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2 question had to do with the impact of these developments on the domestic U.S. economy. It was generally conceded that any adverse effect would be apt to come through the psychological impact of any decline in the stockmarket together with any tightening of monetary policy and interest rates. Mr. Volcker indicated that estimates about the impact on the stockmarket ranged to a decline of 300 points in the Dow-Jones (though this was not put forward as Mr. Volcker's own personal view). The President indicated his concern that the tail might wag the dog through a tightening of monetary policy for external reasons even though it would be adverse to our domestic economic interests. Paul W. McCracken

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