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Florida Demographics, Recent Election Results, and Maps of Congressional Districts, Counties, and Selected Cities. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date
To: Herbert G. Klein From: Irwin J. Premack RE: Effect that the 16 to 20 year old age groups would have in the 1972 political campaigns, if the voting age were lowered to 18, and Survey No. 849 Questions and Results. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 6/18/1970
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WHSF: Contested, 44-14
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This file contains:
Florida Demographics, Recent Election Results, and Maps of Congressional Districts, Counties, and Selected Cities. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Report], no date
To: Herbert G. Klein From: Irwin J. Premack RE: Effect that the 16 to 20 year old age groups would have in the 1972 political campaigns, if the voting age were lowered to 18, and Survey No. 849 Questions and Results. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Letter], 6/18/1970
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Contested Materials Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
44
14
>
Campaign
Report
Florida Demographics, Recent Election
Results, and Maps of Congressional
Districts, Counties, and Selected Cities. 3pgs
44
14
6/18/1970
Campaign
Letter
To: Herbert G. Klein From: Irwin J. Premack
RE: Effect that the 16 to 20 year old age
groups would have in the 1972 political
campaigns, if the voting age were lowered to
18, and Survey No. 849 Questions and
Results. 14pgs
Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Page 1 of 1
FLORIDA
Fill
(17 Electoral Votes)
DEMOGRAPHICS
Flexes
Central and Southern Florida represents part of
what Kevin Phillips has called the Sun Belt, a series
of relatively new urban-suburban regions, fast-growing
because of continuing migration since World War II.
These areas are concentrated in Florida (retirement
communities, aerospace), Texas (aerospace, electronics,
petroleum, natural gas) and California (aerospace and
other high technology). They are generally high in-
come, middle class, conservative communities and not
structured along the established ethnic patterns
of the Northwestern urban areas. In 1968, the President
built up a large majority in the Florida Sun Belt,
and was able to handily overcome deficits in Miami
(heavily Jewish and Latin American) and the north (part
of the Deep South and carried by Wallace)
RECENT ELECTION RESULTS*
President
Republican
Democrat
A.I.P.
1968
887 (41%)
677 (31%)
624 (28%)
1964
906 (49%)
949 (51%)
1960
795 (52%)
749 (48%)
Statewide Congressional Vote
1970
569 (45%)
681 (55%)
1968
758 (43%)
1012 (57%)
1966
369 (35%)
680 (65%)
1964
421 (30%)
992 (70%)
1968 Presidential Primary
(Delegate Slate)
Republican
Democrat
No Preference 51
Smathers
236
McCarthy
147
No Preference
128
*Figures in thousands
76% of Fea voters regis Dem
- 24% R? Mail
TAB G
Map of Congressional Districts, Counties, and Selected Cities
(12 Districts)
(1968 VOTE TOTALS IN THOUSANDS)
STATEWIDE RESULTS
NIXON
887 (41%)
HUMPHREY
677 (31%)
HOLMES
JACKSON
SANTA ROSA
OKALOOSA
WALTON
WALLACE
624 (28%)
WASHINGTON
NASSAU
GAOSOEN
PENSACOLA
LEON
MAMILTON
CALMOUN
MADISON
JACKSONVILLE
X
SAY
TALLAHASSEE
DUYAL
BAKER
LIBERTY
WAKULLA
SUWANNEE
COLUMBIA
3
PANAMA CITY
-
UNION
TAYLOR
CLAY
&
GULF
FRANKLIN
CAFATETTE
RAD
FORD
GIL.
CHRIST
ALACHUA
PUTNAM
DIXIE
GAINESVILLE
-
FLAGLER
LEVY
MARION
&
DAYTONA BEACH
NORTHERN SECTION
VOLUSIA
(21% OF TOTAL VOTE)
CITRUS
SEMINOLE
NIXON
107 (23%)
SUMTER
LAKE
MERNANDO
0
ORANGE
HUMPHREY
121 (27%)
ORLANDO
WALLACE
226 (50%)
8
PASCO
-
HILLSBOUGH
POLK
CLEARWATER
TAMPA
OSCEOLA
2
LAKELAND
PINELLAS
INDIAN
ST. PETERSBURG
RIVER
SUN BELT
FORT PIERCE
7
(72% OF TOTAL VOTE)
HIGHLANDS
ST LUCIE
SARASOTA
SARASOTA
DE soro
MARTIN
NIXON
738 (46%)
WEST
CHARLOTTE
QUADES
HUMPHREY
470 (30%)
PALM BEACH
c
WALLACE
379 (24%)
PALM BEACH
LEE
MENDRY
10
BROWNED
1
FORT
LAUDERDALE
COLLIER
ROUYWOOD
MAMI
11
BEACH
MIAMI - MIAMI BEACH
(7% OF TOTAL VOTE)
D
CORAL GABLES
MIAMI
MONROE
ONE
NIXON
42 (29%)
THE
HUMPHREY
86 (58%)
WALLACE
19 (13%)
2
FLORIDA
-
***
CAME
with
-
MASSAJ
are
MARCOEN
LEON
501
TAL MASSEE
MADISON
SAME
TATLOR
CLAT
WALLA
LK
ST
as
LIBERTY
RANK
CAFATE
ALACKLA
3005
that
P
MAR .
