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Reed Kaqan THE WHITE HOUSE scroles WASHINGTON April 9, 1998 4.3.48 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: Bruce Reed Elena Kagan SUBJECT: McCain Legislation With the overwhelming vote in favor of the McCain legislation in the Senate Commerce Committee and the subsequent announcement of the tobacco industry that it will fight this legislation, we have entered into a new phase of our effort to procure a comprehensive tobacco bill to reduce youth smoking. The Commerce Committee vote last week brought new momentum to this legislative effort. The industry's response should only add to that momentum, by making it even harder for Members of Congress to block legislation, lest they look as if they are doing the industry's bidding. The broad consensus among your advisors is that we should aim for a strong, comprehensive bill that meets our core public health objectives and that the industry might reluctantly swallow in the end. Without industry consent, some provisions in comprehensive legislation (i.e., the most far-reaching advertising restrictions) would be impossible, while other provisions (e.g., narrower advertising restrictions and lookback penalties) would be in litigation for years. We should not compromise our objectives to secure that consent, but at the same time we should not ask for more than we need to achieve our public health goals and in the process destroy any chance of industry acquiescence. In any event, most of your advisors believe that efforts to push the price too far would be counterproductive, because tobacco-state Democrats will join with Republicans to derail a bill that goes as far as some in the public health community might like. Instead, we should try to address the aspects of the McCain bill that are most important to us and to securing broad Democratic support. Your advisors also agree that the best way to get this kind of bill is to engage in negotiations with Senators Lott, Daschle, McCain, and Hollings that are designed to produce an agreed-upon bill to go to the Senate floor. The greatest danger we face is chaos on the Senate floor, in which some amendments roll back what we already have achieved (e.g., on FDA jurisdiction), while other amendments make the bill essentially unpassable (e.g., by stripping all liability protections while increasing the overall price of the deal). We recommend against direct discussions with the industry at this stage; we doubt they would level with us anyway. Assuming Senator Hollings is in the room, we should have a decent sense of the industry's concerns, and of course we have more-than-adequate lines of communication to the public health community.