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Jennifer O'Connor's Subject Files
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[Tobacco]
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DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES
THE. GENERAL COUNSEL
ROOM 713-F
PHONE: (202) 690-7741
FAX: (202) 690-7998
"
DATE:
7g 1/23/96
TO :
Jen D'Lanner
PHONE NO.
FAX NO.
FROM:
HARRIET S. RABB
GENERAL COUNSEL
Andy Hyman
COMMENTS:
Kentiveley - 0 requested
No. of Pages (including cover) 3
94567929:# 1/3
1-23-96 : 18:12 ;OGC IMMEDIATE OFFICE-
SENT : BY:
OFFICE ON SMOKING AND HEALTH/NATIONAL CENTER FOR CHRONIC DISEASE PREVENTION AND HEALTH PROMOTION
Currently, there are 804,100 adult smokers in Kentucky.
Tobacco Use in Kentucky
Current Cigarette Smoking Among Adults
Aged 18 and Older, 1992-1993
All States Overall
22.9
Kentucky Overall
29.3
Men
32.0
Women
26.9
Kentucky
<12yrs. Education
34.8
12 yrs. Education
34.1
>12yrs. Education
21.7
Women of Reproductive Age
30.9
White
29.4
Black
30.2
0
10
20
30
40
Percent
Current Cigarette Smoking Among
Past Month Cigarette Smoking Among
Adults by Age, 1992-1993
Youth, Grades 9-12, 1993*
40
50
34.4
29.3
30.4
40
30.
28.5
34.1
36.6
31.7
Percent
Percent
30
20
22.8
15.7
19.7
20
16.9
10
10
0.
Overall
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
()
Overall
Boys
Girls
Year 2000 Objective
Frequent Smokers-smoked 20+ days in past month
Past Month Smokers-smoked one or more days in
the past month
*Unweighted data. May not apply to all youth
(grades 9-12) in the state.
Health Impact and Costs, 1990
DEATHS RELATED
YEARS OF POTENTIAL
DIRECT MEDICAL COSTS
TO SMOKING
LIFE LOST*
RELATED TO SMOKING
Overall
7,449
Men
5.127
94,602 years or an average
Women
2.322
Death Rate 428.7/100.000
of 12.7 years for each death
Total
$517,000,000
Rank
47
due to smoking.
(No. I is lowest death rate)
*Calculated to life expectancy
Smokeless Tobacco Use
CURRENT USE AMONG ADULTS AGED 18 AND
PAST MONTH USE AMONG YOUTH,
OLDER, 1992-1993
GRADES 9-12, 1993*
All States
2.1%
All States
11.5%
Kentucky
4.3%
Kentucky
19.7%
Men
8.5%
Boys
39.0%
Women
0.5%
CDC
Girls
2.1%
"Unweighted data. May not apply to all youth
CENTERS FOR case AND CONTROL
- NON
(grades 9-12) in the state.
SENT BY
ε 12 #
1-23-96 : 18:13 :OGC IMMEDIATE OFFICE-
Kentucky
However, another 636,000 adults in Kentucky have quit smoking.
Tobacco Control Legislation, 1995
Excise Tax
Minors' Access to Tobacco Products
Cigarette tax per pack
3¢
Minimum age for sale: 18
Rank = 50 (No. 1 is highest tax)
Illegal for minors to purchase, possess, or use: No
Federal and state taxes as a
Restrictions on Vending Machines
percentage of retail price
20.0%
Vending machines must be located where minors
Annual net tax revenue
from cigarettes
$17,570,000
cannot access them unless machines are supervised.
Signage
Smokeless tobacco tax:
Signs required on premises.
None
Licensure
Vending machine license required.
Penalties
Penalties to business owner. manager, or clerk.
State Preempts Local Laws
Advertising
Preemption of government worksite provisions
Tobacco advertising not allowed on billboards
of smokefree indoor air laws and minors' access
within 500 of schools.
laws.
Smokefree Indoor Air
Site
Restrictions
Penalties
100%
Designated
Designated
None
To businesses To smokers
Smokefree
smoking
smoking areas
areas with
required or
separate
:
allowed
ventilation
State govt. worksites
Private worksites
Restaurants
Day care centers
Grocery stores
Tobacco Economy
Tobacco Agriculture, 1994
Acres harvested
187,000
Production in pounds
453,687.000
Cash receipts from tobacco
$786,000,000
Rank 2 of 16 tobacco producing states (No. I is highest cash receipts)
Tobacco as a percentage of cash receipts from crops and all farm commodities
24.1%
Tobacco Manufacturing, 1992
Overall tobacco manufacturing
$1,923,000,000
Tobacco manufacturing as a percentage of gross state product
2.54%
Tobacco Use Prevention and Control Program
Funding: CDC IMPACT
Regional Network: Southeastern Tobacco Prevention Network (SToP)
Contact
Todd Warnick. Kentucky Department for Health Services
275 East Main Street, Frankfort. KY 40621
Phone: 502-564-7243 Fax: 502-564-6533 Internet Address: warn [email protected]
SENT BY
ε /E
1-23-96 : 18:13 :OGC IMMEDIATE OFFICE-
Natthew
LUNDE & BURGER
John
CAMPAIGN CONSULTING
COMMUNICATIONS
Fixel
November 13, 1995
224-2559
KELIN Thing
TO: Terry McBrayer
FR: Brian Lunde
RE: Kentucky Election Results
sm cid and
While Paul Patton won the governorship in Kentucky, he lost the top tobacco producing
KY
counties. This, to my knowledge, has never happened in Kentucky before. Until 1995, the major
tobacco counties have always performed like the rest of the state.
