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470417607
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Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
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470417607
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Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
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90655-006
collections
George H. W. Bush Papers
Presidential Daily Files
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Originally Processed With FOIA(s):
FOIA Number:
2009-0166-S
2009-0166-S
FOIA
MARKER
This is not a textual record. This is used as an
administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential
Library Staff.
Record Group/Collection:
George H.W. Bush Presidential Records
Collection/Office of Origin:
Office of the President
Series:
Daily Files
Subseries:
OA/ID Number:
90655
Folder ID Number:
90655-006
Folder Title:
Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
Stack:
Row:
Section:
Shelf:
Position:
V
0
0
0
0
Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet
(George Bush Library)
Doc. No. / Type
Subject/Title
Date
Restriction
Classification
01a. Memo
From Command Duty Officer to Distriution Re: Visit Report for
02/23/92
(b)(7)(e)
21-23 February 1992 [redaction] (2 pp.)
01b. List
Visit Report for 21-23 February 1992: Cabin Assignments (1 pp.)
02/24/92
(b)(7)(c),
(b)(7)(e), (b)(7)(f)
01c. List
Visit Report for 21-23 February 1992:Helo Manifest
02/24/92
(b)(7)(e)
(Staff/Guests) [redaction] (1 pp.)
02. Note
From L. M. Cook to George Bush Re: political opinons (1 pp.)
02/19/92
C
Page 1 of 1
Collection:
Record Group:
Bush Presidential Records
Office:
Office of the President
Series:
Daily Files
Subseries:
WHORM Cat.:
File Location:
Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
Pinksheet Number:
dw2502
OA/ID Number:
90655-006
Date Closed:
10/21/2014
FOIA/Sys Case #:
2009-0166-S
Re-review Case #:
P-2/P-5 Review Case #:
Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet
(George Bush Library)
Document No.
Subject/Title of Document
Date
Restriction
Class.
and Type
01a. Memo
From Command Duty Officer to Distriution Re: Visit Report
02/23/92
(b)(7)(e)
for 21-23 February 1992 [redaction] (2 pp.)
Collection:
Record Group:
Bush Presidential Records
Office:
Office of the President
Series:
Daily Files
Subseries:
WHORM Cat.:
File Location:
Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
Date Closed:
10/21/2014
OA/ID Number:
90655-006
FOIA/SYS Case #:
2009-0166-S
Appeal Case #:
Re-review Case #:
Appeal Disposition:
P-2/P-5 Review Case #:
Disposition Date:
AR Case #:
MR Case #:
AR Disposition:
MR Disposition:
AR Disposition Date:
MR Disposition Date:
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA]
(b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA]
(b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an
P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA]
agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
(b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
(b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information [(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA]
(b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA]
(b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of
(b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
(b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile.
23 Feb 92
MEMORANDUM
From: Command Duty Officer
To:
Distribution
Via: (1) Executive Officer
(2) Commanding Officer
Subj: VISIT REPORT FOR 21-23 FEBRUARY 1992
Encl: (1) Cabin assignments
(2) Holo manifest
(3) Arrivals/departures access list
1. Enclosures (1) through (3) provide added details for the
subject Presidential visit.
ARRIVALS/DEPARTURES
Friday, 21 February 1992
1453 - MSCM Ariel Deguzman (WHSM) and Paula Rendon aboard. (C2)
1953 - NIGHTHAWK TWO touchdown. (H2)
1958 - MARINE ONE touchdown with the
(b)(7)(e)
2325 - First Lady aboard via Motorcade. (M1)
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
Saturday, 22 February 1992
0537 - Carpet vehicle #24 aboard with newspapers and two packages
for the First Lady and the President's personal briefcase.
0607 - Carpet vehicle #24 ashore.
1130 - Doro, Ellie, Sam Leblond and Bobby Koch aboard. (P1)
1130 - The Koch family aboard. (P2-P6)
1555 - The Koch family ashore. (P2-P6)
Sunday, 23 February 1992
0520 - Carpet vehicle #23 aboard with newspapers.
0528 - Carpet vehicle #23 ashore.
0715 - MAJ Deken (Chaplain) aboard. (P7)
0814 - MAJ Deken (Chaplain) ashore. (P7)
1325 - MSCM Ariel Deguzman (WHSM) and Paula Rendon ashore. (C2)
1609 - MARINE ONE ashore with the
(b)(7)(e)
1611 - NIGHTHAWK TWO ashore. (H4)
1624 - Doro, Ellie, Sam Leblond, Bobby Koch and George Koch ashore.
(P1)
GUEST ACTIVITIES
Movies
Aspen: Saturday - "Blame it on the Bellboy"
The staff/guests checked out 11 beta videos during the visit.
Wye Oak
Mrs. Bush used the lifecycle on Saturday and Sunday morning.
Golf
Mrs. Bush used the driving range on Saturday. President Bush and
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
Mr. Koch used the Aspen range on Saturday.
Bowling
Camp David Lanes were used extensively on Saturday and Sunday by
the grandchildren, guests, and staff.
Golf Carts
The President and guest used the carts for tours on Saturday. The
President toured the perimeter and fitness trails throughout the
weekend on his golf cart.
Horseshoes
The President and staff pitched horseshoes on Sunday morning,
TCD 24 '02 7:20 NGT THURMONT, MD
PAGE.00
Jogging
The President jogged the fitness trail on Saturday and Sunday.
Tennis
Doro Leblond and Bobby Koch played tennis on Sunday afternoon.
Chapel Services
Chaplain Deken conducted a Catholic service at 0730. Three persons
were in attendance. Chaplain Frusti conducted an interdenomin-
ational service at 0900 in the Chapel. The President, First Lady,
family, staff and crew members and their dependents attended for
a total of 65.
KUDOS
Navy
- E01 LEMMOND
Marines - LCPL JONES
very Full respectfully,
P. F. WEBB
LT, CEC, USN
Distribution:
CO
XO
Dept Heads
Visit File
OOD Passdown Log
Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet
(George Bush Library)
Document No.
Subject/Title of Document
Date
Restriction
Class.
and Type
01b. List
Visit Report for 21-23 February 1992: Cabin Assignments
02/24/92
(b)(7)(c), (b)(7)(e),
(1 pp.)
(b)(7)(f)
Collection:
Record Group:
Bush Presidential Records
Office:
Office of the President
Series:
Daily Files
Subseries:
WHORM Cat.:
File Location:
Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
Date Closed:
10/21/2014
OA/ID Number:
90655-006
FOIA/SYS Case #:
2009-0166-S
Appeal Case #:
Re-review Case #:
Appeal Disposition:
P-2/P-5 Review Case #:
Disposition Date:
AR Case #:
MR Case #:
AR Disposition:
MR Disposition:
AR Disposition Date:
MR Disposition Date:
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA]
(b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA]
(b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an
P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA]
agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
(b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
(b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information [(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA]
(b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA]
(b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of
(b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
(b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile.
Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet
(George Bush Library)
Document No.
Subject/Title of Document
Date
Restriction
Class.
and Type
01c. List
Visit Report for 21-23 February 1992:Helo Manifest
02/24/92
(b)(7)(e)
(Staff/Guests) [redaction] (1 pp.)
Collection:
Record Group:
Bush Presidential Records
Office:
Office of the President
Series:
Daily Files
Subseries:
WHORM Cat.:
File Location:
Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
Date Closed:
10/21/2014
OA/ID Number:
90655-006
FOIA/SYS Case #:
2009-0166-S
Appeal Case #:
Re-review Case #:
Appeal Disposition:
P-2/P-5 Review Case #:
Disposition Date:
AR Case #:
MR Case #:
AR Disposition:
MR Disposition:
AR Disposition Date:
MR Disposition Date:
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA]
(b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA]
(b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an
P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA]
agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
(b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
(b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information [(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA]
(b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA]
(b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of
(b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
(b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile.
HELO MANIFEST (STAFF/GUESTS)
HELO #1 (ARRIVE 1958/FRIDAY)
HELO #2 (ARRIVE 1953/FRIDAY)
NIGHTHAWK TWO
MARINE ONE
(b)(7)(e)
(b)(7)(e)
HELO #3 (DEPART 1609/SUNDAY)
HELO #4 (DEPART 1611/SUNDAY)
NIGHTHAWK TWO
MARINE ONE
(b)(7)(e)
(b)(7)(e)
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
FCD 24 '02 7:01 NOT THURMONT, MD
PACE.00
POV (STAFF/GUESTS)
CODE
NAME
TITLE
ARRIVE
DEPART
VEHICLE ID
P1
DORO LEBLOND
DAUGHTER
1130/SAT
1624/SUN
PONTIAC
ELLIE LEBIOND
GRANDDAU
MD 014ALV
SAM LEBLOND
GRANDSON
BOBBY KOCH
FIANCE OF DORO
P2
GEORGE KOCH
GUEST
1130/SAT
1555/SAT
MERCEDEZ
GUEST
MD YAK446
HELEN KOCH
JORIE KOCH
GUEST
LAWTON KOCH
CUEST
P3
DANNY KOCH
GUEST
1130/SAT
1555/SAT
OLDS 98
TRICIA KOCH
GUEST
MD 2DA354
REILLY KOCH
GUEST
K.C. KOCH
GUEST
P4
P.C. KOCH
GUEST
1130/SAT
1555/SAT
FORD TEMPO
GUEST
MD VPG776
DENISE KOCH
PATRICK KOCH
GUEST
P5
MONTE KOCH
GUEST
1130/SAT
1555/SAT
MAROON
GEORGE KOCH
GUEST
1130/SAT
OLDSMOBILE
SANDI NUTTON
GUEST
P6
LUCY KOCH
GUEST
1130/SAT
1555/SAT
GRAND
STEVE AMBROSI
GUEST
MARQUIS
NY ARN117
P7
MAJ JOHN DEKEN
CHAPLAIN
0715/SUN
0814/SUN
CHEVY
LUMINA
CARPET/GOV'T VEHICLE (STAFF/GUESTS)
CODE
NAME
TITLE
ARRIVE
DEPART
VEHICLE ID
C1
CW4 FRANK VALDEZ
WHCA F/O
1335/FRI
H4
WHCA VEH
MAJ RICHARD WILLIAMS
WHCA F/O
H2
2028/FRI
C2
PAULA RENDON
WHSM
1453/FRI
1325/SUN
WHSM VAN
MSCM ARIEL DEGUZMAN
MOTORCADE
CODE
NAME
TITLE
ARRIVE
DEPART
VEHICLE ID
M1
BARBARA BUSH
FIRST LADY
2325/FRI H3
MOTORCADE
** TOTAL PAGE.06 **
(FYI) Interim
Patty:
reply to Sam
Gibbons
When you have a chance,
would you please match
up with the copy of
the President's note
It should be in Dec 10 daily.
(the night of the Cong'l
ball) Then again, I
might have pulled it to
attach the incoming from
Calio's ofc. If it's not
there, then this is it.
Hope I am making sense
to you ??? !!! Robin
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
FYI
THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN
February 21, 1992
Dear Sam:
In response to your note to the President that was passed along
at the Congressional Christmas Ball, I am writing to inform you
of the status of your requests.
You had requested that the President participate in an
anniversary celebration of D-Day on June 6, 1994. As you can
imagine, the President's schedule is very busy and the scheduling
office will not consider events more than three months in advance
of their occurrence. Therefore, this event is regrettably too
far in the future to be considered. It will be given serious
consideration at the appropriate time, however.
As to whether the President will help to promote this event, we
would need more information. The President's role in helping
charities is circumscribed. we would need specific proposals to
clear through the Office of the Counsel to the President.
Likewise, the request to host a celebration at the White House to
kick off fundraising must be run through the Counsel's Office and
our scheduling system. The same request is in long range
scheduling per a request from Congressman Montgomery, and is
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
being carefully considered.
Unfortunately, a meeting with the President to discuss a new
revenue system for the U.S. cannot be currently scheduled, as I
am sure you can appreciate.
I'll be in touch.
Sincerely,
Mide
Nicholas E. Calio
Assistant to the President
for Legislative Affairs
The Honorable Sam Gibbons
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, D.C. 20515
Bush Library Photocopy
George Bush Handwriting
Cc: Rose Zamanie
Rose:
Penoing
I asked if an
12/26/91
interim reply or
note went out and
McClure's office
said HE would dis-
cuss w/you person-
allv.
(FYI) Robin
Phil:
This was handed to the President at the Congressional Ball. Sorry
for the delay in getting it to you. However, it got stuck with other
papers.
I talked with Fred McClure about it when it came in. I think he
is waiting for me to send this along. The President wanted it
run by Counsel and more information on the group. Fred wil touch
base with Gibbons.
Sorry.
Thanks,
MEMORANDUM
12/10/91
TO:
President George Bush
FROM: Sam M. Gibbons, M.C. - 202-225-3376
1. Agree to participate in the 50th anniversary of
D-Day in Europe, June 6, 1994.
2. Agree to work with Normandy Foundation to support
USA role in celebration to be financed by private
sector contributions.
3. Host small celebration in The White House to kick
off Foundation effort.
4. Meet with Gibbons to discuss new revenue
for U.S. Government.
system Fred maClure Clure
12/26
2/21/92
Mr. President:
You will be coming back to Andrews from Charleston and then
chopter to Camp David.
2) If you have Jerry Weintraub fly with you foom San Francisco
to LA, the campaign will be charged first class fare, which is
($250)
If you ask Jerry to pay, it will count against his
maximum contribution to the campaign.
3) ATTACHED IS YOUR TENTATIVE SCHEDULE FOR CALIFORNIA.
Rose
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
OK- just 30
set minutes my in of LA.
Bush Library Photocopy
George Bush Handwriting
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
February 21, 1992
Dear Roy:
Thank you for your newsy letter of February 19. I am
dictating this before heading to South Carolina where we
start moving in the Super Tuesday states. I have got to
put this primary challenge to rest, and then on to
victory in the Fall.
How thoughtful of you to have a going away party for the
Sununus -- you are too much.
Thanks again for your wonderful letter. Barbara sends
her love.
Sincerely,
Mr. Roy Pfautch
President
Civic Service Incorporated
60/
Suite 870, Washington Square
1050 Connecticut Avenue, NW
Washington, D.C. 20036
JAN'S
THE PRESIDENT
February 21, 1992
Dear Lod,
Thanks for the February 19 fax. You're right!
Warmest regards,
of
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON, D.C.
Mr. Lodwrick M. Cook
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Atlantic Richfield Company
Suite 5178
515 South Flower Street
Los Angeles, California 90071
(Personal)
you
WH Gifts
FVI
THE PRESIDENT
February 21, 1992
Rm.
Dear Jack,
Thanks for that flashy Gavinesque tie. It's a winner; but
when will I get to show it off to the double breasted-blue
blazer crowd on the Riviera. Anyway, I'll give it a trial
run right here inside the beltway.
If I don't see you in Los Angeles, call Rose Zamaria at
(202) 456-6700 the next time you're in Washington.
I'm sure we can carve out some time. I'd like to get
caught up on all you're doing.
Sincerely,
G/
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON. D.C.
The Honorable John A. Gavin
Suite 2415
10100 Galaxy Way
Los Angeles, California 90067-3521
THE PRESIDENT
February 21, 1992
Dear Jack,
Thanks for that flashy Gavinesque tie. It's a winner; but
when will I get to show it off to the double breasted-blue
blazer crowd on the Riviera. Anyway, I'll give it a trial
run right here inside the beltway.
If I don't see you in Los Angeles, call Rose Zamaria at
(202) 456-6700 the next time you're in Washington.
I'm sure we can carve out some time. I'd like to get
caught up on all you're doing.
Sincerely,
G/
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON. D.C.
The Honorable John A. Gavin
Suite 2415
10100 Galaxy Way
Los Angeles, California 90067-3521
JOHN GAVIN
10100 GALAXY WAY
2415
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA 90067-3521
February 18, 1992
The Honorable George Bush
The White House
Washington, D.C. 20500
Dear Mr. President:
I saw a tie which made me recall the breakfast we had privately at The
Four Seasons Hotel in Los Angeles in May 1988. You may remember that
Barbara joined us, at which point you left the room momentarily.
When you returned, you asked us what we thought of the tie you were
wearing. Neither of us liked it. When you asked Barbara what she thought
Vyou should wear, she said, "A tie like the one Jack has on." We switched
then and there. Connie and I have the "ugly" tie as the main exhibit in our
"George Bush Museum."
Enclosed with this note is a tie that triggered all these recollections. It's not
quite like the Brooks Brothers one, but I hope it will also bring you luck.
We look forward to seeing you here in Los Angeles on the 25th of this
month. You were kind enough to ask me to call Ms. Presock to set up a
meeting with you. I haven't had the courage to intrude on your agenda.
However, as a Presidential request is tantamount to an order, I will call her
now to see if I may come see you.
Lod and Carole Cook have told us how much they enjoyed seeing you at
Camp David. As always, we are all rooting for you. Only Barbara has a
higher place in our affections.
Cordially,
Jack
/emk
Enclosure
THE CANADA STATE
03
Dear Jack,
Type
Thanks for that flasdhy Gavinesque tie. It's a winner; but when
will I get to show it off to the double breasted-blue blazer
crowd on the Riviera. Anyway I'll give it a trial run right here
inside the beltway.
Do call when you get here. I'm sure we can carve out some time.
I'd like to get caught up on all your're doing.
Sinmcerely,
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
Bush Library Photocopy
George Bush Handwriting
FROM THE PRESIDENT
STATEMENT THE OF OF STATES THE UNITED
15
OFFICE OF THE
PRESIDENT
COVER PAGE
TO:
Debra Steinberg (Amb Galvin's Office)
FROM:
Robin MacLean (The President's Office)
TOTAL NUMBER OF PAGES:
2
(including cover page)
DATE:
4/17/92
TIME:
2:14 p.m.
MESSAGE:
Per your request. Here's a copy
for your files.
If you have any questions or problems with the transmission, please call:
(202) 456-2328
ID:
APR 17'92 13:22
TRANSMIT CONFIRMATION REPORT
NO.
: 001
RECEIVER
:
286 1211
TRANSMITTER
:
DATE
:
APR 17'92
13:22
DURATION
: 00'53
MODE
:
STD
PAGES
: 02
RESULT
: OK
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON. D.C.
Ms. Alexandra Stoddard
c/o Mr. Peter Brown
1125 Park Avenue, Apt 6A
New York, New York 10028
2-21-91
THE PRESIDENT
Dear Alexandra,
"Raring to be Youself
IS on ,ts wey to cays
David. Ill check it out
up the So may thanks
It was great zeeing
you her yesterday
Thanks for up medal
C:
and " for coming To
Rose Zamaria
ikki Richnow (with book
for processing)
eigh Ann Metzger (FYI)
the Dval office
an Burmeister (note
address. She is married
to Peter Brown, but
Affectionately
according to Public Liaison
prefers to go by profess-
ional name -- for PRIV)
Cy Bal
DARING
TO BE YOURSELF
The author of "Living a Beautiful Life" asks you
the questions she asks her clients - to help you bring out
your oron beautiful style in all you do
DD ? " DD DD
ALEXANDRA STODDARD
February 20,1992
To the President and First Lady,
To Jenge and Barbara,
What an honn to
be back in the White House
in in you to be apart or this
award ceremony.
& send you both
my deepest admination
and warm affection Peter
joins me in sending you
best wishes and high
regards.
Alexandro Stobdard
THE PRESIDENT
2-21-91
Sonny = =
FYI : I called
Mr. Whitten yesterday. He
sure sauded weah, but
he seewed to apprevate
the call.
Go Guard !!
GB
The Honorable Gillespie V. Montgomery
U.S. House of Representatives
2184 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, D.C. 20515
CC:
(Personal)
Rose Zamaria
(1 copy)
(By Courier)
NOTE: HAVE HAND
CARRIED TO HILL
VIA COURIER.
2/21/92
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Dear John:
I received your letter of resignation today and,
with sincere thanks and appreciation for your
service, I accept your resignation effective May 1.
I recall your coming to talk to me about this on
October 24. At that time you told me you wanted
to step aside. I told you then that I certainly
understood your reasons for desiring to return to
private life.
Your job is one of the most difficult in government.
You have worked hard for freedom of expression; and
yet, at times, as you have ruled against certain
grants that you felt were beyond the bounds of
common decency, you have been criticized.
I thank you for the integrity and commitment that
you have brought to the National Endowment for the
Arts.
No two people can agree in every instance on every
grant or indeed on what is good art; in fact some
of the art funded by the NEA does not have my
enthusiastic approval. I expect some did not have
yours, but this should not obscure the overall work
of the NEA nor your contribution to it.
I thank you and wish you and your family well for a
very bright future.
Sincerely,
GBul
The Honorable John E. Frohnmayer
Chairperson
National Endowment for the Arts
1100 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20506
NATIONAL
WASHINGTON
ENDOWMENT
D.C. 20506
FOR
THE ARTS
A Federal agency advised by the
National Council on the Arts
February 21, 1992
The Honorable George Bush
President
White House
Washington, DC 20500
Mr. President:
Last October I told you of my desire to return to private life.
Accordingly. I submit my resignation effective May 1, 1992.
I have appreciated the opportunity to serve you and the arts;
you know how much your personal support has meant to me during
these difficult times. You and your administration have
accomplished a great deal and I'm sure the best is yet to come.
Sincerely John E. Frohnmayer taday
Chairman
JEF/lm
KTD
29
USA
29
281150 2520 EASt
USA
SLC, Utah
84109
NUMISMATICS
NUMISMATICS
29.
CPT Robert DUNTON
USA
2811 So 2520 EAST
Salt LAKE City, Utah
NUMISMATICS
84109
CyBl
THE COMMANDER IN CHIEF
so
THE COMMANDER IN CHIEF
daily
THE PRESIDENT
$
February 21, 1992
Dear Lod,
Thanks for the February 19 fax. You're right!
Warmest regards,
of
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON, D.C.
Mr. Lodwrick M. Cook
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Atlantic Richfield Company
Suite 5178
515 South Flower Street
Los Angeles, California 90071
(Personal)
Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet
(George Bush Library)
Document No.
Subject/Title of Document
Date
Restriction
Class.
and Type
02. Note
From L. M. Cook to George Bush Re: political opinons (1
02/19/92
C
pp.)
Collection:
Record Group:
Bush Presidential Records
Office:
Office of the President
Series:
Daily Files
Subseries:
WHORM Cat.:
File Location:
Friday, February 21, 1992 [3]
Date Closed:
10/21/2014
OA/ID Number:
90655-006
FOIA/SYS Case #:
2009-0166-S
Appeal Case #:
Re-review Case #:
Appeal Disposition:
P-2/P-5 Review Case #:
Disposition Date:
AR Case #:
MR Case #:
AR Disposition:
MR Disposition:
AR Disposition Date:
MR Disposition Date:
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA]
(b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA]
(b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an
P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA]
agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
(b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
(b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information [(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA]
(b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA]
(b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of
(b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
(b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile.
THE PRESIDENT
February 21, 1992
Dear Al:
For some odd reason I just, today, got your note of welcome
from San Diego -- too much staff bureaucracy, I fear.
It was nice of you to check in. Thanks, my friend.
We're in an ugly fighting year on the political scene but I
remain confident.
All best,
GBl
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON, D.C.
Mr. Alvin R. Busse
Al Busse Communications
8602 Oakford
Houston, Texas 77024
2/20
Rose, me President
Do we know if the President saw Mr.
Busse when he was in San Diego?
I'll be happy to draft a response.
Thanks.
Courtnev
(71=)
AI Busse Communications
8602 Oakford / Houston, Texas 77024 / (713) 626-1144
few naw. for U.
February 6, 1992
President George Bush
S. Grant Hotel
San Diego, California
Dear Mr. President:
Pleased that another Houstonian is visiting San Diego. I
am working on a project that has had me in and out of this City
monthly for the past year.
As a Past District Governor of Rotary International in
Houston, the San Diego Rotary Club is allowing me to attend
tomorrow mornings meeting with you.
Know you and Barbara are well. Thank you as always for
your thoughtful Christmas card greeting.
It will be wonderful seeing and hearing you again.
Best,
Al Ausse
Al Busse
Sh :6 WV 200 833 29
1118 STATE
Type
Dear Al,
for some odd reason I just, today, got your note of welcome from
San Diego
toio much staff bureacracy I fear.
It was nice of you to check in. Thanks, my friend.
We're in an ugly fighting year on the political scene but I
remain confidant.
All Best,
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
Bush Library Photocopy
George Bush Handwriting
FROM THE PRESIDENT
THE PRESIDENT
2-21-92
Dear May,
I was 20 some to have
about Ken. He and I went back
a long lory way as you know.
Please tell all your family
that Barbara and I send own
mozt sincere condotwees.
Kenneth was a sovely
human being and I know it
must hunt a lot.
Love from the Bush
santy / Gg Bl
Mrs. Kenneth McDonnell
21 Willowmere Avenue
Old Greenwich, Connecticut 06870
CC:
Rose Zamaria
(I copy)
Mrs. Willard S. Heminway Jr.
14 Deer Lane
Greenwich, Connecticut 06830
I
Mrs. Willard S. Heminway Jr.
14 Deer Lane
Greenwich, Connecticut 06830
7eb.15,1992
I Dear & B.
ThoughT you might wan Tto
see The enclosed or drop may
a moTe. Her address is; 110wmere
ave. Old Greenwick, CT. 06870
Loved seeing you both last
week - wonderful announcement!
we're keeping our 8 sures crossed
por here! Tuesday and are seasing up
Love,
P.S.
Betsy
JUST spoke to Jean mayer-she
sends her best to you and Bar
I'm soins to see her in Ha next week.
Be sure nobody
the has waitten
a litter on This
Rzf
jer
197
was mailed 2/21.
THE WHITE HOUSE
G
WASHINGTON
The hard copy of the letter
family was having dinner.
restaurant where the Wilson
Letter was faxed to the
February 20, 1992
Dear Mr. Wilson:
Congratulations on your 90th birthday.
Barbara and I hope that you have a
great day, and we send best wishes for
a wonderful year ahead.
Sincerely,
Gg Bul
Mr. Jim Wilson
Apartment 301
220 MacFarlane Drive
Delray Beach, Florida 33444
92 12:29
FROM GOVERNOR'S OFFICE
PAGE. 002
State of California
730
STATE STATE DE
GOVERNOR'S OFFICE
SACRAMENTO. CA 95814
UNITED
PETE WILSON
GOVERNOR
TELEPHONE
(916) 445-2841
February 20, 1992
Office of Presidential Messages
The White House
SG
Washington, D. C. 20500
ATT: Ellen Strickartz
P2
Dear Ms. Strickartz:
Dear Mr. Wilson:
This is to request a message from the President
90H
for my father's 90th birthday. The date is today,
February 20, and even though I realize it will arrive
late, I know he would appreciate receiving it.
It should be addressed to:
Mail
Mr. Jim Wilson
220 MacFarlane Drive, Apt. 301
to:
Delray Beach, Florida 33444
Thank you for your assistance.
Sincerely,
Pathilison
PETE WILSON
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON, D.C.
Ms. April Zion
Advertising Manager
United Media
200 Park Avenue
New York, New York 10166
ARE
THE PRESIDENT
2-21-82
4
Draw April - -
Thank for "Noney"
would you kindly
send the attrached ts
Jerry Scott Again, that
an Bl
bcc: Marlin Fitzwater
Rose Zamaria
(incoming and outgoing)
The President
EDITORS: BE SURE TO INCLUDE THE
NANCY® by Jerry Scott
R SYMBOL AFTER THE
2-21-92
FOR RELEASE IN PAPERS FEB. 17 - FEB. 22, 1992
YOU PRINT THIS FEATURE
2-17
-
-
THE
PRESIDENT?
I THOUGHT
YOU WERE
TALKING
ABOUT
SNOOPY !
THINK OF IT!
IM ACTUALLY GOING
TO MEET SOMEONE
WHO KNOWS
Loved
what could be
better than that
THE "RECESS PRESIDENT
TALKING TO US ON
THE PLAYGROUND
YOU LOOK
FINE
TO ME
WHO ASKED
YOU, BUB ?
YOUR
ARNOLD
5
GEORGENESS.
THE
PRESIDENT
OF THE
UNITED
STATES
CRACKS
YOU UP?
UI
UNITED FEATURE SYNDICATE, 200 Park York, (212) 692-3700
JUST
"GEORGE"
1
2-18
110)5
2.22
OH WOW! IVE ALWAYS
WANTED TO MEET HIM
HE TOTALLY CRACKS
ME UP
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
SERVICE GUYS ARE
EXPERTS AT BLENDING
IN WITH A CROWD
To Scott
Park Avenue, New N. N.Y. 10 166
His George breas - it
JERRY SCOTT
JERRY
JERRY JERRY SCOTT
THEY SAY THAT
THOSE SECRET
Imagine The
"Education President
talking to us
right here in
our classroom!
HOW DOES MY HAIR
LOOK 16 MY DRESS
OKAY ? DO I HAVE
ANYTHING ON MY FACE?
YOUR GREATNESS
YOUR HIGHNESS
YOUR CHIEFNESS
scoll
JERRY SCOTT
2-20
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
ILL GIVE
YOU A
HINT... HIS
PICTURE 15 IN
PRACTICALLY
EVERY NEWS-
PAPER IN THE
WORLD EVERY DAY
THIS IS 50 AMAZING!
R
50 INCREDIBLE
50 HISTORICAL !
I WONDER IF HIS
BODYGUARDS ARE HERE?
ITS HARD
Isn't that
wonderful ?
THE PRESIDENT IS
COMING DOWN
THE 4 HALL !!
HOW DO
YOU DO
UH UM
YOUR
MAJESTY...
REALLY ??
WHO ?
TO TELL...
21
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
3
* a a perjun 2001
2-19
HED,
WHATS ALL THE
WERE HAVING
A SPECIAL
GUEST TODAY
COMMOTION ?
THAT THE PRESIDENT
OF THE UNITED STATES
IS COMING HERE
WOW! THE PRESIDENT
yes!
I CANT BELIEVE
IS ACTUALLY COMING
TO OUR CLASS !
OF THE UNITED
STATES 15
COMING TO
HE'S
COMING!
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc. 221
Al! MY
THE PRESIDENT
NAME 15
GEORGE
BUSH
OUR CLA55 ??
With the Compliments
of
The President
ARE YOU
GOT
WELL.. SURE
NOW DO YOU
SURE
POSITIVE
ANY
HERE'S MY
YOU'RE
I.D.?
DRIVERS
HA!
BELIEVE ME?
THE
LICENSE
HA!
I DONT KNOW..
PRESIDENT?
HA! HA!
IF I WERE THE
PRESIDENT, I
1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
WOULD HAVE
MADE THEM
years SCOTT
RE-TAKE THIS
PICTURE
.
YOU STILL DONT
YOU LOOK LIKE HIM
READ
BELIEVE THAT
MY
IT'S
AND YOU SOUND
I'M THE
LIKE HIM BUT HOW
LIPS
HIM!
PRESIDENT?
LETS
DO I KNOW THAT
SAY
YOU'RE REALLY AIM ?
IM
NANCY® by Jerry Scott
SUSPICIOUS
1992 United Feature Syndicate. Inc.
9
EXCUSE ME,
YOU CALL YOURSELF
ER.. AH. THAT'S A
DOES ANYONE HAVE
MR. PRESIDENT!
THE EDUCATION PRES-
SERIOUS ISSUE, AND..
ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT
IDENT," ЧЕТ OUR
UH UMM...
MILLIE, THE WHITE HOUSE
SCHOOLS FACE CUT-
DOG?
BACKS ON FEDERAL
EAT YOUR
FUNDING HOW DO
YOU RESPOND?
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate. Inc.
HEART OUT,
SAM DONALDSON
JERRY
8
SCOTT
2-26
To April 2ion- Good Luch. But WISM
UNITED FEATURE SYNDICATE, 200 Park Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10166 (212) 692-3700
as Bul
WOW! I CANT
THE PRESIDENT !
THE ULTIMATE
BELIEVE THAT I
THE TOP BANANA
Asst.
HALL PASS !
THE COMMANDER-
THE PRESIDENT A TOUR
IN CHIEF
Principal
PBBTH!
TITLE WHEN YOU PRINT THIS FEATURE
SYMBOL AFTER THE &
WAS PICKED TO GIVE
OF OUR SCHOOL!
EDITORS: BE SURE TO INCLUDE THE
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate. Inc.
11075 HERET
LET ME SHOW YOU
THAT'S OUR GYM
I WOULDN'T
VERY
AROUND OUR SCHOOL,
THERE'S THE
RECOMMEND
MR. PRESIDENT
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate. Inc.
FUNNY
PRINCIPAL'S OFFICE
IT TO ANYONE
AND THIS 15 OUR
WITH A WEAK
CAFETERIA
STOMACH
yor 1232
THOUGH
2.27
THANK YOU ALL
IT WAS NICE TO
AFTER TODAY I
ESPECIALLY
FOR LETTING ME
HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY
AM TOTALLY
COME TO YOUR
YOU!
WHAT
TO SHOW MY SUPPORT
COMMITTED TO KEEPING
CLASSROOM
FOR LITERACY
DID I
CHILDREN IN SCHOOL..
NO
DO ?
PROBLEM,
PREZ
© 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
BRAVO!
FOR RELEASE IN PAPERS FEB. 24 FEB. 29, 1992
JERRY
scall
2.29
200 PARK AVENUE
NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10166
212 692-3700
Rose
ose
UNITED
MEDIA
FYI
R2
February 17, 1992
President George Bush
c/o Mr. Marlin Fitzwater
The White House
Draft thank you
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
Washington, D.C. 20500
a
Dear Mr. President:
The world-renowned comic strip NANCY® by Jerry Scott
features a two-week series about you visiting
NANCY's school. I've attached the comics and a news
release about the series. NANCY is distributed to
more than 300 newspapers worldwide by United Feature
Syndicate.
I hope you enjoy this special series about you!
Sincerely,
april Zion
April Zion
Advertising Manager
Encl.
A SCRIPPS HOWARD COMPANY
200 PARK AVENUE
NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10166
212 692-3700
UNITED FEATURE
NEWS RELEASE
SYNDICATE
CONTACT:
April Zion
Mary Anne Grimes
212-692-3855
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
President Bush Visits NANCY's School in Comic Strip Series
NANCY has the thrill of meeting President George Bush and
escorting him around her school in a two-week series
beginning Feb. 17 in the NANCY® comic strip by Jerry Scott.
This is the first time Scott is using a real person in his
United Feature Syndicate comic.
Scott said, "This series isn't political. It's simply a
classroom visit by a very prominent person from a kid's
perspective. I was inspired by a story in the news some
time ago about a young student asking the president to show
some I.D. during a visit to a school. It sounded like
something NANCY might do."
Scott enjoyed the challenge of doing a caricature: "...but
I don't think the world's political cartoonists will be
losing any sleep over this. Drawing the president to fit
within the NANCY style was a lot of fun, and I'm really
proud that I was able to resist the temptation to put those
little 'NANCY-spikes' all over his hair."
NANCY is distributed to more than 300 newspapers by United
Feature Syndicate, which is a division of United Media, a
Scripps Howard company.
#####
021192
AN AFFILIATE OF UNITED MEDIA
A SCRIPPS HOWARD COMPANY
200 PARK AVENUE
NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10166
212 692-3700
UNITED
MEDIA
02 MAR 19 P | : 28
March 13, 1992
President George Bush
c/o Mr. Marlin Fitzwater
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
Washington, D.C. 20500
Dear Mr. President:
NANCY® cartoonist Jerry Scott and I were thrilled
to receive your hand-written notes regarding your
"appearance" in the NANCY comic strip. Thank you
SO much for taking the time to write to us.
Jerry Scott is so pleased that you enjoyed his
comic, he'd like you to have the enclosed
original.
I hope you' 11 continue to enjoy the comics!
Sincerely,
april Lion
April Zion
Advertising Manager
Encl.
CC: J. Scott
A SCRIPPS HOWARD COMPANY
HI! MY
HOW DO
YOUR GREATNESS
JUST
NAME 15
YOU DO,
YOUR HIGHNESS
"GEORGE"
GEORGE
UH UM
YOUR CHIEFNESS
YOUR
BUSH
YOUR
GEORGENESS...
MAJESTY
© © 1992 United Feature Syndicate, Inc.
VERRY
SCOTT
2-22
TO "HIS GEORGENESS" WITH ALL BEST WISHES - JERRY SCOTT
POOL REPORT # 1
Andrews Air Force Base - Charleston
February 21, 1992
A little spin, a good quote, some color.
Aboard were a handful of campaign spinners, including Fred
Malek, Charles Black, Haley Barbour and Torie Clarke; the major
topic was Buchanan, and whether or not he'd been frozen out of an
appearance at the Southern Republican Leadership Conference.
Not frozen a bit, said Black. He and Malek maintained that
South Carolina Governor Campbell had offered his slot -- on
Sunday. On the tarmac at Charleston Air Force Base, the governor
confirmed same, noting, "I'll give up my time if he wants it.
Don't let any one tell you he doesn't have time." Black said
several other Republicans had offered speaking time on Sunday,
including Gingrich and Gramm. Black added he thought Buchanan
believed "terrorism a better opportunity than a Sunday
appearance."
Malek said he thought Buchanan had "hit his high-water mark"
in New Hampshire, but declined to say by how much Bush will win
in Georgia. Of Gingrich's comment that Buchanan might get 35-40
per cent of the Georgia vote, Malek said, "I won't make any
judgment on the numbers."
Malek said he doesn't think the New Hampshire result is "any
reason for him (Bush) to change course." He said Bush has a sound
economic recovery plan, adding, "the American people don't want"
the plan now being sculpted by House Democrats.
Clarke advised people to "quit frothing" about changes in
political strategy. She predicted "95 per cent of this guy's
campaign will be about issues people care most about, the
economy, jobs, crime, education. As for bashing Democrats along
the way, she noted "you keep your eye on the prize at the end of
the game,' indicating there will be some "defining" of Democratic
candidates and ideas.
Skinner appeared briefly in the press section, but fled when
television lights turned on, calling over his shoulder, "Turn
that light off." Shortly before landing, there was a false alarm
about a Bush appearance, but the prez was apparently just showing
off AF One to guests.
Coming off Air Force One, Bush was accompanied by Senator
Strom Thurmond, who seemed to slip on the ramp at one point, but
quickly recovered. Bush posed for photos with more Points of
Light in the shadow of AF One, including two sailors wearing
submariner's insignia. The president then worked a ropeline about
25 yards long, pressing the flesh with servicemen and women, and
a lot of children. One woman called "We love you, president,' but
got no special notice from Bush. A small blonde girl in a pink
jacket got an autograph card. An Air Force colonel told folks at
the end of the line to "keep clapping," but Bush jumped into the
limo before getting that far. Thurmond, attempting to do some
flesh-pressing of his own, was apparently unrecognized by most of
the crowd.
The motorcade was uneventful; clumps of folks at the
intersections, many smiles, a lot of cheering. There were a few
Clinton supporters, however, one holding a sign saying, "No
Southern Comfort for Bush."
Sullivan, USIA
Wolfberg, Newsweek
POOL REPORT # 1
Andrews Air Force Base - Charleston
February 21, 1992
A little spin, a good quote, some color.
Aboard were a handful of campaign spinners, including Fred
Malek, Charles Black, Haley Barbour and Torie Clarke; the major
topic was Buchanan, and whether or not he'd been frozen out of an
appearance at the Southern Republican Leadership Conference.
Not frozen a bit, said Black. He and Malek maintained that
South Carolina Governor Campbell had offered his slot -- on
Sunday. On the tarmac at Charleston Air Force Base, the governor
confirmed same, noting, "I'll give up my time if he wants it.
Don't let any one tell you he doesn't have time." Black said
several other Republicans had offered speaking time on Sunday,
including Gingrich and Gramm. Black added he thought Buchanan
believed "terrorism a better opportunity than a Sunday
appearance."
Malek said he thought Buchanan had "hit his high-water mark"
in New Hampshire, but declined to say by how much Bush will win
in Georgia. of Gingrich's comment that Buchanan might get 35-40
per cent of the Georgia vote, Malek said, "I won't make any
judgment on the numbers."
Malek said he doesn't think the New Hampshire result is "any
reason for him (Bush) to change course." He said Bush has a sound
economic recovery plan, adding, "the American people don't want"
the plan now being sculpted by House Democrats.
Clarke advised people to "quit frothing" about changes in
political strategy. She predicted "95 per cent of this guy's
campaign will be about issues people care most about, the
economy, jobs, crime, education. As for bashing Democrats along
the way, she noted "you keep your eye on the prize at the end of
the game," indicating there will be some "defining" of Democratic
candidates and ideas.
Skinner appeared briefly in the press section, but fled when
television lights turned on, calling over his shoulder, "Turn
that light off. Shortly before landing, there was a false alarm
about a Bush appearance, but the prez was apparently just showing
off AF One to guests.
Coming off Air Force One, Bush was accompanied by Senator
Strom Thurmond, who seemed to slip on the ramp at one point, but
quickly recovered. Bush posed for photos with more Points of
Light in the shadow of AF One, including two sailors wearing
submariner's insignia. The president then worked a ropeline about
25 yards long, pressing the flesh with servicemen and women, and
a lot of children. One woman called "We love you, president,' but
got no special notice from Bush. A small blonde girl in a pink
jacket got an autograph card. An Air Force colonel told folks at
the end of the line to "keep clapping," but Bush jumped into the
limo before getting that far. Thurmond, attempting to do some
flesh-pressing of his own, was apparently unrecognized by most of
the crowd.
The motorcade was uneventful; clumps of folks at the
intersections, many smiles, a lot of cheering. There were a few
Clinton supporters, however, one holding a sign saying, "No
Southern Comfort for Bush."
Sullivan, USIA
Wolfberg, Newsweek
Air Force One Pool
Motorcade uneventful. Torie Clarke came back to chat up us up.
She said the end of the Bush speech, when he talks about unity,
was to show "what the party is about, what
we stand for."
Then a senior administration official came back to say:
There is concern about the impact of Buuhanan on the GOP. "You
always worry boy that you come out of it together."
Chatting about the growth package and the Democratic alternative, he said,
"The Democrats are making it easy for us they're making it political"
"We're as committed to phase one as we are to phase two."
On the resignation of NEA head Fronymeyer: "He came in last fall and
said k he wanted to resign
he told the president he was leaving
in October. " The senior official said the NEA head was not fired.
Again on=Biu Buchanan, he said the challenger won't be a force after
Sipe
Suppr-Tuesday.
Bedard-Washington Times
THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE
February 21, 1992
UNTIL FEBRUARY 22, 1992
The President today recognized the volunteers of the Children's
Advocacy Center of Sullivan County in Blountville, Tennessee as
the 701st Daily Point of Light for the Nation. The center and
its volunteers provide love, care, and a sense of well being for
children suffering from abuse and neglect.
For nearly 15 years, the center has taken a multidisciplinary
approach to caring for children victimized by physical or sexual
abuse. The youngsters' needs, as well as those of their
families, are addressed through investigative counseling,
advocacy, and education programs. Annually, five volunteers work
with over 100 children, who range in age from one to 18 years.
A council comprised of 17 agencies, organizations, school
districts, and hospitals supports the operation of the center.
Council members refer child abuse victims to the facility, where
they can be interviewed by trained professionals. Because a
sensitive contact person and a non-threatening atmosphere are
critical to gaining a child's confidence and trust, the center
uses specially designed rooms that create a comfortable
environment.
The volunteers comfort each child and try to rebuild the child's
trust and self-esteem by offering as much emotional support as
possible. Through the "court school" program, volunteers
acquaint the children and their families with knowledge of
courtroom personnel and structure, judicial processes, and legal
terminology. They participate in a mock trial to learn courtroom
behavior, manners, and dress. The goal is to ensure that
courtroom appearances will be less intimidating and painful to
these already vulnerable children.
The Children's Advocacy Center of Sullivan County, previously
known as Comprehensive Emergency Services, was modeled on the
National Children's Advocacy Center in Huntsville, Alabama.
Because of its success, it has been replicated in the Memphis and
Chattanooga areas.
The President salutes the volunteers of the Children's Advocacy
Center of Sullivan County for exemplifying his belief that, "From
now on in America, any definition of a successful life must
include serving others."
###
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Tracey Taylor or Miah Homstad
(202) 456-6266
THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate Release
February 21, 1992
STATEMENT BY THE PRESS SECRETARY
Chancellor Kohl of Germany will join the President for a meeting
at Camp David over the weekend of March 21-22. No agenda has
been set, but we expect the two leaders to cover the full range
of International issues.
# # #
THE WHITE HOUSE
Office of the Press Secretary
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
February 21, 1992
The President today recognized the volunteers of the Lend-A-Hand
program of Boulder City, Nevada, as the 700th Daily Point of
Light for the Nation. Lend-A-Hand volunteers provide frail,
elderly, and disabled individuals with a sense of well being
through in-home support and visitation.
Lend-A-Hand, a combined effort of church and community
organizations, was founded in 1989 by Patricia Duncombe, a
retired social worker, to fill the gaps in services available to
local residents in the home health field. Its four member
volunteer staff and 71 direct-service volunteers reach out to
over 108 homebound people each month, donating more than 400
hours of service.
Volunteers make an average of 12 to 14 home-visits per day to
visit with, check on, and lend a hand to those who are ill,
infirm, or in need of special assistance --- enabling them to live
independently in their own homes as long as possible and
providing respite to regular caregivers. Many volunteers and
Lend-A-Hand clients develop special friendships through their
daily or weekly interaction. Homebound individuals know that
someone in the community is concerned for their well being, which
may ease the anxiety of living alone.
In addition to 10 hours of initial training to become caregivers,
Lend-A-Hand volunteers also participate in hour-long in-service
training sessions each month. The training program is under the
direction of a retired registered nurse. Other Lend-A-Hand
components include outreach, support group, community resource
development, and educational programming for caregivers.
The President salutes the volunteers of the Lend-A-Hand program
for exemplifying his belief that, "From now on in America, any
definition of a successful life must include serving others."
# # #
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Tracey Taylor or Miah Homstad
(202) 456-6266
MATERIALS FORWARDED TO THE PRESIDENT
February 21, 1992
ACTION
1.
Roll Call Op-Ed on the Growth package
2.
Personnel Selection -- Gordon Shufelt for the Board of
Veterans' Appeals; Kansas-Nebraska Big Blue River Compact
Administration
3.
Policy Review of Section 337 Order (prohibiting future
importation or sale of certain fruit-flavored soft drinks
that infrige U.S. registered trademarks)
4.
Revised Resignation Letter for Ken Yale, Chief of Staff of
the OSTP
5.
