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Case Number: 2013-0687-F FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the Clinton Presidential Library Staff. Folder Title: Bosnia - September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] Staff Office-Individual: European Affairs-Vershbow, Alexander Original OA/ID Number: 896 Row: Section: Shelf: Position: Stack: 34 2 1 1 V Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. draft Balkan Settlement Force Missions Statement. (1 page) 08/28/1995 P1/b(1) 002a. draft Paper: Multilateral Equipping and Training of the Bosnian 08/22/1995 P1/b(1) Federation. (5 pages) 002b. memo For Brigadier General Don Kerrick. Subject: Multilateral Equipping 08/22/1995 P1/b(1) and Training of the Bosnian Federation. (I page) 003. cable re: Bosnian Settlement Negotiations. (3 pages) 08/30/1995 P1/b(1) 004. email Eric Schwartz to Sue Bremner, Richard Clarke, Ivo Daadler, et al. 08/26/1995 P1/b(1) Subject: FW: U.N. Preventing. (3 pages) 005. memo For Sandy Vershbow and Leon Fuerth from David Scheffer and Jim 08/24/1995 P1/b(1) O'Brien. Subject: Proposed Sanctions Relief Package. (4 pages) 006. paper U.N. Actions for Implementation. (8 pages) 08/26/1995 P1/b(1) 007. paper Bosnia: Additional Tasks for the PIF. (2 pages) 08/26/1995 P1/b(1) 008a. letter Russian President Boris Yeltsin to President Bill Clinton. [English 08/14/1995 P1/b(1) Translation] (3 pages) 008b. letter Russian President Boris Yeltsin to President Bill Clinton. [Russian] (2 08/14/1995 P1/b(1) pages) 009. paper Implementing a Balkan Peace Settlement. (4 pages) 08/25/1995 P1/b(1) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA| b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. draft Balkan Settlement Force Missions Statement. (1 page) 08/28/1995 P1/b(1) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] PI National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA| P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA| P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute |(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA| and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA| b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy |(a)(6) of the PRA b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA) PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 002a. draft Paper: Multilateral Equipping and Training of the Bosnian 08/22/1995 P1/b(1) Federation. (5 pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] PI National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA) P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA| P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA| and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions |(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 002b. memo For Brigadier General Don Kerrick. Subject: Multilateral Equipping 08/22/1995 P1/b(1) and Training of the Bosnian Federation. (1 page) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia - September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - 144 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute |(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA| and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy ((b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy ((a)(6) of the PRA| b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA| PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA) RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC (MO) 08.28. 95. 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE UNCLAS "Eyes ONLY" CLASSIFICATION WASH FAX COVERSHEET SECRETARY OF DEFENSE CABLES C N TIME TRANSMITTED (LOCAL) TIME RECEIVED (LOCAL) FROM Cables OFFICE/DESK SecDEF PHONE NBR 697-8151 SUBJECT AMB Holbrook Trip DELIVERY INSTRUCTIONS: PAGES 2 (INCLUDING COVER) HOLD FOR NORMAL DUTY HOURS/ROUTINE IMMEDIATELY/URGENT NOTE: FURNISH AFTER DUTY HOUR CONTACT TELEPHONE NUMBER FOR EACH ADDRESSEE REQUIRING AFTER DUTY HOUR DELIVERY TRANSMIT TO AGENCY INDIVIDUAL (NAME) OFFICE ROOM NBR PHONE NBR WHSR Sandy Bershbow REMARKS: Deliver Per BGkerrick WASH FAX OPERATOR (703) 769-9329/9391 SECDEF CABLES (703) 697-8151 UNCLAS CLASSIFICATION "EYES ONLY" THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC (MO) 08.28. 95 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE B-4 2 TOT 1653 N CABLES SK SW # FAX Please deliver to MR SLOCOMBE and Me LODAC ASAP. COL Lowe 1820/28 AUG EYES ONLY room per Brig Gow Kerrick (For SANDY Bershbow) Also Relay to White House Situation 6 pages INcluding this cover / OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC (MO) 08.28. 95 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE 3. Aug 28, '95 Mr Slocombe/Lodic 1800 hrs This is the Karadzic-Carter - package as it Now stands. RH is still working it with Harry Burnes. It moves things porward but is far loss than what We or the Bosnians want. Important is what it doesn't demand RH is trying to delay its publications due to the stalling at Sarajevo. He points out that this is only Karadric to Carter. Not a US gout. document on officially approved by US. NSC and State are getting copines, Jim PARdew PS A New, cleaned up version will Go to Kornblem Meeting with Izet delayed. May be photo of only 2 today. OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC (MO) 08.28. 95 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE 4 FAX COVER SHEET The Carter Center One Copenhill, Atlanta, GA 30307 Fax: 404-420-5196 Phone: 404-420-5189 Date: August 28,1995 Number of Pages (incl. cover sheet):3 To: Assistant Secretary Richard Holbrooke Fax: 33 1 4312 2074: Attention Craig Kelley From: Harry G. Barnes, Jr. Director, Conflict Resolution and Human Rights Program Fax: 404-420-5196 Phone: 404-420-5189 Message: Dick- Herewith the texts I have just received from Pale;they wee delayed because of a power outage: I also attach a draft of a statement President Carter is prepared to make. The covering letter is the same as what 1 sent you on the plane. Note that in several places the US Initiative is welcomed and even accepted. In the list of items, they dropped the reference to the Grop Contact but President Carter will spell that out In his statement. In addition, Borko told me that Karadzic has very clearly understood that the Contact Group Plan is part of the US initiative. Item C introduces the word confederal which they say Bildt gave them, but I got Karadzic's agreement to go back to the parallel and special phraseology if confederal bothers you. Item E is the second of the variations I sent them last night that you said you would try to get acceptance of. Item H we intend on our own to drop. I will try calling you as soon as I get word that you have received this. 3 OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC (MO) 08. 