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1774 THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE Dec. 28, 1995 3. Philip AG. Neonatal mortality rate. J Pediatr 1995;126:427-33. 10. Papiernik E, Bouyer J. Dreyfus J. et al. Prevention of preterm births: a per- 4. Low birth weight. The Future of Children 1995;5(1):1-231. inatal study in Haguenau, France. Pediatrics 1985;76:154-8. 5. Chalmers I. Enkin M. Keirse MJNC. Effective care in pregnancy and child- 11. Emanuel 1. Filakti H. Alberman E. Evans SJ. Intergenerational studies of birth. New York: Oxford University Press. 1989. human birthweight from the 1958 birth cohort. I. Evidence for a multigen- 6. Romero R. Mazor M. Wu YK. et al. Infection in the pathogenesis of preterm erational effect. Br J Obstet Gynaecol 1992;99:67-74. labor. Semin Perinatol 1988;12:262-79. 12. Klebanoff MA. Graubard BI. Kessel SS. Berendes HW. Low birth weight 7. Hillier SL, Nugent RP. Eschenbach DA, et al. Association between bacterial across generations. JAMA 1984;252:2423-7. vaginosis and preterm delivery of a low-birth-weight infant. N Engl J Med 13. Wang X. Zuckerman B, Coffman GA, Corwin MJ. Familial aggregation of 1995;333:1737-42. low birth weight among whites and blacks in the United States. N Engl J 8. Hauth JC. Goldenberg RL, Andrews WW, DuBard MB. Copper RL. Re- Med 1995;333:1744-9. duced incidence of preterm delivery with metronidazole and erythromycin 14. Barker DJP. Winter PD. Osmond C. Margetts B. Simmonds SJ. Weight in women with bacterial vaginosis. N Engl J Med 1995;333:1732-6. in infancy and death from ischaemic heart disease. Lancet 1989;2:577- 9. McGregor JA. French JI. Parker R. et al. Prevention of premature birth by 80. screening and treatment for common genital tract infections: results of a 15. Baird D. Changing problems and priorities in obstetrics. Br J Obstet Gynae- prospective controlled evaluation. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1995;173:157-67. col 1985;92:115-21. Gail Wilensky ed tsrial HCFA Administrator SOUNDING BOARD deductibles and payments are largely ineffective as cost- containment measures because more than 85 percent THE SCORE ON MEDICARE REFORM - of Medicare beneficiaries have supplementary private MINUS THE HYPE AND HYPERBOLE insurance or are also covered by Medicaid. Physicians WITH charges and countercharges about impending and hospitals also have few incentives to limit spending Medicare reforms at a feverish pitch, the substantive is- on services for older adults. Medicare's payment policy sues in the debate have become increasingly obscured. currently encourages hospitals to "game" the way pa- This highly charged climate has left most Americans tients' illnesses are coded to increase their revenues and confused about the consequences of the proposed chang- to switch services from the inpatient to the outpatient es and needlessly fearful about the future of a program setting, where Medicare has considerably less direct that, by most measures, has been immensely popular control over payments. Medicare also rewards physi- with older adults and their families. cians for doing more rather than less, even when less With Medicare's trust fund facing insolvency by the may be as good or better. The result is that the existing year 2002 and pressure on the federal budget from the incentives for both beneficiaries and providers of health costs of Medicare Part B, which covers physicians' and care services have driven Medicare to the brink of outpatient services and is primarily funded directly from bankruptcy. general revenue, the Republican leadership in Congress Most discussions of Medicare reform have centered has rightly recognized the need for reforms in the pro- on the impending insolvency of the Hospital Insurance gram. There is much that is good in the reform propos- Trust Fund that finances services provided under Medi- als. There are also important policy options that, if care Part A, including inpatient hospital care, home adopted, could assuage some of the concern that has care, and skilled nursing care. Actuaries estimate that, been aroused about the proposals. Unfortunately, in the at present rates of spending, we will exhaust the trust increasingly partisan bickering that has developed over fund's surplus in seven years. Because there is no le- the reforms, bickering that will only get worse as we ap- gal authority for the government to continue funding proach the 1996 presidential election, it is unlikely that Medicare under such conditions, the impending bank- these remedies will receive much serious attention, par- ruptcy forces a decision - either to reduce inflation in ticularly from Democrats. Medicare spending or to increase contributions to the trust fund. MEETING A NEED, BUT OUT OF CONTROL Supplementary Medical Insurance, or Medicare Part Since its inception more than 30 years ago, Medicare B, which covers physicians' services, outpatient hospi- has been enormously popular for two main reasons. tal services, clinical laboratory services, and medical First and foremost, this federal program has basically equipment, is much less discussed but, in some ways; is solved the problems it was designed to address. Before an even more serious issue. Part B represents 40 per- 1965, large numbers of older adults had difficulty pur- cent of total Medicare spending, and because 70 per- chasing health insurance and receiving adequate health cent of its funding comes directly from the U.S. Treas- care. Medicare gave all elderly people an entitlement to ury, its effect on the federal budget is even more direct a package of benefits covering a wide range of acute than that of Part A. In addition, spending on Medicare care services. Second, Medicare has placed far fewer Part B is growing 50 percent faster than spending on constraints on older adults' use of health care than is Part A. Consequently, it is futile to consider reforms of the case with most private health insurance policies. Medicare Part A while ignoring Part B. The irony is that the seeds of the program's current In the short run, the problem is how to achieve a sus- fiscal woes are grounded in its popularity. Currently, tainable level of overall per-person spending on Medi- there are few incentives for the elderly to seek cost- care. The current rate of growth in spending is 10.5 effective care. Although Medicare does not cover all ex- percent per year, which represents an increase of 9 per- penses in the areas for which it provides coverage, the cent per person covered. (The increase in the Medicare Vol. 333 No. 26 SOUNDING BOARD 1775 population accounts for the other 1.5 percent of the tial shift away from traditional Medicare, the program growth in spending.) By contrast, the rest of the federal must change the incentives for the elderly, the provid- budget is growing at a rate of less than 4 percent per ers, or both. year, exclusive of health care and interest on the debt. STRUCTURE AND STRATEGIES FOR A REFORMED The Medicare growth rate is thus a major drain on the budget and exacerbates the federal deficit at a time MEDICARE PROGRAM when Congress and the President have promised to The present Medicare program has relied on direct reduce the deficit drastically or even eliminate it. In the cost control - government-administered pricing or long run, the problem is not only achieving a sustain- pricing limits and direct controls on overall physician able level of spending per beneficiary but also accom- spending. One possible strategy is to continue with the modating the impending large-scale spending increas- current system but extend it to home care, skilled nurs- es that will be caused by the retirement of the baby ing facilities, clinical laboratories, and other parts of boomers. Medicare. Although such changes would curtail spend- ing more effectively than in the past, older adults and COST-CUTTING LESSONS FROM THE PRIVATE the people who provide them with services would con- SECTOR tinue to have incentives to increase the amount of care The growth in Medicare spending continues at dou- provided. ble-digit rates at a time when spending on health care A second and far preferable strategy is to offer Medi- in the private sector appears to have slowed. According care beneficiaries more choice in the health care plans to the latest figures from the Congressional Budget Of- available to them and to ensure that the government fice, private-sector spending on health care grew at pays the same amount no matter what plan a benefici- about 5 percent in 1994, while the growth in Medicare ary chooses. Older Americans who want to receive care spending exceeded 10 percent. in more expensive settings or who want to buy more Although there is much that we do not yet under- benefits than come with the basic plan may do so, but stand about the changes occurring in the private sector, at their own expense. The example that comes closest we can observe that employers have used a variety of to this strategy is the Federal Employee Health Bene- strategies to reduce the rate of growth in health care fits Plan (FEHBP). Under FEHBP, the federal govern- spending. These include a number of managed-care ment sets its dollar contribution to the premium, offers and intcgratcd-delivery-system strategies and medical a large choice of plans to its employees during an an- savings accounts, even while old-fashioned indemnity nual open-enrollment period, makes information avail- insurance has been retained. Whether these changes able to its employees to help them choose wisely (sup- will permit lower rates of spending to be sustained is a plemented by information on the plans that is put matter of dispute. But the current experience of the pri- together by private entrepreneurs and available to em- vate sector offers some promise and points to directions ployees at a modest price), and monitors the plans to for productive reforms in Medicare. make sure they are fulfilling their contractual obliga- Unlike the private sector, Medicare remains primar- tions. ily an a la carte, fee-for-service program with govern- Although they by no means fit this description per- ment-administered pricing and expenditure controls on fectly, the Republican plans for Medicare recently physicians. There is both limited availability of alterna- passed by the House and Senate closely approximate tives to fee-for-service medical care and limited partic- the second strategy. With a few limited, but politically ipation in the managed-care plans that are available. difficult, changes, the plans could resemble an im- Projections for 1995 indicate that 6.6 percent of Medi- proved FEHBP. The Republican legislation would sub- care enrollees, or 2.5 million elderly people, will be en- stantially expand the types of health care plan that can rolled in health maintenance organizations (HMOs), be offered to elderly people. The government's per-per- the only available alternative to fee-for-service care. son payment to these plans would be fixed according The growth in enrollment in HMOs has been rapid to the beneficiary's age, sex, geographic location, and over the past several years. Still, in both absolute and supposedly, health status. Medicare would provide in- relative terms, the vast majority of beneficiaries remain formation to elderly people regarding enrollment and in traditional Medicare. disenrollment rates, consumer satisfaction, benefits, An increasing number of new Medicare beneficiaries, medical outcomes, and the quality of care. The princi- of course, have workplace experience as members of a pal omission from the proposals is that the plan does managed-care plan. Such people are likely to be more not call for a similar equivalent payment for beneficiar- comfortable than others about choosing managed care ies who want to stay in the traditional Medicare pro- when they enroll in Medicare. But if beneficiaries are to gram. Since this group now accounts for more than 90 migrate in substantially greater numbers to managed- percent of the elderly, it is not a minor omission. care plans and away from traditional fee-for-service The reason for the omission is clear and is politically programs, then several barriers must be removed. Most charged. Even before Republicans introduced their important, there needs to be an increase in the types of plan, Democrats claimed that Republican reform ef- non-HMO managed-care plans and other options avail- forts would force the elderly out of fee-for-service Medi- able to the Medicare population. But availability alone care or make their payments higher if they stayed in is unlikely to be sufficient. If there is to be a substan- the traditional program. Democrats reasoned that be- 1776 THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE Dec. 28, 1995 cause the capitation rate is projected to grow at about The problem is not risk selection but the failure to 5 percent per person per year over the next seven years, adjust for it. The question is whether Medicare can find because the traditional Medicare program is projected ways to adjust its payments to plans according to the to grow at about 9 percent per person per year under distribution of the health risks among the plans' enroll- current law, and because incentives under the tradi- ees. If Medicare cannot make adequate adjustments, tional program would remain the same, elderly people any choice will undo the risk pooling fundamental to in- would undoubtedly have to pay more over time if they surance plans. Both the administration and Congress stayed in traditional Medicare and were assigned a cap- are sponsoring work in this area, but more needs to be itation payment equal to the amount available for other done. The importance of the effort cannot be overem- plans. phasized. Locking people into their choices for a spec- To avoid this political trap, Republicans have adopt- ified period of time will help mitigate problems caused ed what they term "fail-safe" spending enforcement by risk selection. that affects both the traditional program and its al- A second concern involves potential marketing abus- ternatives. If spending under fee-for-service Medicare es that could arise with new choices among plans. Hav- started to exceed the projected spending goal in a par- ing the government review and approve marketing ticular year, reimbursement rates would be reduced to information is current practice and is expected to con- keep spending at projected levels. Spending would thus tinue. Marketing abuses would be a smaller issue if the be kept the same in both the managed-care sector and federal government undertook the actual enrollment the traditional sector. A crucial difference is that in the process, as it does with the FEHBP, instead of having traditional program, any excess spending would come the plans market themselves directly to the elderly, from the providers' pockets; in the managed-care sec- although this might substantially slow the growth of tor it would come from beneficiaries' pockets. some capitated plans. Republicans expect that if beneficiaries are offered A third concern has to do with the status of the low- more choices, substantial numbers of them will opt to income elderly, given proposed congressional reforms leave the traditional Medicare program, where they in Medicaid. Suffice it to say that most states are ex- have full freedom of choice of providers but where they pected to continue to fund Medicaid programs that fill also typically pay $1,000 per year for supplemental gaps in traditional Medicare coverage for the states' Medicare insurance. If that does not happen, there is a lowest-income populations, but to restructure these pro- good chance that, over time, many of the physicians grams. Ultimately, this concern or the pressures from and hospitals who provide care to the elderly will put the baby boomers may cause policy makers to recon- together different kinds of plans under which they as- sider whether the universal entitlement to health care sume full financial risk and will take their patients with without regard for means that is embodied in Medicare them into such plans. In any case, the fail-safe mecha- is best. For now, no one stands ready to make that de- nism ensures that the spending goals will be met even cision. if most Medicare beneficiaries choose to remain in fee- A fourth concern is whether the 5 percent per person for-service Medicare. per year rate of growth in health care spending is ade- quate to deliver the benefits Medicare has promised FOUR KEY ISSUES to elderly people. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5 to The direction of change embodied in the Republican 3 percent, this means a growth in real spending of 2 to Medicare reforms will improve the program. Still, there 2.5 percent per person. That is not unreasonable, but it are four areas of concern, even for those of us who sup- is a lower rate of growth than in the past. In the short port the proposed changes. run, eliminating some of the excess capacity in the The most serious concern has to do with risk selec- health care sector can help lower spending rates. In the tion and the need to find adequate factors for adjusting long run, a central question is whether the changes risk beyond the ones currently used by Medicare (i.e., in financial incentives and purchasing pressure in the age, sex, and institutional status). Risk selection occurs public and private sectors will help produce new forms when people considered to be at better-than-average or of medical technology that reduce costs rather than worse-than-average risk for health problems end up in mainly those that increase health care capabilities and particular health plans, including traditional Medicare. costs. Risk selection can occur by the actions of either benefi- ciaries or plans, or it can occur in the short term just THE POLITICS OF REFORM by bad luck. In the current high-stakes political battle over Med- Health care spending is very concentrated. In Medi- icare reform, Republicans appear to understand the care, 10 percent of beneficiaries account for about 50 need to keep tabs on the congressional vote count, to in- percent of the costs. If Medicare pays a plan as if all the volve major stakeholders (or special-interest groups) in beneficiaries had average health risks when, in fact, devising the final plan, and to influence and use public they may be either generally healthier or generally sick- opinion to support their efforts at reform. Republicans er than average, the plan will find itself making money also understand the power of a presidential veto. or losing money - not because of how efficiently it runs Opposition to Republican reform efforts remains its business but because of its enrollees' health status. strong among Democrats and some stakeholders, how- Vol. 333 No. 26 SOUNDING BOARD 1777 ever. Democrats understand the political importance of rather than philosophy, final passage may be easier to having a Republican majority poised to make the most accomplish than it would be otherwise. substantial changes to Medicare since the program's in- The second Medicare reform package that emerges ception. Politically, the President had to veto the Medi- from Congress will be fundamentally similar, in terms care bill at least once, as he did early this month. of scope and magnitude, to the first version. To the The most interesting question involves the dynamics extent that Medicare reforms are made part of a com- of the political situation after the inevitable first pres- prehensive budget-reconciliation bill, the President will idential veto. Congress will produce a somewhat al- find it increasingly difficult to veto the legislation, al- tered second bill. It is unclear whether there will be though Medicaid may become a more serious stum- much Democratic involvement in the deliberations fol- bling block. lowing the veto. Democrats were only minimally in- My bottom-line prediction: President Bill Clinton volved the first time, and it is not likely that they will will sign - reluctantly - a second or third Medicare have an appreciably larger role in late negotiations. reform bill, and Medicare reform will become a major Even if the Republican leadership wanted to consider issue in the 1996 election, along with deficit reduction, substantial compromises in order to escape a veto, it is the balanced budget, and the economy. It is a high-risk unclear whether Republicans could keep their right strategy for the Republicans to press their reform pack- wing on board with anything other than relatively mi- age, but theirs is not a bad Medicare reform bill. nor chages. But since the fight between Republicans Project Hope and Democrats is mainly about money to be saved, Bethesda, MD 20814-6133 GAIL R. WILENSKY, PH.D. ASSESSING THE PROPOSED MEDICARE fect Part B, anyway. The changes are thus unrelated to REFORMS what is necessary to "save" Medicare. Instead, they are needed to make up for - that is, to "save" - Republi- THE mid-November Republican budget would have can-sponsored changes to the tax code. Whether this reduced federal Medicare expenditures by $270 billion tradeoff is worthwhile requires an analytic discussion over the next seven years. That target was not the of values, which regrettably has not taken place. Nor product of an analysis of the benefits and costs of Med- has any other serious and extensive set of hearings, dis- icare. There was no examination of Medicare that cussions, and debates taken place. The days when Pres- concluded that during the next seven years the feder- ident Lyndon Johnson said, "Come, let us reason to- al government could or should reduce expenditures by gether" are long gone. Conservatives would do well to $270 billion or, for that matter, by any other number. remember that without hearings, debate, and above all, The $270 billion figure was an artifact. It was deter- time, something like the Clinton health program might mined by considerations unrelated to Medicare. Had well have been enacted. Surely, the lesson drawn should the Republican leadership decided to balance the budg- not be that proponents of particular legislation should et in, say, five years instead of seven (even with the sug- avoid hearings and debate. Public discussion may have gested $245 billion reduction in tax revenues), the its costs - now for one side, tomorrow for the other - Medicare "savings" would have had to be even larger. but the benefits of the sometimes inefficient democratic Had the leadership decided to achieve a balanced budg- process far exceed its costs. et in the year 2004 rather than 2002, smaller savings Hearings and debate would be called for even if all would have sufficed. Had the proposed tax reductions the suggested changes in Medicare were beneficial. In been postponed or eliminated, Medicare would not have fact, however, they are not. Why do many analysts be- had to face such deep cuts. lieve the changes would be harmful to the public's The $270 billion figure was determined by the desire health? What substantive criticisms can be offered? to reduce tax payments by $245 billion rather than The first point concerns the size of the cuts. I write some other amount, the desire to achieve a balanced "cuts," though we should understand that even with the budget by 2002 rather than some other year, and the proposed changes, Medicare will grow