDAN SUBURBAN STATEMENT AND READ SA, DC, W.Va, Ye, I.C, SC, G., Fln, 31, Tenn, M., Hiss, Ark, To, City, Sumple Tab E Percent of Persons of Voting Age Who Claimed to Have Voted in 1968 - By Race, Region and Population Density 90 73.2 72.5 71.8 69.3 68.0 64.6 64.8 Percent of Persons of Voting Age Who Claimed to Have Voted in 1968 59.2 60 NORTH AND WEST 30 0 White Black White Black White Black White Black URBAN SUBURBAN SMALL TOWN TOTAL AND RURAL 90 * SOUTH 63.2 59.8 61.9 Percent of Persons of Voting Age Who Claimed to Have Voted in 1968 61.4 60 55.0 53.5 51.6 48.5 30 0 White Black White Black White Black White black URBAN SUDGETAN SMILL TOTAL street AND THERE el, 25, D.C., %. m.c., s.c., A,F1\, in N..., Arit, I, Chin, TAB F REPUBLICAN PERCENTAGES AMONG THE NON-WHITE VOTE Year GOP Per Cent Election 1952 21% Presidential 1954 22% Congressional 1956 39% Presidential 1958 31% olo Congressional 1960 32% Presidential 1962 26% Congressional 1964 6% Presidential 1966 19% Congressional 1968 12% Presidential (Source: Gallup Poll) allep Poll For Release: Thursday, T 11, 1971 In Recent National Surveys Nixon and Republican Party Still Rejected by Nation's Blacks TAB G By George Collup Copyright 1571, American Institute of Public Orinter All ngits reserved Deprodoction Ln whole or part strictly probibing except with willien colural of the copyright holders PRINCITON N.J., Teb 10 - Since last Spong. President Niron has had bittle success in attracting support among the nation's Negros. judging Invoicest Gullup surveys No: only has ****** some blacks that Nixon is "not the male little headway interested in us. Blacks have been overwficlmingly the way Nixon is handling his job 11, is in 1111.19 of his 0.00 150 Democratic in their political affiliation off President? stat property. but his party has been Wint Blacks Are and voting record over the last four understand in winning converts from Sayleg About Nison decades, and based on the latest survey The following table shows how blacks and those living outside the the rents of Democrate evidence, there his been little change blacks and whites rate Nixon at three South. A year old housewife from Los Angeles complained, The President's in this situation. points in time when lie took office, The following table shows how D. 502 the first months of Nivon's not bringing 000 nien home from Vict. at R mid point during his administra- Three in every four blacks (71 per various subscroups in the Negro popu. 515 - blacks tended to withhold nain I,r and 1.0 would his petting tion and at present. Results are hased rent) derify through as Domon's lation rate Nixon: " 1., ..... livel of the us ID deeper and deeper." (M) combined ...... Presiden's reformance in office How. compared to 11 per cent who say they Views of Blacks our to moved decisively into the A is year old honseleaner is angry are Republicans, and 13 who label Views of Blacks By Sub Groups category during the Presi. about the COME of living: "I don't am themselve Independents. Another ' Ap. Disp. No dents recent year of office and have prove of Neron at all. He's against per cont either indicate allegiance to Opin. Ap. prove Disp. No prove returned Chere. welfare Im 2 14.00 woman, but I'm a third party or Jo net express 211 To % ,o prove prose Orin. not (ii) welfare I sculle for mine and opinion Virtually no change has been Jan.May. '69 To To is In the latest suns Blacks by a 2- 40 17 43 recorded in these percentages among NATIONAL 28 I don't got what I should Frt. I can Mar.June, 70 26 33 19 to-1 the express disapproval the 55 19 only get one day of work 2 week and blacks since Nivon took office. Sept., 70. same ratio as recorded in surveys last College & Spring still I have to pay social security." To obtain the latest figures reported Jan., 71 28 53 19 High school 23 62 16 ^ Del. resident coin. today. 2 total of 820 blacks and 9751 A tread 2025 from Nixon in his Views of Whites Grade school 36 " 23 mented. Their form it - President whiles were interviewed in person in seed year " 25 also recurred amount Nircon's not interested in Backs seven national surveys conducted be Ap- Disap. No nives with Little chance found since. Tween Let September and mul January proce prove Opin. 21.20 years 19 6, 16 T.c trend from Nivon. however. No Converts of the current year. The surveys were % ;o 30.47 years 24 64 " 10 his less principal among whiles Jan.-May, 69 36 " To COP 64 30 & older 23 combined in order to provide 2 large 9 27 than 15000 blacks. Further evidence of the Nixon ad- enough statistical base for breakdowns Mar.June, 70 32 22 12 South 41 AR Resurns for desapprovel among ministration's failure to make political by subgroups. This question was asked, Sept., 70. 20 Non-south blacks rend to parallel reasons given Jan., 71 19 62 19 inroads among Negines is its apparent #: in all previous surveys since Nixon 37 22 14 b- who the Victnam war and the lack of success in attracting blacks to took office: Disapproval is most pronounced Men 29 53 in economy. Added to this is the feeling the GOP label. Do you approve or disapprove of among better educated and younger Women 27 3' " TAB H ELECTORAL IMPACT OF BLACK VOTERS BY STATES AND REGIONS Repub. Deficit if Electoral % Blacks Number of Estimated Estimated # 20% Support in 1968 Repub State Votes In Total Pop. Voting Age '70 Proportion Voting 72 Voting '72 South-5% Elsewhere Plurality (1) (2) (Thousands) (3) (4) (5) DEEP SOUTH Miss. 7 36.8 490 42 206 <124> 265> -AIP La. 10 29.9 650 45 292 <175> (273)-AIP Ala. 9 26.4 550 42 231 <139> (542)-AIP Georgia 12 26.0 715 36 257 <154> (155)-AIP Arkansas 6 18.6 215 43 92 (55) (47)-AIP 44 BORDER STATES Maryland 10 17.9 420 47 197 (178) <20> Virginia 12 18.6 520 42 218 <130> 148 W. Virginia 6 4.2 45 58 26 <16) <66> D. C. 3 71.1 320 36 115 <100> <109> N. Car. 13 22.4 680 45 306 (124) 163 S. Car. 8 30.5 475 38 180 (108) 57 Kent. 9 7.5 145 43 62 <37> 65 Flo. 17 15.5 630 48 302 (181) 210 Tenn. 10 16.1 380 44 167 (100) 121 Mo. 12 10.3 290 58 168 <151) 20 Okl. 8 7.0 110 52 57 <51> 148 Texas 26 12.7 860 40 344 (206) <39> 134 INDUSTRIAL NORTHEAST N.Y. 41 11.9 1300 52 676 (608) <370> N.J. 17 10.7 460 59 271 (244) 61 Pa. 27 8.6 610 59 360 <321> <169> Del. 3 14.2 47 63 30 (27) 8 Ohio 25 9.1 580 57 331 (298) 00 Indiana 13 6.9 215 65 140 <126> 261 Mich. 21 11.2 600 60 360 324 <222> Illinois 26 12.8 860 63 542 488 135 173 TAB H, Continued Repub.Deficit if Electoral % Blacks Number of Estimated Estimated # 20% Support in 1968 Repub. State Votes In Total Pop. Voting Age '70 Proportion Voting 72 Voting '72 South-5% Elsewhere Plurality (1) (2) (Thousands) (3) (4) (5) NEW ENGLAND Mass 14 3.1 105 63 66 <59> <702> Conn. 8 6.0 110 62 68 <61> <65> R. I. 4 2.7 15 62 9 <8> <124> Vermont 3 0.2 1 59 1 <1> 15 N. H. 4 0.3 2 63 1 <1> 24 Maine 4 0.3 2 62 1 <1> <48> 37 UPPER MIDWEST Wisconsin 11 2.9 75 62 46 <41> 61 Minnesota 10 1.0 21 68 14 <13> <222> Iowa 8 1.2 20 64 13 <12> 142 N. D. 3 0.4 1 61 1 <1> 44 S. D. 4 0.2 1 66 1 <1> 31 Nebraska 5 2.7 24 56 13 <12> 150 Kansas 7 4.8 65 57 37 33> 176 48 MOUNTAIN STATES Montana 4 0.3 1 61 1 <1> 25 Idaho 4 0.3 1 65 1 <1> 76 Wyoming 3 0.8 2 61 1 <1> 61 Utah 4 0.6 4 69 3 <2> 82 Colorado 7 2.9 40 62 25 <22> 78 Nevada 3 5.7 17 49 8 (7) 13 Arizona 6 3.0 30 46 14 <13> 96 N. Mexico 4 1.9 12 56 7 <6> 40 35 3 TAB H, Continued Repub.Deficit if Electoral % Blacks Number of Estimated Estimated # 20° Support in 1968 Repub. State Votes In Total Pop. Voting Age '70 Proportion Voting '72 Voting '72 South-5% Elsewhere Plurality (1) (2) (Thousands) (3) (4) (5) PACIFIC STATES California 45 7.0 840 55 462 (416) 223 Oregon 6 1.3 16 60 10 <9> 50 Washington 9 2.1 45 64 29 (26) (27) Alaska 3 3.0 5 49 2 (2> 2 Hawaii 4 1.0 5 50 2 (1) <50> 67 NOTES ON TAB "H" 1) U. S. Census Bureau 2) Taken as 60% of total Black population (approximate average for total U. S. 3) For D. C. - average of 1964 and 1968 results for total D.C. population. For South & Border States - For total region, Black participation was 5/6 of average for total population in 1968. That proportion was taken of actual 1968 voter turnout in each state. For remaining states, Black participation averaged 90% of total population figure. For each state, 90% of total, vote percentage was taken. Data on vote participation by state: U. S. Bureau of Census, Current Population Reports, Scries P-20, No. 177, "Voter Participation in November 1968 (Advanced Statistics), U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D. C. 1968. 4) Proportion multiplied by Number of Voting Age. 5) The Black support regionally is an assumption for illustrative purposes only and based on fragmentary data. It does average out to the 12% nationwide support determined by Gallup. TAB I Importance of Black Vote in States With Large Electoral Votes Electoral Anticipated Number of Percent Blacks State Votes Black Voters in 1972 in Total Population (Thousands) California 45 462 7.0 New York 41 676 11.9 Pennsylvania 27 360 8.6 Texas 26 344 12.7 Illinois 26 542 12.8 Ohio 25 331 9.1 Michigan 21 360 11.2 New Jersey 17 271 10.7 Florida 17 302 15.5 Raps reply TAB J Caucus heads Nixon DETROIT COURIER 5/29/71 WASHINGTON - (UPI) - Three members of the ll-Democratic Congres- sional Black Caucus complained Sunday that President Nixon did little but de- fend his current domestic policies in re- plying to the group's 60 recommenda- tions for change. Reps. Charles C. Diggs Agustu: F. Hawkins and William L. Clay said they were totally dissatisfied with the 115 page report issued last Tuesday by the President, particularly his positions on desegrogation of housing and schools and appointment of black judges. Diggs, D. Mich., said the recommen. dations - covering a broad spectrum of social and economic issues - were sub- mitted earler in the year to get the ad- minis ration "10 move into the 20th cen- tury to recognize that WC have some problems here that need some innovative attention. actions already taken, but declined to cite any new initiatives contained in it. He added, however, that the process of preparing the statement intensified Administration's attention of programs Replying to the demand for ending and policies. involvement in Indochina, the President reviewed actions taken SO far to wind down the war and told the Caucus: "Fix- would eliminate ing it unilateral date. Hanoi's strongest incentive to negotiate and would jeopardize the progress made But "all we ended up with, with very few exceptions. was simply a codfiention date." to of what the administration had aiready been doing," he said, and the 12 House REP. DIGGS members comprising the Black Caucus found the report "very disappointing." Hawkins, D. Calif., recalling that the On particulars, the President spelled President had asked his critics to look out that the administration had done or at his deeds rather than his words. said WSS planning in each Self. In several in- "I. can now understand because his stances, while melatalaing a conciliatory words have very little meaning." He claimed the Nixon report was primarily tene. he disagreed with the Caucus on designed "10 justify revenue sharing" Methods of bringing about such things with the states. as crime contr. and 3 guaranteed mini- Clay, D. Mo., agreed that the Presi- mum wage. dent appeared mainly to restate his com- Nixon rejected suggestions that the Continued From Page 4 mitment to policies that "are having = Administration abandon its "no knock" nual income for a family of four, which the blacks want increased to $6,500. Shultz told newsmen at a White devastating effect cn poor and black every and prevenuve detention policies House briefing that the Administration stands on its record on civil rights and equal opportunities. "The record shows that the administration has been trying to deal with this problem in a steady The three black politicians were and strong way," be said. Shultz said. the President's "codified" statements already made and Americans in fighting crime And be ST by his preposed $2.410 guaranteed minimum 20- interviewed on the NBC-IV program. Meet The Press. See Page 4 TAB K CoL. CHARLES BARTLETT WASHINGTON STAR Nixon 5/27/71 and the Black Congressmen The extent of the gap be- the first time he related his ize issues to serve private po- tween President Nixon and the goals as President to the di- litical ends. 13. black congressmen will not rect needs of the urban poor Their denunciation of the be diminished by their sharp and conveyed a spirit of eager- Nixon response bore a political ness to translate "rhetorical ring because they neglected to derogation of his most positive promise into concrete re- concede any merit to what the statement to date on the sub- sults." administration has been doing. ject of the black urban poor. Nixon appears to have put The President claims, for ex- The congressmen are behind him the "Southern ample, that he can come up speaking, of course, in public strategy" and "benign neg- with 892,000 summer job op- terms to black constituencies lect" in order to reassure the portunities. This is close to the where they are counted on to ghetto blacks. The President is million which the Black Cau- denounce the President for his not making catchy promises; cus proposed. lack of urgency and commit- his response did not carry the The rioting in Brooklyn ment. But they might have burning sense of urgency makes the point that there is served their voters better if which many feel about the ur- something to be said for the they had accorded him some ban crisis, and the administra- Nixon style of under- credit for his turn away from tion's dollar commitment is promising. The Brownsville the cautious reserve which far short of what the congress- section has known a $50 mil- made him seem anxious, dur- men asked. But it was a posi- lion Model Cities program, an ing his first two years in the tive statement describing posi- Urban Action Task Force run White House, to avoid ac- tive actions. by the city, and a lot of high knowledging that he had any With 7.6 million blacks con- rhetoric. It is still a miscrable real concern for the urban centrated in 15 cities, conflict picce of urban real estate and poor. is unavoidable between their the impatience of its inhabi- The fact is that Nixon, in congressmen and the Nixon- tants is not surprising. this exchange of viewpoints, backed version of welfare rc- The explosion in Chattanoo- strayed further from his politi- form. Family assistance total- ga makes once more the point cal base than the black con- ing $2,400 will not do much for that this impatience can blow gressmen did. His turn marks most big city poor. Its great into an unruly, destructive a belated recognition that re- contribution to city life may be force, an embittering erupt- election will require some to discourage the rural poor tion in what Daniel P. Moyni- show of sensitivity toward the from moving to the city. han has called "an era of bad blacks' problems, some at- But the black legislators' ad- manners." This impatience is tempt to persuade Republican vocacy of a $6,500 level of as- SO volatile that black spokes- liberals that he is working to sistance and their criticism of men will resist it if they are be President of all the people. the welfare recipients' obliga- realists. But his new strategy does tion to register for work will The point which the black not entail any real hope of not gain broad public support leaders missed is that Nixon, Negro votes, SO the extent to for their position. Their prob- perhaps with his finger to the which he tried to accommo- lem, in serving as a collective wind, has moved closer to date the 61 demands for spe- voice for the blacks, is that their concerns. He deserves cific actions is surprising. For they will be tempted to polar- some encouragement. TAB I WEST ADAMS COMMUNITY HOSPITAL HOWARD S. KAATZ ADMINISTRATOR June 28, 1971 Mr, Arthur Л. Fletcher, Assistant Secretary of Labor .1400 Constitution Blvd. Washington, D. C. 20210 Dear Mr. Fletcher: Forgive the delay in communication, but due to so many pressing matters, I was unable to follow through during the time period I indicated to you when I was in Washington. I would just like to reiterate that the non-profit orgenization, West Adams Community Hospital, would like to have a large luncheon at $200 per plate involving comunity members and industrial representatives of the Los Angeles area in September or October and we would hope to have the support and involvement of the President's Office. Certainly, the time period could prove to be beneficial for both black people and the present Administration by way of demonstrating that President Nixon is not only sensitive to the needs of black people, but also gives recognition to their accomplishments at local levels. It is our belief that, since this project was privately developed by a very distinguished group of black professionals with the unique idea of making it a non-profit organization to benefit a ghetto com- munity, it is most certainly in keeping with the present Administra- tion's theory of black entrepreneurship and can well serve as a na- tional model in creating a new trend in the area of black economic development in this country. We are hopeful that the President will give this most worthwhile project as much consideration as possible, and are eagerly awaiting to hear from you. Thank you for your assistance and support. Sincerely yours, Leroy Weekes, M.D., Chairman Board of Trustees WEST ADAMS COMMUNITY HOSPITAL LW:ml Enclosure: (2) WACH Brochures CC: Howard Kaatz, WACH Administrator Patrici: Public Information & Director B CITIZENS FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON SUITE 272 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. N.W. WASHINGTON D.C. 20006 July 14, 1971 (202) 333.0920 CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL Enclosed for your information is a copy of a memorandum from Ken Rietz to Senator Brock on the National Movement for the Student Vote. JEB She MAGRUDER Enclosure CONFIDENTIAL July 8, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR: SENATOR BROCK FROM: KEN RIETZ SUBJECT: National Movement for the Student Vote I don't think we should be overly concerned about the National Novement for the Student Vote. They plan to concentrate on 283 campuses where they estimate 60% of the non-registered college students attend. This, as you know, is a low priority area for US. The people participating in the NMSV headquarters are liberal and Democrat, and make no effort to conceal their feelings. They are running a partisan effort under a non-partisan label. I think through informal conversations, you should inform the Republican members of the NUSV National Advisory Board (Senator Brooke, Senator Scott, and Senator Margaret C. Smith) of our feelings and encourage them to quietly withdraw. This would open the way for a public exposure at the proper time if we felt it necessary. lie will be keeping brack of all NIISV activities and will keep you informed. bcc: Jeb S. Magruder June 21, 1971 To: National Advisory Board From: Morris B. Abram, Jr. Summary of Progress Establishment of Washington Office -- Sufficient private funds raised to pay costs eight interns, including Mike Aguirre, student Arizona State responsible registration campaign 5000 students in three week periods. These will lay the groundwork for a voter registration campaign -- initially focusing on 300 of the nation's college compuses. Research office -- While our permanent office is to be located in Washington, research division will be centered in Cambridge, Mass. where NMSV will benefit from UNITEL- Joint MIT-Harvard Census Program. Board of Directors - Now includes Bill DeWind of Paul, Weiss, Goldberg, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison; Bill Coleman, President NAACP Legal Inc. Fund; Franklin Roosevelt, Jr.; David Riesman, Henry Food, II, Professor of Social Sciences, Harvard University; John Lewis, Executive Director, Voter Education Project. This group continues to expand. Public Relations, Advertising -- John Moynahan, Chairman of the Board of John Moynahan & Co., one of the nation's most prominent public relations firms, has agreed to work with the NMSV for a nominal fee. Remar Sutton, Vice President of Richard K. Manhoff, the New York advertising firm responsible for the media campaign of Off-Track Betting, is preparing our newspaper, radio and television advertising. Finances -- We have received generous financial support from prominent individuals of widely different political viewpoints. In addition, many foundations churches and corporations have exprossed interest in our undertaking, and are evaiting clearance of our application for tax exemption. $1,000 -2- Tax-Exemption -- Adrian DeWind, senior partner, Paul, Weiss, Goldberg, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison, and Kenneth Bergen, senior partner, Bingham, Dana and Gould have assumed powers of attorney for NMSV. Clearance expected soon. Assistance of Corporations -- General Lucius Clay of Lehman Brothers, and Richard Gelb, President of Bristol-Myers Corporation have agreed to assist us in fund raising and advertising. TALENT SEARCH The Student Vote (The National Movement for the Student Vote), a non-partisan organization, was established to fill a vacuum in the voter registration field. Now headquartered at 530 Seventh Street, S.E. Washington D.C., The Student Vote plans to initiate and assist voter registration drives on the nation's college campuses. Over the summer months the Student Vote plans to: establish a comprehensive file on each of the respective campuses, including a) a student body geographical profile, b) a listing of local organizations and individuals planning to involve themselves in voter registration, c) cooperative admini- strators, state officials, and civic leaders. initiate a thorough and ongoing study of the intricate legal problems particular to students. Though the Student Vote will not itself be involved in the litigation of domicile and res- idency questions, it will act as a conduit for organizations which are active in this area. design and coordinate a media campaign to publicize voter registration on the campus. establish eleven regional offices to be staffed by exper- 1enced voter registration field coordinators. We are presently interviewing persons (previous experience in this field is not a prerequisite) for a limited number of paid and volunteer internships. The available tasks are many; this is an opportunity to be part of a national program of historic significance. Our needs: -media and press relations -clerical assistance -managerial skills (particularly interested in persons with office experience) -research associates -accounting -political organizers -legal research Ask for Mike Davis or Mike Aguirre 547-3429. We look forward to hearing from you. Mike Davis (617) 495-1378 Harvard University Cambridge, Mass. 02138 196 Memorial Hall National Advisory Board Hon. Julian Bond Senator Edward Brooke Thomas D. Cabot Senator Clifford Case Rep. Ronald Dellums Robben Fleming Arthur Goldberg Alexander Heard Rev. Theodore Hesburgh Senator Edward Kennedy John Lewis Mayor John Lindsay Senator George McGovern Senator Edmund Muskie Governor Francis Sargent Senator Hugh Scoll Senator Margaret C. Smith Mayor Kevin White Steering Committee Morris Abram, Jr. Paul Bloom James Breedlove David Cochran Michael Davis CAMPUS VOTER PARTICIPATION John DeTore Hamilton Fish, III Mitch Fishman A PRELIMINARY REPORT ON A PILOT PROJECT Lucy Freedman Thomas McKean Jonathan Rothman Thomas Stemberg Advisors Barney Frank Vernon Jordan Nicholas Rudd Remar Sutton General Counsel Harvey Burg 1 We are on the threshold of an historic test. A rising generation has come of age early, and their mandate shall soon be heard. Legislative action has swelled the federal electorate, giving America's young people awesome power and responsibility. But now that the vote is theirs, will it be cast? The precedents are not encouraging. In 1968, three states allowed 18-20 year olds to vote. Yet in the election of that year, only 35.6% of whites and 25.3% of blacks in this 1 age group actually voted. Why College Students? Voter participation is the fundamental process and sanction of a democratic society. Civic spokesmen, labor union officials, elected representatives, and minority group leaders are each concerned with the level of voter turnout in every election; all of these men work to promote voter registration within their- own area of authority or influence. Several groups are active in black communities. The Voter Education Project, with seven offices in the South, conducts drives in thirteen states. Frontlash, with offices in New York and California, assists minority groups in Northern ghetto 1. Bureau of Census, Technical Studies, "Characteristics of American Youth," series p-23, Feb. 6, 1970, page 23 communities. In addition, the N.A.A.C.P. has long worked in the are of voter rights-- as a principal in litigation and voter education. American labor, given the lead by George Meany of the AFL-CIO, sponsored the massive voting drive amongst its own membership which, it may be recalled, nearly brought Hubert Humphrey victory in the last Presidential election. State officials in many locales have already begun to enlist governmental machinery to educate and involve high school students in the registration process. The Youth Citizenship Fund, an outgrowth of a group that campaigned for the 1 year old vote, has concentrated its efforts on eligible high school students. In a recent Massachusetts drive, with the assistance of the League of Women Voters, it attracted public officials to high schools to address students in their auditoriums. Amongst many identifiable groups, only the college campuses have been neglected. Won't College Students Register Anyway? This wide cross-section of the country, six million students generally between the ages of 18 and 22, has not received the attention of any voter registration organization. And while college students are spoken of in the mass media as a significant political force, no records of previous student registration have even been kept up to now. Indeed, there is probably no other group whose electoral habits are so unknown. register in greater numbers than citizens lacking such education. No statistics are available, however, which correlate the voter's educational level with his age at the time he casts his ballot. Because high registration levels have characterized college educated persons in the past, it can not be assumed that this patte will be repeated in the ranks of young voters presently enrolled in universities. There is even evidence which suggests the contrar Campus Alienation Thomas Jefferson decried the notion of extending the franchise to those lacking the education he felt prerequisite to a sustained interest in the electoral system. It would have been a surprise and disappointment to him, no doubt, to discover that many citizens of a later day felt less drawn to this democrati cornerstone the longer they remained in centers of higher education While it is impossible to say how widespread is alienation from the democratic system on the college campus, it is certain that unless remedial steps are taken soon, the cynicism that permeates America's classrooms will take a heavy toll as election day approac Census figures reveal that in 1968, 218,000 eligible persons between the ages of 18 and 20 did not register to vote. What was their explanation? 144,000 of these young people said they were "not interested. 112 There is no way to determine 2. Bureau of Census, Population Characteristics, series p-20, no. 172, May 3, 1968, page 53. how many of these non-voters were college students, but Daniel Yankelovich in his report for the Task Force on Youth provides us with a basis for speculation. Amongst "forerunner youth," the influential and expanding group which Yankelovich identifies as the campuses' mentors and conductors of new social values, skepticism about the nation's institutions runs high. In 1970, 50% of this group "strongly agreed" that the two-party system does not offer any real 1 alternatives, and 33% expressed the belief that the American system of representative democracy can not respond effectively to 3 the needs of the people. Clearly these attitudes augur resistance to voter participation amongst large numbers of college students. Voting--the Initial Commitment We believe that there could be no greater blow to the democratic system than the failure of millions of young voters to make use of their newly acquired franchise. The unproductive despair which is so widespread on America's college- campuses will only diminish as students begin to understand that it their power to bring substantial social change through the electoral process. Equally important, voting is a first step for other forms of political involvement. The student who casts his ballot for a particular candidate will undoubtedly follow the 3. Youth and the Establishment, JDR3rd Fund, Inc., 1971, pages 56,60 policies of the elected official more carefully than the person who did not go to the polls. Voting is one of the initial symbols of commitment to the democratic process. Need for Assessment Because so little is known about voting participation amongst young people, any registration drive conducted amongst this newly enfranchised group will assume the role of a significant test. It is difficult to speculate on the success which a well planned and tightly administered campus voter regis- tration drive might have. A careful assessment of the techniques used on each campus, and the kinds of responses which resulted would be indispensable for future work in this and related areas of voter registration work. A Pilot Project The drive which the N.M.S.V. is proposing in these pages has importance beyond the millions of college students which we hope to register and get involved in the political process. This is a pilot project. The information which is compiled and statistically correlated will benefit at least three groups: 1) Students --- Registration and voting is an important, perhaps the fundamental, responsibility of a citizen in a democratic society The American college community would profit from informational data which indicated the degree to which it accepted this responsibility, and the reasons why some of its members choose not to participate. 2) Political parties --- Political parties are national institutions. Academies formulate many of the ideas which are later promoted by political parties as public policy. Both parties have an interest in learning about student receptivity to their ideologies as demonstrated in registration patterns on specific campuses. 3) National Community The nation as a whole would benefit from a thorough exposition of campus voter participation. Responses to voter registration efforts as documented during the drives will be a good measure of the degree of student estrangement from the democratic process. The depth provided by such a study would far surpass existing surveys and would help to promote better understanding between the country and its 2500 campusus. DEMOGRAPHICS 6,045,000 Americans attend four-year colleges and graduate schools. If these students were distributed evenly over the 1600 or só universities in the United States, we would face what might be an insurmountable task in seeking to register these students to vote. Fortunately, our research indicates that 3,640,000, or roughly 60% of these students attend a mere 283 campuses with 4 enrollments over 5,000. 