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OCR Page 1 of 2DIARY
Book 118
April 1 - April 12, 1938
1
- A -
Book Page
Agriculture
See Cotton
Appointments and Resignations
O'Connor, J.F.T.:
Whether or not resignation was effective April 1st
discussed at 9:30 meeting - 4/11/38
CXVIII 271
- B -
Bank for International Settlements
Cochran resume of meeting - 4/12/38
399
Bank Supervision
See Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
Banking Legislation
See Berle, Adolph
Berle, Adolph
Confers with Taylor and Ransom on existing financial
situation - - 4/1/38
14
a) Railroad situation thoroughly reviewed -
4/6/38
178
Budget
Bell statement of receipts and expenditures for first
nine months of fiscal years 1936, 1937, and 1938 -
4/5/38
136
Bell memorandum on estimated financial requirements
for next fifteen months, together with assumptions
for fiscal year 1939 - 4/7/38
211
At conference with FDR on 1939 relief appropriation,
HMJr reveals his opinion that revenue will fall
below the estimate by $900 million and that
additional expenditures, excluding any lending and
pump priming expenditures, will increase 1939 deficit
to $3,500,000,000 - 4/11/38
299
Tentative estimate of revenues and receipts for fiscal
year 1939 if Federal Reserve Board index of
industrial production for calendar year 1938 averages
85, 80, and 75, respectively - 4/12/38
383
a) Copy of memorandum left with FDR
390
Business Conditions
See also Berle, Adolph
Trend in "international-competitive-position" -
White memorandum - 4/1/38
32
Senator Pat Harrison's speech: "The Revenue Measure
and Business" - 4/3/38
40
Report of Special Committee to study emergency and
long-term credit requirements of large and small
business enterprises sent to FDR by Taylor - 4/4/38.
44
a) Jones, Ransom, James Roosevelt, and Taylor
concur in recommendations
b) Douglas submits additional comments
48
- B - (Continued)
Book
Page
Business Conditions (Continued)
Haas memorandum on business situation for week
ending 4/2/38
CXVIII
50
See Taylor memoranda, 4/6/38, pages 176,181
HMJr's program as worked out at Sea Island, Georgia -
4/7/38
196
Bell memorandum on estimated financial requirements for
next fifteen months, together with assumptions for
fiscal year 1939 - 4/7/38
211
"Is increased Government spending necessary for business
recovery?" - Haas memorandum - 4/8/38
225
"Should the Government initiate a recovery program now?"
White memorandum - 4/8/38
231
"Does the present business situation call for a program
for recovery, and if so, what should the program be?"
White memorandum - 4/8/38
233
"What is the present business situation and what are
the prospects?" - White memorandum - 4/8/38
235
HMJr's memorandum concerning Administration's future
policies prepared on train from Sea Island, Georgia,
for use in conference with FDR - 4/10/38
246
a) Discussed at 9:30 meeting - 4/12/38
273
1) Conference to be held with FDR; those to
be present include HMJr, Bell, James Roosevelt,
and Hopkins; HMJr worried because plans have
advanced 80 far and Treasury has not been
consulted
279
2) HMJr tells 9:30 group FDR has divided advisers
into three groups and HMJr is included with
the group which thinks conditions are about
to improve
283
Haas memorandum on business situation for week ending
4/9/38
-
4/11/38.
287
Conference with FDR; present: Senators Barkley, Glass,
Byrnes, and McKellar; Congressmen Rayburn, Taylor,
Cannon, and Woodrum; HMJr, Hopkins, James Roosevelt,
and Bell - 4/11/38
296
FDR's proposed "recovery message":
See Oliphant memorandum, page 327
" Wallace recovery plan, page 331
If conference between Treasury, Federal Reserve,
Agriculture, Commerce, Reconstruction Finance
Corporation, and James Roosevelt, concerning
proposed action in monetary field, 4/12/38, page 343
a) HMJr tells James Roosevelt "now that he knows
program at last, he will decide whether or not
he can finance it"
348
b) Eccles' later suggestions
382
c) Taylor memorandum: "no originality and not
sufficient appeal to guarantee success" -
Taylor's reaction to program described at
luncheon conference
387
- B - - (Continued)
Book Page
Business Conditions (Continued)
HMJr's statements on recession: resume of
CXVIII 349
Tentative estimate of revenues and receipts for fiscal
year 1939 if Federal Reserve Board index of industrial
production for calendar year 1938 averages 85, 80, and
75, respectively - 4/12/38
383
a) Copy of memorandum left with FDR
390
- c -
Cement
See Housing
China
Current United States trade with Japan and China -
4/5/38
148
Civilian Conservation Corps
See conference with FDR regarding 1939 relief appropriation -
4/11/38
297
Commonwealth and Southern Corporation
See Tennessee Valley Authority
Comptroller of Currency
See Appointments and Resignations: J.F.T. O'Connor
Cotton
Report on new uses for cotton presented by Cotton Textile
Institute - 4/1/38
1
- E -
Excess Reserves
White memorandum: "Shall excess reserves be increased,
and if so, how?" - 4/7/38
217
Discussed at luncheon meeting in HMJr's office; present:
representatives of Treasury, Federal Reserve,
Agriculture, Commerce, Reconstruction Finance
Corporation, and James Roosevelt - 4/12/38
343
- F -
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
Crowley letter explaining revision of "certain steps with
respect to bank supervision" - 4/12/38
395
Federal Housing Administration
See Housing
France
See also Stabilization
Daladier cabinet as presented 4/10/38
251
a) Butterworth reports British reaction - 4/11/38
259
- G -
Book Page
Glass, Carter (Senator, Virginia)
See Revenue Revision
Gold
See Spain
Government Bond Market
Lochhead resume - 4/1/38
CXVIII 17
Great Britain
See also Stabilization
Close of financial year shows budget surplus as opposed
to deficit in 1936-1937 - 4/1/38
34
- H - -
Harrison, Pat (Senator, Mississippi)
Speech: "The Revenue Measure and Business" - 4/3/38
40
Housing
Report on Federal Housing Administration insuring
operations for corresponding periods in 1937 and
1938 - 4/5/38
140,143
Cement:
Oliphant reports on check made of all Procurement
invitations sent to cement manufacturers covering
requirements for all Government activities from
May 1 to August 31, 1938
198
Oliphant reports on certain changes instituted by
Procurement Division, effective April 1st,
with respect to construction contracts
224
- I - -
Interstate Commerce Commission
See Railroads
- J -
Japan
Current United States trade with Japan and China -
4/5/38
148
- M -
Mexico
White resume of situation - 4/1/38
27
- 0 -
O'Connor, J.F.T.
See Appointments and Resignations
- P -
Book Page
Program, Administrative (Future)
See also Business Conditions
FDR's proposed "recovery message":
See Oliphant memorandum, page 327
If Wallace recovery plan, page 331
If conference between representatives of Treasury,
Federal Reserve, Agriculture, Commerce,
Reconstruction Finance Corporation, and James
Roosevelt, concerning proposed action in
monetary field, 4/12/38, page 343
a) HMJr tells James Roosevelt "now that he
knows program at last, he will decide
whether or not he can finance it"
CXVIII
348
b) Eccles' later suggestions
382
c) Taylor memorandum: "no originality and not
sufficient appeal to guarantee success" -
Taylor's reaction to program described at
luncheon conference
387
Public Works Administration
Ickes asks to borrow Foley in connection with FDR's
request for a draft of legislation - 4/11/38
319
Purchasing, Government
Oliphant reports on certain changes instituted by
Procurement Division, effective April 1st, with
respect to construction contracts
224
- R -
Railroads
See Transportation, Department of
FDR's message to Congress concerning Interstate Commerce
Commission report - 4/11/38
293
Refugees
HMJr (from Sea Island, Georgia) consults Welles about
progress of plans - 4/6/38
175
Reorganization
See discussion at 9:30 meeting, 4/11/38, page 282
Farley reaction to attitude on the Hill
283
Revenue Revision
Senator Pat Harrison's speech: "The Revenue Measure and
Business" - 4/3/38
40
Cohen draft of Presidential message concerning taxation
of income derived from Federal, State, and municipal
bonds, and Federal, State, and municipal salaries -
4/5/38
130
a) Cohen memorandum stating his reasons for supporting
amendment (Glass) mentioned above - 4/7/38
199
b) Magill memorandum to FDR stating reasons for
Treasury position - 4/7/38
201,203
- R - (Continued)
Book
Page
Revenue Revision (Continued)
Letter from HMJr to FDR asking for appointment for
himself and Magill to discuss position FDR wishes
Treasury to take since bill passed by Senate last
Saturday and now in conference does not carry out
principles thus far advocated by Treasury at FDR's
request - 4/12/38
CXVIII 274
a) FDR sets conference with HMJr and Magill and
asks for "letter that can be understood by
man on the street, giving history of capital
gains and surplus tax" - 4/11/38
317
Federal-State Tax Coordination: Possibilities of
immediate action with respect to - (Shoup memorandum) -
4/11/38
307
Conference; present: FDR, HMJr, and Magill - 4/12/38
353
a) Draft of proposed letter to Chairmen of Ways and
Means Committee and Senate Finance Committee
355
b) Copy of second draft of proposed letter including
FDR's suggested changes
358
c) Magill's second draft
363
d) Final copy as sent to White House after 4/12/38
conference there
371
e) Final draft
376
f) Early and James Roosevelt endeavor to prevent FDR
from signing
398
- S -
Spain
Cochran reports on story regarding Spanish gold - 4/8/38.
240
Stabilization
France:
Blum confides in Cochran financial proposals to be
presented to Chamber in the immediate future - 4/3/38
38
HMJr instructs Taylor to transmit to Blum, through
Cochran, United States plan by which banks voluntarily
report every week under Federal Reserve supervision -
4/4/38
57
a) Copy of message to Cochran
64,72,86,88,
99,107,108
b) Taylor informs HMJr (at Sea Island, Georgia) of
the Blum plans - 4/4/38
58
c) Cochran informed Blum not optimistic concerning
passage of measures by Parliament; fairly wide
range of measures included, however, some of which
he believes any succeeding government must adopt -
4/4/38
70
d) Cochran reports Blum financial program passed by
Cabinet and by Council of Ministers - 4/4/38
75,79,83
e) Cochran reports on interview with Blum - 4/5/38
111
1) HMJr orders copy sent to FDR
115
f) Butterworth reports on British press comment on
Blum proposals - 4/5/38
120,185
Statements by HMJr
HMJr's statements on recession: resume' of
349
- T -
Book Page
Taxation
See Revenue Revision
Tax-exempt Securities and Salaries
See Revenue Revision
Tennessee Valley Authority
See Berle memorandum, 4/1/38, page 16
a) Wallace conversation with Taylor indicates that
he and Berle have conferred on this problem -
4/6/38
CXVIII 177
Transportation, Department of
HMJr (from Sea Island, Georgia) transmits to FDR
draft of message to Congress and a bill to establish -
4/5/38
155
a) Taylor tells HMJr Berle agrees on this point of
view but does not believe plan politically
possible at this time - 4/6/38
178
- U -
Unemployment Relief
See also Business Conditions
Ross memorandum on status - 4/5/38
168
Conference with FDR; present: Senators Barkley, Glass,
Byrnes, and McKellar; Congressmen Rayburn, Taylor,
Cannon, and Woodrum; HMJr, Hopkins, James Roosevelt,
and Bell - 4/11/38
296
a) Wallace tells HMJr later that James Roosevelt
has just told him that another $300 million
has been added to the $1,250,000,000 -
4/11/38
316
- W -
Works Progress Administration
See Unemployment Relief
THE COTTON-TEXTILE INSTITUTE.
1
320 BROADWAY, NEW YORK
April 1, 1938.
NOTE
We feel that you will be interested in know-
ing of the combined efforts being made to dispose of
the cotton surplus and from a long-range point of
view to stimulate an increased consumption of cotton.
These activities are an expansion of promotional work
carried on for ten years by the Cotto Textile In-
stitute which inspired the Atlanta Cotton Conference
of March 3 last, resulting in organization of the Cot-
ton Consumption Council.
C.K. Everett,
Manager, New Uses Section.
CHAINS WHOLEHEARTEDLY JOIN MOVE TO ATTEMPT TO INCREASE COTT
OODS
SALES
CLIPPING
ON
COTTON
CAMPAIGN
COTTON NEWS
COTTON
Published by INSTITUTE OF DISTRIBUTION, Inc. and LIMITED PRICE VARIETY STORES ASSOCIATION, Inc. 570 Seventh Ave. New York, N.
"Sell More Cotton Goods"
Cotton Parley Opens
Governor Rivers Lauds Campaign
NEWORGANIZATION
TO MAP CAMPAIGN
WIDER USES NEW USES FOR COTTON
COUNCIL IS FORMED
ON AIDING COTTON
TO LIFT COTTON USE
SOUGHT AS LEADERS
Crowers, Producers and Sellere
Growers, Manufacturers
CONSIDERED
Will Draft Ad Program
and Distributors To
Promoting Staple
Launch Promotional
OPENPARLEY HERE
Program in Near Future
BY EXPERTS
Mpanial - -
ATLANTA, March drive to
promote
I
I
and
increased
COLUMBUS ROBERTS
consumption of estima incometed
Governors and Farm
By CLIFF FLIGG.
here Inday when the Cotten Cas-
NAMED TO COUNCIL
"The treuble with American industry today is not area-
Council - organized by
Leaders of Dixie
pathering of growers, -
production but dursel distribution."
Institute Head Says Solv-
I
distributors.
The
That - diagnosis et
reserti to formulate
Ing of Stable Problem
Confer Here
present business a advanced
cent a the consumption of grape-
and
leanch
.
I
by Marry D. Wilson. state Com-
trutt.
Donal D. advertising
Will Help Prosperity.
of the surples not
missioner of Agriculture et Lovil-
Commissioner
COTTON WEEK PLEA
of Agriculture and Teumigration of
provides through . plan 18
ans. who Thursday was elected
K.
Everett,
Leaders at the opening of the eotion contr ence here Thursday. Left to right:
A concerted campaign to
Charles
manager
et
- named chairman
late an Increase in reseuraption of
America's
permanent Chairman of the -
the
-
section
11
the
Cot-
and Charles K. Enreil, manager
W. L McLaurine, secretary American Cotton Manufacturers' Association: Dr. C. T.
I Inc. I I :
million
hales
...
terence of cotton producers, prot-
of the - - the Cell.
Tratile
Institute,
unged
-
- and distributors. wereing
tes Textile Institute, - elected
Murchison, president of the Textile Insti tute: Governor Rivers and Charles K.
day with the formation of . Cat-
Thursday in
to
America's
I
operation of all distributors in
Everett, manager, new uses section of the Institute.
ton Consumption Council
plan
increase
at the Biltaure Ho
entral
National Cotton Work, May 30 18
Other
members
are
É
sumption
of
by
The new council la composed of
June
president of the Collen
million
bales.
"Ber coties and spend receive
Testile Institute, and Retert
Governor Risers oprond the
be supposied national
Council Tackles Problem
STORES TO AID
representatives of powers, -
After reviewing propress made
Stevens, president the
factures, state of
an address of wel-
in versous chaire of are in Geor-
sales singen for all business
Stevens Company of New Tark,
represent the Colles Tex-
agriculture, chain stores and mail
the
gie during the last year. Gener-
impor-
- E. D. Birers. in welcoming
The problem being teckled
the
Institute
N.
Willams
the South of disporting
a
conference
was
distinct
Of Selling More Cotton
CAMPAIGN FOR
order houses, and the Cotton Tes-
the delegates to the conternare,
Lake Previdence, la. president
tile Institute.
challenge to the merchants of the
the American Corporative
suit Geor-
of
Designed to co-ordinate the -
United Sister E. D. Conden. of
and c. Menry of
newty
termed
the
great
group
givene are ready to work with any
Memphie, Tena manager
the
ins
of 17 cotton-greword
and
progressive
Association
who
the
publing are portion of the cotton
of event
COTTON SALES
tivities of all interested organiza-
grow for the advencement of any
Chicage public relations director
of the Mid-Bouth Growime
tackind
Priday
the
problem
of
I
of Cimpany said
time, the council begin Immedi-
American
IMPORTANT TO GA.'
"Expresented here are -
given Roberts, Com
eurola
approximately
8,000.000
tall
state
-
the
-
staty to map plans for - -
to
attend
the
render-
"Cotten . wishty important
chants' groups which have -
-
Aprington
for
Cest-
. the hands of
sive advertising and promotional
annual sales volume of two -
(
and
ser.
Willern,
will
-
Organization of the resnell -
Wilson
asseried
allending include repre-
la Georgia, Here -- have more
lien dollars. or that Setal salve
resent the of
Thersfer by more-
crime
-
for
Eliminate Surplus by Maxing
program to be carried on through
-
insting
than DIE testile industries, reg-
eature: John and
sentatives
if
collan
growers,
mile.
the
Bouth
as
the
I
I
mesling - invoicement of
Denman,
bets
who
and
order
I
lowed
the
the
Buyers Cetten Conscious,
chain
stores,
mail
order
houses,
mail-order
- million . the volume of -
War
Between
Blace
case store companies.
chain
store
mail
and giber distributing aprecias.
more than cee million delare
-
nates.
represent
the
-
agricultural
1
the
Dr
0.
#
Murshison
of
New
of
the
Cotton
Testile
"The - Inserve - learned
and - annual 247 rell in a
ristion
of
Foot
Chaire,
John
secum testile institute.
York, president et the Collar Tes-
la Council's Plan
Committee Chairman.
the
National
Association
from the last ---
of
and
Fred
campaign
3
sell
more
tile
tratitute,
I
this
Harry D. Wilson, commissioned
Chaine
and
the
Institute
com of 35 milline datan. -
that aprication
cema
the
National
Association
not
la
produce
said
Harry
D.
I
working
$
experiements
-
Dutribution
you - for pour-
of agriculture from Leuisiana,
will inreitable bring shout -
of
Chain
Drug
within
of
Baton
Rough
LA.
shair-
to
-
rélies.
in
house
building.
ATLANTA, Os. March
salf have important N. la a -
improvembed state of indus-
-
the
e
OPERATION STREASED
I
of
the
council
and
Louisiana
persible a wall structure.
FRAM named chairmen of the
that are - be forms for -
Members the will -
of agriculture.
Wisson the increased retion
thes
general
I
a
miller He estimated approximate
under discussion include
to."
be
said.
operate with the Trade
*We new have the overanding
would
pendent
-
improvement
*
-
der co-operation be-
Matires under discussion in-
Institute
in
the
surred
I
An
by
I
years
will
3
required
disting that in three months
I
brains
country.
die
time
in
the
I
South
I
retton manufac-
the
surplus
y
bas
cluided the security for co-opera-
I
Week
by
cotton
advertise
efferta
of
50,500
commise
consume the present surplve.
and meresta
TION details cetten producers.
special publicity
working
the
1
-
I
10
increase
unles
bern
commit
.
today the com
The compaign expected
states
been
translated
-
an
end
and
manafaciures and distributions.
and extraordinary - affort.
of - in added.
campaign
Consumption Count - begin
rach apary and group
. biewing Dr. e. Murchisen,
interests of the
campaign
simed
all
-
reach . pesk during "National
of
New
York,
director
of
the
Cot-
in co-opetrative pro-
states and the parta each
THE COTTON CONSEMPTION COUNCIL
of
competition
and
of
surpive
1 7 1 à I
Catton Week." which will be
con Textile institute, declared
cap.
.
I
from
May
=
to
June
4.
of promotion
and event can play in
auch has been ancompliabed in
time program of promotion.
Few movements motivated by the desire to
crops.
But
there
is
-
program
which
can
be
1 È I I =
will be asked to pre-
⑉ informed It
controlang the price of the
The conference was initiated by
Improve the lot of the cotton producers of the
-
quickly
put
unto
setion
and
which
can
pro-
meeting of - lestile mill
Legan. executive vice
sould's chef agrinatural good-
officials. southers state
claim this - . apecial week dur
product of Use National Associa-
John A. Losse. executive visa
with
have
such
sa
the
cotten
art.
been
hundred
with
-
prote-
1
I
-
ind which the people will be
T
Chaine:
Junn
P.
increased
- threw more then 100.00
"Celles goods are being sold
president the National
urged le aid in the southern
director
of
the
tion of Food Chaine John
part
of
success
than
the
Cutton
Consumption
events
than
this
peshirm
Nichola
real
outima
in
the
drive
3
make
party by Increased purchase
at
Dutribution
which
below read, and the nation man-
Nichels, minager director of the
Council, enrored in Allanta last Thursday.
sumption.
the
Inading mail-mder and
stacturers
are
-
subject
se
bastitute of Dutomotion which
the
organizations
represented
in
the
use of collen products.
This council was the cusgrowth of contro-
And
The
cougled
compaign
All-Day Conference.
shain firms, and Charles K.
information.
There
is
comprimes isading and
la traden - for
Events. manager of the Cetten
chais store firms and Mr Event
ences between representatives of cotton grown
Cotton
Consumption
Come
- with plane for admite -
Appointment of the countil
threat of sonther processing
1
-
They
acted
at
the
request
of
DUE
We
ent. manafacturers, state commissioners of agri-
the
matter
in
the
most
effective
search
Into
new
I
for
-
Umt.
lowed an all-day conference dur-
Trade
LIMI
know
from
part
expe-
Charman Willin.
and the to-producta.
too.
sense
È
imaginable.
me which the power and
They el the request of
that protening us
culture, chain store and mail order house es-
Biere Chaine Ald
with
public
in
the
south
tributore emphasized the need
Marry D. William. Legisiana State
lowers the artice of the coties
eculines and the Cotton Testile Institute
and raises the price of the ell-
# is the purpose of the esencil to no-cedi-
the
-
Ald of national associations of
taking immediate steps to reduce
of Americant
Cotton Congress
preendly,
all
your
food. clothing and chaire -
ATLANTAN A LEADER
tes
goods.
was
Beett
Alea,
of
nate . forceful, continues campaign le bring
piedged la the
the over-mpply of estion.
of and the products can be
Mianta
Bouthern of the -
Delegates to the conderence
Regers
Btores,
who
UNEMPLOYED
of
To Convene Today
about greater consumption of cotton goods by
explained this they wanted . drive
resented approximately
made original proposal for -
"There are - -
to
the buying public of the pation. Through ad-
I
in
other
parte
1
cotton farmers and
placed
in
the
testile
indestry
ATLANTA. March 1.
HOPE FOR COTTON
the
country
I
Y
-
converned - the development of
1
the
employed
-
paint w - the - of -
verting and special sale inducements IL will
I
:
I
at
&
Chain surona - market-
#
bears
work,
Millions
be the goal of the arganization to bring shout
Already
ginned
and
beind
in
the
Bouth
- producia would renti in greater
other people who are dependent
working
shart
-
leunshed
conference
- esturne per producta grown
on cotton production.
of
here of
la
estim
to
this
estaide mouth.
Dr. e. T. Marchisen, president
the
surglases
of
personable
i
spindles are Mile. I have great
pivor
interested
the sale of two yards of cotton testiles where
Harry
B.
Wilson,
chair-
of the Cotton Textile Institute,
mation supposed la him the plan
manufacture
and
distribution
another
two
years.
Last
year's
I
in this group. for
one
was
sold
before,
to
see
that
cotton
con-
man and Louisiana -
for es-ortination of distribution
is
the
best
qualified
-
that
cellen
tainers are used, whenver possible, in place of
the
biggest
in
history.
and
even
I
clared that . solution of the
estimated
that
the
pro-
and proform 5 belping the set-
has en la tackle the prob-
De Caster T Marchism and
pm afferts 1,000,000 -
ton problem will contribute to
Charin K. Eventi. present -
under
the
government
projecty of America.
san
intestry
va"
be
said,
paper, jute or other forms of parking. and le
furmers, Re said persona
Wilson
⑉
Food
stores
have
pointed
the
manager of or Del
then
program,
three
will
- on farming
Printing out that the United
la speak during The day
any
cam-
Instruct will submi
increase the consumption of food products
there
will
be
for
their
than
living
and
-
through
advanced
States
is
to
sentative plane for secure pro-
made in whole or in part from cottonsed ell
produced
-
conditions
altertina
pages
on
birm
prodocis
of
I
I
alles
Date
-
about 60 per cent of the notion
goods caparity, be said 00,000 est-
producers Annther ached-
Levis
W.
Cale
of
Kr.
mational
program.
Will
these
facia
in
mind
y
The instrud alread Institude
The sões for this movement was first con-
form mill workers are
- speakere - B. E Nelson, of
provident of the National
for
non,
all
transfer
NII Workers to Benefit
governors of 13 Bain
and
added
that
nation
et
Food
crived by * present atlanta relater, Beett
large
portion
Y
Chirage VICE president of Bears,
Chains,
teld
the
agri-
indestry,
met
in
Atlanta
last
&
e.
your
Marthiam
y
New
Tork.
the other $80,000 collan mill -
and
Return A Company and presi-
condence
nutrare,
executives
of
Cellse-
Alien. No had mes how the National Amt-
expanised
the
Cutton
of the - and president
playes are working exywhere from
dest
7
the
Instrute
at
Distribu-
No pointed aut that his -
Twice Institute. - National Ma-
.
the
of
the
Cotine
Tentile
I
B
a
R
hours
work.
through the thousands of stores
socialion
of
Chaine
the
of Food Chain Blares had been able la
ell.
The
Pood
and
program
NIF
à
more
retton.
and
the program benefit
Working ou Experiments.
in
the
such
firms
in campaima conducted last year
! É Insulance
Fase the burden of crop surplases for producers
to
seil
of - worken - well -
He said the Institute was work-
Woolworth , Penner
increased the - of vartus her
reservations of insting chain -
promotion
will
be
companies and mail under houses
of many vacinties of foodstaffs and believed
No w/d. - per - of the nation's
the en experimento to use notion
Grant. Montgomery Want
Itema from 14 DET rent. in . ne-
dispose
of
the
surplier
and
a
promote
textile were are - the
El
-
building
experially
and Their annual
pain for Increased
Governor E. n. River of Georgia
the - plan and the name prychology could
erally
the
notice
industry.
Nenry
b.
Bouth
wall structure, and was stiengt-
ention goods sales total more than
of FEES. to 389 our
will - the
commissioner
of
John A. Legan of Wushington, -
a
find
other
um.
be made effective in reducing the estino ear-
1
Louisiana
and of the National
Dr. Marchises said the Collan
are million dollars
plan, the carrpover from previses crop years.
tare,
I
named
chairman
of
the
Amoriation
-
MERCHANDING EXPERTS
Chaine
and
Council will supply ideas to
other
"
that
eurphase
FREE
3.
appreviativ
redoced
fl.
Already
80,000
cotten
mill
workers
Michola, director of the
of
work
and
a
large
parties
Institute of Distribution promised to
laboratory with under the new tarm WE
la
be
E
In
is
the
of
the
-
F.
.
Banks
should - is better prices for the collen
out
King Cotton
HAS HIS ILLS
part
of
every
build 10 public tor -
There some, be convinued,
director for
other
380,000
workers
are
idle
DIAGNOSED
producers and three provide an economic bene-
with
Non.
products
1
believed
that
If
:
-
Proper Blares T. Burta -
week.
Everyone
know
that
the
Legin represented . - of the
consumption - will be whing the
chandising for
m that will permante shough every strate of
ten
industry
stymint
=
n
.
today
un
Inrgest grocery chaine that
market away from other pots.
Grant 0 merchan-
southern business, southern industry and
whole
United
States
autters
greate.
but
promised to devite increased -
TLAN
is
no
argument
more
fai-
ruing director for H Kress An
acutely.
The
I I a I I I
lactore that that
M Outert, Bigth-
southern economic conditions.
the
South
autlers
most
- district manager the
With the backing of the metion's
gram.
for
selling
the
surplus
crop
and
and noods - in -
the said the rettom mills must
1
strupgle with and overcume
Washerth Company D Mir
Quisten Alimata mail manager
the
mail
coder
sing
.
new
demand
for
cotton,
at
versive influences," chief of which
chain
store
arganizations
and
lined
by
the
Cotton
Council.
Symbo for - Bare
Consumption
a
tases.
for Bears Restruck * Company
houses,
them
doubt
but
what
the
during
National
Comm
Michale apoke - e national
Dr. Murchan proised the todo
tan
be
-
will
reach
*
N.
c.
Tapier
Lane
Drue
pesit
Com
Work,
which
to
the
last
the
theire having - - that
eral
government
for
a
prompt
campaign will be successful. a serves to Secur
y
May
and
handle - sales volume of
para and Mr Meturis
tion
in
elepping
the
Beveral also air
$
national
emaile
the
innomerable
local
efforta
first
of
June.
Michelle
plunge
of
cuttor
I
-
its
president
of
I I 1 I and E
policies.
present from the National Ano-
to Increase the use of getton.
Dr.
Claudium
T.
Murchisen.
I
of Food Chaim Name
Cotten
Institute
argund
Including large mail under houses,
Rivers Walsome
valuable
notion
merber
of
important
of
the
council
will
a
An
currtion
variety retail chaine and
Governor
Rivers
opened
the
against
the
Idra
that
if
the
its
UM
of
small
extion
-
increased
in
in - can -
been
will
meeting
and
the
person
be to escourage and within research for new
of
cottom
markets
hearted in the -
a
Several
other
given
parkaging hearth
Association -
um of the Maple, This tetall. however, is of
taken
away
from
when
goods.
The
arem la par the - a
- amt - individual plane for
who
experted
a
intend
rivée L W Caie. of
necessary
a
prof
The
immediate
as
argument
more
falacious
than
president of the organization
progrem
toward
the
an
,
will
3
2
emplasivel
Dr.
Munthison
a
also
nil
Bouthern general and - pas
-
-
increased cotton the
expressed
opininal
and chairman of Biriden
se
discover
-
the mational -
trouble
à
of
not-
expt
is
work
designed
that
Adams chairmes of the
made
through
increased
purchases
I
for
estion,
and
the
Cotton
Countil
- by advocating wider -
day
is
not
and
seriation's
ten goods and outtan parments by the nm and
will percipate in experiments
I
products.
dara poor
of
First
Other
manibers
started
a
the
Bieres Numer
winen
who
comprise
the
estion's
in
vas
pointed
out
at
the
Attarking
the
competition
from
shoppers.
muneti instruded 0 Name of
1
trand
is
Jute,
be
and
of
the
Elforts will be made to encourage the nb-
the
that
.
large
selling
campaign
boosting
beit
Memphia productions of the
Parker
even
buys
I
which
of Remove
Milletion of cotton material. in place of jute,
resulted
is
the
per
Owner Crewit -
to
weep
letters.
Leese
-
se
-
in
the
baling
of
cotton
part
and
.
displace-
consumption
11
E
emit
over
the
geniora
di
%
Council
meets
I
I
year.
If
the
Collan
ditien
be
being
E
pres.
mest
of
the
Imported
which
I
dent of the
the
I
IL
will
3
.
very
great
Clippings used herein
National
Food
Chain
Stores
1
former
-
TEXTRE INSTITUTE PLAN
containers
variety
today
will
be
sought.
achievement,
indred
are from various re-
of
the
The
Rev.
the
should.
However,
too
much
hope
should
met
se
cont Legues of the
I
be
Murchises,
É
for
of
the
Comm
of
I
with
The
placed
sione
in
the
ettart
3
sell
I
ent-
remo
See York Times, the
to
help
in
the
-
I
and
F
Exerent
stunever
ton
and
to
find
MM
-
for
The
of
the
summer
et
1
the
Montgomery Advertis-
Spesking
for
250.000
power
of
studies
a
fied
new
-
for
the
agrient-
Willamen,
of
Lake
mines
class
for
.
can
on
in
the
they
Augusta Chron-
eatim,
x
goods
pur-
lands
of
the
Bosth
should
Providence,
F
president
1
Name
retire
-
chase,
on
the
as
the
and
R.
a
not
dark
pessimism
to
point
a
icle, the Memphis
American
Cotton
Co-operative
M-
paim.
sociation,
estimated
a
gian
.
