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This file contains:
Article from the St. Louis Globe-Democrat (poll conducted by the Chicago Sun-Times with the assistance of the Globe-Democrat) titled "Percy a 2-to-1 Favorite for Senate, Poll Shows." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Newspaper], 5/10/1972
To: John Mitchell From: Donald Rumsfeld RE: "Attached is a poll on Illinois." Poll table of Illinois from the Illinois State Journal (11/05/1971) attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/15/1971
To: John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman From: Donald Rumsfeld RE: "Attached is one of the lastest Sun Times surveys for Illinois." Article from Sun-Times by Joseph Reilly titled "Muskie Favored Slightly Over Nixon in State Now" (11/07/1971) attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/15/1971
To: H.R. Haldeman From: John C. Whitaker RE: "FYI: If President is in a grim mood about Farm Belt." Article from Prairie Farmer titled "Illinois Farm Support for Nixon is Strong in September" (10/16/1971) attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/3/1971
To: John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman From: Don Rumsfeld RE: Article from the Chicago Today by Jack Mabley. Article by Jack Mabley titled "Prediction: Democratic '72 Sweet" attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1971
To: Bob Haldeman From: Don Rumsfeld RE: Confidential RE: Memo to John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman (09/27/1971) about results of a recent questionnaire. "Operation Feedback" results and memo attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/27/1971
To: Unknown From: Rumsfeld RE: "Illinois Poll." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/7/1971
To: Bob Haldeman and Bob Finch From: Donald Rumsfeld RE: Summary of election results in Illinois in recent years. Summary attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 3/27/1971
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WHSF: Contested, 44-17
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26146154
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WHSF: Contested, 44-17
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This file contains:
Article from the St. Louis Globe-Democrat (poll conducted by the Chicago Sun-Times with the assistance of the Globe-Democrat) titled "Percy a 2-to-1 Favorite for Senate, Poll Shows." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Newspaper], 5/10/1972
To: John Mitchell From: Donald Rumsfeld RE: "Attached is a poll on Illinois." Poll table of Illinois from the Illinois State Journal (11/05/1971) attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/15/1971
To: John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman From: Donald Rumsfeld RE: "Attached is one of the lastest Sun Times surveys for Illinois." Article from Sun-Times by Joseph Reilly titled "Muskie Favored Slightly Over Nixon in State Now" (11/07/1971) attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/15/1971
To: H.R. Haldeman From: John C. Whitaker RE: "FYI: If President is in a grim mood about Farm Belt." Article from Prairie Farmer titled "Illinois Farm Support for Nixon is Strong in September" (10/16/1971) attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/3/1971
To: John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman From: Don Rumsfeld RE: Article from the Chicago Today by Jack Mabley. Article by Jack Mabley titled "Prediction: Democratic '72 Sweet" attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 10/6/1971
To: Bob Haldeman From: Don Rumsfeld RE: Confidential RE: Memo to John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman (09/27/1971) about results of a recent questionnaire. "Operation Feedback" results and memo attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/27/1971
To: Unknown From: Rumsfeld RE: "Illinois Poll." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 6/7/1971
To: Bob Haldeman and Bob Finch From: Donald Rumsfeld RE: Summary of election results in Illinois in recent years. Summary attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 3/27/1971
citationUrl
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
44
17
5/10/1972
Campaign
Newspaper
Article from the St. Louis Globe-Democrat
(poll conducted by the Chicago Sun-Times
with the assistance of the Globe-Democrat)
titled "Percy a 2-to-1 Favorite for Senate,
Poll Shows." 1pg
44
17
11/15/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: John Mitchell From: Donald Rumsfeld
RE: "Attached is a poll on Illinois." Poll
table of Illinois from the Illinois State
Journal (11/05/1971) attached. 2pgs
44
17
11/15/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman From:
Donald Rumsfeld RE: "Attached is one of
the lastest Sun Times surveys for Illinois."
