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FOIA Number: 2017-1092-F FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the William J. Clinton Presidential Library Staff. Collection/Record Group: Clinton Presidential Records Subgroup/Office of Origin: Council on Environmental Quality Series/Staff Member: Kathleen (Katie) McGinty Subseries: OA/ID Number: 2897 FolderID: Folder Title: 2nd World Climate Conference [1] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: S 61 6 3 1 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. memo re: Second World Climate Conference [Personally Identifiable 10/12/1990 b(6) Information] [partial] (1 page) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records Council on Environmental Quality Kathleen (Katie) McGinty OA/Box Number: 2897 FOLDER TITLE: 2nd World Climate Conference [1] 2017-1092-F jm 1858 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute |(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors. or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. file swee - Ministeral Declaration globalasm drover 7 November 1990 MINISTERIAL DECLARATION OF THE SECOND WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE PREAMELE 1. We, the Ministers and other representatives from 137 countries and from the European Communities, meeting in Geneva from 6 to 9 November 1990 at the Second World Climate Conference, declare as follows: 2. He note that while climate has varied in the past and there is still a large degree of scientific uncertainty, the rate of climate change predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to occur over the next century is unprecedented. This is due mainly to the continuing accumulation of greenhouse gases, resulting from a host of human activities since the industrial revolution, hitherto particularly in developed countries. The potential impact of such climate change could pose an environmental threat of an up to now unknown magnitude; and could jeopardize the social and economic development of some areas. It could even threaten survival in some small island States and in low-lying coastal, arid and semi-arid areas. 3. We appreciate the work of the world Climate Programme (WCP) during the past decade which has improved understanding of the causes, processes and effects of climate and climate change. We also congratulate the IPCC, established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on its First Assessment Report on Climate Change. It has identified causes and possible effects and strategies to limit and adapt to climate change, and in the light of the United Nations General Assembly resolutions, has identified possible elements for inclusion in a framework convention on climate change. 4. Recognizing climate change as a common concern of mankind, we commit ourselves and intend to take active and constructive steps in a global response, without prejudice to sovereignty of States. 2 I. GLOBAL STRATEGY 5. Recognizing that climate change is a global problem of unique character and taking into account the remaining uncertainties in the field of science, economics and response options, we consider that a global response, while ensuring sustainable development (1) of all countries, must be decided and implemented without further delay based on the best available knowledge such as that resulting from the IPCC assessment. Recognizing further that the principle of equity and the common but differentiated responsibility of countries should be the basis of any global response to climate change, developed countries must take the lead. They must all commit themselves eo actions to reduce their major contribution to the global net emissions and enter into and strengthen co-operation with developing countries to enable them to adequately address climate change without hindering their national development goals and objectives. Developing countries must, within the limits feasible, taking into account the problems regarding the burden of external debt and their economic circumstances, commit themselves to appropriate action in this regard. To this end, there is a need to meet the requirements of developing countries, that adequate and additional financial resources be mobilised and the best available environmentally-sound technologies be transferred expeditiously on a fair and most favourable basis. II. POLICY CONSIDERATIONS FOR ACTION 5. We realfirm that, in Order to reduce uncertainties, to increase our ability to predict climate and climate change on & global and regional basis, including early identification of as yet unknown climate-related issues, and to design sound response strategies, there is a need to strengthen national, regional and international research activities in climate, climate change and sea level rise. We recognize that commitments by governments are essential to sustain and strengthen the necessary research and monitoring programmes and the exchange of relevant data and information, with due respect to national sovereignity. We stress that special efforts must be directed to the areas of uncertainty as identified by the IPCC. (1) Statement of sustainable development as agreed at the 15th session of UNEP Governing Council (Annex II UNEP/GC 15/L.37). We maintain that there is a need to intensify research on the social and economic implications of climate change and response strategies. We commit ourselves to promoting the full participation of developing countries in these efforts. We recognize the importance of supporting the needs of the World Climate Programme, including contributions to the WMO Special Fund for Climate and Atmospheric Environmental Studies. The magnitude of the problem being addressed is such that no nation can tackle it alone and we stress the need to strengthen international cooperation. In particular, we invite the 11th Congress of the World Meteorological Organization, in the formulation of plans for the future development of the World Climate Programme, to ensure that the necessary arrangements are established in consultation with UNEP, UNESCO (and its IOC), FAO, ICSU and other relevant international organisations for effective coordination of climate and climate change related research and monitoring programmes. We urge that special attention be given to the economic and social dimensions of climate and climate change research. 7. In order to achieve sustainable development in all countries and to meet the needs of present and future generations, precautionary measures to meet the climate challenge must anticipate, prevent, attack, or minimize the causes of, and mitigate the adverse consequences of, environmental degradation that might result from climate change. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent such environmental degradation. The measures adopted should take into account different socio-economic contexts. 8. The potentially serious consequences of climate change, including the risk for survival in low-lying and other small island States and in some low-lying coastal, and arid and semi-arid areas of the world, give sufficient reasons to begin by adopting response strategies even in the face of significant uncertainties. Such response strategies include phasing out the production and use of CFC's, efficiency improvements and conservation in energy supply and use, appropriate measures in the transport sector, sustainable forest management, afforestation schemes, developing contingency plans for dealing with climate related amergencies, proper land use planning, adequate coastal zone management, review of intensive agricultural practices and the use of safe and cleaner energy sources with lower or no emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and other greenhouse gases and ozone precursors, paying special attention to new and renewable sources. Further actions should be pursued in a phased and flexible manner on the basis of medium and long-term goals and strategies and at the national, regional or global level, taking advantage of scientific advances and technological developments to meet both environmental and economic objectives. 9. We note that per capita consumption patterns in certain parts of the world along with a projected increase in world population are contributing factors in the projected increase in greenhouse gases. 10. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with climate. 11. We stress, as a first step, the need to stabilize, while ansuring sustainable development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. Contributions should be equitably differentiated according to countries' responsibilities and their level of development. In this context, we acknowledge efforts already undertaken by a number of countries to meet this goal. 12. Taking into account that the developed world is responsible for about 3/4 of all emissions of greenhouse gases, we welcome the decisions and commitments undertaken by the European Community with its Member States, Australia, Austria, Canada, Finland, Iceland, Japan, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, and other developed countries to take actions aimed at stabilizing their emissions of CO2, or CO₂ and other greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol, by the year 2000 in general at 1990 level, yet recognizing the differences in approach and in starting point in the formulation of the above targets. We also acknowledge the initiatives of some other developed countries which will have positive effects on limiting emissions of greenhouse gases. We urge all developed countries to establish targets and/or feasible national programmes or strategies which will have significant effects on limiting emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. We acknowledge, however, that those developed countries with as yet relatively low energy consumption (measured on a per capita or other appropriate basis) which can be reasonably expected to grow, and some countries with economies in transition, may establish targets, programmes and/or strategies that accommodate socio-economic growth, while improving the energy efficiency of their economic activities. 13. We urge developed countries, before the 1992 UN Conference on Invironment and Dave opment, to analyze the feasibility of and options for, and, as appropriate in light of these analyses, to develop programmes, strategies and/or targets for a staged approach for achieving reductions C. all greenhouse gas emissions not controlled by the Montreal Protocol, including carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide, over the next two decades and beyond. 14. We recommend that in the elaboration of response strategies, over time, all greenhouse gases, sources and sinks be considered in the most comprehensive manner possible and also that limitation and adaptation measures be addressed. 6 15. We recognize that developing countries have as their main priority alleviating poverty and achieving social and economic development and that their net emissions must grow from their, as yet, relatively low energy consumption to accommodate their development needs. Narrowing the gap between the developed and the developing world would provide a basis for a full partnership of all nations and would assist the developing countries in dealing with the climate change issue. To enable developing countries to meet incremental costs required to take the necessary measures to address climate change and sea- level rise, consistent with their development needs, we recommend that adequate and additional financial resources should be mobilized and best available environmentally sound technologies transferred expeditiously on a fair and most favourable basis. Developing countries also should, within the limits feasible, take action in this regard. 18. The specific difficulties of those countries, particularly developing countries, whose economies are highly dependent on fossil fuel production and exportation, as a consequence of action taken on limiting greenhouse gas emissions, should be taken into account. 17. We recommend that consideration should be given to the need for funding facilities, including the proposed World Bank/UNEP/UNDP Global Environmental Facility, a clearing house mechanism and a new possible international fund composed of adequate additional and timely financial resources and institutional arrangements for developing countries; taking into account existing multilateral and bilateral mechanisms and approaches. Such funding should be related to the implementation of the framework convention on climate change and any other related instruments that might be agreed upon. In the meantime, developed countries are urged to co- operate with developing countries to support immediate action in addressing climate change including sea-level rise without imposing any new conditionality on developing countries. 18. We recommend further that resources be assessed. Such assessments, to be conducted as soon as possible, should include country studies and mechanisms to meet the financing needs identified, taking note of the approaches developed under the Montreal Protocol. 19. Financial resources channelled to developing countries should, inter alia, be directed to: (i) Promoting efficient use of energy, development of lower and non-greenhouse gas emitting energy technologies and paying special attention to safe and clean new and renewable sources of energy; (ii) Arranging expeditious transfer of the best available environmentally sound technology on a fair and most favourable basis to developing countries and promoting rapid development of such technology in these countries; (111) co-operating with developing countries to enable their full participation in international meetings on climate change; (iv) Enhancing atmospheric, oceanic and terrestrial observational networks, particularly in developing countries, to facilitate conducting research, monitoring and assessment of climate change and the impact on those countries; (v) Rational forest management practices and agricultural techniques which reduce greenhouse gas emissions; (vi) Enhancing the capacity of developing countries to develop programs to address climate change, including research and development activities and public awareness and education. Funding should also be directed to the creation of regional centres to organize information networks on climate change in developing countries. 20. Appropriate economic instruments may offer the potential for achieving environmental improvements in a cost-effective manner. The adoption of any form of economic or regulatory measures would require careful and substantive analyses. We recommend that relevant policies make use of economic instruments appropriate to each country's socio-economic conditions in conjunction with a balanced mix of regulatory approaches. 8 21. We note that energy production and use account for nearly half of the enhanced radiative forcing resulting from human activities and is projected to increase substantially in the absence of appropriate response actions. We recognize the promotion of energy efficiency as the most cost-effective immediate measure, in many countries, for reducing energy-related emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and other greenhouse gases and ozone precursors, while other safe options such as no or lower greenhouse gas emitting energy sources should also be pursued. These principles apply to all energy sectors. Transport energy use attracts special attention of many of us in the light of its role in many developed countries and of its expected importance in many developing countries. 22. We recognize that there is no single quick-fix technological option for limiting greenhouse gas emissions. However, we are convinced that technological innovation as well as individual and social behaviour and institutional adaptations is a key element of any long-term strategy that deals with climate change in a way that meets the goal of sustainable development. Therefore, we urge all countries, the developed countries in particular, to intensify their efforts and international cooperation in technological research, development and dissemination of appropriate and environmentally sound technologies, including the reassessment and improvement of existing technologies and the introduction of new technologies. 23. We urge that environmentally sound and safe technologies be utilized by all sectors in all countries to the fullest extent possible and further urge all countries, developed and developing, to identify and take effective measures to remove barriers to the dissemination of such technologies. To this end, the best available environmentally sound and safe technologies should be transferred to developing countries expeditiously on a fair and most favourable basis. 9 24. We note that the conservation of the world's forests in their role as reservoirs of carbon along with other measures are of considerable importance for global climatic stability, keeping in mind the important role of forests in the conservation of biological diversity and the protection of soil stability and of the hydrological system. We recognize the need to reduce the rate of deforestation in consonance with the objective of sustained yield development and to enhance the potential of the world's forests through improved management of existing forests and through vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation, and to support financially the developing countries in this regard through enhanced and well-coordinated international cooperation including strengthening Tropical Forest Action Plan (TFAP) and International Tropical Timber Organization (ITTO). We recommend that the protection and management of boreal, temperate, sub-tropical and tropical forest ecosystems must be well-coordinated and preferably compatible with other possible types of action related to reduction of emission of greenhouse gases, rational utilisation of biological resources, provision of financial resources, and the need for more favourable market conditions for timber and timber products. The developing countries should be able to realize increased revenue from these forests and forest products. 25. We also recognize that forests and forest products play a key social and economic role in many nations and communities. We recognize that States have, in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations and the principles of international law, the sovereign right to exploit their own resources pursuant to their own environmental policies, and the responsibility to ensure that activities within their jurisdiction or control do not cause damage to the environment of other States or of areas beyond the limits of national jurisdiction. 26. We recommend that appropriate precautionary and control measures be developed and implemented at regional, sub-regional and country levels as appropriate to counter the increasing degradation of land, water, genetic and other productive resource bases by drought, desertification and land degradation. Observatories on climate and climate change and observatories on ecosystems should be encouraged to work together on drought risks consequences. 10 Studies must be undertaken on drought and desertification. We stress that stepped-up financial and scientific contributions be provided to facilitate these efforts. 27. We recommend that similar measures be adopted to address the particular problems and needs, including funding, of low-lying coastal and small vulnerable island countries, some of whose very existence is placed at risk by the consequences of climate change. III. GLOBAL FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE 28. We call for negotiations on a framework convention on climate change to begin without delay after a decision is taken by the 45th Session of the General Assembly of the United Nations recommending ways, means and modalities for further pursuing these negotiations. Taking note of all the preparatory work, particularly the recommendations adopted 26 September 1990 by the Ad hoc working group of government representatives and regional economic integration organizations to prepare for negotiations on a framework convention on climate change, we urge all countries and regional economic integration organizations to join in these negotiations and recognize that it is highly desirable that an effective framework convention on climate change, containing appropriate commitments, and any related instruments as might be agreed upon on the basis of consensus, be signed in Rio de Janeiro during the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development. We welcome the offer of the Government of the United States of America to host the first negotiating meeting. 29. We recommend that such negotiations take account of the possible elements compiled by the IPCC, and that the framework convention on climate change be framed in such a way as to gain the support of the largest possible number of countries while allowing timely action to be taken. We reaffirm our wish that this convention contain real commitments by the international community. We stress, given the complex and multi-faceted nature of the problem of climate change, the need for new and innovative solutions including the need to meet the special needs of developing countries. 11 30. We also welcome the invitations of Thailand and Italy to host workshops, respectively on the feasibility of forestry options, and on all technologies for energy production and use and their transfer to developing countries. 31. We believe that a well-informed public is essential for addressing and coping with as complex an issue as climate change, and the resultant sea-level rise, and urge countries, in particular, to promote the active participation at the national and when appropriate, regional levels of all sectors of the population in addressing climate change issues and developing appropriate responses. We also urge relevant United Nations organizations and programmes to disseminate relevant information with a view to encouraging as wide a participation as possible. 4 AP 11-07-90 16:27 EST 79 LINES AM-Global Warming.0644< U.N. Conference Calls for Global Response to Climate Changes< By HANNS NEUERBOURG= Associated Press Writer= GENEVA (AP) A U.N. conference ended Wednesday with a declaration committing governments to a `global response' to global warming but stopped short of setting targets to control the greenhouse gases that cause the trend. The 30-point declaration included an appeal for an international global warming treaty with real commitments' and a pledge to provide developing countries with additional funds to deal with the issue. The document welcomed the decisions of West European countries, Australia, Canada, Japan and New Zealand to stabilize their emissions of the heat-trapping greenhouse gases. A global response must be decided and implemented without further delay, the declaration said. But it made no reference to a paper adopted unanimously by some 700 scientists attending the conference. That report. reflecting discussions during the first week of the conference, urged immediate reduction of carbon dioxide emissions, PRESS RETURN TO CONTINUE OR ENTER A REQUEST. the chief greenhouse gas. It said cutting the gases was technically feasible and cost-effective for many industrialized countries. The 10-day conference attended by representatives of 137 countries was intended to set the stage for formal negotiations opening in Washington next February on an international treaty to be ready for signing in mid-1992. In a joint statement, 40 environmental groups expressed severe disappointment' at the outcome of the United Nations meeting. ''In the name of 'compromise,' they failed to meet their responsibility of committing industrial nations to reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. the statement said. The world cannot afford continued failure to meet the global warming threat. The United States, which led opposition against any target-setting. considered the U.N. declaration a good compromise, said its chief delegate, John Knauss, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Knauss told the conference any policy decisions "must be based on the best available economic and sociological, as well as scientific. information. Reflecting Washington's view that more research is needed before taking drastic action that might involve immense outlays, he said PRESS RETURN TO CONTINUE OR ENTER A REQUEST. we should work aggressively to reduce scientific and economic uncertainties. The United States, he said, was committed to a global approach to deal with climate change but was not prepared to make commitments to percentage reductions (of emissions) which we do not know how to guarantee. The Soviet Union, the world's No. 2 carbon dioxide polluter after the United States, took a similar approach. Any immediate and radical steps `could also have contrary results, said Soviet The conference's relatively low-key ending stood in contrast with statements of profound concern at its opening. Delegates were shown a report asserting that if nothing is done to curb the greenhouse effect, global temperatures will rise by 5.4 degrees by the end of the next century, the fastest rise in 10,000 years. The report, compiled during the past two years by a U.N. -mandated international panel of experts, said such an increase could lead to the flooding of vast coastal areas and islands as sea levels rise. Mostafa K. Tolba. head of the U.N. Environment Program, said in an opening speech that the change in world climate has created a PRESS RETURN TO CONTINUE OR ENTER A REQUEST. H threat potentially more catastrophic than any other threat in human history. European environment ministers said they had hoped participants could at least agree on stabilizing carbon dioxide emissions by the end of this century. along the lines of a decision by the 12-nation European Community. Absence of such a pledge was a black spot in the final declaration. Italian Environment Minister Giorgio Ruffolo said in an interview. Greenpeace environmentalists voiced their disapproval by floating a giant balloon reading `Climate Criminals' above the conference center. At one point they formed a small human chain around the entrance. 5 AP 11-08-90 03:12 EST 47 LINES AM-CO-Advisory,< Eds: The following stories have moved for late AMS use: BOULDER The National Science Foundation has awarded the University of Colorado and the U.S. Geological Survey a $2 million grant to build an ice core storage lab for a global warming study. Slug: Global Warming. PRESS RETURN TO CONTINUE OR ENTER A REQUEST. End world Climate Conference Date: October 1, 1990 To: Albert Gore Jr. S, Leon Fuerth From: Rick Adcock Just got a call from Stockholm from Irving Mintzer, who's over there monitoring the developments in preparatory meetings for the 2nd World Climate Conference. Recall, that's the conference for which the IPCC prepared its reports. Recall also that Sununu has referred to the Working Group I (scientific) report as a political document (because he doesn't agree with it). The 2nd World Climate Conference will occur in two parts. The first week will be a SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL MEETING, and the first few days of the next week will be the MINISTERIAL MEETING. Mintzer called to give me the heads-up that the US is busy torpedoing the 2nd WCC. Apparently what I'm about to describe happened over the weekend, and Mintzer will be spending the day trying to confirm the details but for now, our best information is as follows (this information should be regarded as preliminary and it needs to be confirmed later today): Obasi (head of WMO, whom you met several months ago) has apparently struck a deal with the US reps at the preparatory meeting -- in return for a US commitment to fund WMO's World Climate Research Program, Obasi has agreed to sever the link between the SCIENTIFIC/TECHNICAL MEETING and its reports, and the MINISTERIAL MEETING. This has the effect of keeping the WG1 scientific report (which is among the "reports" that will be presented at the SCIENTIFIC/TECHNICAL MEETING) from playing directly into the MINISTERIAL MEETING. As originally constructed, of course, the SCIENTIFIC/TECHNICAL MEETING was to evaluate the IPCC reports and pass them on the MINISTERIAL MEETING, where they were to be used as the basis for drafting the all- important ministerial statement, which is the substantive product of the 2nd WCC. In addition, the US has orchestrated the development of a number of amendments to the ministerial statement, which means that the US wants the MINISTERIAL MEETING to turn into a 3-day shouting match about where the statement should say "might" and where it should say "will", rather than the ministers using the time to draft a consensus response strategy. In short, it sounds like the US is cleverly attempting to undermine the effectiveness of the 2nd WCC, in spite of the 2 years and 100's of thousands of man-hours spent preparing for the meeting through the IPCC process. I asked Mintzer where Tolba was in all of this, but he claimed that the meeting is predominated by WMO, and Obasi is controlling it. US official spearheading this effort is J.R. Spradley, Spl. Ass. to U-Sec. of Comm for Int'l Env. Affairs. ##### WCC- SCIENCE SECOND WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE Brue t SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL math PORTION SECOND WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE FINAL CONFERENCE STATEMENT SCIENTIFIC/TECHNICAL SESSIONS FOREWORD 1. The Second World Climate Conference was convened in Geneva, Switzerland, from 29 October through 7 November, 1990, under the sponsorship of the World Meteorological Organization; the United Nations Environment Programme; the United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization and its Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission; the Food and Agriculture Organization; and the International Council of Scientific Unions. This Statement was adopted by the participants in the scientific and technical sessions from 29 October to 3 November 1990, on the basis of the presentations at the Conference, the deliberations of task groups of participants organized to address various specific issues, and plenary discussions involving all participants. The scientific and technical sessions involved 747 participants from 120 countries. 2. The Conference discussed the results of the first decade of work under the World Climate Programme (WCP), the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (August, 1990) and the development of the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP) and other relevant global programmes. In particular, the Conference considered the role, priorities, and programme structure for the future development of the World Climate Programme. - 2 - SUMMARY STATEMENT 1. Climate issues reach far beyond atmospheric and oceanic sciences, affecting every aspect of life on this planet. The issues are increasingly pivotal in determining future environmental and economic well-being. Variations of climate have profound effects on natural and managed systems, the economies of nations and the well-being of people everywhere. A clear scientific consensus has emerged on estimates of the range of global warming which can be expected during the 21st century (paragraph B). If the increase of greenhouse gas concentrations is not limited, the predicted climate change would place stresses on natural and social systems unprecedented in the past 10,000 years. 2. At the First World Climate Conference in 1979, nations were urged "to foresee and to prevent potential man-made changes in climate that might be adverse to the well-being of humanity". The Second World Climate Conference concludes that, notwithstanding scientific and economic uncertainties, nations should now take steps towards reducing sources and increasing sinks of greenhouse gases through national (and regional actions, and negotiation of a global convention on climate change and related legal instruments, The long-term goal should be to halt the build-up of greenhouse gases at a level that minimizes risks to society and natural ecosystems. The remaining uncertainties must not be the basis for deferring societal responses to these risks. Many of the actions that would reduce risk are also desirable on other grounds. 3. A major international observational and research effort will be essential to strengthen the knowledge-base on climate processes and human interactions, and to provide the basis for operational climate monitoring and prediction. - 3 - PART I. MAIN CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS A. Greenhouse Gases and Climate Change 1. Emissions resulting from human activities are substantially increasing atmospheric concentrations of the greenhouse gases. These increases will enhance the natural greenhouse effect, resulting on average in an additional warming of the Earth's surface. The Conference agreed that this and other scientific conclusions set out by the IPCC reflect the international consensus of scientific understanding of climate change. Without actions to reduce emissions, global warming is predicted to reach 2 to 5 degrees c over the next century, a rate of change unprecedented in the past 10,000 years. The warming is expected to be accompanied by a sea level rise of 65 cm + 35 cm by the end of the next century. There remain uncertainties in predictions, particularly in regard to the timing, magnitude and regional patterns of climate change. 