-
heathers
!
of
-
leaders
of
this
action
1
une
the
guine
a
recent
years
that
have
been
Prese-Scimitor, the
will
1
restricting
production.
-
country
gelbered
time,
provide
venguard
made
by
the
estion
givence
of
Brand
Jacksonville Times-
produce
et
-
the
-
is
disgnose
the
-
our
King
Rest.
If
I
other
countries
can
of
emply.
-
évrité
The
chairmen
Union and the Atlanta
date
-
of
Celles
1
5
devise
I
.
be
produced
at
charger
price
that
-
can't
-
1
for
-
for
the
Premieral
There
problem
of
of
the
United
a
the
better
part.
of
Constitution, Georgi-
caise
the
-
notton,
to
other
uses
for
our
farm
an and Journal.
E
lands.
EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE
BULLETIN
OFFICERS
3
C. F. ADAMS, First National Stores, Inc.
President
T. P. CAULEY, Danahy-Faxon Stores, Inc.
L. W. COLL Stelden Stores, Inc.
WM. PARK, American Stores Co.
National Association of Food Chains
Vice Presidents
H. C. PHELAN, D. Pender Grocery Co.
L. P. SHIMD, Grand Union Co.
H. Kroger Grocery & Baking Co.
J. E. DAVIS, Table Supply Stores
L. E. FISHER, Fisher Grocery Co.
726 Jackson Place, Washington, D. C.
JOHN NIVEN, Purity Stores Ltd.
F. H. MASSMANN, National Tea Co.
Secretary
FM. L. MCEACHRAN, E. 8. Burgan & Son
National 8732
L. E. FISHER, Fisher Grocery Co.
C. POCKRANDT, Fred W. Albrecht Grocery Co.
Treasurer
E. G. YONKER, Sanitary Grocery Co.
JOHN A. LOGAN
JOHN A. LOGAN
Ant. Treasurer
L. W. COLE, Chairman
JOHN A. LOGAN, Executive Vice President
W. N. FLINT
VOLUME V
MARCH 19, 1938
NUMBER 12
TO THE MEMBERS:
"BUY COTTON -- SAVE MONEY - SPEED RECOVERY": This is the slogan adopted by the
Cotton Institute as a key to the nation-wide program being sponsored to meet the
cotton surplus emergency. Chain food stores should play an important part in
this program.
I. Here is the situation:
1. The 1937 cotton crop was the largest ever
COTTON WEEK
harvested - 18,750,000 bales.
MAY 30 - JUNE 4
2. More than twelve million people -- one out
of ten persons in the United States --
- LET'S MAKE IT KNOWN -
depend directly or indirectly on cotton
for their livelihood.
3. Cotton is the country's largest factory industry.
4. Prosperous cotton is a key to prosperous agriculture -
Impoverished agriculture means impoverished business.
II. What the chain food stores can do:
Chain food stores have already demonstrated in twenty nation-wide campaigns
for the removal of agricultural surpluses how farmers can be served by the
cooperation of organized mass distributors. This same technique so success-
fully employed to sell beef, lamb, grapefruit, apples, eggs, and many other
products can and will be applied to the sale of cotton and cotton products.
Here is an agricultural commodity of primary concern to the entire South as
well as being a key to prosperity in the nation. Here are some suggestions
outlining how chain food stores can serve Old
King Cotton in an effective manner:
FOOD CHAINS SELL COTTON
1. Use a special "box" in your regular advertis-
ing for the purpose of
1/2 Billion square
a. Calling attention to cotton and to Cotton
yards of cotton used
Week: May 30 - June 4.
annually in packaging
b. Outlining the size of the cotton crop and
the problem faced by growers.
grocery merchandise.
C. Urging purchase and use of more cotton and
- LET'S USE MORE -
cotton products.
(OVER)
Number 12
March 19, 1938
Volume V
p.2
2. Have all store employees wear a small
"bale" of cotton on their coat lapels.
COTTON CONSUMPTION COUNCIL
These may be available at quantity
prices.
Commissioners of Agriculture:
3. Set up special window displays, in-
Hon. Harry D. Wilson, La.,
cluding:
Hon. Columbus Roberts, Ga.
a. Food items packaged in cotton -
Cotton Growers:
sugar, salt, flour, etc.
b. Cotton seed oil products - oils,
N. C. Williamson, Pres.,
shortenings, mayonnaises, etc.
American Cotton Cooperative
Assn., New Orleans; Charles
C. Grocery items of cotton --
G. Henry, Gen.-Mgr., Mid-
South Cotton Growers' Assn.,
mops,
Memphis.
d. Where practicable, put a bale of
cotton in store window or borrow
Cotton Manufacturers and
cotton garments or other articles
Merchants:
of cotton from your neighboring
variety or other type of chain store.
Dr. C. T. Murchison, Pres.,
Cotton Textile Institute,
The attention-getting value of a window
N. Y.; Robert T. Stevens,
of this sort displayed in conjunction
Pres., J. P. Stevens & Co.,
with banners and window stickers featur-
N. Y.; Chas. K. Everett,
ing Cotton Week will be tremendous.
Cotton Textile Institute.
4. Store contests. Individual member com-
Distributors:
panies may wish to consider offering
prizes for the most unique window dis-
General Merchandising Chains:
plays or for the best percentage sales
increase in goods packaged in cotton
and cotton products.
John P. Nichols, Acting
Managing Director, Institute
5. Some companies which use premiums are
of Distribution, N.Y.; Fred
considering giving cotton luncheon sets,
Griffiths, Sec., National
aprons, etc. as premiums during the
Assn. of Chain Drug Stores.
period climaxing with Cotton Week.
Food Chains:
6. Food chain executives are acquainted
with the procedure of farmer-consumer
John A. Logan, Executive
campaigns, and some of them plan to call
Vice President, National
on executives of other types of chains to
Assn. of Food Chains; C. B.
tell them of the manner in which the
Denman, Agricultural Counsel,
agricultural program has been conducted
National Assn. of Food
and the services which have been rendered
Chains, Washington, D. C.
agriculture. and can continue to be made available to
7. safety, Publicize security, to consumers and general the re-use satisfaction value of of cotton cotton packages, bags. emphasizing
4
olume V
p. 3
March 19, 1938
Number 12
II. What other chains have done will do:
1. Thirty-nine enthusiastic telegrams have been sent by variety and mail
order chains pledging wholehearted support to the cotton sales program.
These types of chains plan to put on the most unusual and spectacular
sales in their history - advertising, unique window and store displays,
extraordinary effort and cooperation from all sales personnel, etc.
Cotton goods sales by chains normally exceed $600,000,000 annually.
They will seek to break all records.
2. Drug and shoe chains have assured full co-operation. Shoe chains use
tremendous amounts of cotton in shoe "findings" and "linings".
3. All types of chain store distributors plan to cooperate fully in publi-
cizing cotton, featuring cotton and cotton products, and promoting the
success of this nation-wide campaign. With 37,000 chain food stores and
more than 25,000 other types of chain outlets featuring cotton through-
out the country, it is reasonable to expect that thousands of other
stores will join in the COTTON PARADE.
IV. Cotton Week features:
The Cotton Industry is preparing to produce thousands of three-color posters
(red, white, and blue, size 12" by 18") for use by retail merchants over the
entire country in calling attention to cotton values and to Cotton Week as
the "high point" in the program to sell more cotton. Cotton Week, scheduled
for May 30 - June 4, is the "high point" of the campaign. A poster sample
in black and white will be sent to you shortly in order to enable you to
place your order for copies of the posters through your Association office.
Let's bring the benefits OF FARMER-CONSUMER CAMPAIGNS to the COTTON
GROWERS of the nation.
Let's PROMOTE PROSPERITY for the cotton South and the entire United States.
Let's BOOST in every way possible the sale and use of cotton, cotton
products, and cotton seed products.
Sincerely yours,
John John A. Logan
Logan
Executive Vice President
AID FOR KING COTTON
1937's cotton crop was the biggest ever harvested
18,750,000
bales. By the time the 1938 crop is in the bale, even with restricted
acreage, a surplus ecuivalent to two years' normal consumption will be
weighing down the market, unless something extraordinary is done to aid
King Cotton.
National well-being depends upon the well-being of all. New England
shoes-are bought with money earned by California oranges. Michigan auto-
mobiles are Buid for by Texas cattlo. Louisiana sugar buys Minnesota
flour. Cotton is the money in 18 states. Accordingly, the "ups" and
"downs" of King Cotton and his depondents are reflected in the standard
of living of all America.
King Cotton's present emergency, therefore, is of significant impor-
tance to all America, her people, her trado, her commerce, her industry.
Aid is, manifestly, essential.
HELP VOLUNTEERED
In order to explore ways and means whereby the present cotton sur-
plus emergency might be attacked, a conference was recently initiated in
Atlanta, under the joint auspices of the Cotton Toxtile Institute, of the
National Association of Food Chains, and of the Institute of Distribution,
which was attended by one of the most ropresentative delegations ever às-
sembled of government officials, of cotton growers, of cotton cooperatives,
of cotton goods distributors, and of others who are cither directly or
indirectly concerned with the affairs of King Cotton.
The conforence was opened by the Hon. E. D. Rivers, Governor of Geor-
gia. Hon. Harry D. Wilson, Commissioner of Agriculture of Louisiana, was
named conference Chairman, and so served during the entire conference.
Earnost effort was thore made to bring about a joint, businesslike
program that would not only stimulate cotton salos throughout America, but
which would help to relieve King Cotton's present straitened circumstances.
HELP HARNESSED
The outcome of the conference was noteworthy, both from the direction
of bringing into being a nationwide attempt to bring cotton surplus rolief
via cotton goods sales stimulus, as well as from the viewpoint of estab-
lishing a relationship of goodwill and cooperation between cotton producer
S
- 2 -
and cotton goods distributor that may help to minimize similar emergency
problems for King Cotton in the future.
WHAT WILL BE DONE
The Atlanta conference transacted the following business that is of
substantial significance to King Cotton:
a) It decided that efforts ought immediately to commence
by all concerned to stimulate the sale of cotton goods
or allied cotton products. In order to assist distri-
butors, promotional ideas will be interchanged between
the various cooperating organizations such as the Insti-
tute of Distribution, the Limited Price Variety Stores
Association, the National Association of Food Chains,
the National Association of Chain Drug Stores, the Na-
tional Council of Shoe Retailers, the Cotton Textile
Institute, the various cotton cooperative associations
and other campaign participants. The respective asso-
ciations, in turn, will pass on such promotional ideas
to their respective mercantile members for use (or not)
either "as is" or LS they may modify or alter them in
order to fit their own policies or requirements.
In any case, the respective member companies, via window
displays, via institutional advertising, and via other
promotional means, will make sincere effort to increase
their cotton goods sales.
b) It was consensus that this cotton promotional effort
should reach its "high spot" with a "National Cotton
Promotional Week" (May 30 through June 4, 1938).
During this week, all cooperating companies, on a united,
cooperative basis, will be expected to make a sustained
drive to "sell more cotton" via window and ledge displays
by "word of mouth" promotion
by every promotional
medium that can effectively be utilized 1) to increase
their cotton goods sales to their own profit
and in so
doing
2) likewise to permit them to render a substan-
tial yet businesslike public service by helping cotton
producers profitably to dispose of their surplus cotton
crop.
The Cotton Textile Institute will continue to prepare the
posters and other cotton promotional media. The respec-
tive trade associations, in turn, will obtain suitable
quantities therefrom and, in turn, pass them on to their
members for redistribution among their stores.
7
- 3 -
THE "COTTON CONSUMPTION COUNCIL"
In order to coordinate the activities of all organizations interes-
ted in promoting the increased sale of cotton, the Atlanta conference
elected a "ten man" operating committee, named "Cotton Consumption Coun-
cil." The Council's personnel is composed as follows:
1. Harry D. Wilson, Commissioner of Agriculture of
Louisiana (Chairman)
2. Columbus Roberts, Commissioner of Agriculture,
Georgia
3. C. T. Murchinson, President, Cotton Textile
Institute
4. Robert T. Stevens, President, J. P. Stevens & Co.
5. N. C. Williamson, President, American Cotton Co-
operative Association
6. Charles G. Henry, General Manager, Mid-Southern
Cotton Growers Association
7. John A. Logan, Executive Vice President, National
Association of Food Chains
8. C. B. Denman, Agricultural Relations Counsel, Na-
tional Association of Food Chains
9. John P. Nichols, representing the Institute of
Distribution and the Limited Price Variety
Stores Association
10. Fred G. Griffiths, Secretary, National Association
of Chain Drug Stores.
- o -
Charles K. Everett, Cotton Textile Institute (Secretary)
- o -
ABOUT THOSE WHO WILL HELP
At this juncture, it seems important to give fuller details concerning
the various associations of multi-unit merchants that are participating in
the National Cotton Promotional Campaign, 80 that we may see our subject
whole and understand it fully.
8
- 4 -
THE INSTITUTE OF DISTRIBUTION
The Institute of Distribution, as our first case, was founded and
is now being maintained by a substantial number of representative na-
tional and sectional multi-unit retail institutions such as F. W. Wool-
worth; Sears, Roebuck; S. S. Kresge; Montgomery Ward; S. H. Kress; Wes-
tern Auto Supply; National Shirt Shops; W. T. Grant; United Cigar-Whelen;
Melville Shoe Corporation; Lerner Stores Corporation; Cunningham Drug
Company and many others of a similar size and calibre, for the purpose
...
1) of compiling and disseminating accurate information concerning di-
rect retail distribution and 2) of serving as the coordinating agency
via which Institute members may act jointly, cooperatively on public re-
lations and other matters of common interest.
The offices of the Institute of Distribution are located in New York
City. Its President is Don M. Nelson, Vice- President of Sears, Roebuck
and Company. Its operating policies are established and directed by a
representative Board of Directors, headed by Ward Melville, President of
the Melville Shoe Corporation. John P. Nichols, Acting Managing Director
of the Institute, is a member of the Cotton Consumption Council.
THE LPVSA
The Limited Price Variety Stores Association is the national trade
association for the "five and tens" of America. Its membership is com-
posed of 745 or more variety store concerns, large and smell, chain and
independent, including F. W. Woolworth; S. S. Kresge; S. H. Kress; W. T.
Grant; J. J. Newberry; G. C. Murphy; H. L. Green; McCrory Stores; McLel-
lan Stores; Rose's; Neisner Brothers; M. H. Fishman; Scott-Burr; Charles;
Morris; Sprouse-Reitz; Hested; Kuhn; Duckwall; Autenreith's; Schultz;
Eagle; W. W. Mac; Sterling Stores and many others. Its members do more
than 90% of the variety store sales in the United States.
The LPVSA is also headquartered in New York City. Dr. Paul H. Nystrom
is its President.
THE NAFC
The membership of the National Association of Food Chains is composed
of such well-known, long established national, sectional and local chain
grocery institutions as Safeway Stores, Inc.; Kroger Grocery & Baking Co.;
American Stores Co.; First National Stores, Inc.; National Tea Co.; H. G.
Hill Co.; D. Pender Co.; Southern Grocery Co.; Grand Union Co.; Fisher Gro-
cery Co.; Sanitary Grocery Co. and many others of a similar size and type.
NAFC members operate C. total of 37,000 stores, most of which have suc-
cessfully, wholeheartedly participated in the NAFC surplus crop disposal
campaigns via which distressed agricultural interests have been given prac-
tical form relief.
9
- 5 -
The NAFC's surplus crop disposal campaigns merit the following fur-
ther mention:
During 1937, the NAFC staged national campaigns on the following com-
modities: fresh and canned grapefruit (at different times), fresh and
canned peaches, lamb, eggs, apples, walnuts and prunes. Other campaigns,
of varying dimensions but of less than national stature, were staged on
the following: turkeys, avocados, Washington State apples, canned peaches,
Florida oranges, cheese, potatoes, Idaho cherries, canned tomatoes in the
Northwest, sweet potatoes on the Atlantic Seaboard, grapes, cranberries,
tangerines, and cotton for bagging.
Regional or national, the chain campaigns don't miss a promotion
trick. First of all, there is space advertising. Copy and layouts are
prepared by the headquarters organization, inserted and paid for by the
local chain, which frequently supplements the schedule with its own
advertising. In the 1936 beef campaign, 44 chain systems spent over
$2,000,000 on 300,000,000 individual advertisements. In addition to the
space insertions, 33,000,000 handbills were distributed in that campaign.
Publicity on the radio and in the news columns is always worked to a fare-
thee-well, featuring recipes and menus. But essentially it is the man-
behind-the-counter who makes the campaign click -- with posters, pennants,
banners, window and store displays, but most effectively of all, with the
potent word-of-mouth advertising.
Washington is the home of NAFC headquarters. The Association is
headed by L. W. Cole, President of the Steiden Stores of Louisville.
John A. Logan, Executive Vice President, is both operating head of the
Association and one of its representatives on the Cotton Consumption
Council.
THE NACD
Liggett, Walgreen, Peoples, Lane, Cunningham and other chain drug
store corporations of that type compose the membership of the National
Association of Chain Drug Stores which is headquartered in New York City,
and whose Secretary and representative on the Cotton Consumption Council
is Fred G. Griffiths, President of the Pennsylvania Drug Company.
In June 1937, the milk-using members of the National Association of
Chain Drug Stores, of the Limited Price Variety Stores Association, and of
the Institute of Distribution joined forces in an outstandingly successful
milk promotion campaign intended not only to stimulate milk sales of parti-
cipating companies, via a month's sustained promotion, but, likewise, in so
doing, to help dairy farmers to dispose of their substantial seasonal milk
surplus.
10
- 6 -
The significant importance of this milk campaign is well demonstrated
by the fact that the milk sales of participating chain drug stores mounted
by 30% during the campaign period over a corresponding period in 1936.
Though the total June 1937 sales of milk-using variety stores increased
but 1.5%, their milk sales during the campaign period, on a group aver-
age, jumped by 36.7%, to the great benefit of all concerned.
NACD members sell $60,000,000 worth of cotton goods annually, and
they are planning, via the current promotional campaign, to make every
effort to increase such sales notably.
THE NCSR
The National Council of Shoe Retailers, located in New York City, is
the national trade association of the shoe distributors of America. In-
cluded within the NCSR's roster of members are such nationally-known shoe
institutions as Melville Shoe Corporation; G. R. Kinney Company, Regal
Shoe Company; Edison Brothers Stores, Inc.; Endicott-Johnson Shoe Corp.;
A. S. Beck Shoe Corp.; W. L. Douglas Shoe Company; Berland Shoe Stores
and many others.
Ward Melville, President of the Melville Shoe Corporation, is Presi-
dent of the Council. W. L. Girdner is Executive Secretary.
While the amount of cotton goods sold by the shoe chains is not,
naturally, large in relation to the total cotton goods consumption of
America, it has been steadily increasing in the past five years. Cotton
is being used, increasingly, in shoe and other products sold by the chain
shoe stores ... and the shoe chains have been leaders in promoting and
selling millions of pairs of women's shoes in which cotton fabrics are
used as principal materials.
In 1937, for example, the shoe chains sold more cotton fabric shoes
than ever before in their history.
Shoe chains now sell or consume merchandise which contains 20,000,000
pounds of cotton. Via the instant cooperative promotion campaign, they
hope notably to increase this already substantial amount.
PLEDGE GOODWILL AND COOPERATION
The Institute of Distribution and the Limited Price Variety Stores
Association were jointly represented at the Atlanta Cotton Conference by
a half dozen or so merchandising experts of representative national cot-
ton-using companies such as F. W. Woolworth, Sears Roebuck, J. C. Penney,
W. T. Grant, S. H. Kress, and others.
The Institute's delegation attended the Atlante conference intent on
participating actively and wholeheartedly in probing with the other dele-
11
- 7 -
gates for ways and means whereby national cotton-using chain store com-
panies may not only increase their own cotton goods sales to their own
profit but, likewise, in so doing, be enabled to render a noteworthy
public service by helping cotton producers profitably to dispose of
their current surplus cotton crop.
The joint Institute of Distribution and Limited Price Variety Stores
Association delegation represented 43 cotton-using companies operating
about 8500 stores with annual retail sales of about $2,000,000,000, al-
most $600,000,000 of which are in cotton goods or allied products.
The following messages from ranking officials of substantial cotton-
using companies ... & few among the many that were received by the Insti-
tute delegation while at the Atlanta conference ... serve to demonstrate
the sincere intention of mass distributors earnestly to cooporate in the
current, two-purpose, cotton promotion campaign:
From K. D. Gardner, President of the K. T. Grant Company:
"The executives of the W. T. Grant Company are very
much in accord with the purposes of the conference on
cotton being held in Atlenta. We recognize the oppor-
tunity to further the interests of those whose lives
depend upon cotton, namely, the farmer, the manufactur-
ers, and their employees; also the consumer. We are
hopeful that well developed plans for furthering the
use of cotton will result from this conference and
pledge our wholehearted cooperation in carrying out
such plans."
From W. W. Humphrey, President, Western Auto Supply Company:
"We sincerely appreciate the purposes'oi the Atlante
conference and hope that from it will come helpful sug-
gestions. You may depend on our company doing every-
thing possible to carry out the program by its coopera-
tion."
From R. F. Coppedge, Vice President, McCrory Stores Corp.:
"Our company is in hearty agreement with the aims of
the conference of state officials, cotton producers and
retail distributors at Atlanta. We shall cooperate to
the fullest possible extent in any promotional campaign
which may result from the Atlanta conference."
12
- 8 -
From C. B. Tuttle, Treasurer of the S. S. Kresge Company:
"We are enthusiastically sympathetic toward any
movement that will stimulate the sale of cotton goods
not only through Cotton, Week but throughout the year,
and that the crop may be successfully marketed at
prices satisfactory to the growers."
From B. S. Hornstein, President, Charles Stores Company:
"Our stores all south except one naturally inter-
ested development movement promote more cotton uses.
We hope Atlanta conference will foster such campaign
to benefit producers in disposing of surplus crop.
Charles Stores will devote all windows and newspaper
advertising for national chain store cotton week or
any such promotional event."
From Don M. Nelson, Vice President of Sears, Roebuck & Company:
"Sears, Roebuck & Co. pledges itself to cooperate
100% with program Institute has started to help by ex-
tra sales pressure on cotton goods in order to relieve
cotton surplus. Cooperative effort of this kind will,
we are sure, help the farmer, the cotton industry, and
our customers as well. You can count on us to follow
through on any plan that develops out of meeting."
INTENSIVE CAMPAIGN BEING PLANNED
Since the Atlanta conference, plans for an intensive campaign to
promote increased cotton goods sales have actively gone forward.
To the long-established, nationally-known mercantile institutions
that are participating therein, the National Cotton Promotional Campaign
means a sincere, wholehearted effort to attempt to sell more cotton goods
and allied cotton products.
Via forceful window and ledge displays
...
by institutional messages
and
advertising ... by word of mouth ... by enthusiastic sales effort on
the part of sales clerks ... participating stores are planning ... shoul-
der-to-shoulder" among themselves and with others cooperating in the cam-
paign to concentrate on the job of increasing the sale of cotton goods
and allied cotton products during the campaign period.
13
- 9 -
While it is, naturally, recognized that these stores, in concert
with food, drug and shoe chain participants ... and with their cotton
cooperative and other campaign associates ... cannot totally move the
prodigious cotton surplus with which growers are now saddled, they are,
at the same time, earnestly intent, via promotion, to do their utmost
to increase the sales of their cotton goods and allied cotton products
not only to their own profit but, likewise, to the benefit of King Cot-
ton and his related interests.
mg
3/28/38
?
14
April 1, 1938
Berle
MEMORANDUM
I
Last night Mr. Wayne Taylor, Assistant Secretary
of the Treasury, Mr. Ronald Ransom, Acting Chairman of
the Federal Reserve Board, and I met at Mr. Taylor's
house to consider the existing financial situation.
Among other factors, we had in mind (1) the present
levels of production; (2) the relative absence of new
capital financing; (3) the dropping of the stock market;
(4) the fact that the Government bond market had recently
required some support from the Federal Reserve; (5) the
existing number of the unemployed and the need for relief.
It was generally agreed that the difficulties were
as much moral as economic. Nevertheless, there seemed
enough chance that the trend would continue to make it
urgent that a program be evolved.
II
It was suggested, as an immediate program, that the
following might be scheduled for prompt initiation. It
was assumed that the Glass Bill, extending the loaning
powers of the R.F.C., would be passed within a few days.
In such case, it was thought that the immediate situation
would
15
-2-
would be stabilized if -
(a) The public works program were reopened;
(b) A railway equipment corporation were formed
to order, finance and provide railway equipment
to railroads needing it;
(c) The making of capital loans for business, with
special attention to planned employment and
construction;
(d) The extension of loans for housing construction,
with special emphasis on middle class housing;
(e) The reserve requirements, raised last May, might
now be reduced. In the alternative, further de-
sterilization of gold might be considered. This
last would be more psychological than actual,
since there 18 no present lack of excess bank
reserves.
(f) Adequate W.P.A. and relief appropriations would
have to be asked. This requires legislation;
but it appears essential.
III
In view of the actual situation, the tactics are
important. They might include:
(a) An appropriate speech, presumably on the 00-
casion of the passing of the Glass Act, out-
lining the program;
(b) Some forty-eight hours later, the announcement
of some dramatic public works job;
(c) Shortly after that, & campaign to form production
committees to stimulate private construction
financed, if necessary, under the Glass Bill.
In that connection organized labor ought to
be asked to assist, and ought to be made aware
that-labor groups are also responsible for
creating production, as well as for making
demands. In other words, make local labor
leaders actually share in the process of putting
the job through.
(d)
16
(d) A day or two after that announcement, announce,
if possible, some big piece of private con-
struction or of railway equipment contracts,
or both.
(e) If possible push the negotiations between P.W.A.
-TVA?
and Commonwealth and Southern. It would be
desirable if some other negotiator than Wilkie
8ng.177
could be found.
IV
Three points ought to be recognized:
(a) Practically no business group in the country
has escaped investigation or other attack
in the last five years. Irrespective of
their deserts, the result has been shattered
morale. We have not, in the absence of a
large Government ownership program, any class
or group to whom we may turn for economic
leadership. It 18, therefore, necessary to
make that group pull itself together.
(b) There are some remote indications (notably
in steel) of an upturn. If, therefore, we
can weather the next sixty or ninety days,
normal processes very well may "take us out".
The next fewweeks, however, may determine
whether these processes can be set in motion.
(c) It was noted as possible that the railroad bill
might be 80 handled as to provide at least
the hope that railroads would do better.
Since the next Presidential message scheduled has
to do with monopoly and, (possibly), bank holding
companies, it might be well to have that message so
handled as to lead into a program of this kind.
17
Friday
April 1, 1938
11:55 a.m.
Archie
Lochhead:
Yes, sir.
HMJr:
What's new?
L:
Well, at the opening the stock market came back
and is up two and a half points.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
Since that time they've shaded off slightly I
understand.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
But it was a pretty active opening and pretty well
on the up side.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
The commodities also came back point thirty-eight,
so that brings them up to fifty point-O-four again.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
At the opening the Government bonds managed to work
back a little bit better - about one to two better.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
But just as I come in here just now they say that
they're off about to last night's close again.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
But there's no - they seem to be fairly steady there;
they've gone off our quotes but nothing on the - no
offers yet.
HMJr:
How much are industrials up?
L:
The industrials are up two point fifty-eight.
HMJr:
Good.
L:
That brings them up to 101.63 again.
HMJr:
Good.
18
-2-
L:
The foreign exchanges are quiet. Francs are quite
strong, but more or less on a limited weekend market.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
The - we have - I find car-loadings increased;
I just had this over the Dow-Jones, car-loadings
increased thirty-two million - ah - thirty-two
thousand six hundred and twenty cars.
HMJr:
Did they?
L:
Yes. That's loadings of revenue freight.
HMJr:
What's that?
L:
Loadings of revenue freight.
HMJr:
Well, when you send me the telegram tonight.
L:
Yes.
HMJr:
...have Haas give you the forecast on the Times
index.
L:
Ah - forecast on Times index, yes.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
All right. Now then, I'm sorry to say that Harris
has just brought in a note saying that the System
has purchased now seven million dollars - with the
bonds at last night's level.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
So apparently they've stepped right in at last night's
levels and not let them go under that.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
Secondly, we now own some Spanish silver.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
The Spanish Ambassador came in at half past eleven
and had a telegram accepting the bid for five million
ounces.
HMJr:
Yes.
19
-3-
L:
And - they just simply said they've accepted it
and they will send it in accordance with the condi-
tions.
HMJr:
Well now, when do we give them a price?- oh, when
it arrives, I guess?
L:
No, we gave them the price on the bid. You see,
the price - you see, we make the bid - we have to
make the bid abroad; the price of forty-three was
given to them.
HMJr:
Oh, I see.
L:
So that's set on that.
HMJr:
Oh, you give them the price when
...
L:
When the bid is made, you see.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
And then we only pay for it when it arrives.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
Ah - the London silver market was a little bit
better today; they've worked it up to forty-two
and half cents, which is practically parity with
ours.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
Not so - not very much activity there; there was
one lot of a hundred thousand offered which we didn't
pay any attention to.
HMJr:
Does anybody in the group think we ought to raise it?
L:
No, there's nobody feels that we should raise it at
all yet, because they're not bidding, as I say, they
offered at the parity and the only point is there's
certainly no reason for lowering it this morning.
HMJr:
No, just leave it as it is.
L:
Leave it as it is. Well, that's all on the market
here just now. Mr. Taylor is here./ By the way, Mr.
Bell is also here if you wish to (And) speak to him.
Dan says he has nothing in particular. Just a second.
20
-4-
HMJr:
How are his tax figures?
(Short pause)
Wayne
Taylor:
He - Dan says he'll get them before you get off
the telephone.
HMJr:
All right.
T:
Ah - did Archie give you the last news on the
bonds?
HMJr:
Well, he said somebody just bought seven million.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I see.
T:
They've turned - they're about at last night's
levels now.
HMJr:
Now, Wayne, I don't expect to call up again before
Monday.
T:
Good boy.
HMJr:
And so - if you fellows want me it's up to you to
call me.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
And - ah - so, you people ought to be able to get
in some golf tomorrow.
T:
Ah - I hope SO.
HMJr:
How is the weather anyway?
T:
Oh, it's a little on the gray side.
HMJr:
I see.
Well, it's been a difficult week and I
think we've come through remarkably well.
T:
Well, the papers are still holding together.
HMJr:
Yes.
Well, don't hesitate, Wayne, if it's
something important.
T:
No. I won't for a minute. But I won't bother
you unless it's something that you ought to know
about.
21
-5-
HMJr:
I mean I'd feel much better if I knew if it's
important that you'd call me.
T:
Don't worry about that; we will.
HMJr:
And - has White got anything to throw on the
horizon or in the pot?
T:
Harry says he has available a brief memorandum
on the Mexican situation if you'd like to have it.
HMJr:
All right. Shoot it down.
T:
All right. He'll send it down.
HMJr:
Are they making any headway on Mexico?
T:
No.
HMJr:
They're not?
T:
In fact, the opposite.
HMJr:
I see. Are those Mexican boys from the Treasury still up?
T:
No. They - they were merely the advance party stooges
anyhow, so there's no great loss. Tax receipts -
seven one eight four.
HMJr:
Seven one eight - seven hundred and eighteen million?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
And what was the expectation?
T:
Seven forty-six. Yes.
HMJr:
Well, that's through.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
Is that through the thirty-first?
T:
That's right.
HMJr:
Well, somebody owes you and me a nickel, doesn't he?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
All right.
-6-
22
T:
I suppose Archie will have to wait to collect that
until you get back.
HMJr:
And you too.
