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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library
Digital Library Collections
This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections.
Collection: President, Office of the: Presidential
Briefing Papers: Records, 1981-1989
Folder Title: 08/15/1983 (case file 163115)
Box: 34
To see more digitized collections
visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library
To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit:
https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection
Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected]
Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing
National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/
ID # 163115
WHITE HOUSE
OFFICE OF RECORDS MANAGEMENT
WORKSHEET
X-MEDIA
H-INTERNAL
Name of Document: BRIEFING PAPERS
FOR PRESIDENTS
Subject Codes:
SCHEDULED
APPOINTMENTS FOR
AU61583
PR 007 - 01
1)
Subject: Schedule of thoPresident's
-
activities and meetings. also
-
see 200/I.D.#163112 I.D.# 163112
-
-
2)
address to the 84th national Convention
ND 007 -
of the Veterans of Foreign Wars.
-
-
3) meeting with Republican supporters
LG NE to 0
in the Rouisiana area
PL 005 - 04
-
4) memo to ther regarding the political
PL
-
situation in fouislana
ST 018 -
I
5) Memo regarding the political
ST 005 -
situation in California
I
I
6) Memo regarding the political
ST 047 -
situation in Washington
I
ROUTE TO:
ACTION
DISPOSITION
Office/Agency
(Staff Name)
Action
Tracking Date
Type of
Completion Date
Code
YY/MM/DD
Response
Code
YY/MM/DD
RMHENL
RSZ
C
Referral Note:
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
SCHEDULE OF THE PRESIDENT
FOR
MONDAY, AUGUST 15, 1983
EVENTS: 1) Address the V.F.W. 84th National Convention
2) V.F.W. Leadership Photo Session
3) Louisiana GOP Photo Session
DRESS:
Men's Business Suit
WEATHER: Mostly Cloudy; Probable Thunderstorms;
Low 70's to Upper 80's
Private Breakfast in Suite.
9:45 a.m. Depart Suite en route motorcade for boarding.
9:50 a.m. Depart hotel en route Rivergate Exhibition and
Convention Center. Drive Time: 5 mins. Tn Limo:
M. Deaver; W. Clark.
9:55 a.m.
Arrive Rivergate Center.
- OFFICIAL PHOTOGRAPHER
Met by:
Governor David Treen (R-Louisiana)
Cong. Robert Livingston (R)
Accom. by Gov. Treen and Cong. Livingston, proceed to
holding room.
Gov. Treen and Cong. Livingston proceed to
stage.
10:00 a.m. Proceed to South Hall off-stage announcement area.
Met by:
James R. Currico, National Commander,
Veterans of Foreign Wars of the
United States
Ruffles and Flourishes
Announcement (off-stage)
"Hail to the Chief"
Accompanied by Commander Currieo, proceed to stage and
be seated.
- OPEN PRESS
08/12/83 5:00 p.m.
MONDAY, AUGUST 15, 1983
Page 2
Introduction by Commander Currieo.
10:05 a.m.
Proceed to podium and make remarks.
- OPEN PRESS
10:20 a.m.
Conclude remarks and depart stage en route holding
room.
10:25 a.m.
Depart holding room on route V.F.W. Leadership photo
session.
- OFFICIAL PHOTOGRAPHER
10:35 a.m.
Conclude V.F.W. Leadership photo session and proceed to
Amoss Room.
10:40 a.m.
Arrive Amoss Room for Louisiana G.O.P. photo session.
- OFFICIAL PHOTOGRAPHER
10:55 a.m.
Conclude Louisiana G.O.P. photo session and depart
Amoss Room en route motorcade for boarding.
11:00 a.m.
Depart Rivergate Center en route Airport. Drive Time:
20 mins. In Limo: W. Clark; M. Deaver.
11:20 a.m. Arrive Moisant Int'l. Airport. Board Air Force Cne.
- OPEN PRESS
11:25 a.m. Air Force One departs New Orleans, Louisiana en route
CDT
Oxnard, California.
Flight Time: 4 hrs. 10 mins.
Time Change: - 2 hrs.
Food Service: Lunch
1:35 p.m.
Air Force One arrives Pt. Mugu Naval Air Station,
PDT
Oxnard, California.
- OPEN PRESS
Proceed to Marine One and board.
1:40 p.m.
Marine One departs Pt. Mugu NAS en route Rancho del
Cielo.
Flight Time: 35 mins.
2:15 p.m.
Marine One arrives Rancho del Cielo landing zone.
- CLOSED PRESS
Proceed via vehicle to ranch house and join Mrs.
Reagan.
REMAIN OVERNIGHT: Rancho del Cielo
STAFF OVERNIGHT:
Sheraton Santa Barbara
Santa Barbara Biltmore
08/12/83 5:00 p.m.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
August 11, 1983
ADDRESS 84th NATIONAL CONVENTION OF
VETERANS OF FOREIGN WARS
DATE:
August 15, 1983
LOCATION:
Rivergate Convention Center
New Orleans, Louisiana
TIME:
10:00 A.M. (30 Minutes)
FROM:
Craig L. Fuller
CS
I.
PURPOSE
To address the National Convention of the Veterans of
Foreign Wars (VFW).
II.
