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This file contains: To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: Minnesota Poll article from MPLS. TRIBUNE, Monday, April 17, 1972, titled "About Half Hold Favorable Views of HHH, Mondale." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 4/20/1972 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry S. Dent RE: Poll from Langley High shows the President to be a landslide winner. "Nixon Victor In Landslide Poll" (Saxon Scope) and "Nixon's Popularity Increases in State" (Minneapolis Tribune) attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 3/13/1972 To: Gordon Strachan From: Mort Allin RE: "For Your Information" RE: MINNEAPOLIS TRIBUNE article titled "Muskie Rated Strongest of Democratic Candidates." (Mon, Feb 14, 1972). 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" RE: Minnesota Poll article. Article titled "Nixon's Re-election Chances Rated Good" (Mon., Feb 21, 1972), attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 2/23/1972 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" RE: Presidential approval rating survey from Minneapolis-St. Paul. Memo from Eugene F. Trumble and Minnesota Statewide Data attached. 16 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/22/1971 To: Bob Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" regarding Minnesota Poll information. Articles titled "Nearly Half Approve of Mondale, Humphrey," and "Majority Believe Nixon Lacks Skill in Vital Areas," attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/2/1971 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Informal state poll from Minnesota. MINNEAPOLIS TRIBUNE article titled "Many Favor Connally as Nixon Running Mate" (08/29/1971) attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1971 Article from Minneapolis Tribune titled "Many Favor Connally as Nixon Running Mate." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Newspaper], 8/29/1971 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Clark MacGregor RE: "For Your Information" regarding Minnesota Poll. Article titled "Humphrey's Popularity Slips 10 Points in State" (06/28/71) attached." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/1/1971 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Polls from Minnesota and California with interesting sections marked. Presidential Approval Survey attached. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/26/1971 To: Bob Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: Memo from George Thiss regarding top leadership Presidential approval survey. Thiss memo and survey responses attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/14/1971

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This file contains: To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: Minnesota Poll article from MPLS. TRIBUNE, Monday, April 17, 1972, titled "About Half Hold Favorable Views of HHH, Mondale." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 4/20/1972 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry S. Dent RE: Poll from Langley High shows the President to be a landslide winner. "Nixon Victor In Landslide Poll" (Saxon Scope) and "Nixon's Popularity Increases in State" (Minneapolis Tribune) attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 3/13/1972 To: Gordon Strachan From: Mort Allin RE: "For Your Information" RE: MINNEAPOLIS TRIBUNE article titled "Muskie Rated Strongest of Democratic Candidates." (Mon, Feb 14, 1972). 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], no date To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" RE: Minnesota Poll article. Article titled "Nixon's Re-election Chances Rated Good" (Mon., Feb 21, 1972), attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 2/23/1972 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" RE: Presidential approval rating survey from Minneapolis-St. Paul. Memo from Eugene F. Trumble and Minnesota Statewide Data attached. 16 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/22/1971 To: Bob Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" regarding Minnesota Poll information. Articles titled "Nearly Half Approve of Mondale, Humphrey," and "Majority Believe Nixon Lacks Skill in Vital Areas," attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 11/2/1971 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Informal state poll from Minnesota. MINNEAPOLIS TRIBUNE article titled "Many Favor Connally as Nixon Running Mate" (08/29/1971) attached. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/9/1971 Article from Minneapolis Tribune titled "Many Favor Connally as Nixon Running Mate." 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Newspaper], 8/29/1971 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Clark MacGregor RE: "For Your Information" regarding Minnesota Poll. Article titled "Humphrey's Popularity Slips 10 Points in State" (06/28/71) attached." 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 7/1/1971 To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Polls from Minnesota and California with interesting sections marked. Presidential Approval Survey attached. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/26/1971 To: Bob Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: Memo from George Thiss regarding top leadership Presidential approval survey. Thiss memo and survey responses attached. 3 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/14/1971
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 44 24 4/20/1972 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: Minnesota Poll article from MPLS. TRIBUNE, Monday, April 17, 1972, titled "About Half Hold Favorable Views of HHH, Mondale." 2pgs 44 24 3/13/1972 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry S. Dent RE: Poll from Langley High shows the President to be a landslide winner. "Nixon Victor In Landslide Poll" (Saxon Scope) and "Nixon's Popularity Increases in State" (Minneapolis Tribune) attached. 3pgs 44 24 Campaign Memo To: Gordon Strachan From: Mort Allin RE: "For Your Information" RE: MINNEAPOLIS TRIBUNE article titled "Muskie Rated Strongest of Democratic Candidates." (Mon, Feb 14, 1972). 2pgs 44 24 2/23/1972 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" RE: Minnesota Poll article. Article titled "Nixon's Re-election Chances Rated Good" (Mon., Feb 21, 1972), attached. 2pgs 44 24 11/22/1971 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" RE: Presidential approval rating survey from Minneapolis-St. Paul. Memo from Eugene F. Trumble and Minnesota Statewide Data attached. 16pgs Thursday, February 23, 2012 Page 1 of 2 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 44 24 11/2/1971 Campaign Memo To: Bob Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "For Your Information" regarding Minnesota Poll information. Articles titled "Nearly Half Approve of Mondale, Humphrey," and "Majority Believe Nixon Lacks Skill in Vital Areas," attached. 3pgs 44 24 9/9/1971 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Informal state poll from Minnesota. MINNEAPOLIS TRIBUNE article titled "Many Favor Connally as Nixon Running Mate" (08/29/1971) attached. 2pgs 44 24 8/29/1971 Campaign Newspaper Article from Minneapolis Tribune titled "Many Favor Connally as Nixon Running Mate." 1pg 44 24 7/1/1971 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Clark MacGregor RE: "For Your Information" regarding Minnesota Poll. Article titled "Humphrey's Popularity Slips 10 Points in State" (06/28/71) attached." 