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DIARY Book 602 January 6 - 10, 1943 - A - Book Page Agriculture For country banks as sources of credit, see Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds American Bankers' Association See Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds - B - Banks (Country) See Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds - C - Canada See Lend-Lease and Office of Economic Stabilization Cannon, Clarence (Chairman, Appropriations Committee) See Government Departments China Kung thanked for invitation to visit and assured that United States Treasury advice on China's finances is always available - 1/8/43 602 156 Correspondence Mrs. Forbush's mail report - 1/8/43 134 Country Banks See Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds - I - Economic Stabilization Board See Office of Economic Stabilisation Elkus, Abram I. See Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds Elliott, Harriet HMJr thanks Dean of University of North Carolina for continued loan - - 1/8/43 122 - 1 - Financing, Government Security markets (high-grade) recent developments in: Haas memorandum - 1/6/43 6 Government securities - recent changes in prices and yields: Haas memorandum - 1/8/43 130 Federal Reserve operations in Government securities - 1/9/43 167 Regraded Unclassified - 1- (Continued) Book Page Financing, Government (Continued) War Savings Bonds: Country banks as sources of credit: Correspondence between Agriculture, Treasury, Chester Davis, and Hemingway (President, American Bankers' Association) - 1/6/43 602 18 a) Wickard-HMJr conversation - 2/9/43: See Book 607, page 173 American Bankers' Association congratulates HMJr on success of recent drive - 1/6/43 21 Ohio (P.J. Trounstine) protests treatment accorded volunteer organizations - 1/6/43 25 Elicus (Abram I.) congratulates HMJr on success of recent drive - 1/7/43. 71 Survey by Treasury on respective functions and operations of War Savings Staff and Victory Fund Committee discussed in American Bankers' Association letter to Harold Thomas - 1/8/43 126 Payroll Savings Plan: Analysis as of January 2, 1943 - 1/8/43 128 Sales, first 8 days of November, December, and January - 1/9/43 170 - G - Government Departments Federal Bureau of Investigation to investigate waste - Cannon (Chairman, Appropriations Committee) plan discussed by Biddle at Cabinet meeting - 1/8/43 105 - L - Lemaigre-Dubreuil, M. See North Africa, French Lend-Lease Tonnages on hand in New York City - - Chief of Transportation, War Department, report on - 1/6/43 31 Canada: Suggestions as to reasonable reserve of United States dollar exchange to be maintained and Canadian gift to United Kingdom discussed at conference between Canadian and United States Treasuries - 1/8/43 107 a) Memorandum stating problem - 1/13/43: See Book 604, page 10 b) Currie memorandum - 1/19/43: Book 604, page 196 c) Conference: present: Plumptre, White, and Miss Kistler - 1/20/43: Book 604, page 207 d) Treasury letter to Deputy Minister of Finance Clarke - 1/26/43: Book 605, page 145 1) Clarke's reply - 1/30/43: Book 605, page 235 Joint War Production Committee of Canada and United States reports estimates of payments to be made to Canada by United States for munitions - 1/8/43 121 Regraded Unclassified - L - (Continued) Book Page Lend-Lease (Continued) U.S.S.R.: For continuation of shipments to, 800 Procurement Division United Kingdom: Federal Reserve Bank of New York statement showing dollar disbursements, week ending December 30, 1942 - 1/7/43 602 89 Aircraft flight delivery as at January 5, 1943 - British Air Commission report - 1/9/43 171 British gold and dollar exchange assets - report on - 1/9/43. 173,178 (See also Book 603, page 153 - 1/11/43) Lumber Stockpile discussed at Cabinet meeting - 1/8/43 105 - M - May, Erwin Designation as Financial Attaché, Stockholm, Sweden - Gaston memorandum - 1/6/43. 30 Military Reports British operations - 1/6/43, etc. 52,99,100, 159,182,183 "The War This Week, January 1-7, 1943" - Office of Strategic Services report 102 Office of War Information report - 1/8/43 162 - N - North Africa, French Political situation discussed by FDR at Cabinet meeting - 1/8/43 104 Lemaigre-Dubreuil, Robert Murphy's "opposite number," discussed in Bullitt note - 1/9/43 164 - 0 - Ohio See Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds - P - Price Control See Office of Economic Stabilization Procurement Division See also Lend-Lease U.S.S.R.: "Shipments of cardinal importance" - FDR's memorandum to HMJr sent to Procurement Division - 1/6/43 35 War Production Board reports on production performance against materials and equipment commitments of Second Russian Protocol - 1/15/43: See Book 604, page 210 . Office of Economic Stabilization Rinutes of meeting - 178743. 121-A a) Discussion of Canadian price control program Regraded Unclassified - R - Book Page Reconstruction Finance Corporation Purchases by subsidiaries from British Empire sources in 1942 reviewed in letter from Assistant Secretary of Commerce Clayton - 1/7/43 602 85 Revenue Revision Forgiveness of taxes for widow of soldier or sailor killed in action: HMJr asks for plan for - 1/8/43 103,165 a) See Sullivan memorandum - 1/11/43: Book 603, pages 16 and 17 b) Sullivan and Paul asked for a plan - 2/10/43: See Book 607, page 300 - 2/10/43 Forgiveness to any member of armed forces for net income tax exceeding one-third of his pay: HMJr asks Paul to consider - 1/9/43 165 a) See Sullivan memorandum - 1/11/43: Book 603, page 20 Roosevelt, Eleanor Visit to Houses of Parliament described in leaflet - 1/7/43 76 - S - Security Markets (High-grade) See Financing, Government Stabilization Fund Earnings and expenses for November and December, 1942 - 1/6/43. 37 - T - Taxation See Revenue Revision Trounstine, P. J. See Financing, Government: War Savings Bonds - U - U.S.S.R. See Procurement Division United Kingdom See Lend-Lease - W - War Savings Bonds See Financing, Government TREASURY DEPARTMENT 1 INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE JAN - 1942 TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Mr. Heas JA Subject: The milk price situation in New York City, submitted in response to your request of January 4. Earlier developments: On October 10, 1942, the Department of Agriculture announced a subsidy program on sales of fluid milk in the New York Metropolitan Marketing Area, designed to maintain dairy farm income without raising price ceilings to consumers. Under this program, which was financed by the Commodity Credit Corporation, the Department of Agriculture bought milk from dealers at the prices they were required to pay farmers in the current month under Federal Milk Marketing Order No. 27, and resold it to dealers at the lower prices specified in that order a.s. effective for August 1942. The subsidy amounted to 40 cents per hundredweight of milk in December, with the price to farmers $3.50 and the cost to dealers $3.10. The subsidy has cost the Government recently between $800,000 and $900,000 a month. Recent developments: The subsidy on fluid milk in the New York area was discontinued December 31 by the Department of Agriculture, at the direction of Stabilization Director Byrnes. In its place, certain retail price increases were authorized during the three-month period ending April 1. At that time it is intended that the price increases will be rescinded, and e program effecting economies in milk distribution 1s to be worked out as a substitute for the higher prices. Director Byrnes explained the withdrawal of subsidies in New York (and in two other areas) on the ground that it would be administratively impossible to extend the subsidy to all areas likely to be affected by the squeeze between farm prices and retail ceilings. The action increasing retail milk prices in New York 1s also designed to replace previous individual March ceilings (which in some cases were abnormally low) with uniform ceiling Regraded Unclassified 2 - 2 - prices for specified types of sales. The ceiling price for home delivery 18 to remain unchanged at 17 cents & quart, and oeiling increases of 1 cent to 2 cents a quart will apply to sales in retail stores and at wholesale. The maximum price in retail stores will be 14 cents & quart in bottles and 15 cents in cardboard containers. Secretary Wickard announced on January 4 that a program 1s being worked out as rapidly as possible to reduce costs of marketing milk, with a view toward rescinding the recent price increases, and stated that it should be possible to announce EL number of specific milk marketing economies by mid-January. Commenting on Secretary Wickard's statement, the President of the Dairymen's League of New York State has cited the need for an overhauling of New York City's "extravagent" delivery system. Men in the Dairy and Poultry Branch of the Agricultural Marketing Administration, who are working on the program for reducing distribution costs, are somewhat dubious about the possibility of effecting sufficient economies in milk distribution during the next three months to replace the recent price increase. They point out that some saving will be made by eliminating certain low-profit products and un- essential services, and probably by reducing the number of deliveries, by insisting on full loads for each delivery truck, and by allowing only one man per truck. Any changes effecting a reduction in labor costs will be opposed by the unions, but it 16 here that the field for reducing costs is largest. The use of cardboard containers is not a solution, since they cost more than glass bottles, except in the case of new plants in which the entire processing, handling, and distribution system is built around the use of this type of package. The increase in milk prices, in place of the subsidy, 16 criticized by milk distributors in the New York area on the ground that it seriously curtails their operating margins. An over-all increase of about 1 cent B. quart would be required to replace the subsidy of 40 cents per hundredweight. While the authorized price increases will amount to 1 cent a quart for most stores (and more for some stores) the distributors contend that 40 percent of their sales are for home delivery, for which no increase 18 permitted. (The Department of Agriculture says 21 percent 18 sold for home delivery in New York City.) Regraded Unclassified TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE Jan. 5, 1943. TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Lr. Here # deservate Attached 1s + remort on the Johnson Milk Company of Detroit. The renort 18 Lased unon information which was obtained in Weshington, mostly from the Desartment of Apriculture. You will note that the employment of non-union labor is one of the feAtures of the olen, and at the present time the Johnson Milk Company 18 in difficulty. In view of these circumstances, I hesitated to send A man to Detroit without first checking with you. In noving A Treasury man go out now to look into the situation, you might be taking some risk of being involved in the controversy. Dear genge Iagic X you which Regraded Unclassified TREASURY DEPARTMENT 4 INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE JAN6 - 1943 TO FROM Mr. Hass Secretary MA Morgenthau Subject: Operating methods of the Johnson Milk Company of Detroit. In response to your request of January 4 for information on the merchandising methode of a chain store retailer of milk in Detroit who sells milk at reduced prices, I have ascertained that the organization in question is the Johnson Milk Company. I have obtained information about the company from the Department of Agriculture and from testimony on Mr. Johnson at TNEC hearings. This company was started on January 1, 1936 by a Mr. George A. Johnson, who had previously been in business for 13 years in Grand Rapids, Michigan. At present the Johnson Milk Company is said to account for about 12 percent of the milk business in the city of Detroit. The merchandising methods used by this company are cractically identical with those used by High's in Washington, D. C. The lower prices at which the company sells its milk are due very largely to the following policies: 1. Milk 18 sold only at its own stores, hence there 18 no delivery cost and no oredit risk. 2. A 4-cent bottle deposit is required, which transfers Et. large part of the bottle loss to the consumer. 3. Non-union labor 1s employed. 1. Milk 1e bought directly from unorganized farmers at a flat rate, rather than through the producers' association on B. blended rate basis. As B. result of his buying policies, Johnson pays a flat price per hundredweight for his milk irrespective of its final use, whereas purchasers from producers in the association are charged on the basis of the percentage being sold as fluid milk, butter, etc., with the highest charge being placed on fluid milk and lower charges on other uses. Since Johnson sells principally fluid milk, his possible profit margin 1s wider than if he were buying through the producers' association and paying the higher fluid-milk price. Regraded Unclassified 5 - 2 - If Johnson's buying practice were projected on an industry-wide basis, however, it would result in the break- down of the present milk price structure designed to stabilize seasonally the price of fluid milk, which 18 supported by the Department of Agriculture. His system 18 possible only in a limited way, because he takes advantage of the pricing system of the producers' association. The Johnson Milk Company recently had its license to do business revoked by the Agricultural Commissioner of the State of Michigan, allegedly because of being in arrears on payments to producers, such arrears reportedly running up to 2 months. However, attorneys for the company succeeded in getting a stay of execution on the license revocation and the company 18 still operating. The Johnson Milk Company has been the center of numerous controversies since its organization in 1936, and his methods have been investigated by various Government agencies. Mr. Johnson testified at length regarding his business dur- ing the TNEC hearings in 1939. He has been at odde with the Michigan Milk Producers' Association, and 16 not well regarded by organized labor in view of his employment of non-union labor. Since the success of the company in reducing retail milk prices 1s due in large degree to the fact that, in handling a relatively small proportion of the total milk sales in Detroit, it can exploit the pricing system of the Milk Producers' Association, and to the fact that non-union labor 1s employed, the system does not appear practicable for operating on a substantial scale. However, a company of this type provides an economic service to the consumer in checking monopolistic pricing practices of milk distributors. The Johnson Milk Company has doubtless kept retail prices of milk in Detroit lower than they would otherwise have been. Regraded Unclassified 6 TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE January 6, 1943 TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Mr. Hasa Subject: Recent Developments in the High-grade Security Markets SUMMARY (1) Since the close of the campaign, prices of Treasury securities have risen moderately (Charts I and II). Changes in the prices of high-grade corporate and municipal bonds during December were quite small (Charts II and III). (2) Excess reserves of member banks were maintained around $2.5 billions during the first two weeks of the December financing campaign. In the two weeks December 16-30, however, they were allowed to decline by almost $1.0 billion (Chart IV). It would be desirable if excess reserves were restored to and maintained at or above $2.5 billions. (3) Transfers of funds in payment for securities issued by the Treasury in December were facilitated by in- creased use of War Loan deposits. The geographical distribution of the use of such accounts is rather uneven. (4) In the past four months, the Federal Reserve System has given considerable open-market support to par- tially tax-exempt Treasury bonds, thereby tending to "freeze" the spread between the yields of taxable and tax-exempt issues. It might be better if open- market operations were concentrated on giving all-out support to taxable securities while allowing tax- exempts to find their own level. (5) The Dominion of Canada is preparing to refund a 5 per- cent bond issue of $100 millions which was originally floated in the United States in 1922. The refunding issue will be in three parts of $30 millions each, including a 2-1/2 percent, 5-year bond; a 3 percent, 10-year bond; and & 3 percent, 15-year bond. The yields of outstanding Canadian bonds payable in this country are shown in Chart V. Regraded Unclassified 7 Secretary Morgenthau - 2 I. Recent Movements in the Prices of High-grade Securities After remaining unchanged, on the average, during the December financing, the prices of taxable Treasury secu- rities rallied following the close of the campaign. Price movements from the close on December 23 are shown by maturity classes and tax status in the table below and by maturity classes in Chart I. : Average price change : December 23, 1942-January 4, 1943 : Taxable : Tax-exempt Total : (In thirty-seconds) Notes 1 - 3 years +3 +1 +2 3-5years +2 - +2 Bonds 5 - 15 years to call +7 +2 +4 15 years and over to call +13 +5 +11 Changes in the prices of high-grade corporate and muni- cipal bonds during December were small (Charts II and III). II. Excess Reserves During the first two weeks of the December financing campaign, the excess reserves of member banks were maintained at about $2.5 billions. In the two week period, December 16- 30, however, they were allowed to deoline by almost $1.0 b11- lion to $1,656 millions (Chart IV). On the latter date, excess reserves of banks in New York City totalled $235 mil- lions, while reserves in Chicago were deficient by $5 millions. The reduction in the week ended December 23 may be attributed 8 Secretary Morgenthau - 3 principally to the small volume of open-market purchases by the Federal Reserve System (only $90 millions) in the face of an increase of $482 millions in Treasury cash and bal- anoes with the Federal Reserve Banks, and an outflow of $237 millions of currency into circulation. In the week ended December 30, Federal Reserve purchases amounted to $362 millions, but they were considerably more than offset by a combination of other factors, including a further in- crease of $326 millions in the Treasury's cash and deposits in the Federal Reserve Banks, and an increase of $197 mil- lions in required reserves partly attributable to payments for subscriptions to Treasury securities which were made in the form of War Loan deposits. In our opinion, the amount of excess reserves should be restored to $2.5 billions as soon as possible and held at around that level indefinitely, or until experience shows that a lower level 1s adequate for financing the war. The measure of the amount of excess reserves necessary for the efficient financing of the war must be derived from the two factors of (1) the largest amount of new securities which the Treasury expects to sell to the commercial banks in a single "bite", and (2) the ratio, as determined by past experience, of the probable amount of commercial bank subscriptions to such new securities to aggregate excess reserves. Both the Treasury and the Federal Reserve people are generally agreed that $2.0 billions 18 about the right size for a single "bite". It may well be, as a result of the educational efforts currently being made by the Federal Reserve System, that at some time in the future less than $2.5 billions of excess reserves will be adequate to insure full subscription to such a "bite". This does not appear on the record to date, however, and until it does, the maintenance of $2.5 billions of excess reserves would seem to be the part of prudence. Regraded Unclassified 9 Secretary Morgenthau - 4 III. Special Depositaries Transfers of funds in payment for subscriptions to new Treasury securities, offered in December, were facilitated by increased use of War Loan deposits. By this device banks can make payment for securities purchased for their own or customers' accounts by crediting the Treasury on their own books. For example, the increase of $197 millions in required reserves, referred to above, in the week during which payment was made for the certificates of indebtedness, was occasioned by an increase in deposits by about $1 billion, presumably credited to the Treasury. Had the banks been required to pay by drawing on their reserves with the Federal Reserve Banks, the effect of a transaction of that magnitude would have been to draw down excess reserves by the full billion. Between October 31 and December 19, 1942, the number of banks qualified as Special Depositaries for War Loan deposite increased from 3,253 to 5,260. The aggregate amount of War Loan deposits for which they are qualified 18 $9,355 millions or a little more than 10 percent of the total assets of all active banks. The distribution of Special Depositaries about the country 1s not uniform. In terms of the amounts of deposits for which the banks are qualified, the New York Federal Reserve District leads with about 18 percent of total assets. The Dallas District shows quite a high percentage as compared with other areas away from the eastern financial centers. Details are shown in the table below: :Amount of Government : Percent of Federal Reserve District deposits for which :total assets qualified : of all : (Millions of dollars )!member banks Boston 461 11.9 New York 4,317 17.6 Philadelphia 408 9.9 Cleveland 558 9.9 Richmond 321 10.7 Atlanta 282 10.7 Chicago 1,059 10.3 Bt. Louis 242 9.8 . # Minneapolis Kansas City 233 8.9 Dallas 310 13.5 San Francisco 416 6.0 * Figures not available. Regraded Unclassified 10 Secretary Morgenthau - 5 IV. Yield Differentials Between Taxable and Partially Tax-exempt Treasury Bonds In the last 4 months, the Federal Reserve System in its open-market operations designed to maintain the pattern of rates in the Government security market, has found it necessary to give increasing. attention to the purchase of partially tax-exempt bonds. This may be seen in the follow- ing table, which compares the average price changes of partially tax-exempt Treasury bonds with Federal Reserve Bank net acquisitions of such bonds. : Average : Net acquisitions by Month : price change : Federal Reserve Banks : (Thirty-seconds). : (Millions of dollars) April -10 - May +5 - June -7 -1 July # -7 August -4 -4 September -6 +43 October -1 +103 November -9 +216 December -2 +246 There was no Federal Reserve support in the partially tax-exempt field during the 5 months, April - August; during that period, Federal Reserve holdings of partially tax- exempts were reduced by $12 millions. Since the beginning of September, however, Reserve holdings of partially tax- exempts have increased considerably. To some extent, these price changes may have been occasioned by adjustments of the spreads between taxable and partially tax-exempt bonds to changes in the tax law. Under the Revenue Act of 1942, the tax on income from bonds is computed on the yield instead of on the coupon as formerly. In the shorter maturity ranges, the spread between the yields of taxable and partially tax-exempt bonds is just Regraded Unclassified 11 Secretary Morgenthau - 6 about equal to the 24 percent normal corporation income tax on the yield, as the table below indicates, suggesting that issues in this area are largely held by investors who are in a position to take full advantage of the tax-exemption feature. (Quotations in the tables below are as of the close on December 31, 1942.) Issues Yield (Percent) 2 percent taxable bond 3/15/48-50 1.75 2-3/4 percent partially tax-exempt bond 3/15/48-51 1.31 Spread .44 Normal tax on 1.75 percent yield .42 In the longer maturity ranges, the spread between the yields of taxable bonds and those of partially tax-exempt bonds of similar term tend to be smaller than the amounts of the tax on the yield of the taxable issues, suggesting more extensive holdings in this area by investors to whom the tax- exemption feature is of little or no value. This 1s shown in the table below: Yield Issues : (Percent) 2-1/2 percent taxable bond 3/15/56-58 2.22 2-3/4 percent partially tax-exempt bond 9/15/56-59 2.05 Spread .17 Normal tax on 2.22 percent yield -53 12 Secretary Morgenthau - 7 It should be noted, however, that the foregoing figures do not necessarily represent the current view of the market with respect to the proper spread in yield between taxable and tax-exempt securities. They represent merely the opinion of the market some months ago, as modified by such subsequent changes in the relative prices of taxable and tax-exempt securities as the open-market operations of the Federal Reserve System have allowed to take place. The character of Federal Reserve operations during the past four months, more- over, would seem to indicate that, had the market been left to its own devices, the spread would have narrowed during this period. This likelihood raises the broad question of whether it might not be more desirable if Federal Reserve open-market operations were concentrated on giving all-out support to taxable securities, while merely maintaining an orderly market for tax-exempt securities and allowing them to find their own level. V. Dominion of Canada Refunding The Dominion of Canada has filed a registration state- ment with the SEC for $90 millions of bonds to be sold in the United States for the purpose of refunding the Dominion's 5 percent bonds of 1942-52. The issue to be refunded was floated in this country in 1922 and first became callable on May 1, 1942. The new securities will be divided into three groups of $30 millions each, and will include a 2-1/2 percent bond due January 15, 1948, but callable January 15, 1947; a 3 per- cent bond due January 15, 1953, but callable at any time at a price which decreases from 104 at the outset to par after January 15, 1951; and & 3 percent bond due January 15, 1958, but callable at any time at a price which decreases from 104 at the outset to par after January 15, 1955. The yields of outstanding Canadian Government securities payable in United States dollars are shown in Chart V. Regraded Unclassified 13 CHART I 13 CHANGES IN THE PRICES OF U.S. SECURITIES Points Plotted Represent the Difference from December 6, 1941 Price of Each Maturity Class 1942 1942 SEPTEMBER OCTOBER DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JURE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. NOVEMBER 19 26 3 in 17 24 POINTS 31 , DECEMBER 14 21 20 : 12 is 24 POINTS (Not Change) (Net Change) POINTS Saturday Quotations Daily (Net Change) + +2 +2 4 +1 +1 +1 +1 NOTES 3-5 Years + t a o o NOTES 1-5 Years o NOTES 0 1-3 Years BONDS -1 -1 5-ю Years to Cell -1 NOTES 3-5 Years -2 -2 -1 -1 BONDS Clear 15 Mears to Call BONDS Over IS Years to Cell -3 -1 + -1 -3 -2 BONDS -2 5-15 Years " Cell -4 1 -21 -21 -5 -5 -3 -3 -6 de -3t - -7 -7 -4 -4 - - -8 -4 28 I 12 = MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. is 26 3. 10 17 24 31 7 14 21 = DEC. JAN. FEB. MR. APR. SEPTEMBER OCTOBER NOVEMBER DECEMBER 1942 1942 Office el to limitry of the Trumpy F-153-K - el - - - Regraded Unclassified 14 14 CHART II AVERAGE YIELDS OF LONG-TERM TREASURY AND CORPORATE BONDS 1941 MAR MAY JULY SEPT. NOV. 1942 JAN. . in M . $4 - - MAR. IN . a - is BY MAY = - , IT is JULY H a # SEPT. 1942 . # PERCENT as as NOV. . 18 # - 4 . - - SEPT es a e B4 OCT MOV DEC. - , # - # . inverted Scale) - . # PERCENT my 17 a 3 , 1 A = . 12 . PERCENT WEEKLY Saturday Quotations Inverted Scale) Soals) 1.6 DAILY 1.6 14 1.7 1,7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 Partially tax- exampt 2.0 Treasury Bonds 2.0 Partially tax-exempt 2.0 Treasury Bonds 2.1 2.1 21 2.2 2.2 2.2 Taxable 2.3 Treasury Bonds 2.3 11 Taxable Treatury Bonds 2.4 2.4 14 2.5 2.5 2,5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 1.7 High-Grade Corporate Bonde 2.8 2.0 High Grade 1.5 Corporate Bonde 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.1 - - I . - = . # -- T # . - - . . # 1 . = # a . - of = a N. 3.1 a - a a = 8.1 JAN, IF - - MAR . ⑉ . D - - 4 - - - = . ⑉ 9 = , . . a 9 # a a - IF = a , 1 # MAY # JULY SEPT. NOV. JAN. MAR. MAY JULY SEPT. NOV. SEPT. OCT NOV DEC 1941 1942 1942 . Change in compasition of Long-Term Treasury everage - el - - # a - - - Regraded Unclassified AVERAGE YIELDS OF LONG-TERM TREASURY AND MUNICIPAL BONDS Yielde Based on Saturday Quotations 1941 1942 FEB MAR. APR MAY JUNE ANY AUS sept OCT NOV DEC. JAN FEE MAR AML MAY AME MY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. I is IS # # se il 24 * If . # I : = 18 ET . 19 . If # - I if . - . - . - - , - a . 4 9 . = - . . as , E Inverted Scale Inversed Scale PER CENT PER CENT Partially tax-exempt Treasury Bonds 1.8 (if years or more to sorliest cell deta) 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.2 Dow-Jones Average 2.4 Twenty 20-Year Municipal Bonds 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.6 2.8 $ 0 3.0 3.2 1.2 PER PER CENT CENT .40 40 Spread between Treasury and Municipal Bonds 20 20 o o 15 20 , a - a 1 is " it = e 2 , # , H I . # a 17 # o - as . . - (7 - I : 14 : 26 20 = JAM APR I - $ JUNE . È JULY SEPT 6 AUG OCT = 4 il - - NOV DEC 21 - JAN 26 ID FEB Y , E . MAR. 19 APR MAY AIRE JULY 1941 - SEPT. OCT. NOV DEC. 1942 "Armi en line mécoles change - - of Long Term Treasury average Office of the Secretary of the Treasury - - - - F-13 Regraded Uncla CHART IV MEMBER BANK EXCESS RESERVES 16 1941 1942 NOV. DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. DOLLARS DOLLARS Billions Billions 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 All Member Banks 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.2 1.2 1.2 New York City Banks 1.0 1.0 .8 8 .6 6 4 4 2 2 4 4 Chicago Banks 2 2 o 0 NOV. DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. 1941 1942 "Change in reserve requirements F-251 Regraded Unclassified YIBLDS OF CANADIAN GOVERNMENT SECURITIES, JAN. 2, 1943 Payable in United States Dollars 1943 '45 '47 '49 '51 PER '53 '55 '57 '59 '61 '63 '65 '67 '69 CENT PER CENT 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 .5 .5 o 1943 '45 '47 '49 '51 '53 '55 '57 '59 '61 '63 0 '65 '67 '69 17 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury of Research and Bististies F - 258 Regraded Uncla 18 January 6, 1943. Dear Chesters On behalf of the Secretary I as writing you in regard to the matter described in your telegram of December 19. Secretary Morgenthau, who is away for a few days, was very glad to take this up with Secretary Wickard, of the Depart- ment of Agriculture, and has now heard from him. Secretary Wickard also had heard from Mr. Hemingway, whom you mentioned in your telegram as communicating with that Department. Mr. Morgenthau has been assured that the Department of Agriculture has no intention of overlooking or appearing to overlook country banks as sources of credit. Their operations were assumed to exist, ao that instructions issued by Agriculture dealt only with those of their own credit agencies. In order to clarify the matter, Mr. Wickard assures Mr. Morgenthau that further editions of the book you criticised will draw attention explicitly to the credit obtainable from country banks. Although you my have already seen it, I an sending you a copy of Mr. Wickard's letter to Mr. Hemingway. Sincerely yours, f DAN Mr. Chester Davis President Federal Reserve Bank St. Leuis, Missouri. Inclesure. GEF:DWB:ew 1-6-43 Regraded Unclassified 19 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE 1 )) WASHINGTON December 31, 1942 Hon. Henry Morgenthau, Jr. Secretary of the Treasury Washington, D.C. Dear Henry: I am sending attached copy of my correspondence with Mr. Hemingway of the American Bankers Association. As you will see, this De- partment had no intention of overlooking or appearing to over- look the country banks as sources of credit. Their operations were simply assumed, and in our instructions to our people we dealt only with the operations that the credit agencies associated with this Department would have to carry on in the coming year. In future editions of the campaign book referred to by Chester Davis, and in other materials we will correct the oversight and draw attention explicitly to the credit obtainable from country banks. Sincerely, Claude Secretary Enclosure Regraded Unclassified COPY 20 DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE WASHINGTON December 29, 1942 Mr. W. L. Hemingway, President Ame ican Bankers Association St. Louis Missouri Dear Mr. Hemingway: All of us in the Department of Agriculture depend upon and welcome the support of the nation's banks in the 1943 Food for Freedom pro- gram pledged in your telegram of December 19. The 1942 record was meritorious. We count on equally strong support in 1943 as farmers face up to a very difficult task. I em advised by the Director of Information that the omission of mention of commercial bank credit in the information campaign handbook was purely an oversight. The book wes prepared to guide the Department agencies in handling information issued in connection with their operations. Natural- ly the copy was directed toward the part to be played by credit from Department agencies. The idea was not, however, to imply that these are the only sources of credit. In future materials to be issued concerning the Farm Mobilization, the credit sections will draw attention to the Food for Freedom committees which stand ready to assist in procuring adequate financing, and the financing support for the 1943 production available from the commercial banks. Sincerely, /s/ Claude R. Wickard Secretary 21 January 6, 1943. Dear Mr. Heningvay: The Secretary received your letter of December 26, and had distated a reply. but because of his absence from the office on account of illness, be was not able to sign the letter. I hav that you have already arrived in the city and have seen Mr. Dell and others in the Treasury. 1 just vanted to let you know that your letter had reached Mr. Morgenthan, and that he would have been very glad to ⑉ you and the Com- nittee during the course of your meetings is Mashington if be had not been any from Ms effice. b would also visa no to thank you for your Sensen's Greetings and to send you his best wishes for the conting year. Sincerely yours, (Signed) H. S. Kintz N. I. Klets, Private Secretary. Mr. V. L. Progitest, The American Insters Accountion, Been 673, The Villard, By Mess. Bundy 3:00 1/6 Washington, D. File in Diary GMF/de Regraded Unclassified 22 le Thank you letter to Mr. Hemingway, President of ABA, for his congratulations on your successful financing. - the 23 THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON December 30, 1942. Dear Mr. Hemingway: Thank you very much for the message of congratulations contained in your letter of December 26, 1942. I am indeed gratified at the splendid response received from all sources to the Victory Fund Drive. I appreciate the work which your Committee performed in getting the banks of the country to cooperate so fully in this drive. I shall of course be glad to see the Committee on either January 5th or 6th when you meet in Washington. If you care to, you are at liberty to use the room in the Treasury Building which you used the last time you were here. With best wishes for the coming year, I am Sincerely yours, Secretary of the Treasury. Mr. W. L. Hemingway President The American Bankers Association Mercantile-Commerce Bank & Trust Company St. Louis, Missouri. spell 24 THE AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT - MERCANTILE-COMMERCE BANK AND TRUST Co. ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI W. L.HEMINGWAY PRESIDENT December 26, 1942 Hon. Henry Morgenthau, Jr. Secretary of the Treasury Washington, D. C. Dear Mr. Secretary: Now that the returns are in from the recent drive I want to extend my congratulations to you on the splendid results. It must, indeed, be gratifying to you to Bee how splen- didly the people have responded to your call. Our Committee, which met with you last month, will meet again in Washington on the 5th and 6th of January, as those dates appear to be the only ones on which we can get a full attendance for some time. We intend to review our experiences of this last drive for the purpose of making what improvements we can in our method of assistance. If you should care to meet with us, we will, of course, be very glad to call at an hour most convenient to you. With my kindest regards and the Compliments of the Season, I am, Sincerely Hemingway yours, President 25 January 6, 1943. Dear Mr. Treastine: In the absense of the Secretary, I as acknowledging your personal letter of December 29. Both the letter and its - closure will be brought to Mr. Morgenthau's attention just as soon as he is back at his desk. Sinderely yours, (Signed) H. S. Klotz H. s. Klets, Private Secretary. Mr. Phillip s. Transtine, Chairman, Ohio War Savings Counittee, Cloveland, Ohio. GEF/dbs Regraded Unclassified 26 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WAR SAVINGS STAFF OFFICE OF December 29, 1942 OHIO WAR SAVINGS COMMITTEE PHILLIP J. TROUNSTINE, Comme Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Jr., Secretary of the Treasury, Washington, D. C. Dear Henry: Now that the Victory Fund Drive has been successfully concluded, I offer my hearty congratulations. I know how you must have felt the weight of this responsibility. I would like however, at this time, to call your personal attention to certain matters relating to that drive and the way in which it was conducted. I need not tell you that my reasons for thus reporting direct to you are impelling or I should not presume to do 60. As Chairman of the War Savings Committee for Ohio, at which job I am spending all of my time, my first interest is naturally the continued success of the War Bond effort. However, I am not so biased in that interest that I cannot see the tremendous importance of the work of the Viotory Fund Committee. It seems to me that both of these programs are of the utmost importance to the success of the war effort. It has therefore been most distressing to me to see this December drive launched and conducted with a seemingly deliberate attempt by the Victory Fund Committee in Ohio to dominate the entire War Bond program and to compete directly with our well set up and functioning organization. Money has been spent and the impression given that this Committee is well financed by the Treasury, while of course our County Committees must finance them- selves. All of this has caused much confusion in the minds of our volunteer workers and, if continued, will adversely affect our progress to an immeasurable extent. I have seen your telegraphic instructions 8.6 to selling and organization policies either ignored or misinterpreted. I have seen a definitely de- termined attempt to discredit the E Bond and to compete with it 80 as to eventually force its replacement with a negotiable coupon bearing bond. FORVICTORY In faot, this prediction has been made and repeated. BUY UNITED STATES WAR BONDS AND STAMPS 27 - 2 - Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Jr. The Fourth Federal Reserve Bank at Cleveland 18 at present employing sixty people to take care of redemption of 8 Bonds. That statement has been too freely used and has caused widespread rumore in our State as to the tremendous amount of redemptions. Reports that the E Bond must eventually be discontinued are traceable directly to this Bank. The Victory Fund Committees in Ohio practically adopted the slogan of "beat the bushes" for sales, Two districts, to my knowledge, have conducted house-to-house canvasses. Publicity has stressed the small buyer from $18.50 up, and $300.00 per month income earners. This you definitely asked them not to do. There have been deliberate attempts in parts of our State to raid our personnel. In one instance an important volunteer was taken by being given a paid job. Many other workers were taken away from us, our people believing the War Bond organization was being absorbed. Publicity has been generally misleading. I do not want to bother you with too many of the details. I have, however, collected a sampling of publicity in our State which I am sending, with a copy of this letter, to Harold Graves. If you wish to see it, he will have it for you. I have no doubt that much of this has already been brought to your atten- tion and that you yourself have felt deep concern about it. However, I hope I may presume to suggest to you that regardless of the relative importance of the two operations, the Treasury Department as a whole can ill afford, in my opinion, to permit one branch to practically sabotage another, and it is my considered judgment that the Victory Fund leaders deliberately and willingly superimposed their organization upon ours to the very serious and definite detriment of the War Bond program. If I am correct in this, then the cause is equally 8.6 disturbing as the effect, To assure you that Roy Moore and I as Administrator and Chairman are in accord in these matters, I an enclosing copy of his letter dated November 23rd to Mr. Graves. My only justification for addressing you personally in this manner ie my very deep interest in the whole Treasury situation and 6. mutual interest in the clarification of its disturbing elements. Naturally, I have no objection to whatever use you may wish to make of this letter. Sincerely, Phil Regraded Unclassified COPY 28 November 23, 1942 Hon. Harold N. Graves, Assistant to the Secretary of the Treasury, Treasury Department, Washington, D. C. Dear Mr. Graves: The central war bond organisation in Ohio is not one, I submit, to be contankerous about the sanctity of its toes in the matter of being stepped on. We have tried to accept and adjust ourselves to the in- escapable complexities rising out of the immensity of the national job, and the Washington viewpoint generally. However, we should feel remiss indeed if we failed to point out to you that the intensity and seriousness of our state-wide attitude in regard- ing the war bond job as an extremely important one are at the moment strained to the point of breaking. Tie have had the feeling that even before, but particularly since, the Kaneas City meeting we could 660 more definite and enduring progress than at any time since we began to organize the State. You will remember we took our newly appointed dollar a year chairman of the State F & G Committee to Kansas City for inspir- ation and guidance of which he brought back an emazing quantity. Tie had set about and had extremely gratifying progress to measure in the F & G phase of organisation after having been on again and off again, with and without the Victory Fund Committees since June. That work of course was completely discarded, the time wasted, and our patience still further strained by the announcement that we would no longer have to do with anything but the E War Bond. And we have no quarrel with this since it 16 the judgment of the Treasury Department and since we are interested primarily in the whole Treasury problem rather than our own particular corner of it. I mean this very seriously and I an sure I speak for at least the central staff of Ohio. But regardless of the imperative need for the stupendous nine billion dollar financing program in December, we doubt very much that proper protective steps have been taken to prevent the crumbling and disintegra- tion of the volunteer organization for was bonda as the result of the kind of announcements that have come from Washington or at least attri- buted to the Treasury Department and from local Victory Fund Committee chairmen. For example, the Cleveland Plain Dealer last week inted the story of the drive for Ohio's quota and Cuyahoga County's share of it by the Victory Fund Committee under the leadership of the President of the Fourth Federal Reserve District with area and local chairmen named in the story and with the definite impression that this huge financing undertaking would embrace and absorb the entire War Bond organisation throughout the state. Similar stories have been printed elsewhere in Regraded Unclassified 29 - 2 - Hon. Harold N. Graves local papers with local application as in the case of the Canton Repository yesterday which left no doubt in the minds of our workers that they are now a subordinate part of the Victory Fund Committee in Stark County and will be expected to contribute their comparative- ly small share of the nine billion dollar total as a part of the newly super-imposed Victory Fund group. I am writing at this length and in this manner not only to urge upon you a bold and courageous clarification of this confused set-up, regardless of inter-departmental ideas and personalities in the Treasury Department, but to help us, insofar as possible, to hold together our own war bond volunteer personnel so that after the great nine billion dollar push is over we will have as much as possible left of a continuing war bond group as the injurious moves thus far taken will permit. I must reiterate and urge you to believe this plea comes from no prejudices or personal sensitivity in the premises. We do have a very deep sense of the frustration already apparent which will render us as a state war bond organization practically impotent when the heat and smoke from the big fire have blown away, unless something can be done quickly and effectively to indicate to the local volunteers whether they are to be Victory Fund or War Bond. I hope you will see in this an effort to be of assistance in solving the problems rather than to impede your own efforts to bring order out of the welter of confusion that seems to have us practically stopped in our tracks. Mr. Trounstine is familiar with the contents of this letter and he and I are in full accord. Very sincerely, State Administrator War Savings Staff for Ohio Regraded Unclassified 30 January 6, 1943. MEMORANDUM TO: Secretary Morgenthau FROM: Mr. Gaston As the result of a request made by the Office of Strategic Services through Harry Anslinger, I recommended to the State Department in a letter yesterday that Erwin May be designated as Financial Attache of the United States Legation at Stockholm, Sweden. I sent this letter along after discussing it with Dan Bell and with Harry White. Harry White was in some doubt whether May would have the initiative and resourcefulness to get out of Stockholm all of the types of information that would be desirable. We considered the possible substitution for May of a man from Harry White's organization, or one whom he would select, but finally came to the conclusion that the best course would be to designate May as the Financial Attache and to give him the assistance of an economist to be approved by White. Harry Anslinger, who with Bill Johnson discussed the matter with Harry White and me, feels sure that he can get approval from the O.S.S. and the State Department to sending a second man along. wh 31 THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF M 31 WASHINGTON January 6, 1943. SECRET The Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Secretary of the Treasury, Washington, D. C. My dear Mr. Secretary: Attached hereto is a memorandum prepared by General Gross, Chief of Trans- portation, Services of Supply. It has been prepared with reference to Mr. Mack's memorandum to you of December 30th, which you asked me to have investigated. Sincerely yours, John JOHN R. adian DEANE, Brigadier General, U. S. Army, Secretary. Encl. VICTORY BUY DONDS ARS EXAMPS SECRET SECRET BRORET 32 WAR DEPARTMENT Auth. Ch/Trans. OFFICE OF THE CHIEF OF TRANSPORTATION Initials 97180 WASHINGTON, D.C. Date 1-2-40 In reply refer to: January 2, 1943. SPTOW 565.2 T A 1519 MEMORANDUM FOR BRIGADIER GENERAL J. R, DEANE Secretary Combined Chiefs of Staff SUBJECT: French Lend-Lease Cargoes. 