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This file contains: American Political Report 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 9/11/1972 Taling Paper for Political Meeting 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/14/1972 From Haldeman to Scali RE Liberals for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Haldeman to Chapin RE VP Sandwich on McGovern. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/18/1972 1972 Electoral Vote Forecast. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date From Howard to Strachan RE Attached Remarks of John Connally. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/16/1972 Remarks by John Connally. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date From Malek to President. RE Prelim Report on Canvass Kick Off. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/16/1972 From Agnew to Stans. RE Fund Raising Breakfast. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 9/15/1972 From Chapin to Bull, Parker, Walker. RE 1972 Presidential Campaign. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/14/1972 From Chotiner to Haldeman. RE Bob Hill Comments. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/15/1972 From Higby to GS RE: Attached Memo Dividing McGovern from Local Democrat Campaigns. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/26/1972 From Strachan to Colson. RE Attached memo-Thoughts on Post Convention. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/22/1972 From Buchanan to Haldeman, Ehrlichman, Colson. RE Cammpaign issues. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Strachan to Higby. RE Attached memo Haldeman to Colson. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 Memo RE Campaign media. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date From Haldeman to Strachan. RE California polling. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/16/1972 From MacGregor to Haldeman, Timmons, Chapin. RE Attached memo Shumway to Magruder. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Haldeman. RE Soviet commercial. 1 pg. [Subject: Foreign Policy] [Memo], 9/14/1972 From Magruder to Haldeman. RE Attached memos and requests. 11 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/8/1972 From Chotiner to Haldeman. RE Security arrangements. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/28/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE NY Financial Community. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/22/1972 Notes on Campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date From Ellsworth to Magruder. RE Memo. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 8/3/1972 From Lasker to MacGregor. RE Leaders in Finance. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 8/4/1972 From Ellsworth to Magruder. RE Wall Street for President. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/26/1972 From Bartels to Safire. RE Wall Street Committee. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 6/27/1972 From Ellsworth. RE Wall Street Committee. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date From Shearer, Jr. to State Chairman. RE Campaign duties. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/25/1972 From Reisner to Magruder. RE Campaign groups. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1972 From Colson to Mitchell. RE Ellsworth. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE NY Financial Communiity. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/22/1972 Notes on campaign. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 8/20/1972 Democrats for Nixon Advertising Proposal. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/4/1972 From Malek. RE Military registration. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From Haldeman to MacGregor. RE Political Action. 7 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/25/1972 From MacGregor to Haldeman. RE Senior Advisors. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From McGovern to President. RE POW ballots. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 9/11/1972 From Strachan to Higby. RE New Political Field Men. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/20/1972 From MacGregor to Haldeman. RE Memo from Malek to MacGregor; Nixon-Griffin Organization. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Dent to Strachan. RE Sept. 12 primaries. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Dent to President. RE Evaluation of primaries. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Chapin to Colson. RE Surrogate attack operation. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From Chapin to Damgard. RE Conservative Party Convention. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Dent to Strachan. RE Primary update. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE Campaign Promotional Materials. 13 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Collins to Haldeman. RE Evans- Novak Political Report. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Strachan to Magruder. RE Campaign Victory Plan. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Haldeman. RE Babbit in Arkansas race. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Higby to Buchanan. RE Shriver. 1 pg [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Strachan to Magruder. RE American Flag Lapel Pins. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Haldeman to Chapin. RE Young voters. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE Pat Hunter and Barbara Franklin. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Amolsch to Failor. RE McGovern's Duluth appearance. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From Rietz to Malek. RE August 12 Registration Drive Report. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/31/1972 From Herringer to Haldeman. RE Evans and Novak column. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From Malek to Higby, RE Campaign trips. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/8/1972 From Colson to MacGregor. RE Campaign major points. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From Malek to Haldeman. RE Voter Bloc Progress and Plans report. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Strachan to Higby. RE NY Financial Community. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/28/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE McGovern's TV ads. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972

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This file contains: American Political Report 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 9/11/1972 Taling Paper for Political Meeting 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/14/1972 From Haldeman to Scali RE Liberals for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Haldeman to Chapin RE VP Sandwich on McGovern. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/18/1972 1972 Electoral Vote Forecast. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date From Howard to Strachan RE Attached Remarks of John Connally. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/16/1972 Remarks by John Connally. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date From Malek to President. RE Prelim Report on Canvass Kick Off. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/16/1972 From Agnew to Stans. RE Fund Raising Breakfast. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 9/15/1972 From Chapin to Bull, Parker, Walker. RE 1972 Presidential Campaign. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/14/1972 From Chotiner to Haldeman. RE Bob Hill Comments. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/15/1972 From Higby to GS RE: Attached Memo Dividing McGovern from Local Democrat Campaigns. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/26/1972 From Strachan to Colson. RE Attached memo-Thoughts on Post Convention. 6 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/22/1972 From Buchanan to Haldeman, Ehrlichman, Colson. RE Cammpaign issues. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Strachan to Higby. RE Attached memo Haldeman to Colson. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 Memo RE Campaign media. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date From Haldeman to Strachan. RE California polling. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/16/1972 From MacGregor to Haldeman, Timmons, Chapin. RE Attached memo Shumway to Magruder. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Haldeman. RE Soviet commercial. 1 pg. [Subject: Foreign Policy] [Memo], 9/14/1972 From Magruder to Haldeman. RE Attached memos and requests. 11 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/8/1972 From Chotiner to Haldeman. RE Security arrangements. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/28/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE NY Financial Community. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/22/1972 Notes on Campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date From Ellsworth to Magruder. RE Memo. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 8/3/1972 From Lasker to MacGregor. RE Leaders in Finance. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 8/4/1972 From Ellsworth to Magruder. RE Wall Street for President. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/26/1972 From Bartels to Safire. RE Wall Street Committee. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 6/27/1972 From Ellsworth. RE Wall Street Committee. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date From Shearer, Jr. to State Chairman. RE Campaign duties. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/25/1972 From Reisner to Magruder. RE Campaign groups. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/21/1972 From Colson to Mitchell. RE Ellsworth. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 7/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE NY Financial Communiity. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/22/1972 Notes on campaign. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 8/20/1972 Democrats for Nixon Advertising Proposal. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/4/1972 From Malek. RE Military registration. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From Haldeman to MacGregor. RE Political Action. 7 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/25/1972 From MacGregor to Haldeman. RE Senior Advisors. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From McGovern to President. RE POW ballots. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 9/11/1972 From Strachan to Higby. RE New Political Field Men. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/20/1972 From MacGregor to Haldeman. RE Memo from Malek to MacGregor; Nixon-Griffin Organization. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Dent to Strachan. RE Sept. 12 primaries. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Dent to President. RE Evaluation of primaries. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Chapin to Colson. RE Surrogate attack operation. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From Chapin to Damgard. RE Conservative Party Convention. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Dent to Strachan. RE Primary update. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE Campaign Promotional Materials. 13 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/13/1972 From Collins to Haldeman. RE Evans- Novak Political Report. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Strachan to Magruder. RE Campaign Victory Plan. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Haldeman. RE Babbit in Arkansas race. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Higby to Buchanan. RE Shriver. 1 pg [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Strachan to Magruder. RE American Flag Lapel Pins. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Haldeman to Chapin. RE Young voters. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/12/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE Pat Hunter and Barbara Franklin. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Amolsch to Failor. RE McGovern's Duluth appearance. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From Rietz to Malek. RE August 12 Registration Drive Report. 5 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/31/1972 From Herringer to Haldeman. RE Evans and Novak column. 8 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From Malek to Higby, RE Campaign trips. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/8/1972 From Colson to MacGregor. RE Campaign major points. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1972 From Malek to Haldeman. RE Voter Bloc Progress and Plans report. 10 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972 From Strachan to Higby. RE NY Financial Community. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/28/1972 From Strachan to Haldeman. RE McGovern's TV ads. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/11/1972
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Report American Political Report 4 pgs. 37 1 9/14/1972 Campaign Other Document Taling Paper for Political Meeting 1 pg. 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Haldeman to Scali RE Liberals for Nixon. 1 pg. 37 1 9/18/1972 Campaign Memo From Haldeman to Chapin RE VP Sandwich on McGovern. 1 pg. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 1 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 Campaign Report 1972 Electoral Vote Forecast. 1 pg. 37 1 9/16/1972 Campaign Other Document From Howard to Strachan RE Attached Remarks of John Connally. 6 pgs. 37 1 Campaign Other Document Remarks by John Connally. 8 pgs. 37 1 9/16/1972 Campaign Memo From Malek to President. RE Prelim Report on Canvass Kick Off. 4 pgs. 37 1 9/15/1972 Campaign Letter From Agnew to Stans. RE Fund Raising Breakfast. 2 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 2 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/14/1972 Campaign Memo From Chapin to Bull, Parker, Walker. RE 1972 Presidential Campaign. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/15/1972 Campaign Memo From Chotiner to Haldeman. RE Bob Hill Comments. 1 pg. 37 1 7/26/1972 Campaign Memo From Higby to GS RE: Attached Memo Dividing McGovern from Local Democrat Campaigns. 2 pgs. 37 1 7/22/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Colson. RE Attached memo-Thoughts on Post Convention. 6 pgs. 37 1 9/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Buchanan to Haldeman, Ehrlichman, Colson. RE Cammpaign issues. 5 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 3 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Higby. RE Attached memo Haldeman to Colson. 3 pgs. 37 1 Campaign Memo Memo RE Campaign media. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/16/1972 Campaign Memo From Haldeman to Strachan. RE California polling. 1 pg. 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Memo From MacGregor to Haldeman, Timmons, Chapin. RE Attached memo Shumway to Magruder. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/14/1972 Foreign Policy Memo From Haldeman. RE Soviet commercial. 1 pg. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 4 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 8/8/1972 Campaign Memo From Magruder to Haldeman. RE Attached memos and requests. 11 pgs. 37 1 8/28/1972 Campaign Memo From Chotiner to Haldeman. RE Security arrangements. 3 pgs. 37 1 8/22/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman. RE NY Financial Community. 3 pgs. 37 1 Campaign Other Document Notes on Campaign. 1 pg. 37 1 8/3/1972 Campaign Letter From Ellsworth to Magruder. RE Memo. 1 pg. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 5 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 8/4/1972 Campaign Letter From Lasker to MacGregor. RE Leaders in Finance. 3 pgs. 37 1 7/26/1972 Campaign Letter From Ellsworth to Magruder. RE Wall Street for President. 1 pg. 37 1 6/27/1972 Campaign Letter From Bartels to Safire. RE Wall Street Committee. 1 pg. 37 1 > Campaign Memo From Ellsworth. RE Wall Street Committee. 3 pgs. 37 1 7/25/1972 Campaign Letter From Shearer, Jr. to State Chairman. RE Campaign duties. 9 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 6 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 7/21/1972 Campaign Memo From Reisner to Magruder. RE Campaign groups. 1 pg. 37 1 7/13/1972 Campaign Letter From Colson to Mitchell. RE Ellsworth. 1 pg. 37 1 8/22/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman. RE NY Financial Communiity. 3 pgs. 37 1 8/20/1972 Campaign Other Document Notes on campaign. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/4/1972 Campaign Other Document Democrats for Nixon Advertising Proposal. 8 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 7 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/6/1972 Campaign Memo From Malek. RE Military registration. 1 pg. 37 1 7/25/1972 Campaign Memo From Haldeman to MacGregor. RE Political Action. 7 pgs. 37 1 9/9/1972 Campaign Memo From MacGregor to Haldeman. RE Senior Advisors. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Letter From McGovern to President. RE POW ballots. 1 pg. 37 1 8/20/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Higby. RE New Political Field Men. 2 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 8 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From MacGregor to Haldeman. RE Memo from Malek to MacGregor; Nixon-Griffin Organization. 9 pgs. 37 1 9/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Dent to Strachan. RE Sept. 12 primaries. 1 pg. 37 1 9/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Dent to President. RE Evaluation of primaries. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/9/1972 Campaign Memo From Chapin to Colson. RE Surrogate attack operation. 3 pgs. 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Chapin to Damgard. RE Conservative Party Convention. 1 pg. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 9 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Dent to Strachan. RE Primary update. 4 pgs. 37 1 9/13/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman. RE Campaign Promotional Materials. 13 pgs. 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Collins to Haldeman. RE Evans- Novak Political Report. 4 pgs. 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Magruder. RE Campaign Victory Plan. 1 pg. 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Memo From Haldeman. RE Babbit in Arkansas race. 1 pg. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 10 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Higby to Buchanan. RE Shriver. 1 pg. 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Magruder. RE American Flag Lapel Pins. 1 pg. 37 1 9/12/1972 Campaign Memo From Haldeman to Chapin. RE Young voters. 1 pg. 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman. RE Pat Hunter and Barbara Franklin. 1 pg. 37 1 9/9/1972 Campaign Memo From Amolsch to Failor. RE McGovern's Duluth appearance. 2 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 11 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 8/31/1972 Campaign Memo From Rietz to Malek. RE August 12 Registration Drive Report. 5 pgs. 37 1 9/6/1972 Campaign Memo From Herringer to Haldeman. RE Evans and Novak column. 8 pgs. 37 1 9/8/1972 Campaign Memo From Malek to Higby, RE Campaign trips. 4 pgs. 37 1 9/9/1972 Campaign Memo From Colson to MacGregor. RE Campaign major points. 2 pgs. 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Memo From Malek to Haldeman. RE Voter Bloc Progress and Plans report. 10 pgs. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 12 of 13 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 37 1 8/28/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Higby. RE NY Financial Community. 4 pgs. 37 1 9/11/1972 Campaign Memo From Strachan to Haldeman. RE McGovern's TV ads. 1 pg. Wednesday, April 22, 2015 Page 13 of 13 The Vol. I, No. 25 September 11, 1972 American Kevin Phillips, Editor Political Published by the American Political Research Corporation 4720 Montgomery Avenue Bethesda, Maryland 20014 Telephone (301) 654-4990 Report In the eight weeks since George McGovern's nomination, he has slipped from a 16% Gallup Poll lag to a 34% deficit. With just eight weeks remaining until Election Day, Washington observers of both parties are now discounting the possibility that the South Dakota Senator can adequately turn things around. Note that during a comparable eight-week period, Democratic comeback campaigners Harry S. Truman and Hubert Humphrey had both begun to gain ground in Gallup trial heats. Under these circumstances, political attention is shifting to sev- eral consequential questions: 1) Can the Republicans capture Congress? 2) Who will control the wreckage of the Democratic Party? 3) Can the GOP actually forge that new majority? 4) Is the South going over to the GOP? 5) Will 1973 bring a new era of government social and fiscal restraint? AROUND THE WHITE HOUSE While Richard Nixon's pledge of no new taxes (linked to Congress hold- ing the spending line) is campaign oratory, in light of changing public atti- tudes (see Special Survey) it may be more realizable than experts generally be- lieve. Analysts who believe that social spending needs will mandate new taxes are paying insufficient attention to public opinion's strong shift away from the expensive social adventurism of the Sixties. Sharp Democratic VS. GOP differ- ences on this issue could turn out to be one of the most important denominators of the election and progenitors of 1973 policy. Discount speculation over feuding between the White House and the Com- mittee to Re-Elect the President because the Committee is not in a position to "feud" over anything important. Since the resignation of John Mitchell, control of the campaign has firmly passed to the White House -- and now this means the President himself (via chief agents Bob Haldeman and Chuck Colson). After a quarter-century of politicking, RMN is not going to pass up the chance to engrave his own initials on the biggest triumph of his career -- no way. Colson's strategic emergence is proof of the pudding. If Haldeman is the President's political managerial arm, Colson is his swordarm -- the senior White House staffer who best shares the President's gut approach to politics. Hatchetry is only one ingredient. Like RMN, Colson is a skilled lone wolf per- sonally committed to supplanting today's fashionable Liberal Establishment with a "new majority." (Part of his increased influence comes from the fact that his long-recommended constituencies -- Catholics, blue-collar workers and ethnics -- have now, along with Harry Dent's Dixie, become the targets of the New Major- ity.) Colson's presence is more likely to be felt in these ways than in hatch- etry, where any failures could boomerang against him because of his reputation. Nor does the prospect that the President will wade into October battle neces- sarily spell trouble for the GOP if he uses his high visibility to draw impor- tant issue distinctions and avoids the 1-Am-The-President tactics and overly harsh rhetoric of 1970. 1972. Published biweekly by the American Political Research Corporation at $85 a year. Reproduction or quotation without specific permission is prohibited by law. what he mean by this ? CAMPAIGN 1972 At the risk of overemphasizing the theoretical forest and paying too little attention to the trees of individual situations, the most important facet of the 1972 election is whether the indicated Nixon victory is going to trigger a political re-alignment that will affect everything from congressional commit- tee structures to interest rates and defense spending. Conservative Democrats hold the key, and in this connection, the in- credible staff bungling and disintegration of the McGovern campaign apparatus may actually serve to arrest re-alignment. As his poll ratings dip, his staff disintegrates and his own image of incompetence grows, McGovern's candidacy is seeming -- to many Democrats -- more and more like an unfortunate aberration from which the party can turn away after November's slaughter. This sort of attitude, among George Wallace and others, will retard Dixie shifts to the GOP. Republican hopes will be better fulfilled if the McGovernites can reduce their poll deficit to 20% and consolidate their intra-party position. Just how strong President Nixon's poll situation is can be best illus- trated by the comparative post-convention Gallup Poll data of previous election winners: August Election Candidate (Year) Heats September October November Range Result Truman (1948) 37% 36.5% 39% 44.5% (37-44.5%) 49.6% Eisenhower (1952) 47 55 50 47.5 47 (47-55) 55.1 Eisenhower (1956) 52 52 52 51 57 (51-57) 57.4 Kennedy (1960) 44 47 48 49 49 51 49 (44-51) 49.6 Johnson (1964) 59 65 65 62 64 61 (59-65) 61.5 Nixon (1968) 45 43 43 44 44 42 43 (42-45) 43.4 Nixon (1972) 57 64 ? ? ? ? ? As the chart shows, candidates pretty quickly stake out a "range" in the Gallup Poll, and they usually finish somewhere in the middle of it. Further prediction of a Nixon victory in the 57% to 64% range comes from the pattern of the 1970 off-year congressional results. During the last fifty years, whenever a party in the White House has lost less than 20 House and Senate seats in its midterm elections, it has gone on to win a landslide re- election. The best off-year showing was FDR's in 1934, when the Democrats actu- ally gained in Congress. Next came the Democrats' very small losses in 1962, followed by the second biggest presidential landslide. The 1926 and 1954 off- year elections (small GOP losses) were followed by the GOP landslides of 1928 and 1956. The 1970 results, third best of the last half-century, add up this way: a net GOP loss of 7 House and Senate seats, suggesting a major 1972 land- slide midway between those of 1928 and 1956 (58.2% and 57.4%) and that of 1964 (61.5%). If it works, will it be an interesting coincidence or an extraordinar- ily useful yardstick? Exactly how many states McGovern will carry in November remains iffy, but here is APR's earliest-in-print (April 10) profile of a Nixon V. McGovern landslide: Sure McGovern -- District of Columbia; leaning McGovern -- Massachu- setts, Hawaii; doubtful Rhode Island, West Virginia; the rest leaning or safe for Nixon. As of today, we shift Hawaii and West Virginia to leaning Nixon; otherwise, things don't look too different. 2 DIXIE: LINCHPIN OF THE NEW POLITICS After years of being the national dungheap and punching bag, the Old Confederacy is finally coming into its own. On September 2, Business Week gave its front cover to "The new rich South - Frontier for economic growth in the Seventies," and Dixie is also clearly emerging as the pivotal political battle- ground of the 1972 election. As the South opts, so will go the nation. If Dix- ie elects two or three new Republican Senators, control of the Senate will prob- ably change, and conceivably the House might follow. Congressional upheaval, in turn, will promote further re-alignment of conservative Southerners. Here are the key considerations shaping events below the Mason-Dixon Line: 1) Are South- ern conservatives shifting to the GOP? 2) Has the national Democratic Party moved too irretrievably leftward for Dixie? 3) Are Southern state Democratic parties also in the midst of ideo-racial upheaval? 4) Will the trend go far enough this year to tilt Congress? 1) Beyond any doubt, Dixie conservatives are shifting. A new poll in Mississippi shows the GOP pulling ahead in party identification, and in Tennes- see's August primary, more whites appear to have voted in the Republican contest than in the Democratic fight. Blacks, meanwhile, are consolidating their Demo- cratic position. 2) APR believes that the national Democratic Party has moved too far left for Dixie even if McGovern is clobbered and moderates recover some ground. Whatever happens to McGovern, the national Democratic Party is moving onto a youth-minorities-middle-class professional base that will not square with South- ern ideology. If George Wallace thinks otherwise, he is pursuing a will o' the wisp. 3) State Democratic parties are also in flux leftward. Even in the bad year of 1970, most Southern GOP statewide candidates garnered over 40% of the vote, carrying the middle-class precincts almost everywhere. In turn, the Democratic coalition is becoming one of blacks, low-income whites and some sub- urban liberals, and party officeholders accordingly are becoming more liberal. While most Southern Democrats still have moderate-to-conservative records, black influence is on the uptrend, and should pull the Democrats further left -- weak- ening remaining white support -- even as prosperity expands the middle-class (and presumably strengthens its GOP outlook). A Dixie boom in the Seventies will accelerate black gains in the Democratic Party and GOP gains among the pop- ulation as a whole. Majority coalitions of blacks and low-income whites are un- likely because black assertiveness (still to be felt) will demand too great a voice for most whites to accept. 4) Whether or not Congress tips this year could be the key. If Geor- gia, Louisiana and Alabama voters demonstrate the shifting party identification hinted in paragraph one, the GOP could capture the Senate. Southern Democratic seniority rests with a few men like Long (La.), Eastland and Stennis (Miss.), Sparkman (Ala.), McClellan (Ark.), and Talmadge (Ga.). When they leave or die, Dixie will have no power left on the Democratic side because the new Southern Democrats (Bentsen, Hollings, Chiles, Spong, etc.), besides being more liberal, lack seniority to accede to chairmanships in less than 10 or 15 years. Thus, there is no percentage in the South electing new Democrats to the Senate: the opportunity lies in electing new Republicans and coupling it with a switch of Virginia's Byrd plus committee chairmen Long, McClellan and Talmadge. But these factors may not be realized below the Mason-Dixon Line, especially with Wallace and others talking about a reconstituted post-McGovern Democratic Party. Dixie's 1972 decision is still a questionmark -- and the pivotal one. 3 A NIXON MARKET? During the next seven weeks, politicians ought to join Wall Streeters in keeping a close eye on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Even though sophis- ticates may find other averages more indicative, whether or not the Dow cracks 1000 this fall could be a question of great political (and subsequently econom- ic) importance. Should the Dow break 1000, it should trigger major headlines and consumer/investment confidence among America's 26,000,000 shareholders, who regard it as the key barometer. If so, President Nixon's re-election campaign could benefit substantially. (In the last six years, the D-J has made several attempts at the 1000 mark, always falling short. The closest came in 1966, just as the effects of the war in Vietnam were beginning to be felt.) But while the Dow will influence politics, the reverse is also true. Past patterns suggest that presidential years affect the behavior of the Dow. Some of this year's effects have been obvious. Market slippage from late May to early July was caused by "McGovern Market" fear of the South Dakotan's surge to the political forefront. Since mid-July, President Nixon's lengthening poll leads have brought the Dow from the 915 range to the 950-975 range. Will it go over the top? Data from previous years laid out in Yale Hirsch's "Stock Trad- er's Almanac" (Enterprise Publications) suggests that it should. Looking at the 12 elections since 1900 in which the party in the White House has retained power, 11 have seen the Dow industrial stock average mean for November exceed the mean for September. Putting it more simply, September and October of such years have usually been a good two-month market period. (When the party in power is losing, these two months have typically turned in a net loss.) However, while the Dow usually `rises during the September-October period prior to an incumbent's re-election, the recent pattern is for a decline to follow in November. Since 1948, the market has declined in the day, week and month following the re-election of an incumbent (Truman, Eisenhower and John- son). In contrast, for all years between 1951 and 1971, September and October on average constitute a period of virtually no net market advance, while the following two-month period is the typical year's best. Thus, the re-election of an incumbent seems to change the regular pattern. If the President appears clearly ahead during the autumn, the market anticipates his re-election, and November's usual gain is speeded up. Based as it is on sketchy and limited da- ta, this hypothesis cannot be given much stature, yet there is other evidence that market highs tend to relate to Election Day. According to market analyst George Lindsay, "important market peaks have often occurred close to a presiden- tial election There have been 18 presidential elections in this century, and an important market peak came close to six of them. That's not frequent enough to let us forecast a top on this basis alone. But if some other approach calls for a high around election time, the record shows that such a combination has occurred often enough to make it a reasonable expectancy." Given the Nixon landslide shaping up, and the general identification of investors with Nixon rather than McGovern policies, the September-October period ought to live up to precedent with a good market spurt. Any fair-sized spurt would put the Dow over 1000 and trigger a major confidence crest probably pulling the Dow up to 1050-1100 and surrounding the President with a rosy pre- election aura of economic optimism. This, in turn, would increase the chances of a Nixon landslide big enough to bring about the anti-inflationary policies necessary to make the economy live up to hopes. 