2pgs 44 24 5/26/1971 Campaign Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: Polls from Minnesota and California with interesting sections marked. Presidential Approval Survey attached. 9pgs 44 24 5/14/1971 Campaign Memo To: Bob Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: Memo from George Thiss regarding top leadership Presidential approval survey. Thiss memo and survey responses attached. 3pgs Thursday, February 23, 2012 Page 2 of 2 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date : April 20, 1972 To: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: HARRY DENT IDSD Please handle For your information Poll Mpls. TRIBUNE - Monday, April 17, 1972 DD views of HHH, Mondaie Capyright 1972 Minneopolis Trisune About half of the state's voters have favorable impres- sions of Sens. Walter Mondale and Hubert Humphrey, according to the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poil. .1 However, in a mid-March survey of 600 men and women, more state residents hold an unhavorable opinion of Humphrey (42 percent) than of Mondale (24 percent). The difference arises because more Mins esotans are neu- tral or undecided about Mondale. Both men are running for office this year, Mondale for reelection and Humplacy for the presidency. Both are Democrats. or the people interviewed. 33 percent classi- fied themselves as Democratic-Farber-l aborites, 26 per- cent as Republicans, and 34 percent CS independents. The remaining 4 percent considered themselves members of other parties or declined to answer. Their ratings: Mondale Humphrey Strong approval 19% 19% Mild approval 30 29 Neutral or noncommittal 28 10 Mild disapproval 17 23 Strong disapproval 7 19 100% 100% The popularity of both Mondale and Htmplarey is about at the same level now as in a Minne sota Poll survey tak- en in mid-February. Each person in the survey was given an 11-point rating scale to indicate his reactions toward the two leaders and how strongly he reacted. The results of the Minneapolis Tilbure's Minnesota Poll are based on personal in-the-home incerviews with COG 1991 and Winder IS yours at conolder. Responsable 2.00 related (V problem somplaing procedures need interviewed by STREET A 110 trained interviewers. The Minumete Pell was established in 1P44 as equidle cervice, File THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON minn Polls March 13, 1972 it neednt see G 3/14 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN JEB MAGRUDER FROM: HARRY S. DENT DED Attached is a poll taken at Langley High School in McLean, Virginia. It shows the President to be a landslide winner. This is a little better than what would have been expected. Attached also is a poll from Minnesota. Vol. VII, No. 10 Langley High School McLean. Va. 22101 Feb. 25, 1972 Nixon Victor In Landslide Poll Apparently Abbie Hoffman coming in third. Surprisingly, There were 597 votes cast for has not made a deep impression on Comedian Pat Paulsen, who for- Democratic candidates, enough to Langley students. A recent school- merly appeared on the Smothers beat President Nixon. When the wide presidential poll revealed Brothers Comedy Hour. ranked votes for "liberal" candidates are that most student support here fourth in the race. added they only totaled 384 -- remains with Richard Nixon. And "The epitome of the whole which doesn't even approach the out of 1,455 votes cast, no more thing is these write-ins," remarked conservative vote. than 66 ballots were for any one a horrified ballot counter as he A blue jean clad junior agreed: "liberal" democrat. stared at the sizable total for "I sure hope the revolution isn't Senator Edmund Muskie (D- Snoopy, Mickey Mouse. Mr. counting on Langley students to Me.) drew the second largest Cabelus, Stalin and W.C. Fields. lead the fight "cause it looks like amount of votes with Congress- "Do you know that some of these going to sit this one out. man Paul McCloskey (R-Ca.) kids will be voting next year?" Richard Nixon 588 Edmund Muskie 219 Fires Match Up Paul McCloskey 118 Pat Paul en 98 The recent epidemic of infec- be. So far we've only done little George McGovern 66 tious pyromania, which has left a Hubert Humphrey 65 couple bathrooms and even more things. We could put in a bomb. George Wallace 55 administrators a little worse for but we don't want to hurt any- body. We also don't want any big Shirley Chisolm 49 the wear, was the subject of an Henry Jackson 44 arranged telephone conversation government investigation, no gov- John Lindsey 39 between representatives of the ernment guys coming in or any- thing. When asked about the Eugene McCarthy 37 anonymous revolutionary virus, Sam Yorty and members of the YON possibility of M OPF Two male voices. giving tongue. swered, Well sure, we'd like to Vance Hartke 1455 but don't want to take a chance on to a "fairly organized" group of Nixon hurting other people." 41% "about ten" activists, explained Muskie 15% their insurrectionary actions. Said Bathrooms Locked McCloskey 9% the first delevate. "For one thing, The voices said that adminis- Paulsen 7% we're here to get an education. It's trative and teacher reaction so far Total Republican Votes like a prison here. Cabelus and has been fairly consistent. (according to Candidates) 804 those jerks have some authority, "They're kind of scared and mad, Total Democratic Votes but they over-using it. They and they seem pretty aggravated." (according to Candidates) 651 can't run our lives. Somebody has They said that last Tuesday. how- to show him that he's not king.' ever. when all except the lobby The voice went on to say that bathrooms were locked, a fire was Student "We've each had personal experi- set in the bovs restroom and Mr. by Don Leavens ences with administrative injus- Cabelus and Mr. Debusk put it tice. In general, we're just hell- While many students will be out themselves, without evacuat- raisers, but we also do it to get involved in summer occupations ing the building. "We're kind of back. We don't have to put up and recreation, 15 Langley stu- mad about them locking the bath- dents will spend almost a month with the way they treat us. Some room doors. They shouldn't have abroad. Those selected from Lan- way Cabelus is going to get in taken it out on the rest of the trouble with the Fire Marshall or gley are juniors and sophomores: school when it was just a few of us. somebody. If he's going to act Laurie Henderson. Jill Karsten, We knew they wouldn't keep them bad, so can we." Laurie Mathis, Dottie Harsher, locked 100 long, though. because The activists described their Brian McCreight, John Vorhaus, they know that if we want to get in actions so far as mild. "We could Duncan Barlow, Mike Bailey, there's no way to keep US out. It's do alot worse things," they said. Ann Merritt, Beth Grabowski. alot smarter keeping them open "It's been really easy; we're not Kaethe Gay, Sherry Christie, than buying new locks all the even being as sneaky as we could Ginny Dent. Judy Page. Chris time." U.N. Club Receives More The United Nations club has brought back more awards, this time from the North American Invitational Model United Na- tions held four days last weekend at the Shorcham Hotel. Participants' ability to portrav accurately the nation assigned to them carried at first group one of the second believe A Repre- senting the of Ran Minneapolis Tribune Nixon's popularity Minnecota increases in state Poll CC Copyright 1972 Minneapolis Tribune "They were made public to influence North Vietnam into Republicans in Minnesota are impressed with President agreeing to terms. He was trying to make himself look Nixon's efforts to settle the Vietnam War by secret like a good guy in front of war protesters and the public. peace talks, while Democrats and independent voters see He's looking forward to the election.' (Minneapolis man, nothing new in the attempt. These conclusions stem 22) from a statewide survey just completed by the Minneap- olis Tribune's Minnesota Poll. The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll are based on personal in-the-home interviews Over-all, among 600 men and women interviewed with 600 men and women 18 years of age or older. about two weeks ago, 30 percent said they consider the Respondents are selected by probability sampling secret talks a significant development in efforts 10 end procedures and interviewed by a staff of 110 trained the war, but 58 percent said they feel nothing particu- interviewers. The Minnesota Poll was established in larly new was proposed. 