BACKGROUND
The VFW is the oldest major veterans organization and
presently has over 1.95 million members in over 10,000
posts. Most members are World War II veterans though
around 500,000 are Vietnam veterans.
The VFW actively supported your candidacy and has been
helpful in several Administration legislative victories,
such as the AWACS sale and the Economic Recovery Program.
The principal legislative goals for 1983 are:
- appropriate funding for the Veterans Administration to
maintain the integrity of the VA Hospital and medical
care system and the entitlement and benefit programs,
- opposition to contracting out for services in the VA
Hospital and medical care system,
- strict enforcement of veterans preference in Federal
departments and agencies,
- funding for unemployed Vietnam veterans,
- expediting Agent Orange health studies, liberalize
criteria for claims and provide fee basis genetic
counseling related to herbicide exposure,
- opposition to capping cost of living adjustments for
Armed Forces retirees.
The VFW is supportive of Administration policy on Central
America, arms reduction, and defense budget proposals. It
also is in favor of close relations and arms sales to
Taiwan.
III. PARTICIPANTS
James R. (Bob) Currieo, National Commander-in-Chief
Clifford G. Olson, Jr., Senior Vice Commander-in-Chief
(will be next Commander-in-Chief)
Billy Ray Cameron, Junior Vice Commander-in-Chief
Howard E. Vander Clute, Jr., Adjutant General (was
Co-Chairman of Veterans for Reagan-Bush)
J. A. (Al) Cheatham, Quartermaster General
Mrs. Florence Taylor, National President, VFW Ladies
Auxiliary
Cooper T. Holt, Executive Director
IV. PRESS PLAN
Open Press Coverage
V.
SEQUENCE OF EVENTS
10:00 a.m. - Proceed to stage after off-stage announcement
Introduction by James R. Currieo,
Commander-in-Chief, VFW
10:05 a.m. - Remarks
10:25 a.m. - VFW Leadership photo session
10:30 a.m. - Depart for GOP photo session
THE WHITE house
WASHINGTON
August 11, 1983
PHOTO OPPORTUNITY WITH REAGAN/REPUBLICAN SUPPORTERS
AND KEY SUPPORTERS OF GOVERNOR DAVE TREEN
DATE:
August 15, 1983
LOCATION:
New Orleans, Louisiana
TIME:
10:35 a.m.
FROM:
Ed Rollins
I. PURPOSE
Photo opportunity with important Republican supporters
in the Louisiana area. In addition, a large number
of financial supporters of Governor Dave Treen will
be included in this event.
II. BACKGROUND
In addition to our traditional groups of Reagan/
Republican supporters, this event will reinforce
the White House's interest in the November 19th
gubernatorial race, pitting incumbent Governor
Dave Treen against former Democratic Governor
Edwin Edwards.
Current polls show Governor Treen closing in on
Edwards, recovering from a 15 to 20 percentage point
deficit this spring.
III. PARTICIPANTS
See atttached list
IV. PRESS PLAN
White House Photographer
V. SEQUENCE OF EVENTS
-- President enters holding room
-- Individual photos taken with attendees
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
FROM:
ED ROLLINS
W/
DATE:
AUGUST 10, 1983
SUBJECT:
LOUISIANA - POLITICAL BRIEFING
STATE POLITICAL BACKGROUND
Louisiana has elected only 3 GOP governors in its history and only 1 in
this century.
The state has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since
Reconstruction.
Since 1948, Republican presidential nominees have carried Louisiana in
4 of 9 elections (1956, 1964, 1972, and 1980).
Oil and gas dominate Louisiana's economy. The state is the third
largest petrochemical manufacturer after Texas and New Jersey.
Tourism is also a major component in Louisiana's economy followed by
agriculture. New Orleans will host the 1984 World's Fair (David Ryder,
a former Reagan White House advanceman, is the Deputy Commissioner
General of Section and Director of the U.S. Pavilion).
New Orleans, with its 55% black majority, dominates southern Louisiana
while Shreveport is a growing trade center in northern Louisiana.
New Orleans is unquestionably one of America's most beautiful and
distinctive cities.
Since its founding in 1718, New Orleans has been a mixture of peoples,
cultures and heritages.
New Orleans is the second most important seaport in the U.S. in the
value of foreign commerce.
Vice President Bush has named New Orleans as a regional headquarters in
the government's efforts to intercept drug smugglers.
Baton Rouge is Louisiana's state capital and is the home of two of
America's largest universities --- Louisiana State University and
Southern University (the nation's largest predominately black
university).
Baton Rouge grew 32% in the 1970's and its port facility is the
nation's fourth largest.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 2
1984 PRESIDENTIAL RACE
Louisiana will send 41 delegates to the 1984 Republican National
Convention.
It will cast 10 electoral votes in 1984.
President Reagan carried the state in 1980 with 51% of the popular
vote, but lost Orleans Parish (New Orleans) by a 40% - 58% margin.
The Presidential primary will be held on April 7, 1984.
U.S. Representative Wilbert Tauzin has endorsed Sen. John Glenn for
president.
BIOGRAPHICAL DATA -- David C. Treen
DOB: July 16, 1928, Baton Rouge, LA
Hometown: Metairie, LA
Education: Tulane University, BA, 1948
Tulane University, LLB, 1950
Wife: Dolores, 3 Children
Political Background
-- elected governor in 1979; became first Republican governor of
Louisiana in over a century
-- serves as chairman of the Interstate Oil Compact Commission
-- 1973 - 1980, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 3rd Congressional
District.