Acceptance of Resignation Letter for John Fronhmayer
6.
Gift Letters
7.
Acceptance of Resignation Letter for General Trefry
8.
Mail Sample
9.
USA Weekend Questionnaire
CLASSIFIED
INFORMATION
1.
1992 Non-Career Ambassadorial Rotations notebook from Connie
Horner -- background material fo 10:30 a.m. 02/21 meeting
with the President
2.
Letter from Governor Carroll A. Campbell and copy of his
letter to Carla Hills re the Uruguay Round negotiations
3.
Gray Memo re Recent Recommendations of the Judicial
Selections Cmte
4.
Boskin/Gray Memo Attaching Articles on Regulatory
Initiatives
5.
Holiday Note re Letters to Administrative Officials on their
Support of SOTU
2
REMARKS
1.
Radio Address
2.
American Legislative Exchange Council - Cards
3.
Address to Southern Republican Leadership Conference --
reading copy
2-21-92
#
THE PRESIDENT
Dear Alvin -
"FYI" "
Hang in ! All But
of
FROM
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON, D.C.
Mr. Alvin Owsley
One Shell Plaza
910 Louisiana
Houston, Texas 77002-4995
CC: (in & out)
Rose Zamaria
(I copy)
Ricords- 2/21
Enclose
Frohnmarjer
letters (in iont
u/ card to
MR. OWSLEY
Bt
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
February 21, 1992
Dear John:
I received your letter of resignation today and,
with sincere thanks and appreciation for your
service, I accept your resignation effective May 1.
I recall your coming to talk to me about this on
October 24. At that time you told me you wanted
to step aside. I told you then that I certainly
understood your reasons for desiring to return to
private life.
Your job is one of the most difficult in government.
You have worked hard for freedom of expression; and
yet, at times, as you have ruled against certain
grants that you felt were beyond the bounds of
common decency, you have been criticized.
I thank you for the integrity and commitment that
you have brought to the National Endowment for the
Arts.
No two people can agree in every instance on every
grant or indeed on what is good art; in fact some
of the art funded by the NEA does not have my
enthusiastic approval. I expect some did not have
yours, but this should not obscure the overall work
of the NEA nor your contribution to it.
I thank you and wish you and your family well for a
very bright future.
Sincerely,
GBul
The Honorable John E. Frohnmayer
Chairperson
National Endowment for the Arts
1100 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20506
NATIONAL
WASHINGTON
ENDOWMENT
D.C. 20506
FOR
THE ARTS
A Federal agency advised by the
National Council on the Arts
February 21, 1992
The Honorable George Bush
President
White House
Washington, DC 20500
Mr. President:
Last October I told you of my desire to return to private life.
Accordingly, I submit my resignation effective May 1. 1992.
I have appreciated the opportunity to serve you and the arts;
you know how much your personal support has meant to me during
these difficult times. You and your administration have
accomplished a great deal and I'm sure the best is yet to come.
tab
JEF/lm
ALVIN OWSLEY
ONE SHELL PLAZA
910 LOUISIANA
HOUSTON, TEXAS 77002-4995
February 7, 1992
GB's 2/5/92 letter
attached.
Dear George:
Thank you for your letter.
I understand political lampooning.
Is Annie Sprinkle's exposure of her cervix not obscene? Is a figure of
Jesus Christ immersed in a jar of urine not degrading to the Christian religion?
What I don't understand is why my money taken from me by the United
States Government under threat of force is to be used for that purpose.
All the best,
Gener
President George Bush
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20500
92 FEB 10 PM 9: 02
NEA
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
February 5, 1992
Dear Alvin:
Thank you for your letter of December 27.
I appreciate your concerns about the NEA.
I do understand that many people have been
disturbed by some of the projects that have
been funded by the National Endowment for
the Arts or the State Councils. Certainly,
I oppose public funding for a work that is
obscene or that degrades a race or religion.
But political lampooning is all part of the
job. It's occasionally frustrating; but as
Harry Truman said, "If you can't stand the
heat, get out of the kitchen. "
Thanks again for your letter. Barbara joins
me Barbara. in sending warm regards to you and your
Sincerely,
Mr. Alvin Owsley
One Shell Plaza
Cy/
910 Louisiana
Houston, Texas 77002-4995
THE WHITE HOUSE
MRS. BUSH'S PRESS OFFICE
DAILY PRESS CLIPPINGS
Friday, February 21, 1992
Mrs. Bush
(in folder)
Secretary Skinner
West Wing
Marlin Fitzwater
West Wing
Constance Horner
West Wing
Carol Powers
West Wing
Patty Presock
Residence
First Lady Detail
Staircase
Karen Connell
Room 58 OEOB
Shirley Green
Room 94 OEOB
Anne Griffith
Room 98 OEOB
Diana Kellogg
Room 157 OEOB
Gregg Petersmeyer
Room 100 OEOB
Marguerite Sullivan
Room
268
OEOB
Carolyn Washington
Room 268 OEOB
Benita Somerfield
hold one copy
Ann Brock
Julie Cooke
Joan DeCain
Laurie Firestone
Jane Moore
Susan Porter Rose
Sally Runion
Peggy Swift
Anna Perez
Sondra Haley
Jean Becker
Jay Suchan
(plus originals)
The Modern Woodmen Winter 1999
If Mrs. Bush did not make this a
practice. she would be creating the
KNOW
following garbage:
1. Old Christmas greeting cards
2. Purchased gift tags
3. Gift tag packaging
4. Store bags holding her gift tag
NATURE
purchases
Instead she has cut down the
garbage flow to:
1. The old Christmas greetings,
but only after additional use.
Every year First Lady
And that is called reuse!
Knowing nature means being
XBarbara Bush pulls out her
sensitive to the problems of our
environment. As our garbage piles
Reuse
pinking shears and sits
continue to grow and grow and grow.
down with her boxes of
it is important for families to take
steps to reduce the amount of
greeting cards from the
individual waste they create.
Most of us are now recycling, but
previous year's Christmas.
let's take earth care one step further.
One by one, she studies
Make reuse of throwaways a family
goal-and a way of life.
it!
each card, finds the
Although reused items may
prettiest scene and cuts
eventually be thrown away. they take
the place of another resource that
that part of the card into a
would have been used. which cuts
back on the amount of waste disposed.
small rectangular or square
Shelley Owrutsky. editor of Reuse
tag. Then she punches a
News newsletter. stresses the impor-
by Julie Irish
tance of family involvement.
hole at the corner to place
"No child will start doing anything
environmentally sound if every time
a string. For years and years
he/she saves a milk carton or toilet
she has used these clever
paper roll Mom throws it out." she
explains.
creations as gift tags for
"We need to use what we have. It's
at a personal level. and it's easy to do."
packages.
Owrutsky shared some of her
favorite reuse ideas with The Modern
Woodmen.
NEWSDAY, WEDNESDAY. FEBRUARY 19, 1992
VIEWPOINTS
ELLEN GOODMAN
Mr. Bush, Our House Is Your House
HERE ARE MANY, many things that George
What happens in your house - if you are work-
T
Bush could learn from his wife. Warmth, for
ing and pregnant, if you want to keep a job and
one. Grace, for another. Syntax, for a third.
care for a dying parent - may be directly affected
That would be nice. The ability to convey the sense
by what happened that day in the White House.
So, his announcement speech is fair warning
of a person at ease in his own skin.
There are other things George could use if only
that we are in for another round of family rhetoric
Barbara could bring them to her marriage as part
but not a word of family policy. We're in for more
of a political dowry. Her job approval ratings, for
talk about family values but not a sentence about
family supports.
example. Or her popularity.
But last week. he borrowed a line from his wife
The president's fans called out "Four more years!
that could have used a good leaving alone. In his
Four more years!" Indeed, he is running for the
official announcement for re-election he quoted his
fourth term of the Reagan administration, for four
"favorite political philosopher Barbara Bush." He
more years during which he can tell American fam-
ilies: Ask not what your government can do for you.
"America's future doesn't take shape in small
said, "What happens in your house is more impor-
rooms with heavy polished wooden desks,' said the
tant than what happens in the White House."
president, "it takes place in homes where parents
Well, not exactly. Not always.
i
read to their children, talk about responsibility,
I had heard that sentiment from the First Lady
teach them values, show them how to love one
herself in June of 1990. On a controversial com-
another, respect one another and work hard."
mencement day at Wellesley College, she told an
As parents, we don't need to be told that children
audience of undergraduate women, "Your success
are raised best by caring families. But what happens
as a family, our success as a society, depends not on
when the child we' trying to comfort is sick and we
what happens in the White House but what hap-
can't afford a doctor? What if we have to chose
pens inside your house."
between being there to help with the homework or
Barely a month later, her husband had vetoed
working a second shift to save for college? What if
the Family and Medical Leave Act. This modest
"your house" is being lost to the economy?
centerpiece of any sane family policy, a bill that
The president tells us, "parents, not govern-
would have given millions of workers with a new
ment should make the important decisions about
baby or a seriously ill family member up to 12
health, child care and education." He says, "I be-
weeks of job-protected unpaid leave, died on Penn-
lieve in personal responsibility."
Exactly what decisions can a parent make about
sylvania Avenue.
health without insurance? About child care if the
slots are filled and the prices high?
As for personal responsibility? French parents
are not turned into irresponsible louts because
their government supports widespread and high-
quality child care. European families are not shat-
tered by paid maternity leave. Canadians do not
consider a health-care system a private matter.
Bush knows no more about family life in Amer-
ica today than he knows about supermarkets. He
has disconnected public life from private life and
government from the everyday concerns of family.
But responsibility is a collective word and commu-
nity is more than a thousand points of light. And
what happens to the White House this election
year depends on what happens in your house.
As for Barbara, well, I'll quote the words an-
other "political philosopher" found on a placard in
New Hampshire: "We like you, Barbara! But
you're sleeping with the enemy."
THE NEW YORK TIMES NATIONAL FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Bush's 'Home' Seeks Bankruptcy
HOUSTON, Feb. 20 (Reuters)
to renegotiate terms with the pri-
- The owners of the Houston ho-
mary lender, Prudential Insur-
tel President Bush calls home
ance.
have filed for bankruptcy.
Lawyers for the owners said
A suite at the hotel, the Housto-
the bankruptcy filing was unlikely
nian Hotel and Conference Cen-
to affect operations because the
ter, has long served as Bush's
hotel is under a long-term lease to
official residence for tax and vot-
a separate company, the Housto-
ing purposes, though he rarely
nian Hotel and Conference Cen-
visits Houston and spends much
ter, Inc.
of the summer at his home in
Texas Democratic party lead-
Maine.
ers used the bankruptcy to jab at
The hotel's owners, Burdened
Mr. Bush about the economic
with about $28.5 million in debt,
troubles affecting millions of oth-
mostly from renovations to the
er Americans. "I think this might
300-room hotel, filed for bankrupt-
help him get the message," said
cy protection under Chapter 11 on
Ed Martin, the state party's exec-
Tuesday after four years of trying
utive director.
4A . FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992 USA TODAY
CAPITAL LINE
USA TODAY'S BRIEFING ON WASHINGTON
BIPARTISAN MATCH: Presi-
dent Bush's daughter, Dorothy
Bush LeBlond, is marrying a top
aide to one her father's most vocal
Democratic critics, Rep. Richard
Gephardt, D-Mo. Barbara Bush's
spokeswoman Anna Perez said
LeBlond, 32, and Robert Koch, 31,
will tie the knot at the Camp David,
Md., presidential retreat, and the
bride-to-be's parents are "thrilled."
No date has been announced.
AP
LeBLOND: To wed
at Camp David
THE WASHINGTON POST : FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
Gephardt aide Robert Koch and fiancee Dorothy Bush LeBlond.
Doro S Left-Hand Man
The First Daughter's Democratic Intended
By Donnie Radcliffe
public relations consultant Mark
Washington Post Staff Writer
Johnson, says: "There's room for
more than one bumper sticker on
They say marriages are made in
the Koch family car."
heaven, but it's hard to imagine Dor-
No date has yet been announced
othy Bush LeBlond and Robert Petri
for the wedding of Doro Bush, 32,
Koch coming together anyplace but
divorced mother of two small chil-
Washington.
dren, and Bobby Koch, 31. But the
Where else but in this citadel of
White House says the ultra-private
bipartisanship could the daughter of
vows will be exchanged at Camp Da-
the Republican president of the
vid, the presidential retreat in Mary-
United States hope to find wedded
land's Catoctin Mountains. Koch
bliss as the wife of a top aide to one
gave LeBlond her ring Saturday
of her father's most persistent crit-
night over dinner while Sam Le-
ics, the Democratic majority- leader
Blond, 7, and Ellie, 5, looked on.
of the House? The very same Demo-
Koch (pronounced Cook) is by all
crat-Richard A. Gephardt of Mis-
reports a Democrat just as LeBlond
souri-some people think could end
by all indications is a Republican. But
up challenging George Bush in No-
Fred Hatfield, who was Koch's boss
vember.
when they worked for former House
But as one friend of the couple's,
See KOCH, C3, Col. -- 1
Page of 2
From
morny WIND Tenv Coemo OI
III from 1986 to 1989. says the CORT
And
mysen
..0n ground in the Kocn-LeBlona
seen in the decline.
curtship. which began just about a
in the late 1970s.
espital III the an after-
ther became a virtual barran III the
.0011. They nit IT on.
year ago. was never politics.
What they snare are very simiar
prestigious Congressional Country
Coeino savs Kech carled him some
ackgrounds. They're both tremen-
Club. to which he belonged. when he
nme later to say that LeBlond had in-
cously family-oriented. They both
led a seven-year battle against it be-
vited him to a state dinner. "I said. 'Re-
cause. he claimed. the club had been
member. your name will be in The
have great senses of humor. They're
skimming wages from some of its
Washington Post the next day. You
oth very athletic. They play ten-
predominantly minority service staff.
better go III and tell Dick Gephardt).'
ns-Doro plays well. and sometimes
he wins.
The ciub. whose membership 111-
Dick didn't have any problems with it.
Koch's performance on the courts
cludes members of Congress. was
but way back then we knew. the Bush-
amost certainly has been ranked ai-
never prosecuted because the statute
is too. it could cause some difficulties."
ready by the mythical Bush family
of limitations had expired. although
The Bushes were reportedly all for
Ranking Committee." believed to be
the Maryland attorney general's 0:-
Roch. doing what they could to help
composed of LeBlond's four older
fice found that there had been irregu-
me couple carry on a normal court-
brothers. The Bushes, remember.
lar payroll practices.
-mp. Barbara Bush reportedly kept
ion't like to lose.
After Coelho left Congress. Bobby
Koch's name oit that first guest list.
On the golf course. Koch has his
Koch went to work for Gephardt. As
though it showed up on subsequent
good and his bad days. Last summer
administrative assistant in the majori-
ones. In Kennebunkport. where the
II was one of the latter. when he
ty leader's office he is involved in ev-
Bushes vacationed last August and
rounded out a presidential foursome
erything from overseeing all adminis-
LeBlond took her regular morning
with actor Kevin Costner and tennis
rative functions to working out the
runs. Koch was identified to reporters
champ Andre Agassi. President Bush
legislative floor schedules and deter-
merely as an unnamed Secret Service
irove straight if not long. Costner and
mining Gephardt's political activities.
agent. And now that the two are en-
Agassi were steady if unremarkable.
"He's as smart as they come on the
gaged. the White House is handling
while Koch sliced his first drive. int-
Hill. with very much of a political
all media inquiries.
ung a muiligan aimost straight up.
"I hope." a disdainful president not-
mind. but he's not a wacko liberai."
As the president's son-in-law, Koch
ed later. "the summit with Gorbachev
says another Coelho alumnus. Tom
could be privy to information Bush's
Nides. who now works on Speaker
political opponents would relish.
goes better than golf with these
guys."
Thomas S. Foley's staff.
Friends like Tom Nides say that "ob-
Coelho, managing director of a
viously your first loyalty is to your
One enthusiasm of Koch's presum-
New York banking investment firm
wife. But- I have all the confidence in
ably not shared by Doro's dad is pro-
fessional wrestling. It's not unusual
who is a member of the National Re-
the world that Bobby will be able to
habilitation Hospital's board. recalls
handle a situation like that."
for him to jump on a plane to go to a
that the roots of the LeBlond-Koch
As for Gephardt. his reaction is be-
major bout.
courtship go back to one of the hospi-
ing funneled through his spokeswom-
On the political front. Koch has al-
tal's functions. LeBlond had moved to
m. Deborah Johns.
ready been ranked by Roll Call. the
Washington after her April 1990 di-
"He's very happy about Bobby and
insider journal of Capitol Hill. as one
vorce from William H. LeBlond. a
Doro." she said yesterday. "That's it."
of the Hill's "Most Powerful Staffers."
Maine contractor. and had gone to
Coelho, who resigned his California
work in the hospital's fund-raising and
congressional seat in June 1989 amid
special events office.
scrutiny over a loan from a California
"Doro expressed an interest in
savings and loan executive. credits
meeting Bobby," Coelho remembers.
Koch with running his successful cam-
"I counseled her that if someone
paign to become majority whip in
comes across aggressively. Bobby
1986.
moves the other way. So I told her
Koch's relationship with Coelho be-
we've got to go about this carefully. It
gan in 1983. shortly after he graduat-
took several months to get the first
ed from the University of Maryland
date going."
with a bachelor of arts degree in polit-
Then one day another Coelho aium.
ical science. He was 23 when he went
Heidi Hicks. invited Nides and Koch
to work for the Democratic Congres-
over to the hospital. "Let's put it this
sional Campaign Committee (DCCC),
which-Coelho chaired. A Washington
native, Koch is one of six children of
Helen and George W. Koch. His fa-
ther was president of the Grocery
Manufacturers of America until he re-
tired in 1990 and is legendary as a
lobbyist.
Martin Franks. vice president.
Washington. of CBS but executive di-
rector of Coelho's DCCC staff at the
time, remembers Koch as "the hour-
to-hour manager who kept track of
the commitments and promises" in
Coelho's whip campaign. "He was
very well organized. had marvelous
people skills and came from a family
which maintained high standards in a
2
N
THE NEW YORK TIMES METRO FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Chronicle
Love's labors: gains and losses. Among the
gains: Bushes' daughter is engaged
Among the
losses: Masters and Johnson are divorcing.
Love, your magic spell is every-
He's been paying special attention to
where. Well; almost.
the children.'
President Bush's daughter, DORO-
Mr. Koch and Ms. LeBlond, who
THY BUSH LeBLOND, will cross party
works on fund-raising and special
lines to marry a top aide to one of her
events for the National Rehabilitation
father's most vocal critics in the
Hospital in Washington, have been
Democratic Party, Representative
seeing each other for more than a
Richard A. Gephardt of Missouri.
year, and Mr. Koch has spent time
Ms. LeBlond, 32 years old, will mar-
with the family at Camp David. A
ry ROBERT KOCH, 31, at Camp David
good golfer, he has played with the
at a date yet to be set, Barbara
President several times. No political
Bush's spokeswoman, Anna Perez,
differences there.
told The Associated Press. Mr. Koch,
who is the administrative assistant to
Mr. Gephardt, the House majority
leader, proposed on Saturday
evening, when he took Ms. LeBlond
and her children, Sam, 7, and Ellie, 5,
out to dinner. She was divorced from
William LeBlond in 1990.
Ms. Perez said that the Bushes,
who were campaigning in New
Hampshire over the weekend, were
"thrilled" when they learned of the
engagement. A source close to the
family told The Associated Press:
"They just love him. They think he's
the most sensitive wonderful person.
Fri 21-Feb-92 0:21 EST
Bushes 'Thrilled' at Daughter's Engagement to Key Democratic Aide
By RITA BEAMISH
Associated Press Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) President Bush and his wife Barbara are said
to be "thrilled" at daughter Dorothy's engagement to a top aide of
House Majority Leader Richard Gephardt, D-Mo.
Dorothy Bush LeBlond, 32, plans to marry Robert Koch, 31, who is
the administrative assistant for Gephardt, one of Bush's toughest
congressional critics.
Mrs. Bush's press secretary Anna Perez confirmed the engagement
on Thursday, and when asked the reaction of the bride's parents,
she said they were "thrilled."
No date has been announced but the wedding will take place at
the presidential retreat at Camp David, Md., she said.
Although Gephardt has repeatedly criticized the president on
trade and other issues and is a frequent target of White House
barbs, both sides of the political fence are reported to be
accepting the news happily.
Gephardt and Koch have discussed the marriage, said Gephardt's
press secretary, Deborah Johns. "I'm sure he's happy for them,"
she said of her boss.
As for the Bushes, "They just love him. They think he's the
most sensitive wonderful person. He's been paying special attention
to the children," " said one source close to the family. Ms. LeBlond
has two children, Sam, 7, and Ellie, 5, from a previous marriage,
to William LeBlond. They divorced in 1990.
Friends said Koch proffered the ring on Saturday night, when he
took Ms. LeBlond and the two children out for dinner.
The president's daughter works on fund-raising and special
events for the National Rehabilitation Hospital in Washington.
Koch, an accomplished golfer, has toured the links with Bush on
several occasions.
DAILY NEWS
Friday, February 21, 1992
A lesson for the education honchos
There's a sim-
other policy matters, we tend to go search-
willing to make - and to demand - for it,
They do not dismiss the importance of
ple truth about
ing for answers before we reach agree-
the direct involvement of parents in their
the social services schools are called upon
schools that
ment on what the questions are.
children's school work)
to deliver; they simply insist that we sepa-
you won't find
For some of those who seek to influence
But their research into the academic
rate teaching from social services, and at
in any of those
school policy, the question may be how to
success in American schools of these refu-
least consider whether it's reasonable to
studies on
eliminate the problems of race and caste
gee children leads them to a secondary
try to do both at school.
school reform,
in our society, or how to raise the test
conclusion: That "the American school sys-
One social service that needs to become
school restruc-
scores of black and Hispanic children from
tem - despite widespread criticism - has
a matter of routine is teaching parents how
turing or edu-
poor families. For others, it may be how to
retained its capacity to teach, as it has
to get their young children ready for
cational choice.
get all of our children more interested in
shown with these refugees. We believe that
school learning. I'm talking about parent-
You won't find it in the reports detailing
math, science and English, or how to get
the view of our schools as failing to edu-
ing classes conducted in recreation cen-
how poorly our children are doing in com-
smarter teachers into our classrooms. For
cate stems from the unrealistic demand
ters and church basements for those who
parison with the children of Taiwan or
still others, it may involve better prepara-
that the educational system deal with ur-
already are parents, and I'm talking about
Denmark, or in the critiques of those stud-
tion for entry-level jobs after high school,
gent social service needs."
classroom parenting courses for junior
ies.
or improved college-prep courses, or
You knew that, too. Even if you hadn't
high and high school students. Yes manda-
I know only two places where you can
greater encouragement for girls.
heard it from your children's teachers
tory, and for boys and girls. Most of them
find it: in your own head, where the knowl-
With SO many questions, it is not surpris-
(which you probably have) you'd know it
will sooner or later be parents, so they may
edge has been for as long as you can re-
ing that the only thing we can agree on is
anyway: that the more you require schools
as well learn something about being good
member, and in the February issue of Sci-
that something is wrong and needs to be
to feed children, protect them from drugs
parents.
entific American magazine, where three
fixed
and violence, look after their health and
That one innovation, widely instituted,
researchers say it almost in passing.
Nathan Caplan, Marcella Choy and John
coach them in safe sex, the less time and
might do more to improve school outcomes
Here it is: America's schools - unre-
Whitmore, all of the University of Michi-
energy the teachers will have left for aca-
than all the reform/restructuring/choice
structured and unreformed - are doing a
gan, set out to explore reasons for the aca-
demics.
recommendations that occupy so much of
pretty good job of teaching children who demic success of the children of Indochi-iase Sayn themauthors The primary nole.ne II the educationaled boog $ sand
come to school ready for learning. VIDESE boat peoplement American. thateroft parentis That's GLOD to say that the schools don't
Now if you and I know that Their articleds Worth the the improvement
the people in charge of educationalipolicy (Their principal that of that some/things)
have such difficulty figuring it out?/The Hga the critical influende: to be done name, luggin nother
reason, suspect, is that as with SO many place on education the sacrificas they aremsledmns",1 prodit
But
you
knew
teat,
e.
Air Force One Pool
Motorcade uneventful. Torie Clarke came back to chat up us up.
She said the end of the Bush speech, when he talks about unity,
was to show "what the party is about, what
...
we stand for. "
Then a senior administration official came back to say:
There is concern about the impact of Buuhanan on the GOP. "You
always worry=abods- that you come out of it together."
Chatting about the growth package and the Democratic alternative, he said,
"The Democrats are making it easy for us they're making it political"
"We're as committed to phase one as we are to phase two."
On the resignation of NEA head Fronymeyer: "He came in last fall and
said k he wanted to resign he told the president he was leaving
in October." The senior official said the NEA head was not fired.
Again on=Biu Buchanan, he said the challenger won't be a force after
Signe
Suppr-Tuesday.
Bedard-Washington Times
THE WHITE HOUSE
BULLETIN
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MEMORANDOM FOR MARIA SHEEHAN
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SUBJECT:
TODAY'S BRIEFING
DATE:
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992 - 12:30 PM EDT
SINCE THE MORNING PAPERS:
0
Israel has halted its offensive into southern Lebanon, but says it may resume attacks if Lebanese
forces continue to launch rockets towards towns in northern Israel. A Lebanese rocket hit a house in
northern israel today, killing a five-year-old girl.
0
The chief UN weapons inspector today warned Iraq that any further hindering of disarmament
efforts could bring severe consequences. The message from the UN Security Council was delivered
by the chief inspector today in Baghdad. Meanwhile, a UN Commission is planning to recommend a
redrawing of the Iraq-Kuwait border in Kuwait's favor. forcing traq to relinquish some of the disputed oil
wells that spurred its invasion into Kuwait.
0
Financial news as of 12:30 PM EDT:
-
DOW (30 Industrials): Unchanged to 3280 on a volume of 135 million shares.
IN THE WHITE HOUSE AND AROUND TOWN:
0
An FDA advisory panel's decision not to ban silicone gel implants outright may have been the
result of subtle pressure from the White House, say sources. Late yesterday, the panel
recommended the implants be allowed, but with restrictions. Wednesday, after it became clear that the
FDA panel would not produce the scientific evidence that silicone was directly related to health disorders,
the White House expressed concern to HHS Secretary Louis Sullivan and urged that a compromise be
found that was "in the best interest of the public health." Earlier. sources say, at least one official from
the Illincis Medical Association communicated to the White House that in the absence of scientific proof
that the impiants posed a health risk, a decision to ban the implants would not be well received in the
medical community and could cost President Bush substantial political support from the nation's
physicians. Opponents of the ban also claim that the testimony of Congresswoman Marilyn Lloyd (D-TN)
before the advisory panel earlier in the week. and that of several plastic surgeons who oppose the ban,
also influenced Kessler. Lloyd, upon the advice of her physicians, had decided to seek the use of the
implants after breast cancer surgery. Kessler's relationship with the advisory panel is said to resemble
a prosecutor's relationship with a grand jury. "He can get them to dc whatever he wants." said one
source.
The White House Bulletin is a fax-delivered bulletin board covering policy, political and personnel developments in the
federal government and Washington. The Bulletin welcomes information from those in Washington. (Tel.) 703-684-2020
Paul Roellig, Publisher
William Armistead, Managing Editor
Richard Reed, Political Editor
0
Clayton Yeutter's Input as chief domestic policy advisor to President Bush is expected to result
in a strong, clear, conservative message from the White House for the 1992 campaign and beyond.
Yeutler, who started his position on Tuesday. will work closely with the President's domestic policy team
77 an attempt to convince American voters that, not only has George Bush had a good track record on
domestic issues over the last three years, but. more importantly, has developed a well-defined blueprint
for improving the country over the next tive years. "We certainly do need to get on top of the domestic.
agenda." says Yeutter. "Unfortunately. the perception at the moment is that isn't the case, so we have
to correct that." Yeutter told the Bulletin the White House has to "take this a step at a time. The first step
IS to Sit down among the top leadership group here and decide what our major themes are going to be,
both domestic and foreign. the rest of the way We have to get the focus on major themes and then,
once we've determined as precisely as we can what those major themas will be, then we have to have
the policy initiatives that support those themes." Yeutter added that, while it is too early to predict which
of the additional policy initiatives the Administration has had in the works for some time will emerge. he
said that ne, personally. feels "the President must lay out both a long-term and short-term strategy and
program. that would evidence sound conservative economic principles." Asked if this program would
provide a reason for voters to allow George Bush to govern for another term, Yeutter responded:
Absolutely. And to govern on those terms, that basis. Or putting it another way, my view is that we
need to lay out some broad themes, a la Ronald Reagan in 1980-81. and pound those themes vigerously
over the next several months. You will remember that, when Reagan came in, he had the major themes
of deregulation, reducing taxes. cutting spending and restoring the national defense -- four or five major
themes that were reiterated over and over again both in his campaign and in the ensuing months."
Yeuther says his "personal judgement is that the President needs to do essentially the same thing in
1892. Maybe with different themes - or at least with nuances that reflect the difference between 1992
and 1980." That "fundamenta" modus operandi" says Yeutler, is, in his judgement, "just as sound today
ES it was in 1980."
0
Many Republicans both in the White House and on the Hill are eager to see Yeutter succeed in
developing a conservative domestic agenda, though there is some concern that the rhetoric, once
it hits institutional barriers, may not be followed by action. "We are going to make this work," said
a senior policy aide in the White House. "With Sam [Skinner] and Clayton [Yeutter] coming here. there
IS a real chance to start anew and put forward some strong policies." in assessing Yeutter's mission, a
Republican Hill source reported: "The President needs to be seen taking action based on those
principles, as well as merely articulating them. Given the problems from the '90 summit decision the
White House made, statements alone. in absence of action, [will be insufficient)." The source added that
he is confident the White House will SOCD have the option to prove its intentions. "The Democrats will
pass their tax increase package next week, and after it comes out of the Senate and goes to the
President's desk, vetoing the tax increase will be a Presidential action consistent with those principles,"
said the source. "That will give a stronger communications message than merely saying you are against
it,' The Hill source saw there is an institutional stumbling block. however, to those in the White House
seeking to provide action to back up a conservative message: OMB. "There is always going to be the
problem of OMB being such a powerful institution within the White House." said the source. "Yeutter is
going to have to have not only nominal control of paper flow and a sufficient staff to develop proposals
to a level of Presidential quality, but he IS also going to have to be adept at resisting the OMB staff. They
have the elite staff and are a tremendous force."
0
A few added words in the President's State of the Union message has left President Bush
vulnerable to effective political attacks claiming he has jettisoned the S500-per-child exemption.
During the President's speech. te laid out his short-term economic growth initiatives which have been
incorporated into the Republican seven-point legislative package and then stated: "I submit my plan
tomorrow, and I'm asking you to pass it by March 20th. And ! ask the American people to let you know
they want this action by March 20th. From the day after that. if it must ba. the battie IS joined. And you
2
know. when principle is at stake I relish a good fair fight. I said my plan has two parts, and it does. And
it's the second part that 13 the heart of the matter. For it's not enough to get an immediate burst, we need
long-term improvement in our economic position." While describing the ninth "step" of this "second part."
Bush then said in his speech: "There's one thing we can do right away. ease the burden of rearing a
child. I ask you tonight to raise the personal exemption by $500 per child for every family." The Bush
White House continues to argue that by placing the initiative in the "second part" of the economic
package, it is quite clear the exemption was never intended to be in a package passed by Congress by
March 20th. But by saying he wanted it passed "right away." then not including it in the seven-point
legislative proposal the Republicans want to see action on by March 20, Bush's political opponents have
been successful in hammering the President for backing away from his proposal. "We wanted to do
something right away to accelerate the economy and put Americans back to work," said an Administration
official. "I don't think by (placing the exemption proposal in the second part, to be considered in the
summer) means it is slow. Our personal exemption doesn't even become effective until October 1 - it
is not necessary to enact it by March 20." The official added: "If somebody wants to add the personal
exemption into the seven and pay for it in any of the numerous ways the President has proposed in his
budget, then [Bush] would sign it in a minute." A White House official seconded the opinion that the
proposal was never designed to be included in the "fast-track" package, but stated: "It is unfortunate we
had to spend these last few weeks responding to that charge." According to Republican House source:
"The President has a problem in that the combination of the way he expressed it in the speech and the
followup coming out of Treasury managed to make it sufficiently unclear. So his opponents have been
able to exploit it and make it look either inconsistent or insincere."
0
Republican strategists are pleased with how they see Congressional Democrats positioning
themselves on their "economic growth package." With House Democrais pruning some pro-business
aspects from their original proposal in recent days. and the apparent willingness of Senate Finance
Chairman Lloyd Bentsen to follow their recomméndations for tax increases on the wealthy, Republicans
see & battle brewing that may well define the two political Parties again in their more traditional positions.
"Weire going to be able to savage it if that's the package they get behind," said a senior political advisor
to President Bush. "The House package has no significant investment incentives, a temporary middie-
class tax cut in exchange for a permanent tax increase on tolks they consider the wealthy including
a iot of people who don't consider themselves wealthy." According to a House Republican source: "I
think we are going to be nipretty darn good shape in presenting [our] two different views on taxation to
the American people by next week." The source added: "There has been clumsiness on both sides as
both parties maneuvered into their line of battle. but it is beginning to look like the Democrats will be
defending tax increases and we will be defending tax cuts. Not a bad position, given the track record of
the past year."
0
Bush campaign officials this morning dismissed media reports suggesting there is an ongoing
debate within the Bush campaign with respect to how it should handle Pat Buchanan's candidacy.
"We have put him on notice that if he criticizes the President, his charges will not go unanswered as they
did in New Hampshire and that we reserve the option to criticize some of his controversial views." said
one official. "Now we're waiting to see what he does. In the free media, he's been critical. He starts
advertising tonight in Georgia and he will hear from us if he starts criticizing the President." The advisor
added that should the campaign have to respond to Buchanan, the "tactical" decisions in terms of "when
and who says what about whom" will be made on a day-to-day basis. "The point is we are prepared for
a mammoth counter-punch if necessary."
0
National Highway Traffic Safety Administrator Jerry Curry is going about his normal business,
ostensibly unaffected by a recent firestorm between he and Acting Transportation Secretary
James Busey, according to Administration officials. According to the officials, all talk about Curry
possibly withdrawing his nomination to replace Busey as Federal Aviation Administrator has stopped. and
3
"things have gotten very quiet over the whole issue." Asked if the disagreement between Busey and
Curry nas blown over, one Administration official said: "That is a matter of speculation. Perhaps they
have decided to wait until Secretary Card comes in before taking any strong action. You must remember
that [the current hierarchy at Transportation Department] is an interim arrangement."
0
Today, President Bush meets with Secretary of State Saker: attends a buefing for the American
Legislative Exchange Council: addresses the Southern Republican Leadership Conference in Charieston,
South Carolina: and spends the weekend at Camp David.
PERSONNEL:
0
Gerald Austin has joined the Paul Tsongas Presidential campaign as senior advisor. Austin served
as campaign manager for Jesse Jackson's Presidential campaign in 1988 and worked for Minnesota
Senator Paul Wellstone's victory in 1990.
0
Mary Joy Jameson has resigned her position as the Director of Public Affairs at the Department
of Energy to become Vice President for public affairs at the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in
New York. Jameson's resignation becomes effective next week, and no replacement has been
announced.
POLLWATCH:
c
The latest CNN/USA TODAY/Gallup poll shows President Bush slipping in popularity, but
maintaining his lead over Democratic contenders. The survey of 754 nationwide voters conducted
February 19-20 reveals:
--
The President's approval rating fel. to an all-time low of 39%, down from 47% on February 2.
-
42% say President Bush deserves to be re-elected. down from 51% on February 2.
--
58% expect the President to be re-elected. down from 63% in early February.
27% think a Democral will win, down from 29%.
--
President Bush would beat Bill Clinton, 53% to 43%, and would win over Paul Tsongas. 54% to
39%.
Clinton would take a victory over Pai Buchanan, 49% to 40%, while Tsongas would win 43% to
41%.
Among Republicans, 78% prefer President Bush for the nomination, while 20% would choose
Buchanan.
--
62% of Republicans think Buchanan should stay in the race, while 30% think he should drop out.
-
Among Democrats, 41% favor Clinton, 31% like Tsongas, 7% are for Jerry Brown, 6% for Bob
Kerrey, and 5% for Tom Harkin.
Those Democrats who are satisfied with the Democratic field of candidates come in dead even
with those who would like someone else to enter the race, both at 45%.
0
A statewide survey of voters in Massachusetts, taken in the days immediately preceding the New
Hampshire primary, shows Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton leading George Bush 43 percent to 34
percent in a theoretical general-election contest. The poll, conducted by Voter-Consumer Research
(VCR) of Bathesda, Maryland, sampled 600 registered voters from February 15-16. VCR's Jan van
Lohuizer called the results "significant in that this is the first head-to-head contest in a state where, as
a result of exposure generated in the state's media markets in advance of the New Hampshire primary.
both candidates are well known." Meanwhire, Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld, a Republican, is said
to be in "strong shape."
4
POLITICAL ANALYSIS:
This morning, the Builetin invites Larry Kudlow. Senior Managing Director and Chief Economist at Bear
Stearns, to discuss the economic growth packages now being considered on Capitol Hill. Kudlow served as
Associate Director of OMB for Economics and Planning in the Reagan Administration.
BULLETIN: What do you think of the way the economic growth proposals are shaping up on Capitol Hill?
KUDLOW: The tax debate in Washington is creating tremendous confusion right now both for business and for
investors. In fact, although there is still the hope of a pro-growth tax bill, the current discussions probably are
delaying recovery because people are delaying investment and business decisions until they can clarify what tax
measures will be taken and when'these measure will be effective. The net result of the current discussion is that
the confusion is causing an across-the-board postponement of economic activity which will probably hold back
the recovery ir. the first half of the year.
BULLETIN: Many in the financial sector say they would like to see Congress lower the tax rate on capital gains,
but they are now laced with the reality that a capital gains tax reduction, if it comes at all, will come at a price.
All told. would you prefer the Congress and the President to tough. it out on an aconomic growth package. or
would you prefer it If they just dropped the whole subject?
KUDLOW: I'd like to see them push forward, mostly because I see the primary election results in New Hampshire
to be somewhat promising. particularly with regard to Tsongas's victory. Tsongas himself is arguing for a capital
gains tax cut and against 6 quick-tix middle-class tax cut. There is a disconnect between Tsongas's views and
the views of the Democratic leadership in the Congress. On the other side, the results on the Republican side
in New Hampshire will cause Bush to be even tougher on pro-growth tax cuts and against any tax increase. So
the political dynamic is changing and I don't think the Democratic leadership is going to necessarily have the last
word on this. Furthermore, ! think the public at large would react with hostility toward an increase in the personal
income tax because that proposal is not limited to millionaires. This 35 percent rate is going to affect people in
the $30,000-to-$60.000 income range -- a constituency both Paul Tsongas and Bill Clinton hope to win back to
me Democratic Party, So politically. the rate hike would be a tremendous mistake for the Democrats, and
economically, higher income taxes are exactly the wrong medicine right now. All in ali, I think there is plenty of
manetivering room to take account of what is happening out there on the campaign trail - -- events which suggest
that some of the House and Senate leaders are barking up the wrong tree.
BULLETIN: Bush has proposed a 90-day freeze on regulations to help spur economic growth. Do you think
regulations nave had that great of an effect on the economy?
KUDLOW: Bush reversed the Reagan and Carter deregulatory policies, And in the last three years, we have
seen a tremendous surge of regulatory costs on business, particularly. but not limited to. the environmental area.
This has created a serious obstacle to business expansion and economic growth, representing a major error in
Bush's economic program.
: approve of Bush's regulatory freeze. but hasten to ado that the 90-day freeze by itself has no direct bearing
on future regulations unless the President appoints a very tough-minded director of the OMB Office of Information
and Regulatory Attairs (OIRA), which has been decimated under Darman's OMB leadership. For example. in the
Reagan Administration. the people who held that office were people who were committed to deregulation and
regulatory cost reduction. To this day, Darman has yet to appoint a permanent policy person to run that office,
and that office is al the center of the effort to roll back regulatory costs. The President has not backed up his
policy with sufficient personnel changes to generate credibility.
BULLETIN: What's your forecast for the economy in the next year?
5
KUDLOW: In real terms, | think the economy will grow by about 2.5 or 3 percent in the next year. Most of this
will occur in the second half of 1992 and the first half of 1993. Very little of it will occur in the first half of 1992.
That 2.5-3 percent recovery rate is less than half of the normal post-WWI! average recovery. Therefore. it will not
significantly reduce the budget deficit nor will it significantly increase employment and incomes. It is a highly
unsatisfactory butlook.
One of the things that troubles me on this point is that. if you draw out a chart, plotting the average growth
di the US economy over the past 40 years. it's been on average a three percent real rate of growth -- and that
includes recessions and recoveries. Under the current OME economic projections -- which assume 2.5 percent
growth in the next year and about 2.8 percent in the out years - we will not get back to the long-run trend line
of three percent growth. The gap by 1997 is three Inilion dollars in lost real output from that long-run baseline.
! refer to that a3 a growth deficit. Secause this economy is expected to recover in a sub-par, anemic fashion. we
are threatening the long-run health of our economy and we are falling behind our own 40-year. post-WWII
sconomic track record. Implicit in this is the loss of 10 million jobs than would be the case if we could get back
on that 40-year trend line. That is a very disturbing. declinist point of view, which is why I believe the Bush
Administration should go back to the drawing board and create a much stronger, more incentive-minded tax
package. If they don't then I think Paul Tsongas will do it for them.
BULLETIN: Do you think that slowdown of growth is made-in-Washington?
KUDLOW: I do. The combination of tax increases on capital, real estate, labor, together with regulatory cost
burdens have cumulatively acted to hold the economy below its long-run trend line of growth. Unless these
policies are reformed. and the obstacles to growth removed, the declinists out there may yet be right. And that
would be a tragedy.
LAST LAUGHS:
0
Dennis Miller: "President Bush has finally mentioned Buchanan by his name today. Bush is getting
better though. It only took him six months to say 'Buchanan.' It took him a year to use the word
"recession," (The Denn's Miller Show, 2/20/92)
0
Johnny Carson: "i think [President Bush] is going a little too far with the foiksy image. Today at a press
conference he patted Dan Quayle on the head and called him "Opie." (NBC The Tonight Show, 2/20/92)
0
Johnny Carson: "The President is doing everything he can to appear more folksy. The other day in
Atlanta he called room service and ordered a 'mess' of caviar." (NBC The Tonight Show, 2/20/92)
Copyright @ 1992 by the Bullotin Broadfaxing Network. Reproduction without permission prohibited.
The White House Bulletin is published business days by the Bullotin Broapfaxing Network. Alexandria. Virginia
-- END OF FAX -
6
DATE: February 21,1992
DAILY NEWS CLIPS
The Washinton Post
The Washington Times
The Wall Street Journal
USA Today
The New York Times
Office of Media Affairs
FRIDAY.
FEBRI
ARY
21.
1992
ThetWashington Post
Baker Plans
Clinton Camp Stretching
A Shakeup
In Personnel
Front-Runner's Patience
By John M. Goshko
Tsongas: S.O.B. Reference Inappropriate
Washington Post Staff Writer
Secretary of State James A. Baker
ing himself as the "champion of
III is planning a major reshuffling of
By David S. Broder
farmers." In his latest ad, a nar-
senior State Department policymak-
and Howard Kurtz
ers and ambassadors that will affect
Washington Post Staff Writers
rator says: "For 17 years, he's,;
been battling to save America's
areas ranging from U.S. represen-
BANGOR, Maine, Feb. 20-
tation at the United Nations to ne-
family farms on the House and
Democratic presidential candi-
Senate agricultural committees.
gotiating the disposal of the former
date Paul E. Tsongas complained
Better credit terms, fairer
Soviet Union's nuclear arsenal, ac-
bitterly tonight about attacks on
prices, drought relief, opening
cording to department sources.
him from the camp of his nearest
foreign markets. Tom Harkin
The sources said that an inter-
other former Soviet republics pos-
rival, Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton,
not only fought for those farm"
locking, domino-like series of shifts
sessing strategic missiles and nu-
and said he was ready to retaliate
bills, he helped write them."
would send Reginald Bartholomew,
clear warheads on procedures for
if the criticism continued.
An ad for Tsongas is narrated
undersecretary of state for security
collecting, disarming and eventually
At a rally here, Tsongas point-
by Russ Sauvage, a former foot-
affairs, to Brussels to succeed Wil-
destroying these weapons.
ed to an article in today's edition
ball star at the University of
liam Howard Taft IV as U.S. am-
Many department sources say
of USA Today quoting Clinton
South Dakota, who says: "I've
bassador to the North Atlantic
they are puzzled by why Baker wants
adviser Paul Begala as saying of
known Paul Tsongas for a long
Treaty Organization. Frank G. Wis-
to move him out of these negotia-
the favorable news media cover-
time. He comes from a town
ner, currently ambassador to the
tions while they are at a delicate
age of Tsongas: "You live by the
that saw hard times, and he's
Philippines, would replace Barthol-
stage and replace him with Wisner,
puff, you die by the puff. That son
determined to bring our econ-
omew as undersecretary.
who has been in the Philippines only
of a bitch has lived by the puff.
omy back. I'd vote for Paul
Richard H. Solomon, currently
since last summer. In addition, they
and now.
Tsongas even if he wasn't mar-
assistant secretary for East Asian
point out, while Wisner long has
Tsongas said he had not joined
ried to my daughter, Niki."
and Pacific affairs, would become
been regarded as one of the fastest
other Democrats in criticizing
Tsongas also is running his
ambassador in Manila, and he would
rising stars of the Foreign Service,
Clinton when the governor was
"swim" ad, which shows him
be succeeded as the department's
his career has been devoted almost
under attack for alleged marital
swimming the butterfly stroke,
chief Far Eastern expert by William
exclusively to African and Middle
infidelities and his draft record.
on Maryland and District sta-
Clark, now ambassador to India.
Eastern affairs, and he has no back-
"Given the fact that 1 deferred
tions. Clinton, who is not yet ad-
Thomas R. Pickering, U.N. am-
ground in arms control.
all that time, when there were so
vertising in Maryland, denied that
bassador since the start of the Bush
Bartholomew, a former ambas-
many openings, I'm just asking
he has all, but conceded the
administration, already had been
sador to Spain and Lebanon, will be
for equal treatment," Tsongas
state's March 3 primary to Tson-
tabbed to move to New Delhi, and
going to Brussels at a time when
said, kicking off his campaign for
Edward J. Perkins, director general
the Cold War's end has raised ques-
gas.
