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Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. list re: US Engagement in World Affairs possible meeting [partial] (1 n.d. b(6) page) 002. paper Prospectus re: Starting a Policial Committee (6 pages) 01/1997 Personal Misfile 003. list re: potential candidates for the Presidential Medal of Freedom (3 ca. 1998 b(6) pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records First Lady's Office Melanne Verveer OA/Box Number: 20032 FOLDER TITLE: Foreign Affairs - Global Leadership: [Foreign Assistance and Engagement] 2013-0534-S rc1532 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Construction Livin 361 : FRESS VATION BRACY WILLIAMS & CO Fax 202-783-5595 Mar 31 '98 10:53 P. .02 Bracy Williams & Company March 30, 1998 DRAFT TO: Jill Buckley SENT VIA FAX: 216-3237 Alicia Bambara FR: Terrence Bracy TCB Barry Blechman RE: Building domestic support for foreign assistance In the post-Cold War political environment, the public at large is severely disconnected from both the facts about and rationale behind foreign assistance. This fundamental lack of comprehension and ownership has led to repercussions up and down the political decision-making chain, endangering the level of federal support of foreign assistance. The Business Alliance for International Economic Development believes that a coordinated information campaign focusing on the aid/trade dynamic is critical to the long-term future of USAID. To address this disconnect, we believe two key constituencies should be targeted on a grass-roots basis: The business community through an education campaign focusing on the aid/trade connection. The youth of America through development and distribution of curricula and related materials to inspire a new generation of outward-thinking entrepreneurial leaders. A three part strategy will have a lasting effect on the future of the foreign assistance debate in the United States - without extensive use of staff resources or tax dollars: 1. Identify appropriate domestic organizations impacted by foreign assistance, and utilize their membership rolls and communications infrastructures as vehicles for information about foreign assistance. 2. Reshape existing content about foreign assistance into formats that are relevant, easily accessible to the target audiences, and effective uses of new communications technology. 3. Utilize public figures, like the First Lady, to promote these partnerships through creative use of various media outlets. Business Community: The Business Alliance believes continued dissemination of the core aid/trade message is critical to engaging the business community. The question is how to augment the be Government and Public Affairs Consultants 601 Thirteenth Street, N.W. Suite 900 South Washington, DC 20005 (202) 783-5588 FAX (202) 783-5595 BRACY WILLIAMS & CO Fax 202-783-5595 Mar 31 '98 10:53 P.03 tremendous financial and staff commitment USAID and other organizations already make to further get the message out. Four action items are needed to engage the business community: 1. Further understand the public's misconceptions about foreign assistance through polling analysis and focus groups. 2. Package existing USAID information and materials in formats that the business community and industry trades will respond to, including white papers, web content and videotapes. 3. Identify appropriate partner organizations that will serve as conduits for information and facilitate the aid/trade discussion through existing organizational structures, including the US Chamber of Commerce, National Association of Manufacturers and the Jaycees. 4. Creatively utilize the First Lady and other political leaders to draw attention and media coverage to the discussions taking place within these organizations. How would this play out in reality? Research shows many in the business community are uninformed about the aid/trade relationship. Working with international organizations like the Chamber of Commerce and the Jaycees, the Business Alliance could foster a pilot project featuring ten local Chambers matched with ten USAID programs. The Chambers could study "their" program, begin email correspondence with USAID officials on-site, research the local impact of the project, then participate in a special panel during the Chambers' national conference exploring the findings of the pilot sites. With added participation of political leaders like Brian Atwood, a program like this would gain limited mainstream media coverage but significant internal coverage through the Chambers' internal communications vehicles. After a successful pilot, a second round of partnerships could begin in year two. Other leaders, like the First Lady, can raise these partnerships' profiles through speeches to organizations like the Business Roundtable or visits to local branches involved in exchange programs. Reaching Out to Youth The future of foreign assistance will be decided by the youth of America. It is critical that students have access to relevant information about the importance of these programs. To reach students, and the adults they come in daily contact with, it is important to identify effective distribution paths. As with the business community, partner student organizations will be the most effective way to connect with these students. Engaging students is by nature different than engaging the business community. Rather than focusing purely on dollar and cents issues, fostering several different partnership tracks can ensure that a wide range of students can become energized by the concept and goals of foreign assistance. At the same time, it is difficult to navigate educational other Biz ideas State Biz offices Chambers of Commerce kiwan's >already Rotary have Int'l. Membership orgs progs. BRACY WILLIAMS & CO Fax 202-783-5595 Mar 31 '98 10:54 P.04 bureaucracies to reach these students - particularly when high-profile political leaders are involved. The solution is targeting two key constituencies: 1. National organizations that tend to attract motivated student-leaders. 2. Media outlets with national educational reach. AFS. USAID should target both what can be considered foreign assistance's natural constituency - the "Peace Corps" demographic - through organizations like Model United Nations Clubs. Equally important, however, is to reach the new generations of young entrepreneurs through organizations like Junior Achievement, Future Business Leaders of America, 4H Clubs, Future Farmers of America, and many, many others. These organizations can help motivated, entrepreneurial students understand the foreign assistance argument. Existing material from USAID programs can be re-shaped into on-line curricula, and the Internet can be used for communication between communities. For example, a Junior Achievement club in Iowa could market products manufactured by student-colleagues in Africa, creating a tangible, valuable education on the free market system and cultural exchange. Getting the message out to students is both the greatest challenge of this program and our greatest opportunity. Beyond relying on the communications and membership structure of national organizations, USAID should target partnerships with Channel One or Cable in the Classroom to promote and facilitate this debate. Channel One, for example, reaches over 40% of the nation's high school students and would be thrilled to feature a major administration initiative - especially if that meant access to on-camera interview with the First Lady. We have a good relationship with Channel One, and could open a dialogue when it is appropriate. Other student-centered media outlets, including magazines and television programs, would be appropriate targets for an information campaign driven by political leaders. We look forward to discussing these ideas with you further. Please contact us if you have any questions or would like to further these concepts. In addition, we asked Michael Bracy to contact Alicia Bambara to follow up. Michael joined Bracy Williams & Company this February after six and a half years with RXL Pulitzer, an educational communications firm in Seattle, and is an expert in creative use of the Internet, video, television and other communications technologies. 3 08/11/98 TUE 10:48 FAX 202 456 6244 OFC OF THE FIRST LADY ₫003 08/10/98 14:26 CARNEGIE CORPORATION -: 202 456 6244 NO.782 P002/006 Carnegie Corporation of New York 437 Madison Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10022 . (212) 371-3200 Fax: (212) 207-6342 David A. Hamburg, M.D. President Emeritus August 10, 1998 Melanne Verveer Chief of Staff to the First Lady Office of the First Lady The White House Washington, DC 20500 Fax: 202-456-6244 Dear Melanne: It was a wonderful visit on Friday! I always find these discussions so stimulating and encouraging - addressing great themes of our public life and the future of our democracy. With this note, I am sending a draft letter of invitation to the international affairs meeting and also an updated invitation list in light of our discussion. I will shortly send some substantive ramarks that might contribute to the speech at the Foreign Policy Association and/or Hillary's opening remarks at our meeting on U.S engagement. In any event, all of this is clearly tentative. She will of course make good final decisions. My aim is warm up her circuits and to ease her tasks. Once again, my deep appreciation for all the vital work you are doing. With every good wish, As always Iant P.S. What do you think about the Harvard human rights event? COPY INSURATION Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. list re: US Engagement in World Affairs possible meeting [partial] (1 n.d. b(6) page) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records First Lady's Office Melanne Verveer OA/Box Number: 20032 FOLDER TITLE: Foreign Affairs - Global Leadership: [Foreign Assistance and Engagement] 2013-0534-S rc1532 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Done Humburg B. Business (b)(6) COOT] 1Pm (b)(6) US ENGAGEMENT IN WORLD AFFAIRS Possibilities for an Exploratory Meeting Graham Allison - Harnord, Kennedy oseds Democ Dear duct in Receive Carol Bellamy main Ranian reformers taken Bryant Warren Christopher waver John Gardner Jane Father Holl Hesburgh - exce dis Carnegue Caron NSC Communi- cations B James Johnson B Helene Kaplan - Schultz S. ap comm. - NYC carryer Nancy Kassebaum Steven Kull - umd survey researcher Palling Expect Joshua Lederberg - Rochepolle u. B Sol Linowitz B Vincent Mai AE A investore his si one , grew few up white in So minds af 3 ANC. Joseph Nye B CEO- Proctor + Goudde - sensitive to John Pepper in day. people William Perry David Humburg Rubin ? Condi Rice Sandy B. Strobe or Pickering Eliot Richardson Attwood. B Carol Bellamy David Rockefeller Colin Campbell Pat Schroeder Joan Spero - Dons Duhe Frund's m.c. Gus Speth <UNDP> ??? Lee 1 termilton Bryon Heber Marta Tienda Cyrus Vance Elie Wiesel B John Whitehead James Wolfensohn B John Young Hiti - Tech - - bio tech B Alex Zaffaroni princer researcher women Joan Spero communications Ellen levine m Kalb? Heleve Kaptn - coup. bonds Crmbite? Business - Felix? Byran Hehir - Pepper- Procter Gamble Peter Hat - John Brynt - Seralee - Jun Johnson - Fami mae - John whitehead - John young- former CEO Hen litt- - Pochard Carnegie Corporation of New York 437 Madison Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10022 (212) 371-3200 . Fax: (212) 207-6342 David A. Hamburg, M.D. President Emeritus July 28, 1998 Melanne Verveer Chief of Staff to the First Lady Office of the First Lady The White House Washington, DC 20500 Dear Melanne: You have been very kind and considerate lately. So what else is new? In any event, I am very grateful. I was delighted to get word that we will have a session on US foreign policy engagement and the public sometime in September. I stand ready for that session -- and earlier if you want my help in planning it. Thanks so much for sending the First Lady's speech in Shanghai. It is excellent. Indeed, I thought the whole trip went exceedingly well. Altogether, it changed the odds in favor of a mainly constructive, cooperative, progressive relationship between our country and China. I certainly hope so. The President and First Lady held up their end of the bargain superbly well. The response in China and at home reinforces the inclination I expressed to you last month that it would be beneficial to make a similar visit to India and Pakistan toward the end of this year. It would be possible both to deepen our understanding of their predicament and to open their minds to our views about paths to a better future. I believe, the crucial nuclear problem should be put in the larger context of the socioeconomic development of the two countries and their integration into emerging international systems. Congratulations on your role in the China trip. What a fascinating experience! I look forward with pleasure to seeing you soon. With very best regards, As always, Iani State- who Strinberg Recommended Participants List Blenken Graham T. Allison Douglas Dillon Professor of Government Center for Science and International Affairs Harvard University yes John F. Kennedy School of Government 79 John F. Kennedy Street Attwood? ? Cambridge, MA 02138 Terry Bracey Bellamy yes 601 13th Street, NW Suite 900 South Washington, D.C. 20005 yes Buckley no John Bryant Chairman & CEO Sara Lee Corporation No Three First National Plaza Chicago, IL 60602 Colin Cambell President Susa section Rockefeller Brothers Fund \ 437 Madison Avenue New York, NY 10022 David Hamburg 437 Madison Avenue New York, NY 10022 yes Congressman Lee Hamilton Rayburn Office Building Room 2314 yes Washington, D.C. 20515-1409 Peter Hart Peter Hart and Associates 1724 Connecticut Avenue, NW ? Washington, D.C. 20009 Reverend Brian Hehir Harvard University Divinity School no 45 Francis Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 James Johnson ? 3900 Wisconsin Avenue, NW liarg Kennedy? Washington, D.C. 20016 Henry Keneiger yes Professor Steven Kull 7409 Fairfax Road yes Bethesda, MD 20814 Ellen Levine Editor-in-Chief Good Housekeeping 224 West 57th Street New York, NY 10019 yer -(Ime Lochard, mcCanny] Newton Minnow Counsel no Sidley & Austin One First National Plaza Suite 4800 Chicago, IL 60603 Karen Mulhauser Mulhauser and Associates 1730 Rhode Island Avenue, NW yes Suite 712 Washington, D.C. 20036 John Pepper Proctor and Gamble 3 7 1 Proctor and Gamble Plaza "I Cincinnati, OH 45202 Joan Spero President Doris Duke Charitable Foundation no 650 Fifth Avenue, 19th Floor Apen yes? New York, NY 10019 John Whitehead 16 Sutton Square New York, NY 10022 yes John Young Former President & CEO Hewlett-Packard Company no 1501 Page Mill Road Palo Alto, CA 94305 Possible Administration Appointments Brian Atwood, USAID Jill Buckley, USAID (has been developing a coherent response on this issue) Sandy Berger Thomas Pickering or Strobe Talbott Carol Bellamy UNICEF 3 United Nations Plaza 13th Floor yes New York, NY 10017 James Gustave Speth Administrator United Nations Development Program yes One United Nations Plaza New York, NY 10017 Antony J. Blinken 09/10/98 06:45:34 PM Record Type: Record To: Katharine Button/WHO/EOP, Laura E. Schiller/WHO/EOP CC: Subject: First Lady's Speeches on International Engagement FYI, in a meeting we held yesterday with NGOs to discuss how to secure public and congressional support for our international affairs budget, a few points came up that may be relevant to your upcoming speeches: 1. As a selling point, concrete success stories that show how our $/assistance/advice/engagement are making a difference have real traction. Since the first Lady has probably seen more of these than any American in the course of her travels, she's in a good position to describe the real word effect of US engagement. 2. always worth reminding people that international affairs spending represents just 1% of our budget and that it has declined 50% in real terms over past decade. (Most people think its 15-20% of budget). 3. Also worth reminding people that, among major industrialized nations, US ranks dead last as provider of foreign assistance (as a percentage of GNP). FEB-26-98 11:37 FROM: IDC & SID & WFPG ID 202 884 8499 PAGE 2/2 ST. PAUL PIONEER PRESS OPINION LETTERS TO THE EDITOR Fax TO: LETTERS TO THE EDITOR 345 Codar St. Fax Number: 612-228-5564 St. Paul. Minn. 55101 Internet: [email protected] We welcome your letters, Make them exclusive to us. Please provide a full signature. city of residence and (for verification) your address and daytime phone. Preference goes to letters under 225 words. All letters are subject to editing. No more than one letter per witter every 60 days. Direct questions to 228-5545. Looking the Other Way The attitude that the rest of the world is irrelevant to U.S. concerns imperils democracy: Ignorance makes participation impossible. POLICY FORUM espite increasing glob- reflect the belief that most to university, labor, "Estrangement D alization, many Americans lack interest and under- business, civic groups or Engagement: Americans apparently standing of world affairs, The excep- and the media. Local Responses do not see the impor- tion to this is in times of impending Town meetings to Global Challen- tance and connection U.S. involvement or crisis, as in the should be held on ges," at the Univer- that international case of Iraq, when there is extensive topics which get sity of Minnesota PATRICIA events have for their press coverage in preparation for at the nexus of Humphrey Institute, ELLIS daily lives. possible military action domestic and in- runs from 7:30 a.m. A case in point: In News executives should show ternational con- to 3:30 p.m. today. GUEST 1997, the Pew Re- leadership and be willing to give cerns, such as General admission is COLUMNIST search Center for the their audiences not only what they drugs, global crime, $80; call 625-8330 People and the Press think they want, but also informa- immigration, the for more Information. reported that most Americans tion they need to participate in our involvement of On the agenda; believe that events in Asia, Mexico, democracy. International news cov- U.S. troops abroad 7:30 a.m., BILL RICH- Western Europe and Canada have erage should not be relegated to and the im- ARDSON, U.S. ambas- limited impact on them. crisis coverage, but should be sador to the U.N., speaks. Ironically, there are more links included on a regular basis with today between domestic and inter- follow-ups to stories that are no 9:30 a.m., panel on global- Ization's Impact. national issues than ever before. longer major issues of the day. 12:30 p.m., ex-secretary of They include trade and jobs, Local news. organizations, defense and energy JAMES refugees, immigration, drugs, ter- especially television, where SCHLESINGER speaks. rorism, U.S. troops overseas, must people get their news, have a special responsibility. 1:30 p.m., panel on engaging American students abroad, global warming, the Asian financial crisis The news media can make the public; Ploneer Press guest writer PATRICIA ELLIS will and U.S. policy toward Cuba special efforts to connect international stories with participate, Despite the long list of local and national connections on internation- local concerns and interests. al issues, the public is not seeing The issues and stories will these links. Educators and the vary from city to city or region to region depending ILLUSTRATION BY TIM BRINTON media, the government, concerned citizens and organizations commit- on industries, ethnic make- ted to global engagement share up of the population, section pact of the tacts with reporters and editors, and responsibility for making the of the country and proximity Asian financial cri- writing articles and opinion columns. American public recognize the to U.S. borders. sis Such meetings can attract A concerted effort is needed to extent and importance of global The government needs to expand different, diverse audiences with prove to Americans how great an interconnectedness. its efforts to engage the public. voices from domestic groups whose effect foreign policy matters and How can the situation be changed Secretary of State Madeleine work has an international dimension international events have on their and who can make a difference? Albright has set an excellent exam- and are not the usual participants daily lives We live in an increasing- The American educational system ple. Her foreign policy speeches in foreign policy meetings. ly interdependent world. On the eve is a place to begin. Increased around the country, which explain The concerned public - which of the 21st century we cannot retreat emphasis on history, diplomatic the importance and relevance of for- includes foreign affairs professionals, from our commitment to global relations, language studies and eign policy issues to Americans, have world affairs council members, and engagement. We must make global especially geography provide a attracted public attention and media representatives from universities, engagement a concept Americans foundation for global awareness and coverage More senior officials from nonprofits, business, labor and poli- can relate to and support. should begin at an early age. different government agencies work- tics - can play a key role by The media have a major role to ing on international issues should be mounting pressure on the media to Etis is executive director of the Women's play. News organizations, fiercely sent all over the country. The speak- provide more and better internation- Foreign Policy Group. She covered foreign competing for viewers and readers ers should meet with as broad a al news coverage The process begins affairs for "MacNoilLehrer Newshour and for ratings and advertising, have cut cross-section of local communities as by taking concrete steps to identify was a fellow at Harrard University's Center back on foreign news coverage to possible, from world affairs councils. articulate spokespeople. making con- no the Press. Politics and Public Policy. WFPG, 884-8597 August 25, 1998 Mr. John M. Doe Address Line 1 Address Line 2 City, State 20001-Zip Dear John: I would like to invite you to join me and a small group of national leaders to explore ways in which we can strengthen public support for the United States' engagement in international affairs in the post-Cold War political environment. In my travels abroad, I have been deeply impressed by the significance of our great nation throughout the world. Yet, I am concerned by the apparent gap between the importance of our nation's work abroad and public support for that work at home. Around the globe, I have met many extraordinary Americans working creatively on behalf of our government, and with other countries on issues of development, security, education, science, humanitarian efforts and business. In addition, great numbers of Americans visit and study in faraway places. We cannot afford to be indifferent in an era of unprecedented economic globalization and international cooperation. The dramatic technological advances in communication and transportation are drawing us together more than ever before. I believe it is critical that we Americans exert effective leadership and function as productive partners in enterprises throughout the world. That means, among other things, that we must do our fair share in supporting foreign assistance programs and international organizations. As citizens, we must become better informed about the people and cultures of other countries. We must mobilize our intellectual, technical, and moral resources to earn respect, engage in commerce, and provide constructive leadership in a transforming world. Please join me at the White House on September 16th at 2:00pm to consider how our nation can further engage the public on international issues in thoughtful, far-sighted and constructive ways, and how we might better take advantage of the opportunities now before us. I look forward to your participation in this meeting. Please call Katy Button in my office at 202/456-6266 to respond. Sincerely yours, To date, we have spoken by phone or met with the following: Bill White President, CS Mott Foundation Maureen Smith VP Programs, CS Mott Foundation Judy Samelson VP Communications, CS Mott Foundation Talked mostly about message, saliency and the importance of long- term, strategic communications. Thought a paid ad campaign would be the biggest (and most important) component. Mark Gearan Director, Peace Corps Thought that the Peace Corps could be a great asset in this initiative and that we could/should capitalize on its popularity. Peter Fenn Fenn & King Media producer with international experience. Tie to the President of the National Cable Television Association. Jerry Klepner Black, Kelly, Scruggs & Healy Ties to Young & Rubicam and Burson Marsteller. Jim Margolis Greer, Margolis Worked with State and White House on Africa pre- and post-trip outreach ideas. Stressed need for long-term commitment. Steven Kull Director, Program on International Policy Attitudes, Center for International Security Studies, University of Maryland Author of The Foreign Policy Gap--How Policy Makers Misread the Public and Americans and Foreign Aid--A Study of Public Attitudes. Susan Sechler Aspen Institute Author of Global Interdependence and the Need for Social Stewardship report for the Rockefeller Brothers Fund. Priscilla Lewis Rockefeller Brothers Fund Atten# Special Assistant to the President Director of Communications Currently working on a second collaboration with Susan Sechler. Terry Bracey Bracey & Williams Barry Blechman Stinson Foundation Terry and Barry followed up our meeting with a plan outlining how they believe US business could be involved in this initiative. Pat McGuinnes President, Council on Excellence in Government Suggested The Partnership for a Drug Free America as a good case study and possible model. Also suggested the possibility of partnering with the current Peace Corps ad campaign. Bunny Lester Children's Television Workshop Assistant VP, Development, Marketing & Communications Offered suggestions about creative fundraising and volunteered to help lead a fundraising campaign. Sally Patterson Winner, Wagner, Frances Thought thematic outreach to small target audiences would be the best way to link our issues to the general public. Joanne Eide NEA International Affairs Jill Christiansen NEA International Affairs Stressed that the link to education is essential. Thought that certain messages could (and would) be well received and understood by children as young as elementary school age. Karen Mulhauser Mulhauser Public Affairs Suggested expanding the base of the Lessons Without Borders program as the umbrella organization to run this initiative. Marlene Johnson CEO, NAFSA: Association of International Educators Thought an education component should continue through college. Polly Donaldson Director of Public Outreach, Partners of the Americas Discussed the pros and cons of reaching out to the general public VS. the "elites." Liz Schrayer President, Schrayer & Associates Campaign Coordinator, Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership Represents a coalition of over 300 businesses, including many Fortune 500 companies. Theresa Loar State/ President's Interagency Council on Women As we expected, she had good ideas and contacts for us to follow up in the future. Peter Hart Peter Hart Research Associates Jim Moody President, Interaction Julia Gus Lee Henry John Ellen Jamie Taft Speth Hamilton Kissinger Whitehead Levine Rubin Marsha Berry Steven Kull Susan Sechler Prof. Graham Terry Allison Bracey Tony Jill Blinken Buckley Melanne Karen Verveer Mulhauser Mike David Brian HRC Thomas Carol Joe McCurry Hamburg Atwood Pickering Bellamy Lockhart MEETING ON ENGAGEMENT IN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS The Diplomatic Reception Room Wednesday, September 16, 1998 2:00 p.m. TALKING POINTS Thank you for coming -- I'm very grateful to each and every one of you for making time on your busy schedules to be here today. We have among us in this room leaders who truly understand the importance of America's world leadership, and the need to strengthen public support for our continuing engagement in the post-Cold War world. [Might mention your travels, how you have seen first-hand the payoffs of our engagement, etc.] At this time, there are so many critical issues before Congress - funding for the IMF, UN, international family planning, the State Department and USAID, the terrorism supplemental bill and adequate funding for development assistance. Africa economic proposal?? It is a singularly important time to address this topic: the dramatic end of the Cold War has brought with it drastic changes involving people in every country around the world, especially relating to global commerce; the world has been further transformed by rapid and extensive innovations in science and technology, especially telecommunications; serious threats are posed every day by growing terrorism, civil wars of great devastation, diseases without borders and environmental hazards. Unfortunately, in the face of all these challenges, the U.S. is retreating in its support for international engagement. Yet, the data I am familiar with shows a large majority of Americans support U.S. involvement in international affairs. There is a misconception among many policy makers that Americans do not see the connection between international and their daily lives. [Steven Kull from the University of Maryland will make a brief presentation later in the meeting on survey data he has gathered on public opinion on a range of issues, from the UN to development assistance.] We will need to develop creative approaches to educate the public, mobilize key constituencies and persuade reluctant partners. This strategy will necessarily involve the government, the media and the public, as well as business, education and community groups active in civil society. We need to energize the silent majority in our country that is too often shouted down by a highly-active and vocal minority. [You might repeat here the remarks you made at Davos about the disengaged business community: " It is imperative that those of you that understand the global economy, who visit and do business in many countries, share your knowledge of what you of what you see occurring around the world -- with members of Congress, with leaders of your community, with anyone you can reach -- because we cannot build a consensus for American engagement of the American business community is not a strong supporter of that engagement (American businesses should be) saying, 'we know what faces the United States around the world and we understand how important it is for America to lead and be engaged, and we therefore raise our voices on behalf of American support for the United Nations, IMF and other multilateral institutions." AMERICAN OPINIONS Wha Americans think GLOBA Why we should care, What vou can do. Do Americans care about the DEVELOPING WORLD? Most politicians and news Throughout this piece, we have executives don't think so. also included the views of In recent years, Congress has influential Americans - some slashed development aid to well-known, others less so - on record lows. Many media outlets why we should care about the have dramatically reduced their developing world. At the end, ability to cover important world you'll find ideas for how you can news. They cite the conventional (continue the conversation in your wisdom: Americans are isolation- own community. ists whose compassion and inter- I hope that you find it all as inter- est stops at the border. esting as I do, and that it sheds new light on your own opinions. Are they right? Or are we more interested in the rest of the world than they think? There are no simple answers. Americans' views are as varied and complex as the world itself: they reflect our experi- ences and values, get distorted by Marvin T. Jones Dr. Cherri D. Waters Vice President, misinformation and change focus InterAction with events and time. To help us sort it all out, we asked four pollsters known for their "It takes all of us. We have to W work on global issues to review of the world's people to win this recent survey data and exchange humanity. That's why I support t views on what the numbers are trying to deal holistically W mean. As you'll see, they don't lems. We cannot save the Unite always agree, but the discussion without saving the whole world itself is a model for the kind of open and searching dialogue these issues so urgently require. This publication was produced by InterAction - an association of more than 150 US-based nonprofits involved in relief, development and refugee work in 160 countries - with support from The Pew Charitable Trusts and The Tides Center. OUR PANEL OF POLLSTERS: MODERATOR: Nancy Belden "At the turn of the century, we went Partner, Belden & Russonello greed and God. During the Cold Wa Research and foreign policy. Today, a new "g-w Communications forces us to rethink our interests via tries. It's not just trade and finance th crime, environmental problems an Kathy Frankovic own interest to help the developing Director, The CBS News Poll stable, healthy and prosperous hom - Dr. Jessica Mathews, President Ron Hinckley Nancy: Much public opinion research President, has shown that Americans are pretty Research/Strategy/ evenly divided on the question of for- Management eign assistance. They are concerned about keeping adequate resources in the US to deal with domestic prob- lems, and yet they want to help peo- Steven Kull ple everywhere who are in need. Director, Faced with what seem like contradic- Program on International tory findings, many pollsters strug- Policy Attitudes gle with the question of how much University of Maryland Americans care about the develop- ing world. What light can you shed on this? Steven: There really is no question that the majority of Americans do feel some concern about what hap- over the vast majority pens in developing countries, and ght for the survival of think that the US has a role to play in United Nations. They addressing the problem of poverty. all the world's prob- Surveys show that 80% or more states in the long haul think the US should give some aid to countries in great need, and I have found that only 8% want to eliminate foreign aid. At the same time, it's true Ted Turner, Vice Chairman, Time Warner Inc. that Americans do not pay a great deal of attention to what happens in other countries, and that support for Ron: The US has a long history of overseas to serve glory, geostrategy ruled our Chad Evans Wyatt avoiding international involvement. The Constitution's emphasis on d" - globalization defense and George Washington's à-vis developing coun- admonishment to "avoid entan- t are globalizing: so are gling alliances" established an other risks. It's in our essentially threat-oriented, defen- sive view of the rest of the world. world become a more This still holds true today. A recent to 78% of humanity." study by the Pew Research Center1 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace found that only one in four people gives top priority to positive foreign policy goals like promoting democ- racy (22%), improving living stan- needy countries is more a latent dards (23%) and promoting human value than an urgent concern. Also, rights (27%). Defensive goals were Americans greatly overestimate how ranked much higher: protecting much the US spends on foreign aid, American jobs (77%), preventing which might contribute to a feeling nuclear proliferation (70%) and that we should do less. stopping drug traffic (67%). (See "What the Public Thinks" at right.) Kathy: In our news polling, we have We're most likely to support aid that consistently reported the American we see as countering a threat. public's lack of interest in foreign affairs. After the Gulf War, many in Steven: Ron and Kathy are right - the media believed that the American interest in foreign affairs "Vietnam syndrome" had ended, has always been low, and there are and that Americans would begin a some signs that it has gotten even wave of international involvement. But later that year, a CBS poll showed that half the public rejected the role of peacekeeper, and 40% "If the developing world does wel denied that the US had a responsi- only if we care about social and eco bility to provide economic assis- are treated justly — paid adequa tance to countries that need aid. working and housing conditions - But keep in mind that I'm guided by environment is treated well, ours the needs of the news media, breathe the same air, our oceans in and that foreign affairs were circulates around the globe. I hop deemed more important to ask where we respect and learn from ea about in the 1980s than they are today. We've asked relatively forward together." - SI few questions about international issues in recent years. WHAT THE PUBLIC "American businesses have a tremend thinks world. This is obvious at Starbucks — globe and a sampler that supports CARE Percentage saying that a "top priority" in nearly every business I can think de of US foreign policy should be: clothes, the food in your supermarket, computer. What we sometimes dismiss Protecting American Jobs 77% fact an integral part of our economy Preventing Spread of Nuclear Weapons 70% markets for millions of products. Supply is not charity - - it's an investment. And Combating Drugs 67% - Howard Schultz, OF Insuring Energy Supply 58% Improving Global Environment 50% Reducing Trade Deficit 42% lower since the end of the Cold Reducing Illegal Immigration 42% War. But this does not necessarily Strengthening the United Nations 30% indicate what kind of foreign policy we want. Studies show that atten- Defending Human Rights 27% tiveness and support are not the Helping improve living same thing. standards in developing nations 23% Ron: The key is not interest, but the Promoting Democracy 22% perception of threat. This point is Aiding US Business Interests 16% dramatically underscored by opinion leader surveys. As fear of the Soviet Protecting Weaker Nations 16% Union dissipated from the 1970s to the 1990s, the number of elites say- Source: America's Place in the World II, Pew Research Center For The People & The Press, October 1997. ing that helping improve the stan- dard of living in developing nations is "very important" dropped signifi- we all do well - but cantly - from 68% in 1978, to 46% in 1986, to 28% in 1994.