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Outer Continental Shelf, 1975: Options Paper
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1524208
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Outer Continental Shelf, 1975: Options Paper
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1975-03-31
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The original documents are located in Box 32, folder "Outer Continental Shelf, 1975: Options Paper" of the Glenn R. Schleede Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. CANADA THE INTERIOR TERIOR United States Department of the Interior OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY March 1849 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20240 3. March 12, 1975 MEMORANDUM TO: JAMES M. CANNON EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF THE DOMESTIC COUNCIL SUBJECT: Option Paper on Sharing Outer Continental Shelf Revenues Attached is a new version of the option paper prepared by my staff on sharing Outer Continental Shelf revenues with States. This version includes additional options by request of Jim Lynn of OMB. Royston Assistant Royston C. Secretary Hughes C. Hughes : Program Development and Budget Attachment CC: James T. Lynn Director, OMB FORD if LIBRARY GERALD (3/12/75) OPTION PAPER [Dept. Interior) Sharing Outer Continental Shelf Revenues with States An accelerated leasing program has been initiated on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) to open up frontier oil and gas prospects and provide a badly needed supplement to domestic onshore production. Coastal States are troubled by the prospect of accelerated leasing off their shores because they would have to bear the brunt of certain costs of development while the entire Nation receives the benefit of increased domestic supplies of oil and gas. Coastal State concerns about OCS development involve: - environmental damages, including possible oil spills FORD is LIBRARY GERALD - esthetic impacts - economic effects, including possible disorderly development, injury to existing industry, and the burden of providing new public services. To meet these concerns, the Federal Government has already proposed increased planning money for the Coastal Zone Management Act, and is developing a Comprehensive Oil Spill Liability bill. It has, however, up to now opposed providing Coastal States with a share of OCS revenues on the grounds that - - OCS revenues belong to all the Nation, and their revenues should benefit all citizens - a number of Federal programs already exist which provide assistance to States in ameliorating impacts of development - sharing CCS revenues with Coastal States would reduce the amount of revenues available to support other Federal expenditures and require compensating adjustment elsewhere in the Federal budget - onshore development induced by offshore activities will eventually provide State and local governments with an increased tax base to finance necessary public facilities, so that there may be no need for a long-term sharing program for impact aid - States' rights to revenues from öffshore minerals leasing were legislatively determined in the Submerged Lands Act of 1953 which gave States complete jurisdiction over the first three miles of seabed, but nothing beyond - sources of opposition to OCS leasing are varied, and not all might be eliminated by sharing of revenues However, there are reasons for reconsidering this position. - failure to respond to State concerns could solidify opposition which would postpone leasing in frontier OCS areas and delay receipt of the National benefits of accelerated development. GERALD FORD LIBRARY In Federal revenues alone, the loss in discounted-value terms of even a one-year delay would be about $2.9 billion - there may be a valid need for Federal assistance now that frontier OCS areas will be opened. For example, "front-end" money would help State and local governments begin building public facilities before OCS developments provide an increased tax base on which to finance such expenditures - the three-mile state jurisdiction is of little revenue value to States in frontier areas such as the Atlantic Coast, where oil and gas reserves are all located farther offshore - shared revenues could give Coastal States a financial stake in prompt OCS development - sharing OCS revenues would be consistent with various onshore sharing precedents, notably the Minerals Leasing Act which gives affected States 37 1/2 percent of Federal leasing revenues - Congressional action on shared revenues is possible regardless of the Administration position There are three general approaches to providing funds to States: - provide money for impact-amelioration projects--tie use of funds to specific purposes which underwrite costs faced by States as a result of CCS activity - provide formula-based, no strings money to States affected by OCS activity--make funds available which are sufficient to keep Coastal States from being worse off on balance as a result of OCS activity, and distribute these revenues generally in accordance with expected impacts, but leave to the States the decision as to how to use the money - provide an "ownership" stake in OCS development through a share of Federal revenues--distribute a proportion of revenues without direct regard to expected impacts, perhaps to both inland and Coastal States 2 Option I: Coastal State Impact Aid Description This option provides funds to Coastal States to ameliorate negative impacts of OCS development - some modest proportion of Federal OCS revenues, would fund grants to Coastal States - funds would be made available soon enough for "front-end" costs, not delayed until actual offshore production starts - grants could be distributed either by formula based on general GERALOR FORD LIBRARY indices of impacts, or by project after a showing of specific impacts, or both - grants could either require State matching or provide full Federal funding, and could be limited to needs not met by existing Federal grant programs Program Effects Favorable: - the option would focus specifically on ameliorating onshore impacts of OCS development, and reduce them as a barrier to accelerated leasing in frontier areas - the use of grant funds would be tied directly to impacts - budget outlays would be modest by comparison with the other options considered Unfavorable: - mere amelioration of impacts might be insufficient to lead Coastal States to accept OCS development - the grants might be opposed on grounds that OCS revenues are a National asset and should not be disbursed only to Coastal States - clear identification and measurement of impacts for purposes of awarding grants would be administratively difficult 3 - the impact rationale focuses assistance efficiently on future impacts but makes no allowance for past impacts, which may seem inequitable to States where OCS leasing has already occurred - the option would not address the energy impact concerns of inland States, and might appear to single out Coastal States for special treatment, although inland States already receive 37 1/2 percent of Federal revenues from minerals leasing within their boundaries Three specific variants of this option warrant particular attention. Option Ia: Formula Impact Aid Description This variant would distribute among Coastal States a fixed percentage of Federal OCS revenues without time limit or annual dollar ceiling - 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues would be deposited in the impact aid fund - alternatively, as in a current congressional proposal, the fund would be financed by 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues or 40 cents per barrel of oil, whichever is greater, although the structure of Federal revenues (bonus plus royalties) would complicate the 40 cents per barrel calculation - grants would be distributed by formula based on general indicators of impact Program Effects GERALD FORD VIBRARY Favorable: - 10 percent funding as long as Federal revenues continued would provide a continuing source of funds to meet Coastal State impact needs whenever they arose - 10 percent funding would be ample to meet currently anticipated needs thereby reassuring Coastal States that their impact concerns would be sufficiently provided for Unfavorable: - 10 percent funding might result in distributing more money than strict impact accounting would require 4 Budget Outlays Impact aid for Coastal States equal to 10 percent of Federal revenues would range between $141 million and $724 million per year between 1975 and 1985, based on current production estimates. Revenue distribution