4 TALKING PAPER FOR POLITICAL MEETING RE: Advertising, Vice President Advertising Budget Stans has approved advertising expenditures totalling 3,000 for the entire campaign, indicating he may approve on a week by week basis expenditures up to 6,300. The Peter Dailey recommended budget is 11,200. The pressure on the advertising budget has increased with the DFN opinion that DFN will raise no money for its own advertising. Vice President Who is to be his primary contact for the campaign? The current system is an informal Colson/Buchanan Strachen contact. Art Sohmer is asking what the system of information support and prime contact is. When should he see the November Group and DFN advertising? How do we explain the fact that "Agnew" is not mentioned in any of the currently planned TV and newspaper ads? Senate Races Did the President commit 500 in financial support to Senator Dominick at the Leadership Meeting? If so, who is going to tell Stans? Once the money is raised who decides how it is to be spent? GS 9/14/72 September 12, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN SCALI FROM: H. R. HALDEMAN I read with interest your recent Liberals for Nixon memorandum. As you know, we're doing everything to keep the President's cam- paigning in perspective. On your suggestion that the President have an interview with a known reporter for a Liberal publication or have a speech especially directed at that segment of the voting public, I would only say that he just did one with Pat Moynihan. Beyond that, I wonder If it isn't possible for others within the Administration to move the line you suggest with almost equal effectiveness to an actual Presidential interview. Would you please get together with Len Garment and develop a scenario of what we can get others doing within the intellectual community. At this point in time, this is the key to the success we'll have with this group. ce: Len Garment HRH:LH:mco ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 18, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: DWIGHT CHAPIN FROM: H. R. HALDEMAN SUBJECT: Vice President's Sandwich Schedule on McGovern Last week the Vice President appeared in New York City on Wednesday, September 13. McGovern was also in New York City that day. That was the only successful Vice Presidential sandwich of McCovern. This week the Vice President and McGovern are scheduled to be in Columbus on Wednesday, September 20. That seems to be the only "sandwich" event. Can we do better than once a week? HRH/GS/jb MS 1972 ELECTORAL VOTE FORECAST ESTIMATED ELECTORAL NIXON VOTE our per Sept 12, 1972 PERCENTAGE TOTALS STATES (9) Alabama (7) Mississippi ( 6) Arizona (5) Nebraska 66.1% and over 103 (17) Florida (13) North Carolina (12) Georgia ( 8) South Carolina ( 4) Idaho (12) Virginia (10) Louisiana ( 6) Arkansas ( 8) Oklahoma ( 7) Colorado ( 6) Oregon (13) Indiana (10) Tennessee 61.1% to 66.0% 112 (8) Iowa (26) Texas (7) Kansas (4) Utah (4) Montana ( 3) Vermont ( 4) New Hampshire ( 3) Wyoming ( 3) North Dakota ( 3) Alaska (10) Minnesota (45) California (12) Missouri (8) Connecticut (3) Nevada 56.1% to 61.0% 220 ( 3) Delaware (17) New Jersey (26) Illinois (4) New Mexico (9) Kentucky (25) Ohio ( 4) Maine ( 9) Washington (10) Maryland (11) Wisconsin (21) Michigan (41) New York 51.1% to 56.0% 74 (27) Pennsylvania ( 6) West Virginia ( 3) District of Columbia ( 4) Rhode Island 51% or less 29 ( 4) Hawaii ( 4) South Dakota (14) Massachusetts 538 Opinion Research Corporation Princeton, New Jersey Date: 9/16/72 TO: GORDON STRACHAN FROM: DICK HOWARD For Your Information FOR RELEASE AT 6:00 P.M. EDT SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16, 1972 CONTACT: George Christian 202 785-9500 REMARKS OF JOHN B. CONNALLY MUTUAL BROADCASTING SYSTEM, SEPTEMBER 16, 1972 Let me begin by thanking Mutual Broadcasting System for providing this time to respond to an earlier political speech delivered by Senator McGovern on August 8. At that time, Senator McGovern took advantage of the free time offered him by the major broadcasting networks to announce his second nominee for Vice President and to make a partisan political speech attacking President Nixon. My purpose today is to answer that partisan attack with a bipartisan appeal. I am not a Republican -- in fact, I am a life-long, active Democrat. I am proud of my party, of what it has done for America and of what it stands for with the American people. I believe in its traditions, and the leadership it has produced in my lifetime. But a political party is either the beneficiary of its leadership or the victim. Throughout most of its history the Democratic Party has benefitted from its leadership. In 1972 it has become the victim. Senator McGovern and his associates have made it clear that they cannot lead a united party -- and certainly cannot be relied on to lead a united America. Far from becoming a more open party in which all can participate, the Democratic Party under Senator McGovern has become an ideological machine closed to millions of Americans who have been loyal and steadfast Democrats all their lives. This year, I am absolutely convinced that it is in the best interest of this country to re-elect President Richard Nixon. Millions of other Democrats all over America are also supporting the President. Our support of President Nixon does not involve in any way the campaigns of Democratic candidates who are running for state, local and congressional offices across the Nation. But when it comes to the Presidency of the United States -- when it comes to choosing the man who must lead us all through 2 the next four challenging years --- we cannot afford to settle for second best. We cannot afford to put party before country. As the late Adlai Stevenson so wisely said, "If the voters ever stop looking at the record and the character of the candidates and look only at the party label, it will be a sad day for democracy. 11 Governor Stevenson made that statement in a political speech during his own campaign as Democratic nominee for President in 1956. My fellow Americans, we are at a crucial time in our history. Great decisions will have to be made in the next four years that will influence the course of our Nation and the world for years to come. The next President of the United States may have it in his power to create a generation of peace for us all; to build on the progress for peace that President Nixon has made in Peking, in Moscow and in capitals around the world. But to do this, the next President will have to be a man that other nations can trust and respect. And he will have to stand for policies and programs that will keep America strong and healthy -- militarily, economically, and morally This cannot be done by a man who advocates weakening our defenses. This cannot be done by a man who, whatever his good intentions, cannot make up his mind about where he stands on economic and social issues. This cannot be done by a man who spends much of his time maligning his own country instead of condemning the crimes and brutality of our foes. The next President of the United States must be a man who not only has good intentions, but good sense as well. He must be able to perform as well as to promise. Five American Presidents -- Roosevelt, Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson --- believed our country must have a strong defense if we were to have any hope of an enduring peace. 3 President Nixon has kept us on this wise course. George McGovern has demonstrated that he will not. Five American Presidents gave people the world over the only beacon of hope for freedom and safety in the atomic age. President Nixon has kept that commitment. George NcGovern has demonstrated that he will not. Five American Presidents held fast to the belief that the United States should not become a second-class power. President Nixon has reconfirmed that basic principle of foreign policy. George McGovern has demonstrated that he will not. My friends, it's frequently tough to be number one. But for a democracy, it's frightening and dangerous to be number two. Senator McGovern proposes that our defense budget be cut by thirty-two billion dollars. He wants to cut our Air Force by one-third, our Navy by one-quarter, our aircraft carriers from 16 down to 6, our Marines by a third. This is not trim- ming the fat. It's cutting out the muscle. President Nixon has done more to improve this country's foreign policy than any President in modern times. He has opened the lines of communication with China and Russia. He has reached a nuclear arms agreement with Russia -- not by begging on his knees, but by negotiating as the President of the greatest country in the world. This is the kind of leadership America needs today, and I have reached the inescapable conclusion that Senator McGovern and the men around him just cannot give us that kind of leadership. That is why I, as a Democrat, am making this bipartisan appeal to other Democrats and Independents across the country to join with me in working to re-elect a man who has proven that he can do the job -- President Richard Nixon. Many of you may not agree with every policy of the Nixon Administration on every issue, large and small, that faces the Nation. Neither do I. But in a Presidential election, it is our duty to choose the best man; to weigh the character and qualifications of both candidates and decide which one comes closest to our ideals and traditions as Americans. 4 President Nixon has earned the confidence of the American people. He has worked for peace and worked for prosperity with calmness and skill. His policies have cut the rate of inflation in half at home and brought more than half a million of our fighting men back from war overseas. He has held to the high road while his opponents have resorted to name calling and scare tactics in their efforts to garner votes. As a young Democrat, I can remember the way that Franklin Roosevelt restored confidence and strength to a troubled America, and gave us inspiring leadership in wartime. I took pride in the leadership of President Harry S Truman, who kept America strong and did not flinch from making the hard decisions a President must make every day. And I supported President Truman in 1948 while George McGovern was a delegate to the convention of the Progressive Party headed by Henry Wallace. I had the privilege of serving in the administration of President John Kennedy, another great Democrat who had to make tough decisions, and who never for a moment advocated retreat, surrender or a weakened America. And I still cherish my longstanding friendship with another great Democratic statesman whom it has been my privilege to know and to serve, former President Lyndon Baines Johnson. Each of these men had a different style, a different tone of leadership. But each of them made me proud to be a Democrat, and more important than that proud to be an American. I am still proud of my party and my country, but this year I am convinced that I can best serve both by voting to re-elect President Nixon. As John Kennedy said, "Sometimes party loyalty asks too much. " In a few weeks the most important decision in the world this year will be made. It will not be made by statesmen at some faraway conference not by the wealthy and the mighty in some board room and not by a handful of power brokers in some political gathering. It will be made by the American voters on November the 7th, when we will elect a President of the United States -- and that decision which we will make is the most important decision this year anywhere on earth. 5 By our votes, we will confirm or deny what America stands for we will determine where America must go in these critical and dangerous days ahead. There is a philosophy espoused by some in this land that America should be ashamed of its wealth, ashamed of its growth, ashamed of its strength. I believe that most Americans reject that philosophy. With all of our frailities and shortcomings, we Americans have never shirked responsibility. We have not lost our way. To the contrary, vie have created a system and a form of government that has fed better, fed more, housed better, housed more, clothed better, clothed more, given our people more time and more leisure and more freedom than any other system ever devised by man in the history of the world. If you agree with us that President Nixon is the man to lead the United States and the world during the next four years and that our country should always be put before political party then I hope you will write US. John Connally, Democrats for Nixon, Madison Office Building, Washington, D.C. Thank you very much. SUGGESTED REMARKS, MUTUAL EQUAL TIME OFFER 5ystem Let me begin by thanking Mutual Broadcasting(for providing this equal time to respond to an earlier political speech delivered by Senator McGovern on August 8. At that time, Senator McGovern took advantage of the free time offered him by the major broadcasting networks to announce his second nominee for Vice President and to make a partisan political speech attacking President Nixon. My purpose today is to answer that partisan attack with a bipartisan appeal. I am not a Republican -- in fact, I am a life-long, active Democrat. I am proud of my party, of what it has done for America and of what it stands for with the American people. I believe in its traditions, and the leadership it has produced in my lifetime. But a political party is either the beneficiary of its leadership or the victim. Throughout most of its history the Democratic Party has benefitted from its leadership. In 1972 it has become the victim. Senator McGovern and his associates have made it clear that they cannot lead a united party -- and certainly cannot be relied on to lead a united America. Far from becoming a more open party in which all can participate, the Democratic Party under Senator McGovem has become 2 become an ideological machine closed to millions of Americans who have been loyal and steadfast Democrats all their lives. This year, I am absolutely convinced that it is in the best interest of this country to re-elect President Richard Nixon. Millions of other Democrats all over America are also supporting the President. Our support of President Nixon does not involve in any way the campaigns of Democratic candidates who are running for state, local and congressional offices across the Nation. But when it comes to the Presidency of the United States -- when it comes to choosing the man who must lead us all through the next four challenging years -- we cannot afford to settle for second best. We cannot afford to put party before country. As the late Adlai Stevenson SO wisely said, "If the voters ever stop looking at the record and the character of the candidates and look only at the party label, it will be a sad day for democracy. " Governor Stevenson made that statement in a political speech during his own campaign as Democratic nominee for President in 1956. My fellow Americans, we are at a crucial time in our history. Great decisions will have to be made in the next four years that will influence the course of our Nation and the world for years to come. The next President of the United States may have it in his power to create a generation of peace for us all; to build on the 3 progress for peace that President Nixon has made in Peking, in Moscow and in capitals around the world. But to do this, the next President will have to be a man that other nations can trust and respect. And he will have to stand for policies and programs that will keep America strong and healthy -- militarily, economically, and morally. This cannot be done by a man who advocates weakening our defenses. This cannot be done by a man who, whatever his good intentions, cannot make up his mind about where he stands on economic and social issues. This cannot be done by a man who spends much of his time maligning his own country instead of condemning the crimes and brutality of our foes. The next President of the United States must be a man who not only has netrojust good intentions, but good sense as well. He must be able to perform as well as to promise. Five American Presidents -- Roosevelt, Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson -- believed our country must have a strong defense if we were to have any hope of an enduring peace. President Nixon has kept us on this wise course. George McGovern has demonstrated that he will not. Five American 4 Five American Presidents gave people the world over the only beacon of hope for freedom and safety in the atomic age. President Nixon has kept that commitment. George McGovern has demonstrated that he will not. Five American Presidents held fast to the belief that the United States should not become a second-class power. President Nixon has reconfirmed that basic principle of foreign policy. George McGovern has demonstrated that he will not. My friends, it's frequently tough to be number one. But for a democracy, it's frightening and dangerous to be number two. Senator McGovern proposes that our defense budget be cut by thirty-two billion dollars. He wants to cut our Air Force by one-third, our Navy by one-quarter, our aircraft carriers from 16 down to 6, our Marines by a third. This is not trimming the fat. It's cutting out the muscle. President Nixon has done more to improve this country's foreign policy than any President in modern times. He has opened the lines of communication with China and Russia. He has reached a nuclear arms agreement with Russia -- not by begging on his knees, but by negotiating as the President of the greatest country in the world. This is the kind of leadership America needs today, and I have reached the inescapable conclusion that Senator McGovern and the men 5 the men around him just cannot give us that kind of leadership. That is why I, as a Democrat, am making this bipartisan appeal to other Democrats and Independents across the country to join with me in working to re-elect a man who has proven that he can do the job -- President Richard Nixon. Many of you may not agree with every policy of the Nixon Administration on every issue, large and small, that faces the Nation. Neither do I. But in a Presidential election, it is our duty to choose the best man; to weigh the character and qualifications of both candidates and decide which one comes closest to our ideals and traditions as Americans. President Nixon has earned the confidence of the American people. He has worked for peace and worked for prosperity with calmness and skill. His policies have cut the rate of inflation in half at home and brought more than half a million of our fighting men back from war overseas. He has held to the high road while his opponents have resorted to name calling and scare tactics in their efforts to garner votes. As a young Democrat, I can remember the way that Franklin Roosevelt restored confidence and strength to a troubled America, 6 and gave us inspiring leadership in wartime. I took pride in the strong leadership of President Harry S Truman, who kept America strong and did not flinch from making the hard decisions a President must make every day. And I supported President Truman in 1948 while George McGovern was a delegate to the convention of the Progressive Party headed by Henry Wallace. I had the privilege of serving in the administration of President John Kennedy, another great Democrat who had to make tough decisions, and who never for a moment advocated retreat, surrender or a weakened America. And I still cherish my longstanding friendship with another great Democratic statesman whom it has been my privilege to know and to serve, former President Lyndon Baines Johnson. Each of these men had a different style, a different tone of leadership. But each of them made me proud to be a Democrat, and more important than that -- proud to be an American. I am still proud of my party and my country, but this year I am convinced that I can best serve both by voting to re-elect President Nixon. As John Kennedy said, "Sometimes party loyalty asks too much. " In a few weeks the most important decision in the world this year will be made. It will 7 It will not be made by statesmen at some faraway conference not by the wealthy and the mighty in some board room and not by a handful of power brokers in some political gathering. It will be made by the American voters on November the 7th, when we will elect a President of the United States -- and that decision which we will make is the most important decision this year anywhere on earth. By our. votes, we will confirm or deny what America stands for we will determine where America must go in these critical and dangerous days ahead. There is a philosophy espoused by some in this land that America should be ashamed of its wealth, ashamed of its growth, ashamed of its strength. I believe that most Americans reject that philosophy. With all of our frailities and shortcomings, we Americans have never shirked responsibility. We have not lost our way. To the contrary, we have created a system and a form of government that has fed better, fed more, housed better, housed more, clothed better, clothed more, given our people more time and more leisure and more freedom than any other system ever devised by man in the history of the world. If you agree with us that President Nixon is the man to lead the United States and the world during the next four years and that 8 that our country should always be put before political party then I hope you will write us. John Connally, Democrats for Nixon, Madison Office Building, Washington, D.C. Thank you very much. Commillee for the Re-election of the President 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 September 16, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: FREDERIC V. MALEK SUBJECT: Preliminary Report on Canvass Kick Off As you know, the purpose of the Canvass Kick Off was to generate local publicity in fifty major media markets for our door-to-door canvass effort to find your supporters so that they can be turned out on election day. Hopefully, the end product of the day will be major stories in the local media which will generate campaign enthusiasm locally, dignify the role of the volunteer, and assist in our volunteer recruitment efforts. To do this, we sent our strongest surrogates into the field to canvass with the local organizations and limited their exposure to the canvass kick off. We now have preliminary reports from most of the kick off cities and the results are better than our expectations. 1. We had good canvassing in all fifty cities. The average number of canvassers going door to door was over 200. Most headquarters had a much larger crowd to meet the surrogate than the number of canvassers who actually hit the streets. In summary, we estimate that over 10,000 volunteers canvassed door to door in the fifty cities. They will have visited over 400,000 households and reached over 1,000,000 persons by the end of the day. These figures do not include the turn-out for the many other cities which kicked off their canvasses without the surrogates. While we have no record of past efforts, I expect that today's canvass will surpass any one day canvass ever operated in a Presidential campaign. 2. The crowds were enthusiastic with no exceptions. 3. There was excellent press coverage; with rare exceptions there was at least one TV camera crew and in most cases, two or three. Only Trenton (Rumsfeld) and Houston (Kemp) had no TV coverage. The writing press was well represented. 4. The surrogates seem to have enjoyed themselves; our advancemen have yet to report an unhappy surrogate. 5. Many warm human interest type stories came out of the canvass. (I will outline them later.) - 2 - 6. There were few problems - Senator Taft was fogged in on the Cincinnati runway and was not able to get to Bergen County, New Jersey for the kick off. Senator Cook was rained out in Nashville. 7. The First Family events went well according to our preliminary reports. a. Mrs. Nixon, accompanied by Governor Rockefeller and Senators Javits and Buckley, kicked off the canvass with a crowd of two to three thousand in Queens. b. Julie had a large, enthusiastic crowd in Philadelphia in a lower middle class neighborhood. Some 350 canvassers went door to door with her. C. Tricia also had a good crowd in Columbus, Ohio. She was greeted by 800 to 1,000 people, and approximately 250 canvassers accompanied her. National television covered the event. 8. The canvassing results were most encouraging. For example, in West Roxbury, Massachusetts, we canvassed in Ward 20. This Ward has 23,000 registered Democrats, 2,500 Republicans and 4,000 Independents. Today we found 2,244 of your supporters, 946 for McGovern, and 1,068 Undecided. In addition, we found 254 unregistered voters who support you. Here are a few episodes which indicate the type of local interest stories the surrogates generated in the neighborhoods: a. Senator Scott climbed a ladder to canvass a man repairing his roof in Minneapolis. b. A canvasser in Cedar Rapids found one of your distant cousins. (She claimed her grandmother was your grandfather's sister.) She is a registered Democrat but strongly supports you. C. A blind lady canvassed in Buffalo with Secretary Peterson. d. Clark MacGregor canvassed 20 homes which had not been previously canvassed in Pittsburgh and found 20 supporters. The New York Times reporter could not believe it and went back to the Democrats to see if they had been pre-canvassed. They were emphatic in their denials. e. Bob Finch canvassed a man in Albany who was repairing his roof. The man recognized him walking across the street and shouted, "Is that Bob Finch?" Bob replied "Yes, and I'm here to ask for your vote for the President. The man replied, "I have voted for the President since 1952, and I will again in 1972.' - 3 - f. Secretary Shultz signed and handed out new one dollar bills to University of Texas students in Austin. g. In Oklahoma City, our celebrity, Madeline Rhue (star in Bracken's World), asked a small boy of the "Dennis the Menace" type if he supported the President. The boy replied emphatically that everybody in this house supports the President. In summary, I consider the day a success. We have successfully kicked off our most important campaign activity and generated enthusiasm in our State campaign organizations. Also, the effort coalesced the campaign team. All 1701 Divisions, the RNC Field Division and the White House Advance Staff worked effectively and harmoniously together as a team. The coverage on tonight's news and in the Sunday press will indicate if the kick off was a success with the media. I will have a final report for you next week detailing the canvass results as well as the media coverage. 8 Jeny Jones Julie - canvassing Phl - roses - Gal manied in 3 hrs Trieia- - Mrs. n- crered -2-3000 Flushing Quene Rerocy, gaints, Buddey KC - Butz - Bul - Peterson - Suns much fun Finch- Buffalo- albang - asking vote On P. Dent / atl - long hair -argue on TV. anti- - war THE VICE WASHINGTON September 15, 1972 The Honorable Maurice Stans Committee for the Re-Election of the President 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue, Northwest Washington, D. C. 20006 Dear Maury: Several weeks ago I told you that I would organize a small fund-raising breakfast in New York City. This has now been accomplished, and it was quite successful. Most importantly, the contributors, for the most part, were not traditional supporters of the Party. The total amount collected is $43, 225, and I am happy to transmit checks in that amount herewith. Mr. Bud Hammerman deserves considerable credit for putting together the event, and you will also note his personal contribution of $10, 000 to the re-election campaign. As an old pro when it comes to unfair political criticism, I sympathize greatly with your current difficulty. Do not allow your frustration at being unable to get the truth prominently published to wear you down. The American public is not as naive as some believe. Of course, my confidence in you is undiminished, and I have great respect for your courage under fire. The Honorable Maurice Stans September 15, 1972 Page 2 I hope that Kathleen is doing better. Sincerely, bc: The Honorable H. R. Haldeman Bob: The President may be interested in knowing that Bud Hammerman, a traditional Democratic fund raiser and my personal friend, has been working very effectively with the Finance Committee and has made a personal contribution of $10, 000 to the campaign. Also that Raymond DuFour (Montgomery County) has weighed in with $10,000. 5th MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 14, 1972 3:30 p.m. EYES ONLY MEMORANDUM FOR: STEPHEN BULL DAVID PARKER RON WALKER FROM: DWIGHT L. CHAPIM The following is the third chapter in the saga of the 1972 Presidential campaign planning. 1. The President wants to continue the idea of doing the Mormon Tabernacle event sometime during the campaign. The President will not go into any states to help with Senate races. He has made that decision. However, he does want the Family and the Vice President in each major Senate race state. We should let the candidates know now that the Family as well as the Vice President will be coming in to help. Dave Parker should arrange the Family schedule as well as checking the Vice President's to make sure that we're covering all these dates. We should also get word to the Senate candidates. 3. We are going to do the San Francisco Mint. That can be locked. I want to see what the plan is for it. 4. The L.A. cancer thing is okay. We can lock that event but we've got to find a place to hold it. Perhaps the best place is the Convention Hall in Los Angeles if indeed on- of the Music Center auditoriums won't work. We need the recommendation on that, as well as a survey. 5. The President wants to go to Buffalo, so that should be on our list of places that the President wants to hit. 6. It's been suggested that the President do a small town during the last couple of weeks of the campaign. It could be tied to 2 a small town and a farm, e.g. Sioux City, Iowa, which would hit Iowa, South Dakota and Nebraska. Another thought is downstate Illinois. The most recent thought advanced by the President is to take a drive across Ohio and Illinois. The only problem with that seems to be the state of Indiana had been put in the middle of the motorcade. In any case, we're supposed to come up with a plan on that. 7. If the President does the Rio Grande school, "we should take Congressman de la Garza down with us. He is a Congressman who has supported the President many times and we should have him down with us. 8. Mayor Rizzo says that when we do Philadelphia, we should do the heart of the city and not the suburbs. This is something we should look into and not decide on until we have a better 'feel for it. 9. Rockefeller is saying that rather than motorcade in New York we should do Westchester and Nassau and not the city. We should check on this also. 10. Regarding Laredo, the President is favorably inclined at this point to do it. We should give the old Mexican border guard an award of some kind. After we do Laredo, we'll go do Rio Grande and then back to the Ranch. We'll need to have a plan for Texas. 11. Connally is evidently a part owner involved in some way with the Astrodome and is checking the availability of that for the 3rd. The idea there would be to have our show with the President speaking the last 15 minutes. We should have a big show and use our top stars. We may even consider live, national television. 12. When the President does Michigan, he does not want to do Detroit. We should look for another city to do. 13. The President is very interested in doing Pulaski Day in Buffalo. We should get a plan in on that. cc: Terry O'Donnell 9/15 September 15, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: MURRAY CHOTINER Ambassador Bob Hill passes on this thought. The President would be better off not to campaign personally in New Hampshire. If he goes there, he is faced with two problems: 1. Embracing Wes Powell, the GOP nominee for U. S. Senate who has publicly attacked the President. 2. Embracing Meldrin Thomson, the GOP nominee for governor who defeated the incumbent GOP governor in the primary this week. Thomson is a Wallaceite. (That might help in some Southern states.) The President will win New Hampshire handily and it is not necessary to make a personal appearance. timely MMC:a I THE WHITE HOUSE HFU WASHINGTON Date 7/26 TO: MS FROM: L. HIGBY note H's G-58m coriting - 7/22 ,FM < Jem sliv-te nothing THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON July 19, 1972. MEMORANDUM FOR: BOB HALDEMAN FROM: BILL SAFIRE SUBJECT: Dividing McGovern from Local Democrat Campaigns I think we should draw up a "list" of Democratic con- gressional campaigns, both House and Senate, which are likely to be damaged by association with the McGovern campaign, and which give the White House much hope where there was little hope before. Leakage of such a list (surefire publication) would get a lot of Democrats more nervous of catching McGovernitis, would give a boost to our own troops in those areas, and would help prevent McGovern from using the coattails of popular Democrats in RNC local races. or let the Caupangn to This not WH I HFU THE WHITE HOUSE 01/8 WASHINGTON Date: 7/8 TO: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN Copies should be sent to Colson and Malek for follow-up. - 58m Has action - -FU 8/9u/38m 8/10 - - D nothing done by byTom JSM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Hgu 7/22 7/30 Date: CHUCK COLSON TO: FROM: GORDON STRACHAN Bob asked me to send a copy of this memorandum to you for follow-up. Malek also has a copy. TO: FRED MALEK FROM: GORDON STRACHAN Bob asked me to send a copy of this to you for follow-up. Colson also has a copy. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON July 7, 1972 THOUGHTS ON THE POST-CONVENTION (Democratic) MEMORANDUM TO: H.R. HALDEMAN CLARK MAC GREGOR FROM: PATRICK J. BUCHANAN KEN KHACHIGIAN This memo deals with strategy thoughts strictly for the period between the conventions. DISENCHANTED DEMOCRATS This is the first priority. No sooner should the dust have settled from the Democratic Convention (a few days following, perhaps) than a National Democrats for Nixon should be formed publicly to serve as an "umbrella" for all of the less bold fence-straddlers to join. We should move fast on the Democrats, post Miami Beach, as they will be most vulnerable immediately following the convention. If we have a number of Democrats already locked in, to either abandon their ticket, or bolt the party -- we should trickle these out, state-by- state -- not drop them all at once. In our judgment, if we have a choice it is far better for Democrats to stay in their party, and denounce McGovern -- than to switch parties now. Elitism and extremism in the Democratic Party should form the basis of the abandonment of McGovern -- followed by support and endorsement of RN. But, in my view, the former is the more important news story. Also, if a figure is immensely prominent, his departure should be for national television. But someone like Mills Godwin should have done it from a platform in Richmond. Page 2 In addition, we should focus upon and publish not simply the major names, but the minor ones -- state legislators and the like and publish those names in ads in the "swing states" especially. The purpose is to leave the impression of massive defections, not just major ones, from the Democratic Ticket. We should be working on these people right now all over the various swing states. Sometime during the campaign, this fall, we need a national press conference, and a national mailing to all political writers etc. listing the hundreds of Democratic party officials who have publicly abandoned the McGovern ticket. The idea, of course, is to create a stampede so that the fence-straddlers and others who might want to hang in there will at the least be publicly disassociating themselves from McGovern. Also, in this time, GOPers running for State Legislature, essentral Governor, Senator, Congressmen, should be instructed to force their opponents to take a stand for or against McGovern and his positions. (This might well involve mailing a copy of the McGovern Assault Book to every GOP candidate, with instructions on how to use it). THE SHAFTING OF WALLACE If this is a credible argument, it should be made intensively by our people. That Wallace who had more votes than any other candidate, before California, was stripped of delegates and dignity by the radicals at Miami. That the convention which was supposed to be "democratic" ended up stealing his delegates, and denying him the rightful claim to a voice in the platform. The Party is highly unlikely to buy the Wallace positions as announced today on national TV; we should go directly to these voters -- and the GOP Platform should mirror some of the Governor's concerns. On matters of defense, bussing, welfare, responsiveness of government, etc. this should not be difficult. 1701 (RNC) should be collecting assiduously all of the negative statements by Wallace people about their treatment at Miami and about the Democratic Platform; we already have some excellent ones that will go into the Briefing Book. Page 3 CONVENTION The theme, "If they can't unite their party, how can they unite the country; if they can't even run an orderly convention, how can they run the United States, 11 the same one used in 1968 is a natural. THE MC GOVERN SMEAR Again, clearly the McGovern answer to any and all attacks will be to charge the "Old Nixon" with his "smear" tactics. The response to Stein demonstrated this. We will have five or six of the most egregious McGovern attacks listed and out to all speakers, with a short memo by convention's end -- if McGovern is nominated. At that point we ought to elevate all of these horrible statements, and demand to know if McGovern intends to campaign on the issues -- or to continue in this vein of comparing RN with Hitler, calling his Administration "racist" etc. McGovern is still being allowed to get away with being "the most decent man in the Senate" and his rhetoric has been the wildest of any'man in recent political history. THE ESTABLISHMENT THEME We ought to set this early that McGovern is not the candidate of the people, but of a small elite, of New Leftists, the elitist children, etc. Again, this impression should be made early in the campaign, before many voters have made their minds up. McGovern theme is certain to be to make himself the "candidate of the people" against the "candidate of the politicians, " i.e. us. We have to get in early with this elitist idea; we have to capture the anti-Establishment theme early. Again, my great concern is that McGovern may successfully establish himself as underdog, anti-Establishment, "out" candidate. Our speaking resources, early, should be directed to thrusting us into the position of the candidate of the common man, in the titanic struggle with the power of the Eastern Establishment. Page 4 THE WAFFLER Again, another strength of McGovern's which will necessarily be weakened post-convention is his reputation for "candor, honesty, " "you know where he stands, " nonsense. He will start moving, he already is moving on the issues right now -- and there is no contradiction between nailing him with his $1000 giveaway program one day, and denouncing him for "trimming" by abandoning it the next. For McGovern, movement in and of itself can be damaging -- because his whole campaign program is "Right from the Start. 11 We should nail every shift, every movement and nail that "Right from the Start, 11 right from the start. Buchanan Note: Have read the McGovern Book in part and analyzed his ads to a degree, and will have some followup thoughts on the "character" of McGovern -- and where he is investing his resources, what issues, what personality traits. 1) Too Much Vice THE WHITE HOUSE President. WASHINGTON 2) drawn part u right September 13, 1972 on treedh. 3) Need someone charging Mc Rover. MEMORANDUM TO: H. R. HALDEMAN JOHN EHRLICHMAN 4) Need to develop a CHARLES COLSON wider lest of people FROM: PAT BUCHANAN and forum. Beginning Monday, there are but seven weeks left in the Presidential campaign. Our two operative principles on the attack in those seven weeks should be a) the issues of 1972 have long ago been decided and made and b) we should re-cycle those issues, points and positions which resulted in the collapse of the McGovern campaign. There seems to be a tendency on our part at times to seek out some new indiscretion on the part of the Opposition and attack that simply because it is "new. 11 When we have an airtight case of forcible rape this is like saying, "And yeah, we can get him for jaywalking, too. 11 In the last few days, in my judgment, we have allowed McGovern to "lead" the national debate; our major political statements have focused (1. e., Butz counter-charges, and MacGregor) precisely on those issues McGovern thinks are the only winners he has. In addition, we have sought to counter the charges of campaign financing finagling with the old discredited "tu quoque " argument ("you' re another") -- which is the weakest of all arguments. Meanwhile, little has gone into the public record in the last several days from us which focuses on and advances the major personal and political issues which are ours. This is partly our fault; but partly the reason is that we now need heavier guns than the ones we have been using. There may be a point to muddying up the matter but we have other fish to fry this fall; and we ought to be about that business. THE FIRST WEEK. I would open up with two barrels this week. The first is Foreign Policy. And the Vice President is the man. High-level defense of RN's brilliant foreign policy is first third -- and then into McGovern's Asian and European policies as enunciated by him and Chayes. -2- Filled in with McGovern quotes; McGovern on the POWs; McGovern on the Middle East. Conclusion and lead -- George McGovern is a well-intentioned, but naive bungler, whose foreign policy views are foolish and would be dangerous to the peace and security of the United States and the world. Call for a national debate on two opposing views of America's role in the world. The second barrel would be a John B. Connally, highly publicized response to McGovern, hammering on the title Confidence and Credibility. All of the McGovern waffles would be rolled into this one on the credibility side -- the McGovern flip-flops -- then also, in a peroration, the worst of the McGovern radical rhetoric. Why John Connally broke with McGovern, could include Hoover remark, Hitler remarks, etc. Extremist rhetoric unbefitting a presidential candidate -- least of all these charges is what he says about me. If we could get that peroration on the air; "the language of an extremist" we could resurrect our big winner. Also, to be included here is the Humphrey, Jackson, Muskie and Meany statements -- the more brutal ones on McGovern. Why Democrats are staying away in droves. The two speeches would be on different days -- maybe two days apart. Given free time, I could get done the entire first speech and the "core" of the second. What we ought to remember in both these speeches is that the press is less interested in writing about a pro-speech, than they a re about attack material -- whether the attack is high level or low level. Both speeches should be built up -- and we should make our television on them those nights. Note: The attack group should be aware of what the President is doing that day also for media -- he can knock us off the front pages and the networks quicker than anyone else. THE SECOND WEEK. Economics and Welfare. Connally and/or the Veep would be excellent on Economics. Reagan, if he would do one of our speeches, would be ideal on Welfare at the National Press Club. The economic speech would give the voters a choice between the present prosperity and radical change -- radical change that would mean a busted stock market (capital gains tax), a destroyed aerospace industry and an undeclared economic war in the American middle class. The McGovern previous proposals should be regurgitated; his simplistic and naive approach should be laid out. His $100 billion increase in budget and thousand in taxes the lead. The language in an economic -3- speech is vital. We could work on this one as well. The Welfare speech should focus on McGovern, of course, as in favor of pouring millions more in;putting millions more onto the rolls. These items should serve as the key for surrogate speakers as well. However, the letters operation need not be geared in to this in our judgment that should be moving the negative, radical material on McGovern into the key states at full blast. We can be much more direct in letters than in rhetoric. THE THIRD WEEK. The Social Issue. In this week a major address should be written, again preferably with the Veep in the lead-off contrasting the President and McGovern on social issues. Marijuana and drugs. McGovern's endorsement of the Black Caucus and what it contains. Bussing, bussing, bussing. RN versus McGovern on the use of scatter-site housing; amnesty. While the Vice President can high level this -- laying out the deep differences between the two -- others can really start hitting hard on the issue. Also, law and order, the Hoover quote -- etc. This can all be drawn into this question. This is 1970 politics, but the issues are ours this time, and if we can get McGovern talking on them, they are winners. No name-calling -- just point out here the radical record. THE FOURTH WEEK. Defense. This is one area McGovern has held fast. We could lay out his defense budget at the top level and portray it as an invitation to disaster in Europe, the Mideast, the world, the future. Again, here we have quotes from Jackson and Humphrey to back us up. And two days after the defense speech -- there is rel eased the "ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE MCGOVERN DEFENSE BUDGET" from Laird to Capitol Hill, giving state by state the number of jobs lost by McGovern Defense Budget and aerospace cuts, also the number of bases shut down and exactly which ones and where. All laid out, special mailing to every newspaper in every state in the country. Something he will never catch up with. Within this week as well, we ought to have some real tough speeches in the aerospace communities, the "Ghost Town" stuff. Also, the same thing they did to us around the military bases in 1970. Included in the military stuff would be McGovern's attack on the Military Industrial Complex whereas what he is talking about is the workers at GE, McDonnell, etc. If we go this route, we are at the Middle of October there is no need now to decide what we will do those last three weeks. This includes our basic inventory of large, overall issues. Other sub-themes include: -4- A) The Ellsberg connection, tying McGovern to him and his crime - as soon as the indictment come down, if McGovern insists on charging people, uncharged by the Grand Jury. This would be a separate tough attack; and it should be echoes all over the country. B) Space, and defense should of course be on-going issues for any speaker in a community near an aerospace plant or military base. Perhaps our Nixon people ought to be doing what they did to us in 1970 - - put out the rumor around every big base in the country that if McGovern is elected this base will shut down, this plant will close. C) The McGovern Quotes need to be gotten out. We will do another mailing on the Best Twenty-five and maybe the time has come to move them and our Attack Book (truncated) to the National Press, or at least the most friendly of the national columnists. goal theme The Democratic Party and its rescue. This is an ideal Connally Big Speech some time, urging Democrats to take back the will do et. Cennelly party of their fathers, by repudiating the extremists who have seized it in November. In the speech, he could lay out cold all the radical leftism, and extremism of McGovern positions, a real blistering speech on McGovern, the kind that the President and the Vice President cannot make but hitting him on the twenty odd issues where he has been so vulnerable. The kind of thing that Human Events would publish genuinely hard, which we could then get out into the hands of our entire speakers list from top to bottom to use, as their basic text. what about E) We have to start back to getting the Democratic anti-McGovern Murhu quotes into the record again The Meany, Humphrey, Jackson quotes. Also, the "elitism" and "extremism" themes need to be renewed to will him the F) average voter. The attack group should continue - making sure that these themes are moved week-by-week still meeting day-by-day to key off something McGovern has said, to fire at targets of opportunity, to program our people on the media to keep moving all these good materials we have back into the public record again and again. The Hoover quotes and the quotes on the Chicago Police are two examples. Our objective should be to either move McGovern off of his Watergate issue, onto our issues or kill him on our issues; secondly, to continually break any momentum he develops by changing the subject in a week. FINAL NOTE: Again, the critical point is that just as McGovern ought to make "Nixon" the issue so the issue this fall is McGovern. Will -5- he and the hard-core left-winger radicals who took over the party take over America. That's the bottom line. If the country goes to the polls in November, scared to death of McGovern, thinking him vaguely anti-America and radical and pro the left-wingers and militants, then they will vote against him -- which means for us. What we have done thus far, and fairly well, is not put the President thrity-four points ahead -- but McGovern thirty-four points behind. The best tribute to what we have done, I think, came from McGovern I believe just after the convention when he said -- "They've got fifteen guys shooting at me from all sides while the President's acting like he's not even in a campaign. 11 If we can continue that, we're golden. Buchanan THE WHITE HOUSE AICA WASHINGTON ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: LARRY HIGBY FROM: GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT: September 6 Memo from Haldeman to Colson Discussion with Dick Howard today indicated that this memorandum has been used as the basic document for the attack meetings. All attempts are aimed at pushing these lines out. Howard is prepared to submit formal reports on these longer memos but asks that we not put such a requirement on him. He says that Bob talks with Colson daily and keeps him informed as to the status of these projects. Also, as is noted on the follow up copy, Bob indicated that he had covered the subject in a meeting. Memo please THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR : CHUCK COLSON FROM : H.R. HALDEMAN the AM. It is important to get our surrogates out immediately on an all out attack on McGovern's most extreme positions. There are stories indicating that McGovern during the past week suddenly was changing his line and sounding more and more like a Democratic candidate in the old Democratic tradition. We must not let him get away with this. It is vital to keep him on the defensive on his most vulnerable issues. The issues that are most difficult for him to finesse are Vietnam and Defense. He cannot move too far off his extreme position here or he will lose his whole Left Wing support. For example, the quote from Fortune with regard to his beliefs that the Communists would not test him because they would not want to lose his friendship would be very effective in carrying out George Meany's line that he just doesn't understand the Communist threat. It is very important here to see that this is the kind of material that is used only by highly sophisticated people in a way that McGovern will not be able to respond that his loyalty or patriotism is being questioned. Every statement should be prefaced with the idea that he is naive and lacks judgement on appraising the Commu- nist threat. However, when you have such a collection of statements i. e. that the Russians rearmed after World War II only because we did, that we throw Thieu out and have a Communist government come into power in South Vietnam, the statement in Fortune, the quote from Newsweek that Kissinger has given to you and which Newsweek didn't use these and others provide ammunitions that could be used over the next two months in a devastating way. Obviously every effort should be made to keep reminding people of his extreme welfare plans and his high budget which would result in an increase in taxes. It is vitally important to keep the ball on his side of the court in other words have the debate be about his plans and not about our tax reform plans which may come later on in the campaign. 2 Finally, in view of the Harris poll results, our positive speakers should hammer courage, integrity, world leader, and of course, the hard line in Vietnam, knowing that we find a very receptive audience to begin with on these points. All speakers should now start taking the line of calling our people to join the New Majority, give the President the chance to finish the job that he has begun at home and abroad. CC: John Ehrlichman Dwight Chapin Ron Ziegler You asked what was wanted and that you would deliver. Two areas are outlined below: 1. We need to set up a program so that when McGovern goes to a city, particularly a key city, some committee in that city runs an ad -- full page --- asking McGovern questions that should be answered that day. For example, when he goes to Milwaukee, an ad should run that is headlined "Milwaukeeans want to know, Senator McGovern, what are you going to do about your promise about $1,000 for everyone?" or, "Senator McCovern, tell Milwaukeeans what your position is on amnesty." Obviouslty this can't be done every time McCovern makes and appearance, but it should be done periodically. 2. Also, there is a need to tighten up on the media monitoring system. For example, Shriver was in Dallas last week and when he came into town, he led off by saying that he was a poor boy and couldn't afford the money we are spending to get on television. At that point, the three local Dallas stations leaped to their feet and announced that they would be delighted to have Sargent Shriver on for however long he would like to be on --- free. Shriver, however, did not respond to this. They then offered to go out and cover Shriver wherever he would be, which turned out to be a supermarket. The people on Shriver's staff said they did not know where his next appearance would be, that it would be a last minute appearance. A couple of the stations, nonetheless, found out where he was going that next morning and went there to cover him at the super- market. In questioning the people at the supermarket, they found out that, first of all, Shriver had set up his visit to that supermarket three days in advance and, secondly, the lady who was going to be there had been given a list of prepared questions to ask Shriver. The television stations, subsequently, ran editorials on the fact that Shriver refused to accept free time. -- 2 - All of this points out a hole in our media monitoring operation. One of the stations involved is Station KRLD in Dallas and apparently Clark MacGregor is giving them a call. What the above means is that we need to check out our media monitoring system, particularly in Dallas, Texas. LH:kb:LH:car September 16, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR : GORDON STRACHAN FROM : H.R. HALDEMAN Find out who was used as the polling people in California. In other words, who did Teeter hire to do the actual field work? HRH:pm COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. N.W. WASHINGTON. D. C. 20006 September 11, 1972 (202) 333-0920 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN WILLIAM TIMMONS DWIGHT CHAPIN FROM: CLARK MacGREGORCM Please note the attached memo from Shumway to Magruder. It came to my attention this morning for the first time. No action has been taken to implement Shumway's recommendations. On the basis of what I now know, I am reluctant to either apologize to Scoop Jackson or to do him any big favor. I would like to discuss this matter with each of you; perhaps we could take a few minutes immediately following the President's Cabinet-Leaders meeting Tuesday morning, September 12th. COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT MEMORANDUM September 2, 1972 MEMORANDUM TO: Jeb S. Magruder FROM: DeVan L. Shumway Jan Karen Hansen, our Washington State press director, called late last night to tip us off to a possible problem area involving Senator Henry Jackson, probably Washington State's most popular and influential political figure. According to Karen, Tricia Nixon was in Seattle on Friday for a Legacy of Parks dedication ceremony and the White House for some reason apparently made the decision not to invite Senator Jackson to participate. He showed up anyway. After Tricia made a presentation. in which she discussed her Father's inspiration for the Legacy of Parks Program as having come during a walk along San Clemente Beach, Senator Jackson addressed the audience and said that actually the program had been under consideration in the Congress for sometime and that he (Senator Jackson) had been deeply involved in assuring access to public property. Karen's concern is that Senator Jackson is now angry -- so angry that he may shortly and strongly endorse McGovern, who he has kept pretty much at arms length to date. If it is possible, I recommend we get Clark MacGregor to make a verbal apology to Senator Jackson for his having been left out of this event and then we should do him a favor shortly -- let him announce a major contract for his state or give him some other kind of appropriate boost. The event: Legacy of Parks, Fort Lawton (Seattle), Washington September 1, 1972 CC: Mr. Abrahams ISEP 5 1972 ACTION MEMO Review the Soviet commercial again. We should probably drop Tanya, We should check this as to whether it is too soft on the Soviets. We should add the Rickley quote and we should not refer to the President making friends around the world. HRH:pm 9/14/72 Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM August 8, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: JEB S. MAGRUDER To follow-up on the memoranda and requests of the past month, I have assembled the following: 1. Bud Wilkinson met with Clark MacGregor on August 3 to discuss an increased role in the campaign. Of particular significance will be the contribution that Bud would like to make in working with our youth programs. While meeting with Bud, MacGregor brought Rietz and Ken Smith into the meeting to discuss speaking opportunities. Afterwards, Rietz and Smith met with Wilkinson to discuss his role in more detail and Wilkinson agreed to send them his speaking schedule so that they could work to build media and secondary events. 2. The line that George Wallace is a great patriot because of his strong support of the President on Defense issues has been put into action at two points. First, MacGregor mentioned this point specifically at the Alan Emory luncheon. In addition, this line was given to Van Shumway so that he and Powell Moore could put it into their conversations when they talked with reporters during the routine business of the day. 3. The line that McGovern has always run behind expectation in the polls is also a line that was put into circulation by Shumway and Moore following Magruder's morning meeting to discuss strategy with Marik, Failor, and Abrahams. 4. The PR operation has recently been strengthened with the addition of Tony MacDonald and Laura Walker. In addition to these resources, A1 Abrahams has been brought over from the Price Commission to manage the entire Press/PR operation. Obviously, Cliff Miller, who is working full time for the Committee as of August 1, has been working primarily with White House Staff members, particularly on the documentaries. 5. Porter indicates that John Eisenhower is being used as a surrogate and that Pat O'Donnell has the action on improving the use of his time, scheduling him into Defense oriented forums rather than the campaign forums that Porter schedules. 6. Porter also indicates that he and his staff are working extensively with voting bloc directors Wirth, Goldberg, and Armendaris to ensure that surrogates are used whenever possible in ethnic forums. 7. There have not been and there will not be any personal attacks on Senator McGovern since it has been our strategy for the past few weeks to allow the negative news that he has received to play itself rather than to attempt to risk generating sympathy for him. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON TO: As Date 7/28/72 FROM: L. HIGBY Please get their handled and report back to It - L ACTION MEMO Someone should get in touch with Bud Wilkinson and get him involved somewhere in the campaign. Also, he should be used in a strategy planning session. HRH 7/28/72 ACTION MEMO Somebody, probably Clark MacGregor, must make a strong public statement praising George Wallace as a great patriot, and for his strong stand on defense in contrast to those who are trying to hamstring the President in this area. He should be congratulated for putting the country above party and for the concrete contribution that he's made to the debate, and that while his voice was not heard at the Democratic Convention, it will receive a full hearing at the Republican Convention. The basic thing is to get across to him the fact that he has been heard. 7/31 at hundred HRHPM 7/26/72 July 26, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR : CHUCK COLSON CLARK MacGREGOR FROM 1 H.R. HALDEMAN An interesting political attack line can be developed from the McGovernites' point that they don't pay any attention to his low standing in the polls because he's always been behind in the polls. The fact of the matter is that in the only primary that really mattered, which was California, the polls overestimated Markrusrn's strength as was indicated by the final election tally. HRH:pm July 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: H. R. HALDEMAN I have a feeling that Cliff Miller and the PR operation at 1701 generally is too involved with trying to figure out the strategy and presentation of the President and not enough involved in figuring out the use and publicizing of our surrogates, young people, etc. This is, of course, where they can really make the big contribution and yet little, if anything, has been seen about most of them outside of MONDAY. Whatever happened to Don Schollander or some of our other young people. What have our celebrities done in terms of getting on talk shows and what has the media impact been by some of our other surrogates, i.e., Arthur Flemming? I am not saying that nothings been done here, but am sure more could be and you might want to mention this directly to Magruder. bcc: Gordon Strachan HRH:LH:kb July 25, 1972 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY MEMORANDUM FOR: CHUCK COLSON FROM: L. HIGBY John Elsenhower should be used as extensively as possible as a surrogate speaker on national defense policy and foreign policy. He can be very effective. A good speech should be worked out for him and should be speaking on the road as much as his schedule will permit. Chuck, you, or somebody here should probably be in touch with Mr. Eisenhower initially to see what his current schedule is. LH:kb CC: Pat O'Donnell Ray Price Bart Porter ACTION MEMORANDUM John Eisenhower should be used as extensively as possible as a surrogate speaker on national defense policy and foreign policy. He can be very effective. A good speech should be worked out for him and he should be put on the road as much as he is able to do so. G7 Reisiner 7/31 HRH July 25, 1972 HRH:kb July 21, 1972 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL/EYES ONLY MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR CHARLES COLSON FROM: L. HIGBY Bob asked that I forward to you the thought that in scheduling the surrogates, you should concentrate in putting them in key ethnic groups. This should be considered a top priority for surrogate scheduling. CC: Jeb Magruder Dwight Chapin Dave Parker John Whitaker LH:kb ACTION MEMORANDUM Whoever is scheduling the surrogates should concentrate on putting them into the key ethnic groups. This should be the top priority for surrogate scheduling. G a Reisna 7/31 HRH July 20, 1972 HRH:kb ACTION MEMORANDUM Whoever eontrols editorial content on MONDAY should tell them to end their attakks on the press and concentrate on attacking McGovern on his positions. There should be no personal attacks on McGovern and no attacks on press accuracy or press bias from now on. HRH July 20, 1972 HRH:kb August 28, 1972 PERSONAL AND CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: MURRAY CHOTINER It is not necessary to have security arrangements any longer at the campaign headquarters. All the McGovern people have to do is read the newspapers and learn how our political strategists are going to win the campaign. The Sunday morning edition (August 27) of the Washington Post gives the story of the telephone-mail campaign to win the ethnic support. Details are given to the press, which are not even known to most of the campaign organization. May I respectfully suggest that our people wait until after the election to tell how they won it? Dersuay MMC:bh Enclosure PERSONAL AND CONFIDENTIAL Nixon Committee Aims Campaign at 'Ethnics' "I'm sorry that we're sold out of 'Polish for President Nixon' buttons. But we'll have lots more during the campaign." -Nixonette button sales- man at a Miami Beach hotel. By Lou Cannon Washington Post Staff Writer The Nixon re-election campaigners, with visions of a new political coalition fill- ing their heads, have aimed their voting identification and turnout programs squarely at vulnerable blocs of urban, blue-collar Demo- crats. In an effort to make these several million "peripheral urban ethnics" part of Presi- dent Nixon's apparently emerging majority, the Nixon campaign committee has prepared an elaborate, multi-layered apparatus de- signed to produce an inter- locking series of mailings, telephone identification and voter turnout programs. These programs, which will cost $20 million of the estimated $40 million ear- marked for the re-election campaign, also will reach the traditional middle-in- come and high-income Re- publican voter in the sub- urbs and wealthier sections of the cities. But their intent is to find and turn out at the polls vast numbers of institu- tional Democrats-espe- cially among the 12 million Americans of Italian, Polish, Slavic and Hungarian de- scent-whom the Nixon cam- paigners believe to be disil- lusioned with the Demo- cratic nominee. The Committee to Re- Elect President Nixon has been collecting data on the attitudes and outlook of urban ethnics for more than See GOP, A14, Col. 1 A14 Sunday, Aug. 27, 1972 THE WASHINGTON POST If You're 'Ethnic,' You're a Nix GOP, From A1 terested in the issues of pa- publican "sleepers" such as rochial school aid, busing, Connecticut-will recive let- a year. Administration offi- welfare, tax reform and 'ters urging them to vote for crime. And while he is not President Nixon. Campaign 72 cials believed then that this was the key to victory in usually a union official, he The letters, - there are what appeared to be a close tends to rally around his 12 basic versions and union if it seems threatened. hundreds of combinations - fight with Sen. Edmund "At least two-thirds of the Muskie; these same officials will be targeted to key is- now regard the ethnic strat- delegates attending the Re- sues and specific ethnic con- egy as the cornerstone of publican convention proba- cerns. the new majority they hope bly favor right-to-work laws Concurrently, professional to create. philosphically," says an ad- "boiler room" operations in ministration source. "But these key states will be used What He's Like right-to-work isn't in the for telephoning voters. The "The target voter is ethnic platform and for a damn telephone operators will use in the East, less ethnic as he good reason. The President party voter lists where they goes West," says one high- didn't want it there." are available; otherwise level administration source. What the President wants they will use the lists of the "He is blue-collar and lives within the Republican Reuben F. Donnelly Co. of around the cities, is Catholic Party, the President gets. Houston, which claims to in most places, Eastern Or- And what he is getting in possess the most extensive thodox in some. He makes voter identification and turn- compilation of household $10,000 to $15,000 a year and out is one of the most, sys- lists in America and is used probably his wife works. He tematic and lavishly fi- by such publications as belongs to a labor union. nanced programs ever un- Reader's Digest. mailings will be fed back groups that tra He's anti-welfare, or at least leashed upon the American Telephone responses will into the phone centers and vote Democratic, he thinks that he doesn't voters. be sorted into favorable, un- the local vote turnout opera- Jews, also are sec get the proper share for his Here, in the description of decided and unfavorable. tions for use on election of the new Nixon r own efforts. He's not a hawk administration and cam- The unfavorables will re- day. "The Jewish V( on the war-nobody is any- paign officials, is how the ceive no further contact This interlocking matrix high-information more-but he doesn't want plan will work: from the Nixon campaign of voter identification and says one admi to bug out, either. Mostly, In mid-September, voters organization. turnout will meet Sen. strategist. "Even he feels comfortable with in 12 states-the major pop- The names of the favora- George McGovern's forces