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FOIA Number: 2016-0970-F FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the William J. Clinton Presidential Library Staff. Collection/Record Group: Clinton Presidential Records Subgroup/Office of Origin: Staff Secretary Series/Staff Member: Sean Maloney Subseries: OA/ID Number: 14868 FolderID: Folder Title: Tuesday, October 5, 1999 [1] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: S 40 5 3 1 Withdrawal/Redaction Marker Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. note [Personally Identifiable Information] [partial] (1 page) 10/00/1999 b(6) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records Staff Secretary Sean Maloney (Chron File (Oct 99)) OA/Box Number: 14868 FOLDER TITLE: Tuesday, October 5, 1999 2016-0970-F rs3012 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN wen 10-5-99 13" is X of ULTRA OR BUT mey XX way USER 19/9/19 the 2 as copied Berger Podesta Robert D. Novak Labor and Gore Next week brings an unwelcome conjunc- ey-laundering conspiracy aimed at keeping But the United Auto Workers have not been light, and though not officially targeted, he tion even someone so close to the Clinton- charmed by Gore's long-standing vendetta could become involved in the New York City Gore political apparatus as Trumka. tion of events for the AFL-CIO hierarchy in Hoffa out of power. general and Secretary-Treasurer Rich Trumka Hoffa and his friends, occupying the Team- against the internal combustion engine, and trial scheduled to begin Oct. 12. Thus, the voiding of Carey's 1996 election in particular. At the labor federation's exec- its president, Stephen Yokich, has held back Just how far afield that trial goes is up to the and Hoffa's victory in the 1998 special election sters palace on Capitol Hill, threaten the cozy utive counsel meeting Oct. 11 in Los Angeles, partnership between the Democratic Party from endorsing the vice president. So have the defendant: William Hamilton, the Teamsters' pose long-term consequences for the labor- and big labor. Indeed, they are still bitter political director during the Carey regime. He Democratic marriage. The new Teamsters Trumka will press hard for an immediate pres- painters and electricians. idential endorsement of Vice President Al about plotting between the White House and Trumka's high-profile activity for Gore pins is charged with orchestrating the money- leader rejected a feeler from Pat Buchanan to Gore. On the next day, when a labor-Demo- AFL-CIO that rigged the 1996 election to keep down Teamster non-support. In November laundering conspiracy intended to swap in- be his vice-presidential running mate on the 1997, a court-appointed master ruled that flated contributions to the Democratic Party Reform ticket. But Hoffa has signaled he likes cratic Party federal corruption trial begins in Hoffa out power. The Teamsters don't figure New York City district court, Trumka will be they can block the Gore endorsement, but Trumka had improperly raised $50,000 for in return for funds to reelect Carey. He has Buchanan because they share the same views then-Teamsters President Ron Carey's 1996 been under intense pressure to make a plea on NAFTA and Mexican long-haul trucking. praying just as hard that he is not involved. they want no part of it. The offstage actor in both events is Team- Gore is desperate for help from his friends reelection, which defeated Hoffa but was void- bargain by testifying against other conspira- The Republican front-runner, Texas Gov. in labor. Moving his headquarters to Nashville ed by court order. Trumka then invoked the tors. The master's report also has McEntee George W. Bush, also has good relations with sters President James P. Hoffa. The reason the and challenging Bill Bradley to a series of de- Fifth Amendment in refusing to cooperate improperly sending $20,000 to the Teamsters, Hoffa and opposes a continuation of court- AFL-CIO brass has to work so aggressively for bates betray weakness. AFL-CIO President with the federal government's investigation. but he is not a prosecutorial target. ordered supervision over the Teamsters. So the Gore endorsement is that the Teamsters John Sweeney wants to endorse the vice presi- Sweeney did not ask for Trumka's resignation, A government source says that if Hamilton the Teamsters say no to Al Gore and secretly support that would have gone automatically to the vice president was withdrawn immedi- reversing an AFL-CIO practice of 40 years. is to avoid the possibility of a prison term, his hope the money-laundering case actually does dent, and the heat has been applied to recal- best bet would be to "give up" Trumka. If he go to trial. ately when Hoffa was 'ected president nearly citrants by Trumka and Gerald McEntee, head According to Justice Department sources, a year ago. The New York trial charges a mon- of the big government workers' union. Trumka has been in the investigative spot- did, it might be too late to save from prosecu- © 1999, Creators Syndicate Inc. 10 ation Act. Iraq." that will topple. military. MONDAY, OCTOBER 4. 1999 The Washington Post The writer is a Democratic senator from Nebraska. supplanted by security, prosperity and creative diversity. where ethnic rivalry, poverty and excessive armaments will be to starve. A democratic Iraq will transform the Middle East, war against one another. Democracies do not allow their people democracy, our pride should double. Democracies do not wage stand we took. And if our subsequent support of Iraq leads to truth about Saddam's regime spills out-we will be proud of the The liberation of Iraq is inevitable. When it comes-and the articles for the Tragi opposition authorized under the Iraq I iber- er boldness, especially with regard to the draw-down of defense the same time, I encourage the administration to with great- Iraq, to unite the Iraqi opposition and coordinate U.S. policy. At Ricciardone, the special representative for the transition in posed to Saddam's regime. I also appreciate the efforts of Frank administration for putting the United States on record as op- Iraq that have shaped the safe-sided U.S. approach. I praise the The Iraq Liberation Act counters false presumptions about day embroils our military in combat operations. its neighbors, fired ballistic missiles at Israel and which even to- that used chemical weapons on its own people, invaded two of been more interested in avoiding risk than in ending the regime been callous by failing to support the Iraqi opposition. We have We have been callous, but not through sanctions. We have that we are "insensitive to the human disaster underway in spection system. French Foreign Minister Hubert Vedrine says is, drop the sanctions, and accept a "less confrontational" in- cares. Some of our allies suggest we accept the Iraqi regime as it Behind the arguments for inaction is the notion that no one a unified, well-financed rebel movement. This is leadership self and two sons. This is not a coalition that could withstand and two sons-in-law. His leadership circle has shrunk to him- tle insulation from Saddam's wrath; he murdered his cousin but also his more effective lieutenants. Family ties provide lit- force his authority. Saddam has eliminated not only his rivals Saddam is also weak in terms of subordinates who can en- tions suggest that little fighting spirit is to be found in the Iraqi saw in the Gulf War that few wanted to make the supreme sacri- them. Iraq's air defenses are daily proven ineffective. Also, we lightly armed Kurds or Shia rebels-but not enough to conquer Saddam looks weak. He may have enough capability to terrorize A third presumption is that Saddam is strong. Iraq is almost Americans in American government. of nationality: eration. fice to follow Saddam's orders, and the many ensuing deser- terms of current capability against a well-armed rebel force, certainly developing more weapons of mass destruction. But in participation in Israeli politics and the participation of Arab elections in Jordan, Kuwait and Lebanon, as well as Israeli-Arab selves better than others can rule them. I believe this based on with a small as well as a large D, I believe Iraqis can rule them- are missing from their DNA, is racist. Because I am a democrat cy. The notion that Iraqis are deficient, that the democracy lines A second presumption is that Iraq cannot practice democra- glot composition of Baghdad demonstrates Iraqis' strong sense performance of Iraqi soldiers in the war with Iran and the poly- into ethnic mini-states, threatening its neighbors' stability. The tion on this is that without a dictatorship, Iraq would dissolve thaw, dictatorships end not with stability but uproar. A varia- Stasis freezes things. And because frozen things inevitably Arab world proves this notion's falsity. Dictators bring stasis. The first presumption is that dictators bring stability. The false presumptions and delays a fuller commitment to Iraq's lib- Iraq fatigue exists among policymakers. This fatigue is based on inevitable but also may be imminent. Yet a certain amount of This is an important step toward liberation, which is not only tion will meet in New York to hold their first national assembly. Hussein. Later this month, members of the united Iraqi opposi- finished business, none more urgent than the regime of Saddam tion have helped liberate many countries. But we have un- Throughout this century, American support and determina- To Liberate Iraq Bob Kerrey THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 copied Blumenthal Podesta 100) 10/03/99 SUN 08:04 FAX For now, the situation is bleak Heavy Debt Erodes and getting worse. Л study pub- Either way, the result is the na- Bahed last week by the Organiza- lion's most fundamental prob- tion of Economic Cooperation lems have not been addressed United Germany's and Development showed that in since unification," Baring said. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN terms of growth and Jobs outlook. Upon taking office, close asso- Germany languishes at the bac. clates say Schrocder was stunned tom: 10-5-99 Prosperity, Power by the ruinous state of the na- The basic problem is clear: The tion's (inances that he had inher- terms of the generous social con- Ited from Kohl. As a master of A1 tract drawn up in the days of B) WILLIUM DROZDIAK Germany's postwer economic consensus. the chancellor of Gcr- Wushington Phot Foreign Service boom have become too expen- man unity had tried to please sive. The high cost of subsidiaing everyhody by pouring huge sums BERLIN. Oct. 2-When its 82 million people 4 million unemployed workers of money Into the cast while bridged the Cold War divide to become a reunited and their families, paying pen- fueling an economic boom In the nation nine years ago Sunday. Germany acemed poised sions sometimes cqual to full rala- to emerge (rom the shadows of Nazi and Communist rics and lavishing almost $100 west. dictatorships and blossom into a new superpower billion a year on the east have "We now realize we should whose political inducnce would be commensurate with caused the national debt to triple have used reunification as an its clout as the world's chird-targest economy. in less than a decade. It is running opportunity to push through re- Yet nearly a decade after the fall of the Berlin Wall close to $900 billion-a burden of forms needed to modernize Ger- signaled a new era of German ascendancy. the founda- $11,000 for every German. meny and prepare the nation for dony of the nation's prosperity are rapidly eroding. Just when Germany requires the 21st century." said Wallgang There is broad agreement among politicians, econo- more investment, the enormous Schaeuble, the Christian Demo- mists, labor leaders and businessmen interviewed that price of doing business here is cratic Union leader who was Europe's most Divotal state is living perilously beyond driving away domestic and for- Kohl's most trusted licutenant. its means and has failed to achieve a consensus on how clgn companies. With average "But we had campaigned on the to solve the crisis. wage costs running close to $30 an hour. nearly double that of the promise that it all could be We simply cannot go on living the way we have been doing," Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder said In a recent United States, many Dagship achieved without any pain." debate in the newly refurbished Rclehstag. "We have companies like Siemens AG and Schroeder also prumised a bet- built up a mountain of debt that is placing an intokrable Volkswagen find it more profit- burden on the backs of our children. We are dealing able to shift production abroad. More than a million jobs have ter life and thus shirked from with nothing less than a challenge to the nation's future as one of the world's most affluent democracter" been lost since 1995, and the making a dramatic bid' for CCO- Acknowledging a crisia, Schroeder has staked his trend is accelerating. nomic reform. During his first government's survival on what he describes as "the In addition,much of the state's months in office. he even re- biggest reform package in postwar German his- treasury is being wasted on are versed the modest stepe Kohl had tory." He plans to trim the budget by $16 billion serving jobs in antiquated indus- taken toward reducing the next year and raise gasoline taxes to slop the tries, such as coal and steel, rath- growth of pensions and sick hemorrhaging debts caused by Germany's runaway er than building up a strong leave. spending on entitlements. technology sector. Despite such As the U.S. and Britain pruned occasional success stories as the the role of government, Germa- But the stinging defeats he and SAP software firm, Germany's ny's dependence on the state ex- his ruling Social Democratic Par- economic power is largely con- centrated in three sectors: auto- panded when West Gentiony ab- ty have suffered in recent state mobiles, chemicals and machine sorbed 17 million people born elections suggest that voters are not willing to make even taken tools. and raised in a cradle-co-grave sacrifices to redresa Imbalances Meanwhile. the tax base la communist society. Schroeder in the nation's social contract. ahrinking. A growing number of now proposes to reduce the How Germany copes with the joblesa people means that (ewer state's role in the German econo- challenge of modernizing its are paying taxes and more are economy will also shape its neigh- drawing state benefits. Helty tax- my from 48 percent to 40 percent, but his loss of support in the cast bora' destinies. As the continent's ea have encouraged a flourishing targest nation west of Russia, underground economy worth testifies to deep anxiety about such a move. surrounded by nine countries and $350 billion, about one-sixth of "We are not ready to make the endowed with an economy twice total output. And many large companies in Germany still find jump into a market society like the size of Britain's, Germany has legal ways to avoid taxes. A gov- the United States," said Lathar become more critical than ever 34 de Maiziere, a lawyer who served an anchor of stability in the heart ernment study found that corpo- rations in Germany pay only 8 as the last prime minister of the of the continent. defunct German Democratic Re- As a regional power that, in percent of total tax revenue, com- pared with 24 percent In the public. "History took such 10 Foreign Minister Joschka Fisch- er's words. "prefera to lead from United States. amazing and sudden turn for us Having one of the world's law- that the social problems of adapt- the second row," Germany has est birth rates also threatens Ger- ing to a new society were badly made impressive gains toward shedding past inhibitions while many's future. Soon, one in five underestimated. How much free- facing up to historical responst- Germans will be retired and dom can someone bear who is not drawing a large pension, yet the prepared for it?" bilities, In Kosavo, it disparched imploding demographic pat- As Germany confronts the pencekeeping troops beyond Its tern-coupled with an aversion pressing challenge to streamline borders for the first time since the Nazl era; it has welcomed to accepting more immigrants- the welfare state and adapt to the more refugees from the Balkan means that a much smaller care of competitive pressures of a global wars than all other European working people will support economy, it seems less prepared them. than at any time since reunifica- nations combined: and it took the lead in promoting carly European "We are in the process of be tion to undertake the wrenching Union membership for new East. coming an old people's home and changes needed to revitalize soci- em European democracles, such an industrial muscum," says Ar- ety and make people more re- as Poland, Hungary and the nulf Baring, an economics profes- sponsible for their own welfare. Czech Republic. for at Bertin's Free University The whole nation may be re But the future of its political and the author of a bleak progno- united, but It is in a bad mood," ambitions, German officials say, sia titled "Is Germany Failing?" says Guenter de Bruyn. an east- will depend on the nation's ability He says the combination of Ger CTR German novelist whose latest to put Its economy in order. "A many's low birth rate and heavy book explores the widespread prosperous Germany is necessary welfare costs is a ticking time feelings of disenchantment felt to ensure stability not just at bomb that frightens politicians. nearly a decade after the wall home but also beyond our bor. and voters so much that no one is came down. "Few people are hap- ders," said Michael Stuermer, a willing to touch it. py about the way things turned foreign policy expert and adviser "Are the people to blame for out and the direction they are to-former chancellor Helmut demanding no cuts in subsidies going." The Westerners, de Bruyn Kahl. "If Germany continues to and benefits, or are the pollti- said, are disgrunted because gosinto serious decline. it will cians to blame for our stagnation? they resent having to subsidize bring a lot of other countries the east with their high taxes. down with it." And the easterners dislike the patronizing attitudes they en- counter among their rich cousins The Washington Post in the west. Indeed. one eighth of Germans say they would like to restore the SUNDAY, OCTOBER 3. 1999 1/2 017 10/03/99 SUN 08:06 FAX Berlin Wall and the Iron Curtain that once sundered their nation. The wall in people's minds" -of- ten evoked to describe the dispar, ity between case and west-still remains 10 formidable that only one in 10 says it is correct. to' speak about a single German peo- ple, added De Bruyn. "We are still a long way from seeing the light at the end of the cunnel of reunification." says Roll Schwanitz, the chancellor's chief adviser on rebuilding eastern Cermany. "Despite all the subsi- dies that have been provided, the problems we face in bridging the gap remain gigantic." With former Communists es- tablished as the second-most powerful party In the cast and xenophobic right-wing parties gaining a foothold In state parlia- menta. there is mounting concern that successive failures of 'ccn- trist governments Icd by Social Democrats and Christian Demo- crats will fuel the rise of fringe parties. Kurt Biedenkopf. the Christine Democratic premier of Saxonis' said Germany suffers from the "Buddenbrooks phenomenon." 2 reference to the Thomas Mann novel that describes the rise and fall of a German family. The first generation were the, Counders, the second enlarged. the wealth and the third squan- dered it." he said. "Many Germans, especially in the west, are part of that third generation that became spalled because they grew up knowing only good times. Now that we are spending far more than we can afford, nobody is willing to tight- en belts because they still Urink- the government is obliged to care for them." The Washington Post SUNDAY. OCTOBER 3, 1999 2/2 THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 copied Blumenthel Reed Podesta Bes 10/03/99 SUN FAX THE HAS SEEN The President Sees Consensus, While Religious Leaders 10-5-99 Disagree About the Church-State Divide By E.J. DIONNE Ja. chac the current argument over the role ol religion in public Instkulions-especially 90 of our leading previdential on in the public T didaced, Terms Cov. George W, American history, in 1844, be notes, six Bush and Vice President Core, are people were killed in a not In Phtlaclelphis talking enthusianteally about what over what version of the Ten Command. government can do to help "faith" ments should be posted in the public David organizations" salve social schools. Whatever one Chinks ol today's problem At a While House praver breakfast battles over whether lo past the Ten Com- with religious leaders last Turaday, President mandments in goveratient buildings. noth- Cirlon embraced what he alled "an emerging ing that disturbing has happened yes, conseques about the ways In which faith organt If all crangetical Christians Usuught like the old-line Haplist separational Clinton nations and our government on work hopether." and allre Doliticians prohably wouldo'l be Paston dealing with social problems are landing talking 10 repturously about a new rela. on the covers of national macazince and scholars clonship between church and slace. But the are predicilog a new "greal awakening of refr culture ware changed the Shurch-stale as dous fervor is the country. nument by moring many Boodsu 2010 What's going ON here? is the wall between evangaticals to a new view, that reparacion deurch and slate numbling down? was promoting secularize and luming Not at all But che tara of the alternium in onceriendly public institutions into cnvit America any well be remembered as a time conments hossile Lo religion. The Re: when the country reneyatisted the relationship Richard John Neuhaus captural this ICELAC beliver rellaion and public life. faith and at in kis 1984 book, The Naled Public ture Don't be acced by this: WE at not about to Square." chuck religious freedam. impose amsorship or Thus, on church-stace lasues, клур Rich- hard everyone into & charch, synagogue or and Clark director of the Washington alTice maaque Indeed, il is partly because of advance of the National Association of Evangelicals in religions trade renk or on deci- (NAE), his organization has really dooe 1 160 [degree wont over the PART 40 years. sions and changes that accurred during Once apposed to state aid to rellgious the 1960e-that it is CUCTI possible to all about schools, Cizik said, the NAE now supports increased overado betwan the religious and private school muchers and has endorsed governmental worlds the "charilable choice" provisions or che There is no consendua yet un how shurch and 1997 welfare bill promoting government state are supposed lo work together, let alone aid to faith-lased charicies how much. This is nothing new. Arguments for strong burriers between religion and goucro- ment have wared and waned through American bisiory. for mulically different reasons in differ- E artier in our history, arguments over amparation were just as Geroc, but had different insplacions. When Calliolic CAL does Imerigrance begon Dounling America from Separation belween church and state never Iscland in the 1840s. there was simne Proe- mean that religiou had no place In American eatant opposition to any government assis- life remember, this la a mation that cull ecumps tence to the schools the Cathulics were ca- Tn God We Truse" on iLF currency. But the cablishing. Here. separaciam was less about risd or the religious conservesives and the protecting government or religion then in culture ware of the Dare hro decades sharp- opposing any expansion or "Aupury." card the delate over acparation and Similar Ashes broke OHL from the tale sroused halb rides. 'con through the '60s over government aid On' the one side, relegious lu parachial schools Eleanor Roasevelt docried the crowing "Methrization" of carried out a ismous and biller public NEW America and edcaged la what sociologist DIGIN with New York's Cardinal Spellmen Naihan Classe has alled a "defensive of on the issue Censive" meant lo restore the corrences on "Conninly there's been a regretiable his- values that eristed or at Icam acemed to tory of animas toward Calholica says Me- extr tefore the '60a. On the other. chose. lissa Rogers, associate general columel at disourced by the religious right saw sep the Buptist Joine Commillee on Public AL aratice as a butwork against the crowing Girs, whose group is separations and influence of organizations such M the spun off from Southern Baptiet Convention Christian Coalition and the Moral after Baptist conservatives defealed Majorita moderates and liberula Many ranb-and-Gie conselied Chris Davis 1000 that reparation was often dans found themeclves as turned off M the "fueled by this anti-Catholic blas." But both real of the country by polarization sround political issues related to religion There's Davis and Rogers inglet that anri-Catholic a certain becklarh acainst the shril, Darth cien Yes legs Important historically to KD san'warmage they've heard" Nathan Hatch. arrionists then a general lear of the effect the provest at Nobre Dame and & historian of state involvement la religion on both of conficial Christianity, told & confer and the religious institutions end unputed by the Elbia and МЫЖ chemselves Policy Caller be week "A for of event What's atriking now la that CORRETVALIVE stick are suburban people and they who long apposed aid LO Cath. much more easily identify with a George allc schools any find themselves allied Bush chan a Jerry Falwell or a Gery Bater. with Catholics on the voucher issue. "One They're people of values They're also lot of the must remarkable changes of the 20th crark There's a sense that the alimit mode contary is the virtual evaporation of hastb h consulerproductive." ity serveen Processints and Catholics," Mys Grent Wasker. a professor of rellations history of Duke University Divinily School. T the charact state divide has okca been cast as , Aght between religious peo of don't chink it's because Bapsists have DK and their decularise locs But out come to have a green respect (or TridenClue of the Dublic R. there is a lively requent theology. It's because they BCC Catholics as Laking place JTDONE religious leaders them allica against graver Droblems. There's a selver about the visdom of allowing any large reconfiguration going on now." breach of the charch-ste wall Indeed in the expersuionist ward, Bap- There was once a Lime when the lep lists fled themselves allied with Jews and aration of church and state was a cardinal mady mainline Protescalt durches. But of Southern Repulate and nearty al english Protections For most of these Protectally. spending every a dime of public maney on religious schools or church programs was to assend the Found- cTB. dessay religious beedom and uwn God loto a - of the state The Washington Post 1/2 Mad people think churchetate kp arationisus are achicies or humanists or hist bad people said Derek Davia director of SUNDAY. OCTOBER 3, 1999 the JM. Dawan lastitute of Church-State Studies at Baylor University "It's just not that way at all David's center at Baylor are of the coun- try's prevaier Deptist institutions. speaks for the old deparadonist tradition that Kill hads many adhercats in the - of Bar ust charches He obers voctul reminders John F. Kennedy's election as president even more relevant are liberal/conscrva- marked the full entry of Roman Catholics live splits within the denominations and into the mainstream of American life. The faiths themselves. On some church/state clvil rights movement sought lo right his- questions, Reform Jewa an: on the прро- toric wronks donc to African Americans. site side from Orthndos Jews In chc Cliris- The cra swept away long-acanding barriers cian churchea, Liberals and cunservalives lo Jews. the effective end of restrictive COV. (or. as some would have iL modernists and county and new movements to defend the unditionallets) ally against each other rights of Latinos and Asians. All brought across denominational Lines, creating a the pervasively white and Protestant ethos new politics. in government-financed institutions and suciety inco question. W has sense can be made of this, and Tuday's commotion is rooted in D new in particular of the turn toward fear-chat the combination of legal decr faith-based institutions? is a new sions and cultural trends has marginatived national CONSTITUS on church-acate ques- religion more than is either necessary for tions possible? religious freedom or deairable for the COUTH A consensus is possible if it will try. In creating what Yale Law School pro- be hard to achieve the current argu- (essor Stephen Carter alled The Culture ments are understood as the third htage in of Disbelier in his book of that title, che a long national debate. country seemed to replace old prejudices While Protessant hegemony in Amer- (of race and religion) with 1 new prejudice ia-the first stagebegan to erude with against belid itself. the end of Prohibition, arguably the last po- The current renegotiation of hounder- litical project to unite mainline and funda ins-the third singe-bas already bornc mentalist Protcolants. But the formal dom- fruit. In 1995. new federal guidelines to inance of Protestantism was larguly school administrators were designed to repealed in the 1960m often with the make dear that while the stile cannot im- arong support of progressive Procestants pose religion. students cannot be forced to themselves. be secular agained their will or allenced in The second stage involved a hard push their personal expressions of religion. Indi- for separation, including many of the rele vidual students could not be stopped from vant court decisions. It was no accident praying. Jewish students could not he that this occurred as the country was com- barred from wearing skull caps, any kid ing to lefths with its historic treatment of who wanted to talk about religion on minorities. 7 see the '60s as a time when school grounds had the right to do so, Ла we Degan to grow up a title bil," says Da- the president said at the time, the Conklity vis, director of the Baylor celler. "If we tion "docs not require children to leave want to be a democracy that supports the their relixion at the schoolhouse door." rights of minerity groups, including reli- In 1997, the administration issued gious nunorities. we an't have I govern. guidellnes requiring government supervi. mene that stands behind and supports one son to respect individual expressions of world vicw." Gith by religious employees Christians, the guidelines aid, can keep Bibles on their desks. Muslim women can wcar head serves, Jewish workers should be accont modated as much as possible in scheduling LD they an honor the High Holidays This may all seem like common scase. but it - liects an awareness that a desire to pre serve religious freedom entails both keep- iog the government out of the way and protecting the free expression of bellevern The battle over expanded government aid to Gichbased institutions will not be so essy. Rogers calls it the wrong way to do right" She means that the admirable cf- forty by faith-based charlties should get much more private and corporate support, but not government help. Yet Gore's en- document of what bas come to be known as "charitable choice" suggrets a slow shift. ing of the boundaries bring drawn by mod- crate and even liberal Democrals who have come to see the churches as indispensable allies to government in solving problems. The NAE's Cizik thinks the rise of reli. gious feeling in America and a decline in the hostility to religious institutions may be 9 sign that 's ncw. more acceptable con- sensus would replace partisan religious fights." Even active participants in the cut lure he says. are tired of them. Amen to that. And if a new consensus still involves some contention, that's net ther surprising or disappointing. What clac do you cxpccT in country wixre people have rioted over the Tcn Commandments? The Washington Post But somehow, preciscly because cvcry gen- cration has been willing to argue about it. WE have managed to preserve religious SUNDAY. OCTOBER 3. 