2. Climate change and sea level rise would seriously threaten low-lying islands and coastal zones. Water resources, agriculture and agricultural trade, especially in arid and semi-arid regions, forests, and fisheries are especially vulnerable to climate change. Climate change may compound existing serious problems of the global mismatch between resources, population and consumption. In many cases the impacts will be felt most severely in regions already under stress, mainly in developing countries. 3. Global warming induced by increased greenhouse gas concentrations is delayed by the oceans; hence, much of the change is still to come. Inertia in the climate system due to the influence of the oceans, the biosphere and the long residence times of some greenhouse gases means that climate changes that occur may persist for centuries. 4. Natural sources and sinks of greenhouse gases are sensitive to a change in climate. Although many of the response or feedback processes are poorly understood, it appears likely that, as climate warms, these feedbacks will lead to an overall increase rather than a decrease in greenhouse gas concentrations. 5. The historical growth in emissions has been a direct consequence of the increase of human population, rising incomes, the related exploitation of fossil fuels by industrialized societies and the expansion of agriculture. Under "Business-as-Usual" assumptions*, it is projected that emissions will continue to grow in the future as a consequence of a projected doubling of energy consumption in the first half of the 21st century and an expected doubling of population by the latter half. As a result, the effect of human-induced greenhouse gas concentrations on the earth's radiation balance would by 2025 correspond to a doubling of carbon dioxide unless remedial actions are taken. * "Business-as-Usual" assumes that few or no steps are taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions. Energy use and clearing of tropical forests continue and fossil fuels, in particular coal, remain the world's primary energy source. The Montreal Protocol comes into effect but without strengthening and with less than 100 percent compliance. - 4 - 6. Over the last decade, emissions of carbon dioxide (002) contributed 55% of the increased radiative forcing produced by greenhouse gases from human activities. The CFCs contributed about 24% of the past decade's changes, and methane 15%, with the balance due to other greenhouse gases. With controls on CFCs under the Montreal Protocol, the relative importance of CO2 emissions will increase, provided the substitutes for CFCs have minimal greenhouse warming potential. Some 75% of total CO2 emissions have come from the industrialized countries. 7. The above emissions can be expected to change the planet's atmosphere and climate, and a clear scientific consensus has been reached on the range of changes to be expected. Although this range is large, it is prudent to exercise, as a precautionary measure, actions to manage the risk of undesirable climate change. For the four scenarios of future emissions which IPCC has developed as assumptions (ranging from one where few or no steps are taken to limit emissions, viz., Scenario A or Business-as-Usual Scenario, through others with increasing levels of controls, respectively called Scenarios B, c and D), there will be a doubling of equivalent carbon dioxide concentrations from pre-industrial levels by about the year 2025, 2040 and 2050 in Scenarios A, B, and C respectively. Stabilization of equivalent carbon dioxide concentrations at about twice the pre-industrial level would occur under Scenario D towards the end of the next century. In order to stabilize atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations by the middle of the 21st century at about 50% above pre-industrial concentrations, a continuous 7:60% world-wide reduction of net carbon dioxide emissions by about 1% per year starting now would be required. A 15-20% reduction in methane emissions would stabilize atmospheric concentrations of that gas. 8. Many studies conclude that technically feasible and cost-effective opportunities exist to reduce CO2 emissions in all countries. Such opportunities for emissions reductions are sufficient to allow many industrialized countries to stabilize CO2 emissions from the energy sector and subsequently to reduce these emissions by at least 20 percent by 2005. The measures include increasing the efficiency of energy use and employing alternative fuels and energy sources. As additional measures to achieve further cost-effective reductions are identified and implemented, even greater decreases in emissions should be achieved in the following decades. In addition, reversing the current net losses in forests would increase storage of carbon. The economic and social costs and benefits of such measures should be urgently examined by all nations. An internationally coordinated assessment should be undertaken through the IPCC. 9. Countries are urged to take immediate actions to control the risks of climate change with initial emphasis on actions that would be economically and socially beneficial for other reasons as well. Nations should launch negotiations on a convention on climate change and related legal instruments without delay and with the aim of signing such a convention in 1992. - 5 - B. Use of Climate Information in Assisting Sustainable Social and Economic Development Climate data, analyses, and eventually climate predictions, can contribute substantially to enhancing the efficiency and security of economic and developmental activities in environmentally sustainable ways. These benefits are particularly important in food and wood production, water management, transportation, energy planning and production (including assessment of potential resources of biomass, hydropower, solar and wind energy), urban planning and design, human health and safety, combatting of drought and land degradation, and tourism. This requires both data on the climate system, and its effective application. Data acquisition, collection, management and analysis must be more vigorously supported in all countries and special assistance provided to developing countries through international cooperation. Transfer of techniques for applying climate information should be accelerated through more widespread use of software (e.g. CLICOM) for readily available personal computers and other means. Further development of methods for predicting short-term variations in climate and the environmental and social impacts should be vigorously pursued. These advances would provide enormous economic and other welfare benefits in coping with droughts, prolonged rain, and periods of severe hot and cold weather. Such predictions will require major steps forward in ocean-atmosphere-biosphere observing systems. Much greater efforts are also needed to increase involvement in these fields by developing countries, especially through increased education and training. C. Priorities for Enhanced Research and Observational Systems 1. A consensus exists among scientists as summarized in the Report of Working Group I of the IPCC that climate change will occur due to increasing greenhouse gases. However, there is substantial scientific uncertainty in the details of projections of future climate change. Projections of future regional climate and climate impacts are much less certain than those on a global scale. These uncertainties can only be narrowed through research addressing the following priority areas: clouds and the hydrological cycle greenhouse gases and the global carbon and biogeochemical cycles oceans: physical, chemical and biological aspects; and exchanges with the atmosphere paleo-climatic studies polar ice sheets and sea ice terrestrial ecosystems. 2. These subjects are being addressed by national programmes, the World Climate Research Programme and the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme and other related international programmes. Increased national support and substantially increased funding of these programmes is required if progress on the necessary time scale is to be made in reducing the uncertainties. - 6 - 3. Present observational systems for monitoring the climate system are inadequate for operational and research purposes. They are deteriorating in both industrialized and developing regions. Of special concern is the inadequacy of observation systems in large parts of the southern hemisphere. 4. High priority must be placed on the provision and international exchange of high-quality, long-term data for climate-related studies. Data should be available at no more than the cost of reproduction and distribution. A full and open exchange of global and other data sets needed for climate-related studies is required. 5. There is an urgent need to create a Global Climate Observing System (GOOS) built upon the World Weather Watch Global Observing System and the Integrated Global Ocean Service System and including both space-based and surface-based observing components. GOOS should also include the data communications and other infrastructure necessary to support operational climate forecasting. 6. GOOS should be designed to meet the needs for: (a) climate system monitoring, climate change detection and response monitoring, especially in terrestrial ecosystems (b) data for application to national economic development, and (c) research towards improved understanding, modelling and prediction of the climate system. 7. Such a GOOS would be based upon: (1) an improved World Weather Watch Programme; (2) the establishment of a global ocean observing system (GOOS) of physical, chemical and biological measurements; (3) the maintenance and enhancement of monitoring programmes of other key components of the climate system, such as the distribution of important atmospheric constituents (including the Global Atmosphere Watch), changes in terrestrial ecosystems, clouds and the hydrological cycle, the earth's radiation budget, ice sheets, and precipitation over the oceans. 8. The further development and implementation of the GOOS concept should be pursued, with urgency, by scientists, governments and international organizations. - 7 - 9. The impacts of climate variability on human socio-economic systems have provided major constraints to development. Climate change may compound these constraints. In semi-arid regions of Africa, drought episodes have been directly responsible for major human disasters. Research undertaken during the first decade of the WCP and through other international and national programmes has improved drought early warning systems, including FAO's Global Early Warning System, and increased the reliability of climate impact analyses. But much more remains to be done. Intensified efforts are required to refine further our ability to predict short-term climate variability, anticipate climate impacts, and identify rational strategies to mitigate or prevent adverse effects. The threat of climate change brings new challenges to the future well-being of people. This requires greater efforts to understand impacts of climate change. Mitigation and adaptation strategies are also essential. Immediate steps to be taken include: (a) national and regional analyses of the impacts of climate variability and change on society, and study of the range of response and adaptation options available. (b) closer co-operation and communication among natural and social scientists, to ensure that climate considerations are accounted for in development planning. (c) significant increases in resources to carry out impact/adaptation studies. 10. Improvements in energy efficiency and non-fossil fuel energy technologies are of paramount importance, not only to reduce greenhouse gas emissions but to move to more sustainable development pathways. Such advances will require research and development, as well as technology transfer and co-development. 11. A specific initiative would create a network of regional, interdisciplinary research centres, located primarily in developing countries, and focussing on all of the natural science, engineering and social science disciplines required to support fully integrated studies of global change and its impacts and policy responses. The centres would conduct research and training on all aspects of global change and study the interaction of regional and global policies. D. Public Information People need better information on the crucial role climate plays in development and the additional risks posed by climate change. Governments, intergovernmental and non-governmental organizations should give more emphasis to providing accurate public information on climate issues. The public information and education and training component in the WCP and IGBP must also be expanded. - 8 - PART II Specific Issues: 1. Water 1.1 Among the most important impacts of climate change will be its effects on the hydrological cycle and water management systems, and through these, on socio-economic systems. Increases in incidence of extremes, such as floods and droughts, would cause increased frequency and severity of disasters. 1.2 The design of many costly structures to store and convey water, from large dams to small drainage facilities, is based on analyses of past records of climatic and hydrological parameters. Some of these structures are designed to last 50-100 years or even longer. Records of past climate and hydrological conditions may no longer be a reliable guide to the future. The design and management of both structural and non-structural water resource systems should allow for the possible effects of climate change. 1.3 Data systems and research must be strengthened to predict water resources impacts, detect hydrological changes, and improve hydrological parameterization in global climate models. 1.4 Existing and novel technologies, for more efficient use of water for irrigation, should be made available to developing countries in semi-arid zones. 2. Agriculture and Food 2.1 Important uncertainties remain regarding the prediction of the magnitude and nature of potential impacts of changing climate and higher CO2 levels on global food security. The potential impact on food production in developing countries, with more than half the world's population, could be more uncertain than recent reviews suggest. 2.2 High priority should therefore be given to research on the direct effects of rising CO2 concentrations on food and fibre crop productivity and equal priority should be given to research on agricultural emissions so as to determine agriculture's present and potential role as a source of and sink for greenhouse gases, and to clarify the costs and possible trade-offs arising from limitation measures. 2.3 New or strengthened institutional mechanisms are required to upgrade natural resource inventories, research strategies and extension services to raise agricultural productivity and minimize emissions. These mechanisms should include collaborative programmes between FAO and international and national agencies with stress on interdisciplinary activities on food security and related topics. - 9 - 3. Oceans, Fisheries, and Coastal Zones 3.1 The earth's climate including shorter-term variations is influenced by the coupled atmosphere - ocean system. Coastal zones and their associated high biological productivity, including fisheries, are especially affected. Thus, an improved data base of oceanic parameters is considered indispensable for operational climate forecasting. It is recommended that a global ocean observing and data management system be developed for improving predictions of climate change. Research on the oceans will provide quantification of important feedback loops in climate processes. Observation and research on the El Niño - Southern Oscillation phenomena, on upwelling areas and on biological productivity of the open sea are also important. 3.2 Coastal zones, which are the source of most of the global fish catch, are especially susceptible to effects of global warming and sea level rise. Predicting the impact of changes would be of enormous benefit to the increasing number of people living in coastal areas. Thus, it is also recommended that a programme of coastal zone research and monitoring be established to identify the effects of climate change on the coast and coastal ecosystems, and to assess the vulnerability of various natural and managed ecosystems such as coral reefs, mangroves and coastal aquaculture. 3.3 Action should be taken now to develop coastal zone adaptation strategies and policies. 4. Energy 4.1 In order to stabilize atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases while allowing for growth in emissions from developing countries, industrialized countries must implement reductions even greater than those required, on average, for the globe as a whole. However, even where very large technical and economic opportunities have been identified for reducing energy-related greenhouse gas emissions, and even where there are significant and multiple benefits associated with these measures, implementation is being slowed and sometimes prevented by a host of barriers. These barriers exist at all levels - at the level of consumers, energy equipment manufacturers and suppliers, industries, utilities, and governments. Overcoming the barriers obstructing least-cost approaches to meeting energy demands will require responses from all parts of society - individual consumers, industry, governments, and non-governmental organizations. 4.2 Developing countries also have an important role in limiting climate change. Maintaining development as a principal objective, energy and development paths can be chosen that have the additional benefit of minimizing radiative forcing. - 10 - 5. Land Use and Urban Planning Population growth, increasing urbanization, and competing demands for finite areas of arable land will produce increasingly severe problems of food supply, energy production, and water resources. Climate changes may exacerbate these problems in some regions. Prudent planning will require baseline analyses of land use, quality and quantity of water resources, and the assessment of vulnerability of urbanized societies to environmental change. In particular, improved adaptation of urban areas to local climatic regimes needs to be achieved by more appropriate layouts and building densities, and improved building construction through modifications to building and planning regulations. Because comurbations make a major contribution to energy-related greenhouse gas emissions, the design and efficiency of all aspects of urban systems should be enhanced. 6. Health and Human Dimensions 6.1 The direct impact of climate change on people, their. health and cultural heritage, could be severe. There is likely to be increased health inequity between peoples of developing and developed countries. Climatic change could result in increasing numbers of environmental refugees with associated increases of ill-health, disease and death among them. 6.2 Global warming is likely to shift the range of favourable conditions for certain pests and diseases, causing additional stresses on people, particularly those of the semi-arid tropics. It must be appreciated however that serious problems may arise in all parts of the world. 6.3 Research into how human behaviour contributes to and responds to climate change must have increased emphasis. Public awareness and education programmes are particularly essential in this regard. 7. Environment and Development 7.1 Climate change, superimposed on population pressures, excessive consumption, and other stresses on the environment imperils the sustainability of socio-economic development throughout the world. In addition, slowing climate change will give countries more time to enhance their prospects for sustainable development. The developed countries need to reduce emissions and assist the developing countries to adopt new, clean technologies. 7.2 Climate change has such important implications for the sustainability of development that policy responses, including measures to reduce greenhouse gases, measures to reduce deforestation, and the commitment of financial and other resources, are justified for that reason alone. Economic policies, such as subsidies and trade restraints, can distort markets so they harm the environment and contribute to global warming and sea level rise. There is an imperative need for development policies that not only reduce global warming trends but also increase economic and social resilience. - 11 - 8. Forests While increasing forest cover can contribute to the slowing of global climate change, this is not the major cure for the problem. Five priority actions are recommended: (1) Assessing national opportunities to increase forest carbon storage commensurate with national resource development policies, developing an approach by 1992 and completing assessment by 1995. (2) Managing the world's forests to optimize biomass and resultant carbon storage in addition to the maintenance of sustainable yields of forest products, biological diversity, water quality and the many other values that forests provide. (3) Accelerating research to assess the added contribution that forests can make to atmospheric CO2 reduction and the impacts of climate change on the world's forests. (4) Designing and implementing international monitoring systems to determine conditions and changes in forest ecosystems in response to anticipated climate changes. (5) Supporting the development of an international instrument on conservation and development of the world's forests linked with climate and biodiversity conventions. PART III Organizational and Policy Issues for International Activities 1. The future structure of the WCP 1.1 The WCP should be broadened and closely coordinated with related programmes of other agencies in response to increased emphasis on the prediction of climate and its impacts. 1.2 The World Climate Data Programme, renamed the World Climate System Monitoring Programme, should be redefined to take into account new objectives. 1.3 Greater emphasis in the strengthened WCP (WCP-2) should be given to adaptation, mitigation and education, with adaptation and mitigation activities closely linked to the Impact Studies Programme (WCIP). 1.4 The World Climate Applications Programme should be renamed the World Climate Applications and Services Programme (WCASP) to reflect the need for intensifying efforts to provide climatological services to a wide variety of users. There should be strong interaction between WCIP and WCASP. - 12 - 1.5 The organizational framework for international scientific research is in place, constituted by the WCRP, emphasizing the physical aspects, and the IGBP, covering bio-geochemical aspects. 1.6 Governments should establish national committees for the WCP to mobilize support for national activities and to coordinate efforts. The UN agencies and ICSU should work towards ensuring regular contact and exchange of information with national committees. 1.7 The mechanism established for overall coordination of the WCP, involving meetings of the chairs of steering bodies for the various components, should be actively supported by WMO, the other UN bodies concerned and ICSU. Annual meetings of Executive Heads should consider their recommendations. 1.8 Restructuring and strengthening of the WCP will also be necessary to support new activities, such as the development of the proposed GOOS. The Conference recommended that a proposal for the new structure of WCP be formulated by the organizations involved, taking into account the above comments, and presented to the Eleventh World Meteorological Congress, May 1991, and at appropriate meetings of other participating organizations. 2. Special needs of the developing countries 2.1 As stated in the IPCC report, industrialized and developing countries have a common but differentiated responsibility for dealing with the problems of climate change. The problem is largely the consequence of past patterns of economic growth in the industrial countries. However, in future the much needed economic growth in the developing countries could play an important role in determining the rate of climate change. 2.2 Developing countries are being asked to participate in the alleviation of the legacy of environmental damage from prior industrialization. If they are to avoid the potentially disastrous course followed by industrialized countries in the past, they need to adopt modern technologies early in the process of development, particularly in regard to energy efficiency. They also must be full partners in the global scientific and technical effort that will be required. It is clear that developing countries must not go through the evolutionary process of previous industrialization but rather, must "leapfrog" ahead directly from a status of under-development through to efficient, environmentally benign, technologies. 2.3 Although developing countries have collaborated in providing data, and participated to a degree in meetings and research, they have benefited to a lesser extent from the analyses developed from their contributions, and even less so from the applications derived therefrom. 2.4 Therefore, a massive and sustained flow of scientific and technological expertise towards the development of the intellectual resources, technical and institutional capacity of the developing countries is a necessary complement to the efforts of those countries. - 13 - 2.5 Developing countries should be assisted to build up their capabilities - to monitor, assess and apply climate information; - to prepare inventories of greenhouse gases emissions and future emissions projections; - to identify impacts of potential global warming; - to prepare cost estimates and priorities for response strategies to adapt and mitigate problems posed by climate change; - to participate in the World Climate Programme. The mechanisms of the transfer of technology and provision of technical assistance and co-operation to developing countries should take into account considerations such as the need for preferential and assured access, intellectual property rights, the environmental soundness of such technology and the financial implications. Taking note that industry plays a significant role in the development and transfer of science and technology, efforts by industry to promote further the development and transfer of environmentally sound technologies should be encouraged, and policies to encourage such efforts should be formulated. Additional financial resources will have to be channelled to developing countries for those activities which contribute both to limiting greenhouse gas emissions and/or adapting to any adverse effects of climate change, and promoting economic development. Areas for co-operation and assistance could include the efficient use of energy, land use planning, forest management, soil and water conservations, strengthening of observational systems and scientific and technological capabilities. 3. Co-operation in international research 3.1 The existing and planned research projects of the WCRP and the IGBP address the highest priority scientific issues related to the understanding and prediction of climate variability and change. 3.2 These programmes should be implemented completely and rigorously. It is particularly important that adequate funding, including long-term funding commitments, be provided. 3.3 In view of the progress made in climate research, it is now timely to proceed to the detailed design of an operational global climate observing system (Section c, paras. 5 - 8), together with the data communications and other infrastructure needed to support operational climate forecasting. Governments should enter into early discussions aimed at international cooperation in operational climate forecasting. (STATEMEN/V.6) - 14 - 4. Co-ordinated International Activities and Policy Development 4.1 The Conference endorsed the three streams of international activity: a. Global measurement and research efforts through the WCP, IGBP, and other related international programmes. b. Assessment functions of a continuing IPOC to support negotiation of and provide technical input to a Convention. C. Development of a Convention on Climate Change. It is essential that all parties to a Convention and related legal instruments should, as part of their obligations, be required to participate fully in the free exchange and flow of information necessary for technical input to the convention. Such a convention should include a technical annex to provide for: - International co-operation in research, systematic observation and exchange of related information; - Adjustments based on up-dates of scientific knowledge; - Strengthening national scientific and environmental capabilities of developing countries. 4.2 The development of policy regarding climate change requires on the part of policy makers an understanding of the underlying science and a weighing of the scientific uncertainties associated with the prediction of climate change and its likely impacts. An important aspect of future work is therefore a continued dialogue between scientists and policy makers. 4.3 The UN Conference on Environment and Development (Brazil 1992) provides a valuable opportunity to relate the above three themes to the other environment/development issues and objectives being examined by the Conference. It is therefore essential that the three streams should interact effectively with UNCED. 4.4 It is proposed that the sponsoring agencies for the SWCC consider the possibility of holding a Third World Climate Conference at an appropriate time about the year 2000. (STATEMEN/V.6) OCTOBER 27 1990 The Economist Warm world, cool heads T AKE a typical politician: a man in his 50s, dictable ones come mainly from sea-level well aware that his political future is rises, and from agricultural changes. World sounder if his country and people get richer. food production can probably be maintained Invite him to sign an international treaty to at present levels, and might even rise as wheat ward off a change in the world's climate that and rice flourished on extra carbon dioxide. may be doing damage in the middle of the The best (though magnificently simplified) next century. Tell him that this will commit cost-benefit analysis, by Professor William him, now, to raise the price of energy-the Nordhaus, concludes that humanity's "best basis of so much voter-comfort. Wait for the buy" would be to phase out chlorofluorocar- expletives. bons (CFCs, responsible for about a fifth of Just such an apparently doomed project is global warming, as well as gobbling up ozone) about to start in Geneva. The Second World and to cut carbon-dioxide output fractionally. Climate Conference will launch negotiations on a conven- That is small beer beside Toronto's tall order. tion on global warming, to be readied for signing at a great Several unquantifiables could raise the costs of warming environmental jamboree in Brazil in mid-1992. If such a con- beyond Mr Nordhaus's hard-nosed calculations, and govern- vention is to mean anything, the talks to devise it will make ments might sensibly buy insurance against them, by moving even the struggling Uruguay round of the GATT look like somewhat beyond his prescription. Besides, many people child's play. would mourn the loss of coral reefs and forests that fail to The starting point will be a report on man-made climatic adapt as temperatures rise, and would be willing to pay to save change, compiled by an authoritative group of scientists. On them. Less guzzling of energy would have green side-effects present trends, they predict, gases released by mankind will beyond cooling the warming: a check to acid rain, oil spills, warm the earth by between 0.2°C and 0.5°C in each decade of traffic jams and city smog. And just as the benefits of action the next century. This rise, faster than any seen in the past can be larger than expected, so, too, its costs can be smaller. 