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Decision Making Information: A Study of National Attitudes, 04/07/1983-04/10/1983
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118565164
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Decision Making Information: A Study of National Attitudes, 04/07/1983-04/10/1983
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Records of the White House Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff (Reagan Administration)
Michael Deaver's Political Files
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118565164
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1985-12-31
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1981-01-01
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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Deaver, Michael: Files Folder Title: [Decision Making Information] A Study of National Attitudes, 04/07/1983- 04/10/1983 Box: 65 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ Decision/Making/Information@ Intelligent alternatives for today's decision makers 6803 Poplar Place, Suite 300, McLean, Virginia 22101, (703) 556-0001 A STUDY OF NATIONAL ATTITUDES April 7-10, 1983 RNC83-4 #29301 Decision/Making/Information SURVEY SPECIFICATIONS The following tables contain the aggregate results for questions asked of the American public on behalf of the Republican National Committee on the dates indicated below. Project Director: Richard B. Wirthlin Internal Project Directors: Lori A. Forman Elizabeth Hawkins Universe: Adult Americans (persons aged 18 and over) Mode of Interview: Telephone Date(s) of Interviews: April 7-10, 1983 Sample Size: 1500 Confidence Interval: +2.5 in 95 out of 100 cases Decision/Making Information TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE POLITICAL CLIMATE Right Direction/Wrong Track 2 Better Off/Worse Off 4 Average Man Getting Worse 5 Number One National Problem 6 PERCEPTIONS OF PRESIDENT REAGAN Job Rating - General 9 Job Rating - Economy 13 Job Rating - Foreign Affairs 15 Job Rating - Inflation 18 Job Rating - Unemployment 20 Job Rating - Social Security 22 Job Rating - Nicaragua 24 Reagan's Characteristics - Excellent/Good 25 Reagan's Characteristics - Only Fair/Poor 26 Reagan's Characteristics - Improvement or Erosion 27 Like Most About Reagan 28 Like Least About Reagan 29 OTHER IMAGES Congressional Job Rating 33 Thermometer Rating: Party 34 Thermometer Rating: White House and Cabinet People 35 Thermometer Rating: President Reagan 36 Thermometer Rating: Political and Others 37 THE ECONOMY Status of the National Economy 39 Assessment of Economy 40 Status of Inflation 41 Assessment of Inflation 42 Status of Unemployment 43 Assessment of Unemployment 44 Status of Interest Rates 45 Assessment of Interest Rates 46 Responsibility for Last Year's High Interest Rates 47 Decision/Making/Information TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONTINUED) PAGE RONALD REAGAN'S ECONOMIC PROGRAM Reagan Economic Program 49 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Help or Hurt the National Economy 50 Effects of Economic Program 51 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Helpful or Not Helpful 52 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Fair or Unfair 54 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Reduce Inflation 55 Rating Reagan's Economic Program - Increase Employment 57 Economic Program: Fair Chance 58 Economic Program: A Failure 59 Reduction of Federal Deficit 60 OTHER ISSUES Federal Reserve Board 62 Hunger in America 63 Social Security Benefits -- Increased or Decreased? 64 Bipartisan Support for Social Security 65 No Quick Fix 66 Government Waste of Tax Money 67 NUCLEAR ARMS Nuclear Weapons Strength 69 Defense Statements 70 Position on Nuclear Arms (Self) 71 Reagan on Nuclear Arms 72 DEFENSE SPENDING Spending Preferences 74 PARTISANSHIP Republicans vs. Democrats 78 Party Identification with Lean 79 Congressional Vote with Lean 81 TV Advertising/National Political Parties 82 Decision/Making/Information POLITICAL CLIMATE 2 Decision/Making/Information Right Direction/Wrong Track "Generally speaking, would you say that things in this country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?" Feb Jun Sep Jan June Sep 20-22 12-14 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Right direction 42 41 46 50 32 33 Wrong track 51 51 47 45 62 63 No opinion 8 8 7 5 6 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Right direction 33 35 40 38 Wrong track 64 59 56 56 No opinion 3 7 4 6 RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK? PERCENT 100 RIGHT DIRECTION 90 WRONG TRACK 80 70 67 NO OPINION 66 60 54 56 3 50 50 45 40 38 39 33 30 28 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 5 7. 