T:
That's right. And - as a matter of fact we're
both sorry to win it.
HMJr:
Is Dan there?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I want to ask him something.
Dan
Bell:
Hello.
HMJr:
Dan.
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
I wish you'd have somebody in the Budget get to-
gether the figures for nine months on the money
that we've spent out of pocket other than the
regular Government expenditures, I mean, anything
which would come under relief or public works.
B:
You mean outside of the regular operating?
HMJr:
Yes.
B:
Yes, sure.
HMJr:
And how much money we've loaned.
B:
All right.
HMJr:
And then compare it with the nine months of the
previous year.'
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
I'd like to just see how much - how the figures com-
pare, because they keep talking all the time that we're
not spending any money. Well, we're spending plenty.
B:
Yes, we're spending a lot of money.
HMJr:
We're spending a lot of dough.
B:
(Laughs)
Wayne says don't worry. (Laughs)
23
-7-
HMJr:
Don't worry what?
B:
Well, I think your remark indicated that you
expect something to happen.
HMJr:
How does he mean?
may
B:
We/still spend.
HMJr:
Well, the point is - of all this talk is
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
....
because we're not
spending enough.
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
Well, it's perfectly silly.
B:
Well, WPA is almost up to last year, I mean, in
monthly figures; they're getting up now to about
a hundred and thirty-eight million or forty.
HMJr:
-
a memorandum on the nine month situation,
will you?
B:
Yes.
Well, that'll be a little lower on probably
relief and public works.
HMJr:
Well, let's just take a look at the nine months.
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
And compare it with, oh, the last couple of years.
B:
Yes. Well, I'd better give you the last month or
two - March separately because I think you'll find
March increasing considerably over say, November.
HMJr:
Well, what - my objective is I'd like to take a
look at just what we are doing because I'm getting
so fed up on these - everybody saying that the
trouble is we're not spending enough.
B:
Yes. All right, I'll work it out.
HMJr:
Now, if the total expenditures, counting everything
are/the same or a little ahead of last year
about
-8-
24
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
What?
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
Will you count everything? Dan?
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
That's right.
B:
Yes. Well, let me - I'll check them up and classify.
HMJr:
If you count everything we've spent more money this
nine months than we did last, if you count everything.
B:
Well, you're counting the transfers to trust accounts
also?
HMJr:
Everything.
B:
That's right.
HMJr:
Yes.
B:
All right.
HMJr:
And - and listen, young fellow...
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
If you don't take off a few days, I'm going to send...
B:
I'm listening.
HMJr:
...the Coast Guard after you.
B:
(Laughs) All right. (Laughing) A boat?
HMJr:
What?
B:
A boat?
HMJr:
Probably.
B:
A
(Laughs) All right.
HMJr:
No, you're - I mean, the President is going to be
back and
....
25
-9-
B:
Yes, I know he is.
HMJr:
I think you ought to go home now and not show up for
a couple of days - three or four days.
B:
Well, I'll stay home tomorrow.
HMJr:
That's wonderful.
B:
0. K.
Anybody else?
HMJr:
No, just tell Archie to send me a wire today and
tomorrow after the market closes - send it Western
Union.
B:
Western Union?
HMJr:
Because they've got an office here and Postal doesn't.
B:
All right. I certainly will.
HMJr:
And - I hope everybody has a good weekend.
B:
Fine. Thank you. I hope you have one too.
HMJr:
I think the Treasury held up its own this week; I'm
quite proud of it.
B:
Well, that's fine.
Archie did a good job too.
HMJr:
What?
B:
Archie did a good job.
HMJr:
I think SO.
B:
All right.
HMJr:
All right.
B:
Goodbye.
HMJr:
Has anybody else got anything?
B:
No one has anything else.
HMJr:
0. K.
B:
Goodbye.
26
-10-
HMJr:
Hello.
B:
Yes.
HMJr:
Is Mr. Blum still Premier?
B:
(Laughs) An hour ago they said that he was still
on. (Laughs)
HMJr:
All right.
B:
(Laughs) All right. Goodbye.
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
AM27
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 1, 1938
TO
Secretary Morgenthau
FROM
Mr. White
Subject: The Mexican Situation
Conclusion:
The elements for serious political and economic disinte-
gration in Mexico definitely exist but as yet she is a very
long way from the brink of economic chaos. Whether un-
employment and cost of living in Mexico will rise 80
rapidly and 80 persistently as to create serious disorders
depends in part at least on the extent to which foreign
governments make the situation more difficult for Mexico
or less difficult for her.
If Mexico can pull out of this crisis without great depen-
dence upon fascist countries there is every reason to ex-
pect that she can and will make substantial annual payments
to the foreign oil companies during the next decade and --
what is more important -- in time constitute a prosperous
and democratic neighbor whose commercial and political re-
lations with the United States should steadily improve.
It seems, therefore, that the United States Government and
the American oil companies have everything to gain by help-
ing Mexico at this crucial period to get on her feet; and
much to lose by continued and intensified pressure for cash
payments or return to the oil companies of their oil proper-
ties. The latter tactics can result only in driving Mexico
to seek assistance elsewhere and/or into political and ,
economic chaos.
(Neither Mr. Taylor nor Mr. Lochhead have seen this
memorandum. I do not know, therefore, whether ideas
expressed herein would receive their approval.)
28
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 1, 1938
TO
Secretary Morgenthau
FROM
Mr. White
Subject: The Mexican Situation
THE SITUATION IN MEXICO IS BAD, BUT BY NO MEANS HOPELESS.
1. The crisis in Mexico has sharply increased unemployment.
A large percentage of the oil wells and refinery plants
have ceased operations and thousands of oil workers have
been thrown out of employment. Silver output has been cut
in half (chiefly as a consequence of the labor trouble with
the American Smelting and Refining Company), adding several
thousand to the unemployed.
Government expenditures on public works and material are
being drastically curtailed. Foreign manufacturing concerns
have almost ceased operations. It 1s virtually impossible
for business or farmers to obtain any credit from the banks.
Wholesalers have stopped selling on credit and their busi-
ness has consequently sharply declined.
These causes of unemployment are for the most part an ac-
companiment of the acute situation now prevailing. Unless
an internal political crisis develops -- which seems unlikely
at the moment -- a gradual improvement from the present low
level is to be expected.
2. The Government is in financial difficulty.
Government revenue 18 falling and expenditures probably are
exceeding current revenues by some 10 to 15 million pesos a
month. To meet this deficit the Mexican Government will
have to resort to the printing press (via loans from the
Bank of Mexico), raise the money through domestic loans, or
consummate an oil deal with foreign interests involving an
immediate payment. The chances are that Mexico will resort
to all three methods.
29
Secretary Morgenthau - 2
She will be able to raise some money at home through an
issue of bonds. There is also room for judicious use of
the printing press. It 18 true that confidence in the
future of the peso is declining. Prices of staple foods
are rising rapidly -- they have already risen over 20 per-
cent in the last two weeks -- and hoarding of silver coins
has greatly increased. Nevertheless, the Government should
be easily able to borrow from the Bank of Mexico 5 to 10
million pesos a month during the next few months without
bringing about anything approaching a runaway inflation or
a collapse of the peso.
The likelihood that Mexico will be able to consummate an
oil deal with foreign interests, giving her an immediate
large sum, is fair. In favor of a successful consummation
of a deal is the willingness of the Mexican Government to
cut her prices drastically, if necessary to get cash.
3. Mexico's metallic reserves are rapidly disappearing.
There is a substantial internal drain of silver. People
fearing inflation are turning in their peso certificates
and demanding silver coins. (If the peso should drop to
17 cents the silver in the coins will be worth more than
the monetary value of the coin). There 18 also a persis-
tent though small outflow of capital.
The drain on Mexico's metallic reserves, both for hoarding
and for supplying foreign exchange, has been 80 heavy that
it 18 rumored they have lost more than half their metallic
reserves in the last month. Unless the internal and ex-
ternal drain greatly slow down Mexico will have to suspend
specie (silver) payments and impose strict exchange control.
Neither step will in any sense be catastrophic. Mexico
can continue to operate more satisfactorily without metallic
reserves but with exchange controls than she is doing now.
4. Peso exchange is dropping.
Pesos are quoted at around 22 cents (though it 18 reported
that sales were made at much lower than that on the Black
market). The exchange situation is, however, far from a
runaway depreciation. The pressure on peso exchange is not
at all great considering events in Mexico. The situation
has been helped by several developments: imports have been
sharply reduced by high tariffs and will be still further
discouraged by the 20 percent increase in the cost of for-
eign currency; flights of capital have been almost exhausted;
30
Secretary Morgenthau - 3
and the demand for foreign exchange arising from the desire
of oil companies and their foreign employees to keep as
much of their cash as possible in foreign countries in dol-
lars and sterling will be checked. Altogether it is entirely
feasible for Mexico to keep the peso exchange -- during the
near future at least -- at 20 cents or above.
The one serious threat to Mexico's exchange position lies
in the possibility of serious political disturbances and
labor revolts.
5. Unrestrained inflation in Mexico is not imminent.
The Mexican Government can substantially increase its ex-
penditures via the printing press without creating a break-
down in her monetary system. It 1s true that the Mexican
people are suspicious of paper issues and that as a conse-
quence Government resort to the printing press is likely
to have a greater effect on prices than might otherwise be
the case. Notwithstanding that fact, a judicious use of
the printing press not only can help solve the Government's
immediate financial problem but can help materially to turn
the trend of business conditions in Mexico from a recession
to an upswing.
It must be remembered that the Mexican foreign bonds are
already in default and that her domestic held bonds, with
the exception of her road bonds, are likewise in default.
Therefore, her credit can hardly get worse. Mexico is not
in the position of France, for example, who must be careful
lest too great note issues will seriously "injure the credit"
of the Government.
6. Though serious, the Mexican oil situation does not appear
to present insuperable difficulties to Mexico.
Last year Mexico produced about 46 million barrels of oil,
a little more than half of which was exported. The domestic
market will, of course, be maintained and should prove an
important source of Government revenue as soon as the re-
fineries operate with reasonable efficiency. Though the
Mexican Government will at first have considerable technical
administrative trouble in their refineries and in their oil
fields, there 18 reason to believe that before many months
have passed they will be able to operate with sufficient
effectiveness to obtain more revenue (and particularly more
foreign exchange) from the oil industry than Mexico formerly
did.
31
Secretary Morgenthau - 4
Their most difficult problem now 1s to find export markets
and tankers for their surplus oil. Whether Mexico will soon
be able to market a substantial portion of the 2 million bar-
rels a month formerly exported is uncertain. Japan, Germany
and Italy among them import more than Mexico has to export,
and will doubtless be very eager to secure Mexican oil at
cut prices -- if they can get it.
7. Mexico can not make any substantial cash payment to
foreign oil companies at once, but should be able to later.
Mexico's total resources which she could convert into for-
eign exchange are almost nil, and her ability to raise very
large amounts of pesos in any way other than through the
printing press is very remote. If, however, Mexico is given
a chance to get on her feet, she should be able to make
substantial payments to the foreign oil companies during
the next decade.
Last year Mexico's export surplus was about $75 million. To
that sum may be added approximately $10 million of net income
from tourists. During the next decade, particularly if no
obstacles are placed in Mexico's path, there is reason to
believe that she can greatly increase both her favorable
balance of trade and revenue from tourists -- even if she
fails to attract large capital imports.
All of it, of course, is not available for payment to the
American and British oil companies because a substantial
portion belongs to foreign owners and foreign employees of
Mexican mines and industries who prefer to keep their profits
and savings outside of Mexico. Also, Mexico badly needs 1m-
ported machinery, equipment, etc. However, there would be
enough left 80 that a payment of from $25 to $50 million a
year to foreign holders of new or existing bonds is not at
all out of the question.
3/P/28
FPTA LODOLF EZON #:
US 2842 240.9
one KTOPS passes
KL*
32
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
HS
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 1, 1938
TO
Secretary Morgenthau
Mr. White Hbw
FROM
Subject: Trend in "International-Competitive-Position"
1. The "international-competitive-position of the United
States has been improving rather steadily since last summer
(improving, that is, from the point of view of our export-
ers, and of American producers for our domestic market).
By February the average of the various weighted indices,
measuring varying aspects of the international competitive
position, improved about 7 percent.
August 1937 102
December 1937 106
January 1938 108
February 1938 109
2. The trend has changed during the past few weeks due to
the weakening of numerous currencies. March will likely
show a decline in our index of 2 percent. A decline of
2 percent is a deflationary influence which, coming at this
unfortunate time, helps retard recovery. However, it is
only a minor factor in the business situation as yet, and
in no way warrants any corrective action.
3. The improvement - through February has contributed
substantially to the maintenance of our exports and to the
sharp decline in our imports. However, the fact that the
recession in foreign countries did not make its appearance
until the end of the year -- and has been only slight in
most countries during the first two months of 1938 -- has
been at least as important a contributory factor to our
sustained exports.
33
Secretary Morgenthau - 2
United States Exports
(Million $)
1936-1937
1937-1938
August
179
277
November
226
315
December
230
319
January
223
289
February
233
263
March
256
260 (Estimate based on reports
of first three weeks)
Preliminary figures for March indicate that the usual
seasonal increase in exports which takes place in March
will not occur.
4. Our imports, on the other hand, reflect both the re-
cession in the United States and our improving international
competitive position. Our imports for February were 40 per-
cent less than last February, and our March imports are
likely to be close to 50 percent less than last March. A
portion of that reduction must be allocated to the altered
agricultural situation in the United States, but the larger
part of it is due to the other factors mentioned.
United States Imports
(Million $)
1936-1937
1937-1938
August
193
246
November
196
223
December
245
209
January
240
171
February
278
163
March
307
160 (Estimate based on reports
of first three weeks)
34
REB
GRAY
London
Dated April 1, 1938
Rec'd 2:35 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
275yApril*1,. 6 p.m.
FOR TREASURY FROM BUTTERWORTH.
OnE. The British financial year closed last night
with a budget surplus of 28,785,428 pounds against a
deficit of 5,597,191 pounds in the budget 1936-37. This
figure naturally takes no account of the amount of
defense expenditure charged to loan account but this
amount is pounds 64,867,000 compared with pounds
80,000,000 authorized in the budget. HOWEVER, the
budget balance is struck after providing pounds
10,544,000 for debt redemptions; therefore allowing
for these two factors the financial year closed with
a true deficit of only pounds 25,537,320.
REVENUE which amounted to pounds 872,579,715
surpassed Estimate by pounds 9,480,000 due mainly to
the unexpectedly heavy inflow from income tax. Ordinary
Expenditure which amounted to pounds 843,794,287 was
pounds
35
REB
2-1/275, From London,Apr.1,6p.m.
pounds 19,054,000 below estimate due almost Entirely
to Economies in the operation of the Civil and Revonue
Departments.
The manner in which armament Expenditure progress-
ively increased during the year is noteworthy: first
quarter, pounds 46,000,000; second quarter, pounds
58,000,000; third quarter, pounds 68,000,000 and
fourth quarter, pounds 89,000,000.
The Chancellor of the Exchaquer is scheduled to
make his budget speech on April 26.
Two. This WEEK'S Bank of England return shows
active the note circulation at pounds 485,400,000
being pounds 5,900,000 over last WEEK. Month End
operations coupled with withdrawals of notes in connec-
tion with the approaching Easter holiday accounted for
increased demand for currency. Perticularly noteworthy
is the fact (SEE paragraph 5 of my 248 of March 25,
7 P. m.) that this decline in the reserve was Entire-
ly neutralized by additions to other securities,
Government securities alone being increased by pounds
5,700,000 and discounts and advances by pounds
2,100,000. The comparatively small fall of a million
pounds
3S
REB
3-#275, From London,Apr.1,6p.m.
pounds in bankers' balances at pounds 108,100,000
was thus merely due to a swing over of funds to public
and other deposits.
Three. Silver was fixed at 19 pence turned 1/8
easier after fixing. There is no information in
London that Mexico is yet selling forward in India.
Dollar market steady and small, franc dealings small
off one point.
KENNEDY
KLP
WWC
03V13039
8892
37
PARTIAL PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
FROM: American Embassy, Paris, France
DATE: April 1, 1938, 4 p.m.
NO.: 511
FROM COCHRAN.
With Cabinet meeting postponed until Monday to
study Blum's financial program and Parliamentary debate
thereon scheduled for Tuesday, Paris exchange market has
had a very dull day. Rate variations have been slight
compared with past few days and turnover small.
At four o'clock today I was told by the Bank of
France that absolutely nothing was done today by the
French control.
Rumania is now following Hungary's recent example
in making its Central Bank Governor, Constantinescu,
also Minister of Commerce and Industry.
WILSON.
BECEIAED
6821 i 89A
EA:LWW VRUSAGRT
CRASS
au
-
mt 38
PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
FROM: American Embassy, Paris, France
DATE: April 3, 1938, 5 p.m.
NO.: 526
FOR THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY.
FROM COCHRAN.
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL.
I refer to my telegram No. 404 of March fourteenth.
I called at Blum's house at noon today. He received
me alone.
He referred to Mr. Morgenthau's kind message to him
through me and said that mindful of that he now wished to
reciprocate to some extent by letting Mr. Morgenthau know
in strict confidence his financial proposals which are now
in the printer's hands. They will be studied Monday by
the Cabinet, submitted Monday evening to the Financial
Committee of the Chamber, and presumably the Chamber will
debate them Tuesday afternoon.
He said his plans will not include exchange control
although there will be certain provisions in that direc-
tion. First, a certain amount of voluntary self-discipline
in foreign exchange matters will be exacted. Second, a
strict watch over the transactions of private banks will
be exercised by the Bank of France.
He insisted that France cannot permit further decline
of her gold stock or indefinite depreciation of the franc
without interposing firm resistance through the Stabiliza-
tion
39
- 2 -
tion Fund. His plans, he said, will involve inflation.
If measures are not taken to break the vicious circle, this
creation of new means of payment is likely to result, as
it has resulted in the past two or three years, in the
new francs going into foreign exchange or gold. For this
reason he will apply the two checks which have been stated
above. In case they prove ineffective, the necessary next
step would be genuine exchange control.
He said that he would not avail himself of Mr. Morgen-
thau's kind initiative, although he highly appreciated it.
He is abiding strictly by the terms of the Tripartite
Agreement and his present plan does not involve exchange
control.
WILSON.
STATE
-
REGRIATS
EA: RL: LWW
From THE COLUMBIA BROADCASTING SYSTEM
8th Floor, Earle Building, Washington, D. C.
Metropolitan 3200
For Release Sunday, April 3, at 8:15 P.M., EST
SENATOR HARRISON DISCUSSES SENATE TAX BILL OVER COLUMBIA NETWORK.
(Following is a copy of an address by Senator Pat Harrison,
Democrat, of Mississippi, Chairman of the Senate Finance Committee,
over the Columbia Broadcasting System, Sunday, April 3, 1938, at 8:00
P.M., EST. Senator Harrison's topic was "The Revenue Measure and
Business. He spoke from the studios of WJSV, Columbia's station for
the nation's capital.)
0-0-o
Whatever may be the causes, or whether or not justified,
there is today a fear and a lack of confidence upon the part of
business, which manifests itself in increased unemployment, reduced
earnings, and a strike in investments. Some treatment - some remedy
must be applied.
There is no doubt that the general welfare of the country
is strengthened by certainty in a legislative and administrative
economic program. The Finance Committee, in modifying the House
revenue measure, has made every effort to make such changes in our
revenue structure as to simplify complicated provisions, encourage
business, increase employment, and at the same time to provide for
the Government the necessary revenue. I congratulate the members
of the Ways and Means Committee of the House for the admirable work
they performed in the formulation of the House proposal, and I am,
of course, indebted to the membership of my own Committee for the
splendid cooperation they have manifested in drafting the Senate
proposal. It is my hope that from the joint efforts of the two Houses
there will emerge a law that will be accepted by the country as a
"Business Recovery Act."
This legislation will be taken up in the Senate for con-
sideration during this week. We anticipate no prolonged discussion,
and expect its passage within a reasonably short time. I look for
no changes in the major provisions of the Senate bill on the floor
of the Senate, and confidently expect the Finance Committee's
recommendations to be approved.
In the brief time allotted to me tonight, it would be
impossible to discuss every detail of the Senate proposal: but the
philosophy of our bill is contained in the wise words expressed by
the Hon. Henry Morgenthau, the Secretary of the Treasury. in an
address before the Academy of Political Science in New York City
on November 10th, last year, when he said:
"The basic need today is to foster the full
application of the driving force of private capital. We
want to see capital go into the productive channels of
private industry. We want to see private business expand.
We believe that much of the remaining unemployment will
disappear as private capital funds are increasingly employed
in productive enterprises."
- 2 -
41
I am in hearty accord with those expressions. I thor-
oughly agree not only with the Secretary's philosophy, but with
his conclusions.
We have in the Senate Bill made it possible for the
business people of this country to make "full application of the
driving force of private capital." We have, through its liberal
provisions, given capital an opportunity to go into the productive
channels of private industry. We have opened the door for private
business to expand, because, with the Secretary of the Treasury,
we believe that as more capital goes into private industry, more
people can be employed, thereby increasing the purchasing power of
the country and relieving to that extent the necessity of the
Government's making appropriations for relief to the unemployed.
The Senate Finance Committee has eliminated the principle
of the undistributed profits tax, and has substituted a flat
corporate rate of 18%. This simple plan was in force and worked
well for many years, so that we are embarking upon no new and
untried method. We have made equitable allowances for corporations
with smaller incomes. A flat rate provision removes the uncer-
tainties, confusion and necessary cushions that must be provided
in any form of an undistributed profits tax.
We have strengthened that section of the present law
which imposes a penalty tax upon corporations improperly and
unreasonably accumulating surpluses for the purpose of permitting
their shareholders to avoid payment of surtax. We have, under
our bill, made it necessary for the corporation that unreasonably
accumulates surpluses to prove by a clear preponderance of evidence
that there was no purpose to avoid surtax.
The Senate Finance Committee, through its proposal, has
approved practically all of the House provisions eliminating many
of the nuisance taxes. In this respect we went as far as we could,
having due regard for the revenue to the Government.
The Finance Committee rejected the changes in the estate
and gift taxes. While the Committee was sympathetic with the
desire of the House for simplification, it did not feel that it
should retain this plan, in view of the opposition of many state
tax officials. It appears the change would have forced legisla-
tion by many states, and would affect their budgets.
There are many other changes in the revenue law, some
of which are administrative, and some of which are substantive.
I shall not discuss these; but to my mind, the most important
changes relate to the capital gains and loss provisions and to
the provisions for the orderly liquidation of personal holding
companies, utility companies, and corporations generally.
Our surtax structure, especially in the highest brackets,
goes beyond the point of diminishing returns. Because of the high
surtaxes, capital has become frozen, and business transactions have
slowed up. In the Senate proposal we have placed capital gnins
and loss provisions in a separate and distinct classification;
and on capital assets held for more than & year and a half, a 15%
maximum rate applies, without respect to other income of the
taxpayer. We have given corresponding relief to the small tax-
payer who is below the 15% bracket.
Gains from sales of capital assets held less than a
year and a half are treated as ordinary incomes. We have made
42
provision that capital losses on capital assets held less than
eighteen months can be carried forward for one year. Long
term capital net losses, that is, losses arising from the sale
of assets held over eighteen months, can be charged against
ordinary income, under limitations which are consistent with
the treatment of capital gains.
The advantages offered by the treatment of the Senate
proposal on long term capital gains extend such a forward and
liberal invitation to those whose securities have become frozen
as to give us every confident expectation that new investments
will be made, new industries started, existing plants enlarged,
and employment increased. In the future there will be little
justification for a citizen having capital to invest to feel
that the Government is restraining or hampering him in under-
taking legitimate investments, through the inhibitions of the
Federal tax law.
Almost as important as the capital gains section of
the Senate proposal is our treatment of the liquidation of
corporations. It has been variously estimated that in the
personal holding companies alone, securities to the amount of
from two to four billion dollars are frozen and will remain
so unless some liberal treatment is provided whereby the
shareholders can liquidate such companies without too heavy a
tax penalty. While we do not give any favored treatment to
the personal holding company that has built up large accumula-
tions, we do say to then, as well as all corporations, that
they can liquidate over a period of three years at the new
15% capital gains rates.
As to foreign personal holding companies owned by
American citizens, we give them one year in which to liquidate
at capital gains rates, so that this money may be brought back
into the United States and put to work.
In 1935 the Congress imposed a death sentence on
utility holding companies. At that time no provision was made
for the orderly liquidation and reorganization of these utility
institutions; and so, in the Senate proposal we have written
a carefully drafted provision, approved by the Securities and
Exchange Commission, wherein the provisions of the utility
holding company law may be carried out without imposing ex-
cessive and inequitable tax burdens upon the utility organi-
zations affected. In other words, under existing law the
Government orders the liquidation and reorganization of public
utilities, and at the same time exacts a heavy tax penalty
for carrying out such orders. The relief provision which we
propose will prevent this obvious injustice being done.
We have refrained from taking up many questions that
would become controversial and which are controversial, such
as the processing taxes, because, necessarily, that would lead
to a prolonged discussion, and we feel that this tax measure
should be enacted into law just as soon as possible. And so,
we have eliminated all questions of such controversial character
as to impede the progress of the tax bill, hoping that these
matters night come up at a future date in a bill designed for
that purpose.
43
-4-
It is my sincere belief that the question closest to
the heart of Congress today is to assist business. Through
sympathetic legislation we have helped labor; we have helped
the farmers, and through appropriations of billions of dollars,
we have tried to relieve the distress of the poor and unemployed
in this country. If the legislation enacted for them is to
succeed, then business must improve and become prosperous. The
welfare of one is dependent upon the welfare of the other.
Our people should, and I believe will look with hope to the
future. We provided loans for commercial and industrial
institutions. We rehabilitated our banking structure. We
restored to them immense funds of comparative liquid assets.
We have built up an immense gold reserve. We re-financed
and saved mortgaged farms and homes. We have undertaken to
break down foreign trade barriers. We have brought about lower
interest rates and lower power rates; and no war clouds, thank
God, are hanging over us.
The Senate revenue bill will further remove the
handicap of the American citizen in our future economic life:
and I know of no higher duty of men in public life at this
time than to adopt courageously policies that will dispel fear
and restore confidence. That is what the Finance Committee
is attempting to do. The stability and strength of our govern-
ment have been preserved through the unselfish and patriotic
cooperation of all American citizens. In every crisis - whether
in war or economic stress - that quality has been characteristic
of our people, and given to our country a proud and commanding
position among the nations of the world.
It must be so at this time. These are my thoughts, my
hopes and my prayers.
(END)
44
ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY
WASHINGTON
AM
April 4, 1938
Dear Henry:
I am enclosing a copy of the report
which I submitted today to the President,
a copy of Mr. Douglas' comments and a
copy of my covering letter.
Sincerely,
wayne
Hon. Henry Morgenthau, Jr.
The Cloister Hotel
Sea Island Beach, Georgia.
45
C
0
P
Y
April 4, 1938
Dear Mr. President:
In the absence of Secretary Morgenthau I am
enclosing the report of the Special Committee to study
emergency and long-term credit requirements of large
and small business enterprises. Messrs. Jones, Ransom,
Roosevelt and I concur in the recommendations as they
are presented; Mr. Douglas concurs in the recommenda-
tions but wishes to submit additional comments. I am
enclosing Mr. Douglas' comments.
The report was prepared with a view to your
making public the three specific actions taken by the
Committee if you feel that it is desirable to do SO.
The sub-committee to investigate new credit facilities
for small business enterprises will hold its first
meeting on Thursday, April 7, and the sub-committee
to investigate underwriting capital will meet when
Mr. Douglas returns to Washington.
Faithfully yours,
(Signed) Wayne C. Taylor
The President
Acting Secretary
The White House.
encl.
46
C
0
P
Y
April 4, 1938
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT:
Two meetings of the Special Committee appointed to study
emergency and long-term credit requirements of large and small
business enterprises have been held. The first meeting was held
in Secretary Morgenthau's office on Thirsday, March 24, at which
time a general discussion of the situation was undertaken. Among
those present were Secretary Morgenthau, Wayne C. Taylor, Jesse H.
Jones, William 0. Douglas, James Roosevelt and Ronald Ransom. The
second meeting was held on Thursday, March 31. Except for Secre-
tary Morgenthau, who was unable to attend, and Matthew S. Szymczak,
who was not present at the first meeting, the same people attended
both meetings. After an exchange of views, the following plan of
action was outlined:
1.
Immediate Credit Needs.
It was agreed that the Glass-Steagall bill, to expand the
authority of the RFC to extend credit to public bodies and
private enterprises, is highly desirable and should be enacted
into law and that through the enactment of this law ample credit
facilities would be again available on liberal terms to all
forms of established public and private enterprise. It was
emphasized that the availability of credit of this character
should be presented effectively to the general public, and that
it should be encouraged to avail itself of these facilities.
2. New Credit Facilities for Small Business.
Special consideration was given to the problem presented
by the long term capital needs of smaller business enterprises
which have not ready access to the general capital market. It
was agreed that whereas the passage of the Glass-Steagall bill
would adequately meet emergency requirements of this character,
further study should be devoted to this specialized problem and
that a sub-committee consisting of Messrs. Matthew S. Szymczak,
Chairman, William I. Myers and John H. Fahey, be appointed to
explore this field thoroughly with a view to recommending
permanent mechanism to fill this existing gap in our credit
facilities. The sub-committee was directed to analyze in
particular the experience of the Production Credit Associations,
47
- 2 -
National Farm Loan Associations, Credit Unions, Building and
Loan Associations and Federal Savings and Loan Associations,
as the committee felt that an adaptation of the cooperative
approach to this specialized problem offered the best
possibilities.
3. Underwriting Capital.
It was agreed that the existing organization of under-
writing facilities and the amount and character of available
underwriting capital required special study. A sub-committee,
consisting of Messrs. Wayne C. Taylor, Chairman, and William
0. Douglas, was appointed to investigate this problem and to
report to the full committee at & later date.
(Signed) Wayno C. Taylor
Acting Chairman.
C
0
48
P
Y
I concur in the recommendations; but submit the following
additional comments:
I. Immediate Credit Needs
The Glass-Steagall Bill, which expands the authority of the
R. F. C. to extend credit, should provide a. mechanism for more liberal
extension of credit to various forms of enterprise. It should be
recognized, however, that this Bill covers only one segment of the whole
field. There are additional areas which might be served more adequately
through liberalization in commercial bank practices and policies. This
would entail changes in practices of bank examiners as well as changes
in the investment rules governing national banks. The other area not
covered by the Glass-Steagall Bill is the broad field of long-term
capital in the form of junior or equity money.
II. New Credit Facilities for Small Business
While the Glass-Steagall Bill could meet some of the emergency
requirements of this character, it would not, in my opinion, meet all of
them adequately. Liberalization of banking practices mentioned above and
provision for credit facilities which would supply long-term equity money
seem necessary.
III. Underwriting Capital
The problem here is one of supplying adequate reservoirs of
capital to service the long-term requirements of legitimate business. So
far as the equity money field is concerned, the Glass-Steagall Bill admittedly
does not touch it at all, as it covers only loans, bonds, etc. Furthermore,
49
-2-
the problem is not merely one of strengthening present underwriting
facilities for the servicing of the needs of large business but of
making comparable facilities available to areas of business not pre-
sently serviced by our investment banking machinery. The latter
means primarily meeting the needs of small business and intermediate
size business for long-term capital junior money. It is difficult
to over-emphasize the need for supplying some mechanism for long-
term junior money, if legitimate business is to be given adequate
opportunity for sound growth and development. Junior money must be
adequately proportioned to senior money lest business be oppressively
ridden with fixed charges, as evidenced by the plight of railroads.
