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[JGR/Carter Briefing Book for Presidential Debate] (6 of 17)
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[JGR/Carter Briefing Book for Presidential Debate] (6 of 17)
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Records of the Office of Counsel to the President (Reagan Administration)
John Roberts' Subject Files
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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library
Digital Library Collections
This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections.
Collection: Roberts, John G.: Files
Folder Title: [JGR/Carter Briefing Book for
Presidential Debate] (6 of 17)
Box: 7
To see more digitized collections visit:
https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library
To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit:
https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection
Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected]
Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing
National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/
INDICATORS OF CURRENT ECONOMIC RECOVERY
1.
670,000 new jobs added in past 3 months (June-September); manufacturing
employment is up by 175,000 over past 2 months.
2.
Index of Leading Economic Indicators - has risen for 3 straight months;
the 3-month rise has been at a rate-larger than any other 3-month rise
for 31 years.
3.
Housing starts are up for 4 consecutive months (now at annual rate of
1.6 6 million units) ; are up 70 percent above their May level; rose 9%
last month.
1.
Real GNP rose by 1% in 3rd quarter (official estimate) -- would mean WE
have had shortest recession in our history.
5.
Domestic auto sales are 19% above their June level.
6.
Three out of the four major indexes of stock values are at or very close
to their all-time highs.
COMPARISON OF U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH MAJOR ALLIES
The OPEC oil price increases over the past few years have had an adverse
impact on the economies of the U.S. and many of its major industrialized
allies as well. However, a number of major indicators reveal that the U.S.
has adjusted and fared better than many of our Allies.
Employment Growth
Over the past 3-1/2 years, U.S. employment has grown by almost 9 million jobs
or 10%, as opposed to 4% in France, 0% in Great Britain, 1% in Germany, 4% in
Japan, and 2% in Italy.
Real GNP Growth
IN 27 1993
Between 1976 and 1979, real GNP in the U.S. grew 12.5%; France was 9.9%;
West Germany was 11%, Italy was 9.7%, and Great Britain was 5.5%.
Rate of Inflation (GNP Deflator)
The GNP price deflator in 1979 has the U.S. rate at 8.8% compared to 10.3%
in France, 15.1% in Italy; 14.4% in Great Britain; and 9.9% in Canada.
Latest Inflation (CPI)
Latest 12 months: U.S. (13%) ; France (14%) ; Italy (19%) ; U.K. (16%);
Canada (11%) ; Japan (9%) ; Germany (5%).
CARTER AND REAGAN INFLATION PROJECTIONS
CEA does forecasts for 1980 and 1981. The midsession budget update (July)
contains projections (really assumptions) for 1982-85.
We project that inflation will steadily decline from 1981 = 1985, averaging
$ percent over this period. This does not take into account inflation-
lowering effects of the Economic Renewal proposals
Governor Reagan projects an average inflation rate of 9 percent -- before
his massive tax cut which, CEA estimates, could add another 4-6 percentage
points in each year from 1983 to 1985.
Kev Points to Make Defending Economic Record (Bv Schultze)
During my administration, the United States has a record of providing
jobs and employment that is unparalleled among other large industrial
countries and unmatched by any previous administration. Employment
in the United States in the past 3-1/2 years rose by nearly 10 percent.
The closest country is Japan with an increase of 6 percent while employ-
ment in other major countries like Germany, France, and England has not
increased at all. Similarly, industrial production in the United States
during the 3 years before this recession began -- and the recession
is temporary -- rose by more than any other major industrial country
except Japan, and we were not far behind them.
My employment record is much better than that of the Ford Aministration.
The average unemployment rate during the worst four months of the last
3-1/2 years was lower than the average unemployment rate for President
Ford's entire 29 months in office!
=.
Our economy is vulnerable to OPEC price and supply actions. Energy
policy and economic policy are tightly tied. With respect to enercy
the United States has made outstanding progress.
0
Starting 1-1/2 years ago we began to phase out controls on
domestic oil and gas prices. We ended the incredibly dangerous
practice of holding United States oil and gas prices below the
world market and thereby subsidizing wasteful consumption. Oil
and gas decontrol was a painful and difficult but absolutely
necessary step.
Working with the Congress we put in place the foundations of a
comprehensive National Energy Program to increase energy
production and conserve energy use, and levied the windfall
profits tax to help pay for it.
These policies have begun to have dramatic results. The United
States is now importing 25 to 30 percent less oil than it did
1 and 2 years ago; our consumption of energy products has dropped
8 to 10 percent, and while some part of that drop is due to the
recession, most of it reflects real energy conservation. There
are now 70 percent more drilling rigs in operation than there
were when I took office and the number of oil and gas wells being
drilled has reached a new record.
3.
Despite massive increases in oil prices in the past two years the United
States -- unlike other oil importing countries -- has been reducing its
balance of payments deficit. We are now moving into a surplus position.
4.
After a period of weakness in the value of the U.S. dollar overseas, I
took decisive action 2 years ago to stabilize the dollar -- in cooperation
with the German, Japan, and Swiss governments. Since then, in a world
of sharply changing events and disruptions in oil supply, the United
States dollar has remained strong, and has indeed risen in value compared
= the German mark and Japanese yen.
-2-
5.
= the past four years, working with the Congress, my Administration
has eliminated regulation where it stifles free enterprise. We have
cut price-propping and competition-deadening regulation from a number
of critical industries and opened them up to the fresh winds of
competition. We have made more progress in this area than at any
other time in the 20th century. In the face of widespread opposition
and skepticism, especially at first, we have deregulated airlines,
trucking, railroads, and large parts of the banking and financial
institutions and we are on our way to doing the same for the
communications industry.
6.
With respect to inflation, the record is not SC good. When : came 1750
office the underlying rate of inflation in business costs -- which
ultimately determines what happens to prices -- was about 6-1/2 to 7
percent. Now it is at about a 91 percent rate. Obviously that is not
good.
C
But you judge a doctor not by whether his patient has any
physical problems or not, but~by how serious was the illness
or injury through which the doctor pulled the patient.
0
The United States in the past 18 months suffered a major and
harmful shock to its economic system because of the massive
increase in world oil prices. Oil prices rose last year by
much more than they did after the first Arab oil embargo
(in 1973), and WE curselves were painfully but necessarily
decontrolling our own domestic oil prices.