28. 95 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE 5 РЕПУБЛИКА CPIICKA ПРЕДСЕДНИК РЕПУБЛИКЕ REPUBLIC OF SRPSKA CAPAJEBO PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC SARAJEVO TO PRESIDENT JIMMY CARTER 28 August 1995 Dear President Carter, In order keep you informed about our position, I wish to convey the following message to you and to ask that you do all you can to use it to promote the earliest possible resumption of peace talks on Bosnia. You should know that the Republika Srpska welcomes the current US peace Initiative and reiterates its commitment to a peaceful solution. In the light of this, the Republika Srpska is prepared to negotiate a comprehensive peace agreement which could lead to the formation of a Union constituted by the Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. The outstanding territorial Issues between the Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia Herzegovina would be settled in the course of the negotiations. To provide an indication of the provisions which we believe should guide the negotiations, I am attaching a statement which sets forth the basis for our willingness to accept the US peace initiative as a welcome effort. Your sincerely, Dr Regovan Karadzic President Republic 4 OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC (MO) 08.28. 95 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE 9 The Republika Srpska is prepared to negotiate a comprehensive peace agreement, on the basis of the current US peace Initiative, which could lead to the following arrangement: A. A union may be constituted by the Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. B. There shall be balanced and equal treatment of the Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. C. Both the Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina shall have the right to establish confederal relationships with neighboring countries. D. Any future political arrangements brought about by any community within either the Republika Srpska or the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina will not change the status of the other side, as described in subparagraphs A, B, and C. E. The territorial proposal contained in the US peace initiative will remain the basis for settlement and will be open for adjustment to benefit the interest of both parties. F. The full catalogue of human rights and fundamental freedoms as set out in International instruments will be respected, including the right of refugees and displaced persons to be able to return to their homes of origin, which must be an overall process. G. As soon as agreement is reached on recommencing peace talks, the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement of 31 December 1994 will be reinstated on a permanent basis. H. Nothing will be agreed until all is agreed. 5 (MO) 08. 28. 95 13:17 NO. 1460109554 PAGE 7 OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY DEFENSE/CCC Holbrooke's needs. J.C. DRAFT Harry: I think these other points would will be necessary to meet I have just received a message from Dr. Radovan Karadzic in which he welcomes the current US peace initia- tive in Bosnia. Let me list several of the main points: The message advocates the earliest possible resumption of peace talks, and sets forth the basis for his willingness to accept the US peace initiative, (which is understood to include the earlier Contact Group Plan), as well as other elements. As soon as agreement is reached on recommencing peace talks, the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement of De- cember 31, 1994 will be reinstated on a permanent basis. He believes the talks can lead to a comprehensive peace agreement within which the outstanding territorial issues between the sides can be settled. The 51-49 parameter of the US peace initiative who remain the basis for settlement and will be open for adjustment through negotiation to benefit the interests of both parties. In addition, there is an acknowledgement that in any future Bosnian entity the full range of human rights and fundamental freedoms will be respected, including the right of refugees and displaced persons to return to their homes of origin. This is an important statement which I have already shared with the US government. Peace will not come easily, but there is good reason to take Dr. Karadzic's statement and put it to the test, and to seek comparable helpful ef- forts from all the other parties involved to move rapidly to talks. 6 IX SECRET SUBJECT: Sanctions Relief Issues for Deputies Discussion Deputies agreed that sanctions against Belgrade (except for frozen assets) will be suspended once there is a signed agreement and lifted upon implementation. This paper lists remaining sanctions relief issues and indicates how the OVP proposal addresses each. OVP discussed the proposed sanctions relief package with Assistant Secretary Holbrooke and his negotiating team on 8/24. Where appropriate, the team's views on these issues are also listed. 1. Duration of offer: Open-ended or finite? OVP plan says finite - offer is withdrawn if there is no peace agreement by a date specified (tbd), but Contact Group has option of returning to a "neo-Bildt" approach. The negotiating team likes the idea of a limited-time offer but does not want to specify a termination date prior to getting the FRY's initial reaction to the overall relief plan. 2. When are sanctions and the border closure on Pale suspended? The OVP plan suspends sanctions against Pale and allows opening the border once initial implementation steps are accomplished. These might include initial withdrawal of forces to territorial limits, safe deployment of the NATO implementation force, achievement of specified milestones in the PIF's peace enforcement mission, and/or other clearly identifiable performance criterion. The negotiating team proposed keeping the border closed between the FRY and the Bosnian Serbs until the settlement is fully implemented. In any event, the team recommends reserving decision on timing of Pale sanctions suspension and opening the border until we have a better idea of how the power struggle between Belgrade and Pale will play out. 3. When are Pale sanctions lifted? The OVP plan lifts Pale sanctions after FRY sanctions are lifted to help guarantee continued Bosnian Serb good behavior. 