Article from Sun-Times by Joseph Reilly
titled "Muskie Favored Slightly Over Nixon
in State Now" (11/07/1971) attached. 2pgs
44
17
11/3/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: H.R. Haldeman From: John C. Whitaker
RE: "FYI: If President is in a grim mood
about Farm Belt." Article from Prairie
Farmer titled "Illinois Farm Support for
Nixon is Strong in September" (10/16/1971)
attached. 3pgs
44
17
10/6/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: John Mitchell and Bob Haldeman From:
Don Rumsfeld RE: Article from the Chicago
Today by Jack Mabley. Article by Jack
Mabley titled "Prediction: Democratic '72
Sweet" attached. 2pgs
Thursday, February 23, 2012
Page 1 of 2
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
44
17
9/27/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: Bob Haldeman From: Don Rumsfeld
RE: Confidential RE: Memo to John
Mitchell and Bob Haldeman (09/27/1971)
about results of a recent questionnaire.
"Operation Feedback" results and memo
attached. 3pgs
44
17
6/7/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: Unknown From: Rumsfeld RE: "Illinois
Poll." 2pgs
44
17
3/27/1971
Campaign
Memo
To: Bob Haldeman and Bob Finch From:
Donald Rumsfeld RE: Summary of election
results in Illinois in recent years. Summary
attached. 2pgs
Thursday, February 23, 2012
Page 2 of 2
8A Sf. Louis Clobe-Bemncrat Wed., May 10, 1972
Percy a 2-to-1 favorite
for Senate, poll shows
(This report is one of a series based
as "to conservative." Some blacks said they
on a poll to test current voter senti-
would not vote for a Polish-American candi-
ment in Illinois, considered one of the
date.
key states. The poll was conducted by
the Chicago Sun-Times with the as-
BUT THE BIGGEST factor working
sistance of The Globe-Democrat.)
against Pucinski at this time is the voters
lack of familiarity with his views. With six
Sen, Charles H. Percy is vastly more pop-
months remaining before the election, Pu-
ular throughout Illinois than his Democratic
cinski has the time to win back much of
challenger, U.S. Rep. Roman C. Pucinski,
the support he needs from hometown Demo-
who trails even in heavily Democratic Chi-
crats.
cago.
Wards included in the survey are the 2nd,
A survey shows that the Republican sena-
4th, 6th, 13th, 16th, 17th, 24th, 27th, 35th,
tor is favored for re-election by 65.4 per
38th, 39th, 41st, 45th and 50th. A total of 468
cent of the Illinois voters who were ques-
persons in those wards were asked to mark
tioned by reporters. Pucinski received 30.4
survey ballots.
per cent of the survey ballots and 4.2 per
Here are the survey results from Chicago
cent of the respondents said they were un-
first showing the cumulative tally and then
decided.
breakdowns of votes cast by Democrats Re-
A surprisingly strong showing by Percy in
publicans and Independents.
Chicago enabled him to hold a 2 to 1 mar-
gin statewide.
Cumulative
Percy
57.8 per cent
CHICAGO VOTERS who live in the 14
Pucinski
38.5 per cent
wards canvassed in the survey gave 57.8 per
No Choice
per cent
cent of the ballots to Percy and 38.5 per
Democrats
cent to Pucinski with 3.7 per cent express-
Percy
per cent
ing no choice.
Pucinski
55.4 per cent
Percy's survey percentage in Chicago is
No Choice
2.1 per cent
bigger than the percentage won in 1966 by
Republicans
his first senatorial opponent, former Sen.
Percy
82.9 cent
Paul H. Douglas. Douglas won 57.4 per cent
Pucinski
12.9 per cent
of the citywide vote in 1966 - including 56.9
No Choice
per cent
per cent in the 14 areas selected for the
Independents
survey-but still lost to Percy statewide.
Percy
69.0 per cent
Percy's remarkable survey showing in
Pucinski
25 per cent
Chicago was the result of strong support
No Choice
5.5 per cent
given him by independent voters and by
When the Chicago results are added to the
Democrats in the city's black communities.
previously reported tallies from downstate
Th e combination of independents and
and suburban Cook County areas, the 1,565
blacks more than offset Pucinski's strong
survey participants rate the candidates this
showing in areas selected for the canvass
way
that have large Polish-American populations.
Percy
65.4 per cent
Independents sometimes commented that
Pucinski
30.4 per cent
they opposed Pucinski as "Daley's man" or
No Choice
4.2 per cent
Preservation Copy
MEMORANDUM
File
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Ill Polls
it
November 15, 1971
clilic.