during the next political desires that ruled out substantial cutbacks in seven years. Nevertheless, the tradition of budget dis- various other government programs and activities. The cussions permits us (as it permitted those who were very size of Medicare and the fact that without new leg- troubled when Defense Department appropriations did islation the Part A trust fund would be depleted shortly not keep pace with inflation) to speak of cuts. The pro- after the turn of the century made Medicare extremely posed changes to Medicare would reduce the rate of vulnerable (even to changes that have nothing to do growth that has been projected as a consequence of in- with Part A trust funds but much to do with the federal flation, increases in the number and average age of ben- budget). eficiaries, and changes in the intensity of care (largely Thus, a number was plucked out of the air and pre- related to the expansion of technological capabilities). sented as if it were necessary to ensure the survival of Thus, the projected increases in Medicare expenditures Medicare. The proposed changes far exceed what would are not tied to an expansion in benefits or program cov- be necessary for the program's survival and largely af- erage. Rather, they are the product of exogenous forces FYI THE NEW YORK TIMES, SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 1995 From Chris Jennings Look Who's Talking Health C HIS FALL THE COUNTRY WILL BE TALK- T ing health care again - or at least should be talking about it - as Congress moves to change the principles on which Medi- care and Medicaid were established 30 years ago. A writer with a taste for irony could scarcely conceive a better plot, and as one of those who wrote the Clinton plan, I confess it strikes me as more than ironic. Two years ago, Republicans were de- nouncing the secrecy surrounding the Pres- ident's health care task force. This summer, Republicans have been meeting "behind closed doors" on a Medicare proposal scheduled to be released later this month, only a few weeks before Congress votes on it, thereby avoiding independent analysis of the costs, mobilization by opponents and other inconvenient aspects of a long national debate. Two years ago, the Re- publicans rang alarms about the Clinton plan's emphasis on managed care. Now the Republicans' own plans for Medicare and Medicaid emphasize managed care. But superficial similarities are deceiving. The reform plans of 1993 generally aimed to extend rights to health coverage and health care; the Republican proposals this year would retract rights that already exist The debate two years ago reflected a widespread belief that the health care system needed reform. The Republicans, like many in the business world, now begin with the happy thought that the system is reforming itself and that Government needs to be more like the private sector. The health care system is certainly going through profound change. Health mainte- nance organizations and other forms of man- aged care are expanding rapidly. As managed care grows, demand for hospital care shrinks. Hospitals are merging, closing beds and cutting jobs; some new buildings stand vacant. H.M.O.'s are limiting specialty referrals and lucrative procedures; the incomes of specialists in some areas are dropping, and prima- ry-care practitioners are in demand. In a stunning shift, once stubbornly independent physicians are selling their practices to hospitals and insur- ers or taking a fixed payment per enrolled patient and accepting the disci- pline of the corporation. Partly as a result of these developments, health care seems less of a problem to employers. Companies that five years ago faced double-digit inflation in health bene- fits have seen costs go flat. The success of Paul Starr, a sociology professor at Princeton Univer- sity, is co-editor of The American Prospect magazine. 42 ILLUSTRATION BY PETER DE SEVE THE NEW YORK TIMES. SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 1995 Reform Now An author of the Clinton plan welcomes Republicans to the problem. A bigger problem: Their solution. BY PAUL STARR managed care in controlling costs confirms a key have consequently paid a hidden "tax" in their bills. Many Republicans want to cap Medicare expendi- premise of the Clinton plan and other managed- Managed-care plans, however, refuse to pay that tures but uncap provider charges. Those policies competition proposals: substantial savings are fea- tax; they demand discounts, and if one hospital alone would make it impossible to assure that the sible. The aim of reform, however, was not merely refuses, the plans contract with another. The hospi- elderly continue to receive Medicare's package of to hold down costs, but to give people better value tal and clinic that provides charity care now com- benefits. Instead of defined benefits, the elderly for their money. mits an economic sin: it risks making itself uncom- would get a fixed amount of money - often Whether that is happening is hard to say; there is petitive. During the national debate, opponents of described as a voucher - which over time might no national index of the quality of care. The shift to reform often said lack of insurance didn't matter not buy the insurance they now receive as an managed care has disrupted many Americans' rela- much because doctors and hospitals still took care entitlement. Ending Medicare as we know it was tionships with their doctors. Many employers have of the uninsured. This was never entirely true - not, I recall, a campaign slogan, but it is plainly also cut costs simply by requiring their employees the uninsured get less care - but the emerging where this policy is headed. to pay a larger share of the bill, and some have market makes our old Robin Hood system impos- Ending Medicaid as we know it is an immediate stopped covering dependents. A big part of the sible to maintain. prospect. Republicans want to replace Medicaid problem has always been lack of coverage for The emerging market also isn't going to satisfy with block grants that would give states an average millions of Americans. Now, declining employer- concerns about individual choice. About half the of 30 percent less money in the year 2002 than provided coverage has left more people uninsured workers who receive coverage (including most Medicaid would. Welfare is currently the basis on - nearly 41 million at any one time, up by 2 insured employees in small businesses) have no which many of the poor now qualify for Medicaid. million in 1994. choice among alternative health plans. In the old The clear prospect is that many of the poor who Under the Clinton plan and other reform days, it hardly mattered that the employer picked lose eligibility for welfare would also lose eligibility proposals, hospitals and specialists would also the insurer since the plans pretty much covered all for medical coverage. have borne the brunt of cost containment. For providers. But when employers now adopt man- The big losers would also include teaching decades, hospitals had overbuilt and physicians aged care, they effectively choose doctors and hospitals and medical schools. They are being hit had overspecialized; a correction, unavoidably hospitals for workers and their families. My em- by what is technically known as a double wham- painful, was coming. The changes taking place ployer doesn't determine where I shop, live or send my. First, the rise of managed care threatens their today, however, do not embody the values of my children to school. Why should my employer clinical revenues; managed-care plans use hospi- progressive reform. The savings from rationaliz- pick my health plan and my doctor? But, increas- tals less but also shift patients to lower-cost ing the system are not being applied to make it ingly, that's how Americans get their health care - institutions. Second, Republican budget plans more inclusive. A new system of corporate health and not through a system of unlimited free choice, would end subsidies for medical education that care is emerging without the new framework of which critics of reform often conjure up as if it have come with Medicare hospital payments. Dur- rights and obligations that reform would have described the present. ing the debate over the Clinton plan, the medical brought; corporate interests consequently have schools and teaching hospitals clamored that they the field almost entirely to themselves. NFORTUNATELY, THE OLD SYSTEM OF weren't being treated well enough. Actually, they Employers have no obligations to pay any U unconstrained health insurance that COV- did quite well, especially compared to the re- share of health insurance or to offer their em- ered almost all costs is gone. The Clin- trenchment they now face. ployees a range of choices. Insurers can still ton plan would have shifted the choice Budget plans come and go. The historic impor- cherry-pick the healthy and shun the sick, and of health plans from employers to families and tance of what is happening is the shift in legal for the most part, they have no obligation to required plans and providers to disclose informa- rights. Health care reform would have given Amer- cover pre-existing conditions. They do not have tion that would help people choose sensibly. The icans a right to coverage and a variety of other to disclose to doctors, let alone patients, their Clinton plan also sought to open up a wide menu rights in relation to employers, insurers and health rules OF denying coverage, and when they refuse of options at different prices, including fee-for- care providers. Converting Medicare into vouchers to approve a service or a provider, patients find service plans. The irony is overwhelming Many and Medicaid into block grants eliminates the legal their rights are limited. people who opposed reform because they believed rights to medical benefits that the elderly and some And the root problem of health coverage re- it would restrict their choices now face a system poor currently have. mains unsolved. Employment-based health insur- that is becoming far more restrictive. This movement to eliminate rights is not a ance is now in its second decade of steady decline, Perhaps nowhere is the irony greater than for cautious version of reform; it is the opposite, reflecting a broader decline of real wages and Medicare. Many of the elderly also opposed reverse reform, a radical version of that. During the increasing reliance on contingent workers. If it reform for fear they would lose benefits and debate over the Clinton plan, many of its critics weren't for the expansion of Medicaid during the freedom of choice: "Don't let the Government said that we should control costs and only then 1980's, we would have 50 million uninsured now. get hold of my Medicare" was one beneficiary's extend coverage to the uninsured. The thrust of During the rest of the 90's, employer-provided much-reported plea to a Congressman. In fact, policy now, however, is to cut costs by retracting coverage is likely to decline further, and Medicaid while adding prescription drug benefits, the Clin- rights to coverage. will contract. Americans will then have even less ton plan did not fundamentally change the struc- There is still talk of legislation that would set security than they do now about affording health ture of Medicare. some minimal Federal standards for health insur- care when illness strikes. Such a change is exactly the aim, however, of a ance, which might benefit people with pre-existing Only by ignoring these realities is it possible to Republican Congress now committed to cutting conditions. But there is no money, at least not in say that the private health system is reforming $270 billion from the program over seven years. A the current Congress, for extending coverage to reself. The emerging health care marketplace, in draft Republican proposal would encourage the the uninsured. In opinion polls, Americans keep tact, 15 likely to reduce access to care for the elderly to join H.M.O.'s by charging them more saying that health care reform is a high priority. I uninsured. Hospitals and clinics have traditionally for both Medicare and the supplementary (Medi- cannot believe that reverse reform is what they shifted the cost of charity to insured patients, who gap) plans they buy to cover out-of-pocket costs. have in mind. THE NEW YORK TIMES MAGAZINE / SEPTEMBER 3. 1995 43 1. Businesses Worried About Republican Medicare Plan. Yesterday's Wall Street Journal reported that the Business Roundtable, the National Association of Manufacturers and other business leaders are concerned about the Republican Medicare proposal. Under the proposal, workers in company-sponsored managed care plans would be given the option to stay in those plans rather than join Medicare after retirement. Medicare would give businesses a fixed amount of money to pay their employees' health care bills. But if those bills were bigger than the government share, businesses would lose. And the government's share is sure to fall short -- because, in order to cut $270 billion from Medicare, Republicans would limit Federal spending way below the private sector. Companies worry that, "payments, over time, will fall short of rising medical costs, and that they will end up footing a mushrooming bill for retirees' health care." (Wall Street Journal, 8/10/95) Families Would Also Lose Under Republican Medicare Plan. That's what the Republican proposal means for families too. As the amount Medicare spends decreases over time, people on Medicare would either pay more or get less. Costs would be shifted to Medicare beneficiaries -- 75% of whom live on incomes of less than $25,000 -- and many simply could not afford to pay. Senate Clears Bill With Fewer Cuts for the Arts By DAVID ROGERS Service funding would be effectively frozen the cut was a "glaring mistake" and Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL at $1.96 billion, but the Bureau of Indian threatened the "termination of Indian self- WASHINGTON - The Senate approved Affairs would be cut 16%. or more than $220 determination.' a nearly S12.1 billion natural-resources bill million below what the House has pro- Nonetheless, on a 61-36 roll call, the after agreeing to soften House cuts from posed. Senate rejected a Domenici amendment to government funding for the arts and hu- shift $200 million from other accounts to The same give-and-take about spending manities. priorities is seen in a larger $36.6 billion the Bureau of Indian Affairs. By an almost The National Endowments for the Arts transportation bill brought to the floor last equal margin, members later killed a and Humanities would each receive $110 night by the Senate Appropriations Com- second attempt by his New Mexico col- million for the fiscal year beginning Oct. mittee. To help build a reserve for educa- league, Democratic Sen. Jeff Bingaman, to 1 - a one-third cut from current levels, but tion and environmental programs else- Please Turn to Page A10, Column 6 about $10.5 million more than the House where in the budget, the panel goes much Continued From Page A2 approved last month for each agency. further than the House in scaling back restore $26.6 million for the Office of Indian Moreover, the Senate would strike re- highway, transit and airport funds. In an Education. strictions making the NEA funds available early test, the chamber voted 68-30 to The debate was striking given Mr. only when the House has passed a separate override the objections of two Pennsylva- Domenici's standing as one of the leading reauthorization bill. Across the political nia Republicans and uphold a nearly 44% architects of the GOP drive to balance the spectrum. individual Republicans showed cut in mass-transit operating assistance. budget. The New Mexico Republican was little appetite for the House leadership's plan to terminate funding in 1997. Within the natural-resources bill, the matched against one of his early proteges on the budget panel, Sen. Slade Gorton (R., Adopted 92-6, the underlying bill re- cuts from Indian programs fall hardest on Wash.), who chairs the appropriations flects the strong influence of Western those accounts funding hundreds of often- subcommittee overseeing the annual natu- senators who won concessions for ranch- small tribal governments. Again Republi- ral-resource bill. ing, timber and mining interests even as cans were among those protesting, and "We are distributing reductions that the chamber voted to impose deep cuts on Senate Budget Committee Chairman Pete were forced on us," said Mr. Gorton. While Indian-related programs. Indian Health Domenici (R., N.M.) angrily complained reminding all sides of their enduring friendship, the two men waged a testy war THE WALL STREET JOURNAL THURSDAY, AUGUST 10, 1995 of charts and conflicting numbers that seemed almost a satire of the larger budget debate. lower federal spending. This will ulti- In related action, the Senate: Medicare Plan mately shift the responsibility and costs of Approved a 90-day moratorium to retiree health care from Medicare to em- block federal grazing-land regulations due ployers." to take effect this month. By GOP Leaves The complaints seem to be having Amended an existing law to toughen an impact. A Republican aide acknowl- penalties in cases of "tree-spiking" - a edged yesterday that support for the idea practice used by some antilogging pro- Business Cold is "lukewarm" in the business community, testers in the West. The provision would and that it may not be included in the make it easier for timber companies to Medicare-overhaul plan to be unveiled in show the economic damages needed to mid-September. "It's not SO much that meet the threshhold for criminal prosecu- By LAURIE MCGINLEY business doesn't like the idea, as a con- tion. In cases that result in serious bodily Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL cern that future Congresses won't live up injury, the provision allows for imprison- WASHINGTON - Republicans who are to their end of the bargain," he said. ment of up to 40 years. trying to redesign the Medicare system are Still, enthusiasm for the idea remains' Voted to end the moratorium on gov- touting a proposal to let workers stay in high among congressional Republicans. ernment processing of "patent" applica- company health plans after they retire. Rep. John Linder (R., Ga.) said that tions to allow mining companies to take But business is giving it the Bronx cheer. allowing retirees to stay in their compa- title of federal lands where they have Under the concept, which has been nies' health plans would compel businesses staked mineral claims. talked up by House Speaker Newt Gingrich to use the same kind of cost-control strate- Restored $4.5 million for Fish and (R., Ga.) and Ways and Means Health gies that they employ for their under-65 Wildlife endangered-species programs and Subcommittee Chairman William Thomas population. "The companies would be con- upheld funding for the release of wolves in (R., Calif.), employees in company-spon- trolling expenses, and watching for frau- the West and Southeast. sored managed-health plans would be per- dulent billing and hospital overcharges." mitted to stay in those plans after they Currently, companies that provide retired; they wouldn't have to drop out and health benefits to retirees generally pro- sign up for Medicare. The companies vide supplemental coverage to Medicare, would receive annual stipends from the in which they pick up costs that the federal government to pay for the retirees' health program won't cóver. bills, and assume the risk of covering the Republicans have said that if they went workers. forward with the proposal, it would be an One of the goals is to promote the option for companies, not a requirement. use of lower-cost managed-care programs But companies are worried that "once the among retirees. Rep. Thomas says that it government makes it available as an op- makes little sense for a worker who is tion, expectations among employees grow, satisfied with a managed-care plan to feel and it's going to be very hard to say no," compelled, upon retirement, to switch back said NAM's Ms. Canner. to the costlier fee-for-service arrangement Walter Maher, Chrysler Corp.'s direc- that dominates the traditional Medicare tor of federal relations, said that the auto program. Under managed-care programs, maker took a look at devising a health plan which include health maintenance organi- that would cover retirees in the late 1980s. zations, participants agree to limits on But the company, after having several their choice of doctors in exchange for discussions with the United Auto Workers lower costs. and the Health Care Financing Adminis- But, said Sharon Canner. a vice presi- tration, which runs Medicare, concluded dent at the National Association of Manu- that it wasn't interested in "increasing our facturers, the idea "presents some real risk in this area. There were SO many problems for employers.' The main ques- unanswered questions that both we and the tion, she said, is: "Will the payments union didn't think it was a good idea to pro- [from the government) keep up with infla- ceed." he said. tion?" Companies are worried that the But he and others said there was an- payments, over time, will fall short of other way to encourage increased use of rising medical costs. and that they will end managed-care plans. Under this scenario, up footing a mushrooming bill for retirees' the government would enter into contracts health care. with managed-care companies that pro- The Business Roundtable. which repre- vide coverage to particular employers. The sents more than 200 chief executive offi- employers could make contributions to cers, also strongly opposes the idea. The cover supplemental coverage and handle group said in a statement that while the some of the paperwork. But they wouldn't payments may be adequate at first, "there be assuming the risk of covering the is nothing to prevent future Congresses retired employee. That would rest with the from reducing these payments in order to managed-care companies. Clinton to Declare Nicotine in Cigarettes Continued From Page A3 every state, but enforcement is generally whether the administration regulates to- lax. bacco. In a statewide poll, published Supporters of the plan had argued A Drug That Can Be Regulated by FDA in yesterday's Charlotte Observer, Mr. that it could achieve more immediate Clinton loses overwhelmingly in a two-way effects, since the tobacco companies have race against Senate Majority Leader Rob- said they will fight any effort at federal ert Dole, the leading contender for the regulation in court. While the tobacco ing states, the White House is also consid- do at the government level" to curtail Republican presidential nomination, 56% industry was initially unenthusiastic about Rules Would Be Withheld ering steps that can be taken to assist teenage smoking, he declared. Surrounded to 35%. the Wyden-Rose proposal, the companies tobacco farmers if the antismoking initia- by big tobacco's friends, such as North If Congress Approves tives create an economic hardship. Carolina Gov. Jim Hunt, Mr. Clinton didn't Recognizing the steep odds against Mr. expressed a new interest in negotiating Under the regulatory process the presi- give details of his plan, but he declared Clinton in tobacco-growing