It may be seriously questioned whether our facilities will be adequate
to serve these legitimate needs of legitimate business, though the
Glass-Steagall Bill is enacted.
s/ Wm 0. Douglas
William 0. Douglas
April 2, 1938
50
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 4, 1938
TO
Secretary Mergenthau
FROM
Mr. Haas MA
Subject: The Business Situation, week ending April 2, 1938
During the week the spring rise in business activity made
further progress, but sentiment in the financial centers as
reflected in the stock market decline probably reached a new low
for the recession. Indications of an upturn in business have
appeared in steel orders and steel activity, probably the most
significant business barometer at this stage. The rise in steel
activity is particularly encouraging since it results from an
improvement in orders from miscellaneous sources, with the major
steel-consuming industries yet to come into the market. New
orders in various other industries have also shown a rising ten-
dency in recent weeks, and department store sales have held up
surprisingly well in comparison with the high levels of last
year.
The emphasis in the business picture this week has shifted
from the foreign background to the domestic foreground, where a
severe stock market decline resulting from heavy liquidation by
domestic investors has provided evidence of financial discour-
agement. The decline has not yet affected actual business,
though it has depressed business sentiment. The trend of new
orders over the next few weeks will indicate whether the dis-
couragement indicated by the stock market trend is likely to
spread from the financial centers into general business activity.
The stock market decline
While the stock market decline was precipitated by develop-
ments in Europe, and was preceded by weakness in the European
markets (See Chart 1), other factors have contributed to the
heavy liquidation from domestic sources this week which carried
prices to new lows at a time when foreign markets were holding
steady or rising. Chief among these factors, judging from vari-
ous market comments, 1s a feeling of discouragement over the
outlook for business later in the year. The uncertainty created
by recent European developments, added to the slowness of the
spring business improvement, was sufficient to initiate a selling
movement in the stock market, which increased its momentum as
margin selling became a weakening factor.
51
Secretary Morgenthau - 2
Although stock prices in recent months had been maintained
at levels that were obviously out of line with current earnings,
a general belief that the low earnings were temporary and that
profits would increase with a rising trend of business later in
the year appeared to justify those levels. The sudden change in
the European political outlook brought about by the German
invasion of Austria suddenly clouded the business horizon. The
weakening of foreign currencies, a downward trend of commodity
prices, together with uncertainty over the maintenance of busi-
ness levels abroad under the shadow of possible war, cast doubt
on the ability of business in this country to maintain a rising
trend during the summer and fall. While business improvement
recently has continued along seasonal lines, the slowness of the
improvement in some industries, particularly in automobile pro-
duction, was a disappointment to many.
These developments were sufficient to call into question
the recent stable levels of stock prices, and to start a general
selling movement. It is not possible to rationalize the entire
decline on this basis, of course, since technical conditions
within the market accelerated the decline once it got under way,
and may have carried it too far. A sharp rebound occurred at
the end of the week, initiated by some easing of the political
tension abroad. Whether or not this rally will be permanent,
however, will depend upon what developments occur hereafter to
create a greater feeling of optimism in the mind of the public.
For this reason, it would appear opportune at this juncture to
make public announcement of any additional phases of the
Administration's program involving immediate moves likely to
benefit business.
The current business trend
The New York Times business index for the week ended
March 26, seasonally adjusted, continued at the stable level of
recent weeks, with an increase of .8 point over the previous
figure. An upturn in carloadings, affected temporarily by the
recent freight rate increase, and a rise in steel ingot produc-
tion, were partly offset by declines in the seasonally adjusted
indexes for other series.
Looking over the current business statistics, the signifi-
cant fact seems to be that business is improving, even though it
is improving no faster than the normal seasonal amount. During
periods of severe business declines the usual seasonal adjust-
ments are of doubtful significance, the important fact being the
actual upturn in business operations, which tends to continue
once the decline has been halted and a rise gets under way.
52
Secretary Morgenthau - 3
In the case of automobile production, for example, the index
will show a decline on a seasonally adjusted basis this week be-
cause the increase in output to 57,500 units from 56,900 the
previous week was less than the normal seasonal increase. The
upturn now getting under way, however, seems likely to continue
beyond the time of the usual seasonal peak, which 1s reached
about the middle of April. The adjusted index after that date
would thus show an increase even though production remained un-
changed.
Improved sentiment in steel trade
This week has seen a noticeable improvement in sentiment in
the steel industry, with predictions current that a number of
important companies will operate in the black during the second
quarter. The improved sentiment 18 due to several encouraging
developments, an important one being the fact that new steel
orders have continued in good volume for the second successive
week. Orders of the U. S. Steel Corporation during the past
week, while slightly lower than in the previous week, were higher
than the present operating rate. Orders for the two weeks com-
bined indicate an operating rate of 40 per cent, while operations
of the corporation currently are at a 34 per cent rate.
Offering further encouragement is the fact that structural
steel inquiries are beginning to increase, with this week's
inquiries double those of the previous week. An increasing vol-
ume of steel orders for immediate shipment appears to indicate
that inventories are becoming depleted.
Considering the fact that the three industries which nor-
mally offer the main support to steel activity -- the automobile,
railroad, and construction industries -- have been practically
out of the market, the current rate of steel operations supported
almost entirely by miscellaneous orders is making a good showing.
An upturn in orders from any one of the three major consuming
industries could advance the steel rate materially. The automo-
bile industry is believed to offer greatest hope for an expansion
in steel buying during April.
The usual seasonal adjustments for steel operations are
believed to be of little significance at a time like this, when
wide cyclical movements completely overshadow the seasonal pat-
tern. With even a modest business recovery this year, the peak
of steel operations will probably occur in the fall rather than
in the spring, as it did in 1935 and 1936, when the peaks were
reached in November and October, respectively.
53
Secretary Morgenthau - 4
Department store sales
The movement of goods into consumption in recent weeks, as
indicated by the trend of department store sales, has been well
supported, considering that this year's comparisons are with the
very heavy pre-Easter sales at higher price levels in 1937.
Total sales of reporting stores in dollar values during the week
ending March 26, which was Easter week last year, were only
16.8 per cent below last year's figure. During the week ending
March 5 they had been 17.5 per cent below. Easter buying should
improve this year's comparison during the next two weeks.
Trends of new orders
New orders received by leading corporations during February,
as reported confidentially to the Treasury and shown in summary
form in Table 1, were somewhat lower than in January, due partly
to the fact that February has about 10 per cent fewer business
days. Taking this into account, the change in volume of orders
between the two months this year compared favorably for building
equipment with the trends in the two previous years, but compared
unfavorably for railroad equipment, electrical equipment and tex-
tiles. For steel products the trend was about equal to those in
the two previous years. In these comparisons it must be kept in
mind (1) that a rising business trend was in progress in 1936 and
1937, and (2) that the seasonal rise this year 1s slower in get-
ting under way.
During March, judging from weekly data, a seasonal improve-
ment has appeared in orders for steel products and building
materials. The trend of textile orders has been slightly unfavor-
able, and likewise the trend of orders for electrical equipment.
No March data are available from the railroad equipment companies.
A summary of the weekly trend of orders is given in Table 2.
The price situation
Commodity prices have declined somewhat this week, partly
in sympathy with weakness in our security markets and partly
because of the continuing pressure of world deflationary influ-
ences. The decline occurred despite a rise in the leading foreign
exchanges against the dollar, since the rise largely represented
a weakening of the dollar as a result of the stock market decline.
Rubber prices, which showed outstanding weakness, owed their
sharp drop largely to selling from European sources, reported as
representing speculative liquidation from Amsterdam. Wheat
prices, an exception to the general trend, held firm on a growing
scarcity of available export wheat in Canada, and a realization
that the United States holds the only large world stocks of wheat
available.
Chart 1
SECURITY PRICES IN U.K., FRANCE AND U.S.
5
AND FOREIGN TRADING IN AMERICAN STOCKS
1937
1938
DECEMBER
JANUARY
FEBRUARY
MARCH
APRIL
4
11
18
25
I
8
15
22
29
5
12
19
26
5
12
19
26
2
9
16
23
30
PER
PER
CENT
CENT
Government Bond Prices
DEC. 1937=100
U.K. 21% CONSOLS
104
104
U.S. 2% 1955-60
100
100
96
FRANCE If RENTES
96
92
92
108
106
Stock Prions
NEW YORK 30 INDUSTRIAL STOCKS
DEC. 1937 = 100
104
104
100
100
96
96
PARIS BOURSE
92
92
LONDON 56 INDUSTRIAL STOCKS
86
88
84
84
80
80
76
76
DECEMBER
JANUARY
FEBRUARY
MARCH
APRIL
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
MILLIONS
Purchases and Sales, U. 8. Stocks
MILLIONS
1.5
1.5
NET PURCHASES
#
1.0
1.0
.5
.5
o
o
.5
.5
1.0
1.0
NET SALES
1.5
1.5
2.0
2.0
4
II
18
25
-
8
15
22
29
5
12
19
26
5
12
19
26
2
9
16
23
30
DECEMBER
JANUARY
FEBRUARY
MARCH
APRIL
1937
1938
Office of the Secretary of the Treasury
P 159
- of - - -
Orders, Sales, or Shipments of Reporting Companies
(millions of dollars)
Year Jan. : : Feb. : March : April : May : June : July : Aug. : Sept. : Oct. : Nov. : Dèc. : Total
Building Equipment (3 companies)
1936
8.7
7.2
9.2
11.5
13.9
13.5
13.3
13.8
12.3
13.5
11.0
11.1
139.0
1937
11.6
10.8
13.4
16.6
15.1
14.4
14.0
15.1
13.3
12.0
9.8
7.6
153.7
1938
8.7
8.0
Electrical Equipment (2 companies)
1936
35.2
34.0
35.3
38.8
43.9
43.8
43.3
37.7
40.0
44.5
42.2
44.8
483.5
1937
55.5
56.6
68.6
73.8
52.5
53.0
50.3
44.7
42.7
41.5
39.7
32.6
611.5
1938
34.2
30.9p
Railroad Equipment (4 companies)
1936
5.5
12.9
7.3
10.9
12.4
8.6
13.2
6.2
6.5
6.3
29.3
28.0
147.1
1937
26.3
15.1
20.4
16.7
10.0
10.1
6.3
8.8
6.1
5.5
6.3
6.5
138.1
1938
7.1
5.7
Textiles (3 companies)
1936
11.5
16.3
8.4
8.4
10.7
14.0
12.0.
11.5
15.0
21.6
18.6
15.6
163.6
1937
19.9
24.0
20.7
9.7
5.5
5.0
5.2
8.4
7.5
9.5
5.5
7.4
128.3
1938
6.0
5.9
Total Excluding U. S. Steel
1936
70.3
82.6
78.1
89.1
96.8
96.3
93.4
80.1
86.0
96.7
110.7
112.7
1,092.8
1937 128.9 124.6 146.0 139.4 103.6 103.1 93.8 93.2 85.5 81.0 71.4 65.1 1,235.6
1938 70.2 66.1p
Total Including U. S. Steel
1936 109.3 113.2 124.3 132.5 137.5 148.0 148.2 123.2 134.8 154.8 158.1 221.6 1,705.5
1937 201.4 196.4 258.5 217.5 160.1 159.2 147.9 143.5 130.5 115.5 102.9 96.3 1,929.7
1938 97.6 91.9p
1/ Includes above groups and 2 additional companies.
Table 2
56
1938 Weekly Orders, Sales, or Shipments
of Reporting Companies
:
:
Total
:
:
:
:
Month
Week
Excluding
:
U.S. Steel
:
Total
:
:
U.S. Steel
:
(estimate)
:
Including
:
:
1
:
:
U.S. Steel
(millions of dollars)
January
1
7.02
4.73
11.75
2
8.27
5.02
13.29
3
8.90
6.66
15.56
4
10.02
9.17
19.19
5
10.18
5.66
15.84
February
1
8.50
7.48
15.98
2
9.50
6.42
15.92
3
8.85
5.55
14.40
4
8.13
5.61
13.74
March
1
8.27
6.66
14.93
2
9.12
6.66
15.78 P
3
9.23
8.58
17.81 P
4
9.76
7.71
17.47 p
1/
Includes the following companies: American
Radiator, Johns-Manville (estimate)
Sherwin-Williams, Air Reduction, Cannon
Mills, Pacific Mills (estimate), American
Woolen, General Electric.
57
April 4, 1938
9:19 a.m.
HMJR:
-
a good idea.
Wayne
Taylor:
Ah - read that over again - say that over again,
will you please.
HMJr:
I said, in view of this message I told the President
that I thought it would be a good idea to let Mr.
Blum know the pattern that we follow here on having
the banks voluntarily report every week and then
having the Federal Reserve supervise, you see?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
And - -60 that when he put this plan up to his
cabinet he could say that - "that all I'm really
doing is simply following the American plan."
Furthermore, if he is successful and then the
question is brought up and put up to the U. S.
Treasury, well now that the French have made this
move, doesn't that mean that outside of the
Tripartite Agreement that we could say, "Oh, no,
they're simply following the plan that we're using
ourselves." Well, the President's comment was,
"I think that's very smart." And he thought that
it would be fine if we got into Cochran's hands a
description of our plan and then let him give it to
Mr. Blum, see?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
Now, I'd like that done and I'd like that cable
gotten off at once to Cochran with careful instruc-
tions that he should explain to Mr. Blum just how
we do it here. See?
T:
All right.
HMJr:
Do you get the idea?
T:
Yes, I got it.
HMJr:
Because I doubt very much whether Mr. Blum knows how
we do it because after all when Sir Frederick Phillips
was over here he was amazed how much information we
got through this volunteer plan and he - if you
remember - Phillips said that we had much more
information about the transactions than they had in
their own market.
T:
Yes, I understand.
58
-2-
HMJr:
And I asked the President, I said, "It is still
your thought, isn't it, to do everything possible
to help the French?" And he said, "Absolutely".
And he said two or three times, he said, "I think
this is very smart."
So
T:
Well, we'll get up a cable along those lines.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Now, the full plan is out this morning on the broad
tape.
HMJr:
What's that?
T:
The full plan is out this morning on the broad tape.
HMJr:
That's good.
T:
Do you want me to read it to you?
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
In the bill the Government asked emergency power to:
(1) Revalorize the Bank of France gold reserve
at the franc's present parity, which would provide
twenty-four billion francs.
(2) Centralize all foreign exchange transactions
in the Bank of France to which proof would have to be
furnished in justification of foreign exchange re-
quirements.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Now, you see that's quite a bit stronger than the
plan that we have. It isn't what you might describe
as just voluntary reporting.
HMJr:
No. I see what you mean.
T:
Yes.
Well - Wait a minute.
HMJr:
Go ahead. Hello.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I'm listening.
T:
Archie was making a point that in our case why they
had to report and in this case they actually centralized
them there.
59
-3-
HMJr:
Well, here's the thought that I had: After all,
Blum may not get what he asked for, see?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
And if he had our plan on his hands - even if -
it might be a help and it might be of no use.
T:
Well, under the circumstances, I think that if we
do it on the basis of giving it to him for his
information
HMJr:
That's right.
T:
Why, it's perfectly all right, either way.
HMJr:
That's the way I figure.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I've had a chance to sleep on it and I feel so
strongly that he ought to do this. Now, if he can
do this in a sensible way and really be successful
at it it would help everybody.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
And therefore, I'm extremely anxious that we get
over our plan and I think it ought to be in two
sections: (1) The way we operate it now, and then
what - ah - the additional powers that we have.
it
T:
Well, we can do/this way, the way we first put it
in
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Which was a little more drastic.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
And then show it the way it operates now.
HMJr:
That's right. That's right.
T:
Just a minute.
HMJr:
Hello.
Hello.
- Taylor?
T:
Yes.
60
-4-
HMJr:
Any disagreement at your end?
T:
No.
HMJr:
If the boys have any
T:
Wait a minute.
HMJr:
..question - if they don't agree, I wish they'd
say something.
(Short pause)
HMJr:
Hello.
Hello.
T:
Archie and Harry White make the point that the
Federal Reserve may have already sent all those
orders over to the Bank of France and in that case
we can simply call Blum's attention to them -
Cochran can do it. But I think that's just a detail.
HMJr:
It's just a detail.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
The important thing is I want to get this - ah -
the fact that I send this via Cochran to Blum again
reassures him, see?
T:
I get it.
HMJr:
You get the idea?
T:
Oh, absolutely.
HMJr:
As a matter of fact we don't have to say this - but
he's no damn fool.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
He sent me a message yesterday and then I come back
and say, "This is the way we're doing it."
T:
Check.
HMJr:
Well, then he must say, "Well, after all, then I
guess they like it," because it would be pretty near
the same thing. And if his people - he isn't going
to get this through right away but he can say, "Well,
look what they're doing in the United States.'
61
-5-
T:
Well, I think if we simply send it to him for his
information.
HMJr:
That's all - I wouldn't - I don't - I didn't
suggest anything else.
T:
No. Why, we're perfectly safe there.
HMJr:
Wayne, try to get this thing off as soon as possible.
T:
We will.
HMJr:
And I'm going to call back again at noon.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
And I hope they get it off by then.
T:
Ah - we'll have it off by then.
HMJr:
And if there's any trouble over at the State Department
a bout it, let me know.
T:
Well, I don't see why there should be.
HMJr:
Well. But in the instructions should go that - with
this - that I'm instructing Cochran to see Blum again
and give him this for his information.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
As soon as possible. See?
T:
I've got it.
HMJr:
You didn't get that Cochran cable to the President,
did you?
T:
Yes, I did.
HMJr:
Oh, did you?
T:
I did.
HMJr:
What time?
E:
About quarter past seven.
HMJr:
Ha - that's funny. I talked to him at seven.
62
-6-
T:
Oh, well that's - ah - I didn't realize you were
going to call him that soon and I worked darn - had
a little difficulty getting him.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
It wasn't serious, and I thought that would be soon
enough.
HMJr:
Well, I figured out - I said, gosh, the cable must
be there and I happened to know that was a good time
to get him; you call him a little later and he's at
dinner. But it's all right.
T:
Well, I'm sorry about it. I just thought that you -
if you were going to call him it would be later in
the evening.
HMJr:
Yes. Well, that's all right. I figured it out on
my fingers that it - it must be there by then.
Now, ah - what else have you got? --- I have
nothing else. I'll call up about noon.
T:
All right. Ah - silver seems to be steady, and
unless something changes, why we thought we'd, ah,
use the same price.
HMJr:
And - ah - yeah, that's right. But, I, - I'd just
like to know when this cable gets off.
T:
All right. We'll go to work on that. Now we got -
want to talk to anybody else here?
HMJr:
Ah - not unless they want to talk to me. You might
tell Ransom that I'm simply delighted the way they
handled the thing last week.
T:
I will.
HMJr:
And - ah - I have nothing else. How's the weather?
T:
Ah - cold and clear.
HMJr:
I get you.
T:
Fairly clear. Ah - Marriner's back.
HMJr:
Good. Good.
T:
I heard you.
-7-
"
63
HMJr:
(Laughs) Is that better?
T:
(Laughing) Yeah.
HMJr:
All right.
T:
All right, Henry.
HMJr:
All right.
T:
Thanks.
Monday
64
April 4, 1938
11:56 a.m.
Wayne
Taylor:
From the Secretary of the Treasury.
HMJr:
Please.
T:
"I refer to your five twenty-six STOP In view
of new financial program and specific actions
recommended Secretary of Treasury wishes you to
see Blum and give to him full details of methods
employed by this Government in its supervision
of foreign exchange transactions STOP You should
explain to him that you are making this information
available to him at suggestion of Secretary
Morgenthau as latter feels that the methods of
supervision and reporting employed by this Govern-
ment might be of particular interest to the French
authorities who are struggling with new measures
contemplated by Blum's financial program STOP You
should emphasize in your presentation that Secretary
Morgenthau in order to assure Blum of this Govern-
ment's desire to continue close cooperation with the
Government of France wishes him to have this informa-
tion and that you are prepared to discuss with the
French technicians any aspects of our methods which
may need clarification STOP It is assumed that you
and French technicians have complete set of laws
regulations et cetera governing our purchases but
in order to insure complete presentation full text
of pertinent documents will be cabled to you later.
In addition copies of reporting forms et cetera will
be mailed to you END OF MESSAGE"
HMJr:
Well, that's - that's fine. Now, Wayne, that
message, plus the message that he sent me yesterday,
plus what's come out today on the broad tape, I want
that all put on the train - McReynolds knows how to
do it - on the train that leaves this evening and if
McReynolds will send me a telegram saying who has it
I'll send somebody to meet it tomorrow morning; -
because it takes two days for my mail to get down here.
T:
All right, we'll do that.
HMJr:
That, - -plus - - the one Cochran sent me yesterday,
plus what's on the broad tape today in regard to what
Blum proposes to do, you see? - McReynolds - I
think he gives it to the dining car steward on that
train tonight which gets into Thalman tomorrow morning.
But, whoever has it, Mac should send me a wire, you see?
Hello?
65
-2-
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
And then I'll send a man over to the train tomorrow
morning; I'll get it that way.
T:
Send a wire saying who he's giving it to?
HMJr:
Yes. And who has it.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
What train it's on.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
And then Mrs. Klotz can send down any mail from
the house with that package.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
Now, I put in a call for Cochran at twelve-thirty,
you see.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I'm going to give him a little personal background
on this.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
Now, this cable which is going to Cochran - ah -
has anybody at the State Department seen it?
T:
Yes. I've read it over the telephone to Feis...
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
And - ah - said that it would go like that. He had
no comments.
HMJr:
Well, now, I wish that you would explain this whole
thing as well to Sumner Welles.
T:
I'll do it.
HMJr:
I want Sumner Welles particularly to know what I'm
doing.
T:
I will do it.
66
-3-
HMJr:
And I have a particular reason. And he said
anything/this he would like to know it.
like
T:
I'll call him right away on it.
HMJr:
And when you call him say that I asked particularly
that he should know because I want him to watch it.
T:
Check.
HMJr:
And also that I'm doing it with the knowledge and the
hearty approval of the President.
T:
Check.
HMJr:
All right. Now, ah - anything on silver?
T:
Ah - quiet - forty-two seventeen in London.
HMJr:
All right.
T:
And we think no change.
HMJr:
All right. Government bonds?
T:
Government bonds are steady and quiet.
HMJr:
Uh huh.
And stocks and commodities?
T:
Ah - mixed; commodities off a little and common
stocks off a little.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Rails and Utilities up slightly.
HMJr:
Yes. Now, this is for Harry White; is he there?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
Can I talk to him a minute?
T:
Right.
Harry D.
White:
Hello.
HMJrs
Harry.
W:
Yes, sir.
67
-4-
HMJr:
In making a study of the present imports and
exports I wish you'd draw a comparison to the
fact that our exports are holding up at present
as compared to the time when the English devalued
up to the time that we devalued - the way we lost
our export market, see?
W:
I'll compare the two.
HMJr:
Do you get the idea?
W:
I do.
HMJr:
Now, after all, that depression we went through
during those two years, when the English had the
advantage of us on account of their difference in
their currency; that difference doesn't exist today
because we have a favorable position due to the
value of our dollar. Hello?
W:
Yes, I'm listening.
HMJr:
And, in writing your memo I want to include that.
And it's going to maybe make all the difference in
the world in recovery.
W:
I'll - I'll emphasize the comparison and draw
whatever significance
HMJr:
Do you get the idea?
W:
I do. Yes.
HMJr:
Well, I mean, that's something which hasn't been
pointed out and hasn't been evaluated.
W:
We'll include it.
HMJr:
I mean,- after all, we're holding our export markets
W:
That's right.
HMJr:
And we lost them during - four or five years ago.
W:
That's right.
HMJr:
And maybe, due to our favorable position of the
dollar
W:
In part.
-5-
-
68
HMJr:
What?
W:
In part.
HMJr:
I don't hear you.
W:
In part only.
HMJr:
Yes, but ...
W:
There are other reasons and we'll try to evaluate
them all.
HMJr:
Do you get it?
W:
Yes. I do.
HMJr:
All right. Now if Mrs. Klotz will go back to my
room
....
W:
Just one moment, Wayne Taylor would like to speak
with you first.
Wayne
Taylor:
Henry.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
I have reports from the three main people who were
at this meeting that you know about.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Jesse, Ransom and Bill Douglas.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
And they concurred in the report that I made.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Now, the idea is to get that over to eht President.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
And have him decide whether he wishes to release it
or not.
HMJr:
All right.
69
-6-
T:
It is in the form - in a form in which it could
be released. It was written from that standpoint.
HMJr:
O. K.
T:
And I will get that over to him today.
HMJr:
Well, and get me a copy tonight.
T:
I will.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
0. K.
HMJr:
Anything else?
T:
No.
HMJr:
How are you feeling?
T:
Oh, I feel fine.
HMJr:
Good.
T:
Ah - my day is a little shorter on account of -
I've talked to the Chairman (laughing) just before
this to some length.
HMJr:
All right.
T:
And he's feeling fine.
HMJr:
Good.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Goodbye.
HMJr:
Goodbye.
no
70
PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
FROM: American Embassy, Paris, France
DATE: April 4, 1938, 11 a.m.
NO.: 527
RUSH
FROM COCHRAN.
On Saturday the French control purchased in London
56,000 pounds of sterling. At eleven this morning when
I visited at the Bank of France the franc was firm and
the control had undertaken no operations.
Georges Boris of Blum's staff in the Finance Ministry
telephoned to Governor Fournier this morning and presented
an apology from Blum for not having seen Fournier during
the last few days. He had not been able to do 80 because
of pressure of receiving his political advisers in connec-
tion with the financial program he was working out. In
talking to Fournier, Boris let it be understood that Blum
did not for a moment believe that Parliament would pass
his measures. However, in his program he had incorporated
a fairly wide range of measures; he believes that any govern-
ment which may succeed him will inevitably have to adopt
some of these measures.
One specific measure to be included in the program
is that of the Government "annexing" foreign currency de-
posits in French banks. The Blum group had learned that
this had been developed by Bonnet with his adviser de
Boisanger, now the Bank of France's Under Governor, at
71
- 2 -
the time that Bonnet was Minister of Finance, but the
plan had never been brought forward. Therefore it will
be possible for Blum to state now that in his program he
is including steps conceived by his conservative predecessors
and later he may be able to charge that his own plans have
been adopted by his successors.
In strictest confidence I have been given to understand
that in Blum's program are included: partial revaloriza-
tion of the gold stocks of the Bank of France; further
credit to the State from the Bank of France of ten billion
francs; having a monopoly in foreign exchange dealings
vested in the Bank of France.
The foregoing information I believe is accurate, but
it should not be taken as final; late this evening or
tomorrow morning the whole program should appear in the
press.
WILSON.
03V13037
8801 D ЯЧА
VRUSATET
- - 1 -
EA: LWW
72
PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM BENT
TO: American Embassy, Paris, France
DATE: April 4, 1938, noon
NO.: 199
FROM SECRETARY MORGENTHAU.
FOR COCHRAN.
Reference is made to your telegram No. 526 of April 3.
The Secretary of the Treasury, in view of the new
financial program and specific actions, wants you to see
Mr. Blum and give to him the full details of this Govern-
ment's methods for supervising transactions in foreign
exchange. When you see Mr. Blum you should explain to him
that Secretary Morgenthau has suggested that you make this
information available to him, as Secretary Morgenthau feels
that this Government's methods of supervision and reporting
might be of particular interest to the French authorities
who are making a study of the new measures contemplated in
the financial program of Blum. In your presentation you
should emphasize that the Secretary of the Treasury wants
Mr. Blum to have this information in order to assure him
of this Government's desire to continue close cooperation
with the French Government; you should also emphasize that
you are prepared to discuss with the French technicians
any aspects of our methods which may need to be cleared up.
The Treasury is assuming that you and the French
technicians have a complete set of laws, regulations, et
cetera,
73
- 2 -
cetera, governing our practices. However, the Treasury is
cabling to you the full text of pertinent sections of
relevant documents in order to insure complete presentation;
in addition it is mailing to you copies of the documents
and of reporting forms, and so on.
HULL
03V13339
6891 2.29A
EA:LWW
80
JOHN of -
At
74
JR
GRAY
London
Dated April 4, 1938
Rec'd 1:50 p.m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
277, April 4, 6 p.m.
FOR TREASURY FROM BUTTERWORTH.
The announcement of Blum's budget balancing
proposals caused bear covering of franc positions and
the franc moved to 158-3/4. The French fund did not
intervene EVEN though the volume of dealings was small.
There is no (repeat no) Expectation that Blum's program
will bE passed into law and the fall of his Government
is taken for granted. His action is regarded here as a
shrewd political move from his own standpoint but one
which will probably hinder the formation of a truly
national government.
KENNEDY
RR:SMS
M
75
JR
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 4, 1938
Rec'd 2:17 p.m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
RUSH.
530, April 4, 5 p.m. (SECTION ONE)
FROM COCHRAN.
The financial program submitted by Blum and passed
by the Cabinet this noon and by the Council of Ministers
this afternoon contains a bill consisting of two articles.
The first article authorizes the Government to take, by
decree, up until July 1, 1938, the measures which it
considers necessary to meet the requirements of national
defense, to protect the gold reserves of the Bank of
France and to restore the finances and Economic conditions
of the nation. The second article provides that the
decrees taken under authority of the first article shall
bE submitted to Parliament for ratification during the
extraordinary session of 1938, and at the latest by
DECEMBER 31, 1938.
The bill is accompanied by a long explanatory
memorandum
76
-2- #530, April 4, 5 p.m. (SECTION ONE) from Paris.
memorandum which reviews the situation which the
Government faces and which SETS forth an outline
of the measures which the Government anticipates taking
if granted the authority requested.
WILSON
CSB
77
REB
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 4, 1938
Rec'd 2:24 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
RUSH
530, April 4, 5 p. m.
(SECTION TWO)
The introduction Estimates at two billion of
Poincare francs or 80 billion of current francs the
amount of capital which has bEEn Exported from France
from 1935 to date. To cover the needs of the Treasury
amounting to over 36 billion francs in EXCESS of
revenues for the calendar year 1938, it is stated that
there are two alternatives, borrowing or inflation.
International political conditions in March prevented a
long term loan issue. The market is still in such
condition that it appears desirous not to attempt for
some time to appeal thereto for long term lending.
DUE to drying up of bank deposits and private resources,
resort to the short term financial market is also ruled
out for the present. Therefore the Government is forced
to recommend inflationary measures but at the same time
suggests
78
REB
2-#530, From Paris, April 4, 5 p.m.
(SECTION TWO)
suggests cartain checks to prevent the newly created
means of payment from moving as in the past into gold
or foreign currencies.
I am not attempting to Enumerate all of the
financial and Economic measures suggested by the
Explanatory note, a summary of which is being cabled
by the press bureaus. I mention herewith only a fEw of
the outstanding points, particularly those of interest
in connection with the raising of funds for the
Treasury, the protection of the currency and the control
of credit with special reference to obligations assumed
under the tripartite agreement.
WILSON
CSB
MA
79
REB
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 4, 1938
REC'd 3:25 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
RUSH
530, April 4, 5 D. m. (SECTION THREE)
The Government rejects the idea of a forced or
semi-forced conversion of Government securities. Bearer
shares are to bE suppressed and substituted therefor a
new type of registered security with a view to avoiding
tax Evasion. Government funds shall bE subjected
hereafter to the taxes of transmission and transfer and
to the tax applied to interest on securities.
For a period of two years amortization is to bE
suspended on debts of the state, of public bodies and
of the railways. A special tax levy on capital is to
bE made, the proceeds to bE paid into the national
defense fund. To provide for the immediate maturities
of the Government, Parliament will bE asked to authorize
the Bank of France to give a new limited credit in the
amount justified by the urgent requirements (this shall
not EXCEED 10 billion francs). Contractors for
Government
80
REB
2-#530, From Paris,Apr.4,5 p.m.