² omic justice. If people ely, given acceptable Nancy: You seem to agree that the ve all benefit. If their level of interest in foreign affairs 0 will thrive. We all and assistance is mild. Do mingle, our weather Americans find that the developing for a unified world world has any impact on their lives? other and can move Sayles Belton, Mayor, Minneapolis MN A small percentage see a great deal IS stake in the developing of impact. But with the exception of th coffee from around the Mexico, almost three times as E - but it's also the case many people don't perceive any Check the labels in your impact at all. It's hard to imagine the components in your that people would attach a greater as the 'Third World' is in importance to developing nations supplying materials and than they do to these regions. rting global development it's the right thing to do." Kathy: It seems that Americans look at foreign assistance as a zero-sum irman and CEO, Starbucks Coffee Company project - they think that what goes on elsewhere detracts from the US. Americans who reject international assistance often do so by saying Steven: In general economic terms, that the needs of people in the US definitely. A 1993 study³ found that should be dealt with first. four out of five Americans thought Third World economies have at Steven: True, Americans often least some effect on the US econo- argue that the US should place à my; a 1996 poll I conducted found higher priority on its own problems that 68% agreed that "helping Third than on giving foreign assistance. World countries to develop is in the But when asked to distribute a pool economic interest of the US." of resources, they overwhelmingly propose giving resources to for- Ron: The recent Pew study provides eign aid - and usually more than evidence that Americans do not we are actually giving. When, in a grasp the relevance of what hap- recent poll4, I asked how anti-pover- pens in other countries, not to men- ty funds should be split between tion developing countries. People domestic and international pro- were asked how much their lives grams, the median response was were affected by what happens in 80% in the US and 20% abroad. The the following places: actual ratio is 97% to 3%. Great Fair Not Very None Deal Amount Much At All Western Europe 8% 28% 36% 25% Mexico 13% 29% 32% 23% Asia 9% 26% 36% 25% Canada 8% 23% 39% 27% Nancy: Let's talk about differences in the level of concern. My research "The earth is a web of interconned finds that higher-income people tems: our atmosphere, oceans, river tend to be considerably more communities. What people in deve inclined to support assistance to how they feed and clothe themselve other countries, but that variation and participate in the global econo by gender and political party is not and vice versa. If we are to live in great. Also, Hispanics seem to be world, we all must work in partnersh among the strongest supporters of wisely, fairly and sustainably." foreign aid. Do you agree? Kathy: Our polls have shown that - Deborah Moore, S the most internationalist opinions tend to be held by well-educated, well-off, Republican men from the Americans believed Haiti was very western part of the country. The important to US interests, com- major exception is when people pared with 42% of black Americans. identify with the group in need - African-Americans were more likely Ron: In my data, African-Americans to support food aid to Somalia and tend to be isolationist, and oppose US actions in Haiti. One striking dif- foreign assistance generally on the ference in 1994: only 17% of white grounds that such aid could be put WHAT OPINION LEADERS think Percentage of each group saying that "helping improve living standards in developing nations" should be a "top Overall, the number of opinion priority" foreign policy goal: leaders who think helping develop- 1993 1997 ing nations is a top priority has risen in the last four years. But Religious Leaders 43% 72% only religious leaders, academics Union Leaders I 46% and scientists rank it among their Academics/Think Tanks 24% 37% top five priorities. Members of the news media are most in tune with Scientists/Engineers 26% 34% the general public, 23% of which Foreign Affairs Leaders 25% 31% also rates this a top priority. State/Local Govt. Officials 19% 27% News Media 15% 23% Business and Finance 9% 14% Source: America's Place in the World II, Pew Capitol Hill Policy Staff - 13% Research Center For The People & The Press, October 1997. Security 13% 12% The actual amount is less than 1%. ted and dynamic sys- At the same time, we overestimate S, forests, cultures and how our aid budget compares to oping countries do - that of other countries. S, use medicinal plants my - affects us here Nancy: How do the people who are healthy and peaceful most concerned about the world p to use our resources come to feel that way? Steven: I think the primary influ- ence is the value system that they inior Scientist, Environmental Defense Fund are bred into; religious training is critical, it seems. The degree of exposure to foreign countries to better use among our own poor. determines how much attention Hispanics - many of whom have one gives the issue, but not the recently come from underdevel- underlying values themselves. oped countries and send some of their earnings to relatives still there Kathy: I was shocked to discover - appear to be more supportive of that the most knowledgeable and US aid. As Nancy and Kathy note, most attentive people when it came elites tend to be more supportive of to Japan were not college gradu- foreign aid than the general public. ates, as is usually the case with (See "What Opinion Leaders Think" international issues, but rather a at left.) group of elderly men, most of them not college-educated, who had Steven: I disagree that African- been in the military during WWII. Americans are isolationist. If any- Not all of them served in the Pacific, thing, recent research shows them to be marginally more supportive of foreign aid. But all of these differ- ences between demographic groups "We have seen and heard about t is very marginal. Much more signif- ing countries. Countless TV shot icant is the factor of misperception. children come to mind. But there Three out of four Americans think who can say 'Wait isn't that my that the US spends too much on street?' Look around and you'll S foreign aid, but this is based on an poverty are not just here, not just extreme overestimation. Asked Communities around the world how much of the federal budget same isolation and lack of power goes to foreign aid, most people from each other?" say 15-20%. Asked what the - Dileepan Si amount should be, they say 5-10%. but they had a reason to find out something about Japan and to con- "Not only is it in our strategic and tinue to pay attention to it even share our resources by investing in after the war was over. I'm sure stability across the globe - it is in many of us have anecdotal infor- est as well. Judaism, Christianity mation about the long-term effects share a common vision: that as mo of some international experience or we must share God's wealth with t educational training. less fortunate than we; that our role Ron: I agree that a person's value enjoins us to be a light to the nation system is the key factor in deter- mining his/her foreign policy atti- - Rabbi David Saperstein, Director tudes, and my own studies bear this out. Contact with others is not a telling factor. The Peace Corps, for tance is currently framed as some- instance, attracts people whose val- thing that takes away from the US. ues predispose them toward this But it could conceivably get re- sort of other-oriented program - it framed as something that benefits doesn't create those attitudes. the US. Nancy: Does support vary depend- Ron: Even though Americans aren't ing on what kind of assistance pro- interested in foreign issues, this grams we ask about? doesn't mean that they're totally opposed to foreign aid. When peo- Kathy: Perception is of critical ple are asked specifically about importance. Opinions about this types of foreign assistance, there is topic depend largely on how the large support for humanitarian aid: question is framed. Foreign assis- 86% support giving food and medicine to needy countries; 76% want to help their economies; 68% support family planning.5 So problems in develop- Americans do support various poor, malnourished forms of humanitarian aid in the too many Americans abstract. But whether they are will- Could that be my ing to commit the resources to that the problems of address those concerns is some- ere, but everywhere. thing else altogether. In other struggling with the words, the zero-sum game men- DW can we not learn tioned by Kathy outweighs Steve's findings that Americans care. thasundaram, Student Leader, UC Berkeley Nancy: What about Ron's point that tl economic interest to Americans don't always put their peace, democracy and money where their mouths are? Cur highest moral inter- Even if most people agree that we and many other faiths should be involved in the world and support development assistance, ral people and nations do we have the political will to real- nose of God's children ly make it happen? as prophetic witnesses s." Ron: Where awareness and salience are low, there can be no political Religious Action Center of Reform Judaism will. If Americans aren't paying attention to foreign issues and don't rate them as very important, Nancy: Taking off my moderator hat they aren't going to do much about for a minute Polls frequently them. Focusing on particular issues probe the types of foreign assis- only tends to highlight ideological tance Americans support, and a differences and fracture whatever pattern is usually repeated. will does exist. Media coverage is Humanitarian efforts top the list, crucial: it builds support for global followed by environmental and engagement by boosting aware- economic development aid, health ness and salience. The timeframe and welfare issues and then mili- issue is very real chronic condi- tary aid to our allies. Some of the tions may attract public attention figures might move around, for a while, but not for long. Natural depending on media coverage, but disasters and other acute overseas the general pattern stays in place. crises attract interest and support because the media and public can Steven: I asked people in a 1995 survey whether they wanted to increase, maintain or cut spending for different types of global pro- "The developing world isn't a remote grams. Child survival programs ders - not something I left behin scored highest, followed by the [Kyrgyzstan 95-97]. As a 9th grade ES Peace Corps, humanitarian relief City, I teach in a school population and environmental aid. Support for Dominican. Their problems and exp.) maintaining or increasing spending disrupted educations and violence hav on these items was very strong with. Their problems are very literall even when respondents were told are their strengths and contributions how much goes to each, both in terms of total dollars and dollars - Linda Lesué Barth, Teacher paid by the average taxpayer. focus on concrete, measurable media still report much more about efforts to intervene and assist the the US than about all other coun- victims. People see results and feel tries combined. a sense of resolution when life gets back to "normal." To build political Steven: When you come right will, one needs a galvanizing event. down to it, the problem is not so much that the public does not sup- Kathy: Building political will is port aid, but that the minority that the key issue. There's not a well- opposes it is so much more vocal. organized minority that is against When we asked policymakers international involvement, so the about public attitudes on global question is how you translate pub- issues, they told us that the most lic concern and sympathy into vocal constituents tend to oppose action. You need at least four things foreign aid. The support of the to do this: majority support, belief silent majority is not heard. in the issue's importance, strong national spokespeople and sup- NOTES 1, 5: America's Place in the World 11, Pew Research Center portive media coverage. Time is For The People & The Press, Oct. 1997. also a factor. Americans are very 2: American Public Opinion and US Foreign Policy 1995, Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 1995. supportive of crisis assistance - 3: Evaluation of the Development Education Program, it's long-term commitments that Intercultural Communications, Inc. for USAID, Oct. 1993. are a problem. Again, how you 4: An Emerging Consensus, Program on International Policy Attitudes, University of Maryland, July 1996. frame the issue matters greatly. Politicians still talk about the "US RESOURCES economy," not the "global econo- America's Place in the World II (1997). Available gratis from The Pew Research Center For The my." Opposition to immigration People & The Press, 1875 I Street NW, Suite 1110, here in California still emphasizes Washington DC 20036. 202-293-3126 or www.people-press.org. us-versus-them thinking. The US The Foreign Policy Gap (1997) by Steven Kull, IM Destler and Clay Ramsay. Available for $12 from the Program on International Policy Attitudes, 11 Dupont Circle, Suite 610, Washington DC place beyond our bor- 20036. 202-232-7500. d in the Peace Corps Americans' Views on US Leadership and Foreign Assistance: A Review of Existing Survey Data SL teacher in New York (1994). Available for $10 from Belden & that is more than 90% Russonello Research and Communications, eriences with poverty, 1250 I Street NW, Suite 460, Washington DC 20005. 202-789-2400. e become ours to cope American Public Opinion and US Foreign Policy y ours. Fortunately, so 1995, edited by John E. Reilly. Available for $5 0 our communities." from the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 116 South Michigan Avenue, Chicago IL 60603. 312-726-3860. and Columbia University Peace Corps Fellow Beyond the Beltway: Engaging the Public in US Foreign Policy (1994), by Daniel Yankelovich and IM Destler. Published by WW Norton & Co. Available in bookstores. CONTINUING THE ANATIONAL CONVERSATION conversation A FEW SUGGESTIONS TO HELP YOU EXPLORE THESE ISSUES IN GREATER DEPTH: Dig deeper. Be sure to visit the new Global Connections website (www.interaction.org) for a more in-depth look at opinion polls about glob- al issues. While you're there, go to the Global Connections Forum and exchange views with other opinion leaders from across the nation. Conduct a straw poll. Ask your family, friends and colleagues to share their opinions: What should our top foreign policy goals be? Should helping developing nations be one of our priorities? What percentage of the federal budget is spent on foreign aid? What percentage should be? Ask why. Explore how people came to hold their beliefs. Have these evolved over time or changed in response to a particular event? What is the foundation for your own beliefs? What information or experiences cause people to change their minds? Draw connections. The "What the Public Thinks" chart shows that helping developing nations is a lower priority than fighting drug traffick- ing, illegal immigration and environmental degradation. But might helping poor nations be an effective way to address these other problems? Americans often say that we should focus on our "own" problems before we help other nations with "theirs." But in our global society, can we really distinguish between the two? Debate the issues. Roll up your sleeves and grapple with some of the tough ones: Does the US have a moral responsibility to help people in poor nations? Should we always help Americans first? Should we be motivated more by humanitarian concern or national interest? Start a discussion group. Talk about these issues with friends and colleagues, or put them on the agenda for your next meeting. Voice your opinion. Members of Congress say they hear only from critics of foreign aid and global engagement. News executives cut international coverage because they think no one cares about it. If you feel differently, don't keep it to yourself. Write a letter to your elected officials or to the editor of your local paper. Tell them you understand our future is a global one, and that you support international involvement. Your voice matters. InterAction 1717 Massachusetts Ave NW, Suite 801 Washington DC 20036 Phone: (202) 667-8227 x117 Fax: (202) 667-8236 E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.interaction.org Printed on recycled paper with soy-based inks Design: Hobbamock POLLS AND PUBLIC OPINION USAID A Sampling of Excerpts from Opinion Surveys on Foreign Assistance and International Engagement From: America's Place in the World Pew Research Center October 1997 (Pew conducted a four-year trend survey that compared the opinions of influential Americans - journalists, foreign affairs experts, scholars, business leaders, etc. -- with those of the general public. The poll included 600 influentials and 2,000 members of the general public.) Opinion Leaders Influential Americans are much more of Cold War years. Most of the Influentials confident about this country's place in the surveyed support the current level of world now compared to four years ago preparedness as consistent with U.S. when they were anxious about the future in strategy of being able to fight two wars, in the wake of the collapse of the Soviet Europe and in Asia, at the same time. Union. They are also much more satisfied with the way things are going both in the The Public Differs world and in the United States. The public, in contrast, does not see a Twice as many Americans in leadership more rosy world. Whereas four years ago positions believe the United States plays a the public and the Influentials were more important role in the world today than essentially in lock-step in their sour thought so in 1993 when the Center evaluation of world conditions (only 28 conducted its first poll in this series. Four percent and 25 percent satisfied, out of five still prefer a shared leadership respectively), the public today remains role for the nation, but several influential unchanged in its assessment (29 percent groups are now more inclined to say the satisfied) while the Opinion Leaders United States should be the single world register 58 percent satisfaction. leader. The American public does not think the Far more are willing to keep defense United States today plays a greater global spending the same than four years ago, 50 role than it did a decade ago. It is no more percent vs. 31 percent, with even some inclined to have the United States act as greater sentiment for actually increasing it, single world leader than before, nor any despite the lack of an enemy that more generous with money for the military structured the overarching national strategy (although support for keeping spending at of four Influentials are satisfied now, current levels remains high at 57 percent). whereas two out of three were dissatisfied It is also no more willing to use U.S. forces four years ago. Most satisfied are Capitol abroad in potential trouble spots than it was Hill staffers and Academicians; again, four years ago. Religious leaders express least satisfaction, although even in this group, a How Things Are Going majority is satisfied. The reversal of assessments by the The public remains dissatisfied with the Influentials compared to four years ago is way things are going in the world -- 65 striking. Every group of Opinion Leaders percent now, 66 percent in 1993 -- as well has gone from overwhelming as with things in the United States, dissatisfaction with the way things were although here it admits to considerable going in the world and the nation to improvement in the state of the country. overwhelming satisfaction. The great Four years ago, fully 75 percent of anxieties of the post-Cold War world, led by Americans said they were dissatisfied with nuclear proliferation and anarchy in the conditions in the country, down to 49 former Soviet bloc, have not materialized percent now. Women are significantly more so far. The conflicts in Bosnia, Somalia and dissatisfied than men regarding conditions Haiti have faded from the forefront of both in the world and the nation. Politically, concerns. And the American economy is Republicans and Independents are more experiencing unprecedented growth and dissatisfied with conditions in the country, stability. From the American perspective, but no more or less dissatisfied with "This terrible century has - or appears to conditions in the world. be having -- a happy ending," as Arthur Schlesinger Jr. writes. Satisfaction On average, almost six out of ten Influentials are satisfied with conditions in the world today, whereas two out of three were dissatisfied in 1993. Most satisfied now are Capitol Hill staffers and Business leaders; least are Religious leaders -- for whom protecting human rights and improving living standards in developing nations continue to be matters of primary concern -- and Governors and Mayors. Even greater satisfaction exists with conditions in the United States. Three out 2 From: Public Opinion and the U.S. Retreat from International Social Stewardship Rockefeller Bros. Fund Global Interdependence Initiative November 1997 (In October 1996, at the Pocantico Conference Center of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, the Fund joined with the World Bank to host foundation executives, leaders of major NGOs and officers of large multilateral institutions in an effort to "Build a Constituency for Global Interdependence." The following are excerpts from the recently released report that grew out of that meeting.) If public support for cooperative aid that very little actually reaches the engagement was an artifact of the Cold people who need it." War, what has become of that support since the fall of the Berlin Wall? The perception of ineffectiveness Conventional wisdom holds that Americans substantially diminishes support for foreign have little interest in international issues assistance. In the classic ethical allegory, and that the end of the Cold War has one must always jump into the water to eroded what little support existed for save a drowning person -- unless one cooperation with other nations. For cannot swim. Americans may care about example, a recent survey of policymakers, the "drowning" people overseas, but they journalists, and other opinion leaders found doubt whether foreign aid programs can that most thought the American public swim. prefers isolationism to international engagement. But careful analysis reveals a The news media contribute to the great deal of latent support for engagement perception of U.S. ineffectiveness abroad. -- especially to promote social stewardship. War, famine, and disaster dominate the scant news coverage of less-developed Americans have real doubts about the countries, while success stories -- such as motives and methods of current U.S. dramatic improvements in infant and child programs abroad. Most reject a hegemonic health -- are rarely deemed newsworthy. By role for the United States: "Who are we to accentuating the negative, the news media tell them what to do?" is a common refrain foster an impression that poor countries are in focus groups. A high percentage unsalvageable. (Private charitable groups believes that foreign assistance is wasted, may unwittingly contribute to this state of ineffective, and/or fails to reach its intended affairs, with fund-raising appeals that beneficiaries. In one poll, 83 percent present the citizens of less-developed agreed that "There is so much waste and countries as helpless victims.) Moreover, corruption in the process of giving foreign as arbiters of salience (the degree of 3 importance given to issues and events) the When concerns about unfaimess, news media have helped diminish the corruption, and inefficiency are addressed, attention given to international issues. support for cooperative engagement International news coverage is declining, as rebounds. Indeed, when told how much the many news organizations are closing their United States actually spends on foreign foreign bureaus. assistance, most favor sustaining or even increasing that amount. Given assurances Skepticism about U.S. programs abroad that other nations are carrying their fair also stems from diminished faith in the share, Americans favor U.S. participation in public sector generally. Indeed, confidence multilateral efforts to keep the peace, in government is at an all-time low. One promote economic development, and recent survey found that only 20 percent provide humanitarian assistance. Most (58 believed that the federal government can percent) say they would even pay more in be trusted to do "what is right" most of the taxes for foreign assistance if they could be time -- down from 76 percent in 1964. It follows that Americans would doubt that the sure the aid really went to those in need. U.S. government, which is widely perceived as failing its own citizens, is capable of Although the data are far from conclusive, solving international or global problems. there are indicators that Americans reject the military-security dominated framework of national interests in favor of a framework However, opinion research shows that the American public does support cooperative that emphasizes social stewardship. engagement if properly conceived and executed. Polls consistently show that most Americans want the United States to play an active role in international affairs, both for moral reasons and because they believe engagement serves domestic interests. A strong majority of 80 percent believes the United States should give some foreign aid, while just 8 percent want aid programs eliminated. The United Nations and other multilateral institutions still enjoy broad support: a 1994 poll by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations found that 84 percent of Americans included "support for strengthening the United Nations" as a "somewhat" or "very" high foreign policy goal of the United States- the highest level of support for that goal in twenty years. 4 From: How Policymakers Misread the Public The Center for International and Security Studies at the University of Maryland October 1997 (This poll highlighted the difference between policymakers and the general public in foreign affairs. The study was carried out in several stages. First, interviews were conducted with 83 Members of Congress, staffers, Executive Branch officials and journalists. Then a series of public focus groups were held and existing poll data was reviewed. Lastly, 2,400 respondents were polled.) The Foreign Policy Gap there was some disbelief that the actual amounts could be so low. Learning the A significant gap exists between the U.S. actual percentage prompted many to foreign policy community's perceptions of readjust their perspectives and view foreign public attitudes and the results of polls that aid more favorably, even among those who ask Americans what role the U.S. should had been initially vitriolic on the subject. As play in the world. Members of the policy a Baltimore man said, "Let's put this in community -- especially in Congress and perspective, okay? This is peanuts! It's the media -- perceive the public as going nothing. In relation to the whole pie, it's a through a phase, in the wake of the Cold small piece." A New Jersey woman who War, of wanting to disengage from the initially said that America needs to put itself world. However, a comprehensive analysis first more and cut back foreign aid reacted of polls shows that the majority of by saying, "One percent sounds pretty low. Americans support a foreign policy of broad Sounds like we need to get our act together global engagement, provided that the U.S. in America, start making money in America is not playing the role of dominant world or in other countries, so that we can leader (or "world policeman") and is support other countries better." contributing its "fair share to multilateral efforts to resolve international problems." Public Attitudes Contrary to policy practitioners' perception Eighty percent of those polled for PIPA's that most Americans dislike foreign aid January 1995 study agreed that "the United because they would prefer to spend those States should be willing to share at least a resources at home, an overwhelming small portion of its wealth with those in the majority supports aid in principle and only a world who are in great need." (There was small minority would eliminate it. no significant difference between Republicans and Democrats.) Focus group participants reacted to real foreign aid spending in much the same manner as survey respondents. Overall, 5 Sources of Support -- Self-Interest Overestimation Most Americans see giving foreign aid as A November 1995 Washington Post/Kaiser serving American self-interest, or the Foundation poll asked respondents to give national interest, not merely as their "best guess" about what percentage of humanitarian. Majorities embrace the ideas the federal budget was spent on foreign that giving foreign aid helps the U.S. to aid. The median estimate was 20 percent, develop trade partners, preserve the the mean 26 percent, and only 1 percent of environment, limit population growth, and the sample guessed the amount to be less promote democracy. than 1 percent. In an October 1993 Louis Harris poll, the average estimate was 33 Developing Trading Partners percent. In an April 1995 CBS/New York Times poll, the median estimate was in the Consistent with this perception of 10-20 percent range, with just 9 percent interdependence, large majorities see guessing an amount less than 5 percent. efforts to help the Third World develop as good for the global economy, including the When Americans are asked to set an American economy. In the 1993 ICI study, appropriate level for U.S. foreign aid 77 percent agreed that "helping the Third spending they set a level much higher than World to develop will pay great and lasting the actual level. This suggests that the dividends to us all," while 84 percent reservations that the Americans have about thought that such help would have a great foreign aid and the feeling that the U.S. or some positive effect on "improving world spends too much on it are largely a prosperity." reaction to the perceived amount of foreign aid, not to foreign aid in principle. In the Sources of Support -- Altruism 1995 PIPA poll, after making their estimate of spending on foreign aid, respondents When asked to consider possible reasons were asked what they thought an for giving foreign aid, most Americans "appropriate" amount would be. The embrace altruistic or moral ones in and of median response was 5 percent of the themselves. Sixty-seven percent agree federal budget -- five times present that: "As one of the world's rich nations, the spending levels. United States has a moral responsibility toward poor nations to help them develop Response to Correct Information economically and improve their people's lives" (PIPA, January 1995). A 1994 Belden When respondents are asked to respond to and Russonello poll found that 62 percent correct information about the current level of respondents agreed that: "Each of us of foreign aid spending, an overwhelming has a personal responsibility to help majority find it unobjectionable. This further improve the lives of those in developing confirms that misperceptions play a critical countries." role in the reservations about the U.S. foreign aid program and the feeling that the 6 U.S. spends too much on it. Self-Reliance In the PIPA poll, an overwhelming majority saw promoting development as a way of avoiding the need for humanitarian relief. Eighty-six percent agreed that: "Americans are a generous people, so it is natural for them to provide relief when people are suffering from a disaster such as a famine. But the really intelligent thing to do is to help poor countries develop so that their economies are strong enough to cope with adversities." 