-- 1972 - 1974, Republican National Comitteeman
-- unsuccessful campaigns for U.S. House, 1962, 1964, 1968.
-- unsuccessful campaign for governor, 1972
-- delegate to all Republican National Conventions since 1964; chairman
of the Louisiana delegation in 1968 and 1972.
-- he is seeking election to his second term as governor in 1983.
STATE POLITICAL SUMMARY
1982 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS:
Louisiana Congressional Delegation:
2 Republicans
6 Democrats
All eight incumbents won re-election easily in the state's non-partisan
primary in September 1982.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 3
1983 GUBERNATORIAL CAMPAIGN:
POLLS:
With the election only three months away, three major polls are showing
first term Republican Governor David Treen closing in on former
Democratic Governor Edwin Edwards from a 15 to 20 percentage points
deficit this spring.
A Shreveport Journal poll of 400 registered voters in the
Shreveport-Bossier City area was released on July 15. The poll, taken
after a grand jury issued a report claiming Edwards used his office as
Governor to set up a state employee tax shelter plan to benefit his
friends, showed Treen and Edwards both with 32% of the vote while 35%
was undecided.
In a poll jointly commissioned by four television stations (WWL-TV, of
New Orleans; KSLA-TV of Shreveport; WBRZ-TV of Baton Rouge; KATC-TV of
Lafayette) and conducted July 17-19, 43% of the 925 people polled chose
Edwards, while 35% preferred Treen.
Of those questioned in the above July television poll, 55% said they
were aware of the grand jury report; of that number, 39% said they
thought Edwards was involved in unethical conduct while 31% said they
did not think he did anything wrong.
In June, the Treen campaign released a telephone poll conduct-
ed through Marketing Research Institute of Jackson, Mississippi, which
only gave Edwards a 2-point lead -- 44% - 42% with 11.7% undecided.
The poll, which has been publicly criticized by Edwards, also found
that 19.4% of black respondents favored Treen, (up from 3% in the 1979
election) while 59.7% favored Edwards.
Edward's campaign poll released June 21st gave Edwards a 49%-34%
lead, with 17% undecided.
A poll by Hamilton and Staff of Chevy Chase, Maryland, released on June
21, showed Edwards leading Treen 49%-34% with 17% undecided.
-- the poll also showed that 96% of the electorate were familiar with
both candidates.
-- unemployment and education were the two top issues concerning
voters.
-- Edward's strengths were with the black voters and blue-collar white
voters.
-- Treen's strengths were with white-collar white voters.
A WDSU - TV (New Orleans) poll conducted in mid May gave the following
information:
-- Edwards led Treen by 20 percentage points -- 49%-29% with 22%
undecided or not stating preference.
-- in the New Orleans area, Edwards led Treen by a 46%-26% margin.
--- among whites, Edwards was backed by 44%, Treen by 33%, with 23% un-
decided or not stating preference.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 4
--- among blacks, Edward's support was 66%, Treen's was 7%, with 27%
undecided or not stating preference.
---- the poll showed Treen suffered from the perception of not being an
effective governor, and from the perception of not being as outgoing
as Edwards. He did have a small lead on the subject of integrity.
A mid-June WWL - TV (New Orleans) poll showed Edwards with a 17 point
lead.
CANDIDATES:
Treen defeated Democrat Louis Lambert in 1979 by only 10,000 votes to
become Louisiana's first Republican governor since Reconstruction.
In seven major campaigns over a 25 year span, Edwards has never lost
an election.
The latest campaign finance reports through July 15 show Edwards has
raised $4.9 million and spent $3.98 million.
Treen's quarterly campaign finance reports showed that he has raised
$1.96 million and spend $1.6 million.
Edwards has serious problems with the environmentalists, based on his
longtime connections with the oil industry, and is viewed even by many
who support him as "a little shady."
Treen is suffering from the deep distress in the oil industry and the
effects on state revenues -- particularly when contrasted with the
boom in the industry during most of Edward's eight years in office
in the 1970's.
Democrats are conceding that Treen has made a serious effort to give
blacks appointments that represent a genuine role for them in state
government. As a result, Treen hopes to capture 20% or more of the
black vote in a state in which one-fourth of the electorate is
black.
A group of black leaders have recently warned former Governor Edwards
that he should not take the black vote for granted, and predicted
Governor Treen would receive up to 15% of the minority ballots in
November.
Edwards appears ahead in the population centers of Lafayette,
Alexandria and New Orleans. Treen leads in Shreveport, Monroe and
Jefferson Parish. Baton Rouge is close. Edwards appears ahead in most
of rural Louisiana and is building a strong campaign organization in
Acadiana.
There are three other minor candidates running for governor. No one
thinks they have a chance, but it is speculated, although unlikely,
that they could poll enough votes to send the Treen-Edwards race into a
November 19 run-off.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 5
Edwin Edwards was not overjoyed by the qualifying entry of Rev. R.E.