10,000 years, will raise the earth's mean temperature by about By using the best technology, much energy-saving invest- 1°C by 2025 and 3°C by the end of the next century, making ment-enough, some reckon, almost to halve energy con- the globe warmer than it has been for 100,000 years. The level sumption in industrial countries-could yield a profit to the of the warmed seas will rise. More rain will fall in some places, investor in its own right, even at pre-Saddam energy prices. less in others. Some deserts will grow, some tundra become Timing alters the calculations profoundly. The sooner fertile, some prairies and forests will die. Nobody can say governments start to reduce the growth of greenhouse gases, which, where. The changes cannot yet be seen but the scien- the smaller the cut eventually needed. But, having once be- tists believe they are already, irreversibly, under way. gun, the level at which output of the gases is stabilised will be What Mrs Margaret Thatcher has called a "massive ex- more important than the date by which it is achieved. By the periment with the system of this planet" cannot be stopped. It middle of the next century, it will matter much more whether can be slowed, though, and ridden out. If the output of warm- emissions were held at 1990 levels, or those of 2010, than ing gases were held at, or reduced below, current levels, the whether the trick was done by 2000 or 2020. And the more climatic change would be less traumatic. At a conference in time countries give themselves to adapt, the cheaper adapting Toronto in 1988 a motley mixture of politicians, academics will be. The British Treasury reckons that the costs of Brit- and green lobbyists picked a 20% cut, by 2005, in the rate at ain's intention to hold gas emissions down to 1990 levels will which these gases were being pumped out in 1988. This, they exceed benefits if those limits have to be met from 2000 on, thought, would reduce warming to an "ecologically manage- but not if from 2005 on. able" 0.1°C a decade-a rate that species could cope with. Any convention must contain some sort of target; other- Send the bill to mother nature wise countries and companies will not take it seriously. Choosing an overall target will be hard; subdividing it coun- Ecologically manageable, yes; economically manageable, no. try by country, harder still. An apt formula would share out No country seriously contemplates Toronto levels of self-re- greenhouse-gas production on the basis of wealth and popula- straint. The convention will settle not for an informed guess tion, leaving some room for adjustments in future. But each of what nature might bear, but for what mankind thinks it country will make special pleas. Japan will moan that it is al- worth paying to protect her. The quantifiable direct costs of ready frugal; Canada about its cold; India that development warming by around 2050 may actually be modest. The pre- will be impossible; Eastern Europe that it is under new man- THE ECONOMIST OCTOBER 27 1990 13 LEADERS agement. It would be best for rich nations to agree targets Deciding how many permits to give each country would quickly, leaving poorer countries, which as yet emit fewer raise all the arguments of sharing-out. But once issued, their greenhouse gases, to shape up more gradually. extra flexibility would save several billions of dollars of world The convention's biggest headache will be free riders— economic output for the same green impact. Why not test this countries that refuse to sign but benefit from the restraint of idea on a smaller scale to see if it works? On October 29th the others. Threats of trade sanctions against non-compliers environment ministers of the EC will try to set carbon-dioxide would be hard to make stick, and would backfire against the targets for the whole Community. Tradable permits would be threateners if they stuck. Bribery is a better bet: its cost is a better bet than the tax on carbon dioxide that the EC Com- clear, it cannot leak like a sanction, and it has been tried be- mission yearns to impose. They would leave each country free fore. Several large third-world countries agreed to the Mon- to decide the best way to meet its target; and they would spur treal protocol to reduce CFCs only after developed countries the most energy-efficient companies to bring frugal technol- had promised to help pay for the needed technology. ogy to energy-lax countries. Trade in permits could help keep the cost of bribes down. The quest of climate negotiators will be for altruism. They If countries were issued with permits that allowed them a cer- want today's voters to make changes that will benefit their tain level of carbon-dioxide output, they or their industries children and grandchildren. They will have most chance it could trade them. Rich countries that found it costly to curb they urge commitments that make good sense on their own their gas-puffing could pay poorer countries to do part of the energy efficiency, a ban on CFCs, curbs on deforestation. I job for them. Thus Britain, rather than shutting down coal- countries bind themselves to do what is in their own interest fired power stations in their prime, might pay for energy-sav- they are more likely to turn their promises into policies ing investment in Poland. Japan, rather than increase petrol These might not remotely amount to what is needed to stop taxes, might pay Brazil to plant trees and thus mop up carbon the climate changing. But better a pragmatism that makes : dioxide emitted elsewhere. start than visionary declarations that achieve nothing. George Herbert Walker Coolidge President Bush's domestic inattention has left him suddenly vulnerable G EORGE BUSH is losing a blame game. America's budget bloated that only austerity could see it off. fiasco has had little to do with pulling the country's fi- So he abandoned his no-new-taxes pledge. He had to nances back on to the straight-and-narrow; much to do with But, having done so, he should then have fought for the ta making political opponents look bad. In the space of two changes he thought were necessary. Instead, the only ta weeks the Democrats in Congress have managed to turn an change he insisted on was a cut in the rate of capital-gair argument about overspending into one about making mil- tax-a cut that has the odd effect of temporarily (but on lionaires pay their fair share. Just before congressional elec- temporarily) trimming the deficit and the perverse one ( tions, that is not a comfortable position for any Republican to benefiting the rich. That left the field wide open for the Den defend. The opinion polls suggest Republican candidates may ocrats to suggest more equitable tax changes and to paint M now be in trouble. If so, they will blame their president. They Bush as a defender of the wealthy, which they have done wit will say he threw away their best electoral weapon-the anti- relish. The new House budget slapped a 10% surcharge o tax pledge-and replaced it with nothing. income tax for those earning more than $1m a year. The Sei In his first two years Mr Bush has been on average the ate cut by 5% the deductions those earning more tha most popular president since John Kennedy. In the past $100,000 could take. Such measures would do even less t month, though, things have soured for him-and quickly. reduce the 1991 deficit than Mr Bush's capital-gains tax cu Now only about half of Americans approve of him. For those But they sound better on the campaign trail. who have maintained all along that Mr Bush has not the mak- ings of a great man, this is I-told-you-so time. Mr Bush, half The turn of the rich way through his first term and on the brink of elections, war As long ago as May this year the proportion of people wh and recession, has to move briskly to prove them wrong. identified the Republican party with the interests of the ric Mr Bush rode high in the polls partly because he did the had risen to 51%, from 18% three years before. Mr Bush right things, especially in foreign policy. But another, mis- rapidly confirming their instincts. His party has appeared guided, reason was that he avoided doing anything that might become the defender not so much of free enterprise as of b make him unpopular. This included virtually anything to do business, and the greed that now seems to have characteris with policies at home. In 1989 he had a chance to get the the 1980s: the Milkens, Silverados and HUDs. budget deficit under control without too much pain. But no: The Grand Old Party has always been torn between - he invented a "rosy scenario", predicting that the deficit Main Street roots and its Wall Street friends. For a while would shrink in a blaze of low interest rates and buoyant reve- the 1980s they seemed to have identical interests: deregu nues. In 1990 the deficit came back to haunt him, this time so tion, tax breaks, free trade and peace. But increasingly the 14 THE ECONOMIST OCTOBER 27 19 Remarks of SENATOR AL GORE on Administration Preparations for the Second World Climate Conference October 27, 1990 Mr. President, shortly after the Congress adjourns, the Second World Climate Conference will be held in Geneva under the auspices of the United Nations Environment Programme and the World Meterological Organization. Participating nations from around the world will be represented by their relevant ministers, and 10 heads of state will make an appearance. Meanwhile, the U.S. is sending a much lower-level official, an undersecretary of Commerce, Dr. John Knauss, Administrator of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration. This week, on October 23, Dr. Alan Bromley, the President's Science Advisor, asserted in a speech at the National Press Club that actions such as the CFC phaseout, Clean Air Act, the Department of Energy's National Energy Strategy, and President Bush's tree-planting program, will collectively: "hold U.S. greenhouse gas emissions at 1987 levels until at least the year 2000. No other nation can make this claim. This will provide a 10-year window of opportunity to gather data, improve understanding, and determine what future actions are necessary." I ask my colleagues to carefully note these words, because Dr. Bromley has given us an important clue into Admininistration policy over the longer haul. He seems to be laying out a U.S. position that essentially claims to have already sufficiently reduced greenhouse gas emissions until the end of the century, and that all we need to do between now and 2000 is global change research. If the U.S. takes this position into international negotiations, and refuses to address the all-important carbon dioxide emissions, the results could be devastating. Without U.S. leadership, global greenhouse gas emissions will grow tremendously throughout the 1990s, and into the 21st century. Third World nations, where over 90% of population growth will occur, and where economic growth must proceed, will easily overtake today's industrialized nations as the producers of the lion's share of greenhouse gases in the next century. Dr. Bromley's claim for greenhouse gas emissions reductions was based on a September 1990 report by the Environmental Protection Agency, which stated: "Given current U.S. environmental commitments, total greenhouse gas emissions (including CFCs) will be held to 1987 levels in the year 2000. If CFCs are not included in the total greenhouse gas budget, total emissions in the year 2000 will exceed 1987 levels by approximately 115 million metric tonnes of carbon equivalent." Note here that this report explicitly states that carbon emissions will increase, by 115 million metric tonnes of carbon equivalent over 1987 levels. Indeed, the report states that carbon dioxide emissions in the year 2000 will actually increase 15% over 1987 levels. Now, consider Dr. Bromley's statements in a hearing before the Commerce Committee's National Ocean Policy Study, on November 14, 1989, concerning the Bush Administration's position going into a ministerial meeting on climate change, in Noordweijk, The Netherlands: "What we were saying, and what we said repeatedly, was that we were committed in the period between now and November of 1990 to doing what was required so that we could come up at that time, at the Second World Climate Conference, with the kind of information that I hope that would make it possible for us to come forward and say that we could reduce C02 emissions." Note here that Dr. Bromley stated that he hoped, one year ago, that the U.S. would come forward with a plan for reducing C02 emissions in time for the Second World Climate Conference in November 1990. The reality of today is that while the Administration has consistently argued against action to control carbon dioxide emissions because it would be a "unilateral" action, over one dozen other industrialized nations have committed to carbon dioxide emission stabilization or reduction, including Austria, Denmark, the Netherlands, New Zealand, (West) Germany, Belgium, Canada, Italy, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and Japan. But, rather than join with other nations in addressing this most serious global challenge, the Bush Administration seems clearly to be reneging on Dr. Bromely's statements to a Senate Committee one year ago, and instead is laying the foundation for not commiting to carbon dioxide reductions, neither now, nor in the next 10 years. In so doing, the Administration threatens the very security of our planet in the 21st Century. ***** Daily Beacon P4 10-25-90 Gore has environmental concerns Senator Albert Gore Jr., D-Tenn., is trying to prevent the results of any qi Scul-B long range surface to not a hot-beaded or publicity-driven scientific discourse from taking place CODY surface missiles. politician who'll do anything to grab during the first days of the meeting SHEARER The House Government Operations headlines. "Mr. Smooth," as be is and from being part of any Subcommittee on Commerce and known to his colleagues, delivers his ministerial meetings that follow. Monetary Affairs is planning to sub cautious thoughts in carefully While the Bush Administration measurements of laud and sea sur- poena the U.S. government to provide measured sentences. believes this conference is not the face temperatures also show the sensitive documents detailing U.S. So when an irate Sen Gore told a proper forum to discuss specific 1980s to be the warmest decade ever sales to Iraq over the past decade in Senate Commerce, Science and policy options, since another climate recorded by scientists. volving goods and technology with Transportation Committee hearing change treaty conference is to take Unless something is done soon to potential military use. the other day that the Bush Ad- place in February, one can't avoid reverse the global warming trend, at Investigators are new saying that ministration was attempting to the obvious shortcomings of U.S. least 500 million people around the two CIA operatives from Beirut died "sabotage" all international meeting behavior in this area. Neither the world will face the growing risk of on Pan Am flight 103 over Lockerbie, on global change issues in Geneva United States nor any other country devastating floods. Rising oceans, Scotland, in December of 1988. later this month, many people took in the Western Hemisphere has sinking land levels and ill-considered Domestic manufacturers must note. drawn up a strategy for addressing flood control schemes will be rethink the ways in which they do It is Gore's contention that the U.S. climate change. responsible. business if they are going to survive delegation to the Second World Without U.S. involvement, it is By the year 2030, for example, Jun in the turbulent 1990s, according to Climate Conference (Oct. 29-Nov. 7) almost impossible for the interna- Titus of the Environmental Protec- David E. Cole, director of the Office has been trying to derail specific ac- tional community to stabilize global tion Agency estimates that the for the Study of Automotive tions that might reduce greenhouse greenhouse emissions. So, as much as coastline along the Gulf of Mexico Transportation. gas emissions. He said, as a case in the world may think we're moving too could have reached the southern Infant mortality continues to climb point, the U.S. delegation had submit- slowly, they have few options. suburbo of New Orleans. in this country. Whereas 12 babies per ted 30 pages of amendments, in- Though bargaining acceptable car- Without new environmental thousand died in 1963, that figure in- cluding a proposal to delete a state- bon dioxide emissions won't ever be policies, the reality of life- creased to 15 per thousand in 1986, to ment that "the ultimate global objec- easy, the inevitable political com- threatening floods will make our 17.4 per thousand in 1988 and 18 per Live should be to stabilize and reduce promises will be worth it. A logical children ask why dad's generation thousand last year. Back in 1981. only greenbouse bas concentrations." first step involves recording accurate was too busy making money to one mother in ten gave birth without "It is a thinly disguised attempt to scientific updates 00 the greenhouse understand the inherent risks of any previous pre-natal care. Today, sabotage the meeting by insisting on effect workhwide so that revised global warming. one in three deliver children without changes to every part of the docu- targets and timetables to any treaty The Pentagon has been begging the such knowledge. ment that points to change," Gore agreement might be implemented. Soviet Union for more military in- complained. For those who think global warm- telligence on Iraq. So far the Soviets Cody Shearer is a syndicated colum- The Tennessee Democrat also ing is no big deal, 1990 appears to be have provided little data on such nist who writes about politics and charged that the U.S. delegation was the hottest year on record. Further items as the guidance systems of Ira- culture. WHATSNEW weekly The American Physical Society OFFICE OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS - TINA M. KAARSBERG, Ph.D. - Liaison 2000 FLORIDA AVENUE, N.W. (202) 232-0189 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20009 FAX (202)328-3729 OUTGOING UNCLASSIFIED TELEGRAM Department of State STATE 305256 6656 PAGE B; OF B3 STATE 305856 6656 ON THESE MATTERS. (WE NOTE THAT IN SOME COUNTRIES THERE ORIGIN DES-09 HAVE BEEN DIFFERENCES OF OPINION AMONG MINISTRIES, SO IT INFO LOC-89 ADS-08 AID-88 INR-05 EUR-00 SS-00 01C-B2 WILL BE IMPORTANT TO ASCERTAIN WHO SPEAKS WITH AUTHORITY AF-00 CIAE-88 EB-00 DINT-05 DODE-98 N-01 HUD-82 ON THE SUBJECT OF NEGOTIATIONS, AS OPPOSED TO THE 10-19 NEA-98 NSCE-B0 MS -02 ARA-28 NSAE-00 COME-00 NON-BINDING IPCC PROCESS.) NASA-02 L-83 TRSE-00 PM-88 EAP-09 EPA-04 CEA-01 DOTE-98 FEMA-02 OMB-01 STR-18 HHS-BE INRE-89 AGRE-90 3. DEMARCHE PHOTOCOPY ACDA-13 USIE-08 JUSE-00 SP-00 DOEE-08 CEQ-81 PRS-91 E-81 P-02 T-81 /111 R PRESERVATION GENERAL POINT: DRAFTED BY: OES/EGC:SSKINNEY:GCS APPROVED BY: DES:EUGBOHLEN DES/EGC:DAREIFSNYDER OES/E:RAREINSTEIN --THE US APPRECIATES YOUR COUNTRY'S PARTICIPATION IN THE L/DES:BINIAZS/P:DAWSON(SUBS EPA:RMORGANSTERN (SUBS) IPCC AND HOPES THAT THIS PARTICIPATION WILL ALSO EXTEND TO DOE:TWILLIAMS (SUBS) DOC: JRSPRADLEY (SUBS) PREPARATIONS FOR NEGOTIATIONS ON A FRAMEWORK CLIMATE DOJ:JWIENER 10/TJBECKER (SUBS) OSTP:NMAYNARD (INFO) CONVENTION. 383375 1190197 /63 0 1023182 SEP 90 --WE BELIEVE THE PARTICIPATION OF ALL COUNTRIES WILL BE FM SECSTATE WASHDC ESSENTIAL IF A MEANINGFUL CONVENTION IS TO BE DEVELOPED. TO AMEMBASSY MEXICO IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY BEIJING IMMEDIATE --WE LOOK FORWARD TO THE UPCOMING MEETING ON SEPTEMBER 24 AMEMBASSY LAGOS IMMEDIATE IN GENEVA CALLED BY WMO AND UNEP TO DISCUSS ORGANIZATIONAL AMEMBASSY DAKAR IMMEDIATE ISSUES RELATED TO THE NEGOTIATION OF A FRAMEWORK CLIMATE AMEMBASSY SEOUL IMMEDIATE CONVENTION. AMEMBASSY CAIRO IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY JAKARTA IMMEDIATE --WE BELIEVE THAT WE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO NEGOTIATE THIS AMEMBASSY CARACAS IMMEDIATES FRAMEWORK CONVENTION IN THE SAME INFORMAL WAY AS WE DID AMEMBASSY WARSAW IMMEDIATE THE VIENNA CONVENTION. DUE TO THE BROADER SCOPE AND AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA IMMEDIATE COMPLEXITY OF THE ISSUES, AS WELL AS THE MORE ACTIVE AMEMBASSY ALGIERS IMMEDIATE PARTICIPATION OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, A MORE FORMAL AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE PROCESS WILL BE REQUIRED: AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY RIYADH IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES IMMEDIATE SEPTEMBER ORGANIZATIONAL MEETING AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY KUALA LUMPUR IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU IMMEDIATE --WE ARE INTERESTED TO KNOW WHETHER YOUR COUNTRY WILL AMEMBASSY SANTO DOMINGO IMMEDIATE ATTEND THE SEPTEMBER 24 MEETING IN GENELA REGIN AMEMBASSY BELGRADE IMMEDIATE PREPARING FOR NEGOTIATIONS ON A FRAMEWORK CLIMATE AMEMBASSY BANGKOK IMMEDIATE CONVENTION. WHO WILL REPRESENT YOUR COUNTRY AT THE AMEMBASSY PORT OF SPAIN IMMEDIATE SEPTEMBER MEETING?. INFO USMISSION GENEVA IMMEDIATE USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE FYI: WE ANTICIPATE THAT OES DAS FOR ENVIRONMENT: HEALTH AMEMBASSY NAIROBI IMMEDIATE AND NATURAL RESOURCES ROBERT A. REINSTEIN, DES/EGC DIRECTOR DANIEL A. REIFSHYDER, AND L/OES LEGAL ADVISOR SUE UNCLAS STATE 385056 BINIAZ WILL REPRESENT THE UNITED STATES. END FYI. FOR ECON/SI COUNS. BRUSSELS PLS PASS USEC -THE US STRONGLY SUPPORTS THE CONCEPT THAT THE CHAIRMAN, VICE-CHAIRS, AND OTHER OFFICERS FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS BE E.O. 12356: N/A SELECTED BY THE NEGOTIATING PARTIES THEMSELVES AT THEIR TAGS: SENV,KSCA FIRST MEETING IN FEBRUARY 1991. WHAT is YOUR GOVERNMENT'S SUBJECT: CLIMATE CHANGE: DEMARCHE: PREPARING FOR THINKING ON THIS ISSUE? NEGOTIATIONS --DOES YOUR GOVERNMENT FAVOR A PARTICULAR CANDIDATE TO REF: A. STATE 299268 B. STATE 298375 CHAIR THE MEETING? 1. AS PREPARATION FOR THE SEPTEMBER 24-26 ORGANIZATIONAL --IF IT IS THE CONSENSUS OF PARTICIPANTS iN THE SEPTEMBER MEETING IN GENEVA TO PREPARE FOR NEGOTIATIONS ON MEETING, THE UNITED STATES IS PREPARED TO ACCEPT FRAMEWORK CLIMATE CONVENTION, POSTS ARE REQUESTED TO AMBASSADOR TOPKOV FOR THIS MEETING ONLY, PROVIDING THIS MAKE THE FOLLOWING DEMARCHE AND REPORT ON HOST COUNTRY DESIGNATION IS WITHOUT PREJUDICE TO THE SELECTION OF REACTIONS AND VIEWS BY NO LATER THAN SEPTEMBER 28. REFS OFFICERS FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS THEMSELVES. A AND B PROVIDE IMPORTANT BACKGROUND INFORMATION FOR YOUR USE. IN ADDITION, GOVERNMENTS SHOULD HAVE --WHILE THE U.S. HAS NOT ENDORSED ANY CANDIDATE, THERE ARE RECEIVED FROM WMD/UNEP AN AUGUST 24 "NOTE" ON THE OTHER CANDIDATES) SUCH AS MR. RIPERT OF FRANCE AND OTHERS, SEPTEMBER MEETING THAT ALSO CONTAINS PROPOSALS FOR WHO HAVE BEEN PROFOSED TO HEAD UP THE NEGOTIATIONS AND WHO ORGANIZING THE NEGOTIATIONS. SHOULD BE GIVEN FULL CONSIDERATION BY THE NEGOTIATING PARTIES. 2. POSTS SHOULD IDENTIFY THE MOST AUTHORITATIVE HOST COUNTRY OFFICIAL WITH WHOM TO REVIEW THE ISSUES BELOW SC --WE REMAIN CONCERNED THAT THE AGENDA FOR THE SEPTEMBER THAT VIEWS REFLECTED REPRESENT FULL GOVERNMENT THINKING MEETING SUGGESTS THE FOCUS OF DISCUSSION MAY BE MORE UNCLASSIFIED OUTGOING PHOTOCOPY UNCLASSIFIED TELEGRAM PRESERVATION Department of State 6656 STATE 305856 6656 PAGE 02 OF 03 STATE 385056 SUESTANTIVE THAN ORGANIZATIONAL, CONTRARY TO -THE USG BELIEVES THAT THE FUNCTION OF THE NEGOTIATIONS UNDERSTANDINGS REACHED AT THE WMO/EC AND THE UNEP/GC AND SECRETARIAT WILL BE TO FACILITATE TIMELY COMMUNICATION AND 10 PERSONAL ASSURANCES FROM DR. TOLBA. IN THIS REGARD, WE PREPARATION FOR MEETINGS AND TO PREPARE DOCUMENTS 00 NOT BELIEVE IT WOULD BE APPROPRIATE TO DISCUSS THE DEVELOPED BY THE NEGOTIATING PARTIES THEMSELVES. THE QUESTIONS ON "GENERAL PRINCIPLES FOR CONSIDERATION UNDER SECRETARIAT SHOULD NOT BE INVOLVED IN DRAFTING DOCUMENTS THE FRAMEWORK CONVENTION", WHICH WERE ATTACHED TO THE ON ITS OWN AS HAS BEEN SUGGESTED. PROPOSED AGENDA PROVIDED IN WMD/UNEP'S NOTE OF AUGUST 24. BELIEVE THAT SUCCESSFUL NEGOTIATIONS DEPEND ON OUR DOCUMENTATION ABILITY 10 FORGE A STRONG CONSENSUS ABOUT HOW THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS WILL BE STRUCTURED AND WHAT RULES OF PROCEDURE WILL BE ADOPTED TO GOVERN IT. --AS WE START THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS, WE BELIEVE THAT INITIAL DOCUMENTATION FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS SHOULD BE THE --WE WE SHARE THE CONCERNS OF THOSE WHO HAVE NOTED THE NEED IPCC LEGAL MEASURES PAPER, AS CALLED FOR BY UN RESOLUTION FOR LESS FREQUENT MEETINGS AND MORE REGULAR RULES OF 43/53, AND ANY OTHER APPROPRIATE MINISTERIAL DOCUMENTS PROCEDURE WITHIN THE IPCC PROCESS. FOR THIS REASON WE THAT HAVE THE FULL AUTHORITY OF GOVERNMENTS BEHIND THEM. BELIEVE THAT THE SEPTEMBER ORGANIZATIONAL MEETING SHOULD FOCUS ON SUCH IMPORTANT ISSUES FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS AS IN GENERAL, WE SHOULD RELY ON THE PAST AND FUTURE WORK ESTABLISHING CLEAR RULES OF PROCEDURE 10 ASSURE TIMELY OF THE IPCC IN ASSISTING THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS. NOTIFICATION OF MEETINGS, TIMELY DELIVERY OF DOCUMENTS, SELECTION OF PRESIDING OFFICERS, ETC. WE SHALL ALSO NEED TO DEMONSTRATE THAT THE NEGOTIATIONS SECRETARIAT WILL BE STRUCTURE OF NEGOTIATIONS ABLE TO COMPLY WITH THESE RULES AND STANDARDS. IN ADDITION, WE WILL NEED TO CONSIDER SCHEDULING AND LOCATION THE PROPOSAL (MADE IN THE AUGUST 24 UNEP/WMO "NOTE") FOR OF MEETINGS. STANDING SUBGROUPS HEADED UP BY VICE CHAIRS OF THE -THE IMPORTANCE or REGULARIZING PROCEDURE AND IMPROVING NEGOTIATIONS PREJUDICES THE OUTCOME OF THE NEGOTIATING COMMUNICATION WITHIN THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS IS ONE OF THE PROCESS, AND IS THEREFORE UNACCEPTABLE AS PROPOSED. WE REASONS THAT WE HAVE SUPPORTED THE IDEA OF BUILDING ON THE NOTE, IN PARTICULAR. THAT A NUMBER OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES SECRETARIAT OPERATION, WHICH WILL HAVE TO GO THROUGH A NEW HAVE RECENTLY EXPRESSED THEIR OPPOSITION TO CONSIDERING FORESTRY ISSUES IN THIS CONTEXT AT THIS TIME. WE SHARE LEARNING CURVE. THIS VIEW. --WE ASSUME THERE WILL EVENTUALLY BE A NEED FOR A STANDING NEGOTIATIONS SECRETARIAT GROUP FOR LEGAL DRAFTING NEEDS, BUT WE BELIEVE THAT THE NEGOTIATORS SHOULD ESTABLISH AD HOC GROUPS ON OTHER WE CONSIDER THAT A SEPARATE NEGOTIATING PROCESS UNDER MATTERS OR RELY ON THE IPCC AS THEY SEE FIT DURING THE WMO/UNEP AUSPICES IS NECESSARY FOR THE FRAMEWORK COURSE OF THE NEGOTIATIONS. CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE. THE ROLE OF THE IPCC SHOULD BE TO PROVIDE TECHNICAL SUPPORT TO THE NEGOTIATORS. -BECAUSE THE ISSUE OF SUBGROUPS AND THEIR TERMS OF REFERENCE IS QUITE SUBSTANTIVE, WE DO NOT BELIEVE THIS IS HOWEVER, FOR REASONS OF ECONOMY AND EFFICIENCY, WE AN APPROPRIATE MATTER FOR DISCUSSION AT THE SEPTEMBER CONTINUE TO SUPPORT USING A SINGLE EXPANDED SECRETARIAT TO MEETING. STAFF BOTH THE NEGOTIATIONS AND THE CONTINUING WORK OF THE IPCC. DATE AND DURATION OF SESSIONS IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO BUILD ON AND EXPAND THE IPCC SECRETARIAT FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS, THEN WE BELIEVE IT IS ESSENTIAL THAT THE NEW NEGOTIATIONS SECRETARIAT BE STAFFED -WE BELIEVE THAT, GIVEN THE SENIOR LEVEL REPRESENTATION AND ORGANIZED IN SUCH A WAY AS TO ENSURE CLOSE EXPECTED AT THE INITIAL SESSION AND THE NEED TO TASK COORDINATION WITH THE IPCC SECRETARIAT. FOR THIS REASON PARTICIPANTS WITH FUTURE WORK. A FOUR OR FIVE DAY SESSION WE BELIEVE THE NEGOTIATIONS SECRETARIAT SHOULD 8E LOCATED WOULD BE SUPPICIENT. DUE TO OTHER INTERNATIONAL MEETINGS X GENEVA, PREFERABLY AT WMO. (WE WOULD NOT LIKE 10 SEE A SCHEDULED IN LATE JANUARY, WE BELIEVE THE WEEK OF FEBRUARY REPETITION OF WHAT WE HAVE OBSERVED IN THE SWCC PROCESS. & WOULD BE THE EARLIEST WE SHOULD COMMENCE NEGOTIATIONS. DESPITE ITS PHYSICAL PROXIMITY, THE SWCC SECRETARIAT HAS COORDINATED ONLY IN A CURSORY FASHION WITH THE 1PCC THINK THAT THE NUMBER AND LOCATION OF SUBSEQUENT MEETINGS SHOULD BE DISCUSSED AT THE SEPTEMBER MEETING AND SECRETARIAT.) THAT OPTIONS SHOULD BE PLACED BEFORE NEGOTIATORS AT THE -SOMF PROPOSALS FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS SECRETARIAT STRIKE FIRST NEGOTIATING SESSION IN FEBRUARY. WE BELIEVE IT 1S US AS UNREALISTIC. THEY SEEM TO SUGGEST THAT THE J08 OF DIFFICULT TO STIPULATE AT THIS TIME HOW MANY TWO-WEEK FACILITATING TIMELY COMMUNICATION CAN BE DONE WITH FEWER NEGOTIATING SESSIONS WILL BE REQUIRED TO REACH ACCORD ON PEOPLE THAN WE HAVE HAD TO STAFF THE IPCC. AT THE SAME THE FRAMEWORK CONVENTION. HOWEVER, WE BELIEVE IT IS VERY TIME, THEY SEEM TO SUGGEST THAT THESE PEOPLE WOULD ALSO IMPORTANT THAT THESE SESSIONS BE TIMED IN SUCH A WAY AS TO INVOLVE THEMSELVES IN THE SUBSTANCE OF THE NEGOTIATIONS BY ENSURE ADEQUATE NOTICATION AND TRANSMITTAL OF DRAFTING DOCUMENTS. WE 00 NOT BELIEVE SUCH AN ARRANGEMENT DOCUMENTATION. WE SHOULD SEEK TO MINIMIZE THE NUMBER OF MEETINGS REQUIRED. WOULD BE WORKABLE. FYI ONLY: SEE REFS A AND B FOR BACKGROUND ON THIS POINT THE US WOULD FAVOR HOLDING AS MANY NEGOTIATING SESSIONS AS POSSIBLE IN GENEVAL GIVEN ITS FACILITIES AND CENTRAL AND THE FOLLOWING ONE. LOCATION, BUT WE WOULD BE WILLING TO CONSIDER OTHER UNCLASSIFIED OUTGOING UNCLASSIFIED TELEGRAM Department of State PAGE B3 OF 83 STATE 305056 6656 POSSIBILITIES. END DEMARCHE 4. FOR POSTS INFORMATION THE FOLLOWING INDIVIDUALS HEADED HOST COUNTRY DELEGATIONS TO THE RECENT IPCC PLENARY IN PHOTOCOPY SUNDSVALL: PRESERVATION ARGENTINA-ANA MARIA BIANCH) (MFA) BRAZIL-VERA PEDROSA (UNESCO PERMREPI/FERNANDO COIMBRA (MFA) CHINA-ZOU JINGMENG (METEOROLOGICAL (MET) ADMINISTRATION) U DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-RAFAEL VELOZ (AGRICULTURE) EGYPT-DR. IBRAIM ARMED AMIN ETHIOPIA-TAMIRE HAWANDO (MET SERVICE) INDIA-DEEPA WADHA IUN MISSION GENEVA) INDONESIA-ACA SUGANDHY (MIN POP AND ENV) KENYA-JOSEPH NJINIA (MET DEPT) KOREA-YOUNG-MYUNG CHOI (KAERI) MALAYSIA - KOK KEE CHOW (MET SERVICE) MAURITIUS-RANJIRA! R. VAGHJEE (MET SERVICE) MEXICO-SERGIO REYES-LUJON (ENV) /VICTOR LICHTINGER (MFA) NEPAL-SHARAD P. ADHIKARY (DEPT OF HYDROLOGY AND MET) NIGERIA - JOSEPH A. ADEJOKUN (MET SERVICE) POLAND-MACIEJ SAVOUSKI (INST OF MET AND WATER) SAUDIA ARABIA-DR. ABDULBAR AL-GAIN SEMEGAL-MANSOUR SECK 4 1 THAILAND-SUPHAVIT PIAMPHONGSANT (NAT ENV BOARD) TRINIDAD-CERIL BERRIDGE (CARIB MET ORG) URUGUAY-M. IGNACIO CAPANDEQUY (MFA) VENEZUELA-MARTHA PERDOMO (ENV) YUGOSLAVIA-GORDANA SOKOL LEMB STOCKHOLM) EAGLEBURGER UNCLASSIFIED OUTGOING PHOTOCOPY UNCLASSIFIED TELEGRAM PRESERVATION Department of State PAGE 01 OF 02 STATE 388491 6648 STATE 308491 6648 ORIGIN DES-09 1. OPENING REMARKS BY SECRETARY-GENERAL OF WMO AND EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR of UNEP INFO LOG-00 ADS-B0 AID-00 INR-05 EUR-00 SS-00 01C-02 AF-02 CIAE-00 EB-00 DINT-05 DODE-88 H-01 10-19 2. ELECTION OF BUREAU FOR THE PREPARATORY MEETING OF THE WORKING NEA-00 NSCE-00 NSF-02 ARA-00 NSAE-00 COME-00 L-03 GROUP PM-00 EAP-00 EPA-04 INRE-00 ACDA-13 USIE-00 SP-00 DOEE-00 CEQ-01 PRS-01 E-01 T-01 /877 R CHAIRMAN 7361 RAPPORTEUR DRAFTED BY: DES/EGC: SSKINNEY APPROVED BY: DES/EGC: DREIFSNYDER 3. PROCESS OF NEGOTIATING THE FRAMEWORK CONVENTION 053522 1219.09Z /44 0 121982Z SEP 98 4. ELEMENTS FOR INCLUSION IN THE CONVENTION AND ITS ASSOCIATED FM SECSTATE WASHDC LEGAL INSTRUMENTS TO AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY ALGIERS IMMEDIATE 5. PROPOSALS FOR COMPOSITION OF THE BUREAU DURING NEGOTIATIONS AMEMBASSY BEIJING IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY BONN IMMEDIATE 6. ADOPTION OF THE REPORT AMEMBASSY BRASILIA IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY CAIRO IMMEDIATE 7. CLOSURE OF THE SESSION AMEMBASSY CANBERRA IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY CARACAS IMMEDIATE NOTE OF THE SECRETARY-GENERAL OF WMO AND THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR AMEMBASSY DAKAR IMMEDIATE OF UNEP FOR THE AD HOC GROUP OF GOVERNMENT-NOMINATED LEGAL AND USMISSION GENEVA IMMEDIATE TECHNICAL EXPERTS FOR PREPARING FOR NEGOTIATIONS OF A FRAMEWORK AMEMBASSY JAKARTA IMMEDIATE CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE, AMEMBASSY LAGOS IMMEDIATE GENEVA, 24-26 SEPTEMBER 1999 AMEMBASSY LONDON IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY MEXICO IMMEDIATE INTRODUCTION AMEMBASSY MOSCOW IMMEDIATE AMENBASSY NAIROBI IMMEDIATE THIS MEETING IS CALLED IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE FOLLOWING AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI IMMEDIATE RESOLUTION AND DECISION. (THE TEXTS ARE GIVEN IN ATTACHMENT 11. AMEMBASSY OSLO IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY OTTAWA IMMEDIATE RESOLUTION 4.1/1 (EC-XLII) ENTITLED "FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON AMEMBASSY PARIS IMMEDIATE CLIMATE CHANGE" BY THE EXECUTIVE COUNCIL OF WMO: AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS IMMEDIATE AMEMBASSY SEOUL IMMEDIATE DECISION ADOPTED ON 3 AUGUST 1990 BY THE SECOND SPECIAL SESSION AMEMBASSY THE HAGUE IMMEDIATE OF THE GOVERNING COUNCIL OF UNEP. AMEMBASSY TOKYO IMMEDIATE USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE DURING THE PAST THREE YEARS THERE HAVE BEEN SEVERAL MEETINGS AMEMBASSY WARSAW IMMEDIATE DEALING WITH THIS SUBJECT PROPOSING SPECIFIC ACTIONS. EXAAMPLES ARE THE MEETING IN TORONTO (JUNE 1988), CANADA (FEBRUARY 1989), UNCLAS STATE 308491 (DECEMBER 1989), AND, OF COURSE, ALL MEETINGS HELD IN THE FRAMEWORK OF IPCC. FOR ECON/SCI COUNSELORS ORGANIZATIONAL MATTERS E.O. 12356: N/A TAGS: SENV KSCA THE MEETING MAY WISH TO CONSIDER WAYS IN WHICH NEGOTIATIONS SUBJECT: AUGUST 24 WMO/UNEP "NOTE" ON PREPARING FOR NEGOTIATIONS TOWARDS A FRAMEWORK CONVENTION AND ASSOCIATED LEGAL INSTRUMENTS, IF ANY, MAY PROCEED. IT HAS ALSO TO SET A TIMETABLE FOR THE REF: A. STATE 299268 B.STATE 302653 C. STATE 302565 NEGOTIATION. 