7 From: Highlights from a Review of Existing Survey Data Regarding American Views on U.S. Leadership and Foreign Assistance Belden & Russonello May 1994 (This report reviewed 28 polls on U.S. views toward U.S. leadership and foreign assistance between 1988 and 1994 culled from public opinion data at the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research.) Summary Findings concerns as the top reasons to provide aid. In addition, Americans possess a Americans see the interests of the regions sense of responsibility to help developing of the world as connected, particularly in nations. the areas of economics, population, and environment For example Americans Disaster relief and feeding the hungry and believe that improving the economies of poor are the most widely supported kinds of other nations would have a positive effect assistance Americans also support on the U.S. economy. They also see a assistance that: protects the environment; growing world population as impacting the helps prevent the spread of AIDS; deals global environment and their own lives with drug trafficking; and provides family negatively. planning and birth control. However, moving from a recognition that Detailed Findings we are interdependent to a commitment to working to improve conditions elsewhere is Americans see the interests of the another story... At present, there is no countries of the world as connected, clear mandate against foreign assistance particularly in the areas of economics, from the American public, with support population, and environment. Americans continuing to outweigh opposition since feel the world is becoming increasingly 1986 when a majority (54 percent) interdependent and that this will affect their approved of our involvement in economic lives in the future Americans' perception assistance. of Third World economies affecting the U.S. has grown in recent years. In a 1986 Even though Americans are uncertain or study, 74 percent of Americans said that Third World economies affect the U.S. divided on the question of foreign aid in general, they do agree there are some economy, while in 1993, 83 percent of compelling needs and/or reasons that may Americans said so... Regarding population justify their support. The top reasons are and environment issues, Americans do see themselves connected to the world humanitarian, and then environmental and economic rationales. In recent years, globally... 52 percent said the growth in these have replaced Cold War security population will worsen their quality of life, 8 and fully 73 percent said it will have a since the mid-1980s.. In 1986, 54 percent negative effect on the global environment. of Americans said they favor economic assistance, while in 1994, 47 percent There has been a growth in the number of supported aid with 44 percent opposing. Americans who believe that the economies General election voters are slightly more of the Third World affect the U.S. economy likely to favor economic assistance than a great deal.. In 1986, 74 percent claimed non-voters, as are well-educated so, and in 1993, that number had grown to Americans and those with upper incomes. 83 percent. Public support over the years for U.S. aid Americans also strongly believe that if Third has been generally favorable. Beginning in World countries become strong 1956 support peaked with some 71 percent economically: U.S. business opportunities supporting economic aid. Generally, in the Third World will be impacted support over the years has been between positively (80 percent), U.S. sales and 50 percent to 58 percent on average with exports will grow (73 percent), the U.S. only a recent drop since 1992 to below 50 economy will benefit (72 percent), jobs in percent. Still, more Americans favor U.S. the U.S. will benefit (66 percent), national economic assistance than oppose. security will benefit (64 percent), you, your family and your community will benefit (64 Why Should We Be Involved? percent), and the environment in the U.S. (54 percent). Americans agree there are some compelling needs and/or reasons that may The American public also believes strongly justify support. humanitarian tops the list, that helping Third World countries to followed by environmental and economic develop will have an effect on: improving rationales. In fact, in recent years these world prosperity (84 percent), improving concerns have replaced security concerns world peace (80 percent), and improving for reasons to provide aid. When democracy in the world (76 percent). Americans think about priorities for foreign aid, humanitarian and economic concerns The impact of world population growth is overshadow past concerns about also evident. A 1994 poll by Pew/GSI cited international security. This has changed 73 percent of Americans having the opinion dramatically since 1986 when security was that an increase in world population is likely the number one reason over humanitarian to have a negative impact on the global and economic for providing aid -- while in environment and 52 percent cited it would 1992 security placed last among those worsen the quality of life for them and their three reasons. Americans overwhelmingly families. agree (89 percent) that "wherever people are hungry or poor, we ought to do what we Should We Provide Foreign Aid? can to help them." There has been a slight decline in support 9 Reasons for Supporting Aid With the demise of the Soviet Union and end of the Cold War the public still Saving the global environment was the perceives nuclear proliferation as the strongest argument for foreign aid greatest critical threat (63 percent) to our programs "Helping other countries security. However, the second and third become economically stable means more greatest threats are: The "loss of rain trade and prosperity for the U.S." had forests and their animal or plant species" strong support. And, "aid to post- (59 percent critical) and the "loss of ozone communist countries to keep them peaceful in the earth's atmosphere" (56 percent and to help them become solid critical) show international environmental democracies" and, "creating new concerns to be major concerns to democracies and supporting shaky Americans Economic factors, individually democracies" also had more support than and as a group, rank surprisingly low. opposition. In 1988, 88 percent of American voters approved (59 percent strongly) that the U.S. should send humanitarian aid such as food, clothing and medical supplies as an option for U.S. involvement in conflicts in the Third World and in 1993, 72 percent of Americans favored the U.S. giving humanitarian aid to developing countries. U.S. Leadership? In both 1992 and 1986 a majority of Americans polled believed that the U.S. government is doing the right amount or less than it should to fight poverty in other parts of the world. In fact, only 35 percent in 1986 and 46 percent in 1992 thought the U.S. was doing too much. A 1993 ABC news poll showed 70 percent of Americans supporting the U.S. taking a leading role in providing humanitarian aid to victims of wars or natural disasters. And 56 percent went so far as to support the use of U.S. troops to prevent famine or mass starvation. Threats to U.S. National Security 10 From: Mixed Messages: Public Opinion & Development Assistance lan Smillie, Paper Delivered to Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) October 25, 1994 Despite a strong sense of 'compassion fatigue' within the international development community, the evidence from dozens of recent and past opinion polls shows that the public support for international aid programs has remained consistently and surprisingly high for three decades downward trends (in aid support) are debatable, transitory, or they are simply false It will require leadership that can inspire ordinary people. that itself understands and conveys the message that long-term self-interest lies in long-term disaster prevention rather than short-term crisis management. It requires leadership that has faith in what hundreds of opinion polls and simple common sense tell governments about people - -- that they do care, that they want to help, and that they will make sacrifices if they understand them to be in the genuine interest of a better and more secure life for their children. 11 From: National Security, Volume 1, No. 1 The Gallup Public Opinion Monitor July 1993 (Sample size - 1,002 adults) Purpose of Foreign Policy: National the interests of other nations (53 percent -- Interests or Human Values? a multilateral or cooperative stance) or "pursue its national security interests A majority (54 percent) of the public said regardless of the interests of other the purpose of U.S. foreign policy is to nations," (17 percent - a unilateral realize human values. Furthermore, this position). opinion is held strongly by three in ten (31 percent) of Americans. Those with the greatest tendency to support a human values-oriented foreign policy are baby- boomers (35-54 years old), the younger generation (18-24 years old), those with moderate education and income, minorities, housewives, students, and singles. Internationalists take this position most often Americans Favor International Involvement over Isolation Three main popular positions define public attitudes on foreign affairs: isolation vs. involvement; independent (unilateral) involvement; and the use or non-use of military force in pursuit of foreign policy objectives. Only one in four Americans (27 percent) are isolationists and say the U.S. should "avoid becoming involved with other nations as much as possible." This proportion is lower than in the mid-1980s when three in 10 Americans consistently took this position. The remainder (70 percent) indicate that the U.S. should either "modify its national security interests to take into consideration 13 From: The Harris Poll #55, Public Believes Government Spends as Much on Foreign Aid as on Social Security and Health Care November 1, 1993 (Sample size -- 1,254) The public believes 20 percent of government spending goes to foreign aid, a figure 20 times higher than the actual amount. Most people believe there is lots of waste and inefficiency in government that could be slashed without cutting services. The great majority believes more than 20 percent of spending is waste that could be cut painlessly it should be remembered that what the public believes to be true is real in its consequences -- in this case, fueling public support for cutting foreign aid. It has often been noted that foreign aid has no political constituency. However, if the public was better informed as to how little is spent on foreign aid, hostility to such spending would certainly diminish. SEE ALSO: U.S. Public Opinion About Foreign Aid 1980-1995 Doble Research Associates, March 1996 Foreign Assistance, Civil Society and America's Role in the World: What People Think Before and After Learning More Doble Research Associates, March 1996 Findings From a Research Project About Attitudes Toward Government Hart Teeter, March 1997 Americans' Attitudes Toward Africa Peter D. Hart Research, August 1997 14 Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 002. paper Prospectus re: Starting a Policial Committee (6 pages) 01/1997 Personal Misfile COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records First Lady's Office Melanne Verveer OA/Box Number: 20032 FOLDER TITLE: Foreign Affairs - Global Leadership: [Foreign Assistance and Engagement] 2013-0534-S rc1532 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act- [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. HINGTON POST FRIDAY, DECEMBER 27, 1996 A23 Likewise, the fallout from political and SC Howard L. Berman United States to remain a world leader. They cial unrest abroad ends up at our front door i think we should be spending five times more the form of refugees, an increased demand fc on foreign aid than we are. But since the military intervention and declining market Trifling 1980s, international affairs spending has de- for American goods. Eighty percent of ou clined by nearly 50 percent in real terms. "foreign" aid is eventually spent on goods an Congress isn't listening to the public. The services in the United States. This investmei 1996 congressional budget-balancing resolu- translates into 200,000 jobs and helps export With tion cuts international spending by an addition- of American goods. al 30 percent over six years. By any measure, International-affairs funding should be this reduction would profoundly reduce Amer- creased from $19 billion in 1997 to $21 billic ica's stature as a world power. For example: U.S. Security in 1998-a net increase of about one-tenth Either aid to the Middle East would be one percent of the entire FY 1997 feder greatly reduced, affecting Israel's military ca- budget and about four-tenths of one perce pability and the peace process, or foreign aid for the total discretionary budget, accordi Post-Cold War complacency has dangerous- to almost every other country would have to to a group of foreign-policy experts. ly weakened one of America's premier defens- be eliminated. President Clinton must personally addre es against foreign military and economic Either 12 of our largest embassies or 100 of this issue. He and the Republican-led Congre threats. Morale in this government depart- the smallest would have to be closed. must bite the budget bullet and make the ca ment has plummeted. Senior officers are retir- Support for U.S. business overseas through to the American public that too few funds tod ing or being forced to retire in droves. Junior the Export-Import Bank and other internation- will mean we are too late to meet tomorrov officers and support personnel also are quit- al economic agencies would diminish. threat around the globe. National security ting. Dramatic budget cuts result in poorly Funding for nonproliferation, counter- pends upon adequate funding for the diploma maintained and outdated equipment, prone to narcotics and aid for the environment, de- corps as well as the military corps. failure in moments of extreme urgency. The mocracy and population planning would be heart is being hollowed out of our country's decimated. The writer, a Democratic representative first line of defense. And our information services such as Voice from California, is a member of the House If this were the Defense Department, one of America and Radio Free Asia would have to Committee on International Relations. congressional committee after another would cease operation or cut back broadcasting. be vigorously investigating the question of This downward trend must be reversed. sold out America's security. Instead, While the Defense Department has a "two ommittees are joining in the attacks conflict" budget, the international affairs pro- ese attacks were against our military. grams of State, AID, USIA and the Arms officers, they would be condemned as unpa- Control and Disarmament Agency are funded triotic. But they are not denounced, nor are for a "no crisis" world. Because of funding there any investigations into who is responsible constraints, the United States has been forced for damaging our nation's security. Why? Be- to rob Peter to pay Paul when a crisis erupts. cause the agency involved is not the Depart- For example: ment of Defense but the Department of State, To aid the West Bank and Gaza, funds for Unfortunately, the activities of the State the Central American peace agreement were: Department and our other international agen- diverted. cies seldom are equated with national defense. To fund Cambodian elections, funds for all America's Foreign Service officers provide an the rest of the world were reduced. early warning system to prevent problems and To fund the peacekeeping effort in Haiti, aid resolve conflicts before military intervention to Turkey was cut. becomes necessary. Our diplomats abroad To meet Rwanda refugee needs, funds for now work closely with foreign police to keep the rest of Africa were drained. criminals, narcotic traffickers and terrorists And when $2 million was needed to monitor] from our shores. Despite these efforts, how the now-failed cease-fire. between the Kurdish ever, many political leaders refuse to support factions in northern Iraq, there was no money the State Department. Funding problems also have an immediate Politicians think the public does not want to impact on any American citizen traveling or spend money on foreign aid, yet polls show living abroad. Worldwide, in the remotest that public opposition is based on the misper area, our embassy "duty officers" can be ception that we are spending 20 percent of contacted 24 hours a day. Most other em- our budget on foreign affairs, rather than the bassies have a recording. When someone dies true level of one percent. According to a poll or is injured, the U.S. Embassy is called first. by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, Often these are not easy deaths. A consular two-thirds of the American public want the officer had to travel to Mount Kenya> te retrieve and identify the bodies of two young Americans who fell while climbing. An officer in Manila had to identify Americans in the Claying home doesn't morgue after a hotel fire. In today's world, staying at home does not event the world's prevent the world's problems from knocking at America's door. AIDS-along with other problems from knocking infectious diseases such as malaria-terror- ism, narcotics trafficking and chemical weap. on America's door. ons all have found their way to America. PAGE 2 1ST STORY of Level 1 printed in FULL format. Copyright 1996 The Houston Chronicle Publishing Company The Houston Chronicle July 26, 1996, Friday, 3 STAR Edition SECTION: a; Opinion; Pg. 30 LENGTH: 831 words HEADLINE: Americans want a place in global village BYLINE: STEPHEN S. ROSENFELD BODY: THE overlooked story of American foreign policy is that the public may be out in front of the experts when it comes to coping in a balanced internationalist way with the confusions of the post-Cold War world. For instance, a group of foreign-policy regulars setting up shop as the ""Commission on America's National Interests'' checked in recently with a grave diagnosis of a ""troubling public schizophrenia. " The leading symptom is a quest for ""withdrawal from the world even as communications, trade and technology make America the capital of a global village. The group's prescription: to make a hierarchical ranking of national interests from ""vital" through ""extremely important'' and ""just important'' to ""less important, with policies to h. match Meanwhile, the University of Maryland's Center for International and Security Studies is out with its latest taking of the public pulse. The study is the stronger for confirming others' studies. Its prime finding: ""Among the American public there is an emerging consensus that rejects both isolationism and the idea that the United States should be the dominant world leader. Most Americans feel the United States should stay engaged in international efforts to maintain peace and promote human welfare, but that the U. S. role should be limited to its 'fair share' and should primarily be in cooperation with other countries, and where possible, through the United Nations. The difference between the dark premonitions of a ""troubling schizophrenia'' and the cheerful prospects of an ""emerging consensus'' (granted, one not yet ""fully crystalized'') may be no greater than an analyst's hunch. What strikes me most, however, is the subtlety and discrimination evident in the Maryland study's poll and focus-group responses. They suggest that more public space is available for a - careful and considered - internationalist policy than many political practitioners, Democrats as well as Republicans, have seemed to believe. PAGE 3 The Houston Chronicle, July 26, 1996 Take some of the Maryland specifics: i you correct for the widespread misperception that the United States is carrying a much-greater international burden than it actually is, then Americans are ready to carry more of a load (for foreign aid, the United Nations and the State Department) than they do now. Asked to write a federal budget, a majority maintains or increases spending on all international programs except defense, which is cut deeply. ""As Americans get more information about the actual level of defense spending, the majority shifts from wanting modest cuts to wanting deep cuts. Philosophically, there is also majority support for shifting some resources from military to diplomatic and other non-military approaches to security. A solid majority, though it feels the United States is contributing more than a fair share in Bosnia, would support American peacekeepers there now and after December, while an overwhelming majority would arrest the defiant Bosnian Serb leaders even if this puts American troops at risk. A solid majority would contribute some troops to U.N. peacekeeping, if it came, in Burundi. A strong majority would let American soldiers choose whether to join U.N. peacekeeping but still feels the Pentagon has a to compel participation. yright Tugged to raise domestic aid, many Americans still would give foreign aid - on the dual basis that self-interest must be balanced by moral considerations and that it is in the long-term American interest to treat global instability. Democrats scarcely can hide their satisfaction to find the public comfortable with both candidates on foreign policy. As presidential aide Tony Lake told the National Journal: ""If either of the two parties had fallen into the hands of the isolationists, we might have had a historic debate on foreign policy this year. I think the news of really historic significance is that in both parties, the issue was resolved in fayor of those who want to remain engaged in the world. President Clinton has been wary of trying to fill up all the internationalist space that these polls indicate may be out there waiting for him - or for some president, anyway. But if Clinton, currently leading in the race for president, has reason to hang back, then former Sen. Bob Dole, trailing, may have reason to move forward. Says Maryland's Steve Kull: ""Dole keeps trying to make headway on foreign policy by emphasizing a more unilateralist posture, increased defense spending and a rejection of multilateralism, but polling data cate that on most of these issues Clinton is much closer Foreign Policy Legislative Update IMF funding -- It's in the Senate ForOps bill at full amount with livable conditions; it's no where on the House side. Effort to add the $18B with authorizing language (from House Banking Committee bill) failed in ForOps committee mark up vote. Still some question about whether to offer as floor amendment should some version of ForOps make it to floor at some point; might also be agreed to in conference, absent a House floor vote. Strategy on what route is best/most likely to be successful unclear. (Being worked by Treasury and WHLA.) UN arrears and family planning issues -- family planning (i.e., Mexico City policy) increasingly again appears to be tied to IMF as well as UN. Wicker amendment accepted in ForOps Committee markup. Includes language which prohibits assistance to organizations that either perform abortions or lobby to alter laws or policies related to abortions in foreign countries. The language allows the President to waive the prohibition on performing abortions but not the prohibition on lobbying. It further defines lobbying quite broadly to include activities such as "sponsoring conferences and workshops on the alleged defects in abortion laws, as well as the drafting and distribution of materials or public statements calling attention to such alleged defects." (Administration has a veto threat against this provision.) CEDAW -- In the Senate, not moving anywhere before end of the session, no hope that it will. Unlikely to move while Jesse Helms remains SFRC chair. Foreign Ops Budget -- Overall, still short (by about a billion) of the Administration's request in the Senate, and thus far in the House. In addition to trouble with IMF funding, specific shortfalls include KEDO funding, which has been eliminated in the Committee markup, and GEF funds have also eliminated. Roger Julia Gus Lee Henry John Ellen Jamie Altman Taft Speth Hamilton Kissinger Whitehead Levine Rubin Steven Marsha Kull Berry Terry Alan ? Bracey Blinder Mike Susan Me Curry Sechler Jill Prof. Buckley Graham Allison Melanne Tony Verveer Blinken Sandy David Brian HRC Thomas Carol Joe Karen Berger Hamburg Atwood Pickering Bellamy Lockhart Mulhauser Table 1. External Financing of Five Asian Countries, 1994-98 Billions of dollars Item 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Current account balance -24.6 -41.3 -54.9 -26.0 17.6 External financing (net) 47.4 80.9 92.8 15.2 15.2 Private inflows (net) 40.5 77.4 93.0 12.1 -9.4 Equity investment 12.2 15.5 19.1 -4.5 7.9 Direct 4.7 4.9 7.0 7.2 9.8 Portfolio 7.6 10.6 12.1 11.6 -1.9 Private creditors 28.2 61.8 74.0 -7.6 -17.3 Commercial banks 24.0 49.5 55.5 -21.3 - -14.1 Nonbank 4.2 12.4 18.4 13.7 -3.2 Official inflows (net) 7.0 3.6 -0.2 27.2 24.6 International institutions -0.4 -0.6 -1.0 23.0 18.5 Bilateral creditors 7.4 4.2 0.7 4.3 6.1 Resident lending and other (net)" - -17.5 -25.9 19.6 -11.9 -5.7 Reserves change, excluding gold -5.4 13.7 - 18.3 22.7 -27.1 Source: Institute of International Finance, "Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies," January 29. 1998 a. Table entries are sums over data for Korea, Indonesia. Malaysia. Thailand. and the Philippines b. Estimate C. Forecast. d. Includes resident net lending. monetary gold. and errors and omissions. e. A negative value indicates an increase Table 16. IMF and Market GDP Growth Rate Forecasts for Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand Percent Growth forecast Country and forecast source Date 1997 1998 Indonesia IMF, first program Oct. 31, 1997 5.0 3.0 IMF, second program Jan. 15. 1998 0.0 IMF, third program Apr. 10, 1998 -5.0 IMF. World Economic Outlook Apr. 1998 -5.0 Market forecast Feb. 1998 -8.8 Korea IMF, first program Dec. 4, 1997 6.0 2.5 IMF, third program Feb. 7. 1998 1.0 IMF, World Economic Outlook Apr. 1998 -0.8 Market forecast Feb. 1998 2.5 Thailand IMF, first program Aug. 20. 1997 2.5 3.5 IMF, second program Nov. 25. 1997 0.6 0.0 to 1.0 IMF, third program Feb. 24. 1998 -3,0 to 3.5 IMF, World Economic Outlook Apr. 1998 3.1 Market forecast Feb. 1998 -6.0 Source: International Monetary Fund forecasts are from various IMF press releases and IMF (1998e) Market forecast " a simple average of forecasts by Goldman Sachs and two other investment banks operating in the region Attendees for Discussion on US Engagement September 16, 1998 1) Professor Graham Allison Douglas Sillon Professor of Government, Center for Science and International Affairs JFK School of Government, Harvard University - Former head of the Kennedy School, foreign policy expert 2) Mr. Brian Atwood Administrator, Agency for International Development 3) Ms. Carol Bellamy Executive Director, UNICEF 4) Mr. Tony Blinken Special Assistant to the President for Strategic Planning, NSC 5) Mr. Terry Bracey Bracey & Williams Law Firm - the business alliance for international development (A business coalition to support foreign assistance) 6) Ms. Jill Buckley Assistant Administrator for Legislative and Public Affairs, Agency for International Development 7) Mr. Steve Grand Director of the Policy/Opinion Leaders Program, German Marshall Fund 8) Dr. David Hamburg, Carnegie Corporation of New York 9) Rep. Lee Hamilton (tentative) US House of Representatives 10) Mr. Henry Kissinger 12) Professor Steven Kull, University of Maryland - Survey expert of international policy attitudes, author of "The Foreign Policy Gap: How Policy Makers Misread the Public, and Americans in Foreign Aid.' 13) Ms. Ellen Levine Editor in Chief, Good Housekeeping 14) Mr. Joseph Lockhart, Deputy Assistant to the President and Deputy Press Secretary 15) Mr. Michael McCurry (tentative) Assistant to the President and White House Press Secretary 16) Ms. Karen Mulhauser Mulhauser & Associates - Developed strategies for greater public support of foreign aid 17) Mr. Thomas Pickering Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs 18) Jamie Rubin, Assistant Secretary of Public Affairs, US Dept. of State 19) Ms. Susan Sechler Vice President, Aspen Institute 20) Mr. James "Gus" Speth Administrator, United Nations Development Program 21) Ms. Julia Taft Assistant Secretary of State for Population, Refugees & Migration, US Dept. of State 22) Mr. John Whitehead THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON August 18, 1998 Mr. John Whitehead 16 Sutton Square New York, New York 10022 Dear Mr. Whitehead: I would like to invite you to join me and a small group of national leaders to explore ways in which we can strengthen public support for the United States' engagement in international affairs in the post-Cold War political environment. In my travels abroad, I have been deeply impressed by the significance of our great nation throughout the world. Yet, I am concerned by the apparent gap between the importance of our nation's work abroad and public support for that work at home. Around the globe, I have met many extraordinary Americans working creatively on behalf of our government, and with other countries on issues of development, security, education, science, humanitarian efforts and business. In addition, great numbers of Americans visit and study in faraway places. We cannot afford to be indifferent in an era of unprecedented economic lobalization and international cooperation. The dramatic technological advances in communication and transportation are drawing us together more than ever before. I believe it is critical that we Americans exert effective leadership and function as productive partners in enterprises throughout the world. That means, among other things, that we must do our fair share in supporting foreign assistance programs and international organizations. As citizens, we must become better informed about the people and cultures of other countries. We must mobilize our intellectual, technical, and moral resources to earn respect, engage in commerce, and provide constructive leadership in a transforming world. Please join me at the White House on September 16th at 2:00pm to consider how our nation can further engage the public on international issues in thoughtful, far-sighted and constructive ways, and how we might better take advantage of the opportunities now before us. I look forward to your participation in this meeting. Please call Katy Button in my office at 202/456-6266 to respond. Sincerely yours, Clinton Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 003. list re: potential candidates for the Presidential Medal of Freedom (3 ca. 1998 b(6) pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records First Lady's Office Melanne Verveer OA/Box Number: 20032 FOLDER TITLE: Foreign Affairs - Global Leadership: [Foreign Assistance and Engagement] 2013-0534-S rc1532 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. THE WHITE HOUSE food October 28, 1998 Mr. John C. Whitehead Chair United Nations Association of the United States of America 801 Second Avenue New York, New York 10017-4706 Dear John: Thank you for your suggestions for possible activities I might participate in to support the work of the United Nations. I appreciate your following-up on our discussion and will share copies of your letter with appropriate staff for consideration. It was good to hear from you again. With warm regards, I remain Sincerely yours, Hillary Hillary Rodham Clinton CC: Melanne Verveer, Chief of Staff Patti Solis Doyle, Director of Scheduling New York UNITED NATIONS ASSOCIATION Cc Melanne 801 Second Avenue of the United States of America New York, NY 10017-4706 Tel.: 212 907-1300 UNA-USA Fax: 212 682-9185 E-mail: [email protected] Web: http://www.unausa.org September 28, 1998 Washington, DC 1010 Vermont Avenue, NW Suite 904 Washington, DC 20005 Tel.: 202 347-5004 Mrs. Hillary Rodham Clinton Fax: 202 628-5945 The White House E-mail: [email protected] Washington, D.C. 20500 Chair of the Association Dear Hillary: John C. Whitehead . I hasten to take you up on your September 16 request to suggest some things that Chair, Board of Governors you might do to broaden the American public's interest in foreign affairs, especially the William J. vanden Heuvel multilateral dimensions on which cooperation with other countries on global problems Chair, Executive Committee depends. As you know, my particular interest, as Chairman of the United Nations Michael W. Sonnenfeldt Association, is in encouraging Americans to support the UN, certainly one of the key parts of an effective foreign policy. Co-Chairs, National Council Elliot L. Richardson I have the following ideas and would welcome further discussion with you about Cyrus R. Vance them: President Sponsor and organize a bipartisan White House conference of eminent Alvin P. Adams, Jr. diplomats, scholars, labor leaders, NGO representatives, businessmen and young Americans on the importance of foreign policy and how a strong United Nations is Vice Chairs greatly in the interest of the United States. Perhaps this could be supplemented by Ruth J. Hinerfeld Estelle Linzer a Model UN Program - simulated UN debates - by students at the White House. (I Arthur Ross understand that Chelsea participated in Model UN programs in high school.) William J. Rouhana, Jr. Agree to speak at the UNA-USA Annual dinner on October 27 in New York City Treasurer where Bob Rubin and Kofi Annan will be our honorees. Christopher Brody Agree to serve as national Chair for our Annual United Nations Day program, Secretary October 24, in the year 1999. Many states have their own state chairs; the duties Shirley Quisenberry of this office are limited and UNA staff would assist you fully. Governors Establish a First Lady's Advisory Committee with UNA on United Nations issues Mia Adjali and American policy, especially on how we should educate young Americans about Tim Barner the situation in the world around us, both as it is now as well as what it will be like in Margaret Bruce Edison W. Dick the next millennium. Maurice R. Greenberg August Heckscher These are just a few ideas which came readily to mind. Your interest represents a John R. Kennedy magnificent opportunity for all Americans who understand the importance of foreign affairs Ramesh Krishnamurthy and trade, especially to our young people whose jobs and welfare will depend increasingly Donald F. McHenry on what happens beyond our borders. Ken Miller William A. Miller With kind regards, James A. R. Nafziger Ved Nanda Leo Nevas Sincerely, Louis Perlmutter Carroll Petrie Betty Sandford Jack Sheinkman JCW:kr John Jun C. Whitehead Edwin J. Wesely Richard S. Williamson Milton A. Wolf MAY-07-1998 17:00 P.02 USAID U.S. AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY 7 1998 TO: Interagency Working Group FROM: Jill Buckley Assistant Administrator USAID Bureau for Legislative and Public Affairs RE: TV/Public Education and Outreach Initiative We want to update you on the progress of our TV/Public Education and Outreach Initiative. Following our first meeting, and subsequent conversations with the First Lady's Office, we moved forward to meet with outside groups to gather ideas, gauge levels of interest in direct participation, and measure support for this effort. We plan to follow up in the next few weeks to give you a summary of our options and the goal, action items and timeline for the initiative. We will welcome your comments and ideas. The groups we have met with fall into three main categories: groups with similar goals (e.g., Mott Foundation, Rockefeller Brothers, etc.); people with skills