Edwards of Baton Rouge, a 62 year-old minister in the Truth Seekers of
Jesus Christ Pentacostal Church. Edwin Edwards estimates this entry
could cost him 1,000-5,000 votes as some voters will simply pull the
wrong Edwards lever.
1984 U.S. SENATE ELECTION
Democrat incumbent J. Bennett Johnston will be seeking election to a
third term in 1984.
While Republican Congressman W. Henson Moore has decided to avoid the
race, a top aide to U.S. Representative Bob Livingston has said that
the New Orleans congressman is thinking "seriously" about challenging
Johnston.
The key factor for Livingston will be what happens to his congressional
district. A three judge panel is currently weighing a dispute over
Louisiana's 1981 congressional redistricting plan. The panel may rule
that there must be a majority black district in New Orleans, causing
Livingston to run in a potentially tough political territory.
Johnston is said to have $1.2 million presently in campaign funds and
is actively raising more.
STATE PARTY UPDATE
The Republican State Party has targeted 15 state house and 6 state
senate seats for the fall election as the most winnable races.
Republicans expect only one GOP incumbent to have difficulty being
re-elected.
The state party has been working very closely with the Treen campaign
supplementing their efforts where needed. Under the Precinct '82 plan,
the party has trained operatives in the organizational and financial
campaign areas with the goal of providing the Treen campaign with an
experienced workforce.
REPUBLICAN STATE PARTY OFFICIALS
STATE CHAIRMAN
George Despot
NATIONAL COMMITTEEMAN
Frank Spooner
NATIONAL COMMITTEEWOMAN
Ginny Martinez
REAGAN BUSH STATE CHAIRMAN
U.S. Rep. W. Henson Moore
U.S. Rep. Bob Livingston
ELECTED OFFICIALS
GOVERNOR - David C. Treen - Republican - Elected in 1979
SENATORS - Russell Long - Democrat - Re-elected in 1980
Bennett Johnston - Democrat - Re-elected in 1978
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 6
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
2 Republicans
6 Democrats
REPUBLICAN MEMBERS
Bob Livingston
1st District
W. Henson Moore
6th District
STATE LEGISLATURE:
State Senate
1 Republican 38 Democrats
State Senate Minority Leader
Ken Hollis
State House
9 Republicans 96 Democrats
State House Minority Leader
Charles Lancaster
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
FROM:
ED ROLLINS
DATE:
AUGUST 10, 1983
SUBJECT:
POLITICAL BRIEFING -- CALIFORNIA
STATE POLITICAL BACKGROUND
Republicans have won 7 of the last 11 presidential elections
since 1942 in California. The most recent Republican loss
was in 1964.
Republican and Democrat representation in the U.S. Senate has
been split for most of the past 30 years.
There have been only 3 Democrat governors of California in
the 20th Century - 16 years of Pat and Jerry Brown and 4
years with Culbert Olson in the late 1930s.
Over 24 million people, seven times the population in all of the
first 13 states in 1790, now live in California.
California is home to one of ten Americans.
If California were an independent nation, it would exceed more
than 100 nations in population, 92 in land area and its gross
national product ($350 billion) would place California at number 8
in the world.
During the 1970s, California became the new Ellis Island of
America, as it attracted millions of Mexicans, other Latin
Americans and Asians.
Today, almost one in five Californians is Hispanic - more than
when the state was ceded to the U.S. by Mexico in 1848.
Hispanics may constitute over 28% of the state population by the
year 2000. Presently, one quarter of C.D. 19's (South Central
Coast - Santa Barbara, represented by U.S. Rep. Robert
Lagomarsino) inhabitants are Hispanic.
The Asian population of the state is expected to rise from the
current 6.7% to about 10% by the year 2000.
More than half the land of Santa Barbara remains in agriculture,
much of it in ranches.
More than any other California city, Santa Barbara has retained
the ancient Spanish architecture and lifestyle.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 2
Santa Barbara has attempted to stay out of the pro-growth society.
However, offshore drilling leading to discovery in 1969 of one
of the most potentially important U.S. oil finds threatens to
change this posture. Local resistance by environmentalists has
been strong and led to support of congressional restrictions on
offshore drilling.
Presently, C.D. 19 is contained in just two counties -- Santa
Barbara, which accounts for slightly less than 60% of the vote,
and the northern and western parts of Ventura County. The
affluent Santa Barbara voters whose hillside homes overlook
offshore oil rigs tend to place environmental issues as a top
priority. The oil workers of Oxnard, the ranchers in the foot-
hills of the Coastal Range and the military families near
Vandenberg Air Force Base are more interested in economic growth.
1982 voter registration information showed that 46% of the voters
in Santa Barbara County were registered as Democrats, 38%
Republicans and 16% other.
In the 1976 U.S Senate Democratic primary, Santa Barbara County
was one of only four counties which social activist Tom Hayden
carried against U.S. Sen. John Tunney. In 1980, it backed Reagan
overwhelmingly in the general electionl.
ROBERT J. LAGOMARSINO
C.D.19 South Central Coast-Santa Barbara
DOB: September 4, 1926 (57 years); Ventura, California.
Education: B.A., University of California-Santa Barbara, 1950.
LL.B., University of Santa Clara, 1953.
Family: Wife, Norma Smith; 3 children
Professional Experience:
-- 1944-46, Navy.
-- practiced law in Ventura.