4. Characteristics of the College Market, National Educational Advertising Service, 1970. In order to register substantial numbers of black students, one should include 21 additional black colleges with enrollments over 1,500 in a student voter registration drive. These campuses have a total enrollment of over 61,000. The National Movement for the Student Vote will attempt to organize these 304 campuses. The large campuses show a high degree of concentration in a few states such as New York and California. The smaller black schools are located primarily in the South. With a keen eye toward effectively decentralizing our drive, we shall divide up the United States into the following regions: (Figures in parentheses indicate number of campuses to be organized.) Region I Region II New York (25) Massachusetts (7) Connecticut (6) Vermont (1) Maine (1) New Hampshire (2) Rhode Island (3) (20) Region III Region IV Pennsylvania (12) North Carolina (8) New Jersey ( 9) South Carolina (3) Virginia ( 7) Florida (5) District of Georgia (5) Column ia ( 5) Maryland (4) Delaware ( 1) (21) West Virginia ( 2) (40) Region V Region VI Tennessee (7) Ohio (14) Kentucky (6) Indiana ( 7) Alabama (6) Michigan ( 9) Mississippi (5) Arkansas (3) Louisiana (10) (30) (37) Region VII Region VIII Illinois (14) Missouri (11) Wisconsin ( 8) Kansas ( 5) Iowa ( 4) Oklahoma ( 5) (22) (25) Region IX Region X North Dakota (2) Texas (20) South Dakota (2) Arizona ( 3) Nebraska (3) New Mexico ( 2) Minnesota (4) Idaho (3) Montana (2) (25) Wyoming (1) Colorado (4) Region XI Nevada (1) Utah (4) California (24) Oregon ( 3) Washington ( 5) (26) Hawaii ( 1) (33) METHODS We cannot yet discuss in detail the techniques to be employed in registering prospective voters: these depend a great deal on voter registration laws on every level, which are changing monthly because of the recent enactment of the 18-year old vote. Below, our methods are set out in general terms: To begin with: Student apathy and even cynicism about the electoral process must be overcome. Speakers, as well as advertisements and posters, should help convince students that voting is one of the most effective, even radical actions they can take. Students of differing political attitudes should learn that they each have a stake in the electoral process. First concrete steps According to the League of Women Voters, "citizens," i.e., in this case our volunteers, in at least 16 states may be deputized to register voters. We will undertake this approach wherever possible, since it proved so successful for the Voter Education Project. Role of the Central Office In about 25 states students may register in absentee. In some states, students are required by law to request registration forms personally. The local practice of the law varies: although most states and counties will not provide us directly with a -10- stock of forms, New York City's Board of Elections, for instance, will give as many as requested. In order to register a Boston University student with residence in New York, all that would be required is to give him the form. Regarding those states requiri a personal request from the would-be absentee student voter, we plan to provide each student, along with a possible form letter, the address of the office he should contact. In states where students are eligible to vote and where they can register close by the campus, we can simply direct students to the right authorities. Coordinators What Manner of Men? It would be easy to ask the student government president or the newspaper editor to head the registration drive on each campus. Unfortunately, these men do not usually have sufficient time available to do a good job for NMSV. There is an additional problem. As Remar Sutton, who helped organize the Movement for a New Congress, put it, "Most of the old campus politicos are burned out and useless--just plain ineffective.' We shall look for fresh talent; students who are imaginative and dedicated. Promotion Neither a Time article on our Cambridge office nor an ad in The New York Times explaining our drive will help us register students to vote at North Carolina State. We believe it is essential that national publicity on the NMSV be directed towards local campus efforts, rather than the activities of the central office. The central office will provide each campus with several hundred posters, which will seek to give voter registration the necessary "cutting edge." Where the local coordinator finds it appropriate flyers will also be provided for door-to-door leafleting. Fraternities, sororities and service organizations (Green Key, etc.) can be engaged to help distribute such leterature. The support of these groups will be enlisted in the early organizational stages of most drives. Hopefully, college newspapers will give NMSV free advertising space in addition to the 1500 paid lines we have budgeted for each campus. Experience indicates that it will be more fruitful to approach these newspapers on a national level. We shall engage the president of a large advertising agency to write all newspapers, once we have been approved by the Advertising Council. Steven Hochschild, a doctoral student in planning at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, has done research which indicates that there is no more effective way to engage the interest of students on a campus than a "telephone blitz." On a campus where individual or roommate group phones are standard fare, one can -cach 5,000 plus students in 10 hours (two evenings) with 25 student volunteers manning phones. The Role of Student Governments We cannot thrive on a campus without the cooperation of each college's administrators. While initial reservations can be overcome by a letter from an educator on our advisory board, considerable personal contact will be necessary to build trust. Student governments will hopefully facilitate good relations with campus administrators. We shall require permission to set up registration centers in the student union, and in dining halls. Also, we would be helped by a master list of students, particularly if it indicates phone numbers. Student government officials are competent judges of the mood of their campus, and they can advise our coordinator on issues such as which, if any, speakers should be brought on campus to arouse interest in registration. Our speakers bureau thus will not be so liable to send a man to New Mexico State who is unpopular there. Putting the Names on the Dotted Line Ideally, we should move one or two mobile registration booths onto a campus, and have in-state students register there. (Out-of-staters can be handled at nearby tables.) John Lewis of the V E.P. reports, however, that only large cities provided his group with mobile registration vans. He suggests, though, that some of the problems he encountered might have been peculiar to the South. Robert Kennedy's presidential campaign workers, for example, used mobile booths throughout Indiana with considerable success. While we shall exert as much bipartisan political pressure as possible to loosen terms on mobile centers, we could alternatively set up centers around the campus where out-of- state students can be given absentee registration forms (or form letters), and in-state students can be pointed in the right direction. Possibilities for Mass Registration We are investigating the possibility of having students register to vote at the same time as they register for school or as they pick up their selective service forms from the registrar. Toward this end, we have initiated discussions with the American Association of College Registrars and Admissions Officers. Problems There can be little doubt that we will meet local resistance to our efforts in some towns, particularly in potential Berkeleys. John Lewis, for example, has run into several county officials in - Mississippi who refuse to register 18-year olds because "they lack necessary facilities." Again, we shall seek to employ some political clout to overcome such hurdles. If necessary, however, we shall activate our legal arm. LEGAL One problem that will tend to thwart our efforts to register college students is the autonomy given to county clerks in interpre state problem will he two-fold. First, it will be important to know in advance the ways in which specific statutes can be used against the students seeking to register. Second , NMSV will maintain close contact with organizations capable of testing the legality of the more unfair laws; in this way, we will be able to give concrete aid to students having difficulty registering, rather than fruitlessly exhorting them to do SO. Our central office, in cooperation with other organizations active in the field of voter participation, will compile a summary of existing statutes and possible problem areas. This booklet, sent to all NMSV personnel will serve as indispensable background information. We recognize, however, that it cannot serve as a substitute for information gathered in the field. To remedy this situation, law students recruited from each state will report to their regional coordinator on the nature of problems that students are encountering. All information concerning difficulties with local officials will be forwarded to the central office where the material can be correlated with other data to analyze the basis and location of major student registration problems. All campus coor= dinators will receive the reports pertinent to their locale. It will be imperative for all NMSV personnel to have a complete understanding of potential legal problems, since confidence in their own position will make dealings with local officials easier and more productive. In areas where the NMSV will not be able to assist directly in the registration process, it will be important for each registrant to have easy access to the same knowledge. In cases where a student's right to vote is clearly being denied the central office will act as a conduit - referring complaints to organizations which have the experience and resources to litigate Hopefully, the threat of suit will discourage discriminatory practices in some areas. As evidence of our concern and sincere intent in this matter, legal counsel will be attached to each regional coordinator. ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE We are now trying to create the most effective organizational structure for registering the maximum number of student voters possible. We do not plan to run a centralized campaign from Cambridge, Mass. Doing so would require at least 300 "line managers" reporting to one office. (The Movement for a New Congress, trying last year to organize a large number of campuses, failed when they set up such a structure.) On the other hand, it would be inept to send 20 Harvard missionaries around the country trying to organize a campus a week. Each campus requires the attention, the knowledge of local conditions, which only the students there can provide. Regional cogordination promises to be the best approach. Each regional coordinator will be responsible for the thirty or so campuses in his area. Our central office will provide him with in rmation of timetables, laws, and methods. The Cambridge office can also help when appropriate with absentee registration forms and form letters, and can also supply a variety of promotional materials and opportunities, ranging from ad glossies to posters. A central speaking bureau could arrange to have a Senator or other respected local figure initiate the local registration drive. The Harvard-based staffman covering the region will consult with the local and regional coordinators and serve as their link with the information NMSV will have accumulated. The attached organizational chart outlines the plan for the central office. THE RESEARCH EFFORT While MNSV hopes to rely on other organizations in assembling much of the information for successful registration drives, our Cambridge office nonetheless anticipates carrying on a substantial research effort this Spring. The research staff will work closely with The League of Women Voters, Common Cause, The Legislative Reference Service, and other groups so as not to duplicate their efforts. Five interns will spend their summer in Washington doing research on registration laws and other important factors in the drive. We shall contact Secretaries of State, and where necessary local election boards, to ascertain: * Where absentee registration is permitted and where bulk forms are available. * Where mobile registration booths can be set up on campus. * Where volunteers can be deputized as registrars. * During what time periods voters may be registered. National M'vt for the Student Vote BOARD NAT" ADVISORY BOARD FUNDRAISING & COMMITTEES PRESIDENT EXEC. DIRECTOR GENERAL COUNSEL (Treasurer) RTISING RESEARCH ASS'T PERSONNEL MEDIA NATIONAL TREASURER DIRECTOR RELATIONS RVISOR DIRECTOR DIRECTOR ADVISORS I XIC LIBRARY FIELD DATA PUBLICATIONS DIRECTOR, REGIONAL RESEARCH DIRECTOR SPEAKERS COORDINATOR: RESEARCH ORDINATOR COORDINATOR COORDINATOR BUREAU STAFF STAFF * What constitutes residency. From university administrators we hope to find the following: * The university's student enrollment by state. * The academic calendar. * Names of heads of Young Democrats, Young Republicans, fraternity councils, student government, etc. Where students eat. * Names and addresses of campus newspapers. * Where booths may be set up. We will write to all the students whose names we obtain. In addition, many U.S. Senators have pledged to provide us with the names of all students applying for summer internships; our research staff will be in touch with all of them. Analyzing our data will pose an important and critical task. Computer programs will coordinate academic and voter registration calendars, giving as output the weeks liable for an intensive registration drive on a given campus. The student enrollment of each campus, broken down by home states of students; will be entered into our computer storage space. A simple program can then indicate how many absentee registration Srms and form letters we need from each state, and which campus we shall have to ship them to. BLACK STUDENTS There are now 492,000 Black students attending American Universities. One-third of these students are studying at the nation's 105 Black campuses; the rest are located at other institutions across the country. Bureau of Census statistics have been cited that reveal the small number of black students registering to vote in states where the 18-year old franchise has been in force in the past. We know that registration in the nation's Black areas has been historically much lower than in white communities. There is no evidence, however, that Black campuses are subject to the fear which has been reported by V.E.P. registrars as being always one of the chief obstacles to registering Blacks in the South. Conversations with Black community and student leaders around the country suggest that there may be other reasons discouraging Black student registration. Dean Monroe of Miles College has remarked on the bitter frustration and anger felt by many Black students at their seeming inability to alter the circumstances around them. This frustration need not continue, however, to express itself in political alienation. Lee Daniels, Managing Editor of the Harvard Journal of Afro-American Affairs, notes that while many Blacks are not impressed with short-term projects such as the Committee for a Moratorium, they are increasingly committed to measurable political and social progress. Some might ask why we consider the participation of these of special attention. Even if not numerically overwhelming, Black students have a particularly vital role to play in the future. This group, more than their white counterparts, will in these next years come to influence and direct the political outlook of their communities. The commitment they adopt to the electoral process now will undoubtedly bear on their effectiveness in promoting future social change. Obviously, Black students are among the most alienated from the traditional political machinery. While receptive to involve- ment in the electoral process, they distrust appeals from white organizations lacking roots in their own communities. We believe that no successful campus registration drive can be mounted on Black campuses or even amongst Black students attending pre- dominantly white institutions without carefully considering the activities of established community organizations. With this in mind, the NMSV has already begun setting up contacts with such organizations as the Urban League, Voter Education Project, and Frontlash. In addition we have engaged a range of Black advisors - including Julian Bond, Senator Edward Brooke, Congressman Ronald Dellums, and Vernon Jordan. We hope that the presence of these individuals will lend support to our efforts, serving to remind students of the profoundly activist antecedents of voter registration drives in the South during the early 1960' CAMPUS COORDINATING There is no Black organization which has branches on a significant number of campuses. Where there are AFRO or O.B.U. groups, we will seek to involve them. In other cases, we will search out individuals who have been politically active in the past. We believe, however, that any attempt to establish a separate arm of the NMSV to work with the Black student community would be a mistake. This would only tend to splinter our effort and promote division. Our initial Cambridge group includes several Black students, and we anticipate little difficulty in attracting others as national coordinators. 1971 Timetable 1972 April MAy June July August September October November December January February March April May June July August September October November December RPORATE :GANIZATION INDRAISING CRUITING CAMPUS ORDINATORS ESEARCH-LEGAL ESEARCH-CAMPUS OMINISTRATION ESEARCH-POTENTIAL AMPUS COORDINATORS RGANIZATION OF RIVE ON-CAMPUS EGISTRATION RIVE Morement for the Student Vote Projected Expenses or NMSV April 1971 - December 1972 Apr.-May 1971 June-Aug. 1971 Sept.1971-Dec.1972 TOTAL Computer Time and File Space $1,000 $ 5,000 $ 6,000 Telephones $1,000 6,000 30,000 37,000 Postage 500 900 4,500 5,900 Secretarial 600 1,500 7,500 9,600 Legal 1,500 5,000 6,500 1 Travel 1,000 2,500 25,000 28,500 Stationary, Office Supplies 600 900 4,500 6,000 Summer Office 1,200 1,200 Advertising - College Newspapers 90,000 90,000 Summer Interns - 3 Stipends 5,000 5,000 Flyers, Brochures, 4 Posters 500 500 19,500 20,500 Form Letters, Addressed Envelopes 10,000 10,000 Campus Coordination- - Stipends 45,600 45,600 - Capital Expenditures 2,000 2,000 $7,700 $19,500 $246,600 $273,800 1 I - 3 round trips to areas at average of $150 plus 30 days travel, room and board @$20 for each of 11 coordinators. Additionally, $2,500 for miscellaneous travel. 2 - 1500 lines per newspaper @ $.200. 3 - $1000/student for June-August. 4 - $.01/student to be approached. 5 - $150/coordinator. Appendix: Student Biographies One of the problems facing many student groups that begin community projects is a lack of expertise in the area in which they are working. The National Movement for the Student Vote has tried to assemble, and we believe with success, a core group of committed workers - all of whom have extensive backgrounds in fields related to our project. In putting to- gether this nucleus of our operations, we have scrupulously sought a diverse, as well as able group. Republicans as well as Democrats, women as well as men, blacks as well as whites are extensively represented. The only viewpoint that all of us share is a deep committment to the electoral process. Another obstacle to student projects is the short period in which students are in school, and the amount of school work which occupies them during normal school terms. We have con- fronted this problem on two fronts. On the one hand, we have involved students who plan to remain in the Cambridge area for some time, whether they are enrolled at Harvard College or not. Other students who have heavy work schedules have offered to take leave of absences to make a full time committment to the NMSV. Because we have brought together such a qualified group, we anticipate little difficulty in attracting other younger indiv mals who will replace the initial group and carry on our - 2 - operation in future years. On this initial list, we have only included biographical sketches of Harvard and Radcliffe students. We are presently compiling biographies of students from other schools which will soon be available upon request. Morris Abram, Jr. - '71-'72, history; member, Harvard Policy Council, curriculum reform study group; founder and first president The Harvard Independent, a weekly student newspaper; campaign co-ordinator Peter Berle for New York State Assembly. Paul Anderson - Harvard night school; founder Massachusett's Teenage Republican Club, aide to State Senator John Quinlan John Avault - '70, economics; Rotary fellowship, study abroad; Economic analyst Boston Redevelopment Authority; Industrial Development Commission - responsible for data analysis of Boston's Industrial Characteristics; extensive experience in computer methods, statistics. Paul Bloom - '70, government; precinct organizer Senatorial campaign of Joseph Tydings, Congressional race of Paul Sarbanes, and for Robert Embry, city concilor. Managerial experience, Colony Credit Corp., Baltimore. Jim Breedlove - '71, entering Harvard Law; intern Shawmut National Bank, responsible for business projects in black communities throughout the country. Kevin Carney - '70, government; campaign organizer Eugene McCarthy, Allard Lowenstein, Phillip Hoff; fund raiser Phillip Hoff for U.S. Senate; research ass't for William Blair and Co. investment banking firm; intern ed. dep't Chicago Daily News; Ed. ass't. Bostonian Magazine. David Cochran - '70, government; President Briggs House; co- ordinator McCarthy campaign, Washington office; ass't campaign manager for Richard Howes, candidate U.S. Senate Maryland, 1968; ass't accountant in charge of computers - Ace Electronics Co. Lee Daniels - '71, government; managing editor of Harvard Journal of Afro-American affairs; intern Newsweek, The Wall Street Journal. Mike Davis - '74, government; teacher remedial education program Hotchkiss School; permanent intern, Lowell Dodge Center for Auto Safety, Washington; advisor to Secretary OF Transportation Volpe on Youth and Auto Safety: John DeTore - '71, classics; intern Mass. Attorney General's Office, Citizens' Aid Division; Chief organizer, Youth Mass., a successful attempt to get high school students - 2 - throughout the state involved in political campaigns of both parties. Campaign manager, Richard Daley, Republican candidate for State Assembly; county co- ordinator, Sargent-Dwight campaign. Hamilton Fish, 3rd. - '73, government; member, Republican Conference Research Program, task force on Earth, Population and Resources; organizer Congressional campaign of Hamilton Fish, 2nd. Advertising and press staff The Harvard Independent. Mitchell Fishman - '70, Harvard Law '73; station manager WHRB; editor, The Harvard Crimson; press secretary for Joseph Duffey, candidate for U.S. Senate. Lucy Freedman - Radcliffe '70, Harvard Education School; Chairman Radcliffe Grant-in-Aid; campaign organizer for Joseph Duffey. Henry Hecht - - Harvard Law School, '73, staff member, speech- writer for Senator Charles Mathias. Robert Luskin - '72, government; Co-author, The Harvard Strike, Houghton Mifflin; Presidential appointee to Advisory Committee on Harvard University Gazette; reporter The Herald Traveler. Tom McKean - '72, government; intern Senator Edward Brooke, Lt. Governor Frank Sargent. Thomas Stemberg '71, economics; entering Harvard Business School; member board of director Harvard Student Agencies; publisher, The Harvard Independent. CITIZENS FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON SUITE 272 July 2, 1971 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. NW WASHINGTON D.C. 20000 (202) 333.0020 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FROM: JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: Democratic & Republican Contenders Attached is a report on the current status of our tracking of the Democratic and Republican contenders. You will note that the planning committee, under Pat Buchanan, feels that adequate work is being done in collecting the data. The emphasis must be on using the information effectively, part- icularly in this pre-campaign period. Since this does not require a major change in resources or personnel assignments, we will proceed along those lines unless you disagree with the conclusions reached in the memorandum. AN ILNG 6-102 By THE WHITE HOUSE CONFIDENTIAL WASHINGTON July 5, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT: Magruder's Projects The Attorney General has been pressing Magruder for action by the task forces. The result is a series of memoranda for the Attorney General which are attached as tabs and summarized: 1. The Place of Women in the 1972 Campaign Rita Hauser argues that there is a new social and political awareness among women that will have to be tapped carefully to assure their support for the President. The recom- mendation, which the Attorney General has not acted upon, is that a separate women's organization within the campaign should not be created, but rather that a woman be appointed at the Deputy Campaign Manager level to carry the respon- sibilities justified by experience and ability regardless of gender (memorandum attached at Tab A). Tom Benham of ORC reviewed the polling material available on "Women's Lib" and concluded that there is no political significance to the movement per se. He suggests directing the appeal to equal job opportunities rather than to the movement itself (memorandum attached at Tab B). 2. Young Voters for Nixon Ken Rietz has been hired by the Attorney General to be Executive Director of Young Voters for Nixon. Rietz sub- mitted a memorandum to Magruder who delivered it to the Attorney General (attached at Tab C). The Rietz memorandum relies on the Brock analysis for the President of the uses of young voters. As to decision items for the Attorney General, Rietz urges that: a) "Young Voters for Nixon" be the official title of the group; b) YVN be separate from the regular campaign organization, expecially on the state level; c) YVN control the "overall thrust and policy of the Nixon youth movement", including YRs, New Generation for Nixon, etc.; d) YVN emphasize "first voters for Nixon" up to age 30; e) Senator Brock's ad hoc YVN advisory board of selected MCs under age 40 submit broad policy guidance for the National -2- campaign for young voters (members: Senators Brock and Weicker; Congressmen Steiger (Wisc.), Lujan (N.M.), Frey (Fla.), Pettis (Cal.), Beister (Pa.), Whitehurst (Va.).) Members of this board will set up regional boards of Governors, Mayors, etc., who may not all be Republicans; Brock's Advisory Boards will have a staff which will expand in the next few months; f) After November 1st, the larger staff will create First Voters for Nixon, which will be a targeted, high visibility registration drive among young voters based on public opinion surveys; g) A campaign plan will be submitted which will describe in detail the YVN programs and schedule including hiring and training staff (Nov.-Jan.); public activities including regional and state staffs and concentration on Nixon voters among school groups in the 21 target states (Feb. -April); tighten organizational structure around the identified Nixon voters (May-July) ; target mailing and campaign appeals to deliver the 500,000 young workers for Nixon (Aug.-Nov.). 3. Voter Registration You asked Magruder to reconsider the decision about non- involvement with registration drives. (Memorandum attached at Tab D.) Magruder's response is the plan developed by Senator Brock and Ken Rietz. The plan, which the Attorney General approved Friday, suggests that the current Republican voter drives are of little value; that the Youth for Nixon Organization (Ken Rietz) will have to control our registration drive; and that after thorough planning the registration drive (First Voters for Nixon) will concentrate on target indi- viduals in key states. The First Voters for Nixon would seek some publicity during the next four months while the organ- ization work is being done. Brock and Rietz believe that any mass registration drive would work to the President's disadvantage. (Rietz' material also attached at Tab D.) 4. Mock Conventions You asked for a description of the campaign's plans for mock conventions (memorandum attached at Tab E). Rietz prepared the memorandum attached at Tab F which Magruder gave to the Attorney General for consideration. Rietz urges a scheduled, organized series of conventions under his direction within Young Voters for Nixon. No specifics are offered as it is Rietz' view that organization cannot begin until this winter. -3- It is Finch's view that the interest in and number of mock conventions this year will be much lower because now youth has the vote and will channel its energies toward real voter participation instead of substitute politics. 5. Target Voter Strategy The Delaware test of the target voter strategy is part of a Magruder memorandum on Research (Tab G) which has been submitted to the Attorney General. No decision by the Attorney General has been relayed to Magruder. The Research memorandum draws heavily on the RNC priority states list, which you reviewed in the key states memorandum of June 23rd. Additional points made include descriptions of successful examples of "rifle-shot communication with target voters to augment the mass-media campaign". Magruder requests authority from the Attorney General to (p) roceed with detailed development of the target voter strategy". 6. Democratic and Republican Contenders Pat Buchanan is the Chairman of this Magruder task force, which has concluded that the current system of collecting data is adequate. This conclusion will be tested this week. The Buchanan memorandum (attached at Tab H) is excellent, delightful reading. This summary does an injustice: a) Kennedy could have the nomination if he wants it; he will decide to run in December 1971 if he feels the President is a loser; there is a split of opinion as to whether Kennedy would be the most difficult candidate; his strengths are: Kennedy myth, rank and file Democrat support, and the best political operation; his weaknesses are: Chappaquiddick, too far left, anathema to South; b) Muskie could unite Democrats and is strong on new priorities issues, but he has politically bumbled the clean shot at the nomination, issues, and the center conser- vative Democrats; c) Humphrey is not considered the strongest opponent but has the party connections and politically accurate stand on economic issues; he is also a strong campaigner; his weaknesses include: old face, hemlock to New Left, weak in polls, and no appeal to youth; d) Jackson would be an excellent VP for Kennedy because he is a rallying point for Democratic conservatives; if Jackson were the Presidential nominee a fourth party would result; e) McCloskey should be ignored from the National level but pushed left to tarnish his ex-Marine, honest White Knight image; f) the result is attack all Democratic can- didates and party leadership but keep the President aloof by either keeping the entire official family out of politics or by using the available Republican guns, except the President, -4- to hit the Democrats; g) The current research by the RNC and Mort Allin is adequate and our resources should be allocated to increasing the output of attacks by MONDAY, Dole, letters, and Colson's shop; h) Future activities to be considered include Walker advance men implemented diffi- culties for contenders, mid-week version on MONDAY, and full time use of Ken Khachigian as the White House Staff Man to handle the contenders' material; i) For the next six months, output should seek to exacerbate the Democratic rift by relying on the good RNC collection system and seeking methods of getting information into media; this would not require funds for staff from the campaign for now. 7. Mrs. Lombardi Pursuant to a request after Mrs. Lombardi saw the President, Magruder has asked the Attorney General to include her on the Citizens for the Re-election of the President. 