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This file contains: Copy of Sindlinger's Wednesday Report, News & Issues titled "Opinions on Opinion Polls." 8pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 11/1/1972 Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics, Telephoned to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday, feat. Seven questions RE: election and voting. (reports attached). 20pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date To: H.R. Haldeman From: Charles Colson RE: Sindlinger Information. Sindlinger trend lines might be of value. Telephone Survey attached. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/31/1972 Special Telephone Report Forms RE: Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network, starting Tuesday, October 31, calls for past seven days. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 from Tuesday through Monday - October 17-23, 1972, by Sindlinger & Company, Inc, of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania. 10pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/17/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #19, titled "McGovern Drops Sharply in East: Liberal Stronghold Leads National Decline For the Democrat." 10pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/23/1972 To: Unknown From: Sindlinger & Company Marketing Opinion & Research RE: first of a series of pre-election reports for Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network. 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 10/27/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Tuesday Through Thursday - October 24-26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/24/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday through Thursday, August 25- October 26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #23, report titled "McGovern Scores Slight Gains in Campaign: But Nixon Clings to Wide Lead and Remains Above 50-Million Votes." 3pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/30/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday Through Thursday, October 20- 26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/26/1972 Sindlinger's Saturday Report - Talk About, booklet titled "McGovern Continues to Make Poor Impression on U.S. Voters," focuses on data of those who are mostly critical of McGovern. 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 9/30/1972 Report of the Summary of Continuous and Daily Political Confidence Nationwide Interviewing, Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics, telephones to TV stations each Tuesday & Friday. Features Sidlinger's seven dimensions of voting. 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Sindlinger Poll. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/26/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #17, titled "McGovern Pickup Dies Out: Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances and Peace Speech." 3pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/20/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #16 by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "Nixon Piling Up Huge Lead in East: Normally Democratic Area Doubles Margins for President." 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/20/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #17, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "McGovern Pickup Dies Out: Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances and Peace Speech." 3pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/20/1972 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Sindlinger Poll. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/24/1972 Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "Number of Undecided Voters is Growing," feat. Survey #52, #53, #52-#53, #42-#53. 10pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 10/7/1972 To: Gordon From: Nixon RE: Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence from 09/30/1972, titled "Campaign Analysis - 5 Weeks Prior: From a Horce Race To A Rout" & "McGovern Loses Through Eagleton Appearance." Booklet and reports attached. 17pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing and Opinion Research, titled "What Is Coming in Future Reports in This Series." 8pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 8/26/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday Through Monday, October 13- 16, 1972, released by Sidlinger & Company, 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/13/1972 Telephone Report from Sindlinger & Company Television News Service RE: Data for First Choice For President, Registered and Plan to Vote in November, Registered and Plan to Vote, and First Time Voters Who Are Registered and Plan to Vote. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/17/1972 Summary of Continuous and Daily Political Confidence Nationwide Interviewing, Report of Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics RE: Two Bi-Weekly Reports Telephone to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date Nationwide Dimension Interviewing from #42-55 Friday-Thursday, Aug. 25-October 12, 1972, feat. Sindlinger's Seven Dimensions, released by Sindlinger & Company, 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Sindlinger Data for August 25-October 9, 1972, Fifth Dimension - "Who self plan to vote for President in November," from Alabama, California, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Dimension Interviewing from August 25- October 9, 1972 Election Survey #42-54 from Sindlinger & Company for states of Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Alabama, Florida, Texas, Virginia, California. 24pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Talk-About, released by Sindlinger & Company, Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "42 Days Of What Is Being Talked About." 8pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 8/26/1972

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WHSF: Contested, 41-6
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WHSF: Contested, 41-6
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This file contains: Copy of Sindlinger's Wednesday Report, News & Issues titled "Opinions on Opinion Polls." 8pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 11/1/1972 Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics, Telephoned to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday, feat. Seven questions RE: election and voting. (reports attached). 20pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date To: H.R. Haldeman From: Charles Colson RE: Sindlinger Information. Sindlinger trend lines might be of value. Telephone Survey attached. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/31/1972 Special Telephone Report Forms RE: Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network, starting Tuesday, October 31, calls for past seven days. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 from Tuesday through Monday - October 17-23, 1972, by Sindlinger & Company, Inc, of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania. 10pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/17/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #19, titled "McGovern Drops Sharply in East: Liberal Stronghold Leads National Decline For the Democrat." 10pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/23/1972 To: Unknown From: Sindlinger & Company Marketing Opinion & Research RE: first of a series of pre-election reports for Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network. 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 10/27/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Tuesday Through Thursday - October 24-26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/24/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday through Thursday, August 25- October 26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #23, report titled "McGovern Scores Slight Gains in Campaign: But Nixon Clings to Wide Lead and Remains Above 50-Million Votes." 3pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/30/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday Through Thursday, October 20- 26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/26/1972 Sindlinger's Saturday Report - Talk About, booklet titled "McGovern Continues to Make Poor Impression on U.S. Voters," focuses on data of those who are mostly critical of McGovern. 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 9/30/1972 Report of the Summary of Continuous and Daily Political Confidence Nationwide Interviewing, Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics, telephones to TV stations each Tuesday & Friday. Features Sidlinger's seven dimensions of voting. 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Sindlinger Poll. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/26/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #17, titled "McGovern Pickup Dies Out: Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances and Peace Speech." 3pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/20/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #16 by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "Nixon Piling Up Huge Lead in East: Normally Democratic Area Doubles Margins for President." 4pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/20/1972 Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #17, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "McGovern Pickup Dies Out: Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances and Peace Speech." 3pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Newsletter], 10/20/1972 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Sindlinger Poll. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/24/1972 Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "Number of Undecided Voters is Growing," feat. Survey #52, #53, #52-#53, #42-#53. 10pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 10/7/1972 To: Gordon From: Nixon RE: Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence from 09/30/1972, titled "Campaign Analysis - 5 Weeks Prior: From a Horce Race To A Rout" & "McGovern Loses Through Eagleton Appearance." Booklet and reports attached. 17pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing and Opinion Research, titled "What Is Coming in Future Reports in This Series." 8pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 8/26/1972 Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday Through Monday, October 13- 16, 1972, released by Sidlinger & Company, 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/13/1972 Telephone Report from Sindlinger & Company Television News Service RE: Data for First Choice For President, Registered and Plan to Vote in November, Registered and Plan to Vote, and First Time Voters Who Are Registered and Plan to Vote. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 10/17/1972 Summary of Continuous and Daily Political Confidence Nationwide Interviewing, Report of Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics RE: Two Bi-Weekly Reports Telephone to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date Nationwide Dimension Interviewing from #42-55 Friday-Thursday, Aug. 25-October 12, 1972, feat. Sindlinger's Seven Dimensions, released by Sindlinger & Company, 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Sindlinger Data for August 25-October 9, 1972, Fifth Dimension - "Who self plan to vote for President in November," from Alabama, California, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia. 1pg [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Dimension Interviewing from August 25- October 9, 1972 Election Survey #42-54 from Sindlinger & Company for states of Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Alabama, Florida, Texas, Virginia, California. 24pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Report], 8/25/1972 Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Talk-About, released by Sindlinger & Company, Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "42 Days Of What Is Being Talked About." 8pgs [Subject: Campaign] [Book], 8/26/1972
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 41 6 11/1/1972 Campaign Book Copy of Sindlinger's Wednesday Report, News & Issues titled "Opinions on Opinion Polls." 8pgs 41 6 Campaign Report Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics, Telephoned to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday, feat. Seven questions RE: election and voting. (reports attached). 20pgs 41 6 10/31/1972 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Charles Colson RE: Sindlinger Information. Sindlinger trend lines might be of value. Telephone Survey attached. 2pgs 41 6 Campaign Report Special Telephone Report Forms RE: Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network, starting Tuesday, October 31, calls for past seven days. 1pg 41 6 10/17/1972 Campaign Report Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 from Tuesday through Monday - October 17-23, 1972, by Sindlinger & Company, Inc, of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania. 10pgs 41 6 10/23/1972 Campaign Newsletter Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #19, titled "McGovern Drops Sharply in East: Liberal Stronghold Leads National Decline For the Democrat." 10pgs Tuesday, January 31, 2012 Page 1 of 5 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 41 6 10/27/1972 Campaign Letter To: Unknown From: Sindlinger & Company Marketing Opinion & Research RE: first of a series of pre-election reports for Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network. 4pgs 41 6 10/24/1972 Campaign Report Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Tuesday Through Thursday - October 24-26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs 41 6 8/25/1972 Campaign Report Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday through Thursday, August 25- October 26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs 41 6 10/30/1972 Campaign Report Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #23, report titled "McGovern Scores Slight Gains in Campaign: But Nixon Clings to Wide Lead and Remains Above 50-Million Votes." 3pgs 41 6 10/26/1972 Campaign Report Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday Through Thursday, October 20- 26, 1972, from Sindlinger & Company. 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs 41 6 9/30/1972 Campaign Book Sindlinger's Saturday Report - Talk About, booklet titled "McGovern Continues to Make Poor Impression on U.S. Voters," focuses on data of those who are mostly critical of McGovern. 4pgs 41 6 Campaign Report Report of the Summary of Continuous and Daily Political Confidence Nationwide Interviewing, Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics, telephones to TV stations each Tuesday & Friday. Features Sidlinger's seven dimensions of voting. 4pgs Tuesday, January 31, 2012 Page 2 of 5 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 41 6 10/26/1972 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Sindlinger Poll. 1pg 41 6 10/23/1972 Campaign 41 6 10/20/1972 Campaign Newsletter Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #17, titled "McGovern Pickup Dies Out: Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances and Peace Speech." 3pgs 41 6 10/20/1972 Campaign Newsletter Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #16 by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "Nixon Piling Up Huge Lead in East: Normally Democratic Area Doubles Margins for President." 4pgs 41 6 10/20/1972 Campaign Newsletter Sindlinger's Daily Survey, 1972 Political Confidence Release #17, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "McGovern Pickup Dies Out: Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances and Peace Speech." 3pgs 41 6 10/24/1972 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Sindlinger Poll. 1pg 41 6 10/7/1972 Campaign Book Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "Number of Undecided Voters is Growing," feat. Survey #52, #53, #52-#53, #42-#53. 10pgs Tuesday, January 31, 2012 Page 3 of 5 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 41 6 Campaign Memo To: Gordon From: Nixon RE: Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence from 09/30/1972, titled "Campaign Analysis - 5 Weeks Prior: From a Horce Race To A Rout" & "McGovern Loses Through Eagleton Appearance." Booklet and reports attached. 17pgs 41 6 8/26/1972 Campaign Book Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Political Confidence, released by Sindlinger & Company: Marketing and Opinion Research, titled "What Is Coming in Future Reports in This Series." 8pgs 41 6 10/13/1972 Campaign Report Nationwide Dimension Interviewing Survey From Friday Through Monday, October 13- 16, 1972, released by Sidlinger & Company, 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs 41 6 10/17/1972 Campaign Report Telephone Report from Sindlinger & Company Television News Service RE: Data for First Choice For President, Registered and Plan to Vote in November, Registered and Plan to Vote, and First Time Voters Who Are Registered and Plan to Vote. 1pg 41 6 Campaign Report Summary of Continuous and Daily Political Confidence Nationwide Interviewing, Report of Sindlinger's Dimension Concept on Politics RE: Two Bi-Weekly Reports Telephone to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday. 2pgs 41 6 8/25/1972 Campaign Report Nationwide Dimension Interviewing from #42-55 Friday-Thursday, Aug. 25-October 12, 1972, feat. Sindlinger's Seven Dimensions, released by Sindlinger & Company, 1972 Election Survey. 2pgs Tuesday, January 31, 2012 Page 4 of 5 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 41 6 8/25/1972 Campaign Report Sindlinger Data for August 25-October 9, 1972, Fifth Dimension - "Who self plan to vote for President in November," from Alabama, California, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia. 1pg 41 6 8/25/1972 Campaign Report Dimension Interviewing from August 25- October 9, 1972 Election Survey #42-54 from Sindlinger & Company for states of Connecticut, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Alabama, Florida, Texas, Virginia, California. 24pgs 41 6 8/26/1972 Campaign Book Sindlinger's Saturday Report, Talk-About, released by Sindlinger & Company, Marketing & Opinion Research, titled "42 Days Of What Is Being Talked About." 8pgs Tuesday, January 31, 2012 Page 5 of 5 SMTWTFS SINDLINGER'S WEDNESDAY REPORT SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing NEWS & ISSUES Opinion Research November 1, 1972 Special Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 Opinions On Opinion Polls They Do Not Influence Me Just Other People. An overwhelming number of Americans believe public opinion polls have absolutely no influence on their own voting habits but are not so sure about the influence of the polls upon other people and their friends. Sindlinger & Company discovered this unique dichotomy of opinion by sampling 7,224 persons through its own method of continuous daily telephone surveys during a 21-day period from October 5-25 --- at the very height of the 1972 presidential campaign. By top heavy majorities, Americans flatly informed Sindlinger interviewers who con- ducted this special "poll on the pollsters" that the voting trends reported by public opinion research firms had no bearing on their personal presidential choice one way or the other. Yet when these same people were queried as to whether they believed generally that polls influence voting habits, the replies, together with the numberical segmentsof the 138,655,000 adult Americans they represent, were: Percent Number Agree 48.5 67,204,000 Disagree 44.3 61,429,000 No Opinion 7.2 10,023,000 When they were asked if the polls had some influence on them, the replies were: No Influence 78.9 109,467,000 Has Influence 16.6 22,960,000 No Opinion 4.5 6,227,000 NOT A FINAL Issue SINDL INSER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Telephoned to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B 54 56 55 57 53 59 60 Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 1,726 1,284 1.044 913 1,331 900 1745 Dates of Nationwice TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sat. Oct. 7 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 Fri. Oct. 13 Tue. -Oct. 17 Fri. Oct. 20 Tues. Oct. 24 10/26 Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Cct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs.-Oct.12 Mon. Oct. 16 Thurs. -Oct. 19 Mon. Oct. 23 Thurs. Oct. 26 10/30 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base All Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (coo) 18 and older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 100.0 138,655 DIMENSION #), WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McCovern 21.2 23,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 27,648 20.7 28,702 19.9 27,613 19.9 27,637 19.8 Nixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 85,663 60.0 83,218 58.3 80,781 56.9 78,960 57.5 79,712 53.9 74,792 57.1 61.2 84,876 62.3 86,427 61.8 Undecided* 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 30,225 22.4 30,994 22.5 31,330 26.1 35,227 23.1 0 DISENSION 42. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 19.0 26,358 19.7 27,329 19.8 27,460 18.0 25,022 18.7 25,900 17.3 58.3 80,898 20.7 28,666 20.0 27,730 20.3 28,191 Nixon 59.8 82,966 57.0 79,091 24.4 33,788 22.3 30,853 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 78,405 55.0 76,223 57.0 79,078 56.2 77,900 59,7 Undecided 20.5 28,366 21.5 29,836 23.8 25.2 34,952 24.9 34,555 25.1 34,851 23.0 19.7 27,364 19.3 26,832 19.5 27,093 32,920 DIMENSION 13. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.8 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 6,047 5.7 7,902 4.5 6,246 7.0 9,695 6.0 Nixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 111,990 79.2 109,784 79.4 110,154 74.9 103,785 77.0 Undecided* 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 20,619 15.1 20,970 16.1 22,255 18.2 25,174 17.0 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,345 60.0 93,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 59.5 82,461 59.4 82,406 58.2 80,746 59.3 82, 161 DIRENSION #4, PLM TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base - Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 100.0 80,995 100.0 82,461 100.0 82,406 100.0 80,746 McCovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 15,401 17.5 14,563 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 16,418 20.4 16,856 20.5 16,671 19.5 15,718 15.6 Nixon 64.5 51,471 61.6 49,987 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 54,322 63.5 52,393 64.3 53,027 57.1 46,103 60.4 Undecided* 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 10,256 16.0 13,213 15.2 12,508 23.4 18,925 24.0 DIMENSION #5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FCR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,269 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 18,036 21.5 17,763 23.5 19,378 20.1 10,202 22.1 Nixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 50,974 60.6 49,961 61.2 50,426 55.2 4,543 54.1 Undecided* 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 11,984 17.9 14,732 15.3 12,501 24.8 20,001 23.8 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +30.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,403 +38.8 +31,448 +38.9 +32,447 +40.6 +32,938 +32,193 37.7 31,048 +35.1 +28,341 32.0 +32.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31,487 +35.2 +29,260 +39.1 DIMINSION DO NOT AN TO VOTE & PHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base - Do Not No: Plan to Vote 100.0 58,898 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 53,262 100.0 57,660 100.0 56,194 100.0 56,249 100.0 57,903 56, 494 SELF CHOICE deCovern 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,356 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 11,231 21.1 11,846 19.1 10,743 21.1 12,222 26.0 Nixon 61.5 36,221 53.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,920 56.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 26,459 47.3 26,565 47.4 26,685 $0.1 28,992 Undecided* 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 18.1 10,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 19,970 31.6 17,781 33.5 18,822 28.8 16,694 21.7 7. FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,227 20.7 17,185 20,5 17,136 21.2 17,169 20.6 17,010 20.5 16,874 18.3 14,785 15, 891 Buse First Time 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,227 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,136 100.0 17,169 100.0 17,010 Voters 100.0 16,874 100.0 14,708 McCovern 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,983 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 6,479 39.3 6,663 40.7 6,975 39.6 5,855 37.0 54.7 9,198 52.1 8,872 52.0 8,831 53.4 9,147 55.2 9,502 34.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 54.7 9.394 54.5 9,265 51.9 9,269 56.2 8,317 53.0 Undecided 5.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,830 8.6 1,463 10.1 1,738 9.3 1,603 7.0 1,198 7.5 1,296 6.2 1,06% 4.3 730 4.2 817 5:0 61 62 63 2064 2775 1030 10/26 10/26-11/1 10/31-11/1 10/31 18.8 20.2 20.7 60.4 58.8 61.7 20.7 20.9 17.6 16.5 17.6 18.2 63.8 62.0 65.8 19.7 20.4 16.0 5.4 6.2 6.6 77.0 77.4 78.1 17.3 16.3 15.3 59.4 82,292 58.7 81,450 57.9 80,244 15.5 16.4 17.8 61.3 61.0 62.0 23.2 22.6 20.2 21.1 23.9 27.0 56.8 55.7 57.0 22.0 20.4 15.2 35.7 29,357 31.8 57,205 30.0 58,411 23.7 25.6 24.8 59.1 55.7 61.3 17.1 18.6 13.9 11.5 15,922 18.6 15,187 17.4 13,999 36.7 37.2 37.5 57.8 57.9 57.7 4.9 4.8 5.5 SINDLINCER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Survey Number 59-A 59-B 59-C 59-D 59 61 62 63 64 60 Sumple Size 503 397 731 1,462 900 2775 1030 1363 1,745 2064 Dates of Nationwide Tues -Oct. 24 Thurs. -Oct. 26 Thurs -Oct. 26 Thurs -Oct. 26 Tues -Oct. 24 Thurs. -Oct. 26 10/26 10/26 10/31 10/31 Wed. -Oct. 25 Fri. -Oct. 27 Sun. -Oct. 29 Thurs Oct. 26 Interviewing Hanoi Announcement Fri. -Oct. 30 10/31 11/1 11/1 11/2 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Nunber Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) DIMENSION =1, WH) SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT Base All Adults 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 18 and older McGovern 21.5 29,824 17.9 24,856 19.2 26,603 20.5 28,462 19.9 19.8 18.8 20.2 20.7 21.5 27,637 27,500 Nixon 57.5 79,726 49.4 68,527 52.2 72,353 54.1 75,044 53.9 74,792 57.1 79,224 60.4 58.8 61.7 13:3 Undecided* 20.9 29,105 32.6 45,273 28.7 39,699 25.3 35,149 26.1 36,227 23.1 31,930 20.7 20.9 17.6 D DIMENSION 42. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT 17.6 18.2 19.4 McGoveri 20.9 28,976 15.9 22,012 18.3 25,439 18.2 25,233 18.7 25,903 17.3 23,920 16.5 Nixon 57.9 80,305 54.0 74,837 54.2 75,207 55.4 76,852 56.2 77,900 63.8 62.0 65.8 67.4 59.6 82,804 19.7 20.4 16.0 13.2 Undecided* 21.1 29,374 30.2 41,806 27.4 38,010 26.3 46,570 25.1 34,851 23.0 31,932 DIMENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGover 8.7 12,119 4.8 6,626 6.4 8,898 6.3 8,718 7.0 9,695 8,262 74.9 77:8 79:4 6.6 6.7 6.0 78.1 80.4 Nixon 80.7 111,925 67.4 93,411 70.2 97,291 74.9 103,790 103,785 77.0 106,802 Undecided* 10.5 14,610 27.8 38,618 23.4 32,467 18.8 26,147 18.2 25,174 17.3 16.3 15.3 12.9 17.0 23,590 Registered and Plan 59.3 82,161 59.4 58.7 57.9 59.7 to Vote in November 59.8 82,975 56.2 77,911 56.1 77,788 57.7 79,954 58.2 80,746 82,292 81,450 80,244 82,708 DIMENSION : PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 82,975 100.0 77,911 100.0 77,788 100.0 79,954 100.0 80,746 100.0 82,161 15.5 16.4 17.8 18.9 McGovern 21.6 17,922 16.6 12,926 19.3 14,982 17.4 13,948 19.5 15,718 15.6 12,794 63.5 Nixon 61.1 50,738 51.6 40,214 53.9 41,949 56.1 44,869 57.1 46,103 60.4 61.3 61.0 62.0 49,666 23.4 18,925 19,701 23.2 22.6 20.2 17.6 Undecided* 17.2 13,415 31.8 24,771 26.8 20,857 25.5 21,137 24.0 * DIMENSION =5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 24.3 20,130 14.4 12,212 17.3 13,478 20.1 16,033 20.1 16,202 22.1 18,198 21.1 23.9 27.0 27.8 55.2 44,543 44,817 56.8 55.7 57.0 58.9 Nixon 57.8 47,990 51.6 40,176 57.7 40,982 54.2 43,351 54.5 Undecided* 17.9 14,854 34.0 26,523 30.0 23,328 25.7 20,569 24.8 20,001 23.4 19,147 22.0 20.4 15.2 13.2 Points and Number +35.1 +28,341 +26,619 35.7 31.8 30.0 31.1 Nixon over McGo/ern +33.5 +27,860 +37.2 +27,964 +40.4 +27,504 +34.1 +27,318 +32.4 29,357 57,205 58,411 25,746 DIMENSION #6 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 55,685 100.0 60,744 100.0 60,867 100.0 58,701 100.0 57.909 100.0 56,494 SELF CHOICE 25.9 24.8 25.4 McGovern 21.4 11,901 19.6 11,929 19.1 11,621 24.7 14,514 21.1 12.222 26.0 14,705 23.7 Nixon 52.1 28,990 46.6 28,313 50.0 30,404 51.4 30,174 50.1 52.3 29,558 59.1 61.3 63.1 28.992 16.694 17.1 18.6 13.9 11.6 Undecided* 26.5 14,789 33.8 20,501 30.9 18,842 23.8 14,014 28.8 21.7 12,231 19.3 15,891 11.5 18.6 17.4 18.6 DIMENSION #7 FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR Base First Time 100.0 16,523 100.0 12,582 100.0 14,046 100.0 15,364 100.0 14.788 15,922 15,187 13,999 15,362 Voters 19.9 16,523 16.1 12,582 18.1 14,046 19.2 15,364 18.3 14,788 100.0 15,891 McGovera 40.0 6,611 38.9 14,893 39.2 5,502 37.0 5,689 39.6 5,855 37.0 5,880 36.7 37.2 37.5 35.8 8,317 57.9 57:7 59.0 Nixon 54.9 9,077 58.4 7,344 54.1 7,598 57.4 8,822 56.2 58.0 9,217 57.8 Undecided* 5.1 835 2.7 345 6.7 947 5.6 853 4.2 617 5.0 795 5.5 4.9 4.8 5.3 SINDLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Survey Number 59-A 59-B 59-C 59-D 59 60 61 62 63 64 Sample Size 503 397 731 1,462 900 2775 1030 1363 1,745 2064 Dates of Nationwide Tues. -Oct. 24 Thurs.-Oct. 26 Thurs -Oct. 26 Thurs.