Sunday's Maine caucuses.
"I'm going to run in Mary-
of the Foreign Service, is slated to
tions whether NATO, long the
"Just because I won the New
land," Clinton told reporters in
take over as U.N. ambassador.
mechanism for the Atlantic Alli-
Hampshire primary does not
Albany, Ga., recounting his vis-
The sources said the reasons for
ance's collective military defenses
suggest that kind of language is
its to the Free State. "I'll be
these specific choices, which Baker
against the Soviet Union, has any
appropriate. If they want to go
back there in a couple of days."
reportedly has cleared with Presi-
reason for continued existence.
down that kind of road, I'm
In a fresh sign that the Dem-
dent Bush, are known only to the
However, Baker has put a high pri-
quite willing to go down that
ocratic nominee probably will be
secretary and his small inner circle
ority on maintaining NATO as a
road with them. I would hope
one of the five declared candi-
of aides. Some sources said the best
political alliance so that it can pro-
that kind of thing will cease."
dates, House Majority Leader
explanation they have been given is
vide an institutional setting for a
Begala said he attempted to
Richard A. Gephardt (D-Mo.)
that Baker agrees with the policy,
continued U.S. presence in Europe.
reach Tsongas headquarters
said that Tuesday's New Hamp-
adopted under former secretary of
Unlike the others, who are ca-
today to apologize for the term
shire primary has not changed
state George P. Shultz, of rotating
reer diplomats, Solomon is a former
"I often use to describe myself
his mind about the decision he
senior personnel at three-year inter-
political science professor. Before
and even my candidate in jest,"
made last July against running
vals to bring fresh perspectives to
taking the East Asia post in 1989,
the Associated Press reported.
for president. "I made my de-
bear on major international issues.
he served as director of the depart-
"Even though I meant nothing
cision. It was a firm decision
However, while most have com-
ment's policy planning staff. Clark's
negative or nasty, it's some-
then, it's a firm decision now,"
pleted three years in their current
Foreign Service career has been
thing I shouldn't have said, and I
Gephardt said.
posts, some of the impending
spent largely in Asian affairs.
want to apologize to Senator
changes have raised eyebrows
The decision to move Pickering
Tsongas for saying it."
Broder reported from Maine,
among department officials.
has raised eyebrows in diplomatic
In South Dakota, the images
Kurtz from Washington. Staff
Bartholomew, for example, has
circles because of his reputation as
are more pastoral, and farmers
writers Kenneth J. Cooper in
held the security undersecretary's
one of the most effective U.S. rep-
are making their first appear-
Washington and David
job from the outset of the admin-
resentatives at the United Nations.
ance in campaign ads.
Maraniss in Georgia
istration. In recent months, how-
Perkins served under President
Iowa Sen. Tom Harkin is bill-
contributed to this report.
ever, he has become the principal
Ronald Reagan as this country's first
U.S. negotiator with Russia and the
black ambassador to South Africa.
I read this in the Chicago Tribune magazine:
"Children today are tyrants. They contradict
their parents, gobble their food and tyrannize
their teachers.-Socrates (470-399 B.C.)" So
what's new?-G.L., Akron, Ohio
House Democrats Scuttle Corporate Income Tax Cut
Leadership's Proposal for 1% Reduction Scrapped to Satisfy Members Unhappy With $90 Billion Revenue Plan
By Eric Pianin
ital gains tax provisions are more
Mitchell (D-Maine) in calling for an
opposed using defense savings for
that prevent defense money from
generous to the wealthy than Pres-
increase in taxes on the rich to pay
tax relief.
being shifted to domestic programs.
Washington Post Staff Writer
ident Bush's proposal and that the
for the tax package-possibly along
Byrd and others have proposed
The House Democratic economic
House Democratic leaders yes-
package does more to advance the
the lines of the millionaires' surtax
changing the 1990 budget agree-
package was formally introduced
terday scrapped a proposal to re-
party's political agenda than to help
and the increase in the top income
ment to allow Congress to shift bil-
late yesterday, after Ways and
FRIDAY. FEBRU 21. 1992
TheWashington Post
duce the corporate income tax rate
the economy or hold down the def-
tax rate adopted last week by the
lions of dollars from the defense bud-
Means Democrats lopped off the
by one percentage point in a move
icit.
House Ways and Means Committee
get to pay for domestic programs
proposed cut in the corporate tax
to reassure Democrats who are un-
"I find it incredibly ironic that at
Democrats.
and public works projects as a means
rate and a proposed one percentage
comfortable with their party's $90
the same time the effects of the sup-
Bentsen said he told members of
of stimulating the economy.
point reduction in the corporate
billion tax proposal and say it does
ply-side economic binge of the '80s
the Senate Democratic caucus yes-
Office of Management and Bud-
alternative minimum tax rate.
too much for the wealthy.
are crashing down on the shoulders
terday that "any tax cuts that we
get Director Richard G. Darman
Many Democrats complained
For the second day in a row,
of every American family, we appar-
made would be balanced with tax
this week hinted that the adminis-
that the provisions, costing $17 bil-
House Democrats complained to
ently have a faction of the party that
increases; that we would not look to
tration might go along with a
lion over five years, were too gen-
Speaker Thomas S. Foley (D-
thinks the proper response is to re-
the peace dividend, that we would
change in the budget agreement for
erous for the business community.
Wash.) and other leaders about the
peat the mistakes of the '80s," said
stay within the tax structure."
increased domestic spending, if
Moreover, corporate lobbyists, who
details of the middle-class tax relief
Rep. David R. Obey (D-Wis.).
Late last year, Bentsen proposed
Congress agrees to impose spend-
were miffed by another provision
and economic growth package,
Meanwhile, Senate Finance Com-
using a 5 percent cut in defense
ing ceilings on some mandatory
aimed at penalizing companies that
which will be sent to the floor for a
mittee Chairman Lloyd Bentsen
spending to pay for a $300 tax cred-
spending programs, other than So-
pay their top executives more than
vote next week.
(D-Tex.) announced that he has
it for children 18 and under and to
cial Security and Medicare.
$1 million annually, did practically
Foley predicted that the bill
abandoned his proposal to pay for
once again make all individuals el-
Yesterday, the House Govern-
nothing to save the corporate tax
would be approved, despite grum-
middle-class tax relief and economic
igible for a fully deductible $2,000
ment Operations Committee ap-
rate reduction.
bling within the Democratic caucus
growth measures by shifting money
individual retirement account. How-
proved a bill introduced by its chair-
The bulk of the savings from
and nearly unanimous opposition
from the defense budget.
ever, Senate Appropriations Com-
man, Rep. John Conyers Jr. (D-
eliminating the two provisions will
from Republicans. However, some
Instead, Bentsen joined with Sen-
mittee Chairman Robert C. Byrd
Mich.) that would alter the agree-
go for deficit reduction, Ways and
Democrats complained that the cap-
ate Majority Leader George J.
(D-W.Va.) and others have bitterly
ment by eliminating the "fire walls"
Means aides said.
FRIDAY. FEBRI ARY 21.1992
The Washington Post
against it being that it would de-
then reopened, with the argument
But the debate over strategy was
Super Tuesday March 10.
state that votes between now and
attack and do it in almost every
the 1988 primary races: Go on the
president should do what he did in
Washington insider and that the
taxing, big-spending, uncaring
be allowed to define Bush as a big-
decided that Buchanan should not
visers and strategists. They then
tion, campaign and outside GOP ad-
primary, according to administra-
did not lose the New Hampshire
relief Tuesday that the president
Bush and his aides reacted with
campaign across the South.
on Buchanan directly in an intensive
tative decision Wednesday to take
had second thoughts about a ten-
Bush and his senior aides yesterday
Patrick J. Buchanan, President
with the conservative challenge of
bate over over how best to deal
In another sign of the internal de-
Washington Post Staff Writer
By Ann Devroy
See BUSH, A8, Col. 1
country debating with Patrick Bu-
Bush will "not be going around the
swered" but said that primarily
paign, his charges "will be an-
where Buchanan is running a cam-
Marlin Fitzwater said that in states
White House press secretary
"presidentiality."
main above the fray to retain his
advertising if needed, and will re-
surrogates and perhaps television
leave the defining of Buchanan to
said yesterday. is that Bush will
The likely compromise. officials
are running against ourselves."
What they didn't want was us. We
voters did not want Buchanan.
test vote. Most of the Buchanan
against Buchanan. That was a pro-
Hampshire to say we are running
a fundamental misreading of New
chanan, just another candidate. It is
ident in the same category as Bu-
to the strategy. "It puts the pres-
country," said one adviser opposed
an and chasing after him across the
ident down in the mud with Buchan-
"It is just suicidal to put the pres-
on-the authority of his office.
prive Bush of his greatest weap-
President May Rely on Aura of Office
Strategy Toward Buchanan
Bush Campaign Rethinks
Bush Campaign Has Second Thoughts on Challenger
and campaign into what one aide
day-not a loss but a setback-was
sional Republicans who he said
BUSH, From A1
called a "hurricane of meetings" in
interpreted by Bush and his advis-
"have little faith" in the ability of the
chanan" but instead outlining his
trying to decide not only what to
ers as a call for change, but not fun-
White House and campaign to de-
program.
say about such a devastating out-
damental change.
vise and stick with a strategy that
Buchanan signaled that his crit-
come, if it occurred, but also what
In interviews Wednesday, Tee-
strengthens Bush's position without
icism of Bush will be getting more
to do next.
ter, Fitzwater and others said
alienating conservatives, while at
pointed by delivering before a con-
To a kind of guerrilla faction in
Bush's policies and message would
the same time dealing with the
servative audience yesterday a
the administration and Congress
not be altered but that his campaign
broader question of voter discon-
slashing attack on the president for
who have contended that there are
tactics would be different.
tent with Bush.
signing the 1991 Civil Rights Act.
problems with Bush's message,
Buchanan's opposition to the Per-
Virtually all Bush's advisers are
And the debate over how to handle
there seemed to be an opening to
sian Gulf War would be one likely
convinced he will defeat Buchanan
him reflects the flood of solicited
make the case they had made for a
target for Bush's efforts to "define"
but are strongly divided on how
and unsolicited advice from worried
year: That a fundamental change
his opponent, officials said.
much Buchanan's attacks can harm
Republicans that has poured into
was needed.
But yesterday, a source said the
the president's standing for the
the campaign and White House fol-
One of that group, a House Re-
use of the war will be framed not as
general election campaign. They
lowing the New Hampshire prima-
publican, said yesterday, "The pres-
an issue of patriotism or as an effort
are equally divided over how to han-
ry. Bush got 53 percent of the total
ident is not giving the voters a rea-
to reignite the support Bush had
dle Buchanan's conservative con-
in the state; Buchanan, 37, and oth-
son to vote for him. This is an elec-
then, but as a leadership question.
stituencey so as not to alienate the
ers, 10.
tion in which the voters are saying,
"We want to talk about the war
basis of the GOP presidential coali-
Campaign Chairman Robert M.
'What are you going to do for me
not to say Buchanan is not a patriot,
tion in a way that would keep con-
Teeter warned Bush at mid-day
tomorrow,' not 'What did you do for
but to say, 'Hey, look, this president
servatives from voting in Novem-
Tuesday that the early exit polling
me yesterday.' Talking about his R
faced a crsis and handled it brilliant-
ber.
in New Hampshire indicated there
and D initiative doesn't do it."
ly. He is the only one in the field
Bush and his team of establish-
was a chance he might lose, accord-
The R and D reference was to
whose response in the crisis is
ment Republican advisers, one
ing to two senior officials.
the trip Bush took Wednesday to
known and seen.'
source said, "are having a lot of
Officials said Teeter had gone
promote research and development
Sources inside the campaign and
trouble understanding what Bu-
into the primary with four possible
funding in his economic package in
White House say there is consider-
chanan wants, why he is doing this."
scenarios, the worst being a Bush
a bland speech that got no news
able confusion and division-al-
Bush, one official said, "has never
win in the high-40s. But he had pre-
coverage.
though not panic-over where
had a real protest candidate running
viously told Bush all available ev-
What was covered, the Repub-
Bush should go from here.
against him. It's like a weird animal
idence indicated he would win by a
lican pointed out, were Bush's com-
Adding to the division is what one
he's got here. 'What's he want?
25-point margin. The warning of a
ments-on Buchanan.
House GOP source called. a "very
How can we get him to stop? How
possible loss sent the White House
The eventual outcome Tues-
sour" mood among some congres-
can he be serious?"
Buchanan Slashes Bush
FRIDAY.
FEBRI
ABY
21,
1992
For Civil Rights Action
The Washington Post
Law Said to Foster Reverse Discrimination'
March 3 primary in Georgia his
By E. J. Dionne
Washington Post Staff Writer
next stand against Bush and will
have an advantage there because
In a slashing attack on President
Duke, the former Ku Klux Klan
Bush that married the resentments
leader who also is running for the
of race and class, Patrick J. Buchan-
Republican presidential nomination;
an pointed his presidential cam-
is not on the Georgia ballot. Bu-
paign squarely toward the upcom-
chanan's remarks suggested that he
ing primaries in the South by charg-
will target the same constituency of
ing the president with signing a civil
low- to moderate-income whites
rights bill that would lead' to "re-
who flocked to Duke's Senate and
verse discrimination."
gubernatorial campaigns in Louisi-
Speaking to a receptive audience
ana.
at the annual meeting of the Con-
House Minority Whip Newt Gin-
servative Political Action Confer-
grich (R-Ga.), who also spoke to the
ence, Buchanan used the highly
conservatives, said afterward that
charged rhetoric familiar to sup-
he expected Buchanan to get 25 to
porters of former Alabama govern-
35 percent of the Georgia vote be-
or George C. Wallace and former
cause of dissatisfaction with Bush.
Louisiana state representative Da-
In his address, Buchanan contin-
vid Duke to assail the well-born,
ued to assail Bush's tax and eco-
Yale-educated Bush for signing the
nomic policies, but his speech
marked a shift in focus to social and
1991 Civil Rights Act.
Arguing that the law would result
racial issues designed to win sup-
in racial quotas, Buchanan declared:
port in the upcoming southern con-
tests.
"Now, if you belong to the Exeter-
For example, Buchanan also at-
Yale GOP club, that's not going to
tacked Bush for increasing funding
bother you greatly, because as we
for the National Endowment for the
know, it is not their children who
Arts. He called the endowment "the
"There is no democracy in Ku-
zawa, suggesting that Bush and the
get bused out of South Boston into
upholstered playpen of the arts and
wait," Buchanan said. "Mr. Bush,
Japanese are SO close that "a Bush-
Roxbury, it is not their brothers
crafts auxiliary of the eastern lib-
who denounced [Iraqi President]
Miyazawa ticket" may be in the
who lose contracts because of mi-
eral establishment" and said it had
Saddam Hussein, is now playing
making.
nority set-asides, it is not the scions
been "subsidizing both filthy and
footsie with [Syrian President]
Asked about Buchanan's re-
of Yale and Harvard who apply to
blasphemous art."
Hafez al-Assad, who is a character
marks, Torie Clarke, press secre-
become FBI agents and construc-
Referring to two of the most con-
at least as repulsive.
tary for the Bush campaign, issued
tion workers and civil servants and
troversial artists supported by the
"Mr. Bush said, our enemy is not
a mild riposte. "If Pat Buchanan
cops, who bear the onus of this re-
NEA, Buchanan added: "I really
the Iraqi people, it is Saddam Hus-
wants to discuss the war and civil
verse discrimination.
don't care what Andres Serrano
sein, and yet the Iraqi economy is
rights, that's fine, because it's very
"It is the sons of middle America
does with his bodily fluids or what
destroyed. Iraqi children are starv-
clear who's got the upper hand on
who pay the price of reverse dis-
Mr. [Robert] Mapplethorpe does
ing, and Saddam Hussein sits on his
those issues," she-said. "The pres-
crimination advanced by the Walk-
with that bullwhip, as long as we
throne," Buchanan added.
ident fought very hard for three
er's Point GOP to salve their social
taxpayers don't have to pay for it."
Buchanan's aggressiveness on
years and finally got civil rights leg-
consciences at other people's ex-
Buchanan also sought to antici-
the war issue may simply reflect his
islation without quotas."
pense," Buchanan said. "If I am
pate attacks in the pro-military
passions on the subject, but his fer-
A sharper response to his com-
elected, my friends, I will go
South on his opposition to the Per-
vor may have been heightened by
ments on civil rights came from
through this administration, de-
sian Gulf War. Buchanan was care-
polls suggesting that the war is a
William L. Taylor, vice chairman of
partment by department and agen-
ful to praise Bush as an "excellent"
far less important issue than it was
the Citizens Commission on Civil
cy by agency, and root out the
commander-in-chief. But far from
a year ago.
Rights, a group of former federal,
whole rotten infrastructure of re-
downplaying his stand on the war,
Turning his attention to another
officials. "It is, unforunately, noth-
verse discrimination, root and
Buchanan insisted he had been right
country, Buchanan dismissed crit-
ing new," he said. "But it sets a hor-
branch."
all along and assailed Bush's gulf
ical remarks about him from Japa-
rible tone for the campaign that's
Buchanan has vowed to make the
policies.
nese Prime Minister Kiichi Miya-
coming up."
were doing," he said.
results.
The discrepancy was exacer-
seemed to be ashamed of what they
"Bush people going to the polls
the poll than Bush supporters.
were more willing to participate in
who were interviewed and who
ers" among the 1,848 Republicans
strongly committed Buchanan vot-
crepancy was a result of bunch of of
Mitofsky speculated that the dis-
polls for CBS.
previously directed surveys and exit
thing that bad," said Mitofsky, who
point margin; I've never done any-
Buchanan by 5 points. That's a 10-
percentage points and overstating
had VRS "understating Bush by 5
nal poll results for the GOP primary
to the election outcome. But the fi-
ocratic side were virtually identical
The exit poll results on the Dem-
edged yesterday.
executive director of VRS, acknowl-
Republican race," Warren Mitofsky,
"There was a terrible skew in the
16-point margin.
beating Buchanan by 53 to 37-a
rick J. Buchanan. Bush ended up
with only a 6-point lead over Pat-
exit poll showed President Bush
explanation of why the final VRS
why votes are cast, is looking for an
other clients with information on
vides the television networks and
Surveys, the organization that pro-
Specifically, Voter Research and
exit poll are trying to explain the
conduct the most widely reported
New Hampshire and the people who
The final returns are in from
Washington Post Staff Writer
By Richard Morin
the day.
shape interpretation for much of
That early perception helped
same thing: a tie.
subsequent update showed the
percent of the projected vote. And a
chanan deadlocked, each with 49
GOP numbers showed Bush and
Bill Clinton of Arkansas. But
percentage-point margin over
E. Tsongas holding a
former Massachusetts senator
was shaping up as predicted,
On the Democratic side,
cluding The Washington Post.
tions that had bought the survey
2:30 for the other news organiza-
the four network sponsors
places, were available at 2 p.m.
voters as they left selected polling
based on about 600 interviews-
The first results of the
close their race was.
to be an exaggerated view of
deadlocked, painted what turned
sults showing Bush and Buchanen
largely based on early exit
Those early characterizations,
that they did it.
ing to do that, and I was surprised
body agreed that they weren
in attitude by the networks.
among the guilty. "That's a change
and its chief competitor ABC,
ing that his former employer, CBS,
closed at 7 p.m., Mitofsky said,
tion," before most of the
acterizing the outcome of the elec-
"There was an awful lot of
Hampshire.
ners before the polls closed in New
not to release results or pick wis
not the terms, of their agreement
its sponsors to violate the spirital
bated by the willingness of some of
Tries to Explain Results
Conductor of Exit Poll
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
TheWashington Post
the personal experiences he has
for the sake of the nation, hopefully
ruptcy won't make Bush homeless,
"Although the Houstonian's bank-
Texas Democrats yesterday.
nomic recession was not lost on
Suite 271.
This bit of irony amid the eco-
tax. And now Bush may not have
idence. Texas has no state income
Houstonian Hotel as his legal res-
Texan, claiming Suite 271 in the
But come tax time, Bush is a
joy Atlantic breezes.
race around the golf course and en-
the cigarette boat into the water,
bunkport, Maine, fast enough to put
mer, Bush cannot get to Kenne-
Come vacation time each sum-
the Beltway?
lishment poohbah from well inside
have it-a big-government, estab-
he-as Patrick J. Buchanan would
of Walker's Point in Maine? Or, is
fish-chasing, lobster-eating squire
of boy from Texas? Is he the blue-
eating country music fan and good
Is Bush an oil-drilling. pork-rind-
anew-Where is he from?
Bush for most of his adult life rose
Thus, an issue that has dogged
bankruptcy protection.
to his door yesterday. They filed for
that he calls home brought reality
woe, owners of the Houston hotel
sulated from Americans' economic
cern that President Bush is too in-
shire primary evidenced public con-
Two days after the New Hamp-
Special to The Washington Post
By Christopher B. Daly
tax.
Sunday Telegram Feb. 2 saying,
placed a full-page ad in the Maine
national Citizen's Action group,
The alliance, affiliated with the
interview from Portland.
not to," Christie said in a telephone
can afford to pay this. He chooses
He's a very wealthy man, and he
voted for Bush, but this isn't right.'
"People are calling up and saying, 'I
mental, health and consumer issues.
statewide group active in environ-
of the Maine People's Alliance, a
George Christie, executive director
but we think it's sleazy.". said
"What Bush is doing is not illegal,
in Texas but pays no state income
spends much more time there than
lion estate in Kennebunkport and
because Bush maintains a $2.2 mil-
neighbors expressed unhappiness
scheduled Sunday, some of Bush's
presidential-preference caucus is
In Maine, where a nonbinding
photos for his stay.
hotel staff will bring out the family
there. If custom is followed, the
next Thursday and Friday nights
nights in 1991. Bush plans to spend
that he was "home" only three
newspaper columnists have noted
eral manager, although several
cording to Jim Sugarman, the gen-
about 10 to 15 nights a year, ac-
Bush stays at the Houstonian
utive director.
Ed Martin, the state party's exec-
to turn the economy around," said
more than election-year gimmicks
message across: It's going to take
gone through will finally get the
For Bush, There's No Place Quite Like Home
Opens Bankruptcy Case
President's Texas Address
ship."
owe
contributed to this report.
Hudson in Austin, Tex.,
special correspondent Elizabeth
Staff writer John E. Yang and
where he lives."
Avenue in Washington-that's
is a resident of 1600 Pennsylvania
ing back: "As everybody knows, he
One more thing, Foster said, call-
He spent his adult life there."
as. He represented it in Congress.
pay. His official residence is in Tex-
"He pays every tax he is supposed to
$25,000 in Maine property taxes.
day, noting that Bush pays more than
secretary Gary Foster said yester-
tired of addressing the address issue.
are writing that it isn't fair."
Maine. Even the Maine Republicans
tion of anti-Bush feeling comes from
"Certainly, the highest concentra-
Andy Welch, Sharp's spokesman.
these coming from Maine," said
icate of "honorary Texas citizen-
hate taxes. He sends back a certif-
those who say they love Texas or
more than 43,000 coupons from
in Texas someday.
Sharp (D), saying they intend to live
Texas State Comptroller John
a coupon that readers could mail to
idency in Texas. The strip provided
"like the prez" and declare legal res-
"Doonesbury" comic strip to do
ry Trudeau told readers of his
of health care."
"provide 330 poor kids with a year
hire eight public school teachers, or
$165,000-enough, it noted, to
ing Maine income tax, he would
the ad said that, had Bush been pay-
January issue of Money magazine,
your taxes."
"This is all a farce," deputy press
White House aides seem to be
"We see a large percentage of
Sharp has been swamped with
On the same day, cartoonist Gar-
Maine
Quoting figures culled from the
"George Bush: Read our lips. Pay
about
South Dakota Becomes Political Battlefield
Vote Likely to Produce Casualty; Tsongas Faces First Real Test Outside New England
take its course. For them, next Tuesday's South
shire in the aspirations of its Democrats. "Dem-
By Edward Walsh
Dakota primary is widely seen as a sort of demo-
ocratic people are looking for a winner," said
Washington Post Staff Writer
lition derby, with the loser's campaign almost
Alan L. Clem, professor of political science at the
SIOUX FALLS, S.D., Feb. 20-Last Novem-
certain to be left a wreck.
University of South Dakota. Clem added that "if
ber, after a state party dinner in Des Moines,
For Tsongas, the primary will be his first real
Clinton can survive these negatives, they could
three of the five Democratic presidential con-
test outside his native New England and will be
go for him."
tenders chartered aircraft and flew to a horse
closely watched for evidence of his potential na-
Tsongas made it clear today that he has no
farm north of here for an appearance before the
tional appeal. And for Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton,
intention of matching wits on agriculture policy
South Dakota party faithful. The other two-Ed-
the New Hampshire runner-up, South Dakota
with his two Farm Belt opponents. A day after
mund G. "Jerry" Brown Jr. and Paul E. Tson-
offers a chance to finish ahead of Tsongas and
Harkin, he too toured the Sioux Falls Stock
gas-got left behind because they could not af-
perhaps one of the Farm Belt senators.
Yards, ending up in the pig auction arena where'
ford to rent a plane.
Suddenly South Dakota, out of the way and
he stood on a floor covered with straw in front of
What a difference one election can make.
accustomed to being not much more than a blip
a sign that said, "Not an official weight."
Today, Tsongas finally made it to South Dakota
between New Hampshire and the March 10 Su-
Tsongas promised to "listen and learn" while
in his own chartered plane. The winner of Tues-
per Tuesday primaries, has become a battle-
campaigning in South Dakota. "I don't pretend to
day's New Hampshire Democratic primary was
ground. All five of the candidates will be in the
be an expert. on some of the issues that affect
greeted by local reporters curious to see how the
state this weekend for a debate Sunday and oth-
this part of the country," he said.
New Englander would deal with the mysterious
er campaign events.
But Tsongas, without naming Harkin, assailed
complexities of farm policy. He also was greeted
It is both different and the same as the first
proponents of "protectionist, Japan-bashing" pol-
by a sure sign of his new status after New Hamp-
battleground in New Hampshire. Farm prices
icies that he said could ignite a trade war in which
shire-a few shots from his opponents.
are depressed, but unlike in New Hampshire the
one of the main casualties would be the agricultural
Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) started it Wednes-
overall economy here is far healthier than it was
exports of South Dakota and other farm states.
day when he accused Tsongas of being "one of the
in the 1980s, when this region went through a
Tsongas said he considered South Dakota a
cheerleaders for the Reagan economic program"
wrenching economic retrenchment while much
battle chiefly between Harkin and Kerrey, and
while in the Senate. Sen. Bob Kerrey (D-Neb.)
of the rest of the country, including New Eng-
he declined to say whether he expected to finish
continued today, describing Tsongas as a "corpor-
land, was booming.
ahead of Clinton here. "Winning is not something
ate lawyer who is a registered lobbyist in Wash-
Off the farms, the economy is in even better
we expect," he said.
ington" rather than a "Washington outsider."
shape. Earlier this week, the Sioux Falls Argus
But for Harkin and Kerrey, not winning here
"At least I got their attention," Tsongas replied
Leader published a front-page story on how nation-
could mean for their campaigns the fate described
today. "If I'm such a regional candidate, why are
al publications have discovered the city as "a haven
on a sign near the pig arena where Tsongas spoke.
they spending time on me? If I'm a regional can-
from the recession." The state has an aging pop-
"The Sioux Falls Livestock Market will no
didate, why not let natural events take their
ulation, much of it in small towns, and health care,
longer receive non-ambulatory livestock," the
course?"
Kerrey's chief issue, is a prime concern.
sign said. "Animals arriving in that condition will
Harkin and Kerrey cannot risk letting nature
But South Dakota is the same as New Hamp-
be euthanized humanely."
Rowland Evans and Robert Novak
After New Hampshire: Two Deluded Parties
George Bush's political lieutenants,
At the White House, Bush opera-
possible 30 to 40 percent showing in
The truest post-New Hampshire
sist Gephardt in his reentry. On the
relieved that the president's embar-
tives believe the spin they provide the
every state right up through reces-
conclusion by the White House is that
other side of the Capitol, Sen. Lloyd
rassment in New Hampshire was not
news media: The 18-percentage-point
sion-torn California June 2. In the
the Democrats are George Bush's
Bentsen seemed ready to heed pleas
deeper, conclude that the worst is
victory by the president is a great
South, Buchanan can unleash the ra-
secret weapons. That Clinton is once
from colleagues and become a candi-
over and await easier southern en-
feat; no place is so unfavorable for
cial quota issue abandoned by Bush.
again favored to be nominated after
date.
counters against Pat Buchanan.
Bush as economically desolate New
The fear of GOP pros is that Bush
dropping one-third of the votes given
Not after New Hampshire's re-
Democratic politicians, noting adu-
Hampshire; nowhere can Buchanan
will react by attacking Buchanan as an
him by the polls 17 days before the
turns. On Tuesday night, Gephardt
lation heaped on Bill Clinton for fin-
concentrate the time and money he
extremist. The spectacle in New
primary is attributable to an adoring
decided to stay in Congress, and Car-
ishing second in the opening primary,
lavished on one little state; in the
Hampshire of a Republican president
news media, accepting his claim of
rick flew back to the coast the next
The Washington Post
conclude that the governor of Arkan-
conservative South, where the econo-
assailing the "far right" could be re-
being the comeback kid.
day. That was not because of the win
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
sas has surmounted his troubles and
my is not so bad, Bush will sail home
peated across the country.
The New Hampshire primary had
by Tsongas, whose apostasies from
will pass cleanly through southern
easily. Privately, they complain Bush
The answer is for Bush not to
been seen by Democratic politicians
Democratic orthodoxy (pro-business,
primaries to a November encounter
himself refused to release a TV com-
attack Buchanan (as he signaled
as the means to emancipate them
anti-protectionist, refusal to take or-
with destiny.
mercial indicting Buchanan as a critic
Wednesday that he would) but to zero
from a choice between Clinton, bur-
ders from organized labor) make him
These baroque conclusions drawn
of Desert Storm.
in on the Democratic-controlled Con-
dened with questions of character,
so different from Gephardt.
from the results in New Hampshire
All this obscures the reality con-
gress and try somehow to dissociate
and Tsongas, whose victory did not
Gephardt and Bentsen dropped out
suggest two disordered political par-
fronting Bush. Exit-poll interviews
himself from inside-the-Beltway wis-
erase doubts about his electability.
because Bill Clinton's vote was 26
ties. Just as the Republican high com-
confirm that the president's record in
dom that led to his 1990 tax increase
House Majority Leader Richard
percent instead of 21 percent. That
mand had convinced itself that Bu-
office has ripped not only the conser-
and his decision to postpone his prom-
Gephardt, toughened and tested in
feat was exalted by reporters he has
chanan was no real threat in New
vative movement but the fabric of the
ised middle-class tax breaks. The
Hampshire, it now blinds itself to
Republican Party, with Buchanan vot-
the 1988 presidential run, had confid-
charmed and by liberal special inter-
president's first speech after New
Bush's weakness nationwide. Demo-
ers saying they would prefer a Demo-
Hampshire, addressing the Knoxville
ed to colleagues he was ready to
est groups that view him as much
cratic leaders see themselves as pow-
crat to Bush.
Chamber of Commerce, took a timid
enter the race if last Tuesday's vote
safer than Tsongas. Here is one justi-
His credibility boosted by his per-
first step in that direction, but genteel
count revealed a vacuum. Bill Carrick,
fiable cause for satisfaction at the
erless to prevent the nomination of
Clinton, the candidate many of them
ceived performance in New Hamp-
Congress-bashing was submerged in
the astute Los Angeles-based political
White House after New Hampshire.
view as most vulnerable against Bush.
consultant, flew to Washington to as-
01992, Creators Syndicate, Inc.
shire, Buchanan is propelled into a
bureaucratic prose.
Robert Kuttner
The Democrats' Tax Muddle
At a moment when the Republican economic
To some extent, this is tactical posturing, intend-
the majority view among congressional Democrats
program has plainly faitered, the Democrats have
Paul Tsongas happens to
ed to produce a bill that a majority of Democrats
is not the majority view of the whole House. That's
an unparalleled opportunity to distinguish their
can support but that the president will veto. But
why the House Democratic Caucus is furning.
economic philosophy from that of the Republicans.
share many of President
underlying this jockeying for turf is confusion about
"We're hopelessly scrambling the message, and it's
But the Democrats are in real danger of squander-
which of several possible courses makes the most
not even going to do anything for the economy,"
ing the opportunity.
The reasons have to do with Democratic confu-
Bush's views on business
political and economic sense.
says one despairing congressman.
Is it better to tax the wealthy to provide tax
Complicating the Democrats' task is the race for
sion about their fundamental principles, with the
tax relief.
relief for the middle class? Or to tax the wealthy to
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
ThetVashington Post
the Democratic presidential nomination. The Dem-
conflicting logic of presidential and legislative poli-
provide money to generate new investment? Apart
ocrat who won the New Hampshire primary hap-
tics, and with the fragmentation of Congress itself.
from who pays the taxes, should the revenues be
pens to share many of President Bush's views on
The most immediate problem is the role of
used to reduce the deficit? Or should taxes be cut,
business tax relief. Not surprisingly, Paul Tsongas
tax-writing committees of Congress. These com-
decided to defer the portion of his own recovery
even if that means a bigger deficit, in order to
ran strongest among the most affluent New Hamp-
mittees-House Ways and Means and Senate
package that awarded tax relief to the middle class.
Finance-have immense power to bestow tax
Here at last was a chance for Democrats to
stimulate recovery now? Should the peace dividend
shire Democrats. This does not bode well for
embarrass the White House and get back on the
be invested, or spent on tax relief or used for deficit
Democrats' ability to differentiate themselves from
breaks on industry; their members invariably reap
reduction?
Republicans on tax and budget issues.
the most special-interest campaign money, and
side of the working stiff.
in pressing a middle-class tax cut, the Demo-
Finally consider this: If Tsongas or his New
they attract lobbyists like a picnic attracts ants.
But by the time the bill came back from the
Ways and Means Committee to the Democratic
crats have opened themselves to the charge that
Hampshire runner-up, Bill Clinton, continues to
To be a member of a tax-writing committee is to
seem implausible as the nominee, the heavyweight
be in a perpetual state of moral hazard. "The Ways
Caucus on Wednesday, it included a cut in the
they are merely pandering to the voters, not
and Means Committee is SO rotten that even the
corporate income tax rate and full indexation of
addressing the recession. But that, I think, is unfair.
most likely to be lured off the Democratic bench to
capital gains taxes, consuming most of the revenue
For better than a decade, Republican policies have
run for president is Sen. Lloyd Bentsen of Texas,
good guys on the committee lose their compass,"
says one influential Democratic aide. "Most cong-
to be raised by the higher taxes on the well-off.
shifted the tax burden from the well-off to the
the chairman of the tax-writing Senate Finance
ressmen and senators never see three-quarters of
The business tax cuts were to be permanent,
middle class. It is good policy as well as smart
Committee and the most Republican of all the
the lobbyists in town, because the lobbyists only
while the tax relief for the middle class was to
politics to restore tax equity, quite apart from
senior Democrats in his views of taxing and
work those two committees."
phase out after two years. In effect, the money
whatever strategy is devised to promote a recov-
spending. So, one way or another, the muddle in
On Feb. 12 the House Democratic Caucus
raised by taxing the rich would be recycled
ery.
the Democrats' economic message is, likely to
right back to the rich. The Democratic Caucus,
It is also sensible policy to increase federal
continue.
agreed that the Democrats should devise a tax and
budget plan that maximized the distance between
dismayed with the product, then voted to direct the
borrowing during a recession, in order to generate
themselves and President Bush. The Democratic
Ways and Means Committee Democrats to scrap
a recovery that will then reduce deficits over the
Note: In a recent column I criticized the economist
plan would include a tax hike on the very rich, tax
the bill and return with a more plausibly Democrat-
long term. What ought to divide Democrats from
Charles Schultze for believing the economy could
relief for the broad middle class, and narrowly
ic plan. Yesterday, the Ways and Means Commit-
Republicans is the question of where that spending
"deflate its way to recovery.' This description was
targeted tax incentives for business only as a
tee Democrats tentatively agreed to kill the corpo-
should go: to public investment and tax relief for
overly glib and also misleading: Schultze does
temporary recovery measure.
rate tax cut-but retained other tax preferences
the middle class, or to tax relief for the affluent.
advocate greater fiscal discipline for the long term,
Democrats seemingly were well positioned to
for business. Meanwhile, Senate Democrats decid-
However, just enough conservative Democrats
but he supports deficit spending in the current
carry out this strategy, since the president had
ed not to spend the peace dividend on tax relief.
share essentially Republican economic views that
recession.
FRIDAY.
FEBRUARY
21.
1992
The Washington Post
The third source of distortion is the
echo chamber effect. Once a media
consensus is reached about the meaning
Charles Krauthammer
of the numbers-a process that takes at
most an hour or two of network time-
the verdict is endlessly repeated and
Curious
lovingly embellished into some grand
over-interpretation. The most astonish-
ing example of this effect-it still in-
spires awe-is the great "new ideas"
Campaign
bubble that followed Gary Hart's (unex-
pected) nine-point win over Walter
Mondale in New Hampshire 1984. It
Arithmetic
generated a media bounce so huge (if
brief) that Hart was able to carry Flori-
da, for example, on momentum alone.
Today's beneficiary of media bounce
Campaign arithmetic keeps getting
is Buchanan. Having beaten the 40
curiouser. Bush beats Buchanan in New
percent hurdle the media had estab-
Hampshire by 16 points-twice the
lished for him (in fact, he finished with
margin of his 1988 "landslide" over
37 përcent, but early returns had him
Dukakis-and the New York Times
over 40), he "won." But that will not last
front page speaks of "Buchanan's near-
long. It is absolutely guaranteed: If in
triumph."
the coming primaries Buchanan contin-
On the Democratic side, Bill Clinton
ues to run strong but second (say,
comes in nine points behind Paul Tson-
between 30 and 45 percent), the bloom
gas and the media declare Clinton res-
will be off. The media will create a new
urrected. Four years ago in New
standard. The question will be, "Where
Hampshire, Bob Dole came in nine
does he win one?" If Buchanan cannot
points behind George Bush and Dole
produce a clear triumph in any one
was declared decisively beaten.
state, he will have failed to meet expec-
The nice thing about the general
tations and he will be said to have "lost."
election in November is that the winner
But what did he "win"? No doubt,
is determined by addition: You add up
New Hampshire demonstrated a large,
the electoral votes and see who got
indeed ominous reservoir of Republican
more. It doesn't matter a whit what the
ill feeling toward Bush. Exit polls
media say about it. In the primaries,
showed that more than half the Bu-
however, raw votes mean nothing.
chanan vote was a "send a message"
Winners are determined by divination:
protest and that almost a third of Re-
the people speak in numbers, but the
publicans would not vote for Bush' in
media get to translate them into words.
November. But a "near triumph" for
Translation is an inherently distorting
Buchanan? Buchanan won in an ex-
enterprise. First, it is the early returns
tremely conservative state at the bot-
that produce the prime-time TV head-
tom of a deep recession against a
lines and shape the story. Trouble is, the
president with no message, no pro-
early returns are often wrong. Early on
gram, and no convictions. (To say noth-
Tuesday night, Buchanan and Bush
ing of the fact that the one statewide
were running neck and neck. The gap
newspaper acted, in effect, as a Bu-
between them did not get really wide
chanan campaign organ.)
until it was over. By then the the story
Consider one totally overlooked New
line had been set and the legerid
Hampshire result: 10 percent of the
launched: Buchanan's near triumph. It is
Republican electorate-six times more
almost as if the late returns don't count.
than in 1988-voted for minor candi-
Second, the early deciders don't ei-
dates, or wrote-in Democrats. That
ther. The media play not just the ex-
means that more than 20 percent of
pectations game but a peculiar kind of
the anti-Bush protest vote could not
expectations game: the late expecta-
bear to pull the lever for Buchanan, the
tions game. The winner is the guy who
protest candidate.
does better on Tuesday than he was
Nonetheless, Buchanan's New
expected to on the preceding Saturday.
Hampshire "win" will now enter conser-
It is almost as if those voters who made
vative lore. It will help him immensely
up their minds before the last weekend
in his attempt to make his '92 campaign
don't count. The winner is the one who
a replay of Reagan's in '76 and thus a
wins the late deciders over the last
gateway to the White House four years
weekend.
from now. The game plan is simple:
Take Clinton. He was declared
Challenge a weak Republican incum-
healthy after New Hampshire because
bent, weakening him further and estab-
he beat the expectations game. By that
lishing yourself as the leader of a cen-
we mean the expectations of Saturday,
servative insurgency. The doubly
when he was 20 points behind Tsongas.
weakened president falls in November
By that standard, finishing nine points
to a mediocre Democrat, say a relative-
behind translates into a comeback. The
ly unknown southern governor. The
fact that Clinton was 20 points ahead a
Democrat messes up, and four years
month ago counts for nothing. It is the
later you ride in from the right, reclaim
last media guess that counts. Beat it,
the party, and win it all.
and bask.
I doubt that Buchanan can take. the
Similarly, Buchanan was stuck at
plan as far as Reagan. Buchanan's
around 30 percent until the last week
brand of conservatism is simply too
of the campaign. When he finished near
angry, too narrow, and too bigoted. A
40, that 10-point jump exceeded the
subject the media might turn to-as
latest expectations and made him the
soon as they get over celebrating his
winner.
New Hampshire "victory."
Vietnam-Mortal Thoughts
At my last visit to the Vietnam War
Since the Vietnam disaster has been
drawn a low number. he would have
Memorial. I found the point in time on
swept into the political campaign, it
been drafted and very likely sent to
the chronological roll of the dead at
would only be fair to Gov. Clinton as
Vietnam.
which my own commitment in work
well as to the electorate to have the
The facts suggest Gov. Clinton is
against the war became firm. At that
results of a public opinion poll that would
sincere in saying he decided to make
point, more than 20,000 had been killed.
ask:
himself available for the draft. He had
If the war had ended then, 1.. :e than
(1) With the benefit of hindsight. do
not entered into the cadet contract it-
TheWashington Post
30,000 would have been spared.
you agree or disagree with the position
self: he had only agreed to enroll in the
As presidential candidates have been
taken by Gov. Clinton and his fellow
future. That agreement was unenforce-
asked to account for their actions during
FRIDAY. 21, 1992
university students in opposing our in-
able, SO if Bill Clinton's intention really
that era, I have asked myself whether I
volvement in the Vietnam War?
was to evade the draft, the right move
regret anything. I regret this: that my
(2) Do you believe that we would be
would have been to wait until after the
colleagues and I who worked against the
better off today had the majority of
war were not persuasive enough, not
lottery before withdrawing the
Americans then supported the position
resourceful enough, not dedicated
agreement.
taken by Gov. Clinton on Vietnam?
enough-we lacked something-to per-
The results of the poll should help
Gov. Clinton almost certainly was not
suade those in power to end the war
settle the question of whether Gov.
motivated, as some have suggested, by
before SO many thousands more died.
Clinton is an electable candidate for
then-secretary of defense Melvin Laird's
The test we should apply to candidates
announcement of reduced draft calls in
who came of age in that era is of whether
president of the United States.
JOSEPH NEWMAN
the two months preceding the lottery.
their personal choices with regard to the
war and military service can be traced to
Washington
At the time, Secretary Laird had little
credibility among young people. We in-
some sense of responsibility and regard
for the many others whose lives were in
I was in the Army ROTC in 1969. I
terpreted this announcement as an at-
knew several cadets who played games
tempt to dodge criticism of the draft
jeopardy. We could then be certain that
with their ROTC commitments after
until after the lottery had been held. We
those decisions, whatever they were,
rested on compassion and integrity.
they pulled high numbers in the draft
fully expected the draft to return in
That is a good starting point for evalu-
lottery. I felt then, and still believe, this
strength after the lottery.
ating candidates. We also would all bene-
was wrong.
MICHAEL J. HIRREL
fit from having found common ground in
What Bill Clinton did was very dif-
Arlington
respect and regret for the sacrifice of the
ferent, and, to my knowledge, quite
dead.
unusual. He withdrew his agreement to
I'd like to thank Andrew Ward for his
LARRY RIEDMAN
enroll in ROTC and got himself reclassi-
Feb. 11 op-ed article, "No Heart for the
Gaithersburg
fied 1A before the lottery. If he had
Draft." This is the best and most moving
overview yet written concerning the
Clinton draft controversy.
Jack Kemp's Honesty
I too was subject to the same sort of
circumstances and forced to make the
Jack Kemp. in calling George Bush's
checked. Stalin was still dead, free
same life-and-death choices as all the
tax credit proposal the gimmick that it
speech was still a constitutional right.
young men of my generation. I took a
is, has dared to reveal that the emperor
and the American democratic system
route used by many others and served
wears no clothes. This was viewed by
not only allowed but required individuals
four years of active duty in the U.S.
President Bush's advisers as an act of
to speak out against tyranny.
Navy, knowing full well that as a mem-
"political treachery" for which Mr.
If anyone should be fired, it is the
ber of the Atlantic fleet, the chances of
Kemp should have been fired [news
sycophants who have blindly shored up
story, Feb. 6]. No other recent example
being sent to fight in a worthless war
of narrow-minded. self-interested politi-
the president's vapid policies, who have
were virtually nil.
tried to make us believe that a tattered
cal toadyism has incensed me more.
I managed somehow to maintain my
blanket is an ermine cape.
Is the Republican Party honestly say-
sanity, and though I'm not proud of
ing that no dissenting opinions may be
VICTORIA McKERNAN
having been a part of that immense
presented to the public? Last time I
Washington
death machine, I am nevertheless still
alive and intact. I also received an hon-
For the Democrats, Dueling Dispatches
orable discharge. which, I must admit,
itself as the de facto official GOP and
offered me good cover during subse-
S if the Democrats didn't have
Democratic convention chronicler since
quent antiwar activities.