8. Businessmen for Nixon Flanigan urges the Attorney General to accept Don Kendall as the head of Businessmen for Nixon. The Attorney General agreed and Kendall has assigned Deke De Loach (former assistant to Hoover) and Harvey Russell, black, to begin working immediately with Magruder. The plan is to have the business- men's group primarily organization, issue, and recruitment oriented, instead of fund raising oriented. The businessmen's group should review 1968 and other campaign experience to prepare a formal recommendation for action for the Attorney General by August 31, 1971. (Memorandum attached at Tab I.) 9. Advertising Magruder's memorandum for the Attorney General (attached at Tab J) recommends that the Citizens form their own advertising agency in Washington. He cites 1968 experience with Fuller Smith as the reason against hiring an independent agency with a Citizens campaign group within it. Magruder argues that no independent agency could guarantee full time perfor- mance by the best people in all related fields. Disadvantages to the creation of a new ad agency such as the simple logistics of setting up a $20 million advertising agency are dismissed as being no different than what an independent agency would face. Assumptions based on the campaign spending legislation, 1968 experience, and fixed commission costs indicate that creation -5- of a new advertising agency would save $1,200,000. Magruder requests authority to form the new agency and recruit an advertising director and creative director for consideration by the Attorney General. Magruder concludes by recommending target advertising that should be pre tested in the primaries. 10. Farm Vote Plan Whitaker, as Chairman of the Farm Vote Task Force, submitted the most detailed, considered, solution-oriented proposal of any of the task forces. It is attached at Tab K. Whitaker's task force includes Bryce Harlow, Hyde Murray, Donald Brock (AA to Hardin), and Phil Campbell. Twenty-two recommendations for action are ready for decision by the Attorney General. Whitaker prepared a one page summary of the report which makes these points: a) Some non-political recommendations are being implemented now; b) positive and negative issues are identified with suggestions for effective utilization or response; c) poll information is needed and; d) better communication among Washington groups concerned about farmers is needed. 11. Planning Schedule for the Re-Election of the President Bill Horton, of Fred Malek's staff, prepared the planning schedule for Magruder to deliver to the Attorney General today. Copy 2 of 12 is attached at Tab L. In chart form, all of the major decisions to be made by the Campaign Director are superimposed on the 17 month political calendar. Tab A of the schedule is a summary of the 15 task force principal planning activities. Subsequent tabs detail each of the major planning task forces and decision points. Horton's analysis points out a severe weakness in the coordinated planning for the re-election of the President; that is, the lack of unified campaign - State of the Union - Budget approach aimed at November 7, 1972. 12. Brochure Magruder directed the RNC to prepare a brochure which could be used to send to people who write to the White House, the Citizens, or the RNC asking what they can do to help re-elect the President. All who write in receive acknowledgements and are catalogued by Anne Higgins, Rob Odle, and Ed DeBolt, respectively. (Attached at Tab M is memorandum describing the system.) -6- The Attorney General quickly reviewed the brochure but deferred to you for any comments. The brochure has not been "staffed" to Safire, Moore, etc., because of reluctance to put White House Staff in the position of second-guessing the Attorney General's campaign operation. If you feel this would not be a problem, the brochure will be staffed this week. (Mock-up attached at Tab N.) Recommendation: That the brochure be staffed to Chapin, Safire, Moore, and Klein for comment. Approve Disapprove Comment DETERMIT BE AN E.J. 6-102 By 2-23-82 CONFIDENTIAL June 23, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FROM: RITA HAUSER JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: THE PLACE OF WOMEN IN THE 1972 CAMPAIGN ORGANIZATION The purpose of this memorandum is to summarize recent changes in the attitudes of many women and to recommend an organizational structure for the 1972 campaign which will be responsive to current concerns about their status in society. Prior Voting Patterns Women made up about 53% of the voting age population in 1968, and nearly 52% of those who claimed they voted in that Presidential elec- tion. 1 They have supported Presidential candidates in the following manner in recent elections, according to Gallup: Percent of the Women's Vote Republican Democrat AIP 1960 51 49 - 1964 38 62 - 1968 43 45 12 (In 1968, the men supported President Nixon by a percentage margin of 43 - 41 - 16) Current Attitudes of Women A new social and political awareness has been developing among women, particularly in the last two years. Dr. Jean Spencer, Assistant to the Vice President, has summarized it well: lu. S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-20, No. 192, "Voting and Registration in the Election of November, 1968, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D. C., 1969. -2- If there is a single concept which can encompass and express the concern of women today it is freedom of choice. From this concept the other specific issues de- rive: a rebellion against the assumption that the "wo- man's role" is only that of wife, mother and housewife; efforts to open doors now closed to women who want to or must pursue other roles, either in addition to or instead of the traditional role of wife and mother; efforts to end discrimination in education, including college admis- sions, fellowships and scholarships, admission to grad- uate and professional schools; efforts to end discrimi- nation in employment, advancement, equal pay, overtime, maternity leave, day care; and efforts to end discrimi- nation in returning to college or to work after raising a family--the "reentry" problem for the middle aged woman is serious. A recent Harris Poll (Tab A) shows that about half of the women in America favor efforts to change the status of women in society. Be- cause this is a relatively new issue, it is likely that the trend of this support will increase as the concept becomes more widely publi- cized and efforts at implementation become more organized. The sup- port and opposition does not necessarily follow established voting patterns. For example, Black women and women under thirty, who gave a plurality to Humphrey in 1968, support it, as do college-educated women, who supported Nixon in 1968. Similarly, normally Republican categories such as White women and those over fifty do not support it, nor do women with eighth grade or less education, who tend to vote Democratic. Campaign Strategy This concern for more equal status is something which has become im- portant enough to influence the political loyalties of many women. We feel it would be a mistake if the 1972 campaign were conducted without an awareness of these new sensitivities. It was the unanimous feeling of those present at the first planning meeting for the women's vote in 1972 that there should not be a sep- arate women's division with a women's chairman as has been done- in the past. Women strongly desire to share responsibility side by side with men, rather than as a part of a women's auxiliary organization. There- fore, it was recommended that a woman be appointed at the level of Deputy Campaign Manager and that other women be given responsibilities within the functional staffs of the campaign organization, based on their experience and ability. From these positions, they would be -3- able to effectively coordinate activities to gain the women's vote and to supervise the organization of women volunteers. If you approve of this organizational plan, we are prepared to submit names of qualified women for your consideration. Approve Disapprove Comments 118 Recent efforts to change parall-43 the division amoug and Arengthen the status of the entire public On issues American women, such as such as the war in Victuam, women's liberation move- non-conformity among the ments, have deoply divided young, and racial progress women themselves. While for blacks. Now the issue of 42 per cent favor such women's rule in society has moves to equalize women been added to the list. In under to get at won'en's with men, 43 per cent stand attitudes in depti on the opposed. thrust of women's liberation The goals and principles and similar efforts, a series of the organizations seeking of six projective questions were put to the cross sec- actively to redress the sex tions: balance are much more pop- "Here are some state- ular, however, than the the- ments people have made ties of protest which have about activist women's been employed. A substan- groups. For each. please tell timl 58 per cent of all women me whether you tend to feel that "women who picket agree or disagree." In Harris and participate in protests nis- Not are setting a bad example Agree agree sure :o % :, for children." Nonetheless, a Leaders of women's or. are trying to counterbalancing 62 per term wanton into men and cent also feel that "If that was Work." 62 27 11 "if women con't speak women don't speak up for UP for themacives and themselves and confront control men on hair rent probiling nothing will 00 men on their real problems, 00.13 about them." 62 29 9 "Women who bleket and nothing will be done about perticipate in protects are these problems." saltion a you example for deam." 53 29 is A national cross seetion of Women are right to be unhicov with Incir rule 1,600 women were probed In in American expiry, Der depth about their attitudes WARED in MI Way may're productions" 57 32 il toward women and their "II's women who have nothing biller to do who problems. 3rd causing all the frou- "All in all, do you favor clo." 47 4) 13 THIS about time women or oppose most of the of profested the real injus- forts to strengthen and tices Medive faced for years." 47 40 change women's status in The results show a con. society?" Op- Not sistently close division be- Favor pose Sure tween basic support and op- Total Women 42 Do is position to the drive to BY Marital Status change women's status. The Single 53 a 11 Married -) 45 is opponents outnumber the Divorced, separdied 63 Widowed 33 42 2 supporters of women's ID, A but not by a large nor deci- Under 30 43 +1 00-42 - sive margin. 50 and over 07 45 17 By Education Taken as a whole, it 3th DATE or : 8 A would appear that the re- High School College 8 9 cont outpouring of demon- By Rode Write strations and protests have Black 62 * 1 statek a chord of pent-up Clearly, the overall close desiration among women division among women as a about the way they have whole inasks a much deeper dured in American life. But division omong different sizable numbers of women segments of the Commie pop- who are in sympathy with ulation. Most resistant to the objectives of the protest changing women's status are find is "undignified and un- older women. those with womanly" to take part in ac- less education, whites. and tivist domonstrations. The married women. Preseng for a substantial most for change are Other women's movement are women, the young, and the Chere, but at the moment Dost educated. the most effective rallying. This segmenting of CUY has yet to be discovered. women into coolitions for "change" and "NO change" 4/26/71 MEMORANDUM: "WOMEN'S L13" AS A POTENTIAL POLITICAL ISSUE Thomas W. Benitam OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION "Women's 11b" is an excellent example of how a highly vocal minority -- through astute use of the mass media -- can create the impression that it has a broad following. All of the survey evidence (by Gallup) in- dicates to the contrary. The following are the ratings of 'women's lib" by a nationwide sampling of college students using the Stapel Scalometer (a ten point rating scale). The "highly favorable" and "highly unfavorable" votes shown are the two extreme rankings on the ends of the scale. Notice that as many women have a negative view OF "women's lib" as have a favorable view. Surprisingly, 'women's lib" has more appeal to the students in the low income groups than it does for those from the higher income brackets. COLLEGE STUDENT RATINGS OF "WOMEN'S LIB" Highly Highly Favorable Unfavorable National 15% 23% Male 10% 23% Female 22% 23% 18 years and under 15% 23% 19 years 14% 26% 20 years 18% 22% 21 - 23 years 14% 18% 24 years and older 20% 14% East 17% 20% Midwest 15% 23% South 17% 24% West 8% 25% $15,000 and over 15% 23% $10,000 - $14,999 12% 14% $7,000 - $9,993 83 23% Under $7.000 212 162 --2 Here's how 'women's 11b" compares with other institutions and organiz- ations tested. FEMALE COLLEGE STUDENTS Highly Highly Favorable Unfavorable FBI 32% 13% Women's Lib 22% 23% Democratic party 19% 7% CIA 16% 19% Republican party 13% 15% SDS 6% 37% KKK 2% 80% Perhaps another surprising finding is that on questions on how women are treated in this country, male and female views are more alike than different. Following are views of the adult population 18 and over. Who gets the best break? "In your opinion, do women in the U.S. get as good a break as men?" Women Men Yes 65% 72% No 35 38 Who has the easier life? "Which do you think has the easier life in the U.S. today -- men or women?" Women Men Women 46% 49% Men 30 46 No opinion 24 5 Who has the happier life? "In general, how happy would you say you are -- very happy, fairly happy, or not happy?" Women Men Very happy 44% 42% Fairly happy 46 49 Not happy 7 6 Don't know 3 3 Women business managers? "Do you think women would run most businesses as well as men, or not?" Women Men Yes 55% 45% No 40 49 No opinion V. 6 Women in the executive suite? "If a woman has the same ability as a man, does she have as good a chance to become the executive of a company, or not?" Women Man Yes 39% 39% No 54 56 No opinion 7 5 Women in politics? However, women are more prejudiced against their sex as presidential material than are men, but have the same opinion on less affairs. "If your party nominated a woman for President, would you vote for her if she qualified for the job?" Women Men Yes 49% 58% No 44 35 No opinion 7 7 "If your party nominated a woman to run for Congress from your district, would you vote for her if she were qualified?" Women Men Yes 84% 83% No 13 13 No opinion 3 4 Among the public as a whole there has been little change in acceptance of a woman president over the years. Would vote for a qualified woman for President 1958 52% 1967 57% 1969 54% It seems clear from this it would be a good policy to steer clear of "women's lib" as a broad political issue. There does not seem to be any way to win. While the majority oppose militancy in favor of "women's lib", coming out politically against would raise a howl from a very loud and raucous minority. On the other hand, there does not seem to be justification for taking any favorable stand other than that which is consistent with civil rights legislation dealing with equal employment, equal pay, etc. The best political posture on 'women's lib" would seem to be strictly hands off. June 22, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR JEB MAGRUDER FROM KEN RIETZ SUBJECT Young Voters for Nixon As viewed by Senator Brock, the objective of the "Young Voters for Nixon" campaign is to "achieve the mobilization and coordination of more than 500,000 new workers for the President." Senator Brock and I have met and discussed this program at length. You and the Attorney General have read his initial proposal. He describes the philosophy behind the Nixon movement as follows: "The central fact of this circumstance is that the désire for participation and constructive activity overrides all other issues, both emotional and intellectual. It can be capitalized on to the advantage of not only the Republican party and its presidential nominee, but of the young people as well. "Thus it is my contention, and deeply rooted conviction, that if our campaign not only asks for their help, but also allows these individuals to become involved in a meaningful way, it can expect a remarkable response. Let me stress again one additional factor: for every young person in college, there are two of his contemporaries either gainfully employed in a civilian occupation, serving in the military, or acting as a housewife. Even if we accept the major college political charts indicating tendencies away from our nominee - - and I would not for one minute do so if we act now to correct the condition -- the remaining base of 16 million non-college new voters offers a political opportunity of incredible magnitude." We built a Brock youth movement in Tennessee because young people wanted to be involved and we gave them the opportunity. We can do the same thing in a Nixon youth movement. The purpose should not be to change their minds but to give them an organized avenue for expression and action. The emphasis should be on organizing the President's supporters among the nation's young people, getting them actively involved so the overall campaign takes on a young flavor, registering them, and getting them to the polls. 2 - Here are some of the conclusions we have drawn and the time table we have established. The title should be "Young Voters for Nixon". This says more than youth. It says vote, citizenship, activity, etc. Although they register little and vote less, young people are very proud of their new right to vote. They don't like to be called "youth", "young citizens", "young people", etc. Young voters is different. It shouldn't turn them off. Agree disagree Comment YVN should be separate but a part of the over-all re-election effort. Young people want their own thing and it should appear that they have it. This will be more true and have more effect at the state level than at the national level. Agree Disagree Comment While the program should include all similar Republican activities (Young Republican, College YR, New Generation for Nixon, etc.) it should have authority for the over-all thrust and policy of the Nixon youth movement. All other organizations should be folded into it. Most young voters will be attracted to a candidate not a political party. While the YR's can do a good job with younger Republicans, our job is to secure the support of a broad cross section of the young voters. Agree Disagree Comment - 3 - The program should include voters up to age 30. They all consider themselves young and will identify with the program. The emphasis, however, should be on "first voters." These are young people who have never voted for a Presidential candidate, are presently 16 to 22 and on election day will be 18 to 24. The Census Bureau says there are 25,125,000 such voters or 18% of the entire population eligible to vote. (see chart attached.) Agree Disagree Comment Senator Brock has organized selected members of Congress below the age of 40 into an ad hoc Young Voters for Nixon (YVN) advisory board to offer broad policy guidance for the National campaign among young voters. The board members are: Senator Brock Tennessee Congressman Bill Steiger -- Wisconsin Congressman Lujan -- New Mexico Congressman Frenzel -- Minnesota Congressman Archer -- Texas Congressman Frey -- Florida Senator Weicker Connecticut Congressman Pettis -- California Congressman Beister -- Pennsylvania Congressman Whitehurst -- Virginia Members of this board were selected on a regional basis. They will be asked to set up regional advisory boards which will be largely honorary but will give added emphasis to the program. Serving on these regional boards will be young State Legislators, State Governors, state officials, Mayors, City Councilmen, members of the Republican National Committee, etc. All of these people will be carefully selected and need not be all Republicans. An effort will be made, however, to include all Republican groups for better coordination. Agree Disagree Comment - 4 Senator Brock and the Advisory Board will appoint a limited staff prior to November, 1971. July 1, 1971 Director Special Assistant to the Director Secretary September 1, 1971 A second Special Assistant to the Director A second secretary Agree Disagree Comment After November, 1971, additional staff will be added including an administrative assistant to the Director, a field man in each region, a field man in key states, more secretarial help, etc. During this Phase I which will last until November of 1971, the staff will develop the basic outline of a national campaign and begin to develop preliminary state contact lists of Republican leaders, and through them, potential state youth leaders. Congressional interns will be utilized as much as possible to do the basic research necessary. It is expected that the Director will spend a good share of his time travelling in the later stages of this Phase. Phase I will also include the introduction of the "First Voters for Nixon" program. This will be the YVN's introductory stage -- a targeted registration drive among young voters. We suggest this program be introduced in the "must" states -- Indiana, Iowa, Virginia, Florida, Tennessee, California, Illinois, New Jersey, and Ohio. First voters would be the high visibility portion of YVN in the early stages and would involve appointing a national chairman, state chairmen, county chairmen, etc. It would allow YVN to be organized and active in an extremely necessary area and at the same time do a very important job. Agree Disagree Comment - 5 - Within the target states the First Voters program would be carefully directed at Republican areas within the state and potential Nixon voters. This will take a lot of research on the part of our Washington staff. We feel it will also be necessary to conduct public opinion surveys to find out more about the attitudes of the non-college young voter. Agree Disagree Comment Following the preliminary planning stage, a campaign plan will be presented and initial decisions asked for. A brief discussion however, of each of the next stages is presented here. Phase II would run from November through January, 1972, and would primarily be concerned with completion of the basic campaign plan and the employment and training of the remainder of the national and regional field staff required. Phase III contains those months of February, March and April, 1972, during which time the campaign would begin to move into its public role. By the end of April, full state and regional staffing should be completed. At this point we can begin the young voter education and identification drives. The school phase of this program would concentrate on identifying positive and possible Nxion supporters among high schools, vocational schools, junior college and colleges, concentrating first, of course, on the 21 target states. Simultaneous- ly the campaign among youth employed in the civilian work force and the military would proceed apace, with a drive to identify not only all potential Nixon supporters in this particular group, but to specifically enlist the young community leadership necessary to organize these groups and effectuate their voting strength. Also during this period we would be in position, having completed the identification program on a community basis, to conduct a registration drive to maximize the registration of those voters who would tend to favor our campaign. Phase IV would be concerned with a completion of our organiza- tional structure at both the state, county and community level in order - 6 - to be prepared to go into the fall campaign. During these summer months of May, June, and July the primary emphasis would be upon organizational structure and upon the completion of our voter identifi- cation and registration programs among the employed youth. We hope that maximum attention will be focused on young voters' support of the President through carefully planned events at the National Convention. Phase V is of course the climax effort to direct the total resources identified and organized up to this point toward the maximum vote turnout for President Nixon. By early October the education, identification and registration of all voting age youth should be completed as well as organization of these pro Nixon young people into campaign teams. During this time the direct mail program to both employed and college young people will reach its maximum, as will the organizational effort to direct the energies of this group towards constructive campaign activity which is coordinated with and compli- mentary to the National Republican campaign and the campaign as it is conducted on a state and local basis. The sum total of this effort is directed toward achieving a goal of 500,000 attractive, articulate, young workers for Nixon to be made available as a basic campaign team for the national campaign. They will not only work but receive attention and make President Nixon the young people's candidate. Suggested Program Objectives and Projects PURPOSE - Develop a national leadership team with the capacity to: 1) Train and lead regional state leaders. 2) Create a program which will excite and involve a significant portion of the 25,000,000 voters between 18 and 24. 3) Support and supplement the program of the national campaign. GOALS - Involvement through organization and challenge of: 1) YVN teams in every state. 2) YVN organizations among the working and military. 3) YVN organizations in every high school. 4) YVN organizations in every college. 5) 500,000 young workers for Nixon in support of the regular campaign. POTENTIAL PROJECTS: 1) National youth education drives. 2) National youth canvass. 3) National youth registration of pro-Nixon youth. 4) National youth voter turnout of pro-Nixon youth. 5) National hospital and nursing home registration of pro-Nixon aged (CARE program). 6) National absentee voter drive. 7) National bumper sticker, bill board, flyer campaign, etc. 8) National support program for the Nixon campaign in such areas as poll watchers, precinct workers, baby sitting, drivers, etc. 9) National "kinfolk" operation 10) National YVN newsletter Suggested Job Description Summaries - by Groups Employed Staff Planning Group - This group will begin work on the preliminary campaign design, begin contact with national, regional and state Republican and campaign leaders, develop lists of potential con- tacts by states, catalog information on all high schools, vocational schools, colleges, etc., form and staff the national advisory board, contact, employ and train regional staff. National Advisory Board - This group will oversee the entire campaign, approve budgets, approve major staff appointments, approve major campaign themes, and act in a continuing advisory role to assist the national program staff. National Staff - This group will conduct the national campaign, oversee and direct regional field activities, conduct fund raising when and where authorized by the National Nixon campaign, coordinate all activities with the National Nixon campaign manager, publish newsletter, design national youth campaign themes, etc. Regional Staff - Under the direction of the National Director, this group will supervise and coordinate the activities of state organization within each region, implement programs as requested by the national staff, train and supervise state leaders. State Staff - This group will have direct responsibility of implementation of the state youth program, coordination and cooperation with the state Nxion campaign, fund raising as authorized by the Nixon state campaign manager, organization of every high school, Vocational school, and the college in the state young voter canvass, young voter registration drives, young voter vote drive, and such other programs as they are asked to implement. ESTIMATES OF THE TOTAL RESIDENT POPULATION OF VOTING AGE NOVEMBER 1972 (Numbers in Thousands) Population of Estimated Total % of Total Voting Age of Eligible (18 yrs. & Over) New Voters to Vote United States 139,563 25,125 18 Alabama 2,291 440 19.53 Alaska 193 29 15.0 Arizona 1,227 232 18.9 Arkansas 1,318 230 17.5 California 14,237 2,580 18.1 Colorado 1,532 319 20.8 Connecticut 2,117 343 16.2 Delaware 372 68 18.3 Dist. of Columbia 543 111 20.5 Florida 5,088 773 13.2 Georgia 3,111 354 11.4 Hawaii 528 91 17.2 Idaho 467 90 19.3 Illinois 7,563 1,321 17.4 Indiana 3,487 662 18.9 Iowa 1,887 347 18.3 Kansas 1,539 304 19.8 Kentucky 2,177 254 11.7 Louisiana 2,356 497 21.1 Maine 662 122 18.4 Maryland 2,715 478 17.6 Massachusetts 3,947 725 18.4 Michigan 5,875 1,127 19.1 Minnesota 2,523 478 18.9 Mississippi 1,412 297 21.0 Missouri 3,222 569 17.7 Montana 452 84 18.6 Nebraska 1,002 191 19.1 Nevada 356 54 15.2 New Hamoshire 511 95 18.6 New Jersey 5,018 769 13.3 New Mexico 633 129 20.4 New York 12,714 2,101 16.5 North Carolina 3,493 750 21.5 North Dakota 398 83 20.9 Ohio 7,165 1,313 18.3 Oklahoma 1,791 325 18.1 Oregon 1,473 259 17.5 Pennsylvania 8,136 1,371 16.8 Rhode Island 671 135 20.1 South Carolina 1,715 391 22.7 South Dakota 430 88 20.4 Tennessee 2,710 511 18.8 Texas 7,589 1,490 19.6 Utah 674 154 22.8 Vermont 301 64 21.3 Virginia 3,232 645 19.9 Washington 2,381 460 19.2 West Virginia 1,175 217 18.3 Wisconsin 2,948 565 19.2 Wyoming 217 40 18.1 Puerto Rico June 17, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR: JEB MAGRUDER FROM: H.R. HALDEMAN It is my understanding that no effort is currently being conducted to register people in the 18 to 21 year old age bracket for the upcoming campaign. This is an error that I think should be corrected at once. We should be setting up and, indeed, launching our effort now to register all of our youths in the 18 to 21 year old age bracket - this means many people that are not on college campuses. Please get this decision reversed and our activity moving forward now. CC: The Attorney General June 23, 1971 CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL As you have requested enclosed is a program on new voter registration which was developed by Senator Brock, Ken Rietz, Bart Porter, and Bob Finch's office. If you approve of this approach we will begin implementing it. Approve Disapprove Comment JEB S. MAGRUDER Enclosure CONFIDENTIAL June 22, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR JEB MAGRUDER FROM KEN RIETZ SUBJECT New Voters Registration Lots of organizations are getting into the new voter registration field. These include COPE, Common Cause, Youth Citizenship Fund, etc. Most of the organizations are either controlled by Democrats or conduct drives on a mass basis which favors the Democrat Party. Initial indicators are that the Republican Party is being out registered among new voters by anywhere from 2-1 to 7-1. Several Republican organizations are presently active in the new voter registration field. They are: Young Republican National Federation First voter program. A new voter committee as part of the local YR Club conducts a program of identifying and registering new voters who lean toward the Republican Party. New voters drives are conducted in apartment houses and other multi-dwelling buildings where young working people live. To go with this program several items are available: 1) Apartment organization guide 2) A pamphlet with localized registration information 3) YR reward program which involves rewarding workers for registering a certain number of new voters. This program, termed "Your Responsibility" is targeted at eight states: Pennsylvania Connecticut Ohio Florida Indiana Kentucky Illinois North Carolina - 2 - College Republican National Committee Project Open Door. This program involves canvassing campus dormitories. New voters are asked to identify themselves by party and those stating an interest in the Republican Party are assisted in registering to vote. Republican Congressional Committee Young Voters for a Republican Congress Task Force. This program is only in the planning stages and it will be at least a month before the plan is complete. It will be directed at target Congressional districts. Conclusion: The above Republican programs are a fragmented part of overall party programs, and, as such, suffer from a lack of emphasis and look good on paper but have little impact in the field. In addition, they concentrate on new voters identified with the Republican Party. This fails to take into account the thousands of new voters who will support the President and not the Republican Party. Registration of Republican voters is not our objective, re- election of the President is. If a major effort is to be made to register new voters who will vote for the President in 1972, the Young Voters for Nixon Committee will have to undertake it. Following are the options: Option 1 Allow the programs to continue independently. This will give all the organizations involved something to do but the impact on the President's re-election campaign will be minimal. Option 2 Allow the programs to continue but increase their funding and give them added stature by including them in the over-all Citizens campaign. While this might increase the active interest and prestige of the program the impact would still be minimal due to the diffusion of effort, coordination, and control. Option 3 Create an over-all program within the Youth for Nixon campaign that included these efforts, as proposed by Senator Brock and his Congressional team. This seems the most logical and the most workable. 