1999 liberty. 42 THE FR... AS SEEN 10-5-99 T6L copied Berger Polesta THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 By DEBORAH SONTAG The debate over security and sov- JERUSALEM, Oct. 3 - Israel and ereignty caught some by surprise. the Palestinian Authority, marching They had not realized just how regu- forward to carry out their latest lated the route would be, thinking it peace deal, hit a snag this weekend would return their lives to the way on an issue fraught with emotions, things were a decade ago, when politics and history for both sides. movement was freer and Palestinian They delayed opening a safe-pas- license plates were commonplace on sage route connecting the Gaza Strip Israeli roads. and the West Bank today after a "I feel really let down," said fundamental disagreement about se- Khaled Khader, 36, a bank officer in curity procedures. Gaza City. "How can the safe pas- While officials called the disagree- sage be safe if Israelis have the right ment technical and said would be to arrest our people when they cross resolved within days it brought to the surface some of the distrust that gets suppressed in the name of Emotions Run High as Israeli-Palestinian Talks Hit a Snag peacemaking. A disagreement over The Israelis and the Palestinians essentially clashed over who would a corridor brings control the flow of human traffic on a 28-mile route that is to link the two Arab-Israeli distrust Palestinian territories. They also dis- agreed about whether the route, to the surface. along existing Israeli roads, would be considered "extraterritorial," as the Palestinians demand, or would re- main under Israeli sovereignty. the border? How can it be free if the Specifically, the Palestinians insist Israelis have the right to define who that they, rather than the Israelis, can use it or not." issue the magnetic cards that will Ahmed al-Dali, 49, a shopkeeper, The New York Times MONDAY, OCTOBER 4, 1999 serve as border crossing permits. said, "The Israelis as usual want to And they demand that Israel let all dictate all the terms to the Palestin- travelers be safe from interception ians, and unfortunately the Palestin- - and arrest - by the Israeli police ians usually end up accepting them for prior offenses or for questioning. in the end." "Should Israel be able to seize The safe passage promised un- people using the safe passage, it will der a 1995 interim peace agreement turn into a trap for the Palestinians," and then stalled by successive Israe- said Jamil Tarifi, the Palestinians' It Governments for fear that it would Minister for Civilian Affairs. abet terrorists was meant to re- The route, connecting Erez in establish a lifeline between the two Gaza and Tarqumiya near Hebron in Palestinian regions. the West Bank, was scheduled to Thousands of families are divided open last Friday under the peace between the West Bank and Gaza, agreement signed on Sept. 5. Be- cause of the Jewish and Muslim days just as many Palestinian businesses Those who did not arrive at the of rest, it was postponed until today and universities depend on a reliable checkpoint at the opposite end within by: mutual decision but then got link. Without safe passage, the new an allotted length of time would be mired in a discussion of details that Palestinian national soccer team declared missing, and the Israeli po- went deeper. awkwardly held separate practices lice would go after them. As negotiations wended into the for its West Bank and Gaza Strip "What's the difference between night, officials said they expected to players, although it captured the this kind of safe passage and the reach a compromise and open the bronze medal in the recent Arab present situation?" said Mr. Dali, the safe passage by the end of this week Games anyway. at the latest. After four hours of Between 35,000 and 40,000 Gazans Gaza shopkeeper. "People can go in talks, negotiators for both sides said hold crossing permits that allow and out with permits and magnetic they would reconvene on Monday. them to enter Israel. Most are day cards now. Maybe it will be even It was clear today, though, brought laborers, and some are merchants worse: two checkpoints rather than into relief by the delay, that this is a and politicians. Women who seek to one." tender subject for both sides, bring- visit relatives in the West Bank are But Israeli officials predicted that ing to the surface the Israeli fear of often given permits that last several the trip, even with its security re- terrorism and the Palestinian fear of days. Many men do not have Israeli quirements, would become routine having the Israelis control their des- security clearance to visit at all. after a while, especially when the tiny. Those types of permits will super- Palestinians came to see that Israeli Even though the opening did not sede the privileges of those who will intentions were good. "This road is take place, a few hundred Israelis, be allowed safe passage. Holders can not meant to be an ambush for Pales- both for and against, went ahead enter Israel and drive on any roads; tinian citizens," said Moshe Debby, today with previously scheduled they are not limited to traversing an adviser to the Israeli Internal demonstrations along the route. Israel to get to Gaza or the West Security Minister, Shlomo Ben-Ami. At Qiryat Gat right-wing Israeli Bank. demonstrators some costumed as "This is a new Government," Mr. For the purposes of travel on the supposed terrorists, with Arab Debby said. "We want peace. The big safe-passage route, the Palestinians scarves, toy guns and Palestinian majority of Palestinians will have no would be divided into two groups, flags protested that the route problem. But if we have information each elaborately monitored by the would allow "safe passage" for guns, Israelis. that there is suspicion of a car with a bombs and terror. Israeli doves, on Those Palestinians who do not bomb or somebody who wants to the other hand, traveling in a convoy, have security clearance would be make an explosion, we have the right applauded the long-awaited "route to allowed to travel between Gaza and to stop these people." peace," even though it had not actu- the West Bank on special buses es- In the long term, Prime Minister ally opened. corted in both directions by the Is- Ehud Barak hopes to resolve the In the Gaza Strip, many Palestin- raeli border police. passage issue by creating a way that ians voiced disappointment that their isolation had not ended on Those with Israeli security clear- Palestinians can move across or schedule and deep suspicion of the ance would be issued magnetic cards under, or over - Israeli land without Israelis and their own leaders. to present at Israeli checkpoints. having any contact with Israelis. He They could travel by bus or car. All has asked Shimon Peres, the Minis- vehicles would undergo inspection by ter for Regional Cooperation, to ex- the Israelis at the checkpoints. Cars amine the possibilities of an elevated would be marked with dated, timed causeway or tunnel or train, any of stickers, which would be monitored which would take years to finance by computers. and develop. Don't Jettison Russia Just Yet multinational corporations operating THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN By Boris Nemtsov in Russia, keeping money out of the 10-5-99 and Ian Bremmer hands of the corrupt elite while pro- viding the intellectual and physical infrastructure of a market-based ith the year economy. The I.M.F. could take the W 2000 bringing money earmarked for defending the presidential ruble and use it to finance a micro- sawly elections in loan program aimed at building a mid- both the Unit- die class, creating a tax base so that ed States and the Government can meet it debt obli- sonu good Russia, the emerging scandal over the gations (finally putting the horse in possible laundering of billions of dol- front of the cart). Russia's Soviet-era lars from Russia through the Bank of debt could and should be forgiven. iseas New York has, predictably, already But at the same time, there must be prompted a politically tinged search accountability. The I.M.F. has made for scapegoats. And in both countries, clear that It hasn't the ability to follow see whether the leading culprits are the same - money once it goes overseas. The the Democrats and the "democrats." American and Russian intelligence sonu them In Russia, President Boris Yeltsin's communities should form a joint in- administration, through Inept govern- vestigative body to track Western ance and suspected corruption, has money - through Russia, through the managed to give reform a bad name. West and through offshore sources. By The opposition, frustrated in its efforts Yuri Skuratov, who was dismissed to break Mr. Yeltsin's power, has tak- as Russian Prosecutor General en to blaming "democrats" and their earlier this year after pressing an accomplices in the West for the coun- investigation of Mr. Yeltsin's inner try's many troubles. circle, has said that the Russians will In the United States, the problem is not cooperate in such an effort. Cer- tainly there is little reason for Presi-1 dent Yeltsin to initiate it. But if an The New York Times official proposal comes to Moscow FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 1999 Money-laundering from the Clinton Administration, it would be politically difficult for Mr allegations vs. the Yeltsin to say no. The investigation now under way in big picture. the United States will, it is hoped, copied determine where the money that went through the Bank of New York came Bergen. from. Our theory is that Russia's ill- different, but the tactic of the opposi- fated treasury bills - the G.K.O.'s - Podesta will account for much of it. tion is the same. A strong economy, The bills were canceled after the victory in Kosovo and the nagging fiscal crisis in August 1998, but con- suspicion that Monicagate may have vertibility continued for several helped more than hurt the Democrats months. Russia's elites knew that they have left the Republicans in a quanda- needed to get their money out fast, and ry: how to set upon the Clinton record as insiders they knew exactly what to without seeming priggish, pharisaical do. Insider trading is deplorable, espe- and small? The answer of the moment cially given its compounding effect on seems to be to focus on the Adminis- the long list of ills brought upon Rus- tration's fascination with and support sia's economy by its oligarchs. But for a limping Russia, particularly the there is a big difference between the prominent role of Vice President Al politically savvy flight of capital and Gore. money laundering. Russia simply Is this the end of the entente be- doesn't have the institutions in place tween the United States and Russia? to regulate these transactions prop- Should the West continue to provide erly. This should be a priority for the aid? Won't International Monetary future. Fund dollars end up in the hands of All of this is very different from the Russian mobsters? allegations of corruption involving Before we write off the relationship. those in and around the Yeltsin family. we should remember that the Russian Here America's role must be careful- economy is moving very slowly to a ly balanced. The United States has free market. The billions of dollars been remiss by supporting the first that have left Russia in the past dec- democratically elected head of the ade will never come back if Western Russian state instead of the processes governments bury their heads in the and institutions of democracy. The sand, and they will come back only if corruption allegations surrounding and when Russia becomes an integrat- the Yeltsin family should be discussed ed part of the global economy. frankly and with vigilance. This does Western governments should recog- not mean Russian reform is at an end. nize this and focus spending where it We should keep our heads about can make the greatest difference. The us. Michel Camdessus, the I.M.F.'s West could finance institutional sup- managing director, has stated that in port through Western nongovernmen- its initial scrutiny of the Bank of New tal organizations - NGO's - and York case, the I.M.F. has found no indication that loan money was in- Boris Nemtsov is a former First volved. Russia's relationship with Deputy Prime Minister of Russia. the West is much more important Ian Bremmer is a senior fellow at than presidential politics in either the World Policy Institute and presi- country. Let's not blame the D/dem- dent of Eurasia Group. ocrats for that 10-5-99 '99 SEP 26 PM8:02 [ Cuteu copied Cutler This is wonderpul- Podesta thom we can Crick ground while the Ptin here Be Pine Ridge Youth Wellness and Opportunity Center BOYS & GIRLS CLUBS OF AMERICA Pine Ridge Youth Wellness and Opportunity Center OUR VISION The Oglala Youth Coalition is seeking $5 million dollars to build a youth wellness and opportunity center in Pine Ridge Village on the Pine Ridge Indian Reservation in South Dakota. The lead entity will be the SuAnne Big Crow Boys and Girls Club, which was the first Boys and Girls Club on an Indian Reservation in the United States. Once this first center is built, we plan outreach activities in each of the other eight dis- tricts of the reservation. The Center will provide space and a focal point for wellness, education, training, recreation, and social development of reservation youth up to the age of 21. OUR NEED The Pine Ridge Indian Reservation in southwestern South Dakota is the second largest in the U.S. The Oglala Lakota (Sioux) are the people of Crazy Horse and Red Cloud. Of Billy Mills and SuAnne Big Crow. Of Dances with Wolves and Thunderheart. Of Black Elk Speaks and The Broken Cord. Of Wounded Knee and the Badlands. When President Clinton visited Pine Ridge on July 7, 1999, the media called the reservation the "ground zero of poverty in America." The 150- year history of the Lakota since contact with the encroaching settlers and gold seekers is a familiar story of wars with the United States, the taking of lands, the confinement to a reservation, the breaking of treaties by the U.S. government, and past attempts to stamp out Lakota language and culture. The designation of the Oglala Sioux Empowerment Zone and President Clinton's visit are indications that the new century will be a positive turning point. During his visit, President Clinton told the Oglala people, "Give us your vision, we will work to attain it". The 1990 U.S. Census shows that Shannon County, which constitutes the majority of the Reservation, has the following national statistics: lowest per capita income highest percentage of families below poverty level (57%) highest percentage of persons below poverty level (63.1%) 2nd highest percentage of children under 18 below poverty level The social and economic environment of the Reservation is a grave prob- lem, as shown by the following indicators: 1991 Average Annual Per Capita Income: National $14,421 South Dakota $12,500 Pine Ridge $ 3,417 1991 Single Parent Households: National 20 % Bronx, New York 49 % Pine Ridge 52 % The Health of the Oglala Sioux People: A Turning Point, (11/92 IHS Aberdeen Area) shows that the Pine Ridge Reservation has a higher rate of diabetes, alcoholism, heart disease, road accidents, other accidents, and suicide than the American Indian popula- tion as a whole, and all other races. The infant mortality and suicide rates are three times higher than the national average and the tuberculo- sis rate is eight times higher. Alcoholism affects nearly every family on the reservation. A recent study by The Diabetes Project shows that 15% of our Pine Ridge youth are at risk for diabetes. USA Today published an article in December, 1997, based on a Harvard School of Public Health study, that found the life expectancy of Lakota men and women living on Pine Ridge to be the lowest in the U.S. and the second lowest in the Western Hemisphere. In June 1997, The New York Times said of the Pine Ridge Reservation: It is as poor as America gets. A visit to Pine Ridge is a striking reminder that most reservations remain places of bone-crushing poverty. And things are likely to get worse as the government cuts some of its welfare payments that are crucial to their economies. The Indian Service Population and Labor Force Report of 11/16/98 by the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) shows the following for the Pine Ridge Market Area (on or near reservation) Population - 39,321 Tribal Enrollment - 39,734 Unemployment Rate - 73% High School Dropout Rate - 68% Fifty-percent of the population of the Pine Ridge Reservation is under age 21. Sixty-nine percent of these youth live in poverty. From 1992 to 1996, there were 360 births to single teens-those teens represent 21% of the teenage population. From 1992 to 1996, there was a 244% increase in the teen violent death rate. Since November 1998, there have been 17 suicide attempts by youth and six deaths of youth that are either suicide or alcohol-related. The Oglala Nation Education Coalition, made up of the majority of KADOKA I schools on the reservation, chose the development of education and recreation facilities as a priority goal in the Oglala Sioux Empowerment Zone Strategic Plan. ROSS VINT COUNTRY MRI The backlog of facility needs on the reservation is staggering. There are no recreation facilities outside of the schools, except for the SuAnne Big Crow Boys & Girls Club in Pine Ridge, Wakanyeja Youth Club in Kyle, and a small recreation center being built in Wanblee by Crazy Horse School. The existing facilities in Pine Ridge and Kyle are woefully inade- quate to meet the needs of our youth. Although the Pine Ridge Reservation is the economically poorest area in America, it is one of the culturally richest. The schools are working on preservation of language and culture. The culture has helped the Oglala to survive, but we owe it to our children to give them a chance to thrive as we enter the 21st Century. OUR PURPOSE The Youth Center will allow the SuAnne Big Crow Boys & Girls Club to expand wellness activities, attract older teens, and serve more youth. The Center will become a one- stop Youth Opportunity Center where in- school and out-of-school youth can come for counseling, job training, recreation, and wellness activities, tutoring, life skills, entrepreneurship education, etc. The preliminary site selected near the Pine Ridge High School is also near the new Lloyd Eagle Bull Center of Oglala Lakota College, which provides GED tutoring, vocational training, college class- es, and higher education counseling. The Center will become a focal point for all programs having to do with youth and their families. At the present time, the Oglala Sioux Tribe, Oglala Lakota College, SuAnne Big Crow Boys & Girls Club, ONEC, and Oglala Sioux (Lakota) Housing are putting together a major proposal for a 5-year/$20,000,000 Youth Opportunity Grant that targets Empowerment Zones. If the Youth Opportunity Grant is funded, the Center will become a one-stop youth center which will provide enrollment, assessment, service strategies, per- sonal planning, work experience, training, personal skills development, mentoring and follow-up. The focus will be holistic and will include physical, intellectual, emotional, and social development of youth as indi- viduals, as members of a family, and as citizens of the tribe and of the United States. The Oglala Youth Coalition is committed to developing a center for one- stop, seamless services for youth. The Youth Center in Pine Ridge Village will be the start of this, with other centers being developed in other reservation communities. The Center will address the problems of youth through a comprehensive approach of programs and services. Some of the specific problems and programs are: Problem: Service/Program: Fetal Alcohol Syndrome/Teen Pregnancy Smart Moves Gangs /Violence P.L.A.Y./ Tournaments/Respect and Protect School Completion Mentoring/Tutoring Suicide/child abuse and neglect Counseling/ Community Service We will measure our success in the success of our youth by examining: high school graduation rates college and other postsecondary training matriculation rates reduction of births to single teenage mothers reduction of youth suicide, car accidents, and other accidents increase in youth fitness and health reduction of alcohol and drug use participation of youth as members of families and communities increase in youth employment rates increase in youth taking leadership roles OUR PARTNERS When President Clinton visited Pine Ridge, he spoke to tribal leaders and community members, and heard of the tremendous needs. Shortly after his visit, he expressed his desire for Secretary of Agriculture Glickman and Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Cuomo to develop a youth recreation facility for Pine Ridge Village. During July and August, an Oglala Youth Coalition created to plan the facil ty and program. The Coalition was spearheaded by Tribal Youth Coordinat Frances "Pigeon" Jack at the behest of Oglala Sioux Tribal President, Harolc Salway. THE ULTIMATE The local partners include: The SuAnne Big Crow Boys & Girls Club, Oglala Lakota College/Welfare to Work Program, Pine Ridge Indian Health Service, THUNDERBI Pine Ridge Agency/Bureau of Indian Affairs, Oglala Sioux Tribe, Oglala Siou (Lakota) Housing Drug Elimination Program, Oglala Sioux Tribe Education Department, Oglala Nation Education Coalition, and the Oglala Oyate Woitancan (Empowerment Zone) Board. The lead national partners are the U.S. Department of Agriculture Rural Development Program and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Office of Native American Programs. Other partners include the U.S. Department of Justice, Boys & Girls Clubs of America, the Northwest Area Foundation, and other foundations. The Youth Coalition partners decided during three meetings that the recre- ation facility was needed, but the Center must do more. To help youth and their families break the chains of poverty the Center must be the hub of edu cational, work experience, personal skills development, and wellness. The Coalition put together a plan for a facility that could accomplish this. THE FACILITY The building will contain the following: multipurpose gymnasium auditorium ten offices kitchen/concession library/technology center multipurpose rooms conference room day care space wellness room locker rooms swimming pool 20 guest rooms exercise/fitness room individual counseling rooms THE COSTS Design Boys & Girls Clubs of America has agreed to provide the technical assistance for design, bidding, etc. Construction Based on similar buildings constructed recently in the region, the estimated construction cost is $5 million dollars for approximately 50,000 square feet; a per square-foot cost of $100. Operations and Maintenance Costs for building operations and maintenance will be a minimum of $300,000 per year. Program Basic salaries for activity directors, etc. will cost about $200,000 per year. Expanded program services will be available as programs are obtained. The plan is to put into place a professional management team for the seamless delivery of youth services and a resource development team to assist with fiscal management and the raising of funds for programs through an annual fund and endowment campaign. OUR RESOURCES Planning/Fundraising Boys & Girls Club of America USDA Rural Development HUD Office of Native American Programs Oglala Lakota College Development Office Oglala Sioux Tribe Grantsmanship Center Construction USDA Community Facilities Grant ($300,000) Possible Congressional Line Item Funding Foundations Corporations Federal and State Programs Operations and Maintenance Boys & Girls Club of America Memberships Rentals Endowment Programs Youth Opportunity Grant SuAnne Big Crow Boys & Girls Club Oglala Sioux (Lakota) Drug Elimination Project Indian Health Service Wellness Promotion Department of Justice Circle Project Oglala Lakota College Welfare to Work Program Oglala Oyate Woitancan Empowerment Zone One of our goals is to obtain development resources to research funding sources, organize data, and develop quality proposals to foundations, cor- porations, State and Federal agencies, and other potential funders. The Oglala Youth Coalition and Youth Center focus on this effort. Poverty has forced us to neglect our youth for too long. All of our efforts for economic and tribal development will fail if we do not help our children and grandchildren achieve wellness and the opportunity to reach their full potential. SuAnne Big Crow was an all-state high school basketball player, honor student, and ambassador of the Oglala people. The Youth Coalition is working to achieve her vision of all Oglala youth being phys- ically and mentally healthy, academically successful, and prepared for a productive life. HOW YOU CAN HELP For more information, contact one of the following core group members: Leatrice "Chick" Big Crow 605-867-1011 SuAnne Big Crow Boys & Girls Club, Pine Ridge, SD Terry Albers 605-867-1503 Oglala Lakota College/Welfare to Work, Porcupine, SD Dallas Tonsager 605-352-1100 U.S. Department of Agriculture/Rural Development, Huron, SD Jackie Johnson 202-401-7914 U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Washington, DC DONATIONS Private or Corporate donations may be forwarded to: Boys & Girls Clubs of America c/o Pine Ridge Building Fund 600 Jefferson Plaza, Suite 401 Rockville, MD 20852 M M N M ccGFauptm BBabbot capied when an This And Waybern The Frampton we or all Babbi H THE WHITE HOUSE BS 9/28 WASHINGTON Edgar Wayburn, M.D. Honorary President Sierra Club Second Floor 85 Second Street San Francisco, California 94105-3441 Dear Edgar: Thank you very much for your letter. I was honored to present you with the Presidential Medal of Freedom, and I'm glad that you followed up on our conversation regarding the creation of new national monuments. I agree that the Antiquities Act of 1906 has played an impor- tant role in our overall effort to safeguard our country's natural resources and that it presents us with a unique tool for preserving our national treasures. I was pleased to use it as the mechanism to designate the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument in 1996. Be assured that I will carefully consider your recommendations for the creation of new national monuments. I value your wise counsel, and as we continue working to protect national and historic lands across our country, I'm glad to know I can count on your help. Thanks, too, for passing along your daughter's letter. It was good to hear from her, and I have responded to her concerns directly. Best wishes. Sincerely, Trin 316238 SIERRA CLUB FOUNDED 1892 August 25, 1999 The Honorable William J. Clinton The White House 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20500 Dear Mr. President: Let me thank you for the great honor you have conferred on me by the award of the Presidential Medal of Freedom. It is a source of lasting satisfaction to me to have been able to participate in the preservation of some of America's magnificent natural heritage. You will remember that at the reception following the ceremony, I suggested that the use of the Antiquities Act to preserve additional treasures of the American heritage would be an outstanding gesture with which to close your Administration in a memorable way. You were kind enough to ask me to send in my recommendations for possible new national monuments. I list below my suggestions. My first choice would be protection of the Giant Sequoias in California. This world class ecosystem in the southern portion of our great mountain range, the Sierra Nevada, is grievously threatened. Because we have a Sequoia National Park many people erroneously assume the giant sequoias, those ancient, massive trees that inevitably awe the human viewer, are well protected. Unfortunately, fewer than half the groves of these noble giants are in national parks or wilderness. The majority, which are in the Sequoia National Forest, have been and still are subjected to logging. While today the Forest Service does refrain from logging within the actual confines of the groves per se, the entire surrounding areas -- on which the majestic Sequoia trees, as the center of a complex interrelated ecosystem, depend for their continued life and vitality -- are subject to continued cutting. The Sierra Club, working with the late Congressman George E. Brown, has advocated the Sequoia Ecosystem and Recreation Preserve Act -- legislation to preserve a 370,000 acre area in the Sequoia National Forest--the heart of this extraordinary ecosystem. What an appropriate gesture it would be for your Administration to protect the awesome groves of giant sequoias and at the same time honor the memory of environmental champion George Brown by setting aside 400,000 acres in a Giant Sequoia National Monument! A second area worthy of consideration as a national monument is Steens Mountain in Oregon -- considered the "crown jewel" of Oregon's high desert. Less known than the coasts, the forests, AUG 30 1999 and volcanos of western Oregon, the eastern Oregon high desert is breathtaking in its vastness and its solitude. Rising more than a vertical mile from the floor of the Alvord desert in Harney County in southeastern Oregon is Steens Mountain, a lofty fault block mountain 40 miles long north to south and 20 miles wide east to west. Near the northernmost boundary of the broad Great Basin ecosystem, Steens Mountain provides an ideal study area for basin and range topography and wildlife. With its dramatic silhouette against the sky, it offers great contrasts. It engenders its own weather, wringing the last moisture from the Pacific clouds as they blow east. The severe rain shadow at the foot of its eastern escarpment created the Alvord desert, a true playa, which receives less than 7 inches of rain a year. Truly a geology texbook, the mountain records millions of years of successive layers of flood basalts that poured over the region. The adjacent valleys, Kiger, Little Blitzen, Big Indian gorge, and Wildhorse Canyon, are from 1500 to 2000 feet deep, and vividly show the power of glacial carving. The gorges reveal the striking beauty of the huge glacial cuts with their basalt spires and cliffs, shimmering groves of aspen and cottonwood, and silvery bunchgrasses and wildflowers of all colors. Wildhorse Lake, in the uppermost cirque of Wildhorse Canyon, is the largest alpine lake in the Great Basin. Many species of raptors soar over the wet meadows and the rimrock of the canyons, while on the ground bighorn sheep dance among the rocks, and deer, elk and coyote roam the mountain slopes. A third area deserving consideration is the Shivwits region in Arizona and a small portion of Nevada This is one of the remotest spots in the Lower 48. A large area, about 2 million acres of public land adjacent to the northwest boundary of Grand Canyon National Park, it is almost entirely intact; its towering cliff faces, vast vistas and moutains and valleys that make it a paradise for high-desert and mountain wildlife and recreationists. In March, 1999, Interior Seeretary Bruce Babbitt proposed protecting 550,000 acres. The Sierra Club and other conservation groups supported the