states, Dick with the administration after a Wall Street dent is expected to initiate, the FDA will that government can't ignore "the evi- Morris, the president's new political guru, Journal report that the White House had Curbs on Teen Smoking has been pushing a political argument for decided to pursue a regulatory course. But publish a proposed regulation in the Fed- dence that one of the greatest threats to the eral Register, probably as early as today. health of our children is teenage smoking why the policy should be tough: It's the friends of the companies on Capitol Hill A public comment period of 90 days will and it is rising." right thing to do, he contends, and the said the administration had shunned the By MICHAEL K. FRISBY follow. Then, after further review, the FDA broad support it has in many states would companies' overtures. And HILARY STOUT Moreover, the president declared that overshadow the fallout in a few tobacco will publish a final regulation. smoking by minors has been increasing Gore's Example Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL states. CHARLOTTE, N.C. - President Clinton But during the standard comment pe- "steadily and rapidly" since 1991. He said In addition to the Oval Office cere- will declare today that nicotine in ciga- riod, aides said, Mr. Clinton would give that smoking by eighth-graders jumped Nevertheless, some political advisers mony and a scheduled news conference tobacco's legislative friends an opportu- 30%, while smoking by 10th-graders is up worry that going after cigarette companies rettes is a drug that can be regulated by the this afternoon, President Clinton will hold Food and Drug Administration and will ask 20%. And he maintained that reducing could make Mr. Clinton seem elitist and a 10 a.m. briefing on the tobacco plan for the agency to draft a federal rule aimed at Don't Just Say No teenage smoking would be the "cheapest, out of touch with Joe Sixpack. top officials of the American Medical Asso- curtailing smoking by minors. Towns attempting to curb sales of ciga- easiest" way to slash health-care costs. In pushing Congress to pass legis- ciation, the American Cancer Society, the Mr. Clinton will unveil his proposal to rettes to minors find that sweeping rules Highlighting the pressure that Mr. lation cracking down on teen smoking, the American Lung Association, the American don't have much effect unless they're curb teenage smoking surrounded by chil- Clinton has faced on this issue, Gov. Hunt president hopes to place himself in a Heart Association and the American Acad- backed by specific penalties and detailed dren in an Oval Of- greeted the president at the airport here no-lose situation. Since the Republican emy of Pediatrics. enforcement plans. Article on page B1. fice ceremony. But but told reporters he hoped to convince the leadership so abhors the notion of regulat- What Mr. Clinton hopes to achieve is while he plans to as- president that tobacco should not be regu- nity to gather support for a legislative ing the tobacco industry, administration the same kind of success that Vice Presi- sert the FDA's au- lated. "We don't need big government approach to the teenage smoking problem. officials argue that it may be inclined to dent Al Gore has enjoyed over the course of thority to regulate trying to run our lives," Mr. Hunt said. If-that failed, the FDA regulations would be approve legislation restricting cigarette his career in raising health concerns of Instead, he suggested an aggressive pub- cigarettes, he is ex- companies just to head off an FDA rule. implemented. tobacco, but maintaining a friendship with lic-relations campaign aimed at teenage pected to suggest A draft of the proposed regulation, On the other hand, if the GOP rejects tobacco growers. Mr. Gore had to strike that he is willing to smoking. "We just need to do it in a dated Aug. 7, would, according to a person the legislation, the president may have that balance to survive - not only did he back away from fed- voluntary way that works instead of over- who has seen it, limit cigarette sales to forced Republican leaders to vote against a grow tobacco on his farm and receive eral regulations if regulation from Washington," Mr. Hunt bill favored by the public. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL THURSDAY, AUGUST 10, 1995 face-to-tace transactions and require proof federal subsidies for it, but he had 10,000 told reporters. Congress passes a of age for sales; ban outdoor cigarette Move Clear for Weeks tobacco farmers in his congressional dis- law aimed at re- advertising within 1,000 feet of schools or Mr. Clinton's decision to push forward trict. playgrounds; require outdoor advertising with FDA regulation of tobacco is a politi- It has been clear for several weeks stricting youths' ac- that the White House was heading toward Mr. Gore, who grew up on a to- cess to cigarettes. and "point of sale" ads, near checkout cal gamble. Polls show strong public sup- some type of regulation of the tobacco bacco farm but stopped growing the crop 11 The main thrust counters, to be black and white and text- port for taking on the tobacco companies, President Clinton only; ban companies from giving away but the move clearly would hurt Mr. industry. Officials had considered a plan years ago after his sister died of lung of the president's initiative is the landmark extension of FDA cigarettes or nontobacco items; require Clinton in the South, particularly in North proposed by Reps. Ron Wyden (D., Ore.) cancer, has been one of the strongest jurisdiction to nicotine. The regulation to Carolina, where annual cash receipts from and Charlie Rose (D., N.C.) under which advocates for federal regulation during the a label on all cigarette packages declaring tobacco farming total nearly $1 billion and the tobacco companies would have entered administration's recent deliberations. be unveiled today is likely to contain the product to be a "nicotine delivery into a binding agreement with the govern- When he was a congressman and senator restrictions on cigarette vending machines device," and allow tobacco companies to the industry helps create jobs ranging sponsor events only in the corporate name, from farm work to convenience-store cash- ment to finance a campaign against teen- from Tennessee, Mr. Gore brokered deals .as well as curbs on certain types of advertising aimed at youths and other iers. age smoking, curtail advertising directed between the tobacco industry and health not in the brand name of a cigarette. at youths and help fund state efforts to enthusiasts on cigarette-warning labels. measures aimed at preventing teenagers Speaking to the National Baptist Con- But aides realize that North Carolina, enforce laws prohibiting underaged smok- from buying cigarettes. which Mr. Clinton barely lost in 1992, will Timothy Noah contributed to this arti- vention here in the heart of tobacco coun- ing. Smoking by minors is outlawed in cle But to ease the blow of the controversial try yesterday, the president hinted at his be difficult to win in 1996 regardless of new policy on the Southern tobacco-grow- new policy. "There are some things we can Please Turn to Page A4. Column I PM-GA--Gingrich-Medicare, 3rd Ld-Writethru, 820 Republicans Go to Georgia to Talk About Medicare Eds: Leads with 11 grafs to UPDATE with protest. Picks up 5th graf pvs, Gingrich, appearing Edits throughout and cuts at bottom to tighten By CHRISTOPHER CONNELL= Associated Press Writer= ATLANTA (AP) A Democratic congressman and more than 100 chanting labor activists disrupted today's launch of House Speaker Newt Gingrich's crusade to convince Americans the GOP can fix Medicare without harsh cutbacks. After Rep. John Lewis, D-Ga., and the activists marched into the hotel ballroom, Gingrich, who had been in a waiting room, left without delivering his speech. Organizers of the town meeting said he would try again later in the day. Where is Newt!'' the demonstrators began shouting after 20 minutes of standing at the back of the room. Some marched up the aisle and sat on the stage, waving fists and shouting, Newt is scared!'' The demonstrators left en masse and Lewis addressed them outside the ballroom. We must tell the Speaker, Mr. Gingrich, and we must tell the Republicans to take their greedy hands off of Medicare, he said. Recalling the civil rights march to Selma, Ala., 30 summers ago, Lewis said this is our march to November 1996. We have a group of radical extremists in Washington under the leadership of this speaker who want to take us back to another period, undo what Roosevelt did, what Truman did, what Kennedy did, what Lyndon Johnson did. We must say we are not going back and will not go back, Lewis shouted. This is one day Newt Gingrich didn't get his way, gloated Stewart Acuff, president of the Atlanta Labor Council. Earlier, on television, Gingrich said the Republican plan to save $270 billion from Medicare over seven years will simply limit the rate of growth'' and that actually, every year Medicare (spending) will go up. Sen. Paul Coverdell, R-Ga., who spoke at the town meeting before the disruption, said, Those voices who say nothing is required should be muted and frankly ignored. If you're 58 and nothing is done, there will be no Medicare program. Lewis, like the rest of the Georgia delegation to Congress, had been invited to share the stage with Gingrich and other Republicans at the public meeting sponsored by the Congressional Institute, a conservative policy group. Gingrich, appearing on NBC's Today' show, said the Clinton administration's own Medicare trustees have concluded the program starts to go broke next year and is bankrupt in seven years. What we want to do is limit the rate of growth. He dismissed criticism that the plan could cost seniors an addition $1,000 a year, calling that a scare tactic from our political opponents. He acknowledged, however, that senior citizens already expect a traditional pattern of slight increases each year to fit the inflation rate. Irate Democrats are mounting their own forums and launching petition drives to avoid what Rep. Sander Levin, D-Mich., claims is the Medicare Pearl Harbor'' looming when Congress returns from its August recess. Addressing charges that the GOP was concocting a stealth'' plan that will mean higher costs for seniors and less freedom to choose their doctors, Gingrich said Sunday he expects to unveil his plan by the first or second week of September. Gingrich, on CNN's Late Edition, said, A stealth plan beat (s) nc plan at all. They don't seem to have any plan. Gingrich and House Majority Leader Dick Armey, R-Texas, sent their troops home for the August recess with slide shows and thick packets explaining options the GOP is considering to revamp Medicare, the $178 billion health program for 33 million senior citizens and 4 million disabled workers. Gingrich promised that if senior citizens like Medicare the way it is, they can keep their current fee-for-service coverage, which allows then U. to any doctor they wish. Seniors now must pay $716 for the first day in the hospital, a $100 annual deductible for doctors' bills and 20 percent copayments, and $46 a month premiums for their Part B coverage. An options paper leaked from the House Ways and Means Committee a month ago spoke of sharply increasing the deductible and making the elderly pay as much as 25 percent of doctors' bills if they refused to switch to managed care. Other options, according to Gingrich, include allowing senior citizens to stay in the group plan they were in before turning 65, or letting them open medical savings accounts. But Democrats warn that Republicans may try to convert Medicare into a voucher where the government would pay a certain sum each year, and no more. Gingrich says the GOP belt-tightening moves will allow Medicare spending per beneficiary to grow from $4,800 now to $6,700 by 2002, assuming the program grows at 6.4 percent a year. Democrats warn that $6,700 may not be enough, with inflation and increased demand for services. **** filed by: APW- (GA) on 08/07/95 at 11:53EDT **** **** printed by: WHPR (LMCH) on 08/07/95 at 12:06EDT **** Republicans Go to Georgia to Talk About Medicare EDs: LEADS with 6 grafs to UPDATE with Gingrich comments today. Picks up 4th graf, Irate Democrats Prenoon lead planned By CHRISTOPHER CONNELL= Associated Press Writer= ATLANTA (AP) House Speaker Newt Gingrich today launched a Republican crusade to convince Americans that the GOP can fix Medicare without the harsh cutbacks that Democrats claim are inevitable. Gingrich said the Republican plan will simply limit the rate of growth' and that actually, ever year Medicare (spending) will go up. He also defended the plan against criticism it lacks specifics, saying on Sunday that a stealth plan beats no plan. Gingrich, R-Ga., Sen. Paul Coverdell, R-Ga., and other Republican lawmakers, including Rep. Nathan Deal of Georgia, a recent Republican convert, were leading a public meeting here today on the theme of avoiding bankruptcy in the Medicare program. No Democrat accepted the Congressional Institute's invitation to share the stage with Gingrich and the other Republicans, who will be holding dozens of town meetings across the country this month to sell the public on the necessity of their plan to squeeze $270 billion from projected Medicare spending over seven years. Gingrich, appearing on NBC's Today' show, said today that the Clinton administration's own Medicare trustees have concluded the program starts to go broke next year and is bankrupt in seven years. What we want to do is limit the rate of growth. He dismissed criticism that the plan could cost seniors an addition $1,000 a year, calling that a scare tactic from our political opponents. He acknowledged, however, that senior citizens already expect à traditional pattern of slight increases each year to fit the inflation rate. Irate Democrats are mounting their own forums and launching petition drives to avoid what Rep. Sander Levin, D-Mich. claims is the Medicare Pearl Harbor'' looming when Congress returns from its August recess. Addressing charges that the GOP was concocting a stealth' plan that will mean higher costs for seniors and less freedom to choose their doctors, Gingrich said Sunday he expects to unveil his plan by the first or second week of September, giving lawmakers several weeks to scrutinize it before any final vote. Gingrich, on CNN's Late Edition, said, A stealth plan beat no plan at all. They don't seem to have any plan'' for avoiding bankruptcy in Medicare's hospital fund by 2002. Gingrich and House Majority Leader Dick Armey, R-Texas, sent their troops home for the August recess with slide shows and thick packets explaining options the GOP is considering to revamp Medicare, the $178 billion health program for 33 million senior citizens and 4 million disabled workers. Gingrich repeated his promise that if senior citizens like Medicare the way it is, they can keep their current fee-for-service coverage, which allows them to go to any doctor they wish. We're saying that those senior citizens who want to can stay in the current program, said Gingrich. Their copayments and deductibles are likely to go up at about the same rate'' they have over the last eight years. Seniors now must pay $716 for the first day in the hospital, a $100 annual deductible for doctors' bills and 20 percent copayments, and $46 a month premiums for their Part B coverage. An options paper leaked from the House Ways and Means Committee a month ago spoke of sharply increasing the deductible and making the elderly pay as much as 25 percent of doctors' bills if they refused to switch to managed care. Managed care got a bad name in last year's debate over President Clinton's doomed universal health insurance plan, and Gingrich now likes to talk about coordinated care options. It is a catchall phrase covering health maintenance organizations, point-of-service plans and other plans that try to manage all of a person's health care needs for a fixed price usually with some restriction on the patient's use of specialists or doctors outside the plan's network. Other options, according to Gingrich, include allowing senior citizens to stay in the group plan they were in before turning 65, or letting them open medical savings accounts to pay their own bills, usually in conjunction with a high-deductible, catastrophic policy. We want senior citizens to have the right to choose, Gingrich said. But Democrats warn that Republicans may try to convert Medicare from a defined benefit program where everyone 65 and older gets the same package of benefits, regardless of health or wealth to a voucher or defined contribution plan, where the government would pay a certain sum each year, and no more. Gingrich says the GOP belt-tightening moves will allow Medicare spending per beneficiary to grow from $4,800 now to $6,700 by 2002. That assumes the. program will grow at just 6.4 percent a year instead of the current 10 percent rate. Democrats warn that $6,700 may not be enough in seven years, with inflation and increased demand for services. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL FRIDAY, JULY 28, 1995 HMOs to Get Big Medicare Rate Increase By GEORGE ANDERS helped send HMO stocks higher yesterday little bureaucratic snafu." She said there and Wednesday. Among the biggest wasn't any connection between the delay Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL WASHINGTON-Seems like everybody gainers was PacifiCare Health Systems in releasing the report and political argu- Corp., which operates the largest Medicare ments about the fate of Medicare. is trying to slash health-care costs except HMO. Its Class B shares climbed 5.7% the U.S. government. HCFA officials noted that county-by- The government's Medicare program is during the two-day span, finishing yester- county rates for Medicare HMOs won't be getting ready to boost what it pays HMOs day at $60.25 a share on the Nasdaq Stock released until September, and that those Market. to care for the elderly by at least 7%, three rates may vary from the national average. times what HMOs are getting from private Officials of the Health Care Financing They also said that further data on Medi- industry. The 7% figure comes from people Administration, which runs the Medicare care costs this year may cause the HMO familiar with a closely watched federal health program for the elderly, declined to reimbursement date to be adjusted formula due to be released today. say exactly how much HMO rates will rise. slightly. Rumors about the pending increase But one HCFA executive said Wall Street Margo Vignola, an HMO analyst at estimates of a 7% to 10% increase were Merrill Lynch & Co., said investors may be "well-informed speculation.' McDermott Blasts GOP reacting too fast to Medicare-rate news. A 7% increase would be the biggest "There's a formula, and then there's poli- After Gingrich's Testimony Medicare boost in three years for HMOs, tics," she said. She contended that Medi- and would come even as HMOs face consid- care HMO rates might rise as little as 3% in By a WALL STREET JOURNAL Staff Reporter WASHINGTON - After listening to erable price pressure in their main, under- major markets next year, once various Speaker Newt Gingrich testify yester- age-65 markets. Many big corporations adjustments have been made. She also day, the House Ethics Committee's top negotiated price cuts this year from HMOs. argued that the federal government may Democrat said the panel was vulnerable For the coming year, HMO executives are want to see HMOs SO deeply involved in to charges of a coverup because Republi- predicting average rate increases as low as Medicare that even if subsequent rate cans have resisted appointing a special 2%. increases become much stingier the health counsel to probe complaints against the The government's hefty increase is plans would have to keep providing cover- House speaker. likely to be seized on by critics of the age in years ahead. Washington Rep. Jim McDermott's current Medicare system. "I think it's For now, though, the Medicare-rate blistering criticism of the panel's work going to be awfully tough for the Clinton news "has a serious impact on the stocks," added to partisan tensions, and administration to come out and protect the said Eleanor Kearns, a Boston-based ana- prompted a curt reply from Ethics Chair- status quo when these rates are going up, lyst with Alex. Brown & Sons. "They've woman Nancy Johnson (R., Conn.) 'We while in the commercial HMO market been up all week on anticipation of a are doing the work that needs to be done you're seeing some rates actually going good number." SO we can make the judgment that needs down," said Ken Laudan, an analyst at to be made." Montgomery Securities, San Francisco. Democrats allege Mr. Gingrich vio- HMOs currently cover only about 10% of lated ethics rules and tax laws with his the 33 million Medicare recipients who are multimillion dollar fund-raising opera- age 65 or over. But many big HMOs are tions. Critics also claim that his book deal aggressively seeking to expand in that with media baron Rupert Murdoch's pub- market. Meanwhile, Republicans in Con- lishing house, HarperCollins Publishing, gress are looking seriously at ways to Workers' Weekly Wages constitutes a major conflict of interest. increase HMOs' appeal to older Ameri- cans, as part of an effort to get Medicare Rose to $475 in Quarter Mr. Murdoch has big stakes in matters pending before Congress, and Mr. Gin- costs under control. By a WALL STREET JOURNAL Staff Reporter HCFA had been scheduled to release WASHINGTON - The weekly earn- grich stands to earn upwards of $2 million the Medicare HMO rates this Tuesday. ings of the median full-time American from his bestseller, "To Renew America.' Kathy Buto, HCFA's associate admin- worker was $475 in the second quarter, up istrator for policy, blamed the delay on "a 2.2% from the same period of 1994, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. The gain wasn't enough to compensate for the 3.1% increase in consumer prices. Kodak Seeks U.S. Help White House Sees Deficit The data were collected as part of the government's Current Population Sur- To Crack Japan Market For Year at $160 Billion vey, which asks a sample of the nation's 89.5 million full-time workers what their By a WALL STREET JOURNAL Staff Reporter By a WALL STREET JOURNAL Staff Reporter "usual wage" is. ROCHESTER, N.Y. Eastman Kodak WASHINGTON - The White House The new data also illustrate the gap Co. filed a request for remedies with the budget office now projects that the fed- between wages of educated workers and U.S. Trade Representative outlining ac- eral deficit for the current fiscal year will those without degrees. Among full-time tions it wants the government of Japan to be around $160 billion, about $30 billion workers 25 years old or older, the median take to "ensure open access to these mar- smaller than the administration pro- wages for those without a high school kets." jected in February. diploma was $309 a week in the quarter. In May, Kodak filed a petition alleg- If the projection proves correct, the High school graduates without any col- ing the Japanese photographic, mar- deficit for the fiscal year that ends Sept. lege earned $428 a week; those with some ket is unfairly controlled by its main 30 will be the smallest since 1989 and will college earned $593 a week. And the competitor, Tokyo-based Fuji Photo Film have declined for the third year in a row. median wage among the 29% of work Co. Fuji, which has denied Kodak's The deficit last year was $203.2 billion. force with college degrees was $757 a charges, is expected to give a detailed The improved deficit outlook is to be week. response to the allegations Monday. released today with the administration's Only 10% of all workers over age 25 In its request yesterday, Kodak said midyear update of its budget and eco- it wants the Japanese government to earn more than $1,078 a week, the survey nomic forecasts. found. direct Fuji to: end "activities that pro- The deficit is less than the $192.5 Median earnings for black men work- mote price fixing"; terminate exclu- billion projected by the White House ing full-time were $407, 72.4% of the $562 sive distribution agreements with its budget office in February for several median for white men. The racial differ- wholesalers: end rebates that exclude reasons. Among them: Revenues are ences were much narrower for women. competitors and induce-resale price larger than anticipated, interest rates Black women earned $354, 85.9% of the maintenance: and end its monopoly pric- are lower and spending on certain gov- S412 median reported by white women. ing. ernment-benefit programs outside of White House officials said they are health care is rising less rapidly than impressed with Kodak's case and are projected. expected to begin interagency discus- The new estimates include the effects sions in the next few weeks. of the reductions in current-year appro- priations recently agreed upon by the Congress and President Clinton. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL FRIDAY, JULY 28, 1995 GOP's Block-Grant Plan for Food Stamps Fades By CHRISTOPHER GEORGES grant for food stamps, conceded yesterday Republicans. Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL in an interview that "if we put a food- While details of the Dole-Packwood bill WASHINGTON - Senate Republicans, stamps block grant in the [welfare] bill, have yet to be finalized, congressional working on a revised GOP welfare bill, the vote to take it out will succeed. The aides say it is likely to include block have decided against turning the federal Oregon Republican is drafting the revised grants of several welfare programs, in- food-stamp program into a block grant for welfare bill along with Senate Majority cluding the main child-support program, states. Leader Robert Dole of Kansas. Aid to Families with Dependent Children. Lawmakers have also agreed to bolster The food-stamps provision is one ele- But high-growth states in this program welfare funding for high-growth states. ment of a sweeping welfare-overhaul bill would be allowed to draw on a special $863 The food-stamp proposal will likely call expected to be debated on the Senate floor million pool over five years. The added for a sharp reduction in spending on the starting next Friday. While the House pool of money was offered as a concession nutrition program, passed a welfare-overhaul bill earlier this to senators from states such as Florida and about $16 billion year, the welfare debate in the Senate has Texas, who threatened to withhold support less in outlays over developed into a protracted battle between from the final bill unless it adequately the next five years Republican moderates and conservatives. accounted for their anticipated increase in than currently pro- The Senate Finance Committee ap- population of poor people. jected, by limiting proved a welfare bill earlier this year, but Other block grants would include child the benefits avail- conservative senators balked, in part be- care, public housing and job training able. But it will re- cause it didn't go far enough to restrict States are expected to be given broad main an entitle- payment of benefits to some current authority to spend the money on welfare ment program, al- beneficiaries, such as unwed mothers un- programs as they saw fit, but would be lowing benefits to der 18 and mothers on welfare who give required to limit the amount of time recipi- anyone who meets birth to additional children. The opposition ents could stay on welfare and would have the program's qual- has prompted Sen. Dole, a presidential to require most beneficiaries to work. ifications. candidate, and Sen. Packwood to attempt In an apparent attempt to appease A previously dis- Sen. Bob Packwood to rework the bill to accommodate conser- moderates and conservatives, the bill is cussed option would vatives-led by Sen. Phil Gramm of Texas, expected to require some restrictions on have made food stamps a block grant: the another presidential candidate - while unwed teenage mothers on welfare, for federal government would have given each keeping moderate Republicans on board. example requiring them to live at home state a pre-set amount to run the program. Last week, Sen. Gramm unveiled his and attend school to qualify for benefits. If the money ran out during the year, no own welfare-overhaul plan. While chances The measure is also expected to give states further federal funding would be forthcom- appear slim for Senate passage of Sen. an option to deny cash benefits to mothers ing. Gramm's proposal, it has drawn enough on welfare who have additional children. A Senate Finance Committee Chairman support to provoke Sens. Dole and Pack- number of other key issues, however, Bob Packwood, who has supported a block wood to offer concessions to conservative remain unresolved. House GOP Wins Bid to Put Waivers in EPA Bill By DAVID ROGERS deficit-reduction targets next year, and the the Rules Committee who are closely iden- Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL money will help pay for costs arising tified with these issues. WASHINGTON - Republicans, in a from natural disasters as well as the "I dare you to vote against this rule," show of political muscle, won House ap- Oklahoma City bombing. said Rules Committee Chairman Gerald proval of a resolution enabling the GOP to House and Senate negotiators agreed Solomon, who painted the vote as a test of wrap regulatory waivers for favored indus- to terminate Congress's Office of Technol- support for veterans funding. But the New tries into a bill funding the Environmental ogy Assessment as part of the Capitol's York Republican had a stake as well in Protection Agency. budget. provisions accompanying the bill that The 230-189, near-party-line vote was The Senate appropriations panel voted would help paper mills in his district in the opening shot in.what promises to be a to terminate funding for the near decade- dealings with the EPA. two-day debate on a $79.4 billion spending old White House "drug czar" office. The bill that would take deep cuts from the EPA $9.9 million cut dovetails with plans to shift and housing programs for the new fiscal another $147 million in antidrug programs year beginning Oct. 1. to the Treasury Department. Oil refiners and cement and paper The same committée granted a tempo- companies are among those with a stake in rary reprieve to a costly gas-turbine reac- legislative riders attached to the pending tor project that the Energy Department bill. And in this season of budget cuts, and the House have proposed to terminate. Republicans have turned exemptions from By a 15-8 vote, the panel called instead federal rules into a new brand of pork-bar- for an independent scientific assessment rel politics, helping industry allies and first. The sudden reversal reflects strong solidifying business contributions to the corporate lobbying and was a victory for GOP. the chief contractor, General Atomic Co. Senate Appropriations Committee The $79.4 billion bill before the House Chairman Mark Hatfield yesterday spoke now is the first - and more complex - of out against the practice, urging his own two massive domestic spending measures panel to "clean up" the spending bills as Republicans intend to pass before the they come across the Capitol. But within August recess. Apart from housing and the House, yesterday's vote demonstrated environmental programs, the bill also the power of the new leadership and will funds veterans, space and science agen- shield the riders from parliamentary at- cies. The mix of forces made it harder for tack in the chamber. Democrats to maintain unity as they tried To solidify support, Republicans first to shift funds between accounts. had to make concessions to appease mod- As part of the compromise with GOP erates and senior members of the House moderates. the House agreed to switch at Rules Committee. But the victory set the least $600 million back into assorted hous- tone for subsequent votes into last night as ing programs, primarily those targeted to Democrats struggled vainly to restore the elderly, homeless and AIDS patients. funds to housing and environmental pro- But the spending priorities mostly reflect grams. the influence of core conservatives who put In related developments: greatest emphasis on space and veterans President Clinton signed a landmark programs. spending-cut bill that cancels $16.3 billion The appropriations panel earlier had from prior appropriations approved by spoken holdly of challenging the veterans past Democratic Congresses for the cur- lobby. But in yesterday's procedural fight, rent and earlier fiscal years. The savings the GOP sought to harness the veterans' give Congress a leg up toward meeting cause and relied on two senior members of Date: 07/28/95 Time: 20:34 G-O-P, White House Trade Charges On Medicare (Washington) - - The battle over Medicare reform is heating up. Republican lawmakers today drove an ambulance with a 'Rescue Medicare'' sign up to the Capitol, accusing Democrats of standing by idly while the health program for the elderly goes broke. The White House launched its own salvo. A spokesman for President Clinton accused the Republican National Committee of making ''outrageous and dishonest claims'' in an ad about Medicare. The ad promised Republicans 'won't let Medicare go bankrupt. The White House also unleashed a volley of press releases estimating how much seniors and the poor stand to lose in each state from the Republican plan to find (B) billions of dollars in savings in Medicare and Medicaid. The estimates ranged from a high of 44 -hundred dollars per person in Florida to a low of 800 dollars in Wyoming. APNP-07-28-95 2041EDT 07/27/95 09:30 94562878 NO. 886 P002 AP G0387 rw pol-- GOP-Medicare,380 07-27 7:30a GOP Ads Says Clinton Ignoring Medicare Financial Crisis By JOHN KING AP Political Writer WASHINGTON (AP) - Returning the White House's fire in the Medicare debate, the Republican Party says in a new newspaper advertisement that President Clinton "knows Medicare is dying" yet refuses to offer a plan to bolster the program's finances. "Too Young To Die," is the headline over the ad, which is scheduled to run Friday in USA Today at a cost of $69,000 to the Republican National Committee. The text of the ad recounts the Republican argument in the debate with Clinton and his fellow Democrats over Medicare. As the program celebrated its 30th birthday this week, Clinton and allies criticized Republican plans to find roughly $270 billion in Medicare savings over seven years as part of their plans to balance the federal budget. Clinton favors a smaller reduction in Medicare spending, about $124 billion over 10 years. To counter Clinton's arguments that the Republicans Medicare savings would help pay for tax cuts, the GOP ad reminds readers that the Medicare trustees - including several Clinton appointees - have warned that the program will go bankrupt in seven years without a financial fix. "Republicans think Medicare is too young to die," the ad text reads. We won't let Medicare go bankrupt. And we won't let seniors go bankrupt paying for health care. That's why Republicans are saving Medicare." In an interview, GOP Chairman Haley Barbour said the ad was part of the party's overall communications strategy stressing that even with $270 billion in savings, the Republican budgets call for Medicare spending to increase over the next seven years. "If people know that Medicare will be bankrupt in seven years and it is the Clinton administration, not Republicans, that says so, then people think it would be irresponsible not to do what is necessary to prevent Medicare's collapse," Barbour said. He said Clinton had demonstrated the "height of hypocrisy" this week in leading a celebration of Medicare's 30th anniversary but making no mention of the financial crisis. "So far Clinton just seems content to let Medicare go under," Barbour said. The White House, however, has said it soon will be more specific about how it would address the problem and has held back because it wanted Republicans to answer for reductions the administration considers too steep. Gingrich uses Iowa trip 07/25/95 to push Medicare plans 14:43 GOP leader "Cheap Shot" During stops in Des Moines and- 7/25/95 DMR challenges Waterloo, Gingrich said it was a "cheap shot" for Clinton to suggest that he is not serious about cam president paign finance reform. Gingrich said Congress would get to that refurm later. Medicare is forecast to run out of The House speaker wants money In seven years, and Gingrich used his trip to lowa, a state with a commission to come up one of the highest elderly popula tions In the country, to blast Clinton with alternatives to the on the issue. current system. Democrats have criticized Repub- licans for wanting to cut the govern- By DAVID YEPSEN ment-sponsored health care program for seniors But there is a clear edu- WHITER cational misfunction among liber. 94562878 House Speaker Newt Gingrich said als," Gingrich said. "We take a Medi- Monday that senior citizens should care program which this year is at noe worry about Republican plans to $4,800 per senior citizen. Over the revamp Medicare, and he challenged course of a'seven-year budget proj- President Clinton to offer a plan to ect to HCL to a balanced budget, we reform the system. move that program to $6,700. The Georgia Republican, in lowa Virtually all of you have figured out to raise campaign money for Repub- by now this is a $1,900 Increase lican U.S. Reps. Greg Ganake and Jim "What's the guiling part of this? Nussle, also said he'll start thinking This la an increase," he said about a presidential bid in mid- Gingrich said the White House November. GINGRICH Please turn w Page 4A NO.836 P002/006 THE REGISTER Gingrich pushes GINGRICH QUOTES HERE ARE SAMPLES of remarks House Medicare plans Speaker Newt Gingrich made during his visit to lows on GINGRICH trying to turn the tables on Clinton, Monday. who used his weekly radio address Life, liberty and Continued from Page 1A Saturday to demand that Gingrich the pursuit of produce a campaign finance reform happiness. Notice: plans 8 celebration this year to mark Pursuit of plan. Medicare's 30th anniversary. The two men shook hands in New happiness. Not "The president's own trustees re- happiness stamps, Hampshire on 8 promise to reform not happiness ported about 10 weeks ago that campaign financing, Clinton noted, entitlement, not Medicare starts to run out of money but nothing's happened since then. guarantee of happiness. next year and goes broke in about seven years. We have waited for "I think the people of this country not equal happiness. want us to move forward with polici- YOU can't pursue about 10 weeks for the president to cal reform," Clinton said. "He have happiness if you don't have come up with a proposal to save the habit of work. an obligation to get this done and not " Medicare." he said. "I want to challenge him and say: walk away. If we're going to restore Yes. we'll give you 28 weeks (af It's not enoligh just to celebrate the a spirit of civility to American poli- unemployment compansation) if ties, a handshake has to mean in last 30 years. You have to help the you are unemployed. We're not 1995 what it meant when I was going 10 give you 26 weeks for country to understand what's to growing up we have to be as good deer hunting and bass fishing. happen in the next 30 years. How " as our word." are we going to save it? What are we going to do to make sure it's still Gingrich called that a cheap shot " Just because I believe every student st every age level should there? And how are we doing to do it "I was about as offended by his com- do at least two hours of homework in a way that keeps every person in ments Saturday as I've ever been. every night, I don't then say we this room from going broke?" Ging- They were totally uncalled for need 8 federal department of rich asked. He attacked me by name on the radio homework checkers. " Gingrich said he wanted to ap- program." point a commission to study alterna- Congress is working on passing a " We need to say to anybody who tives. such as creation of a "medical budget before the start of the fiscal brings in a commercial quantity of savings account" that would enable year and is trying to help the presi- drugs: You are doing that to get dent on Bosnia. Gingrich said, but rich by addicting and killing our Americans to set aside pre-tax in- Clinton's remarks don't help those children. If you do that, we will kill come for health care. The accounts would make Americans better con- efforts. you." sumers of medical care because they While Gingrich was holding the Every time we say to a poor child could keep what they don't spend. door open to a presidential bid, he 'You don't need to learn English.' Gingrich also said he liked the idea did not sound like a man preparing we are increasing the likellhood of vouchers consumers could use to to walk through it they stay poor. " shop for health care, and the idea of "We will assess all that in mid- allowing workers to remain in their The slogan of the state of New November," he said, when he would Hampshire is Live Free or Die. It is employers' group health plans after - they retire. ask himself, "Is there a big enough not Live Free or Whine desire for another candidate at that 155 very hard to be a passive Republican leaders are jittery point? Is it something I need to do be American. It's not now our society about the issue because the party cause frankly being speaker of the works. has lost elections to Democrats over House is a very big job and at the senior citizens' benefits. present time we're having a lot of "In our plan. we keep the current fun, getting a lot of things done and rich speak at a breakfast fund-raiser. structure for anybody who wants to having a reasonable impact as for Ganske at the Des Moines stay in iL" Gingrich stressed. "If you speaker. so I'm not sure we need to Marriott Hotel. About 600 attended are 85 or 95 years old, your govern- doit his luncheon appearance on behalf ment probably shouldn't harass you. "If the race is fairly locked up by of Nussle at the Five Sullivan It shouldn't come to you and say mid-November, the easy thing is to Brothers Convention Center in Wa we're going to compel you to change, relax. be speaker of the House and terioo. we're going to force you out of a sys- do what we are doing, which is tem you are used to. frankly an awful lot of work," he THIS STORY includes reports from By demanding a Medicare plan said. Jack Housleon in The Register's Water from the president, Gingrich was About 1,000 people heard Ging- loo Bureau. NO.836 P003/006 94566289 07/25/95 14:43 Speaker de er ds farr 1 prograr 1 as necessary for food security' 7/25/95 DMR other activity which we engage in continuation of farm income and 'Every part of the world I is an unpredictable and uncertain oc- price support programs "because 07/25/95 14:43 know of has tremendous cupation, that has challenges of family farmers are good for society weather and world markets, vaga- but they can't stand the bad government involvement' in ries which are different from a lot of years" resulting from market and agriculture, he says industries weather disruptions. Clinton said his Gingrich discussed agrícultural chief aim in farm policy changes was By GEORGE ANTHAN and rural issues during a meeting to "do no harm." with Des Moines Register reporters Or THE RECISTER'S WASHINGTON BUREAU The House speaker, who emerged and editors. He said critics of agricul- from last fall's election as the most tural programs are mainly, "urban charismatic - and perhaps most in- House Speaker Newt Gingrich on politicians" whose opposition is fluential - Republican leader in Monday defended federal farm sub- based both on left-wing and right- Washington, called farm programs sidies, saying il would be a mistake wing Ideology. essential "for our food security" and to wipe out farm programs in the Gingrich appeared to generally - "for a counterbalance against efforts face of subsidized competition from agree with President Clinton on farm like the European Common Market abroad. policy, even though he criticized the to massively subsidize French and The Republican leader supported president last year as being "anti- German farmers. farm-state legislators' plans for a agriculture." "Every part of the world I know. of new farm bill this year and said agri- During'a visit to The Register in culture "far more than virtually any April, Clinton also strongly endorsed RURAL Please lurn to Page 4A 94562878 NO.836 P004/006 - THE Drs MOINER REGISTER TI: House speaker supports Roberts contends Republicans jcopardize their majority status by discounting the farm vote. Almost subsidies half the 73 GOP freshmen elected last fall are from farm districts, Rob- erts said, and the overall rural vote is broad and still based partly on RURAL farm issues. Five-Year Plan Continued from Page 1A Gingrich said the Republican- has tremendous government in- controlled House and Senate have volvement," he added. approved & five-year budget plan If the U.S. "were to unilaterally which "does not in any way end drop all the programs, that would (farm) programs. It has a substantial put American farmers at the risk of amount of money for all those pro- having to take on the European Com- grams." mon Market without having any A House-Senate budget agreement government involvement," he said. calls for reductions in farm pro- "You clearly would drive down grams by a total of $8.5 billion over American farm income in 1 way the next five years, with about which would not only be unfair to $1 billion to be cut in 1996. In recent farmers but make no sense in the years, farm programs have cost from long run," Gingrich added. about $7 billion to $15 billion a year. Gingrich bridled when asked If Congress backs an effort by whether his chief adviser on farm lowa's Grassley, the farm CUES would policy issues would be Majority total no more than about $6 billion Leader Richard Armey of Texas, a over five years. Clinton has called leading critic, or Agriculture Com- for $4.2 billion less for agriculture in milloe Chairman Pat Roberts of Kan- the 1996-2000 period. sas, 2 farm program booster. Farm program critics also include Gingrich also stressed that Repub- Democrats Charles Schumer of New lican efforts to balance the federal York and Barney Frank of Massa- budget would reduce interest rates chusetts, Gingrich said, and Republi- by up to two points and save state cans are best represented on the is- and local