3 It would combine three programs which really are aimed in three different areas under one umbrella and allow maximum targeting. And, targeting is the key. There is too little known about the first voter to move rapidly. The one assumption we can make is that as the war winds down the preference for the President among young pcople will increase. His opponent in 1972, however, is a key factor that cannot be adequately analyzed at this stage. Without thorough planning and organization, however, too many registrants today may become opponents next year. One great advantage provided by a carefully planned registration drive, lies in its ability to use registration assistance as an identification and motivation tool in gaining Nixon support. We propose in the initial stages to confine our activity to the following states: Indiana, Iowa, Virginia, Florida, Tennessee, California, Illinois, New Jersey, and Ohio. Under the Young Voters for Nixon program we would create a "First Voters for Nixon" committee. While its main thrust would be in those states, we would not discourage the program in any other state, although it would be carefully controlled. In its initial stage (next 4 months), First Voters for Nixon (FVN) would receive publicity while the staff put the program together. A national chairman could be announced and state chairmen in the target states would be selected. The thrust would be "here are young people that support the President, have never-voted for a President before, want to vote for President Nixon, and want to help others who feel like they do to get registered." The emphasis would not be on changing minds but on organizing those who already support the President. While this is going on publicly a careful analysis will be conducted privately. This state by state analysis in the states mentioned will show us where the pockets of potential strength are. Through public opinion surveys we can find out what age groups, occupational groups, education levels, etc., are most likely to support the President in '72. A lot of careful planning is necessary and the registration drives would not begin until this winter. Let me repeat, we believe a mass registration drive in any given area works to the President's disadvantage. For maximum impact, and favorable results, a new voter registration drive must be carefully planned and carefully targeted. The First Voters program should be formed as part of Young Voters for Nixon campaign. As part of the working committee now it will utilize Senator Brock, his regional advisory committee, and the headquarters staff to register new voters in key states. The aim will - 4 - be to register voters inclined to vote for President Nixon in 1972. Agree Disagree Comment sweek WTAB4 April 28, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR : GORDON STRACHAN FROM : H. R. HALDEMAN In the long-range political planning be sure that they are thinking about the mock conventions on college and high school campuses and make sure that we are going to have a really good man in charge of our activities at mock conventions. We can't afford to lose these and it's very important that they be planned and programmed well in advance. We should know when they are going to be held. Some of them may even be starting this fall. This is a long range item, but I'll be sending a number of such to you as time goes on and I assume you'll set up a system for stacking them up and getting them implemented at the appropriate times. HRH:pm June 25, 1971 CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL Enclosed is a memorandum to me from Ken Rietz regarding mock elections. If you approve, we will begin implementing this program. Approve Disapprove Comment JEB S. MAGRUDER Enclosure CONFIDENTIAL June 22, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR JEB MAGRUDER FROM KEN RIETZ SUBJECT Mock Elections Mock elections can be a very valuable tool if handled properly. They help in the final stages of a campaign to provide momentum, to make it look like everyone is supporting the candidate. The keys are publicity and organization. Mock elections should be handled locally under the direction of the national organization -- Young Voters for Nixon. A lot of planning is necessary so an early start is essential. For maximum impact the elections in any one state should be scheduled with enough time between them to provide maximum press exposure. If the organization feels a particular mock election will be lost, it should be scheduled early so it can be followed by several victories. For the sake of credibility of the election series, it is not bad to lose one as long as it isn't the last one. All mock elections should take place in the six week period preceding the general election. Scheduling of each series should be handled state by state under the direction of YVN. With more than a year to organize, a mock election series would be beneficial -- if we out organize our opposition. This means training next year and actively organizing during the summer of '72. The key is turnout. If we organize to get our vote out, we can win most of the series. In 1970, Senator Brock's record in mock elections on Tennessee campuses was: won 15, tied 1, and lost 1. His campaign was organized, Gore's was not. Colleges where mock elections will be encouraged should be carefully selected. The college image or record in the past is not the only criteria. The potential for organization should be carefully weighed. All mock elections should be sponsored by an "independent" organization, if possible. The first choice for such an organization is a non-partisan group which should have a legitimate interest in a poll, such as student government, school newspaper, political science department, debate squad, etc. Second choice would be a non-partisan service group such as the Circle K Club, YMCA, a fraternity, etc. Third choice would be a bi-partisan poll sponsored jointly by Young Democrats and Young Republicans. Last choice, but still worthwhile, if all else fails, is a poll sponsored directly by Young Republicans. The voting must be entirely optional, and not, for instance, at a school assembly where everyone must vote. By being better organized than the opposition, we can deliver more votes to a booth than they can. We have more control this way. Mandatory voting means we have no control over who wins. The key to the success of this program is being better organized than the opposition. Thus an early canvass (telephone or door-to-door) of the entire student body to identify candidate support is essential. On election day, all precautions of a general election campaign should be taken -- poll watchers, telephone victory squads, literature squads, etc. If it looks like we'll win the election, advance public- ity is desirable. Care should be taken, however, to count our votes before election day and prevent an embarassing situation. As part of the overall Young Voters for Nixon program, a carefully planned series of mock elections on selected campuses would be a big asset. It should be included in the overall campaign plan for YVN. Agree Disagree Comment CONFIDENTIAL June 17, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FROM: JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: DELAWARE TEST As a first step in evaluating the proposed target voter strategy described in an earlier memo, the RNC is preparing to launch an extensive field test in Delaware. This memo is to describe the nature and purpose of the test to you, in advance of its inception. The Delaware test will demonstrate and test several target voter techniques under controlled conditions and with careful provisions for evaluation of effectiveness. The test will take place during the period June-September, 1971. The budgeted cost of approximately $40,000 will be borne by the RNC, which will also be responsible for overall management of the project through the direction of Ed DeBolt. The Citizens Committee and Mr. Haldeman's staff will participate in the planning and maintain close liaison with the field work as it progresses. The planned activities are designed to include the widest possible scope of coordinated research and target voter techniques: Past Voting Behavior. By the end of June, a statewide, precinct-by-precinct vote profile analysis will be completed, using election data over the past ten years. The geographic location of hard-core Republicans, Democrats, and swing voters will be determined and displayed on maps. Socio-Economic Data. The Census Bureau will produce the 1970 Fourth Count (demographic) data for Delaware in June, well ahead of the scheduled publi- cation date for the remaining states. The RNC will combine that data with the vote profile analysis to further describe the various voting groups. Public Opinion Surveys. Market Opinion Research (MOR) has taken quarterly polls in Delaware for the past ten years. The most recent poll will be com- pleted in a week or two. All of that opinion data will be made available to the RNC, to describe the attitudes of the various voting groups. Selection of Test Precincts. On the basis of the foregoing data, selection will be made of five weathervane precincts (typical of the voting patterns of the entire state), thirty test precincts (embodying a variety of specific voter groups) and thirty control precincts (closely similar to each of the test precincts). An in-depth canvass will commence in all 65 precincts on July 8. Approximately one hundred interviews will be carried out in each one (25% of total voting population). This will be done to obtain specific, detailed data on opinions on issues and the image of the President and how -2- the voter can best be informed. College students will be hired to carry out the interviews, under the supervision and training of Bob Teeter of MOR. Target Voter Communications. Beginning on July 20, various programs of direct voter communication will be initiated in each of the thirty test precincts. The earlier precinct canvass will offer some guidance as to which types of media might be most appropriate in given areas, and which issues should be emphasized. The techniques will include direct mail, telephone banks, door-to-door personal visits, printed flyers, etc. Where- ever possible, we will allow competent vendors to operate in separate pre- cincts to demonstrate their capabilities. The purpose of the communication will be to change voter attitudes toward Administration programs and accomp- lishments and to improve the support for the President. Evaluation. In September, all precincts will be re-canvassed to assess the impact of the campaign tests. The control precincts will serve to offset attitude changes that occur independently of the test activity. The survey sample will once again be 100 persons in each precinct: 50 from the original sample, and 50 new ones. The results and the final report on the test will be completed before final plans are submitted for the 1972 campaign at the end of October. June 16, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FROM: JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: RESEARCH The purpose of this memorandum is to outline the general direction of our current thinking on strategy for the 1972 campaign, for your information and comment. We are at the point in our planning process where a broad strategy should be agreed upon so that the specific plans can be initiated. Target States The national campaign can effectively be considered as 50 state campaigns, since electoral votes are determined in that manner, and since the field organization can best be coordinated on a state-by-state basis. Obviously, there are certain states that we are unlikely to win, and the investment of substantial resources there would not be productive. On the other hand, there are several states which we virtually must win at all costs and where we must put up the stiffest possible contest. These are the target states. A listing of these states, based on latest considerations of electoral size and probability of winning is given in Tab A. The top nine target states comprise 173 of the 270 electoral votes required for election. Most of the target states can swing either way in a Presidential contest. In a close election, every vote would be of paramount importance in each state. Target Voters The 1972 election will be different from 1968 in at least two respects. The President is running on his record, rather than proposed actions on issues, and his image is well-known to the voters through extensive modia coverage during his first term. Therefore, a campaign appearance of the President on television would not be expected to have the same impact it did in 1968. The voters have probably already made up their minds on whether to support or oppose the image they receive from television. In some recent state elections, there has been evidence that certain tech- niques of direct, targeted, "rifle-shot" communications to voters can sub- stantially augment a candidate's mass media image. These techniques use past voting data, socio-economic data and public opinion surveys to locate and identify the target voters: those voters who might vote either way, but who could be convinced to vote for one candidate if approached speci- fically on a certain issue. Highly refined techniques of telephone can- vassing and targeted direct mail have proven to be very effective in influ- encing these voters. The general public is not accustomed to being involved -2- in the campaign process. A telephone call to discuss a particular concern, or a personalized, computer-typed letter discussing the candidate's stand on an issue important to them, brings a very positive reaction when done well. The response also allows a systematic identification of friendly voters to be contacted on election day. There are several recent success stories which speak well for these target voter techniques. In California in 1970, Reagan concentrated such a program on ethnic precincts of San Francisco County. His vote percentage increased in that very liberal area, whereas it decreased almost everywhere else in California as compared to 1966. (Tab B) In New York, Rockefeller used a highly effective telephone canvassing technique to win 21 out of 29 target assembly districts in New York City, which ranged from 2-1 to 5-1 Democratic registration and where he was trailing by a substantial margin several months prior to the election. Extensive use was made of polls which identified the target, or pivotal voters. (Tab C) In Minnesota in 1970, Humphrey refined the process to a high degree. It was widely acknowledged that much of the success of DFL candidates that year was due to their focus on identifying and communicating with the target voter. (Tab D) In New Mexico, Anderson Carter, a relatively unknown rancher and oilman, de- feated the heavily-favored incumbent Governor David Cargo for the Republican Senatorial nomination. The substantial shift in voter preference during the primary campaign was largely attributed to Carter's emphasis on a professional managed direct mail campaign. The letters were produced by computer, addresse to specific individuals, and contained a message on an issue which was known to be of interest to the recipient. Cargo's mail, on the other hand, was of a very general, mass distribution type. Recommendation We propose that the planning for 1972 should emphasize rifle-shot communica- tion with target voters in target states to augment the mass-media campaign. This will involve substantial preparation in utilizing public opinion surveys, census data and past voting data to identify the target voters and key issues, and in applying advanced telephone canvassing techniques and promotional di- rect mail to influence and deliver votes. Much of the development will be done in cooperation with the Research Division of the RNC, which has been pur- suing similar ideas over the past several months. During the planning stage, specific proposals would be made to demonstrate and test each concept well before final decisions had to be made for the campaign. Proceed with detailed development of the target voter strategy to augment the mass media and field operations planning. Tab A June 17, 1971 The following target states are the result of analysis of current statistical, socio-economic and survey data. The electoral vote totals of each section are noted and followed by a brief description of the reasons for their selections. MUST STATES - 173 electoral votes The Must states are defined as areas that statistically and histori- cally support Nixon/Republican nominees. It appears that without all these states in our column, Nixon has little or no chance of being re- elected. Ohio and California, for instance, have never failed to be in the winning column if a Republican was victorious. The reasoning behind the statement, "If Nixon doesn't carry all of the Must States, he won't be elected President," is that if one of these states is not carried, there is little chance of finding a second or third priority state which would make up this loss more easily. Iowa is included because it is a vital media center for all of the midwest farm belt. SECOND PRIORITY MUST STATES - 158 electoral votes The Second Priority Must states represent those states that statisti- cally have less chance of moving over to Nixon, but, none the less, are within striking distance. These states represent the next best opportuni- ties in the large electoral category. It is necessary that some of these be moved into the win column for Nixon. Connecticut is included because of recent favorable election trends and because of advantageous media over- lap with the New York-New Jersey-Pennsylvania area. THIRD PRIORITY MUST STATES - 64 electoral votes Third Priority Must states represent those areas that statistically Nixon can win. These are areas with smaller electoral vote totals, but about the same odds, as the Second Priority Must states. Nixon must win some of these. PLUS STATES - 44 electoral votes The Plus states are defined as those areas that traditionally support the Republican Party and Nixon. In 1972, given a favorable national atmos- phere towards the President, we should do well in these states. They are also states that tend to be more single issue oriented. For example, if farmers are feeling fairly comfortable about Nixon and the agriculture pol- icy of the Administration, the chances are that these areas will be in our column. If, on the other hand, the attitude toward Nixon and the agriculture policy is negative, there is very little that could outweigh this attitude. The method of arriving at these target states included a ten year analysis of Presidential elections, an analysis of 1966, 1968 and 1970 Congressional, Senatorial, and Gubernatorial races, an analysis of polling trends of var- ious regions in the country and state polls where available, RNC state issue files of the past year to see if there have been any major trends or shifts June 16, 1971 MUST 2nd PRIORITY MUST 13 Indiana 26 Texas 8 Iowa 12 Missouri 12 Virginia 10 Maryland 17 Florida 13 North Carolina 10 Tennessee 27 Pennsylvania 45 California 41 New York 26 Illinois 11 Wisconsin 17 New Jersey 8 Connecticut 25 Ohio 10 Minnesota 173 158 3rd PRIORITY MUST PLUS 8 South Carolina 5 Nebraska 9 Washington 4 Idaho 4 New Mexico 6 Arizona 3 Vermont 3 Wyoming 4 Montana ? Kansas 3 Nevada 4 Utah 7 Colorado 3 North Dakota 4 New Hampshire 8 Oklahoma 6 Oregon 4 South Dakota 9 Kentucky 44 3 Delaware 4 Maine in public opinion that have been evidenced in newspapers or other publi- cations, as well as the reports of the RNC field staff. It should be reiterated that this is the status of state priority selection as of June 15. This is not meant to be definitive, but only a device to serve the needs of those who must make early resource allo- cations on behalf of the effort to re-elect the President. Tab B Comments by Vincent P. Barabba, Chairman of the Board, DMI on Reagan campaign NOW TO AN INTERESTING QUESTION. DID THE GOVERNOR HAVE AN ALTERNATIVE TO MASS MEDIA? IN 1966 RONALD REAGAN DEFEATED GOVERNOR PAT BROWN 57.6% TO 42.3%. IN 1970 GOVERNOR REAGAN DEFEATED JESS UNRUH 52.8% TO 45.1%. IN 1970 GOVERNOR REAGAN DROPPED FROM HIS 1966 VICTORY MARGIN IN ALMOST EVERY COUNTY. POST ELECTION STUDIES (AND MOST OF CALIFORNIA'S EXPERIENCED CAMPAIGN WATCHERS) ATTRIBUTE A GREAT PORTION OF THIS DROP IN SUPPORT TO THE SEVERE AERO- SPACE AND DEFENSE INDUSTRY UNEMPLOYMENT THROUGHOUT CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER, SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY STANDS OUT AS AN EXCEPTION. IN 1970 GOVERNOR REAGAN ACTUALLY INCREASED HIS PERCENTAGE OF THE VOTE FROM 41.1% TO 43.48, WHILE THE AVERAGE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE VOTE IN SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY WAS DROPPING FROM 32.48 IN 1965 TO 29.2% IN 1970. THE GOVERNOR'S INCREASE CAN BE EXPLAINED PARTIALLY BY A SPECIAL PRECINCT INDEX PRIORITY PROJECT THAT WAS UNDERTAKEN BY THE LOCAL REAGAN FORCES IN THE AREA. THE GROUP IDENTIFIED THE IRISH, ITALIAN AND CHINESE PRECINCTS FIRST. THEN, THEY UTILIZED A SERIES OF VOTE STATISTICS FOR PREVIOUS ELECTIONS TO IDENTIFY THOSE ETHNIC PRECINCTS WHICH HAD, IN THE PAST, INDICATED A PROPENSITY TO EITHER: VOTE FOR SOMETHING THE GOVERNOR SUPPORTED; OR, VOTE AGAINST SOMETHING THE GOVERNOR OPPOSED. THE REAGAN GROUP THEN CONCENTRATED THEIR MESSAGES ON ALL OF THE NON-REPUBLICANS IN THE SELECTED PRIORITY PRECINCTS. THEY SENT TWO SPECIAL MESSAGES. ONE WAS A TABLOID THAT HAD BEEN USED THROUGHOUT CALIFORNIA. THE SECOND PIECE CONTAINED A LETTER SIGNED BY LOCAL DEMOCRATS SUPPORTING GOVERNOR REAGAN. THE RESULTS SPEAK FOR THEMSELVES: IN THE NON-PRIORITY PRECINCTS IN THE PRIORITY PRECINCTS GOVERNOR REAGAN 35.3% 50.3% AVERAGE REPUBLICAN VOTE 25.4% 32.0% REAGAN OVER AVERAGE REPUBLICAN VOTE 9.9% 17.3% THE TOTAL COST OF THE PROJECT (WHICH SENT OUT TWO BULK MAILINGS TO 85,000 DEMOCRAT. HOUSEHOLDS CONTAINING 100,000 DEMOCRAT VOTERS) WAS APPROXIMATELY $12,000.00. THAT'S A COST OF ABOUT 12c FOR THE TWO MESSAGES TO EACH VOTER -- OR ABOUT 6c FOR EACH MESSAGE. 7745 C. The Marketing of Nelson Rockefeller By Fred Powledge "There was his incredibly competent staff, all that money, and the willingness to engage in a little deception here and there." There are some who would have you not exercised on the basis of the voli- believe that Nelson Rockefeller got him- tion of the voters-be it by economic self re-elected to office because he swang threats, be it by the gun, or be it by to the right. It's a satisfying thought for psychological techniques used to de- both the paranoids on the left and the prive the voter of his free choice. self-pitying folk on the right. For the "I say it comes down to the same lefties, it confirms their suspicions that thing. And that it will very quickly un- Rocky was an opportunistic closet fas- dermine the free election system. Nel- cist all the time; the rightists may revel son Rockefeller is not a menace in and in the belief that they've finally accu- of himself, but his techniques are a mulated enough megavotes to bring the grave threat." governor--a Rockefeller, no less- crawling for support. Polls, as everyone knows, are essen- Unfortunately, like most things. it tial to a successful political campaign. isn't all that simple. Nelson Rockefel- You do not hear a great deal about ler was returned to office with a 716,- Rockefeller's polls, just as you do not 061 plurality not because he swung to hear much about the internal work- the right, but because he clung to the ings of his political life. because almost center. (It is, perhaps. of passing his- everybody who works for him has been torical interést that the "center" this there a good long time, since he first year may very well have been the became governor a dozen years ago, "right" of a few years ago.) More im- and they all know the job is to win portantly. Rockefeller was re-elected elections. not talk about it. Lloyd Free, because he had the sense to determine the governor's consultant on polls, has what the center was and then 10 aim been a friend of Rockefeller's for 50 his campaign toward it. utilizing the years. Political writers seem to equate most advanced hard- and software a quiet polling operation. such as Rock- available, and utilizing it on a scale un- efeller's, with an extremely smooth and precedented in a state campaign. excellent one, and in this case they That determination of what the cen- were right.* ter was, which Rockefeller made last The Rockefeller people also knew May when his first campaign poll came how to not let the polls get the better in, had a lot to do with his viettry but of them. The candidate himself spoke. it would have been just another poll during the campaign. of his dependence. without a few factors: The abysmally not on all the technological gimmicks poor quality. as a candidate. of his ntd- of campaigning. but On his "intuitive jor opponent. Arthur Goldbend: the creative thinking." Polls are nice for built-in advantage of simply being gov- finding out what worries people: they ernor in the first place; 2 mee unical are "guides on the emphasis that is operation that must have been one of placed on the solution of problems.' the smoothest in history: the incredible mate and quite likely the only truly in- Rockefeller said one afternoon 07 J loyalty and compatence of his staff: all teresting candidate in the whole cam. that money, and a willingness to en. paign. commented on this shortly be. *Shortly after the voting michines close: gage in a little deception here and there. fore election day. "We used 10 talk on November 5. as the Recks/aller Curiously enough. Nalson Reckefel- about the benane republics and how was assembling at brother ler revealed very little of himself in the they held elections." he said. "and we dinner, Free was asked what the e: campaign. 1t was almost all mechanical would be. world with 55 talked about economic reprisols and -and, said some of his crities, the me- of the VOIDS he said Services threats. What does Rockefeller have. C: the TV set: City at phone grand chanics sometimes bordered on sub- 10 do with this? say the desired prod- leard : Recketeller 279 55 our liminal advertising. uct is the thing we leok 21. and the PAP of the vote. The detaily C:." Basil Paterson, Goldberg's running pose sought is is get a vote which is in with 52.4 per com. NEW YORK 'One of the big fears was that supporters would not vote, con- fident that Rocky would win but eager to watch a rich man sweat. " flight back 10 the city after an upstate A picture was emerging that would in charge of the New York City cpeΓa- swing. His campaign director, R. Bur- be valuable to any condidate. especially tion. His task was not so much to make dell Bixby, a lawyer on leave from his one who was in apscapably joined 10 the sure the Republicans got to the pells as $25,000-a-year patronage job as head of previous twelve years. The was it was to make converts out of Demo- the New York State Thruway Author- sutilciently encouraging to justify a crats and independents. Perrotts set ity, agreed. Even a governor who reads campaizn slogon that did not try to about getting endorsements rer Rocke- the newspapers and watches TV. Bixby repudiate the record: Recketeiler. He's feller from prominent Democrats. He said, cannot know what bothers the done a let. Hill do more. picked 29 key city assembly discricts people the most: "The polls tell us bet- But the May poll showed something where the registration was anywhere ter than our instincts what it is the peo- else that was extremely helpful in guid- from 2-10-1 to 5-10-1 Democratic and ple are concerned about." he said. ing the strategists to the right voters. It he unleashed a roomiul of telephone Neither Bixby nor the governor nor picked out those who. at that point, caliers on them. any other cam: sign officials who were thought of themselves as supporters of The poll also identified those in the questioned seemed to have given much Rockefeller, a group that made up only center-not just the usual "undecided," thought to the notion that. theoretically 54 per cent of the total. and it told the but the 22 Der cent who were. in the at least, you shouldn't need polls 10 find strategists something about them: 96 eyes of the Rockefeller people the Piv. out what people were thinking The per cent of them were white: 26 per otals." Free devised a ladder-Wke sticir civics books say that's what legislatures cent were 60 or over and only 15 per on which these polled rated the candi- are for. But polls were used, and used cent were in the 21-to-29 age group; 41 dates. It a respondent placed Recketeller well, and used early and often. al- per cent were Protestants, 46 per cent a: or near the ton of the ladder. in Pc though newspaper assertions that they were Catholic, and S per cent were Jew. sition 10. there was no problem. If he were "almost continuous" were exag. ish: 25 per cent were Democrats, 59 per was on the bottom. at 1. the voter (and gerated. Free completed his first major cent were Republicans. and 13 per cent those like him. whom he supposedly poll in early May. It measured the vot- were independents: only a third of them represented in the scientific survey) ers' attitudes on practically everything: lived in New York City, while 25 per was not worth pursuing. But it 2 re what they said they were concerned cent lived in the city suburban coun- spendent rated Rockefeller at 5 or high- about; their feelings on taxes. abortion ties and 44 per cent lived upstate. er. and elsewhere in the poll did no: ex- reform, spending for education. health Joseph H. Boyd Jr., whose title is press himsel! as "for" Rocketcher, then and welfare; President Nixon; no-fault special assistant to the governor, a 52- he was considered a Pivotal Fair came. automobile insurance. year-o!d man with wavy blond hair The capture of the Pivotals was 05- Although the Democrats had not yet who looks like a well-educated tent sential if Rockefeller was to be re-elect- picked Arthur Goldberg as their candi- preacher without the attendant vices, ed, his strategists reasoned. Re-election, date, the governor's people felt Gold- went on leave in June to direct the me- back then in May, was not at all 2 sure berg was the likely opponent. SO much chanics of the campaign outside New thing: in fact. a question on the pell re- of the May po!l was devoted to com- York City. One of his big jobs was to vealed that the incumbent was 11 per- parisons of the two men. What did they make sure that the 34 per cent remained centage points behind Goldberg. think Goldberg's image was? Rockefel- supporters of the governor. Boyd's big- A quarter of the Pivorals were 60 ler's? How much trust and confidence gest fear. as the compaign progressed years old or older. About a third of did they have in the two men? Did they and as a Rockefeller victory seemed them had college educations. and 43 feel that Geldherg didn't know much more and more likely, was that the sup- per cent had finished high school. Their about state government? That Rocke- porters either would not vote, out of income levels spanned several catego- feller had been in too long and was apathy and a conviction that Rockefel- ries. but the largest group was in the tired? "The idea." said Free after the ler was going 10 win anyway, or that $10,000-and-over class. Thirty- per election, "was to get a basic pattern in they would vote for Conservative Paul cent were professional or business peo. terms of images, trust and confidence. Adams. confident that Rocky would ple: 2S per cent were manual laborers. strengths and weaknesses, of the two win but enger to watch a rich man A third were Protestants, a third were guys all the way through." sweat. Catholics, and 27 per cent were Jewish. Enrol The sample responded: plenty were The poll also picked out those who Helf of the Pivotals lived in New York angry with considered themselves of City, and they had lower incomes and he had VOTOR been in job Reckefeller-4 per cent of the sample less education and were more likely to enough. Ninety per cent ot them be manual laborers than were the Piv- CITITUDE for trying out 10 be white: only 19 for otals upstate. The differences between in it." 5 cent were 60 years of age or older: 25 the city Pivotals and the country Piv- bers. and cor cent were Protestants. 