LEVY
VOLUSIA
ORLANDO
DAY VA BEACH
SEMMITE
-
CRANGE
PASCO
OSCEOLA
POLA
MILLSBOROUNDM
TAMPA-
YEAR
SI. PRIERSBU
FT.
VERCE-VERO BEACH
DE
SOTO
cure
MEST
PALM
BEACH
BROWN
MYERS
DADE
WORK
MIAMI
Media Markets Covering Florida
Dothan (partially included in state)
Ft. Myers
Jacksonville (partially included in state)
Miami
Panama City
s
Mobile-Pensacola (partially included in state)
,
Orlando-Daytona Beach
Tallahassee (partially included in state)
,
Tampa-St. Petersburg
West Palm Beach
PREMACK & ASSOCIATES, INC.
MARKETING RESEARCH
6727-1st AVENUE S. ST. PETERSBURG, FLORIDA 33707 (813) 347-2111
June 18, 1970
The Honorable Herbert G. Klein
Director of Communications
for the Executive Branch
The White House
Washington, D. C.
Dear Mr. Klein:
As you may recall from our last meeting in your office, we discussed the
effect that the 16 to 20 year old age groups would have in the 1972
political campaigns, if the voting age were lowered to 18 and they all
became voters. There are those who hypothesize that they will tend to
be very liberal in the broad sense of the word, but it is conceivable
that the actual situation may be quite different. I submit that there
are other factors:
1. Not all 18 to 21 year olds are college students.
2. Not all necessarily are high school graduates.
3. Many of these youths may, in a sense, be reacting against
student unrest.
4. Many of these young people may have been affected adversely,
in their frame of reference, by integration, school busing, etc.
5. It is also conceivable that there is a need for pride, expressed
in the desire to have heroes and be on the side of a military
victory.
June 18, 1970
-2-
Mr. H. Klein
Frankly, all research is based on an hypothesis which we either try
to prove or disprove. We do not know the answer. We doubt whether
anyone else does.
I am endeavoring to get various newspapers in Florida - the Orlando
Sentinel, the Jacksonville Times Union, *and the Miami News - to co-
operate on a broad-based research project probing these concepts,
and adding to this research other questions which will prove news-
worthy.
The project was fielded this afternoon in the Orlando area and will
be extended as soon as we can get commitments from the other papers.
We will break the interview segments into Caucasian, Non-Caucasian,
and Latin American, as well as to break the sample up by region of
the state.
If this project should prove interesting and if funding could be
raised, it could be very significant on a national scale. I am
including a questionnaire with this letter and would like to get
together with you regarding this research project and the New York
study already completed.
Best personal regards.
Yours sincerely,
PREMACK & ASSOCIATES, INC.
Irwin J. Premack
President
IJP/mcp
Enclosure
SURVEY NO. 849
No. 6
23. Do you personally believe pre-marital sex is wrong?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
24. Do you believe birth control pills should be readily available to anyone, like
aspirins?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
25. Do you think you would object if a person of a different race bought a house next
door to where you live?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
26. Do you believe your neighbors would object?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
27. Do you feel abortion should be legalized?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
28. Do you intend to vote when you are legally able?
Yes
No
Depends
Don't Know
No Reply
SURVEY NO. 849
-5-
17. Do you believe Gov. Kirk was right or wrong to veto the new state budget?
Right
Wrong
Don't Know
No Reply
18. Do you believe people should tend to be more conservative or more liberal in their
political attitudes?
Conservative
Liberal
Don't Know
No Reply
19. Do you approve or disapprove of President Nixon sending troops into Cambodia?
Approve
Disapprove
Don't Know
No Reply
20. Do you feel marijuana should be legalized?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
21. Have you ever tried marijuana?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
22. If you wanted marijuana today, would you know where to get it?
Yes
No
No Reply
SURVEY NO. 849
-4-
14. If the general election were held today for Covernor of Florida, for whom would
you tend to vote: Dade County Mayor Chuck Hall (D), State Senator "Skip" Bafalis (R),
Attorney General Earl Faircloth (D), Gov. Claude Kirk (R), State Senator John
Mathews (D), Jack Eckerd (R), State Senator Rubin Askew (D), or someone else?