1944 as a public service. On Jan. 25, President Nixon announced that Henry Kis- singer and top Communist officials had conferred pri- vately for a two-and-one-half-year period without reach- ing agreement with North Vietnam. If the talks were unsuccessful, why were they made pub- lic? Politics and the upcoming fall election were cited most often by state residents (41 percent). Others said the talks were announced because of public pressure on the administration (9 percent), to improve the President's image or gain sympathy for him (6 per- cent), and to put administration critics on the defensive (5 percent). On the other hand, 13 percent said the talks were made public to let Americans know.that the administration is trying and to give them hope for peace, and 10 percent said the reason was to keep the public informed. Six percent said it was done because the secret talks would have gotten out anyway, 5 percent said it was to put pressure on North Vietnam to negotiate, and 3 per- cent said making the talks public was related to Mr. Nix- Five percent gave a variety of other answers, and 16 per- cent were indefinite. Regardless of Minnesotans opinions on the peace talks or President Nixon's motives, answers to another ques- tion in the survey show that the proportion of Minneso- tans approving of the President increased from 42 per- cent in mid-January to 46 percent in the current survey which was conducted the weekend Mr. Nixon began his China trip. Mid- Current January survey Strong approval of President Nixon 14% 16% Mild approval 28 30 Neutral or noncommittal 13 16 Mild disapproval 25 21 Strong disapproval 20 17 The first question about the peace talks was: "Last month, President Nixon revealed that secret peace talks have been held on the Vietnam War. Do you consider the secret peace talks a significant devel- opment in trying to end the war, or merely a continua- tion of what the administration has publicly said it is trying to do?" The replies for all adults and by political preference: Inde- All Repub- pend- adults DFLers licans ents A significant development 30% 21% 51% 29% Continuation of present policy 58 69 36 59 Other answers or no opinion 12 10 13 12 Interviewers then asked (the answers already reported above): "Why do you think President Nixon made the secret peace talks public?" What Minnesotans said: "President Nixon probably thought it was about time to do it. He is quite a politician himself, he look quite a bit of ammunition away from the Democrats when he an- nounced it." (Minneapolis woman, age 73) "Maybe someone else was going to make them public, so he thought he'd beat them to it." (Redwood County man, THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON FROM: MORT ALLIN TO: GordonStrachan FYI 2B Xeray= Roy Fle Blast Minneapolis Tribune Mon., Feb. 14, 1972 sewer in N.D Muskie rated strongest Minnesota Associat Poll Glenbun of Democratic candidates Gas an 00 were re Glenbur day aft Copyright 1972 Minneapolis Tribune tion the Kennedy millions. He should have at least the plosion Minnesotans who feel that Sen. Edmund Muskie, D- remnants of the Kennedy following." (Minneapolis inde- city lift Maine, would be a stronger Democratic presidential can- pendent, 27) didate than Sen. Hubert Humphrey in this fall's election Author. outnumber those who feel that Humphrey would be the "Because of the base of political power he (Humphrey) functio best contender. has built in the past. He has been through this thing be- propan fore and will run his campaign differently. He is further the un Thirty-eight percent of the 600 men and women inter- to the right than Muskie and will pull more votes from pipes f viewed by the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll Nixon." (Richfield Republican, 58) tion. chose Muskie as the strongest, followed by Humphrey with 29 percent. The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll Mayor are based on personal in-the-home interviews with 600 the Sen. Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts was third in the men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents was preference of Minnesotans with 17 percent. are selected by probability sampling procedures and in- blast terviewed by a staff of 110 trained interviewers. The damag Five other announced candidates, Sen. Vance Hartke of Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public serv. trols. Indiana, Sen. Henry Jackson of Washington, New York ice. restor Mayor John Lindsay, Eugene McCarthy and Sen. George noon. McGovern of South Dakota, shared 12 percent. One per- cent mentioned other possible candidates, and 3 percent were undecided. White dog comes aboard The II was IV said, 1 Although Humphrey does better among his own party members, Muskie still leads among DFLers by 37 to 33 asking man for help velop and percent. Among Republicans and independent voters, pecte: about 4 out of 10 chose Muskie compared with one- Terry Kaase was the only check, Kaase realized yeste fourth who said Humphrey would be the strongest can- person for miles along the there was a sound in the didate. Mississippi River when silent Sunday. A dog the white dog showed up whining. The 600 men and women interviewed the weekend of Sunday afternoon. Jap Jan. 14 were shown a card listing potential candidates He followed the white dog in alphabetical order and asked: Kaase, a 21-year-old sen- down the dock and found, is ior at the University of not a master prowling "Here are some of the men that have been mentioned Minnesota, was cleaning a aboard one of the boats afte as possible Democratic presidential candidates this fall. bunk room on the towboat but another dog, out there Which one do you think would run strongest against Asso Santee. in the water. It was all the President Nixon?" way in, but hanging on to It's part of his job as Sun- the edge of the ice with its Toky (The list did not include Gov. George Wallace who ran A h day watchman for the front paws. as the American Independent Party candidate in 1968 Fore Twin City Barge and Tow- but has entered primaries as a Democrat or Rep. Shirley ret ing Co. at Newport down- The dog wasn't going to Chisholm, who announced her candidacy after the survey from stream from St. Paul. last long. Kaesel ran was underway.) visit aboard the Viking and What's there to guard are lowered a ladder over the met The replies: Nor a big machinery shed and side onto the ice. Then he mest Inde- a half dozen ice-bound crept out over the piled-up All Repub- pend- towboats including the ice chunks, keeping a The adults DFLers licans ents Santee, the Arch, the tiny hand on the ladder until MI Sen. Edmund Muskle 38% 37% 39% 40% Dan Patch