6 5 3 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 4 Decision/Making/Information Better Off/Worse Off "How about you personally? Generally speaking, are you better or worse off now than you were two years ago today?" Jan Apr Jan Jan Mar Apr 28-31 12-18 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 1983 Better off 43 33 * 36 40 44 Worse off 34 39 * 38 37 33 Same 11 28 * 25 23 23 No opinion 12 * - 1 0 0 * 5 Decision/Making/Information Average Man Getting Worse "In spite of what some people say, the condition of the average man is getting worse, not better." " Feb Jul Sep Jan Jun Jan 20-22 16-18 18-28 11-19 15-22 7-10 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1983 Agree 74 62 65 67 67 70 Disagree 24 36 33 32 31 27 No opinion 2 2 2 1 2 2 Jan Mar Apr 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 Agree * 60 59 Disagree * 38 38 No opinion * 2 3 6 Decision/Making/Information Number One National Problem "What would you say is the single most important problem facing the United States today, that is, the one that you, yourself, are most concerned about?" Feb Jul Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 16-18 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Unemployment 5 6 7 24 28 36 Inflation 38 31 30 17 15 12 Economy/Other 33 26 33 29 19 22 Domestic/Social 7 13 11 5 5 6 Crime/Drugs/Morals 8 10 7 9 10 7 Foreign Affairs/Defense 6 10 8 10 15 9 Government leadership 3 3 3 3 4 4 No problems/No opinion 1 2 1 3 4 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Unemployment 51 48 37 34 Inflation 5 7 8 6 Economy/Other 18 18 18 19 Domestic/Social 7 7 7 7 Crime/Drugs/Morals 4 5 9 9 Foreign Affairs/Defense 11 7 14 17 Government leadership 1 4 4 4 No problems/No opinion 2 3 3 4 NUMBER ONE PROBLEM (NATIONAL) PERCENT 100 UNEMPLOYMENT 90 INFLATION 80 OTHER 70 ECONOMIC 60 7 FOREIGN 52 AFFAIRS 50 OTHER 40 39 ISSUES 34 30 28 24 27 24 20 18 17 19 15 13 14 17 Decision/Making/Informati 10 12 12 9 4 5 6 0 1/81 1/82 4/82 7/82 10/82 1/83 3/83 4/83 DATE 8 Decision/Making/Information PERCEPTIONS OF PRESIDENT REAGAN 9 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- General "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling his job as President?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-14 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Approve 70 67 60 60 52 51 Disapprove 14 27 33 33 40 43 No opinion 16 6 7 7 8 6 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 46 44 50 50 Disapprove 49 50 46 46 No opinion 5 5 4 4 10 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating -- General "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling his job as President?" Jan 7-10 Jan 27-29 Mar 17-21 Apr 7-10 Change (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Approve 46 44 49 50 + 1 Disapprove 49 50 47 46 - 1 No opinion 5 5 4 4 0 REAGAN JOB RATING GENERAL PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 60 11 49 50 50 50 47 45 46 44 44 40 30 33 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 7 7 8 6 4. 0 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 JOB RATING: REAGAN STRNGLY APPRV VS. STRNGLY DSPPRV PERCENT 100 STRONGLY APPROVE 90 STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 80 70 60 12 50 40 30 30 27 29 24 20 23 20 21 21 Decision/Making/Informati 10 / 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 2 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 13 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating Economy "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Mar Jul Oct Jan Jun Sep 6-9 16-18 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Approve 63 61 66 57 45 44 Disapprove 23 33 28 40 51 52 No opinion 14 6 5 3 4 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 38 40 44 47 Disapprove 58 57 54 52 No opinion 4 3 2 1 REAGAN JOB RATING THE ECONOMY PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 58 57 55 52 14 50 48 48 47 40 40 41 38 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 4 4 4 3 1 0 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 15 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating Foreign Affairs "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Mar Jul Oct Jan Jun Sep 6-9 16-18 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Approve 60 56 65 59 56 46 Disapprove 19 27 23 33 34 43 No opinion 21 16 12 8 10 11 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 46 45 41 44 Disapprove 44 40 49 48 No opinion 10 14 10 8 16 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating Foreign Affairs "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling foreign affairs?" Jan 7-10 Jan 27-29 Mar 17-21 Apr 7-10 Change (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Approve 46 45 41 44 + 3 Disapprove 44 