1. DEPARTMENT is PROVIDING BELOW FOR YOUR INFORMATION KEY ONE OF THE OPTIONS WOULD BE FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS TO BE CARRIED PORTIONS OF THE AUGUST 24 WMO/UNEP LETTER AND NOTE ON PREPARING OUT IN AN AD HOC WORKING GROUP OF LEGAL AND TECHNICAL EXPERTS. FOR NEGOTIATIONS ON A FRAMEWORK CLIMATE CONVENTION, WHICH WAS THERE MAY BE ONE OR MORE SUBGROUPS WHICH WOULD REPORT TO THE REFERENCED IN REFTELS. SUSBSTANCE OF COVER LETTER, WHICH IS NOT WORKING GROUP. THE WORKING GROUP WOULD WORK ON THE GENERAL PROVIDED BELOW, IS TO REMIND WMO/UNEP MEMBERS OF AN EARLIER PRINCIPLES TO BE INCLUDED IN A FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE INVITATION TO ATTEND THE SEPTEMBER 24 MEETING IN GENEVA TO CHANGE WHILE THE SUBGROUPS COULD WORK ON SUCH ELEMENTS AS: PREPARE FOR CLIMATE CONVENTION NEGOTIATIONS. IF IN DELIVERING RECENTLY REQUESTED DEMARCHES ON PREPARING FOR NEGOTIATIONS, HOST RESEARCH, MONITORING, ASSESSMENT AND INFORMATION EXCHANGE GOVERNMENTS INDICATE THAT THEY HAVE NOT RECEIVED COPIES OF THIS DOCUMENT FROM WMO AND/OR UNEP, THEY SHOULD BE ENCOURAGED TO GREENHOUSE GASES LIMITATION MEASURES INCLUDING ENERGY EFFICIENCY OBTAIN IT. FYI: ATTACHMENTS REFERENCED BELOW ARE NOT PROVIDED IN THIS CABLE. - IMPROVED FOREST MANAGEMENT, AND BEGIN QUOTE THE SPECIAL NEEDS OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES. PROVISIONAL AGENDA FOR OPEN-ENDED WORKING GROUP MEETING OF IT IS PROPOSED THAT THE WORKING GROUP AND THE SUBGROUPS SHOULD GOVERNMENT REPRESENTATIVES TO PREPARE FOR NEGOTIATIONS ON A MEET AT THREE MONTHLY INTERVALS FOR PERIODS OF TWO WEEKS WHICH FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE: WOULD ALLOW FOR FOUR OR FIVE SESSIONS BEFORE UNCED 1892. THE TWQ WEEKS MEETINGS WOULD BE ORGANIZED IN THE FOLLOWING WAY: OUTGOING PHOTOCOPY UNCLASSIFIED TELEGRAM PRESERVATION Department of State PAGE 02 OF ' 02 STATE 308491 6648 FIRST WEEK. FIVE WORKING GROUPS OF SIMULTANEOUS MEETINGS OF TWO OR MORE SUBGROUPS. SECOND WEEK. FIVE DAYS OF SIMULTANEOUS MEETINGS OF THE WORKING GROUP AND ,TWO OR MORE SUBGROUPS. THE WORKING GROUP WOULD THEN MEET FOR ONE MORE DAY (SATURDAY). THIS WOULD ALLOW THE WORKING GROUP TO SPEND FOUR WORKING DAYS IN THE SECOND WEEK ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF GENERAL PRINCIPLES AND TWO DAYS ON THE CONSIDERATION OF THE REPORTS FROM THE SUBGROUPS. 5 THE SECRETARIATS OF WMO AND UNEP WILL WORK IN FULL COOPERATION WITH FAD AND TUCH ON THE ISSUE OF FORESTRY. TO ENSURE APPROPRIATE REPRESENTATION OF THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES IN THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS IT WILL BE NECESSARY TO ENSURE ADEQUATE FUNDING OF EACH OF THE THREE MONTHLY MEETINGS, AS WELL AS OF ANY SMALLER SUPPORTING MEETINGS. ALL RELEVANT UN ORGANIZATIONS WILL BE INVITED TO ATTEND THE MEETING AS OBSERVERS. NGOS AND INDUSTRY WHO REQUEST PARTICIPATION WILL BE INVITED AS OBSERVERS. THE PROPOSED SCHEDULE WOULD NOT APPLY TO THE FIRST NEGOTIATING SESSION IN WASHINGTON, D.C. IN THE WASHINGTON MEETING THE WORKING GROUP WOULD MEET FOR THE FIRST DAY TO ESTABLISH ITS WORK PROGRAMME AND THE SUBGROUPS. THEN IT CONTINUES CONCURRENTLY WITH THE MEETING OF THE SUPGROUPS. THE LAST TWO DAYS OF THE SESSION WOULD BE DEVOTED TO A MEETING OF THE WORKING GROUP TO RECEIVE REPORTS OF THE SUBGROUPS AND ADOPT ITS DWN REPORT. SUBJECTS FOR DISCUSSION IT IS SUGGESTED THAT THIS PREPARATORY MEETING FOR THE NEGOTIATIONS SHOULD ADDRESS A SERIES OF QUESTIONS. THIS WOULD ALLOW THE SECRETARIATS OF WMO AND UNEP TO ELABORATE ELEMENTS OF A DRAFT LEGAL INSTRUMENT ON CLIMATE CHANGE TO BE CONSIDERED BY THE FIRST NEGOTIATING MEETING IN WASHINGTON EARLY NEXT YEAR. THESE QUESTIONS MIGHT INCLUDE THOSE LISTED IN ATTACHMENT 11. EACH SUBGROUP MAY ALSO NEED TO CONSIDER RELEVANT SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SUPPORT REQUIRED TO ENSURE IMPLEMENTATION OF EACH ELEMENT UNDER ITS CONSIDERATION. IF THESE SPECIFIC ELEMENTS WERE SUBSEQUENTLY TO BE DEALT WITH IN THE FORM OF SEPARATE PROTOCOLS, THEN THE APPROPRIATE SUPPORT MIGHT FORM AN ANNEX TO EACH PROTOCOL. SUCH SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SUPPORT MAY BE DRAWN FROM IPCC. SOME ELEMENTS ARE COMMON FOR ANY LEGAL INSTRUMENT BE IT THE FRAMEWORK CONVENTION OR AN ASSOCIATED PROTOCOL. THEY MIGHT INCLUDE: INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENT (CONTRACTING PARTIES MEETING, SECRETARIAT, SUBSIDIARY BODIES); NON-COMPLIANCE PROCEDURES, SETTLEMENT OF DISPUTES; CONSULTATIVE MECHANISMS: REPORTING OF DATA: ASSESSMENT AND MONITORING; EDUCATION AND PUBLIC AWARENESS; TECHNICAL CO-OPERATION AND TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER. EAGLEBURGER UNCLASSIFIED # 7 XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??!?? ??; CCITT G3 SENT BY: :10-12-90 ; 10:51 ; 2023283729- 2240580;# 7 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION John C. Rodda D.Sc. Director Hydrology & Water Resources Department World Meteorological Organization Case Postale No. 5. CH-1211 Geneva 20. Switzerland Tel: 022-34-64-00 Switchboard 34-82-45 Direct Line Telex: 23260-OMM-CH head of DIIASA PROF. DR. ZDZISLAW KACZMAREK Member of the Polish Academy of Sciences Leader, Water Resources Project hydrology International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis working A-2361 Laxenburg/Austria Tel. 10 2236) 71521*439 Telex 079137 llass a, Telefax: 10 2236) 71313 group @ SWCC Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. memo re: Second World Climate Conference [Personally Identifiable 10/12/1990 b(6) Information] [partial] (1 page) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records Council on Environmental Quality Kathleen (Katie) McGinty OA/Box Number: 2897 FOLDER TITLE: 2nd World Climate Conference [1] 2017-1092-F jm1858 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions |(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. SENT BY: :10-12-90 ; 10:54 : 2023283729- 22405801#12 London 6555 Amstrider (b)(6) [001] - Germany - Posted: Sun, Sep 30, 1990 3:03 AM EDT Msg: MGJA-4414-7711 From: I.MINTZER.SEI To: whats.new (receipt) CC: i.mintzer.sei Subj: Second World climate Conference science PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION Hi Bob Parki Keep up the good work| I have a quick question for you: Do you know anything about a deal going down between the US govt or US National Academy of Engineering and the World Meteorological Org to sever the reporting of scientific results presented at ema ministers the Second World Climate Conference and the results of the 1 state dept. Task Working Groups at the Scientific Meeting of the Second World Climate Conference from the Ministerial Meeting of the Second World Climate Conference? I have heard a nasty rumor to that effect in Europe. Say it ain't so, U.S sponsor Pleassssse! Thanks for your help on this. ingeneva Switzerland IPKC Oct 29 - Regards. telemine 2 Irving Mintzer Action? [IMINTZER. SEI] MAIL/ USA ipacts Rafe Pomeran Z /OMNET]_ MAILY USA esponse w [I MINTZER SEI/OMNET] ,tainly MAIL/USA Isally Tsotablety Ballywous 1436 USTNW - - the Global Greepeace warming - Report [Jeremygett dir. of suem in JK office in Lodon $'10.95 XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??:?? ??; CCITT G3 SENT BY: ; #13 :10-12-90 ; 10:54 ; 2023283729- 2240580;#13 10/12/90 10:15am DRAFT the saga continues SEN. GORE ACCUSSES U.S. OF SABATOGING GLOBAL CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS. In a hearing on Coral bleaching yesterday Sen. Al Gore of Tennessee grilled John Knauss of NOAA, who will represent the US at the upcoming 2nd World Climate Conference at the end of this month. Prior to the preliminary ministerial drafting meeting (see last week) the U.S. [State department] prepared 160 amendments to what was to have been a two page ministerial statement. said Gore of this "that seems to create tremendous difficulty for the sucess of the ministerial Knaus said I have just been recently informed that I was to head the U.S. delegation and I concur (with the above)" A 4 page summary of the resulting 30 page document was then sent to the White House which made 19 pages of comments. Knauss said it was "not time to get into the details of timetables or limits for CO2 stabilization" Gore wanted to know when it was time. "This meeting has been two years in the You said wait till the IPCC report was complete. (the scientific portion was first presented last May) # that was the excuse for not agreeing to do anything" now its complete said Gore " What are we waiting for before we agree to do something specific." "It seems to me that Mr. Sununu is handling the climate negotiations the same way he handled the budget negotiations." PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??!?? ??; CCITT G3 ; #14 SENT BY: 10-12-90 ; 10:55 ; 2023283729- 2240580;#14 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION Mr. Gore compared the draft of the ministerial statement proposed (by the SWCC Secretariat) with some suggested US changes: BEFORE: Policy Targets for Urgent Action AFTER: Policy Considerations BEFORE: (PP 19) we agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize and reduce green house gas concentrations. AFTER: delete this section Before: (PP20) we stress as a first step the need to stabilize, while ensuring development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. AFTER: we recognize that the most effective response stategies especially in the short term, are those which are economically efficent and cost effective, able to serve multiple social, economic and environmental purposess, justified for reasons other than climate change administratively practical and effective Before (article 21) we agree that that stablization of CO2 emmisions should be achieved, jointly, by industrialized countries by the year 2000 and set at the lowest possible emmission levels AFTER: we recommend that limitation and adaption stategies be considered as an integrated package that completement each other to minimize net cost" GORE The pattern is real clea weaken and dilite every proposal to actually do something. He wondered why Knauss, a deputy administrator at NOAA, not Mr. Bill Rielly, head of EPA will be representing the US. A top EPA administrator, commented after the hearing, that no one in EPA, was eager to have Rielly undergo such a grilling. Rielly, (a friend of Allan Bromley) like most scientists working on the problem, has personal views quite different from those of the administration. Indeed, Gore alluded to this in his questioning Apparently a NOAA lawyer, J.R. Spradley, played the lead role ("he was the one who talked") in the U.S. delegation to the drafting meeting. Our Oliver North of Global Warming cause88888d an uproar in the meeting when he reassured the environment minister from low lying Bangaladesh "before you had cows, now you'll have fish." This seems to support the comment from international WMO officials (who were at the AGU reception last week) that the US government is not taking the global warming threat very seriously. XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??!?? ??; CCITT G3 -> ; #15 SENT BY: :10-12-90 : 10:56 ; 2023283729- 2240580:#15 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION Said Gore (we implied this last week) If the scientific portion were not attached to the ministerial it would make it easier to dilute the ministerial statement less at action and more In other news U.S. is rumored to have made a deal with Sec. Gen. Bossey of the WMO that if they maintained a strictly scientific posture (--no policy, no limits) that their U.S. funding (their main source) would be assured. XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??; CCITT G3 ; # 2 SENT BY: :10-11-90 ; 14:05 ; 2023283729- 2240580;# 2 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION WHAT'S NEW, Friday, 5 October 1990 Washington, DC 1. U.S. SIDES WITH DEVELOPING NATIONS ON GLOBAL CLIMATE POLICY. Last week in Geneva, at an organizational meeting to prepare for upcoming Second World Climate Conference, the US led an effort to keep the scientific statement that will come out of the Confer- ence from being annexed to the Ministerial Declaration. The SWCC was originally planned as a scientific conference, but it was decided that a Ministerial portion should be included. Now it seems that the US, together with such nations as Brazil and Saudi Arabia, want to leave off the scientific portion, arguing that it would be "confusing." Moreover, a State Department telegram backs the developing countries in opposing consideration of forestry issues. A spokesperson insisted that the State Department has no idea what conclusions might come from the scientific sessions, but the main item on the agenda is a report of the International Panel on Climate Change. That oft-cited report unequivocally concludes that "There is a natural greenhouse effect that already keeps Earth warmer than it would otherwise be. Human activities are substantially increasing atmospheric concentrations of green- house gases." The US steadfastly maintains its "Sununu stance," that any action should await more research (WN 20 Apr 90). 2. EXPORT CONTROLS CONTINUE TO THREATEN SCIENTIFIC COMMUNICATION. The Export Administration Act, which has been used to deny Soviet bloc nations access to Western advances in technology since 1979, is due to expire this month. The law bans the export of technol- ogies that appear on a control list and applies to scientific and technical information as well as goods. Now that the Soviet bloc has disintegrated, Congress is preparing to lift the ban on many items, such as advanced personal computers. The Optical Society has raised a new concern: a federal court ruled in 1988 that criminal penalties could be imposed under the export laws without proving that the technology exported is covered by the control list. The Optical Society argues that the decision puts American scientists at risk whenever they make a scientific presentation-- unless they first obtain an export license. The Optical Society stated its position in an amicus brief filed with the US Supreme Court, but the high court declined to reconsider the lower court decision. The Optical Society is now urging Congress to correct the situation in the reauthorized Export Administration Act. 3. CANDIDATES SOUGHT FOR APS CONGRESSIONAL SCIENTIST FELLOWSHIPS. The program offers qualified physicists an opportunity to spend a year in Washington working in a congressional office. In the 17 years of the program, about half of the APS Congressional Scien- tist Fellows have elected to remain in Washington, where they continue to have an important influence on science policy issues. Fellows will receive a maximum stipend of $40,000, plus allowance for relocation and travel, for the fellowship year beginning 1 Sept 91. The deadline for completed applications is 15 Feb 91. Anyone interested should contact Dr. Mary Shoaf at 212-682-7341. Robert L. Park (202) 232-0189 The American Physical Society XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??:?? ??; CCITT G3 -> ; # 5 SENT BY: :10-11-90 ; 14:07 2023283729- 2240580;# 5 wn 1 10/5/90 MEETING OF GOVERNMENT REPRESENTATIVES TO PM/D.Decl./REPORT/1 DRAFT MINISTERIAL DECLARATION FOR THE 29 September 1990 SECOND WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE Canava, 27-29 September 1990 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION 1. Introductory Remarks The meeting of government representatives to prepare a draft Ministerial Declaration for consideration at the Ministerial portion of the Second World Climate Conference (Geneve, 29 October to 7 November 1990) was held 27-29 September 1990 at the International Conference Centre, Generva, Prof. G.O.P. Obasi, Secretary-General of the World Nateorological Organization (WMO), welcomed the delegates on behalf of WMO to this important "open-ended" meeting of government representatives. He noted the structure of the Second World Climate Conference (SWOC) with its two major components, (1) a scientific and technical conference, and (2) a Ministerial meetins. He indicated that the purpose of this meeting is to prepare a draft Ministerial Declaration. Prof. Obasi informed the meeting of the extensive consultations undertaken, to prepare an initial declaration which was sent to foreign ministries of all countries in July 1990. The informal meeting of some 20 representatives from developed and developing countries in May 1990 was of great value in this connection. Be advised that the intention was that a second draft would be provided to all countries for their further consideration as a result of this meeting. A further meeting would be held before the Ministerial part of the SWOC to consider any remaining differences of view. He stressed the importance attached to this declaration as an input to the negotiation of a Framework Convention on Climate Change. Dr. M.K. Tolba, the Executive Director of UNEP in his openins remarks noted the quickening pace of events relating to climate change drawing attention to the two recent important events, namely: (1) the release of the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPOC) and (ii) the immediately preceding Intergovernmental Group of Legal and Technical Experts preparing for the negotiations on a global framework convention on climate change. (ID: REPORT) (Wans J172-12h20. 29.9.90) XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??:?? ??; CCITT G3 ; # 6 SENT BY: :10-11-90 ; 14:08 ; 2023283729- 2240580:# 6 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION PM/D.Dacl./REPORT/1. p. 2 He emphasized that the epicentre of negotiations will have to encompass greanhouse gas emissions. energy efficiency. afforestation. research and monitoring and the special situation of developing countries. He said that the Ministerial Declaration must infuse an urgency into the negotiations on a Framework Convention and take the past agreements a step forward. Success in negotiations. Dr. Tolba pointed out, will depend on the fibre and flexibility of global partnership - on international resolve to guarantee access of the global south to new technologies and additional financial resources. 2. Officers of the Meeting and Organization of the Work In introducing the question of organization of the work of the session Dr. Tolba advised that he and Prof. Obasi recommended to the meeting that the President of WMO, Mr. Zou Jingmeng, and the President of the Coverning Council of UNEP. Ambassador I. Topkov, be asked to co-chair the mesting. alternating as chairs of sessions. In addition to the involvement of Dr. Tolba and Prof. Cbasi, they would be supported by the SWOC Co-ordinator. Mr. Ferguson and Mr. Clerc. Dr. Tolba noted that the key documents. available were the Draft Ministerial Declaration dated 13 July 1990, which is available in all working languages. All comments on this draft received from governments as of 27 September 1990 are provided in PM/D.Decl./1 of 20 September 1990 and its Add. 1. These comments were characterized by Dr. Tolba as dealing with (a) paragraph by paragraph comments, (b) the structure of the declaration and (c) the size of the document, with most believing that a Ministerial document should be short and brisk. Mr. Zou Jingmens in accepting the chair initially. said that the declaration that will be developed by the meeting can be a milestone in human history. In considering the adoption of the agenda it was agreed that in the provisional agenda, item 3 be amended and agenda item 4 be medified to read "Preparation of the Draft Ministerial Declaration", with the sub-heading deleted. The revised agenda was approved and is attached as Annex 1. Several delegates expressed the need for a Drafting Group. A decision on establishing such a group WEMB deferred. XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??; CCITT G3 ; # 7 SENT BY: 10-11-90 ; 14:09 ; 2023283729- 2240580;# 7 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION PM/D.Decl./REPORT/1. p. 3 3. Background Mr. H.L. Ferguson, the Co-ordinator of the Second world Climate Conference (SWCC) briefly recalled the history of the development of the SWOC. It was originally conceived by WMO's Executive Council in 1986 as a Scientific Conference. The sponsoring agencies subsequently decided that a Ministerial portion should be included. The scientific and technical portion will produce a Conference Statement at the and of its deliberations on 3 November 1990. AS a supplement to the Co-ordinator's comments, Mr. Alain Clerc detailed the background and the evolution of the 13 July 1990 draft Ministerial Declaration. He pointed out that the text represented a synthesis of comments previously received from many countries, the informal meeting in May, and consultations with officials of government during some international us Brazil. conferences. saudi There was a general discussion on procedure. Some delegations made Arabia reference to the possible risks in confusing the results of the scientifie/technical sessions and the Ministerial Declaration and noted that any such confusion must be avoided. It was agreed that the scientific statement should not be annexed to the Ministerial Declaration since governments were not officially represented at the scientific portion of the conference. One proposal was made to the effect that there should be 3 short statements of a general nature prepared as part of the Scientific Conference Statement, designed for possible acceptance by Ministers, which should address: (1) climate change and its impact (based on IPOC WG I Report): (2) use of climatic information (data and analysis) in assisting social and economic development: and (3) priority areas for further scientific work. 4. Preparation of the Draft Declaration Many delegations suggested that a draft proposal by Norway be the basis for discussions since it was short and succinct. However, & representative of the developing countries pointed out that considering that the Norwegian paper was only distributed that day, it should be considered alongside the draft from the Secretarist. This was agreed. Discussion than started section by section. Following discussion of the preambular paragraphs, it was agreed to have an open-ended Drafting Group prepare & revised text. Mexico and Norway agreed to co-chair the Drafting Group, to work simultaneously with the plenary consideration of other paragraphs. XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; ??-??-??:??:?? ??; CCITT G3 ; # 8 SENT BY: ;10-11-90 ; 14:09 ; OCT- 5-90 = FRI 10190 2023283729- 2240580;# 8 PHOTOCOPY PM/D.Decl./REPORT/L. P. 4 PRESERVATION Subsequently, other sections were referred by the plenary to the Drafting Group, to assist with the work as a sub-group of plenary. As a result of extensive discussions a revised draft Declaration was prepared, with some bracketed text and some alternative formulations. This compilation is annexed to this report. It was agreed that the Secretariat would further edit the text with no substantive changes and would distribute this in all official languages as rapidly as possible. 3. Date and Place of Next Meeting It was also agreed that a further consultation on the Ministerial Declaration will be required before the Ministerial part of the SWOC. It was agreed that such a meeting be convened in Geneva in above of secom 1990. 3-4 with a view to having as close as possible to an agreed text in official hole languages by Monday morning, 5 November 1990 for consideration by Ministers. dar, -2oat 6. Closure of the Session Topkov Aoha assumes discussion hanced alt text as Graclee not an discussed in Menan some del Sevarat Juave Hentin concoun - nad sufference to even sector caugest section new world preteral on eners, production speafer fouget phane inc of target others oppose ICSU 300 UNEP NESCO SECOND WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE GENEVA - 29 OCTOBER - 7 NOVEMBER 1990 REPORT OF THE MEETING OF GOVERNMENT REPRESENTATIVES TO DRAFT MINISTERIAL DECLARATION FOR THE SECOND WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE Geneva. 27-29 September 1990 SWCC Co-ordinator's Office c/o World Meteorological Organization P.O. Box No. 2300 CH 1211 Geneva 2. Switzerland Telephone + -1 22 730 84 01 Fax + 41 22 740 14 39 Telex 23260 OMM CH - 2 - 1. Introductory Remarks The meeting of government representatives to prepare a draft Ministerial Declaration for consideration at the Ministerial portion of the Second World Climate Conference (Geneva, 29 October to 7 November 1990) was held 27-29 September 1990 at the International Conference Centre, Geneva. Prof. G.O.P. Obasi, Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), welcomed the delegates on behalf of WMO to this important "open-ended" meeting of government representatives. He noted the structure of the Second World Climate Conference (SWOC) with its two major components, (1) a scientific and technical conference, and (2) a Ministerial meeting. He indicated that the purpose of this meeting is to prepare a draft Ministerial Declaration. Prof. Obasi informed the meeting of the extensive consultations undertaken, to prepare an initial declaration which was sent to foreign ministries of all countries in July 1990. The informal meeting of some 20 representatives from developed and developing countries in May 1990 was of great value in this connection. He advised that the intention was that a second draft would be provided to all countries for their further consideration as a result of this meeting. A further meeting would be held before the Ministerial part of the SWOC to consider any remaining differences of view. He stressed the importance attached to this declaration as an input to the negotiation of a Framework Convention on Climate Change. Dr. M.K. Tolba. the Executive Director of UNEP in his opening remarks noted the quickening pace of events relating to climate change drawing attention to the two recent important events, namely: (i) the release of the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and (ii) the immediately preceding Intergovernmental Group of Legal and Technical Experts preparing for the negotiations on a global framework convention on climate change. - 3 - He emphasized that the epicentre of negotiations will have to encompass greenhouse gas emissions, energy efficiency, afforestation, research and monitoring and the special situation of developing countries. He said that the Ministerial Declaration must infuse an urgency into the negotiations on a Framework Convention and take the past agreements a step forward. Success in negotiations, Dr. Tolba pointed out, will depend on the fibre and flexibility of global partnership - on international resolve to guarantee access of the global south to new technologies and additional financial resources. 2. Officers of the Meeting and Organization of the Work In introducing the question of organization of the work of the session Dr. Tolba advised that he and Prof. Obasi recommended to the meeting that the President of WMO, Mr. Zou Jingmeng, and the President of the Governing Council of UNEP, Ambassador I. Topkov, be asked to co-chair the meeting, alternating as chairs of sessions. In addition to the involvement of Dr. Tolba and Prof. Obasi, they would be supported by the SWOC Co-ordinator, Mr. Ferguson and Mr. Clerc. Dr. Tolba noted that the key documents available were the Draft Ministerial Declaration dated 13 July 1990, which is available in all working languages. All comments on this draft received from governments and N.G.O.'s as of 27 September 1990 are provided in PM/D.Decl./1 of 20 September 1990 and its Add. 1. These comments were characterized by Dr. Tolba as dealing with (a) paragraph by paragraph comments, (b) the structure of the declaration and (c) the size of the document, with most believing that a Ministerial document should be short and brisk. Mr. Zou Jingmeng in accepting the chair initially, said that the declaration that will be developed by the meeting can be a milestone in human history. In considering the adoption of the agenda it was agreed that in the provisional agenda, item 3 be amended and agenda item 4 be modified to read "Preparation of the Draft Ministerial Declaration", with the sub-heading deleted. The revised agenda was approved and is attached as Annex 1. Several delegates expressed the need for a Drafting Group. A decision on establishing such a group was deferred. - 4 - 3. Background Mr. H.L. Ferguson, the Co-ordinator of the Second World Climate Conference (SWOC) briefly recalled the history of the development of the SWOC. It was originally conceived by WMO's Executive Council in 1986 as a Scientific Conference. The sponsoring agencies subsequently decided that a Minimerial portion should be included. The scientific and technical portion wi.. produce a Conference Statement at the end of its deliberations on 3 November 1990. As a supplement to the Co-ordinator's comments, Mr. Alain Clerc detailed the background and the evolution of the 13 July 1990 draft Ministerial Declaration. He pointed out that the text represented a synthesis of comments previously received from many countries, the informal meeting in May, and consultations with officials of government during some international conferences. There was a general discussion on procedure. Some delegations made reference to the possible risks in confusing the results of the scientific/technical sessions and the Ministerial Declaration and noted that any such confusion must be avoided. It was agreed that the scientific statement should not be annexed to the Ministerial Declaration since governments were not officially represented at the scientific portion of the conference. One proposal was made to the effect that there should be 3 short paragraphs of a general nature prepared as part of the Scientific Conference, designed for consideration by Ministers, which should address: (1) climate change and its impact (based on IPCC WG I Report); (2) use of climatic information (data and analysis) in assisting social and economic development; and (3) priority areas for further scientific work. 4. Preparation of the Draft Declaration Many delegations suggested that a draft proposal by Norway be the basis for discussions since it was short and succinct. However, a representative of the developing countries pointed out that considering that the Norwegian paper was only distributed that day, it should be considered alongside the draft from the Secretariat. This was agreed. Discussion then started section by section. Following discussion of the preambular paragraphs, it was agreed to have an open-ended Drafting Group prepare a revised text. Mexico and Norway agreed to co-chair the Drafting Group, to work simultaneously with the plenary consideration of other paragraphs. - 5 - Subsequently, other sections were referred by the plenary to the Drafting Group, to assist with the work as a sub-group of plenary. As a result of extensive discussions a revised draft declaration (Annex 2) was prepared with some bracketed text and some ilternative formulations. It was stressed that many formulations, although not in brackets, do not reflect a consensus for there was not sufficient discussion in plenary on many important issues. Several delegations indicated their grave concern about the fact that the draft declaration does not give sufficient emphasis to the energy sector that is the single largest anthropogenic source of radiative forcing. Those delegations considered that the Ministerial Declaration should emphasize the need for the adoption of a World Protocol on the climate change aspects of energy production centred around the concepts of specific targets for a phased increase of energy efficiency. Others did not share this opinion. It was agreed that the Secretariat would further edit the text with no substantive changes and would distribute this in all official languages as rapidly as possible. The Brazilian delegation requested WMO and UNEP to circulate to all of their Members, and to delegates at the two meetings on climate held in Geneva the week cf 24 to 29 September 1990, a short statement correcting the exaggeration of the rate of loss of tropical forests unfortunately contained in the document circulated by FAO at the first of these meetings, that of the Ad Hoc Working Group of Government Representatives to Prepare for Negotiations on a Framework Convention on Climate Change. 5. Date and Place of Next Meeting It was also agreed that a further consultation on the Ministerial Declaration will be required before the Ministerial part of the SWCC. It was agreed that such a meeting be held in Geneva beginning with an informal session at 4.00 p.m.on Friday, 2 November and continuing with formal sessions for the full days of Saturday and Sunday, 3 and 4 November, under the Chairmanship of Mr. Zou Jingmeng, President of WMO and Mr. I. Topkov, President of the Governing Council of UNEP, with a view to having as close as possible to an agreed text in official languages by Monday morning, 5 November 1990 for consideration by Ministers. An official notification of the next meeting will be issued shortly. 