11/16
6
MEMORANDUM FOR:
John Mitchell
FROM:
Donald Rumsfeld
Attached is a poll on Illinois.
cc: Bob Haldeman
Attachment
11/5
Illinois State Journal
(cont.)
ILLINOIS
5
Poll Table
This table shows how the candidates stand among Down-
Kennedy
9.8%
87.5%
2.7%
state voters who participated in the survey. The first section
McGovern
8.7%
88.2%
3.1%
shows the cumulative Downstate tally, followed by break-
McCarthy
8.4%
86.8%
4.8%
downs of Democratic, Republican and Independent voters.
Humphrey
5.6%
90.2%
4.2%
CUMULATIVE
Jackson
4.5%
89.2%
6.3%
Democrats
Nixon
No Choice
Spread
Harris
3.8%
90.2%
6.0%
Muskir
42.5%
47.3%
10.2%
4.8%
INDEPENDENT VOTERS
Kennedy
36.3%
52.7%
11.0%
16.4%
Democrats
Nixon
No Choice
Lindsay
33.5%
51.8%
14.7%
18.3%
Muskie
49.3%
42.6%
8.1%
KEY TO COUNTIES:
Humphrey
30.8%
56.3%
12.9%
25.5%
Kennedy
41.2%
50.7%
8.1%
McCarthy
30.1%
53.6%
16.3%
23.5%
Lindsay
37.9%
50.2%
11.9%
1. DU PAGE
McGovern
29.1%
54.5%
16.4%
25.4%
McCarthy
37.4%
49.3%
13.3%
2. LAKE
Harris-
20.5%
57.9%
21.6%
37.4%
McGovern
37.4%
43.8%
12.8%
Jackson
20.4%
58.3%
21.3%
37.9%
Humphrey
36.5%
51.5%
9.0%
3. MADISON
DEMOCRAT VOTERS
Harris
21.3%
57.8%
20.9%
4. McLEAN
Democrats
Nixon
No Choice
Jackson
20.4%
57.4%
22.2%
5. ROCK ISLAND
Muskie
74.3%
11.2%
14.5%
This table shows how candidates rank when survey re-
Kennedy
69.9%
15.0%
15.1%
sults from Downstate counties are combined with the previous-
6. SANGAMON
Humphrey
61.2%
19.9%
18.9%
ly reported tally for Cook County suburbs:
7. WINNEBAGO
Lindsay
60.2%
17.5%
22.3%
Democrats
Nixon
No Choice
Spread
McCarthy
55.4%
21.8%
22.8%
Muskie
42.7%
47.2%
10.1%
4.5%
McGovern
52.9%
21.8%
25.3%
Kennedy
35.0%
53.6%
11.4%
18.6%
A map of Illinois illustrates which
Jackson
45.1%
25.7%
29.2%
Lindsay
32.2%
52.7%
15.1%
20.5%
downstate voters participated in the
Harris
44.7%
25.2%
30.1%
Humphrey
30.3%
56.0%
13.7%
25.7%
Chicago Sun-Times political poll. The
REPUBLICAN VOTERS
McCarthy
29.5%
54.1%
16.4%
24.6%
poll, conducted with the cooperation of
Democrats
Nixon
No Choice
McGovern
29.3%
53.7%
17.0%
24.4%
the Illinois State Journal, tested the
Muskie
17.4%
81.5%
1.1%
Jackson
21.2%
57.4%
21.4%
30.2%
political mood just one year before the
Lindsay
12.2%
83.6%
4.2%
Harris
20.4%
57.8%
21.8%
37.4%
national elections.
Fill
MEMORANDUM
THE WHITE HOUSE
le
WASHINGTON
Polls neednt
November 15, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
John Mitchell
Bob Haldeman
FROM:
Donald Rumsfeld
Attached is one of the latest Sun Times surveys for Illinois. It is
not good.
