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    • Back to Decision Making Information: Eagle Track IV - 11/19/1981 Flash Report

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    Decision Making Information: Eagle Track IV - 11/19/1981 Flash Report
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    Decision Making Information: Eagle Track IV - 11/19/1981 Flash Report
    citationUrl
    https://catalog.archives.gov/id/118565150
    identifierLocal
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    collections
    Records of the White House Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff (Reagan Administration)
    Michael Deaver's Political Files
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    Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Deaver, Michael: Files Folder Title: Decision Making Information: Eagle Track IV-11/19/81 Flash Report Box: 64 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ CONGRESSMAN'S PARTY ID OCTOBER OCTOBER NOVEMBER TR`II TR III TR IV DEMOCRATS 45 43 42 REPUBLICANS 33 32 33 UNDECIDED 22 25 25 CONTROL OF U.S. HOUSE JUN JUL AUG OCT OCT Nov VII IX X II III IV REPUBLICANS 42 43 50 39 36 44 DEMOCRATS 37 41 34 40 43 37 OTHER 2 1 1 1 1 1 DON'T KNOW 19 15 15 20 20 18 Decision/Making/Information@ Intelligent alternatives for today's decision makers 1050 Seventeenth Street N.W., Suite 1100, Washington, D.C. 20036, (202) 822-9010 EAGLE TRACK IV NOVEMBER 19, 1981 FLASH RESULTS FIELD: PERIOD I - NOVEMBER 9 AND 10 PERIOD II - NOVEMBER 11 THROUGH 18 ECONOMIC PROGRAM CHANGE FEB/III SEP/XI OcT/TII OCT/TIII Nov/TIV OCT-Nov FAIRNESS FAIR 74 78 63 ,64 57 -7 UNFAIR 17 14 33 32 37 +5 NO OPINION 10 8 4 4 6 +2 HELPFULNESS HELPUFUL 63 63 51 53 46 -7 NOT HELPFUL 28 28 44 43 47 +4 No OPINION 9 9 4 4 7 +3 FAV TO RICH FAV TO RICH 54 54 70 74 74 0 FAV TO POOR 7 5 5 5 2 -3 No OPINION 39 41 25 21 24* +3 EFF ON INFL RED INFL 70 70 63 65 58 -7 NOT RED INFL 20 20 30 30 36 +6 No OPINION 10 10 7 5 6 +1 EFF ON PROD INC PROD 66 68 60 63 56 -7 NOT INC PROD 20 19 31 32 35 +3 No OPINION 14 13 9 5 9 +4 *INCLUDES No OPINION/NEITHER/BOTH PRESIDENT REAGAN'S ECONOMIC PACKAGE EFFECT ON ECONOMY BEFORE CONGRESS PASSED PROPOSALS "SUPPOSE MOST OF PRESIDENT REAGAN'S ECONOMIC PROPOSALS ARE PASSED BY CONGRESS. FROM WHAT YOU'VE HEARD AND READ, DO YOU FEEL THAT, ON THE WHOLE, THESE PROPOSALS WILL HELP OR HURT THE ECONOMY?" FEB 20 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JUNE JULY 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 HELP 78 76 70 72 75 62 68 HURT 13 14 18 20 19 27 24 NEITHER/ No OPINION 8 10 11 7 7 11 9 AFTER CONGRESS PASSED PROPOSALS "Now THAT PRESIDENT REAGAN'S MAJOR ECONOMIC PROPOSALS HAVE BEEN PASSED BY CONGRESS FROM WHAT YOU'VE HEARD AND READ, DO YOU FEEL THAT, ON THE WHOLE, THESE PROGRAMS WILL HELP OR HURT THE ECONOMY?" AUG SEPT OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov CHG 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 OCT-Nov HELP 74 70 65 69 59 -10 HURT 18 22 26 23 32 +9 NEITHER/ No OPINION 7 8 9 8 9 +1 JOB RATING: PRESIDENT REAGAN Do YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE WAY RONALD REAGAN IS HANDLING HIS JOB AS PRESIDENT? (WAIT FOR RESPONSE, THEN ASK:) WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY (APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) OR JUST SOMEWHAT (APPROVE/DISAPPROVE)? FEB 1 FEB 20 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUGUST SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov CHG 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981* 1981 1981 1931 1981 1981 OcT-No STRONGLY APPROVE 34% 43% 40% 36% 46% 39% 34% 33% 44% 42% 34% 37% 36% 31% -5 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 31 27 32 35 30 36 35 36 29 31 27 30 29 31 +2 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 8 8 7 11 10 11 13 12 12 12 12 10 12 14 +2 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 6 6 9 9 7 9 12 15 12 12 20 15 17 19 +2 No OPINION 22 16 13 9 7 5 6 4 4 3 7 8 6 5 -1 PRESIDENT REAGAN'S JOB RATING ON SPECIFIC ISSUES MARCH 25 APRIL MAY JUNE* JULY AUGUST OCT: 5 OCTOBER 17 Nov CHG 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 OCT-Nov FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRONGLY APPROVE 24% 30% 27% 24% 22% 27% 30% 30% 23% -7 36 38 35 34 36 +2 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 33 33 38 32 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12 11 12 11 15 11 13 16 17 +1 11 8 8 10 11 9 10 13 14 +1 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE No OPINION 21 18 16 24 16 15 12 7 10 +3 *MOR STUDY PRESIDENT REAGAN'S JOB RATING ON SPECIFIC ISSUES MARCH 25 APRIL MAY JUNE* JULY AUGUST OCT 5 OCT 17 NOV CHG 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1.981 OCT-NOV THE ECONOMY STRONGLY APPROVE 32% 36% 31% 29% 28% 38% 31% 32% 27% -5 SOMEWHAT APPROVE 35 34 37 32 35 32 35 33 32 -1 SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 14 12 14 13 13 13 13 14 17 +3 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 10 10 12 12 18 13 16 16 19 +3 No OPINION 9 8 6 14 6 4 5 5 5 0 *MOR STUDY THERMOMETER RATINGS OVER TIME INDIVIDUALS EAGLE # III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI TR I TRII TRIII TRIV FEB 81 MAR 81 MAR 81 APR 81 MAY 81 JUN 81 JUL 81 AUG 81 SEP 81 SEP 81 OCT 81 OCT 81 Nov 81 RONALD REAGAN # # 70 74 74 * 68 72 70 64 69 66 66 GEORGE BUSH * # 61 61 64 * # # 61 * * * 62 WALTER MONDALE * * 56 57 57 * * 56 54 55 57 54 55 TED KENNEDY # * 45 50 50 * * 47 * 50 51 48 53 NANCY REAGAN * # * * 64 * 61 62 62 57 57 57 * * * * * # * 53 * * JIMMY CARTER # * * * DAVID STOCKMAN * * * 54 * * * * * * * * 51 # * * # * * * # * * # JOHN GLENN 63 64 *Not APPLICABLE THERMOMETER RATINGS OVER TIME GROUPS AND ORGANIZATIONS SEPT/XI Nov/TIV WHITE HOUSE STAFF 62 57 How WELL DO THESE CHARACTERISTICS DESCRIBE PRESIDENT REAGAN? (PERCENTAGE OF PEOPLE CHOOSING EXCELLENT OR GOOD) MAY JULY AUGUST SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov CHG 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 OCT-Nov STRONG LEADERSHIP QUALITIES THIS COUNTRY NEEDS 77% 72% 78% 76% 68% 72% 71% 69% -2 SHOWS TOO MUCH BUSINESS FAVORITISM NA NA 46 44 49 46 46 48 +2 How WELL DO THESE CHARACTERISTICS DESCRIBE PRESIDENT REAGAN? (PERCENTAGE OF PEOPLE CHOOSING FAIR OR POOR) MAY JULY AUGUST SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov CHG 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 OCT-Nov STRONG LEADERSHIP QUALITIES THIS COUNTRY NEEDS 22% 27% 22% 23% 31% 28% 29% 30% +1 SHOWS TOO MUCH BUSINESS FAVORITISM NA NA 49 52 48 49 51 46 -5 LIKE MOST ABOUT REAGAN (RANK ORDER BY FREQUENCY OF MENTION) FEB 1 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JULY AUG SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 STRONG LEADERSHIP CAPABILITY 14% 14% 15% 15% 14% 15% 24% 23% 20% 20% 19% 19% Do A GOOD JOB 6 10 10 10 11 10 8 10 10 9 10 10 STAND ON GOVERNMENT SPENDING -- -- 4 3 3 2 1 6 7 5 6 5 HONEST/SINCERE 7 10 8 10 11 9 7 6 6 5 5 7 APPEARANCE/PERSONALITY 4 5 