Govern has satisifi his country." ulation states except for bles and undecideds will be on the level where they are the issue of Israel This voter is viewed as in- Massachusetts plus some Re- sent to a regional center supposedly strongest. And satisfied with the I and stored there on a com- the Nixon turnout campaign defense budget be puterized list along with the is finding that money is no concerned a u t names of favorable respon- obstacle. we'll have the cap ses from the mailings. Estimates provided by adequately defend Undecided voters will re- campaign chief Clark Mac- Lower-income J ceive a sond mailing. If they Gregor place the cost of the ers, the carefully have indicated a special con- telephone operation at $6 million and the cost of the Republican data S cern, such as busing or also concerned w taxes, the letter will be fo- storefronts at $12 million. Field operation costs will sues of busing, tax cused on that issue; other- crime. In this res wise, it will be a general exceed $2 million, putting are seen as behal mailing. the cost of the entire pro- in this election Favorable voters will re- gram at something above ceive a letter in telegram- $20 million. ethnic groups. form two or three days be- The importance of this Almost no polit fore the election reminding voter identificaiton and turn- has been left un them to vote for the Presi- out program is seen when the re-election € dent, the costs of the program are Subcommittees ail "The person getting it compared to the other cam- Spanish-speaking, thinks it's a telegram, but paign. A White House young, people fai really it's a letter," explains source, who declined to be yers, businessmen one administration official. identified said that $9 mil- and the elderly In addition to the mail- lion will be spent on televi- created and will b ings and the telephoning, sion and radio advertising, But the comn storefront operations will be $2.5 million on fundraising spite Vice Presid established in hundreds of efforts and $2 million on Agnew's acceptan locations and used as the each of four other programs statement that th basis for a voter canvass. -ballot security, literature, "one America", This canvass, in strategic candidate support and surro- spend its voter areas such as Cleveland's gate speakers. tion and turnout Cuyahogo County or Illi- This totals $19.5 million in such Demoer nois' Cook County. will which, when added to the fied areas as the focus on ethnic Americans. $20 million or the voter munity or even a The list of favorable vot- identification-turnout sys- income ethnic gro ers located by this tradi- tem, is just under the $40 The data gat tional canvassing method million which GOP finance pollster Robert ] also will be fed to the com- director Maurice Stans has the research that puter center and stored estimated as the entire cam- there. paign cost. In mid-October the phone centers will be converted Not Only Targets into get-out-the vote centers. "Peripheral urban eth- The list of favorable voters nics," as the Nixon cam- who have been uncovered paigners term them, are not by canvass, telephone or the only targets. Other u're a Nixon Campaign Target place under the jurisdiction going to happen unless the one veteran Republican ampaign 72 of Robert H. Marik at the President wins big." field worker. "Nobody feels committee shows clearly Republican Party officials a real need to cooperate that ethnics with Incomes throughout the country are, with the other guy to get on the whole, less bullish substantially under $10,000 than the re-election commit- votes for the President- are far less inclined to vote tee about the possibilities of they only cooperate to get votes for themselves." Republican than their bet- such a new majority. ter-paid brethren. A number of state chair- Natural Conflict One of the most interest- men and other key GOP of- Republican Party workers ficials are inclined to be ing products of the Republi- point put, in their own de. critical of the committee can research is the finding fense, that the Republican that the voting behavior of over what they regard as Party remains the basis of other urban groups some- poor field work, uncertain the Nixon vote and that times resembles the behav- budgeting and inadequate other Republicans will not communication. This criti- ior of "peripheral urban eth- necessarily be pulled in with cism boiled over the week nics", particularly in the Mr. Nixon. West. before the Republican con- Their interests naturally vention when chairmen met "In Los Angeles County in a closed-door session with conflict with such presiden- (which Hubert Humphrey tial confidentes as former Party Chairman Bob Dole carried over McGovern in campaign election chairman and sounded off about a var- the primary) you have the John Mitchell, who last iety of complaints. same kind of people but week wrote about the presi- will be fed back groups that traditionally they came from Oklahoma," Called Overkill dential election as "the only the phone centers and vote Democratic, notably says an administration offi- Some are also skeptical contest that counts." vote turnout opera- Jews, also are seen as part cial. "They have the same about the voter identifica- The Republican Party and for use on election of the new Nixon majority. outlook on life as the sec- tion-turnout P r 0 g r a m S, the Committee to Re-Elect "The Jewish voter is a ond-generation ethnic in which even one administra- Nixon have cooperated, how- interlocking matrix high-information voter," Chicago but they're not Pol- tion official described as ever, to produce a voter ter identification and says one administration ish. "overkill of the first order." identification and turnout it will meet Sen. strategist. "Even if Mc- Only the most optimistic A California party worker book, "Sixty Days to Vic- McGovern's forces Govern has satisified him on campaign officials see the says sarcastically that the tory," that professionally de. level where they are the issue of Israel, he's not peripheral urban ethnic vote mailings by the committee scribes the canvass, mailing sedly strongest. And satisfied with the McGovern as producing a Republican in that state during the pri- and telephone techniques ixon turnout campaign defense budget because he's majority. Rather, they see mary were "so efficiently or- which will be used this fall ding that money is no concerned about whether an emerging Nixon majority ganized that they reached on such a massive scale. le. we'll have the capability to that could become the basis many voters after election "We devised all this when mates provided by adequately defend Israel. of a new political coalition day." it looked like the Presi- ign chief Clark Mac- in America. Top\ officials at the com- dent's opponent would be place the cost of the Lower-income Jewish vot- one operation at $6 ers, the carefully collected Phase Two of the new coa- mittee believe that many of Sen. Muskie, who is Catholic Republican data shows, are the criticisms are unfair. lition-strategy would then and Polish and at one time and the cost of the conts at $12 million. also concerned with the is- call for a bloc of Democrats They concede that field op- was beating us in the polls," sues of busing, taxation and erations were deficient but operation costs will in Congress, many of them says one of the administra- crime. In this respect, they point out that the committee from the South, to switch tion officials. "We went $2 million, putting st of the entire pro- are seen as behaving more parties or to vote with the has been undergoing com- after the ethnic American at something above in this election like other Republicans organization- plete reorganization. because we thought the elec. ethnic groups. ally. In return, the Republi- "We've had some commu- lion. tion would be close and he cans would guarantee defec- nications problems," says importance of this Almost no political stone would make the difference. dentificaiton and turn- has been left unturned by tors their seniority rights. Fred Malek, who with Jeb Now, if we do it right, he's the re-election committee. Magruder, shares the deputy ogram is seen when A hush-hush operation the basis of the new major- director duties under Mac- sts of the program are Subcommittees aimed at the under the leadership of Sen. ity." Gregor. "But we came in ed to the other cam- Spanish-speaking, black.s William Brock of Tennessee seven weeks ago and we've A White House young, people farmers, law- and House Minority Leader been SO busy building we ha- who declined to be yers, businessmen, veterans Gerald Ford of Michigan is ven't had time to communi- ed said that $9 mil- and the elderly have been exploring the possibilities of cate. We're going to improve 11 be spent on televi- created and will be used. this realignment, but no that. We're going to work d radio advertising, But the committee, de- Democratic congressmen closely with the regular Re- illion on fundraising spite Vice President Spiro have come forth publicly. publican organizations be- and $2 million on Agnew's acceptance speech "This isn't the sort of cause we know they're im- four other programs statement that there is only thing where one or two guys portant." security, literature, "one America", will not are going to crawl out on a Many of the regular Re- te support and surro- spend its voter identifica- limb and then let it get publicans nonetheless feel eakers. tion and turnout resources sawed off on them," says taken-for-granted, a normal totals $19.5 million in -such Democratic-identi- one Republican congress- enough attitude for vine- when added to the fied areas as the black com- man. "Either we're going to llion or the voter yard-toilers in a minority munity or even among low- have a big switch of 20 or 30 party. Part of the problem is ation-turnout sys- income ethnic groups. guys after election day or that President Nixon ap- just under the $40 The data gathered by we're going to have none at pears to be SO far ahead. which GOP finance pollster Robert Teeter and all. Even if we put It to- "It's like Johnson and the Maurice Stans has the research that has taken gether on paper, it's not Democrats in 1964," says ed as the entire cam- st. Targets heral urban eth- S the Nixon cam- term them, are not y targets. Other TO I ne ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL call August 22, 1972 J&M and will MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: New York Financial Community for President Nixon Magruder reviewed your suggestions on Bob Ellsworth's New York Financial Community memorandum with Peter Flanigan and then Bob Ellsworth - pursuant to your request. Flanigan concurred with your views. In discussion with Ellsworth, Magruder learned that Bob Ellsworth is most anxious to have you call him personally to ask him to undertake this project. Apparently, there is some 1968 background explaining the request that you talk with Ellsworth personally. A Talking Paper based on the Ellsworth revisions of the memorandum is attached. GS/jb 16 TALKING PAPER FOR BOB ELLSWORTH SUBJECT: New York Financial Community I have read your original memoranda describing your plans to organize the New York Financial Community for the Re- Election of the President. I understand Jeb Magruder has reviewed my comments as well as Peter Flanigan's with you. This project offers us an outstanding opportunity to put New York State in the Nixon column. The President joins me in thanking you for taking on this project. GS 8/28/72 SUGGESTIONS FOR ORGANIZATION OF THE NEW YORK FINANCIAL COMMUNITY COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT THE PRESIDENT I. Purpose (No change from previous memo.) II. Clearances (No change from previous memo.) III. Personnel A. The Chairman of the Committee should be a senior figure on Wall Street. He should be man who is well and favorably known in the New York financial community and respected for his integrity. From the standpoint of power in the community, I believe the best choice would be the head of one of the large commercial banks, either: 1) ELLMORE C. PATTERSON, head of Morgan Guaranty Trust, well liked, active and highly esteemed; or 2) WALTER B. WRISTON, head of FNCB, young man (under 50), and definitely pro-Nixon. Alternatively, the Chairman could be one of the following: 3) DON REGAN, head of Merrill Lynch, believed to be close to the White House; 4) RALPH SAUL, the highly respected Chairman of the Executive Committee at First Boston, slated to emerge within a year as head of that powerful house; or B 5) WILLIAM MORTON, head of American Express. B. If and when authorized to do so, I will sound out the men on this list (in the order in which they appear) to explain the program, and to insure avail- ability and willingness to serve as Chairman. NB: At the appropriate point in the "sounding out" process, I should be authorized to indicate that the ultimate request to the individual to serve as Chairman comes from the Presi- dent, and will be confirmed -- assuming I can report back that the individual is prepared to serve -- by a personal phone call from the President. 12 nixen One man - Teeter - only criticism that one sgment - on phone - stagerl/Hotley -amment + Relagate -yood Deln ua U Dems - good emotimer appeal mayweler comments evedlent, even E positive on film neusies (itences Habburd, Ketter Kaplow) 1 hate propaga films but this one good. Del's - lited Busing line X newses lilled PJ Box china HaC J8m - ne probal u/ C being word wait of P, UP 1ST Fain but opposed not Hauaii go to to C in operation, only Poila Forest + muller. Parking in Police area near Gate 4- - Hullin used last night ROBERT ELLSWORTH ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA NEW YORK, N. Y.10020 August 3, 1972 Mr. Jeb McGruder Committee to Re-Elect the President 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, D.C. 20006 Dear Jeb: Here's a memo which specifies some amendments to my memo of July 26th. I suggest you use the memo, as amended, as the basis for a memorandum from Clark to me, which would then give me a point of refer- ence on which to proceed. I look forward to hearing from you and/or Clark soon. Sincerely, Encl. Bo Dumard J. Lasker Vice Chairmen Harold H. Helm Mirs. Edward F. Hutton Gordon W. Reed Harry A. Richardson, Jr. Victory Mrs. David M. Strasenburgh Robert H. Abplanaip Hoyt Ammidon Mrs. W. Vincent Astor George F. Baker George F. Berlinger Elmer H. Bobst Howard E. Buhse William A. M. Burden Harold W. Carhart George Champion Albert L. Cole James W. Davant Mrs. Preston Davie C. Douglas Dillon Frederick L. Ehrman Ell Ellis August 4, 1972 Mrs. John R. Fell William Ward Foshay Mrs. James W. Gerard Joseph A. Gimma Albert H. Gordon James G. Hellmuth George L. Hinman Dear Clark: Daniel Hofgren Mrs. Peter Holzer Donald M. Kendall It was fun seeing you this morning. Robert Kenmore Here is a list of the leaders in finance. I 1. Robert Kriendler Charles T. Lanigan think these people would comprise a fantastic William S. Lasdon advisory committee. Gustave L. Levy Alfred L. Loomis, Jr. Mrs. V. Theodore Low Please let me know what I can do to Dan W. Lufkin Mrs. Edmund C. Lynch help further this or any other idea you might Mrs. Keith McHugh have. David H. Marx Louis Marx, Jr. Mrs. Joseph A. Meehan Keep up the great work. Mrs. Arthur C. Merrill Mrs. Clifford Michel Mrs. Jeremiah Milbank, Jr. Very best regards, John A. Mulcahy Mrs. Joseph A. Neff Emil J. Pattberg, Jr. Mrs. Charles S. Payson Mrs. Paul E. Peabody Stephen M. Peck Mrs. James C. Penney Benny Mrs. Ogden Phipps Donald T. Regan David Rockefeller Mr. Clark MacGregor Mrs. Nelson A. Rockefeller Committee for the Re-election Mrs. Mary G. Roebling Mrs. A. Douglas Russell of the President Mrs. Guy G. Rutherfurd David T. Schiff 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue Mrs. Evelyn Sharp Washington, D.C., 20006 Mrs. H. Virgil Sherrill William E. Simon Mrs. Lyon Slater Enclosure Donald Stone Donald Stott Robert L. Stott, Jr. Mrs. Albert H. Swanke Landon K. Thorne A any Ammicion nurman Gustave L. Levy Senior partne United States Trust Co. Goldman Sachs & So. 45 Wall Street B 55 Broad Street New York, 10004 New York, 10005 425-4500 676-8120 Howard E. Buhse Sinior partner V. Theodore Low Senior partne Hornblower & Weeks, Hemphill Noyes Bear, Stearns & Co. B+ 8 Hanover Street 1 Wall Street New York, 10004 New York, 10005 DI4-6600 DI4-8500 George Champion Former chairman Emil J. Pattberg, Jr. chairma B- Chase Manhattan Bank First Boston Corporation 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza New York, 10005 (LL2-3155) C 20 Exchange Place New York, 10005 344-1515 James W. Davant Senser partner Paine, Webber, Jackson, Curtis Donald C. Platten President-- B- 140 Broadway Chemical Bank become chair New York, 10005 C 20 Pine Street 437-2121 New York, 10015 four /, '73 770-1234 Frederick L. Ehrman Chairman 3 Lehman Bros Donald T. Regan Chavrman 1 William Street Merrill, Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & New York, 10004 A 70 Pine Street 269-3700 New York, 10005 944-1212 Albert H. Gordon Chairman Kidder Peabody & Co. David Rockefeller Chairman 10 Hanover Square A- Chase Manhattan Bank New York, 10005 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza 747-2500 New York, 10005 552-3255 Gabriel Hauge Chairman A- Manufacturers Hanover Trust Co. William E. Simon general parts 350 Park Avenue Salomon Bros. New York, 10022 A- 1 New York Plaza 350-3300 New York, 10004 747-7000 Harold H. Helm Former Chairman Chairma Chemical Bank Walter B. Wriston C 277 Park Avenue First National City Bank New York, 10017 A 399 Park Avenue 922-6338 New York, 10022 559-1000 Bernard J. Lasker Senior Partner 3 Lasker, Stone & Stern 20 Broad Street New York, 10005 944-0320 --- Democrats: Henry H. Fowler a senior partner Goldman, Sachs & Co. 55 Broad Street New York, 10004 676-8000 James C. Kellogg III Senior partner Spear, Leeds & Kellogg 111 Broadway New York, 10006 DI9-1000 John L. Loeb Loeb, Rhoades & Co. Senior partner 42 Wall Street New York, 10005 530-4000 William R. Salomon Senior partner Salomon Bros. 1 New York Plaza New York, 10004 747-7000 ROBERT ELLSWORTH ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA NEW YORK, N.Y. 10020 July 26, 1972 Mr. Jeb McGruder Committee to Re-Elect the President 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, D.C. 20006 Dear Jeb: Here's a memo which follows up our conver- sation last Friday afternoon with regard to the possi- bility. of organizing "Wall Street" for the re-election of the President. You will note I suggest the Committee be en- titled "New York Financial Community for Re-Election of the President." I have listed an alternative with "Wall Street" in the title, but recommend the broader name because so many of us are no longer located any- where near Wall Street. My memo is a very preliminary effort; after I have your reaction (and that of Bob), I will re-work it and build in some details with reference to the program, dates, funding, etc. I await your reaction -- and look forward to working enthusiastically in every way I am able. Warm personal regards. Sincerely, Encl. SHASKAN & CO., INC. 67 BROAD STREET NEW YORK, N.Y. 10004 MEMBERS NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE TELEPHONE AMERICAN STOCK EXCHANGE 344-4950 June 27, 1972 Mr. William Safire Assistant to the President The White House Washington, D.C. Dear Bill: It was nice talking to you today. I think it is about time we had .an active Wall Street Committee. McGovern's economic policies are starting to get people hot under the collar. His concept of the "American Dream" is to confiscate all income above $50,000, and let us work until we drop or qualify for glorious Social Security. There are quite a few youngish chaps down in canyon country who have been pleased and proud of the President, especially since the August 13th wage-price freeze. I am sure they would want to contribute some effort toward the maintenance of the Administration. Cordially, - Staular Jarkls. Stanley L. Bartels Senior Vice President SLB:tp from Robert Ellsworen SUGGESTIONS FOR ORGANIZATION OF A NEW YORK FINANCIAL COMMUNITY COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT THE PRESIDENT (Alternative Name: WALL STREET COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT THE PRESIDENT) I. Purpose The purpose of a "New York Financial Community Com- mittee to Re-Elect the President" would be to provide an effective system for fast, accurate, and authoritative communication within the New York financial community of the policy achievements of the Nixon administration (as well as the President's goald for his second administration.) The points to be stressed by this Committee would in- clude the President's principal foreign and domestic policy achievements and programs, interpreted and presented in a manner designed to show a coherent, integral Presidential concept. The Committee would not, repeat not, be limited to self-serving New York financial community issues (e.g., SEC reforms, etc.) in which Wall Street has an obvious interest. Neither would it be the purpose of the Committee to raise money for the campaign. The New York financial com- munity has contributed and will contribute heavily to the campaign, but this Committee would expressly abjure all fund-raising activities. Nor would the purpose of the Committee be to encourage registration or voting. There are too many jurisdictions (Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, etc.) re- presented in the New York financial community. Registration and get-out-the-vote efforts are better handled within the various jurisdictions. II. Clearances It should be noted that a number of prominent figures in the New York financial community are already actively engaged in different ways in the campaign to re-elect the Too President. I have in mind particularly Gus Levy, Bunny cunted Lasker and Pierre Rinfret. There may be others; the point is that before this new Committee is announced, those I have named and possibly others (I would rely on you to provide the names of others, if any) should be fully informed of the Committee, its purpose, and its personnel. Levy and Lasker, especially, have worked long and hard for the President, put their great names and prestige on the line publicly, in- vested dozens of hours, and are entitled -- under the rules of politics -- to be fully apprised of this new operation before it attains notoriety. III. Personnel A. I will be glad to work actively with, and as a Member of, the Committee in every way I can. B. The Chairman of the Committee should be a senior part- ner in one of the ten or twelve most prestigious underwriting houses. He should be a man who is well and favorably known in the New York financial community and respected for his integrity. He should be entirely familiar with the finan- cial community; the community will respect and have confid- ence in him. Both Levy and Lasker certainly qualify, but since they are already fully occupied with high level respon- sibilities in the campaign, we should turn to other names: Nat Samuels, for example, was the managing part- ner of Kuhn, Loeb before serving for three years as President Nixon's Deputy Under-Secretary of State for Economic Affairs. He is now back at Kuhn, Loeb. Al Gordon is the head of Kidder, Peabody and is believed to be close to the President. Ralph Saul is the highly respected Chairman of the Executive Committee at First Boston Corp. and is slated to emerge soon as the head of that power- ful house. Don Regan is the head of Merrill Lynch and is be- lieved to be close to the White House. Bill Donaldson of Donaldson, Lufkin and Jenrette is a little younger than the others I have men- tioned, but is respected and quite influential. With regard to recruiting the Chairman, I know all of the above named men personally (except for Al Gordon) and would be willing to sound them out if you wish. However, in my opinion, it will take a call from the President to recruit a Chairman. IV. Program The program of the Committee could consist of pre- planned public statements (prepared in your headquarters) by the Chairman and other members of the Committee, promin- ent community figures all, on different aspects of the Nixon policies and achievements. These statements would be timed over a period of weeks leading up to Election Day. In addition, it would be useful for the Committee, dur- ing September and October, to meet with Herb Stein, George Shultz, Cap Weingerger, Kissinger, Connally, etc. etc. here in New York. This would enable the Members of the Committee to speak with authority, and by reference to the appropriate officials by name, on current matters of interest in the campaign. In this regard, it is important to keep in mind that the New York financial community constitutes to a large de- gree an "oral and aural" communication system which reaches into almost every nook and cranny of the American capitalist system: industry, charity, education, etc. As we get this fast-thinking, fast-talking, and influential community of men and women swinging with accurate versions of Nixon policies and ideas, it could be one of the most helpful acti- vities of the campaign. The oral and aural communication system is reinforced, however, by a powerful set of written media which would be fully exploited. There is, first, the minute-by-minute PR News Wire service which feeds the Dow Jones and Reuters tickers. On a daily basis, there is the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times -- both of which are, to some extent, consumer newspapers -- both of which are closely followed by the financial community. Weekly media include Investment Dealers Digest and the Commercial/Financial Chronicle (as well as the more consumer oriented Barron's, Forbes, Business Week, and The Economist) On a bi-weekly basis, we have the Wall Street Letter, Financial World, and Magazine of Wall Street. Thus, I believe the Committee could, in fact, provide an effective system for fast, accurate and authoritative com- munication within the New York financial community during the campaign. for Re-elaction the President 1201 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 July 25, 1972 Dear State Chairman: Thank you for assuming this most important job. Your role is a key one in the Campaign to Re-elect the President. You will be instrumental in enlisting thousands of volunteers in your state who can give their time to do the many things necessary to accomplish this most important objective. The purpose of this letter is to outline some of the things we think are important in setting up your organization. We hope that these suggestions might be helpful in determining the scope of your organization and the time required of you to do this. The attachments will give you the specific points of contact for your assignment. Go over them carefully. PURPOSE The purpose of your committee will be: 1. Develop a vehicle whereby volunteers can be made available to your State Mixon Campaign Director or his delegate. The opposition is mounting a massive effort here. We must surposs them. 2. Maintain a communications network whereby members can be activated, or informed about issues. METHOD OF ORGANIZATION The basic design of this organization is one in which no one person vill be responsible for more than five people. He will enlist five people and will follow-up to see that each of his five people enlist five other people. The State Chairman's first job is to pick your five vice chairmen. Each should hopefully represent and be assigned to a different geographical area of the state. Each of them should then pick five people who will agree to volunteer and can then pick five, and SO on. You should follow up on your organizational efforts by keeping an organizational chart of as much of your organization as possible. You, of course, want to have the names and addresses of your five vice chairmen, the names of the people your five vice chairmen recruit and then the names of the 125 people these 25 people recruit. If, as Chairman, you are aware of the organization to this point, you should be fairly well assured that an effective job of organizing is being done. When you run out of people in your professional or interest group, sign up friends and neighbors for your next layer. Nobody would be responsible for more than five people, but using this principle of the 1:5 ratio, you can be responsible for getting thousands of badly needed volunteers for your state. This force is vital to our efforts, as it will be used to register voters, identify friendly voters, get them to the polls, attend rallies and such other jobs as may he identified by the Campaign Chairman. BIOGRAPHY Please submit the biographical form that was given you by your national regional chairman. The information you send us will be forwarded to the Nixon Campaign Director in your state for use in the press annoûncement of: your appointment. VOLUNTTER RECRUITMENT The enclosed list is to be filled out by you for your five vice chairmen. Please be sure the list is returned to us immediately. A kit similar to the one you will receive will be mailed 1:0 your five vice chairmen the same day we receive their names from you. We expect the vice chairmen will recruit five others (preferably from your vocational/avocational/interest group) and return the five commitment cards to US immediately so we can continue a rapid distribution of materials to the citizen volunteers enlisted. We ask that you request the names, addresses and phone numbers of the persons recruited by your vice chairmen, so that you can monitor their progress. You should cok your vice chairmen to get similar information from those they sign up SO they can forward the information to you. This will enable you to make sure the person you recruited has done his job. COMMUNICATIONS In addition to ccruiting volunteers, it is our hope that your pyramid of committed and available people will act, upon request, as a communications and action network that can be activated by your national chairman when the need arises. When requested to do 50 by your national regional chairman, we ask that you contact your vice chairmen. They in turn should pass on your message to their five and instruct them to continue the chain. Through this system, we should be able to get the word out and create in hours a massive response by millions of Americans. The entire success of this deportant program depends on your action and the response by all the members within your organization. The communications program can be activated either by a call or letter from your national regional chairmen 01 your State Nixon Director, or his delegate. OTHER You may vish to create and organize "Special Projects" for persons recruited as members of your "Citizen Volunteers" effort. Or the State Nixon Director or his representative may wish to work with you on some in line with your group's special interests of talents. Remember - all activities other than volunteer recruitment and commmnications as described above must be approved in advance by the State Nixon Director or his representative. MONEY Your organization is not being asked to raise funds. However, you may wish to Lake "P a collection from your combittee members for the purchase of materials. Care should be used not to exceed the $1,000 limit imposed by the new campaign law. (J.) is wise to check with your State Finance Chairmen, who is familiar with the law, if you decide to raise any money.) GENERAL The President's re-election depends on people and people-generated activities at all levels. You are the key to thousands of volunteers who are critically needed in this year's easpaign to get. the word out to all voters; to generate excitement and vote-producing activity; and to get out the vote on Election Day. America needs President Nixon. President Wixon is depending on you. Can you think of any more important job this fall ? Sincerely, Charles E. Shearer, Jr. Executive National Director Citizens Committee GROUP STATE STATE CHAIRMAN My five (5) vice chairmen are : Name Address City State Zip Business Phone Home Phone Name Address City State Zip Business Phone Home Phone Name Address City State Zip Business Phone Home Phone Name Address City State Zip Business Phone Home Phone Name Address City State Zip Business Phone Home Phone When you have recruited your five vice chairmen, please mail this form to: Citizens Volunteers for the Re-election of the President Room 572, 1701 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W. Washington, D. C. 20006 You will have problems from time to time. Your contacts will be in the following directions. J.. The regional citizen's chairman who recruited you will relay instructions when the national organization has something that needs to be done. 2. The Nixon campaign organization in your state runs the campaign and will relay instructions to you when the state campaign needs action from you. They will use the volunteers you recruit, and may activate them either by a call to you or by calling them directly. The person in this organization who is the point of contact for all citizen activities is: Miss Elaine Weeks Maine Committee for the Re-election of the President Box 110 - 114 State Street Augusta, Maine 04330 (Phone) 207- 622-4611 You should make contact with this person immediately, in case you have not already done SO. Agreement must be reached with the state organization before activities other than the aftor ementioned volun- teer program can be initiated, as the responsibility for carrying the state for the President rests with them. 3. A field director has been assigned from the Committee for the Re-election of the President to assist you and the state organi- zation in meshing citizen activities into the campaign organization. Call him if you have problems. The director covering your state is: Mr. Louis F. Laun X- Washington Address Field Address (After Convention) 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W. Room 2633 Suite 572 420 Lexington Avenue Washington, D. C. 20006 New York, New York 10017 (Phone) 202-- 333-8590 (Phone) 212- NU6-3330/31 4. Your of contact is, of course, the five people you re- of the entire volunteer effort depends on Duation of these people. Good luck, and thanks for all you are doing to help re-elect the President. Charles E. Shearer, Jr. National Executive Director Citizens Committee for the Revelection of the President : Denotion individual state changes COMMITTEE NAME ADDRESS PHONE NO. CHAIRMAN CO-CHATRMAN CO-CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHATIMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN REGIONAL CHALIQUN REGIONAL CHAIRMAN Washington Citizens Minator 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue, N. W. 202-333-8590 Alabama - Arthur B. Durkee Kansas - John S. Ranson Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. Ranson & Company, Inc. Birmingham Wichita Alaska - Kentucky - Henning Hilliard J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons & Co. Louisville Arizona - Joseph L. Refsnes Rauscher Pierce Securities Corp. Louisiana- Herman S. Kohlmeyer Phoenix Kohlmeyer & Co. New Orleans Arkansas - Maine - George S. Payson H. M. Payson & Co. Portland Calif. - Warren H. Crowell Crowell, Weedon & Co. Maryland - F. Barton Harvey, Jr. Los Angeles Alex. Brown & Sons Baltimore Colorado - Robert M. Kirchner Kirchner, Moore and Company Mass. - John M. Bleakie Denver W. E. Hutton & Co. Boston Connecticut- John H. Brooks Advest Co. Michigan - H. Alex McDonald, Jr. Hartford Manley, Bennett, McDonald & Co. Delaware - David C. Boyer Detroit Laird, Bissell & Meeds, Inc. Wilmington Minn. - Harry C. Piper, Jr. Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood Florida - David R. Murphey Incorporated Pierce, Wulbern, Murphey, Inc. Minneapolis Jacksonville Miss. - Georgia - Alexander Yearley, IV The Robinson-Humphrey Company, Inc. Atlanta Missouri - George Newton Hawaii - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated St. Louis Idaho - Montana - Illinois - Wallace D. Johnson Nebraska - Herbert H. Davis, Jr. Howe, Barnes & Johnson, Inc. Kirkpatrick, Pettis, Smith, Chicago Polian Inc. Omaha Indiana - Kenneth Brown K. J. Brown & Co., Inc. Nevada - Muncie Iowa New Hampshire - New Jersey - Texas - Thomas W. Masterson Underwood, Neuhaus & Co., Incorporated Houston New Mexico - Arthur P. Quinn Quinn & Co., Inc. Utah - Albuquerque New York - Vermont - North - Charles Jonas, Jr. Carolina Reynolds Securities Inc. Virginia- Henry L. Valentine, II Raleigh Davenport & Co. Richmond North Dakota - Washington - Girton R. Viereck Bache & Co. Incorporated Seattle Ohio - ,John G. Butler Prescott, Merrill, Turben West - & Co. Virginia Cleveland Oklahoma - Edgar R. Oppenheim Wisconsin - Leo Oppenheim & Company, Inc. Oklahoma City Wyoming - Oregon - William B. Boone Dean Witter & Co. Incorporated Portland Pennsylvania- John B. Richter Butcher & Sherrerd Philadelphia Rhode Island- South - Geddings H. Crawford Carolina R. S. Dickson, Powell, Kistler & Crawford Columbus South Dakota- Tennessee - Harold W. Clark The Cherokee Securities Company Nashville Chapman Smith Barnly Mr. Gordon L. Calvert Securities Association 425 13th Street, N. W. Washington, D. C. 20004 DeVant- webber Painf Mr. Donald T. Regan Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc. (212) 944-1212 70 Pine Street New York, New York 10005 Mr. Robert H. B. Baldwin Morgan Stanley & Company (212) 732-2100 140 Broadway New York, New York 10005 Mr. William E. Simon Salomon Brothers (212) 747-7866 One New York Plaza New York, New York 10005 Mr. Donald W. Crowell Crowell, Weedon & Company (213) 620-1850 One Wilshire Boulevard Los Angeles, California 90017 Mr. Willard S. Boothby, Jr. Eastman Dillon, Union Securities & Co., Inc. (212) 770-8000 One Chase Manhattan Plaza New York, New York 10005 Mr. George A. Newton Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Inc. (314) 421-1980 314 N. Broadway St. Louis, Missouri 63102 Mr. John Haire Anchor Group of Mutual Funds Connectiver Elizabeth, New Jersey STO E BROKER Charaman not Samuels Harry MULLIGAN Roeph Saul. while weld 900 chapel ST New llaven, conn 103/622/500 Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM JULY 21, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. JEB S. MAGRUDER FROM: BOB REISNER WHAT KIND OF ACTION WILL BE APPROPRIATE FOR THE FORMATION OF THE GROUPS ON SECURITY NDUSTRY Intellectuals THERE WOULD SEEM TO BE A CASE FOR GIVING THE ACTION TO SHEARER ON EACH OF THESE. ON THE OTHER HAND, YOU MENTIONED TO MALEK YOUR INTEREST IN DOING IT YOURSELF. SINCE SHEARER HAS ALREADY DONE SOME THINGS ON THESE AREAS, I WOULD RECOMMEND THAT THE MOST APPROPRIATE ACTION WOULD BE TO HAVE SHEARER AND WHATEVER PEOPLE HE WOULD LIKE TO BRING WITH HIM COME DOWN so THAT HE CAN GIVE YOU A BRIEFING ON THE PRO- GRESS IN THESE AREAS. WITH YOUR APPROVAL, I WILL ASK VICKI TO SCHEDULE A MEETING. Set mp WASHINGTON Dear THEY THE WHITE HOUSE yes July 13, 1972 Put in Mar yogo Mede This is just to confirm our conversation last Friday. Bob Ellsworth, as you know, wants to help in the campaign and is willing to do so any number of ways. I suggested to Bob that he might take an active role in organizing some of the powers of Wall Street which he said he would be delighted to do if you would like. Lam sending a copy of this letter to MacGregor, because Clark may have some additional assignments that he would like to have Bob handle. Will you let Bob know? In any event, Bob feels that it would be most useful to have a dinner meeting with you, Howard Stein, Bob and perhaps Felix Rohatyn. He believes Stein can be won over; Rohatyn already has been. Bob feels Stein would need the kind of extra care and attention that a dinner with you would signify. I have told Bob that he would also be hearing from you directly in this regard. Best personal regards. Sincerely, Charles W. Colson Special Counsel to the President John Mitchell, Esq. Mudge, Rose, Guthrie & Alexander 1701 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. /hh cc: Clark MacGregor Call two Kyn. & hallst ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL August 22, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: New York Financial Community for President Nixon Magruder reviewed your suggestions on Bob Ellsworth's New York Financial Community memorandum with Peter Flanigan and then Bob Ellsworth - pursuant to your request. Flanigan concurred with your views. In discussion with Ellsworth, Magruder learned that Bob Ellsworth is most anxious to have you call him personally to ask him to undertake this project. Apparently, there is some 1968 background explaining the request that you talk with Ellsworth personally. A Talking Paper based on the Ellsworth revisions of the memorandum is attached. GS/jb TALKING PAPER FOR BOB ELLSWORTH SUBJECT: New York Financial Community I have read your original memoranda describing your plans to organize the New York Financial Community for the Re- Election of the President. I understand Jeb Magruder has reviewed my comments as well as Peter Flanigan's with you. This project offers us an outstanding opportunity to put New York State in the Nixon column. The President joins me in thanking you for taking on this project. GS 8/28/72 SUGGESTIONS FOR ORGANIZATION OF THE NEW YORK FINANCIAL COMMUNITY COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT THE PRESIDENT I. Purpose (No change from previous memo.) II. Clearances (No change from previous memo.) III. Personnel A. The Chairman of the Committee should be a senior figure on Wall Street. He should be man who is well and favorably known in the New York financial community and respected for his integrity. From the standpoint of power in the community, I believe the best choice would be the head of one of the large commercial banks, either: 1) ELLMORE C. PATTERSON, head of Morgan Guaranty Trust, well liked, active and highly esteemed; or 2) WALTER B. WRISTON, head of FNCB, young man (under 50), and definitely pro-Nixon. Alternatively, the Chairman could be one of the following: 3) DON REGAN, head of Merrill Lynch, believed to be close to the White House; 4) RALPH SAUL, the highly respected Chairman of the Executive Committee at First Boston, slated to emerge within a year as head of that powerful house; or B 5) WILLIAM MORTON, head of American Express. B. If and when authorized to do so, I will sound out the men on this list (in the order in which they appear) to explain the program, and to insure avail- ability and willingness to serve as Chairman. NB: At the appropriate point in the "sounding out" process, I should be authorized to indicate that the ultimate request to the individual to serve as Chairman comes from the Presi- dent, and will be confirmed -- assuming I can report back that the individual is prepared to serve -- by a personal phone call from the President. hankh 2249 8/20 Malea + LC Regional Deis I Tracking system Devel system to find out how 8 Reports the seps is working Possil 800 phone for(each # cerded storept 28-25,000- - -Outs in 3rd Floor shereprogram Go PO st chmn weel their sterefionts are reporting directly to 1701 Entirely separate Rr / Morgan's Dir mail welly reperts Spot Orecking + reviewol numbers Competition bet Sto T cnt's Malea realizes conflict & animality bet GO P chmn t 1701 (beel of anong not specifies) so mac G+ mal will call periodically + Region Dir's are te meet w/ GOP Stchma 2 Jeny Jones needs reports - namest G-FU this wec addresses of org estal. 3 Volunteers - FM prol coneress to reach goal of / mil by Comp Kill off on (8/16) - Volunteer cam nameng Sen mcCort -John Safer- Full time colunteer- comp m68 du Safer- - 6 figure centril + will wark w/ Stan anderson who will be on Volunteers after Convention, Caneass Kick Off- - G copy memo out - Hdgtrs - names +aos 20 days to implement. Reg Deris to meet al St Deley Cities must Pa- will have Kick off on Sep 9 FM- A OK but major publicity 9/16 - Generate Volunteers - malce convasting an accep act G ae Koep - oll sample test -5000 prol Dems for Ricen - sire re local volunteers+ corvassence 4 Convention acturities Flemming involved" - Rules Fight "not - Report of DO comm-no quotos - Releg apportien -really bigst/ little it fight - Possil Floor Fight on Tues ne P. involve leef ne int. G. 3:30 today to Com Past +allen Kay Bulow-BT Seing G- Daily - 8:30 FM- Program Avoid press but dear specialed FM DEMOCRATS FOR NIXON ADVERTISING PROPOSAL September 4, 1972 DEMOCRATS FOR NIXON ADVERTISING PROPOSAL I. Advertising Objectives The advertising objective is to persuade traditional Democrats to vote for Richard Nixon in November. Care should be taken that this objective is not diluted by other, less vital, goals, specifically: No attempt will be made to gain converts to the Republican Party -- this is too big a jump to ask most people to take and it would take years to accomplish. No attempt will be made to persuade Democrats to vote the Republican line. It's too tough a sale. No attempt will be made to broaden the appeal of Democrats for Nixon to include traditional ticket splitters and/or independents. The Committee to Re-elect will be concentrating most of its energies on this group. The Democrats for Nixon should concentrate on Democrats. II. Creative Strategy The basic thrust of the advertising message should be: Senator McGovern does not reflect the philosophy of most Democrats, and surely not of most Ameri- cans. He is leading the party in the wrong direction and would the country as well. This year, it is necessary that you (the Demo- crat) put country ahead of party. Richard Nixon more adequately represents the philosophy of the American people. He has been a good President and deserves support. Advertising copy must be restrained both in condemnation of McGovern and praise of the President. There is no need to resort to excess emotionalism, distortion, or innuendo -2- to point out the dangers of a McGovern administration. His positions on defense, welfare, taxes, isolation, and peace terms are in conflict with the thinking of most Democrats and should be the major issues. III. Media Strategy At this point in the campaign, advertising should be concentrated in those states where current polling data shows the President either close to or behind McGovern. As we get further into the campaign, consideration will be given. to scheduling some commercials nationally if we find the margin of difference eroding in more states. Initially, though, it is proposed that local tele- vision (prime and fringe evening time) and full page newspaper ads can be scheduled in states as summarized in Section IV. Prime & Fringe Evening Local Time Use of television will enable us to quickly generate awareness to the broadest crossection of the population with the greatest possible impact in order to expose the weakness of McGovern's policies. Full Page B/W Newspaper Ads The addition of newspapers will extend the reach and frequency of the television effort through the use of a secondary supplemental medium and will provide us with the opportunity To more fully develop distinctions between McGovern and the President. To feature names of prominent (local if possible) Democrats for Nixon to help generate bandwagon support. To provide response coupons to help generate volunteers and contributions. -3- IV. Media Plan It is recommended that local spot television start Sept. 18 in the following states and markets, at 12 to 15 spots per week (150 GRP's), plus a full page B&W newspaper ad. State Market TV TV Cost Newspapers Newspaper cost Calif. San Francisco lwk. $16.7 full page 10.5 N.Y. N.Y.C. II 32.8 11 " 29.3 N.J. all " * " " 12.0 Pa. " Philadelphia 12.6 " " 13.9 Ohio 11 " Cleveland 6.6 " 10.0 Ill. " 16.2 " " Chicago 9.7 Mich. 11 Detroit 7.5 " " 9.9 Wisc. " 3.5 " " Milwaukee 4.4 " .9 " " Madison 1.0 Mo. " all 10.6 " " 12.5 Texas " 4.8 " " Houston 5.0 " " " Corpus Cristi .6 1.0 sub total: 112.8 119.2 Oregon Portland " 3.4 " " 3.8 11 1.2 17 17 Eugene 1.1 Wash. " all 8.0 " " 10.4 W.Va. " all 3.9 " " 5.8 Minn. " " Minneapolis 5.7 " 6.9 sub total: 22.2 28.0 Grand total: 135.0 147.2 * Covered by New York City and Philadelphia Extending this plan on an alternate week basis would result in the following budget: TV N.P. Total Week of Sept 18 $135.0 $147.2 $282.2 " " Oct 2 135.0 147.2 282.2 " " Oct 16 135.0 147.2 282.2 " " Oct 30 135.0 147.2 282.2 $540.0 $588.8 $1128.8 -4- V. Scheduling It is recommended that the following ads and commer- cials be scheduled: TV N.P. Week of Sept. 18 Credibility Credibility " " Oct. 2 Welfare Welfare = It Oct. 16 Defense Defense II II Oct. 30 To come To come VI. Future Plans This is to be considered an "initial" schedule, to be reviewed on a weekly basis. Additional states and markets can be added as funds permit, and polling indicates the need. VII. Network Opportunity Two five minute telecasts are available on 9/19 (Marcus Welby) and 9/21 (Owen Marshall) at $10,000 each. It is recommended that these be used to initiate a prime-time national appeal by John Connally to esta- blish 1) why Democrats for Nixon; 2) why Mr. Connally is opposed to McGovern; 3) why he is for the President. The telecast would close with an appeal for contribu- tions and volunteers. (While this is not the major purpose of the telecast, it will help broaden partici- pation in Democrats for Nixon). NEWSPAPER LIST CALIFORNIA $10,500 San Francisco Chronicle/Examiner Oakland Tribune Napa Register Santa Rosa Press Democrat San Jose Mercury News NEW YORK $29,300 New York Times New York Post New York News Long Island Press Long Island Newsday Westchester Rockland Group Poughkeepsie Journal Middletown Tribune-Herald Kingston Freeman NEW JERSEY $12,000 Atlantic City Press Camden Courier - Post Trenton Times/Times Advertiser Woodbury Times Trenton Trentonian Vineland Times - Journal Huckensack Record Jersey City Jersey Journal Newark Star Ledger Morristown/Parrippany Record Asbury Park Press New Brunswick Home News Paterson Clifton Passaic Group Dover Advance Passaic Clifton Herald News PENNSYLVANIA $13,900 Philadelphia Bulletin Philadelphia Enquirer Boston-Wilson Express Reading Eagle-Times Levittown-Briston Courier Times West Chester Local News Strouds East Pocono Record Hazleton Standard-Speaker Allentown Call-Crhonicle - 2 - OHIO $10,000 Cleveland Press Cleveland Plain Dealer Ashtabula Star-Beacon Lorain-Journal Akron Beacon-Journal Dover-New Philadelphia Times-Reporter Wooster Record Canton Deposit Mansfield News Journal ILLINOIS $9,700 Chicago Tribune Chicago Sun-Times Chicago Today Chicago News MICHIGAN $9,900 Detroit News Detroit Free Press Pontiac Oakland Press Royal Oak Tribune WISCONSIN $5,400 Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Racine Journal-Times Bulleitn Sheboygan Press Madison Capital Times Wisconsin State Journal MISSOURI $12,500 St. Louis Post Dispatch St. Louis Globe Democrat Kansas City Star Times Columbia Tribune Jeff. City Capital News/Post Tribune Sedalia Capital Democrat Joplin Globe Kirksville Express and News St. Joseph News - Press Gazette Springfield News Leader and Press TEXAS $6,000 Houston Chronicle Houston Post Galveston News Corpus Christi Times Caller - 3 - OREGON $4,900 Portland Journal of Commerce Salem Oregon Statesman/Cap. Journal Albany Democrat Herald Eugene Register-Guard Rosenburg News Review WASHINGTON $10,400 Seattle Times Seattle Post-Intelligencer TAcoma News Tribune Everett Herald Olympia Olympian Bremerton Sun Spokane Chronicle/Review Wenatchee World Bellingham Herald Yakima Herald-REpublic Walla Walla Union-Bulletin WEST VIRGINIA $5,800 Charleston Gazette Mail Huntington Herald Dispatch Parkersburg News Sentinel Logan Banner Beckley Post Herald RAleigh Reg. Bluefield Telegraph Sunset News-Observer Clarksburg Exponent Telegram Elkins Inter-Mountain Grafton Sentinel Wheeling Intelligencer News-Register MINNESOTA $6,900 Minneapolis Star Times St. Paul Dispatch St. Cloud Newspaper Redwing Eagle Fairbault News New Alma Journal Willmar Tribune Waseca Journal yy TALKING PAPER - FRED MALEK Bob wants a weekly report from now on on what's happening with regard to our military registration. McCain showed the President a report out in the Pacific that indicated that 70% of all military personnel supported the President and 60% of these under 25. Therefore, he wants this to become a very high priority Item with us going full blast on it. He would also like weekly reports for the next four weeks on what we are doing to hypo this effort. LH:pm 9/6/72 malek Hgu July 25, 1972 7/30 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL/EYES-ONLY 8/11 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: H. R. HALDEMAN We need to put major concentration of our external campaign effort in the primary states, particularly where McGovern has campaigned heavily. This would particularly include California, Oregon, Florida, Wisconsin, and probably New York. In these states, McGovern's people have made a major effort during the primary. Also, these are the areas where we have been under greatest attack. McGovern's people have a lot of bumper stickers and other high visibility items out. Currently we have nothing. We must correct this within the next couple of weeks. There should be an all-out drive on these items in these etates. cc: Fred Malek Noans, complete Jeb Magruder 8/10 what done HRH:LH:kb being July 25, 1972 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL/EYESONLY MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: H. R. HALDEMAN We need to put major concentration of our external campaign effort in the primary states, particularly where McGovern has campaigned heavily. This would particularly include California, Oregon, Florida, Wisconsin, and probably New York. In these states, McGovern's people have made a major effort during the primary. Also, these are the areas where we have been under greatest attack. McGovern's people have a lot of bumper stickers and other high visibility items out. Currently we have nothing. We must correct this within the next couple of weeks. There should be an all-out drive on these items in these etates. cc: Fred Malek Jeb Magruder HRH:LH:kb POLITICAL ACTION MEMORANDUM + Our youth registration should be strongly limited to the key states to the extent that that's practical, at least in it pept the allocation of money and national resources. California is by a wide margin the first priority because of the much Ong to greater effect there. cools at malea There should be a major concentration of external campaign theredy effort in the primary states, particularly California, Oregon, answer outg. Florida, Wisconsin, and probably New York, In these states at least, McGovern's people made a major effort during the primary and have a lot of bumper stickers and other high visibility items out, We have nothing, That must be corrected within the next couple of weeks. There should be an all-out drive on this. We've still got to solve our California problem. There are no Democrats on our committee, we have no Democratic organization, and we apparently still have Nofziger still running the campaign there. HRH July 25, 1972 HRH:kb TO HFU 7/31 L ed ve June MEMORANDUM FOR: BOB BROWN HOWARD COHEN BUD EVANS subject Pm BARBARA FRANKLIN BILL MARUMOTO JOHN WIRTH FROM: FRED MALEK SUBJECT: Developing Surrogate Plans The purpose of this memo is to outline the requirements for each Voter Bloc's Surrogate plan. I have covered much of this verbally with you in the pest, but no group has yet developed an acceptable plan. This crucial area has been one of the real disappointments of the campaign to date. I expect to have draft surrogate plans from each of you by July 7th patterned after and including each of the key Steps covered below. DEVELOPING SURROGATES The first step is to decide exactly who your surrogates will be. In some cases, of course, we have already done this. The list should include mostly people in the Government but also a group of leaders from outside (e.g., Lee Trevino for Spanish Speaking, Sammy Davis, Jr. and Floyd McKissick for Blacks, and Frank Borman for Veterans). In selecting your Government surrogates, you will obviously pick the top people but should also include lesser officials (e.g., Deputy Assistant Secretary level) who can be important to your con- stituency and make big news in places like Springfield, Illinois, or Trenton, New Jersey. Outside surrogates should as much as possible be people with national followings or recognition. In developing surrogates you should pick one or two who will be built into your major stars and command national and major regional coverage. In some cases, the selection of this star is obvious (e.g., Butz for Agriculture) and Flemming for Elderly), but in other cases will require more creativity on your part. The key point, however, is you must develop at least one star for your group to gain any real publicity. The next step is to gain commitment from the surrogates. The best method is to have the group in to explain the program, its priority, and what is ex- pected of them. We have done this with good effect for Women, Spanish Speaking, - 2 - and Blacks. I will participate in any of these meetings as desired. You should also determine those events already committed to by each surrogate and other responsibilities that will preclude them from appearing during certain periods. SELECT KEY STATES AND MEDIA MARKETS The surrogates should be scheduled almost exclusively in the key Statds with the large and essential electoral votes. Some appearances will have to be made in other States, but pressures in this direction should be resisted. As you know, the following States have been identified as key to the President's re-election. a. California, Illinois, Texas, Ohio, and New Jersey b. New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Michigan, Connecticut, and Washington c. Missouri, Wisconsin, Oregon, and West Virginia In scheduling within these states, you should focus as much as possible on the major media markets. These are: California Missouri Pennsylvania Los Angeles St. Louis Philadelphia San Francisco Kansas City Pittsburgh Sacramento New Jersey Harrisburg Fresno Newark Texas San Diego Trenton Dallas Connecticut New York Houston Hartford New York City Austin New Haven Rochester Washington Illinois AAlbany Seattle Chicago Buffalo Spokane Springfield Ohio Olympia Maryland Cincinnati West Virginia Bhltimore Columbus Charleston Annapolis Cleveland Wisconsin Michigan Oregon Milwaukee Detroit Portland Madison Lansing Salem In many cases, of course, it may not be possible for a minor surrogate to get attention in one of these major cities, and you will want to select other cities in the State.al Also, you will want to prioritize among these States and media markets, those that have the greatest meaning with your group. For example, we would not want to schedule many Spanish Speaking surrogates in Ohio, or Jewish surrogates in Washington. - 3 - SCHEDULE SURROGATES At this stage you have a list of surrogates and a prioritized list of media markets where they should appear. The next step is to match the two up. A number of factors should be taken into consideration. These factors include (a) the surrogate's particular constituency and political appeal, (b) the surrogate's native geographical area, (c) the surrogate's existing schedule and other responsibilities, such as a surrogate Congressman's need to attend to his own re-election effort, (d) the surrogate's known limited availability, and (e) the surrogate's office responsibilities. Generally, these is no reason why each of your Government surrogates cannot cover at least two media markets per week, and you should plan accordingly. In assigning surrogates to specific cities on specific days, do not be concerned about lack of an actual event at that time. The main thing is that you are locking your surrogates into an out-of-town appearance on a number of specific dates. Obviously, some modifications will be made in this ideal master schedule, and you should allow for plenty of flexibility in lining up specific events. DEVELOP EVENTS As much as possible, you should lean on your surrogates to develop their own events, as close as possible to your master schedule. In many cases the event could be simply a tour of an area where a program from the surrogate's Depart- ment or Agency is in operation. You and your staff should be helpful in genera- ting events, but try to get the surrogates to use their resources. Two other key points should be kept in mind in your scheduling. First, the event itself will be generally secondary to the related coverage. Thus, be sure that each surrogate thoroughly understands the need to arrange talk shows, press conferences, radio tapes, and editorial interviews in each city visited. The surrogate's Department or Agency should make these arrange- ments, but you should check to make sure it is done. The second key point is coordination. Bart Porter's office is scheduling major Presidential surrogates, and you will want to coordinate closely with him. This means that you should keep him apprised of your master schedule and any changes in it to avoid overlap of appearances. Also, onee you have developed a master schedule we will want to compare it with all other schedules and make modifications to avoid overlap or bunching in any one area. Bart and his staff are also available to assist you in developing your surrogate plans. - 4 - In my mind, the surrogate plan should be the most effective public relations tool at your command. It, therefore, deserves priority attention, and I look forward to receiving your draft plans by July 7th. CC: Alex Armendariz Larry Goldberg Paul Jones Ken Rietz Stan Scott Dan Todd Committee it for the Re-election 9/12 of the President 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 September 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN THRU: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: FRED MALEK 7m SUBJECT: Senior Advisors You asked for a proposal for designating certain individuals to act as Senior Political Advisors for various states and regions. The concept, simply stated, is to provide the President with a high-level contact in certain key states to give an objective and direct assessment of the campaign. The Advisor will be asked to constantly keep himself in- formed on political developments in his state and be prepared to brief the President if called upon to do SO. The Regional Directors will talk with these Advisors on a regular basis to keep them informed on developments. Finally, the Senior Advisors will be asked to be available to handle tough political problems that may arise before the election in their state(s). Clark or I will be in contact with the Advisors on these problems. Following is a listing of the individuals we propose to be Senior Advisors followed by the state or region for which they will be responsible. Clark MacGregor Minnesota and Wisconsin John Mitchell New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut Don Rumsfeld Illinois John Ehrlichman Pennsylvania, Michigan, Washington, and Oregon Bob Haldeman California Ray Bliss Ohio John Connally Texas Bob Dole Farm States Chuck Colson Massachusetts Cliff White Mountain States Rogers Morton Maryland - 2 - All states and areas are not covered, but I feel the main contested areas are included. If you approve of this concept, we will contact each Advisor, brief him on the program, and put him in contact with the appropriate Regional Directors. DECISION You should be aware that there are some negatives to this project. First, liaison will be difficult to achieve because of other demands on the Advisors' time. It will also pose added time burdens on Clark, the Regional Directors, and me. Finally, I am not convinced that it will be used by the President or even by us due to the typical need for rapid response on problems that arise. Nevertheless, it is workable and can be implemented if you or the President so desire. Please indicate your decision below: Proceed with project Do not proceed Discuss Other cct Mc Govern 72 Response Shriver 1910 K Street, N.W., Washington, D.C., 20006 (202) 333-4900 1 September 11, 1972 Dear Mr. President: I am writing to suggest that we explore the possibility of absentee balloting for American prisoners of war held in North Vietnam. The obstacles are considerable, particularly those involving the secrecy of the ballot. But I believe they may not be insurmountable if we approach the other side in a carefully planned joint effort. As you know, the deadline for the filing of absentee ballot applications is approaching. May we hear from your staff by September 14 or 15? My staff contact is Bob Sherman, who can be reached at 333-4900, extension 215. Sincerely, George McGovern The Honorable Richard M. Nixon The White House Washington, D. C. 20500 August 20, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR : L. HIGBY FROM : G. STRACHAN SUBJECT : New Political Field Men At 3:00 P. p.m. today, Fred Malek, Fred LaRue, Ed Morgan, John Whitaker, Jerry Jones, met at the Doral Hotel. I sat in. Malek learned of the meeting by accident from Whitaker at 2:20 p.m. Jerry Jones had talked with Whitaker and knew that the plan was to bring Whitaker, Morgan and Harry Dent into the political field operation as "the President's men". Malek saw MacGregor in my presence at 2:50 p.m. and asked MacGregor if he was going to attend the meeting. MacGregor said "No" and said that while he was aware of the suggestion, Malek should listen only to the proposal which MacGregor didn't think was a particularly good idea. The meeting opened with Mo rgan describing the new arrangement. According to Morgan, the President was very concerned about the lack of coordination between the RNC, 1701, and the Democrats for Nixon. According to Morgan, the Post article on the disputes between the RNC and 1701 acted as a catalyst for an Ehrlichman, Haldeman discussion and agreement that Whitaker, Morgan, and Dent were to become "the President's men" to resolve differences and determine effectiveness of programs in the field. They were to divide up the key states and travel around to resolve problems between MacGregor and Dole. They would also move within the states and determine whether the plans were "really working". Malek responded by saying he was inalterably opposed and that the proposal was totally unacceptable. Strong words followed with Whitaker's humor and jokes about who would throw whom off the penthouse roof adding a note of levity. Morgan said, "There must be some misunderstanding", picked up the Signal line and tried to reach Ehrlichman. He was unavailable. 