by State would depend on the project eligibility rules or the distribution formula adopted, but if properly administered would closely approximate the distribution of actual impacts. More detailed projections of the budget outlays under this option and those that follow are provided in the attached tables. Option Ib: Targeted Impact Aid Description This variation would provide impact aid to Coastal States under terms that would link the aid directly to the alleviation of negative impacts: - the fund would be limited to a total of $600 million to be built up from bonus receipts at $100 million per year - aid to impacted communities for public capital investment would be made in the form of 50 percent grant and 50 percent loan funds - the balance of the fund not spent on actual, demonstrated impacts would revert to the Treasury after 15 years. Program Effects GERALD FORD CIBRARY Favorable: - the timing and jurisdictions receiving aid would be directly tied to impacts - the loan feature would reduce the likelihood of overbuilding public facilities - the aid would be cut off after 15 years, which should be ample time to meet impact needs Unfavorable: - clear identification and measurement of impacts for purposes of awarding grants would require complex eligibility criteria and administrative review - grant amounts might appear to Coastal States to make inadequate provision for their anticipated needs 5 Budget Outlays Impact aid under this variation of Option I would be limited to $100 million annually or less. The distribution by state would depend on the distribution of demonstrated impacts. Option Ic: Combination Impact Aid Description Under this variation of Option I, funds would be allocated to Coastal States by formula but allocated funds would be paid out only for demonstrated need. - the fund would be built by a deposit of 2 1/2 percent of annual OCS lease revenues for a period of 10 years - revenues in the fund would be allocated to the 22 Coastal States by formula, giving an equal share to each state - aid payments would be made to states out of this allocation when triggered by a showing of need - aid payments would be available as grants and loans - the balance of funds not expended on need would revert to the Treasury after 15 years. GERALO, FORD LIBRARY Program Effects Favorable: - equal shares would provide more aid per capita to the less populous states, where impacts could be more pronounced - formula aid would determine, in an administratively easy way, the maximum amount a state could get Unfavorable: - equal sharing by Coastal States could lead to a misallocation of resources because of impacts in rural areas of large, populous states Budget Outlays The outlays under Option Ic, as projected by OMB, would reach $100 million a year, totalling $600 million. At 2 1/2 percent of OCS revenues, $1,120 million would be available if needs exceeded that projection. 6 Option II: Coastal State Impact Aid and Production Shares Description In addition to the impact grants of Option Ia, this option includes payment to Coastal States of 5 percent of the value of OCS oil and gas which is brought cashore within their boundaries. - the 5 percent share of the value of oil and gas would be approximately equal to 37 1/2 percent of the minimum allowable OCS royalty; thus setting production shares at 5 percent would assure that those shares never constituted a higher proportion of Federal OCS revenues than the proportion of leasing revenues currently paid to States for onshore minerals - basing the payment on the value of oil and gas rather than on the Federal royalty income itself is intended to prevent the level of royalties from becoming a political issue, and retain needed flexibility in financial terms for leases - the base for figuring the 5 percent payments could be limited, if desired, to "new oil" only, or to production above the level of a base period, say 1974 Program Effects GERALD FORD LIBRARY Favorable: - the 5 percent production share adds to the front-end program of Option I a continuing source of funds for the effects of bringing OCS oil ashore - making payments dependent on taking oil ashore would give the States an increased stake in OCS development off their shores, while it still targets payments on the areas which would feel impacts Unfavorable: - like Option I, this Option is subject to the objection that revenues from a National resource would be distributed only to selected States - outlays under this Option would be substantially greater than under Option I 7 Budget Outlays This Option would add to the costs of Option Ia an amount equal to 5 percent of the value of oil produced, or between $240 million and $834 million per year over. the years 1975 to 1985. The total amount shared would reach $1112 million per year by the end of the period Option III: Coastal State Production Shares plus Nationally Shared Revenues Description This Option would combine the 5 percent Coastal State production shares of Option II with an additional sharing of Federal OCS revenues with all States. - the additional National sharing would be 37 1/2 percent of all Federal OCS revenues minus the 5 percent Coastal State production share. Thus, total revenues shared in the two parts of the program would amount to 37 1/2 percent of all Federal OCS revenues, the same proportion that is now shared with States in onshore leasing programs - the National shares could be distributed among States on a per capita basis, or by the General Revenue Sharing formula. The per capita basis emphasizes the idea that OCS reserves belong to all citizens, while the General Revenue Sharing formula makes use of an existing method for distributing Federal funds to States, although that method could itself become a source of controversy in the future Program Effects GERATO FORD (IBRAR) Favorable: - this Option would extend a direct financial stake in OCS leasing and production to inland as well as Coastal States - it would provide some front-end money to Coastal States through their National share, which would become available to them well before the 5 percent payments started as oil was brought onshore - shared revenues would be of maximum value to States since they would not be tied to any particular use and could be applied as States saw fit 8 - the Option would feature a set of sharing formulas which, once established, would be relatively easy to administer Unfavorable: - it would use a substantial amount of Federal funds, perhaps more than strictly necessary to encourage prompt OCS development - it would not recognize any special front-end money needs of OCS-affected Coastal States, but would give them only the same National share as other States until their 5 percent production share became available - it would not require that money shared with Coastal States be used by them to ameliorate impacts, which could work against the Federal interest in smooth development both on and offshore and might not satisfy the impact concerns of some particular groups who could still delay leasing - it would result in a variable, and to a degree, unpredictable flow of funds to States, since OCS bonus revenues fluctuate considerably from sale to sale, though by averaging over more than one year this problem can be eliminated Budget Outlays This Option would distribute 37 1/2 percent of all Federal OCS revenues to States, or between $530 million and $2717 million per year over the period 1975 to 1985. The 5 percent Coastal production share of this total would be $240 million to $834 million per year. The remainder to be distributed among all States would amount to between $106 million and $2344 million per year. Option IV: Coastal State Production Shares, Nationally Shared Revenues, and Nationwide Energy Impact Aid FORD & LIBRARY GERALD Description This Option combines the 5 percent production shares and the 37 1/2 percent nationally shared revenues of Option III with a program of impact aid like that in Option I but available to all States to meet the front-end costs of energy development, both off and onshore. - the total amount paid out would equal 37 1/2 percent of OCS revenues, as in Option III, but this sum would be divided three ways: 5 percent of the value of the oil to Coastal States, up to $500 million (or a like amount) for a nationwide impact grant fund, and the remainder of the 37 1/2 percent for National per capita or General Revenue Sharing distribution 9 - front-end grants would be available to all States on a project or formula basis for all types of energy-related impacts - grants could be limited to needs not met by existing Federal grant programs