Chuck Hall
"Skip" Bafalis
Atty. Gen. Earl Faircloth
Gov. Claude Kirk
State Senator John Mathews
Jack Eckerd
Rubin Askew
Other (Write-In)
Don't Know
No Reply
15. If the general election were held today for the U.S. Senate in Florida, for whom
would you tend to vote: Harrold Carswell, Farris Bryant, Bill Cramer, Lawton Chiles,
Fred Schultz, or someone else?
Harrold Carswell
Farris Bryant
Bill Cramer
Lawton Chiles
Fred Schultz
Other (Write-In)
Don't Know
No Reply
16. Do you tend to approve or disapprove of Gov. Kirk's approach to school busing?
Approve
Disapprove
Don't Know
No Reply
SURVEY NO. 849
-3-
10. Who do you feel was primarily responsible for the Kent State shootings, the troops,
the students, or both?
Troops
Students
Both
Don't Know
No Reply
11. Do you feel that President Nixon is, in general, doing a good, fair, or poor job?
Good
Fair
Poor
Don't Know
No Reply
12. Do you feel that we should pull out of Vietnam, keep our men there until there is a
peace treaty, or resume the bombing of North Vietnam and go for an all out victory?
Pull out
Stay
All out victory
Don't Know
No Reply
13. Do you feel that the Nixon's administration's approach to ending the war in Vietnam
has been reasonably effective?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
SURVEY NO. 849
-2-
5. Do you believe Parochial schools should receive state or Federal funds?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
6. In general, do you favor sex education classes in the elementary schools?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
7. In general, do you favor sex education classes in the high schools?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
8. Do you feel that pupil and faculty integration of the public schools is working?
Yes
No
In only some places
Don't Know
No Reply
9. Do you believe that student riots are justified?
Yes
No
Depends
Don't Know
No Reply
SURVEY NO. 849
Location
Interviewer
City
County
Date
Time
Nationality
Race
We are conducting a research survey and do not need your name or address. May I
ask you a few questions?
1. How old are you?
16 to 20 incl.
Other (TERMINATE)
It is possible that the voting age will be lowered nationally to 18 by 1972, allowing
you to vote. Therefore, I would like your opinion on the following questions:
2. Are you a student or are you finished with school?
Student
Non-student
Undecided
No Reply
3. Do you favor lowering the drinking age to 18?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
4. Do you favor the taxing of church owned property, not utilized for religious
purposes?
Yes
No
Don't Know
No Reply
TOTALS
10. Who do you feel were primarily responsible for the Kent State shootings,
the troops, the students, or both?
Answer
Raw
Sample
Response
both
877
48.61%
49.13%
Troops
503
27.88
28.18
Students
253
14.02
14.17
Others*
33
1.83
1.85
Don't Know
119
6.60
6.67
:- Reply
19
1.05
-
1804
100.0
100.0
*Others
. . Rhodes (5) Outsiders (5) Administration (4) Neither (3) College President (3)
.D.S. (2) Communists (2) Planned agitators (2) President (2) Accident (2)
Nowspapers - Society - Nixon.
TOTALS
12. Do you feel that we should pull out of Vietnam, keep our men there
until there is a peace treaty, or resume the bombing of North Vietnam
and go for an all-out victory?
Answer
Raw
Sample
Response
Pull out
831
46.06%
46.53%
All-out victory
543
30.10
30.40
Stay
364
20.18
20.38
Don't Know
48
2.66
2.69
No Reply
18
1.00
-
1804
100.0
100.0
TOTALS
1). Do you feel that the Nixon administration's approach to ending the
war in Vietnam has been reasonably effective?
Answer
Raw
Sample
Response
NJ
1039
57.59%
58.44%
Ten
678
37.58
38.13
Don't Know
61
3.38
3.43
VIIIV G.VII.
to Reply
26
1.44
-
1804
100.0
100.0
TOTALS
18. Do you believe people should tend to be more conservative or more
liberal in their political attitudes?
Answer
Raw
Sample
Response
Liberal
1167
64.69%
66.61%
Conservative
483
26.77
27.57
Don't Know
102
5.65
5.82
No Reply
52
2.88
-
1804
100.0
100.0
TOTALS
19. Do you approve or disapprove of President Nixon sending troops
into Cambodia?
Answer
Raw
Sample
Response
Disapprove
1023
56.71%
57.93%
Approve
690
38.25
39.07
Don't Know
53
2.94
3.00
No Reply
38
2.11
-
1804
100.0
100.0
TOTALS
28. Do you intend to vote when you are legally able?
Answer
Raw
Sample
Response
Yes
1629
90.30%
92.24%
No
98
5.43
5.55
Depends
27
1.50
1.53
Don't Know
12
.67
.68
S'IV.I.O.L. VIIIV INVIN
No Reply
38
2.11
-
1804
100.0
100.0