40 49 48 - 1 No opinion 10 14 10 8 - 2 REAGAN JOB RATING FOREIGN AFFAIRS PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 59 56 17 49 50 48 50 47 44 44 40 41 37 34 30 33 20 13 Decision/Making/Information 10 10 10 9 8 8 0 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 18 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating Inflation "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Jan Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Approve 51 41 43 42 44 49 Disapprove 43 53 52 55 55 48 No opinion 6 6 5 3 3 3 Apr 7-10 1983 Approve 47 Disapprove 50 No opinion 3 REAGAN JOB RATING INFLATION PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 57 55 19 51 50 50 48 47 47 40 43 42 38 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 6 5 5 3 3 0 1 3 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 20 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating Unemployment "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Jan Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Approve 34 30 30 26 28 31 Disapprove 57 64 63 70 67 65 No opinion 9 6 7 4 5 4 Apr 7-10 1983 Approve 33 Disapprove 63 No opinion 4 REAGAN JOB RATING UNEMPLOYMENT PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 70 70 NO OPINION 63 57 60 21 50 40 34 33 30 26 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 9 4 4 0 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 22 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating Social Security "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling ?" Jul Sep Jan Jan Mar Apr 16-19 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 1983 Approve 40 36 35 35 33 35 Disapprove 52 55 57 58 60 60 No opinion 8 9 8 6 7 5 REAGAN JOB RATING SOCIAL SECURITY PERCENT 100 APPROVE 90 DISAPPROVE 80 NO 70 OPINION 62 60 60 23 52 50 40 40 35 30 29 20 Decision/Making/Information 9 10 8 5 0 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 24 Decision/Making/Information Reagan Job Rating - Nicaragua "Have you heard or read anything recently about Nicaragua? And do you approve or disapprove of the way Ronald Reagan is handling the situation in Nicaragua?" No 62% Yes/Approve 14 Yes/Disapprove 24 25 Decision/Making/Information Reagan's Characteristics -- Excellent/Good "Would you say that this is an ... excellent, good, only fair, or poor description of Reagan?" May Sep . Jan Jun Sep Jan 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 47 * 40 37 33 32 Will start an unnecessary war 19 27 25 23 23 23 Effective in getting things done 78 71 69 51 52 45 Really knows what he is doing * * * 45 43 40 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 77 68 * 54 51 48 Is trustworthy * * 65 * 61 56 Shows too much business favoritism * * * * * * Dangerous * * * * * * Jan Mar Apr 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 33 30 30 Will start an unnecessary war 20 22 24 Effective in getting things done 39 44 46 Really knows what he is doing 37 37 38 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 45 45 47 Is trustworthy 54 53 54 Shows too much business favoritism * 47 49 Dangerous * * 22 26 Decision/Making/Information Reagan's Characteristics -- Only Fair/Poor "Would you say that this is an ... excellent, good, only fair, or poor description of Reagan?" May Sep Jan Jun Sep Jan 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 52 * 59 62 65 66 Will start an unnecessary war 70 70 73 72 70 73 Effective in getting things done 20 28 30 47 46 53 Really knows what he is doing * * * 53 54 59 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 21 23 * 44 47 51 Is trustworthy 20 * 33 * 35 41 Shows too much business favoritism * * * * * * Dangerous * * * * * * Jan Mar Apr 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 Cares about the needs of the elderly and poor 67 69 69 Will start an unnecessary war 76 72 73 Effective in getting things done 59 55 53 Really knows what he is doing 60 61 60 Has the strong leadership qualities this country needs 53 54 52 Is trustworthy 41 44 44 Shows too much business favoritism * 47 47 Dangerous * * 75 27 Decision/Making, Information Reagan's Characteristics "Would you say that this is an ... excellent, good, only fair, or poor description of Reagan?" Excellent/Good Only Fair/Poor Jan Apr % Imprvmnt Jan Apr % Imprvmnt Net 27-29 7-10 or (Erosion) 27-29 7-10 or (Erosion) Change Positive Characteristics Cares about the needs of the 33 30 ( 3) 67 69 ( 2) ( 5) elderly and poor Effective in getting things 39 46 7 59 53 6 13 done Really knows what he is doing 37 38 1 60 60 0 1 Has the strong leadership 45 47 2 53 52 1 3 qualities this country needs Is trustworthy 54 54 0 41 44 ( 3) ( 3) Negative Characteristics Shows too much business * 49 * - 47 - - favoritism Will start an unnecessary war 