49 per cent otals. said an aide. was "a constant POLL out in Catholies. and 17 per cent Jewish: 52 problem. A large majority of the gov. Roc per cent were Democrats. 19 per cent ernor's supporters were outside the city. they thou Republicans. and 20 per cent indepen- and half of the Pivotals. on the other accomnt dents. Not surprisingly. 45 per cent of hand. were in the city, So there was 3 the opponents lived in New York City, constant problem of how 10 hand's it care and while 17 per cent lived in the suburbs. so he didn't alienate those outside the in that and 53 per cont in the 7030 of upstate. city in order to EO after those who were which the Floravante G. Perfection former New inside." they York City Finance Administrator and Rockefeller did his best. though. and unsuppossful condidate for City Con- in the process he maintained his hold such 25 troller on the induay ticket. was placed on the center. For example: One dry in DESCRIPTION IF 40 NEW YORK CREENENTS " Committees carried the word to 31 differ- early October, the candidate spoke at 2 coffee-and-Danish reception at a coun- try club in Syracuse: nicely-dressed la- ent white ethnic groups that Rocky cared." dies and gentlemen, almost all of them white, smiling at the candidate, the can- were known) and the Friends of the lion; the best bet seemed to be around didate not only smiling back but going Rockefeller Team (as the thousands of $12 or $15 million.) The compaign through his entire, and somewhat spas- volunteers and semi-pros were called) headquarters, an entire floor and then tic, bit-winking, raising that eyebrow and such groups as the Associates of some at 575 Madison Avenue, had been halfway off his head, winking some the Rockefeller Team (who were, ac- rented back in February. The floor had more. The governor told all these nice cording to the governor's ethnic-group previously been inhabited by the Wells, white folks that what we really needed specialist, the "so-called Jewish opera- Rich, Greene advertising agency. and it was some radicalism. Well, modified tion") could not just sit and wait for was fitting that compaign director Bix- radicalism. the polls to come in. The record had to by, a rather dry and streight man who "The great challenge of the future," be defined and defended. and the cam- nevertheless speaks of the "wholesale" he said, was whether we are "willing to paign machinery had to be tuned up. and "retail" aspects of running 2 candi- make the adjustments in our institu- "The first phase of the campaign was date. was to be ensconced in the office tions, and radical adjustments, to meet to be governor," said Alton Marshall, that once had belonged to Mary Wells. the problems of the day-to make our by which he meant Rockefeller "was The printing presses were turning. society today, and its institutions. rele- active in gubernatorial projects," by and by the end of the campaign they vant to the needs of the people." And which he meant Rockefeller sudden- would have poured out something like then: "Government has got to be able ly started letting contracts for bridges, 50 million pieces of printed matter, a!- to adapt itself to new conditions if we highways. and other nice things. Rocke. most all of it with the reminder that the want to deal with these problems effec- feller also presided at a number of en- candidate had done a lot but was never- tively. And if we don't, then I don't vironmental forums and antidrug fo- theless capable of doing more. There think our system is going to survive." rums, meetings throughout the state at was a 42-page discussion of everything He sounded like those earnest young which citizens. largely irate ones. could from education to agriculture: hand- Students for a Democratic Seciety of actually complain to the governor him- some little brochures on what the govt about five years ago. But all he offered self. The governor was "identifying ernor had done for the Lower Hudson his audience by way of radical adjust- with good things that were happening Valley Area. the Ningora Frontler. the ments were the traditional solutions of in state government." said Marshall. Capital District, and the Central New the right (and maybe, now, of the cen- "During this period. in the spring. it York-Mohawk Valley Area (but not ter) More policemen, special courts to was Governor, not Candidate, Rocke- the New York City Area). handle narcotics crimes, more judges, feiler." Folders were printed detailing what more prisons. By late June, Candidate, not Gover- Rockefeller had done for and about the A Rockefeller aide, looking back on nor, Rockefeller had spent more than aging. the arts, businessmen, education. it all, said, "I think he pursued the cen- half a million dollars. even though he environment, health. higher education, trist course. And it did the trick." Free had no primary challenge and even labor. the mentally ill and retarded, and conducted two other major polls-one though his Democratic opponent was recreation. Campaign workers in each in early August and 0:.0 in mid-Septem- only then being selected. (Because of of eleven regions obtained lists of famil- ber-and three smaller, "trial heat" loopholes in the election law. it would lies with special interests and delivered polls to indicate the candidate's stand- never be known how much he really the literature to them. (For instance. a ing against Goldberg. And throughout had spent by the end of the campaign. friendly Republican on a county mental the summer, the basic patterns stayed Rockefeller people were projecting health organization might get 2 list or pretty much the same. The Pivotals something like $5 or ST million: anti- its members: each would get copies of shifted more and more to Rockefeller. Rockefeller people were saying $20 mil- "Reckefeller: He's Done a Lot. Hell undoubtedly because Rockefeller was Do More for the MENTALLY ILL." Spe- shifting more and more to the Pivotnis. Perhaps the finest piece of shifting-- *It was traditional. one was assured. that cial mailings were sent to every group and one on which the intriguing details the governor's secretary, his press officer. for which a list could be obtained or and his counsel stay on the state payroll manufactured: there were Travel are missing-consisted of Rockefeller's during a campaign for re-election. Many Agents for Rockefeller: Chiropracters aligning himself with the Conservative others among the 380 permanent compaign for Rockefeller (who were reminded Senatorial candidate, James Buckley, workers were normally 0.1 the state payroll that the governor had signed a law rec- without actually disewning his own but took leaves of absence 10 work on the ognizing the profession and enlorging party's offering. Charles Goodell. campaign. This raises several intriguing "the right and opportunity of the pact And finally. on election day, when questions: if those workers are as efficient ple of this State to consult a licensed all the shifting was over, the Pivotals and competent is they appear during a and the ones who were for the gover- compaign (cnd after one. :00: on: Novem- and appropriate health practitioner of our 4. they were writing thank-you notes). their own choice"). There were Os.:- nor anyway went to the polls and elected him. how come the state machinery is not cm- opethic Physicians for the Reckefeller cient and compatent three and one-half Wilson Team. Nurses for Rockefeller. "We had ours," said Alton Marshall. years 0:11 of every 'our? If they AND been and the Veterans Committee for the the head of the compaign's "substantive working jor the state last summer. return Rockefeller-Wilson Team. group" and not on leave from his $40.- thes the conditions. would ? person apply- There was. of course. labor for Reck 075-a-year post as secretary 10 the gov. ing ;cr a driver's license in Brooklyn in cieller. or l'affaire Klanzsha Lake (s=: ernor, "and the other side had theirs. June have general it sconer than Septems New York. October 12. 1970 during and in the addition was a big gold-field. burn Are the Managers being denrived oi which Rockefeller receiv the endorse We had to go out and mine it." these monters' relents 10 per cent of the time? If S.D. is this dentination mere thes ment of what some termed the majorit The mining was hard work. of course. made for by the saving 04 the workers' of these present 10 the state AFL-212 address? Should the saving numbe be com convention. and after which it The Rockefeller Team 125 all these pros on a permit 6.1.3? mon for news stories is siniply say 07 on or not on leave from their state jobs " By September, the timetable had him down as 'all candidate.' The TV commercials shifted to head and shoulders shots " he had "the backing of organized labor senior citizens who frequented a certain won; now we're going to make you do in New York State." The governor had means of transportation." the things you ought to do. You're free been courting the building trades for Massolo grinned impishly. He didn't of the political imperatives now." years, and he frequently and proudly want to give away the secret. "They In August, Reckefeller become hat reported, after the convention, that he ride in a certain way," he said. "Let's his aides called a "combination gover- had the endorsement of "$5 unions say 2 bus company. And they get a spo- nor and candidate," and the combina- with membership of over 1.3 million." cial rate. And there was a list of people tion meshed so well it was often diffi- How the governor arrived at that figure who do that. Well, that means that cult to determine which one he was. is not exactly clear.* these are active senior citizens. They're The television and radio campaign The ethnic campaign was begun. still moving around; they can vote; started-50 separate TV ads and 15 Thirty-one different white ethnic groups they can get to the polls. So therefore radio messages. Phase One was known were identified and committees were you send them a message. We sent to the staff as The Record, which was formed to get the word to each of them them one of the booklets about the "designed to show what this man's rec- that Governor Rockefeller cared. The aging." ord is, how he had been innovative; pitch to the ethnics was straight down One ethnic group that was not dis. that he cared; that he was interested in the center: Drug addiction, crime in the cussed very much was the black New the problems that the people were in- streets, and education, both public and Yorker. If you asked a Team member terested in," according to Marshall private. Some additional efforts were about this, the reply was usually some Some of the ads were so innovative aimed at ethnic groups which the cani- thing like "Oh, I think Jackie Robin- themselves that-Goldburg led them paign staff believed had "special inter- son's taking care of that." Some pri- "grossly misleading." Actual they ests." For the Germans, the press re- vately acknowledged that there was lit- were probably no worse than the ever- leases and advertisements emphasized, the sense in going after blacks since Basil age TV commercial. They were, how- in addition to the crim:e-dopo-schools Paterson was on the opposite ticket. ever, noticeably devoid of recognizably issues, Rockefeller's interest in recre- There was, however some support of black actors. except for one in which a ation and parks because, as a staffer a more subtle nature for Rockefeller block nurse brought a soft. pinkish new- put it, "the Germans are very athletic from the black community. Arthur Lo- born baby to a soft. pinkish white lady. and enjoy the doors." gan, a surgeon well respected both up- By September, Rockefeller's timetable One group for which mailing lists town and downtown in New York City, had him down as "all condidate." The were difficult to find-but which were became one of several prominent black TV commercials shifted from little essential, according to the profile of the Democrats to support the governor. Vic- scenes of people doing great things. Pivotals that had been developed in tor Gotbaum, the anti-Rockefeller la- courtesy Nelson Rockefeller. to straight- May-where the oldsters. "Senior Citi- bor leader, said if there was one thing on. head-and-shoulders shots of the can- zens was an unusual thing," said Arthur that really got him visceral. it was the didate. talking about what he had done. Massolo, on leave as the governor's 25- specter of people like Dr. Logan sup- At about this time. Fioravance Perrotts sistant appointments officer to run the porting the governor. "And I know was making telephone ethnic and special-group show, "but why he's supporting him," Gotbaum $ Demberat-held somebody had a list-I wouldn't want said. the city: it was said. DV semeone the to embarrass the company--a list of Why? operation. that there were about SIN "He's getting the promise of a hospi- former workers. male and o: *Victor Gorbaum, executive director 01 tal," said Gorbaum. "He's been looking the late Robert Kennedy in District 37, State. County, and Municipal for a community hospital. and Pm sure chone boiler-room at 575 Madison Employees. and a supporter oi Goldberg. he's gotten a promise." He thought a their identities were kent sucret. said there was considerable application of montent. "Well." be added. "I guess it's Joe Boyd was negvily un the Rockefeller New Math and a general counting 01 people twice. In 01:0 of Rocke- legitimate." state campaign work. feller's 0.0% press releases. the candidate Dr. Logan. asked about his support, held using :0 expressed his pleasure C: receiving the sup- said he was for Rockefeller because he incred voters and ask port of 50,000 members of the Internation- seemed like the better candidate. There blonned is vote. Same or to al Union of Dolls Teys. Playe/sings. Novel. was another renson. he added: "There to Boyd. asked how he 10 lowes ties, and Allied Products (some of whose are individual projects which Pm inter- VO these voters. said: We 10 to members live.l in the rest of the U.S. and ested in.' he said, "which the governor in and attached :0 the release has given his support to. For instance, was a statement from the union inself which placed the membership a: 20.000 G tran a major new health-care complex in the Wasn a bit deceptive? felt that Rockejeiler executed a deliberate West Harlem-Manhatonville area to "Well." said Boyd. and then he and cynical plan of cutaring to the news serve the residents there. who are now thought 2 while. "I think it's foir. You and desires of the building mades it: order without adequate facilities. think give 2 MINE. You say This is loseph to get his "labor support. The governor, Rockefeller is about :0 announce some Boyd Convassing' or something he said, "is = NAM with NO ideology. He's very significant financial support-as In late September and early Curober. not C gay who's turned his back on princi. an individual.' he said. "In fact. I un- the television campaign shifted from ple; he's never had city, This is where [ derstand it will be $2 million from the The Record to Pledges. and the Pledge* differ with a lo: of penple. They talk about Rocketeller Brothers Fund." seemed 10 have a great 3:51 :0 do with going from lef: :0 right :5 though lie was a liberal, left-wing Recublicom This :s ours. There was. sold Dr. Logan. no swap. crime in the streets. norestics and the arrant nonsense. Rockeicller is : tabute no deal The hospital "is a faster in my like. A! about this time. the pross 5: rasa; he's C. clear state. You can any- decision 10 vote for him." he said. 'And came genuinely interested in the card thing 01: his table das if the medis of the on Wadnesday efter he's re-elected I'm prign. and every trip the times call for it, kell 0.00 :: and digest it." going is 522 him and say. Okay. you was watched closely by reporters. will NEW "On election night, next to grinning Mario, York. The mailings, which were labeled "Telegram" (but which clearly were he spoke of law and order, but not together. " not, inasmuch as they contained lie typographical errors and they were de- livered on time), said: I NEED YOUR welcomed orders from their assignment signals," he said. "We've been together HELP. UNLESS YOU VOTE THIS TUIS desks to leave the Goldberg campuign a long time. DAY THE ORGANIZED DEMOCRAT PARTY and follow Rockefeller for a few days, Joe Canzeri, whose code name on the OF NEW YORK CITY COULD TAKE OVER simply because the accommodations little radios was Little Caesar, was the YOUR STATE GOVERNMENT. BUTTAN were better and their luggage was scl- dean of the advance men on Rocke- [or ALBANY or WATERTOWN] voirs NEE dont lost. There is something essen- feller's trips out of the city. Canzeri, VITAL. MALCOLM WILSON AND I NEED tially satisfying about stepping off a who is 40 years old and who manages YOUR SUPPORT FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT private airplane and being handed an the governor's estate in Pocantico Hills GOVERNOR NELSON A. ROCKEFULLER." envelope which contains the key to during non-campaign periods. was in Boyd's operation attempted 1.279,19 your hotel room, a mimeographed list the hotel management field before he telephone calls to voters. OF that of all your fellow reporters' room num- joined the Team. Any hotel should be were completed. bers, the address of the press room and so lucky. He made sure everything hap- that each household contained the Hospitality Room, and essential pened at the right time and happened OF voters. "So we probably reached information on such items as Western well. When the governor went bowling then 2 million voters. he said, Union, the location of Xerox machines, in Buffalo one night, Canzeri made sure the figures from a series or hours for room service, and the closing -hal made sure, a week before-that on his office wall time at the hotel bar. the alley had a pair of bowling shoes Perrotta's New York City cameais It helped, too, that Rockefeller had that would fit a man whose foot is 12 was similarly successful. Of his his own private air force-a helicopter, inches long in shoes. (Actually, Rocke- high-priority Democratic smble a Grumman Gulfstream 2 jet, and a feller could have brought his own shoes. tricts, the ones that his batteries twin-engined Fairchild which held two since he has his own bowling alley at telephone workers assoulted. 1:3 dozen people and a bar, which someone the estate.) afterward, "We banged Hell out had the decency and wisdom to open Canzeri was wont to liken the cam- them." Rockefeller took eight of their at precisely 12:01 p.m. when the press paign to show business. The advance districts in Brooklyn to Goldburd's was aboard. men create the atmosphere. he said, four to one in the Bronx. soven to In addition to all the money, the air- and Rockefeller runs the show. "It's in Queens, and two to nothing in planes, the generally friendly press, and a very creative thing, I think," he said. Island. The center. the Pivotals the perquisites of office, Rockfeller also "You're creating an event. You're cre- 22 per cent. had swung. was aided incalculably by the fact that ating the activity. You're creating the Joe Boyd, asked afterward what had his logistical people-the advance men, color. the background. Canzeri's watch gone wrong, said he couldn't think of the press officers, the on-the-road ad- is set five minutes fast, like a good bar- anything major. The successful candi- visers, and the people back at 575 Mad- reom's. date, on election night, appeared at the ison who manned the "anchor desk," Late in October, just a few days be- Roosevelt next to the grinning Marie taking and relaying messages to the fore the election itself. the campaign Procaccino. He spoke of law and of candidate, no matter where he might moved into the Attack phase. In the order, but not in the same breath: that be-were probably the best anywhere. TV commercials, the attacking was may be the mark of the center these carried out by defecting Democrats, not days. Most of them had been with the gov- by Rockefeller; the governor did his Alton Marshall, summarizing it all. ernor for a long time-since the guber- part in public speeches. "We had an urged a visitor to ferret out and read natorial campaign of 1958, in many opponent," an aide explained. "who the speeches Rockefeller had made due cases, then through the campaigns of was not susceptible to being criticized ing the last days of the campaign. They 1962 and 1966. the Presidential attempt as you would criticize other candidates." weren't reported in the press. he sold. in 1968, and the Latin American trip The polls were showing Reckefeller but if someone took the trouble 10 cont- in 1969. The workers, especially the ad- ahead, and it was further decided that pare them with the speeches Recker vance men-the people who get the any really tough tacties might back- feller had made at the outset. they candidate from one stop to another. fire. "However." said Alton Marshall, would reveal a "growth of philosophy. who know who should shake his hand "you almost have to end up with some a tendency to express concern chree where, and how to keep him from hav- question of your opponent's credibility. social movement rather than building ing his picture taken with a local gang- People wouldn't want their soap opera highways and buildin ster-were like felsty young captains to end without some suspense." So the The Rockefeller Team been lest. working hard and bucking for major. television campaign ended with a series criticized, Marshall continued. Subject Althoug they whispered surrepti- of questions for the undecided voter it often had been guilty of emphainizing tiously into small radios in the manner the: were designed to attack Goldberg's the roads and bridges and :ot paying of the Secret Service. there was amaz- credibility. enough attention to human and the ingly little confusion. because they had Then everybody started worrying. governor's spaches It the end of due worked together so long and they had fee Boyd was particularly werried about campaign represented an attempt :0 utter and complete devotion to Rocke- the pells that were being published that rectify that error. feller. Hugh Morrow, the governer's showed 2 clear Rockefeller victory. He Somehow it just didn't seem worth. director of communications ($58,573 a feared the upstate Republicans would while to dig out these speaches. A: year), who occupied an office at 575 stay home or vote for Adams. On the end of the compaign. with the Madison during the campoign. was Thursday before the election. 400,000 chinery all clicking smoothly. with the asked how he kept in touch with his simulated telegrams actually the print- center and the Pivotals well in hand. fellow communicators over at 22 West out of a computer in Collfornia) began it was easy for 10 55th Street, in the governor's official being received in Republican and indo- a growth of philosophy. income office. "We communicate by Manderin pendent mailboxes in upstate New humanity. The pells 270 alocady TAB D URNAL, FRIDAY. DECEMBER 11, 1970 Computing Democratic Winners in "72 By ALAN L. OTTEN Iowa Democratic Rep. John Culver wen WASHINGTON - Many Democrats think re-election incomented un they have found their 1972 victory weapon: Politics part to effective USC of the computer The computer. unrenistered oreganing voice Suphisticated use of this weapon. more and registration Halls against 11 US. more party pres are convinced. can add an and People the computer printed out. block by-bleck, the extra three. four or five percentage points to names and addresses of unregistered voters: the Democratic vote total, whoever the nomi- nec-and that should be enough to win. HH CAMPAIGN phone and door-to-door canvastes determined the Cuiver supporters SHORE them. Then nu- Armed with dramatic examples from accent also recaptured the governorship and several bile registrars. legal i, Pawa. went deer to elections. the computer fans are out to sell it other statewide offices from the Republicans, door in sign these people up. ERTIFY to the entire party as a vital tool. perhaps picked un a Congressional seal and made 11:3- The commuter unis metor credit. inc. G... more valuable than television. expectedly large gains in both houses or the the Inpubled re-Flection or sen. The computer helps in half-n-dozen differ- state legislature. Mr. Humphrey's strong and Cannon. who antek is tix by entways, cretty much that in one New contains were generally credited: less known. only M votes Comments identify d'fe-minded voters and male both outside and even within Mannesota. was year ET the they vote. it officiently mots nureds- the embittions computer - Be stated for in, lie bed or for comply the Details its. and this lets provided work- kinney une. the entire Details. to tigket. their regi on drives. IL The effort was organized by Valcatine school money. dein ERS the electrote down into desear of III- Sherman a Associates. a company set up by Then Noverba's - put 1100 fatent interest groups. mid munts and matis Mr. Humphicy's former process wide. Norman 000 households Smith. pai extry tailored to each group. it pin-noints Shorman, and polities servidi Jack Valon- letter spelling cut in how Nr. Canten Dark toods : citiz us must likely to respond to wills tine. in July the firm bexen putting on mas- helped it. for volunteer help or compainn funds. notic consulter tane the name. address, please IL Makes incredibly caster the Job of "he member, county and Compressional A Refin il Techni 2"ᵉ in rative L. does is Phone St: human There were different for men of united gives provides We Phers Bank :, more of and women. for oldaters and funilies with portey tematte block-by-block Hats of Demo- total electorate. young cluldren. for each neighborhood. in all, cr... in use on election day for late-allernoon Then the computer printed this informa- more than 12.000 combinations were used: turn-out-the-vote offorts. Fon on individual survey forms suitable for campaign manager Chester Sobsey insists the Computers, of course. don't really do much later "reading" by an optical scanner. The technique was refined in the point where 2. that political organizations haven't long been forms for each county were shipped to a -li- paragraph citing Mr. Connon's specess in doing with three-by-five cards and other pervisor there. and volunteers heart winting fonds for a local airport would be de. toolst they simply (io it far more quickly and C here for additional date: leted in letters in voters with hemes in the efficiently. Nor is the political use of comput- of each adult. flight pattern. CUS procisely new; they have been 30 em- in stord. the of Mirch The Cannon computer airo printed block- played for almost a decade now. with their old people, union membership, ther the by-block lists of Democratic-inclined voters: 11.-C stendily spreading and growing more so- person firmed. The results were uided to the on election day. party orkers topt track of phisticated. nersonal Histories on the master time. the men and repien networky voteri. end TL.).; though. computers have been Than of computer and 1.1 late in the day volunteers Permit -1 RP .... her nic heaving employed iv Renublicans, Date ters staried going on... and park, "I you're -- In (*) well-beeled enes the New York Gov pland at without Piett. that y .1 Heckefeller or Arkansms Gev. Win 11. parents of old 1P porty used. 0. comput r is il really deve :- non or by COP organizations in nin, residents of 11. parts nice any The Isling tool Anzona and Texas, where Domo- DUE just Mr. Pumparey but all his erand were solidly entrenched. The COP mates, down to the (Date: Suptime and to YY in anterciale DIV will, of comme using computers More and house 2. have good JVI re" and more, If: willing Incm where they haven't credit for minimizing the meand drop-off as campaigning, William defeber, exceutive voters so down the ballot. vice president of American Computer Re- be need, perfecting them where they have. The new nt is that Domocrate Procidet lists were produced. with Damo- sources in Los Angeles says most voters don' crade-Inctined households recorded biock-by- realize the letters are computer-written, but can fincav to be recognizing the computer even those who do sull seem to like the atten- potentially sur more block. NO that local candidities and party them time for the Regablicans The workers could make door-to-door entla. Then, tion and the candidate's familiarity with local issues and their own needs. Over and over 107 End are right. There are D for or ediore the election, Vomm- phone banks and computer again. bisone convessers Drc tost, This is the Ch., Cam but Demorred con't print-outs to remind Democ refle-leaning citi- first Unite anyone ever bothered to usk ne to: and and vote as readily. Gener- your to vote. The callers even anked whether my vote. I'll be was to support your man." ....N above) and tous educated, they aren't at self-st this. Any the voter needed a ride or baby Mbr on elec- Entinglasts claim a first-rate compute tion day, duly noting those who did. Party of operation is supprisingly chemp and growing wood men WATER vote : almo bund to bets estimate 280,000 home werd chought as more states and enties have vote and each time the message specifically called names atready on tape and in mud-list com that Rep Delhorated also tond to DC fat more di- for support of the entire cket. patient offer more complete coverage. Valen "It Was the most significantly effective tine-Sherman, for instance, Tays that with ellinically, regiolly, economically. substantial vohnteer help. i: can service Anvilong that neips target appeals to differ- tool 111 our contraign," says amex Chestnut, - AND had precisely is 21.00 likely to 11.0 statempolis lawyer who IN marred sin to Congress/Land coinet $13,500 use Democrate more. the Termphrey drive. Minnesola country and the III AND custs, II on entire date IN done. THE in COS 17 we :::1 efficient computer opera- of Chairman Charge Thiss, whole party has been perfecting its own computer operation would Bliging below $20,000 a district tio, at every uree date, the states Willing the first estimates. Presented me decided, it could for the past several elections, admits: "Wo the key 1. valory," SAM WISSING ju... and no hina how much they had come Moreover, goversites organe, e-conseiou politici shount rementer Class the com to along 111 getting out their own vote. And they C. Lawreace Officies. "The e are car did it in it way to help the tieket all the way puter permits them - ninneha their mail am Instructs y/o haven been turning ont." down." other charts. thus climinating :: event deal O The Grin and wastern) epending. The annual cost is mark Fulting July job for Sen. Cyrematin Burdiel. an wren easy JUNS if the party keeps the tmpós up is (. We'll and other Dentocratic station, date year by year, cliministing buwy start-u on the major vini in communer company officials, will expenses each election. one title James Areatmer address it try this notion in the month, about 1.) Computer skepties remain, to be sure- V.S = ranger metor in the Sea 501 purpris- the National Committee, to Senate and Home party pros who say this will always be far to 1:. lurge. nearly 2-to-1, victory. And the costly for all but the wealthiest 13ep and orga tes, Lil governors and state ungables- same :1:11 a more limited operation nizations; that it breaks auto on the loca Ben and to tobor They hope to crunk in NN terms fur Sen. Albert Core. level when volunteers fail to eary out thei 11.11. 