and the big re- he reached the dog. Sen. Hubert Humphrey 29 33 25 26 Sor tired workboat, the Min- Sen. Edward Kennedy 17 19 16 13 the New York Mayor John Lindsay 5 4 7 7 neapolis. He reached down and got Aff Sen. George McGovern 4 2 5 5 his hands under the dog's Eugene McCarthy 2 2 5 1 It's a lonely job, but when shoulders, heaved it out Ha Sen. Henry Jackson 1 * fin - 2 the cleaning is done there and grabbed for the end of Sen. Vance Hartke * 1 of - 1 is solitude for Kaase, 522 the ladder as the water Los Angeles Mayor Sam Yorty VM - - - - Other candidates 1 I - 1 12th Av. SE., to study his flowed over the edge of the No opinion 3 1 3 4 microbiology. ice. ou cit 100% 100% 100% 100% What he thought when the The dog shook itself and H Less than one percent. white dog showed up on trotted up the bank and Each person in the survey also was asked why he felt the dock was that he had away with the white dog, the person he chose would make the strongest candidate. a master with him and the without a word of thanks M Muskie supporters often cited his current exposure to master might he no one of "But I couldn't have 10 the people and party backing while those who chose the boats. beared to let it drown," he No Humphrey often mentioned his past experience and in- said. but terest in the common man. The family name was influ- As he jumped ashore to ential for those who chose Edward Kennedy. What Minnesotans said: "I think he's (Muskie) a brilliant man. The others haven't made that great an impression on me. Lindsay switched, Kennedy had problems, Humphrey talks too much, Mc- Carthy ruined himself last time, and the others are not well known." (Lakeville independent voter, age 25) "He's (Humphrey) the most popular with most people. Everybody knows him. (Duluth independent, 77) "Because he'd (Lindsay) have the best appeal to people needed to defeat Nixon-city people and moderate Re- publicans." (St. Paul DFLer, 23) "He's (Kennedy) got the Kennedy charisma, not to men- THE WHITE HOUSE Polls WASHINGTON minn Date: February 23, 1972 TO: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: HARRY DENT HSD Please handle For your information XX 7C Minneapolis Tribune Mon., Feb. 21, 1972 Minnesota Poll 00 Nixon's reelection chances rated good Copyright 1972 Minneapolis Tribune As the 1972 presidential election begins to take shape, more Minnesotans expect that President Nixon will be reelected than think he will lose. They also believe that Vice-President Spiro Agnew should be his running mate, according to a survey by the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll. Although the Democratic Party is in the early stages of selecting a candidate for the November election, 50 per- cent of those questioned said that they expect Mr. Nixon will win, but 40 percent look for a Democratic victory. The questions put to a cross-section of 600 voting-age Minnesotans in mid-January: "Would you like to see Spiro Agnew run again with President Nixon this fall or would you prefer that an- other vice-presidential candidate be chosen to run with President Nixon?" The replies for all adults, and by political affiliation: Inde- All Repub- pend- adults DFLers licans ents Agnew chosen again 47% 39% 63% 47% Another candidate 36 40 31 33 Other answers or no opinion 17 21 6 20 100% 100% 100% 100% When Minnesotans were asked last August which they felt would be better for the Republican Party, a Nixon- Agnew ticket or a Nixon-Connally ticket, 25 percent chose Agnew and 61 percent Connally. Fourteen percent were undecided. "Do you expect that President Nixon will be reelected or defeated in the presidential election this fall?' Inde- All Repub- pend- adults DFLers licans ents Reelected 50% 37% 77% 48% Defeated 40 57 15 38 Other answers or no opinion 10 6 8 14 100% 100% 100% 100% The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll are based on personal in-the-home interviews with 600 men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents are serected procedures and in- terviewed by a stan 01 110 trained interviewers. The Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public serv- ice. THE WHITE HOUSE File WASHINGTON minn Date: November 22, TO: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: HARRY DENT PSD Please handle For your information TRUMBLE, SPANO ASSOCIATES, INC. PUBLIC RELATIONS 1678 NORTHWESTERN BANK BUILDING JONATHAN VILLAGE ONE CENTER MINNEAPOLIS, MINN. 55402 612 338-6727 CHASKA, MINN, 55318 612 448-4900 November 19, 1971 program Demar the Mr. Harry Dent They The White House Washington, D. C. Dear Harry: I'm enclosing a set of print-outs of a survey just completed in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area showing the President's approval rating. Of particular significance, I feel, is the final tabulation showing 62% approval of the wage-price freeze. The interview was conducted between Oct. 29 and Nov. 10. In way of benchmarks, I also am sending summaries of five similar polls taken over the past 24 months. A final enclosure is additional detail from an August, 1971, survey which breaks out metropolitan-towns-rural. The current poll was taken in the metropolitan area only and I thought you might like to see how that geographical breakdown compares with other parts of the state. The next poll is scheduled for February. If you are interested in this data, I'll get a copy of those results for you. The surveys are conducted quarterly by Mid-Continent Surveys of Minneapolis. I have found their work in the political field to be highly accurate. You might want to use them for more detailed studies in Minnesota, or elsewhere throughout the Midwest. Sincerely, Gene Eugene F. Trumble EFT:js Encls. STATE WIDE DATA mid-continent surveys minneapolis, minnesota ALL THINGS CONSIDERED, WOULD YOU SAY THE JOS NIXON HAS REEN DOING IS ... NOV '69 MAY '70 AUG '70 NOV '70 AUG '71 EXCELLENT 9% 10% 70 76 3% GOOD 38 39 33 35 31 FAIR 36 34 41 38 40 POOR 10 9 11 11 15 VERY POOR 5 6 6 5 7 DON'T KNOW/NO OPINION 2 2 2 4 4 HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THE WAR IN VIETNAM ... STRONGLY APPROVE 78 81 78 8% 48 APPROVE 61 50 51 51 39 DISAPPROVE 19 26 29 25 35 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 6 9 5 6 11 NO OPINION 7 7 8 10 11 HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THINGS HERE AT HOME ... STRONGLY APPROVE 60 " 48 58 20 APPROVE 61 54 50 50 44 DISAPPROVE 21 29 33 32 35 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 4 4 7 6 10 NO OPINION 8 8 6 7 9 (1000) (1000) (1000) (1000) (995) PRORE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA A AUGUST 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC WOULD YOU SAY THAT THE JOB PRESIDENT NIXON HAS BEEN DOING IS ... POPULATION CLASS SEX PROBE 7 CO OTHER OTHER TOTAL METRO TOWNS RURAL MEN WOMEN * * * * * * * * * * * 9 130 SAMPLE 995 470 334 191 430 565 EXCELENT 33 17 13 3 13 20 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 4% GOOD 307 127 118 62 122 185 31% 27% 35% 32% 28% 33% FAIR 398 189 125 84 174 224 40% 40% 37% 44% 40% 40% POOR 153 85 42 26 70 83 15% 18% 13% 14% 16% 15% VERY POOR 66 37 16 13 40 26 7% 8% 5% 7% 9% 5% DONT KNOW / NO OPINION 38 15 20 3 11 27 4% 3% 6% 2% 3% 5% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 995 470 334 191 430 565 55 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA AUGUST 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS IN HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THE WAR IN VIETNAM, DO YOU... POPULATION CLASS SEX PROBE 7 CO OTHER OTHER TOTAL METRO TOWNS RURAL MEN WOMEN * * * * * * * * * * . 