-Oct. 20 Tues. -Oct. 24 Thurs -Oct. 26 10/26 10/26 10/31 10/31 Wed. -Oct. 25 Fri. -Oct. 27 Sun. -Oct. 29 Thurs.Oct. 26 Interviewing 11/1 Hanoi Announcement Fri. -Oct. 30 10/31 11/1 11/2 Percent Number Percent Number Percent llumber Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) DIMENSION #1. WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT Base All Adults 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 18 and older 19.2 26,603 20.5 19.9 27,637 18.8 20.2 20.7 21.5 McGovern 21.5 29,824 17.9 24,856 28,462 19.8 27,500 Nixon 57.5 79,726 49.4 68,527 52.2 72,353 54.1 74,792 60.4 58.8 61.7 75,044 53.9 57.1 79,224 Undecided* 29,105 32.6 45,273 28.7 39,699 25.3 35,149 26.1 36,227 23.1 20.7 20.9 17.6 13.3 20.9 31,930 DIMENSION #2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 20.9 28,976 15.9 22,012 18.3 25,439 18.2 25,233 18.7 25,903 16.5 17.6 18.2 19.4 17.3 23,920 80,305 54.0 74,837 54.2 75,207 55.4 76,852 56.2 77,900 59.6 82,804 63.8 62.0 65.8 67.4 Nixon 57.9 13.2 Undecided* 21.1 29,374 30.2 41,806 27.4 38,010 26.3 46,570 25.1 34,851 23.0 31,932 19.7 20.4 16.0 DIMENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 8.7 12,119 4.8 6,626 6.4 8,898 6.3 8,718 7.0 9,695 6.0 8,262 79:2 6.6 6.7 80.4 Nixon 80.7 111,925 67.4 93,411 70.2 97,291 74.9 103,790 74.9 103,785 77:0 78.1 77.0 106,802 Undecided* 10.5 14,610 27.8 38,618 23.4 32,467 18.8 26,147 18.2 25,174 17.3 16.3 15.3 12.9 17.0 23,590 Registered and Plan 58.7 57.9 59.7 to Vote in November 59.8 82,975 56.2 77,911 56.1 77,788 57.7 79,954 58.2 80,746 59.3 82,161 59.4 82,292 81,450 80,244 82,708 DIMENSION PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to /ote 100.0 82,975 100.0 77,911 100.0 77,788 100.0 79,954 100.0 80,746 100.0 82,161 15.5 16.4 17.8 18.9 McGovern 21.6 17,922 16.6 12,926 19.3 14,982 17.4 13,948 19.5 15,718 15.6 12,794 Nixon 61.1 50,738 51.6 40,214 53.9 41,949 56.1 44,869 57.1 46,103 60.4 49,666 61.3 61.0 62.0 63.5 18,925 19,701 23.2 22.6 20.2 17.6 Undecided* 17.2 13,415 31.8 24,771 26.8 20,857 25.5 21,137 23.4 24.0 * DIMENSION #5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGover: 24,3 20,130 14.4 12,212 17.3 13,478 20.1 16,033 20.1 16,202 22.1 18,198 21.1 23.9 27.0 27.8 55.2 44,543 44,817 56.8 55.7 57.0 58.9 Nixon 57.8 47,990 51.6 40,176 57.7 40,982 54.2 43,351 54.5 Undecided* 17.9 14,854 34.0 26,523 30.0 23,328 25.7 20,569 24.8 20,001 23.4 19,147 22.0 20.4 15.2 13.2 Points and Number +35.1 +28,341 +32.4 +26,619 35.7 31.8 30.0 31.1 Nixon over McGo/ern +33.5 +27,860 +37.2 +27,964 +40.4 +27,504 +34.1 +27,318 29,357 57,205 58,411 25,746 DIMENSION #6 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 55,685 100.0 60,744 100.0 60,867 100.0 58,701 100.0 57,909 100.0 56,494 SELF CHOICE 12.222 23.7 25.9 24.8 25.4 McGovern 21.4 11,901 19.6 11,929 19.1 11,621 24.7 14,514 21.1 26.0 14,705 61.3 63.1 Nixon 52.1 28,990 46.6 28,313 50.0 30,404 51.4 30,174 50.1 28.992 52.3 29,558 59.1 28.8 16.694 21.7 12,231 17.1 18.6 13.9 11.6 Undecided* 26.5 14,789 33.8 20,501 30.9 18,842 23.8 14,014 11.5 18.6 17.4 18.6 19.3 15,891 DIMENSIO FIRST TIME YOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR Base First Time 100.0 16,523 100.0 12,582 100.0 14,046 100.0 15,364 100.0 14.788 15,922 15,187 13,999 15,362 Voters 19.9 16,523 16.1 12,582 18.1 14,040 19.2 15,364 18.3 14,788 100.0 15,891 McGovern 40.0 6,611 38.9 14,893 39.2 5,502 37.0 5,689 39.6 5,855 37.0 5,880 36.7 37.2 54.9 56.2 57.9 37:5 35.8 59.0 Nixon 9,077 53.4 7,344 54.1 7,598 57.4 8,822 8.317 58.0 9,217 57.8 5.3 Undecided* 5.1 835 2.7 345 6.7 947 5.6 617 5.5 4.9 4.8 853 4.2 5.0 795 SINDLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT CA POLITICS Telephoned to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B 54 56 55 57 58 Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 1,726 1,284 913 1331 1,044 Dates of Nationwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sat. Oct. 7 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 Fri. Oct. 13 Tue. -Oct. 17 10/20 Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Oct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs Oct.12 Mon. Oct. 16 Thurs -Oct. 19 10/23 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base All Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 18 and older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 138,655 DIMENSION WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 27,648 20.7 28,702 19.9 Nixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 61.2 84,876 62.3 86,427 61.8 85,665 60.0 83,218 58.3 80,781 56.9 78,960 57.5 Undecided* 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 30,225 22.4 30,994 22.5 DIMENSION =2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 26,358 19.8 27,480 18.0 McGovern 20.7 28,666 20.0 27,730 20.3 28,191 19.0 19.7 27,329 Nixon 59.8 82,966 57.0 79,091 58.3 80,898 30,853 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 78,405 55.0 76,223 57.0 Undecided* 20.5 28,366 24.4 33,788 22.3 21.5 29,836 25.2 34,952 24.9 19.7 27,364 19.3 26,832 19.5 27,093 23.8 32,920 DIMENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.8 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 6,047 5.7 7,902 4.5 Nixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 111,990 79.2 109,784 79.4 Undecided* 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 20,619 15.1 20,970 16.1 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,345 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 59.5 82,461 59.4 82,406 DIMENSION #4. PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 100.0 80,995 100.0 82,461 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 15,401 17.5 14,563 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 16,418 20.4 16,856 20.5 Nixon 64.5 51,471 61.6 49,987 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 54,322 63.5 52,393 64.3 Undecided* 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 10,256 16.0 13,213 15.2 DIMENSION =5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,269 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 18,036 21.5 17,768 23.5 Nixon 52.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 50,974 60.6 49,961 61.2 Undecided* 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 11,984 17.9 14,732 15.3 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 +32.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31,487 +35.2 +29,260 +38.9 +32,447 +40.6 +32,938 +39.1 +32,193 37.7 31,048 DIMENSION #6 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,898 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 100.0 57,660 100.0 56,194 SELF CHOICE McGovern 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,356 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 11,231 21.1 11,846 19.1 Nixon 61.5 36,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,920 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 26,459 47.3 26,568 47.4 Undecided* 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 18.1 10,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 19,970 31.6 17,781 33.5 DIMENSION #7 FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,227 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 17,169 20.6 17,010 16,874 Base First Time 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,227 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,136 100.0 17,169 100.0 17,010 Voters McGovern 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,988 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 6,479 39.3 6,683 40.7 52.0 8,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 9,502 54.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 Nixon 54.7 9,198 52.1 8,872 54.7 9,394 54.5 9,265 54.9 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 1,738 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 Undecided* 7.5 1,296 6.2 1,065 4.3 Telephoned to TV Sentions a Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B 54 56 57 55 Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 1,726 1,284 913 1.044 Dates of Nationwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sat. Oct. 7 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 Fri. Oct. 13 10/17 Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Oct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs.-Oct.12 Mon. Oct. 16 10/19 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base All Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 18 and older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 132,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 DIRENSION #1, 10 SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT 100.0 138,655 McGovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 27,648 20.7 Kixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 61.2 84,876 62.3 86,427 61.8 85,665 60.0 83,218 53.3 80,781 56.9 Undecided* 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 30,225 22.4 DIMENSE WHO THIN McCovern 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 19.8 58.3 20.7 28,666 20.0 27,730 20.3 28,191 19.0 26,358 13.7 27,329 Nixon 59.8 82,966 57.0 79,091 80,898 20.5 28,366 33,788 22.3 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 78,405 55.0 Undeciced* 24.4 30,853 19.7 27,364 19.3 26,832 19.5 27,093 21.5 29,836 23.8 32,920 25.2 DIRENSION 10 THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McCovern 7.8 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 6.047 5.7 Nixer 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 111,990 79.2 Undecided* 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 20,619 15.1 Registered and Plan to Vote in Nov ember 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,345 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 $0,995 59.5 82,461 DIMENSION AN TO VOTE AND WHO SEL WANT FOR PRESIDENT Buse Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 100.0 80,995 15,556 18.2 14,798 17.5 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 18.6 15,401 14,563 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 16,413 20.4 Nixen 34.5 51,471 61.6 49,987 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 54,322 63.5 Undect ded* 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 10,250 16.0 * DISENSION 10 PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16.269 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 18,036 21.5 Nixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 50,974 60.6 Undecided* 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 11,984 17.9 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 +32.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31,487 +35.2 +29,260 +38.9 +32,447 +40.6 +32,938 39.1 DISENSION 16 PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR FRESIDENT Base Do Not low Plan to Vote 100.0 58,698 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 100.0 57,060 56,000 SELF CHOICE NeGoveen 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,356 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 11,231 21.1 Nixon. 61.5 06,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,920 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 26,459 47.3 undeclidad* 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 18.1 10,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 19,970 31.6 DIRENSION 7. RST TIME VOTERS 3. WHO VOTE FOR 21.1 10.809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,227 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 17,169 17,010 Tose First Time 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,227 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,136 100.0 17,169 Voters ("eGoverr 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,985 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 6,479 39.3 64.7 0,198 52.1 8,872 52.0 0,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 9,502 54.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 54.7 9,394 54.5 Mach. 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 1,73S 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 7.5 1,296 6:2 Undectiled DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Survey Number 42 + 43 44 + 45 46 + 47 48 + 49 50 + 51 52 + 53 54 + 55 56 & 57 42-57 Sample Size 2,228 2,240 2,191 2,246 2,289 2,311 2,770 2197 18,472 Dates of Nationwide FRI Aug 25 FRI -Sept 1 FRI Sept. 8 FRI -Sept.15 FRI -Sept. 22 FRI -Sept.: Fri. -Oct. 6 8/25 - Interviewire THURS-Aug 31 THURS-Sept 7 THURS Sept. 14 THURS-Sept.21 THURS-Sept. 28 THURS-Oct. 5 Thurs. -Oct. 12 10/19 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (CCO) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) Pase All Adults 18 and older 100.0 136,329 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 DIMENSION =1, WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 22.4 30,533 21.9 30,391 20.3 28,176 22.4 31,062 20.9 28,916 20.1 27,815 20.9 28,959 20.3 21.1 Mixon 55.9 76,238 57.0 79,029 59.7 82,758 62.0 85,962 62.6 86,793 60.7 84,138 61.1 84,741 57.7 59.7 Undecided* 21.7 29,558 21.1 29,235 20.0 27,721 15.6 21,631 16.5 22,946 19.3 26,704 18.0 24,956 22.0 19.2 0 DIMENSION 2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McCovern 22.4 30,593 22.2 30,826 20.6 28,540 19.0 18.9 26,257 19.8 27,523 19.8 20.3 19.8 27,481 26,380 Mixon 50.7 69,142 55.7 77,172 56.0 77,691 57.4 79,549 58.9 81,726 57.6 79,858 59.9 82,986 55.9 56.6 Uncecices* 26.9 30,954 22.1 30,657 24.2 33,483 22.0 30,566 22.1 30,549 23.5 32,539 20.3 28,146 24.4 23.1 DIAENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 9.7 13,217 9.2 12,690 7.2 9,935 8.4 11,667 7.6 10,548 8.4 11,595 6.8 9,446 4.9 7.9 Nixon 66.6 90,850 65.7 91,127 72.2 100,104 75.2 104,280 77.3 107,239 80.1 72.8 69.8 96,847 74.4 103,109 Undecided* 23.7 32,256 25.1 34,838 23.0 31,873 19.4 26,884 18.0 24,998 16.5 22,780 15.8 21,970 14.9 19.4 Recistered and Plan to Vote in November 57.0 77,709 56.5 78,290 55.0 76,217 56.0 77,€23 57.1 79,133 58.5 81,106 60.0 83,254 58.9 57.4 81,602 79,650 CHARGESION =4 PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 77,709 100.0 78,290 100.0 76,217 100.0 77,623 100.0 79,133 100.0 81,106 100.0 83,254 McCovern 22.5 17,500 21.9 17,142 18.2 13,865 17.4 13,531 18.2 14,380 18.8 15,235 18.5 15,437 20.3 Nixer 56.4 43,307 59.5 46,590 62.8 47,827 63.9 49,609 64.4 50,925 62.0 50,247 19:4 C3.3 52,690 65.6 Uncecided 21.1 16,402 18.6 14,558 19.0 14,525 18.7 14,483 17.4 13,828 19.1 15,623 18.1 15,126 14.1 18.2 * DISENSION WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McCovern 22.9 17,805 24.2 18,936 21.4 16,342 22.4 17,360 21.5 16,998 21.0 17,015 22.8 18,994 22.0 22.3 Nixon 55.7 43,020 57.8 45,232 59.6 45,422 61.7 47,876 62.1 49,181 60.5 49,046 59.4 49,421 61.9 Undectood* 21.4 16,584 18.0 14,122 19.0 14,453 15.9 12,387 16.4 12,954 18.5 15,045 17.8 14,839 16.1 57:8 Points and Number Nixon ever McCevern +32.0 +26,515 +33.6 +26,296 +38.2 +29,080 +39.3 +30,516 +40.6 +32,183 +39.5 +32,031 +36.6 +30,427 39.9 37.5 BLSC Do Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,620 100.0 60,355 100.0 62,438 100.0 61,032 100.0 59,522 100.0 57,549 100.0 55,401 57,053 59,005 SELF CHOICE McCovern 22.2 28.7 17,532 21.9 12,580 24.4 13,522 20.1 23.1 13,034 21.9 13,249 20.4 12,725 24.4 14,536 Nicon 55.3 32,430 53.7 32,439 57.7 36,006 59.6 36,354 60.3 35,867 58.9 33,890 57.9 32,050 46.5 56.3 11.7 7,146 19.3 11,078 17.7 9,829 33.4 20.6 22.5 13,166 24.4 14,677 22.2 13,707 15.3 9,119 VIALIER 20.0 16,542 20.5 16.030 13.9 14,429 19.1 14,810 21.5 17,021 21.0 17,044 20.6 17,167 21.01 20.4 THE Time 17,103 16,213 100.0 10.542 100.0 15,030 100.0 14,429 100.0 14,816 100.0 17,021 100.0 17,044 100.0 17,167 McGovern 35.0 5,546 37.5 6,004 37.2 5,073 35.4 5,245 38.8 6,603 36.3 6,182 35.2 6,049 36.4 36.7 55.4 3,214 54.5 52.1 8,876 56.3 9,568 54.6 51.6 36.2 5,000 46.3 7,426 53.6 7,728 9,73 20.8 4,05% 16.2 2,000 9.2 1,328 9.2 1,359 6.7 1,146 11.7 1,986 8.5 1,451 7.0 11.7 to A.T. Each Tecsday 3 Friday Survey Nu Non 51 52 53 54A 54B 54 55 56 Surple Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 1,726 1.044 1284 Dates of Assionwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sut. Oct. 7 Friday Oct. G Tues. -Oct.10 10/13 Interview 03 THURS-Sept. 28 MON Cct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs.-Oct.12 10/16 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base AT Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 18 are older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,055 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 138,655 DISENSION 1. WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 Nixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 58.3 61.2 84,876 62.3 86,427 61.8 85,665 60.0 83,218 Unsacidad 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 DIMENS ON MO THIN McGovern 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 19.7 57.0 79,091 58.3 80,898 20.7 28,666 20.0 27,730 20.3 28,191 19.0 26,358 Nixon 59.8 82,966 24.4 33,788 22.3 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 Undecided 20.5 28,366 30,853 19.7 27,364 19.3 26,832 19.5 27,093 21.5 29,836 23.8 DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.8 10,731 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 Nixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 Undecided 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 Registered and Flan to Voie in i.o rember 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,345 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 DIMENSION :4 PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT base Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 15,401 17.5 14,563 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 Nixon 64.5 01,471 61.6 49,937 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 Undecided" 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 2 ENS ON NO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,269 22.2 18,023 22,269 22.4 18,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 26.8 Mixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 Undecided 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 Points and Number Nixon over McCovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 432.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31,487 +35.2 +29,260 +38.9 +32,447 40.6 GUENS ONOT PI AN TO VOTER WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,898 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 SFLF CHOICE Security 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,356 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 61.5 36,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,920 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 Undectided 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 13.1 10,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 DIRENSION IRST THE VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,227 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 Base First Time 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,227 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,136 17,169 Votors 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,988 35.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 McCovern 54.7 9,193 52.1 8,872 52.0 8,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 9,502 54.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 54.7 Mixon 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 1,738 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 7.5 Undecided* Survey Number 42 43 44 + 45 46 + 47 48 + 49 50 + 51 52 + 53 54 + 55 Sample Size 2,228 2,240 2,191 2,246 2,289 2,311 2,770 Dates of Nationwide FRI Aug 25 FRI -Sept 1 FRI Sept. 8 FRI -Sent.15 FRI -Sept. 22 FRI -Sept.29 Fri. -Oct. 6 Interviewing THURS-Aug 31 THURS-Sept 7 THURS Sent. 14 THURS-Sept.21 THURS-Sept. 28 THURS-Oct. 5 Thurs.-Oct. 12 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) Base All Adults 18 and older 100.0 136,329 100.0 139,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 DIRENSION 1. WHO SELF WANT TO DE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 22.4 30,533 21.9 30,391 20.3 28,176 22.4 31,062 20.9 28,916 20.1 27,815 20.9 28,959 Nixon 55.9 76,238 57.0 79,020 59.7 82,758 62.0 85,962 62.6 36,793 60.7 84,138 61.1 84,741 Undecided* 21.7 29,558 21.1 29,235 20.0 27,721 15.6 21,631 16.5 22,946 19.3 26,704 18.0 24,956 DIRENSION WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 22.4 30,593 22.2 30,826 19.8 27,481 20.6 28,540 19.0 25,380 18.9 26,257 19.8 27,523 Nixon 50.7 69,142 55.7 77,172 55.0 77,691 57.4 79,549 58.9 81,726 57.6 79,858 59.9 82,986 Undecided* 26.9 36,954 22.1 30,657 24.2 33,483 22.0 30,566 22.1 30,549 23.5 32,539 20.3 28,146 DIMENSION =3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McCovern 9.7 13,217 9.2 12,690 7.2 9,935 8.4 11,567 7.6 10,548 8.4 11,595 6.8 9,446 Nixon 66.6 90,856 65.7 91,127 69.8 96,847 72.2 100,104 74.4 103,109 75.2 104,280 77.3 107,239 Undecided* 23.7 32,256 25.1 34,838 23.0 31,873 19.4 26,884 18.0 24,998 16.5 22,780 15.8 21,970 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.0 77,709 56.5 78,290 55.0 76,217 56.0 77,623 57.1 70,133 58.5 81,106 60.0 83,254 DIMENSION PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 77,709 100.0 78,290 100.0 76,217 100.0 77,623 100.0 79,133 100.0 81,106 100.0 63,254 McGovern 22.5 17,500 21.9 17,142 18.2 13,865 17.4 13,531 18.2 14,380 18.8 15,235 18.5 15,437 Nixon 56.4 43,807 59.5 46,590 62.8 47,827 63.9 49,609 64.4 50,925 62.0 50,247 63.3 52,690 Undecided* 21.1 16,402 18.6 14,558 19.0 14,525 18.7 14,483 17.4 13,828 19.1 15,623 18.1 15,126 * DISENSION =5 WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McCovern 22.9 17,805 24.2 18,936 21.4 16,342 22.4 17,360 21.5 16,998 21.0 17,015 22.8 18,994 Nixon 55.7 43,320 57.8 45,232 59.6 45,422 61.7 47,876 62.1 49,181 60.5 49,046 59.4 49,421 Undecided* 21.4 16,584 18.0 14,122 19.0 14,453 15.9 12,387 16.4 12,954 18.5 15,045 17.8 14,839 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +32.8 +25,515 +33.6 +26,296 +38.2 +29,080 +39.3 +30,516 +40.6 +32,183 +39.5 +32,031 +36.6 +30,427 DIMENSION 96 DONOT PLAN TO YOTE Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,620 100.0 60,365 100.0 62,438 100.0 61,032 100.0 59,522 100.0 57,549 100.0 55,401 SELF CHOICE McEovern 22.2 13,034 21.9 13,249 20.4 12,725 28.7 17,532 24.4 14,536 21.9 12,580 24.4 13,522 Nixon 55.3 32,430 53.7 32,439 57.7 36,006 59.6 35,354 60.3 35,867 58.9 33,890 57.9 32,050 Uncocided* 22.5 13,156 24.4 14,677 22.2 13,707 11.7 7,146 15.3 9,119 19.3 11,078 17.7 9,829 NOISNEWO 47 FIRST THE VOTERS & WHO PLM TO VOTE FOR 20.0 15,542 20.5 16,020 18.9 14,429 19.1 14,816 21.5 17,021 21.0 17,044 20.6 17,167 Base First Time Voters 100.0 15,542 100.0 16,030 100.0 14,429 100.0 14,816 100.0 17,021 100.0 17,044 100.0 17,167 McGovern 35.0 5,546 37.5 6,004 37.2 5,373 35.4 5,245 38.8 6,603 36.3 6,182 35.2 6,049 Nixon 38.2 46.3 7,426 53.6 55.4 8,214 54.5 9,273 52.1 5,935 8,876 56.3 7,728 9,668 Undecided* 25.8 4,061 16.2 2,600 9.2 1,328 9.2 1,356 6.7 1,146 11.7 1,986 8.5 1,451 Options. Interest in Politics an Have Not Yet Vade A Choice. Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B 54 55 56 Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 1,726 1,044 1284 Dates of Nationwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 FM Sat. Oct. 7 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 10/13 Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Oct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs.-Oct.12 10/16 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base All Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (OCC) (000) (000) 18 ano older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 138,655 DIMENSION 1. HO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 Nixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 86,427 61.8 85,665 60.0 83,218 58.3 61.2 84,876 62.3 Undecided 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 C DIMENS ON 2 THO THIN McGovern 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 20.7 20.3 28,191 19.0 26,358 19.7 57.0 79,091 58.3 80,898 28,666 20.0 27,730 Nixen 59.8 82,906 Unducided* 20.5 28,366 24.4 33,788 22.3 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 30,853 27,364 26,832 19.5 27,093 21.5 29,836 23.8 19.7 19.3 DIMENSION THD THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.3 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 Mixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 Undect ded* 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,345 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 DIMENS CN LAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 17.5 14,563 14,975 20.3 15,401 18.0 19.4 16,170 Mixon 64.5 51,171 61.6 49,937 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 Undec'ded 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 * DIVENS ON VHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,209 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 Nixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 Undecided 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 Points and Number Nixon over Novovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 +32.5 +26,959 437.8 +31,487 +35.2 +29,260 +38.9 +32,447 40.6 DURENS ON NOT P1 AN TO VOTE & WHO STLF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan 10 Vote 100.0 58,808 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 SELF CHOICE 26.6 19.5 McCovern. 23.9 14,087 20.3 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,356 14,781 20.6 11,397 Nixon 61.5 36,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,920 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 17,2 9,919 34.6 Undecided" 14.6 3,590 20.7 11.938 12.0 6,656 18.1 10,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 DIRECTION 7. FIRST T'ME VOTERS /. WHO TO 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,227 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 Case First Time 17,136 17,169 100.0 10,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,227 100.0 17,185 100.0 Voters McCovecn 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,988 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 59.6 54.7 9,198 52.1 8,872 52.0 8,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 9,502 54.3 9,328 10,215 54.7 Nixon Undecided* 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 1,738 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 7.5 Survey Number 42 + 43 44 + 45 46 + 47 48 + 49 50 + 51 52 + 53 54 + 55 Semple Size 2,228 2,240 2,191 2,246 2,289 2,311 2,770 Dates of Nationwide FRI Aug 25 FRI -Sept 7 FRI Sept. 8 FRI -Sept. 15 FRI -Sept. 22 FRI -Sept. Fri. -Oct. 6 Interviewing THURS-Aug 31 THURS-Sept 7 THURS Sept. 14 THURS-Sept.21 THURS-Sept. 28 THURS-Oct. 5 Thurs.-Oct. 12 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) Base All Adults 18 and elder 100.0 136,329 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,653 DIMENSION WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED 25 NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 22.4 30,533 21.9 30,391 20.3 28,176 22.4 31,062 20.9 28,916 20.1 27,815 20.9 28,959 Nixon 55.9 76,233 57.0 79,020 59.7 82,758 62.0 85,962 62.6 85,793 60.7 84,138 61.1 84,741 Undecided* 21.7 29,558 21.1 29,235 20.0 27,721 15.6 21,631 16.5 22,946 19.3 26,704 18.0 24,956 DIMENSION =2 THO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 22.4 30,593 22.2 30,825 19.8 27,481 20.6 28,540 19.0 26,380 18.9 26,257 19.8 27,523 Nixon 50.7 69,142 55.7 77,172 56.0 77,691 57.4 79,543 58.9 81,726 57.6 79,858 59.9 82,986 Undecided 26.9 36,954 22.1 30,657 24.2 33,483 22.0 30,566 22.1 30,549 23.5 32,539 20.3 28,146 DIMENSION #3, WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 9.7 13,217 9.2 12,690 7.2 9,935 8.4 11,667 7.6 10,548 8.4 11,595 6.8 9,446 Nixon 66.6 90,856 65.7 91,127 63.8 96,847 72.2 100,104 74.4 103,109 75.2 104,280 77.3 107,239 Undecided* 23.7 32,256 25.1 34,838 23.0 31,873 19.4 26,884 18.0 24,998 16.5 22,780 15.8 21,970 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.0 77,709 56.5 78,290 55.0 76,217 56.0 77,623 57.1 79,133 58.5 81,106 60.0 83,254 DIRENSION "4, PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 77,709 100.0 78,290 100.0 76,217 100.0 77,623 100.0 79,133 100.0 81,106 100.0 83,254 McGovern 22.5 17,500 21.9 17,142 18.2 13,865 17.4 13,531 18.2 14,380 18.8 15,235 18.5 15,437 Nixon 56.4 43,807 59.5 46,590 62.8 47,827 63.9 49,609 64.4 50,925 62.0 50,247 63.3 52,690 Undecided* 21.1 16,402 18.6 14,558 19.0 14,525 18.7 14,483 17.4 13,828 19.1 15,623 18.1 15,126 * DIMENSION 75. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 17,005 24.2 18,935 21.4 16,342 22.4 17,360 21.5 16,998 21.0 17,015 22.8 18,994 Nixon 55.7 43,320 57.8 45,232 59.6 45,422 61.7 47,875 62.1 49,181 60.5 49,046 59.4 49,421 Uncecided* 21.4 16,584 18.0 14,122 19.0 14,453 15.9 12,387 16.4 12,954 18.5 15,045 17.8 14,639 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +32.8 +25,515 +33.6 +26,296 +38.2 +29,080 +39.3 +30,516 +40.6 +32,183 +39.5 +32,031 +36.6 +30,427 DIMENSION #6, DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,620 100.0 60,365 100.0 62,438 100.0 61,032 100.0 59,522 100.0 57,549 100.0 55,401 SELF CHOICE McGovern 22.2 13,034 21.9 13,249 20.4 12,723 28.7 17.532 24.4 14,536 21.9 12,580 24.4 13,522 Nixon 55.3 32,430 53.7 32,439 57.7 36,005 50.6 36,354 60.3 35,867 58.9 33,890 57.9 32,050 Undecided* 22.5 13,156 24.4 14,677 22.2 13,707 11.7 7,146 15.3 3,119 19.3 11,078 17.7 9,829 DIMENSION FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHC PLAN TO VOTE FOR 20.0 15,542 20.5 16,030 18.9 14,429 19.1 14,816 21.5 17,021 21.0 17,044 20.6 17,167 Base First Time Voters 100.0 15,542 100.0 16,030 100.0 14,429 100.0 14,816 100.0 17,021 100.0 17,044 100.0 17,167 McGovern 35.0 5,546 37.5 6,004 37.2 5,373 35.4 5,245 38.8 6,603 36.3 6,182 35.2 6,049 Mixon 38.2 46.3 7,420 53.6 7,720 55.4 8,214 54.5 9,273 52.1 8,876 56.3 9,668 5,935 Undecided* 26.8 4,061 16.2 2,600 9.2 1,328 3.2 1,356 6.7 1,146 11.7 1,986 8.5 1,451 STROLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Survey Number 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Sample Size 4,103 2,257 1,224 1,889 2,255 1,295 969 1,326 902 1,251 939 Dates of Nationwide FRI-July 14 TUE-July 25 TUE-Aug 1 SAT Aug 5 FRI Aug 11 FRI-Aug 18 TUE Aug 22 FRI-Aug 25 TUES -A.ic 20 FRI-Sept 1 TUES -Scpt. 5 Interviewing WED-July 26 MON-duly 31 FRI-Aug 4 THURS-Aur 10 THURS-Aug 17 MON-Aug 21 THURS-Aug 24 MON-Aug 28 THIRS-Aug 31 MCN-Sont 1 THE PS-Sept 7 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Humber Persent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (cro) (000) Pase All Agults 18 and older 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 135,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 106,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 138,655 DIRENSION WMO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 28.6 38,942 28.2 38,462 23.4 31,841 22.9 31,259 24.1 32,854 23.0 31.362 21.8 29,698 22.8 31,055 21.8 19,776 22.1 30,077 21.7 30 125 Nixon 49.5 67,499 51.6 70,338 51.7 70,516 50.4 58,749 50.9 69,414 51.5 70,183 55.5 75,631 55.8 76,114 50.1 76,421 55.9 77,507 57.2 79.274 Undecided* 21.9 29,883 20.2 27,529 24.9 33,972 26.7 36,321 25.0 34,051 25.5 34,784 22.7 31,000 21.4 29,160 22.1 30,132 21.0 28,745 21.1 23.255 0 MEMSION 2. "HO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 24.3 33,126 24.8 33,843 22.3 30,352 22.1 30,145 20.8 28,391 20.5 27,988 21.7 29,603 22.9 31,277 21.7 29,500 22.9 31,274 21.3 29.570 Mixon 50.9 69,374 54.1 73,722 51.8 70,555 48.6 66,271 49.6 67,678 50.4 68,730 50.6 68.988 50.4 68,684 51.2 69,785 55.3 75,331 56.2 77.873 Undecided* 24.3 33,759 21.1 28,764 25.3 35,422 29.3 33,823 29.6 40,260 29.1 39,611 27.7 37,738 26.7 36,368 27.1 36,954 21.8 19,724 22.5 31.212 DIMENSION :3. VHO THINK FILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 25.2 34,389 24.8 33,813 11.9 16,169 10.2 13,857 9.8 13,422 9.7 13,156 9.2 12,521 10.0 13,674 9.2 12,547 3.4 12.750 £.9 12.350 Tixen 55.3 75,349 57.1 77.901 65.5 89,316 68.7 93,702 64.7 88,226 68.1 92,811 70.6 96,231 66.1 90,050 67 5 92,040 65.0 88.681 66.6 92,293 Undesided* 19.5 26,591 18.1 24,615 22.6 30,754 21.1 28,770 25.5 34,681 22.2 30,362 20.2 27,577 33.9 32,605 23.3 31,702 25.6 31.638 24.5 34,012 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 56.0 76,404 58.1 79,265 56.7 77,246 54.2 73,841 55.6 77,210 55.4 75,481 57.2 77,965 56.9 77,639 57.1 77,808-* 55.6 77,175 56.3 78.027 DIREMSION 11 AN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 76,404 100.0 79,256 100.0 77,246 100.0 73,841 100.0 77,210 100.0 75,481 100.0 77,965 100.0 77,639 100.0 77,808 100.0 77,175 100.0 78.027 "cGovern 41.5 31,692 40.6 32,207 27.6 21,318 23.5 17,264 24.9 19.248 24.4 18,421 22.4 17,458 23.0 17,894 21.7 15,919 22.7 17,552 20.8 16.248 Niven 55.3 42,219 51.4 40,761 54.1 41,800 55.0 40,635 53.4 41,228 54.4 41,036 55.7 43,420 56.2 43,634 56.6 44,062 58.4 45,000 6'.0 47,578 Undecided* 3.2 2,493 8.0 6,298 18.3 14,128 21.5 15,842 21.7 16,734 21.2 16,024 21.9 17,087 20.8 16,111 21.7 16,827 16.3 14,583 18.2 14.201 DIMENSION WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 44.5 34,014 38.1 30,225 23.6 18,243 22.5 15,613 25.6 19,732 23.4 17,684 22.9 17,868 23.8 18,516 21.5 13,758 25.1 10,407 20.0 17.918 Nivon 52.1 39,792 50.2 39,799 54.6 42,206 51.5 38,040 52.8 40,737 52.3 39,461 55.1 42,963 55.4 43,002 56.3 43,780 57.6 44,488 57.9 45.203 Undecided* 3.4 2,598 11.7 9,242 22.0 16,737 26.0 19,188 21.6 16,741 24.3 18,336 22.0 17,134 20.8 16,121 22.2 17,270 17.3 13,280 19.1 14,906 Points and Number Nixor ever McGovern +7.6 + 5,778 +12.1 + 9,574 +31.0 +23,363 +29.0 +21,427 +27.2 +21,005 +28.9 +21,777 +32.2 +25,095 +31.6 +24,486 +34.8 +27,022 +32.5 +25,081 +34.9 +27.285 DIREMSION :6 NOT VOTE Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 59,925 100.0 57,063 100.0 59,083 100.0 62,488 100.0 59,119 100.0 60,848 100.0 58,364 100.0 58,690 100.0 58,521 100.0 50,154 100.0 60 628 SELF CHOICE Govern 8.2 4,928 14.4 8,237 17.8 10,524 22.2 13,896 23.0 13,617 21.8 13,259 21.0 12,239 22.4 13,161 22.0 2:.9 46.2 12,857 21.2 17,707 12,525 13.878 X'xen 53.5 30,539 48.6 28,718 45.0 20,113 47.7 28,186 48.8 29,676 55.2 32,211 55.3 45.6 32,481 55.3 32,359 54.9 32,467 51.3 31.696 Undectued* 27,290 32.1 18,207 33.6 19,841 32.8 20,479 29.3 17,316 29.4 17,913 23.8 13,914 22.3 13,048 22.7 13,305 24.0 14,162 2.8 15.054 DIVENSION 17. FIRST TIME VOTERS 19.3 14,876 19.9 15,055 20.4 15,901 20.0 15,528 20.0 15,560 20.3 15,695 20.6 16,115 Base First Time 100.0 14,876 100.0 15,055 100.0 15,901 100.0 15,528 700.0 15,500 CO.0 15,525 10..0 16.115 45.6 6,784 44.0 6.527 27.5 4,379 36.4 5,656 33.0 5.133 37.5 0,656 3.4 0,031 38.2 5,690 36.3 5,471 31.1 4,943 38.4 5.9% 37.9 5,570 42.4 0.649 0.2 8.236 16.2 2,400 19.7 2,957 42.4 6.579 25.2 3,508 0,337 20.1 0.100 1.005 SUMMARY OF CONTINUONS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONWICE INTERVIEWING SUBMISTR'S DIMENSION CONCEPT CA POLITICS Surving Sucher 42 2 43 44 & 45 46 47 48 2,213 2,2.0 1,273 913 1,307 0.00 of Provide MI Aug 23 FRI -Sencl 9/8-9/11 9/12-9/14 9/15-9/18 latery wing THERSHAW 31 THURS-Sept 7 Percent enter Percent Number Parcent Number Percent Number Percent Number (55%) (000) (000) (000) (000) Adults ol ICU.C 105.320 100.0 138.653 100. WHO SPLF WANT 8 WE PLECTED Ai NEXT PRESTORN 22.4 30,570 21.0 30,351 19.5 21.5 23.0 55.9 75,253 57.0 70,029 59.1 60.5 62.1 21.7 20,553 21.1 29,235 14.7 18.0 149 ) WHO THINK OTHERS HANT 22.4 30,533 22.2 30,025 20.0 19.6 21.1 50.7 69,142 55.7 77,172 56.5 26.9 35,954 55.4 57.5 22.1 30,657 17.7 21.4 > DISENSION # 24.0 THINK FILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED 9.7 13,217 9.2 12,600 7.6 6.5 8.7 Mirco 55.6 90,835 55.7 91,127 69.2 70.8 71.6 23.7 32,205 25.1 34,833 18.2 22.7 19.7 and Plen November 57.0 77,700 55.5 78,090 53.8 56.6 78 4 78.8million > PLAN TO NOTE AND WHO SELF PANT FOR PRESIDENT Plan to Vote 100.0 77.707 100.0 73,200 100. 