151, -0 the computer's will be op- The Core people were convince victory assignments properly; that people resent in or date: for registration and other early 1972 hinged on the George Walkine voters; the terrupting phone calls or visits by canvas They are preparing specific how-to- computer operation entivisied Nashville pre- sers; that computer bugs will get letters i dont memuels. films and tapes for training C.H.T. WALES 2415 Wellace Date ean ...... NY ::1 the wrong people and backfire. and they plan schools for cardi- NUMBER Nov. : the Senator's drow- Candidates who won with the help of th the and their misnagers. Perhaps most in:- ing Was comparatively far better than in may computer are talking up its virtues. However ands, though they have some very spe- other part OF the state. Doclares James And there's sur no better od for a produc un to 10. ser. No. dore's Nushville mun-ger: "If we than a satisfied customer. T. use, for instance, Delive :: to and donge the same thing Phatomate, or even instide -Way last Month. They :... only in the three other metroporition areas, Mr. Otten is chief of the Wash " :000 shrew Securior but 5 in -election." bigiton business CITIZENS FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON SUITE 272 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. N.W WASHINGTON. D.C. 20000 July 2, 1971 (202) 333.0320 MEMORANDUM FOR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL SUBJECT: BUSINESSMEN FOR NIXON - 1972 Following Peter Flanigan's suggestion that Don Kendall of Pepsico head our businessmen for Nixon operation in 1972, and your approval of Kendall, Rob Odle and I met with him and agreed on the following: 1. Kendall will take an active role in leading the Businessmen for Nixon effort. He has made two of his key aides, Deke De Loach (for-- mar assistant to J. Edgar Hoover) and Harvey Russell (who is Black) available immediately to assist him. 2. Kendall, De Loach, Russell, and Odle will work together during the course of the summer to put together a suggested course of procedure for Businessmen which will be submitted to you for approv- al in the Fall. 3. De Loach, Russell, and Odle will spend an hour with Messrs. Colson and Flanigan next week to get their thoughts as to what this suggested course of procedure should include. 4. The preliminary guidelines under which the operation will function and under which the set of recommendations will be written are as follows: A. Businessmen will be self-supporting and will raise enough funds to finance its own operations -- but probably no more. It should be relatively easy for it to raise enough money to keep it financially afloat and this would not detract from our regular fund raising efforts. 2 B. Businessmen will probably not emerge primarily as a finance or fund raising operation as similar groups have in the past. It will probably not undertake to solicit funds from businessmen for the campaign's "general fund." Rather, the main purpose of the organiza- tion will be to recruit as many businessmen as possible to work for the President's re-election --- from the smallest rural general store owner to the largest industrialist. C. Businessmen will blend into the 1972 version of United Citi- zens for Nixon-Agnew as a major component of the national "Cit Com" operation. Any other business groups (e.g.: "Barbers for Nixon," "Retailers for Nixon," etc.). will fall under the Businessmen opera- tion which in turn will fall under the national "Cit Com." Attached is a copy of a paper which was prepared for Messrs. De Loach and Russell to orient them as to our thinking in regard to this operation. (The attachments to which the paper refers are not included because of their volume). JEB S. MAGRUDER CITIZENS FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON June 24, 1971 SUITE 272 :701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. N.W. WASHINGTON D.C. 20006 (202) 333.0920 Attached are three documents which may be of help to you -- 1) A proposal outlining how the entire national "Citizens for " campaign might operate in 1972. 2) An analysis of the 1968 Citizens effort. 3) A suggested strategy for the farm vote in 1972 -- which is roughly comparable to the initial manner in which a businessmen's strategy might be recommended. What we should begin to do now -- A study should be made of what form a businessmen's effort might take in 1972. The objective of this study would be to develop recommended and detailed proposals for approval re- garding the 1972 businessmen's committee. The study should be completed by August 31, 1971. Drawing on the experience of the businessmen's effort in 1.968 and the experience of other businessmen's committees in past campaigns, this study will chart the ways in which businessmen throughout the country can be recruited for the 1972 effort. Lists must be drawn up of the various sub-committees which should be formed and the individuals who might chair and run these committees. Also, recommendations for state committees should be put together, with emphasis at the beginning on key states and states with early primaries. The study should also examine various issues which can or will be raised in the campaign and find ways in which to key these issues to various groups and geographical areas. 2 Also, the study must work closely with the Field Organization and finance people to make certain that leaders in each state are utilized in the proper area of the campaign. What areas might be considered in the study -- 1) The issues which are of concern to businessmen and and to which we should be responsive. (E.g.: the Administration opposes tax credits. Are most businessmen for them? If so, what is our posture?) 2) Can we tack on questions to surveys being conducted by businessmen to determine feelings of businessmen and people in general on issues of concern to us? (E.g.: if Pepsi is doing a poll of attitudes toward soft drinks, can other questions be added?) 3) Catalog positions the President has taken on business issues and develop suggestions as to how to exploit them. 4) Survey business leaders to find out who is on our side, and who needs "friendly persuasion." 5) How can business mailing lists be obtained in 1971 and how can they be properly utilized in 1972? 6) How can the NAB be properly utilized? How can the various trade associations be used? 7) "Businessmen" should be self-supporting -- but not raise so much money that it would compete with the Finance operations. How would this be worked out? 8) The projected structure of the businessmen's effort: a suggested national chairman, executive director, officers, sub-group chairmen, state chairmen, metro chairmen, etc. A 'suggested budget. A time frame for each activity. 3 Having surveyed these and other areas, a preliminary version of the entire operating plan could be submitted for approval on September 1, 1971. CITIZENS FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON June 23, 1971 SUITE 272 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. N.W. WASHINGTON D.C. 20000 (202) 333.0920 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE ATTORNEY GENERAL FROM: JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: Preliminary Plan for Maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote Attached is the preliminary plan for maximizing the 1972 Farm Vote as put together by the Farm Vote Task Force. John Whitaker is the Chairman of this task force. The report makes twenty-two recommendations for your consideration. In addition, it itemizes major issues and gives an analysis of key states where the farm vote will probably be significant. A brief discussion for a preliminary budget is also contained in this report. June 1971 CONFIDENTIAL PRELIMINARY PLAN FOR 1972 FARM VOTE SUMMARY 0-102 3-23-82 By In a sense, the campaign is already in progress and the recommendations contained are being implemented to some extent now. However, absolutely no recommendations that could be interpreted as political campaigning will be implemented without approval. The enclosed report indicates: -- Key advisors who have assisted in drawing up this plan; -- A list of key people who should be consulted in ever-expanding groups as we move toward the election; Itemizes major issues we should push as Administration accomplishments as well as those issues where we are most vulnerable, and issues for possible development in the months ahead; Recommendation for poll information among farmers; Recommendations on better communications at the White House, USDA, RNC, in Congress and in a proposed "farm division" of the citizen's operation; - - Recommendations on key people at the state level who might fit into the "farm division" of the citizen's organization; - - Analysis of key states where the "farm vote" is judged to be significant; -- Budget data (1968) for a farmer's division with the citizen's group. The report makes 22 recommendations. - 2 - TAB A Forthcoming local, regional and national farm events requiring Secretary Hardin or Presidential telegram TAB B Key USDA local contacts to help select state-wide organization members TAB C USDA analysis of key farm target states TAB D States with 1/3 plus rural vote TAB E USDA analysis of Wallace vote TAB F Polling information TAB G Budget information - 1968 Citizen's Farm group - 3 TASK FORCE WHO DREW UP THIS PLAN Bryce Harlow - Proctor and Gamble Hyde Murray - Minority Counsel - House Agriculture Committee Donald Brock - AA to Secretary Hardin Phil Campbell - Under Secretary of Agriculture Clarence Palmby - Assistant Secretary for International Affairs and Commodity Programs - Department of Agriculture Richard Lyng - Assistant Secretary for Marketing and Consumer Services - Department of Agriculture William Galbraith - Deputy Under Secretary for Congressional Relations Department of Agriculture John Whitaker, Ken Khachigian and Bart Porter - White House Whitaker held a separate meeting to get Roger Fleming's (American Farm Bureau Federation) view. The recommendations of the task force follow. RECOMMENDATION #1 The Task Force should be expanded very soon to include: Bob Spitzer - Murphy Products Company, Head of Citizen's Farmers in '68 Bill Taggart - Legislative Assistant to Senator Dole Claude Gifford - Director of Information, Department of Agriculture. Former Editor of the Farm Journal, the major farm publication. Don Waring - Legislative Assistant to Senator Hruska 4 - George Hanson - Former Idaho Congressman, now Deputy Administrator at Department of Agriculture Odin Langen - Former Minnesota Congressman, now Administrator of Packers and Stockyards Agency, Department of Agriculture Richard Ashworth - Assistant to Under Secretary Phil Campbell, Department of Agriculture David Hamil, Administrator, REA, Department of Agriculture James Smith - Administrator, Farmers Home Administration, Department of Agriculture John Coffee - Administrative Assistant to Congressman Page Belcher Steve Adams - Legislative Assistant to Congressman Bob Michaels (the latter two men are "Aggies", a Hill Administrative Assistant group from rural Congressional districts) Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #2 That there be a once-a-month session, beginning in July, 1971, led by Bryce Harlow and Secretary Hardin with a key group of Congressmen and Senators. In this meeting, we should seek to draw out their con- structive ideas for consideration in a campaign plan. I. Senate Agriculture Committee Jack Miller (Iowa) George Aiken (Vt.) Milton Young (N.D.) Carl Curtis (Neb) Bob Dole (Kan) Henry Bellmon (Okla) II. Senate Agriculture Appropriations Sub-Committee Roman Hruska (Neb) Milton Young (N.D.) J. Caleb Boggs (Del) Hiram Fong (Hawaii) - 5 - III. House Agriculture Committee Page Belcher (Okla) John Zwach (Minn) Charles Teague (Calif) Robert Price (Texas) William Wampler (Va) Keith Sebelius (Kan) George Goodling (Pa) Wilmer Mizell (N. C. ) Clarence Miller (Ohio) Paul Findley (Ill) Robert Matthias (Calif) John Kyl (Iowa) Wiley Mayne (Iowa) J. Kenneth Robinson (Va) IV. House Agricultural Appropriations Sub-Committee Mark Andrews (N.D.) Robert Michel (Ill) William Scherle (Iowa) V. Other Members Gerald Ford (Mich) Ancher Nelson (Minn) Leslie Arends (Ill) John Myers (Ind) John Anderson (Ill) H. R. Gross (Iowa) John Rhodes (Ariz) Frank Bow (Ohio) Barber Conable (N. Y. ) Delbert Latta (Ohio) Vernon Thomson (Wis) Durward Hall (Mo) Albert Quie (Minn) Robert Stafford (Vt) Approve Disapprove - 6 RECOMMENDATION #3 That the RNC get a fulltime farm specialist: Followup - Harlow is discussing with Senators Dole and Bellmon on a very preliminary basis. The Task Force recommends this as essential to get farm information out to the regular party structure even though there is some duplica- tion of effort hiring a farm man to lead the citizen's operation. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #4 That Dr. Robert Spitzer be hired fulltime August 1971 to November 1972 for campaign organization. His objective would be to work fulltime on political and PR aspects of farmers and agri-business community. He should be on the road almost continuously making speeches. His title is under negotiation. Budget August '71 - November '72 (inclusive) @ $2, 500 per month ($30, 000 per year), plus $1,000 per month travel, plus secretary @ $1,000 per month = $72, 000 Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #5 That a fulltime White House "advisor" on Agriculture to the President be hired. The President has this under consideration. - 7 - ISSUES (No specific recommendations are made in this section in the sense that no major "nuts and bolts" political organization decisions are needed at this time) Major issues and media plan content to focus positive farm issues in primary election states can be prepared by this Task Force as advice to the overall campaign chairman. PRIORITY ISSUES Farm-oriented campaign literature and general media plan should never lose sight of the fact that the major national issues -- peace in Southeast Asia, and an upswing economy -- are overriding and these themes, plus others, set in the national campaign, should be the highest priority even before farm audiences. All polling information places these issues over farm-oriented issues, even among farmers (at least this is the "conven- tional" wisdom, unless polls of farmers in depth tell us otherwise). ADMINISTRATION ACCOMPLISHMENTS The campaign may focus around a few major farm issues -- it is risky to lock in to early. For the time being, they can be classified into: 1. Positive Administration accomplishments; 2. Accomplishments, but for selective audiences; 3. Negative or defensive positions; 4. Issues that might be developed during the coming year. I. Positive Administration Accomplishments a. Farm prices should be good, even if they are, the Task Force feels the Administration should not brag about it -- farmers read this as political "puff" -- they know prices are good. Instead of talking how well off they are, talk in terms of how the Administration is helping. b. Farm income -- all-time high realized net per farm was $5, 437 per farm in 1969 -- it slipped to $5,392 in 1970 and is projected at $5,320 in 1971. Forecast with many uncertainties is up moderately over 1971 -- not much chance of making 1969 high again by the late Summer of 1972. The issue must be watched carefully as we proceed into the Spring of 1972. - 8 c. The Administration has increased farm credit on all fronts beyond the Kennedy/Johnson years. (1) farm operating loans increased in FY '72 by $140 million from $210 million in FY '71 to $350 million in FY '72 (2) an increase of $100 million in FY '71 and $111 million in FY '72 in the insured loan program to build water and sewar systems in rural areas. (3) the Administration was there to help farmers when the devastating southwest drought of 1971 occurred. (Play this issue by ear) d. The Soil Conservation manpower budget was incre ased by $12 million to an all-time high and small watershed grants were increased by $28 million to an all-time high of $105 million in FY '72 SO that 75 new projects could be started. The loan program was quadrupled to help local communities finance their share of these projects. e. Major new funding of research on plant and livestock disease (corn blight, cattle tics, etc.) f. Farm exports at all-time high of $7. 6 million in FY '71. g. Opening grain export market sales to Eastern Bloc and Mainland China by rescinding the requirement that 50% of the grain be shipped in American bottoms. Be careful - it may not be enough trade to affect price - - in hard core conservative areas, trade with Communist countries a strong negative. h. Passage of Telephone Bank Bill. i. Increase on REA loans. j. Price supports for milk at 85% of parity. k. School milk 1. Stopped bureaucratic meddling on farm truck driving age limits. m. Restricted feedlot pollution permits to few large operators -- would not allow Federal harassment of the small farmer with a permit program. 9 - n. Careful watch and ample R&D funds for corn blight problem. O. Never (so far) vetoed a farm bill. II. Accomplishments or questionable value as political issues with farmers or for use with selective audiences a. Agriculture Act of 1970 -- if it turns sour, it should be plugged as bi-partisan. In any event, the key theme is that the Act gives farmers more freedom to plant, not "straight jacket" control of farmers called for by Democrats. b. Food for needy recipients increased. c. Nutrition education program increased. d. Migratory labor housing loans authorized. (Items b, c, d: Task Force feels these accomplishments should be plugged before city and welfare audiences. Items b and C can be "plus" in rural areas if coupled with the thought that these pro- grams "keep the poor and build your market" III. Negative issues to be played down a. Government reorganization. b. Pollution permit program. c. Pesticides. IV. Major Policy Issues that might be developed during the coming year a. Farm labor bill. b. Rural community development revenue sharing. c. Sisk Bill d. Special milk program. e. Screw worm work in Mexico f. Peanuts and tobacco. - 10 - g. Agricultural attaches to staff U.S. embassies in Eastern Europe to give farmers feeling we have salesmen at our new market frontiers. h. Presidential appointment of a roving "Agricultural Ambassador. " Specific responsibilities: negotiate in GATT an end to the "citrus war"; protect U.S. agricultural interests during EEC's expected enlargement; exert all possible influence worldwide for reduction of existing trade barriers and against imposition of new barriers. Farmers worry about protectionist tendencies. i. PL 480 - 1972 budget. j. Imports of beef and dairy products. k. Possibility of increasing FHA loans from $700 million to $750 million in Spring of 1972. 1. Develop theme of right-off-the-leader's-hip of the Farmer's Union -- discredit them as being politicians, not farm leaders. m. Dissolve the "Cement of the Coalition" by inferring that it is a politically controlled alliance. A key policy question that must be developed is to decide which of the above issues should be emphasized in the campaign on the theory that the farm media plan should focus on as few issues as possible which are played hard, never losing site of the fact that war and peace and the pocketbook issue (assuming they turn out favorable) should be pushed hard in the media plan since they are overriding in rural America compared to specific farm issues. - 11 - COMMUNICATIONS RECOMMENDATION #6 Claude Gifford, new Director of Office of Information, USDA, and former Editor of the Farm Journal, take firm control of communications -- over- all for the campaign. That an advisory committee consist of Claude Gifford, Bob Spitzer (for the citizens), Bryce Harlow (overall tone), Hyde Murray (for the Hill), and John Whitaker (for the White House) all working with Gifford and keyed in with overall campaign policy. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #7 Claude Gifford assume control of USDA radio spotmaster so positive news is flowing everyday - repeat - every day. Spotmaster must be upgraded by high fidelity tapes placed in many cities in key farm states and "must- win-to-win" key states even if farm vote in those key states is small. This way, radio stations can phone at less cost to get news on their stations. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #8 Claude Gifford supply each week to rural GOP Congressmen and Senators rural news for Hill newsletters. Hyde Murray in the House, Don Waring and Bill Taggart in the Senate and Bill Galbraith in USDA have additional responsibility to make sure the Congressmen and Senators get the infor- mation out. A rigid systematic followup is necessary to make sure the newsletters get out. Approve Disapprove - 12 RECOMMENDATION #9 That the same information supplied by Claude Gifford to the Hill be supplied to (a) the Bob Spitzer operation for selective farm citizens publications, (b) to the RNC "farm desk", and (c) to Ken Khachigian for mailings done by Herb Klein to editors. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #10 That Hyde Murray lead, supported by Bill Taggart, Don Waring and Bill Galbraith to take special responsibility for working with RNC to assure that weekly key Congressmen and Senators use the RNC radio taping facilities to get the material from Claude Gifford's operation. When and if we get an RNC farm man, that responsibility moves to him. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #11 Don Brock organize a speaker's bureau including top USDA people, White House Farmer, and Bob Spitzer SO that we blanket the key states and make effective use of TV and radio. There are two guiding principles to make this work: (1) don't passively accept invitations that come in the mail, but instead, decide where the target states are and build your own events, and (2) don't give so much emphasis to the speech made because, what is more important, is the time taken at the location to do the radio and TV and some hand-holding and stroking with key people as we move to select the top movers and shakers in each state to build a national farm political organization. Approve Disapprove - 13 RECOMMENDATION #12 Very systematically: (1) every farm event (See Tab A) unless it is national or regional, should be covered by a letter or telegram from Secretary Hardin, (2) every national and selective regional meeting merits a telegram from the President. USDA should send, where Presidential telegrams are required (at least two week's notice is required to research the event), a memo to Miss Eliska Hasek, (Executive Office Building, Room 117, phone 456-2108) with copy to John Whitaker indicating (1) proposed draft telegram, and (2) who it should be sent to with proper address and phone number to make sure the telegram is read at the event, and (3) besides the draft message, Eliska Hasek needs a memo giving background on the event and what should be stressed, SO she has a better "feel" for the event and can change the wording of the draft if she SO chooses. Responsibility for action: Claude Gifford. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #13 Secretary Hardin should attempt to "break through" into the national media. This is admittedly hard to do because of the national press lack of interest in rural America. Recommendations: (1) more press conferences, (2) background individual meetings with farm editors of Time, Newsweck, etc., and (3) same with Washington farm bureau AP and UPI men. The "White House Farmer" when appointed, should do the same. Because of the "break through" problem with the Washington press corps, Secretary Hardin should hit key out-of-town media centers with press conferences (Chicago, St. Louis, Kansas City, Omaha, Dallas, etc.) Approve Disapprove - 14 - RECOMMENDATION # 14 Farm belt "briefings - salutes" - regional event - featuring Secretary Hardin, Senator Dole and select members of the Cabinet like Secretary Stans on rural development, Ambassador Dave Kennedy and Pete Peterson on farm exports for well staged regional events. These should be well advanced. Responsibility: Claude Gifford Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #15 Claude Gifford should develop "the farm speech", i.e., the basic themes all our speakers should develop and use now. Secretary Hardin should write all Cabinet officers giving them just one paragraph loaded with farm themes that they can work into their speeches. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #16 By June 1972, Claude Gifford should have prepared a series of questions and answers to be used for requests from farm publications for Presidential replies that can be printed in their magazines. These Q&As will need to be cleared by Ray Price at the White House before publication. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #17 A group to monitor Democratic Presidential candidate's farm statements. Responsibility: John Foltz - Congressional Relations, Department of Agriculture Patrick Breheney - Legislative Asst to Congressman Scherle Garry Madsen - Legislative Asst to Congressman Findley Bill Taggart - Legislative Asst to Senator Dole Approve Disapprove 15 - RECOMMENDATION #18 The farm vote task force should defer to the overall campaign organization on the question of whether the farm campaign should be organized under a citizen's umbrella. It was called "The National Nixon Agriculture and Food Committee" in '68. This has the advantage of better budget control, pooling of administrative costs for other efforts (ethnic, doctors, etc.) but there is a growing concern that a citizen's group is really not "in" -- not part of the real decision-making process in a campaign. Yet of course, the main advantage is that the citizen's organization attracts Democrats and Independents. The key question can probably be resolved with an out- standing public figure name to run the citizen's group who must be kept in close proximity to the campaign chairman and more important, show periodic publicized contact with the President SO that he is "in". In a similar manner, the citizen farmer's chairmen need periodic direct and highly publicized contact with the President. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #19 As in '68, the citizen's farm group should solicit members who are farmers and agri-businessmen. All major commodities should be represented like cotton, wheat, soybeans, peanuts, etc., but under an umbrella so that no one special commodity interest gets a predominant position and tries to force a public position good only for that particular commodity but bad for an overall position. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #20 Selection of state leaders should not occur for some time, but an intensive culling of potential candidates should begin now. Bob Spitzer should take the lead assisted by Phil Campbell and Clarence Palmby. Tab B are USDA Farm Home Administration or Agriculture Stabilization and Conservation Service state leaders who can be of assistance on consultation in selecting the key leaders. Emphasis needed here to assure that no state leader is picked without approval of overall campaign directors. Tab B also contains state leaders recommended by the Farm Bureau. Approve Disapprove - 16 RECOMMENDATION #21 a. The farm citizen's group should operate in all 50 states. b. The national organization will give direction and a firm guide- line on the target states and when they are named, additional emphasis on delivering the vote in those states will be given by the entire citizen's group including the farm section. c. Tab C lists the 20 top 11 farm" states in terms of (1) payments to producers, and (2) by cash receipts. These are obviously target states for the citizen's farm effort combined with the 31 states (Tab D) where the rural vote is one-third or more of the state's population. Tab E is a Wallace vote analysis which is rather speculative at this point. Approve Disapprove RECOMMENDATION #22 Tab F contains the most current poll information on farm attitudes available. It is simply information with a small sample. We recommend a poll of farmers only even at this early date on the chance that some corrective action could be taken on an issue, not apparent to the task force. The task force should consult with ORC on the kind of questions that should be asked. Tab F also contains maps indicating key cash crops by states. Possibly some key farm states should be polled in depth. Approve Disapprove - 17 - BUDGET (No recommendation) We defer at this time on a firm recommendation on a citizen's farmers budget. As indicated in Tab G, Bob Spitzer submitted a proposed budget of $1,700,000 at Mission Bay in August of 1969. We do not know what he got for a budget, nor do we have knowledge of actually what was spent, although the accounting indicates $88, 696. 77 was spent. Tom Evans, Executive Director of the '68 Citizen's operation, feels this figure is suspect. The Spitzer Committee evidently raised only $1,660.26. Bob Spitzer's preliminary recommendation on a '72 budget is included in Tab G. He also indicates the operation actually spent $69,607.60 in advertising space (less staff and the tabloid) and suggests for 1972: Farm paper advertising $500,000 Farm audience radio 484,000 Farm audience TV 1,200,000 $2,184,000 It seems pointless for this task force to make budget recommendations until all task forces have reported and an overall analysis of priority spending against anticipated fund raising can be made. - Dedications and Field Days May 15, 1971 U.S. Meat Animal Research Center, Clay Center, Nebr. Mr. Schuetz will represent Senator Hruska. May 19 Small Grain Field Day, Piedmont Station, Salisbury, N.C. May 25 & Aug. 24 Sugarcane growers and researchers, sponsored by County Agents Field Day, Belle Glade, Fla. June 4 Central Crops Station, Clayton, N.C. (East of Raleigh) Weed Science Field Day. June 4 Tobacco Field Day at Rocky Mount Upper Coastal Plain Experimental Research Station, N.C. June 13, 4-6 pm Tobacco Research Station, Greensville, Tenn., non-farm or city field day. June 15 Weed Field Day at the Tidewater Station, Plymouth, N.C. June 16 am Field Day, Horticultural Research Station, Clinton, N.C. June 16 pm Whiteville, N.C., Witchweed Field Day. June 17 Houma, Louisiana, AES, several members of American Sugar- cane League, contact meeting. Week of June 20 Michigan Cereal Leaf Beetle Field Day, Gull Lake, Mich. Usually, Directors of Experiment Stations and Deans of Agriculture attend. Farmers receive parasites to release in their fields for control of the cereal leaf beetle. June 23-27 Grassland '71 Program, Eugene, Oregon, American Forage Grassland Council and the Oregon State University. July 1 or 2 Dedication of Bee Stock Center, Baton Rouge, Louisiana (Date will be fixed at the convenience of Senator Ellender) July 7-8 Irrigation Expo '71, Coastal Plain Station, Tifton, Ga., Local Development Center, and the College. (Excellent place for VIP exposure to varied people in South Georgia.) July 8, 1:30 pm Weed Research Field Day, Beltsville, Md. Will involve representatives from 30 or more chemical companies and interested Federal Agency people in the Washington area. There are usually about 100 or more people participating. 