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This file contains: From Colson to Haldeman RE: poll results from Lou Harris. Handwritten results attached. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/4/1971

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WHSF: Contested, 46-45
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WHSF: Contested, 46-45
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This file contains: From Colson to Haldeman RE: poll results from Lou Harris. Handwritten results attached. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 5/4/1971
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 46 45 5/4/1971 Campaign Memo From Colson to Haldeman RE: poll results from Lou Harris. Handwritten results attached. 4 pgs. Monday, March 26, 2012 Page 1 of 1 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON EYES ONLY May 4, 1971 MEMORANDUM FOR: H.R. HALDEMAN FROM: CHARLES COLSON ur SUBJECT: Harris Poll The Lou Harris seduction is now complete; I will fill you in on the details at your convenience. There are certain things which I have agreed to do, relatively painless. Lou has agreed to act as a consultant, give us figures in advance, discuss results and releases with us. He told me that he was not completely satisfied.with the poll results which he got on April 12-15 which showed the President at 46% posi- tive, 53% negative, 1% not sure. He, therefore, ordered his people in the field to poll again between the 18th and 25th of April. They came up with a 47% positive, 50% negative, 3% not sure. This will contrast with the March figures (not heretofore published) of 41% positive, 56% negative and 3% undecided, and is the best result we have had since January (48-50-2) and the same as November (47-50-3). I have the complete results of the latest survey including the trial heats (copy attached). As you will see, we still fair badly against Muskie but well against McGovern and Humphrey. Harris suggests that we study those groups in which Muskie does significantly better than either McGovern or Humphrey in order to counter him in those areas (for example, higher income and professional groups). He also feels that the Muskie strength is not enduring and that it results from his being relatively non-controversial in the public eye, a condition that he feels will not last. We discussed the forthcoming release of these figures and at least based on what Harris said, it will be written as a rather bullish report of the President regaining personal popularity. I would like to fill you in on the other specifics. I goT the attached Chart on the condition that is confidentiality would he absolutely justected. MAY- 21188 (1506) April 12-15th REASAN-MUSKIC P92,6. PRESIDENTIAL PAIRINGS UNIVER NIXIN-MICKIT MISOVERN WALLACE AND WALIN stay white on 1:34- mall- Not of " 4 Divin Member Name United .... San A..A 204 3016 Airm ase - item - - Nation 39 47 11 3 41- 50 6 46 26 13 5 72 II 13 4 36 to 10 " 3 27 56 " E 33 53 5 7. 10 55 1, +7 36 9 4 71 4B 7 + 36 75 5 12 2 23 67 6 "I MW % 30 11 of 42 43 " A 7-1 45 10 7.9. 50 6 +.7 34 40 2 14 3 29 56 9 00 n 36 -11 21 2 16 46 one off 33 22 of 33 23 + 35 33 20 5 = 23 47 23 5 E 45 77 5 3 47 to 5 50 33 -2 3 48 +1 7 + 4.2 33 5 13 2 34 57 3 5 cities 33 56 6 h 36 57 I 39 16 9 V 33 55 z + 23 44 6 14 3 21 66 6 7 Submits $ 14 10 2 $ 47 + 53 33 11 3 49 30 11 & tomo to 37 12 1 29 57 9 5 TO -1-1. 12 + 46 42 E 29 29 16 G 44 37 15 + 38 39 12 3 3 rural 25 53 13 = 43 38 16 3 50 43 7 78 20 18 + 43 43 34 19 34 19 + 40 34 15 E 3 24 44 13 7 18-29 35 4-3 13 + 4.) 54 a 40 42 is 3 38 74 It + 32 39 13 13 w 20 co 10% A 30-19 39 49 10 2 43 5% V 1.9 35 13 3 +3 41 12 + 35 44 9 " I 25 is 9 3 sn+ 45 42 10 3 50 the c 77 34 12. 