CHICAGO SUN-TIMES, Sun., Nov. 7, 1971
5
Sun-Times survey
How candidates rate
in statewide tally
Muskie favored slightly
TALLY FOR SUNDAY 1X X-X-X-X-X
This table show. how candidates rank
among all 1,523 Illinois voters who participated
in the survey. The cumulative tally in the
first section is followed by breakdowns of
Democratic. Republican and independent
voters
over Nixon In state now
STATEWIDE
Democrats
Nixon No choice Spread
Muskie
46.6%
44.1%,
9.3%
2.5%
Kennedy
10.9
48.1
11.0
7.2
Temphrey
36.9
49.5
13.6
12.6
Lindsay
36.2
47.8
16.0
11.6
By Joseph Pailly
McGovern
35.1
48.3
16.6
13.2
Sen. Edmund S. Muskie M would to
Joseph Reilly, 32,
McCarthy
33.6
49.8
16.61
16.2
slightly favored bi Illinois over Presi-
has directed The
Jackson
24.1
53.8
22.1
29.7
A pivotal
Harris
22.1
dent Nr. if election
Sun . Times Straw
23.6
51.0
30.4
were held now.
Poll and other poli-
DEMOCRATIC VOTERS
A Sun Eme. survey of 15% Pinors vot TS
is surveys for
year ahead
Democrats
Nivon
No choice
shows in currently the choice of 46.6
the spaper
per cent and M Nixon is preferred by 14.1
since the mayoral
Muskie
76.6%
13.1%
10.3%
election of 1967.
Kennedy
73.9
15.0
11.1
per cent, a difference of 25 points. The re-
The polls and sur-
for Nixon
Humphrey
67.6
16.6
15.8
maining 0.1 per cent said they have no choice
between the two men.
veys have accu-
Lindsay
62.8
16.9
20.3
Survey results also sho. that Mr. Nixon
rately portrayed
McGovern
62.2
18.1
19.7
has more appeal among the state's voters
\Gier sentiment
Plus latest Gallup Poll matching
McCarthy
59.5
21.2
19.3
when judged
Nixon vs. Muskie. In Viewpoint sec-
Jackson
17.8
25.3
26.9
than seven other leading Democrats listed on
against election
Harris
47.4
25.3
27.3
the survey ballot Sen. Edward M. Kennedy
tion.
(D-Mass.) is the second most popular Demo-
returns.
REPUBLICAN VOTERS
crat among survey participants but trails
Democrats
Nixon
No choice
Muskie by 5.7 points.
Muskie
13.7%
83.7%
2.6%
Popularities compared
Mr Nixon in heavily Di mocratic Chicago.
among the men most often mentioned as pos-
Lindsay
9.5
84.2
6.3
A respectable showing by Must ie in usually
was sufficient 10 give the Maine senator the
sible presidential candidates in the election
Kennedy
9.3
87.3
3.4
Republic an ook County :-1 buros and Down
top survey standing in illinois.
next Nov. 7 are:
McGovern
8.3
86.1
5.6
state counties. coupled with it lear lead over
The other statewide popularity standings
Kennedy, 40.9 per cent to Mr. Nixon's 48.1
McCarthy
6.9
86.9
6.3
per cent: Sen. Hubert H. Humphrey (Minn.),
Humphrey
61
87.9
6.0
36.9 per cent to 19.5 per cent for Mr. Nixon;
Jackson
3.8
88.3
7.9
Drug arrest sparks 4½-hour
New York Mayor John V. Lindsay, 36.2 per
Harris
3.0
89.1
7.9
cent to 17.8 per cent for Mr. Nixon: Sen.
George McGovern (S.D.), 35.1 per cent to 18.3
INDEPENDENT VOTERS
per cent for Mr. Nixon: former Sen. Engene
Democrats
Nixon
No choice
J. McCarthy (Minn.), 33.6 per cent to 19.8 per
Muskie
50.8%
38.8%
10.4%
melee at Ohio State campus
cent for Mr. Nixon: Sen. Henry M. Jackson
Kennedy
39.8
45.9
14.3
(Wash.), 24.1 per cent to 53.8 per cent for Mr.
Humphrey
37.9
47.5
14.6
Nixon, and Sen. Fred R. Harris (Okla.). 23.6
McGovern
37.4
41.0
18.6
COLL MBI S. Ohio 11 PD - More than 1,000
"A crowd began to form and the officers
per cent to 54.0 per cent for Mr. Nixon.