Yet instead of the worst recession in 40 years -- which is what
happened after the first Arab oil shock -- this time WE had the
shortest recession.
0
Inflation did for a while increase very sharply but together
with the Congress I took a series of tough and difficult action
last March, and since then inflation has come down sharply. It
is still a problem that we have to continue fighting but it is
being controlled.
We did not do a perfect job and we have learned a great deal in
the process. But, considering the shock that our economy was
dealt and the long history of inflation, my Administration did
a highly creditable job in dealing with the problem. I have
gained invaluable experience from this episode. : am absolutely
committed to pursuing careful and prudent policies that will put
people back to work in this country but will do SO in ways that
will permit us to reduce inflation still further.
MAJOR GOALS OF SECOND CARTER TERM
DOMESTIC
1.
Passage of Economic Renewal Package strengthened economic growth.
increased investment, improved productivity, reduced tax burdens.
2.
Continued record-level rate of job creation and reduced unemployment
rate.
3.
Continued reduced inflation rate.
-.
Reduced dependence on foreign oil, increased development of domestic
and new energy sources.
5.
National Health Insurance.
6.
Ratification of EqualVRights Amendment (and D.C. Voting Rights Amendment).
7.
Increased economic and government opportunities for minorities and
women.
8.
Continued fiscal 1983 rength of Social Security.
9.
Continued rev
talization of our nation's urban areas.
10. Stable farm prices. increased farm exports.
11.
Welfare reform.
FOREIGN
1.
Maintenance of Peace -- eight years of uninterrupted peace.
2.
Continued real growth in our defense spending, and strengthening of
defense capabilities.
3.
SALT II Ratification.
4.
Continued Human Rights Policy.
5.
Broadened Middle East Peace.
6.
Continued development of relationship with People's Republic of China.
7.
Continued strengthening of NATO.
8.
Recognition by Russians they have more to gain by improved relations
with U.S.
PLATFORMS
The attached domestic platform comparison shows the stark contrast between
the IWC parties philosophies and rinciples. The main point to be made in any
platform reference during the debate is simply that you support a platform cf
progress and hope and a platform thestraditions of Roosevelt, Truman, Kennedy
and Johnson, while Governor Reagan supports a platform that seeks to repeal
progress and a platform written by an extreme faction of the Republican Party.
PLATFORM COMPARISON FOR DEBATE (DOMESTEC)
Democratic
Republican
A. ECONOMY
:.
Humphrey-Hawkins
Commitment to meet its
Silence.
goals.
2.
Tax Reductions
Commitment to targeted,
Kemp-Roth, 30%
non-inflationary tax
tax cut.
cuts.
3.
Federal Spending
Spending restraint is
Support for con-
important economic
stitutional amend-
weapon, but must be
ment == balance
sensitive to those who
the budget; limit
look to Federal Govern-
government spending
ment for àid.
= fixed percentage
of GNP.
-.
Anti-Recession
Commitment 5a $12 billion
Kemp-Roth tax cut.
Assistance
spending stimulus
(Minority Report)
E.
Rebuilding American
Commitment to a program
Kemp-Roth tax cut.
Industry
to rebuild American
industry.
6.
Worker Protection
C
CSHA
Opposes legislation
Supports legisla-
to weaken OSHA.
tion to weaken
safety programs.
o
Minimum Wage
Opposes youth sub-minimum;
Supports youth sub-
supports future increase.
minimum; silence on
future increases.
0
Plant Closings
Supports legislation to
Silence.
help workers affected by
sudden, unexpected plant
closings.
iii
GOVERNMENT AND
HUMAN NEEDS
1.
National Health
Supports.
Opposes
Insurance
-2-
Democratic
Republican
1.
Abortion
Supports 1973 Supreme
Seeks constitu-
Court decision; supports
tional amendment
government funding
overturn Supreme
( Minority Report).
Court decision.
3. Welfare
Supports welfare reform,
Seeks to transfer
with goal of eliminating
entire welfare re.
burden of welfare costs
sponsibility to
on local governments and
States, along wiz
reducing burden on States.
tax sources to
finance 10.
4.
Education
Supports Department of
Seeks = eliminat
Education
Department of
Education.
Supports increased
Supports tuition
assistance to private
tax credits.
schools,
5.
Equal Rights
Strongly supports rati-
Silent on ratifica
Amendment
fication; DNC sanctions
tion (reversing
on non-supporters who
40-year record of
support).
Report)
6.
D.C. Voting
Strongly supports
Silent.
Rights Amendment
ratification.
7:
Cavil Rights
Condemns Ku Klux Klan
Ku Klux Klan
and Nazi Party.
endorsed Republic
Platform.
8.
Appointments
Supports policy of
Supports policy =
(Judicial)
appointing women and
appointing judges
minority judges at all
who "respect
levels, including
sanctity of innoce
Supreme Court.
human life."
9.
Martin Luther King
Supports.
Silence
Holiday
C.
GOVERNMENT OPERATION
AND REFORM
1.
Tax Reform
Supports
Silence.
-3- - -
Democratic
Republican
:
Law Enforcement
Supports improved
Supports repeal of
controls over handguns
key provisions of
and Saturday night
Gun Control Act of
specials.
'68.
3.
Public Financing
Supports.
Opposes.
of Congressional
Elections
÷.
Consumer Protection
Supports.
Opposes.
Agency
C.
ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT
AND AGRICULTURE
1.
Synthetic Fuels
Supports development of
Opposes synthetic
synthetic fuel industry.
fuel industry.
:.
Windfall Profits
Strongly supports.
Favors nearly
Tax
wholesale repeal.
3.
55 M.P.H. Speed
Supports (saves 2 billion C
Seeks repeal.
gallons of gasoline a
year and saves 5000 lives
a year)
41.
Grain Embargo
Supports.
Opposes.