2 July 8 Dedication of a State facility, Brookings, S.D., (labora- tory, growth chambers, office complex) in which ARS flax research will be housed. The facility is one story, about 100' X 60'. July 21 Animal Industry Field Day, Lexington, Ky. July 23 Animal Industry Field Day, Princeton, Ky. July 27-30 Research on Wheels Tobacco Field Days, Raleigh, N.C., area. Banquet--tobacco companies, chemical companies and farm leaders will be present. A companion to this event is the Annual Research on Wheels Review, Ralcigh, N.C., Statler-Hilton, Dec. 7. (These two events are excellent places for VIP's to meet the public.) July 29 Agronomy Field Day, Lexington, Ky. August 9 Tobacco Research Station, Greeneville, Tenn., Burley Tobacco Field Day. Aug. 11, 9-3 pm Tobacco and Beef Cattle Field Day, Greeneville, Tenn. Aug. 25 Mountain Horticultural Research Station Field Day, Hendersonville, N.O. September Pee Dec Station Field Day, Florence, South Carolina. Growers attend to see variety tests of cotton and tobacco, and fertilizer and pesticide trials. Tentatively October Dedication of U.S. Delta States Agricultural Research Center at Stoneville, Miss. This matter has been brought to Dr. Thomas' attention to cotablish a dedicatory comdittee to make specific plans. At this dedication, the facility can be shown plus work in progress there al the time. It would give an opportunity to bring Delta Council, Cotton Council, and other "politically active" groups into the picture if desired. October Dedication of new of North Contral Soil Conservation Research Center, Morris, Minnesota. October 26 Soybean Expo, Tifton, Georgia. December 2 Swine Field Day, Tifton, Georgia. Feb. 29, 1972 Fifticth Anniversary celebration at U.S. Cotton Research Station, Shafter, Calif. Spring 1972 Dedication of the U.S. Grain Marketing Research Center, Mani attan, Kansas. ADDITIONAL AGRICULTURAL MEETINGS 1. 43rd Summer Institute, American Institute of Cooperation, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado. August 1-4, 1971. Estimated attendance 2500 including over 1000 selected young leaders, ages 16 to 30, from 40 states. 2. Attend 350th Anniversary of 1st Thanksgiving - Plymouth, Mass., November 25, 1971. 3. Visit Future Farmers of A erica Convention - October 13-15, 1971, Kansas City, Missouri 1971 FAILS AND EXPOSITIONS ALASAMA Sedalia-Missouri State Fair, W. Askew Aug. 21.29 Birmingham-Alacama State Fair, MONTANA V. Presson Oct. 7-16 Great Falls-State Fair, ARKANSAS W. Chiesa July 31-A.3 7 Fort Smith- Livestock NEBRASKA Exposition, Peul Latture Sept. 24-Oct. 2 Linco'n -Nebraska State Fair, Little Rod:-Arlandos Livestock Exposition, H. Brandt Sept. 2-8 C. Miller Oct. 1-10 NEW HAMPSHIRE ARIZONA Deerfisid-Dearfield Fair, Phoetix-Arizona State Fair, R. A. Stevens Sept. 30-Oct. 3 J. Jones Oct. 28-No.. 7 NEW JERSEY CALIFORNIA Trenton-New Jersey State Fair, Angeles County Fair, F. E. Keil Sept. 10-19 P. D. Shephing Sept. 17-0: 3 COLORADO NEW MEXICO Albuquerque-New Mexico State Fair, Puebio-Colorado State Fair, T. Knight Aug. 21-29 F. MacGillivray Sept. 16-26 CONNECTICUT NEW YORK Denbury-Danbury Fair, J. W. Leahy Oct. 2-11 Syracuse-Ne York State Fair, DELAWARE B. W. Potter Aug. 31-Sept. 6 Harninyton-Delaware State Fair, NORTH CAROLINA G. Simpson July 23-31 Raleigh-North Carolina State Fair. FLORIDA R. Pitzer Oct. 15-23 Tampa-Florida State Fair, NORTH DAKOTA J. McKissick Jeter Feb. 2.13 Minot-North Dakota State Fair, GEORGIA M. O. Dable July 19-25 Atlanta--Southeastern Fair, OHIO M. C. Coleman Sept. 30-Oct. 9 Columbus-Ohio State Fair, Macon-Gecryla State Fair, J. L. Kaltenbach Aug. 26-Sept. 6 Robert M. Wade Oct. 18-23 IDAHO OKLAHOMA Blackfoot-East:rn Idaho State Fair, Muskogec-Oklahorna Free State Fair, J. Howell Sept. 6-11 L. Lamb Sept. 19.26 Borse-Western 11 St.: Fair, Oklahoma State Fair & Exposition, 0. S. this Sept. 24-0ct. 3 Joseph P. Courch Aug. 31-Scpt. 6 Tulsa-Tutea State Fair ILLINOIS C. C. Lester Oct. 1-10 Chicago-International Livestock Exposition L. Caine Nov. 25-Dec. 1 OREGON Springfield-Illincis State Fair, Salem-- Oregon State Fair, Thomas Evens Aug. 13-22 R. L. Stevens Aug. 28-Sept. 6 INDIANA PENNSYLVANIA Indianabelis State Fair, York-York Interstate Fair Sept. 14-18 Charles C. Davis Aug. 19-29 Allentown--Allentown Fair, E. Leidig Aug. 6-14 10WA SOUTH CAROLINA Cedar Pagids-A'l lone Fair, Columbia-South Carolina State Fair, James W. Grainer July 2-11 W. L. Abernathy Jr. Oct. 13-23 Des State Fair, K. Fulk Spartanburg--Pied nont Interstate Fair, Aug. 20-29 Catherine Morrison Oct. 11-15 Waterlom-Dairy Cattle Congress, M. Telleen June 15-20 SOUTH DAKOTA KANSAS Huron- South Caketa State Fair. Hutchinson-Kantes State Fair, James D. Taylor Sept. 1.5 H. White Sept. 18.26 TENNESSEE Tepeka-Mid America Fair, Knoxville-Tennassee Valley Fair, Marie VoKinley Seot. 10.15 C. Murray Sept. 10-13 KENTUCKY Memphis-Mid South Fair, W. Sparks Sept. 24-Cct. 2 Louisville-Kentucky State Fair, Nashville-Tennessle State Fair, Don Johnston Aug. 19-28 Ted Vaughan Sept. 17-25 LOUISIANA TEXAS Shreveport-State Fair of Louisiens, Beaument-So Texas State Fair, J. Moniour Oct. 22-31 J. Goetschius Oct. 15.24 MAINE Dallas-State Fair of Texas. Skowhegan-Skowheg.n State Fair. J. Rucker, Jr. Oct 9-24 Roy [. Sympas Aug 14-21 MARYLAND UTAH State Fair Sa't Lake City -":2h State Fair, John M. Hei! Aug. 30-Sept. 8 H. C. Bringhurst Sept. 9.19 MASSACHUSETTS VERMONT West Soringfield-Enstern States Exposition Rutiant-Rutiond Fair, G. Wynne Sept. 17-25 E. G. Congdon MICHIGAN Sept. 5-11 Detroit-Michigan State Fair, VIRGINIA E. Keims Aug. 27-Sept 12 Richmond-State Fair of Virginia, Escanabt-Upper Penimu's State Fair; C. Teachworth Sept.24-Oct. 3 C A. Perras Aug. 17-22 WASHINGTON MINNESOTA Yakima-Central Washington Fair, St. Paul-Minnesota State Fair, J. Hugh King Sept. 29-0: 3 J. Libby Aug. 28-Sept. 6 WEST VIRGINIA MISSISSIPPI Jackson-Mississippi State Fair, Lewisburg-State Fair of West Virginia. H. Annison Oct. 12.19 C. T. Syndenstricker Aug. 20-23 Tupe'c--Missisioni-Atabema Fair, WISCONSIN James M. Savery Sept. 14-13 Milwallee-Wisconsin State Fair, MISSOURI V. Wendland Aug. 13-22 Kansas City-Meric Royal Chiry Show, WYOMING American Rojal L'vestock Show, Casper-Central Wyomin; Fair, Geo. R. Shipherd Oct. 15-23 Kermit P. Floming Aug. 4.7 10 COUNTY AGENTS DIRECTORY TABB KEY FARM CONTACTS Our list of reliable key farm contacts on a State by State basis is made up in most cases of ASCS Directors and, in some cases, State FHA Directors. These individuals are picked based on our knowledge of the individual's familiarity with that State's political picture and his political judgment. In some instances, an individual other than the State ASCS or FHA Director is named because of that individual's reliability as opposed to that of the other officials. It should be emphasized that these men are contacts and not political organization men. They should in no instances be publicly identified and care should be used in mentioning their names because of repercussions. We have also attempted to select Regional Coordinators on the basis of a particular individual's knowledge of ri ional farm politics. TABB LEGEND: ASCS - STC - State Committee Member STCC - State Committee Chairman SED - State Executive Director STO - State Program Specialist FHA - DIR - State Director Alabama Jim T. Norman - STC John Garrett (FHA St. Dir.) Alaska Walter Kubley, Fed. Coordinator (ASCS St. CEE Arizona Joe Sheely - STCC Arkansas Aylmer Lynn Lowe - STC California Jóe Puppo - STC Colorado Carlyle Vickers - SED Dave Hamil - REA Connecticut Warren Thrall - STCC Delaware Leon Pleasanton - STC Florida Frank Pope - SED Georgia A1 Fowler - STC Hawaii John Garden Cran - STC Idaho George Blick - STCC Illinois Miles Hartman - STC Indiana Newell Timmons - STC Iowa Dale Awtry - SED Robert R. Pim (FIIA St. Dir.) Kansas Frank Mosier - SED Morgan Williams (FIIA St. Dir.) Kentucky Homer Yonts - SED Louisiana Bruce Lynn - former STC Maine Basil Fox - STCC Willis Lord - SED Mahlon M. Delong (FIIA St. Dir.) Maryland Homer Schmidt - STC Bill Sharpe - DD Massachusetts Arthur Rosenburg - STCC Lewis Pontes - SED Michigan Dorn Deihl - SED Alfred LaPorte - (FHA St. Dir.) Minnesota Gordon Klenk - (FHA St. Dir.) Mississippi Issac Franklin - STC Sceling B. Wise - (FHA St. Dir.) Missouri John Hutcheson - STCC Montana Leo Kolstad - SED Norman Wheeler (FHA St. Dir.) Nebraska Merle Mintling - SED Nevada Hollis Harris - STC or SED New Hampshire Douglas Scammon - SED New Jersey John Pew - STC New Mexico Alfred Oberg - SED Carroll D. Hunton (FHA St. Dir.) New York Harvey Smith - STCC Wendall Call - SED Lucius A. Dickerson - (FIIA St. Dir.) North Carolina Sam Rouse - STC James T. Johnson ( FHA St. Dir.) North Dakota William L. Grandy - STC Ohio William Bauer - STC Harle Hicks - Chairman, ASCS Oklahoma Harold Hunter - SED Oregon Walter Erickson - STCC Pennsylvania John Phillips - STCC Rhode Island George Kenyon - STCC South Carolina William Barmore - SED E. Whitson Brooks - (FHA St. Dir.) South Dakota Ohmer Cook - STC Archic Gubbrud - (FHA St. Dir. - Ex. Gov Tennessee Paul Arp - STC Clyde York - CCC Adv. Bd. Paul Koger - (St. Dir.) Texas Lynn Futch - FHA Div. Utah Wayne Sandall - STC Vermont John Clark - STCC Sherman K. Sprague - (FHA St. Dir.) Al Heald - SED Virginia J. Sam Gillespie - STCC Richard Goodling - (FHA St. Dir.) Washington Robert Deife - SED Herb Hemingway - STCC West Virginia Kermit Zinn - SED J. Kenton Lamber - (FHA St. Dir.) Wisconsin Robert Spitzer - CCC Adv. Bd. Willis W. Capps - (FHA St. Dir.) Wyoming Jack Van Mark - STO -- former STC Bill Clark - (FHA St. Dir.) 201141071 STATE LEADER RECO M MEN DATIONS CALIFORNIA Mr. Norman Liddell Telephone: 209-439-0186 Fresno, California Congressional District: #16 Mr. Pete Hamatani Should be on state committee Cortland, California Mr. Wes Bisgaard Should be on state committee Holtville, California COLUMADO Mr. Lloyd Hodges Telephone: 303-474-2161 Sedgwick County Congressional District: #4 Julesburg, Colorado 80737 DELAWARE F. 1. Mr. John & Walton * Telephone: 302/697-6960 Route #1 Congress: onal District: 1 AL P.O. Box 177 Magnolia, Delaware 19962 2. Xr. Auden S. Hopkins, Jr. Telephone: 302/684-8798 Route 42 Congression - District: AL P.O. BOX 124 lewes, Delaware 19958 MIDA Mr. Tornay Lawrence Telephone: 04-734-2458 1215 Rolling Acres DRive Congressio District: #4 je Land, "lorida $ .20 "r. Jimmy Regans Telephone 904-576-6710 oure #. ... 307-A Congressional District: #2 Madison Torida 32340 Mr. E. kclean, ILI Telephone: 813-830-8439 You Box 237 Congressional District: to alrico, Florida 08394 Commi. :e Chairman in 1968 MA ?Y] AND 1. Mr. Merhle DuVall * Telephone: 301-845-6222 Walkersville, Maryland 21793 Congressional District: #6 2. Mr. S. Grove Miller Telephone: 301- Route #1 Congressional District: #1 North East, Maryland 21901 MINNESOTA 1. Mr. P. D. Hempstead Telephone: 507-896-3394 Route #1 Congressional District: #1 Houston, Minnesota 55943 2. Mr. Norman Krabbenhoft Telephone: 218-233-4383 Route #5 Congressional District: #7 Moorhead, Minnesota 56560 MISSOURI 1. Mr. Hubert Kiehl Telephone: 816- Malta Bend, Missouri 65339 Congressional District: #4 2. Mr. William Powell Telephone: 816-748-3101 Princeton, Missouri 64673 Congressional District: #6 3. Mr. Bill Frech Telephone: 314-474-5942 Columbia, Missouri 65201 Congressional District: #8 NEW MEXICO Mr. Santiago Marquez Telephone: 505-864-8366 Star Route #2 Congressional District: #2 P.O. Box #147 Los Lunas, New Mexico 87031 NEW FORK Mr. Harold Hawley * Telephone: 315-834-3281 Weedsport, New York 13166 Congressional District: #34 * Committee Chairman in 1968 OREGON Mr. C. A. Chapman Telephone: 503-631-2182 Oregon City, Oregon 97045 Congressional District: #1 PENNSYLVANIA Mr. Paul Konhaus Telephone: 717-766-4776 Route #5 Congressional District: #19 Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania 17055 WEST VIRGINIA Mr. Henry W. Miller, Jr. Telephone: 304-428-4075 Paw Paw, West Virginia 25434 Congressional District #2 WYOMING 1. Mr. Jim Wilcox Telephone: 307- Douglas, Wyoming 82633 Congressional District: 1 AL 2. Mr. Malcolm Wallop Telephone: 307-674-6086 Sheridan, Wyoming 82801 Congressional District: 1 AL THBC ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES - 1972 NUMBER STATE OF VOTES Alabama 9 Alaska 3 Arizona 6 Arkansas 6 California 45 Colorado 7 Connecticut 8 Delaware 3 District of Columbia 3 Florida 17 Georgia 12 Hawaii 4 Idaho 4 Illinois 26 Indiana 13 Iowa 8 Kansas 7 Kentucky 9 Louisiana 10 Maine 4 Maryland 10 Massachusetts 14 Michigan 21 Minnesota 10 Mississippi 7 Missouri 12 Montana 4 Nebraska 5 Nevada 3 New Hampshire 4 New Jersey 17 New Mexico 4 New York 41 North Carolina 13 North Dakota 3 Ohio 25 Oklahoma 8 Oregon 6 Pennsylvania 27 Rhode Island 4 South Carolina 8 South Dakota 4 Tennessen 10 Texas 26 Utah 4 Vermont 3 Virginia 12 Washington 9 West Virginia 6 Wisconsin II Wyoming 3 538 Source: Congressional Quarterly, Vol, XXVITI, No. 50, page 2920 STATE REPUBLICAN VOTE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATIC AMER. IND. STATE VOTE VOTE VOTE Alaska 37,600 35,411 10,024 Arizona 266,721 170,514 46,573 California 3,467,664 3,244,318 487,270 Colorado 409,345 331,063 60,813 Delaware 96,714 89,194 28,459 Florida 886,804 676,794 624,207 Idaho 165,369 89,273 36,541 Illinois 2,174,774 2,039,814 390,958 Indiana 1,067,885 806,659 243,108 Iowa 619,106 476,699 66,422 Kansan 478,674 302,996 88,921 Kentucky 462,411 397,541 193,098 Missouri 811,932 791,444 206,126 Montana 138,835 114,117 20,015 Nebraska 321,163 170,804 44,745 Nevad: 73,188 60,598 20,432 New Hampshire 154,903 130,589 11,173 New Jersey 1,325,467 1,264,206 262,187 New Mexico 169,692 130,081 25,737 North Carolina 627,192 464,113 496,188 North Dakota 138,669 94,769 14,244 Ohio 1,791,014 1,700,586 467,495 Oklahoma 449,697 301,658 191,731 Oregon 408,433 358,866 49,683 South Carolina 254,062 197,486 215,430 South Dakota 149,841 118,023 13,400 Tennessee 472,592 351,233 424,792 Utah 238,728 156,665 26,906 Vermont 85,142 70,255 5,104 Virginia 590,319 442,337 321,833 Wisconsin 809,997 748,804 127,835 Wyoming 70,927 45,173 11,105 USDA LIST OF TOP 20 STATES BY CASH RECEIPTS (1969) 1. California $4,371,000,000 2. Iowa 3,788,000,000 3. Texas 2,905,000,000 4 Millinois 2,703,000,000 5. Minnesota 1,957,000,000 6. Nebraska 1,933,000,000 T. Kansas 1,718,000,000 8. Wisconsin 1,525,000,000 9. Indiana 1,487,000,000 10. Missouri 1,446,000,000 11. North Carolina 1,406,000,000 12. Florida 1,343,000,000 13. Ohio 1,254,000,000 14. Georgia 1,148,000,000 15. New York 1,081,000,000 16. Arkansas 1,039,000,000 17. Colorado 1,016,000,000 18. Pennsylvania 989,000,000 19. South Dakota 986,000,000 20. Oklahoma 939,000,000 NOTE: Based on cash receipts from farms. TOP 20 FARM STATES RANKED BY PAYMENTS TO PRODUCERS (1969) 1. Texas $501,905,837 2. Iowa 260,351,156 3. Kansas 234,345,362 4. Nebraska 199,464,680 5. Illinois 195,374,477 6. Minnesota 171,155,956 7. North Dakota 162,308,179 8. Missouri 156,259,016 9. Mississippi 133,610,885 10. Indiana 132,164,369 11. California 123,206,394 12. Oklahoma 113,942,941 13. Ohio 103,424,235 14. South Dakota 93,716,269 15. Georgia 86,088,736 16. Arkansas 82,488,245 17. Alabama 82,030,939 18. Montana 79,265,266 19. Tennessee 73,722,614 20. Michigan 73,394,040 THE 1968 FARM VOTE TAB (34% + RURAL POPULATION) REPUBLICAN STATE # OF REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT WALLACE PERCENTAGE CNTY'S 1968 Illinois 11 34,143 20,852 5,292 56.5 Michigan 3 20,177 7,536 3,162 65.3 Ohio 3 14,511 8,113 2,915 56.8 Wisconsin 21 100,825 69,397 14,922 54.4 Iowa 55 221,716 141,722 19,654 39.9 Kansas 40 78,447 34,105 11,998 62.8 Minnesota 48 166,080 161,717 16,770 48.2 Missouri 47 132,039 92,055 159 52.1 Nebraska 58 91,363 37,051 lu,544 65.7 North Dakota 42 69,507 45,960 7,452 56.5 South Dakota 45 68,889 51,844 6,409 54.2 Alabama 9 14,168 11,137 44,807 20.0 Arkansas 17 26,773 26,167 33,879 30.8 Florida 3 .1,165 1,605 6,199 10.0 Georgia 23 10,753 14,538 41,870 16.0 Louisiana 4 3,172 4,469 12,805 15.5 Mississippi 20 11,546 20,753 74,624 10.8 North Carolina 24 66,712 69,053 80,459 30.9 South Carolina 7 15,059 18,712 18,204 29.0 Texas 14 10,473 13,967 6,867 33.5 Virginia 21 53,454 39,148 38,525 40.6 Kentucky 51 109,353 69,351 39,645 50.0 Oklahoma 11 20,757 8,433 5,022 60.7 Tennessee 37 73,411 48,571 75,938 37.1 Colorado 8 10,413 5,231 1,854 59.5 Idaho 16 26,203 10,847 7,115 59.3 Montana 16 14,435 9,624 1,887 55.6 Utah 2 2,753 1,409 373 60.7 Wyoming 2 3,959 1,847 643 61.4 Oregon 2 6,093 2,405 951 64.5 Washington 1 841 602 143 53.0 TOTALS 1,479,190 1,048,271 620,087 46.9 NOTE: This single element analysis of the "farm vote" uses nearly all counties in the nation that have at least 34% of their 1960 population classified as rural farm. TABE THE THIRD PARTY VOTE: GEORGE WALLACE Introduction The two party system in the United States came under sharp stress in 1968 because of the independent candidacy of George Wallace. His political movement, formally entitled the American Independent Party, challenged directly the two-party norm in American politics. However, it achieved only limited success: 9 million voters, slightly better than 13% of the total vote, and only 5 states which were all in the Southern Region. Wallace's percentage share of the votes was below that of other major third party movements in 1912 and 1924, although his total raw vote was the largest ever received by a Third Party Candidate. Moreover, the Wallace third party effort was the most significant attempt in over 20 years to split off the traditional two-party vote in this country. THE MOST LIKELY TO BE A WALLACE VOTER Percent of Population Group Population Group 1. Independent Voter 25 2. Farmers 20 3. Men Voters 16 4. Protestant 16 THE LEAST LIKELY TO BE A WALLACE VOTER Percent of Population Group Population Group 1. Non-White 3 2. Catholic 8 3. College Educated 9 Source: Gallup Poll, December, 1968 WALLACE -231- WALLACE TABE IMPACT OF THE THIRD PARTY VOTE While news media have attempted to mitigate the effect in 1968 of the vote for the American Independent Party as being purely in "redneck" States and of no consequence outside the South, careful analysis reveals that it was in that year, and could be in 1972, of far more importance. It is a matter of history that the AIP or Wallace vote almost caused the Presidential election to be thrown into the House of Representati es for final determination. This has been commented upon and legislated upon so often since 1968 that it needs no further elaboration. Not recognized by many, however, is the fact that in many Northern States the argin of the Republican or Democrat win was very near the amount of votes siphoned off by the third party movement. This was true in some border States as well. The two attached tabulations of AIP votes in Non-Southern and Southern States illustrate this. For example, in California--the top Non-Southern or border State for Wallace in total votes--the 487,270 cast for the AIP candidate could have thrown the margin either way. The GOP got 3,467,664 to the Democrats' 3,244,318, margin some 264,000 less than the total Wallace drew off. Among other examples: RN carried Ohio by a margin of about 90,000--Wallace got 467,495 RN carried Illinois by 135,000--Wallace got 390,000 HHH carried Pennsylvania by 169,000--Wallace got 378,405 -2- HHH carried Maryland by 17,000--Wallace got 178,734 HHH carried Michigan by 223,000--Wallace got 331,968 RN carried New Jersey by 61,000--Wallace got 262,187 RN carried Missouri by 20,000--Wallace got 206,126 RN carried Wisconsin by 61,000--Wallace got 127,835 HHH carried Washington by 28,000 Wallace got 96,990 Taken together, these two tabulations show that in half of the 50 States (18 carried by RN, 7 by HHH) the AIP vote was a decisive factor in denying victor to the losing party or a wider margin to the winner. RN's victory margin was less than the vote received by Wallace in 18 States. HHH's victory margin was less than the AIP's in 7 States. The opposition will contend that RN would have lost these States were it not for the votes siphoned off from them by Wallace. Like- wise, we could claim RN could have won the 7 States where the Wallace vote exceeded the Democrat victory margin had it not been for the third party candidacy. There is basis for both parties to point fingers at the other and contend the other is supported by racists. The important points to consider, however, are: 1. Whether these votes would have been cast for RN if Wallace had not been in the race. 2. Whether these votes would have been cast for HHH if Wallace had not been in the race. -3- 3. Whether these votes are identifiable farm votes that can be won OV to RN in 1972. 4. Whether these votes will return to the GOP or Democrat column in 1972 if there is no AIP candidate. 5. Whether these votes will stay with the AIP if their candidate offers again in 1972. 6. What issues motivate these voters so as to bring them into the GOP column in 1972 whether or not the AIP candidate runs. Non-Southern States Wallace Vote % of State % of National (ranked) Total Vote Wallace Vote # 1. California 487,270 6.8 4.92 # 2. Ohio 467,495 11.8 4.72 # 3. Illinois 390,958 8.5 3.95 4. Pennsylvania 378,582 8.0 3.82 5. New York 358,864 5.3 3.62 6. Michigan 331,968 10.0 3.35 # 7. New Jersey 262,187 9.1 2.64 8. Indiana 243,108 11.4 2.45 # 9. Missouri 206,126 11.4 2.08 #10. Kentucky 193,098 18.3 1.95 #11. Oklahoma 191,731 20.3 1.93 *12. Maryland 178,734 14.5 1.80 # 13. Wisconsin 127,835 7.6 1.29 ** 14. Washington 96,990 7.4 .97 # 15. Kansas 88,921 10.2 .89 16. Massachusetts 87,088 3.7 .87 * 17. Connecticut 76,650 6.1 .77 *** 18. West Virginia 72,560 9.6 .73 19. Minnesota 68,931 4.3 .69 20. Iowa 66,422 5.7 .67 21. Colorado 60,813 7.5 61 22. Oregon 49,683 61 .50 23. Arizona 46,573 9.6 47 24. Nebraska 44,904 8.4 45 25. Idaho 36,541 12.5 36 # 26. Delaware 28,459 13.3 28 27. Utah 26,906 6.4 27 28. New Mexico 25,737 7.9 26 # 29. Nevada 20,432 13.2 20 30. Montana 20,015 7.3 20 31. Rhode Island 15,67 4.1 15 32. North Dakota 14,244 5.7 .14 # 33. South Dakota 13,400 4.7 .13 34. New Hampshire 11,173 3.8 .11 35. Wyoming 11,105 8.7 11 # 36. Alaska 10,024 12.1 .10 37. Maine 6,370 1.6 .06 38. Vermont 5,104 3.2 .05 39. Hawaii 3,469 1.5 .03 Total: 39 states 4,826,148 8.23 48.59 * -X- Denotes AIP vote greater than Democrat victory margin # Denotes AIP vote greater than Republican victory margin NOTE: The District of Columbia was the only "state" in which Wallace failed to be placed on the ballot. WALLACE NATIONAL TOTAL VOTE: 9,897,141 13.49 100.00 WALLACE -233- STATE DEMOCRATIC VOTE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATIC AMER. IND. STATE VOTE VOTE VOTE Connecticut 556,721 621,561 76,650 District of Columbia 31,012 139,566 0 Hawaii 91,425 141,324 3,469 Maine 169,254 217,312 6,370 Maryland 517,995 538,310 178,734 Massachusetts 766,844 1,469,218 87,088 Michigan 1,370,665 1,593,082 331,968 Minnesota 658,643 857,738 68,931 New York 3,007,932 3,378,470 358,864 Pennsylvania 2,090,017 2,259,405 378,582 Rhode Island 122,359 246,518 15,678 Texas 1,227,844 1,267,304 584,269 Washington 588,510 616,037 96,990 West Virginia 307,555 374,091 72,560 : NIXON'S POPULARITY Question: "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Nixon is handling his job as President?" Date of Poll Api rove Disapprove No Opinion Jan 1969 NATIONAL 59 5 36 Farmers 74 3 23 Feb 1969 NATIONAL 61 6 33 Farmers 60 2 38 Mid-Mar 1969 NATIONAL 65 9 26 Farmers 69 12 19 Late Apr 1969 NATIONAL 6] 11 28 Farmers 62 10 28 Mid-Jun 1969 NATIONAL 63 16 21 Farmers 52 18 30 Late Jul 1969 NATIONAL 65 17 18 Farmer: 68 14 18 Aug 15-18 1969 NATIONAL 62 20 18 Farmers 59 15 26 Sep 19-22 1969 NATIONAL 58 23 19 Farmers 61 22 17 Oct 3-9 1969 NATIONAL 57 24 19 Farmers 58 14 28 Nov 14-17 1969 * NATIONAL 68 19 13 Farmers 68 15 17 Jan 2-5 1970 NATIONAL 61 22 17 Farmers 56 15 29 Date of Poll Approve Disapprove No Opinion Jan 30-Feb 2 1970 NATIONAL 64 24 12 Farmers 63 21 16 Mar 27-29 1970 NATIONAL 55 33 12 Farmers 65 21 14 Apr 17-20 1970 ** NATIONAL 56 31 13 Farmers 69 16 15 May 1-4 1970 NATIONAL 57 31 12 Farmers 59 27 14 May 22-24 1970 NATIONAL 59 29 12 Farmers 77 16 7 Jul 31-Aug 2 1970 NATIONAL 55 32 13 Farmers 63 19 18 Oct 9-13 1970 NATIONAL 58 27 15 Farmers 64 19 17 Nov 14-16 1970 NATIONAL 57 30 13 Farmers 60 27 13 Feb 19-21 1971 NATIONAL 50 36 14 Farmers 53 35 12 Apr 23-25 1971 NATIONAL 50 38 12 Farmers 47 na na HEAD-TO-HEAD TRIAL HEATS The last Gallup trial heat came out June 4, 1971, with interview dates of May 7-10. The results: RN MUSKIE WALLACE UNDECIDED National 39% 41% 12% 8% Farmers 48.9 30.8 15.8 4.5 RN EMK WALLACE UNDECIDED National 42 41 10 7 Farmers 39.8 41.4 6.0 12.8 RN HHH WALLACE UNDECIDED National 42 39 12 7 Farmers 45.1 29.3 13.5 12.1 - 2 This shou 'd be compared with the two earlier polls I brought to your attention in a previous memo. As a reminder, those polls showed: Trial Heat - Gallup, Interview dates, March 12-14, 1971 RN MUSKIE WALLACE UNDECIDED National 43% 39% 12% 6% Farmers 54 20 11 15 RN EMK WALLACE UNDECIDED National 46 38 11 5 Farmers 49 28 11 12 RN HHH WALLACE UNDECIDED National 50 36 12 6 Farmers 57 26 9 8 Trial Heat - Gallup, Interview dates, January 9-10, 1971 RN MUSKIE WALLACE UNDECIDED National 44% 44% 9% 3% Farr crs 54 33 6 7 3 RN EMK WALLACE UNDECIDED National 48% 38% 9% 5% Farmers 48 37 9 6 RN HHH WALLACE UNDECIDED National 48 38 10 4 Farmers 53 31 9 7 The most alarming thing about these three polls is the loss of support among farmers in such a short period of time. For example, after leading Muskie by 34 points in March, RN now only leads him by 18, cutting the first result nearly in half. This should lead into some questions about the statistical reliability of the sample. In the March poll there were 88 samples. However there were also 80-odd samples in the May poll. Gallup then narrows the samples down to registered voters and the actual sample for both is around 60 65 registered voters. In most circums ances, I would think this to be enough samples to be statistically reliable, but even Gallup has warned that there is potential for substantial statistical error in such a small sample. Unfortunately, all this gobbledygook about samples leaves us with inconclusive answers to our questions. However, there remains a shift in opinion among farmers, and it all comes after we did SO much PR stuff aimed at farmers. Kennedy has moved ahead of RN with farmers and the others have moved up, although Humphrey's is not as dramatic. I don't think we can make any firm conclusions based on this information. What we actually need in some point in time is - 4 - a good in-depth poll on no one but farmers -- a wide- ranging poll which tells us a great deal about what they think and about how they might vote. Until then, I hesitate to commit myself to a particular analysis of current farm sentiment I will comment, however, on the question of how much of the farm vote we need in order to swing key states in 1972. Gallup says that in 1968 RN won 51% of the farm vote as opposed to 29% for Humphrey and 20% for Wallace. I.e., RN made an excellent showing among farmers, and it was decisive. In 1960, RN won 52% of the farm vote. So even with Wallace in the race, RN got virtually the same amount of support in 1968 as he got in 1960. As for 1972, in a three-way race, I don't think we can hope to get much more than 50%. If we manage that, I honestly think ;- will be unusual considering the farmers' historic disenchantment with the "ins" and the harsh impact the economy (especially inflation) has had on their incomes. In a two-way race, again, I think that matching the 1960 support a: ng farmers would be a good showing, taking into consideration the same factors in a three-way race. I agree that it would be wonderful to get a 60% plus showing for RN among farmers, and indeed we may need it as a swing factor. But the whole historical thrust of the farm vote and its peculiar vulnerability to Democratic promises lead me to believe that we can't make too much over 50% and probably ought to be pleased with that. Of course, our aim will be to let out all the stops and make sure we do everything possible to win the farm vote. But we had better be realistic about it and simply understand that while we can expect good support with farmers, we can't overlook the fact that any candidate running against the Secretary of Agriculture, against depressed farm prices, against a low parity ratio, and against policies which farmers perceive to be hurting them, cannot help but garner some of that support. no use needed - UNITED STATES DIRECTMENTO ICW DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE OFFICE OF ASSISTANT SECRETARY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250 June 9, 1971 To: John C. Whitaker, Deputy Assistant to the President Subject: Agricultural information by commodities Pursuant to your request, I have attached maps showing the top States for the 25 most signi ficant agricultural commodities produced in the United States. You also asked for an evaluation of the probable price condition pre- vailing in each commodity in late summer or early fall 1972. I am sure you understand that there is a volume of uncontrollable factors affecting each commodity. I make the following forecasts of price range subject to a major non-warranty. Cattle and calves Good Dairy Products Good Hogs Fair to good Corn Good (controllable under set- aside program) Soybeans Good Eggs Fair Turke, S Fair Rice Poor (price will be good because 01 mandatory support program but export markets dwindling and it may be necessary to reduce acreage which will make conditions poor for rice farmers) Oranges Poor Hay Totally unpredictable. -- weather too great a factor Tobacco Good Broilers Good Wheat Good Tomatoes Fair Sugar beets Good Sheep and lambs Poor Apples Fair Peanuts Good Grapes Good Lettuce Fair Barley Good 2 Soybeans Good Cotton Good Potatoes Poor Greenhouse S nursery Good In our FY 1973 budget we should provide sufficient funds for substantial programs of surplus removable of such crop as oranges, potatoes, apples, and canned fruits and vegetables. It would be wise to update this estimate in November or December of 1971 when we will know the effects of the corn blight on the 1971 corn crop and will be much better able to anticipate the general agricultural situation for 1972. Richard Lyng Assistant Secretary Attachments LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 -- All Commodities (Livestock and crops) 1. Calif. 6. Nebraska 2. Iowa 7. Kansas 3. Texas 8. Wisconsin 4. Illinois 9. Indiana 5. Minnesota 10. Missouri U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - All Livestock 1 1. Iowa 6. Minnesota 2. Texas 7. Wisconsin 3. Calif. 8. Kansas 4. Nebraska 9. Missouri 5. Illinois 10. Indiana U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 ... All Crops 1. Calif. 6. North Carolina 2. Illinois 7. Indiana 3. Texas 8. Minnesota 4. Florida 9. Kansas 5. Iowa 10. Nebraska U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS. 1969 . Cattle and Calves 1. Total value 1 $12.5 billion 1. Iown 6. Colorado 2. Texas 7. Oklahoma 3. Nebraska 8. South Dakota 4. Kansas 9. Illinois 5. Calif. 