22.5 17,600 21.9 17,142 13.8 17.3 17.1 55.4 43.207 59.5 45,550 62.4 63.3 64.3 Unhanbled* 21.1 15,402 18.6 14,553 16.5 19.4 18.6 PLAN to VOTE 202 l'olovers 22.0 17,005 24.2 18,935 20.9 22.2 53.7 40,320 57.8 45,202 59.3 60.0 23:8 21.4 15,584 18.0 11,122 18.2 17.8 14.6 and Burden over McNovern +52.8 +25,515 +33.6 +25.206 38.4 37.8 38.2 DO Not Now Plun to Voce 100.0 53,320 100.0 60,055 100 59.8 million 22.2 10,004 21.9 13,219 20.2 20.6 30.9 Fixes 55.3 32,130 53.7 32,409 55.3 61.2 59.0 Undecided 22.5 13,155 21.4 11,677 12.6 18.2 10.1 NUMBERSON FIRST VOTERS case- Flest Time 20.0 15,542 20.5 16.000 15.102 million 15.3 mil Volters 100.0 15,512 100.0 16,000 100. 35.0 5,515 37.5 0,00% 36.7 37.9 38.2 5,005 45.3 7,423 54.1 37:8 53.1 25.2 4,000 16.7 2,500 10.1 8.0 7.6 1-051 Order SERIS CONCEPT 05 ITICS Nevber 35 36 37 38 39 40 /11 42 45 44 55 Size 4,103 2,257 1,224 1,880 2,255 1,295 969 1;326 202 1.25 36° Sinding of Patienwide FRI-July 11 THE-July 25 TUB-Aug 1 SAT Aug 5 FRI Aug 11 FRI-Aug 18 TUE Aug 22 PRI-Aug 25 TUC 29 WED-July 25 NON-Coly 31 FRI-Aug A THURS-Aug 10 THURSEA 17 NON-Aug 21 THURS-Aug 21 MON-Avg 2P ; Percent Number Parcent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Parcent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Persont Percent (000) (COO) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (010) 1000 All Allts after 100.0 136,322 100.0 136.329 100.0 136,329 100.0 126,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 135,329 100.0 100,309 100.0 135,320 100.0 SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT 28.6 38,942 28.2 39,462 23.4 31,841 22.9 31,259 24.1 32,064 23.0 31.302 21.8 29,508 22.8 31,055 21.8 19,77% 22.1 30 077 40.5 67,429 51.6 70,336 51.7 70,515 50.4 68,749 50.9 59,414 51.3 70,193 55.5 75,531 55.8 76,114 56.1 76,451 73.0 17,507 21.9 23,303 20.2 27,522 24.9 33,972 25.7 33,321 25.0 25.3 34,784 22.7 31,000 21.4 29,100 22.1 00,132 21.0 23,745 21.3 34,051 THINK OTHERS WANT 21.3 33,195 24.8 33,843 22.3 20,352 22.1 30,145 20.8 28,301 20.5 27,2°8 21.7 29.503 22.9 31,277 21.7 21.096 2.3 31,374 20.3 50.9 69,371 54.1 73,722 51.8 70,555 48.6 66,271 43.6 67,678 80.4 68,730 50.6 60,083 50.4 68,684 53.2 $0,790 35.3 71,301 4.2 24.8 33,739 21.1 28,764 25.0 35,422 20.3 39,823 29.6 40,200 29.1 39,611 27.7 37,73° 26.7 30,308 27.1 30,030 27.3 19,724 22.5 THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED 25.2 34,332 21.8 33,813 11.9 16,163 10.2 13.857 9.8 13,422 9.7 13.156 9.2 12,'21 10.0 13,974 3.2 12,017 2.4 12,750 1.9 55.3 75,349 57.1 77,201 65.5 89.216 08.7 93,702 64.7 88,226 681 92,811 70.6 96,231 56.1 90,050 17.5 92.000 53.0 59,501 F1.5 100' 10.5 26,591 18.1 24,615 22.6 30,754 21.1 23,770 25.5 34.681 22.2 30.262 20.2 27,577 33.9 32,505 20.9 37.743 03.3 31,00 24.5 end Plan 55.0 70,404 50.1 72.206 55.7 77,346 31.2 73.811 56.6 77,210 05.1 75.481 57.2 77.065 56.9 77,032 enco 77.175 CLAN TO VOTE D SC way? FOR PRES DENT Plan to Vote 100.0 76,404 100.0 70,256 100.0 77,846 100.0 73,841 100.0 77,210 100.0 75.481 100.0 77,295 100.0 77.639 100.0 7.000 100.0 77,373 100.00 41.5 31.692 40.6 32,207 27.0 21,318 23.5 17,204 24.9 19,248 21.4 13,421 22.4 17,458 23.0 17,301 21.7 10.013 22.7 17,552 2015 55.3 42.219 51.4 40,791 M.1 41,000 53.0 40,035 33.4 11,228 54.4 41.026 55.7 43,420 56.2 13,531 70.9 31,000 50.4 31.0 3.2 2,493 5.0 5,208 18.3 14,128 21.5 15,042 21.7 16,734 21.2 15,001 21.2 17,087 20.0 10,111 23.2 6,031 13.9 14,03 3 PHO TO VOTE FOR 03.3 10.107 44.3 : 0 34,014 35.1 30.225 23.6 19,343 22.5 15.613 25.6 19,732 23.4 17,681 22.9 17,809 22.8 18.636 21.1 11,753 of $2.1 30,792 30.799 51.6 42,206 51.5 38,040 52.3 10,737 55.1 42.333 55.4 43,002 59.3 3.70 57.0 11,4% 30.2 52.3 19,461 3.4 2,593 11.7 0,202 22.0 16.797 26.0 19,138 21.6 16,741 24.3 18.336 22.0 17,134 20.8 16,121 22.2 17,20 17.3 10,000 and tumber McGevern 7.6 427.2 +21,003 431.6 124,496 134.0 +27,022 +02.5 $25,000 400.9 - 5,770 412.1 + 0,574 +31.0 +23,963 +20.0 +21.427 +23.9 +21,777 +30.2 323.035 Not Now Vote 100.0 59,920 100.0 37,050 100.0 35,093 100.0 63,498 100.0 50.119 100.0 50,048 100.0 53,35% 100.0 56,300 100.0 52.521 100.0 50,134 100.0 5.2 4,082 14.3 0.27 11,1 10,32° 20.2 11.00 23.0 13,617 21.- 13.272 21.0 12,200 12,161 319 3.2 48.3 17,707 53.5 10,019 20.8 23,771 40.0 28 113 21.7 23,006 P7,076 15.2 15.3 the 51.3 A3.0 27,010 02.1 1,27 33.5 10,001 12.0 30.470 29.3 11,016 20.1 17.013 23.2 13.914 12.3 10.013 20 77.0 12.3 14,876 12.5 10,035 20.4 18,963 20.0 14,506 PER 3.1 PM 100.0 14.875 100.0 15,055 100.0 15.901 100.0 13.506 43.9 32 27.5 SUPPLIER OF CONVENUOUS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE PATIONWIDE INTERVIEWING CONCEPT OF Terry Number 12:15 44 8 45 46 47 48 2,12° 2,20 1,273 918 1,307 RI Soul 9/8-9/11 9/12-9/14 9/15-9/13 Percent Parcent Parcent Lucher Purcent Permant (063) (003) (000) Anults 100.0 1.8.19 ICD.0 64.35 100. 1.000 PAST a REPUICTED 72.4 21.: 30.39 19.5 21.5 23.0 5.0 75,230 57.0 73,129 59.1 60.5 62.1 21.7 20.533 0.1 24,235 14.7 18.0 149 OTHERS 22.4 34.593 22.2 20,515 20.0 19.6 21.1 50.7 60.742 35.7 77.172 56.5 55.4 57.5 University ?5.9 35,054 22.1 30,657 17.7 25.0 21.4 > DISENSIONS THAN ACTUALLY BLECTED 0.7 10.217 3.2 12,790 7.6 6.5 8.7 56.0 States $3.7 91,127 69.2 70.8 71.6 ID 20.7 31,2% 25.1 31,335 18.2 22.7 19.7 57.0 77,730 55.5 78.393 53.8 56.6 78 4 78.8million VOTE 140 PASSIDES "age she 10 Vote 100.0 77,709 100.0 76,200 100. Milliam 22.5 17,000 21.9 17,142 18.8 17.3 17.1 58.0 10.007 59.5 41.50 63.3 64.3 Nationale 31.1 13,202 18.5 14,553 13.5 19.4 18.6 16.0 17.005 34.2 11,355 20.9 22.2 Nizon 55.7 43,020 57.8 45.232 59.3 50.0 21:8 21.4 15.694 18.0 11,122 18.2 17.8 14.6 Sugger Main over Malivera +32.8 $25,315 +33.5 +25,206 38.4 37.8 38.2 CONCE TOYORE Base- to Nov Page on Tabe 100.0 53,520 100.0 50.055 100 59.8 millic CHINGE 22.2 13,0341 21.9 13,219 20.2 20.5 30.9 Renue 55.3 02.130 51.7 55.3 59.0 2.00 Unvesided 22.5 13.165 24.4 11,877 12.6 18.2 10.1 FLRST VOTERS First/Time 20.0 13.54P 20.6 15,030 15.102 million 15.3 r. Voterna 100.0 15,542 100.0 16,000 100. 35.0 5,000 0.00 6,001 36.7 03.2 5,003 41.) 53.1 84:2 27.8 70.0 1,58 BUT 10.1 8.0 7.6 Sindlinger Data September 19, 1972 September 8 - 14 (Survey #46 and #47) Sample Size 2191 Dimension #1 McGovern 20.3 Nixon 59.7 Undocided 20.0 D imension #2 McGovern 19.8 Nixon 56.0 Undecided 24.2 Dimension #3 McGovern 7.2 Nixon 69.8 Undecided 23.0 (registered and plan to vote 55.0% 76,217,000) Dimension #1 McGovern 18.2 Nixon 62.8 Undecided 19.0 Dimension #5 (76,217 base) McGovern 21.4 Nixon 59.6 Undecided 19.0 (do not plan to vote 45.0% 62,438,000) Dimension #6 McGovern 20.4 Nixon 57.7 Undecided 22.2 Dimension #7 (10.4%, 14,429,000 first voters) McGovern 37.2 Nixon 53.6 Undecided 9.2 34 ST 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 3,217 1,204 1,889 2,255 1,295 SCG 1,020 1,251 109 SAT Aug : FRI Any 11 18 TUE 22 FISHANG 27 Father 1 10 21 :- Percent Number Percent Nowber reasent Number Percent hurser Persont Number Persent later Philippic Number Persent (00) (CCU) (000) (SUG) (000) (000) (000) (000) (003) (000) 13 100.0 100,329 100.0 130,329 100.0 130,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 130,329 100.0 130,029 100.0 130,329 100.0 130,329 100.0 138,000 ASSWEYT HUNDET 26.6 10,312 23.2 0.0002 23.4 31,841 22.9 31,259 24.1 32,804 23.0 31,362 21.8 29,698 22.8 31,055 21.8 19,770 22.1 30,077 21.7 30,125 49.9 07,109 £1.0 70,338 51.7 20,516 50.4 68,749 50.9 69,414 51.5 70,163 55.0 75,001 50.8 70,114 50.1 70,421 $6.9 77,507 £7.2 75,274 21.9 29,933 20.2 27,029 24.9 33,972 26.7 36,321 25.0 34,001 25.5 34,784 22.7 $1,000 21.4 29,100 22.1 30,133 21.0 20,745 21.1 29,000 CTHESS 14.3 33,1.0 24.3 33,843 02.3 30,352 22.1 30,145 20.8 28,391 20.5 27,985 21.7 29,003 22.9 31,277 21.7 29,520 22.0 C1,274 21.3 30,570 50.9 05.074 $4.1 73,712 51.6 70,555 48.6 60,271 43.6 67,678 50.4 66,730 50.6 65,903 50.1 68,054 $1.2 09,765 50.3 75,331 60.2 77,873 24.5 33,709 21.1 26.764 25.9 35,422 29.3 39,823 29.6 40,200 29.1 39,011 27.7 37,738 26.7 56,308 27.1 30,904 21.2 19,724 22.5 51,212 ELECTRO 20.7 07,509 $1.00 04.016 11.9 16,109 10.2 13,857 9.3 13,422 9.7 13,150 9.2 12.521 10.0 10.74 9.2 12,547 9.4 12,750 8.9 32,750 10.3 75,343 07.0 65.5 39,316 68.7 93,762 64.7 63,220 (8.1 92,811 70.6 98,251 00.1 90,000 67.5 91,040 CO.. 63,001 GO.L 92,750 19.5 18.1 72.6 30,754 21.1 23,770 25.5 34,081 22.2 30,502 20.2 27,577 33.9 37,005 23.3 31,742 20.0 34,393 24.5 1,012 50.0 75,404 50.1 70.205 30.7 77,246 54.2 73,641 56.6 77,210 55.4 75,481 57.2 77,905 56.9 77,639 [7.1 77,806 $5.0 77,175 $6.3 78,027 100.0 76.400 100.0 70,300 100.0 77,240 100.0 73,841 100.0 77,210 100.0 76,451 100.0 77,005 100.0 77.039 100.0 77,800 100.0 77,175 100.0 33,037 41.5 21,0% 40.5 30.007 27.5 21,318 23.5 17,304 24.9 19,248 24.4 18,421 22.4 17,478 23.0 17,804 27.7 16,913 22.7 17,502 20.8 16,246 $0.3 S... 84.1 41,800 55.0 40,635 53.4 41,226 54.4 41,036 50.7 43,920 50.2 43,031 00.0 44,002 53.4 46,040 61.0 7,2,6 3.2 2,403 S.0 0,353 16.3 14,128 21.5 15,842 21.7 16,734 21.2 16,024 21.9 17,087 20.8 10,111 21.7 16,827 12.9 14,533 18.2 14,001 3 44.0 34,011 00.1 30,025 23.6 18,243 22.5 16,613 25.6 19,732 23.4 17,004 22.9 17,800 23.8 18,016 21.5 16.758 20.1 19,407 23.0 17,910 £2.1 39,752 50.3 30,000 54.6 42,200 51.5 38,040 52.8 40,73/ 15.4 43,002 £6.3 43,780 87.0 92.3 39,401 55.1 42,953 44,468 57.9 $5,000 ..: 11.7 1,0% 12.0 16,797 26.0 19,188 21.6 16,741 24.3 18,336 22.0 17,134 20.8 16,121 22.2 17,270 17.3 13,280 12.1 14,900 Point. 17.0 5,773 +12.1 9,574 431.0 +23,903 429.0 +21,427 +27.2 *21,005 +23.9 421,777 +32.2 $25,095 *31.6 +24,456 +34.8 +27,022 -32.5 +25,051 434.9 $17,000 100.0 10,005 100.0 57,603 100.0 $1,053 100.0 62,438 100.0 69,110 100.0 00,348 100.0 00.104 00.0 50,090 100.0 5,521 00.0 59,154 100.0 30,000 U.F 4,510 14.4 0.00 17.3 10,524 22.2 13,896 23.0 13,617 21.8 13,209 21.0 12,030 22.4 13,101 22.0 12,807 21.2 12,526 21.9 17,078 4:22 $3.0 40.6 23,718 45.0 28,113 47.7 28,130 10.8 25,676 55.2 52,211 50.3 62,481 60.3 30,319 54.9 32,407 52.5 31,000 .4.1 33.6 19,811 32.8 20,479 29.3 17,31L 29.4 17,513 23.8 13,914 20.3 13.045 22.7 15.300 24.0 14,162 24.8 east 19.3 14,876 10.9 15,050 20.4 10.901 30.0 10.028 10.0 15,000 30.5 10,000 10.6 10,115 100.0 14,370 100.0 10,000 100.0 18,001 00.0 15,523 00.0 16,762 100.0 100.0 0,115 45.0 0,704 44.0 0,027 37.5 4,379 00.4 5.000 33.0 5,053 37.5 8,650 3.4 15.2 0.055 Y.1 Can 31.1 5.00 41.2 SUMMARY OF CONTINUOUS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONWIDE INTERVIEWING STHO' INGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Survey Number 42 2 43 44 is 45 46 47 Sample Size 2,228 2,240 1,273 918 Dates of Nationwide TRI Aug 25 FRI. -Sept 1 9/8-9/11 9/12-9/14 Interviewing THURS-Aug 31 THURS-Seot 7 Percent member Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Dumo (067) (000) (000) (000) (000 Rose All Adults 15 onl older TCO.0 136.329 100.0 133.655 100. 1 DEVENSION =1 WHO SELF WANT TO RE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McCavern 22.4 30,533 21.9 30,301 19.5 21.5 Nicen 55.9 75,203 57.0 79,029 59.1 60.5 Undecided 21.7 29,553 21.1 29,235 14.7 18.0 ) DIAENSION WHO THINK OTHERS WAN, McGovern 22.4 30,593 22.2 30,825 20,0 19.6 Nixon 50.7 69,742 55.7 77,172 56.5 Undecided 26.0 35,954 22.1 30,657 17.7 55.4 ) DISENSION 23. THO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED NeGovern 3.7 13.217 9.2 12,690 7.6 6.5 Nixon 66.6 90,855 65.7 91,127 69.2 70.8 Undecided 23.7 32,256 25.1 34,833 18.2 22.7 Registered and Plan Vote in November 57.0 77,709 56.5 78,290 53.8 56.6 78 4million DIMENSION 41, PLAN TO VOTE AND VHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Case Plan to Vote 100.0 77,709 100.0 76,290 100. McGovern 22.5 17,500 21.9 17,142 18.8 17.3 Visaa 55.4 43,307 59.5 46,590 62.4 63.3 Undecided* 21.1 16,402 13.6 14,553 16.5 19.4 is THENSION =5 TO VOTE FOR McCovern 22.0 17,805 24.2 13.936 20.9 22.2 Nixon 55.7 43,020 57.8 45,232 59.3 60.0 Undecided 21.4 15,584 18.0 14,122 18.2 17.8 Points and Number Mixon over McGovern +32.8 +25,515 +33.6 +25,296 38.4 37.8 DIVENSION 20 NOT Dt AN TO VOTE Date Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,520 100.0 60,365 100 SELF CHOICE indovern 22.2 13,034 21.9 10,249 20.2 20.6 Fixon 55.3 32,400 32,439 55.3 61.2 53.7 Undecided* 22.5 13.156 24.4 14,677 12.6 18.2 DIAENSION FIRST TIME VOTERS Jase First Time 20.0 15,542) 20.5 16,030 15.102 million Voters 100.0 15,542 100.0 16,000 100. 35.0 5,546 37.5 6,004 36.7 37.9 Wixon, 33.2 5,025 46.3 7,003 53.1 54.1 25.° 4,001 16.2 2,00) 10.1 8.0 in Countries % Increast in werent AM Male SINCLINGER is COMPANY, INC. CF SWARTHMORE, PERISYLVANIA 19031 Over it MARIO AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONADE INTERVIEWING FROM JULY THROUGH AUGUST 28, 1972 CONDUCTED BY SPACE FOR TV STATIONS TO FILL SHOLING-PYS ENSION COMMIT ON POLITICS SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. OF SWARTHMORE, PENNSYLVANIA 19081 TELEPHONED FIGURES EACH TUESDAY AND FRIDAY Cumulative Cumulative Servey Number 30 25 thru C&A Cumulative 3CA 37 38 39A 35 thru 39A 40 41 35 thru 41 42 43 Deport Poja Reference in #19 in #19 in #19 206, 297 in #18 Dat. By Sex 223,227 in 1C 270,271 238,239 272,273 in #17 274,275 in #17 288, 289 in #18 Sumple Sie 4,103 2,257 6,300 1,224 1,889 2,255 11,723 1,295 Dates of Nationwide FRI July 14 TUE July 25 FRI July 14 TUE Ausust 1 SAT August 5 FRI August 11 FRI July 14 FRI-August 18 TUE-August 22 FRI- July 14 FRI-August 25 Interviewing WED July 20 MON July 31 MON July 31 FRI August 4 THURS August 10 THURS- August 17 THURS- August 17 MON-August 21 THURS-August 24 THURS-August 24 MON-August 28 21 Pre-Republican Major Event Euglaton lilness Re- Eagiston Withdrawl While Eagleron Was Search On For Vice Shriver is Now Vice Clark Reports On First 35 Days First 42 Days Post-Republican Convention Convention vested July 25 On July 31 VP Condidate President President North Victnam Visit Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Parcent Number Percent Number Percent Number Parcent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) DIMENSION #1, WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT Base All Adults 16 and older 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 135,239 100.0 136,379 100.0 136,329 100.0 136,329 100.0 135,329 HcGovern 28.6 38,942 28.2 38,462 28.4 38,770 23.4 31,841 22.9 31,259 24.1 32,864 26.2 35,698 230 21,362 21.8 29,638 25.6 34,836 22.3 31,055 21.8 Nixon 49.5 67,459 51.6 70,338 50.2 58,502 51.7 70,516 50.4 68,749 50.9 69,414 50.6 68.917 51,5 70.183 55.5 75,631 51.0 69,502 55.8 76,114 56.1 undecided* 21.9 29,888 20.2 27,529 21.4 29,057 24.9 33,972 26.7 35,321 25.0 34,051 23.2 31,714 25.5 34,284 22.7 31,000 23.4 31,941 21.4 29,160 DIRENSINI #2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 24.3 33,196 24.8 33,843 24.5 33,423 22.3 30,352 22.1 30,145 20.8 28,391 23.2 31,610 20.5 27,983 21.7 29,603 22.8 31,138 22.9 31,277 21.7 Nixen. 50.9 69,374 54.1 73,722 52.0 70,912 51.8 70,555 48.6 66,271 49.6 67,678 51.0 69.504 50.4 68,730 50.6 68,968 50.9 69,393 50.4 68,684 51.2 Undecided 24.8 33,759 21.1 28,764 23.5 31,994 25.9 35,422 29.3 39,323 29.6 40,260 25.8 35,215 29.1 30,011 27.7 37,738 26.3 35,798 26.7 36,368 DIRENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED NcGovern 25.2 34,389 24.8 33,813 25.1 34,184 11.9 16,169 10.2 13,857 9.8 13,422 18.4 25,040 9.7 13,156 9.2 12,521 16.9 23,076 10.0 13,674 9.2 Nixon 55.3 75,349 57.1 77,901 55.9 76,255 65.5 89,316 68.7 93,702 64.7 88,226 60.7 82,725 63.1 92,811 70.0 90,231 €2.1 84,603 66.1 90.050 67.5 Undecided* 19.5 26,591 18.1 24,615 19.0 25,890 22.6 30,754 21.1 28,770 25.5 34,681 20.9 28,564 22.2 30,302 20.2 27,577 21.0 28,650 33.9 32,605 Registered and Plan 10 Vote in November 56.0 76,404 58.1 79,256 50.8 77,425 56.7 77,246 54.2 73,841 56.6 77,210 56.3 76,788 55,4 75,481 57.2 77,965 56.3 76,747 56.9 77,639 57.1 DIVERSION %1, PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 76,404 100.0 79,266 100.0 77,425 100.0 77,246 100.0 73,841 100.0 77,210 100.0 76,788 100.0 75,481 100.0 77,965 100.0 76,747 100.0 77.639 McGovern 41.5 31,692 40.6 32,207 41.2 31,876 27.6 21,318 23.5 17,304 24.9 19,248 33.9 26,009 24.4 18,421 22.4 17,458 32.2 24,712 23.0 17,894 Nixon 55.3 42,219 51.4 40,761 53.9 41,720 54.1 41,800 55.0 40,635 53.4 41,228 54.0 41,452 54.4 41,036 55.7 43,420 54.1 41,552 56.2 21:2 43,634 undecided 3.2 2,493 8.0 6,298 4.9 3,829 18.3 14,128 21.5 15,842 21.7 16,734 12.1 9,327 21.2 16,024 21.9 17,087 13.7 10,483 20.8 16.111 DISENSION #5, WHO LAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 44.5 34,014 38.1 30,225 42.2 32,676 23.6 18,243 22.5 16,613 25.6 19,732 34.0 26,099 23.4 17,C84 22.9 17,868 32.2 24,747 23.8 18,516 21.5 Nixon 52.1 39,792 50.2 39,799 51.4 39,815 54.6 42,206 51.5 38,040 52.8 40,737 52.0 39,952 62.3 39,461 55,1 42,963 52.3 40,116 55.4 43,002 56.3 Undecided* 3.4 2,598 11.7 9,242 6.4 4,934 22.0 16,797 26.0 19,188 21.6 16,741 14.0 13,853 24.3 18,330 22.0 17,134 15.5 11,884 20.8 16,121 Points and Number Nixon over McCovern +7.6 +5,778 +12.1 +9,574 +9.2 +7,139 +31.0 +23,963 +29.0 +21,427 +27.2 +21,005 +18.0 +13,853 +28.9 21,777 +32.2 +25,095 120.1 +15,369 +31.6 +24,485 This is a Copyright Report with a 72 Hour Exclusive for One TV Station In Each Market SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. Harvard and Yale Avenues in Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 19081 215 Ki. 4-8260 - OVER SHEET #2 SUMMARY OF CONTINUOUS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONWIDE INTERVIEWING FROM JULY 14 THROUGH AUGUST 28, 1972 CONDUCTED BY SPACE FOR TV STATIONS TO FILL SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. OF SWARTHMORE, PENNSYLVANIA 19081 TELEPHONED FIGURES EACH TUESDAY AND FRIDAY Comulative Cumulative Cumulative Survey Number 35 38A 35 thru 36A 37 38 3SA 35 fire 39A 40 41 35 Nine 4: 42 Report Page Reference 285, 287 in #18 Per Data By Sex 223, 227 in # 16 270,271 238,239 272,273 274,275 Sample Size 4,103 2,257 6,360 1,224 1,889 2,255 11,728 1,295 969 13,992 Dates of Nauchwide FRI July 14 TUE July 26 FRI July 14 TUE Ausust 1 SAT - August 5 FRI -- August 11 FAI July 14 FRI-August 18 TUE-August 22 FRI- July 14 FRI-August 25 Interviewing WED July 26 MON - July 31 MON July 31 FRI - August 4 THURS August 10 THURS- August 17 THURS August 17 MON-August 21 THURS-August 24 THURS-August 24 MON-August 28 Engleton Illness Re- Eagleton Withdrawl While Eagleton Was Shriver is Now Vice Pre-Republican Search On For Vice Republican First 42 Days Post-Republicar Major Event Clark Reports On First 35 Days Convention Convention veriod July 25 On July 31 VP Condidate President President North Vietnam Visit Convention 21-23 Percent Number Percent Number Parcent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (COO) (000) (COO) (000) (000) (COO) (000) DISENSION #6. DO Pl All TO VOTE Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote Among All Adults 100.0 59,925 100.0 57,063 100.0 58,904 100.0 59,083 100.0 62,488 100.0 59,119 100.0 59,541 100.0 60,848 100.0 53,364 100.0 59,582 100.0 58.690 SELF CHOICE McGovern 8.2 4,928 14.4 8,237 11.7 6,894 17.8 10,524 22.2 13,896 23.0 13,617 16.3 9,689 21.8 1329 21.0 12,239 17.1 10,202 22.4 13,151 22.0 Nixon 46.2 17,707 53.5 30,539 45.5 26,782 48.6 28,718 45.0 28,113 47.7 20,186 46.1 27,465 48.8 29,676 55.2 32,211 47.0 27,998 55.3 32.421 55.3 Undecided* 45.6 27,290 32.1 18,287 42.8 25,228 33.6 19,841 32.8 20,479 29.3 17,316 37.6 22,387 214 17,912 23.3 13,914 35.9 21,382 22.3 13,040 DOMENSION #7. FIRST TIME VOTERS A. number 01 First Time Voters Who Have Choice or Are Considering Voting 17,497 14,876 16,289 17,148 17,202 16,880 17,184 B Bise Total Self-interviewed Who Plan to Vote in November 100.0 77,425 100.0 77,210 100.0 76,788 100.0 75,481 100.0 77,905 100.0 76,747 100.0 77,639 C. First Time Voters. 18.6 14,421 19.3 14,876 16.8 14,455 19.9 15,055 20.4 15,001 19.1 14,011 20.0 15,528 15,560 D. Former Voters 81.4 63,004 20.7 62,334 81.2 62,333 00.1 60,426 79.0 62,004 80.9 67,136 88.6 62,111 C. Base First Time Voters who Plan to Vote For 100.0 14,421 100.0 14,876 100.0 14,455 100.0 15,015 100.0 15,901 100.0 14,611 100.0 15,528 NeGovern 52.0 7,493 45.6 6,784 40.5 7,162 44.0 6,027 27.5 4 379 47.4 6,021 36.4 5,656 33.0 hikun. 34.1 4,913 38.2 5,690 35.2 5,235 363 31.1 37.9 5,471 4,943 35.8 5,236 38.4 5,961 Under ideals 13.9 2,015 16.2 2,402 14.3 2.058 19.7 2,557 42.4 6,570 16.8 2,452 25.2 3,200 29.2 D. Date Former Volors Who Plan To vote For 100.0 63,004 100.0 62,334 100.0 62,333 100.0 60,426 100.0 02,004 100.0 62,136 100.0 62,111 SeCovern 40.0 25,183 20.8 12,948 24.7 18.937 18.3 11,057 21.7 13,400 26.7 17,020 20.7 12,860 atxon 55.4 34,902 50.2 35,047 45.2 34,717 56.2 33,500 01.3 38,020 $6.1 34,378 57.6 39,038 Undecided* 4.6 2,919 23.0 14,339 30.1 8.679 25,6 15,379 17.0 10,555 15.2 3,432 19.7 12,213 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON HIGH PRIORITY October 31, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: CHARLES COLSON SUBJECT: Sindlinger Information I know you put no faith at all in Sindlinger's polls and maybe his techniques are not the best. On the other hand, he has a huge sample and is polling continuously. Hence, I would think his trend lines might be of some value. If they do, the attached shows that from October 23 to today we have suffered a precipitous and steady decline, not going to McGovern, but going to the undecided, a phenomenon that usually precedes a gain by the other fellow - at least most pollsters say SO. Sindlinger says that most of the undecided are Democrats. What is significant on the attached, in my opinion, is not the gap which is still large, but rather the decline for the President over the past 7 days. We had been, as you will see from the enclosed, hanging right around 60. Based on Surveys 59 and 60 we are now around 55. Attachment SINDLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCERT CN POLITICS Telephened to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B 54 56 57 58 55 59 60 Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 1,726 1,284 1,044 913 1,331 900 1745 Dates of Nationwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sat. Oct. 7 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 Fri. Oct. 13 Tue. -Oct. 17 Fri. Oct. 20 Tues. Oct. 24 10/26 Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Oct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs.-Oct.12 Mon. Oct. 16 Thurs 19 Mon. Oct. 23 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs. Oct. 26 10/30 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base Al: Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 18 and older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 133,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 DIVENSION 1. WHO ELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McCovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 27,648 20.7 28,702 19.9 27,613 19.9 27,637 19.8 C3.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 85,665 60.0 83,218 58.3 80,781 56.9 78,960 57.5 79,712 53.9 71,792 57.1 Nixon 61.2 84,876 62.3 86,427 61.8 Undecided* 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 30,225 22.4 30,994 22.5 31,330 26.1 36,227 23.1 DIMENSION #2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 19.0 26,358 19.8 27,480 18.0 25,022 18.7 25,903 17.3 McGovern 20.7 28,666 20.0 27,730 20.3 28,191 19.7 27,329 Nixon 59.8 82,966 57.0 79,091 58.3 80,898 24.4 33,788 22.3 30,853 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 78,405 55.0 76,223 57.0 79,078 56.2 77,900 59.7 20.5 28,366 21.5 29,836 23.8 32,920 25.2 34,952 24.9 34,555 25.1 34,851 23.0 Undecided" 19.7 27,364 19.3 26,832 19.5 27,093 DIMENSION 1.3. YHC THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.8 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 6,047 5.7 7,902 4.5 6,246 7.0 9,695 6.0 Nixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 111,990 79.2 109,784 79.4 110,154 74.9 103,785 77.0 Undecided 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 20,619 15.1 20,970 16.1 22,255 18.2 25,174 17.0 Registerei and Plin to Vote in November 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,345 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 59.5 82,461 59.4 82,406 58.2 80,746 59.3 82 16] DIRENSION PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 100.0 80,995 100.0 82,461 100.0 82,406 100.0 80,746 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 15,401 17.5 14,563 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 16,418 20.4 16,856 20.5 16,871 19.5 15,718 15.6 wixon 64.5 51,471 61.6 49,987 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 54,322 52,393 64.3 63.5 53,027 57.1 46,103 60:4 Undecided* 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 10,256 15.2 16.0 13,213 12,508 23.4 18,925 24.0 DIMENSION 15. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,269 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 18,036 21.5 17,768 23.5 19,378 20.1 16,202 22.1 Nixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 50,974 60.6 49,961 61.2 50,426 55.2 44,543 54.1 Undecided* 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 11,984 17.9 14,732 15.3 12,601 24.8 20,001 23.8 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 +38.9 +32,447 +40.6 +32,938 +32,193 37.7 31,048 +35.1 +28,341 32.0 +32.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31,487 +35.2 +29,260 +39.1 DISENSION 46 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Nov Plan to Vote 100.0 58,898 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 100.0 57,660 100.0 56,194 100.0 56,249 100.0 57,909 56, 494 SELF CHOICE McGovern 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,356 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 11,231 21.1 11,846 19.1 10,743 21.1 12,222 26.0 Nixon 61.5 36,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,920 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 26,459 47.3 26,568 47.4 26,686 50.1 28,992 52.3 Undecided 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 18.1 10,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 19,970 31.6 17,781 33.5 18,822 28.8 16,694 21.7 DITENSION 47 FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,227 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 17,169 20.6 17,010 20.5 16,874 18.3 14,788 15, 891 Base - First Time 100.0 17,071 17,227 100.0 100.0 17,136 100.0 17,010 Voters 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,169 100.0 16,874 100.0 14,788 McGovern 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,988 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 6,479 39.3 6,683 40.7 6,875 39.6 5,855 37.0 52.0 8,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 Nixon 54.7 9,198 52.1 8,872 9,502 54.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 54.7 9,394 54.5 9,265 54.9 9,269 56.2 8,317 58.0 Undecided 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 1,738 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 7.5 1,296 6.2 1,065 4.3 730 4.2 617 5:0 Politics and Have Not Yet Made A Choice. SPECIAL TELEPHONE REPORT FORMS Sindlinger's 45 TV Station Political Network NOTE: STARTING TUESDAY, OCTOBER 31, DAILY CALLS WILL BE FOR PAST 7 DAYS Call Day FRI TUE WED THUR FRI MON TUE Date 10/27 10/31 11/1 11/2 11/3 11/6 11/7 Covers Interviewing 10/20-10/26 10/24-10/30 10/25-10/31 10/26-11/1 10/27-11/2 10/30-11/6 10/31-11/ A. First Dimension First Choice for President MCGOVERN 1 19.9 NIXON 2 56.1 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 3 58.9 E. Fifth Dimension Registered and Plan to Vote MCGOVERN 4 22.1 NIXON 5 58.8 F. First Time Voters Registered and Plan to Vote 6 19.6 MCGOVERN 7 40.3 NIXON 8 55.4 NOTE: TO EXPEDITE CALLS, ONLY MCGOVERN AND NIXON FIGURES WILL BE TELEPHONED. THE UNDECIDED FIGURE IS THE SUM OF MCGOVERN AND NIXON SUBTRACTED FROM 100.0%. Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample : Proj. Sample : Proj. Sample of Proj. 1. BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 A. NO INTEREST IN POLITICS ALIEN/INVALID/ETC 189 8.4 11665 56 5.2 3471 133 11.4 8194 B. HAVE A POLITICAL PARTY PREFERENCE 2055 91.6 126990 1024 94.8 63473 1031 88.6 63517 C. SAY THEY VOTED IN 1968 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. 1158 51.6 71565 592 54.8 36695 566 48.6 34870 D. SAY THEY NOW ARE RCG- ISTERED TO VOTE 1616 72.0 99859 798 73.9 49464 818 70.3 50395 Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday October 17 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample : Proj. Sample 13 Proj. Sample % Proj. 2. BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 E. WHEN WAS THE LAST TIME YOU RECALL VOTING IN ANY ELECTION OF ANY KIND, ANY WHERE? 1. SAY NEVER VOTED IN ANY ELECTION OR DON'T REMEMBER 666 29.7 41151 319 29.5 19773 347 29.8 21378 2. GIVE A TIME FOR LAST TIME VOTED 1578 70.3 97504 761 70.5 47171 817 70.2 50333 F. BASE GAVE A TIME WHEN LAST VOTED 1578 100.0 97504 761 100.0 47171 817 100.0 50333 WHEN LAST VOTED 1. DURING PAST YEAR 811 51.4 50112 393 51.6 24360 418 51.2 25752 2. TWO YEARS AGO 239 15.1 14767 115 15.1 7128 124 15.2 7639 3. THREE 38 2.4 2347 16 2.1 992 22 2.7 1355 4. FOUR " 288 18.2 17794 136 17.9 8430 152 18.6 9364 5. FIVE " 28 1.8 1728 8 1.1 496 20 2.4 1232 6. SIX " 30 1.9 1853 11 1.4 682 19 2.3 1171 7. SEVEN " 50 3.2 3089 22 2.9 1364 28 3.4 1725 8. EIGHT 42 2.7 2598 26 3.4 1612 16 2.0 986 9. NINE 20 1.3 1237 12 1.6 744 8 1.0 493 10. TEN OR MORE YRS 32 2.0 1980 22 2.9 1364 10 1.2 616 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj. Sample is Proj. Sample is Proj. BASE - ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS 8 OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 G. VOTED IN 1968 1. LAST TIME VOTED WAS IN 1968 288 12.8 17794 136 12.6 8430 152 13.1 9364 2. VOTED IN 1968 AND REPORT VOTED SINCE THEN 870 38.8 53770 456 42.2 28265 414 35.6 25505 H. BASE REPORT VOTING IN 1968 ELECTION WHEN YOU VOTED FOUR YEARS AGO IN 1968 WHO DID YOU VOTE FOR? 1158 100.0 71565 592 100.0 36695 566 100.0 34870 1. WALLACE 153 13.2 9460 88 14.9 5455 65 11.5 4005 2. HUMPHREY 470 40.6 29042 227 38.3 14071 243 42.9 14971 3. NIXON 502 43.4 31027 265 44.8 16426 237 41.9 14601 4. REFUSED TO SAY 33 2.8 2038 12 2.0 744 21 3.7 1294 Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj. Sample is Proj. Sample we Proj. 3. BASE - ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 I. VOTER POTENTIAL 1. NOT INTERESTED IN POLITICS/CAN NOT VOTE/NEVER VOTED/ NOT REGISTERED 628 28.0 38796 282 26.1 17480 346 29.7 21316 2. FIRST TIME PRESIDEN- TIAL VOTERS WHO SAY THEY ARE NOW REGIS- TERED AND PLAN TO VOTE ON NOVEMBER 7. 