6. Closure of the Session The session closed at 5.25 p.m. on Saturday, 29 September 1990. Annexes: 1. Agenda 2. Draft Ministerial ANNEX 1 AGENDA 1. Introductory Remarks - Prof. G.O.P. Obasi, Secretary-General, WMO - Dr. M.K. Tolba, Executive Director, UNEP 2. Officers of the Meeting and organization of the work 3. Background - Review of actions to date on Declaration - Objective of this meeting - Discussion of the structure of the Declaration 4. Preparation of the Draft Ministerial Declaration 5. Date and place of next Meeting 6. Closing of the Meeting ANNEX 2 1 October 1990 Rev.2 DRAFT MINISTERIAL DECLARATION PREAMBLE 1. We, the Ministers from countries [and the Commissioner for the Environment of the European Community] representing the world community met in Geneva, Switzerland, from 6 to 7 November 1990 at the Second World Climate Conference. 2. We note that while climate has varied in the past and there is still a large degree of scientific uncertainty, the rate of climate change predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to occur over the next century is unprecedented. This is due mainly to the accumulation of greenhouse gases, resulting from a host of human activities since the industrial revolution, particularly in industrialised countries. Such climate change could pose an environmental threat of a magnitude hitherto unknown, and could severely jeopardize the social and economic development of some areas, and could in some cases even threaten habitability. 3. We appreciate the work of the World Climate Programme (WCP) during the past decade which has improved understanding of the causes, processes and effects of climate and climate change. We also congratulate the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on its First Assessment Report on the causes and [possible] effects of climate change. It has identified strategies to limit and adapt to climate change, and in the light of the United Nations General Assembly resolutions, has identified possible elements for inclusion in a framework convention on climate change. 4. Recognising climate change as a common concern of mankind, we commit ourselves to take active and constructive steps in a global response. (Cont'd) 2 Proposal para. 2 line 9: add [potential] after "such" Proposal para. 2 to delete "and could in some cases even threaten habitability" and replace by: [Many believe that in some cases it even threatens survival, specially for small islands, low-lying, coastal, arid and semi-arid countries.] Proposal para. 4 add at the end: [without prejudice to sovereignty of states.] GLOBAL STRATEGY 5. Recognizing that climate change is a global problem of unique character, we consider that a global response [which ensures the stable development of the world economy] must be decided and implemented without further delay based on the best available knowledge such as that resulting from the IPCC assessment. Recognizing further that the principles of equity and the common but differentiated responsibility of countries should be the basis of any global response to climate change, industrialized countries must take the lead and commit themselves to immediate action and enter into and strengthen cooperation with developing countries to enable them to adequately address climate change without hindering their national development goals and objectives. Developing countries must, within the limits feasible, commit themselves to appropriate action in this regard. To this end, there is a need to contribute [new and] additional, adequate financial resources and transfer of technology on a [preferential] [fair and equitable] basis. Alternative to the first sentence: We recognize that climate change is a global problem of unique character, we also recognize that there exists many uncertainties in the fields of science, economics, plus the effectiveness of response options in limiting or averting Potential climate change. Alternative to the second sentence: Recognizing further that the principles of equity and the common but differentiated responsibility of countries should be the basis of any global response to climate change, industrialized countries must take the lead and commit themselves to immediate action by reducing their major contribution to the global net emissions resulting from environmentally unsustainable patterns of production and consumption (Cont'd) Suggestion to be added as a new para. "The consideration of climate change response strategies present formidable difficulties for policy makers because cf: (A) remaining scientifi uncertainties regarding climate change; (B) uncertain with respect to how effective specific response options or groups of options would be in actually limiting or averting potential climate change; and (C) uncertainty with respect to the costs, effects on economic growth, and other economic and social implications of specific response options or groups of options. There is an urgent need for continual national and international effort to resolve these uncertainties. " I. ROLE OF SCIENCE IN IMPROVING OUR UNDERSTANDING, CAPACITY OF PREDICTION AND OUR RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE 6. We reaffirm that, in order to reduce uncertainties, to increase our ability to predict climate and climate change on a global and regional basis, including early identification of as yet unknown climate-related issues, and to design sound response strategies, there is a need to strengthen both national and international, and if necessary regional activities in science. We recognize that commitments by governments are essential to sustain and strengthen the necessary research and monitoring programmes and the exchange of relevant data and information, with due respect to national sovereignity. We stress that special efforts must be directed to key areas of uncertainty. We maintain that there is a need to intensify research on the social and economic implications of climate change. We commit ourselves to promoting the full participation of developing countries in these efforts. We pledge our full support to the needs of the World Climate Programme including contributions to the WMO Special Fund for Climate and Atmospheric Environmental Studies. The magnitude of the problem being addressed is such that no nation can tackle it alone and we stress the need to strengthen international cooperation. In particular, we ask the [World Climate Programme] [WMO] [and other international organisations] to take the lead internationally in coordinating climate and climate change related scientific studies. Proposal to add at the beginning of the para. We reaffirm the scientific consensus that global warming is taking place owing to the greenhouse effect; and that the continued emission of greenhouse gases, [especially carbon dioxide, is committing the earth to significant future warming. II. POLICY TARGETS FOR URGENT ACTION * (Precautionary measures) 7. In order to achieve sustainable development, (1) in all countries and to meet the needs of present and future generations, environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradations. We must [may] [will] base ourselves on the precautionary principle. Environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradation. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to prevent environmental degradation [which are justified in their own right]. The measures adopted should take into account the different socio-economic contexts. *Alternative title: [POLICY CONSIDERATIONS] 1) Definition of sustainable development as agreed at the 15th session of UNEP Governing Council (Annex II UNEP/GC 15/L.37). Proposal to delete two last sentences and reference to precautionary principle. Proposal "Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, measures to prevent environmental degradation should be taken on the basis of full scientific certainty." 8. The potentially serious consequences of climate change give sufficient reasons to begin by adopting response strategies that can be justified (1) immediately [for other reasons] even in the face of significant uncertainties: [including] [phasing out of [production] and use of CFC emissions], efficiency improvements and conservation in energy supply and use, sustainable forest management, afforestation schemes, proper land use planning, use of cleaner and more efficient energy sources, review of agricultural practices. Further actions should be pursued in a phased and flexible manner on the basis of, in the long-term goals and strategies, at the national, regional or global level taking advantage of scientific advance and technological development to meet both environmental and economic objectives. Alternative We note that a mechanism is being set up by WMO and UNEP to undertake the necessary intergovernmental negotiations on global warming. Proposal to add after "uncertainties" line 5 and in view of the potential risks of survival especially for small islands, low- lying, coastal, arid and semi-arid countries. 1) Proposal after "justified" in the third line to add [in their own right] (Stabilization and reduction of greenhouse gases) [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol] 9. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize [and reduce] greenhouse gas concentrations [emissions]. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize greenhouse gas concentration at a level that would prevent anthropogenic interference with climate. [Noting that following the IPCC Report the long-lived gases such as CO2, N2O, and CFC could require immediate reductions in emissions from human activities of over 60% to stabilize their concentrations at today's levels; methane would require a 15-20% reduction.] Proposal to delete para. 9 Remark: Ministers are reminded of the analytical work of the IPCC on greenhouse gas emission targets as recommended by the Noordwijk Ministerial Declaration in November 1989. 10. We stress, as a first step, the need to stabilize, while ensuring sustainable development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. Obligations should be equitably differentiated according to countries' respective responsibilities for causing and combatting climate change and their level of development. Alternative We recognize that the most effective response strategies, especially in the short-term, are those which are: Justified for reasons other than climate change and also provide beneficial impacts on potential climate change; Economically efficient and cost effective; Able to serve multiple social, economic, and environmental purposes; Easily modified to respond to increased scientific and economic understanding of climate change; Compatible with the concept of sustainable economic growth and development; Compatible with the concept of a comprehensive approach that deals with all sources and sinks of greenhouse gases; Administratively practical and effective in terms of applications, monitoring, and enforcement; and inclusive of obligations by both industrialized and developing countries. 11. We agree that stabilization of [in particular CO₂ emissions) [greenhouse gas emissions] [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol] [the global warming potential of greenhouse gases] should be achieved [jointly] by industrialized countries by the year [2000] * and should be set at [lowest possible] [present] ** emission levels. We urge all countries to set achievable national targets and programmes to achieve those targets. Alternative We recommend that limitation and adaption strategies be considered as an integrated package that complement each other to minimize net costs. These strategies should include measures which limit emissions from greenhouse gas sources as well as those which increase the ability of natural systems to utilize greenhouse gases. A comprehensive approach is needed which considers the costs of reducing emissions of different greenhouse gases and the effects of those reductions on potential climate change. *Proposal to delete the brackets *Proposal to delete the brackets Proposal to delete the para. 12. We urge industrialized countries to establish greenhouse gases (especially CO₂] [reduction programmes aiming at achieving at least 20% reduction of] [their current contribution to global warming potential], [its contribution to actual global warming potential) [possibly by the year 2005] and in [any case not later than the year 2010] [and appeal to all developing countries to establish their programmes equivalent to their status of development.] Alternative We stress, [in establishing emissions reduction targets, the need for a sound and equitable basis for setting such targets and the need for cost-effective measures to reach the targets.] [that if emissions reduction targets were to be established.) [We note the differences today within the industrialized countries in the per capita emissions and urge the countries which have the highest rate to reduce these differences due to account being taken of their specificities.] Alternative We urge industrialized countries to establish greenhouse gas reduction programmes to reduce their current contribution to global warming and aiming at a 20% reduction of co₂- emissions of 1988 levels by the year 2005 and in any case not later than the year 2010, and appeal to all developing countries to establish programmes equivalent to their status of development. Proposal to delete. 13. We recognize that countries with, as yet, relatively low energy requirements, and which can be reasonably expected to grow in step with their development, may have targets that accommodate that development. Countries should, within the limit feasible, take measures to suitably adapt their economies. 14. We recommend that [any] [the] specification[s] of the obligation[s] [if any] to stabilize and [or] reduce [net] greenhouse gas[es] emissions [may] be realized in the form of [a] separate Protocols to the Climate Convention. [Some of these protocol [s] could be [negotiated [ [concurrently with the [framework] convention. ]] [as expeditiously as possible. ]] [developed on the basis of consensus decisions by the negotiating body.] Proposal to delete the last sentence: "Some convention. " 14 bis We urge industrialized countries to establish greenhouse gases reduction programmes aiming at achieving [at least 20%] reduction of their current contribution to global warming potential, [possibly by the year 2005] and in any case not later than the year 2010. Proposal to retain this para. if new para. 12 is not retained in the form proposed by the Secretariat. Proposal para. should be put in brackets. (Diverse situation of individual countries) * 14. ter *Proposal to add a new para. with the following wording We stress that any response will have to take into account the great diversity of different countries' situations and their responsibility for and negative impacts on different countries consequently would require a wide variety of responses. (Economic situation of certain countries) 15. We recognize that [net] emissions from developing countries with their, as yet, relatively low energy requirements will need to grow in step with the 11 development [and these countries may have targets to accommodate that development.) Narrowing the gap between the industrialized and the developing world would facilitate the developing countries dealing with the climate change issue. Recognizing the priorities of developing countries of alleviating poverty and achieving social and economic development, we recommend that [new] adequate [and additional] financial resources should be mobilized and environmentally sound technologies transferred [on a preferential/fair and equitable basis] to enable developing countries to take the necessary measures to address climate change and sea-level rise consistent with their development needs. Developing countries also should, within the limits feasible, take action in this regard. [The particular difficulties of the developing countries whose economies are highly dependent on fossil fuel production and exportation, as a consequence of the action taken on limiting greenhouse gas emissions, should be taken into account.] Proposal The alternative to the above would be the language that has been approved by consensus in the IPCC report. (Funding) 16. We recommend that consideration should be given to the need for funding facilities [including the proposed World Bank/UNEP/UNDP "Global Environmental Facility"] [a clearing house mechanism] [and a possible new international fund] composed of [new and] additional financial resources for developing countries taking into account existing multilateral and bilateral mechanisms. Such funding should be related to the implementation of the framework climate convention. In the meantime, industrialized countries are urged to co-operate with developing countries to support immediate action addressing climate change and sea-level rise without imposing any new conditionality on developing countries. 17. We recommend further that the scope of needed resources be assessed. Such assessments to be conducted as soon as possible should include inter alia country studies and mechanisms to meet the financing needs identified [[similar to] [taking note of] the approaches developed under the Montrea Protocol.] 18. International funding should be directed in priority to the sectors identified by the IPCC report, in particular: (i) promoting efficient use of energy (ii) arranging rapid transfer of technology on a [preferential] [fair and equitable] basis to developing countries and technology development in these countries (iii) co-operating with developing countries to enable their full participation in international meetings on climate change (iv) enhancing observational network, particularly in developing countries, to facilitate conducting research, monitoring and assessment of climate change. Funding should also be directed to the creation of regional centres to organize information networks on climate change in developing countries. (Economic instruments) 19. [Economic or market-based instruments frequently offer the potential of achieving environmental improvements at lower costs than through regulatory mechanisms.] [We recommend that policies at the national, regional and international level make extensive use of economic instruments] [appropriate to each country's socio-economic conditions] in conjunction with a balanced mix of regulatory approaches. [Such instruments could include taxes and charges, emission trading (tradeable permits/allowances) , [subsidies], [elimination of subsidies to activities that induce climate change] and other measures such as fees and deposit refund systems.] Proposal: to add a new sentence It is evident that the question of adoption of any form of economic instrument raises many complex and difficult issues. Careful and substantive analyses of all implications of such instruments are needed. " (Energy) " 20. We note that energy production and use account for nearly half of the enhanced radiative forcing resulting from human activities and is expected to increase its contribution in the absence of appropriate response actions. We recognize the promotion of energy efficiency as the most cost- effective immediate measures, in many countries, for reducing energy-related emissions of greenhouse gases, in particular CO₂ while other options such as no or lower greenhouse gas emitting energy sources should be pursued. Transport energy use attracts special attention of many of us in the light of its role in many industrialised countries and of its expected importance in many developing countries. (Role of the Energy and Transport Sector) Alternative We note that the energy and transport sector presently accounts for nearly half of the man-made greenhouse effect and is projected to increase substantially. We recognize that an environmentally-sound development must include policies which will achieve an environmentally- sustainable energy system [and take the environmental costs and benefits of energy fully into account.] We urge the promotion of energy conservation and of energy efficiency demand management and [fuel switching as the most cost-effective immediate measure for reducing energy-related emissions of atmospheric pollutants, [in particular CO₂.]] (Cont'd) 2 Alternative The single largest anthropogenic source of radioactive forcing is energy production and use. The consumption of energy from fossil fuels for industrial, commercial, residential, transportation and other purposes results in large emissions of greenhouse gases. The energy sector accounts for an estimated 46% (with an uncertainty range of 38-54%) of the enhanced radioactive forcing resulting from human activities. [p.3 - WG- III/IPCC-final Report.] We note that emissions due to fossil fuel combustion amounts to about 70-90% of the total anthropogenic emissions of CO₂ into the atmosphere, whereas the remaining 10-30% is due to human use of terrestrial eco-systems. A major decrease of the rate of deforestation as well as an increase in afforestation would contribute significantly to slowing the rate of co₂ concentration increases in the atmosphere. (IPCC-Overview- p.11.) (Technology development and transfer of technology) 21. We recognize that there is no single quick-fix technological option for limiting greenhouse gas emissions. However, we are convinced that technological innovation as well as social behaviour and institutional adaptations is a key element of any long-term strategy that deals with climate change in a way that meets the goal of sustainable development. Therefore, we urge all countries, the industrialized countries in particular, to intensify their efforts and international cooperation in [technological research] development and dissemination of [deployment, including improvement and reassessment of existing technologies.] [environmental favourable] "new" and ["green"] [renewable energy] technologies. ] 22. We urge that [environmentally-sound] technology be utilized by all sectors in all countries to the full extent possible and further urge all countries, industrialized, and developing, and least developed to identify and take effective measures to remove barriers to the dissemination of the best environmentally-safe technology. There is a need for the effective transfer to the developing countries, [on a preferential and non-commercial basis] [on a preferential and affordable basis] [on favourable terms], of technologies for addressing climate change. Proposal to add at the end To this end, we also urge all industrialised countries and international organisations concerned to contribute towards financing the transfer of appropriate technology to the developing countries. (Forestry) 23. We recognize that the conservation of the world's forests in their role as reservoirs and sinks of greenhouse gases along with other measures are/is of [crucial] [significant] importance for global climatic stability, [as well as the state of the environment in general] particularly having regard to the important contribution of forest destruction to global warming through the emission of carbon- dioxide, methane and other trace gases. We stress the need to reduce the rate of deforestation [in consonance with the objective of sustained yield development] and to enhance the potential of the world's forests as a sink for greenhouse gases, [through vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation.] [through improved management of existing forests and vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation.) [We endorse the target included] [We urge the earliest completion of the feasibility assessment called for] in the Noordwijk Declaration of achieving net global forest growth of 12 million hectares per year, through conservation of existing forests and through aggressive programmes of reforestation and afforestation. We call for the develoment of a World Forest Conservation Protocol or Convention, covering boreal temperate subtropical and tropical forests in the context of or in association with a Climate Convention. We call on all countries to strengthen [and reform] [support and extend] the Tropical Forests Action Plan [to enable it to tackle forestry programmes effectively,] [process to all countries with tropical forests,] to strengthen the role of the [Food and Agriculture Organization and] International Tropical Timber Organisations and to support the countries concerned to implement sustainable management of forests through enhanced and well-coordinated international cooperation. We also recognize that forests and forest products play a key social and economic role in many nations and communities. (Cont'd) 2 We acknowledge that increasing population and economic growth would result in greater conversion of forest lands to other uses, unless offset by increased productivity in activities sustained by current land uses. We affirm and recognize the sovereign rights of all countries to make use of their natural resources. Alternative to sub-para.1 "We recognize that the conservation of the world's forests is of crucial importance for global climatic stability, as well as the conservation of biological diversity, and the protection of soil stability and of the hydrological system. Forest destruction contributes to global warming through the emission of carbon-dioxide, methane and other trace gases. Alternative for the three last lines of sub-para.1 " of forest as a sink for carbon-dioxide, and other trace gases." Proposal to delete sub-paras. 4 to 8 in order to balance with para. 20 (Energy) 24. We call finally for the development of a World Forest Conservation [Protocol or Convention,] [Convention or Agreement] covering temperate, boreal, subtropical and tropical forests, in the context of or in association with a Climate Convention which also addresses energy-related and other greenhouse gas emissions. The specific elements of such a protocol or convention are a matter for international negotiations which should begin at an early date. These elements may include: fundamental research, tropical and subtropical forest planning, measures to use, protect and reforest, international trade, financial assistance and possible national, regional and international targets for conservation, reforestation and afforestation. Alternative We recommend that discussions on the protection and management of boreal, temperate, sub- tropical and tropical forest ecosystems must be well- coordinated and compatible with other possible types of action related to reduction of emission of greenhouse gases, rational utilisation of biological diversity, financial assistance and the need for more favourable market conditions for timber and timber products that might be taken up by the Food and Agriculture Organisation, the United Nations Environment Programme, the World Meteorological Organisation and the International Tropical Timber Organisation. (Cont'd) 2 Alternative We recommend a forest protocol to be developed in parallel to the Framework Convention on climate change, dealing especially with the role of forests as reservoirs and sinks for greenhouse gases. We further note with interest the initiative to develop a legal instrument on the protection and management of forests to stimulate positive forest actions and address threats to the world's forests. These considerations should take into account the work of IPCC but not delay or complicate ongoing negotiations of a Framework Convention on climate change and related legal instruments. (Desertification, drought and land degradation) 25. We recommend that [precautionary] [appropriate] measures be [adopted] [developed] by the countries concerned in collaboration with donors [i.e. through stepped-up financial contributions, ] scientific contribution to counter the increasing degradation of water resources as well as the productive resource base in areas affected by drought, desertification and land degradation. We also recommend that similar measures be adopted to address the funding needs of low-lying coastal and small vulnerable island countries, some of whose very existence is placed at risk by the rise in sea levels resulting from climate change Alternative We recommend that precautionary measures be adopted by the countries concerned in collaboration with donors to counter Alternative We recommend that regional and/or sub-regional studies on these subjects be undertaken to cover the impacts of climate change in the following fields: (i) Drought; (ii) Desertification; (iii) Water resources and their evolution; (iv) Agriculture (positive and negative impacts) ; (v) [Energy]; [Salinization] (vi) [Forests] [Reforestation] (vii) Socio-economic aspects These studies should lead to the development of scenarios and short-, medium- and long-term measures for mitigation of drought and stopping and reversing desertification for the attention of economic and political decision-makers. (Cont'd) 2 Proposal to add after subpara. 1 Observatories on climate and climatic change and observatories on ecosystems should be encouraged to work together on drought rlsks consequences. Proposal to add at the end of the para. Financial support must be given for rural development programmes in countries already suffering from desertification and those which will be in the event of widespread climate change. Station networks and observatories must be established to measure climate change indices and environmental impacts, and to monitor continuously those ecosystems which are sensitive to desertification. (Population) 26. We note that a large, projected increase in world population will be a major factor in causing the projected increase in global greenhouse gases. We recognise that global climate change strategies should take into account the need to deal with this issue. Alternative: to add a new sentence after the first one We also note that another major factor which contributes to the projected increase in global greenhouse gases will be the maintenance of environmentally unsustainable patterns of production and consumption in industrialized countries. Alternative We note that extravagant and unsustainable consumption patterns in certain parts of the world resulting in high per-capita greenhouse emissions along with a projected increase in world population are contributory factors in the projected increase in global greenhouse gases. Global climate change should take into account the need to deal with these issues. III. GLOBAL FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE 27. We take note of the recommendations adopted 26 September 1990 by the Ad hoc-working group of government representatives and regional economic organizations to prepare for negotiations on a framework convention on climate change. We call for such negotiations to begin [without delay] after a decision is taken by the 45th Session of the UNGA recommending ways, means and modalities for further pursuing these negotiations. We urge all countries and regional economic integration organizations to join in these negotiations and recognize that it is highly desirable that an effective framework convention on climate change, containing appropriate commitments, and any related instruments as might be agreed upon, on the basis of consensus be ready for signing in conjunction with UNCED, in Brazil, in June 1992. We welcome the offer of the Government of the USA to host the first negotiating meeting. Proposal to add para. 39 of the Declaration of 13 July 39. We welcome the offer of the Government of the United States to host the first negotiating meeting of a Working Group on the elaboration of a Climate Convention. We also welcome the possible invitation of Italy to host the first meeting of the Working Group for the elaboration of an Energy Protocol. We urge that these two meetings be convened at the beginning of 1991. 28. We recommend that such negotiations take account [inter alia] of the possible elements compiled by the IPCC, and that the framework Convention on climate change be framed in such à way as to gain the support of the largest possible number of countries while allowing timely action to be taken. [We reaffirm our wish that this convention contain real commitments by the international community.] We stress, given the complex and multi-faceted nature of the problem of climate change, the need for new and innovative solutions including to meet the special needs of developing countries. IV. INFORMATION ON PUBLIC AWARENESS 29. We believe that a well-informed public is essential for addressing and coping with as complex an issue as climate change, and the resultant sea-level rise, and urge countries, in particular, to promote the active participation at the national and when appropriate, regional levels of all sectors of the population in addressing climate change issues and developing appropriate responses and relevant United Nations organizations and programmes to disseminate relevant information with a view to encouraging as wide a participation as possible. 