20 24 ( 4) 76 73 ( 3) (7) 28 Decision/Making Information Like Most About Reagan Jan Jun Aug Jan Jan Mar 11-19 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Strong leadership 19 14 19 9 * * Other personal qualities 20 19 23 15 * * Job performance 14 16 29 16 * * Stand on economic issues 12 7 15 11 * * Stand on foreign affairs 5 6 6 5 * * Stand on other issues 4 5 7 3 * * General - Positive 3 7 9 5 * * Need more time - Neutral 7 7 8 8 * * General - Negative 16 19 21 26 * * Apr 7-10 1983 Strong leadership 11 Other personal qualities 17 Job performance 11 Stand on economic issues 10 Stand on foreign affairs 5 Stand on other issues 5 General - Positive 7 Need more time - neutral 12 General - Negative 22 29 Decision/Making/Information Like Least About Reagan Jan Jun Aug Jan Jan Mar 11-19 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Uncaring attitude 14 13 16 14 * * Other personal qualities 9 13 17 16 * * Job performance 6 9 14 9 * * Stand on economic issues 11 11 20 14 * * Stand on foreign affairs 10 6 12 10 * * Stand on other issues 14 10 15 7 * * General - Positive 4 3 4 4 * * Need more time - Neutral 12 14 13 11 * * General - Negative 20 20 18 8 * * Resistance Ratio 13:10 10:10 9:10 5:10 * * Apr 7-10 1983 Uncaring attitude 14 Other personal qualities 13 Job performance 8 Stand on economic issues 13 Stand on foreign affairs 13 Stand on other issues 7 General - Positive 14 Need more time - Neutral 13 General - Negative 5 Resistance Ratio 6:10 32 Decision/Making/Information OTHER IMAGES 33 Decision/Making Information Congressional Job Rating "Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job? Would that be strongly (approve/disapprove) or just somewhat (approve/ disapprove)?" Jan 30 Jan Feb 3 11-19 Jan Jan Mar Apr 1981 1982 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Approve 36 38 35 34 42 41 Disapprove 48 50 60 59 52 54 No opinion 16 12 5 7 6 5 34 Decision/Making/Information Thermometer Ratings (Party) Jan Jul Sep Jan Jun Sep 30-3 16-18 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Republ icans 64 62 55 56 54 52 Democrats 57 56 58 59 60 60 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Republ icans 49 52 50 50 Democrats 61 63 63 61 35 Decision/Making/Information Thermometer Ratings (White House and Cabinet People) Jan May Sep Jan Jun Sep 30-3 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 Ronald Reagan 72 77 64 63 58 57 George Bush 56 66 * * * 54 Bill Brock * 55 * * * * James Watt * 53 39 * 40 * A1 Haig * 59 * * * * Caspar Weinberger * 61 * * * * William Casey * * * * * * Sandra O'Connor * * * * * * Drew Lewis * * * * * * Richard Allen * * * * * * David Stockman * * * * * * Paul Volcker * * * * * * Robert Packwood * * * * * * Anne Gorsuch Burford Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Ronald Reagan 55 54 54 54 George Bush * * * 55 Bill Brock * * * * James Watt * * 35 * A1 Haig * * * * Caspar Weinberger * * * 50 William Casey * * * * Sandra O'Connor * * * * Drew Lewis * * * * Richard Allen * * * * David Stockman * * * * Paul Volcker * * 51 * Robert Packwood * * * * Anne Gorsuch Burford * * 43 * REAGAN THERMOMETER RATING 100 90 80 70 63 60 55 36 54 50 40 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 0 1 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 37 Decision/Making/Information Thermometer Ratings (Political and Others) Jan May Sep Jan Jun Sep 9-12 12-17 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Jimmy Carter 50 * * * * * John Glenn * * * * * * Ted Kennedy 49 56 50 49 51 51 Walter Mondale 51 58 55 52 50 51 Tip O'Neill * * 53 * 50 * Menachem Begin * * 50 * 49 36 Margaret Thatcher * * * * * * Jose Duarte * * * * * * Fidel Castro * * * * * * Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Jimmy Carter * * * * John Glenn 61 62 61 59 Ted Kennedy * * * * Walter Mondale 52 54 54 52 Tip O'Neill 53 57 58 56 Gary Hart * * * 50 Raymon Donovan * * * 42 Donald Regan * * * 49 Menachem Begin * * * * Margaret Thatcher * * * * Jose Duarte * * * * Fidel Castro * * * * 38 Decision/Making/Information THE ECONOMY 39 Decision/Making/Information Status of the National Economy "Compared to a year ago, do you think the national economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think the national economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 11 12 20 * 19 39 Gotten worse 56 51 51 * 54 30 Stayed the same 31 33 28 * 26 30 2 4 1 * 1 1 No opinion Now/Future Get better 48 43 46 * 47 56 Get worse 25 20 22 * 20 15 Stay the same 23 34 29 * 31 26 4 3 3 * No opinion 2 3 Apr 7-10 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 39 Gotten worse 32 Stayed the same 28 No opinion 1 Now/Future Get better 53 Get worse 13 Stay the same 31 No opinion 3 8/1968 8 - CBS- NBC ABC - Evening 6/81 - pre 12/82 Uandelit