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This file contains: From Harry Dent to the President. RE: Political Notes. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 4/28/1970

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WHSF: Contested, 49-40
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WHSF: Contested, 49-40
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This file contains: From Harry Dent to the President. RE: Political Notes. 4 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 4/28/1970
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 49 40 4/28/1970 Campaign Memo From Harry Dent to the President. RE: Political Notes. 4pgs. Monday, June 04, 2012 Page 1 of 1 DOCUMENT WITHDRAWAL RECORD [NIXON PROJECT] DOCUMENT DOCUMENT NUMBER TYPE SUBJECT/TITLE OR CORRESPONDENTS DATE RESTRICTION NI MEMO from Ehrlichman to RN 4/3/70 C C(NIXON, [67] Re: Friedman's concern N2 from RN to Ehrlichman 4/21/70 C(XIXON, MEMO [68] Re: Domostic affairs N3 MEMO from Dent to RN 4/28/70 C(NIXOR [69] 69 Re: Political notes N4 memo home Edelichman torn V4 MEMO from Ehnlichman to the President 4/29/70 [70] Rx. Dam Freject W/D Restricted fabler filed with M.B's FILE GROUP TITLE POF BOX NUMBER 6 FOLDER TITLE President's Handwriting Caprie 1970 RESTRICTION CODES A. Release would violate a Federal statute or Agency Policy. E. Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or B. National security classified information. financial information. C. Pending or approved claim that release would violate an individual's F. Release would disclose investigatory information compiled for law rights. enforcement purposes. D. Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy G. Withdrawn and return private and personal material. or a libel of a living person. H. Withdrawn and returned non-historical material. NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS ADMINISTRATION NA FORM 1421 (4-85) Presidential Materials Review Board Review on Contested Documents Collection: President's Office Files Box Number: 6 Folder: President's Handwriting April 1970 Document Disposition 67 Retain Open 68 Retain Close Invasion of Privacy 69 Return Private/Political 70 Retain Close Invasion of Privacy THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 28, 1970 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT SUBJECT: Political Notes MARYLAND: Stan Blair and I have been talking with Chairman Morton about the Maryland political situation. Morton continues to give a negative response to the suggestion that he join with Blair on a GOP ticket in Maryland. However, he has taken on some increased interest in the Maryland situation after Colson gave him some information on the vulnerability of the Senator. This could tip him. NEW JERSEY: Nelson Gross is now officially the nominee for the U.S. Senate. The filing deadline passed last week and the one person who had entered against him withdrew. This has been discussed with the Attorney General, and it has been agreed that he is to be treated as any other Senate candidate with the exception that neither the President nor the Attorney General will be committed to anything personally until we see how the campaign proceeds. Gross wants to see the President personally, but I am discouraging this. Governor Cahill feels the questions surrounding Gross have been largely clarified and that most of the newspapers in New Jersey have been on Gross' side. Both Gross and Cahill believe the information leaked on him was generated by Case. None of the leaked items seem to be indictable, but could put him on the defensive when raised by the incumbent, although the incumbent himself has many more such problems. - 2 - NEVADA: Governor Laxalt has been spending considerable time trying to get a Senate candidate in Nevada. He wants to handle this alone until he gets a set of conditions laid down for him by one of his two leading prospects, Lt. Governor Fike, and one of the best state prosecutors in the country, Bill Raggio of Reno. A very recent poll showed that Cannon is vulnerable and rated no higher than 57% against any of the prospective candidates. What Laxalt has to do is convince Raggio to run for the Senate. Both want to run for Governor right now. The Governor has been told to get Raggio to give a commitment for the Senate and we can get him to visit with the President and get a special blessing if he is willing to say yes on the spot. It was explained that we could not have another turndown, particularly from Nevada. It was suggested he do this by the time of the Republican Governors meeting in New Mexico. ARKANSAS: It now appears that Governor Winthrop Rockefeller will run for re-election in Arkansas. He is getting some state legis- lators to switch over. VERMONT: Colson has just finished a trip to Vermont and is convinced we can win with Senator Prouty. He is developing some infor- mation on the opposition and is now convinced Prouty must be the candidate. The Senator has asked whether the President wants him to run, thinking that he might prefer to retire. Governor Davis wants a visit and help against the Lt. Governor, who is running