NSSD 4-84 United States Policy towards the Philippines

SECRET -- the deteriorating economic situation; -- the continued gains of the New Peoples' Army; -- the weakening of the Marcos government. How the Aquirio assassination and the relatively -- successful parliamentary election have affected political stability. -- An explanation of the internal political, social, military, economic and cultural factors currently at play, particularly those affecting the growth of the NPA. -- An assessment of the prospects of restoring economic of growth in the Philippines, including the impact monopolies and other structural obstacles. -- An: assessment of the NPA's strengths and weaknesses, the NPA's operations and current including the its foreign support, the nature and extent of short-, medium-, and threat to the The Marcos government or to any successor assessment should also cover the political front organizations of the Communist Party of the organizational and agitprop activities in the Philippines (CPP) and, especially, CPP/NPA countryside. -- An evaluation of how much the Marcos government economic problem, and whether in its current approach and realizes the extent of the insurgency problem and to the problems, the government has the capacity sufficient resources to deal with it. -- An assessment of the AFP, including current and the projected capability to deal militarily with insurgency and its potential role in influencing the Philippine political situation. An analysis cf how much leverage the United States has in dealing with Philippine problems, including the an Philippine examination nind-set, of the and United the risks States involved factor in with United States assistance/involvement. An is best suited for the Philippines. This donors. should examination of what type of financial assistance -- include the question of stimulating other 2979