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[Economic Program Working Group Meeting 02/13/1981 (Michael Deaver Set)] (1)
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118569916
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[Economic Program Working Group Meeting 02/13/1981 (Michael Deaver Set)] (1)
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Records of the White House Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff (Reagan Administration)
Michael Deaver's Subject Files
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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Deaver, Michael Folder Title: Economic Program Working Group Meeting 02/13/1981(Michael Deaver Set) (1) Box: 37 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ RONALD REAGAN LIBRARY TRANSFER/PARALLEL/OVERSIZE FILE SHEET Please circle "preservation" (put in AV, etc.), "classified" (parallel filed in vault/annex), "collection" (misfile, provenance), "RD/FRD" (parallel file), "NATO" (parallel file), "SAP" (parallel file) PRESERVATION CLASSIFICATION COLLECTION RD/FRD NATO SAP FROM: Collection Fuller, Craig Files Series series IV Dubiest Fle File Folder Title/Casefile #/NSC # see below Box Number OA 8991 LFOA 30) Description of Material: 1 [Economic Program working Group Meeting 02/12/1981 (Michael Deaver Set) (A(2)CD-C3) 2 [Economic Program workeng Group Meeting 02/13/1981 (Michael Deaver set) ] (1)-(3) These are diplicates of Fuller materiel of dearly marked for Deaver TO: Collection: Deaver, Michael Files Series: Series IV: Subject File File Folder Title/Casefile #/NSC # Box Number: OA 8606 (Box 39) Transferred by: dlso Date: 10/19/2011 NEED ONE COPY IN ORIGINAL LOCATION SECOND COPY WITH ITEM PARALLEL FILED OR TRANSFERRED THIRD/FOURTH* COPY FOR COLLECTION FOLDERS - * IF TRANSFERRING TO/FROM TWO COLLECTIONS S:\ARCHIVES\Forms\Transfer sheet.docx Rev. 3/7/2006 - Mr. Michael K. Deaver 1st Floor, WW TABLE OF CONTENTS Department of Commerce - Economic Development Administration (EDA) and Regional Development (addressed 2/12/81) 1 - Maritime Subsidies 2 - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Programs 3 Foreign Aid - Adjustment 1 Department of Defense - Savings and Budget Totals 1 - Defense Civilian Employment 2 Cross Cutting Issues - Pay Raises for Civilian Employees 1 - Federal Civilian Employment 2 - Cost of Living Adjustments - Civilian 3 - Cost of Living Adjustments - Military 4 Department of Housing and Urban Development - Planning Assistance 1 - Urban Development Action Grants 2 - Community Development Block Grants 3 - Rehabilitation Loan Fund 4 - Neighborhood Self-Help Development 5 - Public Housing Modernization 6 - Tenant Rent Burden 7 - Solar Energy and Conservation Bank 8 - Level of Subsidized Housing 9 Department of Education - Elementary and Secondary Grants Consolidation 1 - Vocational Education 2 - Student Loans and Pell Grants 3 - School Assistance in Federally Affected Areas (Impact Aid) 4 - National Institute of Education 5 - Institute for Museum Sciences 6 - Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae) 7 Department of Transportation - Federal Highway Program 1 - Urban Mass Transportation Capital Grants 2 - Airport Construction 3 - Northeast Corridor Improvement Projects 4 - Local Rail Service Assistance 5 2 Department of Transportation (cont'd.) - Highway Safety Grants 6 - Cooperative Automotive Research Programs 7 - Highway Trust Fund Tax Receipts 8 Eliminate Federal Subsidies - Mass Transit Operating Board 1 - Civil Aeronautics Board 2 - Coast Guard User Fees 3 - Waterway User Charges 4 - Eliminating Subsidies for Airport and Airway Users 5 - Conrail Subsidies 6 - AMTRAK 7 - Agriculture User Charges Proposals - Grain Inspection and Cotton and Tobacco Classing and Inspection 8 Water Resources Development - Reduced Fundingfor Ongoing Construction 1 Other Independent Agencies - Low Priority Veterans Services 1 Compensation Adjustment for Unemployability Cancellation/Deferral of VA Medical Facility Construction Reduce Interest Rate Subsidy on Insurance Loans Beneficiary Travel G.I. Bill Benefits for Flight Training and Correspondence Courses - NASA Retrenchment 2 - NSF Retrenchment 3 - Appalachian Regional Commission 4 - National Endowments 5 - Corporation for Public Broadcasting 6 - National Consumer Cooperative Bank 7 - EPA Waste Treatment 8 - U.S. Postal Service Subsidy 9 Department of Commerce SUBJECT: Economic Development Administration (EDA) and Regional Development Commissions (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Expected Savings: Current Base: Budget Authority 712 718 785 851 916 984 Outlays 605 726 