(Sec. Three)
Government public works or for Government supplies may
draw drafts upon the Government departments which
will bE discounted by discounted spending private
credit Establishments and bE Eligible for rediscount
at the Bank of France. To permit a revival of sub-
scriptions to Treasury bills the Bank of France will
grant private banks advances on their foreign currency
holdings.
WILSON
CSB
81
REB
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 4, 1938
Rec'd 3:15 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
530, April 4, 5 p. m. (SECTION FOUR)
The Government proposes measures to increase the
volume of credit and to lower interest rates. The
Bank of France is charged with the responsibility of
supervising closely the placing into Effect of the
government's cheap money policy. It will demand con-
fidential reports from the bank of their monthly
situation as well as a statement of the credits which
they grant.
A new provisional revaluation of the gold stock
of the Bank of France is envisaged. The Government is
against permitting further diminution of this stock
because of its need for national defense. The basis of
revaluation which the Government Envisages approves
leaving to the franc a margin of variation sufficient
to permit it freely to find its normal level. The
profits from revaluation might bE applied to the rentes
fund. Whenever legal stabilization should take place
the
82
REB
2-#530, From Paris, Apr. 4, 5p. m.
(SEC. Four)
the profits would bE applied to reimbursing advances
from the Bank of France to the state. In the meantime
effort would bE made to raise the quotation of state
securities.
Stabilization fund alone has not been sufficient
to check the flight from the franc into gold and
foreign currencies. With a view to protecting the
currency affectively all foreign exchange operations
will bE centralized in the Bank of France which will
require the submission of documentary EVIDENCE of
legitimate requirements.
Paris Exchange market witnessed little trading
today. When above proposals became known after the
official session there was a pick up in business and
a strengthening of the franc, operators feeling that
Parliament will not give Blum authority to carry out
such measures as those envisaged. The market looks
therefore for an early fall of the Government.
(END 1 ESSAGE)
WILSON
CSB
83
REB
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 4, 1938
Rec'd 5:39 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
531, April 4, 6 p. m.
My 517, April 1, 6 p. m.
Blum's long-awaited financial program was
at last submitted to a meeting of the Cabinet this
morning and to a Council of Ministers this aftErnoon.
It takes the form of a lengthy preamble setting out
the Economic and financial problems facing the country
and giving the general lines of the program which the
Government proposes in order to deal with these
problems. Following the preamble is a brief bill
authorizing full powers to the Government to take
by decree up to July 1, 1938 any measures deemed in-
dispensable to meet the requirements of national
defense, to protect the gold reserves of the Bank of
France and to improve the finances and Economy of the
nation.
The Financial Committee of the Chamber is now
in SESSION to consider this program. The Committee
will
PL. 84
REB
2-#531, From Paris,Apr.4,6p.m.
will probably recess later to permit meetings of the
various political groups and then resume its session.
Certain provisions of the program (which are being
reported in detail by Cochran for the Treasury), such
as a capital levy, revaluation of the gold reserves
of the Bank of France and the granting of ten billions
additional advances by the Bank to the Treasury, are
certain to meet with great opposition from the Radical
Socialists. It is said that various Radical Socialist
members of the Finance Committee have already gone on
record as opposed to the program and it is possible
that the Committee may report the bill unfavorably.
Even if this should take place, however, it is not
believed that the Government will resign but that it
will in any case go before the Chamber of Deputies
tomorrow afternoon.
(END SECTION ONE)
WILSON
RGC
NPL
RU.
85
PARAPHRASE OF SECTION TWO, NO. 531 of April 4, from Paris
The decision which the Radical Socialists in the
Chamber will have to make will be difficult. They are
hostile to various provisions in Blum's program, but against
that is the responsibility they would incur by voting against
it and breaking up the Popular Front party. Certain reasons
of an electoral nature are doubtless no less important,
since it is said that reelection of some sixty Radical
Socialist deputies depends on Socialist support.
Should the Government get a favorable vote in the
Chamber, however, it seems almost certain that the program
will be voted down by the Senate.
Another item of interest is that broad increases in
customs duties are envisaged in the Government's program.
END MESSAGE.
WILSON
03V13038
AMA
TXENTIUMED
of
unal
EA: LWW
state 86
April 4, 1938
Dear Herbert:
I am enclosing the measage which I discussed
with you over the telephone. "Will you please see
that it is transmitted to Cochren immediately?
Sincerely,
(Signod) Wayne C. Taylor
Assistant Secretary
Honorable Herbert Feis
Office of the Secretary
Department of State
Washington, D. C.
By hand EM 11:05am 11. 05
87
April 4, 1938
FOR: COCHRAN
FROM: THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY
I refer to your 526 STOP In view of new financial program and
specific actions recommended Secretary of Treasury wishes you to see Blum
and give to his full details of methods employed by this Government in its
supervision of foreign exchange transactions STOP You should explain to
his that you are making this information available to him at suggestion
of Secretary Morgenthau as latter feels that the methods of supervision
and reporting employed by this Government might be of particular interest
to the French authorities who are studying the new measures contemplated
by Blum's financial program STOP You should emphasize in your presentation
that Secretary Morgenthau in order to assure Blue of this Covernment's
desire to continue close cooperation with the Government of France wishes
him to have this information and that you are prepared to discuss with the
French technicians any aspects of our methods which may need clarification
PARAGRAPH It is assumed that you and French techniciens have complete set
of laws regulations at cetera governing our practices but in order to
insure complete presentation full text of pertinent sections of relevant
documents are being cubled to you STOP In addition copies of the documents
and of reporting forms et cetara will be aniled to you
88
April 4, 1938
FOR:
COCHRAN
FROM:
THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY
I refer to your 526 STOP In view of new financial program and
specific actions recommended Secretary of Treasury wishes you to see Blum
and give to his full details of methods employed by this Government in its
supervision of foreign exchange transactions STOP You should explain to
him that you are making this information available to him at suggestion
of Secretary Morgenthau as latter feels that the methods of supervision
and reporting employed by this Government might be of particular interest
to the French authorities who are studying the new measures contemplated
by Blum's financial program STOP You should emphasize in your presentation
that Secretary Morgenthau in order to assure Blum of this Government's
desire to continue close cooperation with the Government of France wishes
him to have this information and that you are prepared to discuss with the
French technicians any aspects of our methods which may need clarification
PARAGRAPH It is assumed that you and French techniciens have complete set
of laws regulations et cetera governing our practices but in order to
insure complete presentation full text of pertinent sections of relevant
documents are being cabled to you STOP In addition copies of the documents
and of reporting forms et cetera will be mailed to you
89
There follow selections from some of the Executive Orders
and Regulations relating to regulation of foreign exchange
transactions which indicate the general pattern of control
over foreign exchange transactions. Other orders and reg-
ulations have been issued from time to time. A complete
set is being forwarded by mail. The regulations of November
are
12, 1934, Exhibit No. 5, Le still in force.
90
xhibit 1.
Executive Order of March 10, 1933 concerning the operation
of banks.
Paragraph 2. "The Secretary of the Treasury is authorised and
empowered under such regulations as he may prescribe
to permit any member bank of the Federal Reserve System
and any other banking institution organized under the
laws of the United States, to perform any or all of
their usual banking functions, except as otherwise pro-
hibited."
Paragraph 6. "No permission to any banking institution to perform
any banking functions shall authorize such institution
to pay out any gold coin, gold bullion or gold certi-
ficates except as authorized by the Secretary of the
Treasury, nor to allow withdrawal of any currency for
hoarding, nor to engage in any transaction in foreign
exchange except such as may be undertaken for legitimate
and normal business requirements, for reasonable travel-
ing and other personal requirements, and for the ful-
fillment of contracts entered into prior to March 6, 1933."
Paragraph 7. "Every Federal Reserve Bank is authorized and instructed
to keep itself currently informed as to transactions in
foreign exchange entered into or consummated within its
district and shall report to the Secretary of the Treasury
all transactions in foreign exchange which are prohibited."
91
Exhibit 3.
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Circular No. 1176,
March 12, 1933, Relating to Instructions for carrying
out transactions in foreign exchange.
Paragraph 3. "The Executive Order of March 10, 1933, prohibits all
transactions in foreign exchange ### except such
transactions as may be undertaken
(a) for legitimate and normal business requirements,
(b) for reasonable traveling and other personal
requirements, and
(c) for the fulfillment of contracts entered into
prior to March 6, 1933.
Paragraph 4. "In order that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York may
keep itself currently informed as to transactions in
foreign exchange entered into or consummated within
the Second Federal Reserve District and may report
to the Secretary of the Treasury all transactions
in foreign exchange which are prohibited, the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York hereby requires dealers**
in foreign exchange doing business in the Second
Federal Reserve District
(1) to obtain from each person# to whom they sell
foreign exchange directly or indirectly, a written
declaration signed by such person describing the
purpose for which the foreign exchange is pur-
chased and certifying that the transaction in
no way contravenes the Act of March 9, 1933,
the Executive Order of March 10, 1933, or any
regulation issued thereunder,
and
(2) to file with the Federal Reserve Bank' of New
York written reports which will show the foreign
exchange position of such dealers at any given
time. For the present such reports are required
only from dealers who carry their own accounts
abroad and/or who carry accounts here on their
books for foreigners.
Paragraph 5. "The Executive Order of March 10, 1933, permite foreign
exchange transactions for the fulfillment of contracts
entered into prior to March 6, 1933. To enable the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York to examine such con-
tracts each dealer in foreign exchange doing business
92
Exhibit 3 - Page 2.
in the Second Federal Reserve District is directed
to forward to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
a detailed list of all foreign exchange contracts
entered into by him prior to March 6, 1933, for the
delivery of foreign exchange after that date. This
list should classify contracts by currencies and
should show the maturity of each contract. The dealers
should advise the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
in writing as such contracts are fulfilled."
"Pootnote: # The word "person" in these regulations means any individual,
partnership, association or corporation;
# A "dealer in foreign exchange" means any person engaged
primarily or incidentally in the business
(1) of buying, selling or dealing in foreign exchange, or
(2) of buying, selling or dealing in securities for
or through foreign correspondents, or
(3) any person who carries accounts or securities with
or for foreign correspondents.
### The term "foreign exchange" means checks, drafts, bills
of exchange, cable transfers, or any form of negotiable
or assignable instrument, or order used
(a) to transfer credit or to order the payment of
funds in any foreign country, or
(b) to transfer credit or to order the payment of
funds within the United States for foreign account."
93
Exhibit
Executive Order, August 28, 1933, Relating to the Hearding, Export,
and Earmarking of Gold coin, Bullion, or Currency and to Transactions
in Foreign Exchange. Revokes Executive Order April 20, 1933.
"Section 8. Until further order, the Secretary of the Treasury
is authorised, through any agency that he may designate, to
investigate, regulate, or prohibit, under such rules and regulations
as he may prescribe, by means of licenses or otherwise, any trans-
actions in foreign exchange, transfers of credit from any banking
institution within the United States to any foreign branch or office
of such banking institution or to any foreign bank or banker, and
the export or withdrawal of currency from the United States, by any
person within the United States; and the Secretary of the Treasury
may require any person engaged in any transaction referred to herein
to furnish under oath complete information relative thereto, including
the production of any books of account, contracts, letters, or other
papers, in connection therewith in the custody or control of such
person either before or after such transaction is completed."
94
Exhibit 6.
Executive Order January 15, 1934, regulating transactions
in foreign exchange, transfers of credit and the export of
coin and currency.
Section 1.
"Every transaction in foreign exchange, transfer of
credit between any banking institution within the
U ited States and any banking institution outside of
the United States (including any principal, agent,
home office, branch, or correspondent outside of the
United States of a banking institution within the
United States), and the export or withdrawal from the
United States of any currency or silver coin which is
legal tender in the United States, by any person within
the United States, is hereby prohi ited, except under
license therefor issued pursuant to this Executive
Order; provided, however, that, except as prohibited
under regulations prescribed by the Secretary of the
Treasury, foreign exchange transactions and transfers
of credit may be carried out without a license for
(a) normal commercial or business requirements, (b)
reasonable traveling and other personal requirements,
or (c) the fulfillment of legally enforceable obliga-
tions incurred prior to March 9, 1933."
Section 3.
"Licenses. The Secretary of the Treasury, acting directly
or through any agencies that he may designate, and the
Federal reserve banks acting in accordance with such rules
and regulations as the Secretary of the Treasury may from
time to time prescribe, are hereby designated as agencies
for the granting of licenses as hereinafter provided.
Licenses may be granted authorizing such transactions in
foreign exchange, transfers of credit and exports of cur-
rency (other than gold certificates) or silver coin in such
specific cases or classes of cases as the Secretary of
the Treasury may determine in regulations prescribed here-
under and rulings made pursuant thereto."
Section 4.
"Reports. The Federal reserve banks shall keep themselves
currently informed as to foreign exchange transactions
entered into or consummated, and transfers of credit made
between banking institutions outside of the continental
United States and banking institutions, in their districts,
and report to the Secretary of the Treasury all transac-
tions in foreign exchange and all such transfers of credit
not permitted under Sections 1 or 2 hereof which are of-
fected or attempted in their districts without a license."
95
Exhibit 6. (2)
Section 5.
"Regulations. The Secretary of the Treasury is author-
ised and empowered to prescribe from time to time regu-
lations to carry out the purposes of this Order, and to
provide in such regulations or by rulings made pursuant
thereto, the conditions under which licenses may be
granted by the Federal reserve banks and by such other
agencies as the Secretary of the Treasury may designate;
and the Secretary of the Treasury may require any person
engaged in any transaction, transfer, export, or with-
drawal referred to in this Executive Order to furnish
under oath complete information relative thereto, includ-
ing the production of any books of account, contracts,
letters, or other papers, in connection therewith in the
custody or control of such person either before or after
such transaction, transfer, export, or withdrawal is com-
pleted."
96
Treasury Regulation, November 12, 1934, Relating to Transactions
in Foreign Exchange, Transfers of Credit, and the Export of Coin
and Currency.
"Article 2. Licenses may be granted, and a general license is
hereby granted, to all individuals, partnerships, associations, and
corporations, authorising any and all transactions in foreign ex-
change, transfers of credit, and exports of currency (other than
gold certificates) and silver coin. The general license herein
granted authorises transactions to be carried out which are permitted
by the Executive Order of January 15, 1934 under license therefor
issued pursuant to such Executive Order; but does not authorise any
transaction to be carried out which, at the time, is prohibited by
any other order or by any law, ruling, or regulation.
If Article 3. In order that Federal reserve banks may keep them-
selves currently informed as to foreign exchange transactions and
transfers of credit, as required in Section 4 of the Executive Order
of January 15, 1934, every person engaging in any transaction,
transfer, export or withdrawal referred to in Section 1 of such
Executive Order shall furnish to the Federal Reserve bank of the
district in which such person has his principal place of business
in the United States complete information relative thereto upon
report forms prescribed by the Secretary of the Treasury, except
that reports are not required to be furnished by (1) persons not
carrying during any part of the reporting period, accounts abroad
or accounts in the United States for non-residents thereof, or
Re. 97
Exhibit 7 - page 2.
(2) persons whose aggregate transactions, transfers, exports, or
withdrawals for their own account and the account of others do not
exceed $5,000 during any seven-day period. Such information shall
be furnished on a weekly basis except as the respective Federal
Reserve banks permit the information in certain cases or classes
of cases to be furnished on the basis of longer intervals.
"These regulations and the general license herein granted may
be modified or revoked at any time."
98
Exhibit 6.
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Circular No. 1474,
November 13, 1934. Superseding Circular No. 1176 of
March 12, 1933. Relating to institutions engaging in
transactions in foreign exchange.
"Written Declarations No Longer Required"
"Weekly and Monthly Reports Required"
"Every person having his principal place of business in the United States
in the Second Federal Reserve District and engaging in any transaction,
transfer, export, or withdrawal referred to in Section 1 of the Executive
Order of January 19,1934, shall furnish to the Federal Reserve Bank of
New York complete information upon report forms to be prescribed by the
Secretary of the Treasury, relative to such transactions, transfers, exports
and withdrawals, as follows:
1. Banks and bankers are required to report weekly as of the
close of business each Wednesday night beginning December
5, 1934;
2. Prokers and dealers in securities are required to report
weekly as of the close of business each Wednesday night
beginning December 5, 1934; and
3. All other persons subject to the provisions of Article 3
of the above quoted regulations (such as, for example, cer-
tain exporters, importers and industrial companies doing
business abroad) are required to report monthly as of the
close of business of the last Wednesday in each month be-
ginning December 26, 1934;
except that reports are not required to be furnished by (1) persons not carry-
ing during any part of the reporting period, accounts abroad or accounts in
the United States for non-residents thereof, or (2) persons whose aggregate
transactions, transfers, exports, or withdrawals for their own account and
the account of others do not exceed $5,000 during any seven-day period.
"The transactions, transfers, exports, and withhdrawals referred to in Section
1 of the Executive Order of January 15, 1934, and hereby required to be reported
as above, include 'Every transaction in foreign exchange, transfer of credit
between any banking institution within the United States and any banking insti-
tution outside of the United States (including any principal, agent, home of-
fice, branch, or correspondent outside of the United States of a banking insti-
tution within the United States), and the export or withdrawal from the United
States of any currency or silver coin which is legal tender in the United States,
by any person within the United States'."
99
REB
TELEGRAM SENT
PLAIN & GRAY
April 4, 1938.
6 p. m.
AMEMBASSY
PARIS (FRANCE)
201
FOR COCHRAN FROM THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY.
There follow selections from SOME of the Executive
Orders and Regulations relating to regulation of foreign
Exchange transactions which indicate the general pattern
of control over foreign Exchange transactions. Other
orders and regulations have been issued from time to
time. A complete SET is being forwarded by mail. The
regulations of November 12, 1934, Exhibit No. 5, are
still in force.
t 1. Executive Order of March 10, 1933 concerning the opera-
tion of banks.
aragraph 2. "The Secretary of the Treasury is authorized and
Empowered under such regulations as hE may prescribe
to permit any member bank of the Federal RESERVE
System and any other banking institution organized
under the laws of the United States, to perform
any or all of their usual banking functions, EXCEPT
as otherwise prohibited."
Paragraph 6.
100
REB
2-#201, To Paris, Apr.4,6p.m.
Paragraph 6. "No permission to any banking institution to
perform any banking functions shall authorize
such institution to pay out any gold coin, gold
bullion or gold certificates EXCEPT as authorized
by the Secretary of the Treasury, nor to allow
withdrawal of any currency for hoarding, nor to
Engage in any transaction in foreign Exchange
EXCEPT such as may bE undertaken for legitimate
and normal business requirements, for reasonable
traveling and other personal requirements, and
for the fulfillment of contracts Entered into
prior to March 6, 1933.'
Paragraph 7. "Every Federal RESERVE Bank is authorized and
instructed to keep itself currently informed as
to transactions in foreign Exchange Entered into
or consummated within its district and shall
report to the Secretary of the Treasury all trans-
actions in foreign Exchange which are prohibited."
hibit 2. Federal RESERVE Bank of NEW York Circular No. 1176,
March 12, 1933, Relating to Instructions for carrying
out transactions in foreign Exchange.
Paragraph 3. "The Executive Order of March 10, 1933, prohibits
all transactions in foreign Exchange *** EXCEPT
such transactions as may bE undertaken
(a) for legitimate and normal business require-
ments,
(b) for reasonable traveling and other personal
requirements, and
(c) for the fulfillment of contracts Entered
into prior to March 6, 1933.
Paragraph 4. "In order that the Federal RESERVE Bank of NEW York
may keep itself currently informed as to transactions
in foreign Exchange Entered into or consummated with-
in the Second Federal RESERVE District and may report
to the Secretary of the Treasury all transactions
in foreign Exchange which are prohibited, the Feder-
al RESERVE Bank of NEW York hereby requires dealers
** in foreign Exchange doing business in thè
Second Federal RESERVE District
(1)
101
REB
3-#201, To Paris, Apr.4,6 p.m.
(1) to obtain from Each person* to whom they
SELL foreign Exchange directly or indirectly,
a written declaration signed by such person
describing the purpose for which the foreign
Exchange is purchased and certifying that the
transaction in no way contravenes the Act of
March 9, 1933, the Executive Order of March
10, 1933, or any regulation issued thereunder,
and
(2) to file with the Federal RESErVE Bank of
NEW York written reports which will show the
foreign Exchange position of such dealers at
any given time. For the present such reports
are required only from dealers who carry their
own accounts abroad and/or who carry accounts
here on their books for forsigners.
Paragraph 5. "The Executive Order of March 10, 1933, permits
foreign Exchange transactions for the fulfillment
of contracts Entered into prior to March 6, 1933.
To Enable the Federal RESERVE Bank of NEW York to
Examine such contracts each dealer in foreign
Exchange doing business in the Second Federal
RESERVE District is directed to forward to the
Federal RESERVE Bank of NEW York a detailed list
of all foreign Exchange contracts Entered into by
him prior to March 6, 1933, for the delivery of
fortign Exchange after that date. This list
should classify contracts by currencies and
should show the maturity of each contract. The
dealers should advise the Federal RESERVE Bank
of NEW York in writing as such contracts are
fulfilled."
Footnote: * The word "persons" in these regulations means any
individual, partnership, association or corporation;
** A "dealer in foreign Exchange" means any person En-
gaged primarily or incidentally in the business
(1) of buying, selling or dealing in foreign
Exchange, or
(2) of
102
REB
4-#201, To Paris,Apr.4,6p.m.
(2) of buying, selling or dealing in securities
for or through foreign correspondents, or
(3) any person who carries accounts or securities
with or for foreign correspondents.
**** The term "foreign Exchange" means checks, drafts,
bills of Exchange, cable transfers, or any form of
negotiable or assignable instrument, or order used
(a) to transfer credit or to order the payment of
funds in any foreign country, or
(b) to transfer credit or to order the payment of
funds within the United States for foreign
account."
Exhibit 3. Executive Order, August 28, 1933, Relating to the
Hoarding, Export, and Earmarking of Gold coin, Bullion,
or Currency and to Transactions in Foreign Exchange.
REVOKES Executive Order April 20, 1933.
"Section 8.
Until further order, the Secretary of the Treasury
is authorized, through any agency that hE may de-
signate, to investigate, regulate, or prohibit,
under such rules and regulations as hE may pre-
scribe, by means of licenses or otherwise, any
transactions in foreign Exchange, transfers of
credit from any banking institution within the
United States to any foreign branch or office
of such banking institution or to any foreign
bank or banker, and the export or withdrawal of
currency from the United States, by any person
within the United States; and the Secretary of the
Treasury may require any person engaged in any
transaction referred to herein to furnish under
oath complete information relative thereto, in-
cluding the production of any books of account,
contracts, letters, or other papers, in connec-
tion therewith in the custody or control of such
person either before or after such transaction
is completed."
Exhibit 4.
103
REB
5-#201, To Paris,Apr.4,6p.m.
xhibit 4. Executive Order January 15, 1934, regulating trans-
actions in foreign Exchange, transfers of credit and
the Export of coin and currency.
Section 1. "Every transaction in foreign Exchange, trans-
fer of credit between any banking institution
within the United States and any banking
institution outside of the United States
(including any principal, agent, home office,
branch, or correspondent outside of the United
States of a banking institution within the
United States), and the Export or withdrawal
from the United States of any currency or
silver coin which is legal tender in the United
States, by any person within the United States,
is hereby prohibited, EXCEPT under license
therefor issued pursuant to this Executive
Order; provided, however, that, EXCEPT as pro-
hibited under regulations prescribed by the
Secretary of the Treasury, foreign Exchange
transactions and transfers of credit may bE
carried out without a license for (a) normal
commercial or business requirements, (b)
reasonable traveling and other personal require-
ments, or (c) the fulfillment of legally Enforce-
able obligations incurred prior to March 9,
1933."
Section 3. "Licenses, The Secretary of the Treasury, acting
directly or through any agencies that hE may
designate, and the Federal reserve banks acting
in accordance with such rules and regulations as
the Secretary of the Treasury may from time to
time prescribe, are hereby designated as agencies
for the granting of licenses as hereinafter pro-
vided. Licenses may bE granted authorizing such
transactions in foreign Exchange, transfers of
credit and Exports of currency (other than gold
certificates) or silver coin in such specific
CASES or classes of cases as the Secretary of
the Treasury may determine in regulations pre-
scribed hereunder and rulings made pursuant
thereto."
Section 4.
104
REB
6-#201, To Paris,Apr.4,5p.m.
Section 4. "Reports. The Federal reserve banks shall
keep themselves currently informed as to foreign
Exchange transactions Entered into or consum-
mated, and transfers of credit made between
banking institutions outside of the continental
United States and banking institutions, in
their districts, and report to the Secretary
of the Treasury all transactions in fortign
Exchange and all such transfers of credit not
permitted under Sections 1 or 2 hereof which
are Effected or attempted in their districts
without a license."
Section 5. "Regulations. The Secretary of the Treasury
is authorized and Empowered to prescribe from
time to time regulations to carry out the pur-
poses of this Order, and to provide in such
regulations or by rulings made pursuant thereto,
the conditions under which licenses may bE
granted by the Federal reserve banks and by
such other agencies as the Secretary of the
Treasury may designate; and the Secretary of
the Treasury may require any person Engaged
in any transaction, transfer, Export, or
withdrawal referred to in this Executive Order
to furnish under oath complete information
relative thereto, including the production of
any books of account, contracts, letters, or
other papers, in connection therewith in the
custody or control of such person Either before
or after such transaction, transfer, Export,
or withdrawal is completed."
hibit 5.
Treasury Regulation, November 12, 1934, Relating to
Transactions in Foreign Exchange, Transfers of Credit,
and the Export of Coin and Currency.
"Article 2. Licenses may bE granted, and a general license
is hereby granted, to all individuals, partner-
ships, associations, and corporations, authoriz-
ing any and all transactions in foreign Exchange,
transfers of credit, and Exports of currency
(other than gold certificates) and silver coin.
The general license herein granted authorizes
transactions to bE carried out which are
permitted
105
REB
7-/201, To Paris, Apr.4,6p.m.
permitted by the Executive Order of January 15,
1934 under license therefor issued pursuant to
such Executive Order; but does not authorize any
transaction to bE carried out which, at the time,
is prohibited by any other order or by any law,
ruling, or regulation.
"Article 3. In order that Federal reserve banks may keep
themselves currently informed as to foreign
Exchange transactions and transfers of credit,
as required in Section 4 of the Executive Order
of January 15, 1934, Every person Engaging in
any transaction, transfer, Export or withdrawal
referred to in Section 1 of such Executive Order
shall furnish to the Federal RESERVE bank of the
district in which such person has his principal
place of business in the United States complete
information relative thereto upon report forms
prescribed by the Secretary of the Treasury,
EXCEPT that reports are not required to bE fur-
nished by (1) persons not carrying during any
part of the reporting period, accounts abroad
or accounts in the United States for non-residents
thereof, or (2) persons whose aggregate trans-
actions, transfers, Exports, or withdrawals for
their own account and the account of others do
not EXCEED $5,000 during any seven-day period.
Such information shall bE furnished on a weekly
basis EXCEPT as the respective Federal RESERVE
banks permit the information in certain cases or
classes of CASES to bE furnished on the basis
of longer intervals.
"These regulations and the general license
herein granted may bE modified or revoked at any
time.'
xhibit 6. Federal RESERVE Bank of NEW York Circular No. 1474,
November 13, 1934. Superseding Circular No. 1176
of March 12, 1933. Relating to institutions Engaging
in transactions in foreign Exchange.
"Written Declarations No Longer Required"
"Weekly and Monthly Reports Required"
"Every
106
REB
8-/201, To Paris,Apr.4,6p.m.
"Every person having his principal place of business in the
United States in the Second Federal RESERVE District and Engaging
in any transaction, transfer, Export, or withdrawal referred to
in Section 1 of the Executive Order of January 15, 1934, shall
furnish to the Federal RESErVE Bank of NEW York complete informa-
tion upon report forms to bE prescribed by the Secretary of the
Treasury, relative to such transactions, transfers
exports and withdrawals, as follows:
1. Banks and bankers are required to report weekly
as of the close of business Each WEDNESDAY night
beginning DECEMBER 5, 1934;
2. Brokers and dealers in securities are required to
report weekly as of the close of business Each
WEdnesday night beginning DECEMBER 5, 1934; and
3. All other persons subject to the provisions of
Article 3 of the above quoted regulations (such
as, for Example, certain Exporters, importers,
and industrial companies doing business abroad)
are required to report monthly as of the close
of business of the last WEdnesday in Each month
beginning DECEMBER 26, 1934;
EXCEPT that reports are not required to bE furnished by (1)
persons not carrying during any part of the reporting period,
accounts abroad or accounts in the United States for non-residents
thereof, or (2) persons whose aggregate transactions, transfers,
Exports, or withdrawals for their own account and the account of
others do not EXCEED 5,000 during any seven-day period.
"The transactions, transfers, Exports, and withdrawals
referred to in Section 1 of the Executive Order of January 15,
1934, and hereby required to bE reported as above, include
'Every transaction in foreign Exchange, transfer of credit
between any banking institution within the United States and
any banking institution outside of the United States (including
any principal, agent, home office, branch, or correspondent
outside of the United States of a banking institution within
the United States), and the export or withdrawal from the United
States of any currency or silver coin which is legal tender in
the United States, by any person within the United States'
HULL
HF
EA:HF:LWW
107
107
COPY
Paris
Dated April 5, 1938
Rec'd 10 a.m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
535, April 5, 1 p.m.
My 531, April 4, 6 p.m.
During a recess of the finance committee last night
the parliamentary group of Radical Socialist Deputies
met to consider the Government's program. Of 114 Radical
Socialist Deputies 80 attended the meeting; of these 80,
28 voted for the program (including 8 members of the
Government), 22 against and 30 abstained. Later the
finance committee voted to adapt the Government's bill
by 25 to 18, with one abstaining. It is reported that
the Radical Socialist members of the committee, with a
single exception, voted in favor of the bill.'
In view of the action of the finance committee it
is expected that the Chamber of Deputies in the debate
beginning this afternoon will give the Government a
favorable vote, although with a reduced majority.
WILSON.
108
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
OF NEW YORK
FICE CORRESPONDENCE
DATE April 5, 1938.
CONFIDENTIAL FILES
SUBJECT: TELEPHONE CONNERSATION WITH
L. W. Knoke
BANK OF ENGLAND.
I called Mr. Bolton at 10:30 today. Things were not quite
so bad as they were when he talked to me last, he said; the markets
seemed a little less unhappy. Blum was likely to go before next
Thursday. He was wedded to his new financial scheme just published.
It seemed inconceivable that that plan could be put through by a
socialist government. If adopted in its present form, it would mean
exchange control, inefficient exchange control at that. Another bad
feature of Blum's scheme was the suggestion that the Bank of France
should take over all foreign currency deposits in French banks.
That really amounted to nothing less than a forced loan in foreign
exchange. With a capital levy on Blum's program, capital was simply
not going back to France; that was all there was to that. The
recent better tone in the French exchange had simply been due to
gambling by the market on the fall of the government. If Blum's
scheme should go through, the franc would depreciate violently.
That seemed to be a foregone conclusion.
LWK:KMC
MISC. 12 60M 9-37
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
109
OF NEW YORK
OFFICE CORRESPONDENCE
DATE April 5, 1938.
TO
CONFIDENTIAL FILES
SUBJECT: TELEPHONE CONVERSATION WITH
L. W. Knoke
FROM
BANK OF FRANCE.
I called Mr. Cariguel at 11:05 today. There was nothing
much new today. The exchange market was quiet in spite of Blum's
pending proposals, quiet in anticipation of a change of the govern-
ment. of the latter, he seemed to be quite certain. "Even members
of the present government say they are sure to 80."
LWK:KMC
8881 0.89A
YRUTA3RT
al
included
1
110
April 5, 1938
Copy of this Cable sent to the President.
A.L.
24.
PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
FROM: American Embassy, Paris, France -
DATE: April 5, 1938, noon
NO.: 534
RUSH
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL.
FROM COCHRAN. FOR THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY.
I refer to your telegrams No. 199 of April 4, noon,
and No. 201 of April 4, 6 p.m.
At 11:45 this morning I was received by Prime Min-
ister Blum alone in his home.
I told Mr. Blum that Secretary Morgenthau had in-
structed me, in view of certain recommendations contained
in the new financial plans of the French Government, to
make available to him full details of the methods used
by my Government in supervising transactions in foreign
exchange. I explained to the Prime Minister that the
Secretary of the Treasury had thought that at this time
such material might be of particular interest to his experts.
I asked the Prime Minister to consider our offer of
assistance gained from our own experience as evidence of
the American Government's continuing desire for close co-
operation with his Government; in addition I told him
that I was under instructions and would be immediately
available to discuss with his staff any details of the
American
112
- 2 -
American methods which may need clearing up.
Mr. Blum told me that this afternoon he was to appear
before the Chamber and he was sure that this body would
pass his program; "using the axe" - as he put it - - would
then be up to the Senate.
END SECTION ONE.
WILSON.
EA:LWW
03Y1333H
868 THE
VRUNNIST
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
113
PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
NO.: 534 (Section Two)
FROM: American Embassy, Paris
DATE: April 5, 1938
Thus he is still expecting that his Government will be
forced out by the Senate on his financial program. He
said, however, that he was aware of the fact that it
would have made the Senate much happier if the bill had
been wrecked in committee or in the Chamber of Deputies
by the Radical Socialists. The debate will be somewhat
general under the circumstances, and Blum stated that it
will not be necessary for him to go into technical details
such as those involved in supervision of exchange transac-
tions. He therefore returned to me the extracts of our
measures which I had given him. He informed me that if
his Government survived, he certainly would take advantage
of the offer made by Secretary Morgenthau and would request
me to furnish his assistants with all the technical infor-
mation pertaining to our experience.
Blum requested me to convey to Secretary Morgenthau
his deepest appreciation of the Secretary's further offer
of assistance. He stated that our constant loyalty and
kindness toward him had genuinely moved him. As a result,
he had given serious consideration to including in his program
114
a measure looking toward the settlement of the war debts.
He said that he would have done 80 if he had been con-
vinced that the American public would have favorably
received such a step and if he had had a better chance
of succeeding with his general program. In response to
a remark from me that his program was already quite a
comprehensive one, he replied laughingly that it really
was "Rooseveltian".
(END OF MESSAGE)
WILSON
8801 3.3.44
EA:EB PROPART
30
- -
115
Treasury Department
115
1938 APR 5 PM I 45
TELEGRAPH OFFICE
25wau 24 COLLECT GOVERNMENT ONE EXTRA RUS H.
CLOISTER HOTEL, SEA ISLAND, GEORGIA, 113 P.M. APL. 5 38.
MRS. H. KLOTZ,
OFFICE OF SECRETARY, WASHINGTON D C
PLEASE SEE THAT PRESIDENT RECEIVES TONIGHT COPY OF COCHRAN'S CABLE
SENT AT NOON TODAY DESCRIBING HIS INTERVIEW WITH BLUM STOP BEST
REGARDS.
MORGENTHAU.
142p
116
MA
JR
PLAIN
London
Dated April 5, 1938
Rec'd 3:14 p.m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
279, April 5, 5 p.m.
FOR TREASURY FROM BUTTERWORTH.
The unemployment figures published today indicate
as did those for the previous month (my 192, March 8,
8 p.m.) that the basic trend of activity is still
downward. There was a seasonal decline in the numbers
registered as unemployed of over 61 thousand but this
is an abnormally small decline for the month of March.
There was a good decrease in unemployment in the building
and public works contracting trades and in other trades
seasonally improving in the spring such as the
distributive, tailoring, drassmaking and hotel trades;
but these were largely offset by marked increases in
unemployment in all the textile industries which are
showing signs not only of depressed Export business but
also of a decline in the home purchasing power -- a fact
which is also indicated by the February retail sales'
indices published last WEEK.
There
117
-2- #279, April 5, 5 p.m., from London.
There was also an increase in unemployment in the
iron and steel industry but the outlook for the heavy
industries unlike that for textiles and other consumer
goods manufacturing is favorably affected by the speedup
in rearmament activity (last paragraph my 245, March 24,
6 p.m.). The iron and steel industry will also benefit
from the lapsing as from April 1 of the operation of
reduced import duty rates which were lowered to meet
the abnormal scarcity of supplies which marked the
greater part of last year. The president of the British
Iron and Steel Federation has stated that "organized
through the Federation, the industry is now ready nad
able to meet any demand the Government might make upon
it". Presumably steel supplies are also sufficient
to meet ordinary industrial demand.
The speedup in rearmament will undoubtedly tend
to lessen the deterioration in the general position but
its incidence will bE very irregular, stimulating a
few industries such as aircraft manufacture, naval
shipbuilding, marine Engineering and constructional
work on airbase establishments Etc.; but it cannot bE
EXPECTED to SEEP through the general Economic structure
sufficiently to afford any appreciable impetus to recovery
in the textile industries and other consumer trades, for
these
118
-3- #279, April 5, 5 p.m., from London.
these must depend on a recovery in purchasing power
not only in the home market but to an EVEN greater Extent
in export markets.
Meanwhile signs of coming difficulties for coal
exporters forecast in paragraph 3 my 763, DECEMBER 9,
9 p.m., are beginning to appear. A statement in the
quarterly review issued by the Powell Duffryn combine
in South Wales is an instance: "Export demand from
SOME quarters shows signs of falling off, and if this
condition continues it is apparent that the Government
eventually bE compelled to give some form of support
to the British Export trade to counteract the
restrictions and subsidized competition imposed by
foreign countries." Though the acceleration of
rearmament may increase the home demand for British
coal it is unlikely Entirely to compensate for
the substantial losses in Export markets which are
apparently imminent.
Any signs of recovery which can bE EXPECTED from
the general conditions which SEEM to lie ahead will
therefore bE limping and onesided, and cannot bE
EXPECTED really to turn the tide without an accompanying
improvement
119
-4- #279, April 5, 5 p.m., from London.
improvement in the export trade, which in turn depends on
such unpredictable factors as business activity in the
United States, the international political situation,
and other influences on general commodity prices.
KENNEDY
CSB
120
HAT
REB
GRAY
London
Dated April 5, 1938
Rec'd 3:26 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
281, April 5, 6 p. m.
FOR TREASURY FROM BUTTERWORTH.
Comment in the British press on the Blum proposals
is restrained in tone and in substance mainly a reitera-
tion of the terms of the measures themselves. This
considered moderation is due to two reasons: (1) because
the formation of a strong French Government is a matter
of urgent and vital interest to Great Britain and there-
fore responsible press, city and official opinion is
prepared to lean over backwards in order to avoid con-
tributing to the difficulties of its formation (in-
cidentally the issuance at this time of a billion
reichsmarks of 43% at 98 3/4 has been noted); (2) because
these particular proposals are not EXPECTED to become
lasting. HOWEVER, two EXCERPTS from today's TIMES
are worthy of note:
OnE. "Failing a miracle two things sem certain
at the moment. OnE is that M. Blum will fail to get
his
121
REB
2-#281, From London,Apr.5,6p.m.
his plan through. The other is that his successors
whoever they may bE will bE obliged to make USE of
a substantial part of his programme. From the
financial and Economic point of view the proposals are
so far reaching that some time must necessarily lapse
before their full implications can bE analyzed. YEt
it is possible to say EVEN at this early stage that
if they pass air law they may have disturbing Effects
on the London money market, the tripartite currency
agreement and the foreign trade of France.
Two. Banks are to bE Encouraged to convert into
francs foreign currency deposits hEld for account of
French customers by using the machinery of the forward
market and to invest the proceeds in Treasury bonds.
If French banks are forced to do this it means that
the control over French sterling deposits now spread
among various banks in London will rapidly bE trans-
ferred to the Bank of France which will then transfer
them from the books of the British joint stock banks
and acceptance houses to those of the Bank of England.
Unless this transfer is very carefully handled it may
have serious Effects on the stability of the London
money market. And to allow sterling hEld by the
Bank
122
REB
3-#281, From London.Apr.5,6p.m.
Bank of England for account of the Bank of France to
bE used for the creation of credit in France is open
to serious objections."
The franc has moved arratically but the dollar
has been steady to bid. Gold is again about at parity
but hoarding demand from the continent is in some in-
stances willing to pay the Equivalent of dollars 34.78.
The silver market continues small with insignificant
price movements. Understand that Bank of MEXICO is
still buying mines silver against pesetas and that
inquiries have been made here with a view to making
a market for Mexican silver but that the replies
given were for the moment discouraging.
KENNEDY
CSB
123
PARTIAL PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
FROM: American Embassy, Paris, France
W
DATE: April 5, 1938, 5 p.m.
NO.: 538
FROM COCHRAN.
I talked with my contact at the Bank of France at
half-past four; he said that today there had been no inter-
vention by the French control and that there had not been
much business in foreign exchange. There was some weaken-
ing in the forward franc, due to operators therein permitting
their contracts to lapse as a result of certain provisions
in the financial proposals put forward by Blum.
Market observers said reluctance of traders to enter
into new commitments today had come from various rumors and
fears: (1) That the Radical Socialist Ministers having
received many telegrams of protest from their constituents
for not having voted against Blum's bill yesterday may resign
after vote is taken in Chamber; (2) that Government of real
national union is not possible; (3) that if Blum is defeated
by the Senate new strikes which are already being fomented
will mature, and (4) that increasing police precautions under
a Daladier Government as successor to Blum's might bring about
an atmosphere quite like that of February 6, 1934. Any new
Government coming in will have to face very shortly the task
of raising funds for the Treasury.
Belga was under considerable pressure today at export
point vis a vis New York.
END SECTON ONE.
EA:LWW
WILSON.
124
PARAPHRASE OF SECTION TWO, TELEGRAM NO. 538 OF
APRIL 5, 1938, FROM PARIS.
This afternoon I was informed by Pennachio of the
Bank of Italy that during the past two or three days
Alphand and other French delegates in Rome seeking a new
trade and clearing agreement with Italy have become a
little more reasonable. Pennachio said he believes the
French may be weakening toward approaching Italy for
better relations politically.
Pennachio believes that France is (?) the right
schedule by not sending to Imperial Rome an Ambassador
before signature of the British-Italian treaty and before
the visit to Rome by Hitler. At the present time Italy
would give some concessions to France in return for
recognition of the status of Ethiopia; however, after the
two events mentioned above, there is small likelihood
of such concessions being given.
Pennachio told me that he believes it very stupid
of France not to make friends with the Italian Government.
He does not think that France will intervene with arms to
prevent expansion to the southeast by Germany. In his
opinion the best method for the French to follow in order
to maintain some influence and markets in southwestern
Europe, and to check economic penetration therein by Germany,
is to work with Italy toward that end. It is very important
to Italy that this market should be left at least partially
open to it and that Germany should not monopolize it.
EA:LWW
END MESSAGE.
WILSON.
125
Cabinet Meeting - April 5. 1938 - 2 to 4 P.M.
Attended by the President, Vice President, and all the members
of the Cabinet with the exception of Secretary Morgenthau
(Magill), Secretary Swanson (Edison), and Secretary Ickes
(absent).
Secretary Hull reported that oral conversations had been going
on with the Mexican Ambassador, but that there was no indication
what the tentative proposals would be. The Mexicans have now re-
quested that further conversations be held down there. The President
suggested that the small American investors should be fully compen-
sated; the large oil companies compensated on the basis of prudent
investment less depreciation; and men like Hearst, who had acquired
large tracts of land by bribery, should be given back what they paid
only if they can prove that the Government Treasury got the money.
Secretary Hull reported that Valencia and Barcelona would fall in
a short time and that he expected that Franco would clean up the
balance of Spain in a few weeks. Chinese morale is holding up re-
markably well; Japan seems to be stuck in the quicksands.
Secretary Woodring reported that a British concern is buying
Sikorsky planes for China and that Glenn Martin is selling large orders
of planes to Great Britain, Holland, France, and Switzerland. Germany
is producing about 400 planes a month, a greater production than the
British. The United States could produce 30 to 40 planes per day.
Secretary Hull further reported that the Japanese would start
purchasing supplies here, since their original stock of war supplies
had about run out. He proposes to designate Mr. Wiley De Facto Consul
General in Vienna.
I reported that the tax bill had been reported to the Senate.
The bill will yield about $26 millions less than existing law for the
present fiscal year, but in a good year will yield from $125 to
$140 millions less. The interesting thing about the bill is that while
it is being heralded as relief to business it will collect from 60 to
$130 millions more from corporations, while relieving individuals from
surtaxes as the result of decreased dividend distribution, to the ex-
tent of $50 millions - $190 millions. The President asked the
Vice President to talk to SenatorsBarkley and Harrison and suggest
lining up a majority against placing any tariff riders on the bill.
The Vice President would like to see the bill go through as it is this
week. In response to Mr. Farley's question, the President said that
the House bill was substantially satisfactory to him and that he re-
garded it more favorably than the Senate Bill. The Vice President
126
- 2 -
said that he had talked with Mr. Vinson and it was proposed to have 5
House conferees - Doughton, Cullen, Vinson, Treadway, and Crowther.
Secretary Woodring reported on proposed changes in the organiza-
tion of the Red Cross. The President mentioned the fact that the Red
Cross appeal for funds for use in China yielded only $110,000 instead
of the million desired.
The President mentioned Senator Logan's proposal for a circuit
court of appeals for administrative cases. The Attorney General asked
that the bill for 27 additional judges be permitted to go through first.
General Farley said that the new Presidential stamp issue would
be brought out so far as possible during this fiscal year and would
yield a revenue of $2 millions to $5 millions from collectors.
Mr. Edison asked Secretary Hull to proceed with the next steps
to enable the Navy to build battleships without any treaty limitations.
The President reported that he had arranged matters 80 that the
title to the Pacific islands, in dispute between Great Britain and
ourselves, would not be settled for 25 to 50 years. In the meantime
either the British or ourselves may occupy them.
Miss Perkins reported a probable 8/10's of 1 percent decrease in
employment during March, instead of the usual seasonal increase. She
believes that the time is ripe to undertake new expenditures on public
works. In answer to the President's question, she reported that the
Michigan labor situation had been very serious, since the Union had
acted in a most high-handed manner. The President said that he hadknown
further similar high-handed actions by mill operators in Georgia which
wreleading to widespread resentment.
***
The President said he now wished to discuss the main question of
what should be done during the present session of Congress. Congression-
al leaders were asking whether they could not pass the Naval bill, tax
bill, and reorganization bill and go home. He likened this action to
Nero's fiddling while Rome burned. He said he had done a lot of reading
at Warm Springs, having had reports from all branches of the Government.
The optimists thought that a business upturn would occur in May or
August, but many of them thought an upturn would occur in February.
Others believed we would proceed at the present rate of business ac-
tivity for a number of months. Pessimists believed that we were
gradually spiralling downward. The President said that in any event
the situation was not only bad for the country, but bad for the Demo-
cratic party. If conditions continued as at present, there was danger
that the party would lose the fall elections.
127
- 3 -
Secretary Roper suggested a fireside talk, but the President said
that at this time dollars would do much more good than talk. General
Farley suggested that after the major bills were out of the way there
ought to be a big relief bill.
The President said that three current expenditures would be
necessary, simply to maintain the present state of affairs: (1)
$1,250 millions would be necessary for relief during the first seven
months of the next fiscal year; (2) $50 millions would be needed to
keep 300 CCC camps open; (3) Jesse Jones would need 308r $40millions
to keep plants open. The President wanted to know what additional
actions should be taken. He suggested the possibility of lowering
the reserve requirements; of desterilizing more gold; or of amending
the housing law so that construction could be started before the
locality had put up its 10 percent. In this way Mr. Straus had told
him that $500 millions of construction work would be started before
fall.
General Farley suggested increasing the post office building
program to $45 millions per year. The President said that this money
would go mainly to country towns where the situation was less serious
than in the city.
The President then outlined a plan for the United States to
finance local improvements, borrowing the money and paying the interest,
the localities to pay off 1/50 of the principal of the loan each year.
This plan would result in a 45 - 55 division of expenditure between
the two governments.
The Vice President said that he felt there were two major questions
to be decided first. That we have an enormous debt, how much can we
stand? We need to move people out of the cities where conditions are
bad, but we have taken no steps to do SO. As between the success of
the Democratic party and the success of the country, he declared for
the country.
The President said that he was for the country too, but that if the
Democrats were defeated this fall, he thought that third party would
probably arise and the Republicans would win the Presidential election
in 1940. He felt that this would mean the ruin of New Deal reforms.
He said he wanted to spend money if possible in such a way as to
bring it back to the Treasury ultimately and asked for suggestions as
to the best methods to be used. Secretary Perkins suggested that the
United States purchase consumers goods, such as railway cars and
automobiles and lease or loan it to private consumers. The President
and Vice President both disapproved of the idea.
The President then repeated his former request for suggestions
on spending money. He particularly asked the Treasury to provide hi
- 4 -
128
with full information regarding a possible reduction in reserve re-
quirements by the Federal Reserve Board, and regarding the possible
desterilization of more gold.
Rm
Confidential
Weekly WPA Employment
Not for Publication
Series - Table 1
EMPLOYMENT ON WPA PROJECTS, BY STATE
(12880)
UNITED STATES AND TERRITORIES
Weeks Ending April 2 and March 26, 1938
(Partly Estimated - Subject to Revision)
Number of Persons Employed
Week
neek
Increase (+)
State
Ending
Ending
or
April 2
March 26
Decrease (-)
GRAND TOTAL
2,444,066
2,394,856
+ 49,210
CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES
2,441,566
2,392,347
+ 49,219
Alabama
36,928
36,185
+
743
Arizona
8,708
8,554
+
154
Arkansas
35,326
33,351
+ 1,975
California
94,321
91,649
+ 2,672
Northern
51,463
50,317
+ 1,146
Southern
42,858
41,332
+ 1,526
Colorado
27,530
27,171
+
359
Connecticut
21,807
21,310
+
497
Deleware
3,094
2,996
+
98
District of Columbia
8,032
7,960
+
72
Florida
31,578
31,241
+
337
Georgia
41,511
38,833
+ 2,678
Idaho
11,579
11,426
+
153
Illinois
197,335
194,687
+ 2,648
Indiana
84,931
84,468
+
463
Iowa
30,444
30,594
-
150
Kansas
35,728
35,612
+
116
Kentucky
50,215
48,285
+ 1,930
Louisiana
31,501
31,120
+
381
Maine
7,415
7,314
+
101
Taryland
11,946
12,021
-
75
Massachusctts
105,659
97,708
+ 7,951
Michigan
125,723
120,156
+ 5,567
l'inresota
57,864
57,696
+
168
l'ississippi
30,819
29,719
+ 1,100
Missouri
86,279
85,215
+ 1,064
!ontana
18,126
18,144
-
18
Mebraska
28,246
28,202
+
44
lievada
2,674
2,657
+
17
New Hampshire
8,636
8,285
+
353
Yew Jorsey
82,209
78,935
+ 3,274
New Moxico
9,977
9,858
+
119
New York City
153,960
151,788
+ 2,172
New York (Excl. N.Y.C.)
53,008
52,659
+
349
Morth Carolina
31,181
31,145
+
36
North Dakota
14,849
14,870
-
21
Ohio
196,089
196,168
-
79
Oklahoma
60,952
59,996
+
956
Oregon
16,725
16,365
+
360
Pennsylvania
223,052
217,156
+ 5,896
Rhode Island
13,050
12,723
+
327
South Caroline
30,699
30,115
+
584
South Dakota
17,170
17,402
-
232
Tennossee
31,278
30,990
+
288
Texas
77,879
76,330
+ 1,549
Utah
10,667
10,386
+
281
Vermont
5,096
5,101
-
5
Virginia
22,748
22,716
+
32
Washington
46,131
45,556
+
575
West Virginia
40,931
40,547
+
384
Tisconsin
65,338
64,390
+
948
Wyoming
4,620
4,592
+
28
Hawaii
2,500
2,509
-
9
WORKS PROGRESS ADMINISTRATION
Division of
Resoarch, Statistics and Records
April 5, 1938
Colem draft
130
received 4/5/38
in Segal Division.
go THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES:
The Sixteenth Amendment to the Constitution of the
United States, approved in 1913. expressly authorised the
Congress "to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever
source derived." That is plain language. Fairly construed
this language would seem to authorise taxation of income
derived from state and municipal. as well as federal bonds,
and also income derived from state and municipal at well
at federal offices.
The reciprecal tax-inmunity accorded such income
was conceived when the nation was young to strengthen
weak government finance and to protect the federal system.
Today. however. it constitutes a serious menage
to the fiscal systems of both the states and the nation.
Both the states and the nation are deprived of revenues
which could be raised from those best able to supply them.
Neither the federal government nor the states receive say
adequate, compensating advantage for the reciprecal tax-
insunity accorded to income derived from their respective
obligations and offices.
131
In recent years both the federal government and the
states have come to rely increasingly upon graduated income
same for their revenues. In recent years the rapid expansion
of federal and state activities has resulted in the issuance
of an increased volume of tax-exempt securities and in the
creation of an increased meber of state and federal officers
and employees who claim special tax-exemption. Tax-examption
which was once an inequity of relatively elight importance
has become a most serious defect in the fiscal systems of
the states and the nation,
Fundamentally our fax laws are intended to apply to
all citizene equally. That does not mean that the same rate
of income tax should apply to the very rich - and to the
very poor man. Long age the United States, through the
Congress, assepted the principle that citizens should pay
in accordance with their ability to pay. and that identical
tax rates on the rich and on the poor actually worked an
injustice to the poor. Rence the origin of progressive
curtance on personal income w the individual personal
income increases.
132
During the past few years we have become conscious
more and more of the simple fast that these progressive -
taxes, established by the Congrees to curry out a principle.
were being avoided by various methods. Leepheles in the tax
laws and the use of corporate devices give to hundreds of
individuals the change to escape the letter of the 1am, oven
though in 00 doing they were failing to carry out the spirit
of the law.
Tax exemptions through the ownership of government
securities of sally kinds federal. state and local -
has operated against the fair or effective collection of
progressive surtaxes and has, therefore, violated the spirit
of the tax law itself. Actually. in operation. it has given
a greater advantage to those with large incomes than to
these with small incomes.
Therefore, I lay before the Congress the statement
that a fair and effective progressive income tax and a
htge perpetual reserve of tax-exempt bonds cannot exist
side by side.
Men with great means best able to assume business
ricks have been encouraged to leck up substantial portions
133
of their funds in tax-ensupt securities. Men with little means who should
be encouraged to hold the relatively secure obligations of the federal
and state governments have been obliged to pay a relatively higher price
for those securities than the very rich because the tax-inemity is of
much less value to them than to those whose incomes fall in the higher
brackets.
For more than twenty years an unbroken line of Secretaries of
the Treasury has reported to the Congress the growing evile of these
tax-exemption. Economists generally have regarded them as wholly in-
consistent with any rational egatem of progressive taxation.
I do not think the Congress should feel obliged to wait upon
the realisation of the ausbersome and doubtful remedy usually proposed
for this evil, namely, a constitutional amendment. These tax-insunities
are not inexerable requirements of the Constitution. The present -
fortunate situation 10 the product of adjudication and adjudication
can correct 11. More than one hundred years age doubte and difficul-
ties attending these insumities were expressed by members of the
Supreme Court, and in recent years the underlying assumptions
134
of the doctrine have been impressively questioned w the Geart
itself. the dostrine was originally evolved out of a totally
different set of economic circumstances from those which are
now consume. It is a familier principle of law that rules
of law lose their binding force when the reasons which -
rise to the rules no longer exist.
I, therefore, recommend to the Congress that effective
action be promptly taken to terminate these tax-ememptions for
the future. The legislation should confer the same powers on the
States with respect to the taxation of federal bonds hereafter
issued as is granted to the federal government with respect to
state and municial bonds hereafter issued,
I suggest also legislation which will authorise that tax-
exempt income be taken in account in fixing the surtex spplicable
to tanable income. As Secretary of the Treasury Carter Glass
stated in his report for the fiesal year of 1919:
"It is intelerable that taxpayers should be
allowed. by purchase of exempt securities, not
only to obtain exemption with respect to the
income derived therefrom, but to reduce the exper-
tames upon their other income, and to have the
supertance upon their other income determined
upon the accumption. contrary to feet, that they
are not in possession of income derived from state
and sunicipal bonds."
135
The name principles of Just tanation apply to tax-
exemptions of official salaries. The federal government does
not now levy income taxes on the hundreds of thousands of
state. county and minicipal employees. Nor do the states.
under existing decisions. lovy income taxes on the salaries
of the hundreds of thousands of federal employees. Justice
in a greater democracy should treat those who earn their liveli-
hood from goverment in the same way at it treats those who
earn their livelihood in private employ.
I recomend, therefore, that the Congress onsets legis-
lation ending tax-exemption on government salaries of all
kinds, conferring pewere on the states with respect to federal
salaries and powers to the federal government with respect to
state and local government calaries.
The ending of he 10 of government
securities or of government salaries, is a matter. not of
politice. but of principle.
136
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
WASHINGTON
April 5, 1938
TO THE SECRETARY:
In accordance with your request I am transmitting herewith
the statement showing the budgetary expenditures for the first
nine months of the fiscal years 1936, 1937 and 1938. For your
convenience this expenditure statement is summarized below with
the non-cash items eliminated, together with the budgetary receipt
side of the picture.
BUDGETARY CASH RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES
9 MONTHS JULY-MARCH 1936. 1937 and 1938
(In millions of dollars)
1936
1937
1938
Receipts:
Income taxes
$1,046
$1,507
$1,995
Miscellaneous Internal
Revenue
1,536
1,637
1,772
Customs
292
352
290
All other
226
232
763
$3,100
$3,728
$4,820
Expenditures:
Regular
$2,397
$3,073
$3,302
Recovery and relief
2,486
2,393
1,536
$4,883
5,466
4,838
Revolving funds
- 56
-262
196
Net expenditures
$4,827
$5,204
$5,034
You will note that there is no material difference between
the budgetary expenditures for these three years although there is
& substantial difference between the different categories of expendi-
tures. For example, the regular expenditures have increased from
$2,397,000,000 in the first nine months of the fiscal year 1936 to
$3,302,000,000 in the first nine months of 1938. This increase 1s
due in part to the shift from emergency funds to regular funds.
The recovery and relief expenditures, you will note, have decreased
from $2,486,000,000 in 1936 to $1,536,000,000 in 1938. There is,
137
- 2 -
however, one item of expenditure which is outside of the budgetary
statement and which is not included in the above figures. That
is the cash payment made for the soldiers' bonus. During the first
nine months of the fiscal year 1937 the Treasury paid out on this
account approximately $667,000,000, of which $413,000,000 was paid
out in the month of July, 1936 (the first month of the fiscal year
1937); whereas, in the same period for the fiscal year 1938, only
$67,000,000 was paid out. So, if you include the soldiers' bonus
payment with the other budgetary cash expenditures, the Treasury
paid out during the first nine months of the fiscal year 1937
$3,740,000,000, whereas in the same period in the fiscal year 1938
we paid out $3,369,000,000.
As of possible interest I am also enclosing a statement
showing the receipts for the first nine months of the fiscal years
1936, 1937 and 1938.
DwB
Enclosures.
138
EXPENDITURES
9 months
1936, 1937 and 1938
(millions of dollars)
Regular
Recovery and relief
Revolving funds
Non-cash items
Month
Total
Final yrs
1936
1937
1938
1936
1937
1938
1936
1937
1938
1936
1937
1938
1936
1937
1938
July
184
249
337
212
302
198
135
a/ 216
e/ 2
196
82
125
727
417
658
August
219
204
310
292
269
175
a
4
e/
10
14
28
61
522
570
556
September ....
318
393
446
252
264
159
e/
7
2
20
18
7
84
581
674
710
October
338
364
376
278
297
168
8
16
......
16
173
8
61
797
685
621
November
226
275
303
265
272
159
4
e/ 14
25
46
7
56
533
540
543
December
344
407
438
308
294
173
61
a/ 47
56
30
12
65
621
667
738
January
215
289
326
304
230
150
a 63
67
34
17
49
57
473
635
567
February .....
194
308
290
292
214
156
9
13
10
9
67
69
504
575
525
March
356
504
476
283
251
198
69
a/ 46
26
8
49
62
578
758
762
Total
2,397
3,073
3,302
2,486
2,393
1,536
a 56
of 262
196
510
317
641
5,337
5,521
5,676
Excess credits, deduct.
DWB
139
RECEIPTS
9 months
1936, 1937 and 1938
(millions of dollars)
Miscellaneous
Month
Income taxes
Internal Revenue
Customs
All other
Total
Finalyn
1936
1937
1938
1936
1937
1938
936
7
1938
1936
1937
1938
1936
1937
1938
July
23
39
57
165
201
221
30
32
41
61
22
90
279
294
409
August
24
32
35
219
264
301
37
35
39
19
39
78
299
343
453
September ....
231
288
501
143
161
185
30
36
36
17
14
66
421
499
788
October
30
27
40
153
186
188
33
41
37
19
18
68
235
272
333
November
19
33
37
142
148
181
31
35
32
42
17
77
234
233
327
December .....
228
286
487
153
174
191
29
39
30
24
18
158
434
517
866
January
35
43
52
138
168
172
34
41
26
21
32
85
228
284
335
February
43
58
62
132
148
140
33
42
24
10
27
123
218
275
349
March
412
700
723
291
188
191
35
53
26
14
71
19
752
1,012
959
Total
1,046
1,507
1,995
1,536
1,637
1,772
292
352
290
226
232
763
3,100
3,728
4,820
Includes $67M processing tax on farm products.
I
FHA Form No. 12
140
(Revised Oct. 15, 1937)
FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION
MEMORANDUM
DATE 4/5/38
TO: Miss Chauncey - - Secretary's Office
Treasury Department
FROM:
SUBJECT-
... 16-0401
Mr. McDonald thought the Secretary
would be interested in seeing this
type of report on'our gross business
and accepted for insurance business
covering the last two weeks' operations.
Shirley K. Hart
Assistant to the Administrator
FHA Form No. 12
(Revised Oct. 15, 1937)
141
FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION
MEMORANDUM
DATE April 5, 1938
TO:
FROM:
SUBJECT- F.H.A. INSURING OPERATIONS
... 10-1401
Neek Ending April 2, 1938
GROSS BUSINESS TRANSACTED
Number
Amount
Home Mtges. Selected for Appraisal
4,913
$21,414,849
Rental Housing Applications Approved
12
2,888,000
Modernization Notes Insured
5,745
2,738,400
TOTAL
327,041,249
ACCEPTED FOR INSURANCE
Home Mtges. Ace. for Insurance
2,642
$11,601,700
,al Housing Projects Committed
3
1,530,000
1
Modernisation Notes Insured
5,745
$,738,400
$15,870,100
TOTAL
Percent Mortgages Accepted Eligible for 90% Mtges. = 39%
142
FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION
MEMORANDUM
DATE Mar. 30, 1938
TO:
FROM:
SUBJECT-
F.H.A. INSURING OPERATIONS
... 10-3401
Week Ending March 26, 1938
GROSS BUSINESS TRANSACTED
Number
Amount
Home Mtges. Selected for Appreiss.
4,863.
$22,568,219
Rental Housing Applications
14
4,106,000
Modernization Notes Insured
3,016
1,470,176
$28,144,395
ACCEPTED FOR INSURANCE
Home Mtges. Accepted for Insurance
2,290
$ 9,990,900
Rental Housing Projects Committed
2
497,500
Modernization Notes Insured
3,016
1,470,176
$11,958,576
Percent Mortgages Accepted Eligible for 90% Mtges.= 37%
DV.IR
7038
143
FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION
WASHINGTON, D. C.