Lindsny
36.9
45.9
17.2
youths hurled rocks and brie ks at police early
too' the suspect from the area." he said.
Among Chicago voters, it was only Mus-
McCarthy
35.3
45.9
18.8
Saturday in a melee touched off by a drug
"Ai that same time we ordered all marked
kie's showing with independents that allowed
Jackson
21.4
52.0
26.6
arrest near the Ohio State 1 niversity campus
cats from the location.
him to claim a popularity lead of nine-tenths
Harris
20.5
53.2
26.3
Police used tear gas to disperse the crowd.
"The crowd continued to grow. And then
of a point over Kennedy.
900
THE WHITE
WASHINGTON
Date: 11/3
TO:
H. R. Haldeman
FROM: JOHN C. WHITAKER
FYI - If President is in a
grim mood about Farm Belt.
Illinois farm support for Nixon
is strong in September
Farmers approve of wage-price freeze overwhelmingly,
exactly half like job Agnew is doing
PRESIDENT Richard Nixon has a comfort-
Under 40
40-60
Over60
Repub.
Demo.
Indep.
able majority of Illinois farmers who approve of
Strongly approve
13
15
10
Strongly approve
55
44
37
the job he is doing. About half of the Illinois
Mildly approve
35
38
36
Mildly approve
28
24
35
Neutral or undecided
33
25
29
Undecided, no opinion
11
12
12
farmers polled approve of the job being done by
Mildly disapprove
9
13
12
Mildly disapprove
4
9
4
Vice-President Spiro Agnew.
Strongly disapprove
10
9
13
Strongly disapprove
2
II
12
The poll was taken in personal interviews of
Illinois farmers a month after the wage-price
It may seem surprising to some people but
When our interviewers asked Illinois farmers
freeze. This probably had a positive effect on
farmers with a grade school education gave less
who they would like to see as the Democratic
their opinions because when questioned about
support to Vice-President Agnew than the
opponent of President Nixon in the 1972 elec-
the president's wage-price freeze, nearly three-
college-trained farmers.
tion, here is the answer we received when we
fourths of the farmers polled expressed approval.
Another interesting aspect of the vote on
said, "Pick the one you think would be best for
Here is how Illinois farmers answered the
Agnew by education is that altho college-
the country if he were to win the 1972 presi-
question "On the whole, do you approve or dis-
trained farmers are less apt to be undecided
dential election." (Figures are percentages of
approve of the job Richard M. Nixon is doing
about any issue, in this case they are the most
those polled.)
as president of the United States?" We have
added the neighboring state of Indiana for com-
perplexed of the 3 educational groups, grade
Men
Women
Total
school, high school, and college. Nearly 38%
parison. (Figures are percentages of farmers
Edmund Muskie (Maine)
21
15
18
of the college-trained Illinois farmers don't
polled.)
Ted Kennedy (Mass.)
11
12
11
quite know what to think of Agnew.
Hubert Humphrey (Minn.)
9
10
9
Total
Total
There may be some relationship between the
Men
George McGovern (S. D.)
6
5
5
Women
III.
Ind.
Strongly approve
farmer approval of President Nixon and the
Eugene McCarthy (Minn.)
6
4
5
17
15
16
21
Mildly approve
49
44
46
wage-price freeze. Here is how Illinois farmers
John Lindsay (N. Y.)
4
5
5
39
Neutral or undecided
20
answered the question "As you know, the presi-
Birch Bayh (Ind.)
2
5
4
14
22
18
Henry M. Jackson (Wash.)
4
3
Mildly disapprove
12
13
13
12
Fred R. Harris (Okla.)
0
3
1
Strongly disapprove
8
6
7
8
90 days. Do you approve or disapprove of this
Not sure. don't like any
37
40
39
move?" We are including Indiana figures for
The Illinois poll shows that farmers with more
comparison.
A substantial number of farmers indicated
formal education supported Nixon more than
Total
Total
those with less education. The following is the
Men
Women
III.
Ind.
that they were not sure who the candidate ought
breakdown according to education:
Strongly disapprove
52
41
47
44
to be or they didn't like any of them.