764 806 885 938 Policy reduction: Budget Authority -389 -686 -729 -792 -851 -970 Outlays -50 -226 -304 -539 -673 -882 Reagan Budget: Budget Authority 323 32 56 59 65 14 Outlays 555 500 460 267 212 56 Change Proposed: Funding for EDA and the Regional Commissions would be terminated starting in the second half of FY 1981.. There is a lack of consistent and convincing evidence that EDA programs are cost effective and actually create new jobs and capital investment The Regional Commissions have been poorly managed and have been involved largely wi local--rather than truly regional--projects. More effective ways to promote econom development will be used: (1) The Administration's overall economic strategy of tax and regulatory reductions is a more effective way to promote private sector operations. (2) An Administration Task Force will explore the enterprise zone conc which proposes incentives for the private sector to invest in distressed areas. (3) Modest increases to the Community Development Block Grant program will be proposed. Funds provided under this program can be used in a flexible manner by county and ci jurisdictions. 2/11/81, Department of Commerce SUBJECT: Termination of Direct Subsidies to the Maritime Industry (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 198 Expected Savings: Current Base: Budget Authority 488 585 1,000 1,081 1,127 1,04 Outlays 609 630 695 785 978 1,08 Policy reduction: Budget Authority -93 -160 -528 -571 -580 -46 Outlays -11 -28 -126 -251 -420 -51 Reagan Budget: Budget Authority 395 425 472 510 547 58 Outlays 598 602 569 534 558 57 Change Proposed: The Federal subsidies to support new merchant ship construction would be elimina starting with the remaining FY 1981 funds. No new construction subsidies would proposed for FY 1982-1986 and no new commitments for operating differential subs would be made. The subsidies contribute to inefficiencies in the market place a ship operations. The negative effect on shipyard employment will be offset by t expanded Navy shipbuilding program. The amounts provided for merchant ship construction contribute very little to maintenance of the shipbuilding base. As follow-on to the President's maritime policy statements last summer, the Secreta Commerce would convene a conference of top maritime and shipbuilding leaders to explore ways and means of formulating a maritime policy. (The resulting near-te outlay savings are small due to the Government's 20-year obligation under existi operating differential subsidy contracts.) SUBJECT: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Programs (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Expected Savings: Current Base: Budget Authority 92 184 224 262 275 268 Outlays 145 175 217 265 274 249 Policy reduction: Budget Authority -9 -152 -202 -238 -250 -241 Outlays -6 -59 -135 -207 -237 -223 Reagan Budget: Budget Authority 83 32 22 24 25 27 Outlays 139 116 82 58 37 26 Change Proposed: In FY 1982, the Coastal Energy Impact Program (CEIP) and the Coastal Zone Management (CZM) State Grant Program would be terminated. Federal grant assistance to Sea Grar Colleges would be reduced by 50%. The development of the National Ocean Satellite System (NOSS) would be deferred indefinitely. CEIP is not necessary because project local impacts from coastal oil and gas development are not beyond the capabilities < State/local actions. Coastal zone management and marine research programs are alread operational in the majority of affected States. Twenty-five states (covering 78 percent of the coastline) already have received several years of federal assistance develop, implement, and administer their CZM programs. The 16 institutions designat as Sea Grant Colleges have developed marine research expertise on local/state/regional bases. While of long-term scientific importance, the global weather data to be generated by NOSS is not urgent and the project can be deferred. FOREIGN AID ADJUSTMENT Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 5,430 7,246 6,567 7,680 8,188 8,644 Outlays 4,944 5,180 5,666 6,360 6,912 7,430 Policy reduction Budget Authority -616 -1,866 -180 -2,474 -2,948 -3,157 Outlays -85 -409 -591 -1,065 -1,527 -1,827 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 4,814 5,380 6,387 5,201 5,240 5,487 Outlays 4,859 4,771 5,075 5,295 5,385 5,603 The 1982 budget level for foreign aid will be cut by $1.8 billion from Carter budget levels. All of the reductions will be in development assistance as shown in the table. These reductions will eliminate spending in low priority areas, will begin modifications in U.S. participation in certain multilateral