--- 1958, elected to the Ojai City Council.
-- 1958-61, Mayor of Ojai.
-- 1961-47, state senator.
-- March 1974, elected to the U.S. House of Representatives to
serve the unexpired term of the late Republican Rep. Charles M.
Teague.
- deftly steered the campaign away from the "mess in
Washington" (Watergate) to the mess along the California
coast (oil spill).
- came to Congress as an environmentalist and has remained one
despite a hard-lined conservatism on other issues.
-- November 1974, elected to a first full term with 56% of the
vote.
-- The only serious Democratic effort to unseat him came in 1976 -
he won with 64% of the vote - and he has won re-election by
over 60% of the vote each time since then.
-- 1982, elected to a fifth term by defeating Democrat Frank Frost
by a 63%-37% margin.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 3
Committees:
Foreign Affairs (4th)
Subcommittee: Western Hemisphere Affairs (Ranking)
Interior and Insular Affairs (3rd)
Subcommittees: Insular Affairs (Ranking)
Public Lands and National Parks (6th)
1984 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
California's Republicans will send 176 delegates and
alternates to the 1984 convention compared to 168 in 1980.
California has 47 electoral votes--the most nationwide.
President Reagan received 52.7% of the popular vote in his
home state, carried Los Angeles by a 51.5%-41% margin, San
Diego by a 62%-28% margin and Santa Barbara by a 56%-32.5% vote
margin.
Presidential primary date: June 5, 1984.
San Francisco will be the site of the 1984 Democratic National
Convention scheduled for July 16-20.
In early June, the executive board of the California Democratic
party approved a major change in the delegate selection process
for the 1984 Democratic Convention.
-- Democrat party caucuses will begin on March 11 to select
convention delegate slates to be elected in the primary
election in June.
---- 209 of the state's 345 convention delegates will be chosen
by a winner take-all method in each congressional district. The
remaining 136 will be chosen by the party leadership.
DEMOCRAT PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES
President Reagan has increased his lead in California over
Mondale, Cranston, and Hart according to the California Poll from
late June. The President also now leads Glenn in California,
whereas in March he narrowly trailed the Ohio Senator.
The latest California Poll results are as follows:
June
March
June
March
1983
1983
1983
1983
Reagan
51%
47%
Reagan
51%
45%
Mondale
43
42
Cranston
43
44
Undecided
6
11
Undecided
6
11
Reagan
49%
44%
Reagan
56%
51%
Glenn
42
46
Hart
33
35
Undecided
9
10
Undecided 11
14
The California members of Congress who have endorsed former Vice
President Walter Mondale are: Representatives Jim Bates, Douglas
H. Bosco, Mervyn M. Dymally, Robert T. Matsui, Leon E. Panetta,
Anthony C. Beilenson, Barbara Boxer, Vic Fazio, Norman Y. Mineta
and Fortney H. (Pete) Stark Jr.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 4
Senator Cranston has been endorsed by the following California
Congressmen: Glenn M. Anderson, Howard L. Berman, George E.
Brown Jr., Don Edwards, Tom Lantos, Mel Levine, Matthew G.
Martinez, George Miller, Jerry M. Patterson, Edward R. Roybal,
Esteban E. Torres and Henry A. Waxman.
Mondale has also received endorsements from 16 California mayors,
all of them non-partisan. The group is led by San Francisco Mayor
Diane Feinstein and Oakland Mayor Lionel Wilson.
STATE POLITICAL SUMMARY
U.S. SENATE:
San Diego Mayor Pete Wilson won by a comfortable 53%-47%
margin over Democratic Governor Edmund "Jerry" Brown Jr.
According to the June California Poll, Senator Wilson has
increased his excellent/good job rating from 24% in March to 35%
in June.
Democrat Senator Cranston was rated excellent/good by 47% of the
people surveyed in June. In January 1982, Cranston's
excellent/good rating was 46%.
GOVERNOR:
Republican state Attorney General George Deukmejian narrowly
defeated Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley by a 49%-48% margin.
1983 REDISTRICTING:
A G.O.P. sponsored statewide referendum in June 1982 overturned
the original statewide reapportionment plan.
In the final days of Jerry Brown's administration, Assembly and
state Senate leaders agreed to a bi-partisan plan which protected
incumbent state legislators.
The Democrat controlled state legislature passed a separate
"partisan" congressional plan which protected their 28-17 majority
and consolidated all gains made in the 1982 elections for the U.S.
House of Representatives. This measure is now being challenged in
the federal district court in a suit filed on behalf of
Congressman Robert E. Badham with the support of the statewide
Republican leadership, the RNC and the NRCC.
-- The federal court sent the suit to the state court on June 21
because they felt the major issues pertained to state law and
wanted these issues cleared up before deciding whether to make
their own ruling.
-- Based on the Supreme Court's June 22 New Jersey ruling that
gerrymandering is a valid issue for federal courts, the RNC has
taken the suit back to the federal court and requested they
hear the case.
------ The case went to circuit court for oral arguments on Aug. 10.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 5
State Assemblyman Don Sebastiani (R-Sonoma) has proposed a state-
wide referendum on a new redistricting plan for the California
congressional districts and both chambers of the state
Legislature.