concept, but we urged that a much larger area be designated as a "Shivwits National Monument". This land has survived a uranium claim staking boom in the 70's and 80s, but the potential for a mineral comeback poses a threat to the area unless it is protected for the future. The most notable feature is the Grand Wash Cliffs, running north from the existing BLM Paiute Wilderness to the south into Lake Mead National Recreation Area and Grand Canyon National Park. Wildlife include desert tortoise, pronghorn, deer and turkey. It is N most extraordinary because of the area's solitude, the unspoiled hills of pinon-juniper and, in piaces, pondersosa pine, and the unbroken view of northern Arizona and parts of Nevada and Utah. In any program for national monuments, Alaska must be remembered. Recently, the door was opened to oil and gas leasing in the vast northern expanse of the National Petroleum reserve- Alaska. While allowing for exploration in some portions of this 23-million acre wilderness, the Administration could establish a protected reserve of the most sensitive and crucial wildlife rich areas_ Most appropriate would be a national monument of approximately 37 million acres, comprising the Teshekpuk Lake and the Colville River Areas in the northeast quadrant of the National Reserve, long recognized as areas of special biological importance. The Teshekpuk Lake area about 1.7 million acres includes important nesting, staging, and molting habitat for a large number of ducks, geese, and swans. The Colville is the largest northward flowing river in Alaska, and the Colville River Special Area more than two million acres in size includes the river bluffs and riparian habitats unique both biologically and geologically in the Alaskan Arctic. This system has been recognized since the 1950's as one of the most significant regional habitats for raptors in North America. As the BLM states, "Nowhere else do raptors enjoy such favorable juxtaposition of abundant nest sites with diverse and abundant prey." The Teshekpuk Lake area also contains critical calving habitat for the Teshekpuk Lake caribou herd, which, without additional protection, is now at risk. The present leasing proposal opens a significant portion - sixteen percent - of its critical calving area to development via surface occupancy. The calving area is the most critical habitat for the herd and should be fully protected from all development. Other areas that deserve mention for potential protection are the Owyhee Canyonlands in Idaho, the stunning San Rafael Swell area of Utah, and of course, the extremely worthy but endangered Everglades ecosystem of Florida. I cannot close without mentioning one of the world's premier -- perhaps the world's premier wilderness and wildlife area: The Coastal Plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in northeastern Alaska. The Sierra Club has been most grateful for your steadfastness in preventing the oil industry from opening up this unique, remote, wildlife- rich area to unnecessary, unwise oil exploration and drilling. Use of the Antiquities Act, now, could assure this irreplaceable, precious Arctic ecosystem remains off-limits to rapacious development. Mr. President, I would be most happy to send you further information on any of these areas, should you desire it. Thanking you once more, Sincerely, Edgan Wouthern Edgar Wayburn, M.D. Honorary President 10-7-99 Send to Bunkhardt? INC Yes George L. Bristol, President no CT7AM9:57 Letter to October 1, 1999 (Expage) Reed Hawn -Suser, J The Honorable and Mrs. Bill Clinton The White House 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Washington, D.C. 20500-2000 Dear Mr. President and Hillary: 1 just returned from a two-week journey into our national parks with a board meeting of the National Park Foundation in Olympic National Park and then over to my beloved Glacier National Park. It was a splendid meeting with many exciting new programs in the offing which is as good a way as any to segue into this letter which in part will be a report to you as I begin my final year on the National Park Foundation Board. First, again and again let me thank you for the great honor you bestowed on me allowing me to serve my country in a way uniquely suited to me. At all times I have tried to honor that trust, and I think that on balance I can report to you that my stewardship has been successful. At the outset I wrote a letter to a number of friends asking them to join us in supporting the work of the National Park Service. One of those letters caused an immediate, and to date, lasting effect. A friend of mine took up the cause of the parks and the Foundation and went to Canon USA with a proposal that they consider supporting the Foundation's work. Through a series of negotiations, Canon, I and others hammered out a program that became so meaningful to Canon that they have extended their initial $1 million gift each year (4 years) for Expedition grants and $2.5 million for Science Scholars for a total of $6.5 million. That result in and of itself would have made that letter successful, but there was even a more extraordinary response which will take a moment to explain. Another friend, Reed Hawn of Austin, called me immediately, asking if I were interested in trying to work with the U.S. Mint, Congress and others on the Yellowstone Coin. For your information. Reed Hawn, at my recommendation to Secretary Bentsen, became a member of the Citizen's Commemorative Coin Advisory Committee in 1993. I told Reed that, of course, anything pertaining to the parks was of vital concern to me, but I saw no direct benefit to the National Park Foundation. The initial thought was that the all profits would flow to the Yellowstone Fund. Reed explained to me at that point those concerns were a moot question, as there appeared to be little support and much competition for coins that would be minted at the close of the century. He also opined that he though there was room to effectuate some changes 4201 Speedway Austin, Texas 78751 512/458-2543 Fax 512/458-4314 Page 2 and compromises including directing some of the funds to the Foundation. With that objective, Reed and I went to work and after a great deal of maneuvering, including a personal visit from me to Secretary Bentsen, Congress approved the minting of the Yellowstone National Park Commemorative Coin Program with one-half of the profits flowing to the National Park Foundation. The coin was struck on July 15, 1999 and to date has benefitted the National Park Foundation in the amount of $1 million. Based on initial projections and sales to date, I think it is safe to say that the National Park Foundation will benefit from this program in excess of $2,000,000 at a minimum. Holding that thought a moment I have a favor to ask of both of you. While I made a number of strategic calls throughout the legislative process, Reed Hawn was absolutely faithful in his commitment to working to insure that the coin fell into this century and profits shared with the National Park Foundation. I hope that you will take the time to drop Reed a note thanking him for his service on the Committee. His address is 3005 Scenic Drive, Austin, TX 78703. In closing I hope by the end of my final year there will be more to report on other exciting programs that we are about to initiate including an entire new message concept for the parks and the National Park Foundation. On the completion of these vital innovations, I know in August of 2000 I can, without fear of contradiction, say that I have honored the trust you bestowed on me. With every best wish, I remain Sincerely, Feorge George L. Bristol GLB/lm 33USA AUSTIN 7> STAMP PM CID 18L BARRY : 01 CCT 1 NATION A 1393 COLLECTINA The Honorable and Mrs. Bill Clinton GLB Incorporated The White House 4201 Speedway Austin, Texas 78751 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Washington, D.C. 20500-2000 20500-0005 Nancy V. Hernreich 10/12/99 03:01:00 PM Record Type: Record To: Justin L. Coleman/WHO/EOP@EOP CC: Subject: Re: letter ] I know him but we do not do recs. to the military academies. Maybe you can pull from orm our past policy if they have it- we need it to reply to this letter. Dan- Per Nancy / We have a policy of never recommending to Militay schools We should do a letterexplaining this policy and wishilng him the best,et 10-5-99 Who should handle ? Sendto Dany B checker/Nomy 56 B. Delia onwell POTUS knowshim? TIMES Serving Crittenden and Surrounding Counties 111 EAST BOND STREET, POST OFFICE BOX 459, WEST MEMPHIS, ARKANSAS 72303, 501/735-1010 FAX 501/735-1020 Alexander P. Coulter President, Publisher September 30, 1999 William Jefferson Clinton President of the United States 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, D.C. 29500-0001 Dear Bill, My nephew Nicholas Alexander Coulter is most inter- ested in attending the U.S. Naval Academy upon gradua- ting from West Memphis High in the year 2001. It is customary to solicit the endorsement of our senators and congressmen, which I have correctly done. However, I understand a letter of recommendation from the President, which would be included in his portfolio, is most valuable in obtaining an appointment. I'm confident he can meet the academic challenge and he possesses the personal drive to meet the challenge. Your letter of recommendation addressed to me and in- clued in his file would be personnally appreciated. Thank you. Ast Your friend, Alexander P. Coulter President, Publisher APC/dd TIMES Serving Crittenden and Surrounding Counties 111 EAST BOND STREET, POST OFFICE BOX 459, WEST MEMPHIS, ARKANSAS 72303, 501/735-1010 FAX 501/735-1020 Alexander P. Coulter President, Publisher September 30, 1999 William Jefferson Clinton President of the United States 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue Washington, D.C. 20500-0001 Dear Bill, I am very envious and proud of my friend Glen Fenter and what he has done for MSCC and the Delta. Through his leadership and vision, he has packaged a plan that I consider to be both economically and polit- ically correct for the Delta. Bill, your interest in this part of the state through Rodney and others in your adminstration is most evident. However, we both know it dates back to the mid seventies and for that reason I'm confident your support of this project personally and financially is a natural and most deserved. Your riend, Ale ander P. Coulter President, Publisher APC/dd THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON November 18, 1993 Alex Coulter Evening Times Post Office Box 459 West Memphis, Arkansas 72303 Dear Alex: Thank you for your letter of November 14 and for reminding me of our efforts in Crittenden County over the years. I was so happy about the millage election, and I know you and others are working hard to put the money to good use. Your kind and encouraging words in support of what we seek to do here mean a great deal to me We're making progress every day. With regard to federal money available for the new school, I have shared your letter with Education Secretary Riley. Sincerely, This Bill This Project Need deported gives qify angu w withing ave EVENING TIMES Serving Crittenden and Surrounding Counties 111 EAST BOND ST., P.O. BOX 459, WEST MEMPHIS. AR 72303-0459 President Clinton Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet Clinton Library DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION AND TYPE 001. note [Personally Identifiable Information] [partial] (1 page) 10/00/1999 b(6) COLLECTION: Clinton Presidential Records Staff Secretary Sean Maloney (Chron File (Oct 99)) OA/Box Number: 14868 FOLDER TITLE: Tuesday, October 5, 1999 2016-0970-F rs3012 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C. b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 2201(3). concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] RR. Document will be reviewed upon request. DAN 3 They will be in Washington the 22,23 and the 24th of November PARENTS: Adrienne L. Wynkoop (b)(6) Leonard A. Wynkoop BD 3.14.26 SS# 542.20.1776 12909 SW Derby Court West Linn, Oregon 97068 Married November 24, 1949 NEED Porus 50th LETTER Aniall. NEXT MONTH THANKS M OCT. 2.1999 2:47PM WHSR 03 THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 Berger Podesta Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Chronology During the Clinton Administration March 3, 1993: Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs (APNSA) Lake orders completion of an interagency Presidential Review of U.S. Policy on Nuclear Testing and & Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT). April 4, 1993: Presidents Clinton and Yeltsin agree at the Vancouver summit that negotiations on a multilateral nuclear test ban should commence at an early date and that the two governments would consult with each other accordingly. April 23, 1993: President Clinton releases a White House statement on advancing U.S. relations with Russia and the other New Independent States stating his intention to begin consultations with Russia, our allies and other states on the specific issues related to a CTBT negotiation within the next two months. July 3, 1993: President Clinton announces in his Saturday radio address to the nation the conclusion of the Presidential review on nuclear testing and a CTBT and states his intention to extend the U.S. testing moratorium and seek to negotiate a CTBT. August 10, 1993: The Geneva Conference on Disarmament (CD) decides to give its Ad Hoc Committee on a Nuclear Test Ban a mandate to begin negotiations on a CTBT in January, 1994. The Chairman of the AHC is authorized to proceed with intersessional consultations on the specifics of the CTBT mandate and other issues. October 5, 1993: China conducts first nuclear test since President Clinton's appeal for a global moratorium. White House issues statement regretting China's decision to resume nuclear testing. December 16, 1993: United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) passes resolution 48/70 by consensus supporting the multilateral negotiation of a CTBT. This is the first time that a consensus resolution in support of a CTBT has been adopted by the UNGA. January 25, 1994: The CD reconvenes in Geneva and directs the Ad Hoc Committee to negotiate intensively on a universal and multilaterally and effectively verifiable comprehensive nuclear test ban treaty, which would contribute effectively to the prevention of the proliferation of nuclear weapons in all its aspects, to the process of nuclear disarmament and therefore to the enhancement of international peace and security. Negotiations begin in the Ad Hoc Committee. December 15, 1994: UNGA passes resolution 49/70 by consensus reaffirming its support for multilateral negotiations on a CTBT. NU. 781 P.25 C.40PM WASR US 2 January 30, 1995: APNSA Lake announces that the President has decided to extend the moratorium on U.S. nuclear testing until a CTBT enters into force (assuming signature before September 30, 1996). Lake also announces that the U.S. will withdraw its proposal for a special "right to withdraw" from the CTBT ten years after it enters into force, noting that the President considers the maintenance of a safe and reliable nuclear stockpile to be a supreme national interest of the United States. May 11, 1995: The NPT Review and Extension Conference agrees to extend the NPT indefinitely and without condition The Conference adopts "Principles and Objectives for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament" calling for the conclusion of negotiations on a CTBT in 1996. June 13, 1995: President Chirac announces he will resume nuclear testing in September, conduct eight tests, to be completed by May, and be ready to sign a CTBT in the fall of 1996. White House issues statement regretting France's decision to resume nuclear testing. August 11, 1995: President Clinton announces that the United States will support a true zero yield CTBT banning any nuclear weapon test explosion or any other nuclear explosion. September 5, 1995: France resumes nuclear testing in the South Pacific. White House issues a statement regreting this action. September 14, 1995: The United Kingdom announces its support for a zero yield CTBT. October 20, 1995: The United States, France and the United Kingdom release a joint statement at the United Nations and in capitals stating their intent to sign the Protocols to the South Pacific Nuclear Free Zone (SPNFZ) Treaty "during the first half of 1996." October 23, 1995: Presidents Clinton and Yeltsin agree at Hyde Park to work together to succeed in getting a zero yield CTBT in 1996. December 12, 1995: United Nations General Assembly passes resolution 50/65 by consensus calling On the CD to conclude the CTBT so as to enable its signature by the outset of the 51st session of the General Assembly. January 29, 1996: President Chirac announces the end of French nuclear testing in the South Pacific. February 29, 1996: Australia submits a 102-page draft CTBT text to the CD and calls on negotiators to reach an agreement by late June. March 19, 1996: UN Secretary General Boutros Boutros-Ghali appeals to the CD to complete a global treaty banning all nuclear explosions by June 30. March 25, 1996: U.S., France and the UK sign three Protocols to the South Pacific Nuclear Free Zone Treaty in Suva, Fiji. NO.781 P.26 OCT. 2.1999 2:48PM WHSR 03 3 April 11, 1996: U.S. signs Protocols I and II to the African Nuclear Weapon Free Zone Treaty in Cairo, Egypt. April 20, 1996: Moscow Nuclear Summit issues statement on CTBT calling for concluding and signing the CTBT by September, 1996. May 28, 1996: Nuclear Test Ban Ad Hoc Committee Chairman Jaap Ramaker of the Netherlands tables a draft "Chairman's text" stating he had concluded that the best way to meet the internationally agreed deadline was to "present a complete draft to show the way forward." June 28, 1996: Chairman Ramaker tables compromise draft text at the conclusion of the second part of the 1996 CD session. White House releases statement by the President from Lyon, France, applauding the compromise draft and calling on members of the CD to return to Geneva in late July prepared to agree to forward & CTBT to the United Nations, so that the Treaty can be approved and opened for signature in the United States in September. July 29, 1996: China conducts nuclear test and declares it will start a moratorium on nuclear testing effective from July 30, 1996. August 9, 1996: After consultations in the Ad Hoc Committee, Chairman Ramaker announces that he has confirmed that continuing negotiations on the draft Treaty as 8 whole would not likely yield further results. Announces one modification in the draft Treaty relating to the number of states required to approve an on-site inspection. August 16, 1996: Nuclear Test Ban Ad Hoc Committee meets and agrees to a report to the CD stating that "no consensus" could be reached either on adopting the text of the CTBT or on formally passing it to the CD, due to Indian objections. August 23, 1996: Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer announces Australia will sponsor a resolution seeking the endorsement from the United Nations General Assembly of the CTBT and its opening for signature at the earliest possible date. September 10, 1996: UNGA reconvenes and votes to adopt the CTBT and open it for signature at the earliest possible date by a vote of 158 in favor, 3 opposed (India, Bhutan, Libya), and 5 abstentions (Cuba, Lebanon, Syria, Mauritius, Tanzania). September 24, 1996: President Clinton is the first world leader to sign the CTBT. November 19, 1996: Meeting of CTBT signatory states adopted by acclamation the Text on the Establishment of a Preparatory Commission for the CTBT Organization, developed at the CD. November 20, 1996: Preparatory Commission convenes its first meeting to begin the process of developing Rules of Procedure, Financial Regulations, and other necessary measures for the future operation of the Organization in implementing the Treaty. NO.781 P.27 OCT. 2.1999 2:49PM WHSR 03 4 July 2, 1997: The Department of Energy (DOE) successfully conducts a high explosive subcritical experiment ("Rebound") at the Nevada Test Site to obtain scientific data and technical information on the effects of aging and behavior of nuclear weapons materials. September 18, 1997: The DOE successfully conducts a high explosive subcritical experiment ("Holog") at the Nevada Test Site. September 22, 1997: President Clinton transmits the CTBT to the Senate for advice and consent. December 2, 1997: NATO Defense Planning Committee and the Nuclear Planning Group endorse CTBT. January 27, 1998: Four former Chairmen of the Joint Chiefs of Staff - Generals John Shalikashvili, Colin Powell and David Jones, and Admiral William Crowe - call for Senate to approve CTBT. February 3, 1998: President Clinton visits Los Alamos National Laboratory; the Directors of the nation's three nuclear weapons laboratories - Dr. John Browne of Los Alamos, Dr. Paul Robinson of Sandia and Dr. Bruce Tarter of Lawrence Livermore- - affirmed "We are confident that the Stockpile Stewardship program will enable us to maintain America's nuclear deterrent without miclear testing." February 12, 1998: President Clinton forwards to Congress the annual certification from the Secretaries of Defense and Energy that the nuclear stockpile remains safe, secure and reliable. February 15, 1998: The American Association for the Advancement of Science, one of the nation's oldest professional societies, urges the Senate to give early and favorable consideration to the CTBT and its advice and consent to ratification as soon as possible. March 25, 1998: The DOE successfully conducts a high explosive subcritical experiment ("Stagecoach") at the Nevada Test Site. April 6, 1998: France and Great Britain become the first nuclear weapon states to ratify the CTBT, depositing their instruments of ratification in New York. May 11, 1998: Indian Prime Minister Vajpayee announces that India conducted three underground nuclear tests. May 13, 1998: India announces it has conducted two "sub-kiloton" underground nuclear tests, claiming tests are last in planned series. May 16, 1998: President Clinton, in his weekly radio address, proclaims that India is on the "wrong side of history" in conducting nuclear tests. NO.781 P.28 OCT. 2.1999 2:49PM WHSR 03 5 May 27, 1998: Former Senators Hatfield, Exon and Mitchell urge the Senate to act on the CTBT without delay. May 28, 1998: Pakistani Prime Minister Sharif announces five nuclear devices detonated this morning. May 30, 1998: Pakistani defense officials say Islamabad detonated two more nuclear. devices. June 4, 1998: P-S Foreign Ministers meet in Geneva, issue Joint Communique urging India and Pakistan to adhere to the CTBT immediately and unconditionally. June 12, 1998: G-8 Foreign Ministers issue Communique calling On all states to sign and ratify the CTBT. July 13, 1998: Brazil ratifies the CTBT and accedes to the NPT. President Clinton issues statement congratulating President Cordoso and the Government of Brazil for taking this historic step, calls on U.S. Senate to ratify CTBT. July 29, 1998: Senstors Specter and Biden urge Senate to schedule hearings on the CTBT. September 23, 1998: Prime Minister Sharif, in a speech to the UN General Assembly, commits to adhere to the CTBT by September 1999. September 24, 1998: Prime Minister Vajpayee, in a speech to the UN General Assembly, states that India is prepared to bring discussions with key interlocutors to a successful conclusion so that entry into force of the CTBT is not delayed beyond September 1999. President Clinton issues a statement strongly urging the Senate to give its advice and consent to the CTBT as early as possible in 1999. September 26, 1998: The DOE successfully conducts a high explosive subcritical experiment ("Bagpipe") at the Nevada Test Site. December 11, 1998: The DOE successfully conducts a high explosive suberitical experiment ("Cimarron") at the Nevada Test Site. January 12, 1999: APNSA Berger announces in a speech at Camegie Conference on Non- Proliferation that ratification of the CTBT this year is a top priority of the Administration. January 19, 1999: President Clinton calls on the Senate to give its advice and consent to ratification of the CTBT in the State of the Union address, stating: "It has been two years since 1 signed the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. If we don't do the right thing, other nations won't either. I ask the Senate to lake this vital step: Approve the Treaty now, so we can make it harder for other nations to develop nuclear arms - and we can end nuclear testing forever." NO.781 P.29 OCT. 2.1999 2:50PM WHSR 03 6 February 4, 1999. Letter from the Committee to Support the CTBT, signed by Paul Nitze (Chairman), sent to Senator Jesse Helms urging Senate to ratify CTBT "as soon as possible." February 9, 1999: The DOE successfully conducts a high explosive subcritical experiment ("Clarinet") at the Nevada Test Site. April 26, 1999: President Clinton forwards to Congress the annual certification from the Secretaries of Defense and Energy that the nuclear stockpile remains safe, secure and reliable. May 24, 1999: Senator Byron Dorgan delivers speech OA Senate floor OO CTBT: the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty is here in a committee without movement. There were no hearings on the treaty in the last session of the 105th Congress. We are now 5 months into the 106th Congress. I intend to work with a number of my colleagues to see if we are able, in the coming weeks. to speak with some aggressiveness on this issue here on the floor of the Senase and on behalf of the American people, 10 make the case that we ought 10 have the opportunity to vote on the ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty. We ought to do it soon. this is a critically important issue to our country and to the world" July 20, 1999: 45 Democratic Senators write Senator Jesse Helms requesting hearings on CTBT: "The United States must not relinquish its leadership in the nuclear non- proliferation arena. We respectively urge you to hold all necessary hearings and to report the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty to the Senate for timely consideration before the CTBT inaugural conference." July 20, 1999: President Clinton calls on Senate Foreign Relations Committee to hold hearings on the CTBT this fall: "Hearings would allow each side 10 make its case for and against the treaty, and allow the Senate to decide this matter on the merits." July 20, 1999: Latest CTBT nationwide poll shows 82 percent of Americans support Senate approval of the CTBT. July 30, 1999: Nine scientific and military experts write Senator Trent Lott endorsing Senate ratification of the CTBT: "Nuclear proliferation- aided by espionage or no1 - - is one of the greatest threats to American security. U.S. ratification and entry into force of the CTBT will greatly strengthen the nation's ability to contain this threat, and thus enhance the national security interests of the United States." August 9, 1999: President Clinton again calls for hearings on the CTBT this fall, and the full Senate to vote for ratification as soon as possible: "This will strengthen [the] national security not only of the United States, but of people around the world" Sausy THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 you might want to jun this to sendar pneu people - It's good t refuter changes ur haven't 80m enough- B1 10-01-99 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 30. 19 MEMORANDUM FOR THE X PRESIDENT 10/5/99 LC FROM: Mary Beth Cahill MBC Assistant to the President and Dire CAHIC Laura Efurd A Deputy Assistant to the President a SUBJECT: Asian Pacific American Outreach Over the last two years the Asian Pacific American Comr impact of the Campaign Finance situation and the more recent Los Alamos espionage case, has caused this Administration to shy away from the Asian Pacific American Community. To address this concern OPL, has been working hard on outreach efforts to the Asian Pacific American Community. Including the following: OUTREACH MEETING: June 7th POTUS participated in an outreach meeting with 12 Asian Pacific American leaders from around the country. APA EXECUTIVE ORDER: June 7th POTUS signed an Executive Order to improve the quality of life of Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders. A signing ceremony and reception was held. This historic Executive Order, the first ever to improve the lives of Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders, has been well received in the community, and is perceived as one of the most significant accomplishments of this Administration that will impact the APA community. OPL has conducted the following outreach activities associated with the Executive Order. OPL developed and disseminated a Fact Sheet on the Executive Order to the APA community throughout the country. Deputy Director of Public Liaison spoke at a variety of meetings and conference on the Executive order including: - National Asian Pacific American Families Against Substance Abuse annual Conference (7/22- 24). - National Organization of Chinese Americans Annual Conference (7/30-8/1) - Houston Asian American Health Summit (8/26). - Asian American Government Executives Network (7/27) - Coalition of Asian Pacific American Federal Employee Organizations (8/29) 1 10-01-99 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 30. 1999 MEMORANDUM FOR THE X PRESIDENT FROM: Mary Beth Cahill MBC Assistant to the President and Director of Public Liaison Laura Efurd Deputy Assistant to the President and Deputy Director of Public Liaison SUBJECT: Asian Pacific American Outreach Over the last two years the Asian Pacific American Community has been concerned that the impact of the Campaign Finance situation and the more recent Los Alamos espionage case. has caused this Administration to shy away from the Asian Pacific American Community. To address this concern OPL, has been working hard on outreach efforts to the Asian Pacific American Community. Including the following: OUTREACH MEETING: June 7th POTUS participated in an outreach meeting with 12 Asian Pacific American leaders from around the country. APA EXECUTIVE ORDER: June 7th POTUS signed an Executive Order to improve the quality of life of Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders. A signing ceremony and reception was held. This historic Executive Order, the first ever to improve the lives of Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders, has been well received in the community, and is perceived as one of the most significant accomplishments of this Administration that will impact the APA community. OPL has conducted the following outreach activities associated with the Executive Order. OPL developed and disseminated a Fact Sheet on the Executive Order to the APA community throughout the country. Deputy Director of Public Liaison spoke at a variety of meetings and conference on the Executive order including: - National Asian Pacific American Families Against Substance Abuse annual Conference (7/22- 24). - National Organization of Chinese Americans Annual Conference (7/30-8/1) - Houston Asian American Health Summit (8/26). - Asian American Government Executives Network (7/27) - Coalition of Asian Pacific American Federal Employee Organizations (8/29) I OPL has conducted outreach activities to solicit recommendations for the APA Commission as authorized under the Executive Order. We received recommendations for over 200 individuals. OPL is working with Presidential Personnel to develop decision memo on the Commission for POTUS. OPL is working with HHS on an event to introduce the new Executive Director for the Commission and White House Initiative to the APA Community. INTRODUCTION OF APA LIAISON: Mailed to over 1,000 APA community leaders a letter introducing the new Asian Pacific American outreach liaison at OPL. Letter included a copy of the APA Executive Order and Fact Sheet. ONGOING COMMUNICATION WITH NATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS: OPL has ongoing communication with APA national organizations and key leaders, through bi-monthly meetings, weekly consultation by phone and email. COMMUNITY MEETINGS: Deputy Director of Public Liaison held meetings with APA community leaders in Los Angeles, CA and Houston, TX. POTUS STATEMENT ON CHANG LIN TIEN: OPL disseminated to the APA community copies of POTUS statements on the installation of Chang Lin Tien as a National Science Board member, which included strong statements that the patriotism of Asian Pacific American scientists should not be questioned in the wake of recent allegations of espionage at one of the national laboratories. ACTIVITIES FOLLOWING THE HATE CRIME KILLINGS: OPL worked to address concerns of the APA community following hate crime incidents in Indiana and Los Angeles, including securing White House and Administration representation at memorial services. The Director of OPL participated in a memorial vigil in Washington DC for Joseph Ileto, the Filipino-American postal worker who was killed in LA. OPL also worked to produce messages from POTUS and VPOTUS for this event. ASIAN PACIFIC AMERICAN EVENTS: OPL continues to work toward scheduling POTUS. VPOTUS and FLOTUS at one major APA event this fall. The following events have been requested for POTUS' schedule, but due to previous commitments all have been regretted: October 22ⁿᵈ Groundbreaking ceremony for the Japanese American Patriotism Memorial (commemorating Japanese Internment during WWII) Norm Mineta has requested POTUS to attend. (Washington, DC) Note: you are participating in the WH Conference on Philanthropy that day and may travel that evening to a fundraising dinner. 