TV News archeris Uanderbilt helvey Adm - Names B lbington 615-322-2927 Poverty index Particil - execut. - 40 Decision/Making/Information, Assessment of Economy Feb June Sept Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Optimists 9 11 15 * 16 33 Mild Optimists 22 19 19 * 16 19 Rebounders 20 18 16 * 16 9 Status Quoers 7 12 9 * 9 12 Mild Pessimists 17 19 19 * 22 13 Pessimists 21 17 18 * 17 11 Don't know 5 4 4 * 3 3 Apr 7-10 1983 Optimists 29 Mild Optimists 21 Rebounders 10 Status Quoers 12 Mild Pessimists 14 Pessimists 10 Don't know 4 41 Decision/Making/Information Status of Inflation "Compared to a year ago, do you think inflation has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think inflation will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb June Aug Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 23 26 29 * 33 43 Gotten worse 50 42 43 * 42 26 Stayed the same 26 31 28 * 24 30 No opinion 1 1 0 * 1 1 Now/Future Get better 36 45 39 * 35 46 Get worse 31 21 25 * 25 18 Stay the same 29 31 34 * 37 34 No opinion 4 3 2 * 2 2 Apr 7-10 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 41 Gotten worse 30 Stayed the same 29 No opinion 0 Now/Future Get better 41 Get worse 22 Stay the same 35 No opinion 2 42 Decision/Making/Information Assessment of Inflation Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 Optimists * 16 26 22 Mild Optimists * 20 24 23 Rebounders * 11 7 9 Status Quoers * 10 14 14 Mild Pessimists * 19 11 12 Pessimists * 21 15 17 Don't know * 3 3 3 43 Decision/Making/Information Status of Unemployment "Compared to a year ago, do you think unemployment has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think unemployment will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb Jun Aug Jan Jan Mar 13-14 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 4 4 4 * 4 17 Gotten worse 80 83 82 * 86 61 Stayed the same 14 12 13 * 9 21 No opinion 2 1 1 * 1 1 Now/Future Get better 40 43 44 * 51 58 Get worse 35 30 29 * 24 16 Stay the same 21 24 26 * 23 24 No opinion 4 2 1 * 2 2 Apr 7-10 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 18 Gotten worse 57 Stayed the same 24 No opinion 1 Now/Future Get better 57 Get worse 18 Stay the same 23 No opinion 2 44 Decision/Making/Information Assessment of Unemployment Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 Optimists * 3 15 15 Mild Optimists * 7 15 18 Rebounders * 41 28 25 Status Quoers * 2 6 6 Mild Pessimists * 21 19 17 Pessimists * 23 14 16 Don't know * 3 3 3 45 Decision/Making/Information Status of Interest Rates "Compared to a year ago, do you think the interest rates have gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Thinking about a year from now, do you think the interest rates will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?" Feb Jun Aug Jan Jan Mar 25-6 15-22 25-29 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 17 19 51 * 60 65 Gotten worse 51 37 29 * 24 17 Stayed the same 29 42 18 * 14 14 No opinion 3 2 2 * 2 4 Now/Future Get better 41 45 49 * 43 45 Get worse 22 18 17 * 19 16 Stay the same 34 34 31 * 34 36 No opinion 3 3 3 * 3 3 Apr 7-10 1983 Year Ago/Now Gotten better 66 Gotten worse 20 Stayed the same 11 No opinion 3 Now/Future Get better 44 Get worse 19 Stay the same 34 No opinion 3 46 Decision/Making/Information Assessment of Interest Rates Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 Optimists * 31 33 34 Mild Optimists * 24 29 26 Rebounders * 7 6 6 Status Quoers * 6 7 5 Mild Pessimists * 10 5 8 Pessimists * 17 14 16 Don't know * 5 6 5 47 Decision/Making/Information Responsibility for Last Year's High Interest Rates "From what you've heard and read, who or what do you think was primarily responsible for last year's high interest rates?" RNC 83-4 April 7-10, 1983 (%) Government/Generally 9 Government Spending 4 Government Deficit/Debt 2 Federal Reserve System 7 President/Reagan 10 Congress 2 Democrats 3 Republicans 1 Lending Institutions (Banks & S&L's) 8 Business/Industry 6 Economy/General 4 Inflation 5 No One Person/Thing 4 Other 6 No opinion 29 48 Decision/Making/Information RONALD REAGAN'S ECONOMIC PROGRAM 49 Decision/Making/Information Reagan's Economic Program "From what you've heard and read, do you feel that, on the whole, Reagan's economic program will help or hurt the economy?