governments, consumers sue by lows Reps. Tom Latham, Greg and farmers large amounts of money Ganske, Jim Ross Lightfoot, Jim and result in "an enormous infusion Leach and Jim Nussle, and by Sen. of capital back into society," Charles Grassley. He also said that despite some cuts Gingrich also emphasized the clout in rural development efforts, emerg- Sen. Bob Dole, R.Kan, has on farm ing electronic networks would revi- issues. "I somehow doubt that in a talize small towns and cities. year in which Dole is the majority leader of the Senate and front runner for (the GOP nomination for) presi- dent that we are somehow going to do something which is radically disadvantageous to lows farming." Al the same time. Gingrich did state that since Armey is "the chief operating officer of the House, one always has to pay a fair amount of attention to him." NO.836 P005/006 94562878 14:44 OMAHA WORLD-HERALD Tuesday, July 25, 1995 07/25/95 14:44 Gingrich Draws Iowa Crowd Des Moines (AP) - They don't think House Speaker Newt Gingrich will run for president - this time - but Sows GOP activists were quick to pay anyway anske for a glimpse of the Georgia Republican About 1,000 turned out Monday for & $100-a-plate breakfast to hear the speak- or challenge President Clinton to come up with o plan to fix Medicare. Skirting his trip's political overtones, nn ress Gingrich said the visit to towa was to counter Cliston, who this work will be observing the 30th anniversary of the signing of Medicare with events around the Dountry. "I wanted to come to Des Moines today, quite frankly, to challenge the president," Gingrich said al the fund- raising event for lowa Rep. Greg Ganska "We don't have any evidence THE ASSOCIATED PRESS 94562878 that the president has any plan M all BREAKFAST BUDDIES: Ierve Gov. Beansted, left, and House Speaker Newt other than to attack us and wait for in to Gingrich appear at a Des Moines fund-raiser Menday for Rep. Greg Ganake. fobroke. "Tell us what you would da 10 is not After causing a political stir with a not this time, then in four years. enough to just attack Republicans," visit to New Hampshire, home of the lowa Republican Chairman Brian Gingrich said. nation's first primary, Gingrich was set Kennody said be doesn't view Gingrich Organizers of Cingrich's sour say not for a daylong swing across lowa The as B potential candidate in the 1996 being a candidate gives thim unique state product cancuses in February begin election but as a "visionary with an appeal the process that will produce a Republi- agenda." "News's a funge draw. the bottest can nominee to oppose President Clip- political property right now in the Ro- ton. Organizens said interest was high and publican Party,' said Keith Fortman, The public cover for Giagrich's trip is rooms would be packed for Gingrich's who is organizing some of the events. visit. to raise money for two congressmen, but "No dight to the presidential candidates, most of the spocalation is about the Prices for the events range up to but chey' re coming in all the time." Georgia Republican's ambitions - if $1,000. NO.836 P006/006 EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT 24-Jul-1995 04:54pm TO: (See Below) FROM: Jason S. Goldberg Office of Cabinet Affairs SUBJECT: Clinton Vows to 'Act Alone' With Veto To Stop GOP Budget Cuts Date: 07/24/95 Time: 16:28 Clinton Vows to 'Act Alone' With Veto To Stop GOP Budget Cuts WASHINGTON (AP) Trying to get off the sidelines, President Clinton threatened a veto blitz Monday against GOP cuts in popular domestic programs. ``I will continue to act, alone if necessary,' he declared. Clinton castigated Republicans for not taking his 10-year budget balancing plan more seriously. And he said appropriations bills now moving through the GOP-led Congress would unravel bedrock education, health and environmental programs. '`There are a lot of things being done here which will violate and undermine our chances to achieve common ground, Clinton said. He used a White House speech to delegates from Boys Nations a high school good-government program in which he once participated to wield his latest veto threats. ``The haste of their schedule and the scope of their tax cuts are luxuries, and this is not a time for luxuries,' Clinton said of GOP plans to eliminate the deficit in seven years while offering a $250 billion tax cut. The president said he didn't want to create a fiscal crisis this fall. But he suggested Republicans might give him little choice but to veto fiscal 1996 appropriations bills. Republicans scoffed at Clinton's latest ultimatum. '`Instead of all this rhetoric and all these veto threats, Bill Clinton ought to sit down and propose a budget that really does eliminate the deficit,' said Republican Party chairman Haley Barbour. `Clinton doesn't have a 10-year plan to balance the budget. Republicans cannot compromise with a phantom plan,' Barbour said. It was a reference to a Congressional Budget Office analysis that suggested Clinton's plan would result in a $209 billion deficit in the 10th year. The administration has rejected the CBO conclusions as misleading and inaccurate, despite Clinton's 1993 claim that CBO figures would henceforth be used by the administration. White House officials billed Monday's speech as the beginning of a concerted two-week effort by Clinton to raise his profile in the budget debate and to get off the sidelines. The GOP-controlled Congress ignored his June appeal for a 10-year plan and has been marching ahead with a series of 1996 spending bills to reach its own seven-year goal. Clinton said the Republican juggernaut is threatening government programs some decades old that have long enjoyed bipartisan support. Specifically, he cited proposed GOP cuts in the student loan and other educational programs, in Medicare, Head Start, job training and in the Clean Air Act. ' ' I invite senators and members of Congress from both parties to join me in balancing the budget while protecting our common ground, he said. ``I will work hard to get their support. But if they refuse, I must continue to act, alone if necessary. White House Chief of Staff Leon Panetta has said that none of the appropriations bills before Congress are acceptable to Clinton in their present form. Failure of 13 appropriations bills to be signed by Oct. 1 could result in a shutdown of government agencies and services. This happened several times during the Bush and Reagan administrations in clashes with Congress, but not Clinton's presidency. Presidential spokesman Mike McCurry said the administration does not want to ''go though this silly game in which we shut down the federal government.' But there also seemed little prospect this late in the budget cycle that GOP leaders would take Clinton up on his invitation to join him in a 10-year plan that makes smaller domestic cuts. So far, Clinton has only vetoed one bill, cutting $16.5 billion from current spending. Congress did not attempt to override the veto but reached an agreement with the White House on a new $16.3 billion version Clinton is expected to sign Thursday. Clinton told his youthful audience, dressed in red and black Boys Nation shirts, he had been a Boys Nation delegate to the White House on July 24, 1983, and had met President John F. Kennedy. ``I would never have made it here, and gone from that day to this one, without the benefit of the shared beliefs and convictions and opportunities that made up the America of my youth These opportunities are threatened by the GOP budget plans, he said. ' 'We mustn't throw over, in a moment of partisan zeal, the common sense and bipartisan conclusions of our fathers and mothers, he said. APNP-07-24-95 1634EDT Distribution: TO: [email protected]@INET TO: John C. Angell TO: Jeremy D. Benami TO: Erskine Bowles TO: Emily Bromberg EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT 24-Jul-1995 04:51pm TO: (See Below) FROM: Jason S. Goldberg Office of Cabinet Affairs SUBJECT: DEMOCRATS LAUNCH SERIES OF ATTACKS ON GOP MEDICARE PLANS Date: 07/24/95 Time: 16:42 Democrats Launch Series of Attacks on GOP Medicare Plans WASHINGTON (AP) In a campaign timed for Medicare's 30th anniversary, Democrats launched a weeklong attack Monday on Republican plans to save $270 billion from the health care program for the elderly. '`The Republican cuts would cause $1,000 additional cost to the average senior citizens and their family,'' House Democratic leader Dick Gephardt of Missouri said at a news conference with Senate Democratic leader Tom Daschle of South Dakota. '`They're doing it not to balance the budget, not even to fix Medicare, but to give a tax break to people who don't need a tax break, Gephardt said. President Clinton takes up the attack on Tuesday at a Medicare '`birthday celebration'' event on Capitol Hill. Gephardt, Health Secretary Donna Shalala and other Democrats will attend a ceremony marking the anniversary of Medicare on Saturday in Independence, Mo., where President Lyndon Johnson signed the legislation creating the program three decades ago. The Democratic attacks drew a quick rebuttal from House Speaker Newt Gingrich. `They plan a week of cheap shots and nostalgia,' he said of Clinton and the Democrats. ''We're not cutting anything, we're increasing.' While no Medicare legislation is expected on the floor of the House or Senate until September, the Democratic decision to seize on the anniversary of the program reflects the political importance of the issue in the 1996 elections. Republicans are drafting legislation to save $270 billion from Medicare by 2002 as part of their attempt to balance the budget a blueprint that also envisions $245 billion in tax cuts. Pointing to a report issued by Medicare's trustees, including members of the administration, they intend to slow the project rate of growth, and say savings are essential to preserve the program. At the same time, Republicans identified Medicare months ago as a potential political land mine for their efforts to balance the budget in seven years. An estimated 37 million seniors are enrolled in the program, and Gingrich, in Iowa, said during the day, ' ' I think Medicare is the most difficult and delicate issue that we're dealing with. In an eight-page memorandum circulated last month to House Republicans, pollster Frank Luntz outlined several tips for maintaining the political high ground in a politically treacherous debate. 'Republicans must be seen as the part of hope; the party that took on the problems of Medicare head-on, he wrote. For our efforts to be successful, we have to make the status quo a worse option than change. For their part, Democrats have been cheered in recent weeks by polls suggesting that GOP policies are losing support. Mark Mellman, a Democratic pollster who has advised both Gephardt and Daschle, said Republicans proceed at their own peril. While people want to cut spending they are not willing to sacrifice Medicare on the altar of deficit reduction, he said. Clinton, countering the GOP balanced-budget plan, proposed $124 billion in savings over 10 years from Medicare, but said the money would come from providers rather than beneficiaries. Asked about the political stakes, Gephardt said: ``If they (Republicans) do what they want to do or what they hope to do, I think they' be in the minority for a long, long time. The details of the Republican plan have yet to be thrashed out, although they are expected to offer seniors several alternatives. One would preserve the current fee-for-service program, although at a higher cost; others would be designed to encourage seniors to enroll in less costly programs, including HMOs or plans that couple tax-deductible savings to be applied to routine health costs and insurance for catastrophic coverage. Whatever details finally emerge, Democrats aren't waiting. ``I don't think that there is an issue pending which characterizes the philosophical difference between Democrats and Republicans more ably than Medicare does, Daschle said at the Democrats' news conference. '`That was the case 30 years ago, when Democrats fought to create Medicare and Republicans opposed it The Democrats have scheduled a full week of commemorative events, all designed to underscore their points. Tuesday's schedule includes a presidential visit to Capitol Hill and Democratic appearances on talk radio programs. On Wednesday, Democrats intend to release a report that will predict devastating impact on hospitals if Republicans pursue their plans. The event Friday will be held at the Truman Library. Johnson signed the measure their in a tribute former President Harry Truman, who first proposed health care for the elderly. APNP-07-24-95 1648EDT Distribution: TO: [email protected]@INET TO: John C. Angell TO: Jeremy D. Benami congressional Memo In Budget 5/30/95 Battle, a Side Skirmish Over Medicare By ROBIN TONER Medicare, the program for the eld-, Behind all this advertising is a WASHINGTON, May 28 - The erly, in addition to $175 billion or simple concept: Congress responds attle of the budget is often pre- more from Medicaid, which is for the to public opinion. Move that, and you ented as a highly stylized and poor. may move Congress, or at least the tripted clash between two parties Rick Wade, senior vice president relevant members. the floor of the House and Senate. for the hospital association, replied: The quick response of House Re- ut away from the official show, as "We're expressing a strong point of publican leaders to blunt the hospi- eal-life constituencies defend real- view over a number. We think it's a tals' campaign suggests that they ie programs, the struggle is more proper role for us to point out that we are keenly aware of that truism as ubtle, more sophisticated and think the number is too big." well. "In order to defeat this and ometimes more like a political From the beginning, the Medicare future attacks on our proposal, each ampaign than a legislative process. proposal has been considered the member office needs to be both pre There is no better case study most politically vulnerable part of pared and proactive," the Republi- nd perhaps no better indication of the Republican plan. Party leaders can response plan declares. hat the next few months will bring have tried hard to defend these huge Hospital officials argued that they than the confrontation between cuts in projected spending as a tried a more conciliatory approach, ongressional Republicans and the means of preserving the solvency of accepting the political reality that ospital industry. the Medicare program, but many some reductions would come in the So far, this rift, which centers on analysts say the reductions far ex- Medicare program and offering to e Republicans' proposal to extract ceed what is necessary on that score. work with Republicans on long-term undreds of billions of dollars from Tom Scully, a former Bush advis- restructuring. "Our whole attitude he Medicare program, has brought er and president of the Federation of in dealing with Republicans on this wave of angry newspaper advertis- American Health Systems, a trade was we wanted to work with them g from the American Hospital As- group for about 1,400 hospitals, said cooperatively," said Rick Pollack ociation, warning, "Everyone will it was "almost impossible to find a the hospital association's executive el the impact if community hospi- serious health care or budget ana- vice president for Federal relations. als have to reduce their services or lyst who thinks this level of cuts is But he said, "When they went to lose their doors." It has also justified by rational health policy." the floor with their plan, we felt we rompted summit meetings, stern Representatives of the hospitals, had an obligation to make sure peo- etters from Republican leaders, moreover, maintain that these new ple knew this type of proposal was narges and countercharges. spending controls would be nothing very dangerous to hospitals and the It has even prompted the House short of devastating, resulting in communities they serve." epublican Conference to produce a hospital shutdowns, curtailments of Now, Mr. Pollack said, with both Response Plan to the American services and a general disruption of the House and Senate adopting budg- ospital Association's Attack on the health care system. As the Re- et resolutions with upward of $250 ouse Republicans." That docu- publican budget resolution moved to billion in Medicare savings, the nent, which was circulated on Capi- the floor of the House and Senate struggle enters a new phase: how ol Hill, offered sample news releas- earlier this month, the A.H.A. took those savings will be achieved. The S, talking points and suggested let- this message to the country in the hospitals want to help Republicans ers to local hospital officials to de- newspaper advertisements, run na- "reach those numbers in a responsi- end the Republican budget and cast tionally and in selected Congression- ble way," he said. he debate in different terms. al districts. But Barry Jackson, executive di- "A.H.A. has launched a vigorous, "Hospitals are successfully con- rector of the House Republican Con- Il-out campaign to defeat the bal- trolling costs, but these reductions ference, suggested the conciliatory nced budget," one of the suggested go beyond what is reasonable," one phase had yet to flower fully. The etters declares. "Using your re- advertisement declared. "They're hospitals "probably misstepped ources and invoking your name, it going to hurt, not just folks on Medi- there on their first step," he said, working to insure that the budget care, but anyone who may need the "Rather than engaging in a dialogue not balanced and Medicare is not high quality care that only a hospital about the program, they went into aved from bankruptcy." The sam- can give." attack mode and they now find them- !e news release, "to use if A.H.A. ad There is ample precedent for this selves on the outside looking in." uns in your district," declares, kind of effort; interest groups in The ads run in today's paper are major legislative struggles have in- art of a nationally orchestrated creasingly moved toward the trap- ear campaign, designed by Wash- pings and technologies of a political ngton lobbyists to scare Americans campaign, from polling to advertis- nto believing that Medicare should- ing. 't be improved or protected." Most recently, in 1993-94, groups The heat of this dispute, in short, including the American Medical As- as rivaled anything generated by sociation and the Health Insurance ne more traditional face-off here Association of America ran adver- etween Democrats and Republi- tisements to express their concerns ans. Representative John R. Kasich about the Clinton Administration's Ohio, the chief architect of the health plan. The insurance associa- tepublican budget as chairman of tion's "Harry and Louise" commer- ne House Budget Committee, de- cials, about a 40-something couple lared in an interview last week that fretting over the dangers of health the hospital association is absolute- care restructuring, became a major 1, totally and completely irresponsi- theme in the ensuing debate. le" and "out of control." Given the stakes, the heat is not urprising. The Republican drive to alance the budget and cut taxes by 002 is premised on extracting more nan $250 billion in savings from Date: 07/20/95 Time: 18:54 Parties Trade Barbs Over Medicare Overhaul WASHINGTON (AP) A Republican senator advanced the first Medicare voucher proposal Thursday while Democrats charged that the GOP's "stealth" reforms would force the elderly to pay more and get less. Sen. Judd Gregg, R-N.H., said his 'Choice Care'' Act would let seniors keep their traditional coverage, but offer incentives to get them to switch to less expensive health maintenance organizations and managed care plans. Gregg said the expanded choice of health plans wouldn't cost seniors anything extra and would produce savings in the form of rebates for those who chose HMOs. The Clinton administration's Medicare chief, Bruce C. Vladeck, said that barring miracles, it would be impossible for Republicans to save $270 billion over seven years without inflicting pain on the elderly. Vladeck charged that converting Medicare into a voucher program with seniors getting fixed amounts each year to buy private insurance 'would put all the risk of increased medical care costs on the beneficiaries. Even with the $124 billion in savings that President Clinton is seeking from Medicare, `either somebody's paying a lot more or somebody's receiving a lot less,' Vladeck told the House Ways and Means health subcommittee. The amount of pain grows exponentially with the dollars involved. Ways and Means Republicans have been thrust on the defensive by the leak of a staff document outlining ways to achieve the $270 billion in savings, including sharp increases in premiums and deductibles. But Rep. Bill Thomas, R-Calif., chairman of the Ways and Means health subcommittee, accused Vladeck of jumping to conclusions. ' ' I can assure you there is no (Republican) plan' yet on how to achieve the savings, Thomas said. He accused the Clinton official of raising 'nightmare scenarios, and said Medicare will go broke without change. 'Republicans want to change the program, said Thomas. ``If you don't do it, the next administration will Laura Tyson, chairman of President Clinton's National Economic Council, said the Republicans would let Medicare grow just 4.9 percent per capita each year, less than the 7.1 growth in the private sector with all of the managed care innovations and a less sick population. Rep. Nancy Johnson, R-Conn. promised ample protection for consumers in any reforms and reminded Vladeck, `Medicare is on the skids. The program's hospital trust fund is facing bankruptcy by 2002. Judd's `Choice Care'' proposal, which he plans to introduce next week, does not include any higher charges. He would require private plans to enroll all applicants, no matter how sick, on a first-come, first-serve basis up to their capacity. But he acknowledged it would produce only a portion of the $270 billion, and Congress would have to find other ways to slow Medicare spending. Gregg, as chair of a Republican entitlements task force, has proposed automatic spending cuts if moves to managed care fail to slow Medicare's growth rate from 10 percent to 6.5 percent annually. 