In the 48 major tobacco counties*, Patton received 47% of the vote In the other 72
counties, he received 54%. (See the attached tables for additional detail.)
There is a good chance that Patton would have lost the race if he had been anti-tobacco.
His strong pro-tobacco stance allowed him to "stop the bleeding" in many of these counties.
If just 11,000 voters (out of the 371,000 votes cast in these 48 counties) had switched their
vote, Patton would have lost the election. Our conclusion is that he would have lost more
than 11,000 votes (just 2.9% of the 371,000 votes) had he supported President Clinton's
anti-tobacco position. The key strategic decision in the race may have been Patton's
unwavering and vocal support for tobacco.
The 48 major tobacco producing counties normally provide Democratic candidates for
Governor with over 60% of the vote. For example, they voted 65% for the Democrat in 1987 and
61% for the Democrat in 1991. This year was a different story as Patton could gamer only 47%
of the vote in the major tobacco counties. (In Table #1, note the massive drop-off in Democratic
percentages from previous elections to 1995.)
As Table 2 shows, 1995 was a dramatic departure from recent gubernatorial elections. The
top tobacco counties voted substantially different from the other counties in the state. In historical
terms, Democratic candidates for Governor just don't lose these counties as a group. What
happened last Tuesday is unprecedented.
2010 CORPORATE RIDGE
7TH FLOOR
MCLEAN, VA 22102
Telephone: 703/749-0575
Fax: 703/749-0595
Finally, there is one other way to look at the results. In the 22 non-tobacco producing
counties where the issue was not as intense, Patton received 62% which is consistent with
the historical norm but 11 points higher than his winning statewide percentage of 51%.
Without these 22 counties, Patton would have lost with 49% of the vote. The rest of the
counties in the state, which grow some amount of tobacco, gave Republican Larry Forgy a
51% majority.
*
There are 48 counties in Kentucky that produce more than 3.5 million pounds of tobacco yearly
which is the statewide average. These 48 counties produce about 75% of the total tobacco crop
each year.
LUNDE & BURGER
STRATEGIC PLANNING COMMUNICATION:
TABLE #1
Recent Kentucky Governors Races
Democratic Candidates % of Vote in Top Tobacco Producing Counties*
Lbs.
1987
1991
1995
(Millions)
Barren
13.3
69%
64%
55%
Bourbon
11.6
66
59
52
Fayette
11.3
49
57
45
Madison
11.0
55
59
47
Shelby
10.8
65
66
49
Scott
10.2
61
64
48
Woodford
10.1
60
69
49
Hart
9.8
70
64
51
Harrison
96
72
64
52
Henry
9.3
75
76
55
Owen
8.4
77
78
55
Mason
8.3
68
66
49
Jessamine
7.4
56
57
38
Washington
72
68
66
49
Garrard
7.1
55
51
36
Breckenridge
7.0
68
63
49
Mercer
6.9
68
59
48
Daviess
6.8
75
62
51
Pulaski
6.8
60
55
33
Fleming
6.8
68
65
47
Green
6.7
57
51
38
Bracken
6.5
74
56
45
Montgomery
6.4
70
67
57
Lincoln
6.4
77
50
47
Clark
63
65
51
51
Casey
6.1
81
40
26
Warren
6.0
69
64
44
Christian
6.0
75
65
52
Marion
5.9
81
73
59
Metcalfe
5.7
75
56
47
Bath
5.5
83
74
58
Taylor
5.3
69
60
42
Franklin
5.3
69
75
57
Nicholas
5.2
73
63
58
Grant
5.1
72
68
45
Pendleton
49
71
66
46
Adair
4.7
63
47
34
Nelson
4.7
73
72
54
Boyle
4.7
61
58
47
Hardin
4.4
66
69
49
Laurel
4.1
52
48
30
Lewis
4.1
54
40
35
Spencer
4.1
68
68
49
Grayson
4.0
61
51
39
Carroll
3.9
79
77
61
Morgan
3.8
81
82
61
Monroe
3.7
56
37
22
Trimble
36
73
65
57
TOTAL
65%
61%
47%
*
The 48 counties above each produce more than 3.5 million pounds of tobacco yearly which is
the average in Kentucky. These 48 counties produce about 75% of the total tobacco crop each
year.