2 October 26th - Day of Remembrance Premiere of Film on contributions of Chinese Americans during World War II. (Washington. DC) Note: This is the First Lady's Birthday. you have the day and evening off. November 4th - Anniversary Gala Charity Dinner for A Magazine. The dinner will honor 100 top Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders. (New York, NY) Note: You are scheduled for New Markets Travel on this day OPL requested that FLOTUS attend the National Federation of Filipino American Association's 3rd Annual Convention on October 16th in New York City. This will be largest gathering of Filipino Americans this year. In the 2000 census, Filipino-Americans are expected to be largest ethnic group within the Asian Pacific American population. The First Lady's office has expressed interest in this event and we are pending a final response. OPL requested VPOTUS to attend the National Asian Pacific American Bar Association Annual Convention in Los Angeles, CA on November 13th. VPOTUS has agreed to attend. PROPOSED ACTIVITIES: A meeting with the Asian Pacific American Caucus (Oct/Nov). POTUS has only met once with the Congressional Asian Pacific Caucus during his term in office. A meeting with the APA Community leaders in Congress would signify that this Administration is interested in the concerns of this community. White House Event Announcing the Asian Pacific American Advisory Commission Members (from Executive Order). When the Commission Members are named or when they are in DC for their first meeting, we suggest that an event at the White House to recognize the establishment of the Commission would demonstrate strong White House interest in the success of the Commission and White House Initiative established under the APA Executive Order. POTUS Participation on Asian Pacific Heritage Month Events. Next May, during Asian Pacific Heritage Month, OPL suggests that POTUS attend the major dinner/gala sponsored by the Asian Pacific American Institute for Congressional Studies (Norman Mineta's group) and that the White House host an event for the APA community during that month. Los Alamos: The most immediate concern of the community is the impact of the Los Alamos espionage case on Asian American scientists at the Dept. of Energy National Laboratories, as well as the broader impact on Asian American federal employees in national security, technology and other sensitive posts. The Department of Energy has been conducting a number of activities to investigate complaints of discrimination at the labs and assure a non-hostile working environment of Asian Americans in the labs. However, the community is concerned that the impact of Los Alamos goes beyond the labs and that Asian American federal employees in other agencies are also impacted by racial profiling or 3 discrimination that will prevent them of obtaining security clearances needed to obtain jobs or job promotions. To address the issue at the labs and the broader issues OPL suggests the following: - OPL to work with Dept. of Energy to outreach to the community on the positive steps Department of Energy has taken to address the concerns regarding treatment of Lab Scientists. - POTUS to issue a directive to all Cabinet Secretaries and heads of independent agencies that racial profiling or discrimination against employees on the basis of race will not be tolerated. - POTUS to direct OPM in consultation with EEOC and other appropriate agencies to issue guidance on what may constitute discrimination on the basis of race in conducting background investigations, security checks, or clearance determinations. - APA Community meeting with John Podesta or other high level White House Staff to discuss current concerns of the community and actions taken by the White House to address the concerns of racial profiling and discrimination of Asian Americans in the federal government. Bill Lann Lee: Bill Lann Lee continues to be a strong symbol for Asian and Pacific Americans representing this Administration's commitment to diversity and inclusiveness. The White House should continue activities to secure his confirmation in the Senate. 4 THE PRESIDENT PAS SEEN 10-5-99 Saway USC - - fascuring letter - Andrew Delivered our sugar- - Be ED 10-5-99 to NSC for reply? Yesk No - B. FORSETI ÍSLANDS PRESIDENT OF ICELAND Benantasis William J. Clinton 1999 President of the United States The White House Dear Previdend Clinion I would like to begin by thanking you for our very enjoyable and constructive meeting in Washington. In our talks I mentioned the recent publication, for the first time, of the Complete Sagas of Icelanders in English translation. This publication is a major cultural achievement. Numerous American and Icelandic scholars collaborated on producing these translations of the sagas and presenting them in the new edition. The set of books contains 40 dramatic sagas which recount the exceptionally democratic Icelandic commonwealth that lasted from roughly 900 to 1300, the settlement of Iceland by Vikings, power struggles, the establishment of a national legislative assembly at Iceland's "national shrine" Thingvellir and the laws passed there for centuries afterwards, along with poetry and tales of love and adventure. The Sagas of Icelanders are a unique contribution to world literature and invite comparison with the classics of ancient Greece and Rome. Their action takes place 1000 years ago and spans the then known world from the Mediterranean and Russia, across northern Europe to Scandinavia and from Iceland to America. Besides their outstanding literary qualities, the sagas are also remarkable records about politics of a democratic society, the establishment and activities of Iceland's national assembly, the Althing, at Thingvellir in AD 930, the oldest national legislature in the world. It was therefore a highly appropriate gesture when, in 1930, to mark the 1,000th anniversary of Iceland's parliament, the US Congress presented the Icelandic nation with a gift of a statue of Leif Eiriksson, which now stands in a public square overlooking the centre of the capital. In light of your interest in ancient and modern history, literature and politics, I mentioned at our meeting that I would be delighted to present as a gift the new Complete Sagas of Icelanders in English - both for your own enjoyment and interest and also to mark the approaching millennium of the discovery of America. The first sagas in the set are those of Eirik the Red and the Greenlanders. Both were written shortly after 1200 and are unique records of the voyages made by Icelanders to Greenland, where they established a community that lasted until the 15th century. These two sagas also describe how explorers from Iceland ventured westwards from Greenland to a country that they named Vinland but is now known as America. Many voyages were made and those pioneers wintered in the new continent they had found. Besides describing the life and voyages of Leif the Lucky and his family, these sagas include a fascinating portrait of his sister-in-law, Gudrid Thorbjarnardottir, one of the greatest female explorers of all time, who became the first woman in history to visit both America and Rome, shortly after the year 1000. Gudrid's son, Snorri, was the first child of European descent to be born on the American continent. Herself born in Iceland, Gudrid went to Greenland and America, then back to Iceland and on to Rome and southern Europe, before returning to Iceland where she died. Her transatlantic voyages were made just after 1000 and certainly no woman would surpass her as a traveller for the next five hundred years! In fact, with their independence, rights, influence and distinctive attitudes and philosophy, women played an important part in the pioneer society described in the sagas. Present-day campaigners for female rights 2 and equality can certainly find much food for thought in the sagas, and have done so. As pioneer literature, the sagas give people in Iceland a closer affinity than other European nation with the American nation, by providing us with invaluable accounts of our origins: the discovery of new territories, their settlement and the evolution of our society from its earliest days. The sagas may even be claimed to share certain characteristics with American westerns, although Iceland's settlers did not clash with native inhabitants in the country where they made their home. Those who sailed the ocean to Vinland remained by and large on peaceful terms with the indigenous North Americans. Some movie directors who shaped the tradition of westerns knew the sagas well; John Ford, for one, is said to have been influenced by their characterization. Both these distinctive genres, the sagas and the western, portray bold and determined men of exceptional character who enter an undiscovered natural paradise, the vast expanses of a new world, virgin territory which needs to be explored and transformed into a human society. These men were pioneers, heroes and trailblazers. Besides the Sagas of Eirik the Red and the Greenlanders, with their accounts of the discovery of America, I would like to draw your attention to a number of sagas in particular: - Njal's Saga and the Saga of the People of Laxardal are masterpieces of epic writing, alive with human insights and momentous events that have inspired poets and thinkers for centuries. Men and women are swept by their honour and by fate into inescapable tragic action: many of the male heroes die brave and heroic deaths in the face of overwhelming odds, while the women are forceful characters, active manipulators of events, in every respect a match for the men. 3 - The Saga of Hrafnkel is a cleverly devised tale about a leader of men, his advancement and struggles, his authority and dealings with other leaders and his own supporters. In many ways a shrewder guide than Machiavelli's The Prince for leaders of nations and politicians at all times! - The Sagas of Grettir the Strong and Gisli Sursson are powerful stories of ill-fated heroes, individuals who refuse to give way against insurmountable forces of man and providence. The underlying theme of the sagas is how conflicts among individuals are resolved within a society which is evolving its own laws and codes of behaviour through a legislative assembly and courts, an ancient society which cherishes above all else law, rights and democratic processes. In effect they portray in detail the democratic society which, 1000 years ago, forged a pioneer culture that encouraged bold men and women to venture into the unknown and cross the ocean in search of new lands. This ancient heritage is still relevant to us today, at the dawn of a new millennium and all the uncertainty that this entails. In general the sagas are set between the end of the settlement around 930 and the middle of the eleventh century, but their sharpest focus is on the events of the last quarter of the tenth century and the first quarter of the eleventh. Thus they also hinge on the turning-point in Icelandic history when the ancient pagan faith was peacefully abandoned in favour of Christianity almost 1000 years ago. The new era that dawned then had a far-reaching impact on the world of the sagas: new Christian ethics of forgiveness and reconciliation restricted the scope for heroics, the society of peaceful farmers became increasingly intolerant towards men of the sword. The Viking settlements in the New World make the sagas one of the cornerstones of the American heritage. We in Iceland value the contribution by American scholars to realizing this publication of the sagas 4 in English, and also their decades of contribution towards a wide range of academic studies of this unique literature, these histories of a democratic society that spawned brave discoverers. It would be a great pleasure for me, for the Icelandic government and in fact for the whole Icelandic nation if some kind of collaboration could be arranged with US government authorities, both in Washington and at state level, and with US universities and libraries, to launch a project involving a "Millennium Gift of the Icelandic 'Discovery of America' Sagas." Such a project, granting young people, scholars and the general public access to the sagas throughout the whole of the USA, would certainly be an interesting and important input to the Millennium celebrations. Although an Internet presentation is admittedly technically feasible, there is still nothing to compare with holding these ancient stories in one's own hands. We have discussed with the Library of Congress plans for an exhibition in Washington at or just after the turn of the century, featuring the ancient Icelandic manuscripts in which the sagas are preserved. Such an event would be the first time that these ancient calfskin manuscripts describing the discovery of America one thousand years ago have ever been exhibited in the United States. Most of the manuscripts date from the 13th and 14th centuries. I have also been engaged in developing ideas for a Multimedia- Internet-CD-ROM project linking the saga accounts of the discovery of the New World and descriptions of life in the year 1000 with the state of the Earth in the year 2000, which would also enable children and young people to compare both scenarios with their own ideal visions of the state of the planet in the year 3000 - firmly addressing conservation of the environment and biosphere, and including material dedicated to the sea and its importance for mankind's future. When these proposals, which are primarily conceived as projects for multimedia corporations, have been developed further I would be delighted 5 to keep you informed of their progress. The interaction of a new century, a new millennium, with stories of explorers and the discovery of America, and issues involving our dreams and hopes for mankind's future on Earth, could prove an exciting challenge for young people in search of channels for creating a better world. Various other ideas were aired at a recent meeting between the Leifur Eiriksson's Millennium Commission of Iceland and the White House Millennium Council, where a gratifying new stage was reached in developing cooperation between our nations to celebrate the millennium of our common heritage. I wish you - and your wife and daughter - many hours of enjoyment reading the sagas of Icelanders, stories that my nation have taken a delight in for centuries. I know that this letter is rather longer than is customary under such circumstances, but in effect it combines a formal message to accompany this gift with my own deliberations on a topic that has been discussed in Iceland for centuries and will doubtless live on well into the new millennium. 6 William J. Clinton President of the United States The White House your smile Dear Mr. Resident, 10.5.99 '99 OCT5 in many ways, your steadfestness on your trip to nerada was a puccles, muchar waste is for the history tooks, nerada did the night thing in Twice pupporting you for president as I told you on AFI, 2 have To Burkhardt for ? reply? Yes - No 10-5-99 CC: nolan ? Yes No - Podesta ? Yes XV No - Put in blue folder 100 stein Yes rent to for a great choice for a 9th for Potus ASSISTANT DEMOCRATIC LEADER HARRY REID UNITED STATES SENATE NEVADA WASHINGTON, D. C. 20510-7022 Circuit salarcy, Stare walther, your staff has his tio We can get him through before this Empersadjurns. 2 addition to king so good to Leada, lit we acknowledge, with appreciation, all yon here done for me, Sincerely, Norry ASSISTANT DEMOCRATIC LEADER UNITED STATES SENATE WASHINGTON, D. C. 20510 The President The White House Hand Delivered HARRY REID NEVADA THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN Saway 10-5-99 copied weat about Sudan Benger is we too close to NSC WW Desk U Subanch leader? Padesta No LOS ANGELES TIMES With an Eye on His Legacy, a President Faces Aging Unashamed (first-edition) Page 1 for Tuesday, Oct. 5, 1999: By Jack Nelson Los Angeles Times Top of page: ATLANTA Jimmy Carter, wearing faded, tight-fitting blue jeans and a white, yellow and blue polo shirt with the initials of the U.S. Col 1: Foreign newsfeature. Moving later with art. Naval Academy, relaxed in an easy chair and propped his loafers on a coffee table last week. In a few days, on Oct. 1, the former Cols 2-5: Master Cheng Yen is Taiwan's version of Mother president would turn 75 years old. Now, in his spacious office at the Teresa Carter Center, he was spending an hour reflecting on questions a woman ministering to the poor and hoping to educate the rich about his presidency and post-presidency, his relations with and the recent devastating earthquake in Taiwan has brought out the President Clinton and three former presidents and even about life best of her highly regarded organization. (with art) (TAIWAN- and death and his 53 years of marriage with Rosalynn. CHARITY, moving Tuesday). Carter, who has been nominated several times for the Nobel Peace Prize, disclosed that he had expected to receive the award in 1994 Col 6: An Illinois jury orders the nation's largest car insurer to pay for his efforts in North Korea, Bosnia and Haiti, but is now $456 million for allegedly cheating millions of customers by reconciled to never receiving that honor. He also voiced irritation ordering body shops to fix their cars with low-cost generic that the Clinton administration has sometimes excluded the Carter replacement parts. (INSURE-TIMES, moved). Center from its international diplomacy. Yet, the former president was clearly at ease with himself and the life he has made since Above fold: leaving the Oval Office in 1981. He had just finished printing out a manuscript copy of his 14th Col 2: Advances in medical treatment for radiation victims give book, a memoir about growing up in the South during the hope that one or more of the three workers severely irradiated last Depression. And he waxed enthusiastically about his 15th book, a week in Japan could survive, doctors say. (JAPAN, moved). novel-in-progress about the Revolutionary War that is three-fourths completed. He plans to write other books, he confides, but never Cols 3-4: Newsfeature. Moving later. another with Rosalynn because the tensions created by the one book they co-authored, dealing with health issues, almost wrecked their Col 5: The Supreme Court clears the way for mandatory drug marriage. testing for school teachers, rejecting a constitutional challenge that The former president talks unabashedly about his deep love for called the program an exercise in symbolism. "(SCOTUS-TIMES, his wife, and both of them say these are the best years of their lives. moved). In his 1998 book, `The Virtues of Aging," Carter, writing about older couples continuing to enjoy sexual relations, observed that Below fold: ``well past 70, Rosalynn and I have learned to accommodate each other's desires more accurately and generously, and have never had Col 4: National newsfeature. Moving later with art. a more complete and enjoyable relationship." Question: You wrote about there still being a lot of prejudice Bottom of page: against the aged, that it's like sexism or racism. Answer: There is. A lot of that is self-criticism. It's the Cols 1-3: Foreign newsfeature. Moving later with art. underestimation of people about growing older, about what they're still capable of doing, so they withdraw from active and expansive Cols 5-6: As recently as three or four years ago, if you spent your participation in life and lead an increasingly and unnecessarily college career burrowing into English literature or Picasso's restrictive life. In generic terms, America does slough away a paintings and then went looking for a job in business, you might tremendous reservoir of potentially beneficial human beings have had trouble getting the time of day with many top corporate because they themselves, and the general society, put a limit on us. recruiters, but not any more. (LIBERAL-ARTS, moving Tuesday). Like a mandatory retirement age of 60. Or almost all the major corporate boards require somebody to resign when they're 65. I'm fortunate in that that has not affected me. Rosalynn's mother had to retire from the post office when she was 70. She's now 94. She could have worked 15 more years, I think, and very beneficially. But I tried to outline in the book some things that might be used to accommodate that: part-time work, obviously beneficent work. We have people in their 90s that are still helping us build houses for Habit for Humanity. Q: You're just turning 75 and you're as busy as you were when you were 65 or 55. I want to know your secret. A: I spent a year or two studying other people's aging processes when I wrote "Virtues of Aging." I talked to people and analyzed my own habits and those of Rosalynn and how other people in my family have done. But I think I've just been blessed. So far, I've had good health. We are vigorous. Rosalynn and I do everything together, which is one secret. But we take up new habits, like climbing mountains or bird watching or fly fishing or downhill skiing. We do it together. We're always together, just about. We have unique responsibilities. But I think that keeps us vigorous and interested in things. I've had the Carter Center as an almost unlimited menu from which I could choose. We have, for any particular day, maybe 50 things presented to us that we could select, and we choose the ones that we want to do. It's never boring. Negotiating peace and dealing with human-rights problems at the highest possible level. We monitor elections and promote democracy. We have health programs, agriculture programs in Africa. We have programs in 65 foreign countries. And with a former president, the opportunities to consummate a desire are almost unlimited. When I go to an African country it is a big deal. It's not as big as the queen of England, but it's a big deal. Q: President Clinton recently presented both you and Mrs. Carter with the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Can you say something 10-5-99 about your relationship with Clinton? It's been a little bit rocky in part because the industry's standard defense that victims accepted the past. the risk is not applicable. A: It's been quite rocky in the past. But, I think, the last few Cigarette makers won the only two secondhand smoke cases to be months, at least, both of us have gone out of our way to be decided by juries, but in 1997 they agreed to settle a class action by reconciled and to understand each other a little bit better. I'd say the airline flight attendants for $349 million. The money was for health exclusion of the Carter Center by the Clinton administration from research and legal costs, not damages, but the agreement gave flight issues and assignments that I thought were appropriate for us is attendants a one-year window to sue once the settlement was final. what caused my problem. When President Clinton went into It became final last month, when lawyers opposed to the deal office and The Washington Post and others began to report all the withdrew their challenge. As a result, a flurry of suits by flight people that he brought in around him, in foreign policy, were attendants is likely over the next 12 months. A handful of Jimmy Carter people at that time, I really had a very low reputation secondhand smoke cases already are pending, including class my stature in the country was lower six years ago than it is now. actions on behalf of casino workers. But, I think, there was just a general statement, OK, we will not use The industry counterattack produced a big victory last year when Carter. a federal judge in North Carolina ruled that the Environmental Q: Any particular projects you can think of? Protection Agency had made procedural and substantive errors in a A: I have offered a number of times to be directly involved when landmark report in January 1993, concluding that secondhand I had an opening in the Mideast. In recent years, since I came back smoke is a significant cause of lung cancer in nonsmokers. Federal from North Korea, I have had direct invitations from the North officials have appealed the ruling. Koreans to come back and help resolve a crisis, and (from) Sudan. In fighting to secure the Fontham data, the industry is taking aim Q: But has the Clinton administration resisted your going back to at a major piece of research that helped persuade the EPA and other North Korea? health organizations to declare secondhand smoke a significant A: Yes. Yes. All three of those places. hazard. Q: Any other place? Named for Elizabeth Fontham, a principal investigator and lead A: That's the only three I want to mention.What we've done is to author, the project teamed researchers from Louisiana State carve out for the Carter Center in the fields of foreign policy University, Emory University, the University of Texas and the although we have no authority those areas of the world where it California Department of Health Services, along with USC, in a does not create a problem with the White House or the State study of nearly 2,000 nonsmoking women in Los Angeles, San Department. And that's primarily the forgotten kinds of nations. Francisco, Houston, New Orleans and Atlanta including 1,253 His people know what I'm doing, and I have never been on a trip subjects who were healthy and 653 with lung cancer. Their overseas that I didn't send him immediately, the day after I returned conclusion: Exposure to secondhand smoke raised the lung cancer home, a full report on everything I did that I think is important. risk about 30 percent. Q: What is your relationship with Vice President Al Gore? The data sought by cigarette makers includes medical records and A: Friendly, I would say. After Gore and Clinton were re-elected, personal information on study subjects, such as work and marital I realized that we had a problem in this Carter Center relationship. I histories, dietary habits and exposure to other toxic substances. But never have had a problem personally with President Clinton or the researchers say they promised never to divulge that information, anyone else, but I wanted particularly to see if I had done things and that it will be hard to gain cooperation in future studies if they that aggravated the White House, and I know I'm pretty aggressive go back on their word. when I go overseas. Clearly when I went down to Panama But tobacco lawyers say it is perfectly natural they would want to examine the data. The Fontham study is the No. 1 piece of evidence against us in any (secondhand smoke) lung cancer case," Tobacco Firms in Secondhand-Smoke Court Battle said Barry Davidson, a lawyer for Philip Morris. By Myron Levin Davidson called the confidentiality issue "a total red herring," Los Angeles Times noting that Philip Morris has sought a redacted copy of the data, LOS ANGELES Mobilizing against smoking bans and lawsuits with names, addresses and phone numbers of study participants that could cost them billions, tobacco companies are engaged in a deleted. far-reaching campaign to discredit evidence that secondhand smoke Patricia Buffler, one of the Fontham researchers, acknowledged is harmful to human health. some anxiety over the industry's intent to discredit the study. ``If Nowhere is the strategy more evident than in a legal battle over you know anything about statistics," she said, ``adjustments can be the evidence that has occupied at least 10 courts, including U.S. made to produce conflicting results." District Court in Los Angeles, where it appears likely to be resolved Indeed, secondhand smoke research may be uniquely vulnerable in the industry's favor. to the kind of torture test the industry would like to apply to the In the latest phase of the discovery battle, Philip Morris is fighting Fontham data. The reason is that even in the most incriminating University of Southern California researchers to get access to a studies, although the impact of secondhand smoke across the whole single computer disk containing raw data from an influential five- population may be substantial, the risk for each exposed person is city study, known as the Fontham study, that found low. a causal link between lung cancer and secondhand smoke. The For a toxic agent to be deemed a proven risk to health, researchers company wants to scrutinize the data in hopes of casting doubt on typically insist that the rate of illness at least double, or increase 100 the evidence, which is weaker for second-hand smoke than for some percent, for those who are exposed. Otherwise, other environmental other environmental hazards. factors or errors in classifying data might explain the difference. Fontham and similar studies have provided the scientific bedrock The Fontham study, typical of research indicting secondhand for a small but growing wave of secondhand smoke litigation that smoke, found an added cancer risk of about 30 percent, well below the industry aims to head off. At the same time, cigarette makers are the traditional threshold. By comparison, longtime smokers face a determined to slow the spread of California-style smoking bans to roughly twentyfold, or 2,000 percent, greater lung cancer risk than less-regulated areas of the United States and to foreign markets nonsmokers. Lifetime smokers have about one chance in eight of where smokers still light up wherever they choose. Research dying of lung cancer, compared with a risk of one in 200 for those suggests that smoking restrictions reduce cigarette sales by inducing who never smoked. many smokers to cut down or even quit. The industry's quest for the Fontham data began in 1994, when Researchers from USC and other institutions involved in the cigarette makers subpoenaed it from Louisiana State University as Fontham study say the industry's relentless pursuit of the data could part of their defense of a secondhand smoke case in Texas. But have a chilling effect on future health research. Citing promises of Louisiana law provides sweeping protections against disclosure of confidentiality to subjects in the study, they have resisted demands confidential data in health studies, and the industry was turned to cough up the data, which cigarette makers say they need to down by three different state and federal judges when it tried to defend themselves in court. enforce its subpoenas. The industry has been largely thwarted in this long-running game Tobacco lawyers made two trips to state court in Georgia and of cat and mouse, obtaining but a sliver of the data. But its five-year finally got data from Emory University, but only for the Atlanta quest may be about to pay off. In Los Angeles, U.S. District Judge portion of the study. Richard A. Paez will decide if USC must honor an industry In California, the first industry subpoena was quashed in 1997 by subpoena, and he has already ruled for the industry once. a San Francisco Superior Court judge. In Los Angeles, cigarette Although tobacco companies have their hands full with litigation makers also subpoenaed the data from USC, first for defense of the over primary smoking such as the huge case filed last month by the flight attendants class action, and then in the secondhand smoke Justice Department secondhand smoke is an emerging threat, in case of a Florida woman named Roselyn Wolpin. 