'Pay more or get less, that's the Republican Medicare plan, Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle, D-S.D. told a news conference. He called vouchers ''a ticket to disaster. `There's a stealth bomber coming at the elderly of America in the form of Medicare cuts, warned Sen. Bob Graham, D-Fla. Sen. Edward M. Kennedy, D-Mass. , asserted that the GOP may make elderly couples pay ''a whopping $6,600 more'' over the next seven years. Gregg dismissed the Democrats' barbs. '`The administration continues to be locked into its view that the only people who can manage health care are bureaucrats here in Washington and Hillary Clinton, he said. APNP-07-20-95 1900EDT Chicago Tribune, July 11, 1995 "They really want to make it a voluntary program,' said table and there ought to be an hon- Gephardt, whose Democratic col- est debate over it," said Dick leagues were incensed last month Davidson, president of the hospital when President Clinton undercut group. "You can't get an honest de- their attacks on the GOP budget bate over the next 90 days." plan when he endorsed slowing the Floor action on changes in Medi- rate of Medicare growth. care and Medicaid is expected in "They [Republicans] weren't for September. Medicare when it was born, and they believe the revolution of the last elections gives them license to change it," Gephardt said in an in- terview. Ed Gillespie, Armey's spokes- man, sought to play down his boss's personal feelings about one of the most sensitive and explosive of American political institutions. "The fact is, we inherited this thing that's about to go bust," Gil- lespie said, citing reports by Medi- Rep. Richard Armey says the care trustees that the federally sub- challenge on Medicare is to com- sidized health insurance plan for bat "60 years of a government the elderly will become insolvent that has done nothing but teach early in the next century. the lessons of dependence." Revamping Medicare is essential to the Republican pledge to bal- ance the federal books by 2002. GOP leader They must find $270 billion in Medicare savings over seven years, and contend they will achieve lashes out those savings by reducing the rate of growth in Medicare from about 10 percent annually to 6.4 percent. at Medicare Last weekend, the conservative Washington Times reported that GOP House leaders had settled on the outlines of a strategy to retool By Steve Daley Medicare, one which turns on of- WASHINGTON BUREAU fering the elderly more medical choices from the private sector. WASHINGTON-House Majority Leader Richard Armey told report- Under the GOP plan, which will ers Monday that he "deeply resents be taken up by three committees the fact that when I'm 65 I must this month and next, Medicare re- enroll in Medicare." cipients could choose to stay with While the Texas Republican the current system, but would made it clear he backed GOP ar- have to pay higher monthly guments that Medicare must be re- premiums. structured to keep it solvent into Recipients would receive an an- the next century, he maintained nual lump-sum payment to pur- chase health insurance from health that one element of his party's small-government vision included maintenance organizations "trying to allow people to re-learn (HMOs), and beneficiaries could the lessons of freedom, and they're choose to open medical savings ac- counts. scary lessons." He characterized the GOP chal- Armey, a brash, former econom- lenge as combating "60 years of a ics professor who is the second government that has done nothing most powerful member of the but teach the lessons of depen- House and highly regarded by dence," and said that, speaking younger GOP members, has a his- only for himself, he believed Medi- tory of controversial remarks. care was "a program I would have He was an early advocate of mil- no part of in a free world." itary base-closing commissions Americans must sign up for and has attacked farm subsidy Medicare when they reach age 65, programs and the minimum wage. but are not required to accept On Monday, the head of the benefits. American Hospital Association Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri, called on Congress to form a bipar- the Democratic leader, character- tisan commission to reconfigure Armey's remarks "the Medicare. [GOP] agenda." "Every issue ought to be on the 07/19/95 09:43 202 690 5673 HHS-PUBLIC AFFAI 002 Medicare, 500 Administration Criticizes GOP's Medicare Voucher Proposals WASHINGTON (AP) Elderly and disabled Americans will be digging deeper into their pockets to keep health benefits if Congress moves ahead with plans to overhaul Medicare, the Clinton administration says. The Republican effort to reform Medicare would turn back the clock 30 years to a time when the elderly and disabled struggled in a discriminatory and expensive insurance market to buy decent coverage with limited funds, Judith Feder of the Department of Health and Human Services, told a House subcommittee Tuesday. The budget plan approved by Congress last month would pare the growth in Medicare spending by $270 billion over the next seven years. House Republicans are considering a draft plan that would revamp the program by creating financial incentives to encourage people to join health maintenance organizations or other types of managed-care plans that are designed to reduce the growth in medical costs. Participants would be given government-funded vouchers that could be used to pay for a variety of private health insurance plans, such as HMOs. House leaders, however, have also pledged that Medicare recipients and future retirees who wish to remain in the traditional fee-for-service program, in which the government pays for each doctor's visit or hospital stay, may continue to do so. Ari Fleischer, a spokesman for the House Ways and Means Committee, said the draft plan was an internal staff document describing a `wide spectrum of options available to policy-makers'' and that it was far too soon to say which would be adopted. But administration officials, including HHS Secretary Donna Shalala, were quick to attack the plan. shalala said it would force Medicare beneficiaries to reach deeper and deeper into their own pockets to maintain their current coverage.' And Feder, a deputy assistant secretary of HHS, told the House Commerce subcommittee on health that moving into a voucher system as Medicare spending is being reduced by $270 billion can only be disastrous' for the people who depend on it. she said Medicare participants under a voucher system probably would have to pay more to keep the coverage they have today. But since three-fourths of them have incomes below $25,000, she said, it is likely that many seniors would not be able to pay more. At worst, beneficiaries would be forced to buy coverage that is insufficient to meet their needs,'' Feder said. `That's not choice, it's financial coercion.' Fleischer, however, said Shalala and Medicare's other trustees have warned that unless reformed, the system will be gone, bankrupt, insolvent'' in seven years. We are prepared to move forward and make the decisions to save Medicare for present retirees and future retirees, and in doing so, seniors will have choices and all reforms will be done with an eye toward what is doable and what affordable,'' he said. APWR-07-19-95 0848EDT pWall St. Jrnl : 7-19-95 Plan to Revise Medicare May Raise Recipients' Costs By a WALL STREET JOURNAL staff Reporter WASHINGTON - A draft plan by House. Republicans to revemp Medicare could result in substantially higher costs for beneficiaries who stick with standard Medicare coverage. The plan became the focus of a bit- terly partisan House Commerce subcom- mittee hearing yesterday. Democratic panel members de- nounced the notion of increasing costs to beneficiaries while Republicans argued that it is essential to restrain Medicare growth. Judith Feder, chief aide on health issues to Health and Human Services Secretary Donna Shalala, testified at the hearing that preliminary estimates indi- cate the average beneficiary in 2002 would pay as much as $400 more in premium increases under the blueprint than under President Clinton's budget. in addition. she said, those who use home health services and skilled nursing facili- ties would pay. on average, $1,000 for each service in 2002. BOSTON GLOBE June 14, 1995 GOP may have solution to Medicare's budget problems covering all expenses above a high much larger savings than are targeted for same services and treatments as Medi- PETE du PONT threshold, say $3,000 per year. The re- Medicare in the House and Senate budget care, and private plans would also have to maining funds would be saved in the MSA resolutions. Consequently, the MSA op- accept anyone from Medicare who chose WASHINGTON and used to pay medical expenses below tion can achieve the Medicare budget tar- them, not just healthy people. re the Republicans about to the deductible. The retiree could then gets through improved incentives and Finally, to solve the Medicare budget A shock the Democrats, the bu- withdraw any remaining MSA funds at competition rather than cutting benefits problem, spending for people who choose reaucrats, the Washington es- the end of the year and use them for any for the elderly. to remain in Medicare would be indexed tablishment and status quo purpose. More important than costs, though, to grow no faster than 5 percent to 7 naysayers everywhere? Have they devel- Health insurance actuaries have al- are services. The MSA option would actu- percent annually (compared with 10 oped a Medicare reform concept that will ready estimated that the amounts the el- ally offer better benefits and health care percent today) by adding an up-front de- meet the budget targets while actually derly could withdraw for the elderly than ductible to the program that would be improving benefits for the elderly? from Medicare, plus the Medicare does today. automatically set each year at whatever Perhaps they are, and maybe they amounts they are al- A GOP idea is to For example: amount is sufficient to keep program have. Today, Medicare and its funds are ready paying out-of- The MSA cata- controlled by the government. But a bub- pocket for health care shift power and costs within the targets. The elderly could strophic insurance privately insure against the deductible, bling Republican idea is to shift power and supplemental pri- control of would provide coverage and the poor could be shielded from it al- and control over the program's funds to vate insurance, would Medicare's funds for all expenses over together through low-income vouchers. the elderly themselves. be enough to pay for the insurance thresh- Under the proposal being discussed, the catastrophic insur- to the elderly. These reforms essentially address the old, unlike Medicare problems of Medicare by shifting power elderly people would be free to withdraw ance and put $3,000 in benefits, which are from the government bureaucracy to indi- 95 percent of their share of Medicare the MSA for expenses limited in duration and viduals. That is what Republicans prom- spending each year and use it to purchase below the deductible. do not provide full catastrophic coverage. ised in the last election. That is what the private coverage of their choice instead. Since the elderly choosing the MSA Also, unlike Medicare, the MSA would voters demanded. That is what the Re- These private options would include option would be in control of their health cap all annual out-of-pocket expenses by Medical Savings Accounts (MSAs), publican plan under discussion delivers. expenses below $3,000 per year, they the elderly, since once the catastrophic Health Maintenance Organizations would avoid unnecessary or overly costly threshold is reached there are no more Providing broad new advantages and (HMOs), Preferred Provider Organiza- care, or any care where the costs exceed benefits to the elderly while reducing expenses. tions (PPOs), or traditional individual or the benefits. Because of this new consum- With an MSA the elderly could pur- costs to the government sounds like very group insurance. They could also choose er cost-consciousness, doctors and hospi- chase pharmaceutical medicines which good news. to remain in Medicare. What is most ap- tals would compete to reduce costs to at- are not currently covered by Medicare. The Republicans may make sweet po- pealing about these private options, how- tract consumers trying to get the best Through the MSAs, the elderly could litical lemonade out of a sour welfare ever, are the opportunities offered by value for their funds. avoid the increasing rationing under state lemon. MSAs. MSAs have already proven to be pow- Medicare, which is reducing the quality of Under the MSA option, the retiree erful cost-cutting tools. Companies offer- their care and their access to care. All the Pete du Pont, the former governor of Dela- would use part of:the funds from Medi- ing MSAs for their employees are reduc- private plans offered as an alternative to ware, is policy chairman of the National care to purchase catastrophic insurance ing or eliminating annual cost increases, Medicare would have to at least cover the Center for Policy Analysis. PAGE 1 LEVEL 1 - 1 OF 1 STORY Copyright 1995 Globe Newspaper Company The Boston Globe June 14, 1995, Wednesday, City Edition SECTION: NATIONAL/FOREIGN; Pg. 1 LENGTH: 1442 words HEADLINE: President offers plan to balance the budget; Takes on goal of GOP, draws Democrats' ire BYLINE: By Peter G. Gosselin, Globe Staff DATELINE: WASHINGTON BODY: President Clinton aligned himself with the Republican drive to balance the budget last night, but said the painful cutbacks should be made over 10 years rather than the seven that the GOP proposes and should protect the elderly, students and the economy. In a nationally televised address, the president said public clamor for a balanced budget and a threatened stalemate between Republicans and Democrats had grown so great that he had little choice but to offer his own plan for erasing the deficit by 2005, rather than the GOP's goal of 2002. Clinton's budget last February left the annual deficit hovering around $ 200 billion indefinitely. "It took decades to run up this deficit. It's going to take a decade to wipe it out," Clinton said in his five-minute Oval Office address. "We could do it in seven years as congressional leaders propose. But the pain we'd inflict on our elderly, our students, our economy just isn't worth it." Clinton asserted that he was protecting key Democratic progams such as education, research and government-provided health benefits for elderly and the poor even as he was seeking to trim federal spending by more than $ 1 trillion over seven years. But his claims seemed to fall on deaf ears as Democratic congressional leaders openly attacked the president for giving too much ground to the Republicans too early in the budget battle. "If you can follow the White House on this budget, you're a whole lot smarter than I am," said Democratic Rep. David R. Obey of Wisconsin. Many Democrats believe that Republicans will be brought down by the unpopularity of their proposed cuts, and that the party's best strategy is to stand aside and let them fall. But it was clear from Clinton's new budget proposal that he is no longer of that camp. Instead, he appears ready to do much of what Republicans want to do with the budget, only at lower levels or more slowly. For example, he proposed cutting Medicare and Medicaid $ 181 billion over seven years (and more over 10 years), and using some of the money to expand health coverage for others. The Republicans want to slash the two big PAGE 2 The Boston Globe, June 14, 1995 government health programs by as much as $ 475 billion. The president proposed cutting welfare spending in much the same way as the GOP, by restricting what legal immigrants can collect in benefits. But aides said he would drop the most punitive elements of the Republican welfare measures and reduce the amount to be cut by almost two-thirds, to $ 38 billion, compared with the GOP's $ 116 billion to $ 130 billion. He retained a proposal for a middle-class tax cut that he made shortly after last fall's Republican electoral rout. But aides said the $ 500-per-child tax credit would only go to working families and would cost the government $ 105 billion in lost tax revenues over seven years, compared with the House Republicans' proposed $ 354 billion tax cut. In a prepared response to the president, Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole, the Kansas Republican and presidential candidate, said that with the president now jumping into the budget process, the nation could begin "a debate of historic proportion." But he cautioned that the negotiation would be tough he said Clinton's speech had been little more than "a defense of the status quo, recycled reasons why government can't become smaller and why agencies can't be eliminated." White House officials insisted that Clinton was still ready to fight Republicans over what to cut and what to keep. But they carefully avoided brandishing a veto threat, and independent observers said that, having accepted the balanced-budget goal, there was little the president could do to block the GOP budget drive. "The reality is that we are not going to accept a budget that does not maintain our investment in education. We're not going to accept a budget that doesn't include reforms and reduces the hit on beneficiaries with regard to Medicare. We're not going to accept their tax cut," White House Chief of Staff Leon Panetta told reporters shortly before Clinton's speech. Almost all of official Washington viewed Clinton's decision to join the budget-balancing effort as a likely turning point in this year's legislative struggle, and a big boost for House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who has led the conservative charge. Clinton's move followed a cordial public meeting between the two Sunday in Claremont, N.H. All four major television networks, which recently have refused to carry some presidential speeches, aired the address. "With this, there's no longer a debate about whether we should balance the budget. Now it's just how long we should take and how we should do it," said Robert D. Reischauer, former director of the Congressional Budget Office. Word of Clinton's decision and his hastily scheduled address spread through Washington in a rush yesterday, producing consternation among congressional Democrats and wry smiles among Republicans. House Minority Leader Richard A. Gephardt issued a statement critical of the president's move. "Opening the door to deep Medicare cuts while the Republicans are struggling to pay for their huge tax breaks threatens to make Medicare a political football. The real losers will be the elderly and the families that support them," Gephardt said. PAGE 3 The Boston Globe, June 14, 1995 "He's just seen a fast-moving train leaving town, and he's managed to catch up fast enough to catch the caboose, " House Majority Leader Dick Armey, Republican of Texas, said of the president. White House officials were short on many specifics last night, saying that the 24-page document they handed out should be seen as describing the president's broad goals rather than being a detailed budget proposal. Officials took special pains to paint Clinton's health care proposals in as sweeping a fashion as possible, in part to remind voters of his ambitious, if unsucccessul health overhaul campaign and in part to justify statements earlier this year that he would not agree to Medicare cuts unless they were part of a broader effort to fix the nation's the health care system. "The Clinton administration is back to health care reform," budget director Alice C. Rivlin told reporters. Rivlin said the president wants to use $ 29 billion of the $ 181 billion in Medicare and Medicaid cutbacks to subsidize health insurance for up to six months for people who lose their jobs and to pay for two new benefits. One would give those caring for victims of Alzheimer's disease a break and the other would eliminate the current copayment on mammograms. She said Clinton also wants new legislation to protect people from losing coverage when changing jobs and to allow small busineses to join insurance-buying pools. However, independent analysts said that it may be precisely on health care that Clinton is at his weakest because the president has almost no power to enforce the link between the cutbacks and his new proposals. "There's little compelling connection between the Medicare and Medicaid cuts and the health system reforms the administration is proposing," said Reischauer. "It will be tough to get the Republicans to consider" most of the reforms, he said. Indeed, the question of whether Clinton can - or even will try - to force Republicans to agree to any of his proposals hung over his speech like a cloud last night, leaving many with the impression that he has given up the fight. Clinton acknowledged that his proposasl would slice into many federal programs "Make no mistake there will be big cuts and they'll hurt, he said. But he asserted that his plan, as opposed to Republicans, would protect key government programs for the middle class. Clinton and his aides pleaded with Republicans to begin negotiations over what should be included and what should be cut from the budget for the next fiscal year. But it was already clear last night that GOP leaders will pay precious little attention to the president's numbers as they they assemble their compromise House-Senate budget plan in the coming weeks. Embracing a charge that Democrats had hurled against Republicans earlier this year, Republican National Committee Chairman Haley Barbour said that Clinton plan was thin on details. PAGE 4 The Boston Globe, June 14, 1995 White House aides, meanwhile, asked Democrats to be understanding of the president, saying his proposals would protect key Democratic initiatives. "I would ask" Democrats "to keep their powder dry because the reality is that this budget reflects" Democratic priorities, Panetta said. Comparison of deficit reduction plans Seven year totals, in billions. (Negatives mean the amount is reduced). GRAPHIC: PHOTO CHART, President Clinton offers his deficit plan last night in a nationally televised address. / REUTERS PHOTO VIA TV LANGUAGE: ENGLISH LOAD-DATE: June 15, 1995 de. Naturally, the Americans deny this. They react in diplomatic flur n Japanese negotiators say that America is demand- America and brink of erical targets" for the number of showrooms selling previous trade wars. That may pan will cars, or for car makers' purchases of American-made surely call the WTO'S dispute-settlement system mo action, parts. The Americans prefer euphemisms: "business forecasts" and the new body will probably pronounce the Americans' have now joined "voluntary agreements" in the weasel's lexi- sanctions wrong. Fine-unless such a result further weakened con. But America's own words suggest that Japan's claim is America's already infirm commitment to free trade. And if more or less right. From the start, the Americans have said that America wins its case? Fine, too: sorting out trade conflicts is they want a "results-oriented" agreement. That ugly phrase what the WTO is for. It would have been much better if the Clin- means, simply, that there will be no deal without the promise ton administration had remembered that months ago-and of higher American exports of cars and car parts to Japan. But better still if it had simply shut up its domestic protectionists how much higher? The answer to that, however it is dressed up from the start. Under the knife Medicare spending CBO projections; Sbn The best way for America to reduce its excessive spending on Medicare YET. is to embrace broader health-care reform W HATEVER happened to America's health-care crisis? It Medicare picks up the bills from day one, but is subject to a would be tempting to conclude that, since Bill Clinton's ceiling beyond which the patient must pay (most do so through national health plan collapsed last year, it has gone away; per- private "medigap" insurance). It would be more equitable, haps seen off, as right-wing Republicans predicted all along, by and probably cheaper, to turn the programme round: the pub- market forces. Tempting, but wrong. Witness the current rum- lic purse should