274 12.2 16929 129 11.9 7996 145 12.5 8933 3. TOTAL WHO SAY THEY ARE REGISTERED WHO ARE NOT FIRST TIME VOTERS 1342 59.8 82930 669 61.9 41468 673 57.8 41462 TOTAL VOTER POTENTIAL WHO REPORT THEY ARE NOW REGISTERED 1616 72.0 99859 798 73.9 49464 818 70.3 50395 32514 BASE - TOTAL VOTER POTENTIAL WHO ARE REGISTERED 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 1. FIRST TIME VOTERS 274 17.0 16929 129 16.2 7996 145 17.7 8933 2. FORMER VOTERS 1342 83.0 82930 669 83.8 41468 673 82.3 41462 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample : Proj. Sample we Proj. Sample ; Proj. BASE - ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 J. FOR DIMENSION 4 & 5 TOTAL WHO PLAN TO VOTE 1334 59.4 82429 650 60.2 40290 684 58.8 42139 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE 910 40.6 56226 430 39.8 26654 480 41.2 29572 TOTAL REGISTERED 1616 72.0 99859 798 73.9 49464 818 70.3 50395 K. BASE - TOTAL REGISTERED. 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 1. TOTAL PLAN TO VOTE 1334 82.5 82430 650 81.5 40290 684 83.6 42140 2. DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE. 282 17.5 17429 148 18.5 9174 134 16.4 8255 L. BASE - TOTAL PLAN TO VOTE 1334 100.0 82430 650 100.0 40290 684 100.0 42140 WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT: 1. MCGOVERN FORMER VOTERS 32512 193 14.5 11927 97 14.9 6013 96 14.0 5914 FIRST TIME VOTERS 110 8.2 6796 52 8.0 3223 58 8.5 3573 TOTAL #5 303 22.7 18724 149 22.9 9236 154 22.5 9488 2. NIXON FORMER VOTERS 663 49.7 40971 331 50.9 20517 332 48.5 20454 FIRST TIME VOTERS 150 11.2 9267 69 10.6 4277 81 11.8 4990 TOTAL #5 813 60.9 50238 400 61.5 24794 413 60.4 25444 3. UNDECIDED FORMER VOTERS 204 15.3 12604 93 14.3 5765 111 16.2 6839 FIRST TIME VOTERS 14 1.1 866 8 1.2 496 6 .9 370 TOTAL #5 218 16.3 13468 101 15.5 6260 117 17.1 7208 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj Sample % Proj. Sample as Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE - TOTAL REGISTERED 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 DEGREE OF CERTAINITY ON VOTING ON NOVEMBER 7 1. VERY SURE 1142 70.7 70570 569 71.3 35269 573 70.0 35301 2. NOT SURE 192 11.9 11859 81 10.2 5021 111 13.6 6838 3. NO PLAN TO VOTE 282 17.5 17429 148 18.5 9174 134 16.4 8255 M. BASE VERY SURE 1142 100.0 70570 569 100.0 35269 573 100.0 35301 PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGOVERN 289 25.3 17858 141 24.8 8740 148 25.8 9118 NIXON 794 69.5 49063 390 68.5 24174 404 70.5 24889 UNDECIDED 59 5.2 3649 38 6.7 2355 21 3.7 1294 N. BASE NOT SURE 192 100.0 11859 81 100.0 5021 111 100.0 6838 PLAN TO VOTE FOR MCGOVERN 14 7.3 866 8 9.9 496 6 5.4 370 NIXON 19 9.9 1174 10 12.3 620 9 8.1 554 32510 UNDECIDED 159 82.8 9819 63 77.8 3905 96 86.5 5914 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample is Proj. Sample is Proj. Sample or Proj. O. (000) (000) (000) BASE - UNDECIDED AS TO WHO WILL VOTE FOR AND NOT SURE IF WILL VOTE 159 100.0 9819 63 100.0 3905 96 100.0 5914 FIRST CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT FROM DIMENSION #1 1. McGOVERN 107 67.3 6607 42 65.7 2603 65 67.7 4004 2. NIXON 41 25.8 2532 15 23.8 930 26 27.1 1602 3. UNDECIDED 11 6.9 680 6 9.5 372 5 5.2 308 PARTY PREFERENCE 1. DEMOCRAT 142 89.3 8768 53 84.1 3285 89 92.7 5483 2. REPUBLICAN 2 1.3 124 2 3.2 124 on 3. INDEPENDENT 15 9.4 927 8 12.7 496 7 7.3 431 1968 VOTING PATTERN DID NOT VOTE 12 7.5 741 5 7.9 310 7 7.3 431 VOTED IN 1968 147 92.5 9078 58 92.1 3595 89 92.7 5483 BASE - VOTED IN 1968 147 100.0 9078 58 100.0 3595 89 100.0 5483 SAY THEY VOTED FOR: 1. WALLACE 11 7.5 680 6 10.3 372 5 5.6 308 2. HUMPHREY 133 90.5 8212 50 86.2 3099 83 93.3 5113 32492 3. NIXON 2 1.4 124 2 3.4 124 .0 4. REFUSED TO SAY 1 .7 62 .0 1 1.1 62 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger &Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample be Proj. Sample Proj Samp : Proj (000) (000) (000) P. BASE - REGISTERED AND DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE ON NOVEMBER 7 282 100.0 17429 148 100.0 9174 134 100.0 8255 PARTY PREFERENCE 1. DEMOCRAT 216 76.6 13350 116 78.4 7190 100 74.6 6160 2. REPUBLICAN 12 4.3 742 7 4.7 434 5 3.7 303 3. INDEPENDENT 45 16.0 2781 22 14.9 1364 23 17.2 1417 4. NO INTEREST 9 3.2 556 3 2.0 186 6 4.5 370 1968 VOTING PATTERN 1. DID NOT VOTE 57 20.2 3523 29 19.6 1798 28 20.9 17.25 2. REPORTED VOTING IN 1968. 225 79.8 13906 119 80.4 7376 106 79.1 6530 BASE - REPORTED VOTING IN 1968 225 100.0 13906 119 100.0 7376 106 100.0 6530 REPORTED VOTING FOR 1. WALLACE 15 6.7 927 8 6.7 496 7 6.6 4% 2. HUMPHREY 177 78.7 10939 94 79.0 5826 83 78.3 5113 3. NIXON 27 12.0 1669 15 12.6 930 12 11.3 739 4. REFUSED TO SAY 6 2.7 370 2 1.7 124 4 3.8 246 MAXIMUM SUPPOSITION ALL REGISTERED WILL VOTE TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample is Proj Sample % Proj Sample ve Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE ALL REGISTERED VOTERS 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 MCGOVERN 1. FROM VERY SURF WILL VOTE 289 17.9 17858 141 17.7 8740 148 18.1 9118 2. FROM NOT SURF WILL VOTE 14 9 866 3 1.0 496 6 7 370 3. FROM UNDECIDED AS TO WHO WILL VOTE FOR AND NOT SURE WILL VOTE BUT SAY THEY VOTED FOR HUMPHREY IN 1968 133 8.2 8212 50 6.3 3099 83 10.1 5113 4. FROM DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE BUT SAY THEY VOTED FOR HUMPHREY IN 1968 177 11.0 10940 94 11.8 5827 83 10.1 5113 TOTAL 1-2-3-4 613 37.9 37876 293 36.7 18162 320 39.1 19714 NIXON 1. FROM VERY SURE WILL VOTE 794 49.1 49063 390 48.9 24174 404 49.4 24889 2. FROM NOT SURE WILL VOTE 19 1.2 1174 10 1.3 620 9 1.1 554 3. FROM UNDECIDED AS TO WHO WILL VOTE FOR AND NOT SURE WILL VOTE BUT SAY NIXON IS THEIR FIRST CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT 41 2.5 2532 15 1.9 930 26 3.2 1602 4. FROM DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE BUT SAY THEY VOTED FOR NIXON IN 1968 27 1.7 1669 15 1.9 930 12 1.5 739 TOTAL 1-2-3-4 881 54.5 54439 430 53.9 26654 451 55.7 27785 TOTAL LEFT OVER 122 7.6 7545 75 9.4 4649 47 5.7 2896 Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample us Proj. Sample Proj. Sample up Proj. 1. BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 A. NO INTEREST IN POLITICS ALIEN/INVALID/ETC 189 8.4 11665 56 5.2 3471 133 11.4 8194 B. HAVE A POLITICAL PARTY PREFERENCE 2055 91.6 126990 1024 94.8 63473 1031 88.6 63517 C. SAY THEY VOTED IN 1968 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 1158 51.6 71565 592 54.8 36695 566 48.6 34870 D. SAY THEY NOW ARE REG- ISTERED TO VOTE 1616 72.0 99859 798 73.9 49464 818 70.3 50395 Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj. Sample : Proj. Sample % Proj. 2. BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 E. WHEN WAS THE LAST TIME YOU RECALL VOTING IN ANY ELECTION OF ANY KIND, ANY WHERE? 1. SAY NEVER VOTED IN ANY ELECTION OR DON'T REMEMBER 666 29.7 41151 319 29.5 19773 347 29.8 21378 2. GIVE A TIME FOR LAST TIME VOTED 1578 70.3 97504 761 70.5 47171 817 70.2 50333 F. BASE GAVE A TIME WHEN LAST VOTED 1578 100.0 97504 761 100.0 47171 817 100.0 50333 WHEN LAST VOTED 1. DURING PAST YEAR 811 51.4 50112 393 51.6 24360 418 51.2 25752 2. TWO YEARS AGO 239 15.1 14767 115 15.7 7128 124 15.2 7639 3. THREE " 11 38 2.4 2347 16 2.1 992 22 2.7 1355 4. FOUR " " 288 18.2 17794 136 17.9 8430 152 18.6 9364 5. FIVE " " 28 1.8 1728 8 1.1 496 20 2.4 1232 6. SIX " " 30 1.9 1853 11 1.4 682 19 2.3 1171 7. SEVEN " " 50 3.2 3089 22 2.9 1364 28 3.4 1725 8. EIGHT " II 42 2.7 2598 26 3.4 1612 16 2.0 986 9. NINE " II 20 1.3 1237 12 1.6 744 8 1.0 493 10. TEN OR MORE YRS 32 2.0 1980 22 2.9 1364 10 1.2 616 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 19/2 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample Proj. Sample of Proj. Sample is Proj. BASE - ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 G. VOTED IN 1968 1. LAST TIME VOTED WAS IN 1968 288 12.8 17794 136 12.6 8430 152 13.1 9364 2. VOTED IN 1968 AND REPORT VOTED SINCE THEN 870 38.8 53770 456 42.2 28265 414 35.6 25505 H. BASE - REPORT VOTING IN 1968 ELECTION WHEN YOU VOTED FOUR YEARS AGO IN 1968 WHO DID YOU VOTE FOR? 1158 100.0 71565 592 100.0 36695 566 100.0 34870 1. WALLACE 153 13.2 9460 88 14.9 5455 65 11.5 4005 2. HUMPHREY 470 40.6 29042 227 38.3 14071 243 42.9 14971 3. NIXON 502 43.4 31027 265 44.8 16426 237 41.9 14601 4. REFUSED TO SAY 33 2.8 2038 12 2.0 744 21 3.7 1294 Nationwide Interviewing for Survey +57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample Proj. Sample : Proj. Sample in Proj. 3. BASE - ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 224 1000 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 I. VOTER POTENTIAL 1. NOT INTERESTED IN POLITICS/CAN NOT VOTE/NEVER VOTED/ NOT REGISTERED 628 28.0 38796 282 26.1 17480 346 29.7 21316 2. FIRST TIME PRESIDEN- TIAL VOTERS WHO SAY THEY ARE NOW REGIS- TERED AND PLAN TO VOTE ON NOVEMBER 7. 274 12.2 16929 129 11.9 7996 145 12.5 8933 3. TOTAL WHO SAY THEY ARE REGISTERED WHO ARE NOT FIRST TIME VOTERS 1342 59.8 82930 669 61.9 41468 673 57.8 41462 TOTAL VOTER POTENTIAL WHO REPORT THEY ARE NOW REGISTERED 1616 72.0 99859 798 73.9 49464 818 70.3 50395 32514 BASE - TOTAL VOTER POTENTIAL WHO ARE REGISTERED 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 1. FIRST TIME VOTERS 274 17.0 16929 129 16.2 7996 145 17.7 8933 2. FORMER VOTERS 1342 83.0 82930 669 83.8 41468 673 82.3 41462 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample 68 Proj. Sample as Proj. Sample : Proj. BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER THE TOTAL SAMPLE 2244 100.0 138655 1080 100.0 66944 1164 100.0 71711 J. FOR DIMENSION 4 & 5 TOTAL WHO PLAN TO VOTE 1334 59.4 82429 650 60.2 40290 684 58.8 42139 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE 910 40.6 56226 430 39.8 26654 480 41.2 29572 TOTAL REGISTERED 1616 72.0 99859 798 73.9 49464 818 70.3 50395 K. BASE - TOTAL REGISTERED. 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 1. TOTAL PLAN TO VOTE 1334 82.5 82430 650 81.5 40290 684 83.6 42140 2. DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE. 282 17.5 17429 148 18.5 9174 134 16.4 8255 L. BASE - TOTAL PLAN TO VOTE.1334 100.0 82430 650 100.0 40290 684 100.0 42140 WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT: 1. MCGOVERN FORMER VOTERS 32512 193 14.5 11927 97 14.9 6013 96 14.0 5914 FIRST TIME VOTERS 110 8.2 6796 52 8.0 3223 58 8.5 3573 TOTAL #5 303 22.7 18724 149 22.9 9236 154 22.5 9488 2. NIXON FORMER VOTERS 663 49.7 40971 331 50.9 20517 332 48.5 20454 FIRST TIME VOTERS. 150 11.2 9267 69 10.6 4277 81 11.8 4990 TOTAL #5 813 60.9 50238 400 61.5 24794 413 60.4 25444 3. UNDECIDED FORMER VOTERS 204 15.3 12604 93 14.3 5765 111 16.2 6839 FIRST TIME VOTERS 14 1.1 866 8 1.2 496 6 6 370 TOTAL #5 218 16.3 13468 101 15.5 6260 117 17.1 7208 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger & Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election Nationwide Interviewing for Survey #57 and #58 From Tuesday through Monday --- October 17 - 23, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj. Sample % Proj. Sample are Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE - TOTAL REGISTERED 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 DEGREE OF CERTAINITY ON VOTING ON NOVEMBER 7 1. VERY SURE 1142 70.7 70570 569 71.3 35269 573 70.0 35301 2. NOT SURE 192 11.9 11859 81 10.2 5021 111 13.6 6838 3. NO PLAN TO VOTE 282 17.5 17429 148 18.5 9174 134 16.4 8255 M. BASE VERY SURE 1142 100.0 70570 569 100.0 35269 573 100.0 35301 PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGOVERN 289 25.3 17858 141 24.8 8740 148 25.8 9118 NIXON 794 69.5 49063 390 68.5 24174 404 70.5 24889 UNDECIDED 59 5.2 3649 38 6.7 2355 21 3.7 1294 N. BASE NOT SURE 192 100.0 11859 81 100.0 5021 111 100.0 6838 PLAN TO VOTE FOR MCGOVERN 14 7.3 866 8 9.9 496 6 5.4 370 NIXON 19 9.9 1174 10 12.3 620 9 8.1 554 32510 UNDECIDED 159 82.8 9819 63 77.8 3905 96 86.5 5914 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample 02 Proj. Sample % Proj. Sample 8". Proj. O. (000) (000) (000) BASE - UNDECIDED AS TO WHO WILL VOTE FOR AND NOT SURE IF WILL VOTE 159 100.0 9819 63 100.0 3905 96 100.0 5914 FIRST CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT FROM DIMENSION #1 1. McGOVERN 107 67.3 6607 42 65.7 2603 65 67.7 4004 2. NIXON 41 25.8 2532 15 23.8 930 26 27.1 1602 3. UNDECIDED 11 6.9 680 6 9.5 372 5 5.2 308 PARTY PREFERENCE 1. DEMOCRAT 142 89.3 8768 53 84.1 3285 89 92.7 5483 2. REPUBLICAN 2 1.3 124 2 3.2 124 .0 3. INDEPENDENT 15 9.4 927 8 12.7 496 7 7.3 431 1968 VOTING PATTERN DID NOT VOTE 12 7.5 741 5 7.9 310 7 7.3 431 VOTED IN 1968 147 92.5 9078 58 92.1 3595 89 92.7 5483 BASE VOTED IN 1968 147 100.0 9078 58 100.0 3595 89 100.0 5483 SAY THEY VOTED FOR: 1. WALLACE 11 7.5 680 6 10.3 372 5 5.6 308 2. HUMPHREY 133 90.5 8212 50 86.2 3099 83 93.3 5113 32492 3. NIXON 2 1.4 124 2 3.4 124 .0 4. REFUSED TO SAY 1 .7 62 .0 1 1.1 62 Over Pre Election Summary #1 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Sindlinger &Company, Inc. of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 1972 Continuous Daily Election TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample is Proj Sample Proj Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) P. BASE REGISTERED AND DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE ON NOVEMBER 7 282 100.0 17429 148 100.0 9174 134 100.0 8255 PARTY PREFERENCE 1. DEMOCRAT 216 76.6 13350 116 78.4 7190 100 74.6 6160 2. REPUBLICAN 12 4.3 742 7 4.7 434 5 3.7 303 3. INDEPENDENT 45 16.0 2781 22 14.9 1364 23 17.2 14 7 4. NO INTEREST 9 3.2 556 3 2.0 186 6 4.5 3"0 1968 VOTING PATTERN 1, DID NOT VOTE 57 20.2 3523 29 19.6 1798 28 20.9 1725 2. REPORTED VOTING IN 1968. 225 79.8 13906 119 80.4 7376 106 79.1 6530 BASE REPORTED VOTING IN 1968 225 100.0 13906 119 100 0 7376 106 100.0 6530 REPORTED VOTING FOR 1. WALLACE 15 6.7 927 8 6.7 496 7 5.6 4 2. HUMPHREY 177 78.7 10939 94 79.0 5826 83 78.3 5113 3. NIXON 27 12.0 1669 15 12.6 930 12 11 3 739 4. REFUSED TO SAY 6 2.7 370 2 1.7 124 4 3.8 246 MAXIMUM SUPPOSITION ALL REGISTERED WILL VOTE TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample is Proj Sample % Proj Sample is Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE ALL REGISTERED VOTERS 1616 100.0 99859 798 100.0 49464 818 100.0 50395 MCGOVERN 1. FROM VERY SURF WILL VOTE 289 17.9 17858 141 17.7 8740 148 18.1 9111 2. FROM NOT SURF WILL VOTE 14 9 866 a 1.0 496 6 .7 370 3. FROM UNDECIDED AS TO WHO WILL VOTE FOR AND NOT SURE WILL VOTE BUT SAY THEY VOTED FOR HUMPHREY IN 1968 133 8.2 8212 50 6.3 3099 83 10.1 5113 4. FROM DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE BUT SAY THEY VOTED FOR HUMPHREY IN 1968 177 11.0 10940 94 11.8 5827 83 10.1 5113 TOTAL 1-2-3-4 613 37.9 37876 293 36.7 18162 320 39.1 19714 NIXON 1. FROM VERY SURE WILL VOTE 794 49.1 49063 390 48.9 24174 404 49.4 24889 2. FROM NOT SURE WILL VOTE 19 1.2 1174 10 1.3 620 9 1.1 554 3. FROM UNDECIDED AS TO WHO WILL VOTE FOR AND NOT SURE WILL VOTE BUT SAY NIXON IS THEIR FIRST CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT 41 2.5 2532 15 1.9 930 26 3.2 1602 4. FROM DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE BUT SAY THEY VOTED FOR NIXON IN 1968 27 1.7 1669 15 1.9 930 12 1.5 739 TOTAL 1-2-3-4 881 54.5 54439 430 53.9 26654 451 55.7 27785 TOTAL LEFT OVER 122 7.6 7545 75 9.4 4649 47 5.7 2896 SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing Opinion Research Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 October 27, 1972 SPECIAL TO SINDLINGER'S 45 TV STATION POLITICAL NETWORK This is the first of a series of pre-election reports for our TV network post election summary will also come after November 7. This is to alert you to the following computer print-outs by sex of respondent for your study and use: D. Our sample is now showing about 100-million as registered voters. E. Of the 138.6-million adults in the United States (48 contiguous states) : about 30 percent or 41.2-million have never voted about 70 percent or 97.5-million gave a time when last voted. F. Shows when the sample report last voting in any election. H. Shows that the sample for this period (October 17-23) projects 71,565,000 as voting in 1968. This question validates the accuracy of the sample. I. Breaks down all adults into their voter potential. The first time voter size is just under 17-million--not the 25-million that some said it would be. Of all Registered Voters: 17.0 percent or 16,929,000 are first time voters 83.0 percent or 82,930,000 are former voters. - more - Sindlinger -- page 2 of 4 J Shows that among all U.S. adults: 59.4 percent plan to vote on November 7 40.6 percent do not plan to vote 72.0 percent are registered to vote. K Shows that 82.5 percent or about 82-million now plan to vote-this is very low in terms of previous years. L. Is a breakout of our Dimension #5--who plan to vote for. Based upon October 17-23 nationwide interviewing: 18. 7-million plan to vote for McGovern. Over one in three of McGovern's firm support was from new first time voters. ...50-million appears to be the figure Nixon can count upon on November 7. .13.4-million who plan to vote-still are undecided--but as later data shows--nearly all of these are Democrats, former Humphrey voters. HOW BIG WILL THE VOTE BE? This is the key unanswered question. M. Shows 71 percent of those who plan to vote or about 70.6-million--respond that they are very sure they will vote. 25.3 percent or about 18-million are for McGovern 69.5 percent or about 49-million are for Nixon only 5.2 percent are undecided. N About 12 percent or near 12-million who say they plan to vote but are not sure they will vote--are still very much undecided on their choice-this projects to near 10-million. The next data show that most of these are Democrats--who voted for Humphrey in 1968. - more - Sindlinger -- page 3 of 4 O. Presents further interesting data on this undecided group. On their first choice for President--Dimension this undecided group, who plan to vote, lean heavily toward McGovern--about 9 in 10 of them say they are Democrats--most voted in 1968-and 9 in 10 of them say they voted for Humphrey--most are blue collar workers, in states with the largest electoral votes. What these undecideds will do on Election Day--in California, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, New York, Pennsylvania, and in Massa- chusetts--is a key to the election. If they vote-they are likely to vote straight Democratic. P...Here we have about 17.4-million registered voters who now plan to be included out of the 1972 election. 76.6 percent or 13.4-million are Democratic 79.8 percent or 13.9-million voted in 1968 10.9-million of these Democrats (79 percent) voted for Humphrey--but now do not want McGovern. Q...A MAXIMUM SUPPOSITION The following outlines a maximum supposition--based upon the assump- tion that all registered voters will go out and vote-this assumption is wrong because less than 90 percent of the registered voters have ever voted. But--among all Registered Voters-this is the maximum McGovern can expect: 1. 17.9 percent or 17.8-million are sure to vote for him. 2. 0.9 percent or .9-million are most likely to vote for him. 3. 8.2 percent or 8.2-million are Democrats who voted for Humphrey in 1968 and are still undecided if they will vote or how they will vote--most are Hawks and do not like McGovern's stand on the war. more Sindlinger -- page 4 of 4 Their first choice for President is Nixon--but they are torn-How can a good Democrat vote for a Republican? 4. 11.0 percent or 10.9-million do not now plan to vote at all in November but they voted in 1968 for Humphrey. Above, 3. and 4. total 19.1-million (or 61 percent of Humphrey's 1968 vote) who are torn with McGovern as their candidate. If, by chance, they would all go out and vote straight Democratic--and most of them reside in California, Michigan, Ohio, Illinois, Pennsylvania, New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, and Massachu- setts-with high electoral votes. Then, 1., 2., 3., 4. above-would give McGovern 37.9 percent or 37,876,000 votes, in high electoral states. For Nixon: 1. 49.1 percent or 49.1-million are very sure they will vote for Nixon. 2. 0.9 percent or 1.2-million are most likely to vote for him. 3. 2.5 percent or 2.5-million are undecided if they will vote or who they will vote for-but their first choice is Nixon. 4. 1.7 percent or 1.7-million say they do not plan to vote-don't like Nixon but voted for him in 1968-they are all Republicans and some might vote. If you add 1., 2., 3., 4. above, then-- 54.5 percent or 54,439,000 would be Nixon's maximum vote. This leaves-- 7.6 percent or 7.5-million unaccounted for. MORE ON THIS WILL FOLLOW. 30 - #58-59 Friday-Thursday, Oct. 20-26, 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OCTOBER 20-26, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #58-59 Sample % Proj. Sample % Proj Sample as Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2231 100.0 138655 1064 100.0 66944 1167 100.0 71711 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 444 19.9 27616 227 21.3 14282 217 18.6 13334 2. NIXON 1250 56.1 77725 622 58.5 39135 628 53.8 38590 3. OTHER 6 .3 375 4 .4 252 2 .2 123 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 404 18.1 25050 153 14.4 9626 251 21.5 15424 5. NO OPINION 127 5.7 7889 58 5.5 3649 69 5.9 4240 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 408 18.3 25382 212 19.9 13338 196 16.8 12044 2. NIXON 1264 56.7 78592 627 58.9 39449 637 54.6 39143 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 453 20.3 28094 176 16.5 11073 277 23.7 17021 5. NO OPINION 106 4.7 6586 49 4.6 3083 57 4.9 3503 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 123 5.5 7638 54 5.1 3398 69 5.9 4240 2. NIXON 1730 77.6 107587 872 82.0 54864 858 73.5 52723 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 317 14.2 19632 104 9.8 6543 213 18.3 13089 5. NO OPINION 61 2.7 3798 34 3.2 2139 27 2.3 1659 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1315 58.9 81737 634 59.6 39890 681 58.4 41847 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1315 100.0 81737 634 100.0 39890 681 100.0 41847 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS- FIRST DIMENSION WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 264 20.1 16403 123 19.4 7739 141 20.7 8664 2. NIXON 808 61.5 50230 394 62.1 24790 414 60.8 25440 3. OTHER 4 .3 249 2 .3 126 2 .3 123 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 205 15.6 12731 91 14.4 5726 114 16.7 7005 5. NO OPINION 34 2.6 2124 24 3.8 1510 10 1.5 614 Over #58-59 Oct. 20-26, 1972 (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 58-59 Sample % Proj Sample DR Proj Samp 02 Pro, (000) (000) (000) BASE-ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2231 100.0 138655 1064 100.0 66944 1167 100.0 71711 PLAN TO VOTE 1315 58,9 81737 634 59.6 39890 681 58.4 41847 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER--AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND AN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1315 100.0 81737 634 100.0 39890 681 100.0 41847 1. McGOVERN 291 22.1 18095 145 22.9 9123 146 21.4 8972 2. NIXON 773 58.8 48052 376 59.3 23657 397 58.3 24395 3. OTHER 4 .3 249 2 .3 126 2 .3 123 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 217 16.5 13467 90 14.2 5663 127 18.6 7804 5. NO OPINION 30 2.3 1874 21 3.3 1321 9 1.3 553 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample be Proj. Sample in Proj: Samp : Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2231 100.0 138655 1064 100.0 66944 1167 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 916 41.1 56918 430 40.4 27054 486 41.6 29864 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 916 100.0 56918 430 100.0 27054 486 100.0 29864 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 182 19.9 11336 104 24.2 6543 78 16.0 4793 2. NIXON 444 48.5 27618 228 53.0 14345 216 44.4 13273 3. OTHER 2 .2 126 2 .5 126 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 193 21.0 11951 62 14.4 3901 131 27.0 8050 5. NO OPINION 95 10.3 5887 34 7.9 2139 61 12.6 3748 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample 32 Proj Sample 32 Proj Sample 08 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2231 100.0 138655 1064 100.0 66944 1167 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 258 11.6 16032 121 11.4 7613 137 11.7 8419 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 258 100.0 16032 121 100.0 7613 137 100.0 8419 1. McGOVERN 104 40.3 6463 49 40.5 3083 55 40.1 3380 2. NIXON 143 55.4 8885 66 54.5 4153 77 56.2 4732 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 11 4.3 685 6 5.0 378 5 3.6 307 Over #59 Tuesday-Friday, Oct. 24-26, 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OCTOBER 24-26, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #59 Sample de Proj. Sample % Proj. Sample % Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 900 100.0 138655 426 100.0 66944 474 100.0 71711 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 179 19.9 27637 95 22.3 14929 84 17.7 12708 2. NIXON 485 53.9 74792 242 56.8 38029 243 51.3 36763 3. OTHER 6 .7 932 4 .9 629 2 .4 303 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 137 15.1 20950 38 8.9 5972 99 20.9 14978 5. NO OPINION 93 10.3 14345 47 11.0 7386 46 9.7 6959 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT 1. McGOVERN 168 18.7 25903 83 19.5 13043 85 17.9 12860 2. NIXON 505 56.2 77900 256 60.1 40229 249 52.5 37671 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 153 16.9 23445 51 12.0 8014 102 21.5 15431 5. NO OPINION 74 8.2 11406 36 8.5 5657 38 8.0 5749 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 63 7.0 9695 28 6.6 4400 35 7.4 5295 2. NIXON 673 74.9 103785 336 78.9 52801 337 71.1 50984 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 132 14.6 20216 42 9.9 6600 90 19.0 13616 5. NO OPINION 32 3.6 4958 20 4.7 3143 12 2.5 1815 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 524 58.2 80746 251 58.9 39444 273 57.6 41302 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 524 100.0 80746 251 100.0 39444 273 100.0 41302 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADUL FIRST DIMENSION---WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 102 19.5 15718 49 19.5 7700 53 19.4 8018 2. NIXON 299 57.1 46103 148 59.0 23258 151 55.3 22845 3. OTHER 4 .8 617 2 .8 314 2 .7 303 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 97 18.4 14886 36 14.3 5657 61 22.3 9229 5. NO OPINION 22 4.2 3422 16 6.4 2514 6 2.2 908 Over #59 Oct. 24-26,1972 (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #59 Sample % Proj Sample be Proj Sample DR Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE-ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 900 100.0 138655 426 100.0 66944 474 100.0 71711 PLAN TO VOTE 524 58.2 80746 251 58.9 39444 273 57.6 41302 *E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 524 100.0 80746 251 100.0 39444 273 100.0 41302 1. McGOVERN 105 20.1 16202 54 21.5 8486 51 18.7 7716 2. NIXON 289 55.2 44543 140 55.8 22001 149 54.6 22542 3. OTHER 4 .8 617 2 .8 314 2 .7 303 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 108 20.5 16579 41 16.3 6443 67 24.5 10136 5. NO OPINION 18 3.5 2805 14 5.6 2200 4 1.5 605 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample be Proj Sample = Proj: Sample : Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 900 100.0 138655 426 100.0 66944 474 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 376 41.8 57909 175 41.1 27500 201 42.4 30409 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 376 100.0 57909 175 100.0 27500 201 100.0 30409 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 79 21.1 12222 46 26.3 7229 33 16.4 4993 2. NIXON 188 50.1 28992 94 53.7 14771 94 46.8 14221 3. OTHER 2 .5 314 2 1.1 314 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 34 8.9 5155 2 1.1 314 32 15.9 4841 5. NO OPINION 73 19.4 11225 31 17.7 4871 42 20.9 6354 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj Sample : Proj. Sample 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 900 100.0 138655 426 100.0 66944 474 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 96 10.7 14788 45 10.6 7072 51 10.8 7716 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 96 100.0 14788 45 100.0 7072 51 100.0 7716 1. McGOVERN 38 39.6 5855 18 40.0 2829 20 39.2 3026 2. NIXON 54 56.2 8317 25 55.6 3929 29 56.9 4388 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 4 4.2 617 2 4.4 314 2 3.9 303 Over #42-59 Friday-Thursday, Aug. 25-Oct. 26, 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY --- AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 26, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-59 Sample % Proj Sample : Proj. Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 20703 100.0 138655 9938 100.0 66944 10765 100.0 71711 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 4346 21.0 29114 2181 21.9 14692 2165 20.1 14422 2. NIXON 12267 59.3 82176 6142 61.8 41374 6125 56.9 40802 3. OTHER 15 .1 101 8 .1 54 7 .1 47 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 3031 14.6 20281 1201 12.1 8090 1830 17.0 12191 5. NO OPINION 1044 5.0 6985 406 4.1 2735 638 5.9 4250 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 4158 20.1 27860 2154 21.7 14510 2004 18.6 13350 2. NIXON 11721 56.6 78519 5890 59.3 39676 5831 54.2 38843 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 3814 18.4 25519 1499 15.1 10098 2315 21.5 15421 5. NO OPINION 1010 4.9 6758 395 4.0 2661 615 5.7 4097 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 1554 7.5 10405 716 7.2 4823 838 7.8 5582 2. NIXON 15176 73.3 101689 7956 80.1 53593 7220 67.1 48096 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 3173 15.3 21210 971 9.8 6541 2202 20.5 14669 5. NO OPINION 800 3.9 5351 295 3.0 1987 505 4.7 3364 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 11925 57.6 79876 5853 58.9 39427 6072 56,4 40449 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 11925 100.0 79876 5853 100.0 39427 6072 100.0 40449 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADUL FIRST DIMENSION ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 2327 19.5 15590 1180 20.2 7949 1147 18.9 7641 2. NIXON 7413 62.2 49665 3784 64.7 25490 3629 59.8 24175 3. OTHER 6 .1 40 4 .1 27 2 .0 13 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 1843 15.4 12332 736 12.6 4958 1107 18.2 7374 5. NO OPINION 336 2.8 2250 149 2.5 1004 187 3.1 1246 #42-59 Aug. 25-Oct. 26, 1972 (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-59 Sample : Proj Samp 02 Proj Sample OR Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE-ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 20703 100.0 138655 9938 100.0 66944 10765 100.0 71711 PLAN TO VOTE 11925 57.6 79876 5853 58.9 39427 6072 56.4 40449 *E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELE PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 11925 100.0 79876 5853 100.0 39427 6072 100.0 40449 1. McGOVERN 2654 22.3 17783 1381 23.6 9303 1273 21.0 8480 2. NIXON 7121 59.7 47707 3620 61.8 24385 3501 57.7 23322 3. OTHER 6 .1 40 4 .1 27 2 .0 13 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 1917 16.1 12826 749 12.8 5045 1168 19.2 7781 5. NO OPINION 227 1.9 1520 99 1.7 667 128 2.1 853 SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-59 Sample : Proj Sample Proj: Sample 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 20703 100.0 138655 9938 100.0 66944 10765 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 8778 42.4 58779 4085 41.1 27517 4693 43.6 31262 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 8778 100.0 58779 4085 100.0 27517 4693 100.0 31262 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 1996 22.7 13370 986 24.1 6642 1010 21.5 6728 2. NIXON 4873 55.5 32638 2365 57.9 15931 2508 53.4 16707 3. OTHER 9 .1 60 4 .1 27 5 .1 33 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 1183 13.5 7915 468 11.5 3152 715 15.2 4763 5. NO OPINION 717 8.2 4796 262 6.4 1765 455 9.7 3031 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-59 Sample % Proj Sample : Proj Sample 04 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 20703 100.0 138655 9938 100.0 66944 10765 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 2418 11.7 16194 1157 11.6 7794 1261 11.7 8400 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER-- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 2418 100.0 16194 1157 100.0 7794 1261 100.0 8400 1. McGOVERN 897 37.1 6007 419 36.2 2823 478 37.9 3184 2. NIXON 1257 52.0 8420 618 53.4 4163 639 50.7 4257 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 264 10.9 1767 120 10.4 808 144 11.4 959 SMTWTFS SINDLINGER SINDLINGER'S DAILY SURVEY COMPANY Marketing NEWS 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Release #23 Opinion Research This Release Covers Nationwide Political Interviewing Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 All 1972 Sindlinger POLITICAL CONFIDENCE and POLITICAL TALK-ABOUT data from continuous and daily interviewing (from July 14 through Election Day) will be first released to the Sindlinger TV Spot Net- work with a 72-Hour First Exclusive for one TV station in each market, which now numbers 45 stations as listed at the end of this release. For this Spot TV Network, data are telephoned to each TV station each Tuesday and Friday to update the previous nationwide interviewing. RELEASE SCHEDULE: For Sindlinger's TV Spot Network---Release Upon Receipt. For Non-TV Network Media---The release datefor the following is AFTER 6 PM on October 30, 1972. MCGOVERN SCORES SLIGHT GAINS IN CAMPAIGN But Nixon Clings To Wide Lead And Remains Above 50-Million Votes President Nixon surrendered only a sliver of his whopping lead last weekend in the face of slight gains by Democratic presidential candidate George McGovern, reports Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania. The nationwide public opinion research organization, which gathers its findings through continuous daily telephone surveys of Americans from a random sample of all parts of the 48 contiguous states, said Nixon wound up only slightly behind his campaign highs in total votes and plurality which had been amassed the previous week. Nixon, in the October 20-23 period, remained above the 50-million mark in votes --a figure never reached by any prior presidential can- didate--and his lead held at nearly 38 points with just two weeks left until the November election, In the October 20-23 period, the standings of the two candidates among an esti- more - Sindlinger page 2 of 3 mated 82,406,000 persons who plan to vote November 7 (based on a sample of 1,331) were: Percent Number McGovern 23.5 19,373,000 Nixon 61.2 50,426,000 Undecided 15.3 12,601,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 37.7 31,048,000 In the week of October 13-19, the preferences among 81,602,000 estimated voters (based on a sample of 2,197) were: McGovern 22.0 17,923,000 Nixon 61.9 50,551,000 Undecided 16.1 13,127,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 39.9 32,628,000 Albert E. Sindlinger, president of Sindlinger & Company, noted that McGovern gained principally by cutting down the list of undecideds and hardly disturbed the ranks of those committed to Nixon. "McGovern must be expected to gain at this point, so late in the campaign, because incumbents always start to fall back long before this," Sindlinger said. "Most unusual, however, is that McGovern is not pulling much away from Nixon and, in fact, Nixon last week reached campaign peaks when he should have been giving up something. One thing bolstering the president, recent interviewing is showing, is Henry Kissinger's negotiating and the possibilities that peace in Vietnam may be closer than ever." McGovern also managed to regain some lost stature among 18 to 24 year old voters, Sindlinger reported. In the October 20-23 period, the standings among these first time voters was: Percent Number McGovern 40.7 6,875,000 Nixon 54.9 9,269,000 Undecided 4.3 730,000 more - Sindlinger --- page 3 of 3 Sindlinger & Company has been measuring the presidential campaign since July 14 through continuous daily telephone surveys, amounting to a total of over 34,000 different Americans in all parts of the 48 contiguous states. The presidential preference results are gathered as part of the organization's continuous studies to determine consumer confidence in the economy and how the consumer will affect the economy with his spending plans. Sindlinger & Company is the only public opinion research organization to conduct continuous telephone surveys of both the economy and politics, interrelate its data and release findings immediately. The sample for each weekly report is over 2,200. SINDLINGER DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS NATIONWIDE CONTINUOUS DAILY INTERVIEWING FIFTH DIMENSION Among Registered and Plan To Vote: Survey Nixon Sample Dates McGovern Nixon Undecided Spread Size Jul 14-26 44.5 52.1 3.4 7.6 4,103 Aug 11-17 25.6 52.8 21.6 27.2 2,255 Aug 25-31 22.9 55.7 21.4 32.8 2,228 Sep 1-7 24.2 57.8 18.0 33.6 2,240 Sep 8-14 21.4 59.6 19.0 38.2 2,191 Sep 15-21 22.4 61.7 15.9 39.3 2,246 Sep 22-28 21.5 62.1 16.4 40.6 2,286 Sep 29-Oct 5 21.0 60.5 18.5 39.5 2,311 Oct 6-12 22.8 59.4 17.8 36.6 2,770 Oct 13-19 22.0 61.9 16.1 39.9 2,197 Oct 20-23 23.5 61.2 15.3 37.7 1,331 The Sindlinger Political TV Network ALBURQUERQUE, N.M KOAT-TV 7 NEW HAVEN, CONN WTNH 8 ALTOONA, PA WFBG-TV 10 NEW ORLEANS, LA WDSU-TV 6 AMARILLO, TEX KGNC-TV 4 NEW YORK, N.Y. WNEW 5 BINGHAMTOM, N.Y. WNBF-TV 12 OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLA KWTV 9 BOSTON, MASS WNAC-TV 7 ORLANDO, FLA WFTV 9 BUFFALO, N.Y WKBW-TV 7 PHILADELPHIA, PA WPVI-TV 6 CHARLESTON, W. VA. WCHS-TV 8 PORTLAND, ORE KATU 2 CHICAGO, ILL WGN-TV 9 PORTSMOUTH, VA WAVY-TV 10 DENVER, COLO KOA-TV 4 PROVIDENCE, R.I. WPRI-TV 12 DULUTH, MINN KDAL-TV 10 ROANOKE, VA WSLS-TV 10 DURHAM, N.C. WTVD 11 SACRAMENTO, CALIF KCRA-TV 3 FLINT, MICH. WJRT-TV 12 SEATTLE, WA KOMO-TV 4 FORT WAYNE, IND WKJG-TV 35 SHREVEPORT, LA KTAL-TV 6 FRESNO, CALIF KFSN-TV 30 SPARTANBURG, S.C WSPA-TV 7 HOUSTON, TEX KTRK-TV 13 SPOKANE, WA KREM-TV 2 JACKSONVILLE, FLA WTLV 12 SPRINGFIELD, MO KYTV 3 KNOXVILLE, TENN WATE 6 TAMPA, FLA WFLA-TV 8 LINCOLN, NEB KOLN 10 TOLEDO, OHIO WTOL 11 MEMPHIS, TENN WMC-TV 5 TOPEKA, KAS WIBW-TV 13 MILWAUKEE, WIS WISN-TV 12 TULSA, OKLA KTEW 2 MINNEAPOLIS, MINN KSTP-TV 5 WASHINGTON, D.C. WMAL-TV 7 MOBILE, ALA WKRG-TV 5 WICHITA, KAN KTVH-TV 12 WILKES BARRE, PA WNEP-TV 16 30 SUMMARY OF CONTINUOUS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONWIDE INTERVIEWING THIS SUMMARIZI SINDLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Telephoned Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 Dates of Nationwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sat. Oct. Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Oct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. 9 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Base All Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 18 and older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,65 DIMENSION #1, WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26,91 Nixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 61.2 84,876 62.3 86,42 Undecided* 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25,30 DIMENSION #2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 Nixon 59.8 82,966 57.0 79,091 58.3 80,898 20.7 28,666 20.0 27,73 Undecided* 20.5 28,366 24.4 33,788 22.3 30,853 59.6 82,624 60.6 84,09 19.7 27,364 19.3 26,83 DIMENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.8 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11,02 Nixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105,40 Undecided* 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22,22 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83,34 DIMENSION #4. PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83,3 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 15,401 17.5 14,56 Nixon 64.5 51,471 61.6 49,987 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53,50 Undecided* 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15,27 DIMENSION #5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,269 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18,69 Nixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50,18 Undecided* 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14,40 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 +32.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31,41 DIMENSION #6 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,898 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55,3: SELF CHOICE McGovern 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12,3 Nixon 61.5 36,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32,9: Undecided* 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 18.1 10,0 DIMENSION #7 FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17,2 Base First Time Voters 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 17,2 McGovern 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 5,9 Nixon 54.7 9,198 52.1 8,872 52.0 8,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 9,5 Undecided* 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 1,7 *Includes No Opinion, No Interest in Politics and Have Not Yet Made A Choice. SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 THE TWO BI-WEEKLY REPORTS EACH WEEK to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday 54 56 55 57 58 59 1,726 1,284 1.044 913 1,331 900 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 Fri. Oct. 13 Tue. -Oct. 17 Fri. Oct. 20 Tues. Oct. 24 Monday Oct. 9 Thurs. Oct 12 Mon. Oct. 16 Thurs -Oct. 19 Mon. Oct. 23 Thurs. Oct. 26 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 - 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 27,648 20.7 28,702 19.9 27,613 19.9 27,637 61.8 85,665 60.0 83,218 58.3 80,781 56.9 78,960 57.5 79,712 53.9 74,792 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 30,225 22.4 30,994 22.5 31,330 26.1 36,227 20.3 28,191 19.0 26,358 19.7 27,329 19.8 27,480 18.0 25,022 18.7 25,903 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 78,405 55.0 76,223 57.0 79,078 56.2 77,900 2 19.5 27,093 21.5 29,836 23.8 32,920 25.2 34,952 24.9 34,555 25.1 34,851 4 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 6,047 5.7 7,902 4.5 6,246 7.0 9,695 75.7 104,969 79.4 80.1 111,040 80.8 111,990 79.2 109,784 110,154 74.9 103,785 16.1 22,316 14.8 20,970 16.1 15.4 21,360 20,619 15.1 22,255 18.2 25,174 5 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 59.5 82,461 59.4 82,406 58.2 80,746 5 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 100.0 80,995 100.0 82,461 100.0 82,406 100.0 80,746 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 16,418 20.5 20.4 16,856 16,871 19.5 15,718 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 54,322 63.5 52,393 64.3 53,027 57.1 46,103 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 10,256 15.2 16.0 13,213 12,508 23.4 18,925 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 18,036 21.5 17,768 23.5 19,378 20.1 16,202 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 50,974 60.6 49,961 61.2 50,426 55.2 44,543 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 11,984 17.9 14,732 15.3 12,601 24.8 20,001 +35.2 +29,260 +38.9 +32,447 +40.6 +32,938 +39.1 +32,193 37.7 31,048 +35.1 +28,341 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 100.0 57,660 100.0 56,194 100.0 56,249 100.0 57,909 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 11,231 21.1 11,846 19.1 10,743 21.1 12,222 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 26,459 47.3 26,568 47.4 26,686 50.1 28,992 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 19,970 31.6 17,781 33.5 18,822 28.8 16,694 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 17,169 20.6 17,010 20.5 16,874 18.3 14,788 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,136 100.0 17,169 100.0 17,010 100.0 16,874 100.0 14,788 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 6,479 39.3 6,683 40.7 6,875 39.6 5,855 54.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 54.7 9,394 54.5 9,265 54.9 9,269 56.2 8,317 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 7.5 1,296 6.2 1,065 4.3 730 4.2 617 SUMMARY OF CONTINUOUS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONWIDE INTERVIEWING SINDLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Survey Number 42 + 43 44 + 45 46 + 47 48 + 49 50 + 51 Samule Size 2,228 2,240 2,191 2,246 2,289 Dates of Nationwide FRI Aug 25 FRI -Sept 1 FRI Sept. 8 FRI -Sept.15 FRI -Sept. i Interviewing THURS-Aug 31 THURS-Sept 7 THURS Sept. 14 THURS-Sept.21 THURS-Sept. i Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Numb (000) (000) (000) (000) (000 Base All Adults 18 and older 100.0 136,329 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,6 DIMENSION #1. WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 22.4 30,533 21.9 30,391 20.3 28,176 22.4 31,062 20.9 28,9 Nixon 55.9 76,238 57.0 79,029 59.7 82,758 62.0 85,962 62.6 86,7 Undecided* 21.7 29,558 21.1 29,235 20.0 27,721 15.6 21,631 16.5 22,9 DIMENSION =2. WHO THINK OTHERS WANT McGovern 22.4 30,593 22.2 30,826 19.8 27,481 20.6 28,540 19.0 26,3 Nixon 50.7 69,142 55.7 77,172 56.0 77,691 57.4 79,549 58.9 81,7 Ungecided* 26.9 36,954 22.1 30,657 24 2 33,483 22.0 30,566 22.1 30,5 DIMENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 1321. 9.2 2.690 7.2 9,935 8.4 11,667 7.6 10,5 66.6 90,000 65.7 91,127 69.8 96,847 72.2 100,104 74.4 103,1 Urue "de 23.7 32,205 20.1 34,838 23.0 31,873 19.4 26,884 18.0 24,9 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.0 77,709 56.5 78,290 55.0 76,217 56.0 77,623 57.1 79,1 DIMENSION #4. PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Plan to Vote 100.0 77,709 100.0 78,290 100.0 76,217 100.0 77,623 100.0 79,1 McGovern 22.5 17,500 21.9 17,142 18.2 13,865 17.4 13,531 18.2 14,3 Nixon 56.4 43,807 59.5 46,590 62.8 47,827 63.9 49,609 64.4 50,9 Undecided* 21.1 16,402 18.6 14,558 19.0 14,525 18.7 14,483 17.4 13,8 DIMENSION #5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 02.9 17,805 24.2 18,936 21.4 16,342 22.4 17,360 21.5 16,9 Nixon 55.7 43,320 57.8 45,232 59.6 45,422 61.7 47,876 62.1 49,11 Undecided* 21.4 16,584 18.0 14,122 19.0 14,453 15.9 12,387 16.4 12,9! Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +02.8 +25,515 +33.6 +26,296 +38.2 +29,080 +39.3 +30,516 +40.6 +32,18 DIMENSION #6. DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,620 100.0 60,365 100.0 62,438 100.0 61,032 100.0 59,52 SELF CHOICE McGovern 22.2 13,034 21.9 13,249 20.4 12,725 28.7 17,532 24.4 14,53 Nixon 55.3 32,430 53.7 32,439 57.7 36,006 59.6 36,354 60.3 35,86 Undecided* 22.5 13,156 24.4 14,677 22.2 13,707 11.7 7,146 15.3 9,11 DIMENSION #7 FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 20.0 15,542 20.5 16,030 18.9 14,429 19.1 14,816 21.5 17,02 Base First Time Voters 100.0 15,542 100.0 16,030 100.0 14,429 100.0 14,816 100.0 17,02 McGovern 35.0 5,546 37.5 6,004 37.2 5,373 35.4 5,245 38.8 6,60 Nixon 38.2 5,935 46.3 7,426 53.6 7,728 55.4 8,214 54.5 9,27 Undecided* 26.8 4,061 16.2 2,600 9.2 1,328 9.2 1,356 6.7 1,14 *Includes No Opinion, No Interest in Politics and Have Not Yet Made A Choice. SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. OF SWARTHMORE, PENNSYLVANIA 19081 Over 52 + 53 54 + 55 56 + 57 58 + 59 2,311 2,770 2,197 2,231 2 FRI -Sept. 29 Fri. -Oct. 6 Fri. -Oct. 13 Fri. Oct. 20 THURS-Oct. 5 Thurs.-Oct. 12 Thurs.-Oct. 19 Thurs. Oct. 26 Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number ) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) 55 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 16 20.1 27,815 20.9 28,959 20.3 19.9 27,616 28,084 93 60.7 84,138 61.1 84,741 57.7 80,023 56.1 77,725 46 19.3 26,704 18.0 24,956 22.0 30,547 24.1 33.314 18.9 26,257 19.8 27,523 18.3 25,382 57.6 79,858 19.8 27,389 26 59.9 82,986 56.7 23.5 32,539 55.9 78,592 77,499 20.3 28,146 25.0 34,680 24.4 33,766 8.4 11,595 6.8 9,446 5.5 7,638 4.9 6,816 75.2 104,280 77.3 107,239 77.6 107,587 80.1 111,074 16.5 22,780 15.8 21,970 16.9 14.9 23,430 20,765 33 58.5 81,106 60.0 83,254 58.9 81,602 58.9 81,737 33 100.0 81,106 100.0 83,254 100.0 81,602 100.0 81,737 18.8 15,235 18.5 15,437 20.3 16,597 20.1 16,403 62.0 50,247 63.3 52,690 65.6 53,517 61.5 50,203 19.1 15,623 18.1 15,126 14.1 11,486 18.5 15,104 98 21.0 17,015 22.8 18,994 22.0 17,923 22.1 18,095 60.5 49,046 59.4 49,421 61.9 50,551 58.8 48,052 54 18.5 15,045 17.8 14,839 16.1 13,127 19.1 15,590 3 +39.5 +32,031 +36.6 +30,427 +39.9 +32,628 +36.7 +29,957 2 100.0 57,549 100.0 55,401 100.0 57,035 100.0 56,918 6 21.9 12,580 24.4 13,522 20.1 11,487 19.9 11,336 7 58.9 33,890 57.9 32,050 46.5 26,507 48.5 27,618 9 19.3 11,078 17.7 9,829 33.4 19,061 31.5 17,964 1 21.0 17,044 20.6 17,167 21.0 17,103 19.6 16,032 1 100.0 17,044 100.0 17,167 100.0 17,103 100.0 16,032 3 36.3 6,182 35.2 6,049 52.1 8,876 38.4 6,564 40.3 6,463 3 56.3 9,668 5 11.7 1,986 54.6 9,340 55.4 8,885 8.5 1,451 7.0 1,199 4.3 685 SMTWTFS SINDLINGER'S SATURDAY REPORT SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing TALK-ABOUT Opinion Research September 30, 1972 Issue TA - #10 Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 McGovern Continues To Make Poor Impression On U.S. Voters Democrat Attacked for Position Shifts, Poor Choice of Issues Senator George McGovern is emerging in the public's mind as a quixotic candidate with shaky credibility, a poor grasp of major issues and widespread unpopularity within his own party. At the same time, President Nixon is gaining the image of a businesslike chief executive who is doing a relatively good job on such key issues as the economy, foreign affairs, and the Vietnam War. Even many of those who dislike the president can't put their fingers on specifically why. These findings, which illustrate the difficulties McGovern is facing in his uphill battle to capture the presidency, were detected by Sindlinger & Company in its continuous daily telephone surveys. In asking consumers when they last talked about politics, Sindlinger is finding interest in the campaign remaining at a low ebb. THOSE WHO TALK ARE MOSTLY CRITICAL But those who were talking were mostly critical of McGovern. The biggest single grouping, 43.9 percent, or 19,053,000, had negative comments on the Democrats compared to just 4.6 percent, or 1,979,000 with praiseworthy commentary. On the other side, Nixon was drawing a positive reaction from 26.8 percent, or 11,615,000, while anti-Nixon comments came from just 4.4 percent, or 1,907,000. Chiefly arousing ire against McGovern, respondents said, were his campaign promises, his continuous shifting of positions, and his choice of issues for fighting the campaign. Of the total adult population of 138.6-million, 32.2 percent, or 44,691,000 persons, (continued over) 89 F THE WHITE HOUSE sind WASHINGTON ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 24, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN s SUBJECT: Sindlinger Poll Dick Howard called with the Sindlinger data: RN McG Un Spread S-Oct 20-23, '72 61.2 23.5 15.3 37.7 The drop from the previous result RN McG Un S-Oct 17-19, '72 60.6 21.5 17.9 39.1 is less than 2%. cut SMTWTFS SINDLINGER'S DAILY SURVEY SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing NEWS 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Release #19 Opinion Research This Release Covers Nationwide Political Interviewing Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 All 1972 Sindlinger POLITICAL CONFIDENCE and POLITICAL TALK-ABOUT data from continuous and daily interviewing (from July 14 through Election Day) will be first released to the Sindlinger TV Spot Net- work with a 72-Hour First Exclusive for one TV station in each market, which now numbers 45 stations as listed at the end of this release. For this Spot TV Network, data are telephoned to each TV station each Tuesday and Friday to update the previous nationwide interviewing. RELEASE SCHEDULE: For Sindlinger's TV Spot Network---Release Upon Receipt. For Non-TV Network Media---The release datefor the following is AFTER 6 PM on October 23, 1972. McGOVERN DROPS SHARPLY IN EAST Liberal Stronghold Leads National Decline For The Democrat A massive collapse of Senator George McGovern's strength in the populous and normally Democratic northeast has led the way to a nationwide weakening of his presidential campaign between early September and early October. Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, opinion research organization that conducts continuous daily telephone surveys on the campaign and reports its findings immediately, said between September 7 and October 9, President Mixon's lead in the East had more than doubled. In the earlier going, Nixon held an edge of 20.9 points which had been enlarged to 43 points by October 9. The East was not alone in adding to Nixon's strength, since the Midwest, South, and far West also delivered more strongly for the president in October. But, in the East, dominated by big indus- trial states which have generally voted Democratic the last three presidential elections, the gains were the most dramatic for the chief executive. On a national basis, the standings of the two candidates as of October 9 among those who planned to vote November 7 (based on a sample of 8,689) were: Percentage Number McGovern 22.5 17,799,000 Nixon 59.6 47,161,000 Undecided 17.9 14,152,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 37.1 29,362,000 more Sindlinger - page 2 of 10 As of September 7, the national standings among those who planned to vote (based on a sample of 15,231) were: Percentage Number McGovern 30.1 23,565,000 Nixon 53.4 41,742,000 Undecided 16.5 12,908,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 23.3 18,177,000 The presidential preferences among those who plan to vote is one of "seven dimensions," measured by Sindlinger & Company in gathering its findings on the presidential campaign. Among the other "dimensions" are the youth vote, the first choices for president among all adults, voters and non-voters, and predictions on who interviewee thinks will win and who he thinks his friends and family want to win. In this way, Sindlinger takes a complete reading from all angles measuring both the voting trends as well as the psychological and human factors affecting the campaign. Among those who planned to vote as of October 9, the president con- tinued to hold his widest margin in the South, but the East, with the big showing last month, pulled into second place not far behind. As a result, both regions were outdistancing the president's national showing in turning out for him. The Midwest, which also rolled up a substantially wider margin, and the West, where California alone held the president's gain to much more modest proportions, trailed the national Nixon margin. The regional breakdowns at both points included: East October 9 (based on a sample of 4,204) : Percentage Number McGovern 19.3 4,319,000 Nixon 62.3 13,937,000 Undecided 18.4 4,099,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 43.0 9,618,000 September 7 (based on a sample of 5,267) : McGovern 31.9 7,596,000 Nixon 52.8 12,562,000 Undecided 15.3 3,629,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 20.9 4,966,000 - more - Sindlinger page 3 of 10 South October 9 (based on a sample of 3,669) : Percentage Number McGovern 18.7 3,632,000 Nixon 66.4 12,868,000 Undecided 14.9 2,880,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 47.7 9,236,000 September 7 (based on a sample of 4,384) : McGovern 21.8 4,266,000 Nixon 59.4 11,644,000 Undecided 18.8 3,701,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 37.6 7,378,000 Midwest October 9 (based on a sample of 4,653) : Percentage Number McGovern 24.0 5,406,000 Nixon 56.2 12,679,000 Undecided 19.9 4,471,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 32.2 7,273,000 September 7 (based on a sample of 5,744) : McGovern 32.4 6,654,000 Nixon 50.0 10,273,000 Undecided 17.6 3,610,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 17.6 3,619,000 West October 9 (based on a sample of 2,705) : Percentage Number McGovern 30.0 4,443,000 Nixon 51.8 7,678,000 Undecided 16.4 2,437,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 21.8 3,235,000 September 7 (based on a sample of 3,065) : McGovern 35.3 5,047,000 Nixon 51.4 7,338,000 Undecided 13.3 1,894,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 16.1 2,291,000 more Sindlinger --- page 4 of 10 The big states, many of which either lean Democratic or have enough Democratic strength to normally make them key battlegrounds, are to a great degree responsible for the Nixon leads. A minor exception is the East where Nixon holds comfortable leads in such places as New York, Connecticut, and Pennsylvania; yet they are smaller margins than in the region as a whole. By contrast, in the Midwest and South most of the key states are delivering in almost the same portion as the entire region. In the East, the October 9 standings, by states, were: Connecticut Percentage Number McGovern 30.7 392,000 Nixon 55.0 701,000 Undecided 14.2 181,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 24.3 309,000 New York McGovern 37.7 2,657,000 Nixon 50.4 3,548,000 Undecided 11.9 837,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 12.7 891,000 Pennsylvania McGovern 22.1 1,091,000 Nixon 61.6 3,034,000 Undecided 16.3 803,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 39.5 1,943,000 In the South, the October 9 standings, by states, were: Alabama Percentage Number McGovern 15.1 200,000 Nixon 66.9 384,000 Undecided 17.8 236,000 Points and Number Nixon over McCovern 51.8 684,000 more Florida Sindlinger --- page 5 of 10 McGovern 21.7 756,000 Nixon 68.4 2,384,000 Undecided 10.0 346,000 Points and Number Nixon over McCovern 46.7 1,628,000 Texas McGovern 23.0 954,000 Nixon 67.1 2,786,000 Undecided 9.9 410,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 44.1 832,000 Virginia McGovern 22.6 366,000 Nixon 65.7 1,067,000 Undecided 11.7 190,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 43.1 701,000 In the Midwest, the October 9 standings, by states, were: Illinois Percentage Number McGovern 28.9 1,318,000 Nixon 57.8 2,640,000 Undecided 13.3 609,000 Points and Number Nixon over NcGovern 28.9 1,322,000 Indiana McGovern 31.7 629,000 Nixon 57.3 1,137,000 Undecided 11.0 218,000 Points and Number Nixon over 'IcGovern 25.6 508,000 Michigan McGovern 25.7 940,000 Nixon 61.4 2,249,000 Undecided 13.0 474,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 35.7 1,309,000 Ohio McGovern 26.7 1,346,000 Nixon 55.3 2,786,000 Undecided 18.0 903,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 28.6 1,440,000 more Sindlinger --- page 6 of 10 The regional and state breakdown in the East, Midwest, and South shows some unusual patterns. In general, McGovern is running better in the key states than in the region as a whole by drawing larger percentages of the vote within the big states. At the same time, outside of the East, Nixon is drawing roughly the same percentage of the vote in the key states as in the region as a whole, while his pluralities in the key states are substantially to slightly below the regionwide norms. One reason for this is that the number of undecideds in the key states trails the rate of uncertainty within their regions. A most unusual illustration of. this pattern is California and the West. This is the state where McGovern is doing the best among all big states and yet the president's edge in his native state is just a shade ahead of the region as a whole where McGovern is faring quite poorly. The October 9 standings in California were: Percentage Number McGovern 38.4 3,578,000 Nixon 54.9 5,120,000 Undecided 6.7 619,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 16.5 1,542,000 For the other ten states in the West, the standings, for October 9, were: Percentage Number McGovern 15.7 865,000 Nixon 46.5 2,558,000 Undecided 37.8 2,082,000 A principal reason for the Nixon gains was the almost complete turnaround in the youth vote. Once the unchallenged province, the 18-24 category gave Nixon a majority in each of the four regions by October 9. A month before, McGovern led in every region but the Midwest. Probably the most pronounced turnaround was in the East. On Octo- ber 9, the standings among the youth in this region were: Percentage Number McGovern 36.5 1,711,000 Nixon 53.6 2,514,000 Undecided 9.9 464,000 On September 7, the breakdown among youth in the East was: McGovern 49.8 2,635,000 Nixon 35.3 1,870,000 Undecided 14.9 791,000 - more - Sindlinger ... page 7 of 10 McGovern has seen an even wider lead among youth evaporate in the West. The October 9 breakdown in the West, among youth, was: McGovern 44.4 1,541,000 Nixon 45.4 1,577,000 Undecided 10.3 356,000 On September 7, McGovern led this way: McGovern 53.2 1,499,000 Nixon 31.5 887,000 Undecided 15.3 433,000 Yet, McGovern's strength remained firm among the youth in Cali- fornia and apparently helped keep him in the race in the nation's most populous state. The Democrat led among first time voters this way: McGovern 54.2 1,312,000 Nixon 43.2 1,047,000 Undecided 2.5 64,000 But New York was a near wipe out for McGovern among the youth. On October 9, Nixon led in the second largest state, which once was considered to have a plethora of young votes for McGovern, in this manner: McGovern 40.6 546,000 Nixon 51.3 691,000 Undecided 8.1 109,000 In every one of the other key states, Nixon has taken a sizeable lead among the first time voters. Although McGovern's deepest actual losses were in the East, the heaviest psychological blows to his status were delivered in the West. This is determined by asking the interviewee who he or she thinks will win the election. As of October 9 the forecasts among all 23,046,000 adults in the West were: Percentage Number McGovern 9.4 2,321,000 Nixon 66.0 16,249,000 Undecided 18.9 4,657,000 - more - Sindlinger --- page 8.of 10 On September 7, the answers to the same question among Westerners were: McGovern 29.5 6,804,000 Nixon 46.1 10,618,000 Undecided 24.4 5,624,000 In California, only 10.2 percent believe McGovern can win, according to the latest reading; while in New York only 6.7 percent and in Pennsylvania just 5.7 percent have any confidence in a McGovern triumph. Florida, with only 4 percent predicting a McGovern victory, is low among the key states. On a regional basis, McGovern has slipped in this category in the East, Midwest, and South, as well as the West. Another question asked by Sindlinger of all interviewees is their first choice for president, whether they plan to vote or not. The query is designed to take a general reading of the public including all 138,655,000 American adults. An unusual finding here is that while McGovern has slipped in the South and Midwest, he has just about held his own in the West and held fast in the South, although President Nixon added even greater strength in the latter area to widen the bulge. The October 9 picture in the West was: Percentage Number McGovern 30.0 7,397,000 Nixon 47.8 11,778,000 Undecided 16.2 3,982,000 On September 7 the standings were: McGovern 31.3 7,217,000 Nixon 46.2 10,644,000 Undecided 22.5 5,185,000 The October 9 picture in the South was: Percentage Number McGovern 17.3 5,782,000 Nixon 68.9 22,993,000 Undecided 9.4 3,129,000 On September 7 it was: McGovern 17.3 5,692,000 Nixon 58.9 19,414,000 Undecided 23.8 7,828,000 more - Sindlinger --- page 9 of 10 McGovern also suffered a sharp setback in the questioning of the interviewees on who they thought their friends and relatives wanted to be elected. This is a question designed to measure the influ- ences of closely allied people on each other. On September 7, Nixon and McGovern were running close in the West, but by October 9 the standings looked like this: Percentage Number McGovern 29.8 7,333,000 Nixon 44.2 10,897,000 Undecided 20.0 4,935,000 On September 7 this was the pattern: McGovern 36.3 8,359,000 Nixon 39.2 9,029,000 Undecided 24.5 5,658,000 In the East, McGovern managed a slight increase to 18.7 percent from 18.3 percent, but Nixon was climbing to 57.5 percent from 54 percent. Sindlinger also asks interviewees who their first choice for presi- dent is as distinguished from who they will vote for. This is to test how many people will not break party ranks even though they may silently prefer the candidate of the opposition. In this category, McGovern's heaviest losses have been in the East and Midwest. He went to 18.2 percent from 31.9 percent in the East with Nixon rising to 61.7 percent from 54.5 percent. In the Mid- west, it was McGovern to 16.8 percent from 32.4 percent and Nixon to 59.5 percent from 50.0 percent. McGovern managed to moderate the loss in the West, falling to 26.5 percent from 35.3 percent while Nixon was inching ahead to 55.2 percent from 54.2 percent. In another dimension, Sindlinger breaks out the preference of those adults who have determined not to vote November 7. Although it's not worth much, unless these people register and vote, Nixon for the most part has held the preference among this group, and he, by and large, increased his lead between early September and early October. An exception was in the West where McGovern cut the margin by adding more strength than Nixon. The October 9 showing was: Percentage Number McGovern 34.0 3,396,000 Nixon 37.3 3,665,000 Undecided 17.5 1,717,000 more - Sindlinger page 10 of 10 On September 7, the answers to the same question in the West were: McGovern 25.1 2,199,000 Nixon 33.1 2,902,000 Undecided 41.8 3,666,000 Another irony was in the East where McGovern slipped a bit but Nixon soared. The comparison: October 9: McGovern 20.6 3,280,000 Nixon 63.5 10,109,000 Undecided 7.2 1,143,000 September 7: McGovern 22.6 3,573,000 Nixon 43.5 6,862,000 Undecided 33.9 5,354,000 The Sindlinger Political TV Network ALBURQUERQUE, N.M. KOAT-TV 7 NEW HAVEN, CONN WTNH 8 ALTOONA, PA. WFBG-TV 10 NEW ORLEANS, LA WDSU-TV 6 AMARILLO, TEX. KGNC-TV 4 NEW YORK, N.Y. WNEW 5 BINGHAMTOM, N.Y. WNBF-TV 12 OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLA KWTV 9 BOSTON, MASS WNAC-TV 7 ORLANDO, FLA WFTV 9 BUFFALO, N.Y WKBW-TV 7 PHILADELPHIA, PA WPVI-TV 6 CHARLESTON, W. VA WCHS-TV 8 PORTLAND, ORE KATU 2 CHICAGO, ILL WGN-TV 9 PORTSMOUTH, VA WAVY-TV 10 DENVER, COLO KOA-TV 4 PROVIDENCE, R.I. WPRI-TV 12 DULUTH, MINN KDAL-TV 10 ROANOKE, VA WSLS-TV 10 DURHAM, N.C. WTVD 11 SACRAMENTO, CALIF KCRA-TV 3 FLINT, MICH. WJRT-TV 12 SEATTLE, WA KOMO-TV 4 FORT WAYNE, IND. WKJG-TV 35 SHREVEPORT LA KTAL-TV 6 FRESNO, CALIF KFSN-TV 30 SPARTANBURG, S.C. WSPA-TV 7 HOUSTON, TEX KTRK-TV 13 SPOKANE, WA KREM-TV 2 JACKSONVILLE, FLA. WTLV 12 SPRINGFIELD, MO KYTV 3 KNOXVILLE, TENN WATE 6 TAMPA, FLA WFLA-TV 8 LINCOLN, NEB KOLN 10 TOLEDO, OHIO WTOL 11 MEMPHIS, TENN WMC-TV 5 TOPEKA, KAS WIBW-TV 13 MILWAUKEE, WIS WISN-TV 12 TULSA, OKLA KTEW 2 MINNEAPOLIS, MINN KSTP-TV 5 WASHINGTON, D.C. WMAL-TV 7 MOBILE, ALA WKRG-TV 5 WICHITA, KAN KTVH-TV 12 WILKES BARRE, PA WNEP-TV 16 - 30 SMTWTFS SINDLINGER SINDLINGER'S DAILY SURVEY COMPANY Marketing & NEWS 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Release #17 Opinion Research This Release Covers Nationwide Political Interviewing Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 All 1972 Sindlinger POLITICAL CONFIDENCE and POLITICAL TALK-ABOUT data from continuous and daily interviewing (from July 14 through Election Day) will be first released to the Sindlinger TV Spot Net- work with a 72-Hour First Exclusive for one TV station in each market, which now numbers 45 stations as listed at the end of this release. For this Spot TV Network, data are telephoned to each TV station each Tuesday and Friday to update the previous nationwide interviewing. RELEASE SCHEDULE: For Sindlinger's TV Spot Network---Release Upon Receipt. For Non-TV Network Media--The release date for the following is AFTER 6 PM on October 20, 1972. McGOVERN PICKUP DIES OUT Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances And Peace Speech Senator George McGovern's presidential campaign took a double-barreled blow last week after he made campaign appearances in Missouri with Senator Thomas J. Eagleton and restated his Vietnam peace program in a national television address. Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, reported an adverse voter reaction to the two events which set McGovern back in presidential preference findings and interrupted a brief period of success in shaving President Nixon's wide lead. The nationwide public opinion research organization which conducts its surveys through continuous daily telephone calls to all parts of the United States and reports its findings immediately, detected the new McGovern slippage for the October 10-12 period. Among the estimated 83,393,000 who plan to vote November 7, the standings for this period (based on a sample of 1,044) were: Percentage Number McGovern 19.9 16,566,000 Nixon 58.8 49,013,000 Undecided 21.3 17,814,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 38.9 32,447,000 more Sindlinger --- page 2 of 3 For the previous survey period, from October 6-9, the standings (based on a sample of 1,726) were: Percentage Number McGovern 24.6 20,455,000 Nixon 59.8 49,715,000 Undecided 15.7 13,006,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 35.2 29,260,000 Albert E. Sindlinger, Sindlinger & Company president, said the new McGovern decline began to set in after his joint appearances with former running mate Eagleton on October 7 and accelerated after the restatement of the peace program October 9. "The appearances with Eagleton aroused a lot of old resentments and hurt McGovern," says Sindlinger. "His position was hurt even more by the reaction to the peace program which called for a quick pullout from Vietnam without providing for the prisoners still held in the North." Another unusual facet of the McGovern loss, said Sindlinger, is that rather than help Nixon his defectors have generated a unique increase in the number of undecideds at this late stage of the campaign. Nixon, he noted, actually has slipped a bit on his own which is not unusual for an incumbent only four weeks from Election Day. Nevertheless, the October 6-9 showing by McGovern represented the continuation of a mid-October long pickup and helped him show a gain for the full week of October 6-12. more - Sindlinger page 3 of 3 The standings for the week (hased on a sample of 2,770) were: Percentage Number McGovern 22.8 18,994,000 Nixon 59.4 49,421,000 Undecided 17.8 14,839,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 36.6 30,427,000 In the September 29-October 5 period, the standings were: Percentage Number McGovern 21.0 17,015,000 Nixon 60.5 49,046,000 Undecided 18.5 15,045,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 39.5 32,031,000 Sindlinger & Company, which is the only public opinion research organization to conduct daily telephone surveys and immediately report findings, gathers data through some 2,200 calls a week to all part of the contiguous United States. It conducts economic and political surveys at the same time and is the only organization that interrelates its data. The Sindlinger Political TV Network ALBURQUERQUE, N.M. KOAT-TV 7 NEW HAVEN, CONN WTNH 8 ALTOONA, PA. WFBG-TV 10 NEW ORLEANS, LA WDSU-TV 6 AMARILLO, TEX. KGNC-TV 4 NEW YORK, N.Y. WNEW 5 BINGHAMTOM, N.Y. WNBF-TV 12 OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLA KWTV 9 BOSTON, MASS WNAC-TV 7 ORLANDO, FLA WFTV 9 BUFFALO, N.Y WKBW-TV 7 PHILADELPHIA, PA WPVI-TV 6 CHARLESTON, W. VA. WCHS-TV 8 PORTLAND, ORE KATU 2 CHICAGO, ILL WGN-TV 9 PORTSMOUTH, VA WAVY-TV 10 DENVER, COLO KOA-TV 4 PROVIDENCE, R.I. WPRI-TV 12 DULUTH, MINN KDAL-TV 10 ROANOKE, VA WSLS-TV 10 DURHAM, N.C. WTVD 11 SACRAMENTO, CALIF KCRA-TV 3 FLINT, MICH. WJRT-TV 12 SEATTLE, WA KOMO-TV 4 FORT WAYNE, IND WKJG-TV 35 SHREVEPORT, LA KTAL-TV 6 FRESNO, CALIF KFSN-TV 30 SPARTANBURG, S.C. WSPA-TV 7 HOUSTON, TEX KTRK-TV 13 SPOKANE, WA KREM-TV 2 JACKSONVILLE, FLA. WTLV 12 SPRINGFIELD, MO KYTV 3 KNOXVILLE, TENN WATE 6 TAMPA, FLA WFLA-TV 8 LINCOLN, NEB KOLN 10 TOLEDO, OHIO WTOL 11 MEMPHIS, TENN WMC-TV 5 TOPEKA, KAS WIBW-TV 13 MILWAUKEE, WIS WISN-TV 12 TULSA, OKLA KTEW 2 MINNEAPOLIS, MINN KSTP-TV 5 WASHINGTON, D.C. WMAL-TV 7 MOBILE, ALA WKRG-TV 5 WICHITA, KAN KTVH-TV 12 WILKES BARRE, PA WNEP-TV 16 - 30 SMTWTFS SINDLINGER SINDLINGER'S DAILY SURVEY COMPANY Marketing NEWS 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Release #16 Opinion Research This Release Covers Nationwide Political Interviewing Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 All 1972 Sindlinger POLITICAL CONFIDENCE and POLITICAL TALK-ABOUT data from continuous and daily interviewing (from July 14 through Election Day) will be first released to the Sindlinger TV Spot Net- work with a 72-Hour First Exclusive for one TV station in each market, which now numbers 45 stations as listed at the end of this release. For this Spot TV Network, data are telephoned to each TV station each Tuesday and Friday to update the previous nationwide interviewing. RELEASE SCHEDULE: For Sindlinger's TV Spot Network---Release Upon Receipt. For Non-TV Network Media---The release date for the following is AFTER 6 PM on October 20, 1972. NIXON PILING UP HUGE LEAD IN EAST Normally Democratic Area Doubles Margins for President President Nixon has scored a massive breakthrough in the populous and normally Democratic Northeastern United States the nast month by doubling his majorities in that region and seriously damaging the presidential hones of Democratic candidate George McGovern. The East, reports Sindlinger ii Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, was just one of the four principal regions in which the president nicked up strength, but his gains there were the most dramatic on a sectional basis between early September and early October. There also was a substantial gain for Nixon in the Midwest and more moderate sized additions to the margins in the West and South. The South still gives the president his widest margin. - more Sindlinger --- page 2 of 4 As of October 9, the preference among those who planned to vote November 7 in the East was: Percentage Number McGovern 19.3 4,319,000 Nixon 62.3 13,937,000 Undecided 16.3 3,645,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 43.0 9,618,000 The September 7 standings in the East were: Percentage Number McGovern 31.9 7,596,000 Nixon 52.8 12,562,000 Undecided 15.3 3,629,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 20.9 4,966,000 Other regional standings include: Midwest October 9: Percentage Number McGovern 24.0 5,406,000 Nixon 56.2 12,679,000 Undecided 19.9 4,471,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 32.2 7,273,000 September 7: Percentage Number McGovern 32.4 6,654,000 Nixon 50.0 10,273,000 Undecided 17.6 3,610,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 17.6 3,619,000 more - Sindlinger --- page 3 of 4 South October 9: Percentage Number McGovern 18.7 3,632,000 Nixon 66.4 12,868,000 Undecided 14.9 2,880,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 47.7 9,236,000 September 7: Percentage Number McGovern 21.8 4,266,000 Nixon 59.4 11,644,000 Undecided 18.8 3,701,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 37.6 7,378,000 West October 9: Percentage Number McGovern 30.0 4,443,000 Nixon 51.8 7,678,000 Undecided 16.4 2,437,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 21.8 3,235,000 September 7: Percentage Number McGovern 35.3 5,047,000 Nixon 51.4 7,338,000 Undecided 13.3 1,894,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 16.1 2,291,000 Albert E. Sindlinger, president of Sindlinger & Company, said Nixon has been able to do so well in the East by adding to traditionally Republican areas comfortable leads in such states as New York, Connecticut, and Pennsylvania which have gone more Sindlinger --- page 4 of 4 Democratic the last three presidential elections. Nixon leads 55 percent to 30.7 percent in Connecticut and 50.4 percent to 37.7 percent in New York, hut Pennsylvania is the president's banner state, giving him 61.6 percent to 22.1 percent for McGovern. California, almost single-handedly, is keeping McGovern within striking distance in the West, although Nixon still holds a huge lead. McGovern fares the best of any big states in California with Nixon leading by 54.9 percent to 38.4 percent. However, it is the youth vote which is forming the backbone of McGovern's strength in the nation's most populous state. The Democrat leads in the 18-24 category in California by 54.2 percent to 43.2 percent. Thus California's youth bloc is the only one among the nation's big states still giving McGovern an edge in a preserve that once was thought to be his without challenge. Sindlinger & Company gathers regional data in the course of its continous daily telephone surveys, amounting to over 2,200 calls a week among persons in all parts of the 48 contiguous states. It is the only public opinion research organization to collect economic and political data simultaneously, interrelate the findings, and release them immediately. The Sindlinger Political TV Network, ALBURQUERQUE, N.M. KOAT-TV 7 NEW HAVEN, CONN WTNH 8 ALTOONA, PA. WFBG-TV 10 NEW ORLEANS, LA WDSU-TV 6 AMARILLO, TEX. KGNC-TV 4 NEW YORK, N.Y. WNEW 5 BINGHAMTOM, N.Y WNBF-TV 12 OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLA KWTV 9 BOSTON, MASS WNAC-TV 7 ORLANDO, FLA WFTV 9 BUFFALO, N.Y WKBW-TV 7 PHILADELPHIA, PA WPVI-TV 6 CHARLESTON, W. VA. WCHS-TV 8 PORTLAND, ORE KATU 2 CHICAGO, ILL WGN-TV 9 PORTSMOUTH, VA WAVY-TV 10 DENVER, COLO KOA-TV 4 PROVIDENCE, R.I. WPRI-TV 12 DULUTH, MINN KDAL-TV 10 ROANOKE, VA WSLS-TV 10 DURHAM, N.C. WTVD 11 SACRAMENTO, CALIF KCRA-TV 3 FLINT, MICH. WJRT-TV 12 SEATTLE, WA KOMO-TV 4 FORT WAYNE, IND WKJG-TV 35 SHREVEPORT, LA KTAL-TV 6 FRESNO, CALIF KFSN-TV 30 SPARTANBURG, S.C. WSPA-TV 7 HOUSTON, TEX KTRK-TV 13 SPOKANE, WA KREM-TV 2 JACKSONVILLE, FLA. WTLV 12 SPRINGFIELD, MO KYTV 3 KNOXVILLE, TENN WATE 6 TAMPA, FLA WFLA-TV 8 LINCOLN, NEB KOLN 10 TOLEDO, OHIO WTOL 11 MEMPHIS, TENN WMC-TV 5 TOPEKA, KAS WIBW-TV 13 MILWAUKEE, WIS WISN-TV 12 TULSA, OKLA KTEW 2 MINNEAPOLIS, MINN KSTP-TV 5 WASHINGTON, D.C WMAL-TV 7 MOBILE, ALA WKRG-TV 5 WICHITA, KAN KTVH-TV 12 WILKES BARRE, PA WNEP-TV 16 - 30 - SMTWTFS SINDLINGER SINDLINGER'S DAILY SURVEY COMPANY Marketing & NEWS 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Release #17 Opinion Research This Release Covers Nationwide Political Interviewing Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 All 1972 Sindlinger POLITICAL CONFIDENCE and POLITICAL TALK-ABOUT data from continuous and daily interviewing (from July 14 through Election Day) will be first released to the Sindlinger TV Spot Net- work with a 72-Hour First Exclusive for one TV station in each market, which now numbers 45 stations as listed at the end of this release. For this Spot TV Network, data are telephoned to each TV station each Tuesday and Friday to update the previous nationwide interviewing. RELEASE SCHEDULE: For Sindlinger's TV Spot Network---Release Upon Receipt. For Non-TV Network Media--The release date for the following is AFTER 6 PM on October 20, 1972. McGOVERN PICKUP DIES OUT Democrat Slips Back After Eagleton Appearances And Peace Speech Senator George McGovern's presidential campaign took a double-barreled blow last week after he made campaign appearances in Missouri with Senator Thomas J. Eagleton and restated his Vietnam peace program in a national television address. Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, reported an adverse voter reaction to the two events which set McGovern back in presidential preference findings and interrupted a brief period of success in shaving President Nixon's wide lead. The nationwide public opinion research organization which conducts its surveys through continuous daily telephone calls to all parts of the United States and reports its findings immediately, detected the new McGovern slippage for the October 10-12 period. Among the estimated 83,393,000 who plan to vote November 7, the standings for this period (based on a sample of 1,044) were: Percentage Number McGovern 19.9 16,566,000 Nixon 58.8 49,013,000 Undecided 21.3 17,814,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 38.9 32,447,000 more Sindlinger --- page 2 of 3 For the previous survey period, from October 6-9, the standings (based on a sample of 1,726) were: Percentage Number McGovern 24.6 20,455,000 Nixon 59.8 49,715,000 Undecided 15.7 13,006,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 35.2 29,260,000 Albert E. Sindlinger, Sindlinger & Company president, said the new McGovern decline began to set in after his joint appearances with former running mate Eagleton on October 7 and accelerated after the restatement of the peace program October 9. "The appearances with Eagleton aroused a lot of old resentments and hurt McGovern," says Sindlinger. "His position was hurt even more by the reaction to the peace program which called for a quick pullout from Vietnam without providing for the prisoners still held in the North." Another unusual facet of the McGovern loss, said Sindlinger, is that rather than help Nixon his defectors have generated a unique increase in the number of undecideds at this late stage of the campaign. Nixon, he noted, actually has slipped a bit on his own which is not unusual for an incumbent only four weeks from Election Day. Nevertheless, the October 6-9 showing by McGovern represented the continuation of a mid-October long pickup and helped him show a gain for the full week of October 6-12. more - Sindlinger page 3 of 3 The standings for the week (hased on a sample of 2,770) were: Percentage Number McGovern 22.8 18,994,000 Nixon 59.4 49,421,000 Undecided 17.8 14,839,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 36.6 30,427,000 In the September 29-October 5 period, the standings were: Percentage Number McGovern 21.0 17,015,000 Nixon 60.5 49,046,000 Undecided 18.5 15,045,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 39.5 32,031,000 Sindlinger & Company, which is the only public opinion research organization to conduct daily telephone surveys and immediately report findings, gathers data through some 2,200 calls a week to all part of the contiguous United States. It conducts economic and political surveys at the same time and is the only organization that interrelates its data. The Sindlinger Political TV Network ALBURQUERQUE, N.M. KOAT-TV 7 NEW HAVEN, CONN WTNH 8 ALTOONA, PA WFBG-TV 10 NEW ORLEANS, LA WDSU-TV 6 AMARILLO, TEX. KGNC-TV 4 NEW YORK, N.Y. WNEW 5 BINGHAMTOM, N.Y. WNBF-TV 12 OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLA KWTV 9 BOSTON, MASS WNAC-TV 7 ORLANDO, FLA WFTV 9 BUFFALO, N.Y WKBW-TV 7 PHILADELPHIA, PA WPVI-TV 6 CHARLESTON, W. VA. WCHS-TV 8 PORTLAND, ORE KATU 2 CHICAGO, ILL WGN-TV 9 PORTSMOUTH, VA WAVY-TV 10 DENVER, COLO KOA-TV 4 PROVIDENCE, R.I WPRI-TV 12 DULUTH, MINN KDAL-TV 10 ROANOKE, VA WSLS-TV 10 DURHAM, N.C. WTVD 11 SACRAMENTO, CALIF KCRA-TV 3 FLINT, MICH. WJRT-TV 12 SEATTLE, WA KOMO-TV 4 FORT WAYNE, IND. WKJG-TV 35 SHREVEPORT, LA KTAL-TV 6 FRESNO, CALIF KFSN-TV 30 SPARTANBURG, S.C WSPA-TV 7 HOUSTON, TEX KTRK-TV 13 SPOKANE, WA KREM-TV 2 JACKSONVILLE, FLA WTLV 12 SPRINGFIELD, MO KYTV 3 KNOXVILLE, TENN. WATE 6 TAMPA, FLA WFLA-TV 8 LINCOLN, NEB KOLN 10 TOLEDO, OHIO WTOL 11 MEMPHIS, TENN WMC-TV 5 TOPEKA, KAS WIBW-TV 13 MILWAUKEE, WIS WISN-TV 12 TULSA, OKLA KTEW 2 MINNEAPOLIS, MINN KSTP-TV 5 WASHINGTON, D.C. WMAL-TV 7 MOBILE, ALA WKRG-TV 5 WICHITA, KAN KTVH-TV 12 WILKES BARRE, PA WNEP-TV 16 30 ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL October 24, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Sindlinger Poll Dick Howard called with the Sindlinger data: RN McG Un S-Oct 20-23, '72 61.2 23.5 15.3 The drop from the previous result RN McG Un S-Oct 17-19, '72 60.6 21.5 17.9 is less than 2%. GS/jb SMTWTES SINDLINGER'S SATURDAY REPORT SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Opsmon October 7, 1972 SPC #25 Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 How Political Confidence Between Easy-To-Reach Adults Differs From The Hard-To-Reach see page 424 Number of Undecided Voters is Growing Increase Helps McGovern Trim President's Wide Lead Senator George McGovern appears to be benefiting somewhat from a surprising increase in the number of undecided voters plus a long-expected rise in the number of persons planning to vote with 35 days left in the presidential election. The net result, says Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, is that McGovern managed to chip away at the edge of President Nixon's huge lead in the week of September 29-October 5. However, the public opinion research firm's continuous daily telephone surveys, which amount to more than 2,200 calls a week, still produced the president's second widest weekly margin in terms of both percentage and plurality. In This Issue 7 Dimension Political Confidence Survey #45-53. Total Comparison Trend page 426 Cumulative. (13,505 Interviews) August 25-October 5 " 428 First Time Voters vs. Former Voters = 430 Survey #52. September 29-October 2. .by Sex = 432 Survey #53. October 3-5. by Sex " 434 Survey #52-#53. September 29-October 5. by Sex 11 436 Survey #42-#53. Cumulative, by Sex August 25-October 5 = 438 421 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON L Gordon 8 F4, sind Dick- SMTWTF SINDLINGER'S SATURDAY REPORT CINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Opinion September 30, 1972 SPC #24 Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 1972 Campaign Analysis - 5 Weeks Prior From A Horse Race To A Rout In a little more than two months, the 1972 presidential election has changed from a potentially tight horse race into a probable rout. Where Democrat George McGovern was, when the accepted his party's nomination, a sturdy challenger with an excellent chance to defeat President Nixon, he now is a distant underdog struggling to muster at least a respectable vote. Where Nixon was at one time vulnerable, he now has moved out to an overwhelming lead and is gathering renewed strength at a time when incumbents historically have lost ground. The key factor in the reversal of the McGovern fortunes was the Eagleton affair in late July and early August which chopped McGovern's strength almost in half. Rather than regroup and recover lost ground, McGovern has, until the most recent days, seen his vote generally erode even further. DAILY STUDIES NOW TOTAL OVER 25,000 Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, the nation's only public opinion research firm to conduct daily telephone surveys of Americans in the 48 contiguous states and report its findings immediately, has traced this trend day-by-day since July 14, or just after McGovern was nominated. By September 28 a total of 25,186 have been interviewed. IT WAS TIGHT IN JULY "During July, it was shaping up as a very tight race," says Albert E. Sindlinger, president of the organization which has been surveying presidential elections with extraordinarily accurate results since 1956. (continued over) See back page for Table of Contents 401 TELEPHONE REPORT SINDLINGER & COMPANY TELEVISION NEWS SERVICE # 10/6-10/12 A. First Dimension First Choice For President MCGOVERN 1 20.9 NIXON 2 61.1 OTHER 3 18.0 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 4 60.0 E. Fifth Dimension Registered and Plan to Vote MCGOVERN 5 22.8 NIXON 6 59.4 OTHER 7 17.8 F. First Time Voters Registered and Plan to Vote 8 20.6 MCGOVERN 9 35.2 NIXON 10 56.3 OTHER 11 85 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #54-55 Friday-Thursday, Oct. 6-12, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OCTOBER 6-12, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #54 & 55 Sample as Proj. Sample : Proj Sample Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2770 100.0 138655 1313 100.0 66944 1457 100.0 71711 A. FIRST DIM NSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVtRN 578 20.9 28959 289 22.0 14735 289 19.8 14224 2. NIXON 1692 61.1 84741 828 63.1 42216 864 59.3 42525 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 421 15.2 21025 172 13.1 8770 249 17.1 12255 5. NO OPINION 79 2.8 3931 24 1.8 1224 55 3.8 2707 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 549 19.8 27523 284 21.6 14480 265 18.2 13043 2. NIXON 1657 59.9 82986 810 61.7 41298 847 58.1 41688 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 482 17.4 24064 193 14.7 9840 289 19.8 14224 5, NO OPINION 82 2.9 4082 26 2.0 1326 56 3.8 2756 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 189 6.8 9446 81 6.2 4130 108 7.4 5316 2. NIXON 2140 77.3 107239 1082 82.4 55166 1058 72.6 52073 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 374 13.4 18628 125 9.5 6373 249 17.1 12255 5. NO OPINION 67 2.4 3342 25 1.9 1275 42 2.9 2067 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1663 60.0 83254 795 60.5 40533 868 59.6 42721 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1663 100.0 83254 795 100.0 40533 868 100.0 42721 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION--- -WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 308 18.5 15437 157 19.7 8005 151 17.4 7432 2. NIXON 1052 63.3 52690 517 65.0 26359 535 61.6 26331 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 281 16.8 14024 110 13.8 5608 171 19.7 8416 5. NO OPINION 22 1.3 1102 11 1.4 561 11 1.3 541 Over #54-55 Oct. 6-12, 1972 (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #54 & 55 Sample 19 Proj Sample 08 Proj. Sample 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2770 100.0 138655 1313 100.0 66944 1457 100.0 71711 PLAN TO VOTE 1663 60.0 83254 795 60.5 40533 868 59.6 42721 * E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELE PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1663 100.0 83254 795 100.0 40533 868 100.0 42721 1. McGOVERN 379 22.8 18994 193 24.3 9840 186 21.4 9154 2. NIXON 987 59.4 49421 477 60.0 24320 510 58.8 25101 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 270 16.2 13483 110 13.8 5608 160 18.4 7875 5. NO OPINION 27 1.6 1356 15 1.9 765 12 1.4 591 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #54 & 55 Samp : Proj Sample of Proj: Sample US Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 4B STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2770 100.0 138655 1313 100.0 66944 1457 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1107 40.0 55401 518 39.5 26411 589 40.4 28990 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1107 100.0 55401 518 100.0 26411 589 100.0 28990 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 270 24.4 13522 132 25.5 6730 138 23.4 6792 2. NIXON 640 57.9 32050 311 60.0 15857 329 55.9 16193 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 140 12.6 7000 62 12.0 3161 78 13.2 3839 5. NO OPINION 57 5.1 2829 13 2.5 663 44 7.5 2166 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #54 & 55 Sample % Proj. Sample Proj Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 2770 100.0 138655 1313 100.0 66944 1457 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 343 12.4 17167 161 12.3 8209 182 12.5 8958 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 343 100.0 17167 161 100.0 8209 182 100.0 8958 1. McGOVERN 121 35.2 6049 53 32.9 2702 68 37.4 3347 2. NIXON 193 56.3 9668 95 59.0 4844 98 53.8 4824 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 29 8.5 1451 13 8.1 663 16 8.8 788 Over #55 Tuesday-Thursday - Oct. 10-12, 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OCTOBER 10-12, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE #55 Sample : Proj. Sample : Proj. Sample Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1044 100.0 138655 515 100.0 66944 529 100.0 71711 A. FIRST DIM. NSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 208 19.9 27567 113 21.9 14689 95 18.0 12878 2. NIXON 627 60.0 83218 319 61.9 41466 308 58.2 41752 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 181 17.4 24118 75 14.6 9749 106 20.0 14369 5. NO OPINION 28 2.7 3751 8 1.6 1040 20 3.8 2711 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 199 19.0 26358 111 21.6 14429 88 16.6 11929 2. NIXON 621 59.5 82461 309 60.0 40166 312 59.0 42295 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 191 18.3 25424 34 16.3 10919 107 20.2 14505 5. NO OPINION 33 3.2 4412 11 2.1 1430 22 4.2 2982 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 47 4.5 6255 21 4.1 2730 26 4.9 3525 2. NIXON 837 80.1 111040 435 84.5 56545 402 76.0 54495 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 137 13.2 18298 49 9.5 6369 88 16.6 11929 5. NO OPINION 23 2.2 3062 10 1.9 1300 13 2.5 1762 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 628 60.1 83393 312 60.6 40556 316 59.7 42837 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE-PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 628 100.0 83393 312 100.0 40556 316 100.0 42837 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 122 19.4 16170 66 21.2 8579 56 17.7 7591 2. NIXON 389 61.9 51623 199 63.8 25867 190 60.1 25756 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 110 17.6 14672 43 13.8 5589 67 21.2 9083 5. NO OPINION 7 1.1 927 4 1.3 520 3 .9 407 Over #55 Oct. 10-12, 1972 (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #55 Sample % Proj. Sample : Proj. Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1044 100.0 138655 515 100.0 66944 529 100.0 71711 PLAN TO VOTE 628 60.1 83393 312 60.6 40556 316 59.7 42837 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELE PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER---AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 628 100.0 83393 312 100.0 40556 316 100.0 42837 1. McGOVERN 125 19.9 16566 68 21.8 8839 57 18.0 7727 2. NIXON 369 58.8 49013 181 58.0 23528 188 59.5 25485 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 123 19.6 16356 57 18.3 7409 66 20.9 8947 5. NO OPINION 11 1.7 1458 6 1.9 780 5 1.6 678 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE #55 Sample % Proj Sample : Proj: Sample LS Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1044 100.0 138655 515 100.0 66944 529 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 416 39.9 55262 203 39.4 26388 213 40.3 28874 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 416 100.0 55262 203 100.0 26388 213 100.0 28874 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 86 20.6 11397 47 23.2 6110 39 18.3 5287 2. NIXON 238 57.2 31595 120 59.1 15599 118 55.4 15996 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 71 17.1 9447 32 15.8 4160 39 18.3 5287 5. NO OPINION 21 5.1 2824 4 2.0 520 17 8.0 2304 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE #55 Sample : Proj Sample : Proj Sample : Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1044 100.0 138655 515 100.0 66944 529 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 129 12.4 17136 63 12.2 8189 66 12.5 8947 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 129 100.0 17136 63 100.0 8189 66 100.0 8947 1. McGOVERN 43 33.4 5723 19 30.2 2470 24 36.4 3253 2. NIXON 77 59.6 10215 40 63.5 5199 37 56.1 5016 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 9 7.0 1198 4 6.3 520 5 7.6 678 Over SMTWTFS SINDLINGER'S DAILY SURVEY SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing NEWS 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Release #15 Opinion Research This Release Covers Nationwide Political Interviewing Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 All 1972 Sindlinger POLITICAL CONFIDENCE and POLITICAL TALK-ABOUT data from continuous and daily interviewing (from July 14 through Election Day) will be first released to the Sindlinger TV Spot Net- work with a 72-Hour First Exclusive for one TV station in each market, which now numbers 45 stations as listed at the end of this release. For this Spot TV Network, data are telephoned to each TV station each Tuesday and Friday to update the previous nationwide interviewing. RELEASE SCHEDULE: For Sindlinger's TV Spot Network---Release Upon Receipt. For Non-TV Network Media---The release date for the following is AFTER 6 PM on October 16, 1972. McGOVERN LOSES THROUGH EAGLETON APPEARANCES Joint Campaigning Revives Animosities Over Dropping of Missourian Senator George McGovern's attempts to assuage disenchanted former supporters by campaigning with former running mate Thomas J. Eagleton has backfired, concludes Sindlinger & Company of Swarthmore, Pennsylvania. Albert E. Sindlinger, president of the public opinion research organization, says instead of giving the appearance of unity, the McGovern-Eagleton appear- ances in Missouri last weekend actually set back the Democrat's drive to overtake President Nixon in the 1972 presidential election. Sindlinger says the joint campaigning in Eagleton's home state only aggravated old wounds and stirred old animosities still lingering from early August when Eagleton was dropped as vice presidential candidate. Sindlinger based his assessment on close examination of the findings from his continuous daily telephone surveys of voters in all parts of the United more Sindlinger --- page 2 of 3 States from October 6-9. The results showed McGovern gaining ground prior to the late Saturday afternoon appearances, which were given wide television exposure on 6 p.m. to 7 p.m. newscasts, and then dropping back thereafter. For purposes of the assessment, Sindlinger divided the four days of interviews, which sampled 1,726 persons, into two segments. One covered Friday and Saturday until 7 p.m. The other ran from 7 p.m. Saturday through Monday. For the first segment, the standings among persons who planned to vote November 7 based on a sample of 849 were: Percentage Number McGovern 26.8 22,269,000 Nixon 59.3 49,228,000 Undecided 13.9 11,501,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 32.5 26,959,000 The second section, based on a sample of 877, showed these results: McGovern 22.4 18,698,000 Nixon 60.2 50,185,000 Undecided 17.3 14,461,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 37.8 31,487,000 "McGovern was rolling along picking up strength until his appearances with Eagleton were displayed across the country on the television screen," Sindlinger says. "I can only conclude that Eagleton had been given a raw deal and in reality worked against McGovern." Sindlinger previously had pointed out that McGovern was close to Nixon in his surveys shortly after being nominated in mid-July but plunged sharply after Eagleton was dropped in the controversy over his prior mental problems. - more - Sindlinger page 3 of 3 Despite the Saturday night through Monday slump, McGovern, on the strength of his Friday-Saturday showing managed an overall gain for the full four days. The standings were: Percentage Number McGovern 24.6 20,455,000 Nixon 59.8 49,715,000 Undecided 15.7 13,006,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 35.2 29,260,000 : For the October 3-5 period, based on a sample of 983, the standings were: McGovern 22.2 18,023,000 Nixon 61.0 49,471,000 Undecided 16.8 13,597,000 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern 38.8 31,448,000 Sindlinger also reported that the number of people planning to vote still is rising and in the October 6-9 period reached 60 percent of the nation's 138,655,000 adults for the first time. The 83,175,000 prospective voters compared with 81,090,000, or 58.5 percent, for the October 3-5 surveys. Sindlinger & Company gathers its findings by continuous daily telephone surveys totaling more than 2,200 a week to all parts of the United States. It is the only public opinion research organization that uses this technique to survey both economic and political trends, interrelate its data, and report findings immediately. The Sindlinger Political TV Network ALBURQUERQUE, NM KOAT-TV 7 NEW HAVEN, CONN WTNH 8 ALTOONA, PA WFBG-TV 10 NEW ORLEANS, LA WDSU-TV 6 AMARILLO, TEX KGNC-TV 4 NEW YORK, N.Y. WNEW 5 BINGHAMTOM, N.Y. WNBF-TV 12 OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLA KWTV 9 BOSTON, MASS WNAC-TV 7 ORLANDO, FLA WFTV 9 BUFFALO, N.Y WKBW-TV 7 PHILADELPHIA, PA WPVI-TV 6 CHARLESTON, W. VA WCHS-TV 8 PORTLAND, ORE KATU 2 CHICAGO, ILL WGN-TV 9 PORTSMOUTH, VA WAVY-TV 10 DENVER. COLO KOA-TV 4 PROVIDENCE, R.I. WPRI-TV 12 DULUTH, MINN KDAL-TV 10 ROANOKE, VA WSLS-TV 10 DURHAM, N.C. WTVD 11 SACRAMENTO, CALIF KCRA-TV 3 FLINT, MICH. WJRT-TV 12 SEATTLE, WA KOMO-TV 4 FORT WAYNE, IND WKJG-TV 35 SHREVEPORT, LA KTAL-TV 6 FRESNO, CALIF KFSN-TV 30 SPARTANBURG, S.C. WSPA-TV 7 HOUSTON, TEX KTRK-TV 13 SPOKANE, WA KREM-TV 2 JACKSONVILLE, FLA WTLV 12 SPRINGFIELD, MO KYTV 3 KNOXVILLE, TENN WATE 6 TAMPA, FLA WFLA-TV 8 LINCOLN, NEB KOLN 10 TOLEDO, OHIO WTOL 11 MEMPHIS, TENN WMC-TV 5 TOPEKA, KAS WIBW-TV 13 MILWAUKEE, WIS WISN-TV 12 TULSA, OKLA KTEW 2 MINNEAPOLIS, MINN KSTP-TV 5 WASHINGTON, D.C. WMAL-TV 7 MORILE, ALA WKRG-TV 5 WICHITA, KAN KTVH-TV 12 WILKES BARRE, PA WNEP-TV 16 30 SMTWTES SINDLINGER'S SATURDAY REPORT SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing POLITICAL CONFIDENCE Opimon August 26, 1972 SPC #19 Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 In This Issue How McGovern Blundered By Dropping Eagleton (First 35 Days) pages 294-295 McGovern Popularity Slips Among Youth " 296-297 The 7 Dimensions By Sex Survey #40 Friday/Monday August 18-21 " 298-299 " #41 Tuesday/Thursday .August 22-24 " 300-301 Cumulative --- First 42 Days of Campaign " 302-303 Survey #40 & 41 Combined for Week August 18-24 " 304-305 Summary Table on The 7 Dimensions. " 306-307 What Is Coming In Future Reports In This Series Nationwide daily and continuous 7 Dimension interviewing for this 1972 Political Confidence report series started on July 14, the final day of the Democratic Conven- tion in Miami. For the first 42 days of this election campaign through August 25, following the close of the Republican convention, also in Miami, a total of 13,992 adults 18 years and older have been interviewed for this 7 Dimension report series, an average of 333 daily. From now to election eve, the daily average will continue at about this rate. Daily interviews are tabulated and presented in this weekly report series on the fol- lowing basis: I. For each Friday through Monday for Tuesday reporting on our TV Spot Network, with key data telephoned each Tuesday (now to 36 stations). II. For each Tuesday through Thursday, for Friday reporting. III. Also each Friday, the past week's data are combined (Friday through Thursday) for tele- phoning to the TV Spot Network. IV. And each Friday the past week's data are added to the previous week's data for cumulative reporting. (continued on back page) 293 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #56 Friday-Monday, Oct. 13-16, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY OCTOBER 13-16, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #56 Sample % Proj Sample in Proj. Sample 08 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1284 100.0 138655 619 100.0 66944 665 100.0 71711 A. FIRST DIMINSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 256 19.9 27648 137 22.1 14816 119 17.9 12832 2. NIXON 748 58.3 80781 381 61.6 41205 367 55.2 39576 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 240 18.7 25908 89 14.4 9625 151 22.7 16283 5. NO OPINION 40 3.1 4317 12 1.9 1298 28 4.2 3019 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 253 19.7 27329 151 24.4 16330 102 15.3 10999 2. NIXON 726 56.5 78405 371 59.9 40123 355 53.4 38282 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 273 21.3 29465 84 13.6 9084 189 28.4 20381 5. NO OPINION 32 2.5 3455 13 2.1 1406 19 2.9 2049 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 56 4.4 6047 25 4.0 2704 31 4.7 3343 2. NIXON 1037 80.8 111990 524 84.7 56670 513 77.1 55320 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 165 12.8 17811 58 9.4 6273 107 16.1 11538 5. NO OPINION 26 2.0 2808 12 1.9 1298 14 2.1 1510 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 750 58.4 80995 376 60.7 40664 374 56.2 40331 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 750 100.0 80995 376 100.0 40664 374 100.0 40331 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 152 20.3 16418 85 22.6 9193 67 17.9 7225 2. NIXON 503 67.1 54322 255 67.8 27578 248 66.3 26744 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 78 10.4 8420 27 7.2 2920 51 13.6 5500 5. NO OPINION 17 2.3 1836 9 2.4 973 8 2.1 863 Over #56 Oct. 13-16, 1972 (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 56 Sample % Proj Sample 02 Proj Sample is Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1284 100.0 138655 619 100.0 66944 665 100.0 71711 PLAN TO VOTE 750 58.4 80995 376 60.7 40664 374 56.2 40331 * E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER---AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 750 100.0 80995 376 100.0 40664 374 100.0 40331 1. McGOVERN 167 22.3 18036 90 23.9 9733 77 20.6 8303 2. NIXON 472 62.9 50974 241 64.1 26064 231 61.8 24910 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 98 13.1 10580 38 10.1 4110 60 16.0 6470 5. NO OPINION 13 1.7 1404 7 1.9 757 6 1.6 647 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE Samp : Proj Sample % Proj: Samp % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1284 100.0 138655 619 100.0 66944 665 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 534 41.6 57660 243 39.3 26280 291 43.8 31380 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 534 100.0 57660 243 100.0 26280 291 100.0 31380 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 104 19.5 11231 52 21.4 5624 52 17.9 5607 2. NIXON 245 45.9 26459 126 51.9 13627 119 40.9 12832 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 162 30.3 17489 62 25.5 6705 100 34.4 10784 5. NO OPINION 23 4.3 2481 3 1.2 324 20 6.9 2157 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample 02 Proj Sample % Proj Sample 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1284 100.0 138655 619 100.0 66944 665 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 159 12.4 17169 73 11.8 7895 86 12.9 9274 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 159 100.0 17169 73 100.0 7895 86 100.0 9274 1. McGOVERN 60 37.7 6479 27 37.0 2920 33 38.4 3559 2. NIXON 87 54.7 9394 39 53.4 4218 48 55.8 5176 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 12 7.5 1296 7 9.6 757 5 5.8 539 Over TELEPHONE REPORT -- Tuesday, October 17, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY TELEVISION NEWS SERVICE # 10/15 - 10/16 A. First Dimension First Choice For President MCGOVERN 1 19.9 NIXON 2 58.3 OTHER 3 21.8 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 4 58.4 E. Fifth Dimension Registered and Plan to Vote MCGOVERN 5 22.3 NIXON 6 62.9 OTHER 7 14.8 F. First Time Voters Registered and Plan to Vote 8 21.2 MCGOVERN 9 37.7 NIXON 10 54.7 OTHER 11 76 For Your Use: AMAXAXA SUMMARY OF CONTINUOUS AND DAILY POLITICAL CONFIDENCE NATIONWIDE INTERVIEWING THIS SUMMARI SINDLINGER'S DIMENSION CONCEPT ON POLITICS Telephone Survey Number 51 52 53 54A 54B Sample Size 965 1,328 983 849 877 Dates of Nationwide TUE -Sept. 26 FRI Sept. 29 TUE -Oct. 3 Friday Oct. 6 7 PM Sat. Oct Interviewing THURS-Sept. 28 MON Oct. 2 THURS-Oct. 5 7 Pm Sat. Oct. 7 Monday Oct. Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Num Base All Adults (000) (000) (000) (000) (00 18 and older 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138 DIMENSION #1, WHO SELF WANT TO BE ELECTED AS NEXT PRESIDENT McGovern 21.2 29,332 19.9 27,544 20.3 28,181 23.6 32,686 19.4 26 Nixon 63.2 87,692 60.3 83,600 61.2 84,862 61.2 84,876 62.3 86 Undecided 15.6 21,631 19.7 27,510 18.5 25,612 15.3 21,092 18.3 25 DIMENSION #2, WHO THIN McGovern 19.7 27,323 18.6 25,776 19.4 26,904 20.0 27 Nixon 59.8 82,966 57.0 79,091 58.3 80,898 20.7 28,666 Undecided* 28,366 24.4 33,788 22.3 30,853 59.6 82,624 60.6 84 20.5 19.7 27,364 19.3 26 DIMENSION #3. WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED McGovern 7.8 10,781 8.3 11,496 8.5 11,729 8.5 11,728 8.0 11 Nixon 74.7 103,570 75.2 104,212 75.3 104,374 75.4 104,520 76.0 105 Undecided* 17.5 24,304 16.5 22,947 16.3 22,552 16.1 22,407 16.0 22 Registered and Plan to Vote in November 57.5 79,757 58.5 81,117 58.5 81,090 59.9 82,998 60.1 83 DIMENSION #4. PLAN TO VOTE AND WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base - Plan to Vote 100.0 79,757 100.0 81,117 100.0 81,090 100.0 82,998 100.0 83 McGovern 19.1 15,246 19.2 15,556 18.2 14,798 18.6 15,401 17.5 14 Nixon 64.5 51,471 61.6 49,987 62.4 50,599 64.0 53,160 64.2 53 Undecided* 16.4 13,040 19.2 15,574 19.3 15,693 17.4 14,437 18.3 15 DIMENSION #5. WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR McGovern 22.9 18,280 20.1 16,269 22.2 18,023 26.8 22,269 22.4 18 Nixon 62.7 50,045 60.1 48,732 61.0 49,471 59.3 49,228 60.2 50 Undecided* 14.4 11,432 19.9 16,116 16.8 13,597 13.9 11,501 17.3 14 Points and Number Nixon over McGovern +39.8 +31,765 +40.0 +32,463 +38.8 +31,448 +32.5 +26,959 +37.8 +31 DIMENSION #6. DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE & WHO SELF WANT FOR PRESIDENT Base Do Not Now Plan to Vote 100.0 58,898 100.0 57,538 100.0 57,565 100.0 55,657 100.0 55 SELF CHOICE McGovern 23.9 14,087 20.8 11,988 23.2 13,383 31.1 17,284 22.3 12 Nixon 61.5 36,221 58.4 33,613 59.5 34,263 57.0 31,717 59.5 32 Undecided* 14.6 8,590 20.7 11,938 17.2 9,919 12.0 6,656 18.1 10 DIMENSION #7 FIRST TIME VOTERS & WHO PLAN TO VOTE FOR 21.1 16,809 21.0 17,023 21.1 17,071 20.7 17,141 20.7 17 Base First Time Voters 100.0 16,809 100.0 17,023 100.0 17,071 100.0 17,141 100.0 1; McGovern 39.3 6,610 35.6 6,056 37.2 6,354 38.1 6,252 34.8 : 54.7 9,198 52.1 8,872 52.0 8,881 53.4 9,147 55.2 S Nixon Undecided* 6.0 1,001 12.3 2,095 10.9 1,836 8.6 1,468 10.1 - *Includes No Opinion, No Interest in Politics and Have Not Yet Made A Choice. SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 ZES THE TWO BI-WEEKLY REPORTS EACH WEEK d to TV Stations Each Tuesday & Friday Canel 54 56 55 1,726 1,284 1.044 7 Friday Oct. 6 Tues. -Oct.10 Fri. Oct. 13 ) Monday Oct. 9 Thurs.-Oct.12 Mon. Oct. 16 ber Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number 0) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) (000) ,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 100.0 138,655 ,919 21.5 29,756 19.9 27,567 19.9 27,648 427 61.8 85,665 60.0 83,218 58.3 80,781 ,309 16.7 23,234 20.1 27,869 21.8 30,225 ,730 20.3 28,191 19.0 26,358 19.7 27,329 ,093 60.1 83,371 59.5 82,461 56.5 78,405 ,832 19.5 27,093 21.5 29,836 23.8 32,920 ,024 8.2 11,370 4.5 6,255 4.4 6,047 ,405 75.7 104,969 80.1 111,040 80.8 111,990 ,226 16.1 22,316 15.4 21,360 14.8 20,619 ,345 60.0 83,175 60.1 83,393 58.4 80,995 ,345 100.0 83,175 100.0 83,393 100.0 80,995 ,563 18.0 14,975 19.4 16,170 20.3 16,418 ,508 64.1 53,337 61.9 51,623 67.1 54,322 ,274 17.8 14,863 18.7 15,599 12.7 10,256 ,698 24.6 20,455 19.9 16,566 22.3 18,036 ,185 59.8 49,715 58.8 49,013 62.9 50,974 ,461 15.7 13,006 21.3 17,814 14.8 11,984 ,487 +35.2 +29,260 +38.9 +32,447 +40.6 +32,938 ,310 100.0 55,480 100.0 55,262 100.0 57,660 ,356 26.6 14,781 20.6 11,397 19.5 11,231 ,920 58.3 32,328 57.2 31,595 45.9 26,459 1,036 15.1 8,372 22.2 12,271 34.6 19,970 ,227 20.7 17,185 20.5 17,136 21.2 17,169 ,227 100.0 17,185 100.0 17,136 100.0 17,169 ,988 36.4 6,252 33.4 5,723 37.7 6,479 1,502 54.3 9,328 59.6 10,215 54.7 9,394 ,738 9.3 1,605 7.0 1,198 7.5 1,296 # 42-55 Friday-Thursday, Aug. 25-Oct. 12, 1972 POLITICAL CONFIDENCE SINDLINGER & COMPANY NATIONWIDE DIMENSION INTERVIEWING 1972 ELECTION SURVEY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 12, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-55 Sample as Proj. Sample % Proj. Sample 32 Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 16275 100.0 138655 7813 100.0 66944 8462 100.0 71711 FIRST DIMINSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 3457 21.2 29458 1724 22.1 14772 1733 20.5 14686 2. NIXON 9749 59.9 83075 4874 62.4 41762 4875 57.6 41313 3. OTHER 6 .0 51 4 .1 34 2 .0 17 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 2214 13.6 18846 883 11.3 7566 1331 15.7 11280 5. NO OPINION 849 5.2 7225 328 4.2 2810 521 6.2 4415 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 3316 20.4 28260 1693 21.7 14506 1623 19.2 13754 2. NIXON 9229 56.7 78646 4631 59.3 39680 4598 54.3 38966 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 2883 17.7 24541 1165 14.9 9982 1718 20.3 14559 5. NO OPINION 847 5.2 7208 324 4.1 2776 523 6.2 4432 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 1323 8.1 11270 618 7.9 5295 705 8.3 5975 2. NIXON 11686 71.8 99613 6189 79.2 53029 5497 65.0 46584 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 2574 15.8 21885 767 9.8 6572 1807 21.4 15313 5. NO OPINION 692 4.2 5887 239 3.1 2048 453 5.4 3839 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 9317 57.3 79385 4576 58.6 39208 4741 56.0 40177 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 9317 100.0 79385 4576 100.0 39208 4741 100.0 40177 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION- WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 1800 19.3 15339 916 20.0 7848 884 18.6 7491 2. NIXON 5757 61.8 49065 2966 64.8 25413 2791 58.9 23652 3. OTHER 2 .0 17 2 .0 17 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 1484 15.9 12630 581 12.7 4978 903 19.0 7652 5. NO OPINION 274 2.9 2332 111 2.4 951 163 3.4 1381 Over #42-55 Aug. 25-Oct. 12, 1972 TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-55 Sample % Proj Sample DE Proj Sample US Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 16275 100.0 138654 7813 100.0 66944 8462 100.0 71710 PLAN TO VOTE 9317 57.3 79385 4576 58.6 39208 4741 56.0 40177 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER--AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 9317 100.0 79385 4576 100.0 39208 4741 100.0 40177 1. McGOVERN 2079 22.3 17720 1088 23.8 9322 991 20.9 8398 2. NIXON 5547 59.6 47274 2839 62.0 24325 2708 57.1 22949 3. OTHER 2 .0 17 2 .0 17 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 1514 16.2 12885 581 12.7 4978 933 19.7 7907 5. NO OPINION 175 1.9 1489 66 1.4 565 109 2.3 924 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-55 Sample BE Proj Sample as Proj: Sample u, Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 16275 100.0 138655 7813 100.0 66944 8462 100.0 71711 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 6958 42.7 59270 3237 41.4 27736 3721 44.0 31534 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 6958 100.0 59270 3237 100.0 27736 3721 100.0 31534 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 1632 23.5 13905 793 24.5 6795 839 22.5 7110 2. NIXON 4009 57.6 34155 1915 59.2 16409 2094 56.3 17746 3. OTHER 4 .1 34 2 .1 17 2 .1 17 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 731 10.5 6223 305 9.4 2613 426 11.4 3610 5. NO OPINION 582 8.4 4953 222 6.9 1902 360 9.7 3051 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-55 Sample % Proj. Sample 02 Proj Sample 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 16275 100.0 138655 7813 100.0 66944 8462 100.0 71711 NEW FIRST VOTERS 1889 11.6 16094 910 11.6 7797 979 11.6 8297 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER-- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1889 100.0 16094 910 100.0 7797 979 100.0 8297 1. McGOVERN 689 36.5 5869 322 35.4 2759 367 37.5 3110 2. NIXON 966 51.1 8232 485 53.3 4156 481 49.1 4076 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 234 12.4 1993 103 11.3 883 131 13.4 1110 Over SINDLINGER DATA H August 25 - October 9, 1972 Fifth Dimension "Who self plan to vote for President in November Among adults who are registered and qualified and plan to vote in November. " STATE SAMPLE NIXON MCGOVERN UNDECIDED Alabama 250 66.9 15.1 17.8 California 1594 54.9 38.4 6.7 Connecticut 234 55.0 30.7 14.2 Florida 630 68.4 21.7 10.0 Illinois 857 57.8 28.9 13.3 Indiana 364 57.3 31.7 11.0 Michigan 688 61.4 25.7 13.0 New York 1426 50.4 37.7 11.9 Ohio 936 55.3 26.7 18.0 Pennsylvania 896 61.6 22.1 16.3 Texas 782 67.1 23.0 10.0 Virginia 307 65.7 22.6 11.7 9. Strachare POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 CONNECTICUT Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF CONNECTICUT TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj. Sample : Proj. Sample a Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 234 100.0 2131 124 100.0 1137 110 100.0 994 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 62 26.5 564 32 25.8 293 30 27.3 271 2. NIXON 147 62.8 1339 83 66.9 761 64 58.2 578 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 16 6.8 145 5 4.0 46 11 10.0 99 5. NO OPINION 9 3.8 82 4 3.2 37 5 4.5 45 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 69 29.5 628 36 29.0 330 33 30.0 298 2. NIXON 142 60.7 1293 77 62.1 706 65 59.1 587 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 16 6.8 145 8 6.5 73 8 7.3 72 5. NO OPINION 7 3.0 64 3 2.4 28 4 3.6 36 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 21 9.0 191 11 8.9 101 10 9.1 90 2. NIXON 172 73.5 1567 93 75.0 853 79 71.8 714 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 30 12.9 274 15 12.1 138 15 13.6 136 5. NO OPINION 11 4.7 100 5 4.0 46 6 5.5 54 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 140 59.8 1275 74 59.7 679 66 60.0 596 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 140 100.0 1275 74 100.0 679 66 100.0 596 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS FIRST DIMENSION---WH ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 48 34.4 438 30 40.5 275 18 27.3 163 2. NIXON 77 55.0 701 39 52.7 358 38 57.6 343 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 11 7.8 100 3 4.1 28 8 12.1 72 5. NO OPINION 4 2.8 36 2 2.7 18 2 3.0 18 Over #42-54 CONNECTICUT (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-54 Sample % Proj Sample 32 Proj Samp 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 234 100.0 2131 124 100.0 1137 110 100.0 994 PLAN TO VOTE 140 59.8 1275 74 59.7 679 66 60.0 596 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELE PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 140 100.0 1275 74 100.0 679 66 100.0 596 1. McGOVERN 43 30.7 392 27 36.5 248 16 24.2 144 2. NIXON 77 55.0 701 41 55.4 376 36 54.5 325 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 15 10.7 136 4 5.4 37 11 16.7 99 5. NO OPINION 5 3.5 45 2 2.7 18 3 4.5 27 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample % Proj Samp of Proj: Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 234 100.0 2131 124 100.0 1137 110 100.0 994 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 94 40.2 856 50 40.3 458 44 40.0 398 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 94 100.0 856 50 100.0 458 44 100.0 398 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 14 14.8 127 2 4.0 18 12 27.3 109 2. NIXON 70 74.5 638 44 88.0 403 26 59.1 235 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 5 5.3 45 2 4.0 18 3 6.8 27 5. NO OPINION 5 5.3 45 2 4.0 18 3 6.8 27 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Samp % Proj Samp : Proj Samp : Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 234 100.0 2131 124 100.0 1137 110 100.0 994 NEW FIRST VOTERS 25 10.7 227 13 10.5 119 12 10.9 108 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 25 100.0 227 13 100.0 119 12 100.0 108 1. McGOVERN 9 36.1 82 5 38.5 46 4 33.3 36 2. NIXON 12 48.0 109 6 46.2 55 6 50.0 54 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 4 15.9 36 2 15.4 18 2 16.7 18 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 NEW YORK Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF NEW YORK TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample % Proj. Sample as Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1426 100.0 12974 627 100.0 5751 799 100.0 7223 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. . 1. McGOVERN 519 36.4 4722 228 36.4 2091 291 36.4 2631 2. NIXON 771 54.1 7014 339 54.1 3109 432 54.1 3905 3. OTHER 1 .1 9 1 .2 9 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 76 5.3 692 34 5.4 312 42 5.3 380 5. NO OPINION 59 4.1 536 25 4.0 229 34 4.3 307 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 530 37.2 4823 243 38.8 2229 287 35.9 2594 2. NIXON 760 53.3 6915 336 53.6 3082 424 53.1 3833 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 74 5.2 671 19 3.0 174 55 6.9 497 5. NO OPINION 62 4.3 564 29 4.6 266 33 4.1 298 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 96 6.7 873 39 6.2 358 57 7.1 515 2. NIXON 1017 71.3 9254 461 73.5 4228 556 69.6 5026 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 268 18.8 2437 108 17.2 991 160 20.0 1446 5. NO OPINION 45 3.2 409 19 3.0 174 26 3.3 235 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 774 54.3 7043 348 55.5 3192 426 53.3 3851 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 774 100.0 7043 348 100.0 3192 426 100.0 3851 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION- WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 262 33.8 2384 116 33.3 1064 146 34.3 1320 2. NIXON 444 57.3 4039 193 55.5 1770 251 58.9 2269 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 48 6.2 438 29 8.3 266 19 4.5 172 5. NO OPINION 20 2.6 182 10 2.9 92 10 2.3 90 Over #42-54 NEW YORK (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample be Proj Sample 02 Proj Sample be Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1426 100.0 12974 627 100.0 5751 799 100.0 7223 PLAN TO VOTE 774 54.3 7043 348 55.5 3192 426 53.3 3851 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 774 100.0 7043 348 100.0 3192 426 100.0 3851 1. McGOVERN 292 37.7 2657 131 37.6 1202 161 37.8 1455 2. NIXON 390 50.4 3548 168 48.3 1541 222 52.1 2007 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 77 10.0 701 42 12.1 385 35 8.2 316 5. NO OPINION 15 1.9 136 7 2.0 64 8 1.9 72 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample se Proj Sample : Proj: Sample OR Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1426 100.0 12974 627 100.0 5751 799 100.0 7223 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 652 45.7 5931 279 44.5 2559 373 46.7 3372 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 652 100.0 5931 279 100.0 2559 373 100.0 3372 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 257 39.4 2338 112 40.1 1027 145 38.9 1311 2. NIXON 327 50.2 2975 146 52.3 1339 181 48.5 1636 3. OTHER 1 .2 9 1 .4 9 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 28 4.3 254 5 1.8 46 23 6.2 208 5. NO OPINION 39 6.0 355 15 5.4 138 24 6.4 217 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample ; Proj Sample be Proj Samp as Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1426 100.0 12974 627 100.0 5751 799 100.0 7223 NEW FIRST VOTERS 148 10.4 1346 66 10.5 605 82 10.3 741 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 148 100.0 1346 66 100.0 605 82 100.0 741 1. McGOVERN 60 40.6 546 29 43.9 266 31 37.8 280 2. NIXON 76 51.3 691 30 45.5 275 46 56.1 416 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 12 8.1 109 7 10.6 64 5 6.1 45 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 PENNSYLVANIA Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF PENNSYLVANIA TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample in Proj Sample 82 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 896 100.0 8159 444 100.0 4073 452 100.0 4086 A. FIRST DIM NSION --- WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 159 17.7 1447 74 16.7 679 85 18.8 768 2. NIXON 533 59.5 4857 288 64.9 2642 245 54.2 2215 3. OTHER 2 .2 18 2 .5 18 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 147 16.4 1337 55 12.4 505 92 20.4 832 5. NO OPINION 55 6.1 500 25 5.6 229 30 6.6 271 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT 1. McGOVERN 174 19.4 1585 85 19.1 780 89 19.7 805 2. NIXON 499 55.7 4546 266 59.9 2440 233 51.5 2106 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 165 18.4 1500 66 14.9 605 99 21.9 895 5. NO OPINION 58 6.5 528 27 6.1 248 31 6.9 280 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 51 5.7 463 19 4.3 174 32 7.1 289 2. NIXON 661 73.8 6025 368 82.9 3376 293 64.8 2649 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 164 18.2 1489 48 10.8 440 116 25.7 1049 5. NO OPINION 20 2.2 182 9 2.0 83 11 2.4 99 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 541 60.4 4928 281 63.3 2578 260 57.5 2350 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 541 100.0 4928 281 100.0 2578 260 100.0 2350 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION--- ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 106 19.6 964 46 16.4 422 60 23.1 542 2. NIXON 354 65.4 3225 188 66.9 1725 166 63.8 1500 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 68 12.6 620 43 15.3 394 25 9.6 226 5. NO OPINION 13 2.4 118 4 1.4 37 9 3.5 81 Over #42-54 PENNSYLVANIA (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-54 Sample de Proj. Sample 02 Proj. Sample is Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE-ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 896 100.0 8159 444 100.0 4073 452 100.0 4086 PLAN TO VOTE 541 60.4 4928 281 63.3 2578 260 57.5 2350 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER--AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 541 100.0 4928 281 100.0 2578 260 100.0 2350 1. McGOVERN 120 22.1 1091 46 16.4 422 74 28.5 669 2. NIXON 333 61.6 3034 179 63.7 1642 154 59.2 1392 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 77 14.3 703 53 18.9 486 24 9.2 217 5. NO OPINION 11 2.0 100 3 1.1 28 8 3.1 72 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 # 42-54 Sample : Proj Sample 02 Proj: Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 896 100.0 8159 444 100.0 4073 452 100.0 4086 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 355 39.6 3231 163 36.7 1495 192 42.5 1736 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 355 100.0 3231 163 100.0 1495 192 100.0 1736 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 53 14.9 483 28 17.2 257 25 13.0 226 2. NIXON 179 50.5 1631 100 61.3 917 79 41.1 714 3. OTHER 2 .6 18 2 1.2 18 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 79 22.2 716 12 7.4 110 67 34.9 606 5. NO OPINION 42 11.9 383 21 12.9 193 21 10.9 190 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample 02 Proj Sample % Proj. Samp % Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 896 100.0 8159 444 100.0 4073 452 100.0 4086 NEW FIRST VOTERS 95 10.6 865 45 10.1 413 50 11.1 452 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 95 100.0 865 45 100.0 413 50 100.0 452 1. McGOVERN 30 31.6 273 11 24.4 101 19 38.0 172 2. NIXON 56 59.0 510 29 64.4 266 27 54.0 244 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 9 9.5 82 5 11.1 46 4 8.0 36 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 ILLINOIS Aug. 25-Oct. 