2 According to Whitaker, Ehrlichman asked Morgan and Whitaker over to the Key Biscayne yesterday for a description of the new system. Apparently Dent was already aware of the arrangement and so did not attend. To elaborate on Malek's opposition, he said to establish Whitaker, Morgan, and Dent as "the President's men" would completely undermine hs field man and destroy the work of the last 7 weeks. Dent arrived and explained that the problem was that the political coordinators are unknown and not "the President's men". Malek responded that he admitted to having limited political judgement and would seek advice from Dent, Whitaker, and Morgan, but that there cannot be a side-by-side field organiza- tion. The meeting broke up with Morgan and Whitaker hoping to locate Ehrlicham to determine the status of the project. Malek remains opposed and will fight any intrusion into the field operation tooth and nail. Malek expressed to me afterwards that if there are any complaints about his handling of the field operation, he would appreciate hearing them directly from Bob, you, or me, rather than through the establishment of a new field operation under Ehrlichman's direction.' GS:pm Committee for the Re-election of the President Date 9/12/72 TO: H.R. Haldeman FROM: CLARK MacGREGOR can \ Please Handle FYI File Hold Committee for the Re-election of the President 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 September 8, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: FRED MALEK 7m SUBJECT: Nixon-Griffin Organization When we were in San Clemente last week. Bob Haldeman questioned me on the wisdom of working jointly with Senator Griffin in Michigan. While he did not ask for a response, I had the attached memo pre- pared which describes the nature of the Nixon-Griffin efforts and why they are advantageous to us, I thought you and Bob might be interested in reading this memo. Attachment D 8/30 RI Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM August 30, 1972 MEMORANDUM TO: MR. FRED MALEK FROM: DON MOSIMAN AM SUBJECT: Nixon-Griffin Organization The Michigan Re-election Committee and the Griffin for Senator Committee have combined their efforts solely in the area of core programs, i.e., voter registration, identification and turn-out- the vote. At the time of the formation of our Committee in Michigan there was already in place, at least in the nineteen most populated counties, a basic Griffin organization. Discussions between leadership of that organization and our own resulted in formation of a joint core program effort. We were able to instantly expand the number of field people as well as volunteers available to execute the core programs and thus were able to cover a much greater area of Michigan than had initially been thought by either organization. As you know, the Michigan GOP is not a strong statewide organization but does have some strength in a few of the counties. It was thought that by combining our forces, the Griffin forces and the party forces in what is called in Michigan a "Three for A11" pro- gram, a maximum execution of our core programs could be accomplished. The Griffin people were able at an early date to supply an accurate precinct study in each of the 19 most populous counties and we were thus able to concentrate our efforts in these areas at an early date. In addition they have agreed to pay $21,000 to our Committee to share in the costs of producing computer printouts for Election Day use as well as to allow us to expand our telephone operation. The Michigan re-election people estimate that fully 1/3rd of our can- vassing has been done by the people initially associated with the Griffin effort and now assure me that 75% of the state can be can- vassed because of their help as well as the regular party's help. Obviously the fact that we will be able to have additional phones will help us reach this canvassing goal. What this has cost us is the time it takes to ask the Griffin question in addition to the Nixon question. The first wave of polls showed -2- Griffin would do considerably better than Nixon in Michigan. That poll, however, preceded the Democratic primary which nominated Kelly as Griffin's opposition. Since that time the President has passed Griffin although Griffin apparently is improving. In any event conversations that I have had with our polling group would tend to establish that neither candidate is particularly helped or hurt by a joint canvassing effort and that again the only real loss is the canvasser's time in asking two questions instead of one. But this is more than offset by the additional areas we are able to cover because of the joint effort. July 20. The Dut News Nixon campaign chief optimistic GOP starts drive to win Michigan By ROBERT L. PISOR than we were on election day in 1968 (when Mr. Nixon lost I / not the Prevident to revent the doinort of this early Michigan by 223,000 votes to Hubert H, Humphrey)." money. Can the Republicans carry for President Nixon? The Michigan Committee to Reelect the President have two The President's compaignign thinkm 100% So do Senator over the 12th Boor of the Industrial Building at Grand River Here Michigan, the funds are being spent on the Republi- Robert P. Griffin mad State GOP Chairman William and Washington Boulevard. The committee has been working: cana political project # complete voter-by- Laughlin. since April. voter a of every household in the state. In fact, Republicans have only eartly approached a presi- THE COMMITTEES' volunteers. recruited in special drives dential election with the kind of engerniss they now feel. AS A MEASURE of comparison. McLaughlin recalled that at shopping centers, have visited thousands of homes. "I feel in good about this one as I did in 1996," Mclaughlin the Nixon campaign did not even have its own office in 1968 In # more refinement, the GOP is using computer sheets used yesterday. Be referred to the year the state GOP swept until late October. which provide volunteer canvassers with Nate of voters in five new congressional soats, won control of the State Legisla- The Nixon committee has 17 salaried staff members. includ- order of their house numbers on one side of the street. This ture and boosted Gov. Romney to his biggest victory. Part of the Republicans' budyancy comes from President ing seven full-time field organizers already at work. The goal way # pair of volunteers can move esaily down & street and Naon's decision to make Michigan a target state for 1972. is 25 paid workers by Labor Day. greet homeowners by name. As another comparison, the Michigan Republican Party One staff worker in the Detroit office yesterday reported THE PRESIDENT already Think poured considerable makes do with one chairman, one deputy, two secretaries and that who and 23 volunteers, all of whom she recruited. "did" campaign money and talent into the state and there's more a switchboard operator, McLauglin noted. some 650 homes in Northville's third precinct last Saturday. to come. The committee has been humming with activity aince mid- The canvasion make voters whether they like: distike or are Yesterday. that Prodidort: compaign manager, former Con- April under its executive director. Doyle Dodge, where left IN job undecided about Mr. Nixon - and then repeat the question for Senator Griffin. Clark MacGregor, of Minnesota, flow to Detroit to as assistant to the president of Teledyne Continental Motors to work for Mr. Nixon, give # table to local election volunteers. It bases some of its operations on regular, detailed public Eighty-two percent of the in that precinct were 'Michigan him traditionally # battloground white, and It km one opiniun polls provided by Market Opinion Research, which in reached Saturday, and with of the doors knocked upon that of the the President kmi giving special emphasis to this 10 Childrent year. MacGregor told - I conference in downtown Mr. Nixon's official pollater this year. the firms the in mage life canvanned, he and, Detroit. COMPUTERS, voter carivansing, special subcommittes (Ifo united the event to Hustrate how broad the canvassing project Michigan line miniont not the top of the list of key states, In work with ethnic minorities, farm families, businessmen, will acid. toes and veterans), expensive compaign literature and Impet Dodge. and Committee Chairman John Gibbs are now MacGregor confidence the state would give Mr. buttons are all part of the committee's activities. talking the entire state. Nixon 110. was - and winning reception in November And best of all, no far it hasn't cost Michigan Republicans III "The people are going trazy up In the Upper Peninmila," the the GOP controls what be called the four elements of dime. Dodge void. *** have an swful lot of volunteers signing up victory: "candidate, insure. finances and volunteers." According to Montgomery Shepard, of St. Joseph. chairman there and expect some of those counties to be completely There Invoice be IL partisun Democrat or two who would refute of the Nixon committee's finance operations in Michigan, will dome meach work." MacGregor's claim on elements 1 and 2 but there can be no committee work to date has been funded with "pre-April 7 Not sincie 1956 within the late Dwight David Eisenhower argument about the money and organization now working in money." sweet state have Republicans been so optimistic about Michigan for Mr. Nixon's reelection. This "dated" money was donated to the Nixon campaign their chances for III presidential victory. "Our organization in nooving very, very smoothly." State before a new law went into effect requiring candidates to Even their cautionary. words "It could be dog-ent-dog GOP Chairman McLaughlin said. name their contributors. Estimates of these funds run and right, down to the wire." may McLaughlin lack the custom- "Risht mow, Telephone B.CO 100 times 100 times -- more advanced of $10 million. MacGregor made it cloar yesterday Pin word may wrinkled and tome of concern. Committee for the Re-election of the President 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 September S, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: FRED MALEK 7m SUBJECT: Nixon-Griffin Organization When we were in San Clemente last week, Bob Haldeman questioned me on the wisdom of working jointly with Senator Griffin in Michigan. While he did not ask for a response, I had the attached memo pre- pared which describes the nature of the Nixon-Griffin efforts and why they are advantageous to us. I thought you and Bob might be interested in reading this memo. Attachment D 8/30 RI Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM August 30, 1972 MEMORANDUM TO: MR. FRED MALEK FROM: DON HOSIMAN AM SUBJECT: Nixon-Griffin Organization The Michigan Re-election Committee and the Griffin for Senator Committee have combined their efforts solely in the area of core programs, i.e., voter registration, identification and turn-out- the vote. At the time of the formation of our Committee in Michigan there was already in place, at least in the nineteen most populated counties, a basic Griffin organization. Discussions between leadership of that organization and our own resulted in formation of a joint core program effort. We were able to instantly expand the number of field people as well as volunteers available to execute the core programs and thus were able to cover a much greater area of Michigan than had initially been thought by either organization. As you know, the Michigan GOP is not a strong statewide organization but does have some strength in a few of the counties. It was thought that by combining our forces, the Griffin forces and the party forces in what is called in Michigan a "Three for All" pro- gram, a maximum execution of our core programs could be accomplished. The Griffin people were able at an early date to supply an accurate precinct study in each of the 19 most populous counties and we were thus able to concentrate our efforts in these areas at an early date. In addition they have agreed to pay $21,000 to our Committee to share in the costs of producing computer printouts for Election Day use as well as to allow us to expand our telephone operation. The Michigan re-election people estimate that fully 1/3rd of our can- vassing has been done by the people initially associated with the Griffin effort and now assure me that 75% of the state can be can- vassed because of their help as well as the regular party's help. Obviously the fact that we will be able to have additional phones will help us reach this canvassing goal. What this has cost us is the time it takes to ask the Griffin question in addition to the Nixon question. The first wave of polls showed Griffin would do considerably better than Nixon in Michigan. That poll, however, preceded the Democratic primary which nominated Kelly as Griffin's opposition. Since that time the President has passed Griffin although Griffin apparently is improving. In any event conversations that I have had with our polling group would tend to establish that neither candidate is particularly helped or hurt by a joint canvassing effort and that again the only real loss is the canvasser's time in asking two questions instead of one. But this is more than offset by the additional areas we are able to cover because of the joint effort. Nixon campaign chief optimistic GOP starts drive to Michiaan By ROBERT L. PISOR than we were on election day in 1958 (when Mr. Nixon lost not advise the President to revent d Mana Prilites Michigan by 222,000 votes 10 Hubert H. Humpbrey)." money. Can the Republicant carry Michigan for President Nam? The Michigan Committee to Reelect the President has taken More to Michigan, the funds are being spent 00 the The President's campaign manager thinks NO. So do Senator lever the 12th Boot of the Industrial Building at Grand River cana moor embitious political project Robert P. Griffin and State GOP Chairman William and Washington Boulevard. The committee has beba working votor canvass of every household in the McLaughilla. since April. THE CONTITTEES' volunteers, recruited In Lact, Republicans have only rarely approached at dential election with the kind of engirents they new Seef. AS À MEASURE of comparisto. McLaughtin recalled that at shopping centers, aiready have visited the Nison compaign did not even have its own office in 1908 In R rare refinement, the GOP is "I feel as good about this one as 1 did in 1068," Mclaughfin until late October. which provide vulunteer canversers with unit yesterday. Be referred to the year the state GOP swept order of their house numbers on one five new congressional seats, was control of the State Legisle- The Nom committee has 17 enfacted staff members. includ- ture and boosted Gov. Rommy to his biggest victory. ing seven time field organizers already at work. The goal way a pair of voluntesta can move Part of the Republicans' buayency comes from Provident greet borneowners by name. is 25 paid workers by Labor Dr.v. Nixon's decision to make Michigan a larget state for 1972. As another comparison. the Michigan Republicant Patry One stall worker in the Detroit make do with one chairman, 004 deputy. tura secretaries used that and end 22 all of THE PRESIDENT already has pouted examinable a awitchboard operator, McLangfin noted. some 650 homes in Northwille's third exampaign monty and talent into the state and there's tobre The committee has here humming with activity since smith The convete ASLE voters whether April moder its executive director, Dayle Dodge, was left A. job unrlecidad about Mr. Nixters and then CITY come. Yenterday. the President's campaign minnger. former Can as assistant to the president of Teledynn Cootinents Motors as Senator Griffin. gresonnes Clark MacGreger, of Minnesota, How to Detrok to work for Mr. Eighty-two parcent of the voters in a pep talk to local election voluntoers, It Invoice vorne of its operations OR regular, detailed public reached Sclorday, and one of the doors "Michigan is traditionally a bettloground Mate, and It Is name opinium polls provided by Market Opinion Research, which la Leaghten of the states the President is giving special emphasis to this Mr. Nixon's official polluter this year. "The the light Une in my life I'va year." MacGrager told # news conference in down Drivoil COMPUTERS, VOLIT carrencing, special (to using the event to illustrate how will he. Michigan is almost at the top of the list of key states," be work with ethoic minorities, farm familier, dec- the and veterans), exportative campaign INternature and lapel Dodges and Committee Chairman and telking about penventing the entire MacGregon expressed confidence the state would give Mr. buttons are all part of the netivities. And best of all, RD far * hasn't cost Michigan Republicans to (The people EYD going trazy up Nixon & warra and winning reception in November because the COP controls what be called the Your elements of dime. Dailge Tould. "We have 32 and tot of victory: "candidates issues, Coances and voluntears." According to Montgomery Shepard, of St. Joseph, cheirmen there and we expect some of those country to There antist be a patiention Dermocrat or two who would refuse of the Nixon commities's finance operations In Michigan, are done mext week.' committee work to date has been funded with "pro-Aprist Not since 1935 when the tate MacGregor's claim on elements I and 2 Inst there can as to expense about the money and organization now working is swipt. the state have Repoblicatis money." This "dated" money was donated to the Nixon campulga their chances for # presidential victory, Michigan for Mr. Nixon's reslection. "Our organization is moving very, very assocthly." State before # new law went into effect requiring condidates to Evan their cautionary words name their contibutors, Estimates of three funds run upward right down in the wire, grys McLaughho the GOP Chairman MicLaughlin said. "Right now, we are 100 times 199 times more advanced of SIS, million. MacGregor chade R clear yesterday for whate ary welakied brown and total of concern. MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CORDON STRACHAN H FROM: HARRY S. DENT SUBJECT: Update on September 12 Primaries Arizona 4th District: State Senator John Conlan (R) will be facing Democrat Jack Brown. Florida 5th District (New) : Democrat Bill Gunter will face the winner of the runoff between Charles, Rainey and Jack Insco for the Republican nomination. 10th District (New) : Representative L. A. Bafalis will challenge the winner of the Democrat runoff between Bruce Scott and John Darlson. 13th District (New) : Both the Republicans and Democrats have runoff here. The Republican one is between Paul Bethel and Ralph Malone and the Democrat between Lee Weissenborn and William Leham. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HARRY S. DENT B SUBJECT: Evaluation of Yesterday's Primaries Tuesday's primaries across the country produced three significant upsets, all of which may prove to be in our favor. Governor Peterson was defeated by Meldrin Thomson. Our people knew Peterson's position had weakened for the general election because of the tax backlash but they didn't realize it was enough for him to be defeated in our own primary. Thomson is a conservative and ran against Peterson last time on the AIP ticket. It is expected that with the good Presidential pull at the top and no tax backlash we stand a better chance of holding the seat. Wesley Powell won the Senate nomi- nation. Locally they believe he has a better chance to upset McIntyre because of his pull with conservative Democrats and the strong Presidential race. Congressman Wayne Aspinall proved to be weaker than expected, so now our campaign people believe we have a better shot at this seat with a good candidate in James Johnson. Thus the race has been upgraded. In South Carolina we hope to have Ed Young, a first-rate candidate and South Carolina Farmer of the Year, to replace a ghost candidate for the McMillan congressional seat. This would give us an excellent chance for a pickup in view of McMillan's unexpected defeat. McMillan - 2 - made a deal which backfired, and finally all of the blacks ganged up on him after supporting him previously. In Utah two moderate-type Republicans beat back challenges from two Birchers for the two congressional nominations. Congressman Lloyd had been very worried. In Wisconsin, the victory of State Senator Myron Lotto should enable us to hold onto Johnny Byrnes' seat. With Governor Davis' friend Luther Hackett as the nominee, we believe we should hold the Vermont governorship. Our Nevada people are encouraged that we may pick up the one Nevada congressional seat since a very liberal Demo- crat upset Baring last week. Lowenstein has won a ruling for a re-run against Rooney in New York. He might be able to worm his way back into the House. Overall, incumbents continue to have more difficulties than expected. H September 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. CHARLES W. COLSON FROM: DWIGHT L. CHAPIN In regard toppoints which should be covered at the Joint Leadership/ Cabinet meeting Tuesday concerning the surrogate planning attack operation, 1 offer the following suggestions: PLANNING 1. We have expanded our program as a result of the polls and are now concentrating on some of the smaller states - Rocky Mountain States, Southern States, et cetera - rather than just hitting our top ten key States. This is not a change in priority because the major emphasis will still stay on the ten key States. However, surrogates may be asked from time to time to hit smaller States. 2. Most surrogates have indicated days which they are available for strict campaigning. If possible, we could use even more days from each of the surrogates and they should alert Bart Porter at 1701 if they have extra daystto be available. 3. We find weaknesses in the fact that the surrogates are not scheduling enough media-oriented type events when they are traveling on "official business". In other words, if a Cabinet Officer or Sub Cabinet Officer goes into a region which is of importance to us - and yet it is not a campaign stop - they still should be scheduling television, radio, newspaper-type events. 4. As part of our sandwich plan and overall strategy vis-a-vis McGovern and Shriver, we may be asking the key surrogates to make last minute changes in their itineraries. This would obviously be done so as to cause the minimum amount of disruption among the local people where the surrogate had been previously programmed. 2. However, if we look at the overall national impact, It may be best to make last minute schedule changes. Obviously, these will be kept to a minimum but when they do happen we expect compliance. 5. We are going to great lengths to coordinate all schedules, including the President's, the Vice President's, Members of the First Family, the Cabinet, and all other surrogates so as to avoid duplication and to get maximum impact. Any surrogate who is setting up independent schedules or events should continue to program closely with 1701 so that we get the maximum impact every day from all of our surrogates. We must avoid duplication. ATTACK 1. Surrogates can expect to receive phone calls from one of three people - Al Abrams, Des Barker or Ken Clawson - which will provide the most updated attack information. These calls would come when you are out on the road. For example, lot's say that Secretary Butz is in Chicago and the attack group meets and conies up with a line which is to be hit that particular day regarding McGovern's attack on our grain deal with Russia. Butz will receive a phone call and that line should be worked into any press conferences or speeches which he gives that day. 2. We find that the surrogates are not receiving the information supplied by 1701. We should see that all information is delivered by messenger and that it is given to a person on the surrogate's staff who will Insure that it gots into the hands of the surrogate either personally or by phone. 3. Surrogates will be told when they are sandwiching around a McGovern or Shriver stop. When this is the case, special instructions will be issued so as to either ask questions prior to one of our opposition candidates hitting town or perhaps follow-up questions. We want to be rough on them and the idea of sandwiching them is to leave put questions into the press a day ahead of their visit or to make some charges as soon as they leave. It is not a pussy-footing type operation. It takes guts. 3. 4. 1701 is preparing issue information by regions of the various States. This will tell us what particular issues are important in what postion of the State. These issues whould be stressed In your remarks. MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 12, 1972 5:00 p.m. MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN DAMGARD FROM: DWIGHT L. CHAPIN John Mitchell called today to ask whether or not the Vice President was going to be doing the Conservative Party Convention on October 13. I told him that you had mentioned it this morning and that the Vice President was thinking seriously about it, but that to my knowledge no final decision had been made. Mr. Mitchell pointed out that the New York Liberal Party is going to hold their convention on October 4 and that he feels the Conservative convention would be a good thing for the Vice President to attend on the 13th. He asked that we get this cleared with Bixby and Rockefeller prior to committing. Mr. Mitchell went on to state that if there is any problem with Bixby or Rockefeller or with the event, that he would like to be informed and that I should keephim posted. Will you please check Rockefeller and Bixby to see if they are favorably disposed to the Vice President's making this appearance and keep me posted. Thank you. cc: David Parker Art Sohmer H. R. Haldeman MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: GORDON STRACHAN H FROM: HARRY S. DENT HSD SUBJECT: Primary Update Wisconsin In the initial primary report this morning I stated that Harold Froehlich would be the Republican running against Reverend Robert J. Cornell of the Eighth District. The Republican will be State Senator Myron Lotto, rather than Froehlich. This is the district of retiring Representative John W. Byrnes (R). Utah Representative Sherman P. Lloyd and Robert Wolthuis, both described as "moderate" Republicans, defeated John Birchers in the two Utah Congressional districts. The Birchers had campaigned against the President's record. Wolthuis, in the First District, will face incumbent Gunn McKay (D). Lloyd will be opposed by former Teddy Kennedy aide Wayne Owens, in the Second District. The Republican Gubernatorial candidate in Utah, already selected, will be Nicholas Strike, a Salt Lake City businessman of Greek extraction, and a non-Mormon. MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CORDON H FROM: HARRY S. DENT SUBJECT: Update on September 12 Primaries Arizona 4th District: State Senator John Conlan (R) will be facing Democrat Jack Brown. Florida 5th District (New) : Democrat Bill Gunter will face the winner of the runoff between Charles Rainey and Jack Insco for the Republican nomination. 10th District (New) : Representative L. A. Bafalis will challenge the winner of the Democrat runoff between Bruce Scott and John Darlson. 13th District (New) : Both the Republicans and Democrats have runoff here. The Republican one is between Paul Bethel and Ralph Malone and the Democrat between Lee Weissenborn and William Leham. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 13, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HARRY S. DENT Б SUBJECT: Evaluation of Yesterday's Primaries Tuesday's primaries across the country produced three significant upsets, all of which may prove to be in our favor. Governor Peterson was defeated by Meldrin Thomson. Our people knew Peterson's position had weakened for the general election because of the tax backlash but they didn't realize it was enough for him to be defeated in our own primary. Thomson is a conservative and ran against Peterson last time on the AIP ticket. It is expected that with the good Presidential pull at the top and no tax backlash we stand a better chance of holding the seat. Wesley powell won the Senate nomi- nation. Locally they believe he has a better chance to upset McIntyre because of his pull with conservative Democrats and the strong Presidential race. Congressman Wayne Aspinall proved to be weaker than expected, so now our campaign people believe we have a better shot at this seat with a good candidate in James Johnson. Thus the race has been upgraded. In South Carolina we hope to have Ed Young, a first-rate candidate and South Carolina Farmer of the Year, to replace a ghost candidate for the McMillan congressional seat. This would give us an excellent chance for a pickup in view of McMillan's unexpected defeat. McMillan - 2 - made a deal which backfired, and finally all of the. blacks ganged up on him after supporting him previously. In Utah two moderate-type Republicans beat back challenges from two Birchers for the two congressional nominations. Congressman Lloyd had been very worried. In Wisconsin, the victory of State Senator Myron Lotto should enable us to hold onto Johnny Byrnes' seat. With Governor Davis' friend Luther Backett as the nominee, we believe we should hold the Vermont governorship. Our Nevada people are encouraged that we may pick up the one Nevada congressional seat since a very liberal Demo- crat upset Baring last week. Lowenstein has won a ruling for a re-run against Rooney in New York. Re might be able to worm his way back into the House. Overall, incumbents continue to have more difficulties than expected. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date: 9/13 TO: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN In light of the comment and criticism of the campaign materials distribution system, Fred Malek and Peter Dailey, who are primarily responsible for the success of the project, submitted this report by Lewis Dale. COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT MEMORANDUM September 4, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: FRED MALEK FROM: LEWIS DALE D SUBJECT: Campaign Promotional Materials Attachment (1) includes the recommended supplements to the states 1 promotional materials budgets, The supplements do not include funds for the "The Record canvassing brochures, 5,000,000 of which are now being shipped to the states, An additional 10,000,000 of the new attack brochures * are being printed for shipment later this month. The overall materials budget breaks down as follows; 298,883 - Materials shipped 4/7-7/31 150,000 - Freight: 8/1-11/7 100,000 1 Donnelly Distribution System 950,000 - States' allocations 8/1-11/7 275,000 - Recommended State supplements 225,000 - 15 million canvassing brochures (includes shipping and overhead) Total: 1,998,883 As of August 31, the states had ordered $422,986 in materials from the distribution centers and through the CRP Political Division. Attachment (2) shows the materials ordered verbally by this Headquarters and received by the states between July 31 and August 28. The attachment does not reflect the materials ordered by state materials chairmen from the four distribution centers and shipped from those points. For example, the twenty orders for Missouri shipped on August 31 from the Oak Brook, Illinois, distribution center are not reflected in these totals. Virtually all orders are now being processed through the distribution system. Back orders represent a portion of the funds considered expended, In some orders, backorders have run as high as 50%. However, this is not true in the majority of cases, and those items now backordered should be shipped within ten days. In addition, several states have submitted orders for almost all of their present budgets. Because of the numerous complaints reaching this Headquarters directly from these states rather than through the state materials chairmen, I am calling these situations to the attention of the appropriate Regional Directors, Attachments (3) and (4) provide recommended allocations of budget supplements for the National Headquarters and the CRP Headquarters. In the case of the National Headquarters, I recommend approval of this allocation because of the flood of materials requests inundating me and others from these groups. The three CRP divisions recommended for fixed allotments are capable of distri- bution to already well-organized groups around the country. We should remove their dependence on state materials chairmen as much as possible within budget limitations. This decentralization of ordering authority and budget provisions for these selected groups should alleviate some of the pressures long evident in the system. As you know, an inordinate level of criticism has been directed at the campaign materials situation. Some of the complaints have been justified. But given the parameters of the system, particularly the budget, it is now operating well. Much of the criticism flows from persons who are unaware that each state has a materials chairman who has sole authority for ordering and distributing materials in his state. The chairman, in turn, distributes catalogues and order forms only to those persons whom he wants ordering materials in his state through him. I offered 500 additional catalogues and order forms to the Pennsylvania Chairman recently. He turned them down and said his state was in good shape materially; yet I get numerous phone calls from county level officials lamenting the lack of materials in Pennsylvania. I refer them to the state materials chairman and inform them that he sets priorities in his state. Several Ohio CRP officials claimed recently that a large verbal order submitted by us in early August had not been received. I personally checked with seven of the receivers, selected at random from among the thirty different shipping desti- nations in the state. All had received their shipments, but no one in Ohio had bothered to check. I cite these examples only to emphasize that, from my experience in the past three weeks, at least 75% of the criticism is based on misinformation, a lack of know- ledge of the system, and a failure to appreciate its necessity and limitations. We are working on the remaining 25%. ATTACHMENT 1 Budget Expended Quota: Budget Recmd, By August 1/ Expended Supplem, Electoral State July 31 Elect. By Aug. 31 Sept. 21 Total Vote $/Elect. Vote Alabama 147 4,000 2,871 3,000 7,147 9 794 Alaska 588 4,500 1,308 5,088 3 1696 Arizona 2,866 3,000 1,067 1,000 6,866 6 1144 Arkansas 301 3,500 3,199 2,000 5,801 6 967 California 33,040 120,000 32,341 25,000 178,040 45 3956 Colorado 3,586 5,500 2,904 1,000 10,086 7 1441 Connecticut 14,907 20,000 8,355 1,000 35,907 8 4488 Delaware 2,428 4,000 1,670 6,428 3 2143 Florida 2,435 20,000 16,247 10,000 32,435 17 1908 Georgia 167 10,000 5,511 3,000 13,167 12 1097 Hawaii 294 4,000 2,188 1,000 5,294 4 1324 Idaho 2,113 3,500 1,860 1,000 6,613 4 1653 Illinois 29,741 60,000 39,791 25,000 114,741 13 2562 Indiana 11,310 17,000 11,778 5,000 33,310 26 4413 Iowa 7,425 8,000 2,353 2,000 17,425 8 2178 Kansas 673 15,000 1,689 2,500 18,173 7 2596 Kentucky 366 14,000 12,065 5,000 19,366 9 2152 Louisiana 953 3,500 2,430 1,000 5,453 10 545 Maine 1,338 4,000 1,979 1,000 6,338 4 1585 Maryland 17,282 20,000 10,478 3,000 40,282 10 4028 Massachusetts 757 10,000 8,348 6,000 16,757 14 1483 Michigan 6,229 65,000 12,528 20,000 91,229 21 4344 Minnesota 2,588 9,000 9,000 5,000 16,588 10 1659 Mississippi 127 4,000 2,845 1,000 5,127 7 732 Missouri 4,505 15,000 8,538 3,000 22,505 12 1875 Montana 5,692 2,500 652 500 8,692 4 2173 Nebraska 1,870 11,000 4,356 12,870 5 2574 Nevada 2,991 4,000 1,907 500 7,491 3 2497 New Hampshire 1,324 3,000 2,183 1,000 5,324 4 1331 New Jersey 5,554 50,000 10,505 5,000 60,554 17 3562 New Mexico 1,047 6,000 3,544 1,000 8,047 4 2012 New York 8,019 130,000 48,321 37,000 175,019 41 4269 North Carolina 2,345 15,000 954 2,500 19,845 13 1527 North Dakota 2,408 5,000 4,489 1,000 8,408 3 2803 Ohio 43,042 40,000 36,128 20,000 103,042 25 4122 Oklahoma 3,098 7,000 3,419 1,500 11,598 8 1450 Oregon 5,136 6,000 5,284 3,000 14,136 6 2356 Pennsylvania 22,567 55,000 55,000 30,000 107,567 27 3984 Rhode Island 576 3,000 1,215 2,000 5,576 4 1394 South Carolina 2,850 3,000 2,821 1,000 6,850 8 856 South Dakota 3,986 1,500 1,124 1,500 6,986 4 1747 Tennessee 3,471 11,500 4,094 1,000 15,971 10 1597 Texas 2,580 60,000 5,956 10,000 72,580 26 2792 Utah 1,437 5,000 1,955 1,000 7,437 4 1859 Vermont 1,164 5,000 2,200 1,000 7,164 3 2388 Virginia 1,917 13,000 10,740 4,000 18,917 12 1576 Washington 1,025 18,000 3,476 19,025 9 2114 West Virginia 127 10,000 318 10,127 6 1688 Wisconsin 8,054 12,000 6,325 2,000 22,054 11 2005 Wyoming 242 4,000 2,472 1,000 5,242 3 1747 District of Columbia 195 5,000 205 10,000 15,195 Washington HDq. 20,000 18,000 12,000 50,000 Totals 298,883 950,000 422,986 275,000 1,525,883 * Does not include amounts expended prior to August 1, ATTACHMENT 2 AMOUNT CAMPAIGN MATERIALS DISTRIBUTED TO STATES, 7/31/72 - 8/28/72 *VERBAL ORDERS ONLY MISC. MISC. STATE BUTTONS BUMPER STICKERS BROCHURES POSTERS GIVE-AWAY FUND-RAISING Alabama 10,000 10,000 0 Alaska 2,000 5,000 2,000 Arizona 10,000 10,000 2,000 (5,000-3P, 250-3T) Arkansas 15,000 20,000 5,000 5,250 California 210,000 196,000 0 1250 5100 Colorado 5,000 5,000 5,000 Connecticut 50,000 50,000 50,000 Delaware 1,000 1,000 1,000 D.C. 0 0 0 Florida 36,500 36,500 24,000 Georgia 10,000 10,000 5,000 Hawaii 10,000 10,000 1,000 Idaho 5,000 10,000 3,000 Illinois 242,000 192,000 154,500 Indiana 20,000 20,000 20,000 Iowa 25,000 15,000 15,000 Kansas 25,000 25,000 12,000 THESE FIGURES DO NOT INCLUDE ANY MATERIALS ORDERED BY THE STATES' MATERIALS CHAIRMEN THROUGH THE FOUR DISTRIBUTION CENTERS. AMOUNT CAMPAIGN MATERIALS DISTRIBUTED TO STATES, 7/31/72 = 8/28/72 MISC. MISC. STATE BUTTONS BUMPER STICKERS BROCHURES POSTERS GIVE-AWAY FUND-RAISING Kentucky 20,000 20,000 10,000 Louisiana 10,000 10,000 5,000 Maine 15,000 15,000 15,000 Maryland 90,000 90,000 40,000 7,500-7F Massachusetts 21,000 35,000 0 1,900 50-4A Michigan 70,000 70,000 45,000 Minnesota 166,000 25,000 15,0.00 750 5,000-4F Mississippi 10,000 10,000 5,000 Missouri 21,000 21,500 15,000 Montana 2,000 5,000 2,000 Nebraska 100,000 50,000 22,000 Nevada 4,000 6,000 7,400 New Hampshire 8,000 8,000 8,000 New Jersey 30,000 30,000 10,000 New Mexico 15,000 30,000 12,000 New York 260,000 210,000 230,000 1,104 10,000-4E North Carolina 12,000 12,000 6,000 AMOUNT CAMPAIGN MATERIALS DISTRIBUTED TO STATES, 7/31/72 - 8/28/72 MISC. MISC. STATE BUTTONS BUMPER STICKERS BROCHURES POSTERS GIVE-AWAY FUND-RAISING North Dakota 0 0 0 Ohio 201,900 201,900 90,000 250-4D (1,000-3R, 3,000-4E) Oklahoma 41,000 20,000 0 100 4,000 Oregon 52,500 50,000 6,500 800 (50,000-3P, 30,000-4E) Pennsylvania 375,000 175,000 130,000 50,000 80,000 (250-7F) Rhode Island 10,000 9,500 5,000 24 2,506 South Carolina 10,000 10,000 5,000 South Dakota 15,000 15,000 17,000 Tennessee 5,000 0 2,000 Texas 21,000 21,500 14,000 Utah 10,000 5,000 0 Vermont 10,000 10,000 5,000 Virginia 20,000 20,000 0 Washington 30,000 30,000 15,000 West Virginia 4,000 4,000 4,000 Wisconsin 25,000 35,000 15,000 300 25,000-4E Wyoming 10,000 5,000 2,000 TOTAL 2,349,900 1,866,900 1,057,400 54,978 109,556 7500 ATTACHMENT 3 NATIONAL HEADQUARTERS CAMPAIGN MATERIALS BUDGET Supplementary allocation of $10,000 to be obligated as follows: 1. White House 1000 2. GOP House 1500 3. GOP Senate 1000 4.