Program Effects Favorable: - this Option has the advantages of Option III, plus the beneficial effects of impact-related front-end money for all States - it would treat all energy-related impacts consistently, without singling out OCS impacts for special consideration - it would use OCS revenues, which are substantial, to ameliorate energy impacts inland where needs may also be significant - it permits taking advantage of the good features of both project assistance and no-strings-attached revenue sharing - it addresses expressed concerns of Western States about front-end energy development costs, and encourages them to undertake energy developments of National interest Unfavorable: - the timing of the flow of OCS revenues into the nationwide impact aid fund would bear no necessary relationship to the demands on that fund from inland energy development activities - the impact aid fund would have the same administrative problems as the fund in Option I, but on a larger, nationwide scale - combining all three elements in one proposal may make it too complex to be appealing FORD & LIBRARY GERALD Budget Outlays The total amount to be shared with States would be identical to Option III. The only difference would be that some percent of Federal revenues, perhaps up to a ceiling such as $500 million per year, would be earmarked for States experiencing energy development impacts. An impact fund of 10 percent of Federal revenue up to $500 million per year would leave between $0 and $1844 million per year for nationally shared revenues. 10 Table 1 PROJECTIONS OF OCS PRODUCTION, VALUE AND FEDERAL REVENUES Value of Oil Federal Revenues Oil Production Production (millions of dollars) (millions of (millions of Year barrels) dollars) Bonus Royalty (16-2/3%) Total 1975 447 $ 4,792 $6,000 799 $6,799 1976 476 5,103 6,000 851 6,851 1977 506 5,424 6,000 904 6,904 1978 601 6,443 6,000 1,074 7,074 1979 696 7,461 6,000 1,244 7,244 1980 791 8,480 I 1,413 1,413 1981 944 10,120 - 1,687 1,687 1982 1,097 11,760 - 1,960 1,960 1983 1,250 13,400 I 2,234 2,234 1984 1,403 15,040 - 2,507 2,507 1985 1,557 16,691 - 2,782 2,782 Assumptions: 1. Production at levels corresponding to Project Independence Report. 2. Oil priced at $8 per barrel and gas priced at $0.70 per thousand cubic feet, giving a total value 1.34 times the value of oil production. 3. 16-2/3 percent royalty collected on all production from Federal OCS lands. FORD if LIBRARY GERALD Table 2 SUMMARY OF PAYMENTS TO STATES UNDER FOUR OPTIONS (millions of dollars) Option Ia Option II Option III Option IV Coastal Coastal Pro- Pro- Pro- Nationwide State State duction duction National duction Energy National Year Impact Aid Impact Aid Shares Total Shares Shares Total Shares Impact Aid Shares Total 1975 680 680 240 920 240 2310 2550 240 500 1810 2550 1976 685 685 255 940 255 2314 2569 255 500 1814 2569 1977 690 690 271 961 271 2318 2589 271 500 1818 2589 1978 707 707 322 1029 322 2331 2653 322 500 1831 2653 1979 724 724 373 1097 373 2344 2717 373 500 1844 2717 1980 141 141 424 565 424 106 530 424 106 -- 530 1981 169 169 506 675 506 127 633 506 127 -- 633 1982 196 196 588 784 588 147 735 588 147 735 1983 223 223 670 893 670 168 838 670 168 -- 838 1984 251 251 752 1003 752 188 940 752 188 -- 940 1985 278 278 834 1112 834 209 1043 834 209 -- 1043 Definition of options: Option Ia -- Coastal State Impact Aid at 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues. Option II -- Coastal State Impact Aid at 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues. --- Coastal State Production Shares equal to 5 percent of the value of oil landed in each State. Option III -- Coastal State Production Shares equal to 5 percent of the value of oil landed in each State. -- National Shares to all States equal to 37.5 percent of OCS revenues less 5 percent of the value of oil landed. Option IV -- Coastal State Production Shares equal to 5 percent of the value of oil landed in each State. -- Nationwide Energy Impact Aid equal to 10% of OCS revenues not to exceed $500 million per year. --- National Shares to all States equal to 37.5 percent of OCS revenues less 5 percent of the value of oil landed and less 10% of OCS revenues not to exceed $500 million per year (no negative payments to States) GERALD R. FORD LIBRARY Table 3 SUMMARY OF PAYMENTS UNDER VARIANTS OF OPTION I Option Ia Option Ib* Option Ic* 1975 680 -- -- 1976 685 -- -- 1977 690 -- -- 1978 707 50 50 1979 724 50 50 1980 141 100 100 1981 169 100 100 1982 196 100 10C 1983 223 100 100 1984 251 100 100 1985 278 *Note: Payments for Options Ib and Ic are limited to OMB projection of $600 million in expected impacts. Option Ib would have $600 million available whereas Option IIb would have a total of $1120 million. FORD LIBRARY & GERALD Table 4 SUMMARY OF STATES' AND FEDERAL SHARES UNDER FOUR OPTIONS (millions of dollars) OPTION I OPTION II OPTIONS III & IV Total Federal OCS States' Federal States' Federal States' Federal Year Revenues Share Share Share Share Share Share 1975 6799 680 6119 920 5879 2550 4249 1976 6851 685 6166 940 5911 2569 4282 1977 6904 690 6214 961 5943 2589 4315 1978 7074 707 6367 1029 6045 2653 4421 1979 7244 724 6520 1097 6147 2717 4527 1980 1413 141 1272 565 848 530 883 1981 1687 169 1518 675 1012 633 1054 1982 1960 196 1764 784 1176 735 1225 1983 2234 223 2011 893 1341 838 1396 1984 2507 251 2256 1003 1504 940 1567 1985 2782 278 2504 1112 1607 1043 1739 GEBALOR FORD LIBRARY Table 5 REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF PRODUCTION SHARE (millions of dollars) Total OCS Production Year Total Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic 1974 224 215 9 0 0 1975 240 226 14 0 0 1976 255 235 20 0 o 1977 271 247 24 0 0 1978 325 267 48 0 10 1979 373 287 67 0 19 1980 419 305 89 0 25 1981 505 334 116 15 40 1982 589 359 147 24 59 1983 670 382 174 40 74 1984 752 406 203 53 90 1985 844 434 234 67 109 OCS Production Above 1974 Levels Only Year Total Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic 1974 0 0 0 0 0 1975 16 11 5 0 0 1976 31 20 11 0 0 1977 47 32 15 0 0 1978 101 52 39 0 10 1979 149 72 58 0 19 1980 195 90 80 0 25 1981 281 119 107 15 40 1982 365 144 138 24 59 1983 446 167 165 40 74 1984 528 191 194 53 90 1985 620 219 225 67 109 FORD LIBRARY Table 6 DISTRIBUTION OF NATIONAL REVENUE SHARES BY STATES (OPTION III) 1975 Amount by Share by General Amount by General Revenue Share by Population Revenue Sharing Population (millions of Sharing (millions of State (percent) dollars) (percent) dollars) Alabama 1.686 39.058 1.601 37.084 Alaska 0.157 3.642 0.144 3.332 Arizona 0.981 22.713 1.020 23.634 Arkansas 0.971 22.481 1.039 24.063 California 9.817 227.361 10.355 239.833 Colorado 1.161 26.896 1.084 25.099 Connecticut 1.466 33.948 1.346 31.176 Delaware 0.274 6.357 0.302 6.997 D.C. 0.355 8.233 0.422 9.772 Florida 3.659 84.738 3.134 72.587 Georgia 2.281 52.820 2.087 48.336 Hawaii 0.396 9.182 0.437 10.115 Idaho 0.367 8.498 0.395 9.157 Illinois 5.354 124.005 5.079 117.632 Indiana 2.533 58.670 2.033 47.090 Iowa 1.384 32.050 1.324 30.666 Kansas 1.086 25.152 0.922 21.350 Kentucky 1.593 36.884 1.627 37.680 Louisiana 1.794 41.541 2.166 50.157 Maine 0.490 11.345 0.634 14.685 Maryland 1.939 44.918 1.987 46.013 Massachusetts 2.772 64.210 3.256 75.420 Michigan 4.310 99.813 4.203 97.337 Minnesota 1.857 43.009 2.096 48.535 Mississippi 1.087 25.174 1.470 34.045 Missouri 2.267 52.500 1.923 44.538 GERRALD FORD LIBRARY Table 6 (continued) DISTRIBUTION OF NATIONAL REVENUE SHARES BY STATES (OPTION III) 1975 Amount by Share by General Amount by General Revenue Share by Population Revenue Sharing Population (millions of Sharing (millions of State (percent) dollars) (percent) dollars) Montana 0.344 7.957 0.369 8.535 Nebraska 0.735 17.018 0.668 15.464 Nevada 0.261 6.048 0.231 5.353 New Hampshire 0.377 8.730 0.315 7.291 New Jersey 3.508 81.239 3.133 72.549 New Mexico 0.527 12.206 0.628 14.537 New York 8.704 201.580 11.340 262.641 North Carolina 2.513 58.195 2.432 56.318 North Dakota 0.305 7.063 0.306 7.083 Ohio 5.114 118.432 4.082 94.542 Oklahoma 1.269 29.390 1.106 25.609 Oregon 1.060 24.556 1.052 24.357 Pennsylvania 5.672 131.355 5.321 123.233 Rhode Island 0.464 10.738 0.433 10.032 South Carolina 1.299 30.085 1.407 32.587 South Dakota 0.326 7.560 0.400 9.255 Tennessee 1.966 45.536 1.861 43.093 Texas 5.620 130.164 4.853 112.403 Utah 0.551 12.769 0.590 13.664 Vermont 0.221 5.121 0.309 7.145 Virginia 2.293 53.096 2.015 46.663 Washington 1.634 37.844 1.458 33.764 West Virginia 0.855 19.799 0.905 20.966 Wisconsin 2.177 50.425 2.545 58.934 Wyoming 0.168 3.896 0.158 3.656 FORD LIBRARY & 9ERALD STATEM OF THE TERIOR United States Department of the Interior OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY Duval WASHINGTON, D.C. 20240 March 3, 1849 MAR 10 1975 Memorandum To: Executive Director, Domestic Council From: Assistant Secretary- Program Development and Budget Subject: Option Paper on Sharing Outer Continental Shelf Revenues with States I attach the option paper your staff requested we prepare on sharing Outer Continental Shelf revenues with States. A draft was circulated to Treasury, FEA, Commerce (NOAA) and OMB, and the final version incorporates modifications responsive to their comments. Secretary Morton favors Option III as outlined in the paper; FEA also favors Option III (applied to new oil only) and would consider adding Option I as well, but only if actual impacts could be accurately measured; Treasury favors a modified version of Option II (5 percent production shares applied to both new and old oil, but no impact aid) ; and NOAA supports Coastal State impact aid (a feature of Options I, II and IV). Royston Royston C. Hughes C. Hughes Attachment FORD LIBRARY sha THE INTERIOR 'S United States Department of the Interior OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20240 March 1849 MAR 10 1975 Memorandum To: Executive Director, Domestic Council From: Assistant Secretary--Program Development and Budget Subject: Option Paper on Sharing Outer Continental Shelf Revenues with States I attach the option paper your staff requested we prepare on sharing Outer Continental Shelf revenues with States. A draft was circulated to Treasury, FEA, Commerce (NOAA) and OMB, and the final version incorporates modifications responsive to their comments. Secretary Morton favors Option III as outlined in the paper; FEA also favors Option III (applied to new oil only) and would consider adding Option I as well, but only if actual impacts could be accurately measured; Treasury favors a modified version of Option II (5 percent production shares applied to both new and old oil, but no impact aid) ; and NOAA supports Coastal State impact aid (a feature of Options I, II and IV). (sgd) Royston C. Hughes Royston C. Hughes GERALD, FORD LIBRARY Attachment OPTION PAPER Sharing Outer Continental Shelf Revenues with States An accelerated leasing program has been initiated on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) to open up frontier oil and gas prospects and provide a badly needed supplement to domestic onshore production. Coastal States are troubled by the prospect of accelerated leasing off their shores because they would have to bear the brunt of certain costs of development while the entire Nation receives the benefit of increased domestic supplies of oil and gas. Coastal State concerns about OCS development involve: - environmental damages, including possible oil spills GERALD FORD LIBRARA - esthetic impacts - economic effects, including possible disorderly development, injury to existing industry, and the burden of providing new public services. To meet these concerns, the Federal Government has already proposed increased planning money for the Coastal Zone Management Act, and is developing a Comprehensive Oil Spill Liability bill. It has, however, up to now opposed providing Coastal States with a share of OCS revenues on the grounds that - - OCS revenues belong to all the Nation, and their revenues should benefit all citizens - a number of Federal programs already exist which provide assistance to States in ameliorating impacts of development - sharing OCS revenues with Coastal States would reduce the amount of revenues available to support other Federal expenditures and require compensating adjustment elsewhere in the Federal budget - onshore development induced by offshore activities will eventually provide State and local governments with an increased tax base to finance necessary public facilities, so that there may be no need for a long-term sharing program for impact aid - States' rights to revenues from offshore minerals leasing were legislatively determined in the Submerged Lands Act of 1953 which gave States complete jurisdiction over the first three miles of seabed, but nothing beyond - sources of opposition to OCS leasing are varied, and not all might be eliminated by sharing of revenues However, there are reasons for reconsidering this position. - failure to respond to State concerns could solidify opposition which would postpone leasing in frontier OCS areas and delay receipt of the National benefits of accelerated development. In Federal revenues alone, the loss in discounted-value terms of even a one-year delay would be about $2.9 billion. - there may be a valid need for Federal assistance now that frontier OCS areas will be opened. For example, "front-end" money would help State and local governments begin building public facilities before OCS developments provide an increased tax base on which to finance such expenditures - the three-mile state jurisdiction is of little revenue value to States in frontier areas such as the Atlantic Coast, where oil and gas reserves are all located farther offshore - shared revenues could give Coastal States a financial stake in prompt OCS development - sharing OCS revenues would be consistent with various onshore sharing precedents, notably the Minerals Leasing Act which gives affected States 37 1/2 percent of Federal leasing revenues R. GERALD FORD - Congressional action on shared revenues is possible regardless of the Administration position LIBRARY There are three general approaches to providing funds to States: - provide money for impact-amelioration projects--tie use of funds to specific purposes which underwrite costs faced by States as a result of OCS activity - provide formula-based, no strings money to States affected by OCS activity--make funds available which are sufficient to keep Coastal States from being worse off on balance as a result of OCS activity, and distribute these revenues generally in accordance with expected impacts, but leave to the States the decision as to how to use the money - provide an "ownership" stake in OCS development through a share of Federal revenues--distribute a proportion of revenues without direct regard to expected impacts, perhaps to both inland and Coastal States 2 Option I: Coastal State Impact Aid Description This option is similar in some respects to proposals introduced recently in the Congress: - 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues, perhaps with an annual upper limit, would fund grants to Coastal States to ameliorate negative impacts of OCS development - alternatively, the total amount of funds in any year could be based on demonstrated impacts rather than on a percentage of OCS revenues, again possibly up to some limit - funds would be made available soon enough for "front-end" costs, not delayed until actual offshore production starts - States could apply for grants for only a five (perhaps ten) year period, so that the program would phase out after front-end impact aid was no longer needed - grants could be distributed either by formula based on general indices of impacts, or by project after a showing of specific impacts, or both - grants could either require State matching or provide full Federal funding, and could be limited to needs not met by existing Federal grant programs R. FORD Program Effects GERALD Favorable: - the option would focus specifically on ameliorating onshore impacts of OCS development, and reduce them as a barrier to accelerated leasing in frontier areas - the use of grant funds would be tied directly to impacts - budget outlays would be modest by comparison with the other options considered Unfavorable: - mere amelioration of impacts might be insufficient to lead Coastal States to accept OCS development - the grants might be opposed on grounds that OCS revenues are a National asset and should not be disbursed only to Coastal States 3 - clear identification and measurement of impacts for purposes of awarding grants would be administratively difficult - the impact rationale focuses assistance efficiently on future impacts but makes no allowance for past impacts, which may seem inequitable to States where OCS leasing has already occurred - the option would not address the energy impact concerns of inland States, and might appear to single out Coastal States for special treatment, although inland States already receive 37 1/2 percent of Federal revenues from minerals leasing within their boundaries Budget Outlays Impact aid for Coastal States equal to 10 percent of Federal revenues would range between $141 million and $724 million per year between 1975 and 1985, based on current production estimates. An annual limit such