131 SAMPLE 995 470 334 191 430 565 STRONGLY APPROVE 44 28 13 3 28 16 4% 6% 4% 2% 7% 3% APPROVE 388 168 139 81 174 214 39% 36% 42% 42% 40% 38% DISAPPROVE 345 163 113 69 144 201 35% 35% 34% 36% 33% 36% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 106 70 22 14 53 53 11% 15% 7% 7% 12% 9% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 112 41 47 24 31 81 11% 9% 14% 13% 7% 14% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 995 470 334 191 430 565 35 41 42 43 4 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 53 ( PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA AUGUST 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS I HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THINGS HERE IN THE US, DO YOU 47 POPULATION CLASS SEX PROBE 7 CO OTHER OTHER TOTAL METRO TOWNS RURAL MEN WOME * * * * * * * * * * * 132 SAMPLE 995 470 334 191 430 56 STRONGLY APPROVE 21 13 7 1 7 1 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2 APPROVE 437 182 152 103 188 24 44% 39% 46% 54% 44% 44 DISAPPROVE 348 190 99 59 159 18 35% 40% 30% 31% 37% 33 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 97 58 27 12 47 5 10% 12% 8% 6% 11% 9 DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 92 27 49 16 29 6 9% 6% 15% 8% 72 11 TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 905 470 334 191 430 56 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC WOULD YOU SAY THAT THE JOB PRESIDENT NIXON HAS BEEN DOING IS... PROBE POLITICAL MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL METRO PREFERENCE TOTAL GOP DFL IND CITY SUB CITY SUB * # * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 130 SAMPLE 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 EXCELLENT 4% 13% 3% 3% 7% 1% 2% GOOD 27% 56% 15% 28% 25% 35% 14% 29% FAIR 43% 27% 52% 42% 43% 42% 50% 39% POOR 14% 2% 19% 16% 17% 8% 20% 14% VERY POOR 8% 1% 12% 9% 9% 6% 8% 11% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 3% 1% 3% 3% 4% 1% 6% 5% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 PROBE . A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC WOULD YOU SAY THAT THE JOB PRESIDENT NIXON HAS BEEN DOING IS... PROBE SEX AGE EDUCATION 1970 INCOME METRO UNDER 35 50 65 & NOT HS HS SOME UNDER 5000 10000 TOTAL MEN WOMEN 35 TO 49 TO 64 OVER GRAD GRAD CLLGE 5000 9999 &OVER * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 130 SAMPLE 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 EXCELLENT 4% 6% 2% 4% 5% 5% 4% 2% 5% 4% 3% 5% GOOD 27% 25% 28% 23% 29% 30% 32% 18% 28% 32% 19% 23% 33% FAIR 43% 40% 45% 45% 47% 40% 37% 44% 48% 38% 39% 45% 44% POOR 14% 14% 14% 19% 9% 17% 10% 16% 11% 16% 21% 17% 11% VERY POOR 8% 11% 6% 6% 9% 6% 16% 9% 8% 8% 10% 9% 7% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 6% 9% 2% 1% 6% 4% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THE WAR IN VIETNAM, DO YOU PROBE SEX AGE EDUCATION 1970 INCOME METRO UNDER 35 50 65 & NOT HS HS SOME UNDER 5000 10000 TOTAL MEN WOMEN 35 TO 49 TO 64 OVER GRAD GRAD CLLGE 5000 9999 &OVER * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * W * * 131 SAMPLE 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 STROUGLY APPROVE 4% in 2% 3% 6% 5% 3% 3% 3% 7% 3% 7% APPROVE 37% 47% 30% 32% 44% 39% 37% 28% 44% 37% 21% 36% 45% DISAPPROVE 38% 26% 46% 45% 34% 34% 32% 42% 36% 37% 42% 40% 35% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 13% 15% 11% 14% 11% 13% 14% 10% 10% 18% 16% 16% 11% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 8% 4% 10% 6% 5% 9% 14% 17% 7% 2% 17% 3% 12 TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC NIXONS WAGE-PRICE FREEZE AND OTHER STEPS TO CONTROL INFLATION, DO YOU. PROBE POLITICAL MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL METRO PREFERENCE TOTAL GOP DFL IND CITY SUB CITY SUB * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 134 SAMPLE 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 STRONGLY APPROVE 167 32% 11% 10% 12% 22% 10% 14% APPROVE 46% 51% 43% 52% 46% 49% 46% 42% DISAPPROVE 23% 11% 26% 26% 20% 21% 25% 29% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 9% 3% 14% 5% 10% 4% 14% 10% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 6% 2% 6% 7% 12% 3% 5% 6% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC NIXONS WAGE-PRICE FREEZE AND OTHER STEPS TO CONTROL INFLATION, DO YOU.. PROBE SEX AGE EDUCATION 1970 INCOME METRO UNDER 35 50 65 & NOT HS HS SOME UNDER 5000 10000 TOTAL MEN WOMEN 35 TO 49 TO 64 OVER GRAD GRAD CLLGE 5000 9999 &OVER * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * # * * * * * * * * * de * * 134 SAMPLE 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 TRONGLY APPROVE 16% 22% 11% 142 17% 17% 17% 11% 16% 18% 11% 13% 20% APPROVE 46% 44% 48% 47% 48% 42% 48% 39% 47% 50% 45% 41% 50% MICAPPROVE 23% 21% 24% 24% 22% 26% 17% 28% 22% 20% 23% 30% 19% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 9% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 5% 10% 11% 6% 9% 9% 8% nost KNOW/NO OPINION 6% 4% 8% 6% 4% 5% 13% 12% 3% 5% 11% 7% 3% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC SHOULD NIXON HAVE APPOINTED A WOMAN TO THE U.S. SUPREME COURT, OR NOT PROBE POLITICAL MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL METRO PREFERENCE TOTAL GOP DFL IND CITY SUR CITY SUB # * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * # 133 SAMPLE 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 YES - SHOULD 35% 29% 40% 32% 43% 30% 39% 27% NO - SHOULD NOT 41% 49% 38% 41% 32% 49% 33% 48% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 24% 23% 22% 28% 25% 21% 27% 25% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 PROBE - A GUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC SHOULD NIXON HAVE APPOINTED A WOMAN TO THE U.S. SUPREME COURT, OR NOT PROBE SEX AGE EDUCATION 1970 INCOME METRO UNDER 35 50 65 & NOT HS HS SOME UNDER 5000 10000 TOTAL MEN WOMEN 35 TO 49 TO 64 OVER GRAD GRAD CLLGE 5000 9999 &OVER * * * * * * * * * * **......... * * * * * * * * * 133 SAMPLE 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 YES - SHOULD 35% 31% 38% 38% 30% 39% 33% 34% 34% 38% 39% 39% 33% NO - SHOULD NOT 41% 39% 42% 35% 44% 45% 48% 46% 39% 40% 38% 33% 44% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 24% 30% 20% 28% 26% 16% 19% 21% 28% 22% 23% 28% 23% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 216 PROBE - A CUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THINGS HERE R IN THE U.S., DO YOU... PROBE POLITICAL MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL METRO PREFERENCE TOTAL GOP DFL IND CITY SUB CITY SUB * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 132 SAMPLE 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 STRONGLY APPROVE 3% 8% 3% 4% 4% 1% APPROVE 47% 72% 38% 46% 40% 56% 43% 46% DISAPPROVE 34% 14% 46% 30% 39% 29% 32% 38% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 10% 2% 12% 14% 12% 6% 13% 8% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 6% 4% 5% 7% 5% 4% 11% 7% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THINGS HERE IN THE U.S., DO YOU... PROBE SEX AGE EDUCATION 1970 INCOME METRO UNDER 35 50 65 & NOT HS HS SOME UNDER 5000 1000 TOTAL MEN WOMEN 35 TO 49 TO 64 OVER GRAD GRAD CLLGE 5000 9999 gnvr * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * to * * - in 132 SAMPLE 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 21 STRONGLY APPROVE 3% 5% 1% 3% 2% 3% 5% 3% 2% 4% 6% 3% APPROVE 47% 45% 48% 45% 49% 53% 41% 37% 51% 49% 37% 41% 54 DISAPPROVE 34% 33% 35% 36% 34% 38% 27% 39% 35% 31% 33% 41% 34 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 10% 12% 8% 11% 8% 5% 13% 7% 8% 13% 13% 9% 8 DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 