4. How long should Belgrade be held responsible for Pale's actions? The OVP plan reduces the extent to which Belgrade is held accountable for Pale's behavior at the point when Pale sanctions and the border closure are suspended. Prior to this time, full sanctions against Belgrade are reimposed if the Bosnian Serbs impede operation of the PIF, violate the cease-fire, block humanitarian supplies, or otherwise violate provisions of the settlement. Once Pale sanctions are suspended, Bosnian Serb misbehavior will lead to reimposition of sanctions and the border closure against Pale. Sanctions against Belgrade would be reimposed only if Belgrade failed to close the border or otherwise support Pale sanctions. DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 SECRET R 10/1/2013 SECRET 2 5. What are our minimum reimposition requirements? a. The OVP plan calls for automatic reimposition of sanctions (as outlined in item 4.) if the PIF commander declares that his force cannot accomplish its peace enforcement mission because of action by the Pale Serbs. The negotiating team recommends that there also be provisions for automatic reimposition if Pale blocks implementation of political aspects of the agreement, as reported by whatever international body is charged with implementing political commitments. b. The OVP plan also allows reimposition of sanctions by a vote in the UN Security Council so that members of the Security Council can credibly threaten reimposition to punish behavior that does not trigger the automatic reimposition of sanctions. There are two options: 1. Sanctions are suspended for a finite period (60-120 days). The UNSC must vote to extend sanctions relief at the end of each period. A veto by any permanent member would prevent the extension of sanctions relief and force reimposition. 2. Sanctions are suspended for an indefinite period, but any permanent member of the Security Council can call for their reimposition at any time based on evidence that the Serbs are reneging on the settlement. Three out of the five permanent members must agree for reimposition to take place. 6. Should there be a Croatia linkage? OVP plan makes recognition of Croatia a condition for final lift of FRY sanctions. The negotiating team agrees that the U.S. plan must contain a Croatia linkage. At issue is whether progress in Eastern Slavonia should be linked to lift of UN economic sanctions, or to easing the "outer wall" of sanctions (access to IFIs, membership in international organizations, etc.). 7. Should there be a linkage to the War Crimes Tribunal? OVP plan has no such linkage, although it may possible to tie cooperation with the Tribunal and progress on other issues (such as Kosovo) to the pace at which Serbia is allowed to re-enter the international political and financial community. SECRET SECRET Sanctions Relief Strategy - 8/25/95 All parties reach a settlement by a specified date, including, inter alia: All FRY sanctions (except for frozen assets) A country-wide cease-fire suspended subject to reimposition provisions Free access for relief supplies outlined below Belgrade reaffirms border closure Option I: Upon initial implementation of settlement, e.g.: Withdrawal of forces Safe deployment of PIF PIF begins peace enforcement mission Et cetera Sanctions and border closure against Pale OR suspended subject to reimposition provisions outlined below Option II: Upon full implementation of settlement, e.g.: PIF completes peace enforcement mission; begins withdrawal Pale meets political requirements specified in settlement At full implementation as defined in the All FRY sanctions lifted settlement and when implementation force begins withdrawal/hand-of of missions Frozen assets released (subject to claims) Progress made towards E. Slavonia settlement Six months after full implementation All sanctions against Pale lifted Reimposition mechanisms: Automatic reimposition upon report by implementation force commander or other international body charged with responsibility for supervising political aspects of implementation that Pale and/or Belgrade is impeding implementation or otherwise failing to fulfill obligations. By direction of UNSC: Option I: Sanctions suspended for finite period (60-120 days); UNSC must vote to extend sanctions relief at end of each period. Option II: Sanctions suspended for indefinite period; any of Perm-5 can call for reimposition vote; sanctions reimposed if 3 of Perm-5 vote for reimposition. SECRET 3/4 SUBJECT: REVISED Sanctions Relief Time Line SECRET This time-line illustrates reimposition arrangements and how primary accountability could be shifted from Belgrade to Pale during the implementation process. FRY sanctions suspended Sanctions against FRY reimposed if -Cease-fire breaks down Pale sanctions and border closure suspended Border not closed Sanctions against Pale and border closure reimposed if Pale impedes PIF -Cease-fire breaks down FRY sanctions deployment or otherwise Pale impedes PIF or otherwise reneges lifted reneges Humanitarian relief blocked Humanitarian relief Pale sanctions blocked If Belgrade fails to close border against Pale, full sanctions lifted with time against Belgrade are automatically reimposed. delay Offer on table Negotiation Implementation ? Follow-on Now Signed Point at which implementation is sufficiently PIF hands off mission to Settlement, NLT advanced to warrant shifting primary follow-on force date TBD accountability for future progress from Belgrade to Pale. Exact definition TBD Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 003. cable re: Bosnian Settlement Negotiations. (3 pages) 08/30/1995 P1/b(1) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)| PI National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute ((a)(3) of the PRA| an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA| C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. (SA) 08.26. ' 95 16:30 NO. 1460120178 PAGE 3 DEPARTMENT OF STATE SERPM 2628 Confidence-Building/Arms Control Measures To Accompany Political Settlement Assumption: It will be important that the U.S. offer the perspective of "arms build-down" in connection with any settlement package -- both to help build political support among allies and partners for the overall U.S. initiative and to assist in creating an environment within which the Federation-Bosnian Serb military balance can more easily be stabilized. Any set of proposals to that effect, however, would have to be phased and flexible, readily adapting to changing circumstances on the ground and open to expansion over time in both scope and application. Step-by-Step Approach: In the first instance, we should concentrate on political/military confidence-building measures geared to specific areas and tactical situations along lines of confrontation within Bosnia itself. Their immediate objective would be to supplement and help stabilize the ceasefire contained in the settlement; accordingly, they would focus on disengagement of the parties, preliminary forms of weapons control, and