10-5-99 Samly Sour interesting litter articles new Haut dicde Jurise of taking any cityer onting BR Sandy Some interesting 10-5-99 letters, articles here. Have to decide if were to NSC for reply ? Yes- No - taking any citizens on trip B. BC CL: Podesta 2 Yes No- - of Ja/2491 SEEN September 21, 1999 10-5-99 Copy to yough to all pros. Dear Mr. President, I am writing you this letter to give you some first hand insight on what I experienced in Cyprus and Greece during my trip in August 1999. I feel there are some facts about the peoples of Cyprus and some official's attitudes that you may not be aware of, that could be of value to you. The first four days of our trip was in Cyprus. We stayed in Nicosia (Leftcosia) and Limasol. We spoke to lots of people and saw many things. I spoke with a taxi driver for an hour on many topics. He lives in a small village on the Greek side. There are several Turks in their village. They all live together with no problems. This man told me that he thought the Greek Cypriots made a mistake trying to force the British out of Cyprus when they did. He said they would have left anyway and would probably not have started the trouble between the Greeks and Turks. He loves his island and the history of the island. I asked him if he had bad feelings towards the Turks or if he felt if others did. He said his 14 family lived with the Turks for many years with no problems and couldn't understand how anyone could think that Greeks could or would terrorize or massacre them. "Not even thinkable", he said. Mr. President, don't let anyone tell you that one. The Greeks do not have that in their blood. I then met with George Paraskevaides. This man is a very successful builder. This company is named J&P. They are a worldwide contractor that builds large hotels, highways etc. I was thinking, "Oh here we go." But this guy was so nice and spoke of history and how much he loves his homeland. He built an airport on Cyprus for Churchill. The Cyprus connection during WWII made a big difference on the results of the war. He and Churchill had several conversations. He is so proud to have helped the cause of good during the war. His home is on the other side of the line and like the others in Cyprus would like to go back. This man has done much for the working class people in Cyprus and around the world. He has set up many programs for his employees to help them be happy productive people. He is a humanitarian that you would be proud to call your friend. He has seen the brutal attitudes of the Turks and is very afraid that all they want, when the U.S. is not looking or paying attention, is to take over the whole island. Many are very concerned about what it would be like with a Muslim ruled island located in a location so critical to that region of the world. With the history of brutality they have and their aggressiveness in taking lands over the years, many in Cyprus have this paranoia. Mr. Paraskevaides just wants to see the history of the island be honored and the Greek and Turkish Cypriots live together in one Cyprus as it had for hundreds of years. V/l He is convinced that the economy on the Turkish side would improve and be strong with a free Cyprus. His company pays basic salaries twice as high as the average working class salary on the other side. You will find a letter from him attached. We also met Captain Panagiotis Tsakos. He is another wealthy businessman. He is a ship owner and very successful. Again, I said to myself, "He probably just has selfish reasons for the solution of the Cyprus issue." But when you speak with him and see his eyes and listen to his concerns, you soon realize his sincerity. He is a real student of history and quotes much of it in his attitudes towards the resolution of this issue. I have also included a letter from Captain Tsakos for your information. Again, information that might be of some use to you, Mr. President. IV I spoke with the Mayor of Nicosia, Lellos Demetriades, and he told me that he was working with the Turks on the other side of the line behind Danktosh's nose to get things accomplished that are good for the divided city. Lellos told me there was no way the Greek majority would terrorize the Turks on the island. They have worked together for years and will continue to. He has been Mayor for 28 years and is loved by most. After all he has helped make this divided city successful in a few short years since the division. Pretty amazing huh? I think he may run for Prime Minister of Cyprus next. To talk to this man and look into his eyes is incredible. He is so wise and calm and forgiving and confident. I wish you would go there and meet him, or at least call him and speak to him about the reality of Cyprus. I asked Lellos to write you a personal letter so you could hear right from his mouth, unfiltered by anyone. His letter is also attached. Anyway I also spent some time with both foreign ministers and they were very articulate. They told me that they believed this can be solved but that no deal is better than a bad deal. They are willing to give and to be fair, however, since they are not the aggressor or the guys who did this deed, they will not tolerate more unfairness and more taking advantage the Greeks. They both told me the Greeks and Turks could really strike up a great economic relationship. It would be great for the whole region. They really have a lot in common from the business perspective and would love to get on with it. THE PRESIDENT SEEN Did you know that: 10-5-99 The Turks are moving the outcasts from the mainland and to Northern Cyprus to increase the population so that over time they can use that as a bargaining tool? Many of the Turkish Cypriots have moved out of Cyprus to London because they cannot tolerate those mainland If Turks who have been moved there to create a false population balance? The Greek and Turkish Cypriots that live in London, live amongst each other. Using the same neighborhoods and restaurants, etc.? Does this sound like people willing to kill each other. I don't think so. That the Turkish economy north of the Green Line is very depressed, while the Greek Cypriot economy in the south is flourishing wildly. Definitive proof that the Turks don't really care to be there for any other reason other than an occupation for a further agenda to take over the island. That many successful Greek Cypriots would hire and pay large numbers of Turks, far more than they are making today in a free Cyprus. To start trouble years ago Denktash had a bomb set in a Turkish office in Cyprus. When it went off, needless to say the Turks attacked the Greeks. Years later Denktash admitted doing this deed to get recognition for Turkish Cypriots throughout the world. Anyway Mr. President, even without any of these facts, the right thing to do is to restore those who have been driven from their homes, graveyards, schools, businesses, churches, and land. You have set the correct, moral, ethical and just plain the right precedent by doing the right thing in Kosovo. You helped return these people to their homes, graveyards, businesses, schools, churches and land. This is the right thing to do and you should do it in Cyprus. The great thing is that it will greatly improve the overall economy in Cyprus. Seems to me if Cyprus has one Federal Government to represent all of the people as part of the European market, wow would that stabilize that part of the world. It would help Turkey and Greece enter into a lot of trade and maybe even Turkey would and could move towards trading with Europe. I think you would start a great domino effect of stabilization in that part of the world by doing the right thing. This paragraph is fully my view, not anything buy my attitudes. Mr. President, you know a lot about history. You know the tendency the Turks have to be aggressive and that has not changed. You know they will not just throw up their hands and say, "Oh we did the wrong thing and we now want to make it right." It will take pressure, pressure no President has had the guts to place on them. It seems to me that a lot of things are coming into play to make it possible to prove to them it is the best for them to relent and do the right thing. Please don't let your State Department sell the Greeks out just to get a deal. Just to say we got an agreement. Seems to me that having two governments would be wrong, not letting the Greeks buy or get their land back is not right, basically anything that is not what we know democracy is, is wrong. Please don't let might and influence determine this result. Do what is courageous as you have so many other times during your Presidency. L You must be taking a Greek contingent with you on your trip. Will you be taking Andy Manatos and Andy Athens? They more than any Greek Americans I know have worked all over the world to keep sanity in the heads of the American Greek community. They don't jump from one extreme to the other about your administration. They keep a calm head about what is happening. They don't jump from one extreme to the other every time you open your mouth. A lot of Greeks listen to them. Andy Manatos has a lot of common sense and knows how Government works. They have never never asked me for anything. I consider them very honest and sincere. Well, I hope this gives you some useful information. I love you and I love my heritage. It is a special thing that my good friend has the power to make the world a little better, a little stronger. God Bless You, Mr. President, David Del L. Ah THE TOWN HALL Eleftheria Square P.O.Box 21015 CY-1500 Nicosia Cyprus Telephone (00357) (2) 673124/7 Facsimile (00357) (2) 663363 E-mail: [email protected] Nicosia Municipality MAYOR'S OFFICE DETERMINED TO BE AN ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING INITIALS: M DATE: 8/20/16 CONFIDENTIAL 2011-0970-F 7th September, 1999 The President of the United States of America, The White House, Washington DC, USA Dear Mr. President, I took the liberty of writing to you after meeting with your good friend Mr. David Leopoulos a few days ago in Nicosia. I took David and his family around the town and we visited, of course, our famous or infamous "Green Line", which is in fact the United Nations demarcation line, cutting across the heart of the city and dividing it into two. David was really moved by what he saw and he asked me to write a letter to the President (which he promised to deliver himself) and explain a few things about my town and what I am doing. It is a demanding and difficult job to be a Mayor in any town, but it is even more difficult to manage a town which is divided, without freedom of movement of people, or, worse than that, of the possibility of sharing feelings and ideas. If I look back over the years, I can see that perhaps the most important thing that I tried to achieve, was to build and maintain some bridges of communication between the two parts of the town and I speak, of course, metaphorically. As early as three years after the invasion of the Turkish army in Cyprus in 1974, I established contact with the Turkish Cypriot local leaders and since that time we continue to co-operate on the Local Authorities Level. The result of these endeavours was to start functioning our common sewerage system which is still working ever since May 1980, benefiting both sides of Nicosia. We also agreed and we implement up to this day a common Town Planning Scheme which enables both sides of the town to develop in a way which is not conflicting with the other side, avoiding in this way the creation of any obstacles, physical or otherwise which may delay or interfere with the smooth unification of the city. In previous years, before the issue of the latest directions of Mr. Denktash prohibiting contacts between Greek and Turkish Cypriots in Cyprus, we had cultural and social gatherings, as well, between the two Communities in Nicosia. 2/ THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 Date: 7 September 1999 - 2 - - In spite of the present difficulties we intend to keep on maintaining our bridges and I am sure that one day these bridges will be used by others, in an effort to reach a settlement on the Cyprus problem. This is because I strongly believe that towns can not possibly remain divided forever and I hope that your new attempt, Mr. President, for a solution of the Cyprus problem, will bring about better days for Cyprus. I know that our problem is a difficult and complex one. I think that one way to solve it is to address the two main issues involved in this whole affair, beyond the issue of geographical demarcation of the two areas which will be inhabited predominantly by members of the same Communities, an issue which is more or less resolved. I feel that these two issues relate to security and keeping Cyprus as one Sovereign State. The security issue I think can be tackled now on the basis of similar cases. The sovereign issue may be resolved by the creation of a single Federal State, the inhabitants of which will have the same nationality and a common Issuing Bank, a Foreign Ministry enforcing a common foreign policy and with wide powers given to the two Communities. I believe that this can now be achieved if at the very moment of the creation of this new State, the European Union accepts it or agrees to accept it as its new member. Having been actively involved in public affairs (I prefer that, than saying "being in politics", because I do not belong to any particular Party), for about 40 years, during which I served both as a member of the House of Representatives for ten years as well as the Mayor of the Capital of Cyprus for 28 years, I think the above basis will be accepted by the Cypriots as a reasonable arrangement, provided it is presented as a final solution and not as a stepping stone for further negotiations, between the parties. Needless to say that this expose is, certainly, an over-simplification of the Cyprus problem, but I hold the view that it is a solid basis for a possible solution. I do apologise, Mr. President, for taking your time, but I thought it was my duty and, of course, my honour, to address myself to the President. I remain, Dear Mr. President, Yours faithfully Lellos Demetriades Mayor of Nicosia T CPT. PANAGIOTIS N. TSAKOS 13th September, 1999 Mr William Jefferson Clinton President of the United States of America The White House Washington DC U.S.A Dear Mr. President, I have much admired your resolute position on many issues, both the domestic and international, over a number of years. Your personal involvement in the efforts to solve many international problems, some of which were considered to be intractable, has been of great significance. It has been, Mr. President, not only the increasing influence of the USA, but your stature and skills which often carried the day. As a Greek , I have been gravely disappointed that the problem of Cyprus remains unresolved. I have followed the developments on the problem for many years and I have discussed it with many personalities who were involved with the problem over the years. The long history of the many attempts for its solution has taught us that only an initiative with the personal involvement of the President of USA can lead to a just solution, as the Turkish Governments perceive the personal effort of the President as evidence of high level interest on the part of the Administration. This perception, Mr. President , fades out, when the Administration relegates the handling of the problem to Officials, and statements such as " We support the mission of good offices of the UN Secretary General", reflect the low priority accorded to the Cyprus problem by the Administration. Mr. President, The purpose of my letter is to beg you to launch your personal initiative and use your stature and skills for the solution of the Cyprus problem. The Peoples of Greece and Cyprus expect that the first power of the world can decisively act for the consolidation of the ideals of Freedom, Democracy and Peace in the area. It is evident to all that you are inspired by this high mission of strengthening of these ideals in the world. They think that the time has come for the United States to expect from Turkey actions on the Cyprus issue in the interest of Peace. You will be visiting the area in November of this year. It is surely a golden opportunity for a new high level initiative, an initiative that will have excellent prospects of success, the President Clinton initiative. MEGARON MACEDONIA 367, SYNGROU AVE., P.O. BOX 79 141 (AMFITHEA), 175 02 ATHENS, HELLAS. 10200700 0 Mr William Jefferson Clinton President of the United States of America U.S.A. Page 2 Mr President, I share and further support the above opinions and expectations of the common citizen of Greece and Cyprus. By having though, slightly better familiarised with the legal frame of the problem, I would like to be permitted to respectfully suggest that-you bring with you to the area outline proposals on some of the principal parameters of the problem such as: Territory : Proposals based on the Gobi or Ghali maps of 1992. Security : The demilitarisation of Cyprus as envisaged by the two parties in Cyprus in the second high - level agreement (1979) and the deployment of an international force to foster peace and co-operation between the two Cypriot communities. Constitutional Aspects : A bizonal, bicommunal federation with one international personality, one sovereignty, one citizenship (as provided for by all recent Security Council decisions) and with membership of the European Union. (The allocation of powers to the Federal Government). Respect for Human Rights as provided for by the Universal Declaration of Human rights, the European Convention of Human Rights, and the law of the European Union. Mr. President, You have a real opportunity to resolve a long-standing problem, which has caused untold unhappiness to the Peoples of the countries involved. I beg you to consider favourably my suggestions for resolving the problem and for launching the Clinton initiative to resolve the Cyprus problem before the end of the Millennium. Respectfully Yours Tomás Capt. Panagiotis Tsakos George Paraskevaides O.B.E. 1. Byron Avenue Tel: 866800 P.O. Box 1178 Fax: 2 818868 (Gr 4) CY 1503 Nicosia 2-476269. 466918 (Gr 3) CYPRUS 7th September, 1999 The Honorable Mr. Bill Clinton. President of the United States of America, The White House, Washingtor. DC Dear Mr. President, May = take the liberty with this letter to express my views on the very serious problem which my country Cyprue facts for the last 25 years. Recently I had the opportunity to meet with your great friend Mr. David Leopoules and nis family, while they were on holiday in Cyprus. I am really very pleased and happy to have met and spent some time in the company of such a genuine and kind man. Mr. Lacpoulos was very kind to take an interest in the tragic Cyprus problem and to spend time locking into certain or its details. Before leaving Cyprus, he expressed his will that upon his return to the U.S.A., he would be writing to your Honorable goodself expressing his V1AWS on the Cyprus issue, formed during nis visit to the Island. It is upon his request that I am also writing this letter to express my opinion on this tragedy that has bafallen my country. Honorable Mr. President, knowing your enormous responsibilities and your great wish on behalf of your great country to promote world peace, I am sure you will find of assistance the attached coinion and views of mine on this very important international problem. I would like to express my heartfelt thanks to you, Mr. President, for taking the time to consider my views as expressed herewith. My country and myself are eternally grateful to you and to the U.S.A. for your continuous efforts .../2 I NEVER RECEIVED ThE ORIGINAL HE FAXER it from chpins. DAVID 2 2 George Paraskevaides O.B.E. 1, Byron Avenue Tel: 2. 868600 P.O. Box 1178 Fax: 2- - 618668 (Gr 4) CY . 1503 Nicosia 2- - 476269, 466908 (Gr 3) CYPRUS - 2 - for a peaceful and just settlement of the Cyprus problem. God bless you and your family, God bless America. Yours most respectfully, George E. Faraskevaides. GP/MTh/MS THE CYPRUS QUESTION (The Framework for a Solution) The framework for a solution already exists and is none other than the resolutions of the United Nations and the high-level agreements. The EU's own resolutions and decisions on Cyprus, which are fully in line with those of the UN, provide additional guidelines and express the Union's commitment to the principles involved. The basic elements of the framework prescribed by these resolutions include the re- unification of Cyprus, the removal of foreign occupation troops and settlers the return of displaced persons to their homes under conditions of safety and safe-guarding the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Cyprus. Additional elements are provided by two specific agreements reached between Presidents Makarios and Kyprianou on the one hand and the Turkish Cypriot leader, Mr. Denktash on the other in 1977 respectively. These agreements provide for the establishment of a bi-communal federation, the safeguarding, of human rights of all Cypriots and the exclusion of union in whole or in part with any other state or partition in any form. Unfortunately a solution according to these agreed principles has not been forthcoming despite the continuous efforts of the United Nations Secretary-General under his mission of good offices entrusted to him by the Security Council. As matter of fact the Security Council has had to condemn actions by the Turkish side which were contrary to those agreements, the United Nations resolutions and international law and which intended to dismember Cyprus by declaring an independent state on the territory of the Republic occupied by Turkish troops. Similar condemnations were expressed by the Counc:: of Europe, the Commonwealth and other world bodies. It is now universally realised and widely accepted that the only force that can induce the Turks to come to terms for a fair, just and viable solution of the Cyprus question is the Government of the United State of America. "The war will be won by those who have the last drop of oil". Rommel in Cairo tried to capture Cyprus because of its strategic location for the control of oil supply in the Middle East and Arab countries My opinion is that Europe, U.S. and the Middle East need Cyprus to safeguard the supply of oil from the Middle East to the rest of the world. I repeat a free united and democratic Cyprus for all it's people, is a diamond in the Eastern Mediterranean. Europe and the U.S should spare no efforts to convince the two countries Turkey and Greece to be on friendly terms for their own interests and then there will never be a problem in the Easter Mediterranean. If this happens, that day will be written in golden letters in the world history. MR. PRESIDENT, Below Are SOME Thoughts from MEMO A PERSON high rr The GREEK GOVERNMENT. 10.IX.99 ShE IS BELIEVE is AN AMERICAN Dear David, WE hAD AINNER with bin. Very Intelligent. As we discussed on that lovely evening in Athens, here are some notes referring to the Cyprus issue from Greek eyes. However, I must add that while the eyes DAVID may be Greek the positions are not less pertinent. Rauf Denktash is in the winter of his political career. His primary political goal at this point in his life is to have history remember him kindly. As such, there is no incentive to be either compromising or forthcoming. Denktash will move only as much as he may have to, in order to appease the power- players. His agreement to come to the tables again as a "community leader" and not as a president will be his concession. Anyone expecting much more will be disappointed. Denktash sees history as describing him as a leader that "defended his people and fended off superpower pressure until his death." He sees no reason to jeopardize this. Both Greece and Cyprus are flexible, creative and sincere in their efforts to propose and resolve the issues on the island. By directly or indirectly yielding to Denktash, the prestige and authority of two governments is at stake. Clerides based his election campaign as well as this government, on imminent resolution of the Cyprus issue. He had hope in Holbrooke, but lead to a dead-end. He put hope in the S-300s, but that boomeranged and failed. Being unpredictable, Clerides will be so weakened in the eyes of his country that it wouldn't be beyond him to quit if he foresees failure once again. If so, what would be the next government? For another indefinite number of times, the entire process of seeking a solution for Cyprus begins from zero. The same would apply to the Simitis government. The attacks from the opposition, to include the internal opposition, were it perceived that the Greek government was not holding up to its obligation to protect Cypriot interests, would be relentless. Turkey is the key in resolution of the Cyprus question. Turkey tells the US that "Denktash" has the upper hand and they can't exert more pressure on him. This is not true, just as much as it's not true that the US can't exert more pressure on Turkey. There are always ways, provided there is the will. Turkey is the player in the Cyprus equation, and more specifically the Turkish military. If the US looks beyond a narrowly defined national interest presumably served by favored relations with Turkey, then the potential for extracting Turkish concessions become enormous. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 The German example of membership in the EU is well known. When West Germany joined the EU it was with the understanding that whenever the unification of West and East Germany were to be achieved membership to the EU was automatically for the entire unified state. This is the most logical application for Cyprus also. The umbrella of the European Union can gives the guarantees that each side seeks. It is the only opportunity that offers a just and viable solution. What more security guarantees could the Turkish Cypriots seek other than those to be found in EU membership with all the benefits that a member state has?! The Turkish Cypriots would have all the advantages the EU has to offer to include employment, development, and better standards of living to only name a few. If their security were under question in a majority Greek Cyprus, if human rights as they fear would be violated, if opportunities would be minimal. Even Turkey stands to gain by one Cyprus is the EU-one of the official languages of the EU will become Turkish; Turkish products and collaboration with the T/C community would be promoted in Europe. 0 While NGO level interrelations are good for atmospherics in Cypriot relations, it's not enough. High level politics sets the tone and makes or breaks these efforts. Take for example, when Holbrooke made a break through and actuated a telecommunications link between the two communities, Denktash obstructed its function in practice. When the relations at the public level became more frequent and people got together an both sides, Denktash unilaterally created "TRNC passports" requiring visas, making crossings of the green line nearly impossible. He does not want the people to come together - it undermines his role of King in a Kingdom. However, relations in Cyprus have seen a roller coaster of hope-disappointment at that level. 0 Demography of northern Cyprus: 120,000 Turkish settlers 40,000 Turkish military 80,000 real Turkish Cypriots (from 160,000 in 1974) Migration of T/C has been enormous in the last few years. The demography of the island has changed immensely. We are about 2/3 of the population being Turkish and only 1/3 being Turkish Cypriot. In recent years the Turkish Cypriots migrated primarily to England Now the majority are moving to Australia, Canada and the US. Unemployment amongst the T/C is much higher than that of Turkish settlers because the Turkish settlers are given incentives to go live in Cyprus. Naturally the first incentive is that of employment. With recent events, Turkish Cypriots have lost hope for development and a better standard of life in Cyprus. The Turkish Cypriot and Turkish cultures are different just as the Greeks and Greek Cypriots are. The fact that northern Cyprus is being 'taken over' by Turks, and the fact that there is no solid promise of a solid future, they are seeking stability and quality of life away from their homeland. 0 Clinton stated on national television that he would not rest until every single Kossovar refugee returned home. 250,000 Cypriot refugees ask why is it that after more than 25 years no one seems to be concerned with their going home. The latest 'argument' from people in State Department is "Cypriots refugees? It's not the same, they have villas and Mercedes" After twenty-five years, refugees of Kossovo will also have Mercedes and villas. This argument is insulting. 0 Cypriots have been disappointed over and over again with "international interest". If the mediators complain (especially those from the US) that there is no "political will" on the part of the Cypriots to resolve the problems on Cyprus, it could be attributed to the fact that there have been so many beginnings, so many disappointments and so little ever accomplished. The question that should really be asked, however, is a different one: Is there really the international political will to find a just and viable solution based on the principles of international law? Or is the goal of the mediators actually to "stabilize the region" at all costs and in any manner. The motivation of the mediators is a major factor in the outcome of Cyprus. Is it international law that serves as the guideline to mediation or economic/political interests? If it's the latter then justice cannot be served and if justice is not served, then the chances are that a solution will never be found. 