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF ILLINOIS TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample as Proj. Sample :- Proj Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 857 100.0 7795 358 100.0 3284 499 100.0 4511 A. FIRST DIM NSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 219 25.6 1992 92 25.7 844 127 25.5 1148 2. NIXON 506 59.1 4603 214 59.8 1963 292 58.5 2640 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 96 11.2 873 39 10.9 358 57 11.4 515 5. NO OPINION 36 4.2 327 13 3.6 119 23 4.6 208 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 238 27.8 2166 107 29.9 982 131 26.3 1184 2. NIXON 523 61.0 4757 221 61.7 2027 302 60.5 2730 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 64 7.5 581 20 5.6 183 44 8.8 398 5. NO OPINION 32 3.7 291 10 2.8 92 22 4.4 199 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 69 8.1 628 29 8.1 266 40 8.0 362 2. NIXON 621 72.5 5653 295 82.4 2706 326 65.3 2947 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 131 15.2 1187 22 6.1 202 109 21.8 985 5. NO OPINION 36 4.2 327 12 3.4 110 24 4.8 217 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 502 58.6 4567 213 59.5 1954 289 57.9 2613 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 502 100.0 4567 213 100.0 1954 289 100.0 2613 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADUL FIRST DIMENSION WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 142 28.3 1291 60 28.2 550 82 28.4 741 2. NIXON 301 60.0 2738 129 60.6 1183 172 59.5 1555 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 50 9.9 454 20 9.4 183 30 10.4 271 5. NO OPINION 9 1.8 82 4 1.9 37 5 1.7 45 Over #42-54 ILLINOIS (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-54 Sample DR Proj Sample se Proj Samp OR Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 857 100.0 7795 358 100.0 3284 499 100.0 4511 PLAN TO VOTE 502 58.6 4567 213 59.5 1954 289 57.9 2613 * E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 502 100.0 4567 213 100.0 1954 289 100.0 2613 1. McGOVERN 145 28.9 1318 54 25.4 495 91 31.5 823 2. NIXON 290 57.8 2640 132 62.0 1211 158 54.7 1429 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 57 11.3 518 23 10.8 211 34 11.8 307 5. NO OPINION 10 2.0 91 4 1.9 37 6 2.1 54 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample is Proj: Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 857 100.0 7795 358 100.0 3284 499 100.0 4511 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 355 41.4 3228 145 40.5 1330 210 42.1 1898 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 355 100.0 3228 145 100.0 1330 210 100.0 1898 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT--- DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 77 21.7 701 32 22.1 294 45 21.4 407 2. NIXON 205 57.8 1865 85 58.6 780 120 57.1 1085 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 46 12.9 418 19 13.1 174 27 12.9 244 5. NO OPINION 27 7.6 246 9 6.2 83 18 8.6 163 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE T #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample : Proj. Sample 12 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 857 100.0 7795 358 100.0 3284 499 100.0 4511 NEW FIRST VOTERS 93 10.9 846 38 10.6 349 55 11.0 497 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER-- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 93 100.0 846 38 100.0 349 55 100.0 497 1. McGOVERN 30 32.3 273 12 31.6 110 18 32.7 163 2. NIXON 57 61.2 518 24 63.2 220 33 60.0 298 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 6 6.4 54 2 5.3 18 4 7.3 36 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 INDIANA Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF INDIANA TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Samp % Proj Sample Proj Sampl in Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 364 100.0 3313 165 100.0 1514 199 100.0 1799 A. FIRST DIM: NSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 122 33.5 1111 62 37.6 569 60 30.2 542 2. NIXON 199 54.6 1810. 88 53.3 807 111 55.8 1003 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 32 8.8 291 11 6.7 101 21 10.6 190 5. NO OPINION 11 3.0 100 4 2.4 37 7 3.5 63 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 117 32.1 1065 53 32.1 486 64 32.2 579 2. NIXON 210 57.7 1911 92 55.8 844 118 59.3 1067 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 28 7.7 255 17 10.3 156 11 5.5 99 5. NO OPINION 9 2.5 82 3 1.8 28 6 3.0 54 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 31 8.5 282 13 7.9 119 18 9.0 163 2. NIXON 208 57.3 1898 131 79.4 1202 77 38.7 696 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 39 10.7 355 19 11.5 174 20 10.1 181 5. NO OPINION 6 1.6 54 2 1.2 18 4 2.0 36 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 218 59.9 1984 99 60.0 908 119 59.8 1076 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 218 100.0 1984 99 100.0 908 119 100.0 1076 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS FIRST DIMENSION WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 58 26.6 528 28 28.3 257 30 25.2 271 2. NIXON 136 62.3 1237 59 59.6 541 77 64.7 696 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 18 8.3 164 10 10.1 92 8 6.7 72 5. NO OPINION 6 2.7 54 2 2.0 18 4 3.4 36 Over #42-54 INDIANA (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-54 Sample : Proj. Sample % Proj. Sample JR Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 364 100.0 3313 165 100.0 1514 199 100.0 1799 PLAN TO VOTE 218 59.9 1984 99 60.0 908 119 59.8 1076 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER---AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 218 100.0 1984 99 100.0 908 119 100.0 1076 1. McGOVERN 69 31.7 629 33 33.3 303 36 30.3 326 2. NIXON 125 57.3 1137 54 54.5 495 71 59.7 642 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 19 8.7 173 10 10.1 92 9 7.6 81 5. NO OPINION 5 2.3 45 2 2.0 18 3 2.5 27 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample : Proj: Sampl : Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 364 100.0 3313 165 100.0 1514 199 100.0 1799 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 146 40.1 1329 66 40.0 606 80 40.2 723 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 146 100.0 1329 66 100.0 606 80 100.0 723 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---00 NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 64 43.9 583 34 51.5 312 30 37.5 271 2. NIXON 63 43.1 573 29 43.9 266 34 42.5 307 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 14 9.5 126 1 1.5 9 13 16.3 117 5. NO OPINION 5 3.4 45 2 3.0 18 3 3.8 27 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample : Proj Sample DR Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 364 100.0 3313 165 100.0 1514 199 100.0 1799 NEW FIRST VOTERS 37 10.2 337 17 10.3 156 20 10.1 181 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 37 100.0 337 17 100.0 156 20 100.0 181 1. McGOVERN 16 43.3 146 6 35.3 55 10 50.0 91 2. NIXON 19 51.3 173 11 64.7 101 8 40.0 72 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 2 5.3 18 .0 2 10.0 18 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 MICHIGAN Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF MICHIGAN TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample : Proj Sample % Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 688 100.0 6269 370 100.0 3394 318 100.0 2875 A. FIRST DIMENSION --- WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 196 28.5 1788 122 33.0 1119 74 23.3 669 2. NIXON 390 56.7 3554 215 58.1 1972 175 55.0 1582 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 79 11.4 717 25 6.8 229 54 17.0 488 5. NO OPINION 23 3.3 209 8 2.2 73 15 4.7 136 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT 1. McGOVERN 169 24.6 1542 112 30.3 1027 57 17.9 515 2. NIXON 431 62.6 3926 225 60.8 2064 206 64.8 1862 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 65 9.4 591 24 6.5 220 41 12.9 371 5. NO OPINION 23 3.3 210 9 2.4 83 14 4.4 127 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 80 11.6 730 54 14.6 495 26 8.2 235 2. NIXON 530 77.0 4830 287 77.6 2633 243 76.4 2197 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 60 8.7 546 22 5.9 202 38 11.9 344 5. NO OPINION 18 2.6 163 7 1.9 64 11 3.5 99 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 402 58.4 3662 211 57.0 1935 191 60.1 1727 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 402 100.0 3662 211 100.0 1935 191 100.0 1727 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS FIRST DIMENSION---WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 87 21.7 794 57 27.0 523 30 15.7 271 2. NIXON 273 67.9 2486 135 64.0 1238 138 72.3 1248 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 34 8.5 310 16 7.6 147 18 9.4 163 5. NO OPINION 8 2.0 73 3 1.4 28 5 2.6 45 Over #42-54 MICHIGAN (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample as Proj. Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 688 100.0 6269 370 100.0 3394 318 100.0 2875 PLAN TO VOTE 402 58.4 3662 211 57.0 1935 191 60.1 1727 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 402 100.0 3662, 211 100.0 1935 191 100.0 1727 1. McGOVERN 103 25.7 940 64 30.3 587 39 20.4 353 2. NIXON 247 61.4 2249 115 54.5 1055 132 69.1 1194 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 46 11.5 420 30 14.2 275 16 8.4 145 5. NO OPINION 6 1.5 54 2 .9 18 4 2.1 36 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample % Proj: Sample e', Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 688 100.0 6269 370 100.0 3394 318 100.0 2875 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 286 41.6 2607 159 43.0 1459 127 39.9 1148 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 286 100.0 2607 159 100.0 1459 127 100.0 1148 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 109 38.1 994 65 40.9 596 44 34.6 398 2. NIXON 117 41.0 1068 80 50.3 734 37 29.1 334 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 45 15.7 408 9 5.7 83 36 28.3 325 5. NO OPINION 15 5.2 136 5 3.1 46 10 7.9 90 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample 12 Proj. Sample : Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 688 100.0 6269 370 100.0 3394 318 100.0 2875 NEW FIRST VOTERS 93 13.5 847 49 13.2 449 44 13.8 398 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 93 100.0 847 49 100.0 449 44 100.0 398 1. McGOVERN 39 42.0 356 23 46.9 211 16 36.4 145 2. NIXON 47 50.5 428 22 44.9 202 25 56.8 226 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 7 7.6 64 4 8.2 37 3 6.8 27 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 OHIO Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF OHIO TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample 32 Proj. Sample Proj. Sample S Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 936 100.0 8520 437 100.0 4009 499 100.0 4511 A. FIRST DIMINSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 277 29.6 2519 111 25.4 1018 166 33.3 1501 2. NIXON 554 59.2 5043 256 58.6 2349 298 59.7 2694 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 74 7.9 677 58 13.3 532 16 3.2 145 5. NO OPINION 31 3.3 282 12 2.7 110 19 3.8 172 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 211 22.5 1921 95 21.7 872 116 23.2 1049 2. NIXON 558 59.6 5080 267 61.1 2449 291 58.3 2631 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 138 14.7 1256 62 14.2 569 76 15.2 687 5. NO OPINION 29 3.1 264 13 3.0 119 16 3.2 145 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 76 8.1 691 28 6.4 257 48 9.6 434 2. NIXON 691 73.9 6293 347 79.4 3183 344 68.9 3110 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 145 15.5 1318 52 11.9 477 93 18.6 841 5. NO OPINION 24 2.6 219 10 2.3 92 14 2.8 127 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 553 59.1 5034 257 58.8 2358 296 59.3 2676 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 553 100.0 5034 257 100.0 2358 296 100.0 2676 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS--FIRST DIMENSION WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 131 23.7 1191 50 19.5 459 81 27.4 732 2. NIXON 365 66.0 3322 165 64.2 1514 200 67.6 1808 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 44 8.0 402 36 14.0 330 8 2.7 72 5. NO OPINION 13 2.3 118 6 2.3 55 7 2.4 63 Over #42-54 OHIO (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-54 Sample DR Proj. Sample :2 Proj Samp of Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 936 100.0 8520 437 100.0 4009 499 100.0 4511 PLAN TO VOTE 553 59.1 5034 257 58.8 2358 296 59.3 2676 *E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELE PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 553 100.0 5034 257 100.0 2358 296 100.0 2676 1. McGOVERN 148 26.7 1346 56 21.8 514 92 31.1 832 2. NIXON 306 55.3 2786 141 54.9 1294 165 55.7 1492 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 88 16.0 803 55 21.4 505 33 11.1 298 5. NO OPINION 11 2.0 100 5 1.9 46 6 2.0 54 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Samp : Proj Samp : Proj: Sample of Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 936 100.0 8520 437 100.0 4009 499 100.0 4511 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 383 40.9 3486 180 41.2 1651 203 40.7 1835 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 383 100.0 3486 180 100.0 1651 203 100.0 1835 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 146 38.1 1328 61 33.9 560 85 41.9 768 2. NIXON 189 49.4 1721 91 50.6 835 98 48.3 886 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 30 7.9 274 22 12.2 202 8 3.9 72 5. NO OPINION 18 4.7 163 6 3.3 55 12 5.9 108 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample 02 Proj Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 936 100.0 8520 437 100.0 4009 499 100.0 4511 NEW FIRST VOTERS 120 12.8 1092 54 12.4 495 66 13.2 597 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 120 100.0 1092 54 100.0 495 66 100.0 597 1. McGOVERN 47 39.1 427 20 37.0 183 27 40.9 244 2. NIXON 65 54.2 592 31 57.4 284 34 51.5 308 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 8 6.6 72 3 5.6 27 5 7.6 45 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 ALABAMA Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF ALABAMA TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample are Proj. Sample is Proj. Sample of Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 250 100.0 2277 130 100.0 1192 120 100.0 1085 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 41 16.4 374 21 16.2 193 20 16.7 181 2. NIXON 166 66.4 1512" 88 67.7 807 78 65.0 705 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 30 12.0 274 16 12.3 147 14 11.7 127 5. NO OPINION 13 5.2 118 5 3.8 46 8 6.7 72 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 34 13.6 310 16 12.3 147 18 15.0 163 2. NIXON 173 69.3 1577 100 76.9 917 73 60.8 660 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 25 10.0 227 8 6.2 73 17 14.2 154 5. NO OPINION 18 7.2 164 6 4.6 55 12 10.0 109 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 20 8.0 182 12 9.2 110 8 6.7 72 2. NIXON 194 77.6 1768 107 82.3 981 87 72.5 787 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 23 9.2 209 7 5.4 64 16 13.3 145 5. NO OPINION 13 5.2 118 4 3.1 37 9 7.5 81 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 145 58.0 1321 78 60.0 715 67 55.8 606 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 145 100.0 1321 78 100.0 715 67 100.0 606 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS FIRST DIMENSION WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 19 13.1 173 10 12.8 92 9 13.4 81 2. NIXON 105 72.4 957 60 76.9 550 45 67.2 407 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 17 11.7 154 6 7.7 55 11 16.4 99 5. NO OPINION 4 2.7 36 2 2.6 18 2 3.0 18 Over #42-54 ALABAMA (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample 02 Proj. Sample or Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 250 100.0 2277 130 100.0 1192 120 100.0 1085 PLAN TO VOTE 145 58.0 1321 78 60.0 715 67 55.8 606 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 145 100.0 1321 78 100.0 715 67 100.0 606 1. McGOVERN 22 15.1 200 13 16.7 119 9 13.4 81 2. NIXON 97 66.9 884 55 70.5 504 42 62.7 380 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 22 15.1 200 8 10.3 73 14 20.9 127 5. NO OPINION 4 2.7 36 2 2.6 18 2 3.0 18 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample ; Proj Sample % Proj: Sample US Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 250 100.0 2277 130 100.0 1192 120 100.0 1085 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 105 42.0 956 52 40.0 477 53 44.2 479 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 105 100.0 956 52 100.0 477 53 100.0 479 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 22 20.9 200 11 21.2 101 11 20.8 99 2. NIXON 61 58.1 555 28 53.8 257 33 62.3 298 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 13 12.4 119 10 19.2 92 3 5.7 27 5. NO OPINION 9 8.6 82 3 5.8 28 6 11.3 54 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample ; Proj Sample 32 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 250 100.0 2277 130 100.0 1192 120 100.0 1085 NEW FIRST VOTERS 23 9.2 210 11 8.5 101 12 10.0 109 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 23 100.0 210 11 100.0 101 12 100.0 109 1. McGOVERN 5 21.9 46 3 27.3 28 2 16.7 18 2. NIXON 13 56.7 119 6 54.5 55 7 58.3 64 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 5 21.4 45 2 18.2 18 3 25.0 27 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 FLORIDA Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF FLORIDA TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj. Sample Proj. Sample Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 630 100.0 5733 283 100.0 2596 347 100.0 3137 A. FIRST DIMINSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 114 18.1 1039 63 22.3 578 51 14.7 461 2. NIXON 455 72.2 4139 196 69.3 1798 259 74.6 2341 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 42 6.7 382 18 6.4 165 24 6.9 217 5. NO OPINION 19 3.0 173 6 2.1 55 13 3.7 118 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 95 15.1 866 51 18.0 468 44 12.7 398 2. NIXON 468 74.3 4258 205 72.4 1880 263 75.8 2378 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 38 6.0 345 12 4.2 110 26 7.5 235 5. NO OPINION 29 4.6 265 15 5.3 138 14 4.0 127 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 25 4.0 228 10 3.5 92 15 4.3 136 2. NIXON 542 86.0 4932 245 86.6 2247 297 85.6 2685 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 36 5.7 327 14 4.9 128 22 6.3 199 5. NO OPINION 27 4.3 246 14 4.9 128 13 3.7 118 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 383 60.8 3485 174 61.5 1596 209 60.2 1889 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 383 100.0 3485 174 100.0 1596 209 100.0 1889 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULT FIRST DIMENSION- WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 76 19.9 692 36 20.7 330 40 19.1 362 2. NIXON 273 71.2 2483 118 67.8 1082 155 74.2 1401 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 24 6.3 218 14 8.0 128 10 4.8 90 5. NO OPINION 10 2.6 91 6 3.4 55 4 1.9 36 Over #42-54 FLORIDA (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample as Proj Sample DR Proj Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 630 100.0 5733 283 100.0 2596 347 100.0 3137 PLAN TO VOTE 383 60.8 3485 174 61.5 1596 209 60.2 1889 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 383 100.0 3485 174 100.0 1596 209 100.0 1889 1. McGOVERN 83 21.7 756 39 22.4 358 44 21.1 398 2. NIXON 262 68.4 2384 114 65.5 1046 148 70.8 1338 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 29 7.6 264 17 9.8 156 12 5.7 108 5. NO OPINION 9 2.4 82 4 2.3 37 5 2.4 45 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample : Proj: Sample of Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 630 100.0 5733 283 100.0 2596 347 100.0 3137 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 247 39.2 2248 109 38.5 1000 138 39.8 1248 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 247 100.0 2248 109 100.0 1000 138 100.0 1248 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 38 15.4 347 27 24.8 248 11 8.0 99 2. NIXON 182 73.7 1657 78 71.6 716 104 75.4 941 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 18 7.3 164 4 3.7 37 14 10.1 127 5. NO OPINION 9 3.6 81 .0 9 6.5 81 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sampl : Proj Sample : Proj Sample is Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 630 100.0 5733 283 100.0 2596 347 100.0 3137 NEW FIRST VOTERS 86 13.6 782 35 12.4 321 51 14.7 461 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 86 100.0 782 35 100.0 321 51 100.0 461 1. McGOVERN 24 27.9 218 8 22.9 73 16 31.4 145 2. NIXON 55 63.9 500 24 68.6 220 31 60.8 280 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 7 8.2 64 3 8.6 28 4 7.8 36 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 TEXAS Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF TEXAS TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj. Sample in Proj. Samp as Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 782 100.0 7117 366 100.0 3357 416 100.0 3760 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 131 16.8 1193 65 17.8 596 66 15.9 597 2. NIXON 539 68.9 4907 264 72.1 2421 275 66.1 2486 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 80 10.2 726 26 7.1 238 54 13.0 488 5. NO OPINION 32 4.1 291 11 3.0 101 21 5.0 190 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 134 17.2 1221 74 20.2 679 60 14.4 542 2. NIXON 533 68.2 4852 254 69.4 2330 279 67.1 2522 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 83 10.6 754 28 7.7 257 55 13.2 497 5. NO OPINION 32 4.1 291 10 2.7 92 22 5.3 199 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 75 9.6 683 36 9.8 330 39 9.4 353 2. NIXON 612 78.3 5572 303 82.8 2779 309 74.3 2793 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 69 8.8 626 19 5.2 174 50 12.0 452 5. NO OPINION 26 3.3 236 8 2.2 73 18 4.3 163 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 456 58.3 4150 214 58.5 1963 242 58.2 2187 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 456 100.0 4150 214 100.0 1963 242 100.0 2187 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION- ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 89 19.5 810 38 17.8 349 51 21.1 461 2. NIXON 315 69.1 2867 149 69.6 1367 166 68.6 1500 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. D0 NOT KNOW YET 42 9.2 383 22 10.3 202 20 8.3 181 5. NO OPINION 10 2.2 91 5 2.3 46 5 2.1 45 Over #42-54 TEXAS (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample DR Proj. Sample 32 Proj. Samp de Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 782 100.0 7117 366 100.0 3357 416 100.0 3760 PLAN TO VOTE 456 58.3 4150 214 58.5 1963 242 58.2 2187 *E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELE PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER--AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VUTE IN NOVEMBER 456 100.0 4150 214 100.0 1963 242 100.0 2187 1. McGOVERN 105 23.0 954 42 19.6 385 63 26.0 569 2. NIXON 306 67.1 2786 149 69.6 1367 157 64.9 1419 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 35 7.7 319 19 8.9 174 16 6.6 145 5. NO OPINION 10 2.2 91 4 1.9 37 6 2.5 54 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample DR Proj: Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 782 100.0 7117 366 100.0 3357 416 100.0 3760 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 326 41.7 2967 152 41.5 1394 174 41.8 1573 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 326 100.0 2967 152 100.0 1394 174 100.0 1573 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT--- DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 42 12.9 384 27 17.8 248 15 8.6 136 2. NIXON 224 68.8 2040 115 75.7 1055 109 62.6 985 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 38 11.6 344 4 2.6 37 34 19.5 307 5. NO OPINION 22 6.7 200 6 3.9 55 16 9.2 145 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE T #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample : Proj Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 782 100.0 7117 366 100.0 3357 416 100.0 3760 NEW FIRST VOTERS 89 11.4 810 41 11.2 376 48 11.5 434 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 89 100.0 810 41 100.0 376 48 100.0 434 1. McGOVERN 26 29.3 237 10 24.4 92 16 33.3 145 2. NIXON 57 64.1 519 28 68.3 257 29 60.4 262 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 6 6.8 55 3 7.3 28 3 6.3 27 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 VIRGINIA Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF VIRGINIA TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample DP Proj Sample : Proj. Sample Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 307 100.0 2798 165 100.0 1514 142 100.0 1284 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 74 24.1 675 46 27.9 422 28 19.7 253 2. NIXON 185 60.2 1685 93 56.4 853 92 64.8 832 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 23 7.5 209 14 8.5 128 9 6.3 81 5. NO OPINION 25 8.1 228 12 7.3 110 13 9.2 118 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 72 23.4 656 41 24.8 376 31 21.8 280 2. NIXON 182 59.3 1659 96 58.2 881 86 60.6 778 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 26 8.5 237 12 7.3 110 14 9.9 127 5. NO OPINION 27 8.8 246 16 9.7 147 11 7.7 99 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 21 6.9 192 16 9.7 147 5 3.5 45 2. NIXON 243 79.1 2214 124 75.2 1138 119 83.8 1076 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 25 8.1 228 15 9.1 138 10 7.0 90 5. NO OPINION 18 5.9 164 10 6.1 92 8 5.6 72 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 178 58.0 1623 94 57.0 863 84 59.2 760 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 178 100.0 1623 94 100.0 863 84 100.0 760 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS---FIRST DIMENSION WHO ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 34 19.2 311 22 23.4 202 12 14.3 109 2. NIXON 127 71.3 1158 64 68.1 588 63 75.0 570 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 11 6.2 100 6 6.4 55 5 6.0 45 5. NO OPINION 6 3.3 54 2 2.1 18 4 4.8 36 Over #42-54 VIRGINIA (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj Sample be Proj Sample we Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 307 100.0 2798 165 100.0 1514 142 100.0 1284 PLAN TO VOTE 178 58.0 1623 94 57.0 863 84 59.2 760 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VUTE IN NOVEMBER 178 100.0 1623 94 100.0 863 84 100.0 760 1. McGOVERN 40 22.6 366 25 26.6 230 15 17.9 136 2. NIXON 117 65.7 1067 59 62.8 542 58 69.0 525 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 15 8.4 136 8 8.5 73 7 8.3 63 5. NO OPINION 6 3.3 54 2 2.1 18 4 4.8 36 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample % Proj: Sample of Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 307 100.0 2798 165 100.0 1514 142 100.0 1284 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 129 42.0 1175 71 43.0 651 58 40.8 524 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 129 100.0 1175 71 100.0 651 58 100.0 524 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 40 31.1 365 24 33.8 220 16 27.6 145 2. NIXON 58 44.9 528 29 40.8 266 29 50.0 262 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 12 9.3 109 8 11.3 73 4 6.9 36 5. NO OPINION 19 14.7 173 10 14.1 92 9 15.5 81 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sampl or Proj Sample : Proj Sample 02 Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 307 100.0 2798 165 100.0 1514 142 100.0 1284 NEW FIRST VOTERS 29 9.5 265 16 9.7 147 13 9.2 118 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 29 100.0 265 16 100.0 147 13 100.0 118 1. McGOVERN 11 37.7 100 6 37.5 55 5 38.5 45 2. NIXON 17 58.9 156 10 62.5 92 7 53.8 64 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 1 3.4 9 .0 1 7.7 9 Over POLITICAL CONFIDENCE #42-54 CALIFORNIA Aug. 25-Oct. 9, 1972 SINDLINGER & COMPANY DIMENSION INTERVIEWING FROM AUGUST 25 - OCTOBER 9, 1972 1972 ELECTION SURVEY STATE OF CALIFORNIA TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I #42-54 Sample % Proj. Sample % Proj Sample % Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1594 100.0 14516 803 100.0 7366 791 100.0 7150 A. FIRST DIMENSION WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY. 1. McGOVERN 561 35.2 5108 279 34.7 2559 282 35.7 2549 2. NIXON 829 52.0 7553 443 55.2 4064 386 48.8 3489 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 148 9.3 1346 57 7.1 523 91 11.5 823 5. NO OPINION 56 3.5 509 24 3.0 220 32 4.0 289 B. SECOND DIMENSION WHO THINK MOST OTHER PEOPLE WANT AS THEIR NEXT PRESIDENT. 1. McGOVERN 654 41.0 5955 321 40.0 2945 333 42.1 3010 2. NIXON 764 47.9 6959 391 48.7 3587 373 47.2 3372 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 118 7.4 1076 69 8.6 633 49 6.2 443 5. NO OPINION 58 3.6 527 22 2.7 202 36 4.6 325 C. THIRD DIMENSION WHO THINK WILL ACTUALLY BE ELECTED IN NOVEMBER. 1. McGOVERN 162 10.2 1476 89 11.1 816 73 9.2 660 2. NIXON 1234 77.4 11239 631 78.6 5788 603 76.2 5451 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 153 9.6 1392 63 7.8 578 90 11.4 814 5. NO OPINION 45 2.8 409 20 2.5 183 25 3.2 226 REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1023 64.2 9318 524 65.3 4807 499 63.1 4511 D. FOURTH DIMENSION BASE--PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1023 100.0 9318 524 100.0 4807 499 100.0 4511 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED IF ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY AMONG ADULTS FIRST DIMENSION ARE REGISTERED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1. McGOVERN 328 32.1 2987 159 30.3 1459 169 33.9 1528 2. NIXON 527 51.6 4804 299 57.1 2743 228 45.7 2061 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 130 12.7 1181 48 9.2 440 82 16.4 741 5. NO OPINION 38 3.7 346 18 3.4 165 20 4.0 181 Over #42-54 CALIFORNIA (continued) TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE I # 42-54 Sample de Proj Sample % Proj Sample is Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1594 100.0 14516 803 100.0 7366 791 100.0 7150 PLAN TO VOTE 1023 64.2 9318 524 65.3 4807 499 63.1 4511 E. FIFTH DIMENSION WHO SELF PLAN TO VOTE FOR PRESIDENT IN NOVEMBER--AMONG ADULTS WHO ARE REGISTERED AND QUALIFIED AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 1023 100.0 9318 524 100.0 4807 499 100.0 4511 1. McGOVERN 393 38.4 3578 192 36.6 1761 201 40.3 1817 2. NIXON 562 54.9 5120 296 56.5 2715 266 53.3 2405 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 54 5.3 492 30 5.7 275 24 4.8 217 5. NO OPINION 14 1.4 127 6 1.1 55 8 1.6 72 F. SIXTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample % Proj Samp % Proj: Sample : Proj (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1594 100.0 14516 803 100.0 7366 791 100.0 7150 DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 571 35.8 5198 279 34.7 2559 292 36.9 2639 BASE--NO PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 571 100.0 5198 279 100.0 2559 292 100.0 2639 WHO SELF MOST WANT TO SEE ELECTED PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE BEING HELD TODAY--- BUT---DO NOT PLAN TO VOTE/DO NOT VOTE 1. McGOVERN 233 40.8 2122 120 43.0 1101 113 38.7 1021 2. NIXON 302 52.9 2749 144 51.6 1321 158 54.1 1428 3. OTHER .0 .0 .0 4. DO NOT KNOW YET 18 3.2 164 9 3.2 83 9 3.1 81 5. NO OPINION 18 3.1 163 6 2.2 55 12 4.1 108 G. SEVENTH DIMENSION TOTAL MALE FEMALE TABLE 1 #42-54 Sample : Proj Sample % Proj Sample 12 Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE--ALL ADULTS IN 48 STATES 18 YEARS & OLDER 1594 100.0 14516 803 100.0 7366 791 100.0 7150 NEW FIRST VOTERS 266 16.7 2422 134 16.7 1229 132 16.7 1193 NEW FIRST TIME VOTERS WHO ARE REGISTERED OR PLAN TO REGISTER- AND PLAN TO VOTE IN NOVEMBER 266 100.0 2422 134 100.0 1229 132 100.0 1193 1. McGOVERN 144 54.2 1312 75 56.0 688 69 52.3 624 2. NIXON 115 43.2 1047 56 41.8 514 59 44.7 533 3. DO NOT KNOW WHO WILL VOTE FOR 7 2.6 64 3 2.2 28 4 3.0 36 Over SMTWT F S SINDLINGER'S SATURDAY REPORT SINDLINGER COMPANY Marketing TALK-ABOUT G Opinion Research August 26, 1972 Issue TA #5 Harvard & Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania, 19081 215/544-8260 42 Days OF What Is Being Talked About During the first forty-two days since July 14 when the question sequence was added to all Sindlinger basic client interviewing for this weekly report series, 13,992 adults 18 years and older were asked when they last talked about politics. Of these, 8,553 or 61 percent replied that they had talked about politics at some time during the week prior to being interviewed. Each day's past weektalk-about is broken down to the day of the week of pasttalk- about. These data are part of this report series, as shown by the daily tabulations in each issue. Thus, as the chart on page 44 shows, the number of adults that talk about politics daily varies by events and by day of week. Based upon the first six weeks for this report series Sunday is also a day of rest for political talk-about. VOLUME OF TALK-ABOUT Each day when a male or female respondent reports that he/she has talked about politics during the week prior to interview--our interviewers record the date of this last political talk-about so that talk-about subjects can be tied in with major events as shown on the back page. In This Issue Quality of Talk-About and What Is Talk-About page 34 What Is Being Talked About for Five Periods in Past 42 Days, by Sex: I. 6 days from July 14-19 right after Democratic convention " 35 II. 15 days from July 19-August 2, including the Eagleton Affair period " 36 III. 8 days from August 3-10 during which time Shriver was named VP candidate " 37 IV. 7 days from August 11-17 " 38 V. 7 days from August 18-24 " 39 Summary Trend of What Is Being Talked About " 40 Volume of Talk-About " 42 Daily Talk-About for Past Week " 43 Chart on Daily Talk-About for Past 42 Days " 45 Over 50 Years of Talk-About " 45 33