6% 5% 7% 5% 6% 1% 14% 14% 4% 4% 11% 7% : TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100 462 189 273 192 128 77 63 116 179 167 98 105 2 PROBE - A QUARTERLY SURVEY OF MINNESOTA ADULTS NOVEMBER 1971 CONDUCTED BY MID-CONTINENT SURVEYS INC HOW ABOUT THE WAY NIXON HAS HANDLED THE WAR IN VIETNAM, DO YOU PROBE POLITICAL MINNEAPOLIS ST PAUL METRO PREFERENCE TOTAL GOP DFL IND CITY SUB CITY SUB * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 131 SAMPLE 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 STRONGLY APPROVE 4% 12% 1% 3% 2% 8% 1% 5% APPROVE 37% 57% 27% 41% 30% 44% 27% 45% DISAPPROVE 38% 24% 47% 34% 39% 35% 42% 37% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 13% 1% 18% 13% 16% 10% 18% 10% DONT KNOW/NO OPINION 8% 6% 6% 9% 13% 3% 12% 4% TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 462 105 226 116 138 156 84 84 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date: November 2, 1971 TO: BOB HALDEMAN FROM: HARRY DENT ASD Please handle For your information File minn Palls Tribune 10-27-71 Minnesota Poll DO Nearly half approve of Mondale, Humphrey Copyright 71 Minneapolis Tribune Sen. Walter Mondale and Sen. Hubert H. Humphrey both on approval of nearly half the voting-age resi- dents questioned in a statewide survey by the Minne- apolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll. Approval of Mondale stands at 49 percent, while 23 per- cent disapprove. The remainder (28 percent) are in the neutral group or had no opinion. Humphrey, with 47 percent approval and 38 percent disapproval, has improved his standing with the elec- torate since July. The I( llowing table compares the popularity of Minne- sota's two Democratic senators in July and late September: SEN. WALTER MONDALE July Sept. Strong approval of Mondale 15% 16% Mild approval 34 33 Neutral or noncommittal 29 28 Mild disapproval 16 17 Strong disapproval 6 6 100% 100% SEN. HUBERT HUMPHREY July Sept. Strong approval of Humphrey 14% 17% Mild approval 30 30 Neutral or noncommittal 17 15 Mild disapproval 22 19 Strong disapproval 17 19 100% 100% The popularity of Humphrey and Mondale was meas- ured by showing each of the men and women in the survey an 11-point rating scale. The higher the num- ber, the more a person approves; the lower the num- ber, the less he approves. A different cross-section of Minnesotans was inter- viewed in the July and September polls. The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll are based on personal in-the-home interviews with 600 men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents are selected by probability sampling procedures and in- terviews by a staff of 110 trained interviewers. The Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public service. 12B Minneapolis Tribune Sun., Oct. 24, 1971 Majority believes Nixon Minnesota lacks skill in vital areas Poll 00 Capyright 1971 Minneggolis Tribune "Ending the war in Vietnam. A majority of Minnesotans finds the Nixon administra- tion lacking skill in handling the economy. establishing "Helping Americans understand each other and live world peace, ending the war in Vietnam, helping minori- in harmony. ty groups and establishing harm ony in the land. The replies: That is indicated in a statewide survey by the Minneapo- Excel- No lis Tribune's Minnesota Poll taken about six weeks after lent Good Fair Poor opin. the beginning of the wage-price freeze. Twenty-cight Inflation and the economy 5% 23% 43% 26% 3% World peace 7 30 41 20 2 percent said the administration was doing and excellent Helping minerity groups 4 27 39 24 6 or good job on the economy but 69 percent rated the ad- Vietnam 5 24 31 38 2 ministration's efforts as fair or ,oor. Harmony among Americans 3 18 46 27 6 Of the five areas, the most favorable reaction is in en- Democratic-Farmer-Laborttes In the survey are more couraging peace throughout the world. Thirty-seven per- critical than are Republicans of the administration poli- cent of the men and women rated the administration as cies in each of the areas, But even among the President's excellent or good, while 61 percent said fair or poor. own party members, about half feel the administration is doing only a fair or poor job on the economy, world State residents are more critical of efforts to end the peace, helping minorities, and Vietnam. Six out of 10 Re- war in Vietnam; 29 percent said excellent or good com- publicans were critical of the job being done in helping pared with 69 percent who gave fair or poor ratings. Americans understand each other and live in harmony. The questions put to a cross-section of 600 men and Answers to another question asked earlier in the survey women in late September were: show that the over-all rating of President Nixon is up slightly from August. In the current survey, 44 percent "How would you rate the job the Nixon administration of the men and women have a favorable impression and is doing in each of the following areas: 42 percent an unfavorable impression of Mr. Nixon. The remainder (14 percent) were neutral or had no opinion. "First, controlling inflation and stabilizing the economy. Excellent, good, fair, or poor? The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll are based on personal in-the-home interviews with 600 "Next, encouraging peace among nations of the world. men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents Excellent, good, fair, or poor? are selected by probability sampling procedures and in- terviewed by a staff of 110 trained interviewers, The "Providing better education, employment and housing Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public serv- opportunities for minority groups. ice. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date 9-9-71 NOTE TO: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN Although you usually don't want to receive informal state polls, this Minnesota Poll is interesting in light of the ORC results received today. File minns 4B Minneapolis Tribune Sun., Aug. 29, 1971 Many favor Connally Minnesota Poll as Nixon running mate CD Copyright 1971 Minneapolis Tribune cent) and nearly as many independent voters (63 per- Most Minnesotans, including Republicans, believe that cent) said they think Connally would add more strength Treasury Secretary John B. Connally would be a better to the 1972 Republican ticket. running mate for President Nixon in 1972 than Vice- When the 600 Minnesotans interviewed were asked President Spiro Agnew would be. whether they thought President Nixon will run for re- In a statewide survey of public opinion taken in mid-Au- election, 85 percent said they think he will, while 13 per- gust mainly before Connally received national exposure cent predicted he will not. Two percent were undecided. in testifying about the administration's price-wage freeze, The Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll asked: Agnew is found to be slightly more unpopular with Min- nesotans now than in April. In the current survey, 27 "There's been some speculation about who would be the percent have a favorable impression of the Vice-Prosi- vice-presidential candidate if Mr. Nixon runs again, dent, compared with 57 percent who disapprove of him. Vice-President Agnew or John Connally, who is Secre- The division in April was 32-percent approval and 49- tary of the Treasury. Which do you think would be bet- percent disapproval. ter for the Republican party, a Nixon-Agnew ticket or a Nixon-Connally ticket?" No measure was taken of Connally's popularity in Min- nesota. The replies: All Repub- The results of the Minneapelis Tribune's