29 September Add.1 The following paragraphs were submitted by several delegations to the Secretariat but were not discussed in plenary, neither in the drafting group: USSR para. 19 We agree that continued emissions of greenhouse gases at present rates would commit us to increase concentration for centuries ahead. We recognize that for various scenarios of future emissions developed by IPCC as assumptions, there will be a projected doubling of equivalent carbon dioxide concentrations from pre-industrial levels in 2025-2050. We further recognize that there exists an IPCC scenario under stabilization of equivalent carbon dioxide concentrations at about twice pre-industrial levels which would occur towards the end of the next century. Therefore we note that any future decisions to limit the adverse affect of human-induced greenhouse gas emissions will have to consider the ultimate need to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations. BRAZIL 20 bis We therefore call for the development of a world protocol on the climate change aspects of energy production and use, centred on the concepts of specific targets for a phased increase of energy efficiency, reduction of fossil fuel emissions, associated with specific mechanisms towards the adaptation of economies. 2 USA Para. 2 Second sentence, insert: [prediction] after "This"; Delete "particularly" substitute with "historically" Insert [continuing] before "accumulation" Sentence would read: This [prediction] is due mainly to the [continuing] accumulation of greenhouse gases resulting from a host of human activities, [particularly] [historically] in the industrialized countries. Para.5 Bracket [additional] in last sentence. Para.6 Second sentence, insert: [free and unrestricted] before "exchange of relevant data". In second sub- para. last sentence, insert new text in brackets: [WMO to take the lead and coordinate, through the World Climate Programme, international scientific activities related to climate and climate change.] Para.9 Bracket entire para. 9. Para. 10 Insert [net] before "emissions of greenhouse gases" bracket [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol]. Bracket entire last sentence beginning with ["Obligations should be Para. 11 Bracket last sentence. Para. 15 Bracket [additional financial resources] in second sentence of Secretariat text. Para. 23 Fourth sub-para., line 2 Bracket [conservation Protocol or] insert [or Agreement] after convention) First sentence would then read: "We call for the development of a World Forest [Conservation Protocol or] convention [or Agreement]" ANNEX 3 LIST OF PARTICIPANTS GOVERNMENT REPRESENTATIVES COUNTRY NAME/CAPACITY/ADDRESS ALGERIA Dr. K.E. Mostefa Kara Chargé d'études et des synthèses 19, Ali Khodja Alger Algeria Tel: 74.76.29 Tlx: 66.137 MIN TRAS ARGENTINA Mr. Gregorio Dupont Plenipotentiary Minister Permanent Mission 10, route de l'Aéroport 1215 Geneva 15 Tel: 798 1952 Fax: 798 5995 Tlx: 415 300 Ms Viviana Berdou Secretary of Embassy Permanent Mission 10, route de l'Aéroport 1215 Geneva 15 Tel: 798 1952 Fax: 798 5995 Tlx: 415 300 - 2 - ARGENTINA (cont'd) Ms Ana Maria Moglia Secretary of Embassy Permanent Mission 10, route de l'Aéroport 1215 Geneva Tel: 798 1952 Fax: 798 5995 Tlx: 415 300 Ms. Ana Maria Bianchi International Organizations Department Ministry of Foreign Affairs Reconquista 1088 1088 Buenos Aires Tel: (541) 312 4481/95 Fax: Tlx: 21246 METEO AR Mr. Luis Brasesco National Senator Honourable Congress of the Argentinian Republic Buenos Aires AUSTRALIA Mr. Ronald Walker Ambassador Permanent Representative to UN in Geneva 56, rue de Moillebeau 1209 Geneva Tel: 734 6200 Fax: 7336586 Tlx: 22665 austn ch Mr. John Whitelaw Assistant Secretary Environment Protection Division Department of the Arts, Sport, the Environment Tourism and Territories P.O. Box 787 Canberra Act 2611 Tel: (61-6) 274 1499 Fax: (61-6) 274 1123 (28LISTPA) - 3 - AUSTRALIA (cont'd) Mr. William Kininmonth Superintendent National Climate Centre Bureau of Meteorology GPO Box 1289 K Melbourne Vic. 3001 Tel: (03) 669 4086 Fax: (03) 669 4515 Tlx: AA 30664 Dr. Palitha T. B. Kohona First Secretary Permanent Mission 56, rue de Moillebeau 1209 Geneva Tel: 734 6200 Fax: 7336586 Tlx: 22665 austn ch Ms Lisa Willis Secretary Permanent Mission 56 rue de Moillebeau 1209 Geneva Tel: 734 6200 Fax: 7336586 Tlx: 22665 austn ch AUSTRIA Ms. Renate Christ Counsellor Ministry for Environment Youth and Family Vienna Tel: 711 58 4889 Fax: 711 58 4221 Mr. Willy Kempel First Secretary Permanent Mission 9-11, rue de Varambé 1211 Geneva 10 Tel: 7337750 Fax: 7344591 Tlx: 22471 aegf ch (28LISTPA) 4 BANGLADESH H. E. Harun-ur Rashid Ambassador Permanent Mission 65, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 732 5940 Fax: 7384616 Tlx: 28554 doot ch Mr. Iftikharul Karim Counsellor Permanent Mission 65, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 732 59 40 Fax: 7384616 Tlx: 28554 doot ch Mr. M.H.K. Chowdhury Director of Meteorological Department Meteorological Complex Agargaon Dhaka 1207 Ms. Nasim Firdaus First Secretary Permanent Mission 65, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 732 59 40 Fax: 7384616 Tlx: 28554 doot ch BELGIUM Mr. Marc Gudopt First Secretary Permanent Mission 58, rue de Moillebeau 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 733 0581/58/59 Mr. Jean-Paul Poncelet Cabinet du Secrétaire d'Etat à l'Environnement Place Quetelet 1030 Brussels Tel: 02 2 90119 (28LISTPA) - 5 - BHUTAN Mr. T. Tashi Under Secretary National Environmental Secretariat of National Planning Commission Thimpu Tel: 22226, 22832 Fax: Tlx: 204 PLANCOTPU BT BOLIVIA Gonzalo de Acha Prado Permanent Mission 7, rue du Valais 1202 Geneva Tel: 7312725 Fax: 7380022 Tlx: 23650 delbo Ms. Vilma Banzer First Sercretary Permanent Mission 7, rue du Valais 1202 Geneva Tel: 7312725 Fax: 7380022 Tlx: 23650 delbo BRAZIL Mr. Pedro M. P. Coelho Counsellor Permanent Mission, 33 rue Carteret 1202 Geneva Tel: 733 3150 Fax: 7332834 Tlx: 23187-23428 dgbr ch Mr. Fernando Coimbra Ministry of Foreign Affairs Divisao Especial do Meio Ambiente (DEMA) Brasilia Tel: 211 6864/65/77 Fax:061 2237362 T1x:061 6113 11/19 MNRB R (28LISTPA) - 6 - BRAZIL (cont'd) Mr. Luiz-Gylvan Meira Filho Director of Earth Observation Institute for Space Research P. O. Box 515 12.211 Sao Jose dos Campos Sao Paolo Tel: (55) 123 22 92 56 Fax: (55) 123 21 87 43 Tlx: (123) 3530 INPE BR BULGARIA H. E. Izgrev N. Topkov Ambassador Chief of a Political Department President of the Governing Council of UNEP Ministry of Foreign Affairs U1 "Al Jendov" 2 Sofia Tel: 70 4007 Tlx: 22530 CANADA Dr. K. Dawson Director General Canadian Climate Centre Environment Canada 4905 Dufferin Street Downsview, M3H 5T4 Tel: (416) 739 4430 Fax: (416) 739 4380 Mr. Brian Herman Deputy Director Energy & Environment Division Department of External Affairs L. B. Pearson Building 125 Sussex Drive Ottawa, K1A OG2 Tel: (613) 992 0503 Fax: (613) 992 6002 Tlx: 053 3745 Dr. J. Stone Canadian Climate Centre Environment Canada, Place du Portage Phase II Level.C 165, Hôtel de Ville Hull, KIA oH3 Tel: (819) 953 4824 Fax: (819) 953 0505 (28LISTPA) - - 7 CANADA (cont'd) Mr. J. Sloan Counsellor Permanent Mission 1, rue du Pré-de-la-Bichette 1202 Geneva Tel: 733 9000 Fax: 734 7919 CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC Mr. Saï Martin Directeur Direction générale de la Météorologie B.P. 224 Bangui Tel: 61.53.16 Tlx: 5335 RC CHILE Mr. Sigisfredo Monsalve Deputy Director for Special Politics Department Ministry of Foreign Affairs Santiago Tel: 562 698 0301 Fax: 562 699 4202 Mr. Jaime Acuna Counsellor Permanent Mission 56, rue de Moillebeau 1209 Geneva Tlx: 22 142 Dehil Ch Fax: 734 41 94 Tel: 734 5130 CHINA Mr. Zou Jingmeng President of WMO Administrator State Meteorological Administration Baishiqiaolu 46 Western Suburb Beijing Tel: 8312277 Fax: 8618311191 Tlx: 22094 FDSMA CN (28LISTPA) - 8 - CHINA (cont'd) Mr. Shu-Kong Zhong Minister-Counsellor International Department Ministry of Foreign Affairs Beijing Tel: 550961 Mr. Dagun Liu Division Chief Treaty Law Dept, Ministry of Foreign Affairs 225 Chaunei Street Beijing Tel: 555520 Mr. Jian Tan Government Official Department of International Organizations Ministry of Foreign Affairs Beijing Tel: 550961 Mr. Caifang Wang Division Chief International Organizations & Co-operation, Foreign Affairs Department State Meterological Administration Beijing Tel: 89 1595 Fax: 831 1191 Mr. Lu Jicai First Secretary Permanent Mission Chemin de Surville 11 1213 Petit Lancy Tel: 7934203 Fax: 7937014 Tlx: 427941 mpc ch (28LISTPA) - 9 - COLOMBIA Ms Ligia Galvis Counsellor Permanent Mission 17-19 Ch. du Champ d'Anier 1209 Geneva Tel: 798 4554 Fax: 791 0787 Tlx: 415512 deco ch COTE D'IVOIRE Mr. Koffi Kouakou James Assistant de Programme à la Commission Nationale de l'Environnement BP. V.67 Abidjan Tel: 22 5354/22 6635 Tlx: 23339 Minima CI DEMOCRATIC PEOPLE'S Mr. Chung Song Li REPUBLIC OF KOREA Counsellor Permanent Mission 20, route de Pré-Bois 1215 Geneva Tel: 735 4370 DENMARK Mr. Ole Frijs-Madsen Secretary of Embassy Permanent Mission of Denmark 58, rue de Moillebeau 1209 Geneva Tel: 733 71 50/58/59 Tlx: 22530 damis ch Fax: 733 29 17 Mr. Ulrik Torp Head of Section National Agency of Environmental Protection 29 Strandgade DK-1401 Copenhagen Tel: 45 315 78310 Fax: 45 31 576 2449 Mr. Bo Lidegaard Ministry of Foreign Affairs, DMI Asiatisk Plans 2 DK-1448 Copenhagen Tel: +45 33 92 1304 Fax: +45 31 54 0533 Tlx: 31292 etr dk (28LISTPA) - 10 - EGYPT Dr. Mamdouh Shawky Counsellor Department of Legal Affairs Ministry of Foreign Affairs Cairo Tel: 724768 Ms. Naela Gabr Permanent Mission 49, Avenue Blanc 1202 Geneva Tel: 731 6530/39 Fax: 738 44 15 ETHIOPIA Dr. Tamirie Hawando Deputy Head of Economic & Social Dept, Responsible for Agriculture & Natural Resources Development Chairman of National Committee on Climate Change c/o General Manager, National Meteorological Services Agency P. O. Box 1090 Addis Ababa Tel: 128555 Tlx: 21474 TMET ET FINLAND H. E. Esko Kiuru Ambassador Ministry of Foreign Affairs Helsinki Tel: 1341 5585 Ms. Aira Kalela Assistant Director-General Ministry of the Environment Ratakatu 3 SF-00120 Helsinki Tel: 358 01991460 Fax: 358 01991499 Ms Satu Nurmi Senior Ministerial Secretary Ratakatu 3 SF-00120 Helsinki Tel: 35801991322 Fax: 35801991499 (28LISTPA) - 11 - FINLAND (cont'd) Mr. Juha P. A. Kuusi Counsellor Ministry for Foreign Affairs Box 176 00161 Helsinki Tel: 13 41 5726 Fax: 13 41 57 55 Mr. Jussi Manninen Senior Adviser Ministry of Trade and Industry Energy Department P.O. Box 37 SF-00131 Helsinki Tel: 358 01605243 Fax: 358 01602695 FRANCE Mr. Jean Ripert Special Adviser Ministry of Foreign Affairs 37 Quai D'Orsay 75007 Paris Tel: 4753 5138 Mr. Serge Antoine Ministry of the Environment 14, avenue du Général Leclerc Paris Tel: 47 58 12 12 Fax: 46 40 75 47 Ms Delphine Borione Cellule Environment Ministry of Foreign Affairs 37 Quai d'Orsay 75007 Paris Tel: 47 53 5138 Fax: 47 53 5085 Ms. Marie Laure Tanon Ministry of Foreign Affairs Legal Department 37 Quai D'Orsay 75007 Paris Tel: 33 1 47535353 (28LISTPA) - 12 - FRANCE (cont'd) Mr. Philippe Delacroix First Secretary Permanent Mission Villa "Les Ormeaux" 36, route de Pregny 1292 Chambésy Tel: 758 2123 Fax: 758 2123 GERMANY, FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF Dr. Wolfgang Hoffmann Head of Division Foreign Office 85 Adenauer Allee D-5300 Bonn Tel: 228 172781 Mr. Dietrich K.L. Kupfer Head of Division Ministry of the Environment Bernkastelerstrasse 8 D-5300 Bonn Tel: 228 305 2310 Dr. Wendelin Wilhelm Head of Division Ministry of Economics D-5300 Bonn 1 Tel: 228 615 3929 Ms. Monika Breuch-Moritz Federal Ministry of Transport D-5300 Bonn 2 Tel: 228 3007842 Fax: 228 3007849 Mr. Juergen Wenderoth Graurheindorferstr. 108 D-5300 Bonn 1 Tel: 228 6827361 Fax: 228 6827272 GHANA Mr. Kwame A. Tenkorang Counsellor Permanent Mission 56, rue de Moillebeau 1209 Geneva Tel: 734 9150 Fax: 734 9161 Telex: 22434 CH (28LISTPA) - 13 - GHANA (cont'd) Mr. S.O. Saaka Programme Officer Environmental Protection Council P.O. Box M.326 Accra Tel: 664697/8 Tlx: 2609 Environ-GH GREECE Dr. Ioannis Kinnas Permanent Mission 2 rue Thalberg 1201 Geneva Tel: 732 3356 Fax: 7322150 Tlx: 27035 GRECE CH HONDURAS Ing. Franklin Bertrand Anduray Advisor to the President Director Secretary National Commission of the Environment Presidential House Tegucigalpa, D. C. Tel: (504) 37 94 05 Fax: 32 87 16 Tlx: 1177 Mr. Jose E. Mejia Ucles Permanent Mission 6, route de Meyrin 1202 Geneva Tel: 733 6916 Fax: 734 1608 Tlx: 421376 INDIA Mr. K. Madhava Sarma Additional Secretary Ministry of Environment & Forests Paryavaran Bhavan C. G. O. Complex Lodi Road, New Delhi 110003 Tel: 362281/383468 Tlx: W 66185 DOE IN Ms. Deepa Wadhwa First Secretary Permanent Mission 9, rue du Valais 1202 Geneva Tel: 732 0859 (28LISTPA) - 14 - INDONESIA Dr. R. T. M. Sutamihardja Deputy Assistant Minister for Population & Environment JL Merdeka Barat 15 Jakarta Pusat Tel: (62 21) 37 4307 Fax: (62 21) 380 2183 Dr. N. Hassan Wirajuda Counsellor Permanent Mission 16, rue de St Jean 1203 Geneva Tel: 453350 Tlx: 415 906 PTRI CH Fax: 45 57 33 Mr. Heri Indra Jaya Third Secretary Permanent Mission 16, rue de St Jean 1203 Geneva Tel: 453350 Tlx: 415 906 PTRI CH Fax: 45 57 33 IRELAND Mr. John Cullen Principal Officer Environment International Section Department of the Environment Custom House Dublin 1 Tel: 353 1 786481 Fax. 353 1 742710 Tlx: 31014 ISRAEL Mr. A. Kerem Permanent Mission 9, Chemin de Bonvent 1216 Cointrin Tel: 9784500 ITALY Dr. Giancarlo Pinchera Ministry of Environment c/o ENEA Viale Regina Margherita 125 Rome 00198 Tel: 06 8528 24 26 Fax: 06 855 1000 (28LISTPA) - 15 - ITALY (cont'd) Dr. Corrado Clini Director of the Ministry of the Environment Ministry of the Environment P. Venezia 11 Rome Tel: 0667593265 Fax: 0667593267 JAPAN Mr. Keiichi Yokobori Deputy Director-General Global Environmental Affairs Minister's Secretariat Ministry of International Trade and Industry 1-3-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo 100 Tel: 813 501 3567 Fax: 580 0710 Mr. Saburo Kato Director General Global Environment Department Environment Agency 1-2-2 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-Ku Tokyo 100 Tel: 813 581 3351 Ext. 6730 Fax: 813 504 1634 Mr. Koji Yamamoto Director Observations Management Division Observations Department Japan Meteorological Agency 1-1-3 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo Tel: (03) 212 8341 Mr. Jun Okumura Director for International Affairs Global Environmental Affairs Office Ministry of International Trade and Industry 1-3-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo Tel: 81 3 501 7830 Fax: 81 3 580 0710 (28LISTPA) - 16 - JAPAN (cont'd) Mr. Shinichi Isashiki Director Global Environmental Affairs Division United Nations Bureau Ministry of Foreign Affairs 2-2-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo Tel: 03 581 3882 Fax: 03 591 4914 Mr. Hidemichi Takahashi Deputy Director Office of Pollution Control and Environmental Protection Minister's Secretariat Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries 1-2-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo Tel: 03 502 8111 Fax: 03 502 4185 Mr. Kazuo Kawahara Global Industrial & Social Progress Research Institute 7th Floor Mori Bldg No. 33 3-8-21 Toranomon, Minato-ku Tokyo 105 Tel: 03 435 8800 Fax:03 435 8810 Mr. Hiroya Ogata First Secretary Permanent Mission 10, Avenue de Budé 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 734 8400 Mr. Yoshiaki Nishimura Special Assistant Permanent Mission 10, Avenue de Budé 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 734 8400 KENYA Mr. J.K. Njihia Deputy Director of Meteorological Services Kenya Meteorological Department P. O. Box 30259 Nairobi Tel: 567880 Tlx: 22208 (28LISTPA) - 17 - KENYA (cont'd) Mr. J. N. O. Onyango Deputy Secretary Ministry of Foreign Affairs & International Cooperation P. O. Box 41395 Nairobi Ms. Amina C. Mohamed Second Secretary (Legal Adviser) Permanent Mission 80, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 7327272 KIRIBATI Mr. P.T. Timeon Secretary for Foreign Affairs P.O. Box 68 Bairiki, Tarawa Tel: (686) 21342 Fax: (686) 21466 MALAYSIA Ms. Hasmah Harun Leader Assistant Director General Department of Environment 12 & 13 Floor, Wisma Sime Darby Jalan Raja Laut 60000 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 293 8955 Fax: 293 1480 Tlx: Mostec Ma 28154 Mr. Chow Kok Kee Assistant Director Malaysian Meteorological Service Jalan Sultan 46667 Petaling Jaya Tel: 756 3203 Ms. Fadzillah Kamaruddin Federal Counsel Attorney General's Chambers Advisory & International Division Bangunan Bank Rakyat, Jalan Tangsi Kuala Lumpur Tel: 03 292 3077 Fax: 03 292 3031 (28LISTPA) - 18 - MALAYSIA (cont'd) Ms. Sudha Devi Second Secretary Mission of Malaysia 20, route de Pré-Bois 1215 Genève 15 Tel: 788 15 05 MALDIVES Mr. Abdullahi Majeed Director of Meteorology Department of Meteorology Malé 20.05 Tel: (960) 32 3303 Fax: (960) 32 4432 Tlx: (896) 66032 FINANCE MF MALI Dr. Moulaye Diallo Technical Counsellor Ministry of Environment and Livestock BP 1664 Bamako Tel: 226 024 Tlx: E FORET 52615 MJ (MALI) MALTA Prof. David Attard Ambassador P. O. Box 60 Slienna Tel: 356 997878 Fax: 356 247310 Tlx: 925 Legis MLT Mr. Anthony Borg First Secretary Ministry of Foreign Affairs Valetta Tel: 222407/223244 Fax: 227822 Tlx: 1100 MOD MLT MEXICO Lic. Patricia Lagrange-Martinez Chief of International Affairs Unit Ministry of Urban Development & Ecology Avenida Constituyento 947 Col. Belen de las Flores Mexico, D.F. C.P. 01110 Tel: 271 4510/271 25 57 Fax: 271 66 14 Tlx: 177 11 98 (28LISTPA) - 19 - MEXICO (cont'd) Ms. D. L. Ponce-Nava Legal Adviser's Office Ministry of Foreign Affairs Homero 213 - Piso 17 Polanco Mexico, D.F. 11570 Tel: (525) 254 7306 Fax: (525) 254 7316 MOROCCO Mr. Abderrahim Bebdaoud First Secretary Permanent Mission 18 A, Chemin François Lehmann 1218 Grand-Saconnex Tel: 798 1535 NAURU Prof. W. Jackson Davis Scientific Advisor and Executive Director Environmental Studies Institute 2309 Empire Grade Santa Cruz, California 95060, USA Tel: (408) 459 8353 Fax: (408) 459 8354 NETHERLANDS Prof. W. J. Kakebeeke Director, International Environmental Affairs Ministry of Housing, Physical Planning & the Environment, P. O. Box 450 2260 MB Leidshndam Tel: 31 70 31 74 712 Fax: 31 70 31 74 722 Dr. A. P. van Ulden Research Manager Head Physical Meteorology KNMI Royal Netherlands Meteorolocial Institute P. O. Box 201 3730 AE de BILT Tel: 31 30 206 447 Fax: 31 30 210 407 (28LISTPA) - 20 - NETHERLANDS (cont'd) Dr. P. Vellinga National Co-ordinator Climate Change Program P.O. Box 450 2260 MB Leidschendom Tel: 3170 3174452 Fax: 3170 3174449 NEW ZEALAND Mr. Peter Rider First Secretary Permanent Mission 28a, Chemin du Petit Saconnex 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 734 9530 Fax: 734 3062 NICARAGUA Mr. Alejandro Rodriguez Director-General, INETER Aptdo 2110, Managua Tel: 4 47 39 Fax: 4 18 90 Mr. Juan J. Gazol Minister Counsellor Permanent Mission 16, rue de Roveray 1207 Geneva Tel: 736 6644 Fax: 736 6012 Tlx: 413262 mini ch Ms Myrna Moncada Fonseca Third Secretary Permanent Mission 16, rue de Roveray 1207 Geneva Tel: 736 6644 Fax: 736 6012 Tlx: 413262 mini ch (28LISTPA) - 21 - NIGERIA Mr. Scott Omene Minister - Counsellor Permanent Mission 1, rue Richard Wagner 1211 Geneva 2 Tel: 734 2140 Mr. Eric Bell-Gam Second Secretary Permanent Mission 1, rue Richard Wagner 1211 Geneva 2 Tel: 734 21 40 Mr. George Agim Second Secretary Permanent Mission 1, rue Richard Wagner 1211 Geneva 2 Tel: 734 21 40 NORWAY Mr. Per M. Bakken Co-ordinator Air Pollution Ministry of the Environment P. O. Box 8013 Dep Oslo 1 Tel: 47 2 34 5985 Fax: 47 2 34 956 Mr. Jan Thompson Director General Ministry of the Environment P. O. Box 8013 N-0030 Oslo 1 Tel: 34 5480 Fax: 34 9561 Mr. Eivind Tandberg Economic Adviser Ministry of Finance P.O. Box 8008 Dep, 0030 Oslo 1 Tel: 02 34 43 22 Fax: 02 34 9505 (28LISTPA) - 22 - NORWAY (cont'd) Mr. Svein Aas Special Advisor Ministry of Foreign Affairs 7 Juni-Plassen 1 Oslo DEP., Oslo 1 Norway Tel: (47) 2 343366, 343600 PAKISTAN Mr. Aslam Khan Muhammad Second Secretary Permanent Mission 56, rue de Moillebeau 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 7347760 Fax: 7348085 Tlx: 23214 pak ch PAPUA NEW GUINEA Mr. Nilip Nakikus Counsellor Papua New Guinea Embassy, Bonn Gotenstrasse 163 D-5300 Bonn II Federal Republic of Germany Tel: (228) 376855 Fax: (228) 375103 Tlx: 886340 KUNDU D PARAGUAY Mr. L. Monney Mission Permanent 2, chemin des Mines 1202 Geneva Tel: 7386515 Fax: 7382760 Tlx: 24810 PERU Mr. Hubert Wieland Second Secretary Permanent Mission 63, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 731 1130/38/39 Tlx: 28802/03 Fax: 731 1168 Mr. Mario Lopez Chavarri Third Secretary Permanent Mission 63, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 731 1130/38/39 Tlx: 28802/03 Fax: 731-1168 (28LISTPA) - 23 - PHILIPPINES M. Leslie B. Gatan Second Secretary Permanent Mission 47, Avenue Blanc 1202 Geneva Tel: 731 83 20 Tlx: 22160 miphi oh Fax: 731 68 88 M. Bernarditas C. Muller Third Secretary Permanent Mission 47, Avenue Blanc 1202 Geneva Tel: 731 83 20 Tlx: 22160 miphi oh Fax: 731 68 88 PORTUGAL Mr. Emilio Aquiles de Oliveira Economic Counsellor Permanent Mission 1 rue Richard Wagner 1211 Geneva 20 Tel: 733 3200 Fax: 733 4110 Tlx: 23 129 REPUBLIC OF KOREA Mr. Chong Hoon Kim Second Secretary Permanent Mission 20, route de Pré-Bois 1215 Geneva Tel: 791 01 11 SAUDI ARABIA Dr. Abdulbar Al-Gain President MEPA P. O. Box 1358 Jeddah 21431 Tel: 651 2312 Fax: 6511424 Mr. Abdulwahab Dakkak Director General Natural Resources P. O. Box 1358 Jeddah 21431 Tel: 651 7832 Fax: 651 3640 (28LISTPA) - 24 - SAUDI ARABIA (cont'd) Dr. Mohammad Al-Sabban P. 0. Box 30304 Jeddah Fax: 478 3230 Dr. Mosaad Alaiban P. O. Box 247 Riyadh Fax: 478 3230 Mr. A. M. Al Shahri c/o ARAMCO P.O. Box 6771 Dhahran Tel: 875 0094 Fax: 873 9963 Mr. Sulaiman Budair Permanent Mission 263, route de Lausanne 1292 Chambésy Tel: 758 24 41 Fax: 738 41 28 Mr. Ahmed I. Mandoura MEPA P.O. Box 1358 Jeddah 21431 SINGAPORE Mr. Seng Eng Ong Senior Engineer Pollution Control Department Ministry of the Environment 40 Scotts Road Singapore 0922 Tel: 731 9672 Fax: 731 9651 Mr. Tek Liong Tong Second Secretary Permanent Mission, Geneva 6 bis, rue Carteret 1202 Geneva Tel: 44 73 30 Fax: 45 79 10 (28LISTPA) - 25 SPAIN Mr. Jose L. Candela Vice-Director General Technical & Scientific Co-operation Ministry for Foreign Affairs Abascal 41 28071 Madrid Tel: 441 41 44 Mr. Antonio Labajo Vice-Director General of Climatology Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia Paseo de las Moreras s/n Madrid Tel: 5819871 Fax: 5819767 Mr. Antonio Pou Technical Advisor to the Secretary-General for the Environment Secretaria de Medio Ambiente Po de la Castellana, 67 28071 Madrid Fax: 34 1 253 7811 Mr. Luis C. Mas Garcia Vice-Director General International Co-operation Department of Environmental Politics, Ministry of Urbanism (MOPU) Po de la Castellana, 67 28071 Madrid Tel: 533 1621 Fax: 533 0711 Mr. Fernando Garcia Casas Counsellor Permanent Mission 53, Avenue Blanc 1202 Geneve Tel. 731 2230 Fax: 731 5370 (28LISTPA) - 26 - SPAIN (cont'd) Mr. Jeronimo Zaragoza Garcia Vice Director General de Planificacion Energetica Ministerio de Industria y Energia Tel: 2597257 SRI LANKA Mr.Siridala Palihakkara First Secretary Permanent Mission 36, rue de Moillebeau 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 734 9340/49 Fax: 734 9084 Tlx: 23530 SUDAN Mr. Ahmed A. Wahab Ciubartalla Chargé d'Affaire Permanent Mission 56, rue Moillebeau 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 733 2560 168/69 Mr. Abdel Ghani Alnaim Third Secretary Permanent Mission, Geneva 56, rue Moillebeau 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 733 2560 168/69 SWEDEN Mr. Thomas Palme Counsellor for Environmental Affairs Ministry of Foreign Affairs P. O. Box 16121 S-10323 Stockholm Tel: 46 8 786 6000 Tlx: 10590 Fax: 723 11 76 Mr. Sture Irberger Head of Section Ministry of the Environment S-10333 Stockholm Tel: 46 8 763 2094 Fax: 46 8 24 1629 Tlx: 15499 (28LISTPA) - 27 - SWITZERLAND Mrs. Pascale Morand Francis Scientific Collaborator Federal Office of Environment Forests and Landscape 3003 Bern Tel: 031 61 6862 Fax: 031 61 9981 Mr. Jean-Bernard Dubois Head of Section Federal Office of Environment Forests and Landscape Hallwystrasse 4 3003 Bern Tel: 031 61 93 23 Fax: 031 61 99 81 Mr. Christian Pauletto Counsellor Bundesamt für Aussenwirtschaft Bundeshaus Ost 3003 Bern Tel: 61 2651 Fax: 61 2669 THAILAND Mrs. Monthip Sriratana Tabucanon Secretary, Global Environmental Conservation Committee Office of the National Environment Board Soi Piboonwatana 7, Rama 6 Rd Bangkok 10400 Tel: 279 2398 Fax: 279 0672 (28LISTPA) - 28 - TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO Ms. Donna Henry Foreign Service Officer Permanent Mission 37-39, avenue de Vermont 1202 Geneva Tel: 734 9130 Fax: 734 9138 TUNISIA Ms. Fethla Mezhoud Conventions Internationales et des relations extérieures à l'Agence Nationale de Protection de l'Environnement 15 rue 8000 Montplaisir 1002 Belvedere ANPE Tunis Tel: 785 618 Fax: 789 844 Ms Habib Tebourbi Secretary, Foreign Affairs Permanent Mission 58, rue Moillebeau 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 734 8450 Fax: 734 0663 TURKEY Dr. Murat Turkes State Meteorological Service Department of Weather Forecasts Ankara Tel: 359 7545/274 Mr. Tomur Bayer Counsellor Permanent Mission 28B, Chemin du Petit-Saconnex 1211 Geneva 19 Tel: 734 3930/38/39 Tlx: 23386 Turku ch Fax: 734 5209 UGANDA Mr. Philip Gwage Assistant Director of Meteorology-Climatology Ministry of Environment Protection Department of Meteorology Box 7025 Kampala Tel: 258 537/256166 (28LISTPA) - 29 - UNION OF SOVIET Dr. A. P. Metalnikov SOCIALIST REPUBLICS Deputy Chairman USSR State Committee for Hydrometeorology Pavlik Morozov Street 12 123376 Moscow Tel: 2552219 Dr. Sergei Martchouk First Secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Smolenskaya-Sennaya 32/34 Moscow Tel: 244 26 94 Dr. S. S. Khodkin Chief Department of International Co-operation USSR State Committee for Hydrometeorology Pavlik Morozov Street 12 123376 Moscow Tel: 252 38 73 Mr. Boris V. Smirnov Counsellor Permanent Mission 15, Avenue de la Paix 1202 Geneva Tel: 733 1870 Mr. Victor Bondarenko Second Secretary Permanent Mission 15, Avenue de la Paix 1202 Geneva Tel: 733 1870 UNITED KINGDOM Dr. D.J. Fisk Chief Scientist Department of the Environment Room A117 Romney House 43 Marsham St London SW1 Tel: 071 276 8369 Fax: 071 276 8355 (28LISTPA) - 30 - UNITED KINGDOM (cont'd) Mr. A. H. Davis Head of Global Atmosphere Division Department of the Environment Room A117 Romney House 43 Marsham St London SW1 Tel: 071 276 8239 Fax: 071 276 8285 Mr. J. M. Hammond Head of Climate Change Branch (International) Department of the Environment Room A121 Romney House 43 Marsham Street London SW1 Tel: 71 276 8837 Fax: 71 276 8285 Ms Helen May Pickering Third Secretary Permanent Mission 37-39, rue de Vermont 1211 Geneva 20 Tel: 734 3800/733 2385 Fax: 734 5254 Mr. A. R. Brenton Head, Environment Science & Energy Department Foreign Commonwealth Office King Charles Street London SW1 Tel: 270 2270 Mr. John Moss Deputy Head International Unit Department of Energy 1 Palace St. London SWIE 5HE Tel: 071 238 3494 Fax: 071 233 5807 Tlx: 91837 energyg (28LISTPA) - 31 - UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA Mr. Dominic T. Mussa Director Applied Meteorology Division Directorate of Meteorology P. O. Box 3056 Dar-Es-Salaam Tel: 32591 Fax: 32591 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Mr. R. A. Reinstein Deputy Assistant Secretary, OES/E Room 7825 Department of State Washington D.C., 20520 Tel: (202) 647-2232 Fax: (202) 647-0217 Mr. Daniel A. Reifsnyder Director Office of Global Change OES/EGC, Room 4329-A Department of State Washington D.C. 20520 Tel: (202) 647-4069 Fax: (202) 647-5947 Mr. J.R. Spradley Counsellor to Under Secretary for Oceans and Atmosphere U.S. Department of Commerce Room 5814HCHB Washington, D.C. 20230 Tel: (202) 377-2151 Fax: (202) 377-8203 Ms. Denise Dwyer International Economist U.S. Department of Energy IE-141, Room 7G-090 1000 Independence Ave. SW Washington DC 20585 Tel: 202 5866384 Fax: 202 5866148 (28LISTPA) - 32 - UNITED STATES OF AMERICA J.F. Fitzgerald (cont'd) Special Assistant for International Affairs Environmental Protection Agency 401 M St. SW Washington, D.C. 20460 Tel: 202 382 4034 Mr. Marty Yerg U.S. Department of Commerce Washington, D.C. 20230 Tel: (202) 377-2151 URUGUAY Lic. Fernando Gonzalez Guyer Director para Asuntos Especiales Ministerio de Relaciones Exteriores Palacio Santos Montevideo Tel: 90 2605 Lic. Ines Rodriguez Counsellor Permanent Mission 65, rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva Tel: 732 83 66 VENEZUELA Mrs. Martha Perdomo Co-ordinator Institutional Group of Climate Change Ministry of the Environment Apdo 66401 - Las Americas Caracas 1061-A Tel: 541 3132 Fax: 545 0607 Mr. Carlos R. Pestana Macedo Permanent Mission 18 A Chemin François Lehmann 1218 Grand Saconnex Geneva Tel: 798-2621 Fax: 798 5877 (28LISTPA) - 33 - VENEZUELA (cont'd) Ms. Imeria de Ooreman Abogado Asesor Jefe de la Oficina de Asuntos Internacionales Consultoria Juridica Torre MRE - Conde A Carmelitas - 4o Piso Consultoria Juridica Caracas Tel: 814631 Fax: 814632 YUGOSLAVIA Dr. Vid Vukasovic (representing the Federal Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology) Institute of International Politics & Economics Makedonska 25 11000 Belgrade Tel.: (011) 325 611 ZIMBABWE Mr. M.C. Zinyowera Director, Meteorological Services Department of Meteorological Services P.O. Box BE150 BELVEDERE (28LISTPA) - 34 - OBSERVERS UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE Mr. Ulrich Cording ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT UNCTAD Economic Affairs Officer (UNCTAD) E.10009 Palais des Nations Geneva Switzerland UNITED NATIONS Mr. Thierry Delbreuve DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME Programme Officer (UNDP) European Office Petit Saconnex 16, Avenue Jean Trembley Geneva Switzerland Tel: 798 58 50 UNITED NATIONS Mr. Janos Pasztor CONFERENCE ON ENVIRONMENT Senior Officer AND DEVELOPMENT C.P. 80 (UNCED) 1231 Conches Switzerland Tel: (41 22) 789 1676 Fax: (41 22) 789 3536 Mr. Lucas Assunção Executive Assistant to UNCED Secretary General C.P. 80 1231 Conches Switzerland Tel: (41 22) 789 1676 Fax: (41 22) 789 3536 UNITED NATIONS CENTRE FOR Mr. Lars D. Ludvigsen HUMAN SETTLEMENTS (HABITAT) Head of UNCHS (Habitat) Office Office E.3.1. Palais des Nations 1211 Geneva 10 Switzerland UNITED NATIONS Mr. Hans-Fredrik Samuelsson CENTRE ON TRANSACTIONAL Chief, ECE/UNCTC CORPORATION (UNCTC) Bureau 350 Palais des Nations 1211 Geneva 10 Switzerland Tel: 734 6011 (28LISTPA) - 35 - UNITED NATIONS Mr. Klaus Voigt EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC Deputy Secretary AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (UNESCO) 7, Place de Fontenoy 75007 Paris France Tel: 331 4568 3990/3 Fax: 331 4056 9316 Tlx: 204461 UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL Ms. Irene Lorenzo DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION Director (UNIDO) UNIDO Liaison Office Villa les Feuillantines Palais des Nations 1211 Geneva 10 Switzerland Mr. David Rakotopare Liaison Officer UNIDO Liaison Office Villa les Feuillantines Palais des Nations 1211 Geneva 10 Switzerland Tel: 733 2993 FOOD AND AGRICULTURE Mr. David Norse ORGANIZATION OF THE Senior Policy & Planning UNITED NATIONS (FAO) Co-ordinator Via delle Terme di Caracalla 00100 Rome Italy Tel: 396 5797 3216 Fax: 396 5797 4408 Mr. Lawrence C. Christy Chief, Development Law Service Via delle Terme di Caracalla 00100 Rome Italy Tel: 396 5797 3216 Fax: 396 5797 4408 (28LISTPA) - 36 - COMMISSION OF EUROPEAN Ms Lisbeth Dissing COMMUNITIES (CEC) 200 rue de la Loi (Brey 7/211) 1049 Brussels Belgium Tel: 2363395 Fax: 2350144 Mr. Ingolf Pernice Legal Advisor Commission of the EEC 200, rue de la Loi 1049 Brussels Belgium Tel: (322) 235 91 29 Fax: 236 30 86 Mr. Guy Corcelle Commission des Communautés Européennes 200, rue de la Loi 1049 Brussels Belgium EC COUNCIL SECRETARIAT Mrs Adèle Airoldi Council Secretariat 170, rue de la Loi 1048 Brussels Belgium Tel: 234 78 75 Fax: 234 81 07 CLIMATE NETWORK EUROPE Ms. Annie Roncerel Co-ordinator 98, rue du Trône 1050 Brussels Belgium Tel: 322/5143113 Fax: 322/5126673 (28LISTPA) - 37 - ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE FUND Mr. Scott A. Hajost Senior Attorney Suite 150 1616 P Street NW Washington D.C. 20036 U.S.A. Tel: (202) 387 3500 Tlx: 6503232147 Fax: (202) 234 6049 ENVIRONMENTAL LAW Mr. Richard N. Mott INSTITUTE ELI 1616 P Street NW Washington D.C. 20036 U.S.A. Tel: (202) 328 5150 Fax: (202) 328 5000 GREENPEACE INTERNATIONAL Mr. Paul E. Hohnen International Atmosphere Advisor 176 Keizersgracht Amsterdam 1016 DW The Netherlands Tel: 5236556 Fax: 523 6500 INTERNATIONAL Mr. Jean W. M. La Rivière COUNCIL OF Secretary General of ICSU SCIENTIFIC UNIONS 51 Boulevard de Montmorency (ICSU) F-75016 Paris France Tel: 33 1 4525 0329 Fax: 33 1 4288 9431 INTERNATIONAL PETROLEUM Mr. John Lemlin INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENTAL Executive Secretary CONSERVATION ASSOCIATION 2nd Floor Monmouth House (IPIECA) 87-93 Westbourne Grove London W2 4UL U.K. Tel: 071 221 2026 Fax: 071 229 4948 (28LISTPA) - 38 - INTERNATIONAL UNION FOR Mr. Danny Elder CONSERVATION OF NATURE Co-ordinator, International Union (IUCN) for Conservation of Nature Global Change Programme Avenue du Mont Blanc 1196 Gland Switzerland LEADERSHIP COUNCIL FOR Mr. Donald Pearlman EFFECTIVE CLIMATE CHANGE c/o Patton Boggs & Blow POLICIES 2550 M Street N.W Washington D.C. 20037 U.S.A. Tel: (202) 457 6512 Fax: (202) 457 6315 WORLD WIDE FUND FOR NATURE Mr. Adam C. J. Markham Head of Pollution & Consumer Policy CH-1196 Gland Switzerland Tel: 022 64 9223 Fax: 022 64 3239 Ms. U. Morgenthaler WWF Switzerland P.O. Box 8037 Zürich Switzerland Tel: 011 2722044 Fax: 011 2722844 United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) I. Topkov President of the Governing Council of UNEP M.K. Tolba Executive Director UNEP P. Usher World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Zou Jingmeng President of WMO G.O.P. Obasi Secretary-General WMO Jin Kui Assistant to President of WMO J.P. Bruce Advisor to the Secretary-General Erna Dar-Ziv Conference Officer (28LISTPA) - 39 - SWCC Secretariat H.L. Ferguson Co-ordinator, SWCC A. Alusa SWCC Secretariat A. Clerc SWCC Secretariat Joelee Joyce SWCC Secretariat J. Maunder SWCC Secretariat IPCC Secretariat N. Sundararaman Secretary, IPCC S. Tewungwa IPCC Secretariat (28LISTPA) Secretariat compilation of Articles 17 and 18 Rev.1 after discussion in plenary (28 September) Proposal by the chairman at the end of this discussion Title POLICY TARGETS FOR URGENT ACTION * 17. In order to achieve sustainable development, (1) [in all countries] [and to meet the needs of present and future generations, environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradations] we must [may] [will] base ourselves on the precautionary principle. (2) Environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradation. (3) [Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage,] lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to prevent environmental degradation [which are justified in their own right.] [The measures adopted should take into account the different socio-economic contexts.] 