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Weekly Briefing Notes, 10/28/1975
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1670064
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Weekly Briefing Notes, 10/28/1975
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William J. Baroody Files (Ford Administration)
William Baroody's Copies of "Weekly Briefing Notes on U.S. Domestic Developments"
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Environmental Protection Agency. 12/2/1970-
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The original documents are located in Box 38, folder "Weekly Briefing Notes, 10/28/1975" of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 38 of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library # * # THE VICE PRESIDENT # * WASHINGTON # # * October 28, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR BILL BAROODY Attached is this week's copy of the Weekly Briefing Notes. lueson WEEKLY CHARTBOOK FOR CALENDER YEAR 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS October 28. 1975 FREQUENCY LEGEND: W=Weekly: M=Monthly: Q=Quarterly: A=Annual; 0=0ther SECTION A-General Economic Indicators DATE SERIES LAST AP- PEARED IN CHARTBOOK Part 1-National Income and Product A.1.1 (Q) Gross National Product 4/21.5/27,7/21.8/25 A.1.2 (M) Personal Income 5/19.6/23,7/21.8/25.9/22 A.1.3 (Q) Corporate Profits 5/27.6/23,8/25.9/2.9/22 A.1.4 (Q) Federal Receipts and Expenditures 5/27.8/4.8/25 A.1.5 (Q) Business Investment 4/21,6/9.6/16,9/8 Part -Employment and Unemployment A.2.1 (M) Unemployment Rate 5/5,6/9,7/7.8/4,9/8,10/6 A.2.2 (M) Duration of Unemployment 5/5,6/9,7/7.8/4,9/8,10/6 A.2.3 (W) Unemployment Insurance 4/21.5/27,6/30.9/15 A.2.4 (M) Labor Turnover 5/5,6/2,6/30.8/4 9/2.10/6 A.2.5 (M) Help Wanted Index 6/2.6/30.8/4.9/15.10/6 Part 3-Hours. Earnings and Productivity A.3.1 (M) Average Workweek, Manufacturing 5/5,6/9,7/7.8/4,9/8.10/14 A.3.2 (M) Compensation Per Man-hour 4/21.5/5.6/9.7/7.8/4 A.3.3 (Q) Productivity Indices 6/2,8/4,8/11,9/2 A.3.4 (M) Real Earnings 4/28.5/27,6/23.7/28.8/25.9/22 A.3.5 (M) Work Stoppages 7/14,8/4.10/14 Part 4-Production and Trade A.4.1 (W) Industrial Production Index 5/19,6/23.7/21.8/18.10/20 A.4.2 (W) Production of Primary Metals 4/28.6/9.6/16,7/14,8/11,9/15,10/14 A.4.3 (M) Production and Sales of Transportation Equipment 6/9,8/1,8/18,9/15.10/14 A.4.4 (W) Manufactures' Shipments. Inventories. and Orders 4/28.5/5.5/27,6/9,7/7,7/28.8/25.9/8.9/29.10/6 A.4.5 (Q) Capacity Utilization 4/28.7/28.10/20 A.4.6 (M) Retail Sales 4/21.5/12,6/16,7/14.8/11.8/18.9/15.10/20 A.4.7 (M) Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories 4/21.5/12,6/9,7/14,8/11.9/15,10/14 A.4.8 (M) Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales 5/19,6/9.7/21,8/18.9/22.10/20 A.4.9 (Q) Manufactures' Evaluation of Their Inventories 7/7 Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments A.5.1 (M) Exports and Imports 4/28.6/2.6/30,8/4.9/2,9/29 A.5.2 (M) Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods 5/5,6/16,7/7,8/11,9/8,10/14 A.5.3 (Q) Balance of Payments 5/19.9/22 A.5.4 (A) Foreign Travel 6/30 Table of Contents-Continued Part 6-Prices A.6.1 (M) Consumer Price Index A.6.2 (M) Wholesale Price Index 4/28.5/27,7/28.8/25.9/22 A.6.3 (W) Tuesday Spot Market Price Index 5/12.6/9.7/7,8/11,9/8.10/6 6/30.9/29 Part 7-Construction A.7.1 (M) Housing Construction A.7.2 (M) Value of New Construction Work Done 4/21.5/19,6/16,6/23.7/21.8/18.8/25.9/22.10/20 5/5.5/19.6/9.7/7,8/4.9/8,10/6 Part 8-Energy. Raw Materials. and Commodities A.8.1 (W) Distribution of Electric Power 4/28 A.8.2 (M) Production and Consumption of Fossil Fuels 5/19 Part 9-Agriculture A.9.1 (M) Farm Income and Expenses 8/4,9/2,10/6 Part 10-Money and Credit A.10.1 (W) Money Stock Measures A.10.2 (W) Bank Reserves 5/5,6/16,8/18,9/29 A.10.3 (M) Consumer Credit A.10.4 (W) Common Stock Prices 5/12.6/9.7/14.8/11.9/15.10/14 A.10.5 (W) U.S. Government Securities 4/28.6/16,7/14.8/11,9/15.10/14 4/28 A.10.6 (M) Business Credit 5/19,8/18,9/15 A.10.7 (W) Interest Rates 6/23.7/14,8/11.9/15.9/29.10/14 Part 11-Indicators of Business Activity A.11.1 (M) Composite Index of Leading Indicators A.11.2 (M) New Business Incorporations 5/5,6/2.6/30.8/4.9/2.10/6 7/14.7/28 A.11.3 (M) Number of Business Failures 7/28 Table of Contents-Continued Section B-Genera! Social Indicators Part 1-Population B.1.1 Population Estimates (M)-Total Population 4/28 (A) Total Population by Age, Sex, Race (A)-Rate of Growth (A) Components of Change Birth. Death. Net Immigration 5/12 (A) Abortions (A) Total Fertility 6/2 (0) - Population Projections 4/28 B.1.2 Population Distribution (0) Population by Size of Place (0) - Population in Rural and Urban Areas 9/8 B.1.3 Migration (A) Recent Movers (A) Migration by Region Part 2- The Family B.2.1 Living Arrangements. Selected Characteristics (A)-Age. Sex. and Race (A) Single Person Households (A) Children Living With Single Parents (A) Average Family Size 6/16 B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution (A) Marital Status of the Population (M) Marriage and Divorce Rates 6/30 (A) Marriages Ending in Divorce B.2.3 (0) Attitudes Towards Family Life Part 3- Health B.3.1 Life Expectancy (A)-At Birth 6/30 (A)-At Selected Ages 6/30 (M.A) Death Rates by Cause 6/30 (A) -Leading Causes of Death 7/28 (M.A) - Infant Mortality 6/2 B.3.2 Disability (0) Days of Disability by Type (0) Institutionalized Population (A) Disability by Degree of Limitation and Cause (A)-Short-Term Disability B.3.3 Morbidity (M) Communicable Diseases (A) Acute Illness B.3.4 Health Status -Nutrition (0) o Dietary Intake (0) O Clinical Measurements (0) Obesity -Drugs (M) O Drug Deaths (M) O Drug Abuse Episodes (A)-Liquor Consumption (A)-Smoking 10/20 (0)-Physical Fitness (0) Perceived Health Status Table of Contents-Continued B.3.5 Health Care Delivery (A) Physician and Dental Visits 8/18 (A) Costs and Expenditures (A) - Facilities 8/18 (A) Personnel (0) Attitudes Toward Health Care Part 4-Education B.4.1 Educational Achievement. Selected Characteristics (0) Math. Science, Reading. Writing (0) Music. Art. Literature. Citizenship B.4.2 Attainment (A) -High School Graduation Rate 5/5,6/30 (A) The High School Educated Population by Race and Sex (A) College Educated Population by Race and Sex B.4.3 School Enrollment (A) Primary and Secondary School (A) - Preprimary by Age, Race. Income (A) Modal Grade Enrollment by Sex, Race and Age (0) -High School Students Expecting to go