Mildly approve
25
31
28
29
When the opinions of farmers were broken
Grade
High
Undecided, no opinion
10
14
12
13
down according to their political affiliation,
school
school
College
Mildly disapprove
5
6
5
7
Ted Kennedy emerged as a strong contender
Strongly approve
17
16
14
Strongly disapprove
8
8
8
7
with Edmund Muskie. Here is how farmers
Mildly approve
40
46
52
selected candidates according to political affili-
Neutral or undecided
20
17
21
In spite of the unpleasant experience with
ation:
Mildly disapprove
12
14
10
OPA price ceilings during World War II, older
Strongly disapprove
11
7
3
farmers are just as strong for the wage-price
Repub.
Demo.
Indep.
Edmund Muskie (Maine)
17
22
20
freeze as are younger farmers.
Both high and low-income farmers were in
Ted Kennedy (Mass.)
5
21
11
close agreement. Of the farmers polled who
Many economists are opposed to the whole
Hubert Humphrey (Minn.)
9
12
9
grossed over $20,000 a year, 68% favored Nixon
idea of a wage-price freeze because of its un-
George McGovern (S. D.)
6
3
6
workability, its distortion, and the difficulty
Eugene McCarthy (Minn.)
7
2
4
while 60% of those with incomes under $20,000
in removing it. In spite of this attitude, Illinois
John Lindsay (N. Y.)
5
4
5
favored Nixon.
farmers with more formal education were over-
Birch Bayh (Ind.)
4
3
3
Here is how Illinois farmers answered the
whelmingly in favor of the Nixon move. Here
Henry M. Jackson (Wash.)
4
2
1
question "On the whole, do you approve or dis-
is how the farmers polled voted on the wage-
Fred R, Harris (Okla.)
1
2
2
approve of the job Spiro Agnew is doing as
price freeze according to formal education.
Not sure, don't like any
42
29
39
vice-president of the United States?" We have
added the response of Indiana farmers for com-
Grade
High
Nearly all of these presidential hopefuls are
parison:
school
school
College
strong liberals with McGovern, Harris, and
Strongly approve
39
48
51
McCarthy the most liberal and Humphrey,
Total
Total
Mildly approve
23
29
30
Bayh, Kennedy, and Lindsay not far behind.
Men
Women
III.
Ind.
Neutral or undecided
17
11
11
Muskie comes across as a more moderate liberal
Strongly approve
16
10
13
17
Mildly disapprove
6
6
2
but he hasn't fully revealed his position on many
Mildly approve
38
35
37
30
Strongly disapprove
15
6
6
issues.
Neutral or undecided
25
32
28
32
Mildly disapprove
10
13
12
9
As might be expected, Republican farmers
Kennedy support fell off as the educational
Strongly disapprove
11
10
10
12
are stronger for the wage-price freeze than
level of farmers rose, whereas the support for
Democrat farmers, but Republicans, Demo-
Muskie rose as the educational level rose. But
Agnew gets less support from farmers over
crats, and Independents all favor the wage-
Kennedy had stronger support among younger
60 than he does among younger farmers. Here
price freeze. Here is how they voted by politi-
farmers than among the older ones, especially
is how they voted according to age:
cal affiliation:
in the 18-21 age bracket.
Prairie Farmer-October 16, 1971
15
MEMORANDUM
H neesee
THE WHITE .OUSE
G
WASHINGTON
October 6, 1971
File
Polls
of
MEMORANDUM FOR:
JOHN MITCHELL
BOB HALDEMAN
FROM:
DON RUMSFELD
i
(
Attached is an article from the CHICAGO TODAY by Jack
Mabley. He is a very decent, intelligent and respected
political observer in the State of Illinois. As you will note,
he voted for President Nixon in 1968. In addition he is a
friend and supporter of Governor Ogilvie and Chuck Percy.
9/30
Today
current rate of 100 3 month? How many thousands of B-52
beer a fine governor, and will be tough in the campaign.
Jack Mebley
strikes in Southeast Asia at a cost of $25,000 to $45,000 for
bombs and fuel alone for one plane for one sortic? to thou-
DALEY WILL decide who is the organization candidate.
sand a month [the current rate], or $25 million worth a
One of his conceits is keeping everybody hanging until the
Prediction:
month?
last minute on who gets his nod. With rare exceptions it
turns cut to be the logical and the most competent man.