0 There are risks if this problem continues to linger on and if the Cypriot question is not settled with accession to the EU serving as an umbrella of security and prosperity for all Cypriots. The sense of insecurity will continue to grow even for Greek Cypriots. Productive capital will start leaving the island. Cyprus can become the Switzerland-economic hub-for the Middle East, Southeast Europe but also the Caucasus. As the external borders to the east, the EU, but also the US, has enormous interests in making sure that Cyprus becomes secure as soon as possible. ¥ Ecevit's (and Denktash) repeated statements that "Cyprus is settled" there is nothing to be done anymore is an illusion. When there was momentum in Cypriot negotiations in 1996 two Cypriots were killed by Turkish troops. This didn't happen because the situation in Cyprus was still 'dangerous and explosive' as Turkey held. On the contrary, exactly because things were too 'peaceful' Turkey had to prove that security was still an issue, otherwise their arguments were invalid. The worse part of this incident was that suddenly the Greek Cypriots woke up from their slumber. They realized that the status quo was not security for them. THE PRESIDENT SEEN 10-5-99 0 Neither Turkey nor Denktash wants to change status quo. Denktash for the reasons noted above. The real obstacle, however, is that Turkey has no incentive to change status quo. 1. If Cyprus were settled, then Turkey would have no legitimate reason to be involved with Cypriot affairs. As a member of the EU, the role of "guarantor" would be meaningless. Even if Cyprus were simply an independent non- aligned state satisfied with its government, Turkey would not have any say on the internal affairs. 2. Cyprus has always been a bargaining chip for Turkey: - Access to Cyprus is defacto territorial extension for Turkey - Turkish relations with Denktash has made it possible to send goods to the EU - In geo-political terms, Turkey has a foot in the regional importance of Cyprus What incentive does Turkey have to settle the Cyprus question? They have, on the other hand, much to gain by continuing the impasse by virtue of involvement and intervention on the island's affairs. Accession to the European Union would solve all problems on Cyprus, but it would also mean that Turkey would no longer have that card to play. 0 The US could exert more pressure on Turkey. It is understandable that the US perceives that many issues of American national interests can be served through Turkey. However, Turkey also understands this. As such, Turkey knows that the US will chastise on issues of human rights or on the Cyprus question, but will not go as far as to actually 'punish' Turkey for 'misbehavior'. Perhaps the US should try this once. Turkey has no where else to go. Fundamentalism is not really possible in Turkey-the State Department knows this. Barring a real threat to normal relations, Turkey has no reason to back off from its policy of 25 years. ¥ US interests in settling Cyprus: Cyprus is an economic center-a rising star- and important crossroads to the Middle East, Caucuses, SE Europe and Africa. Oil lines through Cyprus are sound and feasible through Cyprus. Investments to from and to the Middle East Russians are in Cyprus Geographically and politically useful to purposes of west-If NATO bases were in Cyprus it would be even better It would give more independence to the US if Cyprus were disengaged from Turkey. If there were instability in Turkey it would inevitably spread to the northern part of the island. The US would have more options- policy options- if Cyprus were truly an independent state. By having all American eggs in one Turkish basket, the US risks a replay of Iran. The US is relying on an eggshell foundation in Turkey. This was especially seen in the aftermath of the earthquake, where for the first time public opinion openly and consciously challenged the all mighty Turkish State. The image has been cracked. While the military guarantees democracy in Turkey, and while the possibility of Turkey turning fundamentalist is minimal, instability still exists. 0 If Cyprus is in EU then Turkey will undoubtedly be helped in its effort to join the EU 0 The Balkans, Middle East are priorities for US foreign policy. Cyprus is in that arch of instability. If the link is broken, then the chain is useless. Cyprus is a rock of security that the US could rely on, were it settled with the EU context. The Washington Times TUESDAY, JULY 20, 1999 / PAGE A19 ORHAN SULEIMAN rue or false? EOKA terrorist bent on immediate T NATO is to Kosovo as Cyprus Enosis, and the extermination: of Turkey is to Cyprus. Turkish Cypriots, replaced Makar- You decide. ios. And the bloodbaths began No Turkish Cyprio NATO's justification of its 1999 again. military intervention in Kosovo tensions were attacked or When the Greek military coup was twofold: to remedy the over- promised a reprise of the 1963-64 throw of traditional Kosovar auton- horror story for the Turkish Cypri- Killed. The junta omy within Yugoslavia; and to undo and punish ethnic cleansing and revisited ot people, Turkey intervened with military force as both a humanitar- killed approximate war crimes perpetrated by ian mission and as a defender of Yugoslav President Slobodan Milo- international order. The dispatch 200 Greek Cyprio! sevic and his loyalists. of troops was expressly authorized Turn the reel of history back 35 under Article IV of the Treaty of overthrowing the years to Cyprus. From a population approximat- Guarantee and was legally irre- In December 1963, a bloodbath ing 120,000, tens of thousands of proachable; it was no lawless inva- cyprus government commenced with a premeditated Turkish Cypriots were slaugh- sion. Greek Cypriot attack on the Turk- tered, plundered and driven from The Athens Court of Appeal no ish Cypriots in pursuit of their age- their homes into defensive partisan of Turkey, explained in a Other parts of old dream of "Enosis" (union with enclaves by Greek and Greek March 1979 decision: "The Turkish Greece). The lethal and brutal Cypriot soldiers and guardsmen. military intervention in Cyprus this article and assaults persisted for 11 years More than 20 percent were made which was carried out in accor- under the aegis of Archbishop refugees or displaced persons, the dance with the Zurich and London much information Markarios, the "president" of the proportionate equivalent of 70 Agreements was legal. Turkey, as 1960 Republic of Cyprus. It was million Americans. More than 100 one of the Guarantor powers; had that is presented founded as a partnership state of villages and mosques were the right to fulfill her obligations. the two peoples of the island guar- destroyed. The real culprits are the Greek ON the Turks' anteed by international treaties. Was this genocide? Officers who engineered and staged The Greek Cypriot leadership This is the testimony of United the coup and prepared the condi- behalf crosses aimed to destroy the very same con- States Undersecretary of State tions for this intervention." The stitution and partnership that it had George Ball in his "Memoirs": Athens court echoed an earlier con- the line of pledged to honor. "Makarios' central interest was to clusion of the Standing Committee The 1960 partnership Republic block off Turkish intervention so of the Consultative Assembly of the propaganda. erected safeguards against Greek that he and his Greek Cypriots Council of Europe. Cypriot domination. The Turkish could go on happily massacring Since 1974, two equal and demo- Cypriots enjoyed a fixed quota of Turkish Cypriots. I said to him cratic political sovereigns have executive, legislative, judicial, civil sharply The world's not going evolved on Cyprus amidst peace service and military representa- to stand idly by and let you turn this and general tranquility: the Turkish tion, plus strong local autonomy in beautiful island into your private Republic of Northern Cyprus head- specified municipalities. The Turk- abattoir.' I telegraphed the presi- ed by President Rauf Denktas; and ish Cypriot vice president held a dent The Greek Cypriots do not a Greek Cypriot administration led veto equivalent to that of the Greek want a peacekeeping force; they by President Glafcos Clerides. Cypriot president. In its initial just want to be left alone to kill The United Nations Security years, this partnership arrange- Turkish Cypriots.' Council, the European Union and ment operated with minor bumps On Feb. 17, 1964, The Washing- President Clerides, however, insist created by the Greek Cypriots. For ton Post reported that "Greek the Greek Cypriot administration example, Archbishop Makarios' Cypriot fanatics appear bent on a hold the legitimate. right to rule bold vow that, "Even if the Consti- policy of genocide." Former Greek over the Turkish Cypriot people. tutional Court says that what I am Prime Minister Constantinos Mit- That posture contradicts interna- doing [on municipalities] is uncon- sotakis recently acknowledged: tional law and morality and the stitutional, I will not respect any of "The attempt by Makarios to abro- facts on the ground, akin to denying those things," provoked the resig- gate the very agreements he had the Pythagorean theorem. nation of the German president of signed was a mistake which con- Negotiations between the Greek the court. stituted a crime. Because from that and Turkish Cypriot states that do In December 1963, Archbishop point on the situation dragged not at the outset officially recognize Markarios manufactured a crisis by Cyprus into bloody events and led their sovereign equality would insisting on amendments that would to crimes committed by the Greek build on a false bottom and instant- shatter the partnership Constitution Cypriot side against the Turkish ly capsize. The withholding of that and reduce the Turkish Cypriot peo- Cypriot side which we cannot recognition is what is stalling a per- ple to servility. The Turkish Cypriots deny." manent agreement on Cyprus balked, and for the temerity of On July 15, 1974, the military defending their constitutional rights, junta ruling Greece overthrew the Makarios unleashed the notorious Greek Cypriot administration of Orhan Suleiman is former presi- "Akritas Plan," a mini-version of the Archbishop Makarios by force. dent of the Maryland American Final Solution. Nicos Sampson, a malevolent Turkish Association. This Anticle Shows how untruiths ARE CiRCULAtED to Chroge history, NO tunks WERE KillEn By Greeks. IT WAS AN all GREEK happering: There is histonical proof of This DATID Defense Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy Pakistan's Bid For Leverage Mountain Warfare, Trench 7, 7,1999 Tactics and Global Maneuver TURKEY at its Most Vital Strategic Crossroad Learning the AIR POWER Lessons of Kosovo and Washington, Too, Looks at Kosovo's Lessons Defense Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy The Journal of the International Strategic Studies Association www.StrategicStudies.org The Cover Special Studies than they need to be 20 The international instructed. Human The Kashmir War: An Indian Army Chetak 4 journal of helicopter flies between nature has not changed Neither Safe Nor Turkey, So Close to in the 200 years since he national the mountains of the Promise of Ending said it and the Kashmir near Kargil Fighting in Kashmir management Atatürk, Sees Its Strategic Policy Senior opportunities to between India and Strategic Options demonstrate it have Editor Yossef Bodansky Pakistan continues, and took the shot from a Withering grown. Witness the it is a foreboding of a Founded in 1972 second Chetak. flying The end of the Cold War recent air campaign over much bigger conflict to over Indian positions brought the promise that Yugoslavia. Before diving come. Strategic Policy FOUNDING EDITORS and Pakistan Army Turkey would be able to into the flood of detailed Senior Editor Yossef Gregory R. Copley recapture its lost technical studies of what positions inside the Bodansky, in Kashmir to Indian side of the Line of went right and wrong, it Dr Stefan T. Possony influence in Central observe the conflict at 1913-1995 Control during the Asia, among the Turkic is worth looking back at current fighting. nations newly-freed from the basic truths which first hand. has filed extensively on the events, the USSR; that it would emerged from air EDITOR-IN-CHIEF following his report in Gregory R. Copiey, GCHT* GCEL command, in a modern warfare early and have Departments the 5-6, 1999, edition of e-mail: [email protected] sense, influence over the stayed true. this journal ASSOCIATE Muslim world. And that 2 13 The new war, however, is EDITOR-IN-CHIEF it would be the massive Early Warning Pentagon Report: far more than merely a Dr Stefan T. Possony Eastern anchor of Turkey's Time of Washington Looks revival of old fighting 1972-1995 Historic Decision Europe. The dream at Kosovo's Lessons along the Line of Control SENIOR EDITOR India and Pakistan at a proved ephemeral. Did the Kosovo air war (LOC). The war has Yossef Bodansky, Dangerous Junction 11 create a de facto new been the key to Pakistan's Washington DC Air Power and the 3 "doctrine"? Indeed, just moves to EUROPEAN EDITOR internationalize the Ian G.S. Curtis, London En Clair Kosovo War what are "the lessons The Lusaka Accords Dr Johnson remarked learned". The US is now Kashmir crisis, and CONTRIBUTING EDITORS that men need to be starting to seriously look involve the US in a Gen.-Maj. Evgeny Nikitenko, May Create More resolution. Moscow reminded more often at the impact of the Instability Purvis Hussain. Islamabad Sierra Leone "Peace conflict, and its cost. Saniiv Prakash, New Delhi Frederick Barnes. The Pentagon Accord" Presages an End to Electoral Government STRATEGIC WEAPONS EDITOR 15 2 Harvey G. 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DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS HANDBOOK AND CD-ROM Telephone +1-703-548-1070 This edition of Strategic Facsimile +1-703-684-7476 Policy went to press on The 1999 edition of this annual, 1.800-page Handbook is available for USS242 pius freight (S30 in N.Amer- e-mail: [email protected] July 13, 1999. ica: $60 by air elsewhere). The CD-ROM edition is available for USS429 (air despatch included). ADVERTISING SALES, CREDIT CARDS ACCEPTED FRANCE Georges France American Express. Visa, MasterCard, Diner's Club. 6. impasse de la Grande Fontaine Copyright © 1999 by the International Strategic Studies Association. 91510 Janville/Juine, France Not to be reproduced in any form without written permission of the publisher. The policy of the Tel. +33 (o) I 60 82 98 88 publications is one of complete non-alignment with any nation, cause or industrialist. Fax +33 (o) 1 60 82 98 89 ISSN: 0277-4933 VOLUME XXVII, NUMBER 7 7, 1999 DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 1. Early Warning By Gregory R. Copley Turkey's Time of Historic Decision RUTUS, IN SHAKESPEARE'S Julius Cæsar, in one for all. B of the verses which, to me, serves as a great The cultural changes required - such as giving up the warning against delay, notes: "There is a tide in dreams of empire as Britain, France, Russia and others the affairs of men / Which, taken at the flood, transformed their own dreams - seem more difficult for leads on to fortune; / Omitted, all the voyage of Turkey. Indeed, the dreams are perhaps more critical at a their life / Is bound in shallows and in miseries. / On such a time when economic and political problems plague the av- full sea are we now afloat, / And we must take the current erage voter. when it serves, / Or lose our ventures." Part of the change will need to be transforming Turkish The fortunes of one of the pivotal states of the past thou- policy with regard to the Cyprus question. A quarter of a sand years- Turkey- are now at that flood tide. This most century ago, in 1974, the re-conquest of Northern Cyprus vital geopolitical entity, which serves as the crossroads be- by Turkish forces came as a result of decades of dreaming, tween Europe and Asia, North and South, between and seemed to answer a need among many Turks Westernism and the Middle East, faces a critical to reclaim not just part of Cyprus but their na- series of choices over the coming couple of years. tional pride. It was a brief meal, and it has caused Failure to act appropriately will condemn the prolonged indigestion. Turkish State and Turkish People to decline and Today, few could manage a credible strategic, perhaps erosion within, say, 20 years. 1972 economic or social argument to sustain Turkey's Turkey must decide almost immediately if it is going to accept the only real strategic option open 1999 continued position with regard to Cyprus. In- deed, the political, strategic and economic costs to it — integration with the West, both the Euro- of Turkey's present Cyprus position are now un- pean Union and NATO/North America- or re- tenable and unaffordable for the country. alize that, "omitted, all the voyage of its life is Many states have spent decades supporting bound in shallows and in miseries". Defense Foreign Affairs Turkey because of its geo-strategic importance. There are those who will say that this is too LEADERSHIP The US, Israel, Germany, France and Britain, harsh, or too dramatic, a portrayal of Turkey's op- have all helped support Turkey, often overlook- tions. In this edition of Strategic Policy, we have at- ing political, social or economic problems which tempted to show why there can be no further delay in they would not overlook in others. Turkey's friends will Turkey coming to grips with the challenge. It is a critical de- continue to support her, but if Turkey fails to help itself, and cision not only for Turkey, but also for all of Western and fails to take the most logical path of integrating itself with Eastern Europe, Russia and the CIS states, and for the the global trading community, then those states will not be United States. It is not overstating the case to say that it able to save Turkey from the destructive forces which will could also be critical for Israel, Egypt and the flow of East- beset it. West maritime trade through the Eastern Mediterranean. And at that time, perhaps starting a decade from now and But it is not an easy path for Turkey. The country faces maturing a decade farther on, Turkey's onetime allies will be many economic and political problems, domestically, at guarding against the instability which will come from or via present, and these problems will certainly be made more dif- Turkey, rather than trying to help her. There is no easy path ficult or challenging by attempting to move the country in for Turkey's leaders today, but there is a right one. the direction needed to attune Turkey to the West, once and India and Pakistan at a Dangerous Junction E HAVE BECOME ALMOST INURED to the news of was a source of concern to Pakistan. W renewed fighting in Kashmir. There always seems Pakistan's thrust into Kashmir could well have been an attempt, to be "renewed fighting" at this "roof of the among other things, to open up the linking geography between Paki- world" battlefield. But today, there is something stan and China, thus obviating any need for Beijing to become too different. The Kashmir dispute has been, finally, close to India. The move could also have been meant to placate an in- internationalized by the deliberate and delicate military-political creasingly radical segment of Pakistani society as the "Talibanization" policies which Pakistani leaders have played out by opening a major of Pakistan occurs due to the spillover of fundamentalism from the military front against the Indian-controlled sector of Kashmir. Afghan war and societal evolution. Significantly, the evolution of events had been conspiring to mar- The method of enhancing its significance internationally, how- ginalize Pakistan's strategic importance of late. China, Pakistan's ever, may have been too risky and ill-considered, however. Pakistani longtime ally and protector vis-à-vis India, had become less than ever leaders say (as noted in our report on page 20) that the initiative has dependent on Pakistan for routes to the south-west. The rapproche- internationalized the Kashmir dispute, at last, with the US Clinton ment suggested by Russia between herself, China (PRC) and India Administration committed to a resolution within 18 months. So would totally have marginalized Pakistan. It is true that such an alli- once again, we see Pakistan risking its survival over Kashmir. ance might never become workable, but that it had been suggested Is this the most efficient way Pakistan can rebuild its security? 2. DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 7,1999 The Eastern Mediterranean By Gregory R. Copley, Editor Turkey, So Close to the Promise of Atatürk, Sees Its Strategic Options Withering The end of the Cold War brought the promise that Turkey would be able to recapture its lost influence in Central Asia, among the Turkic nations newly-freed from the USSR; that it would command, in a modern sense, influence over the Muslim world. And that it would be the massive Eastern anchor of Europe. The dream proved ephemeral. The question is, what can Turkey salvage of its strategic vision? Because it must decide quickly. S TAND BACK FROM THE issues of immediate For the followers of the late President concern clouding the situation in the Eastern Mustafa Kemal Atatürk - who believe as did his Young Turkswhen they overthrew Mediterranean and it is clear that the options the Ottoman Sultanate early in the 20th for Turkey's strategic future are slowly, but inexorably, be- Century that Turkey's future lay with modernization, industrialization, and coming increasingly limited. It is at a point where it must secular Westernism - what today seeps make choices, and make them soon, if it is not to slide into into Turkey from the Muslim world, along with the trade and investment, is a decline of far greater significance than the loss of the Ot- radical politics, either of the Islamist vari- toman Empire. ety or of the separatist Kurdish kind. Even Turkey's most industrialized Turkish political and (more signifi- As well, the People's Republic of China Muslim neighbor, Iran, holds no enor- cantly) military leaders will at first deny (PRC) and Russia have a strong hold on mous promise of future mutual eco- this reality, but the trends are ominous the attention of the Central Asians, at nomic growth; rather, it remains a rival in and seemingly unrelenting. The end of present. The "New Silk Road" and the re- Central Asia, a competitor for influence the Cold War changed Turkey's geopo- gional exploitation of fossil fuels and in the Balkans, a source of instability and litical and strategic realities and options other resources holds, by and large, much a font of radical Islamism and even a ha- in a quiet process which is continuing. more appeal. ven for Kurds. Iraq is damaged beyond The anticipated benefits of the end of the Dreams of Samarkand remain just the hope of becoming a great market for bipolar world have not materialized for dreams. Turkey in the coming decade or two; Turkey. And of the prospects of returning as a Syria is more rival and antagonist than The Central Asian Turkic states have political and economic leader to the tra- market. And Iraq and Syria will increas- not overwhelmingly embraced Turkey in ditional Ottoman lands to the South and ingly become querulous and troublesome the wake of the Soviet withdrawal; nor East, there also remains far less hope than on the question of sharing the down- were they in a position to do so. The an- originally anticipated. Egypt remains a vi- stream waters which originate in Turkish ticipated political and economic benefits able trading partner, as does Iran (which rivers. have not materialized from Turkey's was never in the grasp of the Ottomans), If the Turkish General Staff could seal well-conceived and strong commitment but neither would treat with Turkey other Turkey's borders with the Muslim to diplomacy, aid and trade in this region. than as equals. The remaining remnants neighbor-states - perhaps leaving It may have been that Saudi and Iranian of the Ottoman Empire are, for Turkey, enough of a gap for the oil pipelines to competition and aid in the region proved changed beyond return. None of them flow up from the South - then in all more attractive, but those states, too, have promise the hope of becoming part of a probability it would. To the North, Rus- not achieved any great strategic success in modern Turkish trading empire, but sev- sia, Ukraine and Georgia hold little Central Asia. It is more likely that the eral hold the prospect of poisoning Tur- promise of sufficient support for a revival states of Central Asia were not ready or key with radicalism which has no care for of Turkish power and wealth. Reasonable able to commit to any great new alliance. worldly prosperity. trading partners, but not the stuff which DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 7. 1999 Turkish dreams of great prosperity and the General Staff's hand off the levers of revival are made of. power, many secularists today believe. All that remains is the vision which And there are many in the US and Europe Atatürk painted for them: the West. (and Israel) who agree with this. And it is in the West that Turkey has The problem is that unless something is prospects: from trade, investment, indus- done fairly quickly, Turkey will be in- trial and technological partnership, po- creasingly isolated from Europe and the litical interaction, respect and acceptance. opportunity will pass. As it is, every year Turkey performed bulwark service for the which passes is a year in which Turkey North Atlantic Treaty Organization falls behind the economic growth of (NATO) for almost 50 years; it earned re- Western Europe. [Significantly, the stra- spect, and its geography guaranteed it a tegic gap between Turkey and Greece, its ròle in the West's containment of the So- major rival" in the region, narrows each viet Union and (in the minds of some year, both in economic terms and militar- Westerners) post-Soviet Russia. ily. This is a process which will certainly And yet the West, too, is a poisoned continue, given present trends.] Ironi- chalice for Turkev. cally, the leadership (as opposed to the If the North, South and East promise general publics) of most member states of Turkey nothing but stagnation, or at best the European Union themselves want decline and emptiness, at leastin the West Turkey to be able to join them, but only if there is the prospect of being part of the Ankara can dispense with some of its bag- Turkish Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit: Can he and the Turkish General Staff make the industrial, prosperous group of nations. gage along the way. necessary changes to take advantage of But to achieve entry into the West - the Even among the Kemalists, however, new opportunities in the West? European Union, in particular - the thought of Turkish membership of changes must be made in the very way in the European Union has what is almost which Turkey is governed and how it con- too high a price: the subordination of the tional Monetary Fund (IMF) in July 1999 ducts its domestic, regional and interna- Turkish identity and the abandonment clearly placed terms on its support for tional affairs. What has beguiled Turkish for all time of the revival of Turkish gran- Turkey. The IMF said in early July 1999 leaders and lulled them into a false sense deur as a separate and sovereign thing. that Turkey must take "strategic steps" of security is the fact that Turkey has been The same type of fear has plagued many before a new economic reform program able to pursue its own path in the post- in Britain, and many in France. And some can be agreed and a possible $5- to $10- World War II years, without major inter- in Germany who had hoped, finally, to billion loan package agreed. Turkey lost ference from either the US or Western see a united Germany fulfill the promise some $7-billion in foreign capital during European states. On the contrary, even which Bismark held out to them. But the Russian crisis of 1998, but to get in the when its actions were seen as un- these once-imperial powers gulped and new IMF funding the structural changes democratic (such as the military assump- shrugged off their scarlet and ermine needed are likely to face enormous union tion of government at the expense of the cloaks to build a more prosperous world and popular pressure. democratic process), the US and the ma- within a united Europe. That, at least, was Already the Turkish public deficit is jor European states protected the Turkish the recompense for making an historical expected to rise to 12 percent this year, leadership from criticism. break with the past. from 7.7 percent last year. The pension Now, for the first time, Turkey is likely For Turkey, the choice is far more sim- system alone shows a deficit equivalent to to face some changes in that regard. ple. The last hope of the revival of a three percent of the GNP. The plans by For a start, the European Union (EU) Kemalist-led Ottoman-like empire, brief- the three-party Ecevit coalition to raise will never consider Turkey a candidate for ly glimpsed as a prospect at the end of the the retirement age from 38 to 62 for EU membership as long as the Armed Cold War, has gone if it ever existed. The women and from 43 to 62 for men have Forces, via the General Staff, hold sway choice is between decline and chaos encountered strong union resistance, and over the elected Presidency and Govern- within two decades, or to find a way to the parliamentary bill for the plan was ment and not the other way around. But join the West. Within "the West" there withdrawn in early July to be re-designed in order for Turkey to qualify for mem- also remains the choice between the and re-presented in late July 1999. A na- bership on the grounds of economic sta- United States (say, North America) and tional strike is possible. bility and political and social stability, the the European Union, because at some How, then, can Turkey overcome its General Staff feels that its hand alone is stage in the future the EU and the US will problems, enter into Europe, expand its strong enough to suppress the nagging become economic competitors, if not special relationship with the US, and be- radicalism, irredentism and anti-prog- geo-strategic ones. come, finally and forever, part of the lead- ressive traditions of some aspects of the For Turkey, the most viable future, ership of the West? society. however, lies with the geographically There are many who say that Turkey In other words, if the General Staff more logical association with the Euro- could not in 50 years meet the criteria for agrees to suborn itself entirely to the pean Union. This does not preclude a joining the EU, and there is little likeli- wishes of the elected Presidency and Par- continued special relationship with the hood that the rules would be bent too far liament, then the State will (the military US but this has its limitations. As Ankara to allow a non-compliant Turkey into the believes) fall into chaos as the populism of recently discovered, the US "recommen- club. But those who say that Turkey can- politicians panders to religiously-orien- dation" that the EU embrace Turkey was not change sufficiently rapidly, nor bring ted and ill-educated voters. Turkey would not well received by the EU. In the mean- its house to order, are reminiscent of return to the internal wars of the 1970s time, the present half-link between the those who felt that the decayed commu- when, basically, the secularists, the popu- EU and Turkey and the friendly support nist states of Hungary, the Czech Repub- list Islamic sector, the Kurds, Armenians from the US combine to give Turkey a lic and Poland could never break their and others all pitched into an unruly fray. modest outlook for the next few years. molds and reshape them - as Omar So there can be no sudden rush to take Again, not without a price: the Interna- Khayyàm said - "nearer to thy heart's i. 1999 DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 5. desire". There is, however, a harsh period man Empire was a cumbersome remnant Turkey has the base of educated, skilled ahead which Turkey cannot avoid. No of an inefficient and antique past. In other workers and the capital base to make the matter what options are chosen (includ- words, the loss of the territory could be transition within a reasonable timeframe, ing making no major decisions), there is accepted because its loss was at the hands if given the opportunity. But there remain no escape from the coming hardship. The of, or because of, the failed Sultanate and other problems: the Kurdish question IMF has confirmed that 1999 GNP no blame could be attached to the Kemal- and the Cyprus question. growth will be down by 0.5 percent ists. Both relate to the fundamental ques- against the Government's modest 2.3 per- Today, the Prime Minister of Turkey is tion of respect for human rights, although cent estimate, to 1.8 percent. The GNP the same Bulent Ecevit who ordered the Turkish leaders would balk at this. And fell 8.4 percent in the first quarter of 1999 invasion of Cyprus in the Summer of Turkish leaders would also claim that after a 3.8 percent growth in 1998 and 8.3 1974. [At that time, the Armed Forces these are both issues of domestic concern; percent in 1997. made it clear that he would not survive, indeed, that the Cyprus question is al- In the face of this, the Cyprus issue politically, unless he went through with ready "settled". After all, the Cyprus inva- seems unimportant to Ankara or, at best, the invasion; indeed, the Nixon Admin- sion took place 25 years ago, in the Sum- an opportunity to distract Turkish voters istration in the US and the Greek junta mer of 1974; it is ancient history. from problems at home. had given their blessings to it. Britain, a Why would Turkish leaders not say Among the more immediate concerns, guarantor power of the 1960 independ- this? The Western supporters of Turkey however, are the ramifications of the cap- ence, walked away from its responsibility, have consistently allowed Turkey to be- ture, trial, and sentence of execution of also clearing the path for Turkey's ac- lieve that these were issues which would Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) leader tions.] Theoretically, it would seem that not invoke penalties. Abdullah Ocalan. The execution of Oca- he would be the last to surrender what But the Turkish belief that these issues lan creates a Kurdish martyr. To compro- Turkey had planned so long to re-acquire. will not be the cause of their long-term mise with Ocalan - who in July was still And yet Ecevit also knows that the stra- isolation is a form of psychological denial. begging for his life in exchange for coop- tegic realities which impelled the 1974 de- They yet will haunt the Turkish leader- eration with the Government - may cision no longer exist. However, even ship. have some short-term advantages, but ul- though the strategic framework has The Turkish belief that the nation's timately would probably lead to longer- changed, the structures put in place as a geopolitical importance to the West will term creation of an even more angry and result of the 1974 decision do remain, and outweigh these "small problems" will be vengeful PKK.