9 44 +1 11 + 42 41 9 6 2 29 57 9 2 8th gr. 37 4.3 13 5 45 E 11 35 IS G 38 12 16 4 37 -42 13 + 4 21 51 19 9 11.5. 3:5 -9.5 13 -1- 13 so I 44 37 16 3 38 43 15 + 35 to 12 10 3 25 57 13 J Coll. 12 51 6 # 45 51 3. 51 of 7 I 79 39 8 of 38 +1 s 17 5 31 01 9 18 Men 39 47 12 2 45 50 is 47 35 15 3 424113 -72 91 13 + .36 41 11 11 1 27 57 12 4 women 39 46 10 5 43 50 7 45 37 12 6 +2 +2 12 + 36 40 9 11 of 26 56 10 8 Black 20 6% 3 13 23 $ 13 24 55 5 16 13 BI 2 4. 16 55 w is 10 11 70 7 is write 7% 12. 2. 99 +16 V 49 33 15 w AG 36 14 of :8 39 11 10 2 29 54 12 6 cluder " ors 37 15 1+ + 44 is ", 41 37 16 U 36 46 14 + 36 40 12 9 3 21 51 16 -0 36 36 47.13 4 47. 13 *i* +1 02 ; 44 35 16 5 35 16 15 4 33 +2 13 9 3 27 52 14 -) "10577-1499 42 43 9 1 40 51 + 47 38 13 2 45 39 12 4 39 to E 13 I 30 59 X 3 "150507 46 17 6 & 52 4% - 57 20 6 I 55 34 7 + 41 41 6 12 / 29 64 5 2 cathelic 39 51 7 3 42 54 4 49 35° 10 4 43 4+ 9 + 36 48 6 3 2 23 65 6 6. Reposition 73 19 at / 77 21 2 76 14 9 , 74 13 9 of 65 15 8 3 I 43 36 9 3 Lemest 21 67 10 2 2472 the 30 52. 15 3 21 63 12 4 19 61 9 10 1 12 34 11 5 Endependent to 41 16 3 47 15 8 48 32 15 5 43 35 13 ? 34 34 15 4 3 31 50 14 5 Vites #HH 13 85 / 1 13 86 I 23 68 6 3 9 86 I + 10 79 I 10 I 9 29 ) / Vicl AMN 73 23 3 ( 77 22 1 81 it is - 82 10 + ++ 68 19 w 9 - 45 42 G 6 Used TAW 20 18 62 - 43 44 13 17 15 69 / 19 2 75 + 1+ 16 64 6 I 24 19 57 1 usin 36 43 13 3 40 55 5 41 36 16 5 3+ 48 it of 31 'f 10 11 3 24 59 13 4 Avill 17 120° 16. BEHIND HIXON RATING Total P7c. HEARD PRESIDENT MRIL? 7 Nixen ove ALL 10. NIXON RATING OVER-ALL Poblic Total + 11 Public Black 20 6% (i) 23 24 5 White 2 4. 16 55 3 as 10 12. 2. 11 70 7 is 19 15 3 14 + :8 = 10 2 Under "sm 29 S4 12 6 37 1+ + 4+ 14 "? 37 16 6 36 46 14 + $500-9399 9 3 +162 74435165 21 51 16 -0 36 47.13 4 V 35 46 15 4 3342139 3 27 52 14 -3 9 1 45 + 47 38 13 = 45 39 12 4 "150501 3940813 - 3059 8 3 464761 52 4% ---57 6 - I 55 34 7 + 6 12 / 2964 cathelic 5 2 3951.73 4254 4493510 & 43449 4 36 48 6 8 2 23 65 6 6. Repossion 73 19 of - 77 21 27614 9 / 74139 of 6515888 I 43 36 9 7 Lemoval 21 67 10 2 2472 + 30 52. 15 3 21 63 12 4 19 9 10 I 12 84 11 5 Endependent to 41 16 3 17 15 8 48 32 15 5 43 35 18 + 34 15 14 3 31 50 14 5 VISER ##H 35 1 1 13 1 23 68 63 9 06 1 + 10 79 / 10 / 9891 / Vica LMN 73 23 3 ( 77 1 81 it 5 - 82 10 + + 19 w 9 - 46 42 6 6 20 18 62- - 43 13 15 69 1 19 el 75 4 It 64 6 / 24 19 57 - Union 36 43 13 3 TO 55 5 3% 16 5 it +) 31 to 10 11 3 24 59 13 4 Anis 17 AC1619 with 120° 16. BEHIND NIXON RATI AG Total PTC. HEARD PRESIDENT AFRIC Nixen ovr -ALL 10.0 NIXON RATING DUER-ALL Public Table RATING TRUND - N3 Nationale = Friends had in different this 1 Public 39 77 50 3 Heard I INS 33 He 22 endine the was " Dinl 18.25th Did ast lust 62 : 47503 3 5645 = 4.5 of Her Congress serviced kein 6 ingil 12-15th 46 531. mm 4256 2 Ecosomian giving below P76,15 RESULT NIKE И 51 4 is 3 mor. +1 56 3 3 w 15 03 = Did similime about Celley I RATE OF TROOP Fide. 43643 cities 70 56 4 Communicates with timension people 1 THEM Mr Jan. 42502 schools 46 51 3 46 51 3 other 3 butter 5339 8 68 N13.'70 1250 $ = withdraw true Hw not ended the use 13 70 3 act. 1440 6 rmal 47.43 3 isis permises Slower note + sixt. 18-29 43 54 3 12 50955 Not less anything night 11 Current rate satulatory 37 5 NW, 1.5.17 3 4.2 3 30-49 4751 = Not Sare Inflation, smorg 8 9 ) July 52462 50+ 5145 1 Tomands revemplogment 6 P7C, CONFIDENCE SATH Jame 52453 43 51 G Thinks only FX substion 3 TROOPS CAN TAKE OVER 51454 Din't Edication 3 may they stemp. 