WHAT WOULD $35 million do for the Chicago schools?
Daley respects Simon as a very successful politician. As
Democratic
Maybe Humphrcy would have made as big a mess of
governor, Simon would work with, not against, Daley in
the economy and the military as Nixon has, but Nixon won,
projects and legislation to benefit the city. Simon is inde-
and it will be his record 0'1 the In in 1972.
pendent and incorruptible. So was Gov. Stevenson, who
11 sweep
This record will drag down the whole Republican ticket,
made Daley state revenue director. Daley gets slong with
at least in Illinois, which MA Nixon regards as a key state,
honest independents.
maybe the key state.
Simon would be a fool to answer the question of wheth-
er he would run in the Democratic primary if he doesn't get
These progno. lications are subject to change due to acts
Daley's backing. I have never talked with Simon about it,
OCTOBER, 1072: For President. Nimon vs. Muslie, For
of Cod on the Supreme Court OZ circumstance. Something
but knowing him, I am certain he would run.
governor, Ogilvie vs. Simon [Paul, not Seymour]. For U. S.
might happen to Mion. The Supreme Court might give Rep.
Dalay has to remember when he was an up-ond-consing
senator, Percy VS. Mikva. For secretary of state, John
Ab Mikva back his congressional district. Kennedy might
junior in the Kelly-Nash machine when the machine decided
Lewis vs. Milie Howlett.
say he will not run if nominated, or he might say he wants
to dump Menry Horner. There was a primary fight, Morner
Witners: All the Democrats.
the nomination.
VS. Dr. Herman Bundesen. Horner was SO strong downstate
This is funtusizing on facts 13 months before the elec-
I am reasonably confident that neither Ogilvie nor Si-
he W0.1 handily. This 'vas in 1937. Simon has the same kind
11on. The shakled guess is Muskie, because a spontaneous
mon will be shown to own race track stock. Cgilvie has
of strength in 1971.
convention outpurst might propel Sen. Kennedy into the
noralnation.
The at dacious suggestion of a Democratic sweep comes
from a gut feeling that people are sick '.0 death of the war
which never ends, and of having to scratch and serounge
and strike and threaten to strike to get enough raises to
Ecep =p with Inflation.
EVI RY ELECTION lately In which it was scil the
war no longer is a major issue I've said hogwash, and I say
Legwnsh again. As long as we have scores. of thousands of
American men in that miserable land, and hundreds of
process retting in cells, and our young men threatened
with draft into an Army that is coming apart at the seams
under Commander-in-Chief Nixon, the war will influence the
vote.
I voted for Nixon three years *go because he said he
:..) :. D: in to end the war, and I beheve he meant within a
year. The thousands of dead Americans, and tens of thou-
sunds of maimed, and the terrible negket of our schools
and cities because of was priority can't be crased by a
scheally timed withdrawn leadir up to the election.
How many more Americans will d.c and De taken pris-
oner in the next 12 months? "Only" 1,260 dead at the
PRESIDENT MUSKIE?
GOV. SIMON?
SEN. MIKVA?
SECRETARY HOWLETT?
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
September 27, 1971
FOR:
BOB HALDEMAN
FROM:
DON RUMSFELD 7
CONFIDENTIAL
Hnot see G see 9/28
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12085, Section 6-102
By EP ER Date 4-27-82
File
see
Palls
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12065, Section 6-102
September 27, 1971
By Emprise Date 5-23-80
CONFIDENTIAL
MEMORANDUM FOR:
JOHN MITCHELL
BOB HALDEMAN
Attached are the results of a recent questionnaire
sent out by the United Republican Fund in Illinois
to the people who contribute to the Party in the
State of Illinois. I thought you might be interested
in seeing the results.
OPERATION
YOUR REPUBLICAN SPOKESMEN WANT
"FEEDBACK"
YOUR OPINION ON THESE KEY ISSUES
The GOP is your Party. Its leaders speak on
your behalf in public debate on these vital
issues. Use this Operation "Feedback" ques-
tionaire to tell them what you think. It will
take only a few minutes and we will apprec-
iate your answer.