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-14 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Help 78 60 71 59 51 56 Hurt 13 29 21 32 41 37 No opinion 8 11 8 9 8 7 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Help 51 52 60 56 Hurt 43 41 34 39 No opinion 6 7 6 5 REAGAN ECONOMIC PROGRAM HELP OR HURT THE NAT'L ECONOMY PERCENT 100 HELP 90 HURT 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 59 56 50 47 47 50 45 40 42 39 30 32 20 11 Decision/Making/Informati 10 9 8 5 0 1 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 51 Decision/Making/Information Effects of Economic Program "Just generally, how long from now do you think it will be before we would begin to see either the helpful or harmful effects of Reagan's economic program?" Feb Jul Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 16-18 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Less than one year 16 21 22 31 31 29 One year 31 30 31 31 23 27 More than one year 53 47 47 36 40 40 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Less than one year 36 * * 34 One year 27 * * 24 More than one year 32 * * 38 52 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program Helpful/Not Helpful? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program is ...?" Feb May Oct Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-17 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Helpful 63 61 52 45 40 39 Not helpful 28 35 44 50 56 57 No opinion 9 4 4 5 4 4 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Helpful 32 36 41 41 Not helpful 58 58 54 55 No opinion 5 6 5 4 REAGAN'S ECONOMIC PROGRAM HELPFUL TO YOU? PERCENT 100 HELPFUL 90 NOT HELPFUL 80 70 NO OPINION 60 55 53 53 50 50 45 41 40 40 30 20 Decision/Making/informati 10 7 5 4 0 1 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 54 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program Fair or Unfair? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program is ...?" Feb May Oct Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-17 5-14 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Fair 74 71 63 60 45 54 Unfair 17 25 33 35 48 41 No opinion 10 4 4 5 7 5 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Fair 48 49 52 50 Unfair 46 44 43 45 No opinion 6 6 5 5 55 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program Reduce Inflation? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program will ...?" Feb May Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-17 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Will reduce 70 69 65 59 52 55 Will not reduce 20 26 30 36 42 40 No opinion 10 6 5 5 6 5 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Will reduce 55 53 58 57 Will not reduce 40 41 37 38 No opinion 5 6 5 5 REAGAN ECONOMIC PROGRAM WILL IT REDUCE INFLATION? PERCENT 100 WILL REDUCE 90 WILL NOT REDUCE 80 NO 70 OPINION 60 59 59 57 56 50 38 40 36 35 30 20 Decision/Making/Informati 10 5 6 5 0 1 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 57 Decision/Making/Information Rating Reagan's Economic Program Increase Employment? "How would you rate Reagan's proposed economic program? For instance, do you feel the program will ...?" Feb Sep Jan Jun Sep Jan 20-22 9-13 11-19 15-22 23-27 7-10 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 1983 Will increase 56 53 48 43 43 44 Will not increase 33 41 47 52 53 52 No opinion 11 6 5 5 4 4 Jan Mar Apr 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 Will increase 47 53 51 Will not increase 47 42 45 No opinion 6 5 4 58 Decision/Making/Information Economic Program: Fair Chance Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. "The Democrats want to change the Reagan economic program even before it has had a fair chance to work." Nov 23-24 Jan Jan Mar Apr 1982 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 Agree strongly 31 * 34 27 41 Agree somewhat 26 * 31 28 28 Disagree somewhat 19 * 18 22 14 Disagree strongly 21 * 14 19 13 No opinion 3 * 4 4 4 59 Decision/Making/Information Economic Program: A Failure Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. "Reagan has had enough time to fix the economy but hasn't; his economic program is a failure." Sept Oct Nov 23-27 14-16 23-24 Jan Jan Mar 1982 1982 1982 7-10 27-29 17-21 24 25 23 * Agree strongly 27 27 Agree somewhat 15 15 15 * 16 16 Disagree somewhat 26 23 23 * 24 24 32 35 37 * Disagree strongly 32 32 No opinion 3 2 2 * 1 1 Apr 7-10 1983 Agree strongly 28 Agree somewhat 15 Disagree somewhat 23 Disagree strongly 33 No opinion 1 60 Decision/Making/Information Reduction of Federal Deficit "To reduce the federal deficit, we don't want or need higher taxes, we need economic growth.' " Agree strongly 65% Agree somewhat 24 Disagree somewhat 7 Disagree strongly 2 No opinion 2 61 Decision/Making/Information OTHER ISSUES 62 Decision/Making Information Federal Reserve Board "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said.' = Agree Agree Disagree Disagree Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly (%) (%) (%) (%) If a president had more control over the activities of the Federal Reserve Board, then it would be 24 29 19 18 easier to coordinate economic policy, bring down inflation, and create more jobs. Now that Federal Reserve Board Chairman Paul Volcker's term is almost up, Ronald Reagan should 22 23 15 10 appoint someone new as chairman rather than reappointing Volcker. 