The California Republican Executive Committee endorsed the
Sebastiani initiative on May 21 because it provides more
competitive districts for potential Republican gains in both the
Congress and state legislature. President Reagan also endorsed
the initiative in a speech on June 30.
California Democrats are concerned that they could lose 6-10 seats
in Congress with the passage of the Sebastiani initiative. The
Democrats who would be most vulnerable include Glenn Anderson,
Norm Mineta, Jerry Patterson, George Miller, George Brown, either
Vic Fazio or Bob Matsui and two of the following: Henry Waxman,
Howard Berman, Mel Levine, or Anthony Bielenson.
Governor Deukmejian has called for a special election on December
13 to vote on the Sebastiani reapportionment initiative and other
initiatives.
California Democrats are considering electing one-third of their
delegates at the statewide initiative election. They are
concerned that low Democrat voter turnout would allow the
Sebastiani plan to pass. Electing delegates in December would
cause the California Democrats to be in noncompliance with
Democrat National Committee primary rules.
The State Supreme Court by a partisan 6-1 vote has granted a
temporary restraining order on planning for a special election
initiative. There will be a hearing before the State Supreme
Court on August 31.
KEY 1982 U.S. CONGRESSIONAL RACES:
Congressional
DEMOCRAT
REPUBLICAN
District
1 Douglas H. Bosco
(49.8%) *Don H. Clausen
(47.2%)
5 *Phil Burton
(57.9%) Milton Marks
(40.5%)
6 Barbara Boxer
(52.4%) Dennis McQuaid
(44.6%)
9 *Fortney "Pete" Stark
(60.7%) Bill J. Kennedy
(39.3%)
11 *Tom Lantos
(57.1%) Bill Royer
(39.7%)
23 *Anthony C. Beilenson
(59.6%) David Armor
(40.4%)
26 Howard L. Berman
(59.6%) Hal Phillips
(40.4%)
30 *Marty Martinez
(53.9%) *John H. Rousselot
(46.1%)
32 *Glenn M. Anderson
(58.0%) Brian Lungren
(39.6%)
34 Esteban Torres
(57.2%) Paul R. Jackson
(42.8%)
36 *George E. Brown, Jr.
(54.3%) John Paul Stark
(45.7%)
38 *Jerry M. Patterson
(52.4%) William F. Dohr
(43.4%)
43 Roy "Pat" Archer
(32.1%) Johnnie R. Crean
(31.1%)
Ron Packard (write-in)
(36.8%)
44 Jim Bates
(65.0%) Shirley M. Gissendanner (31.8%)
*Denotes incumbents
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 7
California's state budget includes an incentive pay plan for
teachers.
-- As many as 5% of the state's 200,000 teachers will gain an
extra $4,000 a year.
-- New teachers' salaries, which now average $13,500, will be
raised by up to 10%.
-- Master teachers will be nominated by school district committees
with a majority of teachers as members. School Boards will
make the final selection.
-- Deukmejian had initially wanted to delay the educational
changes, but heavy lobbying by parents and teachers and last
minute compromises saved most of the package.
1983 MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS
SAN DIEGO MAYOR'S RACE - May 3, 1983:
Roger Hedgecock, the Republican County Supervisor, defeated
Maureen O'Connor, two-term incumbent Democrat Councilwoman and
Port Commissioner, garnering 52% of the vote in the May 3rd runoff
election to fill the term vacated by U.S. Senator Pete Wilson.
Hedgecock is a liberal environmentalist Republican who as been at
odds with the GOP establishment.
SAN FRANCISCO MAYORAL RACE:
San Francisco Democrat Mayor Diane Feinstein, taking advantage of
a well-organized absentee ballot program, easily survived a recall
election on April 26th.
The White Panther Party, a small band of communist anti-gun
control radicals, and segments of San Francisco's large homosexual
community, organized the movement for the recall election.
Feinstein's new show of political strength at home, combined with
her successful bid to bring the 1984 Democratic National
Convention to San Francisco, makes her one of the most visible
women in the country.
INITIATIVES
Paul Gann, co-author of Proposition 13, has filed a new
initiative, "Legislative Reform Act of 1983", with the California
attorney general's office. The initiative seeks to curb the broad
legislative powers of the Democrat majority by giving minority
members more authority, reducing legislative spending by 30% and
requiring meetings at the Capitol to be open.
STATE PARTY UPDATE
Activities:
Working to strengthen the financial base in order to increase
fundraising.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 8
A statewide voter registration program, "The Bounty Program", has
been organized and began in July.
A review of the party's statewide organization with the view
toward strengthening party building activities, especially, at the
county level.
Campaign planning for party involvement with the Sebastiani
Initiative campaign.
REPUBLICAN STATE PARTY LEADERS
STATE CHAIRMAN
- Ed Reinecke
NATIONAL COMMITTEEMAN
- Jack Courtemanche
NATIONAL COMMITTEEWOMAN
- Gertrude C. (Trudy) McDonald,
Vice Chairman of the 1984 National
Convention
REAGAN BUSH STATE CHAIRMAN
-
Jack Courtemanche
REAGAN BUSH CO-CHAIRMEN
-
Trudy McDonald
Bob Tuttle
ELECTED OFFICIALS
GOVERNOR - George Deukmejian - Republican - Elected in 1982
U.S SENATORS - Alan Cranston - Democrat - Re-elected in 1980
Pete Wilson - Republican - Elected in 1982
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES - 17 Republicans
28
Democrats
Republican Members:
Gene Chappie
2nd district
Ed Zschau
12th district
Norman D. Shumway
14th district
Charles Pashayan Jr.