1. Reference is made to the attached memorandum addressed to the Secretary of Treasury regarding Frend Lend-Lease cargo on hand at the Port of New York. 2. The items summarized in Mr. Mack's memorandum represent the unshipped balance of the so-called Vichy cargo which was acquired by Treasury Procurement after consultation with the Office of the Lend- Lease Administration, the State Department and the War Department to provide an immediate supply of consumers' goods for shipment to North Africa. An aggregate of approximately 12,000 tone of these materials were procured during the latter part of November and December. Approximately 6,800 of the 12,000 tons of material was shipped on UGS-3. A detailed breakdown of materials shipped is as follows: 922 tons soap; 2320 tone of sugar; 1219 tons evaporated milk; 149 tons clothing; 135 tons cotton piece goods; 119 powdered milk; 1621 tons copper sulphate; 161 tons tea; 88 tons matches; 9 tons Chambray; 55 tons tobacco; 10 tons drapery; in addition to this figure there were 1,800 tons loaded aboard vessels at the same time but which re- turned as they could not keep up with the convoy. 3. In addition to the quantities shipped on UGS-3, it is estimated that at least 12,000 tons of these materials will be shipped on UGS-4. The material carried on UGS-4 should cover the entire list given in Mr. Mack's memorandum except that the quantity of matches has been reduced to 100 tona. Arrangements have been made with the Lend-Lease Administration to accumulate B. stock pile of from 40-50,000 tons of these civilian materials in the New York area, These materials are to be shipped as filler cargo aboard the vessels assigned to the Army. It is anticipated that the quantity of these materials carried on subsequent convoys will be materially increased, and every effort will be made to carry 30,000 tons per month as requested in the recent radio received from General Eisenhower. The exact quantity to be carried on any convoy is of course governed by the amount of urgently needed war materials which are available for shipment at the time. PYICTORY 1 Incl: BUY UNITED Memo 12/30/42 C. P. AROSS, STATES WAR Major General, BONDS ARE Chief of Transportation, STAMPS SECRE Regraded Unclassified 33 A 1520 TREASURY DEPARTMENT PROCUREMENT DIVISION OFFICE OF THE DIRECTOR WASHINGTON December 30, 1942 MEMORANDUM TO THE SECRETARY: Supplementing my memorandum on December 29, which shows various tonnages on hand at New York City waiting vessels - these tonnages have been on hand since the following dates:- Used Clothing 408 Tons December 10 Cotton Piece Goods 1710 Tons December 10 Refined Sugar 3071 Tons November 27 Raw Sugar 245 Tons November 27 Powdered Whole Milk 8 Tons December 27 Matches 310 Tons 100 December 22 Copper Sulphate 675 Tons November 27 6,4r (th-05-51) 5/501f has Clinton E. Mack Director of Procurement POPVICTORY BUY UNITED STATES WAR July BONDS AND STAMPS Regraded Unclassified 34 A 1521 Amount Shipped On Hand At NYC En Route Commodity Purchased From USA Waiting Vessels To Port Used Clothing 1208 tons 300 tons 408 tons 500 tons Cotton Piece Goods 2970 " 260 If 1710 " 1000 If Shoes 200,000 pair 0 0 200,000 pair Cotton and Knitted Wear 180,000 dozen o 0 180,000 dozen Refined Sugar 3947 tons 876 tons 3071 tons 0 Raw Sugar 2160 DE 1915 " 245 If 0 Powdered Whole Milk 178 If 170 If 8 If 0 Condensed Milk 234 If 234 11 0 0 Tea 173 " 173 If 0 0 Matches 410 " 0 310 # 100 tons Nails 4.3 " 4.3 " 0 0 Pharmaceuticals 10.4 If 10.4 If 0 0 Copper Sulphate 2632 If 1957 If 675 If 0 Books 5000 each 5000 each 0 0 Lamp Chimneys 80,000 each 0 0 80,000 each Phonograph Records 1,000 each 0 0 1,000 each Newsprint 30 tons 0 0 30 tons Printer's Ink 200 lbs. 0 0 200 lbs. Machine Finished Book Paper 2 tons 0 0 2 tons Cordage and Twine 300 tons 0 0 300 tons Thread 100 tons 0 0 100 tons Totals * 5899.7 tons 6427 tons *Total tonnage "Shipped From USA" does not include weight of 5000 Books. Uncl 35 original to Mr. Mack Photostats in President's folder. CONFIDENTIAL THE WHITE HOUSE 36 WASHINGTON January 6, 1943. MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY: I understand both the Army and Navy are definitely of the opinion that Russian continuance as a major factor in the war is of cardinal importance, and therefore it must be a basic factor in our strategy to provide her with the maximum amount of supplies that can be delivered to her ports. I fully indorse this concept. The present Second Protocol agreement with the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics terminates in large part by the end of this fiscal year. I have therefore taken steps to ascer- tain Soviet needs for a Third Protocol covering the period July 1, 1943, to June 30, 1944. As soon as these needs have been received, I intend to ask the various interested agencies as to the degree to which they may be met. In the meantime, in executing the Second Protocol and in planning the overall program to the end of the fiscal year 1944, the necessity of meeting Soviet needs in accordance with the above strategical viewpoint must be regarded as a matter of paramount importance. CONFIDENTIAL Regraded Unclassified 37 TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE Jan. 6, 1943 TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Mr. White HDW This 1s a comparative statement of the earnings and expenses of the Stabilization Fund for the months of November and December, 1942. Earnings November 1942 December 1942 Interest earned on investments $ 19,461.48 $ 20,167.21 Interest earned on yuan --- 8,630.14 Total $ 19,461.48 $ 28,797.35 Profits on foreign exchange-- Swiss francs -- 13.82 Profits on handling charges on gold 33,727.45 86,507.81 Grand Total $ 53,188.93 $ 115,318.98 Expenses Salaries $ 19,800.03 $ 18,866.26 Travel 148.06 1,233.30 Subsistence 42.00 36.00 Telephone and Telegraph 1,388.95 2,005.68 Stationery 487.01 96.01 All Others 403.24 321.28 Total $ 22,269.29 $ 22,558.53 Net earnings $ 30,919.64 $ 92,760.45 Earnings increased in December, as compared with November, as a result of increased sales of gold to foreign countries for earmark with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and of interest earned on yuan purchased from China under the agreement of April 1, 1941, during December. This report was completed from figures supplied by Mr. O'Daniel. Regraded Unclassified 38 TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE January 5, 1943 TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Mr. White HDW Subject: Status of Stabilization and Gold Agreements on Dec. 31 1. Stabilization Agreements in Operation Amount ountry Dated Expires Commitment Outstanding Collateral razil 1/ 7/15/37 7/15/47 $100,000,000 None None gold hina 7/14/37 6/30/43 50,000,000 None None gold hina 4/1/41 6/30/43 50,000,000 $10,000,000 None required cuador 3/1/42 6/30/43 5,000,000 None None required celand 5/1/42 6/30/43 2,000,000 None None required 2. Stabilization Agreements Concluded but 0 not yet Effective exico 11/1/41 6/30/43 $ 40,000,000 None None required 3. Gold Sale Agreement Payment due ountry Dated Expires Commitment Outstanding within: uba 7/6/42 6/30/43 $ 5,000,000 None 120 days from each sale 4. British Coin Purchase Agreement ountry Dated Expires Commitment Purchases 1beria 9/26/42 6/30/43 $ 2,000,000 None / This agreement, as amended, also provides for sale to Brazil of up to $100,000,000 in gold, of which $49,415,080 has been sold. Regraded 39 TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE Jan. 6, 1943 TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Mr. White HOW 1. Stabilization Fund's Gold Transactions During December, 1942, the Stabilization Fund sold about $32.1 million in gold to foreign countries to be earmarked for their accounts with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Sales, by countries, were as follows: Country Sales in millions of dollars Argentina 6.0 Bolivia 2.1 Ecuador 2.5 Guatemala 2.8 Haiti .2 Portugal 10.0 Switzerland 5.0 Venezuela 3.5 Total 32.1 In addition, the Fund purchased $2.5 million in gold from the earmarked account of Uruguay. In order to maintain its gold balance, the Stabilization Fund purchased $22.8 million in gold from the Treasury General Fund. As a result of the above transactions, there was a net decrease of about $6.7 million in the Stabilization Fund's gold holdings to about $12.3 million as of December 31. Regraded Unclassified 40 -2- Division of Monetary Research 2. Treasury Gold Stock During December, the Treasury's gold stock decreased by $17.2 million to $22,726.2 million as of December 31. Known and estimated acquisitions were as follows: Millions of dollars Newly-mined domestic 1.8 Imports sold directly to mints and assay offices 3.3 Miscellaneous (coin and scrap) 0.5 Total 5.6 The Treasury sold $22.8 million to the Stabilization Fund, making a net decrease of $17.2 million. 3. Total Gold Holdings of the United States November 30, 1942 December 31, 1942 Treasury Gold Stock $ 22,743,411,716 $ 22,726,242,881 Stabilization Fund Gold 19,090,888 12,313,103 Total $ 22,762,502,604 $ 22,738,555,984 The decrease in the gold holdings of the Treasury and the Stabilization Fund during December was $23.9 million. Regraded Unclassified 41 JAN 6 - 1943 My dear Mr. President: I - enclosing report on our exports to some selected countries for the period ending December 19, 1942. Faithfully, 1s/ D. N. Bell acting Secretary of the Treasury. The President, The White House. Enclosure By Mess. Sturgis 3:50 1/6/43 Extra copies to White's office File in Diary HDW HDW/efs 1/4/43 FILE COPY Regraded Unclassified SECRET 42 January 5, 1943 Exports to Russia, Free China and selected blocked countries as reported to the Treasury Department during the nine-day period ending December 19, 1942 1. Exports to Russia Exports to Russia as reported during the nine- day period ending December 19, 1942 amounted to $33,140,000. Military equipment accounted for $11,781,000 and included 6 light bombers, 24 one- engine P-40 fighters and 21 tanks. 2. Exports to Free China Exports to Free China as reported during the period under review amounted to only $2,000. 3. Exports to selected blocked countries Exports to selected blooked countries are given in Appendix A. Most important were exports to Portugal amounting to $172,000. ISF/efs 1/5/43 Regraded Unclassified SECRET 43 APPENDIX A Summary of United States Experts to Selected Countries as Reported to the Treasury Department from Export Declarations Received During the Period Indicated V (In thousands of dollars) Total Total 9-day 10-day Domestic Exports Domestic Experts Peried ended Peried ended Aug. 1, 1942 to July 28, 1941 to Dec. 19,1942 Dec. 10,1942 Dec. 19, 1942 July 31, 1942 S. S. R. $ 33,140 $30,635 $ 617,056 $ 742,941 ree China 2 822 110,641 97,720 win 1 - 771 2,858 itserland 1 1,290 6,920 11,537 Jem - 2 2,628 18,056 artugal 172 590 2,158 9,743 rench North Africa 3/ - - 2,088 6,305 reasury Department, Division of Menstary Research January 4, 1943 Many of the export declarations are received with & lag of several days or more. Therefore this compilation does not accurately represent the actual shipment of a particular period. Includes Mercece, Algeria and Tunisia. wete 1/4/43 Regraded Unclassified APPENDIX B SECRET Exports from the U. s. to Free China and U.S.S.R. 44 as reported to the Treasury Department July 28, 1941 - December 19, 1942 w (Thousands of Dollars) Experts to Exports to Pree China U.S.S.R. July 28, 1941 - Jan. 24, 1942 . 32,758 e 98,902 1942 Jan. 26 - Jan. 31 6,938 9,608 Feb. 1 - Feb. 10 2/ 4,889 13,315 Feb. 10 - Feb. 20 4,855 26,174 Feb. 20 - Feb. 28 3/ 2,921 28,119 Mar. 1 - Mar. 10 2,879 32,509 Mar. 10 - Mar. 20 8,058 28,556 Mar. 20 - Mar. 31 4/ 2 42,435 Apr. 1 - Apr. 10 4,836 51,698 Apr. 11 - Apr. 20 5.335 66,906 Apr. 21 - Apr. 30 2,827 50,958 May 1 - May 10 5/ 296 28,652 May 11 - May 20 1,872 18,000 May 21 - May 31 W 2,533 26,180 June 1 - June 10 3,399 12,764 June 11 - June 20 2,707 53,799 June 21 - June 30 1,664 49,919 July 1 - July 10 7,900 35,657 July 11 - July 20 590 33,940 July 21 - July 31 3,066 35,669 Aug. 1 - Aug. 10 208 14,970 Aug. 11 - Aug. 20 192 23,325 Aug. 21 - Aug. 31 2,850 112,492 Sept. 1 - Sept.10 855 24,339 Sept.11 - Sept.20 11 44,434 Sept.21 - Sept.30 902 30,947 Oct. 1 - Oct. 10 1,885 14,564 Oct. 11 - Oct. 20 30 55,083 Oct. 21 - Out. 31 w - 45,701 Nov. 1 - Nov. 10 233 53,144 Nov. 11 . Nov. 20 2,032 45,867 Nov. 21 - Nov. 30 296 88,415 Dec. 1 - Dec. 10 822 30,635 Dec. 11 - Dee. 19 2 33,140 Total #110,641 $1,360,816 1 These figures are in part taken from copies of shipping manifests. Beginning with February 1, figures are given for 10-day period instead of week, except where otherwise indicated. 3 8-day period. 11-day period. 51 Due to changes in reporting procedure for the Department of Commerce, this report is incomplete for the period indicated. 6/ 9-day period. Treasury Department, Division of Monetary Research January 4. 1943 ISF/efe 1/4/43 SECRET 45 APPENDIX 0 Principal Exports from U. s. to U. 3. 8. R. as reported to the Treasury Department during the nine-day period ending December 19, 1942 Value Unit of (Thousands Quantity Quantity of dollars) TOTAL EXPORTS $ 33,140 Military Equipment ($11,781) Ammunition - - 3,566 Aircraft 2,374 Light bombers (2 eng. A-20) No. 6 Fighters (1 eng. P-40) Pursuit and Interceptor No. 24 Aircraft parts and accessories - - 1,797 Military tanks 1,691 Medium tanks (M4A-2) No. 16 Medium tanks, n.e.s. No. 5 Firearms 798 Anti-aircraft artillery 90 - guns No. 4 37 me. Mit aircraft guns No. 16 20 mm. Oerlikon navel artillery guns anti-aireraft No. 40 Explosives Lb. 1,659,330 534 Ordnance combat vehicles 458 Seout ears No. 502 All other 563 Non-military goods (821,359) Motor trucks,motorcycles, auto replacement parts and marine engines - - 3,971 Industrial electireal and agricultural machinery and parts - - 2,858 Regraded Unclassified 46 APPENDIX C (Continued) Page 2 Value Unit of (Thousands Quantity Quantity of dollars) Meat products - - $ 4,139 Food products, n.e.s. - - 1,794 Iron and steel manufactures and semimanufastures - - 2,956 Metals and manufactures, n.e.s. - - 2,055 Rubber and leather manufactures - - 1,371 Wool and cotton e - 999 All other 1,236 Treasury Department, Division of Monetary Research January 4. 1943 EFM/efs 1/4/43 Regraded Unclassified 47 JAN 6- 1943 My dear Mr. Secretary: I an enclosing report on our exports to some selected countries for the period ending December 19, 1942. Sincerely yours, /s/ D.H. Bell acting Secretary of the Treasury. The Honorable, The Secretary of State. Enclosure By Mess. Sturgis 3:50 1/6/43 Extra copies to White's office File in Diary HDW/efe 1/4/43 HDW FILE COPY Regraded Unclassified SECRET 48 January 5. 1943 Exports to Russia, Free China and selected blocked countries as reported to the Treasury Appartment during the nine-day period ending December 19, 1942 1. Exports to Russia Exports to Russia as reported during the nine- day period ending December 19, 1942 amounted to $33,140,000. Military equipment accounted for $11,781,000 of the total. 2. Exports to Free China Exports to Free China as reported during the period under review amounted to only $2,000. 3. Exports to selected blocked countries Exports to selected blocked countries are given in Appendix A. Most important were exports to Portugal amounting to $172,000. ISF/efs 1/5/43 Regraded Unclassified SECRET 49 APPENDIX A Sumary of United States Experts to Selected Countries as Reported to the Treasury Department from Export Declarations Received During the Peried Indicated V (Im thousands of dellars) Total Total 9-day 10-day Domestic Exports Demestic Exports Period ended Period ended Aug. 1, 1942 to July 28, 1941 to Ded, 19. 1942 Des. 10,1942 Dec. 19, 1943 July 32. 1942 8. 8. 1. $ 33,140 $ 30,635 8 617,056 8 742,941 free Chim 2 822 110,641 97,720 in 1 - 771 2,858 witgerland 1 1,290 6,920 11,537 weden 2 2,628 18,056 Cortugal 172 590 2,158 9,743 (rench North Africa z/ - - 2,088 6,305 reasury Department, Division of Monetary Research Jamuary 4, 1943 Many of the expert declarations are received with a lag of several days e mere. Therefore this compilation does not accurately represent the actual shipment of a particular period. Includes Moresse, Algeria and Tunisia. m/ste 1/4/43 Regraded Unclassified SECRET APPENDIX B 50 Exports from the U. 3. to Free China and U.S.S.R. as reported to the Treasury Department July 28, 1941 - December 19, 1942 (Thousands of Dollars) Exports to Exports to Free China U.S.S.R. July 28, 1941 - Jan. 24, 1942 $ 32,758 1942 8 98,902 Jan. 26 - Jan. 31 6,938 9,608 Feb. 1 - Feb. 10 4,889 13,315 Feb. 10 - Feb. 20 4,853 26,174 Feb. 20 - Feb. 28 3/ 2,921 28,119 Mar. 1 - Mar. 10 2,879 32,509 Mar. 10 - Mar. 20 8,058 28,556 Mar. 20 - Mar. 31 w 2 42,435 Apr. 1 - Apr. 10 4,836 51,698 Apr. 11 - Apr. 20 5,335 66,906 Apr. 21 . Apr. 30 2,827 50,958 May 1 - May 10 5/ 296 28,652 May 11 . May 20 1,872 18,000 May 21 - May 31 w 2,533 26,180 June 1 . June 10 3,399 12,764 June 11 . June 20 2,707 53,799 June 21 - June 30 1,664 49,919 July 1 . July 10 7,900 35,657 July 11 - July 20 590 33,940 July 21 - July 31 3,066 35,669 Aug. 1 - Aug. 10 208 14,970 Aug. 11 - Aug. 20 192 23,325 Aug. 21 - Aug. 31 2,850 112,492 Sept. 1 - Sept.10 855 24,339 Sept.11 - Sept.20 11 44,434 Sept.21 - Sept.30 902 30,947 Oct. 1 - Oct. 10 1,885 14,564 Oct. 11 - Oct. 20 30 55,083 Oct. 21 - Oct. 31 w - 45,701 Nov. 1 - Nov. 10 233 53,144 Nov. 11 - Nov. 20 2,032 45,867 Nov. 21 - Nov. 30 296 88,415 Dec. 1 - Dec. 10 822 30,635 Dec. 11 - Dec. 19 2 33,140 Total $110,641 $1,360,816 1 These figures are in part taken from copies of shipping manifests, Beginning with February 1, figures are given for 10-day period instead of week, except where otherwise indicated. 32 8-day period. 11-day period. Due to changes in reporting procedure by the Department of Commerce, this report is incomplete for the period indicated. 9-day period. Treasury Department, Division of Monetary Research January 4, 1943 ISF/efe 1/4/43 Regraded Unclassified SECRET 51 APPENDIX 0 Principal Exports from U. s. to U. s. B. R. as reported to the Treasury Department during the nine-day period ending December 19, 1942 (Thousands of Dollars TOTAL EXPORTS 8 33,140 Principal Items: Military equipment 11,781 Motor trucks, motorcycles, and replacement parts and marine engines 3,971 Iron and steel bars, rods, sheets, wire, tools, ets. 2,956 Meat products, n.e.s. 1,599 Canned sausage 1,550 Copper, brass and bronse 1,335 Industrial machinery and parts 1,291 Food products, n.e.s. 1,141 Electrical machinery and apparatus 1,088 Canned pork 990 Rubber and manufactures 804 Aluminum, sine, nickel and other non-ferrous metals and alleys 720 Wool and manufactures 646 Leather and manufactures 567 Relief supplies 471 Dried 088 products 460 Agricultural machinery and parts 459 Chemicals and related products 433 Cotton and menufactures 355 Tallow and lard 195 freasury Department, Division of Monetary Research January 40 1943 EFM/efs 1/4/43 Regraded Unclassified 52 NOT TO BE RE-TRANSMITTED COPY NO. B BRITISH MOST SECRET U.S. SECRET OPTEL No. Z Information received up to 7 A.M., 6th January, 1943. 1. NAVAL Although all ships of second part of the latest Russian convoy have not yet reached port owing to weather conditions it seems that none has been lost by enemy action. MEDITERRANEAN. One of H.M. Submarines has not repeat not replied to signals and must be presumed lost. Another of H.M. Submarines shelled a small schooner laden with petrol and took 2 prisoners on the 27th, Two days later she twice torpedoed a 1500 ton ship off the east coast of TUNISIA, 2, MILITARY TUNISIA. 2nd. Our tanks made a reconnaissance with artillery support to the east of BOU ARADA. Little opposition was met. Four of our tanks were bogged and lost. 3rd. Now reported that French withdrew from FONDOUK after inflicting casualties, RUSSIA. German attacks at VELIKI LUKI have been repulsed with heavy loss to the enemy, Partisans in the MINSI Area have destroyed two German garrisons, On the Middle Don the Russians have captured MOBOZOVSKAYA on the STALINGRAD-PLIKHAYA railway and TSIMLYANSKAYA on the DON, In the CAUCASUS they have captured NALCHIK and the towns of PROKHLADNEVSKI and KOTLYARNEVSKAYA and taken much booty. 3. AIR OPERATIONS FRENCH NORTH AFRICA. 4th, United States light and medium bombers attacked KAIROUAN Railway Yards and a locality 82 miles south-southwest of TUNIS. At ght MALTA Wellingtons effect- ively bombed the docks and railway centre. BURMA. Between the 1st and 4th Allied aircraft bombed MONYWA airfield, a railway bridge near MANDALAY and at night the railway yards at MANDALAY, 53 January 7, 1943 Meeting in Vice President's Office January 7, 1943 2:30 P.M. Present: Vice President Wallace Secretary of Agriculture, Wickard Mr. Hendrickson and Mr. Cassels of Agriculture Mr. Stettinius and Mr. Cox of Lend-Lease Mr. Acheson of State Department Mr. Gaumnitz of B.E.W. Mr. Byrnes of Stabilization Board arrived late Mr. White of Treasury Department Mr. Cassels submitted a report on Principles and Procedures for the Allocation of United States Food Supplies, a copy of which is appended. Much of the ensuing discussion was taken up with the problem as to how Secretary Wickard was going to answer questions that were going to be put to him by the Appropriations Committee as to (a) why we were sending foodstuffs to England under Lend-Lease when England had sufficient money to pay for some of it, and (b) why send food to England on Lend-Lease when England in turn sells it to her own citizens, and (c) why shouldn't England get beans from Canada instead of the United States if Canada had a surplus supply. It was pointed out that the decision to keep British balances within $600 to $1,000 million would make it possible for Secretary Wickard to base his decisions on whether or not to send food on criteria other than British dollar position. Mr. Byrnes and Secretary Wickard were skeptical whether that answer would be adequate for the Committee. Mr. Acheson suggested that one effective answer might be that England was giving us a good deal of reciprocal Lend-Lease supplying our troops in U.K. and Australia with food and services at no cost to the United States. Mr. Byrnes thought that would be an excellent answer. It was agreed that the answer to the question of sale by Britain of food in England could be answered somewhat along the lines that the British themselves had answered it in the British White Paper. It was agreed that Secretary Wickard was correct in feeling that if Canada had any surplus beans, U.K. ought to get them in Canada rather than get them on Lond-Lease in the United States. The question was raised whether at the Committee hearings the Committee should be informed of the policy established by the Regraded Unclassified 54 - 2 - Administration keeping British balances within $600 to a billion dollars. Mr. Byrnes felt that if it were so stated Congress would incorporate it in legislation and might say that Secretary Wickard could not send any food on Lend-Lease 50 long as U.K. had a billion dollars of gold and dollar assets. Mr. Byrnes wanted to know if we would object to the inclusion of that in legislation. Mr. Cox and Mr. Acheson both felt it would be very unwise to place any such strict tations in any legislation. Mr. Byrnes thought it would be difficult to avoid having the limitations added to the Appropria- tion bill if we were to say what the Administration policy was to keep U.K. within that range. Mr. Stettinius thought that we better find out before the Lend-Lease hearing whether he could make that state- ment with respect to the $600 to 52 billion figure. It was decided that Treasury and State would talk the matter over and let them know. Mr. Hendrickson wondered whether it was appropriate to submit a memorandum by this group to the President touching on food policy inasmuch as there WSS a food Advisory Committee already set up. It was agreed that it would be appropriate to send the Committee report to this food Advisory Committee for their information and that the report would not be submitted to the President. The report of the other subcommittee concerned with the expand- ing of the production of food was then submitted. The report is appended and it was decided to treat that part in the same manner as the one on Allocation of United States Food Supplies. Mr. White left the meeting at 4:15 P.M. but the meeting did not adjourn until a quarter to five. H. D. White Regraded Unclassified 55 COPY-- 1/6/43 For Administrative Use Only Principles and Procedures for the Allocation of U.S. Food Supplies (Submitted to Mr. Stettinius' committee on food distribution policy January 7 by the subcommittee" appointed January 5.) A. Principles The following principles have been implicit in food policy decisions that have been made, although the total supply situation and the limitations on shipping available to date have meant that, to B large extent, they have not been brought into play S.B. the immediate determining considerations. From now on, the circumstances will be different and many of the most important allocation decisions will have to be guided directly by the application of basic principles. These same basic principles should be applicable to the allocation of shipping available for the transportation of food (as far as shipping is transferable and port capacity is available) as well as to the food itself. The principles, if properly established, should also be valid as EL guide to policy in relation to post-war food relief programs. 1. The allocation of food to all claimante should be based on the consideration of their relation to our central objective, the most effective use in the war of the total food and shipping resources available to the United Nations. Each decision will involve the consideration of many inter-related elements and the balancing of many factors which will have to be given different weighting in each case according to the circumstances bearing on it. . Members of subcommittee: J. Cassels, Dept. of Agri. (Chairman): H. White, Treasury: A. Feller, OWI; 1. Rostow, State Dept.: 0. Cox and Byron Spence, OLLA: E. Gaumnits Present 88 liaison representatives: Capt. L. Morrill, Army: Lt. C. Becker, Navy. Regraded Unclassified 56 -2- 2. The needs for food and for the resources used in producing food are BO great that it must be used with the greatest possible economy. Allocations to all claimants should be conditional on the most strenous possible efforts being made to eliminate waste, to confine the use of food supplies to the meeting of essential needs, and to exhaust all possibilities of securing food from other practicable sources. 3. Allocations on Lend-Lease account should not be modified or influenced by any concern with the dollar balances or other foreign exchange resources of the claimant countries since other means are available for maintaining such resources to the extent necessary to insure the vigorous prosecution of the war. the armed forces of this country 4. (Requirements for the armed forces of the United Nations have a preferred claim on U. 5, food supplies.)* Ao in the case of all other allocations, these should be conditional on the greatest possible economy in the acquisition, handling and use of food, If it becomes necessary to reduce civilian consumption below the levels in prospect for 1943, the stringency thus evidenced in the total food situation should lead to A reconsideration of the consumption patterns and levels in the armed forces. In regard to quantities of specific commodities supplied to the armed forces, their claim to the types required in military operations will be given the highest priority. With respect to other commodities, substitutions should be made, 8.6 far as possible, to avoid accentuating particular shortages in other uses. The subcommittee was not in full agreement on the inclusion of this statement: nor on whether, if included, it should relate to our own armed forces or to the armed forces of the United Nations. Regraded Unclassified 57 -3- 5. Requirements for the armed forces of our Allies; Food necessary in order to provide for their fighting forces should also be given B. preferred claim on available food supplies. If, however, the food for the armed forces of any other country could be supplied by diversion from its own civilian consumption, the claim on our supplies should be treated 6.8 the equivalent of a claim for civilian consumption in the foreign country. 6. Essential civilian requirements should receive positive, not residual, protection. Public assurance of this should be given (the form of that assurance being carefully considered from the public relations point of view). Kinimum nutritional standards may serve as a basic bench- mark and should be developed for this purpose, but other considerations must be taken fully into account. Nutritional needs can be most economically met by the consumption of products that yield the highest nutrient returns for the resources used in producing them (as for example, through B. general shift from feed to food crops) and adjustments in that direction should be promoted, but there is 8 limit to the distance we can go in this anó the progress in making the transition must proceed step by step. Minimum civilian requirements will vary according to the consumption patterns that become accepted as time goes on. To take many familiar foode away from consumers too suddenly results, not only in an adverse psychological reaction, but also in an injury to the nutritional status of the people since many of them will fail, through ignorance or dislike, to make appropriate substitutions. Regraded Unclassified 58 -4- The minimum per capita levels (national averages) necessary to protect civilian health and welfare will also vary according to the distribution of food among consumers. Only when we have taken steps to get more nearly equal distribution of essential food among our own people will we be in a position to go to the limit in sharing with the peoples of other countries. It should be part of our basic policy that we do not take food from any of our own people who are worse off in respect to the meeting of their essential food needs than civilians to whom the food le sent. This means that we must extend rationing and introduce whatever supplementary food programs are necessary to insure that people are not prevented by the inadequacy of their incomes from securing the minimum quantities of food they need. In order that individual food consumption may be related as closely as possible to the actual urgency of the needs to be met, differential retioning should be adopted wherever appropriate and practicable. For example, the quantities of high calorie foods provided for those engaged in heavy labor should be greater than for those doing office work. (The application of this principle should be extended as far as possible to the armed forces as well as to civilians.) 7. As long as civilian consumption in this country is above the level necessary to meet the minimum nutritional needs of U. S. consumers, allocatione to civilians in other countries should be based on comparisons of the actual relative levels of consumption in the countries concerned with relative levels that would be appropriate in respect to historic relationships es modified by special circumstances. As between this country Regraded Unclassified 59 -5- and Canada for example, the appropriate level should probably be one of parity. Approximately the same is true for the United Kingdom where historic consumption levels were about the выше as our own. In the cases of other countries, more analysis is needed to determine appropriate relative levels. Provision for war workers should be given a high preference rating. In comparing the needs of civilians in other countries, the ваше qualifications with regard to established consumption patterns and levels as were referred to in connection with the essential needa of our own population should be taken into account. In the choice of commodities to be exported, the most suitable types for shipping (or for particular purposes such as air raid reserves) should be provided 80 for as practicable. 8. Requirements for Reoccupied Areas: Certain minimum requirements will be justified on the basis of strategic considerations which will put them on n. par with the claims of the armed forces. These should be determined in consultation with military authorities. Further requirements may be justified on political grounds and will have to be determined in consultation with the State Department. Additional amounts contributed for humanitarian relief consideration should receive favorable, but realistic consideration. Advance promises made on a scale so generous that they cannot be fulfilled may be expected to bring resctions of & kind the very opposite of what is desired. The advisability of limiting advance commitments of this sort to assurances that relief will be provided for children and nursing or expectant mothers should be considered. Even within these limitations, the needs may be expected to exceed the supplies we can make available. The time when they are greatest will Regraded Unclassified 60 -6- probably coincide with the time when a substantial amount of shipping can be released for this type of cargo. In anticipation of the magnitude and the urgency of these needs, it is necessary that vigorous steps be taken at once to make advance provision for them, 9. Stockpile Recuirements: Appropriate policy in this regard can be stated only in general terms. It involves the anticipation of future requirements which are subject to many incalculable uncertainties. Some of these uncertainties (e.g. crop yields) are subject to analysis in the light of past experience while others can be guessed at only through the informed judgments of those most familiar with all the circumstances. Military and Naval authorities must be depended on for guidance on many of these questions. These requirements, like all others, should be subject to the condition that the supplies are managed with the greatest possible economy. Studies are now under way to determine the extent to which the great variety of risks involved can be pooled (in accordance with good insurance principles) through the development of coordinated general purpose contingency reserves. It is important that, 8.8 a nation, we exercise the foresight and social self-restraint to provide adequately for the needs that may be expected to arise in the future. The contingency reserve program of this country should be coordinated with those of all the United Nations and the most complete possible information should be obtained and examined with respect to the total current and prospective supplies available to the United Nations. Regraded Unclassified 61 - 7 - B. Procedures The following procedures, which have been developed and followed substantially in the allocation of food supplies among military, lend-lease, domestic, civilian and other claimants, are now being formally adopted by the Secretary of Agriculture in discharging the responsibilities placed on him by the Executive Order issued December 6. 1. Each claimant agency is asked to state its requirements for advance periods up to two years, These are collected by the Requirements and Allocations Branch of the Food Distribution Administration, Department of Agriculture, where they are brought together as preliminary data on over-all requirements. Revisions on requirements are obtained at least once every three months. The claimant agencies and the Departmental agencies operating for them are as follows: Army Requirements - War Department Navy and Marine Corps Requirements - Navy Department Veterans Administration Requirements - Veterans Administration United Nations under Lend-Lease Agreements or Protocol - Lend- Lease Administration and Food Missions of the respective nations Caribbean, Alaska, Hawaiian and other United States territories and possessions requirements - The Food Distribution Administration of the Department of Agriculture and the Department of the Interior or the War Department where the area is under martial law. Other exports - State Department and Board of Economic Warfare Rubber workers in the Amason Valley, South America Requirements - Rubber Reserve Company Civilian Requirements - Civilian Requirements Branch of the Food Distribution Administration of the Department of Agriculture. Lunches for School Children - Consumer Programs Branch of the Department of Agriculture, Regraded Unclassified 62 - 8 - Considerations with regard to supplies, production possibilities and relative costs of different types of products in terms of labor, strategic materials and transportation are taken account of in the preparation of these original estimates and in the subsequent adjustments made in them. 2. When consolidated, these requirements are reviewed in the light of supply estimates (including periodic revisions of prospective supplies) and determination is made of the residual amounts that would be available to civilians if the stated requirements were met. 3. The civilian residual estimates are subject to examination by nutritional experts and economists to determine the relationship of such residual supplies to past consumption levels and to United States national standards of nutrition. This analytic work is pointed up in the Civilian Requirements Branch of the Food Distribution Administration of the Department of Agriculture, assisted by an Advisory Committee on Civilian Nutrition of which the Director of the Food Distribution Administration is Chairman, 11- If the analyses demonstrate that the amounts of related food groups remaining for civilians are less than the quantities necessary to provide adequate standards of consumption (a) the possibility of expanding production of these commodities is analyzed by the Food Production Administration and (b) the non-civilian claimant agencies are asked to reconsider and adjust their requirements. 5. If such adjustments in production and requirements do not bring supplies for civilians to an adequate standard, or if any developmente take place to create continuous stringency in the market situation, (e.g., a reduction in production or supplies; or excessive consumer buying as a result of higher national income and employment) the commodity is declared a controlled commodity Regraded Unclassified 63 - 9 - 6. When it is necessary to allocate a controlled commodity, the following procedure becomes effective: a. The Director of the Food Distribution Administration, consulting with the Inter-Agency Allocation Committee of which he is Chairman, recommends to the Secretary over-all allocations of available supplies to: (a) the claimant agencies of the United States, including the civilian popu- lation, War Department, Navy Department, Marine Corps, the Veterans Adminis- tration and other agencies requiring food for use in or by the United States; and (b) foreign claimants including Russia, United Kingdom and other countries receiving Defense Aid, and friendly nations. When this allocation is made, two procedures are established: one with respect to allocation of food among claimant agencies of the food reserved for use in or by the United States; another for the allocation of export food supplies among foreign claimants: (i) The Food Distribution Director, consulting with the Inter- Agency Allocation Committee of which he is chairman, will recommend to the Secretary allocations of supplies among the civilian population, the Army, the Navy, the Marine Corps, the Veterans Administration, territories and possessions and other agencies. On the basis of these recommendations, the Secretary allocates subject to policy direction of the President. (11) When food supplies are determined to be available for export to friendly nations or for Defense Aid, the availability report is transmitted to the Combined Food Board. (At present, the requirements for Russia are determined, subject to the protocol provisions, by direct negotiation with the USSR Food Mission). On Regraded Unclassified 64 - 10 - the advice of its commodity committees, the Combined Food Board will recommend to the Secretary allocations as between foreign claimants including the United Kingdom, the Fighting French, China, the Poles, the Greeks, the Jugoslavs, reoccupied areas and friendly nations. (When provision can be made for the representation of Russia on the Combined Food Board, their requirements can be handled through the same international machinery). Taking into consideration these recommendations, the Secretary allocates the supply for export, after obtaining the advice of the Food Advisory Committee and (on reference) the combined Chiefs of Staff, subject to policy direction of the President. C. Summary of General Recommendations 1. The whole food distribution program should be put immediately on a stringent War economy basis. 2. All requirement estimates should be systematically and critically re-examined on the basis of all known facts about t he total supply situation and in the light of the basic principles established as a result of the conferences for which this memorandum has been prepared, More factual information and more explicit statements as a basis for establishing the relative urgency of needs should be required from all claimants. 3. Specific consideration should be given to the urgent needs of Russia and the extent to which the assistance we are giving in the form of food supplies could be increased. This should include an examination of limitations imposed by the shortage of shipping or the congestion of port facilities and a study of the possible means of overcoming such limitations. The Russian claims should be ovaluated in relation to those of all other claimants including, not only the British and Regraded Unclassified 65 - 11 - other foreign countries, but also those of our own civilian population. 4. A critical examination should be made of the relative levels of civilian consumption in this country, in the United Kingdom and in Canada with a view to mein Thing them in the most equitable and appropriate relations to one another. 5. Nutritional studies and analyses basic to the establishment of appropriate standards of adequacy for civilians in this country under varying circumstances should be undertaken at once. Policies based on these should be formally established as soon as possible and programs instituted to bring about the consumption adjustments required. 6. Rigorous control techniques should be set up to insure that allocations are adhered to within as narrow limits of tolerance as are practicable. 7. Rationing plans, adjusted as far as possible to take account of variations in individual needs, together with supplementary food programs (school lunches, subsidies on necessaries, stamp plan, etc. should be developed and put into effect on the scale and with the speed required by the stringency of the current situation and the prospects ahead, 8. The building up of reserves should be pushed on with foresight and determination. 9. The procurement and stockpiling programs of various government agencies should be effectively coordinated. Regraded Unclassified 66 - 12 - 10. A strong, frank and comprehensive program of public education with regard to the food situation, the reasons for controlled distribution, and the vital importance of the objectives to be attained through this rigorous management of food supplies should be undertaken at once. This should include a vigorous campaign against all forms of food waste. 