transparency. More specifically, this might include (perhaps within the text of any ceasefire component of a settlement): -- Separation of forces and weapons along designated confrontation lines (e.g., 2 km for infantry, 10 km for mortars, 20 km for heavy weapons). -- Ban of certain military activities, including aircraft activities, in selected areas. -- Establishment of heavy weapons collection/deactivation sites. -- Establishment of joint liaison/communication links among opposing local commanders under the active oversight of the Implementation Force. -- Establishment of procedures for extensive monitoring all of the above measures by designated elements of the Implementation Force. As progress is made with each of these measures, we would seek to expand them in scope and effect. As some would presumably be intended for a long duration, we would wish to build in the possibility that, as the NATO-led military implementation force draws down with the accomplishment of its basic mission, monitoring/verification duties might be eventually passed to another body -- perhaps some configuration of UN/OSCE observers. Long-Term Perspective: Even as our immediate focus should be on local stabilizing measures within Bosnia proper to support the ceasefire and settlement, the U.S. should be prepared to offer at an appropriate political (SA) 08.26. 95 16:30 NO. 14601201 PAGE 4 DEPARTMENT or STATE with an emphasis on a commprehensive approach to the problems of the former Yugoslavia. The stated objective of such a U.S. initiative for confidence-building/arms control measures for would be strengthening stability and security throughout the region, with the specific aim of éliminating disparities and capabilities for launching surprise attack and for initiating, at a regional level, large-scale offensive action. Reductions, limitations and the realization of a more defensive set of force postures might be examined as contributions to a more stable military balance. Any initial deliberations among parties as to participation and modalities could take place in an informal setting, although the intention should always be to transfer any such the negotiations back into a more formal OSCE framework at an appropriate time. Recognizing the many inherent difficulties involved in any move towards a more ambitious arms control regime for the region, the U.S. objective would, in the first instance, be as much to set in place an ongoing process as the expectation of any early progress towards a CFE-like regime. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 004. email Eric Schwartz to Sue Bremner, Richard Clarke, Ivo Daadler, et al. 08/26/1995 P1/b(1) Subject: FW: U.N. Preventing. (3 pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia - September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - 144 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRAJ b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA| P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA| financial information [(a)(4) of the PRAJ b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions |(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA| RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 005. memo For Sandy Vershbow and Leon Fuerth from David Scheffer and Jim 08/24/1995 P1/b(1) O'Brien. Subject: Proposed Sanctions Relief Package. (4 pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)| Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)| PI National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA| b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute |(a)(3) of the PRA| an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute |(b)(3) of the FOIA) financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information l(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] h(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions |(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 006. paper U.N. Actions for Implementation. (8 pages) 08/26/1995 P1/b(1) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA| P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA| b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute ((a)(3) of the PRA an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 007. paper Bosnia: Additional Tasks for the PIF. (2 pages) 08/26/1995 P1/b(1) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA| an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA| P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute I(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRAJ b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA| b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. (SA) 08.26. 95 16:30 NO. 1460120178 PAGE 3 DEPARTMENT OF STATE SERPM 2628 Confidence-Building/Arms Control Measures To Accompany Political Settlement Assumption: It will be important that the U.S. offer the perspective of "arms build-down" in connection with any settlement package -- both to help build political support among allies and partners for the overall U.S. initiative and to assist in creating an environment within which the Federation-Bosnian Serb military balance can more easily be stabilized. Any set of proposals to that effect, however, would have to be phased and flexible, readily adapting to changing circumstances on the ground and open to expansion over time in both scope and application. Step-by-Step Approach: In the first instance, we should concentrate on political/military confidence-building measures geared to specific areas and tactical situations along lines of confrontation within Bosnia itself. Their immediate objective would be to supplement and help stabilize the ceasefire contained in the settlement; accordingly, they would focus on disengagement of the parties, preliminary forms of weapons control, and transparency. More specifically, this might include (perhaps within the text of any ceasefire component of a settlement): -- Separation of forces and weapons along designated confrontation lines (e.g., 2 km for infantry, 10 km for mortars, 20 km for heavy weapons). -- Ban of certain military activities, including aircraft activities, in selected areas. -- Establishment of heavy weapons collection/deactivation sites. -- Establishment of joint liaison/communication links among opposing local commanders under the active oversight of the Implementation Force. -- Establishment of procedures for extensive monitoring all of the above measures by designated elements of the Implementation Force. As progress is made with each of these measures, we would seek to expand them in scope and effect. As some would presumably be intended for a long duration, we would wish to build in the possibility that, as the NATO-led military implementation force draws down with the accomplishment of its basic mission, monitoring/verification duties might be eventually passed to another body -- perhaps some configuration of UN/OSCE observers. Long-Term Perspective: Even as our immediate focus should be on local stabilizing measures within Bosnia proper to support the ceasefire and settlement, the U.S. should be prepared to offer at an appropriate political (SA) 08.26. 