6 9 8 10 5 6 4 4 5 6 OUTSPOKEN/STRAIGHTFORWARD 8 7 8 9 8 5 7 5 4 5 4 5 STAND ON ECONOMY -- -- 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 5 3 3 HELP THE PEOPLE -- -- 4 4 5 4 4 2 2 3 3 2 GENERAL POSITIVE -- -- 4 4 4 5 3 1 --- 3 3 4 QUALIFIED/CAPABLE -- -- 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 STAND ON LABOR UNIONS -- -- : -- I -- -- 4 2 1 2 1 CAMPAIGN PROMISES 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 2 1 Too SOON TO JUDGE/NEUTRAL 9 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 No OPINION 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 3 4 3 4 5 SPECIFIC POSITIVE RESPONSES 76 81 80 85 84 83 84 87 77 81 79 75 NEGATIVE 10 10 11 8 10 11 11 10 14 12 13 14 LIKE LEAST ABOUT REAGAN (RANK ORDER BY FREQUENCY OF MENTION) FEB 1 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JULY AUG SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 STAND ON CUTBACK IN SOCIAL PROGRAMS -- 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 4% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% STAND ON AID TO THE ELDERLY -- -- -- -- 8 6 5 7 8 6 6 5 WILL NOT REPRESENT THE PEOPLE -- -- -- 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 STAND ON FOREIGN POLICY -- -- --- --- 2 3 2 3 3 4 5 5 FAVORS RICH 1 2 2 -- 2 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 HIS AGE/HEALTH 7 7 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 APPEARANCE 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 CABINET/AIDES -- -- -- ---- 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 ACTOR 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 GENERAL NEGATIVE -- -- -- -- -- 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 STAND ON LABOR UNIONS 3 2 1 1 1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Too SOON TO JUDGE/NEUTRAL 19 9 8 8 3 2 2 3 13 2 1 2 No OPINION 11 14 13 11 14 14 13 9 10 10 10 11 POSITIVE 21 25 27 32 28 26 28 23 18 24 24 21 RESISTANCE RATIO 21:10 25:10 25:10 40:10 28:10 24:10 25:10 23:10 13:10 20:10 19:10 15:10 PRESIDENT REAGAN'S RESISTANCE RATIO* # (THE NUMBER OF POSITIVE RESPONSES GIVEN WHEN ASKED FOR A NEGATIVE COMMENT AGAINST THE NUMBER OF NEGATIVE RESPONSES GIVEN WHEN ASKED FOR A POSITIVE COMMENT.) PERCENT 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 .5 0.0 II IV V VI VII IX X XI TR I TR II TR III TR IV EAGLE STUDY IDEOLOGY IN POLITICS TODAY, DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF TO BE LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE? PERCENT CONSERVATIVE 70 MODERATE 60 LIBERAL 50 40 30 20 10 0 I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI TI TII TIII TIV EAGLE STUDY PARTY IDENTIFICATION WITH LEAN EAGLE # FEB 1 FEB 20 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT SEPT I OCT 5 II OCT 17 NOV IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI TR I TR II TR III TR IN REPUBLICAN 37 37 36 35 34 35 38 39 40 40 35 35 40 36 INDEPENDENT 22 27 24 25 25 25 19 19 19 20 17 19 17 18 DEMOCRAT 4]. 37 39 40 40 40 43 42 41 40 48 46 43 46 RIGHT DIRECTION/WRONG TRACK GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THAT THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR HAVE THEY PRETTY SERIOUSLY GOTTEN OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? PERCENT 100 RIGHT DIRECTION 90 WRONG TRACK 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI TR I TR II TR III TR IV EAGLE STUDY NUMBER ONE NATIONAL PROBLEM (RANK ORDER BY FREQUENCY OF MENTION ON LATEST--OCTOBER--SURVEY) I II III IV V VI VII VIII X XI JAN TR