and technical expertise dealing with broadcast media; and groups that might be interested in funding this initiative. From our two months of meetings, six main themes consistently emerged: Television and paid advertising: PSAs work well as part of very focused campaigns for a limited audience. Effective television outreach to a broad-based audience, however, would need to be based on a long-term, multiyear paid advertising strategy, not just PSAs. Most people believe that a paid ad campaign would be the biggest (and arguably the most important) component of any public education and outreach initiative. The timing is good to investigate creative programming opportunities (and to take advantage of new FCC children's programming regs) as well as stand-alone spots. Reaching out to cable TV, network TV, the motion picture industry, and experts in children's television would also broaden our technical base. MAY-07-1998 17:00 P.03 Saliency, message & audience: There seems to be a uniform long-term concern about saliency -- international engagement is not seen by most people as relevant to their lives. There is very good survey research available on this, as well as new compilations of data. Most of the polling has been on attitude, not message, and, clearly, follow-up focus groups to narrow down and test messages would be essential. There has not been consensus on audience. Some believe the target should be a broad, mass-market general audience. Others think a smaller target would show more easily measurable results. There are audiences that may be good to begin with -- people who are not part of our traditional constituency but have natural international interests (e.g., ethnic groups with ties to a country, people who travel, people in international clubs, foreign language press, international business organizations, etc.). Reaching youth: The key to changing attitudes is reaching people when they are young. Youth, generally, appears to be an untapped audience and international affairs a somewhat neglected area in curricula. Reaching into schools has great potential and could be achieved several ways through new, interactive school curriculum development and school service clubs (e.g., Junior Achievement, 4-H, Future Farmers, Key Club, American Field Service, Operation Day's Work - USA, etc.). Reaching youth in school would also be a way to reach families and a good foundation for extended community outreach. The link to education is essential, not only youth in school, but higher education as well. Internet: The potential to "bring the world right into the classroom and home" is enormous, and innovative use of the Internet could reach a very wide general audience. An interactive Web site has the potential to be a "seamless" extension, from an in- school curriculum component to the home, as well as part of ongoing community outreach. Outside technical expertise would be essential in developing a cutting- edge, interactive Web site. MAY-07-1998 17:00 P.04 Organization: Clearly, there needs to be a grassroots component to this initiative to ensure its success and long-term sustainability. Most people do not believe there needs to be a new organization, rather a way to tie the existing ones together. There also is great interest on the part of the business community (Chambers of Commerce, Business Alliance, Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership, etc.), but the level of buy-in needs to be heightened and the saliency issue addressed. There are competing interests, but most people believe the business community could be brought together quickly in support of this initiative. Funding: This initiative would need to be a privately funded, multiyear, concerted effort to ensure long-term sustainability and reach the broadest base audience with repeated, consistent, relevant messages. Throughout our meeting process, it also became clear that there are many people out there thinking about the potential of organizing around this goal, and we found almost everyone willing to be part of a core group to work with us on this initiative. To date, we have spoken by phone or met with the following: Bill White President, CS Mott Foundation Maureen Smith VP Programs, CS Mott Foundation Judy Samelson VP Communications, CS Mott Foundation Talked mostly about message, saliency and the importance of long- term, strategic communications. Thought a paid ad campaign would be the biggest (and most important) component. Mark Gearan Director, Peace Corps Thought that the Peace Corps could be a great asset in this initiative and that we could/should capitalize on its popularity. Peter Fenn Fenn & King Media producer with international experience. Tie to the President of the National Cable Television Association. Jerry Klepner Black, Kelly, Scruggs & Healy Ties to Young & Rubicam and Burson Marsteller. Jim Margolis Greer, Margolis Worked with State and White House on Africa pre- and post-trip outreach ideas. Stressed need for long-term commitment. MAY-07-1998 17:01 P.05 Steven Kull Director, Program on International Policy Attitudes, Center for International Security Studies, University of Maryland Author of The Foreign Policy Gap--How Policy Makers Misread the Public and Americans and Foreign Aid--A Study of Public Attitudes. Susan Sechler Aspen Institute Author of Global Interdependence and the Need for Social Stewardship report for the Rockefeller Brothers Fund. Priscilla Lewis Rockefeller Brothers Fund Special Assistant to the President Director of Communications Currently working on a second collaboration with Susan Sechler. Terry Bracey Bracey & Williams Barry Blechman Stinson Foundation Terry and Barry followed up our meeting with a plan outlining how they believe U.S. business could be involved in this initiative. Pat McGuinnes President, Council on Excellence in Government Suggested the Partnership for a Drug-Free America as a good case study and possible model. Also suggested the possibility of partnering with the current Peace Corps ad campaign. Bunny Lester Children's Television Workshop Assistant VP, Development, Marketing & Communications Offered suggestions about creative fundraising and volunteered to help lead a fundraising campaign. Sally Patterson Winner, Wagner, Frances Thought thematic outreach to small target audiences would be the best way to link our issues to the general public. Joanne Eide NEA International Affairs Jill Christiansen NEA International Affairs Stressed that the link to education is essential. Thought that certain messages could (and would) be well received and understood by children as young as elementary school age. Karen Mulhauser Mulhauser Public Affairs Suggested expanding the base of the Lessons Without Borders program as the umbrella organization to run this initiative. Marlene Johnson CEO, NAFSA: Association of International Educators Thought an education component should continue through college. Polly Donaldson Director of Public Outreach, Partners of the Americas Discussed the pros and cons of reaching out to the general public VS. the "elites." Liz Schrayer President, Schrayer & Associates Campaign Coordinator, Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership Represents a coalition of over 300 businesses, including many Fortune 500 companies. MAY-07-1998 17:01 P.06 Theresa Loar State/President's Interagency Council on Women As we expected, she had good ideas and contacts for us to follow up in the future. We have also scheduled meetings with: Tony Blinken NSC Jeff Meer United Nations Foundation Peter Hart Peter Hart Research Associates Barbara Shaller AFL-CIO, International Relations Karen Nussbaum AFL-CIO, Women's Issues Jim Moody President, Interaction Gibby Waitzkin Gibson Creative Jeff DaPuzzo American Express Richard Bates Buena Vista / Disney Jack Valenti President & CEO, Motion Picture Association of America Rick Delano Scholastic, Inc. TOTAL P.06 Business Alliance for International Economic Development 601 13th Street, N.W., Suite 900-S, Washington, DC 20005 George C. Burrill, Steering Committee Chair October 2, 1998 Mrs. Hillary Rodham Clinton Alliance to Save Energy American Seed Trade Association Office of the First Lady Association for International The White House Agriculture & Rural Development Citizens Network for 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue Foreign Affairs Washington, DC 20500 Coopers & Lybrand International Executive Services Corp Dear Mrs. Clinton: National Association of State Universities and Land-Grant Colleges On behalf of the Business Alliance for International Economic Development, I Pacific Basin Economic Council - US Pioneer Hi-Bred International am pleased to submit some ideas for how you could help re-establish the Professional Services Council domestic constituency for international economic development. US - ASEAN Business Council In the attached document we outline our belief that there are three critical Terrence L. Bracy, Executive Director audiences which could be motivated and educated through your leadership. James C. Benfield, Associate Director First, the stakeholders need to be refocused and re-energized. As the (202) 783-5588 FAX 783-5595 pie of money continues to shrink, the very organizations that stand to http://www.milcom.com/alliance/ benefit from development assistance -- not to mention the world's poor -- fall into the trap of infighting and lack of coordination. You have the ability to bring together representatives of these different sectors (including education, agriculture, infrastructure, health, environmental technology, tourism and institutional reform) and focus them on the fact that the foreign assistance community will succeed or fail together. Second, the American public needs to become more informed about the necessity of international engagement. We recommend convening four to six regional conferences, chaired by you, which would bring together the stakeholders named above. The purpose of these conferences is to shift attitudes by focusing on the benefits that foreign assistance brings to the domestic economy. Third, the long-term future of foreign assistance is in the hands of America's youth. We recommend a coordinated effort targeting student leadership organizations by using national communication tools, like Channel One or Cable in the Classroom. Mrs. Hillary Rodham Clinton October 2, 1998 page 2 By nature, the attached memo focuses on top level concepts rather than specific implementation. We do, however, have ideas for how these concepts could play out with your leadership, and we would be happy to provide more detail if you are interested. Sincerely, Terry Bray Terrence L. Bracy enclosure CC J. Brian Atwood Samuel R. Berger Thomas R. Pickering Building Domestic Support for Foreign Assistance In the post-Cold War political environment, the public at large is severely disconnected from both the facts about and rationale behind foreign assistance. This fundamental lack of comprehension and ownership endangers the future of federal support for foreign assistance. The Business Alliance for International Economic Development believes that a coordinated information campaign focusing on the aid/trade dynamic is critical to the long-term future of USAID and foreign assistance in general. To that end, the Business Alliance has published two reports: Foreign Assistance: What's In It For Americans? and Global Markets and Foreign Assistance: Is the United States Losing Ground? In the short term, the key stakeholders need to coordinate and articulate a clear rationale for foreign assistance without resorting to parochial infighting. Too often, representatives from different sectors (including education, agriculture, infrastructure, health, tourism and institutional reform) attempt to elevate their priorities at the expense of others. The NGOs and the private sector need to understand that the short term success of restoring foreign assistance funding depends on their willingness to create a consensus for the common goal. An example of where these interests converge is environmental technologies that serve not only basic human needs and promote sustainability in developing countries, but also provide export opportunities for U.S. companies. To address the foreign assistance disconnect on a long-term basis, we believe two key constituencies should be targeted with a grassroots education and involvement strategy: The business community, through an education campaign focusing on the implications of the aid/trade connection on basic bread and butter issues. The youth of America, through development and distribution of curricula and related materials to inspire a new generation of outward-thinking leaders. A three part campaign will have a lasting effect on the future of the foreign assistance debate in the United States - without extensive use of staff resources or tax dollars: 1. Leverage your leadership to promote foreign assistance through creative use of various conferences and media outlets. Primarily, the key stakeholders of foreign assistance should be encouraged to work together in articulating an overarching rationale for foreign assistance. This could be kicked off by a small, focused White House meeting that would bring key players to the table and then be reinforced through four to six regional conferences that would bring the core message to the public at large. 2. Identify appropriate domestic organizations affected by foreign assistance and utilize their membership rolls and communications infrastructures as vehicles for information about foreign assistance. 3. Reshape existing content about foreign assistance into formats that are relevant, easily accessible to the target audiences and make effective use of new communications technology. Targeting the Business Community: The Business Alliance believes continued dissemination of the core aid/trade message is critical to engaging the business community. The question is how to augment the tremendous financial and staff commitment USAID and other organizations already make to further get the message out. Four action items will lead to improved engagement from the business community: 1. Further understand the public's misconceptions about foreign assistance through polling analysis and focus groups. 2. Utilize political leadership creatively to re-energize the core constituencies - including national security interests, business community, and humanitarians - and draw attention and media coverage to the discussions taking place within these organizations. 3. Identify appropriate partner organizations that will serve as conduits for information and facilitate the aid/trade discussion through existing organizational structures, including the US Chamber of Commerce, National Association of Manufacturers and the Jaycees. 4. Package existing USAID information and materials in formats to which the business community and industry trade media will respond, including regional conferences, white papers, web content and videotapes. We believe a White House conference could be an effective jumping off point, especially if the conference were small and focused, with an emphasis not on media coverage but rather a personal enjoinder to find common ground in articulating the case for foreign assistance. Reaching Out to Youth: In our post-Cold War, post-Vietnam environment the future of foreign assistance will be decided by the youth of America. Engaging students is, by nature, different than engaging the business community. Rather than focusing purely on dollar and cents issues, fostering several different partnership tracks can ensure that a wide range of students can become energized by the concept and goals of foreign assistance. At the same time, it is difficult to navigate educational bureaucracies to reach these students. The solution is targeting two key constituencies: 1. National organizations that tend to attract motivated student-leaders. 2. Media outlets with national educational reach. Advocates of foreign assistance should certainly target what can be considered a natural constituency - the "Peace Corps" demographic - through organizations such as Model United Nations Clubs. Equally important, however, is to reach the new generations of young entrepreneurs through organizations like Junior Achievement, Future Business Leaders of America, 4H Clubs, Future Farmers of America and many, many others. These organizations can help motivated, entrepreneurial students understand the foreign assistance argument. Existing material from USAID programs can be reshaped into on-line curricula, and the Internet can be used for communication between communities. For example, a Junior Achievement club in Iowa could market products manufactured by student-colleagues in Africa, creating a tangible, valuable education on the free market system and cultural exchange. Beyond relying on the communications and membership structure of national organizations, advocates should target partnerships with Channel One or Cable in the Classroom to promote and facilitate this debate. Channel One, for example, reaches over 40 percent of the nation's high school students and would be thrilled to feature a major administration initiative - especially if that meant an on-camera interview with the First Lady. This potentially could result in a week's worth of stories focusing on different aspects of foreign assistance building up to an interview or even a "national meeting" on the future of foreign assistance. Other student- centered media outlets, including magazines and television programs, would be appropriate targets. PAGE 2 31ST STORY of Level 1 printed in FULL format. Copyright 1998 The New York Times Company The New York Times freegn Support palicy April 18, 1998, Saturday, Late Edition - Final SECTION: Section A; Page 13; Column 5; Editorial Desk LENGTH: 734 words HEADLINE: Foreign Affairs; Techno-Nothings BYLINE: By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN DATELINE: PALO ALTO, Calif. BODY: I don't think I like Silicon Valley. Here's why: I'm as impressed as anyone with the technologies that Silicon Valley is producing and the way they are changing how we must think about economic power and how nations interact. But what is so striking about Silicon Valley is that it has become so enamored of its innovative and profit-making prowess that it has completely lost sight of the overall context within which this is taking place. There is a disturbing complacency here toward Washington, government and even the nation. There is no geography in Silicon Valley, or geopolitics. There are only stock options and electrons. When I asked an all-too-typical tech-exec here when was the last time he talked about Iraq or Russia or foreign wars, he answered: "Not more than once a year. We don't even care about Washington. Money is extracted from Silicon Valley and then wasted by Washington. I want to talk about people who create wealth and jobs. I don't want to talk about unhealthy and unproductive people. If I don't care enough about the wealth-destroyers in my own country, why would I care about the wealth-destroyers in another country?" What's wrong with this picture is that all the technologies Silicon Valley is designing to carry digital voices, videos and data farther and faster around the world, all the trade and financial integration it is promoting through its innovations, and all the wealth it is generating, is happening in a world stabilized by a benign superpower called the United States of America, with its capital in Washington D.C. The hidden hand of the global market would never work without the hidden fist. And the hidden fist that keeps the world safe for Silicon Valley's technologies to flourish is called the United States Army, Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps (with the help, incidentally, of global institutions like the U.N. and the International Monetary Fund). And those fighting forces and institutions are paid for by all the tax dollars that Washington is "wasting" every year. Because of the intense competition here among companies, and the continuous flood of new products, there is a saying in Silicon Valley that "loyalty is just one mouse-click away. But you can take that too far. Execs here say things like: "We are not an American company. We are I.B.M. U.S., I.B.M. Canada, I.B.M. Australia, I.B.M. China. II Oh yeah? Well, the next time you get in trouble in PAGE 3 The New York Times, April 18, 1998 China, then call Li Peng for help. And the next time Congress closes another military base in Asia -- and you don't care because you don't care about Washington call Microsoft's navy to secure the sea lanes of Asia. And the next time the freshmen Republicans want to close more U.S. embassies, call America Online when you lose your passport. Harry Saal, a successful Silicon Valley engineer, venture capitalist and community activist -- an exception to the norm -- remarked to me: "If you ask people here what their affiliation is, they will name their company. Many live and work on a company campus. The leaders of these companies don't have any real understanding of how a society operates and how education and social services get provided for. People here are not involved in Washington policy because they think the future will be set by technology and market forces alone and eventually there will be a new world order based on electrons and information." They're exactly half right. I've had a running debate with a neo-Reaganite foreign-policy writer, Robert Kagan, from the Carnegie Endowment, about the impact of economic integration and technology on geopolitics. He says I overestimate its stabilizing effects; I say he underestimates it. We finally agreed that unless you look at both geotechnology and geopolitics you can't explain (or sustain) this relatively stable moment in world history. But Silicon Valley's tech-heads have become so obsessed with bandwidth they've forgotten balance of power. They've forgotten that without America on duty there will be no America Online. "The people in Silicon Valley think it's a virtue not to think about history because everything for them is about the future," argued Mr. Kagan. "But their ignorance of history leads them to ignore that this explosion of commerce and trade rests on a secure international system, which rests on those who have the power and the desire to see that system preserved." LANGUAGE: ENGLISH LOAD-DATE: April 18, 1998 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE PAPER NO. 1 AND THE NEED FOR SOCIAL STEWARDSHIP GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE PAPER NO. 1 AND THE NEED FOR SOCIAL STEWARDSHIP Laurie Ann Mazur & Susan E. Sechler GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE INITIATIVE RBF ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND 1290 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10104-0233 212.373.4200 212.315.0996 E-mail: [email protected] World Wide Web: www.rbf.org Copyright © 1997, Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Inc. All rights reserved. CONTENTS 5 PREFACE 9 INTRODUCTION 13 I: THE CHALLENGE OF GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE 19 II: THE RETREAT FROM SOCIAL STEWARDSHIP 25 III: BUILDING SUPPORT FOR SOCIAL STEWARDSHIP 33 CONCLUSION 34 NOTES 3 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND PREFACE On October 7-8, 1996, at the Pocantico Conference Center of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, the Fund joined with the World Bank to host an unusual gathering of foundation executives, leaders of major humanitarian and environmental NGOs (nongovernmental organiza- tions), and officers of large multilateral institutions. The meeting was entitled "Building a Constituency for Global Interdependence," and its agenda reflected a deep sense of shared concern about the apparent waning of public and political support (in the United States but also in other developed nations) for the policies, programs, and agencies of cooperative international engagement. Despite considerable talk about the globalization of the economy and the unifying effects of communi- cations technology, there has been a growing and worrisome tendency on the part of governments, the general public, and private funders to withdraw or withhold their support from international development, exchange, and capacity-building initiatives that reflect the reality and implications of global interdependence. A serious lack of funding, commitment, and vision-the resources on which effective cooperative engagement depends-now threatens to undermine the capacity of nations and peoples to collaborate in building a just and sustainable global community. The U.S. retreat from international cooperative engagement has been widely reported. Once the world leader in aid to developing nations, the United States now ranks at the bottom of the list of donor nations in the percentage of gross national product devoted to foreign aid. In recent years, the United States has also failed to honor its commitments to such multilateral agencies as the United Nations and the International Development Association (the branch of the World Bank that provides low- and no-interest loans to the world's poorest countries) and has shifted its aid priorities, to a large extent, from long-term development assistance to short-term disaster relief. But the origins and extent of this retreat are poorly understood. Why, and among whom, is commitment diminishing? Has commitment waned for all forms of international engagement, or only for some? What can be done to reverse this trend? These questions were at the heart of the October 1996 Pocantico workshop. In a lively and open discussion, participants reviewed what is known, guessed, and still unknown about the nature and causes of reduced 5 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND support for cooperative engagement. The public's lack of confidence in public institutions, including governments and international agencies, received extensive attention. NGO leaders then offered practical case studies of constituency-building in their own areas of interest: health, women's rights, environmental conservation, humanitarian aid, and emergency relief. Participants explored the potential differences between constituency-building on behalf of specific issues or causes and constitu- ency-building on behalf of cooperative engagement more generally. A variety of strategies to bolster public and policymaker support for international cooperation was proposed and vigorously debated, with an emphasis not only on increasing financial support but also, and primarily, on changing the climate of opinion. Central to this discussion was a consideration of the need for renewed political leadership if the climate of opinion is to be altered in any meaningful fashion. Implicitly and occasionally explicitly, the gathering posed the question of how a group of foundations, NGOs, and multilateral institutions might work collaboratively, drawing on their respective and complementary strengths, to help build a broader understanding of global interdependence and a stronger commitment to cooperative engagement. This meeting cannot be said to have produced a consensus, either on how to define the problem or on how to try to solve it. The discussions at Pocantico did, however, illuminate the need for more nuanced informa- tion about the beliefs and perceptions of Americans regarding their country's role in an interdependent world, and about the efforts that are already under way by NGOs and other organizations to educate various audiences about the challenges and opportunities presented by global interdependence. Above all, the meeting illuminated the need for a new conceptual framework for cooperative engagement in the post-Cold Was eΓa-a framework that would not only guide U.S. foreign policy and galvanize political leadership on behalf of international engagement, but also inform broad public education efforts on global issues and encourage greater public involvement and trust in the cooperative engagement process. These are needs that a collaboration of concerned foundations, NGOs, and multilateral institutions might well seek to address by engaging in some shared thinking and by developing some shared resources. It is this possibility which is now being explored-through informal conversations and meetings of a smaller working group-by the participants in the October 1996 workshop. The paper that follows draws in part on the rich array of ideas voiced at Pocantico to describe one possible and persuasive new framework for cooperative engagement. It begins by explaining the need for cooperation if interdependent nations are to advance their common interests in three areas: economic growth; military security; and what the authors call social stewardship, which involves the promotion of health, social stability, and human potential. The United States, the authors argue, has fallen far 6 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE behind in this last arena. The second section of the paper traces the history of political and public support for social stewardship and discusses its current falling-off. In so doing, the paper provides valuable new information on American attitudes toward cooperative engagement generally and social stewardship in particular, suggesting that the con- stituency-building challenge is a complex one, involving not so much a lack of awareness about global issues, but rather the low priority assigned to those issues and the absence of a compelling policy context in which to address them. The third section begins to lay out messages and methods (including reform of the vehicles for cooperative engagement) that might help generate a renewed commitment to social stewardship among policymakers and opinion leaders, key constituencies, and the general public. Finally, the authors argue for a model of cooperative engagement in which social stewardship, economic growth, and military security are seen as mutually reinforcing expressions of American interests and values. In its effort to articulate the importance of social stewardship and locate it in an overall framework for international involvement, and in its emphasis on the need for leadership as well as constituency if support for cooperative engagement is to be increased, this paper can certainly be seen as an outgrowth of the October 1996 Pocantico meeting. Many of its particulars, though, have been drawn or developed from other sources and subsequent discussions. In presenting this essay to the public, then, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and the World Bank are not reporting on a particular workshop. Instead, we seek to convey something of the underlying concern and conviction that brought a diverse and sometimes divergent group of organizations together around a single issue; to offer a first example of the kinds of information and resources such a group might work together to provide; and to help spark a much larger conver- sation about the purpose, principles, and agents of American engagement overseas. Colin G. Campbell President Rockefeller Brothers Fund Mark Malloch Brown Vice President, External Affairs World Bank 7 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND INTRODUCTION In a world made smaller by global commerce and communication, cooperative engagement among nations is more possible-and more necessary- than ever before. "Cooperative engagement," in this context, refers to the complex of policies, programs, treaties, investments, and regimes by which nations collaborate to advance common interests. Those interests fall into three broad categories: military security, economic growth and trade, and what might be called social stewardship-the promotion of health, social stability, and human potential. The United States is the world leader in efforts to ensure military security and has intensified efforts to open international markets and foster economic growth. But, as this paper will elaborate, the United States has fallen far behind in the realm of social stewardship.' The term "social stewardship" is, admittedly, an awkward one. In public discourse, "stewardship" is most often used to describe the responsible use of natural resources-resource use that meets the needs of current generations without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs. But intergenerational concern should extend to the social realm as well. To meet the needs of current and future generations, it is also necessary to act as good stewards of human resources. Accord- ingly, social stewardship includes not only the careful use of natural resources, but also long-range efforts to improve public health, such as immunization and nutrition programs, basic sanitation, and reproductive health care. It includes efforts to promote greater social stability by fostering democracy, the rule of law, human rights, and more equitable distribution of resources. And it includes investments in human poten- tial, such as public education and micro-credit initiatives. The package of objectives that we call "social stewardship" is closely related to the objectives of "human development," "social development," and "human security." In the international sphere, these objectives are now mostly pursued through bilateral and multilateral aid agencies, although many other private- and public-sector actors contribute to social stewardship. Social stewardship is increasingly recognized as a component of na- tional-and global-security. With the end of the Cold War, there is a growing understanding of non-military threats to peace and social stability. Intranational problems, such as resource scarcities and wide 9 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND gaps between rich and poor, have the potential to destabilize nations and even precipitate military aggression. Successful social stewardship efforts can address intranational problems before they metastasize into larger threats. Social stewardship is also valued as a building block of economic growth. Certainly, people who are healthy and educated are better prepared to seize economic opportunity than those who are sick, malnourished, or illiterate. A clear illustration of the economic benefits of social steward- ship can be found in Costa Rica, where U.S. development assistance helped the government to provide basic health care, safe drinking water, and free primary and secondary education to all of its citizens.³ These efforts reaped impressive gains: adult literacy rates in Costa Rica are now at 94 percent, and infant mortality dropped from sixty-two deaths per one thousand births in 1970 to thirteen in 1996, which is close to the level in most industrialized countries.⁴ Investments in human well-being have catalyzed strong economic growth-Costa Rica's per capita income is now among the highest in Latin America-and reduced dependence on foreign assistance. Indeed, in 1996 Costa Rica "graduated" from receiving U.S. foreign aid. And social stewardship has a moral value that cannot be quantified. Our moral and religious traditions teach us to care for the poor, the marginalized, the "least among us." Embedded in this teaching is a recognition of the dignity and worth of each human being. Social stewardship is an expression of our common humanity and of the value we place on each human life. Still, the strategic, economic, and moral importance of social stewardship is not yet reflected in the U.S. budget (the most visible, but not the only meaningful measure of commitment). In fact, social stewardship now consumes a smaller share of international spending than at any time in the last thirty years. Since 1962, U.S. defense spending has fallen by 15 percent in constant 1997 dollars, while non-military international spending, including social stewardship, plummeted by 43 percent.