63 Decision/Making/Information Hunger in America "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said." Agree Agree Disagree Disagree Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly (%) (%) (%) (%) Many people who receive food assis- tance from the federal government 53 22 13 10 really are not eligible. The federal government's food assistance programs do not adquately 39 29 18 10 serve needy Americans. There are more hungry people in America today than there were two 55 21 12 8 years ago. "Do you personally know anyone who is hungry and unable to get food assistance?" No 80% Yes 20 (IF "YES," ASK:) "Why are they unable to get food assistance?" Yes/Don't qualify for benefits 11% Yes/Don't want to accept welfare 1 Yes/No transportation 0 Yes/Other 8 64 Decision/Making/Information Social Security Benefits -- Increased or Decreased? "In regard to social security payments, is it your impression that Ronald Reagan has increased or reduced social security benefits?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jan Mar 25-6 15-22 23-27 7-10 27-29 17-21 1982 1982 1982 1983 1983 1983 Increased 12 17 27 20 * * Reduced 54 49 50 45 * * No change 26 34 18 25 * * No opinion 8 - 5 10 * * Apr 7-10 1983 Increased 19 Reduced 60 No change 15 No opinion 6 65 Decision/Making/Information Bipartisan Support for Social Security "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said. Would that be strongly (agree/disagree) or just somewhat (agree/disagree)? Ronald Reagan got the leaders of both parties together, and they came up with the answer to the problems of Social Security." Mar 17-21 April 7-10 (%) (%) Agree strongly 10 12 Agree somewhat 23 24 Disagree somewhat 27 29 Disagree strongly 32 27 No opinion 8 8 66 Decision/Making/Information No Quick Fix "People are now going back to work because Ronald Reagan didn't go for the quick fix." March 17-21 April 7-10 (%) (%) Agree strongly 15 16 Agree somewhat 23 23 Disagree somewhat 25 26 Disagree strongly 27 27 No opinion 10 8 67 Decision/Making Information Government Waste of Tax Money "Do you think that people in the government waste a lot of money we pay in taxes, waste some of it, or don't waste very much of it?" Waste a lot of money 77% Waste some money 21 Don't waste very much money 2 68 Decision/Making/Information NUCLEAR ARMS 69 Decision/Making/Information Nuclear Weapons Strength "At the present time, which nation do you feel is stronger in terms of nuclear weapons (ROTATE) the United States ... or the Soviet Union ... or do you think they are about equal in nuclear strength?" United States 14% Soviet Union 40 About equal 42 70 Decision/Making/Information Defense Statements "Here are some statements people have made to us about the country. As I read each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with what is said.' = Agree Agree Disagree Disagree Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly (%) (%) (%) (%) Never before has the United States engaged in so many efforts to limit 20 27 26 19 the instruments of war. The nuclear freeze proposals would preserve the Soviet's advantage of 22 24 22 17 nuclear forces, and, by so doing, reduce Soviet incentives to nego- tiate for real reductions. Even if they had all the resources they needed, American scientists 14 18 22 33 will not be able to come up with a really effective way to destroy Soviet nuclear missiles from space. 71 Decision/Making/Information Position on Nuclear Arms (Self) "I'm going to read you two opinions about nuclear weapons. Some people favor the first opinion, others like the second. Please tell me which one is closest to your opinion. POSITION A We must build as many nuclear weapons as quickly as we can so that we won't be pushed around by the Russians any more. POSITION B Once the Soviets and the United States have about the same strength in nuclear weapons then nuclear weapons must be reduced dramatically to assure lasting peace and security. March Apr 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 (%) (%) Position A 20 20 Position B 72 71 Neither/No Opinion 8 9 72 Decision/Making/Information Reagan on Nuclear Arms "From what you've heard and read, which of the following two positions best describes the way Ronald Reagan feels about nuclear weapons?" POSITION A Ronald Reagan believes that we must build as many nuclear weapons as quickly as we can so that we won't be pushed around by the Russians any more. POSITION B Ronald Reagan believes that once the Soviets and the United States have about the same strength in nuclear weapons then nuclear weapons must be reduced dramatically to