MOST IMPORTANT DIFFERENCES WITH REAGAN
1. SALT II
2. Nuclear Arms Race as a Bargaining Card/Need for Nuclear Superiority
3. Threatening Use of Troops
4. Commitment to Camp David Process
5. Size of Defense Budget
6. Current Defense Capabilities
7. ERA
8. National Health Insurance
9. Kemp-Roth
1881
10. Windfall Profits Tax
11. Department of Educat
12. Minimum Wage
13. Need for Environmental Protection
14. Constitutional Amendment on Abortion
15. Welfare Reform
16. Labor Law Reform
17. Commitment to Solar Energy
18. Role of Oil Companies in Energy Solution
19. 55 M.P.H. Speed Limit
20. Consumer Protection Agency
PRESIDENTIAL VETOES
PRESIDENT
TOTAL VETOES
VETOES OVERRIDDEN
Roosevelt, F.
635
91
Truman*
250
12
Kennedy
21
C
Johnson
30
0
Nixon
43
5
Ford**
12
Carter (to date)
JUN 66 25
2
*
Before Carter, Truman was last Democratic President to be
overridden (1952).
** Ford was the most overridden President in terms of the
percentage of vetoes overridden with the exception of
Andrew Johnson.
CARTER RECORD AS GOVERNOR
1. Bureaucratic Growth - cut employee growth rate by 60% below predecessor's S;
averaged 5% per year
2. Taxes - no income, sales or property tax increases
3. Budget - grew by 52% (revenues grew by 58%)
THEMES REAGAN WILL USE IN DEBATE
1.
Economy Ruined/Kemp-Roth Would Solve
Carter has ruined the economy - provided high unemployment, record
inflation and interest rates, and a deep recession.
Reagan could manage the economy better; Kemp-Roth would be a major
step toward solving our economic problems.
2.
Defense Weakened/Reagan Would Strengthen
Carter has allowed our defense posture to weaken - he has let us become
almost defenseless against Soviets, and has cut back on needed defense
programs.
Reagan is for a strong defense one that is not second to the Soviet
Union, one that has substantially increased defense spending, one that
provides the necessary weapons, training, and personnel incentives to
strengthen our defense
E861
3.
Inconsistent Foreign Policy/Readan Would Re-establish Pre-eminence
Carter has provided an inconsistent, weak, passive foreign policy - we
are no longer respected abroad and the U.S. role as a world leader has
been severely diminished.
Reagan would re-establish the U.S.'s pre-eminent role in the Free World
and would make certain the U.S. was respected by cur allies and feared
by our enemies.
4.
Bloated, Interfering Government/Reagan Would Reduce Government Reculation
Carter has not kept his promises about making government more efficient,
smaller, less bureaucratic - the government has grown, waste and abuse
have not been reduced, and the government has become more deeply involved
in the lives of Americans through constant, increasing and unnecessary
regulation.
As Governor, Reagan was successful in restraining government size and
spending, and he can do the same in the Federal government. He will
also be successful in reducing government regulation and would get
government off peoples' backs.
-2-
5.
Weak Leadership/Reacan Would Provide Strong Leadership
Carter has not provided the Nation with the type of strong,
Presidential leadership needed to solve the tough problems facing
us.
Reagan is a stronger leader, who will not get bogged down in details
but who will concentrate his attention on the major issues and will
make decisions which are not repeatedly changed.
6.
Wrong Values/Reagan Would Re-establish Needed Values in Government Policy
Carter's values have changed Huring his Administration, and he is not
as committed now as he once was to the values of family, neighborhood,
community, work and freedom.
Reagan is deeply committed to these values and will work to re-establish
them in government policy and throughout the Nation.
REAGAN CURRENT POSITIONS
(DOMESTIC)
A. ECONOMY
1.
Tax Cuts
O
Supports full 3 year, 30% Kemp-Roth tax cut; believes government will
get more money in the end because of the increase in prosperity --
multiplier effect is enomous; has dropped support (without explanation)
for 10-5-3 depreciation cuts.
2.
Inflation
O
Believes inflation's real cause is government -- spending and
regulation (cutting regulations on business would instantly cut
inflation in half).
Believes Kemp-Roth will promote non inflationary growth.
3.
Minimum Wage
Has stated that high unemployment is in large part due to the
minimum wage -- "caused more misery and unemployment than anything
since the Great Depression;" but now appears to support minimum wage,
with a sub-minimum for youth.
Unemployment
Believes a principle cause is the minimum wage. (With this belief
of the problem, how can he propose sound solutions?)
Currently appears to favor unemployment compensation -- previously
called such compensation "prepaid vacations."
5.
Government Spending
Has favored Constitutional Amendment to balance the budget; more
recently has backed away from Amendment -- says Congress could always
circumvent by raising taxes to reach balance.
Now appears to favor a legislative limit on the annual federal share
of GNP the government can take in through taxes.
Supports 2% annual cut in Federal spending through elimination of
waste and abuse.
Believes the GAO is right in saying there is at least $50 billion
in waste in government that could be saved; if waste cannot be
eliminated from a program, whole program must go.
2
6.
Controls
O
Opposes wage and price controls.
7.
Auto and Steel Industries
O
Believes Carter enforces strict environmental regulations with little
regard for their economic impact; this has hurt auto and steel industries.
O
Has not ruled out trade quotas for autos.
0
Supports Chrysler assistance now, though initially opposed.
O
Believes steel industry's problems are due to over-regulation by
government, particularly by EPA.
JUN in 3 1983
3
5. ENERGY
1.
Energy Production
0
Favors turning energy industry "loose" =0 produce more oil and gas.
O
Opposes any oil import quotas -- increase domestic production instead.
O
Believes SPRO has been severely mismanaged -- but feels key to our
security is increasing domestic production.
Has said there is more oil in Alaska than in Saudi Arabia (means more
"potential oil reserves" in-Alaska than proven to exist in Saudi Arabia).
Believes windfall profits tax will encourage domestic producers ==
shift their resources abroad, will cost us 840,000 barrels of oil per
day (CBO), and will actirally increase our reliance on foreign oil.
(Republican Platform favors weakening of Windfall Profits
Tax; favors addition of plowback provision).
Believes can and should increase coal production -- turn coal companies
free and they will produce necessary amount.
2.
Energy Regulation
Favors relaxation of Clean Air Act of burn more coal.
Favors immediate decontrol of oil and natural gas pricing.
Has favored elimination of Department of Energy in the past; position
now is vaguer.
3.
Energy Conservation
O
Believes energy conservation means we only will run out of energy a
little more slowly (believes more production can solve need for
conservation).