⁵ Bilateral development assistance (more commonly known as "foreign aid") has sustained the deepest cuts. The United States, for decades the largest aid donor, is now in fourth place behind Japan, France, and Germany.6 Real spending on development assistance peaked at $51 billion (in 1997 dollars) in 1947, when the Marshall Plan to rebuild Europe was in full stride. Spending has fallen steadily since then, with steeper drops in recent years, to $14 billion in 1997.7 The U.S. ratio of official development assistance (ODA)8 to Gross National Product (GNP) is now at its lowest level since 1950. Indeed, the United States devotes a smaller percentage of national income to development assistance than nearly any other devel- oped nation-less than one-tenth of one percent (.1 percent), compared 10 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE to .97 percent for the Danes, .89 percent for the Swedes, .55 percent for the French, and .31 percent for the Germans.9 Even in absolute terms, if we exclude U.S. aid to Israel and Egypt, the United States-with 265 million people-spends less on development assistance than Denmark, a nation of five million. The United States has also reduced its contributions to multilateral aid_ efforts. In recent years, the United States has not fully honored its commitments to United Nations agencies and peacekeeping activities, nor to the International Development Association (IDA), the branch of the World Bank that provides low- or no-interest loans to the poorest of the world's countries. Although there is a movement under way to pay those accumulated debts, it is not clear what the outcome will be.¹⁰ Deeper cuts may be in store for U.S. funding of bilateral and multilateral agencies. Until recently, defense spending and non-military international spending were linked together as "privileged" accounts within the discretionary budget, meaning that they both enjoyed some protection from budget-cutting pressures. But in recent years, the linkage has been broken. Non-military international spending is now part of a broad "non- defense discretionary" category. This means that international spend- ing-diplomacy, support for multilateral organizations, and bilateral development assistance-must compete for funds with domestic pro- grams such as education, health care, and prisons. Given the stronger constituencies for domestic programs-and the lack of understanding about the impact of international problems on domestic well-being- policymakers often choose to cut international programs instead." Political and budgetary constraints combine to limit U.S. support for bilateral and multilateral aid efforts. But social stewardship requires more than cash; it also requires a commitment to cooperative engage- ment with other nations. In international fora the United States still tends to assume a hegemonic role, which may undercut cooperative partnerships. For example, the United States has unilaterally called for changes in the United Nations system and threatened to withdraw support if those conditions are not met. "The U.S. knows how to be the team captain, and it knows how to sit on the bench," says Jessica Mathews, president of the Carnegie Endowment, "but it's not very good at being a team player."12 The United States has also shifted its aid priorities from long-term development assistance to short-term disaster relief. The shift away from social stewardship may be short-sighted; long-term aid can help poor countries prevent crises by developing their economies and social infrastructure, which can obviate the need for expensive disaster relief. "American policy," according to a recent report by the Overseas Devel- 11 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND opment Council, "is, in effect, borrowing peace from the future to deal with crises in the present."¹³ On October 7-8, 1996, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and the World Bank co-hosted a meeting of foundation executives, leaders of major humanitarian and environmental NGOs (nongovernmental organiza- tions), and officers of large multilateral institutions, who gathered to discuss the apparent waning of America's commitment to social steward- ship and what might be done about it. This meeting, entitled "Building a Constituency for Global Interdependence," took place at the Fund's Pocantico Conference Center. The meeting was inspired, in part, by the RBF's longstanding interest in the theme of global interdependence and its recent grantmaking experience in a world where the rapid pace of globalization is blurring the distinctions between domestic and interna- tional concerns. For the World Bank, sponsorship of the meeting reflected an institutional mandate to foster cooperative engagement, as well as a renewed commitment to program reform and to collaboration with foundations and nongovernmental organizations. At the Pocantico meeting, participants agreed that the United States has made a sharp retreat from some forms of social stewardship-notably bilateral and multilateral development assistance efforts. But the Pocantico participants raised several questions about which there was less certainty. For example, does the retreat from development assistance signify a broader retreat from social stewardship? Is it possible to achieve social stewardship through other means, such as a greater reliance on market mechanisms? What is driving the current retreat, and how might it be reversed? In the pages that follow, these questions are explored and others are raised. Section I, "The Challenge of Global Interdependence," explores the need for cooperative engagement to solve the problems and seize the opportunities presented by globalization. Section II, "The Retreat from Social Stewardship," reviews the history of political support for interna- tional social stewardship and the reasons for the current retreat. Section III, "Building Support for Social Stewardship," puts forth a three-part framework for approaching the challenge of rebuilding support. The authors of this paper, in an attempt to reflect and expand upon the views of the Pocantico participants, have drawn a few preliminary conclusions. First, it is clear that bilateral and multilateral development assistance is a necessary, but not sufficient, component of social stewardship. Second, while it is important to rebuild support for these traditional mechanisms of stewardship, it is also necessary to develop new ways to harness the transfor- mative powers of globalization to improve human well-being. Third and most important, it is essential to promote a renewed national dialogue about the goals and methods of U.S. engagement with other nations. 12 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE THE CHALLENGE OF GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE We live in an era of stark contrasts. The global economy produces wealth on a previously unimaginable scale-gross world product has grown by more than 40 percent since 1980'4-yet the absolute number of people in poverty continues to rise, and the chasm between rich and poor is widening in many countries." With the end of the Cold War, the threat of nuclear annihilation has diminished, yet bloody civil conflicts erupt with frightening frequency and intensity. Medical science has conquered diseases that plagued humanity for millennia, yet millions die each year because they lack basic sanitation, nutrition, and health care. Our capacity to shape the environment to meet human needs has brought comfort and convenience to many, as well as unforeseen side effects- climate change, species loss, soil erosion, water shortages-that may threaten the planet's ability to sustain life itself. The world is both expanding and contracting: expanding with the rapid growth of the human population and economy; contracting as the forces of globalization draw more tightly the bonds that connect us. An increas- ingly global marketplace is redrawing the map of alliances, forging new ties of economic, political, and social interdependence among people and nations. Interdependence Calls for International Problem-Solving Interdependence means that global trends have greater effects at the local level. As more producers and consumers are linked to the worldwide economic grid, more communities are affected by events beyond their borders.16 For example, as farmers complete the transition from self- provisioning to production for export, their markets (and profits) grow. But so does their vulnerability to price shifts. At the same time, many governments have abandoned costly price supports (which encourage market inefficiency and poor land use practices), so farmers have less protection from the vicissitudes of the market. Interdependence also means that what appear to be local problems can have international causes and effects. For example, the proximate causes of Mexico's 1994 peso crisis were local: budget deficits, hidden inflation, the destabilizing Chiapas rebellion, and the assassination of a prominent politician. But its underlying causes were, in a sense, global: a result of Mexico's foreign debt and disadvantaged position in the world economy. 13 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND And repercussions of the crisis were felt far beyond the Mexican border: the United States, Canada, and other nations risked billions to protect their own economies from the peso's slide. In an interdependent world, environmental degradation, disease, terror- ism, and organized crime do not respect national borders. So, to solve local problems, it is often necessary to think and act globally. To protect their forests from acid rain, Canadians must work with the United States to address industrial pollution in the American Midwest. To stop the spread of AIDS and other diseases, health officials must grapple with political and economic chaos in Africa, which provides a fertile breeding ground for globe-trotting microbes.¹⁷ To prevent climate changes that threaten agriculture and ecosystems worldwide, environmentalists must influence patterns of energy use and transportation in the industrialized world as well as in the developing countries, which will produce the lion's share of carbon dioxide emissions in the next century.18 For Americans, prosperity and quality of life are increasingly entwined with conditions in other countries. Exports account for an increasing share of our nation's economic growth, and developing countries are among the fastest-growing markets for U.S. products. This means that more U.S. jobs depend on purchasing power and political stability overseas. These are generally high-paying jobs: industries that produce goods for export pay wages that are 13 percent above the national aver- age.¹⁹ Imports benefit Americans, too, by stocking our stores with inexpensive goods that keep the cost of living down. But strengthened economic ties with developing nations impel us to consider the moral and practical implications of our new trading relation- ships. What does it mean to trade with nations that pay workers much less than American workers receive, and that have lower standards for worker protection and human rights? It means, for example, that Ameri- can children play with inexpensive soccer balls stitched together by their peers in Pakistani sweatshops. Recently, consumer revulsion has prompted boycotts and other efforts to improve working conditions in developing countries. But some charge that boycotts are misguided: by purchasing products from developing countries, they say, it may be possible to foster growth that will ultimately lead to better working conditions. And the practical implications of trade with developing countries may include job insecurity and lower wages for young and less-skilled American workers. The actual economic effects are relatively small, but they are politically significant. Most economists agree that trade with developing countries accounts for only about 20 percent of wage declines among less-skilled workers; the remainder is due to a host of factors, including technological changes and the dwindling strength of 14 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE unions.²⁰ Still, over the last two decades, about 6 percent of U.S. manufacturing jobs have been lost as corporations moved operations overseas to cut labor costs, and salaries of less-skilled workers have declined steadily.21 As a result, many Americans remain wary of eco- nomic ties with developing nations, and there is ample evidence that protectionist impulses are gathering force. Should we, then, decline to trade with nations whose labor standards are lower than ours? Should we shield American workers from wage declines through protectionist measures? The integration of developing-country workers into the world economy may indeed depress wages for less- skilled workers everywhere. However, the costs of not integrating those workers could be even higher: a widening gap between the world's rich and poor, political instability, and an incalculable waste of human potential. The challenge is to find mechanisms that can raise global standards for both wages and working conditions, while preserving and creating as many jobs as possible. This is a formidable but important task. Interdependence Presents Opportunities to Raise Living Standards Of course, opportunities as well as challenges now transcend national boundaries. In a globalized economy, capital moves more freely among nations. This quickening flow of resources offers an extraordinary opportunity to improve human well-being, especially in the impoverished countries of the developing world. Since private flows of capital now dwarf the spending of bilateral aid agencies and multilateral organiza- tions, many believe that markets, not governments, will hasten develop- ment and raise the quality of life worldwide. The shift from public to private investment has been dramatic. A decade ago, most capital flows to developing countries were in the form of loans or aid from official development institutions, supplemented by a trickle of private investment. That trickle has become a flood: private capital flows to developing countries rose from $5 billion in 1970 to $100 billion in 1981. Then, after a steep drop-off in the 1980s (when Mexico defaulted on its bank loans, and other debtor nations threatened to follow suit), private investment in developing countries rebounded to an unprec- edented $285 billion in 1996, and now accounts for four-fifths of total capital flows to those countries." Ideas also move more freely in an interdependent world. Global trade has been accompanied by a parallel expansion of communications technolo- gies. Today, people throughout the world are linked by a dense network of fiber-optic cables and are bathed in the common glow of an increas- ingly global popular culture. The worldwide commerce in ideas offers the potential to improve the quality of political and economic life by univer- 15 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND salizing higher standards for human rights, democracy, and environmental protection. For example, communications technologies-notably the electronic information systems that connect computer users across the globe-can serve as powerful tools of democratic reform. They can be used to spark dialogue among advocates, challenge the hierarchical control of information, and expose oppression and corruption. These technologies have helped nongovernmental organizations from the industrialized and developing countries form partnerships to raise international norms on a wide variety of issues, from environmental protection to women's rights. The cross-pollination of cultures can also bring an end to age-old practices of oppression and discrimination. The censure of the global community (together with a strong indigenous human rights movement) helped bring down apartheid in South Africa. Other practices, such as female genital mutilation in North Africa and dowry murders in India, may ultimately wither in the glare of the international spotlight. But the transformative process of globalization is still in its early stages. While private investment has lifted many into the ranks of the middle class and sparked a revolution of rising expectations, it has not produced appreciable benefits for most of the world's poor. According to the World Bank, three-quarters of developing-country investment goes to just a dozen countries, while the poorest countries-which are home to 42 percent of the developing world's population-received just 6 percent of all private investment. In those countries, one billion people live on the knife edge of survival, lacking basic nutrition, sanitation, and health care. Even within countries experiencing rapid economic growth, gains are often distributed so unevenly that they do not benefit the majority of people. Why do the benefits of global trade "trickle down" in some cases, but not in others? Government policy is key: where governments are committed to equal opportunity-especially for women-and invest in domestic social stewardship programs like education and public health, economic gains are usually more widely distributed. Conversely, the poorest countries are often saddled with governments that are corrupt and unresponsive to the needs of their people.²⁴ This raises thorny questions for U.S. trade policy and cooperative engagement more generally. Should the United States attempt to use its economic leverage to promote good government in the developing countries? If so, how can this be done without challenging the sovereignty of other nations? Currently, there is vigorous debate in foreign-policy circles about the larger purposes of U.S. trade policy. During the Cold War, the U.S. deployed trade sanctions and rewards in the effort to contain Soviet Communism. This meant that the interests of individual businesses were sometimes sacrificed to the larger national interest. For example, during 16 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE the grain embargo of the late 1970s, agribusiness sustained major losses, albeit involuntarily, in order to punish the Soviets for the invasion of Afghanistan. Today, in the absence of overarching strategic objectives, the interests of U.S.-based companies are given greater priority. Indeed, U.S. trade policy now seeks primarily to secure market access in foreign countries, even those that engage in questionable conduct. Proponents of this approach, termed "commercial diplomacy," believe that unfettered trade alone will promote peace by fostering economic interdependence, and that growth will help democratize authoritarian states through improved living standards and contact with open societies. Most analysts agree that robust trade and investment are essential to global prosperity and stability. But critics from both sides of the political spectrum charge that current U.S. trade policy places short-term business advantage ahead of long-term strategic and moral interests. Others question whether "commercial diplomacy" will bring about democratiza- tion.²⁵ Current conditions in Singapore and China (and the recent histories of South Korea and Chile) suggest that brisk economic growth and authoritarianism can coexist. Indeed, Lee Kuan Yew, the former prime minister of Singapore, has argued that authoritarianism is a necessary precondition for economic growth. The relationship between economic growth and the pursuit of broader social goals-such as human rights and equity-is complex and has generated considerable debate. The substance and outcome of this debate will have far-reaching implications for the future of cooperative engagement. Another debate is raging over the potential impact of standards for global commerce. Multilateral trade organizations are now working to "level the playing field" for commerce by articulating international standards for consumer, labor, and environmental protection. But those standards are typically less stringent than the laws of the United States and other G-7 countries. Furthermore, because trade standards are set by small groups of officials who are effectively insulated from the democratic process, they raise many troubling questions. Who sets the standards for global commerce, and at what level? How can we ensure that those standards are in accordance with public values as well as private-sector interests? How can trade organizations become more transparent and accountable? National interests are increasingly bound up with international concerns, and cooperation among nations is necessary to advance human well-being in an interdependent world. There is no turning back from international engagement: our nation's vital interests overseas prohibit a retreat into isolationism. As a recent report by the Overseas Development Council concludes: 17 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND In the end, the principal issue for U.S. foreign policy is not whether the United States will be engaged in the world but the terms of that engagement: whether it will exercise an effective voice in crafting the rules, norms, and structures that will govern the evolving system, and whether U.S. policy will attend to more than the short-term bottom line. The "terms of engagement" for international affairs will, to a large extent, determine the prospects for peace, prosperity, and human well-being in the next century. What might the terms be? What purposes and prin- ciples should guide international relations? Which combination of military security, economic growth, and social stewardship will best advance human well-being in an era of global interdependence? And, what is our nation's role in international cooperative engagement? Is it enough to ensure military security and economic growth, or do our values and interests compel us to act as social stewards as well? These questions deserve wide and rigorous public debate, but that debate is not taking place. Instead, without public input, the United States has retreated from its long-standing commitment to many institutions of social stewardship. If cooperative engagement is to serve the public interest, then international policy choices must be made with meaningful participation by the American people and with leadership that is in- formed by an understanding of the practical realities of global interdepen- dence. And those choices must be guided by moral principles that reflect our nation's values as well as its interests. 18 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE II THE RETREAT FROM SOCIAL STEWARDSHIP Containment As a Rationale for Social Stewardship To understand declining political support for bilateral and multilateral development agencies, it is helpful to review the history of that support. In the United States, support for those institutions is a product of the Cold War years, when containment of Soviet Communism was the overarching rationale for U.S. foreign policy. During that era, the United States implemented the Marshall plan, helped create and fund the United Nations and the Bretton Woods institutions (the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund), and launched the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). Public support for these institutions did not materialize quickly or spontaneously. In the early years of the Cold War, President Truman, in concert with policymakers and other opinion leaders, persuaded Ameri- cans that Soviet Communism posed a profound threat to national interests and that social and economic investments overseas would help contain that threat by diminishing the appeal of Communism in poor and war-torn nations. Truman and his contemporaries did not shape policy to match opinion polls. Instead, they crafted a rationale and a strategy, then showed the public how the policy protected American interests and values. The emphasis on values-especially democracy and political freedom - was key. In the words of Columbia University historian John Ruggie, they succeeded by linking "the pursuit of American interests to a transformative vision of world order that appealed to the American public."" Truman and others saw containment as the central objective of U.S. foreign policy. Accordingly, military security concerns dominated the spending and priorities of cooperative engagement with other nations. The other elements of engagement-economic growth and social stewardship-were judged important largely because of their relationship to containment. Humanitarian and economic aid programs were justified as a means to promote both social stability and market economies in developing countries. Despite (or, some would argue, because of) this emphasis on military security, the Cold War period saw dramatic gains in social stewardship. Since the end of World War II, child mortality rates worldwide have fallen by 50 percent, helping to raise life expectancy in the developing 19 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND countries by 50 percent. These gains are due, in part, to the efforts of bilateral and multilateral aid agencies in partnership with developing- country governments and NGOs, and to strong economic growth. Bilateral and multilateral aid agencies played an important role in reducing child mortality rates, and their success illustrates the special niche these agencies occupy. For example, the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) and USAID helped promote a potent method of saving children's lives: oral rehydration salts (ORS). ORS, a simple mixture of water, salt, and sugar, offers an extraordinarily effective means to combat the dehydration caused by diarrhea. When cholera swept through refugee camps during the 1971 Bangladesh war of independence, 96 percent of the victims treated with ORS survived." But were it not for bilateral and multilateral aid agencies, this medical advance might not have gained wide usage. Market mechanisms probably would not have worked: because its ingredients are inexpensive and widely available, pharmaceuti- cal companies would have little incentive to market and distribute ORS. Despite these and many other successes, critics have noted that the Cold War imperatives of containment sometimes conflicted with social stewardship objectives. For example, in the process of rewarding allies with aid, bilateral agencies sometimes overlooked the needy and bolstered oppressive and/or corrupt regimes. This tarnished their credibility in the developing world, where many still view these institutions as agents of foreign "imperialism." Moreover, these institutions often employed top- down management methods that undermined local initiative. And, because their usefulness was measured in strategic terms, these institu- tions were not always judged by their success (or lack thereof) in fostering social stewardship. In the post-Cold War era, bilateral and multilateral aid agencies are at a challenging impasse. Freed from the imperatives of containment, they now have a greater opportunity to promote social stewardship. Accord- ingly, these agencies have begun slowly to adapt their programs to the new era by forging new partnerships with citizens' groups and by empha- sizing market-based interventions and democratizing reforms. However, now that they have lost their Cold War rationale, the institu- tions of social stewardship are losing political support. Containment was a flawed rationale for promoting stewardship, but it did at least offer a coherent framework for understanding our interests in the developing world: during the Cold War, every nation had strategic importance as a potential ally or enemy. Today, it is more difficult to articulate U.S. interest in countries such as Mali or Bangladesh. As a result, the institu- tions of social stewardship have lost their strategic compass-and much of their political base of support. 20 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE Public Opinion and the U.S. Retreat from International Social Stewardship If public support for cooperative engagement was an artifact of the Cold War, what has become of that support since the fall of the Berlin Wall? Conventional wisdom holds that Americans have little interest in interna- tional issues and that the end of the Cold War has eroded what little support existed for cooperation with other nations. For example, a recent survey of policymakers, journalists, and other opinion leaders found that most thought the American public prefers isolationism to international engagement." But careful analysis reveals a great deal of latent support for engagement-especially to promote social stewardship. Although few researchers have probed Americans' understanding of global interdependence, there are indicators of awareness among the general public. In a 1995 poll conducted by the Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA), for example, 63 percent agreed that "the world economy is so interconnected today that, in the long run, helping Third World countries to develop is in the economic interest of the U.S."3' However, polls show that Americans have significant misunderstandings about U.S. programs abroad, which erode support for development assistance. For example, most think federal spending on international programs, as a percentage of the federal budget, is many times greater than it is in fact. Another poll found that 75 percent of Americans think the United States spends "too much" on foreign assistance. However, when asked to guess the amount now spent on aid, the average estimate was about IS percent of the federal budget-although the actual number is less than one percent. And Americans believe that, compared to other developed countries, the United States carries a much larger share of the burden of helping the world's poor than it actually does." Americans have real doubts about the motives and methods of current U.S. programs abroad. Most reject a hegemonic role for the United States-"Who are we to tell them what to do?" is a common refrain in focus groups. A high percentage believes that foreign assistance is wasted, ineffective, and/or fails to reach its intended beneficiaries. In one poll, 83 percent agreed that "There is so much waste and corruption in the process of giving foreign aid that very little actually reaches the people who need it."³³ The perception of ineffectiveness substantially diminishes support for foreign assistance. In the classic ethical allegory, one must always jump into the water to save a drowning person - unless one cannot swim. Americans may care about the "drowning" people overseas, but they doubt whether foreign aid programs can "swim." 21 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND The news media contribute to the perception of U.S. ineffectiveness abroad. War, famine, and disaster dominate the scant news coverage of less-developed countries, while success stories-such as dramatic improvements in infant and child health-are rarely deemed newswor- thy. By accentuating the negative, the news media foster an impression that poor countries are unsalvageable. (Private charitable groups may unwittingly contribute to this state of affairs, with fund-raising appeals that present the citizens of less-developed countries as helpless victims. Moreover, as arbiters of salience (the degree of importance given to issues and events) the news media have helped diminish the attention given to international issues. International news coverage is declining, as many news organizations are closing their foreign bureaus." Skepticism about U.S. programs abroad also stems from diminished faith in the public sector generally. Indeed, confidence in government is at an all-time low. One recent survey found that only 20 percent believed that the federal government can be trusted to do "what is right" most of the time-down from 76 percent in 1964.³⁶ It follows that Americans would doubt that the U.S. government, which is widely perceived as failing its own citizens, is capable of solving international or global problems. However, opinion research shows that the American public does support cooperative engagement if properly conceived and executed. Polls consistently show that most Americans want the United States to play an active role in international affairs, both for moral reasons and because they believe engagement serves domestic interests. A strong majority of 80 percent believes the United States should give some foreign aid, while just 8 percent want aid programs eliminated.' The United Nations and other multilateral institutions still enjoy broad support: a 1994 poll by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations found that 84 percent of Ameri- cans included "support for strengthening the United Nations" as a "somewhat" or "very" high foreign policy goal of the United States— the highest level of support for that goal in twenty years.38 When concerns about unfairness, corruption, and inefficiency are addressed, support for cooperative engagement rebounds. Indeed, when told how much the United States actually spends on foreign assistance, most favor sustaining or even increasing that amount. Given assurances that other nations are carrying their fair share, Americans favor U.S. participation in multilateral efforts to keep the peace, promote economic development, and provide humanitarian assistance. Most (58 percent) say they would even pay more in taxes for foreign assistance if they could be sure the aid really went to those in need.³⁹ Although the data are far from conclusive, there are indicators that Americans reject the military-security dominated framework of national interests in favor of a framework that emphasizes social stewardship. In a 22 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE recent poll conducted for the International Women's Health Coalition, voters were asked whether they preferred a foreign policy that "emphasize[s] the security of people around the world, by focusing on poverty, the environment, health care, education and human rights," or one that "emphasize[s] the security of nations around the world, by focusing on trade, military defense, and nuclear arms control." Fifty-nine percent chose the people-centered approach, while just 25 percent voted for the nation-centered view.⁴⁰ While the distinction between "people" and "nations" may seem artificial to some, the poll suggests an important feature of public opinion about cooperative engagement. Still, public opinion does not readily translate into policy, for a simple reason: international issues still have low salience for most people. Although Americans will state their support for social stewardship when asked, few petition their members of Congress to protest cuts in develop- ment assistance. Americans generally do not base their votes on interna- tional concerns, and when asked to rate the nation's biggest problems, international issues do not even make the top-ten list.