close for the September primary. NEW MEXICO: Cargo is ahead in a close contest. The special arrangement won't come now until after the June 2 primary. Still on track, but both key men want to hold off for various reasons. Cargo wants to go now, and I'm pushing him to push them. - 3 - INDIANA: Hartke's assistant privately admits they'd rather have Snyder than Roudebush. Chotiner is working on this through Pulliam. WISCONSIN: Knowles is working on Lovell, the astronaut. Lovell in/a news account is reluctant, but doesn't rule it out. He OHIO: Primary May 5 with no runoff. Taft-Rhodes battle is very close. Rhodes is looking better in the TV debates and news- paper endorsements. Probably Rhodes. Metzenbaum could upset Glenn. In the Governor's race, State Auditor Cloud is shown ahead with Lukens third. Gilligan will be the Democrat nominee. ALABAMA: Primary May 5 and runoff June 2. Question seems to be whether Wallace gets in a runoff. All polls have shown Brewer leading with Wallace closing in. A third man, disfigured veteran, could force a runoff by attracting 100,000 votes. Or, a Negro group could do it by voting for one of the 5 lesser candidates to get a bargain with Brewer in the runoff. Wal- lace's hope is to show where the black and GOP votes went in the first race. The Postmaster General is very upset over the Finch and Allen statements indicating the President's state- ment on schools doesn't change anything. He thinks this is hurting. Attached is a Stewart Alsop column which shows the groups backing Brewer. TEXAS: Primary May 5. Bentsen is really pouring it on Yarborough, especially on the Supreme Court. It could be close, but at least sets Yarborough up for Bush and splits the Democrats again. Preservation Copy - 4 - GOP GOVERNORS CONFERENCE: Chotiner and I are getting gubernatorial nominees who are not incumbents to come to New Mexico and participate in the political session on May 9. This is their chance to see the President. Examples: Olson, Broderick, Watson. RNC SALARIES: Chairman Morton has been asked at least several times, judi- ciously and emphatically, for the salary and other informa- tion on the RNC. He is evidently stalling for the purpose of eliminating more staff members before submitting his report. He told me the other day that he had eliminated 28 in recent weeks. I am still pushing, but if this moves him to make more cutbacks, then perhaps we should let him con- tinue under this pressure. He also has some ideas about changing the RNC, even the question of whether we should have two national committee members and a state chairman representing each state on the RNC. He wants to change the entire structure and is willing to cut back the staff even more. He says Elly Peterson will be leaving after November. In the meantime, she will be traveling back and forth to Michigan considerably. The Chairman wants to have a special session with the President before too long to discuss his ideas on the RNC and to get any further suggestions the President may have. The big contributors know the cutbacks are taking place at the RNC and are aware that the move has been generated from the White House. SPECIAL SITUATION: Reports are good. State Chairman is confident. Key people being prepared to endorse. Will be a national TV appearance soon. Also a four-week hospital stay for an operation not to affect health so as to become an issue. Shaping up as good campaigner. Will keep fully posted. Harry S. Dent BY STEWART ALSOP WALLACE AND THE SHAPE OF POLITICS WARRIOR, ALA.-The magnificent loon- Not being George Wallace is, among thousand votes from George Wallace, iness of American politics is nicely illus- important groups here, a great political but the minor candidates hurt Brewer trated here in Alabama. For an earless asset. Not being Wallace has helped to markedly more than Wallace. millionaire who is a minor candidate for attract to Brewer the support of the Until recently, the polls showed governor here could quite conceivably following: Brewer ten points or more ahead of change the whole course of American 1. The Republicans. Wallace main- Wallace in a two-man race, but Wal- political history. tains that the state is being flooded lace has been steadily closing the gap. The earless millionaire is Charles with Nixon money, channeled in Here in Alabama, he is given little Woods of Dothan, Ala., whose ears and through Postmaster General Winton M. chance of winning the required major- much of whose face were shot away in Blount, a longtime Wallace adversary. ity on May 5. But he is given a very the second world war. He has since 2. The "loyalist" Democrats-those good chance of forcing a runoff, with an made a lot of money, and is now spend- who stay with the national party in assist from the earless millionaire. ing a good deal of it in a hopeless tele- Presidential elections. Then Brewer may be in trouble. For vision campaign for governor. Woods is 3. The Brewer precinct-level organi- time-time and George Wallace-are a supernumerary, a minor actor in the zation. Brewer, a methodical fellow, working for Wallace. There is not much drama. But he could determine the has built