* CRP 2000 5. RNC 1000 6. Advance Operation 2500 7. Vice President's Office 500 8. Other Requests 500 10000 Andy Lawrence will be the sole authorized signee for the above groups and is responsible for the distribution of catalogues and order forms to selected individuals from these groups who apply to him for materials and for the trans- mittal of order forms to the proper distribution center. * Does not include Young Voters, Volunteers and Women's Activities or Finance. ATTACHMENT 4 CRP HEADQUARTERS CAMPAIGN MATERIALS BUDGET Present Allocation 18,000 Recommended Supplement 12,000 30,000 Recommended Distribution: 1. Finance 5000 2. Volunteers and Women's Activities 4000 3. Young Voters 18000 27000 Each of the above three divisions will select one person to serve as its materials chairman. Only his signature on official order forms will be honored by the appropriate distribution center. The remaining 3000 will be a budget reserve for unanticipated needs and emergency requests. THE RECORD. President Nixon. OW Now more than ever. The Record. The Economy: President Nixon has taken strong action to flatten inflation and increase employment. He initiated a 90-day wage-price freeze, followed by more flexible controls, and introduced a package of tax cuts to stimulate the economy. The inflation rate has been cut in half, and the Gross National Product has expanded at a yearly rate of over 7%. Housing starts are up 42% over last year. The Environment: President Nixon established the Environmental Protection Agency, the first Federal unit ever set up to protect our quality of life. He has increased funding for environmental improvement by over Foreign Policy: 500%, and initiated a Legacy of Parks program to President Nixon went to Moscow in May of this year bring increased recreational opportunities to where he negotiated agreements with the Soviet cities. No less than 25 separate environment bills Union to limit development of antiballistic missile have been proposed by him. systems, jointly explore space, and combat the diseases plaguing mankind, In March, he visited Young Americans: Peking where he made a start toward improving President Nixon has signed into law the bill giving 18- relations between the U.S. and the People's Republic year-olds the right to vote overhauled the selective of China. The President has called a halt to crisis service system with the goal of establishing an all-volunteer diplomacy, seeking to reduce tension in such troubled army and has proposed an education program that areas as the Middle Easf. would guarantee a college education to all who qualify, and vocational education Revenue Sharing: training for those who do not wish to attend college. In order to relieve the burden of taxes at the State and local level Crime: -property, sales, income and other taxes-the President has proposed The President's vigorous law-enforcement policies have cut the increase in the nation's serious crime rate to a program to make more monies available to local governments by 1% in the first quarter of this year. Eighty (over half) sharing a portion of Federal revenues of our major cities have actual decreases in crime, and with them. Offered with no strings Washington, D.C. has achieved a 30% decrease over attached, this program promises to last year alone. This has been made possible by encourage problem-solving at the lo- President Nixon's program of increased aid to states cal level where many of the problems and localities. are. Older Americans: President Nixon has submitted proposals to Congress which have increased Social Security benefits to the nation's elderly by more than one-third from 1969 to this year- a greater increase than in any period in history of similar length. The President has also advanced programs to enable more of the elderly to live in their own homes, and to improve nursing care and increase jobs for these same citizens. Vietnam: The President has done everything in his power to bring U.S. TROOPS IN VIETNAM peace to Vietnam Thousands without sacrificing Health Care: 600 Nixon takes the South Vietnamese office 543,400 President Nixon has earmarked in the process. He Drugs: 500 has brought home massive amounts of money The President has won agreement to find a cure for cancer and sickle 500,000 men 400 from Turkey to place a total ban on reduced casualties cell anemia. Federal outlays for the growing of opium poppy made by 95% and health care and research in 1973 300 an agreement with France to assist in will reach $25.5 billion, and the cut spending by halting the traffic of drugs and two-thirds. As this is President has proposed a National 200 stepped up arrests of pushers. He is Health Insurance Standards Act, written, strong steps spending 6 times more for rehabilita- a Family Health Insurance Plan, are being taken to 100 tion and 5 times more for drug and the National Health Education 49,000 get the enemy to education than ever before. Combined, Foundation, all aiming at better 0 cease its aggression these actions are finally turning the health care for EVERYONE. and make peace. tide against the drug scourge. Published and paid for by the Finance Committee to Re-elect the President, M. H. Stans, Chairman. C. L. Washburn, Deputy Chairman, P. E. Barrick, Treasurer, 1701 Pennsylvania Ave. N. W., Washington. D. C. President Nixon has called The Choice the 1972 Presidential Election on Taxes the "clearest choice" offered to America's voters in and Welfare. this century. Consider President Nixon has cut federal income taxès by $22 billion and is pushing Congress for a program to return more tax money to the states so that property tax increases will stop. And he favors "workfare," The Choice which means that those on welfare who can work will be asked to do so. on America's Senator McGovern would hand a $1,000 check to every American, whether he needs it or not. His Defense. total program would put nearly one out of every two people on some form of welfare, and would President Nixon believes in cutting only the fat mean higher taxes for working Americans at almost from the defense budget, while maintaining the every income level. military forces he needs to guarantee America's security. Democratic Congressman Wilbur Mills said, "I am a little surprised that Senator McGovern has an- Senator McGovern proposes to cut the defense nounced this (welfare and tax reform) as his pro- budget by $32 billion-which is cutting into the gram. I don't know where we'd get (that) money " very muscle of our military. In the words of Hubert Humphrey: "Senator McGovern is proposing a 40% cut in our defense forces-cutting the Navy in The Choice half, and the Air Force by more than half-without any similar disarmament agreement from the on Other Russians. It shocks me. No responsible President would think of cutting our defenses back to the Important Issues. level of a second class power in the face of the ex- panding Russian Navy and Air Force." President Nixon strongly opposes the busing of school children, while Senator McGovern has clear ly stated that he's for it. The Choice President Nixon has named qualified judges to the on Vietnam. Supreme Court, while George McGovern talks about selecting judges on a quota system to rep- President Nixon has ended America's ground com- resent different minority groups. bat role in Vietnam, and he'll bring all of our forces President Nixon is in favor of finding ways to aid home as soon as the enemy agrees to a cease fire parochial and private schools. George McGovern and the return of our POW's. And the President has shown no support during his Senate career for will consider amnesty for those who wouldn't serve non-public education. after the POW's are home. Consider this statement by Senator Henry Jackson Senator McGovern wants to withdraw from Vietnam (Democrat, Washington): "McGovern has become immediately and hopes the POW's will then be re- the spokesman of some of the most dangerous and leased. And he's willing to offer pardons now, destructive currents in American politics. Some call without penalty or alternate service, for all who the McGovern Doctrine the new populism. I call illegally dodged military service. it the new extremism." McGovern's Changing Positions. In 1967, Senator George McGovern said he was not an advocate of unilateral withdrawal of our troops from Vietnam. Now, of course, he says he is. Last January, Senator George McGovern suggested a welfare plan that would give a $1,000 bill to every man, woman and child in America. Now he has a new plan-without the $1,000. THE Last year, Senator McGovern said he would remove all American forces from Southeast CLEAREST Asia. Now he wants to leave troops in Thailand and on ships in the area. CHOICE In Florida, Senator McGovern said he was pro-busing. In Oregon, he said he would support OF the anti-busing bill now in Congress. THE CENT In 1971, Senator McGovern said Jerusalem should be an international city. This year he wants to recognize Jerusalem as the Israeli capital and move the United States embassy there from Tel Aviv. President Nixon. Now more than ever. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date 9/12/72 TO: H.R. Haldeman FROM: GEORGE COLLINS Invitation to Evans-Novak political forum October 31 at the Madison Hotel. Accept Regret FYI Gordon will contact Harry Dent to have him attend in your place. Tell his Macbriga been had.! S7 Reisner 9/14 EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL REPORT WHAT'S HAPPENING WHO'S AHEAD IN POLITICS TODAY 1750 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W. Room 1312 Washington, D.C. 20006 202-298-7850 September 11, 1972 Dear Subscriber: The reaction to the First EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL FORUM, held on June 22, was so enthusiastic that, at the request of several who attended, we are scheduling a Second Forum in Washington on Tuesday, October 31, at the Madison Hotel. With the election just one week away, our panel of experts will examine the surprising political events of this past year, discuss the outlook for the Presidential and Congressional elections and project the political future. Based on our own extensive travels and political polling, we and our expert panel will discuss with you -- completely off-the-record -- our conclusions and observations. Our panel in this Second Forum will include: Hon. Clark MacGregor, Campaign Director of the Committee to Reelect the President. Hon. Lawrence F. O'Brien, Chairman of the McGovern Campaign. Mr. Richard Scammon, author, pollster and expert political analyzer for NBC. Mr. Patrick Caddell, pollster and political adviser for Sen. McGovern. The fee of $200 covers luncheon and, following the session, cocktails. To maintain the unique intimacy of the Forum, we are accepting only the first 65 reservations. If you wish to participate, please fill in the enclosed form and send it with your check in the postpaid envelope pro- vided herein. Sincerely, Rolars Ern Rout D. Nords Rowland Evans, Jr. and Robert D. Novak EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL REPORT WHAT'S HAPPENING WHO'S AHEAD IN POLITICS TODAY 1750 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W. Room 1312 Washington, D.C. 20006 202-298-7850 Tentative Schedule SECOND EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL FORUM MADISON HOTEL, WASHINGTON, D.C. October 31, 1972 10:00 am Rowland Evans and Robert Novak. The 1972 Campaign. Discussion and Questions. 11:30 am Hon. Clark MacGregor, Campaign Director of the Com- mittee to Reelect the President. The Nixon Campaign. Discussion and Questions. 12:30 pm Luncheon. 1:30 pm Mr. Richard Scammon, The Election Research Center and Mr. Patrick Caddell, Cambridge Survey Research. The 1972 Voter. Discussion and Questions. 3:30 pm Hon. Lawrence F. O'Brien, National Campaign Chairman of McGovern-Shriver '72. The McGovern Campaign. Dis- cussion and Questions. 4:30 pm Evans and Novak. Summing Up. 5:00 pm Reception. EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL REPORT 1750 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006 I will attend the EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL FORUM on Tuesday, October 31: NAME ADDRESS CITY STATE ZIP Fee: $200. Please make checks payable to: EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL FORUM. FIRST CLASS Permit No. 34714 BUSINESS REPLY MAIL Washington, D.C. NO POSTAGE STAMP NECESSARY IF MAILED IN THE UNITED STATES EVANS-NOVAK POLITICAL REPORT 1750 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W. Room 1312 Washington, D.C. 20006 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 12, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: JEB MAGRUDER FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Campaign Victory Plan In August we read Bob Marik's victory plans for the large states and the small states. In light of the possibility that Wave III will be received soon, is there any advantage to doing updated victory plans for the crucial states? I am particularly interested in California, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois and New Jersey. However, the states might change in light of the Wave III results. In any event, give me a call about this project as I do not want to raise it with Bob Marik until you agree with me that it's a good idea. GS/jb FU - 9/15 ACTION MEMO We need to find a way to get David Rockefeller to talk to Winthrop Rockefeller to persuade him to get Babbit out of the race in Arkansas. Babbit has no chance and he should get out. It would help the state and so forth, but apparently Winthrop is hell bent to keep him in and he'll. only listen to David. Attempts have already been made directly to Winthrop, and through Nelson. above HRH:pm 9/11/72 September 12, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: PAT BUCHANAN FROM: LARRY HIGBY Bob asked that I pass on to you the fact that we should now probably change tactics on Shriver. Instead of ignoring him we should move actively to make him a liability to the ticket. He should be cracked hard by lower level people. cc: Chuck Colson HIGH PRIORITY September 12, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: JEB MAGRUDER FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: American Flag Lapel Pins We should be moving now hard and quickly to push the idea of the American Flag Lapel Pin. As a first step, all of our people should be wearing American Flags. Also they should be on all our speakers. Each speaker should have a supply of them to give to the people who ask for them. On our Bumper Sticker program, it would be a good idea to offer to give each Bumper Sticker person an American Flag for his lapel at the same time. I am sure there are several other ideas that you'll have on this, but we should get a complete program going on this immediately both at 1701 and out in the country. Please let me know what you are doing on this by Friday, September 15. GS/jb FU - 9/15 September 12, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR : DWIGHT CHAPIN FROM 1 H.R. HALDEMAN It is absolutely imperative regardless of what the planners of the dinners say, that we get a good crowd of young voters for the President admitted to the New York and Los Angeles dinners and to the San Francisco luncheon. They should stand around the sides and possibly sit on the floor in front and cheer for the President. Don't let them tell us this can't be done. Have them set up a separate room where the kids can eat dinner or work out some- thing and then let them in for the President's speech. There has to be a way to do this so let's figure it out. HRH:pm THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 11, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN S SUBJECT: Pat Hutar and Barbara Franklin's Campaign Roles According to Fred Malek, the campaign roles of Barbara Franklin and Pat Hutar are separate with each having the responsibilities outlined below. Barbara Franklin has overall responsibility to get women, as a constituent group, to vote for the President. She is in charge of the Women's Surrogate Program, and coordi- nates all materials, mailings, special advertising, and press relations. She is ultimately responsible for Barbara MacGregor's Flying Squad program using Administration and top White House Staff wives. Pat Hutar does not report to Barbara Franklin. Pat Hutar is responsible for the Pledge to the President program, which recruits volunteers. Hutar is responsible for all volunteer programs except YVP. Even though most volunteers are women, Hutar's focus is volunteers. Hutar is also in charge of the Hostess Telephone program which relies on women to make telephone calls from their own home. This program is to be distinguished from the telephone centers program, under the direction of Bob Marik and usually staffed by volunteers. In addition, Pat Hutar is also involved in some of the scheduling of Cabinet wives. COMMITTEE FOR THE RE-ELECTION OF THE PRESIDENT MEMORANDUM September 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: MR. ED FAILOR FROM: ART AMOLSCH SUBJECT: McGovern's Duluth Appearance According to our observer in Duluth, Senator McGovern arrived late for his appearance at the grain elevator. He was not met at the airport by either the press or supporters. McGovern went immediately to the grain elevator where he read the attached statement for the television cameras. He then spoke very briefly to a few workers and left. Our observer estimates that if secret service men, workers, news- men and the campaign entourage were subtracted from the group at the grain elevator, only about 35 people were present. No PA system was set up and anyone standing more than 20 feet or so away from Senator McGovern could not have heard what he said. Attachment: Statement. McGovern Statement in Duluth on Grain Trade Agreement with Russia September 8, 1972 The Duluth Superior Port represents one of the great shipping areas of this country and all of us are grateful for the opportunity to sell more American grain overseas but the recent deal on wheat and grain with the Soviet Union has a bad smell to it as one looks into the implications of what happened. Because the facts are that grain speculators were allowed to make a killing on this deal at the expense of the American farmer and the American taxpayer. The truth is that tens of millions of dollars have been made by grain speculators that should have gone into the pocket of the people who produce that grain the American farmer. At the same time, a 47-cent a bushel shipping subsidy was provided to these grain exporters, to these big grain companies at the expense of the American taxpayer. I think what is needed now is a full investigation of the conditions under which this grain deal was negotiated. There's something wrong when high officials of the Department of Agriculture move in and out of the employ of the U. S. Government into the employ of the private grain companies in such a way as to do damage to most of the interests of the American farmer and the American taxpayer. Committee for the Re-election of the President 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 August 31, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: FRED MALEK FROM: KEN RIETZ SUBJECT: Final Report on August 12 Registration Drive The results of the August 12 YVP registration drive can be considered successful in terms of publicity received and unsuccessful in terms of people canvassed and new voters registered. This effort, however, was put together on a two week notice and primary emphasis was placed on media attention, not registration. From this August 12 effort we found: 1) While media coverage can be maximized by canvassing in shopping centers, results in actually reaching and registering new voters are nowhere near as good as going door-to-door. 2) Most state YVP organizations can turn out volunteers on a short notice. 3) The YVP organizations are ready to perform if the state Nixon organizations allow them to operate --- there are a lot of problems with this in Michigan, Texas and Pennsylvania. 4) YVP organizations in Illinois, New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Michigan are struggling and need extra help. (We have since replaced the YVP leadership in Illinois and New York.) 5) There is a drastic shortage of handout materials available. Most of our volunteers had very little to work with other than the canvass kits we sent out from Washington. Fred Malek -2- August 31, 1972 The reports turned in by the states indicate we had over 20,000 volunteers involved in 23 states. The states we have actual breakdowns from are: YVP's Canvassed California 3,000 20,000 (rain) Indiana 500 4,000 Wisconsin 700 15,000 Maryland 500 9,000 Delaware 200 4,000 Pennsylvania 400 5,000 Texas 1,000 15,000 Missouri 150 3,000 Oklahoma 200 4,000 Nevada 100 3,000 Oregon 200 3,000 Washington 150 4,000 Arizona 150 3,000 New Mexico 100 2,000 Colorado 100 1,500 Utah 100 2,000 Alabama 100 3,000 Florida 3,000 20,000 Georgia 150 2,000 (rain) South Carolina 400 3,000 New Jersey 100 3,000 Maine 100 1,500 Michigan - continuing program with the CRP Illinois - continuing program with the CRP Ohio - delayed until September 2 Nebraska - continuing program Minnesota - continuing program (Nixonettes canvassed in St. Paul) There were about 15,000 unregistered Nixon supporters located and efforts are being made now to follow up and register these voters. In addition, 5,000 additional volunteers were recruited. The most positive aspect of the effort was the publicity received which is where the major emphasis was. Following is a report on the coverage we are aware of: -Network coverage of Ed and Tricia Cox registering voters in Montgomery Mall shopping center. -Photo coverage of Ed and Tricia in the Washington Post and Star. Fred Malek -3- August 31, 1972 Coverage continued State Newspapers Radio & Television Alabama Tuscaloosa News WBRC-TV - 15 minute talk Birmingham News show in Birmingham "Tom York Morning Show" California NBC & ABC News Coverage (Whittier) Colorado Denver Post Rocky Mountain News Florida Orlando Sentinel WKIS Radio - Orlando WLOF Radio - Orlando WPPO Radio - Orlando WTVJ (NBC) TV Local News - Miami Georgia WSB (NBC) TV Coverage with Ed and Tricia Cox WGST (ABC) Radio - interview and newscast WQXI Rock Station Maine 2 newspapers WEMT-TV - Bangor Maryland County newspapers: Radio coverage - 2 stations - Charles Frederick County County Montgomery County Anne Arundel TV Network coverage on Ed and Tricia County Cox Nevada KCRL (NBC) TV local news KOLO Radio - 25 second announcement every hour on the hour - 4 hours New Mexico Albuquerque Journal KOA TV KQEO Radio - few minute crowd interview KGGM (CBS) Radio - local news Fred Malek -4- August 31, 1972 Coverage continued State Newspapers Radio & Television Oklahoma Daily Oklahoman Radio Oklahoma News Network Oklahoma City Times Several youth radio stations Oklahoma Journal ABC-TV Aff. - 3 minutes on the 10:00 P.M. news NBC-TV Aff. - 1-1/2 minutes on the 6:00 & 10:00 P.M. news Oregon Oregon Journal CBS-TV affiliate - 10 minute Oregonian interview on the Ed Sardello Show with YVP State Chairman CBS-TV evening news coverage 6:00 & 10:00 P.M. news Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Press South Carolina Greenville- Greenville News WSPA Radio & TV Spartanburg Spartanburg Herald WFBC Radio Columbia WIS-TV News WIS Radio Additional soul station - call letters unknown Charleston Charleston Evening WTMA Radio Post Other Star, North Augusta Advertiser, Laurens Florence Morning News Texas Houston Chronicle KHOU (CBS) Channel 11 TV Houston Post 3 minutes - 6 & 10 news KTRK (CBS) Channel 13 TV 3 minutes - 6 & 10 news Dallas Morning News Dallas Times Herald Austin Statesman Washington Columbian NBC TV evening news KGW TV-Portland NBC Affiliate 1-1/2 minutes coverage on Washington activities (Vancouver) Fred Malek -5- August 31, 1972 Coverage continued State Newspapers Radio & Television Wisconsin Minnesota Star Eau Claire TV - crowd interviews Milwaukee Journal WISH-TV 12 - Milwaukee Minnesota St. Paul Pioneer Press Utah Salt Lake Tribune Missouri St. Louis Post-Dispatch New Jersey Atlantic City Press Camden Carrier Post Willingboro Times Newark Star Ledger Newark News MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: FRANK HERRINGER Frade SUBJECT: Evans and Novak Column As you requested, I have attempted to discover the source for the Evans and Novak column entitled "The Connally Syndrome. " In view of Chuck Colson's comments in his August 25 memoranda to you and to Clark MacGregor, I have given particular attention to assessing the probability that the leak emanated from 1701. My overall conclusion is that this particular Evans and Novak column can- not be conclusively traced to 1701. Some of the information in the column was so widely held that definitive tracing is not possible, while in other instances good guesses can be made as to how Evans and Novak received their information. Before going into specifics, it is important to realize that the Connally Democrats for Nixon organization was one of the major controversial topics of discussion between the Republican Party leaders and the 1701 people in Miami Beach. A good reporter wandering around the Convention floor trying to find differences between the RNC and CREP would have had little trouble discovering that Democrats for Nixon was a sore point with many Republicans, particularly in the South. Consequently, it is reasonable to surmise that Evans or Novak picked up the overall story, and did some digging from several sources to develop the column. There are four distinct items in the column that could have been leaks. Each of them is discussed below. 1. Mario Procaccino. The column states that Connally named Procaccino as head of Democrats for Nixon in New York, but then backed off when he was told by "New York political operatives" that Procaccino was a "laughing stock. 11 As Chuck Colson pointed out, he -- not Connally -- was actually responsible for the Procaccino recommendation. However, the person who leaked the story did not know this he implied to Evans and Novak that Procaccino was Connally's mistake; and evidence of Connally's lack of political knowledge. - 2 - Charles Lanigan, the New York State Republican Chairman, made this very point in a small meeting at the Fountainbleu attended by three 1701 representatives -- MacGregor, Malek, and Jerry Jones (Malek's deputy at the campaign). Lanigan was critical of Connally's apparent ignorance of New York, and used the very words "laughing stock" to describe Procaccino. Governor Rockefeller's amicable settlement with Connally (cited in Colson's memo as evidence that New York people could not have been the source of this leak) did not inhibit Lanigan at this meeting, which was probably taking place at about the same time that Evans or Novak was getting his information. Also, Lanigan's tendency to ridicule CREP was evidenced by his widely quoted absurd allegation that a respon- sible CREP employee asked him whether the Governor of New York were elected or appointed. I am not suggesting that Lanigan was necessarily the source of the Procaccino information, but I think it is as reasonable to assume this as it is to assume that the leak was at 1701. 2. Virginia. "We don't want to let the Andy Millers (a Democratic candidate for state office in Virginia) off the hook, and that's what Connally would do. 11 Evans and Novak attributed this statement to "one Virginia Republican leader" in Miami Beach. I have found no reason to assume that this statement came from 1701 rather than the attributed "Virginia Republican leader. 