⁴¹ Leadership: The Key to Raising Salience As the Marshall Plan illustrates, political leadership is necessary to raise the salience of international issues and to galvanize public support for cooperative engagement. Why, then, have today's leaders failed to articulate a new vision for U.S. engagement overseas? The most obvious explanation is that they simply don't have a vision-perhaps because the complexities of global interdependence confound attempts to craft a single, comprehensive strategy. And today's policymakers are less con- cerned (and perhaps less informed) about foreign policy issues than at any time in the last twenty years.42 A second explanation is that leaders feel no political pressure to take action. There is no organized constituency for social stewardship, so policymakers derive no political benefit from championing it. In fact, they may incur political costs. For example, legislators who support aid to family-planning programs in developing countries are targeted for defeat by anti-abortion groups. In recent years, there has been a marked prolif- eration of vocal single-issue groups-made possible, in part, by new technologies that facilitate organizing and communication. Although many of those organizations (including the anti-abortion groups) do not represent majority opinion, they are often able to magnify their political impact through skillful organizing. Policymakers often choose to sidestep political minefields by avoiding positions that might anger powerful single-interest groups. Leaders may also be reluctant to take action because they mistake their constituents' frustration with current aid programs as a rejection of 23 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND cooperative engagement more generally. Many policymakers are unaware that their constituents do, in fact, support cooperative engagement. In part, this is because opponents of engagement are far better organized than supporters. For example, PIPA conducted a study of four Congres- sional districts whose representatives had voted to withdraw from the United Nations and opposed foreign assistance. The members' staffs reported a steady stream of calls and letters from constituents who opposed the United Nations and foreign assistance, which was inter- preted as representing majority opinion. But a random telephone survey of those districts found that constituents were broadly in favor of United Nations support and foreign assistance: only 18-21 percent favored withdrawing from the United Nations, and just 7-8 percent wanted to eliminate foreign assistance. In politics, a vocal minority is often more powerful than a silent majority. Policymakers may misread their constituents because there is so little public discourse on the relationship between national and global con- cerns. Political campaigns rarely spotlight international issues or turn on the candidates' foreign policy views. More importantly, there is no structured consensus-building process on international engagement. There are few fora (besides the voting booth) for the general public to communicate priorities to policymakers; and, as noted above, most Americans do not base their votes on international issues. The Cold War framework for cooperative engagement evolved in a very different epoch, and that framework has not yet been reconfigured for the era of global interdependence. As a nation, we lack sufficient capacity-as measured in leadership, constituency, and institutional effectiveness-to solve problems and seize opportunities in an interdependent world. Meanwhile, the challenges increase in magnitude, and faith in collective problem-solving declines. That loss of faith diminishes political support for existing institutions of social stewardship. But without political support, those institutions cannot retool for the new eΓa. In this way, falling support and limited capacity form a self-perpetuating cycle. 24 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE III BUILDING SUPPORT FOR SOCIAL STEWARDSHIP The cycle of reduced capacity for social stewardship can be broken if a critical mass of Americans generates the political will to do so. Generat- ing political will requires both leadership and constituency: leaders must articulate a compelling vision of our nation's role in the world, and an organized constituency representing many sectors of the public must spur policymakers to action. Generating political will also requires the institutions of cooperative engagement to retool their premises, purposes, and methods in order to advance and promote social stewardship in an eΓa of global interdependence. Encourage the Leaders to Lead During the Cold War, leaders persuaded a key segment of the Ameri- can public that Soviet Communism posed a threat to their common interests and that cooperative engagement would help keep that threat at bay. Today's leaders must make the case for social stewardship in an interdependent world. Their challenge is more daunting: instead of an easily demonized "evil empire," there is a complex web of health, environmental, and social problems. Instead of the unifying goal of containment, there are dozens of interrelated objectives-including expanded democracy, improved public health, environmental sustainability, more equitable distribution of wealth, and universal access to primary education. Instead of the challenge of dealing with a constant threat, there is the very different task of managing rapid change. And instead of an orderly system of client states, policymakers confront a fragmented power structure of state and non-state actors. To build support for social stewardship, leaders must appeal to Ameri- cans' interests and values. First, they must demonstrate a compelling reason to take action, by articulating a sophisticated new model of national interests. The new model must acknowledge the threats and opportunities that result from global interdependence, and clarify U.S. strategic interests. While it may be difficult to show the strategic importance of a single developing country, it may be more productive to view those nations as a bloc. What are the potential benefits of expanding markets through- out the developing world? And what are the potential dangers if developing nations remain on the margins of the world economy? "If 25 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND we look at conventional strategic and economic interests, there are probably no more than twenty-five nations that the U.S. should care about," says the Reverend J. Bryan Hehir, professor of the practice of religion in society at Harvard University and counselor to Catholic Relief Services. "But what if one hundred countries were to remain outside the global economy? When you consider the cumulative and synergistic effects of underdevelopment in dozens of countries, it changes the strategic calculus. And beyond purely strategic interests, there is an abiding moral responsibility not to allow one hundred countries and their people to remain marginal in the shaping of the next century." The new framework should reflect the importance of social stewardship as a crucial goal in its own right, not just as an instrument of military security. At the same time, it might depict the three points of the cooperative engagement "triangle"-military security, economic growth and trade, and social stewardship-as interdependent and mutually reinforcing. This model rests on a solid foundation of empirical evidence. History shows that even a strong military cannot maintain peace in the absence of broad-based economic growth and social stewardship.+ Similarly, human well-being and prosperity are not secure without protection from military attack. And economic growth, if unaccompanied by social stewardship measures that promote equitable development, may exacerbate instability by widening gaps between rich and poor.41 This new model of cooperative engagement shows that social stewardship is integral to security and prosperity, and therefore firmly establishes both its claim to resources and its legitimacy as a rationale for economic and even military policy decisions: Social Stewardship Military Economic Security Growth A new framework for international cooperative engagement in which social stewardship, economic growth, and military security are seen as mutually reinforcing. 26 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE The appeal to Americans' interests must address means as well as ends. Leaders must show the public that proposed remedies will work, by publicizing success stories about effective social stewardship. And they must provide reassurance that the means employed will be consistent with mainstream beliefs. Opinion research suggests that Americans prefer strategies that are non-hegemonic, that involve private as well as public actors, and that provide demonstrable benefits to people at the grassroots level. Second, an effort to build support for social stewardship must speak to Americans' "hearts" by crafting messages that resonate with core values. Public opinion data suggest that support for cooperative engagement will not emerge from military security concerns alone; Americans want a foreign policy that represents their values as well as their interests. Opinion research shows that there are broad areas of agreement about the values that should guide cooperative engagement, including, for example: environmental stewardship, democracy and political freedom, equal opportunity, government accountability, international burden-sharing, and protection of children. Organize a Broad-based Constituency for Social Stewardship Leadership and constituency are the yin and yang of politics: the public needs leadership to articulate goals and spearhead policy change; but leadership cannot (or will not) take action without strong backing from the public. While encouraging leaders to take action, it is also necessary to consolidate a powerful constituency for social stewardship among the American people. Nongovernmental organizations would be central to any constituency- building effort. A rapidly proliferating network of NGOs now mediates the relationship between leaders and the public in many nations, and affects policy on a wide range of international issues. Multilateral organi- zations, which are forging international NGO networks, may serve as vehicles to reach NGOs in the United States and overseas. NGOs can identify areas of public consensus and spur policymakers to action. For example, the International Women's Health Coalition (IWHC) helped ensure that women's concerns were reflected at the 1994 United Nations International Conference on Population and Develop- ment (ICPD). IWHC began by reaching out to women's NGOs around the globe, identifying consensus positions and drafting a substantive agenda to improve women's lives. Endorsed by the United States and several European delegations, IWHC's message became a cornerstone of the ICPD document. 27 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND In many other cases, U.S. NGOs have helped steer foreign policy. For example, InterAction's "Just 1%" campaign helped inform policymakers about the true costs and benefits of development assistance, short-circuiting attempts to use the budget deficit as a rationale to cut foreign aid. In a related effort, CARE volunteers and staff met with Congressional leaders, voicing their moral and practical support for foreign assistance. Yet, while they are growing in number and influence, NGOs have limited ability to build a broad-based constituency for social steward- ship. Many lack the capacity to reach and mobilize the general public. And most are special-interest groups with a mandate to advance a single issue. It is unclear whether a series of targeted, single-issue campaigns could add up to more than the sum of its parts: a real constituency for social stewardship. An effective constituency-building effort, therefore, must reach beyond the "usual suspects" of NGO members with a known interest in some aspect of social stewardship. It is important to enlist the support of those who are in a position to advance-or obstruct-the social stewardship agenda. This could be accomplished, for example, by involving commu- nity opinion leaders in foreign policy debates to a far greater degree. The effort could begin by encouraging leaders to reach out to pivotal seg- ments of the general public. These segments might include: of Women: Polls show a "gender gap" on social stewardship; women are generally more supportive than men. People of faith: Religious Americans give generously to charities that work overseas, yet represent a largely untapped source of support for U.S. programs of social stewardship. Youth: Young people are more idealistic and more likely to "think globally" than their elders, but many are unsure whether the United States can afford cooperative engagement. Educators: Educators can bring credibility and legitimacy to a long-term public education effort. Business people: The business community has access to policymakers and can help develop "rules of the road" that set normative values for the globalization of economic life. Businesspeople are often concerned about international issues and have a vested interest in establishing a stable environment for trade. Labor union leadership: Labor leaders have a clear interest in steward- ship to improve conditions and wages for workers worldwide. And labor leaders often have a better understanding of economic interdependence than the general public. Media owners and employees: The news media shape people's experi- ence of the world. Yet, although they have unparalleled access to Ameri- cans' hearts and minds, most reporters and editors have only a superficial understanding of international issues and the need for social stewardship. 28 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE Foundation staff and trustees: Private foundations provide leadership, priority-setting, and funding for NGO efforts. Because they often have more flexibility than public donors, they may have greater capacity for innovation in crafting approaches to social stewardship. An effort to build constituency must also work to close the gap between policymakers and the public. Perhaps as a legacy of the Cold War, foreign policy decisionmaking is often shielded from the spotlight of public scrutiny. As a result, U.S. policies of cooperative engagement are not in tune with the public's instincts, and a wide gap exists between the priorities of leaders and the public. To close the gap, it is necessary to create mechanisms for ongoing dialogue between policymakers and the public. The values and objectives that guide cooperative engagement should be refined in a national process of consensus building. But currently, there is no process under way to build-or even reveal-that consensus. It may be possible to jump-start that process by creating regular, structured opportunities-such as Internet chat groups or town meetings-for policymakers to listen to the public's concerns. Another approach might seek to improve the circulation of information between policymakers and the public by, for example, educating policymakers about the nuances of public opinion on cooperative engagement. Yet another might work to broaden and deepen mainstream media coverage of international issues, with an emphasis on neglected success stories about social stewardship efforts. Retool Mechanisms of Cooperative Engagement The existing mechanisms of cooperative engagement-multilateral organizations and bilateral aid agencies-were originally geared to the exigencies of a different era. These institutions must be retooled to meet the challenges of global interdependence by assuming new responsibili- ties, ensuring a greater degree of transparency and accountability, and crafting new models of engagement. The realities of global interdependence call for a robust multilateral system. Some efforts have been made in this area: in recent years, multi- lateral organizations have been assigned broad new responsibilities to oversee international agreements on the environment, population growth, and women's rights, to name just a few. But the growing power of multilaterals is viewed with ambivalence by governments, which hand multilaterals new responsibilities while reining them in with limited funding and mandates.46 At the same time, multilaterals lack the author- ity to enforce international standards of conduct and in some cases are weakened by inefficient and unresponsive bureaucracies. 29 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND Limiting the funding for multilateral organizations will not ensure that they use their new authority in a responsible way. Instead, it is necessary to ensure that multilateral organizations are transparent, which guarantees that their processes and mechanisms can be fully monitored; and account- able, which means that those institutions are responsive to the needs of aid recipients and donors alike. It will be no small feat to ensure the transparency and accountability of international organizations that employ a diverse range of approaches. Indeed, this will be a central challenge for cooperative engagement in the next century. If multilateral institutions are strengthened, do bilateral aid agencies still have a role to play? At Pocantico, the answer, at least for the United States, was a qualified yes. It is clear that U.S. development assistance programs have the accumulated expertise and program infrastructure (especially in family planning, disease control, and agricultural research) that would be difficult, if not impossible, to replace. And, for a nation guided by values as well as interests, it is important to maintain an independent capacity for social stewardship. But in order to garner broad political support, bilateral development assistance must also be retooled for the new era. In the absence of Cold War imperatives, social stewardship should be the exclusive objective of development assistance programs. To function effectively, development assistance programs must have a clearer framework of goals and strate- gies. That framework should fit into the larger design of U.S. foreign policy and be consistent with the aims of the countries in which bilateral programs work. By clarifying goals and strategies, these programs will be able to act proactively, rather than merely respond to disasters as they arise. Bilateral development programs could also achieve greater impact by specializing in social needs that market mechanisms do not address. For example, while funding for infrastructure development is now more widely available from private investors, public subsidies are still necessary to broaden access to education and health care. For both multilateral and bilateral institutions, new models of engage- ment could greatly enhance effectiveness. Top-down, hegemonic models of operation are not suited to the current challenges. Instead, these institutions must learn to harness broader forces such as markets and social trends-to advance social stewardship. And they must learn to cultivate partnerships with a broad range of actors. By working directly with NGOs, multilateral and bilateral institutions can bypass corrupt governments and support locally-designed initiatives. This model is gaining wide acceptance: NGOs now deliver more official development assistance than the entire UN system (excluding the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund).⁴⁷ However, like multilateral 30 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE organizations, NGOs have been given significant new responsibilities that are not always matched by funding and other support. And NGOs have limitations of their own. As noted above, many are special-interest groups with little capacity for large-scale action, and they lack the accountability of democratically elected governments. Public-private partnerships are another promising alternative to tradi- tional aid programs. Unlike government aid, the scope of which is limited by the size of donor-country budgets, public-private partnerships gain leverage by shaping the fundamental rules that govern economic life. For example, an alliance of garment and athletic-shoe manufacturers is working to develop codes of labor practices for their contractor firms overseas, with the aim of eliminating sweatshop working conditions.*8 And a new effort launched by U.S. policymakers and corporations seeks to prohibit bribery in international trade. But these approaches have built-in limits as well. For example, it is often difficult to enlist the private sector in meeting social needs that markets do not value. To reorient the mechanisms of cooperative engagement, it is important to recognize that there is no "magic bullet" that will solve the problems or consolidate the gains of global interdependence. Mechanisms of coopera- tive engagement-including bilateral and multilateral agencies-must be nimble, flexible, and creative enough to harness the capacities of a broad range of actors, including governments, NGOs, corporations, trade associations, and educational institutions. Again, leadership is key. Institutions cannot be expected to transform themselves from within; policymakers and opinion leaders must first shape a vision of cooperative engagement and devise an appropriate reform agenda for bilateral and multilateral institutions. 31 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND CONCLUSION For decades, the containment of Soviet Communism served as the guiding principle of U.S. foreign policy, and military security was the central task of cooperative engagement. Today, cooperative engagement is increasingly focused on promoting trade and investment. Both approaches are vitally important, and their achievements-the end of the Cold War, a global economy that produces unprecedented wealth-are impressive. But both are incomplete: human well-being is not reliably produced as a byproduct of military security or aggregate economic growth. At the Pocantico meeting, participants agreed on the need for a renewed emphasis on social stewardship to complement military security and economic growth. In an interdependent world, they determined, social stewardship is a crucial component of peace, prosperity, and human well-being. Yet today, the U.S. government is retreating from commitment to the existing mechanisms of social stewardship-bilateral and multilateral development agencies-and has yet to design new ones. The American public is not leading the retreat: public support for social stewardship exists, although in latent form. For that support to become manifest, it is necessary to achieve a broad consensus about the meaning of national interests and values in an era of global interdependence and to energize a constituency for new models of social stewardship. That consensus will not take shape without the vision and commitment of leadership. As the twenty-first century nears, it is time to recognize that prosperity and security are closely connected to human well-being. In a world where boundaries are porous, where everything-people, ideas, capital, weapons, and disease-moves easily across national borders, we cannot afford to turn our backs on the world. Instead, we must strengthen our ties with the people of other nations and work together to create a world that invests in the potential of each of its citizens. 33 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND NOTES I Of course, there is considerable overlap among the three areas of cooperative engagement, both in objectives and outcome. But for the purposes of this paper "cooperative engagement to promote social stewardship" refers only to instru- ments with an explicit mandate to promote health, equity, and human potential. 2 Thomas Homer-Dixon and Valerie Percival, Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: Briefing Book (Washington, D.C.: American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1996). 3 Caroline Wheal, "Family Life and Health in Costa Rica," Calypso Log (August 1994). 4 1996 World Population Data Sheet (Washington, D.C.: Population Reference Bureau, 1996); and Jon Mitchell, "Costa Rica Graduates from U.S. Foreign Aid," Christian Science Monitor (August 28, 1996). 5 National Defense Budget Estimates for FY97 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of Defense, 1997) Figures are given in constant 1997 dollars, using Department of Defense "deflators." 6 But cuts are threatened in other nations as well. For example, the Japanese government recently announced a plan to reduce contributions to international organizations by 20 to 50 percent, in order to effect a IO percent reduction in development assistance in fiscal 1998. 7 The Role of Foreign Aid in Development (Washington, D.C.: The Congress of the United States, Congressional Budget Office, 1997). 8 The Development Assistance Committee of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development defines "official development assistance" as grants or loans that one government or multilateral organization gives to a developing country to promote economic development and welfare. ODA also includes technical cooperation assistance, for example, in agriculture and development. 9 "Financial Flows to Developing Countries in 1995: Sharp Decline in Official Aid; Private Flows Rise," Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) News Release (June II, 1996). 10 Lending Credibility: New Mandates and Partnerships for the World Bank (Washington, D.C.: World Wildlife Fund, 1996). II Letter from David F. Gordon, Director of U.S. Policy Programs, Overseas Development Council, to Mark Malloch Brown, Vice-President, External Affairs, The World Bank, September 9, 1996. 12 Comments made at Core Group/Experts Group Meeting sponsored by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund "Project on World Security" and the Aspen Institute "Global Stewardship Initiative," Aspen, Colorado, August 14-15, 1997. 34 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE 13 Barry M. Blechman, William J. Durch, David F. Gordon, and Catherine Gwin, The Partnership Imperative: Maintaining American Leadership in a New Era (Washington, D.C.: Henry L. Stimson Center and Overseas Development Council, 1997). 14 World Bank and International Monetary Fund data, cited in Lester Brown, Christopher Flavin, and Hal Kane, Vital Signs 1996: The Trends That Are Shaping Our Future (New York: W.W. Norton, 1996). 15 Human Development Report 1996 (New York: United Nations Development Program, 1996). 16 Of course, globalization and interdependence are not new phenomena; interna- tional markets have been a feature of economic life for centuries, if not millennia. What is new is the extent, and sometimes instantaneous impact, of globalization. Today, few communities remain fully outside the global web of commerce and communication, and trends and impacts resonate rapidly throughout the world. 17 Jeffrey Goldberg, "Their Africa Problem-And Ours," The New York Times Magazine (March 2, 1997). 18 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, "The Greenhouse Effect," Slide presenta- tion, Internet: http://www.epa.gov/global warming/sub1/gh_slide/o1.htm 19 U.S. Commerce Department, "Preliminary Data Release: U.S. Jobs Supported by Exports of Goods and Services" (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Commerce Department, 1996). 20 Dani Rodrik, "Sense and Nonsense in the Globalization Debate," Foreign Policy (Summer 1997). 21 Dale Belman and Thea M. Lee, "International Trade and the Performance of U.S. Labor Markets," in U.S. Trade Policy and Global Growth: New Directions in the International Economy, ed. Robert A. Blecker (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1996). 22 Global Development Finance 1997 (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1997); Human Development Report 1995 (New York: United Nations Development Programme, 1995); Blechman, et al., The Partnership Imperative. 23 Global Development Finance 1997. 24 Human Development Report 1996 (New York: United Nations Development Programme, 1996). 25 See, for example, Lawrence F. Kaplan, "The Selling of American Foreign Policy," The Weekly Standard (April 28, 1997); and Amartya Sen, "Human Rights and Asian Values," The New Republic (July 14-21, 1997). 26 Blechman et al., The Partnership Imperative. 27 John Gerard Ruggie, "The Past as Prologue? Interests, Identity and American Foreign Policy," International Security (Spring 1997). 28 The State of the World's Children 1996 (New York: UNICEF, 1996); and Carl Haub and Martha Farnsworth Riche, "Population by the Numbers: Trends in Popula- tion Growth and Structure," in Beyond the Numbers: A Reader on Population, Consumption and the Environment, ed. Laurie Ann Mazur (Washington, D.C.: Island Press, 1994). 29 The State of the World's Children. 35 ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND 30 Steven Kull and I.M. Destler, The Foreign Policy Gap: How Policymakers Misread the Public (College Park, Maryland: Center for International and Security Studies of Maryland, 1997). 31 Steven Kull, "What the Public Knows that Washington Doesn't," Foreign Policy, no. IOI (Winter 1995-96). 32 Steven Kull and I.M. Destler, An Emerging Consensus: A Study of American Public Attitudes on America's Role in the World (Maryland: Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland, Program on International Policy Attitudes, 1996). 33 Steven Kull, Americans and Foreign Aid: A Study of American Public Attitudes (Washington, D.C.: PIPA, 1995). 34 Anne Winter, Is Anyone Listening? Communicating Development in Donor Countries (Geneva: United Nations Nongovernmental Liaison Service, 1996). 35 Garrick Utley, "The Shrinking of Foreign News: From Broadcast to Narrowcast," Foreign Affairs (March/April 1997). 36 Why Don't Americans Trust the Government? The Washington Post/Kaiser Family Foundation/Harvard University Survey Project (Menlo Park, CA: The Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, 1996). 37 Kull, Americans and Foreign Aid. 38 John Reilly, American Public Opinion and U.S. Foreign Policy 1995 (Chicago: Chicago Council on Foreign Relations, 1995). 39 Kull and Destler, An Emerging Consensus, National Issues Forums Institute, Mission Uncertain: Reassessing America's Global Role (New Jersey: John Doble Research Associates, 1996). 40 Lake Sosin Snell & Associates, "A Women's Lens on Foreign Policy,", (Washington, D.C.: International Women's Health Coalition, 1997). 41 Reilly, American Public Opinion. 42 Ibid. 43 Kull and Destler, The Foreign Policy Gap. 44 Examples from history include: Somoza's Nicaragua, Mobutu's Zaire, South Africa under apartheid, and current-day Israel. 45 See, for example, Enhancing U.S. Security Through Foreign Aid (Washington, D.C.: Congressional Budget Office, 1994). This study found "a fairly striking correlation between economic malaise on the one hand and domestic unrest and political instability on the other." 46 Jessica Mathews, "The Age of Nonstate Actors," Foreign Affairs (January/February 1997). 47 Ibid. 48 Robert A. Senser, "To End Sweatshops: Workers' Rights in a Global Economy," Commonweal (July 18, 1997). 36 GLOBAL INTERDEPENDENCE Henry Kissinger Perils of Globalism The IMF is no longer suited for dealing with economic crises. ly. Sophisticated credit instruments provide unprec- W hat began 15 months ago as a currency crisis in Thailand and then spread across edented liquidity. Hedge funds, the trading Asia now threatens the industrialized departments of international banks and institutional world. investors possess the reach, power and resources to No government and virtually no economist profit from market swings in either direction, and predicted the crisis, understood its extent or even to bring them about. It is market stability that anticipated its staying power. A series of IMF rescue they find uncongenial. packages has not arrested its spread and threatens Broadly speaking, direct foreign investment ben- the political institutions implementing them. In efits from the well-being of the societies in which it Indonesia a regime tainted by cronyism has been operates; it runs the risks and is entitled to the overthrown. But in Brazil, the crisis threatens one of benefits of the host country. By contrast, modern the most reform-minded governments in decades. speculative capital benefits from exploiting emerg- What was treated at first as a temporary ing trends before the general public does. It drives imbalance is becoming a crisis of the world's upswings into bubbles and down cycles into crises, and in a time frame that cannot be significantly financial system. In the past 20 years, two Mexican crises, in 1982 and 1994, spread to most of Latin affected by the kind of macroeconomic remedies America; the Asian crisis of 1997 has already being urged on the political leaders. infected Eastern Europe, South Africa and Latin America. Each crisis has been more extensive and F or example, when Asian creditworthiness began to fall, financial institutions and fund has spread more widely than its predecessor. managers holding the debt were tempted to Free-market capitalism remains the most effec- sell Asian currencies short, thereby accelerating tive instrument for economic growth and for raising devaluation and compounding the difficulty of the standard of living of most people. But just as the repaying debt. Speculators were acting rationally, reckless laissez-faire capitalism of the 19th century but the result was a deeper, more vicious and more spawned Marxism, so the indiscriminate globalism intractable crisis. of the 1990s may generate a worldwide assault on To maintain their overall performance, spec- the concept of free financial markets. Globalism ulators, as losses mounted in Asia, were driven to views the world as one market in which the most cash in their holdings in Latin America and thereby efficient and competitive prosper. It accepts-and spread the crisis. The capacity of smaller countries even welcomes-that the free market will relent- to deal with these massive capital flows is not equal lessly sift the efficient from the inefficient, even at to the temptations offered by the system. Regulators the cost of periodic economic and social dislocation. in the United States, Europe and Japan have not But the extreme version of globalism neglects the succeeded in dampening the increased volatility of mismatch between the world's political and eco- the market. And small and medium-sized countries nomic organizations. Unlike economics, politics are defenseless in the face of it. divides the world into national units. And while The speculators will argue that they are only political leaders may accept a certain degree of exploiting weaknesses in the market, not causing suffering for the sake of stabilizing their economies, them. My concern is that they have a tendency to they cannot survive as advocates of near-permanent turn a weakness into a disaster. If Brazil is driven 1/2 austerity on the basis of directives imposed from into deep recession, countries such as Argentina abroad. The temptation to seek to reverse-or at and Mexico, heretofore committed to free-market least to buffer-austerity by political means be- institutions, may be overwhelmed. comes overwhelming. Protectionism may prove The crisis in Brazil is a case in point. Despite a ineffective in the long term, but for better or worse, reform-minded and, on the whole, efficient govern- political leaders respond to more short-term cycles. ment, Brazil faces a crisis partly because, as one of the largest and most liquid emerging markets, it is In Indonesia, a currency one of the easiest from which to withdraw. If these trends are not arrested, global flows of capital will be impeded by a plethora of national or regional crisis, having been regulations, a process that has already begun. The International Monetary Fund, the principal international institution for dealing with the crisis, transmuted into an too often compounds the political instability. Forced by the current crisis into assuming functions for economic crisis, has which it never was designed, the IMF has utterly failed to grasp the political impact of its actions. In the name of free-market orthodoxy, it usually become a crisis of political attempts-in an almost academic manner-to re- move all at once every weakness in the economic institutions. system of the afflicted country, regardless of wheth- er these caused the crisis or not. In the process, it too often weakens the political structure and with it Even well-established free-market democracies the precondition of meaningful reform. Like a do not accept limitless suffering in the name of the doctor who has only one pill for every conceivable market, and have taken measures to provide a social illness, its nearly invariable remedies mandate safety net and curb market excesses by regulation. austerity, high interest rates to prevent capital The international financial system does not as yet outflows and major devaluations to discourage have these firebreaks. Nor is there much of a imports and encourage exports. recognition that it needs them. The inevitable result is a dramatic drop in the Ours is the first period experiencing a genuinely standard of living, exploding unemployment and global economic system. Markets in different parts growing hardship, weakening the political institu- of the world interact continuously. Modern com- tions necessary to carry out the IMF program. munications enable them to respond instantaneous- The situation in Southeast Asia is a case in point. The Washington Post MONDAY, OCTOBER 5. 