18. The potentially serious consequences of climate change give sufficient reasons to begin [by] adopting response strategies that can be justified [in their own right] immediately [for other reasons] even in the face of significant uncertainties: [including] [phasing out of [[production and use of]] CFC-[[use]] emissions], efficiency improvements and conservation in energy supply, [and use] sustainable forest management, [afforestation schemes, proper land use planning,] use of cleaner and more efficient energy sources, review of agricultural practices. [Further actions should be pursued in a phased and flexible manner on the basis of, in the long-term goals and strategies, [at the national, regional or global level] taking advantage of scientific advance and technological development to meet both environmental and economic objectives.] 18. SAUDI ARABIA [alternative] [We note that a mechanism is being set up by WMO and UNEP to undertake the necessary intergovernmental negotiations on global warming.] * Alternative title by USA: [POLICY CONSIDERATIONS] 1) Definition of sustainable development as agreed at the 15th session of UNEP Governing Council (Annex II UNEP/GC 15/L.37). 2) Saudi Arabia proposes to delete two last sentences and reference to precautionary principle. 3) Bangladesh proposes: "Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, measures to prevent environmental degradation should be taken on the basis of full scientific certainty." 28 September 1990 Secretariat compilation of Article 19 after discussion in plenary (Stabilization and reduction of greenhouse gases) [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol] Para. 19 We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize and reduce greenhouse gas concentrations [emissions] [noting that following the IPCC Report the long-lived gases such as CO₂, N₂O, and CFC could require immediate reductions in emissions from human activities of over 60% to stabilize their concentrations at today's levels; methane would require a 15-20% reduction.] SWITZERLAND [Alternative] [We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize greenhouse gas concentration at a level that would prevent anthropogenic interference with climate.] USA Delete para. 19. UK Delete "reduce greenhouse gas concentrations". 28 September 1990 Secretariat compilation of Article 20 after discussion in plenary We stress, as a first step, the need to stabilize, while ensuring [stable] [sustainable] development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. [Obligations should be equitably differentiated according to countries' respective responsibilities for causing and combatting climate change and their level of development.] USA [Alternative] [We recognize that the most effective response strategies, especially in the short-term, are those which are: Justified for reasons other than climate change and also provide beneficial impacts on potential climate change; Economically efficient and cost effective; Able to serve multiple social, economic, and environmental purposes; Easily modified to respond to increased scientific and economic understanding of climate change; Compatible with the concept of sustainable economic growth and development; Compatible with the concept of a comprehensive approach that deals with all sources and sinks of greenhouse gases; Administratively practical and effective in terms of applications, monitoring, and enforcement; and inclusive of obligations by both industrialized and developing countries.] 28 September 1990 Secretariat compilation of Article 21 after discussion in plenary Para. 21 We agree that stabilization of [C02 emissions] [greenhouse gas emissions] [in particular CO₂ emissions] [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol] should be achieved [jointly] by industrialized countries by the year [2000] * and should be set at [lowest possible] [present] ** emission levels. [We urge all countries to set achievable national targets and programs to achieve those targets.] USA [Alternative] [We recommend that limitation and adaption strategies be considered as an integrated package that complement each other to minimize net costs. These strategies should include measures which limit emissions from greenhouse gas sources as well as those which increase the ability of natural systems to utilize greenhouse gases. A comprehensive approach is needed which considers the costs of reducing emissions of different greenhouse gases and the effects of those reductions on potential climate change.] UK [Alternative] We agree that stabilization of the global warming potential of greenhouse gases should be achieved by industrialised by the year [2000] and should be set at [present] emission levels. * Uruguay, Austria, Japan and Denmark propose to delete the brackets. Uruguay, Austria, Denmark delete the brackets USSR Delete the para. although USSR can agree with the paras. 19-23 proposed by Norway. THE NEW Y EARLIER HARM SEEN IN GLOBAL WARMING Don't и Severe Damage in First Years of Next Century Forecast by Study for the U.N. By WILLIAM K. STEVENS After two years of study, an interna- tional group of scientists working under United Nations auspices has found that global warming could cause serious environmental damage start- ing in the early years of the next cen- tury, long before the maximum tem- perature levels predicted by many scientists are reached. ! And for the first time, they recom- mended establishing limits beyond which the average global temperature and sea level should not be permitted to rise, lest the world be subjected to seri- ous and ever-increasing risks. These limits are well below the levels that another international scientific panel said last June will ultimately re- sult if heat-trapping gases, mainly car- bon dioxide, continue to pour into the atmosphere at the present rate. A report issued yesterday also in- cludes a detailed analysis of measures that might bring the expected warming under control and concludes that if the measures are aggressively pursued, the limits can be achieved. Steps Toward Formal Treaty The conclusions, recommendations and supporting analyses will furnish grist for the Second World Climate Conference starting in Geneva on Oct. 29, a gathering sponsored by the United Nations at which governments from around the world expect to take the first steps toward what they hope will be a formal treaty aimed at controlling global warming. Two international groups of scien- tists have been studying the problem, both with United Nations sponsorship. One, operating as part of the Intergov- ernmental Panel on Climate Change, was formed in late 1988 to advise the governments attending the World Cli- mate Conference. The other, which was formed in 1986 and was the progenitor of the intergovernmental panel, has no government affiliation but rather is an association of independent scientists called the Advisory Group on Green- house Gases. The independent group's report, issued yesterday in London, Stockholm and New York, goes beyond the scien- tific assessment of the intergovern- mental panel, made public last June, in attempting to set targets for the con- trol of global warming. 29, a gathering sponsored by the United Nations at which governments from around the world expect to take the AL first steps toward what they hope will be a formal treaty aimed at controlling global warming. Two international groups of scien- tists have been studying the problem, both with United Nations sponsorship. 2 One, operating as part of the Intergov- ernmental Panel on Climate Change, was formed in late 1988 to advise the governments attending the World Cli- mate Conference. The other, which was ALRI formed in 1986 and was the progenitor of the intergovernmental panel, has no government affiliation but rather is an association of independent scientists called the Advisory Group on Green- & SPEC house Gases. The independent group's report, issued yesterday in London, Stockholm and New York, goes beyond the scien- tific assessment of the intergovern- mental panel, made public last June, in attempting to set targets for the con- EVE trol of global warming. Among the practical measures that the scientists said might be taken to FROM #:1 limit the warming were improved energy efficiency, greater reliance on natural gas, reforestation and the adoption of alternative energy sources that are both technologically and eco- Wools enric nomically feasible. The sources include solar, wind, geothermal and biomass technologies. "Limiting emissions so we can stay below the minimums should be attainable," said Michael Op- penheimer, senior scientist for the En- vironmental Defense Fund, who was the chairman of the working group on EN control measures. Rate of Increase Forecast FROM CHRI In June, the scientists advising the intergovernmental group predicted that under what it called the "business K. as usual" scenario, the average global temperature would rise by nearly two Trenche degrees Fahrenheit by the year 2025 and by more than five degrees by the end of the next century. The rate of in- crease, which scientists say is as im- portant as the absolute increase be- cause of the difficulty of adjusting to rapid climatic change, was predicted at about half a degree per decade. In the report issued yesterday, the in- FROM JO dépendent scientists said that to mini- mize the risk of environmental dam- age, the rate of increase should be held EVAI below one-fifth of a degree per decade. An absolute increase beyond 1990 of Swinge more than about two degrees above pre-industrial levels, it said, "may elicit rapid, unpredictable and non-lin- ear responses that could lead to exten- sive ecosystem damage." Non-linear responses refer, for example, to sudden jumps in global temperature rather than even, gradual increases. The report last June of the intergov- ernmental scientific panel said that the world has already warmed by about half a degree to one degree since the in- FROM GALI dustrial age began, but scientists do not know whether this rise was caused by greenhouse gases emitted as a result of Flight human activity or whether it is attrib- utable to natural climatic variability and therefore, possibly, is temporary. "Severe Impacts' Without Action The report said that the atmosphere may already contain enough heat-trap- ping gases to push the global tempera- He ture above the two-degree target. "This means that unless we take very prompt and significant actions to re- should be attainable," said Michael Op- penheimer, senior scientist for the En- vironmental Defense Fund, who was the chairman of the working group on control measures. EV Rate of Increase Forecast FROM CHRIS In June, the scientists advising the intergovernmental group predicted that under what it called the "business KA as usual" scenario, the average global temperature would rise by nearly two degrees Fahrenheit by the year 2025 Trenchco and by more than five degrees by the end of the next century. The rate of in- crease, which scientists say is as im- pertant as the absolute increase be- cause of the difficulty of adjusting to rapid climatic change, was predicted at about half a degree per decade. In the report issued yesterday, the in- FROM JO dépendent scientists said that to mini- mize the risk of environmental dam- age, the rate of increase should be held EVAN below one-fifth of a degree per decade. "An absolute increase beyond 1990 of more than about two degrees above Swingco pre-industrial levels, it said, "may elicit rapid, unpredictable and non-lin- ear responses that could lead to exten- sive ecosystem damage." Non-linear responses refer, for example, to sudden jumps in global temperature rather than even, gradual increases. The report last June of the intergov- ernmental scientific panel said that the - world has already warmed by about half a degree to one degree since the in- FROM GALL dustrial age began, but scientists do not know whether this rise was caused by greenhouse gases emitted as a result of Flight human activity or whether it is attrib- utable to natural climatic variability and therefore, possibly, is temporary. 'Severe Impacts' Without Action The report said that the atmosphere may already contain enough heat-trap- ping gases to push the global tempera- Hei ture above the two-degree target. "This means that unless we take very prompt and significant actions to re- duce greenhouse emissions, we're very likely to experience severe impacts," Our said Peter Gleick, a co-chairman of the working group dealing with targets. He directs the global environmental pro- grams of the Pacific Institute in Berke- ley, Calif., a non-profit research insti- P1 tute. The report established an "upper limit" of about 3.5 degrees in tempera- 4 ture increase since the start of the in- dustrial age "beyond which the risks of grave damage to ecosystems, and of non-linear responses, are expected to increase rapidly." While the voluminous study was re- viewed in detail by other scientists be- fore it was issued, not all authorities were initially prepared to give it un- qualified endorsement. "It sounds as if they've taken the worst-case scenarios and tried to make the case for a maximum effort," said William D. Nordhaus, a Yale Univer- sity economist who cautioned that he had not yet had a chance to read the re- port. He has been the chairman or co- chairman of a number of National Coats in misses sizes 4 to 16, petites 2 to 14; dow Academy of Sciences panels looking Sixth Floor, Lord & Taylor, Fifth Avenue. And at Lord & Taylor, Westchester, Stamford, Manhasset, Garden City, Ridgewo into global warming. Lord & Taylor Pricing Policy: Our regular and original prices are offering prices only and may or may not have resulted XEROX TELECOPIER 295 ; 22-72-27:27:?? ??; CCITT G3 # 2 SENT BY: :10-12-90 ; 15:45 ; 2023283729- 2240580;# 2 PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION WHAT'S NEW, Friday, 12 October 1990 Washington, DC 1. GORE ACCUSES WHITE HOUSE OF SABOTAGING CLIMATE NEGOTIATION! In a hearing on coral bleaching yesterday, Sen. Albert Gore (D- TN) grilled John Knauss of NOAA, who will represent the US at the upcoming Second World Climate Conference (WN 5 Oct 90). Gore charged the US delegation with attempting to "weaken and dilute every proposal to actually do something. Knauss argued that it's too soon to get into details of CO2 stabilization. Gore complained that "Mr. Sununu is handling the climate negotiations the same way he handled the budget negotiations." He wondered why Knauss, a deputy administrator at NOAA, and not EPA head William Reilly, will be representing the US. A top EPA official commented privately that no one at EPA was eager to have Reilly undergo such a grilling. Like most scientists working on the problem, he said, Reilly's personal views differ from White House policy. Officials from the World Meteorological Organization feel the US government is not taking global warming seriously. A NOAA lawyer caused an uproar in Geneva when he answered the concerns of the minister of environment from low-lying Bangladesh about a rise in sea level: "Before you had COWS, now you'll have fish." 2. SEMI-TOUGH COMMITTEE SANCTIONED SALE OF SEMI-GAS SYSTEMS. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), is charged with reviewing proposed foreign takeovers for the Presi- dent, who has authority to block such sales on national security grounds. CFIUS does not seem unduly alarmed; of 460 takeovers reviewed so far, only one was ever blocked. But in a hearing on Wednesday, Sen. Gore (he had a busy week) questioned approval of the acquisition of Semi-Gas Systems by Nippon Sanso. Semi-Gas has been an active participant in Sematech, a research consortium funded by US tax-payers and the semiconductor industry to compete with Japan; since 1988 the selling price of Semi-Gas rose from $5M to $23M. Sematech claims a confidentiality agreement, which was not in place prior to the sale, does not adequately protect their technology. Sematech was not consulted about the agreement, and first heard about it from the Wall Street Journal. "You've been taken to the cleaners," Gore declared to CFIUS officials. 3. AN OFFICE OF TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT REPORT ON SPACE DEBRIS, released yesterday, dampened jubilation at NASA over its first shuttle flight in over five months. Discovery sent the Ulysses spacecraft on a mission to investigate the polar regions of the Sun. According to OTA, the low-Earth orbits reached by the shuttle may be too cluttered with space junk to use in another decade. It's more bad news for Freedom, NASA's proposed orbiting pork barrel. A GAO report last April (WN 27 Apr 90) warned that the space debris model NASA used to design Freedom underestimated the hazard. Spy satellites also populate low-Earth orbits, and SDI envisions putting up 4,600 Brilliant Pebbles, exacerbating the problem of debris from space-weapons tests. The OTA report calls for international agreements to curb additional littering. Robert L. Park (202) 232-0189 The American Physical Society Non-paper beneva Prep Meeting for surce DRAFT MINISTERIAL DECLARATION Sept. =4 30 NORWAY PREAMBLE 1. We, the Ministers from countries representing the world community met in Geneva, Switzerland, from 6 to 7 November 1990 at the Second World Climate Conference. 2. Being deeply concerned by the global climate change issue, we commit ourselves to take active and constructive steps in a global response. 7. We appreciate the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) established by U.N.E.P. and W.M.O. and its First Assessment Report on the causes and effects of climate change. It has identified strategies to delay, limit or mitigate the impact of climate change, and at the request of United Nations General Assembly has proposed possible elements for inclusion in a convention on climate. DEFINITION OF PROBLEM AND RISKS 8. From the IPCC report we note that global climate change poses environmental threat of a magnitude the world has never known before. Human activities which have lead to the emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere have so far committed the Global Commons to an irreversible warming. GLOBAL STRATEGY 9. Recognizing that climate change is a global problem of unique character, we consider that a global response must be decided and implemented without further delay based on the best available knowledge such as those resulting from the IPCC assessment. Recognizing further that the principle of equity should be the basis of any global response to climate change and the common but differentiated responsibility of countries, industrialized countries, which are responsible for most of the observed increase in the greenhouse gases' concentration in the atmosphere must take the lead, commit themselves to immediate action and provide resources and assistance to developing countries to help them in addressing climate change in a way compatible with their development needs. To this end there is a need to provide the necessary support, including new, additional and specific financial assistance to the developing countries. I. ROLE OF SCIENCE IN IMPROVING OUR UNDERSTANDING, CAPACITY OF PREDICTION AND OUR RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE 12. We reaffirm that, in order to reduce uncertainties, to increase our ability to predict (including early identification of as yet unknown climate-related problems) and to design scientifically sound response strategies, there is a need to strengthen both national and international activities in research, monitoring, and data and information exchange related to climate change. We stress that special efforts be directed to key areas of uncertainty. II. TARGETS FOR URGENT POLICY ACTION (Precautionary measures) 17. In order to achieve sustainable development, we must base ourselves on the precautionary principle. Environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradation. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to prevent environmental degradation. 18. The potentially serious consequences of climate change give sufficient reasons to begin adopting response strategies that can be justified immediately even in the face of significant uncertainties: phasing out of CFC-emissions, efficiency improvements and conservation in energy supply, sustainable forest management, use of clearer and more efficient energy sources, review of agricultural practices. (Stabilization and reduction of greenhouse gases) 19. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize and reduce greenhouse gas concentrations. 20. We stress, as a first step, the need to stabilize, while ensuring stable development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. 21. We agree that stabilization of greenhouse gas emissions should be achieved by industrialized countries by the year [2000] and should be set at [present] emission levels. 22. We stress, in establishing emissions reduction targets, the need for a sound and equitable basis for setting such targets and the need for cost-effective measures to reach the targets. 23. We recommend that the specifications of the obligation to stabilize and reduce greenhouse gases emissions be realized in the form of separate Protocols to the Climate Convention. Some of these protocols could be negotiated concurrently with the framework convention. (Special Situation of Developing countries) 24. We recognize that emissions from developing countries with, their as yet, relatively low energy requirements, and which can reasonably be expected to grow in step with their development may have targets that accomodate that development. Developing countries should, within the limits feasible, take measures to suitably adopt their economies. Recognizing the poverty that prevails among the populations of developing countries, it is natural that achieving economic growth is given priority by them. We recommend that new and additional resources should progressively be mobilized to help developing countries take the necessary measures to address climate change consistent with their development needs. 26. We further recommend that consideration should be given to the need for funding facilities including the proposed World Bank/UNEP/UNDP "Global Environmental Facility". Such funding should eventuallly be related to the implementation of the climate convention and associated protocols. (Economic instruments) 31. Economic or market based instruments frequently offer the potential of achieving environmental improvements at lower costs than through regulatory mechanisms. We recommend that new policies at both the national and international level be established making extensive use of economic instruments in conjunction with a balanced mix of regulatory approaches in order to increase efficiency. Such instruments could include: (i) taxes on environmentally damaging activities and energy inefficient product (ii) emission trading (tradeable permits/allowances) (iii) reduction or, wherever possible, elimination of subsidies to energy intensive and other activities that induce climate change (iv) other measures such as emission changes and fees deposit refund systems and fiscal incentive (Role of the Energy and Transport Sector) We note that the energy sector presently accounts for nearly half of the man-made greenhouse effect and is projected to increase substantially. We recognize that an environmentally sound development must include policies which will ahieve a sustainable energy system and take the environmental costs and benefits of energy fully into account. We urge the promotion of energy efficiency as the most cost effective immediate measure for reducing energy-related emissions of atmospheric pollutants, in particular CO2. (Technology development) We recognize that there is no single quick-fix technological option for limiting greenhouse gas emissions. However, we are convinced that technological breakthrough is a key element of any long-term strategy that deals with climate change in a way that meets the goal of sustainable development. Therefore, we urge all countries, the industrialized countries in particular, to intensify their efforts and international cooperation in development of "new" and "green" technologies. (Transfer of technology) 33. We urge that relevant technology be utilized by all sectors in all countries to the full extent possible and further urge all countries, industrialized and developing, to identify and take effective measures to remove barriers to the dissemination of the best available technology. There is a need for the rapid transfer to, the developing countries, on a preferential basis, of technologies for addressing climate change. (Forestry) 34. We recognize that the conservation of the worlds's forests is of crucial importance for global climatic stability, particularly having regard to the important contribution of forest destruction to global warming through the emission of carbon-dioxide, methane and other trace gases. We stress the need to reduce the rate of deforestation and to enhance the potential of the world's forests as a sink for greenhouse bases, through vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation. We endorse the target included in the Noordwijk Declaration of achieving net global forest growth of 12 million hectares per year,) through conservation of existing forests and through agressive programmes of reforestation and afforestation. (Desertification) 36. We recommend that precautionary measures be adopted by donors in collaboration with the countries concerned, i.a. through stepped-up financial contributions, to counter the increasing degradation of the productive resource base in areas affected by drought and desertification. III. GLOBAL FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE 37. We endorse the recommendations adopted 26 September 1990 by the Ad hoc-working group of government representatives to prepare for negotiations on a framework convention on climate change. We call for such negotiations to begin without delay after a decision is taken by the 45th Session of the UNGA recommending ways, means and modalities for further pursuing these negotiations. We urge all countries to join in these negotiations, with the aim of completing negotiations to ensure adoption of a Climate Convention and other relevant legal instruments by the time of the UN Conference on Environment and Development in 1992. We welcome the offer of the Government of the US to host the first negotiating meeting. 38. We recommend that such negotiations take account of the possible elements compiled by the IPCC, and that the Climate Convention be framed in such a way as to gain the support of the largest possible number of countries while allowing timely action to be taken. We stress, given the complex and multi-faceted nature of the problem of climate change, the need for new and innovative solutions. IV. INFORMATION AND PUBLIC AWARENESS 41. We believe that a well informed public is essential for addressing and coping with as complex an issue as climate change and urge countries, in particular, to encourage wide participation of all sectors of the population in addressing climate change issues and developing appropriate responses. THE NTERPARLIAMENTARY CONFERENCE ON THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT the Occers are at once the victim of and the Esace global Climatic change. death ofcords. 10/9/90 2 sets of 24-6 mg RichardMott can Endt Desntite lettley up for the convention my for uxtin 7-8-9 draft recended Bob delig Rhenester ml State hadded delegath J.R. 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Plo. grantify precirely what you whing - k * congetive econ. analysis germans & Japanase name policy there EPA geobal Charkes ad but the due date PHOTOCOPY PRESERVATION ( . . . . ) been agreed (h 7107 the plersary 29 September 1990 PREAMBLE Addender 1. I We, the Ministers from countries representing the world community met in Geneva, Switzerland, from 6 to 7 November 1990 at the Second World Climate Conference. 2. We note that while climate has varied in the past and there is still a large degree of scientific uncertainty, the rate of climate change predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to occur over the next century is unprecedented. This is due mainly to the accumulation of greenhouse gases, resulting from a host of human activities since the industrial revolution, particularly in industrialised countries. Such climate change could pose an environmental threat of a magnitude hitherto unknown, and could severely jeopardize the social and economic development of some areas, and could in some cases even threaten habitability. 3. We appreciate the work of the World Climate Programme (WCP) during the past decade which has improved understanding of the causes, processes and effects of climate and climate change. We also congratulate the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), established by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on its First Assessment Report on the causes and [possible] effects of climate change. It has identified strategies to limit and adapt to climate change, and in the light of the United Nations General Assembly resolutions, has identified possible elements for inclusion in a framework convention on climate change. 4. Recognising climate change as a common concern of mankind, we commit ourselves to take active and constructive steps in a global response. Proposal para. line 9: include meet [potential] after "such" Proposal para.2 to delete "and could in some cases even threaten Fri sat - Juh hability" and replace by: [Many believe that in some cases it even threatens survival, 47 an min specially for small islands, low- lying, coastal, arid and semi- Decl arid countries.] Proposal para. 4 add at the end: [without prejudice to sovereignty of states.] Zoa (cheme/ Topicojo Bulgaric continue fa. conceltations Can cha in ministerial meetry and see need bureey 209 sanscret chair drafting group Conduct ser smokion 28 September GLOBAL STRATEGY 5. Recognizing that climate change is a global problem of unique character, we consider that a global response [which ensures the stable development of the world economy] must be decided and implemented without further delay based on the best available knowledge such as that resulting from the IPCC Assessment. Recognizing further that the principles of equity and the common but differentiated responsibility of countries should be the basis of any global response to climate change, industrialized countries must take the lead and commit themselves to immediate action and enter into and strengthen cooperation with developing countries to enable them to adequately address climate change without hindering their national development goals and objectives. Developing countries must, within the limits feasible, commit themselves to appropriate action in this regard. To this end there is a need to contribute [new and] additional, adequate financial resources and transfer of technology on a [preferential] [fair and equitable] basis. alternative We recognize that climate change is a global problem of unique character, we also recognize that these exists many uncertainties in the fields of science, economics, plus the effecativeness at response options in limiting or averting Potential climate change. 