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RE: "Talking Points (Democratic Situaiton)-- The New Hampshire Democratic Primary." 1pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
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RE: "Talking Points (Democratic Situaiton)-- The New Hampshire Democratic Primary." 1pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], no date
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Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
Contested Materials Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
No Date
Subject
Document Type
Document Description
48
55
>
Campaign
Other Document
RE: "Talking Points (Democratic Situaiton)--
The New Hampshire Democratic Primary."
1pg.
Thursday, June 04, 2015
Page 1 of 1
DOCUMENT WITHDRAWAL RECORD [NIXON PROJECT)
DOCUMENT
DOCUMENT
NUMBER
TYPE
SUBJECT/TITLE OR CORRESPONDENTS
DATE
RESTRICTION
N-1
Report
Talking Points (Demociatic
3/7/72
C (any)
[Doc 158]
Situation) - The new Hampshire
Demociatic Primary
5 attached to "Tolling Points
(Regublican situation) ,3/7/72
FILE GROUP TITLE
BOX NUMBER
26
FOLDER TITLE
new Hampshire Ciriman
RESTRICTION CODES
A. Release would violate a Federal statute or Agency Policy.
E. Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
B. National security classified information.
financial information.
C. Pending or approved claim that release would violate an individual's
F. Release would disclose investigatory information compiled for law
rights.
enforcement purposes.
D. Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy
G. Withdrawn and return private and personal material.
or a libel of a living person.
H. Withdrawn and returned non-historical material.
NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS ADMINISTRATION
NA FORM 1421 (4-85)
Presidential Materials Review Board
Review on Contested Documents
Collection:
Kenneth L. Khachigian
Box Number:
26
Folder:
New Hampshire [Primary]
Document
Disposition
158
Return Private/Political
T-ALKING POINTS (DEMOCRATIC SITUATION) THE NEW HAMPSHIRE
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
If Muskie gets less than 50% of the vote, the outcome is
"astonishing." Coming in a state whose border is 25 miles from the
place where Muskie was born and raised; a state to which Muskie is
regarded as a "neighbor;" Muskie's back yard; and a state where Muskie
visits every year the results must be considered a setback to his
candidacy.
Muskie had virtually no opposition, especially considering his
opponents insignificance ratings in national public opinion polls. Such
an outcome indicates Muskie's support is soft and that Muskie was less
than a heavyweight.
Frankly, we had considered Muskie to have the nomination
virtually sewed up. To win by such a narrow margin indicates that
Muskie, as of now, might not make the distance and that Hubert Humphrey
must be considered a very real challenge to the Muskie candidacy.
Humphrey is a much better campaigner, and as the titular head of
the Democratic party has a great deal of broad-based support throughout
the country. The bigwinner of the N.H. Primary was the man who didn't
even appear on the ballot -- Hubert Humphrey.
If Muskie scores between 50% and 60%, much of the same above
applies. It should be considered the most minimal of victories for
Muskie and a pyrrhic victory. Anything less than 60% in his political
back yard indicates a great weakening of Muskie's support.
If he gets around 65%, it should be noted that this was very much
expected that we thought he would get at least 65%, especially con-
sidering his lack of major opposition and his geographic proximity. Only
a Muskie victory of 70% could be considered anything near the proportions
of a candidate who is supposed to be so clearly a "frontrunner."
In light of Muskie's small margin of victory, Republicans will
surely reassess Muskie's strength. He certainly is no longer the formidable
"Lincolnesque" figure that he might have been considered.
Asked about the crying incident, we have no comment on how it
affected the election. The public should be the judge of a presidential
candidate's loss of composure over one or two isolated news articles.
There is some question on how Muskie would hold up against the pressures
of a full-blown presidential campaign and the pressures of the Oval Office.
After all, it is just starting. Most likely, Muskie's indecisiveness and the
uncertainty on where he stands probably hurt Muskie more than anything else.
In general, the primary shows the disarray that pervades Democratic
party ranks. They have no true leadership nothing like the FDR--Truman-
Kennedy--Johnson tradition. They are confused, disunited, and leaderless
and must do better to merit the public's support in November over a strong
President.