WEEKLY VOLUME 07 FHA INSURING OPERATIONS
For 1938 and corresponding Period of 1937
HOME MORTGAGES SELECTED FOR APPRAISAL
1938
1937
Week Ending:
No.
Amount
No.
Amount
Jan. 8
1,256
$ 5,483,184
1,967
$ 8,565,550
15
1,504
6,531,200
2,286
9,566,860
22
1,711
7,299,975
2,167
9,447,127
29
1,888
8,150,840
2,272
10,091,713
Feb. 5
1,982
8,571,895
2,306
9,721,165
12
1,988
8,787,105
2,701
11,068,008
19
2,219
10,025,800
2,765
11,764,089
26
2,775
13,100,250
2,835
11,747,954
Mar. 5
3,899
17,613,402
3,244
13,683,500
12
4,470
20,386,711
3,405
14,176,560
19
4,697
21,293,061
4,085
16,879,710
26
4,863
22,568,219
3,476
14,970,848
Apr. 2
4,713
21,414,849
3,617
15,366,435
144
FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION
WASHINGTON, D. C.
WEEKLY VOLUME OF MORTGAGES ACCEPTED FOR INSURANCE
Week Ending
1938
1937
Number
Amount
Number
Amount
Jan 8
943
$ 4,035,500
1,462
$ 5,821,275
15
1,101
4,542,900
1,756
7,241,815
22
1,058
4,445,500
1,767
7,438,500
29
1,329
5,501,500
1,880
7,860,250
Feb 5
1,099
4,431,000
1,811
7,424,100
12
1,172
4,649,900
1,778
7,410,850
19
1,194
4,837,100
1,869
7,702,650
26
1,033
4,350,200
1,867
7,524,500
Mar 5
1,589
6,905,400
2,291
9,092,500
12
1,705
7,601,400
2,135
8,947,600
19
1,883
8,288,400
2,388
9,781,500
26
2,290
9,990,900
2,497
10,298,380
Apr 2
2,642
11,601,700
2,602
10,856,395
Division of Economics and Statistics
Operating Statistics Section
WEEKLY VOLUME OF HOME MORTGAGES SELECTED FOR APPRAISAL
AMOUNT REPORTED BY INSURING OFFICES AT END OF EACH WEEK
MILLIONS OF DOLLARS
MILLIONS OF DOLLARS
30
30
1938
1937
25
25
20
20
15
15
IO
10
5
5
o
o
15
22
29
5
12
19
26
5
12
ID
26
2
9
16
23
30
7
14
21
28
4
II
18
25
2
9
16
23
30
6
15
20
27
3
10
17
24
I
8
15
22
FEB
29
5
MAR
12
19
26
3
10
JAN
17
APR
24
34
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
DIVISION OF ECONOMICS & STATISTICS
SR-1038-1 21460
OPERATING STATISTICS SECTION
146
Form No. 13
Ised Jan. 1, 1938)
FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION
MEMORANDUM
DATE
FIGURES FOR WEEK ENDING APRIL 2, 1938
JECT:
Week Ending
Corresponding Week
April 2,
Last Year
1938
1937
For the Week:
Number
~mount
Number
Amount
Mortgages Selected
+,713
$21,414,849
3,617
$15,366,435
Mortgages Accepted
2,642
11,601,700
2,602
10,856,395
Premium Paying Mtges.
1,115
4,843,900
1,633
6,717,380
Cumulative:
Mortgages Selected
376,758
$1,570,222,683
Mortgages Accepted
279,698
1,138,392,833
Premium Paying Mtges.
220,854
904,566,317
300
Division of Economics and Statistics
Revised 4/4/38
Operating Statistics Section
" 147
1- - seey state
2- - secy War
4-7.
148
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 5, 1938
TO
Secretary Morgenthau
FROM
Mr. Haas
Subject: Current United States Trade with Japan and China
(Preliminary data)
A. United States trade with Japan during the first three
weeks of March 1938.
1. United States exports to Japan increased 27 percent*
in the first three weeks of March 1938 as compared to
the same period in February 1938 and were 31 percent
greater than in January 1938.
2. Raw cotton exports amounted to $3,073,000, approxi-
mately $100,000 less than in the first three weeks of
February 1938. Exports of petroleum, iron and steel
manufactures, and aircraft and parts increased markedly
over the same period in February 1938.
3. United States imports from Japan increased 6 percent
in the first three weeks of March 1938 as compared with
the same period in February 1938, but were 20 percent
less than in the first three weeks of January 1938 and
in December 1937.
4. Imports of raw silk accounted for the entire increase
in the total imports from Japan in this period; imports
other than raw silk varied only slightly in amount and
in relative importance.
B. United States trade with China during the first three
weeks of March 1938.
1. United States exports to China and Manchuria increased
37 percent in the first three weeks of March 1938 as com-
pared with the same period in February 1938. Exports to
North China and Manchuria increased 38 percent and exports
to South China, Shanghai and Hong Kong increased 36 percent.
Exports to South China, Shanghai and Hong Kong are approxi-
mately 50 percent greater in value than those to North
China and Manchuria.
149
Secretary Morgenthau - 2
2. Imports from China and Manchuria increased 7 percent
in the first three weeks of March 1938 as compared to
the first three weeks of February 1938. Imports from
North China and Manchuria increased 25 percent and those
from South China, Shanghai, and Hong Kong, only 2 percent.
Imports from North China accounted for 24 percent of the
total imports from China in March as compared to 21 per-
cent in February 1938, while imports from South China
accounted for 76 percent in March and 79 percent in
February 1938.
150
Secretary Morgenthau - 3
Statistics:
A. Current Trade with Japan (Preliminary Data)
I. United States Exports to Japan -- Total Value
1st Week
2nd Week
3rd Week
Total 1st 3 Weeks
March 1938
$4,513,000
$3,214,000
$5,991,000
$13,718,000
February 1938
nil
6,112,000
4,667,000
10,779,000
January 1938
2,726,000
3,759,000
3,984,000
10,469,000
December 1937
1,694,000
5,217,000
2,394,000
9,305,000
November 1937
1,180,000
4,813,000
4,745,000
10,738,000
II. United States Exports to Japan by Commodities
Commodities Show-
March 1938
February 1938
January 1938
1ng Increases:
Petroleum and
products
$ 3,000,000
$ 1,498,000
$ 2,925,000
Iron and steel
manufactures
2,218,000
1,576,000
1/
Industrial machy.
1,985,000
1,071,000
1,229,000
Paper base stocks
746,000
406,000
382,000
Automobiles, parts
& accessories
652,000
494,000
673,000
Aircraft & parts
340,000
131,000
2/
Fertilizer & fer-
tilizer materials
290,000
248,000
24,000
Ferro alloys
185,000
nil
182,000
Coal-tar products
93,000
23,000
28,000
Commodities Show-
ing Decreases:
Copper and manu-
factures
446,000
893,000
845,000
Cotton, unmf'd.
3,073,000
3,168,000
2,574,000
Hides and skins,
raw
217,000
225,000
15,000
Tobacco and mfrs.
1,000
289,000
nil
Total
13,246,000 - 97%
10,022,000 - 93%
-
All other
472,000 - 3%
757,000 - 7%
-
Grand Total
$13,718,000
$10,779,000
$10,469,000
1/ Classified differently for February and March.
2/ Classified as vehicles, parts and accessories.
a/ Corrected figure.
151
Secretary Morgenthau - 4
III. United States Imports from Japan -- Total Value
1st Week
2nd Week
3rd Week
Total 1st 3 Weeks
March 1938
$1,452,000
$2,431,000
$2,690,000
$ 6,573,000
February 1938 1,553,000
2,327,000
2,350,000
6,230,000
January 1938
2,033,000
4,185,000
2,020,000
8,238,000
December 1937
2,159,000
3,406,000
2,672,000
8,237,000
November 1937
3,245,000
3,654,000
4,356,000
11,255,000
IV. United States Imports from Japan by Commodities
Commodities Show-
March 1938
February 1938
January 1938
ing Increases:
Silk, unmanufac-
tured
$4,336,000
$3,970,000
$4,586,000
Hats and hat
material
175,000
132,000
99,000
Silk manufactures
167,000
78,000
248,000
Fish scrap and
fish meal
149,000
9,000
80,000
Pyrethrum flowers
147,000
68,000
255,000
Fish and fish prod-
ucts, edible
125,000
96,000
128,000
Tea
77,000
66,000
145,000
Furs and manu-
factures
66,000
54,000
16,000
Papers and manu-
factures
58,000
45,000
72,000
Camphor
57,000
32,000
51,000
Commodities Show-
ing Decreases:
Cotton manufac-
tures
$ 197,000
417,000
494,000
China and porce-
lain ware
104,000
128,000
177,000
Vegetable food
products other
than tea
81,000
106,000
196,000
Menthol
79,000
101,000
89,000
Total
$5,818,000
-
89%
$5,302,000
-
85%
$6,636,000
-
81%
Other
755,000 - 11%
928,000
-
15%
1,602,000
-
19%
Grand Total
$6,573,000
$6,230,000
$8,238,000
152
Secretary Morgenthau - 5
B. Current Trade with China (Preliminary Data)
I. United States Exports to China -- Total Value
First three
North China and
Shanghai, South
weeks of:
Manchuria
China and Hong Kong
Total
March 1938
$1,567,000
$3,316,000
$4,883,000
February 1938
1,134,000
2,441,000
3,575,000
January 1938
1,375,000
3,001,000
4,376,000
December 1937
2,003,000
4,023,000
6,026,000
Whole month of March 1937
$6,483,000
II. United States Exports to China by Commodities
(a) To North China and Manchuria:
March 1938
February 1938
Automobiles, parts and accessories
$ 549,000
$ 105,000
Petroleum and products
271,000
234,000
Cotton, unmanufactured
210,000
128,000
Tobacco and manufactures
134,000
53,000
Iron and steel manufactures
82,000
335,000
Industrial machinery
74,000
58,000
Total
1,320,000 - 84%
913,000 - 81%
Other
247,000 - 16%
221,000 - 19%
Grand Total
$1,567,000
$1,134,000
153
Secretary Morgenthau - 6
(b) To Shanghai, South China and Hong Kong:
March 1938
February 1938
Tobacco and manufactures
$ 623,000
$ 142,000
Firearms and ammunition
539,000
381,000
Automobiles, parts & accessories
462,000
327,000
Copper and manufactures
263,000
144,000
Iron and steel manufactures
179,000
148,000
Vegetable foods, edible
129,000
83,000
Aircraft and parts
121,000
292,000
Ginsing
88,000
81,000
Electrical machinery & apparatus
85,000
63,000
Cotton, unmanufactured
71,000
9,000
Total
2,560,000 - 77%
1,670,000 - 68%
All other
756,000 - 23%
771,000 - 32%
Grand Total
$3,316,000
$2,441,000
III. United States Imports from China -- Total Value
First three
North China and
Shanghai, South
weeks of:
Manchuria
China and Hong Kong
Total
March 1938
$588,000 - 24%
$1,830,000 - 76%
$2,418,000
February 1938
472,000 - 21%
1,794,000 - 79%
2,266,000
January 1938
782,000 - 27%
2,139,000 - 73%
2,921,000
December 1937
864,000 - 23%
2,926,000 - 77%
3,790,000
Whole month of March 1937
$14,103,000
IV. United States Imports from China by Commodities
(a)
From North China and Manchuria:
March 1938
February 1938
Furs and manufactures
$120,000
$24,000
Perilla oil
85,000
39,000
Bristles
64,000
91,000
Non-metallic minerals and products
55,000
3,000
Total
324,000
-
55%
157,000 - 33%
All other
264,000 - 45% 315,000 - 67%
Grand Total
$588,000
$472,000
P 154
Secretary Morgenthau - 7
(b) From Shanghai, South China and Hong Kong:
March 1938
February 1938
Tung (wood) oil
$ 903,000
$ 377,000
Flax, hemp and ramie and mfrs.
153,000
166,000
Hate and nat materials
93,000
77,000
Vegetable food, edible, except
tea
84,000
67,000
Silk, unmanufactured
71,000
21,000
Bristles
62,000
185,000
Tin ore, bars, blocks, pigs,
scrap, etc.
56,000
409,000
Total
1,422,000 - 766
1,302,000 - 73%
All other
408,000 - 22%
492,000 - 27%
Grand Total
$1,830,000
$1,794,000
april 5,1138
: 155
copy of my letter to Pro.)
THE CLOISTER
SEA ISLAND, GEORGIA
my dear Mr. President:
Iam sending
you enclosed herewith a draft
of a message to Congress and
d bill to the establish a Department
of Transportation. Theseware
hupared by mr. me Reynolds
of my office.
2 thought if your had these
before you
they might have to be
useful. Sincerely.
1m2 Wer
than has Klaty:
Have neck mc
of
Reynolds tube enclosed
iver to Pres. and give it
to Mr. Foster to give to
the Pres. Have me Reyn
tell Foster if he want
anything changed he
me stands ready to
do it.
no me knows about
my teachone conversation
with the Pea. m the
subject
Sincerely your
2.
PL 156
(The phone conversation with the
President, referred to in HM,Jr's
note to Mrs. Klotz, is referred
to in diary entry of March 31,
1938, at 6:20 p. m.
157
TO THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES:
As I stated in my message of June 7, 1935 to the Congress,
it is high time to deal with the nation's transportation as a single
unified problem. For many years in the past, transportation
meant railroad transportation, but within the past quarter of a
century a major change has occurred. Today other forms of
transportation, air transport, highway transport, and an expanded
system of water and pipe line transport actively compete with
and supplement railroad transportation.
It is evident that the transportation problem is a single
one in which each of the various forms of transportation have
their parts to play. As was pointed out by the Federal Coordinator
of Transportation in his report of March 10, 1934 "the problem
is to find their appropriate functions, protect them in the
performance of such functions, prevent wasteful duplication of
service without eliminating such competition as is economically
sound, and promote a system of stable rates which will reflect
the lowest costs of good service but afford the necessary
foundations for credit"."
Functions relating to transportation are today scattered
among several executive departments, various independent commissions,
boards and several Government corporations. These agencies deal
with special phases of transportation rather than the transportation
cc was sent
Jesu gones
158
- 2 -
problem in its broader national aspect. Not only are their
activities uncorrelated but in many instances they may work at
cross purposes. To remedy this situation and avert threatened
chaos in our transportation system, I urge that the Congress
give immediate consideration to the establishment of a Depart-
ment of Transportation, charged with responsibility for the
conduct of the various transportation activities of the Federal
Government.
I recommend that the various promotional activities of the
Federal Government in the field of transportation be transferred
to the Department of Transportation and performed under the
supervision of the Secretary of Transportation who shall be
charged with the formulation of a national transportation policy.
I further recommend that there be established in the Department
of Transportation a bi-partisen board to be known as the Federal
Transportation Board, which shall, independently of the Secretary
and the President, perform all quasi-judicial and quasi-legislative
functions with respect to the transportation industry now performed by
any existing agencies of the Government, and such additional
regulatory functions with respect to that industry as may be
prescribed by law.
153
A BILL
To establish a Department of Transportation
Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of the
United States of America in Congress assembled, That there shall be at
the seat of government an executive department to be known as the Depart-
ment of Transportation, and a Secretary of Transportation (hereafter re-
ferred to as the "Secretary") who shall be the head thereof, and shall be
appointed by the President by and with the advice and consent of the
Senate, and shall have a tenure of office and salary 11ke those of the
heads of other executive departments. Section 158 of the Revised
Statutes, as amended (H.S.C., 1934 ed., title 5, sec. 1), is amended to
include such department, and the provisions of Title IV of the Revised
Statutes, including all acts amendatory thereof and supplementary there-
to, shall be applicable to such department.
(b) There shall be in the Department of Transportation an Under-
secretary of Transportation and two Assistant Secretaries of Transpor-
tation, who shall be appointed by the President by and with the advice
and consent of the Senate, and a Solicitor, who shall be appointed by
the Secretary. all of whom shall exercise such functions as may be pre-
scribed by the Secretary or required by law. The Undersecretary and the
Solicitor shall each receive a salary of $10,000 per answer, and the com-
pensation of the Assistant Secretaries shall be fixed in accordance with
the Classification Act of 1923, as amended.
160
- 2 -
SEC. 2. (a) There is hereby created in the Department of Trans-
portation a Federal Transportation Board (hereafter referred to at the
"Board") which shall be composed of sixteen members who shall be appointed
by the President by and with the advice and consent of the Senate.
(b) The terms of office of the members first appointed shall
expire. as designated by the President at the time of nomination, four
at the end of the sixth year. four at the end of the eighth year, four
at the end of the tenth year, and four at the end of the twelfth year
after the effective date of this section. The terms of office of all
successors shall expire twelve years after the expiration of the terms
for which their predecessors were appointed; but any member appointed
to fill a vacancy occurring prior to the expiration of the term for which
his predecessor was appointed shall be appointed only for the unexpired
term of his predecessor.
(e) Not more than nine members shall be appointed from the same
political party. and each member shall receive an annual salary of
$12,000.
(d) Members of the Board my be removed by the President, after
notice and opportunity for public hearing, for inefficiency, neglect of
duty, or malfeasance in office, but for no other cause,
(e) or the nembers the appointed, one shall be designated by
the President as chairman, and one as vice chairman of the Board.
SEC. 3. (a) The Secretary shall foster, promote, and develop
161
- S -
a sound, adequate, and efficient transportation system and shall exer-
cise the functions transferred to him by. or pursuant to, this Act and
such other functions as may hereafter be vested in and imposed upon him
by law.
(b) The Secretary shall cause a seal of office to be made for
the Department of Transportation, of such device as the President shall
approve. and judicial notice shall be taken of such seal.
(e) The Secretary shall, annually. at the close of each fiscal
year, sake a report in writing to the Congress, giving an account of all
money received and expended by the Department of Transportation and
describing the work done by that Department. He shall also from time
to time make such special investigations and reports as he may deem
necessary. or as he may be required to make by the President, or by
either House of Congress.
(a) The Secretary my delegate to any officer or employee of the
Department of Transportation any of the functions conferred or in-
posed upon him by this Act.
SEC. 4. (a) within 180 days after the effective date of this
section, the President shall transfer by Executive order to the Secre-
tary all functions exercised by the following agencies which are
executive in characted and the exercise of which is not subject to
review by courts of law, and to the Board all functions exercised by
such agencies which are quasi-judicial or quasi-legialative in character
and the exercise of which is subject to review by courts of laws
162
- 4 -
The Bureau of Public Roads of the Department of Agriculture,
The Burean of Air Commerce of the Department of Commerce,
The United States Maritine Commission,
The Division of Transportation of the Bureau of Foreign
and Domestic Commerce of the Department of Commerce,
The Interstate Commerce Commission,
The Lighthouse Service of the Department of Commerce, and
The Burean of Navigation and Marine Inspection of the
Department of Commerce,
(b) Whenever all of the functions of any agency specified in
subsection (a) of this section have been transferred by the President,
such agency is hereby abolished.
(o) Such personnel and property (including office equipment
and official records) as the President shall determine to have been
employed in the exercise of functions transferred to the Secretary or
the Board under subsection (a) of this section, may be transferred to
the Secretary by the President, upon such dates as he shall specify,
by Executive order: Provided, That the transfer of such personnel shall
be without change in classification or compensation, except that this
requirement shall not operate after the end of the fiscal year during
which such tannafer is made toprevent the adjustment of classification
or compensation to conform to the duties to which such transferred per-
sonnel may be assigned: Provided further, That such of the personnel
so transferred who do not already possess a classified civil service status
shall not acquire such status by reason of such transfer except (1) upen
x
163
- 5 -
recomendation of the Secretary within one year after such personnel
have been so transferred and certification within such period by the
Secretary to the Civil Service Commission that such personnel have served
with merit for not less than six months prior to the transfer, and (2)
upon passing such suitable noncompetitive examinations as the Civil Service
Commission my prescribe/
(a) Such of the unexpended balances of appropriations, available
for use by any agency specified in subsection (a) of this section in the
exercise of the functions transferred to the Secretary or the Board, as
the President shall deem necessary and specify by Executive order, are
transferred to the Secretary upon such date as the President shall specify
in such Executive order. Such unexpended balances shall be available for
use in connection with the exercise of functions transferred to the Sec-
retary or the Board under subsection (a) of this section.
SEC. 5. (a) All orders, rules, regulations, permits or other
privileges, nate, issued, or granted by, or in respect of, any agency
abolished, or functions transferred, under the provisions of the fore-
going section and in effect at the time of the abolition or transfer,
shall contime in effect to the same extent as if such abolition or
transfer had net occurred, until medified, superseded, or repealed, w
the Secretary or the Board, M the case may be.
(b) No suit, action, or other proceeding lawfully commenced
164
- 6 -
by or against the head of any executive department or independent -
tablishment, or other officer of the United States, in his official
capacity or in relation to the discharge of his official duties, shall
abate by reason of the abolition of any agency or transfer of any fune-
tion effected under the provisions of this Act but the court, on motion
or supplemental petition filed at any time within twelve months after
such abolition or transfer takes affect, showing the necessity for a
survival of such suit. action, or other proceeding. to obtain & settle-
net of the questions involved, may allow the same to be maintained by
or against the Secretary e the Board, as the case may be.
(e) All laws relating to any agency abolished or function trans-
ferred under the provisions of this Act shall, in 80 far as such laws
are not inapplicable, remain in full force and effect and shall be ad-
ministered by the Secretary or the Board, as the case may be.
SEC. 6. (a) The Board shall exercise its functions independently
of the Secretary and the President. Any order, affirmative or negative,
issued by the Board under this Act shall be subject to review by the
circuit courts of appeals of the United States or the United States Court
of Appeals for the District of Columbia, upon petition filed within
sixty days after the entry of such order by any person disclosing a nb-
stantial interest in such order. After the expiration of said sixty days,
a petition my be filed only by leave of court upon a showing of reason-
able grounds for failure to file the petitiem theretofere.
(b) A petition under this section shall be filed in the court
for the circuit wherein the petitioner resides or has his principal
165
- 7 -
place of business or in the United States Court of Appeals for the
District of Columbia.
(e) A copy of the petition shall, upon filing, be forthwith
transmitted to the Board by the clerk of the court and the Board shall
thereupon certify and file in the court a transcript of the record, if
any. upon which the order complained of was entered.
(d) Upon transmittal of the petition to the Board, the court
shall have exclusive jurisdiction to-affirm, modify or set aside the
order complained of, in whole or in part, and if need be to order
fatther proceedings by the Board. Upon good cause shown, interlocutory
relief may be granted by stay of the order or by such mandatory or other
relief as may be appropriate: Provided. That no interlocutory relief
my be granted except upon at least five days' notice to the Board.
(e) The findings of fact by the Board if supported by substan-
tial evidence shall be conslusive. No objection to an order of the
Board shall be considered by the court unless such objection shall have
been urged before the Board or, if it we not so urged, unless there
vere reasonable grounds for failure to do so.
(f) The judgment and decree of the court affirming. modifying,
enforcing. or setting aside, any such order of the Board shall be final,
subject to review by the Supreme Court of the United States upon certi-
fication or certierari an provided in sections 239 and 240 of the
Judicial Code.
166
- 8 -
smc, 7 There are hereby authorised to be appropriated ont of any
soney in the Treasury not otherwise appropriated such - as may be
necessary to carry out the provisions of this Act.
sec. 8. The term "function" as need in this Act means any right,
privilege, your, duty, function, or immity.
SEC. 9. The provisions of this Act, except this section, -
tion 1, section 2, and section 3, shall become effective sixty days after
enactment: Brovided, That the President shall, if he finds such action
necessary or desirable in the public interest, postpone the effective
date of any provision of this Act, except this section, section 1,
section 2, and section 3, to such time as he shall preseribe, but not
beyond the 180th day following the ensotment of this Act.
167
WORKS PROGRESS ADMINISTRATION
WALKER-JOHNSON BUILDING
1734 NEW YORK AVENUE NW.
WASHINGTON, D.C.
HARRY L. HOPKINS
ADMINISTRATOR
April 6, 1938.
Mrs. Henrietta S. Klotz
Assistant to the Secretary
U. S. Treasury Department
Washington, D. C.
Dear Mrs. Klotz:
Attached is the weekly memorandum requested
by Mr. Morgenthau.
Very truly yours,
Summ Ron
Emerson Ross, Director
Division of Research,
Statistics and Records
Enclosure.
168
WORKS PROGRESS ADMINISTRATION
WALKER-JOHNSON BUILDING
1734 NEW YORK AVENUE NW.
WASHINGTON, D. C.
HARRY L. HOPKINS
ADMINISTRATOR
April 5, 1938
MEMORANDUM
TO:
Mr. Morgenthau, Secretary of the Treasury
FROM:
Emerson Ross, Director
Division of Research
Statistics and Records
Private employment declined again during March.
According to the preliminary BLS figure factory employment
declined 1.2 percent from February 15 to March 15. The
usual seasonal change during this period is an increase of
.8 percent.
Factory payrolls declined .6 percent during March,
indicating a lengthening of hours of work for those who were
employed.
Direct relief seems to be staying at about the
same level and March may be even slightly lower than the Feb-
ruary figure of 2,000,000 cases. The failure of direct relief
to increase despite the decline in private employment is at-
tributable in part to warmer weather in some parts of the
country, in part to the continued increase in WPA employment,
and in part to the financial inability of some cities to in-
crease their relief expenditures.
WPA employment continued to increase, reaching
2,444,000 persons on April 2, an increase of 49,000 for the
week.
169
Wednesday
April 6, 1938
12:40 p.m.
Archie
Lochhead:
Hello.
HMJr:
Yes, Archie.
L:
I'll give you the market first.
HMJr:
Please.
L:
Ah - Well, now, first of all, the Chamber
passed Blum's proposal.
HMJr:
He did?
L:
Yes. He got it 310 to 250.
HMJr:
Very good.
L:
So, therefore, it's now up to the Senate. There
doesn't seem to be any more feeling just now that
the Senate will pass it...
HMJr:
Uh huh.
L:
But on the other hand he's gotten by this far.
HMJr:
When does it go by the - go to the Senate?
L:
It - well, they speak about it going to the Senate
tomorrow as a program.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
Now, whether or not it will be advanced on account of
getting - yes, well; of course there's this - Taylor
says the finance committee of the Senate of course
will have to go first on it.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
But they may advance it a little bit - a little bit
on account of giving the early vote this morning.
HMJr:
I see.
L:
Now, on the stock market - it's a little bit off, about
1.96.
HMJr:
That's all right.
170
-2-
L:
The rails and the industrials and the utilities are
also off somewhat.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
The government bonds are holding very well, they may
be a thirty-second or more off from last night....
HMJr:
That's all right.
L:
But they were still -
in fact, the Federal was
able to dispose of about eight million four hundred
thousand in bonds yesterday.
HMJr:
Fine.
L:
They sold out about eight million four. That means -
let's see, they bought about fifty-five and sold about
eight and a half.
HMJr:
Well, that's all right.
L:
So they're working a little bit more flexibly over
there just now.
HMJr:
Good.
L:
Exchanges are dull. Sterling is about 496.25.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
Francs were inclined to be a little bit easier after
he got his vote. They're selling at about 309, but
there's no real change in them. Silver in London
works out this morning about forty-two forty-four
which is practically parity so there should be no
reason for any change.
HMJr:
That's all right.
L:
The New York Times Electric Power Index is 91.4;
up .4.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
It - 91.4 which is up .4.
HMJr:
What do you mean, point, decimal, you mean?
171.
-3-
L:
Yes. Ninety-one decimal four.
HMJr:
I mean, how much is it up?
L:
It's up decimal four.
HMJr:
Well, that's all right.
L:
So - well, it's on the up side, anyway.
HMJr:
Yes.
L:
Now that's all I have here just now, excepting my -
well, let's see -
I'll go -
Would you
want anything sent down to you today?
HMJr:
Ah - yes, there'll be a pouch, yes.
L:
All right, then, that's what they wanted to know
about.
HMJr:
I want to talk to Taylor a minute.
L:
Yes, he's right here now.
Wayne
Taylor:
Hello.
HMJr:
Taylor.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I spoke to both White and Haas this morning and
asked them to prepare memorandum for me. Hello.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I wish you'd tell both of them to make reservations
on the train which comes down Friday night here.
T:
I will.
HMJr:
And then have return reservations to come back on
the same train with me, so if I decide that I want
them to come they should be ready.
T:
All right.
HMJr:
Haas and White.
T:
Haas and White.
-4-
172
HMJr:
And
T:
That's to go Friday night
...
HMJr:
And come back with me Saturday.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
That they should make the reservations - Kieley
can make them for them.
T:
Check.
HMJr:
What I want to talk to them about is the stuff that
I asked them this morning.
T:
Right.
HMJr:
I mean, it's no secret from you, but I just don't
want to take time to go over it but you can - they'll
tell you see?
T:
Good.
Ah
HMJr:
And talk to each other.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
But ...
T:
Ah
...
HMJr:
But I want to get prepared and I think I may ask
them to come down.
T:
Right.
Did Harry tell you - Archie, that we
had already started work on one memo as a result
of the cabinet talk yesterday?
HMJr:
No.
T:
Well, it may - I don't - it may not be a duplication
but we had already started work on one of them for
you and I think they ought to have that too.
HMJr:
All right. But I mean they can explain it, it's just
T:
Yes.
-5-
173
HMJr:
I just want to know what the situation is and is
it time for us to do something and what they - what
their thoughts are
T:
Yes. Well, that is in a possible duplication, but
that's all right, it may not be.
HMJr:
I was going to try to see the President Sunday,
that's the point.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I don't know what he's doing or whether he's going
to be in town. All right.
T:
Ah - there's one other thing that happened this
morning; it isn't - I don't think it's terribly
important but you might be thinking about it.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
Bewley called in and he had a copy of the exchange
clause - ah - the usual clause in the British Trade
Agreement.
HMJr:
Yes.
T:
In which there is wording to the effect that agreement
will only be abrogated in the event of a substantial
change in the exchange relationships.
HMJr:
I see.
T:
He said he wasn't particularly curious about it but
that the Chancellor wanted to know really what that
meant.
HMJr:
Well, where is that clause; I don't get it. In the
trade treaty?
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
Well, why in the hell doesn't the State Department
consult us on that?
T:
Ah - They have been. Ah ...
HMJr:
Well, they didn't consult you, did they?
T:
What?
-6-
174
HMJr:
Did they consult you?
T:
It's their - it's the standard clause.
HMJr:
Oh.
T:
Yes.
HMJr:
I'll let you handle it.
T:
Well, I think you ought to have one aspect of it
in mind, which is, he, Sir John apparently wanted
to know what we meant by "substantial".
HMJr:
Well, let it wait until I get back.
T:
I will, but - it - I gave the obvious answer.
HMJr:
And that was?
T:
Which was that it was naturally to be interpreted
within the spirit and general application of the
Tripartite Agreement.
HMJr:
Good. That's all right.
T:
Yes. And that in the past why"substantial" had not
meant any day-to-day juggling, as I pointed out in
the case of France.
HMJr:
All right.
T:
Yes.
0. K.
HMJr:
Goodbye.
T:
Goobye.
7
175
April 6, 1938
Called Sumner and asked him what was happening on
the German refugee matter and he said that he was seeing
the President Friday and at that time he is going over the
list for a committee. I said "I hope that the President
and you have not given up the idea that the President will
make an appeal on the radio' and he said, 'I agree most
heartily with you and I have not given up the idea.' He
said, !When are you coming back?' and I said, 'Not before
Sunday, and his reply was, 'I wish you were here now. There
are certain national problems which are crystallizing' and he
again repeated 'I wish you were here, but of course if you
are not coming back before Sunday, they will wait until you
return.'