Believes Carter has made conservation the linchpin of our energy
program - but that has been proven inadequate to solve the problem.
O
Favors repeal of 55 mph (assuming he supports Republican Platform).
4.
Synthetics
Does not favor large synthetics industry; supports only limited
demonstration projects (Republican Platform).
4
5. Solar
Believes solar power still faces technological barriers and is
not ready for extensive use; sees it as a next generation of
energy sources.
6.
Nuclear
Supports continued operation and construction of nuclear plants.
Believes nuclear offers our greatest eñergy hope for next two-three
decades.
Believes Three-Mile Island offers Cproof of the safety of nuclear
power; it showed how well system worked despite human errors.
Believes the amount of space needed to store nuclear wastes is small
(a year's worth can be stored under a desk).
Supports Clinch River Breeder Reactor.
Believes surplus of government is responsible for the delay in
licensing of nuclear power plants.
Has stated in the past that anti-nuclear forces are being manipulated
by forces sympathetic to Soviet Union.
Believes nuclear power is cheaper and, when operated properly, is
among the safest means of energy production.
5
C.
ENVIRONMENT
:.
EPA
Believes primary responsibility for protecting environment should
be returned to the States.
O
Believes power of EPA should be weakened.
O
Believes steel industry's decline is due in part to EPA-imposed
regulations.
2.
Air Pollution
O
Believes it is substantially under control.
0
Believes 93% of pollution is caused by trees.
3.
Federal Land Ownership
O
Believes that large scale ownership by Federal government of public
lands is unconstitutional
4.
RARE II
C
Opposes RARE II as an effort to lock-up scenic lands for privileged few;
believes in multiple-use designations for these lands.
5.
Alaska Lands
Opposes Alaska Lands legislation because of disruptions which will be
caused to oil and timber industries.
6.
Energy Exploration
O
Believes government should make it easier for oil companies to
drill on public lands or in coastal waters.
7.
Clean Air Act
Supports revision of Clean Air Act regulations.
8.
Auto Emission Standards
Believes Federal standards have nearly killed auto industry.
Has called for immediate moratorium on all new Federal auto
regulations.
6
D.
LABOR
1.
Minimum Wage
Has stated that high unemployment is due in large part to the
minimum wage (which he feels has caused more misery and unemployment
than anything since the Great Depression); now appears to support
minimum wage for youth.
Supports elimination of the minimum wage or instituting a sub-minimum
wage.
2.
Government Aid to the Unemployed
Now appears to support unemployment compensation programs.
Has previously indicated such programs are "prepaid vacations".
3.
Humphrey-Hawkins
Sees Humphrey-Hawkins as an attempt by the Federal government to
regulate the economy.
Once called Humphrey-Hawkins a design for fascism.
4.
Labor Law Reform
Opposes labor law reform as unfair to business; believes it hurts
working men and women and puts government in cooperation with
hierarchy of organized labor.
5.
Common Situs Picketing
Objects to Common Situs Picketing; believes it forces compulsory
unionism.
6.
Davis-Bacon
Has oppased Davis-Bacon protections as inflationary and as gift to
privileged workers; now appears to favor some tightening, but not
repeal.
7.
14-B
O
Supports 14-B; believes its elimination would force compulsory
unionism.
8.
OSHA
C
Believes OSHA over-regulates; supports using OSHA as laboratory
where business could voluntarily study how to improve hazardous
conditions.
7
D.
LABOR (con't)
9. Unions
O
Has supported covering labor unions by antitrust laws (now rejects
earlier position)
10. Food Stamps to Strikers
O
Opposes providing Food Stamps to strikers.
8
E.
SOCIAL ISSUES
1.
Abortion
Strongly opposes abortion (states that his decision to sign an
abortion law was premised on an understanding that the law would
be interpreted in a conservative way; in fact, the law has been
interpreted liberally, making California's abortion law about the
most liberal in the country; also states that various groups of
medical professionals are violating the law in unethical ways).
Supports passage of Constitutional Amendment to ban abortion.
C
Opposes using Federal money to pay for abortions unless the life
of the mother is endangered.
2.
Affirmative Action
JUN2
Opposes quotas or Federal guidelines to be used in helping to
provide equal opportunity.
Believes that the quota system reduces reverse discrimination.
which is a distortion of the principle of equal rights (but appears
to support the Bakke decision as a way of reconciling the reverse
discrimination problem).
Has defended his limited number of women appointments as the result
of making appointments based on qualifications only (only 12 of his
600 judicial appointments were women).
3.
Busing
Opposes busing and believes it should be ended by legislation if
possible, by Constitutional Amendment if necessary.
4.
Family
Believes government is single greatest cause of erosion of the
family.
Believes Federal government encourages teenagers' abortions,
welfare fathers to leave home, unmarried couples to live together.
5.
Constitutional Amendments
Supports balanced budget, school prayer, abortion, busing amendments.
Opposes ERA and D.V. Voting Rights.
9
F.
HEALTH
0
Opposes National Health Insurance as idea whose time is past; as
a program taxpayers neither need or want; and as inflationary.
O
Believes health care problems are caused by government intervention.
0
Believes any health care plan is opening wedge for more government.
O
Believes Hospital Cost Containment reduces services, not cost.
O
Favors private fee for practice as providing the best care.
10
G.
EDUCATION
1.
Government Role
Believes government is responsible for decline in educational
quality.
O
Has said Department of Education should be abolished (though now
wavers on this) ; believes educational funding programs should be
transferred back to States and local school districts, along with
needed tax resources.
2.
Relizion
Believes prayer should be returned to public schools.
Supports tuition tax credits.
3.
Bilingual
Has opposed bilingual education in the past, but now appears to
favor.
11
E.
WELFARE
O
Supports transferring welfare programs from the Federal government
to State and local governments. along with the tax resources needed
to pay for the programs.
O
Has said the Food Stamp program is nothing but a welfare program
which does not work
12
I.
HOUSING
1.
Fair Housing
O
Opposed Fair Housing legislation in California - said unnecessary
because discrimination in housing did not exist.
Has taken no position on Federal Fair Housing legislation.
1.
Public Housing
O
Believes Federal public housing program has been a failure.
Sees public housing programs as type of welfare.
3.