Minnesota Poll adults licans are based on personal in-the-home interviews with CCO Nixon-Agnew better 25% 36% men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents Nixon-Connally better 61 52 are selected by probability sampling procedures and in- Other answers or no opinion 14 12 terviewed by a staff of 110 trained interviewers. The 100% 100% Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public serv- Two out of three Democratic-Farmer-Laboritcs (67 per- ice. 4B Minneapolis Tribune Sun., Aug. 29, 1971 Many favor Connally Minnesota as Nixon running mate Poll 00 Copyright 1971 Minneapolis Tribune cent) and nearly as many independent voters (63 per- Most Minnesotans, including Republicans, believe that cent) said they think Connally would add more strength Treasury Secretary John B. Connally would be a better to the 1972 Republican ticket. running mate for President Nixon in 1972 than Vice- When the 600 Minnesotans interviewed were asked President Spiro Agnew would be. whether they thought President Nixon will run for re- In a statewide survey of public opinion taken in mid-Au- election, 85 percent said they think he will, while 13 per- gust mainly before Connally received national exposure cent predicted he will not. Two percent were undecided. in testifying about the administration's price-wage freeze, The Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll asked: Agnew is found to be slightly more unpopular with Min- nesotans now than in April. In the current survey, 27 "There's been some speculation about who would be the percent have a favorable impression of the Vice-Presi- vicc-presidential candidate if Mr. Nixon runs again, dent, compared with 57 percent who disapprove of him. Vice-President Agnew or John Connally, who is Secre- The division in April was 32-percent approval and 49- tary of the Treasury. Which do you think would be bet- percent disapproval. ter for the Republican party, a Nixon-Agnew ticket or a Nixon-Connally ticket?" No measure was taken of Connally's popularity in Min- nesota. The replies: All Repub- The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll adults licans are based on personal In-the-home interviews with C00 Nixon-Agnew better 25% 36% men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents Nixon-Connally better 61 52 are selected by probability sampling procedures and in- Other answers or no opinion 14 12 terviewed by a staff of 110 trained interviewers. The 100% 100% Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public serv- Two out of three Democratic-Farmer-Laborites (67 per- ice. THE WHITE HOUSE Fre WASHINGTON Polls Date 7-1-71 minn TO: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: CLARK MacGREGOR CM Please Handle X FYI Hold File Comments Minnesota Poll 6/28/71 00 Humphrey's popularity slips 10 points in state Cepyright 1971 Minneapolis Tribune Sen. Hubert Humphrey's popularity among Minnesotans has dropped markedly since the beginning of the year when he returned to the Senate. Forty-four percent of the 600 men and women ques- tioned by the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll in early June said they approve of Humphrey and 39 per- cent disapprove. In January, 54 percent had a favorable impression. The 10 percentage-point decline is divided equally between a shift to neutral or noncommittal and mild disapproval. Seventy one percent of DFLers in the current survey ap- prove of Humphrey, as do 16 percent of Republicans and 41 percent of independent voters. In January, 80 percent of his own party members had a favorable impression of Humphrey Sen. Humphrey's popularity as recorded by the Minneso- ta Poll in late October when he was the DFL candidate for the Senate, in January, and in early June before re- lease of Pentagon documents linking the Johnson admin- istration to escalation of the Vietnam war: Oct. Jan. June 1970 1971 1971 Strong approval of Humphrey 20% 22% 17% Mild approval 30 32 27 Neutral or noncommittal 14 12 17 Mild disapproval 20 18 23 Strong disapproval 16 16 16 100% 100% 100% A different cross-section of Minnesota adults were polled in each of the surveys. Respondents rated Hum- phrey using an 11-point rating scale designed to measure direction and intensity of attitude. One out of four in the current survey also were asked why he approves or disapproves of Humphrey. What Minnesotans Said: I approve because: "I think he has a good record of being interested in all the people, the poor as well as the rich. He's a sincere man. His record is good." (Mazeppa man, age 74) "I think he has contributed very generously of his time, energy, and talents to the state of Minnesota. I admire him as a man and I think he has done the best he can, although I don't agree with many of his ideas." (Minne- tonka woman, 47) "He's sincerely interested in his country and he's proved this over the years." (Willmar woman, 41) I disapprove because: "I just don't like him. He talks too much and doesn't say anything." (Jordan woman, 55) "I think he's a talker. Oh, I think he believes in the state of Minnesota, but most of his talk is just political to fur- ther himself." (Wheaton man, 27) "He didn't do much with the war in Vietnam when he was in. Now he is after Nixon to bring the troops home. Why didn't he do that when he was in with John- son?" (Meeker County 62). The results of the Minneapolis Tribune's Minnesota Poll are based on personal in-the-home interviews with 600 men and women 18 years of age or older. Respondents are selected by probability sampling procedures and interviewed by a staff of 110 trained interviewers. The Minnesota Poll was established in 1944 as a public service. 6/28/71 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Date May 26, 1971 NOTE TO: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN Polls from Minnesota and California are attached with interesting sections marked. -182 "President Nixon has said that if we leave South Vietnam in a position to defend herself we will have peace in the next generation. Do you agree or disagree?" Agree 17% Disagree 72 No opinion 11 "President Nixon has said that all U.S. troops will be with- drawn from Vietnam as soon as the South Vietnamese have a good chance to defend themselves and U.S. prisoners are returned. When do you think this time is likely to come?" Two years or longer, never 44% Before end of 1972 19 Other responses, no opinion 37 "When do you think all U.S. troops WILL be out of Vietnam?" By end of current year 9% By end of 1972 15 Two years or more, never 51 Other responses, no opinion 25 MINNESOTA POLL - Vietnam In late April, 1971, 600 Minnesotans 18 years of age or older were asked: "When it comes to ending the war in Vietnam, do you think the administration is making a great deal of progress, a little pro- gress, or no progress at all?" The trend since the beginning of the year: Jan. Feb. Mid March Late April A great deal 19% 12% 13% 17% A little 61 55 57 61 No progress 17 30 28 20 No opinion 3 3 2 2 -183- "President Nixon has said that he has kept every promise he has made on removing U.S. troops from Vietnam, and that the in- vasions into Cambodia and Laos have served to weaken the enemy and hasten the end to United States involvement in the war. Do you agree with Mr. Nixon!s summary or disagree?" All adults Men Women Agree with summary 42% 50% 35% Disagree 49 45 53 Other answers or no opinion 9 5 12 "The 49 percent who feel the assessment is not valid also were asked where they disagree. Of this group, 30 percent question the statement on troop withdrawal, another 30 percent feel the