11, The urgency of the over-all need for food should be reflected in the production, processing, storage and transportation phases of the total program and should be made the basis for securing necessary materials, manpower and finances for carrying out the whole program effectively. Regraded Unclassified 67 - 13 - D, Considerations relating to the presentation of the request for Lend-Lease appropriations. On this matter the subcommittee reached no final agreement. The general feeling seemed to be that Russia might have a legitimate claim to more food than is provided for in the present estimates. A conclusion on this fundamental issue could only be reached after a much more thorough factual investigation than we could give to the questions involved. Mr. Cox called attention to the omission of certain items (e.g., lemons, vitamins, seeds) from the list of commodities covered by the appropriations. Subsequent inquiry indicates that these were included under more general categories or, as in the case of seeds, were provided for in another appropriation. Question was also raised as to whether the funds requested for Russian ship- ments would be sufficient to pay for all that could be sent in the next six months if shipping were available at the rate of 165,000 tons per month (the estimated rate for January) and the cargoes were made up of products with the highest values per ton. Subsequent inquiry indicated that with commodities equal in value per ton to those being sent to the U. K. ($495) the money needed would amount to $490,000 as against the appropriation request of $810,000. It was also suggested that, regardless of the relative quantities that might actually be shipped to Russia and the United Kingdom, there might be an advantage in presenting the request for appropriations in terms of larger quantities for Russia and correspondingly reduced quantities for Britain. The subcommittee recognized that funds would probably be appro- priated more readily for Russian requirements than for British, but had no basis for judging the consequences of such a change in the figures on the British Food Mission even if they were to be assured that the funds would be transferable in the actual carrying out of the program. plant lc-ef 1/12/43 Regraded Unclassified COPY 1-8-43 68 recommendations OF INTERDEPARTMENTAL CONSITTEE TO CONSIDER PROBLEMS RELATING TO 1943 FOOD PRODUCTION PROGRAM January 11, 1943 Manpower The committee recommends: (1) That the War Manpower Commission and the Department of Agriculture cooperate with the Office of Civilian Defense in developing & community by community program to mobilize for use in agriculture the labor resources now available in non-farm communities adjacent to farming areas, (2) That support be given to the Department of Agriculture's request for funds to DU used for payment of transportation and subsistence of sessonal workers, those recruited within this country as well ao those coming from foreign countries. (3) That existing labor on small farms where land resources are avail- able for increased production be nade effective through the exten- sion of credit or other facilities needed for the increased pro- duction of crop or livestock products. (4) In order to clarify a number of issues in the labor supply situa- tion it is recomended that farm manpower needs, potential labor supplies, and the effects which standardization of wages would have on the supply and mobility of lanor be analyzed as quickly as possible and specific steps D6 taken to deal with the situa- tion. Farm Machinery and Fencing Due necessary farm machinery SIV. Sencing materials must be made available to handle the required increases in food production. Although the Depart- cent's recent request for an increase in the manufacture of new machinery from 23 percent of 1940 to 40 percent and in repairs from 135 percent to 107 percent may be on as high a level 35 can be manufactured for early season use, the need for further increases, especially of harvesting machinery, should be analyzed. The Department should make request for materials to manufacture additional machinery of the specific types that further analysis indicates will be necessary to meet the increased goals. Production Programs (1) The committee recognizes the difficulties involved in making major changes in the BAB program for 1943 because of commitments already made and production plans now in the process of development. However, Regraded Unclassified 69 - 2 - it is recommended that the program for 1944 be developed in terms of direct incentive payments for the commodities most needed in the war effort and to limit through marketing quotas or other devices comundities that are less essential in food and fiber production. (2) The committee is concerned about the legislative restrictions on the sale of farm products held by the Commodity Credit Corporation and recommends that attempts be made to lift these restrictions where they pertain either to the quantity or price at which a commodity is sold. (3) The committee questions whether the 1943 milk production goal will be attained under present price support and production programs. the Committee endorses the Department's intention to re-examine the dairy program for the purpose of devising effective means of main- taining dairy production. The O.P.A. representative on the committee wished to be recorded as stating that it was his understanding that the present dairy program would remain in operation for approximately six months. (4) In discussing the dairy program, the committee considered the need for adequate income incentives to obtain desired production of speci- fic conmodities. The comittee recognized that in communities and areas where additional income incentives are needed to obtain more adequate production and where increased price supports are limited by price ceilings; the three following alternative lines of action can be followed: (a) Try to obtain as large an output as possible under present prices but be prepared for the production of supplies under 6001 levels. (b) Adjust price ceilings upward and accept the effect of these adjustments on cost of living. (c) Provide funds for direct production payments to encourage the desired increases in production. There are several farm commodities on which decisions must be made concerning which of these alternatives is to be followed. The milk problem seemo to be the most important of the commodities affected and a policy decision should be reached as soon as possible. (5) It is recommended that the Department of Agriculture consider a pro- gram to apply the insurance principle to crops for which increases are requested, so that growers of new crops or farmers who incur financial risk by materially increasing output of any product will be assured of compensation at least equal to the out-of-pocket expenses incurred. Regraded Unclassified 70 - 3 - (6) To insure an adequate volume of vegetables for consumption, the com- mittee endorses the Victory Garden and Farm Garden Programs and recommends that they be further expanded. Committee Membership: Office of Economic Stabilization - Donald Russell and Edward F. Prichard Board of Economic Warfare - Edwin W. Gaumnitz Office of War Information - James Allen War Hanpower Commission - William Haber and Arthur Stuart Office of Price Administration - A. C% Hoffman Sureau of the Budget - R. C. Patterson State Department - Dewey Anderson Lend Lease - John L. Pratt Treasury Department - George C. Haas and Edmund M. Daggit Office of Civilian Defense - James M. Landis War Production Board - M. Lee Marshall Department of Agriculture - E. D. White, H. B. Boyd, John O. Walker, Russell S. Kifer, and Sherman E. Johnson, Chairman. Regraded Unclassified 71 1948. : I Dear Mr. Elknes The Secretary - approciated your letter of December 20, congratulating his upon the Treasury campaign in commection with the recent financing. Be 10 away from the office because of illness, and I all therefore acknowledging your letter, and expressing Me thanks for year courtesy in vriting his as you md. sincerely yours, (Signed) H. S. Klotz N. 8. Klets, Private Hearstary. Mr. Abran 1. Mikma, 40 Wall Street, New York, New York. GEF/dbs File in Diary Regraded Unclassified 72 ABRAM 1- ELKUS 40 WALL STREET NEW YORK CITY December 30, 1942 Personal and Private Hon. Henry Morgenthau, Secretary of the Treasury, Washington, D. C. Dear Henry: I want to congratulate you on your overwhelming success in raising the $9,000,000,000 loan for the Govern- ment. Before it ended it was $12,000,000,000. Never was such a loan raised by any government at one time and cer- tainly not at 80 low a rate of interest. I felicitate you again on the great success of your efforts. My daughter, Katharine White, was Co-Chairman of the Victory Bond drive in Monmouth County. She lives in Red Bank where I have my Summer home and she has been very busy raising funds. for the various bond issues. With kindest regards to Mrs. Morgenthsu and yourself, I remein Yours faithfully, Regraded Unclassified 73 TREASURY DEPARTMENT WASHINGTON January 7, 1943 MEMORANDUM FOR MRS. KLOTZ: Herewith are two papers which the Secretary asked me to give you for transmittal to him at home, as follows: (1) A memorandum showing the present status of the Treasury Star Parade program; and (2) A draft of a letter to be signed by the Secretary, congratulating and thanking our field organization for the sales results achieved during the month of December. GRAVES. FORVICTORY BUY STATES STAMPS TREASURY DEPARTMENT 74 INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE January 7, 1943 TO The Secretary FROM Mr. Graves The status of the Treasury Star Parade programs follows: 1. Recordings have been made for broadcasts through Friday, February 5th. The making of additional recordings has been suspended. 2. If the Treasury Star Parade is to be con- tinued without interruption, it will be necessary to resume the recordings not later than Thursday, January 14th. As I think you know, the Treasury Star Parade is now being broadcast by 840 radio stations and the recordings are broadcast a pproximately 2,520 times per week. They have been well received both by the radio stations and by the public. I am strongly of the opinion that we should arrange for the continuation of this feature without interruption. Regraded Unclassified 75 January 7, 1943 TO THE WAR SAVINGS STAFF: The sale of $725,000,000 worth of B Bonds in December is a tribute to the War Savings Staff and to the patriotism and good sense of the American people. December marked the culmination of a year of great achievement for the voluntary savings program. During that year $6,000,000,000 of $ Bonds were purchased as a result of your efforts. In many ways, savings in E Bonds represent the most useful money that comes into the Treasury. They not only contribute to meeting the costs of war but because they come largely out of current income, they reduce the pressure on prices and thus help to keep down the cost of living and the cost of the war. Morsover the sale of these securities to millions of individuals outside the usual invest- ing public creates an important factor for stability in our economy and a priceless partnership between the people and their government. Congratulations and my most sincere thanks for your splendid cooperation upon which I shall continue to rely in the year ahead. (Signed) Henry Morgerthan, Jr. Secretary of the Treasury Handed to Thanks 1/11/43 File in Diary Regraded Unclassified 76 January 7. 1943. My dear Mr. Valmfield: Since the Secretary is away from the office, I am acknowledging your note of November 27, which forwarded so his a copy of the pumphles reprinting a breadeast in regard to Mrs. Reesevelt's visit in the Houses of Parliament while she Vas abroad. I know that Mr. Morgenthau will much approciate your courtesy is sending him this leaflet, and thank you for 1% on his behalf. Sincerely yours, (Signed) H. S. Klotz H. S. Klots, Private Secretary. His Excellency. V. V. Vakefield, House of Comman. London, England. GEF/dbs File in Diary Regraded Unclassified 77 o 27th November, 1942. Dear M.Morgenthan, You may have a few minutes to spare one day in which case you might care to read the enclosed leaflet of a broadcast which Elliot made to North America following our taking Mrs. Roosevelt round the Houses of Parliament. With all good wishes, www.kepild Regraded Unclassified 78 Mrs. Roosevelt's Visit 3rd November, I942 "TRADITION AND CHANGE" BY THE RIGHT HON. WALTER ELLIOT, M.C., M.P., Chairman of the British-American Parliamentary Committee. North American Service: Broadcast on Thursday/Friday, 5th/6th November, 1942, 00.80 and 04.00 G.M.T. W HEN I had the privilege of showing Mrs. Roosevelt over the Houses of Parliament on Tuesday, as Chairman of the British-American Parliamentary Committee, there were two things which struck all of us who were present, and they stood out like street-signs. The one was, You must have tradition." The second was, " You must have change." How A Reception was given to to reconcile, how to marry these two great needs of our time, is going to prove one of the biggest tasks before our two peoples. Mrs. Roosevelt by the Old nations and new nations-it's in some ways a figure of British-American Parliamen- speech, since a nation is the sum of the people in it, and the average age of the British is not notably different from the tary Committee at the average age of the Americans. But it does correspond to a certain reality. That reality is the force of tradition. Houses of Parliament on You feel it everywhere here, but especially when going round the Houses of Parliament and the more so when going Tuesday. 3rd November, round with someone from the New World, the keen, active, 1942. challenging, New World which has brought to birth a whole roaring civilisation on the other side of the ocean, from the grass-roots up, since the day before yesterday. The structure of much, and the tradition of all, of the Houses of Parliament is very old and very strong. Much of the structure of it has been burnt and blasted anew in the blitz-but much of it remains, stronger than ever. The tradition, in fact, is growing every twenty-four hours. Here men worked- representatives in a representative assembly-when Drake went out to meet the Spanish Armada coming up the Channel ; here men worked when Marlborough, Churchill's ancestor, launched his army in the great counter-attack that carried him right across Europe to the Danube ; here men worked-and made an Expeditionary Force, and a Second Front -when Napoleon held all Europe, from Madrid to Smolensk. To all that can be added that here and hereabouts men worked, while Hitler also began to reach across Europe from the Bay of Biscay on his way to Smolensk-and men who can claim to said, is that it is too small; and it is but an ante-chamber to be not behind their forefathers either in daring or in resolution, the Hall which I am going to build." It was left for other or in hazards undergone. centuries to fulfil that boast ; yet when, for instance, all your The danger of all that is, that traditions may grow too great lawyers, the Bar of America, came here a few years ago, strong and choke change-for change in our era is going to be and were entertained in Westminster Hall by the English Bar, as essential as steadfastness itself. with the Lord Chancellor at its head, practitioners both in systems of law which drew so much from a common origin- But these traditions, many of which are now part of the one could not help recollecting the challenge of the Norman inheritance of the whole world, are grand, are ennobling things. King, and feeling that a. glint of prophecy, perhaps, illuminated The first, and the greatest, is the blending of two peoples-of the plans to which he had given sanction. You have to build two cultures, Norman and English, with no rancour left behind. big and plan bigger, to stand for a thousand years-and we The history, the living history, of the buildings of Westminster, have to build big and plan bigger, to-day. the Houses of Parliament, begins almost immediately after the Our visitor looked at these things but could not stay, for Conquest-the Norman Conquest of William, the Conqueror. we had much to show her. She passed up the steps on which It comes into full swing with his son, who built the massive Charles the First stood trial for his life, and lost. She passed Norman walls of Westminster Hall-one of the greatest pieces through the hall-now no longer used for debate or assembly- of Norman architecture in Europe ; still standing intact, still built over the site where a. former fire had destroyed an older in active use. The courses of that masonry are older than the House of Commons. That was the one where all the long English language. Mrs. Roosevelt was able to walk across debates took place upon the American War of Independence- the floor and place her hand against the stones which were which had heard the eloquent, closely-argued speeches of hewn and laid when the workmen spoke Anglo-Saxon, and the Burke, in favour of the Colonists of the Thirteen States ; and architects Norman French. Neither could even have common close by, had been Chatham's tremendous affirmation-" My speech with the other nor could either have understood the Lords, you cannot-you cannot-you cannot conquer language which we speak to-day. It had not yet been born. America." There was no time to spend, even on that-there The new language, English, testifies to the spirit of friendliness, is a great deal to see, in an hour at Westminster. But we are of moderation, of toleration, of decency, which comes up, like very proud of these things-the American case was nowhere a mist from the riversides, over the face of England, changing put better, or more strongly, than it was put from the benches men's minds. All these qualities have their bad sides as well of the British Parliament. And we had proved able to learn as their good, their perils as well as their safeties But the from our mistakes-as the Dominions can testify ; as indeed liquidation of the Herrenvolk of that time, the absorption of General Smuts had demonstrated a few days before, coming to their very speech, so that nobody considers for a moment teach; all of us anxious to sit at his feet. whether to say or womanly" or 'feminine," because of the We were racing on. Here, we freed all the slaves in the Norman or English parentage of the two words (though those Empire-by argument, by the Division Lobby. by Act of two words represent the whole two streams that made up the Parliament-the Slavery Abolition Act, 1888. Seven years it clash of the Conquest,-that is a very great achievement; took to operate, and twenty million pounds in compensation, begun, continued, and carried through, in these very halls twenty millions-twenty millions-you could do all that for through which we were walking. twenty millions, if nobody boiled over, if nobody began to There were other aspects of history too, which came alive shoot. That was all past history. We had to get on. We as one moved. William Rufus, who planned and built these were living in the present, working for the future. Mrs. high heavy walls, was reproached by his Court because they Roosevelt still had to meet the Members of Parliament. After were so large. The only fault about this Hall, by God," he all, the Members of Parliament are Parliament, not the stones. adh VISID So we came to the burnt-out shell where Hitler had bombed and wrecked the House of Gladstone and Disraeli, Joseph one Courthope, who grew good timber, no great distance away. Chamberlain, Lloyd George-and Winston Churchill. Here we In 1920, certain beams had to be renewed they went back to had continued to reform the Franchise ; here we had put the same woods, and cut the neighbour oaks which were seed- through the Insurance Acts and the Social Services here we lings then and they bought them still from Courthope, the had voted the building of eight battleships in a single year same family, in the same lands. Difficult to shift, yet it has here we had seen through the first World War from start to advantages too Sir George Courthope sits for the Rye finish here we had challenged the Nazis and all their works, Division of Sussex, where his lands are-Rye, on the sea coast. over Poland, and had heard the first sirens as Britain went to You want men-and families-difficult to shift on the South war again. It was burnt out like an empty kiln-bare walls of Coast just now, looking across to Hitler's aerodromes. brick and stone, open to the sky : ironwork of the heating We looked down and at our feet was the tablet, which system scattered forlornly about the shattered floor. Yet It Mrs. Roosevelt bent over to read, stating that here, for seven did not matter at all-not in the least-not any more than an years, from 1788 to 1795, Warren Hastings, back from his emptied kiln, or a fired gun. The House of Commons sits anew governorship of India, was impeached for bad governing and clsewhere in its new quarters already we can say we heard stood his trial, and after all that enquiry was at last acquitted. news of Libya, the repulse in Libya, the reel back to El This is not the first time affairs in India have had repercussions Alamein, and soon we shall say-of the attack in Egypt-the on the course of events here. 1788-it is a long time ago. attack in Libya-begun again. Till the old Chamber was Mrs. Roosevelt was shown round the House of Lords by destroyed, there was still a line woven into the carpet on the Lord Simon, the Lord Chancellor, formerly head of the Simon floor beyond which nobody must put a foot because, in the past, Commission, who in his turn has given much thought to the that marked the limits of a man's lunge with a sword, when all subject. It is agreed by all that change is necessary still men carried swords, and feelings in debate ran high. Down- remember, that there is a vast store of knowledge in and around stairs in the cloakroom were, still, loops below the hat pegs, this building which should no more be neglected than the in which these same swords could be hung-though they only statistics of rainfall, and deep borings into rocks, when a great carried umbrellas. And still we value these symbols, just as hydro-electric enterprise is to be founded however enthusiastic we value the power to clash our doors in the face of the we may be to bring new light and power to millions. messenger from the House of Lords, and inspect him through So we went upstairs again and Members gathered round, a grating in the door, lest he bring gun-men with him, as once a visitor did, three hundred years ago. And all this we shall who had come to greet Mrs. Roosevelt, and we asked our distinguished guest to accept a small gift, the fruits of some want to reproduce in any new Chamber that we build. shopping by some of our ladies, when she had been too busy to It was this that led Aneurin Bevin, and some of the other shop for herself. Two small pieces of Georgian silver-silver Labour Members, to argue, as we walked through Westminster from the time of George the Third-and if there could be Hall, that tradition here was too strong, resistance to change anything more unlikely to George the Third than that the too great. All of us have felt that uneasiness the uneasiness Parliament House should be burnt out by men flying through in its old skin that a crab must feel before it casts its shell the air from Germany, it could only be that a President's wife from the United States should be treated as our honoured guest before it can bring off the miracle and renew its life again- when it still has to get through the soft-shell period ahead- therein-and that the gift we should choose to make, and she without disaster. should be glad to receive, to commemorate her visit, would be part of the work of his silversmiths in London. We looked up at the great timbers of the roof. Six hundred years ago they had cut these oaks from the woods of di Regraded Unclassified Two silver George III pieces were presented to Mrs. Roosevelt in a case, in which was the following inscription on a silver plate underneath the crest of the Palace of Westminster :- Presented to Mrs. Franklin Delano Roosevelt by the Members of the British-American Parliamentary Committee on the occasion of her visit to the Houses of Parliament on November 3rd, 1942. TREASURY DEPARTMENT 01:01 1943 JAN 6 AM 7 50 SECRETARY OF TREASURY OFFICE Portschen Press, 2 Carmelite Street, E.C. 4. 79 JAN 7 1943 is dear Mr. Secretary: Reference is made to Cable No. 3222 of December 27, 1942 from General Eisenhower requesting additional Treasury personnel to work on property control and exchange, monetary and fiscal matters in North Africa. For your information I an attaching a copy of a letter and enclosure I have sent to the Secretary of State advising that we are prepared to furnish additional personnel. In detailing these men to North Africa this Department is drawing heavily upon its available supply of technical non who are en aged in similar work here. In our opinion, as the scope of our occupation operations expand into other areas the need for technical will be very great. While we will continue to try to neet any further denands for the services of other non in this field, I strongly urge that steps be taken by the Mar Department to take advantage of Treasury experts already In the araed forces. In this connection I as enclosing & first list of nen already in the armed forces who fall within the above category. It would appear that these don are needed now in North Africa and, in addition, they would be receiving valumble experience for the larger operations which are bound to follow. Very truly yours, 151 DwBell Acting Secretary of the Treasury. The Honorable The Secretary of lare Enc. AFL:nrd - 1/2/43, Regraded Unclassified 80 JAN 7 1943 1ty dear Mr. Secretary: I refer to your letter of December 7, 1942 and ay reply of December 17, 1942 relating to civilian personnel assigned to duty in North Africa in connection with the allitary occupation of territories in Europe and North Africa. In Cable No. 3222, December 27, 1942 from General Lisenhower (copy furnished your Department by the war Department), it is stated that six additional Treasury repre- sentatives are needed diately to work on property control and exclunge, monetary, and fiscal mattern with Dubois, Taylor, and Bermstein. In the same cable Shirphy repeats this request to your Department. The Treasury Department is prepared to meet this request Initially by sendin the nen whose names appear on the attached list. r. Harold Glasser whose ne 10 appears first on the list is Assistant Director of Monetary Research and is particularly thellfied to handle the inflation and taxation problems and also is failliur with property controls and exchange, monetary and fiscal matters. Mr. U. L. Soffean 10.080 name appears second on the list is Assistant Director of Foreign Funds Control and is a specialist on this and related subjects. In accordance with your letter of December 7, 1942 and RT reply of Dece ber 17, 1042, We expect that Reasra. Classer and Hoffman will be given the 28.00 status as that accorded Mr. TruBois. with reference to the other Preasury regresentatives named or the attached list, It is expected that they will retain in all respects their present status R.S employees of this Department and that they will work under the direction OE, and be responsible to, Mossrs. Classer, DuDois and Hoffman. nder these circumstances there will be no need for their reporting directly to the Treasury Department and, of course, Regraded Unclassified 81 - 2 - they will be given diplomatic passports and their activities will be under the general supervision of Mr. Murphy, the Chief Civil Affairs Officer. Very truly yours, 1st DwBell Acting Secretary of the Treasury. The Honorable, The Secretary of State. ENC. AFLinrd:bbk - 1/4/43 Regraded Unclassified 82 LIST OF TREASURY MAN TO BE DETAILED TO NORTH AFRICA 1. Harold Glasser 2. Michel L. Hoffman 3. Joseph H. Murphy 4. Gardner Patterson 5. Edwin F. Rains 6. James J. Saxon Been 5,1943 Regraded Unclassified 83 LIST OF TREASURY PERSONNEL NOW IN THE ARMED FORCES OF THE UNITED STATES mo SHOULD BE CONSIDERED FOR THE SPECIAL WORK IN NORTH AFRICA ileme Address Timons, Lt. B.E. Lane Army (assigned to BEN), c/o American imbussy, Landon, England. Clay, Lt. Eugene H. Amy Air Forome, 411 Coral Reef Hotel, Miani, Fla. Hicks, Cadet Jacas Earl Reserve Training Class, Barracks 3 (Nev. Class Sect. 2 Ali) Groton, Connecticut. Towacn, Major Norman E. Military Intelligence, Washington, D. C. Raidon, A/C Neil D. Classification 3qdrn., San Antonio Avistion Cadet Center, San Antonio, Texas. Edelman, Ensign Albert I. U.S. Coast Guard (R), c/o Capt. of Part, San Francisco, Calif. Oliver, Ensign Henry U.S. Naval Reserve (now stationed in Norfolk, Va.) tiken, Lt. Richard P. Naval Operations, Havy Dept., Constitution Ave., Washington, D. C. Wolf, Ensign Robert U. 8. coast Guard (R), % Capt. of the Port, Penana City, no. Kotlar, Pvt. Harry Army Air Forces, No. 32434077, 766th School 3qdm., Buckley Field, Cole. Carre, Lt. Chester n. U. S. Naval Air Station, quonset Point, R.I. Rosen, Sergeant Martin Fort Benjamin Harrison, Indians. January 4, 1943. Regraded Unclassified 84 PARAPHRMIE OF TELEGRAM RECEIVED FROM: Algiers TO: was Department DATED: Desember 27, 1942 seen FOR STATE AND TREASURY SIGNED EISYNHOWER from MURPHY AND BERRETEIN. At least 6 more Treasury representatives, not counting the man for Tengiers, are needed right away in the division of ojnil affairs to work with Bermstein Taysor and Dubois in handling matters regarding mometary, fiscal, enchange end property centrol work. It is sug- gested that an economist who knows inflation and tage ation problems and sen such as Richards, Sexer, Reffman and Reymond Murphy be sent. It is further suggested that Spiegel be reassigned to Treasury and be sent to London in as such ne he would like to make a change. Cables to Acora and Oran should be sent in order to arrange for proper transportation priorities no that through earriage may be assurred and thereby enabling everyone to arrive at Algiers first. All phases of the American staff, including Treasury functions, must be augmented immediately. The Lend-Lease Administration and the Board of Verfere are requesting non, proferably with a knowledge of French. It is requested that ve be furnished with the names of the mem by cablegram and the date of their departure. (No Signature) Regraded Unclassified 85 (Dr. White's office has original) Regraded Unclassified 86 Jan. 7, 1943 Dear Mr. Claytons This is to maknowledge receipt of your letter of lesember 30, 1942, setting forth the disbursements made by R.F.C. subsidiaries for purchases from Britdsh Empire sources during the year 1942. The information is appreciated and should prove helpful. Very truly yours, (SGD) D. W. BELL Acting secretary of the Treasury. MF. W. L.e Clayton, The Assistant Secretary of Connerse, Weshington, D. C. Takirl 1/5/43 Regraded Unclassified 1 0 THE ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF COMMERCE STATE WASHINGTON December 30, 1942 Dear Mr. Secretary: Complying with your recent request for information concerning purchases by the RFC subsidiaries from British Empire sources in 1942, I submit the following: Metals Reserve Company Actual to December 19, $81,000,000. estimate thereafter Defense Supplies Actual to November 30, 85,000,000. Corporation estimate thereafter Rubber Reserve Company Actual to November 30, 39,000,000. estimate thereafter Total $205,000,000. The figures given represent actual disbursements for material received since January 1, 1942, to the dates indicated and estimates of receipts thereafter up to December 31, 1942. In certain cases the values given are f.o.b. steamer or plane at port of export; in other cases, the figures include transportation charges to United States port of import where the contract 18 on a c.i.f. basis. Since in many of the latter cases, the goods are trans- ported by British vessels, it is perhaps fair to assume that the figures given represent a true picture of exchange made available. The principal items composing the above imports are: wool from Australia, $74,000,000; aluminum from Canada, $35,317,000; lead (Australia and Canada principally) $18,000,000; manganese (South Africa and India, principally) $14,000,000. In addition, we paid dollars to Empire sellers for Turkish chrose (about $2,500,000.); for New Caledonia nickel (about $4,000,000.) and for Belgian Congo diamonda (about $1,500,000.). These purchases are not VICTORY BUY TOTED FTATES The Honorable WAR BOXES - The Secretary of the Treasury Regraded Unclassified included in the total of $205,000,000. given above. please let se know and I will be glad to furnish them. If there are any further particulars you would like to have, Sincerely yours, MClayton W.L. Clayton Assistant Secretary Regraded Unclassified 89 TREASURY DEPARTMENT OFFICE w ⑉ SEGRETARY January 7. 1943 COMPINSIFIAL Received this date from the Federal Receive Bank of New York, for the confidential informa- ties of the Secretary of the Treasury. compila- tion for the vesk ented December 30, 1948, showing dollar disbursements out of the British Empire and French accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of Sev York and the mane w which these expenditures vere financed. (Init.) E.M.B. 1mc:1/8/43 90 C 0 P Y FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK January 6, 1943 CONFIDENTIAL Dear Mr. Secretary: Attention: Mr. H. D. White I am enclosing our compilation for the week ended December 30, 1942, showing dollar disbursements out of the British Empire and French accounts at this bank and the means by which these expenditures were financed. Faithfully yours, /=/ L. V. Knoke L. V. Knoke, Vice President. The Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Jr., Secretary of the Treasury, Washington, D. C. Enclosure Copy:imc:1/8/43 STATESTS OF BETTING (In Millions of Dollars) let Saled Isomber 30. 19/2 BANK OF DOLUD (BRITISH PRANCE DEBITS CREDITS DEBITS 0230378 Proceeds of Incr, Net Incr, Gov't Sales of (+) or Gov't Proceeds (=) or Total Expendi- Other Total Securities Other Decr. (-) Total 1 Other Total of Gold Other Dear. (-) PERIOD Debits tures(s) Debite Credital Gold (Milicial)(b) Credita(c) Debits have (o) Debits Credite Sales Credite in $ Pain (A) First year of NN 1,793.2 605.6 1,187.6 1,828.2 1,356.1 52.0 420.2 + 35.0 866,3 425,8(f) 49.7 109530 900.2 195.1(1) +229,11 War period through December, 3940 2,792.3 1,425.6 1,356.7 2,793.1 2,109.5 108.0 575.6 + 10.8 878.) 421.4 456.9 1,098.4 900.2 198,2 +220.1 Second year of *****2,203.0 1,792.2 410.8 2,189.8 1,193.7 274.0 722,1 - 13,2 38.9 6.8 36.1 8,8 - 6,0 - 30.1 Third year of marrad 1,235.6 904.8 330.8 1,361.5 n.s 5.5 1,334.2 +125.9 18.5 . 18.5 44 I 4.4 - 14.1 1942 sept. 3- Sept. 30 56.1 37.1 19.0 81.6 - 0.5 81.1 + 25,5 10.1 - 10,1 0.4 . 0.4 - 9,7 Oct, 1- Oct, 28 46.7 27.4 19.3 57.5 - - 57.5 + 10.8 - - - C.O - Co - 0.3 Oct. 29 - Dec. 2 02 23.2 11.5 72.3 - - 27.3 + 37.6 0.1 - 0.1 0.3 - 0.3 + 0,2 Dec. 3 - 3 Dec, 30 200 L. 17.1 11. - - 51.9 +21.5 - - - - - I I NEEX ENDED: 112 - - 13.7 + 6.5 - 1 I I - - - Tf 17.5 - - 1.5 + 5.8 - I - 1 - # I in - - 6.4 + 1,9 I - 1 - , I - 14.2 - - 16,2% 1 + 23 - - - I I - I Average Weekly Expenditures Since Outbreak of War Transfers from British Purchasing Comission to France (through June 19, 1940) $19.6 million Bank of Canada for French Account England (through June 19, 1940) 27.6 million Week ended December 30, 1942 - willion England (since June 19, 1940) 32. million Cumulation from July 6, 1940 162.7 sillice "Pus monthly breakdown see tabulations prior to April 23, 1941 **For monthly breakdown see tabulations prior to October 8, 1941. ***for monthly breakdown see tabulations prior to October 14, 1942. (See attached sheet for other footnotes) Regraded Unclassified Duggiy Natur Overat, and Matery of Blopping, Instate for - ₫ Destrict Purchasing Britdak MY Matatry, British Supply Board, Ministry of z Entimated Agree beard en transfers from the Bene Tack Agency of the Bank of Montrall, which apparently represent the processo of official Brittick sales of Amriem securities, including these effected through direct negotiation. In addition early miss of the var, although the receipt of the proceeds at this Bank cannot be identified with any socuracy. According to the official calling, liquidation of securities for private British account occurred, particularly during the of our securities through December, 1940 narmated to $334 million, to data supplied by the British Treasury and released by Secretary liargenthas, total official and private British liquidation s Includes about 085 million received during Ostober, 1939 free the accounts of British authorised banks with New York banks, presuarely reflecting the requisitioning of private dollar balances, Other large transfers from such accounts since October, 1939 receipts. apporently represent the sequisition of proceeds of exports from the sterling area and other currently accruing dollar (d) Reflacts changes in all dollar holdings payable on demand or naturing in one year. (a) Instades payments for account of French Air Commission and French Purchasing Commission, (f) Adjusted to elizinate the effect of $20 million paid out on June 26, 1940 and returned the following day, (g) Includes $6.0 million held for credit of U. S. armed forces abroad 2.2 million deposited by British Ministry of Supply 2.0 million transferred from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Regraded Unclassified of GARADIAN AND ACCOUNTS (Is Millions of Dollars) Ented Ducember 30, 3342 BANK OF CANADA (and Camdian Dovertment) COMMO The BANK OF AUSTRALIA (and Australian Dovernment) DEBITS CREDITS DEBITS CREDITS Transfers to Transfers from Official Transfers Proceeds Official of British A/C Net Incr. 3 (*) or Proceeda Net Incr. Official Total British Other Total Gold of For Own For French Other Decr. (-) (+) or PERIOD Total British Debita A/C Debite Credits Other Sales A/C Total A/C Gold Credits in 5 A/C Other Decr. (-) Debita Debite Credits Sales Credite First year of ware 323,0 16,6 306.4 504.7 412.7 20,9 38.7 32.4 + 181.7 31.2 3,9 27.3 36,1 30.0 6.1 + 4.9 war period through December, 1940 477.2 16.6 460.6 707.4 534.8 20,9 110,7 41,0 + 230.2 57.9 14.5 43.4 62.4 50.1 12.3 + 4.5 Second year of 460.4 - 460.4 462.0 246.2 3.4 123.9 88.5 + 1.6 72.2 16,7 55.5 B1.2 62.9 18.3 + 9,0 mird year of 525.8 0.3 525.5 566.3 198.6 7.7 - 360.0 + 40.5 107.2 57.4 49.8 112.2 17.2 95.0 - 5.0 1942 Sept. 3- Sept, 30 46.3 - 46.3 53.6 13.2 - - 60.4 + 7.3 28,0 20.5 75 18,1 - 16.1 - 9.9 Oct, I - Oct, 28 44,9 - 44.9 51.5 16,6 - - 34,9 + 6.6 14.3 12.0 2,3 14.6 - 14.6 + 0,3 Oct. 29 - Dec. 2 YZ E 3.7 45.0 11.6 t - 5452 + 21,5 7.6 5.0 2.4 9.3 - 0.3 + 1.9 Dec. 3- Dec. 30 12.2 I OA 2.3 - . AS I 1.2 74.1 E.U 6.2 11.7 I 11.7 - 2.6 WEEK ENDED: Dec. 9 11.0 - 11.0 15.1 2.6 - - 12.3 0.5 El n.s 8,3 - 8.3 + 7.8 10 11.4 - 11.4 13.1 0.1 - I 33,0 +1.7 R.2 8,0 0.2 0.1 - 0.1 - 8.1 23 12.1 1 12.1 33 Il 33 -28 L. 1.1 1.0 - 1.0 - 0,4 30 13.70 1 13.7 12.4() If 12.4(e)= 1.3 4.0 2.0 2.0(d) 2,3 I 236 - 1.7 Weekly Average of Total Debite Since Outbreak of Tax Through December 30, 1942 $ 8.5 willion the anothly breakdown --- tabulations prior to April 23, 1941. offer monthly breakdown see tabulations prior to October 8, 1941. confer monthly breakdown --- tabulations prior to October 14, 1942. (a) Reflects changes in all dollar holdings payable on demand or enturing in one year, (b)Does not reflect U. S. Treasury 0111 transactions. (d) Includes $ 1.5 million cost of silver purchased to be sinted into Australian coins. (c) Includes $11.8 million deposited by War Supplies, Ltd. (a) Includes 2.0 Allian credited to Australia For of irer of Ur ted MADGE applied against U.S. currency and Treasury checks negotiated, 94 TREASURY department PROCUREMENT DIVISION OFFICE OF THE DIRECTOR WASHINGTON January 7, 1943 MEMORANDUM TO THE SECRETARY: Representatives of the Procurement Division, the General Counsel's Office, and Bureau of Internal Revenue attended 8. conference sponsored by the War Department Price Adjustment Board and held in Cincinnati, Ohio, December 20-22, 1942, to clarify the objectives and unify the activities of the Departmental Renegotiation Boards. It is estimated that there are approximately 175,000 war contracts subject to renegotiation. As of a recent date 4,170 contracts have been assigned to the various Boards on the basis of predominant interest but settlements with only 56 contractors have been reached by war procurement agencies. The machinery for renegotiation is now fairly well es- tablished and it was indicated at the meeting that in the near future agreements will be concluded at a steadily increasing rate. It is our thought to give prompt and special attention to the review of certain contracts involving possible need for renegotiation. Clifton E. Mack Director of Procurement FORYICTORY BUY VEITED STATES BONDS STATE Regraded Unclassified 95 HEL Chungking This telegram must be paraphrased before being Dated January 7, 1943 communicated to anyone other than a Governmental Rec'd 11:44 8,00, 0th agency. (BR) Secretary of State, Washington. 35, January 7, 5 p.m. Following for the Secretary of the Treasury from Adler. Weekly Economic TF 81 (SECTION ONE) One. Prices. Chungking October and November: wholesale general 7,180 and 7,470, food 4,740 and 4,940; retail general 6,540 and 6,760, food 4,760 and 5,160 The November figures represent increases of 19, 22, 13 and 14% respectively, on September. In last few months Munwing prices have gotten way out of line with prices in the rest of the country, the retail general index for November being over 14,000 (farmers Bank January-June 1937 Equals 100) or just about double that for June. PEOPLE in Kunming (which I visited last week for four days to clear up some out= standing board problems with the USAF) are agreed that available price indexes Exaggerate actual level of prices in Kunming which is nevertheless 96 ⑉2⑉, 1/55, January 7, 8 Dalla, from Chungking. nevertheless substantially higher than Elsewhere partly as a result of heavy Central Covernment military Expenditures. Runming has fair quantities of foreign luxury and semi-luxury goods for which fantastic rioss are being asked. Unfortunately the problem of Central Government control is difficult Especially as it is felt that a number of Provincial Government officials are implicated in the hoarding of and profittering in foreign goods and Central Government is chary of offend- ing Provincial Authorities at this juncture when Central Government troops in Yunnan are facing Japanese, Arithmatical average of retail price indices of 14 leading citiza of free China (Farmers Bank January- June 1937 equals 100) for September, October and November; general 5,640, 6,210, and 6,640, food 4,890 5,310 and 5,710. November general index just about treble that for January. Two. Note issue; October CIT dollars 31,226 million November CH dollars 33,381 million. .linister of Finance's corrected figure for September in CN dollars 28,737 million. Three. Sale of United States dollar backed savings certificates to End of 1942 CN dollars 221.5 million. There has been a relatively substantial increas in salts 97 -3-, 35, January 7, 5 Dalla, from Chungking. in sales in last two months due partly to more active campaign by banks. Considerable public interest is being shown in proposal described in my TF 74 and I should appreciate reply to questions raised in TT 75. Four. Central Bank over-sold position; November United States dollars 414,000 and sterling 69,000 December United States dollars 700,000 and sterling 122,000. Five. Kunming black market rates at End of year: United States currency 1749; Indian rupees 16-16.50; Burna rupees 14.50 15.50. SECTION TWO. OnE. An ambitious program of price control endorsed by PEOPLE'S Political Council and Kuomintang Central Executive Committee is to 8° into Effect January 15 under supervision and control of National Mobilization Council, Prices of 8 commodities, wages and transporta- tion rates are to be fixed with November 30 of last year as standard and prices of food and salt to bE chief clements in determinating of prices. Headquarters are to be in Chungking with fine branch offices in Chengtu, Manhsign, Kunming, Mengyang and Sian. Provincial and municipal government authorities are to bE responsible for price control as it is Extended Elsewhere. Doubt Exists in 98 -4-, 35, January 7, 5 from Chungking. exists in informed quarters a 8 towhether the new price control regulations will be more Effective than previous experiments. The Commodity Administration previously chiefly responsible for the enforcement of price control was liquiliated DECEMBER 25 for failure to achieve results. Two, 1943 budgetary new regulations not yet com- pleted. It is Expected that they will call for Expendi- tures of Chinese dollars 35 to 36 billion and revenues of Chinese dollars 18 to 20 million. Dr. Kung admits he will bE lucky if Expenditures do not EXCEED above figure. Various government departments are strongly opposing retrenchment. on Generalissimo's order esti- mates of n litary expenditures are being based on an army of 43 million nen and not 6 million as in 1942; this is not expected to Entail any reduction in actual number of solditrs though it my adversely Effect number of front line troops. Generalis- simo has also ordered curtailment of number of Government officials which so far has been applied largely due to strvants and minor Government officials. GAUSS MRM Regraded Unclassified 99 Co. 13 NOT TO BE RE-TRANSMITTED BRITISH MOST SECRET U.S. SECRET. OPTEL NO. 8. Information received up to 7 a.m., 7th January, 1943. 1. NAVAL. Convoy to North Russia has now arrived complete. No ships were sunk by enemy action. On the 2nd U.S. Motor Torpedo Boats attacked 8 Japanese Destroyers off Guadalcanal, They torpedoed one and possibly two others. 2. MILITARY. LIBYA. 4th. Fezzan Area. Locality about 75 miles east of Mourzouk surrendered to Fighting French Forces, 110 Italians and about 100 native prisoners captured together with arms and war material. 5th. Heavy rain in several areas. Signs of enemy working on his positions south east of Gheddahia. TUNISIA. 5th. Ou troops captured some enemy positions on the high ground 15 miles west of Mateur, The enemy is reported to have withdrawn to the east of Fondouk, RUSSIA. The Russians continue to advance in the Middle Don and Caucasus sectors. 3. AIR OPERATIONS. WESTERN FRONT. 6th. 2 aircraft are missing from anti-submarine patrols in the Bay of Biscay. FRENCH NORTH AFRICA. 5th. U.S. Heavy Bombers attacked Sfax two ships were hit, a Cruiser was probably hit and the power station set on fire. Allied heavy and medium bombers successfully attacked Sousse Harbour and Kairouan airfield. Spitfires carried out two sweeps inflicting casualties 5/1/2. BURMA. 4th. 3 U.S. heavy bombers attacked Rangoon a 15,000 ton transport was hit and set on fire. 100 NOT TO BE RE-TRANSMITTED COPY NO. 13 BRITISH MOST SECRET U.S. SECRET OPTEL No. 14 Following is supplementary recume of operational events covering the period 31st December to 7th January, 1943. 