Urban Homesteading
O
Supports using urban homesteading program - selling abandoned
homes for $1 if the new owner will refurbish and occupy - as a
means of making housing available to low- and middle-income
Americans (apparently does not realize this program is already
in effect).
13
J.
URBAN POLICY
1.
Urban Aid -- has opposed urban aid programs; has said it would be
more efficient for local governments to raise the money they plan to
spend; now appears to support having Federal government collect taxes
but provide to urban areas in block grant form -- no-strings-attached.
2.
New York City -- opposed special New York City assistance; now favors.
3.
Enterprise Zones - supports creation of urban enterprise zones (taxes
and regulations to be reduced).
14
K.
LAW ENFORCEMENT AND JUSTICE
1.
Gun Control
Opposes all proposed restrictions on gun ownership; believes
gun control does not deter criminals.
Supports Republican Platform position calling for repeal of
Gun Control Act of '68.
2.
Marijuana
O
Opposes decriminalization.
3.
Death Penalty
Believes is justified as fair retribution and as deterrent.
4.
Judiciary
Committed to appoint' Supreme Court Justices who respect and
reflect values and morals of American majority; committed to
appoint a woman.
No longer supports Republican Platform provision calling for
judges supporting traditional family values and sanctity of
unborn; says he will have no litmus test.
5.
Civil Rights
Has called the '64 Civil Rights Act a "bad piece of legislation";
has now stated that he was opposed to certain features of the
law which he felt infringed on Constitutionally-guaranteed rights
of citizens. He has recently said it should be strengthened.
Opposed Open Housing legislation in California.
Opposes any type of codification or legislation protecting
homosexual rights (though he did oppose the anti-gay Briggs
initiative in California in 1978).
Believes First Amendment was written not to protect people
and their laws from religious values but to protect those
values from government tyranny.
Opposes a Constitutional Amendment on D.C. Voting Rights.
Opposes the Equal Rights Amendment; supports eliminating discriminatio
against women through State-by-State statute changes; now states that
he supports the concept of equal rights for men and women.
15
L.
GOVERNMENT ETHICS
1.
Watergate
O
Supports Ford's pardon of Nixon.
2.
Election Reform
O
Supports repeal of contribution limits.
O
Sees no legal problems with the independent campaign organizations
helping his candidacy.
16
M.
AGRICULTURE
1.
Price Supports -- supports ending of government price supports,
returning farming to free market. Now has changed - says he supports the program:
2.
Parity - supports 100% parity - but imposed not through government
but through marketplace.
3.
Milk Support -- opposes dairy industry subsidies; they just subsidize
those who cannot compete in marketplace at expense of those who could
bring prices down.
4.
Tobacco - supports assistance programs - believes they raise prices
and thereby discourage smoking
5.
Grain Embargo - opposes current grain embargo as hurting our farmers
more than Soviets (however, on previous occasions, like discovery of
Russian brigade in Cuba, he did advocate using the grain weapon).
17
N.
SPECIAL CONSTITUENCIES
1.
Blacks
Believes Democratic Party philosophy has been to offer handouts
(i.e. spending programs) to Blacks in return for their vote.
Believes Blacks must be made more economically independent --
economic growth will be best assured this way.
Has rejected endorsement of Ku Klux Klan.
C
Believes in "states' rights" -- restoring to states power that
properly belongs to them.
2. Elderly
A.
Social Security
Has previously supported making Social Security voluntary; now
denies having done so.
Has supported investing Social Security funds in the private
sector, much like any other pension program.
Supports elimination of earnings test for recipients who work.
Committed to appoint a task force of experts to examine the
long-range financing problems of the system.
B.
Medicare
O
Opposed Medicare as a step toward socialized medicine; now supports.
3.
Hispanics
A.
Farm Workers
has opposed the organizing efforts of farm workers.
has opposed applying principles of National Labor Relations Act
to farm workers.
was supportive of the Braceros program while Governor.
B.
Bilingual Education
has opposed bilingual education; now favors.
18
N.
SPECIAL CONSTITUENCIES (con't)
C.
Immigration
O
believes aliens coming from Mexico are a needed safety valve for
that country.
believes we should make it possible for aliens to come here
legally with a work permit and to leave when they want.
D.
Cuban Refugees
O
supported massive airlift for Cubans seeking political asylum
from Castro.
supports bringing Cuban refugees into country, but favors
careful screening to eliminate Castro agents.
4.
Youth
O
Believes high youth unemployment would be relieved through
youth-sub-minimum wage.
Opposes decriminalization of marijuana use.
Opposed extending voting and majority rights to 18-year-olds.
REAGAN CHARGES AGAINST CARTER
(Domestic)
Attached are brief descriptions of the basic domestic charges Governor Reagan
has made against you during the primary.
His basic attacks can be characterized as follows:
1.
There has been no strong leadership, no central vision, positions
are frequently changing and campaign promises are ignored.
2.
Economy has been ruined through high inflation, high unemployment,
and a deep recession. Your economic policies have been a disaster,
he contends
3.
Government has been allowed to grow, over-regulate, over spend, over-
tax, interfere increasingly in people's lives.
4.
Energy policies have hindered domestic energy production and not
really helped reduce dependence on foreign oil.
In foreign policy he is likely to attack you for:
1.
Weakening our defense posture, cancelling the B-1, having a majority
of fighting units not ready to fight.
2.
Having a vacillating, confusing, weak foreign policy with multiple
voices.
- 2 -
REAGAN CHARGES AGAINST CARTER
(DOMESTIC)
GENERAL
1.
Talks as if someone else had been in charge for past 3½ years.
2.
Told we must accept a national "malaise".
3.
Used excuse that Federal government has grown SO big and powerful that
it is beyond control of any President.
4.
His real failure has been failure of ideas, an inability to break away
from failed policies, to move boldly in new directions rooted in
out-of-date philosophy.
5.
Have consistently made more proposals for more Federal government.
6.
Violated nearly every campaign promise he every made.
7.
Has not had a central vision to his policies.
8.
Has changed directions without pause or explanation.
9.
Has shifted from '76 positions and gone completely with liberal line.
10.
was not a good Governor did not streamline government.
LL.
Broken sharply with the views and policies of Truman, Kennedy, and
many contemporary leaders of the Democratic Party; dominated by
McGovernite wing of the Party.