A
enough to handle with their
'84. "Advertisers have said, 'Gee, we've
I will not vote for Bill Clinton for
campaign warfare, now they're
been told CQ has exclusive rights at
president. but not for any reasons hav-
mediating tiffs between news
hotels'-and it's not true."
ing to do with his avoiding the draft. And
organizations. In a letter to the publishing
CQ Editor Robert Merry assures all
as much as I detest Dan Quayle's
firm hired by Congressional Quarterly to
interested parties that there will be
breathtaking hypocrisy about Vietnam! I
produce its first-ever convention
can fully appreciate his using whatever
problems no longer. The publishing firm,
newsletter this summer in New York, the
influence he had to avoid being sent
International Media Partners Inc., has
Democratic National Committee warned
there. Bill Clinton, Dan Quayle, Andrew
given CQ "very strong assurances," says
the company to stop suggesting that it will
Ward, myself and tens of thousands of
Merry, that it will neither present CQ as
be the 'official' convention publication."
others were all doing what we had to do
the exclusive mouthpiece of convention
"They have been going to advertisers
news nor ask hotels for exclusive
to survive a stupid, insane war. I only
claiming to have exclusive rights to
wish that those who died in Vietnam or
distribution commitments. Says Merry:
distribute through hotels," says John Fox
came home broken had done the same.
"Congressional Quarterly has no intention
Sullivan, president and publisher of the
of being a party to any enterprise that
RODGER FRENCH
National Journal, which has thought of
suggests it has an official or an exclusive
Alexandria
relationship of any kind with any political
party."
Lourie.
one.)
already.'
translated from the Russian by Richard
announced yesterday. The columns will be
next two years, the New York Times Co.
to 15 syndicated newspaper columns over the
Mikhail Gorbachev has agreed to write 10
It's not the Kremlin, but at least it's a job.
Airmen"-into battle during World War II.
American pilots-the "Tuskegee
Davis led the first squadrons of African
Institution's prestigious Langley Medal.
21st recipient of the Smithsonian
surprised last night when he became the
Lt. Gen. Benjamin O. Davis Jr. was quite
leave as its chairwoman.
Fund, at which time she went on temporary
board meeting of the Children's Defense
Hillary stopped by Washington to attend a
campaign down South this week, wife
While Bill Clinton was taking his
Washington bureau chief Howell Raines.
linked of late to New York Times
His ex-wife, Marianne Wiggins, has been
only one who's found solace with another.
Apparently Salman Rushdie isn't the
to shell out $500 now.
sluggishly. Not surprisingly, everyone wants
fund-raiser were selling, shall we say,
lawyer Kip O'Neill's upcoming Tuesday
victory this week, tickets to Washington
Before Paul Tsongas's New Hampshire
the House majority leader. (Well, almost no
Unlike Jackson, however, no one recognized
special attention for his own security.
Jackson a week earlier, Gephardt needed
Future ride. One usher explained that, like
front of a 55-minute line at the Back to the
Orlando when ushers stepped him to the
treatment Saturday at Universal Studios in
Dick Gephardt got the Michael Jackson
House chief of staff responded, "I feel slimy
our trade!" recently, the former White
with a seemingly innocuous "Welcome to
Sununu, CNN's new "Crossfire" co-host,
When a journalist greeted John
WE'VE HEARD THAT.
Why Things Are
Dirty Politics
By Joel Achenbach
Is it possible that the powerful are
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Washington Post Staff Writer
abnormally horny? (Oh, excuse us, we
meant to say sexually addicted.) Or are
Why are politicians always
they, historically, men of average sexu-
getting into sex scandals?
al drives who merely exploited their
power? To what extent is sex drive
Male politicians are often sexually
associated with political ambition? And
greedy. You might call it the JFK
should we care if a guy who asks us to
Syndrome-an extreme form of rak-
vote for him is unusually randy?
ishness in which women are treated as
This is where it gets tricky: No one
perquisites of power, just like access
wants to elect a leader who is merely
to the better golf courses or free rides
out for personal gain, financial, sexual
on military planes. One of these days,
or otherwise. Sexual behavior isn't ir-
an American politician will simply be-
relevant to the character of a leader;
gin his presidential inauguration
despots, historically, have been sexually
speech with seven words: "My fellow
promiscuous.
Americans: Bring on the babes."
"It seems bizarre to me to hold
We know that, historically, sex and
politicians to a higher standard of sexu-
power have been natural partners. In
al propriety than everybody else. On
pre-Columbian South America, the In-
the other hand, extreme abuse of sexu-
ca emperor had houses of virgins
al privilege correlates with abuse of all
TESTOSTERONE CAL
spread throughout the empire, 700
sorts of other privileges," Betzig says.
virgins per site. He alone was permit-
sion. So you might conclude that the
It's likely that powerful men have a
ted access. In ancient Rome, concu-
stronger sex drive than the average
higher sex drive is a preexisting condi-
bines were legally sanctioned, and the
Joe, says anthropologist Helen Fisher
tion for politicos. But it also may be an
Emperor Commodus had 300. In the
of the American Museum of Natural
aftereffect of leadership-a symptom
present-day Ache culture of Paraguay,
History. "There have been quite a few
of the intoxicating nature of power.
the more skilled a man is at hunting
studies that show that in monkeys,
Men gain power, and suddenly are
fresh meat, the more women he is
and in people, levels of testosterone
surrounded by women. Sex doesn't
allowed to claim as mates.
go up when one rises in rank,"
result in satiation, it results in still
"Across cultures, across space and
Fisher told us. "Testosterone is clear-
greater desire. Says Betzig, "Once
time, power has correlated with sex-
ly associated in both men and women
you've tasted the perquisites, I think
ual access," says Laura Betzig, an
with sex drive. So there's every rea-
it's going to be difficult for a lot of
anthropologist at the University of
son to believe that these leaders
men to resist."
Michigan who has studied the sex
should have a high sex drive."
There is something called the Coo-
lives of leaders in pre-modern cul-
Testosterone also is associated
lidge Effect, the gist of which is that
tures. "It's one of the reasons people
with aggressiveness, and the quest for
sex drive increases in response to an
want power."
power is certainly a kind of aggres-
increase in the number of sexual part-
By G.B. Trudeau
DOONESBURY
GENTLEMEN, WHAT
WELL, I THINK THE
PEOPLE WERE SAYING
THANK
SORT OFMESSAGE
THAT THEY LIKE MY
WHY DO THEY
VOTERS WERE TELLING
YOU,SIR.
DO YOU THINK THE
US THAT THEY LIKE A
"800" NUMBER, EVEN
CALL 1-800-
SENATOR
VOTERS SENT ALLOF
IF MY OPPONENTS
426-1112?
CANDIDACY THAT BELONGS
KERREY, DO...
YOU LAST TUESDAY?
BECAUSE
TO THE PEOPLE, AND NOT
DO NOT, AND THAT
GOVERNOR BROWN?
THE ENTRENCHED ELITE...
THEY LIKE BEING
THEY CARE!
ABLE TO CALL
1-800-426-1112
TO MAKE A
PLEDGE!
2-21
6B Trudean
ture into a responsible adult."
presented
cretion.
that role
is effectively denied the opportunity to ma-
the opportunity to exercise responsibilities
rights for them, but because a child denied
are reliant on adults to exercise their
found significance not just because children
presumption of incompetency has pro-
tive of children's rights: "This [regnant]
responsibilities as the inescapable correla-
She also lays new stress on children's
proven otherwise."
sume all individuals are competent until
sumption of incompetency and instead as-
first thing to be done is to reverse the pre-
a presumption of children's competence is
article on the
as an urgent priority: "The
subject the argument for
In "Children's Rights,' her second major
of what is the parent's sphere of sole dis-
which tells the state, in effect, to "butt out"
right-wing defense of "family values,"
gans and sentiment blunt response to the
ture of reform efforts in a field where slo-
from Yale, and she deplored the ad hoc na-
dren's Defense Fund after her graduation
She had become involved with the Chil-
gird practical activity with legal theory.
bling lawyers was her attempt to under-
her apart from other successful and scram-
the University of Arkansas). But what set
Committee, professor of criminal law at
peachment staff of the House Judiciary
Journal, legal counsel on the Nixon im-
mencement, an editor of the Yale Law
student to speak at a Wellesley com-
(president of her class at Wellesley, first
Her academic record has been stellar
people to continue thinking of her only in
on "60 Minutes." It would be a shame for
loyally by her husband, Gov. Bill Clinton,
posed to Hillary Rodham Clinton as she sat
Millions of Americans were first ex-
New York Review of Books, March 5:
From an article by Garry Wills in The
For the Record
town in which manners and class have
mind, but he's not a wacko liberal,"
Koch and LeBlond
been in the decline."
says another Coelho alumnus, Tom
In the late 1970s, in fact, Koch's fa-
Nides, who now works on Speaker
ther became a virtual pariah in the
Thomas S. Foley's staff.
KOCH, From C1
for him to jump on a plane to go to a
prestigious Congressional Country
Coelho, managing director of a
major bout.
Club, to which he belonged, when he
New York banking investment firm
majority whip Tony Coelho of Califor-
On the political front, Koch has al-
led a seven-year battle against it be-
who is a member of the National Re-
nia from 1986 to 1989, says the com-
ready been ranked by Roll Call, the
cause, he claimed, the club had been
habilitation Hospital's board, recalls
mon ground in the Koch-LeBlond
insider journal of Capitol Hill, as one
skimming wages from some of its
that the roots of the LeBlond-Koch
Doro' Left-Hand Man
The First Daughter's Democratic Intended
public relations consultant Mark
Johnson, says: "There's room for
more than one bumper sticker on
No date has yet been announced
for the wedding of Doro Bush. 32.
divorced mother of two small chil-
dren. and Bobby Koch, 31. But the
White House says the ultra-private
VOWS will be exchanged at Camp Da-
vid, the presidential retreat in Mary-
land's Catoctin Mountains. Koch
gave LeBlond her ring Saturday
courtship, which began just about a
night over dinner while Sam Le-
of the Hill's "Most Powerful Staffers."
predominantly minority service staff.
courtship go back to one of the hospi-
year ago, was never politics.
Blond, 7, and Ellie, 5, looked on.
Koch (pronounced Cook) is by all
reports a Democrat just as LeBlond
by all indications is a Republican. But
Fred Hatfield, who was Koch's boss
when they worked for former House
Coelho, who resigned his California
The club, whose membership in-
tal's functions. LeBlond had moved to
"What they share are very similar
congressional seat in June 1989 amid
cludes members of Congress, was
Washington after her April 1990 di-
See KOCH, C3, Col.
backgrounds. They're both tremen-
scrutiny over a loan from a California
never prosecuted because the statute
vorce from William H. LeBlond, a
dously family-oriented. They both
savings and loan executive, credits
of limitations had expired, although
Maine contractor, and had gone to
the Koch family car.'
have great senses of humor. They're
Koch with running his successful cam-
the Maryland attorney general's of-
work in the hospital's fund-raising and
both very athletic. They play ten-
paign to become majority whip in
fice found that there had been irregu-
special events office.
nis-Doro plays well, and sometimes
1986.
lar payroll practices.
"Doro expressed an interest in
she wins."
Koch's relationship with Coelho be-
After Coelho left Congress, Bobby
meeting Bobby," Coelho remembers.
Koch's performance on the courts
gan in 1983, shortly after he graduat-
Koch went to work for Gephardt. As
"I counseled her that if someone
almost certainly has been ranked al-
ed from the University of Maryland
administrative assistant in the majori-
comes across aggressively, Bobby
ready by the mythical Bush family
with a bachelor of arts degree in polit-
ty leader's office he is involved in ev-
moves the other way. So I told her
"Ranking Committee," believed to be
composed of LeBlond's four older
ical science. He was 23 when he went
erything from overseeing all adminis-
we've got to go about this carefully. It
to work for the Democratic Congres-
trative functions to working out the
took several months to get the first
brothers. The Bushes, remember,
sional Campaign Committee (DCCC),
legislative floor schedules and deter-
date going."
don't like to lose.
They say marriages are made in
othy Bush LeBlond and Robert Petri
which Coelho chaired. A Washington
mining Gephardt's political activities.
Then one day another Coelho alum,
By Donnie Radcliffe
Washington Post Staff Writer
heaven, but it's hard to imagine Dor-
Koch coming together anyplace but
Where else but in this citadel of
Washington.
bipartisanship could the daughter of
the Republican president of the
United States hope to find wedded
bliss as the wife of a top aide to one
of her father's most persistent crit-
ics, the Democratic majority leader
of the House? The very same Demo-
crat-Richard A. Gephardt of Mis-
souri-some people think could end
up challenging George Bush in No-
But as one friend of the couple's.
On the golf course, Koch has his
good and his bad days. Last summer
native, Koch is one of six children of
"He's as smart as they come on the
Heidi Hicks, invited Nides and Koch
it was one of the latter, when he
Helen and George W. Koch. His fa-
Hill, with very much of a political
over to the hospital. "Let's put it this
rounded out a presidential foursome
ther was president of the Grocery
with actor Kevin Costner and tennis
Manufacturers of America until he re-
way," says Nides. "With Bobby, I
Bushes vacationed last August and
champ Andre Agassi. President Bush
tired in 1990 and is legendary as a
found myself at the Rehabilitation
LeBlond took her regular morning
drove straight if not long, Costner and
lobbyist.
Hospital in the middle of an after-
runs, Koch was identified to reporters
Agassi were steady if unremarkable,
Martin Franks, vice president,
noon. They hit it off."
merely as an unnamed Secret Service
while Koch sliced his first drive, hit-
Washington, of CBS but executive di-
Coelho says Koch called him some
agent. And now that the two are en-
vember.
ting a mulligan almost straight up.
rector of Coelho's DCCC staff at the
time later to say that LeBlond had in-
gaged, the White House is handling
"I hope," a disdainful president not-
time, remembers Koch as "the hour-
vited him to a state dinner. "I said, 'Re-
all media inquiries.
ed later, "the summit with Gorbachev
to-hour manager who kept track of
member, your name will be in The
As the president's son-in-law, Koch
goes better than golf with these
the commitments and promises" in
Washington Post the next day. You
could be privy to information Bush's
guys."
Coelho's whip campaign. "He was
better go in and tell Dick [Gephardt].'
political opponents would relish.
One enthusiasm of Koch's presum-
very well organized, had marvelous
Dick didn't have any problems with it,
Friends like Tom Nides say that "ob-
ably not shared by Doro's dad is pro-
people skills and came from a family
but way back then we knew, the Bush-
viously your first loyalty is to your
fessional wrestling. It's not unusual
which maintained high standards in a
es too, it could cause some difficulties."
wife. But I have all the confidence in
The Bushes were reportedly all for
the world that Bobby will be able to
Koch, doing what they could to help
handle a situation like that."
the couple carry on a normal court-
As for Gephardt, his reaction is be-
ship. Barbara Bush reportedly kept
ing funneled through his spokeswom-
FRIDAY. FEBRI 21, 1992
Koch's name off that first guest list,
an, Deborah Johns.
though it showed up on subsequent
"He's very happy about Bobby and
TheWashington Post
ones. In Kennebunkport, where the
Doro," she said yesterday. "That's it."
FAI./SAT./SUN.,
FEB
1992
247.6 million losers
CAPITAL LINE
in New Hampshire
USA TODAY'S BRIEFING ON WASHINGTON
Four years ago, I asked then-governor John Sununu of
Texas recession hits
New Hampshire if it's fair that his little state has so much
power in picking presidents. He quipped:
the always thought that's the way God intended it"
Bush close to home
with or without divine blessing the Granite State again
has played a grossly disproportionate role in the making -
The recession has finally hit home for President Bush.
or unmsking of presidents.
The company that owns the land and buildings of President
Bush and Tsongas won by the numbers, but narrowly. Bu-
Bush's Houston residence, burdened with $28 million in
chanan and Clinton claim moral victories. Kerrey, Harkin
debts, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection this week.
and Brown survived. The other
The holding company, Houstonian Properties Ltd. leases
56 candidates on the New
the site to the Houstonian Hotel and Conference Center. A
Hampshire ballot lost.
suite in the hotel Is Bush's official residence for tax and vot-
But the big losers are you
Ing purposes. Hotel operations "have nothing to do" with the
and - 247.6 million of us who
bankruptcy filing, said Houstonian Properties lawyer Dan-
don't live in New Hampshire.
lel Johnston and Bush Isn't likely to lose use of the sulte.
For 40 years, this tiny state
Texas Democratic Party leaders didn't miss a beat, saying
- population 1.1 million - has
the bankruptcy filing may help Bush finally understand the
been in the catbird seat. No
economic troubles affecting millions of other Americans.
one has won the White House
without first winning this over-
NIXON ON SPORTS: Former
publicized first-in-the-nation
president Richard Nixon says that
primary.
being a sports announcer "would
That might DOC be all bad if
be the greatest job in the world.' In
New Hampshire were a micro-
the first of a two-part Interview on
AL
cosm of the USA. But it is one
C-SPAN, the cable TV network,
NEUHARTH
of our least representative
Nixon says he'd be good at It "be-
states.
cause like to watch how they play
USA TODAY FOUNDER
New Harripshirites are near-
how they meet the test. Poll-
ly all white. Mostly pretty well-
tics Is the greatest sport there Is
to-do, despite current cries of hard times. The USA is much,
It's competitive. People win, peo-
much more diverse in race and income and by most other
AP
pie lose, people come back." Dis-
measures. Examples:
NIXON: 'Politics is
cussing his new book, Seize the
Population - New Hampshire, 98.9% white. The USA,
greatest sport'
Moment: America's Challenge in a
One Superpower World. Nixon
80% white.
Per person annual Income - New Hampshire,
says
that
Russian
leader Borts Yeltsin isn't "In Gorbachev's
$20,827, the seventh highest in the nation. US. average,
league as far as style.
Yeltsin may not know what fork to
use at a state dinner, but he has 8 very sharp mind." The
$18,691. I have nothing against white, well-to-do people. I'm one of
hour-long Interview airs Sunday at 8 p.m. EST.
them. I just don't think they/we should dictate who shall be
HEALTH CARE: Senate Democrats and Republicans are
president. The solution to this silly situation? A single national pri-
In agreement on one plece of health care reform legislation
mary, preferably some late-summer day in September.
that could make it easler for small businesses to buy health
That would come after would-be presidents of both major
Insurance policies and the uninsured to get coverage. Sen.
parties have subjected themselves to scrutiny by people of
Lloyd Bentsen, D-Texas, sponsor of a bill to reform the in-
all races and incomes and philosophies all across the USA.
surance marketplace for small firms, sald Thursday he
Both parties would field stronger candidates in the No-
hoped to get the measure through Congress swiftly. Presi-
vember general election under such a system. The general
dent Bush also is supporting a similar measure. Bentsen's
public would win. although New Hampshire would lose a
bill would prohibit insurance companies from denying in-
little.
surance to people with existing medical conditions - a
Sununu aside. 1 think God might applaud.
problem that has caused "fob lock" for many people who
risk losing medical Insurance If they change jobs.
FEEDBACK
HAITIAN REFUGEES: Congress for the first time got
Other views on the New Hampshire primary
directly involved in the growing controversy triggered by
the forced return of Haltian refugees to their troubled Ca-
"Some other states may pick corn; New Hampshire
ribbean homeland. The House Judiciary Committee voted
picks presidents. New Hampshire primary voters do the
21-12 along party lines to Impose a six-month moratorium
job well and that is why the country is well served by the
on returning the refugees. The Supreme Court was expect-
first-in-the-nation New Hampshire primary."
ed to rule today on whether or not to block the continued
- John H. Sununu, counselor to the president
repatriation of some 10,000 Haitian refugees detained at the
U.S. naval base at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.
"No state is representative of the country. In New
Hampshire, they have a good track record of picking can-
CAMPAIGN FUNDS: President Bush remains the
didates who go on to win the presidency."
front-runner in attracting money for the presidential race,
- Stephen Hess. senior fellow, Brookings Institution
according to the latest Federal Election Commission report
filed Thursday. Bush ralsed $1.6 million in January and has
$8.8 million on band. Among Democrats, Arkansas Gov. Bill
Clinton reported $1.6 million in contributions with $1.4 mil-
lion on hand. Nebraska Sen. Bob Kerrey received $550,000
in contributions and has $115,000 cash on hand and former
California governor Jerry Brown raised $190,000 and has
$67,000 on hand. Reports not yet available: Republican Pat
Buchanan and Democrats Paul Tsongas and Tom Harkin.
BIPARTISAN MATCH: Presi-
dent Bush's daughter, Dorothy
Bush LeBlond. is marrying a top
aide to one her father's most vocal
Democratic critics, Rep. Richard
Gephardt, D-Mo. Barbara Bush's
spokeswoman Anna Perez said
LeBlond, 32, and Robert Koch, 31,
will tie the knot at the Camp David,
Md., presidential retreat. and the
bride-to-be's parents are "thrilled."
No date has been announced.
LeBLOND: To wed
INTERIM NASA HEAD: Aar-
at Camp David
on Cohen, director of Johnson
Space Center in Houston, was named acting head of NASA,
replacing Richard Truly, who resigned last week under
pressure. Cohen, who has been with the agency since 1962,
will be acting deputy administrator.
FRI./SAT./SUN.,
FEB 21-23. 1992
Poll indicates
Bush tentatively in front
Less than half of the electorate
is satisfied with President
USA
voters unhappy
Bush's leadership, but most
TODAY
CNN
say he'll be re-elected in
November. Nearly half of the
GALLUP
Democrats want other
with Bush, Dems
candidates to enter the race.
Latest USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll national results:
President Bush's approval rating:
By Richard Benedetto
USA TODAY
Jan. 3
46%
Voters are dissatisfied with President Bush's leadership,
Feb. 2
47%
but are uneasy with the Democratic alternatives.
Now
39%
A USA TODAY/CNN/Gattup Poll finds that nearly half
of Democratic voters want to see other candidates enter the
Does Bush deserve to be re-elected?
race, while nearly one in three Republicans say they too
Feb. 2
Now
would prefer some new entrants.
New York Gov. Mario Cuomo is mentioned most often by
51%
Yes
Democrats; Housing Secretary Jack Kemp by Republicans
42%
"I'd like to see stronger Democrats," says Luther Jones,
66, of Hampton, Va. "Our strongest people got scared off by
45%
Bush's success in the war, but now he looks vulnerable."
No
47%
Bush - dogged by an ailing economy, and battered in
New Hampshire by conservative commentator Pat Bu-
Who voters think will be elected
chanan - gets record-low approval ratings for his steward-
In November:
ship. Less than half say he deserves re-election.
But Buchanan's candidacy appears to be going nowhere
among GOP voters. Nearly eight of 10 favor Bush for the
Bush 58%
nomination; nine of 10 think he'll get IL Yet. two of three
still want Buchanan to continue his challenge.
"There are things I'd like to see changed. This would
Don't
The
keep Bush on his toes," says Peggy Smith, 32, Roopville. Ga.
know
Democrat
The poll also shows that Bush would beat the two Demo-
15%
27%
cratic front-runners, Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton and ex-Mas-
sachusetts senator Paul Tsongas, If the election were held
Preference of Republican voters for
now. Buchanan, If nominated, loses In a matchup with Clin-
their party's presidential nomination:
ton. but runs virtually tied with Tsongas.
Roman Storch, 56, of Tempe, Ariz. is behind the presi-
President Bush
78%
dent: think Desert Storm was one of our greatest moves."
Pat Buchanan
20%
But given Bush's low overall approval rating, the Demo-
crats still may be too unknown to get thorough judgment.
How Republicans feel about Buchanan's
"I'm not familiar with any of these people," says Ann
continued candidacy against Bush:
Burnett, 32, of Mount Clemens, Mich.
Democratic leaders say that will change: "As they hear
Should continue in race
62%
our candidates' messages of economic growth and positive
Should drop out
30%
leadership, they'll like them more and more, says Mark
Steitz of the Democratic National Committee.
How Republicans feel about their choice
Neal Van Noorden, 43, of Los Angeles, who is out of work,
of candidates now:
is listening "I'd like to see a Democrat who had specific
ideas about how to get the economy healthy again.
Pleased with candidates
62%
While there are opportunities for the Democrats to gain
Would like someone else
32%
ground, the poll also shows Clinton has problems. He's had
to enter the race
to deny charges of womanizing and draft dodging. One In
four say they're unlikely to vote for him because of IL
THE DEMOCRATS
-I worry about people who have problems In one area of
Preference of Democratic voters for
their lives because it usually means they'll have problems
their party's presidential nomination:
in other areas as well." Smith says. "What I know about him
waves a warning dag"
Bill Clinton
41%
The poll also shows that Tsongas, despite a decisive win
Paul Tsongas
31%
in New Hampshire, still lacks stature. Only one In four
Democrats want him as their nominee, and one in three say
Jerry Brown
7%
he's the Democrat most likely to beat Bush.
Bob Kerrey
6%
His bout with cancer seems to matter little. Only one In 10
Tom Harkin
5%
would be unlikely to vote for him because of it
Contributing: Brian O'Connell
How Democrats feel about their choice
of candidates now:
Election '92, 1A, 4A
Pleased with candidates
45%
Would like someone else
45%
to enter the race
Source: USA TODAY/CNN Gallup telephone poR of 754 registered voters
nationwide conducted Feb 19-20 by The Gallup Organization Margin of
sampling a plus or minus percentage points Note: Bush approval
rating was derived from a samole of mo - and must registered voters.
FRL/SAT./SUN.,
FEB
21-23
How Bush would
Poll: Bush slips, but would win
fare against
By Richard Benedetto
Only 42% say he deserves re-
Democratic field as It Is.
win, down from 29%
Bush
53%
USA TODAY
election, a drop from 51%
Clinton, who has denied
Clinton over Buchanan,
Clinton
43%
three weeks ago.
charges of womanizing and
19%-40%: Tsongas over But
President Bush's approval
But most still prefer Bush
draft dodging hasn't put the Is-
chanan, 43%-41%.
rating has hit a new low, but
over Democrats Bill Clinton
sues behind him: 24% sald
But history warns against
Bush
54%
he'd still win If the election
and Paul Tsongas.
they'd be unlikely to vote for
complacency. President Carter
were held now, shows a USA
Tsongas
The finding suggests the
him because of questions about
30%
was beating Ronald Reagan
TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll
Democrats have yet to con-
his character. Other results:
5896-33% at 8 similar point in
Taken after the New Hamp-
vince a majority they offer a
58% expect Bush to win
Source:
USA
1980. Reagan won a landslide.
shire primary, the poll shows
better alternative to Bush.
national
re-election, down from 63% in
Bush's approval at 39%, down
Nearly half of all Democrats
early February.
Buchanan opens fire, 4A
USA TODAY
from 47% early this month.
say they're unsatisfied with the
27% expect a Democrat to
New faces wanted, 5A
Buchanan takes
aim at arts fund
By Judy Keen
Helms proposed adding anti-
and Bill Nichols
obscenity restrictions to NEA
USA TODAY
art grants, Bush backed a ver-
sion leaving obscenity ques-
Republican Pat Buchanan
tions to the courts.
launched a new conservative
Meanwhile, two days after
attack on President Bush
his New Hampshire victory,
Thursday, while Democrat
Tsongas displayed the grow.
Paul Tsongas' national cam-
ing pains confronting his in-
paign got off to a rocky start,
formal campaign.
By Jun Cole. AP
at least logistically.
Tsongas had to be told by
IN SOUTH DAKOTA: Democrat Paul Tsongas shakes the
Buchanan, previewing his
reporters on his plane to
hand of a stockyard worker in Sioux Falls.
Southern campaign, called
South Dakota that he was
the National Endowment for
speaking at the Sloux Falls
land's March 3 primary, but
Brown seeks a breakthrough.
the Arts an "uphoistered play-
Stockyards, rather than the
expects "a lot of people there
Two days before the
pen of the arts and crafts aux-
state Legislature as had been
would agree" more with
South Dakota primary, the
illary of the Eastern liberal
scheduled for several days.
Tsongas "because they're
five major Democrats and
establishment" subsidizing
Aldes hadn't told him of
more upper middle class
Larry Agran, former Irvine,
"filthy and blasphernous art."
the change. "Where am I go-
than regular middle class."
Calif. mayor, meet Sunday In
The Bush administration,
Ing tomorrow?" Tsongas
Tsongas is expected to
a statewide TV debate. C-
Buchanan said, has increased
joked with reporters. Also:
win Sunday's Democratic
SPAN will It at 7 p.m. EST.
NEA's budget each year.
Bill Clinton said he'll run
caucus In Maine, but Clinton
Last year when Sen. Jesse
a full campaign in Mary-
is well organized and Jerry
Poll results, 1A, 5A
Exit polls an 'evolving art,' says L.A. pollster
By Leslle Phillips
balloting, released on Wednesday,
unusual number of GOP write-in voters.
USA TODAY
showed Bush won 53% to 37%.
VRS director Warren Mitofsky attri-
The error "happened SO early in the
butes his problems to polling methods as
New Hampshire voters pulled a fast
season, it's bound to make network peo-
well as a reluctance of Bush voters and
one on the national media.
ple a little more cautious," says Richard
eagerness of Buchanan voters to answer
Tuesday, more Republicans than ex-
Harwood, who has studied the interac-
questions after they voted.
pected, 7.5% compared with 1.5% in
tion between voters and the media.
At any rate, network officials say, the
1988, voted for none of the above.
The problem began when Voter Re-
updated numbers wouldn't have
Restive Republicans wrote in their
search & Surveys set up as a cost-cut-
changed the thrust of their stories.
own choice, including 2% who voted for
ting measure by the four TV networks to
"The interpretation wasn't totally
Democrat Paul Tsongas.
share exit polling failed to account for
wrong" says Kathleen Frankovic, direc-
The result: New Hampshire GOP pri-
the Republican write-ins.
tor of surveys for CBS. "This is not good
mary numbers reported on TV and front
It was compounded when election of.
for Bush either way."
pages were off the mark. Not dramati-
ficials waited, as usual. until Wednesday
Others question the media's tendency
cally off the mark, but off by enough to
to count the actual write-ins of New
to predict results based on exit polling.
overplay the support of President Bush
Hampshire's unpredictable voters.
Los Angeles Times pollster John Bren-
and Pat Buchanan.
So Tuesday night. when VRS pollsters
nan calls it an "evolving art."
Early exit polls of voters showed Bush
checked their numbers with the actual
Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist
leading Buchanan 51% to 46% Late TV
vote count, they saw no discrepancy.
College Institute for Public Opinion,
news and many Wednesday newspapers
Two other polls, conducted for the Los
adds: "The best use of exit polls is to look
reported Bush leading 57% to 41%.
Angeles Times and the Boston Herald
back when the dust settles and analyze
based on actual vote counts.
and WCVB-TV, also overstated Bush and
the strength and weaknesses of candi-
But the official result of the primary
Buchanan support. But both detected the
dates in terms of who supported them."
Dems' tax plan makes rich pay for cuts
from the House bill a 1% cut in
get a compromise to Bush this
George Mitchell, D-Maine, and
By Richard Wolf
The Senate is expected to go
Finance Committee Chairman
the corporate tax rate that
USA TODAY
after even wealthler taxpayers
spring, it faces alikely veto.
"It's the first act in a play
Lloyd Bentsen. D-Texas,
isked liberals. As a result, the
than the House: those with in-
comes above $150,000, rather
that may have no ending said
agreed to use unspecified tax
bill will raise more than it
Democrats in Congress set B
House Budget Chairman Leon
increases to pay for any cuts.
spends on tax cuts, leaving $14
collision course with President
than $85,000. But the Senate
Bentsen had pushed a $72.5 bil-
billion over five years to help
change could make it easier to
Panetta, D-Calif.
The deal sets the stage for
lion package financed by the
trim the $400 billion deficit.
Bush over tax cuts Thursday by
come up with one version to
Pentagon's "peace dividend."
Some liberals complained
agreeing to pay for them by tax
hikes on the rich.
pass both bodies.
the House to consider Wednes-
Bentsen refused to be specif-
about capital gains cuts; mod-
The Democrats face uphill
day the Democrats' five-year,
Senate Democrats aban-
ic, but a 10% surtax on million-
erates expressed doubts about
doned their effort to use mili-
battles. Minority Republicans
$90.9 billion plan keyed to mid-
will unite against the plans and
die-income tax cuts and Bush's
aires similar to that sought by
the two-year $200-$400 cut for
tary cuts to pay for middle-
smaller package of business
House Democrats is expected.
middle-income taxpayers.
class tax breaks, agreeing
liberal and conservative Dem-
House Speaker Thomas
Still, Foley predicted the bill
ocrats oppose parts of each.
and investment tax breaks:
Foley, D-Wash., agreed to drop
would pass the House.
instead to follow House Demo-
crats' soak-the-rich approach.
If Democratic leaders can
Senate Majority Leader
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Where's the Rest of Him?
Patrick Buchanan calls his showing in New
But on other issues, Patrick Buchanan, the arch
Hampshire the beginning of a "middle-class revolu-
conservative, seems to have sat out the campaign.
tion" with himself starring in the role once played
He who not long ago went out of his way to offend
by Ronald Reagan. He thus grandiosely miscon-
Jews when talking about the Middle East now
strues voter anger over tough times as a mandate
discusses the subject decently, calmly. The Patrick
for his eccentric brand of conservatism. That's
Buchanan who said that black lives are more ex-
fanciful thinking, made possible because Mr. Bu-
pendable than white was nowhere seen on the
chanan put only some of himself on display.
campaign trail.
"Where's the Rest of Me?" is how his paragon,
His record suggests someone intent on bringing
Ronald Reagan, titled his autobiography, quoting
out the worst in people, preying on fear of foreigners
some famous movie dialogue. It's a question Pat
and minorities. For instance, he crossed the line
Buchanan now needs to answer about himself.
recently in The London Sunday Telegraph when he
argued that America should be sympathetic to
independence in the Baltic states because they are
Mr. Buchanan came within 16 points of Presi-
populated by white people:
dent Bush in New Hampshire, not as close as first
"Why are we more shocked when a dozen
appeared, but impressive nevertheless considering
people are killed in Vilnius than a massacre in
that he's a newspaper columnist who has never run
Burundi?" he asked, "Because they are white peo-
for anything. The question is, what does his 37
ple. That's who we are. That's where America
percent mean?
comes from." Millions of Americans who are not
Half of those who voted for him told exit poll
Anglo-Saxon are right to be alarmed by a candidate
interviewers that they did so to send the President a
for President who thinks their lives less valuable
message, presumably about how hard the recession
than his own.
has hit them. And half the Buchanan voters said
Mr. Buchanan expressed himself with similar,
they were unsatisfied with both Republicans.
perhaps even anti-Semitic fervor, in his opposition
With attitudes like that apparent, any idea of a
to the guil war. All the fighting would be done by
Buchanan "revolution" is mainly a fiction in the
"kids with names like McAllister, Murphy, Gon-
candidate's mind. The nagging questions after New
zales and Leroy Brown," he said, while those who
Hampshire are these: Was the reasonable Patrick
were "beating the drums" for war in the Middle
Buchanan who campaigned there also a fiction?
East were "the Israeli Defense Ministry and its
Where was the rest of him - the angry chauvinist
amen corner in the United States," as though the
who says "America First" without embarrassment
war had only Jewish supporters.
at the slogan's Nazi connotations? Where was the
Mr. Buchanan surely realized that his candida-
polemicist so quick to deride "Zulus" and support-
cy would burn up If he continued such inflammatory
ers of the Persian Gulf war?
pronouncements. But It defeats logic for him, hav.
The Patrick Buchanan who shook hands across
ing suppressed his extreme views during the cam-
New Hampshire did not hide his foreign-policy
paign, now to claim that New Hampshire voters
views. He touted retrenchment and argued for
endorsed them. The real Patrick Buchanan has yet
supplanting Mr. Bush's "globalism" with a "new
to reconcile the sober candidate of the last 60 days
nationalism."
with the intolerant sloganeer of the last 20 years.
A Dubious Battle in Lebanon
Smashing through United Nations barricades,
emptively, their ostensible mission to eliminate
an Israeli armored force has mounted a search-
"Katyusha launchers and terrorist nests."
and-destroy operation against Shilte guerrilla bases
A major objective of Arab-Israeli negotiations
in southern Lebanon. The Israeli Government in-
that resume in Washington next week is to pacify
sists this is a limited operation for a limited time.
Israel's frontiers with Lebanon. The Israeli incur-
But the timing is deplorable, the circumstances
sion guarantees fresh polemics in which Lebanon
murky and the serious wounding of two U.N. peace-
and its Syrian patrons can claim the moral high
keepers indefensible.
ground. Worse yet, by storming through U.N. barri-
The provocations were real, but this overreac-
cades and wounding two U.N. peacekeepers, Israel
tion blurs the difference between Israel and Shiite
has Invited the censure of Secretary General
extremists in Lebanon. Yesterday's incursion fol-
Boutros Ghali and called into question its good faith
lowed weeks of random shelling of Israeli settle-
in observing peace efforts.
ments by Shilte militias from the 10-mile "security
Israel bitterly and often justly complains of
zone" instituted by Israel.
being judged by a double standard when it takes
In escalating violence, sleeping Israeli soldiers
what it regards as defensive measures to protect
were killed in their camp; an Israeli helicopter took
Israeli lives and security. But in this latest dubious
the lives of Sheik Abbas Musawi, a Shiite leader, his
battle, which has sent thousands of villagers fleeing
wife and child; Arab guerrillas called for mobiliza-
their homes, Israel has lost more than it can
tion, and Israeli tanks and artillery struck pre-
possibly gain.
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
December
Trade Gap.
Widened
Foreign Affairs
LESLIE H. GELB
But 1991 Deficit Is
Smallest in 8 Years
Trade Gap Wider in Month
What
'It is very hard to understand why
military outlays cannot be reduced
by at least one-third over the next five
But Much Smaller for Year
years. Until now, well over half of the
By KEITH BRADSHER
Peace
defense budget has been devoted to
countering Soviet threats. That coun-
Specialio The New York Times
try is now a fractured bunch of basket
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 - Dwin-
The trade deficit with China ex-
Continued From First Business Page
cases, begging to be allied with Wash-
dling exports resulted in a sharp wid-
panded to $12.7 billion last year from
Dividend?
ington.
ening of the nation's merchandise
$10.4 billion. After nearly a year of
trade deficit in December, but for
oration in its trade balance this year,
political maneuvering, the Senate is
Meanwhile, the Pentagon is thrash-
1991 as a whole, the deficit narrowed
Mr. Bergsten said, only if the econom-
expected to vote within the next week
trig around trying to justify a force
to $66 billion, the smallest shortfall
ic recovery is exceptionally weak.
and finally send President Bush a bill
As campaign '92 heads south, Re-
That will be about 1.6 million strong,
in eight years.
Exports Down In December
imposing conditions on the June re-
publicans and Democrats will no
down from the present 2.1 million, by
The Bush Administration hailed
Exports, which accounted for most
newal of China's trade access to the
longer be able to ignore perhaps their
1997. The Times published on Monday
the full-year results as a sign of re-
of the nation's economic growth in
American market. The President has
most telling point of conflict: Demo-
the results of that thrashing, a set of
newed American competitiveness,
1990 and 1991 and which the Adminis-
promised to veto the bill.
cratic Presidential hopefuls propose
seven illustrative scenarios where
and members of Congress from both
tration sees as powering the nation's
Today's report contributed little to
cuts in U.S. military spending roughly
the U.S. might be called upon to use
parties said that the improvement
economic recovery, dropped 2.2 per-
resolving the fundamental trade-defi-
three times greater than now project-
military power.
last year would be more important in
cent in December. And the Com-
cit question that has divided Interna-
ed by President Bush.
It would be easy to make fun of
the national debate over protection-
merce Department also revised to-
ism than December's poor showing.
tional trade experts and economists:
Mr. Bush's peace dividend - or
these scenarios, but that would be
day its November export figure to
In December, the deficit grew by 42
whether the improvement of the last
savings on previously planned de-
unfair. The U.S. needs an effective
percent, to $5.94 billion, as exports fell
show a drop instead of a record high.
four years represents a structural
Japan and China, two of the na-
and lasting change in America's role
fense outlays would total about $66
and strong military, and the military
and imports climbed, the Commerce
in world markets or simply the steep
billion by 1997.
has to think about situations where
tion's three least politically popular
Department said.
trade partners, showed bigger trade
slide since 1985 in the dollar's value,
His Democratic opponents are call-
force may be likely.
Exports Up in '91
surpluses with the United States in
which has made imports more expen-
ing for savings of between $180 billion
But the striking thing about the
But for the full year, exports rose
1991 The third trading partner, Mexi-
sive and American exports more
and $200 billion by that date.
Pentagon list is how far its planners
7.2 percent, led by a 9.3 percent gain
CO, with which the Administration is
competitive abroad.
Almost as startling as this gap is
trad to stretch to come up with any
for manufactured goods, the main
negotiating a free-trade agreement,
the fact that even the Democratic
plausible threats. A resurgent Iraq or
casualties from foreign competition
last year posted its first deficit with
Clyde V. Prestowitz Jr., the presi-
dent of the Economic Strategy Insti-
candidates are talking about limited
an attack by North Korea on South
during the 1980's. And imports fell for
the United States in a decade.
Kofea are practically off imaginable
the first time since 1982.
Exports to Japan dropped sharply
tute, a Washington public policy
reductions. Their Pentagon budget
"Those figures would tend to
in December and slightly for all of
group, said the rising deficit with
five years from now would still be
charts. And the U.S. along with its
dampen down the enthusiasm for
last year, so that the annual trade
Japan shows that foreign trade barri-
over $200 billion in today's dollars
allies could deal with them crushing-
deficit between the nations widened
ers persist while America's domestic
trade law changes," said Representa-
or about one-third the present budget.
ly with only a fraction of current
tive Don J. Pease, an Ohio Democral
to $43.44 billion from $41.10 billion, the
weaknesses, such as high health-care
in other words, the much-touted
military power, as happened in the
first such deterioration since 1987.
costs, continue to hobble American
peace dividend to produce extra dol-
Persian Gulf war. As for protecting
who supports more trade restrictions.
"If I were President Bush and could
The persistent deficit with Japan
exporters. "Devaluation of the dollar
lars for domestic priorities and defi-
"Artierican citizens in places like the
has grown to two-thirds of the overall
devalues U.S. assets and makes us all
say that I'd reduced the trade deficit
from over $100 billion to $66 billion,
poorer,' he said.
CH. reduction is turning out to be far
Philippines or Panama, a few battal-
deficit from a third in the last four
smaller than anticipated.
ions and a few air squadrons could do
I'd be pretty pleased."
years, and Congressional Democrats
A study released today by Kenneth
And the peace dividend will be
the job easily. And as for worrying
Economists, however, attribute
have made it a centerpiece of their
Leventhal & Company, a large ac-
recent criticisms of Administration
smaller still if Democratic leaders in.
about some new world military pow-
much of the improvement from the
counting firm, said that Japanese in-
$101.7 billion deficit in 1990 and the
trade policy.
Congress have their way. Their sug-
er, none is near any horizon.
vestors had used the strong yen to
peak $152.1 billion deficit in 1987 to
"I think it's frustrating to see us
buy $76 billion worth of American
gested cuts put them closer to Mr.
These comments oversimplify, to
the weakening of the American econ-
make this kind of progress with the
Bush than to their own would-be par-
be sure. Pentagon planners have to
real estate since the mid-1980's, al-
omy, which has left businesses-and
Europeans, with Mexico and many
though the pace slowed significantly
ty standard-bearers, an embarrass-
think about length of combat, troop
individuals less able to afford im-
other countries" but not Japan, said
last year.
fact that is just beginning to dawn
fotations, maintaining an industrial
Senator Lloyd Bentsen, the Texas
base and the like.
ports.
A Lasting Difference
on several of them.
Democrat who heads the Finance
They are also in the business of
Recession Is Cited
Committee.
But Harold Malmgren, a deputy
Legislators, Democrats and Re-
publicans, say they are worried that
selling insurance. The U.S. bought a
"At least half, maybe two-thirds, of
United States trade representative
the year's improvement was due to
during the Nixon and Ford Adminis-
faster reductions will lead to swelling
great deal of insurance against Mos-
the recession," said C. Fred Berg-
A Shrinking Deficit
trations, said that slow growth in
unemployment rolls. But the Penta-
cow for 40 years, mostly well spent.
sten, the director of the Institute for
American industrial wages and the
gon is not supposed to be a jobs
Americans paid the price not because
International Economics, a Washing-
trimming of corporate middle man-
agency, and a particularly expensive
they thought Moscow really would
ton public policy research group.
The excess of imports over
agement had made a lasting differ-
one at that. Concerned legislators
attack Europe or the U.S., but be-
And the widening trade gap report-
exports, in billions of dollars.
ence in keeping American goods af-
would better serve their country if
cause the effects of Soviet military
ed for December served as unwel-
fordable in foreign markets. The
they followed Senator Sam Nunn's
might had to be counterbalanced and
come news for Mr. Bush's re-election
'81
'83
'85
'87
'89
main threat to American exports this
because the actual use of that might
campaign. as the seasonally adjusted
0
'01
year lles in the possibility that the
would fundamentally damage Ameri-
deficit deteriorated by $1.77 billion
weakness of foreign economies will
can security. Currently imaginable
from November.
-20
cause a rise in the dollar's value, he
J. Antonio Villamil, the Commerce
said.
The
threats to U.S. interests are trivial by
Department's chief economist, said
comparison.
the increase in the deficit in Decem-
-40
The trade deficit announced today
ber was not significant because a
may be worse than it seems because
campaign
Democratic Presidential candi-
dates have solid arguments for the
third of it reflected a decline in air-
-60
it includes only goods and because
craft exports, which vary enormously
exports are often undercounted, sev.
time bomb.
one-third cuts in spending they pro-
pose, and should press their case
from month to month as planes worth
-80
eral economists said. The nation ran
harder. And Congressional Demo-
$100 million or more apiece are deliv-
an estimated $34 billion trade surplus
ered in bunches.
-100
in services last year, largely because
crats should look again at their own
But private economists generally
of a big increase in foreign tourism.
position and do their part by pushing
lead and put their minds to creating
agree that as other industrialized na-
the:Pentagon to justify its much high-
-120
A report last month from the Na.
new jobs for military personnel in
tions' economies continue to slow
education and new uses for unneeded
er./spending projections. Otherwise
down this year, making them less
tional Research Council estimated
the peace dividend will vanish in the
able to buy American exports, trade
-140
that American exports of goods were
military bases.
undercounted by 3 to 7 percent, or $13
usual "complexities" of Washing-
balances in 1992 will more likely re-
In any event, the size of the defense
semble the December results than
billion to $29 billion last year, because
ton's political bazaar.
-160
budget should be set relative to over-
the overall improvement in 1991.
duties were not charged on them.
all national priorities and a realistic
The United States will avoid deteri-
Including the undercounting and
Source: Commerce Department
services, the nation's trade in goods
judgment of external threats. On
and services was nearly balanced
these counts, Democratic Presiden-
Continued on Page D16
The New York Times
last year.
tial hopefuls make more sense than
their Congressional counterparts and
George Bush.