10. Minnesota U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Datry Products 2. Total value $6.21billion 1. Wisconsin 6. Michigan 2. New York 7. Ohio 3. Califor ia 8. Iowa 4. Pennsylvania 9. Texas 5. Minnesota 10. Illinois U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Bogs, 3. Total value $6.7 billion 1. Iowa 6. Minnesota 2. Illinois 7. Ohio 3. Indiana 8. South Dakota 4. Missouri 9. Wisconsin 5. Nebraska 10. Kansas U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 Corn 4. Total valide $2.8 billion 1. Illinois 6. Ohio 2. Iowa 7. Missouri 3. Indiana 8. Kansas 4. Nebraska 9. North Carolina 5. Minnesota 10. South Dakota 1 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Soybeans 5. Total value $2.5 billion 1. Illinois 6. Minnesota 2. Iowa 7. Mississippi 3. Indiana 8. Ohio 4. Arkansas 9. Louisiana 5. Missouri 10. Tennessee U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Eggs: 6. Total value $2.2 billion 1. California 6. Alabama 2. Georgia 7. Texas 3. North Carolina 8. Indiana 4. Pennsylvania 9. Mississippi 5. Arkansas 10. New York U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 ... Wheat 7. Total value $1.6 billion 1. Kansas 6. Texas 2. North Dakota 7. Nebraska 3. Oklahoma 8. Idaho 4. Washington 9. Illinois 5. Montana 10. South Dakota U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, , 1969 Broffers 8. Total value $1.6 billion 1. Georgia 6. Mississippi 2. Arkansas 7. Texas 3. Alabama 8. Delaware 4. North Carolina 9. Maine 5. Maryland 10. California U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Tobacco 9. Total Value $1.5 billion 1. North Carolina 6. Georgia 2. Kentucky 7. Florida 3. South Carolina 8. M. cyland 4. Virginia 9. Connecticut 5. Tennessee 10. Ohio U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASHI RECEIPTS, 1969.- Greenhouse and Non CIV 10. Total value $922 million 1. California 6. Illinois 2. Florida 7. New Jersey 3. New York 8. Michigan 4. Ohio 9. Oregon 5. Pennsylvania 10. Massachusetts U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 -- . Cotton Lint 11. Total value $889 million 1. Texas 6. Alabama 2. California 7. Tennessee 3. Mississippi 8. Louisiana 4. Arkansas 9. Missouri 5. Arizona 10. Oklahoma U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Sorghom Grain 12. Total value $629 million 1. Texas Arizona 2. Kansas 7. New Mexico 3. Nebraska 8. Colorado 4. California 9. Missouri 5. Oklahoma 10. South Dakota U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, , 1969 ... Potations 13. Total value $605 million 1. Idaho 6. Wisconsin 2. California 7. Florida 3. Maine 8. Oregon 4. Washington 9. Minnesota 5. New York 10. Michigan U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 H.iv 14. Total value $578 million 1. California 6. Arizona 2. Colorado 7. Minnesota 3. Washington 8. Kansas 4. Idaho 9. Nebraska 5. Texas 10. New Mexico U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 -- Oranges 15. Total value $493 million 1. Florida 2. California 3. Arizona 4. Texas 5. Hawaii U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 -- Turkeys 16. Total value $453 million 1. California 6. ARkansas 2. Minnesota 7. Iowa 3. North Carolina 8. Ohio 4. Missouri 9. Virginia: 5. Texas 10. Indiana U.S. . DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Rice 17. Total value $442 million 1. Arkansas 6. Missouri 2. California 3. Texas 4. Louisiana 5. Mississippi U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 -- Tomatoes ! 18. Total value $421 million 1. California 6. Texas 2. Florida 7. Michigan 3. Ohio 8. Pennsylvania 4. New Jersey 9. South Carolina 5. Indiana 10. New York U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, P 1969 Sugar Beets 19. . Total value $368 million 1. California 6. Washington 2. Colorado 7. Wyoming 3. Idaho 8. Montana 4. Minnesota 9. North Dakota 5. Nebraska 10. Michigan U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Sheep and Lambs 20. Total value $332 million 1. Texas 6. South Dakota: 2. Colorado 7. Wyoming 3. California 8. Utah 4. Idaho 9. Minnesota 5. Iowa 10. Montana U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 Apple 21. Total value $323 million 1. Washington 6. Virginia 2. New York 7. West Virginia 3. Michigan 8. North Carolina 4. Pennsy lvania 9. Ohio 5. California 10. Massachusetts U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 Peanuts 22. Total value $ $323 million 1. Georgia 6. Oklahoma 2. Texas 7. Florida 3. North Carolina 8. South Carolina 4. Alabama 9. New Mexico 5. Virginia 10. Mississippi U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 - Grape. 23. Total value $272 million 1. California 6. Arizona 2. New York 7. Ohio 3. Washington 8. ARkansas 4. Michigan 9. South Carolina 5. Pennsylvania 10. Missouri U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, 1969 -- Lettuce 1 24. Total value $258 million 1. California 6. Ohio 2. Arizona 7. Colorado 3. New Mexico 8. New Jersey 4. Texas 9. New York 5. Florida 10. Michigan U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE LEADING STATES FOR CASH RECEIPTS, , 1969 Barley 25. Total value $247 million 1. North Dakota 0. Oregon 2. California 7. Washington 3. intana 8. Arizona 4. Minnesota 9. Oklahoma 5. Idaho 10. Colorado U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ECONOMIC RESEARCH SERVICE Table 2.--States ranked by cash receipts, 1969 (Italica--rank of States in U.S.) (Cash receipts in million dellars) 912-013 Livestock The five Leading commission for cash receipts 1/ Total and Crops State products 1 2 3 4 5 Bank C.R. knock C.R. Bank C.M. ... ality C.R. family C.R. Connodity C.R. Complety C.H. Compodity C.R. Maine 38 239 39 13 37 81 Pointoes 3 55 Texas is 55 Broilers 9 53 Dairy 36 40 Cattle 45 7 See Hangshire 03 57 47 Lia :/ 13 Pairy Prod. JI 23 King 33 14 Cattle 47 4 Gratite Story. If 4 Applica 21 4 Verment 44 152 43 137 46 14 Datry Prod. is 116 Cattle 41 15 is:3 is 5 Formal Prul. 19 4 Apples 22 3 Mananchusetts 43 106 ss 91 40 75 bury Prod. 53 43 Crolde Mrary. :0 25 5,7.5 23 23 Cranberries I 13 Tobacco 13 9 Name Island 19 21 49 11 29 10 Phiry Pro. it 5 Cinline Nrsry. 31 5 have 17 3 Potatoes 24 3 Misc. Veg. 41 2/ Connecticut 42 106 J7 100 41 62 Dairy Proc. ;: Lii) Free 13 43 Tobacco 9 22 Grahoe Nrary. 13 :0 Cattle 46 6 New York 15 1,001 is 788 23 202 Dary Pro:. 558 Price 10 84 Cattle 34 02 Grahae Firsty. 3 57 Apples Z 40 feew Jercey 37 250 43 103 30 147 Darry Prod. 32 49 Crohse Nrsry. 7 34 ' 's 23 32 Tenatoes 4 16 Asparagus Z 9 Pennsylvania 14 969 15 752 28 237 Dairy Prod. 4 424 Cattle 29 120 Fells 4 115 Nrsry. S 43 Mushrooms I 43 Ohio 13 1,27% "70 13 404 Dairy Prod. 7 248 Cattle 17 200 Hors 7 109 Corn 6 133 Deybeans 1 1:6 Intiana 9 1,97 7 1 671 Hours 3 301 Com 3 270 3 300 Cittle 21 1.20 Dairy Prod. 12 1.3 Illinois 4 2,73 1,342 2 1,301 Corn I 734 Here 2 610 Cattle 9 502 Seybeans 1 472 Disry Prod. 10 156 22 563 23 480 18 343 Dairy Prod. 6 251 Cottle 31 115 Hars 17 51 Dry Beans I 48 TERO 17 43 Wisconsin & 1,525 7 1,313 31 212 Dairy Prod. I 847 Cattle 16 221 Hods 9 150 corn 12 42 1680 22 36 Minnesota 5 1,057 6 1,342 8 616 Cattle 10 481 Dairy Prod. 5 421 Herea 6 276 in 5 193 6' 169 lows 2 3,763 1 2,053 930 Cattle 1,37 Hows . : 1,. Corn 40 2 3:0 Dairy Prod. & 210 Minsour 13 1,446 9 1,032 15 414 Chttle 11 1,42 lices J ind Sepheans 5 100 Day Prod. " 145 Corn 7 92 North Dokola 25 704 33 105 IN 479 Whent 2 201 Cattle IS 155 Burley 55 Flaxaced 1 i.5 In.ry Prod. 37 33 South Sakota 19 906 11 603 33 183 Cattle s 510 Horts : 171 Dairy Prod. 26 64 Corn 10 52 Wheat 10 48 Nebracka 6 1,933 . 1,399 10 934 Cattle 3 998 llegs 5 20 Corn 4 250 Wheat 7 61 Sorghum Crain 3 70 Kancas 7 1,718 & 1,144 9 573 Cottic 4 872 Wheat I 284 Hogo 10 147 Sorghum Crain 2 125 Dairy Prod. 21 07 Delaware 45 151 41 107 42 1.4 Broilers & 86 Corn 21 11 Snybeans 24 10 Dairy Prod. so 9 AVES 43 6 Maryland 36 309 32 26 37 124 Broiders 5 113 Thiry Prod. 19 97 Corn 13 31 Cattle 39 in Tobacco : 23 Virginia 30 577 23 3.18 27 2.3 Ditry Prod. IS 103 Tobaco J 9, Cattle 33 61 the 20 37 Browlers " 33 West Virginia 16 16 :5 BO 45 25 Came 40 25 Bary Prod. 62 22 35 12 7 12 Beceiers 21 9 North Carolina 11 1,400 is 594 6 8:2 : I 516 Broilers 4 1:9 From 3 107 A 11 119 Parry Prod. 2 92 Smith Carolina 34 400 36 100 29 25 Tobacco 3 3 PARA 19 39 Seybenns 14 57 Castle 35 35 Policy Prod. ?! Ceorgia 14 1,148 16 740 is 407 Broilers 1 218 1420 2 214 L22 Cattle 30 115 times 12 Fierida 12 1,343 25 382 f 961 Ornnges I 304 Cuttle 25 137 Dairy Frod. 13 121 Croine Neary. Z 33 Treators ? 01 Kentucky 21 05 21 488 17 308 Tobacco 2 301 Cattle .15 234 Dairy Prod. 14 110 13 93 Corn 14 30 Termissee 27 013 21 414 26 270 Cittle 20 100 intry Prod. 17 100 Tobacco S 7.3 Sections 10 71 Heris IS 67 Alabama 26 i.3 20 5.7 32 Broilers 3 173 Cattie 26 130 6 100 15 03 Dairy Prod. 31 50 Mississ.ppi 23 22.7 22 41.2 20 3 Cattle 19 173 Grybeans 7 100 Cotton Lint 3 114 brothers 6 ind - 9 in Arkensas 16 1,039 19 534 11 5.5 Sovernme 4 2:3 Broilers 2 211 Rice I 1:9 Cuttle 21 1.3 123 5 100 Louisiena 31 572 35 254 21 313 Cittle 27 1.22 Rice 4 Xi Soylicana 9 to Dairy Prod. 25 69 2 36 Cklahoma 20 939 11 670 25 261 Cartie 1. 538 Whent 3 124 Butry Prod. 23 72 Heye 20 30 Tennuts 6 20 Texas 3 2,905 2 1,703 3 1.123 Cottle 2 1,210 Sorghum Crain I 317 Cotton Lint I 253 Dairy Frod. 9 190 7 97 Montana 33 534 21 353 34 181 Cattle 13 242 Whent 5 107 burley 3 33 Surar Dects 8 17 Dairy Prod. " 16 29 631 31 279 19 352 C.. 22 165 Potritions I 137 Dairy Prod. 27 03 Wheat & 55 Dects 3 4; 39 2.5 36 1.8 44 & Credit 23 11. Sheep Limba 7 19 State Beeta 7 10 Word 2 8 Pairy Prod. 42 7 Colorado 17 1,0:6 17 No 30 200 Cattle 6 643 Dairy Prod. 30 52 Sugar Beets 2 47 Whent 13 35 Shrep Lambs 1 is New Mexico 35 30 29 209 35 01 Cittle 14 247 Dairy Prod. 43 21 Hav 10 17 Services Crain 1 is Cotton Lint 13 15 Arizona 28' 002 26 39 72 203 Cattle 12 3.' Letture 2 07 Cotton Lint 5 3 Dalry Prod. 55 38 Hay 6 20 Utah 10 an 37 166 43 43 Chile 35 66 Dairy Prod. 35 42 Sheep Lumba 8 17 Turkeys 11 1', 1.50 3/ 8 Newndn 47 75 to 63 45 13 case 53 50 Palry Prot. J7 & Hav 25 7 Steep 23 3 Alialfo Seed 4 3 Washington 24 775 30 23 12 402 Writ 4 111 Dairy Prod. 16 112 Catile 32 10/ Applied 74 retators + 43 Oregon 32 546 34 256 24 DN Cattle 24 - Dairy Prod. 29 54 Wheat IN 35 Grande Neary. 9 28 Pointocu $ : Cilifornia 4,371 3 1,766 I 2,605 Nature 5 8.) Dairy Prod. 3 481 Name I 230 Grapes 1 223 Grnhae Nrary. I 210 Alacan 50 4 SD 3 so 1 any Prod. so 2 Cuttie 50 ?/ 1220 49 2/ Potatoca 43 2/ Hny 49 2/ Hnwall 41 199 48 40 35 159 Sugarcane I 2/ Pineapples I Cottle 42 13 Dairy Prod. 45 13 Lise 38 8 United States 47,229 28,439 18,790 Cattle 12,522 Dairy Prod. 6,172 Hoga 4,667 Corn 2,714 Soybeans 2,430 1' See table 11 for unrounded data and relative importance in the respective State. 2/ Less than $500,000. 3/ Cash receipts for minor State estimates and Howall sugarcane and pincapples are not avail- 0261 able for publication. NOTE: Ornhae Nrery. excludes mushrooms. STAFF Discotor $ 3,000 Assistent Director 2,400 Sicrotaries and clovical (3) 3.900 $9,300 TRAVEL (Including speakers) 30,000 HEARCHARTERS OVERHEAD * 11,000 TELEPHONE 5,000 MAILINGS Agrikusiness 100,000 Tablold (Total costs including postage) $700,000 (Agribusiness) 25,000 CAMPAIGH MATERIALS "Misson for Formers" Surpor strip 1,500 "Hizon for Farmors" button ECO 2,300 MEDIA advertising 500,000 Newspaper mats 3,000 Radlo spots 500,000 Toal 185,600 1,700,000 Y/6 Headquarters in Evensville, Wisconsin UNITED CITIZENS FOR NIXON AGNEW Comulative Expenditures 'v Activity As of the Dates Specified 9/20/68 10/5/63 10/10/60 11/1/68 1/31/69 Office National Chairman $ 2,091.09 $ 1,923.80 $ 2,721.74 " 5,144.98 $ 0,242.07 Office National Co-Chairman 200.00 3.550.13 5,016.50 5,730.12 5,542.74 Office National Director 4,783.34 3,195.60 4,135.55 4,242.49 Office Cirector of Administration 110,096.47 154,703.00 109,00%.57 206,610.00 268,002.00 Office of the Controller 6,970.51 7,768.11 7,998.10 0.174.25 Office of Finance 1,890.12 6,120.42 9,775.7 11,000.07 Director of Planning 0,662.12 10,266.34 0,032.27 8,490.56 9,755.01 Speakers, Colebritics/Athletes 23,453.42 36,309.01 47,432.60 61,334.40 80,200.02 Fie'd Operations 25,478.00 44,004.00 66,007.20 $3,411.80 Information Division 33,253.32 72,573.46 05,456.40 120,051.78 Compaign Materials 43,700.19 50,573.40 56,926.63 31,527.67 Automatic Typing 2,594.35 6,305.63 0,506.71 9,496.44 Colunteers 90,961.87 275,003.41 264,637.01 327,514.23 296.30' Participation Politics 56,002.88 70,966.45 105,752.34 145,350.25 Nizon/Agnew Clubs 12,244.02 22,522.20 34,015.00 57,337.00 -193- Youth for Wixon/Agnew 17,329.10 20,410.06 37,457.46 66,001.31 Yours Adults, Commitment '68 49,040.17 61,006.21 74,898.48 00,414.13 Lawyers 3,126.52 13,170.34 15,631.00 0,273.31 Veterans 4,305.08 13,011.70 21,772.77 35,703.05 Doctors 161.00 6,043.21 9,117.86 3,012.05 Dentists 2,107.49 Teachers 4,100.25 4,051.46 11.104.04 17,067.10 19.183.22 Farmers Agriculture 15,508.31 28,007.60 46,449.55 38,696.7) Hayors 3,386.10 3,306.10 3,306.10 11,756.05 11,344.81 Pilots 5,122.00 5,450.00 6,823.51 2,573.03 Mationallties 13,948.43 21,864.66 80,738.47 86,505.30 22,250.17 Young Civic Leaders 4,000.00 4,415.30 1,315.50 2,506.79 0,000,00 Senior Citizens 6,223.40 29,007.52 35,002.52 43,452.00 Law Students 1,052.18 2,330.40 2,015.40 2,816.64 Citizens Leadership Meetings 32,770.01 30,802.07 53,710.05 70,477.01 Secretaries 3,423.62 5,320.73 0,415.70 16,407.00 Soanish-Americans 500.00 2,074.55 4,060.40 15,64.22 Director of Programs 11,105.20 11,346.25 11,423.53 17,511.33 27,020 Clean -- 411.00 $35.00 Cu!! and Fine Arts -- 60.00 107.55 107.00 UNITED CITIZENS FOR NIXON AGNEW Cumulative Expenditures by Activity is of the Dates Specified 9/20/68 10/5/60 10/12/68 11/1/63 1/31/09 Ham Radio Operators -- : 6.95 27.23 27.20 Life Insurance -- 223.00 201.00 Moritime 459.05 1,632.01 2,420.51 2,001.40 Minorities 1,820.52 1,020.52 5,142.70 5,142.79 5,200.50 Scientists and Engineers 140.00 265.00 1,025.65 1,400.66 1,502.00 Director of State Organizations 6,166.39 7,778.05 8,373.85 10,850.07 12,555.00 Senior Advisors 1,016.07 1,096.62 1,065.50 2,264.06 2,432.72 Educators -- 320.23 1,912.30 1,980.00 2,216.60 Certified Public Accountants -- 192.00 207.00 1,026.50 130.10 Communications -- -- Contervetionists -- -- 120.00 242.40 242.40 Cosmetologists -- -- -- the Builders and Financers -- 80.00 172.05 1,600.40 1,602.53 Hotel & Restaurant Owners -- 3,645.50 3,053.50 411.36 301.10 Javelers -- 26.00 460.20 510.00 $3.05 Lebor -- 2,920.30 416.26 473.47 407.40 Lumber & Building Materials Dealers -- 74.00 1,321.60 3,420.60 3,501.50 Patent Lowyers -- 24.00 209.00 470.00 590.00 Pharmacists -- 547.70 $13.70 10.00 70.00 Realtors -- 913.50 600.00 600.00 Service Station Attendants -- 2,045.00 1,190.00 1,190.00 1,120.00 Small Dusiness -- -- Taxi Drivers -- 200.00 200.00 200.00 Telephone Operators -- 25.00 313.50 1,114.54 1,138.50 Trade Associations -- 71.00 71.00 Transportation -- 296.00 1,240.42 4,650.97 1,254.02 Travel agents -- 22.00 37.77 1,112.14 1,079.50 Truckers and Truck Drivers -- : County Officials -- -- 4,258.00 3,337.91 3,007.81 Computer Industry -- -- Landscape Artists 16.00 4.15 237.35 313.22 Trade Associations 1,118.25 1,118.25 1,118.25 1,113.25 1,113.43 Labor (Fleld Operations) -- -- 362.03 448.64 MC.CA TOTAL $ 610,594.70 $1,076,776.08 $1,360,354.57 $1,716,134.70 31,967,299.57 UNITED CITIZENS FOR NIXON/AGNEW Total Expenses by Activity Through January 31. 103 Expenses Per Cent Expenses Per Cent through o! Total through of Town Expense 7278 Expense Office National Chalrman $ 8,242.97 4 Secretaries $ 10,318.67 = Office National Co-Chairman 5,542.74 .3 Spanish Americans 23,865.76 Office Rational Dirceior 5,600.97 .3 Director of Programs 27,922.13 Office Director of Administration 269.332.00 13.7 Clergy 435.00 Office of the Controller 9,313.85 .5 Culture and Fine Arts 117.55 Office of Finance 11,333.07 6 Hem Radio Operators 27.43 Director of Plenning 9,755.51 .5 Life Insurance 791.03 Speakers, Celebrities/Athletes 89,203.92 4.5 Munitine 2,001.40 ! Field Operations 108,157.55 5.5 Minorities 5,280.50 3 Information Division 144,837.61 7.4 Scientists and Encineers 1,502.20 : Compaign Materials 56.917.01 2.9 Director of State Organizations 12,535.39 Automatic Typing 13,567.77 .7 Scnior Advisors 2.452.72 -195- Volunteers 296,301.18 15.1 Educators 2,336.60 Perticipation Politics 175,957.80 3.9 Certified Public Accountants 133.50 - Tixon/Anew Clubs 60,257.35 3.1 Conservationists 242.40 - Youth for Mixon/Agnew 74,703.83 3.8 Home Builders and Financiers 1,682.50 1 Young Adults. Commitment '68 28,981.10 5.0 Hotel and Restaurant Owners 301.10 - Lawyers 11,075.63 6 Josephons 504.04 - Veterans 34,535.04 1.8 Lebor 487.42 - Doctors 4,150.31 2 Lumber i. Building Materials Dealers 3,997.53 2. Dentists 1,238.43 .1 Patent Lawyers 500.64 Teachers 19,183.22 1.0 Pharmacists 70.00 Farmers/Agriculture 88,606.77 4.5 Service Station Attendents 1,100.00 : Hayors 11,944.82 6 Taxi Drivers 200.00 - Pilots 2,576.53 ! Telephone Cocrators 1,130.50 Nationalities 92,259.17 4.7 Trade Associations 71.00 - Younn Civic Leaders 8,306.55 14 Transportation 1,254.02 Senior Citizens 39.744.61 2.0 Travel Agents 1,079.50 ! in Law Students 2,872.32 .1 County Officials 3,337.91 .2 Citizens Leadership Meetings & Landscape Artists 313.22 Special Projects 96,203.59 4.9 Trade Associations 1,118.43 : Labor (Field Operations 443.64 - TOTAL $1,967,208.57 100.0 1 -196- UNITED CITIZENS FOR Contribution Received by activities thro 31, 1830 General Citizens $233,230.55 Age -1,650.23 County Officials 25.00 CPA's 7,177.53 Cuban/American Relations Committee 1,822.00 Dentists 4,834.50 Educators 1,141.50 Finance Committee 16,440.00 Grass Roots Committee 100.00 Home Builders End Financers 2,271.00 Hotcl & Restaurant Owners 3,057.50 Insurance Man 395.89 Jewelers 405.00 Landscape/Architacts 1,223.50 Lawyers 25,145.00 Life Underwriters 830.00 Lumber & Duilding Material Dealers 815.00 Maritime 125.00 Mayors 2,255.50 Nationalities 168.25 Nixon/Agnow Clubs 2,585.69 Nixon for President 157.00 Patent Lawyers 1,833.00 Pharmacists 4,333.01 Physicians 38,803.50 Pilots 804.00 Realtors 5,872.60 Scientists and Engineers 63.10 Secretaries 3,684.32 Senior Citizens 108.00 Service Station Attendants 10.00 Speak-to Nixon/Agnew 340.00 TV Committee 62.50 Teachers 1,053.52 Transportation 1,026.50 Travel Agents 908.00 Veterans 5,824.35 Volunteers 7,691.4 Woman 8,284.40 Young Civic Leaders 639.50 Youth for illixon/Agnew 3,710.84 $390,922.34 Contributions received by UCMA for Other Organizations 313,520.00 TOTAL $704,442.24 addTo TAB G- MURPHY PRODUCTS COMPANY, INC. BURLINGTON, WISCONSIN PHONE 763-3566 DR. R.R. SPITZER PRESIDENT AND GENERAL MANAGER June 8, 1971 Mr. John Whitaker Secretary to the Cabinet The White House Washington, D. C. Dear John: Attached are: 1. Agriculture for Nixon (what we felt was necessary) 1908 2. The revised Nixon-Agnew 9/19/68 schedule (list of publications that actually ran) In addition to this I am checking on the amount that we spent. headquarters, staff, etc. It is our recommendation for '72 we will need as follows: 1. More exclusive use of farm papers -- at least $500,000 2. More exclusive use of farm radio - - at least $484,000 3. For farm television -- $1,200,000 This time we have to run on the record and it is not going to be easy. Even this cannot be effective, however, unless steps are taken which we have dis- cussed. Sincerely, RRS:ch Encl. Requested '68 AGRICULTURE FOR NIXON-AGNEW FARM PRODUCTION EXPENSES $ BIL PERCENT Percent of pross income 30 60 20 40 EXPENSES 10 20 s 0 0 1850 '53 '56 '59 '62 '65 '69 C STARTMENT of RESEARCH HIMI Reprinted from the MEDIA Spring 1964 issue of AGRI MARKETING Here's how farmers keep informed ecent surveys indicate that "in depth" editorial aterial is 2 necessity in the business of farming Thomas C. Hickey esident, Agricultural Publishers Assn. How do some 3½ million American farmers keep. Dr. C. H. Sandage of the University of Illinois formed? What are the sources of information about has gained much prominence in advertising research. 10 latest techniques in new farming practices? In 1959 he went into this subject by asking farmers In the years since World War 11, leading col- these two questions: (1) "Amount of helpful informa- gcs across the nation have done much research in tion from ads?" and, (2) "Amount of dependence is area. Their aim has been to determine just farmers can place in ads?" actly how farmers keep informed. This is what Dr. Sandage learned: 1. Amount of helpful information from ads? The University of Illinois, in 1950, tackled the Farm publications 28.0% oblem by asking farmers this question, "What do Newspapers 19.9 11, a farmer, consider your most important source TV 8.0 information?" The results were extremely revealing: Radio 6.4 :.5 percent of the respondents specified farm publica- 2. Amount ci dependence (bolievability) farmers DDS. Next in importance were farm advisors with 6.0 can place in ads? reent of the vote; then came neighbors and friends Farm publications 33.7% th 5.7 percent; and finally radio and TV, 0.7 per- Newspapers 18.6 nt. TV 6.9 While farm publications seem clearly the most im- Radio 6.2 ortant source for information to farmers, it should pointed out that the broadcast media, especially Other studies have been made by such Land Grant dio, are extremely important in providing up-to-the- colleges as Purdue, Iowa State and Cornell. A suni- inute market and weather information for farmers. mary of some ten such studies provides an over-all hese media are superb in that area. picture demonstrating the great prominence of farm Detailed information about new techniques in publications in the agricultural business scene. riculture, however, is another matter. In that respect, Lumping the studies together, we find farmers keep rm publications apparently have no rivals. This informed (about farming practices) in this way: explained perhaps by suggesting that farm publica- ons are, in a very real sense, business publications - Farm publications 65.0% d the business is that of modern farming "In Neighbors 50.0 $ pth" editorial material seems necessary to satisfy the County agents 37.0 rmer's hunger for new information. Sales literature 26.0 Radio 18.0 In 1961 South Dakota State College asked farmers, Newspapers 9.0 Vhat is the information source most helpful in new TV 4.0 ining practices?" The results show: farm publica- This all suggests that the job of communicating to ins - 65.8 percent; neighbors and friends - 21.0 per- the nation's farmers is indeed a big one. But farm nt; county agents - 13.9 percent; college bolletins publications in America, aided in varying degrees, by 13.8 percent; radio - 2.7 percent; TV - 2.6 percent. other media, are doing that job admirably. M it: Vhere Farmers Get Information about Farm Practices M MAGAZINES 48% ibors and Friends 16% ents or Ext. Meetings 13% Exp. Station Bulletins 6% Farm Shows 3% y or Relatives 3% I Teacher 2% her 9% IIld-South Chenical Co. survey among formers using on average of 40 tons of fortilizor each In eight Southern states: Ala., Ark., Ky., Lo., Hiss., Tonn., Okla., and YOX. 20-131 The THE SOUTH'S LARGEST FARM MAGAZINE Progressive Farmer Birmingham Now York Chicago ore Farmers Depend on Information and Claims Made n Advertising in Farm Magazines M MAGAZINES 48% alogs 20 % ly Newspapers 19% 1 Weeklies 12% VISION 7% io 6% of Mail 5% ral Magazines 5% Dr. C. H. Sandago, Universit, of Illinois Study "Farmors Attitudes Toward Advertising 28-13d N. The THE SOUTH'S LARGEST FARM MAGAZINE Progressive Farmer Birmingham New York Chicago Detroit Atlanta Dallas Urban and Rural 17 No. 11. POPULATION, URBAN AND RUHAL-STATES AND PUERTO Rico: 1050 AND 1000 (In thousands, except percent. 1000 based 00 sample] 1950 1900 STATE OR OTHER AREA Urban Rural Urban Rural Number Percent Nonfarm Farm Number Percent Noutarm Farm United States 26,847 61.0 $ 31,431 123,015 125,781 60.9 40,507 13,474 7,102 76.2 1,810 403 8,033 76.4 2,297 ISI New England 472 51.7 320 122 407 51.3 421 43 Maino New Hompshire 307 57.5 179 47 354 58.3 235 19 Vermont 135 35.4 150 81 150 35.5 101 42 Massachusetts 3,050 8L4 651 80 4,203 83.6 810 36 Rhode Island 667 81.3 111 10 743 80.1 113 4 Connecticut 1,530 77.6 3S5 63 1,056 78.3 525 25 Middle Atlantic 21,272 80.5 4,501 1,355 27,810 81,4 5,625 733 New York 12,652 85.5 1,570 578 14,333 85.4 2,126 325 62 New Jersey 4,185 86.6 511 105 5,374 85.0 611 Pennsylvania 7,403 70.5 2,300 703 8,103 71.6 2,661 350 East North Central 21,186 60.7 6,510 3,703 26,430 73.0 7,227 2,603 Ohio 5,578 70.2 1,315 853 7,121 73.4 2,061 520 Indiana 2,357 50.0 910 C07 2,010 62.4 1,267 456 Illinois 6,750 77.6 1,190 203 8,111 80.7 1,378 563 Michigan 4,503 70.7 1,174 695 5,741 73.4 1,613 411 Wisconsin 1,055 57.9 721 725 2,523 63.8 870 554 5 West North Central 7,305 52.0 3,027 3,720 9,017 53.8 3,518 2,800 Minnesota 1,625 51.5 618 740 2,121 62.1 705 655 Jon's 1,251 47.7 587 783 1,493 53.1 632 662 Missouri 2,433 61.5 608 863 2,673 66.0 are 541 35.2 205 204 N. Dakota 165 26.6 200 2.1 233 S. Dakota 217 33.2 182 251 207 30.3 208 206 Nebraska 622 46.9 312 391 706 51.3 337 309 Kansas 903 52.1 468 411 1,320 61.0 529 321 South Atlantic 10,391 40.1 6,15S 4,633 14,853 57.2 8,783 2,325 Delaware 100 62.6 85 31 203 €5.0 132 22 Maryland 1,616 60.0 514 183 2,254 72.7 737 110 Dist. o: Col 802 100.0 - 701 100.0 Virginia 1,500 47.0 1,027 732 2,005 55.8 1,332 307 W. Virginia 601 31.6 un 411 711 35.2 1,075 121 N. Carolina 1,33 33.7 1,317 1,3/7 1,802 39.5 1,016 808 S. Carolina 778 36.7 as 701 081 41.2 1,050 351 Georgia 1,550 45.3 903 962 2,150 55.3 1,356 407 Florida 1,811 65.5 725 233 3,023 74.0 1,183 108 Exce South Central 4,455 39.1 2,911 4,015 6,831 45.4 4,133 2,050 Kentucky 1,033 36.8 837 074 1,333 41.5 1,137 5-15 Tennessee 1,453 41.1 823 1,015 1,865 52.3 1,116 557 Alabama 1,311 43.8 700 600 1,705 55.0 1,060 403 Mississippi 007 27.9 475 1,007 821 37.7 814 513 West South Central 8,080 55.6 3,213 3,215 11,470 67.7 3,003 1,621 Arkansas G31 33.0 477 802 765 42.8 650 332 Louislana 1,472 54.8 011 567 2,001 63.3 033 233 Oklahoma 1,130 51.0 511 553 1,495 62.9 001 250 Texas 4,833 62.7 1,351 1,292 7,1%3 75.0 1,600 697 Mountain 2,786 51.9 1,431 8:0 4,600 67.1 1,679 877 Montana 255 43.7 107 135 308 50.2 230 106 Idaho 253 42.9 171 165 317 47.5 217 133 Wyoming 145 40.8 80 57 188 56.8 00 43 Colornio 831 02.7 206 103 1,293 73.7 333 126 New Mexico 312 50.2 207 132 625 65.7 267 50 Arizona 416 55.5 257 77 971 74.5 277 55 Utah 450 65.3 158 81 657 74.9 180 43 Nevada 92 57.2 ss 13 201 70.4 74 10 Packie 11,211 74.4 12,801 11,070 17,150 81.1 3,315 660 Washington 1,503 63.2 002 274 1,910 68.1 710 161 Once 819 53.9 471 223 1,100 02.2 530 133 California 8,530 80.7 1,470 508 13,577 86.4 1,773 351 Marka 31 26.6 10: (1) 85 37.0 138 2 Hawaii 345 C2.0 155 (1) 431 76.5 138 11 Puerto Rico 805 40.5 11,315 (') 1,009 44.2 11,001 (1) Represents 1010. I Farm included with conform for Aleska and Howell. Term included with nonfarm. Bource: Dept. of Corprasse, Bureau of the Consus; U.S. Cross of Population: 1050, Vol. II. AND 1900, Vol. I. PURPOSE OF MEDIC FARM PAPERS A two-page spread is suggested in leading national, regional and vertical publications to explain Mr. Nixon's position on the farm program. In twenty key states -- one and two inscrtions will be placed in state farm publications to detail why and how farmers will benefit by voting for Nixon-Agnew. Pertinent highlights of the proposed farm plank will be featured. 31 publications - $157,745 FARM RADIO Farm radio is recommended for use in the twenty key states. We suggest 299 farm stations be used -- 18 one-minute spots a week in prime farm time for six weeks -- from September 23 through November 2. Radio will be used to urge listeners to comment on the farm program -- that they will have a voice in formulating the Nixon farm policy. 108 one-minute announcements on 299 stations @ $15.00 average Total time - $484,380 0 RURAL NEWSPAPERS The importance of farming as an industry extends to 41% of the voting population. Those people are members of industrial groups that supply 31 billion dollar annual inputs of our agricultural economy. They also process market and distribute the food and fibre of our nation's farms to consumers. Their welfare depends on a healthy agricultural economy. We plan to tell the Agri-business interdependence story to people in those rural areas with newspapers in the twenty key states of California, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Texas, Michigan, New Jersey, Missouri, Wisconsin, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, South Carolina, New York, Tennessee, Maryland, Washington, Kentucky, Georgia, and Oregon. Weeklies in twenty key states 2965 papers in Agri-business towns 600-line ads @ 8 cents a line 48 X 2965 papers -- 2 insertions Weeks of October 7, October 21 - $284,640 DIRECT MAIL In every state farmers have faced declining prices for their products and increased costs for the production items that they buy. Urged on by the present administration's program of food for peace -- of subsidies that have failed to control production -- farmers have over-produced, with consequent lowering of net income to farmers. Farmers generally know that they can not continue with the democratic administration. They are ready for a change. They are ready to vote for Nixon-Agnew -- particularly if they have some assurance of fair and thoughtful consideration of their problems. To give them that assurance -- in sufficient detail -- we propose that a 16-page bulk, direct mail news- paper tabloid be sent to R.F.D. box holders in the twenty key states -- to as many others that succeed in setting up a bona fide state Agriculture for Nixon-Agnew Committee, complete with an adequate roster of citizens. Such rosters are to be completed by September 16. The direct mail folder will be localized as much as possible by states with names and add, esses of Agri- business leaders for Nixon-Agnew. Estimated Cost - $700,000 SUMMARY Farm Papers $ 157,745 Radio 484,380 Weekly Newspapers 284,640 Print Preparation 80,000 Radio Preparation 12,000 Direct Mail 700,000 TOTAL $1,718,765 requested REVISED -- 9/19/68 space Octual '68 NIXON - AGNEW Farm Publications (stell tablock not lited Total Cost Issue Close Out Circ. Drovers Journal 620 Lines B/W 620.00 10/10 10/1 10/10 55,841 Farm Journal Page, B/W (7-1/16" X 10-3/16") 14,790.00 Nov. 10/2 10/12 3,045,853 (Ext.) Hoard's Dairyman Page, B/W (9-1/18" X 13") 3,021.20 10/25 9/25 10/25 347,533 Progressive Farmer (9-3/8" X 12-1/8") Texas - Oklahoma Edition Page, B/W 2,305.00 Nov. 9/23 10/21 314,000 (Ext.) Carolinas, Va., Del., Md. Page, B/W 2,175.00 Nov. 9/23 306,000 (Ext.) Ky., Tenn., W. Va. Page, B/W 1,795.00 Nov. 9/23 222,000 (Ext.) Successful Farming Page, B/W (7-1/6" X 10-3/16") 6,800.00 Nov. 9/22 10/25 1,330,774 (Ext.) American Agriculturist & The Rural New Yorker Page, B/W (9-1/16"x 13-9/16") 2,394.00 Nov. 10/1 11/1 214,094 California Farmer Page, B/W (9-1/15"x 13-1/2") 1,672.00 10/5 9/15 10/5 77,184 The Dakota Farmer Page, B/W (9-1/16" X 13-9/16") 1,368.00 10/5 9/20 10/5 84,368 The Southern Planter Page, B/W (9-1/16" X 13-9/16") 1,897.00 Nov. 10/5 11/1 195,790 Total Cost Issue Close Out Circ. Farmer Stockman Unit (9-1/8π X 13-9/16") The Kansas Farmer Stockman The Oklahoma Farmer Stockman The Texas Farmer Stockman Oct. 9/10 10/1 Page, B/M 4,180.00 Nov. 10/10 11/1 417,585 Harvest State Unit (9-1/16" X 13-9/16") Kansas Farmer 10/5 9/20 10/5 Michigan Farmer 10/5 9/20 10/5 Missouri Ruralist 10/12 9/28 10/12 Ohio Farmer 10/5 9/20 10/5 Pennsylvania Farmer 10/12 9/28 10/12 Page, B/W 6,080.00 521,086 Midwest Unit (9-1/16* 13-9/16") The Farmer 10/5 9/17 10/5 Nebraska Farmer 10/5 9/20 10/5 Prairie Farmer 10/5 9/17 10/5 Wallaces Farmer 10/12 9/24 10/12 Wisconsin Agriculturist 10/12 9/24 10/12 Page, B/W 9,270.00 1,020,075 lestern Unit 9-1/16"x 13-9/16") Arizona Farmer Ranchman 10/5 9/20 10/5 Colorado Rancher & Farmer Nov. 10/15 11/1 Northwest Unit 10/3 9/18 10/3 Idaho Farmer Montana Farmer Stockman Oregon Farmer Utah Farmer Washington Farmer Page, B/W 3,222.40 214,045 Southern Unit 9-1/8" X 13-9/16") Alabama Farmer Arkansas Farmer Delmarva Farmer Florida Grower & Rancher Georgia Farmer Kentucky Farmer (Cont :d.) Total Cost Issue Close Out Circ. Southern Unit Cont :d. (9-1/8" X 13-9/16") Louisiana Farmer Mississippi Farmer North Carolina Grower South Carolina Farmer Tennessee Farmer Page, B/W 8,018.00 Oct. 9/15 10/1 678,917 (Ext.) Grand Total 69,607.60 9,053,145 Fuller & Smith & Ross Inc. 410 North Michigan Ave. Chicago Illinois 60611