12.
Crisis facing us is not one of failure of American spirit--failure
of leaders to establish rational goals.
ECONOMY
1. Allowed this economic situation to occur:
8 million out of work
inflation at 7.8% for first quarter.
black unemployment at about 14% highest ever
four straight major deficits
highest interest rates since Civil War--at times reaching 20%
through inflation has raised taxes by 30%--real income increased
by only 20%
imposed largest single tax increase in history
- 3 -
2. Had 5 economic programs in 3 -2 years.
3. Has discovered American workers after 3 years of neglect, misery,
unemployment, inflation, high taxes, dwindling earning power,
inability to save.
÷. Called for increase in unemployment in '80 to fight recession.
5. Said in '76 would bring unemployment and inflation to 3%-unemployment now arou
8%, inflation is at 12½%. Broke '76 promise to lower inflation rate and
unemployment rate to 4%.
6. Allowed tax burden to reach highest percentage of personal income in our
history--115% increase.
7. Has highest percentage today of outmoded industrial plant and equipment
of any industrial nation in the world.
8. Allowed savings to fall to lowest level in last 30 years Japanese
worker can save 5 times his earnings as American worker can.
9. Proposed to balance budget by increasing taxes.
10. Fought inflation with recession (also referred to as "Depression")
11. Have been at war with business community.
12. Imposed deliberatve policy of squeezing Nation into recession, at
expense of workers.
13. Used OPEC as alibi for our economic woes.
14. Economic renewal program is "crazy quilt" of obvious election year promises.
15. Economic policies are "an American tragedy".
16. Changed groundrules in determining PPI index figures.
17. Cited "family suffering index" which combines "average annual rate of
mortage interest, the rate of price increases in food and gasoline and
the unemployment rate"; was 24.2% 4 years ago and is now "an incredible,
recenscionable 77%."
18. "Made shambles of economy--tripled inflation rate, doubled interest rate,
increased government taxes and spending more that any other President,
and produced enormous budget deficits."
- 4 -
GOVERNMENT
:.
Has allowed total number of government workers to grow by 63,000.
2.
Has been biggest spender there has ever been in the White House.
3.
Has not cut Federal spending.
4.
Favors further expansion of Federal government.
5.
Run a government where $50 billion is wasted every year.
6.
Launched vendetta (by IRS) against independent schools.
7.
Has biggest White House staff in history.
3.
Done nothing about eliminating waste and fraud in Federal government
ENERGY
(which GAO says could be 12/20/21 between $5-$50 billion).
1.
Presided over worst energy shortage in our country's history.
2.
Developed energy policies geared toward decreasing demand, regulating
markets, lower growth.
3.
Proposed energy program which will lead to nationalization of energy
industry.
÷.
Created an Energy Department with a budget as big as total profits of
major oil companies.
5.
Pursued policies which discourage discovery and production of energy
in this country.
6.
Broke '76 promise to deregulate natural gas.
7.
Claimed figures have been made up to mask decline in energy production
(were it not for Alaskan production, domestic oil production would
continue to show a steady decline).
AGRICULTURE
1.
Increased farm aid but decreased farm income.
2.
Pursued agricultural policies which are "unprecedented disasters".
3.
Imposed a grain embargo which hurt American farmers more than Soviets;
embargo was a grandstand play for votes at farmer's expense.
1 5 -
AUTO INDUSTRY
1.
Offered industry only more trade adjustment and more unemployment
compensation.
2.
Pursured economic and regulatory policies which are to blame for the
auto industry's problems.
STEEL INDUSTRY
1.
Did not enforce laws that would benefit steel industry; economic
renewal program has only "half-hearted measures" to revive industry.
2.
Waited until just recently to talk about steel industry's plight and to
take actions to help steel industry (many of which Reagan had earlier
proposed).
EDUCATION
Reneged on '76 promise to support tuition tax credits.
ENVIRONMENT
1.
Pursued regulatory policies which are responsible for steel plant
shut-downs in Chio; "biggest regulator in history."
2.
Allowed EPA to overregulate.
REGULATORY REFORM
1.
Deregulation occurred only because of Congressional demands.
2.
Deregulation accomplishments are only "highly publicized examples of
showcase deregulation."
ELDERLY
1.
Indifferent to problems of the elderly.
2.
Economic policies are a threat to Social Security System.
3.
Misrepresented Reagan's views on Social Security.
VETERANS
1.
Run most anti-veteran Administration in history.
2.
Steadily cut VA budget (and cut health personnel).
REAGAN FLIP-FLOPS
1.
ERA - once supported, now opposes.
2.
Chrysler assistance - once opposed, now supports.
3.
New York City assistance - once opposed, now supports.
4.
Olvmpic boycott - initially opposed, later favored.
5. China-Taiwan - once supported governmental relations with Taiwan,
now supports status quo.
6.
Social Security - favored making -- or considering making Social
Security voluntary, but now apparently does not.
7.
Auto Imports - once opposed any type of trade protectionism, but now
appears to favor some type of restraints on Japanese imports.
8. Bilingual Education - once opposed bilingual education, now favors.
9. 10-5-3 Depreciation Tax Cut - once supported, now has modified.
10. Gold Standard - has supported return to gold standard in the past, now
has dropped it.
11. Department of Education - once called for its abolition, but now appears
to have dropped that call.
12. Davis-Bacon - once sought its repeal, now just needs some tightening.
13. Antitrust and Unions - once favored applying antitrust laws to unions,
now does not.
14. OSHA - once supported its abolition, now favors only "reform" for OSHA.
15. Clean Air Act - within one day said he favored amending Clean Air Act
to weaken it and then later opposed doing that.
REAGAN RECORD AS GOVERNOR
CLAIM vs. REALITY
Reagan has frequently been caught grossly misstating or exaggerating his
record as Governor. Several months ago, he was caught by the press, and
became somewhat more careful. But he still uses misleading statements about
his record, and ignores completely any unfavorable statistics about his
8-year term.
In the debate, he can be expected to repeat his favorite claims about his
record. If left rebuttaled, those claims will seem very impressive. While
no one recommends that you engage Reagan in an extensive debate over his
gubernatorial record, you should not let pass some of the most superficially
impressive of his claims before going on to make your positive points.