RETURN TO: UNITED REPUBLICAN FUND 80 E. JACKSON CHICAGO, ILL. 60604
1. What do you believe are the three most important issues facing the United States? Please
write 1, 2 or 3 opposite the issues listed below: Total Vote - 1095
1st Choice
2nd Choice
3rd Choice
The War in Vietnam
291
138
141
Inflation
555
294
85
Freedom of speech & press
6
11
12
Wage & price control
92
263
173
Law enforcement
93
198
290
Civil rights
1
20
38
Campus protests
0
5
14
Unemployment
41
112
146
Lowering taxes to
Stimulate economy
16
147
137
Balance of questions - Total Vote 1203
2. Is the administration doing a good job in your opinion to reduce the rate of inflation?
(Check one below)
Good - 436
Fair - 523
Poor - 216
Don't Know - 27
3. Is the administration doing all it should to reduce unemployment?
Yes - 594
No - 306
Don't Know - 268
4. Do you approve of President Nixon's proposed visit to moinland China?
Approve - 928
Disapprove - 185
Don't Know - 90
5. Should Congress adopt President Nixon's proposal for the federal government to
we
revenue with the states?
Yes - 650
No - 344
Don't Know - 182
Your County
SIGNATURE
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
E.O. 12065, Section 6-102
Date 5-23-80
CONFIDENTIAL
from Pumpild
File Pales-
Ill.
June 7, 1971
MEMORANDUM
SUBJECT:
Illinois Poll
The following was done by a highly reputable and exceedingly
accurate midwestern firm called Market Facts, Inc. They had
a sample of 600, statewide in the State of Illinois. It is about
5 weeks old in terms of the field work. The results were
1)
Job approval:
Approval
Disapproval
Richard Nixon
47%
37%
Agnew
41%
36%
Chuck Percy
61%
23%
2) Percy VS. Scott in a primary:
Percy
51%
Scott
32%
No Opinion
16%
3) Percy VS. Simon in a General Election
Percy
48%
Simon
32%
No Preference 20%
4) Issues. Respondents were provided a list of 15 issues
and asked: Which are the 2 or 3 most important. The
responses were
The war in Southeast Asia
68%
Unemployment
52%
Crime
39%
Pollution
39%
Inflation
32%
Page 2
CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM
5)
Nixon VS. Muskie
Nixon
41%
Muskie
48%
No Preference
9%
Percy VS. Foran
Percy
57%
Foran
32%
No Opinion
10%
6)
Miscellaneous items of interest:
-- 19% said they relied on political advertising
-- 27% had less confidence in government than they used to
-- 27% felt the 91st Congress was a do-nothing Congress
-- 66% felt political campaign expenditures should be
limited by law
-- 42% felt there were too few honest politicians today
-- 38% felt political adds were misleading
WASHINGTON
March 27, 1971
MEMORANDUM FOR:
BOB HALDEMAN
BOB FINCH
FROM:
DONALD RUMSFELD
Attached is a summary of election results in Illinois in recent
years. = - was interested to note that in every election, either
3..... of our top candidates won, or all of our top candidates lost.
1,931,103
1,894,715
33,812-D
1,378,007
2,250,074
572,067-D
42.0
1,740,026
2,147,754
407,728-D
(1)
1,951,984
1,657,830
294,354-R
53.9
-
2,457,327
2,013,920
443,407-R
54.8
Governor
2,317,363
2,089,721
227,642-R
53.5
99
-LT. 3
1,363,683
1,804,338
240,655-D
48.4
2,623,327
1,775,682
847,645-R
59.5
Revernor
2,171,786
2,134,909
36,877-R
50.8
2,307,352
1,949,883
357,469-R
54,1
Prosident
2,363,988
2,377,846
8,858-D
49.0
Governor
2,070,479
2,594,731
524,252-D
44.3
Senator
2,093,846
2,530,943
437,097-D
45.2
562
senator
1,961,202
1,748,007
213,195-R
52.9
47.1
3.
1,905,943
2,796,833
690,887-D
40.5
40.6
2,239,095
2,418,394
179,299-D
48.1
2,100,449
1,678,147
422,302-R
54.9
48.8
3,174,774
2,039,814
134,960-R
47.0
or
2,307,295
2,179,501
127,794-R
51.2
2,358,947
2,073,242
285,705-R
53.0