95 16:30 NO. 1460120178 PAGE 4 DEPARTMENT 01. STATE with an emphasis on a comprehensive approach to the problems of the former Yugoslavia. The stated objective of such a U.S. initiative for confidence-building/arms control measures for would be strengthening stability and security throughout the region, with the specific aim of eliminating disparities and capabilities for launching surprise attack and for initiating, at a regional level, large-scale offensive action. Reductions, limitations and the realization of a more defensive set of force postures might be examined as contributions to a more stable military balance. Any initial deliberations among parties as to participation and modalities could take place in an informal setting, although the intention should always be to transfer any such the negotiations back into a more formal OSCE framework at an appropriate time. Recognizing the many inherent difficulties involved in any move towards a more ambitious arms control regime for the region, the U.S. objective would, in the first instance, be as much to set in place an ongoing process as the expectation of any early progress towards a CFE-like regime. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT UNITED TAIRE OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET WASHINGTON, D.C. 20503 THE DIRECTOR MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT THROUGH: LEON PANETTA FROM: Anthony Lake Alice Rivlin SUBJECT: Administration Priorities for Foreign Assistance Congressional appropriations action on foreign assistance has been cut dramatically from your budget request. The House cut FY 1996 funding to $11.9 billion, which is $1.6 billion, or 12 percent, below the FY 1995 levels and $2.8 billion below the request. Moreover, since a few large programs are to be funded at or near the request level, the cuts to other foreign assistance programs would be even more draconian. (See table at Tab 1.) The Senate Appropriations Committee is supposed to take up this budget in the middle of September. We have some opportunity to improve upon the low House levels in this process since the Senate has allocated at least $375 million more for foreign assistance in the aggregate. The amount may even be higher (by $68 million), depending on yet to be determined Senate budget scoring rules for the Israel loan guarantees. A basic issue for you to decide is whether to use these funds to pay for economic reconstruction in Bosnia, or whether to use them for a variety of other purposes from among other Treasury, State and AID programs. The $443 million available is in the same ballpark that the State planners would like to see for the Bosnian economic plan. Whatever your decision, we need to communicate quickly the Administration's preferences, especially to Senator Leahy, who is anxious to know what improvements we seek. White House staff solicited views of State, Treasury and AID, which differ greatly with each other. The following proposed allocation reflects our views, assuming you do not choose to use these funds for Bosnian reconstruction. We have chosen to ignore some bureaucratic imperatives in favor of funding good program choices. If you agree with the allocations, we will inform the agencies and work with Senator Leahy to gain their acceptance with the Senate Appropriations Committee. The table at Tab 2 shows the agency proposals and our recommendations. Multilateral Development Banks ($235 million increase). There is White House and agency consensus that the International Development Association (IDA) is the Administration's highest priority for additional funds. The total desired spending for this account would be $810 million. IDA concessional lending goes to the poorest countries in Africa and elsewhere, and it leverages economic reform by multiplying resources from other contributing countries. With funding in FY 1997, this would allow the United States to complete its previous funding pledges, albeit a year late. Economic Support Funds ($78 million increase). In addition to Israel and Egypt, this flexible account can provide grant aid to key countries such as Turkey, Haiti and, potentially, Bosnia. Excluding the Middle East peace process recipients, the total for this account would be $284 million. Anti-Crime Initiatives ($15 million increase). This funding would pay for a variety of initiatives against such problems as money laundering. Newly Independent States ($25 million increase). The proposed increase would bring this account up to a total of $605 million. The low House level reflected Congressional displeasure towards Russia, in part due to the Chechnya situation. AID personnel reduction plan ($30 million increase). The House-proposed 10 percent cut ($52 million) in AID's operating expenses in FY 1996 will oblige the agency to reduce its staff and close many overseas missions. To meet short term budget targets, the high up-front costs of reductions in force can require agencies to lay off significantly more staff than otherwise desirable. In AID's case, it could have to lay off as many as 1,000 staff in FY 1996, when the planned permanent reduction is 500 staff. These funds would only be used to downsize AID. Global Environmental Facility ($20 million increase). This World Bank-managed pool of funds is intended to counter the potential, adverse, environmental consequences of regular development projects. The total for this facility would be $50 million, carrying out a US pledge of multi-year support for the GEF. International Organizations and Programs ($20 million increase). This account makes contributions to the UN Development Program as well as organizations working on non- proliferation, population and environmental problems. The total level for this account would be $175 million. Peacekeeping Organizations ($15 million increase). This account is a flexible source of funding to meet political needs abroad. The total for this account would be $83 million. Partnership for Peace Program ($5 million). A small amount of funding would also be sought for Foreign Military Financing to support the Partnership for Peace program. -2- Setting aside the issue of Bosnia, the above allocations reflects consensus recommendation among the Executive Office of the President as to your