I TRII FEB 1 FEB 20 TR IU TR IV MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JULY AUG SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 1981 Nov 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 INFLATION 39% 43% 38% 37% 36% 32% 33% 31% 32% 33% 30% 25% 25% 26% ECONOMY/GENERAL 14 19 20 19 14 13 14 17 15 16 17 12 16 16 UNEMPLOYMENT 4 6 5 7 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 8 12 HIGH INTEREST RATES 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 12 7 9 7 6 WORLD PEACE 2 3 1 4 5 6 4 4 4 4 4 7 6 6 DECLINE IN MORALS 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 4 5 5 CRIME -- 2 3 3 4 7 11 4 3 3 3 5 4 3 GOVERNMENT SPENDING 2 1 2 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 5 3 4 3 SOCIAL SECURITY -- --- -- -- -- 1 5 8 4 4 6 3 2 3 NATIONAL DEFENSE 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 FOREIGN POLICY 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 TAXES 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 LABOR UNIONS -- --- -- -- -- -- -- -- 4 --- 0 0 1 0 NUMBER ONE STATE PROBLEM (RANK ORDER BY FREQUENCY ON LATEST--OCTOBER--SURVEY) FEB 1 FEB 20 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JULY AUG SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov II III IV V VI VII IX X XI TR I TR II TR III TR IV UNEMPLOYMENT 17 18 18 18 14 14 16 14 17 16 20 19 21 INFLATION 13 12 15 11 11 10 9 7 9 6 7 9 9 CRIME 7 6 8 8 12 11 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 TAXES 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 10 8 8 8 7 8 EDUCATION 5 4 5 4 4 5 4 4 6 7 5 6 4 ECONOMY 6 7 6 5 6 4 4 5 5 3 4 4 5 GOVERNMENT LEADERSHIP 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 LACK OF GOVT. REV. 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 FARM PROBLEMS 1 1 2 2 1 1 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 ROADS/HIGHWAYS 3 4 2 2 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 GOVERNMENT SPENDING 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 IMMIGRANTS/CUBANS 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 WATER SHORTAGE 4 4 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 WELFARE 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 POLLUTION/AIR/WATER 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 ENERGY CRISES 4 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 DECLINE MORAL VALUES 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 UTILITY COSTS 2 1 1 1 -- 1 - 1 1 1 1 -- 1 POVERTY/LOW WAGES 1 2 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 AID TO ELDERLY -- --- -- -- -- 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 JOB APPROVAL RATINGS FEB 1 FEB 20 MAR 7 MAR 25 APRIL MAY JULY AUG SEPT 9 SEPT 18 OCT 5 OCT 17 Nov 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 1981 CONGRESS APPROVE 36% 31% 38% 41% 44% 53% 42% 49% 52% 48% 49% 43% 45% DISAPPROVE 48 48 43 43 42 37 48 41 35 41 41 47 43 No OPINION 16 21 19 17 14 10 10 10 13 11 10 10 12 YOUR CONGRESSMAN (NOT NAMED) APPROVE 67 63 67 62 65 66 67 68 54 65 67 65 67 DISAPPROVE 19 19 15 17 18 19 19 18 37 17 15 19 14 No OPINION 14 18 18 21 17 15 15 14 9 18 18 16 19 YOUR GOVERNOR (NOT NAMED) APPROVE 58 58 58 55 60 55 53 53 68 56 56 54 56 DISAPPROVE 34 32 32 35 31 36 39 38 16 35 36 39 36 No OPINION 8 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 16 9 8 7 8 YOUR SENATOR (SPECIFICALLY NAMED 14 STATES) APPROVE 52 49 51 50 51 52 50 50 49 51 DISAPPROVE 25 21 24 27 26 24 26 23 27 25 No OPINION 23 30 25 23 22 25 24 27 24 29