a much stronger organization doubt about the main thrust of his cam- fates of the major actors in the drama- than Wallace, who depended on charis- paign in a runoff. He will charge that former Gov. George Wallace and the ma, ever had. Brewer is the candidate of the blacks, incumbent governor, Albert Brewer- 4. The young, who in all straw votes and he will no doubt be able to use and thus change the shape of American oppose Wallace overwhelmingly. There precinct returns in the May 5 primary politics. is, in fact, something very old-fashioned to prove it. Indeed, this campaign line Brewer is given a serious chance of about Wallace, and the generation gap has already surfaced. defeating George Wallace. If that hap- clearly exists in Alabama, too. pens, a great, grateful sigh of relief will 5. The Establishment. Every leading DARK SUSPICIONS go up from the White House, and newspaper in the state opposes Wal- BLACKS BACK BREWER AGAINST WAL- President Nixon will predictably shift lace. So do the utilities and the banks, LACE, read the headline of a Wallace his political course several degrees to both of which Wallace attacks head-on ad in the Alabama papers on April 21. the liberal-left. in virtually every speech. The same day, to Wallace's evident de- For the threat of a second Wallace 6. The new respectables. This is an light, some Negro youths in Brewer Presidential candidacy is, of course, the amorphous category, but it may be the sweatshirts, heckled Wallace. The central threat to all the President's fond Jargest of all. Alabama has been shift- Brewer people had dark suspicions hopes for making the Republican Party ing even more rapidly than the rest of about the source of the sweatshirts. again the national majority party and, the country from the rural and small- This sort of thing is effective in Ala- not incidentally, for re-electing Richard town society George Corley Wallace bama-even among the new respecta- M. Nixon by a handsome majority. If grew up in to an urban and suburban bles. But more effective still is George Wallace runs again, a good guess is that society, with a growing middle class Wallace's quite genuine star quality as eight out of ten of his votes-and he which highly values security and re- a campaigner. Here in rural Warrior, for got about 10 million last time-will spectability. These people much dislike example, you could feel the electric come right out of Mr. Nixon's hide. the reputation for sweaty, cigar-chew- current generated by a great dema- COMPULSIVE CANDIDATE ing, red-neck politics that George Wal- gogue pass through the crowd as Wal- lace brings to Alabama. It is these peo- lace denounced the banks and utilities, If Wallace is defeated by Brewer, ple Governor Brewer is addressing and the rich on Wall Street who don't either in next week's primary or in a when he says, as he does all the time, pay their taxes, and his enemies who June 3 runoff, he will be politically that "I'll never embarrass you or do "drink tea at the country club with dead-and to judge from the tone of his anything to make you ashamed." their little finger stubbed straight up, voice when asked what he will do if he 7. The blacks, or most of them. The and never do a thing for the people." is beaten, he knows it. He will no doubt black vote is put at between 15 per Wallace is not only a brilliant cam- run for President anyway-like Estes cent and 20 per cent. paigner. He is also a populist, an anti- Kefauver or Harold Stassen, he has be- This is a formidable list. But this is Establishmentarian, and his attacks on come a compulsive Presidential candi- where the earless millionaire enters the the big newspapers, the banks, and the date. But he will be a mere fringe politi- scenario. No one supposes that Charles utilities account for that electric cur- cian, lacking a political base, a curiosity Woods has a chance. But his television rent in his shirt-sleeved crowds at least relegated to the "Where Are They campaign, in which he presents himself as much as the race issue. His opposi- Now?" section. as a sort of anti-politician, has been ef- tion has never been more formidable. Brewer, as Wallace's longtime proté- fective, and some good guessers put his But little George Wallace, all the same, gé and political creation, is Goneril to vote next week at 100,000 or even may get his chance to "keep my foot in Wallace's Lear ("How sharper than a more. Most of those votes would be Mr. Nixon's back" so that Mr. Nixon serpent's tooth it is to have a thankless Brewer votes in a two-man battle. So will "keep his promise to give your child") and he has no real differences would most of the votes of ex-Gov. schools and your children back to you." with Wallace on racial or other issues. James Folsom (Kissin' Jim), another The people of Warrior need no code But he has been a competent governor, compulsive candidate, and a racial lib- book to understand what Wallace his manner is soothing, and above all, eral by Alabama standards. Asa Carter, means. No code book is needed in the he is not George Wallace. an arch-segregationist, may take a few White House, either. 100 Newsweek, May 4, 1970