as $200 million would reduce these outlays. Revenue distribution by State would depend on the project eligibility rules or the distribution formula adopted, but if properly administered would closely approximate the distribution of actual impacts. More detailed projections of the budget outlays under this option and those that follow are provided in the attached tables. Option II: Coastal State Impact Aid and Production Shares FORD & GERALD LIBRARY Description In addition to the impact grants of Option I, this option includes payment to Coastal States of 5 percent of the value of OCS oil and gas which is brought onshore within their boundaries. - the 5 percent share of the value of oil and gas would be approximately equal to 37 1/2 percent of the minimum allowable OCS royalty; thus setting production shares at 5 percent would assure that those shares never constituted a higher proportion of Federal OCS revenues than the proportion of leasing revenues currently paid to States for onshore minerals - basing the payment on the value of oil and gas rather than on the Federal royalty income itself is intended to prevent the level of royalties from becoming a political issue, and retain needed flexibility in financial terms for leases - the base for figuring the 5 percent payments could be limited, if desired, to "new oil" only, or to production above the level of a base period, say 1974 4 Program Effects Favorable: - the 5 percent production share adds to the front-end program of Option I a continuing source of funds for the effects of bringing OCS oil ashore - making payments dependent on taking oil ashore would give the States an increased stake in OCS development off their shores, while it still targets payments on the areas which would feel impacts Unfavorable: - like Option I, this Option is subject to the objection that revenues from a National resource would be distributed only to selected States - outlays under this Option would be substantially greater than under Option I Budget Outlays This Option would add to the costs of Option I an amount equal to 5 percent of the value of oil produced, or between $240 million and FORD & LIBRARY GERALD $834 million per year over the years 1975 to 1985. The total amount shared would reach $1112 million per year by the end of the period Option III: Coastal State Production Shares plus Nationally Shared Revenues Description This Option would combine the 5 percent Coastal State production shares of Option II with an additional sharing of Federal OCS revenues with all States. - the additional National sharing would be 37 1/2 percent of all Federal OCS revenues minus the 5 percent Coastal State production share. Thus, total revenues shared in the two parts of the program would amount to 37 1/2 percent of all Federal OCS revenues, the same proportion that is now shared with States in onshore leasing programs 5 - the National shares could be distributed among States on a per capita basis, or by the General Revenue Sharing formula. The per capita basis emphasizes the idea that OCS reserves belong to all citizens, while the General Revenue Sharing formula makes use of an existing method for distributing Federal funds to States, although that method could itself become a source of controversy in the future Program Effects Favorable: - this Option would extend a direct financial stake in OCS leasing and production to inland as well as Coastal States - it would provide some front-end money to Coastal States through their National share, which would become available to them well before the 5 percent payments started as oil was brought onshore - shared revenues would be of maximum value to States since they would not be tied to any particular use and could be applied as States saw fit - the Option would feature a set of sharing formulas which, once established, would be relatively easy to administer Unfavorable: FORD & LIBRARY GERALD - it would use a substantial amount of Federal funds, perhaps more than strictly necessary to encourage prompt OCS development - it would not recognize any special front-end money needs of OCS-affected Coastal States, but would give them only the same National share as other States until their 5 percent production share became available - it would not require that money shared with Coastal States be used by them to ameliorate impacts, which could work against the Federal interest in smooth development both on and offshore and might not satisfy the impact concerns of some particular groups who could still delay leasing - it would result in a variable, and to a degree, unpredictable flow of funds to States, since OCS bonus revenues fluctuate considerably from sale to sale, though by averaging over more than one year this problem can be eliminated 6 Budget Outlays This Option would distribute 37 1/2 percent of all Federal OCS revenues to States, or between $530 million and $2717 million per year over the period 1975 to 1985. The 5 percent Coastal production share of this total would be $240 million to $834 million per year. The remainder to be distributed among all States would amount to between $106 million and $2344 million per year. Option IV: Coastal State Production Shares, Nationally Shared Revenues, and Nationwide Energy Impact Aid Description This Option combines the 5 percent production shares and the 37 1/2 percent nationally shared revenues of Option III with a program of impact aid like that in Option I but available to all States to meet the front-end costs of energy development, both off and onshore. - the total amount paid out would equal 37 1/2 percent of OCS revenues, as in Option III, but this sum would be divided three ways: 5 percent of the value of the oil to Coastal States, up to $500 million (or a like amount) for a nationwide impact grant fund, and the remainder of the 37 1/2 percent for National per capita or General Revenue Sharing distribution GERALD R.FORD LIBRARY - front-end grants would be available to all States on a project or formula basis for all types of energy-related impacts - grants could be limited to needs not met by existing Federal grant programs Program Effects Favorable: - this Option has the advantages of Option III, plus the beneficial effects of impact-related front-end money for all States - it would treat all energy-related impacts consistently, without singling out OCS impacts for special consideration - it would use OCS revenues, which are substantial, to ameliorate energy impacts inland where needs may also be significant 7 - it permits taking advantage of the good features of both project assistance and no-strings-attached revenue sharing - it addresses expressed concerns of Western States about front-end energy development costs, and encourages them to undertake energy developments of National interest Unfavorable: - the timing of the flow of OCS revenues into the nationwide impact aid fund would bear no necessary relationship to the demands on that fund from inland energy development activities - the impact aid fund would have the same administrative problems as the fund in Option I, but on a larger, nationwide scale - combining all three elements in one proposal may make it too complex to be appealing Budget Outlays FORD & LIBRARY GERALD The total amount to be shared with States would be identical to Option III. The only difference would be that some percent of Federal revenues, perhaps up to a ceiling such as $500 million per year, would be earmarked for States experiencing energy development impacts. An impact fund of 10 percent of Federal revenue up to $500 million per year would leave between $0 and $1844 million per year for nationally shared revenues. 8 Table 1 PROJECTIONS OF OCS PRODUCTION, VALUE AND FEDERAL REVENUES Value of Oil Federal Revenues Oil Production Production (millions of dollars) (millions of (millions of Year barrels) dollars) Bonus Royalty (16-2/3%) Total 1975 447 $ 4,792 $6,000 799 $6,799 1976 476 5,103 6,000 851 6,851 1977 506 5,424 6,000 904 6,904 1978 601 6,443 6,000 1,074 7,074 1979 696 7,461 6,000 1,244 7,244 1980 791 8,480 - 1,413 1,413 1981 944 10,120 - 1,687 1,687 1982 1,097 11,760 - 1,960 1,960 1983 1,250 13,400 - 2,234 2,234 1984 1,403 15,040 - 2,507 2,507 1985 1,557 16,691 - 2,782 2,782 Assumptions: GERALD FORD LIBRARY 1. Production at levels corresponding to Project Independence Report. 2. Oil priced at $8 per barrel and gas priced at $0.70 per thousand cubic feet, giving a total value 1.34 times the value of oil production. 3. 