1. NAVAL NORTH&RN WATERS. A homeward convoy from RUSSIA has reached home entera, strong cover was provided by H.M. Ships. This convoy was not sighted by the enemy. Pocket Battleship LUTZOW and Cruisers HIPPER, KOLN and NURNBERG are in MOOR NORWAY. Repairs to TIRPITZ which have been proceeding at TRONDHEIM since October now believed complete. SCHARNHORST in the BALTIC also believed fit for service. New Cruiser SEYULITE at BR.M2N being dismantled. SUBMARINE WARFARE. Four promising attacks by aircraft in week ending 6th January, otherwise quieter though there has been U-boat activity in the MADKIRA-CANARIES Area. TRADE. Imports In convoy to UNITED KINGDOM work ending 2nd, 351,000 tons of which 177,000 oil. ITALIAN FLEET. or 12 REGOLO Class Cruisors proposed construction of 5 only undertaken, 1 completed, 2 almost complete and 1 being converted to aircraft carrier. New type escort vessel resembling ORSA class torpedo-boat been developed of 36 laid down, 2 finished, 13 fitting out end 21 on slips. or 35 effective fleet Destroyers, 12 repairing and 18 employed on North African convoys loaving only 5 for Fleet purposes. 2. MILITARY LIBYA. Enemy positions in WADIZEMZEM runs approximately Southwest from coast few milso north of BUERAT which enemy has evacuated crosses GHEDDAHILA BOUND JEM Road (15 miles south of GREDDAHIA) and then turn westward. Our patrols have pushed forward to enemy line but observation limited by poor visibility due to severe dust storms. No major changes during period. Remaining 8th Army con- tinues its concentration in the forward area. FRENCH SORTH AFRICA. Activity on both sides still cainly confined to patrolling. Allied build up forward area continues. Extra mechanical trans- port landed from recent convoys greatly assisting trunsportation over long lines of communication. Northern Sector. 1st Army now being held mainly by infantry formations with armoured division on right flank. Effect of rain and mud in this sector cannot be over-emphasized. Centrol rnd Southern Sectors. South of PONT DU FARS 3 weak French Divisions holding rough and hilly ground and United Statos light forces operating In area of GAFSA against increasing enemy patrol activity. French ability to withstand amoured attack is small owing to obsolete equipment, but Allied anti-tank detachments are being sent to join them. During past week strength of enemy local attacks in the contral sector has increased. FAR EAST. BURMA. CHIN HILLS. Jaganeso reported demolishing befores -nd constructing road blocks on road KALEMYO-TAMU (55 miles north of KALEMYO). AIR OPERATIONS WESTERN FRONT. Day. 1 large scale raid on ST. NAZAIRE by United States hoavy bombers which dropped 268 1,000 nound high explosive bombo. Night. Bud weather restricted operations to tro reall ottacks on ESSEN and one on DU 827- DORP but 293 see mines laid. FRENCH NORTH AFRICA. Axis orto on North and East Tunisian Coast frequently attacked in daylight and occwsionally at night. Good results also against inland objectives and airfields especially in southern suctor of front. Peristent determined efforts by enemy against our base at DONE against which a total of 275 aircraft sent, On 10 occasions formations of heavy fighters, fighter bombers or dive bombers tried to penetrate our fighter defences, 7 large scale ruids dispersed or driven off and only 50 aircraft of total succeeded in slipping through. Even BO damage to shipping was heavy, Regraded Unclassified 101 - 2 - RUSSIA. Russian aircraft operated by day and night against enemy in KOTELNIKOVO and ELISTA' areas and in the area occupied by German 6th Army they also raided railways at SALSK, MAIKOP and KRAPITKIN. 4. EXTRACTS FROM PHOTOGRAPHIC AND INT LLLIGENCE REPORTS ON RESULTS OF AIR ATTACKS ON ZNEMY PERRITORY IN EUROPE. DUISBURG. Photographs 28th December show new damage items due to raid 20th/21st including foundry, rolling mille and 6 works engaged on heavy en- gineering, warehouses at docks, exchange theatre, county court and main Post Office all damaged. ST. NAZAIRE. Daylight raid 3rd. Photographs show 16 hits on rail- way truck, U-boat pens hit at least ônce, largo crater in roof floating dock containing ship, submerged one end, two small naval craft building have disappoared Only debris left. Following buildings damaged - boiler plates shop, submarine stores, torpedo store, Customs House, goods station and several sheds. 5. HOME SECURITY Estimated civilian casualties week ending 6 A.M., 6th - killed 53, missing 2, seriously wounded 83. Regraded Unclassified 10/-A OFFICE OF STRATEGIC SERVICES WASHINGTON, D. C. January 9, 1943 My dear Mr. Secretary: By direction of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, The War This Week is being discon- tinued, and I am sending you herewith the final number. Sincerely, William J. Donovan Director Attachment The Honorable The Secretary of the Treasury Washington, D. C. 102 NUMBER 65 SECRET OFFICE OF STRATEGIC SERVICES THE WAR THIS WEEK January 1-7, 1943 Printed for the Board of Analysts Copy No. 6 The Secritary of the Treasury Regraded Unclassified DECEMBER 31-JANUARY 7, 1943 SECRET THE WAR THIS WEEK On the Eastern Front the Russian Armies again made substantial advances this week. The capture of Velikie Luki exposes the flank of the German forces protecting Smolensk. The Russians have made fresh gains in the Caucasus, perhaps aided by voluntary German withdrawals. At the same time the Soviets are fanning out over the Kalmyk steppes and moving steadily forward in the area north of the Don. With the rainy season extending through February, the stalemate in Tunisia may last another month or two and until such time as our air and mechanized forces can operate without serious handicap. The lull likewise continues in Tripolitania, where it may be several weeks before the British are in a position to resume the offensive. Meanwhile the Allied situation in North Africa is still complicated by the Giraud-DeGaulle issue, which bristles with difficulties. In the Far East, only one small pocket of Japanese resist- ance remains in the Buna region. From the Vladivostok area come reports that the public fears a Japanese attack before spring. The Russian Triple Advance Continues Soviet gains on three fronts this week have again given evidence of solid offensive strength, but have made somewhat less progress than press reports would lead one to believe. The most important advances were on the central front, where the capture of Velikie Luki and the current drive against the nearby rail junction of Novo Sokolniki represent the farthest westward penetration in force of the Red Army 1 SECURT since 1941. It is incorrect to say, however, that the fall of N this latter place would seriously disrupt rail communications for the German forces before Leningrad. Should the Rus. sians interdiet the railroad (mostly single-track) from Vitebak through Novo Sokolniki to Leningrad, the enemy could still E use the single-track line from Tallinn and Narva east, and the 5 $ railway (mostly double-track) from Vilna and Pskov north A On the other hand, those who maintain that the Russians 0 have breached no essential part of the Nazi winter line an perhaps being over-cautions. The Germans, itais true, have always held the spareely-settled area between Smolensk and Staraya Russa comparatively lightly, and Velikie Luki was in no sense a key strong point like Rahev. But, with its fall, the flank of the German forces guarding Smolensk is now exposed, and the invaders in this area are apparently in 1 more dangerous position than they were at any time laft winter. Second only to these gains in importance have been the Russian advances in the North Caucasus. By the capture of Malgobek, Mosdok, Nalchik, and Prokhladnaya, the Red Army has put pressure on both sides of the German salient. It appears probable that Soviet progress farther to the north has induced the Nazis to withdraw voluntarily from their more advanced positions. Since the Germans failed to reach Groznyi and the Georgian Military Highway, their long salient east of Maikop has become simply an ensum- Estum TRATEGIC HIGHWATS brance. A shorter line protecting Maikop itself-perbaps @ 8 E IN running north from Armavir to Salsk and the Manych River- might well be preferable. But with the victors of Kotelnikov fanning out across steppes to Leninskii, Elista (capital of the Kalmyk A. 8. SEA 8. R.), and Priyutnoye, the Russian drive south of the Don SOUTH RUSSIAN FRONT DECEMBER 2 JANUARY à 1 ! - I is beginning to threaten Salsk itself. This third Soviet advance has been moving faster against comparatively alight opposition than has the fourth advance on the northern front 2 BRA OF AZOV THE FAR Regraded Unclassified SECRET between Millerovo and the Volga. North of the Don, the capture of Chernyshkov and Tsimsylanskaya has indicated that the cautious advance and consolidation which form the necessary preliminary to the assault on the main centers of German resistance in the Donets Basin, are making satis- factory progress. Despite the adequate net of railways avail- able to the Soviet forces in this area, observers from the front report that the Red Army must retrack many of these lines, and that supply problems remain the chief limitation on further advance. From German reports of air attacks on Soviet concentra- tions around Gelendzhik on the Black Sea, the press has drawn the conclusion that a further Russian drive directed at the Kerch Peninsula is about to begin. Such an attack would be the logical completion of the encircling operations now in progress throughout the southern front. Should Rostov fall, the Kerch Strait would be the most practicable avenue of escape for the German divisions in the Caucasus. The Black Sea shore in this area has a mean temperature of about 33 degrees in January-an indication that the Strait is usually unfrozen. Evacuation operations in these waters would be under constant danger of attack from Soviet air- craft and advance units of the Black Sea fleet. On the other hand, an offensive north from Gelendzhik would face critical logistic difficulties, since the Russian forces in this area- practically isolated from the bulk of the Soviet Army of the Caucasus-could receive supplies and reinforcements only from the Trans-Caucasus, by way of the Black Sea railroad and coastal highway. Moscow in Winter The people of Moscow are now comparatively well-clothed, well-fed, and in good spirits, according to a confidential and very reliable report from the Soviet capital, dating from 3 BUY TATES WAR nomes CMF STAMES Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET just before Christmas. Food is more plentiful than it was conditions and mountains limit the use of Allied mechanized early in the autumn, and ration norms are being fulfilled, equipment and seriously hamper air operations. Thousands although prices may have gone up slightly in the peasant of tons of wire netting must be brought up, and even then bazaars where the inhabitants supplement their ration cards. forward air forces operate under great difficulties. Rainfall Supplies of fur coats and caps and felt boots (issued against tables indicate that the rainy season will last through Febru- cards) are apparently plentiful. In fact, our report continues, ary and into March. The amount of rain indicated by press the population seems better clothed than during the period reports in the last few weeks, however, would appear to be 1934 to 1938. Stockpiles of wood and coal brought in from abnormal. the neighborhood of the capital are much in evidence. Supported by aircraft operating from developed bases in While in September many factories were idle, now almost Tunisia and Sicily, enemy forces hold a strong perimeter every factory chimney is smoking. Although the curfew and defence. From their positions at Mateur and in the hills blackout of buildings are still in force, dim lights are now east of Medjez el Bab (where the principal fighting is taking permitted in the streets-which are more crowded than in place), they control the few main roads available for attack September, but still much less crowded than before the war. on the Tunis area from the west; and the Allies are not yet The cheerfulness of the population sometimes rises almost to in a position to attack this area from the south. To protect gaiety-in striking contrast to the period 1934-38. In this this southern flank the enemy is steadily working small forces connection, our report concludes, it is of some importance west from Kairouan. French forces, increasingly active in that the Government does not permit refugees to go to Mos- the sector from Pont du Fahs south, have this week repulsed cow, and evacuees can return only if they will engage in essen- Axis attacks on Fondouk and Pichon, points west of Kai- tial work. Hence, most people now in the capital possess rouan. ration cards and the right to purchase in closed shops. As & Allied air forces in Northwest Africa, Malta, and Libya comparatively favored group of essential workers, the inhabit- have cooperated effectively to pound enemy ports and ship- ants of Moscow apparently do not feel the very real food short- ping in Sicily, Tunis, Sfax, Sousse, and Gabès. To move age existing in the Soviet Union as a whole. supplies to Tunis, Italian destroyers are being used as trans- ports as well as for escorts, and the enemy has apparently The Halt in Tunisia laid mines to protect IL channel for shipping to Tunisia. The factors of weather and terrain that stalled operations Enemy aircraft have repeatedly attacked the port of Bône in northern Tunisia in December may postpone decisive action and the Allied air base at Biskra. for perhaps another month or two. Even after the Allied command has worked out its immediate problems of organi- Halt in Libya zation, supply, reinforcement, and air support, boggy ground In Libya, too, the front appears to be stabilized, with no will severely restrict operations. The recent torrential rains expectation of a British attack in the near future. The enemy have apparently flooded the valleys leading into Tunis from has dug in with mines and wire along a line running roughly the west, most important of which is the Medjerda Valley, from the salt marsh behind Bouerat el Soun toward Gheddahia the route of the Allied advance in November. Wet ground and then southwest along the Wadi Zem Zem (see map, The 4 5 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET War This Week, December 17-24). This line is held by the Vichy members of his Imperial Council-Chatel, Noguès, depleted Afrika Korps, with two fresh Italian divisions and and Boisson. After the removal of these governors, the remnants of other Italian units believed to be in the rear, National Committee would be ready to enlarge its membership British armored patrols are in contact with the enemy, but to include pro-Ally leaders from North Africa. it may be several weeks before the Allies have brought up In other words, De Gaulle apparently believes that a forces and accumulated sufficient supplies in the forward political agreement must precede any military arrangement area for another major offensive. In his distribution of forces with Giraud. For this reason, according to advices from and organization of communications, General Montgomery is London, the Fighting French leader has not complied with apparently establishing centers of strength well to the rear Giraud's suggestion that the former send an emissary to as insurance against the debacle that has followed previous North Africa, and has intimated that he wishes to see Giraud British drives into Libya. himself. A statement issued on New Year's day from De In the eastern Mediterranean the Axis is reported to be Gaulle's headquarters summarizes the whole position: "Com- strengthening the obstacles and wire around airfields in plete military cooperation requires political and administra- Crete, and reinforcing Rhodes with coastal artillery, new tive unification under a provisional central organ. If not, fortress walls, etc. Over the past several months pill boxes we would have the paradoxical result that a great many and defenses have also apparently been built in Bulgaria, Frenchmen would be fighting by the side of the Allies with- along the Turkish border. out any French interest being represented during the war or at its end. Such a state of affairs would represent a De Gaulle and Giraud backward step from the present situation in which the Amid a confusing variety of broadcasts and press reports French National Committee has concluded with the United of a projected meeting between De Gaulle and Giraud, and Nations a series of specific agreements of which some have 2% series of pleas for unity emanating from all sides, the & political character. American public has remained bewildered as to the specific That the British public is in general sympathy with this points at issue between two thoroughly admirable professional program is apparent in editorials printed in journals as far soldiers, both of whom have a long record of patriotism and apart as the Times and the Manchester Guardian. The opposition to the Axis. former, in commenting on the appointment of Harold Mac- De Gaulle has the advantage of a fairly close-knit organi- Millan as Minister Resident in North Africa, has stressed zation and a clear program. The Fighting French apparently the need of "Allied advice and Allied tact" in helping the view their leader as the incarnation of their country, and one French to reconcile their differences, and has suggested that a whom Giraud and all patriotic Frenchmen should recognize "fusion" between Giraud and De Gaulle would be preferable as their political chief. Fighting France, the De Gaullists to a mere "friendly understanding." The Manchester Guard- feel, is the provisional government of the nation, which should ian has characterized the "complete eradication of Vichy logically have its seat in Algiers. Giraud can well lead its influence in French North Africa" as a "question of principle" armed forces, but only under the orders of the Fighting with the De Gaullists, while emphasizing that "specialized French National Committee, and only after a purge of the 6 7 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET training in technical or administrative duties" has made Shortly after Darlan's death, General Barrau, the military Fighting France a far more significant governing body than chief at Dakar, handed in his resignation, and further changes the present Imperial Council in North Africa. in the administration and in the army are apparently in the Giraud's position offing. Similarly at Alexandria, the Admiral's death occasioned a Giraud's advantages lie in the practical cooperation already change of feeling among the officers and enlisted men of the established with the Allied forces in the field, and in his "legal" French ships interned there, who now express & desire to serve position as heir of Vichy through Darlan. Since the latter's with the United Nations. The chief remaining difficulty death, however, the Imperial Council has apparently decided seems to be the legalistic one of effecting a transfer of allegiance. to dispense with any further references to Marshal Pétain, and its constitutional position is now confused. In short, the Fortification of the French Mediterranean Coast key to Giraud's weakness and strength would appear to be Press reports of the evacuation of civilians from a zone the middle position he occupies between ex-collaborationista three to five miles deep along the whole French Mediter- and the enthusiasts in the De Gaulle camp. ranean coast corroborate confidential despatches detailing Each party to the current controversy, our reports con- German efforts to fortify this shore in depth. The protection clude, is burdened with adherents whose attitude blocks co- of this vulnerable flank was obviously one of the chief operation with the other side. With Giraud, there are reasons behind the occupation of the Vichy zone, and since Noguès and Boisson, timeservers whose equivocations and that event, fortification activities have proceeded apace. indecision, even after the Allied landings, have disgusted pro- Furthermore, faced with the resistance of French labor Ally elements. Around De Gaulle are grouped many poli- against Laval's program of "volunteering" for work in the ticians who have perhaps exaggerated the indispensability of Reich, and the danger of spreading sabotage and underground their own organization and who hope to play an important activity in Germany, the Nazis have apparently made a role in a liberated France; the bitter attacks on Boisson virtue of necessity: many of these workers they have rerouted broadcast by the Brazzaville radio, have, for example, proved to the Mediterranean. Observers point out, however, that a real embarrassment to the Fighting French National similar fortification projects in Norway have met with wide- Committee. The removal of antagonistic elements on both spread resistance, and forecast the same sort of situation in sides may be a necessary preliminary to French unity. southern France. Evidences of Unity Spanish Neutrality In Dakar, the death of Darlan seems to have significantly Spain has indicated to Germany that will maintain her strengthened popular hope for unified action. Reports from sovereignty by force if necessary, according to diplomatic local observers point out that the assassination aroused little advices. This neutrality policy is reported to have the back- comment, and that, aside from a few die-hards in the military, ing of all but certain elements of the Falange. It is to be administrative, and business communities, there exists publicized by a volume entitled the Iberian Bloc, which will general desire for cooperation among all Frenchmen in exile. consist of recent addresses by Salazar, Jordana, and others 8 9 BUY VIA Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET at Lisbon. Presumably as a result of this moderate reorien- Changes in Yugoslav Government in Exile tation of Spanish policy, Germany has shifted her Ambassador Last week's reorganization of the Yugoslav Government to Madrid, replacing Eberhard von Stohrer (whose ascend. in Exile appears to have a double significance: General ancy was great in the days of Suñer) with Hans Adolf Von Michailovich has been strengthened and the Partisans Moltke. The latter has recently served in the Foreign Office rebuffed, while the other changes seem to foreshadow 8 in Berlin. Earlier, as German Minister to Poland, he nego- shift in policy with regard to the United States. Up to tiated the German-Polish Agreement of 1934 and enjoys a last week the Cabinet of the Yugoslav Government in Exile reputation for strength and dexterity. consisted of Premier Slobodan Jovanovich, General Mi- General Patton's arrangement to call on General Orgaz in chailovich as Minister of War, and two representatives from Spanish Morocco was gratifying to the Spanish, and may help each of seven Yugoslav political parties-sixteen in all. In to shape a settlement with regard to the frontier. Confidence the present reorganization one man apiece has been dropped as to the security of Moroccan supply lines would enable the from six of these seven parties, leaving a Cabinet of ten men. Allies to divert forces from this area into Tunisia. Organ The Navy and Air Force have been added to Michailo- has appeared anxious to avoid any difficulties, but officials vich's command-a gesture of no military importance, which in Spanish Morocco have shown nervousness as to the security nonetheless signifies the continuing confidence of the Govern- of their regime. Arrests of Spanish Republicans and Allied ment in Exile in Michailovich. It also implies a rebuff to sympathizers have increased lately, and numbers of Spanish the Partisan forces, with whom he is at odds, but who are and native soldiers have apparently been skipping across the now generally believed to be the most effective opponents border to the French Zone. of the Axis in Yugoslavia. Momcilo Nincich, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Radical Shipping Concentration at Genoa Party, has been dropped, and his duties taken over by the The transfer of substantial tonnage of French shipping Premier. The Radicals are an authoritarian group, who from the Riviera to Genoa is believed to have been under- strongly favor & Greater Serbia. The Yugoslav Minister in taken to remove it from ports where danger of sabotage WM Washington, Constantin Fotich (who has intimate connec- considerable. The shift coincided with the movements to tions with the German-sponsored Nedich Government in La Spezia, Livorno, and La Maddalena of several heavy Belgrade), has been one of the most extreme members of the units of the Italian fleet; but observers feel the redistribution Radical Party, and has been the target of unfavorable criti- of fleet units was dictated by the Allied air offensive, rather cism from those who favor a restored United Yugoslavia. than by any immediate major convoy movement from Nincich has been Fotich's strongest backer, and some ob- Genoa. Presumably an expedition against such an objective servers see Nincich's departure as clearing the deck for the as the Balearies would be preceded by a similar concentration future removal of Fotich, and his replacement by & proponent of cargo and warships; but no such operation appears to be of United Yugoslavia. planned. As if in compensation for the loss of the reactionary Nin- cich, the Government has in each case chosen for dismissal from the Cabinet the more liberal of the two representatives 11 10 Regraded Unclassified SECRET Secret from the other parties. The others to go are all pro-Yugo- slavs of varying shades and include no fewer than three men in the Buna-Cape Endaiadere area. A small remaining now in the United States: Bogoljub Jeftich (Yugosiav Na- pocket of Japanese resistance is being surrounded at San- tional Party), Director of the Yugoslav Information Center in ananda. On Guadalcanal the isolated Japanese land forces New York; Sava Kosanovich (Independent Democratic are under pressure from American forces in the vicinity of Mt. Aesten. Party-Serbs living in Croatia), a liberal, who wants a democratic regime for the future Yugoslavia; and Franc Snoj In addition to the considerable concentration of Japanese shipping at Rabaul (reported on January 2 to include some (Slovenian Clerical Party), a Conservative, opposed to the Slovene Partisans. These changes, and notably the dropping 18 warships, 53 merchant vessels, and 21 small vessels) there is reported & marked increase of shipping in the Buin- of Nincich, lead some observers to guess that these men may also have been relieved of their duties in preparation for a Faisi and in the New Georgia Island areas where 26 vessels, including 6 heavy cruisera or battleships, 5 light cruisers, change in Yugoslav policy in the United States. 2 destroyers, and 6 cargo ships were sighted on January 3. Meanwhile, southwest of Munda and later north of Guadal- Anti-Zionist Demonstrations in Damascus canal, 8 Japanese destroyers were attacked by Allied planes The latent tensions aroused in the Arab world by the and effectively intercepted subsequently by United States Zionist issue have caused demonstrations in Syria. Axis torpedo boats which prevented troop landings on Guadal- agents and the Axis radio, keynoted by the former Mufti of canal and destroyed supplies cast offshore in watertight Jerusalem, have long exploited this problem; but the imme- containers. Allied air activity continued over Lae and diate cause of the present protest was the Proclamation Salamaua, Vangunu Island, Wewak, Madang, Rekata Bay, (published in the New York Times December 7) signed by Munda, Gasmata, and Rabaul, the most severe Allied air 62 Senators and 181 Congressmen petitioning for the estab- assault on Rabaul leaving some 50,000 tons of Japanese lishment of the Jewish National Home. In Damascus, Arab shipping ablaze and sinking. Intense enemy activity was groups gathered, fired a shot at the shield of the British observed on airfields at Kavieng, north of Rabaul, at Timor, consulate, and left a protest averring that the memorandum and in general to the north of Australia. heightened Arab fears that the Allies may not uphold their Complications in the Advance on Burma announced principles. Shops were closed and large crowds Operations in Burma have been inconclusive. Allied planes attended political speeches. The Palestinian students at the have attacked airdromes and Japanese rail, inland water and American University were reported by authorities to be seagoing transport from Myitkyina to the Gulf of Martaban. "terribly upset;" and the disturbances apparently spread to Meanwhile, in their two pronged movement down the Mayu Homs and Hama. River towards Akyab, the British left column has advanced Japanese Shipa Move As Buna Falls upon the Japanese who are again evacuating the Rathedaung area. At Akyab, some twenty miles south of Rathedaung, n In New Guinea, Allied ground forces supported by tanks Japanese garrison of some 3,300 is constructing beach defenses have completed destruction of organized Japanese resistance and increasing its air activity. The Japanese in the Mayu 12 13 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET Peninsula and along the entire west coast have disappeared, Mission was satisfied with its treatment in Washington, and the British have advanced there to within some thirteen General Hsiung Shih-hui stated to the press that his country míles north of Akyab. In addition to supply difficulties, the "should never be satisfied unless our enemy is completely British have encountered the complication of developing com- defeated." munal strife between Burmese Moslems and Buddhists, the latter having attacked British light craft in the Mayu River. Defense Preparations at Vladivostok Morale of the Indian civilian population at Calcutta The Chinese, while not counting upon it, have expressed appears to have deteriorated under impact of nuisance hopes that expansion of hostilities into the Soviet Far East would accelerate plans for activizing the Asiatic continental Japanese air attacks. It is reported that great numbers war fronts as a base for offensive operations which they feel including skilled industrial workers, have quit the city, and that the rate of operation for the port, the jute, engineering, unprepared to initiate alone. In this connection, it is re- and munitions industries has fallen respectively to 60 percent, ported that there is considerable precautionary military activity in the Vladivostok area, and popular discussion 80 percent, 50 percent, and 50 percent. there indicates that development of hostilities before the Chinese Military Mission advent of spring is freely anticipated. Nevertheless, sea- Despite British warnings as to the limited significance of borne transport from North America to the Asiatic mainland their activity in Burma, the Chinese look there with anxiety continued during November in Russian bottoms which passed and expectation. Airborne freight into China has increased, unmolested through the Strait of Laperouse. Fourteen and opening of regular traffic through the northwest and freighters cleared and thirteen entered Vladivostok alone. Soviet Central Asia is under negotiation, but the Chinese Appointment of Stahmer to Tokyo believe that fulfillment of China's exacerbated supply re- quirements can come only by the reconquest of northem Japanese activity in the southwest Pacific serves the Burma. Some Chinese dissatisfaction with their share in strategic interests of her European Axis partners less directly, the planning and scheduling of this enterprise was indicated at the moment, than would development of an active, or in the announcement that the Chinese Military Mission to potentially active, front in the Soviet Far East. General the United States would be withdrawn. Headed by General Eugen Ott, in Tokyo since Hitler's advent to power in 1933 and Ambassador there since 1938, has been replaced by Hein- Hsiung Shih-hui, who is a member of China's National Military Council and highly regarded in Chungking mili- rich Georg Stahmer, who was in Japan when the Tripartite tary circles, the Mission arrived in Washington on April 13, Alliance negotiations were concluded. Stahmer, a trusted Nazi and close associate of Ribbentrop, moved without pub- 1942. Chungking has explained that the Mission would licity in Tokyo, but was known to have been particularly visit London and may be called home to report, but has not active within the Department of Home Affairs, where he been withdrawn permanently. Colonel W. T. Tsai will N° main to represent China in ways called for by war councils offered advice upon Nazi techniques of social repression and established contacts with the younger officers and Japanese in Washington. Before leaving the United States, the Mis- sion will visit production plants. Asked whether or not the youth organizations, notably those of Nakano and Hashimoto 15 14 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET whose activist influence upon Japanese foreign policy is estab- lished. Japan's acceptance of Stahmer's appointment may foreshadow intensification of political and economic mobili- zation at the expense of moderate elements inclined towards APPENDIX I a defensive mentality within Japan and possibly closer CO- THE GERMAN COMBAT PLANE POSITION [ ordination of anti-Soviet elements in both countries. Ger- The year just past has seen a notable deterioration in Germany's many's dissatisfaction with Japanese inactivity has been supply of combat planes. Production has fallen slightly; losses have, evident. on the whole, run well ahead of output; and the number of planes tied up in the factory repair pool has remained high. As a result, the Toledano and the Tin Strikes Luftwaffe's total combat strength has been reduced from 10,060 in Responsibility for securing better wages and working January, 1942 to 8,585 in November, and the number of planes cur- conditions for Bolivia's striking tin miners was publicly rently available for service at the front has dropped from 7,660 to 6,210.³ Moreover, Germany's ability to recover is now open to placed upon the United States this week by Lombardo serious question: this winter there will be no lull in aerial warfare Toledano, President of the Latin American Confederation of allowing her production to regain a comfortable lead over wastage. Labor. In telegrams to Vice-President Wallace and to President Peñaranda of Bolivia, Toledano denied that fifth The Question of Quality column activities lay behind the strikes and ascribed them In terms of quality the Luftwaffe faces a problem almost as grave. instead to abominable conditions at the mines and to the Germany's last major change-over in plane models occurred in the winter of 1940-41. Now it confronts the necessity of developing new owners' intransigence. and more powerful aircraft capable of meeting at any height the Since the United States is Bolivia's sole customer for tin, challenge of an increasing number of Allied fighters specialized to Toledano argued, and since Mr. Wallace, as head of the excel within definite altitude ranges. These Allied planes will have Board of Economic Warfare, can determine contract condi- the tactical advantage of being able largely to choose or to refuse tions for such purchases, why should not the Vice-President battle-to their own liking. In answer, the performance of the Focke- Wulf-190 and the production of the Messerschmidt-109-G will have compel Bolivian producers to earmark for improvement of to be stepped up. the workers' lot a definite part of the price paid for tin? Unfortunately for the Luftwaffe, one of its most important engines, Toledano's telegrams carry somewhat more weight in view the Bayrische-Motorenwerke-801, is reportedly still plagued with of his recent visit to Bolivia, and his successful collaboration "bugs" limiting the use of ita maximum power; output of the new at that time in averting a strike at the Potosí workings. Daimler-Benz-605 engine is apparently only just past the experi- mental stage; and the Me109-G itself may yet have some structural weaknesses. Further, although Germany has undoubtedly under- taken a vast amount of the experimental work necessary for the development of more modern planes equipped with more powerful I Based on statistical studies by the Research and Analysis Branch of the Office of Strategic Servions. I "Total strength" is considered as the sum of first-line planes (Induding Initial equipment, plus Imme- liste reserves), planes in Reserve Training Units, plane stored and to transfi, planee allocated to Opera- Linnal Training Unita, and planes under repair at the factory. The "total available for combat" are tirst-line (Nane, plus RTU's and reserves stared and in transit. 16 17 BUT MAR Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET engines, it is doubtful whether present shortages of skilled labor will TABLE 1.-Distribution of German combal-type planes-Continued permit these to be produced outside of existing plane factories. And if produced inside existing factories, output of the new models could Total Grand Initial Imme- Reserve Stored Open- available First only be obtained at the cost of old-model production during the Date (end of month) total for com- line equip- diate training tional Factory ment reserve units and in training repair bet transit units pool period of re-tooling. 1942 Figures January 10,000 7,600 4,100 4,100 600 2,000 1,000 - The accompanying table presents an estimate of the Luftuaffe's Pubruary 10,520 1,305 4,200 4,200 600 3,505 1,400 438 March 10,725 8,125 4,320 4,320 500 3,705 1,000 500 total combat strength and its distribution among various categories April 10,890 8,705 4,400 4,370 90 600 3,785 1,600 - of availability. May 10,455 6,1M 4,800 4,560 240 600 2,755 1,000 700 June 10,120 7,695 4,800 4,570 200 500 2,295 1,000 RIA TABLE T.-Distribution of German combat-type planes July 9,560 7,000 4,800 4,730 a 800 1,600 1,000 goo August 8,780 6,280 4,700 4,700 550 1,040 1,000 1,000 September 8,258 5,705 4,625 4,700 -278 550 TM 1,500 1,000 Total Grand available Initial Imune- Reserve Blored Open- October 8,065 5,508 4,200 4,590 -200 550 615 1,800 1,000 Date (end el month) First total line equip- diste training reserves tional Fully November 0,585 6,210 4,460 4,510 -30 600 for com- 1,100 1,500 E72 bat ment mservo units and in training repair transit unlis pail 1939 Method August 6,600 4,600 4,330 3,250 1,070 200 September 1,000 A.MA 4,745 4,400 2,320 1,080 145 October 1,000 The tabulated estimates, it will be noted, differ in greater or less MM 6,385 5,195 4,480 3,200 1,000 715 November 1,040 IN 6,278 degree from those drawn up by either the Air Ministry or the Ministry 5,820 4,500 3,650 1,110 1,200 December 1,080 75 7,585 0,390 4,040 3,510 1,180 1.730 1,130 of Economic Warfare. Since these variations result primarily from 11 1540 the methods of computation respectively employed, rather than from January 8,240 n,980 4,720 3,570 1,120 2,200 1,100 100 any discrepancies in information, B. word may be necessary on the February 9,945 7,645 4,800 3,630 1,170 March 2,845 1,300 ⑉ procedure adopted by the Office of Strategic Services, In general, 0,580 8,345 4,900 3,710 1,190 3,445 April 1,200 - 10,300 8,900 6,400 4,210 1,190 it can be said that our study has emphasized the over-all schematic May 3,560 1.280 III 9,405 7.435 A,600 4,400 June 1,200 1,835 1,830 a pattern of a monthly time-series, rather than disparate, though 5,995 6,635 A,000 4,500 July 1,200 1,085 1,300 LOW 9,170 7,485 A,800 4,430 August 1,370 200 1,110 et well-supported, estimates for isolated dates or periods of time. It 1,385 8,965 6,690 5,200 4,430 770 330 Bepartaber 1,100 1,150 LIM will be best to discuss this in relation to specific problems. 8,280 5,632 4,600 4,400 October 200 360 670 1,200 1,45 8,655 6,00% 4,600 4,400 November 200 390 1,015 1,250 1,4% 9,000 6,440 4,800 December 4,400 400 420 1,220 1,000 1,350 Production 9,530 6,005 5,000 4,400 000 450 1,453 1,350 LM oss estimates of German aircraft production rest neither upon 1041 research into factory capacity, as do those of the MEW, nor upon January 10,215 7.715 5,230 tabulation of planes identified 68 having been produced at certain February 4,400 530 480 2,000 1,400 1,380 10,970 March 8,400 5,470 4,400 1,070 sto 2,640 1,400 - factories, which appears to be the core of the Air Ministry's cal- 11,720 April 9,520 5,730 4,420 1,310 640 8,250 1,100 R 11.795 culations. The first method is believed here, on the basis of OSS May 0,895 5,760 4,420 1,340 670 3,265 1,150 - 12,005 June 9,860 5,800 4,420 1,380 600 8,490 1,000 m estimates of wastage and other requirements, to credit Germany with 11,870 July 0,670 5,890 4,540 1,350 600 3,180 1,600 DOB 11,200 August 8,800 too many planes, whereas the Air Ministry's system seems to award 5,500 4,540 1,360 000 2,400 1,600 - 10,570 September 8,020 A,350 4,540 RELO 000 2,070 1,600 8 them too few. Instead of relying upon these techniques, the OSS puts 9,500 October 0,750 4,550 4,540 10 noo 1,600 1,600 1,18 9,165 November 6,390 its trust in a deductive production curve constructed on statistical 4,400 4,800 -100 500 9,335 1,300 1,600 1,1% December 6,680 4,200 4,350 -100 600 1,815 1,600 1,05% foundations, which, while not specifically related to either operational 9,535 6,985 4.050 4,150 -100 600 2,285 1,000 1,000 or engineering intelligence, fita somewhat better the available data on wastage and strength. 18 19 1 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET This deductive curve leans heavily upon the principle that after subsequent stage of mass-production, but that the rate of expansion departmental work in a new industry has been completed and pro- thereafter tapers off sharply as production approaches its upper limits, duction models have been agreed upon, expansion is rapid in the The operation of this principle is easily discernible in the growth of the armament industry in Germany in 1939-40 and in the United joint CORP 2000 000 DOB States today. The OSS curve reaches its high point in the full of 1941 and declines o N slightly thereafter as the full effect of "comb-outs" for the Army on o the Eastern Front begin to be felt in aircraft production. Up to that # point, however, output is shown as having increased at ita maximum . absolute rate from the start of the war-a gain of 50 additional planes r - each month. The accompanying chart compares this OSS estimate $ with those of MEW and the Air Ministry. 