¹ it is these structures which now impede proven false. What will happen, if Turkey It is probable that there is a middle the Ecevit Government from moving for- fails to mend its problems, is that the EU way: commuting his sentence to life in ward. and the US will continue to deal with Tur- prison, but yet not using Ocalan as the Now it is the Summer of 1999. Dust key as they deal with it today, and the conduit to the disenfranchised Turkish rises from the Cypriot plains; haze pastels Turkish economy will bump along as it Kurds. Rather, taking the opportunity the empty spartan hills. Cyprus bakes in a does today, unable to make the break- separately to politicize the Kurdish issue seemingly motionless and quiet after- through necessary to restore true stability in such a way that it can be channeled into noon siesta. Nothing seems to have and economic power. the mainstream. There is no easy answer, changed; all appears as it was and will be. How many analysts believe that Tur- and the Turkish Government, committed But the vision is false. key's stability will improve over, say, the to maintaining the dignity of its princi- There has been substantial strategic next decade, unless Turkey has the inter- ples and the majesty of its laws, is unwill- change on the ground on the island of Cy- nal resources, will and support to finally ing to compromise. prus over the past two years. Turkish eradicate political unrest, raise living and The same is true of the Cyprus ques- militarization of the northern sector of educational standards and eliminate ter- tion. Turkish politicians know full-well the island - the 37 percent of the land- rorism? It has been said by numerous ob- that the electorate by-and-large views Cy- mass seized in the invasion and now servers of Turkey that the fatalism and ig- prus through the prism of the maxim claimed as the Turkish Republic of norance of the majority of the population noted earlier: "Land which has been taken Northern Cyprus (TRNC) - has in- in the past was the key to the military's by Turkish blood cannot be surren- creased substantially. Not only has the ability to control the state and to perpetu- dered". What Turkish politician would military infrastructure been modernized ate its secular ideals. But it has also been retain his power base if he went against and enlarged, but so too have the num- said that the fatalism and ignorance this sentiment? Indeed, what Turkish bers of Turkish forces deployed to Cy- which still widely exist - although to a politician even feels the need to modify prus. lesser extent than even a few decades ago national policy on this issue: the US, Brit- The Turkish invasion was approved by - will lead to the downfall of Turkey. ain and even Greece (under the ill-fated Ecevit in 1974, ostensibly because there This is the fatalism and isolationism junta of the colonels until 1974) had liter- was a security threat to the Turkish Cyp- which leads many Turks to believe that ally encouraged Turkey- - at least de facto riot minority on the island from the ma- the world is against them; that the world, - to partition Cyprus in 1974. jority Greek Cypriot community. In fact, indeed, is jealous of Turkey's pride. This, Of course, in reality the entire Otto- there is strong documentary evidence in turn, induces a belief among many that man Empire was surrendered in various that there had been considerable plan- the pressures of an outside world to com- stages from the Balkans and the Mediter- ning afoot in Turkey and among those promise - to give away that which had ranean to the Arabian areas in the 19th Turkish Cypriot leaders holding cabinet been won by blood - may safely be ig- and 20th Centuries. The Young Turks posts in Cyprus, well before the invasion. nored. were able to accept this because the Otto- Indeed, as the Turkish Cypriot minority 1 Turkish officials acknowledge that the death sentence imposed on Ocalan could lead to a deterioration in relations with its Western European and US weapons suppliers. A Defense News report from Ankara, published on July 12, 1999, said: "At the same time, Turkey's relations with the United States are expected to fray over another controversial issue: Cyprus. Analysts in the United States warn that Turkey's likely resistance to Western pressure for concessions on the Mediterranean island may complicate US arms sales to Ankara. 'Disputes with Germany and Britain are [also] almost inevitable,' one Turkish Defense official told Defense News, speaking of Ocalan's death sentence. 'The French, however, may remain rather pragmatic'." 6. DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 7. 1999 SEEN 10-5-99 had been scattered throughout the overall has even admitted in 1984 that a colleague accession into the EU brings the unre- community it did not comprise a major- had planted the June 7, 1958, bomb at the solved problem once again into the spot- ity in any area of the island. The objective, Turkish Consulate's Information Office light. And with this have come European to make viable a "federal" division - - tak- in Nicosia. This was undertaken "to cre- Court law suits against Turkey for restitu- sim, meaning "partition", in Turkish - ate an atmosphere of tension so that peo- tion of property to Greek Cypriots, and of the island was to bring Turkish Cypri- ple would know that Turkish Cypriots other EU comments on the problem. ots into consolidated areas, where they mattered", but clearly so that the Greek The problem is only now, in reality, be- could command a local majority, policed Cypriot community would be blamed for coming an obstacle for Turkey's progress by its own officials. the incident. And it is true that in those in its relations with the West. Rauf Denktash was later (and still) to days there were also Greek Cypriot ex- But perhaps, also, the delay may mean say that the Turkish Cypriots were tremists. The incident sparked the riots that the issue could provide an opportu- hounded into ghettos by the Greek Cypri- and subsequent intercommunal violence nity for Turkey. It is probably the most ots. But the documents which subse- in which, in the short term, many died. significant bargaining chip in Turkey's quently came to life, and signed by the Ultimately, it led to the polarization of the diplomatic arsenal. Turkish leaders, disprove this. The US communities, which was in part used by Firstly, Turkey's Government must Johnson Administration had made it Greece and Turkey for the Greek junta's evaluate the strategic realities surround- clear to the Turks that taksim could not be abortive but violent coup against Cypriot ing the Cyprus issue, from its own stand- considered unless the Turkish Cypriots President/Archbishop Makarios III in point. had territory identified with them. Hence 1974, the consequent 1974 Turkish inva- the move to consolidate, often forcibly, sion, and today's stagnant separation. THE MAIN OBSTACLES the Turkish Cypriot minority into north- This report does not have the scope to WITHIN CYPRUS ern Cyprus. give the complete details of the back- HE TOTAL SEPARATION of the Today, in any event, the 124,000 or so ground and rationale of the Turkish inva- sion. Clearly, the Greek-organized at- withered down to about 80,000 at most; tempted coup against the Cypriot Gov- T Greek Cypriot and Turkish Turkish Cypriot community of 1974 has Cypriot communities for the past 25 years, because of the possibly as few, in 1996, as 65,000. The re- ernment, ostensibly in order to achieve policies of the Denktash lead- mainder have left the island to seek new Cypriot enosis (union) with Greece, was ership of the Turkish-occupied areas, has lives elsewhere. Dramatically more Turk- the casus belli for the Turkish invasion, as meant that the two formerly integrated ish Cypriots left the island in the past 25 both the Greek military junta knew it was communities are now, to some extent, years of "protection" by Turkish troops to be and as the US Nixon Administration strangers to each other. However, it is than was the case in the 25 years leading encouraged it to be.³ fairly accurate to say that the Turkish up to 1974. It is claimed now - to use the Croa- Cypriot community still, in some ways, Now, these 80,000 remaining Turkish tian phrase invented for use against the feels closer to the Greek Cypriots than to Cypriots are guarded by some 40,000 Serbs in World Wars I and II - that Eu- the Anatolian Turkish settlers who have Turkish mainland forces, quite apart rope's first post World War II case of been brought into the Turkish-occupied from the Turkish force contingent per- "ethnic cleansing" took place in the 1974 areas by the Turkish Government. mitted under the 1960 Accords at the in- invasion: some 200,000 Greek Cypriots dependence of Cyprus from the United deprived of their homes and livelihoods; The process of acceptable normaliza- Kingdom, and apart from the security tion of a unified Cyprus would clearly en- many were killed, raped and wounded. forces of the TRNC Administration of tail the conscious creation by the two Many disappeared. And the Turks have Rauf Denktash. communities of integrated planning to never responded to requests for informa- The Turkish Cypriots who have left did agree common national social and eco- tion about those who were swallowed up so because of the loss of opportunity and by their invasion. nomic goals. This is far more feasible now than was the case in 1974 when the Turk- because the Turkish Government insti- Greek Cypriots were denied the right tuted a policy of bringing in mainland ish invasion occurred, partly because the to return to their homes. settlers from Anatolian Turkey. Now the Greek Cypriot community has dramati- It is the same story of moral outrage settlers comprise the majority of the which was claimed to have impelled the cally changed its views. TRNC population: there are more than The insensitivity of the majority US and NATO to launch a war this year 100,000 of them in Northern Cyprus, Greeks toward the Turkish Cypriot com- against Yugoslavia, except that in 1974 some intermarried with the Turkish Cyp- munity before 1974 has been recognized, the deaths were more readily docu- riot population. and today's Greek Cypriots both at mented and the world community was si- Turkish Cypriots have always had a lent. For Turkey, the matter was settled, governmental as well as at grass-roots lev- els have come to understand the need separate identity and culture from main- and the world has not yet really com- land Turks. They share language and re- plained. The various United Nations to give more than equal treatment to the ligion, but not necessarily in the same Turkish Cypriot minority. The real prob- resolutions attempting to settle the mat- lem lies with the introduction into the is- way. Some Turkish Cypriots undoubt- ter have been ignored with impunity by edly have followed the same passionate land of the Anatolian Turkish popula- Ankara. Why should Turkey not feel that pro-mainland line of Rauf Denktash; the matter has been laid to rest and for- tion, now outnumbering the Turkish most, however, have traditionally lived in Cypriots. gotten? harmony with their Greek Cypriot, Or- The Greek Cypriot community would Clearly, however, the question of the thodox Christian neighbors. Denktash clearly like, as a settlement measure, to see application by the Republic of Cyprus for 2 Hitchens, Christopher: Hostage to History: Cyprus From the Ottomans to Kissinger. Preface to the Second Edition. Quoted from the Third Edition. London. 1997: Verso books. This outstanding book details much of the documentary evidence of US, British, Greek and Turkish planning leading to and following the 1974 invasion. 3 There is now widespread documentary evidence that the Turks were given reason to believe that the US and Greece supported taksim and the overthrow of Archbishop Makarios' Government, and that this was the solution which suited not only Turkey but the West. Significantly, there has been no pressure since 1974 to change this belief. despite occasional public expressions of concern over the unresolved situation in Cyprus. Certainly, there has been no real attempt to address the "ethnic cleansing" through which the Turkish invasion killed or displaced some 200,000 Greek Cypriots. 7,1999 DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 7. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 10-5-99 Turkish troops after World War II: already planning for the partition of Cyprus. as many of these Turkish mainland set- with Yugoslavia's President Slobodan Mi- Clearly, as the reality of the European tlers returned to Turkey proper. This lošević who was elected to office demo- and world situation impels a resolution of would only be partially feasible, given the cratically, it could be said that Denktash the Cyprus issue, Denktash has strength- fact that many now have Cyprus-born has not actually fully and honestly repre- ened his determination to resist this "in- children and may have married into the sented the best interests of the Turkish evitability". There are strong signs that he Cypriot community. This the Greeks un- Cypriot community. The economic sta- is reviving his push for international rec- derstand and accept for obvious humani- tistics speak for themselves. Turkish Cyp- ognition of the TRNC, but even Turkey's tarian reasons; for the remainder, they riots earn only 30 percent of the wages of allies in Central Asia have not agreed to would be prepared, it seems, to offer fi- their counterparts in the Greek-speaking this (which demonstrates as well the fail- nancial incentives for their return to Tur- area. And the infrastructure of the occu- ure of the Central Asian policy of the key. And many Turkish Cypriots, par- pied territories falls increasingly behind post-Cold War Turkish Government). ticularly those who since 1974 felt that of the rest of Cyprus. The gap is wid- The international Islamic Conference, impelled to leave the island in the face of ening, and there is little hope of catching representing the Muslim states, recently the loss of their country to the mainland up, given present trends. Little wonder indicated that it sympathized with the Turks, agree, and such a move would cer- that Denktash prohibits his people from TRNC, but this has not yet resulted in any tainly bring about the return of many of mingling with Greek Cypriots. formal recognition by Muslim states. the 40- to 45,000 Turkish Cypriots who As presently configured, it is unlikely, Delegations from Pakistan and Chechnya had left their homeland for economic and then, that the Denktash Administration, also recently visited the TRNC, but social reasons over the past 25 years. or its successor (under the present politi- whether this is a prelude to recognition is But this is a functional problem. The cal structure in occupied Cyprus), will debatable. major problem well ahead of such practi- ever willingly go along with the reintegra- At the same time, Denktash, and the cal considerations, both with regard to tion and normalization of Cyprus. It re- Turkish Government, have during the domestic barriers to resolution of the mains unlikely that he or his Administra- past two years plowed an enormous situation as well as to international barri- tion will participate properly in the amount of their resources into building ers, remains psychological. The Turkish proposed Autumn 1999 UN-sponsored up their military positions in Cyprus, Cypriot leadership around and including talks in West Point, New York (or similar both in terms of military structures and Rauf Denktash can clearly see no advan- venue), aimed at moving toward a resolu- infrastructure. But for what purpose? Not tage in "resolution"; they would lose their tion of the issue. even the Denktash Administration be- status, freedom of action, and their In the minds of Denktash, there is no lieves that a Greek/Greek Cypriot military wealth. Almost certainly, Rauf Denktash problem to resolve; the matter has already assault is likely to be mounted to reunify and the "power élite" of the Turkish- been finalized with the creation of his the country, despite the outdated claims occupied area will not agree to any form "state", no matter that it is neither eco- of Denktash's officials that the Greek of reintegration of the two parts of Cy- nomically viable nor internationally- community remains "bent on the Hel- prus unless forced to do so by events or by recognized. And here, by viability, we lenization of all of Cyprus". the Turkish Government. And at present, mean the ability of the body to survive in- Turkish and Greek officials in mid-July they hold the Turkish Government hos- dependently without economic, military 1999 were still arguing about the with- tage. and political support of an ongoing na- drawal of US-supplied weapons systems At present, it could be argued, the ture from an outside sponsor. At present, from their respective forces in Cyprus, Denktash Administration electorally rep- the TRNC lacks the vital elements of sov- demanded by the US. However, in 25 resents the Turkish Cypriot and Turkish ereignty, although it could just as easily in years the Turks, in particular, have not émigré peoples of the occupied area of the past 25 years have achieved them. Had bothered to respond to this demand, and northern Cyprus. But that is largely be- it done so (and this would have meant have not withdrawn their US equipment. cause of the votes for Denktash by the set- taking an economic and political policy Given that most of the Turkish armor in tler groups as much as anything; after all, line not tied with the Turkish lira, among Cyprus [see box] is US-made, it is un- settlers now outnumber the Turkish Cyp- other things), Denktash's case would be likely that full compliance will occur.⁴ riot community. But, as in the parallel much stronger today. Turkish President Suleyman Demirel 1999 8. DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY said on July 9, 1999, that Turkey could tween the economic and political wealth not go back to the status quo ante. "We of the Greek Cypriot Government- The Turkish Forces cannot revert to the past. Let our brethren controlled part of Cyprus and that of the in Cyprus rest assured. We will come for Turkish-occupied zone. This inexorably in Northern Cyprus the anniversary of the intervention [on growing gap has been ignored, even con- The Turkish forces in Northern Cyprus July 20, 1999]. This is a national cause for tributing to the firmness of the Denktash are under the command of Lt.-Gen. Aydin in5 At a meeting in Turkey with TRNC position. Sen. who had earlier been commanding of- leader Rauf Denktash, he said: "As you The obvious conclusion is that neither ficer of a division stationed on Cyprus. must have observed. this is a national Denktash nor the Turkish Government The Turkish Army force on Northern cause for us. There are martvrs and war care for the Turkish Cypriot community Cyprus, some 35,000 to 40,000 strong, is the veterans. There are those who are shed- nor for regional cooperation. There is a 11th Army Corps, which is part of the 2nd ding tears. This is an epic story. We fully growing belief that Turkey, because of its Army, based in Malatya. Turkey. It consists concur with your [Denktash's] efforts. setbacks with the European Union, has of two infantry divisions. the 28th and 39th, and an independent brigade. the 14th Ar- We have the same enthusiasm and the resigned itself to remaining outside the mored Brigade. which consists of two tank same feelings. This characteristic is an in- EU; perhaps even preferring this status to battalions and self-propeiled artillery units. dication of Turkey's greatness." compromising what Demirel calls "Tur- As well, the force has mechanized support Turkish Bayrak radio the same day key's greatness". units. The 14th Bde. has 100+ main battle quoted Denktash as saying that what was A continuation of this position ulti- tanks (MBTs), appr. 100 armored person- to be done on the Cyprus issue from now mately could lead to the Greek Cypriot- nel carriers/fighting vehicles (APCs/IFVs), on would be decided together with the controlled area of the Republic of Cyprus and self-propelled artillery. Turkish Government. This was, of being admitted to the EU, with de facto The following weapons systems are em- ployed by the mainland Turkish Army in course, always the case; by stating it, partition of the island being acknowl- Northern Cyprus: Denktash clearly wanted to indicate that edged. The economic gap would widen Artillery Qty. Origin there would be no separation of the Turk- further between the communities, but the ish and Turkish Cypriot positions. EU would then offer the 63 percent of Cy- M101 105mm 72 US M52 155mm SP 36 US But at all times before proposed talks prus controlled by the Republic the pro- M44T 155mm SP 24 US between the Greek Cypriot and the Turk- tection of being a part of the larger family. M114 155mm 18 US ish Cypriot communities, Denktash has Does Turkey care? It affects not to, pre- M110 203mm how. 12 US "hardened" his position. The result has ferring the fact that Turkish control of Milan ATGW 66 ..Germ. always, in the past, meant that the Greek northern Cyprus affords strategic or geo- TOW ATGW 48 US Cypriots have been pressed to offer a pri- political protection to the South of Tur- 106mm RCL 156 US 4.2in. mortar 148 ori concessions to the Turkish commu- key. This is a pseudo-military argument 120mm mortar 54 nity before "unconditional" talks began. which can be easily refuted. The reality is Bofors 40mm AAA 48 Swedish At the end, the Turkish Cypriot position that most Turks would prefer national .50 cal. quad AAA 48 US has been advanced, and all Greek Cypriot grandeur to an improvement in living Oertikon 35mm AAA 16 Swiss proposals rejected. standards. This situation is likely to con- Armor Qty Origin As several Greek Cypriot leaders have tinue to apply until more widespread M113 APC/IFV 265 US noted, but particularly the one who ar- education is achieved in Turkey. Nurol IFV 211 Turkish* guably knows Denktash best, onetime Denktash may argue that Turkish Cyp- M48A5T1/T2 MBT 386 US Makarios minister Tassos Papadopoulos riots have now achieved the dignity of and currently a Member of Parliament self-government. Turkish Cypriots com- Turkish-made M113 IFV variant. for the Democratic Party and chairman of prised 18 percent of the overall Cypriot the Cypriot Parliamentary Committee on population in 1963' and until the 1974 in- Turkish Cypriot Forces Foreign Relations and European Affairs: vasion, but owned only 13.9 percent of The Turkish Cypriot Security Forces, "Denktash has made no concessions since the land (in 1963; the figure fluctuated numbering some 5,000 personnel, are un- 1974. None.' over the years up or down by a percent or der the command of Brig.-Gen. Hassan Be- At present neither Denktash nor the so). But they were a minority in every ker Gunal. These forces operate as light in- Turkish leadership give any indication of community; nowhere did they constitute fantry. The main equipment of the forces is: proposing any concessions, nor accepting a majority or a separate community. Milan ATGW 6 Fr..Germ. the concessions made by the now Greek- Now a territorial basis exists for a 106mm RCL 36 US 120mm mortar 73 dominated Republic of Cyprus Govern- "Turkish Cypriot territory", thanks to the ment. Indeed, the Greek Cypriots have policy of "gathering in" some Turkish The United Nations Secretary-General, offered the Turkish Cypriots literally eve- Cypriots into a half-dozen enclaves in a in report S1994/680, paragraph 28, of June rything they have sought, but with each process for which planning appeared to 6, 1994, said: "The presence of Turkish submission to the Turkish position, have begun before independence in 1960, troops makes the occupied area [of Cyprus] Denktash has moved the goalposts. and then implemented from 1963 to one of the most highly-militarized areas in There is every indication now that the 1974, and consolidated and "completed" the world in terms of the ratio between the Greek Cypriots have come to the end of by the Turkish invasion and "ethnic numbers of troops and the civil popula- tion." their desire to offer concessions. By never cleansing" of 1974. Even this has been ac- This statement was made before the re- being satisfied, and never entering real cepted by the Greek Cypriots, who agreed cent build-up of Turkish mainland and negotiations, Denktash and the Turkish to the "bi-communal, bi-zonal" future TRNC forces on the island. Government have widened the gap be- form of the Republic. 4 "We finished withdrawing the items of concern in the area under our control by June 15 [1999]," a Turkish Foreign Ministry official is quoted as saving in the July 12. 1999, Defense News. "Many such items in the other sector have not been returned to Greece." However, Defense & Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy has ascertained that Turkey has not withdrawn the main items of US equipment, but has, instead, been building up its military equipment and capability in the Turkish-occupied sector of Cyprus. 5 Quoted by the Turkish Anatolia News Agency, July 9, 1999. 6 Author's conversations with Mr Papadopoulos, Nicosia. July 9, 1999. 7 Cyprus Government census figures. 7. 1999 DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 9. Compare this with the Kurdish posi- have been forgiven for believing that the key gain full entry to the EU. tion in Turkey itself. Kurds there who are Clinton Administration was hostile to- At the same time, Greece would be per- by birth part of the Turkish State are for- ward the Republic of Cyprus Govern- mitted to maintain its forces in Cyprus, bidden from using their own language; ment, given the accusations that Cyprus also within agreed bases, until Turkey and are forbidden to form a separate commu- was allowing the money laundering of Cyprus were both fully admitted to the nity; and face massive military suppres- Serbian funds, particularly those of Yugo- EU. All this would, for example, come un- sion at the hands of the State. So clearly slav President Slobodan Milosević. This der a UN Security Council mandate, per- the Turkish position on Cyprus is driven unfounded allegation [Cyprus, although haps with NATO and EU rôles. by ethnic chauvinism, not by even strate- sympathizing with the Serbian people, This would not preclude a sovereign gic or human rights considerations. had rigorously clamped down on cur- Cyprus, within the EU, from placing its POSSIBLE OPTIONS rency transactions] caused a rift with the bases at the disposal of NATO forces, and US Ambassador to Cyprus, who is now in particularly EU member-state forces, on a IVEN THAT Turkey cannot the process of being replaced. But the cooperative basis or on agreed terms. G at this stage surrender its Clinton Administration has moved to re- In theory, the admission of Turkey and ongoing interest in the se- store its goal of "solving" the Cyprus Cyprus to the EU should give both com- curity and welfare of the problem before the end of its term. munities comfort that the interests of Turkish Cypriot popula- It is also probably true that the Clinton their respective peoples were fully pro- tion, nor its geostrategic interests inher- Administration is unaware of the fixation tected by EU law. ent in its projection into Cyprus, any which the Turks have with retaining and Cyprus may find it strategically or dip- solution to the Cyprus issue must reflect even expanding their control over north- lomatically useful to continue the Turk- that reality. Clearly, the Turkish Govern- ern Cyprus. On the other hand neither do ish, Greek and/or British basing on a con- ment itself also needs to realize - - if it has the Turks fully comprehend the level of tractual or treaty basis thereafter, within not already done so - that the present hostility which this determination will the framework of the EU's laws. structure does not really look after the engender in Washington (the Clinton And none of this would necessarily in- needs of the Turkish Cypriots as well as Administration and Congress) and in terfere with the effective demilitarization had been intended, and nor do the strate- Western Europe, even from their tradi- of the island's Greek Cypriot and Turkish gic realities, so different from 25 years tional ally, Germany. Cypriot communities, other than for nor- ago, mean that the present form of Turk- A period of confusion and anger is mal policing functions. ish military deployment onto Cyprus is as likely to occur. Such an agreement would demonstrate beneficial as it should be, in proportion to It is in Turkey's benefit to realize that it trust, and would, of necessity involve EU the political and economic cost. has achieved literally everything it monitoring. Additionally, the US may it- The question for Turkey, in reality, claimed it wished to achieve in Cyprus. It self be involved as a guarantor power, however, is one of national psychology sought a bi-zonal, bi-com- munal federal which equally, but neutrally, represents and national pride, rather than one of structure. This it has won, without ques- the interests of the Greek, Turkish and strategic benefits and costs. It is the task, tion, along with many other concessions Cypriot governments. then, of the Turkish General Staff and the to the Turkish Cypriot community. The actual monitoring force, the um- Government to determine whether it As noted earlier, however, whenever pires, could remain the United Nations should embark on the task of "re- the Greek Cypriots have made conces- Forces in Cyprus (UNFICYP), which conditioning" the Turkish electorate to a sions, Denktash - and Ankara - have have done such an excellent job in the new reality, which could indeed address moved the goalposts further away. This past 25 years of maintaining the separa- Turkish strategic needs. These strategic has, to a degree, given Turkey much more tion of forces along the UN 1974 ceasefire needs now include national integration than it could have reasonably expected to line and buffer zone, the Nekri Zoni with the West, the preservation of na- achieve. The question now, however, is (Dead Zone). tional pride and identity as a factor in se- realizing that the concessions can go no further. CONCLUSIONS curing national unity and political cohe- sion, and in maintaining military pro- Transitional Basing Rights: Turkey's HE REAL, unanswered ques- tection to Turkey's southern littoral. 