assure lasting peace and security. Nov 23-24 Jan Jan Mar Apr 1982 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 Position A 39 * 35 56 54 Position B 51 * 58 36 40 Neither 2 * 3 3 2 No opinion 8 * 4 5 4 73 Decision/Making/Information DEFENSE SPENDING 74 Decision/Making/Information Spending Preference -- Defense "Let's talk for a few minutes about government spending on various programs. I'm going to read you a list of programs. For each one just tell me, in your opinion, whether the federal government should spend more or should spend less on each program." Jan Jan Nov March April 9-12 11-19 4-8 17-21 7-10 1981 1982 1982 1983 1983 (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Spend More 76 50 39 35 43 Spend Less 13 30 44 46 41 Spend Same 8 17 13 14 13 75 Decision/Making/Information Spending Preference "Let's talk for a few minutes about government spending on various programs. I'm going to read you a list of programs. For each one just tell me, in your opinion, whether the federal government should spend more or should spend less on each program. (NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: IF RESPONDENT SAYS "SPEND MORE," ASK:) And would you be willing to have your own taxes increased to support this program?" RNC RNC Eagle I RNC 2 RNC 16 83-3 83-4 Change (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Spend More (even if own taxes increased) Education * 53 61 61 62 + 1 Defense 55 37 33 28 36 + 8 Spend More (no tax increase) Education * 14 11 15 14 - 1 Defense 21 13 6 7 7 0 Spend Less Education * 16 16 13 12 - 1 Defense 13 30 44 46 41 - 5 Spend Same Education * 15 9 9 9 0 Defense 8 17 13 14 13 - 1 76 Decision/Making/Information Spending Preferences "Let's talk for a few minutes about government spending on various programs. I'm going to read you a list of programs. For each one just tell me, in your opinion, whether the federal government should spend more or should spend less on each program. (NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: IF RESPONDENT SAYS "SPEND MORE," = ASK:) And would you be willing to have your own taxes increased to support this program?" Crime Education Prevention Welfare Defense (%) (%) (%) (%) Spend more (even if own taxes increased) 62 61 24 36 Spend more (no tax increase) 14 16 8 7 Spend less 12 11 52 41 Spend same 9 8 12 13 No opinion 3 4 4 3 78 Decision/Making/Information Republicans vs. Democrats "I am going to read you a list of words and phrases. Please tell me for each whether you think it better describes ... Ronald Reagan and the Republicans 77 Decision/Making/Information PARTISANSHIP 79 Decision/Making/Information Party Identification With Lean "Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or something else? (IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Republican/Democrat) or a not-so-strong (Republican/Democrat)? (IF INDEPENDENT/OTHER/NO PREFERENCE, ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or the Democratic party?" Feb Jun Sep Jan Jun Sep 20-22 12-14 18-28 11-19 15-22 23-27 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1982 Republican 37 38 34 37 35 35 Independent 27 19 16 18 14 14 Democrat 37 43 49 45 51 51 Jan Jan Mar Apr 7-10 27-29 17-21 7-10 1983 1983 1983 1983 Republican 36 33 32 36 Independent 12 16 14 12 Democrat 52 51 54 52 PARTY IDENTIFICATION (WITH LEAN) PERCENT 100 REPUBLICAN 90 INDEPENDENT 80 70 DEMOCRAT 60 80 52 50 46 45 40 37 35 36 30 18 19 20 12 Decision/Making/Informati 10 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 1 1 3 4 1982 MONTH 1983 81 Decision/Making/Information Congressional Vote with Lean "Thinking about the 1984 elections for a moment ... if the 1984 elections for U.S. Congress were being held today, would you be voting for (ROTATE) ... the Republican candidate ... or ... the Democratic candidate ... in your district?" (IF "DON'T KNOW" OR "REFUSED/N.A., = ASK:) "Which way do you lean as of today -- towards the Republican candidate ... or ... the Democratic candidate?". Republican candidate 34% Democratic candidate 54 Don't know 8 Refused 4 82 Decision/Making/Information TV Advertising/National Political Parties "Within the last few weeks, have you seen any television advertising done by the national political parties? That is, commercials done for the national parties in general, not for specific candidates? (IF "YES," ASK:) Which party? (IF "REPUBLICAN," ALSO ASK:) Were you favorably or unfavorably impressed with the commercial (s) ?" RNC 10 RNC 11 RNC 14 RNC 83-3 RNC83-4 (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Yes/GOP/Favorably 3 3 4 2 1 Yes/Gop/Unfavorably 5 9 5 2 2 Yes/GOP/No opinion 0 1 2 1 1 Yes/Democrat 2 2 4 2 2 Yes/Other 0 1 2 0 0 Yes/Both (Democrat and GOP) 2 1 11 1 1 No/Haven't seen any 87 83 72 92 93