The following pages compare the most popular of his claims with the actual
record, or in some cases the more relevant facts and figures.
The most important points to make are that, despite his claims and promises
in California, taxes rose by the largest amount in the State's history
($20 billion, a nearly 300% increase); the number of State employees grew
by 30%; and State spending grew by 126% (highest real growth rate in State's
history).
REAGAN'S CALIFORNIA RECORD
CLAIMS
FACTS
TAKES
Gave back $5.7 billion in tax
Reagan presided over the heaviest
rebates and credits to people in
tax increases in California's
California.
history; tax rates increased for
income, sales, inheritance, estate,
capital gains, liquor, cigarette
and corporate income.
Only two rebates occurred, amountin
to about $1 billion; there was other
tax relief -- like assistance with
local property taxes and assistance
to local governments -- but not
other rebates or fiscal devices to
give money back to taxpayers.
Rebates were possible because
Reagan raised taxes 3 times (1967,
$1 billion; 1971, $500 million;
1972, $1 billion); the first hike
was the largest single tax hike in
California's history.
BY end of Reagan's term, State
income tax collections had nearly
tripled (to $20 billion).
Taxes increased much more rapidly
during Reagan's terms than during
Pat Brown's terms; per capita tax
burden doubled.
2.
SIZE OF GOVERNMENT
Had grown 75% during 8 years
Reagan's figures ignore half of
prior to his Administration:
state employees -- those in higher
he presided over virtually no
education and mental health.
growth in the government, even
though California's population
When they are included, there was
was increasing faster than any
a more than 30% increase (158,000
other State.
to 203,000); moreover, this growth
rate was on a per capita basis
greater than it was under Pat Brown,
though Brown's annual average was,
7,500 new employees to Reagan's
4,200.
2
There was one state employee for
every 120 residents when took
office and one for every 103 when
he left.
All of this occurred despite Reagan's
initial action of imposing at hiring
freeze.
3.
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
Held down government spending --
Reagan had highest real growth rate
faced a budget deficit of $194
in government spending in California's
million when he took office and left a
history.
budget surplus of $554 million.
State budget went from $4.6 billion
to $10.4 billion -- 126% increase.
State Operation budget -- that
part of the budget over which
Governor has real control -- grew
faster under Reagan than under
Pat Brown (41% VS. 32%).
projected deficit in '67 was
averbed by $1 billion tax increase
surplus left in '74 was due to
higher income and sales tax rates.
4.
GOVERNMENT BUREAUCRACY
Growth of bureaucracy was stopped.
In addition to the growth in
employees, the State government
grew by its number of agencies.
Reagan's own description of his
California accomplishments shows
that he created over 30 new state
offices, Boards or Councils.
That description does not include
one Reagan creation -- the
California Energy Commission (no
doubt because it was criticized
for some failings as DOE later
was, particularly by Reagan).
LA Times said of Reagan's terms:
"No significant State program
was eliminated".
3
5.
WELFARE REFORM
Reformed welfare program --
Reduction in caseload was due
caseload went from 40,000 per
not to reforms but to improving
month increase to 8,000 per
economy, smaller welfare families,
month decrease -- saved taxpayers
and 215,000 Medicaid-funded
$2 billion -- increased grants to
abortions permitted under Reagan's
truly needy by 43%.
abortion law.
Welfare costs actually increased --
tripled during his terms.
o
$2 billion "savings" is calculated
on absurdly high caseload assumptions
(by 1984 every resident in State
would have been on welfare if
assumptions were met) ; actual
savings -- about $10 million a
year.
Grants to "truly needy" did
increase - though by about half
of Reagan's claim -- because
Reagan lost his court suit against
Congressionally-mandated cost-of-
living increases (he fought the
increase for 4 years).
6.
AIR POLLUTION
State had toughest anti-smog
Tougher laws were passed during
laws in country when he left
his terms, but over his objections;
office.
moreover, he did not enforce the
laws.
League of Conservation Voters:
"Reagan was responsible for
undermining what could have been
the most far reaching air pollution
program in the country
Reagan's
program was SO weak that EPA
rejected it on five counts, the
main objection being lack of
enforcement."
7.
ELDERLY
Senior Citizen's Property Tax
Reagan opposed the bill, vetoing
Assistance Program was enacted to
it once.
refund portion of local property
taxes for the elderly.
He finally signed it because it
was tied to another tax bill he
wanted and because he was able to
limit its application.
4
8.
CONSUMERS
Created a Department of Consumer
Initially gave Department only
Affairs.
one staff person for consumer
work.
Became widely known as Department
of Business Affairs.
Reagan's own consumer advisor
admitted the Department helped
business more than consumers.
9.
APPOINTMENTS
Appointed great number of public
members to sit on regulatory
JUNSTISES
Reagan tended to appoint one
token public member to key boards,
boards and commissions; appointed
ensuring they were always out-voted.
more minorities than any previous
Governor to major positions.
of 3,709 appointments to new state
jobs, only 9 went to Blacks.
Of 600 judicial appointments, only
12 were women.
TURNING BACK THE CLOCK - KEY DEMOCRATIC INITIATIVES
REAGAN CURRENTLY WANTS TO REPEAL OR WEAKEN OR WITHDRAW
1.
SALT II (withdraw)
2.
Windfall Profits Tax (weaken)
3.
Department of Education (repeal - apparently)
4.
Department of Energy (repeal - apparently)
5.
OSHA (weaken and change its mission)
6.
Clean Air Act (weaken)
-.
Minimum wage (weaken, through sub-minimum)
8. China Normalization (weaken, in the view of People's Republic of China)
9.
ERA (oppose ratification)
10. Humphrey-Hawkins (apparently would not follow it)
11.
Welfare and Education programs (weaken by returning them completely = States)
MAJOR REAGAN - BUSH DIFFERENCES
1.
ERA - Reagan opposes; Bush supports.
2.
Constitutional amendment on abortion - Reagan supports; Bush opposes.
3.
Kemp-Roth -, Reagan supports; Bush opposes (called it "voodoo economics"
which would lead 1885 to 30% inflation). .
4.
Blockade Cuba in response to Soviet invasion of Afghanistan - Reagan supported;
Bush opposed.
5.