1998 Crony capitalism, corruption and inadequate super- vision of banks were serious shortcomings. But they The risks that investors did not cause the immediate crisis; they were a cost of doing business, not a barrier to it. Until little more than a year ago, Asia was the fastest growing region are taking should be made in the world, its progress underpinned by high savings rates, a disciplined work ethic and responsi- ble fiscal behavior. more transparent. What triggered the crisis were factors largely out of national or regional control. The various coun- in Indonesia, is now a negative 10 percent, in tries had exchange rates linked to the U.S. dollar. Thailand a negative 5 percent and in South Korea an When China devalued in 1994, the dollar appreciat- optimistic positive one percent. It could be argued ed significantly starting in 1995, and the yen fell that without the IMF program, conditions would be sharply. Southeast Asian exports became less com- worse, but this is no consolation to governments petitive and export earnings fell. At the same time, and institutions facing massive discontent. the dollar pegs created unprecedented opportunities The inability of the IMF to operate where politics for speculation. It was possible to borrow dollars in and economics intersect is shown by its experience New York and lend them locally for at least twice in Russia. In Indonesia the IMF contributed to the the cost of borrowing-at no apparent currency destruction of the political framework by excessive risk. The borrowers invested in real estate and emphasis on economics; in Russia it accelerated the excess plant capacity, creating a dangerous bubble. collapse of the economy by overemphasizing poli- Local currency became overvalued and local curren- tics. The IMF is, quite simply, not equipped for the cy holders converted into dollars, inviting specula- task it has assumed. tive raids-all without significant warnings from The immediate challenge is to overcome the international financial institutions. crisis in Brazil and preserve the free-market eco- nomics and democracy in Latin America. A firm and T he U.S. Treasury, convinced that the matter unambiguous commitment by the industrial democ- could be dealt with regionally and gun-shy racies, led by the United States, is essential to after congressional reaction to the bailout of buttress the necessary Brazilian reform program. Mexico, refused to participate in the first round of An expanding American economy is the key to the crisis. But when the crisis spread to Indonesia, restoration of global growth. Whether this is the largest country of Southeast Asia, the threat to achieved by a cut in interest rates or a major tax cut, the global system could no longer be ignored. a strong commitment to reinvigorated growth is: At U.S. urging, the IMF intervened in both essential. situations with its standard remedies, leading to Above all, the institutions that deal with interna- massive austerity. Thailand's democratic institu- tional financial crises are in need of reform. A new tions have so far proved relatively resilient. But for management to replace that of Bretton Woods is how long can it sustain interest rates of more than essential. It must find a way to distinguish between 40 percent, a negative growth of 8 percent and a 42 long-term and speculative capital, and to cushion the percent devaluation of its currency? global system from the excesses of the latter. In Indonesia-a rich country with vast resources and an economy that was praised by the World T he IMF must be transformed. It should be Bank in July 1997 for its efficient management-the returned to its original purpose as a provider IMF, advised by an administration afraid of being of expert advice and judgment, supplement- accused of having political ties to leading Indonesian ed by short-term liquidity support. When the IMF financial institutions, decided to make its assistance focuses on multibillion-dollar loans, it plays a poker conditional on remedying virtually every ill from game it cannot possibly win; the "house," in this which the society suffered. It demanded the closing case the market, simply has too much money. of 15 banks, the ending of monopolies on food and Congress should use the need for IMF replenish- heating oil, and the end of subsidies. ment to impose such changes. But when 15 banks are closed in the middle of a Further, the central banks and regulators of the crisis, a run on other banks is inevitable. The ending industrial democracies need to turn their attention of subsidies raised food and fuel prices, causing riots to the international securities markets, just as they aimed at the Chinese minority that controls much of did to international banking after the debt crisis of the economy. As a result, as much as $60 billion of the 1980s. Regulatory systems should be strength- 2/2 Chinese money fled Indonesia, or more than the ened and harmonized; the risks that investors are IMF could possibly provide. A currency crisis had taking should be made more transparent. been turned into an economic disaster. Finally, the private sector must learn to relate For a few months, a special Treasury represen- itself to the political necessities of host countries. I tative worked with the government and the IMF to am disturbed by the tendency to treat the Asian ease the pressures. But by April the IMF was back at economic crisis as another opportunity to acquire the old stand. This time the explosion swept away control of Asian companies' assets cheaply and to the Suharto regime. A currency crisis, having been reconstitute them on the American model. This is transmuted into an economic crisis, has become a courting a long-term disaster. Every effort should be crisis of political institutions. Any real economic made to work with local partners and to turn reform stands suspended. The shortcomings of acquisitions into genuinely cooperative enterprises. Suharto were real enough, but to try to deal with them concurrently with the currency crisis has The writer, a former secretary of state, is produced a political vacuum in the most populous president of Kissinger Associates, an Islamic nation in the world. international consulting firm that has All this might make sense if the IMF programs clients with business interests in many brought demonstrable relief. But in every country countries abroad. where the IMF has operated, successive programs © 1998. Los Angeles Times Syndicate have lowered the forecast of the growth rate, which, The Washington Post MONDAY, OCTOBER 5, 1998 FROM : Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 04:57PM P1 Karen Mulhauser Mulhauser and Associates Management & Public Affairs Consultant memorandum TO: Melanne Verveer FROM: Karen Mulhauser Kin RE: Thoughts about building a constituency for global engagement and social and economic development DATE: July 6, 1998 I have been reflecting on your request for ideas about building a constituency for global engagement and international development at least weekly since we spoke. I have started various drafts, but now as we hear reports from China, I realize I should wait no longer. What follows is a brief outline. It does not include background information to justify the need to build a constituency. I hardly need to provide that since Mrs. Clinton clearly understands the need. I do want to let you know how very interested I am in the challenge, and how very important a contribution Mrs. Clinton makes whenever she speaks about global issues. She is able to bring the public's attention to these critical issues in a way that no one else is able. But, as the attached memo states, I believe it is not enough for her efforts to get the public's attention. 1 hope that with her initiative, Mrs. Clinton will take the public one step further and empower it to enter public policy debates on global engagement, sustainable economic assistance, and our future leadership role in the global community. As you know, over the months since we first spoke of Mrs. Clinton's interest in building an informed constituency for international issues, I have coordinated two international conferences with USAID one on Girls' Education at which Mrs. Clinton was the Honorary Chair and the keynote speaker, and the other was a Lessons Without Borders conference on Women's Small Business Development. At the latter, a commitment was made to convene a second Lessons Without Borders conference on women's small business development in Chicago in May, 1999. At both, Mrs. Clinton was a highlight of the conference, and both were excellent public education opportunities which provided useful lessons about how to do more to get the public's attention. She has a remarkable rapport with people here at home and throughout the world. I can hardly wait to hear what she has to say about this most recent trip to Chinal So, we must find a way to have her be a visible public educator, find the forums within various sectors of our society for her to carry out this mission, and find the resources to make it possible. I have spoken with Jill Buckley and her staff about many of my ideas which are summarized in the following pages. I will be happy to further develop these ideas and/or come in again and speak with you if you think this is an approach to pursue. 1730 Rhode Island Avenue NW Suite 712 Washington DC 20036 Phone 202.463.0180 Fax 202.463.0182 FROM : Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 04:57PM P2 Building a U.S. Constituency for Global Engagement and Social and Economic Development The First Lady's Initiative Submitted by Karen Mulhauser July, 1998 This draft plan of action to build a constituency for global engagement and social and economic development is presented in four sections: I. background summary of a few assumptions and understandings; II. goals of a Proposed First Lady's Initiative; III. basic components of the Initiative; and IV. possible next steps. I. Assumptions and Understandings The U.S. government is not likely to reverse its retreat from a commitment to bilateral and multilateral development support in the absence of a visible and informed U.S. citizenry that articulates the relevance of the developing world to our own - an understanding that social and economic advances in less developed countries advances the well-being of the people in our own country. The United States has, and will probably always have, a leadership role in the global community. The question this Initiative can address is what kind of leadership role that will be. Will it be a role of global policing? Of military power? Of building democracies? Of humanitarian and development assistance? Of global commerce? The nature of our engagement is one that concerns us all and the decision about that engagement is one that should involve an informed U.S. public. The people of the U.S. can be divided into three different sectors when it comes to attitudes toward global social and economic development, and any public education initiative should approach these different sectors in different ways. These three separate publics are the people who: 1. believe that the U.S. should not be giving foreign aid to other countries, we have problems here at home, and besides it's just throwing money down a rat hole. This sector I'll call "lost cause." 2. appear to not focus on global issues or are indifferent. Many have not formed a judgment on international development assistance. This sector I'll call the "movable middle." 3. already agree that the U.S. is a global leader with a responsibility to invest in emerging markets and to provide the sustainable development assistance which is both humanitarian and in our own economic interest. This sector, 2 FROM : Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 04:58PM P3 while not formed as an advocacy constituency is nonetheless a constituency that I'll refer to as the "already convinced." Obviously one would have a different conversation with individuals from each of these sectors, and so too an education effort would be designed differently for each sector. A description of how to approach the different publics is in section 11 of this memo. Growing interdependence among nations is inevitable and should be embraced, not feared or fought. The growing global marketplace redefines alliances. Changes in the conditions of environmental or health considerations know no borders. Electronic communications, especially the Internet, allow peoples worldwide to learn facts and to allow ideas to move more freely and rapidly -- ideas that previously could only be accessed by the powerful. Of all the people's movements in the world, the women's movement has taken the most advantage of the opportunities of interdependence to organize a global constituency. Starting in 1975 with the first World Women's Conference in Mexico City, but especially in the last decade, women from all regions of the world are organizing TOGETHER to encourage governments and multilateral institutions to adopt policies that would improve human rights conditions, environmental protection, access to improved health delivery, and perhaps most importantly, equality in political and private sector powersharing. Women took advantage of official UN and other world conferences -- whether organized on the environment, housing, social development or population - to meet frequently, share advances, and build a strong global constituency which has demonstrated that all issues are women's issues. While some organizations concerned with international development have in recent years understood the imperative of educating the general public about the relevance of the developing world and some have included the education of Congress, there is not a group or network that effectively reaches a grassroots public and effectively mobilizes a constituency to enter public pólicy debates on global engagement and international development assistance. This Initiative could inform a broader public which could then avail itself of the existing groups that are mobilizing informed citizens to educate policymakers. There is great wisdom in the recent document prepared by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Global Interdependence and the Need for Social Stewardship. While I will not repeat that report's findings here, I endorse them and believe the RBF paper presents the necessary background information that justifies The First Lady's Initiative or plan of action outlined below. Similarly, the new video prepared by USAID, entitled Making a WORLD of Difference: Celebrating 30 years of Development Progress, offers a good overview of the progress as well as the remaining challenges to not "squander this 3 FROM : Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 04:58PM P4 opportunity to improve the lives of future generations development is more than an opportunity, it is also a global imperative." II. Goals of a Proposed First Lady's Initiative Any major education and constituency-building effort should be designed 1) to inform, (2) to build or grow, and (3) to mobilize. The goals then of The First Lady's Initiative should be to: inform the general public about the relevance of the developing world to our own world. This involves major media campaigns designed to address the interests and concerns of people whose minds are open and who can see some link between events abroad and those here at home. Education can also occur through existing networks of organizations that want to be part of the Initiative. build an informed network of this emerging set of concerned organizations and individuals. This network should be given opportunities to express support for global engagement and international development assistance. Building toward a Citizen's Congress on Global Engagement as described below, provides an interesting framework for this growth. mobilize this informed and concerned constituency to educate still others. Such mobilizing efforts could involve existing organizations of domestic and international development organizations. To address these goals for a constituency concerned with the role of the U.S. in a global community, we should have an approach - almost a system of triage - that is designed to address the different concerns of the different publics described above: the Lost Cause, the Movable Middle, and the Already Convinced. In a system of triage, the strategists decide to put time and energy where a difference can be made and where, without an intervention, there is no chance of positive movement. Therefore, initially, the Initiative should not focus attention with the first group that consists of individuals whose minds are made up and will resist, perhaps vigorously, any information that is contrary to the no-welfare-abroad point of view. Instead two parallel, but related, approaches should be considered with the Movable Middle and the Already Convinced populations. 1. Educating the Movable Middle: An approach should be designed using tested methods to help shape public judgment on issues by providing facts and information in a manner that people will hear and understand. Much of today's public opinion against global engagement is based on misinformation or wrong information. In addition, where there is public support, people may need additional information to increase the salience of their global concerns. Opinions can be changed to become appropriate judgments once necessary 4 FROM : Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 04:59PM P5 information has been provided Therefore, education efforts outlined below are aimed at changing uninformed opinion to informed judgments. 2. Mobilizing the Already Convinced: This portion of the Initiative focuses on the existing constituency that will grow. as a result of approach 1. above. I believe strongly that it is not sufficient to get the facts out with an effective ad campaign that educates people. I believe it is also very important for an informed constituency to be mobilized as quickly as possible. These two parallel approaches -- education and mobilization -- need each other. Those who will become informed as a result of The First Lady's Initiative need to have a place to go to act on their newly understood convictions, and those who already "get it" need an effective way to express their knowledge, to think their expressions will make a difference, and to feel "part of a movement". It is true that many organizations, such as the Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership, the Business Alliance for Economic Development, The Coalition for American Leadership Abroad (CO-Lead), and NGOs such as the National Peace Corps Association, CARE, World Vision and others, are beginning to implement advocacy efforts, and that this new Initiative could focus entirely on educating the Movable Middle and leave the Already Convinced to be mobilized by existing efforts. I however believe that an initiative that does both, or is at least recognized as coordinating both, would be more effective. Perhaps no other person than Mrs. Clinton would be recognized as qualified to assume such an assignment. III. Basic Components of the Initiative This portion is divided in two sections. One outlines possible education programs to inform the Movable Middle, and the other outlines possible mobilizing programs for the Already Convinced. These are just outlines and can be expanded if The First Lady's Office is interested. Both parallel education programs could be designed to build toward a CITIZEN'S CONGRESS ON GLOBAL ENGAGEMENT in the year 2,000. Such a Citizen's Congress would bring together diverse sectors of citizens to inform themselves and others through the use of TV, satellites and interactive Internet activities. It could be designed (with preparatory conferences in advance and discussion within various sectors) to end with a consensus statement, or Citizen's Declaration of Interdependence. Informing the Movable Middle The media is an important component of an effective education campaign. Much of the U.S. media - as is the case with the general public - is poorly informed about the developing world. The international trips taken in recent years by Mr. and Mrs. Clinton have helped inform those media personnel who have accompanied them. An important media education program could be designed with Mrs. Clinton leading 5 FROM Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 05:00PM P6 delegations of media to developing countries with the single purpose of their education on issues of global interdependence. These trips funded at least in part by The Initiative, would be for selected media who generally report on domestic issues and who may become more sensitive to international linkages as a result of the travels. Briefing sessions with the media could be provided by Mrs. Clinton and selected experts on a regular basis for this growing media constituency as well as other interested media. A major ad campaign directed at the Movable Middle should be designed to take all opportunities to inform the open-minded public about the relevance of the developing world. Because international issues do have a salience with most people in the U.S. and polls show that most Americans do support effective cooperative engagement, an ad campaign could be designed to shape judgments and help build a constituency to support those policy makers who agree. Examples of effective ad campaigns such as the Tobacco Free Kids should be examined and appropriate lessons applied. Good polling data about U.S. attitudes toward global engagement and development assistance already exists. Message development and focus group testing is needed to find the most effective way to deliver constituency-building messages. Such messages will greatly assist media outreach as well as public education efforts below. Lessons Without Borders conferences, similar to those organized currently by USAID, can be an effective way to inform people who are concerned about domestic issues but do not yet articulate those concerns in a global context. These are most effective when people with common concerns and interests who have benefited from USAID and other development assistance, are brought to the U.S. and share their experiences with U.S. counterparts. This was dramatically demonstrated recently in Augusta, Maine where 1/4 of the participants in an international conference on women's small business development were women from the developing world. Equally important learning happens when U.S. community development workers travel to developing countries to learn how lessons from USAID programs have applications for U.S. problems as has been demonstrated with the Baltimore Lessons Without Borders efforts which continue four years after they began in 1995. A focus on youth will have a long term benefit as is demonstrated by Operation Day's Work which is a development education program for school age children which started in Norway 34 years ago. It now includes more than 900 high schools and 220,000 students. Norway schools have "International Day" and raise both awareness of the issues related to developing countries, and they raise money for less fortunate counterparts in developing countries. This youth-focused education effort is credited with the strong development support from Scandinavian countries. USAID has begun Operation Day's Work in the United States and hopes to join Norway, Denmark and Sweden with long term program that ultimately lead to a better informed public more likely to support international development programs. Other youth-focused initiatives can be incorporated or expanded including Worldwise in the 6 FROM Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 05:01PM P7 Peace Corps, Partners of the Americas and Sister City programs. A focus on youth is necessary to prepare tomorrow's leaders for a more global community. 1. A focus on women should also be a central part of this education outreach initiative. Polls demonstrate a gender gap with women being more supportive of humanitarian and development assistance. U.S. women's groups with a domestic-focus have seen their counterparts at numerous international conferences and despite the fact that their plate is full with domestic concerns, they are perhaps more likely than other domestic constituencies to make linkages with their global issues, to express domestic issues in a global context, and perhaps lead the way for other sectors to build a constituency for global engagement. These and other public education efforts to reach the Movable Middle will get the attention of a larger public, but that is not sufficient to build a constituency. Unless this emerging citizenry is mobilized to demonstrate its convictions, our policies toward developing countries and multilateral institutions may not improve. Mobilizing the Already Convinced The Already Convinced are often confused as to what to do that will make a difference. Although there is public support for global engagement and development assistance this support does not immediately translate into activities that will shape improved public policies. Those political leaders inclined to lead on international issues do not feel the support from constituents, and they will not until people who care about the developing world are mobilized to demonstrate that concern. I believe The First Lady's Initiative should include the creation of an infrastructure that can respond to the needs, interests and concerns of the Already Concerned constituency that will grow as a result from the activities outlined above. This infrastructure should be designed to: coordinate the educational efforts outlined above; form collaborative partnerships with NGOs and domestic organizations that have existing mechanisms to reach grassroots networks; develop a web-page to provide the U.S. public with easy to access and easy to read information that links our concerns with those of the developing world and links with the more effective pages of other international development initiatives. serve as a clearinghouse for national and local NGOs that want to be part of this global engagement constituency. refer concerned citizens to existing national and local groups such as the national peace Corps Association. organize a series of public briefings, debates, educational and media events and coordinate with others to build toward a CITIZEN'S CONGRESS ON GLOBAL ENGAGEMENT planned for the year 2000. 7 FROM :- Mulhauser and Associates PHONE NO. : Jul. 06 1998 05:01PM P8 IV. Possible Next Steps If the ideas presented here are reflective of the interests of The First Lady's Office, some or all of the following activities could begin almost immediately. Develop a draft plan based on this and other ideas brought to the attention of The First Lady's Office. The draft plan should include a scope of work and timeline. Convene a brainstorming session with key individuals whose judgment is valued and insights are needed to asses a draft plan. Such individuals might include Jill Buckley and others from USAID, Colin Campbell, Susan Sechler, and others involved with the preparation of the recent Rockefeller Brothers Fund publication, "Global Interdependence and the Need for Social Stewardship", Steven Kull, Celinda Lake and possibly other public opinion analysts, representatives of NGOs concerned about building a constituency as well as from the corporate community with global interests. It would not take much to grow this list beyond a useful size Identify opportunities for Mrs. Clinton to lead media delegations to developing countries. These delegation trips should be part of the overall plan. That is, if there is a focus on outreach to women or children, the media that covers those issues domestically should be the first delegations. Consider points along the calendar for Mrs. Clinton to begin speaking out about the Initiative. Some opportunities already exist and others will become apparent. 1. The fall, 1998 meeting of the Foreign Policy Association 2. January 13 - 15, 1999 Global Meeting of Generations 3. May 5- - 8, 1999 Lessons Without Borders conference in Chicago focused on women's small business development Begin plans for the Citizen's Congress on Global Engagement. 