17th district
Robert J. Lagomarsino
19th district
William M. Thomas
20th district
Bobbi Fiedler
21st district
Carlos J. Moorhead
22nd district
David Dreier
33rd district
Jerry Lewis
35th district
Al McCandless
37th district
William E. Dannemeyer
39th district
Robert E. Badham
40th district
Bill Lowery
41st district
Dan Lungren
42nd district
Ron Packard
43rd district
Duncan L. Hunter
45th district
STATE LEGISLATURE:
State Senate Minority Leader:
James Nielsen
State Assembly Minority Leader:
Robert Naylor
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
FROM:
ED ROLLINS
DATE:
AUGUST 9, 1983
SUBJECT: WASHINGTON - POLITICAL SUMMARY
STATE POLITICAL BACKGROUND
Washington has voted Republican in 6 of the last 8 presiden-
tial elections since 1952 (all except 1964 and 1968).
Democrats controlled both U.S. Senate seats between 1953 and
1980.
Republicans have won 5 of 8 gubernatorial elections since
1953.
Washington has a large ethnic population, a labor movement
that has dominated the Democratic party and a rural farm bloc
which votes Republican.
Seattle and King County provide a third of the state's voting
population, 1.3 million people. The city's economy is
devoted to transportation, cargo, trade, ship-building and
airplane construction.
The state also exports apples, beer and lumber to the
nation.
1984 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
Washington will send 43 delegates to the 1984 Republican
National Convention.
Washington will cast 10 electoral votes in 1984.
In 1980, President Reagan carried the state with 49.7% of the
popular vote and King County (Seattle) with 47% of the vote.
The black leaders in Seattle have organized to mount a black
voter registration campaign in the area.
The Washington caucuses will be held on March 13, 1983.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 2
DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES
Mondale has drawn support from four of Washington's five
Democrats: House Majority Whip Thomas Foley and Reps. Don
Bonker, Al Swift and Norman Dick.
Senator Alan Cranston has named Washington as one of his key
states. His state steering committee includes former U.S.
Senator Hugh B. Mitchell, former U.S. Attorney for Eastern
Washington James Gillespie and Bobbie Jean Bridge, chairwoman
of the Seattle Women's Commission. Cranston has built up a
statewide network of former aides, Democratic activists and
politicians unequaled by any of the other candidates.
STATE POLITICAL SUMMARY
U.S. SENATE:
Democrat Henry Jackson won re-election to a sixth term by
defeating Republican Seattle City Attorney Doug Jewett by a
69%-24% margin. On July 13, 1983, Senator Jackosn, who
has served continuously longer than any other member, cast
his 11, 000th roll call vote.
GOVERNOR:
Republican Governor John Spellman is up for re-election to a
second term.
Potential Democratic challengers include:
-- Pierce County (Tacoma) Executive Booth Gardner, a wealthy
businessman with strong ties to the business community.
He has formed a campaign committee, hired a director, and
informed the Public Disclosure Commission he is ready to
accept contributions. Gardner has already received the
endorsement of the Democratic leadership in both houses of
the legislature.
-- State Senator Jim McDermott, who lost to Spellman in
1980.
--- Seattle Mayor Charles Royer.
There is a great concern among party leadership that Governor
Spellman is too liberal and will have trouble with
re-election among Republicans.
Spellman may also be vulnerable because of the state's
massive economic problems.
In a GMA Research Corp. June poll of 517 Washingtonians,
Governor Spellman only received a fair rating (1.96, down
from a 2.5 mark in 1982 -- 1-4 point rating).
-- 2%, excellent
-- 21%, good
-- 43%, fair
-- 27%, poor
-- 7%, no answer
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 3
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES:
All seven of Washington's incumbent Congressmen (2R-5D),
won re-election by huge margins in 1982. Redistricting gave the
state one additional district which provided the only close
campaign.
Key Congressional Races:
1st C.D.
Northern King County - Everett
Incumbent Republican Joel Pritchard was elected to a sixth
term over Democrat Brian Long, a former state government
employee, by a 68%-24% vote margin. Pritchard has already
announced he will not seek re-election in 1984. Seattle
Mayor Charles Royer has been mentioned as a potential
Democratic candidate for next year. Potential GOP candidates
include John Rabel, chairman of the board of Star Machinery
and former state representative; Alan Bluechel, three term
state senator and husband of Joan Ehrlichman (former wife of
John Ehrlichman) ; Lois North, King County Councilwoman; and
Susan Gould, former state senator.
2nd C.D.
Northwest - Bellingham, part of Olympic County
Republican Joan Houchen has begun working on another campaign
against Democrat incumbent Al Swift. She lost in 1982 by a
60%-40% margin. State Chairman Jennifer Dunn has named
her Republican congressional liaison for the district to
report to voters of the district on Swift's votes and
activities.
8th C.D.
Seattle Suburbs - Bellevue
Republican state Representative Rodney Chandler defeated Mercer
Island Democrat Mayor Beth Bland in this newly created district.