11 The circum- stances surrounding the fact that "Connally will avoid the Old Dominion" are widely known in Virginia Party circles as well as at 1701, and thus it is not possible to pin down the source of this particular leak. 3. Tennessee. Evans and Novak claim that the Tennessee Republicans have also "locked the door" on Connally, and that they sent an "ultimatum" to MacGregor on the subject. The statement is at least partially untrue, as MacGregor received no such ultimatum. He has no written communications from Tennessee on the matter, nor does he remember any conversations which resembled this, although many other Southern leaders have complained to him about Democrats for Nixon. There are several conceivable sources for this incorrect "leak": (a) The "Virginia leader" quoted earlier might have continued talking to Evans or Novak about other situations in the South; (b) A boastful Tennessean could have exaggerated their situation in a separate interview; or (c) A mis- informed 1701 official could have leaked it. It seems to me that all of the above -- and several variations on each -- are equally probable (or improb- able). - 3 - 4. Charles Snider. The most interesting item in the column was the information that Connally offerred a campaign job to Charles Snider, Governor Wallace's campaign manager. Snider was willing, but Wallace said no. This is evidently quite true, but known to only a few people at Democrats for Nixon, and to Chuck Colson, who was apparently involved in the over- ture to Snider. No one at 1701 appears to have known about this Malek, Magruder, Jones, and Ray Brown (the 1701 Regional Director for the deep South) all stated emphatically that the first they knew of the Snider situation was when they read it in Evans and Novak. Moreover, when I talked with Brown he had just returned from a two-day visit to Alabama, where the Snider affair was not mentioned by anyone. Harry Dent and Wally Henley, who were in constant touch with Southern party leaders, also did not know of the Snider offer. The Snider information was therefore very closely held -- and held by individuals extremely unlikely to leak it to Evans and Novak for an anti- Connally column. A possible solution to this leak emerged when I found that the article on the campaign in the September 2 National Journal con- tained the Snider story - in direct quotes from Snider himself. It is very possible that Snider also talked to Evans and Novak, or that Evans and Novak talked to the people who wrote the story for National Journal. In summary, I would conclude that Evans and Novak had several sources for this column. Lanigan or an associate of his in New York was probably responsible for the Procaccino item, local Republican Party officials were probably the source of the Virginia and Tennessee stories, and Charles Snider probably told his own story to Evans and Novak. The leakors are probably all beyond our control, and almost impossible to trace without cooperation from Evans and Novak, which we are not likely to get. In this particular instance, I find it difficult to agree with Chuck Colson's conclusion that "all signs point to 1701. " August 31, 1972 MINORAMDUM FOR: FRAIN HERRINGER PROM: CORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Evans and Novek Column Dob read Chuck Colcon's August 25 memorandum regarding the Evans and Novek column entitled "The Connally Syndrome". Recalling the excellent job you did on the HEW look two weeks, ago, Lob asked that you take on the assignment of tracking down this leak to Evans and Novak. In addition to the backup materials attached to this memorandum, you should know that Jeb Magruder talked with George Christian in an attempt to .discover the source of the leck. In any event, the matter should be pursued vigerously and a report submitted to Dob on September 6. Thank you. GS/jb FU - 9/6 CC: Charles Colson Fred Malek THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date: 8/29 TO: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN Frank Herringer on Malek's staff did an excellent job on that HEW leak two weeks ago. He should receive the assignment of tracking down this leak to Evans and Novak. ok THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON August 25, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: CHARLES COLSON SUBJECT: Evans and Novak Column Attached is a copy of a memo I sent to Clark MacGregor, with the attachment. This is the third story of this kind that I know about. All signs very much point to 1701 on this one. You will recall earlier when ABC named me as the man respon- sible for the media bias campaign, I found out through my own sources that that was a 1701 story. Evans and Novak have a piece coming out on Sunday which details the whole 9:15 attack meeting and attack strategy here. Novak told me today that Evans had gotten the story, although Evans never called me. Novak implied that they had gotten their information from 1701. I have no idea what is in the story, but we are calling everyone who is at our 9:15 meeting today to ask whether they have been contacted by Evans and Novak this week. What all of this adds up to in my mind is that we have a serious leak somewhere and we damn well better find it or roll a few heads and at least shake people up. August 25, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MACGREGOR FROM: CHARLES COLSON SUBJECT: Attached Evans and Novak Column I don't know whether you've noticed the Evans and Novak column attached, but it really very viciously and unfairly zings Connally -- unfairly because I was the man responsible for Procaccino, not Connally. It is also vicious because it makes Connally appear inept and unwanted. Some of Connally's people have the very strong suspicion that this could have only come from 1701. It couldn't have come from Rockefeller's people alone because it refers to the Tennessee and Virginia situations which were known only to Connally and to people at 1701. It also would not have come from the Rockefeller people since Rockefeller and Connally met in New York and came off with a very satisfactory resolution of their differences on the Procaccino situation. Simply by process of elimination, one would have to suspect at least that someone at 1701 was involved in this story. This is the kind of thing that as you know goes on in a campaign. There is probably no way to stop it, but we damn well ought to try because it is very counter-productive and creates animosities that can be damaging as hell in the campaign. I think it is well worth having someone look into. Rowland Evans and Robert Novak The Counally Syndrome MAMI BEACH-The bi- polities, he know nothing " case in point: Is Vir- Connally has suffered zarre choice of the politi. about Procaccino. who ran ginia, where Democratic other reverses. Be quietly cally discredited Mario Pro- an inept campaign for Sen. William Spong, fearful offered a campaign job to caccino to head John n. mayor of New York in 1969. that Scn. George McGovern Charles Snider, Gov. George Connally's Democrats for So Connally accepted with- may defent his re-election Wallace's aborted 1972 presi- Nixon in New York explains out question a recommenda- hid, has disassociated him- dential campaign manager. why party leaders attending tion to make Procaccino self from McGovern's si. Snider was willing but the Republican national con- vice chairman: of his New dential campaign With a asked Wallace's permission. vention are SO much less cn- York operation (with Con- full-blown Connally opcΓa- Wallace said no. thusiastic than President nally himself as chairman). tion in Virginia, other mod- For Connally, these scl. Nixon over the burgeoning When they learned fals, Mr. crate Democrats such as backs could damage what Connally operation. Nixon's New York political Attorney General Andrew White House aides are com- Connally's campaign to operatives bluntly informed Miller might hang their vinced is his long-range m C anti-McGovern Connally that Procaccino hats on the Democratr for course: A change in party Democrats behind Mr. Nix- was a "laughing stock" with- Nixon pole and ride out a registration, a high post in 7 on's re-election campaign out Influence or organiza- Nixon landslide. second Nixon administration has run into so much Repub- Uon. The solution: Counally "We don't want to Ict the (probably secretary of state) lican opposition that Clark quickly named half a dozen Andy Millers off the hook, and a run for the 1976 Rc- MacGregor, the President's other "vice chairmen," di. one Virginia Republican publican presidential nomi- campaign manager, thas is- minishing Procaccino's visi- lender here told us, "and nation. sued confidential orders har. bility. that's what Connally would Connally confronts not do." The upshot: An an- ring the Connally operation only organizational obsta- CONNALLYS worst prob nouncement that Sidney from states where Republi- cles in his pro-Nixon cam- can leaders do not want lems are in the South, Kellam, long-time conserva- paign but also growing hos- where some Republican tive Democratic leader in him. tility from ambilious Repub- leaders billerly complain his Virginia Beach, would he Thus, in. endless political licans beginning to regard discussions filling time here, Democrats for Nixon under- Democrals for Nixon vice him as a threat to their own there is discnchantment CS- mine their party building of chairman was quietly re. ascent. In Texas, Scn. John forts versed. Connaily will avoid pecially strong in the South Tower has fought partisan the Old Dominion. -about conservative Demo- With Connally remaining battles against Connally for crat Connally: With Mr. à Democrat, and backing the REPUBLICAN leaders in a decade and would scarcely Nixon holding a stageering Texas Democratic ticket CX- Tennessee also have locked welcome him as Mr. Repub- capt. for Mr. Nixon, South- lican in Texas. Even worse, lead, these party leaders the door on Connally, send- soy. Connelly is damaging crn party leaders make no ing this ultimatum to Mac- with Connally backing Town the Republican Party in secret here that they see his Gregor: If John Connally Democratic opponent their states. Democrats for Nixon as an sets foot in Tennessee. the for the Senate (Barefool the Procassino case is casy out for prominent result will be 2 psychologi- Sanders), Tower's infimates symbolic With Texan Con- Southerners to avoid the cal disaster for the Republi- fear Connally's ticket-split- die wring oven bron- hard political choice of turn- can organization, unde- campaign in Texas. York big Republican. feated statewide since 1961. 1972. Committee for the Re-election of the President 1701 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20006 (202) 333-0920 September 8, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: FROM: FRED MALEK 7m SUBJECT: The Attached Although we are trying to be responsive to the attached, I thought you would be interested in the type of requests we receive from time to time. Attachment September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR FRED MALEK FROM: ED HARPER SUBJECT: Information on Possible Political Events for Campaign Trips In order for John Ehrlichman to give the President maximum support during campaign trips over the next several weeks, the following information is required for each of the states listed at Tab A. Analysis of political events that would be good for John Ehrlichman to consider doing (he would prefer a and A appearances, not speech opportunities). Possibilities: 1. Meet with RNC/1701 people together or separately 2. Meet with some elected officials 3. Meet with Young Voters for the President people 4. Meet with precinct workers for RNC/1701 5. Other political events you think especially appropriate Note: The Domestic Council staff will be making other contacts concerning possible substantive events. Each suggested event should include the purpose, the nature of the group or institution involved, the content of the event, and the time required. This analysis should include all trade-off factors involved in favoring one proposal over all others for a given state: whether one would have a greater impact upon worker morale than others, and dangers implicit in meeting with some officials but not with others. 2 - For all suggested events (even those which seem after a trade- off analysis to be less efficacious than others) please include the name, title, address, and telephone number of the person to contact for setting up the proposal. Would you please provide me with the information indicated above (beginning the material for each state on a separate sheet of paper) by close of business Friday, September 8th. Thank you. Attachment ELH:PAM:arl CC: Harry Dent California (San Francisco and Los Angeles) Connecticut Florida Georgia (Atlanta) Illinois (Chicago) Massachusetts Michigan Missouri (Kansas City) New Jersey New York City Ohio Pennsylvania (Philadelphia and Pittsburgh) South Dakota Tennessee Texas (San Antonio) September 9, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MAC GREGOR FROM: CHARLES COLSON The following is a brief outline of the major points which I intend to discuss on Tuesday morning. 1. The wisdom of keeping McGovern on the defensive; and the importance of doing this through Administration spokesmen and surrogates rather than the President doing it. 2. A chart illustration of poll data which demonstrates: (a) McGovern weaknesses (b) the adverse impact on his campaign when he is kept on the defensive (c) the impact of the strongest issues, i.e., his weak points and our strong points (d) how and why May and the Soviet Summit were a significant turning point. (All of this is quite vividly illustrated by some Harris and Sindlinger polls. The conclusions of the pull data are (1) the war is our strongest issue, his weakest; (2) he is unable to gain when he is on the defensive whether it is the Eagleton affair or our counter attacks on taxes and welfare; profile data from Harris which shows his vulnerable points and our strong points. This supports the case for continuing to attack him on the points on which he is vulnerable. PP 3. An explanation of the apparatus which has been established to provide us with an attack and counter attack capability; I will talk about our morning meetings; how you and I coordinate the lines to be taken and how our staffs work together; how we prepare material and schedule its use; Buchanan's role as the principal attack "editor"; Failor's role in developing the overall attack strategy and Chapin's role in providing surrogates, forums and key state appearances that give us the vehicles through which to counter attack. 4. The conclusion of the presentation will be to sum up major points that need to be made, i.e., we must keep McGovern on the defensive; we must keep him responding to our attack; we must prevent him from mounting a sustained attack on us; we must keep him defending his issues rather than attacking ours. If we do this, he cannot gain and close the gap. Page two. This presentation, I would hope, will take less than 15 minutes (although the charts take a little time to explain). The purpose is to energize the Cabinet and leadership and get them to be responsive to our attack requests and, of course, get them in tune with the basic strategy of keeping McGovern down. I have talked to Mel Laird with respect to his illustrating these basic points. Laird will give examples of how to use an attack as an opportunity for counter attack and also how one fields hostile questions to turn them against the opposition. Laird is in total accord with the strategy and told me that he has some excellent illustrations to use. He also told me that he thought he could handle this in five minutes. I assume you will want to introduce him at the end of my pitch so he can follow up my points with specific illustrations. As I write 'out my own outline in detail over the weekend, I will try to tighten it up and do it in less than p5 minutes if humanly possible. Committee To for the Re-election H of the President 9/12 FOR: H. R. Haldeman Take necessary action Approval or signature Comment Prepare reply Discuss with me For your information See remarks below FROM: Fred Malek 7ml DATE: Sept. 11, 1972 REMARKS: I thought you would be interested in the attached report on the Voter Bloc Progress and Plans. I would, of course, appreciate any comments you may want to make. Attachment Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM September 11, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MacGREGOR FROM: FRED MALEK 70m SUBJECT: Voter Bloc Progress and Plans With the Convention behind us and the operational portion of the campaign well underway, I thought it would be an appropriate time to bring you up to date on what the Voter Blocs have accomplished in the past month, and what major efforts are planned for the remainder of the campaign. Since each of the Voter Blocs is somewhat different, we have divided this report into two main sections: (a) A description of recent activities that are common to all (or at least several) of the Voter Blocs; and (b) A discus- sion of specific activities and plans of each individual Voter Bloc. OVERALL EFFORTS During the past month, the Voter Bloc Directors have concentrated their efforts in three areas: (a) The Convention; (b) Finalizing budgets for field activities; and (c) Developing persuasive materials for use in the campaign. Each of these areas is discussed below. Convention With the exception of Special Ballots, each of the Voter Blocs was active with its constituent group representatives during the Republican National Convention. Their activities included staging events, holding caucuses and seminars, ironing out problems with state leadership, and meeting individually with delegates to clarify roles in the fall campaign. Media coverage of Voter Bloc activities at the Convention was good, espe- cially when the competition for the attention of the media is considered. As you know, the Young Voters Division received extensive national press coverage of their efforts. In addition, special interest and regional cover- age was excellent for Older Americans, Veterans, Urban Citizens, and Blacks, among others. Highlights of individual Convention activities will be covered later in this memorandum. 2 State Budgets As you know, until recently the field budget situation has been chaotic, particularly in the case of Voter Bloc field activities. In general, there was no relationship between the amount of money that was scheduled to be spent in the field for a Voter Bloc and the strategic importance of that Voter Bloc either within an individual state or in total. At this late date, it was not feasible to shift resources around from state to state to achieve rational allocation. Therefore, we decided to make the best of the situation by appropriating $200, 000 out of our general field budget to be allocated to those states where Voter Bloc activity was not yet funded, and considered worthwhile. Working individually with the Voter Bloc Directors we reduced their needs to the allocated $200, 000 and had the Voter Bloc Directors gain agreement on proposed expenditures from the appropriate Regional Director and state executive director. In the weeks head, the Voter Bloc field representatives will be working with the states to turn these budgets into action -- hiring staff, planning events, etc. Persuasive Efforts The Voter Bloc Directors spent a good deal of time during the past month working with the November Group and with the direct mail people to finalize the major national persuasive efforts that will be launched in September and October. The final developmental work for many of the brochures, buttons, bumper stickers, and other promotional items that will be distributed by the Voter Blocs through their field organizations was completed during the month. To finance these promotional efforts, we conducted a major review of the Voter Bloc headquarters budgets, resulting in a savings of approximately $200, 000. This will cover about half of the planned Voter Bloc promotional budgets. In addition, four of the Voter Blocs -- Jewish, Urban Citizens, Spanish- Speaking, and Older Americans will have direct mail efforts targeted at their constituency. During the past month, the Directors of these groups worked with Bob Morgan and others to develop copy for the direct mail letters, a format and strategy for the brochure that-would be enclosed in the letters, and an approach to targeting the mail at his constituency. After some initial communications difficulties, the direct mail program appears to be ready to go, with the first mailing scheduled for later this month. - 3 - INDIVIDUAL DESCRIPTIONS The progress and plans of the individual Voter Bloc groups are described briefly in the sections which follow. Youth More than any other Voter Bloc, the efforts of the Young Voters Division during the month of August were oriented toward the Convention. Since you saw and heard personally the results of their year-long efforts, we will not take up space recounting the many successful rallies, caucuses, and other events that were held by and for the 3000 young people. The press that this effort received also speaks for itself. Prior to the Convention, the youth effort was directed toward organizing in the states and developing a cadre of young volunteers for use by the state Nixon organization. They are continuing efforts to recruit volunteers, and are being particularly successful on the college campuses. For example, 2000 persons signed up at the University of South Carolina last week. The youth division is making a major effort to turn out volunteers for the September 16th Canvass and are assigning quotas of volunteers to appear at every storefront that will participate in the Canvass Kick-Off Day. In addition, the Young Voters Division will distribute handbills urging people to vote for the President at the 168 largest domestic military installations during September and October. To attract additional public attention to the Young Voters effort, the youth division is planning two major series. of events for October. First, there will be a rock and roll revival show similar to the one at the Convention, in six medium-sized cities beginning October 1. The major media-oriented events will be three large shows featuring big name talent, similar to the Marine stadium show in Miami Beach. These will be held in New York, Chicago, and Los Angeles; each hosted by a big name, such as Sammy Davis, Jr; and each built around a possible drop-by by the President or Vice President. Ten thousand young people are expected to appear at each of these events. The Young Voters Division has already scored a major triumph with the Convention, but from the above it is obvious that they are not resting on their laurels, but rather are planning to continue pushing on through November. Agriculture The Agriculture Division, under Clayton Yeutter, has shown considerable progress in building a grass roots organization at the state and county level. - 4 - Forty-one out of the fifty states have state Farm Chairmen, and in most cases co-chairmen (a Farm Family for the President). Perhaps more impressive, the Farm Families organization is established with at least a County Chairman in 1500 to 2000 counties across the country. These county organizations will be the backbone of the farm-related activity, and to date have been mobilized for letters to the editor efforts and coverage of county fairs. In the weeks ahead, the principal function of the county organizations will be to assist the regular Nixon organization in registration, voter identification, and get out the vote. On a national basis, the Agriculture Division and the November Group have developed two brochures that will be distributed at major state fairs this month, as well as through the county organization. Also, Yeutter has concentrated on getting the most mileage out of the number one Farm surrogate -- Secretary Butz. Yeutter strongly believes that Butz is the biggest asset we have with farmers, and he is working closely with Butz's staff to ensure that the maximum mileage is received from each of Secretary Butz's many appearances. Blacks During much of August, the Black Vote Division, under Paul Jones, was occupied with preparing for the Convention. The Blacks held a caucus, a reception, and a seminar each of which were well attended and extremely well covered by the press. Black field efforts are still lagging but beginning to move. During August we finally completed the staffing of the Black field organization, which is headed by Ed Sexton of the Republican National Committee. Two fieldmen were hired and are now working full time to organize the key cities. Given the time we have remaining, we have developed an extremely simple, direct guide for use in organizing the cities, and this went out to all Black State and City Chairmen last week. On the national level, Blacks have been successful in attracting some key endorsements, such as Floyd McKissick, Jim Brown, and the head of the NAACP in Boston. We will keep the pressure on to get more endorsements during September. Also, we have paid particular attention to the Black surrogate program, which has been lagging. Finally, a steering committee of key Black supporters has been formed, which will meet with me (and you, if possible) on a biweekly basis to review our progress with Black voters, and advise on strategy. In addition to providing insights on strategy, the publicizing of this effort should alleviate the criticism of the absence of Black input at top levels of the campaign. - 5 - Our goals in the next two months in the Black Vote Division are few a working surrogate program, a continuing string of endorsements, and a simple, city-oriented field organization. We now believe we can achieve these goals. Jewish In the last month, the Jewish Divsion has been concerned primarily with working with the November Group and others at 1701 to ensure that the issue-oriented message of our Jewish campaign will be properly com- municated in the fall. A brochure aimed at Jewish voters has been developed with the November Group, and will be ready for distribution shortly. In addition, copy for a direct mail letter to Jewish voters in key states, and for a brochure to accompany this letter, has been agreed on with Bob Morgan. In the field, the Jewish Division has helped key states to recruit staff and has placed particular emphasis on the establishment of storefronts in Jewish neighborhoods. The success of this effort has been demonstrated by the national media coverage given to the Fairfax Avenue storefront in Los Angeles. One of the principal activities of the field organization is to gain the endorsements of prominent Jewish people who are willing to lend their names to advertising on a regional or local basis in support of the Presi- dent. Goldberg estimates that over 1000 of these endorsements have been. collected and expects this effort to accelerate in the next few weeks. Labor To this point, the Labor Division, under Bernie De Lury, has concen- trated on winning endorsements or pledges of neutrality from individual labor leaders across the country. An indication of their success to date is the reception held by Governor Rockefeller and Donald Rodgers, the White House consultant on labor, at the Doral during the Convention. Over 50 prominent labor leaders present indicated their general support of the President and their willingness to be identified with the Re-Elect the Presi- dent effort. The Labor Division has recently submitted a request for a major budget increase, which would have the effect of shifting their emphasis to more of a grass roots organizational effort. We are in the process of assessing this proposal, and determining the course that the labor effort should take between now and the election. - 6 Older Americans The Older Americans Division put a lot of effort into the Convention, with good results. Their Sunday reception received reasonably good press coverage, and we expect in depth treatment in the various older American publications later this month. During August, the Older Americans Division successfully concluded most of its programmatic activities in Washington, and began to concentrate its efforts in the field. They have active and competent state chairmen in each of the key states, and the field representatives are now working with these state chairmen to finalize and implement programs. The principal goal is the political organization of every "focal point" of older Americans in the state, including nursing homes, retirement communities, Senior Citizens Centers, and the like. For those concentrations of Senior Citi- zens where.there are no focal points, the field organization will be expected to create one by holding meetings of Senior Citizens (Older Americans Forums) for the purpose of attracting and generating volunteers. In addi- tion, these forums (which have been held in several states) are expected to receive local media coverage. To bring national attention to the fact that we consider older Americans a very important part of our campaign, the Older Americans Division will hold ten media-oriented forums in key media centers between September 18 and October 1. Each of these forums will feature a major surrogate, including Secretary Hodgson, Phil Sanchez, Secretary Richardson, Joe Blatchford, and others. The first five of these forums have been set for Detroit, New York City, Baltimore, Cleveland, St. Louis, and Los Angeles for the 18th through the 23rd of September. Arthur Flemming and John Martin will be present at each of these, to run the meeting. We are hopeful for good regional coverage of each of these "super forums" and a network coverage of the program as a whole. Special Ballots The Special Ballots Division, under Dick McAdoo, appears to be ready for an unprecedented effort to encourage transients favorable to the President to cast their absentee ballot. During the past month, they prepared and dis- tributed to all states a very well done Special Ballots Handbook, which com- prehensively describes the approach to be used in identification and assis- tance of absentee voters. In addition to the effort in the field, the Special Ballots Division is contacting large corporations to persuade them to encourage transient executives to vote and provide a program for doing same. To date, McAdoo and his field- men have visited 150 of the 250 largest industrial companies, and in all but a very few cases have been assured cooperation. - 7 - As described in an earlier memo, a special effort is being directed at the military absentee voter, with canvassing and handbill distribution at the largest 168 domestic military installations. In addition, direct mail will go to identified Republican servicemen overseas, and advertising has been placed in the Army, Navy, and Air Force Times. All indications are that this will be a very successful effort and result in a substantial net plus for the President in November. Spanish-Speaking Throughout the past month, the efforts of the Spanish-Speaking Division were principally oriented toward the Convention, where several events were held, and in several national activities. At the national level, Armendariz has been working closely with the November Group to develop commercials that will be used on Spanish-speaking television stations in California and Texas. These were completed and approved last week and are now ready for use. In addition, the Spanish-Speaking Division has been organizing a national committee of Spanish-speaking Americans in support of the President. In the field, Spanish-Speaking State Chairmen are in place in all key states with the exception of Texas, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania. Immediate attention is being given to naming Chairmen in these states, and shoring up weak leadership of the Spanish-speaking campaign in Illinois and California. In addition to providing volunteers, the field organization will attempt to generate one million signatures on a petition in support of the President. Quotas have been assigned to each state organization, the project will be initiated immediately after the canvass kick-off, and it should be completed by October 16th, in time to generate considerable publicity before the election. Urban Citizens As you know, the Urban Citizens effort was slow in getting started, due to the difficulty we had in finding the right person for the position of Director. With the selection of Taras Szmagala for this position in July and the addi- tion of two fieldmen, we finally began to move. We are only concerned with six or seven key states and about fifteen key cities in this effort. How- ever, we will still have to run hard to have an effective organization of ethnics by November. Szmagala spent most of August concentrating on the programmatic activities that the other Voter Blocs had completed in the spring. He worked with the November Group on development of promotional materials, including a set of buttons (e.g., Hungarians for the President) that were one of the major hits of the Convention. In addition, he has reached agreement with the - 8 - November Group on a brochure that should be coming out sometime in the middle of September. Also, a considerable portion of his time was consumed by the direct mail program, a large segment of which will focus on ethnics who live near urban areas in key states. The RNC has been helpful with a number of Heritage Groups. Laszlo Pasztor has enlisted the support of existing Republican Heritage Clubs and had them working for the President as early as June. At this stage, they are fully geared up and ready for the fall campaign. A major effort was launched last week to generate volunteers for the Committee through the various Heritage Groups utilizing an incentive program that has proved successful in earlier efforts with the nationalities groups. During the next month, Szmagala and his fieldmen will give top priority to establishing Italian, Polish, and Irish-oriented organizations in each of the key cities. In addition, Szmagala will be developing a national telephone operation that was utilized in Taft's 1970 campaign, and also working with the November Group to finalize plans for advertising in the ethnic and Catholic press. Veterans The month of August was a Convention month for the Veterans -- not only the Republican Convention but also all the major Veterans organizations conventions were held in August. Frank Naylor, the head of the Veterans Division, and his field staff spent almost the entire month preparing for and attending these conventions. They made good use of their time by arranging with the convention leadership to be permitted to caucus with all key state delegations. Names and addresses of interested Veterans were collected and forwarded to the Nixon State Chairman in their state for use as Veterans campaign leaders. In the next week, Naylor and his people will be following up in each of the states to ensure that these key Veterans are being utilized. In the coming weeks, the Veterans Division will orient its activity toward the field. The Veterans Division is one of the most prolific of the Voter Blocs in terms of generating volunteers. Thus, the Veterans Division is working towards the goal of having Veterans representation at all of the canvass kick-off locations, and they are informing their state chairmen to plan something on their own for September 16th in those areas where a formal kick-off is not contemplated. In general, the Veterans groups are with the President, and our goal here is to motivate them to get out and vote on November 7, and to work in the - 9 - interim for the regular Nixon organization to generate support for the President. ***** In summary, the Voter Blocs are at different stages of development, but are generally well positioned to contribute to the campaign effort in the final two months. However, there are problem areas, and questions to be resolved, and Frank Herringer and I will continue to keep the pressure on. may (OBE 40 5mt Flan THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date: August 28, 1972 TO: LARRY HIGBY FROM: GORDON STRACHAN You mentioned in Florida that Bob would make this call to Ellsworth. Jeb will meet with him Wednesday morning before Ellsworth leaves the country for a few days. Jeb urges that Bob make the call today or tomorrow to establish the project with Ellsworth before Jeb meets with him. G L 9/6 - moot 9/11 - out of country Ellsworth in Europe # FULL ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL 8/30 August 22, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: New York Financial Community for President Nixon Magruder reviewed your suggestions on Bob Ellsworth's New York Financial Community memorandum with Peter Flanigan and then Bob Ellsworth - pursuant to your request. Flanigan concurred with your views. In discussion with Ellsworth, Magruder learned that Bob Ellsworth is most anxious to have you call him personally to ask him to undertake this project. Apparently, there is some 1968 background explaining the request that you talk with Ellsworth personally. A Talking Paper based on the Ellsworth revisions of the memorandum is attached. GS/jb TALKING PAPER FOR BOB ELLSWORTH SUBJECT: New York Financial Community I have read your original memoranda describing your plans to organize the New York Financial Community for the Re- Election of the President. I understand Jeb Magruder has reviewed my comments as well as Peter Flanigan's with you. This project offers us an outstanding opportunity to put New York State in the Nixon column. The President joins me in thanking you for taking on this project. GS 8/28/72 SUGGESTIONS FOR ORGANIZATION OF THE NEW YORK FINANCIAL COMMUNITY COMMITTEE TO RE-ELECT THE PRESIDENT I. Purpose (No change from previous memo.) II. Clearances (No change from previous memo.) III. Personnel A. The Chairman of the Committee should be a senior figure on Wall Street. He should be man who is well and favorably known in the New York financial community and respected for his integrity. From the standpoint of power in the community, I believe the best choice would be the head of one of the large commercial banks, either: 1) ELLMORE C. PATTERSON, head of Morgan Guaranty Trust, well liked, active and highly esteemed; or 2) WALTER B. WRISTON, head of FNCB, young man (under 50), and definitely pro-Nixon. Alternatively, the Chairman could be one of the following: 3) DON REGAN, head of Merrill Lynch, believed to be close to the White House; 4) RALPH SAUL, the highly respected Chairman of the Executive Committee at First Boston, slated to emerge within a year as head of that powerful house; or B 5) WILLIAM MORTON, head of American Express. B. If and when authorized to do so, I will sound out the men on this list (in the order in which they appear) to explain the program, and to insure avail- ability and willingness to serve as Chairman. NB: At the appropriate point in the "sounding out" process, I should be authorized to indicate that the ultimate request to the individual to serve as Chairman comes from the Presi- dent, and will be confirmed -- assuming I can report back that the individual is prepared to serve -- by a personal phone call from the President. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 11, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN 5 SUBJECT: McGovern's TV Ads Last night on the New York Independent TV station carrying the New York Jets game, McGovern ran a 60-second spot. The style was very similar to those used during the primaries. The theme was credibility with McGovern using the line "no one has a hook on me". The tag was not "Come Home America". It was -- "George McGovern - For the People".