institutions, and will require the design of new approaches to foreign aid to achieve objective with less money. The Agency for International Development program will be reduced by as much as 20 percent, to $1.9 billion. Payments to many of the multilateral institutions will be stretched out. Soft loans for agricultural commodity imports under the P.L. 480 food aid program will also be cut back. Specific program changes will be made final in the near future. February 12, 1981 SUBJECT: Department of Defense Savings Expected savings: ($ billions) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 169.1 195.9 221.1 246.4 272.9 301.4 Outlays 156.9 181.5 205.1 228.7 253.8 280.4 Proposed Reduction 1/ Budget Authority -.4 -4.2 -6.2 -7.5 -8.5 -9.4 Outlays -.3 -3.9 -5.9 -7.0 -8.0 -8.9 Revised Base Budget Authority 168.6 191.7 214.9 238.9 264.4 292.0 Outlays 156.6 177.6 199.3 221.7 245.8 271.6 Proposed Increase Budget Authority +8.2 +30.4 +44.9 +61.7 +81.5 +105.0 Outlays +1.3 +8.2 +29.7 +45.3 +63.2 +82.5 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 176.8 222.1 259.8 300.6 345.9 397.0 Outlays 157.9 185.8 229.0 267.0 309.0 354.0 1/ The proposed reduction assumes a military pay raise of 9.1% in FY 1982. A higher pay raise would reduce annual savings for each year by $1.4 to $1.8 billion. Proposed reductions. Three categories of savings are proposed: -- Pay adjustments. Caps on Federal pay, limiting the frequency of retiree cost-of-living payments to once a year, and withdrawal of the Carter Administration's military retirement reform legislative proposal are included. -- Operations. A major effort to achieve economies in the defense basing structure will be initiated through base closings and realignments as well as contracting out. Application of the constraints on travel, consultants, and administrative reforms in service and construction contracts (Davis Bacon Act, Service Contract Act) will produce additional savings. -- Acquisition reform. Managerial improvements include increased use of multi-year procurements, more economical production order quantities and increased competition in the award of contracts. Marginal systems will be terminated. Productivity investments with high potential savings will be emphasized. Proposed increases include additional funds for -- Improvements in military readiness to include additional training, equipment, ammunition, spare parts and operations. -- Accelerated modernization by more rapid replacement of obsolete equipment. -- New initiatives including providing for a new manned bomber, and a substantial increase in Navy shipbuilding to include commitment to a ALL AGENCIES SUBJECT: Pay Raises For Civilian Employees Expected savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority - $5,800 $10,700 $15,300 $19,700 $24,100 Outlays - 5,600 10,400 15,100 19,400 23,700 Policy reduction Budget Authority - -3,900 -5,500 -6,500 - 7,100 - 7,700 Outlays - -3,800 -5,300 -6,500 - 7,000 - 7,600 Reagan Budget Budget Authority - 1,900 5,200 8,800 12,600 16,400 Outlays - 1,800 5,100 8,600 12,400 16,100 Change proposed: Under current law, Federal civilian pay rates must be adjusted annually to keep them "comparable" with private sector pay. Because of pay caps used in recent years, a catch-up to comparability rates would be so large as to be unacceptable this year (13.5%). Moreover, there is general agreement that the current system for determining comparability rates has serious flaws that should be corrected. For this reason, the Carter Administration proposed a comprehensive pay reform, which was not accepted by Congress. The Reagan Administration will recommend that the desirable features of the Carter compensation reform be enacted, and that the legislation set the Federal compensation standard at 94 percent of average non-Federal compensation (including benefits). This course is justified because: (1) The comprehensive reform proposals are based on a number of major studies of recent years and have been supported by Presidents of both parties; and (2) the 94 percent is appropriate because some aspects of Federal employment make it more attractive than comparably-paid private sector jobs. February 12, 1981 SUBJECT: Federal Civilian Employment - Non-Defense Change proposed: The hiring freeze will be replaced by lower new civilian personnel ceilings. For non-Defense agencies, with a few exceptions (e.g., VA, State), civilian employment will be reduced to the level that would have been achieved had a total freeze on hiring remained in effect throughout fiscal year 1981. For 1982 there will be a reduction of about 72,000 from the Carter budget. For 1983 and each year thereafter (through 1986), there will be additional reductions of approximately 17,500 annually. 