priorities. Unless you wish us to do otherwise, we intend to pass these allocations back to the relevant agency heads. Assuming you agree, we will work with the agencies to begin discussions with Senator Leahy and other members of the Appropriations Committee on these priorities. Decision: Hold these funds for possible use in Bosnia? Approve the above allocation, passback to relevant agency heads? Discuss further? -3- FY 1995 FY 1996 FY 1996 FY95 VS FY96 Foreign Operations Subcommittee Enacted 1 Request House 2 House Middle East econ. & military assist. (ESF/FMF) 5,218,200 5,243,200 5,243,200 25,000 Israeli Loan Guarantee Program --- 68,000 68,000 Other Economic Support Fund (ESF) 232,400 381,100 206,400 -26,000 Peacekeeping Operations (voluntary) 72,000 100,000 68,300 -3,700 Other Foreign Military Financing (FMF) Grants 44,279 132,020 81,279 37,000 Assistance to the New Independent States 686,900 788,000 580,000 -106,900 Assistance for Central and Eastern Europe 359,000 480,000 324,000 -35,000 International Narcotics Control 120,244 228,000 130,000 9,756 Export-Import Bank of the United States 831,779 870,000 831,779 Overseas Private Investment Corp. (OPIC) 106,944 95,000 85,000 -21,944 Refugee Assistance (incl. emergency prgm) 721,000 721,000 721,000 International Disaster Assistance (AID) 169,998 200,000 200,000 30,002 Debt Restructuring for the poorest countries 7,000 27,000 7,000 Jordan Debt forgiveness 275,000 --- -275,000 Other Debt Restructuring 15,000 Multilateral Development Banks (MDB's) & IMF International Development Association (IDA) 1,175,000 1,368,168 575,000 -600,000 Other Soft Loan (AfDF, IDB Spec. Ops, ADF 251,513 452,611 100,000 -151,513 Global Environmental Facility (GEF) 90,000 110,000 30,000 -60,000 Hard Loan (IBRD, ADB, IDB, EBRD) 120,624 149,280 131,339 10,715 Enhanced Structural Facility (IMF) 25,000 25,000 --- -25,000 Other MDB's 143,743 223,806 193,800 50,057 Subtotal, MDB's & ESAF 1,805,880 2,328,865 1,030,139 -775,741 AID Program Funds Develop. Assist. & Develop. Fund for Africa 2,009,602 2,102,000 1,183,000 -826,602 Children and Disease Program Fund 592,660 592,660 Subtotal, AID program funds 2,009,602 2,102,000 1,775,660 -233,942 AID Operating Expenses 515,527 529,027 465,750 -49,777 Aid Personnel Reduction Costs International organizations & prgms (IO&P) 359,000 425,000 155,000 -204,000 Peace Corps 231,345 234,000 210,000 -21,345 Special Defense Acquisition Fund -282,000 -220,000 -220,000 62,000 Other Programs 272,015 348,452 244,100 -27,915 Technical adjustments -216,136 -281,146 -281,146 Total, Foreign Operations Subcomm 13,539,977 14,746,518 11,925,461 -1,614,516 1. FY 1995 values include supplemental appropriations and rescissions. 2. CBO scoring estimates $68M in BA & OL for Israeli Loan Guarantees -- OMB scores program at zero. Headroom Given House Funding House-Passed Funding Levels 11,925 (House did not use its entire allocation) Senate 602(b) Allocations 12,300 (Senate allocation is $100M higher and they intend to use it all) Headroom 375 Additional Headroom Potential Senate-directed scoring of Israeli Loan Guarantee Program 68 Total Potential Headroom 443 Proposed Allocation of Headroom House Consensus EXOP Key Accounts/Programs Passed State Treasury AID EXOP Consensus International Develop. Assoc (IDA) 575 225 260 225 235 810 Economic Support Fund (ESF) 206 50 --- 50 78 284 Crime Control/International Narcotics 113 15 --- 10 15 128 Global Environ. Facility (GEF) 30 20 49 --- 20 50 AID Personnel Reduction Costs --- 30 --- 30 30 30 Foreign Military Financing (FMF) 81 5 --- --- 5 86 Assistance to the NIS 580 15 --- 15 25 605 International Orgs & Prgms 155 35 --- 25 20 175 Peacekeeping Operations 68.3 --- --- --- 15 83 Asian Bank soft loans 100 5 70 --- --- 100 World Bank hard loans 23 5 5 --- --- 23 Inter-American Bank soft loans --- 10 21 --- --- --- Europ. Bank for Reconst. & Dev 69 --- 13 --- --- 69 Enhanced Struct. Adj. Facility (IMF) --- 5 5 --- --- Poorest Country Debt Forgiveness 7 10 20 11 --- 7 AID Development Assistance ** 1,247 10 --- 60 --- 1,247 AID Housing Guarantee 7 --- 16 --- 7 Total/ Proposed Increase 3,262 440 443 442 443 3,705 Notes: * The Request included $100M for UNICEF. The House provided for UNICEF in a new account. The EXOP consensus option level does not include funding for UNICEF. It is assumed that he Senate will fund it in the IO&P account. ** House mark for Dev. Assist. does not include @$492M for children's programs funded in the new account referenced above. It is assumed that the Senate will provide much of this funding in the Development Assistance account. SECRET 21002 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 August 24, 1995 MEMORANDUM FOR MR. LEON FUERTH DR. GORDON M. ADAMS Assistant to the Vice Associate Director for President for National National Security & Security Affairs International Affairs Office of Management and MR. KENNETH C. BRILL Budget Executive Secretary Department of State MR. DOUGLAS GARTHOFF Executive Secretary COL. ROBERT P. MCALEER Central Intelligence Agency Executive Secretary Department of Defense MR. AARON S. WILLIAMS Executive Secretary AMB. RICK INDERFURTH Agency for International Office of the Representative Development of the U.S. to the United Nations COL. F. C. WILSON Secretary, Joint Staff Joint Chiefs of Staff SUBJECT: Summary of Conclusions, Deputies Committee Meeting on Bosnia, August 23, 1995 (S) Please pass to the Deputies the Summary of Conclusions attached at Tab A. (S) Andrew D. Sens Executive Secretary Attachment DECLASSIFIED E.O. 13526 Tab A Summary of Conclusions White House Guidelines, September 11, 2006 By vz NARA, Date 7/31/14 2013-0687 - F SECRET Declassify on: OADR SECRET 21002 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 Summary of Conclusions for Meeting of the NSC Deputies Committee DATE: August 23, 1995 LOCATION: White House Situation Room TIME: 3:35 p.m. - 6:25 p.m. SUBJECT: Summary of Conclusions of Deputies Committee Meeting on Bosnia (S) PARTICIPANTS: CHAIR OMB Sandy Berger Phebe Vickers Rodney Bent OVP Leon Fuerth CIA Richard Saunders Dennis Blair Norman Schindler STATE Strobe Talbott AID James Steinberg Thomas Dine John Kornblum Dalena Wright Ralph Johnson JCS DEFENSE Wesley Clark John White John Walsh Walter Slocombe Jan Lodal NSC Sandy Vershbow USUN Richard Clarke David Scheffer Donald Kerrick (via secure video) Stephen Flanagan James O'Brien Summary of Conclusions Implementation of a Bosnia Peace Settlement 1. Deputies met to finalize development of an integrated political/military plan for implementation of a Bosnian peace settlement. They reached agreement on several eléments and tasked papers on several issues that require further analysis. These papers and a further