be called on only after patients have borne a pus over Medicare, the federal health programme for the el- reasonable cost themselves. derly, with Republicans and Democrats vying to avoid the The second option is means-testing. Elderly Americans are blame for cuts that both parties know to be essential. on average richer than the young, which makes their indis- Congressional Republicans put themselves into this criminate subsidy from taxpayers through Social Security and predicament. By promising, fatuously, to balance the budget, Medicare questionable public policy. A good start would be to reduce taxes and protect defence and Social Security, they have confine Medicare subsidies to the needy. Medicare could then n forced to chop the next-biggest entitlement programme: be merged with Medicaid, the federal/state health programme dicare. Spending on Medicare is projected to rise from $180 for the poor, a more deserving case for public support. billion this year to nearly $350 billion by 2002, at which point The lobby for the elderly would naturally scream blue mur- the trust fund that funnels payroll taxes to the programme will der if these proposals came close to adoption. The precedents go bust. Reform will be politically testing. Medicare is hugely are bad; in 1990 the old folk even defeated an attempt to add popular with old people, who not only vote in greater numbers (not substitute) catastrophic coverage to Medicare, because than the young, but also contributed a big part of last Novem- they were expected to pay for it themselves. Fear of the elderly ber's swing to the Republicans. explains why Senate Republicans this week suggested a biparti- san commission to propose the necessary surgery-the last ref- Send for the doctor uge of the political coward. Newt Gingrich, the House speaker, offers a seductive-sounding Even if the Republicans were braver, however, there is a treatment: simply slice a seventh off Medicare without affect- problem about tackling Medicare on its own. Although the fed- ing any of its beneficiaries. It is a splendid idea. Except that all eral budget would benefit, these savings could be offset by the easy savings in Medicare-cuts in overgenerous hospital re- higher costs in private health care-as happened when Medi- imbursements and doctors' fees-were made long ago. More- care adopted DRGS. Some of those costs could land back on the over, with one exception, they have failed to slow Medicare's government through bigger tax reliefs or a rise in the numbers growth; cuts in one area (eg, lower doctors' fees) have been off- of uninsured Americans. Thus the best way to cut Medicare set by higher spending elsewhere (eg, more treatment). (and, incidentally, to make doing so politically feasible) would The exception was "diagnosis-related groups" (DRGS), pre- be to subsume them within broader health-care reforms. fixed price controls for hospital treatments that were intro- This is what Mr Clinton has been saying; but it also hap- duced in 1983. That points to one sensible reform of Medicare pens to be true. The president's plan failed because, although it now: to push its recipients into managed-care programmes rightly embraced managed care, it was too bureaucratic and that offer comprehensive health care at pre-fixed prices. Only relied too much on regulation instead of the market. But the 7% are enrolled in health-maintenance organisations (HMOS), underlying problems it sought to tackle, notably out-of-control the best-known type of managed care; in contrast, half of pri- costs and patchy coverage that leaves 37m Americans (includ- vately insured Americans are now covered by managed care. ing 12m children) with no insurance at all, remain unsolved. Changing Medicare rules to encourage managed care will For America's long-term health-and, now, for the sake of the not produce big savings quickly enough, however. So Congress federal budget-the Republicans should put together a market- 1 go for two more radical options. One is to switch the oriented alternative to the Clinton health reforms. Lmme to offer "catastrophic" coverage only. At present 18 THE ECONOMIST MAY 13TH 1995 May Zō-June 5 When Health Care Cuts Cost More or receiving all but the most necessary By ROBIN TONER services if they are forced to pay for part of } the costs.. And that some of the services WASHINGTON being rendered are indeed unnecessary or EPUBLICANS have boiled down their Medicare ) could be paid for by the beneficiaries. R proposals to a number and a sound bite: They But there are big demographic and tech- can wring more than $250 billion from the nological forces behind the rise in home national health insurance program for the eld- health costs, which are unlikely to change erly over the next seven years, they say, even while much as a result of simply requiring the "preserving, protecting and improving" it. client to pay a fee. No big, comprehensive, Clintonesque health care One reason for the Increase in home overhaul for them. Just smart, targeted, money-saving health services was a decision by policy- reforms of outmoded government programs. After all, makers over the past 10 years to cut down the Clinton Administration discovered the danger. of on hospital stays. People are released from over-reaching, right? the hospital "quicker and sicker," as some Right. But now the Republicans face the danger of health planners put it, with the understand- piecemeal reform, of trimming and tinkering with a ing that they will get more cost-effective program that covers 37 million beneficiaries and is the care at home or in a skilled nursing facility. lifeblood of many if not most of the nation's hospitals, "When you have outpatient surgeries and doctors and academic medical centers. It will, like it or shorter inpatient stays, you'll have more not, have big consequences, intended and unintended. home health care," said Representative Efforts to save money in one part of the program can Nancy Johnson, Republican of Connecticut, end up costing money somewhere else. an influential member of the Ways and Means subcommittee on health. "We need to be very mindful of rising home health Republicans may find that a costs as a consequence of other actions we've taken." piecemeal approach has Home health beneficiaries are getting care for longer and longer periods of time. unintended consequences. The program's scope has expanded in part because of a lawsuit in the late 1980's, in which the Government was accused of ap- plying this benefit far too narrowly and "Physicians understand reimbursement realities arbitrarily. But behind the increase, of and they understand their patients," said Mike Brown, course, is the growth in America's aging THE NEW YORK TIMES, SUNDAY, JUNE 4, 1995 the administrator of a tiny, 30-bed hospital in Wahoo, population. Hundreds of thousands of old, Neb. "They do what is best for their patients." disabled and chronically ill people need help In other words, medical needs usually have a way to stay in their homes. of getting met. And, if they are not, those needs have a Congress over the years has debated the way of popping up later more serious, more ad- establishment of a major new long-term vanced, more expensive to treat. Unlike private em- care program, but never passed it. Nonethe- ployers, who are much praised on Capitol Hill these less, home health care "has become sort of days for controlling their health costs, the Government a backdoor way of expanding long ferm ultimately ends up with responsibility for the oldest, care," said Stuart Altman, a health econo- poorest, sickest Americans, which are the groups that mist at Brandeis and a member of a Medi- Medicare and Medicaid cover. Efficiencies do not come care advisory committee. easily. Miscalculations matter, immensely. Call it the "push It down here, it pops up As Republican leaders in Congress try to find the there" phenomenon, which gives some ana- huge savings they seek in Medicare and as states lysts pause when they think about the impli- struggle to control their own health care costs, nothing cations of simply redefining the home health exemplifies the challenge facing them more than Medi- program to tighten its eligibility require- care's home health program. It offers a case study in ments. What if squeezing home health care the potential ripple effects of seemingly simple little ends up putting more people back into hospi- money-saving reforms. tals or into nursing homes, where their costs Every policy maven who looks at Medicare's esca- are picked up by Medicare, which is fully lating costs jumps on the home health program as a financed by Washington, and by Medicaid, major culprit. Home health care accounts for about which is only partly? eight cents of every dollar spent on Medicare. But And speaking of Medicaid, Joshua 'Wie- spending on these services like physical therapy, ner, an analyst at the Brookings Institution, skilled nursing or the assistance of a lesser-skilled warns that Republican cuts in projected home health aide - has soared over the past five years, spending for that program fail to take into from $2.5 billion in 1989 to $13.7 billion in 1994. Not only account the growth over the next five years did the number of beneficiaries increase; the number of in the population 85 and older. While Medic- visits per beneficiary jumped from 27 in 1989 to 58 in aid is usually thought of as a program for 1994. low-income younger people, 30 percent of its In 1995, an estimated 3.46 million people will re- spending goes for nursing home and other ceive home health care benefits from Medicare; the long-term care, in part because people de- plete their assets to qualify. Continued on page 4 Continued from from 1 Kindest Cuts It would be simpler if spending could be average visit costs just under $65. Critics reined in by cracking down on waste, fraud warn that what began as a cost-effective and abuse typically the most popular and way of caring for and rehabilitating people painless solution to budget-cutting. But that after an illness or an operation has gotten saves only so much. dangerously out of control. Actually reducing services is fodder for One answer, to many on Capitol Hill, the ripple effects game. What If Medicare seems obvious: require clients of home payment restrictions force some already health care to pay part of the bill. As a teetering rural hospitals into insolvency? planning paper from Republicans on the What if reducing the Medicare subsidy for House Budget Committee put it, "Requiring medical education is a body blow to the beneficiaries to share the cost of these serv- nation's big teaching hospitals? The ques- ices would help to discourage over-utiliza- tions spin on, and help explain, perhaps, tion and reduce the Medicare subsidy." what drove Ira Magaziner, the Clinton That plan contemplates a 20 percent copay- health czar, to produce a health plan that ment, with an exclusion for those whose filled 1,342 pages. incomes are below 150 percent of the official poverty line (meaning elderly couples, for example, with incomes below $13,446). 'Quicker and Sicker' This, of course, is sound economic theory; it assumes that people will stop requesting June 1995 Republicans ready pitch to seniors on Medicaid package House GOP sees Inside major reforms Welfare: Debate includes call for federal money to fund as do-or-die issue religious charities A6 Hands off: Congress finds it easler to kill others' perks than its own. A6 By Major Garrett On deck: Senate GOP Whip THE WASHINGTON TIMES Trent Lott has his eye on Bobso After years of avoiding the in Dole's job A6 evitable task of reducing explod ing Medicare costs, House Repub- licans today will unleash an ship effort on a day-to-day basis aggressive campaign to sell their Mr. Boehner conducted a reforms to a nation of skeptical closed-door briefing last, week on seniors a 39-page kit designed to maxi- The 231 House Republicans rc- mize positive media and con ceived the same marching orders stituent response to GOP plans to from senior GOP leaders before reduce projected Medicare bene leaving Washington for this week's fits by more than $282 billion A Memorial Day recess: Sell your follow up briefing with all, GOP seniors on Medicare reforms or press secretaries drove home the we reall dead urgency of_beating Democratic Most of the members realize if critics to the punch they don't carry the message Each and every House Repub home they will jeopardize not only lican must take the initiative and themselves, but all of us," said Rep go on offense on the issue that the John A: Bochner of Ohio, chair- other side thinks is our most vul- man of the House Republican Con- nerable - Medicare," advises the ference This will cause a lot of media kit obtained by The Wash people to look in the mirror and ington Times. say, Do I have the courage or don't We must getto our senior cen: IN ters, to our hospitals, to our edi Mr. Boehner is in charge of torial board rooms and to the liv) packaging the pitch Republicans ing rooms of our districts," the kit will use on behalf of their unprec- implores 'If we get to them first edented overhaul of Medicare with the facts, the lies the Demo House Speaker Newt Gingrich has crats and their allies are spread- assigned Reps. Dan Miller of Flor- ing will not be as effective as they ida, Jim McCrery of Louisiana and hope they will be." James C. Greenwood of Pennsyl- vania to monitor GOP salesman- see REFORM, page A16 REF ORM austerity program, projected the only party with a plan to pre- Medicare benefits will rise by serve Medicare for future genera- $1,600 per person. tions. From page ^ The media kit does not say that "We're arguing that, first of all, people who stay in Medicare will all you've have to do is hold up the All in all, the GOP media pack- pay $2,750 more per person over trustees report of the Clinton ad- age seeks to startic seniors into the next seven years for the same ministration trustees and point to believing that maintaining their health care. the page where it says, "This will benefits is more dangerous than And it does not mention their go broke;" Mr. Gingrich said. having them reduced. plan reduces the yearly growth in "And then turn cheerfully to your The GOP pitch emphasizes that spending from 10 percent to 5.8 Democratic counterpart and say, Medicare will to bankrupt in 2002 percent from now until 2002. The 'What's your plan?' and uses quotes and charts from average growth of private sector Democrats doubt it will work the Clinton administration's health care costs is expected to be and are eager to confront Repub- trustees report to back them up. nearly 8 percent, meaning fewer licans on the propriety of reducing Republicans are urged to repeat services for Medicare recipients. Medicare benefits at the same words such as "protect," "pre- Republicans believe the only time taxes are being cut. serve" and "Improve" - all of way to sell the higher costs and "This puts the details behind the which were gleaned from exten- reduced health care that their bumper stickers," said Rep. Bob sive focus-group research. plans envision is to convince sen- Wise, West Virginia Democrat. Most important, Republicans iors that cuts are inevitable. Once "You just can't cut these things and are reminded to repeat over and that is done, Republicans hope expect the problem to go away. over again tha even under the new they can convince seniors they are We're being handed some things and we're grateful for them." preferably with a senior citizen as errors in their bills or fraudulent Democrats have guarded Medi- chairman. (The kit provides a pre- doctors. care ferociousl since its creation written press release, including a The kit provides a script and in 1965 and have numerous grass- prepared quote from the new citi- urges the lawmaker to record a roots allies to assist them, includ- zen chairman). voice-mail message for the hot ing the nation's most powerful Freshman Rep. John Fox, Penn- line. The script reads in part: lobbying (inization - the sylvania Republican, announced "Your suggestions on how to com- American Association of Retired his task force last week to combat bat Medicare fraud and how to im- Persons (AARP). negative publicity about Mcdicare prove the current system will be House Republican leaders met changes in a district - where 19 very useful as the Congress con- with AARP representatives last percent of his constituents are 62 siders how to preserve and protect week to discuss Medicare, but a or older. Mr. Fox won his race with Medicare." truce was not reached and one is less than 50 percent of the vote in not anticipated 1994, and a groundswell against Members also are advised to The GOP media kit does not Medicare could easily topple him. hold a news conference on the hot mention the "lies" Democrats are line's creation. record public ser- expected to use Appointment of a congres- vice announcements and purchase If all goes as planned. Repub- sional staffer to respond to all advertisements in local newspa- Medicare questions and com- licans will soon attempt to hold pers to promote it. plaints. (Another pre-written "news" events in congressional press release is included). Tour senior centers and con- districts nation vide, built around: duct "fact-finding" tours of dis- Creation O a Medicare task Creation of a Medicare hot trict hospitals of health mainten- force to discuss potential reforms. line that seniors can use to report ance organizations. A Democratic 'Counter-Budget'' HE SENATE is about to join the House in form of Medicare and Medicaid cuts, and the T adopting a resolution to balance the budget president and the Democrats who are warning by the year 2002. The measures will then that such steps would be disastrous. The presi- go, to conference, where the only important dent, if only in deference to his own position of a difference will be the tax cut that the House had year ago, has lately begun to suggest that he too THURSDAY, MAY 25, 1995 THE WASHINGTON POST to struggle to accommodate and the Senate would be willing to accept some lesser Medicare would defer. On that one, the Senate is right. and Medicaid constraints, but only in the context These are gutsy resolutions. In trying to break of broader "reform." What does that mean? If the current mold of government while driving these are in fact the principal budget engines, down the deficit, they push in healthy directions. what are his proposals for slowing them down The Democrats complain that they go too far, while minimizing the social cost? There's not a and in some respects that's so. But the Demo- single person in the administration who can crats are hobbled in the debate because all authoritatively answer that question right now. they've found the strength to do so far is say (3) The president says that before he'll negoti- what they're against, not what they're for. The ate, the Republicans have to back off their tax president indicated last week that he might offer a "counter-budget" sometime after the Republi- cut. He'd be in a better position to make this cans adopted theirs. This week he seemed to be worthy argument if he hadn't bent to political From backing away even from that. fashion and proposed a smaller cut of his own last Tp play the role that they should in the winter. Is he now for no cut (the right position)? proceedings ahead, he and the Democrats need Some cut? It's not enough to say merely that he's to:answer at least four questions. for a lesser cut than the other side. (1) In 1993 Mr. Clinton rightly decided the (4) The Republicans would make some of their deficit needed reducing and took a strong first deepest cuts in domestic appropriations, the sixth step in that direction over Republican opposition. of the spending pie that is the budget for the His- health care plan last year was likewise entire government after entitlements, interest offered in part as a' way of bringing down the and defense. It's the part that supports such long-term deficit by containing health care costs. programs as aid to education, which the presi- This year, however, as part of a panicky response dent says he wants to protect. How does he to the election returns, he chose to make no protect them and still suppress appropriations, proposal with regard to the deficit, and the and if he doesn't want to sit so hard on appropria- Republicans stepped into the breach. Roles were tions, what does he propose instead? réversed. If he now agrees with them that a The Republicans are having a lot of fun calling further effort should be made to reduce the Mr. Clinton AWOL ("Absent without leadership," deficit, how much of an effort? If a balanced they happily explain). It's a tough, mean line, but budget in seven years is the wrong goal, what is Mr. Clinton invited it. The good news, from his the right one? He won't say. point of view, is that he can bring it to an end by (2) It's the Republicans who this year are getting back into the budget wars where he proposing health care cost containment in the belongs. Way Behind on Summer Jobs NEED A JOB, not a swing set. That was I businesses and federal agencies weigh in as good the reply of 18-year-old Damian Scott last corporate and public citizens and contribute sum- month to Mayor Barry's promise of more mer youth jobs of their own. recreation opportunities. The District government has already gone to Mayor Marion Barry is lagging badly in fulfill- extraordinary lengths to make sure that the city ing his often-repeated campaign pledge to create meets its share of jobs. The mayor ordered funds 5,000 jobs for young people this summer. As shifted from adult job training and retraining recently as a few weeks ago, Mr. Barry was programs to help support the youth activity. To promising that a job would be there for the asking give work to as many youngsters as possible, the for,every District resident between the ages of 14nand 21 who wants to work. "Do you want a city has also reduced the hours that each young- summer job?" Mr. Barry asked a teenage girl at ster may work to stretch the limited dollar-e.g., Shaw Junior High School in March. "Did you sign 14- and 15-year-olds are reduced from 20 to 15 up? [Then] you're going to get a summer job," he hours per week. Those steps should enable the declared. Apparently a great many more financially strapped local government to put youths-and far too few prospective employ- about 700 young people to work. To make the ers-have taken Mayor Barry's words to heart. program a success this year, however, city offi- When summer job registration closed on April cials hope the private and federal sectors will 14, the Shaw student had been joined by about triple their contribution of a year ago. That 16,000 young people who also had signed up for means business and the federal agencies should the six-week program. Now there's an enormous produce about 3,000 unsubsidized jobs, according problem looming just over the horizon. With the to D.C. Employment Services officials. With only starting date less than five weeks away, Mayor 659 confirmed jobs in hand, it's easy to see how Barry had rounded up only 659 private-sector short of the mark they are. and federal jobs as of noon yesterday. At that It's worth remembering that this program isn't pace, the outcome isn't hard to surmise: Thou- about Marion Barry. The purpose is to give young sands of District youngsters who have responded people an introduction to the world of work, a start to the mayor's call and are now banking on on building good work habits, a solid skill-building having a meaningful job and making a little experience and a chance to become acquainted with money this summer will, instead, end up out of career opportunities. It is an investment that busi- work and out of luck. That is, unless area ness and public agencies should eagerly make. What's News- AI Trade ministers ended an OECD * * meeting without censuring the U.S. for threatened sanctions on Japanese lux- versity. The Beijing government canceled a Business and Finance ury cars. The U.S. hailed the minis- planned trip to Washington by a government personnel and budget administrator. A day ters' vague response to the sanctions before, Beijing cut short the U.S. visit of its D URABLE-GOODS ORDERS fell as a victory in the trade battle. air force chief and his delegation. 