TREASURY department
176
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 6, 1938
TO
Secretary Morgenthau
FROM Mr. Taylor
Yesterday when I lunched with Henry Wallace he reviewed the conversation
which he had had with you over the telephone, and started in describing the
conversation which he had had with the President on the previous afternoon which
had resulted in his telephoning to you. Summed up this conversation indicated
that the President felt that immediate action was necessary) that the country
expected it of him; and that in his conversations with the Congressional
leaders he had emphasized the fact that if a program were not submitted in the
very near future it might be very necessary to call a Special Session of
Congress to meet a situation materially worse than the one which now faced us;
that the President was rarin' to go and that he (Henry Wallace) agreed with
his desire for action, and wished Wallace to get in touch with you and Jesse
Jones immediately with a view to presenting a program. Wallace mentioned four
things which the President emphasized: (1) Housing, (2) Farm Security; (3) Flood
Control, and (4) approximately 400 million dollars which he thought that the
RFC would be able to loan in a comparatively short period. He also mentioned
additional C.C.C. expenditures in connection with an expanded, or let us say,
adequate W.P.A. appropriation program. In connection with the latter it was
apparent that every one recognized that the billion dollars which had been
indicated as the necessary W.P.A. appropriation for this Session would not
be adequate to carry through the fiscal year, and we discussed the psychological
as well as other effects of a semi-inflationary or counter deflationary character
which would be produced by asking for a larger amount at this Session; for
177
- 2 -
example, two billion dollars on the basis of the whole fiscal year.
We agreed that in view of all the circumstances it would be preferable
to ask for the larger amount and permit circumstances to govern the rate
at which it was fed out.
I emphasized at intervals my strong feeling that whatever the
program adopted, that unless the program were properly sold to the
public that it would not be effective. Wallace completely agreed with
this point of view.
Without going into details of this discussion we emphasized the
fact that it was not in any way necessary to recede from a single
fundamental of the President's program, but that we should look at it
simply from the standpoint of analyzing how we had been selling a
good product. If we found that our sales efforts were not effective we
should look over our sales force, our advertising, our dealer organization
and the like and without hesitation change the selling appeals, pull
the ineffective salesmen off the road, etc. I have outlimed what I
believe to be the procedure in a separate memorandum.
We then had some further conversation about the railroad situation,
and in particular about the utility problem. In this latter discussion
Wallace mentioned the early settlement and sale to the T.V.A. of the
>
Commonwealth and Southern properties operating in the T.V.A. territory;
that he felt that it would be desirable to make this purchase as quickly
as possible and not attempt to get the last dime. This suggestion is
identical with one which you will notice in Berle's memorandum, which
leads me to believe that they have talked the situation over, although
neither Wallace nor Berle told me so specifically. Wallace said that
- 3 -
178
he had mentioned this possibility to the President but that the President
had not greeted it with any particular enthusiasm. I am enclosing the
original of the Berle memorandum. This memorandum was written after a
discussion with Ransom and myself at my house. You will doubtless
notice that there is a certain similarity between the Wallace and Berle
approaches on other points, but I do not think that Wallace's talk with
the President was inspired by any possible talk he may have had with Berle.
Wallace and I also discussed a modification of the credit and
monetary policies and agreed that a change in the reserve requirements
was a necessary accompaniment of the rest of the program, that this
particular change was preferable at this time to a change in our gold
policy, as in the minds of the public the raising of the reserve require-
ments was an important factor in the situation which later developed.
At the Berle-Ransom meeting we devoted a great deal of time to
the railroad situation, and I made it quite clear that I did not think
very much of the Splawn report to the President on the railroads and
that I believed that you favored strongly the creation of a new Department
with adequate powers. I gathered that Berle was inclined to agree with
this point of view but did not believe that it was politically possible
at this time. My own conviction is even stronger than when we last
talked, that a comprehensive, constructive railroad program is an essential
part of the picture and that this can only be accomplished by the estab-
lishment of a new Department with adequate powers. I have not included
this recommendation in my spearate memorandum as I believe that it
requires separate treatment and should not be confused with the general
selling program which I described.
179
- 4 -
I also mentioned to both Wallace and Berle your strong feeling
that the equivalent of a Human Resources Board should be established,
and while they agreed with the approach and the necessity for such an
organization, they gave me the impression that they were not over-
enthusiastic about including it in what you might describe as the
immediate program. I do not agree with their point of view, nor
do I with Wallace's view that the establishment of a Department of
Public Welfare will necessarily provide the long range planning of
this character which is necessary. The same could be said about the
National Resources Board, namely, that let us say that the Department
of Interior could act as a planning board. In other words, I think
that you are absolutely right in your insistence on the creation
of such an organization.
Berle laid some emphasis on the change in the reserve requirements
and agreed with the point of view expressed by Wallace, that the public
had chosen this particular move as contributory to the decline in
production which later occurred. I would certainly include Reserve
Board action in my list of minimum requirements for an immediate program.
Harry White, Dan Bell and George are submitting an additional memorandum
covering the relationship of our gold policy to our prospective budgetary
requirements, etc., so I will not go into this aspect here.
I believe that this summarizes the two conversations. I am en-
closing a memorandum of my own which treats the questions somewhat
differently and emphasizes the selling aspects which I mentioned above.
I agree with the conclusion of Wallace and Berle and various other
people here in Washington who believe that some program is necessary;
180
- 5 -
in other words, I do not think that the situation will right itself.
I rather believe that the country expects the President to take
action and that particularly in the middle and lower income groups
this action will be welcomed and enthusiastically supported.
well.
181
TREASURY DEPARTMENT
INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION
DATE April 6, 1938.
TO
Secretary Morgenthau
FROM
Mr. Taylor
Assuming that a new program of Government intervention is
necessary, and I believe that this assumption is justified, I think that
certain general principles should govern its selection and its execution.
1. That the program is intended to help and encourage private
initiative, and that expenditures will be made and credits extended
in those fields where private initiative and credit are unavailable
or in those fields where private initiative and credit will partici-
pate in the endeavor.
2. That each element composing the program shall meet the
requirement that it represents something that the country really
needs and which has an individual appeal on its merits. For example,
the establishment of a human resources board with its necessary research
activities, flood control, farm security and rehabilitation, the c.c.c.,
housing, both private and slum clearance, the improvement of our
regular and emergency airports, adequate credit facilities for small
business enterprises, the modernization of railroad equipment, the
maintenance of essential rights of way, the elimination of grade
crossings on essential rights of way and adequate hospital and public
health facilities, all have real appeal and should be undertaken
whenever the condition of our economy permits or demands action.
182
- 2 -
3. That the manner in which the program is presented, executed
and "sold" must be as carefully worked out as the program itself.
Such a program should be announced by the President, first in the form
of a message to Congress, followed that evening by a radio talk
explaining the program and selling it, emphasizing its national non-
partisan character, the necessity for the participation of all
elements of the population, that the American people never fail and
with their natural resources and advantages cannot fail, et cetera.
This should be followed up at convenient and regular intervals
by articles, speeches and radio talks by such Administration leaders
as Hull, Morgenthau, Wallace, Farley, Harry Hopkins, Garner, Jesse
Jones, Eccles, Chester Davis and possibly Edison and M. L. Wilson
and selected representatives from the Senate and House such as
Barkley, LaFollette, Bankhead, Rayburn and selected business, labor,
educational and local political leaders. All speeches should be
prepared well in advance of their release and should be checked
and double checked to see that they conform to the proper selling
pattern. Muzzles should be issued to all other Administration
spokesmen and the muzzles should be kept on until the Federal Reserve
Index crosses 110 or until it becomes apparent that the plans outlined
are ineffective. I do not believe that the latter, however, is a
possibility.
I do not believe that we should recede from a single Administra-
tion objective or compromise any principles, nor does this approach
contemplate any recession or compromise. I do believe that our recent
183
- 3 -
sales methods have been ineffective and should be completely revised
as we have been losing customers fast and haven't been getting any
new ones. The product itself is just as good as it ever was and
can and must be sold.
wayne Chaylor
-
184
JR
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 6, 1938
Rec'd 1:55 p.m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
RUSH.
545, April 6, 5 p.m.
FROM COCHRAN.
Paris Exchange market witnessed another jumpy day
of thin trading while Chamber debated Blum's financial
program. When word of the passage of bill by 310 to
250 votes came out between 4 and 5 p.m., franc rate
against sterling quickly moved from 160-3/4 to 1611.
Echoing the parliamentary incident of last night Braton
songs were sung on the bourse this afternoon and personal
clashes between traders threatened.
Market still EXPECTS Blum's defeat in the Senate but
its optimism over his prospective fall has been sobered
by the realization that whatever government is in power
will bE faced with raising approximately one billion francs
per WEEK for the remainder of the year. Furthermore,
the increased strikes will likely diminish any move toward
revival of confidence if they continue under new
government.
Bank of France statement tomorrow will show further
heavy borrowing by the state.
KLP:CSB
WILSON
185
REB
PLAIN
London
Dated April 6, 1938
Rec'd 3:30 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
284, April 6, 6 D. m.
FOR TREASURY FROM BUTTERWORTH.
The following EXCERPT from today's TIMES is
quoted because it has attracted attention in the city:
"Much as the proposed Blum reforms are disliked in
financial circles it is generally admitted that the
Explanatory memorandum accompanying the special powers
bill is a masterpiece of drafting. For the first time
since the days of M. Poincare an attempt is made to SEE
the Economic problem as a whole and to solve it not by
improvised EX edients but by a bold plan worked out in
detail. And though the Senate will probably reject the
Government's programme it is realized that M. Blum's
successor whoever hE may bE will bE obliged to make use
of a substantial part of it. What makes the Blum plan
so important is that it marks the End of a period of
illusions. N. Paul Reynaud, Professor Charles Rist and
a few
186
REB
2-#284, From London,Apr.6,6p.m.
a few others have during the past few years warned
the country against these financial illusions but they
have been lone VOICES crying in the wilderness. Now
at last the truth is SEEN; France has reached the parting
of the ways: the choice lies between the maintenance
of a liberal Economy and the introduction of a strictly
regulated one. If confidence returns French money will
bE repatriated and the Government will get all the money
they want. If it does not return and the Blum plan is
based on that assumption the Government will bE forced to
create new money and to take steps to prevent it leaving
the country. That means financial regimentation.
There was a genuine and strong demand for dollars
today. The franc market however was not large and silver
transactions were very small.
KENNEDY
WWC
BECEIAED
8831
-
-
187
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 7, 1938
Rec'd 2:55 p. m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
553, April 7, 6 p. m.
In the pas; few days the metallurgical strikes in
the Paris regions have spread to a number of important
additional aviation and automobile factories (including
one of the Matford factories) and now involve approxi-
mately 45,000 workers. Continual conferences between
the Government authorities, the owners and labor organiza-
tions have been Entirely unsuccessful. A government
proposal to End the Citroen strike through immediate
Evacuation of the factories followed by prompt payment
of wages due an Exceptional super-arbitral award short-
cutting the usual forms of procedure and the immediate
resumption of work without retaliatory measures against
the strikers was accepted by labor delegates who agreed
to endeavor to have them approved by the strikers. The
Citroen directors Expressed their willingness to resume
work at once but rejected the proposal for an Exceptional
arbitral
188
REB
2-#553, From Paris, Apr. 7, 6 p. m.
arbitral wage award, asserting that the procedure estab-
lished in the arbitration law of March 4, 1938 should bE
followed. This attitude aroused further resentment on
the part of labor Elements and was presumably a con-
tributory cause to the occupation of additional factories
during the last two days. The Gnome Rhone workers voted
a resolution yesterday demanding the nationalization of
that airplane motor concern.
(END SECTION ONE)
WILSON
CSB
(
189
RECEIVED
JR
DEPARTMENT OF STATE
GRAY
Paris
1938 APR 7 PM 4 32
Dated April 7, 1938
Secretary of
STATE
Rec'd 2:40 p.m.
Washington.
553, April 7, 6 p.m. (SECTION TWO)
On the other hand it is probable that the owners
are not displeased % the Embarrassment caused the Blum
Government by 11:3 inability to settle the strike and are
therefore content to SEE a settlement postponed until
the advent of a new Government. On the other hand the
lack of clear-cut demands on the part of the strikes
and the apparent absence of serious grievances do not
tend to attract popular sympathy to their cause. There
are signs that many of the strikers would welcome a return
to work, though the Left press charges that the movement
to this End is insuired by the Patronat. A secret
VOTE on strike continuation is reported to have been
promised by the Ministry of Labor. While bitterness
between opposing forces seems to bE increasing, no
violence has as yet occurred.
Meanwhile French national defense needs are naturally
suffering. This morning's press publishes a declaration
of
190
-2- #553, April 7, 6 p.m. (SECTION TWO) from Paris.
of an organization of Engineers and technicians to the
Effect that the occupation of the Messier factory (which
is the sole manufacturer of certain indispensable airplane
accessories) prevents the turning out of a single
inilitary airplane until work is resumed. (END MESSAGE)
WILSON
CSB
191
HP
JR
GRAY
Paris
Dated April 8, 1938
Rec'd 9:25 a.m.
Secretary of State,
Washington.
561, April 8, 11 a.m.
REference Embassy's 491, March 30, 1 p.m.
The attacks on the Senate made by the Socialist
paper POPULAIRE, referred to in the above telegram,
bore fruit last evening when the Socialist Federation
of the SEinE controlled by the Extreme LEft wing of the
Socialist Party held a demonstration in front of the
Senate. This demonstration was held despite the fact
that permission to hold it was refused by Socialist
Minister of the Interior Dormoy. BETWEEN 7 and 10,000
demonstrators participated and about 1200 police and
gardes mobiles were called out by the President of the
Senate under his constitutional authority in order to
protect that body. The police were able to disperse
the demonstrators with no more serious results than a
number of fist fights and scuffles.
POPULAIRE this morning criticizes the Federation
of the SEine for calling the meeting on the grounds
(1) that it did not consult the directing body of the
party,
192
-2- #561, April 8, 11 a.m., from Paris.
party, (2) the Minister of Interior is a Socialist and
hE should at least have been informed of their
intentions, and (3) that demonstrations should not bE
hEld before a legislative body.
WILSON
RR:SMS
03413938
BEST
\ \ 1.
193
PARTIAL
PARAPHRASE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED
FROM: American Embassy, paris, France
DATE: April 7, 1938, 4 p.m.
NO.: 551
RUSH.
FROM COGHRAN.
Franc has weakened sharply today (from 159-7/8 to
162 1/2 by 4 o'clock) especially after appearance of the
Bank of France statement as of March 31 stating this
showed that Treasury had drawn on the bank to the extent
of 1,900,000,000 francs, which means that 15,000,000,000
franc credit exhausted and 1,490,000,000 already drawn under
the new 5,000,000,000 authorization. Note circulation
89?
gained by 3,279,000,000 to reach a record height. Coverage
45.85 versus 46.81.
Operators are worn out over French labor troubles and
over threat of Socialist demonstration against the Senate
whose finance committee is considering Blum financial plan
this afternoon in preparation for the Senate debate Friday
afternoon. The market is skeptical as to the ability of a
Radical Socialist Government to make much headway in correct-
ing the financial situation in view of labor troubles, polit-
ical feuds and Treasury position as illustrated by the bank
statement. Some operators are now speculating on an early
fall of 10 francs against the pound, that is to around 170.
I was
194
- 2 -
I was told by the Bank of France at four o'clock
this afternoon that the market was very thin today. The
control was able to cover its requirements today. It is
the opinion of my friend that this is due to rumor that
tonight the Radical Socialist ministers may resign after
vote in Senate Finance Committee in order to avoid the
necessity of debating the bill in the Senate tomorrow andx
which would result in upset of the Government.
French foreign trade for March showed deficit of
1,296,000,000 francs as compared with 1,969,000,000 in
February. This improvement resulted principally from
diminution of imports.
Since above message was prepared Senate Finance
Committee has voted 25 to 1 against the Blum bill.
WILSON.
BECEIAED
6831 79A
- sie - 1
EA: LWW
195
April 7, 1938
This is HM,Jr's program which he wrote while
he was in Sea Island.
april 7. 1938
196
THE CLOISTER
SEA ISLAND, GEORGIA
I
1. Pres. should carefully relxamine
and lending
present spendings program.
2. Pres, next should study where
there are gaps in present program
and how they can he filled in.
3. Pres. should then re-state whole
spending programs to the country
#
" Re-Examine results of new
(last years
legislation and find out which
harts are not working efficiently.
Such as I.V.a. etc. Railroads
Shum clearance and low cost housing
should have small highly trusted
grant meet twice a walk with
Pres. to get these agencies straightened
197
THE CLOISTER
SEA ISLAND, GEORGIA
out. Kaping Public informed
at as to any real hogress.
III. amount to Public at
once what Pres, considers
necessary in additional
reform. Keep this down to
a minum.
IV. all Publicity out of Washington
to be carefully supervised.
set up State Committees of
Federal appointees to mut
once a week to sell Federal
Program in their harticular
State.
198
Excerpt from Herman Oliphant's weekly report to the
Secretary dated April 7, 1938:
Cement. We checked invitations which Procurement sent
to cement manufacturers covering cement requirements for all
Government activities from May 1 to August 31. Bids are to
be on an f.o.b. mill basis and prices bid are to be available
to contractors on all projects financed in while or in part by
the Federal Government. Justice and Federal Trade Commission
are being kept advised of developments.
CONFIDENTIAL
COPY
199 4/7/38
E:SOPANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Res Tax-Exempts
The Treasury has read to no a memorandum which they prepared for you stating
their objection to the application of the so-called Glass amendment to existing
tax-exempt securities. Of course the Glass amendment will serve no purpose if it
is not applied to existing securities since your recommendations, if accepted,
would do away completely with tax-exempt privileges 80 far as future securities are
concerned.
May I submit to you the following reasons in support of the Glass amendments
1. It is true that existing state and municipal bonds were sold on the basis
of counsel's opinion that the income therefrom was exempt from taxation under the
federal income tax laws. But it would be difficult to find any authoritative state-
ment in the opinions of the counsel on the strangth of which such bonds were sold
which asserts that income from tax-exempt bonds may not be taken into account in de-
termining the rate of surtex applicable to income from taxable sources. The Glass
smendment does not tax income from tex-exempt securities; it merely provides that
the fact of its existence should not be ignored in determining the surtax rate
on taxable income.
2. It is true that a number of individuals and trust estates will have to pay
higher taxes by reason of the Glass amendment. But changes in the tax laws are con-
stantly imposing new and frequently unexpected obligations upon texpayers. The fed-
eral Government has never committed itself not to change the tax laws. Certainly,
since the Glass amendment was first suggested in 1919, the purchasers and holders
of tax-exempt securities have been on notice that the Congress by statute might pro-
vide that the surtex rate on their income from taxable sources should take into ac-
count the existence of tax-exempt income.
3. I know of no convincing evidence to justify the Treasury's fear that the
Glass amendment will render large amounts of existing tax-exempt securities unat-
tractive to their present owners.
The Treasury's fear seems to be based on the assumption that the Glass amend-
sent takes from existing tax-exempt securities virtually the whole value of their
tax-exempt status. Although I have great respect for the opinion of the Treasury's
experts, it seems to me that this assumption is unwarranted. Although the Glass
amendment deprives the holders of existing tax-exempt securities of their right to
evade the surtaxes on their income from taxable sources, it leaves them completely
free of tax on their income from the tax-exempt securities themselves, and that is
and remains a very valuable privilege. The value of that remaining privilege to
the holders of existing tex-exempt securities will be enhanced by the fact that
such privilege will have & growing scarcity value because it will be unavailable
to the holders of future federal, state and municipal obligations.
Although it 18 difficult to underwrite the temporary vagaries of the bond
market there is in my judgment no reason to anticipate a prolonged decline in the
value of existing tax-exempt securities by reason of the enactment of the Glass
amendment. I understand that it is estimated that the complete removal of tax-
exempt privileges will increase the yield on federal obligations approximately
one-cuarter of one percent and the yield on state and municipal obligations about
6/10th of one percent. If this be the estimated effect of the complete removal of
the tax-exempt privilege, it is difficult to believe that the Glass amendment should
have serious, adverse effect on the market for existing tax-exempt securities,
particularly in view of the growing scarcity value of such securities. There would
be no tax advantage for holders to shift from existing tax-exempts into other high
grade corporate bonds, and a shift by them into more speculative securities might
even have a wholesome effect on the markets as a. whole. Existing tax-exempts would
be as valuable to institutional buyers as they ever had been, and would become
decidedly attractive to institutional buyers on any recession.
4/7/38
200
- 2 -
As a matter of fact there is good reason to anticipate that a number of holders
of existing tax-exempts will find it profitable to increase their holdings of exist-
ing tax-exempts so as to reduce the amount of their income from taxable sources
which, by reason of the Glass amendment, becomes taxable in the higher brackets.
It must be borne in sind that under the Glass amendment as individual or trust
estate which derives the whole of its income from existing tax-exempt securities
will be entirely free from the federal income tax.
My dear Mr. President:
In the letter to you of March 28, 1936, it was stated as the
position of the Treasury that there should be recommended no legis-
lation affecting outstanding tax-exempt securities, even to the limited
extent of requiring that tax-exempt income be taken into account for
the purpose of fixing the surtax applicable to taxable income. Thes
letter did not state the reasons for this position of the Treasury.
By direction of Secretary Morgenthau I am outlining these reasons be-
low. They are:
(1) Such outstanding securities were purchased by their
holders with the understanding, buttressed by judicial decision,
that the income from such securities would not become the basis for
any texation. Indeed, Federal legislation has, since 1913, expressly
exempted state issues. Trusts, estates, and other fiduciaries, among
the other types of investors, hold these securities in their protfolios
upon this understanding. This understanding, whether resting on
Federal legislation or judicial decisions, should not be violated.
(2) There is no present impelling reason, as there was in
the case of the gold legislation, for a modification of contract
with holders of outstanding securities, in so far as tax exemption
is concerned. The evils resulting from tax exemption will be
remedied, as to the bulk of these securities, in a comparatively short
period of time by confining the removal of exemptions to securities
issued in the future. The arguments for completely eradicating this
evil at the present moment seem to no to be far outweighed by the
challenge that a solemn promise has been breached.
(3) New issues of state and municipal bonds are coming out
at about a billion and a quarter dollars a year, and the market is
adjusted to absorbing these issues and a moderate amount of trading
in old issues. Should presently outstanding securities be made the
basis of taxation, a total volume of perhaps $5 or $9. billions of
such securities would become unattractive to their present holders.
Secretary Morgenthau, Mr. Taylor, Mr. Oliphant and I are in agreement
that the liquidation of any considerable part of such a volume of
securities --- amounting to over six years' gross new issues at the
present rate --- would so seriously disturb the state and municipal
bond market that it would be years before its equilibrium would be
regained. This difficulty would not arise, however, should the
10
Orig. by special messenger to Wite House- 4/7/38 - 4:20 P.M.
2 c.-Oliphant
at Sea Is.-Ga.
1 0.-Secy. M. FILE COPY
- 2 -
removal of tax exemption be applied to future issues only, while
all of the expected advantages would be attained within a reason-
able period with a minimum of disturbance to the economic structure,
If your final thought is to recommend taxation of future
issues only, the last paragraph and the quotation on page 5 of the
last draft of the proposed message should be cmitted.
May I also call your attention to the statement on page 4
of the draft of the message that "For more than twenty years an
unbroken line of Secretaries of the Treasury has reported to Congress
the growing evils of these tax exemptions." I find that such reports
have been mde to Congress by Secretaries Glass, Houston, Mellon and
Morgenthau only, but not by Secretaries Mills and Woodin. I suggest,
therefore, that the passage be revised to read as follows: "Yor more
than twenty years the growing evils of tax-exempt securities have
caused grave consern to the Treasury. Secretaries Glass, Houston,
Mellon and Morgenthau have all recommended to Congress that these
evils be eradicated."
Faithfully yours,
Under Secretary.
The President
The White House
RM/mrl retyped 4/7/38 a.m.
FILE COPY
203
APR 1938
My dear Mr. President:
In the letter to you of March 25, 1938, it was stated as the
position of the Treasury that there should be recommended no legis-
lation affecting outstanding tax-exempt securities, even to the limited
extent of requiring that tax-exempt income be taken into account for
the purpose of fixing the surtex applicable to taxable income. This
letter did not state the reasons for this position of the Treasury.
By direction of Secretary Morgenthau I an outlining these reasons be-
low. They are:
(1) Such outstanding securities were purchased by their
holders with the understanding, buttressed by judicial decision,
that the income from such securities would not become the basis for
any texation. Indeed, Federal legislation has, since 1913, expressly
exempted state issues. Trusts, estates, and other fiduciaries, among
the other types of investors, hold these securities in their pestfolios
upon this understanding. This understanding, whether resting on
Federal legislation or judicial decisions, should not be violated.
(2) There is no present impelling reason, as there was in
the case of the gold legislation, for a modification of contract
with holders of outstanding securities, in so far as tax exemption
is concerned. The evils resulting from tax exemption will be
remedied, as to the bulk of these securities, in a comparatively short
period of time by confining the removal of exemptions to securities
issued in the future. The arguments for completely eradicating this
evil at the present moment seen to - to be far outweighed by the
challenge that a selemn promise has been breached.
(3) New issues of state and municipal bonds are coming out
at about a billion and a quarter dollars a year, and the market is
adjusted to absorbing these issues and a moderate amount of trading
in old issues. Should presently outstanding securities be made the
basis of taxation, a total volume of perhaps $6 or $9 billions of
such securities would become unattractive to their present holders.
Secretary Morgenthau, Mr. Tayler, Mr. Oliphant and I are in agreement
that the liquidation of any considerable part of such a volume of
securities --- amounting to over six years' gross new issues at the
present rate --- would so seriously disturb the state and municipal
bond market that it would be years before its equilibrium would be
regained. This difficulty would net arise, however, should the
204
- 2 -
removal of tax exemption be applied to future issues only, while
all of the expected advantages would be attained within a reason-
able period with a minimum of disturbance to the structure.
If your final thought is to recommend texation of future
issues only, the last paragraph and the quotation on page , of the
last draft of the propesed measage should be cuitted.
May I also call your attention to the statement en page 1
of the draft of the message that "For mee than twenty years as
unbroken line of Secretaries of the Treasury has reported to Congress
the growing evile of these tax exemptions." I find that such reports
have been made to Congress by Secretaries Glass, Houston, Hollon and
Morgenthau only, but not by Secretaries Mills and Woodin. I suggest,
therefore, that the passage be revised to read as follows: "Yes more
than twenty years the growing evils of tax-emupt securities have
caused grave contern to the Treasury. Secretaries Glass, Houston,
Mellon and Morgenthau have all recomended to Congress that these
evils be eradicated."
Faithfully yours,
(Signed) Roswell Magill
Under Secretary.
The President
The White House
RM/mrl retyped 4/7/38 a.m.
TO THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES:
20s
205-
(COPY)
The Sixteenth Amendment to the Constitution of the
United States, approved in 1913, expressly authorized the
Congress "to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever
source derived." That is plain language. Fairly construed
this language would seem to authorize taxation of income
derived from state and municipal, as well as federal bonds,
and also income derived from state and municipal as well
as federal offices.
The reciprocal tax-immunity accorded such income
was conceived when the nation was young to strengthen
weak government finance and to protect the federal system.
Today, however, it constitutes a serious menace
to the fiscal systems of both the states and the nation.
Both the states and the nation are deprived of revenues
which could be raised from those best able to supply them.
Neither the federal government nor the states receive any
adequate, compensating advantage for the reciprocal tax-
immunity accorded to income derived from their respective
obligations and offices.
206
206
-2-
In recent years both the federal government and the
states have come to rely increasingly upon graduated income
taxes for their revenues. In recent years the rapid expansion
of federal and state activities has resulted in the issuance
of an increased volume of tax-exempt securities and in the
creation of an increased number of state and federal officers
and employees who claim special tax-exemption. Tax-exemption
which was once an inequity of relatively slight importance
has become a most serious defect in the fiscal systems of
the states and the nation.
Fundamentally our tax laws are intended to apply to
all citizens equally. That does not mean that the same rate
of income tax should apply to the very rich man and to the
very poor man. Long ago the United States, through the
Congress, accepted the principle that citizens should pay
in accordance with their ability to pay, and that identical
tax rates on the rich and on the poor actually worked an
injustice to the poor. Hence the origin of progressive
surtaxes on personal income as the individual personal
income increases.
During the past few years we have become conscious
3 -
207
more and more of the simple fact that these progressive sur-
taxes, established by the Congress to carry out a principle,
were being avoided by various methods. Loopholes in the tax
laws and the use of corporate devices give to hundreds of
individuals the chance to escape the letter of the law, even
though in so doing they were failing to carry out the spirit
of the law.
Tax exemptions through the ownership of government
securities of many kinds - federal, state and local -
has operated against the fair or effective collection of
progressive surtaxes and has, therefore, violated the spirit
of the tax law itself. Actually, in operation, it has given
a greater advantage to those with large incomes than to
those with small incomes.
Therefore, I lay before the Congress the statement
that a fair and effective progressive income tax and a
hugh perpetual reserve of tax-exempt bonds cannot exist
side by side.
Men with great means best able to assume business
risks have been encouraged to lock up substantial portions
208
-4-
of their funds in tax-exempt securities. Men with little means who should
be encouraged to hold the relatively secure obligations of the federal
and state governments have been obliged to pay a relatively higher price
for those securities than the very rich because the tax-immunity is of
nuch less value to them than to those whose incomes fall in the higher
brackets.
For more than twenty years an unbroken line of Secretaries of
the Treasury has reported to the Congress the growing evils of these
tex-exemptions. Economists generally have regarded them as wholly in-
consistent with any rational system of progressive taxation.
I do not think the Congress should feel obliged to wait upon
the realization of the cumbersome and doubtful remedy usually proposed
for this evil, namely, a. constitutional amendment. These tax-immunities
are not inexorable requirements of the Constitution. The present un-
fortunate situation is the product of adjudication and adjudication
can correct it. More than one hundred years ago doubts and difficul-
ties attending these immunities were expressed by members of the
Supreme Court, and in recent years the underlying assumptions
209
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of the doctrine have been impressively questioned by the Court
itself. The doctrine was originally evolved out of a totally
different set of economic circumstances from those which are
now dominant. It is a familiar principle of law that rules
of law lose their binding force when the reasons which gave
rise to the rules no longer exist.
I, therefore, recommend to the Congress that effective
action be promptly taken to terminate these tax-exemptions for
the future. The legislation should confer the same powers on the
States with respect to the taxation of federal bonds hereafter
issued as is granted to the federal government with respect to
state and municipal bonds hereafter issued.
I suggest also legislation which will authorize that tax-
exempt income be taken in account in fixing the surtax applicable
to taxable income. As Secretary of the Treasury Carter Glass
stated in his report for the fiscal year of 1919:
"It is intolerable that taxpayers should be
allowed, by purchase of exempt securities, not
only to obtain exemption with respect to the
income derived therefrom, but to reduce the super-
taxes upon their other income, and to have the
supertaxes upon their other income determined
upon the assumption, contrary to fact, that they
are not in possession of income derived from state
and municipal bonds."
210
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The same principles of just taxation apply to tax-
exemptions of official salaries. The federal government does
not now levy income taxes on the hundreds of thousands of
state, county and municipal employees. Nor do the states,
under existing decisions, levy income taxes on the salaries
of the hundreds of thousands of federal employees. Justice
in a great democracy should treat those who earn their livli-
hood from government in the same way as it treats those who
earn their livlihood in private employ.
I recommend, therefore, that the Congress enact legis-
lation ending tax-exemption on government salaries of all
kinds, conferring powers on the states with respect to federal
salaries and powers to the federal government with respect to
state and local government salaries.
The ending of tax-exemption, be it of government
securities or of government salaries, is a matter, not of
politics, but of principle.
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