16-2/3 percent royalty collected on all production from Federal OCS lands. Table 2 SUMMARY OF PAYMENTS TO STATES UNDER FOUR OPTIONS (millions of dollars) Option I Option II Option III Option IV Coastal Coastal Pro- Pro- Pro- Nationwide State State duction duction National duction Energy National Year Impact Aid Impact Aid Shares Total Shares Shares Total Shares Impact Aid Shares Total 1975 680 680 240 920 240 2310 2550 240 500 1810 2550 1976 685 685 255 940 255 2314 2569 255 500 1814 2569 1977 690 690 271 961 271 2318 2589 271 500 1818 2589 1978 707 707 322 1029 322 2331 2653 322 500 1831 2653 1979 724 724 373 1097 373 2344 2717 373 500 1844 2717 1980 141 141 424 565 424 106 530 424 106 -- 530 1981 169 169 506 675 506 127 633 506 127 -- 633 1982 196 196 588 784 588 147 735 588 147 -- 735 1983 223 223 670 893 670 168 838 670 168 -- 838 1984 251 251 752 1003 752 188 940 752 188 -- 940 1985 278 278 834 1112 834 209 1043 834 209 -- 1043 Definition of options: Option I -- Coastal State Impact Aid at 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues. Option II -- Coastal State Impact Aid at 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues. -- Coastal State Production Shares equal to 5 percent of the value of oil landed in each State. Option III -- Coastal State Production Shares equal to 5 percent of the value of oil landed in each State. -- National Shares to all States equal to 37.5 percent of OCS revenues less 5 percent of the value of oil landed. Option IV --- Coastal State Production Shares equal to 5 percent of the value of oil landed in each State. -- Nationwide Energy Impact Aid equal to 10% of OCS revenues not to exceed $500 million per year. -- National Shares to all States equal to 37.5 percent of OCS revenues less 5 percent of the value of oil landed and less 10% of OCS revenues not to exceed $500 million per year (no negative payments to States) GERALD FORD LIBRARY Table 3 SUMMARY OF STATES' AND FEDERAL SHARES UNDER FOUR OPTIONS (millions of dollars) OPTION I OPTION II OPTIONS III & IV Total Federal OCS States' Federal States' Federal States' Federal Year Revenues Share Share Share Share Share Share 1975 6799 680 6119 920 5879 2550 4249 1976 6851 685 6166 940 5911 2569 4282 1977 6904 690 6214 961 5943 2589 4315 1978 7074 707 6367 1029 6045 2653 4421 1979 7244 724 6520 1097 6147 2717 4527 1980 1413 141 1272 565 848 530 883 1981 1687 169 1518 675 1012 633 1054 1982 1960 196 1764 784 1176 735 1225 1983 2234 223 2011 893 1341 838 1396 1984 2507 251 2256 1003 1504 940 1567 1985 2782 278 2504 1112 1607 1043 1739 GERALD FORD LIBRARY Table 4 REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF PRODUCTION SHARE (millions of dollars) Total OCS Production Year Total Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic 1974 224 215 9 0 0 1975 240 226 14 0 0 1976 255 235 20 0 0 1977 271 247 24 0 0 1978 325 267 48 0 10 1979 373 287 67 0 19 1980 419 305 89 0 25 1981 505 334 116 15 40 1982 589 359 147 24 59 1983 670 382 174 40 74 1984 752 406 203 53 90 1985 844 434 234 67 109 OCS Production Above 1974 Levels Only Year Total Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic 1974 0 0 0 0 0 1975 16 11 5 0 1976 31 20 11 0 1977 47 32 15 0 0 0 0 GERALD FORD LIBRARY 1978 101 52 39 0 10 1979 149 72 58 0 19 1980 195 90 80 0 25 1981 281 119 107 15 40 1982 365 144 138 24 59 1983 446 167 165 40 74 1984 528 191 194 53 90 1985 620 219 225 67 109 Table 5 DISTRIBUTION OF NATIONAL REVENUE SHARES BY STATES (OPTION III) 1975 Amount by Share by General Amount by General Revenue Share by Population Revenue Sharing Population (millions of Sharing (millions of State (percent) dollars) (percent) dollars) Alabama 1.686 39.058 1.601 37.084 Alaska 0.157 3.642 0.144 3.332 Arizona 0.981 22.713 1.020 23.634 Arkansas 0.971 22.481 1.039 24.063 California 9.817 227.361 10.355 239.833 Colorado 1.161 26.896 1.084 25.099 Connecticut 1.466 33.948 1.346 31.176 Delaware 0.274 6.357 0.302 6.997 D.C. 0.355 8.233 0.422 9.772 Florida 3.659 84.738 3.134 72.587 Georgia 2.281 52.820 2.087 48.336 Hawaii 0.396 9.182 0.437 10.115 Idaho 0.367 8.498 0.395 9.157 Illinois 5.354 124.005 5.079 117.632 Indiana 2.533 58.670 2.033 47.090 Iowa 1.384 32.050 1.324 30.666 Kansas 1.086 25.152 0.922 21.350 Kentucky 1.593 36.884 1.627 37.680 Louisiana 1.794 41.541 2.166 50.157 Maine 0.490 11.345 0.634 14.685 Maryland 1.939 44.918 1.987 46.013 Massachusetts 2.772 64.210 3.256 75.420 Michigan 4.310 99.813 4.203 97.337 Minnesota 1.857 43.009 2.096 48.535 GERALD FORD LIBRARY Mississippi 1.087 25.174 1.470 34.045 Missouri 2.267 52.500 1.923 44.538 Table 5 (continued) DISTRIBUTION OF NATIONAL REVENUE SHARES BY STATES (OPTION III) 1975 Amount by Share by General Amount by General Revenue Share by Population Revenue Sharing Population (millions of Sharing (millions of State (percent) dollars) (percent) dollars) Montana 0.344 7.957 0.369 8.535 Nebraska 0.735 17.018 0.668 15.464 Nevada 0.261 6.048 0.231 5.353 New Hampshire 0.377 8.730 0.315 7.291 New Jersey 3.508 81.239 3.133 72.549 New Mexico 0.527 12.206 0.628 14.537 New York 8.704 201.580 11.340 262.641 North Carolina 2.513 58.195 2.432 56.318 North Dakota 0.305 7.063 0.306 7.083 Ohio 5.114 118.432 4.082 94.542 Oklahoma 1.269 29.390 1.106 25.609 Oregon 1.060 24.556 1.052 24.357 Pennsylvania 5.672 131.355 5.321 123.233 Rhode Island 0.464 10.738 0.433 10.032 South Carolina 1.299 30.085 1.407 32.587 South Dakota 0.326 7.560 0.400 9.255 Tennessee 1.966 45.536 1.861 43.093 Texas 5.620 130.164 4.853 112.403 Utah 0.551 12.769 0.590 13.664 Vermont 0.221 5.121 0.309 7.145 Virginia 2.293 53.096 2.015 46.663 Washington 1.634 37.844 1.458 33.764 West Virginia 0.855 19.799 0.905 20.966 Wisconsin 2.177 50.425 2.545 58.934 Wyoming 0.168 3.896 0.158 3.656 GERRALO FORD LIBRARY Ois Review Shing my W.T Reduce DRAFT OPTION PAPER lety the / F and to - name Sharing Outer Continental Shelf Revenues with States Cony. Developing oil and gas reserves on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) will provide benefits to the United States which substantially exceed the costs of development, including social and environmental costs. Just as accelerated development was an appropriate response to the greatly increased world price of oil, SO delay in development will be very costly to a U.S. continuing to rely on high-priced, uncertain imports. However, coastal state concerns about OCS development could become a source of delay. States are concerned about: - environmental damages, including possible oil spills FORD & GERALD LIBRARY - esthetic impacts - economic effects, including possible disorderly development, injury to existing industry, and the burden of providing new public services. Alonning To meet these concerns, the Federal Government has already proposed increased united to whit planning money for the Coastal Zone Management Act and is considering a Comprehensive Oil Spill Liability bill. It has, however, up to now opposed providing coastal states with a share of OCS revenues on the grounds that - - OCS resources belong to all the Nation, and their revenues should benefit all citizens - sharing OCS revenues with coastal states would reduce federal revenues and require compensating adjustment elsewhere in the federal budget - onshore development induced by offshore activities will eventually provide state and local governments with an increased tax base to finance necessary public facilities - states rights to revenues from offshore minerals leasing were settled by the Submerged Lands Act which gave states complete jurisdiction over the first three miles of seabed, but nothing beyond GERALD FORD LIBRARY However, there are reasons for reconsidering this position. - there may be a valid need for federal assistance now that frontier OCS areas will be opened; for example, "front-end" money to help state and local governments begin developing public facilities before OCS developments provide an increased tax base on which to finance such expenditures officits - shared revenues could give coastal states a financial stake in prompt OCS development and would be consistent with onshore precedent where the Mineral Leasing Act gives affected states 37 1/2 percent of federal leasing revenues. - the three-mile state jurisdiction is of little revenue value to states in frontier areas such as the Atlantic Coast, where oil and gas reserves are all located farther offshore - congressional action on shared revenues is possible regardless of the Administration position. 