8 USAID U.S. AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT April 30, 1998 Assistant Administrator Bureau for Legislative and Public Affairs TO: Melanne Verveer Chief of Staff Office of the First Lady FROM: Jill AA/LPA Buckley USAID July Buckley RE: USAID TV/Public Education and Outreach Initiative This memo is an interim update on the progress of our TV/Public Education and Outreach Initiative. We will follow up within two weeks with a summary of options for the initiative. What we'd like to do is give you a "menu" of sorts to review and discuss with the First Lady and then meet to talk over the proposed options and possibilities. As you know, we convened the first meeting of the IWG On 2/26/98. (The group currently consists of representatives from USAID, Office of the First Lady, NSC, State, USIA and VOA. We will include DOEd and Peace Corps in the next meeting.) Following that meeting, and our subsequent conversation, we moved forward to meet with outside groups to gather ideas, gauge levels of interest in direct participation, and rally support for this effort. The groups we are meeting with fall into three main categories: groups with similar goals (e.g., Mott Foundation, Rockefeller Brothers, etc.); people with skills and technical expertise dealing with broadcast media; and groups that might be interested in funding this initiative. (The list is attached.) From our two months of meetings six main themes consistently emerged: Television and paid advertising: PSAs are great and work well as part of very focused campaigns for a limited audience. However, the type of television outreach we have in mind, the long- term impact we hope to have, and the breadth and scope of audience we hope to 320 TWENTY-FIRST STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20523 PHONE: (202) 647-9620 FAX: (202) 647-1770 -2- reach, would clearly need to be based on a long-term, multiyear paid advertising strategy, not just PSAs. Most people believed that a paid ad campaign would be the biggest (and arguably the most important) component to any public education and outreach initiative. We would like to investigate creative programming opportunities (this could be just the right time to take advantage of new FCC children's programming regs) as well as stand-alone spots. We also want to reach out to cable TV, network TV, the motion picture industry, and experts in children's television. Saliency, message & audience: There seems to be uniform concern about the saliency of our issue -- international engagement is not seen by most people as relevant to their lives. There is very good survey research available on this, as well as new compilations of data. The Rockefeller Brothers Fund has just given a small grant to the Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership to continue consolidation of all relevant polling data. Most of the polling has been on attitude, not message, and we believe that follow-up focus groups to narrow down and test messages would be essential. Steven Kull, of the University of Maryland, is continuing his survey research and is now focusing on the underlying "values" driving American people -- how people see things in the larger context, what is important to them, and their own image of the "public's point of view" toward international engagement. There is no consensus on audience. Some believe we should try for a broad, mass market general audience. Others think a smaller target would show more easily measurable results. There are audiences that may be good to begin with, people who are not part of our traditional constituency but have natural international interests (e.g., ethnic groups with ties to a country, people who travel, people in international clubs, foreign language press, international business, etc.). We could also find the linkages between specific issues and themes that link to the First Lady and resonate more easily with the general public. Then, we could do outreach thematically with different messages for different "pockets" of people. Reaching youth: The key to changing attitudes is reaching people when they are young. Youth, generally, seem to be an untapped audience and international affairs a somewhat neglected area in curricula. Reaching into schools has great potential and could be achieved several ways through new, interactive school curriculum development -3- and school service clubs (e.g., Junior Achievement, 4-H, Future Farmers, Key Club, American Field Service, etc.). Reaching youth in school would also be a way to reach families and would be a good foundation for extended community outreach. We could also provide states with a program to fulfill volunteer service graduation requirements with, for example, USAID's new Operation Day's Work - USA program. The link to education is essential, not only youth in elementary and secondary schools, but college students as well. Internet: The potential to "bring the world right into the classroom and home" is enormous. Innovative use of the Internet could reach a wide audience of youth and adults and expand our current network of Web users, constituents, etc. The Website could be an extension of the in-school component of this initiative, as well as part of ongoing media and community outreach. Outside technical expertise would be essential in developing a cutting-edge, interactive Website. Organization: Clearly, there needs to be a grassroots component to this initiative to ensure its success and long-term sustainability. Most people do not believe there needs to be a new organization, rather a way to tie the existing ones together. One suggestion was to expand the base of USAID's Lessons Without Borders program by establishing it as an independent foundation and using it as a possible umbrella organization through which we could run this initiative. There is great interest in the business community (Chambers of Commerce, Business Alliance, Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership, etc.), but the level of buy-in needs to be heightened and the saliency issue addressed. There are competing interests, but most people believed that the business community could be brought together quickly in support of this initiative. Funding: This initiative would need to be a privately funded, multiyear, concerted effort to ensure long-term sustainability and reach the broadest base audience with repeated, consistent, relevant messages. An underlying concern is not the funding itself, so much as the time needed to raise the considerable amount needed and the vehicle/structure through which the money would be run. Throughout our meeting process it also became clear that there are many people out there thinking about the potential of organizing around this goal, and we found almost everyone willing to be part of a core group to work with us and the First Lady's Office. -4- To date, we have spoken by phone or met with the following: Bill White President, CS Mott Foundation Maureen Smith VP Programs, CS Mott Foundation Judy Samelson VP Communications, CS Mott Foundation Talked mostly about message, saliency and the importance of long- term, strategic communications. Thought a paid ad campaign would be the biggest (and most important) component. Mark Gearan Director, Peace Corps Thought that the Peace Corps could be a great asset in this initiative and that we could/should capitalize on its popularity. Peter Fenn Fenn & King Media producer with international experience. Tie to the President of the National Cable Television Association. Jerry Klepner Black, Kelly, Scruggs & Healy Ties to Young & Rubicam and Burson Marsteller. Jim Margolis Greer, Margolis Worked with State and White House on Africa pre- and post-trip outreach ideas. Stressed need for long-term commitment. Steven Kull Director, Program on International Policy Attitudes, Center for International Security Studies, University of Maryland Author of The Foreign Policy Gap--How Policy Makers Misread the Public and Americans and Foreign Aid--A Study of Public Attitudes. Susan Sechler Aspen Institute Author of Global Interdependence and the Need for Social Stewardship report for the Rockefeller Brothers Fund. Priscilla Lewis Rockefeller Brothers Fund Special Assistant to the President Director of Communications Currently working on a second collaboration with Susan Sechler. Terry Bracey Bracey & Williams Barry Blechman Stinson Foundation Terry and Barry followed up our meeting with a plan outlining how they believe US business could be involved in this initiative. Pat McGuinnes President, Council on Excellence in Government Suggested The Partnership for a Drug Free America as a good case study and possible model. Also suggested the possibility of partnering with the current Peace Corps ad campaign. Bunny Lester Children's Television Workshop Assistant VP, Development, Marketing & Communications Offered suggestions about creative fundraising and volunteered to help lead a fundraising campaign. -5- Sally Patterson Winner, Wagner, Frances Thought thematic outreach to small target audiences would be the best way to link our issues to the general public. Joanne Eide NEA International Affairs Jill Christiansen NEA International Affairs Stressed that the link to education is essential. Thought that certain messages could (and would) be well received and understood by children as young as elementary school age. Karen Mulhauser Mulhauser Public Affairs Suggested expanding the base of the Lessons Without Borders program as the umbrella organization to run this initiative. Marlene Johnson CEO, NAFSA: Association of International Educators Thought an education component should continue through college. Polly Donaldson Director of Public Outreach, Partners of the Americas Discussed the pros and cons of reaching out to the general public vs. the "elites." Liz Schrayer President, Schrayer & Associates Campaign Coordinator, Campaign to Preserve U.S. Global Leadership Represents a coalition of over 300 businesses, including many Fortune 500 companies. Theresa Loar State/ President's Interagency Council on Women As we expected, she had good ideas and contacts for us to follow up in the future. We have also scheduled meetings with: Tony Blinken NSC Jeff Meer United Nations Foundation Peter Hart Peter Hart Research Associates Barbara Shaller AFL-CIO, International Relations Karen Nussbaum AFL-CIO, Women's Issues Jim Moody President, Interaction Gibby Waitzkin Gibson Creative Jeff DaPuzzo American Express Richard Bates Buena Vista / Disney Jack Valenti President & CEO, Motion Picture Association of America JAN 14 '98 08:42AM P.2 ABOUT FOREIGN POLICY American women are more dissatisfied with the state of the world than American men. Women are somewhat less attentive to international news then men and appear to be less knowledgeable then men about foreign policy events (Pew Research Center Surveys, 9/97 unless otherwise indicated) Dissatisfied with state of world 1997 1993 Women 71% 73% Men 57% 59% Attentive to Correctly answer International News 2 of 3 information questions Women 17% 29% Men 23% 46% More people believe that President Clinton is spending too much time on foreign policy as compared to domestic policy although the greatest number of people think he is spending about right amount on each. In the case of President Bush, a strong majority believed that he was spending too much time on foreign policy as compared to domestic policy. 10/91 9/92 12/93 10/94 6/96 Too much on foreign policy 58 70 36 45 36 Too much on domestic policy 1 1 17 4 3 About right amount of each 35 26 39 47 54 (CBS/NYTimes or NBC/WSJ) The public is very clear in its belief that the vast majority of President Clinton's time should be spent on domestic policy. Earlier they thought that President Bush was more wrong than right to concentrate most of his time on foreign affairs. In fact they thought he had neglected domestic problems as a result of spending so much time on foreign affairs. President Clinton Date Source Domestic/Foreign 1/9-12/97 Princeton 86/7 12/1-4/94 Princeton 85/7 10/21-24/93 Princeton 76/13 1/13-14/93 Yankelovich 76/14 President Bush More Right/Wrong 12/26-30/91 20/70 JAN 14 '98 08:43AM P.4 restrict imports to protect jobs in this country. (NBC/WSJ 3/96; LATimes 8/96) From 1947 at least through 1994, substantial numbers of Americans felt that it was best for the future of this country to take an active part in world affairs. (Gallup Organization) 1947 68% 1965 79% 1976 60% 1984 70% 1992 73% 1994 65% In February 1996 53% disagreed with the proposition that the United States should radically reduce its role in International Affairs while 43% agreed with this proposition. On the other hand late in that year 77% thought we in America worry too much about people in foreign countries and don't take enough care of our own. (Time/CNN 2/96; Tarrance Group & Lake Research 11/96) In early 1995 78% of Americans felt that the United States spends to much money on foreign aid and 87% of that group would cut foreign aid. The problem is that Americans have a much distorted view of the amount that is actually spent on foreign aid and when faced with the actual level of spending 81% think the amount is about right or too little. On average Americans believed that it would be appropriate to spend 8% of the federal budget on foreign aid and that 18% of the federal budget in fact goes to foreign aid. when they learn that the real expenditure is 1% of the federal budget their response is as described above. Again in mid-1996 when Americans were asked how much of each $1,000 in GNP was committed to foreign aid, the median amount "guessed" was $100 of every $1,000. When told that the realty was $1.50, 73% thought it was the right amount of too little (Survey by U of Maryland 1/95) - 3 - JAN 14 '98 08:43AM P.3 11/13-18/91 15/79 10/9-13/91 14/81 9/27-10/2-91 22/69 (Harris) Date Neglected/Not happened 12/26-30/91 72/23 11/13-18/91 70/29 (Harris) Throughout the 1st half of the 90's Americans believed that the United States should reduce its involvement in world politics in order to concentrate on problems at home rather than using its world position to help settle international disputes. Promote Democracy/Reduce involvement 6/21-22/95 21/72 10/25-26/94 22/71 4/21/94 29/66 9/19-20/91 19/73 (Time/CNN) Beginning at least in the mid-70s there were strong feelings that the country would be better off if we paid less attention to problems overseas and concentrated here at home. Date Source Agree/Disagree 9/12-15/95 U of MD 86/12 11/9/94-1/9/95 Univ. of Michigan 68/29 7/13-27/94 Princeton 84/15 5/18-24/93 Princeton 85/14 9/1-11/2/92 U of Michigan 72/26 9/6-11/7/88 U of Michigan 67/29 5/28-6/10/92 Princeton 88/11 11/7/84-1/25/85 U of Michigan 73/24 11/4/80-2/7/81 U of Michigan 78/18 12/6-14/74 Harris 87/11 Yet given all of the above, by nearly 2/1 in January 1996, the public believed that the United States should remain a world power even if costs and risks are high. (61% to 34% Princeton Survey Research Associates) As usual there is a certain amount of schziphrenia. In March 1996 72% reflected their belief that expanding exports to create jobs is more important than restricting imports to save jobs. The 5 months later, 63% said that the United States should - 2 - US International pending, 1962-2002 (Using CBO's Economic Assumptions) 27 24 21 in billions of 1997 constant dollars 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Source: Executive Office of the President of the United States, Historical Tables: Budget of the United States Government for Fiscal Year 1997, 1996. Notes: Data until 1996 is historical; figures from that point on are projections from the President's request for FY 1997. Cuts in international spending in 2001 and 2002, beyond those specifically identified in the President's budget, assume that international and domestic programs would be reduced additionally by the same percent (and defense not cut further). Figures are outlays and use the definition of international discretionary spending from the Budget Enforcement Act, which includes funding for the State Department, U.N. peacekeeping, military aid, international broadcasting, and other activities as well as development aid. ROCKEFELLER BROTHERS FUND 1290 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10104-0233 April 30, 1998 Office of the President Dear Colleague: Eighteen months ago, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund joined with the World Bank to host an unusual meeting of foundation executives, leaders of major humanitarian and environmental organizations, and officers of large multilateral institutions. Entitled "Building a Constituency for Global Interdependence," the meeting focused on the participants' shared concern about the erosion of American support for the policies, programs, and agencies of cooperative international engagement. Despite a great deal of talk about the global economy and the unifying effects of communications technology, there has been a growing tendency on the part of governments, the general public, and private funders to withhold support from development, exchange, and capacity-building initiatives that reflect the reality and implications of global interdependence. The enclosed paper, Global Interdependence and the Need for Social Stewardship, grew out of this meeting and subsequent smaller gatherings and conversations. Its publication marks the formal launch of a project that seeks to improve Americans' understanding of global interdependence and to build a stronger constituency for the global cooperation that will be necessary if interdependent nations are to advance their common interests. At the heart of this constituency-building effort, as the enclosed paper suggests, is a model of international engagement in which military security, economic growth, and social stewardship - the promotion of health, social stability, and human potential — are seen as mutually reinforcing expressions of American interests and values. Through additional meetings, publications, and other outreach activities, the Fund and its partners in this endeavor hope to help spark a larger conversation about the purpose, principles, and agents of American engagement in an interdependent world. These are complex issues on which the public has far from made up its mind, and the opportunities for dialogue are arguably greater now than they have been for some time. In fact, new polling data suggest that public attitudes toward global engagement may be more positive than policymakers believe them to be. Promoting and sustaining meaningful public dialogue around the issue of global interdependence is an urgent, indeed vital challenge. If this dialogue is to serve national interests, it must include the voices of knowledgeable lawmakers and policymakers. As you take part in that dialogue, my colleagues and I hope you will find our new publication and project informative and stimulating. We welcome your comments and look forward to your involvement in future project-related activities. Sincerely yours, Colin G. Campbell Cahin Completell TELEPHONE 212-373-4200 FACSIMILE 212 315 0996 EMAIL [email protected] Melanne- this wasa text of Wolfensohn note: handwritter note To HRC "My dear Hillary, Pan I have just returned from a visit to Nepal and India and want you to know how warmly you are remembered. You and Chelsea made a great impression and everyone from the Government officials, women's groups, the guide at the Taj Mahal and the shopkeeper at the Marble (?) Gift Shop -- all said how great you were. This makes me even more anxious to work with you during the second term on international issues. I know that the President has an international agenda in mind, and for this I am very grateful, but you personally can play a big role. If you have the time and interest I would love to exchange some ideas with you re development, women and children. Elaine and I follow with pride all that you and the President are doing. We wish you and our country great success next Tuesday. We look forward to seeing more of you during the second term and to helping you in any way we can. With our warmest greetings to you both - Jim cc: Melanne give frequin paling F 0 U s NATIONAL SECURITY JAMES KITFIELD MAYBE FOREIGN AFFAIRS MATTERS T he Cold War was a long haul, Myth No. 1: "I'm only reflect- full of sacrifices, and now the ing the views of my constituents." American people are in no In fact, pollsters found mood for new foreign adventures. strikingly little differ- "Do-gooders" who want the Unit- ence between the na- ed States to help cure the world's tional electorate and ills are less motivated and politi- voters in congressional cally potent than the realists who districts whose representatives intensely oppose sticking Ameri- favor international disengage- ca's neck out abroad. ment. In the four districts, 76-77 A Member of Congress who per cent of respondents were in votes for foreign aid is inviting a favor of strengthening the United flood of negative advertising and Peter Kuper/INX Nations; 55-65 per cent favored public ire. "Feel-good" national contributing U.S. troops to U.N. polls may support American en- peacekeeping operations; 64-68 gagement in foreign affairs, but per cent preferred that America Members of Congress, who moni- work through the United Nations tor the public pulse through letters and phone calls from their when military force was required. constituents, say they detect a neo-isolationist heartbeat. Myth No. 2: "Support for American engagement is 'squishy,' This picture of an inward-looking America emerged from more while a hard core of knowledgeable and politically active oppo- than 80 interviews conducted recently with Members of Congress nents favor reducing U.S. involvement in the world." Those and their staffs, executive branch officials, policy analysts and who "felt strongly" on the issue-based on their answers to 15 reporters and editors. The interview sessions and some related foreign policy questions-were actually more likely to favor workshops were conducted by the University of Maryland's Pro- engagement. Respondents rated the most "active" in politics gram on International Policy Attitudes, all part of a study on "For- (judged as having given money to or worked in a political cam- eign Policy and the Public." paign, or having contacted Congress on a foreign policy issue in Of course, the capital's politicians, policy makers and media the past five years) were even more pro-engagement, with 71 pundits have long prided themselves on their intuitive grasp of per cent favoring an "active part in the world." the body politic. They're usually quick to seize on real or imag- Myth No. 3: "Voters responding to polls on foreign policy ined mandates. In 1993, newly elected President Clinton was cer- engagement like to think of themselves as idealists, but they tain that Americans had demanded a government-directed uni- prefer hard-nosed realists representing them in Congress." versal health care system. Similarly, the Republican revolutionar- Though it is admittedly difficult, the pollsters tried to factor out ies who stormed Capitol Hill two years ago were convinced that the "poll effect" by using several clever approaches. Suffice to the public had signed off on their Contract With America and say, pro-engagement respondents tended to strongly favor can- especially a large-scale dismantling of the federal government. didates who closely reflected their own views. More surprising- Mandates, like beauty, are often in the eye of the beholder. And ly, anti-engagement respondents were far more hesitant to sup- so a similar misreading of public attitudes may be behind the port candidates who supported their view. Perhaps voters notion that the post-Cold War American electorate is overwhelm- actually like to think of themselves as hard-nosed, but prefer ingly isolationist. Experts at the International Policy program, for candidates who take a more idealistic or internationalist view of instance, had long wondered why that conventional wisdom failed the world. to square with their national polls, which consistently showed a Myth No. 4: "Any vote to pay U.N. dues or finance foreign aid solid majority of Americans who believed that the United States will end up as sound-bite fodder for negative advertising." It's should "take an active part in the world," contribute troops to the television spot every incumbent fears: "Congressman So- U.N. peacekeeping operations, continue to support foreign aid and-So: Year after year he's voted for foreign aid that sends bil- programs and pay its U.N. dues. lions of dollars out of the United States, much of it to corrupt But the pollsters discovered that many politicians and their governments with poor human rights records. We need a Rep- staffs simply didn't trust the national polls. Chief among their resentative in Congress who works on our problems at home assumptions was the notion that national polls be damned, things first-not wasteful, giveaway programs abroad. are just different back home. Well, maybe not. After reading the above advertisement for a So the University of Maryland's center compared that percep- hard-nosed challenger and an equally slick spot promoting an tion against reality. First they chose four Members of Congress incumbent's empathy for "hungry children and disaster victims who have been wholehearted supporters of cutting foreign aid, abroad," only 37 percent of respondents favored the challenger withholding U.N. dues, restricting U.S. participation in U.N. versus 53 per cent for the incumbent. Similar ads on the issue of peacekeeping missions and in general curtailing international U.N. dues revealed an almost identical split in favor of paying engagements (the identity of the Members won't be disclosed what we owe. until after Election Day). Pollsters then conducted extensive sur- In Washington, it's often said that perception can become veys in the Members' home districts to determine how accurately reality. The University of Maryland's polls suggest, however, the Members' positions reflected the opinions of their con- that politicians who are confident that they're carrying out the stituents. What the poll takers discovered should deflate a few wishes of America's isolationist majority may in fact be widely held myths. responding to a mirage. 2376 NATIONAL JOURNAL 11/2/96 667-2375 MEMORANDUM November 25, 1966 FOR: Melanne Verver FROM: Carol Lancaster Card SUBJECT: Foreign Aid in Clinton II As promised, I am sketching out what I think the major issues on foreign aid are likely to be in Clinton II and aspects of them that might be of particular interest to you. I shall describe three pressing issues involving foreign aid likely to arise in the coming months: budgetary levels; organization; and what for want of a better term I shall call "advocacy" -- helping the American people to appreciate better the purposes and impact of US aid abroad. 1. At the core of most of these issues is the budgetary one: what levels of foreign aid will be available to the US government to pursue its interests and values abroad over the coming four years? The first part of the answer to this question will come in the aid levels contained in the 1998 budget the administration sends to the Congress (likely to decided in the next several weeks). The Congress will provide a second part of the answer as it begins to cut from the administration's proposed level. As you know, aid represents less than 1% of the federal budget but it is a 'discretionary' expenditure and one that has had lukewarm support at best from the general public, the 'informed public', the Congress and, frankly, at times from within the administration itself. Thus, it has been slashed substantially in the past two years. If projections for future cuts in aid hold (of roughly one quarter to one third in real terms as part of the general effort to balance the budget -- see attached chart), several consequences are likely. First, the US may have to terminate its voluntary contributions to certain UN programs if it is to preserve its influence in others. My guess is that we will protect our contributions to the politically popular and effective UNICEF (which is headed by a US citizen) but possibly reduce radically our contributions to the UN Development Program (also headed by an American at present). Not surprisingly, cuts in UNDP have already prompted other countries to call for the appointment of a non- American to head the organization. Second, the administration may also have to apply a triage approach to which multilateral development banks it finances. Congress has already refused to appropriate funds for the African Development Fund (which is having severe management problems) and there is talk that perhaps the economic success in Asia argues for a decrease or elimination of US support for the Asian Development Bank. Budget cuts will also make it difficult for the US to support IDA, the soft loan window of the World Bank or even make up its arrears. Past cuts in US support to these organizations have already begun to erode US leadership in them. Further cuts will result in our falling further and further behind other donors in our contributions and even behind in our own commitments and weaken our ability to lead yet further, in terms both of policy and personnel. The overall budgets of these organizations may also decline if other governments, usually tying their level of funding to ours, cut their contributions. Cuts of the magnitude projected will likely have a major impact on our bilateral aid program. If levels to Egypt and Israel are held harmless as they have been since the beginning of the 1980s, cuts of considerably more than one third will fall on the rest of the bilateral aid program -- primarily on development assistance. That program is roughly $2 billion at present (with another $450 million in administrative expenses). A drop of one third in the program and administrative levels will force a significant reorientation both in the geographical and functional scope of the program, probably leading the elimination of programs in a considerably larger number of countries than is now contemplated and possibly also forcing the elimination of funding for particular sectoral activities. Cuts of this magnitude may also lead the administration to consider a fundamentally different approach to providing aid, with less emphasis on working through its (unavoidably expensive) foreign missions and a more hands-off approach reliant primarily on programming from headquarters. There are numerous options for dealing with such cuts -- none of them easy or pleasant. But one thing is certain: if these cuts occur and especially if monies for the Middle East are protected, US bilateral aid will be much diminished, much different than it is today, and probably much more poitically oriented. Supporting development will likely become a minor aspect of our relations with countries in Asia and Latin America and possibly even Africa. 2. The second foreign aid issue likely to confront the administration in coming months is the organizational one. It seems likely that Senator Helms will return to the issue, proposing again a reorganization of the foreign affairs agencies and possibly holding up new appointments until his demands are met or his support within the Senate Foreign Relations Committee (where all of the Republicans supported him the last time this issue was raised) is detached. Senator Helms will probably propose again that USAID be merged into the Department of State. My own views on this issue are no different outside the administration from what they were within it: it is a terrible idea with very great potential costs and very few benefits. The two agencies have different missions (I have served in senior positions in each and can speak from some experience) and different modis operandi. They both are struggling with difficult management challenges and a merger would make those changes immensely more difficult, probably paralyzing them both until the details of a merger were thrashed out. Finally, it is hard for me to see what will be gained by a merger -- not significant budgetary savings unless one of the agencies is savaged and not necessarily better coordination unless one literally takes over the other. However, if Senator Helms does raise the organizational issue again, the administration will have once more to decide how it responds. This could prove to be quite complex and contentious and will require considerable interagency collaboration (which was a bit ragged the last time the organizational issue was raised). Periodic issues involving the foreign affairs budget (especially when a crisis erupts with implications for deploying foreign aid resources) will also raise the problem of inter-agency coordination on managing increasingly scarce foreign affairs resources. These issues underline a problem that we have both struggled with in the past: the absence of someone in the White House with enough knowledge of the programs and sufficient clout to bring about effective coordination. There has been no such person over the past several years and it has showed sometimes in the differing positions agencies have taken on resource issues. That position should, in my view, be in the NSC and should probably be the responsibility of one of the deputies to the National Security Advisor if it is to be done effectively. It is to be urgently hoped that whoever heads the NSC in Clinton II will create such a position. 3. One of the things that makes it so easy for Congress to slash aid budgets, attempt to impose reorganizations, and often micro-manage the aid program is that the public is often uninformed about the issues at stake and unengaged in how they are decided (with a few prominent exceptions). While most opinion polls show that the general public is supportive of foreign aid, the issue is a salient one for very few. The active constituency for foreign aid is, in short, very weak. Even among foreign policy elites, foreign aid appears also to have lost its salience. The small and diminishing number of articles in the major policy journals is but one indication of these changed views. And this diminished salience is reflected in a relative passivity vis a vis budget cuts and often a sense of policy uncertainty. So what is to be done on this issue? Assuming that the administration is clear about how it wants to use its foreign aid as it bridges to the twenty first century and is organized internally to manage its diverse aid programs effectively, it would seem that there are three major groups to reach in an advocacy strategy. First are the foreign policy elites. The second is what I shall call the "engaged public". The third is the general public. To raise awareness and support of foreign policy elites inside and outside the administration for foreign aid, two things would appear to be necessary: a rationale for foreign aid that ties it to a key element in US foreign policy generally and statements by the President and Secretary of State to that effect. Possible rationales might include tying foreign aid to a broader policy of 'conflict prevention' which may be an attractive formulation but with a number of implications that would still seem to need considerable refinement. Another approach might include an increased emphasis in Clinton II's foreign policy on the importance of 'non-traditional' issues like global population, environment and so on which could be an important element in a post Cold War approach to the next millenium. If there is no such rationale and no articulation of it at the very top of the administration, it will likely not make its way onto the agendas of the influential voices in the foreign policy community. How to inform and energize the "engaged public"? By the engaged public, I mean Americans who are interested and informed to some extent on foreign affairs, who are often active in community or church organizations, and who might be willing actively to support foreign aid programs. The members of the League of Women Voters, Rotarians, and many, many others. What does it take to persuade the engaged public to write or speak to their members of Congress on issues or to the editorial boards of their local papers? They have not just to be informed but they have to have a stake in the issue. How can we bring about that? USAID's Lessons without Borders is one approach. But more is needed. Let me suggest an additional approach. Suppose you decide to make a trip to Africa next year. You will likely choose two or three types of themes to pursue on the trip: the challenges of girls' education; women's productive employment; creating and strengthening democratic institutions where they have not existed before. The themes could be selected not only for their intrinsic importance but because they can be made meaningful to Americans through their own values and experience the way most Americans approach many foreign affairs issues in any case. (Girls' education involves the value Americans place on opportunity for all children to have an opportunity to better themselves; programs like micro-enterprise lending that enables poor women to create jobs and expand their income (echoes in new approaches to poverty in the US?) ; democracy provides for freedom for all ) Visits to aid funded projects while in Africa (I refer here to projects funded by both multilateral and bilateral aid -- they both need to be included) would call attention to these problems and the solutions the US is trying to help Africans design and implement. A healthy presence of the US press corps on such a trip might even lead to print and electronic media reports on such projects (judging from the past, however, this would take some real effort ) The trip itself could lead to another book which would call attention to one or more of the themes of the trip. After the trip, you might consider doing a speaking tour within the US (bringing along one or two Africans who have benefitted from such projects to make it human and real) Attendees at such speeches might include a strong representation of local community leaders and groups who might then be persuaded to undertake some follow up activities (jointly with USAID or other aid agency??) to continue work on the particular problems. (For example, why not have the League host newly elected African parliamentarians in their homes for a week or two to help them understand how we deal with constituency relations, etc.?) The key to turning a potentially engaged public into an activist public is to get individuals involved in an aid-related activity to give them a stake in the overall program. There are many other approaches to this issue, I am sure, and many others with ideas on them. With regard to the general public, it is important to help inform them on foreign aid through speeches and the media. But, judging from the past, speeches without some sort of organized follow up tend not to produce action and have relatively little impact on Congress or other national leaders. * * * I do not pretend that this is an exhaustive agenda. It is intended to help start a discussion of what are the issues and possible strategies vis a vis foreign aid as we move into a new administration. I would suggest that you might want to discuss and develop your ideas further with two groups: key people within the administration involved with foreign aid; and several people outside it also engaged in the issues. You may want to organize two separate meetings of these groups since the viewpoints of each may be quite different and more frankly expressed separately. From within the administration, I would suggest you include Brian Atwood and Jan Piercy. Ideally, you would want someone senior and supportive from the NSC and State but it may be too soon to identify who those individuals might be. I wonder if you would not also want someone from VP Gore's staff though I am not sure who that would be either. From outside the administration, perhaps you should chat with Julia Taft of InterAction, one or more of the foundation heads that organized the meeting at Potantico (to find out at least what proposals and follow-up they proposed), perhaps even someone supportive from the media and political consulting field. There is much of significance to be done on foreign aid and an enormously important role for you to claim. I hope I can be helpful to you as you consider what you might do in this area. I would be happy to be involved in any of these or other activities where possible and appropriate. Meanwhile, I wish you a restful and peaceful day for giving thanks for the wonderful life we enjoy in this country and the opportunity to help others reach for such a life. That, in the end, is what this memo is all about.