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Number of Employees (in thousands) : Current Base 1,195 1,216 1,216 1,216 1,216 1,216 Potential Change. -43 -72 -90 -108 -125 -143 Reagan Budget 1,152 1,144 1,126 1,108 1,091 1,073 Dollar Savings $.3B $1.9B $2.6B $2.8B $3.1B $3.4B a/ - These savings include savings related to individual program reductions or terminations considered elsewhere. Subject: Annual Indexation of Civil Service Retirement Annuities (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Expected Savings: Current services BA 27,764 31,124 33,293 35,447 37,249 39,103 0 17,763 21,324 23,925 26,557 29,152 31,618 Policy reductions 1/ BA 0 510 430 400 380 390 0 0 510 430 400 380 390 Reagan level BA 27,764 30,614 32,863 35,047 36,869 38,713 0 17,763 20,814 23,495 26,157 28,772 31,228 These estimates do not reflect the effect of the 80% cap. OPM is in the process of costing that option. Change Proposed: The Civil Service Retirement law currently provides for two cost- of-living adjustments each year; one in March and one in September, based on increases in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The OMB recommendation would eliminate all September adjustments. The current system of semi-annual adjustments is more liberal than virtually all non-Federal pension plans. These semi-annual adjustments are responsible in significant part for the unfunded liability of the Retirement Fund and for the public's perception that Federal retirement benefits are unjustifiably more liberal than retirement benefits in the non-Federal sector. The change to annual adjustments will put the Fund on a sounder financial basis and would make cost-of-living adjustments under the Civil Service Retirement System consistent with the annual adjustment granted under Social Security. This is consistent with a similar proposal being made for the military and other Federal retirement system. 2/12/81 Subject: Annual Indexation of Military Retired Pay (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Expected Savings: Current Services BA 13,869 15,748 17,395 18,899 20,324 21,705 Outlays 13,869 15,748 17,395 18,899 20,324 21,705 1/ Policy Reductions BA 68 380 283 218 173 145 Outlays 68 380 283 218 173 145 Reagan Level BA 13,801 15,368 17,112 18,681 20,151 21,560 Outlays 13,801 15,368 17,112 18,681 20,151 21,560 1/ These estimates do not reflect the effect of the 80% cap. Change Proposed: Currently, retired military personnel receive cost of living adjustments semi-annually; one in March and one in September based on increases in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The policy reduction would eliminate all September adjustments. SUBJECT: Planning Assistance Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 34 37 39 42 44 46 Outlays 40 35 36 39 41 44 Policy Reduction Budget Authority -34 -37 -39 -42 -44 -46 Outlays -3 -26 -36 -39 -41 -44 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 0 0 0 0 0 0 Outlays 37 9 0 0 0 0 Change proposed: This proposal would end the Planning Assistance program by rescinding $34 million in 1981 and not requesting future funding. This change is justified because (1) the primary intent of this program--to develop local and State planning capabilities--has been realized and (2) since the benefits of sub-national planning accrue primarily and directly to sub-national entities, the Federal Government should not have to pay for them. February 9, 1981 SUBJECT: Urban Development Action Grants Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 675 734 787 836 882 926 Outlays 365 632 717 716 770 822 Policy Reduction Budget Authority -340 -734 -787 -836 -882 -926 Outlays -7 -66 -345 -555 -770 -822 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 335 0 0 0 0 0 Outlays 358 566 372 161 0 0 Change proposed: This proposal would end the Urban Development Action Grant (UDAG) program by rescinding $340 million in 1981 and not requesting future funding. This change is justified because (1) there is no evidence demonstrating that the UDAG program creates new investment or jobs on a national level and (2) funds from the Community Development Block Grant program can be used for the same projects as UDAG funds. February 12, 1981 SUBJECT: Community Development Block Grants (CDBG) Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 3695 4016 4309 4576 4828 5070 Outlays 3838 3993 3816 4116 4401 4663 Policy Reduction Budget Authority --- +94 +51 -16 -118 -210 Outlays ---- +2 +37 +69 +25 -54 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 