Turning energy companies loose as the solution to our energy problem - Reagan
supported; Bush disagreed.
KEY REAGAN QUOTES
1. Nuclear Arms Race - "The one card that's been missing in these [SALT]
negotiations has been the possibility of an arms race.' AM Interview,
Oct 1, '80.
2. Nuclear Non-Proliferation - "I just don't think it's (non-proliferation)
any of our business." Washington Post, Jan 31, '80.
3. Response to Afchanistan "One option might well be that we surround the
island of Cuba and stop all traffic in and out." NY Times, Jan 29, '80.
4. Sending Troops - While you need not read the quotes directly, you can
repeatedly list the countries or areas to which Reagan has said he would
send American troops -- Cuba ('80), Cyprus ('76), Equador ('75), Lebanon
('76), Middle East ('80), North Korea ('68), Pakistan ('80) and Rhodesia
('76).
5. After disclosure of Russian bricade in Cuba - "If the Russians want to buy
wheat from us, I wouldn't sell it to them." LA Times, Sep 30, '79.
6. China - "Yes I will advocate restoring official government status == the
Taipai office." LA Times, May 19, '80.
7. Vietnam War - "Was a noble cause." Aug 18, '80.
war and Nuclear Threats - "No one would cheerfully want to use atomic
weapons But the last person in the world who should know we
wouldn't use them is the enemy. He should go to bed every night afraid
that we might." LA Times, July 3, '67.
8. Minimum wage - "The minimum wage has caused more misery and unemployment
than anything since the Great Depression." wall Street Journal, January 30, '80.
(Also see #28).
9. Unemployment Insurance - "Legitimate working men and women are being
sacrificed to provide prepaid vacations for a segment of our society which
has made this a way of life." April 26, '66.
10. Humphrey-Hawkins - "Carter's approach to unemployment: he's for the Humphrey-
Hawkins bill. If ever there was design for fascism that's it. Fascism was
really the basis for the New Deal." " Time Interview, May 17, '76.
11. Labor Law Reform - Labor law reform would result in 7 ... a largely unor-
ganized management pitted against an efficient and effective union effort."
Las Vegas Sun Interview, June 4, '78.
12. Davis-Bacon - "Davis-Bacon
a needless burden on local tax-payers, a
gift of tax funds to the privileged workers." Jefferson City, Missouri
Post Interview, Oct 18, 179.
2
13. Unions - "I believe that labor union leaders. themselves have accumulated
power that we should look very closely at whether they should not be bound
as business is by the antitrust laws." New York Times, April 23, '80.
14. Evolution - "I have a great many questions about evolution And I think
the recent discoveries over the years have pointed out great flaws in it. "
Dallas Times Herald, Aug 23, '80.
15. Religion and Schools - "let's get government out of the classroom and maybe
we can get God back in." Rocky Mountain News, June 7, '78.
16. Constitutional Amendments - While you need not repeat the quotes, you can
point out that Reagan has indicated support for Constitutional amendments
to prohibit abortion, permit school prayer, prohibit busing, and require
a balanced budget.
17. '64 Civil Richts Act - "a bad piece of legislation."
Quoted in The Rise of Ronald Reagan, '68.
18. States' Rights - "I believe in states' rights. Philadelphia, Mississippi,
Aug 4, '80.
19. New York Citv - "As a matter of fact, I have included in my morning and
evening prayers every day the prayer the federal government will not bail
out New York City." Interview, Oct 8, '75.
20. Urban Aid - "Urban aid programs are one of the biggest phonies that we
have in the system and have had for a number of years." Interview,
Feb 1,, '80.
21. Chrysler Loan - "What's wrong with bankruptcy?" Newsweek, Oct 1, '79.
22. Energy - "What needs to be done is for the government to repeal the energy
legislation and then turn the industry loose." LA Times, May 16, '76.
23. Anti-Nuclear Advocates - "I've already spoken about the anti-nuclear power
people and the fact that behind the scenes they are being manipulated by
forces sympathetic to the Soviet Union." Radio Broadcast, July, '79.
24. ational Health Insurance - "I'm opposed to National Health Insurance.
There is no health care crisis in America." U.S. News & World Report
Interview, March '76.
25. The Unemployed and Welfare Recipients - " Freeloaders wanting a prepaid
vacation plan." San Francisco Chronicle, April 22, '66.
26. Income Tax System - "The entire / graduated income tax 7 structure was
created by Karl Marx. It has no justification in getting government needed
revenue." " Interview, Jan 7, '63.
27. Air Pollution - "Has been substantially controlled." October '80.
28. Minimum Wage - "High unemployment is in large part due to the minimum
wage" N.Y. Times, January 2, 1980
SUBJECTS OF QUESTIONS IN '76 PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES
(not including rebuttals)
DEBATE ONE
(DOMESTIC POLICY)
Carter
Ford
Economy
Economy
Economy
Economy
Economy
Vietnam Amnesty
Economy
Vietnam Amnesty
Reorganization
Economy
Reorganization
Economy
Nuclear Energy
Economy
Energy Conservation
Economy
Tax Reductions
Government Ethics
Tax Reform/Reductions
Congressional Relation
Economy - Personnel
COPY A 1983
Intelligence Charters
DEB
TWO
(FOREIGN POLICY)
Carter
Ford
General Review
Communism Containment
General . Personnel
Soviet Union
Decision-Making Process
Eastern Europe
Human Rights
China
Arab Boycott
China
Defense Spending
SALT
Defense Spending
SALT
World Respect of U.S.
Human Rights
Panama Canal
Mayaquez
Arab Boycott
Vietnam MIA's
-2-
DEBATE THREE
(ALL SUBJECTS)
Carter
Ford
Nature of Campaign
Prospective on Future
Yugoslavia after Tito
Economy
Staffing of Administration
Watergate Connection
Urban Policy
Justice Investigation of For
Constitutional Amendments
General Brown of JCS
Supreme Court
Environment
Supreme Court Appointments
Blacks
Public Opinion Polls
Gun Control
Economy
Economy
IUN
REAGAN - ANDERSON DEBATE
Reacan
Anderson
Economy
Economy
Energy
Energy
Military Manpower
Military Manpower
Urban Policy
Urban Policy
Economy
Economy
Church and State
Church and State