4651 3 Telal Anjul 52462 Time not Lester 2 Mile colleges 5246 2 other 10 Candin't 32 mar. 52 46 2 + WASH 5344 3 Nit swis 3 Pix. Dent tiury can 49 58327 certific 44 + Not Same 19 24.169 02362 men 11 77 3 PIC. SPECIFIC NIXON RATINGS And NN, 60364 Oct:-, Winen 65.50 -1 I'me CREAM Black 2671 3 ± 1/3 + + NS white 50 4.7 3, Waking feres insurance 51 of 45505 . 57 39 4 Pla.Nixm OVER-ALL ARRAG Underism 4155 + Reedints Cattery care 50 37 18 X X & X : a 75% blib-vosa 17 49 of Handling with Rasia 95 so 5" MAN $ It 11 7 $11007 149M 46 51 3 TV speciality, confurness 47 ? 50 6 42 13 10 Excillent 10 9,5000+ 5345 2 Handling Victureas way to 56 61 5 of + Prilly 9th 37 Republism 75 = Revenue seaming sin 41 37 27 : : X : your 32 Demoret 33 33652 65 2 Heading madle East cinsis 36501434511517778 5 PAS 18 Independent 11 52 + Keeping economy healthy 35 60 5 27655 39574 35 60 5 63 5 39 57 + NN sine 3 Pal-exec. Pay- 56 3 Windows drass Indo Clusion war 33 X X X while coiler +7521 1 Inspiners confilunce personally 33 55 12 23541844712 33 55 18 4 47 suited who 43573 Approvedies median refrom IN U.S. INVOLVEMENT 32 5:- 36 X & y IN Adm No Undivities like +2 55 3 3 Handling situation Lars 30 65 tis X X X X X ^ urin member 39583 3 Handlene crime ,law+ order 28 C++ 53 7 38 35 6 - I = NS platiminds - -7 50 3 Fiverage hard in different this rame 39 Heard 33 Ane 18.25th / He R.) enhine the were 11 : Did Ast lust 47 47503 3 E = 4.5 of 62 ingil 12-15tm Her Coveres seamet Union 6 46.531 mm +256 2 W 41563 51 4 = Ecossion, giving befor w p7b, AS RESULT of NIX.N vicense mor, w 15 03 = Did similare Inst Calley / RATE of TROOP Fib. 436+3 cities to 56 4 Communicates with timension people 1 TERMA Jan. 12502 schools 46 51 3 other r beller :- NN.'70 1950 S in truns 53 39 8 \ 6% His not ended the use 13 withdraw at replacts 3 act. 11440 6 rmal 47 73 3 Netixe isis Slower inta + sit. 50955 50 18-29 43 54 3 12 4.5.17 3 30-49 d Art in anything night 11 Current rate satislating 37 5 NW, Inflation, Frus Not Same 8 9 1 July 52462 50+ 5145 1 Town revemplayment 6 Jame 52455 73 51 G Theirs only 15 subsction 3 P7c, CONFIDENCE may 51454 this sleep. 4651 S Dirt Relection prismally 3 TROOPS CAN TAKE OVER FIGHTING Telms mine 52462 Times not Letter 2 5246 2 Mise mar. colleges other 10 52462 Can it 32 WATH 5344' 3 Nit sure 3 Pair. 58347 Dmbt tury can 49 Certific 44 52 + Not Saye 19 20.169 52362 men 43.99 *3 PIC. SPECIFIC NIXON RATINGS NN. 60364 60 Agil Fan'71 winen is men 46 so -1 Oct:-, I'me 62544 Black 2671 3 ± N3 it + NT + - HS white 50 57 3 Waking yr perce in world. 51 17 1. 45005 57 39 4 Plannixm THER-ALL ARRING Undertsna 41 55 4 Readints Cattery care 50 37 18 & X 2 X . a 7584 $500-9799 17499 of Handling with Rasia 95 so 5 in It 11 7 100000 149M 51 3 TV specias, Page conformers 47 T2 ? 6 72 13 10 Excellent to cent 10 $15000+ 5345 2 Handling Victuress way 12 50 3 3791 5 4452 4 12 3 5- +1 50 + Pally and 37 Republision 75 23 2 = Revenue snaping sixes of 57 27 :: : X .- only SM 32 Demoret 33652 2 Hendling malle East cinsis 36 50 15 Ca PNS 18 Independent 11.52 + Keeping economy healthy 35 5 63 5 39 57 + NN sine 3 Pay-exec. Pnf- exec. 5641 3 Windows drass was 33 X x X while coller 4752 / Inspiring confinue pressurely 33 55 12 2354 1844712 41 17d. MILITARY suited and IN U.S. INVOLVEMENT 73 54 3 Approvedity malan reforms 32 5= 16 36 x X V 111 Undicity who +2 55 3 Handling situation Lars 30 55 tis X X X A A ^ No using member 39 53 3 Handlong crime ,law I order 28 67 8 10 53 7 28 6-7 7 39556 NJ Keeping unexployment dum 1976514815 x & X with goring into r7h, NIXON CANDY. CA WAR virgam 71 19 10 keepung dam coot is living 17 79 35 2. 21 3 Are 171 Tib sending uses carditia 49 35 il Americant 10 33 sending Not the 48 51 int SOME 12 16 Lago 40 403723