3695 4110 4360 4560 4710 4860 Outlays 3838 3995 3853 4185 4426 4609 Change Proposed: This proposal would: increase 1982 funding by $150 million from that proposed by President Carter ($3,960 million to $4,110 million) so as to promote commercial economic development projects in highly distressed areas; propose changes to the basic law so as to increase local flexibility in project selection and use of funds and to ensure that CDBG funds can be used for the same purposes as funds from categorical programs being eliminated; and seek a legislative change so that discretionary grant funds are distributed to States for their allocation to small towns and communities in their jurisdictions. These program changes are consistent with the Reagan Administration's commitment to providing adequate and flexible support for the needs of our Nation's cities and towns. SUBJECT: Rehabilitation Loan Funds Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 130 130 134 138 140 142 Outlays 133 134 136 138 140 142 Policy Reduction Budget Authority -130 -130 -134 -138 -140 -142 Outlays -63 -191 -210 -211 -213 -214 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 0 0 0 0 0 0 Outlays 70 -57 -74 -73 -73 -72 Change proposed: This proposal would end the Rehabilitation Loan Fund by rescinding $130 million in 1981 and not requesting future funding. This change is justified because the Rehabilitation Loan Fund basically duplicates the Community Development Block Grant program which annually commits over $1 billion to various types of rehabilitation. February 9, 1981 SUBJECT: Neighborhood Self-Help Development Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget Authority 9 10 10 11 12 12 Outlays 15 9 10 11 11 12 Policy Reduction Budget Authority -8 -10 -10 -11 -12 -12 Outlays -4 -9 -10 -11 -11 -12 Reagan Budget Budget Authority 1 0 0 0 0 0 Outlays 11 * 0 0 0 0 * Less than $500,000. Change proposed: This proposal would end the Neighborhood Self-Help Development program by rescinding $8 million in 1981 and by not requesting future funding. This change is justified because the program largely duplicates the efforts of the Neighborhood Reinvestment Corporation and the Community Development Block Grant program. February 9, 1980 SUBJECT: Public Housing Modernization Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base Budget authority 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 Outlays 1/ --- 50 150 250 Policy reduction Budget authority --- -800 -800 -800 -800 -800 Outlays 1/ --- --- --- -20 -60 -100 Reagan Budget Budget authority 2,000 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 Outlays 1/ --- --- 30 90 150 1/ Outlays shown are from budget authority for 1982 and subsequent years only. Change proposed: This program of repairs and renovation of public housing projects would be slowed down. Current funding is probably in excess of the level which local housing authorities can effectively use. The goals of the comprehensive modernization effort recently authorized by Congress--assuring that public housing meets minimum safety and sanitation standards and is more energy efficient and less costly to operate--would still be met by 1986. February 9, 1981 Department of Housing and Urban Development SUBJECT: HUD Subsidized Housing Programs Tenant Rent Burden Expected Savings: (in millions of dollars) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Current Base 1/ Budget Authority 30,973 33,987 36,862 39,760 41,742 42,901 Outlays 6,571 8,177 9,769 11,645 13,599 15,515 Policy Reduction 2/ Budget Authority --400 -4,007 -3,607 -4,540 -4,983 -5,122 Outlays +38 -171 -529 -965 -1,609 -2,221 Reagan Budget 1/ Budget Authority 30,573 29,980 33,255 35,220 36,759 38,779 Outlays 6,609 8,006 9,240 10,680 11,990 13,294 1/ Combined totals for subsidized and public housing operating subsidy programs. 2/ Reflects not only the impact of rent increases, but also the net effect of rescissions and supplementals in 1981 and 1982. Change proposed: An increase in the rent contribution required from tenants living in HUD subsidized housing will be phased-in over the next five years. The gradual increases from the current 25 percent of income to 30 percent of income will make the rent contribution for subsidized tenants more consistent with rents paid by unsubsidized lower income tenants. In addition, it will reduce some of the inequity of providing very deep subsidies to a limited number of eligible households. It is estimated that the increased rent payment for subsidized tenants in FY 1982 will average less than $5 per month. A change in the authorizing legislation will be required.