and more detailed iteration of the OSD paper on the Peace Implementation Force (PIF) will be reviewed at another Deputies Meeting on Monday, August 28 (Action: OSD). (S) DECLASSIFIED SECRET PER E.O. 13526 Declassify on: OADR rz 2010-0533-M 5/9/2014 SECRET 2 Deputies will also review a paper for Principals summarizing key recommendations and issues for decision (Action: NSC) -(S) 2. Overall Concept: Deputies agreed that our goal in implementing a settlement is to preserve Bosnia-Herzegovina as a single state comprised of two highly autonomous units. Our priority is to ensure the survival of the Bosniac-Croat Federation; this should be accomplished in the context of unity with the Bosnian Serb entity along with rights of association with Croatia and Serbia. TST Deputies agreed that the Peace Implementation Force (PIF) should be deployed primarily (but not exclusively) in Federation territory. The operational commander should have broad authority for self-protection of the force and to enforce the cease-fire and separation of forces against incidents initiated by any party, using overwhelming force if necessary. At the same time, Deputies agreed the PIF should have defined limits on the scope of its responsibilities and operational conduct. The Deputies agreed that the response to massive violations of the agreement would be "evenhanded but asymmetrical." In the event of Bosnian Serb violation of the agreement, the PIF should be authorized to respond using air and ground forces, but this response should follow a ladder of escalation. In the event of serious Bosnian Government violation of the agreement, the PIF would withdraw. Deputies further agreed the PIF should not disarm the parties and that some tasks, such as demarcation of borders and resettlement of civilians, could be accomplished by civilian officials or agencies. (S) Taskings: State to draft brief overall mission statement for the PIF reflecting the limited tasks above. NSC to write a short paper identifying possible additional tasks for the PIF that may prove necessary, for example, if the settlement establishes a stronger central government or Bosnia-wide institutions. CIA to do an assessment of the Bosnian government's conception of a settlement and how this may alter the PIF's mission. OSD to do detailed mission statement as part of OSD paper. (S) 3. Gorazde: Deputies noted that Principals, in light of Bosnian Government resistance to trading Gorazde for other territories, had requested an examination of the requirements for ensuring the viability of Gorazde if it remains part of the Federation under the terms of a settlement. (S) Taskings: DOD and CIA to assess implications for the PIF and the longer-term defense requirements for Gorazde following the departure of the PIF, using the Contact Group map as the baseline, but considering territorial improvements (e.g., larger corridor) as well. (S) SECRET SECRET 3 4. Arms Limitations: Deputies agreed that our goal of establishing a stable military balance could best be achieved by a hybrid approach that would support enhancement of the self- defense capabilities of Federation armed forces (ABH and HVO) in tandem with efforts to reach agreement among all the parties to certain arms limitations or reductions. They agreed to separation zones (DMZs) and to examine inventory limits on CFE treaty limited equipment. They agreed that an arms control regime should have a regional context. Taskings: State, in coordination with OSD, to develop detailed options for narrow DMZs, separation of heavy weapons and/or exclusion zones, overall limits on heavy weapons and confidence-building measures that could be included as part of the settlement and/or pursued following implementation of a settlement. (S) 5. Exit Strategy: Deputies agreed that we need to establish a date certain for completion of the PIF mission. There was a consensus that the PIF should be terminated by the end of 1996. At the same time, we should identify mission-essential tasks that we would seek to complete prior to that date, although the PIF would withdraw whether or not all those tasks had been accomplished. (S) Taskings: State to draft an initial timeline paper defining political, economic and military benchmarks for accomplishment of critical tasks. CIA to do an assessment of how the parties would react to knowing there was a date certain. (S) 6. National Participation/Funding: Deputies agreed that the PIF would be a NATO operation with limited non-NATO involvement. While there would be a UNSC resolution authorizing NATO to conduct the mission, there would be no dual key or other limitations on NATO command and control. Deputies agreed that no Ally should be excluded, but that the need for NAC consensus would force us to deal with Greek approval of Turkish participation. Deputies acknowledged that operational efficiency might be compromised by involvement of non-NATO forces but recognized that non-NATO participation will be politically necessary and, in some respects, desirable (e.g., as a proving ground for Partnership for Peace countries to operate with NATO forces) Non-NATO forces would be under NATO operational control similar to a CJTF. (S) On funding, Deputies agreed that we would seek to follow the normal NATO approach, i.e., NATO and other contributors would pay their own way, with common costs assessed according to a variant of the NATO infrastructure formula. Funding arrangements more SECRET SECRET 4 advantageous to the U.S. would be difficult to negotiate with our Allies, but will be explored. Taskings: JCS/OSD to examine the political/military requirements and constraints of making the PIF a NATO-plus force, involving PFP partners and other non-NATO militaries. This should draw on previous NATO planning for implementation of the Vance-Owen plan (40103) and UNPROFOR extraction (40104). OSD/JCS to complete a cost estimate for the probable U.S. contribution to the PIF. The Peacekeeping Funding Group to reexamine alternative cost-sharing arrangements among the participants. 