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21. 1992
On My Mind
A. M. ROSENTHAL
Buchanan's Free Ride
Give Mideast
They did not create Patrick Bu-
thy, bulldozed his way right over the
Talks a Boost
chanan's victory in New Hampshire
American press in the 50's.
- the recession and the Administra-
Maybe that's because journalists
tion's long lost-weekend case of eco-
have a soft spot for "underdogs."
By Richard W. Murphy
drawal of Israeli forces from Leba-
nomic staggers did that. But suddenly
Personally don't care what kind of a
non. A 12-month timetable would be
stricken with pusillanimous paralysis
dog a candidate is. I just want to be
reasonable, with the first six months
told if it is carrying fleas.
he fighting in southern
the press, politicians and President
devoted to training and re-equipping
gave Mr. Buchanan a nice, comfort-
President Bush: He let Mr. Bu-
T
Lebanon between Isra-
Lebanese Army units for deployment
chanan walk all over him. Worse,
el and Hezbollah, re-
able, free ride on his way.
in substantial numbers In the south,
viving memories of the
Walt, stay with this, even if you
neither he nor his surrogates acted as
integrating the Israell-supported
loathe the man. 1 have good news
if they had even heard of the regular
warfare that began af-
Armyof South Lebanon Into the Leba-
Buchananite nastinesses about Dr.
ter Israel's invasion of
toward the end about fighting him.
nese Army and disarming the re-
But first: The press, which could
Martin Luther King. small "d" demo-
Lebanon in 1982, points up the urgen-
maining militias.
crats, Jews dragging the U.S. into
cy of diplomacy on that front. The
spare armies of reporters and cam-
Movement on the ground would
war, and his anti-gay rantings, on and
fragile Mideast peace process needs
eramen to track down every charge
start in the seventh month, with a
about a candidate's sexual adven-
on.
tangible success to keep the parties
phased withdrawal from the south
tures and hunt earnestly for exam-
Nor were there peeps from the
engaged. Until now, hopes have been
coinciding with a takeover of respon-
Democratic candidates or almost-
pinned on the Israeli-Palestinian
ples yet uncovered, just couldn't
talks, but when the parties reconvene
sibilities for the "security zone" by
spare a few bodies to probe into Mr.
candidates. Et Mario, too. That hurts;
Lebanon. To achieve any elements of
maybe he forgot.
Monday, they apparently will bring
Buchanan's past.
this package, maximum Lebanese-
Now, the promised reward. In Cali-
no new positions to the table. Only the
I am not talking about secrets but
Lebanon-Israel talks may have the
Israeli cooperation as well as super-
his own words and attitudes, while on
fornia, an elected Republican politi-
the Government's payroll or when
cian is showing the courage and intel-
potential for significant movement.
vision by the U.N. or a combination of
countries would be essential.
ligence needed to handle the Buchan-
The Lebanon front presents the
masquerading as a journalist. What
possibilities of early diplomatic
U.S.-sponsored Israell-Lebanese
do they tell us about this man who
ans: say what they are, not behind the
hand, not in embarrassment, but out
moves and military redeployment. It
negotiations in 1983 falled, under very
wants to be President - about his
does not confront Israel with the
different conditions, to develop a sus-
angers against blacks, Jews, gays
loud as 8 matter of plain duty. He Is
choice of land for peace vs. peace for
tainable agreement, largely because
and others not to his tastes, about his
Representative Tom Campbell, whose
peace, as the other fronts do. Likud
the talks excluded Syria and because
fondness for a variety of dictators, his
district includes the Silicon Valley and
and Labor leaders stress that Israel
Israel erred in linking its withdrawal
disdain for Americans who think de-
who is running for the U.S. Senate.
has no territorial ambitions in Leba-
from Lebanon to Syrian withdrawal.
mocracy is a way of life that the U.S.
Before the New Hampshire prima-
non and that it respects the border.
Since then, Syria has agreed on an
should try to encourage in the world.
ry vote, Mr. Campbell decided that,
This is not to say progress in the
arrangement worked out under the
Instead, reporters and editors al-
"silence is unacceptable" and sent an
lowed him to wave them off with
unsolicited statement to the Simon
Israeli-Lebanese talks will be easy.
Israel has maintained a limited force
breezy contempt and false denials on
Wiesenthal Center in Los Angeles,
in southern Lebanon since withdraw-
those occasions they did ask ques-
named after the great Nazi-hunter
ing most its troops in 1985. It de-
Israel and Syria
tions. Columnist friends and TV part-
and working in his tradition.
The statement tears into Mr. Bu-
scribes this sector, five to eight miles
ners gathered their wagons, and
chanan's "obsession" with Jews, his
deep, as a security zone, and says it
should pull out
tenderness toward war criminals, his
must remain that way to protect
"bizarre revisionist claim" that the
northern settlements until the au.
of Lebanon.
British let a million German P.O.W.'s
thorities in Beirut demonstrate they
From press,
die, his evil remark about the group
can physically control the area.
politicians,
"fantasies of martyrdom and hero-
Many Israelis doubt that Beirut
ism" of Holocaust survivors.
can prevent terrorist infiltration so
auspices of Saudi Arabia, Morocco
The Buchanans can be sent back to
long as the Syrian Army and Iran's
and Algeria to pull its forces back into
President.
armed clients remain in Lebanon.
the shadows, the Louisiana way. Loui-
the eastern Bekaa Valley by this Sep-
Syria has made plain it will neither
siana defeated David Duke through
tember and then to negotiate a final
withdraw its army from Lebanon nor
withdrawal with the Lebanese Gov.
coalitions of whites, blacks, Jews,
block what it calls Palestinian "free-
Christians, Republicans, Democrats,
ernment. The proposed diplomacy in
counterattack weapons, around him.
dom fighters" and militias such as
workers and businessmen, united by
the south complements and does not
Other journalists got all choked up
the determination that this man
Hezbollah from operating against Is.
contradict this agreement.
when Mr. Buchanan decided that
rael before an Israeli withdrawal.
would not represent them.
Lebanese-Israeli talks will not
there might be some votes in throw-
It is past time for the press to do its
To cut through this standoff, Wash-
produce a separate peace treaty. Bei-
ing the unemployed a few more bene-
job. It is past time for politicians and
ington and Moscow, co-sponsors of
rut's interests are too intertwined with
fit checks after all. Keep an eye out
voters of both parties to put Buchan-
the talks, should call for the with-
those of its Arab partners to get that
for more articles about the wiser,
anite assaults beyond acceptability.
far out in front of them. But all partles
kinder, gentler Buchanan.
"Protest votes" duck reality. On
Richard W. Murphy, a senior fellow
to the Mideast talks should recognize
don't relish slanging away at jour-
the phone, Mr. Campbell posed the
at the Council on Foreign Relations,
that a diplomatic success this year,
nallsts. But it has to be said that over
issues in two questions:
was Assistant Secretary of State for
even If it directly affects only Israel
all, in print and on the air, the cover-
Do Republicans want Patrick Bu-
Near Eastern and South Asian Af-
and Lebanon, may well restore confi-
age of Patrick Buchanan, a man who
chanan to represent them as head of
fairs from 1983 to 1989.
dence that diplomacy can work.
came out of the dark shadows of the
their party?
America First past and wants to drag
Do Republicans and Democrats
us back Into them, was the mushiest,
want this man to be President of the
most protective and unprofessional
United States?
since his Idol, Senator Joseph McCar-
Anything else is evasion.
Japanese Cut U.S. Investing
Japanese investment in United
nese investment even if the Japanese
States real estate tumbled to $5 bil-
provided only half of the equity in the
lion last year, according to a report
project.
released yesterday by the accounting
Nevertheless, virtually all indexes
firm of Kenneth Leventhal & Compa-
of property investments by foreign-
ers show that there has been a sharp
ny.
Within the context of earlier Le-
drop in Japanese investments in re-
venthal reports, the 1991 investment
cent years. The downturn in the do-
figure represents a 61 percent decline
mestic commercial property mar-
from the 1990 level of $13 billion. The
kets account for much of the decline,
Leventhal report noted that Japanese
but the Persian Gulf war, the reces-
investors are having some of the
sion, and the financial shocks that
same problems that are besetting
Tokyo felt over the course of 1991 also
American financial institutions and
contributed. Also, in April 1990. the
developers and that low-cost capital
Japanese Ministry of Finance im-
is far less abundant in Tokyo today
posed real estate lending restrictions
than it was a few years ago.
on Japanese financial institutions
Though widely used, Leventhal's
that have only recently begun to ease.
studies of Japanese real estate in-
"A restrictive monetary policy,
vestments tend to exaggerate the
higher bank capital requirements, a
amount the Japanese spend in the
declining stock market, the banking
United States on property deals be-
industry's low profit margins, and
cause the company counts the entire
declining land prices have changed
value of a real estate project as a
the profile of the Japanese financial
Japanese Investment even If Ameri-
system," the report noted.
can partners are providing half of the
On a cumulative basis, the office
cost of the project. If, for example, a
sector attracted the most Japanese
Japanese-American partnership de-
investment, 38 percent, followed by
velops a new building for $200 million,
hotel/resort with 26 percent, with
the entire $200 million would appear
mixed-use buildings and residential
in the Leventhal numbers as a Japa-
properties both at 11 percent.
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
David Small
A Confederacy of Fools?
By Molly Ivins
wrong, blame Mr. Black.
Southern voters
But any decent populist, Tom Har-
kin for example, can make David
AUSTIN, Tex.
Duke look no-how by pointing out that
may surprise
"the people on welfare" (Duke's code
A the herd of Presidential
candidates rounds
phrase), did not create the S.& L.
that first curve and
everyone.
debacle, now costing us half a trillion
heads south - thun-
bucks. The people on welfare are not
dering into Dixie pre-
responsible for the orgy of mergers
pared to eat grits and
and acquisitions and leveraged
talk down to the populace. We are
Red and rice. Blackened red dirt.
buyouts that left the corporate econ-
about to witness the quadrennial po-
or course, there are regional differ-
omy staggering with debt, and unable
litical effects of the popular assump-
ences that will work for and against
to make it through a recession. The
tion that a Southern accent is the
some in the current crop of candi-
people on welfare aren't the ones who
equivalent of a low I.Q.
dates. Paul Tsongas is minus-zero on
spent $2 trillion on the military in the
One might hope that the enduring
the Elvis scale, but that won't hurt
1980's without raising the taxes to pay
stereotype of Southerners as a collec-
him as much as the sad fact that the
for it; leaving us with a deficit the size
tion of slope-browed ridge-runners
butterfly stroke is just not real big on
of a galaxy that now eats half of every
would have been shaken by the re-
the Southern sports pages. If only he
tax dollar we pay.
sults the last time out. You remember
played ice hockey instead; of course,
As for our native son, Bill Clinton of
1988, when all the candidates came
we have no ice here, but it looks as
Arkansas, and his even more native
south and carried on obligingly about
rough as football. On the other hand,
campaign strategist, Jim Carville of
the need for a strong national de-
Southern women do like gentlemen;
Louisiana, they'll have to answer to
fense, daringly endorsed traditional
Tsongas should probably study South-
precisely the most caricaturish ele-
family values and courageously com-
em women.
ments of the Southern stereotype
milted to no-new-taxes. Jesse Jack-
The South honors the warrior tradi-
socially conservative Southerners do
son won seven states.
tion more than most regions, which
not much care for wife-cheaters and
But one forebodes that the South's
should help Bob Kerrey. Florence
draft-dodgers. Of course, even funda-
actual maverick politics have not
King, a distinguished daughter of Vir-
mentalist preachers are in no posi-
made a dent in the national presump-
ginia, once described Southern men-
tion these days to wax indignant over
tion that most of us are borderline
tal life as "a Cecil B. DeMille screen-
scarlet wimmin. A television comedi-
morons. More powerful than magnolia,
play sired by a Sir Walter Scott nov-
an said the other night that Gennifer
moonshine and mint Juleps, stronger
el." But when you ponder the prepon-
Flowers looks like a lady even Jimmy
than the image of red-necked, black-
derance of Southerners In the mili-
Swaggart would have passed up.
hating bigots, is the notion that the
tary, keep in mind that the United
The President is supposed to have a
South is the land of the Big Dumb.
States Army is almost certainly the
lock on the Southern White Male Vote,
What to my wondering eyes should
most thoroughly racially integrated
but I'll put money on the proposition
appear in this very newspaper just a
institution in the nation.
that Bubba is going to like Buchanan.
few years ago but the headline, "South-
Ah, race, the Southern curse. "If
All in all, I think we can expect the
ern Practice of Eating Dirt Shows
ya'll have come so far on race, ex-
South to do the unexpected. Bet
Signs of Waning." Sheesh, no wonder
plain David Duke, huh, explain him."
against the conventional wisdom,
Yankees think we're a trifle slow.
Have you been to Louisiana lately?
sports fans. Any takers for Jerry
I'm a lifelong Southerner and never
We've been hearing a lot about the
Brown?
met a mud-muncher myself. Roy
terrible pain in New Hampshire
Blount, another son of the South, was
economy gone bust, folks without
moved to invent an entire menu based
jobs. don't want to get into a wound-
on this to-him-novel regional custom.
matching contest here, but you want
to put our pain up against their pain,
Bill Set for Mild Curb on Car Imports
Molly Ivins, political columnist for
go right ahead. What people in pain
the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, is au-
often do is look for someone to blame,
threatened to veto protectionist legis-
since 1987.
thor of "Molly Ivins Can't Say That,
and there's a sorry old Southern tra-
By KEITH BRADSHER
lation, and Democrats have yet to
Mr. Baucus's move is particulari
Can She?"
dition - whenever anything goes
overturn any velo by President Bush.
surprising because he has oppose
Specialto The New York Times
White House trade officials declined
protectionism and his state, Montant
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 - The
to comment on Mr. Baucus's proposal
does not make cars. He joined Sena
chairman of the Senate subcommit-
until they saw the details.
tor Lloyd Bentsen, the Texas Demo
tee on trade says he will announce
The Democratic chairmen of the
crat who is chairman of the Financ
legislation on Friday calling for mild
House trade subcommittee and Ways
Committee, in successfully leadin;
restrictions on sales of Japanese
and Means Committee both oppose
last year's legislative battle to giv.
cars, in part to head off, stronger
import limits, and together with Mr.
President Bush the authority to nego
protectionist bills now being pro-
Bush are likely to prevent protection-
tiate a free-trade agreement with
posed.
ist bills from becoming law, said Rep-
Mexico. And he led a group of sever
Senator Max S. Baucus, the Mon-
resentative Don J. Pease, an Ohio
farm-state Democratic Senators wh
tana Democrat and free-trade advo-
Democrat on the trade subcommit-
crossed party lines last summer "
cate who heads the Subcommittee on
tee.
support the President's renewal 0
International Trade, said in an inter-
Mr. Baucus proposes to cap Japa-
China's preferential trade status.
view that he considered the passage
nese auto makers sales of imported
The new proposal by Mr. Baucu
of some restrictions likely.
and American-made cars at the 1991
would require the Administration "
His new willingness 10 accept some
level of 3.6 million vehicles. His bill
persuade the Japanese Governmen
limits signals the changing mood in
to restrain its companies' car sale:
Congress as it responds to the linger-
for a series of two-year periods. Ja
ing recession, Japan's persistent
pan has participated in recent, so
trade surplus and the rise of protec-
A Senate free-
called voluntary restraint arrange
tionist sentiments across the nation.
ments, or V.R.A.'s, with the United
Tighter restrictions on Japanese
car makers, Mr. Baucus said, are
trader hopes to
States In the steel and machine too
industries, while Japanese auto mak
"likely, given the political currents,
ers have limited their exports to the
Americans worried about jobs, elec-
head off stronger
United States without the explicit
tion year."
participation of the Japanese Govern-
protectionism.
ment.
Mood Swings
The United States current limit of
Many senators and representatives
2.3 million cars from Japan has nc
still contend that the passage of legis-
direct effect because Japan sends
lation remains unlikely. "The mood in
would require Improvements in
only 1.8 million. Annual sales of an
Congress changes with the occasion;
American car quality - as measured
other 1.8 million cars by Japanese-
it hypers up and then it cools off,'
by the quality standards applied to
owned factories in the United States
Senator Frank H. Murkowski, Repub-
applicants for the Commerce Depart-
are not restricted.
lican of Alaska, said today. "I don't
ment's annual Baldrige Awards as!
Mr. Baucus said that his bill was
think a consensus is building."
a condition for the renewal of the car
not protectionist because of the condi-
Representative Jim Leach, Repub-
sales limit every two years.
tion that American auto makers Im-
lican of Iowa, was more cautious,
Senator Donald W. Riegle Jr., Dem-
prove their own quality. "There is no
contending that how well Japan ad-
ocrat of Michigan; Representative
doubt that whenever there is a V.R.A.,
heres to voluntary agreements nego-
Richard A. Gephardt, the majority
the American consumer pays a
tiated during President Bush's trip to
leader from Missourt; and four
price,' he said, because domestic and
Tokyo last month would determine
House Democrats from Michigan
foreign auto makers are able to
whether Congress passes protection-
suggested tighter restrictions on Dec.
charge more when fewer cars are
ist legislation this year.
20. They proposed that Japanese auto
available. "That's why in return the
"If the Japanese don't walk the
sales be reduced by 250,000 cars each
American Industry has got to invest
extra mile to support and more than
year through 1996 that the trade defi-
and retrain."
support the modest agreements the
cit with Japan does not shrink by at
He added that voluntary restric-
President enacted, Congress could
least 20 percent.
tions by the Japanese without his
well pass country-specific legislation
The Commerce Department an-
legislation would risk padding the
in the guise of more generalist legis-
nounced today that this deficit wid-
pockets of American auto makers,
lation,' he said.
ened last year to $43.4 billion from
and their shareholders. without forc-
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 27, 1992
Republicans
and the President.
Bush's Allies Are Told Not to Attack Buchanan in Georgia, the Next Battleground
Charles Black, the senior adviser to
Mr. Bush's campaign. said in an inter-
view today that the campaign "has no
plan 10 unload on him right now," but
for battleground for Mr. Bush and Mr.
uncontested victory in California, the
But other Republican political advis-
Mr. Bush's adopted home state and the
added: "Our intention is 10 respond
By MICHAEL WINES
big state in which Mr. Bush is consid-
ers said today that a sustained attack
victim of an economic downturn over
and not let it go unanswered this time.
Buchanan. The Georgia primary Is on
Specialio The New York Times
March 3.
ered politically vulnerable and the sin-
by Mr. Buchanan could seriously injure
much of the last three years.
It depends on what he does."
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 President
gle most important state In the Novem-
Mr. Bush in Georgia, where the econ-
"The expectations for Buchanan in
Other officials in the White House
Bush's re-election strategists told their
Mr. Buchanan is expected to use the
ber general election.
omy has sagged, and even in Texas,
Texas are lower, and I think Buchanan
and in Mr. Bush's national and Georgia
Georgia operatives today 10 refrain
same kind of slashing political attacks
feels he can do Jamage there," said
campaigns said the President would
from attacking Patrick J. Buchanan,
on the President that drew 37 percent
one Republican strategist who does not
shun an assault on his opponent for
the insurgent Republican in this
of the Republican vote in New Hamp-
work for Mr. Bush "And remember, it
now. In his first major opportunity. a
spring's primary races, even as the
shire this week and underscored the
Bush's 'Home' Seeks Bankruptcy
was Bish's home state when he lost it to
speech on Friday to Republican lead-
White House signaled that it would
weakness in Mr. Bush's political sup-
Bentsen" - a reference to Mr. Bush's
ers in South Carolina, Mr. Bush is
make Mr. Buchanan's record a cam-
port. Some analysts have claimed that
failed race in 1970 against the current
expected 10 refer 10 some issues on
Mr. Bush's failure to respond in kind
HOUSTON, Feb. 20 (Reuters)
to renegotiate terms with the prl.
senior Senator from Texas, Lloyd Bent-
which he and Mr. Buchanan part ways,
paign issue.
contributed to his relatively slim vic-
The owners of the Houston ho-
mary lender, Prudential Insur-
The move in Georgia hinted at Inde-
sen.
such as protectionism, but to refrain
tel President Bush calls home
cision among the strategists as to
tory there.
ance.
To again underestimate Mr. Buchan-
from any outright attacks.
have filed for bankruptcy.
Lawyers for the owners said
whether Mr. Bush can secure his par-
In the South, Mr. Bush's advisers
an's potential, one of Mr. Bush's cam-
As expected, the White House said
A suite at the hotel, the Housto-
the bankruptcy filing was unlikely
ty's nomination quickly without using
paign officials said today, would be a
Mr. Bush would visit a number of
believe that B more prosperous econ-
nlan Hotel and Conference Cen-
to affect operations because the
negative political tactics that would
omy will help the President avoid an
grave mistake. "If he goes one or two
Southern primary states in the next
ter, has long served as Bush's
hotel Is under a long-term lease to
anger Mr. Buchanan's conservative
embarrassment like this week's vote.
more states after Georgia and has 10
two weeks, including stops in Georgia,
official residence for tax and vot-
a separate company, the Housto-
backers.
On Wednesday they called New Hamp-
put up with a 35 percent. 37 percent
Texas, Florida, Alabama and probably
ing purposes, though he rarely
nian Hotel and Conference Cen-
It also suggested that they remain
shire an "aberration," saying the eco-
showing" from Mr. Buchanan, "he is
Tennessee and Mississippi.
visits Houston and spends much
ter, Inc.
confident that the President's major
nomic hardship spurred voters to back
dead," the official said of Mr. Bush,
The President is scheduled to open
of the summer at his home in
Texas Democratic party lead-
campaign themes - that he cares
Mr. Buchanan as a protest against all
adding, "He will be like Jerry Ford was
his Maryland campaign in suburban
Maine.
ers used the bankruptcy to jab at
about economic problems and has the
of the Government's leadership, not
in 1976 mortally wounded, and bleed-
Washington on Monday, and will make
The hotel's owners, Burdened
Mr. Bush about the economic
best program to cure them - need
Mr. Bush in particular.
ing from every part of his body."
is six-day trek through California, Tex-
with about $28.5 million In debt,
troubles affecting millions of oth-
little tinkering in the aftermath of
At the White House today, Mr. Bush's
as and Georgia next week.
Those advisers contend that the
mostly from renovations to the
er Americans. "I think this might
Tuesday's strong showing by Mr. Bu-
deputy spokeswoman said the cam-
President Is strong in Georgia and has
300-room hotel, filed for bankrupt-
help him get the message," said
chanan in New Hampshire.
paign is "certainly going to take a
an excellent chance to sweep through
cy protection under Chapter 11 on
Ed Martin, the state party's exec-
Georgia, the first of eight Southern
more aggressive approach" to Mr. Bu-
Real Estate news:
the South without another strong Bu.
Tuesday after four years of trying
utive director.
states that hold Republican primaries
chanan's candidacy now by defining
Wednesday, Friday, Sunday
next month, is viewed as the next ma-
chanan showing. That would allow an
the differences on issues between him
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Pennsylvania
Trouble Shadows Specter in Senate Race
By MICHAEL deCOURCY HINDS
Some political analysts believe the
Specialio The New York Times
more than $5 million, and expects to
62-year-old Senator may be heading for
spend more than $7.5 by November
PHILADELPHIA, Feb. 20 - Last
trouble.
Mr. Specter's tireless style of cam-
November, when for the first time in 30
"Arlen Specter is perilously close to
paigning comes from a 25-year politi-
years Pennsylvanians elected their
becoming the issue in this race, and
first Democrat to the United States
cal career in which he lost as many
being put irretrievably on the defen-
races as he won. He was born in Wich-
Senate, politicians across the country
sive," said Michael L. Young, a profes-
took note. Now, with the political land-
ita, Kan., graduated Phi Beta Kappa
sor of politics and public affairs at
from the University of Pennsylvania,
scape here still rumbling from Senator
Pennsylvania State University in Har-
served in the Air Force and, at Yale
Harris Wofford's landslide victory
risburg. "And one of the most reliable
Law School, was editor of the Yale Law
over former Attorney General Dick
axioms in modern politics is that if you
Journal.
Thornburgh, the state's Republican
become the issue in the race, the race
He worked as an assistant district
Senator, Arten Specter, is running for
is over and you lose."
re-election to a third term.
attorney in Philadelphia and, at the age
So far, Mr. Specter dominates his
While Mr. Specter is way ahead of
of 35, began his political career as
potential opponents when it comes to
the pack of candidates jockeying for
District Attorney of Philadelphia. He
name recognition, political support,
ran unsucessfully for mayor in 1967
positions in the April 28 primaries here,
campaign finances and organization.
before winning a second term as Dis-
political analysts say he is increasingly
In the Republican primary Mr. Spec-
trict Attorney in 1969.
vulnerable because of the long reces-
ter, who recently won the party's near-
He then skidded through a series of
sion, the voters' anti-incumbent mood
ly unanimous endorsement, faces Mr.
defeats, losing a third term as District
and a ballot headed by a President
Freind, an eight-term State Represent-
whose re-election efforts are having
Attorney in 1973, a senatorial primary
ative from a suburb of Philadelphia.
serious problems.
in 1976 and a primary for the governor-
Mr. Freind, 47. is best known as the
Mr. Specter, a onetime Democrat
ship in 1978. A year later his wife, Joan,
main promoter of an anti-abortion law
with one of the most liberal voting
won a seal on Philadelphia City Coun-
that is now being considered by the
records of any Republican in the Sen-
cil, where she still serves. Mr. Specter
United States Supreme Court.
narrowly won the 1980 election to the
ate, has also alienated some of his
Three Democratic Contenders
Senate and was re-elected by a com-
supporters. Conservatives still criti-
The Democratic candidates are
fortable margin in 1986. The Specters
cize him for voting against Judge Rob-
crt H. Bork's nomination to the Su-
Lieut. Gov. Mark S. Singel, who is run-
have two sons - Stephen, 31, a college
ning against the wishes of the Gover-
teacher in California; and Shanin, 34, a
preme Court in 1987, and many women
were outraged by his prosecutorial
nor, Robert P. Casey; Robert Colville,
lawyer in Philadelphia who is an advis-
grilling of Professor Anita Hill in Judge
a five-term District Attorney of Alle-
er to his father's campagin.
Clarence Thomas's nomination hear-
gheny County, and Lynn Yeakel, a 51-
David L. Buffington, who last fall
ings last October.
year-old fund-raiser for women's or.
was the first political analyst to predict
ganizations and who lives in a Philadel
that Mr. Wofford would defeat Mr.
Ridiculed In 'J.F.K.'
phia suburb. The Democratic Party
Thornburgh, a former Governor of
Making matters worse for the Sena-
has endorsed Mr. Singel.
Pennsylvania, said there would be no
for is that the election year opened with
If it is clear that Mr. Specter has
upset this year. "Democrats are divid-
the star of a popular movie, "J.F.K.,"
political problems, it is unclear how
ed, Specter will out-spend everybody.
calling him a liar and ridiculing him by
deep they go.
and he works and he works and he
name. So far more than 525,000 Penn-
"A lot of women are angry about
works," Mr. Buffington said.
sylvanians have seen Oliver Stone's
Arien Specter's performance during
the Thomas hearings, but this isn't the
time to indulge our anger because we
Rumblings from
need his leadership in the Senate on
women's issues," said Elizabeth
Hrenda-Roberts, executive director of
'J.F.K.' and the
Planned Parenthood, Pennsylvania Af-
fillates.
Thomas hearing.
Mr. Freind has raised little money
New York
but says he has bout 5,000 volunteers
from the state's anti-abortion move-
movie, in which the actor Kevin
ment. Senator Specter and the three
2 Democrats Struggle to Push
Costner, playing the role of Jim Garri-
Democratic candidates support
a
son, the New Orleans District Attorney,
woman's right to choose abortion.
refers to Mr. Specter as "an ambitious
Many conservatives are also angry
Each Other Off April 7 Ballot
junior counselor" who perpetuated
at Mr. Specter who, according to the
"one of the grossest lies ever forced on
American Conservative Union, votes
the American people."
with conservatives only 34 percent of
By MICHAEL SPECTER
Mr. Specter, who served as an assist-
the time.
ly state the filing time begins at 9.
ant counsel to the Warren Commission,
Dropping all previous restraint or
called the movie "absurd" and said it
"His Bork vote weighs very heavily
reservations, the two leading Demo-
"If you were trying to think of a way
against him, but the way he conducted
cratic Presidential candidates yester-
to discourage participation in democ-
"mangled the facts on the single-bullet
theory" that he devised Mr. Specter
the hearings has relieved most
day bitterly challenged each other's
racy you would come up with New
was the first to rule out a conspiracy by
of that stigma," said James 0. Pick-
right to appear on New York's primary
York election law,' said Julian Palm-
ard, a Republican from Lancaster who
ballot on April 7.
er, executive director of New York
theorizing that one bullet killed Presi-
is a leader of the party's conservative
"We didn't start this and we didn't
State Common Cause, the public af-
dent John F. Kennedy and wounded the
wing. "Arlen Specter also has strong
want it, said Harold Ickes Jr., the
fairs lobby. "It's an abomination."
Texas Governor, John B. Connally Jr.
Many experts on the assassination say
positions on law enforcement, anti-gun
state campaign chairman for Gov. Bill
All campaigns, as well as the state
the theory strains credulity, but it has
control and economic development."
Clinton of Arkansas. "But now we have
Democratic chairman, John Marino,
'A Lot of Red Flags"
10 defend ourselves, and believe me, we
busied themselves yesterday by blam-
never been disproved.
will."
ing everyone but themselves for the
The brief mention of Mr. Specter's
Mr. Specter says he knows his cam-
Mr. Ickes and aides to former Sena-
mess. Mr. Tsongas, whose campaign
name in the movie draws applause or
paign has some trouble spots. "I see a
tor Paul E. Tsongas of Massachusells
blamed Mr. Clinton's campaign, which
shouts from detractors in theaters
lot of red flags," he said in an inter-
each say they have no desire to throw
said it wasn't at fault, clearly has the
across the state. At some theater exits
view. "But there are too many prob-
their opponents off the ballot. And both
most to lose. With only 14,000 signa-
campaign workers for his opponent in
lems in this country for me to become
the Issue."
sides say their challenges are "defen-
tures, Mr. Tsongas is the candidate
the primary, Stephen F. Freind, hand
sive." But the actions could well mean
that political observers say would most
out leaflets that try to raise more
While the Senator did not officially
that the primary will be fought in Fed-
likely get knocked off the ballot. Mr.
doubts about Mr. Specter's record.
begin his campaign until Feb. 10, in a
eral court before voters gel a chance 10
Clinton, by comparison, filed a petition
Mr. Specter refuses to address what
sense he has been campaigning non-
choose a candidate.
with nearly 50,000 signatures, and the
he calls his opponent's "scurrilous
stop for the last 11 years. He often
Jim Armenakis, Mr. Tsongas's state
likelihood that they will survive any
charges," and has joined other mem-
criss-crosses the state, visiting each of
chairman, said: "If they dump us off
challenge seems strong
bers of Congress in calling for the
Pennsylvania's 67 counties every two
the ballot, think a good bet you will
Mr. Armenakis said that If the elec-
release of sealed documents relating to
years, and has held more than 400
see the next step occur in court. This is
tion board rejected Mr. Tsongas, cam-
investigations of the assassination.
"town meetings." He has also raised
obviously not what anybody wants."
paign officials would challenge the no-
tion that New York State election laws
Complex Election Rules
could override national Democratic
Clearly, however, somebody does
Party rules for selecting delegates.
want it. because all efforts to prevent
Mr. Marino said that he wanted ev.
the Byzantine and cumbersome chal-
eryone on the ballot and that he would
lenge process failed. New York State's
continue to work to resolve the differ-
election laws, which at times appear to
ences before next Monday, when the
have been written before the Enlight-
campaigns must spell out the specific
enment, are the most complex in the
grounds for their objections. Like liter-
country. To appear on the Democratic
ally every other participant in the dra-
ballot a candidate must collect at least
ma, he called for an overhaul of the
10,000 signatures from registered par-
election law. an unlikely possibility be-
ty members. At least 100 signatures
cause the laws almost always cushion
must come from each of the state's 34
incumbents and make life more diffi-
Congressional districts.
cult for new candidates.
The petition requirements are notor-
Mr. Marino, a political soldier for
jusly complex. Despite a strong show-
Gov. Mario M. Cuomo, reserved his
ing in this week's New Hampshire pri-
harshest words for the Clinton cam-
mary. for example, Patrick J. Buchan-
paign. Last week the campaign de-
an has already been precluded from
clined to enter a "nonaggression" pact
running against President Bush in New
proposed by Mr. Marino because it
York. failing to obtain the required
would have applied to anybody, wheth-
number of signatures. Candidates have
er they had 10,000 signatures or 10.
been thrown off the ballot because their
"You could see this coming,' he said.
petitions were filed on the wrong color
"And now it is going to be ugly."
paper. Others were rejected because
they used paper clips to fasten their
entries rather than staples. One local
legislator was disqualified several
Watch for colorful Part 2's of
years ago because he filed his petition
The New York Times Magazine.
at 8:30 in the morning. The rules clear-
The New York Times
NEW YORK. FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
SOME SENATORS SEE
LITTLE RISK OF WAR
Inquiry Into Abuses
INQUIRY INTO H.U.D.
AtH.U.D. Produces
YIELDS GUILTY PLEA
Say the Military Is Inflating
Its First Guilty Plea
Its Concerns as Tactic to
Continued From Page Al
Inflate Its Budget, Too
By DAVID JOHNSTON
Specialto The New York Times
scheduled to be sentenced in August.
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 - In the
The felony he pleaded guilty 10, at-
By ERIC SCHMITT
Specialto The New York Times
first successful prosecution in the in-
tempting to evade Federal taxes, car-
ries a maximum penalty of five years
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 - Several
quiry into influence peddling at the
members of the Senate Armed Serv.
Department of Housing and Urban De-
in prison and a fine of $250,000.
ices Committee today challenged some
velopment, a New York State business-
The prosecutors said in papers made
of the war scenarios that the Defense
man close to former Secretary Samuel
public today that Mr. Singletary failed
Department has prepared to help the
R. Pierce Jr. pleaded guilty today to
to include $13,424 in income on his
military services plan their budgets
attempting to evade taxes on income
return for 1985. He and his wife report-
through the end of the decade.
he received from a consulting firm that
ed income of $57,762 that year. Had he
After a hearing with Adm. David E.
reported the additional money, Mr.
Jeremiah, who is the Vice Chairman of
had a grant from the housing agency.
The businessman, Samuel P. Single-
Singletary would have owed $5,883
the Jomi Chiefs of Staff, several sena-
tary of Pleasantville, entered his plea
more in taxes.
tors cast doubt on the likelihood of
The money that Mr. Singletary failed
United States involvement in the seven
before Judge Stanley S. Harris of Unit-
to report was paid to him by the Center
possible wars outlined in internal Pen-
ed States Court for the District of Co-
for Resource Development, a consult-
tagon planning documents.
lumbia, admitting that he gave the
ing firm that received a H.U.D. techni-
The classified scenarios, disclosed in
Internal Revenue Service false infor-
cal assistance grant from a discretion-
press reports this week, are the first
mation about his earnings in 1985.
afy fund supervised personally by Mr.
detailed military plans drafted by the
The plea agreement was reached
Pierce. DuBois Gilliam, a former depu-
United States for the post-cold-war era.
with Arlin M. Adams, the independent
ty assistant secretary at H.U.D., told a
Significant levels of military spending
prosecutor who is investigating influ-
House subcommittee two years ago
would be required well into the next
ence peddling and fraud at the housing
that Mr. Pierce asked him to steer the
century to sustain forces capable of
agency while Mr. Pierce was Secretary
grant to Mr. Singletary's firm.
fighting and winning one or more of the
Today's guilty plea represented Mr.
seven hypothetical conflicts.
during Ronald Reagan's Presidency.
Adams's first conviction in his two-
As part of the deal, Mr. Singletary
"Incredibly Unilkely'
year-long inquiry. He has obtained in-
agreed to cooperate fully with the pros-
dictments against two other people,
Some senators expressed concern to-
ecutors, and Mr. Adams agreed to drop
Leonard E. Briscoe, a Texas developer,
day that the Defense Department
tax-evasion charges relating to Mr.
and Lance H. Wilson, who was Mr.
might be exaggerating some potential
Singletary's returns for 1986 and 1987.
Pierce's former executive assistant.
threats to justify robust military
Prosecutors also said they would ask
Both have denied wrongdoing.
spending and to shield the Pentagon
the judge to waive fines or a jail sen-
Betsy K. Wanger, a lawyer for Mr.
from future spending cuts.
tence for his crime. Mr. Singletary is
Singletary. would not comment on the
"Some of these scenarios are incred-
case, but Mr. Singletary's agreement
ibly unlikely," Senator Carl Levin,
to cooperate suggested that prosecu-
Democrat of Michigan, said in an inter-
Continued on Page A13, Column I
tors believe he may provide them with
view. "If they are used for budget
information about Mr. Pierce's activi-
rationale, they could undermine the
FOR THOSE FAVORING CREMATION WOODLAWN
ties as the top official at H.U.D.
strength of the Pentagon's budget re-
Cemetary offers from pemphiet giving complete infor
mation Call
Comment From Pierce Lawyer
quest."
Among the hypothetical threats are
Paul L Perito, a lawyer for Mr.
another Traqi invasion of Kuwait, a
Pierce, said, the guilty plea will have
North Korean attack on South Korea
no effect on the former H.U.D. official.
and an attack on Lithuania by Russia.
"I do not believe that the guilty plea
"We can see through these scenari-
will directly or indirectly impact on
os," Senator John W. Warner of Virgin-
Mr. Pierce." he said.
ia, the ranking Republican on the
Mr. Adams's investigation inquiry
Armed Services Committee, said in an
began after Congressional investiga-
interview. "I don't think Congress
tions, news accounts and an internal
should put limits on their hypothetical
report in 1989 that showed severe man-
planning, but then we have a right to be
agerial lapses in a program that pro-
critical of them."
vided financial incentives to develop-
'Not Predictive," Pentagon Says
ers to upgrade apartments for people
with low incomes.
Admirai Jeremiah, the military's
Subsequent inquiries by lawmakers
second-ranking officer and head of the
uncovered possible fraud, waste and
Pentagon working group that prepared
favoritism and numerous cases in
the list, defended the planning as an
which millions of dollars in H.U.D. con-
essential guide to help the services
tracts were awarded to developers who
shape their forces and budgets, in this
had formerly held senior jobs at the
case for the years 1994 through 1999.
agency or had political contacts there.
"The question for the services really
Mr. Singletary worked as a consult-
is, are you prepared 10 deal with sce-
ant for the Center for Resource Devel-
narios like these, and if so, what kind of
opment from 1984 to 1987, advising
shortfalls in munitions or spare parts
cities on how to apply for community
might you expect," he said.
development grants financed by
The planning outlined in the docu-
H.U.D. The center itself sought techni-
ments - described as "illustrative"
cal-assistance funds from the agency
and "not predictive does not mean
out of the discretionary fund super-
that any of the scenarios are imminent
vised by Mr. Pierce.
or Inevitable, and Admiral Jeremiah
Mr. Pierce has known Mr. Singletary
stressed that it would be wrong to
for years, and Mr. Singletary worked
describe them as contingencies.
00 the H.U.D. Secretary's unsuccessful
Senator Sam Nunn, the Georgia
campaign for a New York judgeship in
Democrat who is chairman of the com-
1960. "Mr. Pierce knew Mr. Singletary
mittee, said the Pentagon had refused
as he knew other people when he was in
to give the documents to the commit-
New York," said Mr. Perito, who added
tee. Admiral Jeremiah cited the classi-
that the two men have not seen each
fied status of the files, although the
other in years.
Pentagon frequently gives committees
A report issued by a House Govern-
classified documents.
ment Operations subcommittee that in-
Senator Nunn said the refusal put
vestigated H.U.D. in November 1990
senators in the awkward position of
found that, like many of the agency's
making decisions on military spending
programs, the Technical-assistance
without the same information avail-
program was often used to benefit pri-
able to The New York Times, which
vate organizations like Mr. Single-
first reported on the documents.
tary's rather than the cities they were
"We're in the position of demanding
advising.
it now. Mr. Nunn said. "We entitled
In addition, the subcommittee found
to anything The New York Times
that in 1985 the H.U.D. Inspector Gen-
gets.'
eral had been highly critical of the
The Senate hearing was the main
management of the technical-assist-
event m a day of developments that
ance program. The Inspector General
could affect the Pentagon's proposed
also found that the center had "not
$281 billion budget for the fiscal year
acted as a responsible contractor" and
that begins Oct. 1.
recommended that the firm be barred
The Congressional Budget Office re-
from future government contracts.
leased a study concluding that the $180
In May 1985, H.U.D. had awarded a
billion in Pentagon spending cuts an-
$321,000 technical-assistance grant to
nounced last year would ultimately in-
the Center for Resource Development
crease economic growth if the savings
that was to be used to help the New
are used to reduce the budget deficit.
Jersey cities of Camden and East Or-
The study found that if the money is
ange attract private development.
used to reduce the deficit, the Pentagon
cuts would increase output by about
$50, billion a year. or six-tenths of 1
percent, by pushing down interest
rates and thus spurring investment.
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992.
Corporate Tax Cut Deleted
As Democrats Polish Bill
cut provision had attracted no visible
By ADAM CLYMER
support, even from corporations.
The bill now has $79.1 billion in tax
Special to The New York Times
cuts and $93.5 billion in tax increases.
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 - Con-
Senator Lloyd Bentsen, the Texas
gressional Democrats moved today
Democrat who is chairman of the
to increase the chances for passage of
Senate Finance Committee, said in an
their tax proposals. House leaders
interview that he would seek to attach
dropped an unpopular corporate tax
a measure intended to improve ac-
provision and a powerful Senator said
cess to private health insurance to
he would try to include a politically
the tax bill. The measure would set
attractive health insurance measure
Federal standards for insurance
in the bill.
companies and prohibit them from
House Democrats, after a second
discriminating against people with
day of party caucuses dominated by
existing medical problems, who now
continual criticism of a proposed one-
have difficulty obtaining insurance at
percentage-point cut in the corporate
affordable rates. It would also make
income tax rate, decided to eliminate
it easier for small businesses to ob-
the provision from the bill entirely.
tain group policies.
On Wednesday, they had decided to
Mr. Bentsen said his proposal,
limit the cut to two years rather than
which has wide support in Congress
make it permanent, as first planned.
and has been generally endorsed by
Those shifts were aimed at winning
Preident Bush, should be part of the
Democratic votes for the six-year tax
tax bill, both to get action on the
bill, whose centerpiece is a tax credit
insurance measure quickly and to
of up to $400 for married couples,
make the overall package more at-
financed mainly by raising the high-
est personal income tax bracket to 35
percent, from 31. The corporate tax
Continued on Page D4
Corporate Tax Cut Deleted
Democrats Polish Bill
them quite conservative, and nine
Continued From First Business Page
Republicans, some of them fairly lib.
eral.
tractive politically.
The committee will begin voting on
He-said including the health insur.
the measure on Thursday, and Mr.
ancè measure would make it harder
Bentsen may find he has broader
for Mr. Bush to veto the bill, as Re-
support for his insurance proposal,
publicans have threatened because of
which has considerable Republican
the provisions raising taxes.
backing, than for the underlying tax
sure makes it a positive pack-
measure.
aged' he said, adding that he did not
Military Savings at Issue
think that overall health care reform.
could be enacted this year, but that
The acknowledgement that any tax
this was an important "interim step.
cuts would be paid for with tax in-
Mr. Bentsen also announced, after
creases also ended a disagreement
a caucus among Senate Democrats,
with Senator Robert C. Byrd, the
that any tax-cut bill his committee
West Virginia Democrat and chair-
reparted would be financed by tax
man of the Appropriations Commit-
increases. Last fall he had proposed
tee, who has insisted that any savings
paying for tax cuts with a cut in
from military programs go to domes-
tic needs.
In fact, under the 1990 budget act,
military savings this year can be
used only to reduce the deficit. But
A: popular health
the House Government Operations
Committee voted today to amend that
measure may turn
act so that the savings could be used
for domestic programs. Before the
uptin the tax
vote, Representative John Conyers
Jr., the Michigan Democrat who
heads that committee, called the re-
proposals.
striction "an outdated and unnéces-
sary budgetary straitjacket.'
The Bush Administration is gener-
ally opposed to eliminating the so-
military spending. The shift in ap-
called internal firewalls in the budget
proach puts him on the same track as
act. The proposed change is expected
House Democrats.
to come to the House for a vote in late
He said he thought that along with
March or early April.
"better access to health care," any
The tax bill is expected to come up
Senate bill should include a tax cut
next Wednesday or Thursday. "The
for the middle class, probably fo-
bill will pass," Speaker Thomas S.
cused on children, and a cut in capital
Foley said after today's caucus.
gains taxes "targeted to try to en-
He said the House would also vote
George
Tames
for
The
New
York
Times
courage new business and small busi-
on Mr. Bush's proposals. "It's my
Senator Lloyd Bentsen, chairman of the Finance Committee, who is
ness and venture capital."
view that in that comparison, this
seeking to add a health insurance provision to the Democrats' tax bill.
Mr. Benisen said he did not want to
does more for tax equity and fairness,
get into numbers today, but would
this does more for economic growth,
make a proposed bill public on Mon-
and It's more fiscally responsible,"
day. He does not dominate his com-
he said.
threat? We have to make our judg.
Texas Republican who is his party's
mitree the way Representative Dan
ments, and the President has to make
Asked If Mr. Bush's promised veto
senior member on the Ways and
Rosienkowski, Democrat of Illinois,
dominates the tax-writing Ways and
did not reduce the Democratic bill to
his." He said that if Congress gave
Means Committee, complained today:
way every time a President threat-
Means Committee, if not his party, in
no more than a "political document,"
that the Democrats were being unfair
ened a veto, that would "create a
the House. The Finance Committee
Mr. Foley replied: "No. Is not the
in not permitting him to make
dictatorship.'
consists of 10 Democrats, some of
President's threat just a political
changes in the President's proposal
Representative Bill Archer, the
that will be offered on the floor.
The New York Times
NEW YORK. FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
RESEARCH SPENDING
IS DECLINING IN U.S.
AS IT RISES ABROAD
A LONG TREND IS REVERSED
U.S. Spending on Research and Development on Decline Since '89
Federal Study Worries Analysts,
Who Fear Nation Is Losing
Continued From Page Al
tions in profits and sales, and a certain
amount of consolidation, there's been a
Its Edge in Innovations
ly on the private side, I'd be concerned.
Research Spending Slips
slowing in research and development."
That's the research closest to commer-
From a peak in 1989 of $78.83 billion,
cialization and marketable products."
Research and development spending In the U.S., in 1991 dollars.
annual research spending by American
Dr. Frank Press, president of the
industry dropped to $77.84 billion in
By WILLIAM J. BROAD
National Academy of Sciences, a feder-
TOTAL
1990, according to the report. It was the
American spending on research and
ally chartered organization of scien-
$140 billion
biggest drop in three decades.
development has begun to fall for the
tis
Mat advises the Government,
'Probably Will Get Worse'
first time since the 1970's, even as
ag
"We especially need to ask
120
J.
"II's bad news," said Erich Bloch,
foreign rivals increase their invest. WIP industrial research is down when
former director of the National Science
ments in research, a Federal science
for other countries it's going up," he
100
Foundation. "And It probably will get
agency said yesterday.
said. "That's a matter of concern."
The amounts spent on research by
News of the overall drop came in a
80
INDUSTRY
worse. A couple of years ago, the level-
ing off had to do with restructuring.
the Federal Government and private
487-page report, "Science and Engi-
But the drop now has to do with the
neering Indicators. Its author, the Na-
Industry each fell, worrying many ana-
60
recession and restructuring."
tional Science Board, is the policy-mak-
lysts. They fear that the nation islosing
ing arm of the National Science Foun-
Even before the decline, the rate of
its edge in the international race for
dation, a Federal agency that supports
40
growth had fallen sharply. Between
discoveries and innovations that can
science research and is responsible for
1980 and 1985 the rate of annual growth
form the basis for new goods and serv-
monitoring the nation's overall scien-
20
for industrial research was 6.9 percent
ices.
Lific health.
in inflation-adjusted dollars, the report
The National Science Board, in its
The biennial report is meant to give
said. Between 1985 and 1990, it fell to 1.2
0
biennial report on the health of the
decision makers in Government, Indus-
percent.
nation's research enterprise, said over-
try and academia concise information
60
'65
70
75
'80
'85
'90
The report also noted that the Ameri-
all spending on research by the Fed
about national trends in science spend-
can share of the global market for
ing. education, manpower and the vari-
Source: National Science Board
'91 (prellminary)
eral Government, industry, universt.
high-technology goods had fallen from
ties and private patrons slowed during
ous fruits of the research enterprise,
40 percent in 1980 to 37 percent in 1988.
the second half of the 1980's and began
including patents, scientific papers and
The
New
York
Times
The report, which is required by Con-
new technologies.
to fall in 1989, ending an era of extraor-
gressional legislation, is submitted by
In recent decades, the only other
1989 with an annual national expendi-
dinary growth.
gested that the 1991 total might go
the National Science Board to the Pres-
drop in overall science spending OC-
ture for research and development of
down further.
ident, who in turn provides it to Con-
Recession and End of Cold War
curred in the early 1970's as the United
$154.31 billion. After that peak, the
"The dip." said the Federal analyst,
gress. The current volume is the 10th in
States reduced space research after
A Federal analyst, who spoke on the
amount for 1990 fell to $151.57 billion.
who spoke on the condition of anonym-
a biennial series begun in 1972.
the Apollo moon landings and cut back
condition of anonymity. said the de-
The figures are in constant 1991 dollars
on military research amid an early
ity, "is not simply in Federal dollars
to cancel the effects of inflation.
In a preface to the report, Dr. Duder-
cline was caused by cutbacks in mili-
but in almost all sectors.
thaw in the cold war.
stadt of the National Science Board
The report said that preliminary
tary research with the end of the cold
The new report shows that the Unit-
"The bottom line for industry is that
data suggest that the total for 1991 will
noted the rapid changes around the
war and by industrial reductions
ed States, beginning in 1975, embarked
they had tremendous growth in the
be about the same as 1990. But a Fed-
globe and warned that American re-
prompted in part by the recession.
on a spending spree that climaxed in
first half of the 80's," the analyst said.
eral analyst working on the data sug-
search priorities and programs must
"And now, with a change of expecta-
be "refined and reshared in adont
Dr. James J. Duderstadt, president
of the University of Michigan and
chairman of the National Science
Board, said In a statement that the
decline, when coupled with educational
woes, "should give us real concern for
the continued vitality of our research
enterprise."
He noted that the United States. de-
spize the drop. still leads the world to
overall.spending DO scientific research.
Yet analysts already edgy about
U.S., Low Key After Israeli Raid,
America's status In the global contest
for economic advantage expressed
worry about the research decline.
Tries to Prevent Spread of Combat
American spending is falling. they said,
as similar Investments by Japan and
Germany are rising rapidly.
By ANDREW ROSENTHAL
Specialis The New Yerk Times
"Clearly It's another warning sign,"
said Kent H. Hughes, president of the
WASHINGTON, Feb. 20 - The Unit-
was linked to bombings of American,
ed States offered a restrained public
French and Israell military targets in
Council on Competitiveness, a private
group in Washington that seeks policies
response today to the Israeli raid in
the 1980's that killed hundreds.
Lebanon. But Administration officials
But the Bush Administration does
to promote industrial vigor. "Especial-
said they were privately seeking to
not want to be seen to be condoning
insure that the fighting does not spread
assassination and said it deplored all
Continued on Page A16, Column 1
and were persuaded that Israel did not
killings on "all sides."
intend a larger-scale operation.
Administration officials said the
Beyond that, Israel's move to sweep
United States had been in contact with
aside a United Nations peacekeeping
Syria, Israel and Lebanon to warn lead-
force In southern Lebanon clearly em-
ers in those countries to be, as one
barrassed the United States, since
President Bush has made much of the
official put it, "careful about any poten-
tial of an escalation."
United Nations' enhanced role as a
The White House said the United
peacekeeper since the Persian Gulf
States was "deeply concerned about
war.
the renewed cycle of violence in south-
The Administration repeatedly
em Lebanon. Margaret D. Tutwiler,
characterized the Israell advance as a
the State Department spokeswoman,
limited move to wipe out a single guer-
said Washington had made "high-level
rilla outpost that had been firing rock-
démarches to those involved to urge
ets into nothern Lebanon, and Miss
the exercise of maximum restraint."
Tutwiler said Israel's public state-
Embarrassment to U.S.
ments to that effect echoed what the
United States was being told privately.
The Bush Administration deliberate-
"The Israell Government them-
ly avoided any condemnation of the
selves, it is my understanding have
Isruell action, but the attack puts the
said that this was a small, armored
United States in a difficult position.
element that went after an alleged Ka-
Washington does not want to inter-
tyusha launching site," she said. "The
fere with Israel's attacks on Shite
Israeli Government, It's my under-
Muslim guerrillas in southern Leba-
standing, has said this activity Is lim-
non, and it Is clear that Israel's assassi-
ited. both in terms of space and time. It
nation on Sunday of Shelk Abbas
is also my understanding that the Is-
Musawi, the leader of the fundamental-
raell Government has said that they
ist Party of God guerrillas, was in
intend for this operation to last about 24
American interests. The Party of God
hours."
The New York Times
NEW YORK. FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Associated Press
Campaigning above the din of the negative press
message of greater government action in exchange
attention that confounded his campaign in New
for a higher degree of personal responsibility is
Hampshire, Gov. Bill Clinton's challenge in the
heard. He chatted with Mike Herrington, right, at a
South, he said yesterday, is to make sure that his
cafe in Winter Haven, Fla.
Political Memo
Clinton Task: Making Message Heard
By GWEN IFILL
past two days, hoarse from his nag.
preside over the execution. of a con-
Specialit The New York Times
ging New England head cold and
victed murderer on Jan. 24, said he
WINTER HAVEN, Fla., Feb. 20 -
ready for a slower campaign pace.
considered Mr. Tsongas's position an
But Mr. Clinton denied published
attempt to "fudge" on the issue.
Standing together just out of reach of
reports today that he was scaling
But he also said that he does not
the handshake of Gov. Bill Clinton,
back his efforts in Maryland, which
plan to emphasize their disagree-
the Dionne brothers came to the town
park here today looking for answers.
holds its primary on the same day as
ment on the capital punishment issue
None of the three young men, ages
Georgia, March 3. Nonetheless, he
to win votes in the South, where many
18 to 22. have any health insurance,
told reporters he considered Mary-
people favor the death penalty.
and two are taking courses at Polk
land a Tsongas state.
"I've never tried to use the death
Community College here in the hope
"1 would expect that a lot of people
penalty as a political issue,' he said.
there would agree with some of the
"It's just that we have a law that we
that it will help them find other jobs.
things he has said, because they are
agree with and 1 follow it: That's my
Because of their economic circum-
stances, all three still live at home.
more upper middle class than middle
position on it."
class," he said.
He said New Hampshire voters be-
"Getting George Bush out of office
is a big issue for us, whether it's Bill
Mr. Clinton's theory ignores the
came convinced that Mr. Tsongas
fact that Maryland is a state more
was the candidate with the best new
Clinton or somebody else," said Pete
Southern in nature than Mr. Clinton
ideas because "my ideas were blown
Dionne, the eldest brother.
His brother Henry, 21 years old,
may realize and that its two largest
out of their consciousness for three
said, "I'm personally not concerned
metropolitan areas - Baltimore and
solid weeks."
Prince George's County near Wash-
He added, "And in the last eight
about the accusations and the mud-
ingion have majority black popula-
days when we finally got the cam-
slinging,' and added, "Since George
Bush has been President, my father
tions that supported Jesse Jackson in
paign going again, what got people
1984 and 1988.
excited was the idea that I was a
has lost job and I've lost my job.'
None of the brothers had ever
Mr. Clinton has scored well among
fighter, that I could plainly be Presi-
heard of Paul E. Tsongas until the
former Jackson supporters in polls in
dent, that I could plainly stand up to
other states, and all his Southern
George Bush and fight and argue."
former Massachusetts Senator won
Mr. Clinton salvaged his New
the New Hampshire Democratic
Presidential primary two days ago.
Hampshire campaign by engaging in
what one of his advisers later de-
They were more familiar with Mr.
scribed as a "high-wire act" in which
Clinton because he is from the South.
But their presence at the Clinton rally
'What got people
he was forced to perform credibly on
live televison five times within a sin-
was due more to curiosity than com-
mitment.
excited was the
gle week, including three nationally
It is these voters - young. male,
broadcast programs.
alienated - that Mr. Clinton must
idea that I was a
Looking to TV
win if he is to regain his footing and
The Clinton campaign is now count-
win the Democratic nomination. To
do so, his advisers realize, he must
fighter.'
Ing on turning its candidate's
strength on television to quick advan-
learn from the mistakes that nearly
tage prior to the string of primaries
derailed his campaign in New Hamp-
that begin next week in South Dakota
shire and capitalize on his convincing
and culminate with the Super Tues-
second place finish in New Hamp-
campaign stops are well-attended by
day grouping of 11 primaries and
shire.
black elected officials and other com-
caucuses on March 10.
The Comeback Kid'
munity leaders.
Gone are the rambling question-
It was an artful and successful bit
His challenge in the South, he said
and-answer sessions Mr. Clinton held
of political spin that allowed Mr. Clin-
today, is to attempt to make sure that
with New Hampshire voters after
ton to annoint himself "the comeback
his messages are heard.
each speech and the late-night visits
kid" at his election night rally on
to doughnut shops and half-empty
On the Death Penalty
restaurants in search of hands to
Tuesday. His advisers had started
"I don't think what I did caused me
shake. Instead, Mr. Clinton has spent
inserting the word "comeback" into
all their conversations in the hours
a rocky time in New Hampshire, Mr.
the last two days engaging in classic
before the polls closed, and by the
Clinton told reporters today in Alba-
Super Tuesday strategy, hopping
next day, astute campaign organizers
ny, Ga. "I think I'm going to go back
from fund-raising events to television
in Georgia and Florida had lifted the
to the Issues. I'm going to run the
markets and back again.
phrase from the morning's headlines
campaign I started with. And I think
And now that the grueling pace of
and plastered it on cardboard plac-
the campaign 1 started with will do
the New Hampshire primary is be-
ards for rallies.
real well down here."
hind them, Clinton campaign strate-
For the first time in weeks, the
Mr. Clinton also sought to play
gists are beginning to hope for a little
Clinton campaign had finally won the
down comments made by Gov. Zell
positive fallout from the events that
expectations game. And with the
Miller of Georgia that Mr. Tsongas
just days ago had seemed only nega-
would not be considered electable by
tive.
spotlight shifting away from Mr. Clin-
ton and onto the Bush-Buchanan con-
Southern voters because he opposed
"Bill and Hillary are celebrities
test, Mr. Clinton also had a chance to
the death penalty. Mr. Tsongas has
now," one of Mr. Clinton's advisers
catch his breath.
said he favored the death penalty
said last week. "I don't know If it's a
The Arkansas Governor acknowl-
only in certain cases, like for drug
positive or negative. I just know it's a
edged as much today, commenting on
kingpins.
fact. But something in my gut tells
a plane ride between campaign stops
Mr. Clinton, who supports the death
me it's 8 positive, because Americans
that he had been in a "coma" for the
penalty and returned to Arkansas to
forgive celebrities."
The New York Times
NEW YORK, FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
"Since George Bush has been President, my father has lost his job and I've lost my joh."
HENRY DIONNE
A Politician Who Thought He Could
Paul Ethemios Tsongas
By KAREN DE WITT
make money, joining the Boston law
junior year at Smith College. Now a
Special to The New York Times
firm of Foley, Hoag & Eliot. He
lawyer whose partnership has just
SIOUX CITY, S.D., Feb. 20 - For
worked for clients like Drexel Burn
dissolved, she is a tireless campaign
Paul E. Tsongas, the defining mo-
ham Lambert. the Wall Street invest
er for her husband
ment of his victory in the New Hamp-
ment firm that has since collapsed
"I married the right person," he
shire primary didn't come on election
and was a lobbyist for an oil company
said. "She keeps me grounded.'
night, nor in the sudden outpouring of
and other energy businesses, work
which would draw criticism from en-
Into the Arena
support from Greek-Americans who
had largely ignored him,
vironmentalists:
So does campaigning Today, on the
but at a rally Wednesday
With his recovery, Mr. Tsongas be-
flight to South Dakota, Mr. Tsongas
Man
in Baltimore's Hopkins'
gan thinking again of politics. and Dr.
discovered that there had been a
in the
Plaza.
Takzorian's words helped drive him
mixup: he was not going 10 address
News
walk onto that pla-
to enter the race for President
the South Dakota Legislature, as he
za and see all those peo-
"These are not ordinary days,' Mr
had thought, but was scheduled IC
ple was not just another event," Mr.
Tsongas said this week "And there
visit the Stoux City stockyards. So he
Tsongas said today in an Interview.
must be a purpose in these days."
held a press conference in a pig
"This was a memory being made."
'Not Larger Than Life'
arena.
The big turnout was special because
The candidate said he didn't expect
If the candidate is aware that he
Mr. Tsongas has campaigned in
10 win the South Dakota primary but
has a sanctimonious side, he definite-
Maryland for only five days.
wanted to give voters the opportunity
ly has a down-to-earth side, as he
Once again, he had taken on a polit-
to hear his message. But though there
showed Wednesday in New York City.
lcal challenge few thought he could
was a gaggle of media, there were
"I'm not larger than life," he said
meet. and he had done it.
only a handful of voters. And at The
after being greeted by crowds in As.
Political analysts scoffed last April
Stockyards Cafe across the street
when he announced he would seek the
toria's Greek-American community
from where he stopped, no one want-
"But you can understand how this
Presidency. Another Greek from
ed to hear his message. Clearly, they
Massachusetts, with all the remind-
outpouring of affection and expecta
were mostly Republicans.
tion can change you, he said.
ers of Michael S. Dukakis's disas-
But Mr. Tsongas says he won't
Mr. Tsongas said he will be saved
trous 1988 campaign, could not be a
change his message, regardless of
from that by his wife, Niki. Paui
viable candidate, they said.
the audience. His sense of focus has
In the final week of campaigning in
Tsongas and Niki Sauvage met at a
allowed him, he says, to tell the "hard
New Hampshire, Mr. Tsongas joked
party in Washington 22 years agc
truth" to the country, emphasizing
with volunteers that their support
when he was a first-term Congress-
sacrifice to revive the economy.
showed that they had "no political
man. Within a month and a half, they
When Mr. Tsongas said he was
were married.
instincts."
considering a run for the Presidency,
The oldest of an Air Force colonel's
he asked his wife and their three
Reveling In Victory
four daughters, Mrs. Tsongas, 15, had
daughters what they thought.
Wednesday morning he reveled in
grown up in West Germany and la
Mrs. Tsongas says she never hesi-
victory. "Thank you, New Hamp-
pan, had worked for Senator Eugene
tated: "The mysterious twists and
shire, you've done it," he said before
J. McCarthy of Minnesota, who rar.
turns of our life have some internal
leaving for campaign stops in Balti-
for President on an anti-warm plat-
sense. From day one, I felt this was
more and New York. "You've proven
form in 1968, and had just finished her
possible."
the pundits are wrong."
By the time he visited a Greek-
American neighborhood in Astoria,
Queens on Wednesday his campaign,
until recently a mom-and-pop opera-
tion, had begun to resemble an army
in size, if not discipline. Nearly 6,000
people came out to meet him in
Queens, forcing a candidate who likes
to meet voters one-on-one into using a
police escort in Astoria.
Doing It His Way
But for most of of his 51 years, Mr.
Tsongas has done things his way, and
he has confounded the naysayers
while doing It. "He was always deter-
mined to do things his way, his twin
sister, Thaleia Schlesinger, said in an
interview this week.
Paul Ethemios Tsongas was born
Feb. 14, 1941, in Lowell, Mass., into a
middle-class Greek immigrant fam-
ily. The twins' mother, Katina, con-
tracted tuberculosis shortly after
their birth and died six and a half
years later. Much of the time, she was
in a sanitarium. "She could not touch
us or be with us," said Mr. Tsongas.
The children worked in the family
dry-cleaning business, and Mr. Tson-
gas's father, a Republican, wanted
his.son to enter It when he graduated
from Dartmouth College in 1962. In-
stead, he joined the Peace Corps. He
has described his experiences in Ethi-
opia and the West Indies as "the
crossroads of my life," one that gave
service. him a sense of the value of public
After completing Yale Law School
in 1967, Mr. Tsongas ran for the City
Council in his hometown and won,
serving from 1968 to 1972. In 1969 he
also became deputy assistant state
attorney general. When he decided to
run for the House in 1973, no one
expected him to win, but he did.
William
\ In 1978, again against the odds, he
unseated Senator Edward Brooke, a
Republican. He planned to run for re-
election, and then for President, but
in 1983 cancer interrupted his jour.
ney.
à At the time his Illness was diag-
plosed, there was no cure for the type
TSONGAS
SENATE
PAUL
of cancer he had, lymphoma. Mr.
Tsongas said he never expected to
live and feared that his young daugh-
jer would have only a distant memo-
by of him, as he did of his mother.
Feeling a New Obligation
In 1986, he beat the odds again,
undergoing experimental bone-mar
TOW treatment. He has been cancer-
free since, and his doctor, Tak Tak-
zorian, says only 5 percent of patients
who survive the disease have any
recurrence.
Dr. Takzorian told Mr. Tsongas
that surviving cancer obligated a per-
son to do something transcendent. In
his battle with the disease, Mr. Tson-
gas had quit the Senate and set out to
Massachusetts for his senatorial campaign in 1978.
Paul E. Tsongas jogged in one of a series of races across portions of
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
© 1992 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
While Blacks Loom Large in Democratic Race,
They Have No Natural Home Among the Rivals
By MICHEL MCQUEEN
Staff Reporter of THE STREET
Southern Black Vote
Carter in 1976. And in any event. at the
ANNAPOLIS. Sen. Decatur
early stage of the campaign the focus has
Trotter. one of the Free State's senior
Percentage of black adults age 18 or older
been on enlisting delegates to the party
in the 11 former Confederate states and
black lawmakers. is trying to decide who
convention. not on building grass-roots sur
Maryland
to support in the March3 Democratic pres-
port. So it remains to be seen whether the
idential primary here.
judgment of leaders will necessarily be fox
Alabama
22.7%
"This young man Clinton, he seems to
lowed by the mass of black voters.
be good with the media. has ideas about a
Arkansas
13.7
"Big elections are won by the margir. :
vision of the coun-
enthusiasm, Mr. Jackson says in an inter
Florida
try. Sen. Trotter
11.4
CAMPAIGN
view. "The burden is upon the candidates
says of Arkansas
Georgia
24.5
to inspire support.' he says, "and the wa:
Gov. Bill Clinton.
to inspire support is to speak to real
Then he sighs. "But
Louisiana
36.3
92
needs' not by relying on the endorse
I don't know."
Maryland
23.4
ment of black opinion leaders, even him.
It is a problem
Big Vacuum
that many black
Mississippi
31.6
Mr. Jackson. who ran in 19S4 as well as
Democratsare grap-
North Carolina
20.0
1988 but said he wouldn't run this time. re-
pling with right now.
alizes there's a big vacuum. "There's pres-
Black voters. though a mainstay constitu-
South Carolina
26.9
sure on me to get in." he says. And he
ency of the national party. comprised only
10 of the electorate in the New Hampshire
Tennessee
14.3
plainly resents speculation that the party
might turn to others. such as House Major-
primary. where Gov. Clinton finished sec-
Texas
11.2
ity Leader Richard Gephardt of Missouri
and to former Massachusetts Sen. Paul
Tsongas. But as the pace of the primary
Virginia
17.5
or Tennessee Sen. Albert Gore, if a dead-
lock develops. "I beat Gore [in 1988 in
season acceierates. black votes become
immediately critical to the course of the
Source The Joint Center for Political and Economic
white states. he argues, adding. "Does
Studies. 1990
anyone think Gephardt could beat me in
nomination struggle.
California or Michigan or New York?"
In the March 3 contest here, black
voters may make up a quarter of the elec-
Sen. Trotter. for example, remains un-
It's highly doubtful that Mr. Jackson
torate. and an even higher percentage in
decided in part because of such issues. For
would actually run. risking a third straight
the Georgia contest on the same day. In all
the senator. a Korean War veteran. the re-
loss and giving up his recently launched
but one of the five Southern states holding
ports about how Mr. Clinton avoided being
Cable News Network program. But if no
prumaries on "Super Tuesday.' March 10,
drafted reopen the issue of unfairness to
candidate commands a strong following
at least one out of five voting-age adults
the poor. the uneducated and minorities.
among black voters. Mr. Jackson might
is black. Moreover. such big industrial
"It bothers me that rich boys got to duck
well seek to play a large role in the delib-
Midwestern states as Illinois and Michi-
the draft where poor people. black people,
erations leading up to the Democratic con-
gan-both of which hold primaries March
couldn he says. He contrasts Mr. Clin-
vention-a prospect that privately worries
17-have smaller proportions but still siz-
ton's actions with the "valor" displayed by
some other leading Democrats.
able numbers of black voters.
Sen. Kerrey. a Medal of Honor winner.
Meanwhile. here in Maryland, where
The problem for many of these people is
But Sen. Trotter's concerns aren't uni-
Mr. Clinton has an edge on endorsements
that they have no natural home among the
versally shared: state Delegate Beatrice
from black party leaders. Tsongas cam-
Democratic contenders. Mr. Tsongas
Tignor says she isn't bothered by the Clin-
paign officials are struggling to find some
pushes a pro-business message that has lit-
ton draft issue, because "black folks re-
compelling argument they can use to con-
tie resonance with many black voters: for
member that Martin Luther King was
vince black voters. "No one is more liberal
him. Maryland looms as a crucial test of
against the war.
on your individual rights-your civil rights.
whether he can transfer his appeal to an
In any event. the questions surrounding
your gay rights. your pro-choice-no one
electorate far distant. and far different.
Mr. Clinton are all the more disconcerting
has as long or as consistent a record as
from his native New England. and espe-
because of the fact that black leaders
Paul Tsongas, contends Patrick Smith.
cially of whether he can attract minority
across the country are following a radi-
the Tsongas chairman here. "Paul
votes.
cally different course in presidential poli-
Tsongas lived two years in Ethiopia [while
Meanwhile. Sens. Bob Kerrey of Ne.
tics this year than they did in 1988. when
in the Peace Corps). Color doesn't make
braska and Tom Harkin of Iowa both have
they. along with millions of black voters.
any difference to him. He's always con:-
had little experience in courting black
overwheliningly supported the Rev. Jesse
municated well with them. and worked
votes in previous campaigns. while former
Jackson. Back then, many black leaders
well with them."
Gov. Jerry Brown of California won
were seeking a candidate who could carry
But analysts say Mr. Tsongas will have
the Maryland primary back in 1976-is
a message. This time. they are seeking one
an uphill struggle to get that message
having trouble being taken seriously. The
who can carry an election.
across here-not just because of Mr. Chn
one candidate who might have excited
"The thing to me in politics is. we have
ton's substantial money edge. but also be.
black voters here. Gov. L. Douglas Wilder
to win." says state Sen. Gloria Lawlah.
cause of the Arkansan's shrewd efforts to
of neighboring Virginia. is long gone from
who has stuck with her early support for
mine the network of experienced black
the contest.
Mr. Clinton despite his travails. "If you
elected officials that has grown up here
The result is that the beneficiary should
don't win. you can't change the system. I
over the past decade. Maryland has 31
be-and probably will be-Gov. Clinton.
feel we in the Democratic Party, we've
black state lawmakers-the nation's sec.
who is used to courting black voters in
had our chance to do something different
ond-largest caucus of black state offi-
his Arkansas campaigns and who has been
and we still haven't won the voters
cials-and more than two dozen local
the most assiduous of the Democratic pres-
back."
elected leaders.
idential hopefuls in wooing them this year.
But the pragmatic approach offers
A Clear Plus
But the nagging questions about his elect-
risks. None of these candidates has the
Mr. Clinton's Southern background.
ability because of concerns over his char-
support of nationally known figures like
which once could have been a liability
acter leave many black leaders, like Sen.
civil-rights leader Andrew Young. whose
among blacks. has SO far been a clear
Trotter. uneasy.
support buoyed the canipaign of Jimmy
plus; black supporters see in him a cand:-
date who has experience in forging multi-
racial coalitions. Because Mr. Clinton "has
been around blacks all of his life, there's a
comfort level there.' says state Delegate
Howard Rawlings. who represents a ma.
jority-black district in Baltimore.
But it will take more than that, suggests
Bert Lance. the former adviser to Presi-
dent Carter. He says that despite Mr. Car-
ter's early ties to Mr. Young and the Rev.
Martin Luther King Sr.. he still had to
cement his support through specific policy
positions on such issues as affirmative ac.
tion.
Mr. Carter's ability to do that proved
crucial after comments he made regarding
the "ethnic purity" of neighborhoods
touched off a storm of controversy. By
then. Mr. Lance says. "he had a reserver
of people who were willing to stand up and
defend him."
That is what no candidate-including.
for all his endorsements, Mr. Clinton-has
at the moment. And whether he or anyone
else can nurture those kinds of feelings
among black voters may ultimately prove
as important to the black voters as to the
candidate.
"This is a defining moment for Africa:
American voters.' says Hulbert James. an
aide to New York Mayor David Dinkins
and a key operative in Mr. Jackson's last
two campaigns. "In a lot of ways it was
easier to support Jackson: this time people
are really going to have to say why they
support a candidate. And people are going
to have to decide what issues really are of
concern."
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
© 1992 Dou Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
Nothing Wrong,
The Bushies Say,
New Ads Can't Fix
The two camps also disagree on the
Democratic threat. Techies tend to believe
Democrats will repeat their ritual hari-kiri
Pat Buchanan's pounding has opened
act. By summer the Bushies will be able to
many cracks in the presidential facade but
"define" and exploit either Bill Clinton's
the most important is the split between the
personal foibles, or Paul Tsongas's history
status quo and the forces urging change.
of northeast liberalism.
To over-simplify. think of a Bush team
But GOP reformers see a Democratic
divided into two general camps, techno-
crats and reformers. Their different reac-
party struggling for a more mainstream,
tions to New Hampshire reveal the main
and thus electable, message. Mr.
division over Bush re-election strategy, as
Tsongas's pro-growth ideas and Mr. Clin-
well as over prospects for the big Republi-
ton's "middle-class" and welfare "respon-
can royal rumble of 1996.
sibility" themes occupy the sensible cen-
ter.
Most of the technocrats rose to power
under Mr. Bush and now dominate his
Besides, add the reformers, the coast-
campaign-new RNC boss Rich Bond, for
to-victory crowd underestimates the anti-
example, and lobbyist Charlie Black. They
Washington tidal wave now forming in the
include the Brady bunch at Treasury and
land. A status-quo president risks getting
Dick Darman's $400-billion deficit gang.
swamped in a tsunami ridden by an out-
This crowd prizes maneuver over mes-
sider Democrat. Reformers think Mr. Bush
sage, defense over offense.
should cast himself as the outsider by run-
ning against a Dem-
The reformers are sprinkled throughout
ocratic Congress
the second tier of Bushdom. They include
William Kristol of Vice President Quayle's
even more unpopu-
lar than he is.
staff, Jim Pinkerton at the Bush-Quayle
Techies say that
campaign, and such ideologically diverse
would be fine, but
Young Turks on the Hill as Minnesota's
Mr. Bush hates at-
Vin Weber and Steve Gunderson of Wiscon-
tacking his Pennsyl-
sin. Their spiritual leader is Jack Kemp,
vania Avenue pals
but their main political strategist now is
and, anyway, he can
the Georgia insurgent, Rep. Newt Gin-
profit as much from
grich. They want to turn the GOP into a
"governing"
as
"reform" party that becomes a governing
from confrontation.
majority.
Who will win this
The technocrats think their biggest mis-
debate? The techies
take in New Hampshire was not running
are still in control.
Rep. Newt Gingrich
but New Hampshire gave reformers new
Potomac Watch
credibility. Robert Teeter. the campaign's
straddling strategist, and White House
By Paul A. Gigot
chief of staff Sam Skinner are listening to
both sides.
Where's George? I asked Mr. Gingrich,
who suprised me with his optimism. "The
negative ads against Mr. Buchanan. They
message I get from New Hampshire is in-
now VOW to "define" (read: disembowel)
credibly anti-Washington," he said. "None
him in the South with Desert Storm and
of the Bushies are worried about Pat after
ancient newspaper columns. A techie's
New Hampshire. What they are worried
idea of creative campaigning seems to be
about is November.' That suggests private
sending Arnold Schwarzenegger to attract
soul-searching, despite the public Bush
a crowd.
spin that nothing but tactics needs to
Reformers prefer beef, not beefcake.
change.
They want Mr. Bush to define himself, not
I said I was still skeptical. Mr. Gingrich
Mr. Buchanan. Savaging a former "Cross-
vowed that Mr. Bush would veto the Ros-
fire" host misses the main problem-the
tenkowski tax bill. How about a later bill?
voters' anti-Bush, not pro-Buchanan, senti-
"I believe George Bush will veto any tax
ment-and might make things worse for
increase this year," he said, even an in-
November by alienating even more of Mr.
crease on the rich. "That's part of the
Bush's conservative base. Focus instead on
message of New Hampshire too."
giving voters a reason to support the presi-
Mr. Gingrich is a notorious Pangloss,
dent again.
and Mr. Bush is no reformer. Yet the logic
But, reply the techies, we already have
of New Hampshire suggests that Mr. Bush
an agenda-see the State of the Union. The
has little choice but to adapt or bleed.
economy will recover by November in any
Mr. Buchanan aims not just to wound
case, public anger will thus subside, and
Mr. Bush this year, but to take over the
Americans still like Mr. Bush personally.
GOP by 1996. A status-quo, idea-less Bush
Conservatives have nowhere else to go.
strategy will give him that chance. Even if
Reformers rebut that New Hampshire
he could personally squeak past a de-flow-
shows that speechwriter Peggy Noonan
ered Democrat in the fall. Mr. Bush would
isn't enough; voters don't lip-read any-
reap a divided party and a bloody second
more. Mr. Bush's New Hampshire ads re-
term. New Hampshire has told Mr. Bush
peating his State-of-the-Union message
that the political risk is not in fighting for
could barely persuade a majority of Re-
change but in standing Pat.
publicans. Only by acting can Mr. Bush
make his promises credible again. So he
should veto Democratic tax bills, use the
line-item veto, or reward Nick Brady's
loyal service with a much-deserved retire-
ment.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
© 1992 Dou Jones 8 Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
Taxpayers Begin to Reap the Benefits
Of Cut in Withholding: About $1 a Day
By LUCINDA HARPER
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Bigger Paychecks
WASHINGTON money has begun
Here are the reductions in weekly withhold-
to flow in President Bush's plan for pump-
ing at various annual pay levels for a single.
ing billions of dollars into workers' pay-
taxpayer with no dependents and a married
checks without an act of Congress.
couple with two children:
You'll be forgiven if you haven't no-
ticed.
ANNUAL SINGL E-TAXPAYER MARRIED COUPL
At the president's order, big employers
PAY LEVEL. NO DEPENDENTS TWO CHILDREN
are taking less money out of their workers'
$20,000
$3
$7
paychecks for federal taxes.
While the new withholding rate could
50,000
3
6
pump $25 billion into the economy over the
53,200
1
7
next 12 months, the typical married
worker will be getting about a dollar a
60,000
0
6
day-not even enough for bus fare in most
70,000
0
7
cities.
A married taxpayer with two children
90,000
0
6
will get an extra $6 or $7 a week. A single
NOTE: No change will occur at wages higher than
taxpayer will get half as much.
$53,200 for single taxpayers and $90,200 for
In his State of the Union message last
married
month, Mr. Bush suggested far greater
Source: Pannell Kerr Forster
sums, describing the added cash as
"money people can use to help pay for
told the Senate Finance Committee re-
clothing, college, or to get a new car.'
cently.
But his top advisers haven't been able
But Loren Lukes, tax partner at BDOC
to agree on whether the change is actually
Seidman here, says excessive withholding
intended as an economic stimulus or just a
amounts to "forced, no-interest saving."
good-government idea. Budget Director
Mr. Darman says some people might
Richard Darman, told reporters recently,
even call it "stealing" because the govern-
"It's a withholding adjustment. It is not
ment ish't paying interest. Lower- and
described as an economic stimulus."
middle-income workers are more likely
Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady, how-
than rich people to have too much withheld
ever, calls it "an enormously important
from their checks, he adds.
part" of the president's plan for economic
One big question yet to be answered is
growth.
how many Americans deliberately ask
Private economists say the change is
their employers to take out too much tax
likely to have a very modest stimulative
money as a way to save. The Internal Rev-
effect on the economy this year. "The re-
enue Service says it's too soon to tell how
duction in withholding add(s) directly to
many workers are opting not to have their
disposable income, which in turns boosts
withholdings reduced by submitting a new
personal consumption," says Oxford Eco-
W-4 form to their employers.
nomics USA, a forecasting firm in Wyn-
David Pankonin, owner of a small farm-
newood, Pa. But $25 billion a year amounts
equipment dealership in Louisville, Neb.,
to less than 1% of total consumer spend-
said he thinks most of his 17 employees
ing.
will opt not to get the extra bit of money in
The change in tax withholding already
their paychecks every two weeks.
has taken effect in many workplaces, but
employers have until the pay period after
March 1 to comply. Exceptions will be
granted for those employers who at least
make a "good-faith effort," the Internal
Revenue Service says.
For most large companies it's a simple
matter of changing computer software to
fit the new withholding tables. Smaller
companies often hire service agencies to
handle their payrolls, or they can make the
changes manually. James Medlock, proj-
ect accountant for the Denver Water De-
partment, said the change was made on
the paychecks of its 1,100 employees in the
second week of February.
Most Americans will realize the change
at refund time. Because this year's pay-
checks are larger, next April's tax refunds
will be smaller.
"I think if [taxpayers find next year
that a $900 or SO refund isn't there. they
are going to be shocked, really shocked,
and very, very disappointed, Thomas
Bloch, chief executive officer of H&R
Block, the nation's largest tax preparer,
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
© 1992 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Rep. Aspin Is Seeking
Bush Aides Holding
game. And WE re coming out strong." But
he insisted that "the gloves are still on."
To Cut $110 Billion
Session to Formulate
Those comments came the day after Mr.
Bush's smaller-than-expected
377 Tuesday's primary. which fol-
Of Defense Outlays
Attack on Buchanan
lowed a Buchanan campaign that focused
on Mr. Bush's alleged insensitivity to
voters' economic pain.
Bye Reporter
By 0 STREET Reporter
WASHINGTON chairman of the
WASHINGTON-President Bush's ad-
The meeting tomorrow will be domi-
nated by top policy officials including
House Armed Services Committee is advo-
visers. stung by the results of the New
Chief of Staff Samuel Skinner and new do-
cating at least $110 billion in defense-
Hampshire primary. are holding a major
mestic policy adviser Clayton Yeutter. and
spending cuts over the next six years.
strategy session tomorrow to decide how
will be attended by campaign adviser Rob-
more than twice the reductions proposed
hard to attack GOP rival Pat Buchanan.
ert Teeter and other key officials.
by the White House. according to congres-
Although spokesmen for Mr. Bush have
sional aides.
publicly denied any significant change in
Among the ideas being debated is
Rep. Les Aspin D., Wis. '. who has crit-
tactics. campaign advisers and top White
whether to focus more on the personal ex-
icized the Bush administration for not be-
House aides will be evaluating a proposed
emption increase proposed last month by
ing bold enough in redefining long-term
series of advertisements comparing Mr.
Mr. Bush as part of an economic stimulus
military threats to the U.S.. is working to
Bush's record and policy positions with
package. The proposal was omitted in the
develop a consensus around proposed cuts
Mr. Buchanan's.
first set of legislation President Bush sent
of $110 billion to more than $150 billion by
The advisers will also be reviewing the
to the Congress.
fall 1997. After a series of closed-door
president's domestic proposals to decide
meetings with lawmakers this week. aides
whether refinements are necessary or
whether they should highlight certain pro-
Future Medical Products
said that the chairman was close to an-
nouncing a package that could become the
posals.
HAUPPAUGE. Future Medical
cornerstone of a broader. Democratic-
Mr. Bush himself signaled the change
Products Inc. said it exercised its right to
backed defense-spending plan.
in tactics this week when he told reporters
buy 5,227,159 shares of common of Virome-
The thrust of Rep. Aspin's initiative is
that "all 1 did was lay back and get ham-
dics Inc. from a third party it didn't dis-
in line with earlier proposals floated by
mered by these Democrats and. to some
close. With the purchase. Future Medical
Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell of
degree. by Pat. And SO it's a new ball
owns 607 of Viromedics' common.
Maine and Sen. James Sasser D., Tenn.
chairman of the Senate Budget Committee.
though they don't go as far to reduce Pen-
tagon spending as many other lawmakers
prefer.
Protectionism Dies-Again
Rep. Aspin has claimed that unlike
most of the other proposals, his package of
personnel and hardware cutbacks is
There is a lot of debate about ex-
admit he eschewed the word "protec-
shaped primarily by analyses of post-Cold
War international military threats. rather
actly what signals New Hampshire's
tionism," and didn't make it the sub-
than domestic budget pressures.
voters sent this week, but on one as-
ject of any of his innumerable com-
Some elements of Rep. Aspin's package
may be changed in the next few days. and
pect of their message there should be
mercials. He downplayed his views on
the overall numbers may be adjusted as
little argument. Every four years
trade and immigration when they
various House Democratic leaders weigh
some presidential candidates try to
failed to rouse audiences.
in on the debate. How quickly the services
should shrink in the next two years. when
sell protectionism to Granite State
The exit polls show New Hamp-
defense contractors are expected to an-
shire voters were interested in send-
nounce heavy layoffs. is likely to be a ma-
voters, and in every election they re-
jor point of contention.
fuse to buy it.
ing George Bush a message on taxes,
House Budget Committee Chairman
Leon Panetta D., Calif. 1. for example. has
Americans do like to grouse about
not trade. Some 30% mentioned Mr.
held off announcing his position on how
foreign-trade practices, but when they
Bush's violation of his "no-new-taxes"
deep Pentagon cutbacks should be until
Rep. Aspin finishes his effort to draft a
go into the voting booth they generally
pledge as a very important factor in
package acceptable to a majority of the
resist blaming all their economic
their vote; only 5% mentioned trade.
Armed Services panel.
woes on foreigners. Consider the
Of those who did, 60% voted for Mr.
treatment voters meted out to this
Bush, the more free-trade candidate.
Initial Jobless Claims
year's trade-bashers.
That shouldn't be too surprising in a
By a Reporter
Iowa Senator Tom Harkin had the
state where nearly half the voters own
WASHINGTON-Initial claims for state
unemployment benefits in the week ended
enthusiastic backing of unions in push-
a foreign car.
Feb. 8 rose to 452,000 from a revised 434.-
ing his flat-earth views on trade. He
If protectionism didn't sell this
000 the previous week. the Labor Depart-
ment said.
ran an ad that attacked Paul Tsongas
year in recession-wracked New
In the week ended Feb. 1. a total of
as one of several "weak Democrats
Hampshire, exactly when and where
3,293,000 persons were receiving state un-
who support the Bush trade plan"
will it bring electoral dividends?
employment benefits, down 66,000 from the
previous week's revised 3,359,000. The
that will "send your jobs abroad."
In 1980, John Connally was an
number of people receiving unemployment
Mr. Tsongas fired back with a stirring
early Japan-basher-and won one del-
benefits fell to3.15 of those covered by un-
employment insurance from 3.2% the week
defense of free trade: "Protectionism
egate after spending $12 million. In
before.
is a death trap. This country went
1984, Walter Mondale muzzled his pro-
through disaster 60 years ago when it
tectionist message after losing early
went down that road, and it is Tom's
primaries to free-trader Gary Hart.
hope that people do not remember his-
When Bob Dole and Pat Robertson
tory." Mr. Harkin came in fourth with
pandered to South Carolina primary
10% of the vote.
voters in 1988 by endorsing tariffs on
At the instigation of Democratic
textile imports, George Bush attacked
guru Bob Shrum, Senator Bob Kerrey
them and won resoundingly. Dick
trotted out a TV ad in which he said
Gephardt's infamous Korea-bashing
U.S. trade policy should be conducted
Hyundai-ad helped end his candidacy
like a hockey game and pledged to
that year. Mike Dukakis's last-minute
"tell Japan if we can't sell in their
appeals to curb foreign investment
market, they can't sell in ours." After
fell flat. Protectionism is often touted
the ad ran, Mr. Kerrey saw his poll
by campaign consultants as a cure-all
ratings plummet from 16% to 8%, and
for politicians behind in the polls. In-
he ended up just edging out Mr. Har-
stead, it often ends up killing the can-
kin. He at least acknowledged that the
didate.
commercial was a disaster.
George Bush's poor New Hamp-
The winners in the Democratic pri-
shire showing has raised fears that
mary were the two most unabashed
the White House might back away
supporters of open trade. Together,
from its commitment to a North
Paul Tsongas and Bill Clinton won
American free-trade accord. Such a
60% of the vote.
move would conjure up images of a
Pat Buchanan's protectionist brain-
panic-driven White House and further
trust, the U.S. Industrial Council, is
undermine confidence in the Bush
touting his New Hampshire showing
presidency. History amply demon-
as an endorsement of trade restric-
strates that in the U.S., protectionism
tions. But Mr. Buchanan's advisers
is a political loser.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
1992 Dou Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
Economy to Be on Mend by November
But Strength of Pre-Election Recovery Is Debated
By ALFRED L. MALABRE.
"It's a good bet that Mr. Bush and his
Inflation, analysts explain. tends to re-
Reporter of THE STREET JOURNAL
advisers are keenly aware of this history
main dormant or even abate early in re-
The saw about laying all economists
and will strive to keep the economy accel-
coveries, when labor. materials and equip-
end to end and their still not reaching a
erating as November nears." says David
ment are ample. In such circumstances.
conclusion isn't true this election year.
Poole. economist at Van Eck Securities
productivity gains accelerate and serve to
While they differ over the exact strength of
Corp. In presidential-election years since
reduce costs and boost profits.
a recovery. most economists say that Pres-
1945. he notes. economic activity has risen
Factors apart from the business cycle
ident Bush will have the economic wind at
on average about to and fallen only
should also work to hold down inflation.
his back come Nov. 3.
once-in 1980.
Analysts cite the likelihood of large CUL-
Their judgment. of course. may prove
The Commerce Department's index of
backs in miltary outlays. deemed espe-
wildly off the mark. Few forecasters imag-
leading indicators. which tends to fore-
cially inflationary since they pump huge
med the economy would remain SO slug.
shadow the economy's general course by
sums into many pockets but do little to ex.
gish for so long. Moreover. huge imponder-
several months. has recently edged down.
pand available goods or services.
ables render their crysta! balls even more
Even so. most analysts doubt this slippage
Vincent J. Malanga. president of La
hazardous than usual. How seriously will
signals a new economic decline since the
Salle Economics Inc., looks for oil at "per-
record debt weigh on the economy? Or how
index often weakens briefly as a recovery
haps $13 to $15 per barrel by spring," down
will cutbacks in defense and by strapped
takes hold. They also cite recent gains in
from more than $18 recently. He predicts
states and localities suppress growth? Will
sectors that tend to foreshadow business
that "Saudi Arabia will do everything in its
a trade war erupt?
activity by extra-long leads.
power to assist Mr. Bush's re-election ef
Still. the economic consensus over the
years has proved right more often than
Encouraging Signs
fort." A price of $15 a barrel, he adds,
One is home building. where lower
"would be the equivalent of about a $30 bil-
wrong. and Mr. Bush can only hope that
lion tax cut.'
this is such a moment. for the seers' mes-
mortgage rates have brought a pickup in
housing starts. Anthony J. Vignola, chief
Many economists believe the economy
sage IS that by November the economy will
economist of Kidder, Peabody & Co., notes
will pick up speed even if a statement de-
be clearly on the rise. with only mild infla-
tion and unemployment edging down.
that "increased housing activity typically
velops between Congress and the Bush ad-
Distinct Improvement
precedes improvement in consumer atti-
ministration over a plan to pep up the
tudes," which remain depressed. In-
economy. Maury Harris, economist of
"By the time Americans head for the
creased home building also leads to gains
PalneWebber Inc., says, "The federal defi-
ballot box. the debate won't be-as it is
in other home-related businesses. "We
cit already is so high and the capital mar-
now-over whether the economy will re-
expecting above-average increases this
kets are SO sensitive" to still-rising budget-
cover. but over how robust and lasting the
year in such industries as household appli-
ary red ink that further fiscal moves "sim-
recovery will ultimately turn out to be,'
ances and furniture. says Norman Rob-
ply cannot play" a very stimulative role.
predicts Robert Eggert. an economic con-
ertson, chief economist of Mellon Bank. He
Whoever wins the election may benefit
sultant in Sedona, Ariz., who surveys 50
estimates that produc-
later from the relatively modest recovery
leading forecasters each month.
tion. for example. will rise 4.5% in 1992,
that most forecasters anticipate. Precisely
In his latest survey-his first since
against 2.77 for all manufacturing.
because the upturn won't be robust. it's
President Bush unveiled his proposals to
Recent "accelerating growth in the
likely "10 be more balanced and sustaina-
spur the economy forecasters expect
money supply should lift the economy in
ble.' says Charles Reeder. an economic
on average that the gross domestic prod-
coming months. says Edward S. Hyman,
consultant in Wilmington. Del.
uct. adjusted for inflation. will rise at an
president of ISI Group Inc. Increases in
annual rate of 3.17 in the third quarter
the money supply-broadly defined to in-
and 3.37 in fourth. They also foresee a job-
clude most savings deposits-tend to pre-
less rate of 6.9% in the third quarter and
cede similar gains in the economy as a
6.80 in the fourth.
whole very roughly by six months. After a
Such a showing wouldn't match the
prolonged period of little or no increase,
The Capital-Gains Tax
usual performance early in a recovery. but
Mr. Hyman notes that this monetary meas-
it still would represent a distinct improve-
ure has recently risen at an annual rate of
And Divine Inspiration
ment over the economy's behavior of late.
more than the He's also encouraged by
In the current quarter. GDP is widely ex.
"the first signs in over a year of an upturn
I was puzzled by one of Alan Reynolds's
pected to increase less than 15 and unem-
in borrowing: The volume of bank loans
arguments ("The Flaw That Mars Bush's
ployment seems stuck at 7.1%
plus commercial paper borrowing has ex-
"The momentum of the business cycle"
panded since mid January. be notes.
Tax Cut," editorial page, Feb. 6). He
is one reason for the economy to
Inventory restocking should also "con-
states that when a homeowner invests to
strengthen as the election nears, says
tribute meaningfully to recovery" in com-
improve his house, "those costs are prop-
Geoffrey Moore of Columbia University, an
ing months, says Robert J. Barbera. chief
authority on the economy's ups and downs.
economist of Shearson Lehman Brothers
erly excluded from any capital gain when
The economy has kept expanding. albeit at
Inc. Inventory cutting in the latest reces-
the house is sold." He then goes on to ar-
a snail's pace. since last spring. he says.
sion. he says, has been more extensive
gue that is not the case when "a company
and "the longer it continues to rise. the
than in most postwar slumps. and SO res-
likeller the recovery will spread."
tocking is likely to be substantial. particu-
makes similar improvements, enhancing
Historically Speaking
larly with recent signs of "some pretty
the firm's value."
Since World War 11, Mr. Moore recalls.
strong gains at major retail chains."
His argument is not technically correct.
economic upturns have averaged about
Mr. Barbera, who looks for the econ-
omy to expand at a 50 rate by midyear.
Under the current law, both the business
four years and never lasted less than one.
Nor. he adds. has a recession resumed af-
also notes that new car sales increased
and the homeowner get to write off once
ter the economy has risen uninterruptedly
in January and the climb accelerated in
any improvement and/or investment in
for S0 long as now. A widening recovery
early February. One reason. he suspects.
"will also lend strength to economies
is that the average age of cars on the road,
their property. Businesses write off the full
abroad. ultimately reinforcing growth both
at about eight years. is higher than in 40
amount, albeit over several years. While it
at home and elsewhere.' he says, adding
years. "Replacement demand will be a
is true that the homeowner gets to write
that indicators he compiles of future trends
growing source of strength." he says.
off all his expenses in one single year when
in 10 foreign countries point to "recovery
Thoughts on Inflation
or continuing expansion" in eight.
the house is sold. it is not at all clear that
Even with an appreciably stronger
Another plus. most forecasters say, is
economy by election time. most fore.
the homeowner gets a better deal. The dis-
that 1992 is a presidential-election year.
casters doubt that inflation will worsen sig.
counted value of the tax shield provided by
Eight of 11 such years World War II
nificantly. And. they reckon. if inflation
were recession-free and another nearly $0:
doesn't rise appreciably neither will inter-
the improvements may very well be less
the recession of 1948-49 didn't start until
est rates. Mr. Eggert's consensus expects
than the discounted value of the tax shield
just after the election that returned Presi-
consumer prices to rise at annual rate of
provided by the depreciation. The home
dent Truman to office. Only two of the 11
3.3% in the third quarter. no higher than
years were deeply marked by slumps-the
this quarter's estimate, and httle change is
improvements get added to the cost basis
1960-61 recession and the 1950 recession.
seen for interest rates.
without indexation. They are written off at
the time of the sale of the house. As such,
the tax shield is back-loaded.
In contrast, with any accelerated depre-
ciation (i.e., expensing), the tax shield of-
fered by the depreciation is front-loaded
and will not be eroded as much by infla-
tion. This brings us to the final issue. For
the homeowner and the long-term investor,
indexation can bring better relief and pro-
vide higher incentives to produce and in-
vest than the proposed reduction in the
capital-gains tax rate: 15% is fine but in-
dexing is divine.
VICTOR A. CANTO
La Jolla, Calif.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
© 1992 Dow Jones 8 Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
House Drops Corporate Rate Reduction
From Proposed Legislation to Cut Taxes
By JEFFREY H. BIRNBAUM
Democrats already are preparing to blame
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Mr. Bush and his fellow Republicans for
WASHINGTON - House Democrats,
causing such a delay.
changing their tax package for the second
time in as many days. dropped their pro-
Still, the chance of getting a tax bill to
posal to reduce the top corporate tax
the president was enhanced when Sen.
Bentsen reversed his earlier position and
rate.
That decision came after rank-and-file
acceded to Sen. Byrd's demand that the
Democrats questioned in a private meeting
so-called peace dividend be used to pay for
why corporations should be given such an
increased domestic spending rather than
indiscriminate benefit in a bill that is sup-
tax cuts.
posed to curry the favor of voters and spur
The health measures Mr. Bentsen plans
business investment.
to include in the tax bill are part of a bill
Meanwhile, in the Senate, Chairman
he introduced last fall. They would prohibit
Lloyd Bentsen (D., Texas) of the Finance
insurance companies from denying cover-
Committee agreed to prepare a bill that
age to people with medical conditions and
would finance any tax cuts with increases
protect people with health problems from
in other taxes, rather than with cuts in
losing their health insurance if they change
military spending. That decision placated
jobs. They also would allow self-employed
Appropriations Committee Chairman Rob-
people to deduct the full cost of health in-
ert Byrd ID., W.Va.). whose cooperation
surance from their taxes and expand Medi-
is needed if a tax bill is to pass.
care to cover more preventive care serv-
Yesterday's developments improved the
ices, such as influenza shots and cancer
prospects Congress will approve a tax bill.
screening.
But lawmakers still appear headed toward
House Ways and Means Committee
a direct confrontation with President Bush,
Chairman Dan Rostenkowski introduced a
who opposes Democrats' continued insis-
companion bill to Mr. Bentsen's health leg-
tence on raising taxes on wealthy individ-
islation, but he isn't expected to try to at-
uals.
tach it to tax legislation.
Before dropping the proposed corporate
Foley Predicts Passage
tax-rate cut yesterday, House Democrats
The House Democrats' bill, which would
had agreed on Wednesday to scale it back
give tax relief to middle-income individ-
by recommending that it last just two
uals and increase taxes on the wealthy, is
years rather than permanently. The Demo-
expected to come to a vote in that cham-
crats on the Ways and Means Committee
ber next week. "The bill will pass,"
did away with the tax-rate cut entirely be-
Speaker House Thomas Foley (D., Wash.)
cause their Democratic colleagues contin-
predicted. It will be considered along with
ued to complain about it.
Republican alternatives, which would em-
phasize investment incentives and wouldn't
Snubbed by Business
raise taxes.
The corporate community, which stood
Sen. Bentsen's committee will begin to
to benefit most from the one percentage
devise its tax plan next week. The measure
point cut snubbed the idea. Big-business
is likely to be similar in concept, if not in
lobbyist Charls E. Walker campaigned vig-
every detail, to the House Democrats'
orously against the reduction, saying he
plan. Sen. Bentsen declined to discuss the
preferred instituting generous tax breaks
components of his proposal. But law-
targeted at capital-intensive companies
makers expect that the panel will endorse
such as those he represents.
some form of tax reduction for middle-in-
Even the Tax Reform Action Coalition,
come families, a tax increase for high-in-
a group of lobbyists that was established to
come earners and a smattering of provis-
press for corporate tax-rate cuts, shunned
ions to promote investment.
the Democrats' bill, apparently because it
In addition, the Finance Committee is
also included a proposed increase in taxes
expected to attach a number of health pro-
on high-income people. At a meeting yes-
visions to its tax bill, including measures
terday of the coalition, no one even raised
that would make health insurance more af-
the prospect of supporting the Democrats'
fordable and easier to obtain. Democrats
plan, said one participant.
are eager to outdo the president in this
Separately, the House Government Op-
election-year issue.
erations Committee took the first step to-
The finance panel's bill, once com-
ward altering the 1990 budget agreement in
pleted, probably would run into a partisan
a way that would permit funds cut from
wrangle on the Senate floor. President
the military to be used to increase do-
Bush has said he would oppose any bill
mestic spending.
that would raise taxes, even on the
The 1990 pact requires that any savings
wealthy. and Republican senators are con-
from projected levels of military spending
sidered likely to tie up any such measure
be used to reduce the budget deficit. The
with a filibuster or a long series of amend-
committee bill would allow such money to
ments.
be spent for nonmilitary purposes. The ef-
Such a tactic could make it difficult for
fort is given a good chance of approval in
Congress to get a tax bill to the president's
both the Senate and the House, where it is
desk by his March 20 deadline, though
backed by Democratic leaders.
Human Rights Diverted
Those talking about constructive
tions that provide judges to preside
change at the United Nations will
over this review include: Iraq, where
have to pause to consider what's com-
athist soldiers are kicking Shia
ing out of its Human Rights Commis-
heads into the dirt in the country's
sion's annual session in Geneva this
southern marshlands; Iran, which is
Converting the Converted
month. First, consider the good that
persecuting its Baha'i minority; and
the commission is capable of perform-
Cuba, which earlier this year shot and
That it is imperative to find new,
the effort would require "strong inter-
ing on this subject.
wounded children fleeing through the
peaceful endeavors for the 2,000 to
national support," plus funding from
Yesterday, special rapporteur on
cactus fields in an attempt to defect to
3,000 nuclear-weapons experts of the
foundations, academic and scientific
Iraqi human rights Max van der Stoel,
the U.S. base at Guantanamo Bay.
Former Soviet Union (FSU) is an ar-
institutions and the private sector.
a Dutchman, presented what could be
China is also on this board, despite its
gument that almost no one in the West
Ultimately, the best protection for
the strongest report of human-rights
Tiananmen prisoners.
disputes. That's of course because of
the West is most likely to be found in
violations in the history of this com-
Chinese Ambassador Fan Guox-
fears that some of these scientists
mission. He concludes "that the viola-
the scientists themselves. If they are
iang contributed to the meeting's tone
might be lured by lucrative money of-
given decent alternatives, it is un-
tions of human rights which have OC-
by saying that "it is not proper for
fers to such places as Libya.
likely that many would choose to con-
curred are SO grave and of such a
any country to figure itself as a world
Secretary of State James Baker
tinue the nefarious work that has en-
massive nature that since the Second
judge in the international human-
told a group of 50 FSU
gaged them up to now. The chief sci-
World War few parallels can be
rights field."
found." Saddam's men poured toxic
nuclear-weapons experts at Chelya-
entist at Chelyabinsk, Yevgeni N.
One can write off the commission
materials on torture wounds; the
binsk last Friday that finding them
Avrorin, told Mr. Baker that it is not
Ba'ath Party's modus operandi, the
as a mere debating society. But it is
new work is a matter of the highest
only important for scientists to earn a
report notes, includes rape.
obviously also capable of bringing the
priority for both the U.S. and Russia.
living but also to be in a position to do
world important news.
And now, foreign ministers of the Eu-
important work.
Against this stark reporting, now
consider how the commission itself is
All the more necessary, then, that
ropean Community have endorsed the
Surely the world has enough im-
conducting its affairs. Before this ses-
the body return to a sounder course.
formation of a new institute in Russia
portant work for them. For starters,
sion the commission completed one
The commission derives its prestige
to facilitate the skills transfer.
they could help find the most effective
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
© 1992 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved
"reform" that the New York-based
from the support of powers such as
ways of disarming and disposing of
Security Council has been asked to
Japan, Germany and the U.S. Its po-
A joint effort of Russia, the U.S.
most of the nuclear warheads they
contemplate: Despite a "no" vote
tential is great. The new leadership of
and Germany, the "International Sci-
built. They have much to contribute to
East European countries, such as
ence and Technology Center" would
the announced U.S.-Russian effort to
from America's beleaguered repre-
Czechoslovakia or Bulgaria, come to
be created in Russia to match up sci-
sentative, Morris Abram, the group
build an SDI system. And they have
entists and projects. An EC official
expanded its numbers to 53 from 43 to
Geneva to see what world standards
enormous contributions to make to
give Third World countries more of a
are for right and wrong treatment of
said the price tag would be $100 mil-
our understanding of the Soviet Un-
its citizens. Instead, items such as the
lion, with the U.S. contributing a quar-
say on atrocities (most of which they
ion's efforts to create truly terrible
THE STREET JOURNAL.
commit 1. They in turn are taking up
"Right to Development" take up
ter of that amount. German Foreign
weapons with the tools of biotechnol-
much of the Geneva agenda.
Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher said
ogy.
an agenda that includes evaluating
the human-rights status of Cuba,
Yesterday's horrifying report on
Burma, Iran and of course Iraq. Their
Iraq suggests that there is indeed a
first act was to name Iran as the
need for what the commission pur-
group's vice-chair.
ports to be. But if the U.N. is to be
The program includes a day in
taken seriously, agencies with the
which the commission reviews "de-
high visibility of the Human Rights
tention or imprisonment, torture and
Commission will have to make a
disappearance." But the member na-
much greater effort to act seriously.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
© 1992 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Washington Wire
CLINTON GAINS on the left after New
Hampshire. Some fence-sitting liberals send
donations after the release of his 1969 letter
A Special Weekly Report From
to Arkansas draft officials condemning the
The Wall Street Journal's
Vietnam war. Departing NAACP leader
Benjamin Hooks praises the letter for de-
Capital Bureau
nouncing racism.
BUSH HEADS for an election-year colli-
UNIONS RUSH to endorse Democratic
sion with Democrats over tax cuts.
presidential candidates after the AFL-CIO
Despite his dust-up with Buchanan in
frees members to do SO. So far, 14 back Har-
New Hampshire, the president won't reverse
kin, who supports labor causes. They in-
his decision to keep a middle-class tax cut
clude the auto and communications workers.
out of his short-term "action plan." Ad-
Three considering Harkin unelectable, sup-
visers believe voters care more about eco-
port Clinton. Just about all reject Tsongas,
nomic growth than middle-income tax relief.
who has taken stands labor opposes.
Though Bush can't be seen as opposing such
a tax cut, he likely would veto a Democratic
DUMPED: The Bush administration
tax bill that also raises taxes on the rich.
drops plans to nominate James Benkard as
At the moment, Congressional Democrats
the Justice Department's top environmental
and the White House aren't inclined to com-
prosecutor after conservative activists at-
SEC Proposes Higher Fees
promise; House Speaker Foley predicts Bu-
tack him as too cozy with environmentalists.
chanan's strong showing will increase,
Under consideration: Chicago lawyer Vicki
For Investment Advisers
Bush's Congress-bashing. Interest in a tax
Masterman, an Environmental Protection
By a WALL STREET Reporter
cut could end if the economy is picking up
Agency official in the Reagan years.
WASHINGTON - Investment ad-
steam by spring, as the administration, the
visers would be forced to pay annual
Federal Reserve and private forecasters
MOVING? Gail Wilensky, head of the
fees of as much as $7,000 under a plan to
now expect.
agency that runs Medicare and Medicaid, is
help the Securities and Exchange Com-
But the optimism is restrained. The
offered a move to the White House domestic-
mission beef up enforcement of the ad-
economic recovery, one Fed official la-
policy staff. She would probably be above
viser industry.
ments, "has been sighted as often as
Roger Porter, who recently dropped to the
The proposal, which the agency will
Elvis in the National Enquirer."
No. 2 spot when former GOP Chairman
send to Congress in the next few days,
Clayton Yeutter took the top job. Porter's
would set a minimum yearly fee of $300
BUSH WOULD GAIN from a crisis that
plans are uncertain.
for an adviser registered with the SEC.
plays to his foreign-policy strengths.
The charge would increase based on the
Several hot spots have possibilities. Bush
HEALTH-CARE CHANGES likely will be
size of the adviser's assets, with firms
could get tough in Haiti and try to unseat
narrow this year despite much talk.
managing $5 billion or more paying the
leaders of the military coup; Buchanan op-
The initial focus is to make health insur-
maximum of $7,000 and those with $10
poses that. Libya could be made to face the
ance more affordable and available. Legis-
million or less paying the minimum.
music if it fails to turn over two suspects in-
lation would include protecting people from
Currently, the 17,500 investment ad-
dicted in the Pan Am bombing. The biggest
being denied insurance because they have
visers registered with the SEC pay a
boon to Bush's campaign would be removing
medical conditions and from losing coverage
one-time fee of $150. But that has proved
Iraq's Saddam Hussein.
if they change jobs. Texas Democrat Bent-
inadequate for policing the industry,
But despite stepped-up, covert efforts to
sen plans to attach such proposals to the tax
SEC officials and lawmakers argue.
destabilize the Iraqi dictator, the U.S. has
bill his Senate Finance Committee takes up
For example, Sen. Christopher Dodd
limited ability to get a coup rolling on its
next week.
(D., Conn.), chairman of the Securities
own. And the price of failure of any such
Revising insurance is likely because "ev-
Subcommittee, noted that the number of
foreign adventure could be enormous.
erybody sort of supports it," including Bush,
SEC examiners overseeing the industry
says the Federation of American Health
had risen by only 10 in the past decade
SOUTH DAKOTA SHOWDOWN should
Systems' Michael Bromberg. The industry,
to 46 examiners, while the amount of as-
eliminate Kerrey or Harkin.
fearing broader changes, probably won't put
sets managed by those advisers has bal-
Both New Hampshire also-rans need a
up a big fight. Pennsylvania Sen. Wofford,
looned to $5.4 trillion from $450 billion.
win in Tuesday's primary in their neighbor-
who was elected in large part because he
While big mutual funds and money-
ing state to survive in the Democratic presi-
urged national health insurance, says he
market funds are inspected annually,
dential race. Nebraska's Kerrey has the
backs "small, good steps in the name of the
the SEC is hoping to cut the time be-
best campaign operation; he even organizes
greater issue."
tween visits for the smaller advisers to
Indian reservations, as the late Robert Ken-
But some Democrats think sweeping
five years. To do so, it wants to quadru-
nedy once did. Iowa's Harkin trumpets his
health-care legislation still could be
ple the examination staff to 175. The
Harkin-Gephardt bill to aid family farmers.
pushed through this year if Bush con-
SEC is proposing to pay for the addi-
"The loser," says Democratic pollster Paul
tinues to stumble in his bid to be re-
tional examiners with the fees.
Maslin, "has no chance."
elected.
Money is crucial. Both campaigns are
nearly broke. Looking ahead, Kerrey, if he
MINOR MEMOS: A man who introduced
survives, has lined up some big financial
himself at the recent Gennifer Flowers press
support in Florida for that state's March 10
conference as Dr. Stanley Duck, voice-
primary. Harkin hasn't tapped big money
analysis expert, was actually political
from his union backers. and his direct-mail
prankster Dick Tuck. Several reporters
pleas aren't bringing in the bucks.
bought his analysis. Ohio Rep. Kaptur
Tsongas, who expects a boost by win-
promotes the competitiveness of America's
ning Maine's caucuses Sunday, broad-
auto-parts industry by sending reporters
casts an ad in South Dakota featuring
boxes of car parts made in the U.S.A.
his father-in-law, a former University of
The Justice Department, as first reported in
South Dakota football star.
the newsletter DOJ Alert, announces a nine-
year plan to reduce its Washington-area fa-
cilities from 65 buildings to "only" 50.
-Compiled by RONALD G. SHAFER
A Diplomat Explains Yugoslavia
some time-warp. 1 enjoyed the sensation of
"Bad sest to them." I can only echo this
What is causing the rivil war in Yugo-
stepping back in history. for I am some-
curse.
slavia! David Anderson. former U.S. am-
thing of a romantic. But I could afford my
With Yugoslavia's having dissolved into
bassador to Yugoslavia 1981-85 and cur-
romanticism except when I was a serious
a series of mini-states. you will ask-what
rentiu director of the Aspen Institute in
Berlin, offers A diplomat's view in a letter
ambassador: : the Yugoslav leaders could
now? Chaos. disaster or simple economic
Tax-Law Change Courts Disaster
not. When confronted by nasty facts of ev-
ruin, reply. None of these states. not even
to his daughter. Natalie. Escerpts follow:
eryday life-e.g. International Monetary
supposedly prosperous Slovenia. is produc-
You ask what has happened. Several
Fund conditionality for loans-they would
tive enough on a large enough scale to
Tim W. Ferguson's Jan. 31 editorial-
of the current recession.
unfortunate. sad and even tragic develop-
hark back to the glorious Partisan days
make a modern state function. Each will
ments. Tito died in 1980. 10 years too late
and threaten to go off to the woods and eat
page article, "Flat Tax Gets an Unfair
There are additional reasons to oppose
slide backward. Yugoslavia was never an
to leave behind a functioning governmen-
leaves before bowing to the horrible Amer-
economic success story. but it always man-
Hearing in California." criticized my sup-
the removal of the home-mortgage deduc-
tal structure. He prepared no successors.
ican-dominated in their view interna-
aged to muddle through. Now, most of the
country is finding it difficult to do much
port for the home-mortgage deduction. Mr.
tion. Removing it will lower the equity ev-
In fact, the Serbian and Croatian liberals
tional financial institution.
whose heads he figuratively lopped off in
So here we are in 1992 and Yugoslavia
more than subsist.
Ferguson suggested my support for the de-
ery current homeowner has in his home.
1971-72 were Yugoslavia's last. best hope
unravels as I write. The winter will end.
And there then comes the self-delusion
duction was motivated solely as a way of
Fewer Americans would be able to buy
for a more democratic. less dogmatic sys.
of each mini-state concerning its place In
criticizing my al-opponent for the
homes: 75% of all homeowners say they
tem of governance. With their disappear-
the world. All want instant international
ance. the country was basically lost to the
They are near tribal in
recognition. in part for reasons of pride. in
GOP senatorial primary in California,
would not have been able to buy the home
old guard of former partisans and Commu-
their behavior, suspicious
part out of the expectation of aid, credits.
Bruce Herschensohn. Mr. Herschensohn
they have were it not for the home-mort-
nist Party apparatchiks. The problem for
trade. membership in the World Bank and
gage deduction. And eliminating the de-
most observers. myself included. is that
of each other (with usually
IMF not to mention the U.N. They also
has proposed the elimination of all deduc-
we did not recognize the enormous damage
all expect to be able finally to buy weap-
tions from the tax code.
duction will also make it very hard for
that Tito had done. With his internal mach-
sound reasons), friendly on
only SO that they can fight the next phase
The Herschensohn proposal would dev-
some people to meet the mortgage pay-
inations. he left Serbia weaker. Croatia not
the outside but very cyni-
of the civil war on a more even footing-
i.e., with more sophisticated weapons.
astate the housing industry at a time when
ments they pay at present.
much better. and SO set the stage for
events 20 years later.
cal, ever ready for a war or
And. finally. several of them are beset
it is already reeling. Following the changes
Such dramatic changes of the tax laws,
He compounded the failure by drawing
by illusions that the West will act in deci-
of the 1986 Tax Act, real estate went into
S0 as to fundamentally affect investments
up a constitution in 1974 that effectively
a battle, and completely in-
sive fashion to end the violence. For exam-
decline. And that brought the savings-and-
made under a prior assumption, are da-
returned power to the republics-princt-
pally to keep the Serbs from dominating
capable of coming to grips
ple. the Slovenes and Croats talk readily of
the U.S. Sixth Fleet moving aggressively
loan industry down. Elimination of the
maging to economic efficiency. One of the
the others. But as he distributed power to
with the modern world.
into the Adriatic to sink any ships that
bombard coastal cities. Arms and amnu-
home-mortgage interest deduction would
most harmful things we do in our economy
the republican fiefdoms. he did not de-
mand a consequent responsibility for use
the cease-fire will lapse. the civil war will
nition will be dropped by friendly Western
decimate the values built up in homes
is to change the tax laws. with retroactive
of this new power. Thus. there was no con-
begin again-and this time. Bosnia and
aircraft to communities besieged by hostil-
throughout the country. S&Ls and banks
effects, disrupting settled expectations
stitutional glue to hold the country together
Macedonia will be involved.
itles. And no Serbian warplanes will be al-
that made such mortgage loans would suf-
about investment decisions.
when he left the scene.
The Croats and Slovenes knew they set
lowed to overfly other republics because
out on a dangerous course when they first
the "West" (the U.S.) will monitor over-
fer a precipitous drop in their asset-value-
REP. TOM CAMPBELL (R., Calif.)
Economic Tribulations
Washington
The economy was Tito's other major
pressed for independence. The Croats. in
flights and send up sorties to force the Ser-
to-loan ratios. This would lead to more clo-
mistake. Yugoslavia's foreign debt in the
particular. were well aware that the 600,-
bian aircraft to back down.
sures of banks and S&Ls, more strain on
mid- and late 1970s was allowed to accu-
000 Serbs in Croatia would not be left un-
Modern Diplomatic Methods
mulate in an uncoordinated and uncon-
protected by the Serbian authorities In Bel-
What of the role of the West, if any. in
the mortgage insurers, more property
trolled manner. The result was that by
grade. And, indeed. the Serbs reacted pre-
this unholy mess? would like to think that
taken over by the Resolution Trust Corp.,
FRIDAY. FEBRUARY 21. 1992
1979-80. the country was near bankruptcy.
dictably. One may debate whether the Croats
the U.N., the European Community. the
more real estate dumped on a declining
Western assistance helped solve the prob-
were provocative at the outset and the
Conference on Security and Cooperation in
market. and a prolonging of our economic
© 1992 Dou Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved
tem temporarily up to 1986 or thereabouts.
but Yugosiavia's lack of financial and in-
Serbs overdid things with their violent re-
Europe. the Western European Union. the
sponse. Whether the Serbs were intent on
U.S., Germany. France or a combination
slump.
vestment discipline re-entered the scene 50
creating a Greater Serbia at Croatian ex-
of several Western states could come up
To raise these points is not, as Mr. Fer-
that by 1988 the country's economic tribu-
with a way to manage or at least control
lations were catastrophic-including an in-
pense is open to question. That SO many
the conflict in what used to be Yugeslavia.
guson suggests, to play on the fears of
flation rate of some 2,500% in early 1989. It
people died and suffered. that so many vil-
lages. towns and cities were devastated-
But no Western soldier is going to be sent
homeowners. It is to raise a substantive
is almost back at that level now. The for-
eign debt problem also expanded S0 that.
that is not open to question. It all hap-
to die over a Serb-Croat conflict.
objection to a proposal that would hurt our
The U.N. forces will withdraw when the
today. Yugoslavia owes creditors more
pened. The bombing of cities by the Serbs
shooting starts again. The EC and CSCE
economy at a critical time.
who well knew that no Serbian residents
required protection Osijek, Dubrovnik.
will not become militarily involved. The
Mr. Ferguson suggests this harm could
than $13 billion.
You will ask if Tito alone or even the
Zadar was, in the purest sense of the
U.S. hopes that the whole dirty business
be lessened by adopting a "transition" pe-
Communist ideology he preached was re-
will go away. The Germans may send
sponsible for today' breakup of the multi-
word. immoral.
some money to Slovenia and Croatia. but
riod before the home-mortgage deduction
national state. I am of the view that Tito
So. I would say. a plague on both
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
houses. But that is not enough. I ask my-
very little: and any more active involve-
is eliminated. But from the date of enact-
and his variation of communism were not
especially important in the larger order of
self whether these republics. which had CO-
ment 15 out of the question. As one Ger-
ment of a new law eliminating the home-
existed for $0 many decades in peace and
man commentator put it. we will simply
things in the land of the South Slavs. Cer-
even friendship. can resume the personal
have to wait until all sides have exhausted
mortgage deduction, whether at once or
tainly. by much finagling he kept the coun-
try together. Surely, the ideology gave a
relationships and trust of earlier years. 1
themselves i.e.. kille. themselves off and
over a period of transition, the present
conclude that they simply cannot. That is
then we will try to help the survivors. So
value of a home will decline, anticipating
rationale for various schemes and plans.
much for modern diplomatic methods.
most of them misbegotten.
the ultimate tragedy.
That IS the story as I see it. It need
the eventual phase-out of the deductibility
But the problem. I fear. is the Yugo-
Those who brought about the evil in the
old land of the South Slavs will go to their
never have happy ened. What was required
of home-mortgage payments. And from
slavs themselves. They are a perverse
was wiser leadership 111 2" of the republics
group of folks. near tribal in their behav-
graves knowing that they. and they alone,
that fact follows the immediate harm to
of Yugoslavia: less emotion and more
for. suspicious of each other with usually
not only ordered killing and devastation in
common sense: better diplomacy by a dis-
the financial industry, and the prolonging
sound reasons friendly on the outside but
their own land: they also put an end to the
interested Western Europe and U.S.: and a
very cynical within. ever ready for a war
messy and untidy structure that once was
readiness by the Yugoslavs generally to
or a battle. proud of their warrior history.
Yugoslavia. They have left behind a popu-
lation that will be as divided and hostile as
see the modern world as it is. But there
and completely incapable of coming to
was none to be found. That is a reason to
grips with the modern world.
anything that characterized the Balkans
be sad when you contemplate this land
To go wandering in Yugoslavia. long be.
for several hundred years. My old Scottish
where once. for a few years. you made
fore the current civil war. was an adven-
mother. who understands tribal antago-
nisms as well as 1 understand Yugoslavia.
your home-and which I once considered
ture. As you will recall. we always met
would say of these Yugoslav "leaders":
part of me.
strange people who seemed caught up in
The Washington Times
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
the beginning of the end for
voters understand, the problem for
T
the Bush presidency may
A core of convictions needed
the economy is not the size of the
have occurred not Tuesday
deficit but its rate of growth. But the
in New Hampshire but four
political problem for the president is
years ago in the Granite State.
not merely whether he can be be
Campaigning for the GOP nomi-
read my lips: No New Taxes:
his declining approval ratings, and
first, minus a second Gulf war,
lieved when he talks about taxes and
nation, George Bush called his chief
That was all Pat Buchanan could
now no doubt the New Hampshire
which has camouflaged the underly-
economic policy today but what he
opponent, Sen. Bob Dole, a "Senator
say to New Hampshire voters - al-
returns themselves, are a product of
ing weakness of the Bush presi-
believes, if anything. Mr. Bush is the
Straddle" who would raise taxes. Mr.
most enough to win. It is hardly sur-
"poor communication." Mr. Bu-
dency. That weakness stems from its
only politician around whose philo-
Bush told the New Hampshire vot-
prising that Mr. Buchanan went back
chanan probably will invite the pres-
disastrous commitment to an unten-
sophical commitments allow him to
ers who approved him over Mr. Dole
to 1988. No conservative challenger
ident to continue to communicate, as
able distinction between cam-
support both a constitutional amend-
that he would "never raise taxes, pe-
could have declined to shoot at such
he did to the Globe, and Mr. Bush
paigning, or politics, and governing.
ment against flag-burning and a Na-
riod."
close, fat targets, and Mr. Buchanan,
could oblige, unless he absorbs the
Mr. Bush has shown that he will say
tional Endowment for the Arts that
Before that period was erased in
in his column and on television, had
message of New Hampshire.
what he has to say to get elected but
funds equally obscene acts.
the budget agreement of 1990, his-
years of practice. What is surpris-
It remains unlikely that Mr. Bu-
do as thinks he must to govern, all
It is often said that Mr. Bush is
tory shows that it grew. "The Con-
ing, although perhaps by now it
chanan, a protest vote for many in
dissonance aside. Thus in 1990 he
likely to be the last president to have
gress will push me to raise taxes,"
should not be. is that Mr. Bush is
New Hampshire, will wrest the
signed on to a $170 billion tax in-
served in World War II. Of more rel-
Mr. Bush said in his 1988 convention
experiencing amnesia. "I never did
nomination from Mr. Bush, who
crease, which included, should any-
evance is that he holds to his genera-
acceptance speech, and to the na-
take the I'no new taxes'] pledge in
competes best when seriously
one forget, an increase in the top
tion's belief in governing as mainly a
tion, "and I'll say no, and they' push
New Hampshire," he told the Boston
threatened. And Mr. Bush, helped by
personal rate from 28 to 32 percent,
matter of working with elites, the
again. And all I can say to them is
Globe last week. Will he also forget
an economy juiced by the Federal
and a jump in Medicare and gasoline
public never mind. Mr. Bush's bud-
that he also took it during his accep-
Reserve, may indeed by re-elected.
taxes.
get summit perfectly expressed that
tance speech?
But what then?
As events have proved, the budget
idea. Asked in 1990 whether it would
Terry Eastland is a fellow at the
Bush aides, and presumably the
The Republican nightmare is an
agreement asked the wrong eco-
Ethics and Public Policy Center.
president himself, have decided that
anemic second term, i.e., one like the
nomic question. As New Hampshire
see EASTLAND, page F4
EASTLAND
From page F1
have been better to have publicly de-:
bated the question of raising gas.
oline taxes instead of pursuing such
a policy behind closed doors with
congressional leaders, Mr. Bush re-
plied: "Well, I don't know that any
person opposed to raising gas-
oline taxes would have been more
inclined to accept them if the nego-
tiations had been done in public."
r. Bush's kinder, gentler and
M
- it must now be said
no-growth presidency has
included few mentions of Ronald
Reagan, who boosted Mr. Bush's
presidential prospects by putting
himon the ticket in 1980. Mr. Reagan
was weak where Mr. Bush thinks
himself strong, inside Washington.
But unlike Mr. Bush, Mr. Reagan un-
derstood the importance of forging
real and symbolic links with a polar-
ized electorate. Mr. Reagan united
politics and governing in the con-
tinuous popular dialogue of his
many speeches, and he acted often
enough upon his convictions - se-
curing tax cuts in 1981 and tax re-
form in 1986, for example - that
Americans forgot when asked about
the seve al times he increased taxes.
It is too much to ask Mr. Bush to
become an authentic conviction
president, which Mr. Reagan was.
But if Mr. Bush wishes to avoid being
devoured in a second term, he must
map a strategy for governing that
does not disdain the politics of pub-
lic argument and that sticks to a set
of core ideas, no matter how
tempting it might be for him to scrap
them. The president has met the en-
emy in New Hampshire, and it is he.
PATRICK MICHAELS
NASA, Gore, environment, liftoff
n previous discursions on these
The hypothesized rapid ozone
said, volcanoes can accelerate ozone
In fact, there are already hypoth-
On Jan. 24, 1992, he took it back.
Singer to broadcaster Rush Lim-
I
pages about atmospheric
depletion mechanism is confined to
depletion by supplying a reaction
eses kicking about our nation's capi-
From Science: "The aerosol forcing
baugh, says the pronouncement was
gases and other matters, we
the period when the sun is either
surface that temporarily resembles
tal, and I'll just name a few:
(cooling effects of other industrial
made to hype NASA's budget and im-
have already established the
below or very near the horizon.
what happens over Antarctica, and
(1) The Naive NASA Hypothesis.
activities) has likely offset global
portance in tough times.
following. either from first physical
When the sun rises to higher eleva-
they release large amounts of chlo-
They really didn't know all of the
greenhouse warming to a substan-
(3) Saving the Save-The-Earth-
principals or the refereed scientific
tions, ozone is reformed.
rine and similarly reactive ele-
above and thought they were saving
tial degree." This followed a state-
Fest. My money is on this one.
literature:
This same mechanism is phys-
ments, rapid late-winter ozone de-
the world. Post-discovery of the
ment that this cooling effect is"com-
Apocalyptic global warming - the
ically impossible in our hemisphere
pletions are a common phenomenon
facts will result in a retraction (after
parable in magnitude to the current
centerpiece of the upcoming United
Ultraviolet-B radiation - the
Nations June Environment Meeting
kind that causes most skin cancers
in any magnitude that approaches
and therefore cannot be particularly
the legislation has been signed and
anthropogenic greenhouse gas
what occurs over Antarctica.
threatening to the biosphere.
the citizenry billed). There is a prec-
forcing but opposite in sign."
in Rio- is in big trouble, as the facts
has been declining across the U.S.
measurement network, and most of
The source of the sudden peak
The scientific review time for a
edent in the global warming issue.
continue to counter the fantasies
of chlorine ob-
mainline journal like Geophysical
NASA scientist James Hansen told a
The disparity between reality and
the industrialized Northern Hemi-
don't buy this hypothesis. NASA
forecasts has been exploited by the
The Washington Times
served in our
Research Letters is six to eight
hushed Congress on June 23, 1988,
sphere.
weeks. What was SO urgent about
that "global warming is now suffi-
United States a reason to not com-
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
hemisphere is
I
knew about aerosol cooling in
Ozone depletion occurs every
1988 even when they hyped
probably Mount
NASA's findings that they couldn't
ciently large that we can ascribe
mit economic suicide for this issue,
winter during polar night, so NASA
warming. and they know all of the
Pinatubo (al-
wait for review? Who is going to get
with a high degree of confidence a
and now there are rumblings from
above about ozone. too. Naive? Do
will report some at their press con-
though the crit-
skin cancer or cataracts moonbath-
cause-and-effect relationship to the
the "Third" World that they aren't
ference next month.
you really believe that an organi-
ical experiment to
ing in February in the Canadian Arc-
greenhouse effect." On Feb. 11. 1989,
going along. either. So how does the
zation that sent men to the moon
determine this
tic Archipelago or Northern Scandi-
he wrote in The Washington Post,
"environmental president" keep
didn't precalculate the downstream
has never been
navia - the places where an ozone
"The evidence for an increasing
from being tarred as the person who
Patrick Michaels is an environ-
depletion would be most notable -
greenhouse effect is now suffi-
trajectory of a press release?
performed).
blows up what Colorado's Demo-
mental scientist and frequent con-
If. as the Na-
while the paper is reviewed?
ciently strong that it would have
(2) Budget Time. This one, cham-
cratic Sen. Tim Wirth recently told
tributor of articles on scientific is-
tional Science
As they say, inquiring minds want
been irresponsible if I had not at-
pioned by a spectrum ranging from
sues.
Foundation has Al Gore
to know.
tempted to alert political leaders.
environmental scientist S. Fred
see MICHAELS, page F4
MICHAELS
(4) The Gorey Hypothesis. Most
ban on CFCs by four years, and then
of NASA's top leaders are on more
griped when the president signed it,
From page F1
than a first-name basis with Sen. AI-
saying he hadn't done enough!
bert V. Gore Jr., Tennessee Demo-
Further, Mr. Gore has passionate
crat, and they should be: Inasmuch
as he controls their purse strings,
feelings about the environment, as
a University of Arizona audience
he's the boss.
evinced from his new book, and the
will be "perhaps the most important
plethora of misleading statements
leadership summit in history"?
therein (see the Feb. 17 review by
I
t's highly unlikely that their
Julian Simon for a few, read the book
Easy. Take the lead in banning
ozone announcement wasn't
for an order of magnitude more). Fi-
CFCs, which not only are putative
preapproved by Mr. Gore, but
nally, he wants to be president in the
ozone destroyers; they also contrib-
was it in fact directed? This would
worst way.
ute an estimated 12 percent to cur-
allow it to occur prior to those two
U.N. treaty drafting meetings, and it
Maybe he has reconsidered his:
rent global warming potential. The
reason this hypothesis fits is that
would put Mr. Gore on center stage
previous declination, and found the
there are only eight weeks and two
as the man leading the charge to save
need to save the world so great that,
meetings (one starting in New York
the planet in the time of Gennifer
well. can see the speech: "Elect me,
now) left to bang out a treaty to sign
Flowers, with only a few more days
not for the sake of this country, for
at Rio. That's about as long as it
remaining to get on the ballot. He
we are a mere speck upon the world
would have taken Geophysical Re-
rammed through the Senate, on a
in a fleeting moment of time, but for
search Letters to review NASA's
96-0 vote (that's the meaning of
the sake of the planet."
findings, and explains the urgency.
"veto-proof"), a bill to move up the
It can't be that simple, can it?
The Washington Times
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
When the president says, as he did in the days
CORD MEYER
just before his debacle in
PRUDEN ON
New Hampshire, that he
"never took the pledge"
POLITICS
against raising taxes, you
Hard
can almost believe that he
believes it. When he says
Wesley Pruden
doesn't understand why
nobody else will believe
bargain
him when he runs on the
'Going negative'
promise, as he will in '92,
that "this time I really
time for
mean it," you can almost
believe that he believes
against your own
that, too.
China
Being burdened by nei-
LBJ
ther "the vision thing" nor
Pat Buchanan, as pesky and as painful as he may
"the passion thing" nor even "the conviction thing,"
he Bush administration has
be to certain parts of the presidential posterior, is
Mr. Bush is impervious to the shame and humili-
T
a more coherent and effec-
not the president's problem.
tive policy toward commu-
The president's problem is a man named George.
ation that any other politician would feel at having
nist China than it has so far
From all the available evidence, Mr. Bush can't
had his pants taken down in New Hampshire. Pat
been able to explain and defend. The
Buchanan's remarkable feat of winning 40 percent
initial Bush failure to respond
decide whether he wants to be eaten now, by Repub-
licans, or later, in his second term, by Congress.
of the Republican vote is all the more remarkable
strongly enough to the Tiananmen
Square massacre has obscured the
Like most of the politicianettes among the
for his having done it against a Republican incum-
fact that U.S. policy has since ma-
bent who tried to prevent it.
tured into a sophisticated use of car-
Rockefeller-wing Republicans, the president
The humiliation of Mr. Bush is far greater than
rot and stick.
instinctively recoils from the sock-and-slash of
the 1968 humiliation of Lyndon Johnson, who never
For example, the continuing con-
campaigning. The Democrats are so bad at govern-
campaigned a single day in New Hampshire and
gressional pressure for withdrawal
ing because governing is something they have to do
of Most Favored Nation status from
to get to campaign. Republicans, who imagine
treated the primary as a nuisance. Mr. Bush spent
China would, if it succeeded, most
themselves managers above all else, hit the hus-
the final week in the frenzy of a Chicago alderman
severly damage those coastal areas
in Southern China where trade and
tings with the enthusiasm of a couple of teen-agers
about to lose his sinecure.
investment from Taiwan and Hong
going out on a date arranged by their parents.
You might think that Mr. Bush would have by now
Rockefeller Republicans do not know, and cannot
taken a look at the ruins, figured out who and what
imagine, the concerns of most of us. They're willing
was responsible, and raged accordingly. Any other
We do not have to
to defer to the liberal Democratic addiction to theo-
pol would have sent Richard Darman, his budget
retical solutions, which don't have to work as long
chief and the architect of the Bush tax increase that
provoke a general
as the solutions cost a lot of money and can support
sent the economy south, into the night without his
trade war with Beijing
large bureaucracies. Resistance is so, well, so
shoes and shirt. Ditto Nicholas Brady, the Treasury
secretary who has taken Alfred E. Neuman as his
to bring effective
undignified.
When the Democrats want to raise taxes, Mr.
role model: "What? Me Worry?"
pressure to bear on
Bush and his peers have no understanding of gang
No heads rolled, and none will. The more his neb-
rape, so what's wrong with going along? The 1990
bishes screw up his presidency, the more the loyal
the Chinese politburo.
rape of the taxpayers a $170 billion tax increase,
Mr. Bush rewards them. But now the president, to
with an increase in the top personal rate from 28 to
avoid making his humiliation total, must campaign
against Pat Buchanan as if this were not late Feb-
Kong have helped private industry
32 percent and a bump in Medicare and gasoline
to flourish.
taxes was merely inevitable.
ruary but late October. He promises to drop the kin-
As State Department officials ex-
Neither do the president and his men understand
der and gentler, and "go negative."
plain, the United States does not
That's against the Republicans. Mr. Bush will no
have to provoke a general trade war
why it's fatal to vow eternal hostility to civil-rights
doubt preserve his renomination, but to do that he
with Beijing and undermine the
quota legislation, and cave at the first hint that they
growth of private industry in Guang.
might have to pop a sweat to make Congress con-
must treat his friends - the conservatives so de-
dong Province in order to bring ef-
form to presidential leadership. Or why the disgust
spised by Rockefeller Republicans as if they
fective pressure to bear on the Chi-
of conservatives is nearly total, matching the con-
were his enemies. He'll save Mr. Nice Guy for his
nese politburo As one U.S. official
has stated, "Instead of MFN cancel-
tempt of liberals, when he promises to resist the
real enemies.
lation, we have specific tools to do
bureaucracies that want to regulate America out of
the job in the form of legislation and
business, and goes into the tank at the first hint of
negotiating strategy."
confrontation with the congressional Democrats
Moreover, there is evidence that
tough bargaining can succeed Un-
who can't wait to cut his throat.
der pressure. the Chinese have
agreed in writing to accede to the
Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty
and to observe Missile Technology
Control Regime Guidelines Beijing
has been persuaded to participate in
the president's Middle East arms
control initiative, to place its nuclear
ings Institution warns in his percep-
National Assembly. for the first time
cooperation with Algiers under in-
MEYER
tive new book, "A Fragile Relation-
in 40 years. a representative body
ternational safeguards, and to sup-
ship." there is no clear evidence yet
was chosen through popular vote.
port the U.N. consensus on the elimi-
From page F1
that the communist elite in Beijing
Combined with a surging economy,
nation of Iraqi weapons of mass
is prepared to relinquish control of
Taiwan democracy has become an
destruction.
alternative model for mainland
On the trade front, China has fi-
here there has been some limited
the state. It is more likely that we
nally agreed to improve protection
progress. Some of the prisoners ac-
shall see a succession of aging lead-
China Through television, trade ties
of U.S. patents, copyrights and com-
cused of participating in the Tianan-
ers as in the last days of Soviet
and the visits of relatives, Taiwan
puter software To avoid imposition
leader Leonid Brezhnev and his suc-
now is a powerful engine for change
men Square movement have been
of sanctions by the Federal Mari-
cessors.
off the China coast.
time Commission. China has also
leased, and China has been
However, three changes have OC-
Finally, Hong Kong recently held
agreed to allow U.S. shipping compa-
pressured by the United States to
ban the export of products of prison
curred in the structure of Chinese
elections under British auspices in
nies to establish' branch offices in
power that cannot help but influence
which the United Democrats won
China A third round of negotiations
labor.
the future. First, the success and
heavily against communist candi-
under a section 301 investigation of
But Asia Watch reports that 340
growth of private industry in the
dates. As Mr. Harding points out, it
Chinese market barriers begins
of the Tiananmen demonstrators are
southern cities is irreversible, and
may be necessary to modify Amer-
next Monday and will involve hard
unaccounted for. Chinese lack of
Deng Xiaoping himself in his recent
ican law to ensure all agreements
bargaining.
performance in the human rights
tour of the southern provinces called
between the United States and Hong
On regional issues, the Chinese
field requires continuing publicity,
for more reform, not less.