to College 9/29 (0) College Entrance Rates by Sex. Race, and Socioeconomic Status 6/30 (A)-College Enrollment 9/8 (0) -Participation in Adult Education B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Personnel (A) Schools, Classrooms (A) Teachers. Administrative. Others B.4.5 Costs and Expenditures (0) Expected Student Expenses, Higher Education 7/7 (A) - Expenditures by Level of Government Part 5-Work B.5.1 Labor Force, Employment and Unemployment (A)-Labor Force Participation (A) -Part-time. Part-year Workers 5/12 (A) Employment by Occupation (M.A)-Unemployment (Q) -Discouraged Workers (A) Labor Union Membership 8/18 B.5.2 Earnings (A) Median Earnings B.5.3 Working Conditions (A) Regular and Overtime Hours (A) Work Injuries by Occupation 9/15 (0) Time. Distance. and Mode of Transportation to Work B.5.4 Benefits (0) Vacations, Holidays (A) Benefit Plans B.5.5 Retirement (A) - Persons Retiring From Work (0) Work Life Expectancy (A) - Retirement Benefits Table of Contents-Continued Part 6- Income. Consumption, and Wealth B.6.1 Income Levels (A) Median Family Income 7/21 (A) - Composition of Family Income (A) - Per Capita Income B.6.2 Distribution of Income (A)-Age,Race. and Sex (A) Regional Differences (A) - Income Dispersion B.6.3 Poverty 7/21 B.6.4 Consumption (Q) - Personal Consumption Expenditures (A) - Consumption of Durable Goods 7/14 B.6.5 Wealth (0) Wealth and Net Worth of Consumer Units (0) - Composition of Wealth B.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt (A) - Amount of Debt Outstanding (A) Debt/Income Ratio B.6.7 Consumer Attitudes (M) Attitudes Toward Energy Use 7/21 (Q) Attitudes Toward the Economy 7/14,10/20 Part 7-Housing B.7.1 Housing Conditions (A) Average Size of Households (A) Households Lacking Selected Facilities. by Size, Race, Tenure. and Location (A) - Average Number of Persons Per Room B.7.2 Home Tenure (A) Single Family Dwellings 9/2 (A) Mobile Homes (A) - Condominiums and Other Multi- Unit Structures (A) Vacation Homes B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures (A) - Average Mortgage Payments (A) - Upkeep and Maintenance 10/20 (A) - Average Rental Payments (M) Median Price for New One Family Homes 5/19 B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community Part 8-Leisure and Recreation B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time B.8.2 Recreation (0) Outdoor (Social, Active Sports, etc) 10/6 (A.O) - Indoor (Television, Visiting. Other) Part 9-Public Safety B.9.1 Crimes Known to Police (Q.A) Violent 6/2,7/28 (Q.A) - Property 7/28 B.9.2 Victims of Crime, Selected Characteristics (A) Violent 6/2 (A) - Property 9/29 B.9.3 (0) Fear of Crime, Selected Characteristics B.9.4 Police Activity (A) - Persons Arrested by Charge Table of Contents-Continued (A) - -Of fenses Cleared 6/2 B.9.5 Judicial Activity (A) - Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes B.9.6 Prisoners: Adults and Juveniles (A) - Prisoners by Sentence (A) - Average Length of Sentence (A) - Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death (A) . Average Prison Population B.9.7 (A) Expenditures for Administration of Criminal Justice Table of Contents-Continued SECTION C-Government Activity Part 1-Social Welfare and Security C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI) (M) -Current Beneficiaries 5/12 (M) -New Beneficiaries 5/12 (M) -Average Payment C.1.2 Old Age Assistance (M) -Benefits Paid (M) -Recipients C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled (M) -Blind (M) -Deaf (M) -Other C.1.4 Aid to Families with Dependent Children (M) Recipients 9/15 (M) - Benefits 9/15 C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage (M) -Benefits Paid (M) - Recipients C.1.6 Housing Assistance (M) Recipients (M) Benefits C.1.7 Food Stamps (M) -Recipients (M) -Benefits C.1.8 Aid to Disaster Victims (A) - Recipients (A) Benefits C.1.9 Veterans Benefits (M) - Recipients (M) Benefits Part 2-Equal Opportunity C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity (A) -Minority Employment (A) -Earnings, Promotions. etc C.2.2 School Desegregation (A) Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools (A) -Public/Private Enrollment and Control Part 3-Government Operation C.3.1 Federal Employment (M) - Employees (M) Payroll C.3.2 State and Local Employment (M) - Employees 7/28 (M) Payroll 9/2 Table of Contents-Continued SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture Part 1-Environment D.1.1 Air Quality (A) -Amount of Pollutants Released Into the Atmosphere (A) Ambient Air Quality. Nationwide. Major Cities (0) - Perceived Quality D.1.2 Water Quality (A) -Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards 7/28 (A) -Oil Spills. Fish Kills (0) -Eutrophication of Lakes 7/28 D.1.3(0) Hazardous Substances (A) - Amounts Produced (A) Concentration in Biosphere D.1.4 Ecological Balances (A) -Endangered Species (Plant and Animal) (0) -Critical Areas (Coastal Zones) (A) - -Land/People Density Part 2-Science D.2.1 Professionals in Basic Research (A) -By Speciality 8/25 (A) - Person Years of Scientists, Engineers Engaged in R&D D.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development (A) Private Industry (A) -Government D.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools (0) -Secondary Schools (0) -Higher Education D.2.4 Public Attitudes Toward Science and Technology Part 3-Culture D.3.1 (0) Persons Employed in Artistic Professions D.3.2 (0) Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature. Arts. Music D.3.3 Participation in Cultural Activities (A) Voluntary Organizations (A) Travel (A) -Hobbies. Sports, Music, etc D.3.4 . Attendance at Cultural Events (A) -Plays, Galleries. Motion Pictures (A) -Concerts. Museums. etc Table of Contents-Continued SECTION E-Selected Subjects E.0.1 (A) - -Spanish Origin Population 8/11 E.0.2 (A) -Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Population 10/14 WEEKLY BRIEFING NOTES ON U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS Prepared for the President and the Vice President FORD is LIBRARY 0ERVLD OCTOBER 28, 1975 COMPILED BY THE FEDERAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM Coordinated by the Bureau of the Census at the request of the Statistical Policy Division, Office of Management and Budget Vincent P. Barabba, Director Joseph W. Duncan, Bureau of the Census Deputy Associate Director for Statistical Policy Office of Management and Budget Week of October 28, 1975 SOURCES OF DATA Gross National Product