7. Joint Commission: Deputies agreed that a Joint Commission with local subsidiaries should be established (comprising NATO, the Federation and the Bosnian Serbs) to resolve problems in implementing the military aspects of a settlement. This might have national and regional components. Deputies also agreed that there would be other aspects of settlement implementation (political, economic, humanitarian) that could be beyond the purview of the Joint Commission, and that we needed to develop a concept for how these would be handled and whether there would be a senior Secretary General's Representative for NATO, the UN or, perhaps, the OSCE. They agreed that any arrangement should exclude interference with the operation of the PIF (i.e., no dual keys). (3) Tasking: State to draft a paper on the political analogue to the Joint Commission for implementing the non-military aspects of a settlement. (S) 8. Population Movements: Deputies agreed that the parties should have primary responsibility for population movements, with international relief agencies (UNHCR) providing secondary support. The PIF should generally avoid involvement in population movements, but it should be prepared to protect UNHCR personnel, aid convoys, and refugees in transit as necessary. Deputies also agreed that restitution and other forms of compensation were alternatives to resettlement that we should encourage the parties to explore. (S) Tasking: State and USUN will do a paper on policy toward population movements, forced departures and associated enforcement mechanisms. (S) Post-War Reconstruction Assistance 9. Deputies agreed that we urgently need a conceptual framework and initial plan for post-war regional reconstruction, as well as rough estimates of the overall cost, and the preferred cost- sharing among the U.S., EU, Japan and Islamic countries. They SECRET SECRET 5 also expressed concerns about the difficulties of offsetting the U.S. contribution to the program on the basis of reductions in other programs. Deputies agreed that we would actively pursue the EU's offer to take the lead and press the EU, Japan and the Islamic states to clarify their contributions to the package. Deputies agreed that, in order to encourage Bosnian Government flexibility in the negotiations, Ambassador Holbrooke should be in a position by Monday to suggest the size of the U.S. contribution that the President will seek from the Congress in the event of a settlement (between $500 million and $1 billion over 3-5 years) They also agreed that we needed to inform the Congress immediately of our thinking on post-war reconstruction in the context of consultations on the progress of the U.S. diplomatic initiative. (S) Taskings: State to develop a post-war reconstruction program for the region, in coordination with NSC, OMB, AID and other agencies. State to draft talking points for a call by National Security Advisor Lake to Spanish Foreign Minister Solana to reconfirm the EU's willingness to take the lead on reconstruction and to offer the parties such carrots as EU association and enhanced market access. State and NSC to draft talking points for Holbrooke's use with the Bosnians on August 28. State and NSC to draft a gameplan and talking points for Congressional consultations August 26-28; these points should be in the context of an overall review of the status of the peace initiative and should also reference our commitment to participate in an implementation force if there is an agreement they will explain our goals and why solid U.S. financial backing is essential (S) Sanctions 10. Deputies affirmed agreement on the main elements of our approach to sanctions relief for the FRY in the context of the U.S. diplomatic initiative: all UNSC sanctions, except those governing frozen assets subject to claims, would be suspended once there is a signed agreement; there would be a complete lifting of sanctions once implementation of the plan is completed; and Belgrade would receive less sweeping suspension of sanctions if it failed to agree to a solution for Eastern Slavonia at the time of signature. It was agreed that Deputies would need to decide at their next meeting how long we should hold Belgrade accountable for the actions of the Pale Serbs, and what would be the precise conditions for sanctions lifting. (S) Tasking: OVP to circulate a paper on a proposed sanctions strategy, highlighting the 4 or 5 fundamental issues needing Deputies' attention, including the sanctions reimposition mechanism and linkages to a Croatia settlement and war crimes, in preparation for the Deputies' meeting on August 28. (S) SECRET Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 008a. letter Russian President Boris Yeltsin to President Bill Clinton. [English 08/14/1995 P1/b(1) Translation] (3 pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA| b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA| b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute |(a)(3) of the PRAJ an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information I(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA) b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA) C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA| RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 008b. letter Russian President Boris Yeltsin to President Bill Clinton. [Russian] (2 08/14/1995 P1/b(1) pages) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia - September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)| PI National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information ((b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute |(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA| P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information |(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA| b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA| C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA| RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. Duration of offer? -- Open ended or finite time span? -- If offer withdrawn, what hapens then? When does the FRY get sanction relief? -- Upon start of negotiations & satisfaction of other conditions? -- or upon formal completion of an agreement? When are sanctions on Pale suspended? When are FRY sanctions lifted? When are sanctions on Pale lifted? = Are FRY and Pale treated the same throughout? -- If different, for what purpose and how? Reimposition Respons mechanism: -- Automatic mechanisms to Pa renew? -- Set review peirods with votes OF review? -- Right of challenge with votes to extend? What to do about a Croatia linkage? - Decomple? - other. - Delay final lift ? Whether & how to include a war crimes linkage? Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 009. paper Implementing a Balkan Peace Settlement. (4 pages) 08/25/1995 P1/b(1) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records National Security Council European Affairs (Alexander Vershbow) OA/Box Number: 896 FOLDER TITLE: Bosnia - September 1995 (Early): Early Sept. [4] 2013-0687-F vz2757 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA) b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute |(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA| personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRAJ b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA| C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.