TABLE #2
1987 Governor's Race
Top 48 Tobacco
Other 72
Statewide
Counties
Counties
Total
Democrat
65%
65%
65%
Republican
35%
35%
35%
1991 Governor's Race
Top 48 Tobacco
Other 72
Statewide
Counties
Counties
Total
Democrat
61%
67%
65%
Republican
39%
33%
35%
1995 Governor's Race
Top 48 Tobacco
Other 72
Statewide
Counties
Counties
Total
Democrat
47%
54%
51%
Republican
53%
46%
49%
-01-23-96 05:24PM FROM CDC - OSH
TO 912024567929
P001/003
Office on Smoking & Health
National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
4770 Buford Highway. N.E.,
Atlanta, GA. 30341-3724
Mailstop K-50
To:
Jennifer O'Connor
Phone:
Fax: 202-456-7929
KY
From: Michele Chang
Phone: 770-488-5709
Fax: 770-488-5767
Pages (including this page): 3
Comments:
01-23-96 05:24PM
FROM CDC - OSH
TO 912024567929
P002/003
OFFICE ON SMOKING AND HEALTH/NATIONAL CENTER FOR CHRONIC DISEASE PREVENTION AND HEALTH PROMOTION
Currently, there are 804,100 adult smokers in Kentucky.
Tobacco Use in Kentucky
Current Cigarette Smoking Among Adults
Aged 18 and Older, 1992-1993
All States Overall
22.9
Kentucky Overall
29.3
Men
32.0
Women
26.9
Kentucky
<12yrs, Education
34.8
12 yrs. Education
34.1
>12yrs. Education
21.7
Women of Reproductive Age
30.9
White
29,4
Black
30.2
0
10
20
30
10
Percent
Current Cigarette Smoking Among
Adults by Age, 1992-1993
Past Month Cigarette Smoking Among
Youth, Grades 9-12, 1993*
40
50
34.4
30
29.3
2K.5
30.4
40
34.1
36.6
Percent
Percent
31.7
30
20
22.8
15.7
20
19.7
10
16,9
10
0
Overall
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
0
Year 2000 Objective
Overall
Boys
Girls
LT Frequent Smokers-smoked 20. days in past month
Past Month Smokers-smoked one or more days in
the past month
Unweighted data. May not apply to all youth
(grades 9-12) in the state.
Health Impact and Costs, 1990
DEATHS RELATED
YEARS OF POTENTIAL
DIRECT MEDICAL COSTS
TO SMOKING
LIFE LOST
RELATED TO SMOKING
Overall
7.449
Men
5.127
Women
2,322
94,602 years or an average
Death Rate 428.7/100,000
of 12.7 years for each death
Total
$517,000.000
Rank
47
due to smoking.
(No. 1 is lowest death rate)
*Calculated to life expectancy
Smokeless Tobacco Use
CURRENT USE AMONG ADULTS AGED 18 AND
PAST MONTH USE AMONG YOUTH,
OLDER, 1992-1993
GRADES 9-12, 1993*
All States
2.1%
All States
11.5%
Kentucky
4.3%
Kentucky
19.7%
Men
?
8.5%
Boys
39.0%
CDC
Women
0.5%
Girls
2.1%
CENTERS FOR - CONTROL
Unweighted data. May not apply to all youth
AMI -
(grades 9-12) in the State.
.01-23-96 05:24PM
FROM CDC - OSH
TO 912024567929
P003/003
Kentucky
However, another 636,000 adults in Kentucky have quit smoking.
Tobacco Control Legislation, 1995
Excise Tax
Minors' Access to Tobacco Products
Cigarette tax per pack
3c
Minimum age for sale: 18
Rank = 50 (No. I is highest tax)
Illegal for minors to purchase, possess, or use: No
Federal and state taxes as a
percentage of retail price
Restrictions on Vending Machines
20.0%
Annual net tax revenue
Vending machines must be located where minors
from cigarettes
$17,570.000
cannot access them unless machines are supervised.
Signage
Smokeless tobacco tax:
Signs required on premises.
None
Licensure
Vending machine license required.
Penalties
Penalties to business owner. manager, or clerk.
State Preempts Local Laws
Advertising
Preemption of government worksite provisions
Tobacco advertising not allowed on billboards
of smokefree indoor air laws and minors' access
within 500 of schools.
laws.
Smokefree Indoor Air
Site
Restrictions
Penalties
100%
Designated
Designated
None
To businesses
To smokers
Smokefree
smoking
smoking areas
areas with
required or
separate
allowed
ventilation
State govt. worksites
Private worksites
Restaurants
Day care centers
Grocery stores
Tobacco Economy
Tobacco Agriculture, 1994
Acres harvested
187.000
Production in pounds
453,687,000
Cash receipts from tobacco
$786,000,000
Rank 2 of 16 tobacco producing states (No. I is highest cash receipts)
Tobacco as a percentage of cash receipts from crops and all farm commodities
24.1%
Tobacco Manufacturing, 1992
Overall tobacco manufacturing
$1.923.000,000
Tobacco manufacturing as a percentage of gross state product
2.54%
Tobacco Use Prevention and Control Program
Funding: CDC IMPACT
Regional Network: Southeastern Tobacco Prevention Network (SToP)
Contact
Todd Warnick. Kentucky Department for Health Services
275 East Main Street, Frankfort, KY 40621
Phone: 502-564-7243 Fax: 502-564-6533 Internet Address: [email protected]