28 September I. ROLE OF SCIENCE IN IMPROVING OUR UNDERSTANDING, CAPACITY OF PREDICTION AND OUR RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE 6. We reaffirm that, in order to reduce uncertainties, to increase our ability to predict climate and climate change on a global and regional basis, including early identification of as yet unknown climate-related issues, and to design sound response strategies, there is a need to strengthen both national and international, and if necessary regional activities in science. We recognize that commitments by governments are essential to sustain and strengthen the necessary research and monitoring programmes and the exchange of relevant data and information, with due respect to national sovereignity. We stress that special efforts must be directed to key areas of uncertainty. We maintain that there is a need to intensify research on the social and economic implications of climate change. We commit ourselves to promoting the full participation of developing countries in these efforts. We pledge our full support to the needs of the World Climate Programme including contributions to the WMO Special Fund for Climate and Atmospheric Environmental Studies. The magnitude of the problem being addressed is such that no nation can tackle it alone and we stress the need to strengthen international cooperation. In particular, we ask the [World Climate Programme] [WMO] [and other international organisations] to take the lead internationally in coordinating climate and climate change related scientific studies. alternative: to add at the beginning of the para. We reaffirm the scientific consensus that global warming is taking place owing to the greenhouse effect; and that the continued emission of greenhouse gases, [especially carbon dioxide, ] is committing the earth to significant future warming. 28 September II. POLICY TARGETS FOR URGENT ACTION * (Precautionary measures) 7. In order to achieve sustainable development, (1) in all countries and to meet the needs of present and future generations, environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradations. we must [may] [will] base ourselves on the precautionary principle. (2) Environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradation. (3) Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to prevent environmental degradation [which are justified in their own right]. The measures adopted should take into account the different socio-economic contexts. * Alternative title: [POLICY CONSIDERATIONS] 1) Definition of sustainable development as agreed at the 15th session of UNEP Governing Council (Annex II UNEP/GC 15/L.37). 2) Proposal to delete two last sentences and reference to precautionary principle. 3) Proposal: "Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, measures to prevent environmental degradation should be taken on the basis of full scientific certainty." 28 September 8. The potentially serious consequences of climate change give sufficient reasons to begin by adopting response strategies that can be justified (1) immediately [for other reasons] even in the face of significant uncertainties: [including] [phasing out of [production] and use of CFC emissions], efficiency improvements and conservation in energy supply and use, sustainable forest management, afforestation schemes, proper land use planning, use of cleaner and more efficient energy sources, review of agricultural practices. Further actions should be pursued in a phased and flexible manner on the basis of, in the long-term goals and strategies, at the national, regional or global level taking advantage of scientific advance and technological development to meet both environmental and economic objectives. alternative We note that a mechanism is being set up by WMO and UNEP to undertake the necessary intergovernmental negotiations on global warming. alternative: after "uncertainties" line 4 and in view of the potential risks of survival especially for small islands, low-lying, coastal, arid and semi-arid countries. 1) Proposal after "justified" in the third line to insert: [in their own right] 28 September (Stabilization and reduction of greenhouse gases [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol] (1) 9. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize [and reduce] greenhouse gas concentrations [emissions]. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize greenhouse gas concentration at a level that would prevent anthropogenic interference with climate. [noting that following the IPCC Report the long-lived gases such as CO2, N₂O, and CFC could require Refi immediate reductions in emissions from human activities of over 60% to stabilize their concentrations at today's levels; methane would require a 15-20% reduction.] Proposal to delete para. 9 1) Remark: Ministers are reminded of the analytical work of the IPCC on greenhouse gas emission targets as recommended by the Noordwijk Ministerial Declaration in November 1989. 28 September 10. We stress, as a first step, the need to stabilize, while ensuring sustainable development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. Obligations should be equitably differentiated according to countries' respective responsibilities for causing and combatting climate change and their level of development. alternative We recognize that the most effective response strategies, especially in the short-term, are those which are: Justified for reasons other than climate change and also provide beneficial impacts on potential climate change; Economically efficient and cost effective; Able to serve multiple social, economic, and environmental purposes; Easily modified to respond to increased scientific and economic understanding of climate change; Compatible with the concept of sustainable economic growth and development; Compatible with the concept of a comprehensive approach that deals with all sources and sinks of greenhouse gases; Administratively practical and effective in terms of applications, monitoring, and enforcement; and inclusive of obligations by both industrialized and developing countries. 28 September 11. We agree that stabilization of [in particular CO₂ emissions] [greenhouse gas emissions] [not controlled by the Montreal Protocol] [the global warming potential of greenhouse gases] should be achieved [jointly] by industrialized countries by the year [2000]* and should be set at [lowest possible] [present] ** emission levels. We urge all countries to set achievable national targets and programs to achieve those targets. alternative We recommend that limitation and adaption strategies be considered as an integrated package that complement each other to minimize net costs. These strategies should include measures which limit emissions from greenhouse gas sources as well as those which increase the ability of natural systems to utilize greenhouse gases. A comprehensive approach is needed which considers the costs of reducing emissions of different greenhouse gases and the effects of those reductions on potential climate change. * Proposal to delete the brackets. ** Proposal to delete the brackets Proposal to delete the para. 28 September 12. We urge industrialized countries to establish greenhouse gases [especially CO₂] [reduction programmes aiming at achieving at least 20% reduction of] [their current contribution to global warming potential], [its contribution to actual global warming potential] [possibly by the year 2005] and in [any case not later than the year 2010] [and appeal to all developing countries to establish their programmes equivalent to their status of development.] alternative We stress, [in establishing emissions reduction targets, the need for a sound and equitable basis for setting such targets and the need for cost- effective measures to reach the targets. ] [that if emissions reduction target were to be established. ] [We note the differencies today within the industrialized countries in the per capita emissions and urge the countries which have the highest rate to reduce these differencies due to account being taken of their specificities.] alternative We urge industrialized countries to establish greenhouse gas reduction programmes to reduce their current contribution to global warming and aiming at a 20% reduction of CO₂- emissions of 1988 levels by the year 2005 and in any case not later than the year 2010, and appeal to all developing countries to establish programmes equivalent to their status of development. Proposal to delete 28 September 13. We recognize that countries with, as yet, relatively low energy requirements, and which can be reasonably expected to grow in step with their development, may have targets that accommodate that development. countries shawd, within the 11 mits feasure, taken measures to scutably adapt their economies ) 28 September 14. We recommend that [any] [the] specification[s] of the obligation [s] [if any] to stabilize and [or] reduce [net] greenhouse gas [es] emissions [may] be realized in the form of [a] separate Protocols to the Climate Convention. [Some of these protocol [s] could be [negotiated [ [concurrently with the [framework] convention. ]] (1) [as expeditiously as possible. 11 [developed on the basis of consensus decisions by the negotiating body. ] 1) Proposal to delete the last sentence: "Some ... convention" 28 September 14 bis We urge industrialized countries to establish greenhouse gases reduction programmes aiming at achieving [at least 20%] reduction of their current contribution to global warming potential, [possibly by the year 2005] and in any case not later than the year 2010. Proposal to retain this para. if new para. 12 is not retained in the form proposed by the Secretariat. Proposal: para. should be put in brackets 28 September (Economic situation of certain countries) SECRETARIAT TEXT 15. We recognize that developing countries with, as yet, relatively low energy requirements, which can reasonably be expected to grow in step with their development, may have targets that accommodate that development. We also recognize that additional financial resources [will] [may] have to be made available to developing countries to enable them to limit their net emissions of greenhouse gases while ensuring a steady development of their economies; NORWAY [alternative] We recognize that emissions from developing countries with, their as yet, relatively low energy requirements, and which can reasonably be expected to grow in step with their development may have targets that accomodate that development. Developing countries should, within the limits feasible, take measures to suitably adopt their economies. Recognizing the poverty that prevails among the populations of developing countries, it is natural that achieving economic growth is given priority by them. We recommend that new and additional resources should pregressively be mobilized to help developing countries take the necessary measures to address climate change consistent with their development needs. 28 September (Funding) 16. We recommend that consideration should be given to the need for funding facilities [including the proposed World Bank/UNEP/UNDP "Global Environmental Facility"] [a clearing house mechanism] [and a possible new international fund] composed of [new and] additional financial resources for developing countries taking into account existing multilateral and bilateral mechanisms. Such funding should be related to the implementation of the framework climate convention. In the meantime industrialized countries are urged to co-operate with developing countries to support immediate action addressing climate change and sea level rise without imposing any new conditionality on developing countries. 28 September 17. "We recommend further that the scope of needed resources be assessed. Such assessments to be conducted as soon as possible should include inter alia country studies and mechanisms to meet the financing needs identified [similar to the approaches developed under the Montreal Protocol.] 28 September 18. International funding should be directed in priority to the sectors identified by the IPCC report, in particular: (i) promoting efficient use of energy (ii) arranging rapid transfer of technology on a [preferential] [fair and equitable] basis to, developing countries and technology development in these countries (iii) co-operating with developing countries to enable their full participation in international meetings on climate change. (iv) enhancing observational network, particularly in developing countries, to facilitate conducting research, monitoring and assessment of climate change. Funding should also be directed to the creation of regional centers to organize information networks on climate change in developing countries. 28 September (Economic instruments) 19 Economic or market based instruments frequently offer the potential of achieving environmental improvements at lower costs than through regulatory mechanisms. [We recommend that policies at the national and international level make extensive use of economic instruments] [appropriate to each country's socio- economic conditions] in conjunction with a balanced mix of regulatory approaches. [Such instruments could include taxes and charges, emission trading (tradeable permits/allowances), [subsidies], [elimination of subsidies to activities that induce climate change] and other measures such as fees and, deposit refund systems.] alternative: add a new sentence It is evident that the question of adoption of any form of Economic instrument raises many complex and difficult issues. Careful and substantive analyses of all implications of such instruments are needed. 28 September 1990 "Energy" 20. We note that energy production and use account for nearly half of the enhanced radiative forcing resulting from human activities and is expected to increase its contribution in the absence of appropriate response actions. We recognize the promotion of energy efficiency as the most cost effective immediate measures, in many countries, for reducing energy-related emissions of greenhouse gases, in particular CO₂ while other options such as no or lower greenhouse gas emitting energy sources should be pursued. Transport energy use attracts special attention of many of us in the light of its role in many industrialised countries and of its expected importance in many developing countries. (Role of the Energy and Transport Sector) alternative We note that the energy and transport sector presently accounts for nearly half of the man-made greenhouse effect and is projected to increase substantially. We recognize that an environmentally sound development must include policies which will achieve environmentally sustainable energy system [and take the environmental costs and benefits of energy fully into account.] We urge the promotion of energy conservation and of energy efficiency demand management and fuel switching as the most cost effective immediate measure for reducing energy- related emissions of atmospheric pollutants, [in particular CO₂.] (Cont'd) 28 September 1990 (Technology development and transfer of technology) 21. We recognize that there is no single quick-fix technological option for limiting greenhouse gas emissions. However, we are convinced that technological innovation as well as social behaviour and institutional adaptations is a key element of any long-term strategy that deals with climate change in a way that meets the goal of sustainable development. Therefore, we urge all countries, the industrialized countries in particular, to intensify their efforts and international cooperation in [technological research] development and dissemination of [deployment, including improvement amd reassessment of existing technologies.] [environmental favourable] "new" and ["green"] [renewable energy] technologies.] 28 September 22. We urge that [environmentally sound] technology be utilized by all sectors in all countries to the full extent possible and further urge all countries, industrialized, and developing, and least developed to identify and take effective measures to remove barriers to the dissemination of the best environmentaly safe technology. There is a need for the effective transfer to the developing countries, [on a preferential and non-commercial basis] [on a preferential and affordable basis] [on favourable terms], of technologies for addressing climate change. 28 September (Forestry) 23. We recognize that the conservation of the world's forests in their role as reservoirs and sinks of greenhouse gases along with other measures are/is of [crucial] [significant] importance for global climatic stability, [as well as the state of the environment in general] particularly having regard to the important contribution of forest destruction to global warming through the emission of carbon- dioxide, methane and other trace gases. We stress the need to reduce the rate of deforestation [in consonance with the objective of sustained yield development] and to enhance the potential of the world's forests as a sink for greenhouse bases, [through vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation.] [through improved management of existing forests and vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation.] [We endorse the target included] [We urge the earliest completion of the feasibility assessment called for] in the Noordwijk Declaration of achieving net global forest growth of 12 million hectares per year, through conservation of existing forests and through agressive programmes of reforestation and afforestation. We call for the develoment of a World Forest Conservation Protocol or Convention, covering boreal temperate subtropical and tropical forests in the context of or in association with a Climate Convention. We call on all countries to strengthen [and reform] [support and extend] the Tropical Forests Action Plan [to enable it to tackle forestry programmes effectively,] [process to all countries with tropical forests,] to strengthen the role of the [Food and Agriculture Organization and] International Tropical Timber Organisations and to support the countries concerned to implement sustainable management of forests through enhanced and well coordinated international cooperation. We also recognize that forests and forest products play a key social and economic role in many nations and communities. 2 We acknowledge that increasing population and economic growth would result in greater conversion of forest lands to other uses, unless offset by increased productivity in activities sustained by current land uses. We affirm and recognize the sovereign rights of all countries to make use of their natural resources. alternative to sub-para.1 "We recognize that the conservation of the world's forests is of crucial importance for global climatic stability, as well as the conservation of biological diversity, and the protection of soil stability and of the hydrological system. Forest destruction contributes to global warming through the emission of carbon-dioxide, methane and other trace gases. alternative for the three last lines of sub-para.1 " of forest as a sink for carbon- dioxide, and other trace gases. " Proposal to delete sub-paras. 4 to 8 in order to get balance with para. 20 (Energy) 28 September 24. We call finally for the development of a World Forest Conservation [Protocol or Convention,] [Convention or Agreement] covering temperate, boreal, subtropical and tropical forests, in the context of or in association with a Climate Convention which also addresses energy-related and other greenhouse gas emissions. The specific elements of such a protocol or convention are a matter for international negotiations which should begin at an early date. These elements may include: fundamental research, tropical and subtropical forest planning, measures to use, protect and reforest, international trade, financial assistance and possible national, regional and international targets for conservation, reforestation and afforestation. alternative We recommend that discussions on the protection and management of boreal, temperate, sub-tropical and tropical forest ecosystems must be well coordinated and compatible with other possible types of action related to reduction of emission of greenhouse gases, rational utilisation of biological diversity, financial assistance and the need for more favourable market conditions for timber and timber products that might be taken up by the Food and Agriculture rganisation, the United Nations Environment Programme, the World Meteorological Organisation and the International Tropical Timber Organisation. alternative We recommend a forest protocol to be developed in parallel to the Framework Convention on climate change, dealing especially with the role of forests as reservoirs and sinks for greenhouse gases. We further note with interest the initiative to develop a legal instrument on the protection and management of forests to stimulate positive forest actions and address threats to the world's forest. These considerations should take into account the work of IPCC but not delay or complicate ongoing negotiations of a Framework Convention on climate change and related legal instruments. 28 September (Desertification, drought and land degradation) 25. We recommend that [precautionary] [appropriate] measures be [adopted] [developed] by the countries concerned in collaboration with donors [i.e. through stepped-up financial contributions, ] scientific contribution to counter the increasing degradation of water resources as well as the productive resource base in areas affected by drought, desertification and land degradation. We also recommend that similar measures be adopted to address the funding needs of low-lying coastal and small vulnerable island countries, some of whose very existence is placed at risk by to rise in sea levels resulting from climate change alternative We recommend that precautionary measures be adopted by the countries concerned in collaboration with donors to counter alternative We recommend that regional and/or sub- regional studies on these subjects be undertaken to cover the impacts of climate change in the following fields: (i) Drought; (ii) Desertification; (iii) Water resources and their evolution; (iv) Agriculture (positive and negative impacts) ; (v) [Energy]; [Salinization] (vi) [Forests] [Reforestation] (vii) Socio-economic aspects These studies should lead to the development of scenarios and short-, medium- and long-term measures for mitigation of drought and stopping and reversing desertification for the attention of economic and political decision makers. 28 September Population 26. We note that a large, projected increase in world population will be a major factor in causing the projected increase in global greenhouse gases. We recognise that global climate change strategies should take into account the need to deal with this issue. Non-paper Genera Prep steeting for serce DRAFT MINISTERIAL DECLARATION Sept. 24 30 PREAMBLE NORWAY 1. We, the Ministers from countries representing the world community met in Geneva, Switzerland, from 6 to 7 November 1990 at the Second World Climate Conference. 2. Being deeply concerned by the global climate change issue, we commit ourselves to take active and constructive steps in a global response. 7. We appreciate the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) established by U.N.E.P. and W.M.O. and its First Assessment Report on the causes and effects of climate change. It has identified strategies to delay, limit or mitigate the impact of climate change, and at the request of United Nations General Assembly has proposed possible elements for inclusion in a convention on climate. DEFINITION OF PROBLEM AND RISKS 8. From the IPCC report we note that global climate change poses environmental threat of a magnitude the world has never known before. Human activities which have lead to the emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere have so far committed the Global Commons to an irreversible warming. GLOBAL STRATEGY 9. Recognizing that climate change is a global problem of unique character, we consider that a global response must be decided and implemented without further delay based on the best available knowledge such as those resulting from the IPCC assessment. Recognizing further that the principle of equity should be the basis of any global response to climate change and the common but differentiated responsibility of countries, industrialized countries, which are responsible for most of the observed increase in the greenhouse gases' concentration in the atmosphere must take the lead, commit themselves to immediate action and provide resources and assistance to developing countries to help them in addressing climate change in a way compatible with their development needs. To this end there is a need to provide the necessary support, including new, additional and specific financial assistance to the developing countries. I. ROLE OF SCIENCE IN IMPROVING OUR UNDERSTANDING, CAPACITY OF PREDICTION AND OUR RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE 12. We reaffirm that, in order to reduce uncertainties, to increase our ability to predict (including early identification of as yet unknown climate-related problems) and to design scientifically sound response strategies, there is a need to strengthen both national and international activities in research, monitoring, and data and information exchange related to climate uncertainty. change. We stress that special efforts be directed to key areas of II. TARGETS FOR URGENT POLICY ACTION (Precautionary measures) 17. In order to achieve sustainable development, we must base ourselves on the precautionary principle. Environmental measures must anticipate, prevent and attack the causes of environmental degradation. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to prevent environmental degradation. 18. The potentially serious consequences of climate change give sufficient reasons to begin adopting response strategies that can be justified immediately even in the face of significant uncertainties: phasing out of CFC-emissions, efficiency improvements and conservation in energy supply, sustainable forest management, use of clearer and more efficient energy sources, review of agricultural practices. (Stabilization and reduction of greenhouse gases) 19. We agree that the ultimate global objective should be to stabilize and reduce greenhouse gas concentrations. 20. We stress, as a first step, the need to stabilize, while ensuring stable development of the world economy, emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol. 21. We agree that stabilization of greenhouse gas emissions should be achieved by industrialized countries by the year [2000] and should be set at [present] emission levels. 22. We stress, in establishing emissions reduction targets, the need for a sound and equitable basis for setting such targets and the need for cost-effective measures to reach the targets. 23. We recommend that the specifications of the obligation to stabilize and reduce greenhouse gases emissions be realized in the form of separate Protocols to the Climate Convention. Some of these protocols could be negotiated concurrently with the framework convention. (Special Situation of Developing countries) 24. We recognize that emissions from developing countries with, their as yet, relatively low energy requirements, and which can reasonably be expected to grow in step with their development may have targets that accomodate that development. Developing countries should, within the limits feasible, take measures to suitably adopt their economies. Recognizing the poverty that prevails among the populations of developing countries, it is natural that achieving economic growth is given priority by them. We recommend that new and additional resources should progressively be mobilized to help developing countries take the necessary measures to address climate change consistent with their development needs. 26. We further recommend that consideration should be given to the need for funding facilities including the proposed World Bank/UNEP/UNDP "Global Environmental Facility". Such funding should eventuallly be related to the implementation of the climate convention and associated protocols. (Economic instruments) 31. Economic or market based instruments frequently offer the potential of achieving environmental improvements at lower costs than through regulatory mechanisms. We recommend that new policies at both the national and international level be established making extensive use of economic instruments in conjunction with a balanced mix of regulatory approaches in order to increase efficiency. Such instruments could include: (i) taxes on environmentally damaging activities and energy inefficient product (ii) emission trading (tradeable permits/allowances) (iii) reduction or, wherever possible, elimination of subsidies to energy intensive and other activities that induce climate change (iv) other measures such as emission changes and fees deposit refund systems and fiscal incentive (Role of the Energy and Transport Sector) We note that the energy sector presently accounts for nearly half of the man-made greenhouse effect and is projected to increase substantially. We recognize that an environmentally sound development must include policies which will ahieve a sustainable energy system and take the environmental costs and benefits of energy fully into account. We urge the promotion of energy efficiency as the most cost effective immediate measure for reducing energy-related emissions of atmospheric pollutants, in particular CO2. (Technology development) We recognize that there is no single quick-fix technological option for limiting greenhouse gas emissions. However, we are convinced that technological breakthrough is a key element of any long-term strategy that deals with climate change in a way that meets the goal of sustainable development. Therefore, we urge all countries, the industrialized countries in particular, to intensify their efforts and international cooperation in development of "new" and "green" technologies. (Transfer of technology) 33. We urge that relevant technology be utilized by all sectors in all countries to the full extent possible and further urge all countries, industrialized and developing, to identify and take effective measures to remove barriers to the dissemination of the best available technology. There is a need for the rapid transfer to the developing countries, on a preferential basis, of technologies for addressing climate change. (Forestry) 34. We recognize that the conservation of the worlds's forests is of crucial importance for global climatic stability, particularly having regard to the important contribution of forest destruction to global warming through the emission of carbon-dioxide, methane and other trace gases. We stress the need to reduce the rate of deforestation and to enhance the potential of the world's forests as a sink for greenhouse bases, through vigorous programmes of reforestation and afforestation. We endorse the target included in the Noordwijk Declaration of achieving net global forest growth of 12 million hectares per year,) through conservation of existing forests and through agressive programmes of reforestation and afforestation. (Desertification) 36. We recommend that precautionary measures be adopted by donors in collaboration with the countries concerned, i.a. through stepped-up financial contributions, to counter the increasing degradation of the productive resource base in areas affected by drought and desertification. III. GLOBAL FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE 37. We endorse the recommendations adopted 26 September 1990 by the Ad hoc-working group of government representatives to prepare for negotiations on a framework convention on climate change. We call for such negotiations to begin without delay after a decision is taken by the 45th Session of the UNGA recommending ways, means and modalities for further pursuing these negotiations. We urge all countries to join in these negotiations, with the aim of completing negotiations to ensure adoption of a Climate Convention and other relevant legal instruments by the time of the UN Conference on Environment and Development in 1992. We welcome the offer of the Government of the US to host the first negotiating meeting. 38. We recommend that such negotiations take account of the possible elements compiled by the IPCC, and that the Climate Convention be framed in such a way as to gain the support of the largest possible number of countries while allowing timely action to be taken. We stress, given the complex and multi-faceted nature of the problem of climate change, the need for new and innovative solutions. IV. INFORMATION AND PUBLIC AWARENESS 41. We believe that a well informed public is essential for addressing and coping with as complex an issue as climate change and urge countries, in particular, to encourage wide participation of all sectors of the population in addressing climate change issues and developing appropriate responses.