U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, "Survey of Current Business" Personal Income U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, "Survey of Current Business" Productivity Indexes U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Productivity: An International Perspective" Real Earnings U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment and Earnings Statistics for the United States" Manufacturers' Shipments and Orders - Advance Report on Durable Goods U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Manufacturers' Shipments, In- ventories and Orders, Series M3-1" Consumer Price Index U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "The Consumer Price Index Money Stock Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Statistical Release H.6, "Money Stock Measures" Interest Rates Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Office of Economic Research Migration U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-20, No. 285, "Mobility of the Population of the United States March 1970 to March 1975." Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION A-General Economic Indicators Part 1-National Income and Product A.1.1 Gross National Product X A.1.2 Personal Income X A.1.3 Corporate Profits X A.1.4 Federal Receipts and Expenditures X A.1.5 Business Investment X Part 2-Employment and Unemployment A.2.1 Unemployment Rate X A.2.2 Duration of Unemployment X A.2.3 Unemployment Insurance X A.2.4 Labor Turnover X A.2.5 Help Wanted Index X Part 3-Hours, Earnings and Productivity A.3.1 Average Workweek, Manufacturing X A.3.2 Compensation Per Man-hour X A.3.3 Productivity Indexes X A.3.4 Real Earnings X A.3.5 Work Stoppages X Part 4-Production and Trade A.4.1 Industrial Production Index X A.4.2 Production of Primary Metals X A.4.3 Production and Sales of Transportation Equipment X A.4.4 Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders X A.4.5 Capacity Utilization X A.4.6 Retail Sales X A.4.7 Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories X A.4.8 Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales X A.4.9 Manufacturers' Evaluation of Their Inventories X Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments A.5.1 Exports and Imports X X FORD A.5.2 Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods A.5.3 Balance of Payments X A.5.4 Foreign Travel X Part 6-Prices A.6.1 Consumer Price Index X A.6.2 Wholesale Price Index X A.6.3 Tuesday Spot Market Price Index X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION A-General Economic Indicators (Continued) Part 7-Construction A.7.1 Housing Construction X A.7.2 Value of New Construction Work Done X Part 8-Energy, Raw Materials, and Commodities A.8.1 Distribution of Electric Power X A.8.2 Production and Consumption of Fossil Fuels X Part 9-Agriculture A.9.1 Farm Income and Expenses X Part 10-Money and Credit A.10.1 Money Stock Measures X A.10.2 Bank Reserves X A.10.3 Consumer Credit X A.10.4 Common Stock Prices X A.10.5 U.S. Government Securities X A.10.6 Business Credit X A.10.7 Interest Rates X Part 11-Indicators of Business Activity A.11.1 Composite Index of Leading Indicators X A.11.2 Number of New Business Incorporations X A.11.3 Number of Business Failures X SECTION B-General Social Indicators Part 1-Population B.1.1 Population Estimates X FORD - Total Population - Total Population by Age, Sex, and Race X - Rate of Growth X - Components of Change (Births, Deaths, Net Immigration) X - Population Projections X - Abortion X B.1.2 Population Distribution - Population by Size of Place X - Population in Rural and Urban Areas X B.1.3 Migration - Recent Movers X - Migration by Region X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) Part 2-The Family B.2.1 Living Arrangements, Selected Characteristics - Age, Sex, and Race X - Single Person Households X - Children Living With Single Parents X CHAIR Average Family Size X B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution - Marital Status of the Population X - Marriage and Divorce Rates X - Marriages Ending in Divorce X B.2.3 Attitudes Towards Family Life X Part 3-Health B.3.1 Life Expectancy - At Birth ORD At Selected Ages CONTACT Death Rates by Cause X - Leading Causes of Death X X X X X - Infant Mortality X B.3.2 Disability - Days of Disability by Type X - Institutionalized Population X - Disability by Degree of Limitation and Cause X - Short-Term Disability X B.3.3 Morbidity - Communicable Diseases X - Acute Illness X B3.4 Health Status - Nutrition Dietary Intake Clinical Measurements GERALD FORD LIBRARI X X X - Obesity - Drugs Drug Deaths X Drug Abuse Episodes X Liquor Consumption X - Smoking X - Physical Fitness X - Perceived Health Status X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION C-Government Activity (Continued) Part 3-Government Operation C.3.1 Federal Employment - Employees X - Payroll X C.3.2 State and Local Employment and Finances - Employees X - Payroll X SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture Part 1-Environment D.1.1 Air Quality - Amount of Pollutants Released Into the Atmosphere X - Ambient Air Quality-National, Major Cities X - Perceived Quality X D.1.2 Water Quality - Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards X - Oil Spills, Fish Kills X D.1.3 Hazardous Substances - Estimated Amounts Produced X - Concentration in Biosphere X D.1.4 Ecological Balances - Endangered Species (Plant and Animal) X - Critical Areas (Coastal Zones) X - Land/People Density X Part 2-Science D.2.1 Professionals in Scientific Fields - By Specialty X - Person Years of Scientists, Engineers Engaged in R&D X D.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development - Private Industry X - Government X D.