Kong remain in force after it returns
regime has cooperated in trying to
but it will not be improved by cutting
Second, an extraordinary trans-
to Chinese sovereignty in 1997. With
find a political solution in Cambodia,
off the trade that is changing the
formation has taken place in the Re-
the right kind of help now, Hong
has opposed North Korea's efforts to
build nuclear weapons and has sup-
face of Southern China.
public of China on Taiwan In the
Kong can continue to play its critical
ported the international consensus
As Harry Harding of the Brook-
Dec. 21 elections for delegates to the
role in the modernization of China.
during the Gulf crisis.
On the human rights front, it has
been like pulling teeth to obtain con-
cessions from the Chinese, but even
see MEYER, page F4
GOP
York is saying we may be having to
cut off every fourth street light in the
largest city in the United States," he
Buchanan VOWS purge
From page Al
said.
"It is time to think of America
his campaign plane for South Caro-
first," he said, bringing some in the
lina, the first stop on his first South-
audience to their feet.
ern campaign swing.
Mr. Buchanan again hammered
of affirmative action
"He is not out to fire people hired
Mr. Bush for his "no new taxes"
under quotas policies, Miss Bu-
pledge reversal, criticizing the pres-
chanan said. "It's the policies not the
ident for his new budget that "con-
tains $52 billion in new spending and
tas since he launched his New
people he will root out. He will put a
$25 billion more in hidden new taxes
By Ralph Z. Hallow
Hampshire primary campaign an
freeze on hiring and then go through
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
every department and agency to
over the next five years."
Pat Buchanan vowed yesterday to
CAMPAIGN
effort that began just over 10 weeks
eliminate any policy that leads to re-
He then turned his rhetorical
agoand ended with a strong showing
verse discrimination."
guns on Mr. Bush's lapses on conser-
rid the federal government of every
against Mr. Bush Tuesday.
Mr. Buchanan surprised many at
vative social policies.
policy that smacks of racial quotas
"We're headed south," Angela Bay
the conference by revisiting, if only
"We know what that wonderful
if he becomes president.
Buchanan, his sister and campaign
National Endowment for the Arts
chairman, said by way of explaining
briefly. the most sensitive of his
"If I am elected, my friends, I will
themes, U.S. policy toward Israel -
has been doing, that upholstered
the shift in emphasis of the candi-
playpen of the arts and crafts auxil-
go through this administration, de-
date's message.
an issue to which he gave little time
iary of the Eastern liberal establish-
partment by department and agency
"In New Hampshire, people had
in New Hampshire.
ment," Mr. Buchanan said. "They
by agency, and root out the whole
other things on their minds, like the
"If I read [Budget Director Rich-
rotten infrastructure of reverse dis-
have been subsidizing both filthy
strongest on the touchy issue of af-
economy and taxes, but he will re-
ard) Darman's budget correctly,
crimination, root and branch," he
and blasphemous art. And yet while
firmative action since his December
turn to his other themes in the South,
there are $10 billion in loan guar-
told the annual Conservative Politi-
antees for (Israeli Prime Minister
Mr. Darman has been budget direc-
announcement challenging Presi-
where people have different con-
tor, the funding for the NEA
has
cal Action Conference.
cerns," she said. Later yesterday, Mr.
The Washington Times
Yitzhak) Shamir, $12 billion in new
dent Bush for the Republican nomi-
funding for the International Mon-
risen every single year. Why?
The statement, part of a rousing
Buchanan was scheduled to board
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
nation.
etary Fund," he said.
"And now I really don't care what
speech at the Omni Shoreham Hotel
to about 500 conservative activists
It was also the first time Mr. Bu-
The loan guarantees to Israel
[NEA-funded artist) Andres Ser-
see GOP, page A8
would finance housing for Jews who
rano does with his bodily fluids or
from around the country, was his
chanan has emphasized racial quo-
immigrated to Israel from the for-
what Mr. [Robert] Mapplethorpe
mer Soviet Union. Mr. Bush refused
does with that bullwhip as long as we
to approve the guarantees, however,
taxpayers don't have to pay for it," he
in the absence of promises by the
said, drawing laughter from the au-
Shamir government not to use them
dience.
Also for the first time in his cam-
Judiciary Committee and tell them
needed at yesterday's conference.
stack the poll, about 100 people,
for new settlements on the Israeli-
the past few decades.
"In all the great intellectual and
to state their beliefs and not back
mostly Bush administration ap-
Conference sources said they had
occupied West Bank.
paign, Mr. Buchanan sought to un-
dermine a principal strength Mr.
philosophical battles of the last 30
down, even if they are defeated," he
confirmed that, at the behest of the
pointees from government agencies
"I don't think the American peo-
said as cheers and applause again
throughout the Washington area,
Bush has among conservatives
years, Mr. Souter, unlike Robert
Bush-controlled Republican Na-
ple should be required to subsidize
broke out. "We will send one after
walked in to pay the $50 registration
his record of appointing to the Su-
Bork and Antonin Scalia (both Rea-
tional Committee, state GOP offi-
the building of infrastructure half
gan appointments), had not taken a
another after another up until we
fee so they could vote, presumably
cials were phoning conference at-
for Mr. Bush, conference officials
way around the world when our own
preme Court judges who are widely
stand," he said.
break that monopoly in the Senate
believed to be conservatives.
tendees from their states to urge
infrastructure is in the process of
Mr. Buchanan said yesterday that
By contrast, Mr. Buchanan said as
Judiciary [Committee]."
them to vote for Mr. Bush in the gath-
said yesterday.
collapse," Mr. Buchanan said, again
drawing applause from the audi-
Mr. Bush, afraid to face down the
president he "will find in this coun-
Mr. Bush, surprised in Iowa by a
ering's traditional presidential pref-
try the most qualified constitu-
major straw poll victory by Pat Rob-
"There appears to have been an
Senate over a clearly conservative
erence straw poll.
tionalists and conservatives, who
ertson in the 1988 caucuses and by
inordinate amount of people walking
ence.
"I don't think we ought to give 12
nominee, picked Justice David
have taken a stand
Mr. Buchanan's 37 percent showing
The poll results will be announced
in today to register and ask about the
billion more dollars in lending
Souter for the high court because, as
on each of
in New Hampshire this week, appar-
Saturday.
straw poll," said conference spokes-
a judge, he had left "no paper trail"
these issues."
authority to the globalists of the IMF
"I will send them up to the Senate
ently felt a presence of sorts was
In a further apparent effort to
man Craig Shirley.
at the same time the mayor of New
of opinions on the crucial issues of
And walls
though peculiar kinship in 1982.
since each had been hit by an assas-
sin's bullet within weeks of one an-
The Washington Times
other the year before. "Look how the
of Jericho
evil forces were put in our way and
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
how Providence intervened," the
pope's representative in Washington
remembered Mr. Reagan saying to a
collapsed
friend. They felt a special mission
for their lives.
All this we knew then, in 1982, but
all this we somehow missed then.
ever has investigatory te-
For the newspaper accounts told
N
porting been so laudatory
not of amazingly sage decisions,
of the American govern-
which were subsequently well-
ment as that done by Wa-
planned and deftly executed, involv-
tergate sleuth Carl Bernstein in this
ing top American and Vatican aides
week's cover story of Time mag-
working a most delicate unwinding
azine.
of Polish communism.
Never has a decade-later story so
No, the papers then were filled
contradicted the journalistic story
with reports of failure. Mr. Reagan's
line at the time than this look back
June 1982 European swing was
at "The Holy Alliance" between
marred by his inability to persuade
President Reagan and Pope John
the West Europeans to stop extend-
Paul II to "subvert" the communist
ing credits to build a gas pipeline for
regime in Poland.
the Soviets. (One wonders how much
And never was a plan hatched so
money they poured in, and how the
carefully that worked so well the
pipeline is working now!)
plan to loosen the communist
Failure was reported in Mr. Rea-
gan's attempting to restrain the two
wars that erupted during his trip
"If former CIA
Israel's incursion into Lebanon and
Britain's steaming straight toward
Director William
the Falklands.
Failure was evident even in Mr.
Casey were around
Reagan's own staff, as his White
now," a friend is
House aides were constantly and
publicly battling Secretary of State
quoted as saying,
Alexander Haig over everything
from his perks to his policy.
"he'd be having some
There was failure reported even
on Mr. Reagan's meeting with the
smiles. In 1991, Mr.
pope, during which he dozed off, live
Reagan and Mr. Casey
on television. "The Pope Meets the
Dope," so it was then thought.
got the reordering of
Well, now it is known that their
meeting set in motion the fall of
the world that they
communism, which Mr. Reagan had
actually foretold the week before
wanted." So did the
when addressing the British Parlia-
pope. So did the
ment.
At Westminster, Mr. Reagan fore-
Poles. And so did we
cast was what to be: "repeated explo-
sions against repression" in Eastern
Evangelicals
all.
Europe, to which even "the Soviet
Union itself is not immune." The re-
sistance will result in a "march of
crackdown in Poland and thereby to
freedom and democracy" that "will
leave Marxism-Leninism on the ash
end the communist rule across East-
press Bush
em Europe and the Soviet Union.
heap of history, as it has left other
"We both felt a great mistake had
tyrannies which stifle the freedom
been made at Yalta and something
and muzzle the self-expression of
should be done," Mr. Reagan is
the people."
quoted as saying now. He and His
Left unsaid was how Mr. Reagan
your attempts to portray your ad-
was not content to watch this histor-
Holiness were right on that, as Yalta
By Larry Witham
ministration as pro-family," the Rev.
(and its aftermath) did seal Poland's
ical inevitability happen, but took ac-
THE WASHINGTON
Morris Chapman, president of the
fate for 40 years. "Solidarity was the
tion to assure that it happened. A
month earlier, as Mr. Bernstein tells
Leaders of the nation's largest
14.6 million-member Southern Bap-
very weapon for bringing this about,
tist Convention, wrote in the letter
because it was an organization of the
us now, Mr. Reagan had signed a se-
Protestant group have written Pres-
cret order authorizing a bost of
Wednesday.
Laborers in Poland," Mr. Reagan
ident Bush a letter warning that he
adds.
moves to destabilize Poland and sup-
is veering from the pro-family
The election-year complaint is an
agenda he promised evangelical vot-
early salvo from religious conserva-
Right again.
port Solidarity in his "National Secu-
tives who backed Mr. Bush in 1988
Besides that. the Poles are a sin-
rity Decision Directive 32."
but say the White House has alien-
gularly religious people, 90-plus
On June 7. 1982, the president en-
ers.
The Southern Baptist Conven-
listed the ever-willing pope on this
percent Catholic, and singularly uni-
tion's missive was triggered by a
ated them.
fied people, lacking any significant
holy mission. They pledged toassure
Feb. 13 meeting between Mr. Bush's
Theletter reminded Mr. Bush that
that the modern world's "liberation
ethnic minority.
re-election campaign chairman,
after homosexual-rights leaders at-
So much more fell in place to
technology" fax machines, print-
ing presses, computers,
Robert Mosbacher, and leaders of
tended White House functions in
make Poland the ideal spot to begin
the National Gay and Lesbian Task
1990, evangelicals were assured it
communism's end. The church had
photocopiers, shortwave radios,
was a slip-up.
video cameras and foreign radio
Force.
remained effective and penetrated
"Having the highest-ranking
"We were told that the invitations
virtually all Polish organizations.
broadcasts - was supplied to Soli-
were carried out by a misguided,
darity.
member of your re-election cam
The pope, of course being Polish
The CIA and the Vatican; Amer-
paign meet with the homosexual
himself, had taken a keen interest in
ican labor unions, priests, and intel-
lobby is a direct contradiction to
see FAMILY, page A8
every detail of the communist
crackdown.
ligence officers; Polish dockworkers
As Mr. Reagan said, this was a
and experienced diplomats all
genuine workers' movement - in
were organized in this stunning ef-
fort.
Marxist terms, a true uprising by
How they did it is nicely laid out
the proletariat and (perhaps most
in Time magazine. That they did it
important) one with magnificent
leadership in Lech Walesa.
makes an inspiring story even now.
"If former CIA Director William
While the pope and the president
were both charismatic and anti-
Casey were around now," a friend is
communist, they also felt a special
quoted as saying, "he'd be having
some smiles. In 1991. Mr. Reagan
and Mr. Casey got the reordering of
the world that they wanted." So did
Ken Adelman is a nationally syn-
the pope. So did the Poles. And so did
dicated columnist.
we all.
FAMILY
"The president has to know what his
in 1984 because of failures in the
convictions are I don't care what
conservative social agenda.
From page Al
his staff counsels."
Mr. Reed said conservative Chris-
He said evangelical leaders will
tians will not vote against a candi-
over eager staff member acting on
have "serious contact" with the
date, they just will not vote.
her own," the letter said. "We call
White House before Mr. Bush ad-
"Outside the pro-life issue and his
upon you personally to disavow any
dresses the NAE's annual meeting in
judicial appointments, I don't think
support or sympathy for the homo-
Chicago March 3. "I'd love to see him
the president has done an adequate
sexual civil rights agenda."
affirm the God-ordained institution
job reaching out to this constit-
The Baptist leaders recommend
of marriage," Mr. Dugan said.
uency," Mr. Reed said.
that Mr. Bush issue an executive or-
The Southern Baptist and NAE re-
More than 60 million white Amer-
der modeled on that one evangelical
actions come a few weeks after Sam
icans of voting age identify them-
leaders gave him during an October
Skinner, the new White House chief
selves as evangelicals. They
1990 meeting. The order supports
of staff, met with evangelical lead.
emerged as a key voting bloc with
traditional values regarding the
ers. Mr. Dugan called the session
the 1976 election of Jimmy Carter.
family and human sexuality and im-
"positive."
But Mr. Reed said that of the 89
plies that federal policy would fol-
A call-in poll of viewers by Pat
million voters who went to the polls
low.
Robertson's "700 Club" television
in 1988, 20 million to 24 million were
"It is our firm conviction that this
show Monday night showed 71 per-
the conservative Christian bloc -
lorder) is your only hope in restoring
cent back Pat Buchanan and 29 per-
self-identified evangelicals and pro-
trust on this issue with Southern
cent back Mr. Bush in the '92 pres-
life Catholics.
Baptists and the entire evangelical
idential election.
community," the Baptist letter said.
"Mr. Bush is in trouble to the de-
In the next few months, he said,
The National Association of Evan-
gree that evangelicals who gave him
the coalition will call on "pro-family
activists" to become delegates to the
gelicals reacted to the Mosbach-
their vote perceive him as failing to
er meeting.
deliver on their agenda," said Ralph
Republican National Convention in
In a commentary aired Tuesday
E. Reed, head of the Christian Coali-
Houston.
on some Christian and secular radio
tion, an educational outgrowth of Mr.
Mr. Reed said if Mr. Bush pre-
stations, NAE Director Robert
Robertson's 1988 bid for the presi-
serves the pro-life plank in the Re-
Dugan said: "The candidate's staff,
dency.
publican Party, which will come un-
with or without the boss' approval, is
According to exit polls, Mr. Bush
der attack in Houston, religious
playing both sides of the fence. Por-
received 79 percent of the "born
conservatives have a reason to vote.
tray him to evangelicals as pro-
again" Christian vote in 1988. But
Some analysts say that because
family, to gays and lesbians as pro-
analysts note that President Rea-
many evangelicals are blue-collar
homosexual rights."
gan's evangelical support dropped
workers, the recession will force
In an interview, Mr. Dugan said,
from 80 percent in 1980 to 67 percent
them to vote on economics.
The Washington Times
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
PASCOE
deal of 1990 was the worst advice he
Winning game: Play on right
ever took. Firing these two would be
just, reasonable and applauded by
those who follow these matters.
To turn a double into a home run,
resident Pat Buchanan?
They, too, will be looking for a
ness. In one fell swoop, the vast ma-
Mr. Bush could offer the Treasury
P
Though it may not yet
fight. So the president should give
jority of organized labor's political
post to former Delaware Gov. Pete
roll trippingly off the
them one, on his terms.
money - the money that funds the
du Pont, who, rumors say, is mulling
tongue, after New Hamp-
Second, policy. A four-point
Democratic Party would be taken
a late entry into the GOP field. If Mr.
shire, it doesn't sound nearly as far-
agenda would do a great deal to start
away.
du Pont accepted the offer, the Bush
fetched.
a fight, and help block the advancing
Third, announce that beginning
administration would have at least
Holding an incumbent president
Buchanan brigades:
immediately, the president will start
staved off another potential problem
to just 53 percent of the vote is a
Start with indexation of capital
using the line-item veto on congres-
by keeping him out of the race, and
remarkable achievement, and could
gains for inflation. The president
sional pork, and challenge the Con-
could actually gain with conserva-
well spell the demise of the Bush
docs not need congressional ap-
gress to take it to the Supreme Court.
tives who admire Mr. du Pont's eco-
presidency incumbent presidents
proval to do this, and it would have
Another signal out of New Hamp-
nomic stances. If he chooses to de-
are 0-for-4 in general elections after
the same stimulative effect as a rate
shire was the public's disgust with
cline the offer. he then would be
THOMAS
allowing a challenger more than 35
cut.
wasteful federal spending: the
hard-pressed to explain a run
percent of the New Hampshire pri-
Then implement the Beck Su-
American electorate would strongly
against Mr. Bush.
From page F1
mary vote.
preme Court decision, which holds
support Mr. Bush on this.
So what can Mr. Bush do to pre-
that unions may not force compul-
As for the OMB position, either
serve his seat in the Oval Office?
sory dues for purposes other than
Fourth, make a decision to break
Richard Rahn or Paul Craig Roberts
better than Mr. Buchanan's, there is
Tb re-establish control of the
those directly related to union busi-
the budget deal. and demand a real
would do nicely. Again, the same dy.
every reason to believe he will be
race, the president must focus on
economic growth package. like last
namic is in effect: By merely offer-
thrown out of office in November by
three things: politics, policy and per.
year's DeLay-Wallop Economic
ing them the position, Mr. Bush
sonnel.
Growth and Jobs Creation bill.
could effectively neutralize them for
people weary of big, unresponsive
First, politics. The Bush White
The Bushoisie have
the rest of the campaign.
government.
Finally, personnel. After New
House must go into a political attack
taken a hard shot to
Hampshire, it is clear someone will
Each one of these measures
The presidency is not a reward
mode - but it is not Mr. Buchanan
have to be offered up as a ritual sac.
political, policy and personnel -
whom they should attack: it is the
the solar plexus, but
for good behavior. Mr. Bush doesn't
rifice. Since the president cannot of.
would help shore up Mr. Bush's right
liberal Democratic Congress.
much can be done to
fer up himself by resigning (it would
deserve re-election because he has
flank. and prevent inside-the-
To attack Mr. Buchanan on his
make the rest of the re-election cam-
Beltway conservatives who so far
been endorsed by Ronald Reagan,
personality would be seen as desper-
regain their senses
paign intolerably difficult, and be-
have remained neutral in the intra-
without whom he would not even
ate and mean-spirited: to attack him
sides, Mr. Buchanan didn't actually
mural party brawl. but who now may
on the issues would risk opening up
and their nomination.
have been vice president. The presi-
win the primary), he must do the
be considering lending organ-
Mr. Bush to a legitimate debate chal-
next best thing and fire those who
There is no longer
izational support to Mr. Buchanan
dency is an office through which
lenge. After all. if he's willing to en-
got him into this mess: Office of
from joining the open opposition.
people with ideas are supposed to
gage Mr. Buchanan rhetorically
through television advertisements.
any doubt they have
Management and Budget Director
The Bushoisie have taken a hard
lead, securing our present and offer-
Richard Darman and Treasury Sec-
why shouldn't he be willing to debate
shot to the solar plexus. but much
ing new hope, achievable goals and,
gotten the message.
retary Nicholas Brady.
in person?
can be done to regain their senses
yes, a vision for the future.
Moreover. the only way Mr. Bush
The question now is,
Their advice to him to break his
and their nomination. There is no
could credibly attack Mr. Buchanan
"No New Taxes" which, for
longer any doubt they have gotten
would be from the left: and though
what do they intend
some reason, he now claims never to
the message.
there were many signals coming out
have made, despite videotape to the
The question now is, what do they
to do about it?
P
resident Bush needs the politi-
of the New Hampshire results. the
contrary and to sign the budget
intend to do about it?
cal equivalent of a sawdust
need to move left is not one of them.
trail experience. He must be-
In fact. just the opposite is true.
(The Bushoisie will be sorely
I'M MAKING
FOUR
READMY
come a new person, repenting of his
tempted to run against Mr. Bu-
chanan in the South by dredging up
IT
OFFICIAL.
MORE
WILLIE HORTON
past behavior and attitudes, and
adopting a completely different
Mr. Buchanan's opposition to the
YEARS!
IS STILL IN
style.
Persian Gulf war. At all costs, Mr.
JALL!..
Bush should avoid this. Exit polling
from New Hampshire showed clear-
He is up against a prize fighter in
ly that the war is no longer a voting
Pat Buchanan. If he doesn't fight
issue: Just 7 percent of GOP pri-
back, he risks becoming an embar-
mary voters considered it important
rassment to himself and of no use to
at all.
What Mr. Bush's advisers should
his party.
be much more concerned with is
how to counter Mr. Buchanan's sure-
How pitiful that the approval rat-
to-come attacks in the South against
ing for the hero of Desert Storm has
Mr. Bush's cave-in on quotas.)
DESERT
BETTER
WHAT WOULD
plummeted in just a year to a point
Inslead, Mr. Bush should go after
the Congress with a vengeance.
STORM!
Very
YOU
LIKE
where Mr. Bush is now fighting for
He should chuck his March 20
WHAT
CAN
TOHEAR?
his political survival, and that a Con-
deadline immediately. After New
SAY?
gress that once feared his power now
Hampshire, Hill Democrats smell
doesn't need to return his phone
blood in the water anyway. and they
calls.
won't be in any mood to compromise.
Pat Buchanan offered red meat to
if they ever were.
New Hampshire voters. If George
Bush doesn't quickly start doing the
Bill Pascoe is a political consul-
same, he'll be dead meat come No-
tant and a columnist for The Wash-
vember.
ington Times.
CAL THOMAS
If Messrs. Darman and Brady
The people of New Hampshire,
hat was no gentle wake-
up call that Pat Bu-
Red meat and
had truly been loyal to the president,
Republicans and Democrats, have
T
they would not have recommended a
shouted their opposition to big gov-
chanan gave George
policy that traded away the presi-
ernment and the higher taxes
Bush's White House. It
dent's most important pledge in ex-
needed to operate it They know that
was a blaring smoke
change for nothing. Watching their
limousine liberals like House
alarm. The Bush admin-
ted even before the general election
a reality check
plan fail, they should have had
Speaker Thomas Foley, Ways and
istration is on fire, and it had better
enough integrity to quit. That they
Means Committee Chairman Dan
respond quickly or it risks being gut-
remain in office demonstrates their
Rostenkowski (who has proposed in-
interest in self-preservation, not
creasing the top tax rate to 35 per-
in November.
preservation of the administration.
cent), and Senate Majority Leader
Most "experts" say Mr. Buchanan
George Mitchell care more about
cannot win the Republican nomina-
Mr. Bush needs to take immedi-
take. He should fire the twin archi-
their own pay and perks than jobs for
tion. Maybe not, but Mr. Bush can
ate, dramatic steps to persuade the
tects of that disaster, White House
lose the election to the Democrats. If
Budget Director Richard Darman
Mr. Bush is up
average Americans. That's why Paul
country that he not only has real
Tsongas finished first for the Demo-
the administration thinks only of
ideas for fighting the Democrats,
and Treasury Secretary Nicholas
against a prize fighter
crats and President Bush was weak-
winning the nomination and ignores
but that he also no longer intends to
Brady.
ened by Mr. Buchanan.
the larger challenge of developing
flee from principles, such as his bud-
It is said the president regards
in Pat Buchanan. If
loyalty as a supreme character qual-
If Mr. Bush thinks he can blun'
strategies to defeat the Democrats,
get compromise that gave us higher
it is finished and so is the re-
taxes and increased spending.
ity. But he should remember that
he doesn't fight back,
Mr. Buchanan's challenge by con
structuring of the Supreme Court.
loyalty to ideas is more becoming
tinuing to ridicule him as he did, ht
The president should immedi-
than loyalty to people who have ideas
he risks becoming an
is in for even bigger trouble. Like
perhaps the most important accom-
ately acknowledge that the budget
him or not. Mr. Buchanan talk:
plishment of the Reagan-Bush
that don't work, or have no ideas at
agreement with Congress was a mis-
embarrassment to
ideas. And if Mr. Bush doesn't re
years.
all.
himself and of no use
spond with specific ideas that are
see THOMAS, page F4
Cal Thomas is a nationally syndi-
to his party.
cated columnist.
The Washington Times
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
PHYLLIS SCHLAFLY
Course outline for a
blackboard empire
ducation has emerged as a
E
federal money flow will drive the
less about academic achievement
national issue in a very
than about attitudes, feelings and
ents as Teachers." but which many
process.
short historical time frame
people call the "Teachers as Par-
America 2000 also pays lip ser-
values - an area where social and
That speed in itself is news-
ents" program. Americans abso-
vice to the principle of parental
political biases so easily replace ob-
worthy; the U.S. Department of Edu-
choice in schools, but that is an illu-
jectivity.
lutely don't want that kind of Big
cation only dates from the Jimmy
Brother society
sive concept in the official prospec-
America 2000 has a concept of
Carter administration in the 1970s.
What Newsweek Curse
tus. Anyway, the U.S. Senate on a
"school" that not only includes
and Ronald Reagan was elected in
of Self-Esteem" is spreading
party-line vote removed the school
absorbing private schools into its
1980, promising to abolish it.
through the public schools a whole
choice section from the education
system, but also includes expanding
Yet now, in 1992. George Bush is
lot faster than America 2000 or aca
bill, leaving it essentially a Ken
the public schools in order to "par-
campaigning to be the "Education
demic reform of any kind. The folly
nedy-Metzenbaum big-spending
ent" children through their pre-
President." Big money and policy
bill.
of this fad was best illustrated by the
school years, in their after-school
changes are implicit in that promise.
comic strip kid who told his stuffed
There is considerable evidence
hours, and to provide non-school ser-
The centerpiece of the Bush ad
animal pal, "I quit doing homework.
that America 2000 advocates really
vices. America 2000 wants to trans-
ministration's education drive is a
Homework is bad for my self-
form public schools into baby-sitters
concept called "America 2000."
esteem. It sends the message that I
for pre-kindergarten kids, and into
Whatever this means, we can be sure
don't know enough. Instead of trying
it includes spending more federal
America 2000 wants to
social service centers to provide
to learn, I'm just concentrating on
meals, health care (probably includ-
taxpayer dollars.
liking myself the way 1 am."
transform public schools
ing the controversial kinds). coun-
America 2000 is the catchword to
To the question as to how his self-
seling and guidance.
"restructure" our 110,000 elemen-
into baby-sitters
With the failure of centralized
esteem could be "enhanced by re-
tary and secondary schools into a
maining an ignoramus," the child re-
national system by means of na
for pre-kindergarten
bureaucracies all over the world, it
plies, "Just call me informationally
is truly amazing that a Republican
tional goals, national standards, na-
impaired." Maybe that's the name of
kids, and into social
administration is trying to drive the
tional tests, national teacher certifi-
a new "disability" that will entitle
education "bus" headlong into a
cation, national report cards, new
service centers.
the kid to job under the Americans
vastly more centralized and feder-
model national schools, nearly a bil-
With Disabilities Act.
ally controlled system than our na-
lion dollars of additional national
tion has ever had.
America 2000 is fundamentally
funding to conform the schools to the
flawed because (A) it doesn't ad-
national agenda, national scholar-
don't want parents to have a private
How else can one read America
dress the biggest problem in
ships, and national awards and re-
school option at all, but instead want
2000's No. One goal: "All children in
schools, namely, the failure to teach
America will start school ready to
wards for those who cooperate. Lip
to turn all private schools into public
first-grade children to read, (B) it
service is paid to local control, but
schools. America 2000 seeks confor-
learn.' This goal is buttressed by a
lot of warm, fuzzy rhetoric about
doesn't address the second-biggest
the more we study the America 2000
mity to nationally regulated stan-
problem in education, the substitu-
prospectus, the more we conclude
dards and wants to anoint with tax
"early intervention strategies" and
tion of psychological pap for the ba-
dollars only those schools that are
"early childhood development."
that locally elected school boards
"held accountable by a public
Will government agents go into
sics, and (C) it heads the public
will become irrelevant because the
school system in the direction of
authority."
the homes and dictate how preschool
tighter monopoly control instead of
National tests will inevitably pre-
children are raised - and then
opening it up to parental choice.
scribe a national curriculum. Who
snitch on parents who reject the gov.
It's time for American parents to
Phyllis Schlafly is a nationally
will write the tests? Early indica-
ernment's "suggestions"? This sort
rebel and demand some glasnost and
syndicated columnist.
tions are that national tests will be
of thing is already being experi-
perestroika in our taxpayer-fi-
mented with under the name "Par-
nanced schools.
House panel OKs
six-month halt to
return of Haitians
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
debate," one official said.
The House Judiciary Committee,
Normally, aliens who test positive
ignoring a veto threat from the Bush
for HIV are not permitted to emi-
administration, voted 21-12 yester-
grate to the United States. But of.
day to impose a six-month mor-
ficials said the administration has
atorium on returning Haitian boat
the option of granting waivers.
people to their homeland.
The officials said the 230 or so
The measure would bar further
HIV-positive cases were found
repatriations of more than 10,000
among the first 3,440 Haitians who
Haitians being detained at the U.S.
were tested at Guantanamo.
naval base at Guantanamo Bay,
Democrats on the Judiciary Com-
Cuba. It would apply to those de-
mittee argued that the State Depart-
tained before Feb. 5.
ment doesn't have enough informa-
The vote to send the bill to the full
tion to justify its assertion that
House was generally along party
Haitians forced to return have not
lines.
been persecuted by the military re-
Meanwhile, U.S. officials are puz-
gime that toppled President Jean-
zled about how to deal with at least
Bertrand Aristide's elected govern-
230 Haitian refugees who may be
ment in September.
eligible for political asylum in the
"If the State Department is
United States. They have tested posi-
wrong, people are going to die," said
tive for the human immunodefiency
Rep. Mike Kopetski, Oregon Demo-
virus, which causes AIDS.
crat.
Many of the refugees in this cate-
But Republicans argued that the
gory have been flown to the United
bill would only encourage more Hai-
States, but those who tested positive
tians to flee their homeland on rick-
for HIV during medical tests at
ety boats that are intercepted by
Guantanamo were left behind.
Coast Guard cutters between Haiti
U.S. officials, speaking on the con-
and Cuba.
dition that they not be identified,
Rep. Lamar Smith, Texas Repub-
said the administration was trying to
lican, voicing the Bush administra-
decide whether to allow the infected
tion's position, said the bill "will send
Haitians to pursue their asylum
false hope to Haitians who will
claims in the United States or at
quickly jump on unsafe boats and
Guantanamo
make the treacherous journey to
"There's been a tremendous
U.S. shores."
The Washington Times
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
INSIDE THE
TWAY
Close to home
Loaded for bear
It's not particularly surprising
The Bush-Quayle '92 Committee
that Senate Majority Leader
has filed its latest report with the
George Mitchell blasted a Congres-
Federal Elections Commission
sional Budget Office report on job
showing cash on hand of over $8.8
losses that will result from defense
million. The campaign took in more
cuts. The report, commissioned by
than $4 million in January, about
Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole,
half of it in matching funds.
shows that closing the Bath Iron
On the administration side, the
Works in Mr. Mitchell's home state
rumor mill reported yesterday that
of Maine would put 11,000 people
Bobbie Kilberg, presidential assis-
out of work and raise the state's un-
tant for public liaison, had been
employment by 1.7 percent. The
given walking papers after too
bulk of support for the cuts comes
many disagreements with Chief of
from Mr. Mitchell's side of the
Staff Sam Skinner. The White
aisle.
House had no comment, but one
Blasting the CBO report in pub-
source familiar with the situation
lic was Mr. Mitchell's second
said it's more likely that "Mrs. Kil-
choice. His first choice, according
berg's portfolio has been nar-
to sources on Capitol Hill, was to
rowed." The White House also had
kill the report before it reached the
no comment on a report that a
public. The sources said Mr. Mitch-
moderate pro-lifer, Mimi Weyforth
ell approached the CBO through
Dawson, had been hired to build CO-
an intermediary after learning that
alitions.
the report targeted cuts in his area
October Surprise" maven Gary Sick
as well as cuts in areas represented
was blindsided by Village Voice.
Housing crisis
by House Majority Leader Richard
Gephardt and House Budget Com-
The Houstonian Hotel and Con-
mittee Chairman Leon Panetta.
house of cards has tumbled into a
ference Center, where President
But the report couldn't be killed
heap with an exhaustive expose in
Bush maintains a suite as his offi-
because it had been commissioned
the Village Voice bearing out much
cial residence for tax and voting
by Mr. Dole. Had it been some no-
of what right-wing critics have
purposes, has filed for Chapter 11
sey Democrat who wanted to know
been saying.
bankruptcy protection. Texas
the cost in jobs of the defense cuts,
The Voice article is particularly
Democrats, who have long crit-
Mr. Mitchell undoubtedly could
noteworthy because it is by Frank
icized Mr. Bush's use of the state as
have twisted arms.
Snepp, a rogue CIA agent. Basi-
a tax haven when he hardly ever
"The report is an obvious politi-
cally, Mr. Snepp documents a con-
comes to visit, declared that the
cal effort against three Democratic
spiracy to mislead former Carter
bankruptcy may help Mr. Bush fi-
leaders in Congress," Mr. Mitchell
aide Gary Sick. "Several members
nally understand the economic
said. He described the report as an
of this group got caught in a U.S.
troubles affecting millions of other
"unfortunate effort and a waste of
Customs sting in 1986, which left
Americans.
taxpayers' money."
them with an incentive to pay back
Actually, the filing doesn't shut
Mr. Dole feels the report shows
the Republicans and George Bush,"
down the hotel but merely calls for
that "the anti-defense forces on
Mr. Snepp says.
a reorganization of the way it pays
Capitol Hill can talk all they want
One of the kingpins in the cha-
its debts.
rade was Richard Brenneke.
about scrapping weapons systems,
but when you're talking about de-
Thanks to a disgruntled girlfriend,
Public ceremonies
fense cuts you're really talking
the Voice was able to examine
about 8,000 pages of Mr. Bren-
The week beginning on Valen-
about cutting jobs and crippling
neke's notes, diaries and phone rec-
tine's Day would henceforth be
communities."
But now that the Cold War is
ords, not to mention extensive tape
known as "National Condom
recordings of conversations with
Awareness Week" under terms of a
over, why waste money on needless
military matters? "The world is
other "earnest souls and pretend-
bill introduced by Rep. Ted Weiss,
ers" caught up in the myth-making.
New York Dumocrat, who wants
still a dangerous place," Mr. Dole
Curiously, all the material had
the event observed with "appropri-
said.
previously been offered to Rep. Lee
ate ceremonies, educational activ-
Hamilton, leader of the House ef-
ities and programs designed to
Some surprise
fort to unearth a "surprise." The
increase public awareness regard-
The ranks supporting the Octo-
material was brushed off with a
ing the availability and proper use
ber Surprise theory are thinning
form letter.
of condoms" in the prevention of
dramatically. Initially it was the
The article refutes Mr. Sick's
disease.
more conservative critics who were
claim that he confirmed his story
Addressing the problem of sex-
calling it 8 lot of hogwash to sug-
through independent sources. Mr.
ually transmitted diseases among
gest that Ronald Reagan's minions
Snepp demonstrates that the
young people, Mr. Weiss said that
set up a deal with Iran to hold off
sources were linked, or manip-
"luckily, one simple, painless, inex-
release of American hostages until
ulated into an unwitting linkage by
pensive device can protect our
after the 1980 presidential elec-
those who fed them information.
youth and our future."
tions. Then questions began to
"Clearly," Mr. Snepp concludes of
Right, Ted. It's called a zipper.
arise on the left. Now the whole
Mr. Sick's claim, "he had it wrong."
John Elvin
Sullivan defends boss' health care plan
plans that would establish the govern-
Reduction of administrative waste
choice; you limit choice. And managed
By Carleton R. Bryant
ment as the nation's health insurance
and malpractice suits.
care has not worked. Premiums for
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
payer.
. Containment of Medicaid and Medi-
HMOs have gone up at the same rate as
Health Secretary Louis Sullivan yes'
"Any way you look at it, nationalized,
care cost growth, which would be capped
premiums for other health insurance
terday defended President Bush's health
government-run health care is not the
at the rate of inflation plus 2 to 4 percent
premiums."
care budget proposal from a Democratic
American way." Dr. Sullivan said, outlin-
annually.
onslaught in the House Ways and Means
ing the key elements of Mr. Bush's pro-
In his questioning period, Rep. Pete
posal:
"I can't help but disagree totally that
Stark, California Democrat, frequently
Committee.
"We maintain that the president's pro-
Expansion of health care access to
you have anything in this bill that cuts
interrupted Dr. Sullivan as he tried to
posal is the only one that won't raise
include uninsured lower- and middle-
cost said Rep. Marty Russo, Illinois
answer, forcing the committee chairman
taxes. We don't propose to cut Medi-
income Americans by providing tax
Democrat. "There's nothing in your bill;
to call the hearing to order several times.
care," Dr. Sullivan told the lawmakers.
credits for health insurance.
you thrown away all the major ways we
Mr. Stark charged that neither Mr.
Encouragement of health care cus-
can deal with cost containment.
But House Democrats blasted Mr.
Bush nor Dr. Sullivan, head of the De-
Bush's plan, saying it is inadequately
tomers to shop around for inexpensive
"This idea of managed care, coordinat-
partment of Health and Human Services,
funded, contains no cost-saving mea-
coverage such as health maintenance
ing care; why don't we tell it what it is.
had presented a properly worded bill for
sures, and will undoubtedly cut into
organizations, or HMOs - to reduce
It's managed care. It limits choice," Mr.
Congress to consider. "Where is your
Medicare and Medicaid. They endorsed
costs.
Russo said. "You say you give greater
bill?" he asked.
The Washington Times
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1992
Major tests loom for Democratic 5
campaign to match Mr. Clinton's fund-
ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) The Demo-
raising and organizational strengths.
cratic presidential race is entering a crit-
Mr. Clinton, for example, has strong
ical and crowded three-week stretch that
organizations in Georgia and South Caro-
will test the organizational muscle of Bill
lina, where Mr. Tsongas had but one
Clinton and the growth potential of Paul
staffer each before New Hampshire. And
Mr. Clinton is well organized across the
Tsongas. As Mr. Clinton and Mr. Tsongas plotted
South.
strategy, Sens. Bob Kerrey of Nebraska
"If anyone wants to play here, they
and Tom Harkin of Iowa had no such
better bring a big checkbook," Clinton
luxury: South Dakota's primary on Tues-
Florida director Jeff Eller said as Mr.
day likely will be a make-or-break elec-
Clinton spoke at an Orlando rally
Wednesday.
tion for both.
Former California Gov. Jerry Brown is
Mr. Tsongas has Little organization to
promising to keep his low-budget cam-
speak of in Florida, Texas and other Su-
paign alive through the Democratic na-
per Tuesday states.
But he hopes to bring those states into
tional convention in July but has yet to
prove his candidacy will garner signifi-
play by wounding Mr. Clinton a week ear-
lier on March 3, when primaries and cau-
cant support.
The candidates barely had left New
cuses are held in Maryland, Minnesota,
Washington, Idaho, Utah, Colorado and
Hampshire when it became clear the
first casualty of the field's new ranking
Georgia. Only Georgia among them is
considered a near-certain Clinton state.
might be the friendship Arkansas Gov.
Mr. Tsongas is targeting Maryland, his
Clinton and former Massachusetts Sen.
Tsongas developed over the past five
first post-New Hampshire stop, Wash-
ington and perhaps Colorado, in addition
months.
to South Dakota next week.
"I hope the debate can be kept on a
high plane," said Mr. Clinton, who pointed
Mr. Clinton suggested in an interview
to his 11 years as a chief executive and
Wednesday that he viewed Colorado as a
programs aimed at helping the middle
Democratic presidential hopeful Paul Tsongas, a former Massachusetts Baltimore. senator,
battleground and appeared intent on
class as his strengths against Mr. Tson-
shows off his conservative tie during a campaign stop Wednesday in
lowering his expectations in Maryland,
where he led in pre-New Hampshire
gas.
Mr. Clinton criticized the former Mas-
Clinton favors on grounds of fairness and
sachusetts senator for adopting sort of
Mr. Clinton said.
Mr. Tsongas opposes as the wrong pre-
polls. Tweaking Mr. Tsongas, Mr. Clinton
air of moral superiority" in insisting only
"As you know, we've been good
friends," Mr. Tsongas said of Mr. Clinton.
scription for the economy.
said Maryland should be friendly to Mr.
his proposals made any sense.
"That will now be tested."
The pivotal question to be answered by
Tsongas because of "the upper-middle-
"There's a lot of difference between
It's time to "go head to head on eco-
the Super Tuesday block of Southern pri-
class people who support his argument
putting a planout to the American people
maries March 10 will be whether Mr.
that the only way you can restore eco-
and having a proven ability to galvanize
nomics," Mr. Tsongas said Wednesday.
Tsongas can turn momentum from his
nomic vitality in this country is to weigh
people and change people's lives and en-
On that terrain, their biggest differ-
ence is over the middle-class tax cut Mr.
New Hampshire victory into a national
down on the middle class a little harder."
ergize and challenge people to do things,"
Candidates beating
bushes for funding
donations and raised another $200,000 to
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Cash-hungry candidates are being forced
$300,000 at three fund-raisers Wednesday
to devote extra attention to the presidential
night in New York Greek-American commu-
money chase as they enter a critical three-
nities, aides said.
week stretch that will settle delegate contests
The one-day haul was more than the
in more than half the states.
$250,000 Mr. Tsongas netted in the entire
President Bush and Democrat Bill Clinton
third quarter of last year, when he Lagged at
lead the pack in fund-raising as the candi-
the bottom of most polls. And it complements
dates move beyond New Hampshire, while
another $250,000 the campaign reported rais-
Patrick Buchanan and Paul Tsongasa cash-
ing in the last 10 days of January when his
ing in on their strong showings in the first
popularity began rising.
Mr. Tsongas is also seeing increased sup-
primary. But none of the campaigns is flush with
port from Greek-Americans, who gave heav-
money. They' generally been pinched by the
ily to Michael Dukakis' unsuccessful bid in
recession, the campaign's slow start and do-
1988 but were reluctant to get behind Mr.
nor confusion over a muddled field.
Tsongas until he began rising in the polls,
"You saw past campaigns come out of New
spokeswoman Peggy Connolly said.
Hampshire with several million dollars still in
"It's finally nice to go to the mailbox," she
hand, but there isn't a candidate like that this
said. "Five thousand dollars would have been
year," said Steve Jarding, a spokesman for Ne-
a nice month during the summer. Well now
braska Sen. Bob Kerrey.
that's just the first half-hour of the day."
"This year, everyone is coming out with a
But Mr. Tsongas still lags behind most of
few hundred thousand dollars and you have to
the other Democrats, having raised just $1.06
million all of last year.
Mr. Buchanan raised about $2.5 million
Mr. Buchanan and Mr.
since he entered the GOP race in December,
and his campaign reports that donations have
Tsongas face a golden
accelerated after his strong second-place
opportunity in the next two
showing in New Hampshire.
"The day of the primary was our biggest
weeks to exploit their
mail day ever. We pulled in about $140,000,"
said Steve Glynn, Mr. Buchanan's deputy cam-
anti-establishment images.
paign treasurer.
Mr. Bush entered the year having raised
about $10 million and added another $1.6 mil-
raise a few hundred thousand dollars to get
lion in January but he's still substantially be-
low the $18.7 million he started with four
ahead"
Getting ahead will be a top priority for the
years ago.
campaigns as they enter one of the most ex-
"Given the fact of the late start and a tough
pensive stretches of the primary season
recession, we're pretty pleased with the re-
caucuses and primaries are on tap through
sults," said Bush campaign spokeswoman
March 10.
Torie Clark.
Roger Craver, a veteran Democratic fund.
Mr. Clinton's campaign says it hopes to
raiser, said Mr. Buchanan and Mr. Tsongas
reach the $7 million mark by the end of Feb-
face a golden opportunity in the next two
ruary, but that still trails the $10.6 million Mr.
weeks to exploit their "maverick anti-
Dukakis started with in 1988.
establishment" images and boost their cof-
Mr. Clinton, the Arkansas governor, has
fers with contributions from "thinking per-
maintained the Democratic fund-raising lead
sons who are tired of business as usual."
despite questions of character that dominated
Mr. Tsongas' fund-raising was so slow late
his campaign in the last month, said his fi-
last year that he was forced to borrow money
nance director, Rahm Emanuel
to make television ads, but his fortunes have
Mr. Clinton has raised nearly $2.7 million
taken a quick turn for the better with his New
since January, and his campaign expects to
Hampshire victory.
raise another $1 million by the end of this
On Wednesday, the former Massachusetts
month with a fund-raising tour that includes
senator received nearly $100,000 in mailed
stops in Florida, Georgia and California.
Bush Presidential Library Photocopy
February 21
192
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