Chandler won by a 57%-43% margin.
STATE LEGISLATURE:
Senate: 23 Republicans 26 Democrats
House: 44 Republicans 54 Democrats
Republicans lost control of both houses of the legislature in the
1982 elections -- 12 seats were lost in the state House; 2 seats
were lost in the state Senate.
STATE PARTY UPDATE
The Washington Republican Party goals for 1983-1984:
Establishment of a statewide computerized voter list with
demographics and party affiliation. The completed list will
be given to the counties for use at the grassroots level.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 4
Establishment of permanent candidate training committees in
each county to find and groom potential candidates for local
and statewide offices.
Continuing the political educational training of future state
political operatives.
Further reduce the 1982 debt ($107,000) :
-- A major finance program has been implemented.
- - An auction was recently conducted which was completely
organized and executed by volunteers from all of the
state's counties. Gross proceeds=$73,000/Net pro-
ceeds=$54,000.
Regaining a majority in the state legislature.
Continuing the survey research program.
Providing services needed by candidates from across the board
-- The party prefers to provide services for specific needs
rather than cash contributions.
Co-ordinating with local efforts on presidential,
congressional, gubernatorial and other statewide and local
campaigns.
STATE ISSUES
Washington Public Power Supply System (WPPSS)
-- Earlier this year, WPPSS defaulted on loans due to
construction being stopped on two nuclear power plants.
-- At present, there is legislation in the U.S. Senate
authorizing the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA), a
federal Energy department power marketing agnecy, to
guarantee loans to pay to complete the 2 partially-built
power plants.
-- The estimated cost for completion is $1.1 billion, but
this is considered cheaper than building new ones and
would save a $6 billion investment.
The bill has met with opposition from lawmakers who
consider it a risk for taxpayers. The Reagan
Administration has said it will not object to a bill
stating "all funds needed to pay all costs associated with
completion of these plants (2 and 3) will be borne solely
by the ratepayers" from power sales revenues.
-- Approximately 80,000 people were put out of work when
construction stopped on plants 2 and 3. Unemployment is
nearly 50% in the Washington building trades, according to
Richard Bever, representative of the Washington State
Association of Plumbers and Pipefitters.
Governors Spellman and Atiyeh (of Oregon) appointed on
Friday, July 8th, a three member panel to examine the
WPPSS' financial problems and the problems of the Pacific
Northwest region, and then propose solutions within the
following 90 days.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
Page 5
Governor Spellman vetoed a controversial provision for
teacher salary increases before signing the Legislature's $8
billion general fund operating budget. Also approved/vetoed:
-- Approved a $412.6 million tax increase bill to balance the
budget but he vetoed provisions applying the new half
percent tax on boats to vessels under 16 feet in length.
-- Approved legislation to begin implementing comparable
worth for state empolyees on a modest scale.
-- Vetoed a provision denying salary increases to all state
employees making more than $40,000 a year.
The total amount of additional taxes approved by this year's
legislature, which is controlled by the Democrats, comes to $1.99
billion; subtracting the $500 million lost to the demise of the food
tax, the net increase for the next two fiscal years is $1.49
billion. Without counting April's $17.6 million of additonal taxes
to balance this year's budget, the Democratic legislature has topped
Republican increases of the past two years.
President Reagan announced on July 28th a five-year extension of
federal timber contracts signed with Northwest timber producers
before January 1, 1982. The decision affects hundreds of small
private timber purchasers who contracted with the federal goverment
to cut timber on federal lands -- a time of relatively higher timber
prices. Later deterioration in the housing industry and other
market forces drove timber prices down making timber contracts
unprofitable. Under the extension, applications for relief must be
made by December 1, 1983.
REPUBLICAN STATE PARTY OFFICIALS
STATE CHAIRMAN
- Jennifer Dunn
NATIONAL COMMITTEEMAN
- Dennis Dunn
NATIONAL COMMITTEEWOMAN
- Bernece Bippes
REAGAN BUSH STATE CHAIRMAN
- Jim Munn
ELECTED OFFICIALS
GOVERNOR
John Spellman (R) - Elected in 1980.
U.S. SENATORS
Henry Jackson (D) - Re-elected in 1982.
Slade Gorton (R) - Elected in 1980.
U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
3 Republicans
5 Democrats
Republican Members:
Joel Pritchard
1st District
Sid Morrison
4th District
Rod Chandler
8th District
STATE LEGISLATURE
Senate Republican Leader:
Jeannette Hayner
House Republican Leader:
Gary Nelson
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
SUPPLEMENTARY BRIEFING MATERIALS
TAB A
BRIEFING FOR ADDRESS FOR 84th NATIONAL
CONVENTION OF VETERANS OF FOREIGN WARS
(FULLER)
TAB B
BRIEFING FOR PHOTO OPPORTUNITY WITH REAGAN/
REPUBLICAN SUPPORTERS AND KEY SUPPORTERS OF
GOVERNOR DAVE TREEN (ROLLINS)
TAB C
LOUISIANA POLITICAL BRIEFING (ROLLINS)
TAB D
CALIFORNIA POLITICAL BRIEFING (ROLLINS)
TAB E
WASHINGTON POLITICAL BRIEFING