2 There are three general approaches to establishing shared revenues: - ameliorate impact with project grants -- tie revenues to specific uses which will minimize or underwrite costs faced by states as a result of OCS activity. - compensate for impacts with no-strings money -- provide revenues which are sufficient to keep coastal states from being worse off on balance as a result of OCS activity, and distribute these revenues among states in a manner approximating expected impacts, but leave to the states the decision as to how to use the money. - provide a stake in development through shared revenues -- distribute revenues which exceed the expected impacts coastal states face. Possibly extend shared revenues to inland states so that they also have a direct stake in OCS development. These three approaches can be grouped into four distinct options, as follows: FORD & LIBRARY GERALD 3 Option I: Coastal State Impact Aid Description This option is similar to a proposal introduced recently by Senator Jackson (S. 521) : - 10 percent of Federal OCS revenues, perhaps with an annual upper limit, would fund grants to coastal states to ameliorate negative impacts of OCS development. - funds would be made available soon enough for "front-end" costs, not delayed until actual offshore production starts - states could apply for grants for only a five (perhaps 10) year period, so that the program would phase out after genuine impact aid was no longer needed - grants could be distributed either by formula based on general indices of impacts, or by project after a showing of specific impacts, or both - grants could either require state matching or, as in S. 521, provide full funding. Program Effects GERALD FORD LIBRARY Favorable: - the option would focus on ameliorating impacts of OCS development, and reduce them as a barrier to accelerated leasing in frontier areas - the amount and use of grant funds would be tied directly to impacts 4 may h. - budget outlays would be modest by comparison with the other options considered. Unfavorable: - mere amelioration of impacts might be insufficient to lead coastal states to accept OCS development - the grants might be opposed on grounds that OCS revenues are a National asset and should not be dispersed only to coastal states - clear identification and measurment of impacts for purposes of awarding grants would be administratively difficult - the impact rationale focuses assistance efficiently on future impacts but makes no allowance for past impacts which may seem inequitable to states where OCS leasing has already occurred. FORD i LIBRARY GERALD Budget Effects Impact aid for coastal states equal to 10 percent of federal revenues would range between $144 million and $727 million per year between 1975 and 1985, based on current: production estimates. An annual ceiling lower than these amounts, for example the $200 million ceiling for 1975 and 1976 proposed by Senator Jackson in S. 521, is an option. Revenue distribution by state would depend on the project eligibility rules or the distribution formula adopted, but would closely approximate the distribution of actual impacts. More detailed projections of the budget effects under this option are provided in the attachment. 5 Option II: Coastal impact aid and production shares 7 Description In addition to the impact grants of option I, this option includes payment to coastal States of 5 percent of the value of OCS oil and gas which is brought on shore within their boundaries. - The 5 percent share of the value of oil and gas would be approximately equal to 37-1/2 percent of the minimum allowable OCS royalty; setting 5 percent as the share would therefore prevent the payment to the State from exceeding the share of royalty income normally paid to States for onshore minerals. - Basing the payment on the value of oil and gas rather than on the Federal royalty income itself will help prevent the level of royalties from becoming a political issue. - If desired, the 5 percent payment could be split between the State bringing the oil on shore and the State refining the oil, either by a Federal allocation formula or by permitting States to reach agreements on a split among themselves. - The base for figuring the 5 percent payments could be limited, if desired, to "new oil" only, or to production above the level of a base period, say 1974. FORD LIBRARY & GERALD -6- Program Effects Favorable: - The production share 5 percent payment adds to the front-end program of Option I a continuing source of funds for longer- term effects. - Making payments dependent on taking oil ashore would give the States an increased stake in OCS development off their shores, while it still targets payments on the areas which would feel impacts. Unfavorable: - Like Option I, this option is subject to the objection that revenues from a National resource would be distributed to only selected States. - Outlays under this option would be substantially greater than under Option I. FORD if LIBRARY GERALD Budget Effects This option would add to the costs of Option I an amount equal to 5 percent: of the value of oil produced, or between $224 million and $844 million per year over the years 1975 to 1985. The total amount shared during this period would reach about $1,128 million per year at the highest. More detailed projections of the budget effects under this option are provided in the attachment. -7- Option III: Coastal Production Shares plus Nationally Shared Revenues Description This option would combine the 5 percent coastal production shares of Option II with an additional sharing of federal OCS revenues with all states. - the additional national sharing would be 37 1/2 percent of all federal OCS revenues minus the 5 percent coastal production share. Thus, total revenues shared in the two parts of the program together would amount to 37 1/2 percent of all federal OCS revenues, the same proportion that is now shared with states in onshore leasing programs. - the national shares could be distributed among states on a per capita basis, or by the General Revenue Sharing formula. The per capita basis emphasizes the idea that OCS reserves are owned by all citizens, while the General Revenue Sharing formula makes use of an existing method for distributing federal funds to states. which also and Program Effects GERALD FORD LIBRARY Favorable: - this option would extend a direct financial stake in OCS leasing and production to inland as well as coastal states - it would provide some front-end money to coastal states through their national share which would become available to them well before the 5 percent payments would start as oil was brought onshore 8 - it would feature a set of sharing formulae which, once established, would be relatively easy to administer. Unfavorable: - it would take a substantial amount of federal revenues, perhaps more than necessary to encourage prompt OCS development - it would not recognize any special front-end money needs of OCS- affected coastal states, but would give them only the same national share as other states until their 5 percent production share became available - it would not require that money shared with coastal states be used by them to ameliorate impacts which would allow states flexibility in deciding how to use funds but might not satisfy the impact concerns of some particular groups - it would result in a variable, and to a degree, unpredictable flow of funds to states, since OCS bonus revenues fluctuate considerably from sale to sale - distributing national shares by the General Revenue Sharing formula might reduce the debate over an appropriate distribution formula by using an existing mechanism, but could embroil the OCS sharing program in an unrelated controversy over the merits of General Revenue Sharing. full FORD i LIBRAR, CERALD Budget Effects This option would distribute 37 1/2 percent of all federal OCS revenues to states, or between $890 million and $2,707 million per year over the period 9 1975 to 1985. The 5 percent coastal production share of this total would be $224 million to $ 844 million per year. The remainder to be distributed among all states would amount to between $117 million and $2,353 million per year. More detailed projections of the budget effects under this option are provided in the attachment. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD 10 Option IV: Coastal Production Shares, Nationally Shared Revenues, and Nationwide Energy Impact Aid Description This option combines the 5 percent production shares and the 37 1/2 percent nationally shared revenues of Option III with a program of impact aid like that in Option I but available to all states to meet the front-end costs of energy development, both off and onshore. - the total amount paid out would equal 37 1/2 percent of OCS revenues, as in Option III, but this sum would be divided three ways: 5 percent of the value of the oil to coastal states, $500 million (or a like amount) for a nationwide impact grant fund, and the remainder of the a 37 1/2 percent for national per capita distribution - front-end grants would be available to all states on a project or formula basis for all types of energy-related impacts Program Effects GERALD FORD LIBRARY Favorable: - this option has the advantages of Option III, plus the beneficial effects of impact-related front-end money for all states - it would treat all energy-related impacts consistently, without singling out OCS impacts for special consideration - it would use OCS revenues, which are substantial, to ameliorate energy impacts inland where needs may also be significant but 11 state revenues from federal leasing are either smaller or non-existent - it permits taking advantage of the good features of both project assistance and no-strings-attached revenue sharing - it addresses expressed concerns of Western States about front-end energy development costs. Unfavorable: - the timing of the flow of OCS revenues into the nationwide impact aid fund would bear no necessary relationship to the demands on that fund from inland energy development activities - the impact aid fund would have the same administrative problems as the fund in Option I, but on a larger, nationwide scale - combining all three elements in one proposal may make it too complex to be appealing. GERALD R.FORD LIBRARY Budget Effects The total amount to be shared with states would be identical to Option III. The only difference would be that some percent: of federal revenues, perhaps up to a ceiling such as $500 million per year, would be earmarked for states experiencing energy development impacts. An impact fund of 10 percent of federal revenue up to $500 million per year would leave between $ 0 and $1,853 million per year for nationally shared revenues. More detailed projections of the budget effects under this option are provided in the attachment. 12 Attachment The following tables present estimated revenue payments to states for each of the options discussed in the text. For each option, four alternative revenue streams are projected based on the following assumptions regarding royalties and revenue computation: 1. 16 2/3 percent royalty on both pre-1975 and post-1975 leases; revenue sharing applies to new and old production; new production is defined as production in excess of 1974 levels. This case is labelled "16 2/3/16 2/3; N + 0." 2. 16 2/3 percent royalty on both pre-1975 and post-1975 leases; revenue sharing applies to new oil only. Labelled "16 2/3/16 2/3; N." 3. 16 2/3 percent royalty on pre-1975 leases, 40 percent royalty on post-1975 leases; revenue sharing applies to new and old oil. Labelled "16 2/3/40; 2/3/40 N + 0." GERALD FORD LIBRARY 4. 16 2/3 percent royalty on pre-1975 leases, 40 percent royalty on post-1975 leases; revenue sharing applies to new oil only. Labelled 16 2/3/40; N." The dollar amounts reported in the text pertain to the "16 2/3/16 2/3; N + 0" alternative. Each of the revenue streams also includes the state share of bonus payments. Bonus payments are estimated at $6 billion per year, 1975-1979, with 16 2/3 percent royalty; and $2.7 billion per year, 1975-1979, with 40 percent royalty. Oil and gas prices of $8/bbl and 70¢/MCF are used to estimate royalty revenues, except in Alaska where gas is assumed to have no value at the wellhead due to high transportation costs. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD Table 1 shows projections of the payments into the Coastal State Impact Aid (Option I) Fund computed at 10 percent of OCS lease revenues under each of the four alternative assumptions described above. Payments into the Fund could be limited by a ceiling such as $200 million per year. Table 1 Option I Coastal State Impact Aid Payments in Millions of Dollars Year 16 2/3/16 2/3; N +0 16 2/3/16 2/3; N 16 2/3/40; N+O 16 2/3/40; N 1975 682 605 685 609 1979 727 651 779 702 1980 144 68 216 140 1985 284 208 580 504 GERALD FORD LIBRARY Table 2 shows the funds to be shared with coastal states under Option II which includes both coastal state impact aid and production shares. Part A repeats the payment schedules from Table 1 for 10 percent of the revenues of OCS leases. Part B shows the projected additional payments to states corresponding to 5 percent of the value of oil brought onshore in each region. These additional payments have been computed for New and Old Oil together and for New Oil. Part C shows the total payments to the coastal states that would result from adding the 16 2/3/16 2/3; N + O share at 10 percent to the 5 percent share of the value of New and Old Oil. Table 2 Option II Coastal Impact Aid and Production Shares Part A: 10 Percent of OCS Lease Revenues GEBALD FORD VIBRARY Payments in Millions of Dollars Year 16 2/3/16 2/3; N + O 16 2/3/16 2/3; N 16 2/3/40; N+O 16 2/3/40; N 1975 682 605 685 609 1979 727 651 779 702 1980 144 68 216 140 1985 284 208 580 504 (Table 2 continued) Part B: 5 Percent of the Value of Oil Landed Payments in Millions of Dollars New and Old Oil Year Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic Total 1975 215 9 0 0 224 1979 287 67 0 19 354 1980 305 89 0 25 773 1985 434 234 67 109 844 New Oil Only 1975 15 1 0 0 16 1979 72 60 0 19 151 1980 92 80 0 28 200 1985 214 226 67 104 611 Part C: Total Payments to Coastal States 16 2/3/16 2/3; N + O Year Payments in Millions of Dollars 1975 906 1979 1,081 1980 917 1985 1,128 FORD LIBRARY j GERALD Table 3 shows the projected payments to all states that would result under Option III, Coastal Production Shares plus Nationally Shared Revenues. Part A provides the estimated payments to coastal states at 5 percent of the value of oil landed. Part B shows the estimated revenues to be shared by all states computed at 37 1/2 percent of the OCS lease revenues less the 5 percent shown in Part A. Part C shows the total payments to all states equal to 37 1/2 percent of OCS revenues from New and Old Oil. Part D and Part E show the distribution by state of the shared revenues (from the 16 2/3/16 2/3; N + O alternative) The distribution in Part D follows the current General Revenue Sharing formula whereas the distribution in Part E is proportional to current population. FORD Table 3 Option III GERALD LIBRARY Coastal Production Shares plus Nationally Shared Revenues Payments to Coastal States in Millions of Dollars Part A: 5 Percent of the Value of Oil Landed Year Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic Total New and Old Oil 1975 215 9 0 0 224 1979 287 67 0 19 354 1980 305 89 0 25 773 1985 434 234 67 109 844 New Oil Only 1975 15 1 0 0 16 1979 72 60 0 19 151 1980 92 80 0 28 200 1985 214 226 67 104 611 (Table 3 continued) Part B: Payments Shared by all States in Millions of Dollars 37.5 Percent of OCS Revenues less 5 Percent of the Value of Oil Landed Year 16 2/3/16 2/3; N + O 16 2/3/16 2/3; N 16 2/3/40; N+O 16 2/3/40; N 1975 2,316 2,254 1,080 1,019 1979 2,353 2,291 1,296 1,235 1980 117 55 386 324 1985 229 167 1,340 1,221 Part C: Total Payments to States in Million of Dollars 37.5 Percent of OCS Revenues Year 16 2/3/16 2/3; N + 0 1975 2,540 1979 2,707 1980 890 1985 1,073 Part D: Distribution of Revenue Shared by all States, 1975 General Revenue Sharing Formula (under development) FORD is LIBRARY Part E: Distribution of Revenue Shared by all States, 1975 Population (under development:) Table 4 presents projections of payments to states that would result under Option IV, Coastal Production Shares, Nationally Shared Revenues, and Nationwide Energy Impact Aid. Part A displays the payments to coastal states of 5 percent of the value of oil landed. Part B shows the funds to be shared among all states. These are computed as 37 1/2 percent of OCS revenues less 5 percent of the value of oil landed and less 10 percent of OCS revenues (not to exceed $500 million). The 10 percent of OCS revenues is the fund to be available to all states impacted by energy development. The total payments to all states equal 37 1/2 percent of OCS revenues as shown in Table 3, Part C. Table 4 GERALD FORD LIBRAPT Option IV Coastal Production Shares, Nationally Shared Revenues, and Nationwide Energy Impact Aid (in millions of dollars) Part A: Year Gulf of Mexico Pacific Alaska Atlantic Total New and Old Oil 1975 215 9 0 0 224 1979 287 67 0 19 354 1980 305 89 0 25 773 1985 434 234 67 109 844 New Oil Only 1975 15 1 0 0 16 1979 72 60 0 19 151 1980 92 80 0 28 200 1985 214 226 67 104 611 (Table 4 continued) Part B: Nationally Shared Revenues (in millions of dollars) Year 16 2/3/16 2/3;N + O 16 2/3/16 2/3; N 16 2/3/40: N + 0 16 2/3/40; N 1975 1,816 1,754 580 519 1979 1,853 1,791 796 735 1980 0 0 170 184 1985 0 0 840 721 GERALD FORD VIGRABIA