40,000 troops on Cyprus represent An- kara's determination to maintain an of- T tion to Turkey's dilemma is All of these can be achieved, but not whether the Turkish leader- without a conscious program. Moreover, fensive capability on the island, sup- ship really wants the country this program would of necessity include a ported by mainland-based air power to become part of Europe and re-thinking of the value to Turkey of which can be over the area in minutes. part of the West. If Turks want a secular, TRNC President Rauf Denktash. Clearly, this major force represents an ex- prosperous society able to integrate freely The US Clinton Administration, which pensive and excessive capability in the with their neighbors to the West, then worked well with the Turkish Govern- event that a peaceful basis for coexistence changes must be made. If they want to ment in the recent Balkan NATO cam- can be found. sustain their traditional identity, slipping paign, has exhibited a strong commit- One option would be to create basing further behind the West, then either they ment to achieving some positive results in options in the currently Turkish- will succeed in total isolation or be over- Cyprus. It has 18 months to do this. The occupied area, which would allow the taken against their will by radical Isla- Turkish Government may want to stall Turkish Army - at an agreed level - to mism. until the Clinton Administration is out of remain in specific bases on the island for a The first key to resolving Turkey's cri- office, or it may wish to make a virtue out transitional period. This period could be, sis lies in resolving the Cyprus question to of cooperating with Washington and for example, until both Cyprus and Tur- the satisfaction of the West as well as Tur- achieving other concessions as a result. In key have acceded to the European Union, key. Once that is done, attention can be any event, the sooner the concessions are at which time the Turkish forces would be focused concurrently on the Kurdish made, the sooner Turkey can accelerate withdrawn. question and domestic economic revitali- its integration into the Western econo- It could also be argued that this should zation. This is the test of statesmanship mies. be tied to an end to the British sovereign which Turkey's leaders have not had to It is true that Turkish officials could bases on Cyprus when Cyprus and Tur- face since the death of Atatürk. 10. DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS STRATEGIC POLICY 7. 1999 BRIEF OUTLINE FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A FEDERAL REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOLUTION OF THE CYPRUS PROBLEM The aim is to have comprehensive negotiations, with all basic aspects of the Cyprus Problem being on the negotiating table, to be discussed simultaneously and in parallel, aiming at reaching an agreed solution, to be presented to the Cypriot people in the form on one general referendum. 1) SECURITY AND DEMILITARISATION Withdrawal from the Republic's territory of all non-Cypriot military forces, complete disbanding of all Cypriot military forces, timetable for the demilitarisation of the Republic. Creation and positioning in Cyprus of an international force made up of NATO-countries' forces. Greek and Turkish forces may by included. II THREE FREEDOMS Throughout the Federal Republic's territory the freedoms of movement, settlement and the right to property must continue to apply. Any practical difficulties will be dealt with so as to enable these freedoms and the principles involved therein, to be implemented. The best way to achieve this is by agreeing a timetable for the restoration of the basic freedoms. III. GUARANTEES International guarantees, multilateral in nature, in accordance with the UN Charter, the best being one by the Security Council, without any unilateral right of intervention, aiming at safeguarding the unity, independence, territorial integrity, sovereignty and constitutional order of the Federal Republic. IV. TERRITORIAL ASPECT Kay issue The greater the number of Greek Cypriot refugees who can be resettled in their homes under Greek Cypriot Administration, the less the extend of any practical difficulties to be overcome as a consequence of G/C refugees resettling in the T/C administered privince/Zone, (Varosha is a priority issue in this respect). V. CONSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS One State, a central Government with enough powers so as to guarantee and sustain the unity of the State, substantial powers to be reserved to the federated provinces leading to maximum possible autonomy in administration. Equitable, adequate and effective bicommunal participation in all governmental organs, legislative, executive administrative and judicial . VI. EU (a) Acceptance of Cyprus' accession to the EU, without preconditions of separate referenda or ratifications. (b) The agreed solution should in every respect be in accordance with the acquis communautaire. Extract from the Book "THE WAR SPEECHES" Vol. II from THE COLLECTED WORKS OF SIR WINSTON CHURCHILL Vol. XX - page 396. VISIT TO CYPRUS A SPEECH TO A REPRESENTATIVE GATHERING OF THE ISLANDERS, FEBRUARY 1, 1943 This is my third visit to your beautiful island, and I heroic Greece, who in these modern days has re- descended upon it rather suddenly yesterday vived her fame of ancient times. The sufferings evening. I hope that this has caused no undue per- of Greece are terrible, but one can already see the turbation. My first visit was a very long time ago, light breaking in the sky which will herald a day thirty-six years ago, when I came here as Under- when she will be delivered from the foul bondage Secretary of State for the Colonies and spent two and tyranny by which she is now overpressed, and or three days in this capital of Nicosia, and also in will take her place restored and proud in the ranks riding about the whole island and seeing as many of the victorious nations. people as I could. In those days I began to work for the abolition of the Tribute, which I consid- We have seen some very dangerous and dark times ered was an undue burden upon the island; but during this war, which was forced upon us by those things worked very slowly, and it was not until I whom we had beaten a generation ago, and whom became Chancellor of the Exchequer, twenty years we foolishly allowed to prepare their deadly plans afterwards, that I was in a position to bring that again. We have passed through many dark, several system to an end.* very dark, phases but now, I am able to assure you, the United Nations represent incomparably the stron- In the time which has passed the island has pros- gest group of human beings that has ever been mar- pered and progressed, and now I am glad to say, in shalled in arms in the whole history of the world; not consequence of the very powerful forces that are only in their numbers, not only in the great arma- now gathered here to join the Cypriots in the de- ments that are now being prepared on a scale fence of their island home, that for a period con- hitherto unexampled, not only in material force, but siderable, though temporary, prosperity has come in their unity of purpose and in their comradeship to pass. I would respectfully give my advice to the and in their inflexible resolution. They are strong, and islanders to be careful not to spend the additional they will march forward from strength to strength money which comes in under the strange workings until unconditional surrender is extorted from those of wartime, and to save it for the rainy days which who have laid the world in havoc and in ruins. may well follow; because, after the war is over, there will be a great effort needed to rebuild the world, Now I am glad to tell you in Cyprus how much and that will be the time when it will be a good admired in the Motherland, in old England, is the thing to have savings to use. sturdy spirit in which you have prepared to defend your island, and the vigilance with which you guard Now I come to you from Turkey, where I have it, aided by the troops of the British Empire. had a most agreeable meeting with President Inönü and with the chiefs of the Turkish State, and I am Believe me, after the war is over, the name of glad to tell you that our relations with the Turks Cyprus will be included in the list of those who are of a most friendly character. Their views are very have deserved well, not only of the British Com- much like our own, and we intend to help their own monwealth of Nations, not only of the united general defensive security in every way in our peoples now in arms, but, as I firmly believe, of power. Our hearts all go out to gallant Greece, future generations of mankind. * The 'Turkish Tribute' referred to by the Prime Minister in the above speech arose from the taking over by Britain of the administra- tion of Cyprus in 1878. Turkey remained nominally sovereign and received an annual payment of £92,800. After the annexation of Cyprus in 1914 the Tribute was continued for a time under the name of the 'Cyprus share of the Turkish debt charge'. I don't like to go through all the events that happened in the 25 years after the invasion. Following the invasion the U.N. and all countries in the world including the U.S.A. and European countries, expressed their views on the tragic event of the invasion and it's consequences, 30,000 Turkish troops on the island, and the occupation of Greek towns and villages. The Turkish propaganda completely ignored the UN resolutions and the world, instead of recognizing the invaders for what they really are, allowed them to create all kinds of completely false impressions which go against all human rights and democratic ideals I give you here a short statement on the Cyprus question which give correct possibilities for solving this tragic problem. My humble opinion is that the case is as follows, Cyprus is a free democracy recognized and accepted by the U.N. and the whole world. There are of course minorities, as in many other parts of the world. I don't think, though, that world wide it is acceptable that minorities can divide a country into small pieces to create independent state of minorities, whatever their reasons maybe.. Minorities of course have to be respected by the majority they must have equal rights freedom and be on the same terms as the majority. Such rights and freedoms must be adequately safeguarded and guaranteed. Our case in Cyprus, may have had some incidents in the past, I will not discuss where the responsibility lies but it is absurd for a democratic country to be destroyed for such isolated incidents. The Turkish Cypriots and any other minorities will be fully respected and fairly treated and have exactly the same rights as the majority one thousand percent guaranteed. On these conditions Cyprus must remain an independent republic, united, for all its people majority and minorities. Other solutions will have tragic consequences in the future to the detriment of peace and democracy in the Mediterranean and the world. Please allow me to express my very realistic opinion on what may happen if other solutions are implemented to solve the problem. The idea and the insistence of creating an independent small Turkish state on the island of Cyprus. I don't think is so simple. It means that in the island of Cyprus we are erecting a fundamentalist tower and the whole stability peace and safety of oil and gas supplies in the area is exposed to dangers. Let us not forget that fundamentalist groups in this area are in big numbers and their policies are against freedom and democracy. Allow me to repeat the famous words of Sir Winston Churchill in 1943 during the last war: and 10/4/94 Walf OSTP THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 5, 1999 The Honorable Daniel S. Goldin Administrator National Aeronautics and Space Administration Washington, D.C. 20546 Dear Dan: Thank you for serving as my personal representative at the recent Paris Air Show and for your August 16th letter summarizing the major issues raised by industry at the event. I believe it is vitally important for the U.S. to maintain in international leadership position in aeronautics and space. Your presence at the air show was a clear signal of our country's commitment to a strong, stable, and balanced U.S. space program. Thank you again for your service in advancing America's leadership in space. Sincerely, 10/5/99 Trin CC : PODESTA FYI By THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 10, 1999 sear you MEMORANDUM FOR JOHN PODESTA FROM: NEAL LANE me SUBJECT: Report from Dan Goldin on Paris Air As you recall, the President requested that NASA Administrator Dan Goldin serve as his representative to the recent Paris Air Show. During the air show, Dan had the opportunity to hear from a broad cross section of the U.S. and international space and aeronautics communities. I asked him to summarize his thoughts in a brief memo to the President (Tab A). Dept Foremost among the concerns of industry is the potential impact that revisions in U.S. export regulation of commercial communication satellites could have on U.S. competitiveness. A number of companies expressed concern to Dan that State JOHN Department's licensing process needs to be streamlined to ensure that U.S. satellite manufacturers can retain a dominant position in the market. They also expressed concern about the general decline in national funding for aeronautics, noting the importance of a national strategy in this area. With respect to the two points Dan raises, we are working with State Department and OMB on State's FY01 submission to ensure that the Office of Defense Trade Control, the entity responsible for licensing commercial communication satellites, has the resources it needs to do the job. We are also working with DOT, NASA and DoD to develop a National Strategy for Aeronautics R&D which will be completed later this fall. The report will focus on the importance of R&D investments in aviation safety, aviation security, environmental aviation technologies, and aviation efficiency. I have attached a proposed reply from the President thanking Dan Goldin for his service (Tab B). Recommendation: That you forward Dan Goldin's memorandum to the President and request that he sign the letter at Tab B thanking Dan for his service. Attachments National Aeronautics and Space Administration Office of the Administrator NASA Washington, DC 20546-0001 The President The White House AUG I 6 1999 Washington, DC 20500 Dear Mr. President: I want to thank you for the opportunity to serve as your personal representative at this year's Paris Air Show and to convey to you my findings. For this purpose, I have enclosed a report on the 1999 Paris Air Show's activities as well as issues identified by U.S. industry representatives. The 1999 Paris Air Show was a tremendous success for U.S. aerospace industry. At this year's Air Show, more than 400 U.S. firms exhibited - which represented an increase of over 30 percent from just the last Paris Air Show. Moreover, this year, over one-third of the non-French exhibitors were from the United States. During the course of the Air Show, a record $50 billion dollars in contracts were signed or pending of which $25 billion involved the sale of U.S. and foreign manufactured aircraft. During the course of my time spent at the Air Show, I formally met with over 20 U.S. companies and had informal discussions with scores of U.S. industry executives. These discussions provided useful insight into the challenges that U.S. aerospace industry faces today. Almost every company with which I met identified export controls as the overwhelmingly number one concern. U.S. industry executives reported that the current export control licensing system is severely undercutting U.S. industry's current competitiveness, is threatening the United States' long-term export base, and needs to be fixed. Yet, U.S. industry was not alone. I heard the same comments from foreign governmental and industry officials as well. Other key issues cited by U.S. industry included: developing a national strategy for aerospace R&D funding; encouraging private investment in commercial reusable launch systems; providing subcontractors the same rent-free use of government facilities and tooling as currently enjoyed by prime contractors when supporting U.S. Government projects; establishing a policy that fosters and rewards Russian non-proliferation compliance; bolstering U.S. Export-Import Bank financing; and ensuring that Airbus aircraft financing and subsidies are consistent with international trade agreements. 2 It is my intent that by forwarding this report, senior U.S. Government policy makers will have a better understanding regarding the issues and concerns highlighted by U.S. aerospace industry during this Paris Air Show. Again, I want to express my gratitude for having the opportunity to act as your representative at this year's Paris Air Show. Respectfully, Caril Joldi Enclosures EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ON THE 1999 PARIS AIR SHOW FROM THE PRESIDENT'S PERSONAL REPRESENTATIVE TO THE PARIS AIR SHOW Synopsis The 1999 Paris Air Show was a tremendous success for U.S. aerospace industry. More than 400 U.S. firms displayed exhibits -- an increase of over 30 percent from the last Paris Air Show. During the course of the 1999 Paris Air Show, a record $50 billion dollars in contracts were signed or pending, of which $25 billion involved the sale of U.S. and foreign manufactured aircraft. Serving as President Clinton's Personal Representative to the 1999 Paris Air Show, NASA Administrator Goldin greeted foreign dignitaries including French President Chirac and met with U.S. and foreign industry representatives. According to U.S. industry executives, U.S. export control policy and procedures is the most critical issue facing the U.S. aerospace industry at this time. U.S. industry and foreign officials asserted that lengthy delays in processing licenses and the increased volume of licensing requests need to be addressed by increasing staffing and financial resources as well as streamlining licensing requirements. Other issues raised by industry included: the need for a national strategy for research and development funding; shortage in trained engineers; encouraging private investment in commercial reusable launch systems; U.S. launch facility modernization and expansion; rent-free use of government tooling and facilities for subcontractors; reinforcing relations with Russian companies that embrace non-proliferation objectives; U.S. Export-Import Bank financing; and Airbus financing arrangements. Attached to this report for reference are letters from U.S. firms in which their concerns are delineated. The 1999 Paris Air Show The 1999 Paris Air Show was held at Le Bourget airfield, the same airfield at which Charles Lindberg landed after his historic trans-Atlantic flight in 1927. At this year's air show, more than 35,000 exhibitors representing 1900 companies from 40 different countries were present. From the United States, over 400 U.S. firms displayed exhibits - an increase of over 30 percent from the 1997 Paris Air Show. In addition, U.S. firms made up about one-third of all non-French exhibitors. The Paris Air Show provided an excellent opportunity for both large and small U.S. firms to showcase their products to nearly 300,000 visitors including 143 official delegations from 63 countries. The Paris Air Show also proved to be an effective site for commercial activity as a record $50 billion dollars in contracts were signed or pending of which $25 billion involved the sale of U.S. and foreign manufactured aircraft. Activities of the President's Personal Representative to the Paris Air Show The President's Personal Representative to the Paris Air Show underscores the Administration's strong support to U.S. aerospace industry. This year, NASA Administrator Daniel S. Goldin was designated to serve as the President's Personal Representative. As defined by the U.S. Department of Commerce, the President's Representative plays a key role by representing the highest levels of the U.S. Government as well as serving as a strong advocate for U.S. industry. While at the Paris Air Show, Administrator Goldin's activities included: presiding over the grand opening of the USA National Pavilion; greeting, on behalf of the President of the United States and the American people, French President Chirac and other foreign delegations at the Paris Air Show; touring the U.S. military aircraft displays and meeting the service men and women in attendance; visiting the exhibits of U.S. industry; and meeting with U.S. and foreign industry representatives. While at the Paris Air Show, Administrator Goldin held formal meetings with over 20 companies, visited tens of U.S. exhibits, and exchanged views with scores of governmental and industry representatives. Issues Identified by U.S. Aerospace Industry As a result of the activities described above, the President's Personal Representative obtained first-hand insight into the U.S. aerospace industry's concerns and challenges. Issues raised during discussions with industry included: improving U.S. export control policies and procedures; developing a national investment strategy for research and development; encouraging young people to pursue a engineering careers; encouraging private investment in commercial reusable launch systems by demonstrating U.S. Government support to reduce technical and financial risk; modernizing and expanding U.S. launch facilities; providing to subcontractors the same rent-free use of government tooling and facilities as currently provided to prime contractors; establishing a policy to reward Russian companies that embrace non- proliferation objectives; bolstering the U.S. Export-Import Bank's financing capability by advocating increased funding levels and filling vacancies on the Bank's Board of Directors; and ensuring that European-sponsored financing arrangements for Airbus aircraft are consistent with current international trade agreements. Export Controls The number one concern identified by industry, by an overwhelmingly large margin, is U.S. export control policies and procedures. Every company with whom Administrator Goldin met raised this as a priority issue; most indicated that the magnitude of this problem dwarfed all other issues. Industry representatives believe that the current export control licensing system is undercutting U.S. industry's viability as a global provider of commercial products and that, if support for the U.S. export base is to be maintained, the delays and seemingly inconsistencies in processing licenses need to be fixed. Industry recommendations included: Establishing an urgent response team to re-engineer the export control process so as to minimize near-term loss of pending sales and to undertake a systemic revamping to assure efficient license processing while protecting information vital to national security. Dedicating additional personnel and financial resources needed to process export control license requests. Generating for industry and government clear, non-conflicting guidelines that identify the responsible licensing agency and licensing criteria in order to establish transparency and predictability. Examining ways to streamline and/or reduce the number of licenses requiring U.S. governmental review (e.g., elimination of licensing requirements for spare parts to NATO countries, creation of multiple destination licenses). Developing incentives for U.S. agencies and their representatives to be advocates of U.S. industry. Establishing an interagency electronic licensing system. Establishing a foreign availability database. One final note regarding current U.S. export controls policies and procedures. U.S. industry was not the only sector voicing its consternation. Officials from both foreign governments and foreign industry expressed deep concern about the effect of the U.S. export control process on trans-Atlantic commerce. National Investment Strategy for Research and Development Industry notes that, while total R&D spending is expected to reach historic levels (over $80 billion estimated), the governmental aeronautics R&D budget continues to experience significant reductions. Industry asserts that past U.S. Government investment fostered the U.S. industry's present day leadership in the aerospace and defense sectors and that U.S. leadership in the future requires continued U.S. Government investment in effective, high-quality research and development. Promoting Engineering Careers Industry observes that there is a short supply of engineers in the United States and asserts that government and industry need to continue its efforts to attract young people from all sectors of society, including women and minorities, to pursue a career in this field. Government-Commercial Support of New Reusable Launch Vehicles Industry recognizes that it is in the national interest to develop new launch systems that provide low-cost, increased-reliability, and rapid access to space. Industry notes that neither the U.S. Government nor industry can do this alone. Industry seeks a partnership with the U.S. Government in which the U.S. Government will take measures designed to reduce technical and financial risk so that industry will be able to access capital markets to finance new commercial space launch technologies and systems. U.S. Launch Facility Modernization and Expansion Industry believes that U.S. launch facilities need to be modernized and expanded, especially if restrictions on the use of foreign launchers continue. Industry proposes that now may be the appropriate time for the Administration, Congress, and industry to work cooperatively to modernize and expand U.S. launch facilities. Government Facilities/Tooling Use Flow-down Current legislation and practice allow for prime contractors supporting U.S. Government activities to use government facilities and tooling rent-free. Industry is petitioning that the same allowances be granted for subcontractor companies supporting U.S. Government activities. U.S.-Russian Commercial Relations and Non-proliferation Industry recognizes and supports the need to encourage Russian aerospace firms to adopt non-proliferating practices. Industry asserts that benefits of commercial joint ventures between U.S. and Russian entities can be demonstrated through steady generation of jobs and revenues as well as continued expansion of such ties. Russian aerospace firms that comply with non-proliferation policies should be rewarded through the expansion of commercial opportunities. Such additional opportunities would provide concrete evidence that genuine benefits can be obtained for good non-proliferation behavior and that it is in Russian aerospace companies' self-interest to observe non-proliferation practices. Industry argues that, unfortunately, instead of being viewed as beneficial, U.S.-Russian joint ventures are considered by Russians as restrictive. Industry urges that a White House policy be established to permit Russian companies that support non-proliferation to be rewarded or it is likely that future U.S. access to Russian technology will be limited severely. U.S. Export-Import Bank Industry indicates that export financing has become a critical factor in concluding aerospace-related contracts, especially those involving the sales of aircraft and appreciates the Clinton Administration's support of Eximbank's financing activities. At the same time, industry is troubled by the number of current vacancies on the Eximbank's Board of Directors and resultant implications on the Eximbank's ability to continue to function legally. Airbus Subsidies Boeing states that Airbus, which has emerged as a significant competitor, has received more than $30 billion in government supports/subsidies and thereby enables it to compete without the same economic disciplines as Boeing. Additionally, Boeing contends that the European Union is not complying with the terms of international trade agreements (i.e., the 1992 U.S.-European Union Large Civil Aircraft Agreement or the WTO Subsidies Code) and is concerned that European governments' subsidies to Airbus firms will be forgiven once the merger/privatization of the Airbus consortium is completed. sil capied Matter 1/10/499 /h/ Currie 'HITE HOUSE SHINGTON October 5, 1999 Mr. David M. Matter President and Chief Operating Officer Oxford Development Company Suite 4500 One Oxford Centre Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15219-1489 Dear Dave: Thanks so much for sending me the shirt from this year's golf classic. I'm sure it was a great tournament. I hope you and Susan are well -- it's always wonderful to hear from you. Sincerely, Triu Oxford Development Company 412/261-1500 412/642-7543 FAX Dancy - - Would you please see that Bill gets the enclosed gift from this year's soff townownt. Hope you are doing well But regards, Dan Matter Oxford Development Company David M. Matter President and Chief Operating Officer September 20, 1999 Bill - Here's 6 the players gift from this year's golf tournament. I hope you like it. But, Dave P.S. I miss seeing you! Suite 4500 One Oxford Centre Pittsburgh. Pennsylvania 15219-1489 (412) 261-1500 Printed On: 09/22/99 White House Gift Record Presented: 09/21/1999 Gift ID: 5001356/ZANLUNGC Arrival: 09/22/1999 Entered: 09/22/1999 Donor Information Mr. David M. Matter President and CEO Oxford Development Company Suite 4500 One Oxford Centre Pittsburgh, PA 15219 BY Acknowledged By: Pending Draft, 09/22/1999 Comments: Gift was forwarded to the Gift Office by Mary Morrison's intern, Andreas. Gift was mailed to Mary Morrison. BC Sig per previous correspondence. Gift Information Intended: President Disposition: Archives Description: Location: X-large Ralph Lauren black-watch plaid The gift is in Archives. Golf sweatshirt that reads "Dick Caliguiri Memorial Pirates, 1999 Golf Classic." Total Gift Value is $125