4 al Wastage: Combat Losses ESTIMATED GERMAN COMBAT AIRCRAFT PRODUCTION Office of Streragic Services F , Any estimate of the Luftwaffe's strength will naturally be drawn a . up in terms of B basic equation, in which production over time less o wastage (and other deductible factors) over time equals strength at a - y terminal period of time ( Production Wastage Time Strength One Time - 1941 e component of "wastage" is combat losses. Consistent data on Ger- Air Ministry = man combat losses has come primarily from two sources: the Air - Ministry's Weekly Intelligence Summary, for losses in the West; . Ministry of Eemanic Worfere é and the Russian and German communiqués, for losses in the East. , OSS practice in handling AMWIS data is to assume that all planes o listed as "destroyed" are indeed total losses, and that half of those M listed as "probably destroyed" were actually destroyed. The other o 5 half of the "probables" and all those described as "damaged" are 4 treated among "operational losses" or among planes under repair. e 1940 As for communiqués from the Eastern Front, the discrepancy e 2 between German admissions and Russian claims is 60 great as to 4. render each type of information by itself valueless. It has been found, a however, that Russian admissions of their own plane losses, adjusted a F to summaries covering several months each, fall about midway # between Russian claims and German admissions. They provide in . practice a fairly reliable measure of the Luftwaffe's losses in the o 5 isso Russian theater, because (a) at the very least, Russian loss-admis- A sions indicate the scale of activity on the Eastern front; (b) those admis- sions are not likely to be greater than losses actually suffered, nor are mystem ESCO sod they likely to be larger than those known to have been inflicted on the 1300 Germans; (c) there is no reason to believe, in any event, that actual 20 21 SUY SECRET SECHET Russian losses would be grenter than German losses, for Russian nurial Factory Repair Pool operations have not been so intense 0.5 those of the Luftwaffe nor are their planes considered seriously inferior to those of the Germans. Clearly, planes damaged badly enough to need repair in the rear areas will not be available for combat service for & lengthy period. Operational Losses Two months has been taken as the time consumed by sending planes Plane losses incurred in connection with combat missions are by damaged in Western Europe, the Balkans, Poland, etc., to factories in no means completely covered by pilots' reports of craft shot down or the rear, repairing them, testing them, and returning them to the probably destroyed": planes crack up while taking off or landing front-three months for those damaged on the Eastern and Medi- at home fields, or when forced down at inaccessible points. Since terranean fronts. these losses, while not directly of a combat character, result from Allocations to Training operations against the enemy, they are a function of the intensity of air warfare and can be estimated accordingly as a proportion of The necessity of using tactical planes in training represents a further actual combat losses. drain on the supply of combat craft available for immediate service at OSS computations of these operational losses are based in part on the front. Although replacement pilots are instructed by means of RAF experience over England during recent months. The RAF basic, primary, and advanced training aircraft, they require a certain found that the number of planes destroyed incidental to enemy action period in which to become familiar with the planes they will fly in amounts to some 30 percent of combat losses, while planes badly first-line squadrous. These planes must, of course, be replaced when damaged in action or incidental to action amount to an additional 27 destroyed, damaged, or worn out, and additional units furnished percent of battle losses. Moreover, of these 27 percent, the RAF whenever the size of the training group is enlarged. believes that some 30 percent returned by forward echelons for repairs Searcely any data is available on the number of such planes engaged at the factory are not, in fact, repaired at all, because of shortages of in this operational training in the Luftwaffe at the outbreak of the war- parts, labor, etc. If these unrepaired planes are added to those Some sources have asserted that the Germans allocated relatively few destroyed incidental to enemy action, then operational losses are planes to this use, perhaps because they miscalculated the war's dura- equivalent to 38 percent of combat losses. tion or perhaps because they shared that excessive optimism which These operational losses, of course, vary according to the flying possesses most airforces before entering a war. Nevertheless, the seasons and the front in question. The Luftwaffe is believed to have OSS has assumed that Operational Training Units (OTU's) began the suffered as high as 60 percent of combat losses in winter and as low as war with a supply of 1,000 planes, raised that to a peak of 1,600 in 30 percent in summer. In Russia, however, where factory repair May, 1941, and have maintained it at about 1,500 since then. shops are remote, and in the Mediterranean theater, where sand- In addition, other planes are withheld from consistent duty at the storms and other operational hazards are found, an all-year propor- front by their allocation to Reserve Training Units (RTU's), newly- tion of 50 rather than 38 percent seems probable. formed combat squadrons stationed at advance airfields but ordinarily In addition to these losses connected with enemy action, Aying held in reserve. RTU's were first organized by the Luftwaffe in July, accidents take a certain toll of planes as they are moved behind the 1940, when the rate of pilot wastage incurred in the Battle of Flanders lines from base to base, or from factory to front, and as pilots are sent showed that a link was needed between the OTU's and the operating aloft on training flighta. In lieu of any specific data, OSS has assumed squadrons. Apparently, 300 planes were diverted from the OTU's to that flying accidents subtract 2 percent of first-line strength each form these new unite; by May, 1941, they had been increased to 600, month. In estimating the number of planes that the Luftwafe has had to allocate to the OTU's and RTU's each month, wastage has been broadly calculated at 6 percent of strength per month for the RTU's and 8 percent per month for the OTU's. It has been assumed, more- over, that after the initial transfer of planes from OTU's to RTU's, 22 23 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET growth in the latter force was provided by allocation of planes avail- able for operating squadrons or of planes drawn from stored reserves. Stored Reserves APPENDIX II OSS's figures on the Luftwaffe's stored reserves are arrived at by a OTTO HABSBURG IN THE FOREIGN-LANGUAGE PRESS process of elimination: from our estimate of Germany's total combat plane strength we subtract the number of first-line planes and their Discussion which followed publication of the Secretary of War's immediate reserves, RTU's, OTU's, and planes tied up in the factory letter of November 19, welcoming the aid of a Military Committee repair pool. The resultant quantity is believed to be the number of headed by "Otto of Austria" for the recruitment of an Austrian unit planes stored and in transit. If, in turn, our month-to-month esti- in the United States Army, has died down in the standard English- mates of stored reserves correspond-as they do-to the whole body language press-partly as a result of Secretary Stimson's assurance of available intelligence on that item, and to the "historical probabili- that aid from other sources would be equally welcome. In the ties," the correlation will tend to prove the soundness of our basic foreign-language press, however, comment on the subject continues calculations. to be voluminous and intense. Stored reserves, if we consult Table I, are seen to grow from the During the month which has just closed, the newspapers of nearly outbreak of the war to a peak in April, 1940; nor has this been accom- every Central European group in the United States have dealt plished at any sacrifice of first-line strength or OTU's, With the repeatedly with the "Otto affair" and the fillip presumably given to Battle of Flanders, however, a rapid decline seta in, reaching a low an eventual Habsburg restoration in Central Europe. Czech and point in September, 1940, after the "daylight phase" of the Battle of Slovak newspapers were perhaps the most persistent; but the Carpatho- Britain. By the spring of 1941, a long period of relatively low Russian, Hungarian, Rumanian, Ukrainian, Russian, and Greek wastage has brought total strength and stored reserves to a new high, papers maintained a running discussion, too. The Italian press was but the succeeding attack upon the Soviets reduces stored reserves particularly agitated, not only because of national opposition to the once more to a low level by the end of October, 1941. Though this Habsburgs on historical grounds, but also because plans for raising an depletion is partially made up by April, 1942, resumption of the Italian military legion, long discussed, gave Italian liberals a special Russian campaign and increased pressure by the RAF and USAAF interest in the matter. drags the level of stored reserves down to a minimum by the end of September, 1942. Indifference in Some Quarters Thus, it would appear that OSS estimates for German stored Certain papers ignored the issue, possibly more because they reserves correspond closely with the fluctuating conditions of the war considered the Habsburg issue unimportant than because they in the air. The exactness of this correlation stimulates further con- hesitated to make their true opinions clear. Thus, Hungarian- fidence in the reliability of the estimates on which those figures were language papers-notably the Cleveland Szabadsag and the Pittsburgh based. Magyarsag-which previously had supported Tibor Eckhardt B.B. representative of the Hungarian national interest, seemed unwilling to oppose Otto, though still not wishing openly to support him. The same reason may have accounted for silence on the part of the Russian Tearist paper Rossiya and the formerly pro-Fascist Italian papers, such as the New York Il Progresso and the Philadelphia n Popolo Italiano. I Based en 6 memorandura prepared in the Foreign Nationalities Branch of the Office of Strategic Services. 25 24 DOV Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET growth in the latter force was provided by allocation of planes avail. able for operating squadrons or of planes drawn from stored reserve. Stored Reserves APPENDIX II OSS's figures on the Luftwaffe's stored reserves are arrived at by a OTTO habsburg IN THE FOREIGN-LANGUAGE PRESS' process of elimination: from our estimate of Germany's total combat plane strength we subtract the number of first-line planes and their Discussion which followed publication of the Secretary of War's immediate reserves, RTU's, OTU's, and planes tied up in the factory letter of November 19, welcoming the aid of a Military Committee repair pool. The resultant quantity is believed to be the number of headed by "Otto of Austria" for the recruitment of an Austrian unit planes stored and in transit. If, in turn, our month-to-month esti- in the United States Army, has died down in the standard English- mates of stored reserves correspond-as they do-to the whole body language press-partly as a result of Secretary Stimson's assurance of available intelligence on that item, and to the "historical probabili- that aid from other sources would be equally welcome. In the ties," the correlation will tend to prove the soundness of our basic foreign-language press, however, comment on the subject continues calculations. to be voluminous and intense. Stored reserves, if we consult Table I, are seen to grow from the During the month which has just closed, the newspapers of nearly outbreak of the war to EL peak in April, 1940; nor has this been accom- every Central European group in the United States have dealt plished at any sacrifice of first-line strength or OTU's. With the repeatedly with the "Otto affair" and the fillip presumably given to Battle of Flanders, however, a rapid decline seta in, reaching a low an eventual Habsburg restoration in Central Europe. Czech and point in September, 1940, after the "daylight phase" of the Battle of Slovak newspapers were perhaps the most persistent; but the Carpatho- Britain. By the spring of 1941, a long period of relatively low Russian, Hungarian, Rumanian, Ukrainian, Russian, and Greek wastage has brought total strength and stored reserves to a new high, papers maintained a running discussion, too. The Italian press was but the succeeding attack upon the Soviets reduces stored reserves particularly agitated, not only because of national opposition to the once more to a low level by the end of October, 1941. Though this Habsburgs on historical grounds, but also because plans for raising an depletion is partially made up by April, 1942, resumption of the Italian military legion, long discussed, gave Italian liberals a special Russian campaign and increased pressure by the RAF and USAAF interest in the matter. drags the level of stored reserves down to 8 minimum by the end of September, 1942. Indifference in Some Quarters Thus, it would appear that OSS estimates for German stored Certain papers ignored the issue, possibly more because they reserves correspond closely with the fluctuating conditions of the war considered the Habsburg issue unimportant than because they in the air. The exactness of this correlation stimulates further COD- hesitated to make their true opinions clear. Thus, Hungarian- fidence in the reliability of the estimates on which those figures were language papers-notably the Cleveland Sabadaag and the Pittsburgh based, Magyarsag-which previously had supported Tibor Eckhardt aa representative of the Hungarian national interest, seemed unwilling to oppose Otto, though still not wishing openly to support him. The same reason may have accounted for silence on the part of the Russian Tsarist paper Rossiya and the formerly pro-Fascist Italian papers, such B8 the New York Il Progresso and the Philadelphia n Popolo Italiano. Based 00 . memorandum prepared to the Foreign Nationalities Branch of the Office of Strategic Berricas. 25 24 muy Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET Several other papers dismissed the incident as unduly inflated. The nationalistic Polish Nowy Surial declared that the letter to Otio as in the case of the editorial printed in all Himmler papers for the of November 19 had been no more than B. faux pas, and that there week of December 10, it was said that the American Government, was no sense in magnifying the incident and broadcasting it as 8 "whether right or wrong," had given Otto 8 definite role to play. menace to Europe and democracy. The Hungarian New York daily Any protest, said Otthon, was bound to cause a "painful impression" at the State Department. Nepsata, which is under the samo ownership as the Nowy Swist, took a comparable attitude, minimizing the significance of Otto's The Catholic press has not as a whole supported Otto. Although somo non-Catholic papers (the Czech Scornost, December 10; the New role. The Nepszava has been a strong supporter of Eckhardt and in York Yiddish-language Day, December 2) have been inclined to see a thought to be pro-monarchist. The controversial Slovak weekly, connection between the letter to Otto and Myron Taylor's visit to the Slooak D Amerike, which is said to be inspired by Magyar sympathica, Vatican, Catholic papers have looked unfavorably upon any suggestion also belittled the affair. This paper, however, almost automatically that the Habsburg empire be restored (cf. the Polish Nowing Polskie, opposes every stand maintained by pro-Benes organs. November 25; the Czech Narod, November 29, December 6; and the In all the cases just mentioned, special reasons appear to have Slovak Katolicky Sokol, December 2). However, some indications of motivated the odtiors. A few instances may also be noted, such as Habsburg support are to be found in the Polish Deiennik Chicagoski that of the independent Polish daily published in Buffalo, Dziennik (December 10) and the Hungarian Magyarek Vasarnapja (Decem- Dla Wezystkich (December 3) in which, with apparent disinterest, ber 4). In the former case the journal seems more concerned with the importance of the incident was judged to have been exaggerated. attacking the "Jews and socialists" who have protested against Otto than in supporting Otto himself. The Main Line With these exceptions, however, the foreign language press has kept Arguments Opposing Otto on Historical and Nationalistic Grounds up unbroken stream of discussion. Comments of foreign national- A large part of the foreign language press which speaks for Central ity writers have been reinforced by reprints of articles by Dorothy European nationalities bases its opposition to Otto on traditional Thompson, Freda Kirchwey, and Representative Celler, as well as of aversion to Habsburg domination, Occasionally, Otto's supposed material which has appeared in PM and the Daily Worker. Cross- assertion of leadership is taken to apply only to Austria (ef. the fertilization has also been resorted to, one foreign-language group Slovak Slovenska Obrana, December 8); but in the vast majority of reprinting the arguments of another (of. the article by Count Sforza cases Otto's ambitions are believed to include the lands of the former reprinted in the Czech New Yorkske Linty, December 10). In these Austro-Hungarian Empire. Czech-, Slovak-, and Ukrainian-language ways the heat and volume of the comment has not been allowed to papers are perhaps the most violent in their denunciations. The diminish. Yugoslav press in the United States has been too preoccupied with The substance of the discussion may be classified under three heads. internal Yugoslav matters to give to the Habsburg issue the attention which might have been anticipated. Yet through all papers speaking Arguments Favoring Otto's Ascendancy for the Central European nationalities runs an avowed determination In general, as has been pointed out above, the papers which might not to submit again to the old imperial rule. have been expected to support the Habsburg claims have tended either to remain silent or to cloak their approval under the assertion that Arguments Opposing Otto on Ideological Grounds anti-Habsburg elements were showing undue alarm. There has been Arguments objecting on ideological grounds to any trafficking with little outright expression of support. Nevertheless, the Himmler Otto are to be found in all sections of the foreign-language press. In chain of Associated Hungarian Weeklies, as well as the Chicago these discussions the letter of November 19 to Otto is usually linked Otthon and the Cleveland A Jo Pasztor-all papers of the Hungarian to arrangements with Darlan and other "figures of the Right," and it extreme Right-have expressed some degree of approbation. Usually, is asked whether such procedures are congruous with the Four Free- 26 27 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET doms and with democratic ideals. This type of argument is naturally most prevalent in papers of the Left, particularly in Communist papers-witness the artícles in the Hungarian Magyar Jovo, the Rumanian Romanul American, the Ukrainian Ukrainski Shehodenni Visti, etc, Communist papers of nationalities not directly affected APPENDIX III by 8. possible Habsburg restoration reveal a similar ideological pre- THE FOOD SITUATION IN FRANCE occupation. Thus the Lithuanian Communist Vilnis (December 14) and the Finnish Tyomies (December 3) significantly break the silence The increasingly grave shortage of food which confronts France which the remainder of the press of these national groups have today can be traced primarily to Vichy's mismanagement of supply maintained respecting Otto. and distribution and to requisitions imposed by Germany. Only secondarily can the problem be attributed to the British blockade or to deficiencies in fuel, labor, or agricultural machinery. Domestic Supply France's shortage, in other words, is not one inherited from the pre- war years: the French food economy was normally independent of any basic agricultural imports, with the exception of fodder and vegetable oils. Other items such as rice, tropical fruits, and coffee were secured from abroad; but, though useful, they were by no means indispensable. Domestic production then-had it been distributed equitably, efficiently, and completely to the French population-would have sufficed to give the average citizen even after the invasion a passable diet, regardless of the blockade. For, aside from the year 1940, when military operations interfered rather severely with sowing and her- vesting, French agricultural output has never fallen dangerously below pre-war levels. The fodder-deficit imposed by the blockade, it is true, brought a reduction in the number and weight of livestock and a corresponding drop in supplies of meat and dairy products available to the consumer. Shortages of labor, fuel, and farming machinery did not help matters, either. But none of these restrictions caused any disastrous fall in the supply of food products potentially available to Frenchmen. Requisitions Much more important than variations in domestic output or the effecte of blockade were the requisitions imposed by the German authorities. During the crop-year of 1941-42, the Germans exacted from the French some 550,000 tons of wheat, and from the crop of 1942-43 they are expected to requisition about 850,000 tons-which may amount to nearly 15 percent of the French yield. German 1 Based on memorands prepared to the Research and Analysis Branch of the Office of Strategic Services, 28 29 AGT - WAR works Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECHET requirements of meat are expected to reach in 1942-43 about 15 per. cent of French production, and-a fact even more important-soms the extremely meagre rations. Farmers who withheld their products 20 percent of France's fats and oils will go this year to the invaders. began to increase their own consumption and dispose of the surplus These requisitions bear all the more heavily upon the French food on the Black Market. Consequently, instead of acting 65 an irregular economy because they are collected, not from the Black Market, but supplement to the official distributive system as in Germany, the from supplies which would otherwise be available for rationing. Black Market has developed in France into a major channel of supply. Since its prices are, however, exorbitant, only well-to-do persons can It should be pointed out, however, that these requisitions-crucial avail themselves of its supplies. Thus, inequalities of distribution, as they were-never assumed the proportions familiar to other instead of being mitigated by governmental controls, B8 is usual in countries conquered by the German armies. Remaining within the wartime, have been accentuated. broad limits of "normal contributions" which the victor exacts from If injustice were the only result of this system, it would be bad the vanquished, the German demands have not, at least until now, enough. But the system tends as well to lower agricultural produc- had the character of a systematic drive to undermine completely the tion still further. Profitable ns selling on the Black Market may be, economic life of France and to deprive its inhabitante of the minimum the handling of large quantities of goods in an illegal way-par- means of subsistence. ticularly when they are bulky-is extremely inconvenient, if not The reasons for this German decision to abstain in France from I prohibitive. More and more producers, therefore, are inclined to "Polish" policy of extermination and spoilage are political, economic, grow only as much as they need themselves, plus whatever quantities and psychological. The idea of French collaboration loomed large in can be sold without too much risk on the Black Market. all concepta of the "New Order." Integrating the economic resources Additional dislocation of the food economy is provided by the of France into the German war effort became, very shortly, part and (ailure of Vichy to secure an interregional equalization of the available parcel of the German blueprint of total European mobilization. food supplies. Division of France into two zones, obstructionism by Finally, the general German attitude towards the "cultured" French the German authorities, and a shortage of transport facilities were, was always markedly different from the contempt and batred which of course, mainly responsible for the breakdown of interdepartmental they felt for the lesser nations of eastern Europe. traffic; but the Vichy government certainly proved unable to use whatever freedom of action had been left to it. The consequence of Vichy its impotence was the creation of artificial surpluses in some depart- The appalling mismanagement of the French food economy by the ments and of acute shortages in others. The result of this was, in Vichy government provides an essential background against which turn, to facilitate German requisitions and to help disorganize the reductions of imports, declines in output, and requisitions by the internal distributive system. German authorities assume their proper proportions. A decline in the quantity of available consumer goods and the What the Frenchman Gets inflationary process set in motion by exaggerated payments to the Under the impact of all these factors, the food position of France has German occupation authorities could not, perhaps, have been pro- deteriorated very considerably. In pre-war France an average citizen vented by Vichy; but it was the almost complete breakdown of that consumed about 3,100 calories daily, which were contained in some government's price-fixing system which vastly aggravated the food- 99 grams of protein, 67 grams of fate, and 470 grains of carbohydrates. supply problem. Runaway prices for consumer goods made farmers Instead of this undoubtedly high norm, French nutritional specialista balk at delivering their products at officially decreed prices. In fact, have accepted as a subsistence minimum for an average consumer not deliveries had to be enforced by police power and became virtual involved in heavy labor, a figure of 2,000 calories, which should be com- requisitions. posed of 66 grams of protein, 38 grams of fata, and 330 grams of car- As 8 result, the volume of foodstuffs available for distribution bohydrates. If we compare this minimum with the ration obtained on through officially approved channels was not sufficient to fill even cards by "normal consumers" (category "A"), which consiste of 1,100 30 31 Regraded Unclassified SECRET SECRET calories daily, contained in 33 grams of protein, 19 grams of fate, and 220 grams of carbohydrates, we find that the daily caloric deficit amounts to 900 calories. Carbohydrates show a deficit of some 33 percent, while proteins and fate are short by 50 percent. More APPENDIX IV striking than any, however, is the deficit of animal protein: the con. sumer receives only a third of the theoretical minimum. "TWO ENEMIES" Even if we take into consideration that about 200 additional calories can be obtained in workers' canteens, restaurants, and similar places, One month ago, The War This Week published 88 an appendix B. the remaining deficit of 700 calories a day is critical enough. These memorandum on "Polish Politics in the United States" (December 700 calories can usually be obtained on the Black Market-but only 10-17, 1942). The following account of a lecture given by Waclaw by the few who can afford it. For the rest, severe malnutrition and Spiewak in New York City on December 18 is presented as a vivid heavy loss of weight are inevitable. footnote to that article's discussion of rightist sentiments among The position of consumer groups whose physically-exacting occups- Polish exiles. The substance of Mr. Spiewak's lecture, as reported tions entitle them to higher rationing categories is hardly more favor- from B. reliable source, reveals how intense the feeling against both Germany and Russia has become in some Polish-American circles. able. Although their rations may permit a calorie intake of about Waclaw Spiewak is an American citizen who returned to this 2,000 or even 2,400 calories daily, their physiological requirements country in July, 1942, after taking part in the Polish underground lie between 3,500 and 4,000 calories daily. Their deficit is, therefore, movement. He told his audience, described as deeply sympathetic, proportionately about the same, and a sharp decline in their efficiency that Poland's "two enemies" were Germany and Russia. Poles and productivity appears quite as probable. could never forgive Russia, be said: "no treaties will have any significance." Although this could not be said "before the Ameri- cans," it was ridiculous to argue about Poland's eastern boundaries. "Poland must get more. Russia must repay us." For Germany Mr. Spiewak foresaw nothing but vengeance. "We do not care about public opinion. We are going to murder German children in their cradles Every German is born a Hitler Poland will do a lot of killing No overseas tribunal will be able to interfere." That this was an occasion of consequence and the speaker a man of some standing in Polish American circles is suggested by Peter Yolles' presence as chairman. Mr. Yolles, an editor of the New York Nowy Swiat, mouthpiece of the Matuszewski group, characterized Mr. Spie- wak's address ns"a voice from the heart." He warned the assembly that London and Washington were planning for Allied occupation of all liberated territories in order to forestall the possibility of a "bloody vengeance." The Polish underground, be urged, should be so organ- ined as to be able to act "properly, rapidly, and effectively" before Allied occupation could interfere. Mr. Spiewak introduced himself not as n politician but as & soldier preoccupied with Poland's struggle. He charged that Polish labor had Based on a memorandum prepared la the Foreign Nationalities Branch of the Office of Strategio Bervices. 32 33 Regraded Unclassified SECRET been indifferent to the German threat in 1939, but said that experience of life under the Nazis had welded all Poles together. Although post. war Poland would be a democracy, Mr. Spiewak was convinced that it could not afford "too much babbling and experimentation." The Ukraine, he said, would be "free" and would "line up with us, This is already in the making." Lithuania would also be free and "in union with us." Sikorski he respected as a soldier, Mr. Spiewak declared, but the exiled Government would have to give way to a "revolutionary govern- ment" in post-war Poland. He defended the pre-war Government, saying that "Minister Beck straightened out Polish politics The Generals did everything in their power, but they were not allowed by the Allies to mobilize all their forces." 34 #, 4. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1943 BUY VIITED STATES WAR AONDS are STAMPS Regraded Unclassified 103 Jan. 8, 1943 Mr. Sullivan Secretary Morgenthau I do not want to wait to have my hand forced by Senator Vandenberg, and I think there should be 8. forgiveness of taxes for the widow of a soldier or sailor killed in action. I want an answer on Monday, and if it needs legislation I want the legislation ready by Monday. I would also like to have a review on what happens to the taxes of a soldier or sailor. See Sullivans memo - 1/11/43 - Regraded Unclassified 104 THE UNDER SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON January 8, 1943. MEMORANDUM ON THE CABINET MEETING The President said he had nothing to report. Mr. Hull said he had nothing other than the usual French complicated situation involving the DeGaulle and Giraud interests. The President said he would like to discuss that matter for a moment and give his opinion on the matter. He was quite well aware of the fact that the French and the British do not agree to this view. He said there is no constitutional representative of the French people in North Africe, and most people who view this situation do not seem to realize this es 8. military occupation. General Eisenhower is in fact the Governor of that territory. When he entered this territory he found Admiral Darlan in command. He was, of course, in effect made prisoner. He made certain over- tures under which he said he would cooperate and do all in his power to get the Frenchmen to cease fighting if certain things were done. In order to save lives General Eisenhower agreed, but all Admiral Dorlan was was an agent of General Eisenhower. He did not in any sense represent the French people. Under this scheme Derlan set up some sort of a governing council, but here again they were only aiding Eisenhower. General Giraud is in exactly the same boat, in his opinion. The British feel that the Fighting French, hended by De Gaulle, have never left the French Government, as the representatives of Vichy did. They have continued on as part of the original constitu- tional Government of France and therefore they deserve to be recor nized as representatives of the French people and should be placed in charge. The President does not agree with this view and cannot, he says, recognize De Gaulle as the hend of this territory. Further- more he does not want anyone of the character recognized as head of the French Government unless they are the constitutionally recognised representative of the French people. There was quite a discussion between Biddle, Byrnes, Landis and Stimson as to the constitutionality of the President's position. I think they all agreed as 19. general principle that he wes right, but there were some stops which should have been taken but which had not been taken to make this position clear. One of those is that PVICTORY it has not been made clear to the people of this territory that this BUY UNITED STATES WAR BORDS ARS TAMES Regraded Unclassified 100 - 2 - ia a military occupation and that General Eisenhower is in fact in charge of the territory and that whoever is appointed to govern 1a no more than an agent of him. I believe they were all in accord that all actions taken should be in line with these principles. I had nothing to report. Mr. Stimson anid that at the last Cabinet Meeting someone raised the question as to who was to get title to the manufacturing plants that are being constructed throughout the country for the manufacture of war materials. It was indicated that the Secretary of the Treasury raised this question. He read quite a memorandum prepared by Bob Patterson which said that the Government plants were being financed by the Defense Plants Corporation and that title was in the Government in that case. In those cases where private capital in used, I believe he said the Government was paying for the plants through the price of the materials and there was some indication, although not clear to ne, that the Government got the plants at the end of the period. All of the papers in the case were turned over to Francis Biddle for study. Mr. Biddle cold that the Byrd Committee WBS raising some questions about the acquisition of property by the Army, particu- larly the large hotels and large areas of land. One of his men hed been called to testify but he instructed him to say that he was only carrying out what he WRB ordered to do by the War Depart- ment and he had nothing to do with the policies involved. Then he said he wanted the Cabinet to know that Clarence Cannon, Chairman of the Appropriations Committee, had gone to Hoover, head of the F.B.I., to suggest that he provide the Appropriations Committee with e corps of investigators to go through the various Governmental Departments to see whether or not there was any waste. He said the Committee was determined to do it and thought the F.B.I. WAS the proper agency. Hoover said he could not make any commitment on it until he discussed the matter with the Attorney General, The Attorney General gold he immediately turned it down. He thought it would be very bad having F.B.I. agents going through the departments investigating their procedures and methods of spending appropriated money. He said he did tell Mr. Cannon, after having discussed the matter with the President, that he would designate an F.B.I. man to set up such an organization for the Committee and after the organi- zation was completed he would withdraw the F.B.I. man and somebody else could take charge. Mr. Knox and Mr. Wickard had nothing. The President said he had heard a great deal about a plan to spend $100 million of Government funds to crevent A shortage of lumber. Regraded Unclassified 106 - 3 - There was quite a discussion of it and there seemed to be some misunder- standing and Mr. Donald Nelson said he had looked into it quite carefully and found it was absolutely necessary to build up a stockpile of lumber; that sessonal purchases of it drained the market and there are acute shortages of it at certain times of the year. He wanted to assure the producers that this lumber would be taken off their hands, and further- more, by putting it in stockpiles it would get the necessary seasoning that is advisable for its use. The President said to work out some program, but he didn't want them to use his emergency fund for this pur- nose. Mr. Jones, after he had heard the discussion on the question of purchasing or getting title to Government plants, went out of the room and telephoned to his office, He said he finds in the aluminum, mg- nestum and rubber plants which he is financing through RFC, there are no options on the part of private concerns to purchase these plants. In the case of the plant to produce octane gas, he said there is A form of option, but it is favorable to the Government. He said in con- nection with the construction of some of the steel plants there are options but they are of very little value and he doubts if they will over be taken up after the war. In the case of the Kaiser plant which cost $90 million and the case of the Provost, Utah, plant which cost 0125 million, there are no options whatever. He said after the question FGB raised last week he directed that a complete survey be made of the plants being constructed with Government money. He would have that within E few days and would furnish a copy of it to the President, He has convinced, however, after looking into it some, that the Government had not been "sold down the river." Secretary Ickes, General Fleming, Mr. Blandford, Mr. Nelson, Mr. Byrnes and Mr. McNutt had nothing to report. DWB Regraded Unclassified 107 January 8, 1943. Meeting in Mr. White's Office, January 8, 1943, 10:00 A.M. Present: Dr. Clark and Mr. Plumptre, for the Canadian Treasury, Mr, White and Miss Kistler, for the United States Treasury. Dr. Clark stated that the Canadian gift to the United Kingdom had run out about Christmas time and that the contemplated Land-Lease arrange- ment cannot be put into effect until at least January 27, 1943, when the Canadian Parliament reconvenes and legislation can be introduced. The proposal now being considered is a Lend-Lease arrangement with all Sterling Area countries with no strings attached except perhaps such minor ones as a provision for the return of some articles like ships. Certain other conditions might be imposed, such as the transfer to Canada of British interests in war plants in that country, amounting to $200-$250 million, but Dr. Clark stated that the present plan was not to take over any more of U.K. investments in Canada, He replied, in answer to a question of Mr. White, that the United Kingdom still held about $1.5 billion of investments in Canada, He explained that the proposal is still in the early stages of discussion and that modifications of present plans might be made before legislation is finally enacted. Dr. Clark explained that the United Kingdom was now paying gold to Canada and would do so until legislation could be introduced or a state- ment of policy made by the Government to the Canadian Parliament; in either case he thought the arrangement would be made retroactive to Jan- uary 27. He reported that Canada had already received #25 million of gold out of an estimated $150 million that U.K. will have to pay to Canada during the five-week period ending January 27. He said that it was estimated in December that the United Kingdom deficit with Canada during the first quarter of the year would be $380-$385 million. Under questioning by Mr. White, Dr. Clark stated that the Canadian officials felt that eince they had once gone to Parliament for legislation on Canadian financial arrangements with U.K. and gotten legislation for the gift arrangement, they did not feel that they could go back to the pre-gift situation of accumulating sterling without at least informing Parliament of their intentions, something, of course, which they could not do until it reconvenes at the end of this month. Dr. Clark explained that although the billion dollar gift had been made to the United Kingdom it had been used to meet the deficit of all the Sterling Area countries with Canada with the net result that the other members of the Sterling Area paid sterling to the United Kingdom for the 108 - 2 - net surplus of goods they had received from Canada, and which Canada had paid for out of the gift appropriation. He said that at the time the gift W&B made, Canadian officials felt that they did not know enough concerning the financial arrangements between the United Kingdom and other Sterling Area countries to attempt to make separate arrangements with each of them. The plan now being contemplated by the Canadian Government is to generalise Lend-Lease arrangements fully and to make arrangements with any of the United Nations, with the intention of making Canadian production surpluses available to any of them to the extent Ganada's capacity permits. He stated that the Canadian Government contemplates dealing directly with the various members of the British Empire and that to date Canadian war production has gone principally to the United Kingdom, Australia, India, New Zealand, Egypt (for U.K. account), Russia and South Africa. Dr. Clark stated that the Canadian Government had no intention of enter- ing into reciprocal Lend-Lease arrangements. He explained that they pur- chase sterling from the British Government to feed, shelter and purchase locally to the extent necessary the equipment needed by Canadian troops overseas. He said that this year sterling expenditures made for Canadian troops in the United Kingdom were running at B rate of $175-$200 million per year and that, on the assumption of active warfare in Europe, the Canadian Government estimates that they will spend $640 million for this purpose during the fiscal year 1943-1944. He explained that Canada kept only a small working balance in sterling. He told Mr. White that the records of Canadian expenditures in the United Kingdom for Canadian Armed Forces were kept on a strict accounting basis, that it had always been considered wise on both sides to do 80, He explained, however, that no attempt had been made to keep detailed and exhaustive records but rather the efforts had been directed toward working out a per capita rate for food, shelter, etc. Dr. Clark asked whether Mr. White thought there was any point in having Lend-Lease agreements which will be signed with various countries to include anything more than a conmitment on the part of the second country to do the utmost possible to further the war and to take a liberal attitude toward post-war problems. Mr. White reviewed the atti- tude which Treasury officials had taken when they were working on at draft of the Agreement with the United Kingdom. Dr. Clark inquired concerning the desirability of continuing Canex requisitions-that is, requisitions filed by the United Kingdom for U.S. material to be transferred to Canada for her own use in compensation for Canadian expenditures on U.K. account in the United States, He would prefer to drop them and indicated that they were of minor proportions. He said that together with the components made available to Canada under Lend-Lease for inclusion in goods being produced in that country for U.K. account, they totalled only $53 million to date. Regraded Unclassified 109 - 3 - Dr. Clark raised the question concerning the desirability of re- funding the Canadian U.S. dollar obligation which is now callable as against retiring it. Mr. White then reviewed the manner in which the matter had come to our attention and stated that, in his opinion, there were three disadvantages to retiring the issue: First, there are the possible adverse political repercussions arising from the fact that we are aiding Canadian dollar position; secondly, there is the desirability of retaining foreign exchange resources in view of the uncertain condi- tions after the war; thirdly, there are advantages to be derived from once having successfully refunded an issue at a lower rate of interest in case further loans have to be raised. Mr. White suggested to Dr. Clark that he ought to talk with Mr. Bell about the bond issue. Dr. Clark said he would be glad to. Unfortunately he had to leave that afternoon and Mr. Bell was unable to see him that day. Mr. White said that Mr. Berle had told him he was going to speak to the Canadian Government last week about a proposed International Stabilization Fund. Mr. White asked Dr. Clark if he would care to have any of his technical men examine the draft outline for the International Stabilization Fund and to give their reaction and make any suggestion they would care to do, at an informal level. Dr. Clark seemed pleased to do so, Dr. Clark submitted the attached memorandum setting forth his pro- posal for the suggested range of Canadian gold and dollar balances. T. M. Kistler Regraded Unclassified Handed to Surgestions as to a reasonable roserve of U.S. dollar exchange to be maintained by Canada. 1. It is belleved that It vould be decirable for the United States and Canada to reach. an ne to what should be the marnitude of the reserve of old and U.S. dollar balances which Canada chould sool: to maintain, having regard to the interests of both countries. It is suggested that minimum and maximum figures might well do agreed upon. In that case it would be the understanding that if Canada's reserves tended to fall below the agreed minimum, the United States would be willing to increase her purchases of war supplies in Canada, in accordance with the principles of the liyde Park Declaration. Conversely, if Canada's reserves tended to rise above the agreed maximum, Canada would be willing not only to accept reductions in U.S. orders for war supplies being placed in Canada but also to con- tribute free to the United States (either for her own use or for assignment to other United Nations through the Munitions Assignment Board) finished war supplies manu- factured in Canada as a result of orders placed by the United States through War Supplies Limited. In considering the appropriate magnitude of a U.S. dollar reserve to be maintained by Canada, the following general considerations are believed to be important: (a) The high degree of vulnerability of Canada's international trading position. (Her foreign trade is very large in relation to her size and national income. Her economy is geared to export markets to an extent that 1s matched by few other countries. To & very large extent also her exports consist of agricultural products and basic raw materials and, at the first blast of depression, are apt to fall off rapidly because of Regraded classified -2- of Leclines in volume and more drastic declines in prices. In revious major depressions, drastic docronses in excert receipts have imediately enorged, Ville the cost of imports unsed to a considerable extent on hachinery and capital equipment las tended to keep up for a time, with a consequent serious strain on Canada's balance of payments). (b) Canada's heavy external indebtedness, now owing largely to the United States. (In recent years Canada has had to find from $200 to 250 millions U.S. to meet Interest and dividend payments payable to U.S. Investors. In addition, it must be remembered that the investment markets of the countries are ao closely interrelated that securities move back and forth across the boundary line with great freedom and in enormous volune - in 1937 the total of this trade was $6000 millions, If confidence in Canada's currency or financial position is impaired, capital may flow out quickly in very large volume not only in the form of marketable socurities but also in the form of withdrawal by U.S. parent companies of surplus funds hold by their Canadian subsidiaries or branches). (c) Canada's probable post-war reconstruction needs. (We hope to have post-war a much higher rate of general economic activity as compared with pre- war conditions. Even if the U.S. follows a policy of expansion, the character of the trade between the two countries is such that the balance of payments could be heavily against us in the early post-war years). (a) The/ egraded classified -3- 3 (d) The desirability of being able to restore parity of exchange, oliminate varlous restrictions and maintain a liberal tommercial policy. (In addition to the normal problems of post-war reconstruction, Canada will desire, and it will be in the interest of the U.S. that she should be in a position, to return to the pre-war parity between the Canadian and U.S. dollars; to remove exchange control, the 10,7 War Exchange Tax, heavy excise taxes on certain commodities and other restrictions on imports from the U.S., and the prohibition on pleasure travel in the U.S., all of which Canada has had to impose during the war in order to conserve her scanty reserves of U.S. dollar exchange; and generally to resist successfully any internal, sectional pressures attempting to force the solution of an exchange problem by reactionary trade policy or by exchange control' or depreclation). In the light of these general considerations, we may approach the concrete problem of what should be a reasonable magnitude for Canada's exchange reserve by reviewing a number of historical situations: (a) At September 15, 1939, Canada's official and available private reserves of old and U.S. dollars were $390 millions, made up as follows: Official Spot Regraded Unclassified illions of Official Spot Position U.S. dollars Foreign Excilance Control Board and Bank of Canada old 205 Foreign Exchange Control Board, Bank of Canada and Dominion Government U.S. balances 56 Total official spot position 261 Private Spot Position Corporation balances (oxcluding minimum working balances 1 85 Individuals' balances 2 / 23 Chartered banks' excess cash reserves 3 21 Life insurance companies excess cash 4 -- Total private spot position 129 Total spot position 5 390 (b) The size of the exchange reserve possessed by Canada just before the war, 88 shown above, was much smaller than that maintained by Canada in the years preceding the great depression. In this connection the following extract from Professor A.F.W. Plumptre's "Central Banking in the British Dominions" (published in 1939) is pertinent: "Although/ 1 Data from tabulation of Form M (issued by Foreign Exchange Control Board) less estimated minimum working balances of $20 millions (roughly 1941/42 average) Data from tabulation of Form M. Impossible to determine banks' minimum cash require- ments accurately; amount shown represents sales by banks to F.E.C.B. during first month of control. Canadian life insurance companies showed an excess of U.S. assets over U.S. liabilities at end of 1939 but no reliable estimate is available as to their excess cash reserves. Does not Include U.S. currency in the hands of individual residents Y amount unknown. Regraded Unclassified -S- "Although Canada's long torm foreign indebtedness has been greatly reduced in the years 1933-8, the short term international position of the financial system has by no means been restored to that of ten r twelve years ago. The change is shown in an accompanying table. At the end of 1338 ti.e net short term international assets of the system were less than half the amount eleven years earlier. In the event of a new severe depression, entalling falling income from exports and difficulty in indeting foreign debts, it seems dosirable to have at least as large a reserve of internat onal assets as was available before the last one. 11 (mage 421). Net Short Term Foreign Assets of Canadian Banking Systom, December 31, 1927. $ 000,000 Net foreign assets of chartered banks: 293,4 Gold of chartered banks In central gold reserves 21,2 In Canadian vaults 2 48.1 Elsewhere 28.5 Gold of Dominion Government (at $20.67 per OZ.) 127.7 518.9 December 31, 1938. Net foreign assets of chartered banks 8.7 Foreign exchange of Bank of Canada 28.4 Gold of Bank of Canada (at $35 per oz.) 185.9 223.0 Without deducting liabilities on letters of credit. 