4% in April, the biggest drop in The U.S. is considering action more than three years, suggesting the against Japan for what American offi- A U.S. Court of Appeals panel named a economic slowdown has spread be- cials consider violations of U.S. air- Washington lawyer as independent counsel yond weakening car and home sales. lines' rights in Asian markets. to investigate whether Housing Secretary Bond prices surged on the news, with Cisneros committed a crime by misleading (Articles on Pages A10 and A16) the 30-year Treasury bond gaining the FBI about payments to his former mis- * * tress. The lawyer appointed by the panel, nearly 13/4 points. Stocks gyrated but Matsushita Electric Industrial, David M. Barrett, has raised money for GOP ended the day little changed. facing huge currency losses from sell- candidates. (Article on Page B4) (Articles on Pages A2, C1 and C21) ing 80% of MCA, expects to post a loss * * for its current fiscal year, but analysts Much of the Superfund program could be Merrill Lynch began talks with Or- said its outlook remains strong. turned over to the states, according to a plan ange County in what some observers (Article on Page A10) weighed by the administration. Under the believe may lead to a broad settlement * * * plan. devised by the EPA and members of with other brokerage firms over the GM's quality rating jumped in an Gore's "reinventing government" team, 35 county's ill-fated investment strategy. auto-defect study. GM scored better states would take over most cleanup respon- sibilities at Superfund hazardous-waste (Article on Page A3) than Ford and Chrysler but trailed top sites in four years. (Article on Page A16) Japanese and European auto makers. The trustee liquidating the Foun- GM plans to build engines for Israel and Syria agreed on a framework dation for New Era Philanthropy says Toyota forklift trucks, the first time for security arrangements on the disputed it owes between $175 million and $225 the Japanese auto maker has equipped Golan Heights, Secretary of State Christo- million, well below the $551 million es- a vehicle with a Big Three engine. pher announced. He said he would go to the timated in its bankruptcy filing. (Articles on Pages A5 and B9) Middle East next month to try to close the (Article on Page A3) "significant gaps" that remain. * * * * * * Disney plans to make a motion pic- California regulators approved a AIDS researcher Robert Gallo will leave ture complete with stars and special tentative plan for deregulating the the National Institutes of Health to set up a effects to be distributed directly to new virus-research center in Baltimore. state's $20 billion electricity market video stores, bypassing theaters. Gallo, one of the world's most famous and that would establish a wholesale World-Wide controversial scientists, said the facility power pool by January 1997. initially will focus on AIDS but that it also (Article on Page A4) will study leukemia, breast cancer and auto- SENATE GOP LEADERS DROPPED * * * immune disorders. (Article on Page B11) A grand jury is investigating Loui- efforts to put tax cuts into a budget plan. * * Majority Leader Dole and a group of siana-Pacific for alleged criminal vio- fellow Republicans, facing defeat, aban- The National Football League voted to lations of environmental laws and doned their attempt to write specific tax allow the Los Angeles Raiders to occupy a fraud at a mill in Colorado. The com- cuts into a pending balanced-budget pro- new stadium in Inglewood, Calif., an action pany said it expects to be indicted. posal. Dole also had to postpone until today a which should keep the club from leaving (Article on Page A4) final vote on the budget legislation blueprint Southern California. (Article on Page B8) * * * * as Democratic lawmakers forced mostly futile votes on amendments that were aimed The American flag deserves special pro- Summer travel, while expected to tection, backers of a constitutional amend- grow from last year's level, won't at recasting the measure's spending priori- show the big gains initially projected, ties. (Articles on Pages A3 and A16) ment told a House panel. Opponents of the Provoked by the Senate actions, some amendment, which makes it illegal to burn analysts said. High prices may hold the flag, said the measure would weaken House GOP conservatives sought signa- down consumer spending, they said. tures from fellow Republicans for a constitutional freedom-of-speech provisions (Article on Page B1) letter pledging to oppose any compromise and might encourage flag-burning. * * * * with the Senate that "significantly di- Sears plans to open more non-mall minishes" the House tax-cut package. Stroke victims recover better if they are outlets such as furniture and hard- screened for depression and placed in reha- * * ware stores in a bid to increase its The government filed assault and fire- bilitation programs that fit their needs, presence outside malls and clear space arms charges against a 37-year-old graduate according to newly issued federal guide- in its mall stores for more apparel. student who was shot on the White House lines. (Article on Page B11) lawn after scaling a fence with an unloaded * * * (Article on Page A5) gun Tuesday night. He was shot by a Secret Russian forces launched a major artil- * Vanguard Group's president, John Service guard, and the same bullet wounded lery and air offensive against rebel positions another guard. Clinton said of the incident: in southern Chechnya less than a day before Brennan. will succeed John Bogle as "Just another day at the White House. peace talks were scheduled to start in chief executive of the fund company. Grozny, the regional capital. * (Article on Page C1) The U.N. issued an ultimatum to the * * * Bosnian government and Serb forces, say- A car bomb exploded outside a hotel-ca- ing the two sides must halt their fierce sino in a Lima suburb, killing four people fighting around Sarajevo or face NATO air and injuring at least 25 others, Peruvian strikes. The U.N. commander in Bosnia also authorities said. The predawn blast was demanded the return of heavy weapons that blamed on Maoist Shining Path guerrillas. have been taken from U.N. storage depots. * * * Died: Harold Wilson, 79, former British * China took a second retaliatory step after prime minister who led the Labor Party for a U.S. decision to let Taiwan's president 13 years, in London, after suffering from cancer for manv vears. attend a June reunion at Cornell Uni- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL THURSDAY, MAY 25, 1995 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Jen - / was out in Utah this weekend " was pleased & suprised to read such an editoral! -Molly How alats! then Let's do cotteel ind soor... NCAs only vaguely promise. The bot- release" - would form the basis tom line is that Rep. Orton's 1.2 million responsible bill for Utah wilderness. pc life. You may have not mentators have beer Medicare on the Block posite: That Rabid gagged or at least mi have played a role i bombing, by feeding The budget battle heated up in dressed Medicare funding, to embar- of the bombers. The Washington this week, as President rass him. The Clinton approach was to nel of truth in the Clinton vowed to defend senior citizens cut Medicare spending while making but shutting up th from Republicans who would slash the entire health-care system more effi- solve anything, ex Medicare to pay for big tax cuts. Repub- cient. The argument was that unless out of them and ra licans fired another round of rhetoric medical costs were controlled overall, land's forests prii accusing the president of dodging his doctors and hospitals would lose money military bands tra budget-planning duty. on people with limited Medicare cover- There are man age. Fewer providers would agree to Radio rant on U: Medicare eventually will get hit. take older and disabled patients, and shows are a sou Spending must be controlled. But when the quality of care would decline. will not appear the smoke clears, there must be no very fact that n doubt about the purpose, value and ne- It is the Republicans' turn to take a it examines the cessity of senior citizens' sacrifices. risk with health care. Let them promote seems surprise politically unpopular Medicare cuts. The president took one step toward Meantime, both Congress and the presi- spending control Wednesday, when he dent should forget tax cuts and concen- told the White House Conference on trate on stabilizing Medicare and bal- Popu Aging that his administration is crack- ancing the budget. ing down on Medicare fraud, estimated to cost the nation billions of dollars a Medicare cannot operate as usual, year. Operation Restore Trust will zero but no one should be left without basic, R in on vendors who charge outrageous affordable health insurance. Steps must prices for wheelchairs and other medi- be taken now to cut program costs. Re- cal equipment, and on doctors who peek quiring participants to join health- into a room and then bill for an exami- maintenance organizations, where their NEW YOI nation. choices of doctors and treatments are haste, the R limited, is reasonable. Raising premi- to keep fro But fraud is not Medicare's primary ums for patients who can afford to pay Medicare. problem. Medicare's $176 billion bud- more is inevitable. Only a fe'. get is increasing by 11 percent per year, leaders were more than twice the rate of health-care The need for a viable Medicare pro- finding $300 inflation for the society as a whole. gram into the future, when more Amer- tions that co' icans reach senior status, requires that care progra House Republicans propose reduc- savings be used first to strengthen which they : ing Medicare spending by $300 billion Medicare, not frittered away on unnec- by the yea over the next seven years to help bal- essary tax cuts. Once Medicare spend- breaks gene ance the budget and pay for tax cuts. ing is controlled, it can help reduce the wealthy. Sp Others want to use savings to shore up federal deficit. was describ the Medicare trust fund, predicted to go ized bureau But Medicare cannot stand alone bankrupt by 2002, and accuse President and all the 0 Clinton of failing his duty to lead the against health-care inflation and deficit obsolete ap charge. The president says he'll offer a spending without harming its clients. and fraud you Older and disabled Americans must not plan once he knows how deeply Repub- tralized bure be asked to make health-care sacrifices licans will cut. thought he V just so politicians in Washington can the welfare Clinton's reluctance is understand- avoid even more difficult decisions Now, sud able. Republicans last year used his about health care and the federal ership is tal health-care reform proposal, which ad- budget. care system tween it ar budget. a The Salt Lake Tribune saved on care syste rich's wo: UTAH'S INDEPENDENT VOICE SINCE 1871 like they PAST PUBLISHERS PUBLISHER The m' Dominic Welch tor of t} John F. Fitzpatrick (1924-1960) night b EDITOR made f John W. Gallivan (1960-1983) James E. Shelledy Texas tion ( Jerry O'Brien (1983-1994) EDITORIAL PAGE EDITOR Las Harry E. Fuller, Jr. minist KEARNS-TRIBUNE CORPORATION. 143 MAIN ST. SALT LAKE CITY. 84111 comi care EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT 11-May-1995 04:56pm TO: Gene B. Sperling TO: Robert Gordon TO: Jennifer L. Klein TO: Christopher C. Jennings FROM: Theo Lubke National Economic Council SUBJECT: HOUSE GOP CONSIDERING VOUCHER PROGRAM FOR MEDICARE Date: 05/11/95 Time: 16:35 House GOP Considering Voucher Program for Medicare WASHINGTON (AP) House Republicans looking for $283 billion in savings from Medicare are considering converting it into a voucher program, with seniors getting more than $5,000 a year to buy private insurance. A list of options drafted by the House Budget Committee also suggests doubling the $100 annual Medicare deductible and boosting monthly premiums for millions of beneficiaries. The proposals would extend belt-tightening moves that Congress has taken to hold down payments to hospitals, physicians and other providers, and add many new economy measures. One proposal would save $19 billion over seven years by making hospitals responsible for all skilled nursing care, home health services and rehabilitation care Medicare patients get within 60 days of a hospital stay. Payment for all those services would be ' bundled' ' into the hospital fees. Rep. Christopher Shays, R-Conn., who heads a health task force for the Budget Committee, was preparing to send committees with jurisdiction over Medicare the list of suggestions, including three different options to reform the $175 billion insurance program. Shays did not release details, but a draft Budget Committee document obtained from Democratic sources outlined three different strategies to overhaul Medicare: Giving seniors incentives to enroll in health maintenance organizations and other less expensive forms of managed care. The annual $100 deductible for physician and outpatient services would be doubled over two years and indexed to inflation. All beneficiaries' Part B premiums now $46.10 a month would increase by $5 to $6 a year. Beneficiaries would pay up to $164 a month in premiums if their income exceeded $70,000 for individuals and $90,000 for couples. Starting in 1999, new beneficiaries would be charged $20 a month more in Part B premiums, chiefly for physicians' services, if they wanted to retain fee-for-service coverage and avoid managed care. Eventually, Medicare would be converted to voucher system, with the government making a set contribution to whatever plan the beneficiary chooses. Those who elected more expensive coverage would pay more out of pocket. Going immediately with a universal Medicare voucher for private coverage. Beneficiaries would pay extra for some coverage and get ''a rebate if the plan is less than the worth of the voucher. The vouchers would be adjusted based on age, gender, location and disability status. The average voucher would be $5,105 in 1996 and climb by about 5 percent a year to $6,390 by 2002. Currently Medicare spends $4,763 per beneficiary and has been growing at 10 percent a year. A plan combining $178 billion in savings from providers and beneficiaries with an automatic mechanism to trigger $101 billion in additional savings if the shift to privatize Medicare failed to save that much. Rep. John Kasich, R-Ohio, the Budget Committee chairman, said spending on Medicare would still grow from $178 billion in 1995 to $258 billion by 2002. But the Congressional Budget Office has projected that under current law, Medicare would spend $319 billion in 2002 the same year its hospital trust fund is scheduled to run short of money. CBO Director June O'Neill told the Senate Finance Committee the fund would need an additional $165 billion to remain solvent through then. The American Hospital Association warned the Medicare savings could drive rural hospitals out of business. Hospitals that now turn a slight profit on elderly patients could lose 21 percent, or $1,300, on each Medicare patient they admit in 2000, hospital executives said. '`The financial picture here could be devastating,' said Dick Davidson, president of the hospital association. APNP-05-11-95 1636EDT EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT 15- May- 1995 10:04am TO: (See Below) FROM: Barry J. Toiv Office of the Chief of Staff SUBJECT: Kasich on Medicare For those who haven't seen it, here are comments by Kasich on the subject of Medicare on 60 Minutes last night: "Now, will it mean that our senior citizens will be uncomfortable with the fact that they've got some higher deductibles and they find themselves in somewhat of a foreign setting from what they' ve been used to? Yeah, that'll be a problem. But if they cannot adapt to that, and if we cannot design a comfortable way for them to get into that kind of a setting, they won't have any Medicare in seven years. I mean, it's not like we've got a choice here. And our biggest challenge will not be medical care at the end of the day. Our biggest challenge is going to be the fear of change.' Distribution: TO: George Stephanopoulos TO: Gene B. Sperling TO: John C. Angell TO: Martha Foley TO: Patrick J. Griffin TO: Douglas B. Sosnik TO: Karen L. Hancox TO: LAWRENCE J. HAAS TO: Nancy-Ann E. Min TO: Virginia M. Terzano TO: Carol H. Rasco TO: Kathryn Higgins TO: Mark Gearan CC: Laura Capps CC: Elena R. Mccoy CC: Erin A. O' Connor CC: Steven A. Cohen THE NEW YORK TIMES, THURSDAY, MAY 11, 1995 G.O.P. Suggests Smaller Benefit Adjustments By ROBERT PEAR Index, was already planning a revi- Republican recommendations says. WASHINGTON, May 10 - As part sion for 1998. But the Congressional The premium is now $46 a month. of their plan to eliminate the Federal Budget Office said this revision was The House Republicans would also budget deficit, House Republicans likely to slow the growth of the index reduce payments to doctors and hos- today recommended a reduction in by just two-tenths of 1 percentage pitals, especially teaching hospitals the annual cost-of-living adjustment point. and those that serve large numbers for Social Security and other Gov- The Medicare proposals unveiled of low-income patients. ernment benefits, starting in 1999. today by Representative John R. Ka- sich, chairman of the House Budget The Budget Committee recom- At the same time, Republicans on Committee, are far more detailed mendations are not binding on other the House Budget Committee sug- gested vast changes in Medicare, and specific than those suggested by committees. The Ways and Means which would increase costs for many Senate Republicans, who called for a Committee, for example, could elderly beneficiaries. bipartisan commission to deal with choose other policies to achieve the More than 43 million people re- the politically explosive issue. savings required in the annual budg- ceive Social Security, and 37 million Republicans on the House Budget et resolution. are enrolled in Medicare. The annual Committee recommended three doz- But the options recommended to- cost-of-living adjustment in Social en ways to slow the growth of Fed- day by Mr. Kasich were developed Security is based on changes in the eral Medicare costs. They include with House Republican leaders and Consumer Price Index. Republicans higher premiums, deductibles and are widely seen as a road map for said their proposal was justified be- co-payments for beneficiaries and the type of changes that will be en- cause the price index, in its current dorsed by the full House and Senate form, overstated inflation by as as they try to shore up the finances much as 1.5 percentage points. Many Taking a slice out of of Medicare and revamp the pro- economists agree that there is some gram for millions of baby boomers overstatement, but the amount is in the cost-of-living who will retire in the next century. dispute. Confidential documents from the Lobbyists for the elderly said the increase. House Budget Committee show that proposals violated the Republicans' the Republicans are also recom- campaign pledge to make no mending these changes: changes in Social Security, Martin A. Corry, director of Federal affairs at strong new incentives for them to 9Double the amount that benefi the American Association of Retired join health maintenance organiza- ciaries must pay for doctors serv- Persons, said: "Prior to and after tions, which provide comprehensive ices before Medicare covera be care in return for a fixed monthly gins. The annual deductible, now the elections, Republicans made un- fee. $100, would be raised to: $200 and equivocal statements that Social Se- Mr. Kasich said the Republican then increased automatically to keep curity was off the table. Today's proposals would "expand health pace with the growth of the program proposal is a repudiation of that care choices for the elderly." But The deductible has been raised only campaign promise." He predicted "a firestorm" of opposition to any Mr. Corry said the Republicans were three times in the year history of reduction in the inflation adjust- "creating a coercive environment in Medicare. which Medicare beneficiaries will be 9Increase the monthly $46. pre ment. herded into managed care and out of mium by $5 in each of themex four The average Social Security bene- traditional fee-for-service arrange- years, then by $6 in 2000 and in each fit for retired workers is $698 a ments." of the following two years month. In recent years, the annual cost-of-living adjustment, or has Under one of the leading options, 9Charge higher premiums for Medicare beneficiaries would re- beneficiaries with incomes exceed been around 3 percent, and in the ceive Federal vouchers worth a ing $70,000 a year. The premium next decade it is expected to be 3 to 4 fixed amount, around $5,100 a year, would more than triple, toy$164 a percent. The House Republicans to enroll in an H.M.O. or other pri- month, for individuals with incomes would make a one-time permanent reduction of six-tenths of 1 percent- vate health plan. They would have to of more than $95,000 a year and age point in the Consumer Price use their own money to make up the couples with more than $115,000. difference if the cost exceeded the 9Charge patients for a portion of Index, with a corresponding reduc- amount of the vouchers, but they the cost of home health care pro- tion in the inflation adjustment for 1999. This would reduce the basic could keep most of the savings if vided to elderly people residing in amount on which future adjustments they chose less expensive plans. their own homes. Republicans said are calculated, and the cumulative The Republicans also recommend such a charge would discourage a stiff (inancial penalty for new overuse of home health services, but effect could be substantial, totaling Medicare beneficiaries who refuse lobbyists for the elderly said it would several hundred dollars a year for the average beneficiary over five to join H.M.O.'s. "Beginning in 1999, be a tax on frail elderly people. all new enrollees choosing Medicare The House Republicans are pro- years. The Bureau of Labor Statistics, fee-for-service would pay a pre- posing similar charges for the use of which computes the Consumer Price mium $20 higher than that of current medical laboratories and skilled Medicare beneficiaries," one of the nursing homes. Hew muny pay more?