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools - Secondary Schools X - Higher Education X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.3.5 Health Care Delivery - Physician and Dental Visits X - Costs and Expenditures X - Facilities X - Personnel X - Attitudes Towards Health Care X Part 4-Education B.4.1 Educational Achievement by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status, Region - Math, Science, Reading, Writing X - Music, Art, Literature, Citizenship X B.4.2 Attainment - High School Graduation Rate X - The High School Educated Population by Race and Sex X - College Educated Population by Race and Sex X B.4.3 School Enrollment - Primary and Secondary School X - Preprimary by Age, Race, Income X - Modal Age Enrollment by Sex, Race X - High School Students Expecting to go to College X - College Entrance Rates by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status X - College Enrollment X - Participation in Adult Education X B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Personnel - Schools, Classrooms X - Teachers, Administrative, Others X B.4.5 Costs and Expenditures - Expected Student Expenses, Higher Education X - Expenditures by Level of Government X Part 5-Work B.5.1 Labor Force, Employment and Unemployment GERALD R. FORD - Labor Force Participation, Selected Characteristics X - Part-time, Part-year Workers, Selected Characteristics X - Employment by Occupation, Selected Characteristics X - Unemployment, Selected Characteristics X X - Discouraged Workers X - Labor Union Membership X B.5.2 Earnings - Median Earnings, Selected Characteristics X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.5.3 Working Conditions - Regular and Overtime Hours, Selected Characteristics X - Work Injuries by Occupation X - Time, Distance, and Mode Transportation to Work X B.5.4 Benefits - Vacations, Holidays X - Benefit Plans X B.5.5 Retirement - Persons Retiring From Work X - Work-Life Expectancy X - Retirement Benefits X Part 6-Income, Consumption, and Wealth B.6.1 Income Levels - Median Family Income X - Composition of Family Income X - Per Capita Income X B.6.2 Distribution of Income - Age, Race, and Sex X - Regional Differences X B.6.3 Poverty X B.6.4 Consumption - Personal Consumption Expenditures X - Consumption of Durable Goods X B.6.5 Wealth - Net Worth of Consumer Units X - Composition of Wealth X B.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt - Amount of Debt Outstanding X - Debt/Income Ratio X B.6.7 Consumer Attitudes X Part 7-Housing B.7.1 Housing Conditions - Average Size of Households X - Households Lacking Selected Facilities, by Size, Race, Tenure, and Location X - Average Persons Per Room X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-Socioeconomic Series (Continued) B.7.2 Home Tenure - Single Family Dwellings X - Mobile Homes X - Condominiums and Other Multi-Unit Structures X - Vacation Homes X B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures - Average Mortgage Payments - Upkeep and Maintenance - Average Rental Payments X X X B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community X Part 8-Leisure and Recreation B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time X B.8.2 Recreation - Outdoor (Social, Active Sports, etc) X - Indoor (Television, Visiting, Other) X X Part 9-Public Safety B.9.1 Crimes Known to Police - Violent X X - Property X X B.9.2 Victims of Crime, Selected Characteristics - Violent X - Property X B.9.3 Fear of Crime, Selected Characteristics X B.9.4 Police Activity - Persons Arrested by Charge X - Offenses Cleared X B.9.5 Judicial Activity - Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes X B.9.6 Prisoners, Adults and Juveniles - Prisoners by Sentence X - Average Length of Sentence X - Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death X - Average Prison Population X B.9.7 Expenditures for Administration of Criminal Justice X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION C-Government Activity Part 1-Social Welfare and Security C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI) - Current Beneficiaries X - New Beneficiaries X - Average Payment X C.1.2 Old Age Assistance - Benefits Paid X - Recipients X C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled - Blind X - Deaf X - Other X C.1.4 Aid to Families With Dependent Children - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage - Benefits Paid X - Recipients X C.1.6 Housing Assistance - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.7 Food Stamps - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.8 Aid to Disaster Victims - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.9 Veterans Benefits - Recipients X - Benefits X Part 2-Equal Opportunity C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity - Minority Employment X - Earnings, Promotions, etc. X C.2.2 School Desegregation - Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools X - Public/Private Enrollment, and Control X Week of October 28, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture D.2.4 Public Attitudes Towards Science and Technology X Part 3-Culture D.3.1 Persons Employed in Artistic Professions - By Type X D.3.2 Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature Arts, Music X D.3.3 Participation in Cultural Activities - Voluntary Organizations X - Travel - Hobbies, Sports, Music, etc. D.3.4 Attendance at Cultural Events - Plays, Galleries, Motion Pictures X X X X - Concerts, Museums, etc. SECTION E-Selected Subjects A.1.1 - Gross National Product Preliminary Estimates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO CURRENT DOLLARS $1,497.8 3.9% 5.8% BILLIONS 1958 DOLLARS $804.6 2.7% -2.2% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 1600 1600 1500 1500 1400 1400 1300 1300 1200 1200 1100 1100 1000 1000 900 900 800 GERALD ? FORD 800 700 700 600 600 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 OCTOBER 1975 A.1.1 - Chain Price Index THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PERCENT CHAIN PRICE INDEX 7.2% 33.3% -43.3% PERCENT ANNUAL RATE ANNUAL RATE 15 15 12 12 9 9 6 6 3 3 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Real Gross National Product (in 1958 dollars) rose $21 billion in the third quarter, a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 11.2 percent. Steepest advance since the first quarter of 1955, another post-recession period, when real GNP rose 12.4 percent. More than half the increase in real GNP in the third quarter reflected a sharp slowdown in inventory liquidation. Gross National Product in current dollars rose $56.9 billion or 16.7 percent at annual rates. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY Sharpest rise since first quarter 1951 when GNP rose at an annual rate of 18.9 percent. Inflation, as measured by the GNP Chain Price Index, accelerated to a 7.2 percent annual rate in the third quarter, compared to 5.4 percent in the second quarter. A.1.1 - Components of Gross National Product 1958 Dollars THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PERSONAL CONSUMPTION $548.9 1.7% 0.3% EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF $149.6 0.3% 2.5% GOODS AND SERVICES GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC $94.9 17.6% -22.7% BILLIONS INVESTMENT BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 600 600 550 550 500 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 ORD LIBRARY 50 50 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 OCTOBER 1975 A.1.1 - Change in Business Inventories 1958 Dollars Billions of 1958 Dollars 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis 28 October 1975 Real Personal Consumption Expenditures accelerated in the third quarter, rising $9.2 billion, an annual rate of 7.0 percent, compared to 6.3 percent in the second quarter. Government Purchases of Goods and Services (1958 dollars) increased $0.4 billion in the third quarter, compared to a rise of $2.5 billion in the second quarter. After six consecutive quarterly declines, Gross Private Domestic Investment increased a record $14.2 billion to an annual rate of $94.9 billion. $12.3 billion of this increase was due to a sharp GERALD FORD LIBRARY slowdown in the rate of Business Inventory liquidation. A.1.2 - Personal Income THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME $1,270.3 1.1% 7.8% PRIVATE WAGES & SALARIES $624.1 0.9% 2.7% GOVERNMENT WAGES E SALARIES $175.1 0.8% 9.5% BILLIONS TRANSFER PAYMENTS $179.8 1.0% 23.2% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 1300 1300 1200 1200 1100 1100 1000 1000 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 FORD 100 GERALD 0 100 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 October 1975 Personal Income rose for the second month in a row, up 1.1 percent ($14.4 billion). Private Wages and Salaries increased 0.9 percent ($5.5 billion) in September, compared with 1.4 percent ($9.3 billion) in August. Government Wages and Salaries rose 0.8 percent ($1.3 billion). Pay increase for postal employees, retroactive to July 1975, accounted for $0.6 billion of the increase. Transfer Payments rose 1.0 percent, about the same as last month. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD A.1.2 - Wage and Salary Disbursements Selected Industries THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO COMMODITY-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES $275.6 1.6% -0.1% MANUFACTURING- - $216.3 1.6% -0.7% DISTRIBUTIVE INDUSTRIES $190.8 0.2% 4.2% BILLIONS SERVICE INDUSTRIES $157.7 0.6% 7.7% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 290 290 275 275 260 260 245 245 230 230 215 215 200 200 185 185 170 170 155 155 140 140 125 125 FORD 110 GERALD 95 110 QRART 95 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 OCTOBER 1975 A.1.2 - Proprietors' Income THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BUSINESS & PROFESSIONAL $65.2 0.6% 4.3% PROPRIETORS' INCOME BILLIONS FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME $32.3 8.0% 5.2% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Wage and Salary Disbursements in Commodity-Producing Industries rose for the sixth consecutive month, up 1.6 percent. Manufacturing payrolls also increased 1.6 percent. Distributive and Service Industries both moved up but at lower rates than in August. Farm Proprietors' Income increased $2.4 billion for the second consecutive month, up 8.0 percent. Since March, Income has increased 75.5 percent. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD Still 28.1 percent below the high registered in 1973. Business and Professional Proprietors' Income continued to increase steadily, up 0.6 percent. A.1.2 - Per Capita Disposable Personal Income Annual Rate THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO CURRENT DOLLARS $5,045 -0.2% 7.8% 1958 DOLLARS $2,855 -1.8% 0.5% DOLLARS DOLLARS 5300 5300 5000 5000 4700 4700 4400 4400 4100 4100 3800 3800 3500 3500 3200 3200 2900 2900 R FORD 2600 2600 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERA ANV2 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Per Capita Disposable Income in current dollars declined marginally in the third quarter after a record increase of $287 in the second quarter. Real Per Capita Income declined $52 in the third quarter, losing almost half the record $132 gain recorded in the second quarter. However, the current level, with the exception of the second quarter, is the highest since the first quarter of 1974. FORD & LIBRARY A.3.3 - Indexes of Unit Labor Costs (1967=100) Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL PRIVATE ECONOMY 157.8 -0.6% 6.3% MANUFACTURING 139.6 -0.2% 10.6% INDEX INDEX 165 165 160 160 155 155 150 150 145 145 140 140 135 135 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 110 110 198. FORD 105 BERALDR. GERALD 105 LIBI 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 ARE SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Unit Labor Costs in the Total Private Economy fell at an annual rate of 2.4 percent in the third quarter compared with a 3.2 percent increase in the previous quarter. First decline since the second quarter of 1972, and the largest since the third quarter of 1965. In the Manufacturing Sector, Unit Labor Costs decreased for the first time since the first quarter of 1973. Down 0.8 percent at an annual rate compared to a 6.2 percent increase in the previous quarter. - FORD is LIBRARY A.3.3 - Indexes of Output Per Hour (1967=100) Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO MANUFACTURING 129.2 2.1% 0.0% TOTAL PRIVATE ECONOMY 114.0 2.2% 1.8% PRIVATE NONFARM 112.4 2.3% 2.1% INDEX INDEX 135 135 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 110 110 105 105 & FORD 028 07 100 100 GE 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Productivity in the Total Private Economy continued to rebound, increasing at a 9.5 percent annual rate in the third quarter. Largest increase since the first quarter of 1971. Reflects a 12.1 percent gain in output and a 2.4 percent rise in hours. In the Private Nonfarm Sector, Output per Hour increased for the second consecutive quarter following eight successive quarterly declines. Largest increase since the second quarter of 1961. Manufacturing Productivity rose 8.9 percent at an annual rate after a 2.6 percent increase in the previous quarter. GERALD R. FORD IPA) A.3.4 - Gross Average Weekly Earnings THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO CURRENT DOLLARS $164.9 -0.1% 4.8% DOLLARS 1967 DOLLARS $100.9 -0.6% -2.8% DOLLARS PER WEEK PER WEEK 175 175 165 165 155 155 145 145 135 135 125 125 115 115 105 105 95 95 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 FORD is LIBRARY GERALD A.3.4 - Spendable Average Weekly Earnings THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO CURRENT DOLLARS $148.9 -0.1% 9.0% DOLLARS 1967 DOLLARS $91.1 -0.6% 1.1% DOLLARS PER WEEK PER WEEK 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Real Gross Weekly Earnings (in 1967 Dollars) decreased 0.6 percent in September, after rising 0.8 percent in August. Over the year, Earnings were down 2.8 percent. Gross Weekly Earnings (in Current Dollars) decreased 0.1 percent in September, the first decrease in 10 months. Real Spendable Earnings declined 0.6 percent. Real Spendable Earnings were up 1.1 percent from the & FORD year ago level due to the Federal income tax reduction which went into effect May 1, 1975. GERALD 217 A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments and New Orders Advance Report for Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO NEW ORDERS $42.6 -0.2% -7.8% BILLIONS SHIPMENTS $43.4 2.0% -3.3% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 50 50 45 45 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 28 October 1975 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Unfilled Orders THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BILLIONS UNFILLED ORDERS $116.7 - -0.6% -14.0% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 28 October 1975 Advance data for September indicate that: Shipments of Durable Goods rose 2.0 percent. Since the March low, Shipments have increased 10.8 percent. New Orders for Durable Goods dropped for the first time in seven months, down 0.2 percent. Had increased 18.7 percent since the upward trend began in March. & FORD As a result, Unfilled Orders declined 0.6 percent, down 14 GERALD percent from the high registered last September. A.4.4 - Manufacturers New Orders Components of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT $10.0 2.8% -3.9% PRIMARY METALS $6.3 -8.4% -26.5% BILLIONS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY $5.2 -11.1% 0.4% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments Components of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BILLIONS PRIMARY METALS $7.2 10.5% -15.0% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 FORD 2 2 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERA LIBRARY SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 28 October 1975 The decrease in New Orders was primarily due to decreases in Electrical Machinery and Primary Metals, which was partially offset by an increase in Transportation Equipment. Electrical Machinery fell 11.1 percent ($642 million) following two consecutive monthly increases. Primary Metals dropped 8.4 percent ($577 million). Transportation Equipment rose for the fifth straight month, up 2.8 percent ($274 million). The increase in Shipments was mainly due to an increase in Primary Metals, up 10.5 percent. Has increased 26.3 percent since the June low. FORD is LIBRARY 038870 A.6.1 - Consumer Price Index (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO ALL SERVICES 169.1 1.0% 8.4% ALL ITEMS 163.4 0.5% 7.9% ALL COMMODITIES 160.5 0.2% 7.6% COMMODITIES LESS FOOD- - - 151.2 0.3% 7.4% INDEX INDEX 180 180 170 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 FORD, 110 110 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERALD IBRARY SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 The Consumer Price Index for All Items advanced 0.5 percent in September, up from the slim 0.2 percent rise in August. For the third quarter, the Index was up 7.3 percent compared to a 7.1 percent increase in the second quarter. The sharp rise in Services, up 1.0 percent or an annual rate of 12.0 percent, led the advance. Largest gain since September 1974. All Commodities increased 0.2 percent in September, the same as in August. Commodities Less Food increased 0.3 percent, the second smallest gain in two years. FORD i LIBRARY GERALD A.6.1 - Consumer Price Index Food and Selected Components THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BEEF AND VEAL 173.6 -3.2% 2.2% FOOD 177.6 0.1% 7.8% INDEX INDEX 185 185 170 170 155 155 140 140 125 125 110 110 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Components of Food THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO DAIRY PRODUCTS 157.1 1.2% 3.4% FRUITS & VEGETABLES 172.0 -0.8% 2.7% INDEX INDEX 180 180 170 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 FORD 110 110 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERA RARY SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 A.6.1 - Consumer Price Index Apparel and Upkeep THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO APPAREL E UPKEEP 142.9 -0.6% 2.6% INDEX INDEX 150 150 145 145 140 140 135 135 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 The Food Index rose only 0.1 percent in September after showing no change in August. For the September quarter Food rose at an annual rate of 7.5 percent compared to a 10.0 percent rise in the June quarter. The slower rate of increase was primarily due to a downturn in beef prices. Declined 9.4 percent at annual rates in the third quarter compared to a 71.9 percent hike in the second quarter. Fruits and Vegetables have declined 3.7 percent over the last two months after steep advances in June and July. Dairy Products increased at a faster pace in September, up 1.2 percent compared to 0.8 percent in August. Apparel and Upkeep declined 0.6 percent in September after rising FRALD 17 R. FORD 0.9 percent in August. After showing no change in the June quarter, Apparel and Upkeep advanced 1.1 percent overall in the September quarter. A.6.1 - Consumer Price Index Transportation THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION 169.7 9.3% 14.0% TRANSPORTATION 156.0 2.0% 9.2% NEW CARS 129.5 1.1% 6.8% INDEX INDEX 175 175 165 165 155 155 145 145 135 135 125 125 115 115 105 105 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Health and Recreation THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO FORD & GERALD LIBRARY MEDICAL CARE SERVICES 182.8 0.9% 11.3% HEALTH & RECREATION 155.2 0.5% 7.9% INDEX INDEX 190 190 175 175 160 160 145 145 130 130 115 115 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 A.6.1 - Consumer Price Index Housing THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO HOUSING 168.7 0.5% 9.5% FUEL OIL & COAL 240.1 1.3% 7.2% GAS & ELECTRICITY 175.2 1.8% 15.8% INDEX INDEX 250 250 225 225 200 200 175 175 150 150 125 125 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Transportation costs increased 2.0 percent in September, double the rate