Cambodian and Laotian invasions did not weaken the enemy, and 21 percent doubt that the invasions will hasten the end of U.S. involvement. "Seventeen percent believe the Cambodian and Laotian operations achieved the opposite of what the President claimed -- that they deepened U.S. involvement in the war. "Nineteen percent disagree with the assessment completely or feel there is a credibility gap. "Six percent mentioned general disapproval of the war, 9 per- cent gave other answers and 2 percent were indefinite." The next question asked of all respondents in the survey: "Between May I and Dec. I, American troop withdrawal will be 100,000 men, or about 1,800 a month more than now. Are you satis- fled or not with this rate of withdrawal?" -184- All Adults Men Women Satisfied by withdrawal rate 58% 62% 55% Not satisfied 35 33 36 Other answers or no opinion 7 5 9 "Some people were disappointed because the President made no promises about cutting back air attacks or about withdrawing all American troops. Do you agree or disagree that his announcement was disappointing for those reasons?" All Adults Men Women Agree, announcement was disappointing 53% 47% 58% Disagree 40 49 33 Other answers or no opinion 7 4 9 CALIFORNIA POLL - Vietnam A representative cross-section:of 1,050 Californians were asked between April 26 - May 3, 1971 questions pertaining to the Vietnam war. The questions asked were: Credibility Gap "There has been so many shifts in our government's statements about the Vietnam war in the past that I find it hard to believe the President is giving us the whole story now." May 1971 May 1970 Agree strongly 39% 34% Agree somewhat 30 30 No opinion 12 8 Disagree somewhat 10 16 Disagree strongly 9 12 -185- "We should pull out of Vietnam and Southeast Asia as soon as possible even if this step is seen by the rest of the world as a political and milltary defeat for the United States?" May 1971 May 1970 Agree strongly 41% 33% Agree somewhat 18 13 No opinion 9 9 Disagree somewhat 15 16 Disagree strongly 17 29 "Losing the war in Vietnam is something that this country should avoid at all costs." May 1971 May 1970 Agree strongly 16% 23% Agree somewhat 10 14 No opinion 14 9 Disagree somewhat 24 22 Disagree strongly 36 32 "Some people have said that if the United States withdraws from Vietnam the Communists will eventually gain control of the South Vietnamese people and government. How concerned would you be about this happening in respect to the security of the United States? Would you be greatly concerned, somewhat concerned, or not too concerned?" Statewide May 1971 May 1970 Greatly concerned 38% 46% Somewhat concerned 33 28 Not too concerned 25 24 No opinion 4 2 -186- "President Nixon's schedule of withdrawals from Vietnam should be speeded up so that all ground troops are out by the end of this year." Agree Disagree Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly No Opinion 50% 20% 12% 8% 10% Statewide By age 18-20 62% 16 10 6 6 21-29 52 24 10 8 6 30-49 48 19 13 9 11 50-69 49 18 II II II 70 & over 50 16 II 14 9 By Income Under $4,999 57 17 8 9 9 $5,000-$9,999 50 21 II 9 9 $10,000-14,999 48 22 13 8 9 $15,000-19,999 42 22 16 13 7 $20,000 & over 47 17 II 10 15 CALIFORNIA POLL Trial Heat Between April I 26 - May 1, 1971, a representative cross-section of 1,050 Californians were asked: "I know that the 1972 presidential election is more than a year away, but let's assume it was being held this month. If you were voting today, who would you vote for?" -187- NIXON - MUSKIE - WALLACE May 1971 November 1970 Nixon 44% 47% Muskie 45 41 Wallace 4 4 Undecided 7 8 NIXON - KENNEDY - WALLACE Nixon 43 47 Kennedy 46 41 Wallace 3 4 Undecided 8 8 NIXON - HUMPHREY - WALLACE Nixon 45 52 Humphrey 41 36 Wallace 5 5 Undecided 9 7 "Should Nixon not be the candidate for any reason, present prospects for a Republican victory next year become even dimmer. Two other Republicans considered to be leading contenders in the event Nixon is not the nominee, California Governor Ronald Reagan and Vice President Spiro Agnew, fare quite poorly in current tests of strength against Muskie, Kennedy, and Humphrey." Reagan 33% Muskle 53 Wallace 6 Undecided 8 -188- Reagan 34% Kennedy 54 Wal lace 5 Undeci ded 7 Reagan 38% Humphrey 46 Wal lace 6 Undeci ded 10 Agnew 23% Muskie 58 Wal lace 6 Unde ci ded 13 Agnew 28% Kennedy 56 Wa lace 5 Undeci ded II Agnew 28% Humphrey 49 Wa II ace 7 Undeci ded 16 -189- The same sample was asked: "Let's assume that in addition to the two major parties - Democrat and Republican - there was also a George Wallace ticket and a fourth ticket called 'Common Cause' headed by John Gardner. If you were voting today, who would you vote for?" FOUR PARTY RACE All voters - Statewide Nixon 42% Muskie 36 Wallace 7 Gardner 9 Undecided 6 Nixon 44% Kennedy 34 Wallace 4 Gardner 9 Undecided 9 Nixon 43% Humphrey 32 Wallace 5 Gardner 9 Undeclded 11 THE May WASHINGTON WHITE 14, HOUSE 1971 G.S. Date: TO: BOB HALDEMAN FROM: HARRY DENT ASD Please handle For your information MINNESOTA REPUBLICAN STATE CENTRAL COMMITTEE May 12, 1971 %: B. COLE TOTLEVAN. HARRY BEAT Minnesota GEORGE THIS caring the period, April 23 - Pay 5.1 asked the top leadership of tre party - state officers, district chairmen and chairw mor - 11.0 their views or several questions. We've tabulated the of jective results and sumarized the subjective data and have enclosed them the your information. this can't be Interpreted déid - reliable and scientific survey. it :- not. it is though, 0 reflection of now the TOD leadership believes Sinnesstan see certain areas. hope it is colpful. if you wish more of the specifics and details, '-31 100 know. 11 is meant to De feedback that will be of assistance to you in your thinking and planning as we move toward the 17? election and the reelection of Presiden: Nixon. enc. Gl:dg Minnesota 55435 Telephone: (612) 920-5750 the job being done by President Nixon In the following areas: (as you the people in Minnesota see it) EXCELLENT GOOD AVERAGE FAIR POOR - 32% 14% 27% 27% = Vietnam War - Arab-Israel conflict 10% 71% 14% 5% Economy - 14% 18% 41% 27% - - - 55% 451 d. Farm program e. Communicating with public - 24% 28% 28% 19% In forthright manner 2. If you could suggest one thing in each area for the President to do, what would suggest: a. Vietnam War: Save POWs, got out and end war b. Arab-Israel conflict: Stay neutral C. Economy: Wide range of suggestions to Improve employment and business condition: d. Farm program: Get new Secretary of Agriculture and have department express genu Interest In farmers and communicate with them e. Communicating with public: Wide range of suggestions from frequency and style of press conferences and locations of them. 3. Rate MONDAY: a. Reading frequency: every week 521, on occasion 338, almost never 15% b. Rating: excellent 10%, good 500; average 16. , fair -- , poor 103 C. What would you change to improve it: Change to a shorter, more Informative, less expensive production. Consider wider distribution and publish less often. 4. What suggestions do you have for the President to communicate with the public? Use Mrs. Nixon, specific issues and more relaxed appearance. 5. If the election were held today in Minnesota between Nixon and Muskle, who would win? Nixon 2B% Muskle 72% 6. Other suggestions or comments to be passed along to appropriate persons in Washington? RNC - allow state chairmen and chairwemen to comprise the National Committee Instead of working from the top down Push revenue sharing Work on young vote Focus attention on Issues In addition to war May in 1071 do