2 Includes also holdings of subsidiary ooin which in Canada usually amount to some $5 millions. To Professor Plumptre's comment there might be added the further comment that in spite of what now seems like a large exchange reserve held in 1927 (and just prior to the end of the last major business boom), a falling trade position and an outflow of funds to the New York market brought weakness and some depreciation in the Canadian dollar during 1929, followed by acute weakness and substantial depreciation in 1931 and 1932 when the United Kingdom went off gold and Canada's balance of payments showed serious worsening. (c) By the middle of 1941, Canada's reserve had dropped from 390 millions at the outbreak of war to $265 millions. Regraded Unclassified ⑉6⑉ 6 The following table shows the position at June 30, 1941: June 30, 1941. (millions of U.S. dollars) Foreign Exchange Control Board gold 137 Foreign Exchange Control Board - U.S. balances 72 Dominion Government - U.S. balances 46 Total official spot position 255 (d) As a result primarily of the working of the Hyde Park agreement and of capital movements, the drain on Canada's reserve which had amounted to 142 millions (U.S.) in 1941 was checked and then reversed in 1942. Preliminary figures for the past year show a gain of approximately 133 millions, bringing the official reserve up to 310 millions as at December 31, 1942, made up as follows: Docember 31, 1942. (millions of U.S. dollars) Gold held by Foreign Exchange Control Board and Dominion Government 154.9 u.s held by Foreign Exchange Control Board and Dominion Government 163.6 Total official spot position 318.5 (e) The following table snows the net impairment of Canada's U.S. position, the liquidation of U.S. assets and the Increased purchases by U.S. investors of Canadian assets, by various periods since the outbreak of war up to December 51, 1942. (The table was prepared about the middle of December last and consequently the figures used for the year 1942 are estimates which may vary slightly from the figures as finally dotermined): Regra Unclassified Net Impairment of Canada's U.S. dollar position and indebtedness Year Total Sept. 16, 1939 Total 2nd 1942 July 1,1941 Grand to Year lst half Sept. 16, 1939 half (esti- to Total Dec. 31, 1939 1940 1941 to 1941 mate) Dec.31, 1942 (estimate) June 30, 1941 (millions of U.S. dollars) 1: Depletion of Liquid Reserves (a) Official -45 -24 75 6 68 -131 -63 37 -57 (b) Private 91 - 128 3 - 2 1 129 Total - 8 67 75 134 71 -133 -62 1 2. Liquidation of other U.S. assets. (a) Sales and redemptions of U.S. securities 13 27 11 51 13 21 34 85 (b) Other liquidational 2 8 5 15 4 11 15 30 Total 15 35 16 66 17 32 49 11$ 3. Total depletion of U.S. of assets (1/ and 2/) 7 102 91 200 88 -101 -$3 181 4. New capital inflow (a) Purchases of Canadian securi ties by U.S. investors 4 7 12 23 19 113 132 (b) Other investments Total 1 6 5 13 155 9 25 34 5 13 18 36 47 28 138 166 5, Total impairment of position 202 and indebtedness 12 115 109 236 116 37 138 6." Capital payments 3 6 38 15 59 se I 12 22 6 77 94 177 34 104 93 7. Net impairmen of position 15 46 and indebtedness Regraded Unclassified -0- 8 des sales and redemptions of foreign.U.S. dollar securities F. than U.S.), repayment of principal on mortgages, loans ale of direct investments abroad. audes borrowings from non-rosidents, direct investment in ada, and transfers of non-rosidents' bank accounts to Canada. ncludes security redemptions, principal repayments and small ounts of ca ital outflow allowed on c impassionate grounds, It is important to note from the proceding table that in addition to losing 2 millions of her liquid U.S. dollar reserves since the outbreak of war, Canada has also lost approximately 115 millions of other U.S. dollar assets and in addition has increased her indebtedness to the U.S. by approximately :109 millions net during the same period. In other words, there has been a total net impairment in her position and indebtedness vio-a-vis the U.S. of approximately $296 millions. 1, With the above Mistorical and statistical background, we are now in & position to make concrete suggestions as to the magnitude of an appropriate U.S. dollar reserve for Canada, having in mind the best Interest of the two countries. One alternative might be that Canada should be allowed to return to the position at September 15, 1939, when she had gold and U.S. dollar balances of $390 millions, or about 72 millions more than at December 31, 1942. It should bo noted, however, that the present cash position has been sttained only at the expense of our capital resources to EL net extent of about $224 millions. On the other hand it would be unrealistic to suggest that we should be allowed to recoup ourselves for this loss by building up our liquid resources to EL corresponding extent; we must be prepared to accept some increase in our not debt to the U.S. as a result of the war. A second alternative might be based on the argument that, as it was during the spring of 1941 that the Hyde Park discussions took place, Canada might be asked to accept a net impairment of position up to, say, mid-1941 on the ground that after that date it was the goneral intention that the Myde Regraded Unclassif -9- 9 Farlo errangements should.obviate any further substantial impaiments of Canada's U.S. capital resources, on this basis, We would have to make up B. not impairment in position and indebtedness of $1.99 millions, which added to our actual liquid reserve of $318 millions at December 31, 1942, would mean total liquid resources of 437 millions. The average of the two alternative approaches outlined above works out at $414 millions. It is therefore respectfully suggested that consideration be given to agreeing upon a range of $400 to 430 millions, Bearing in mind that under certain circumstances an annual exchange loss of $150 millions is by no means improbable and that one of $200 millions or even more is Quite conceivable, liquid reserves of the magnitude hore suggested are no more than sufficient to give Canada a breathing spell of là or 2 years if things do not go well in the post-war years. The reference to such Д period assumes that desperate measures have to be taken before exchange reserves reach the vanishing point. It is also suggested that consideration should be given in agreeing upon 'a suitable exchange reserve, to the desirability of leaving out of the calculations for operating purposes any cash which may later be accumulated through net sales of securities in the U.S. - either Canadian or U.S. securities. (By net sales is meant gross sales of securities minus redemptions or purchases, leaving other capital transactions out of account for the salce of simplicity). Behind this suggestion 10 & question as to the wisdom of Canada borrowing in order to maintain hor liquid position. There is also behind it the conviction that EL minimum cash reserve of $400 millions does not fully take into account the vulnerability of Canada's international position and her probable post-war reconstruction needs. There 10 also the further fact that we will have to deal with/ Regraded Unclassi 119 -10- 10 with a number of maturing Dominion bond issues in the near future, such for instance as the $30 million issue due January 15, 1944, and callable on or after January 15, 1943, and the 76 million issue due August 15, 1945, and callable on or after August 15, 1943. These issues might be retired in part with funds accumulated by the ordinary market sales by U.S. or Canadian securities to the U.S. Regraded Unclassified 120 O trunte anymal 1/11/43 to , 121 JOINT WAR PRODUCTION COMMITTEE CANADA AND UNITED STATES UNITED STATES SECTION WASHINGTON, D.C. Social Security Building January 8, 1943 Dear Mr. Secretary: The Joint War Production Committee of Canada and the United States has secured estimates of payments to be made to Canada for munitions by the United States War Department, Navy Department and Maritime Com- mission during the third quarter of the fiscal year 1943. It is expected that these payments will amount to almost $190,000,000. Details of this estimate are presented in the table below: Payments to be Made to Canada, January 1 to March 31, 1943 U. S. War Department $119,793,001.14 U. S. Navy Department 6,746,000.00 U. S. Maritime Commission 61,500,000.00 TOTAL $188,069,001.14 At an earlier date (November 1), the Economics and Statistics Branch of the Canadian Department of Munitions and Supply estimated the value of war production in Canada for the account of the United States at approxi- mately $151,500,000 (U.S.) for the same period. There is, of course, no reason to expect an exact correspondence between these estimates. Pay- ments may not be made at exactly the time the munitions are delivered. Furthermore, additional contracts have been awarded to Canada by the War and Navy Departments in recent months. Since Canadian munitions are now tentatively assigned for 8 period three months in advance of the date at which assignments are made, the schedules of deliveries of Canadian munitions to the United States are now less subject to wide error than was true at the time our last report to you was prepared. For that reason the above estimate is probably more accurate than the one made at the beginning of the second quarter. Sincerely yours, Gilbert MacKay Captain, Army of the United States Executive Director, J.W.P.C. The Honorable The Secretary of the Treasury Washington, D. C. Regraded Unclassified MINUTES OF BOARD MEETING 121 January 8, 1943, 11:00 A. M. East Wing, White House Present: The Director (Presiding) Mr. Wickard Mr. Jones Miss Perkins Mr. Bell (Acting Secretary of the Treasury) Mr. Eccles Mr. Smith Mr. Henderson Mr. McNutt Mr. Patton Mr. O'Neal Mr. Green Mr. Murray Mr. Flanders Mr. Gordon (Chairman, Canadian Wartime Trade and Price Board) Mr. Gordon, present at the invitation of the Director and Mr. Henderson, dia- cussed the Canadian price control program. The success of Canada in controlling the cost of living, says Mr. Gordon, has been demonstrated by the fact that since the institution of general maximum price ceilings in 1941, there has been only 2 percent increase, The government's ability to hold down the cost of living, according to Mr. Cordon, has been due to a number of factors, but primarily to a willingness to pay subsidies in order to hold essential items in the cost of living index. In these essential items, the government has held rigidly to the 1941 price levels, resorting first to a profit "squeeze" at all levels of distribution. If this is inadequate, subsidies are used. The government has also embarked upon an extensive program of simplification and standardization, which has reduced the necessity for subsidies. There has, Mr. Gordon stated, been some degradation in the quality of consumer goods, but this has not seriously affected the standard of living. Subsidies have, said Mr. Gordon, been used in agricultural field, particularly with respect to milk and butter, thereby reconciling the need for increased agricultur- al products with the government's objective in stabilising the cost of living. Regraded Unclassified - 2 - 121-B Mr. Gordon also pointed out the important contribution made to the enforcement of price control by organizing consumer groups to police prices, All women's organ- isations and consumer organizations have been mobilized to support the government's program. Individual consumers are urged to keep record of prices paid for essential commodities and to compare these with the legally established price ceilings. Local rationing boards have been designated by the mayors of the various communities, and in many places the mayor is the chairman of the board. This has insured local con- trol and local support in dealing with purely local problems. In answer to questions from various members of the Board, Mr. Gordon stated that fiscal policy mist also be relied upon to support the price control program. Substantial tax increases and compulsory savings have been imposed by the Canadian Parliament. Forty percent of the government's expenditures are covered by taxation, but there is still a substantial and dangerous inflationary gap. Canada has experienced considerable difficulty in dealing with the distribu- tion of manpower, especially agricultural labor. In order to release manpower for more essential work, the government has attempted to eliminate various non-essential civilian activities. This is now leading to the concentration of essential civilian production into a selected number of plants, further releasing manpower for more essential occupations. Mr. Gordon's remarks were followed by a series of questions from many of the Board members, all dealing with various aspects of Canadian economic policy. The meeting adjourned at 1:15 P.M. to meet again on January 22 at 11:00 A. M. Regraded Unclassified 122 marled by 1900 n January 8, 1943 My dear Dean Jackson: I am delighted to learn from your letter that the Treasury can continue to have the services of Dean Harriet Elliott and it goes without saying that it is entirely agreeable to me that she visit the College for three or four days each month. Miss Elliott has been rendering invalu- able service to the War Bond Division of the Treasury. I have also called on her, from time to time, to advise us on other Treasury activities. I appreciate that by letting us have Miss Elliott, you and the College are making a real sacrifice and if we were not at war I would not ask you to do this. With very kind regards, in which Mrs. Morgenthau joins me, Sincerely yours, (Signed) H. MORGENTHAU JR. Dean W. C. Jackson, The Woman's College of The University of North Carolina, Greensboro, North Carolina. Regraded Unclassified 123 THE WOMAN'S COLLEGE OF THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA to Mr. Fils OFFICE OF DEAN OF ADMINISTRATION GREENSBORO. NORTH CAROLINA December 22, 1942 The Honorable Henry J. Morgenthau, Jr. The Treasury Washington, D. C. My dear Mr. Secretary, With reference to the services of Dean Harriet Elliott, let me say that I have written to Dr. Odegard in response to his letter what I wish to say to you directly, namely, that we are glad to continue Miss Elliott's leave for her services with you. Naturally, we are much gratified to know of the success that she has made, In agreeing to her continued leave I am not making any concession as to how greatly we miss her services here. The measure of her success with you is evidence of the loss we sustain when she is away from us. As between these evident opportunities and responsibilities of here there can be no choice, of course, and the Government has the right of way, We have made a tentative arrangement for Miss Elliott to visit the College for three or four days once a month and I hope that this arrangement will be acceptable to you. Please permit me to extend my best wishes to Mrs. Morgenthau as well 8.6 to yourself. With high regards, I am Sincerely yours, W. C. Jackson Dean of Administration WCJ;ml Regraded Unclassified 124 January 8, 1943. Dear Mr. Harrison: Since the Secretary 10 away from the office because of illness, 1 - nohnovledg- ing your letter of December 20, expressing your congratulations on the recent financing, and extending your New Year's greetings. Just as seoa as Mr. Morgentham is back at his desk, I shall be gind to bring your letter to his attention, and I wast to thank you for 11 on his behalf. Sincerely yours, (Signed) H. S. Klotz H. S. Note, Private Secretary. Mr. George Norrican, 51 Nadison Avenue, New York, In York. GEF/dbs File in Diary Regraded Unclassified 125 FIFTY ONE MADISON AVENUE NEW YORK Personal December 30, 1942. My dear Henry: Just a line to congratulate you on the drive recently concluded. It was a grand job and a great record and I know you must be happy about it. And to my congratulations may I add all sorts of good wishes for the New Year. Faithfully yours, Europ Harriser Hon. Henry Morgenthau, Jr., Secretary of the Treasury, Treasury Department, Washington, D. C. Regraded Unclassified 126 0 0 THE P AMERICAN BANKERS Y ASSOCIATION 22 East 40 Street, New York, N. Y. January 8, 1943 Mr. Harold Thomas Vice Chairman of the Board Advertising Council, Inc. Treasury Department Washington, D. C. Dear Mr. Thomas: The members of our committee were glad to talk to you Wednesday regarding the survey which you are making for the Secretary of the Treasury on the respective functions and operations of the Wer Savings Staff and the Victory Fund Committee. The banks of the country are tremendously pleased with the results of the December campaign and we extend our sincere congratulations to the entire Treasury organization for the outstanding success achieved in this drive. We are now looking forward to the 1943 financing and are anxious to make it as successful as possible in every respect. For that reason we are glad to comply with your request for a memorandum reflecting our thoughts on the organizational procedure essential to a task of such magnitude. We have found considerable confusion in the various parts of the country regard- ing the authority and responsibility of the War Savings and Victory Fund organ- imations. It ie our opinion that each group has an important part to play in the financing program but wa believe it 1a desirable and necessary that clearer lines of demarcation be drawn regarding the functions of each organization. This comment is made solely in the interest of the war financing effort and does not in any way reflect on the qualifications or achievements of either group. Bankers, as you know, are very heavily represented on both committees. We want to see as much money as possible raised outside the field of commercial banks and we will give active support to all groups engaged in this undertaking. We believe that the Victory Fund activities are most successful when they take the form of drives. There drives should not exceed four a year, with three weeks allotted each drive. Too, we are convinced that the Mar Savings program is most effective when main- tained AS a continuous year-round educational and sales activity. Regraded Unclassified 127 Mr. Harold Thomas 1/8/43 Under such an arrangement the Victory Fund drives would occupy 12 weeks out of the year and the other 40 weeks would be allotted to the Not Savings Staff, During the period of the Victory Fund drives, there should be 8. minimum of ac- tivity, publicity, and solicitation by the War Sevings group. In this way the impact of conflicting activity would be eliminated. This was not true during the recent drive. In December intensive efforts were put forth by some War Savings Committees while the Victory Fund group was making strenuous efforts to achieve its goal. The two groups working within the same area produced confusion in the public mind and contributed little to the primary objective of selling the maximum amount of Government securities to the public. During the time the Victory Fund committees are not engaged in a direct drive, they should devote their attention to the constructive work of quietly strengthening their organization and educating their committeemen regarding the objectives and sales techniques involved in each campaign. In other words, when the Victory Fund group 1a engaged in an all-out drive, the Wer Savings organiza- tion should lend its support but not attempt to claim public attention for its own special sales activity. The same holds true for the Victory Fund group during the periods in which the War Savings staff is engaged in its particular efforts. Re 48 bankers are keenly aware that we are presently engaged in the greatest financial undertaking that has confronted the Government. It is therefore of the utmost importance that these two groups work ES smoothly 68 possible not only in Washington but throughout the country. They should coordinate their efforts to B. point of maximum efficiency. And by this we do not mean actual consolidation of the two groups for it does not appear that such a move et this time would be desirable. In order to get the key men in both the Mar Savings and Victory Fund committees sware of the situation, we believe that the Secretary should have a meeting with them in Mashington and outline a program such as WEI have indicated here, It was the consensus of opinion of our committee that there should be some in- dividual designated by the Secretary to have full charge of the sale of all Government securities. This person should have jurisdiction over both the Mar Savings and Victory Fund organizations, with authority to direct their activi- ties in every respect and at all times, This 1s believed necessary in order to coordinate the two groups that their work will be complementary and not antago- nistic. We shall be glad to talk to you further about this problem if you desire. We appreciate the courtesy shown us not only by the Secretary and the Under Secretary but by the directing heads of both the BET Savings Staff and the Victory Fund Committee. Sincerely yours, /e/ W. L. Hemingway W. L. Hemingway President Regraded Unclassified 128 Analysis of Exposure to Payroll Savings Plans January 2, 1943 Total number Number exposed in the Percent to payroll country of total savings plans (estimated) exposed Part A - Summary by Number of Organizations Exposed I. Business organizations (1) Firms with 5,000 employees or more 470 473 (2) Firms with 500 to 4,999 employees 99 5,705 5,841 98 (3) Firms with 100 to 499 employees 25,540 28,965 88 (4) Subtotal - large firms 31,715 35,279 90 (5) Firms with less than 100 employees 136,098 * * (6) Total Business organizations 167,813 * # II. Governmental organizations + # III. Grand total 167,813 * # Part B - Summary by Number of Employees Exposed I. Business organizations (1) Firms with 5,000 employees or more 8,645,091 # # (2) Firms with 500 to 4,999 employees 7,976,317 * + (3) Firms with 100 to 499 employees 5,771,051 a « (4) Subtotal - large firms 22,392,459 # « (5) Firms with less than 100 employees 3,288,589 # # (6) Total business organizations 25,681,048 32,900,000 78 II. Governmental organizations (1) Federal Government 2,376,067 2,800,000 85 (2) State and local governments 1,422,459 2,900,000 49 (3) Total governmental organizations 3,798,526 5,700,000 67 III. Grand total 29,479,574 38,600,000 76 Treasury Department January 8, 1943 Excludes proprietors, agricultural firm employees, military personnel, employees on WPA or NYA CCC members, self-employed, casual workers and persons in domestic or service. projects, . Data not available. Regraded Unclassified 129 Firms Employing 100 Persons or More Participating in Payroll Savings Plans (As reported by the War Savings Staff's State Administrators) January 2, 1943 : : Firms employing 100 - 499 persons Firms employing 500 persons or more : : Total Number Percent : : Total Number Percent number of firms of total State : number of firms of total of firms with payroll with payroll : of firms with payroll with payroll (estimated) savings plans savings plans : : (estimated) savings plans savings plans : 330 256# 78 Alabama 68 670 99 72 72 100 Arizona 14 14 100 134 97 72 Arkansas 18 18 100 795 727 91 Northern California 132 131 99 1,246 1,124 90 Southern California 158 155 98 142 137 96 Colorado 31 31 100 692 582 P4 Connecticut 165 155 94 63 59 - 94 Delaware 23 230 100 190 177 93 District of Columbia 52 52 100 355 217 61 Florida 49 144 90 418 392* 94 Georgia 126 126+> 100 33 33 100 Idaho 11 11 100 2,182 2,101 96 Illinois 503 498 99 789 708 90 Indiana 165 146 90 214 178 83 Iowa 47 40 85 299 288 96 Kansas 25 25 100 296 242 82 Kentucky 52 50 96 330 300+ 91 Louisiana 55 55% 100 168 160 95 Maine 55 55 100 405 350 86 Maryland 111 111 100 1,429 1,207 84 Massachmsetts 336 327 97 1,317 1,021 78 Michigan 287 287 100 440 99 Minneaste 81 B1 100 117 104 89 Mississippi 37 37 100 975 736 75 Missouri 142 140 99 49 49 100 Montana 4 4 100 144 139 97 Nebraska 29 29 100 27 21 78 Nevada 5 5 100 170 149 88 New Hampshire 32 32 100 1,189 994 84 New Jersey 199 198 99 42 41 98 New Mexico 5 5 100 4,257 3,983 94 New York 936 912 97 554 489 88 North Carolina 141 138 98 20 20 100 North Dakota o o 2,051 1,764 86 Ohio 505 487 96 325 303= 93 Olrlahoma 56 56* 100 310 295 95 Oregon 55 55 100 2,311 100 Pennsylvania 638 625 2,311 98 352 305 87 Rhode Island 85 78 92 170 158» 93 South Carolina 99 99° 100 26 26 100 South Dakota 5 5 100 517 432 Blu Tennessee 92 88 96 1,008 7340 73 Texas 125 124# 99 44 EL 100 Utah 10 10 100 74 69 93 Vermont 12 12 100 367 346 94 Virginia 111 111 100 452 370 82 Washington 74 74 100 314 220a 70 West Virginia : 77 77* 100 680 496 73 Wisconsin 154 154 100 23 23 100 Wyoming 4 14 100 2 20 100 Alaska 3 30 100 52 49 94 Railroads 115 109 95 28,965 25,540 88 Total 6,314 6,175 98 Treasury Department January 8, 1943 Data are for December 26, insamuch as no January 2, report was received. Regraded Unclassified 130 TREASURY DEPARTMENT INTER OFFICE COMMUNICATION DATE January 8, 1943 TO Secretary Morgenthau FROM Mr. Heas 901 Subject: Recent Changes in Prices and Yields of Government Securities. During the week ended last night, prices of Govern- ment securities were strong with advances ranging up to 13/32 in the case of the taxable 2-1/4's of 1952-55. All sectors of the market participated in the rise except the shorter-term partially tax-exempt bonds and the 1943 maturities of taxable and tax-exempt notes. Prices of issues in these categories were generally firm, however. The regular weekly offering of bills was awarded at an average rate of 0.357 percent, slightly less than the average rate of a week ago. Yields of outstanding certifi- cates either showed no change or declined. The comparison of present prices and yields with those prevailing on September 1 in Table II shows that prices of practically all taxable notes and bonds are currently above their levels of that date, while prices of most tax-exempt securities are lower. Yields are generally lower now than on September 1 except in the case of the longest-term par- tially tax-exempt issues. As explained in previous memoranda of this series, Table III, which compares yields on the basis of the September 1 pattern of rates -- 1.e. allows for issues "rolling down" the curve -- gives the best comparison of the real change in the market since that date. Reference to the last column of this table will show that the taxable market is now slightly stronger and the tax-exempt market slightly weaker than on September 1. Purchases of Government securities by the Federal Reserve System totaled 3355 millions during the week. This amount included $341 millions of bills and $14 millions of partially tax-exempt issues. Sales aggregated 8381 millions, and con- sisted of $361 millions of bills, $6 millions of the taxable 2-1/2's of 1967-72 and $14 millions of partially tax-exempt bonds. Bill maturities totaled another 844 millions so that the net decrease in the portfolio was $70 millions. Attachments Regraded Unclassified 131 Table 1 Price and Yield Changes of United States Securities December 31, 1942 to January 7, 1943 (Based on ROAD of closing bld and asked quotations) I Prices Tields Security : Dec. 31, 1942 Jan. 7, 1943 : Change Dec. 31, 1942 Jan. 7. 1943 : Change (Decimals are thirty-seconds) (Perosnt) TAXABLE SECURITIES Bills Average rate last Issue , - - .36 .36 .00 Certificates 5/6% 2/1/43 - - - .36 -35 -,01 .65 5/1/43 - - - ,52 .58 -.02 7/8 8/1/43 - . - 99' 89' ,00 7/5 11/1/43 - . - .78 .78 ,00 7/8 12/1/43 - - - .83 .80 -,03 Taxable Notes 3/4% 3/15/43 100.02 100.02 .00 .41 -,02 1/6 9/15/44 99.21 99.26 +.07 .96 .53 -,13 1-1/4 3/15/45 100,04 100.10 +.06 1.19 1,10 -,09 1/4 12/15/45 98.31 99.09 +.10 1,11 1.00 -,11 1 3/15/46 99.03 99.12 *.09 1.29 1.20 -,09 1-1/2 12/15/46 100.01 100.08 +.07 1.49 1.43 -.06 Taxable Bonds 25 3/15/48-50 101.07 101.15 +.08 1.75 1.70 1-3/4 6/15/48 100.07 100.12 +.05 1.71 1,68 -.05 2 6/15/49-51 100.20 100.27 +,07 1.90 1.06 -.04 2 9/15/49-51 100.16 100.23 +.07 1.92 1,69 -,03 2 12/15/49-51 100.14 100.20 +.06 1.93 1.90 --03 2 3/15/50-52 100.10 100.18 +.06 1,95 1,92 -.03 2 12/15/51-55 100.07 100.16 +.09 1.97 1,94 -.03 2-1/2 3/15/52-54 103.20 103.30 +.10 2,07 2.03 -.04 2-1/4 6/15/52-55 101.08 101.21 +.13 2.10 2.06 -,04 2-1/2 3/15/56-58 103.05 103.17 +.12 2.22 2.19 -,03 2-1/2 6/15/62-67 100.06 100.14 +.06 2,49 2.47 -.02 2-1/2 12/15/63-68 100,15 100.18 +.03 2.47 2.47 ,00 2-1/2 9/15/67-72 100.24 100.30 +.06 2.46 2.45 -.01 TAX-EXEMPT SECURITIES Sholly Tax-exempt Notes 1-1/8% 6/15/43 100.11 100.10 -,01 -35 ,40 +.05 1 9/15/43 100.15 100.15 .00 .32 ,31 -,01 1-1/8 12/15/43 100.24 100.24 .00 +33 .32 -.01 1 3/15/44 100.23 100.24 +.01 .40 .36 -,04 3/4 6/15/44 100.13 100.16 +.03 .47 .40 -,07 1 9/15/44 100.25 100.30 +,02 .48 .44 -,0% 3/4 3/15/45 100.16 100.20 +.04 ,52 .46 -.06 Partially Tax-exempt Bonds 3-3/8% 6/15/43-47 101.10 101.08 --02 .42 .49 +.07 3-1/4 10/15/43-45 102.00 102.00 .00 .67 .63 -.04 3-1/4 4/15/44-46 103.06 103.06 .00 -74 -72 -.02 & 12/15/44-54 106.05 106.04 TO"- .80 .50 .00 2-3/4 9/15/45-47 104.25 104.25 .00 -95 -94 -,01 2-1/2 12/15/45 104.14 104.14 .00 -97 .96 -,01 3-3/4 3/15/46-56 106.17 106.17 .00 1,03 1.02 -.05 6/15/46-48 106,21 106,21 .00 1.03 1.02 -.01 3-1/8 6/15/46-49 107.01 107.01 .00 1.04 1,04 .00 8-1/4 10/15/47-52 113.29 114.00 +.03 1.24 1.22 -.02 2 12/15/47 103.30 104,05 +,07 1.18 1,13 -.05 2-3/4 3/15/48-51 107.06 107.09 +,03 1.31 1.29 -.08 R-1/2 9/15/48 106.14 106.16 +.02 1.32 1,31 -.01 2 18/15/48-50 103.20 +,08 1,36 103.20 1.38 -.04 3-1/8 12/15/49-52 110.11 110.14 4.03 1.55 1.33 -.02 2-1/2 12/15/49-53 2-1/2 105.30 106.04 +.06 1.59 1.56 -.03 9/15/50-58 2-3/4 6/15/51-54 106.10 106.14 *,04 1.82 1,61 -,01 107.30 9/15/51-55 4.06 1,74 108,04 1.71 -.03 110.01 1.75 8-1/4 1,74 12/15/51-53 110.05 +,04 -,01 104.19 104.30 +.11 1.69 1.65 -,04 2 6/15/53-55 B-1/4 6/15/54-56 103.05 103.15 +.10 1.67 1,64 -,03 2-7/8 104.23 105.00 +.09 1,79 1.77 -,02 3/15/55-60 B-3/4 109.02 109.11 4.09 2,03 2.01 -,02 2-3/4 6/15/50-63 108.10 108,18 4,08 2,05 2.03 -,02 108.12 2.11 8-3/4 12/15/60-65 105.20 4.06 2,09 -,02 108.31 109.07 4,08 2.15 2,13 -,02 Treasury Department, Perision of Research and Statistics. January Tr 1943, Regraded Unclassified 132 Table II Price and Yield Changes of United States Securities September I, 1942 to January 7, 1943 Issues outstanding on both dates only Based on oren of closing bid end asked cootetions) 1 1 Prices Yielda Security : Bent. 1, 1942 =+ : Jan. 7, 1943 1 - = 1 Change Sept. 1, 1942 Jan. 7, 1943 Change (Decimals are thirty-meconds) (Percent) TAXABLE SECURITIES VIID Averuge rate last IDQUE - . - 47 +36 -101 Nertificates 5/0% 2/1/43 - - - -52 -35 -17 7/4 8/1/43 - - - .76 .68 -.08 Insuble Notes 1/4" 3/15/43 100,03 100.02 -.01 -57 ,41 -.16 3/4 9/15/44 99.17 99.28 +.11 .98 -63 -.15 9/4 18/15/45 99.01 99.09 4.06 1.05 1.00 -,05 1 3/15/46 99.05 99.12 +.07 1.24 1.20 -.04 1-1/7 12/15/46 100.05 100.08 +.03 1.46 1.43 -.03 Insable Bonds 7/15/40-50 101.05 101.15 *.10 1.75 1.70 -.08 , 6/15/49-51 100.11 100.27 +,16 1,95 1.86 -.09 9/15/49-51 100.08 100.23 +.15 1.96 1.89 -.07 FY 18/15/49-51 100.06 100.20 +.14 1.97 1.90 -.07 12/15/51-55 100.02 100.16 +.1% 1.99 1.94 -.05 161/2 3/15/52-54 103.23 103.30 +.07 2.07 2.03 -.04 11-1/4 6/15/52-55 101.00 101.21 +.15 2.12 2.06 -.06 1/2 3/15/56-58 103.03 103.17 +.14 2.23 2.19 -.04 1-1/2 6/15/62-67 100.13 100.14 +.01 2,47 2.47 .00 P-1/2 9/15/67-72 101.06 100.30 -.08 2.44 2,45 +.01 TAX-EXEMPT REQURITIES Bolly Tax-exaunt Notes 1-1/c% 6/15/43 100.20 100.10 -,10 -33 , HO *,07 L 9/15/43 100.22 100.15 -.07 -33 -31 -.02 1-1/6 12/15/43 100.30 100.24 --06 .39 .32 -.07 1 3/15/44 100.25 100.24 -.01 .49 -36 -.13 1/4 6/15/44 100.14 100.16 *.02 .50 -40 -,10 1 9/15/44 101.01 100.30 -.03 .49 .44 -.05 1/4 3/15/45 100.16 100.20 +.04 .55 -46 -.09 [ertially Tax-exempt Bonde 1-3/8% 6/15/43-47 102.05 101.08 -1.00 .50 .49 -.01 3-1/4 10/15/43-45 102.28 102.00 -.28 .66 .63 -.03 3-1/4 4/15/44-46 103.28 103.06 -.22 .83 .72 -.11 L 12/15/44-54 106.29 106.04 -.25 .94 .60 -.14 2-7/4 9/15/45-47 105.08 104.25 -,15 -99 .94 -.05 104.14 -.17 .96 .96 .00 2-1/2 12/15/45 104.31 3-3/4 3/15/46-56 109.00 108.17 -.15 1.15 1.02 -.13 6/15/46-48 106.31 106.21 -.10 1.11 1.02 -.09 3-1/8 6/15/46-49 107.01 -.12 1.12 1.04 -.08 107.13 4-1/4 114.28 114.00 -.28 1.24 1.22 -.02 10/15/47-52 2 12/15/47 104.09 104.05 -.04 1.16 1,13 -.03 3/15/48-51 107.10 107.09 to:- 1,37 2-3/4 1.29 -.08 106.16 -.12 1.31 1,31 .00 2-1/2 9/15/48 106.28 2 12/15/46-50 104.06 103.28 -.10 1.30 1,32 *.02 3-1/8 12/15/49-52 110.19 110.14 -.05 1.56 1.53 -.05 2-1/2 12/15/49-53 106.04 -,05 1.56 106.09 1.56 -.02 2-1/2 9/15/50-52 106,20 106.14 -.06 1.62 1.61 -.01 2-3/4 6/25/51-54 106.12 108.04 -106 1.72 1,71 -.01 110.15 110.05 -.10 1.74 9/15/51-55 1.74 .00 2-1/4 -.03 1.66 12/15/51-53 105.01 104.30 1.65 -.01 2 6/15/53-55 103.15 103.15 .00 1,65 1.64 -.01 P-1/4 6/15/54-56 105.13 105.00 -,13 1,74 1.77 4.03 2-7/8 3/15/55-60 109.11 -.23 1.97 110.02 2.01 *.04 2-3/4 9/15/56-59 109.10 105.16 -.24 1.99 2.03 +.04 2-3/4 6/15/50 63 109.15 108.20 -,27 2.05 2.09 4.04 2-3/4 12/15/60-65 110.02 109.07 -.27 2.09 2.13 *104 Treasury Department. Division of Research and Statistics. January 7, 1943. Regraded Unclassified Table III Yield Changes of Government Securities Relative to September 133 1, 1942 Pattern of Rates September 1, 1942-Jamary 7. 1943 Issues with 3 months or more to run outstanding on both dates (Sased on woan of olosing bid and naked quotations) Estimated Estimated Security Actual yield Actual yield as of Sept.1 Change In change in yield change in yield a.e of Jan. 7 actual yield required to relative to maintain Sept.1 Dept. 1 pattern of rates pattern of rates TAXABLE SECURITIES Bills Average rate last issue -37 .36 -.01 .00 -.01 Certificates 778% 8/1/43 .76 .68 -.06 -,14 +,06 Taxable Notes 3/4% 9/15/44 .98 .83 -.15 -.08 12/15/45 -.07 3/4 1.05 1,00 -.05 -.07 4.02 1 3/15/46 1.24 1.20 -.04 -.07 +.03 1-1/2 12/15/46 1.46 1.43 -.03 -.06 +.03 Taxable Bonds 2% 3/15/48-50 1.78 1.70 -.08 -,05 -.03 2 6/15/49-51 1.95 1.86 -.09 -,03 -.06 2 9/15/49-51 1,96 1.89 -.07 -.03 -,04 2 12/15/49-51 1.97 1.90 -.07 -,03 -,04 2 12/15/51-55 1.99 1.94 -.05 -.02 -.03 2-1/2 3/15/52-54 2.07 2.03 -.04 -,02 -,02 2-1/4 6/15/52-55 2.12 2.06 -.06 -,02 -.04 2-1/2 3/15/56-58 2.23 2.19 -.04 -,01 -.03 2-1/2 6/15/62-67 2.47 2.47 .00 -,01 +.01 2-1/2 9/15/67-72 2.44 2.45 +.01 -,01 +.02 TAX-EXEMPT SECURITIES Wholly Tax-exempt Notes 1-1/8% 6/15/43 -33 .40 +.07 -.07 +,14 1 9/15/43 -33 .31 -.02 -,07 +.05 1-1/8 12/15/43 .39 .32 -.07 -.06 -.01 1 3/15/44 .49 .36 -.13 -.05 -.08 3/4 6/15/44 .50 ,40 -,10 -.05 -.05 1 9/15/44 .49 ,44 -.05 -.04 -.01 3/4 3/15/45 .55 .46 -.09 -.03 -,06 Partially Tax-exempt Bonds 3-3/8% 6/15/43-47 .50 ,49 -.01 -.10 +.09 3-1/4 10/15/43-45 .66 .63 -.03 -.09 +,06 3-1/4 4/15/44-46 .83 .72 -.11 -.05 -.03 & 12/15/44-54 .94 .80 -.14 -.07 -.07 2-3/4 9/15/45-47 .99 .94 -.05 -.06 +.01 2-1/2 12/15/45 .96 .96 .00 -,06 +.06 3-3/4 3/15/46-56 1,15 1.02 -,13 -.05 -.08 3 6/15/46-48 1.11 1.02 -.09 -.05 -,04 3-1/8 6/15/46-49 1,12 1.04 -,08 -.05 -.03 4-1/4 10/15/47-52 1,24 1.22 -,02 -.05 4,03 2 12/15/47 1.16 1,13 -,03 -.04 +,01 2-3/4 3/15/48-51 1.37 1.29 -,08 -.04 -.04 2-1/2 9/15/48 1.31 1.31 .00 -.04 *,04 2 12/15/48-50 1.30 1.32 +.02 -.04 *.06 3-1/6 12/15/49-52 1.5m 1.53 -.05 -.03 -.02 2-1/2 12/15/49-53 1,58 1.56 -.02 -.03 +.01 2-1/2 9/15/50-52 1.62 1.61 -.01 -.03 +.02 2-3/4 6/15/51-54 1.7# 1.71 -.01 -.03 +.02 3 9/15/51-55 1.74 1.74 .00 -.03 +.03 2-1/4 12/15/51-53 1.66 1.65 -,01 -.03 +.02 2 6/15/53-55 1.65 1.64 -,01 -.02 +.01 2-1/4 6/15/54-56 1.74 1.77 +.03 -.02 +.05 2-7/8 3/15/55-60 1.97 2.01 +.04 -.02 +.06 2-3/4 9/15/56-59 1.99 2.03 +.0m -.01 +.05 2-3/4 6/15/58-63 2.05 2.09 +204 -.01 +.05 2-3/4 12/15/60-65 2.09 2,13 +.04 -,01 +.05 Treasury Department, Division of Research and Statistics. January 7, 1943. Regraded Unclassified 134 MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY. January 8, 1943. Mail Report This week saw 8. great up-swing in fan mail, and the subject of taxes far out-balanced any other. In the same way, the Viotory Tax dominated this section of the mail very nearly to the complete exclusion of general income tax. There were many specific inquiries which required factual replies. These letters were more evenly divided between Victory Tax problems and general income tax cases. So far as comments went, however, the mail brought repeated protests against the Victory Tax, against methods of collection, and against specific examples of unfairness or apparent discrimination. The last of the week brought reactions to the Westbrook Pegler article. There were so many comments that separate pages are given in the following abstracts to: Victory Tax Unfavorable, Including Support of Pegler; and Protests Against Pegler's Statement. Every mail brought copies of the clipping without any letter or the name of the sender. There were frequent marginal notes such as, "The Secretary should read this."; "Shame!" and so on. Including these anonymous mailings, the proportion of communications pro-Pegler was easily 10 to 1. There were 8. number of letters protesting the col- lection of the Victory Tax on any part of the 1942 salary, forwarded by Senators, Members of Congress, and the White House. Scattered through this mail were B. number of pro- tests from conscientious objectors, plaintive letters from small businessmen, eto. There were 20 letters favoring B. pay-as-you-go plan, about half specifically approving the Ruml Plan. Regraded Unclassified 135 - 2 - Memorandum for the Secretary. January 8, 1943. Six letters opposed this general idea. There were 51 communications containing questions regarding future tax measures, and 8. number of miscellaneous suggestions, both for collection and for modification of the law, Many taxpayers suggest 8. discount for payment in full on March 15. The spending tax and excess profits tax on individuals received scattered endorsements, while the sales tax is opposed 3 to 1. The Bond mail brought out no new point of view. There were a number of warnings that exorbitant taxes would force the writers to sell their Bonds. 25 Bonds were submitted for redemption, 4 coming from Patchogue, New York. Only 3 correspondents reported instances of excessive cashing of Bonds, 2 of these coming from Philadelphia. Three letters approved the elimination of the Bond ownership certificate. A number of persons reported unintentional overpurchase of Series E Bonds. In several cases the trouble was brought about by the receipt of Bonds as Christmas gifts. Bond collecting has entered 8 new phase as 8. hobby, since B few persons have written of thar plans to collect Bonds issued in each of the 48 States. Complaints reached & new high -- 65 in all. The War Department still figures in more than 50% of these "kicks". In the general mail the subjects of inflation and Government economy were rarely mentioned. Seven letters outlined plans for prepayment for post-war purchase of durable goods. There were scattered protests of charges for cashing Government checks; the usual lottery letters, frequent suggestions for penny seals; and many ideas about new coins. During December, mail forwarded from the White House took a decided drop. There were 535 letters sent us, of which 264 could be taken care of in this Division. The mail in general reflected the same subjects -- the Victory Tax, requests for help in securing War Bonds, etc. The lowest December was that of 1939, with 346 letters, the highest, the December following Pearl Harbor -- 833. Gabratte E Fortual Regraded Unclassified 136 General Comments A. K. Samelian, Rochester, Minn. This letter is being addressed to you because I believe you will comprehend its message better than any other official I could send it to. When in Robert College I had the pleasure of hearing your father speak in chapel. As a little boy, he had impressed me as 8. fine man and through all these years my opinion of him has not changed at all. I am an Armenian, born and raised in Bulgaria. Since 1919 I have lived in the United States. I became 8. citizen in 1926. I have taught in public high school three years. I have 8. Masters degree from Northwestern University, and have had fifteen years of retailing experience. # # * I have specialized in Economics and Sociology and have been an ardent student of politics. If you need my services, I shall be glad to hear from you. Bruno J. Antolini, Rutherford, N.J. I have followed with great interest your comments recently published in the newspapers on the question of "Post-War Install- ment Buying", as suggested by Mr. Nugent. Your objec- tions to this plan seem to me to be very sound. Because of these objections, I am taking the liberty of enclosing herein a copy of & letter addressed to Senator Wagner, and dated February 11, 1942, -- incidentally, receipt of this letter has never been acknowledged. Irving D. Bernstein, N.Y.C. It seems to me that there is one source of copper not yet touched and that is the untold quantity of foreign coinage now in possession of American citizens. This coinage is of the fractional variety and is seemingly practically valueless. I know that the few coins in my possession are of little monetary value. # I would be more than willing to donate these to our Government for whatever use could be found for the non-ferrous metals they contain. In addition, I am certain that thousands of Regraded Unclassified 137 - 2 - other citizens would be glad to perform the same service. *** Many of these foreign coins are triple the size of our smallest currency value. It is sug- gested that our Post Offices be used 8,8 the collection centers, and transmit these coins to the Treasury Department direct. Though small quantities have little or no value, the collection of large quantities should be safeguarded. The Post Offices would seem to be the logical candidate. # # # J. A. Hamilton, Mannington, W. Va. Enclosed I am sign- ing over to you 8. very small check from B. small farmer in a small community in & small state, not in 8. spirit of 8. grouch, but I thought it was B. better tire than that or I would have tossed it upon the village junk- pile. It would necessitate a 15-mile trip to the bank to get it cashed, which I cannot afford at this time of year. (Check for $0.20) I enjoy farming when I can, but owing to my advanced years, low blood-pressure and lack of help, I am afraid I shall not be able to B.C- complish much this year. Philip E. Hamilton, Attorney-at-Law, Beaver Falls, Pa. You may not realize it, but it would be much better to stop the O.P.A. before the O.P.A. stops the U.S.A. At the rate things are now progressing, it will not be long now until asinine administrators will have the affairs of this country in B. state of absolute chaos. Possibly that is what seems desirable to official Washington. R. H. Freeman, Cash Economy Wholesale Grocery Company, McKenzie, Tenn. We have your letter of December 28, postmarked from Chicago, wanting to know all about our Bond sales for December. We appreciate the enormous task you are faced with but, Mr. Morgenthau, you have no idea the work that is imposed upon us by the various Governmental Agencies, with all sizes of questionnaires and inventory information and almost everything else one can conceive of. We are good Americans and are not Regraded Unclassified 138 - 3 - in particular bellyaching, but man alive, if this thing would be run some way or other without all of these questionnaires and inquiries, we sure would appreciate it. We are going to string along, though, and be a good soldier, and when we do not like our lot, we will simply have to kick up about it. You have got B. big job and you have our sympathy, but, for Heaven's sake, don't ever get the idea that we fellows out in the field have any gravy train. Understand the Treasury Department is vital and essential, but looks to us like a lot of these other Bureaus and Agencies are just a plain hell of 8 come off. We are good Democrats and went straight down the line for Franklin D. three times, so if we had 8. hand in helping him in, we believe that we have the right of expressing an opinion. Regraded Unclassified 139 Favorable Comments on Bonds Mrs. Thomas A. Baggs, Washington, D. C. Ithes occurred to me that it might not be 8. bad idea to have some kind of a War Savings Stamp equal to the value of what it generally takes to finish up a book of stamps to pur- chase 8. Bond, viz: $2.50. With that lump sum in 8. stamp, it might make the purchase more immediate. * Have had my brain at work on the name for the stamp along the idea of "finisher upper" or "now-a-bond" neither of which are of course suitable. But maybe one of your bright advertising young men could think of something. + Is this not in line with your campaign to make people finish up their books as announced in this morning's paper? Oscar A. Bigler, Long Beach, Calif. It is self-evident that an income tax must be paid out of the income on which it is levied. Part of my 1942 income was paid to me in War Bonds. I therefore plan to pay my 1942 income tax with cash and Bonds, in proportion to the amount of each which I received as income. Since I understand that the Bonds will not be acceptable in payment of income taxes, I will be compelled to convert the requisite amount of them into cash. # I believe that most taxpayers would hold their Bonds if they did not have to report them as income until they were con- verted into cash. Another way to make the Bonds more attractive would be to permit the payment of income taxes in Bonds, in proportion to the extent to which the taxpayers' incomes had been received in, or con- verted into, such Bonds. The method used to make the plan operative could be similar to the one used in the case of the $25,000 salary limitation. First, Mrs. Roosevelt would suggest the plan in her "My Day" column. Mr. Roosevelt would then express his approval of her judgment by ordering Mr. Byrnes to make it effective immediately. This would prevent the irritating delay which might retard constructive action if the plan were submitted for Congressional debate and approval. Regraded Unclassified 140 5 Tom. C. Gooch, The Daily Times Herald, Dallas, Tex. I want to congratulate you on the great success of your Bond issue. I believe one of the reasons is that the people have great faith in you and your organization. # I believe that your understand- ing of the public mind and your organization, with men like Guy Helvering and scores of others, is the answer to your success in a very difficult post. E. L. Winnett, Beverly Hills, Calif. Somewhere in your files you should have 8. record that the under- signed subscribed to purchase & certain amount of Stamps and Bonds. As one of the Minute Men, I entered my own subscription, but the purchases are far behind schedule. # # # Since Pearl Harbor I have spent at least one day a week on Air Raid duties. # * My family doesn't hoard and they all saved rubber at the expense of shoe leather long before the gas rationing went into effect. # I practice law and devote no little time to gratuitous advice to men in the armed forces and defense workers. 4 # For twenty years I worked in E large machine manufacturing plant, closely connected with transportation. # # # I entered the plant as 8. factory helper and left as general manager. This was five years ago when I decided to return to the law, which I had given up in order to join the Canadian Army in 1917. During my years in this plant I worked both in the office and in the plant itself. I became familiar with bench work, stockroom organization, saleamanship, estimating, drawing contracts and speci- fications, cost accounting and labor contacts and relations. With the war, my specialized practice of business law almost ceased to exist. Naturally, I made application for employment in the many new Govern- ment Departments. I filled out form after form. In addition, I have made application for work in various defense plants; also filling out the usual forms. To date, every one of these applications have been turned down. $ # * They all contain the same vital question: "Have you ever been arrested?" Unfortunately, I am obliged to say, "Yes". Some years back, during the Regraded Unclassified 141 - 6 - height of my prosperity, I managed to be arrested 8. number of times. The hometown police, most of whom I knew by their first names, did not hesitate to "tag" me whenever I set out to paint the town red. # # * Today I found out for the nth time that another applica- tion form had been pigeon-holed. Hence, on my small law practice, I cannot buy Bonds. In the interim I have acquired another aptitude. I have become a form expert and am constantly filling out forms for those who, as they put it, "might as well take a fling at one of these Government jobs. It can't do any harm". # # # I note that nearly all of these applicants are successful. I have not had a drink for El number of years. I hold an honorary appointment as special coordinator of the County Inebriate Court. I conduct classes on alcoholism and have helped innumerable defense workers and Govern- ment employees of high and low rank to overcome the liquor habit. I have acquired prestige enough along this line to be asked to address medical societies. * # I am sincere in saying that I regret my inability to meet my pledge, but you may be assured that I consider that as an obligation to my country which will be ful- filled at the first opportunity. It is not an exaggera- tion to say that at the present time, rent and groceries are B. decided issue in my household. Regraded Unclassified - 7 - 142 Unfavorable Comments on Bonds Quinn Rhoads, Sacramento, Calif. On December 1, I went to work for Morrison-Knudsen Company, Inc., General Contractors, on contract #758, Sierra Ordnance Depot, Herlong, Calif. On December 12, I was called into the office, along with other workmen, and told that I could not work for Morrison-Knudsen "another minute" unless I bought B. $25 Bond every two weeks. I was told by a representative of the company that the Government was behind the "pressure" and Morrison- Knudsen was forced to discharge those who refused to buy Bonds, or the company could get no more contracts from the Government. I refused to buy Bonds under pressure and was discharged at once. Since your office is responsible for the sale of War Bonds, it is up to you to do some explaining. (Morrison-Knudsen address, P.O. Box 2468, Reno, Nevada.) Mrs. Betty Knight, Empire Mutual Insurance Company, Phoenix, Arizona. # # # I am one of the millions who listened to the exhortation over the radio, in the press, by word of mouth to Buy Bonds -- Buy Until It Hurts. And why not? What better investment is there? And for those of us who are not fortunate enough to serve our country in E. tangible fashion, by joining the armed forces, the purchase of Bonds offers 8 way to do our bit. # # * So I started to save my nickels and dimes, first through the purchase of Defense Stamps and then converting them into Victory Bonds. Finally, few days before Christmas, I had accumulated $18.75 in Stamps and money, and started proudly forth to one of the local banks. $ # * After standing in line for at least a half hour, when I finally inched my way to the cashier's window, I was greeted with the doleful news -- "We are all out of Bonds. Sorry". *** I wasn't ready to quit. Surely, I said to myself, the Post Office, a branch of the United States Government, will be able to take care of me, but again I was mis- taken. I was told by the clerk at the Post Office Regraded Unclassified 143 8 - that because part of my purchase price consisted of $5.00 in Defense Stamps, and the remainder in cash, they could not sell me a Bond. I wended my way back to my office, sadder and wiser. Then I decided to tell my story to you in hopes that steps would be taken to make a recurrence of my frustration impossible. Miss Cora Campbell, Boulder, Colorado. A month ago I wrote to the U. S. Treasury, asking how our error in buying too many Series E Defense Bonds could be rectified. No answer received, up to this date. Are there not enough clerks in Washington to answer more promptly? David W. Zwibel, McKeesport, Pa. Enclosed is the let- ter you sent me December 8, 1942. Almost a month has gone by now and I have heardnothing from the War Bond Division, War Department. They have not acknowledged my letter or communicated with me in any way. I am, of course, more interested in receiving my Bonds than their communications. Will you please bring my case to the attention of Mr. Morgenthau, or must I write the White House? E. F. Hartley, Manager, The Greenfield Times, Greenfield, Ohio. We have donated more advertising space to the war cause than any paper in the State of Ohio, con- sidering the size of the town. We have backed and put over every Government drive, and are very proud of our Bond sales. With E. population of 5,560 in the town- ship, our sales are hovering around the million dollar mark. Do we get credit on our income tax report for these donations? Government agencies have not been fair to the smaller newspapers. Advertising and public- ity are very essential to the war effort, and after all, it is the local papers and homefolks that put over the various drives in their communities. Due to the limited number of business houses, and the scarcity of merchandise local advertising has dropped off 70%. 4b 44 # We are un- able to get sponsors for Government advertising. It is Regraded Unclassified 144 - 9 - true that we have three factories employing approximately 1,500 people, but only one doing war work, and they are not sponsoring any advertising. The burden has fallen upon this paper, and 30 far we have done a good job. Can we continue? We don't know -- paper allotments are being cut, and we have sent three men to the Army and due to lose two more key men via the draft within next few weeks. Replacements cannot be made. Anonymous (Connecticut), quoting the phrase, "As one American farmer writing to another", says, There is only one farmer, and he is the one who depends on his farm for living and profit. You are not a farmer, Mr. Morgenthau. You hold 8. high Government, well-paid position, so don't try to tell someone who really knows farming the hard way. The United States took both my sons (draft), and large quantity of my crops of past season remain in ground, no help to harvest. Looks now as if I had better do as lots of other farmers are doing, go to work in a factory. I did not even break at par past year. My profits and some of costs are still in the ground -- rather expensive fertilizer." Edith A. Catlow, Chatham, N.J. There is a rumor abroad in the land that War Bonds listed in the name of the purchaser only, cannot be included in one's estate and passed on to the beneficiary under the will, but will finally revert to the Government. I suspect that this is sabotage, as such 8 practice on the part of the Govern- ment would be decidedly dishonest. Will you kindly write me to the effect that this rumor is not true? # # * Regraded Unclassified - 10 - 145 Favorable Comments on Taxation Mrs. Howard H. Welker, Ashland, Wisconsin. Why not compel possessors of free railroad transportation to add the value thereof, when used, to their taxable income? The travelling many of these people do is disgraceful, and an imposition on those who have a legitimate reason for using our overburdened trans- portation system. For example, one person, employed in Chicago, takes a train almost every Saturday night, spends Sunday in northern Wisconsin, and returns in time for work on Monday morning, and that week-ender is only one of scores who do likewise. The fare in that one case is around $20 for the roundtrip. At that figure, the annual expenditure for 20 trips is $400 at least (and more than that are made by the employee I refer to) -- 8. not inconsiderable sum to be added to the taxable income if that could be done. Railroad employees bitterly resent any suggestion that they are no more entitled to free rides than a clerk is entitled to free groceries from his employer's shelves, or 8. hoister on the dock to free coal. They insist that their free transportation is a part of the "wage" which they earn. So be it! That merely proves my point. The travelling they are doing without paying fares is a thing of value, according to the mileage covered. Why should not such fare be computed and added to the wage-receipts and taxed as any other income earned? The tax thus derived by the Government would be quite 8. sizeable one, and I'll venture the guess that much congestion on the railroads would be relieved were such a ruling promulgated. ### E. E. Buchanan, Jr., Elmira, N. Y. I want to compliment you for eliminating Form 1000, Ownership Certificate. It is 8. pleasure to see action and not talk. It is a patriotic duty to cut red tape -- please keep the good work up -- don't stop here. Regraded Unclassified - 11 - 146 Unfavorable Comments on Taxation C. W. Martin, Greencastle, Ind. I travel con- siderably and during the last three weeks have had an opportunity to get a fair cross-section of the United States East of the Mississippi, and the im- pression I gain of the Treasury's certain difficulty in collecting the money to which the new income tax law entitles it, makes me sick. A vast number of people who are fairly well informed, and know what the law is, have no intention of filing 8. return, on the fairly sound theory that you can't put everybody in jail. Another large body of people who have B. right to pay income tax under the new law are entirely igno- rant of its provisions, have no record of their income, and have no way of raising the money to pay the tax, even if they knew the amount. I am 8. Republican, and would not be averse to seeing this Administration embarrassed, but on no account would I see it embar- rassed at any cost to the Country, and though I have ample income tax notes, and to spare, to pay my own taxes due in 1943, I am morally certain that your financial house of cards is going to come down around your ears unless you can prevail upon Congress to im- mediately enact some form of legislation that will collect the money you have & right to, before it gets into the hands of the taxpayer himself. William Ernest Hocking, Professor of Philosophy, Harvard University. The mounting income taxes are being met for the most part by people of mounting in- comes. *** There is, however, 8. class of people whose incomes are not mounting, and that class deserves 8 moment of your thought. I am referring to the class of teachers, scholars, religious leaders, to some ex- tent artists -- in general, those who have given their lives to intellectual or artistic pursuits with the prospect of B. bare living in ordinary times. It is their satisfaction to constitute a good part of the flame of a civilization while they are active, and to transmit the spark of genius to the young. When they are hit either by inflation or extraordinary taxes, they have no defense. # # # Some of them, especially Regraded Unclassified 147 - 12 - those about to retire, will face an old age of actual physical hardship. # # There is no reason, however, why some one of them should not call attention to their plight, and raise with the administration the question whether it wishes the operation of 8. just general rule to bear so hard upon this class of public servant. Winfield L. Shaw, Bradford Farm, New Boston, New Hampshire. About three years ago I took the liberty of writing you to express the hope that the Treasury would try to avoid "heads I win, tails you lose" characteristics in its tax legislation. At that time, I was concerned at the trend widened in the Capital Gains and Loss Sections. Now I am writing you again in an effort to help by re- porting what seems & rather violent protest. You do not know of my past record as one of the earlier Labor managers in America, but I could show you evidence that I have been B. pioneer in much of what the New Deal stands for. * # % I have just spent a week in Boston, have talked with many business leaders and men and women in various walks of life. # It was the unanimous opinion that the sections of the 1943 tax law relating to trusts, trustees, powers of appointment, were very badly drawn. There was utter confusion everywhere. No one could say whether Congress or the Treasury should be blamed for the unfairness of this legislation. * + # However, every one felt that even if Congress had drawn the law they had probably worked under the guidance of inexperienced lawyers from the Treasury Department. + +> # Trusts and trusteeships are inherently long term -- run back for many years -- were often drafted in best of faith -- for purposes which even a radical would consider praise- worthy. # # I found the best and most progressive legal firms frankly telling clients the law, as written, was badly drafted -- evidently by persons with little experience in trusts and trust law -- hence, lawyers frankly unable to interpret new law or its application, unable to secure help from the Treasury. Clients angry and jittery -- protesting advice to delay, pending clarification. Trustees resigning right and left. Lawyers admitting it unwise for any one to accept trusteeships. the # One woman, aged 58, after being forced to resign as a possible future co-trustee with Regraded Unclassified 148 - 13 - Trust Company, and after learning that her entire estate might be wiped out at her death by two trustee- ships # + said, If the new deal wants to create a socialistic economy, I don't object to trying it out. But why upset all the plans of our generation for Social Security under a different system -- and made in good faith. This legislation should have been drawn to cover trusts created after January 1, 1943". *** A. B. Guthrie, Jr., President, Lexington Public Forum, Lexington, Ky., in sending copy of letter to the Kentucky Internal Revenue Office, explaining that he cannot separate records of two months, because of form in which turned over to him, says: I am enclosing a copy of G. letter sent to me by the Kentucky Internal Revenue Office, together with my reply to it. No further recital of the circumstances seems necessary, since the letters are self-explanatory. I do want to say, though, that this senseless insistence on red tape and the high- and-mighty attitude, herein reflected, of public servant toward the public must be offensive to all good Americans. Fred E. Moore, Jr., First Vice President, Lenape Pressing and Forging Company, West Chester, Pa. During 1942 we were one of the many defense plants who said, "Let's win the War and stop talking about tax reserves". We took this attitude because the Army, the Navy, the Mari- time Commission, Lend Lease, and other Government Agencies pleaded with us for greater and still greater production. But greater production meant more square feet of factory space and more machines. # # Well, the increases in floor space and the machines took the lion's share of profits and the money that we should have set aside for tax payments. Please, do not think that we regret our actions. We feel proud of our accomplishments, but what bothers us now is how to pay the taxes. If & "pay- as-you-go" plan is to be incorporated, we simply couldn't stay in business and pay two years' taxes in one. In fact, we'll be down to pork and beans to pay the 1942 taxes. Isn't there some way to help the defense plants that gave their all for Victory? Why not let us Regraded Unclassified 149 - 14 - figure out our 1942 tax bill and if we are a defense plant, deduct the ratio between plant improvements and total profit? For example, if we made $100,000 profit and our improvements were $100,000, there would be no tax to pay. If our improvements were only $25,000, we would have a 25% tax deduction, etc. This would have theeffect of helping those who helped Uncle Sam, and it would help all companies in proportion to their all-out War effort. The concerns that sat tight and ignored the pleas for greater production would be without tax relief. * * * Regraded Unclassified 150 - 15 - Unfavorable Comments on Victory Tax, Including Letters Agreeing With Westbrook Pegler. Walter W. Baese, West Allis, Wisconsin. The attached article by westbrook Pegler expresses my thoughts far more clearly than I could say them myself. If you have not already read this article, would you kindly read same, and tell me if this is Democracy at its best, and if it is, is it worth fighting for? The return to the Treasury from this petty larceny will be peanuts compared to the loss of respect and the tendency to recoup the steal by means fair or foul in future tax returns. I would greatly appreciate an explanation of the difference in principle of Hitler's methods of confiscation and your arbitrary ruling. I presume in times like this, that it is necessary for me to add that I am an American citizen, which in a way, gives me the somewhat doubtful privilege of asking embarrassing questions from public officials. H. L. Adler, Fresno, Calif. I have been studying the provisions of the new Victory Tax law. *** I am amazed that you are making the same mistake in regard to those remittances as you did in connection with the Social Security Act -- that is, employers to remit only quarterly. With several thousand small firms closing monthly (and several hundred thousand scheduled to, by July 1 next -- the Government's own estimate) you people have not con- sidered how many of those never will remit the deductions they forced their employees to submit to. You will lose all such, and the fault will lie in Washington. *** So long 8.8 each employer deducts these amounts each week, or each two weeks, he should also be compelled to remit promptly at the end of each such period. *** Every such employer, knowing in advance that he must close within a short time, will pay on his most pressing obligations with whatever funds he has available, and if the Victory funds happen to be the only ones at the im- mediate moment, he will use them, and, at the end of that quarter, you will be "out of luck", and wholly to blame. *** Regraded Unclassified - 16 - 151 Justus A. Deahl, Route 4, Tunnelton, W. Va. According to this evening's broadcast by Lowell Thomas, the 5% Victory Tax is to be taken from all payments of money received in January - even though some twenty million laborers in this country are taken advantage of. You realize that all laborers are paid twice monthly and that all money they earned since December 15th will be taxed 5% above the twelve dollars per week. Surely Congress never intended this procedure. The masses of us understand that we will have to pay the Victory Tax on all money earned after December 31, 1942. # * George Kimble, Jamaica, N. Y. # # It would seem that any pay received after December 31, 1942, would be sub- ject to 5% Victory Tax, *gardless as to when, or for how long & period of time this was payment for. Now, I happen to receive a pay check on or about January 15, 1943, for the whole month of work of December, 1942. Why must I pay for one whole month which is not assessed to those on 8. weekly pay schedule? the I do not be- lieve that there are any persons who object to paying B. tax, but they all insist on fair treatment. We are asked, and justly so, to buy Bonds, conserve, pay taxes, donate and sacrifice, and work long hours, but we insist on fair treatment. A. W. Peterson, Comptroller, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wis. I take the liberty of writing to you in the absence of President C. A. Dykstra, who would want you to know personally about the confusion that has been created by the ruling of the Treasury Department regard- ing the collection of the new Victory Tax on salaries earned in December, 1942, but not paid until January, 1943. # # Practically all State of Wisconsin employees, except those employed at the University, will have re- ceived their December salaries prior to January 1, 1943. University employees receive their checks after the first of each month only because the mechanics of pro- cessing payrolls make it impossible for the State Treasury to issue all State checks before the end of the month. If the Victory Tax is collected from one Regraded Unclassified 152 - 17 - group of employees on December earnings and not from others, only because the mechanics of processing pay- rolls happens to delay the delivery of checks, there is obvious unfair discrimination. *** The following comments are from a copy of a letter ad- dressed to Congressmen Leonard W. Hall by the West Hempstead Civic and Taxpayers Association, Franklin Square, Long Island: In view of the proposal of Secretary Morgenthau to undertake to collect, at the source as provided by law, the 5% tax on all wages earned during the closing days of the present year, if not actually paid until after December 31, we are today writing the Treasury Department to condemn this arbitrary interpretation of this law, and we hope the Congress will act at once to stop Mr. Morgenthau in his tracks. # * Herman Heintz, North Tonawanda, N.Y. I had served 36 years with this city, Police Department, retiring in 1938 with a pension of $990 per year. This so-called Victory Tax of 5% is grossly unjust in my case, and hundreds of other retired police officers in this state. We are only receiving one-half of our former salary, and our part of this Victory Tax should be only one- half of the 5%. During our last period of depression myself and others of our Police Department were forced to contribute back to our City Welfare Department, 15% to help those that were unemployed and on relief in our city. Today, men that were on city relief are drawing from $70 to $90 per week. To those men the Victory Tax is deemed 6. just tax, but for retired members, especially police of ficers whose sworn duty always was to enforce City, State and Federal laws, the 5% is unjust -- it should be only 21%. Regraded Unclassified 153 - 18 - John H. Levering, Philadelphia, Pa. *** I reside in Philadelphia and am 8. Pharmacist, doing a day's work in different stores. Some of the stores are located in Philadelphia, but to complicate matters, the other stores where I work are located in Camden, N.J. - - another Revenue District. The pay I receive is less than $12 in any one store, but the total amount is more than $12 per week. Where shall the Victory Tax be paid? When shall the Victory Tax be paid? Then once in awhile it is true for just one week, the total amount in one store may be more than $12. No doubt each Collector will rule differently. May I have 8. definite ruling that will settle all difficulties that are bound to arize? My thought is for me to pay the Victory Tax myself, monthly, between the 1st and 10th, at the Philadelphia, Pa., Post Office. Let the New Jersey Collector of Revenue Keep Out. % # A. S. Hedigler, San Anselmo, Calif. The ruling on 1943 tax assessments on December, 1942, wages paid after December 31, is a wholly unwarranted and aggra- vating imposition on both taxpayers and collection agencies. I am expressing this opinion to our Senstors. Rembert Gilman Smith, Tulsa, Okla. Re: Westbrook Pegler. You should do one of three things: 1. Prosecute Pegler and the papers that carried this article for libel, and prove the falsity of his charge. Privilege to criticize public officials does not include the right to call them thieves if they are not. 2. Return to all taxpayers the amounts they paid on earnings in 1942, the law applying only to earnings beginning on January 1, 1943. 3. Resign your office. # # It gives me great grief, and anxiety for my children and my grandchildren, to witness the moral sabotage now being perpetrated by officers of the present Administration. Regraded Unclassified - 19 - 154 Letters Attacking Westbrook Pegler Copy of letter addressed to Westbrook Pegler by Nathan Burn, Brotherhood of Railway end Steamship Clerks, Jersey City, N. J. -- Before you turned from an anti- Axis to an anti-Administration fighter, I used to enjoy reading your columns. Then you found it profitable and enjoyable to become a leading Tory, and 80 you have used your talents to vilify, magnify out of proportion, and to distort the truth so as to destroy confidence in our leaders and institutions. Your column of Jan. 2 is an example. At 8. time when people must be educated to the need for sacrifices, you call the Victory Tax 8 plain case of larceny, because of a fancied error of judgment on part of the Treasury Department in taxing wages earned in 1942, but payable in 1943. Speaking from my own knowledge of the application of this tax, wages earned in the second half of December, 1942, which are payable on January 11, 1943, will not be sub- ject to the Victory Tax. # # * I suggest that you cease sniping at the United States Government and declare war on the Axis instead. Harry Geballe, San Francisco, Calif. I take the liberty of enclosing an article by columnist Westbrook Pegler. # * As 8. self-respecting citizen of this Republic, and a supporter of its Government, I trust I am safe in assuming that neither you nor your Department will allow such assertions to go unchallenged. I would deem it a distinct favor if I could be advised of what action is taken. With my best wishes for the coming year and assurances of my highest regard. W. L. Hand, President, Hand Products, Pell Lake, Wis. Will you please tell me how it is possible for 8. man to sign his name to an article such 8.8 the enclosed, at B. time when the rest of the people all over the country are doing everything possible to try and keep our people Regraded Unclassified 155 - 20 - united? # # * Why is the not just as much of a saboteur as some of the ones being prosecuted for less? # # # If we have done wrong in taking this 5% Victory Tax the last week or so of 1942, let's show some reason why we have done it, if we are within our rights. Let's prosecute Pegler at once. Why do we have to stand for him causing so much idle talk? # * * Our F.B.I. certainly does not have to go very far in this case to find 8. man that scorns our Government. In all my life, this is the first time I have ever read anything in the daily press that was as brazen as this article. * * If I were in any city in the United States and heard a man make a re- mark like this, I would at once call the F.B.I. head- quarters and report him; at that, only one would hear it. However, this man makes it and probably seventy-five million people read it and believe me, it hurts. # # Let's don't let him call our Government thieves when our soldiers, sailors and marines, and our citizens are all living in the best country on earth and we all seem to enjoy it, except him. Regraded Unclassified 156 JAN 8 - 1943 Dear Dr. Kung: I would like to express BY appreciation for the kind invitation to visit China contained in your letter of November 11, 1942. I am looking forward to the time when a decrease in the pres- sure of duties and activities permitsme to visit your country, in which I have always been deeply interested. with regard to your request for suggestions which would better your efforts to maintain the soundness of your finances, the Treasury is prepared, as in the past, to cooperate fully with your Ministry. As you know, the Treasury has been confer- ring with Mr. Hsi Te-mou on matters which you have raised. with best wishes for the New Year. Yours sincerely, (Signed) H. Morgenthan. Jr. Secretary of the Treasury. Dr. H. H. Kung, Minister of Finance, Chungking, China. 287 HDW ISP/efs 1/5/43 FILE COPY Regraded Unclassified 157 MINISTRY OF FINANCE. NATIONAL GOVERNMENT. CHINA. PERSONAL Chungking, November 11, 1942. The Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Jr., Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, Washington, D.C., U. S. A. Dear Mr. Secretary, It has been a pleasure for me to re- oeive your personal letters on various convenient occasions and I wish to thank you for your thought- fulness. I read the news with interest that you had made a trip to England recently in con- nection with Allied war efforts. I am wondering when it will be our good fortune to have you visit China, as you know it takes but a few days by plane to get here from America. Should you decide to have a little change of air or a person- al investigation of the conditions here, I need not tell you how warmly you will be received by us. We are appreciative of the sympathetic and generous assistance you have given to China. I shall welcome any advice or suggestions which Regraded Unclassified 158 MINISTRY OF FINANCE. NATIONAL GOVERNMENT. CHINA. - 2 - The Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Jr. you think will further better our efforts to maintain the soundness of our finances. I am taking this opportunity to men- tion to you that Mr. Hsi Te-mou, who is now in Washington, is & representative of both the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of China. I hope you will make use of his services because he is familiar with the present economic and financial conditions in China. With best regards. Yours sincerely, E. H. Kun BECEIARD Insured Thesent S.S. 2030 to actività dossess Я Regraded Unclassified 159 NOT TO BE RE-TRANSMITTED COPY NO. 13 BRITISH MOST SECRET U.S. SECRET OPTEL No. 9 Information received up to 7 A.M., 8th January, 1943. 1. MILITARY TUNISIA. 6th. Enemy counter attacks forced British units to withdraw to their former positions from the ground above JEFNA and from other positions on high ground west of MATEUR which had been captured on the 5th. RUSSIA. In the Middle and Lower DCN Sector the German forces contained in the salient in the great DON Send are being increasingly threatened by Russian advance on their Northern flank near MOROZOVSKAYA which has reached n point on the reilway 15 miles further westwards and on their Southern flank by an advance about 40 miles westward of TSIMLYANSKAYA. An early withdrawal of these forces is therefore probable. 2. AIR OPERATIONS WESTERN FRONT. 7th/8th. 22 bombers were sent to ESSEN. Landing reports not yet received. FRENCH NORTH AFRICA 5th. 10 JU 88's bombed an airfield at YOUKS LES BAINS. Some petrol and stores were destroyed. 5th/6th. Liberators hombed the harbours at TONIS and SOUSSE. 6th. Escorted U.S. Bostons and Marauders made three attacks on a military camp and ruilway yards at KAIROUAN. Hurricane bombers effectively attacked gun batteries near MATEUR. At night Wellingtons bombed and started large fires at SOUSSE. SICILY. 7th. Spitfires successfully bombed the Licata Sulphur Factory. Factory buildings, a railway and other buildings were hit. LIBYA. 6th. 3 out of 30 M.E. 109's which attacked & landing ground near TAMET were destroyed by anti-aircraft fire. Regraded Unclassified PESTRICTED Sinveu of Intelligence 160 OFFICE CF WAE INFORMATION M-2/09 Bullstin of Intelligence Projects Number: = 201 Fortnight - January 8, 1943 Studies completed December 24 - January A Subject Dascription 1. Report from the Nation (Confidential) A summary of findings of people's reactions to all phases of the war sinus Pearl Harbor, 2. The Public Looks at Manpower A nationwide survey of public re- Problems, (Confidentiel) actione to the manpower problem, covering attitudes toward labor obortages, employment of woman and aliens in var production Indus- tries, government control In vital areas, and the general conception of the U. S, public ae to the problema involved in effective pros ocution of this phase of the WAP -- their satisfaction with or oriti- clam of the present system. 3. Was Information and the Changing A study of changes in attitudes Outlook toward Russia and *oward Russia and England with re- England. (Confidential) lation to their knowledge About 18 var and in terms of the changing tide of events during the past sey eral months. 4, Public Opinion After Two Weeks A measure of the change in attitude of Nationwide Gasoline Bationing. of people after initiation of the nationwide mileage rationing pro- gram to discover the degree of acceptance of 1+, with specialized interviews in critical areas where there had been considerable opposi tion before its institution. (Re- ported in Intelligence Report #561 5. Manpower Stabilization Agreement A survey of labor attitudes toward in Detroit. (Confidential) the new stabilization agreement established in Detroit. (Reported in Intelligence Report #56) X-8461 Regraded Unclassified 161 2- 5 - M-2620 6. An Experiment in Protecting. A description of the techniques used studing Hearing Completion (Cont'&) in developing e set of Instructions (Confidential) TOP Mar Ration Book No. 2 ta meet 3. An Investigation of the dogree TO which the public Teela surfeited with the problem of obtaining maxima war-related radio program. public understanding. 4. A trend report on related attitures toward the var, 5, à andy designed to hring up to date previous information on public obstacles is numbers of Division's Invelli- Compilation of people's reactions to to the ecoeptance of the mileare rationing program. Interials on Food Retion- the whole problem of food rationing, 6, Prport on public reactions to the food retioning program. ins. (Confidential) their satisfaction or dissatiafaction 7. Baport on American attitudes about the United Rations. with ito present handling, their a. Report DE public reactions to the Provident's address to Congress. general acceptance of the plan, (Po. 1. Proor resetion and treatment of the Vice Prepident's recent appeches, of the ported In Infelligence Report 1961 Provident' press conference on post-var plans, of the President's address to 18, Navagepor Comment on casoline Analysis of preas treatment of the 10, Report Congress, from floid representatives on resctions in STAAB to the its clarelant, Detwort, subject of gacoline rationing in for Prevident's ageech. Indianapolis, St, Louis (Com specific areas with a yiew to compan- 11. An analysis of the efficacy of the redio program, beand en the ing remotions in two cities where sunitoring of Philadelabie radio stations, opposition to the program visa strong yo, two otties where there vale general acceptance. (Reported in Intelligence Continuing Services Espart (56.) % Intelligence Report (weekly - Confidential) 1. Editorial Reaction to Cocoline Media analysis of reactions to the 2, Weekly Media Report. (Reatricted) Rationing fred Delinber 1 to whole program of graoline rationing 5. United Nations Intelligence Dignot (weekly - Confidential) December 15. (Coufidential) during title period. (Reported in ** United States Statements (verily For Administration the Intelligence Report W55) 2. Summary and Atalysis of Feature Motion Pictures (verily - Reatricted) 5. Rewaredle and CWI Compulate und Programs (Monthly - Rectricted) 10, Confidence in "Washington" An analysis of the nature ané extent (Confidentlal) of criticism directed en the Covern- smill conduct of domontic affuire to determine the degree to which dis- constitutes general Requeste for thene reporto should be mile in writing to Mied V, L. distructs Station, Room 5427, Social Security Building, or last toleghone to extraction 71248 [Nations] War Agencies). Where ngtza copied are / collection of recent runora ob the not available, the mater file copiès my be referred to within ii, HUMBER on Manpower. (Confi- current manpower problem, the short- the central offices, Bureou of Intelligence, Bose 5427. dental) agrin which and attiltudes toward 1% handling. 12. Participation in the A atudy of people to buying habita in Program. (Confinantial) commention with the War-Savings Prom exam, their reacona for purchase of VISI bonda and stampe, the antivations behind their purchases, along with etudy of the untapped potential for promulgation of future Studies Nearing Completion 1. A. report. un the shipbuilding Industry, dauling with labor attitudes and 2. A study on public understanding of the Government's anti-inflation program. the causen of absentraism. x-8461 %-8461 Regraded Unclassified 162 1.8.43 INTELLIGENCE REPORT 57 INTERNATIONAL III \ 5 A OF A A THE 3 N a $ V 1 % I W 1 1 $ OFFICE OF WAR INFORMATION BUREAUOF INTELLIGENCE COPY No. 7 Henry Morgenthau, Jr Regraded Unclassified CONTENTS Page EDITORIAL ATTITUDES I Prescription for Congress I White Paper 3 Prophecies : 3 POPULAR REACTIONS 4 Size of The Army 4 Man power Mobilization 5 Prime Problem 7 DEVELOPING SITUATIONS 8 Enforcement of Nationwide Mileage Rationing 8 The Fuel 011 Program in Operation 9 Regraded Inclassified EDITORIAL ATTITUDES PRESCRIPTION FOR CONGRESS Editors have become somewhat uneasy about the Intentions of the new Congress they helped to elect, They want the Legislature, rather than the Executive, at the helm of the ship of state. But they do not want to see the ship wrecked again on the rocks of Isolationism. As members of the 78th Congress gathered at Washington, news pages blossomed with think-pleces predicting that a coalltion of Republicans and conservative southern Democrats would wrest control of national affairs from President Roosevelt. Congressional Investigations of New Deal programs and policies were forecast. Leading New Dealers, It was prophesled, would be called up on the congressional carpet, within limits, this sort of heckling seems entirely agreeable to the press. Many newspapers reasoned, as did the Kansas City Star, that "This new Congress is going to Washington with the opportunity and duty of re- establishing a badly disturbed balance in national government. It will have the opportunity of re-establishing popular respect for the legis- lative branch of that government." The phases of Government policy which commentators most frequently pre- scribed for congressional action were fiscal affairs and regulation of labor. The press, during the last week, vehemently renewed Its demand for modified taxation. The Ruml plan, or some variation on the pay-as- A summary of investigation and analysis you-go theme, came in for a fresh round of applause. conducted for certain OWI officials, is- sued for OW I and the interest of other Governmental expenditures and the size of the federal bureaucracy were members of the Government. set forth by numérous commentators as fit subjects for congressional pruning. Senator Byrd's strictures on extravagance were roundly en- The period covered by this report is the week of December31 through January6, ex- dorsed. The press looks forward rather gleefully to a stringent con- ceptwhere otherwise specifically stated. gressional audit of all Government outlays. - - Regraded Unclassified Much aditorial comment also urged a congressional crsck-down on labor WHITE PAPER and a general overthrow of the Administration's "pro-labor" policy. The State Department's White Paper was received with a puzzled shak- The Cleveland Plain Dealer charged that the Administration has "held Ing of editorial heads, Almost all commentators agreed that It made out consistently against any legislation restricting the rights of the Pearl Harbor disaster seem more mysterlous than ever, As the organized labor... and despite the lip service It has paid to over-all Christian Science Monitor put 11, "The White Paper does not explain wage cellings Its agencies find excuses almost dally for authorizing Pearl Harbor, If anything, It makes that disaster less comprehensible, wage Increases." especially for Americans who supposed that their leaders did not cal- There was some fear, however, this the new Congress might go too far culate on a Japanese attack so far from Japanese bases and At so along these desired lines. The Scripps-Howard papers declared: "Some strong B point as Pearl Harbor." members will seek not merely to correct the errors and excesses of an There was some division of opinion among the commentators over the executive branch too long and too strongly dominant, but to deprive extent to which the White Paper vindicated State Department policy. the President of necessary powers. Others will want not morely to Some felt that the document proved that our diplomats had adequately correct the errors and excesses of organized labor, but to hametring warned our soldiers. Others argued, on the other hand, that It re- unions; to destroy price controls and risk disastrous Inflation In the vaaled only a clumsy Inability to understand the plain Implications name of helping the farmer; to make political capital out of public of Axis behavior. Almost all were perplexed by American unprepared- dissatlsfaction with flaws In the administration of essential ration- ness In the face of such abundant information about enemy Intentions, Ing programs; to encourage public resistance to necessary sacrifices." PROPHECIES There was even greater fear that the Congress might not confine Its opposition to the domestic domain. Warning against congressional Commentators were Inclined to chide Admiral Halsey for tempting fate abridgement of the reclprocal trade agreements program, the Baltlmore by the outright prediction of victory In 1943 which he made last week. Sun pointed out that "We shall have need for instrumentalitles of this The Baltimore Sun observed, "All sorts of people have been making all kind in the post-war world, for when hostilities cease and the work of sorts of predictions ever since the war began, Now and then one la reconstruction begins, It will be necessary to provide for the full- justified by the event; but the characteristic feature of prophecy In est possible exchange of goods and services between the nations." general, with regard to this war, has been Its prevelling Insccuracy." Considerable apprehension was aroused by rumors that "isplationIsts" The prevailing judgment was that the American public lacks the stamina' In the new Congress might attempt to overthrow the President's lend- to withstand good news. As the St. Louis Post-Dispatch put it, "With lease powers, which expire In June, "Lend-lease," warned the Phila- many citizens, such words will Inevitably have an affect just the op- delphia Record, "Is one of the major weapons counted upon to fortify posite of that on the distant fighting men, eager to get back to their the peace, AS well as win the war." homes, These confused citizens will ask themselves why, ++ the war will be won so soon, must they deprive themselves of things they have The prevailing feeling among editorial commentators appears to be a always had - why rationing, why discomforts, why war bonds, why the dealre to have the President checked but not to have him checkmated. Victory tax. The entire war effort can be seriously jeopardized and Regraded Unclassified the war Itself prolonged if any such attitude becomes widespread." Interviewing of a national sample In late October and early November But though they decried official optimism as a tonic for the public, within a fortnight after atatements by Secretary Stlmson and General the commentators were patently optimistic themselves, They listened Marshall outlining the Army's present and projected size, to the recent speeches by Germany's Hitler and Japan's Tojo and Found them, on the whole, very good for our side, Edwin L. James, writing The size of the Army on October 14, as announced by Secretary Stimson, in the New York Times, sald of Hitter that "his bombastic declaration was 4,250,000. Only about one-fifth of the public was able to esti- of Friday was entirely lacking In algnity; It is an allbi, followed by mate Its numbers with any accuracy. Two-flfths were unwilling to a feable promise of eventual victory made at a time when the Russlan hazard even a guess. armles were Inflicting a heavy defeat on his armles In the East and ABOUT HOW MANY MEN DO YOU THINK THERE ARE IN OUR while an African second front was growing In power and potentiality." ARMY NOW? JUST YOUR BEST GUESS. General Toja's address was treated somewhat more cautlously. Commenta- Less than 3,000,000 10% 3,000,000 to less than 4,000,000 19 tors took up the General's assertion that the "real war Is starting 4,000,000 to 4,250,000 13 Over 4,250,000 and less than 5,000,000 e from now on." Some sald this Indicated that the Japanese would hance- 5,000, and over 17 Don't know 42 forth be on the defensive. Such Interpretations were frequently AC- companied, however, by cautions similar to that expressed In the There was equal uncertainty concerning the projected size of the Army Loulsville Courler Journal: "The Japa will not surrender they must for 1943. Secretary Stlmson had announced a figure of 7,500.000 to be exterminated There Is little reason for the hopeful vlaw that be reached by the end of the year. One-flfth of the people Inter- the end of the confilct is in sight, It has hardly begun." viewed anticlpated an Army of 10,000,000 or more. And, again, nearly Although most newspapers expected 1943 to be a year of allled offen- two-flfths were unable to offer any estimate. alvas and seemed extremely hopeful about their outcome, they were FROM WHAT YOU HAVE HEARD, ABOUT HOW LARGE AN ARMY WOULD YOU SAY WE ARE NOW PLANNING TO BUILD BY THE careful to avoid predicting victory within the year's apan, They END OF 19437 conscientiously cautioned their readers against overconfidence, Less than 7,000.000 11% while themselves exuding It In almost every paragraph. 7,000,000 to less than 7,500,000 13 7,500,000 to less than 8,000,000 12 8,000,000 to less than 10,000,000 8 10,000,000 and over 19 Don't know 37 POPULAR REACTIONS MANPOWER MOBILIZATION SIZE OF THE ARMY The public appears to be thinking In terms of a large Army, but It Is even more keenly aware of the need for maintaining a labor force ade- The public, as A whole, is not well informed either as to the current quate to America's role as the "arsenal of democracy." As previous- size of the United States Army or as to the rate at which its expansion ly reported In these pages, the public is more prone to favor expan- Is planned during the next year. These conclusions emerge from the sion of the labor force than to favor expansion of the Any at this time, - a Regraded Unclassified GRANTING THAT BOTH OF THESE THINGS ARE IMPORTANT, WHICH ONE is MOST IMPORTANT FOR US TO DO RIGHT receptivity to some over-all plan for the federal mobilization of NOW INCREASE THE SIZE OF OUR ARMED FORCES OR TACREASE - THE NUMBER OF WORKERS IN WAR JOBS? manpower. Any specific national service act would, of course, an- counter opposition from the groups and Individuals directly affected Increase eize of armed forces 22% 40 by It. Increase number of workers Both equally Important 25 13 Don't know Manpower controls would have to be accompanied by clear explanations of their effectiveness In advancing the war effort and by firm 15- Sentlment for expanding the labor force, even at the expense of the surances to labor that the customary freedoms and collective bargain- armed services, was particularly strong among those who were dis- ing procedures would be fully restored after the emergency. satisfied with the progress of production. Among people who felt that our war production program was proceeding "only fairly well" PRIME PROBLEM or "poorly", 47 per cent considered It more Important to Increase the number of war workers than to build up the Army. Only 37 per Trial tabulations of a Gallup Poll, the results of which have not yet cent of those who believed production to be proceeding "very well" been released, indicate that the American public tends to approach made a similar choice. present and future problems largely In economic terms, A, mational sample was asked to give free answers to the question, "Aslde from A Gallup Poll conducted In December indicates that about two-flfths winning the war, what do you think Is the most Important problem fac- of the public now thinks "there is a shortage of workers to war plants Ing this country today?" The answers, grouped under general cate- in Inls country." More than half of the public serms disposed to gorles In the table below, show that people were much more prone to support drastic governmental allocation of the available manpower think In terms of economic, than In terms of political, readjust- supply: ments. DO YOU FAVOR OR OPPOSE GIVING THE GOVERNMENT THE To solve the economic situation, to RIGHT TO TELL WORKERS WHERE TO WORK AND AT WHAT JOBS? (Gallup Poll, December) bad depression, to get the war paid for prevent Inflation, to prevent another without serious effect on our currency 14% Favor 56% Oppose 35 To make a lasting peace a permanent Don't know 9 12 world peace About a third of the public, however, belleves that the Government Food shortage here and abroad problem of producing more food - stepping up already has authority to undertake this sort of manpower allocation. 10 agriculture DO YOU THINK THE GOVERNMENT HAS THE RIGHT AT THE Preservation of our democracy, to have a PRESENT TIME TO REQUIRE A PERSON TO TAKE ANY JOB more Ilteral democracy, to malntain our ANY PLACE IN THE COUNTRY? (Gallup Poll, December) present form of government during the readjustment period, to save our nation from bureaucracy, to prevent dictator- 9 Yes 32% ship, to avoid fascism No 49 Don't know 19 Conditions after the war, reconstruction e Considered together, these findings suggest considerable popular of the world, atc. 7 - 6 Regraded Unclassified The present labor problem - the manpower IF PEOPLE HAVE A CHANCE TO GET MORE GASOLINE THAN shortage - scarcity of farm labor - THEY'VE BEEN ALLOWED, 00 YOU THINK THEY SHOULD? proper distribution of manpower 8% OLD NEW A Job for everyone after the war, to pre- RATIONED RATIONED vent future unemployment, to be sure the AREA AREA men In the services get jobs after the war 7 E.N. W.N. Central Central South West Should 18% 19% 22% 17% 33% To put through social reforms - Improve Should not 77 70 70 77 62 situation of the poor - - reduce raclal Don't know 5 II B 6 5 discrimination 4 That denial of the need for mationwide gasollme rationing Is an Impor- Winning the war la the only important problem, there Is no other problem 5 tant factor In Influencing people to condone evasion Is indicated by the fact that: Other answers 17 18 per cent of those who do consider nationwide Don't know 12 gasoline rationing necessary, but 54 per cent of those who do not see the need for nationwide gas rationing. think people should take advantage of opportunities to get more gas than they have been allowed. with large sections of the population In some areas unconvinced of the DEVELOPING SITUATIONS necessity for mileage rationing, and with both widespread anticipation of chiseling and a strong tendency to condone it, the difficulties fac- ENFORCEMENT OF NATIONWIDE MILEAGE RATIONING Ing enforcement are obvious. They can be overcome only by persistent Informational efforts to clarify the purposes of the program and by firm The Amarican public is still far from fully convinced elther as to assurances that enforcement will be effective and equitable. the need for nationwide mileage rationing or as to the efficacy with which the rationing program is being enforced, In the parts of the THE FUEL OIL PROGRAM IN OPERATION country which have had considerable experience with gasoline ration- Ing, a fifth of the people are still unconvinced that It is necessary Now that winter and a fuel all shortage are actually upon them, Ameri- on a national scale, A third of the people In the newly rationed cans are adjusting to the situation with considerable Ingenuity, But states doubt the need for such a program. recent letters from social workers and other regular correspondents of the Bureau Indicate that they are not denying themselves the luxury of About half the population throughout the country, moreover, believe a certain amount of grumbting, and In some parts of the country there people are trying to get more gasoline than the mileage regulations is real anxiety about the months ahead. Allow them, Depending on their section of the country, from one-fifth to two-fifths of all persons eyen refused to say that people should Shutting off rooms and using supplementary heating wood, gas, coal, not take advantage of a chance to get more gasoline than rationing electricity - are the most common measures for beating the fuel all allots them, shortage. Many people are also keeping temperatures lower and Install- - 9 - 8 Regraded Unclassified log Insulation or weather stripping. Other expedients Include: dressing with them saparately?" more warmly, keeping shades and curtains drawn, turning off the heat when leaving the house or going to bed, leaving windows shut at night, Any aspect of the administration of fuel all rationing which sug- providing less hot water In apartment houses. gests Insptness or bungling la subject to bitter sttack. Fallure to revise population quotas since 1940 has perhaps caused greatest anger. Relatively few people have heeded the admonitions of Government spokes- In Norfolk, whose population has nearly doubled since 1940, it is men to convert all stoves and furnaces to coal. Some who have wanted reported that there was a near riot about a month ago when people to do so have been balked by shortages of lator or equipment. For low were first told that there was a certain deadline for securing ker- Income people the cost Is prohibitive. If the gravity of the altuation osene rationing cards and then Informed that there was an Inadequate had Been better appreciated, however, some correspondente believe that supply of the cards. more people would have found a way to change over, In aplte of ob- stacles. The "highly theoretical nature of the formula which leaves no dis- cretion to local boards" also gives rise to some criticlsm. One The crisis Is creating some new problems. The care of old people, In- correspondent writes: valida and children, In homes which are too cold some or all of the time, is perhaps the gravest, Low Income groups are resorting to "There is considerable confusion as to how quotas were reached. Some people report little reduction "perking the kids" with neighbors In some Instances, A few commun - In oll, others report large reductions. Nobody seems to know why they got what they got," tles have opened public buildings to take care of families without sufficient heat, There are also some complaints that rationing is not administered In such a way as to assure equality of sacrifice. A few people maintain In scee places, too, there Is real discomfort, and even suffaring, and that "the big fellows" - Government buildings and the larger hotels considerable analety about the future. In New England the situation and apartment houses - are still estravagant In their use of fuel. Is especially acute. The people In low-Income groups, who depend on range oll-burning stoves for their heat, are reported to be suffering There was recognition that people's complaints about rationing arise most, New Englanders generally face the rigors of deep winter with In part as a result of their natural Irritation over the discomfort apprehension. Throughout the nation there Is widespread anxiety about It entells. The Government, the correspondents felt, should Issue the danger of colds and pulmonary infections. more material emphasizing the fact that the present situation Is regrettable, but unavoidable, and stressing the relation between There Is some disposition to put the responsibility for this feared compliance with regulations and winning the war. wave of Illness upon the Government, In general, there Is a good deal of grumbling. Many people have the feeling that wise anticipatory plan- ning could have eased the present situation. The unfinished plpe line is frequently referred to, People maintain that the present crisis la partly the result of the Government's placemeal attack on economic problems. "If fuel 011, gasoline, price control and transportation are all parts of the same problem," one person asks, "why do we dest - Il - 10 Regraded Unclassified Supreme Court of the United States glany cres Mashington,D.C. D. Dra Henry- Isuare a deasted friew- and Lave long Keesion. " was Kend of you to dene with the gutter press's reference bang brother and 9 for beling meabout ch. Ene gard N. 164 BUY WAR NAVY DEPARTMENT EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WASHINGTON January 9, 1943 The Honorable Henry Morgenthau, Jr. Secretary of the Treasury Washington, D. C. Dear Henry: I an, sorry you are still knooked out. We missed you at dinner the other evening. I know you would be interested in talking with Lemaigre-Dubreuil who was Murphy's opposite number in making all the arrangements for the North African expe- dition. He is a curious fellow. A conservative business man of wealth who was the President of the French Tax Payers League. As such, he fought all our friends like Herriot, Daladier and Blum, but that has not prevented him from playing a most patriotic role. He is taking the plane back to North Africa on Monday or Tuesday and is, of course, eager to meet you before he leaves. If you should be well enough to leave your house I would be delighted if you could have tea with him at my home either today or tomorrow, Sunday. Will you let me have a word? My private telephone number is ADams 1234. Good luck to you. Bill WM C. BULLITT Regraded Unclassified 165 Jan. 9, 1948 Mr. Paul Secretary Morgenthau Would you please let me have your reaction to the following suggestion: That the Government forgive any member of the armed forces for that amount of his net income tax for 1942 which exceeds one-third of his pay. I would also like to suggest that if any member of the armed forces is killed in action during 1943 his family should not have to pay any income tax for 1942. Please let me have a memorandum on these two sugges- tions promptly. Intlinans memo of 1/11/43 referred to Pank for consideration. 1/16/43- Followed up mith Hayr 8/35/43- Fib Panl talked to Kijs - is apposed to suggestion 4/1/43- Regraded Unclassified 166 January 9, 1943. MEMO RANDUM TO: Secretary Morgenthau FROM: Mr. Schwarz 00 SUBJECT: President's Budget Seminar, Saturday, January 9, 1943 - 10:30 A.M. In his Budget Seminar today President Roosevelt said that his new objective was to pay for one-half of the war costs out of current Government receipts rather than one- third, 88 would be the case on the basis of present legis- lation. He called for taxes and savings, or both, to provide those receipts. Asked if he thought that addi- tional taxes should come primarily from individuals rather than from corporations, the President replied he would not say that. The President said he had wanted to be more specific on the matter of increased taxes and increased savings, but felt that these goals could be attained in a number of ways. He declared that the present system of voluntary savings was working well and, in answer to questions, said that a spendings tax might be snother possibility for increased revenue and savings. He asserted that he could not go into that tax very fully because there were several forms of it and that Dan Bell only the other day had re- ported that 8. brand new form of spendings tax was being discussed. The President said he is still opposed to B. sales tax, but then added that he sometimes wonders in our present system of excises whether we don't have B. general sales tax with exemptions. The President agreed with the interpretation of his call for making taxes on large incomes fully effective 8.8 being directed at the loopholes provided by tax-exempts, depletion reserves and community property laws. -o00- Regraded Unclassified 167 Page 1 FEDERAL RESERVE OPERATIONS IN GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 167 Column A shave Federal Insure Marketable Insure: sperations Ln willions of Market purchases 1/ Special stin-lay certificates 3/1 dollars as follows: Market sales Net Incruss, Calem I show grien theages is you +6 Not decrease for all overities ascapt certificates. Direct Maturities purchases free Treasury 1 1 for carilficates, Selain 3 above Field changes is decisals. STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL last Week Nonday Tuesday Velnestay Thursday Priday Seturday Inter fair West Dec. 26 29 X 31 As. 1 full Vest Description 2 Monday Tranker Tednesday Terriday Priday Saturday A 3 & 1 A 3 1. - A - à 1 à Jan. la 1 5 6 T Full New E à 9 - à I. hasary 5 A E & El A y A E & 3 +86.7 +86.4 +176.5 +175.6 Markwiable Isemes: Holitay *118.6 +643.8 -19.0 -2.) -1.5 -75.3 Market purchases -33.0 -127.1 +16.8 Market sales 17.5 -58.4 +153.4 -131.1 -15.3 -37.4 -60.1 -123.6 +318.8 Direct purchases free Pressury -33.2 -20.7 -10.3 -379.0 --65.6 Maturities Special one-day certificates; -04,3 -----) +71.7 48.1 +109,4 *100.3 Not change +65.6 +451.1 5989.0 Total net Increase (+) or decrease (-) -114.3 -52.6 Velandary report of total pertfolle -109.5 +120.2 +04.6 +27.1 -104.5 - 6032.0 II. Tumble securities +16.7 452.8 +164.3 Bills all lesses contined +175.6 +118.6 +598.0 +15.0 -2.3 -1.5 Market parchases -75.3 +16.8 -33.0 -127.1 +2.0 Market sales +150.5 +44.9 1 -131.1 -54,6 +37.1 +304.7 -465.6 -116,0 Maturities -26.4 -20.7 7 -10.3 -359.1 +71.7 +50.5 $57.2 *100.3 +05.6 +405.3 Tetal 241 Increase (+) ur decrease (-) -114.3 -52.6 -106.9 +124.1 -24.2 +26.8 -58.7 Certificates -5.4 -5.0 +10.4 5/ml A - 2-1 43 *2.8 +3.0 -.015 $5.8 .65 C - 5-1 43 -.02% ,01% ,02% +7.6 +7.6 7/8 1- 5-1 kg .02% -9.2 +9.2 7/8 I - 11-1 43 -.02% -.02% -.01% .01% -.01% -.03% I/S I - 12-1 43 -.01% -.01% .025 Special ana-day certificates -.018 .015 -.045 Treasury notes 11 3/4 1- 3-15 is +2 +2 " 3/4 D - 9-15 +2 -: V +1 +1 of # 10 1-1/4 0 3-15 15 +3 -1 vi +? +3 +1 # 11 3/4 +3 , 12-15 45 -1 -1 $ -2 is +3 -1 +1 12 1 A 3-15 46 4 +10 +) +1 1- +1.5 +1.0 +1 +2.5 # 13 1-1/2 12-15 46 = -10 = +2 & -1 15 Treasury bests +1 =1 12 X - 3-15 45-50 +1 = y -1 -1 +2 +2 +1 T $ 14 1-3/4 +1 - 6-15 be +1 +1 y = 14 B 11 +1 +1 +2 +1 1 2 - 5-15 49-51 2- - +1. +2 +5 10 will *1 +2 2 - 9-15 49-54 +6 In +1 +1 +1 +3 +1 1 19 2 . 12-15 49-51 : - à 32 -1 +2 +2 +2 =6 2 - 3-15 50-58 - +1 -6 12 +1 +2 +1 1- $ 27 2 - 12-15 51-55 -1 + +1 & $ 41 +1 +1 12 sa 2-1/2 & - 3-15 52-54 +3 de +3 +5 +1 +2 +1 - 32) 2-1/2 = - 6-15 52-55 +1 +3 +2 1 : +15 -1 1 of +2 of +8 135 2-1/2 $1 - 3-15 56-58 +1 & +) # +13 7 +1 ? -4 = $ 37 2-1/2 - 6-15 62-61 +1 4 +12 & +2 +) = +3 *1 +12 1 36 2-1/2 - 12-15 63-64 2 +1 +6 4 *1 +3 7 -10 3 39 8-1/2 - 9-15 67-72 +1 $ +) *1 -1.6 es -1.0 -5-6 of Dearacted securities +1.0 +1.0 07 EFC 1-1/85 7-15 01 RN 1 1. A-15 +1 +1 : COC I-1/8 G - 2-15 +2 #1 +) +5 +1 y All temble securities Marketable Insurer +45.7 -80.3 +173.3 $175.6 -118.6 0634.9 Warket perchase +1.6.# +2.0 *53.4 4150.5 -15.0 -2.3 -1.5 -15.3 -33.0 -127.1 Market sales 44.9 -131.1 +37.1 -54,6 +304.7 -120.6 Direct purchases from Treasury -27.4 -20.7 -10.3 -364.7 -$5,6 --65,6 Returities - Special can-day certificates: - Net change +TL.7 -18.0 +106.2 +100.3 +05,6 441,6 first net (+) be Secrease (-) -114.3 -52.6 -111.5 $123.1 424.2 +05.6 -104.3 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury. Division of Research and Subtotics. T Original fliguin revised. Lass than $50,000, y Purchases and salse Penerted as of day of transaction and at day of delivery. transactions after la o'clock are included 18 the sert day. U Transactions are estered as of the day following that la with they apply. signature are got available mill the following moreing. Regraded Unclassified 168 168 Page 2 FEDERAL RESERVE OPERATIONS IN GOVERNMENT SECURITIES Column A above Federal Reserve sparations is millions of Market purchases 1/ Golumn 2 slave price changes la 32als. dallars as fallows: Market sales 1/ Returities STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL last Fest Menday Tunnday Thursday Triday Baturday fale Neek Dec. 25 a & Full Yesk Index 31 les. 1 Description Monday 2. furstay theretay Priday Insurtry & = A , A 3 & 19 Jan. h A 1 & 5 1 6 7 . Fall Work & , , 1 , A . III. recritive 4 » A 1 à 3 4 , A 3 -1 Soliday Treasury notes -1 If a 1-1/85 6-15 43 -1 +1 13 1 C - 9-15 43 =1 V-1 DI 6 1-1/8 B - 12-15 43 7 -1 e +1 5 1 1. 3-15 to -1 -1 +1 = , E 3/4 A - 6-15 * +1 +1 » 7 1 C - 9-15 $ +1 F 41 13 +1 +1 I , 3/4 +1 A 3-15 45 & 2 +1 2 +1 - +1.0 7 +1.2 Preasury bonds +2,2 7 3 1 +1.0 3-3/05 - 6-15 43-47 7 +1.0 +3.0 7 7 1 2 3-1/4 - 10-15 43-15 +.7 03.7 A % +1.0 A 41.5 *Y 3 3 3-1/ - 4-15 44-46 +1.2 9,2 +1.3 -1 -1 e - - - 12-15 +.1 +,1 +5.5 +2.0 7 3 5 2-3/4 - 9-15 45-47 v.P -1 +.2 -1 +7.9 -) 3 5 2-1/2 - 12-15 w 3 7 3-3/4 - 3-15 46-56 IN 8 3 - 6-15 46-48 b 9 3-1/8 - 6-15 45-hg -1 -1 a 10 4-1/4 - 10-15 47-52 +1 -2.0 #1 +1 -1 -2.0 & +1 = of 11 2 - 12-15 47 +1 -5.5 - +3 8-3/4 =1 13 - 3-15 48-51 -11.3 +7 +1 a e 15 2-1/2 - 9-15 M +3 +1 +1 e 16 2 - 10-15 46-50 of +1 4 = & 20 EXP 3-1/8 - 12-15 69-52 +6 +1 +1 +1 +1 4 +1,0 +1.0 21 2-1/2 - 12-19 49-53 +1 +3 =@ +1.0 +1.0 . 23 2-1/2 -1 - 9-15 50-52 5 +1 2 1 3 24 3 2-3/4 - 6-15 51-54 -1 = +1 +3 11 +1 35 3 - 9-15 51-55 a +2 +1 +1 +1 +1 +1 Y 3 26 2-1/4 - 18-15 51-53 A - 5 + *10 -1 -1 M 30 2 - 6-15 53-55 +2 +3 + +1 M 3 31 11 2-1/4 +1 - 6-15 54-56 7 2. +2 $ -1 YR +2 3 32 2-7/8 - 3-15 55-50 7 +4 +3 +1 4 -1 = +2 +3 3 3% 2-3/4 +1 - 9-15 56-59 +7 +3 +g +1 -1 +2 4 . 35 2-3/4 5 - 6-15 58-63 +2 +2 -1.0 F -1 3 -1 +1 +1 36 2-3/1 - 12-15 60-65 +1 -1.0 +6 +3 3 -1 -1 +2 of securities a 1 000 3/16 7 5-1 43 o 9 THE 1-3/8 . 2-1 lab = -1 +,7 *.7 -1 0 - PRO - 3-15 lik-bg +1 -1 -1 +1 o y me 3-1/4 - 3-15 - +1 7 1 4 9 7 -1 +,9 +1.0 -1 +1.9 7 , 3 A - 5-1 these -1 +1.0 +.1 -1 o in BOLO 1-1/2 6-1 105-47 +1,1 7 +1 Be +1 i 30 tax-exempt securities +6,1 +3.2 19.3 Market purchases +5.5 +5.0 +2.9 Market sales 4.4 2 +14,1 -3-5 -3-0 Materities -5.1 -14.3 +6,1 +3.2 +9.3 Total net Increase (+) or decrease (-) - +2.0 -2.9 4,4 1.3 -.2 Office of the Secretary of the fresenry, Division of Research and Statistics. T Original figures revised. . Lass than $50,000. y Purchases and unles recorded as of day of transaction and not day of delivery. Transactions after la s'elect are Included is the next day. Regraded Unclassified CONFIDENTIAL 169 UNITED STATES SAVINGS BONDS - SERIES E Comparison of January 1943 sales to date with sales during the same number of business days in December and November 1942 (At is sue price in thousands of dollars) : January : Cumulative sales by business days Date : daily : January : December : November : January as : sales : : : :percent of December Anuary 1943 1 $ 12,810 $ 12,810 $ 4,116 $ 5,164 311.2% 2 2,812 15,621 8,605 9,272 181.5 Is 15,400 31,021 18,647 20,460 166.4 5 16,107 47,128 58,337 31,309 80.8 6 22,045 69,173 74,984 53,076 92.3 7 32,523 101,696 121,408 62,326 83.8 8 35,518 137,214 133,295 96,366 102.9 ffice of the Secretary of the Treasury, January 9, 1943. Division of Research end Statistics. Source: All figures are deposits with the Treasurer of the United States on account of proceeds of sales of United States savings bonds. Note: Figures have been rounded to nearest thousand and will not necessarily edd to totals. Regraded Unclassified CONFIDENTIAL 170 UNITED STATES SAVINGS BONDS - SERIES F AND G COMBINED Comparison of January 1943 sales to date with sales during the same number of business days in December and November 1942 (At issue price in thousands of dollars) : January : -Cumulative sales by business days Date : daily : January : December : November : January as : sales : : : :percent of December anuary 1943 1 $ 2.716 $ 2,716 $ 197 $ 303 1,378.7$ 2 319 3,036 527 1,115 576.1 4 3,101 6,137 3,214 7,846 190.9 our 5 8,683 14,820 17,161 14,720 86.4 6 3,608 18,428 29,464 31,425 62.5 7 11,298 29,726 46,986 34,030 63.3 8 17,886 47,612 49,858 43,940 95.5 ffice of the Secretary of the Treasury, January 9, 1943. Division of Research and Statistics. curce: All figures are deposits with the Treasurer of the United States on account of proceeds of sales of United States savings bonds. Note: Figures have been rounded to nearest thousand and will not necessarily add to totals. Regraded Unclassified 18 171 BRITISH air COMMISSION 1785 MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE WASHINGTON, D. C. TELEPHONE HOBART 9000 PLEASE QUOTE REFERENCE NO With the compliments of Dritish Air Commission who enclose weekly Statement No. 85 covering Aircraft Flight Delivery as et January 5, 1943. The Honourable Henry Morgentheu, Jr. Secretary of the Treasury WASHINGTON, D. C. January 9, 1943. Regraded Unclassified REF. NO. D-55 65 - T 19/3 BAC BAC BAC BAG BAG BMC-L/L L/L 1/2 1/1 Adidas 1.2. And. A.3. L/L SECRET 172 MOST SECRET THE LIB, M All TAX n. ROST. HALF. 8278.3 B2AD 8253 B25C 3261 TRANS, TOTAL WITED 20 % 174 258 239 240 278 53 55 75 3 90 4 1,485 WIDDLE BAST 5 % 92 47 R 268 AFRICA 111 m remove 72 72 ABUTRALIA 27 27 SINGAPORE 9 9 - 42 3 165 230 16 16 RIDGE 56 54 NAME 11 4 15 PUBLIC SINVICE (serigned at Montrol) 7 LOST # SEA (in flight) 1 5 2 1 8 1 ? 20 CRITISH 1 1 21 U. S. GYBRALSER 3 3 2a reste V.S. (via So. Atlentic) 18 38 Included or Cremland 2 3. , b resto Bast 2 27 2 1 X h reste Smith Africa 24 14 h sente Presteen 10 20 I I s 5 1 1 1 6 2 be verio take 1 1 2 (ea reste) 16 16 Retablishment 2 1 15 4 19 35 Montreal (s rente) 2 1 9 16 21 3 2 2 2 14 1 73 Others 1 2 , CASHOO AFTER REPORT 2 , 14 5 19 7 2 2 6 43 to serio Montrol (in 5.5.) 1 5 3 9 Goulten, No. 1 1 2 Ricel or Neet Palm Booch 2 5 11 2 20 ha recie Mismi or 1.2.3. 1 1 2 4 8 Detredt 3 13 58 4 6 if ha reto Detroit 4 4 8 Nestwillo or Hespits 5 # 50, 5 5 2 83 h resto Nutrille or Muspite , 3 Dallas 1 1 Long Death or Neveratle 9 1 , 13 Klischeth City 21 21 Edification Centage a 1 1 x la reste Med. Centers Special Daty 2 2 1 2 4 name U*0* Valor repair 1 2 4 10 52 CRASHED III v.s. TXS 2 5 18 1 4 at X I'm * DIVERIND to vs. 50 20 200 20 TOTALS 20 165 325 295 660 344 743 178 21 " *Inalading - instructored to U.S. after dalivery to U.S. PLANNING 4 AIRFRAME SUPPLY, BRITISH ATR Regraded Unclassified REF. NO. D-55 BAG BAC 1/1 1/6 I/L 1.2. 1.1. 1/1 SECRET 172 MOST SECRET .III PAR TOTAL R 96 174 258 239 240 278 53 55 75 3 90 4 HIDDLE KAMP 5 z 92 47 R 266 NW AFRIGA 111 m 71 71 27 27 ADMINISTRATIVE 9 , 42 3 165 120 16 16 ninez 56 $ 11 4 15 at Nontrol) 7 3 30 MR 19 - (In flight) 1 s 1 1 8 1 1 1 1 21 D. S. DRITISH OTHER , 1 1 á a 1 10 XII w Greenland 2 1 , h rete Nittle Bast 2 29 2 1 $22 h reste South Africa 14 14 be reste Treatment 20 10 take - - 5 1 1 1 8 2 h state - 1 1 1 (m seste) 16 26 Retablishment 2 1 15 4 19 35 { ! 1 2 1 , 16 21 , 2 2 2 X 1 73 Others 1 2 , I AFTER EXPORT 2 , 14 5 19 7 2 2 6 w b reste (in U.S.) 1 5 , 9 Bealton, Do. 1 1 2 3 1 1 b 2 5 11 2 20 be reste Hand or U.P.B. 1 1 2 4 a Detwodt , 19 98 4 6 at as reste Detroit 4 4 Subtwille e Memphis 5 I 50 5 5 2 63 h resto Featwille or Somple 3 3 Dallas 1 1 Lang Booth or 9 1 3 13 Klischeth City 21 21 Holification Contern 24 1 1 % to reste Nod. Centers 1 1 2 Special Daty 2 2 1 2 4 11 Valor repair 1 2 4 7 GRASHED IN v.s. 2 5 18 1 4 2 7 39 DIVERTED TO v.s. 50 20 200 20 1510 TOTALS 20 165 225 295 660 344 743 198 21 $ 119 25 122 32 3,265 Including - transferred to U.S. after delivery to U.S. PLAINING & AIRPRANE SUPPLY, BRITISH ADE COMMISSION, Regraded Unclassified THE BRITISH SUPPLY COUNCIL IN NORTH AMERICA Box 680 TELEPHONE REPUBLIC 7860 BENJAMIN FRANKLIN STATION WASHINGTON, D.C. January 9, 1942. Dear Dr. White, I enclose copies of a statement of British gold and dollar exchange assets and of an estimated balance of payments of the sterling area for the next three months. They are generally on the lines of those presented to Congress in February, 1942, though with some changes of lay-out and comment. It is my understanding, which I will be glad if you will confirm, that while these statements may be communicated to Congressional Committees in executive session, they will not be published or receive any public use. This was the position as regards the previous tables. The following are some comments which you may care to have. AVAILABLE DOLLAR ASSETS 1. Gold. Previous tables excluded from the figure in the table (a) gold in Paris and gold held in Ottawa as guarantee for insurance company liabilities; (b) the Belgian gold; and (c) "scattered gold", which was separately mentioned in a notation to the table. It seems to us right to continue to exclude (a) and (b). But the conception of scattered gold is now rather obsolete. It dates from the days when the main use of our gold holdings was to ship them to the U.S. to buy dollars, so that we classed it as avail- able or scattered according to the relative possibilities of shipment to this country. The term "scattered gold" therefore includes gold held in London, and dates from a time when we held hardly any gold there. Now we holdfairly large amounts; on December 31 we held 842 millions in London and $30 million in other places described ES "scattered". It hardly seems justifiable to include these amounts in a separate notation. White, 2148, Exited States Treasury, Buskington, D.C. Regraded Unclassified -2- We therefore propose that the distinction should be abandoned and that scattered gold should be included in the figure in the main table. On the other hand, we would wish to include a notation of the direct gold liabilities which we have, particularly ES some of the more distant ones will fall due at a time when the "scattered gold", which is not now all truly available (as is implied by the caption) will be available. 2. Official dollar balances, We wish to include E: notation of the sight dollar liabilities represented by registered accounts, as this has in recent months become far more important. At January 31, their amount was only $7 million; now it is $53 million, mainly owing to the presence of United States forces in the United Kingdom. I take this opportunity of reminding you of the following large items which have contributed to the increase in our dollar balances, apart from the normal incomings and outgoings:- (Millions of Dollars) Sale of wool stockpile 70 Sale of aircraft taken off B.A.C. contracts for U.S. use 80 Sale of shipyards 14 Sale of other facilities 100 Sale of securities 17 Instalment of R F.C. Loan 40 321 These items account for more than the whole increase in our dollar balances, and all but $90 millions of the increase in our gold (in- cluding scattered gold) plus dollar balances, as is shown by the following table:- (in Millions of Dollars) January 31 December 31 1942. 1942. Increase Gold (including scattered) 465 688 223 Official dollar balances 55 243 188 TOTAL 520 931 411 3. U. S. Securities. No fresh overall valuation has been made. $17 million have been sold, as stated above. This would leave n. figure of $126, but we have increased the figure upwards to $135 to allow for the recovery of markets which has taken place and to include some securities originally pledged against RFC Loan but not needed for this purpose. Regraded Unclassified OTHER DOLLAR ASSETS 1. Private dollar balances, The notation which I have inserted is, I think, self-explanatory. Va had pushed down our authorised dealers' balances to & figure of 47 million dollars on January 31, 1942. Since then we have gradually let them rise to $73 million on December 31, 1942. This being BO, it may not be thought fair to maintain the previous notation. On the other hand, the authorised dealers' balances were previously at an inconveniently low figure, and probably could not in any case have been hold there with prudence, for a reason which is I think too technical to put in the table; the registered accounts (which as stated above increased over the period by $46 million) are sight dollar labilities of the authorised dealers, and they needed greater dollar reserves in their hands if they were to deal conveniently with these liabilities. You will presumably, es on previous occasions, supply 9. figure for private balances from your own date. "his is likely to show an increase over previous figures corresponding to the increase in authorised dealars' balances. Note to the table. This is I think self-explenatory and takes the place of a corresponding note to the balance of payments table in the previous Bet. It is, I think, better placed here. Balance of payments. As last time, we do not think it. prudent or useful to estimate more than three months ahead. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS - EXPENDITURES Item A.1. This is calculated as before, namely estimated payments during the quarter, 053.7 million, less estimated receipts, $21.7 million. "he figure of $113 million for payments falling due after March 31 includes $78 willion for French reimbursement. Item C. This includes $129 million to Canada; 1.e., the 8150 million which we have undertaken to pey less the amount which we had already paid before the end of the year. The balance of "46 -illion less the $20 million shown under head C of "Dollar Receipts" sa receipts from outside the United States comes to much the same as the net figure of $25 million shown AE item C of dollar expenditures in the last table. If you prefer, for the saice of uniformity, to combine the two figuren in this table into a single net expenditure figure of $155 million, We shall have no objection. Regraded Unclassified BALANCE OF PAYMENTS - RECEIPTS Items A.3 and B.2. The data which we have received from London are in a rather different form from those which we used in the last table. Last time we showed a heading c: "unidentifiable receipts of Empire countries" and added the following footnote; "This 10 a residual item. It may represent in part capital items, but probably reflects also such items BB gifts." We now have a separate figure for U.K. unidentifiable receipts, but for the rest of the sterling area an "other items" heading, which we are told are largely unidentifiable. It would be possible, and true, to add the same footnote to Item A.1 (b), but it also applies to an unknown part of Item B.2. It 18 very much A question of prefer- ence how one presents this, on which we will be glad to be guided by your views. FOOTNOTES TO THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS TABLE The footnote on gold is self-explanatory. Ae regards the second footnote, We would prefer for obvious reasons of security not to disclose these figures. The same reasons which make us prefer to keep them secret - namely their dependence on operational movements - also make any estimate unreliable. But, for your own information, our estimate for receipts from requirements of U.S. Forces is 835 million for the United Kingdom and $60 million for the rest of the sterling area. You may equally care to know for your own information that our receipts on account of the requirements of local currency of United States Forces during 1942 were about $250 million. This was one of the main offsets to the loss of dollar-earning power which we have suffered through Japanese aggression (this loss we.. fully up to my estimate of 6 year ago). A second important offset we.s the striking reduction in the dollar expenditure of the sterling area, owing to shipping difficulties and increasingly stringent import restrictions and in part to the extension of lend-lease; the dollar expenditures of the whole area fell from $775 million in 1941 to about $475 million in 1942, which latter figure is very close to the rate of expenditure which we estimated for the period February through April, 1942. The third important offset consisted of the non-recurrent accruals of dollars to which I have referred above. The overall picture, when compared with that last presented to Congress, la one of an improvement in our gold and dollar position. This makes it the more important to stress that this is only one side of the picture, and that in India, South Africa, Egypt, the Peninsula and South America we have been liquidating our sosete and increasing our liabilities at a rate far greater than the improvement in our gold and dollar position. This position was, I believe, very fully explained to you when you were in London. A recent large lia- bility which we have had to undertake, in addition to these more Regraded Unclassified deferred payments to which I. have just referred, is the payment of $150 million to Canada. If you want any further elucidations, or if you wish to discuss the figures and their presentation, Playfair and Allen are at your disposition. Yours sincerely, HPhillips Encls. F. Phillips. Regraded Unclassified CONFIDENTIAL Estimated Dollar Expenditures and Receipts of British Empire, excluding Canada and Newfound- land January 1, 1943 to March 31, 1943 (1) (In millions of dollars) Dollar Expenditures A. Payments to the United States by the United Kingdom: 1. On British Supply Missions commitments (including administrative expenses) - net 32 (In addition $113 will fall due after March 31, 1943 on B.S.M. commitments now outstanding) 2. For shipping, interest, film remittances, etc. 40 3. For other goods and services, urgent or ineligible for Lend-Lease 50 122 B. Payments to the United States by the rest of the Sterling Area (principally Empire countries) 75 C. Payments to areas outside the United States 175 Total dollar requirements 372 Dollar Receipts A. Receipts from the United States by the United Kingdom: 1. From merchandise exports 20 2. From shipping and interest 15 3. From other items (a) Readily explicable 20 (b) Unidentified 50 70 105 B. Receipts from the United States by rest of Sterling Area: 1, From merchandise exports 70 2. Other items 25 95 C. Dollar receipts from outside U.S. 20 Total dollar receipts 220 Total dollar deficit of Sterling Area (principally British Empire), January 1 to March 31, 1943 152 Total dollar requirements 372 Regraded Unclassified -2- Note: (a) In presenting these figures, the British Treasury made the following statement with respect to the acquisition of gold: "No close estimate of our probable purchases of gold can be made even for the current quarter. The output of gold in the Sterling Area is likely to decline to an extent depending on the demand of man power and on the availability of mining plants and stores." (b) The foregoing estimates exclude receipts rising from purchases of local currency for the requirements of the U.S. Forces in the Sterling Area. (1) These figures also include the gold and dollar expenditures and receipts of non-British members of the Sterling Area - namely, Egypt, Anglo-Egyptian Sudan, Iraq, Belgian Congo and Ruandi-Urundi, Iceland, the Faroe Islands, and Fighting French territories in Africa and Oceania, Syria and Lebanon. The net dollar expenditures and receipts of these areas are small. Regraded Unclassified CONFIDENTIAL British Gold and Dollar Exchange Assets as of December 31st, 1942 (wreent mère noted, these are British Treasury figures) (In million of dollars) AVOILABLE GOLD AND DOLLAR 1. Gold 688 (Foreign countries hold sterling funds carrying supellic rights of conversion into gold amounting to understantely =190 willion) 2. Official dollar balances 243 (Uni-en states registered Sterling accounts, enrrying the FLynt of conversion into dollars on dewind, evounted et November 30, the latest evailable date, to 253 dillion) 3. U.S. Securities 135 (or these securities the British estimite that only "80 million are readily marketable) Total - ovsilable gold and dollar assets 1066 OTHER DOLLAR ASSETS 1. Private dollar balances (This figure 1s taken from U.O. Treasury data. The Brittsh state that dollar basinces in the hands of British banks active as authorized dealers in "oreign exc.inge increased by 26 million between January 31, 1942, when they were reduced to an sutrewely 10 Level oving to the strfrgency of the coller osition, and December 31, 1942). 2. Assets cledged am inst R.P.C. lown 500 n.e. securities 205 Direct 1. vest ents 295 3. Branches of Unitish insurance compentes 200 (she emin- of these comminies are essi/ned to A.M.C. Iosn) 4. Trusts in 11.5. Held for U.K. beneficiaries 290 (These trusts are established under United Status law and Hence the assets my be unavailable to the Sritiso document. lo other lith the direct investments aledged or to he seainst the R.F.G. Lonn, including oranches of British insur nce case nice where extrings 1.7'e assigned to T.F.C. loan, and -ith Vircose and TOIN and illianson, they account for the eitimate of 3900 million submitted to Congress 1: Jun ry, 1941. There are in addition 5010 50,11 Invest ente in D.S. enter rises which, because of typer sive, the British regard as virtally unsol-hie). Regraded Unclassified -2- Note: In connection with the foregoing data, the British state: "British holdings of gold and United States dollars are not held specifically against our liabilities in the United States, but constitute a partial cover for obligations and responsibilities of great magnitude and worldwide character. Gold currently acquired differs from our original stocks in that it can be acquired only by further increasing our overseas indebtedness. Thus the recent increase in our holdings has been accompanied by a very much greater increase in our overseas liabilities. n Regraded Unclassified 182 NOT TO BE RE-TRANSMITTED BRITISH MOST SECRET- COPY NO. 13 U.S. SECRET OPTEL NO. 10. Information received up to 7 a.m. 9th January, 1943. 1. NAVAL. One of H.M. Anti-submarine trawlers was torpedoed off Algiers on the 7th. 20 survivors were picked up. 2. MILITARY. RUSSIA. In the lower Don sector the Russians have penetrated 40 miles West South West of Tsimlyanskaya are making progress astride Stalingrad - Tikoretsk railway and have captured Zimovnaki on the railway 65 miles North East of Salsk, In the Caucasus they are now within ten miles of the Railway junction of Georgiyevsk. 3. AIR OPERATIONS. WESTERN FRONT. 8th. 9 F.W. 190's attacked Torquay. Three persons were killed. 8th/9th. 127 aircraft were sent out. Seamining 84 (3 missing), Duisburg 14 (3 missing) Leaflets 2. FRENCH NORTH AFRICA. 6th/7th. Wellingtons dropped 17 tons of bombs on Bizerta harbour. Bombers also attacked Tunis and Sousse where a ship was hit. Enemy aircraft damaged four fighters on the ground at Maison Blanche, 7th. Escorted U.P. Marauders bombed the airfield and barracks at Gabes starting many fires and U.S. Bostons attacked enemy troop concentrations at Kajrouan. Enemy casualties 4 1 1, Allied 5 lost. U.S. Lightnings reported a general Westward movement of troops and M.T. the whole distance between Tripoli (L) and Medenine. TRIPOLITANIA. 7th. Hurricanes attacked M.T. moving moving Westward between Zliten and Castelverde (33 miles ESE of Tripoli). M.E. 109's attacked our lending ground South of Tamet. Enemy casualties 1 3 1, ours 1 Spitfire. SICILY. 7th. 10 U.S. Liberators bombed Palermo harbour. Regraded Unclassified 183 NOT TO BE RE-TRANSMITTED COPY NO. 13 BRITISH MOST SECRET U.S. SECRET OPTEL No. 11 Information received up to 7 A.M., 10th January, 1943. 1. NAVAL 3 tankers in convoy to the MEDITERRANEAN were torpedoed 1200 miles southwest of GIBRALTAR yesterday. During the k ending 8th January 5 ships were torpedoed and sunk - 1 British tanker in the W. Atlantic, 1 British and 1 Polish ship in the Trinidad area, and 1 British and 1 U.S. ship in the South Atlantic. In air attacks on BONE Harbour 6 British ships were damaged, 2 of which are reported to be total losses. The British tanker reported torpedoed in attacks on outward bound convoy but proceeding, has returned damaged to ROTHSAY. 1 Dutch and 1 Greek ships were reported overdue at their destinations. 2, MILITARY LIBYA. At midday 8th southwest of BOUERAT a considerable body of enemy M.T. with armoured care and tanks began moving west-southwest and by 3 p.m. about 1,000 M.T. were reported moving in the direction of EL FASCHIA 35 miles southwest of GHEDDAHIA. At last light 600 M.T. were seen stationary 25 miles northeast of EL FASCHIA. In the FEZZAN Fighting French have occupied BRACH and GATRUN about 100 miles respectively north and south of MOURZOUK. RUSSIA. The Russians have repulsed several counter attacks northwest and southwest of VELIKI LUKI. The German forces in the selient in the Great Don Bond have probably been withdrawn. The hussians have made considerable progress westward from ELISTA. In the CAUCASUS they are pursuing the Germans on a wide front and are approaching BUDENOVSK and GEORGIEVEK. 3. AIR OPERATIONS WESTERN FRONT. 9th. Ventures offectively attacked the steel works at IJMUIDEN and Mosquitos bombed the railway centres at ROUEN and MONS. 7 enemy air- craft crossed the South coast. 9th/10th. 179 aircraft were sent out - Boa mining 128 (4 missing), ESSEN 51 (3 missing). Weather at ESSEN was excellent and the attack is considered successful. FRENCH NORTH AFRICA. 8th. Escorted 0.8. heavy bombers attacked BIZERTA, FERRYVILLE and TUNIS, and medium bombers attacked objectives southwest of SFAX and in the SOUSSE and KAIROUAN areas. At night Malta Mosquitos machino gunned M.T. on the SFAX-GABES Road. Enemy oscualties 12 destroyed, ours 6, nil, 1, LIBYA. 8th. Enemy fighter bombers sttacked 1 of our landing grounds near TAMET. Casualties by Spitfires and anti-aircraft 4, 4, 2. At night Malte Wellingtons dropped 24 tons of bomba on road junction south and east of TRIPOLI (L). Regraded Unclassified