recorded in August. Public Transportation up a record 9.3 percent, due primarily to a boost in New York City transit fares. New Cars rose at a faster rate in September, advancing 1.1 percent compared to 0.8 percent in August. Medical Care Services up 0.9 percent in September. The increase accelerated in the September quarter, up 2.6 percent compared to 2.1 percent in the second quarter. Housing costs continued to rise, pushed by rising costs of FORD & 03RALD LIBRARY fuels and utilities. Fuel Oil and Coal resumed its rapid rise after slowing somewhat in July and August. Advanced at a 15.7 percent annual rate in the third quarter compared with 12.3 percent in the preceding quarter. Gas and Electricity also rose at a faster pace in September, increasing 1.8 percent. A.10.1 - Money Stock Measures THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO M5 = M3 + LARGE NEGOTIABLE $1,149.9 0.7% 9.5% CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT M3 = M2 + DEPOSITS OF $1,070.8 0.6% 11.0% NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS M2 = M1 + TIME DEPOSITS AT $656.2 0.4% 8.8% COMM'L BANKS EXCL. LARGE CD'S M1 = CURRENCY PLUS $294.6 0.1% 5.0% BILLIONS DEMAND DEPOSITS- - - BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 1200 1200 1100 1100 1000 1000 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 0 100 FORD & 074430 LIBRA 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 28 OCTOBER 1975 With the exception of M5, Money Stock Measures registered decreased growth from August: Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rates (Percent) July-August August-September M1 2.9 1.7 M2 5.9 4.6 M3 9.5 7.4 M5 4.4 8.0 For the third quarter as a whole, growth in the Money Stock slowed from the second quarter growth rates: Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rates (Percent) Quarterly Averages Second Quarter Third Quarter M1 8.6 6.9 M2 11.2 10.4 M3 13.8 13.1 M4 10.6 9.9 FORD & GERALD LIBRAT A.10.7 - Average Conventional Home Mortgage Rate Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PURCHASE OF NEW HOMES 8.94% 0.6% -2.7% PURCHASE OF EXISTING HOMES 9.14% 0.1% -2.0% PERCENT PERCENT 10.0 10.0 9.5 9.5 9.0 9.0 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.0 7.5 7.5 7.0 R 7.0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERAID SOURCE: FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK BOARD LIBRARY 28 OCTOBER 1975 Interest Rates on Conventional Home Mortgages increased slightly from early August to early September. Reflect the modest rise in rates at which major mortgage lenders were making commitments for future lending during the Spring. Interest Rates for New Home Mortgages rose 0.6 percent after holding steady in the previous two months. Interest Rates for Existing Homes rose for the fourth consecutive month, edging up 0.1 percent. Smallest percentage increase in the recent upward trend. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY A.10.7 - Average Convenuonal Home Mortgage Rate Selected Metropolitan and Consolidated Areas New Homes September 1974 September 1975 Percent 10 94% 91% 92% 88% 8.9% 88% 8.8% 87% 86% 86% 8 6 4 2 0 Los Angeles Philadelphia Detroit Chicago New York Long Beach Pa. Mich. N.W. Indiana N.E. New Jersey Calif. (Consol. Area) )Consol. Area) Existing Homes September 1974 September 1975 Percent 12 103% 10-0% 10 93% 96% 93% 90% 93% 8.9% 87% 86% 8 6 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD 4 2 0 Los Angeles Philadelphia Detroit Chicago New York Long Beach Pa. Mich. N.W. Indiana N.E. New Jersey Calif. (Consol. Area) (Consol. Area) Source: Federal Home Loan Bank Board 28 October 1975 Among the five largest metropolitan areas, Home Mortgage Interest Rates decreased slightly over the past year. There was little change in the interest rates for New Homes. Los Angeles and Philadelphia, which had the highest rates, dropped 3.4 and 4.1 percent, respectively. Detroit and Chicago edged down 1.9 percent and 0.9 percent, respectively. New York remained about the same. Interest Rates for Existing Homes fell slightly more than for New Homes. Detroit was down 10.4 percent. Los Angeles followed closely, down 9.1 percent. Chicago and Philadelphia dropped 3.7 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively. New York edged down 0.6 percent. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY B.1.3 - Net Migration by Region: 1965-70 and 1970-75 1965-70 Millions 1970-75 of Persons 2 1.829 15 1 0.657 0.695 0.708 05 0 -05 -0.637 -0-715 -1 -1.195 -1:342 -15 & Northeast North South West Central Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD The South's net population gain from U.S. internal migration from 1970 to 1975 was almost triple its gain from 1965 to 1970. The Northeast and North Central regions had net losses in the 1970-75 period that were about double their losses in 1965-70. The West's net migration gain was about the same for both periods. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY B.1.3 - Migration by Region: 1965-70 and 1970-75 Inmigrants 1965-70 Millions of Persons 1970-75 5 4-082 4 3.142 3 2-309 2.347 2.024 2 1.731 1.273 1.057 1 0 Northeast North South West Central Outmigrants 1965-70 Millions of Persons 1970-75 0 -1 -1.613-1.639 a -1.988 -2.399 -2.253 -2.486 -2.661 -3 -2.926 FORD is GERALD LIBRARY -4 Northeast North South West Central Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 The increases in net migration from 1965-70 to 1970-75 were caused by changes in the patterns of in- and outmigration for each region, not by increases in the absolute number of migrants. For example, a large increase in the number of people migrating into the South was combined with a moderate decrease in the number migrating out of the South to produce a large increase in the net migration gain. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY B.1.3 - Percent Movers By Race: 1970-75 White Black Percent 60 50 45% 40-7% 40 35.7% 30 22.7% 20 180% FORD & GERALD LIBRARY 10-1% 10 9-0% 5.9% 0 Percent Movers, Same Different Different Total County County, State Same State Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 Between 1970 and 1975 blacks were more likely to change residence than whites. In 1975 nearly 46 percent of blacks 5 years and over lived in a different house than in 1970, while only 41 percent of whites had moved. However, blacks tended to move shorter distances than whites. In the 1970-75 period about 36 percent of blacks moved within the same county compared with only about 23 percent of whites. Whites had higher rates of intercounty and interstate migration than blacks. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY B.1.3 - Movement Between Central Cities of SMSA's, Suburbs, and Nonmetropolitan Areas: 1970-75 From Central Cities: to Suburbs 9.765 to Nonmetro- 3.240 politan Areas From Suburbs: to Central Cities 3.828 to Nonmetro- politan Areas 3.489 From Nonmetro- politan Areas: to Central Cities 2.159 to Suburbs 2.967 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Millions of Persons Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 FORD & GERALD LIBRAR B.1.3 - Net Migration for Central Cities of SMSA's, Suburbs, and Nonmetropolitan Areas: 1970-75 Millions of Persons 6 5.423 4 2 1.595 0 -2 1 -8 -7-018 -8 Central Cities Suburbs Nonmetropolitan Areas Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 Of all persons moving between central cities of Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSA's), suburbs (the balance of SMSA's), and nonmetropolitan areas of the United States 51 percent, or 13 million persons, moved out of central cities. Almost 10 million persons moved from central cities to suburbs, three times the number moving from central cities to nonmetropolitan areas. Overall, metropolitan areas had a net migration loss of 1.6 million persons. Central cities had a netmigration loss of 7.0 million. Suburbs had a net migration gain of 5.4 million. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY However, this net outmigration from metropolitan areas, combined with changes in rates of natural increase and immigration, has resulted in a lower rate of growth, but not a population loss to metropolitan areas or a decline in the long-standing trend toward increasing urbanization. Nonmetropolitan areas had a net migration gain of 1.6 million. B.1.3 - Percent of Population Moving To, From, and Within SMSA's, By Age: 1970-75 WITHIN SAME SMSA - OUTSIDE SMSA'S AT BOTH DATES BETWEEN SMSA'S INTO SMSA'S OUT OF SMSA'S - - - PERCENT PERCENT 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 GERRLD 10 FORD LIBRARY 5 5 0 0 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-64 65 Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years and over SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 28 OCTOBER 1975 Between 1970 and 1975 a larger percentage of persons moved within the same Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA) than for any other type of mobility. lthough 41 percent of all persons 5 years old and over moved during the 5-year period, the rate for persons 25 to 29 years of age was the highest - -- 72 percent. Highest mobility rates occur among persons in their twenties, reflecting the establishment of new households by young adults who have just finished school, recently married, or newly entered the labor force. Persons moving into SMSA's from outside SMSA's were slightly younger than persons moving from SMSA's to nonmetropolitan areas. In the 1970-75 period the median age of inmigrants to SMSA's was 25.3 years as compared to 27.6 years among outmigrants. FORD : GERALD LIBRAR B.1.3 - Percent Movers by Years of School Completed: 1970-75 (Population 18 Years and Over) Total,18 Years And 406% Over Elementary 0 To 8 Years 29-2% High School 1 To 3 Years 399% 4 Years 41.2% College 1 To 3 Years 46.1% 4 Years Or More 498% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percent Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 FORD & GERALD LIBRA Educational attainment influences the likelihood of changing residence. Among persons 18 years old and over, college graduates were more likely to move than high school graduates who, in turn, moved more often than persons with only a grade school education. Approximately one-half of those persons who had completed college had moved between March 1970 and March 1975. Two-fifths of those persons who had completed high school had moved during the time period. Less than one-third of those persons who had only a grade school education moved within the 5-year period. Thus, as the level of education increases, so too does the propensity to move. FORD & GERALD LIBRA B.1.3 - Percent Movers by 1974 Income: 1970-75 (Male Population 18 Years and Over) Percent Moved, All Income 407% Levels Less than $3,000 33.4% $3,000 - $4,999 383% $5,000 - $6,999 43.8% $7,000 - $9,999 470% $10,000 - $14,999 431% $15,000 or more 39.1% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Percent Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 FORD & CERALD LIBRAL For the male population 18 years and over, differences in income influenced the likelihood of moving within the United States between March 1970 and March 1975. One-third of those persons whose income was less than $3,000 in 1974 moved in the 5-year period. Almost one-half of those persons whose income was $7,000 to $9,999 moved during the period, the highest proportion moving for any income level. About one-fourth of these persons were in the 18 to 24 age category. At the highest level of income, that of $15,000 or more, approximately 40 percent changed residence between March 1970 and March 1975. Up to the $10,000 income level the likelihood of moving increased as income increased, after which the percentage decreased. - FORD & GERALD LIBRARY B.1.3 - Percent Movers by Employment Status: 1970-75 (Male Population 16 Years and Over) All Males, 402% 16 and Over Civilian Labor 43.3% Force,Total Employed 42.7% Unemployed 490% Armed Forces 678% Not in Labor Force 279% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Percent Source: Bureau of the Census 28 October 1975 FORD & LIBRAR ERALD Of the male population ages 16 years and over, 40.2 percent moved. between March 1970 and March 1975. The smallest proportion of movers was among persons "not in the labor force. 00 This group includes persons engaged in own home housework, attending school or unable to work because of long-term physical or mental illness; persons who are retired or too old to work; seasonal workers for whom the survey week fell in an off season; persons doing only unpaid family work (less than 15 hours); and the voluntarily idle. Among males in the labor force, during the 5-year period there was a significantly higher proportion of the unemployed who moved than of the employed males 16 years and over. Two-thirds of all males 16 years and over in the Armed Forces moved during the 5-year period. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD